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Speaker 1: Tonight's show is erupting with the bolten hot lava of value.

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Speaker 1: What is value, kids, Well, that's something you get here

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Speaker 1: at either a reduced price relative to the rest of

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Speaker 1: the shows, or in an ideal world, something you get

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Speaker 1: here that you don't get on any of the other shows.

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Speaker 1: What do I have? What am I talking about? I'm

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Speaker 1: just shouting nonsense. No, the College Football Playoff Committee just

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Speaker 1: released their rankings. We all know that. I'm gonna talk

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Speaker 1: about that. I'm gonna leave the show with it. But

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Speaker 1: you know what else I have. I got fan duel

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Speaker 1: in my back pocket, not literally but figuratively. And I

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Speaker 1: got spreads for you on every one of these first

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Speaker 1: round matchups were jam packed, high type, a vibrant South Florida.

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Speaker 1: That's why the studio looks a little fancier and more

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Speaker 1: high to do than usual. But the show doesn't change.

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Speaker 1: We go on the road, the show doesn't change. I

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Speaker 1: got playoff rankings reaction, We got several thoughts on it,

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Speaker 1: the whole conference championship conundrum. I'm telling you they're headed

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Speaker 1: towards a cliff. They better be careful with this. I

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Speaker 1: didn't like what Ward Manual said tonight there's still time

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Speaker 1: to fix it. There's time to clean it up. I

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Speaker 1: got a full week thirteen predictions. It's Tuesday night. That

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Speaker 1: means it's the Prediction show as well. The JP pole

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Speaker 1: is dropping. There's some ingregiosity in the playoff committee rankings

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Speaker 1: that we will correct in the JP pole. And like

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Speaker 1: I alluded to last night, I tweeted out on board

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Speaker 1: in a flight, I'm tired of canal. Someone's got to

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Speaker 1: take him on head to head. So I came down

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Speaker 1: here in this very building a few hours ago. We

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Speaker 1: just went at it. There was no host, there was

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Speaker 1: no prompter. We just went at it. He promptly tuck

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Speaker 1: Tailor left the building after it was over.

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Speaker 2: Make of that what you will.

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Speaker 1: I will play you some of that exchange in this show.

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Speaker 1: They're watching us in Highlands Ranch, Colorado, Dayton, Ohio, New Delhi, India.

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Speaker 1: Big audience over there and all beneath Georgia. I appreciate

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Speaker 1: you guys. So we're in Fort Lauderdale tonight. I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: go down to Miami tomorrow just because I can, and

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Speaker 1: we're gonna go to Arizona State. I'm gonna do the

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Speaker 1: show from Arizona State. Thursday night. That's right, Pac twelfth

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Speaker 1: Painate had to die because the powers that be killed him,

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Speaker 1: and so now Big twelve Paate is coming to you

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Speaker 1: live from Tempe, Arizona, Thursday night. Again, nothing about the

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Speaker 1: show will change. I've gotten a crystal clear edict from

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Speaker 1: you guys, don't change the show when you go on

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Speaker 1: the road. So the show will be the same. If

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Speaker 1: you're listening on podcasts, you won't even know anything has changed.

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Speaker 2: But we'll have a lot of fun out there.

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Speaker 1: Okay, college football playoff rankings they just dropped, and I'm

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Speaker 1: telling you, if the five seed gets the G five

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Speaker 1: team and then the Big twelve team, We're gonna have

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Speaker 1: problems on our hands. Because I have been sitting here

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Speaker 1: idly by and I've been listening to everybody's theories about

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Speaker 1: do you want a first round by? And then I

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Speaker 1: got Cublic calling you an idiot if you even suggest

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Speaker 1: that having the five seed is better than having the

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Speaker 1: first round by?

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Speaker 2: And what have I done?

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Speaker 1: I've largely twiddled my thumbs because it was all sort

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Speaker 1: of just shouting into the ether until we got closer

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Speaker 1: to selection.

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Speaker 2: Sunday.

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Speaker 1: Well, the Ijosh says it's November nineteenth, Is that right, Colin, Yeah,

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Speaker 1: it's November nineteenth. So we're just a couple of weeks

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Speaker 1: away now from selection Sunday, and we have a fairly

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Speaker 1: good idea of what could happen here, and the playoff

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Speaker 1: committee just dropped these rankings and I couldn't help but

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Speaker 1: notice our friends in Columbus.

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Speaker 2: Ohio, Ohio State, as you.

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Speaker 1: May know them, They are projected to be the five seed.

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Speaker 1: And in those projections, the five seed would host Brigham

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Speaker 1: Young in round one.

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Speaker 2: I'm going to give you a point spread on that

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Speaker 2: game in just a second.

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Speaker 1: And then Ohio State, assuming they got past Brigham Young

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Speaker 1: at home, they would play Boise. Meanwhile, Oregon, the one seed,

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Speaker 1: would await the winner of Bama Notre Dame. I am

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Speaker 1: not going to pass judgment on this because this is

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Speaker 1: in all likelihood not how this is going to play out.

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Speaker 2: But there is a world where one of.

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Speaker 1: These big time like SEC or Big ten conference losers,

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Speaker 1: conference title losers, drops to the five seed, drops to

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Speaker 1: the five seed, and they they get for that Young

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Speaker 1: round one or the Big twelve team in round one,

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Speaker 1: and then they go and they play Boise in round two.

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Speaker 1: Not in Idaho, mind you that Round two game would

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Speaker 1: be in one of these sterilized NFL environments that this

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Speaker 1: entire thing was made for to begin with. So the

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Speaker 1: Big twelve just think about this now as we start

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Speaker 1: to dive in one of the big questions here, is

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Speaker 1: the Big twelve champ gonna jump.

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Speaker 2: Boise Let's just assume for the sake of.

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Speaker 1: Argument, that Boise wins the Mountain West, they don't lose. Again,

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Speaker 1: is that Big twelve champ gonna jump them? Because there's

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Speaker 1: a second thing that you're getting ready to have to stomach.

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Speaker 2: If you're an SEC fan, or.

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Speaker 1: Even if you're a Big ten fan, are you ready

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Speaker 1: to see Boise have a first round by that?

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Speaker 2: Really?

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Speaker 1: Is that really what you guys built this thing for. Now,

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Speaker 1: I say that tongue in cheek, I really heard me.

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Speaker 1: I put my tongue in my cheek. The answer is no, kids,

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Speaker 1: they did not build this under the auspices of inclusion.

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Speaker 1: There was an illusion of inclusion t shirt idea for

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Speaker 1: the Peyton State store, but it was never actually meant

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Speaker 1: to be that. And if Boise State messes around, has

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Speaker 1: the audacity to win their football games, and they win

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Speaker 1: the Mountain West and they get a first round by

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Speaker 1: Can you imagine folks at Georgia or Alabama or any

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Speaker 1: of these other places in the SEC being told, yeah,

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Speaker 1: you're in, but I mean you're gonna have to go

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Speaker 1: play in twenty four degree weather in round one while

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Speaker 1: Boise's gonna sit at home. Why, well, they want a conference,

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Speaker 1: Well what does that matter? Well, you guys agree to

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Speaker 1: the format. You know, we got to value that conference championship.

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Speaker 1: And what did MEMA teach us? All conferences are created equal? Wrong?

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Speaker 1: Memh would never be that foolish, But some people were.

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Speaker 2: Some people still are.

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Speaker 1: I got folks walk into college football streets every day

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Speaker 1: that claim you are what your record says you are.

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Speaker 1: They've been poisoned. Their mind has been poisoned by the NFL.

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Speaker 1: So what's up with Texas? Had a lot of accusations

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Speaker 1: of SEC homer ism thrown at me, gasp over the

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Speaker 1: past seventy two hours.

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Speaker 2: So let me drop this bomb on you.

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Speaker 1: If Texas loses to Texas A and M, I don't

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Speaker 1: think they should be in the playoff for the same

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Speaker 1: reasons that I don't think Indiana should be in the playoff.

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Speaker 1: If they lose this Saturday to Ohio, state. Both of

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Speaker 1: these things are controversial. Apparently, both of them apparently will

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Speaker 1: not happen. Apparently there are most folks out there thinking

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Speaker 1: that if Indiana loses and it's remotely competitive, as long

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Speaker 1: as they beat Purdue the next week, they'll be in.

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Speaker 1: I don't think that's the way it should be. But

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Speaker 1: I want to talk about Texas here. Texas everyone thinks

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Speaker 1: very highly of them.

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Speaker 2: I do too.

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Speaker 1: The Playoff Committee's got Texas in their top five. I

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Speaker 1: got Texas Power Rated in my top five. And those

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Speaker 1: are two different concepts, but in the case of Texas,

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Speaker 1: they overlap. But you know what, that's contingent on the

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Speaker 1: Playoff Committee's ranking of Texas. I think is largely contingent

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Speaker 1: on I test brand viability, which is not a data point,

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Speaker 1: but it is. And the third thing is they expect

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Speaker 1: them to do good. They expect them to beat Texas

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Speaker 1: A and M, they expect them to be in the

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Speaker 1: SEC Championship. Again, it's not supposed to work this way,

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Speaker 1: thank you and I both know that. But I think

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Speaker 1: you and I both also know it does work this way.

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Speaker 1: There is a lot of baking and of expectation when

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Speaker 1: it comes to rankings.

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Speaker 2: Texas's resume.

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Speaker 1: If you get the win against Texas A and M

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Speaker 1: next week, we'll pass the smell test and at that

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Speaker 1: point they'll go to Atlanta. Probably would be favored slightly

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Speaker 1: to win the SEC championship. So if they're there, it's

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Speaker 1: all well and good. Texas is hazing the barn for them.

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Speaker 1: Let's just explore the disaster nightmare scenario in Austin of

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Speaker 1: you guys lose to Texas A and M and then

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Speaker 1: remove the Longhorn logo and make it a blind resume.

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Speaker 2: What do you hanging your hat on?

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Speaker 1: What win? Michigan screwed you?

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Speaker 2: Guys.

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Speaker 1: I give you all the credit in the world for

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Speaker 1: scheduling big out of conference games, but Michigan screwed you.

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Speaker 2: That's out of your control.

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Speaker 1: But Michigan didn't come through, So that win doesn't look

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Speaker 1: any better for you than it does for Indiana, who

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Speaker 1: also is trying to hang their hat on the Michigan hook,

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Speaker 1: and Michigan's there like, sorry, it is our fault, but

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Speaker 1: it's not our fault.

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Speaker 2: Sorry.

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Speaker 1: You beat Vandy on the road, which is a top

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Speaker 1: forty I guess still top forty caliber win. Okay, you

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Speaker 1: beat Florida and I want to come back to that

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Speaker 1: and you beat Michigan, like we just said, but Michigan

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Speaker 1: is really nothing right home about this year. There is

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Speaker 1: not an impressive win on Texas's resume. If they lose

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Speaker 1: their two biggest games, the Georgia game, they had a

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Speaker 1: shot at home, they lost by two possessions. If they

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Speaker 1: lose on the road to A and M, what else

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Speaker 1: is there? What else is there right there? Because I'll

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Speaker 1: tell you that Florida win is going to be debated,

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Speaker 1: and I got not so controversial take on that. You

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Speaker 1: beat Florida and I will show you later tonight that

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Speaker 1: with DJ Lagway, I still have Florida Power rated top

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Speaker 1: twenty five. I think they're a really good team. With

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Speaker 1: DJ Lagway. You didn't face DJ Lagway.

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Speaker 2: Is that your fault?

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Speaker 1: No, it is not. It wasn't Florida State's fault. They

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Speaker 1: lost Jordan Travis last year. But you better believe they

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Speaker 1: got punished. They got left out of the playoff despite

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Speaker 1: being undefeated. So if that's the precedent that committee set

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Speaker 1: that you can be punished because you're missing your quarterback,

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Speaker 1: well you can also be punished or not rewarded as much.

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Speaker 1: I should say for beating a team if that team

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Speaker 1: didn't have their starting quarterback. Just a little food for

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Speaker 1: thought there.

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Speaker 2: Now.

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Speaker 1: As much as I think that's the way it should be,

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Speaker 1: I don't think they'll drop Texas that far, or I'd

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Speaker 1: have to see it to believe it. It's not like

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Speaker 1: I'm rooting for it to happen. Texas is great for me.

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Speaker 1: I love the folks there, Texas does great business for us.

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Speaker 1: But if I'm removing the Longhorn logo and just putting

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Speaker 1: a question mark, I'm not quite sure that resume stacks up.

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Speaker 1: It would have to be judged against the rest of

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Speaker 1: the field, obviously. So I've got some breaking news for

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Speaker 1: you. You hear this, you hear that paper pop breaking news

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Speaker 1: I hold in my hand right now. First round of

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Speaker 1: the college football playoffs. So we just had the first

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Speaker 1: round games, dropping our lap moments ago. Exclusive from FanDuel sportsbook.

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Speaker 1: I have projected point spreads on all these first round games,

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Speaker 1: and it is not going to shock you to learn.

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Speaker 2: Ohio State would be favored by twenty.

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Speaker 1: One at home against Brigham Young in round one, and

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Speaker 1: then I got three SEC teams on the road against

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Speaker 1: higher seeds.

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Speaker 2: All three of the SEC teams would be favored.

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Speaker 1: Georgia minus one and a half projected favorite on the

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Speaker 1: road at Penn State, Ole Miss minus one and a

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Speaker 1: half projected favorite on the road at Indiana. My goodness,

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Speaker 1: money just got laid down on Ole Miss and it's

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Speaker 1: not even available to be met yet. Alabama minus one

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Speaker 1: and a half point favorite on the road at Notre Dame.

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Speaker 1: So you got Ohio State lay in twenty one against BYU,

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Speaker 1: you got Georgia favorede against Penn State, Ole Miss favored

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Speaker 1: against Indiana, and Bama favored against Notre Dame. And what

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Speaker 1: does that tell you? Well, what it tells you is

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Speaker 1: there's a big difference in rankings and power ratings because

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Speaker 1: these folks right here are the best in the world

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Speaker 1: what they do, and they are telling you based on

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Speaker 1: their power ratings, which is how they generate their numbers,

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Speaker 1: that even with home field baked in, they're still favoring

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Speaker 1: all three of those SEC teams on the road. And guys,

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Speaker 1: I don't know if you noticed, those are cold weather

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Speaker 1: environments those three Southern teams are having to go in Jesse.

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Speaker 1: We know what the home field is two and a

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Speaker 1: half to three and a half points somewhere in there.

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Speaker 1: Do we know what the cold weather factor is numerically,

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Speaker 1: So we got a hit FanDuel back up, Have you

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Speaker 1: guys factored in average high temperatures in Bloomington, Indiana in

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Speaker 1: the third week in December? You know, I joke about that,

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Speaker 1: and then Bama may look like a frozen deer in

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Speaker 1: the headlights if they actually have to go up there.

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Speaker 1: So those are your projected first round point spreads. You're

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Speaker 1: not able to bet those, so calm down, they'll actually

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Speaker 1: be going to look for them. But if those games

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Speaker 1: were to happen, that's what they would look like right now.

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Speaker 1: So this whole Indiana situation has been a big point

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Speaker 1: of debate. I was watching the release on ESPN earlier,

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Speaker 1: and that's what they were arguing about.

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Speaker 2: And you know what started to bleed in.

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Speaker 1: A little bit nightmares from last year for certain fan bases.

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Speaker 1: What started to bleed into the conversation was do we

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Speaker 1: put the best teams in, you know, the finish here,

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Speaker 1: or do we put the most deserving teams in? Earlier today,

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Speaker 1: I walked no, I stormed into the building, and I

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Speaker 1: would have kicked the door down. But they're key card mechanized,

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Speaker 1: so I would have looked like an idiot. But I

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Speaker 1: walked into the building earlier today and Canel was walking

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Speaker 1: around with a letterman jacket with his own initials embroidered

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Speaker 1: on it. Of course he was I make up Peyton state.

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Speaker 1: This guy actually wears his own clothing with his own

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Speaker 1: initials on it. So if left unchecked, Caneal just is

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Speaker 1: like a hot air balloon that floats into outer space.

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Speaker 1: Someone's got to be the sandbag. Someone's got to be

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Speaker 1: the bad guy. You know what, forget the sandbags. Someone's

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Speaker 1: got to take a machete to the hot air balloon itself.

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Speaker 1: And for all of us. I did it. I acted

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Speaker 1: on behalf of the college football public today. I talked

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Speaker 1: to him about that. I talked to him about Indiana.

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Speaker 1: I talked to him about the whole sec thing. And

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Speaker 1: it ties right into this college football playoff release. So Colin,

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Speaker 1: we've got the video one, let's just go ahead and

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Speaker 1: roll it.

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Speaker 3: So they want to make sure they get as many

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Speaker 3: teams in because you know, it gives you a huge

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Speaker 3: advantage when you have half the field, which happened multiple

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Speaker 3: times in the fourteen playoff.

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Speaker 1: This is a beautiful Overton window move by you. This

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Speaker 1: is look, I believe in the.

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Speaker 3: I'm willing to give them because they are the strongest,

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Speaker 3: but they're not where you get half the field. That's

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Speaker 3: where I draw the line.

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Speaker 1: This is like, this is what Jake Paul felt like

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Speaker 1: last week. You're you're on the ropes right now. I

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Speaker 1: want to ask you, do you think Indiana's in even

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Speaker 1: if they lose?

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Speaker 3: I think they should be, but I don't think the

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Speaker 3: committee will have the same viewpoint that I do. And

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Speaker 3: I think an interestant question you said was what do

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Speaker 3: you consider a blowout? And you gave me the score

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Speaker 3: of what.

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Speaker 2: Thirty one to fourteen?

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Speaker 3: Thirty one to fourteen, which I think it's right around

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Speaker 3: the point Spread's two touchdowns, so it's right around that vicinity.

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Speaker 3: I think that would be enough. The question that would

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Speaker 3: have for you was what was the score of the

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Speaker 3: Texas Georgia game?

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Speaker 1: Thirty to fifteen?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, thirty to fifteen. Do we ever ask about Texas

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Speaker 3: how did they look stacking up at home against Georgia?

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Speaker 3: That's good, yes, so due to why did they have

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Speaker 3: a different standard than Indiana does? That's what bothers me.

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Speaker 3: I want everyone to be treated equally not a little

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Speaker 3: biased because you play in a certain conference, but how

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Speaker 3: do you actually look on the field the score of

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Speaker 3: the Georgia Ole Miss game. Georgia didn't look like a

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Speaker 3: playoff team on that day. They got beat by two touchdowns.

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Speaker 3: We didn't have that barometer with them asking how did

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Speaker 3: they look? So why are we going to do that?

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Speaker 3: With Indiana already knowing going into the game like they

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Speaker 3: have to hold this standard that's not even out there

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Speaker 3: for anybody else. It's just them because they're the new

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Speaker 3: comer to the party and they don't have a schedule

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Speaker 3: that matches up against the almighty SEC.

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Speaker 1: I don't do the SEC thing because you're right, there's

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Speaker 1: a member of the SEC that somehow is painted as

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Speaker 1: having like a ninety plus percent chance to make the

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Speaker 1: playoff in Texas that I think point blank should just

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Speaker 1: be out if they lose to Texas A and m Okay,

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Speaker 1: So that's an SEC team. I'm not giving that benefit

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Speaker 1: of the doubt to them. But then you went to Georgia.

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Speaker 1: George is a totally different story to me because unlike Indiana,

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Speaker 1: Georgia has other things they can fall back on. They've

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Speaker 1: got the Clemson game, Indiana's out of conference sucks, and

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Speaker 1: Indiana's conference schedule is not great. Georgia's got the Texas

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Speaker 1: game they can fall back on. Georgia theoretically will have

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Speaker 1: like the Tennessee game they can fall back on. Depending

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Speaker 1: on how much stock you put in that, I happen

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Speaker 1: to think there should be a lot of stock put

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Speaker 1: in it. So I'm going to go back to this

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Speaker 1: whole Indiana conversation. Like I am of the opinion the

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Speaker 1: committee will have them in even if they lose a

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Speaker 1: relatively competitive game. But they shouldn't be in because even

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Speaker 1: with a competitive game, if they lose, by if they lose,

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Speaker 1: because there's nothing else for him to stand on. What

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Speaker 1: about that?

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Speaker 3: What about them going toe to toe with Ohio State?

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Speaker 3: Because if you look at Ohio state schedule, their biggest asset,

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Speaker 3: their biggest feather in their cap is going toe to

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Speaker 3: toe with Oregon. Like that's what they've got going.

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Speaker 1: There's something else. They went to Penn State, they did that,

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Speaker 1: and that in that conversation, you would also have a

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Speaker 1: win over Indiana. You understand at that point, Ohio State's

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Speaker 1: resume will include them playing three top five opponents and

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Speaker 1: they will have beaten two of them, and they will

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Speaker 1: have lost by one on the road to number one.

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Speaker 1: Like that resumes night and day. Different from Indiana, Indiana.

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Speaker 1: It almost feels like the way we used to talk

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Speaker 1: about a G five team. You and I used to

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Speaker 1: go back and forth about this, and you used to

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Speaker 1: tell me, I think Boise's really good, and I used

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Speaker 1: to say, I agree with you. There's this separate conversation,

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Speaker 1: like there is a minimum baseline of pushback. Your schedule

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Speaker 1: has to have given you for you to even warrant

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Speaker 1: consideration or to get benefit of the doubt. And it's

359
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Speaker 1: crazy we're saying this about a Big ten team, But

360
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Speaker 1: that right there, the way Indiana's schedule broke this year,

361
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Speaker 1: that is one of the Power two League teams who's

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Speaker 1: if they don't win that big game, whose strength of

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Speaker 1: schedule does not warrant them being in I don't think

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Speaker 1: we'll ever say that again because I think they'll fix

365
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Speaker 1: the scheduling imbalance. But this could be it. But then

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Speaker 1: on the other side, we're talking about Indiana like we

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Speaker 1: used to those G five teams, and those G five

368
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Speaker 1: teams used to never have power and stroke behind the

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Speaker 1: scenes that was going to bat form. This is a

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Speaker 1: big ten team, Okay, so we're going to find out

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Speaker 1: how much, just like that SEC sticker matters, well, that

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Speaker 1: big ten sticker matters a lot too, And I ultimately

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Speaker 1: think that's why that's one of the reasons why the

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Speaker 1: committee will still have them in if they lose close.

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Speaker 1: The wisest man in the room is the man who

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Speaker 1: knows when to tap, and Canell never tapped, and so,

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Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know if he ever went Florida State,

378
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Speaker 1: but we had to take him to school today and

379
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Speaker 1: we did, and I think all of us are better

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Speaker 1: for it. I have often said that I really wish

381
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Speaker 1: Canell was a bad guy, because you want to hate it,

382
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Speaker 1: but you can't because he's a great guy, so you

383
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Speaker 1: just go get lunch afterwards with him. I think he's

384
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Speaker 1: actually so his thinking on how Indiana will be handled

385
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Speaker 1: is the antithesis of mine. So the way he thinks

386
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Speaker 1: Indiana should be handled is opposite to me. If they

387
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Speaker 1: lose Saturday, the way he thinks they will be handled

388
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Speaker 1: his opposite guys. I could be wrong on this, Frankly,

389
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Speaker 1: I don't care if I'm wrong either way. Right either way,

390
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Speaker 1: I think that Indiana is ranked high enough to where

391
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Speaker 1: if they lose, lose semi competitively, much less close close competitively.

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Speaker 1: I still think they're going to find their way in here.

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Speaker 1: And you know why, aside from the fact that they're

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Speaker 1: at five and so I just don't think they're gonna

395
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Speaker 1: fall that far, even though I'm told we're not supposed

396
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Speaker 1: to look at it that way. There is something that

397
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Speaker 1: occurred to me earlier today as I was sitting still

398
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Speaker 1: on I ninety five, not so much driving very fast

399
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Speaker 1: up by ninety five. And that is the only other

400
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Speaker 1: time we've ever had this kind of conversation has been

401
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Speaker 1: in the past when we were debating how seriously to

402
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Speaker 1: take a G five team. Boise State comes to mind.

403
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Speaker 1: In years past, Boise would just dominate a very inferior

404
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Speaker 1: schedule relative to the big boys. But we would look

405
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Speaker 1: and we would say, they're undefeated, you have to take

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Speaker 1: them seriously. Right, Well, they're undefeated against an inferior schedule,

407
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Speaker 1: but they've been blowing everyone out. Right, Remember that conversation

408
00:18:52,600 --> 00:18:55,200
Speaker 1: that used to happen, But we've never had that conversation

409
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Speaker 1: about a legit.

410
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Speaker 2: Power two team, not power four.

411
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Speaker 1: Power two to Indiana is in the Big ten it

412
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Speaker 1: just so happens with the stupidity of the way we

413
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Speaker 1: do scheduling right now, which hopefully changes, but the way

414
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Speaker 1: it is right now, you could legitimately have things fall,

415
00:19:11,800 --> 00:19:14,480
Speaker 1: the tumblers fall into place. You play what Jesse like,

416
00:19:14,560 --> 00:19:16,880
Speaker 1: six of the bottom seven teams in your league. It's

417
00:19:16,920 --> 00:19:19,840
Speaker 1: not your fault, it's not their faults, not anyone's fault.

418
00:19:19,840 --> 00:19:22,520
Speaker 1: It just is what it is. And we're arguing if

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00:19:22,560 --> 00:19:25,119
Speaker 1: an undefly undefeated parts out the window they're in.

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Speaker 2: If they're undefeated, as they should be, but.

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Speaker 1: We're arguing, is it a one game season for them?

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Speaker 1: And I'm telling you my personal opinion is if they

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Speaker 1: lose this Saturday, they ought not to be in. I'm

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Speaker 1: in the minority. I don't think you Indiana folks have

425
00:19:36,880 --> 00:19:38,280
Speaker 1: to worry about it all that much. I think you

426
00:19:38,359 --> 00:19:41,880
Speaker 1: will be in. That's been painted as Indiana hate, by

427
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Speaker 1: the way, because if there's one thing we know about

428
00:19:44,680 --> 00:19:47,000
Speaker 1: kids who grew up in West Central Georgia, it's that

429
00:19:47,040 --> 00:19:51,520
Speaker 1: we're taught to hate Indiana. Ooh, Indiana. No, it's just

430
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Speaker 1: basic logic. It's the same logic that has me telling

431
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Speaker 1: you Texas should be left out if they lose to

432
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Speaker 1: Texas A and M It's just basically, no one hates Indiana.

433
00:20:01,560 --> 00:20:04,320
Speaker 1: Who in the world hates Indiana in football? So back

434
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Speaker 1: to the point, back to the matter at hand here,

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Speaker 1: I don't think they're gonna be left out now. I

436
00:20:08,960 --> 00:20:11,320
Speaker 1: think it blown out like if Ohio State does to

437
00:20:11,400 --> 00:20:14,400
Speaker 1: them what Ohio State did to Michigan State a couple

438
00:20:14,480 --> 00:20:16,520
Speaker 1: of years ago, and I was at that game and

439
00:20:16,560 --> 00:20:18,040
Speaker 1: they just run him out of the building, then it's

440
00:20:18,040 --> 00:20:21,160
Speaker 1: a whole different conversation. But one other thing I noticed,

441
00:20:22,400 --> 00:20:26,520
Speaker 1: did you listen to Ward manual talk earlier tonight? He

442
00:20:26,600 --> 00:20:29,080
Speaker 1: is the committee chair, he's the athletic director at Michigan,

443
00:20:29,359 --> 00:20:33,920
Speaker 1: He's the committee chair. Ree Davis teed him up. Ree

444
00:20:34,040 --> 00:20:37,320
Speaker 1: Davis said, Ward, we are going to have a situation

445
00:20:38,240 --> 00:20:42,160
Speaker 1: where we could have two loss teams in the SEC

446
00:20:42,240 --> 00:20:47,359
Speaker 1: championship game, lose the SEC championship game, and suffer a

447
00:20:47,400 --> 00:20:51,000
Speaker 1: third loss. Are you going to punish a team for

448
00:20:51,200 --> 00:20:53,960
Speaker 1: losing a conference championship game? And what he could have

449
00:20:54,040 --> 00:20:57,600
Speaker 1: said is we are not going to punish teams because

450
00:20:57,640 --> 00:21:00,920
Speaker 1: they earned the reward of playing in their conference title game,

451
00:21:00,960 --> 00:21:04,880
Speaker 1: but he didn't say it. Instead, he said, we are

452
00:21:04,880 --> 00:21:09,919
Speaker 1: going to evaluate teams through the conference championship game like

453
00:21:09,960 --> 00:21:12,439
Speaker 1: we've done in the past. Well, I'm going to talk

454
00:21:12,440 --> 00:21:14,320
Speaker 1: about this a little bit later in the show. That

455
00:21:14,400 --> 00:21:17,160
Speaker 1: will be a disaster for you. It will be an

456
00:21:17,280 --> 00:21:20,879
Speaker 1: unmitigated disaster if any team in the Big Ten or

457
00:21:20,880 --> 00:21:25,240
Speaker 1: the SEC especially are punished one ounce, if there is

458
00:21:25,680 --> 00:21:29,960
Speaker 1: one spot of punitive action taken on those teams because

459
00:21:30,000 --> 00:21:32,320
Speaker 1: they made their conference title game and lost while everyone

460
00:21:32,320 --> 00:21:35,760
Speaker 1: else sat home. If they drop one spot much, let's

461
00:21:35,800 --> 00:21:38,520
Speaker 1: drop out. If they drop one spot, it is garbage.

462
00:21:38,640 --> 00:21:42,320
Speaker 1: It should never happen that way. You guys are about

463
00:21:42,359 --> 00:21:46,040
Speaker 1: to cut off your nose to spiderface, as I always say,

464
00:21:46,320 --> 00:21:48,080
Speaker 1: you better be careful on that, and we to talk

465
00:21:48,119 --> 00:21:49,080
Speaker 1: about it later in the show.

466
00:21:49,119 --> 00:21:50,639
Speaker 2: But you got a chance again.

467
00:21:51,400 --> 00:21:55,440
Speaker 1: Last year you just swerved. Like mid November on FSU,

468
00:21:55,800 --> 00:21:57,840
Speaker 1: you guys went from saying we're putting in the most

469
00:21:57,840 --> 00:22:00,639
Speaker 1: deserving teams to all of a sudden telling me deservings

470
00:22:00,680 --> 00:22:03,040
Speaker 1: not even in our lexicon. Do you remember that that

471
00:22:03,119 --> 00:22:06,040
Speaker 1: they actually looked you in the eye and said deserving.

472
00:22:06,520 --> 00:22:09,840
Speaker 1: Who cares about that deserving? What does anyone deserve? We're

473
00:22:09,880 --> 00:22:11,800
Speaker 1: going to put in the best teams. So you just

474
00:22:11,840 --> 00:22:14,600
Speaker 1: swerved your logic. You call it an audible, just called it

475
00:22:14,640 --> 00:22:16,960
Speaker 1: on the fly. You ought to do the same thing

476
00:22:17,200 --> 00:22:19,399
Speaker 1: with these conference champs. You better not be punishing anyone.

477
00:22:19,920 --> 00:22:22,359
Speaker 1: And I'm not even speaking in my best interest.

478
00:22:22,480 --> 00:22:23,160
Speaker 2: I don't care.

479
00:22:23,520 --> 00:22:26,880
Speaker 1: But you will have an army of Lane Kiffin's echoing

480
00:22:26,880 --> 00:22:28,760
Speaker 1: the sentiment he echoed earlier this week if you do that,

481
00:22:28,800 --> 00:22:30,280
Speaker 1: I'm going to talk about that later in the show.

482
00:22:30,440 --> 00:22:33,000
Speaker 1: We are proudly brought to you by Academy Sports and Outdoors.

483
00:22:33,400 --> 00:22:36,359
Speaker 1: They make this show possible, they make it free of charge.

484
00:22:36,440 --> 00:22:40,680
Speaker 1: We are proudly presented by them, and they are aware

485
00:22:41,240 --> 00:22:44,480
Speaker 1: as am I, as are you that after November comes

486
00:22:44,480 --> 00:22:47,199
Speaker 1: what December? And in December we have to do what

487
00:22:47,520 --> 00:22:50,199
Speaker 1: by a lot of people, A lot of things. I

488
00:22:50,200 --> 00:22:52,800
Speaker 1: had one of you, unprompted send me a Christmas list

489
00:22:52,800 --> 00:22:57,119
Speaker 1: the other day that you claim to have exclusively checked

490
00:22:57,119 --> 00:22:59,680
Speaker 1: all the boxes on at Academy Sports and Outdoors. And

491
00:23:00,000 --> 00:23:01,600
Speaker 1: we don't have a reward to give you. I think

492
00:23:01,600 --> 00:23:04,879
Speaker 1: we probably should, but they appreciate it. I appreciate it,

493
00:23:04,920 --> 00:23:08,159
Speaker 1: and you will too. If you haven't already, just stop

494
00:23:08,240 --> 00:23:11,080
Speaker 1: by Academy or go to Academy dot com. If you

495
00:23:11,080 --> 00:23:13,359
Speaker 1: can't get there in person, They've got you hooked up.

496
00:23:13,440 --> 00:23:15,520
Speaker 1: I promise you, guys, especially those of you who have

497
00:23:15,560 --> 00:23:18,199
Speaker 1: never been to one before. There's this image in your

498
00:23:18,240 --> 00:23:20,359
Speaker 1: mind of what you think academy is, and then you

499
00:23:20,440 --> 00:23:23,000
Speaker 1: walk in and no one ever walks in an academy

500
00:23:23,000 --> 00:23:25,560
Speaker 1: sports and out doors and says, well, I'm a little underwhelmed.

501
00:23:25,960 --> 00:23:29,399
Speaker 1: It's only the opposite, And see for yourself. And if

502
00:23:29,440 --> 00:23:32,320
Speaker 1: I'm wrong, I can't give you anything, but I won't

503
00:23:32,320 --> 00:23:34,919
Speaker 1: be wrong. I'm right on this academy dot com. If

504
00:23:34,920 --> 00:23:40,840
Speaker 1: you can't get there in person, all right, believe it

505
00:23:40,960 --> 00:23:45,240
Speaker 1: or not. Amidst all of the arguing about a playoff

506
00:23:45,240 --> 00:23:48,280
Speaker 1: that's still several weeks away, I am told, and Jesse

507
00:23:48,359 --> 00:23:50,480
Speaker 1: correct me if I'm wrong, we are going to play

508
00:23:50,520 --> 00:23:54,800
Speaker 1: games this weekend. Still, these games are still okay. We've

509
00:23:54,800 --> 00:23:57,320
Speaker 1: got big games this weekend. In fact, they got one

510
00:23:57,359 --> 00:24:00,399
Speaker 1: in Columbus, Ohio that's going to, one way or another

511
00:24:00,440 --> 00:24:03,440
Speaker 1: alter the entire course of the playoff. It is Indiana,

512
00:24:03,680 --> 00:24:06,280
Speaker 1: it is Ohio State. It is well, it's an Ohio

513
00:24:06,280 --> 00:24:08,120
Speaker 1: State game. So it's gonna kick off at noon. That's

514
00:24:08,160 --> 00:24:10,400
Speaker 1: just what they do. Now, this line has gone from

515
00:24:10,400 --> 00:24:13,280
Speaker 1: Ohio State minus eleven and a half to Ohio State

516
00:24:13,359 --> 00:24:15,840
Speaker 1: minus twelve and a half. This is what we call

517
00:24:15,880 --> 00:24:19,320
Speaker 1: a classic freeze point moment, not because of the temperature outside,

518
00:24:19,400 --> 00:24:22,240
Speaker 1: which should be in the forties, but because this is

519
00:24:22,280 --> 00:24:26,400
Speaker 1: what we find out about teams who have played inferior

520
00:24:26,440 --> 00:24:30,520
Speaker 1: competition and looked really good. No one's knocking Indiana because

521
00:24:30,560 --> 00:24:33,879
Speaker 1: they've done exactly what a good team should do against

522
00:24:33,880 --> 00:24:37,040
Speaker 1: bad teams. They've largely smoked them. That's wonderful, that's exactly

523
00:24:37,080 --> 00:24:40,520
Speaker 1: what you should do. However, what you haven't given us

524
00:24:40,560 --> 00:24:43,080
Speaker 1: the excuse me, what your schedule hasn't given us the

525
00:24:43,119 --> 00:24:46,520
Speaker 1: opportunity to do is see you against elite competition. So

526
00:24:46,640 --> 00:24:48,640
Speaker 1: we get to see that this Saturday. That's great, that's

527
00:24:48,680 --> 00:24:50,719
Speaker 1: like a few few days away, and then we can

528
00:24:50,720 --> 00:24:54,360
Speaker 1: put all that to rest. The freeze point is one

529
00:24:54,400 --> 00:24:57,200
Speaker 1: of the built in mechanisms we have on this show

530
00:24:57,520 --> 00:25:00,800
Speaker 1: to look at something about you. Could be your passing game,

531
00:25:00,880 --> 00:25:04,360
Speaker 1: could be your running game, could be your pass defense.

532
00:25:04,560 --> 00:25:07,320
Speaker 1: And if you haven't faced anyone who can test you,

533
00:25:07,320 --> 00:25:09,840
Speaker 1: you're finally facing someone who can test you. So our

534
00:25:09,880 --> 00:25:14,280
Speaker 1: theory on that is no different than water freezing. There

535
00:25:14,320 --> 00:25:17,760
Speaker 1: is a point thirty two point four degrees fahrenheit, and

536
00:25:17,880 --> 00:25:20,800
Speaker 1: if it's thirty nine or thirty seven or thirty five

537
00:25:21,000 --> 00:25:23,640
Speaker 1: in the room, it doesn't matter whether it's either of those.

538
00:25:23,680 --> 00:25:25,760
Speaker 1: The water's never gonna freeze. It's got to get to

539
00:25:25,760 --> 00:25:28,760
Speaker 1: thirty two point four, and then anywhere below that it'll

540
00:25:28,800 --> 00:25:31,480
Speaker 1: just freeze quicker. We got to find out if Indiana

541
00:25:31,600 --> 00:25:34,480
Speaker 1: as a team, as the quality of team, meets the

542
00:25:34,480 --> 00:25:36,480
Speaker 1: freeze point, because there are a couple of aspects of

543
00:25:36,520 --> 00:25:38,480
Speaker 1: this game where if they don't, they could get exposed.

544
00:25:39,040 --> 00:25:41,800
Speaker 1: But if they do, and I think we'll know pretty quickly,

545
00:25:42,080 --> 00:25:46,200
Speaker 1: then Ohio State could lose this game outright. So everybody's

546
00:25:46,200 --> 00:25:48,840
Speaker 1: focused on schedule right now with Indiana as it relates

547
00:25:48,880 --> 00:25:51,640
Speaker 1: to the college football playoff talk. I don't think that's

548
00:25:51,640 --> 00:25:54,159
Speaker 1: how you should break this game down. I think you

549
00:25:54,200 --> 00:25:56,320
Speaker 1: should look at schedule when you break this game down,

550
00:25:56,560 --> 00:26:00,280
Speaker 1: but not totality. Where are the common opponents. We're trying

551
00:26:00,280 --> 00:26:01,960
Speaker 1: to figure out who's going to win this game. We're

552
00:26:01,960 --> 00:26:04,080
Speaker 1: trying to figure out how these teams stack up. So

553
00:26:04,560 --> 00:26:08,560
Speaker 1: they've played three common opponents. They've both played Michigan State, Nebraska,

554
00:26:08,600 --> 00:26:13,040
Speaker 1: and Northwestern. What if I told you. Indiana comparatively has

555
00:26:13,080 --> 00:26:16,280
Speaker 1: fared better against these teams in terms of margin of

556
00:26:16,359 --> 00:26:20,560
Speaker 1: victory than Ohio State. They both played Michigan State. Indiana

557
00:26:20,600 --> 00:26:23,520
Speaker 1: won by thirty seven, Ohio State by thirty one. They

558
00:26:23,560 --> 00:26:27,399
Speaker 1: both played Nebraska. Indiana won by nearly half a hundred,

559
00:26:27,520 --> 00:26:31,040
Speaker 1: Ohio State squeaked by by four. Ohio State did beat

560
00:26:31,119 --> 00:26:34,560
Speaker 1: Northwestern by twenty four. Indiana beat him by seventeen, but

561
00:26:35,000 --> 00:26:38,880
Speaker 1: Indiana's dropped forty plus in all three games against those teams,

562
00:26:39,160 --> 00:26:42,800
Speaker 1: and the dynamics edge is also in Indiana's favor because

563
00:26:42,840 --> 00:26:45,600
Speaker 1: Ohio State's playing their fifth straight game and Indiana's off

564
00:26:45,640 --> 00:26:48,840
Speaker 1: of by So there are some blinking red lights there

565
00:26:49,040 --> 00:26:51,359
Speaker 1: that aren't an indicator one way or the other is

566
00:26:51,400 --> 00:26:52,520
Speaker 1: how the game is going to go, but it is

567
00:26:52,560 --> 00:26:57,199
Speaker 1: something to pay attention to. So there is a chance, obviously,

568
00:26:57,520 --> 00:27:00,359
Speaker 1: that Ohio State just breaks this game open, and it

569
00:27:00,400 --> 00:27:04,879
Speaker 1: will come if Indiana's run defense is fraudulent. That's the

570
00:27:04,880 --> 00:27:08,200
Speaker 1: freeze point mark of this entire game, because Indiana on paper,

571
00:27:08,200 --> 00:27:10,399
Speaker 1: has the number one run defense in the country and

572
00:27:10,440 --> 00:27:13,360
Speaker 1: they have not faced a rushing offense worth anything. They

573
00:27:13,400 --> 00:27:17,399
Speaker 1: have faced seven teams in conference play and none of

574
00:27:17,440 --> 00:27:21,000
Speaker 1: them have a rushing offense better than seventy third. Six

575
00:27:21,040 --> 00:27:24,120
Speaker 1: of them are ninetieth or worse. Now, that doesn't mean

576
00:27:24,560 --> 00:27:27,679
Speaker 1: that Indiana is fraudulent. It just means they could be.

577
00:27:28,160 --> 00:27:30,439
Speaker 1: So what are we looking for, Well, we're looking at

578
00:27:30,480 --> 00:27:33,439
Speaker 1: Ohio State's ground game early on. Ohio State does not

579
00:27:33,480 --> 00:27:36,160
Speaker 1: have the best rushing offense in the country, per se,

580
00:27:36,760 --> 00:27:40,199
Speaker 1: but they should be able to, if you look at

581
00:27:40,240 --> 00:27:43,040
Speaker 1: the game on paper, have some success here. If they're

582
00:27:43,040 --> 00:27:46,720
Speaker 1: getting stoned early on the ground, this entire game has turned.

583
00:27:46,960 --> 00:27:49,880
Speaker 1: If Ohio State cannot control this game on the ground,

584
00:27:50,000 --> 00:27:52,280
Speaker 1: if they can't, look at that blue chip ratio, and

585
00:27:52,320 --> 00:27:56,000
Speaker 1: by the way, Ohio State's blue chip ratio they got

586
00:27:56,040 --> 00:27:59,080
Speaker 1: a blue chip player's former four and five star player.

587
00:27:59,280 --> 00:28:03,119
Speaker 1: Ohio State's sixty nine of them, Indiana has ten. It

588
00:28:03,160 --> 00:28:06,160
Speaker 1: should be a roster game on paper, which we don't

589
00:28:06,160 --> 00:28:10,320
Speaker 1: play football games on, but just the mere paper of

590
00:28:10,359 --> 00:28:12,159
Speaker 1: it all says Ohio State ought to be able to

591
00:28:12,160 --> 00:28:15,880
Speaker 1: flex their personnel on Indiana and win. We know that's

592
00:28:15,920 --> 00:28:17,800
Speaker 1: not always the way football games go, but one of

593
00:28:17,800 --> 00:28:19,720
Speaker 1: the areas they should be able to do it is

594
00:28:19,760 --> 00:28:21,199
Speaker 1: they ought to be able to run the ball. They

595
00:28:21,200 --> 00:28:24,919
Speaker 1: ought to be able to do to Indiana what we

596
00:28:24,960 --> 00:28:27,680
Speaker 1: saw Michigan do to teams last year. They never should

597
00:28:27,760 --> 00:28:29,720
Speaker 1: have to look at Will Howard to win this game.

598
00:28:30,280 --> 00:28:33,080
Speaker 1: They may have to, but they shouldn't have to. So

599
00:28:33,119 --> 00:28:35,760
Speaker 1: we're going to see that run defense. If it's up

600
00:28:35,800 --> 00:28:39,800
Speaker 1: to the task, This entire game swings because if Ohio

601
00:28:39,840 --> 00:28:43,720
Speaker 1: State cannot control the game running the ball, well, then

602
00:28:43,760 --> 00:28:46,960
Speaker 1: it becomes kind of a matchup of quarterbacks. They'll never

603
00:28:47,000 --> 00:28:49,280
Speaker 1: be on the field at the same time. But you

604
00:28:49,320 --> 00:28:51,480
Speaker 1: know what I mean when I say that, And I'm

605
00:28:51,480 --> 00:28:55,040
Speaker 1: going to tell you Indiana I think knows the path

606
00:28:55,160 --> 00:28:58,320
Speaker 1: is kind of narrow in this game, but it widens

607
00:28:58,400 --> 00:29:01,040
Speaker 1: a little bit if it becomes qbv versus QB because

608
00:29:01,080 --> 00:29:04,280
Speaker 1: I think they're happy accepting their odds. If it's just

609
00:29:04,440 --> 00:29:07,280
Speaker 1: Curtis Rourke against Will Howard, that sounds like I'm knocking

610
00:29:07,320 --> 00:29:07,920
Speaker 1: Will Howard.

611
00:29:08,120 --> 00:29:10,680
Speaker 2: I'm not. I am not knocking him.

612
00:29:11,240 --> 00:29:15,680
Speaker 1: I'm saying Indiana's best chance to win, disproportionately is if

613
00:29:15,680 --> 00:29:19,080
Speaker 1: they pull that game in the direction of shootout. Which

614
00:29:19,160 --> 00:29:22,480
Speaker 1: quarterback can make the most plays this wide receiver corps, Well,

615
00:29:22,600 --> 00:29:26,200
Speaker 1: there aren't a ton of like Bolittanikoff finalists for Indiana,

616
00:29:26,520 --> 00:29:29,680
Speaker 1: they don't disproportionately rely on one guy, so they can

617
00:29:29,720 --> 00:29:33,480
Speaker 1: spread the ball around and if if they make it

618
00:29:33,600 --> 00:29:35,720
Speaker 1: like that, they got a shot. But then I think,

619
00:29:35,760 --> 00:29:38,200
Speaker 1: on the other hand, about just the quality of team,

620
00:29:38,480 --> 00:29:40,200
Speaker 1: it's gonna come down to that. With Ohio State, you're

621
00:29:40,200 --> 00:29:43,000
Speaker 1: just facing a higher caliber team on virtually every front

622
00:29:43,000 --> 00:29:45,520
Speaker 1: than you've seen so far this year. I wonder what

623
00:29:45,600 --> 00:29:48,320
Speaker 1: to make of the Michigan game for Indiana. That was

624
00:29:48,360 --> 00:29:51,520
Speaker 1: a one possession game, which is a good win. You know,

625
00:29:51,600 --> 00:29:54,320
Speaker 1: you just recalibrated things to think Indiana is a top

626
00:29:54,400 --> 00:29:57,040
Speaker 1: five team. Michigan's terrible, so they should pull away from them.

627
00:29:57,040 --> 00:30:00,800
Speaker 1: That's not the way that works. But if if you

628
00:30:00,840 --> 00:30:04,520
Speaker 1: did struggle to put Michigan away, then maybe that's an

629
00:30:04,560 --> 00:30:08,240
Speaker 1: early indication the quality of team doesn't scale the better

630
00:30:08,360 --> 00:30:11,320
Speaker 1: the opponent gets. Ohio State's really tough at home, man,

631
00:30:12,080 --> 00:30:14,680
Speaker 1: you know, a Michigan game or two here and there.

632
00:30:14,680 --> 00:30:18,480
Speaker 1: Notwithstanding recently, Ohio State's tough at home. So Colin, we've

633
00:30:18,480 --> 00:30:20,160
Speaker 1: waited for this all week. Let's take a look at

634
00:30:20,200 --> 00:30:22,440
Speaker 1: what the model thinks. The FanDuel number right now is

635
00:30:22,520 --> 00:30:26,120
Speaker 1: Ohio State minus twelve and a half. Models got Ohio

636
00:30:26,120 --> 00:30:28,760
Speaker 1: State minus fourteen guys. I think they're gonna win, and

637
00:30:28,800 --> 00:30:32,320
Speaker 1: I think they're gonna cover. I don't think it's a

638
00:30:32,320 --> 00:30:35,480
Speaker 1: blowout game. I think Indiana is gonna be very competitive.

639
00:30:36,320 --> 00:30:39,440
Speaker 1: I think that the span of four quarters matters a

640
00:30:39,440 --> 00:30:41,560
Speaker 1: lot here, Like I think the second half of this

641
00:30:41,640 --> 00:30:45,120
Speaker 1: game matters a lot here. And remember this game being

642
00:30:45,240 --> 00:30:47,880
Speaker 1: tied at the half and Ohio State getting a couple

643
00:30:47,880 --> 00:30:50,320
Speaker 1: of field goals and a touchdown late is enough to

644
00:30:50,360 --> 00:30:53,360
Speaker 1: cover in this game. So you know, thirty four to

645
00:30:53,400 --> 00:30:56,120
Speaker 1: twenty one is enough to cover in this game. I

646
00:30:56,160 --> 00:30:59,320
Speaker 1: think that's about what we're looking at here. I think

647
00:30:59,360 --> 00:31:02,239
Speaker 1: Ohio State when I think Ohio State will cover, I

648
00:31:02,280 --> 00:31:06,960
Speaker 1: don't expect this definitive like nail in the coffin performance

649
00:31:06,960 --> 00:31:10,120
Speaker 1: from Ohio State. And I'll also tell you this not

650
00:31:10,200 --> 00:31:13,040
Speaker 1: to be too speculative, because there's a lot of gray

651
00:31:13,120 --> 00:31:17,560
Speaker 1: area and unknown. But doesn't it benefit Ryan Day and

652
00:31:17,640 --> 00:31:21,080
Speaker 1: Ohio State potentially to have this game stay close enough

653
00:31:21,120 --> 00:31:22,720
Speaker 1: to where Indiana makes the playoff.

654
00:31:23,200 --> 00:31:24,400
Speaker 2: It's good for your conference.

655
00:31:24,880 --> 00:31:27,520
Speaker 1: But even if you don't care about that, it's also

656
00:31:27,560 --> 00:31:31,080
Speaker 1: good because it may mean one less SEC team in

657
00:31:31,120 --> 00:31:33,840
Speaker 1: the postseason, which is good for you guys, period. But

658
00:31:33,960 --> 00:31:36,760
Speaker 1: also it's one less team that has a more comparable

659
00:31:36,880 --> 00:31:41,760
Speaker 1: roster to yours in the postseason, and that may mean

660
00:31:41,800 --> 00:31:44,800
Speaker 1: something depending on how the bracket falls for you down

661
00:31:44,840 --> 00:31:47,520
Speaker 1: the road, if you are so fortunate as to make

662
00:31:47,560 --> 00:31:50,560
Speaker 1: the playoff. Now, the other thing that I would ask

663
00:31:50,560 --> 00:31:53,160
Speaker 1: you to do two things. First Off, subscribe to the

664
00:31:53,240 --> 00:31:56,000
Speaker 1: channel if you haven't already, because we do this show

665
00:31:56,040 --> 00:31:58,959
Speaker 1: totally free every week, three times a week, and we

666
00:31:59,000 --> 00:32:01,160
Speaker 1: appreciate you guys watch. And the best way to do

667
00:32:01,240 --> 00:32:03,480
Speaker 1: that and keep it free forever is to sub The

668
00:32:03,520 --> 00:32:07,440
Speaker 1: other thing that I want to leave you with, how

669
00:32:07,480 --> 00:32:10,640
Speaker 1: will the committee treat Ohio State if they lose this game.

670
00:32:13,040 --> 00:32:15,600
Speaker 1: Everybody who talks about this game is just talking about

671
00:32:15,640 --> 00:32:20,880
Speaker 1: the Indiana impact and if Indiana loses slash. When Indiana loses,

672
00:32:21,080 --> 00:32:23,360
Speaker 1: how far would they fall? And I am too, because

673
00:32:23,400 --> 00:32:26,240
Speaker 1: that's the outcome I expect. But I've been wrong before.

674
00:32:26,560 --> 00:32:29,240
Speaker 1: Actually I haven't been wrong. I'm perfect this year. The

675
00:32:29,280 --> 00:32:32,720
Speaker 1: games I've lost were mainly because coaches or kids or

676
00:32:32,760 --> 00:32:36,240
Speaker 1: officials screwed it up. So I want you to write

677
00:32:36,240 --> 00:32:38,000
Speaker 1: that in your journal tonight before you go to bed too.

678
00:32:38,200 --> 00:32:41,040
Speaker 1: But let's just say Ohio State loses. I'm looking at

679
00:32:41,040 --> 00:32:43,840
Speaker 1: their schedule here. They got to win against Iowa, they

680
00:32:43,920 --> 00:32:46,880
Speaker 1: lost to Oregon, they squeaked by Nebraska. They would have

681
00:32:46,920 --> 00:32:48,720
Speaker 1: to hang their hat. And it is a good win

682
00:32:48,960 --> 00:32:52,400
Speaker 1: on that win at Penn State twenty to thirteen. But

683
00:32:52,720 --> 00:32:55,520
Speaker 1: it becomes a little more slippery for Ohio State too.

684
00:32:55,120 --> 00:32:58,920
Speaker 1: As you would imagine, it is not slippery for us

685
00:32:59,040 --> 00:33:01,880
Speaker 1: to make all these trips. We're in Fort Lauderdale as

686
00:33:01,920 --> 00:33:05,080
Speaker 1: we speak, gonna shoot down to Miami tomorrow, gonna go

687
00:33:05,160 --> 00:33:08,600
Speaker 1: out to Phoenix tomorrow night. We'll be in Tempe for

688
00:33:08,640 --> 00:33:10,320
Speaker 1: our Thursday show. How do we do that?

689
00:33:10,360 --> 00:33:10,960
Speaker 2: We do that.

690
00:33:11,200 --> 00:33:14,000
Speaker 1: Courtesy of Quick Trip, because the whole New Saturday tour

691
00:33:14,320 --> 00:33:18,040
Speaker 1: is presented by Quick Trip, and we will be not

692
00:33:18,080 --> 00:33:20,760
Speaker 1: only will we be in Tempe for the Thursday show,

693
00:33:21,000 --> 00:33:23,560
Speaker 1: then we'll be out there Friday just who knows what

694
00:33:23,680 --> 00:33:26,520
Speaker 1: kind of ratchetness we get into Friday, But then we're

695
00:33:26,520 --> 00:33:29,320
Speaker 1: gonna be sidelined for the game Saturday. We're gonna see

696
00:33:29,360 --> 00:33:32,400
Speaker 1: BYU versus Arizona State, while the rest of the free

697
00:33:32,400 --> 00:33:35,520
Speaker 1: college football world is in Columbus, Ohio. I've already seen

698
00:33:35,520 --> 00:33:37,520
Speaker 1: Ohio State like half a dozen times this year. So

699
00:33:37,720 --> 00:33:40,320
Speaker 1: I chose to go out west. You know, I means

700
00:33:40,480 --> 00:33:43,320
Speaker 1: as Big twelve JP would do. So we are going

701
00:33:43,360 --> 00:33:45,200
Speaker 1: to see, obviously, both of these teams for the first

702
00:33:45,200 --> 00:33:50,520
Speaker 1: time this year. Hold on, I got a text. Okay,

703
00:33:49,800 --> 00:33:53,640
Speaker 1: it's going Some people in the control room like that.

704
00:33:54,280 --> 00:33:56,760
Speaker 1: We were looking forward to this, man, because this is

705
00:33:56,800 --> 00:33:59,400
Speaker 1: one I've always asked, like, how are we ever going

706
00:33:59,480 --> 00:34:02,680
Speaker 1: to get to go to either one of the Arizona schools.

707
00:34:03,080 --> 00:34:05,200
Speaker 1: I've only rarely been to the State. I've never been

708
00:34:05,240 --> 00:34:06,520
Speaker 1: able to go to a game out there. Well, this

709
00:34:06,600 --> 00:34:10,040
Speaker 1: is how Arizona State and BYU have won, and that's

710
00:34:10,080 --> 00:34:11,319
Speaker 1: how we get to go out there. So we're looking

711
00:34:11,320 --> 00:34:13,640
Speaker 1: forward to that, and we will meet a lot of

712
00:34:13,680 --> 00:34:17,439
Speaker 1: you for the first time out there this week. Maybe

713
00:34:17,440 --> 00:34:19,360
Speaker 1: we don't even have to wait till Saturday. All right,

714
00:34:19,440 --> 00:34:22,600
Speaker 1: let's continue back to the games. That's the real matter

715
00:34:22,640 --> 00:34:26,240
Speaker 1: at hand here. Well, this could be an ambush spot

716
00:34:26,280 --> 00:34:29,440
Speaker 1: Ole miss plays Florida Saturday. This is a legit game, guys.

717
00:34:29,880 --> 00:34:33,080
Speaker 1: You may not respect Florida, but the quality of team

718
00:34:33,120 --> 00:34:35,480
Speaker 1: they can put on the field if DJ Lagway is healthy,

719
00:34:36,040 --> 00:34:38,600
Speaker 1: is one of an ascending team. And then you got

720
00:34:38,640 --> 00:34:41,319
Speaker 1: to Miss, which is obviously a team and ascension mode.

721
00:34:41,320 --> 00:34:44,399
Speaker 1: We always look for that in November. Colorado's an unascending team.

722
00:34:44,520 --> 00:34:46,920
Speaker 1: Teams that are playing their best ball at the right time.

723
00:34:48,000 --> 00:34:51,560
Speaker 1: And what you'll find is especially in the SEC, because

724
00:34:51,560 --> 00:34:53,680
Speaker 1: some of the bad teams have a lot of talented

725
00:34:53,680 --> 00:34:55,640
Speaker 1: players on the roster. They just have played well this

726
00:34:55,719 --> 00:34:58,920
Speaker 1: year at any given point. If any of those teams

727
00:34:58,960 --> 00:35:02,360
Speaker 1: gets its act together in November, you could have like

728
00:35:02,400 --> 00:35:06,200
Speaker 1: a five hundred team with thirteen or fourteen future NFL

729
00:35:06,280 --> 00:35:09,040
Speaker 1: players on it, and you go into their building ninety

730
00:35:09,040 --> 00:35:12,760
Speaker 1: thousand plus and you realize, this feels like a better

731
00:35:12,840 --> 00:35:16,799
Speaker 1: team than someone fighting for Bowl eligibility. That may be

732
00:35:16,880 --> 00:35:17,920
Speaker 1: what you're dealing with.

733
00:35:17,680 --> 00:35:18,440
Speaker 2: With Florida here.

734
00:35:18,520 --> 00:35:24,480
Speaker 1: Now. Florida was more opportunistic than dominant against LSU. The

735
00:35:24,840 --> 00:35:27,880
Speaker 1: LSU box score looked like they won by ten. In reality,

736
00:35:27,920 --> 00:35:32,400
Speaker 1: they got beat by eleven because Florida was very situational.

737
00:35:32,400 --> 00:35:37,520
Speaker 1: They were opportunistic. How opportunistic can you be against Old Miss?

738
00:35:38,480 --> 00:35:41,920
Speaker 1: How do you limit explosive plays? That's the whole key

739
00:35:42,000 --> 00:35:44,760
Speaker 1: both ways here, that's the key. Ole Miss is second

740
00:35:44,800 --> 00:35:47,800
Speaker 1: in the country offensively in plays of twenty plus yards.

741
00:35:48,320 --> 00:35:51,279
Speaker 1: Florida's defense. You know what, that's a paper popper of

742
00:35:51,280 --> 00:35:54,000
Speaker 1: a stat I gotta go back so we're live where

743
00:35:54,000 --> 00:35:57,040
Speaker 1: i'd have Jesse and Collin edit this out. Ole Miss's

744
00:35:57,080 --> 00:35:59,520
Speaker 1: offense is second in the country in plays of twenty plus.

745
00:35:59,600 --> 00:36:02,799
Speaker 1: Florida's defense is one hundred and twenty fifth in stopping them. Well,

746
00:36:03,480 --> 00:36:06,239
Speaker 1: that's not a great thing. Again, we are fortunate we

747
00:36:06,280 --> 00:36:09,239
Speaker 1: do not play football games on paper, or ole Miss

748
00:36:09,239 --> 00:36:11,440
Speaker 1: would have just won right there after those words came

749
00:36:11,440 --> 00:36:15,000
Speaker 1: out of my mouth. But it's the same the other way.

750
00:36:15,680 --> 00:36:20,160
Speaker 1: Because DJ Lagway, Florida quarterback, on throws of twenty plus

751
00:36:20,280 --> 00:36:22,720
Speaker 1: yards in the air, he is the best in college football.

752
00:36:23,000 --> 00:36:24,040
Speaker 2: Now, you would think that.

753
00:36:23,920 --> 00:36:28,000
Speaker 1: Means oh Man, Florida's offense just up and down the field. Nope,

754
00:36:28,560 --> 00:36:34,080
Speaker 1: very inconsistent, very erratic. They cannot put together consistent, sustained

755
00:36:34,120 --> 00:36:37,120
Speaker 1: drives to save their lives. However, Lagway's the kind of

756
00:36:37,120 --> 00:36:39,600
Speaker 1: guy who could complete thirteen balls and nine of them

757
00:36:39,640 --> 00:36:42,239
Speaker 1: would be for twenty plus yards. And he's the kind

758
00:36:42,280 --> 00:36:44,360
Speaker 1: of guy. This is the kind of offense that you

759
00:36:44,400 --> 00:36:48,240
Speaker 1: could be sitting in the stadium and going boom touchdown.

760
00:36:49,120 --> 00:36:50,600
Speaker 1: That could happen to you, like three times in a

761
00:36:50,640 --> 00:36:53,319
Speaker 1: Florida game. Will it happen here? It's kind of all

762
00:36:53,440 --> 00:36:56,319
Speaker 1: or nothing. You've got to make him sustain drives against you.

763
00:36:56,480 --> 00:37:01,000
Speaker 1: Easier said than done. If Lagway has protection. Ole Miss

764
00:37:01,080 --> 00:37:03,839
Speaker 1: is eighty second in pass defense. So the ole Miss

765
00:37:03,840 --> 00:37:06,720
Speaker 1: secondary the whole catch twenty two there is They've got

766
00:37:07,239 --> 00:37:09,240
Speaker 1: to me, they got the best pass rush in the country.

767
00:37:09,239 --> 00:37:12,040
Speaker 1: Statistically it is whatever it is, but they've got the

768
00:37:12,040 --> 00:37:14,279
Speaker 1: best pass rush. They got the most dynamic group of

769
00:37:14,280 --> 00:37:17,040
Speaker 1: pass rushes in the country to me, so you rarely

770
00:37:17,120 --> 00:37:21,160
Speaker 1: have time like Carson Beck didn't have time against them. Well,

771
00:37:21,160 --> 00:37:23,839
Speaker 1: if Lagway has time, because unlike Beck, he can move

772
00:37:23,880 --> 00:37:26,480
Speaker 1: the pocket a little bit more with his feet, then

773
00:37:26,600 --> 00:37:30,520
Speaker 1: it's a different ballgame. I mean, ole Miss is seventh

774
00:37:30,560 --> 00:37:33,520
Speaker 1: in pressures and first in sacks. I said that Jesse

775
00:37:33,600 --> 00:37:34,800
Speaker 1: and I had the numbers right in front of me.

776
00:37:35,000 --> 00:37:37,000
Speaker 1: They are first in sacks in the country. They're seventh

777
00:37:37,000 --> 00:37:39,600
Speaker 1: in pressure rate. So if that happens, then the whole

778
00:37:39,719 --> 00:37:43,399
Speaker 1: Lagway downfield thing becomes a moot point. But they're pass

779
00:37:43,440 --> 00:37:46,640
Speaker 1: pro at Florida is pretty decent. Lagway can move the pocket.

780
00:37:46,640 --> 00:37:48,920
Speaker 1: Maybe it looks a little different than ole Miss versus

781
00:37:48,920 --> 00:37:52,040
Speaker 1: Georgia did. Florida needs to flip third and fourth down.

782
00:37:52,800 --> 00:37:54,880
Speaker 1: So this is where this game could hinge. If you

783
00:37:54,880 --> 00:37:57,239
Speaker 1: could convince me that Florida does way better on third

784
00:37:57,239 --> 00:38:00,920
Speaker 1: and fourth down than they usually do, I would talk upset.

785
00:38:01,080 --> 00:38:04,719
Speaker 1: Forget about covering. I would talk upset. But Florida is

786
00:38:04,840 --> 00:38:07,879
Speaker 1: ninety ninth on third down and one tenth on fourth down,

787
00:38:08,480 --> 00:38:10,920
Speaker 1: and ole Missus defense is twelfth in the country on

788
00:38:11,040 --> 00:38:13,560
Speaker 1: third downs allowed. So let's take a look at what

789
00:38:13,600 --> 00:38:17,520
Speaker 1: the model thinks. FanDuel right now is old Miss minus

790
00:38:17,560 --> 00:38:20,080
Speaker 1: ten and a half, and we agree with them. We

791
00:38:20,120 --> 00:38:23,120
Speaker 1: got ol Miss minus eleven. This is an extremely high

792
00:38:23,200 --> 00:38:27,200
Speaker 1: variance game, meaning if we spanned out, or if we

793
00:38:27,280 --> 00:38:30,200
Speaker 1: fanned out the deck of cards and we simulated this

794
00:38:30,280 --> 00:38:35,239
Speaker 1: game fifty two times, then there are wildly differing outcomes.

795
00:38:35,280 --> 00:38:38,040
Speaker 1: There is a Florida by fourteen in there, There's an

796
00:38:38,040 --> 00:38:40,880
Speaker 1: old Miss by thirty eight in there. This is not

797
00:38:41,040 --> 00:38:44,600
Speaker 1: really tightly compacted, only because of the explosive play in

798
00:38:44,680 --> 00:38:47,920
Speaker 1: third fourth down variants. So what I mean when I

799
00:38:47,960 --> 00:38:50,960
Speaker 1: say all that is I respect ole miss. I think

800
00:38:50,960 --> 00:38:53,200
Speaker 1: the most underrated team in the country. I think they're

801
00:38:53,200 --> 00:38:56,080
Speaker 1: gonna win the game and cover and I also wouldn't

802
00:38:56,120 --> 00:38:59,080
Speaker 1: be shocked if they lost out right. That makes no sense,

803
00:38:59,200 --> 00:39:01,480
Speaker 1: I know, But if you understand the profile of these

804
00:39:01,480 --> 00:39:04,120
Speaker 1: two teams right now, you understand why I'm not betting

805
00:39:04,160 --> 00:39:06,799
Speaker 1: a dime on this game. But I am going to

806
00:39:06,800 --> 00:39:09,000
Speaker 1: take a litle miss to winn and cover and at

807
00:39:09,000 --> 00:39:11,479
Speaker 1: the same time say, yeah, Florida's got a halfway decent

808
00:39:11,480 --> 00:39:15,200
Speaker 1: shot here. Let's move right along. And I should also

809
00:39:15,280 --> 00:39:17,560
Speaker 1: tell you, just in the interest of a programming note,

810
00:39:18,160 --> 00:39:20,840
Speaker 1: We've got several games to predict this week. I'm actually

811
00:39:20,840 --> 00:39:22,520
Speaker 1: going to save a couple of them for Thursday night.

812
00:39:22,719 --> 00:39:26,239
Speaker 1: So if you were watching the show tonight and you say, wow,

813
00:39:26,280 --> 00:39:29,160
Speaker 1: he didn't even predict my game, well, let's get through

814
00:39:29,200 --> 00:39:33,080
Speaker 1: the Thursday show before we say that. We haven't fully

815
00:39:33,120 --> 00:39:35,400
Speaker 1: formatted the Thursday show because we try and get through Tuesday,

816
00:39:35,840 --> 00:39:40,239
Speaker 1: you know, task at hand and whatnot. Oh, I need

817
00:39:40,280 --> 00:39:43,560
Speaker 1: to tell you something. So I was talking to management

818
00:39:43,560 --> 00:39:48,080
Speaker 1: earlier today and management informed me that dozens of people

819
00:39:48,440 --> 00:39:51,200
Speaker 1: signed up under the paid fifty promo on twenty four

820
00:39:51,200 --> 00:39:54,920
Speaker 1: seven sports dot com. And that's good because some people

821
00:39:54,920 --> 00:39:57,360
Speaker 1: thought I was joking about that. And if you're listening

822
00:39:57,480 --> 00:39:59,920
Speaker 1: right now and you have missed the last couple of shows.

823
00:40:00,800 --> 00:40:05,080
Speaker 1: I negotiated a little deal with management. As you do

824
00:40:05,120 --> 00:40:08,480
Speaker 1: this time of year, I mean it's almost it's almost Thanksgiving.

825
00:40:08,480 --> 00:40:10,640
Speaker 1: These people are getting ready to check out for Christmas vacation.

826
00:40:10,719 --> 00:40:13,880
Speaker 1: We will not see them until mid January. So before

827
00:40:13,920 --> 00:40:15,719
Speaker 1: they headed out the door to go to all their

828
00:40:15,760 --> 00:40:18,160
Speaker 1: parties and holiday parties. Of course, before they go to

829
00:40:18,200 --> 00:40:21,040
Speaker 1: all their parties, I had them create a promo code

830
00:40:21,080 --> 00:40:24,719
Speaker 1: for you guys. So all the stuff that you sign

831
00:40:24,800 --> 00:40:26,520
Speaker 1: up at twenty four to seven sports dot com for

832
00:40:26,640 --> 00:40:30,880
Speaker 1: is coming up. Recruiting season, National Signing Day, the portal's

833
00:40:30,880 --> 00:40:35,000
Speaker 1: about to open wide, the entire coaching carousel thing. So

834
00:40:35,320 --> 00:40:37,839
Speaker 1: if you don't know how that works, if you are

835
00:40:37,880 --> 00:40:39,839
Speaker 1: a member at twenty four to seven sports dot com,

836
00:40:39,880 --> 00:40:41,920
Speaker 1: you get access to all the team sites, all the

837
00:40:42,040 --> 00:40:46,480
Speaker 1: VIP content, most importantly, all the message boards, and the

838
00:40:46,600 --> 00:40:50,080
Speaker 1: great semi known story in this business is that's where

839
00:40:50,160 --> 00:40:52,799
Speaker 1: the juice is. That's where the news that's going to

840
00:40:52,840 --> 00:40:55,520
Speaker 1: be breaking in forty eight hours is before it breaks.

841
00:40:55,800 --> 00:40:58,120
Speaker 1: You get access to all those boards is worth its

842
00:40:58,120 --> 00:41:02,200
Speaker 1: weight in gold. But whatever they charge, just put in

843
00:41:02,239 --> 00:41:05,120
Speaker 1: the promo code. Paate fifty payate five zero. You get

844
00:41:05,120 --> 00:41:08,040
Speaker 1: more than fifty percent off, and several of you have

845
00:41:08,080 --> 00:41:11,480
Speaker 1: taken advantage of it. I highly recommend it. Most of

846
00:41:11,480 --> 00:41:13,319
Speaker 1: you probably got an account over there already. If you

847
00:41:13,360 --> 00:41:16,120
Speaker 1: don't pay fifty, it's going to be your hook up there.

848
00:41:16,160 --> 00:41:18,640
Speaker 1: Tell family and friends as well. Makes us look good

849
00:41:18,680 --> 00:41:21,200
Speaker 1: with management. So when they do come back in mid January,

850
00:41:21,719 --> 00:41:25,279
Speaker 1: we'll get a little pad on the back. Maybe Alabama

851
00:41:25,400 --> 00:41:29,680
Speaker 1: at Oklahoma. This game looks so attractive. In August, when

852
00:41:29,719 --> 00:41:32,360
Speaker 1: we were mapping out our schedule this year, I said,

853
00:41:32,600 --> 00:41:34,560
Speaker 1: watching ce Jesse, I bet I don't even go to

854
00:41:34,600 --> 00:41:37,840
Speaker 1: Ohio State Michigan. I bet we'll be in Norman, Oklahoma. Well,

855
00:41:37,880 --> 00:41:40,399
Speaker 1: we whiffed on that one. We whiffed on that one.

856
00:41:40,480 --> 00:41:42,560
Speaker 1: Also we whifted in general calls. The games aren't on

857
00:41:42,600 --> 00:41:44,200
Speaker 1: the same week, but it was August, so you.

858
00:41:44,239 --> 00:41:45,080
Speaker 2: Got to give me a break.

859
00:41:45,320 --> 00:41:49,960
Speaker 1: This is the Saturday seven thirty ABC game. Oklahoma rested.

860
00:41:50,440 --> 00:41:53,560
Speaker 1: Could it be a Super Bowl spot? They need this

861
00:41:53,680 --> 00:41:56,799
Speaker 1: game or the LSU game to be Bowl eligible. Just

862
00:41:56,960 --> 00:41:59,800
Speaker 1: as you're keeping track of what teams still have to

863
00:41:59,840 --> 00:42:04,120
Speaker 1: play for Oklahoma, they want those extra fifteen practices man

864
00:42:04,280 --> 00:42:05,960
Speaker 1: and the bowl game. Of course, maybe there'll be a

865
00:42:05,960 --> 00:42:10,359
Speaker 1: Pop Tart Bowl participant who's amongst us knows this game. Man,

866
00:42:10,800 --> 00:42:12,759
Speaker 1: it lost a little of its profile, but I still

867
00:42:12,760 --> 00:42:15,760
Speaker 1: think it bears close watching. Did we get the Bama

868
00:42:15,880 --> 00:42:20,560
Speaker 1: identity game? Not against Mercer, prayers for Mercer. I'm talking

869
00:42:20,560 --> 00:42:23,080
Speaker 1: about the LSU game, the game where they ran the

870
00:42:23,120 --> 00:42:25,600
Speaker 1: ball forty eight times and threw it eighteen times, The

871
00:42:25,640 --> 00:42:29,600
Speaker 1: game where Jalen Milroe looked like the vintage cape wearing

872
00:42:29,719 --> 00:42:33,400
Speaker 1: version of Jalen Milroe. Did we get the Bama identity game?

873
00:42:34,280 --> 00:42:37,040
Speaker 1: If we did, then Bama ought to be able to

874
00:42:37,040 --> 00:42:39,200
Speaker 1: win this game running the ball despite the fact that

875
00:42:39,239 --> 00:42:42,720
Speaker 1: Oklahoma's got the number eighteen run defense in the country,

876
00:42:42,960 --> 00:42:45,399
Speaker 1: because that's what you do if you're a playoff caliber team,

877
00:42:45,640 --> 00:42:48,920
Speaker 1: if you're an SEC championship caliber team, you take your

878
00:42:48,960 --> 00:42:51,640
Speaker 1: strength and you don't even care if it matches up

879
00:42:51,680 --> 00:42:53,240
Speaker 1: favorably with the other guy's strength.

880
00:42:53,280 --> 00:42:54,720
Speaker 2: You impose your will. Anyway.

881
00:42:55,120 --> 00:42:57,480
Speaker 1: That's how we used to talk about Bama. Could we

882
00:42:57,560 --> 00:43:00,200
Speaker 1: talk about this team in November the way we used

883
00:43:00,239 --> 00:43:01,799
Speaker 1: to talk about him? Well, that's why we're gonna play

884
00:43:01,840 --> 00:43:04,640
Speaker 1: the game Saturday. You can't finesse your way through these spots,

885
00:43:06,000 --> 00:43:10,319
Speaker 1: far too high caliber and athlete on Oklahoma's defense, far

886
00:43:10,400 --> 00:43:13,920
Speaker 1: too nasty an environment. You cannot go in there and just,

887
00:43:14,280 --> 00:43:17,000
Speaker 1: you know, hope to stay clean and we'll keep our

888
00:43:17,040 --> 00:43:21,120
Speaker 1: playoff resume intact. You just you'll get your nose bloodied

889
00:43:21,360 --> 00:43:23,440
Speaker 1: midway through the first quarter. You'll find yourself in a

890
00:43:23,440 --> 00:43:26,480
Speaker 1: dog fight. You can't think like that. If you're a fan,

891
00:43:26,560 --> 00:43:28,200
Speaker 1: you can, but you can't play the game like that.

892
00:43:28,640 --> 00:43:33,360
Speaker 1: Oklahoma Their achilles heel on defense is passes of twenty

893
00:43:33,360 --> 00:43:37,640
Speaker 1: plus yards, so teams have had success throwing the ball

894
00:43:37,680 --> 00:43:40,200
Speaker 1: on them. Jalen Milroe, when he's right, is one of

895
00:43:40,239 --> 00:43:42,479
Speaker 1: the best in the country at throwing the ball deep.

896
00:43:42,560 --> 00:43:45,200
Speaker 1: And yet I'm gonna go ahead and say I still

897
00:43:45,239 --> 00:43:47,000
Speaker 1: think that's kind of what you have to force Bama

898
00:43:47,040 --> 00:43:49,200
Speaker 1: to do, because what I'm not gonna do if I'm Oklahoma,

899
00:43:49,360 --> 00:43:51,280
Speaker 1: I'm not gonna sit there and watch four just run

900
00:43:51,320 --> 00:43:53,160
Speaker 1: all over me. I'm not gonna sit there and watch

901
00:43:53,200 --> 00:43:55,520
Speaker 1: them run me to death. I'm not gonna be LSU

902
00:43:55,520 --> 00:43:58,000
Speaker 1: two point zero. In other words, so if I'm gonna

903
00:43:58,000 --> 00:44:00,840
Speaker 1: make Jalen Milroe beat me with his arm, hey, they're good.

904
00:44:01,360 --> 00:44:03,560
Speaker 1: I'm a double digit dog at home for a reason.

905
00:44:03,640 --> 00:44:06,439
Speaker 1: They may still do it, but I'm gonna make them

906
00:44:06,440 --> 00:44:10,080
Speaker 1: do it. I'm gonna make them use the sword instead

907
00:44:10,120 --> 00:44:11,879
Speaker 1: of death by a thousand paper cuts.

908
00:44:11,920 --> 00:44:12,760
Speaker 2: That's so much worse.

909
00:44:13,040 --> 00:44:15,399
Speaker 1: I expect Ryan Williams to have a big game here

910
00:44:15,600 --> 00:44:19,080
Speaker 1: because I think Oklahoma's gonna force Bama to incorporate him,

911
00:44:19,120 --> 00:44:21,360
Speaker 1: not that they don't already want to. Jeremy Bernard been

912
00:44:21,360 --> 00:44:24,400
Speaker 1: a little while since we called his name Kendrick Law.

913
00:44:24,440 --> 00:44:29,560
Speaker 1: I still am waiting for that game or stretch of

914
00:44:29,600 --> 00:44:32,480
Speaker 1: games where we watch Bama and we say that's how

915
00:44:32,560 --> 00:44:35,200
Speaker 1: they need to be using Kendrick Law. I'm not saying

916
00:44:35,200 --> 00:44:37,960
Speaker 1: they're not using him. I just he still strikes me

917
00:44:38,480 --> 00:44:42,000
Speaker 1: as a different kind of player than any other player

918
00:44:42,000 --> 00:44:43,799
Speaker 1: they have, And I think if they go on to

919
00:44:43,920 --> 00:44:48,319
Speaker 1: win the SEC or go deepen the playoff, Kendrick Law

920
00:44:48,360 --> 00:44:50,600
Speaker 1: will have a big role in that. Oklahoma is one

921
00:44:50,719 --> 00:44:54,520
Speaker 1: hundred and ninth in the country in takeaways. Bama's defense

922
00:44:54,600 --> 00:44:59,520
Speaker 1: leads the SEC in that category, so turnovers are randomized.

923
00:44:59,600 --> 00:45:01,680
Speaker 1: Of course, we don't try and predict turnovers. But when

924
00:45:01,680 --> 00:45:03,880
Speaker 1: we got one team that's really bad in that category

925
00:45:04,160 --> 00:45:07,600
Speaker 1: and another team that's really good, you know more times

926
00:45:07,640 --> 00:45:10,200
Speaker 1: than not we figure it'll go that way. But more

927
00:45:10,239 --> 00:45:13,320
Speaker 1: so than that, I just wonder about several of these teams.

928
00:45:13,680 --> 00:45:16,239
Speaker 1: Are you surging at the right time? I wonder at

929
00:45:16,280 --> 00:45:20,360
Speaker 1: about Ole miss, I wonder it about Alabama. I wonder

930
00:45:20,360 --> 00:45:23,279
Speaker 1: it about Oregon. Like the teams that are going to

931
00:45:23,400 --> 00:45:25,520
Speaker 1: hit the gas, the teams that show they have the

932
00:45:25,560 --> 00:45:28,719
Speaker 1: next gear instead of running out of gas in November,

933
00:45:28,760 --> 00:45:30,239
Speaker 1: those are the ones that are gonna matter at the end.

934
00:45:30,400 --> 00:45:32,880
Speaker 1: That's always the way it's worked, whether we had two

935
00:45:32,960 --> 00:45:34,880
Speaker 1: teams or four teams or twelve teams, that's always the

936
00:45:34,920 --> 00:45:36,600
Speaker 1: way it worked. Colin, Let's take a look at what

937
00:45:36,680 --> 00:45:40,040
Speaker 1: the model things right now. FanDuel is hanging Alabama minus

938
00:45:40,080 --> 00:45:41,840
Speaker 1: thirteen and a half. That's a little too big for me.

939
00:45:42,000 --> 00:45:43,960
Speaker 2: Community. I got Bama minus eleven.

940
00:45:44,640 --> 00:45:50,160
Speaker 1: But I envision this game being something like twenty six

941
00:45:50,239 --> 00:45:53,200
Speaker 1: to ten, some kind of final like that. Twenty six

942
00:45:53,239 --> 00:45:57,560
Speaker 1: to thirteen, you know, twenty seven to eleven.

943
00:45:57,160 --> 00:45:57,480
Speaker 2: Why not.

944
00:45:58,719 --> 00:46:00,440
Speaker 1: I don't have a lien either way. I went Bama

945
00:46:00,480 --> 00:46:03,600
Speaker 1: to win the game. I will I will take them

946
00:46:03,640 --> 00:46:07,240
Speaker 1: to cover. There's no confidence in that, man. I would

947
00:46:07,320 --> 00:46:09,799
Speaker 1: I would light money on fire before I bet it

948
00:46:09,800 --> 00:46:11,480
Speaker 1: on this game. I have no confidence, but I'll take

949
00:46:11,520 --> 00:46:15,440
Speaker 1: Bama to win and I'll lay I'll lay the numbers slightly,

950
00:46:15,560 --> 00:46:17,560
Speaker 1: not a lot of confidence, and the model disagrees. For

951
00:46:17,640 --> 00:46:21,080
Speaker 1: the record, the model does disagree. Let's move right along.

952
00:46:21,520 --> 00:46:24,560
Speaker 1: Someone asking in the live chat why am I wearing

953
00:46:24,560 --> 00:46:28,400
Speaker 1: the black shirt? Have I not explained this enough? Maybe

954
00:46:28,400 --> 00:46:32,560
Speaker 1: I haven't. So I wear a white shirt at home.

955
00:46:32,800 --> 00:46:36,000
Speaker 1: I wear a dark shirt on the road, which is different. Normally,

956
00:46:36,280 --> 00:46:39,719
Speaker 1: I'm like LSU. You know, LSU wears their whites at

957
00:46:39,719 --> 00:46:42,200
Speaker 1: home and they kind of wear their whites on the

958
00:46:42,280 --> 00:46:44,640
Speaker 1: road too, But I wear the whites at home. But

959
00:46:44,920 --> 00:46:47,000
Speaker 1: this kind of road trip for us. We're in Fort Lauderdale,

960
00:46:47,360 --> 00:46:49,279
Speaker 1: will be in Tempee Thursday. I'll probably have the black

961
00:46:49,280 --> 00:46:51,960
Speaker 1: shirt on there as well. Plus it's thematic out there,

962
00:46:52,440 --> 00:46:55,560
Speaker 1: so that's why nothing nothing to get worked up about.

963
00:46:55,600 --> 00:46:59,040
Speaker 1: Same brand, and by same brand, I mean a company

964
00:46:59,040 --> 00:47:00,640
Speaker 1: I will not name on it air cales. They have

965
00:47:00,680 --> 00:47:06,040
Speaker 1: not paid for that privilege. Hint, hint, JP Pole. It's

966
00:47:06,080 --> 00:47:08,520
Speaker 1: time got the brand new JP Pole. It has just

967
00:47:08,640 --> 00:47:11,840
Speaker 1: dropped right there, coinciding with the college football playoff rankings

968
00:47:11,840 --> 00:47:15,799
Speaker 1: coming out. This is not a ranking system. How I'm

969
00:47:15,880 --> 00:47:19,800
Speaker 1: listing these teams is not how I think these teams

970
00:47:19,880 --> 00:47:24,319
Speaker 1: should be ranked. I cannot overstate that enough. Literally I can't,

971
00:47:24,360 --> 00:47:26,000
Speaker 1: because no matter how many times I say it, people

972
00:47:26,040 --> 00:47:28,759
Speaker 1: will argue with me about it. So we do have

973
00:47:28,920 --> 00:47:32,319
Speaker 1: some some upheaval in the top five here. This is

974
00:47:32,400 --> 00:47:35,600
Speaker 1: just neutral field favorability. How the model would stack these

975
00:47:35,640 --> 00:47:38,160
Speaker 1: teams against each other on a neutral field if they

976
00:47:38,200 --> 00:47:42,000
Speaker 1: play today. Let's take a look. Ohio State's our number

977
00:47:42,000 --> 00:47:45,880
Speaker 1: one team. I have some reservation about that, but whatever,

978
00:47:46,480 --> 00:47:49,680
Speaker 1: Ole Miss is our number two team in the country.

979
00:47:49,760 --> 00:47:51,760
Speaker 1: What I mean by that, excuse me. What the model

980
00:47:51,800 --> 00:47:55,319
Speaker 1: means by that is there is only one team that

981
00:47:55,520 --> 00:47:58,080
Speaker 1: it would pick to beat ole Miss on a neutral

982
00:47:58,080 --> 00:48:01,480
Speaker 1: field if they played tomorrow, and that's Ohio State. That

983
00:48:01,640 --> 00:48:04,680
Speaker 1: means the model thinks ole Miss is the best team

984
00:48:04,719 --> 00:48:08,000
Speaker 1: in the SEC. You want some rat poison, Lanekiffin, there's

985
00:48:08,000 --> 00:48:11,800
Speaker 1: your rat poison courtesy of this model that I hold

986
00:48:11,800 --> 00:48:14,440
Speaker 1: in my hand. You hear me loud and clear over

987
00:48:14,440 --> 00:48:18,359
Speaker 1: there in Oxford, mister ole Miss hater himself is telling you,

988
00:48:18,719 --> 00:48:21,719
Speaker 1: according to the model that I don't control, but I

989
00:48:21,760 --> 00:48:25,360
Speaker 1: do have proprietary ownership of ole Miss best team in

990
00:48:25,360 --> 00:48:29,399
Speaker 1: the SEC. Oregon number three. Georgia is up to number four,

991
00:48:30,000 --> 00:48:32,680
Speaker 1: Texas is at number five. These these teams are kind

992
00:48:32,680 --> 00:48:37,880
Speaker 1: of fluctuated. Understand dropping or elevating two spots could be

993
00:48:38,120 --> 00:48:39,600
Speaker 1: equal to us adding.

994
00:48:39,280 --> 00:48:41,279
Speaker 2: A quarter a point or a half a point to

995
00:48:41,320 --> 00:48:43,000
Speaker 2: your rating. So it's not that.

996
00:48:42,960 --> 00:48:45,319
Speaker 1: Big a deal. Let me straight my microphone there, who's

997
00:48:45,440 --> 00:48:50,040
Speaker 1: bothering mere? Ignore the static for a second? All right? Uh,

998
00:48:50,120 --> 00:48:53,880
Speaker 1: we continue Alabama as number six. Notre Dame is seven.

999
00:48:54,719 --> 00:48:57,520
Speaker 1: Not big movement here. Penn State's the same at eight.

1000
00:48:57,800 --> 00:49:01,000
Speaker 1: Tennessee did not drop Tennessee. He stayed the same. They're

1001
00:49:01,040 --> 00:49:04,520
Speaker 1: at nine. This is not a ranking.

1002
00:49:05,160 --> 00:49:05,840
Speaker 2: Not a ranking.

1003
00:49:06,200 --> 00:49:08,560
Speaker 1: You don't just automatically get punished because you lose.

1004
00:49:08,840 --> 00:49:11,400
Speaker 2: You don't automatically get rewarded if you win. Not how

1005
00:49:11,400 --> 00:49:11,800
Speaker 2: it works.

1006
00:49:12,000 --> 00:49:16,680
Speaker 1: Indiana's at ten. Big game this weekend, all right now.

1007
00:49:16,840 --> 00:49:18,759
Speaker 1: One of the bigger risers of the last few weeks

1008
00:49:18,840 --> 00:49:21,439
Speaker 1: is South Carolina, Jesse. Do you remember, off the top

1009
00:49:21,480 --> 00:49:24,640
Speaker 1: of your head where the College Football Playoff Committee had

1010
00:49:24,680 --> 00:49:28,120
Speaker 1: South Carolina? Was it like fifteen eighteen? Okay, well that's

1011
00:49:28,160 --> 00:49:32,399
Speaker 1: too low. South Carolina. October is over, but it is

1012
00:49:32,600 --> 00:49:35,560
Speaker 1: it is still really really legit season, right Now for

1013
00:49:35,600 --> 00:49:38,880
Speaker 1: South Carolina, we got him at eleven. Miami's at twelve.

1014
00:49:39,520 --> 00:49:42,279
Speaker 1: Clemson is up one to thirteen. Now Clemson is a

1015
00:49:42,280 --> 00:49:45,120
Speaker 1: team you look at and you say, oh Clemson, what

1016
00:49:45,680 --> 00:49:48,920
Speaker 1: Clemson's so flawed? Yeah, friend, they all are. It's twenty

1017
00:49:48,960 --> 00:49:52,160
Speaker 1: twenty four. The model is saying, I.

1018
00:49:52,120 --> 00:49:53,280
Speaker 2: Know Clemson's flawed.

1019
00:49:53,719 --> 00:49:57,319
Speaker 1: I've baked their flaws in and this is where we

1020
00:49:57,400 --> 00:50:00,000
Speaker 1: think they belong. Like the model would still favor Clemson

1021
00:50:00,160 --> 00:50:02,759
Speaker 1: over the teams below them. It would favor the teams

1022
00:50:02,760 --> 00:50:06,120
Speaker 1: above them over Clemson. That's the way it works. Iowa State, Hey,

1023
00:50:07,280 --> 00:50:12,160
Speaker 1: no tampering whatsoever here. Iowa State went from unrated back

1024
00:50:12,200 --> 00:50:15,520
Speaker 1: to fourteen. But I want to tell you the gap

1025
00:50:15,560 --> 00:50:19,240
Speaker 1: between number fourteen and number twenty five is two points

1026
00:50:19,320 --> 00:50:22,360
Speaker 1: on a neutral field. So this is it looks like

1027
00:50:22,400 --> 00:50:24,479
Speaker 1: a huge jump, it's not a huge jump at all.

1028
00:50:24,640 --> 00:50:27,040
Speaker 1: Texas A and m is at fifteen. That's pretty much

1029
00:50:27,040 --> 00:50:27,440
Speaker 1: the same.

1030
00:50:28,640 --> 00:50:29,920
Speaker 2: Twu Lane is.

1031
00:50:29,880 --> 00:50:33,600
Speaker 1: The big riser. Jesse. Where was Tulane in the College

1032
00:50:33,600 --> 00:50:39,080
Speaker 1: Football Playoff rankings? Out of Curiosity twenty three? Okay for

1033
00:50:39,120 --> 00:50:42,200
Speaker 1: shame because Tulane ought to be higher than that. Tulane's

1034
00:50:42,200 --> 00:50:44,520
Speaker 1: the best G five team right now, they should not

1035
00:50:44,560 --> 00:50:45,600
Speaker 1: be ranked higher than Boise.

1036
00:50:45,719 --> 00:50:46,480
Speaker 2: I'm not saying that.

1037
00:50:46,560 --> 00:50:51,400
Speaker 1: I'm saying in terms of power rating, we would favor

1038
00:50:51,400 --> 00:50:54,160
Speaker 1: Tulane by about four points over Boise. Just to give

1039
00:50:54,160 --> 00:50:56,520
Speaker 1: you an idea of how the model thinks those two

1040
00:50:56,520 --> 00:50:59,239
Speaker 1: teams stack up. And I mean, they're not big fans

1041
00:50:59,239 --> 00:51:02,359
Speaker 1: of rat poison down at Tulane either, But that doesn't

1042
00:51:02,400 --> 00:51:05,440
Speaker 1: mean it's not on the menu. At John summerl SMU

1043
00:51:05,560 --> 00:51:09,360
Speaker 1: is at seventeen, Colorado's at eighteen. Colorado's in that situation

1044
00:51:09,440 --> 00:51:11,200
Speaker 1: of it doesn't matter where you're ranked or rated, just

1045
00:51:11,239 --> 00:51:14,560
Speaker 1: went out and you're in USC is still one of

1046
00:51:14,560 --> 00:51:17,000
Speaker 1: the most controversial teams in the JP pole because they're

1047
00:51:17,040 --> 00:51:20,080
Speaker 1: at nineteen and they've lost several games close, and I

1048
00:51:20,160 --> 00:51:23,359
Speaker 1: keep trying to explain they could lose another game close.

1049
00:51:23,400 --> 00:51:25,800
Speaker 1: They're probably not going to drop a lot. Why because

1050
00:51:25,840 --> 00:51:30,080
Speaker 1: the model in Vegas would still favor them over a

1051
00:51:30,080 --> 00:51:30,880
Speaker 1: lot of teams.

1052
00:51:30,600 --> 00:51:31,440
Speaker 2: With better records.

1053
00:51:31,680 --> 00:51:35,880
Speaker 1: That's just the way it works. I have better explanation,

1054
00:51:36,080 --> 00:51:38,040
Speaker 1: but it's a waste of time at this point to

1055
00:51:38,200 --> 00:51:42,839
Speaker 1: explain it. Arizona State's at twenty. Arizona State is one

1056
00:51:42,880 --> 00:51:44,960
Speaker 1: of the stories of college football this year, because it's

1057
00:51:44,960 --> 00:51:47,000
Speaker 1: one thing for them to be ranked, but it's another

1058
00:51:47,040 --> 00:51:50,520
Speaker 1: team for a predictive, non merit based modeling system to

1059
00:51:50,520 --> 00:51:52,560
Speaker 1: take them seriously. And that's why it's a big deal.

1060
00:51:52,600 --> 00:51:54,719
Speaker 1: Two Lane's at sixteen, it's a big deal. Arizona State's

1061
00:51:54,719 --> 00:51:57,200
Speaker 1: at twenty. Good for Arizona State, just in time for

1062
00:51:57,239 --> 00:52:00,719
Speaker 1: us to go out there Thursday. Louisville is down eight spots.

1063
00:52:00,840 --> 00:52:03,520
Speaker 1: So it just seems like if the model gets attached

1064
00:52:03,560 --> 00:52:07,760
Speaker 1: to an ACC team this year, ignore it because you

1065
00:52:07,840 --> 00:52:10,319
Speaker 1: just a conversation between me and the model. You blew

1066
00:52:10,360 --> 00:52:13,200
Speaker 1: it on Clemson, you had them ranked fifth a little

1067
00:52:13,200 --> 00:52:16,880
Speaker 1: while ago, idiot, and now you had Louisville where you

1068
00:52:16,920 --> 00:52:19,480
Speaker 1: had them eight spots higher than this and they lost

1069
00:52:19,520 --> 00:52:24,640
Speaker 1: to Stanford. Right, Jesse, Yes, what's wrong with you?

1070
00:52:25,200 --> 00:52:25,279
Speaker 2: What?

1071
00:52:27,560 --> 00:52:30,040
Speaker 1: No model is perfect? As me and mom would say,

1072
00:52:30,600 --> 00:52:33,440
Speaker 1: I think she was talking about humans. But still, no

1073
00:52:33,560 --> 00:52:36,160
Speaker 1: model is perfect, and so the model is not to

1074
00:52:36,160 --> 00:52:39,520
Speaker 1: be trusted when it comes to ACC teams not named Miami.

1075
00:52:39,560 --> 00:52:42,359
Speaker 1: And who knows, maybe they're wrong about Miami too. Time

1076
00:52:42,400 --> 00:52:44,880
Speaker 1: will tell on that. Where were we a little bit?

1077
00:52:44,960 --> 00:52:47,560
Speaker 1: Florida is at twenty two. Florida's got Lagway back. So

1078
00:52:47,600 --> 00:52:50,840
Speaker 1: the Model has been consistent on this. We think Florida

1079
00:52:50,920 --> 00:52:53,719
Speaker 1: is a top ten caliber team power rating wise. If

1080
00:52:53,800 --> 00:52:56,239
Speaker 1: Lagway is healthy. They went out to Texas and got

1081
00:52:56,239 --> 00:52:58,960
Speaker 1: blown out without him, doesn't matter because he's back now.

1082
00:53:00,040 --> 00:53:03,520
Speaker 1: LSU they beat LSU, which which makes sense because they

1083
00:53:03,520 --> 00:53:06,879
Speaker 1: had home field and DJ Lagway. LSU is number twenty three,

1084
00:53:07,600 --> 00:53:11,200
Speaker 1: BYU is twenty four. We didn't really drop them, I

1085
00:53:11,200 --> 00:53:14,040
Speaker 1: mean the model didn't drop them. I had manually upgraded

1086
00:53:14,040 --> 00:53:16,840
Speaker 1: Brigham Young because of a promise that I made to

1087
00:53:16,880 --> 00:53:19,560
Speaker 1: the audience. This is right around where the Model had

1088
00:53:19,560 --> 00:53:22,239
Speaker 1: Brigham Young. We may still have bumped him a couple

1089
00:53:22,280 --> 00:53:27,040
Speaker 1: of spots. And Baylor, Baylor back from the dead. Baylor

1090
00:53:27,120 --> 00:53:30,600
Speaker 1: is twenty fifth. Dave Randa was on the hot seat.

1091
00:53:30,680 --> 00:53:33,719
Speaker 1: David Randa was done. Dave Randa is taking his belongings

1092
00:53:33,760 --> 00:53:37,680
Speaker 1: out of boxes that he had packed at him. Good

1093
00:53:37,760 --> 00:53:41,640
Speaker 1: for Baylor, man. I also just want to tell you

1094
00:53:42,840 --> 00:53:49,120
Speaker 1: that between number one, let's see, we got about seventeen

1095
00:53:49,239 --> 00:53:52,640
Speaker 1: points between number one and number twenty five. Now, I

1096
00:53:52,680 --> 00:53:55,400
Speaker 1: know if I put Ohio State minus seventeen against Baylor,

1097
00:53:55,600 --> 00:53:58,640
Speaker 1: most of you would bet it, And truthfully, a FanDuel

1098
00:53:58,920 --> 00:54:00,800
Speaker 1: had to put that number out there, probably in flade

1099
00:54:00,800 --> 00:54:02,439
Speaker 1: Ohio State a little bit, but we think there's about

1100
00:54:02,480 --> 00:54:05,520
Speaker 1: seventeen to eighteen raw points between one and twenty five.

1101
00:54:06,520 --> 00:54:10,799
Speaker 1: Speaking of FanDuel, they are the exclusive odds provider of

1102
00:54:10,880 --> 00:54:14,680
Speaker 1: the show. FanDuel provides us with all our numbers and

1103
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Speaker 1: invaluable feedback. I'm pretty sure I got their opinion on

1104
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Speaker 1: how to name Chuggy here, the mascot of Pate State

1105
00:54:21,920 --> 00:54:24,400
Speaker 1: that you can own on a T shirt at peytstatematerial

1106
00:54:24,480 --> 00:54:26,960
Speaker 1: dot com. But FanDuel has got all the od they

1107
00:54:26,960 --> 00:54:30,000
Speaker 1: got the Heisman, they'll have conference championship Saturday, they'll have

1108
00:54:30,000 --> 00:54:31,799
Speaker 1: bowl season, they'll have the playoff, they'll have it all.

1109
00:54:32,080 --> 00:54:35,040
Speaker 1: But they also got this weekend covered. And they have

1110
00:54:35,960 --> 00:54:39,880
Speaker 1: exclusive naming rights to the Rominddle Express, which is just

1111
00:54:40,080 --> 00:54:42,040
Speaker 1: a fancy way of saying I'm about to add a

1112
00:54:42,080 --> 00:54:44,480
Speaker 1: best bet for this week. So I already put out

1113
00:54:44,520 --> 00:54:47,279
Speaker 1: Texas Tech minus three and a half. They go to

1114
00:54:47,280 --> 00:54:50,000
Speaker 1: Oklahoma State. Well, they're playing the team that used to

1115
00:54:50,000 --> 00:54:51,919
Speaker 1: be Oklahoma State. I don't know what happened to him.

1116
00:54:52,239 --> 00:54:57,120
Speaker 1: And we're taking Boston College against North Carolina. Boston College

1117
00:54:57,120 --> 00:55:00,000
Speaker 1: at home plus two and a half against North Carolina.

1118
00:55:00,080 --> 00:55:03,919
Speaker 1: I know I will drop several more games Friday night.

1119
00:55:04,040 --> 00:55:07,840
Speaker 1: Lines will be live from Tempe Friday night at latekickjosh

1120
00:55:08,080 --> 00:55:10,520
Speaker 1: over on Instagram. And also I'll have some more added

1121
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1137
00:56:12,640 --> 00:56:14,120
Speaker 1: All right, let's move it along. I got one more

1138
00:56:14,160 --> 00:56:17,239
Speaker 1: thing to talk about here. Appreciate you guys watching live.

1139
00:56:17,360 --> 00:56:22,239
Speaker 1: Nice help the audience. And I'm just reading some of

1140
00:56:22,280 --> 00:56:26,040
Speaker 1: the live chat. Always entertaining the live chat. So this

1141
00:56:26,120 --> 00:56:29,200
Speaker 1: conference title situation could be a mess. The SEC in

1142
00:56:29,280 --> 00:56:30,719
Speaker 1: the Big ten, I think could be looking at a

1143
00:56:30,760 --> 00:56:33,200
Speaker 1: major issue. Sean hit me up and said, did you

1144
00:56:33,280 --> 00:56:35,920
Speaker 1: see Lane Kiffin say that teams don't want to make

1145
00:56:35,920 --> 00:56:39,839
Speaker 1: the SEC championship as they're afraid the losing team will

1146
00:56:39,840 --> 00:56:41,040
Speaker 1: be left out of the playoff.

1147
00:56:41,080 --> 00:56:42,120
Speaker 2: Could that really happen?

1148
00:56:43,640 --> 00:56:46,800
Speaker 1: Uh? I'm gonna give you my answer, Sean. I don't

1149
00:56:46,840 --> 00:56:49,719
Speaker 1: think that the loser of these conference title games will

1150
00:56:49,800 --> 00:56:52,160
Speaker 1: drop out. If they drop out of the playoff, that

1151
00:56:52,320 --> 00:56:55,680
Speaker 1: is a straight up five alarm crisis. I don't think

1152
00:56:55,719 --> 00:56:58,360
Speaker 1: they'll drop out. I want to know if they're going

1153
00:56:58,440 --> 00:57:02,600
Speaker 1: to drop period. So this is the most predictable issue imaginable,

1154
00:57:02,920 --> 00:57:07,200
Speaker 1: and that is as you disproportionately shifted emphasis to the playoff,

1155
00:57:07,880 --> 00:57:12,360
Speaker 1: you reduce the emphasis on things that already predated the playoff,

1156
00:57:12,640 --> 00:57:14,920
Speaker 1: which at its very core is what people like me hate.

1157
00:57:15,000 --> 00:57:16,840
Speaker 1: I was in its playoff expansion because I was fine

1158
00:57:16,880 --> 00:57:19,880
Speaker 1: with college football away. It was because I value Saturdays

1159
00:57:19,880 --> 00:57:22,000
Speaker 1: in the fall. And then I got on board with

1160
00:57:22,040 --> 00:57:25,280
Speaker 1: conference title games, and then we have this man made

1161
00:57:25,280 --> 00:57:27,520
Speaker 1: playoff come along, and it removes value from all of it.

1162
00:57:27,600 --> 00:57:30,640
Speaker 1: So that was unavoidable. I can't believe people are shocked

1163
00:57:30,880 --> 00:57:32,840
Speaker 1: that this is a thing, but it is a thing.

1164
00:57:33,160 --> 00:57:36,120
Speaker 1: So really, what's happening here? If I need to get

1165
00:57:36,120 --> 00:57:38,360
Speaker 1: you caught up on what Lane Kiffin said, is lane

1166
00:57:38,440 --> 00:57:42,120
Speaker 1: Kiffin said publicly what a lot of people are saying privately.

1167
00:57:42,160 --> 00:57:44,439
Speaker 1: I promise you they are because I have had many

1168
00:57:44,520 --> 00:57:45,200
Speaker 1: of them say.

1169
00:57:45,000 --> 00:57:45,400
Speaker 2: It to me.

1170
00:57:45,960 --> 00:57:48,160
Speaker 1: So the first thing I'm gonna do is I'm going

1171
00:57:48,200 --> 00:57:50,640
Speaker 1: to have Colin roll the video of Lane Kiffin, and

1172
00:57:50,640 --> 00:57:52,000
Speaker 1: then I'm going to talk to you on the other side.

1173
00:57:52,080 --> 00:57:52,600
Speaker 2: Let's roll it.

1174
00:57:53,880 --> 00:57:59,880
Speaker 4: You know, it's changed the conference championship. You know, could

1175
00:58:00,880 --> 00:58:03,800
Speaker 4: could have a big impact both ways for people. So

1176
00:58:04,560 --> 00:58:06,360
Speaker 4: I've talked to other coaches, so I'll just kind of

1177
00:58:06,840 --> 00:58:09,200
Speaker 4: give you the feeling from some other coaches that you

1178
00:58:09,240 --> 00:58:11,520
Speaker 4: know they don't want to be in it. You know,

1179
00:58:11,560 --> 00:58:16,400
Speaker 4: the risk to get a bye, sorry, the reward to

1180
00:58:16,400 --> 00:58:19,160
Speaker 4: get a bye versus the risk to get knocked out completely.

1181
00:58:20,520 --> 00:58:23,000
Speaker 4: I mean, that's a that's a pretty big that's a

1182
00:58:23,040 --> 00:58:28,320
Speaker 4: really big risk just to get a bye. So I

1183
00:58:28,320 --> 00:58:33,080
Speaker 4: think it's ended up being a very unique situation of all,

1184
00:58:34,040 --> 00:58:37,720
Speaker 4: you know, postseason sports, the way that that system is

1185
00:58:37,720 --> 00:58:39,520
Speaker 4: set up there, and how you could go to that

1186
00:58:39,560 --> 00:58:42,280
Speaker 4: and get knocked out and if you don't go, you're in.

1187
00:58:45,480 --> 00:58:48,520
Speaker 1: Uh, they're not following the script? Are they? Shame on

1188
00:58:48,560 --> 00:58:52,160
Speaker 1: these coaches for being actual humans with functioning brains. Yeah,

1189
00:58:52,280 --> 00:58:56,320
Speaker 1: so I think most people with an aforementioned functioning brain

1190
00:58:56,560 --> 00:58:59,560
Speaker 1: could have seen this coming, just like most people could

1191
00:58:59,560 --> 00:59:01,960
Speaker 1: have seen putting eighteen teams in a league but not

1192
00:59:02,000 --> 00:59:04,960
Speaker 1: having divisions could create a log jam at the end

1193
00:59:04,960 --> 00:59:08,800
Speaker 1: of the year. But hey, hoopster wee, right, we're not

1194
00:59:08,840 --> 00:59:12,320
Speaker 1: sharp enough to run conferences and decide formats and whatnot. Well, anyway,

1195
00:59:12,640 --> 00:59:15,280
Speaker 1: Lane Kiffin just said something there. Let me tell you something.

1196
00:59:15,720 --> 00:59:19,360
Speaker 1: I've had more than half a dozen, at the very least,

1197
00:59:19,400 --> 00:59:21,040
Speaker 1: I've had half a dozen head coaches tell me that

1198
00:59:21,120 --> 00:59:24,000
Speaker 1: this year, point blank, off the record. They'd never say

1199
00:59:24,040 --> 00:59:26,920
Speaker 1: it publicly. It's not that they don't want to win

1200
00:59:26,960 --> 00:59:30,200
Speaker 1: their conference. It's they don't think playing in the conference

1201
00:59:30,240 --> 00:59:33,120
Speaker 1: championship game is worth the risk and it's so pathetic.

1202
00:59:33,320 --> 00:59:35,880
Speaker 1: Oh Josh, you think those coaches are pathetic. No, they're

1203
00:59:35,920 --> 00:59:38,800
Speaker 1: saying the same thing I would say. I don't have

1204
00:59:38,840 --> 00:59:40,520
Speaker 1: to like the format, but I'm gonna go buy the

1205
00:59:40,560 --> 00:59:43,080
Speaker 1: format you put in front of me. What is the

1206
00:59:43,160 --> 00:59:45,120
Speaker 1: end goal here? To win a national title?

1207
00:59:45,240 --> 00:59:45,439
Speaker 2: Right?

1208
00:59:45,840 --> 00:59:48,320
Speaker 1: Well, it used to be that worked hand in hand

1209
00:59:48,320 --> 00:59:51,120
Speaker 1: with winning your conference championship. Now it kind of doesn't anymore.

1210
00:59:51,120 --> 00:59:53,200
Speaker 1: It doesn't really matter if you win the conference I

1211
00:59:53,240 --> 00:59:56,160
Speaker 1: know what you're shooting back at me with right now, Well, Josh,

1212
00:59:56,240 --> 00:59:58,480
Speaker 1: there have been years where Alabama didn't win the conference

1213
00:59:58,520 --> 01:00:01,320
Speaker 1: title and they won the national title. Do you understand

1214
01:00:01,680 --> 01:00:04,320
Speaker 1: how fine the needle was they had.

1215
01:00:04,200 --> 01:00:05,800
Speaker 2: To thread for that to happen.

1216
01:00:06,160 --> 01:00:09,440
Speaker 1: We are going to have multiple teams who are in

1217
01:00:09,520 --> 01:00:11,840
Speaker 1: this playoff now who didn't win their conference title, some

1218
01:00:11,880 --> 01:00:13,800
Speaker 1: of them didn't even play for their conference title, who

1219
01:00:13,880 --> 01:00:15,120
Speaker 1: have a really good shot.

1220
01:00:14,840 --> 01:00:16,200
Speaker 2: Of making a run and winning the whole thing.

1221
01:00:16,280 --> 01:00:20,160
Speaker 1: So please don't do the comparative analysis of previous years.

1222
01:00:20,480 --> 01:00:24,400
Speaker 1: This is year one of a new world. Okay, the

1223
01:00:24,440 --> 01:00:28,160
Speaker 1: asteroid just hit. Everything got wiped out. We are rebuilding

1224
01:00:28,160 --> 01:00:30,600
Speaker 1: from scratch. Don't please, don't try and compare the way

1225
01:00:30,640 --> 01:00:34,920
Speaker 1: things used to be. I promise you without naming names,

1226
01:00:35,440 --> 01:00:38,400
Speaker 1: I have had I would guess double digit amounts of

1227
01:00:38,440 --> 01:00:42,320
Speaker 1: coaches tell me that this year. I've had players telling me.

1228
01:00:42,360 --> 01:00:44,000
Speaker 1: I've had more coaches tell me that in the players,

1229
01:00:44,080 --> 01:00:46,880
Speaker 1: but I've had players tell me that, why did they

1230
01:00:46,880 --> 01:00:49,920
Speaker 1: think that way? Well, they think that way because they

1231
01:00:49,920 --> 01:00:52,560
Speaker 1: have common sense, because they're able to think for themselves.

1232
01:00:52,600 --> 01:00:53,560
Speaker 2: So here's what you have to do.

1233
01:00:53,600 --> 01:00:56,600
Speaker 1: If you're the committee. You have to set a definitive

1234
01:00:56,640 --> 01:00:59,760
Speaker 1: precedent here to new world. Everyone's learning how to think

1235
01:00:59,800 --> 01:01:02,640
Speaker 1: for the first time. We don't have historical data points

1236
01:01:02,680 --> 01:01:04,640
Speaker 1: to draw on. So you got the Kiffins of the

1237
01:01:04,680 --> 01:01:08,040
Speaker 1: world and several others. I'm promising you that won't go

1238
01:01:08,120 --> 01:01:10,200
Speaker 1: public with it. They're thinking the same thing. Oh, I

1239
01:01:10,200 --> 01:01:11,720
Speaker 1: don't know if I I don't know if I want

1240
01:01:11,720 --> 01:01:13,520
Speaker 1: to go play for the conference title yet. It'd be

1241
01:01:13,600 --> 01:01:16,800
Speaker 1: nice to win it, but I mean, we're in if

1242
01:01:16,800 --> 01:01:19,600
Speaker 1: we don't play in it. If we if we play

1243
01:01:19,600 --> 01:01:21,760
Speaker 1: in it and lose, who knows what happens to us?

1244
01:01:22,360 --> 01:01:25,439
Speaker 1: And so I'm good, y'all go play for it. I'm

1245
01:01:25,480 --> 01:01:30,160
Speaker 1: good and you can fix this by not taking any

1246
01:01:30,200 --> 01:01:34,200
Speaker 1: punitive action against the losers of conference title games. You

1247
01:01:34,280 --> 01:01:39,600
Speaker 1: think about the audacity of a committee watching you fight

1248
01:01:39,680 --> 01:01:42,600
Speaker 1: tooth and nail through the SEC be good enough to

1249
01:01:42,640 --> 01:01:45,640
Speaker 1: go to Atlanta and play and you lose there while

1250
01:01:45,640 --> 01:01:47,960
Speaker 1: everyone else is sitting at home, and you get knocked

1251
01:01:47,960 --> 01:01:50,920
Speaker 1: for it. I mean, that would be beyond egregious. So

1252
01:01:51,080 --> 01:01:53,640
Speaker 1: Kiffin said, I don't want to maybe go play in

1253
01:01:53,680 --> 01:01:56,360
Speaker 1: Atlanta because I may lose and get knocked out.

1254
01:01:56,200 --> 01:01:56,800
Speaker 2: Of the playoff.

1255
01:01:56,800 --> 01:01:58,640
Speaker 1: I don't think there's a world where that happens. That

1256
01:01:58,720 --> 01:02:03,520
Speaker 1: would be like a complete toxic doomsday scenario. I don't

1257
01:02:03,520 --> 01:02:07,600
Speaker 1: think that'll happen. I'm going to step further. Not only

1258
01:02:08,320 --> 01:02:10,400
Speaker 1: not only, you better not drop someone out of the

1259
01:02:10,400 --> 01:02:12,800
Speaker 1: playoff if they lose their conference title game. You better

1260
01:02:12,840 --> 01:02:15,760
Speaker 1: not drop them at all. In those Power two conferences.

1261
01:02:16,240 --> 01:02:20,040
Speaker 1: And I know that sounds very hypocritical because I didn't

1262
01:02:20,120 --> 01:02:22,760
Speaker 1: include the Big Twelve. I didn't include the ACC. What

1263
01:02:22,800 --> 01:02:25,600
Speaker 1: I'm telling you, point blank is I think the Power

1264
01:02:25,640 --> 01:02:28,160
Speaker 1: two Conferences will be held to a different standard. You

1265
01:02:28,160 --> 01:02:29,720
Speaker 1: can like that or not like that. I'm sure there

1266
01:02:29,720 --> 01:02:34,120
Speaker 1: are many opinions on that. I am speaking for specifically

1267
01:02:34,160 --> 01:02:37,280
Speaker 1: the SEC and the Big Ten. If you drop either

1268
01:02:37,320 --> 01:02:40,280
Speaker 1: of their conference title game losers at all, it is

1269
01:02:40,440 --> 01:02:43,200
Speaker 1: your fault. If people continue to think this way and

1270
01:02:43,200 --> 01:02:46,520
Speaker 1: talk this way, you got an opportunity. Let's say Texas

1271
01:02:46,560 --> 01:02:49,280
Speaker 1: plays Alabama in Atlanta in a few weeks and Bama

1272
01:02:49,360 --> 01:02:53,160
Speaker 1: goes into that thing ranked seventh. If they lose to Texas,

1273
01:02:53,360 --> 01:02:55,800
Speaker 1: you need to keep them at seventh because if you

1274
01:02:55,920 --> 01:02:59,040
Speaker 1: drop them number one, you probably cost them a home

1275
01:02:59,040 --> 01:03:03,400
Speaker 1: playoff game. But number two, you just crystallized the fear

1276
01:03:03,560 --> 01:03:05,640
Speaker 1: that everyone has that if I go to the conference

1277
01:03:05,720 --> 01:03:07,560
Speaker 1: title game and lose, I'm gonna get punished for it.

1278
01:03:07,600 --> 01:03:10,680
Speaker 1: I don't want to go. I'm happy. The risk reward

1279
01:03:10,760 --> 01:03:14,800
Speaker 1: doesn't make sense to me. I'm happy it's all on

1280
01:03:14,840 --> 01:03:17,000
Speaker 1: the committee. It's not on the teams, it's on the committee.

1281
01:03:17,080 --> 01:03:19,000
Speaker 1: I got a lot of people watching Live By the way,

1282
01:03:19,040 --> 01:03:21,520
Speaker 1: please make sure you subscribe to the channel because the

1283
01:03:21,560 --> 01:03:24,120
Speaker 1: show costs nothing. It's free. It costs nothing to subscribe.

1284
01:03:24,240 --> 01:03:26,000
Speaker 1: It doesn't tie you to anything, it doesn't sign you

1285
01:03:26,080 --> 01:03:28,800
Speaker 1: up for anything. It just helps our show. I expect

1286
01:03:29,000 --> 01:03:32,560
Speaker 1: big changes in the college football playoff format in the

1287
01:03:32,600 --> 01:03:36,520
Speaker 1: coming years because you've got to circumvent this. You cannot

1288
01:03:36,560 --> 01:03:41,280
Speaker 1: have people questioning the value of playing for a conference

1289
01:03:41,320 --> 01:03:44,600
Speaker 1: title and winning a conference title when you've paid the

1290
01:03:44,640 --> 01:03:47,280
Speaker 1: tens of millions of dollars that you have for that

1291
01:03:47,320 --> 01:03:50,040
Speaker 1: conference championship. If you're a media rights holder, if you're

1292
01:03:50,120 --> 01:03:53,760
Speaker 1: CBS or NBC or Fox or who are ESPN, whoever

1293
01:03:53,800 --> 01:03:57,200
Speaker 1: it is, you pay so much money. If you're those conferences,

1294
01:03:57,240 --> 01:03:59,400
Speaker 1: you get so much money off those conference title games,

1295
01:03:59,640 --> 01:04:02,000
Speaker 1: you you've got to have them. There is no world

1296
01:04:02,080 --> 01:04:04,120
Speaker 1: where they go away. I hope you guys understand that,

1297
01:04:04,120 --> 01:04:07,280
Speaker 1: because I've had some people DM me and say, oh man,

1298
01:04:07,360 --> 01:04:09,280
Speaker 1: it's just a formality. They're going to go ahead and

1299
01:04:09,280 --> 01:04:11,200
Speaker 1: get rid of these conference title games. No no, no, no, no,

1300
01:04:11,320 --> 01:04:14,800
Speaker 1: no no, They're not going anywhere. They actually are going

1301
01:04:14,840 --> 01:04:19,120
Speaker 1: to be reimagined. And what I think almost this is

1302
01:04:19,160 --> 01:04:24,000
Speaker 1: a little conspiratorial, But it wouldn't surprise me if there

1303
01:04:24,000 --> 01:04:26,040
Speaker 1: were some people in the room smarter than we give

1304
01:04:26,080 --> 01:04:28,800
Speaker 1: them credit for, who were looking around at this mess

1305
01:04:28,840 --> 01:04:32,920
Speaker 1: and just smiling because they know I've got to create

1306
01:04:33,000 --> 01:04:36,760
Speaker 1: the mess before I can propose the solution that I've

1307
01:04:36,800 --> 01:04:39,960
Speaker 1: wanted all along. See, I'm a believer that once we

1308
01:04:40,040 --> 01:04:44,080
Speaker 1: started going down this road of realignment and expansion all

1309
01:04:44,080 --> 01:04:47,240
Speaker 1: over the place. I'm a believer that once the SEC

1310
01:04:47,360 --> 01:04:49,880
Speaker 1: started swallowing teams up, and once the Big Ten started

1311
01:04:49,880 --> 01:04:54,120
Speaker 1: swallowing teams up, that they were on an eventual course

1312
01:04:54,720 --> 01:04:58,720
Speaker 1: that would land them in NFC AFC territory. I've thought

1313
01:04:58,760 --> 01:05:00,600
Speaker 1: that for a long time. Colin went the first shows

1314
01:05:00,640 --> 01:05:03,360
Speaker 1: we did here in twenty twenty, I said that, and

1315
01:05:03,440 --> 01:05:05,200
Speaker 1: I got laughed at by a lot of people. Well

1316
01:05:05,240 --> 01:05:08,600
Speaker 1: here we are just four years later. No one's laughing.

1317
01:05:08,640 --> 01:05:11,400
Speaker 1: Even if you disagree, you're not laughing anymore. But here's

1318
01:05:11,440 --> 01:05:12,200
Speaker 1: what I think that.

1319
01:05:12,160 --> 01:05:13,600
Speaker 2: Would look like. I don't know how the rest of

1320
01:05:13,640 --> 01:05:14,640
Speaker 2: the playoff would play out.

1321
01:05:14,760 --> 01:05:16,360
Speaker 1: I literally have no idea what you would do with

1322
01:05:16,360 --> 01:05:19,760
Speaker 1: the rest of the country, but to maintain the sanctity

1323
01:05:19,760 --> 01:05:24,080
Speaker 1: and value of your conference championship game, I think in

1324
01:05:24,120 --> 01:05:27,360
Speaker 1: the future the SEC and the Big Ten will both

1325
01:05:27,440 --> 01:05:31,960
Speaker 1: have built in conference tournaments, maybe semi final and final

1326
01:05:32,040 --> 01:05:35,680
Speaker 1: or quarterfinal semi final final, no different than the AFC

1327
01:05:35,720 --> 01:05:38,880
Speaker 1: and the NFC. Look at the end of the NFL season,

1328
01:05:39,520 --> 01:05:41,760
Speaker 1: and then I pump out my champion, and you pump

1329
01:05:41,840 --> 01:05:44,040
Speaker 1: out your champion, and then we have a playoff, or

1330
01:05:44,080 --> 01:05:48,400
Speaker 1: maybe that format is baked into the playoff structure and

1331
01:05:48,440 --> 01:05:52,000
Speaker 1: those games happen at the neutral sites that the playoff

1332
01:05:52,040 --> 01:05:55,200
Speaker 1: games would already happen at. I'm just telling you the

1333
01:05:55,240 --> 01:05:58,160
Speaker 1: alternative is non negotiable. They cannot get rid of those

1334
01:05:58,160 --> 01:06:01,440
Speaker 1: conference championship games. They don't want to. They couldn't if

1335
01:06:01,480 --> 01:06:04,880
Speaker 1: they did want to. So that's off the table. So

1336
01:06:05,640 --> 01:06:08,360
Speaker 1: you got one choice, and one choice only, and that

1337
01:06:08,440 --> 01:06:10,800
Speaker 1: is make sure people care about winning the conference title,

1338
01:06:11,040 --> 01:06:12,440
Speaker 1: and no one's talking about.

1339
01:06:12,160 --> 01:06:14,320
Speaker 2: The risk not being worth it.

1340
01:06:14,440 --> 01:06:18,640
Speaker 1: I also think that it's a shame, just on a

1341
01:06:18,640 --> 01:06:22,560
Speaker 1: different note here, that every adjustment we make to college

1342
01:06:22,560 --> 01:06:25,960
Speaker 1: football's playoff did values something that was already there. You

1343
01:06:26,040 --> 01:06:30,240
Speaker 1: notice that some people saw that coming. I don't think

1344
01:06:30,280 --> 01:06:32,360
Speaker 1: it was too hard to see coming. It's why I

1345
01:06:32,400 --> 01:06:34,280
Speaker 1: was not a huge fan of it. But you just

1346
01:06:34,400 --> 01:06:38,560
Speaker 1: notice every one of these moves that's made, first, it

1347
01:06:38,600 --> 01:06:42,080
Speaker 1: did values the regular season. Well, now we've expanded the playoff,

1348
01:06:42,480 --> 01:06:45,920
Speaker 1: and now what are they questioning the value of coaches?

1349
01:06:46,080 --> 01:06:49,040
Speaker 1: What are they questioning the value of the conference title game?

1350
01:06:49,600 --> 01:06:54,480
Speaker 1: Did you ever think that you'd hear coaches questioning the

1351
01:06:54,600 --> 01:06:58,560
Speaker 1: value of a conference title? Well? How did we do it. Well,

1352
01:06:58,600 --> 01:07:01,400
Speaker 1: it's because we came in and we built ourselves an

1353
01:07:01,400 --> 01:07:04,760
Speaker 1: ATM and we put a playoff sticker on the side

1354
01:07:04,800 --> 01:07:06,919
Speaker 1: of it and called it a playoff. And now we've

1355
01:07:06,920 --> 01:07:09,880
Speaker 1: told everyone this is what matters, this playoff thing, this

1356
01:07:10,000 --> 01:07:14,800
Speaker 1: matters the most. And that's what your bonuses are tied into.

1357
01:07:14,880 --> 01:07:17,520
Speaker 1: That's what your incentive clauses are tied into. That's what

1358
01:07:17,560 --> 01:07:20,720
Speaker 1: you're playing for, that's what you're working towards. And so

1359
01:07:20,840 --> 01:07:23,200
Speaker 1: in the aggregate, Hey, man, if we devalue some regular

1360
01:07:23,240 --> 01:07:25,240
Speaker 1: season games and if folks don't want to play in

1361
01:07:25,240 --> 01:07:28,040
Speaker 1: the conference title game, oh we still got our playoff.

1362
01:07:27,640 --> 01:07:31,080
Speaker 2: Man, That's what I say to it all.

1363
01:07:31,520 --> 01:07:34,880
Speaker 1: I appreciate you guys watching, though, make sure that you

1364
01:07:35,000 --> 01:07:36,800
Speaker 1: check it out Thursday night. The show will be at

1365
01:07:36,800 --> 01:07:39,000
Speaker 1: the same time that it normally is. We'll just be

1366
01:07:39,920 --> 01:07:42,040
Speaker 1: in a much different place than we normally are. We'll

1367
01:07:42,040 --> 01:07:44,720
Speaker 1: be out at Arizona State, and otherwise the show will

1368
01:07:44,760 --> 01:07:47,439
Speaker 1: be the exact same. I appreciate you guys watching, though.

1369
01:07:47,520 --> 01:07:50,440
Speaker 1: We have had some insane traction.

1370
01:07:50,920 --> 01:07:53,040
Speaker 2: For the show this year. When we go on the road.

1371
01:07:53,120 --> 01:07:56,720
Speaker 1: It's amazing and I'm not going to say we never

1372
01:07:56,800 --> 01:07:59,520
Speaker 1: expected it to be like that, but it never gets

1373
01:07:59,520 --> 01:08:00,760
Speaker 1: old that it's like that.

1374
01:08:00,880 --> 01:08:01,680
Speaker 2: Let me put it that way.

1375
01:08:01,960 --> 01:08:04,960
Speaker 1: So for producer Jesse, for director Colin, and everyone here

1376
01:08:05,000 --> 01:08:07,480
Speaker 1: in Fort Lauderdale, I'm Josh Bait. We'll see you live

1377
01:08:07,520 --> 01:08:11,000
Speaker 1: from Arizona Thursday night. Until then, take care of Canalis.

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