1 00:00:00,120 --> 00:00:07,040 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:10,080 --> 00:00:12,760 Speaker 2: This is the Bloomberg Day BEQUT podcast. Good morning, It's Friday, 3 00:00:12,800 --> 00:00:16,120 Speaker 2: the seventeenth of October. I'm Caroline Hepget in London and. 4 00:00:16,040 --> 00:00:20,000 Speaker 3: I'm Stephen Caroline Brussels. Coming up today, Donald Trump undercuts 5 00:00:20,120 --> 00:00:23,520 Speaker 3: Ukraine's push for more weapons with plans for another summit 6 00:00:23,600 --> 00:00:24,640 Speaker 3: with Vladimir Putin. 7 00:00:25,200 --> 00:00:28,840 Speaker 2: Shares in US regional banks tumble as traders sell first 8 00:00:28,920 --> 00:00:32,159 Speaker 2: and ask questions later after two lenders say they were 9 00:00:32,240 --> 00:00:33,280 Speaker 2: victims of fraud. 10 00:00:33,720 --> 00:00:36,640 Speaker 3: Plus, Bloomberg's Michell Hussein joins us to discuss her new 11 00:00:36,680 --> 00:00:39,879 Speaker 3: show and the lessons Mark Carney has learned from watching 12 00:00:39,920 --> 00:00:40,959 Speaker 3: the US President. 13 00:00:41,479 --> 00:00:43,520 Speaker 2: Let's start with a roundup of our top stories. 14 00:00:44,080 --> 00:00:46,640 Speaker 3: US President Donald Trump says he will hold a second 15 00:00:46,720 --> 00:00:50,479 Speaker 3: meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin within two weeks or so, 16 00:00:50,880 --> 00:00:53,560 Speaker 3: aimed at ending the war in Ukraine. The two leaders 17 00:00:53,600 --> 00:00:56,200 Speaker 3: agreed to meet in Budapest after a two hour phone 18 00:00:56,240 --> 00:00:59,840 Speaker 3: call yesterday. Trump Plater expressed optimism that the summit could 19 00:01:00,040 --> 00:01:03,440 Speaker 3: result in a ceasefire, even though the pair's August meeting 20 00:01:03,480 --> 00:01:06,640 Speaker 3: in Alaska failed to yield a result. He told reporters 21 00:01:06,680 --> 00:01:08,880 Speaker 3: in the Oval Office. The meeting had been positive. 22 00:01:09,480 --> 00:01:10,960 Speaker 4: I thought it was a very good phone call. I 23 00:01:11,000 --> 00:01:14,400 Speaker 4: thought very productive. But I'll be meeting with President Putin 24 00:01:15,280 --> 00:01:17,800 Speaker 4: and we'll make a determination. 25 00:01:17,920 --> 00:01:18,280 Speaker 3: Tomorrow. 26 00:01:18,280 --> 00:01:22,160 Speaker 4: I'm meeting with President Zelenski and I'll be telling her 27 00:01:22,200 --> 00:01:22,800 Speaker 4: about the call. 28 00:01:23,959 --> 00:01:25,000 Speaker 5: I mean, we have a problem. 29 00:01:25,080 --> 00:01:28,120 Speaker 4: They don't get along too well, those two, and it's 30 00:01:28,120 --> 00:01:31,199 Speaker 4: sometimes tough to have meetings. So we may do something 31 00:01:31,240 --> 00:01:33,759 Speaker 4: where we're separate, but separate but equal. 32 00:01:34,800 --> 00:01:38,080 Speaker 3: Trump's comments came ahead of that meeting with President Vladmir 33 00:01:38,200 --> 00:01:41,280 Speaker 3: Zelenski in the White House. The Ukrainian leader is hoping 34 00:01:41,319 --> 00:01:44,480 Speaker 3: to persuade Trump to allow his forces to use long 35 00:01:44,560 --> 00:01:47,000 Speaker 3: range American made Tomahawk missiles. 36 00:01:47,920 --> 00:01:51,320 Speaker 2: Now, President Trump's latest attempt at brokering peace comes as 37 00:01:51,320 --> 00:01:54,160 Speaker 2: Canada's Prime Minister Mark Karney has been speaking to bloom 38 00:01:54,160 --> 00:01:57,880 Speaker 2: Begg's Michelle hussaying he tells her NATO should keep all 39 00:01:58,000 --> 00:02:01,640 Speaker 2: options open if Russia violet it's its airspace, and do 40 00:02:01,760 --> 00:02:05,760 Speaker 2: what's necessary to protect the alliance. Karne says Russia's use 41 00:02:05,800 --> 00:02:09,280 Speaker 2: of jets and drones over European members of NATO should 42 00:02:09,280 --> 00:02:11,600 Speaker 2: be viewed as a sign of weakness, not strength. 43 00:02:12,400 --> 00:02:17,160 Speaker 6: Russia's under pressure. Russia's under pressure. They're trying what they 44 00:02:17,240 --> 00:02:22,480 Speaker 6: can to shift, but they're under economic pressure, their military situation. 45 00:02:22,760 --> 00:02:25,959 Speaker 6: They were making some progress over the course of the summer. 46 00:02:26,040 --> 00:02:27,320 Speaker 6: That progress has stopped. 47 00:02:28,320 --> 00:02:31,480 Speaker 2: The conversation with Karney came as Michell Hussein also spoke 48 00:02:31,520 --> 00:02:34,440 Speaker 2: to Nigel Farage, the leader of Britain's poll topping reform 49 00:02:34,520 --> 00:02:38,320 Speaker 2: UK Party. Varaj sought to ward off criticism that his 50 00:02:38,520 --> 00:02:41,840 Speaker 2: views on Moscow could threaten his bid to become Prime 51 00:02:41,880 --> 00:02:46,040 Speaker 2: Minister in the UK. He says that President Putin is irrational, 52 00:02:46,320 --> 00:02:49,359 Speaker 2: but begs that. Michelle Hasseayn asked Nigel Parage if he 53 00:02:49,440 --> 00:02:53,440 Speaker 2: would back shooting down Russian jets that enter NATO airspace. 54 00:02:54,200 --> 00:02:59,200 Speaker 1: So if you were Prime minister and NATO jets entered 55 00:02:59,480 --> 00:03:03,320 Speaker 1: Russian jets entered NATO airspace, where do you stand on legs? 56 00:03:03,919 --> 00:03:06,600 Speaker 1: Got to shoot them down, no questions whatever that does? 57 00:03:06,680 --> 00:03:09,040 Speaker 1: How as much that inflamed tention, love you needs to 58 00:03:09,040 --> 00:03:10,120 Speaker 1: be taught to listeners. 59 00:03:09,760 --> 00:03:11,839 Speaker 7: And love you trying ever so hard. I'm the only 60 00:03:11,880 --> 00:03:15,040 Speaker 7: person in the world I think that's stood up in 61 00:03:15,040 --> 00:03:18,160 Speaker 7: the European Parliament in twenty fourteen, and do you know 62 00:03:18,200 --> 00:03:22,240 Speaker 7: what I said? There will be a war in Ukraine. 63 00:03:22,400 --> 00:03:25,560 Speaker 7: It's coming. I'm the only person that got it right. 64 00:03:26,840 --> 00:03:29,760 Speaker 2: And you can hear all of Michelle's latest interviews. Just 65 00:03:29,760 --> 00:03:33,239 Speaker 2: listen and to subscribe to The Michelle Hussein Show from 66 00:03:33,320 --> 00:03:36,160 Speaker 2: Bloomberg Weekend wherever you get your podcasts. 67 00:03:36,720 --> 00:03:39,440 Speaker 3: Shares of two regional banks in the United States tumbled 68 00:03:39,480 --> 00:03:42,120 Speaker 3: after they said they were victims of fraud on loans 69 00:03:42,160 --> 00:03:46,280 Speaker 3: to funds that invest in distressed commercial mortgages. Shares in 70 00:03:46,400 --> 00:03:50,320 Speaker 3: Zion sank thirteen percent and by eleven percent for Western Alliance. 71 00:03:50,480 --> 00:03:52,960 Speaker 3: That helped send the KBW Bank index down by the 72 00:03:53,000 --> 00:03:56,240 Speaker 3: most in six months. They selloff adds to other recent 73 00:03:56,320 --> 00:03:59,560 Speaker 3: loan blow ups such as at subprime auto lender Tricolor 74 00:03:59,600 --> 00:04:04,000 Speaker 3: Holding and auto parts maker First Brands Group. Bloomberg's Sally 75 00:04:04,040 --> 00:04:07,720 Speaker 3: Bakewell referenced JP Morgan CEO Jamie Diamond's warning that those 76 00:04:07,760 --> 00:04:11,960 Speaker 3: recent bankruptcies could signal more credit problems could emerge. 77 00:04:12,600 --> 00:04:15,480 Speaker 8: Diamond said, you know, when you see one cockroach, there 78 00:04:15,520 --> 00:04:19,640 Speaker 8: are probably more. And actually, the news that both Zions 79 00:04:19,640 --> 00:04:24,039 Speaker 8: and Western Alliance are dealing with problematic loans amid fraud 80 00:04:24,080 --> 00:04:26,520 Speaker 8: alegations shows that Diamond was probably right. 81 00:04:27,720 --> 00:04:30,640 Speaker 3: Bloomberg Sally Bakewell speaking there as, analysts say the losses 82 00:04:30,680 --> 00:04:34,000 Speaker 3: from loans are manageable for large lenders, but more troubling 83 00:04:34,080 --> 00:04:35,120 Speaker 3: for smaller banks. 84 00:04:36,360 --> 00:04:41,080 Speaker 2: Bbva's sixteen billion euro bid for Banco Sabadel has failed 85 00:04:41,120 --> 00:04:45,200 Speaker 2: after nearly three quarters of shareholders rejected the offer. Investors 86 00:04:45,240 --> 00:04:48,719 Speaker 2: offered slightly above a quarter of Sabadel's voting rights, that 87 00:04:48,880 --> 00:04:52,360 Speaker 2: was well short of the thirty percent threshold BBVA needed 88 00:04:52,400 --> 00:04:56,560 Speaker 2: to be able to move forwards, according to Spain's markets regulator. 89 00:04:57,000 --> 00:04:59,560 Speaker 2: Now the result ends a takeover saga that has been 90 00:04:59,560 --> 00:05:02,680 Speaker 2: going on for seventeen months. It's a major setback to 91 00:05:02,800 --> 00:05:07,280 Speaker 2: bbva's chairman, Carlos Torres, whose first takeover attempt of Sabadel 92 00:05:07,400 --> 00:05:11,159 Speaker 2: five years ago also fell apart. A deal would have 93 00:05:11,200 --> 00:05:15,479 Speaker 2: created a domestic banking jant to rival Santander and helped 94 00:05:15,520 --> 00:05:20,320 Speaker 2: BBVA balance out its reliance on Mexico, Latin America and Turkey. 95 00:05:21,760 --> 00:05:24,800 Speaker 3: Donald Trump's former national security advisor, John Bolton, has been 96 00:05:24,839 --> 00:05:29,120 Speaker 3: indicted over claims he mishandled classified documents. He was charged 97 00:05:29,120 --> 00:05:32,080 Speaker 3: with eighteen counts by a federal grand jury in Maryland, 98 00:05:32,440 --> 00:05:36,279 Speaker 3: and federal prosecutors secured an arrest warrant. Bolton has previously 99 00:05:36,320 --> 00:05:40,479 Speaker 3: denied mishandling classified information. Our White House correspondent Kate Sullivan 100 00:05:40,520 --> 00:05:43,800 Speaker 3: says this is the latest in a series of similar rulings. 101 00:05:44,520 --> 00:05:48,239 Speaker 9: This indictment comes, you know, just weeks after indictments against 102 00:05:48,320 --> 00:05:51,920 Speaker 9: Jim Comey and Lantitia James. After Comy was indicted, Trump 103 00:05:52,000 --> 00:05:55,359 Speaker 9: suggested that there were more people his administration were targeting, 104 00:05:55,720 --> 00:05:58,480 Speaker 9: clearly part of a retribution campaign that Trump has been 105 00:05:58,520 --> 00:05:59,680 Speaker 9: signaling for a long time now. 106 00:06:00,640 --> 00:06:03,520 Speaker 3: Ri's Kate Sullivan their Trump Child reporters on Thursday that 107 00:06:03,560 --> 00:06:06,560 Speaker 3: he hadn't reviewed the case against Bolton, but described his 108 00:06:06,680 --> 00:06:10,160 Speaker 3: former advisor as a bad person now. 109 00:06:10,200 --> 00:06:12,960 Speaker 2: The White House is also preparing to ease auto industry 110 00:06:13,040 --> 00:06:17,960 Speaker 2: tariffs after lobbying from carmakers, and expected five year extension 111 00:06:18,120 --> 00:06:21,599 Speaker 2: allowing manufacturers to reduce what they pay in levies for 112 00:06:21,760 --> 00:06:24,880 Speaker 2: imported car parts could be announced as soon as today 113 00:06:24,920 --> 00:06:27,719 Speaker 2: by the Commerce Department. The news comes as President Trump 114 00:06:27,760 --> 00:06:30,240 Speaker 2: and outs a deal with Germany's MERK to cut the 115 00:06:30,279 --> 00:06:34,760 Speaker 2: price of its fertility medicines in exchange for relief from 116 00:06:34,960 --> 00:06:38,599 Speaker 2: threatened tariffs. The discount was slash more than two thousand 117 00:06:38,640 --> 00:06:42,160 Speaker 2: dollars from the cost of that treatment. So those are 118 00:06:42,279 --> 00:06:44,640 Speaker 2: some of our top stories for you this morning. In 119 00:06:44,720 --> 00:06:48,760 Speaker 2: terms of the markets today, So the worries around lending 120 00:06:48,880 --> 00:06:53,000 Speaker 2: standards really impacting markets. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index this 121 00:06:53,080 --> 00:06:55,960 Speaker 2: morning is down by eight tenths of one percent. Financial 122 00:06:55,960 --> 00:06:59,400 Speaker 2: companies amongst the biggest losers. European stock futures are also 123 00:06:59,760 --> 00:07:03,040 Speaker 2: down significantly, selling off by nine tenths of one percent. 124 00:07:03,360 --> 00:07:06,480 Speaker 2: US DOC futures also in the red. Investors seeking the 125 00:07:06,520 --> 00:07:09,680 Speaker 2: safe haven of government bonds. Ten year US treasury yields 126 00:07:09,680 --> 00:07:12,440 Speaker 2: are now below four percent. Gold, though is it another 127 00:07:12,720 --> 00:07:15,679 Speaker 2: record high, along with other precious metals, and a gauge 128 00:07:15,680 --> 00:07:18,640 Speaker 2: of the dollar set for its worst week since late July, 129 00:07:18,720 --> 00:07:20,880 Speaker 2: so the Boom Big Dollar Spot index is down a 130 00:07:20,920 --> 00:07:22,320 Speaker 2: tenth of one percent this morning. 131 00:07:23,080 --> 00:07:24,880 Speaker 3: In a moment, we'll bring you more on Donald Trump's 132 00:07:24,880 --> 00:07:29,000 Speaker 3: plan to meet Vladimir Putin in Hungary, while we'll also 133 00:07:29,040 --> 00:07:31,520 Speaker 3: be speaking to Michelle Hussein to discuss her interviews with 134 00:07:31,680 --> 00:07:35,720 Speaker 3: Night with Mark Karney and Nigel Farage. But another story 135 00:07:35,720 --> 00:07:38,239 Speaker 3: that we've been reading this morning, a bit of Friday 136 00:07:38,280 --> 00:07:42,600 Speaker 3: morning nostalgia from our UK Pursuedes correspondent Sarah Rappaporsch. She's 137 00:07:42,600 --> 00:07:45,560 Speaker 3: been writing about how the love of the nineties is 138 00:07:45,640 --> 00:07:49,400 Speaker 3: apparently everywhere now, not just Oasis doing a reunion tour, 139 00:07:49,480 --> 00:07:52,400 Speaker 3: but it's turning up in art, it's turning up in 140 00:07:52,640 --> 00:07:55,680 Speaker 3: fashion as well, and it's something that is, you know, 141 00:07:55,840 --> 00:07:57,960 Speaker 3: seems to be catching a bit of attention. 142 00:07:58,400 --> 00:07:58,560 Speaker 1: Yeah. 143 00:07:58,600 --> 00:08:04,240 Speaker 2: Absolutely, look visiting all things nineties, Sarah talking about authors 144 00:08:04,240 --> 00:08:08,120 Speaker 2: and commentators pinpointing the nineties as being special because it 145 00:08:08,280 --> 00:08:11,200 Speaker 2: was the end of the analog age, basically before the 146 00:08:11,200 --> 00:08:14,040 Speaker 2: Internet took cold. So I really like that thought. I mean, 147 00:08:14,200 --> 00:08:15,680 Speaker 2: only a few months ago I went to see the 148 00:08:15,680 --> 00:08:18,600 Speaker 2: retrospective of the Face magazine. Do you remember that one? 149 00:08:18,680 --> 00:08:21,920 Speaker 2: It was at the National Portrait Gallery that was in Spring. 150 00:08:22,000 --> 00:08:24,520 Speaker 2: I did think it was amazing. I took away from 151 00:08:24,560 --> 00:08:28,560 Speaker 2: it though, that they rather recast the magazine's legacy with 152 00:08:28,600 --> 00:08:32,559 Speaker 2: a big focus on kind of what is happening today, diversity, 153 00:08:32,600 --> 00:08:36,679 Speaker 2: outing inclusion, championing women in diversity, which I think is 154 00:08:36,720 --> 00:08:39,040 Speaker 2: also comes with a bit of a warning you're seeing 155 00:08:39,080 --> 00:08:40,880 Speaker 2: the nineties through today's lens. 156 00:08:41,200 --> 00:08:43,920 Speaker 3: Well, of course, while you were at a highbrow art exhibition, 157 00:08:44,040 --> 00:08:45,800 Speaker 3: I went to see the Corps and Natalie and Brulia 158 00:08:45,880 --> 00:08:48,319 Speaker 3: in my nineties really in tour, and I was also 159 00:08:48,480 --> 00:08:50,600 Speaker 3: very pleased by that, I have to say, But I mean, 160 00:08:50,600 --> 00:08:52,600 Speaker 3: one of the things that Sarah picks up from our 161 00:08:52,600 --> 00:08:55,040 Speaker 3: interviews for this article as well is the trend of 162 00:08:55,160 --> 00:08:58,800 Speaker 3: parents installing landlines for their teenagers rather than having access 163 00:08:58,840 --> 00:09:01,080 Speaker 3: to smartphones. Have you did anyone doing this? 164 00:09:01,400 --> 00:09:03,440 Speaker 2: No, I've heard of brick phones, but no, no, no. 165 00:09:03,559 --> 00:09:06,720 Speaker 2: Landlines are definitely not coming back. But yeah, nice try. 166 00:09:07,120 --> 00:09:07,679 Speaker 4: Yeah, all right. 167 00:09:07,720 --> 00:09:09,640 Speaker 3: You can read Serious Peace on Bloomberg dot com. I'll 168 00:09:09,640 --> 00:09:11,200 Speaker 3: put a link to it in our podcast show notes 169 00:09:11,200 --> 00:09:11,560 Speaker 3: as well. 170 00:09:13,040 --> 00:09:15,040 Speaker 2: Now let's bring you more on our top story, Donald 171 00:09:15,040 --> 00:09:18,400 Speaker 2: Trump announcing another meeting with Vlasimir Putin, this time in 172 00:09:18,480 --> 00:09:20,920 Speaker 2: bit of pest, aims at ending the war in Ukraine. 173 00:09:21,200 --> 00:09:24,240 Speaker 2: Tony Halpin, who leads Bimberg's team covering Russia, joins us 174 00:09:24,240 --> 00:09:27,400 Speaker 2: now for more. Tony, good morning. What do we know 175 00:09:27,720 --> 00:09:29,600 Speaker 2: about the plan for this meeting? It looks like a 176 00:09:29,640 --> 00:09:33,240 Speaker 2: growing rapushma, a willingness to talk again and again to Putin. 177 00:09:33,559 --> 00:09:34,680 Speaker 2: What could it achieve? 178 00:09:36,120 --> 00:09:38,760 Speaker 5: Yes, good morning. Well, so far we know that Trump 179 00:09:38,800 --> 00:09:41,080 Speaker 5: says he plans to meet with Putin in a couple 180 00:09:41,080 --> 00:09:43,920 Speaker 5: of weeks or so, and that they'll have preparatory talks 181 00:09:43,960 --> 00:09:48,880 Speaker 5: involving high level officials next week. As you note, Trump 182 00:09:48,920 --> 00:09:51,880 Speaker 5: and Putin are increasingly talking to each other. They met 183 00:09:51,920 --> 00:09:55,840 Speaker 5: in August in Alaska. They've had, according to the Kremlin, 184 00:09:55,880 --> 00:09:59,040 Speaker 5: eight phone calls so far, but it hasn't really produced 185 00:09:59,120 --> 00:10:02,199 Speaker 5: very much in terms of pressure on Russia to end 186 00:10:02,240 --> 00:10:04,760 Speaker 5: its war, and in fact, you could say that it's 187 00:10:04,840 --> 00:10:07,840 Speaker 5: part of a Russian strategy really to engage with Trump 188 00:10:07,920 --> 00:10:10,520 Speaker 5: at moments where they see that there may be a 189 00:10:10,559 --> 00:10:13,880 Speaker 5: prospect of increased US pressure in terms of sanctions or 190 00:10:13,960 --> 00:10:17,040 Speaker 5: willingness to send weapons to Ukraine, and that seems to 191 00:10:17,040 --> 00:10:18,319 Speaker 5: be the case this time as well. 192 00:10:18,880 --> 00:10:22,400 Speaker 3: But has anything's changed since the leaders last met in Alaska. 193 00:10:23,760 --> 00:10:26,080 Speaker 5: No, very little. I mean, I think people came away 194 00:10:26,200 --> 00:10:29,160 Speaker 5: from the Alaska summit with the view that Putin had 195 00:10:29,160 --> 00:10:31,960 Speaker 5: got a win because he traveled to US soil and 196 00:10:32,040 --> 00:10:35,760 Speaker 5: had his first summit meeting with Trump of the US 197 00:10:35,840 --> 00:10:38,760 Speaker 5: president's second term. But there was nothing really concrete that 198 00:10:38,840 --> 00:10:41,360 Speaker 5: came out to bring an end to the violence, and 199 00:10:41,400 --> 00:10:44,800 Speaker 5: in fact, Russia stepped up its bombardment of Ukraine after 200 00:10:45,040 --> 00:10:47,839 Speaker 5: that summit meeting. So it's a big question really whether 201 00:10:48,040 --> 00:10:50,360 Speaker 5: Budapest will produce something different. 202 00:10:51,559 --> 00:10:53,720 Speaker 2: What do you think the development means for Ukraine? We 203 00:10:53,800 --> 00:10:57,880 Speaker 2: have of coused President Zelenski, who's meeting President Trump today. 204 00:10:58,920 --> 00:11:00,960 Speaker 5: Yes, and this I think is is part of the 205 00:11:01,000 --> 00:11:03,040 Speaker 5: timing of the call from the Kremlin's point of view. 206 00:11:03,160 --> 00:11:06,720 Speaker 5: And Zelenski has come to Washington with a shopping list 207 00:11:06,960 --> 00:11:10,400 Speaker 5: of asks really in terms of weapons, air defense weapons 208 00:11:10,400 --> 00:11:14,320 Speaker 5: in particular, an offer to cooperate with the US on 209 00:11:14,360 --> 00:11:17,640 Speaker 5: things like drone production. But also there was a lot 210 00:11:17,679 --> 00:11:21,880 Speaker 5: of talk about the US supplying Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine, 211 00:11:21,880 --> 00:11:24,199 Speaker 5: and that was an issue that came up in yesterday's 212 00:11:24,240 --> 00:11:27,240 Speaker 5: talks between Trump and Putin, and Trump made clear that 213 00:11:27,240 --> 00:11:31,080 Speaker 5: Putin didn't like the idea, and he himself began to 214 00:11:31,120 --> 00:11:32,959 Speaker 5: sort of row back from it, saying that the US 215 00:11:33,200 --> 00:11:36,360 Speaker 5: also needed its supplies of tomahawks. So in that respect, 216 00:11:36,400 --> 00:11:39,640 Speaker 5: I think the Kremlin was very focus on putting some 217 00:11:39,840 --> 00:11:43,600 Speaker 5: doubt in the US minds about the willingness and wisdom 218 00:11:43,800 --> 00:11:45,520 Speaker 5: of giving tomahawks to Ukraine. 219 00:11:46,559 --> 00:11:49,560 Speaker 3: Tony, what's the significance of Budapest as the location for 220 00:11:49,600 --> 00:11:50,120 Speaker 3: this meeting. 221 00:11:51,559 --> 00:11:54,079 Speaker 5: Yes, it's a very interesting one. Let's not forget that 222 00:11:55,160 --> 00:11:58,440 Speaker 5: the Hungarian leader Victor Auburn has been the most Kremlin 223 00:11:58,559 --> 00:12:02,160 Speaker 5: friendly of leaders in the European Union. But from a 224 00:12:02,240 --> 00:12:05,960 Speaker 5: Russian perspective, you know, Hungary is in the EU, it's 225 00:12:06,000 --> 00:12:09,520 Speaker 5: also in NATO. Putin is very concerned for his security 226 00:12:09,520 --> 00:12:13,440 Speaker 5: and has been quite reluctant to engage with what Russians 227 00:12:13,520 --> 00:12:16,800 Speaker 5: considered to be enemy territory. And there's a simple practical 228 00:12:16,800 --> 00:12:20,480 Speaker 5: difficulty that the EU has closed its airspace to Russian 229 00:12:20,480 --> 00:12:23,040 Speaker 5: aircraft and Russian leaders since the start of the war. 230 00:12:23,360 --> 00:12:26,080 Speaker 5: So that immediately makes it somewhat difficult for Brussels because 231 00:12:26,080 --> 00:12:28,760 Speaker 5: they're going to have to comply with the request to 232 00:12:28,800 --> 00:12:31,480 Speaker 5: open up the airspace and Putin's going to land in 233 00:12:31,520 --> 00:12:33,920 Speaker 5: Europe while the war is still going on. That from 234 00:12:33,960 --> 00:12:36,719 Speaker 5: the Brussels point of view doesn't look very good. From 235 00:12:36,840 --> 00:12:39,000 Speaker 5: Victor Auburn's point of view, it's a win because he's 236 00:12:39,120 --> 00:12:42,240 Speaker 5: very often at odds with the majority of his fellow 237 00:12:42,280 --> 00:12:45,280 Speaker 5: members in the EU about policy towards Russian and he'll 238 00:12:45,320 --> 00:12:47,240 Speaker 5: be able to say, well, look here i am hosting 239 00:12:47,280 --> 00:12:48,760 Speaker 5: Trump and puting for peace talks. 240 00:12:49,360 --> 00:12:51,800 Speaker 2: Yeah, absolutely, Tony, thank you so much for being with 241 00:12:51,880 --> 00:12:54,440 Speaker 2: us and updating us. Tony Halpin, who leads Bloomberg's team 242 00:12:54,480 --> 00:12:58,440 Speaker 2: covering Russia. Thank you, stay with us. More from Bloomberg 243 00:12:58,480 --> 00:12:59,839 Speaker 2: Dabaqube coming up after this. 244 00:13:03,080 --> 00:13:06,079 Speaker 3: There a former UK leader Nigel Faraj, has criticized Vladimir 245 00:13:06,120 --> 00:13:09,440 Speaker 3: Putin as irrational and back to shooting down Russian jets 246 00:13:09,440 --> 00:13:12,720 Speaker 3: that enter NATO airspace. He's been speaking to Bloomberg for 247 00:13:12,760 --> 00:13:15,800 Speaker 3: the Michelle Hussein show and shall joins us now from More. Michelle, 248 00:13:15,800 --> 00:13:17,400 Speaker 3: good morning, great to have you with us. You were 249 00:13:17,440 --> 00:13:20,080 Speaker 3: speaking to Nigel Farag at this key time given the 250 00:13:20,120 --> 00:13:23,480 Speaker 3: news of the Trump Putin meeting put in context for 251 00:13:23,559 --> 00:13:26,119 Speaker 3: us how big a change is this in Nigel Faraj's 252 00:13:26,160 --> 00:13:27,400 Speaker 3: position towards Russia. 253 00:13:27,840 --> 00:13:31,080 Speaker 1: What we've released is a little preview out of what 254 00:13:31,280 --> 00:13:35,080 Speaker 1: Nigel Farrar says me for a forthcoming episode of the podcast, 255 00:13:35,240 --> 00:13:38,640 Speaker 1: And essentially this is a significant change of tone. It's 256 00:13:38,640 --> 00:13:40,840 Speaker 1: a hardening of tone. He is someone who's leading in 257 00:13:40,880 --> 00:13:42,920 Speaker 1: the polls and therefore if there was an election today 258 00:13:42,960 --> 00:13:45,880 Speaker 1: he would be likely to become prime minister. He's always 259 00:13:45,880 --> 00:13:49,120 Speaker 1: been dogged by these questions of once having said that 260 00:13:49,160 --> 00:13:52,880 Speaker 1: he admires Putin. He said he was only speaking about 261 00:13:52,880 --> 00:13:55,920 Speaker 1: that in very narrow terms. But he's also said previously 262 00:13:56,040 --> 00:14:00,520 Speaker 1: that he thinks that Putin was provoked to the war 263 00:14:00,520 --> 00:14:03,480 Speaker 1: in Ukraine. So now the fact that he is talking 264 00:14:03,520 --> 00:14:07,480 Speaker 1: about shooting down Russian jets if they're in NATO air space, 265 00:14:07,920 --> 00:14:11,200 Speaker 1: and the fact that he thinks Putin is a very 266 00:14:11,240 --> 00:14:14,160 Speaker 1: bad dude, this is significant. And it's interesting that he 267 00:14:14,200 --> 00:14:16,480 Speaker 1: also said to me he does believe that Donald Trump 268 00:14:16,760 --> 00:14:20,720 Speaker 1: is going to start supplying Tomahawk missiles to Ukraine in 269 00:14:20,760 --> 00:14:23,480 Speaker 1: the coming months. That's, as you said, something that Trump 270 00:14:23,560 --> 00:14:25,640 Speaker 1: says he's still thinking about but deliberating on. 271 00:14:25,880 --> 00:14:27,800 Speaker 2: Yeah. I think it's a really interesting line that you 272 00:14:27,920 --> 00:14:30,640 Speaker 2: got from Nigel Farage, and I suppose to say, as 273 00:14:30,680 --> 00:14:33,880 Speaker 2: it goes to these questions about the type of strong 274 00:14:33,920 --> 00:14:36,720 Speaker 2: man politics that we're seeing really in so many places. 275 00:14:36,760 --> 00:14:39,440 Speaker 2: So I think that is fascinating in terms of the 276 00:14:39,480 --> 00:14:42,080 Speaker 2: conversation then that you had with a Canadian Prime minister, 277 00:14:42,120 --> 00:14:44,000 Speaker 2: and Mark Carney obviously we know him well here in 278 00:14:44,040 --> 00:14:47,520 Speaker 2: the UK. He's really turned around the fortunes of Canada's 279 00:14:47,600 --> 00:14:50,040 Speaker 2: Liberal Party in order to win that general election that 280 00:14:50,080 --> 00:14:54,160 Speaker 2: surprised so many people at the time. He has had 281 00:14:54,200 --> 00:14:57,440 Speaker 2: to deal with Donald Trump, perhaps even to thank him 282 00:14:57,520 --> 00:14:59,920 Speaker 2: for that win. How does he feel about the UN 283 00:15:00,240 --> 00:15:00,880 Speaker 2: isn't that well? 284 00:15:00,920 --> 00:15:03,600 Speaker 1: I asked him exactly that, and he's very clear about 285 00:15:03,680 --> 00:15:07,200 Speaker 1: you know, he saw a gap in leadership, he stepped 286 00:15:07,200 --> 00:15:09,520 Speaker 1: in and Canada chose him, rather than he's got anything 287 00:15:09,520 --> 00:15:11,960 Speaker 1: to thank President Trump for. I think the link between 288 00:15:11,960 --> 00:15:14,160 Speaker 1: the two conversations is that when you talk to people 289 00:15:14,280 --> 00:15:17,560 Speaker 1: at length, these are forty minute conversations, you can hear 290 00:15:17,600 --> 00:15:19,120 Speaker 1: the whole of the Mark Carney one, and if you 291 00:15:19,160 --> 00:15:21,800 Speaker 1: subscribe you'll get the Nigel Farash one as soon as 292 00:15:21,840 --> 00:15:24,920 Speaker 1: it's released. But because you have that kind of time, 293 00:15:25,000 --> 00:15:27,200 Speaker 1: you can get into the personal side of it as 294 00:15:27,240 --> 00:15:29,760 Speaker 1: well as the political and the issue side of it. 295 00:15:29,800 --> 00:15:32,560 Speaker 1: And let's be clear, Mark Carney is dealing with having 296 00:15:32,600 --> 00:15:36,520 Speaker 1: to transform Canada's economy. Three quarters of its exports currently 297 00:15:36,560 --> 00:15:39,200 Speaker 1: currently go to its southern neighbor. He wants to export 298 00:15:39,240 --> 00:15:42,600 Speaker 1: more east and west. He wants to make supply chains 299 00:15:42,680 --> 00:15:45,560 Speaker 1: much more self sufficient. So there's a big economic transformation 300 00:15:45,680 --> 00:15:49,520 Speaker 1: that is beginning. But on the personal side, I did 301 00:15:49,560 --> 00:15:53,080 Speaker 1: ask him whether he had learned anything from President Trump, 302 00:15:53,120 --> 00:15:54,040 Speaker 1: and this is what he said. 303 00:15:54,240 --> 00:15:58,200 Speaker 6: We always learned things from people. I've learned that the 304 00:15:58,320 --> 00:16:00,800 Speaker 6: value I don't fully subscrib to this, but I see 305 00:16:00,800 --> 00:16:04,640 Speaker 6: the effectiveness. The value of the term they would use 306 00:16:04,720 --> 00:16:07,840 Speaker 6: is flooding the zone, of doing multiple things at the 307 00:16:07,840 --> 00:16:11,520 Speaker 6: same time, and the effectiveness that can have. I think 308 00:16:11,600 --> 00:16:15,920 Speaker 6: that he has a very effective way in his own 309 00:16:15,960 --> 00:16:21,360 Speaker 6: almost unique manner of framing issues and of dominating the agenda. 310 00:16:21,520 --> 00:16:23,080 Speaker 6: If I can put that away as well. 311 00:16:23,640 --> 00:16:26,680 Speaker 1: So there you have it. Trump has communicated Trump as 312 00:16:26,760 --> 00:16:29,480 Speaker 1: I mean, Cantie use the term flooding the zone. So 313 00:16:29,560 --> 00:16:33,240 Speaker 1: I think I think that's the kind of scope there 314 00:16:33,360 --> 00:16:37,320 Speaker 1: is in this conversation that we do pivot from the 315 00:16:37,400 --> 00:16:40,920 Speaker 1: personal to the much tougher aspects of this. But of 316 00:16:40,920 --> 00:16:43,800 Speaker 1: course even the personal is quite tricky because leaders like 317 00:16:43,840 --> 00:16:46,320 Speaker 1: Carnie have to be a little careful in what they 318 00:16:46,360 --> 00:16:48,880 Speaker 1: say about what they might have learned from someone like 319 00:16:48,920 --> 00:16:49,520 Speaker 1: Donald Trump. 320 00:16:50,280 --> 00:16:51,960 Speaker 3: Well, speaking of one of the bigger issues that you 321 00:16:52,040 --> 00:16:55,400 Speaker 3: got into in that conversation with Mark Carney, climates. Mark 322 00:16:55,440 --> 00:16:58,160 Speaker 3: Karney a former UN Climate envoid now running a country 323 00:16:58,160 --> 00:17:01,640 Speaker 3: that's the major fossil fuel producer. How does he balance 324 00:17:01,680 --> 00:17:02,480 Speaker 3: those two things? 325 00:17:02,880 --> 00:17:05,240 Speaker 1: I was really interested in this, Stephen, because the last 326 00:17:05,280 --> 00:17:07,359 Speaker 1: time that I spoke on air to Mark Carney was 327 00:17:07,359 --> 00:17:10,240 Speaker 1: at the Glasgow Climate Conference and he was a UN 328 00:17:10,359 --> 00:17:12,960 Speaker 1: envoy on climate action and now he is leading a 329 00:17:13,000 --> 00:17:16,119 Speaker 1: major oil and gas producing economy. So I asked him 330 00:17:16,160 --> 00:17:19,000 Speaker 1: about the fact that he canceled a consumer carbon tax 331 00:17:19,359 --> 00:17:23,480 Speaker 1: on day one of being in office. And there's also 332 00:17:23,480 --> 00:17:26,760 Speaker 1: a big debate in Canada about the future of the 333 00:17:26,760 --> 00:17:29,520 Speaker 1: oil and gas industry and about an emissions cap that 334 00:17:29,680 --> 00:17:31,640 Speaker 1: was planned and whether it's still going to come in. 335 00:17:32,040 --> 00:17:37,520 Speaker 1: And essentially he acknowledges in a way that you do 336 00:17:37,560 --> 00:17:39,720 Speaker 1: see things in a slightly different way from these two 337 00:17:39,880 --> 00:17:42,600 Speaker 1: vantage points, but he emphasizes the words he uses is 338 00:17:42,720 --> 00:17:46,000 Speaker 1: I'm still that guy, because we play him in the 339 00:17:46,040 --> 00:17:49,720 Speaker 1: podcast a bit of how he has spoken before about 340 00:17:49,720 --> 00:17:53,719 Speaker 1: the tragedy of the horizon, how short term thinking is 341 00:17:53,720 --> 00:17:56,520 Speaker 1: is what affects action on climate change. So there is 342 00:17:56,560 --> 00:17:59,520 Speaker 1: an interesting contrast. And I think as the podcast goes 343 00:17:59,520 --> 00:18:01,760 Speaker 1: on and we speak to people who have had different 344 00:18:01,880 --> 00:18:04,240 Speaker 1: roles in their times, this is probably a theme we'll 345 00:18:04,240 --> 00:18:06,880 Speaker 1: come back to. How does the world? How do things 346 00:18:06,920 --> 00:18:07,520 Speaker 1: look different? 347 00:18:08,040 --> 00:18:11,000 Speaker 2: And I love that, you know, going to that point, 348 00:18:11,080 --> 00:18:15,680 Speaker 2: you're written pieces. Your interviews have that lovely clever trick 349 00:18:15,720 --> 00:18:18,720 Speaker 2: where you get to add and annotate what the interview 350 00:18:18,760 --> 00:18:21,560 Speaker 2: has to say and refer back to things. If you 351 00:18:21,600 --> 00:18:24,440 Speaker 2: read Michelle Hussein's you know, as I say, the long 352 00:18:24,600 --> 00:18:27,520 Speaker 2: form essays that you put out for the weekend. 353 00:18:27,160 --> 00:18:30,640 Speaker 1: For Bloomberg subscribers and often actually Caroline also you'll see 354 00:18:30,680 --> 00:18:33,200 Speaker 1: what I was thinking. Sometimes I'm saying this is why 355 00:18:33,280 --> 00:18:35,560 Speaker 1: I asked this question, or this is how I felt 356 00:18:35,600 --> 00:18:37,719 Speaker 1: when they answered the question in this way, or we 357 00:18:37,720 --> 00:18:40,280 Speaker 1: were coming at this from two very different advantage points. 358 00:18:40,280 --> 00:18:42,200 Speaker 1: So it is, yes, if you look at the tech 359 00:18:42,320 --> 00:18:44,680 Speaker 1: side of the Q and A, then you will get 360 00:18:45,000 --> 00:18:46,879 Speaker 1: you will get a different kind of insight. 361 00:18:47,000 --> 00:18:48,720 Speaker 2: But now we're not getting a little technical and of 362 00:18:48,720 --> 00:18:51,439 Speaker 2: course because it's in the podcast, what else are we 363 00:18:51,480 --> 00:18:54,080 Speaker 2: going to be hearing about then in future episodes? I mean, 364 00:18:54,080 --> 00:18:57,880 Speaker 2: if it teased us beautifully with a larger Farage already interview. 365 00:18:57,560 --> 00:18:59,680 Speaker 1: Well, what I would say is that while these first 366 00:18:59,680 --> 00:19:02,560 Speaker 1: two mark Carney and next week this time next week, 367 00:19:02,600 --> 00:19:04,800 Speaker 1: the Nigel Farah episode will be released in full on 368 00:19:04,800 --> 00:19:07,320 Speaker 1: the Michelle Who's Saying show, These two people are newspakers, 369 00:19:07,320 --> 00:19:10,560 Speaker 1: they're political figures. But this podcast is absolutely going to 370 00:19:10,560 --> 00:19:13,439 Speaker 1: be a place for ideas and culture. So we have 371 00:19:13,640 --> 00:19:17,080 Speaker 1: got writers coming up We've got thinkers coming up, and 372 00:19:17,320 --> 00:19:20,679 Speaker 1: I do feel that in this very tricky world in 373 00:19:20,720 --> 00:19:22,800 Speaker 1: so many ways where we have an overload of information. 374 00:19:22,840 --> 00:19:25,560 Speaker 1: Because this is a weekend listen, I hope that this 375 00:19:25,680 --> 00:19:27,520 Speaker 1: is going to be a place where people can step 376 00:19:27,560 --> 00:19:29,639 Speaker 1: back and make sense of the week or an issue 377 00:19:29,640 --> 00:19:32,720 Speaker 1: more widely and be a bit more reflective. Yeah, but 378 00:19:32,760 --> 00:19:34,919 Speaker 1: I think that sounds lovely. I'm getting ready. It's a 379 00:19:34,960 --> 00:19:36,720 Speaker 1: perfect compliment to Europe day Break. 380 00:19:36,840 --> 00:19:40,280 Speaker 2: Oh, Michelle lovely. It's so nice to see you and 381 00:19:40,480 --> 00:19:42,760 Speaker 2: really great to hear all of these conversations. How to 382 00:19:42,760 --> 00:19:44,520 Speaker 2: speak to you in person. Thank you so much for 383 00:19:44,600 --> 00:19:44,959 Speaker 2: coming in. 384 00:19:45,040 --> 00:19:45,240 Speaker 1: Well. 385 00:19:45,480 --> 00:19:47,560 Speaker 2: Of course you can listen to the full conversations between 386 00:19:47,560 --> 00:19:50,439 Speaker 2: Michelle has Saying and the Canadian Prime Minister and Mark Carney. 387 00:19:50,520 --> 00:19:54,040 Speaker 2: Just search the Michelle hasseayin show wherever you get your podcasts, 388 00:19:54,280 --> 00:19:56,120 Speaker 2: and we will put a link to it in our 389 00:19:56,200 --> 00:19:56,840 Speaker 2: show notes. 390 00:19:57,440 --> 00:20:00,680 Speaker 3: This is Bloomberg Daybreak Europe. You're Morning Brief the stories 391 00:20:00,720 --> 00:20:03,280 Speaker 3: making news from London to Wall Street and beyond. 392 00:20:03,600 --> 00:20:06,800 Speaker 2: Look for us on your podcast feed every morning on Apple, 393 00:20:06,960 --> 00:20:09,720 Speaker 2: Spotify and anywhere else you get your podcasts. 394 00:20:09,800 --> 00:20:12,840 Speaker 3: You can also listen live each morning on London DAB Radio, 395 00:20:12,880 --> 00:20:15,560 Speaker 3: the Bloomberg Business app, and Bloomberg dot Com. 396 00:20:15,600 --> 00:20:18,400 Speaker 2: Our flagship New York station, is also available on your 397 00:20:18,400 --> 00:20:23,119 Speaker 2: Amazon Alexa devices. Just say Alexa play Bloomberg eleven thirty. 398 00:20:23,359 --> 00:20:24,680 Speaker 2: I'm Caroline Hepka and. 399 00:20:24,600 --> 00:20:27,280 Speaker 3: I'm Stephen Carol. Join us again tomorrow morning for all 400 00:20:27,280 --> 00:20:29,720 Speaker 3: the news you need to start your day right here 401 00:20:29,760 --> 00:20:34,960 Speaker 3: on Bloomberg Daybreak Europe