WEBVTT - Benny vs The Penny, Round 16 0:00:01.240 --> 0:00:09.560 Welcome players, You're welcome. Are It's time now penny versus 0:00:09.600 --> 0:00:14.720 the penny. Now many people thought I wouldn't do this 0:00:14.800 --> 0:00:17.079 after what happened in Week fifteen, but we are back 0:00:17.160 --> 0:00:20.160 for Week sixteen to the NFL regular season. It is 0:00:20.200 --> 0:00:26.440 Benny versus the penny. Amateur podcasting, amateur podcasting, picking NFL games, 0:00:26.480 --> 0:00:30.800 handicapping all of that. Oh, it's professional handicap with professional podcasting, 0:00:30.840 --> 0:00:35.440 amateur handicapping. I guess n last week was the I 0:00:35.479 --> 0:00:38.880 think the masterpiece. It was my my hope diamond. Uh 0:00:38.920 --> 0:00:41.600 it was perfection, is what it was. And I have 0:00:41.760 --> 0:00:45.160 one of these every NFL season where the ship hits 0:00:45.200 --> 0:00:49.560 the fan, and it happened last weekend. For me, the 0:00:49.600 --> 0:00:52.559 ship hit the fan. It was a disaster. Well can 0:00:52.600 --> 0:00:55.120 you can you describe it? For us? Then from start 0:00:55.160 --> 0:01:00.640 to finish, everything that should have happened didn't not happen, 0:01:01.200 --> 0:01:05.680 all right, literally everything, and uh, half the teams I 0:01:05.720 --> 0:01:09.480 picked didn't show up. They weren't motivated. I guess they 0:01:09.480 --> 0:01:13.720 were doing their hop their holiday shopping and his chowder 0:01:13.720 --> 0:01:16.319 heads all over the place. They just decided. You know, 0:01:16.319 --> 0:01:18.080 it's hard to bet on a team when they have 0:01:18.160 --> 0:01:20.600 no effort and no energy, you know, not that I'm bitter, 0:01:21.000 --> 0:01:23.160 not that I have resentment to teams that choose not 0:01:23.200 --> 0:01:25.080 to show up. There's no animosity there at all. It's 0:01:25.080 --> 0:01:27.400 just the way that it works. So that's the hardest 0:01:27.400 --> 0:01:29.679 part of gambling, is to figure out who's actually motivated 0:01:29.720 --> 0:01:31.720 to try to win the game. Yeah, and that was 0:01:31.760 --> 0:01:34.400 the best part of watching Monday night football at the 0:01:34.480 --> 0:01:39.000 Saints and the Colts, because that was the exclamation point 0:01:39.080 --> 0:01:42.520 on your weekend. And just a a lifeless dog that 0:01:42.560 --> 0:01:45.480 needs to be shot in the middle of the road. 0:01:45.680 --> 0:01:49.880 That was. Yeah, the Colts should have wasted They should 0:01:49.880 --> 0:01:52.320 have not wasted the money on traveling to the Bayou, 0:01:52.600 --> 0:01:54.520 or they should have been forced to take a Greyhound 0:01:54.560 --> 0:01:57.440 bus on the way back, you know, because it was 0:01:57.480 --> 0:01:59.920 the zombie apocalypse, is what it was. The night of 0:02:00.120 --> 0:02:04.200 Living Dead, watching Victoby Brissette play quarterback there and uh, 0:02:04.440 --> 0:02:08.080 the coach Frank Reich should have performed in exorcism to 0:02:08.200 --> 0:02:10.600 get rid of the demons at halftime that was possessing 0:02:10.639 --> 0:02:12.160 his team. Of course, by then the game was over. 0:02:12.800 --> 0:02:15.840 So yeah, but we're gonna try not to do a 0:02:15.919 --> 0:02:18.080 dance with the dead this week. Let's let's get right 0:02:18.120 --> 0:02:20.639 into it. Yes, Guescot, we have no obviously Thursday game 0:02:20.680 --> 0:02:22.280 this week, so all the games will be right here 0:02:22.320 --> 0:02:27.160 on the podcast. Three Saturday games. It's just good or bad. 0:02:27.320 --> 0:02:29.239 The three Saturday games. I think it's good because you 0:02:29.240 --> 0:02:31.200 can never get enough football. So if you can cover 0:02:31.280 --> 0:02:34.200 her and go on Saturday to Sunday to Monday, I 0:02:34.200 --> 0:02:36.360 think we're in a good spot. So let's do this. 0:02:36.480 --> 0:02:39.120 We're we're pressed for time because you're all right. Be 0:02:39.240 --> 0:02:41.680 sure to catch live editions of The Ben Meller Show 0:02:41.720 --> 0:02:45.400 weekdays at two am Eastern eleven pm Pacific on Fox 0:02:45.400 --> 0:02:49.600 Sports Radio and the I Heart Radio. A Saturday, Houston, 0:02:49.639 --> 0:02:52.440 you were an hour late. That's why we're pressed for time. Saturday, Houston, 0:02:52.560 --> 0:02:55.680 nine and nine and five at Tampa Bay seven and seven, 0:02:55.680 --> 0:02:58.440 and this is on the NFL Network with Rich Eyes 0:02:58.480 --> 0:03:02.520 and Nate Burlson and Joe Thomas. The Texans opened up 0:03:02.520 --> 0:03:06.040 a one point favorite. They are favored by three. It'll 0:03:06.080 --> 0:03:09.200 be cloudy seventy three agrees at kickoff at Raymond James Stadium. 0:03:09.320 --> 0:03:12.080 I'm gonna take the Buccaneers in this game. This is 0:03:12.120 --> 0:03:15.760 the kind of situation that screams to bet against the Texans. 0:03:15.800 --> 0:03:18.880 They're coming off an emotional win against the Titans last week. 0:03:19.240 --> 0:03:22.320 Now they play a non conference opponent on the road, 0:03:22.760 --> 0:03:25.720 against a team that nobody gets all up for in 0:03:25.800 --> 0:03:30.560 Tampa Bay. And this game is essentially meaningless, meaning that 0:03:30.720 --> 0:03:33.480 Houston can lose this game and still win the division 0:03:34.480 --> 0:03:38.160 next week against the Tennessee Titans. I also believe the 0:03:38.200 --> 0:03:40.960 line is inflated a little bit here. Even though it's 0:03:40.960 --> 0:03:44.720 three points. The Texans shouldn't be favored by that. And 0:03:44.720 --> 0:03:48.160 Bill O'Brien has coached a healter skilter team Houston. I'll 0:03:48.160 --> 0:03:51.080 give you an example. They've scored thirty points in the 0:03:51.120 --> 0:03:53.800 first quarter all season. That is tied with the Redskins 0:03:53.800 --> 0:03:56.520 for the worst first quarter offense in the NFL. But 0:03:56.720 --> 0:03:59.720 yet in the other three quarters they have the sixth 0:03:59.760 --> 0:04:05.280 best offense in the NFL. So during games they don't 0:04:05.280 --> 0:04:09.080 show up at times. I bet against the Buccaneers last week. 0:04:09.240 --> 0:04:13.360 I'm gonna hoppity hop on the pirate ship this week. 0:04:13.480 --> 0:04:17.360 Boomer bus Jamis Winston. The guy's been crazy. He put 0:04:17.440 --> 0:04:19.800 up the points. I like Tampa Bay. I like him 0:04:19.800 --> 0:04:22.880 to win the game outright. Buccaneers thirty, Texans twenty eight. 0:04:24.839 --> 0:04:26.960 You need a little bit more energy from you. Penny 0:04:27.040 --> 0:04:29.400 is going with the Houston, Texas. Be sure to catch 0:04:29.480 --> 0:04:32.040 live editions of The Ben Meller Show weekdays at two 0:04:32.080 --> 0:04:36.760 am Eastern eleven pm Pacific. Al Right, Next up, Buffalo 0:04:36.839 --> 0:04:39.599 at New England. The Bills are ten and four, Patriots 0:04:39.640 --> 0:04:42.400 are eleven and three. It's on the NFL Network with 0:04:42.440 --> 0:04:47.520 Mike Rico and Kurt Warner. The Patriots open to touchdown favorite. 0:04:47.520 --> 0:04:49.839 They are favored by six and a half. It'll be 0:04:49.920 --> 0:04:53.080 partly cloudy thirty one degrees that kick off at Jillette 0:04:53.080 --> 0:04:57.920 Stadium in Foxboro on a Saturday, And I'm gonna take 0:04:57.960 --> 0:05:01.479 the Bills here to call or do not win the game. 0:05:01.560 --> 0:05:05.160 It has been depressing to follow the trial and tribulations 0:05:05.160 --> 0:05:08.840 of the Patriots offense. Tom Brady is doing what he 0:05:08.920 --> 0:05:11.359 can do, but he's got a bunch of water guns. 0:05:11.400 --> 0:05:14.800 He doesn't have any guns, real guns. Uh. And he's 0:05:14.839 --> 0:05:20.160 trying these games with very limited weaponry. And is this 0:05:20.279 --> 0:05:24.479 the week where Bill Belichick and the Josh McDaniels and 0:05:24.520 --> 0:05:27.240 Brady figure it out the light bulb goes off. Probably not. 0:05:27.360 --> 0:05:29.640 Buffalo has got a good defense, uh. And I have 0:05:29.640 --> 0:05:31.480 a love hate thing with the Bills. I love the 0:05:31.520 --> 0:05:34.680 Bills defense, I hate the offense. Josh Allen has been 0:05:35.160 --> 0:05:39.000 horrible against good teams. He's he's got some decent numbers 0:05:39.000 --> 0:05:41.720 this year against bad teams, but against the three top 0:05:41.800 --> 0:05:46.160 defenses he's played Patriots, Ravens, and Steelers, He's completed fifty 0:05:46.200 --> 0:05:50.000 one of his passes three yards per attempt, two touchdowns, 0:05:50.040 --> 0:05:52.600 one interception in three of those you know the games combined, 0:05:52.960 --> 0:05:57.039 and had a passer rating of sixty. So both these 0:05:57.080 --> 0:06:04.440 teams will struggle to score. Patriot sixteen, LS thirteen Tenny 0:06:04.480 --> 0:06:07.960 go with the Buffalo Bills. Fox Sports Radio has the 0:06:08.000 --> 0:06:10.919 best sports talk lineup in the nation. Catch all of 0:06:10.920 --> 0:06:14.440 our shows at Fox Sports Radio dot com and within 0:06:14.480 --> 0:06:16.960 the I Heart Radio app search f s R to 0:06:17.080 --> 0:06:19.960 listen live. Al Right, Next up the l A Rams 0:06:20.040 --> 0:06:22.440 at eight and six at Santa Clara eleven and three. 0:06:22.480 --> 0:06:25.719 It's on the NFL Network with Kevin Burkhardt and Charles 0:06:25.800 --> 0:06:29.560 Davis the forty Niners. This game open to pick him, 0:06:29.560 --> 0:06:31.920 believe it or not, but the forty Niners a six 0:06:31.960 --> 0:06:35.360 and a half point favorite. The the before the game 0:06:35.400 --> 0:06:39.479 line was to pick him. Mostly cloudy fifty five degrees 0:06:39.520 --> 0:06:41.840 in Santa Clara at Levi's Stadium. I'm gonna take the 0:06:41.960 --> 0:06:46.440 Niners here. The Rams collapse last week in Dallas. Jared 0:06:46.480 --> 0:06:50.039 Golf is dealing with a bruise on his right thumb. 0:06:50.440 --> 0:06:52.680 Although he is going to play, I don't know how 0:06:52.680 --> 0:06:56.919 effective he's gonna be against that Niners defense. And the 0:06:57.040 --> 0:06:59.280 Rams are all but dead to make the playoffs. I'm 0:06:59.320 --> 0:07:02.080 I don't know how much motivation they're gonna have in 0:07:02.160 --> 0:07:04.880 this game. The injuries are starting to pile up. It's 0:07:04.880 --> 0:07:08.840 not only Golf tight end Jared Gerald. Everett has heard 0:07:09.360 --> 0:07:12.480 cornerback Troy Hill, who's been playing pretty well. He's also 0:07:12.560 --> 0:07:16.440 hurt Greg's urline. The kicker is hurt as well, and 0:07:16.440 --> 0:07:19.480 and in the fort If the forty Niners had had 0:07:19.560 --> 0:07:23.560 one against Atlanta last week, I would consider going the 0:07:23.600 --> 0:07:26.880 other way. But the fact that they lost, and if 0:07:26.920 --> 0:07:30.120 they lose this game, that that really opens up Pandora's 0:07:30.160 --> 0:07:33.600 box for Kyle Shanahan. Uh. The Niners need to win 0:07:33.680 --> 0:07:36.520 this game, really because it sets up the Mallard Man 0:07:36.560 --> 0:07:42.240 March in Seattle next week. I believe they will forty 0:07:42.320 --> 0:07:49.440 Niners thirty four Rams, twenty penny go at the l 0:07:49.520 --> 0:07:52.520 A Rams, all right, we get to the games on 0:07:52.640 --> 0:07:56.960 Sunday and the early television window. Jacksonville five and nine 0:07:57.040 --> 0:08:00.800 at Atlanta five and nine, it's on Fox. Is this 0:08:00.960 --> 0:08:05.880 the Joe? Is this the wrong name? The Joe Rogan game? Though? 0:08:05.960 --> 0:08:08.760 Is this the uh? Is it the Dick Stockton game? No, 0:08:08.880 --> 0:08:12.600 it's not, Yeah, it is not. This is Joe Davis 0:08:13.200 --> 0:08:17.360 and Brady Quinn, our Fox Sports radio colleague, Brady Quinn, 0:08:17.360 --> 0:08:21.960 who we're gonna call this game. Falcons opened a touchdown favorite. 0:08:21.960 --> 0:08:24.600 They are favorite by seven and a half, rainy and 0:08:24.720 --> 0:08:28.280 forty five in Atlanta, but perfect inside the Mercedes Benz Stadium. 0:08:28.280 --> 0:08:31.560 They're the dome. Boy. This is a hard game to handicap, 0:08:31.560 --> 0:08:33.160 and we shouldn't spend too much time on it's two 0:08:33.200 --> 0:08:36.000 dog food games. But I'm gonna take Jacksonville. I'm gonna 0:08:36.040 --> 0:08:39.480 take the Jacks here. They seemingly are coming apart of 0:08:39.559 --> 0:08:43.280 the seams right they've they've already imploded. Tom Coughlin the 0:08:43.360 --> 0:08:49.679 overload or overlord, rather overload, the overlord is out. Doug Morone. 0:08:50.120 --> 0:08:52.040 His new nickname is Lame Duck. I think he'll be 0:08:52.120 --> 0:08:56.360 updating his LinkedIn page during the game. But despite that, 0:08:56.559 --> 0:08:59.000 Jacksonville showed a little bit of moxie coming back to 0:08:59.040 --> 0:09:02.520 beat the Raiders last week, and I'm going with minshue 0:09:02.520 --> 0:09:06.040 Mania to have another gutty effort here to my linger 0:09:06.800 --> 0:09:09.200 in this game. Now, if Jacksonville gives an honest effort, 0:09:09.240 --> 0:09:11.559 I believe this game will be a one score close 0:09:11.640 --> 0:09:14.960 game within a within the marginal era here uh And 0:09:14.960 --> 0:09:17.839 the Jaguars have not turned the ball over in their 0:09:17.920 --> 0:09:20.920 last two games, unfortunately having forced to turn over. And 0:09:20.960 --> 0:09:23.200 I also think this is a classical letdown spot for 0:09:23.200 --> 0:09:26.480 the Falcons coming off a big win. You know they're 0:09:26.480 --> 0:09:30.280 they're super Bowl, their Bowl game win against the forty 0:09:30.360 --> 0:09:33.360 Niners last week, and now they come back and play 0:09:34.120 --> 0:09:36.560 a team in Jacksonville that you know you're not gonna 0:09:36.559 --> 0:09:39.360 get up for Jacksonville. So the Falcons will win, but 0:09:39.400 --> 0:09:42.240 they won't cover. I expect the lethargic effort from Mattie 0:09:42.320 --> 0:09:45.520 Ice and friends, and that'll be enough for the Jacks 0:09:45.520 --> 0:09:50.120 to wiggle, wiggle, wiggle wiggle into a cover. Falcons thirty, 0:09:50.280 --> 0:09:55.920 Jags four, depending on the opposite way with the A 0:09:56.080 --> 0:09:59.080 t L all right, next up New Orleans eleven and 0:09:59.160 --> 0:10:02.960 three at NNESC eight and six. It's on Fox. Is 0:10:03.040 --> 0:10:06.440 this the Stockton game? It is not the Dick Stockton game, 0:10:07.000 --> 0:10:10.240 of course, because this is two teams that have a 0:10:10.280 --> 0:10:13.760 good record. Uh. Kenny Albert and Ronde Barber have the call. 0:10:13.840 --> 0:10:17.240 Kenny Albert, friend of the show. Shout out Kenny. Not 0:10:17.320 --> 0:10:20.160 a friend of yours, friend of mine. Uh. The Saints 0:10:20.200 --> 0:10:22.520 opened a one and alf point favorite. They are favored 0:10:22.559 --> 0:10:25.320 by three gas gon, cloudy and fifty one degrees at 0:10:25.400 --> 0:10:28.160 kick off. You'll get cooler than that throughout the day 0:10:28.400 --> 0:10:33.280 at Nissan Stadium in Nashville. I'm gonna take the Titans here. 0:10:33.320 --> 0:10:37.000 The Saints are mere mortals when they leave the dome. 0:10:37.600 --> 0:10:39.760 This game is going to be playing the great outdoors. 0:10:40.679 --> 0:10:45.040 It's gonna be chili. Not horrifically cold, but chili. And 0:10:45.679 --> 0:10:48.520 I don't know that the Saints have been done with 0:10:48.600 --> 0:10:50.720 the bubble bath they gave for Drew Brees, and they 0:10:50.840 --> 0:10:53.640 you know, slabber, slabber lick lick. Uh. He's got the 0:10:53.679 --> 0:10:57.240 cleanest ass in the Bayou Drew Brees. After what happened 0:10:57.320 --> 0:11:00.640 last week, but since week tend the tight they're scoring 0:11:00.720 --> 0:11:03.840 thirty four points per games, second highest average in the NFL. 0:11:04.400 --> 0:11:06.079 The Saints are right there This game is gonna be 0:11:06.120 --> 0:11:10.360 a shootout, and Derrick Henry should do his thing. Derrick 0:11:10.400 --> 0:11:16.040 Henry's got thirty five scrimmage yards uh fifteen scrimmage touchdowns 0:11:16.120 --> 0:11:19.120 this season. That is very impressive. And Ryan Tannhill had 0:11:19.160 --> 0:11:21.920 a terrible first half last week. He played better in 0:11:21.960 --> 0:11:25.560 the second half. I think Tennessee matches up very well 0:11:25.920 --> 0:11:28.840 with the Saints secondary. There's some holes there. That's why 0:11:28.840 --> 0:11:32.240 the Saints got generous Jenkins. I love my home dogs 0:11:32.240 --> 0:11:40.240 with good teams. Titans thirty four, Saints thirty one. Penny 0:11:40.280 --> 0:11:43.080 also going with Tennessee al right. Next up the New 0:11:43.160 --> 0:11:46.280 York Giants three and eleven Washington Redskins three eleven. It's 0:11:46.320 --> 0:11:53.760 on Fox, not the Dick Stockton game. Tom Brennanman and 0:11:53.880 --> 0:11:56.680 Chris Spielman are being forced to broadcast this dog with 0:11:56.800 --> 0:12:00.720 fleas and the Redskins opened a three point They're favored 0:12:00.800 --> 0:12:02.920 by two and a half. It will be mostly cloudy 0:12:03.040 --> 0:12:06.080 forty three degrees that kick off at FedEx Field. Now, 0:12:06.080 --> 0:12:08.319 we shouldn't spend too much time in this game. Because 0:12:08.320 --> 0:12:10.240 Gascons showed up an hour late. We don't have as 0:12:10.320 --> 0:12:13.360 much time. But I'm gonna take the Redskins. And this 0:12:13.440 --> 0:12:16.480 is a man your battle station situation in terms of 0:12:16.559 --> 0:12:20.560 jockeying for position. I'm talking about the draft right now. 0:12:20.640 --> 0:12:23.960 These teams have the same record. The Giants currently have 0:12:24.000 --> 0:12:27.760 the number two pick in the draft based on strength 0:12:27.800 --> 0:12:31.840 of schedule. If they lose this game and the Dolphins 0:12:31.960 --> 0:12:36.199 also lose, the Giants could still slip down the number three. 0:12:36.360 --> 0:12:39.720 But if they win this game, they're guaranteed to drop 0:12:39.840 --> 0:12:42.080 likely all the way down to the number five pick 0:12:42.760 --> 0:12:46.000 in the draft. So you talk about a pressure situation 0:12:46.040 --> 0:12:47.960 where it's better off if you lose if you're the 0:12:48.000 --> 0:12:50.920 front office. UM, I can give you all kinds of 0:12:50.920 --> 0:12:54.560 other numbers here that I don't trust the Giants offense. 0:12:54.600 --> 0:12:57.199 I know they won last week and all that Redskins 0:12:57.240 --> 0:13:02.600 twenty Giants six team oh Man, Petty's going with the 0:13:02.640 --> 0:13:06.959 red Washington Redskins, all right. Next up Pittsburgh eight and 0:13:07.040 --> 0:13:09.480 six and the New York Jets five and nine. It's 0:13:09.520 --> 0:13:13.400 on CBS. I An Eagle, the dad of the Clipper broadcaster, 0:13:13.559 --> 0:13:18.400 and Dan Fouts have the call. Now. The Steelers opened 0:13:18.440 --> 0:13:22.480 up a three point favorite. They are currently favored by three. 0:13:23.080 --> 0:13:27.679 The weather sunny forty four degrees at kickoff at MetLife 0:13:27.760 --> 0:13:31.520 Stadium in Jersey. The pick is in. I'm gonna take 0:13:31.559 --> 0:13:34.400 the j e t s Suck. Suck, suck is what 0:13:34.440 --> 0:13:37.720 I'm gonna take. And this is mainly a bet against 0:13:37.800 --> 0:13:42.120 Duck Hodges. Duck Hodges was so terrible against Buffalo and 0:13:42.200 --> 0:13:46.160 he's back again. Now will he rebound or continue the 0:13:46.240 --> 0:13:50.240 vomit comment? Express Hodges is through? You know, he threw 0:13:50.280 --> 0:13:54.480 into triple coverage multiple times against the Bills defense last week. 0:13:54.520 --> 0:13:57.480 Now I realized the Jets defense it's not as good, 0:13:57.480 --> 0:13:59.960 but the Jets. That is the strength of the Jets. 0:14:00.040 --> 0:14:03.560 The Jets defense and the Steelers offense is riding the 0:14:03.640 --> 0:14:06.920 short bus again this season. In fact, did you know 0:14:06.960 --> 0:14:10.319 that Pittsburgh the only team in the NFL this year 0:14:10.320 --> 0:14:12.240 that has yet to score twenty eight or more points 0:14:12.240 --> 0:14:14.920 in a game. They've yet to go four hundred plus 0:14:14.960 --> 0:14:18.520 yards of total offense in a game. In a league 0:14:18.520 --> 0:14:22.320 with the ben Gals and the Redskins and the Giants. 0:14:22.400 --> 0:14:25.960 The Steelers, who have a winning record, haven't hit any 0:14:26.000 --> 0:14:29.320 of those benchmarks. There's no way that Duck Hodges, the 0:14:29.360 --> 0:14:32.360 way he's been playing, deserves to be a field goal 0:14:32.480 --> 0:14:36.120 favorite on the road against anyone, even the Sisters of 0:14:36.200 --> 0:14:40.400 the Blind, unless Mike Tomlin has some kind of Warlock 0:14:40.520 --> 0:14:44.000 potion that we don't know about. I will take the 0:14:44.160 --> 0:14:47.840 Jets to bounce back at home as a home dog 0:14:47.880 --> 0:14:51.320 and compete, assuming the Jets given honest effort. Here the 0:14:51.480 --> 0:14:56.240 music stops for Pittsburgh. Chaos ensues for that final a 0:14:56.440 --> 0:15:04.600 f C playoff berth Jets twenty three, Steelers seventeen penny 0:15:04.640 --> 0:15:07.880 going at the New York Jets. All right, next up, 0:15:08.360 --> 0:15:14.040 Cincinnati one in thirteen, Miami three and eleven. It's on CBS. 0:15:14.760 --> 0:15:19.560 It's on CBS. Andrew Catalan and James lofton Dolphins a 0:15:19.640 --> 0:15:23.600 one point favorite. I'm gonna take the Miami Dolphins here. 0:15:23.640 --> 0:15:25.880 The Bengals can wrap up the number one pick in 0:15:27.040 --> 0:15:29.280 if they lose this game, they can choose between Joe 0:15:29.320 --> 0:15:31.240 Burrow and to a tongue of by Lower or some 0:15:31.360 --> 0:15:34.840 other schmuck um. But these teams are pretty even. It's 0:15:34.880 --> 0:15:38.960 kind of like splitting hairs. I like the Dolphins at home. 0:15:39.040 --> 0:15:43.320 Ryan Fitzpatrick has been very good lately at home. Last 0:15:43.360 --> 0:15:47.040 three home games. He's averaged eleven yards per attempt completed 0:15:47.120 --> 0:15:50.440 seventy percent of his passes, so I'm going with some 0:15:50.480 --> 0:15:53.080 Fitz magic, and I hope the Bengals all go out 0:15:53.080 --> 0:15:55.600 and hang out with weed Man Hippie in South Beach 0:15:55.680 --> 0:16:01.800 before the game. Dolphins twenty seven, Bengals twenty penny go 0:16:01.920 --> 0:16:05.200 with the Miami Dolphins. Al right. Next up Carolina at 0:16:05.240 --> 0:16:10.440 Indianapolis five and nine, Carolina six and eight Indianapolis. It's 0:16:10.520 --> 0:16:13.840 on Fox. Is this the Dick Stockton game. I guess 0:16:13.880 --> 0:16:16.200 it's got to be in right, Yeah, it is the 0:16:16.240 --> 0:16:18.720 Dick Stockton game. Dick Stockton and Mark Labor have the 0:16:18.800 --> 0:16:22.360 call in the Fox box that rocks. You've got the 0:16:22.440 --> 0:16:26.080 Colts a seven point favorite, Colts open to six and 0:16:26.120 --> 0:16:29.280 a point favorite. Sonny and forty one degrees that kick 0:16:29.320 --> 0:16:32.400 off outside in the dome. It will be fun boy. 0:16:32.440 --> 0:16:34.160 This is a hard game to handicap because I think 0:16:34.200 --> 0:16:36.360 both these teams have given up. I think both these 0:16:36.360 --> 0:16:40.040 teams have just decided they don't want to compete. Right. 0:16:40.080 --> 0:16:43.360 They're they're like playing on Xanex or something like that. 0:16:43.400 --> 0:16:46.880 The way they're running around there. It's let sleeping corpses lie, 0:16:47.640 --> 0:16:49.800 as they say, But you gotta pick somebody. I'm gonna 0:16:49.800 --> 0:16:53.680 take the Panthers here. Even before Ron Rivera was impeached 0:16:53.680 --> 0:16:57.640 as coach. In Carolina, the Panthers have been essentially bouncing 0:16:57.640 --> 0:17:01.240 down a never ending staircase, lower and lower and lower. 0:17:01.280 --> 0:17:04.960 How can you go? They have no motivation, They appear 0:17:05.000 --> 0:17:07.480 to be sleepwalking, but they did at least change quarterbacks. 0:17:07.520 --> 0:17:11.520 Will Greer is gonna start over the benched Kyle Allen, 0:17:12.520 --> 0:17:14.560 So we'll see what this this guy, this, this a 0:17:14.640 --> 0:17:18.000 rookie can do. He's being thrown out to the Colts 0:17:18.119 --> 0:17:20.000 or the Wolves and all that stuff some on the 0:17:20.119 --> 0:17:25.440 job training, so expect a remedial game plan. Carolina may 0:17:25.480 --> 0:17:28.280 have met its match though this week. This December, the 0:17:28.320 --> 0:17:33.080 Indianapolis Colts have allowed an NFL high thirty four points 0:17:33.080 --> 0:17:37.240 per game, while the Panthers have allowed thirty three points 0:17:37.280 --> 0:17:39.560 per game. That's the third worst in December. Only the 0:17:39.640 --> 0:17:41.960 Raiders have been there. There, there in the middle, there 0:17:41.960 --> 0:17:46.959 the cream filling in the Oriole Oakland there, but Indianapolis 0:17:46.960 --> 0:17:49.520 is in denial. If they think Jacobe bro said is 0:17:49.560 --> 0:17:52.160 the answer, this guy is a high end backup who's 0:17:52.160 --> 0:17:55.480 at the masquerade ball pretending to be a starting quarterback 0:17:55.520 --> 0:17:59.080 in the NFL. I'm gonna ride or die with real 0:17:59.320 --> 0:18:04.480 Greer for some beginner's luck. Panthers thirty three, Colts twenty 0:18:04.560 --> 0:18:10.320 three penny go on the Indianapolis Colts. All right, Next 0:18:10.400 --> 0:18:13.880 up Baltimore twelve and two at Cleveland six and eight. 0:18:14.280 --> 0:18:18.320 It's on CBS with Jim Nance and Tony Romo. The 0:18:18.400 --> 0:18:22.439 Ravens opened a touchdown favorite. They're favorite by ten sunny 0:18:22.520 --> 0:18:25.520 and forty five degrees. That kick off at First Energy 0:18:25.600 --> 0:18:31.040 Stadium in Cleveland. I'm gonna take the Browns, is what 0:18:31.080 --> 0:18:34.000 I'm gonna do here. Now, the Ravens keep plugging along, 0:18:34.080 --> 0:18:37.639 they can wrap up the number one seed, home field advantage, 0:18:38.000 --> 0:18:40.199 trying to get revenge and all that stuff if they 0:18:40.280 --> 0:18:42.800 beat the Browns. Blah blah blah blah blah. The ravens 0:18:42.840 --> 0:18:44.479 last loss came at the hands of the Browns. They 0:18:44.480 --> 0:18:47.359 give up forty points to Cleveland. Now, the argument is 0:18:47.400 --> 0:18:49.520 the Ravens are better now, the Browns are worse, and 0:18:49.560 --> 0:18:52.920 they don't have Miles Garrett because he donked a gain, 0:18:53.359 --> 0:18:57.439 donked the guy's head there with his helmet. But I 0:18:57.560 --> 0:19:01.720 just double digit lines I don't like. And John Harbaugh 0:19:02.800 --> 0:19:06.199 has a four and eight record against the spread in 0:19:06.400 --> 0:19:09.199 same season revenge games. So it's not like that Ravens 0:19:09.200 --> 0:19:11.800 have always done well in these revenge games. And the 0:19:11.920 --> 0:19:16.080 Ravens are nine and eighteen against the spread when favored 0:19:16.119 --> 0:19:19.679 by over a touchdown and a half in recent years 0:19:20.280 --> 0:19:25.280 under John Harball. So there's a lot of value with 0:19:25.359 --> 0:19:27.639 the Browns. Again, it depends on the Browns effort. They 0:19:27.680 --> 0:19:30.359 can run the ball with Nick Chubb, they can throw 0:19:30.400 --> 0:19:34.040 the ball. Baker Mayfield should have some confidence here. I'm 0:19:34.040 --> 0:19:36.560 gonna take the Ravens to win, but the Browns to cover. 0:19:36.640 --> 0:19:39.119 This will be a one score game. You're getting double 0:19:39.160 --> 0:19:47.639 digit points in a divisional game. Ravens thirty, Browns penny 0:19:47.800 --> 0:19:50.320 at the Cleveland Browns. I'd like to pat myself on 0:19:50.359 --> 0:19:52.160 the back. I feel like we're making very good time. 0:19:52.200 --> 0:19:56.639 Next up Dallas seven and seven at Philadelphia seven and seven. 0:19:57.080 --> 0:19:59.680 It's on Fox. This is the game of the weekend. 0:20:00.000 --> 0:20:05.119 Old Buck and Troy Aikman have the call the game 0:20:05.240 --> 0:20:07.560 open to pick them. The Cowboys are a two and 0:20:07.560 --> 0:20:12.160 a half point road favorite. It will be nasty, partly cloudy, 0:20:12.240 --> 0:20:15.760 thirty nine degrees that kick off a wintry blast. That 0:20:15.880 --> 0:20:20.680 Lincoln Financial Field in South Philly, that Sports complex. I'm 0:20:20.680 --> 0:20:26.480 gonna take the Eagles fly Eagles fly on the road 0:20:26.760 --> 0:20:31.600 to victory. I like the Eagles. The Cowboys have mostly 0:20:31.640 --> 0:20:35.240 been swimming against the current. That was until last week 0:20:35.280 --> 0:20:38.400 the blowout win against an injured Jared Golf and the Rams. 0:20:38.760 --> 0:20:41.360 Neither one of these teams has earned my trust Now 0:20:41.440 --> 0:20:43.560 I like the home team here. Philadelphia has had a 0:20:43.640 --> 0:20:49.200 slightly more impressive resume head to head. And you've also 0:20:49.240 --> 0:20:52.280 got Dak Prescott, who who the Cowboys, says both his 0:20:52.359 --> 0:20:56.880 hands are injured. They're all messed up. If true, that 0:20:56.920 --> 0:20:59.520 would seemingly be a huge advantage to the Birds. The 0:20:59.600 --> 0:21:03.760 week this on Philadelphia is They've got to be the 0:21:03.840 --> 0:21:08.040 dumbest team in America. A bunch of idiots are there. 0:21:08.400 --> 0:21:10.639 They get burned by trick plays, and they've got a 0:21:11.000 --> 0:21:15.280 parts galore. That said, the last three weeks, the Eagles 0:21:15.280 --> 0:21:18.879 and Cowboys are both allowing the same amount of yards 0:21:18.880 --> 0:21:21.120 per game, three and forty two yards per game. They're dead. 0:21:21.160 --> 0:21:24.200 Even the Eagles are lacking playmakers, but they found one. 0:21:24.240 --> 0:21:28.320 This guy Greg Ward, who you're last week if you 0:21:28.359 --> 0:21:31.480 saw the Eagles game, uh, save their bacon came out 0:21:31.480 --> 0:21:33.840 of nowhere. I want to see him again. Zach Ertz, 0:21:34.440 --> 0:21:38.159 Miles Sanders the Cowboys have weaknesses in the middle of 0:21:38.160 --> 0:21:41.120 their defense. We'll see if the Eagles can exploit that. 0:21:41.480 --> 0:21:45.679 I believe they will. Keep in mind, though, Dallas is 0:21:45.800 --> 0:21:48.400 seven and all when they scored twenty five points or more. 0:21:49.320 --> 0:21:52.720 Uh this season, they're owing seven when they score less 0:21:53.400 --> 0:21:56.359 than than twenty five points. Twenty four points or fewer. 0:21:56.720 --> 0:22:05.239 Eagles twenty six the Dallas Cowboys. Penny and Gill at 0:22:05.240 --> 0:22:09.600 the Philadelphia Eagles. Al Right, Next next up Arizona four 0:22:09.760 --> 0:22:12.359 nine and one at Seattle eleven and three. It's on 0:22:12.480 --> 0:22:16.800 Fox with Chris Myers, Darryl Moose, Johnston in the Fox Box. 0:22:16.840 --> 0:22:19.200 That rocks. Now. This is the last Seahawks home game 0:22:19.520 --> 0:22:22.480 before the Mallard Man March, so they better not fuck 0:22:22.560 --> 0:22:25.480 it up. The Seahawks opened a nine and a half 0:22:25.520 --> 0:22:27.760 point favorite. They're still favored by nine and a half 0:22:28.160 --> 0:22:32.200 mostly cloudy forties seven degrees at kickoff at Century lincoln Field. 0:22:32.240 --> 0:22:35.040 I'm so excited to check out the stadium. Uh. Not 0:22:35.160 --> 0:22:37.800 this weekend, obviously, but next weekend. I'm gonna take the 0:22:37.840 --> 0:22:40.159 Cardinals here. I don't love the pick, but that's the 0:22:40.240 --> 0:22:45.600 right side. Seattle's ten wins are in a ten of 0:22:45.640 --> 0:22:47.679 the eleven wins are in one possession games. That is 0:22:47.720 --> 0:22:51.320 tied with the nineteen seventy eight Love Me Blue Houston 0:22:51.320 --> 0:22:55.600 Oilers for the most wins in one possession games in 0:22:55.640 --> 0:22:58.840 a single NFL season games decided by eight points since 0:23:00.080 --> 0:23:05.119 or uh and seven points before. To give you the metrics, 0:23:05.160 --> 0:23:07.800 but the reason I was gonna originally take the Seahawks 0:23:07.800 --> 0:23:09.440 in this game, and then I looked at the injury chart. 0:23:09.480 --> 0:23:12.280 I said, wait a minute, je Devon Clowney might not play, 0:23:12.359 --> 0:23:15.280 Ziggy Ansa might not play. The two pass rushers that 0:23:15.359 --> 0:23:19.920 could get all over Kyler Murray alligator arms Murray. Stop 0:23:19.920 --> 0:23:23.880 the Opa Loopa, Theopa Loopa cannot handle pressure. Uh, he's 0:23:23.920 --> 0:23:26.879 the worst quarterback in the NFL. He's clueless, he melts 0:23:26.920 --> 0:23:30.880 down under pressure. And remember he's the most sacked quarterback 0:23:30.880 --> 0:23:33.080 in the NFL. A lot of sacks are on not 0:23:33.200 --> 0:23:35.400 on the on the offensive line, They're on the quarterback 0:23:35.880 --> 0:23:38.680 for not making proper decision, not getting rid of the ball, 0:23:38.760 --> 0:23:44.480