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Speaker 1: This is the Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 2: It is good.

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Speaker 1: All right.

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Speaker 2: Here we go throwing in Joe step I'm saying it.

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Speaker 1: To catch to stop. See the most gamblers when they

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Speaker 1: go to gamble, they go to win. God, that's incredible.

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Speaker 2: Big bank, small bank. I like to make money.

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Speaker 3: All right.

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Speaker 2: This is the ultimate Kaba and we are underway.

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Speaker 1: And welcome to the Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 3: I'm your host, Chris Raybond, and this is your week

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Speaker 3: seven NFL betting preview with odds courtesy of bet MGM,

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Speaker 3: the official odds provider of the Action Network Podcast. Joined

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Speaker 3: as always by my Action Network colleague, the Prime Minister

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Speaker 3: of Degenerate Nation.

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Speaker 1: My dude, stucky stuck, what's going on? I know you're

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Speaker 1: not feeling too good, so hoping you'd feel better.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, under the weather, no off weeks in this biz.

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Speaker 2: Luckily a bunch of buys in the NFL. And there's

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Speaker 2: a couple of games where I didn't have to spend

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Speaker 2: a ton of time on Houston, Arizona, which we'll get

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Speaker 2: to Detroit, LA. There's not much to break down in

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Speaker 2: those games other than the number and some situational spots.

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Speaker 2: But last week, winning week, it was plus zero points

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Speaker 2: zero zero units on Sunday, which is quite an accomplishment.

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Speaker 2: I lost, lost no pennies, gained no pennies, but I

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Speaker 2: hit the Eagles, got lucky with the Eagles on Thursday night,

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Speaker 2: hit the Titans on Monday night, and I paid for

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Speaker 2: the Eagles with that Patriots loss and overtime, and I

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Speaker 2: thought that the Browns under was not a just result.

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Speaker 2: But we're on to the next Let's get into some

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Speaker 2: winners here before we.

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Speaker 1: Kick things off. Three quick reminders.

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Speaker 3: First, if you planned a bet on any sport ever

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Speaker 3: and you haven't downloaded the free, award winning Action Network app,

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Speaker 3: what are you doing. It's got betting tools, it lets

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Speaker 3: you shop for the best lines, it's got analysis for myself,

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Speaker 3: stuck the whole Action Network crew, and most importantly, it

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Speaker 3: lets you track every bet that you make. Second, if

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Speaker 3: you need to reference our Sunday six Pack picks anytime,

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Speaker 3: all you have to do is download the Action app

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Speaker 3: follow Sunday six Pack in the follow feature, and we

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Speaker 3: use that account to track those picks every Friday.

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Speaker 1: And if you or somebody that you know gambles on

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Speaker 1: the European kind.

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Speaker 3: Of football aka soccer, the Action Network just launched Wonder

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Speaker 3: Goal and all new podcasts covering all things betting across

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Speaker 3: Champions League, the EPL, and all the top European leagues.

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Speaker 3: So if you know folks like betting those mid morning

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Speaker 3: English Premier League matches, tell them to check out Wonder

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Speaker 3: Goal on Apple podcast or wherever.

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Speaker 1: They like to listen. All right, let's get into it, Stuck.

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Speaker 1: Let's get it cracking with Thursday night football.

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Speaker 2: It's not the best game, but it's the only game tonight.

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Speaker 3: Let's bet Thursday night football. All right, So got Denver,

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Speaker 3: We got Cleveland. We got a two point spread in

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Speaker 3: favor of Cleveland. We got a low total of forty

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Speaker 3: one and a half at bet MGM, the official odds

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Speaker 3: provider of the pod. We have no Baker Mayfield for Cleveland.

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Speaker 3: At quarterback, we have no Nick Chubb for Cleveland. We

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Speaker 3: have no Kareem Hunt for Cleveland. Odell Beckham Junior managed

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Speaker 3: to run a route on fewer than sixty percent of

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Speaker 3: the dropbacks in week six.

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Speaker 1: He is questionable. We have eighteen mile per hour wins.

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Speaker 3: This seems to just exemplify one of these ugly Thursday

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Speaker 3: night matchups.

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Speaker 1: Stucky, what do you think.

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Speaker 2: I think you have to look at it under. I mean,

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Speaker 2: but also the Browns could be without Conklin, Wills and Treder,

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Speaker 2: although I think Treider will play, but their offensive line

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Speaker 2: is banged up. Also, I mean, Keenum going I don't

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Speaker 2: think is a big deal compared to what Baker was doing.

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Speaker 2: Baker wasn't healthy, he wasn't playing well looks defense. He

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Speaker 2: took Keenum to the NFC Championship game before, and if

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Speaker 2: you look at some of the stats since Baker's been hurt,

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Speaker 2: he's been among the bottom five worst quarterbacks in the NFL.

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Speaker 2: So I don't think it's a huge drop off to

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Speaker 2: Keenum here. But the problem is, like you don't have

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Speaker 2: your two backs, your offensive line is banged up, your

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Speaker 2: weapons are decimated on the outside. So I don't think

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Speaker 2: that they could take advantage of a number one a

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Speaker 2: Broncos linebacking corps that's been hit hard by injuries. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: that's a big loss. He went on ir and I

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Speaker 2: don't know what's wrong with Denver's pass defense. I mean,

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Speaker 2: obviously their schedule got harder, but they're giving up a

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Speaker 2: ton of explosive plays. They're twenty eighth against the explosive

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Speaker 2: pass and that's like the the number one goal of

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Speaker 2: a fan of a Fangio defense is to stop the

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Speaker 2: explosive pass. But Fuller is really struggling, as is Certain

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Speaker 2: if you just if you remove the Jags and Jets

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Speaker 2: games where he's basically playing a college quarterback at the time,

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Speaker 2: Certain has been really bad. Even justin Simmons, who I

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Speaker 2: love on the back end, is struggling coverage. I just

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Speaker 2: don't think that the Browns could take advantage of that here,

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Speaker 2: especially in wind and bad offensive line. You know, new

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Speaker 2: quarterback running with the ones in a short week. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: I don't. I can't see the Browns scoring a lot.

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Speaker 2: I do think that the Browns defense can contain Denver's

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Speaker 2: offense here we talked about Denver just doesn't have the

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Speaker 2: downfield passing attack without Hammler and Judy. So I think

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Speaker 2: what's gonna happen is Denver's gonna say, look, we have

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Speaker 2: to take away the explosive by This is gonna be

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Speaker 2: the focus of their practice this week. Take away the

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Speaker 2: explosive play. We're not worried too much about the running game.

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Speaker 2: So can Cleveland drive up and down the field? I

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Speaker 2: don't think so can a hobbled Teddy, who's questionable. I

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Speaker 2: think he's gonna play an offensive line that hasn't been great.

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Speaker 2: Can they maintain consistent drives against the Browns? I don't

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Speaker 2: think so either. These are also two of the slowest

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Speaker 2: team teams the NFL and neutral game state situations at

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Speaker 2: the twenty ninth and thirtieth, so I think it's an underplayer.

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Speaker 2: There's not much room for er at forty one. What

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Speaker 2: I personally did with this game is I just teased

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Speaker 2: the Broncos up. Now that they got the two and

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Speaker 2: a half, all these injuries for Cleveland, I think this

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Speaker 2: should be a one possession, low scoring game. Obviously the

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Speaker 2: teaser is more valuable with the total of forty one

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Speaker 2: the winsor factor as well, So I think this is, like,

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Speaker 2: you know, it maybe ends up being like a twenty

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Speaker 2: to seventeen game. So I tease the Broncos, but just

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Speaker 2: a game I don't want to get too heavily involved in.

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Speaker 2: With all the uncertainty of the injuries, the short week

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Speaker 2: just could be really messy, could be just come down

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Speaker 2: to fluke turnovers. So yeah, just your typical Thursday night mess.

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Speaker 1: Yeah.

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Speaker 3: I jumped on the Broncos at a juice step three

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Speaker 3: and a half when I figured, you know, once Chubb

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Speaker 3: was rute out, I figured Mayfield wasn't looking good either,

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Speaker 3: So I make it one and a half.

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Speaker 1: But this is a really tough game to cap.

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Speaker 3: Because this is one of those cluster injury situations for

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Speaker 3: Cleveland where you're talking about the quarterback, both of your

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Speaker 3: running backs who are key obviously to what you do,

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Speaker 3: both of your tackles who are key to what you do,

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Speaker 3: your top receiver. It doesn't look like Wandry's coming back.

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Speaker 3: He is, you know, they designated him to return, but

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Speaker 3: haven't got any word that he will actually be.

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Speaker 1: Active for this game. So you're really missing your top

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Speaker 1: two receivers.

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Speaker 3: Donovan People's Jones not gonna have the game of his

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Speaker 3: wife's every week. So it's like every part of your

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Speaker 3: offense has an injury. So this is like a major

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Speaker 3: cluster situation, so it's hard to adjust. I mean, I'm

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Speaker 3: tempted to just make it like a coin flip game

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Speaker 3: straight up, because I don't know if the I don't

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Speaker 3: know if Cleveland's gonna have much of a home field

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Speaker 3: advantage here. You know, the fans aren't really Happy usually

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Speaker 3: have Thursday night, you have a home field edge, but

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Speaker 3: it's gonna be windy, so they have no running game.

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Speaker 3: But they're not gonna be able to pass either because

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Speaker 3: they have their backup quarterback and no receivers and no tackles.

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Speaker 3: So I mean, this is, yeah, it's a mess. Something

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Speaker 3: is to worth noting. I think Teddy Bridgewater, this is

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Speaker 3: the kind of game where he you know, he's at

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Speaker 3: least in you know, on the field, he should be

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Speaker 3: able to manage the game correctly. That speaks to why

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Speaker 3: he's twenty three and four against the spread on the

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Speaker 3: road in his career eighty five percent. This is actually

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Speaker 3: one of the and I haven't been a fan of

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Speaker 3: Fangio's coaching most of this year, but this is one

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Speaker 3: of those spots where he tends to do well twelve

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Speaker 3: and five against the spread seventy one percent as an

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Speaker 3: underdog coming off a loss.

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Speaker 1: So I like the Broncos.

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Speaker 3: I mean Broncos here, I think they actually win this

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Speaker 3: game and the under I mean, what do you think

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Speaker 3: about this under What about the first half? We're splitting

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Speaker 3: it first half in full game, because one thing about

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Speaker 3: the Broncos they tend to hold teams in check in

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Speaker 3: the first half, and they're pretty conservative too, so under

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Speaker 3: FANGI are the first half under when they go on

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Speaker 3: the road is fifteen and four seventy nine percent.

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Speaker 2: Any thoughts on that, I don't Yeah, I don't mind

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Speaker 2: splitting here. And I think that the the Broncos are

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Speaker 2: going to end up eventually clean up their issues with

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Speaker 2: defending the explosive pass, which has hit them a lot

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Speaker 2: in the second half. So yeah, I think it's under

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Speaker 2: nothing year and if you're going to do it, I

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Speaker 2: don't hate that strategy is splitting it up first half

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Speaker 2: the game.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, and this is a von Miller like a eruption spot,

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Speaker 3: like you know, backup tackles most likely, And he put

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Speaker 3: it on himself. He said, I'm gonna kill whoever I'm blocking.

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Speaker 3: So it's either gonna go really good or really bad

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Speaker 3: for von Miller. But he's a good player, so you

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Speaker 3: expect him to step up. I think the reason they're

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Speaker 3: giving up exposed to plays is because they're playing that

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Speaker 3: you know, two deep shell most of the time. But

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Speaker 3: they've been uncharacteristically kind of forced into blitzing more than

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Speaker 3: they wanted to because they're not getting home Miller's not

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Speaker 3: getting home as much, so I think that's their issues

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Speaker 3: with exposive plays. But like you said, I don't think

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Speaker 3: it's gonna matter in this game. With you know, dier

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Speaker 3: Andis Johnson in the backfield, they can kind of stack

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Speaker 3: up on him if they want. And these receivers, I mean,

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Speaker 3: maybe worry about people's jones down the field, but he's

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Speaker 3: only got what fifteen targets all year.

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Speaker 2: So I think the last time, by the way, I

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Speaker 2: think the last time Von Miller guaranteed something was in

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Speaker 2: twenty thirteen in the he guaranteed a Super Bowl win.

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Speaker 2: I think they lost forty to six. So maybe that's

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Speaker 2: not a good thing.

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Speaker 1: All right.

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Speaker 3: So that's gonna wrap it up for our Thursday night

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Speaker 3: preview should be an ugly one.

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Speaker 1: Let's give the people what they want though.

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Speaker 3: Let's open the week seven Sunday six Pack presented by

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Speaker 3: our friends at Athletic Brewing Company Thirst Deeper Action.

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Speaker 2: Let's crack open the Sunday.

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Speaker 3: Six pack, all right, stuck, I have a cling into

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Speaker 3: a one point wed here, and you're up first for

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Speaker 3: week number seven.

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Speaker 1: Where you're going all right?

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Speaker 2: For my first pick of the Sunday six pack, I'm

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Speaker 2: going with the Philadelphia Eagles plus three at Las Vegas

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Speaker 2: Raiders at bet MGM. Look, I think that the first

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Speaker 2: thing on the surface here, and I tweeted this out

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Speaker 2: last week. I think this Raiders team, maybe they seem

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Speaker 2: really simple on the surface and that they just they're

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Speaker 2: one of those teams that plays up and down with

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Speaker 2: their competition. And just look at their results so far

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Speaker 2: this year. They're I mean at home, they could have

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Speaker 2: lost the Dolphins, they go to overtime, they lose to

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Speaker 2: the Bank, you know, and then they beat the Ravens.

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Speaker 2: They go to Pittsburgh and win that game, they go

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Speaker 2: to Denver. So this is a team that just seems

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Speaker 2: to play up and down to their competition. But I

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Speaker 2: do think this is a great matchup for the Eagles

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Speaker 2: on both sides of the ball. And it's worth noting

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Speaker 2: that Philly does have a little extra prep and rest

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Speaker 2: here after playing on Thursday. That's important because they got

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Speaker 2: number one. They got Lane Johnson back at tackle. That's

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Speaker 2: huge in this matchup. In particular, Lane Johnson will slide

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Speaker 2: in a right tackle, Baiata goes to left tackle as

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Speaker 2: natural position. Now all of a sudden, you have a

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Speaker 2: you know, dominant pair of tackles to deal with the

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Speaker 2: strength of that Raiders defense, which is their edge rushers.

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Speaker 2: I think that they can also Philly can also put

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Speaker 2: those aggressive edge rushers in conflict with some more RPOs.

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Speaker 2: This is an Eagles team that's a number one in

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Speaker 2: explosive run, right the Raiders that you know, they're playing

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Speaker 2: aggressive off the edge of their twenty seventh on defense

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Speaker 2: in that aspect. So on the other side of the ball,

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Speaker 2: what are the Raiders doing on offense? Well, they you know,

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Speaker 2: they they try to run it. I think a little

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Speaker 2: too much. They're not having any success running if their

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Speaker 2: offensive line has not been great. You know, the twenty

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Speaker 2: eighth in line yards, eighteenth and adjusted sack rate. How

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Speaker 2: do you beat Derek Carr. You have to get pressure

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Speaker 2: on him and without blitzing. It's sort of like Mahomes

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Speaker 2: if you look at a lot of his his metrics. Well,

252
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Speaker 2: the Eagles don't blitz and they can get pressure with

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Speaker 2: their front, especially up the middle. I mean this pocket

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Speaker 2: could be collapsed that intier. The Raiders offense is really

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Speaker 2: weak going up against one of the best into your

256
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Speaker 2: defensive lines in the NFL. So I think this is

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Speaker 2: a really good matchup for the Eagles, who are just

258
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Speaker 2: I think they're going to get pressure, and then what

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Speaker 2: they're doing on the back end and not blitzing, they're

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Speaker 2: just preventing the explosive play, right, so they're just saying, Okay,

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna make you drive it down the field. But

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Speaker 2: what have the Raiders really been relying on this year

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Speaker 2: the explosive pass, and they're number one in explosive pass, right.

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Speaker 2: I don't think those shots are going to be there

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Speaker 2: on the other side of the ball. I think that

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Speaker 2: Hearts can take advantage of this beat up Raider secondary

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Speaker 2: with some shots. So I make this, you know, closer

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Speaker 2: to two. So if you give me three, I took

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Speaker 2: a three and a half minus one fifteen hun if

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Speaker 2: you can find that, great, but I'd still like it

271
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Speaker 2: at three. I make it too. And then because of

272
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Speaker 2: some of the matchup advantages, I really think the Philly

273
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Speaker 2: is a good shot of winning this game. Some of

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Speaker 2: their defensive metrics are are ugly, but look they faced

275
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Speaker 2: the They got torched by the Bucks, Chiefs and Cowboys,

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Speaker 2: three of the best offenses in the NFL held their

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Speaker 2: own in the other three games. I think it's a

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Speaker 2: you know, if it's going to continue to get better

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Speaker 2: throughout the year, and I think just in the trenches

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Speaker 2: on both sides, with Lane Johnson back and that interior

281
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Speaker 2: and their ability to generate pressure without blitzing, I think

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Speaker 2: it's going to be the difference here. So give me

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Speaker 2: the Eagles plus three.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, this is a spot where I think the key

285
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Speaker 3: for me is the fact of what you kind of

286
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Speaker 3: mentioned about Derek Carr and pressuring him without blitzing, because

287
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Speaker 3: I've noticed that too.

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Speaker 1: He's had a lot of.

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Speaker 3: Success against these man coverage defenses that like to send pressure.

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Speaker 1: Remember the Ravens, he got some deep balls over their head.

291
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Speaker 3: Denver another team that ten to stay in man coverage,

292
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Speaker 3: even though they do try to protect down the field,

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Speaker 3: they're blitzing a little more. They play a lot of

294
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Speaker 3: man and he with them up that like Brian Edwards

295
00:14:09,840 --> 00:14:13,160
Speaker 3: has over two hundred and fifty yards against man coverage

296
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Speaker 3: and thirty eight yards versus zone this year. Like Rugs too,

297
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Speaker 3: is a lot more yardage against those man coverage books.

298
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Speaker 3: So if they're not getting those big plays, this is

299
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Speaker 3: just a even we match game. And like you said,

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Speaker 3: the Eagles may even have the edge here because at

301
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Speaker 3: the end of the day, they have a quarterback in

302
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Speaker 3: Jalen Hurts who can make off schedule plays, whereas Philly's

303
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Speaker 3: not really giving you a chance to make off schedule plays.

304
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Speaker 3: Not that Dirk car is really good at it anyway,

305
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Speaker 3: but they're just kind of dropping back and playing zone

306
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Speaker 3: and playing that quarters for a deep coverage. So yeah,

307
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Speaker 3: I think Philly does have a pretty good shot at Winness,

308
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Speaker 3: what's a toss up game. I think I make it

309
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Speaker 3: too as well. All right for my first pick, and

310
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Speaker 3: I'll say I'll say this week, it's kind of an

311
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Speaker 3: ugly slate. So some of these I'm taking. I'm kind

312
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Speaker 3: of taking a stand here planting a flag. Yeah it's bad,

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Speaker 3: but uh, you know I did. I did some really extra,

314
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Speaker 3: some extra deep dives. I watched all the film to

315
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Speaker 3: really make sure that I was playing my flag in

316
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Speaker 3: places I felt feel good about. So some of these

317
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Speaker 3: picks may not be my usual I think I'm going

318
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Speaker 3: three favorites this week, just to just to let everyone

319
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Speaker 3: know this is not a usual week. But with my

320
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Speaker 3: first pick and the second overall pick of the week,

321
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Speaker 3: seven Sunday six pack, I am going with the Carolina

322
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Speaker 3: Panthers minus three on the road against the New York Giants.

323
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Speaker 3: I am laying points with Sam Darnold's may not happen

324
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Speaker 3: again all year, but I just absolutely love the matchup

325
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Speaker 3: uh for Carolina in this spot against the Giants. First

326
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Speaker 3: of all, Carolina's defense, if you look at their past defense,

327
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Speaker 3: they are number two in DVOA on passes to the

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Speaker 3: left the offensive left, number two on pass it to

329
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Speaker 3: the middle, and twenty ninth on passes to the right. Well,

330
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Speaker 3: Daniel Jones, that's where he struggles the most, is thrown

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Speaker 3: to the right. So is he really going to be

332
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Speaker 3: to exploit that. I don't think so. His completion percentage

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Speaker 3: drops from sixty nine percent to sixty one percent when

334
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Speaker 3: he's thrown to the right. His yards per attempt goes

335
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Speaker 3: from eight point three to six point eight. None of

336
00:16:12,560 --> 00:16:16,360
Speaker 3: his touchdowns have come when throwing right, and you know

337
00:16:16,440 --> 00:16:18,840
Speaker 3: his interception rate, He's only got an interception thrown there.

338
00:16:19,200 --> 00:16:22,280
Speaker 3: So this is not a thing that Jones can exploit.

339
00:16:22,480 --> 00:16:25,960
Speaker 3: But Carolina is now starting to play this guy at

340
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Speaker 3: left corner, which would you know would be on the

341
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Speaker 3: offensive right, named Keith Taylor. He's a fifth round pick

342
00:16:30,840 --> 00:16:34,040
Speaker 3: out of Washington. He's graded fourth out of one hundred

343
00:16:34,040 --> 00:16:37,600
Speaker 3: and eighteen qualifiers in Pro Football Focuses grades, So he's

344
00:16:37,640 --> 00:16:41,440
Speaker 3: playing really well. Dante Jackson and aj Bouye, who you

345
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Speaker 3: know he's playing in the slot now, they're both top

346
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Speaker 3: thirty five as well, So they have three cornerbacks in

347
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Speaker 3: the top thirty five out of one hundred and eighteen

348
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Speaker 3: qualifiers in PFF grades. I don't think they'll get Stefan

349
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Speaker 3: Gilmour this week. That would only help the cause, But

350
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Speaker 3: don't think he'll be back yet. But this is again,

351
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Speaker 3: now again, kind of a scary Carolina defense that I

352
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Speaker 3: don't think Daniel Jones can exploit without Galladay and Tony.

353
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Speaker 3: It looks like now Caroline is fourth in pressure rate.

354
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Speaker 3: Daniel Jones. From a clean pocket, he's fine seven point

355
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Speaker 3: eight yards per attempt sixty six completion. He gets a

356
00:17:13,520 --> 00:17:15,520
Speaker 3: first down thirty eight percent at a time. When he

357
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Speaker 3: gets pressured, as completion percentage drops from sixty six to

358
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Speaker 3: fifty four, his yards per attempt from seven point eight

359
00:17:22,240 --> 00:17:25,199
Speaker 3: to six point one, He's getting sacked seventeen percent at

360
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Speaker 3: a time, and his first down rate drops from thirty

361
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Speaker 3: eight percent to twenty one percent, So just a nightmare

362
00:17:31,119 --> 00:17:33,320
Speaker 3: under pressure for Jones, and it's gonna be even worse

363
00:17:33,560 --> 00:17:37,480
Speaker 3: because Andrew Thomas, who improved a lot their second year tackle,

364
00:17:37,920 --> 00:17:40,399
Speaker 3: he gave up a pressure only seven times and one

365
00:17:40,480 --> 00:17:42,919
Speaker 3: hundred and eighty four pass blocking opportunities.

366
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Speaker 1: That's three point eight percent.

367
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Speaker 3: Matt Pert his replacement in his career, he's played less

368
00:17:47,440 --> 00:17:49,959
Speaker 3: snaps and giving up more than twice as many pressures,

369
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Speaker 3: so his pressure rate fifteen to one seventy nine, it's.

370
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Speaker 1: Eight point four percent. This is just a bad spot

371
00:17:55,600 --> 00:17:57,920
Speaker 1: for Daniel Jones in terms of a pressure especially without

372
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Speaker 1: a fully healthy receiving corps. Then Sakwon Barkley looks like

373
00:18:01,640 --> 00:18:02,359
Speaker 1: he's still gonna miss.

374
00:18:02,640 --> 00:18:05,200
Speaker 3: He's averaging only three point six yards per carry forty

375
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Speaker 3: four percent rushing success rate. Well, Devontae Booker in his

376
00:18:08,200 --> 00:18:11,040
Speaker 3: place three point zero yards per carry and then rushing

377
00:18:11,080 --> 00:18:13,919
Speaker 3: success rate twenty nine percent, So you're talking about more

378
00:18:13,960 --> 00:18:17,040
Speaker 3: than a half yard drop off and and a fifteen

379
00:18:17,080 --> 00:18:19,720
Speaker 3: percent success rate drop off for what was already an

380
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Speaker 3: inefficient run game with Sakuon bark We Carolina on the

381
00:18:23,600 --> 00:18:26,119
Speaker 3: other side, they're about done, They about had it with

382
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Speaker 3: Sam Donald. Matt Rule was like Hey, I want to

383
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Speaker 3: run the ball. We're gonna I don't care if we

384
00:18:29,359 --> 00:18:31,879
Speaker 3: don't have McCaffrey. Well, this is a perfect defense to

385
00:18:31,960 --> 00:18:34,240
Speaker 3: do that against the Giants of twenty seventh in run

386
00:18:34,320 --> 00:18:37,800
Speaker 3: defense DVA. But I actually think with a more balanced

387
00:18:37,840 --> 00:18:40,680
Speaker 3: offense it will Sam Donald will actually have some success here.

388
00:18:41,200 --> 00:18:44,480
Speaker 3: The last five pass defenses Donald faced all top twelve

389
00:18:44,520 --> 00:18:47,880
Speaker 3: in pass defense DVA. New Orleans was ninth, Houston elevens,

390
00:18:47,960 --> 00:18:51,920
Speaker 3: Dallas tenth, Philly twelve, Minnesota third, the Giants twenty second,

391
00:18:52,119 --> 00:18:53,840
Speaker 3: so they're not going to put up much resistance.

392
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Speaker 1: They're thirty first in pressure rate.

393
00:18:55,920 --> 00:18:59,359
Speaker 3: Donald from a lean pocket six touchdowns, three picks, ninety

394
00:18:59,440 --> 00:19:02,000
Speaker 3: one rating. When he's under pressure, that's where it drops

395
00:19:02,040 --> 00:19:05,240
Speaker 3: to one touchdown, four picks fifty six ratings. So the

396
00:19:05,320 --> 00:19:08,080
Speaker 3: Giants me in second or lasting pressure rate. That's big,

397
00:19:08,240 --> 00:19:11,520
Speaker 3: especially with Carolina being top five on defense. And then

398
00:19:11,600 --> 00:19:15,320
Speaker 3: this is just simply a spot where Daniel Jones, for

399
00:19:15,440 --> 00:19:18,120
Speaker 3: some reason, it just doesn't go right in the stadium

400
00:19:18,280 --> 00:19:19,840
Speaker 3: that they were already booing last week.

401
00:19:20,960 --> 00:19:22,480
Speaker 1: You know, I expect more of the same.

402
00:19:22,680 --> 00:19:25,800
Speaker 3: Daniel Jones four and twelve in his career against the

403
00:19:25,800 --> 00:19:27,480
Speaker 3: spread at home just twenty five percent, and.

404
00:19:27,960 --> 00:19:29,920
Speaker 1: The record is reversed on the road.

405
00:19:29,960 --> 00:19:32,000
Speaker 3: I think he picked up one or two losses lately,

406
00:19:32,080 --> 00:19:33,920
Speaker 3: but it's essentially the opposite on the road.

407
00:19:34,000 --> 00:19:35,760
Speaker 1: So going with Carolina here.

408
00:19:35,960 --> 00:19:38,680
Speaker 3: I don't love lamb points with Sam Donald, but love

409
00:19:38,760 --> 00:19:41,399
Speaker 3: the matchups for Carolina. I just think they're getting the

410
00:19:41,400 --> 00:19:42,320
Speaker 3: Giants at the right time.

411
00:19:42,880 --> 00:19:46,119
Speaker 2: Yeah, I can't like puts on the road with mister Donald,

412
00:19:46,200 --> 00:19:49,480
Speaker 2: who was just dreadful last week and has come back

413
00:19:49,640 --> 00:19:52,000
Speaker 2: crashing back down to earth after three favorable matchups to

414
00:19:52,040 --> 00:19:54,960
Speaker 2: start the year. Put up some yards in garbage time,

415
00:19:55,119 --> 00:19:57,359
Speaker 2: had a good fourth down throw, but wow, he was

416
00:19:57,440 --> 00:20:00,760
Speaker 2: bad last week. But I see actually tease the Giants

417
00:20:01,000 --> 00:20:04,159
Speaker 2: just I tease them with the Broncos. Actually, I mean

418
00:20:04,200 --> 00:20:07,600
Speaker 2: they're two and a half point underdog total of what

419
00:20:07,840 --> 00:20:09,960
Speaker 2: forty three was a no brainer there. It's not really

420
00:20:10,240 --> 00:20:12,240
Speaker 2: like I love the matchup. Andrew Thomas is a big loss.

421
00:20:12,520 --> 00:20:14,720
Speaker 2: You go back to the opening day roster for the Giants,

422
00:20:15,280 --> 00:20:19,920
Speaker 2: They're down to potentially four of their original starters. I

423
00:20:20,000 --> 00:20:25,120
Speaker 2: mean you have Daniel Jones Shepherd, your right tackle, your

424
00:20:25,200 --> 00:20:29,159
Speaker 2: right guard, and that's it. Your seenter, left guard, left tackle, receivers.

425
00:20:29,320 --> 00:20:34,199
Speaker 2: I mean it's bad running back. They've just been devastated Avengers.

426
00:20:34,240 --> 00:20:36,240
Speaker 2: But I actually have more on this in my favorite

427
00:20:36,280 --> 00:20:41,240
Speaker 2: total for my second pick and the third overall of

428
00:20:41,359 --> 00:20:46,000
Speaker 2: the Sunday six pack for Week seven, I'm going with

429
00:20:46,400 --> 00:20:50,119
Speaker 2: the Washington football team plus nine and a half at

430
00:20:50,160 --> 00:20:53,120
Speaker 2: bet MGM. This Washington team I came into the year

431
00:20:53,880 --> 00:20:57,359
Speaker 2: down on. I said the defenses overrated. All they did

432
00:20:57,480 --> 00:21:01,280
Speaker 2: was benefit from awful quarterbacks and awful offensive lines that

433
00:21:01,359 --> 00:21:04,359
Speaker 2: were beat up last year. And that's come to fruition.

434
00:21:05,040 --> 00:21:07,159
Speaker 2: Haven't touched them, have faded them a couple of times,

435
00:21:07,240 --> 00:21:10,719
Speaker 2: and teasers and in other ways. Now the market has

436
00:21:10,760 --> 00:21:12,800
Speaker 2: oversold them. So it's time for me to jump in.

437
00:21:13,280 --> 00:21:16,120
Speaker 2: I make this line like right around seven if you're

438
00:21:16,119 --> 00:21:18,800
Speaker 2: gonna give me nine and a half. With the Packers

439
00:21:18,920 --> 00:21:23,400
Speaker 2: having the Cardinals on Thursday night next week, three days rest,

440
00:21:23,800 --> 00:21:26,680
Speaker 2: think that they'll be cautious with their injuries because of that.

441
00:21:26,800 --> 00:21:29,840
Speaker 2: They're generally a conservative team when it comes to injuries anyway.

442
00:21:30,400 --> 00:21:32,439
Speaker 2: And what there's just regression coming for both of these

443
00:21:32,440 --> 00:21:35,800
Speaker 2: teams on third downs. You know, Washington, what's going on

444
00:21:35,880 --> 00:21:37,560
Speaker 2: in the secondary is a mess. There's just so many

445
00:21:37,600 --> 00:21:40,840
Speaker 2: missed assignments. And they're getting some pressure. They're gonna get

446
00:21:40,840 --> 00:21:42,600
Speaker 2: home one of these days. And the green Bay offensive

447
00:21:42,600 --> 00:21:45,040
Speaker 2: line has not been great. The green Bay offensive line

448
00:21:45,560 --> 00:21:49,800
Speaker 2: is been league average against you know, run blocking adjusted Zachary,

449
00:21:49,920 --> 00:21:51,760
Speaker 2: and they just have a lot of new pieces, a

450
00:21:51,840 --> 00:21:55,560
Speaker 2: lot of rotating pieces. So I think that this could

451
00:21:55,640 --> 00:21:58,879
Speaker 2: be the game that Washington finally gets home. And you

452
00:21:59,000 --> 00:22:01,320
Speaker 2: see a number of sets. I mean, they're just overdue

453
00:22:01,400 --> 00:22:04,919
Speaker 2: and they're giving up like sixty six third down convergion rate.

454
00:22:05,000 --> 00:22:07,879
Speaker 2: That's not gonna last. So you would hope that they

455
00:22:07,960 --> 00:22:10,240
Speaker 2: figure out some things in the secondary. They have a

456
00:22:10,280 --> 00:22:12,000
Speaker 2: lot of injuries on the offensive side of the ball.

457
00:22:12,359 --> 00:22:14,359
Speaker 2: I'm counting on a few of those guys playing the

458
00:22:14,480 --> 00:22:16,520
Speaker 2: right side of the offense line actually held up last week,

459
00:22:16,640 --> 00:22:18,960
Speaker 2: so I'm not as concerned there. You hope that some

460
00:22:19,080 --> 00:22:20,840
Speaker 2: of their weapons play. But if you look at what

461
00:22:20,880 --> 00:22:23,760
Speaker 2: the Packers have done, I mean, they haven't really blown

462
00:22:23,800 --> 00:22:26,200
Speaker 2: out anybody this year. They did no business. Covering that

463
00:22:26,280 --> 00:22:28,560
Speaker 2: game against the Bears last week. You yardage pretty even.

464
00:22:28,960 --> 00:22:31,720
Speaker 2: I mean, you have the reps just in Aaron Rodgers's

465
00:22:31,800 --> 00:22:33,919
Speaker 2: pocket the entire game. You know, they don't call them

466
00:22:33,920 --> 00:22:36,200
Speaker 2: off sides, a free play that Aaron Rodgers gets every

467
00:22:36,200 --> 00:22:38,280
Speaker 2: single week gets picked. When the Bears are up seven

468
00:22:38,280 --> 00:22:40,640
Speaker 2: to nothing driving, you have Aaron Rodgers grabbing a face

469
00:22:40,760 --> 00:22:43,280
Speaker 2: mask and then the Bears get called for a personal foul.

470
00:22:43,800 --> 00:22:45,920
Speaker 2: You saw the Packers just get every single call in

471
00:22:45,960 --> 00:22:47,520
Speaker 2: that game, in a game that was a three point

472
00:22:47,600 --> 00:22:50,320
Speaker 2: game with a few minutes to go. So, you know,

473
00:22:50,480 --> 00:22:53,119
Speaker 2: I think that the Packers might come out a little flat.

474
00:22:53,640 --> 00:22:56,760
Speaker 2: They're a really slow team. I'm sure they win this game,

475
00:22:56,880 --> 00:22:59,960
Speaker 2: but I could see Washington keeping this within a touchdown.

476
00:23:00,520 --> 00:23:02,879
Speaker 2: If they're down ten to fourteen late, they can easily

477
00:23:02,920 --> 00:23:06,200
Speaker 2: get in the back door against the Green Bay defense

478
00:23:06,880 --> 00:23:10,280
Speaker 2: that is still without Jayry Alexander is Hart on the

479
00:23:10,359 --> 00:23:13,680
Speaker 2: pass rushing, they still can't defend the run. It's a

480
00:23:13,760 --> 00:23:16,600
Speaker 2: defense that I think is in for a wide awakening

481
00:23:17,160 --> 00:23:19,600
Speaker 2: over the next couple of weeks. So I think there's

482
00:23:19,640 --> 00:23:21,480
Speaker 2: just line is just inflated. The Packers have won a

483
00:23:21,520 --> 00:23:23,359
Speaker 2: bunch of games in a row since Week one. I

484
00:23:23,440 --> 00:23:26,280
Speaker 2: haven't been that impressed with them over that time. I mean,

485
00:23:26,400 --> 00:23:28,280
Speaker 2: you know, a couple of fumbles by Golf in the

486
00:23:28,320 --> 00:23:30,639
Speaker 2: second half blows that game open. The line's led at

487
00:23:30,680 --> 00:23:33,960
Speaker 2: the half, bad the lines have been. They beat the

488
00:23:34,400 --> 00:23:37,240
Speaker 2: forty nine ers by a couple. They beat the Steelers

489
00:23:37,280 --> 00:23:40,560
Speaker 2: at home by ten in a game that if Ben

490
00:23:40,640 --> 00:23:42,800
Speaker 2: Roethlisberger hits a couple of wide open touchdowns whe they

491
00:23:42,840 --> 00:23:44,480
Speaker 2: don't call it off sides, and you talk about the

492
00:23:44,520 --> 00:23:47,040
Speaker 2: team gets every call on a block field goal for

493
00:23:47,119 --> 00:23:48,879
Speaker 2: a touchdown at the end of the half. The Packers

494
00:23:48,880 --> 00:23:50,440
Speaker 2: are allowed to go off sides, but the other team

495
00:23:50,520 --> 00:23:52,439
Speaker 2: can't even when they don't. So I haven't really been

496
00:23:52,440 --> 00:23:56,399
Speaker 2: impressed with their results so far this year, and I

497
00:23:56,520 --> 00:23:58,520
Speaker 2: just think it's too many points. That's all this is.

498
00:23:59,320 --> 00:24:02,080
Speaker 2: It's nothing more than that Washington has been so bad. Known,

499
00:24:02,119 --> 00:24:03,960
Speaker 2: what's a part of them here? I expect this to

500
00:24:04,000 --> 00:24:05,840
Speaker 2: close year seven, by the way, So give me the

501
00:24:05,880 --> 00:24:09,879
Speaker 2: Washington football team plus nine and a half, probably playing

502
00:24:09,920 --> 00:24:12,840
Speaker 2: for their season here, whereas the Packers are winning the division.

503
00:24:13,200 --> 00:24:16,119
Speaker 2: So I mean, if football team loses this game with

504
00:24:16,200 --> 00:24:20,200
Speaker 2: the way Dallas is rolling, this thing might be lights out.

505
00:24:20,240 --> 00:24:21,960
Speaker 2: So you'll get a Max sefferd here from Washington.

506
00:24:22,040 --> 00:24:25,200
Speaker 1: I think, yeah, I have this projected at seven exactly.

507
00:24:26,040 --> 00:24:28,960
Speaker 3: Aaron Rodgers under pressure has really struggled, so this could

508
00:24:28,960 --> 00:24:30,520
Speaker 3: be one of those games Washington's front.

509
00:24:30,480 --> 00:24:33,720
Speaker 1: Is still good. You know, there's still above average pressure.

510
00:24:33,520 --> 00:24:36,320
Speaker 3: Rate the back ends heard him, obviously, and that's not

511
00:24:36,400 --> 00:24:40,200
Speaker 3: great against Devontae Adams. But Aaron Rodgers is thirty third

512
00:24:40,520 --> 00:24:44,239
Speaker 3: of thirty six qualified quarterbacks and rating under pressure at

513
00:24:44,400 --> 00:24:47,040
Speaker 3: just thirty five point nine. The only three quarterbacks worse

514
00:24:47,080 --> 00:24:49,400
Speaker 3: than Aaron Rodgers under pressure this year to a tongue

515
00:24:49,440 --> 00:24:53,359
Speaker 3: of Iloa, Justin Fields and Gino Smith that's eight. Those

516
00:24:53,400 --> 00:24:56,480
Speaker 3: are the only quarterbacks worse than Rodgers. So this could

517
00:24:56,480 --> 00:25:00,400
Speaker 3: be an ugly one for green Bay. You know, obviously,

518
00:25:00,520 --> 00:25:04,360
Speaker 3: never like betting against Rogers at Lambeau. He's fifty seven

519
00:25:04,400 --> 00:25:07,240
Speaker 3: and twenty seven sixty eight percent when the spread is

520
00:25:07,280 --> 00:25:08,080
Speaker 3: thirteen or less.

521
00:25:08,160 --> 00:25:10,240
Speaker 1: But this is one of those spots where I think

522
00:25:10,680 --> 00:25:11,320
Speaker 1: there are a lot of.

523
00:25:11,320 --> 00:25:14,000
Speaker 3: Things working in Washington's favorite and just from the market perspective,

524
00:25:14,119 --> 00:25:15,560
Speaker 3: green Bay five and one against the spread.

525
00:25:15,640 --> 00:25:16,640
Speaker 1: Washington won in five.

526
00:25:17,400 --> 00:25:20,440
Speaker 3: Usually see in the middle of the season, you know,

527
00:25:20,600 --> 00:25:22,440
Speaker 3: from like week six seven on when those against the

528
00:25:22,440 --> 00:25:25,240
Speaker 3: spread records, you know you have some outliers there or

529
00:25:25,400 --> 00:25:28,720
Speaker 3: just goo bad against good against the spread. You see

530
00:25:28,760 --> 00:25:31,919
Speaker 3: the bad against the spread teams tend to cover above

531
00:25:31,960 --> 00:25:34,679
Speaker 3: a sixty percent quip, So I don't hate this one

532
00:25:34,720 --> 00:25:34,959
Speaker 3: at all.

533
00:25:35,080 --> 00:25:36,840
Speaker 1: Again, I make it seven, so I think the numbers

534
00:25:36,880 --> 00:25:37,200
Speaker 1: too high.

535
00:25:37,520 --> 00:25:39,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, if you look at these Packers games, like they're

536
00:25:39,240 --> 00:25:42,119
Speaker 2: five and one against the spread. But yeah, I mean

537
00:25:42,160 --> 00:25:44,000
Speaker 2: the obviously got blown out. I didn't take too much

538
00:25:44,000 --> 00:25:46,840
Speaker 2: from that in the opener, but there are a couple

539
00:25:47,000 --> 00:25:50,000
Speaker 2: plays away from not covering almost all of these games,

540
00:25:50,000 --> 00:25:51,639
Speaker 2: so it's not like they've just been blowing teams out

541
00:25:51,680 --> 00:25:53,639
Speaker 2: of the water. What they've won that Lions teams the

542
00:25:53,720 --> 00:25:55,560
Speaker 2: only one they won by more than two touchdowns.

543
00:25:56,040 --> 00:25:57,879
Speaker 1: One of the main reasons why I bet against them

544
00:25:57,960 --> 00:25:59,040
Speaker 1: last week. It didn't work out.

545
00:25:59,240 --> 00:26:02,240
Speaker 3: Obviously, some went their way in against Chicago, but they

546
00:26:02,320 --> 00:26:05,080
Speaker 3: came into last week four and one with a negative

547
00:26:05,119 --> 00:26:08,639
Speaker 3: point differential, so you know they they held on.

548
00:26:08,880 --> 00:26:12,200
Speaker 1: But this is not like an amazing Packers team. It's

549
00:26:12,320 --> 00:26:13,119
Speaker 1: very fragile too.

550
00:26:13,200 --> 00:26:15,440
Speaker 3: I mean DeVante Adams gets banged up and leaves the

551
00:26:15,440 --> 00:26:16,240
Speaker 3: game at any point.

552
00:26:17,040 --> 00:26:20,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, it'll be brutal, right, I mean, yeah, last week

553
00:26:20,600 --> 00:26:22,920
Speaker 2: Green Bay twenty two, first down, Chicago twenty one, the

554
00:26:23,040 --> 00:26:25,239
Speaker 2: yardage three twenty to two to eighty and they each

555
00:26:25,320 --> 00:26:28,280
Speaker 2: round fifty seven plays. That's the game that was. I

556
00:26:28,280 --> 00:26:32,840
Speaker 2: would bet a million times over again if given the chance.

557
00:26:33,600 --> 00:26:36,679
Speaker 3: All Right, for my second pick and the fourth overall

558
00:26:36,720 --> 00:26:39,360
Speaker 3: pick of the week seven Sunday six pack, I'm going

559
00:26:39,400 --> 00:26:41,880
Speaker 3: with the San Francisco forty nine ers a minus four

560
00:26:42,280 --> 00:26:46,879
Speaker 3: at bet MGM hosting the Indianapolis Coats. Just like the

561
00:26:46,960 --> 00:26:50,080
Speaker 3: spot here for San Francisco, this is a better matchup

562
00:26:50,760 --> 00:26:53,800
Speaker 3: on paper now than it was maybe a couple looked

563
00:26:53,800 --> 00:26:55,040
Speaker 3: like it was gonna be a couple weeks ago. San

564
00:26:55,040 --> 00:26:59,040
Speaker 3: Francisco is tenth and overall DVOA Indianapolis is fifteenth. But

565
00:26:59,320 --> 00:27:01,400
Speaker 3: I think this is a spot where San Francisco can

566
00:27:01,600 --> 00:27:04,160
Speaker 3: make a statement. First of all, they're coming off to buy.

567
00:27:04,359 --> 00:27:07,480
Speaker 3: Usually we don't like Kyle Shanahan in these spots as

568
00:27:07,480 --> 00:27:10,040
Speaker 3: a favorite, but when he's not off the buy as

569
00:27:10,080 --> 00:27:12,600
Speaker 3: a favorite seven eighteen and one, covering just twenty eight

570
00:27:12,640 --> 00:27:14,399
Speaker 3: percent of the time, but off the buy, he's two

571
00:27:14,440 --> 00:27:16,639
Speaker 3: and one. He's got a winning record against spread. So

572
00:27:16,920 --> 00:27:18,800
Speaker 3: it's one of those situations where.

573
00:27:19,080 --> 00:27:20,320
Speaker 1: They needed time to get healthy.

574
00:27:20,880 --> 00:27:23,119
Speaker 3: They had a lot they were cycling cornerbacks in and out,

575
00:27:23,119 --> 00:27:24,760
Speaker 3: and they got good safeties that can kind of keep

576
00:27:24,800 --> 00:27:27,480
Speaker 3: those cornerbacks in the know about you know, the calls

577
00:27:27,520 --> 00:27:29,800
Speaker 3: and stuff like that, but they really needed this buy,

578
00:27:29,880 --> 00:27:30,679
Speaker 3: I think on.

579
00:27:30,800 --> 00:27:34,320
Speaker 1: The back end. Remember their whole backfield was banged up.

580
00:27:34,400 --> 00:27:36,359
Speaker 1: So now Elijah Mitchell looks like he's going to be

581
00:27:36,359 --> 00:27:36,720
Speaker 1: their guy.

582
00:27:36,760 --> 00:27:38,480
Speaker 3: They don't Now with the buy, they don't have to

583
00:27:38,600 --> 00:27:41,440
Speaker 3: use Kyle ust Check is like their second tailback as much,

584
00:27:41,480 --> 00:27:42,360
Speaker 3: I don't think anymore.

585
00:27:42,680 --> 00:27:44,760
Speaker 1: This is just like Jimmy Garoppo's back, which.

586
00:27:44,560 --> 00:27:48,119
Speaker 3: I think is important because although Trey Lances has more

587
00:27:48,200 --> 00:27:50,680
Speaker 3: long term upside, I think Jimmy g gives them a

588
00:27:50,720 --> 00:27:52,840
Speaker 3: better chance to win right now, just with the way

589
00:27:52,880 --> 00:27:57,280
Speaker 3: they're going so and especially against this Coast defense, because

590
00:27:57,280 --> 00:27:59,680
Speaker 3: the one thing about this Coast defense is, you know,

591
00:28:00,080 --> 00:28:02,280
Speaker 3: they're not getting pressure this year. They let some pass

592
00:28:02,359 --> 00:28:05,439
Speaker 3: rushers walking free agency and whatnot, and they're dead lasting

593
00:28:05,480 --> 00:28:08,480
Speaker 3: pressure rate. Jimmy Garoppolo since the start of last year

594
00:28:09,000 --> 00:28:11,439
Speaker 3: eight point one yards per attempt from a clean pocket.

595
00:28:11,920 --> 00:28:14,480
Speaker 3: He's over eight this year and last year in yards

596
00:28:14,520 --> 00:28:16,960
Speaker 3: per attempt. And then just the spot you know when

597
00:28:17,000 --> 00:28:22,000
Speaker 3: you see a non West Coast team go west for primetime.

598
00:28:22,480 --> 00:28:26,000
Speaker 3: The West Coast team is fifty to twenty nine and

599
00:28:26,160 --> 00:28:28,960
Speaker 3: six sixty four percent against the spread since two thousand

600
00:28:29,000 --> 00:28:31,080
Speaker 3: and three. And also, this is a four and two

601
00:28:31,680 --> 00:28:34,240
Speaker 3: coach team against the spread against a one to four

602
00:28:34,720 --> 00:28:35,400
Speaker 3: Niners team.

603
00:28:35,920 --> 00:28:37,400
Speaker 1: And when you look at.

604
00:28:38,040 --> 00:28:40,440
Speaker 3: These teams, these kind of teams covering less than thirty

605
00:28:40,440 --> 00:28:42,360
Speaker 3: percent of the time, as the Niners are against a

606
00:28:42,400 --> 00:28:45,360
Speaker 3: team that's five hundred or better against the spread in

607
00:28:45,480 --> 00:28:48,600
Speaker 3: Week six on one oh eight forty five and six

608
00:28:48,760 --> 00:28:52,640
Speaker 3: seventy one percent against the spread. When you have this

609
00:28:52,800 --> 00:28:55,320
Speaker 3: kind of a matchup with a terrible against the spread team,

610
00:28:55,400 --> 00:28:57,680
Speaker 3: these things tend to correct. I just think this is

611
00:28:57,720 --> 00:29:00,280
Speaker 3: a get right spot for San Francisco, who actually played

612
00:29:00,280 --> 00:29:02,959
Speaker 3: Arizona quite well, but they outgained them.

613
00:29:03,000 --> 00:29:04,440
Speaker 1: Or yeah, they outplayed.

614
00:29:04,040 --> 00:29:06,440
Speaker 3: Arizona, which is a good sign because I think I

615
00:29:06,520 --> 00:29:08,880
Speaker 3: think we could both agree we probably both underrated Arizona

616
00:29:08,880 --> 00:29:11,880
Speaker 3: a little bit, Like, you know, we bet against them

617
00:29:11,880 --> 00:29:13,480
Speaker 3: a couple of times. I know you had them in

618
00:29:13,520 --> 00:29:17,320
Speaker 3: Week one, but they're they're just amazing right now. They're

619
00:29:17,360 --> 00:29:19,760
Speaker 3: making plays even when things get off schedule. And the

620
00:29:19,800 --> 00:29:21,280
Speaker 3: fact that San Francisco is able to hold them to

621
00:29:21,320 --> 00:29:24,160
Speaker 3: seventeen stay in that game I thought was impressive. So

622
00:29:24,680 --> 00:29:26,600
Speaker 3: the Colts coming off a game in prime time where

623
00:29:26,640 --> 00:29:28,000
Speaker 3: they could have beat the Ravens. They had a big

624
00:29:28,080 --> 00:29:30,040
Speaker 3: lead and then they thrashed the Texans.

625
00:29:30,320 --> 00:29:31,640
Speaker 1: I think the market is just.

626
00:29:32,160 --> 00:29:34,640
Speaker 3: Overrating the Coats and looking at this more as like, okay,

627
00:29:34,680 --> 00:29:37,479
Speaker 3: they're even we match teams and we're just gonna kind

628
00:29:37,520 --> 00:29:39,240
Speaker 3: of this should be a spread of like three, whereas

629
00:29:39,280 --> 00:29:42,360
Speaker 3: I make it five and again San Francisco top ten

630
00:29:42,400 --> 00:29:45,520
Speaker 3: team and DVLA Coats middle of the pack. So give

631
00:29:45,560 --> 00:29:48,640
Speaker 3: me the Niners minus four at home coming off to

632
00:29:48,680 --> 00:29:49,760
Speaker 3: buy against the Colts.

633
00:29:50,680 --> 00:29:52,360
Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't mind that at all. I mean the Niners.

634
00:29:52,800 --> 00:29:55,480
Speaker 2: Look by the way the Colts, they go to Tennessee

635
00:29:56,160 --> 00:29:58,000
Speaker 2: on the road. Week later, they go down to Miami,

636
00:29:58,360 --> 00:30:01,160
Speaker 2: week later, they go to ball them or three straight

637
00:30:01,240 --> 00:30:03,040
Speaker 2: road games and they come home on a short week

638
00:30:03,080 --> 00:30:05,600
Speaker 2: play Houston. Now they have to go out to San

639
00:30:05,640 --> 00:30:08,920
Speaker 2: Franz fourth road game in five five weeks, playing a

640
00:30:08,960 --> 00:30:11,000
Speaker 2: team that's coming off a bye. So it sets up

641
00:30:11,000 --> 00:30:12,840
Speaker 2: as a good situation for a forty nine Ers team

642
00:30:13,200 --> 00:30:16,080
Speaker 2: that Yeah, they should have beat the Cardinals. They don't

643
00:30:16,080 --> 00:30:19,080
Speaker 2: go one and five on fourth down, Kyle Shandon has

644
00:30:19,120 --> 00:30:22,600
Speaker 2: a couple better play calls. They win that game. So

645
00:30:22,920 --> 00:30:24,360
Speaker 2: and I think that they're a little healthier. Be Getting

646
00:30:24,400 --> 00:30:26,920
Speaker 2: someone like Kewan Williams back in the slot is huge

647
00:30:26,960 --> 00:30:30,120
Speaker 2: for that defense. He just locks up the stop, but

648
00:30:30,160 --> 00:30:32,719
Speaker 2: he's also great against the run. He can he can blitz,

649
00:30:32,800 --> 00:30:34,920
Speaker 2: and he just makes a lot of plays. So this

650
00:30:35,040 --> 00:30:37,880
Speaker 2: team will look a lot healthier all of their weapons.

651
00:30:38,440 --> 00:30:41,160
Speaker 2: It looks like we'll be back and healthier besides Kittle,

652
00:30:41,560 --> 00:30:44,360
Speaker 2: So I think that they can move the ball here.

653
00:30:44,760 --> 00:30:46,640
Speaker 2: I agree. I think this is a buye a good

654
00:30:46,680 --> 00:30:49,040
Speaker 2: Bilo spot on the forty nine ers. O.

655
00:30:49,160 --> 00:30:51,800
Speaker 3: Can we just talk about Iris Campbell's done again like

656
00:30:52,600 --> 00:30:54,360
Speaker 3: we got we got what like four games out of

657
00:30:54,440 --> 00:30:57,160
Speaker 3: him this year, and Indianapolis might be in a worse

658
00:30:57,160 --> 00:30:59,479
Speaker 3: spotty wide receiver than they were when Hilton came back,

659
00:30:59,520 --> 00:31:02,520
Speaker 3: because you aust Campbell and now Hilton's questionable, then they're

660
00:31:02,560 --> 00:31:04,400
Speaker 3: not guaranteeing that he's gonna play, So you might have

661
00:31:04,440 --> 00:31:08,080
Speaker 3: gone from like Hilton, Pittman, Campbell, Pascal to now back

662
00:31:08,120 --> 00:31:10,360
Speaker 3: to Pittman and Pascal against I mean, they just have

663
00:31:10,440 --> 00:31:13,080
Speaker 3: the worst. What they may get Quenton Nelson back maybe

664
00:31:13,400 --> 00:31:14,880
Speaker 3: looks like he might be out another week, but he

665
00:31:15,080 --> 00:31:17,240
Speaker 3: is eligible to come back, so that's something to monitor.

666
00:31:17,320 --> 00:31:18,360
Speaker 1: But I don't think that's.

667
00:31:18,360 --> 00:31:21,200
Speaker 3: Enough to override like all of what's going on here

668
00:31:21,320 --> 00:31:21,960
Speaker 3: with the situation.

669
00:31:22,600 --> 00:31:25,600
Speaker 2: It is worth the Cults number one DBA defense against

670
00:31:25,640 --> 00:31:27,600
Speaker 2: the run, so they'll be good against the run, which

671
00:31:27,640 --> 00:31:30,160
Speaker 2: couldn't matter here. But I think that Shanna headle off

672
00:31:30,200 --> 00:31:33,080
Speaker 2: good enough game plan they'll be able to attack this Cult.

673
00:31:33,200 --> 00:31:36,680
Speaker 2: Secondary short passes get a lot of yak here. I

674
00:31:36,720 --> 00:31:39,200
Speaker 2: think that's where they're going to really excel, all right.

675
00:31:39,240 --> 00:31:42,320
Speaker 2: For my third pick in the fifth overall of the

676
00:31:42,640 --> 00:31:46,360
Speaker 2: week seven Sunday six pack, I'm going with the Kansas

677
00:31:46,400 --> 00:31:49,880
Speaker 2: City Chiefs minus five and a half at the Tennessee

678
00:31:49,960 --> 00:31:52,840
Speaker 2: Titans at Ben MGM, the official outs provider of the

679
00:31:52,880 --> 00:31:55,120
Speaker 2: Actually of a Podcast. This is a pick that's just

680
00:31:55,240 --> 00:31:56,720
Speaker 2: not like me at all. You want to talk about

681
00:31:56,800 --> 00:31:59,880
Speaker 2: laying points of the Chiefs on the road. This is

682
00:32:00,120 --> 00:32:02,400
Speaker 2: is an awful spot for the Titans, obviously there in

683
00:32:02,440 --> 00:32:06,000
Speaker 2: the short week. They are coming off that huge win,

684
00:32:06,280 --> 00:32:09,880
Speaker 2: just that exhausting win against Buffalo on Monday night. When

685
00:32:09,920 --> 00:32:12,080
Speaker 2: you look at this Tennessee team, they paid the price

686
00:32:12,160 --> 00:32:15,280
Speaker 2: for that win. They lost Taylor on lewan It looks

687
00:32:15,360 --> 00:32:17,760
Speaker 2: I mean, Julio Jones, I doubt whole play, has a

688
00:32:17,840 --> 00:32:20,560
Speaker 2: hamstring injury. You gotta make sure that he's It looks

689
00:32:20,560 --> 00:32:21,960
Speaker 2: like they're gon win the division, you gotta make sure

690
00:32:21,960 --> 00:32:25,000
Speaker 2: he's healthy. I doubt he goes a j. Brown is

691
00:32:25,000 --> 00:32:27,520
Speaker 2: still on the toilet. I'm sure he'll play, but he's

692
00:32:27,600 --> 00:32:32,200
Speaker 2: dealing with an illness. And more importantly, your secondary is

693
00:32:32,960 --> 00:32:37,200
Speaker 2: just crushed. I mean there is nobody left on this secondary.

694
00:32:37,440 --> 00:32:40,080
Speaker 2: I mean you're gonna have guys like Breon Borders and

695
00:32:40,440 --> 00:32:42,880
Speaker 2: Chris Jackson, who's also banged up with an ankle, didn't

696
00:32:42,880 --> 00:32:43,680
Speaker 2: even practice today.

697
00:32:46,480 --> 00:32:47,200
Speaker 1: Times.

698
00:32:47,680 --> 00:32:49,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, you Fulton, who's been their best c couver corner,

699
00:32:49,680 --> 00:32:52,000
Speaker 2: he's on ir You had your first round draft pick

700
00:32:52,040 --> 00:32:54,760
Speaker 2: Farley who's now out for the year. So I mean

701
00:32:54,800 --> 00:32:57,959
Speaker 2: you have no corners left and on. So, I mean,

702
00:32:58,000 --> 00:33:01,320
Speaker 2: I just can't see this Kannasity defense eating all day long.

703
00:33:01,360 --> 00:33:04,320
Speaker 2: It's Tennessee defense that doesn't really generate a ton of pressure.

704
00:33:04,640 --> 00:33:08,120
Speaker 2: It's a Kansas City offense that is turning the ball

705
00:33:08,160 --> 00:33:10,720
Speaker 2: over in an insane clip that's not gonna persist. Like

706
00:33:11,240 --> 00:33:13,880
Speaker 2: there's some turnover positive turnover progression covered for the Kansas

707
00:33:13,920 --> 00:33:16,600
Speaker 2: City offense. I'd be shocked if this Chiefs off doesn't

708
00:33:16,600 --> 00:33:19,120
Speaker 2: score every possession. So and then the other side of

709
00:33:19,160 --> 00:33:21,520
Speaker 2: the ball, I liked, finally liked what I saw from

710
00:33:21,520 --> 00:33:23,480
Speaker 2: the Chiefs defense last week, and that's what I was

711
00:33:23,520 --> 00:33:25,920
Speaker 2: waiting for. They made some personnel changes and they'll make

712
00:33:25,960 --> 00:33:29,760
Speaker 2: a few more this week. They held the Washington offense

713
00:33:29,760 --> 00:33:31,880
Speaker 2: to seventy sixty yards in the second half last week.

714
00:33:31,920 --> 00:33:34,760
Speaker 2: What did they do and that's the seventh lowest total

715
00:33:34,840 --> 00:33:37,200
Speaker 2: for any team in the second half of a game

716
00:33:37,240 --> 00:33:41,200
Speaker 2: this season. What do they do well? They said, they

717
00:33:41,320 --> 00:33:44,360
Speaker 2: realized that Sorenson is bad, so they played one Thornhill

718
00:33:44,400 --> 00:33:47,600
Speaker 2: every snap Smart. I don't know why they were not

719
00:33:47,760 --> 00:33:51,239
Speaker 2: doing that before. More Willie Gay at linebacker that he's

720
00:33:51,280 --> 00:33:56,120
Speaker 2: back healthy for Nieman Smart and that paid dividends. And

721
00:33:56,160 --> 00:33:58,880
Speaker 2: then this week Chris Jones practiced should be back, that

722
00:33:59,000 --> 00:34:02,400
Speaker 2: he is back moving in the d tackle huge, That

723
00:34:02,680 --> 00:34:05,200
Speaker 2: d end experiment didn't work. Now he's back at the

724
00:34:05,320 --> 00:34:08,400
Speaker 2: tackle to various Ward. Should have him back at corner.

725
00:34:08,560 --> 00:34:12,520
Speaker 2: So now this defense gets some confidence last week. It's

726
00:34:12,520 --> 00:34:15,080
Speaker 2: still not a great unit, but they just need to

727
00:34:15,160 --> 00:34:17,439
Speaker 2: be like twentieth which I think that they're on track

728
00:34:17,520 --> 00:34:19,239
Speaker 2: to being with some of these shanks. Chris Jones back

729
00:34:19,320 --> 00:34:21,640
Speaker 2: ward back, you get thorn Hill in there for Sorenston,

730
00:34:21,840 --> 00:34:23,920
Speaker 2: you get Gay in there for majority of the stats

731
00:34:23,920 --> 00:34:26,319
Speaker 2: with the linebacker, and all of a sudden, you can

732
00:34:26,360 --> 00:34:29,479
Speaker 2: be you know, just you know, the twenty second ranked

733
00:34:29,560 --> 00:34:32,160
Speaker 2: defense and that's all of this team needs. So I

734
00:34:32,200 --> 00:34:35,399
Speaker 2: think it's a bad spot for the Titans and they're

735
00:34:35,400 --> 00:34:38,080
Speaker 2: I mean lawan, you have Kendall Lamb in there, I

736
00:34:38,160 --> 00:34:42,800
Speaker 2: mean offensive tackle. That's a big downgrade short week. I

737
00:34:42,840 --> 00:34:47,160
Speaker 2: think the Chiefs turner positive turnover regression against this Titans

738
00:34:47,440 --> 00:34:51,200
Speaker 2: just makeshift secondary. Give me the Chiefs minus five and

739
00:34:51,239 --> 00:34:52,280
Speaker 2: a half at the Titans.

740
00:34:53,000 --> 00:34:54,799
Speaker 3: What about with Derek Henry? Because I know people are

741
00:34:54,800 --> 00:34:56,040
Speaker 3: gonna ask, like they're gonna tweet like.

742
00:34:56,040 --> 00:34:58,280
Speaker 1: Oh what about Derek Henry. Isn't the Chiefs f defense

743
00:34:58,280 --> 00:34:58,680
Speaker 1: still bad?

744
00:34:59,000 --> 00:34:59,560
Speaker 2: You should eat?

745
00:34:59,680 --> 00:35:02,560
Speaker 3: Yeah, he could get like two hundred yards and three touchdown,

746
00:35:02,560 --> 00:35:03,920
Speaker 3: doesn't mean the Titans might.

747
00:35:04,040 --> 00:35:06,600
Speaker 2: He might score thirty. Yeah, he might rubber two thirty.

748
00:35:07,080 --> 00:35:09,200
Speaker 2: I actually kind of liked this over. I just wish

749
00:35:09,239 --> 00:35:11,040
Speaker 2: it was fifty six. I was tweeting this over might

750
00:35:11,120 --> 00:35:13,120
Speaker 2: never stop. It's hard to get an over fifty seven

751
00:35:13,200 --> 00:35:15,560
Speaker 2: fifty seven and a half. But I both these teams

752
00:35:15,600 --> 00:35:17,839
Speaker 2: get the twenty eight. Sure, I just think the Chiefs

753
00:35:17,960 --> 00:35:20,439
Speaker 2: are going to get the forty here, but yeah, Jarrick

754
00:35:20,480 --> 00:35:22,239
Speaker 2: Henry should eat. And then what the Chiefs have to

755
00:35:22,320 --> 00:35:26,520
Speaker 2: do is because it's better, it's not good. They're gonna

756
00:35:26,520 --> 00:35:28,000
Speaker 2: have to get a couple stops in the red zone.

757
00:35:28,040 --> 00:35:29,759
Speaker 2: It helps that Julio's not out there, It helps that

758
00:35:30,000 --> 00:35:33,359
Speaker 2: Taylor Lawan is not out there, and I think that'll

759
00:35:33,400 --> 00:35:35,719
Speaker 2: be the difference that they're just Chiefs are gonna score

760
00:35:35,800 --> 00:35:37,200
Speaker 2: more touchdowns than the Titans.

761
00:35:37,880 --> 00:35:40,000
Speaker 1: That was the key move was putting thorn Hill back.

762
00:35:40,160 --> 00:35:41,600
Speaker 3: He was really good for them a couple of years

763
00:35:41,600 --> 00:35:43,920
Speaker 3: ago and then I guess he wasn't healthy last year

764
00:35:43,960 --> 00:35:46,720
Speaker 3: he was not as good, but major upgrade over Soorns.

765
00:35:46,760 --> 00:35:49,120
Speaker 3: And it helps guys that, you know, I happen to

766
00:35:49,160 --> 00:35:52,000
Speaker 3: think are decent in the back end, like with jerryus Sneed,

767
00:35:52,080 --> 00:35:54,800
Speaker 3: for example, Like he's a much better cornerback than I

768
00:35:54,800 --> 00:35:57,800
Speaker 3: think what he put out the first five games, and

769
00:35:58,080 --> 00:36:00,600
Speaker 3: last week he had his best game of the year.

770
00:36:00,600 --> 00:36:02,239
Speaker 3: And I think that was part just because of the

771
00:36:02,800 --> 00:36:05,560
Speaker 3: overall secondary and what they can do with thorn Hill

772
00:36:05,600 --> 00:36:08,000
Speaker 3: in there. So yeah, I don't disagree with this, I think,

773
00:36:08,160 --> 00:36:10,520
Speaker 3: you know, this is a good get right spot for

774
00:36:10,640 --> 00:36:12,320
Speaker 3: the Chiefs after I mean, they kind of had to

775
00:36:12,320 --> 00:36:14,360
Speaker 3: get right spot against Washington, so maybe it's more of

776
00:36:14,360 --> 00:36:16,040
Speaker 3: a letdown spot for Tennessee, I guess I should say.

777
00:36:16,080 --> 00:36:17,719
Speaker 3: But the Chiefs, like you said, they still have been

778
00:36:17,800 --> 00:36:21,400
Speaker 3: uncharacteristically sloppy on offense, and they were downs to Washington

779
00:36:21,920 --> 00:36:24,839
Speaker 3: for a good part of that game even last week

780
00:36:24,880 --> 00:36:27,399
Speaker 3: before pulling away late. So I think you might see

781
00:36:27,400 --> 00:36:29,719
Speaker 3: a more complete effort from the Chiefs this week.

782
00:36:30,239 --> 00:36:30,560
Speaker 2: All right.

783
00:36:30,800 --> 00:36:36,160
Speaker 3: For my third pick and the sixth and final pick

784
00:36:36,239 --> 00:36:39,080
Speaker 3: of the week seven Sunday six Pack, I am going

785
00:36:39,239 --> 00:36:43,560
Speaker 3: with the Atlanta Falcons minus two and a half at

786
00:36:43,640 --> 00:36:46,880
Speaker 3: the Miami Dolphins. This is another spot that I just

787
00:36:47,080 --> 00:36:50,759
Speaker 3: I love the situation for Atlanta and I hate it

788
00:36:50,800 --> 00:36:53,839
Speaker 3: for Miami. And the thing about Miami here is both

789
00:36:53,880 --> 00:36:55,080
Speaker 3: of these teams went to London over the.

790
00:36:55,080 --> 00:36:55,719
Speaker 1: Past two weeks.

791
00:36:55,840 --> 00:36:59,160
Speaker 3: The Falcon's gonna buy the Dolphins come back and have

792
00:36:59,280 --> 00:37:03,640
Speaker 3: to play. But you look at the Dolphins and it's like, Okay,

793
00:37:03,680 --> 00:37:06,279
Speaker 3: they were pretty banged up in that wending game they

794
00:37:06,320 --> 00:37:10,560
Speaker 3: lost to the Jaguars. But I'm treating this like Urban

795
00:37:10,640 --> 00:37:15,320
Speaker 3: Meyers COVID and anyone that the Jaguars beat doesn't isn't vaxxed.

796
00:37:15,480 --> 00:37:18,239
Speaker 3: Then I'm just vetting against these teams. So, okay, they

797
00:37:18,320 --> 00:37:20,759
Speaker 3: might get Howard and and Byron Jones back at corner.

798
00:37:20,800 --> 00:37:23,600
Speaker 3: People are gonna say, Okay, that's big, But those guys

799
00:37:23,640 --> 00:37:27,600
Speaker 3: are given up five hundred and seventy five yards, six touchdowns,

800
00:37:27,680 --> 00:37:30,920
Speaker 3: one pick on sixty one targets this year, so they're

801
00:37:30,960 --> 00:37:34,040
Speaker 3: given up nearly ten yards of target, not really forcing,

802
00:37:34,680 --> 00:37:38,920
Speaker 3: not preventing touchdowns at all. Jones ranked sixty fifth, Howard

803
00:37:39,000 --> 00:37:42,600
Speaker 3: dranks seventy second at one hundred and eighteen qualified corners.

804
00:37:42,760 --> 00:37:44,080
Speaker 1: And then the Falcons.

805
00:37:44,160 --> 00:37:47,560
Speaker 3: They're coming off of bye, and this is historically been

806
00:37:48,239 --> 00:37:50,400
Speaker 3: a good spot to back teams. You know, when you

807
00:37:50,520 --> 00:37:53,239
Speaker 3: have a road favorite coming off of bye since two

808
00:37:53,280 --> 00:37:56,760
Speaker 3: thousand and three, sixty four thirty three and two sixty

809
00:37:56,920 --> 00:38:00,000
Speaker 3: six percent against the spread according to our Action Labs day,

810
00:38:00,800 --> 00:38:03,680
Speaker 3: Matt Ryan, he's actually been playing a lot better after

811
00:38:03,760 --> 00:38:07,720
Speaker 3: that disaster on Opening Day. But the Falcons are actually

812
00:38:08,280 --> 00:38:11,480
Speaker 3: top six in EPA per play over the last four games,

813
00:38:11,960 --> 00:38:15,080
Speaker 3: and Matt Ryan, the first couple of weeks, they weren't

814
00:38:15,080 --> 00:38:18,360
Speaker 3: really throwing down field. The first three weeks, Matt Ryan's

815
00:38:18,400 --> 00:38:20,960
Speaker 3: a dot was just four point two Just four point

816
00:38:21,000 --> 00:38:23,719
Speaker 3: two yards is average pass travel in the first three games.

817
00:38:24,000 --> 00:38:26,200
Speaker 1: The last two games eight point nine.

818
00:38:26,719 --> 00:38:29,440
Speaker 3: Now he gets Calvin Ridley back, he gets Russell Gage back,

819
00:38:29,480 --> 00:38:33,200
Speaker 3: which is a major difference because you're talking about Alamide.

820
00:38:33,400 --> 00:38:36,640
Speaker 3: Zakias was their number one receiver, Taj Sharp was their

821
00:38:36,719 --> 00:38:39,120
Speaker 3: number two for a good portion of the season.

822
00:38:40,000 --> 00:38:44,160
Speaker 1: Now they can have you know, Ridley, Gauge, Pitt Patterson,

823
00:38:44,360 --> 00:38:46,080
Speaker 1: Davis Hurst.

824
00:38:46,040 --> 00:38:47,960
Speaker 3: You know, five of those six guys all on the

825
00:38:48,000 --> 00:38:50,560
Speaker 3: field at the same time against his Dolphins defense that

826
00:38:50,719 --> 00:38:53,000
Speaker 3: I really don't think is that good. Even when Howard

827
00:38:53,120 --> 00:38:55,600
Speaker 3: and Jones are in there. You have Ryan coming off

828
00:38:55,640 --> 00:38:59,520
Speaker 3: a buye. He's learning the offense. The Falcons are number

829
00:38:59,600 --> 00:39:01,799
Speaker 3: eight in red zone offense and number five and third

830
00:39:01,840 --> 00:39:04,879
Speaker 3: down conversion rate. Now you do see those numbers. There's

831
00:39:04,880 --> 00:39:06,680
Speaker 3: a lot of noise in those numbers, but the red

832
00:39:06,760 --> 00:39:08,960
Speaker 3: zone in particular is worth noting because the Falcons have

833
00:39:08,960 --> 00:39:11,360
Speaker 3: always struggled in the red zone. They don't have Julio,

834
00:39:12,000 --> 00:39:14,600
Speaker 3: they haven't had a full compliment of weapons most of

835
00:39:14,680 --> 00:39:18,399
Speaker 3: the year, and their eighth Now, why is that? Arthur

836
00:39:18,480 --> 00:39:21,960
Speaker 3: Smith you know, he's been top ten with the Titans

837
00:39:22,040 --> 00:39:24,000
Speaker 3: in each of these past two years. With Ryan Tannehill

838
00:39:24,040 --> 00:39:27,080
Speaker 3: turn his career around, Ryan's learning the offense, and I

839
00:39:27,120 --> 00:39:29,239
Speaker 3: think they really needed this early buy for Ryan to

840
00:39:29,280 --> 00:39:31,000
Speaker 3: really pick up the offense because he's he's not an

841
00:39:31,040 --> 00:39:33,719
Speaker 3: off schedule guy. He's you know, he's a guy that

842
00:39:33,840 --> 00:39:35,640
Speaker 3: needs to understand what he's doing out there. He's not

843
00:39:35,680 --> 00:39:37,880
Speaker 3: going to make many off script plays. He's kind of

844
00:39:37,960 --> 00:39:41,120
Speaker 3: robotic in that sense. But coming off of buying his

845
00:39:41,239 --> 00:39:44,440
Speaker 3: career on the road, he's five and two against the spread,

846
00:39:44,560 --> 00:39:47,480
Speaker 3: covering by an average of twelve point nine points per game.

847
00:39:47,800 --> 00:39:49,840
Speaker 3: I think that speaks to just how Ryan kind of

848
00:39:50,760 --> 00:39:52,600
Speaker 3: he tends to get better as the year progresses in

849
00:39:52,719 --> 00:39:53,720
Speaker 3: terms of learning these offense.

850
00:39:53,719 --> 00:39:56,000
Speaker 1: Remember he's had a bunch of different coordinators over the last.

851
00:39:55,880 --> 00:39:59,759
Speaker 3: Few and then I just, you know, I didn't think

852
00:39:59,800 --> 00:40:01,879
Speaker 3: this game was more much more than a coin flip

853
00:40:01,920 --> 00:40:04,400
Speaker 3: at first, but the more I dove into some metrics,

854
00:40:04,440 --> 00:40:06,560
Speaker 3: and Atlanta's gonna get knocked for that Philly game in

855
00:40:06,600 --> 00:40:08,680
Speaker 3: Week one, but I'm I'm mostly throwing that out.

856
00:40:08,719 --> 00:40:09,479
Speaker 1: They just weren't ready.

857
00:40:10,000 --> 00:40:13,759
Speaker 3: But overall on the season, even including that game, Atlanta's

858
00:40:13,760 --> 00:40:17,279
Speaker 3: been out gained by an average of seven yards per game,

859
00:40:17,760 --> 00:40:20,640
Speaker 3: which you know, a yard is worth about point oh

860
00:40:20,719 --> 00:40:24,000
Speaker 3: sixty six, you know, points or so. Miami has been

861
00:40:24,080 --> 00:40:27,440
Speaker 3: out gained by one hundred and twenty seven point eight

862
00:40:27,560 --> 00:40:30,840
Speaker 3: yards per game. They've been out gained four hundred and

863
00:40:30,920 --> 00:40:34,719
Speaker 3: eighteen to two ninety on average, including the game was

864
00:40:34,800 --> 00:40:36,960
Speaker 3: you know, they outgained the Jaguars in London.

865
00:40:37,239 --> 00:40:38,160
Speaker 1: Should have won that game.

866
00:40:38,239 --> 00:40:40,239
Speaker 3: But Miami's been out gained by one hundred and twenty

867
00:40:40,280 --> 00:40:42,360
Speaker 3: seven point eight. If you take that one hundred and

868
00:40:42,360 --> 00:40:44,759
Speaker 3: twenty yard difference alone, that would be about an eight

869
00:40:44,800 --> 00:40:45,360
Speaker 3: point spread.

870
00:40:45,400 --> 00:40:45,520
Speaker 4: Now.

871
00:40:45,520 --> 00:40:47,759
Speaker 3: I know, Atlanta, you can adjust or to schedule whatever

872
00:40:47,760 --> 00:40:50,400
Speaker 3: you want to do, move it down, but there's no

873
00:40:50,520 --> 00:40:52,520
Speaker 3: way I think this game should be inside of field

874
00:40:52,560 --> 00:40:56,320
Speaker 3: goal with that yardage discrepancy on average. And then with

875
00:40:56,440 --> 00:40:59,400
Speaker 3: Atlanta getting better, with Miami trending down, and Landa has

876
00:40:59,400 --> 00:41:01,480
Speaker 3: been getting better all their metrics, Miami has been doing

877
00:41:01,520 --> 00:41:04,399
Speaker 3: the opposite. I'm hearing word that nobody wants to play

878
00:41:04,440 --> 00:41:07,520
Speaker 3: for this team anymore. You know, Xavi and Howard might

879
00:41:07,560 --> 00:41:10,360
Speaker 3: get traded. Uh, this is just not a good spot.

880
00:41:10,840 --> 00:41:13,200
Speaker 3: So I love the Falcons. I just this is you know,

881
00:41:13,239 --> 00:41:14,840
Speaker 3: it's a game that I don't think. I think the

882
00:41:14,920 --> 00:41:17,200
Speaker 3: Sharks are gonna be kind of on the opposite side

883
00:41:17,200 --> 00:41:19,400
Speaker 3: of me. You're probably you probably disagree as well, stuck.

884
00:41:19,920 --> 00:41:21,400
Speaker 3: But I just think these two teams are heading in

885
00:41:21,600 --> 00:41:25,760
Speaker 3: opposite directions, and I think my Atlanta has the better quarterback,

886
00:41:25,800 --> 00:41:29,640
Speaker 3: the better offense. They both have pretty bad defenses, and

887
00:41:30,200 --> 00:41:32,160
Speaker 3: I just I wouldn't be surprised if Atlanta rose here.

888
00:41:33,719 --> 00:41:35,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, I just agree it. I make this a coin

889
00:41:35,280 --> 00:41:38,640
Speaker 2: for I can't justify that the Falcons are I hate

890
00:41:38,680 --> 00:41:41,040
Speaker 2: the Dolphins. I think they were. I hated them coming

891
00:41:41,040 --> 00:41:43,880
Speaker 2: into the year. I have the season are my favorite wins.

892
00:41:43,920 --> 00:41:47,239
Speaker 2: I bet against them all the time, and I had

893
00:41:47,280 --> 00:41:49,520
Speaker 2: the Jags last week. But this I don't really. I

894
00:41:49,560 --> 00:41:51,560
Speaker 2: think that's just this narrative of coming from one day

895
00:41:51,600 --> 00:41:54,759
Speaker 2: without a buy is overblown. I make this a coin flip.

896
00:41:54,920 --> 00:41:59,640
Speaker 2: So I just tease the Dolphins. The Falcons of them

897
00:41:59,719 --> 00:42:03,080
Speaker 2: is the Falcons have two wins over the the Jets

898
00:42:04,200 --> 00:42:08,279
Speaker 2: in London and the Giants when their entire team got

899
00:42:08,360 --> 00:42:10,279
Speaker 2: hurt at the end of the game. So I mean, like,

900
00:42:11,320 --> 00:42:14,560
Speaker 2: I just this Falcons team. Yeah, they got a little better,

901
00:42:14,640 --> 00:42:17,200
Speaker 2: but that's because they were just so bad and a

902
00:42:17,239 --> 00:42:19,440
Speaker 2: lot of their stats are skewed by that that Jets

903
00:42:19,520 --> 00:42:22,239
Speaker 2: game where they put up like five hundred yards with

904
00:42:22,280 --> 00:42:24,120
Speaker 2: all the backups, So with what the hell is going

905
00:42:24,160 --> 00:42:27,400
Speaker 2: on there? So I think the Dolphins will be a

906
00:42:27,400 --> 00:42:30,440
Speaker 2: little healthier. It's to a second game. I hate the Dolphins,

907
00:42:30,480 --> 00:42:34,160
Speaker 2: but I can't get to this number, so I will

908
00:42:34,360 --> 00:42:35,319
Speaker 2: wish you luck with my friend.

909
00:42:36,239 --> 00:42:38,680
Speaker 3: It's fair, I you know, I just think the Dolphins

910
00:42:38,719 --> 00:42:42,560
Speaker 3: are on that level. Giants, Jets bad. All right, let's

911
00:42:43,200 --> 00:42:48,120
Speaker 3: recap here. Stuckey is going with the Philadelphia Eagles plus

912
00:42:48,200 --> 00:42:52,560
Speaker 3: three at the Raiders, the Washington Football team plus nine

913
00:42:52,600 --> 00:42:56,280
Speaker 3: and a half at Green Bay, and the Chiefs minus

914
00:42:56,360 --> 00:43:00,080
Speaker 3: five and a half in Tennessee. I'm going with the

915
00:43:00,160 --> 00:43:04,879
Speaker 3: Panthers minus three at the Giants, the Niners minus four

916
00:43:05,000 --> 00:43:07,680
Speaker 3: hosting the Colts, and the Falcons minus two and a

917
00:43:07,719 --> 00:43:12,320
Speaker 3: half at the Miami Dolphins. That is going to do

918
00:43:12,400 --> 00:43:16,040
Speaker 3: it for our week seven Sunday six pack presented by

919
00:43:16,160 --> 00:43:20,359
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920
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921
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922
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923
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924
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925
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928
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931
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932
00:44:06,480 --> 00:44:10,800
Speaker 1: That's Action one zero. All right, cheers. All right, stuck,

933
00:44:10,880 --> 00:44:12,520
Speaker 1: let's get into our coaches pep talk.

934
00:44:12,600 --> 00:44:16,399
Speaker 3: This week, we have another al Pacino clip, this time

935
00:44:16,480 --> 00:44:21,640
Speaker 3: from the nineteen ninety two film Glenn Gary Glenn Ross

936
00:44:22,000 --> 00:44:24,880
Speaker 3: and I say we dedicate this one to Brian Flores,

937
00:44:25,000 --> 00:44:26,960
Speaker 3: cause again you use to Urban Meyer.

938
00:44:27,280 --> 00:44:29,880
Speaker 1: Yea, we got yeah, We're dedicating this one of you.

939
00:44:29,960 --> 00:44:30,200
Speaker 2: Brian.

940
00:44:31,080 --> 00:44:34,880
Speaker 1: What's you're hired for is to help us? Does that

941
00:44:35,040 --> 00:44:36,080
Speaker 1: seem clear to you?

942
00:44:36,760 --> 00:44:40,239
Speaker 2: To help us, not to fuck us up?

943
00:44:41,200 --> 00:44:44,319
Speaker 3: All right, stuck, Let's get into our favorite total four

944
00:44:44,360 --> 00:44:45,080
Speaker 3: week number seven.

945
00:44:45,320 --> 00:44:47,400
Speaker 1: You went first for the six packs, so I'll started

946
00:44:47,440 --> 00:44:48,560
Speaker 1: off with the total.

947
00:44:49,360 --> 00:44:52,719
Speaker 3: So for my favorite total of week number seven, I'm

948
00:44:52,760 --> 00:44:55,160
Speaker 3: going with the New York Jets at the New England

949
00:44:55,200 --> 00:44:57,479
Speaker 3: Patriots under forty two and a half.

950
00:44:58,200 --> 00:45:01,319
Speaker 1: I make this number forty one. So see a little

951
00:45:01,360 --> 00:45:02,640
Speaker 1: bit of value here.

952
00:45:02,880 --> 00:45:06,160
Speaker 3: And this is just two low scoring teams, two teams

953
00:45:06,200 --> 00:45:09,560
Speaker 3: that are not particularly fast. Their situation neutral paces both

954
00:45:10,200 --> 00:45:13,800
Speaker 3: below average. This is twenty five to six game. The

955
00:45:13,880 --> 00:45:16,680
Speaker 3: last time these teams played. The second of two divisional

956
00:45:16,760 --> 00:45:19,520
Speaker 3: matchups tend to be a little tighter. The Jets did

957
00:45:19,600 --> 00:45:22,040
Speaker 3: have some time to prepare against the Patriots. I still

958
00:45:22,080 --> 00:45:24,520
Speaker 3: don't think that helps their offense too much, going against

959
00:45:24,520 --> 00:45:27,759
Speaker 3: the Belichick defense with a rookie on the road, but

960
00:45:28,360 --> 00:45:29,840
Speaker 3: I do think it might help their defense.

961
00:45:29,920 --> 00:45:31,839
Speaker 1: Robert sala is a defensive guy.

962
00:45:32,280 --> 00:45:34,640
Speaker 3: You know the Patriots, You know they pulled out some

963
00:45:34,719 --> 00:45:37,600
Speaker 3: stops to try to outscore Dallas. I love that double

964
00:45:37,680 --> 00:45:40,960
Speaker 3: move by Kendrick Bourne waiting that game. But here, I

965
00:45:41,040 --> 00:45:42,719
Speaker 3: think the Patriots are going to play it a little

966
00:45:42,760 --> 00:45:44,200
Speaker 3: more close to the vest.

967
00:45:44,320 --> 00:45:49,040
Speaker 1: You know what. The Jets hopefully make mistakes and just

968
00:45:49,560 --> 00:45:50,640
Speaker 1: take care of business. At home.

969
00:45:50,680 --> 00:45:52,960
Speaker 3: I don't think they'll try to put up a massive number.

970
00:45:53,320 --> 00:45:54,640
Speaker 3: You know, it could be a little bit of a

971
00:45:54,680 --> 00:45:57,320
Speaker 3: wet down spot. Remember they played the Bucks close and

972
00:45:57,360 --> 00:46:00,520
Speaker 3: then they come home and Houston almost beats them. Used

973
00:46:00,520 --> 00:46:03,120
Speaker 3: to put up just a couple of crazy plays that

974
00:46:03,280 --> 00:46:05,720
Speaker 3: usually don't happen, like long completions and whatnot.

975
00:46:05,800 --> 00:46:08,719
Speaker 1: So didn't get that under the cash. But same type

976
00:46:08,760 --> 00:46:09,360
Speaker 1: of situation.

977
00:46:09,640 --> 00:46:14,200
Speaker 3: Just two I think below average offenses, two defenses that.

978
00:46:14,280 --> 00:46:15,360
Speaker 1: Are well coached.

979
00:46:15,800 --> 00:46:19,160
Speaker 3: I think this is a tight, close, ugly divisional matchups.

980
00:46:19,280 --> 00:46:20,439
Speaker 3: Give me under forty two and a half.

981
00:46:20,640 --> 00:46:24,680
Speaker 2: Jets Pats yep so a rookie quarterback going against Bill Belichick.

982
00:46:24,840 --> 00:46:29,040
Speaker 2: So probably doesn't end well for this Jets offense, which

983
00:46:29,160 --> 00:46:35,000
Speaker 2: is just dreadful, and the Patriots offense. I assume they

984
00:46:35,040 --> 00:46:37,680
Speaker 2: get back to the run here. They're not in the

985
00:46:37,719 --> 00:46:40,279
Speaker 2: business of blowing teams out. Bill Belchick's actually gotten really

986
00:46:40,360 --> 00:46:44,480
Speaker 2: conservative and somebody calls like fourth down calls, and he's

987
00:46:44,520 --> 00:46:47,000
Speaker 2: not the same old aggressive Bill, which I think also

988
00:46:47,080 --> 00:46:49,319
Speaker 2: helps us under. So I don't disagree with you there.

989
00:46:49,840 --> 00:46:52,080
Speaker 2: For my favorite total, I'm going with the game we

990
00:46:52,080 --> 00:46:54,400
Speaker 2: already talked about. That's the Carolina Panthers New York Giants

991
00:46:54,560 --> 00:46:57,520
Speaker 2: under forty three and a half at bet MGM. You know,

992
00:46:57,680 --> 00:47:00,680
Speaker 2: we talked about this game. The Giants offensive, especially about

993
00:47:00,680 --> 00:47:03,120
Speaker 2: Andrew Thomas, has been great. He's been one of the best,

994
00:47:03,239 --> 00:47:05,920
Speaker 2: the brightest spots of this Shints team and his development

995
00:47:05,960 --> 00:47:08,400
Speaker 2: of left tackle. Without him, it's a big I mean,

996
00:47:08,600 --> 00:47:11,279
Speaker 2: just the continuity of this offensive line, there is none.

997
00:47:11,680 --> 00:47:15,239
Speaker 2: It's just this makeshift unit. You have Barkley's bang, goll

998
00:47:15,600 --> 00:47:18,600
Speaker 2: Tony came, I mean, you might have Slaton and Shephard,

999
00:47:18,719 --> 00:47:23,279
Speaker 2: but is just an offense that I don't see moving

1000
00:47:23,320 --> 00:47:27,000
Speaker 2: the ball all that much against Carolina's defense. Who should

1001
00:47:27,000 --> 00:47:30,520
Speaker 2: get pressure all day long against this Giants offensive line.

1002
00:47:30,680 --> 00:47:34,440
Speaker 2: The other side of the ball, it's uh, Sat Donald,

1003
00:47:34,960 --> 00:47:38,279
Speaker 2: no Christian McCaffrey. And you mentioned it too, Matt Rule.

1004
00:47:38,320 --> 00:47:40,359
Speaker 2: I think he's gonna rely more on the run here,

1005
00:47:40,960 --> 00:47:44,040
Speaker 2: trying to grind out this win on the road, get

1006
00:47:44,120 --> 00:47:46,880
Speaker 2: back on the winning side of things after they started

1007
00:47:46,920 --> 00:47:49,799
Speaker 2: three and on No. Three and three. So I think

1008
00:47:49,840 --> 00:47:51,600
Speaker 2: he's gonna want to grind this out. I think the

1009
00:47:51,640 --> 00:47:54,520
Speaker 2: Giants defense can hold its own here against Look, it's

1010
00:47:54,520 --> 00:47:57,080
Speaker 2: still Sam Donald, still a bad offensive line, and there's

1011
00:47:57,120 --> 00:48:00,439
Speaker 2: still no Christian McCaffrey given the under forty three half

1012
00:48:00,560 --> 00:48:01,120
Speaker 2: in New York.

1013
00:48:01,880 --> 00:48:05,040
Speaker 3: There's also no Robbie Anderson, which is bad because Robbie

1014
00:48:05,040 --> 00:48:07,360
Speaker 3: Anderson's playing, but there's no Robbie Anderson.

1015
00:48:07,440 --> 00:48:09,680
Speaker 1: So yeah, yeah, it's been a struggle.

1016
00:48:09,719 --> 00:48:12,080
Speaker 3: I wouldn't be surprised if this one goes under, and

1017
00:48:12,120 --> 00:48:13,759
Speaker 3: I like that you're getting the hook there at forty

1018
00:48:13,800 --> 00:48:16,200
Speaker 3: three and a half, I would I would take that

1019
00:48:16,320 --> 00:48:18,920
Speaker 3: one before it's two way because remember Carolina, I do

1020
00:48:19,160 --> 00:48:19,719
Speaker 3: like them in this game.

1021
00:48:19,760 --> 00:48:21,920
Speaker 1: I just think that it's a bigger mismatch than people think.

1022
00:48:21,960 --> 00:48:24,880
Speaker 3: But as far as scoring goes, you know, we kind

1023
00:48:24,920 --> 00:48:27,480
Speaker 3: of lost that under last week with Minnesota because things

1024
00:48:27,480 --> 00:48:30,040
Speaker 3: got out of hand. When Carolina blocks that punt, then

1025
00:48:30,040 --> 00:48:31,600
Speaker 3: they turn the ball over and they give them in

1026
00:48:31,680 --> 00:48:35,440
Speaker 3: a show some short fields. So you know, if a run,

1027
00:48:35,480 --> 00:48:39,520
Speaker 3: heavier game script no block punt, you're probably looking at

1028
00:48:39,560 --> 00:48:42,680
Speaker 3: a pretty well scoring game all around. All right, So

1029
00:48:42,840 --> 00:48:45,360
Speaker 3: to recap, I'm going Jets Pats under forty two and

1030
00:48:45,400 --> 00:48:48,320
Speaker 3: a half, stuck going Panthers Giants under forty three and

1031
00:48:48,320 --> 00:48:49,640
Speaker 3: a half. I feel like this is not the first

1032
00:48:49,680 --> 00:48:52,480
Speaker 3: time we've just faded the Giants and jets with totals

1033
00:48:52,520 --> 00:48:55,360
Speaker 3: and like it just seems like a profitable thing to

1034
00:48:55,440 --> 00:48:57,600
Speaker 3: do in twenty twenty one.

1035
00:48:58,160 --> 00:48:58,480
Speaker 2: I agree.

1036
00:48:58,520 --> 00:49:00,799
Speaker 1: All right, let's get into our favorite ta of the week.

1037
00:49:02,800 --> 00:49:14,480
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, six point teasers don't change. Don't tease me please.

1038
00:49:19,760 --> 00:49:20,080
Speaker 1: All right?

1039
00:49:20,120 --> 00:49:23,200
Speaker 3: So, for those not familiar, teasers are when you get

1040
00:49:23,600 --> 00:49:26,239
Speaker 3: a specific allotted number of points to add to the

1041
00:49:26,280 --> 00:49:28,840
Speaker 3: spread when you combine two or more vets. Usually the

1042
00:49:28,880 --> 00:49:31,560
Speaker 3: standard is a six point teaser. So for example, an

1043
00:49:31,600 --> 00:49:34,080
Speaker 3: eight point favorite becomes a two point favorite, an eight

1044
00:49:34,120 --> 00:49:36,200
Speaker 3: point underdog becomes a fourteen point dog.

1045
00:49:36,640 --> 00:49:38,120
Speaker 1: Stuck has some great content out.

1046
00:49:38,600 --> 00:49:42,400
Speaker 3: You could just google Stucky teasers about which key numbers

1047
00:49:42,440 --> 00:49:45,320
Speaker 3: to tease through and all that good stuff.

1048
00:49:45,360 --> 00:49:48,160
Speaker 1: We talk about it every week, Stuck, where are you going?

1049
00:49:48,400 --> 00:49:48,560
Speaker 2: Four?

1050
00:49:48,560 --> 00:49:49,040
Speaker 1: Week seven?

1051
00:49:49,920 --> 00:49:53,759
Speaker 2: Last week we hit five teasing the Chiefs down. There

1052
00:49:53,800 --> 00:49:56,760
Speaker 2: were seven point favorites. By the way I mentioned earlier,

1053
00:49:57,120 --> 00:49:59,719
Speaker 2: I like the Broncos. You tease them up over eight.

1054
00:50:00,520 --> 00:50:05,080
Speaker 2: I actually pair them with the Giants plus eight and

1055
00:50:05,160 --> 00:50:06,759
Speaker 2: a half. I just think that game is gonna be

1056
00:50:06,800 --> 00:50:08,800
Speaker 2: so ugly. And like I said before, the total slovel

1057
00:50:08,840 --> 00:50:11,719
Speaker 2: my favorite teaser on Sunday, similar to last week, let's

1058
00:50:11,719 --> 00:50:15,920
Speaker 2: seeze the Patriots down from seven to one. I just

1059
00:50:16,000 --> 00:50:18,759
Speaker 2: don't see anyway where the Jets are going into Foxborough

1060
00:50:19,800 --> 00:50:22,520
Speaker 2: and sending the Patriots sweat owing four at home. Yeah,

1061
00:50:22,560 --> 00:50:24,719
Speaker 2: they'd be owing four at home, But I gets a

1062
00:50:24,800 --> 00:50:27,319
Speaker 2: rookie quarterback off the loss. I don't care if they're

1063
00:50:27,360 --> 00:50:29,600
Speaker 2: off of a bye. MATC Jones, I like some of

1064
00:50:29,640 --> 00:50:31,360
Speaker 2: the things I've seen from him recently. I think that

1065
00:50:31,400 --> 00:50:34,960
Speaker 2: he is really starting to develop in this offense. So, uh,

1066
00:50:35,600 --> 00:50:38,239
Speaker 2: Patriots should be too much and at least pull off

1067
00:50:38,280 --> 00:50:40,920
Speaker 2: this win. And You're gonna disagree with me again here,

1068
00:50:40,920 --> 00:50:43,200
Speaker 2: but I'm gonna see the Dolphins up, yeah to total

1069
00:50:43,280 --> 00:50:45,279
Speaker 2: under forty eight. He's two and a half to eight

1070
00:50:45,280 --> 00:50:47,719
Speaker 2: and a half, and in again that I make a pick.

1071
00:50:48,000 --> 00:50:53,600
Speaker 2: So Dolphins and the Pats little AFC East teaser special.

1072
00:50:54,280 --> 00:50:56,160
Speaker 3: I mean, I don't hate teething the Dolphins. I mean,

1073
00:50:56,200 --> 00:50:58,520
Speaker 3: he's still getting eight and a half. I just I

1074
00:50:58,640 --> 00:51:00,800
Speaker 3: just think this Dolphins team is going in the wrong direction,

1075
00:51:00,960 --> 00:51:02,520
Speaker 3: and I think the Falcons team is going in the

1076
00:51:02,560 --> 00:51:04,759
Speaker 3: opposite and people just haven't realized it yet, Like the

1077
00:51:04,800 --> 00:51:06,759
Speaker 3: market hasn't cut up, but like eight and a half,

1078
00:51:07,440 --> 00:51:10,120
Speaker 3: I mean, you know, it's you know, given Falcons eight

1079
00:51:10,160 --> 00:51:12,040
Speaker 3: and a half, so I don't I don't mind it

1080
00:51:12,080 --> 00:51:16,080
Speaker 3: as much for mine, I'm going with New England as

1081
00:51:16,160 --> 00:51:18,600
Speaker 3: you are seven to one in this spot.

1082
00:51:18,800 --> 00:51:20,719
Speaker 1: Again. This Jets team, I think they'll be a little

1083
00:51:20,719 --> 00:51:21,920
Speaker 1: more frisky coming off to.

1084
00:51:21,960 --> 00:51:25,279
Speaker 3: Buy, but still a team that I think Belichick can

1085
00:51:25,360 --> 00:51:28,600
Speaker 3: out coach with a rookie quarterback coming into Foxborough. Really

1086
00:51:28,640 --> 00:51:31,800
Speaker 3: as simple as that. I don't love to seven, but

1087
00:51:32,200 --> 00:51:35,000
Speaker 3: love it at one. And then I'm curious to hear

1088
00:51:35,040 --> 00:51:37,240
Speaker 3: your thoughts on this, but I'm going to go ahead

1089
00:51:37,239 --> 00:51:39,440
Speaker 3: and go Baltimore six and a half to a half

1090
00:51:39,520 --> 00:51:42,960
Speaker 3: a point. I just think they're playing really well. Their

1091
00:51:43,040 --> 00:51:46,359
Speaker 3: defense is getting better. You know, they have multiple ways

1092
00:51:46,400 --> 00:51:49,320
Speaker 3: to beat you now with they got their rookie receiver

1093
00:51:49,480 --> 00:51:53,200
Speaker 3: Bateman back. Cincinnati's been better than expected this year, too,

1094
00:51:53,440 --> 00:51:56,160
Speaker 3: But I just think Baltimore at home, what is it

1095
00:51:56,200 --> 00:51:58,319
Speaker 3: their third straight home game now, third straight home game

1096
00:51:58,680 --> 00:51:59,360
Speaker 3: to Baltimore.

1097
00:52:00,280 --> 00:52:02,640
Speaker 1: I just think they're gonna be ready to go in

1098
00:52:02,719 --> 00:52:03,000
Speaker 1: this one.

1099
00:52:03,040 --> 00:52:05,360
Speaker 3: I think they got some much needed confidence, you know,

1100
00:52:05,480 --> 00:52:08,040
Speaker 3: in that Chargers win after every game is just like

1101
00:52:08,080 --> 00:52:10,879
Speaker 3: a nail bier for Baltimore. They didn't really have any

1102
00:52:10,880 --> 00:52:13,279
Speaker 3: of those, like Signature, just blow a quality team out.

1103
00:52:13,360 --> 00:52:15,640
Speaker 3: You know, they let the Raiders come back on them.

1104
00:52:15,800 --> 00:52:17,640
Speaker 3: They do beat the Chiefs, but that could have gone

1105
00:52:17,680 --> 00:52:21,480
Speaker 3: either way. They barely beat the Lions, you know, they

1106
00:52:21,520 --> 00:52:23,640
Speaker 3: barely beat the coach. They have to kind of come

1107
00:52:23,719 --> 00:52:26,160
Speaker 3: back from way down. So I just like the spot

1108
00:52:26,239 --> 00:52:28,879
Speaker 3: for the Ravens here. I think Cincinnati might be flying

1109
00:52:28,880 --> 00:52:31,719
Speaker 3: a little too high after the good start. I think

1110
00:52:31,719 --> 00:52:35,359
Speaker 3: they get humbled here with Baltimore so teasing them down

1111
00:52:35,360 --> 00:52:36,759
Speaker 3: from six and a half to a half point.

1112
00:52:37,280 --> 00:52:39,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think Baltimore's numbers are a little deflated on

1113
00:52:39,640 --> 00:52:41,280
Speaker 2: the year because I mean they had so many injuries

1114
00:52:41,440 --> 00:52:45,640
Speaker 2: before the season started. The offensive line, running back, I mean,

1115
00:52:45,680 --> 00:52:49,200
Speaker 2: how many acls is the there? Secondary? You're finally seeing

1116
00:52:49,239 --> 00:52:52,399
Speaker 2: that secondary come together. It's healthy now. The offensive line

1117
00:52:52,480 --> 00:52:54,400
Speaker 2: is starting to figure out some things. The running backs.

1118
00:52:54,440 --> 00:52:56,120
Speaker 2: I mean, there's a lot going on in that offense

1119
00:52:56,200 --> 00:52:58,960
Speaker 2: right so it's it's finally starting to click. I don't

1120
00:52:59,000 --> 00:53:01,880
Speaker 2: like langas. I think they're some value in Baltimore. I

1121
00:53:01,920 --> 00:53:03,600
Speaker 2: don't like like six and a half or seven in

1122
00:53:03,680 --> 00:53:06,879
Speaker 2: the divisional game. I think there's two slow paced teams.

1123
00:53:06,880 --> 00:53:08,520
Speaker 2: I don't hate the under here. But yeah, I think

1124
00:53:08,520 --> 00:53:10,480
Speaker 2: the raven should win this game. I don't think if

1125
00:53:10,920 --> 00:53:13,000
Speaker 2: and if you look at these two offenses early down

1126
00:53:13,080 --> 00:53:15,480
Speaker 2: success rate, raven has been great. I think number one

1127
00:53:15,480 --> 00:53:18,319
Speaker 2: of the NFL. Bengals have not. Ravens have been dead

1128
00:53:18,360 --> 00:53:20,560
Speaker 2: last in the NFL on third downs. So there's a

1129
00:53:20,600 --> 00:53:23,440
Speaker 2: positive aggression coming there. The Bengals just don't They just

1130
00:53:23,560 --> 00:53:27,239
Speaker 2: run too much. And this is a huge coaching mismatch too,

1131
00:53:28,080 --> 00:53:30,359
Speaker 2: since I gotta give them since a defense credit. They

1132
00:53:30,400 --> 00:53:32,200
Speaker 2: went out and they invested in this defense. Are number

1133
00:53:32,239 --> 00:53:35,839
Speaker 2: two on the defensive line in lineyards, their linebackers are

1134
00:53:35,920 --> 00:53:39,760
Speaker 2: much improved. It's been a huge weakness over the years. Logan, Wilson, Davis,

1135
00:53:39,840 --> 00:53:41,800
Speaker 2: Gaither and Pratt, They've all been great. And they have

1136
00:53:41,840 --> 00:53:45,360
Speaker 2: obviously have great safeties, so that's important against you know,

1137
00:53:45,480 --> 00:53:49,200
Speaker 2: Mark Andrews trying to limit Lamar, but his speed I

1138
00:53:49,239 --> 00:53:50,759
Speaker 2: think is still gonna be able to bit too much.

1139
00:53:50,840 --> 00:53:54,359
Speaker 2: And yeah, I don't hate that teaser piece at all.

1140
00:53:55,320 --> 00:53:57,279
Speaker 1: Yeah, I do want to give credit. That's a good thing.

1141
00:53:57,320 --> 00:53:59,399
Speaker 3: You give credit to those Cincinnati linebackers because I believe

1142
00:53:59,440 --> 00:54:00,839
Speaker 3: I called him earlier in the year.

1143
00:54:01,160 --> 00:54:02,359
Speaker 1: You know, a bunch of no name guys.

1144
00:54:02,400 --> 00:54:04,800
Speaker 3: There's a history of just bad linebacking course at Cincinnati,

1145
00:54:04,880 --> 00:54:07,280
Speaker 3: but I think that's really what's kind of turned around

1146
00:54:07,760 --> 00:54:08,320
Speaker 3: the defense.

1147
00:54:08,320 --> 00:54:09,879
Speaker 1: So yeah, I want to give those guys credit as well.

1148
00:54:10,360 --> 00:54:13,719
Speaker 3: So the recap, Stucky is going with the Patriots minus

1149
00:54:13,760 --> 00:54:16,480
Speaker 3: seven to minus one and the Dolphins plus two and

1150
00:54:16,520 --> 00:54:17,680
Speaker 3: a half to plus eight and a half.

1151
00:54:17,800 --> 00:54:20,120
Speaker 1: I'm going with the Patriots.

1152
00:54:19,680 --> 00:54:23,719
Speaker 3: Minus seven to minus one and the Ravens minus six

1153
00:54:23,800 --> 00:54:27,399
Speaker 3: and a half to minus a half point. Now let's

1154
00:54:27,440 --> 00:54:30,240
Speaker 3: get into our money line underdog parlot.

1155
00:54:33,080 --> 00:54:36,239
Speaker 2: Turning good weekends into great weekends.

1156
00:54:36,920 --> 00:54:39,440
Speaker 1: It's time for the money line parlay.

1157
00:54:40,880 --> 00:54:42,959
Speaker 3: You hit yours last week? I did not hit mine,

1158
00:54:43,360 --> 00:54:46,600
Speaker 3: not even close with the Detroit Lions. But on the

1159
00:54:46,680 --> 00:54:49,640
Speaker 3: year we've hit three out of six, and we've also

1160
00:54:50,080 --> 00:54:52,359
Speaker 3: each hit one in a week where the other doesn't

1161
00:54:52,440 --> 00:54:58,120
Speaker 3: hit one. So we're batting over five hundred overall on

1162
00:54:58,320 --> 00:54:59,800
Speaker 3: the year in moneyline.

1163
00:55:00,320 --> 00:55:02,719
Speaker 1: So where are you going for Week seven?

1164
00:55:03,239 --> 00:55:05,320
Speaker 2: I don't really like that this week, except I I

1165
00:55:05,400 --> 00:55:06,560
Speaker 2: gotta go to Miami again.

1166
00:55:07,000 --> 00:55:08,640
Speaker 1: Oh, I make it a pick.

1167
00:55:08,760 --> 00:55:10,600
Speaker 2: I make it a pick, and they're catching two at home.

1168
00:55:11,000 --> 00:55:12,640
Speaker 2: I don't believe in this Atlanta. I think it's a

1169
00:55:12,640 --> 00:55:16,120
Speaker 2: good the Jags, so they're the fins of that the

1170
00:55:16,160 --> 00:55:18,560
Speaker 2: team I hate the most. So they're saying them too much.

1171
00:55:18,480 --> 00:55:20,400
Speaker 1: To that second week in a row where I just

1172
00:55:20,640 --> 00:55:22,640
Speaker 1: do not like our money line pick. But I mean, hey,

1173
00:55:22,640 --> 00:55:25,960
Speaker 1: you did hit it last week. But yeah, I don't

1174
00:55:25,960 --> 00:55:27,040
Speaker 1: trust this Miami team.

1175
00:55:27,520 --> 00:55:30,200
Speaker 3: I'm I'm going with Philly. You picked them in the

1176
00:55:30,440 --> 00:55:32,920
Speaker 3: six pack. I probably would have taken them for one

1177
00:55:32,960 --> 00:55:35,320
Speaker 3: of my picks. Uh, So you know it makes it

1178
00:55:35,360 --> 00:55:37,799
Speaker 3: an easy call for me at plus one thirty five.

1179
00:55:38,560 --> 00:55:38,680
Speaker 4: Uh.

1180
00:55:38,880 --> 00:55:40,560
Speaker 1: I you know, we talked about the game already.

1181
00:55:40,600 --> 00:55:43,280
Speaker 3: I just think Philly, because of the way they play coverage,

1182
00:55:43,280 --> 00:55:45,040
Speaker 3: I don't think this game will get away from them.

1183
00:55:45,560 --> 00:55:49,239
Speaker 3: And uh, the Raiders are pretty vanilla on defense. They're

1184
00:55:49,640 --> 00:55:52,760
Speaker 3: that Gus Bradley defense. They do have those edge rushers

1185
00:55:52,920 --> 00:55:56,480
Speaker 3: Cross Crosby and Gockway. But I gotta know what they're

1186
00:55:56,480 --> 00:55:58,200
Speaker 3: gonna do, right, They're gonna wind up. They're gonna play

1187
00:55:58,239 --> 00:56:00,640
Speaker 3: mostly cover three of them, make them couple one in there.

1188
00:56:00,680 --> 00:56:02,800
Speaker 3: It's going to be a lot of single high and

1189
00:56:04,080 --> 00:56:07,759
Speaker 3: I think that speeds up Jalen Hurts's decision making, and

1190
00:56:07,960 --> 00:56:10,359
Speaker 3: so that's what I think he struggles with that times.

1191
00:56:10,400 --> 00:56:11,960
Speaker 3: You know, he misses some things down the field, but

1192
00:56:12,200 --> 00:56:14,040
Speaker 3: it shouldn't be a hard one to prepare for, especially

1193
00:56:14,080 --> 00:56:16,480
Speaker 3: with some extra rest. So like Philly here at plus

1194
00:56:16,680 --> 00:56:22,840
Speaker 3: one five, so that's a four point five to one payout,

1195
00:56:22,960 --> 00:56:25,720
Speaker 3: just over four to one payout here if you parlway,

1196
00:56:25,840 --> 00:56:29,279
Speaker 3: Miami plus one fifteen and Philly plus one thirty five.

1197
00:56:29,480 --> 00:56:31,480
Speaker 1: Was trying to keep keep fighting.

1198
00:56:31,280 --> 00:56:33,160
Speaker 3: Off this regression to the mean here we're still over

1199
00:56:33,200 --> 00:56:34,800
Speaker 3: five hundred on moneyline dogs, which.

1200
00:56:34,719 --> 00:56:36,600
Speaker 2: Is I would have went to Philly, by the way,

1201
00:56:36,600 --> 00:56:37,600
Speaker 2: if you didn't choose them first.

1202
00:56:37,640 --> 00:56:41,120
Speaker 3: So yeah, I mean there it is an ugly slate,

1203
00:56:41,200 --> 00:56:42,799
Speaker 3: you know, the fact that like you had to back

1204
00:56:42,840 --> 00:56:45,680
Speaker 3: Miami like three dives and I'm taking three favorites.

1205
00:56:48,360 --> 00:56:49,719
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, yeah.

1206
00:56:52,120 --> 00:56:55,920
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1237
00:58:25,760 --> 00:58:26,480
Speaker 5: get back to the show.

1238
00:58:28,240 --> 00:58:30,280
Speaker 3: Let's get into the best of the rest. Which are

1239
00:58:30,400 --> 00:58:32,800
Speaker 3: the games that we did not discuss in any other sex.

1240
00:58:32,680 --> 00:58:34,280
Speaker 2: All the double digit favorite games.

1241
00:58:34,880 --> 00:58:37,360
Speaker 1: Yeah, and this is why our cards were kind of

1242
00:58:37,360 --> 00:58:38,160
Speaker 1: discussed in this week.

1243
00:58:38,160 --> 00:58:41,520
Speaker 3: It's because, first up, we have the Lions at the

1244
00:58:41,640 --> 00:58:45,280
Speaker 3: Rams minus fifteen and a half at BETMVM, the official

1245
00:58:45,320 --> 00:58:47,360
Speaker 3: odds provider of the Action Network podcast.

1246
00:58:47,440 --> 00:58:49,360
Speaker 1: The total is fifty and a half and stuck.

1247
00:58:49,400 --> 00:58:51,000
Speaker 3: I do want to get your thoughts on this because

1248
00:58:51,440 --> 00:58:53,160
Speaker 3: you're one of the few people I talked to that

1249
00:58:53,240 --> 00:58:55,479
Speaker 3: I think has a really good read, maybe the best

1250
00:58:56,280 --> 00:59:01,280
Speaker 3: read on like situational spots and letdown spots. And I

1251
00:59:01,400 --> 00:59:03,240
Speaker 3: know you've kind of pointed out the Rams let down

1252
00:59:03,280 --> 00:59:05,640
Speaker 3: spots a couple of times, so I'm kind of looking

1253
00:59:05,720 --> 00:59:09,320
Speaker 3: for that here. I mean, John McVay off a multi

1254
00:59:09,360 --> 00:59:12,320
Speaker 3: game winning streak, just seven and eighteen against the spread,

1255
00:59:12,400 --> 00:59:16,520
Speaker 3: twenty eight percent in his career and then for some reason, you.

1256
00:59:16,560 --> 00:59:18,600
Speaker 1: Know West Coast teams, I know you you kind of

1257
00:59:18,600 --> 00:59:21,080
Speaker 1: pay attention to the travel. Not many people do.

1258
00:59:21,240 --> 00:59:23,960
Speaker 3: But when West Coast teams go on a multi game

1259
00:59:24,040 --> 00:59:27,800
Speaker 3: road trip and then come back home, they're just fifty

1260
00:59:27,920 --> 00:59:32,080
Speaker 3: seven and eighty seven against the spread forty percent since

1261
00:59:32,120 --> 00:59:34,560
Speaker 3: two thousand and three. So is any of that kind

1262
00:59:34,600 --> 00:59:36,880
Speaker 3: of applicable here? Do you think this could potentially be

1263
00:59:37,640 --> 00:59:39,840
Speaker 3: a letdown spot? Were just too many points for this

1264
00:59:39,960 --> 00:59:41,920
Speaker 3: Rams team? Or is it just a Matthew Stafford revenge

1265
00:59:41,960 --> 00:59:43,000
Speaker 3: game and they're gonna go nuts?

1266
00:59:43,320 --> 00:59:44,680
Speaker 2: Well it's a golf revenge games.

1267
00:59:45,280 --> 00:59:47,680
Speaker 1: Yeah, but that's the McVay revenge game of goth Like.

1268
00:59:49,440 --> 00:59:51,560
Speaker 2: Uh he was Gough was the one that got from

1269
00:59:51,600 --> 00:59:53,880
Speaker 2: the supermatic fact. That's what Gough's is out to prove

1270
00:59:53,960 --> 00:59:55,640
Speaker 2: this week. But uh No, I mean I don't really

1271
00:59:55,640 --> 00:59:57,280
Speaker 2: think it's staffing the LEFTO spot. I mean, they have

1272
00:59:57,320 --> 00:59:59,680
Speaker 2: the Texans on deck, so it's like, I mean, maybe

1273
00:59:59,720 --> 01:00:01,400
Speaker 2: they're just a little sleepy here, but I think that

1274
01:00:01,480 --> 01:00:04,440
Speaker 2: that golf angle gives this game a little more juice.

1275
01:00:04,480 --> 01:00:09,080
Speaker 2: I do think that it's a tat high the line,

1276
01:00:09,520 --> 01:00:11,320
Speaker 2: But I mean, do I really want any part of

1277
01:00:11,400 --> 01:00:14,240
Speaker 2: this line seem no. I mean, look at this Rams

1278
01:00:14,280 --> 01:00:16,040
Speaker 2: offense been next Tolle number one in the NFL and

1279
01:00:16,080 --> 01:00:18,480
Speaker 2: EPA pri play if you garbage time point two two

1280
01:00:18,560 --> 01:00:20,800
Speaker 2: seven e p A per play. They're twenty seventh in

1281
01:00:20,880 --> 01:00:25,080
Speaker 2: rush EPA, number one in dropback EPA zero point four

1282
01:00:25,120 --> 01:00:28,120
Speaker 2: to three seven the next best point three to one.

1283
01:00:29,000 --> 01:00:30,800
Speaker 2: So I mean they've just been excell thot ball. Who's

1284
01:00:30,800 --> 01:00:34,240
Speaker 2: stopping this passing offense on the line second Dary, there's

1285
01:00:34,280 --> 01:00:37,160
Speaker 2: nobody left. The Lion's offensive line is still beat up.

1286
01:00:37,200 --> 01:00:39,440
Speaker 2: Maybe they could Taylor Decker back to doubt it, but

1287
01:00:40,000 --> 01:00:43,720
Speaker 2: there's just nothing. There's no receivers. You're probably gonna see

1288
01:00:43,720 --> 01:00:46,720
Speaker 2: the Lions run it a lot again try, And I

1289
01:00:46,800 --> 01:00:49,000
Speaker 2: mean last week that's why I was on the under.

1290
01:00:49,520 --> 01:00:51,760
Speaker 2: Maybe you look at lines second half here, and here's

1291
01:00:51,760 --> 01:00:53,280
Speaker 2: why I mean I had the under last week. The

1292
01:00:53,360 --> 01:00:55,160
Speaker 2: Lions haven't scored a first half touchdown. I think in

1293
01:00:55,200 --> 01:00:57,600
Speaker 2: four weeks what we have seen is no fight till

1294
01:00:57,640 --> 01:01:00,400
Speaker 2: the end. And Dan Campbell doesn't give up even though should.

1295
01:01:00,800 --> 01:01:03,520
Speaker 2: Last week, he's down twenty seven to nothing with eight

1296
01:01:03,560 --> 01:01:06,520
Speaker 2: to go, he kicks a field goal, a thirty yard

1297
01:01:06,520 --> 01:01:06,880
Speaker 2: field goal.

1298
01:01:06,960 --> 01:01:07,840
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's not a shutout.

1299
01:01:07,880 --> 01:01:12,640
Speaker 2: Over shtout on side kick? Next down twenty seven three,

1300
01:01:12,680 --> 01:01:14,240
Speaker 2: why not go o for the touchdown on side kick?

1301
01:01:14,560 --> 01:01:19,600
Speaker 2: Then the Bengals score a touchdown thirty four to three lines,

1302
01:01:19,640 --> 01:01:21,800
Speaker 2: get it, score a touch up, go for two thirty

1303
01:01:21,840 --> 01:01:24,840
Speaker 2: four eleven, now lines, then onside kick it again with

1304
01:01:25,160 --> 01:01:27,360
Speaker 2: two and a half minutes to go, now thirty four eleven.

1305
01:01:27,960 --> 01:01:30,880
Speaker 2: Cincinnati recovers it. I'm like, all right, it's thirty four eleven.

1306
01:01:30,920 --> 01:01:32,880
Speaker 2: How did we get here? I've under forty eight? Like,

1307
01:01:33,040 --> 01:01:35,200
Speaker 2: let's just Joe since he adds the ball on midfield

1308
01:01:35,600 --> 01:01:38,400
Speaker 2: to Tedla. Since he hands it off, goes to a

1309
01:01:38,440 --> 01:01:40,360
Speaker 2: two minute warning. Since he comes out of the two

1310
01:01:40,360 --> 01:01:43,400
Speaker 2: minute warning on second down, takes a knee and run

1311
01:01:43,480 --> 01:01:46,240
Speaker 2: out the clock, Campbell calls a time out. No joke,

1312
01:01:46,360 --> 01:01:48,520
Speaker 2: called a time out after they took a knee. So

1313
01:01:48,640 --> 01:01:51,440
Speaker 2: since he Stata was like, what the hell is going on?

1314
01:01:51,840 --> 01:01:53,600
Speaker 2: So now I'm like, oh my god, since is gonna

1315
01:01:53,720 --> 01:01:55,000
Speaker 2: have to run a play? They're gonna be bad and

1316
01:01:55,040 --> 01:01:56,840
Speaker 2: then try to score this skate's gonna go over. So

1317
01:01:56,960 --> 01:01:59,240
Speaker 2: then they run it. They pick up like eight yards.

1318
01:01:59,320 --> 01:02:02,240
Speaker 2: It's fourth and one at like the forty. I'm like,

1319
01:02:02,360 --> 01:02:04,640
Speaker 2: oh my god, so they got to run. Campbell calls

1320
01:02:04,640 --> 01:02:08,320
Speaker 2: another timeout. It's thirty four eleven. There's like a minute

1321
01:02:08,360 --> 01:02:10,760
Speaker 2: ten to go. So since he then decides to go

1322
01:02:10,920 --> 01:02:14,560
Speaker 2: for a fourth down, luckily I didn't need the lines

1323
01:02:14,640 --> 01:02:16,400
Speaker 2: chucking the ball down the field like they did against

1324
01:02:16,400 --> 01:02:18,920
Speaker 2: sant Fred. Since he picks up the first down of

1325
01:02:18,960 --> 01:02:21,400
Speaker 2: fourth down, then they finally could take these because Campbell's

1326
01:02:21,400 --> 01:02:23,720
Speaker 2: out of timeouts. I mean, when he was talking about

1327
01:02:24,040 --> 01:02:26,400
Speaker 2: bite kneecaps, this is much. I was going crazy. I

1328
01:02:26,600 --> 01:02:29,040
Speaker 2: tweeted out a joke. I'm surprised that Campbell's not taking

1329
01:02:29,120 --> 01:02:31,880
Speaker 2: time outs here, like after first out, then two bit

1330
01:02:31,920 --> 01:02:34,040
Speaker 2: of wording. Yep, he started to taking timeout. So they're

1331
01:02:34,040 --> 01:02:34,720
Speaker 2: not going to give up.

1332
01:02:35,080 --> 01:02:36,920
Speaker 4: So this team's Detroit. We're gonna kick you in the

1333
01:02:37,000 --> 01:02:39,200
Speaker 4: teeth and when you punch it, we're gonna smile at you.

1334
01:02:39,320 --> 01:02:41,520
Speaker 4: And when you knock us down, we're gonna get up.

1335
01:02:41,600 --> 01:02:43,640
Speaker 4: And on the way up, we're gonna buy a kneecap off.

1336
01:02:43,920 --> 01:02:46,320
Speaker 4: All right, we're gonna take your other knee cap before

1337
01:02:46,440 --> 01:02:48,360
Speaker 4: long where they're gonna be the last one standing.

1338
01:02:48,520 --> 01:02:50,400
Speaker 2: And uh, they've been off on the first half, so

1339
01:02:50,440 --> 01:02:52,520
Speaker 2: maybe you look at Lin's second half here if the

1340
01:02:52,600 --> 01:02:55,680
Speaker 2: Rams are just blowing this open. Uh, it's a little high,

1341
01:02:55,840 --> 01:02:57,520
Speaker 2: But I mean, do I really want to back alide

1342
01:02:57,520 --> 01:02:58,160
Speaker 2: see it? Really?

1343
01:02:58,640 --> 01:03:01,560
Speaker 1: Yeah? I've had enough of lines like I mean.

1344
01:03:02,280 --> 01:03:04,520
Speaker 2: I actually three three against the spread. At least they

1345
01:03:04,560 --> 01:03:06,480
Speaker 2: covered every the week, so maybe this is their week.

1346
01:03:06,800 --> 01:03:08,800
Speaker 1: I took them. I took this under on convinced me.

1347
01:03:08,840 --> 01:03:10,080
Speaker 3: I think I mentioned to you I would have probably

1348
01:03:10,120 --> 01:03:12,320
Speaker 3: taken this under for the pod, but you took it first,

1349
01:03:12,840 --> 01:03:15,200
Speaker 3: so I was sweating right there with you. But that

1350
01:03:15,400 --> 01:03:17,320
Speaker 3: was bad enough after the week before when I had

1351
01:03:17,360 --> 01:03:19,800
Speaker 3: the Vikings like mine. I mean I think I had

1352
01:03:19,840 --> 01:03:21,800
Speaker 3: to take them. No, yeah, I think I had them

1353
01:03:21,840 --> 01:03:23,720
Speaker 3: like MIAs eight and a half. And then for the show,

1354
01:03:23,760 --> 01:03:25,120
Speaker 3: I had them like MIAs nine and a half. They

1355
01:03:25,120 --> 01:03:28,040
Speaker 3: were up ten and the Vikings get a sack deep

1356
01:03:28,080 --> 01:03:30,400
Speaker 3: in Lining territory and the Lions just don't go away,

1357
01:03:30,440 --> 01:03:32,200
Speaker 3: and then they force the they punched the ball out

1358
01:03:32,240 --> 01:03:33,000
Speaker 3: of Madison's hand.

1359
01:03:33,040 --> 01:03:35,480
Speaker 2: And not enough of this, so you might want to

1360
01:03:35,480 --> 01:03:38,240
Speaker 2: look at the second half. They're down twenty four score

1361
01:03:38,280 --> 01:03:41,080
Speaker 2: to the very end, like the back Doors for the

1362
01:03:41,160 --> 01:03:42,760
Speaker 2: second and half, they're not going to stop.

1363
01:03:43,000 --> 01:03:45,120
Speaker 3: I actually, let me look at what their second half

1364
01:03:45,520 --> 01:03:48,160
Speaker 3: against the spreads look like real quick, because I've it's

1365
01:03:48,160 --> 01:03:49,440
Speaker 3: gotta be something like silly.

1366
01:03:49,560 --> 01:03:49,960
Speaker 1: Let's see.

1367
01:03:50,240 --> 01:03:52,560
Speaker 3: So, yeah, the Lions are They're four and two against

1368
01:03:52,560 --> 01:03:54,960
Speaker 3: the second half spread. Oh, they're only covering by an

1369
01:03:54,960 --> 01:03:56,480
Speaker 3: average of two point nine. I thought I would have

1370
01:03:56,520 --> 01:03:57,280
Speaker 3: thought it was more than that.

1371
01:03:58,040 --> 01:03:59,720
Speaker 2: Yeah, but if you take away that Packers game when

1372
01:03:59,720 --> 01:04:01,680
Speaker 2: they were leading, like, you don't want to take them

1373
01:04:01,680 --> 01:04:03,120
Speaker 2: when they're ahead in the second half.

1374
01:04:03,480 --> 01:04:05,800
Speaker 3: Yeah, we spend too much time in that game. Let's

1375
01:04:05,920 --> 01:04:10,800
Speaker 3: go to the Texans at the Cardinals. The Cardinals are

1376
01:04:10,920 --> 01:04:15,280
Speaker 3: seventeen point favorites. The spread is forty seven and a

1377
01:04:15,360 --> 01:04:16,560
Speaker 3: half at BENMGM.

1378
01:04:17,960 --> 01:04:22,120
Speaker 1: This is a game. I really have nothing to say.

1379
01:04:22,240 --> 01:04:24,400
Speaker 3: I don't want to take any team that's favored by

1380
01:04:24,560 --> 01:04:26,840
Speaker 3: seventeen and a half. I don't want to take the

1381
01:04:26,920 --> 01:04:30,360
Speaker 3: Texans against the Cardinals, and I don't want to take

1382
01:04:30,360 --> 01:04:32,320
Speaker 3: the under because even though the Texans scored three points

1383
01:04:32,440 --> 01:04:34,720
Speaker 3: last week, the Cardinals may very well put up a

1384
01:04:34,760 --> 01:04:35,320
Speaker 3: fifty burger.

1385
01:04:35,400 --> 01:04:37,320
Speaker 1: So, I mean, what are we talking about here?

1386
01:04:37,560 --> 01:04:39,040
Speaker 2: I mean, it is a bad spot for the Cardinals.

1387
01:04:39,080 --> 01:04:40,720
Speaker 2: I go to Cleveland, by the way, they were very

1388
01:04:40,760 --> 01:04:43,000
Speaker 2: fortunate in that game Cleveland. I had to run the

1389
01:04:43,000 --> 01:04:45,160
Speaker 2: ball and then they were all of a suddenly, Cardinals

1390
01:04:45,160 --> 01:04:47,600
Speaker 2: are up fourteen nothing off turnovers. You could even touch

1391
01:04:47,720 --> 01:04:52,040
Speaker 2: Kyler Murray without getting a roughie compasser. They recovered five

1392
01:04:52,080 --> 01:04:54,560
Speaker 2: fumbles in that game. Brown's go one for five on

1393
01:04:54,680 --> 01:04:56,320
Speaker 2: fourth down. What is the last two weeks, Teas are

1394
01:04:56,320 --> 01:04:58,600
Speaker 2: two of ten or fourth down against the Cardinals. So

1395
01:04:58,880 --> 01:05:01,120
Speaker 2: they're getting very fortunate here, and then the whole Brown

1396
01:05:01,160 --> 01:05:04,120
Speaker 2: seed gets hurt. But like, can I back the Texans here?

1397
01:05:04,200 --> 01:05:07,520
Speaker 2: I would have if Tyron Taylor was starting, But I

1398
01:05:07,600 --> 01:05:09,280
Speaker 2: think it's a little inflated. If I if you put

1399
01:05:09,320 --> 01:05:10,480
Speaker 2: a gun in my hand and maybe bet this game,

1400
01:05:10,480 --> 01:05:13,480
Speaker 2: I would take the Texans. But you're basically just praying

1401
01:05:13,520 --> 01:05:15,520
Speaker 2: for a back door. The Cardinals are the Packers on deck,

1402
01:05:15,560 --> 01:05:17,960
Speaker 2: so I'm sure that they you know, it's like the

1403
01:05:18,040 --> 01:05:19,800
Speaker 2: second half. They're not going to try to run this up.

1404
01:05:20,440 --> 01:05:22,160
Speaker 2: I don't think they're gonna worry about their health. They're

1405
01:05:22,160 --> 01:05:24,360
Speaker 2: gonna worry about all right, let's rest because we had

1406
01:05:24,400 --> 01:05:26,000
Speaker 2: a short week before the Packers in a game that

1407
01:05:26,040 --> 01:05:28,600
Speaker 2: could determine who gets the one seed in the NFC.

1408
01:05:28,800 --> 01:05:31,200
Speaker 2: So maybe Texas second half is worth a look like

1409
01:05:31,240 --> 01:05:34,520
Speaker 2: the Lions, but the Cards are thirty second in explosive

1410
01:05:34,560 --> 01:05:38,200
Speaker 2: run defense. Well, the Texas can't run it. Their offensive

1411
01:05:38,200 --> 01:05:40,440
Speaker 2: lines all banged up, so you're basically asking Davis Mills

1412
01:05:41,080 --> 01:05:43,640
Speaker 2: to throw it on the road. And I just I

1413
01:05:43,720 --> 01:05:46,360
Speaker 2: don't see that. And the Texas defense, like, what did

1414
01:05:46,400 --> 01:05:47,880
Speaker 2: I say before the yar love Smith? Is the de

1415
01:05:47,960 --> 01:05:50,160
Speaker 2: corderor A They're gonna do is run cover two? Basic

1416
01:05:50,240 --> 01:05:50,680
Speaker 2: cover two?

1417
01:05:50,840 --> 01:05:51,000
Speaker 1: Yeah?

1418
01:05:51,320 --> 01:05:54,080
Speaker 2: They running cover two, Like, yeah, it's it. And there

1419
01:05:54,440 --> 01:05:59,040
Speaker 2: their pre snat look versus the actual defense that they run.

1420
01:06:00,040 --> 01:06:01,720
Speaker 2: It's the same ninety two percent of the time. That's

1421
01:06:01,720 --> 01:06:04,640
Speaker 2: the highest the NFL. It's the basic. They don't have

1422
01:06:04,680 --> 01:06:08,200
Speaker 2: the quarters to stop this Arizona attack, so uh, you'll

1423
01:06:08,200 --> 01:06:11,600
Speaker 2: probably need a backdoor or Arizona takes their foot off

1424
01:06:11,640 --> 01:06:14,160
Speaker 2: the gas to the second half, but need to turnover too.

1425
01:06:14,880 --> 01:06:17,600
Speaker 2: I might look texted the second half if they're getting drilled,

1426
01:06:17,600 --> 01:06:19,160
Speaker 2: because I don't think the Cardinals want to do anything

1427
01:06:19,200 --> 01:06:21,120
Speaker 2: in the second half here. They don't want to show anything.

1428
01:06:21,160 --> 01:06:23,040
Speaker 2: They want to rest at the Packers on deck. So

1429
01:06:24,360 --> 01:06:26,600
Speaker 2: but again, this is just ugly. One of the otherest

1430
01:06:26,640 --> 01:06:27,200
Speaker 2: games of the year.

1431
01:06:27,840 --> 01:06:29,720
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think I just want to not touch this

1432
01:06:29,840 --> 01:06:32,200
Speaker 3: game because I feel like I would, like look text

1433
01:06:32,240 --> 01:06:34,200
Speaker 3: in the second half if I was like chasing, if

1434
01:06:34,240 --> 01:06:36,200
Speaker 3: I was like, you know, like oh, in one and

1435
01:06:36,360 --> 01:06:38,040
Speaker 3: three on the day and like, oh maybe I can

1436
01:06:38,480 --> 01:06:40,720
Speaker 3: get a cover here, and it probably just won't go well.

1437
01:06:40,800 --> 01:06:42,600
Speaker 1: So I think I'm just gonna not touch this game.

1438
01:06:42,880 --> 01:06:47,000
Speaker 3: Bears at Tampa Buck's favored by twelve and a half.

1439
01:06:47,560 --> 01:06:50,960
Speaker 3: The total is forty seven. I like what the Bears

1440
01:06:51,000 --> 01:06:54,560
Speaker 3: are doing with justin fields, but I mean Tom Brady

1441
01:06:54,600 --> 01:06:58,760
Speaker 3: has just looked ridiculous. You know, they don't get that

1442
01:06:58,880 --> 01:07:02,840
Speaker 3: cover last week Philly's aggressive goes for two, So, I

1443
01:07:02,920 --> 01:07:06,600
Speaker 3: mean Tom Brady off and against the spread. Wasss has

1444
01:07:06,640 --> 01:07:08,280
Speaker 3: always been great in his career. It's about the only

1445
01:07:08,360 --> 01:07:11,080
Speaker 3: thing I can say about this game. He's sixty two,

1446
01:07:11,200 --> 01:07:13,280
Speaker 3: thirty five and two since two thousand and three sixty

1447
01:07:14,320 --> 01:07:17,560
Speaker 3: He would win this year. But I don't really see

1448
01:07:17,640 --> 01:07:19,439
Speaker 3: much either way. I know some sharps are on the under.

1449
01:07:19,520 --> 01:07:22,200
Speaker 3: Any thoughts, Yeah, this.

1450
01:07:22,240 --> 01:07:24,680
Speaker 2: Is a bad matchup for the Bears. I mean, can

1451
01:07:24,760 --> 01:07:26,600
Speaker 2: they get pressure on Brady? That's what they're good at.

1452
01:07:26,600 --> 01:07:29,360
Speaker 2: Their number one of the adjusted Zachary. The Bucks offense

1453
01:07:29,400 --> 01:07:30,800
Speaker 2: line is really good. Brady can get rid of the

1454
01:07:30,840 --> 01:07:34,000
Speaker 2: ball so quick. That's they're gonna have to get an

1455
01:07:34,080 --> 01:07:36,480
Speaker 2: enormous amount of pressure to stay in this game. Because

1456
01:07:37,080 --> 01:07:39,920
Speaker 2: the Bucks have so many different weapons. The Bears only

1457
01:07:39,960 --> 01:07:42,280
Speaker 2: have one good corner, so I don't see how they

1458
01:07:42,320 --> 01:07:44,439
Speaker 2: can stop the other side of the ball. The Bears

1459
01:07:44,480 --> 01:07:47,080
Speaker 2: want to like run the ball more, Now you can't.

1460
01:07:47,200 --> 01:07:48,800
Speaker 2: You can't do that against Tampa. No, don't have to

1461
01:07:48,920 --> 01:07:53,040
Speaker 2: attack them with short passes, spread them out, get rid

1462
01:07:53,040 --> 01:07:55,200
Speaker 2: of the ball, quick, read the defense, well, deal with

1463
01:07:55,240 --> 01:07:59,800
Speaker 2: the blitz. That's not good for a rookie quarterback. So yeah,

1464
01:07:59,840 --> 01:08:03,040
Speaker 2: I think it's ay the Bucks get a couple of

1465
01:08:03,120 --> 01:08:05,280
Speaker 2: days of rest and prep. Here. By the way, Brady

1466
01:08:05,280 --> 01:08:07,520
Speaker 2: didn't cover at night because it's last game was at night.

1467
01:08:07,560 --> 01:08:11,640
Speaker 2: I was alive against the Speci's.

1468
01:08:10,280 --> 01:08:11,000
Speaker 1: Tie from the Super Bowl.

1469
01:08:11,080 --> 01:08:13,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, so yeah, I think I think the line is

1470
01:08:13,920 --> 01:08:15,480
Speaker 2: like I make it like twelve and a half and

1471
01:08:15,680 --> 01:08:18,559
Speaker 2: it's it's like, even if I got to like thirteen

1472
01:08:18,640 --> 01:08:20,280
Speaker 2: thirteen and a half, I just can't make a case

1473
01:08:20,320 --> 01:08:21,599
Speaker 2: for the Bears. I think it's just such a bad

1474
01:08:21,680 --> 01:08:23,840
Speaker 2: matchup for them here on both sides of the ball.

1475
01:08:24,320 --> 01:08:26,120
Speaker 2: So I wouldn't be surprised if the Bucks blowed up.

1476
01:08:26,160 --> 01:08:27,400
Speaker 2: But I don't mind the under here. I don't I

1477
01:08:27,439 --> 01:08:29,160
Speaker 2: don't know how the Bears are gonna consistently move the ball.

1478
01:08:29,800 --> 01:08:31,760
Speaker 3: Yeah, that's the big issue is that you can't run

1479
01:08:31,800 --> 01:08:34,320
Speaker 3: on Tampa. That's all the Bears have been doing. They've

1480
01:08:34,360 --> 01:08:36,000
Speaker 3: been decent with it, even with the you know, down

1481
01:08:36,080 --> 01:08:39,920
Speaker 3: to the third string back. I do think statistically speaking,

1482
01:08:40,240 --> 01:08:43,200
Speaker 3: this could be justin Field's best game in terms of

1483
01:08:43,280 --> 01:08:45,880
Speaker 3: like passing yards and rushing yards because you're gonna have

1484
01:08:45,960 --> 01:08:49,120
Speaker 3: to use fields as an extension of the run game.

1485
01:08:49,439 --> 01:08:52,320
Speaker 3: And then Tampa Bay, you know, they're gonna put up

1486
01:08:52,520 --> 01:08:55,360
Speaker 3: probably more points than anyone's put up on Chicago in

1487
01:08:55,439 --> 01:08:57,320
Speaker 3: a field start. I mean Cleveland got to what twenty

1488
01:08:57,360 --> 01:08:59,920
Speaker 3: six and then the Packers get to twenty four?

1489
01:09:00,680 --> 01:09:00,840
Speaker 4: Was it?

1490
01:09:01,000 --> 01:09:03,840
Speaker 3: Yeah, so it You know, the Bears could give up

1491
01:09:04,240 --> 01:09:06,360
Speaker 3: points in this game like they haven't, and they are

1492
01:09:06,400 --> 01:09:08,519
Speaker 3: good in sacks and they don't blitz much, but they're

1493
01:09:08,560 --> 01:09:12,280
Speaker 3: still there's still twenty seventh in pressure rate. Now they're

1494
01:09:12,320 --> 01:09:15,960
Speaker 3: blitzing at the fourth lowest rate, so you know, it's

1495
01:09:16,000 --> 01:09:18,559
Speaker 3: still have a They still can get pressure without blitzing

1496
01:09:19,320 --> 01:09:22,559
Speaker 3: better than a lot of teams, but bottom six pressure

1497
01:09:22,600 --> 01:09:25,080
Speaker 3: rate not really gonna work with Tom Brady. You know,

1498
01:09:25,120 --> 01:09:27,760
Speaker 3: you're not pressuring him consistently enough even dropping back at

1499
01:09:27,800 --> 01:09:30,080
Speaker 3: the coverage. Tampa Bay has three four guys that can

1500
01:09:30,120 --> 01:09:32,639
Speaker 3: beat you. They might use the rookie jay when Darden

1501
01:09:32,640 --> 01:09:35,439
Speaker 3: a little more at that fourth receiver spot. They cut

1502
01:09:35,560 --> 01:09:39,000
Speaker 3: Jayden Mickens, their you know, returner. So Darden, you know,

1503
01:09:39,080 --> 01:09:40,559
Speaker 3: he's more of a guy that you want to get

1504
01:09:40,600 --> 01:09:41,559
Speaker 3: in the game on offense.

1505
01:09:41,600 --> 01:09:44,599
Speaker 1: He can I think he'll get some returns too. But yeah,

1506
01:09:44,680 --> 01:09:47,799
Speaker 1: this is this is probably a Tampa Bay blowout.

1507
01:09:47,880 --> 01:09:49,680
Speaker 3: But not not trying to wait a twelve and a

1508
01:09:49,720 --> 01:09:51,680
Speaker 3: half thirteen either, So stay away from me.

1509
01:09:52,320 --> 01:09:52,640
Speaker 2: All right.

1510
01:09:52,880 --> 01:09:54,439
Speaker 1: That is going to wrap it up for best of

1511
01:09:54,520 --> 01:09:54,800
Speaker 1: the rest.

1512
01:09:55,000 --> 01:09:58,639
Speaker 3: Let's get into our final segment, our Survivor Pool picking

1513
01:09:58,680 --> 01:09:59,080
Speaker 3: a week.

1514
01:10:00,400 --> 01:10:07,800
Speaker 4: The Survivor Pool pick of the week.

1515
01:10:09,560 --> 01:10:12,720
Speaker 1: Alright, So stuck we had we've been living on the edge.

1516
01:10:12,960 --> 01:10:16,679
Speaker 1: Oh my goodness. I mean we had Cincinnati in week four.

1517
01:10:17,320 --> 01:10:19,679
Speaker 2: Yeah they went that, they went the last second against Jacksonville.

1518
01:10:20,160 --> 01:10:22,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, they bury be jackson on Thursday night. Then we

1519
01:10:22,120 --> 01:10:25,599
Speaker 3: had Minnesota almost, Yeah they blow that game against Detroit

1520
01:10:25,640 --> 01:10:27,880
Speaker 3: and then somehow still win and then.

1521
01:10:28,479 --> 01:10:31,960
Speaker 2: Last second three straight weeks is a field goals I've expired.

1522
01:10:32,720 --> 01:10:34,960
Speaker 1: And then Pittsburgh blows a big first half week.

1523
01:10:35,000 --> 01:10:36,760
Speaker 3: They can't stop the running the second half, and they

1524
01:10:37,280 --> 01:10:39,160
Speaker 3: they're lucky it was Gino Smith the quarterback, and they

1525
01:10:39,240 --> 01:10:39,880
Speaker 3: mose that game.

1526
01:10:40,760 --> 01:10:42,439
Speaker 2: They never they'll never, they were never going to drop

1527
01:10:42,479 --> 01:10:44,880
Speaker 2: it down the field. Luckily Watt stripped them. That was

1528
01:10:44,880 --> 01:10:46,840
Speaker 2: the only way they were scoring. End of a tie,

1529
01:10:46,960 --> 01:10:48,679
Speaker 2: and then we would have been out of the survivor tie.

1530
01:10:50,439 --> 01:10:52,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, so we have We're still each six and zero.

1531
01:10:53,320 --> 01:10:57,519
Speaker 3: You've used San Francisco, Cleveland, Denver since Minnesota, Pittsburgh. I

1532
01:10:57,680 --> 01:11:00,839
Speaker 3: viewed San Francisco, Green Bay, Carolina since in Minnesota.

1533
01:11:00,880 --> 01:11:02,080
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh were going for this week.

1534
01:11:02,600 --> 01:11:04,760
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, look, no one's getting eliminated to these things.

1535
01:11:05,000 --> 01:11:07,960
Speaker 2: You just kind of hope. Look, there's been some remember

1536
01:11:08,000 --> 01:11:10,000
Speaker 2: the Vikings beat the Bills or something with like a

1537
01:11:10,120 --> 01:11:14,120
Speaker 2: back who was that. It's still the NFL. So I'm

1538
01:11:14,160 --> 01:11:16,719
Speaker 2: just hoping that like the like golf gets this revenge,

1539
01:11:16,920 --> 01:11:20,920
Speaker 2: or you know, Davis Mills, maybe Davis Bills goes BOKERDS.

1540
01:11:20,920 --> 01:11:22,640
Speaker 2: I mean, I can't see anything, but I'd rather just

1541
01:11:22,680 --> 01:11:24,840
Speaker 2: save some of those teams. I'm going to use the

1542
01:11:24,880 --> 01:11:28,200
Speaker 2: Patriots against the Jets at home. I could use the

1543
01:11:28,240 --> 01:11:30,160
Speaker 2: Patriots like Week sixteen is the only other time. I

1544
01:11:30,280 --> 01:11:33,120
Speaker 2: probably use them at home against the Jags. But if

1545
01:11:33,200 --> 01:11:36,200
Speaker 2: I get that far, I'll figure it out them. Yeah.

1546
01:11:36,240 --> 01:11:38,000
Speaker 2: So I'm going to save some of these bigger favorites

1547
01:11:39,080 --> 01:11:42,400
Speaker 2: for down the line and try to increase my equity.

1548
01:11:42,479 --> 01:11:43,639
Speaker 2: That's what you really want to do with these things,

1549
01:11:43,680 --> 01:11:45,040
Speaker 2: like you try to increase equity with the rest of

1550
01:11:45,080 --> 01:11:46,920
Speaker 2: the pool. I don't care if I go out early,

1551
01:11:47,240 --> 01:11:49,280
Speaker 2: but like, if I could survive with these teams like

1552
01:11:49,360 --> 01:11:51,920
Speaker 2: we have the past few weeks, like the Bengals and

1553
01:11:52,680 --> 01:11:56,360
Speaker 2: the Steelers and the Vikings, and then at the end

1554
01:11:56,400 --> 01:11:58,080
Speaker 2: of the year you have all of the top ten teams,

1555
01:11:58,400 --> 01:12:01,400
Speaker 2: that's what you're gonna get a huge edge with. Has

1556
01:12:01,439 --> 01:12:02,559
Speaker 2: any of the top teams left?

1557
01:12:03,120 --> 01:12:03,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, totally agree.

1558
01:12:04,400 --> 01:12:06,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, for the fourth week, we're going same team going

1559
01:12:06,439 --> 01:12:09,200
Speaker 3: to England as well. Uh, you know, thought about the

1560
01:12:09,920 --> 01:12:13,120
Speaker 3: big favorites, but I like a couple of Arizona's matchups

1561
01:12:13,160 --> 01:12:16,240
Speaker 3: down the road. I like a couple of the Rams

1562
01:12:16,320 --> 01:12:19,200
Speaker 3: matchups down the road, and then you know, Baltimore. I

1563
01:12:19,280 --> 01:12:22,920
Speaker 3: think Cincinnati is still a more formidable opponent, you know,

1564
01:12:23,000 --> 01:12:25,320
Speaker 3: in a divisional matchup than you know, the Jets going

1565
01:12:25,360 --> 01:12:27,479
Speaker 3: against the Patriots or a rookie quarterback on the road

1566
01:12:27,520 --> 01:12:28,040
Speaker 3: in Foxborough.

1567
01:12:28,040 --> 01:12:28,920
Speaker 1: So that's really what this is.

1568
01:12:29,000 --> 01:12:33,360
Speaker 3: It's just you know, hoping that Belichick gets the Patriots

1569
01:12:33,400 --> 01:12:37,040
Speaker 3: his normal edge against the Jets. All right, that's gonna

1570
01:12:37,040 --> 01:12:39,560
Speaker 3: wrap it up for the Week seven Action Networks podcast.

1571
01:12:39,880 --> 01:12:43,800
Speaker 3: You can find Stucky on Twitter at Stucky two. You

1572
01:12:43,880 --> 01:12:47,640
Speaker 3: can find me on Twitter at Chris Raybon. You can

1573
01:12:47,720 --> 01:12:51,400
Speaker 3: find us both at those same handles in the award

1574
01:12:51,479 --> 01:12:54,800
Speaker 3: winning Action Network app where you can follow our bets

1575
01:12:54,960 --> 01:12:57,439
Speaker 3: and track all of yours, and you can follow all

1576
01:12:57,479 --> 01:13:01,120
Speaker 3: our picks as well. Just search for us Sunday six

1577
01:13:01,479 --> 01:13:05,639
Speaker 3: pack in the Action Network Apps follow feature. Be sure

1578
01:13:05,640 --> 01:13:08,519
Speaker 3: to check out actionnetwork dot com for all of our

1579
01:13:08,680 --> 01:13:10,559
Speaker 3: NFL vetting content.

1580
01:13:10,720 --> 01:13:14,240
Speaker 1: Stuff. Will break down the Monday Night game this week,

1581
01:13:14,400 --> 01:13:15,680
Speaker 1: we'll have a whole write up on that.

1582
01:13:15,840 --> 01:13:19,599
Speaker 3: I'll do the Sunday Night game that we talked about already,

1583
01:13:19,720 --> 01:13:21,120
Speaker 3: so be sure to check those out.

1584
01:13:21,360 --> 01:13:24,880
Speaker 1: And so next week, get this money.

1585
01:13:25,600 --> 01:13:25,840
Speaker 2: Hello,