WEBVTT - Jack Brennan on Succeeding the Legendary John Bogle (Podcast) 

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<v Speaker 1>M. This is Mesters in Business with Very Renaults on

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<v Speaker 1>Blueberg Radio. This week on the podcast, I have an

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<v Speaker 1>extra extra special guest. It's the return of Jack Brennan.

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<v Speaker 1>He is the former CEO and chairman of the Vanguard Group.

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<v Speaker 1>And what can I tell you? This is just a

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<v Speaker 1>tourtive force about rational investing strategies, behavior psychology. There are

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<v Speaker 1>a few people in the world who have Brennan's depth

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<v Speaker 1>of experience and perspective. Not just because he worked with

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<v Speaker 1>Jack Bogel for dozens of years and was Bogel's handpicked

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<v Speaker 1>successor to run the Vanguard Group, but he's done a

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<v Speaker 1>variety of other things. He's on all sorts of other boards.

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<v Speaker 1>He sees the world of investing and business and finance

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<v Speaker 1>um from a three D and sixty re perspective. I

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<v Speaker 1>find him not only just fascinating and intelligent and sincere,

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<v Speaker 1>but really one of the few people who has that

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<v Speaker 1>full view of everything. His perspectives, his opinions are very

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<v Speaker 1>well informed and and really matter a great deal. I

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<v Speaker 1>found this to be a fascinating conversation and I think

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<v Speaker 1>you will also so. With no further ado, the former

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<v Speaker 1>chairman and CEO of the Vanguard Group. Jack Brennan. This

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<v Speaker 1>is Mesters in Business with Very Renorts on Bluebird Radio.

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<v Speaker 1>HI extra special guest is Jack Brennan. He was the

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<v Speaker 1>CEO and chairman of the Vanguard Group from two thousand

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<v Speaker 1>and eight. He is currently chairman of Notre Dame's Board

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<v Speaker 1>of Trustees, as well as being on a variety of

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<v Speaker 1>other boards. He is the author of a new book,

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<v Speaker 1>More Straight Talk on investing Lessons for a Lifetime. Jack

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<v Speaker 1>and in Welcome back to Bloomberg, Great Meridi, Very good

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<v Speaker 1>to have you back. I recall our last conversation was

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<v Speaker 1>quite fascinating a couple of years ago. But for people

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<v Speaker 1>who may have missed it, let's let's just spend a

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<v Speaker 1>few minutes going over your history. You joined Vanguard in

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<v Speaker 1>serving as the company's president alongside Jack Bogel, the founder

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<v Speaker 1>and CEO of Vanguard. Tell us a little bit what

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<v Speaker 1>it was like in the eighties and what it was

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<v Speaker 1>like working with a legend like Jack Bogel. Well, it

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<v Speaker 1>was a gift to be hired by Jack Bogel and

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<v Speaker 1>to join Vanguard when I did. Bangard was a quite

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<v Speaker 1>small place for point four billion dollars in assets undermanagement.

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<v Speaker 1>The industry is you might recall back in eighty two

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<v Speaker 1>was driven mostly by money market funds. You know, at

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<v Speaker 1>Socks hadn't done much for a long time. Bonds had

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<v Speaker 1>been terrible because we were in the stagflation. You're coming

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<v Speaker 1>out of it. But the chance to work side by

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<v Speaker 1>side with someone like Jack, we've been in the business

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<v Speaker 1>since the day graduated from Princeton in nineteen fifty one,

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<v Speaker 1>was extraordinary. You know, we had lunch together nearly every

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<v Speaker 1>day when I was in town over thirteen plus years.

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<v Speaker 1>I learned a ton of stuff from him in so

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<v Speaker 1>many ways, as did the whole team of us that

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<v Speaker 1>we're part of the early days of the growth phase

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<v Speaker 1>of Angard from eighty two as the markets turned around

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<v Speaker 1>and it turned into be a pretty good business today.

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<v Speaker 1>We had a lot of fun, went through a lots

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<v Speaker 1>of business challenges, many of which were challenges of success.

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<v Speaker 1>How do you keep a place together as you grow

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<v Speaker 1>at a percent some years? Uh, and that you know

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<v Speaker 1>compounded for all those years we also went through on

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<v Speaker 1>the personal side. You know, Jack had a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>health challenges that you know, I tried to be helpful

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<v Speaker 1>with and obviously lived with him through those. I had

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<v Speaker 1>some on my family's side, and those kinds of things

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<v Speaker 1>bond as well, very in a way that's different than

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<v Speaker 1>a conventional just a business relationship, and was really another

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<v Speaker 1>shared experience. So you know, you get lucky sometimes, and

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<v Speaker 1>joining Vanguard and working with Jack and for Jack was tremendous.

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<v Speaker 1>Were thinking about that the other day. Actually, just a

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<v Speaker 1>couple of years ago, you know, Jack and Pat Jack

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<v Speaker 1>passed away and we had a celebration of life form

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<v Speaker 1>at Vanguard and I was privileged to kick it off

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<v Speaker 1>and just hit a four things that are lessons actually

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<v Speaker 1>maybe for your listeners that really, you know, you think

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<v Speaker 1>about what Vanguard is today, it was not that when

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<v Speaker 1>Jack launched in n But four things were consistent and

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<v Speaker 1>hopefully you're very much still part of the company. And

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<v Speaker 1>one was just the dedication of the mission of Vanguard

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<v Speaker 1>those who followed Jack. He was continually on point about client,

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<v Speaker 1>client clients. The second is passion for competitive success. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>nobody liked to fight more than Jackie picked one now

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<v Speaker 1>and then UH to try to get publicity for us

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<v Speaker 1>and UH and things. But that focus on wanting to

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<v Speaker 1>win hugely, hugely valuable. The third thing that was remarkable,

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<v Speaker 1>really to watch and learn from the power of communication,

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<v Speaker 1>and you know, just consist can see and continual continually

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<v Speaker 1>promoting in a sense what the message for the company

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<v Speaker 1>was powerful force and the last thing focus. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>we'd have people come to us very continually saying issue

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<v Speaker 1>credit cards, do mortgages, do this, and Jack would always

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<v Speaker 1>come back and say, now we do one thing pretty well.

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<v Speaker 1>We've managed package products in the form of mutual funds.

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<v Speaker 1>Let's just go find people to buy them. So, when

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<v Speaker 1>Vogel finally stepped down, you were as handpicked successor did

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<v Speaker 1>you feel the weight of that transition or was he

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<v Speaker 1>still not quite the legend he eventually became, and it

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<v Speaker 1>didn't have the same gravitas that perhaps it does today.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, in some ways, not too much. In some ways,

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<v Speaker 1>certainly you feel the weight of it. In a sense,

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<v Speaker 1>not so much. Was you know, We've just been handing

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<v Speaker 1>gloves together for thirteen years. I've been on the board

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<v Speaker 1>for nine or something like that, the president for seven

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<v Speaker 1>or eight, and most of the team that led the

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<v Speaker 1>company I'd either hired or promoted and mentored along the way.

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<v Speaker 1>So so the internal aspects of change weren't weren't very

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<v Speaker 1>great and in that sense, and so it was incredibly smooth.

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<v Speaker 1>H And frankly, when I've been made the president, the

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<v Speaker 1>board didn't he had announced that I would take his place,

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<v Speaker 1>which was a little weird, but um, I think probably

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<v Speaker 1>helpful in some ways, uh, internally in that regard. But

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<v Speaker 1>the the other part of it is, um, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>Jack had been the CEO from sin when this was announced,

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<v Speaker 1>and I'm the new guide as some slice of the constituencies.

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<v Speaker 1>And you know, in a sense you have to prove

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<v Speaker 1>yourself to two people who knew Jack as the face

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<v Speaker 1>of the company, and we're very different, different ideas around

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<v Speaker 1>that role. But you feel a way to it. And

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<v Speaker 1>you know, I don't know any CEO who, irrespective of

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<v Speaker 1>you know, his or her tenure at a company, who

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<v Speaker 1>the day they become the scene, oh it. Uh, they

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<v Speaker 1>don't feel the weight of it. It's a different It's

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<v Speaker 1>different on day one than it was on day minus

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<v Speaker 1>one when you become CEO. And that was a surprise

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<v Speaker 1>to me in some lay. I have to say, I

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<v Speaker 1>didn't expect it and I felt it. And I can't

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<v Speaker 1>sold low CEOs continually as they're moving into jobs that

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<v Speaker 1>they will feel it and of the people say you're right,

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<v Speaker 1>I get that really interesting. I love this quote you

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<v Speaker 1>had in Business Week where you said, quote, being famous

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<v Speaker 1>was never on my agenda unquote. And you tell the

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<v Speaker 1>story You're coaching your son's soccer team and another player's

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<v Speaker 1>mom comes up to you and says, I didn't realize

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<v Speaker 1>you were that Jack Brennan. She thought you were a

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<v Speaker 1>gym teacher. What was that transition like into the public eye.

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<v Speaker 1>That was the hardest part of it, because it's just

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<v Speaker 1>not me. I love having tons of responsibility of bandrad

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<v Speaker 1>and having nobody know my name. I don't think I

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<v Speaker 1>was a gym teacher when I was coaching, right, And

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<v Speaker 1>you take the job, you have to make that change.

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<v Speaker 1>And you know, I'm a big believer that being the

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<v Speaker 1>leader is notoriety enough, and that any credit for stuff

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<v Speaker 1>that happens positively in an organization should go to the team.

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<v Speaker 1>And he blamed that something that goes awry should you

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<v Speaker 1>should accept that as the leader. And so it was.

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<v Speaker 1>It was a challenge and an interesting one, particularly because

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<v Speaker 1>you will recall, you know, the fund industry was kind

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<v Speaker 1>of on the sidelines in in finance, if you will.

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<v Speaker 1>When I started out there, and then we were progressively

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<v Speaker 1>but by we were very prominent part of the business.

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<v Speaker 1>And so with all of the industry and and and

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<v Speaker 1>company responsibilities, you really do have to change and adapt.

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<v Speaker 1>And it's a growth opportunity for anybody who falls into

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<v Speaker 1>that role. I think particularly challenged for someone like me

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<v Speaker 1>who is Anonymity is something that is highly prized, uh,

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<v Speaker 1>which makes me like an and not comment as I

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<v Speaker 1>do this thing through this interview with you, but it's

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<v Speaker 1>it's very much real. That was I would say, hands

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<v Speaker 1>down the hardest change for me as I took over

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<v Speaker 1>the as the CEO of the company. That's the beauty

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<v Speaker 1>of radio. Nobody knows what you look like exactly. So

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<v Speaker 1>two questions about your leadership period at Vanguard. Tell us

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<v Speaker 1>what you're most proud of from that period and if

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<v Speaker 1>you had a mulligan, if you can have a do

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<v Speaker 1>over for one thing, what what would that? Big? Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>I get asked what are you most proud of? Question

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<v Speaker 1>all the time, Verry, and I think the three things

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<v Speaker 1>that that matter first and foremost is the team that

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<v Speaker 1>you've helped put together over time and trig in a

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<v Speaker 1>rapidly grown company where you know the team almost can't

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<v Speaker 1>grow quickly enough to keep up with the challenges in

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<v Speaker 1>the company. But you know, from top to bottom, we

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<v Speaker 1>were able to attract and help build great careers for

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<v Speaker 1>people who had a sign on to this quirky mission

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<v Speaker 1>in a quirky place where you're not public company, you're

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<v Speaker 1>not private, you're owned by your mutual fund shareholders. But

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<v Speaker 1>maintaining and enhancing the commitment to that, to our mission

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<v Speaker 1>and the intense competitive edge and deal in the face

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<v Speaker 1>of you know what, in many ways is UH remarketable success.

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<v Speaker 1>That that's a thing that I look back and I

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<v Speaker 1>look today at Vanguard and see it there and really

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<v Speaker 1>proud of that tangibly the billions and billions and billions

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<v Speaker 1>of incremental rewards you delivered to the shareholders because of

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<v Speaker 1>our structure, because our funds performed well critically important part.

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<v Speaker 1>And that's that's what you're there for. That's why you

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<v Speaker 1>put your shoes on every day, um, you know. And

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<v Speaker 1>then probably the last thing that I always like to

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<v Speaker 1>highlight is the culture, which you would think would get

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<v Speaker 1>diluted as it grew in by a hundred and then

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<v Speaker 1>a thousand times would get diluted. I think the culture

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<v Speaker 1>got stronger progressively and continues to get stronger around again,

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<v Speaker 1>the singular focus on the client, and then even more

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<v Speaker 1>important in many ways, always doing it the right way.

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<v Speaker 1>So I look at that and say, that's a that's

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<v Speaker 1>a template if somebody said, you'll be around a long

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<v Speaker 1>time and you'll feel this good about those three things

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<v Speaker 1>high on my list of things. As to the Mulligan,

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<v Speaker 1>I might need a roving a few roving. Mulligan's right

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<v Speaker 1>in some ways the UH. I once said a relatively

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<v Speaker 1>new person as officer at Vanguard, I think she was

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<v Speaker 1>trying to insolve me, and I thought she was complimenting me.

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<v Speaker 1>She said, I I live in a perpetual state of dissatisfaction,

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<v Speaker 1>and I think it is a compliment. I could give

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<v Speaker 1>you a really long list, but I'll give you one

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<v Speaker 1>thing that I look back and say, we we had

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<v Speaker 1>it right and didn't do it right, if you will,

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<v Speaker 1>and that is advice and support for the advice community.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, Vanguard today is a burgeoning advice business delivering

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<v Speaker 1>a great product at a great price. And we started

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<v Speaker 1>in the advice business twenty five years ago. But I

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<v Speaker 1>wasn't aggressive and I wasn't aggressive enough in saying we

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<v Speaker 1>should really build this out in a form and fashion,

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<v Speaker 1>and then as a compliment, be even more aggressive in

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<v Speaker 1>supporting the advisor community. There was a legacy there. We

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<v Speaker 1>used to be a load fun group. We became no

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<v Speaker 1>load and so on. But it was clear to us

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<v Speaker 1>that advice was going to be a crucial part of

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<v Speaker 1>the investing future, and very importantly so. And if I

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<v Speaker 1>look back and say, if there's one thing I would

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<v Speaker 1>have spent a lot more money, put a lot more

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<v Speaker 1>energy behind, it's that. And I'm really glad to see

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<v Speaker 1>the companies doing it on both sides of that. By

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<v Speaker 1>the way, delivering advice and then supporting advice providers, it's

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<v Speaker 1>a core, very core part of Anger today. I wish

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<v Speaker 1>we'd been much more advanced during my time leading a company.

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<v Speaker 1>Really interesting, let's talk a little bit about your new book.

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<v Speaker 1>By the way, am I reading this right? The first

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<v Speaker 1>book was straight talk on investing. Correct. It was because

0:12:56.080 --> 0:12:58.280
<v Speaker 1>I read that one. You know, it's got to be

0:12:58.360 --> 0:13:00.840
<v Speaker 1>five years ago when we did our person interview, when

0:13:00.880 --> 0:13:04.839
<v Speaker 1>I plowed through whatever notes I had from that. Is

0:13:04.960 --> 0:13:07.079
<v Speaker 1>this an update or is this a brand new book.

0:13:07.240 --> 0:13:10.719
<v Speaker 1>It's a combination. It's one of the great lessons in

0:13:10.880 --> 0:13:13.959
<v Speaker 1>redoing and doing another book is the core of the

0:13:14.000 --> 0:13:17.280
<v Speaker 1>book really hasn't changed, actually, And then there's lots of

0:13:18.520 --> 0:13:21.160
<v Speaker 1>you think about this person one's book published in two

0:13:21.240 --> 0:13:25.280
<v Speaker 1>thousand two. So you've got the GFC, you've got the

0:13:27.200 --> 0:13:31.040
<v Speaker 1>last year, you've got twenty years almost to say how

0:13:31.760 --> 0:13:35.040
<v Speaker 1>it's the aftermath of the dot com bubble of GFC

0:13:35.320 --> 0:13:38.520
<v Speaker 1>and what we've been through. And you say, because what

0:13:38.720 --> 0:13:43.439
<v Speaker 1>we've wrote then withstand the test of time. It's actually

0:13:43.840 --> 0:13:47.880
<v Speaker 1>it's rarities are enhanced by that test of time. And

0:13:48.000 --> 0:13:49.640
<v Speaker 1>then there's some other new stuff that we can talk

0:13:49.679 --> 0:13:53.400
<v Speaker 1>about it. But it's the advent of Ridholds Advisors and

0:13:53.600 --> 0:13:58.480
<v Speaker 1>Vanguard's advisory services. It's radical decline and cost of investing

0:13:58.520 --> 0:14:01.400
<v Speaker 1>in twenty years it's stunning, and some other stuff that

0:14:02.400 --> 0:14:05.839
<v Speaker 1>is important. So it's a combination of new and new

0:14:06.040 --> 0:14:10.199
<v Speaker 1>and reaffirmation of what was in the private book. Well,

0:14:10.320 --> 0:14:14.160
<v Speaker 1>some of the basics from the other book is pretty timeless. Homework,

0:14:14.240 --> 0:14:18.480
<v Speaker 1>good habits, no fads, stay, continue to learn. I mean

0:14:18.600 --> 0:14:22.960
<v Speaker 1>that's pretty straight talk as it gets. So tell us

0:14:23.080 --> 0:14:26.920
<v Speaker 1>what motivated that approach. I appreciate the term straight talk.

0:14:27.000 --> 0:14:29.920
<v Speaker 1>I had one of my colleagues at Vanguard the other

0:14:30.040 --> 0:14:33.560
<v Speaker 1>day asked me do I enjoy being boring? And uh,

0:14:34.400 --> 0:14:38.080
<v Speaker 1>and the with with this advice, But you know, um,

0:14:39.080 --> 0:14:42.520
<v Speaker 1>it's what motivates it is this is the time tested

0:14:43.000 --> 0:14:48.480
<v Speaker 1>way serious money gets invested successfully. And that might be

0:14:49.120 --> 0:14:52.200
<v Speaker 1>an endowment at a great university, it may be a

0:14:52.280 --> 0:14:56.280
<v Speaker 1>pension fund. And this is really targeted at people who

0:14:56.320 --> 0:14:59.280
<v Speaker 1>are their own personal financial entrepreneurs with their own assets,

0:14:59.360 --> 0:15:01.800
<v Speaker 1>and they can get help from an advisor, they can

0:15:01.840 --> 0:15:04.480
<v Speaker 1>do it themselves whatever. But if you look back over

0:15:04.800 --> 0:15:11.359
<v Speaker 1>decades and decades very in some ways simple approach to investing,

0:15:11.480 --> 0:15:14.800
<v Speaker 1>as you just highlighted around homework, good habits, avoiding fads

0:15:15.640 --> 0:15:18.800
<v Speaker 1>is the proven strategy and the problem is it's always

0:15:18.920 --> 0:15:22.560
<v Speaker 1>challenged right by the new news thing. And so you know,

0:15:23.320 --> 0:15:26.920
<v Speaker 1>we found, we find that it's important to reaffirm these

0:15:27.280 --> 0:15:30.320
<v Speaker 1>test them, by the way, and there's unlimited amounts of

0:15:30.440 --> 0:15:33.760
<v Speaker 1>data as you know, to look and and test them.

0:15:34.400 --> 0:15:37.800
<v Speaker 1>But you come back to these core principles that define

0:15:38.000 --> 0:15:42.640
<v Speaker 1>success strategies for any of us, whether an institutional investor

0:15:42.720 --> 0:15:46.800
<v Speaker 1>in individuals. So that's the that's the motivation of it.

0:15:47.000 --> 0:15:49.680
<v Speaker 1>And you know, for me personally, it's Uh, I had

0:15:49.720 --> 0:15:52.120
<v Speaker 1>the privilege of knowing Walter or Morgan who found in

0:15:52.200 --> 0:15:59.080
<v Speaker 1>Wellington Fund. So I've had live tutorial from Mr Morgan. Jack.

0:15:59.560 --> 0:16:05.280
<v Speaker 1>Now now I'm the old guy and had hired ends

0:16:05.360 --> 0:16:09.080
<v Speaker 1>of advisors and advisory firms, have observed millions of investors,

0:16:09.960 --> 0:16:14.200
<v Speaker 1>and you come back to core character traits that defined success,

0:16:14.240 --> 0:16:17.800
<v Speaker 1>as you know, and in the end, there's two character

0:16:17.880 --> 0:16:21.760
<v Speaker 1>traits that matter. One is humility and the other's discipline.

0:16:22.440 --> 0:16:25.840
<v Speaker 1>And then there's some practices that matter. And if you

0:16:26.000 --> 0:16:30.040
<v Speaker 1>find that package in yourself or in your advisor or

0:16:30.120 --> 0:16:33.120
<v Speaker 1>in the firm you hired to manage assets for you,

0:16:34.120 --> 0:16:37.680
<v Speaker 1>you're going to be successful. And if you don't, the

0:16:37.760 --> 0:16:40.360
<v Speaker 1>odds are you will not, and you will look jealously

0:16:40.480 --> 0:16:45.080
<v Speaker 1>at people who followed these old school practices and old

0:16:45.200 --> 0:16:50.920
<v Speaker 1>school behaviors and have won the game. Really interesting, Let's

0:16:50.960 --> 0:16:54.720
<v Speaker 1>stick with the idea of character such as humility and

0:16:54.840 --> 0:16:58.600
<v Speaker 1>discipline and just ask a simple question, why are so

0:16:58.760 --> 0:17:03.480
<v Speaker 1>many investors quote their own worst enemy unquote? Uh, you

0:17:03.560 --> 0:17:07.480
<v Speaker 1>know one word and its emotions, right, And whether it's

0:17:07.520 --> 0:17:11.800
<v Speaker 1>fear agreed, whether it's competitive juices that you're sister in

0:17:11.920 --> 0:17:16.800
<v Speaker 1>law beta killing in some stocks, whether it's over confidence.

0:17:18.000 --> 0:17:21.240
<v Speaker 1>Whether it's an institution saying I've got a hustle or

0:17:21.280 --> 0:17:25.240
<v Speaker 1>I'm going to get fired by an institutional client. It's

0:17:25.480 --> 0:17:29.359
<v Speaker 1>emotion is an incredible headwind of success in building and

0:17:29.440 --> 0:17:34.760
<v Speaker 1>maintaining financial security and through the markets. The story that's

0:17:34.800 --> 0:17:37.200
<v Speaker 1>played out again and again and again over time. And

0:17:37.920 --> 0:17:41.960
<v Speaker 1>you know, so you need to understand that simple. I

0:17:42.080 --> 0:17:44.600
<v Speaker 1>will be my own worst enemy unless I take emotion

0:17:44.640 --> 0:17:48.199
<v Speaker 1>out of the equation. Hard to do. It's easier with experience.

0:17:48.720 --> 0:17:51.760
<v Speaker 1>But that's a simple answer to it. Verry, Let's stick

0:17:51.800 --> 0:17:55.879
<v Speaker 1>with the idea of emotion as a valid factor. And

0:17:56.240 --> 0:17:58.119
<v Speaker 1>I have to ask you one of the things you

0:17:58.200 --> 0:18:02.720
<v Speaker 1>write about people would be more selective about the financial

0:18:02.960 --> 0:18:06.840
<v Speaker 1>content they consume. Explain what you mean by that, you know,

0:18:06.920 --> 0:18:09.399
<v Speaker 1>one of the best things that's happened in my career

0:18:09.520 --> 0:18:15.399
<v Speaker 1>since the early eighties today is the ability for individuals

0:18:15.480 --> 0:18:20.400
<v Speaker 1>in particular about all of us too uh learn whether

0:18:20.600 --> 0:18:23.280
<v Speaker 1>in the early days it was Money magazine and today

0:18:23.400 --> 0:18:29.399
<v Speaker 1>it's just obviously the ubiquity of information on through online media.

0:18:30.359 --> 0:18:34.640
<v Speaker 1>It's so different than um than it was a long

0:18:34.720 --> 0:18:37.840
<v Speaker 1>time ago. The downside of that, it's like everything too

0:18:37.920 --> 0:18:41.000
<v Speaker 1>much of a good things about and so there's too

0:18:41.080 --> 0:18:45.440
<v Speaker 1>much information, too readily available, too broadly covered. That it's

0:18:45.480 --> 0:18:51.040
<v Speaker 1>a distraction, and distractions will lead to other emotions very

0:18:51.119 --> 0:18:54.760
<v Speaker 1>and that that is the that is I think that

0:18:55.040 --> 0:18:59.520
<v Speaker 1>the core challenge h and why people really need to say.

0:19:01.600 --> 0:19:05.920
<v Speaker 1>I find certain writers on Bluebird valuable to me, and

0:19:06.000 --> 0:19:09.080
<v Speaker 1>I'm going to follow them because they provide me with

0:19:09.240 --> 0:19:12.879
<v Speaker 1>information I find valuable as an investor. But zigging and

0:19:13.040 --> 0:19:15.680
<v Speaker 1>bagging from this hot topic to that hot topic, or

0:19:15.760 --> 0:19:21.360
<v Speaker 1>this influencer to that you know prognosticator is just damaging

0:19:21.400 --> 0:19:24.119
<v Speaker 1>to your financial well being, and always it has proven

0:19:24.200 --> 0:19:27.040
<v Speaker 1>to be, and I suspect you'll always will be because

0:19:27.440 --> 0:19:30.320
<v Speaker 1>you know, this isn't a game, and it's not how

0:19:30.400 --> 0:19:33.440
<v Speaker 1>the Red Sox do last night, right, Hoyla Red Sox

0:19:33.480 --> 0:19:36.119
<v Speaker 1>did last night actually matters this year to their chances

0:19:36.200 --> 0:19:39.680
<v Speaker 1>to make the playoffs. But what happened in the markets

0:19:39.800 --> 0:19:43.600
<v Speaker 1>today matters to almost nobody who you and I know,

0:19:44.520 --> 0:19:47.359
<v Speaker 1>because they have long term time horizons, right, and they're

0:19:47.359 --> 0:19:50.760
<v Speaker 1>not traders managing a book at at a Wall Street firm.

0:19:51.280 --> 0:19:53.800
<v Speaker 1>There are people thinking about ten and twenty and forty

0:19:53.920 --> 0:19:56.320
<v Speaker 1>years from now. So what happens today is in significance.

0:19:56.880 --> 0:20:02.200
<v Speaker 1>So let's continue with that thought. Sometimes bear markets come along,

0:20:02.440 --> 0:20:05.399
<v Speaker 1>and that seems to be what drives a lot of

0:20:05.520 --> 0:20:08.800
<v Speaker 1>the sort of hair on fire hand waving in a

0:20:08.920 --> 0:20:12.960
<v Speaker 1>lot of the media. How should people think about bear markets?

0:20:13.040 --> 0:20:15.600
<v Speaker 1>How should they prepare for one? And how should they

0:20:15.880 --> 0:20:20.679
<v Speaker 1>behave during a bear market? So actually, in in uh

0:20:21.160 --> 0:20:23.239
<v Speaker 1>in more straight talk, we have old chapter on bear

0:20:23.359 --> 0:20:26.320
<v Speaker 1>markets for a reason, and it's because they're an inevitable

0:20:26.440 --> 0:20:31.040
<v Speaker 1>part of investing if you're investing over a career, in

0:20:31.119 --> 0:20:33.240
<v Speaker 1>a four ohn K plan or over a lifetime. So

0:20:33.720 --> 0:20:37.400
<v Speaker 1>when you recognize they're going to happen, and then your

0:20:37.480 --> 0:20:40.960
<v Speaker 1>question is is spot on? You say, so, what should

0:20:41.040 --> 0:20:44.000
<v Speaker 1>we do? Well? One, you should you know, on a

0:20:44.119 --> 0:20:49.359
<v Speaker 1>strategic basis, know what your risk tolerance is and be

0:20:49.600 --> 0:20:56.359
<v Speaker 1>prepared for. Then test that risk tolerance against your portfolio structure, diversification,

0:20:56.440 --> 0:20:59.159
<v Speaker 1>your balance to say, am I gonna be able to

0:20:59.200 --> 0:21:03.560
<v Speaker 1>sleep at night at the ark? It drops fair question

0:21:03.840 --> 0:21:05.800
<v Speaker 1>and you should know it. And by the way, if

0:21:05.840 --> 0:21:09.479
<v Speaker 1>you've only been investing in this century, if you've had

0:21:09.520 --> 0:21:12.119
<v Speaker 1>a chance to test that, how did you think? What

0:21:12.240 --> 0:21:14.280
<v Speaker 1>did you think about in October of two thousand eight,

0:21:14.320 --> 0:21:17.720
<v Speaker 1>what did you think about in March of could you

0:21:17.800 --> 0:21:21.800
<v Speaker 1>not sleep? Etcetera. So you you understand their reality, you

0:21:21.960 --> 0:21:28.280
<v Speaker 1>prepare structurally in your portfolio and importantly in your mental preparation.

0:21:29.119 --> 0:21:30.680
<v Speaker 1>Am I going to react or am I going to

0:21:31.280 --> 0:21:36.959
<v Speaker 1>assume that? In over my time horizon? This is uh

0:21:37.160 --> 0:21:41.800
<v Speaker 1>in inevitable, an inevitable thing. But it I'm not going

0:21:41.840 --> 0:21:44.560
<v Speaker 1>to do anything about it. Um And the answer for

0:21:44.600 --> 0:21:46.760
<v Speaker 1>most people is doing nothing in a bare market. It

0:21:46.840 --> 0:21:50.000
<v Speaker 1>really is um because most people have a long term

0:21:50.080 --> 0:21:52.359
<v Speaker 1>time horizon. I was talking to Tim Buckley, who's the

0:21:52.400 --> 0:21:55.800
<v Speaker 1>CEO Advance Great CEO of Van Guard uh uh, the

0:21:55.880 --> 0:21:59.880
<v Speaker 1>other day. He said they calculated that by not pay

0:22:00.040 --> 0:22:05.000
<v Speaker 1>that King, Vanguard investors saved a trillion dollars trillion dollars.

0:22:06.000 --> 0:22:07.920
<v Speaker 1>And the difference the important thing that gets back to

0:22:07.960 --> 0:22:11.359
<v Speaker 1>your question on which you consume from an education standpoint

0:22:11.440 --> 0:22:14.520
<v Speaker 1>or an information standpoint. Fact, when I started at Vanguard,

0:22:14.600 --> 0:22:17.440
<v Speaker 1>the activity level with small changes in the stocker bond

0:22:17.520 --> 0:22:22.440
<v Speaker 1>market was frenhetic today, and Vanguard's just a microcosm of

0:22:22.480 --> 0:22:26.680
<v Speaker 1>the market. More broadly, serious people generally don't panic, and

0:22:26.880 --> 0:22:29.199
<v Speaker 1>you don't see that at a Vanguard. I assume it's

0:22:29.240 --> 0:22:31.080
<v Speaker 1>true at a fidelity and the zero price that you

0:22:31.200 --> 0:22:34.320
<v Speaker 1>don't see panic where before they had a chance to

0:22:34.359 --> 0:22:38.359
<v Speaker 1>get experience and educated. My generation of baby boomers would react.

0:22:38.960 --> 0:22:41.840
<v Speaker 1>So do nothing should be your default option during a

0:22:41.920 --> 0:22:46.960
<v Speaker 1>bearer market. And if you can dollar cost average down

0:22:47.840 --> 0:22:50.600
<v Speaker 1>even better, but don't pass. It makes a whole lot

0:22:50.680 --> 0:22:53.440
<v Speaker 1>of sense. So you wrote the first version of the

0:22:53.560 --> 0:22:57.640
<v Speaker 1>book about twenty years ago? What made you think, Hey,

0:22:57.800 --> 0:23:01.240
<v Speaker 1>now is the time to update this? Why bringing into

0:23:01.359 --> 0:23:06.040
<v Speaker 1>the modern era? And who are you hoping actually reads it?

0:23:06.640 --> 0:23:10.719
<v Speaker 1>So with respect to the why now, a few things

0:23:10.760 --> 0:23:12.480
<v Speaker 1>I've been asked a lot over the years. Would you

0:23:12.720 --> 0:23:17.240
<v Speaker 1>would you do another version of this? And? Uh, frankly,

0:23:17.280 --> 0:23:21.680
<v Speaker 1>the environment is what props it? And if you know,

0:23:21.880 --> 0:23:26.320
<v Speaker 1>if you take out last March, um, we've been eleven

0:23:26.400 --> 0:23:31.880
<v Speaker 1>year bull markets. The headlines are you read the headlines

0:23:31.960 --> 0:23:37.600
<v Speaker 1>about investing and and it's uh, speculation is very prominent. Again,

0:23:38.640 --> 0:23:41.120
<v Speaker 1>Um the headlines or somebody made a lot of money

0:23:41.160 --> 0:23:43.120
<v Speaker 1>on game stoff? You don't read a lot about those

0:23:43.160 --> 0:23:45.680
<v Speaker 1>who get killed and so on and so forth. You're

0:23:45.960 --> 0:23:48.480
<v Speaker 1>trading is the new thing you can Oh, I saw

0:23:48.520 --> 0:23:52.359
<v Speaker 1>an ad on TV. You can start a trading account

0:23:52.400 --> 0:23:55.440
<v Speaker 1>at one firm with as little as five dollars, I

0:23:55.520 --> 0:23:58.840
<v Speaker 1>must fell out of my chair. So it was catalyst

0:23:58.960 --> 0:24:00.720
<v Speaker 1>to say, you know what, it feels a lot like

0:24:00.960 --> 0:24:04.040
<v Speaker 1>when I started writing the first book was just after

0:24:04.200 --> 0:24:07.600
<v Speaker 1>the as back bubble, but lots of lessons to affirm there,

0:24:08.280 --> 0:24:10.160
<v Speaker 1>and this one felt like it felt like a good

0:24:10.240 --> 0:24:13.800
<v Speaker 1>time to do it, so I literally started it right

0:24:13.880 --> 0:24:18.200
<v Speaker 1>around Frankly, when you may quite pressing call that's said

0:24:18.560 --> 0:24:21.800
<v Speaker 1>don't assumeable market is over because of the pandemic is

0:24:21.880 --> 0:24:25.160
<v Speaker 1>right around then we started working on this. The other

0:24:25.200 --> 0:24:31.520
<v Speaker 1>important part of it, frankly is um uh, A bunch

0:24:31.560 --> 0:24:34.840
<v Speaker 1>of changed. Importantly that's made this to be a fantastic

0:24:34.960 --> 0:24:39.760
<v Speaker 1>time to be an investor. You know, give you just

0:24:41.720 --> 0:24:49.000
<v Speaker 1>give you two examples. One, the advent of the variety

0:24:50.119 --> 0:24:56.159
<v Speaker 1>of advice choices today at different price points is staggering.

0:24:56.320 --> 0:24:59.480
<v Speaker 1>It's fantastic. You know, you can buy a robo advice,

0:24:59.600 --> 0:25:01.840
<v Speaker 1>you get a advice from a robo advisor, a robo

0:25:01.880 --> 0:25:05.000
<v Speaker 1>advisor plus the human being, or you can have of

0:25:05.960 --> 0:25:09.159
<v Speaker 1>a wealth manager in a family office and everything in between.

0:25:09.400 --> 0:25:11.359
<v Speaker 1>But it's all much lower cost than it was twenty

0:25:11.440 --> 0:25:15.160
<v Speaker 1>years ago. And frankly, there's this whole cohort of people

0:25:15.240 --> 0:25:19.000
<v Speaker 1>baby boomers who really my own view is need to

0:25:19.080 --> 0:25:22.600
<v Speaker 1>make a conscious decision to do it yourself in retirement

0:25:22.800 --> 0:25:26.080
<v Speaker 1>or or find an advisor. And today you can do

0:25:26.280 --> 0:25:28.439
<v Speaker 1>that in the variety of ways. It's a fantastic thing.

0:25:28.520 --> 0:25:30.480
<v Speaker 1>We provide advice in the book about how to do

0:25:30.640 --> 0:25:35.160
<v Speaker 1>that best. The second thing is, um, you know, even

0:25:35.560 --> 0:25:38.160
<v Speaker 1>twenty years ago, Vanguard was a bit of an anomaly

0:25:38.240 --> 0:25:40.200
<v Speaker 1>around cost and we preached it and it was a

0:25:40.280 --> 0:25:42.879
<v Speaker 1>very it's a very important part of the culture. But

0:25:43.000 --> 0:25:45.680
<v Speaker 1>if you look at the cost of investing, total cost

0:25:45.760 --> 0:25:49.639
<v Speaker 1>of ownership, if you will, for individuals today, and how

0:25:49.640 --> 0:25:52.280
<v Speaker 1>it's changed in twenty years, it frees you up with

0:25:52.400 --> 0:25:55.080
<v Speaker 1>lots of different ways you can think about investing. You know,

0:25:55.359 --> 0:25:58.320
<v Speaker 1>obvious one being uts and how important they are, how

0:25:58.400 --> 0:26:03.639
<v Speaker 1>low cost tax efficients, so lots had changed. The market said, um,

0:26:04.640 --> 0:26:08.159
<v Speaker 1>you know, it's pretty frenzied, and it's not the market necessarily,

0:26:08.240 --> 0:26:11.600
<v Speaker 1>but the chatter around the market. Um. So it felt

0:26:11.640 --> 0:26:14.040
<v Speaker 1>like a good time to do it. First book. I

0:26:14.640 --> 0:26:16.879
<v Speaker 1>wrote in the foreword that I was writing it for

0:26:17.000 --> 0:26:20.120
<v Speaker 1>my kids who were in their late teens early twenties. UM,

0:26:20.920 --> 0:26:23.920
<v Speaker 1>and I hope that they and their cohorts would get

0:26:24.000 --> 0:26:27.919
<v Speaker 1>something from this. Interesting part is how many people now

0:26:28.040 --> 0:26:30.760
<v Speaker 1>my age shoes that this is just what I needed

0:26:30.920 --> 0:26:34.920
<v Speaker 1>because it helps me think about my future in a

0:26:35.040 --> 0:26:38.240
<v Speaker 1>different stage in life. Frank, I hope it's the same

0:26:38.400 --> 0:26:41.560
<v Speaker 1>Calgary that that gets some value out of this book

0:26:41.560 --> 0:26:45.160
<v Speaker 1>as well, people who are emerging investors and then people

0:26:45.280 --> 0:26:47.720
<v Speaker 1>who look and earn a veteran and say, let's go back,

0:26:47.800 --> 0:26:50.399
<v Speaker 1>let me go back and test how I think about

0:26:50.520 --> 0:26:54.200
<v Speaker 1>things against this template. Not saying that this is you know,

0:26:54.320 --> 0:26:57.840
<v Speaker 1>this is true. This is uh, my experience based on

0:26:58.000 --> 0:27:02.640
<v Speaker 1>lots of exposure to people. But I hope it's kind

0:27:02.640 --> 0:27:05.520
<v Speaker 1>of hits both those cohorts. The last book that we

0:27:06.080 --> 0:27:08.359
<v Speaker 1>we still get request from people in other countries to

0:27:08.960 --> 0:27:13.000
<v Speaker 1>translate the first book, and uh so we've deferred them

0:27:13.040 --> 0:27:15.840
<v Speaker 1>a bit and we'll have them, uh and we'll we'll

0:27:15.880 --> 0:27:18.600
<v Speaker 1>get them big translate this one. Let's talk a little

0:27:18.600 --> 0:27:21.359
<v Speaker 1>bit about some of the lessons you've learned as it

0:27:21.440 --> 0:27:28.200
<v Speaker 1>applied to which was clearly a crazy year between the

0:27:28.359 --> 0:27:32.600
<v Speaker 1>rise of robin Hood and Game Stop and all sorts

0:27:32.680 --> 0:27:36.000
<v Speaker 1>of manias. What do you make of the rise of

0:27:36.119 --> 0:27:39.639
<v Speaker 1>the retail investors? Have they learned the wrong lessons in

0:27:40.760 --> 0:27:44.280
<v Speaker 1>or is this just board gambling and when things go

0:27:44.359 --> 0:27:49.119
<v Speaker 1>back to normal, their investment posture will go back to normal.

0:27:49.760 --> 0:27:52.320
<v Speaker 1>So my own view is it's just another cycle. Uh,

0:27:52.520 --> 0:27:55.920
<v Speaker 1>you know that has is no different than you know,

0:27:55.960 --> 0:27:58.439
<v Speaker 1>when discount broke breage came in in the late eighties,

0:27:58.480 --> 0:28:00.119
<v Speaker 1>in the late eighties and the at a and was

0:28:00.160 --> 0:28:02.639
<v Speaker 1>a bowl market and oh boy, I can change trade

0:28:02.720 --> 0:28:06.200
<v Speaker 1>chiefly now right, Um, you know, it was the dot

0:28:06.280 --> 0:28:09.119
<v Speaker 1>com phenomenon. At the end of the twentieth century, it

0:28:09.200 --> 0:28:12.800
<v Speaker 1>was house flipping, right, they were tall and U two

0:28:12.880 --> 0:28:16.919
<v Speaker 1>thousand six seven. So all of these things are high profile.

0:28:17.880 --> 0:28:20.840
<v Speaker 1>I would call them fads, not substantism in terms of

0:28:22.400 --> 0:28:26.520
<v Speaker 1>fundamental changes in the way people should think about or

0:28:26.920 --> 0:28:30.280
<v Speaker 1>you know, will think about once they get to once

0:28:30.359 --> 0:28:34.440
<v Speaker 1>they realize that investing is not a game, Frankie, trading

0:28:34.680 --> 0:28:37.399
<v Speaker 1>is not investing. There there's a business called trading, but

0:28:37.520 --> 0:28:39.720
<v Speaker 1>it has nothing to do with investing in that sense.

0:28:39.880 --> 0:28:44.080
<v Speaker 1>So I think it's cyclical. Um, it makes great headlines.

0:28:45.000 --> 0:28:48.280
<v Speaker 1>It inevitably makes for great hard lessons learned from people.

0:28:48.400 --> 0:28:51.520
<v Speaker 1>And you know, my hope, frankly, is that people aren't

0:28:52.040 --> 0:28:55.520
<v Speaker 1>doing this the headline making stuff with the serious money

0:28:55.680 --> 0:28:58.520
<v Speaker 1>to people, aren't therey I think it's uh, you know,

0:28:58.640 --> 0:29:02.840
<v Speaker 1>somebody wants to play around at the edges, trading stocks,

0:29:03.760 --> 0:29:07.000
<v Speaker 1>trading bitcoin, do whatever they want to do. That's fine, um,

0:29:07.880 --> 0:29:11.760
<v Speaker 1>but serious money needs to be treated seriously and again

0:29:13.080 --> 0:29:16.720
<v Speaker 1>for any loss as individuals, the idea that we're going

0:29:16.800 --> 0:29:19.360
<v Speaker 1>to trade our way to wealth is a fool talent,

0:29:20.320 --> 0:29:24.440
<v Speaker 1>pretty sharp observation. I never imagine for a minute that

0:29:24.880 --> 0:29:28.000
<v Speaker 1>eight dollar trading was some sort of a speed bump,

0:29:28.480 --> 0:29:31.360
<v Speaker 1>but it seems like once these apps went to free,

0:29:32.080 --> 0:29:36.680
<v Speaker 1>suddenly everybody and their brother became a day trader. How

0:29:36.840 --> 0:29:40.720
<v Speaker 1>much of this behavior is caused by free and and

0:29:40.960 --> 0:29:43.840
<v Speaker 1>what does it mean? So the young people who are

0:29:44.920 --> 0:29:49.760
<v Speaker 1>starting out with trading as as entertainment, well that's the

0:29:49.840 --> 0:29:54.800
<v Speaker 1>interesting phraseology. M Is it entertainment or is it invested? Right?

0:29:55.600 --> 0:29:58.040
<v Speaker 1>And as long as you think of it as entertainment,

0:29:58.720 --> 0:30:02.400
<v Speaker 1>you know it's us' is no different than slot machines

0:30:02.640 --> 0:30:06.000
<v Speaker 1>or going to a casino, but it is not investing.

0:30:06.240 --> 0:30:09.960
<v Speaker 1>And again I think the question is how and when

0:30:10.000 --> 0:30:14.480
<v Speaker 1>do you learn that lesson right and free is absolutely

0:30:14.760 --> 0:30:19.080
<v Speaker 1>a is one of the things that invests this no question.

0:30:19.760 --> 0:30:23.920
<v Speaker 1>But listen, um, momentum is another part of it. And

0:30:24.920 --> 0:30:27.480
<v Speaker 1>you know in assent everybody is smart in a momentum

0:30:27.520 --> 0:30:30.560
<v Speaker 1>market if you're in the right sectors. But momentum investing

0:30:30.600 --> 0:30:34.320
<v Speaker 1>has never proven to be a long term viable strategy. Right.

0:30:34.400 --> 0:30:39.240
<v Speaker 1>Substantent value uh is how people make money, So you know,

0:30:39.360 --> 0:30:42.080
<v Speaker 1>I actually don't worry much about it. Um. It's a

0:30:42.320 --> 0:30:44.720
<v Speaker 1>classic place right, tune out the noise, looking at the

0:30:44.760 --> 0:30:47.560
<v Speaker 1>headline and reading it. Uh. And again, I think as

0:30:47.640 --> 0:30:51.360
<v Speaker 1>long as using your tournament's package is entertainment, it's it's

0:30:51.960 --> 0:30:56.160
<v Speaker 1>it is what it is. You certainly hope that people

0:30:56.280 --> 0:30:59.120
<v Speaker 1>won't put trading accounts into four owing K plans where

0:30:59.680 --> 0:31:02.920
<v Speaker 1>most young people will do their first investing, right, as

0:31:03.000 --> 0:31:06.880
<v Speaker 1>long as those plans stay in a sensible mode, I

0:31:07.040 --> 0:31:11.240
<v Speaker 1>think you're going to segregate investment in financial security from

0:31:11.920 --> 0:31:17.600
<v Speaker 1>entertainment and high profile trading. Interesting, So let me um

0:31:17.800 --> 0:31:21.080
<v Speaker 1>wax philosophical with you a moment. One of the chapters

0:31:21.120 --> 0:31:26.840
<v Speaker 1>of the book, you urge investors to define enough for themselves.

0:31:27.360 --> 0:31:31.640
<v Speaker 1>Explain you're thinking on that, and why do investors need

0:31:31.760 --> 0:31:35.840
<v Speaker 1>to understand the concept of enough. It's such an important

0:31:35.880 --> 0:31:40.400
<v Speaker 1>concept because it will determine how much risk you want

0:31:40.480 --> 0:31:45.040
<v Speaker 1>to or can take in a in a in your

0:31:45.120 --> 0:31:53.320
<v Speaker 1>investment portfolio. And again, not defining enough plays out tragically

0:31:53.480 --> 0:31:57.520
<v Speaker 1>in in so many different ways. Either somebody thinks I've

0:31:57.560 --> 0:32:01.240
<v Speaker 1>done really well, boy, I can do even better, and

0:32:01.400 --> 0:32:06.440
<v Speaker 1>it's at an inappropriate time or inappropriately executed um and

0:32:07.560 --> 0:32:10.400
<v Speaker 1>they wake up saying, boy, if I, if I had

0:32:10.480 --> 0:32:14.000
<v Speaker 1>a million dollars and that's what I needed, perhaps I

0:32:14.040 --> 0:32:16.479
<v Speaker 1>should have been far more conservative. Just take that as

0:32:16.520 --> 0:32:19.560
<v Speaker 1>an example, because a million dollars is going to serve

0:32:19.640 --> 0:32:22.120
<v Speaker 1>me well for the rest of my life, but instead

0:32:22.200 --> 0:32:23.760
<v Speaker 1>you double down and you end up with half a

0:32:23.840 --> 0:32:28.480
<v Speaker 1>million bad decisions. Right. Alternatively, somebody say, I have a

0:32:28.560 --> 0:32:32.440
<v Speaker 1>million dollars, and my time arrives in this perpetual because

0:32:32.520 --> 0:32:36.000
<v Speaker 1>I'm going to my state is going to go to charity.

0:32:37.280 --> 0:32:39.760
<v Speaker 1>You know, you have an up and bucket A bucket

0:32:39.840 --> 0:32:42.480
<v Speaker 1>beak can be a more aggressive portfolio than somebody might

0:32:42.520 --> 0:32:46.000
<v Speaker 1>recommend view in a certain age, you know five iron

0:32:46.080 --> 0:32:49.520
<v Speaker 1>plan accounts or a great example of this, where you

0:32:49.640 --> 0:32:52.840
<v Speaker 1>accumulate money up to a point in time and then

0:32:52.880 --> 0:32:56.000
<v Speaker 1>the glide path takes it down to a very conservative positioning.

0:32:56.840 --> 0:32:59.760
<v Speaker 1>When when the kid turns eighteen, because you know there's

0:32:59.760 --> 0:33:02.080
<v Speaker 1>a time I'm certainly going to need that money. So

0:33:02.160 --> 0:33:05.000
<v Speaker 1>I think that that that's a metaphor for the way

0:33:05.280 --> 0:33:07.840
<v Speaker 1>all of us, whether an institution or an individual, should

0:33:07.920 --> 0:33:13.480
<v Speaker 1>think about assets and how those assets, what those assets

0:33:13.560 --> 0:33:16.760
<v Speaker 1>need to fund for us. And you've seen some universities

0:33:16.840 --> 0:33:19.520
<v Speaker 1>make the mistake of being overly aggressive, even when they

0:33:19.560 --> 0:33:22.240
<v Speaker 1>were particularly well endowed, paying a big price and then

0:33:22.560 --> 0:33:25.760
<v Speaker 1>playing catch up. And that's that's a shame. That's a

0:33:25.800 --> 0:33:29.040
<v Speaker 1>shame because that's real money affecting real students ability to

0:33:29.080 --> 0:33:33.240
<v Speaker 1>go to that university. So I learned this from a wise,

0:33:33.320 --> 0:33:37.240
<v Speaker 1>older gentleman many many years ago, and I continue to

0:33:37.320 --> 0:33:40.240
<v Speaker 1>talk to people about it. Uh. And it's a question

0:33:40.320 --> 0:33:43.680
<v Speaker 1>you should ask yourself regularly because enough may change. It

0:33:43.760 --> 0:33:46.240
<v Speaker 1>may be greater or less than you thought it was

0:33:46.280 --> 0:33:49.000
<v Speaker 1>at a different point in time. But it's the perfect

0:33:49.080 --> 0:33:51.680
<v Speaker 1>time to then reassess your ability to take risk, or

0:33:51.680 --> 0:33:54.360
<v Speaker 1>your willingness to take risk. It's funny because I know

0:33:54.560 --> 0:33:57.240
<v Speaker 1>the book was written last year, but as I was,

0:33:57.640 --> 0:34:01.800
<v Speaker 1>as I was reading that chapter and crossing the headlines

0:34:02.200 --> 0:34:07.600
<v Speaker 1>was the news about the highly leveraged ARCA ghosts hedge fund.

0:34:08.000 --> 0:34:11.160
<v Speaker 1>I'm sure I'm pronouncing that wrong. Archigost arca coach who

0:34:11.320 --> 0:34:15.960
<v Speaker 1>has twenty billion dollars of personal wealth and leverages it

0:34:16.080 --> 0:34:18.080
<v Speaker 1>to the health to the point where they lose that

0:34:18.360 --> 0:34:24.080
<v Speaker 1>it's just an astonishing lesson for people that there has

0:34:24.160 --> 0:34:28.000
<v Speaker 1>to be a line where you say, Okay, I'm good,

0:34:28.640 --> 0:34:30.879
<v Speaker 1>i may play with a little bit of money here,

0:34:30.960 --> 0:34:33.719
<v Speaker 1>but I'm gonna pull this twenty billion dollars off the

0:34:33.800 --> 0:34:36.600
<v Speaker 1>table because it would be horrible if it went to

0:34:36.760 --> 0:34:41.160
<v Speaker 1>zero in two days, which is what happened. It's absolutely true.

0:34:41.400 --> 0:34:44.920
<v Speaker 1>And that's as good an example as you can find.

0:34:46.000 --> 0:34:48.279
<v Speaker 1>And you know somebody will counter with so and so

0:34:48.480 --> 0:34:50.759
<v Speaker 1>double down, and then they had choice as much money.

0:34:50.840 --> 0:34:53.759
<v Speaker 1>But that's a bad risk award trade off, right, And

0:34:54.440 --> 0:34:56.359
<v Speaker 1>but it happens. A lot, happens a lot. You see

0:34:56.360 --> 0:34:58.880
<v Speaker 1>it with You see it with sophisticated pools of capital.

0:34:59.239 --> 0:35:04.359
<v Speaker 1>Who makes some their mistakes in endowed places. And it's

0:35:04.400 --> 0:35:06.520
<v Speaker 1>why again it's a it's a it's a one word

0:35:07.400 --> 0:35:11.279
<v Speaker 1>investment governor, if you will, Is that word enough? And

0:35:11.880 --> 0:35:15.839
<v Speaker 1>again that's that's when you think you have enough, then

0:35:15.920 --> 0:35:20.200
<v Speaker 1>you take it. You make it conscious decision, which fork

0:35:20.280 --> 0:35:22.400
<v Speaker 1>you want to take in the room. Huh. Yeah, the

0:35:22.480 --> 0:35:26.920
<v Speaker 1>regret minimization framework is more important than how much alpha

0:35:27.000 --> 0:35:29.480
<v Speaker 1>you're generating in any given quarter. To say that that

0:35:29.640 --> 0:35:32.800
<v Speaker 1>that's one of the other. Right. There's a chapter in

0:35:32.840 --> 0:35:36.680
<v Speaker 1>the book called I'm in Boca, and the very short

0:35:36.719 --> 0:35:39.719
<v Speaker 1>story is getting Jason's wide from the Wall Street Journal

0:35:40.000 --> 0:35:42.479
<v Speaker 1>was in Boca. Asked a bunch of people whether they're marked,

0:35:42.600 --> 0:35:46.200
<v Speaker 1>whether their investment portfolio said I'll perform the market or not,

0:35:46.360 --> 0:35:49.080
<v Speaker 1>because some said yes, some said no. But the guy

0:35:49.160 --> 0:35:51.320
<v Speaker 1>he remembers most as the guy say why don't what

0:35:51.400 --> 0:35:56.800
<v Speaker 1>do I care? I'm in Boca? Classic, Absolutely classic. That's

0:35:56.920 --> 0:35:59.759
<v Speaker 1>very smart because the only benchmark any one of us

0:36:00.040 --> 0:36:03.560
<v Speaker 1>as is our goals and objectives. Right, how we did

0:36:03.560 --> 0:36:05.360
<v Speaker 1>against the S and P or how we did against

0:36:05.480 --> 0:36:08.200
<v Speaker 1>you know, how Harvard did against Yale and their endowment

0:36:08.719 --> 0:36:11.000
<v Speaker 1>turns into a headline every year, and it's irrelevant. They

0:36:11.040 --> 0:36:15.239
<v Speaker 1>have different financial situations. So what is Harvard's what is

0:36:15.280 --> 0:36:18.200
<v Speaker 1>Harvard's spoke and what is yale spoke? Is much more

0:36:18.280 --> 0:36:22.040
<v Speaker 1>important than how they did against persons each other, And

0:36:22.120 --> 0:36:25.400
<v Speaker 1>that that's the critical part of this. Absolutely true. So

0:36:25.880 --> 0:36:28.000
<v Speaker 1>let's talk a little bit about what's going on in

0:36:28.080 --> 0:36:32.000
<v Speaker 1>the industry today. And I have to begin with some

0:36:32.200 --> 0:36:36.840
<v Speaker 1>of the attacks we've seen recently on index thing that

0:36:37.000 --> 0:36:42.040
<v Speaker 1>it's Marxist, that it's an American, that it's an antitrust violation.

0:36:42.560 --> 0:36:45.120
<v Speaker 1>What do you think of some of these sort of

0:36:45.160 --> 0:36:50.960
<v Speaker 1>wacky esoteric attacks on basic passive investment. Well, first, it's um,

0:36:51.360 --> 0:36:53.520
<v Speaker 1>so you still found it. They just put it that way.

0:36:53.640 --> 0:36:56.439
<v Speaker 1>You know, there's similar Some of them are the same

0:36:56.560 --> 0:36:58.920
<v Speaker 1>as came out when A. T and T ran the

0:36:58.960 --> 0:37:02.680
<v Speaker 1>first index fund and nineteen seventy years sixty nine, or

0:37:02.760 --> 0:37:04.919
<v Speaker 1>when we came out with the first index neutral fund.

0:37:05.000 --> 0:37:08.920
<v Speaker 1>It's not American, it's Marxists, etcetera. So you know the

0:37:09.000 --> 0:37:13.080
<v Speaker 1>data data. Uh, to say that it's anything but a

0:37:13.320 --> 0:37:19.799
<v Speaker 1>highly successful investment strategy is just plain and correct. So uh.

0:37:20.000 --> 0:37:22.400
<v Speaker 1>And then the idea that of now the time to

0:37:22.520 --> 0:37:29.600
<v Speaker 1>be active active, meaning high cost active, is flawed. Um.

0:37:30.320 --> 0:37:35.399
<v Speaker 1>So the sort of investment arguments are just repeating what's

0:37:35.440 --> 0:37:39.200
<v Speaker 1>been repeated continually over half century at the stage. UM.

0:37:40.080 --> 0:37:42.839
<v Speaker 1>You know, some of the other academic ish arguments are

0:37:42.920 --> 0:37:47.160
<v Speaker 1>just as ill founded. The antitrust idea, UM, the sense

0:37:47.239 --> 0:37:49.640
<v Speaker 1>that there's too much concentration and voting and so on

0:37:49.760 --> 0:37:53.920
<v Speaker 1>and so forth. Again, I have a strongly held view,

0:37:54.920 --> 0:37:58.920
<v Speaker 1>not having anything to do with my former role of

0:37:58.960 --> 0:38:02.600
<v Speaker 1>van guard, that the day the index fund's own half

0:38:02.760 --> 0:38:05.400
<v Speaker 1>the stock and companies and there'll be more providers who

0:38:05.440 --> 0:38:08.360
<v Speaker 1>are in that half the stock ownership is going to

0:38:08.400 --> 0:38:11.000
<v Speaker 1>be a great day for the markets, because ceo s

0:38:11.080 --> 0:38:16.080
<v Speaker 1>will have and companies will have permanent shareholders who will

0:38:16.200 --> 0:38:19.840
<v Speaker 1>be interested in strategy, not the next two week sales points.

0:38:20.880 --> 0:38:23.680
<v Speaker 1>And I think it will free companies up to think

0:38:23.760 --> 0:38:28.040
<v Speaker 1>long term, in away that they aren't totally able to

0:38:28.160 --> 0:38:33.880
<v Speaker 1>do today right, and so to be somehow promoting a

0:38:34.040 --> 0:38:37.680
<v Speaker 1>myth that indexing is anti competitive, or indexing is bad

0:38:37.760 --> 0:38:42.560
<v Speaker 1>for markets, or indexing is a bad investment strategy is

0:38:43.440 --> 0:38:47.080
<v Speaker 1>just flood logic and wishful thinking. The critics don't say

0:38:47.120 --> 0:38:50.520
<v Speaker 1>it's a bad investing strategy because the data overwhelms them,

0:38:50.960 --> 0:38:53.520
<v Speaker 1>so they're they're forced to fall back to things like

0:38:54.320 --> 0:38:57.440
<v Speaker 1>voting rights or any trust. If it was a bad

0:38:57.480 --> 0:39:02.000
<v Speaker 1>investing strategy, I think the market it would resolve that.

0:39:02.320 --> 0:39:06.520
<v Speaker 1>But I'm kind of intrigued about your point of Are

0:39:06.600 --> 0:39:12.560
<v Speaker 1>you suggesting once half of the ownership of US public

0:39:12.640 --> 0:39:17.239
<v Speaker 1>companies are held by indexes. Company management are then free

0:39:17.320 --> 0:39:20.200
<v Speaker 1>to focus on the long term instead of the next

0:39:20.280 --> 0:39:24.680
<v Speaker 1>quarters earnings. That would be my perspective. Yeah, actually because um,

0:39:25.080 --> 0:39:30.279
<v Speaker 1>you know, uh, Wall Streets it does great research, but

0:39:30.560 --> 0:39:34.879
<v Speaker 1>they get paid for activity. And what you want as

0:39:34.960 --> 0:39:38.560
<v Speaker 1>a owner of if you're a permanent holder of a company,

0:39:38.600 --> 0:39:42.440
<v Speaker 1>as you want companies to build great businesses, not to

0:39:42.680 --> 0:39:46.239
<v Speaker 1>facilitate activity. And so if you can have you know,

0:39:46.680 --> 0:39:49.200
<v Speaker 1>we always be people buying and sowing your stocks, it

0:39:49.280 --> 0:39:54.200
<v Speaker 1>will be plenty of transparency and liquidity and market clearing

0:39:54.280 --> 0:39:59.120
<v Speaker 1>exercises to value the company. But uh, the idea that

0:40:00.400 --> 0:40:03.600
<v Speaker 1>I can talk to seven or eight or nine permanent

0:40:03.640 --> 0:40:07.400
<v Speaker 1>shareholders if you will, about strategic choices, whether it's in

0:40:07.480 --> 0:40:10.399
<v Speaker 1>a crisis like a year ago or it's long term,

0:40:11.120 --> 0:40:15.000
<v Speaker 1>I think we'll give manage the good, the best management

0:40:15.200 --> 0:40:19.120
<v Speaker 1>even more confident. There's confidence to think long term. I

0:40:19.160 --> 0:40:21.920
<v Speaker 1>think it's a very important thing. And you look at

0:40:22.560 --> 0:40:25.960
<v Speaker 1>you know, controlled companies or you look at private equity

0:40:26.000 --> 0:40:30.880
<v Speaker 1>backed companies. You know, depending on the structure and private companies, um,

0:40:31.800 --> 0:40:34.719
<v Speaker 1>you know, they can behave differently and sometimes it's at

0:40:34.760 --> 0:40:37.719
<v Speaker 1>the margin, but sometimes it's core. Strategic choices that they

0:40:37.760 --> 0:40:42.920
<v Speaker 1>can make, and so I believe they will. The markets

0:40:42.960 --> 0:40:46.520
<v Speaker 1>will be advantaged by companies being able to think in

0:40:46.600 --> 0:40:50.680
<v Speaker 1>a way where today there's there's just so much noise

0:40:50.719 --> 0:40:53.240
<v Speaker 1>in the system for them. So let me switch gears

0:40:53.760 --> 0:40:59.759
<v Speaker 1>on you and ask you about the classic portfolio. We're

0:40:59.800 --> 0:41:03.360
<v Speaker 1>now seeing the lowest yield we've ever seen on that

0:41:03.600 --> 0:41:06.840
<v Speaker 1>mix of stocks and bonds. What do you make of that?

0:41:07.200 --> 0:41:13.560
<v Speaker 1>And are there any viable alternatives to traditional fixed income investment?

0:41:14.120 --> 0:41:19.000
<v Speaker 1>So you know, I think is challenged Barry right now

0:41:19.160 --> 0:41:23.600
<v Speaker 1>as a matter of strategy because of going lowgoing and yields.

0:41:24.600 --> 0:41:28.400
<v Speaker 1>What's likely to be at the engineer view positive correlation

0:41:28.480 --> 0:41:32.840
<v Speaker 1>to stocks at these low levels? Right um? And so

0:41:34.160 --> 0:41:38.200
<v Speaker 1>uh I encourage and we encourage people in the book

0:41:38.400 --> 0:41:41.719
<v Speaker 1>to think hard about alternatives that The last chapter in

0:41:41.840 --> 0:41:44.680
<v Speaker 1>this book is called where do my income go? You know,

0:41:44.840 --> 0:41:48.880
<v Speaker 1>your income from short term cash reservices down four or

0:41:48.920 --> 0:41:52.839
<v Speaker 1>five years for intermediate, for ten year treasury attent, sixty year,

0:41:52.880 --> 0:41:56.520
<v Speaker 1>seventy over that same period. And so you come back

0:41:56.600 --> 0:41:59.120
<v Speaker 1>and I think it's important for investors to take a

0:41:59.200 --> 0:42:02.240
<v Speaker 1>step back and a if I've got a time horizon

0:42:02.360 --> 0:42:06.600
<v Speaker 1>of some uh duration, not next week, or next year

0:42:06.719 --> 0:42:09.359
<v Speaker 1>or four or five years from now. You know, there

0:42:09.400 --> 0:42:15.480
<v Speaker 1>are fabulous companies and portfolios of companies that yield the

0:42:15.560 --> 0:42:18.800
<v Speaker 1>same as a tenure treasurer. And am I what I

0:42:19.000 --> 0:42:21.960
<v Speaker 1>should I be willing to take equity more equity risk,

0:42:24.000 --> 0:42:28.320
<v Speaker 1>get the same income with a call option on growth

0:42:29.400 --> 0:42:36.680
<v Speaker 1>by helping my equity exposure today because for the foreseeable future,

0:42:37.440 --> 0:42:41.320
<v Speaker 1>the traditional role of bonds is going to be unlikely

0:42:41.440 --> 0:42:44.040
<v Speaker 1>to play out the way it has over very long

0:42:44.120 --> 0:42:46.560
<v Speaker 1>periods of time. And the question is when do we

0:42:46.640 --> 0:42:49.440
<v Speaker 1>get out of this very low yield period. I don't

0:42:49.480 --> 0:42:56.439
<v Speaker 1>see many very valuable options alternatives to to traditional fixed

0:42:56.480 --> 0:43:00.360
<v Speaker 1>income assets. Frankly, you know it's certainly not how yell bonds,

0:43:00.440 --> 0:43:03.319
<v Speaker 1>which is a misnomer today. You know you've played through.

0:43:03.960 --> 0:43:05.839
<v Speaker 1>You know there are segments of the equity markets, whether

0:43:05.920 --> 0:43:08.360
<v Speaker 1>it's reachs or something else, that offer a good yield.

0:43:09.680 --> 0:43:12.279
<v Speaker 1>But it feels strange to say it's in the midst

0:43:12.320 --> 0:43:15.600
<v Speaker 1>of the long bowl market. But my own sense is

0:43:15.680 --> 0:43:18.200
<v Speaker 1>that people with any kind of time horizon should be

0:43:18.239 --> 0:43:21.800
<v Speaker 1>thinking about income being generated by stocks, because you know,

0:43:22.440 --> 0:43:26.160
<v Speaker 1>over time, the diven end growth of a vertisfied portfolio

0:43:26.239 --> 0:43:30.160
<v Speaker 1>of stocks is far out, how far outplaced outpaced inflation.

0:43:31.200 --> 0:43:34.000
<v Speaker 1>And if all you get is that income growth, you've

0:43:34.080 --> 0:43:37.120
<v Speaker 1>done well. If you get capuality growth to go with it,

0:43:37.200 --> 0:43:40.360
<v Speaker 1>it's it's a good trade to take that incremental equity

0:43:40.480 --> 0:43:43.239
<v Speaker 1>risk today because of the unique period of time or

0:43:43.480 --> 0:43:45.359
<v Speaker 1>really unique you know, if you if you look back,

0:43:45.880 --> 0:43:49.200
<v Speaker 1>it's a seven hundred year bull market and box if

0:43:49.200 --> 0:43:51.840
<v Speaker 1>you look at some charts from England, but that that

0:43:52.000 --> 0:43:56.719
<v Speaker 1>is seventy year bull market in the United States, and so, uh,

0:43:57.160 --> 0:44:00.239
<v Speaker 1>fixed income doesn't look very attractive, right. I think we

0:44:00.320 --> 0:44:03.759
<v Speaker 1>reached the same conclusion you did. If if you're young enough,

0:44:03.920 --> 0:44:07.160
<v Speaker 1>seventy thirty or eighty twenty makes much more sense than

0:44:07.280 --> 0:44:11.160
<v Speaker 1>sixty forty. But the caveat is, hey, if you're in

0:44:11.280 --> 0:44:14.759
<v Speaker 1>your sixties or if you're a few years away from retirement,

0:44:15.440 --> 0:44:20.120
<v Speaker 1>that additional risk isn't worth the additional return because as

0:44:20.200 --> 0:44:25.960
<v Speaker 1>we see all two regularly corrections. You know, those hundred

0:44:26.040 --> 0:44:28.800
<v Speaker 1>year floods come along every ten years. We we probably

0:44:28.840 --> 0:44:32.439
<v Speaker 1>need to rename the hundred year floods. Yeah, it's true,

0:44:32.520 --> 0:44:35.840
<v Speaker 1>but um, the one factor you don't have in that

0:44:36.120 --> 0:44:38.839
<v Speaker 1>in that equation is what are you drawing off your

0:44:38.880 --> 0:44:42.200
<v Speaker 1>assets okay, And so the best thing you can do

0:44:42.400 --> 0:44:44.759
<v Speaker 1>is draw as little as possible from your assets. It

0:44:44.800 --> 0:44:47.279
<v Speaker 1>allows you to take more risk with your assets. Makes sense,

0:44:47.640 --> 0:44:50.480
<v Speaker 1>And so that you know when people ask me my

0:44:50.560 --> 0:44:52.719
<v Speaker 1>best financial advice, I see a little below your means.

0:44:52.840 --> 0:44:55.600
<v Speaker 1>They want something sophisticated. That's what I give them. And

0:44:56.000 --> 0:44:59.239
<v Speaker 1>I think it's very important today to say you know

0:44:59.360 --> 0:45:05.040
<v Speaker 1>that for five draw is too much likely from retirement portfolio.

0:45:05.160 --> 0:45:07.040
<v Speaker 1>Can you live on three? And if you can't live

0:45:07.120 --> 0:45:12.279
<v Speaker 1>on three, you can probably take some more capital risk, uh,

0:45:12.440 --> 0:45:15.600
<v Speaker 1>to to make those assets grow and endure in real

0:45:15.840 --> 0:45:20.719
<v Speaker 1>terms for the longer term, especially given longer lifespans. That's

0:45:20.719 --> 0:45:24.480
<v Speaker 1>another fact I think I have. I'll be sixty seven

0:45:24.520 --> 0:45:25.640
<v Speaker 1>and a couple of months, I think I have a

0:45:25.680 --> 0:45:29.880
<v Speaker 1>third year time harress. Well, that's family's life legacy is

0:45:29.920 --> 0:45:32.960
<v Speaker 1>pretty good, long longevity. But that's the way I think

0:45:32.960 --> 0:45:35.680
<v Speaker 1>about things. And I think most people at sixty seven

0:45:35.719 --> 0:45:37.960
<v Speaker 1>should be thinking twenty years. It's that's a long time,

0:45:38.120 --> 0:45:41.919
<v Speaker 1>that's long term. But gets you're spending, get the spend.

0:45:42.000 --> 0:45:44.680
<v Speaker 1>The outgo part of this correct is a critical part

0:45:44.760 --> 0:45:48.520
<v Speaker 1>for individuals. It's also critical part for institutions, critical parts

0:45:48.520 --> 0:45:52.359
<v Speaker 1>for institutions, lower your expectations and then live within those.

0:45:52.680 --> 0:45:55.799
<v Speaker 1>Hey man, so we're talking about yield, let's look at

0:45:55.840 --> 0:45:57.840
<v Speaker 1>the flip side of that. What do you make of

0:45:57.880 --> 0:46:01.319
<v Speaker 1>all the inflation chatter these days? Do you think that's

0:46:01.360 --> 0:46:05.040
<v Speaker 1>a viable risk to portfolios? And and how much of

0:46:05.120 --> 0:46:08.960
<v Speaker 1>this is just transitory noise? So I have to say

0:46:09.000 --> 0:46:11.360
<v Speaker 1>I am a child of inflation. Of the video, I

0:46:11.440 --> 0:46:13.600
<v Speaker 1>came out of college in nineteen seventy six sin stag

0:46:13.600 --> 0:46:17.359
<v Speaker 1>inflation lived through the next five or six years before

0:46:17.480 --> 0:46:21.760
<v Speaker 1>Chairman Bulker, you know, took it on. So I actually

0:46:21.840 --> 0:46:25.440
<v Speaker 1>have a sort of inherent worry about it, and I

0:46:25.520 --> 0:46:27.839
<v Speaker 1>do think it's real. I think, you know, I don't

0:46:27.880 --> 0:46:32.759
<v Speaker 1>believe in modern monetary theory. I think the question of

0:46:33.120 --> 0:46:37.360
<v Speaker 1>how much money you can pump into the system is

0:46:37.400 --> 0:46:40.319
<v Speaker 1>a really important one. And I don't think we're going

0:46:40.440 --> 0:46:42.880
<v Speaker 1>back to the late sixties, early at the late seventies

0:46:42.920 --> 0:46:47.680
<v Speaker 1>early eighties from an inflation standpoint. But we've had thirty

0:46:47.760 --> 0:46:51.200
<v Speaker 1>years of minimal inflation, and I think the noise for

0:46:51.320 --> 0:46:54.479
<v Speaker 1>me is valuable because even if it's proved to be wrong,

0:46:54.680 --> 0:46:58.359
<v Speaker 1>it educates people to think about it. But I talked

0:46:58.440 --> 0:47:02.839
<v Speaker 1>I counsel people to fact or some inflation into their

0:47:02.880 --> 0:47:05.480
<v Speaker 1>own financial planning in a way that we have experienced

0:47:05.480 --> 0:47:08.319
<v Speaker 1>in thirty years. I hope I'm wrong. I hope I'm wrong,

0:47:08.400 --> 0:47:15.279
<v Speaker 1>But my economics training tells me, UH, be wary of

0:47:15.760 --> 0:47:20.200
<v Speaker 1>too much liquidity in a system and UH and the

0:47:20.920 --> 0:47:24.040
<v Speaker 1>pressure on prices and whether globalization can offset it again

0:47:24.160 --> 0:47:26.560
<v Speaker 1>like it has in the past, whether technology can offset

0:47:26.600 --> 0:47:30.520
<v Speaker 1>it fair question, but I would worry more about it

0:47:30.600 --> 0:47:33.520
<v Speaker 1>for the next fifteen years than it than it's been

0:47:33.560 --> 0:47:37.839
<v Speaker 1>relevant in the prior fifteen years. Quite interesting. Let's talk

0:47:37.880 --> 0:47:39.880
<v Speaker 1>a little bit about what's going on in the industry

0:47:39.960 --> 0:47:45.560
<v Speaker 1>in general. We saw a massive purchase pretty recently Schwab

0:47:45.640 --> 0:47:48.799
<v Speaker 1>took over t DU merit Trade. That's had a big

0:47:48.920 --> 0:47:52.839
<v Speaker 1>impact on the industry. We've seen a variety of other

0:47:54.320 --> 0:47:58.120
<v Speaker 1>mergers and acquisitions between big companies and smaller fin techs

0:47:58.719 --> 0:48:02.200
<v Speaker 1>between other big Panese What are your thoughts on on these,

0:48:03.040 --> 0:48:08.640
<v Speaker 1>especially given Vanguard's history of not really playing in those waters.

0:48:10.680 --> 0:48:13.880
<v Speaker 1>So it's one of the great assets to the investing

0:48:14.000 --> 0:48:17.600
<v Speaker 1>public in my view, is the tremendous sense of competition

0:48:17.680 --> 0:48:22.520
<v Speaker 1>for all segments of our business. Right um, and if

0:48:22.560 --> 0:48:26.560
<v Speaker 1>you just look over time, whether it's the active management business,

0:48:26.640 --> 0:48:31.759
<v Speaker 1>the brokerage business, the advice business, UM. The inherent entrepreneurism

0:48:31.920 --> 0:48:34.520
<v Speaker 1>creates new competitors, whether they're fin techs or whether it's

0:48:34.520 --> 0:48:37.640
<v Speaker 1>your firm. Seven years ago in the advice space, UM,

0:48:38.920 --> 0:48:42.120
<v Speaker 1>you know, Swab and America came together, big impact on

0:48:42.160 --> 0:48:46.040
<v Speaker 1>the financial advisor community. Scale for the for the firm UM.

0:48:46.800 --> 0:48:49.040
<v Speaker 1>But you know, in the grand scheme of thing, none

0:48:49.120 --> 0:48:51.960
<v Speaker 1>of us is that big a player, interestingly when you

0:48:52.040 --> 0:48:55.320
<v Speaker 1>think about it. So I think we'll continue to watch.

0:48:55.560 --> 0:48:58.239
<v Speaker 1>We'll see certain areas where scale really matters a lot.

0:48:59.320 --> 0:49:02.400
<v Speaker 1>You know, index on management very important in that regard.

0:49:02.800 --> 0:49:07.360
<v Speaker 1>But there'll be continual growth in boutique advisory firms, boutique

0:49:07.400 --> 0:49:10.360
<v Speaker 1>investment management firms. And I think that's one of the

0:49:10.440 --> 0:49:13.040
<v Speaker 1>great parts of the business is the dynamism of the

0:49:13.200 --> 0:49:19.719
<v Speaker 1>business just forces every firm in a trench position to

0:49:19.800 --> 0:49:23.960
<v Speaker 1>get better. And so whenever I see deals like this happened,

0:49:24.480 --> 0:49:26.520
<v Speaker 1>I think it's good for the investing public. At the

0:49:26.600 --> 0:49:31.080
<v Speaker 1>end of the day, I do think that, Uh, you know,

0:49:31.400 --> 0:49:34.960
<v Speaker 1>obviously I'm a huge fan of agard. Organic growth is

0:49:34.960 --> 0:49:37.680
<v Speaker 1>always better than an or growth and because you do

0:49:37.760 --> 0:49:40.200
<v Speaker 1>it culturally you don't have integration challenges. And so to

0:49:40.280 --> 0:49:43.320
<v Speaker 1>see what Vanguard has accomplished, I think it's attributed in

0:49:43.360 --> 0:49:47.920
<v Speaker 1>the market says we like that that strategy mean something

0:49:48.040 --> 0:49:52.320
<v Speaker 1>appropriate couldn't be bolted onto the firm. But you know,

0:49:52.920 --> 0:49:56.319
<v Speaker 1>so there will be different ways of building businesses UH

0:49:57.040 --> 0:50:01.719
<v Speaker 1>in the business. But sort of directly, my own view

0:50:01.880 --> 0:50:05.960
<v Speaker 1>is it's all good because nobody in this space should

0:50:05.960 --> 0:50:08.520
<v Speaker 1>be worried about monopoly power because it's just not there

0:50:08.600 --> 0:50:13.279
<v Speaker 1>is anybody with enough in this relatively fragmented business to

0:50:13.400 --> 0:50:18.080
<v Speaker 1>create monopoly power. So it just enhances competition. So let's

0:50:18.120 --> 0:50:20.600
<v Speaker 1>talk about one of the small boutiques that are out there.

0:50:20.880 --> 0:50:25.279
<v Speaker 1>You join the board of Rockefeller Capital Management, even though

0:50:25.520 --> 0:50:30.120
<v Speaker 1>the company itself has been around a while, obviously a

0:50:30.400 --> 0:50:35.640
<v Speaker 1>very different animal than the giant Vanguard Group. What motivated

0:50:35.719 --> 0:50:38.520
<v Speaker 1>you to work with a smaller firm and what's that

0:50:38.640 --> 0:50:43.600
<v Speaker 1>experience like compared to you know, the behemoth that's Vanguard Group. Well,

0:50:43.960 --> 0:50:46.320
<v Speaker 1>and it's it's been a great experience. Let me just

0:50:46.360 --> 0:50:48.279
<v Speaker 1>say that right off. The bad Rock Start family has

0:50:48.320 --> 0:50:53.480
<v Speaker 1>been tremendous part of this three years journey, the UH

0:50:54.040 --> 0:50:57.160
<v Speaker 1>back biking, the backing firm has, but Greg Flemming has

0:50:57.160 --> 0:51:02.719
<v Speaker 1>put together a tremendous leadership team deeply focused on providing

0:51:03.200 --> 0:51:09.360
<v Speaker 1>advice to high network families and very much and in

0:51:09.560 --> 0:51:12.200
<v Speaker 1>that complementary in some ways to the wave of Angerant

0:51:12.200 --> 0:51:16.239
<v Speaker 1>does its business UM and so they're very focused on

0:51:17.000 --> 0:51:20.320
<v Speaker 1>in a sense, doing one thing while providing advice. Rocktal

0:51:20.400 --> 0:51:24.160
<v Speaker 1>Asset Management provides is a niche specialist in UH E

0:51:24.360 --> 0:51:27.600
<v Speaker 1>s G investing and the family office and the private

0:51:27.640 --> 0:51:32.120
<v Speaker 1>wealth management businesses at Rockefeller are deeply focused on their

0:51:32.440 --> 0:51:36.080
<v Speaker 1>in a sense small niches, but they want to be

0:51:36.560 --> 0:51:39.680
<v Speaker 1>as deep as anyone is expert as anyone in those

0:51:39.960 --> 0:51:42.440
<v Speaker 1>uh in those channels, and so it's about a lot

0:51:42.480 --> 0:51:47.160
<v Speaker 1>of fun, been tremendous to watch UH great lead this

0:51:47.440 --> 0:51:51.000
<v Speaker 1>business and kind of peoplely suttract the clients who have

0:51:51.880 --> 0:51:58.160
<v Speaker 1>UH less generally much larger brokerage house based advisory business

0:51:58.280 --> 0:52:02.480
<v Speaker 1>to come to Rockefeller Capital. And so far it's been

0:52:02.920 --> 0:52:07.160
<v Speaker 1>a terrific success story. UH thoroughly enjoyed it, UH frankly

0:52:07.239 --> 0:52:10.200
<v Speaker 1>because it's very different than where I spent my professional

0:52:10.320 --> 0:52:14.840
<v Speaker 1>life at Vanguard prior to that. So it's fun to

0:52:14.880 --> 0:52:17.560
<v Speaker 1>watch and more to come. And let's talk about another board.

0:52:17.680 --> 0:52:21.279
<v Speaker 1>You're you're the chairman of Notre Dame's Board of trustees.

0:52:21.480 --> 0:52:25.120
<v Speaker 1>What's that experience like and how involved are you with

0:52:25.320 --> 0:52:29.440
<v Speaker 1>the Notre Dame endowment? So when I first came on

0:52:29.520 --> 0:52:31.200
<v Speaker 1>the board, I went on the investment committee, as you

0:52:31.280 --> 0:52:34.600
<v Speaker 1>might imagine, And we've had a tremendously successful endowment management

0:52:34.960 --> 0:52:39.720
<v Speaker 1>uh operation there man named Scott Malpass letter for thirty

0:52:39.800 --> 0:52:43.640
<v Speaker 1>issue years. Might Donovan now once it today, I would say,

0:52:43.920 --> 0:52:49.040
<v Speaker 1>and the record has been outstanding um over time because

0:52:49.160 --> 0:52:52.400
<v Speaker 1>they followed the principles of patients and research and and

0:52:52.600 --> 0:52:55.279
<v Speaker 1>and and so on. So that was a gratifying way

0:52:55.320 --> 0:52:58.440
<v Speaker 1>to get to know Notre Dame. Being the board chair

0:52:58.440 --> 0:53:03.080
<v Speaker 1>as a tremendous honor. They have a standing leadership team

0:53:03.680 --> 0:53:07.600
<v Speaker 1>top to bottom through you know, lots of challenging times.

0:53:07.680 --> 0:53:09.520
<v Speaker 1>You know, the pandemic. This has been as big as

0:53:10.000 --> 0:53:15.959
<v Speaker 1>challenge for higher education as anything in a century really

0:53:16.000 --> 0:53:20.040
<v Speaker 1>in many ways, and you know, uh, we decided to

0:53:20.360 --> 0:53:25.160
<v Speaker 1>be open within person classes. We decided last May, made

0:53:25.200 --> 0:53:28.120
<v Speaker 1>it happen, delivered eighty five percent of our classes in person,

0:53:28.200 --> 0:53:31.080
<v Speaker 1>invited all the students back to campus for both semesters.

0:53:31.960 --> 0:53:34.120
<v Speaker 1>So it's been tremendously gratifying. You know, my kids are

0:53:34.120 --> 0:53:36.360
<v Speaker 1>all noted name grats, so it's it's a privilege to

0:53:36.760 --> 0:53:41.040
<v Speaker 1>serve the place that affected our family so positively. But

0:53:41.160 --> 0:53:43.360
<v Speaker 1>it's been a great experience frankly to learn another business

0:53:43.400 --> 0:53:47.000
<v Speaker 1>as well, try to bring some capabilities, as does our board.

0:53:47.080 --> 0:53:50.680
<v Speaker 1>We have a wonderful board of trustees with diverse backgrounds

0:53:50.719 --> 0:53:53.840
<v Speaker 1>and diverse experiences, so you see the value of that

0:53:53.960 --> 0:53:57.360
<v Speaker 1>outside and view look from from a board of trustees,

0:53:58.120 --> 0:54:01.040
<v Speaker 1>but at the board chair you're more deeply involved and

0:54:01.160 --> 0:54:04.200
<v Speaker 1>learning a lot about what is a critically important business

0:54:04.239 --> 0:54:07.520
<v Speaker 1>of this country and a very successful entering in that

0:54:07.680 --> 0:54:10.120
<v Speaker 1>business and Notre Dame. So it's been one of the

0:54:10.400 --> 0:54:14.640
<v Speaker 1>highlights of my professional career frankly. Quite interesting. I know

0:54:14.800 --> 0:54:17.000
<v Speaker 1>we only had we made we made the football playoffs,

0:54:17.040 --> 0:54:18.759
<v Speaker 1>which is always a good thing, that's right, And they

0:54:18.760 --> 0:54:23.600
<v Speaker 1>actually did a pretty good job of maintaining a healthy

0:54:23.840 --> 0:54:27.120
<v Speaker 1>team and staff in a in a period where a

0:54:27.200 --> 0:54:30.880
<v Speaker 1>lot of colleges were having a hard time not having

0:54:31.280 --> 0:54:36.040
<v Speaker 1>half the team catch COVID. Well, you see these student

0:54:36.080 --> 0:54:40.399
<v Speaker 1>athletes and cross the board, um and we could very

0:54:40.440 --> 0:54:42.160
<v Speaker 1>good results. But it tells you a lot about the

0:54:42.239 --> 0:54:44.760
<v Speaker 1>character of the kids and coaches, and our our coaches

0:54:44.800 --> 0:54:46.960
<v Speaker 1>that notre dame. They will tell you first and foremost

0:54:46.960 --> 0:54:50.160
<v Speaker 1>their educators. They want to win on the field for

0:54:50.160 --> 0:54:54.200
<v Speaker 1>their educators, and they have tried to build strong cultures

0:54:54.320 --> 0:54:57.640
<v Speaker 1>in their programs and from the top down. Or athletic

0:54:57.760 --> 0:55:02.480
<v Speaker 1>director Jack Schaubert is a big proponent of culture. And

0:55:02.520 --> 0:55:04.600
<v Speaker 1>to watch these kids what they sacrificed. You know, they

0:55:04.680 --> 0:55:07.120
<v Speaker 1>sacrifice being a college kid at some level right to

0:55:07.200 --> 0:55:10.799
<v Speaker 1>avoid getting COVID and across the board with our teams,

0:55:10.840 --> 0:55:13.680
<v Speaker 1>it's been a great outcome. So I never been proud

0:55:13.719 --> 0:55:16.040
<v Speaker 1>of the student athletes, the coaches, and the people involved

0:55:16.080 --> 0:55:18.960
<v Speaker 1>in athletics, but the student body broadly as well. Uh

0:55:19.360 --> 0:55:23.719
<v Speaker 1>the way they've handled adversity. You know, sometimes college kids

0:55:23.800 --> 0:55:26.200
<v Speaker 1>get a bad rap. They don't deserve it. They're tremendous

0:55:26.239 --> 0:55:28.640
<v Speaker 1>young people and you're just proud to be able to

0:55:28.640 --> 0:55:30.160
<v Speaker 1>try to help them a little bit in a role

0:55:30.400 --> 0:55:32.920
<v Speaker 1>like being a TRUSTe or of board chair. So I

0:55:33.040 --> 0:55:35.040
<v Speaker 1>only have you for a few more minutes. Let me

0:55:35.200 --> 0:55:37.640
<v Speaker 1>jump to my favorite questions that I ask all of

0:55:37.719 --> 0:55:41.160
<v Speaker 1>my guests, starting with what are you streaming these days?

0:55:41.280 --> 0:55:44.640
<v Speaker 1>Give us your favorite Netflix or Amazon prime shows or

0:55:44.719 --> 0:55:47.080
<v Speaker 1>what podcasts you're listening to. But we seem to have

0:55:47.200 --> 0:55:51.439
<v Speaker 1>become my wife and I seem to become tremendous fans

0:55:51.480 --> 0:55:54.400
<v Speaker 1>of British cops shows. You know, things like d c

0:55:54.600 --> 0:55:58.960
<v Speaker 1>I Banks are endeavor prime suspects. So that's if you

0:55:59.040 --> 0:56:02.160
<v Speaker 1>looked at our Amazon on her Netflix accounts, you'd see

0:56:02.160 --> 0:56:07.719
<v Speaker 1>a lot of those um uh podcasts. No kidding and

0:56:07.760 --> 0:56:11.120
<v Speaker 1>apologize for this. Masters and Business is one that's a

0:56:11.239 --> 0:56:13.800
<v Speaker 1>regular weekly listen. I have to say thank you for

0:56:13.920 --> 0:56:17.840
<v Speaker 1>doing it. Freakingomics is another one I find very interesting

0:56:17.920 --> 0:56:21.239
<v Speaker 1>that gives you a different point of view and and

0:56:21.320 --> 0:56:23.279
<v Speaker 1>you can't live without Wait Weight don't tell me, which

0:56:23.360 --> 0:56:25.399
<v Speaker 1>is not as good without the audience, but it's still

0:56:25.440 --> 0:56:28.719
<v Speaker 1>a great way to spend a Usually I listened to

0:56:28.760 --> 0:56:31.040
<v Speaker 1>it Sunday after Saturday afternoon after it's on the radio

0:56:31.080 --> 0:56:33.840
<v Speaker 1>on Saturday morning where I am. But I've been a

0:56:33.880 --> 0:56:36.640
<v Speaker 1>lot of a lot more TV watching Turn the Pandemic

0:56:36.719 --> 0:56:38.520
<v Speaker 1>than there has been in the prior forty years of

0:56:38.560 --> 0:56:40.920
<v Speaker 1>our marriage. I can assure you, I'm glad to hear

0:56:40.960 --> 0:56:45.040
<v Speaker 1>I'm not the only one suffering through an excess of television.

0:56:45.520 --> 0:56:48.160
<v Speaker 1>And thank you for the kind words about about the show.

0:56:48.640 --> 0:56:52.000
<v Speaker 1>Let's talk a little bit about mentors who helped shape

0:56:52.080 --> 0:56:56.919
<v Speaker 1>your career. Talking about Jack, obviously, that was a great

0:56:56.960 --> 0:57:00.040
<v Speaker 1>privilege to to uh to work with him and and

0:57:00.160 --> 0:57:03.000
<v Speaker 1>a ton from him. I had the great fortune of

0:57:03.120 --> 0:57:06.760
<v Speaker 1>having a father who was one of these great American

0:57:06.840 --> 0:57:09.560
<v Speaker 1>success stories. You know. His father was a ditch digger

0:57:09.600 --> 0:57:12.640
<v Speaker 1>and then got a good job as a janitor and

0:57:13.719 --> 0:57:16.440
<v Speaker 1>he ended up as the chairman CEO and built a

0:57:16.520 --> 0:57:19.600
<v Speaker 1>great bank in Boston and started as a mutual savings bank,

0:57:19.640 --> 0:57:22.760
<v Speaker 1>became a public company, and you know snow days, you

0:57:22.840 --> 0:57:24.600
<v Speaker 1>get the day off. He'd said, come on getting the car,

0:57:24.720 --> 0:57:27.200
<v Speaker 1>we're going to the office. But I grew up in

0:57:27.240 --> 0:57:29.840
<v Speaker 1>Boston and he would stand at the front door and

0:57:29.920 --> 0:57:31.960
<v Speaker 1>greet everybody who made it in on a snow day

0:57:32.000 --> 0:57:35.560
<v Speaker 1>to the bank and thank them for coming. It's those

0:57:35.680 --> 0:57:38.840
<v Speaker 1>kind of lessons that you can't make up. And so

0:57:39.480 --> 0:57:43.040
<v Speaker 1>um that that was a sixties something, I guess, a

0:57:43.240 --> 0:57:47.520
<v Speaker 1>fifty something year mentorship that was tremendous and one of

0:57:47.640 --> 0:57:49.200
<v Speaker 1>what I just call out. You know, my first boss

0:57:49.200 --> 0:57:51.400
<v Speaker 1>out of college, guy Nam Bill McKenna, then Eric Bank

0:57:51.480 --> 0:57:57.400
<v Speaker 1>for Savings a similar story. Actually, um, very blue collar background,

0:57:57.520 --> 0:58:00.560
<v Speaker 1>the president of a bank, and he probably it was

0:58:00.600 --> 0:58:02.560
<v Speaker 1>like to be a businessman at twenty one years old,

0:58:03.000 --> 0:58:08.160
<v Speaker 1>you know, and he hard feedback, great feedback. I still

0:58:08.200 --> 0:58:10.960
<v Speaker 1>consider him a great friend forty five years later, So

0:58:11.520 --> 0:58:13.280
<v Speaker 1>how good is that? And there's tons of others, but

0:58:13.360 --> 0:58:17.320
<v Speaker 1>those three when I always think about how they affected

0:58:17.400 --> 0:58:20.520
<v Speaker 1>my life, you know, in from different periods of time.

0:58:20.720 --> 0:58:23.960
<v Speaker 1>But what a gift, right and you do it. I

0:58:24.080 --> 0:58:26.040
<v Speaker 1>hope I've been able to try to pay it back

0:58:26.040 --> 0:58:28.920
<v Speaker 1>a little bit by mentoring some other people. And you

0:58:29.040 --> 0:58:31.880
<v Speaker 1>hope somebody names you somewhere along the way. Tell us

0:58:31.880 --> 0:58:34.400
<v Speaker 1>about some of your favorite books. What are you reading

0:58:34.520 --> 0:58:37.520
<v Speaker 1>right now? Well? I love historical biographies. He's funny. My

0:58:37.560 --> 0:58:39.640
<v Speaker 1>wife reads fiction all the time that I have read

0:58:39.680 --> 0:58:44.360
<v Speaker 1>a fiction book in twenty years. So I love historical biographies.

0:58:44.360 --> 0:58:46.040
<v Speaker 1>I feel like it stills in the gaps of what

0:58:46.160 --> 0:58:49.000
<v Speaker 1>I didn't learn. Uh, I didn't learn in high school

0:58:49.120 --> 0:58:52.400
<v Speaker 1>or college, you know. So you know, always loved and

0:58:52.520 --> 0:58:56.400
<v Speaker 1>I love leaders, interesting leaders, you know. Doris Current's good

0:58:56.480 --> 0:59:00.320
<v Speaker 1>with Current Scotland's book Bully Pulpit about Teddy Roosevelt. Uh,

0:59:00.720 --> 0:59:05.080
<v Speaker 1>The Splendor and the Vine about about Churchill. Right now,

0:59:05.280 --> 0:59:11.720
<v Speaker 1>I'm reading long biography by Andrew Roberts about Napoleon and

0:59:11.880 --> 0:59:16.480
<v Speaker 1>learning a ton what an unbelievable what an what an

0:59:16.560 --> 0:59:20.440
<v Speaker 1>unbelievable life? That is that much more so than I

0:59:20.480 --> 0:59:22.800
<v Speaker 1>ever knew. So I find those as two firs. You

0:59:22.880 --> 0:59:25.280
<v Speaker 1>learned about an interesting person. You also learn about the history,

0:59:26.160 --> 0:59:27.800
<v Speaker 1>but you've got to pepper up with some other things.

0:59:27.880 --> 0:59:30.800
<v Speaker 1>One of the ones I've read recently that's great is

0:59:31.280 --> 0:59:34.880
<v Speaker 1>uh it's called The World Beneath Our Feet, and it's

0:59:34.920 --> 0:59:37.720
<v Speaker 1>about the race to climb out effort, and you learn

0:59:37.800 --> 0:59:42.720
<v Speaker 1>about geopolitical issues that So I probably don't read enough

0:59:42.760 --> 0:59:44.720
<v Speaker 1>for fun. I read to try to fill in the

0:59:44.800 --> 0:59:48.760
<v Speaker 1>holes in my knowledge base more than anything. But there's

0:59:48.800 --> 0:59:50.640
<v Speaker 1>nothing better than sitting down for two hours with a

0:59:50.680 --> 0:59:53.360
<v Speaker 1>great book, is there? No, not at all. What sort

0:59:53.360 --> 0:59:55.960
<v Speaker 1>of advice would you give to a recent college grad

0:59:56.080 --> 1:00:01.040
<v Speaker 1>who was interested in a career in investment management or

1:00:01.920 --> 1:00:06.920
<v Speaker 1>investment advisory? Do it? It's a great profession. It's it's

1:00:07.040 --> 1:00:09.480
<v Speaker 1>it really is a great profession. You're you know, our

1:00:09.600 --> 1:00:12.760
<v Speaker 1>business is one that's so interesting because it changes every minute,

1:00:13.000 --> 1:00:16.000
<v Speaker 1>every hour, every day. There's something in the newspaper that's

1:00:16.040 --> 1:00:20.200
<v Speaker 1>going to affect your business and your clients. So for me,

1:00:22.160 --> 1:00:26.240
<v Speaker 1>I don't think enough people go into investment advisory frankly,

1:00:26.480 --> 1:00:29.080
<v Speaker 1>and I hope more and more will because there is

1:00:30.320 --> 1:00:34.560
<v Speaker 1>a big demand for it. It's very gratifying. Uh, it's

1:00:34.880 --> 1:00:40.440
<v Speaker 1>constantly changing. As I said, Uh, and you can you

1:00:40.640 --> 1:00:44.560
<v Speaker 1>can really do well for yourself while doing good for

1:00:44.680 --> 1:00:47.680
<v Speaker 1>your clients. That's a great combo. Last piece, I always

1:00:47.680 --> 1:00:50.000
<v Speaker 1>tell people find a great firm, find a great firm,

1:00:50.080 --> 1:00:52.600
<v Speaker 1>and if you're lucky enough, find a great mentor and

1:00:52.680 --> 1:00:57.600
<v Speaker 1>a great firm to help you accelerate your learning as

1:00:57.680 --> 1:01:02.240
<v Speaker 1>you move along. So I'm very bullish on the industry

1:01:02.320 --> 1:01:05.040
<v Speaker 1>I was in, very bullish and the industry you're in.

1:01:05.400 --> 1:01:11.000
<v Speaker 1>I think they each have tremendous psychic gratifications as well

1:01:11.080 --> 1:01:15.040
<v Speaker 1>as financial awards for people. So I'm pitching them all

1:01:15.080 --> 1:01:18.920
<v Speaker 1>the time to people. Really interesting and our final question,

1:01:19.600 --> 1:01:22.080
<v Speaker 1>what do you know about the world of investing today

1:01:22.200 --> 1:01:25.160
<v Speaker 1>that you wish you knew thirty or forty years ago

1:01:25.280 --> 1:01:28.360
<v Speaker 1>when you were first getting started? You know, in a sense,

1:01:28.440 --> 1:01:32.760
<v Speaker 1>I think I knew that to produce differentiative results, you

1:01:32.880 --> 1:01:36.040
<v Speaker 1>really had to be very different from the market. Um.

1:01:37.280 --> 1:01:40.200
<v Speaker 1>But I obviously know that a lot more soundly today

1:01:40.440 --> 1:01:45.640
<v Speaker 1>the statistics, but more more valuably the experience. Um. You know,

1:01:45.720 --> 1:01:48.880
<v Speaker 1>one of my sons runs a long only investment firm,

1:01:49.120 --> 1:01:53.200
<v Speaker 1>and his diversified fund has fourteen stocks and his non

1:01:53.280 --> 1:01:57.680
<v Speaker 1>diverse fund has not has fund as nine. Wow. And

1:01:57.800 --> 1:02:00.520
<v Speaker 1>I wouldn't have him invest not that he asked me,

1:02:00.560 --> 1:02:02.960
<v Speaker 1>but I wouldn't have him invest in any other way

1:02:04.040 --> 1:02:06.400
<v Speaker 1>because otherwise, if he's going to give you a beta

1:02:07.720 --> 1:02:12.840
<v Speaker 1>in our square by our total stock market fund, right,

1:02:13.040 --> 1:02:17.360
<v Speaker 1>And and the differentiation between being willing to be wrong

1:02:18.360 --> 1:02:20.840
<v Speaker 1>and take risk is the only way you're going to

1:02:20.960 --> 1:02:27.640
<v Speaker 1>deliver results that are differentiated and valuable to people, because

1:02:27.680 --> 1:02:31.040
<v Speaker 1>the alternative is not hypothetical any longer. The alternative you

1:02:31.120 --> 1:02:33.920
<v Speaker 1>can invest any way you want in an indexed portfolio,

1:02:34.800 --> 1:02:38.080
<v Speaker 1>So that that that it's an affirmation of what I

1:02:38.200 --> 1:02:43.320
<v Speaker 1>learned early in my career from some tremendously successful portfolio managers.

1:02:43.960 --> 1:02:46.000
<v Speaker 1>But I wish I was as sure of that thirty

1:02:46.080 --> 1:02:49.960
<v Speaker 1>years ago him today. Quite fascinating. Jack, thank you for

1:02:50.080 --> 1:02:53.680
<v Speaker 1>being so generous with your time. We have been speaking

1:02:54.040 --> 1:02:58.000
<v Speaker 1>to Jack Brennan. He is the former CEO and chairman

1:02:58.680 --> 1:03:02.919
<v Speaker 1>of Investing John and the Vanguard Group If you enjoy

1:03:03.000 --> 1:03:06.080
<v Speaker 1>this conversation, well, be sure and check out any of

1:03:06.160 --> 1:03:10.240
<v Speaker 1>our previous four hundred such discussions. You could find those

1:03:10.320 --> 1:03:14.960
<v Speaker 1>at iTunes, Spotify, wherever you feed your podcast fix. We

1:03:15.120 --> 1:03:18.960
<v Speaker 1>love your comments, feedback and suggestions right to us at

1:03:19.720 --> 1:03:23.080
<v Speaker 1>m IB podcast at Bloomberg dot net. Sign up for

1:03:23.200 --> 1:03:26.760
<v Speaker 1>my daily reads at Rid Halts dot com. Check out

1:03:26.840 --> 1:03:30.080
<v Speaker 1>my weekly column at Bloomberg dot com slash Opinion. You

1:03:30.160 --> 1:03:33.000
<v Speaker 1>can follow me on Twitter at Rid Halts. I would

1:03:33.040 --> 1:03:35.280
<v Speaker 1>be remiss if I did not thank our crack team

1:03:35.680 --> 1:03:40.400
<v Speaker 1>that helps put this conversation together each week. Tim Harrow

1:03:40.560 --> 1:03:44.480
<v Speaker 1>is my audio engineer. Attica val Bron is my project manager.

1:03:45.040 --> 1:03:48.520
<v Speaker 1>Michael Boyle is my producer. Michael Batnick is my head

1:03:48.560 --> 1:03:53.040
<v Speaker 1>of research. I'm Barry Hults. You've been listening to Master's

1:03:53.080 --> 1:03:55.360
<v Speaker 1>in Business on Bloomberg Radio.