1 00:00:01,000 --> 00:00:04,120 Speaker 1: Welcome back, everybody. It's a college football show on Betting Pros. 2 00:00:04,160 --> 00:00:06,360 Speaker 1: I'm your host, Scott Bagman. Follow me on the Twitter 3 00:00:06,680 --> 00:00:11,039 Speaker 1: at Bogman Sports. I'm joined like always by Thor nice 4 00:00:11,080 --> 00:00:13,360 Speaker 1: from at thor K. You on Twitter at Mike Farrell 5 00:00:13,440 --> 00:00:16,680 Speaker 1: at m Farrell Sports to ours two l's on the 6 00:00:16,720 --> 00:00:19,720 Speaker 1: Twitter machine. Today we're gonna be talking about a very 7 00:00:19,840 --> 00:00:23,640 Speaker 1: very fun Week three, I think for matchups for betting. 8 00:00:23,680 --> 00:00:25,880 Speaker 1: I feel like week three is fun for matchups. Week 9 00:00:25,920 --> 00:00:28,760 Speaker 1: four is more fun. But we will get to week 10 00:00:28,800 --> 00:00:33,400 Speaker 1: four in week four. Gentlemen, how was your How was 11 00:00:33,440 --> 00:00:34,000 Speaker 1: your week two? 12 00:00:34,000 --> 00:00:34,240 Speaker 2: Thor? 13 00:00:34,320 --> 00:00:35,199 Speaker 1: How did it go for you? 14 00:00:36,600 --> 00:00:38,600 Speaker 3: I don't know that I'll have a better betting week 15 00:00:38,680 --> 00:00:40,920 Speaker 3: than I did in week two? All right, so I 16 00:00:41,159 --> 00:00:43,319 Speaker 3: want to tell everyone out there don't expect that every week. 17 00:00:43,400 --> 00:00:46,400 Speaker 3: But yeah, we we made some money this past weekend. 18 00:00:46,400 --> 00:00:48,680 Speaker 3: We cash from teg it, so it was a good weekend. 19 00:00:49,040 --> 00:00:52,040 Speaker 1: Look at that big old smile for Thor two. Farrell, 20 00:00:52,120 --> 00:00:53,400 Speaker 1: how how did week two treat you? 21 00:00:54,080 --> 00:00:55,760 Speaker 2: I didn't do as well as Thor, but I think 22 00:00:55,760 --> 00:00:59,120 Speaker 2: it did pretty good. He was on fire, I mean 23 00:00:59,120 --> 00:01:01,440 Speaker 2: any we read on a lot of stuff, which was 24 00:01:01,520 --> 00:01:04,120 Speaker 2: lucky for me as he was hot, and I didn't 25 00:01:04,120 --> 00:01:06,160 Speaker 2: know even how. We usually disagree on a lot of stuff, 26 00:01:06,160 --> 00:01:08,240 Speaker 2: but we agreed on a lot of different things last week, 27 00:01:08,280 --> 00:01:10,800 Speaker 2: and you know, I just sort of rode the coat tails. 28 00:01:11,520 --> 00:01:14,480 Speaker 1: Hey it makes you nervous when you are agreeing that much, 29 00:01:14,520 --> 00:01:17,240 Speaker 1: but hey, when it works, it works, and ride the 30 00:01:17,280 --> 00:01:20,479 Speaker 1: tails won't win. They're hot. So we're going to get 31 00:01:20,480 --> 00:01:22,440 Speaker 1: into week two, and just one second, I just got 32 00:01:22,440 --> 00:01:25,000 Speaker 1: to tell you guys right now, college football fans, are 33 00:01:25,040 --> 00:01:26,920 Speaker 1: you ready to put your betting skills to the test. 34 00:01:26,959 --> 00:01:29,920 Speaker 1: Join the Betting Pros College Football Podcast betting group. Make 35 00:01:29,959 --> 00:01:32,080 Speaker 1: your picks all season long, and if you are among 36 00:01:32,120 --> 00:01:35,399 Speaker 1: the top ROI performers, you could win big prizes include 37 00:01:35,480 --> 00:01:39,160 Speaker 1: at Garrett Wilson Ohio State signed jersey, and premium subscriptions 38 00:01:39,160 --> 00:01:41,319 Speaker 1: to Fantasy Pros and Betting Pros. Just make at least 39 00:01:41,360 --> 00:01:43,920 Speaker 1: one hundred picks through the season of qualify. Join now 40 00:01:43,920 --> 00:01:47,200 Speaker 1: at Bettingpros dot com, Sauce College, or in the Betting 41 00:01:47,200 --> 00:01:51,040 Speaker 1: Pros app under the College Football podcast group. May the 42 00:01:51,040 --> 00:01:54,560 Speaker 1: best better win. All right, boys, let's get in to 43 00:01:54,720 --> 00:01:56,760 Speaker 1: the week too, Slate. We're going to start at number 44 00:01:56,800 --> 00:02:00,840 Speaker 1: fourteen lsu A nine point road favorite at Mississippi State. 45 00:02:01,040 --> 00:02:03,640 Speaker 1: Fifty three and a half is a total here door. 46 00:02:04,080 --> 00:02:08,040 Speaker 1: We saw LSU struggle with Florida State, still a good team. 47 00:02:08,040 --> 00:02:11,960 Speaker 1: Mississippi State had some issues with Arizona last week. How 48 00:02:11,960 --> 00:02:13,079 Speaker 1: do you see this game playing out? 49 00:02:13,320 --> 00:02:15,639 Speaker 3: Yeah, with Missippi State. I just need to see them 50 00:02:15,680 --> 00:02:19,320 Speaker 3: more before I can trust them or trust my read 51 00:02:19,440 --> 00:02:22,440 Speaker 3: to fade them. You know, sort of a thing. Obviously, 52 00:02:22,560 --> 00:02:24,880 Speaker 3: you go from the Mike Leach air raid to what 53 00:02:25,040 --> 00:02:29,560 Speaker 3: is now the former Appalachian State offensive schema, where it's 54 00:02:29,600 --> 00:02:32,760 Speaker 3: more of the ground and pound thing. And like you said, 55 00:02:32,840 --> 00:02:35,720 Speaker 3: they struggled to put away Arizona. I think Arizona better 56 00:02:35,720 --> 00:02:38,280 Speaker 3: than the public does, but they needed over time to 57 00:02:38,320 --> 00:02:41,440 Speaker 3: get rid of them. This is a weird game, though, 58 00:02:41,520 --> 00:02:44,000 Speaker 3: and a very interesting one. One I'm going to be 59 00:02:44,000 --> 00:02:48,240 Speaker 3: watching for educational purposes because I'll tell you I don't 60 00:02:48,240 --> 00:02:49,800 Speaker 3: think you can lay nine and a half points with 61 00:02:49,919 --> 00:02:52,320 Speaker 3: LSU in this spot, certainly not ten or above that. 62 00:02:53,560 --> 00:02:56,560 Speaker 3: My line on this game is LSU minus seven point 63 00:02:56,639 --> 00:02:59,799 Speaker 3: two points. This line should be LSU minus a touchdown. 64 00:03:00,120 --> 00:03:02,400 Speaker 3: You're gonna have to pay that bit of inflation because 65 00:03:02,480 --> 00:03:05,519 Speaker 3: everyone's just as trepidacious about Missisby State as I am, 66 00:03:05,919 --> 00:03:08,600 Speaker 3: but LSU on the road laying that many points against 67 00:03:08,760 --> 00:03:11,480 Speaker 3: an underdog that could be live here, I just don't 68 00:03:11,480 --> 00:03:14,200 Speaker 3: think you can do it. Despite my bullishness on LSU, 69 00:03:14,320 --> 00:03:16,520 Speaker 3: and I'm a little bit out on Missisby State, but 70 00:03:16,919 --> 00:03:18,960 Speaker 3: I just need more data before I be able to, 71 00:03:19,040 --> 00:03:20,399 Speaker 3: you know, to go the other way in a game 72 00:03:20,480 --> 00:03:20,680 Speaker 3: like this. 73 00:03:21,680 --> 00:03:25,040 Speaker 1: Farrell, you're rocking some LSU colors today. Does that mean 74 00:03:25,280 --> 00:03:27,800 Speaker 1: you're gonna be on the LSU side or is this one? 75 00:03:28,400 --> 00:03:30,640 Speaker 1: I can't figure this game out, so I'll just pass 76 00:03:30,680 --> 00:03:31,519 Speaker 1: it to you. 77 00:03:31,520 --> 00:03:34,560 Speaker 2: You know, I don't really have a sample size of LSU. 78 00:03:34,800 --> 00:03:37,800 Speaker 2: You know they were highly ranked, of course that they 79 00:03:37,840 --> 00:03:39,640 Speaker 2: fell apart in the second happening in Florida State. I 80 00:03:39,680 --> 00:03:41,000 Speaker 2: don't know if this is a good team or a 81 00:03:41,000 --> 00:03:42,360 Speaker 2: bad team. I don't know if there's a well coached 82 00:03:42,360 --> 00:03:44,920 Speaker 2: football team. It just doesn't seem to be. I'm not 83 00:03:45,360 --> 00:03:47,920 Speaker 2: I'm not laying that many points on the road. I 84 00:03:47,960 --> 00:03:50,880 Speaker 2: think the cow Bells are gonna at least cover. I 85 00:03:50,880 --> 00:03:54,160 Speaker 2: think this is this seventy point game, six point game, 86 00:03:54,240 --> 00:03:57,080 Speaker 2: something like that. So I don't trust LSU. I don't 87 00:03:57,120 --> 00:04:00,320 Speaker 2: like Mississippi State. They got lucky last week. They're not 88 00:04:00,360 --> 00:04:02,480 Speaker 2: a great football team, and they're making a lot of changes, 89 00:04:02,680 --> 00:04:08,080 Speaker 2: as Thor mentioned. But no, he can not lay nine 90 00:04:08,080 --> 00:04:11,160 Speaker 2: and a half or nine if you get that number 91 00:04:11,520 --> 00:04:13,360 Speaker 2: on the road and start to all with a team 92 00:04:13,440 --> 00:04:15,200 Speaker 2: if you she can't trust right now? Who fell ap 93 00:04:15,200 --> 00:04:16,200 Speaker 2: part against Florida State. 94 00:04:17,360 --> 00:04:20,560 Speaker 1: All right, let's go over to Florida State, the aforementioned 95 00:04:20,640 --> 00:04:25,160 Speaker 1: number three, twenty five and a half point road favorites 96 00:04:25,440 --> 00:04:27,880 Speaker 1: on the road against Boston College. The total is forty 97 00:04:28,000 --> 00:04:33,040 Speaker 1: nine in this game, most tickets over ninety percent tickets 98 00:04:33,080 --> 00:04:36,280 Speaker 1: and cash. Almost all the cash is on Florida State. Here, 99 00:04:36,560 --> 00:04:39,240 Speaker 1: what we've seen from them so far, Thwar is a 100 00:04:39,360 --> 00:04:42,760 Speaker 1: national title contender and their rank number three for a reason. 101 00:04:42,800 --> 00:04:46,840 Speaker 1: They look awesome. Boston College kind of the opposite, is 102 00:04:47,000 --> 00:04:51,000 Speaker 1: this too much to lay on the road for a 103 00:04:51,040 --> 00:04:53,680 Speaker 1: team that looks like a national title contender because the 104 00:04:53,680 --> 00:04:57,160 Speaker 1: money and the tickets are on Florida State and Florida 105 00:04:57,160 --> 00:04:59,679 Speaker 1: State probably putting up the majority of this total as well. 106 00:05:00,440 --> 00:05:03,520 Speaker 3: Objectively, No, my line on this game is Florida State 107 00:05:03,560 --> 00:05:07,279 Speaker 3: minus thirty point six points. Whether they covered that or 108 00:05:07,320 --> 00:05:09,440 Speaker 3: you know, whether they cover the you know, under the 109 00:05:09,480 --> 00:05:13,280 Speaker 3: four touchdown thing. It's all their prerogative. Florida State can 110 00:05:13,360 --> 00:05:16,560 Speaker 3: name the score here, just on a town basis. I 111 00:05:16,680 --> 00:05:19,320 Speaker 3: was more bullish on the Boston College team coming into 112 00:05:19,360 --> 00:05:21,520 Speaker 3: the season than I should have been. You know, last 113 00:05:21,560 --> 00:05:24,599 Speaker 3: year they had the sort of hand of God fluke 114 00:05:24,800 --> 00:05:28,320 Speaker 3: cluster injuries on the offensive line where they just couldn't 115 00:05:28,320 --> 00:05:30,560 Speaker 3: field an offense after that, and then of course Jerakoevec 116 00:05:30,600 --> 00:05:33,039 Speaker 3: got hurt and everything, and I figure, with all the 117 00:05:33,040 --> 00:05:36,440 Speaker 3: offensive lineman coming back, you get them all healthy. You know, 118 00:05:36,560 --> 00:05:38,880 Speaker 3: Jera Koebec is out, but I thought that was fine. Guys. 119 00:05:38,920 --> 00:05:41,400 Speaker 3: The last two years, it had screwed up their season 120 00:05:41,480 --> 00:05:43,920 Speaker 3: him getting hurt. I thought they were going to be better, 121 00:05:43,920 --> 00:05:46,600 Speaker 3: but they certainly haven't been. They lost at home in 122 00:05:46,640 --> 00:05:50,279 Speaker 3: the first game to NIU. NIU last week, lost to 123 00:05:50,279 --> 00:05:54,000 Speaker 3: an FCS team, Boston College last week barely got by 124 00:05:54,200 --> 00:05:56,800 Speaker 3: an FCS team, and Holy Cross. I don't like this 125 00:05:56,800 --> 00:05:59,320 Speaker 3: Boston College team at all. I definitely like Florida State. 126 00:05:59,400 --> 00:06:03,600 Speaker 3: And in the Southern Miss game, Mike Norvell and company 127 00:06:03,600 --> 00:06:06,000 Speaker 3: gave us some proof of concept that they might have 128 00:06:06,040 --> 00:06:07,839 Speaker 3: an idea what the spread is and they might still 129 00:06:07,880 --> 00:06:10,440 Speaker 3: be pushing things late late in the fourth quarter stuff 130 00:06:10,480 --> 00:06:12,760 Speaker 3: like that. So that's a data point that you know, 131 00:06:12,920 --> 00:06:16,119 Speaker 3: to potentially back up. You know what my data is showing, 132 00:06:16,120 --> 00:06:19,360 Speaker 3: which is this line is not big enough this one 133 00:06:19,360 --> 00:06:21,719 Speaker 3: for me to be Florida State or pass Pharaoh? 134 00:06:21,800 --> 00:06:24,160 Speaker 1: You agree? Is it all Florida State all the time? 135 00:06:24,240 --> 00:06:25,960 Speaker 1: Like the tickets and money says. 136 00:06:26,080 --> 00:06:28,720 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean BC stinks. I thought I thought they 137 00:06:28,720 --> 00:06:32,080 Speaker 2: we covered talent again toly Cross FCS team. I mean 138 00:06:32,200 --> 00:06:34,960 Speaker 2: they should, they should win by twenty. I mean, they're 139 00:06:34,960 --> 00:06:38,440 Speaker 2: just bigger, starter, faster. Holy Cross is a nice little 140 00:06:38,480 --> 00:06:43,159 Speaker 2: program in Massachusetts. They were honoring the great Billy McGovern, 141 00:06:43,200 --> 00:06:46,280 Speaker 2: the formerly ECLA coach, Boston College coach for a very 142 00:06:46,320 --> 00:06:50,480 Speaker 2: long time former holy Cross star. Maybe that helped holy Cross. 143 00:06:50,520 --> 00:06:53,080 Speaker 2: The BC loved the man as well. I thought they 144 00:06:53,120 --> 00:06:55,279 Speaker 2: would come out and play a little lower passion. They 145 00:06:55,360 --> 00:06:57,280 Speaker 2: barely won the football mean, but I lost to Northern 146 00:06:57,320 --> 00:07:00,560 Speaker 2: all Oni. They s think they're not good. Florida State 147 00:07:00,800 --> 00:07:03,800 Speaker 2: is going to roll them and roll them bad. I 148 00:07:03,839 --> 00:07:05,880 Speaker 2: can't see LBC stays within that number. 149 00:07:06,920 --> 00:07:09,120 Speaker 1: Yeah, it's going to be a tough week for Boston 150 00:07:09,160 --> 00:07:12,920 Speaker 1: College and just another notch in the belt. It seems 151 00:07:12,960 --> 00:07:15,559 Speaker 1: like for Florida State. Let's move over to number seven. 152 00:07:15,640 --> 00:07:18,640 Speaker 1: Penn State a fourteen and a half point road favorite 153 00:07:19,080 --> 00:07:21,640 Speaker 1: at Illinois forty eight and a half is a total 154 00:07:21,680 --> 00:07:25,920 Speaker 1: in this one. Another tickets and cash heavy on the 155 00:07:25,920 --> 00:07:29,960 Speaker 1: favorite here, or it's a road favorite again Illinois. You 156 00:07:29,960 --> 00:07:32,440 Speaker 1: know they're they're better than Boston College, but I would 157 00:07:32,520 --> 00:07:35,720 Speaker 1: not call them good. They got rolled by Kansas last week. 158 00:07:35,960 --> 00:07:37,080 Speaker 1: How do you see this one going? 159 00:07:37,480 --> 00:07:41,560 Speaker 3: Rock shock baby? My line in this game is Penn 160 00:07:41,560 --> 00:07:44,320 Speaker 3: State minus seventeen point two. I have a Penn State 161 00:07:44,360 --> 00:07:48,760 Speaker 3: minus fourteen ticket in pocket on this game. A couple 162 00:07:48,800 --> 00:07:50,840 Speaker 3: of different things. First of all, I don't like Illinois, 163 00:07:51,120 --> 00:07:53,920 Speaker 3: not impressed with them at all. They lost a historical 164 00:07:53,960 --> 00:07:56,920 Speaker 3: amount of talent in the offseason compared to any other 165 00:07:56,960 --> 00:08:00,120 Speaker 3: season in school history. You know, I mean Witherspoon and 166 00:08:00,520 --> 00:08:04,760 Speaker 3: the Brown Brothers just go on down the line, Kway, Martin, 167 00:08:05,360 --> 00:08:08,160 Speaker 3: on down the line. They lost a whole bunch. And 168 00:08:08,200 --> 00:08:10,760 Speaker 3: then you know, on the other side, I like Penn State. 169 00:08:11,000 --> 00:08:13,080 Speaker 3: I think more than the market. You know, over the summer, 170 00:08:13,120 --> 00:08:14,800 Speaker 3: I was saying, I think this could be the year 171 00:08:14,840 --> 00:08:17,760 Speaker 3: that they pass at least Ohio State, you know, and 172 00:08:17,880 --> 00:08:20,960 Speaker 3: what we've seen so far, it's that sort of born out, 173 00:08:21,000 --> 00:08:23,200 Speaker 3: you know, in the early going. But I would toss 174 00:08:23,240 --> 00:08:26,000 Speaker 3: out a couple other things for the sandy cap, not 175 00:08:26,280 --> 00:08:29,040 Speaker 3: just the quantifiable stuff on the field, but some stuff 176 00:08:29,080 --> 00:08:31,600 Speaker 3: maybe off the field and stuff like that that that 177 00:08:31,760 --> 00:08:34,600 Speaker 3: could point towards Penn State being the value that my 178 00:08:34,720 --> 00:08:37,400 Speaker 3: system also thinks. I'll make a couple of points here. 179 00:08:37,440 --> 00:08:40,319 Speaker 3: Point number one. James Franklin is now sixty four forty 180 00:08:40,360 --> 00:08:42,920 Speaker 3: nine to three against the spread during his time at 181 00:08:42,920 --> 00:08:47,000 Speaker 3: Penn State. That is sixty point nine percent started this 182 00:08:47,080 --> 00:08:49,880 Speaker 3: season two to zero against the spread. You wonder in 183 00:08:49,960 --> 00:08:53,040 Speaker 3: games like this, is the team that's favored laying a 184 00:08:53,080 --> 00:08:55,440 Speaker 3: couple of touchdowns, are they going to be motivated to 185 00:08:55,520 --> 00:08:58,320 Speaker 3: keep the foot on the throat of the underdog? Are 186 00:08:58,360 --> 00:09:00,719 Speaker 3: they going to be trying to just to flate the 187 00:09:01,120 --> 00:09:02,640 Speaker 3: ball at the end of the game if they get 188 00:09:02,679 --> 00:09:06,160 Speaker 3: that lead or did the Is the coach staff aware 189 00:09:06,280 --> 00:09:09,760 Speaker 3: of the spreads? James Franklin gave us proof of concept 190 00:09:09,840 --> 00:09:13,120 Speaker 3: what he has in past years, but recently against West 191 00:09:13,200 --> 00:09:16,640 Speaker 3: Virginia where Penn State absolutely could have just ran the 192 00:09:16,640 --> 00:09:19,640 Speaker 3: clock out in that game in their last drive they 193 00:09:19,640 --> 00:09:23,000 Speaker 3: were up by It's like they were a twenty one 194 00:09:23,040 --> 00:09:25,480 Speaker 3: point favorite, and they were up by something like sixteen 195 00:09:25,559 --> 00:09:28,520 Speaker 3: or seventeen on their last draft. Absolutely could have just 196 00:09:28,640 --> 00:09:31,640 Speaker 3: ended the game right there, but instead they try to 197 00:09:31,760 --> 00:09:34,320 Speaker 3: drive to score the touchdown. They go for it on 198 00:09:34,400 --> 00:09:38,000 Speaker 3: fourth and two. During that drive, they convert it, and 199 00:09:38,040 --> 00:09:40,280 Speaker 3: then when they got the first to goal, that's when 200 00:09:40,400 --> 00:09:42,280 Speaker 3: literally they could have just kneeled in the game would 201 00:09:42,280 --> 00:09:44,720 Speaker 3: have been over. No, no, no. James Franklin wanted that 202 00:09:44,800 --> 00:09:48,079 Speaker 3: touchdown to cover over West Virginia. He got it. It's 203 00:09:48,120 --> 00:09:50,480 Speaker 3: one of the reasons why this guy's covering sixty one 204 00:09:50,520 --> 00:09:53,400 Speaker 3: percent of his games while at Penn State. James Franklin 205 00:09:53,400 --> 00:09:56,400 Speaker 3: seems to care more about the spread than almost every 206 00:09:56,440 --> 00:09:59,640 Speaker 3: other coach out there. He wants to cover it. The 207 00:09:59,720 --> 00:10:02,120 Speaker 3: other thing I would say about this, there's two other 208 00:10:02,120 --> 00:10:04,440 Speaker 3: points I would make about this as far as motivation 209 00:10:04,559 --> 00:10:07,560 Speaker 3: for the Penn State side. Number one. Two years ago, 210 00:10:07,800 --> 00:10:12,080 Speaker 3: Brett Bielama's first season in Illinois, Illinois goes to Happy Valley. 211 00:10:12,480 --> 00:10:17,600 Speaker 3: They upset Penn State in nine overtimes, still an NCAA record. 212 00:10:17,600 --> 00:10:20,600 Speaker 3: The game goes to nine overtimes. Illinois ends up winning 213 00:10:20,600 --> 00:10:23,760 Speaker 3: that game. It was the game where for Illinois that 214 00:10:23,920 --> 00:10:27,040 Speaker 3: was like the Brett Bielama has arrived sort of game. 215 00:10:27,080 --> 00:10:29,480 Speaker 3: They still point back to that game and Penn State 216 00:10:29,520 --> 00:10:31,600 Speaker 3: still thinks about it. They should not have lost that game. 217 00:10:31,800 --> 00:10:33,840 Speaker 3: I think Illinois went into that game two and five. 218 00:10:34,240 --> 00:10:37,760 Speaker 3: Obviously Illinois was feeling themselves in the aftermath. These two 219 00:10:37,760 --> 00:10:40,520 Speaker 3: teams did not play last season. That is still on 220 00:10:40,559 --> 00:10:42,720 Speaker 3: the mind of Penn State to get revenge for that game. 221 00:10:42,960 --> 00:10:46,040 Speaker 3: The one other thing I will say on Monday, Brett 222 00:10:46,040 --> 00:10:48,520 Speaker 3: Bilama goes up, he has his press conference and they 223 00:10:48,520 --> 00:10:51,240 Speaker 3: asked Brett Bilama about Penn State. I want to read 224 00:10:51,280 --> 00:10:54,400 Speaker 3: you a quote that Brett Bilama said during his press 225 00:10:54,400 --> 00:10:57,280 Speaker 3: conference on Monday. This is a direct quote. So he's 226 00:10:57,320 --> 00:11:00,560 Speaker 3: asked about Penn State. He is responding about Penn State. Quote. 227 00:11:00,760 --> 00:11:03,480 Speaker 3: They do a tremendous job in recruiting and they're allowed 228 00:11:03,520 --> 00:11:06,680 Speaker 3: to do things they're at Penn State that allow them 229 00:11:06,720 --> 00:11:10,760 Speaker 3: to get a lot of skill position players in the program. 230 00:11:11,679 --> 00:11:15,959 Speaker 3: Seem to be directly insinuating that James Franklin cheets. James 231 00:11:16,000 --> 00:11:19,839 Speaker 3: Franklin does not need any motivation to put his foot 232 00:11:19,880 --> 00:11:22,120 Speaker 3: on the throat of an opponent, especially when the point 233 00:11:22,160 --> 00:11:24,440 Speaker 3: spread is still up for grabs this time, he is 234 00:11:24,480 --> 00:11:26,760 Speaker 3: going to be extra motivated to do so. Penn State 235 00:11:26,880 --> 00:11:27,960 Speaker 3: in a Laffer. 236 00:11:29,520 --> 00:11:33,400 Speaker 1: Farrel are you are you following the penn State disrespect 237 00:11:33,440 --> 00:11:36,920 Speaker 1: here from Illinois Thor's theory or is it just look, 238 00:11:37,080 --> 00:11:39,800 Speaker 1: it doesn't matter what said off the field, penn State 239 00:11:39,920 --> 00:11:42,199 Speaker 1: is just way way better than Illinois right now. 240 00:11:42,280 --> 00:11:44,680 Speaker 2: I think Penn State's way way better now. Illinois has 241 00:11:44,720 --> 00:11:46,319 Speaker 2: won a couple of recruiting battles in the state of 242 00:11:46,320 --> 00:11:48,960 Speaker 2: Pennsylvania that they didn't like. I mean, you know, they 243 00:11:48,960 --> 00:11:51,520 Speaker 2: weren't for like, you know, top one hundred players, but 244 00:11:51,600 --> 00:11:54,319 Speaker 2: they were recruiting battles, and Bielma does a good job, 245 00:11:54,400 --> 00:11:58,240 Speaker 2: especially with lineman offensive lineman, you know, So there's a 246 00:11:58,280 --> 00:12:02,040 Speaker 2: recruiting element to this, not a you know, benc doesn't 247 00:12:02,080 --> 00:12:04,080 Speaker 2: go into Illinois that much, and now it doesn't give 248 00:12:04,080 --> 00:12:06,760 Speaker 2: in to Pennsylvania altough they have latens. I think it's 249 00:12:06,800 --> 00:12:10,120 Speaker 2: just a better team that I don't like Lugaldmeyer. I 250 00:12:10,160 --> 00:12:12,480 Speaker 2: don't like this offense. I don't like what I saw 251 00:12:13,000 --> 00:12:16,199 Speaker 2: at all against Kansas. They're missing a lot of players 252 00:12:16,200 --> 00:12:19,640 Speaker 2: on defense. Obviously, their front is okay. Linebackers don't run 253 00:12:19,640 --> 00:12:22,920 Speaker 2: that well and they're you know, their secondary is missing 254 00:12:23,040 --> 00:12:26,559 Speaker 2: four guys, three of them will red draft. They're they're new, 255 00:12:26,880 --> 00:12:29,080 Speaker 2: So I really don't like this matchup at all. Fourteen 256 00:12:29,120 --> 00:12:30,880 Speaker 2: and a half is okay. I think they're gonna win 257 00:12:30,920 --> 00:12:32,200 Speaker 2: this game by seventeen points. 258 00:12:33,280 --> 00:12:35,920 Speaker 1: All right, Let's go over to the next game, South 259 00:12:35,920 --> 00:12:39,400 Speaker 1: Carolina at number one Georgia. Georgia is a twenty seven 260 00:12:39,480 --> 00:12:41,280 Speaker 1: and a half point home favorite. Fifty four and a 261 00:12:41,320 --> 00:12:44,640 Speaker 1: half is a total in this game. This one split 262 00:12:45,080 --> 00:12:49,400 Speaker 1: tickets on the Georgia side, cash slightly on the Carolina side, 263 00:12:49,440 --> 00:12:53,959 Speaker 1: also tickets on the under cash slightly on the over, 264 00:12:54,160 --> 00:12:57,040 Speaker 1: So it seems like the betting public doesn't really know 265 00:12:57,080 --> 00:12:59,319 Speaker 1: which way to go on this game. Are you taking 266 00:12:59,360 --> 00:13:01,280 Speaker 1: a side strongly either way? 267 00:13:01,520 --> 00:13:04,520 Speaker 3: My line Georgia minus twenty three point seven. My total 268 00:13:04,880 --> 00:13:07,640 Speaker 3: is fifty six point eight, fairly close to where it 269 00:13:07,679 --> 00:13:10,680 Speaker 3: is right now. For me, I'm waiting on this one 270 00:13:10,840 --> 00:13:13,240 Speaker 3: just to hope that it gets to twenty eight. If 271 00:13:13,280 --> 00:13:15,959 Speaker 3: it gets to twenty eight, I'm firing on South Carolina. 272 00:13:16,320 --> 00:13:18,640 Speaker 3: I don't think you know where the spread is right now. 273 00:13:18,679 --> 00:13:22,040 Speaker 3: I don't. To me, that's not betable. But once it 274 00:13:22,120 --> 00:13:25,640 Speaker 3: hits that key number, there I will fire on South Carolina. 275 00:13:26,040 --> 00:13:29,160 Speaker 3: This line is inflated, but it's only over the one 276 00:13:29,240 --> 00:13:31,800 Speaker 3: key number right now at twenty four, and my line 277 00:13:31,880 --> 00:13:35,800 Speaker 3: is just a hair south of that eyelash south of that. 278 00:13:36,200 --> 00:13:38,000 Speaker 3: I want that thing up to twenty eight. If the 279 00:13:38,000 --> 00:13:40,720 Speaker 3: market will give that to me, I will bet this game. Otherwise, 280 00:13:40,760 --> 00:13:41,800 Speaker 3: I'm going to be a bystander. 281 00:13:43,040 --> 00:13:45,720 Speaker 1: Farrel, do are you standing by or do you like 282 00:13:45,760 --> 00:13:47,760 Speaker 1: a side or the total on this game at all? 283 00:13:47,880 --> 00:13:49,520 Speaker 2: I like South Carolina here. I mean, I know they 284 00:13:49,559 --> 00:13:52,200 Speaker 2: look horrible in their open ing, their offensive line giving 285 00:13:52,240 --> 00:13:55,199 Speaker 2: them nine sacks to North Carolina. It looked good last week. 286 00:13:55,440 --> 00:13:58,200 Speaker 2: Teams not together, but you know, that's a lot of 287 00:13:58,240 --> 00:14:01,480 Speaker 2: points to lay in an SEC Division matchup where some 288 00:14:01,559 --> 00:14:03,959 Speaker 2: people at the beginning of the season thought South Carolina 289 00:14:04,000 --> 00:14:07,959 Speaker 2: could be one of those potential Missouri team for Georgia, 290 00:14:08,040 --> 00:14:10,200 Speaker 2: you know, maybe give them trouble unto the fourth quarter. 291 00:14:10,240 --> 00:14:12,240 Speaker 2: So if you're gonna give you that many points, I'm 292 00:14:12,280 --> 00:14:14,840 Speaker 2: going to big South Carolina. I'm not a big expensive rattlin. 293 00:14:15,040 --> 00:14:16,839 Speaker 2: I don't like what I see from South Carolina, but 294 00:14:16,960 --> 00:14:21,360 Speaker 2: I think they're good enough to stay within that number 295 00:14:21,680 --> 00:14:23,600 Speaker 2: or one's twenty and I'll think forty seven and a half. 296 00:14:24,800 --> 00:14:27,840 Speaker 1: All right, let's go over to Minnesota on the road 297 00:14:28,840 --> 00:14:32,000 Speaker 1: at North Carolina. Rank number twenty seven and a half 298 00:14:32,640 --> 00:14:34,840 Speaker 1: is the spread on this game forty nine and a half. 299 00:14:35,160 --> 00:14:39,000 Speaker 1: Another game that is just heavy tickets and Cash's still 300 00:14:39,040 --> 00:14:41,720 Speaker 1: early in the week as we record this, but we 301 00:14:41,880 --> 00:14:45,120 Speaker 1: haven't seen numbers this heavy quite yet, even on a 302 00:14:45,360 --> 00:14:52,320 Speaker 1: late Tuesday, So tickets cash heavy on UNC. Your Gophers 303 00:14:53,080 --> 00:14:56,120 Speaker 1: don't look maybe up to this task here, thor, But 304 00:14:56,360 --> 00:14:58,920 Speaker 1: do you have a different thought. Are you on the 305 00:14:59,040 --> 00:15:02,440 Speaker 1: Gophers side here on the road, or is this UNC 306 00:15:02,560 --> 00:15:03,280 Speaker 1: in a SmackDown? 307 00:15:03,600 --> 00:15:05,880 Speaker 3: I agree with the market movement to this point, and 308 00:15:05,920 --> 00:15:08,000 Speaker 3: it's put it right where my line is, you know, 309 00:15:08,040 --> 00:15:10,440 Speaker 3: because like it opened beneath the touchdown. Now we're at 310 00:15:10,480 --> 00:15:12,560 Speaker 3: the seven and a half. My number is North Carolina 311 00:15:12,640 --> 00:15:15,440 Speaker 3: minus seven point eight. I just don't think there's any 312 00:15:15,560 --> 00:15:19,880 Speaker 3: value there. My trepidation for North Carolina in this game is, 313 00:15:20,000 --> 00:15:22,840 Speaker 3: as you guys know, Minnesota likes to play a very 314 00:15:23,000 --> 00:15:26,760 Speaker 3: certain kind of way, and the new clock rules they 315 00:15:26,960 --> 00:15:29,920 Speaker 3: go towards that right where PJ. Fleck can just shorten 316 00:15:30,000 --> 00:15:34,040 Speaker 3: all these games. The clock's always running. Last week, Sean 317 00:15:34,160 --> 00:15:37,840 Speaker 3: Tyler there, the presumed starting running back there. He had 318 00:15:37,880 --> 00:15:40,920 Speaker 3: an okay game in the aggregate from a yardage perspective. 319 00:15:41,280 --> 00:15:44,240 Speaker 3: He fumbled a couple of times. PJ Fleck yanked m 320 00:15:44,320 --> 00:15:47,440 Speaker 3: He puts in this young kid who looked awesome. He 321 00:15:47,600 --> 00:15:50,200 Speaker 3: was actually only a few times per year. My fifty 322 00:15:50,240 --> 00:15:53,160 Speaker 3: team league, we give everyone a thousand dollars free agent budget. 323 00:15:53,480 --> 00:15:55,880 Speaker 3: We only get a couple thousand dollars players per year, 324 00:15:56,480 --> 00:15:59,160 Speaker 3: the new golfer running back or the guy who's now 325 00:15:59,280 --> 00:16:01,960 Speaker 3: challenging Tyler, the young kid. He got a thousand dollars 326 00:16:02,040 --> 00:16:05,480 Speaker 3: bed this past week. But that's the way Minnesota wants 327 00:16:05,520 --> 00:16:08,800 Speaker 3: to play. They're okay in the secondary, although they haven't 328 00:16:08,840 --> 00:16:13,440 Speaker 3: been necessarily tested there yet. Jeff Simms obviously can't throw. 329 00:16:13,560 --> 00:16:16,520 Speaker 3: That was the opener and last week against Eastern Michigan. 330 00:16:16,760 --> 00:16:18,600 Speaker 3: That's a team that is going to struggle to throw 331 00:16:18,640 --> 00:16:21,680 Speaker 3: the ball this year as well. Obviously Drake May and 332 00:16:21,760 --> 00:16:24,040 Speaker 3: the UNC offense, they're going to be throwing plenty in 333 00:16:24,120 --> 00:16:27,760 Speaker 3: this game. Tes Walker, he had his appeal denied. Tes 334 00:16:27,840 --> 00:16:29,760 Speaker 3: Walker is going to be done for the You know 335 00:16:29,800 --> 00:16:31,880 Speaker 3: you're not gonna play for North Carolina this year. You 336 00:16:31,960 --> 00:16:33,800 Speaker 3: wonder if this will be a fight for test kind 337 00:16:33,800 --> 00:16:36,600 Speaker 3: of a game, or if missing them could come back 338 00:16:36,640 --> 00:16:39,240 Speaker 3: to bite UNC in a game. If Minnesota can make 339 00:16:39,280 --> 00:16:41,600 Speaker 3: this thing close at the end, that's what Minnesota going 340 00:16:41,640 --> 00:16:42,920 Speaker 3: to try to do. They're going to try to make 341 00:16:42,960 --> 00:16:45,920 Speaker 3: this thing go as slow as possible, try to depreciate 342 00:16:46,000 --> 00:16:48,440 Speaker 3: the score. Let's turn this thing into a coin flip 343 00:16:48,520 --> 00:16:50,600 Speaker 3: at the end. It'll be about if they can do that. 344 00:16:50,760 --> 00:16:52,880 Speaker 3: But where we're at right now, that then getting over 345 00:16:53,000 --> 00:16:55,560 Speaker 3: seven at the seven and a half number, we're right 346 00:16:55,640 --> 00:16:57,880 Speaker 3: on the margin. So I can't bet this one either way. 347 00:16:58,720 --> 00:17:02,680 Speaker 1: Darius Tyler thirty three carries against Eastern Michigan last week 348 00:17:02,800 --> 00:17:05,840 Speaker 1: for one hundred and ninety three yards and a touchdown. 349 00:17:06,040 --> 00:17:08,359 Speaker 1: Also added two catches. Farrell, do you have a good 350 00:17:08,480 --> 00:17:10,640 Speaker 1: lean on this UNC Minnesota game either way? 351 00:17:11,119 --> 00:17:12,720 Speaker 2: I don't like the side, but I like the under. 352 00:17:12,800 --> 00:17:14,320 Speaker 2: And I know that sounds crazy because you and the 353 00:17:14,400 --> 00:17:17,159 Speaker 2: TSE defense is not that great. They're a little bit 354 00:17:17,200 --> 00:17:20,080 Speaker 2: improved from last year though, But Minnesota sorsai. They're going 355 00:17:20,119 --> 00:17:21,520 Speaker 2: to try to take the EU out of the football, 356 00:17:21,680 --> 00:17:23,760 Speaker 2: gonna go slow, They're gonna be methodical, They're going to 357 00:17:23,800 --> 00:17:25,200 Speaker 2: try to work that o'clock. They're going to try to 358 00:17:25,240 --> 00:17:28,440 Speaker 2: stay in this game. They're also going to play a 359 00:17:28,560 --> 00:17:31,800 Speaker 2: lot of deep shafey. They're gonna not let Drake May 360 00:17:31,880 --> 00:17:34,280 Speaker 2: turn it over the top. They're gonna make unc runner 361 00:17:34,359 --> 00:17:36,720 Speaker 2: ball on vucation. I think it's gonna be a lower 362 00:17:36,720 --> 00:17:38,280 Speaker 2: scoring in to a lot of people think I don't 363 00:17:38,280 --> 00:17:40,880 Speaker 2: think Minnesota can score. So I think you give them 364 00:17:40,920 --> 00:17:44,600 Speaker 2: maybe ten points and then you you figured don't scrotlane 365 00:17:44,600 --> 00:17:47,960 Speaker 2: to get twenty four. You're gonna be well well under. 366 00:17:49,160 --> 00:17:52,440 Speaker 2: Even if it's thirty one to ten, it's going to 367 00:17:52,440 --> 00:17:54,280 Speaker 2: be under. So Minnesota's going to try to keep it 368 00:17:54,320 --> 00:17:57,040 Speaker 2: closer than the fourth quarter. Not gonna succeed, but it's 369 00:17:57,080 --> 00:17:59,280 Speaker 2: going to be under all right. 370 00:17:59,640 --> 00:18:01,160 Speaker 1: Before we go to the next game here, I want 371 00:18:01,160 --> 00:18:03,840 Speaker 1: to remind you guys to download the free Betting pros 372 00:18:03,840 --> 00:18:06,720 Speaker 1: app for iOS or Android. You can use Sportsbook Sync 373 00:18:06,800 --> 00:18:10,440 Speaker 1: to automatically track your bets across all major sportsbook in 374 00:18:10,560 --> 00:18:13,879 Speaker 1: one spot. Easily track your bet performance by sport and 375 00:18:13,960 --> 00:18:17,080 Speaker 1: bet type, including game picks, props, and parlays. Get personalized 376 00:18:17,119 --> 00:18:20,879 Speaker 1: bet recommendations tailored to your interests, including line alerts when 377 00:18:20,960 --> 00:18:23,840 Speaker 1: viewing a game of interest, simply set a game notification 378 00:18:23,960 --> 00:18:26,320 Speaker 1: so that you are alerted once online hits a certain number. 379 00:18:26,480 --> 00:18:28,239 Speaker 1: At that point, you will be notified so you can 380 00:18:28,320 --> 00:18:30,800 Speaker 1: lock in your bet at that ideal line. You can 381 00:18:30,880 --> 00:18:33,680 Speaker 1: set the number to be and set it by sportsbook. 382 00:18:33,920 --> 00:18:36,600 Speaker 1: Head over to bettingpros dot com slash apps to start 383 00:18:36,680 --> 00:18:39,720 Speaker 1: setting your line alerts now, or download the Betting Pros 384 00:18:39,800 --> 00:18:43,840 Speaker 1: app at in the iTunes or Google play stores today. 385 00:18:44,160 --> 00:18:46,520 Speaker 1: All right, soor let's go over to Western Kentucky on 386 00:18:46,680 --> 00:18:49,119 Speaker 1: the road against number six Ohio State. Twenty seven and 387 00:18:49,200 --> 00:18:52,120 Speaker 1: a half is the line here. The total is sixty 388 00:18:52,160 --> 00:18:57,680 Speaker 1: four cash cash and tickets both on the over, both 389 00:18:57,760 --> 00:19:01,280 Speaker 1: on Ohio State, tickets on the over, lots of cash 390 00:19:01,359 --> 00:19:03,919 Speaker 1: on the under. And that must have been a fairly 391 00:19:04,160 --> 00:19:06,600 Speaker 1: large bet because last night when I was looking at this, 392 00:19:07,160 --> 00:19:10,200 Speaker 1: it was almost the opposite on the under. So I 393 00:19:10,280 --> 00:19:13,080 Speaker 1: think maybe someone plays a large bet on the over 394 00:19:13,160 --> 00:19:17,200 Speaker 1: in this game. Two strong offenses, but I struggled to 395 00:19:17,480 --> 00:19:20,959 Speaker 1: see Western Kentucky picking up as many points as they 396 00:19:21,000 --> 00:19:23,000 Speaker 1: normally do against the Ohio State defense. 397 00:19:23,440 --> 00:19:26,000 Speaker 3: Yeah, my line is right where the Vegas line is. 398 00:19:26,040 --> 00:19:29,479 Speaker 3: I don't see much value in that. It's another one 399 00:19:29,480 --> 00:19:31,240 Speaker 3: that's gonna come down to the prerogative of the head 400 00:19:31,280 --> 00:19:34,680 Speaker 3: coach of the favorite team. I think there's value in 401 00:19:34,760 --> 00:19:37,240 Speaker 3: the total. My total on that game is seventy point 402 00:19:37,320 --> 00:19:41,880 Speaker 3: one points. This is a defense optional type of fair 403 00:19:42,119 --> 00:19:45,719 Speaker 3: and Western Kentucky Yeah, I mean, it's difficult for them 404 00:19:45,760 --> 00:19:48,440 Speaker 3: to run, but they throw on everybody. They're gonna throw 405 00:19:48,520 --> 00:19:51,200 Speaker 3: on everybody. They're gonna get their yards in their points here. 406 00:19:51,840 --> 00:19:55,560 Speaker 3: And meanwhile, what you know, my trepidation with Western Kentucky 407 00:19:55,640 --> 00:19:58,320 Speaker 3: coming into this year. They had gotten back Austin Reid, 408 00:19:58,359 --> 00:20:01,640 Speaker 3: obviously Malachi Corley was back. They have a strong offensive 409 00:20:01,680 --> 00:20:04,280 Speaker 3: line for the CUSA. But if it's not the best, 410 00:20:04,359 --> 00:20:06,320 Speaker 3: it's the second best. But it's you know, right there. 411 00:20:06,400 --> 00:20:09,440 Speaker 3: Whatever it was the defense. The defense the last two 412 00:20:09,480 --> 00:20:12,399 Speaker 3: years I think played way better than people realize, but 413 00:20:12,560 --> 00:20:15,280 Speaker 3: they lost like everybody on that side of the ball. 414 00:20:15,440 --> 00:20:18,720 Speaker 3: So my trepidation with the Hilltoppers has been their defense. 415 00:20:19,160 --> 00:20:21,520 Speaker 3: This game is going to test them in that regard. 416 00:20:21,920 --> 00:20:24,720 Speaker 3: And last week Ohio State played an FCS team. You're wondering, 417 00:20:24,800 --> 00:20:26,920 Speaker 3: how quicker are they going to yank out the starters. 418 00:20:27,119 --> 00:20:29,760 Speaker 3: They're gonna let the starters do anything, at least in 419 00:20:29,800 --> 00:20:32,720 Speaker 3: the first half. They put on a show Marvin Harrison, 420 00:20:32,760 --> 00:20:34,320 Speaker 3: whereas in the first game he didn't do a lot 421 00:20:35,080 --> 00:20:37,680 Speaker 3: last week. This is what Mike got me on was 422 00:20:37,720 --> 00:20:40,800 Speaker 3: the over on the Marvin Harrison receiving prop was like 423 00:20:40,920 --> 00:20:43,320 Speaker 3: seventy eight and a half or something like that yards. 424 00:20:43,520 --> 00:20:45,840 Speaker 3: He had like a seventy six yard touchdown in the 425 00:20:45,880 --> 00:20:46,400 Speaker 3: first quarter. 426 00:20:46,480 --> 00:20:48,359 Speaker 2: I was like, oh gosh, you know, it's not like 427 00:20:48,440 --> 00:20:49,040 Speaker 2: he got in. 428 00:20:49,080 --> 00:20:52,800 Speaker 3: One play whatever in this game. Ohio State, certainly, at 429 00:20:52,880 --> 00:20:55,320 Speaker 3: least in the first half, is going to be trying 430 00:20:55,359 --> 00:20:57,240 Speaker 3: to put points on the bar because they know Western 431 00:20:57,280 --> 00:20:59,200 Speaker 3: Kentucky can be able to return at least a little 432 00:20:59,240 --> 00:21:01,280 Speaker 3: bit of fire over. It would be the play for me. 433 00:21:01,320 --> 00:21:04,080 Speaker 1: Here fairly you got a good lean of the way 434 00:21:04,119 --> 00:21:06,040 Speaker 1: on the side or total over. 435 00:21:06,560 --> 00:21:09,000 Speaker 2: I agree. You know this is also people got to 436 00:21:09,040 --> 00:21:11,360 Speaker 2: understand you, Ryan Day's not on the hot seat. He's 437 00:21:11,400 --> 00:21:13,440 Speaker 2: not under pressure or anything like that until he gets 438 00:21:13,480 --> 00:21:15,200 Speaker 2: to the Michigan game. But he's gotta go eleven and 439 00:21:15,280 --> 00:21:17,760 Speaker 2: all dropping task to look good. They have put up points. 440 00:21:17,800 --> 00:21:20,560 Speaker 2: There were Ohio State fans complaining that they only put 441 00:21:20,600 --> 00:21:23,040 Speaker 2: up forty five against Junks down Stay. Of course they're 442 00:21:23,040 --> 00:21:25,680 Speaker 2: complaining about the Indiana game as well. They need to 443 00:21:25,760 --> 00:21:28,320 Speaker 2: continue to develop on offense. They need to show palm 444 00:21:28,359 --> 00:21:31,640 Speaker 2: accord to the guy. They're gonna put up points. Ryan 445 00:21:31,720 --> 00:21:33,240 Speaker 2: Day is not a run up to score a guy. 446 00:21:33,280 --> 00:21:35,879 Speaker 2: But he's also not a conservative guy. He's not gonna 447 00:21:36,160 --> 00:21:39,160 Speaker 2: you know, he's going to score when he can score. 448 00:21:39,720 --> 00:21:41,879 Speaker 2: This is going to be a first half over. This 449 00:21:42,040 --> 00:21:44,760 Speaker 2: is going to be a game over. Ohio State's gonna 450 00:21:44,800 --> 00:21:47,000 Speaker 2: come out. They're gonna want to drop fifty. This Western 451 00:21:47,520 --> 00:21:51,000 Speaker 2: defense is horrible. Marvin Harrison. The reason I went over 452 00:21:51,160 --> 00:21:53,600 Speaker 2: last week on that and again it wasn't expecting a 453 00:21:53,680 --> 00:21:56,719 Speaker 2: seventy six touchdowns just would be on the over immediate 454 00:21:56,800 --> 00:22:00,440 Speaker 2: like it's because of the showcase that's needed to your 455 00:22:00,520 --> 00:22:02,879 Speaker 2: pens Ohio State fans and boosters. You need to have 456 00:22:03,000 --> 00:22:05,280 Speaker 2: your Isisman candidate wide receiver have a big game. He 457 00:22:05,320 --> 00:22:07,560 Speaker 2: didn't have one in game one. Gotta have one in 458 00:22:07,680 --> 00:22:09,879 Speaker 2: game two. They're gonta target a war you need to 459 00:22:09,880 --> 00:22:12,959 Speaker 2: add with quarterback. Was in line with the Justin Fields 460 00:22:13,000 --> 00:22:14,679 Speaker 2: and file on the Fords of the world. I mean 461 00:22:15,400 --> 00:22:17,560 Speaker 2: Justin Fields and the CJ. Strouds of the world put 462 00:22:17,640 --> 00:22:21,560 Speaker 2: up big numbers. This is important to Ohio State fans 463 00:22:21,840 --> 00:22:25,440 Speaker 2: boosters supporting to Ryan Day. They're gonna put up a 464 00:22:25,520 --> 00:22:28,160 Speaker 2: lot of numbers, big points. Take the over here. 465 00:22:28,200 --> 00:22:31,200 Speaker 1: It's gonna be a blowout, all right, Let's go over 466 00:22:31,320 --> 00:22:34,400 Speaker 1: to number eleven. Tennessee, a six and a half point 467 00:22:34,880 --> 00:22:38,760 Speaker 1: road favorite in the swamp at Florida. Fifty nine is 468 00:22:38,840 --> 00:22:42,800 Speaker 1: a total on this one. Tickets cash on Tennessee, tickets, 469 00:22:42,840 --> 00:22:44,920 Speaker 1: cash on the under in this game? 470 00:22:45,040 --> 00:22:45,280 Speaker 2: Forward? 471 00:22:45,600 --> 00:22:48,200 Speaker 1: Is that the way you see it going? Hard to 472 00:22:48,240 --> 00:22:49,959 Speaker 1: trust Florida with the way they've looked so far. 473 00:22:50,359 --> 00:22:54,719 Speaker 3: Yeah, No, I for me, so I think the right 474 00:22:54,800 --> 00:22:56,600 Speaker 3: side in this game is Florida. It's just I'm not 475 00:22:56,640 --> 00:22:59,080 Speaker 3: gonna buy a ticket on Florida because I don't I 476 00:22:59,119 --> 00:23:01,639 Speaker 3: don't trust them, But I I think it's probably the 477 00:23:01,720 --> 00:23:04,520 Speaker 3: objectively right side here. My line in this game is 478 00:23:04,560 --> 00:23:06,000 Speaker 3: Tennessee minus five point one. 479 00:23:06,840 --> 00:23:07,000 Speaker 2: Yeah. 480 00:23:07,119 --> 00:23:09,680 Speaker 3: Do I like what I've seen in Florida? No, absolutely not. 481 00:23:10,160 --> 00:23:13,080 Speaker 3: Do I like what I've seen in Tennessee, No, absolutely not. 482 00:23:13,600 --> 00:23:16,000 Speaker 3: Joe Milton struggled to get going last week against an 483 00:23:16,119 --> 00:23:19,520 Speaker 3: FCS opponent. Florida's defense is a lot better than that. 484 00:23:19,800 --> 00:23:22,880 Speaker 3: The run game in the first couple is what kept 485 00:23:22,960 --> 00:23:26,640 Speaker 3: Tennessee the offense on schedule, when Joe Milton inevitably would 486 00:23:27,080 --> 00:23:29,280 Speaker 3: not know what he was looking at or would you know, 487 00:23:29,480 --> 00:23:31,560 Speaker 3: throw a ball a million miles an hour but not 488 00:23:31,720 --> 00:23:34,800 Speaker 3: on target? Whatnot? This game, it's it's gonna be a 489 00:23:34,840 --> 00:23:37,800 Speaker 3: little bit different. Florida at least as the front seven 490 00:23:38,240 --> 00:23:41,360 Speaker 3: to severely hamper the Tennessee run game. And when there's 491 00:23:41,400 --> 00:23:44,240 Speaker 3: pressure on Joe Milton both in the game but also 492 00:23:44,400 --> 00:23:47,520 Speaker 3: like literally in his face, I wonder what's gonna happen there. 493 00:23:48,080 --> 00:23:50,680 Speaker 3: I in good conscience, I can't lay that many points 494 00:23:50,720 --> 00:23:53,359 Speaker 3: with Tennessee on the road. But in good conscience I 495 00:23:53,400 --> 00:23:55,400 Speaker 3: can't buy a ticket on Florida either, So I will 496 00:23:55,400 --> 00:23:56,600 Speaker 3: be a spectator in this game. 497 00:23:57,880 --> 00:24:00,359 Speaker 1: Pharaoh, how do you see this game playing at? Shaking 498 00:24:00,440 --> 00:24:02,800 Speaker 1: your head when Thor said he is on the Florida 499 00:24:02,880 --> 00:24:03,359 Speaker 1: side here. 500 00:24:03,600 --> 00:24:06,080 Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't think it's a good matchup for Florida 501 00:24:06,080 --> 00:24:09,840 Speaker 2: at all. I don't trust them at Graham Mertz, he's 502 00:24:09,960 --> 00:24:12,280 Speaker 2: not a good quarterback. They're going to run the ball 503 00:24:12,400 --> 00:24:16,639 Speaker 2: quite a bit, you know. And I think Tennessee's defense 504 00:24:16,720 --> 00:24:18,479 Speaker 2: is a little bit improved from last year. We've only 505 00:24:18,480 --> 00:24:20,000 Speaker 2: seen him in a couple of games, but a little 506 00:24:20,000 --> 00:24:22,560 Speaker 2: bit improved. The biggest issue was in the back end 507 00:24:22,640 --> 00:24:25,480 Speaker 2: last year for me. I mean, they're okay against the run, 508 00:24:25,600 --> 00:24:27,760 Speaker 2: that great, but at least they can stop the run. 509 00:24:27,840 --> 00:24:30,440 Speaker 2: But if they're able to put you know, seventy guys 510 00:24:30,520 --> 00:24:33,920 Speaker 2: in the box and not really worry about Graham Mertz 511 00:24:33,960 --> 00:24:37,399 Speaker 2: and the nameless wide receivers at Borda, that it's kind 512 00:24:37,440 --> 00:24:40,800 Speaker 2: of embarrassing. Such a great program. I have so new 513 00:24:40,920 --> 00:24:44,040 Speaker 2: skill talent players. I think they're going to be able 514 00:24:44,080 --> 00:24:46,080 Speaker 2: to stack the box and sort of slow Florida down, 515 00:24:46,280 --> 00:24:49,159 Speaker 2: and I think eventually you know the offense with your 516 00:24:49,240 --> 00:24:51,560 Speaker 2: single reads. Listen. I'm not a big Joe Milton guy either. 517 00:24:51,600 --> 00:24:54,200 Speaker 2: He throws the ball miles an hour. Sometimes he doesn't 518 00:24:54,240 --> 00:24:57,080 Speaker 2: do reads. Josh, iibel's gonna dumb down the game playing 519 00:24:57,119 --> 00:25:01,320 Speaker 2: against Florida. It's a simple, simple offense. You're really going 520 00:25:01,400 --> 00:25:03,040 Speaker 2: to know where the football is going if you're Jill 521 00:25:03,119 --> 00:25:06,320 Speaker 2: Nelton immediately on staff and I think they're going to 522 00:25:06,480 --> 00:25:09,200 Speaker 2: work the short passing game and really work into the 523 00:25:09,280 --> 00:25:12,200 Speaker 2: fourth four, then they might be able to get a 524 00:25:12,240 --> 00:25:14,800 Speaker 2: few big hitters. So stuff the run. Philly Nippers is 525 00:25:14,800 --> 00:25:17,400 Speaker 2: going to continue to run he's never running, he's never 526 00:25:17,480 --> 00:25:20,800 Speaker 2: going away to the run, stack the box, make Graham 527 00:25:20,880 --> 00:25:23,160 Speaker 2: or speach you. He's not going to win this game 528 00:25:23,240 --> 00:25:26,080 Speaker 2: by seven to ten points. Yeah. 529 00:25:26,160 --> 00:25:28,920 Speaker 1: I have a hard time trusting Graham Mertz to do 530 00:25:29,080 --> 00:25:31,720 Speaker 1: much on a football field right now until he shows 531 00:25:31,760 --> 00:25:33,520 Speaker 1: me something different. Let's go to the next game. Here, 532 00:25:33,560 --> 00:25:35,640 Speaker 1: Syracuse eight two and a half point road fever app 533 00:25:35,680 --> 00:25:38,600 Speaker 1: perdue fifty eight and a half is the total here 534 00:25:39,359 --> 00:25:40,840 Speaker 1: thor you have a good feeling one way or the 535 00:25:40,840 --> 00:25:41,480 Speaker 1: other in this game. 536 00:25:41,880 --> 00:25:44,720 Speaker 3: I'm on Syracuse. In this game, my number is Syracuse 537 00:25:44,800 --> 00:25:48,480 Speaker 3: minus six point six. Now that's in a vacuum, right 538 00:25:48,600 --> 00:25:50,760 Speaker 3: like if both teams are at full strength, I will 539 00:25:50,840 --> 00:25:53,680 Speaker 3: say Syracuse has two injuries right now to monitor. The 540 00:25:53,760 --> 00:25:57,240 Speaker 3: one that matters is Aronde Gats and the big slot 541 00:25:57,760 --> 00:25:59,520 Speaker 3: they call him tight end, but big slot they have 542 00:25:59,720 --> 00:26:01,760 Speaker 3: that they they force a lot of a lot of 543 00:26:01,880 --> 00:26:05,960 Speaker 3: usage to. And then their center, David wallabah Is. Those 544 00:26:06,000 --> 00:26:09,159 Speaker 3: guys are both questionable for this game. Purdue is getting 545 00:26:09,280 --> 00:26:12,240 Speaker 3: back their number one center. It looks like, at least 546 00:26:12,240 --> 00:26:16,560 Speaker 3: if you're trusting their depth chart, they put him back 547 00:26:16,600 --> 00:26:18,960 Speaker 3: on there. He missed the start of the season with 548 00:26:19,040 --> 00:26:22,520 Speaker 3: an injury he suffered last year. But even so, even 549 00:26:22,560 --> 00:26:25,480 Speaker 3: if both Gatson and wOBA missed this game, I just 550 00:26:25,600 --> 00:26:28,359 Speaker 3: don't think that they're worth as many points. As this 551 00:26:28,600 --> 00:26:32,560 Speaker 3: line is depreciated down to the market seems a little 552 00:26:32,560 --> 00:26:35,240 Speaker 3: bit higher on Purdue after last week. They go into 553 00:26:35,280 --> 00:26:40,280 Speaker 3: Blacksburg and beat Virginia Tech. Virginia Tech thinks, now, like, 554 00:26:40,400 --> 00:26:43,280 Speaker 3: that's not a super impressive win. What to me, the 555 00:26:43,400 --> 00:26:46,160 Speaker 3: data point that matters more is the first game you're 556 00:26:46,160 --> 00:26:49,640 Speaker 3: against Fresno State at home, you lose in a game 557 00:26:49,680 --> 00:26:51,640 Speaker 3: where you know, for most of the game Fresno State 558 00:26:51,840 --> 00:26:53,840 Speaker 3: was you know, I mean playing with I mean it 559 00:26:53,920 --> 00:26:55,959 Speaker 3: was no fluke that they lost that game, and then 560 00:26:56,000 --> 00:26:58,359 Speaker 3: the next week Fresno State has all kinds of problems 561 00:26:58,400 --> 00:27:01,840 Speaker 3: getting by NFCS team. So it's not the Fresno State. 562 00:27:01,920 --> 00:27:03,719 Speaker 3: It's still just as good as they were last year 563 00:27:03,720 --> 00:27:06,200 Speaker 3: when they had Hater and all those guys. I you know, 564 00:27:06,320 --> 00:27:08,439 Speaker 3: I think it's that that was you know, I mean, 565 00:27:08,560 --> 00:27:10,600 Speaker 3: that was more on the Purdue side, that they're just 566 00:27:10,720 --> 00:27:12,680 Speaker 3: not what we hope they would be in year one 567 00:27:12,760 --> 00:27:16,439 Speaker 3: under Ryan Walters and Graham Harrow running that offense. Syracuse 568 00:27:16,760 --> 00:27:20,200 Speaker 3: objectively even on the road here in a vacuum. You 569 00:27:20,280 --> 00:27:22,439 Speaker 3: put this thing in a neutral and both teams at 570 00:27:22,440 --> 00:27:25,280 Speaker 3: full strength, Syracuse should be favored by ten. But even 571 00:27:25,400 --> 00:27:28,000 Speaker 3: you know, given Purdue the home field advantage, and then 572 00:27:28,040 --> 00:27:30,400 Speaker 3: even if you're gonna dock them, if Gatson and Wolbot 573 00:27:30,520 --> 00:27:33,399 Speaker 3: are out, it just doesn't explain this thing getting all 574 00:27:33,400 --> 00:27:35,080 Speaker 3: the way down to two and a half. So anything 575 00:27:35,160 --> 00:27:37,160 Speaker 3: under a field going for sure on the Orange. 576 00:27:38,200 --> 00:27:40,159 Speaker 1: Parol, how do you see this one going? Are you 577 00:27:40,680 --> 00:27:42,000 Speaker 1: on Syracuse here as well? 578 00:27:43,000 --> 00:27:45,320 Speaker 2: Yeah? I am. I thought I thought Purdue last week 579 00:27:45,320 --> 00:27:48,399 Speaker 2: against Virginia Tech was easing money. I really don't know 580 00:27:48,440 --> 00:27:50,480 Speaker 2: why some people thought Virginia Taker's don't win that FOP 581 00:27:50,480 --> 00:27:52,320 Speaker 2: blog game, and I know they're all but Virginia Tech 582 00:27:52,440 --> 00:27:54,680 Speaker 2: nott a good team. It's not a great barometer what 583 00:27:54,800 --> 00:27:56,920 Speaker 2: we're going to see from Churndade. Defensively, they got a 584 00:27:56,960 --> 00:27:59,800 Speaker 2: lot of heart to do and Dane Baber's is fighting 585 00:27:59,840 --> 00:28:02,920 Speaker 2: for his job. That sounds funny because last year the 586 00:28:02,960 --> 00:28:05,560 Speaker 2: two seasons were completely different from the first half to 587 00:28:05,640 --> 00:28:09,280 Speaker 2: the second half. They're two and oh so far. They 588 00:28:09,400 --> 00:28:12,119 Speaker 2: play well early in the season and then they fade 589 00:28:12,600 --> 00:28:14,080 Speaker 2: because they don't have a lot of depth, and they 590 00:28:14,119 --> 00:28:17,040 Speaker 2: never really add So the injuries are concerned to me. 591 00:28:17,200 --> 00:28:21,280 Speaker 2: But you know, Purdue is not a good football team. 592 00:28:21,359 --> 00:28:24,320 Speaker 2: They're not ready to win this football game. I'll take 593 00:28:25,040 --> 00:28:27,680 Speaker 2: Phil Ryan Walters, the jury still out. He's a young guy, 594 00:28:27,880 --> 00:28:31,360 Speaker 2: he's still, you know, inheriting a fairly okay football team. 595 00:28:31,880 --> 00:28:34,560 Speaker 2: They don't look good and I'm not sure if he's 596 00:28:34,600 --> 00:28:36,280 Speaker 2: over his head yet. It's too early to say that. 597 00:28:36,760 --> 00:28:39,520 Speaker 2: I know Babers is the better coach right now, and 598 00:28:39,640 --> 00:28:43,160 Speaker 2: I think he's gonna be able to at least I 599 00:28:43,200 --> 00:28:45,800 Speaker 2: think they're gonna win out right personally Syracuse, even without 600 00:28:46,240 --> 00:28:49,760 Speaker 2: you know, yeah, it's very important, But even without him, 601 00:28:49,800 --> 00:28:51,040 Speaker 2: I think they'll win the football game. 602 00:28:52,280 --> 00:28:54,880 Speaker 1: All right, Let's go over to the backyard brawl. Pittsburgh 603 00:28:55,040 --> 00:28:58,480 Speaker 1: a one point road favorite at West Virginia. Fifty and 604 00:28:58,520 --> 00:29:02,720 Speaker 1: a half is total here, tickets just slightly on the 605 00:29:02,760 --> 00:29:06,720 Speaker 1: West Virginia side. So is cash same thing on the 606 00:29:06,960 --> 00:29:09,000 Speaker 1: over here in this game? Or do you have a 607 00:29:09,080 --> 00:29:12,240 Speaker 1: good feel on pitt versus West Virginia this week? 608 00:29:12,640 --> 00:29:15,840 Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm playing pitt here. My line is pit minus 609 00:29:15,920 --> 00:29:19,160 Speaker 3: two point seven points. I also would lean towards the 610 00:29:19,280 --> 00:29:22,400 Speaker 3: over that one. I'm waiting on a little bit. You know, 611 00:29:22,800 --> 00:29:25,320 Speaker 3: see how the market takes. But my my system would 612 00:29:25,320 --> 00:29:27,800 Speaker 3: be on the over as well. I don't love this 613 00:29:27,960 --> 00:29:30,200 Speaker 3: West Virginia team. I like, I don't. I don't think 614 00:29:30,200 --> 00:29:33,880 Speaker 3: they're very good. Pitt, I don't love them either, But 615 00:29:34,000 --> 00:29:37,560 Speaker 3: I just feel like this line is too deflated on 616 00:29:37,920 --> 00:29:39,840 Speaker 3: that side of it. West Virginia can only do one 617 00:29:39,880 --> 00:29:42,480 Speaker 3: thing on offense. They can run the ball, but like 618 00:29:42,720 --> 00:29:45,920 Speaker 3: I have all kinds of questions about about their passing offense. 619 00:29:46,520 --> 00:29:49,440 Speaker 3: And you know, Pitt, they lost a few defenders over 620 00:29:49,520 --> 00:29:53,760 Speaker 3: the offseason, but paton ardoozy in that defensive coaching staff 621 00:29:53,800 --> 00:29:57,200 Speaker 3: against a one handed offense, and West Virginia defense been 622 00:29:57,320 --> 00:30:00,520 Speaker 3: not good. They they lost the only u front was 623 00:30:00,600 --> 00:30:02,720 Speaker 3: where they were decent last year. The rest of it 624 00:30:02,880 --> 00:30:05,240 Speaker 3: was was not good and they lost their guys up front. 625 00:30:05,640 --> 00:30:07,960 Speaker 3: I don't like I said, I don't trust his West 626 00:30:08,000 --> 00:30:10,360 Speaker 3: Virginia team at all. I think Neil Brown will get 627 00:30:10,440 --> 00:30:13,560 Speaker 3: fired at some point this season later this fall. That 628 00:30:13,720 --> 00:30:15,960 Speaker 3: might start here, But yeah, I think Pick goes in 629 00:30:16,000 --> 00:30:16,520 Speaker 3: there and wins. 630 00:30:17,320 --> 00:30:19,040 Speaker 1: What do you think? Farall are you on pit as well? 631 00:30:19,960 --> 00:30:23,000 Speaker 2: I am this this? You know this is a sneaky rivalry. 632 00:30:23,040 --> 00:30:25,600 Speaker 2: It means a lot to both of these programs. Last 633 00:30:25,640 --> 00:30:29,160 Speaker 2: year's game was excellent. But Neil Brown I don't trust. 634 00:30:30,280 --> 00:30:32,959 Speaker 2: I think he's not even close to the coach Batanders. 635 00:30:33,280 --> 00:30:35,360 Speaker 2: I was disappointed and fit last weekend. I'm really not 636 00:30:35,440 --> 00:30:38,920 Speaker 2: sure what happened. You know, they're not a great football team. 637 00:30:38,920 --> 00:30:41,880 Speaker 2: They're placing a lot on the defensive front. It's gonna 638 00:30:41,880 --> 00:30:43,600 Speaker 2: take a little while for those guys to get up 639 00:30:43,640 --> 00:30:46,760 Speaker 2: the speed. But you know, as thora mentioned, West Virginia 640 00:30:46,800 --> 00:30:49,520 Speaker 2: can only do one thing. Uh nordows he can figure 641 00:30:49,560 --> 00:30:52,560 Speaker 2: that out. He's gonna stop or stop the run as 642 00:30:52,600 --> 00:30:55,320 Speaker 2: best he can, but he's gonna help coach him. I 643 00:30:55,400 --> 00:30:59,200 Speaker 2: think last year's game honestly came down to coaching, and 644 00:30:59,520 --> 00:31:02,320 Speaker 2: Neil Brown made a couple bone decisions. Nardozzi did not. 645 00:31:02,600 --> 00:31:06,080 Speaker 2: Narduzi's the better coach. The better coach offer wins of 646 00:31:06,120 --> 00:31:08,320 Speaker 2: the while. Where if the rosters are similar, and I 647 00:31:08,400 --> 00:31:10,280 Speaker 2: think these are similar rosters, So give me Pitt. 648 00:31:11,440 --> 00:31:12,960 Speaker 1: All right, easy one for Pitt. 649 00:31:13,040 --> 00:31:13,240 Speaker 2: There. 650 00:31:13,600 --> 00:31:16,120 Speaker 1: Let's go over to the last nationally televised game. We'll 651 00:31:16,120 --> 00:31:20,480 Speaker 1: talk about Colorado State at number eighteen. Colorado, Colorado under 652 00:31:20,560 --> 00:31:24,160 Speaker 1: the lights, now in the primetime era as a twenty 653 00:31:24,400 --> 00:31:27,680 Speaker 1: three point home favorite. Fifty nine is a total in 654 00:31:27,800 --> 00:31:29,480 Speaker 1: this one. And I know you all are going to 655 00:31:29,520 --> 00:31:34,560 Speaker 1: be surprised that cash and tickets are all on Colorado here. 656 00:31:35,320 --> 00:31:38,040 Speaker 1: Not quite at that over ninety percent, but still some 657 00:31:38,240 --> 00:31:39,960 Speaker 1: better is finding a little bit of value here in 658 00:31:40,000 --> 00:31:43,320 Speaker 1: Colorado State. Thor what do you say about Colorado at 659 00:31:43,360 --> 00:31:44,680 Speaker 1: home against Colorado State? 660 00:31:45,240 --> 00:31:49,240 Speaker 3: Yeah, the tickets the first couple games, we're on Colorado 661 00:31:49,320 --> 00:31:52,000 Speaker 3: as well. Public love's betting. I'm in fact, I think 662 00:31:52,040 --> 00:31:55,320 Speaker 3: it was on Saturday. Was it Dave Mason or one 663 00:31:55,320 --> 00:31:57,280 Speaker 3: of the guys that runs one of the sportsbooks, So 664 00:31:57,440 --> 00:32:00,160 Speaker 3: there was more money on Colorado than at that time 665 00:32:00,160 --> 00:32:02,920 Speaker 3: when you put this tweet out then on any NFL 666 00:32:03,080 --> 00:32:08,040 Speaker 3: game that weekend. Yeah, so the public is obviously rallying 667 00:32:08,080 --> 00:32:11,560 Speaker 3: behind Colorado. And you know, obviously in the first game, 668 00:32:11,600 --> 00:32:14,560 Speaker 3: I was behind Colorado. I was also behind Colorado last week. 669 00:32:14,680 --> 00:32:17,000 Speaker 3: And you know, what you heard in advance at the 670 00:32:17,080 --> 00:32:19,200 Speaker 3: opener was like, oh, you know, you just you know, 671 00:32:19,320 --> 00:32:21,320 Speaker 3: you're just getting caught up in the hype. And then 672 00:32:21,320 --> 00:32:24,160 Speaker 3: when you what you heard last week was like you're 673 00:32:24,360 --> 00:32:27,200 Speaker 3: you know, all the sharps are against you, Like the 674 00:32:27,320 --> 00:32:30,400 Speaker 3: sharps are wrong. Sometimes you had to have your own 675 00:32:30,480 --> 00:32:32,560 Speaker 3: read on this. I don't know why those guys haven't 676 00:32:32,600 --> 00:32:35,520 Speaker 3: figured it out yet. They're on their same data points 677 00:32:35,520 --> 00:32:37,560 Speaker 3: as last year, when they were too low on USC, 678 00:32:37,800 --> 00:32:41,040 Speaker 3: too low on LSU, too low on Florida State, you know, 679 00:32:41,440 --> 00:32:43,960 Speaker 3: too low on oh Miss. All those teams flew over 680 00:32:44,000 --> 00:32:47,800 Speaker 3: their win total, the ones who they overturned most of 681 00:32:47,840 --> 00:32:50,520 Speaker 3: their ross, more more than any other Power five team 682 00:32:50,600 --> 00:32:53,360 Speaker 3: in the portal, and the sharps throughout the season were 683 00:32:53,360 --> 00:32:55,760 Speaker 3: too low on all those teams. They have decided to 684 00:32:55,840 --> 00:32:58,640 Speaker 3: make the same mistake with this Colorado team, even though 685 00:32:59,040 --> 00:33:01,040 Speaker 3: I don't know if we've ever i've seen a year 686 00:33:01,160 --> 00:33:04,479 Speaker 3: to year talent spike in the history of college football 687 00:33:04,600 --> 00:33:06,680 Speaker 3: right right, like we did with Colorado this year. So 688 00:33:06,760 --> 00:33:09,240 Speaker 3: it's like, maybe that's a data point you should you 689 00:33:09,280 --> 00:33:12,440 Speaker 3: should tie into your system a little bit. As for mine, 690 00:33:12,520 --> 00:33:16,040 Speaker 3: I was showing line value on Colorado the first two games. Obviously, 691 00:33:16,120 --> 00:33:17,680 Speaker 3: that's why I was on them. I don't care what 692 00:33:17,840 --> 00:33:21,080 Speaker 3: the sharps do. I don't like it's my read this 693 00:33:21,280 --> 00:33:24,080 Speaker 3: game as well, the line is too low, so it 694 00:33:24,200 --> 00:33:26,280 Speaker 3: become you know, I think my line was with twenty 695 00:33:26,440 --> 00:33:29,080 Speaker 3: six and a half something like that for Colorado. It 696 00:33:29,240 --> 00:33:32,720 Speaker 3: becomes is this going to be a letdown spot for Colorado? 697 00:33:33,800 --> 00:33:36,320 Speaker 3: And I see people are already starting to argue that 698 00:33:36,720 --> 00:33:39,720 Speaker 3: perhaps it would be. This is like if you're going 699 00:33:39,800 --> 00:33:42,240 Speaker 3: to argue like, oh, they just care about TikTok and 700 00:33:42,360 --> 00:33:44,960 Speaker 3: Prime about you know his stuff whatnot. Now they're going 701 00:33:45,040 --> 00:33:48,080 Speaker 3: to have a letdown game against this crappy opponent on 702 00:33:48,320 --> 00:33:51,880 Speaker 3: college game day. College game Day is going to be there, like, 703 00:33:52,400 --> 00:33:55,360 Speaker 3: I don't think Colorado is going to no show this 704 00:33:55,600 --> 00:33:58,440 Speaker 3: opportunity when they're now they're on the big stay. They've 705 00:33:58,480 --> 00:34:01,840 Speaker 3: proven it twice. I that's what you're banking on if 706 00:34:01,840 --> 00:34:03,040 Speaker 3: you're gonna beat Colorado State. 707 00:34:03,080 --> 00:34:04,320 Speaker 2: Recruits are watching this. 708 00:34:04,880 --> 00:34:07,680 Speaker 3: Recruits are watching like this is your shot now again. 709 00:34:07,800 --> 00:34:09,560 Speaker 3: College game day gonna be there the whole time that 710 00:34:09,600 --> 00:34:11,960 Speaker 3: they're gonna start up in the morning, and the on 711 00:34:12,239 --> 00:34:15,359 Speaker 3: field handicap here. So I'm just talking objectively and then 712 00:34:15,440 --> 00:34:18,200 Speaker 3: you know sort of the non objective stuff. But you 713 00:34:18,360 --> 00:34:21,600 Speaker 3: get into the matchup in the handicap on the field, 714 00:34:22,200 --> 00:34:25,160 Speaker 3: what is a characteristic of a team that they would 715 00:34:25,239 --> 00:34:28,239 Speaker 3: need to have to beat this Colorado team? You have 716 00:34:28,360 --> 00:34:31,800 Speaker 3: to have a pass defense, right, Colorado lit up the 717 00:34:31,840 --> 00:34:33,319 Speaker 3: first two teams they play. You have to be able 718 00:34:33,320 --> 00:34:35,120 Speaker 3: to stop the pass. If you can do that the 719 00:34:35,600 --> 00:34:37,920 Speaker 3: Colorado that maybe they want to have the recourse on 720 00:34:38,040 --> 00:34:41,680 Speaker 3: the ground, but as a prerequisite to beat this Buffalo team, 721 00:34:42,000 --> 00:34:44,359 Speaker 3: you have to be able to slow the pass. Can 722 00:34:44,440 --> 00:34:46,719 Speaker 3: I tell you guys now where Colorado State ranks and 723 00:34:46,880 --> 00:34:51,480 Speaker 3: SPPLUS pass defense low. I would love to go through 724 00:34:51,520 --> 00:34:55,080 Speaker 3: a passing success rate one hundred and twenty sixth eighty 725 00:34:55,200 --> 00:34:59,320 Speaker 3: ninth against passing marginal explosiveness yards per drop back. Colorado 726 00:34:59,320 --> 00:35:01,480 Speaker 3: State's pass d fences one hundred and twenty fifth out 727 00:35:01,520 --> 00:35:05,000 Speaker 3: of one thirty three adjusted net air yards per attempt 728 00:35:05,040 --> 00:35:09,319 Speaker 3: one hundred and twenty six passing completion rate one hundred 729 00:35:09,360 --> 00:35:12,239 Speaker 3: and thirty first. Does that seem like it might be 730 00:35:12,360 --> 00:35:15,520 Speaker 3: problematic against the team that has ripped up both the 731 00:35:15,560 --> 00:35:18,439 Speaker 3: pass defenses that they've played so far, Teams that heading 732 00:35:18,480 --> 00:35:21,440 Speaker 3: into the season we thought were pretty solid. Maybe now 733 00:35:21,520 --> 00:35:25,439 Speaker 3: our opinion changed because they played Colorado, But oh my gosh, 734 00:35:25,680 --> 00:35:29,359 Speaker 3: this Colorado State team is in big trouble here. If 735 00:35:29,400 --> 00:35:32,279 Speaker 3: you can't stop the pass against Colorado, they will put 736 00:35:32,360 --> 00:35:37,200 Speaker 3: up points on you every single time. This isn't looking good. 737 00:35:37,440 --> 00:35:38,919 Speaker 3: This one's buffalo is in a route? 738 00:35:40,760 --> 00:35:43,640 Speaker 1: Do you agree, Farrell? Is this all Colorado on light? 739 00:35:44,400 --> 00:35:48,279 Speaker 2: Yeah? Obviously in the first team against tcuars against Colorado's 740 00:35:48,280 --> 00:35:50,640 Speaker 2: are big with drill, they did not. They looked good. 741 00:35:50,680 --> 00:35:53,480 Speaker 2: They struggled in the beginning against Nebraska, a lot of 742 00:35:53,480 --> 00:35:57,680 Speaker 2: people were like, oh, okay, you know, maybe tc was 743 00:35:57,719 --> 00:35:59,960 Speaker 2: a flow. Nebraska's defense is good. They got to pick 744 00:36:00,080 --> 00:36:02,600 Speaker 2: it out and then they end up getting killed. And yeah, 745 00:36:02,680 --> 00:36:04,480 Speaker 2: the Braska made a lot of mistakes in there, and 746 00:36:04,600 --> 00:36:07,080 Speaker 2: can see you have no defense. But Colorado is gonna 747 00:36:07,080 --> 00:36:08,640 Speaker 2: make a lot of colorad There's gonna make a lot 748 00:36:08,640 --> 00:36:11,800 Speaker 2: of mistakes. They have no defense. What are we expecting 749 00:36:11,880 --> 00:36:15,560 Speaker 2: to be different here? And Deon is a master motivator. 750 00:36:15,680 --> 00:36:18,360 Speaker 2: The first one was, you know, let's prove it to everybody. 751 00:36:18,719 --> 00:36:20,799 Speaker 2: People don't think we could hang with TCU. They played 752 00:36:20,800 --> 00:36:22,840 Speaker 2: the National Championship game. Last year that they were there 753 00:36:22,960 --> 00:36:25,919 Speaker 2: was by fifty. You know. Last week was Matt Ruhle 754 00:36:25,960 --> 00:36:30,160 Speaker 2: and this made up you know shade that Matt rules. 755 00:36:30,200 --> 00:36:32,360 Speaker 2: He made a couple of comments about I'm not always 756 00:36:32,440 --> 00:36:36,279 Speaker 2: on camera and we don't talk. We've worked and the 757 00:36:36,560 --> 00:36:39,480 Speaker 2: couple of transfer portal things. It just made up stuff. 758 00:36:39,719 --> 00:36:41,359 Speaker 2: I mean that rule didn't come out and say, Dion, 759 00:36:41,480 --> 00:36:44,800 Speaker 2: you're doing it all wrong or beyond that. That's what 760 00:36:44,920 --> 00:36:48,400 Speaker 2: they do. They you know, Deon Fine Stains put it 761 00:36:48,480 --> 00:36:51,279 Speaker 2: in his player's head. He's a tremendous motivator. So guess 762 00:36:51,320 --> 00:36:54,080 Speaker 2: what this is. This is the in state rivalry. This 763 00:36:54,320 --> 00:36:57,520 Speaker 2: is you know, everybody thinks you aren't the better team 764 00:36:57,560 --> 00:37:02,759 Speaker 2: in Colorado, which is Cora. I mean thinks what we're 765 00:37:03,200 --> 00:37:05,960 Speaker 2: you know, a better team th Colorado last year. It's 766 00:37:06,000 --> 00:37:08,799 Speaker 2: hard to be worse. So he's gonna use that. They're 767 00:37:08,800 --> 00:37:11,320 Speaker 2: gonna win this geame probably play thirty five points. I 768 00:37:11,440 --> 00:37:14,000 Speaker 2: think coloradeskied as a new quarterback. There's a lot of 769 00:37:14,120 --> 00:37:17,200 Speaker 2: issues that COLORADESI has to deal with here, and they 770 00:37:17,360 --> 00:37:20,920 Speaker 2: can't stop the passes door set, so they're gonna get 771 00:37:21,000 --> 00:37:25,640 Speaker 2: absolutely drummed. I wouldn't touch the over under. I would 772 00:37:25,719 --> 00:37:28,160 Speaker 2: go with the side and take Colorado to win this one. 773 00:37:29,480 --> 00:37:31,080 Speaker 2: I mean five touchdowns. 774 00:37:32,160 --> 00:37:34,839 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean it's going to be a route for sure. 775 00:37:34,960 --> 00:37:37,920 Speaker 1: I'm with you guys on this one. That's all the game. 776 00:37:38,000 --> 00:37:40,320 Speaker 1: That's all the nationally televised games, Thoor, any of the 777 00:37:40,360 --> 00:37:42,120 Speaker 1: games that we didn't cover here that you have a 778 00:37:42,239 --> 00:37:43,920 Speaker 1: really good feeling on that you want to tell the 779 00:37:43,960 --> 00:37:44,520 Speaker 1: people about. 780 00:37:45,640 --> 00:37:49,040 Speaker 3: I'm on Southern miss plus the points and big time 781 00:37:49,080 --> 00:37:51,040 Speaker 3: on the under of that game, guys. I don't think 782 00:37:51,080 --> 00:37:53,279 Speaker 3: Michael Pratt's playing for two lanes. So we hit that 783 00:37:53,400 --> 00:37:55,719 Speaker 3: one at the open. The over under in that game 784 00:37:55,760 --> 00:37:58,640 Speaker 3: has fallen from fifty three it open to forty nine 785 00:37:58,640 --> 00:38:00,560 Speaker 3: and a half at least before we start recording in 786 00:38:00,640 --> 00:38:03,359 Speaker 3: this game, and that's before the Pratt news has come out. 787 00:38:03,360 --> 00:38:05,880 Speaker 3: I think that thing's going to fall further, so that 788 00:38:06,000 --> 00:38:08,200 Speaker 3: would be one. I'd also get on Southern Mists before 789 00:38:08,440 --> 00:38:12,000 Speaker 3: that dudes comes out, so that would be one. A 790 00:38:12,080 --> 00:38:16,080 Speaker 3: couple other ones that we we didn't talk about. I 791 00:38:17,400 --> 00:38:20,880 Speaker 3: see Kansas State. I like whatever they're laying against Missouri. 792 00:38:21,160 --> 00:38:22,840 Speaker 3: I don't think we hit on that one. I like 793 00:38:22,960 --> 00:38:26,120 Speaker 3: that one. I'm laying the points with Maryland against Virginia 794 00:38:27,040 --> 00:38:29,239 Speaker 3: for a couple of reasons, but yeah, they're way better 795 00:38:29,320 --> 00:38:32,800 Speaker 3: than them, Farrell. I also got to fade your Yukon 796 00:38:32,920 --> 00:38:34,920 Speaker 3: Huskies this week. I'm taking the ten and a half 797 00:38:35,000 --> 00:38:39,719 Speaker 3: points with Florida International Tyres going into stores. 798 00:38:40,160 --> 00:38:42,960 Speaker 2: I don't even like them. I don't. I like Jim 799 00:38:43,000 --> 00:38:45,800 Speaker 2: Mora junior than I hated Randy order Patch and I 800 00:38:45,960 --> 00:38:49,239 Speaker 2: hated Yukon. I went there for a year, drank my 801 00:38:49,320 --> 00:38:53,920 Speaker 2: way out a week seven GPA. I could play in 802 00:38:54,120 --> 00:38:57,480 Speaker 2: Yukon as my own that went there. Actually any classes 803 00:38:57,760 --> 00:39:01,040 Speaker 2: I don't like Yukon. That might be hecs my team 804 00:39:01,080 --> 00:39:02,960 Speaker 2: and a stink and you condly beat them straight up. 805 00:39:03,000 --> 00:39:05,080 Speaker 2: But I get it. So one thing, I think, you know, 806 00:39:05,160 --> 00:39:09,080 Speaker 2: whatever the line is for Vama us take Bama now. 807 00:39:09,160 --> 00:39:11,000 Speaker 2: I don't think this is a scary Vamba team. I 808 00:39:11,000 --> 00:39:12,839 Speaker 2: don't think this is a good Bamba team. A lot 809 00:39:12,880 --> 00:39:15,879 Speaker 2: of issues, you know, but they're angry now, Oh they're 810 00:39:15,920 --> 00:39:18,359 Speaker 2: really angry, and Saban's gonna rile them up and they're 811 00:39:18,360 --> 00:39:22,719 Speaker 2: gonna win this team probably like forty points. You know, 812 00:39:23,200 --> 00:39:25,600 Speaker 2: it doesn't change it to take It doesn't mean Alabama 813 00:39:25,640 --> 00:39:28,080 Speaker 2: as a national title contender. But you know people will 814 00:39:28,200 --> 00:39:30,759 Speaker 2: be slightly off to ye oh my gosh, he lost 815 00:39:30,800 --> 00:39:33,719 Speaker 2: that hold the barges definitor hold up, blah blah blah 816 00:39:33,760 --> 00:39:36,879 Speaker 2: blah Bush. You know they're gonna drill them and then 817 00:39:37,040 --> 00:39:39,239 Speaker 2: he's going to refocus for the the you know, the 818 00:39:39,440 --> 00:39:44,440 Speaker 2: sc schedule but it's funny because LSU and Alabama were 819 00:39:44,480 --> 00:39:48,399 Speaker 2: their prohibitive favorites in the NCC West. I think both 820 00:39:49,080 --> 00:39:51,839 Speaker 2: are average football teams and then don't have a shot 821 00:39:51,920 --> 00:39:54,840 Speaker 2: at the playoff whatsoever. And that opens it up for 822 00:39:54,960 --> 00:39:57,680 Speaker 2: another team, you know, from the Power five, because I 823 00:39:57,680 --> 00:39:59,640 Speaker 2: think you're gonna have Georgia from then SEC and not 824 00:39:59,760 --> 00:40:03,200 Speaker 2: a I can keep. But Saban's gonna run it up 825 00:40:03,239 --> 00:40:03,839 Speaker 2: against us. 826 00:40:05,160 --> 00:40:07,000 Speaker 1: Any other games that you like this week Pharaoh that 827 00:40:07,080 --> 00:40:07,560 Speaker 1: we didn't cover. 828 00:40:08,239 --> 00:40:11,120 Speaker 2: That was the big one, you know, the Nick Saban 829 00:40:11,200 --> 00:40:13,480 Speaker 2: thing I took. You remember we talked about it last week. 830 00:40:13,640 --> 00:40:17,279 Speaker 2: Thor and I took Texas, you know, getting seven. 831 00:40:17,120 --> 00:40:17,960 Speaker 3: All three of us did. 832 00:40:18,600 --> 00:40:23,279 Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, yeah, what do you expect from him? 833 00:40:23,360 --> 00:40:28,520 Speaker 4: I mean, he's gotta take Texas against everything? Yes, I have, yeah, 834 00:40:28,600 --> 00:40:31,640 Speaker 4: you know it was it was painful to take that. 835 00:40:31,800 --> 00:40:33,600 Speaker 4: And I still thought Alabama will win the game and 836 00:40:33,680 --> 00:40:36,279 Speaker 4: figure out a later when the so and they did not. 837 00:40:39,000 --> 00:40:41,640 Speaker 4: Just betting against Nick Saban feels weird. 838 00:40:42,280 --> 00:40:45,399 Speaker 2: Doesn't make sense to me. I won. So now I'm 839 00:40:45,400 --> 00:40:47,880 Speaker 2: gonna double down a little hit on you know, taking 840 00:40:48,000 --> 00:40:50,239 Speaker 2: say that, and the lines for Alabama were going to 841 00:40:50,280 --> 00:40:52,600 Speaker 2: be deflated quite a bit for the rest of the season, 842 00:40:52,640 --> 00:40:54,399 Speaker 2: which is gonna be interesting. You can make some money 843 00:40:54,440 --> 00:40:57,279 Speaker 2: on Alabama this year, so that's the one I'm pointing to. 844 00:40:57,960 --> 00:41:01,480 Speaker 2: I know Thora's got you know. I like Kansas State 845 00:41:02,160 --> 00:41:06,399 Speaker 2: over Missouri as well. I think they're tough, solid football team. 846 00:41:06,560 --> 00:41:10,000 Speaker 2: UVA could be the worst team in college football. I 847 00:41:10,080 --> 00:41:12,600 Speaker 2: mean it's kind of saying a lot that they're really 848 00:41:12,680 --> 00:41:16,680 Speaker 2: really bad. I mean, JM, you beat them. They couldn't 849 00:41:16,680 --> 00:41:20,560 Speaker 2: even hang with a Tennessee team that looked swoppy. They 850 00:41:20,760 --> 00:41:23,920 Speaker 2: stink Tony Elliott. You need to fit there. So I 851 00:41:24,040 --> 00:41:25,640 Speaker 2: agree with Thor in a couple of those games. 852 00:41:26,840 --> 00:41:29,200 Speaker 1: All right, Well, that will wrap it us up for 853 00:41:29,360 --> 00:41:33,160 Speaker 1: us today for the Week three preview show here on 854 00:41:33,360 --> 00:41:36,120 Speaker 1: Betting Pros. Remember follow us all on Twitter at Bogman 855 00:41:36,160 --> 00:41:39,279 Speaker 1: Sports for myself, at Thor Ku Thor and at m 856 00:41:39,520 --> 00:41:42,040 Speaker 1: Ferrell Sports to ours, two l's for Mike, and we 857 00:41:42,080 --> 00:41:44,440 Speaker 1: will see you guys next week. Taking easy, everybody,