1 00:00:02,400 --> 00:00:06,760 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:11,960 --> 00:00:15,560 Speaker 2: This is the Bloomberg Surveillance Podcast. I'm Tom Keene along 3 00:00:15,600 --> 00:00:18,960 Speaker 2: with Paul Sweeney. Join us each day for insight from 4 00:00:18,960 --> 00:00:23,160 Speaker 2: the best in economics, finance, investment, and international relations. You 5 00:00:23,160 --> 00:00:26,520 Speaker 2: can also watch the show live on YouTube. Visit the 6 00:00:26,520 --> 00:00:31,280 Speaker 2: Bloomberg Podcast channel on YouTube to see the show weekday 7 00:00:31,280 --> 00:00:34,320 Speaker 2: mornings from seven to ten am Eastern from our global 8 00:00:34,360 --> 00:00:39,000 Speaker 2: headquarters in New York City. Subscribe to the podcast on Apple, Spotify, 9 00:00:39,360 --> 00:00:42,920 Speaker 2: or anywhere else you listen and always I'm Bloomberg Radio, 10 00:00:43,080 --> 00:00:47,919 Speaker 2: the Bloomberg Terminal, and the Bloomberg Business App. David Biancle 11 00:00:48,640 --> 00:00:51,640 Speaker 2: joined us right now. Good morning, sir, It's good to 12 00:00:51,680 --> 00:00:56,000 Speaker 2: have you here with DWS. It's like a Deutsche Bank 13 00:00:56,080 --> 00:01:00,800 Speaker 2: wing right, Yes, Management, what are you gonna down thirty? 14 00:01:01,000 --> 00:01:03,440 Speaker 2: What I see right now is a lot of window dressing. 15 00:01:03,520 --> 00:01:07,960 Speaker 2: People are going, oops, I'm behind I better buy some things. 16 00:01:08,040 --> 00:01:09,319 Speaker 2: Is that what's going on right now? 17 00:01:10,040 --> 00:01:13,200 Speaker 3: Yeah, there's definitely been anxiety of market and to try 18 00:01:13,200 --> 00:01:14,600 Speaker 3: to figure out a way to keep up with this 19 00:01:14,680 --> 00:01:17,920 Speaker 3: market without being overly concentrated, because how do you do that? Well, 20 00:01:17,959 --> 00:01:20,800 Speaker 3: that's the challenge. The benchmarks have become concentrated, and you know, 21 00:01:20,840 --> 00:01:24,160 Speaker 3: we've got to relentless momentum market. The thing is, the 22 00:01:24,160 --> 00:01:27,319 Speaker 3: fundamentals are good in terms of earnings growth at those stocks, 23 00:01:27,360 --> 00:01:29,760 Speaker 3: those magnificent seven Grade eight. Maybe it's going to go 24 00:01:29,800 --> 00:01:32,880 Speaker 3: from G eight to G ten, G twelve, But you know, 25 00:01:33,200 --> 00:01:34,880 Speaker 3: so much of the rest of the market has had 26 00:01:34,920 --> 00:01:38,360 Speaker 3: really sluggish earnings growth, particularly sluggish real I think you'll 27 00:01:38,360 --> 00:01:40,679 Speaker 3: see the same thing in two Q results. You know, 28 00:01:40,760 --> 00:01:43,640 Speaker 3: maybe three percent growth at the S and P four 29 00:01:43,720 --> 00:01:46,800 Speaker 3: ninety two, but ten percent growth with the benefit of 30 00:01:46,840 --> 00:01:47,320 Speaker 3: the grade eight. 31 00:01:47,440 --> 00:01:50,000 Speaker 2: Let's take up magnificent eight whatever they are, right, and 32 00:01:50,280 --> 00:01:54,160 Speaker 2: so there's another four hundred eighty stocks left. Let's take 33 00:01:54,160 --> 00:01:57,560 Speaker 2: them down to one hundred random stocks. How many of 34 00:01:57,640 --> 00:01:59,800 Speaker 2: one hundred of the rest of the S and P 35 00:02:00,800 --> 00:02:04,040 Speaker 2: have earnings growth, have free cash flow growth. 36 00:02:04,920 --> 00:02:10,400 Speaker 3: The majority do have scant earnings and free cash flow growth, 37 00:02:10,639 --> 00:02:14,200 Speaker 3: not the healthy mid to upper single digit earnings growth 38 00:02:14,240 --> 00:02:17,760 Speaker 3: you'd expect, particularly when you have had inflation and pricing 39 00:02:17,800 --> 00:02:20,639 Speaker 3: power at companies as we have over the past couple 40 00:02:20,680 --> 00:02:23,320 Speaker 3: of years. I'm not saying things are bad. I'm just 41 00:02:23,360 --> 00:02:27,760 Speaker 3: saying earnings growth, particularly setting the grade eight a side, 42 00:02:28,200 --> 00:02:30,280 Speaker 3: is not something that really justifies a twenty two to 43 00:02:30,360 --> 00:02:33,520 Speaker 3: twenty three PE multiple. Now, I do think that a 44 00:02:33,639 --> 00:02:36,680 Speaker 3: twenty ish PE is sustainable as long as ten year 45 00:02:36,760 --> 00:02:39,400 Speaker 3: yields stay closer to four rather than five, which is 46 00:02:39,400 --> 00:02:41,359 Speaker 3: a risk, as long as the ten year tips yield 47 00:02:41,400 --> 00:02:43,960 Speaker 3: stays under two, which it is right this moment. But 48 00:02:44,240 --> 00:02:46,880 Speaker 3: I do think right now is a good time to 49 00:02:47,120 --> 00:02:50,960 Speaker 3: de risk and diversify. And I say d risk because 50 00:02:50,960 --> 00:02:53,800 Speaker 3: there's still a very good opportunity at one two three 51 00:02:53,919 --> 00:02:56,440 Speaker 3: year points on the curve and taking a little bit 52 00:02:56,480 --> 00:02:58,760 Speaker 3: of credit risk, you'll make your five percent. And I'm 53 00:02:58,840 --> 00:03:01,120 Speaker 3: doubtful that over the next two two and a half 54 00:03:01,240 --> 00:03:04,680 Speaker 3: years there's anything more than five percent total return upside 55 00:03:04,800 --> 00:03:07,880 Speaker 3: annualized at the S and P. And for the summer, okay, 56 00:03:08,040 --> 00:03:09,920 Speaker 3: for the summer, I think we're about to turn our 57 00:03:09,960 --> 00:03:12,440 Speaker 3: attention even more to the elections. We've got the debate 58 00:03:12,480 --> 00:03:15,160 Speaker 3: next week, we've got the conventions coming up, obviously, the 59 00:03:15,200 --> 00:03:18,600 Speaker 3: elections in November. What we'll hear more about is that 60 00:03:18,680 --> 00:03:22,960 Speaker 3: fiscal policy needs to be addressed after this election if 61 00:03:23,000 --> 00:03:25,600 Speaker 3: it's not, and I think it'd be unwise for the 62 00:03:25,600 --> 00:03:28,080 Speaker 3: FED to cut before the election, not knowing the outcome. 63 00:03:28,360 --> 00:03:31,240 Speaker 3: This is an important event, and it's very important for 64 00:03:31,360 --> 00:03:35,320 Speaker 3: fiscal conditions and thus ten year yields, and I don't 65 00:03:35,360 --> 00:03:36,600 Speaker 3: think the FED should cut before that. 66 00:03:36,960 --> 00:03:37,640 Speaker 2: So should we? 67 00:03:38,080 --> 00:03:41,119 Speaker 4: So we're de risking in part because some of the 68 00:03:41,160 --> 00:03:42,800 Speaker 4: political uncertainties exactly. 69 00:03:42,880 --> 00:03:44,640 Speaker 3: And those who think the Fed's going to cut this 70 00:03:44,680 --> 00:03:47,560 Speaker 3: summer or even in September, I don't think so. Those 71 00:03:47,560 --> 00:03:49,880 Speaker 3: who think that there's going to be this broadening of 72 00:03:50,440 --> 00:03:53,840 Speaker 3: health to healthy, strong earnings growth beyond the magnificent seven, 73 00:03:53,880 --> 00:03:54,720 Speaker 3: I don't think so. 74 00:03:54,840 --> 00:03:55,320 Speaker 2: Not yet. 75 00:03:55,320 --> 00:03:58,640 Speaker 3: Maybe next year, and these valuations, you go from twenty 76 00:03:58,680 --> 00:04:02,120 Speaker 3: two and a half to twenty twenty times this year's 77 00:04:02,120 --> 00:04:05,160 Speaker 3: earnings is forty nine hundred, okay, and so you can 78 00:04:05,200 --> 00:04:07,000 Speaker 3: easily have a ten to fifteen percent decline. 79 00:04:07,040 --> 00:04:09,760 Speaker 4: All right, So do we park ourselves into your treasury 80 00:04:09,760 --> 00:04:10,840 Speaker 4: at four point seven percent? 81 00:04:10,880 --> 00:04:13,680 Speaker 3: Do we not a bad idea? To not a bad 82 00:04:13,720 --> 00:04:16,400 Speaker 3: idea to overweight that? We know we're always in equities, 83 00:04:16,440 --> 00:04:18,800 Speaker 3: but the preference now is for the shorter end of 84 00:04:18,839 --> 00:04:21,440 Speaker 3: the curve and a little bit of credit risk, and 85 00:04:21,480 --> 00:04:24,880 Speaker 3: then not that we have our the ones we like 86 00:04:24,920 --> 00:04:26,480 Speaker 3: and the ones we're concerned about. When it comes to 87 00:04:26,800 --> 00:04:30,160 Speaker 3: magnificent seven, But we are trying to diversify away from 88 00:04:30,200 --> 00:04:34,719 Speaker 3: the Magnificent seven because portfolios do benefit from diversification. You 89 00:04:34,760 --> 00:04:36,760 Speaker 3: never know what's going to happen. And we're adding to 90 00:04:36,800 --> 00:04:40,280 Speaker 3: the others, and we're adding to foreign equities, but we're 91 00:04:40,320 --> 00:04:42,720 Speaker 3: not adding to small caps. Or actually we've gotten more 92 00:04:42,760 --> 00:04:44,400 Speaker 3: cautious than small caps for the summer. 93 00:04:44,440 --> 00:04:48,960 Speaker 2: With Europe blowing up. I thank yesterday Adrian Wooldridge was 94 00:04:49,000 --> 00:04:53,280 Speaker 2: great on London and the United Kingdom and Leonard Laurento 95 00:04:53,320 --> 00:04:56,640 Speaker 2: and France. What a half hour that was on these elections. 96 00:04:56,920 --> 00:04:59,200 Speaker 2: Do you buy straw hats in winter and that means 97 00:04:59,240 --> 00:05:01,680 Speaker 2: you buy europe blue chips? 98 00:05:02,560 --> 00:05:05,480 Speaker 3: Well, yes, I would stick with the larger cap blue 99 00:05:05,560 --> 00:05:10,599 Speaker 3: chip companies in Europe. And while we do expect European 100 00:05:10,640 --> 00:05:14,040 Speaker 3: earnings to get back to growth as soon as the 101 00:05:14,080 --> 00:05:16,359 Speaker 3: second quarter and third quarter, and they've been in a 102 00:05:16,360 --> 00:05:20,640 Speaker 3: profit recession for a long time, the thing about the 103 00:05:20,640 --> 00:05:25,600 Speaker 3: European market is it's your typical or quintessential value investors market. 104 00:05:25,960 --> 00:05:27,560 Speaker 3: And so as long as you think things are going 105 00:05:27,640 --> 00:05:32,520 Speaker 3: to be okay politically or geopolitically and even economically, and 106 00:05:32,880 --> 00:05:35,160 Speaker 3: we think things are improving on the earnings front out 107 00:05:35,200 --> 00:05:39,040 Speaker 3: of Europe as long as things are okay, and it's 108 00:05:39,040 --> 00:05:41,400 Speaker 3: hard to crush the European economy. It's a resilient economy, 109 00:05:41,440 --> 00:05:44,440 Speaker 3: albeit it doesn't grow strongly. As long as things are okay, 110 00:05:44,800 --> 00:05:48,839 Speaker 3: the valuations provide provide upside, and we think Europe continues 111 00:05:48,839 --> 00:05:52,599 Speaker 3: to generate strong returns and it offers that diversification. We 112 00:05:52,680 --> 00:05:55,240 Speaker 3: also like Japan, so i'd say EFA in general. 113 00:05:55,880 --> 00:06:02,839 Speaker 4: Japan again coming he is, he's very big again kind 114 00:06:02,839 --> 00:06:05,080 Speaker 4: of how I mentioned to Tom. I mean, you know, 115 00:06:05,160 --> 00:06:07,200 Speaker 4: we haven't talked about Japan for twenty five or thirty years, 116 00:06:07,200 --> 00:06:09,920 Speaker 4: and now it's almost every day I hear someone in 117 00:06:09,960 --> 00:06:13,560 Speaker 4: your position. So you're looking at Japan. What's really changed there? 118 00:06:13,760 --> 00:06:17,360 Speaker 3: Well, you've heard the government story. They finally got religion on, 119 00:06:17,440 --> 00:06:20,920 Speaker 3: return on capital and corporate discipline. But they do have 120 00:06:20,960 --> 00:06:26,640 Speaker 3: good businesses and finally the banks or anticipating a higher 121 00:06:26,640 --> 00:06:28,720 Speaker 3: interest rate environment, even a little bit higher than here. 122 00:06:28,800 --> 00:06:30,680 Speaker 3: That will take time. But they have a lot of 123 00:06:30,680 --> 00:06:37,120 Speaker 3: good industrial companies machine tools and automation, and even components 124 00:06:37,520 --> 00:06:41,920 Speaker 3: and materials that are important to semi conductors. The valuations 125 00:06:41,960 --> 00:06:45,240 Speaker 3: are very reasonable. These are good businesses. It's a diversified index. 126 00:06:45,520 --> 00:06:48,039 Speaker 3: The yen is really really weak, and it makes Japanese 127 00:06:48,040 --> 00:06:52,320 Speaker 3: products affordable. Also, it's under the US security umbrella, which 128 00:06:52,360 --> 00:06:56,240 Speaker 3: means that's the beach hold for investors into Asia. 129 00:06:56,040 --> 00:06:58,440 Speaker 2: Right right, I mean just wing it back to Europe. Semens, 130 00:06:58,440 --> 00:07:01,080 Speaker 2: which I haven't looked at in ages a moonshot off 131 00:07:01,120 --> 00:07:04,320 Speaker 2: the pandemic folks. Semens of Munich three hundred and twenty 132 00:07:04,360 --> 00:07:10,440 Speaker 2: three thousand employees. Basically, it's ginormous dividend growth, single digit. 133 00:07:10,560 --> 00:07:13,640 Speaker 2: It's there, but I'm sorry, with a limited capex, they 134 00:07:13,680 --> 00:07:17,440 Speaker 2: get some serious free cash flow. And everybody's like beyond 135 00:07:17,520 --> 00:07:20,560 Speaker 2: gloomy about the German manufacturing model. 136 00:07:20,840 --> 00:07:24,160 Speaker 3: And the German economy has been sluggish, and there are 137 00:07:24,160 --> 00:07:27,000 Speaker 3: probably concerns to be had about auto given the. 138 00:07:27,640 --> 00:07:29,400 Speaker 2: Semens is not all exactly so. 139 00:07:29,720 --> 00:07:33,000 Speaker 3: The thing about it is there are European companies that 140 00:07:33,040 --> 00:07:38,320 Speaker 3: are very well positioned for the transition to electrification, like 141 00:07:38,360 --> 00:07:39,600 Speaker 3: the one you said, and I can think of a 142 00:07:39,640 --> 00:07:44,280 Speaker 3: few others I can talk about. I can, but the 143 00:07:45,160 --> 00:07:49,880 Speaker 3: point is Europe is well positioned for electrification. I think 144 00:07:49,880 --> 00:07:52,200 Speaker 3: that's known in many of these industrial companies in the 145 00:07:52,320 --> 00:07:55,560 Speaker 3: US and do well. But look at utility companies that 146 00:07:55,600 --> 00:07:58,560 Speaker 3: I think is an underappreciated play, not just on electric 147 00:07:58,640 --> 00:07:59,920 Speaker 3: vehicles but on data center. 148 00:08:00,520 --> 00:08:03,520 Speaker 2: Paul, I haven't said this in ages the forward multiple 149 00:08:03,520 --> 00:08:08,760 Speaker 2: and semens sixteen. Yeah, remember that it's been a while. 150 00:08:08,800 --> 00:08:12,040 Speaker 2: We used to go, I don't know, it's twelve multiple. 151 00:08:12,280 --> 00:08:15,000 Speaker 2: I think they can span out to sixteen. And now 152 00:08:15,040 --> 00:08:16,120 Speaker 2: what are we looking at? Yeah? 153 00:08:16,160 --> 00:08:18,240 Speaker 4: But when I think a semens and I think, I 154 00:08:18,280 --> 00:08:20,480 Speaker 4: think of the German economy, and I think of the export, 155 00:08:20,520 --> 00:08:23,480 Speaker 4: and I think at the reliance upon Chinamens twelve percent 156 00:08:23,480 --> 00:08:25,560 Speaker 4: of the revenue thanks to you to the pg EO 157 00:08:25,720 --> 00:08:28,000 Speaker 4: function on the Bloomberg trimninal twelve percent of the revenue 158 00:08:28,040 --> 00:08:31,840 Speaker 4: from China seamen gregious to me. I mean, I mean, 159 00:08:31,880 --> 00:08:33,600 Speaker 4: I guess that's a little bit of a discount the multiple. 160 00:08:33,600 --> 00:08:36,320 Speaker 3: But it's amazing how that has become something that people 161 00:08:36,360 --> 00:08:38,440 Speaker 3: toa concern with and discount the multiple over the China 162 00:08:38,480 --> 00:08:40,960 Speaker 3: exposure of the foreign exposure used to be the other 163 00:08:41,000 --> 00:08:45,000 Speaker 3: way around. But electrifications alive and well there are industrial 164 00:08:45,000 --> 00:08:47,640 Speaker 3: companies US and Europe exposed to it. The other thing 165 00:08:47,679 --> 00:08:49,839 Speaker 3: that's going on in Europe and maybe it comes. Let's 166 00:08:49,840 --> 00:08:53,080 Speaker 3: watch the elections in the United States are carbon credits 167 00:08:53,280 --> 00:08:56,679 Speaker 3: and utility companies. Electricity prices are going to be going 168 00:08:56,760 --> 00:09:00,120 Speaker 3: up a lot unless the government figures out a way 169 00:09:00,160 --> 00:09:02,440 Speaker 3: to help subsidize this, and clarbon corts could help. 170 00:09:02,520 --> 00:09:04,880 Speaker 2: We had to run David Biancochitz, thank you so much. 171 00:09:15,040 --> 00:09:20,920 Speaker 2: Bulletproof Engineering. Katie Kaminski joins Alpha Cineplex right now on 172 00:09:21,120 --> 00:09:25,240 Speaker 2: Trench double and also, as Paul mentioned, operational research out 173 00:09:25,280 --> 00:09:29,400 Speaker 2: of a school in the Charles River in Boston. Katie, 174 00:09:29,800 --> 00:09:32,360 Speaker 2: we could go for three hours this morning, but just 175 00:09:32,440 --> 00:09:36,800 Speaker 2: basically have we reversed to finally trend in place higher 176 00:09:36,920 --> 00:09:39,400 Speaker 2: fixed income prices in lower. 177 00:09:39,480 --> 00:09:43,440 Speaker 5: In the process of pivoting, the signals have been switching 178 00:09:43,600 --> 00:09:46,640 Speaker 5: more to long particularly in international fixed income. 179 00:09:47,040 --> 00:09:49,520 Speaker 6: But I'd say that you're still seeing a little bit of. 180 00:09:49,480 --> 00:09:54,640 Speaker 5: Residual signal short and fixed income for the US because 181 00:09:54,679 --> 00:09:59,080 Speaker 5: of the recent moves not being enough relative to long 182 00:09:59,160 --> 00:10:02,559 Speaker 5: term trends. So it's definitely feels like an inflection point 183 00:10:02,559 --> 00:10:03,040 Speaker 5: this month. 184 00:10:03,320 --> 00:10:05,560 Speaker 2: The general rule I get thanks to zero It for 185 00:10:05,600 --> 00:10:08,360 Speaker 2: great work on this every week is on a Friday, 186 00:10:08,360 --> 00:10:11,960 Speaker 2: these sort of assess the bet it's out there. It 187 00:10:12,000 --> 00:10:15,439 Speaker 2: seems to me that retail is betting America big cap, 188 00:10:15,520 --> 00:10:19,400 Speaker 2: large cap Nvidia blah blah blah, and hedge funds are 189 00:10:19,480 --> 00:10:22,600 Speaker 2: maybe not on that page, they're on a different page. 190 00:10:23,040 --> 00:10:25,680 Speaker 2: What is the bet right now that you observe in 191 00:10:25,720 --> 00:10:27,079 Speaker 2: the CTA community. 192 00:10:28,400 --> 00:10:31,640 Speaker 5: So right now, it's been interesting because this year, most 193 00:10:31,679 --> 00:10:33,440 Speaker 5: of the year, it's been a hedged bet in the 194 00:10:33,480 --> 00:10:36,240 Speaker 5: sense that you've seen long equity signals. That's been one 195 00:10:36,280 --> 00:10:39,480 Speaker 5: of the best momentum plays this year till now. But 196 00:10:39,559 --> 00:10:44,480 Speaker 5: you've also seen some changes in the commodity sector, so 197 00:10:44,520 --> 00:10:49,040 Speaker 5: the copper trade, the positioning in gold, a lot of 198 00:10:49,040 --> 00:10:52,839 Speaker 5: commodities has been long but has been dissipating, and then 199 00:10:52,920 --> 00:10:56,960 Speaker 5: this month you've seen suddenly now energy is moving upwards again. 200 00:10:57,040 --> 00:11:00,720 Speaker 5: So there's this disjoint in the commodity sector. Fixed income 201 00:11:00,760 --> 00:11:02,280 Speaker 5: has been short most. 202 00:11:02,080 --> 00:11:04,760 Speaker 6: Of the year except for now. Recently you're starting to 203 00:11:04,760 --> 00:11:05,800 Speaker 6: see that pivot. 204 00:11:06,679 --> 00:11:09,440 Speaker 5: The US dollar again a tricky one has now been 205 00:11:09,640 --> 00:11:13,800 Speaker 5: rallying again. We can talk about that, but in general, 206 00:11:14,120 --> 00:11:16,360 Speaker 5: it does feel a little bit like a pivot or 207 00:11:16,400 --> 00:11:19,840 Speaker 5: an inflection for current trends into what could be the 208 00:11:20,040 --> 00:11:21,640 Speaker 5: trend going in the second half of the year. 209 00:11:22,480 --> 00:11:25,880 Speaker 4: So I mean, broadly speaking, Katie, the folks you talk to, 210 00:11:26,360 --> 00:11:28,760 Speaker 4: Is it a risk on environment? Do why would be 211 00:11:28,800 --> 00:11:31,920 Speaker 4: long stocks, bonds things like that? Or are people just 212 00:11:31,960 --> 00:11:35,680 Speaker 4: too concerned here about where the global economy is going. 213 00:11:36,679 --> 00:11:40,160 Speaker 5: So this is a very good question because before June 214 00:11:40,440 --> 00:11:43,280 Speaker 5: my answer would be yeah, it's pretty risk one with 215 00:11:43,360 --> 00:11:46,439 Speaker 5: the exception of short fixed income positioning. But this month 216 00:11:46,960 --> 00:11:51,840 Speaker 5: we have seen several synchronous sell off periods for some 217 00:11:51,920 --> 00:11:55,320 Speaker 5: of the prevailing trends, and we've seen some consistent risk 218 00:11:55,400 --> 00:11:59,440 Speaker 5: off days, meaning that people are running to bonds when 219 00:11:59,559 --> 00:12:02,079 Speaker 5: things are looking bad. And I think this is an 220 00:12:02,080 --> 00:12:05,760 Speaker 5: indication that they're actually starting to get concerned about some 221 00:12:05,800 --> 00:12:09,360 Speaker 5: of the weaker data, particularly on the economic side. And 222 00:12:09,400 --> 00:12:12,880 Speaker 5: so to me, it feels like sentiment has shifted some 223 00:12:14,000 --> 00:12:16,600 Speaker 5: in the markets and the signals are adjusting to that. 224 00:12:17,679 --> 00:12:20,839 Speaker 4: So in the fixing can market, Katie, do you want 225 00:12:20,880 --> 00:12:23,760 Speaker 4: to just I don't know, sitting it to your treasury 226 00:12:23,760 --> 00:12:25,760 Speaker 4: you can get close to five percent yield? Or do 227 00:12:25,760 --> 00:12:27,320 Speaker 4: you want to take some credit risk on here? And 228 00:12:27,320 --> 00:12:28,240 Speaker 4: if so where? 229 00:12:29,559 --> 00:12:30,680 Speaker 6: Oh, that's a good question. 230 00:12:30,840 --> 00:12:33,000 Speaker 5: I mean, I think a lot of in terms of 231 00:12:33,040 --> 00:12:36,199 Speaker 5: the credit space is not something we are focused on. 232 00:12:36,320 --> 00:12:39,120 Speaker 5: But what you have seen is that you know there 233 00:12:39,200 --> 00:12:42,760 Speaker 5: is this trade off between locking in that higher yield 234 00:12:43,040 --> 00:12:45,439 Speaker 5: if you do think that rates are going to come down. 235 00:12:45,840 --> 00:12:48,720 Speaker 5: So I think a lot of investors are also considering that, like, 236 00:12:48,960 --> 00:12:51,360 Speaker 5: could this be the moment if things do calm down? 237 00:12:52,200 --> 00:12:54,960 Speaker 5: And so if you're seeing a significant enough spread in 238 00:12:55,000 --> 00:12:59,199 Speaker 5: a credit product, that may make sense. But of course 239 00:12:59,240 --> 00:13:02,680 Speaker 5: there's always issue that if we do actually see a 240 00:13:02,760 --> 00:13:07,520 Speaker 5: longer time to get lower rates, their substantial volatility around 241 00:13:07,520 --> 00:13:09,120 Speaker 5: the bond positioning in general. 242 00:13:09,200 --> 00:13:13,040 Speaker 2: Right now, should we go double honor? Sure? Okay, ladies 243 00:13:13,080 --> 00:13:17,040 Speaker 2: and gentlemen. For the first time ever on Bloomberg Surveillance, 244 00:13:17,480 --> 00:13:22,679 Speaker 2: Brownian motion in drift function with Katie Kaminski. Katie, I 245 00:13:22,880 --> 00:13:28,440 Speaker 2: look at bitdog and I can't find a legitimate time series. 246 00:13:28,760 --> 00:13:32,600 Speaker 2: This is Hamilton, folks, out of University California, San Diego. 247 00:13:33,280 --> 00:13:39,440 Speaker 2: It doesn't drift within a random sense like most time series. 248 00:13:40,040 --> 00:13:43,880 Speaker 2: Can you chart? Can you get actual time series motion 249 00:13:44,600 --> 00:13:46,960 Speaker 2: out of bitcoin? Well? 250 00:13:46,960 --> 00:13:50,040 Speaker 5: I mean I think so, because bitcoin just has way 251 00:13:50,080 --> 00:13:52,960 Speaker 5: more volatility. So I think you just got to have 252 00:13:53,000 --> 00:13:57,439 Speaker 5: a different input function to that drift process. And notoriously, 253 00:13:57,520 --> 00:14:00,960 Speaker 5: it's difficult to estimate the mean of a Brownian motion. 254 00:14:01,720 --> 00:14:03,319 Speaker 6: It's easier to estimate the ball. 255 00:14:03,840 --> 00:14:06,360 Speaker 5: So I'd say that, you know, you can definitely be 256 00:14:06,480 --> 00:14:08,680 Speaker 5: sure that you're going to have much higher volatility in 257 00:14:08,679 --> 00:14:11,240 Speaker 5: those type of assets, right, not to mention the fact 258 00:14:11,320 --> 00:14:14,320 Speaker 5: we don't have as much data that haven't been around exactly. 259 00:14:13,960 --> 00:14:18,400 Speaker 2: Is it maturing though? And on the Kaminsky Mit timeline, 260 00:14:18,720 --> 00:14:24,680 Speaker 2: when does bitcoin start to drift like Microsoft or Sweeney 261 00:14:24,800 --> 00:14:27,320 Speaker 2: algamated the metal company out in a Jersey. 262 00:14:28,400 --> 00:14:30,680 Speaker 6: Well, I think that's what you know. 263 00:14:30,760 --> 00:14:33,800 Speaker 5: Initially, people like to think that something is so different, 264 00:14:33,920 --> 00:14:36,480 Speaker 5: and it's not. It's different from everything else. And I 265 00:14:36,520 --> 00:14:40,040 Speaker 5: think that bitcoin has really shown as an asset. It's 266 00:14:40,120 --> 00:14:42,960 Speaker 5: just a highly volatile asset, but it does have drift 267 00:14:43,200 --> 00:14:46,320 Speaker 5: and it does behave in some sense less like a 268 00:14:46,760 --> 00:14:50,080 Speaker 5: you know, risk off asset, less uncorrelated to stock markets 269 00:14:50,160 --> 00:14:52,840 Speaker 5: than anything else. So people thought, oh, this is totally different. 270 00:14:53,120 --> 00:14:56,120 Speaker 5: It's an uncorrelated process. But it actually does have a 271 00:14:56,120 --> 00:14:58,920 Speaker 5: lot of inputs to people's demand because who's buying it, 272 00:14:59,080 --> 00:15:01,160 Speaker 5: people buy it, Therefore. 273 00:15:00,840 --> 00:15:03,440 Speaker 6: It's still connected to the general economy. 274 00:15:03,640 --> 00:15:05,440 Speaker 4: Was this too much for Friday? 275 00:15:06,480 --> 00:15:09,400 Speaker 2: Katie commits can go away with Alpha Simplex. There are 276 00:15:09,400 --> 00:15:12,160 Speaker 2: Brownie in Motion and bit Dog. I love that I mean, 277 00:15:12,240 --> 00:15:15,840 Speaker 2: we're gon frame that right right there, Katie commitsy just 278 00:15:15,880 --> 00:15:31,360 Speaker 2: truly outstanding. This is a wonderful conversation now and we pause, 279 00:15:31,440 --> 00:15:33,680 Speaker 2: and I'm going to do my annual lecture. It's summer. 280 00:15:35,040 --> 00:15:37,800 Speaker 2: You have kids at home, they're in high school, they're bored. 281 00:15:38,400 --> 00:15:42,160 Speaker 2: They're in college, they're bored. They're out of college, they're bored. 282 00:15:42,720 --> 00:15:48,600 Speaker 2: You start screaming Daniel Kurt's Falin, Daniel Kurtz Fhalin, and 283 00:15:48,680 --> 00:15:52,520 Speaker 2: you throw a subscription to Foreign Affairs Magazine at them 284 00:15:52,920 --> 00:15:55,200 Speaker 2: and say they don't get lunch money for the next 285 00:15:55,240 --> 00:15:59,400 Speaker 2: Gen and Tonic until they read two articles joining us 286 00:15:59,440 --> 00:16:02,720 Speaker 2: from foreign fairs. Always might read it the summer, Daniel 287 00:16:02,800 --> 00:16:07,920 Speaker 2: Kurtz Phalen, Daniel, congratulations on the issue, and you brilliantly 288 00:16:08,040 --> 00:16:14,080 Speaker 2: frame out Biden and Trump foreign policy with Ben Rhodes 289 00:16:14,280 --> 00:16:18,400 Speaker 2: In O'Brien of the Trump administration. Tell me the distance 290 00:16:18,560 --> 00:16:20,040 Speaker 2: between those two articles. 291 00:16:21,240 --> 00:16:23,720 Speaker 7: Yeah, thanks Tom. First of all, for the new the 292 00:16:23,720 --> 00:16:26,160 Speaker 7: new marketing pitch. I'll send it over to our business. 293 00:16:26,400 --> 00:16:27,200 Speaker 7: See what they think. 294 00:16:28,720 --> 00:16:28,960 Speaker 2: I mean. 295 00:16:28,960 --> 00:16:30,640 Speaker 7: I think that there are a lot of fascinating things 296 00:16:30,640 --> 00:16:32,560 Speaker 7: as you read through these two articles you have I 297 00:16:32,600 --> 00:16:35,240 Speaker 7: think Robert O'Brien, who is the last national advisor in 298 00:16:35,280 --> 00:16:38,240 Speaker 7: the Trump administration, laying out probably in more detail and 299 00:16:38,320 --> 00:16:41,760 Speaker 7: more specificity than we've seen from anyone in the Trump camp, 300 00:16:41,800 --> 00:16:44,200 Speaker 7: what a second Trump term would do. And then Ben Rhodes, 301 00:16:44,200 --> 00:16:48,320 Speaker 7: who was one of the most senior foreign policy advisors Obama, 302 00:16:48,920 --> 00:16:51,360 Speaker 7: kind of laying out I think a slight difference from 303 00:16:51,360 --> 00:16:54,400 Speaker 7: the Biden administration, but you know, broadly sympathetic to the immigration. 304 00:16:54,960 --> 00:16:57,240 Speaker 7: And what's kind of fascinating about both of them is 305 00:16:57,280 --> 00:17:01,600 Speaker 7: they both are kind of reacting to a sense of 306 00:17:01,680 --> 00:17:05,159 Speaker 7: failures of American foreign policy and proceeding decades that they 307 00:17:05,200 --> 00:17:08,399 Speaker 7: go in slightly different directions. Brian, you know some of 308 00:17:08,440 --> 00:17:10,919 Speaker 7: the hawkish impulses that you get from Trump at a 309 00:17:11,000 --> 00:17:13,600 Speaker 7: very very high level, you know, in a kind of 310 00:17:14,040 --> 00:17:17,159 Speaker 7: very abstract way in some sense, with a lot of specificity. 311 00:17:17,240 --> 00:17:20,359 Speaker 7: So he talks about going back to testing nuclear weapons, 312 00:17:20,400 --> 00:17:24,440 Speaker 7: something we haven't done actively in a long time, fold 313 00:17:24,480 --> 00:17:29,120 Speaker 7: decoupling with China and really ramping up pressure there. 314 00:17:30,440 --> 00:17:33,600 Speaker 2: That's where I wanted to go. Daniel, your claim is 315 00:17:33,960 --> 00:17:38,119 Speaker 2: still will Onto Marshall in our distance from China, and 316 00:17:38,160 --> 00:17:42,120 Speaker 2: I'm going to say nineteen forty eight nothing's changed, right, 317 00:17:42,200 --> 00:17:46,400 Speaker 2: these two candidates really want a distance from China, right. 318 00:17:47,840 --> 00:17:50,280 Speaker 7: That's exactly right. And just to flag one other thing 319 00:17:50,280 --> 00:17:52,159 Speaker 7: in the issue. You know, Tom, we had talked in 320 00:17:52,160 --> 00:17:55,000 Speaker 7: the past about and Escay. We ran by Matt Pottinger, 321 00:17:55,040 --> 00:17:58,040 Speaker 7: who was the kind of chief Chinahan in the Trump administration, 322 00:17:58,160 --> 00:18:03,320 Speaker 7: and Matt Gallagher, former Republican congressman who ran the China Subcommittee, 323 00:18:03,480 --> 00:18:06,600 Speaker 7: laying out a really hardline policy, hardline strategy against China 324 00:18:06,600 --> 00:18:10,720 Speaker 7: that included call for really weakening the Chinese Communist Party. 325 00:18:10,920 --> 00:18:13,880 Speaker 7: They it's regime change has become a dirty word because 326 00:18:13,920 --> 00:18:16,280 Speaker 7: of its association with the Rock and American foreign policy, 327 00:18:16,320 --> 00:18:18,439 Speaker 7: but they call for trying to change the nature of 328 00:18:18,440 --> 00:18:21,520 Speaker 7: power in China. And there's an exchange between Pottinger and 329 00:18:21,560 --> 00:18:24,199 Speaker 7: Gallagher on the one hand, with rush Doshi, who just 330 00:18:24,320 --> 00:18:27,200 Speaker 7: left the Biden administration working on China policy. What's really 331 00:18:27,240 --> 00:18:29,679 Speaker 7: amazing is how much agreement there is. So they split 332 00:18:29,720 --> 00:18:33,600 Speaker 7: on that question of weakening the regime, but there's a 333 00:18:33,600 --> 00:18:36,080 Speaker 7: lot more agreement than disagreement, which I think reflects where 334 00:18:36,080 --> 00:18:37,159 Speaker 7: we are on the China debate. 335 00:18:38,080 --> 00:18:42,400 Speaker 4: Daniel, if you're President Biden, you're obviously an election year. 336 00:18:44,960 --> 00:18:47,959 Speaker 4: What are the to do list for President Biden here 337 00:18:47,960 --> 00:18:52,879 Speaker 4: in an election year. From a geopolitical perspective, You've got China, 338 00:18:52,920 --> 00:18:55,440 Speaker 4: You've got obviously the Middle East, and you've got Ukraine. 339 00:18:56,800 --> 00:18:58,320 Speaker 4: What's the strategy here, do you think? 340 00:18:58,920 --> 00:18:59,200 Speaker 2: Yeah? 341 00:18:59,240 --> 00:19:01,280 Speaker 7: I mean it's it's it's not a moment where you 342 00:19:01,440 --> 00:19:03,359 Speaker 7: envy people are kind of sitting in the in the 343 00:19:03,480 --> 00:19:06,240 Speaker 7: US government trying to manage these three crises. You know, 344 00:19:06,240 --> 00:19:09,840 Speaker 7: I think what they're trying to do on China, which 345 00:19:10,000 --> 00:19:12,159 Speaker 7: you know, remains, as we've talked about in the past, 346 00:19:12,320 --> 00:19:15,159 Speaker 7: the really the kind of framing the dominant issue for 347 00:19:15,200 --> 00:19:18,720 Speaker 7: American foreign policy, even in with with other crises and 348 00:19:18,760 --> 00:19:21,119 Speaker 7: hot wars going on. I think on China there's this 349 00:19:21,200 --> 00:19:24,280 Speaker 7: desire to just keep it as calm as possible for 350 00:19:25,040 --> 00:19:28,639 Speaker 7: UH through November. So Chi Jimpang and Joe Biden met 351 00:19:28,880 --> 00:19:32,880 Speaker 7: in San Francisco in California last last November, and it's 352 00:19:32,880 --> 00:19:35,520 Speaker 7: not that they settled any of the really deep fissures 353 00:19:35,520 --> 00:19:38,920 Speaker 7: and tensions in the relationship, but they did basically say, look, 354 00:19:39,000 --> 00:19:42,280 Speaker 7: let's let's let's clumb this right now. We both have 355 00:19:42,359 --> 00:19:44,480 Speaker 7: reasons for doing it. The Chinese economy, as you all know, 356 00:19:44,520 --> 00:19:47,560 Speaker 7: extremely well is in terrible shape, so there's a mutual 357 00:19:47,600 --> 00:19:50,560 Speaker 7: interest in not stirring the pot too much at this moment. 358 00:19:50,600 --> 00:19:53,679 Speaker 7: But it doesn't really solve any of the basic issues. 359 00:19:53,680 --> 00:19:56,000 Speaker 7: So I think Biden would like to keep that at 360 00:19:56,040 --> 00:20:00,520 Speaker 7: a low boil even as he finds some way to 361 00:20:00,160 --> 00:20:03,199 Speaker 7: to get through what are still these kind of you know, 362 00:20:03,320 --> 00:20:06,200 Speaker 7: frozen terrible status quos in both Gaza and Ukraine. So 363 00:20:06,520 --> 00:20:09,439 Speaker 7: the Hail Mary and Gaza is of course a Saudi 364 00:20:09,520 --> 00:20:14,040 Speaker 7: normalization deal. They're still pursuing really aggressively, which you know 365 00:20:14,520 --> 00:20:16,520 Speaker 7: what the odds of that are. It's really hard to say. 366 00:20:16,520 --> 00:20:18,840 Speaker 7: It seems like seems like a long shot to me, 367 00:20:19,080 --> 00:20:23,359 Speaker 7: but it would really be transformative, similar in Ukraine, hoping 368 00:20:23,359 --> 00:20:26,320 Speaker 7: that the battlefield shifts a bit and things don't look 369 00:20:26,400 --> 00:20:27,560 Speaker 7: quite as grim as they do right now. 370 00:20:27,600 --> 00:20:29,560 Speaker 2: I got to leave it there, Daniel Chris Fahn, thank 371 00:20:29,600 --> 00:20:32,040 Speaker 2: you so much. With foreigners affairs, I can't say enough 372 00:20:32,040 --> 00:20:44,399 Speaker 2: about it. From school, Lisa, what do you have? 373 00:20:44,720 --> 00:20:45,040 Speaker 3: All right? 374 00:20:45,080 --> 00:20:47,720 Speaker 1: We wh are we talking about? Missing out on that? 375 00:20:47,960 --> 00:20:51,320 Speaker 1: Nvidios stock right? The big Yeah? Tom So SoftBank CEO 376 00:20:51,600 --> 00:20:53,920 Speaker 1: Masi Yoshi's son. He's known for some of the most 377 00:20:53,960 --> 00:20:58,560 Speaker 1: successful investments in technology history. But he made that mistake. Okay. 378 00:20:58,640 --> 00:21:01,240 Speaker 1: At the company's shareholder meeting, he talked about missing out 379 00:21:01,240 --> 00:21:04,440 Speaker 1: on one hundred and fifty billion dollars after selling in 380 00:21:04,560 --> 00:21:08,600 Speaker 1: video shares in twenty nineteen. Okay, so you have the breakdown. 381 00:21:08,640 --> 00:21:11,200 Speaker 1: It was SoftBank's Vision Fund. They sold an entire four 382 00:21:11,200 --> 00:21:14,000 Speaker 1: point nine steak in Nvidia. They booked a three point 383 00:21:14,040 --> 00:21:16,159 Speaker 1: three billion return on the investment, so it seemed like 384 00:21:16,200 --> 00:21:18,919 Speaker 1: a good thing because they spent about seven hundred million 385 00:21:18,960 --> 00:21:21,399 Speaker 1: for the steak. But if he had held on to 386 00:21:21,520 --> 00:21:23,920 Speaker 1: that in Vidia steak, it would be worth around one 387 00:21:23,960 --> 00:21:26,480 Speaker 1: hundred and sixty billion dollars today. 388 00:21:27,320 --> 00:21:31,200 Speaker 2: There will be a biography Linel Barber, who wrote the 389 00:21:31,320 --> 00:21:35,520 Speaker 2: ft for years. Lionel Barber out with a one volume. 390 00:21:35,560 --> 00:21:37,760 Speaker 2: I think it's the beginning of the year Gambling Man, 391 00:21:37,840 --> 00:21:43,760 Speaker 2: The Secret Story of Masa yoshiks Son. I don't have 392 00:21:43,800 --> 00:21:45,280 Speaker 2: a really informed opinion. 393 00:21:46,600 --> 00:21:49,840 Speaker 4: There's some big winners and some big losers. 394 00:21:50,960 --> 00:21:53,240 Speaker 1: You nailed that a big steak and arm and Alibaba, 395 00:21:53,320 --> 00:21:57,399 Speaker 1: so that's not too bad. O. What else you missed? 396 00:21:57,400 --> 00:21:57,760 Speaker 1: The train? 397 00:21:58,640 --> 00:21:58,960 Speaker 6: Okay? 398 00:21:59,119 --> 00:22:03,040 Speaker 1: Taylor Swifty on me has landed in Europe. Tom, Yes, 399 00:22:03,320 --> 00:22:06,480 Speaker 1: the European summer tours kicked off today. Actually she's performed 400 00:22:06,480 --> 00:22:09,400 Speaker 1: the first of eight shows at London, London's Wembley Stadium. 401 00:22:09,760 --> 00:22:11,880 Speaker 4: Seven hundred thousand shows at Wembley. 402 00:22:12,880 --> 00:22:17,000 Speaker 1: Seven hundred thousand people expected to see that show all Americans. 403 00:22:17,040 --> 00:22:19,919 Speaker 1: So that's the thing. A lot of Americans flying in, 404 00:22:20,160 --> 00:22:25,879 Speaker 1: spending money, airport, hotels, restaurants, you name it, spending money 405 00:22:25,920 --> 00:22:26,800 Speaker 1: down there, all right. 406 00:22:26,880 --> 00:22:30,120 Speaker 2: So there's a photo there, Amma's sitting next to Stephanie 407 00:22:30,200 --> 00:22:34,320 Speaker 2: rule of MSN. What you know, lizz Ane Saunders is 408 00:22:34,359 --> 00:22:36,879 Speaker 2: like three rows over come on continue. 409 00:22:37,040 --> 00:22:39,560 Speaker 1: But they're saying you put a straight on inflation because 410 00:22:39,680 --> 00:22:42,639 Speaker 1: when she comes in, everybody raises the prices, you know, 411 00:22:42,760 --> 00:22:45,120 Speaker 1: and for the hotel, for the restaurants. 412 00:22:44,720 --> 00:22:48,560 Speaker 2: Everything, so economic input has got to be just extraordinary. 413 00:22:48,720 --> 00:22:50,200 Speaker 6: Keeps going, it keeps going. 414 00:22:50,320 --> 00:22:52,480 Speaker 4: It is just I haven't seen anything like it again. 415 00:22:52,520 --> 00:22:55,280 Speaker 4: It feels tom and I'll confer to you it feels like Beatlemania, 416 00:22:55,440 --> 00:22:58,080 Speaker 4: just that whole I haven't felt anything or said anything 417 00:22:58,119 --> 00:22:59,119 Speaker 4: like since Beetlemania. 418 00:22:59,640 --> 00:23:03,320 Speaker 2: I'll go that. I will say. There's a lot of 419 00:23:03,400 --> 00:23:06,119 Speaker 2: talk about she's put out too much product and the 420 00:23:06,200 --> 00:23:09,879 Speaker 2: new album just is not the magic that we saw 421 00:23:10,440 --> 00:23:14,320 Speaker 2: with Antonov in the National in the pandemic, and you 422 00:23:14,359 --> 00:23:16,919 Speaker 2: know there's an eb and flow that happens to any artist, right, 423 00:23:16,960 --> 00:23:19,520 Speaker 2: and I'm gonna cut her some major slack on that. 424 00:23:19,680 --> 00:23:21,800 Speaker 2: But who's the Is there an opening act? 425 00:23:22,080 --> 00:23:22,800 Speaker 1: That's a good question. 426 00:23:23,680 --> 00:23:26,040 Speaker 6: Yeah, that would be a good gig. 427 00:23:27,520 --> 00:23:33,080 Speaker 1: That's getting you some Okay, this one, Okay. It turns 428 00:23:33,119 --> 00:23:36,000 Speaker 1: out men aren't the only one to benefit from viagara. 429 00:23:36,040 --> 00:23:39,160 Speaker 1: A lot of doctors prescribing it for women. Okay, this 430 00:23:39,240 --> 00:23:43,920 Speaker 1: is in the New York Times. I'm treading very carefully here, okay. 431 00:23:44,280 --> 00:23:47,200 Speaker 1: But there's a lot of research. It shows how the 432 00:23:47,320 --> 00:23:50,879 Speaker 1: drugs affect female arousal. It's limited, there's not much research 433 00:23:50,920 --> 00:23:53,840 Speaker 1: on it, okay, but the doctor's been prescribing these pills 434 00:23:54,119 --> 00:23:57,600 Speaker 1: and creams anyway. Telehealth companies are coming out with them, 435 00:23:57,800 --> 00:24:01,359 Speaker 1: pharmaceutical companies looking for FDA approval for different kinds to 436 00:24:01,520 --> 00:24:05,840 Speaker 1: market specifically to women. Is it worth it though? Okay, 437 00:24:05,880 --> 00:24:08,440 Speaker 1: So the experts are saying stick with me here. Physical 438 00:24:08,440 --> 00:24:11,560 Speaker 1: arousing women similar to a rectal did function because it 439 00:24:11,560 --> 00:24:14,199 Speaker 1: has to do with blood flow. Okay, that's where that's 440 00:24:14,240 --> 00:24:17,000 Speaker 1: as far as I'm going. But it's not a solution 441 00:24:17,119 --> 00:24:20,040 Speaker 1: for everybody there it is. It's out there. Study show 442 00:24:20,080 --> 00:24:23,000 Speaker 1: mixed results either way. The doctors are prescribing it for women. 443 00:24:23,040 --> 00:24:26,320 Speaker 1: Why not there, I'm telling the New York Times. 444 00:24:26,359 --> 00:24:26,840 Speaker 6: Has it there? 445 00:24:26,920 --> 00:24:29,800 Speaker 1: All right, we'll go with it. 446 00:24:29,800 --> 00:24:32,119 Speaker 4: It's different men, why not borderline? 447 00:24:32,320 --> 00:24:35,399 Speaker 2: I don't know if you can say all that, but 448 00:24:35,480 --> 00:24:35,840 Speaker 2: we did. 449 00:24:36,240 --> 00:24:39,080 Speaker 1: There you go, okay, since we're heating things up, all right. 450 00:24:39,119 --> 00:24:42,600 Speaker 1: So finally the new Bugatti. It's the hybrid. It has 451 00:24:42,640 --> 00:24:47,240 Speaker 1: a powerful price tag four point one million dollars. Yes, 452 00:24:47,359 --> 00:24:50,600 Speaker 1: it is called the turboullon. Okay, because it is the 453 00:24:50,640 --> 00:24:52,080 Speaker 1: French word for whirlwind. 454 00:24:53,040 --> 00:24:53,879 Speaker 6: You get a lot with it. 455 00:24:53,920 --> 00:24:57,080 Speaker 1: You get the V sixteen powertrain, two electric motors, one 456 00:24:57,080 --> 00:25:00,000 Speaker 1: on the front, one by the real axle, eighteen hundred 457 00:25:00,160 --> 00:25:03,600 Speaker 1: horsepower hybrid power plant, speeds of two hundred and seventy 458 00:25:03,680 --> 00:25:06,359 Speaker 1: six miles per hour. You have to check it on 459 00:25:06,400 --> 00:25:10,240 Speaker 1: the terminal. It's a great article. The pictures are amazing. 460 00:25:10,920 --> 00:25:12,639 Speaker 4: What I mean, Matt Miller's gonna pull up one of 461 00:25:12,640 --> 00:25:14,439 Speaker 4: those any day now, I do totally. 462 00:25:14,480 --> 00:25:17,239 Speaker 2: I mean, Katie Kaminski's getting ready to come on here, 463 00:25:17,280 --> 00:25:20,040 Speaker 2: and she's setting up you're talking about the Dan Bagotti. 464 00:25:20,440 --> 00:25:24,119 Speaker 2: She's such a hitter. She's taking notes. She's gonna be 465 00:25:24,160 --> 00:25:26,640 Speaker 2: down at the local Bugatti dealer in Cambridge Banks. 466 00:25:27,080 --> 00:25:30,600 Speaker 1: It looks it looks like and here here's the best 467 00:25:30,600 --> 00:25:33,440 Speaker 1: part about it. It has this screen that pops out 468 00:25:33,440 --> 00:25:35,680 Speaker 1: of the center. And guess what that screen has on it? 469 00:25:36,000 --> 00:25:36,879 Speaker 1: Apple car Play? 470 00:25:37,920 --> 00:25:40,960 Speaker 2: Are you kidding? Apple car plays into Bagotti. We love 471 00:25:41,040 --> 00:25:43,679 Speaker 2: the Bagatti. Yeah. All I can say, folks that we 472 00:25:43,720 --> 00:25:47,560 Speaker 2: get the numbers. We are humbled worldwide by what Apple 473 00:25:47,640 --> 00:25:50,399 Speaker 2: car Play has done. She's no question about it. Is 474 00:25:50,400 --> 00:25:52,439 Speaker 2: that the last one? Or would you like to go 475 00:25:52,560 --> 00:25:53,600 Speaker 2: back to medicine? 476 00:25:53,840 --> 00:25:54,199 Speaker 1: No? 477 00:25:54,200 --> 00:25:54,440 Speaker 5: No. 478 00:25:54,800 --> 00:25:58,000 Speaker 2: This is a Bloomberg Surveillance podcast, bringing you the best 479 00:25:58,000 --> 00:26:02,720 Speaker 2: in economics, finance, invest and international relations. You can also 480 00:26:02,840 --> 00:26:06,879 Speaker 2: watch the show live on YouTube. Visit the Bloomberg Podcast 481 00:26:07,000 --> 00:26:11,040 Speaker 2: channel on YouTube to see the show weekday mornings from 482 00:26:11,080 --> 00:26:14,320 Speaker 2: seven to ten am Eastern from our global headquarters in 483 00:26:14,440 --> 00:26:18,119 Speaker 2: New York City. Subscribe to the podcast on Apple, Spotify, 484 00:26:18,480 --> 00:26:22,040 Speaker 2: or anywhere else you listen, and always on Bloomberg Radio, 485 00:26:22,200 --> 00:26:25,399 Speaker 2: the Bloomberg Terminal, and the Bloomberg Business App.