WEBVTT - FINAL NFL Week 2 bets: Bills-Jets, Giants-Cowboys, Eagles-Chiefs, Rams-Titans & more 0:00:00.320 --> 0:00:04.080 Welcome to Sharper Square, presented by hard Rock I Bet. 0:00:04.080 --> 0:00:07.000 We are part of the Volume podcast Network. This is 0:00:07.040 --> 0:00:10.799 the betting show that makes the squares sharper and makes 0:00:10.800 --> 0:00:13.320 the wise guys pay attention. I am Chad Milman. I 0:00:13.360 --> 0:00:16.960 am joined by my cro host, my bff, my companion, Mikepadre, 0:00:17.400 --> 0:00:22.040 Professional Better Signmon Hunter. Hello, Simon, Chad. 0:00:21.920 --> 0:00:23.759 Good morning, Happy week to brother. 0:00:23.840 --> 0:00:25.880 Week two, My man. This is the strip down in 0:00:25.960 --> 0:00:29.520 the room eavesdropping version of Sharper Square. We will be 0:00:29.600 --> 0:00:32.280 doing this Sunday mornings during the season. Most listeners know 0:00:32.800 --> 0:00:36.440 Simon and I have entered against the spread pick them 0:00:36.520 --> 0:00:39.320 contests every season. We have done the show together five 0:00:39.360 --> 0:00:43.200 games against the spread. Every week. You and I always 0:00:43.240 --> 0:00:46.239 have a ten to fifteen minute conversation that nobody ever 0:00:46.320 --> 0:00:49.320 got to hear. To review our final picks. Make sure 0:00:49.320 --> 0:00:53.120 we didn't include games where injuries have been reported or 0:00:53.159 --> 0:00:55.600 we were on the wrong side of massive line, massive 0:00:55.600 --> 0:01:01.480 line moves. This is that conversations. Sometimes it's easy. I 0:01:01.480 --> 0:01:04.720 feel like today is going to be pretty easy. Sometimes 0:01:04.720 --> 0:01:09.120 it's hard. We're going to have to figure it out together. 0:01:09.800 --> 0:01:11.160 You're ridid role as Simon. 0:01:12.640 --> 0:01:13.360 Ready brother. 0:01:13.520 --> 0:01:15.160 All Right, So Listen, these are the games we had 0:01:15.240 --> 0:01:21.600 zeroed in on the other day, Rams at Tennessee contest 0:01:21.680 --> 0:01:23.600 line is five and a half. It's still five and 0:01:23.640 --> 0:01:29.120 a half. This was our brass balls bet again. We 0:01:29.240 --> 0:01:31.640 thought the Rams would be down two o line men. 0:01:32.200 --> 0:01:36.080 They are only down one left guard, Steve Avila. Look, 0:01:36.200 --> 0:01:37.880 I bet it at five and a half. I still 0:01:38.000 --> 0:01:41.920 like it at this number. No reason for me to 0:01:42.040 --> 0:01:43.080 walk away, what about you? 0:01:44.520 --> 0:01:46.840 Yeah, and people are going to see a theme here. 0:01:47.200 --> 0:01:51.200 There's bets we've made. We like. My fear with these 0:01:51.280 --> 0:01:53.200 bets that we made is that they're just kind of 0:01:53.480 --> 0:01:54.280 flat numbers. 0:01:54.360 --> 0:01:57.000 Right, we're betting a five and a half. We'd obviously 0:01:57.000 --> 0:01:58.760 before the six and a half. We're kind of again, 0:01:58.760 --> 0:02:00.760 we're betting into a number that's good number, but it's not. 0:02:01.960 --> 0:02:05.960 It's not great. No, it really isn't because it's the Rams. 0:02:06.040 --> 0:02:09.560 We know we're betting against Stafford, who, Yeah, you didn't 0:02:09.600 --> 0:02:12.600 look great last week, but this is week two, like 0:02:12.760 --> 0:02:16.880 we this really is. It's just so early that you 0:02:16.960 --> 0:02:18.600 can't you try not to take too much away from 0:02:18.639 --> 0:02:22.000 week one, right, Chad, So looking at this this game, 0:02:22.760 --> 0:02:25.520 I think my feeling is probably the same as yours. 0:02:25.600 --> 0:02:25.800 Is that. 0:02:27.280 --> 0:02:30.000 This Tennessee team just is not as bad as people 0:02:30.080 --> 0:02:34.160 think they are. And you know, we're rolling the dice 0:02:34.200 --> 0:02:35.840 you on cam Ward because I like, I think we 0:02:35.880 --> 0:02:38.720 both agree. We thought he looked better than the game 0:02:38.760 --> 0:02:42.639 played out against the Broncos, and uh, this Rams team 0:02:42.680 --> 0:02:44.880 should not be as good, especially in the secondary, as 0:02:44.880 --> 0:02:48.720 that Broncos team. But we know, betting on a rookie 0:02:48.960 --> 0:02:52.400 in this spot against McVay and Stafford, you could get rolled. 0:02:52.720 --> 0:02:56.000 So to me, people out there, if you're fighting. 0:02:55.760 --> 0:02:58.560 This one, I get it. But when I stand on 0:02:58.639 --> 0:03:01.560 this one, it's just got it. At four, it's five 0:03:01.639 --> 0:03:04.679 and a half. I love cam Ward, I love this 0:03:04.880 --> 0:03:08.040 matchup for this Tennessee's defense, and you know, like you said, 0:03:08.080 --> 0:03:10.520 we wish both guys were out obviously betting this Tennessee 0:03:10.560 --> 0:03:13.520 tie with Jeffrey Simmons, but I don't think it matters. 0:03:13.600 --> 0:03:16.120 I think he's that dominant and we have so many 0:03:16.240 --> 0:03:19.400 questions about that offensive line. And you saw with Houston 0:03:19.520 --> 0:03:23.359 that Houston much better pass attack, I'll agree than this 0:03:23.440 --> 0:03:26.160 Tennessee team, but they didn't have any Houston have anyone 0:03:26.200 --> 0:03:28.200 in the middle like Jeffrey Simmons, and I think that's 0:03:28.240 --> 0:03:30.200 something people are gonna see that's gonna be a big 0:03:30.240 --> 0:03:34.440 weakness for this RAMS team. So yeah, scary, scary spot 0:03:34.560 --> 0:03:37.040 taking the rookie year. But I love this Tennessee team. 0:03:37.240 --> 0:03:39.600 I think they're still being overvalued. I'm sure we'll be 0:03:39.640 --> 0:03:41.440 on the other side of them, but as we stayed 0:03:41.480 --> 0:03:44.440 there in week two, it's still all public money right 0:03:44.480 --> 0:03:46.240 now on this RAMS side. So we're feeling pretty good 0:03:46.280 --> 0:03:50.520 about this Tennessee and just the number we're taking it 0:03:50.560 --> 0:03:52.240 five and a half. If you can find the six, 0:03:52.320 --> 0:03:53.640 obviously people get the six. 0:03:54.480 --> 0:03:57.920 I I think we're gonna we're gonna talk about games 0:03:57.920 --> 0:04:00.960 where there's sort of a five and a half versus 0:04:01.040 --> 0:04:04.640 six and a half. And look, I feel comfortable at 0:04:04.640 --> 0:04:06.720 the five and a half. Five is kind of a 0:04:06.760 --> 0:04:10.960 dead number. There's a big difference going from five to 0:04:11.040 --> 0:04:12.520 five and a half six six and a half. 0:04:12.640 --> 0:04:15.480 Yeah, and you just said it's dead numbers. 0:04:15.560 --> 0:04:18.560 Dead number, So five and a half. I feel totally 0:04:18.600 --> 0:04:21.520 good about it. I actually am feeling more confident about 0:04:21.560 --> 0:04:23.080 it in my head than I think the way you 0:04:23.279 --> 0:04:24.560 sound about it. 0:04:25.000 --> 0:04:27.479 So just about picked behind the curtage, Chad. 0:04:27.600 --> 0:04:29.320 I did tell you I went to a wedding yesterday 0:04:29.320 --> 0:04:32.800 and I've been literally working through the night. So I like, 0:04:33.240 --> 0:04:34.880 if it sounds like I've been awake for thirty six 0:04:34.960 --> 0:04:36.800 hours and I went to a wedding in between, that 0:04:37.120 --> 0:04:37.600 it's true. 0:04:37.960 --> 0:04:38.719 That is factual. 0:04:38.920 --> 0:04:40.960 I'm not gonna lie to you. You don't sound great, 0:04:41.240 --> 0:04:45.520 you don't sound like you had a rested evening, and 0:04:45.640 --> 0:04:47.040 you are ready to sit down. 0:04:47.360 --> 0:04:48.600 And I wish I could say it was fun, but 0:04:48.640 --> 0:04:50.400 I cula'tve enjoyed the wedding because all I was doing 0:04:50.440 --> 0:04:52.280 in my mind was just thinking football. It was. It 0:04:52.360 --> 0:04:53.880 was honestly, I got a problem. 0:04:54.279 --> 0:04:56.600 Yeah that's the way some people would say you've got 0:04:56.640 --> 0:04:57.160 a great life. 0:04:58.440 --> 0:04:59.040 Yeah I do. 0:04:59.240 --> 0:05:01.280 I tell people I do for six months out of 0:05:01.279 --> 0:05:03.600 the year, but the other six months it's just all 0:05:03.680 --> 0:05:04.080 I'm doing. 0:05:04.200 --> 0:05:04.560 Honestly. 0:05:04.600 --> 0:05:06.080 It's like, even though we had a good week last week, 0:05:06.120 --> 0:05:08.640 I was already on the week two in my mind 0:05:08.760 --> 0:05:11.200 about four o'clock midway through Sunday last week. 0:05:11.320 --> 0:05:13.680 So it's I'm excited for this week. I mean, I 0:05:13.800 --> 0:05:17.520 love these lines, but I'm already like, man, week two, 0:05:18.680 --> 0:05:20.680 you just hear so much noise again, We're we're gonna 0:05:20.680 --> 0:05:22.400 have these games here. It's just crazy. 0:05:22.480 --> 0:05:24.760 The feedback I'm getting from our show because just our 0:05:24.800 --> 0:05:27.120 show's gotten so big. Now I'm just hearing so much noise. 0:05:27.160 --> 0:05:27.920 It's crazy. 0:05:28.560 --> 0:05:30.280 Block out the noise. Let's focus on us. 0:05:31.080 --> 0:05:32.640 That's true, right that. 0:05:33.080 --> 0:05:36.320 It's like any healthy relationship, Simon, focus on you and me, 0:05:36.680 --> 0:05:38.920 And right now, you and I are going to talk 0:05:38.960 --> 0:05:42.680 about the Bills at the Jets. The Jets six and 0:05:42.760 --> 0:05:45.640 a half. Okay, it has been stuck on six and 0:05:45.680 --> 0:05:48.800 a half. I have not met this yet. I am 0:05:48.920 --> 0:05:52.479 going to, but I'm kind of hoping it'll get to seven. 0:05:52.600 --> 0:05:54.520 I don't think it's going to get there, but that's 0:05:54.560 --> 0:05:57.880 sort of why I've been hanging on. We still like 0:05:57.960 --> 0:05:59.640 it at six and a half. It will be one 0:05:59.680 --> 0:06:02.280 of our final five. I've been liking it more and 0:06:02.400 --> 0:06:04.360 more as the week is going on. I've really been 0:06:04.440 --> 0:06:08.360 thinking about the Jets are not interested in moral victories. 0:06:09.120 --> 0:06:12.120 I love the way they played last week the more 0:06:12.360 --> 0:06:15.280 and I have rewatched that game. I love their offense. 0:06:16.520 --> 0:06:19.640 I feel like they had an incredible game and they 0:06:19.680 --> 0:06:22.040 should have won that game, and they were on the 0:06:22.120 --> 0:06:25.640 wrong side of luck in that game, and the Bills 0:06:25.839 --> 0:06:29.080 just had such an emotional win a late night game. 0:06:29.640 --> 0:06:33.160 Now going on the road, they're not going to have 0:06:33.360 --> 0:06:36.200 that same emotional lift and their defense is in real trouble, 0:06:36.600 --> 0:06:42.160 especially in the defensive backfield. No fear, no fear on 0:06:42.200 --> 0:06:43.000 the Jets at six. 0:06:42.880 --> 0:06:43.200 And a half. 0:06:44.600 --> 0:06:47.880 Yeah, and for our show, you know, the Sharper square side, 0:06:47.960 --> 0:06:51.040 this is definitely our sharpest pick most likely where it's 0:06:52.560 --> 0:06:54.520 shaking me a little public here, right, because there's always 0:06:54.520 --> 0:06:56.960 going to be those fans of Justin Fields and saw 0:06:57.000 --> 0:06:58.680 what he did last week, and they're just gonna blindly 0:06:58.720 --> 0:07:02.240 bet the Jets here. But I think they're kind of 0:07:02.480 --> 0:07:04.240 partially getting the picture of it, which is my view 0:07:04.279 --> 0:07:06.360 of it coming into the season, where I know it 0:07:06.440 --> 0:07:09.520 sounded crazy talking about in August, but this is the 0:07:09.680 --> 0:07:13.080 Ravens light this Jets offense, right, you have a mobile 0:07:13.160 --> 0:07:15.080 quarterback that can push the ball down the field. 0:07:15.800 --> 0:07:18.000 And you know, say what you want about Brestaw, he's 0:07:18.000 --> 0:07:18.840 a talented running back. 0:07:18.960 --> 0:07:23.040 So they're not gonna obviously put up the type of 0:07:23.120 --> 0:07:25.480 numbers the Ravens do, but we're not looking for that. 0:07:25.560 --> 0:07:26.920 We're looking for a team that can. 0:07:26.880 --> 0:07:31.600 Do an outside zone Reid options. That's all the Ravens 0:07:31.640 --> 0:07:35.080 simply did against that Bills team and it was you know, 0:07:35.600 --> 0:07:37.560 felt like the bad at that thousand, it was perfect. 0:07:37.680 --> 0:07:39.560 It could not be stopped. I mean the one on 0:07:39.720 --> 0:07:43.440 one you saw the gaping holes. Now, yeah, Jets offensive 0:07:43.520 --> 0:07:46.440 line step down from the Ravens. They're running back is 0:07:46.480 --> 0:07:48.480 a step down from the Ravens. The quarterback is a 0:07:48.520 --> 0:07:52.480 step down. We're not looking for forty points here, right, 0:07:52.560 --> 0:07:55.040 We're looking for fields can get us up to that 0:07:55.200 --> 0:07:58.080 twenty four to thirty points, keep us in range because 0:07:58.120 --> 0:08:00.200 Josh Allen's going to get his we know, we know 0:08:00.280 --> 0:08:02.400 we're been in two year chat. We're we've been into 0:08:02.440 --> 0:08:04.800 the raven I mean the bills last week, so you 0:08:04.880 --> 0:08:08.360 know it's a good number. There's a there's a really 0:08:08.440 --> 0:08:10.400 public book out there that's already moved a five and 0:08:10.440 --> 0:08:12.960 a half. So if they're at five and a half, 0:08:13.000 --> 0:08:15.160 I'm assuming these other very public books moved that way. 0:08:15.240 --> 0:08:17.920 I know hard Rock, you know, they're at five and 0:08:17.960 --> 0:08:21.480 a half now as well. And here in Jersey they're 0:08:21.560 --> 0:08:23.960 been bouncing between the six and a half and the six. 0:08:24.680 --> 0:08:26.400 This morning hard Rock went to five and a half. 0:08:26.720 --> 0:08:31.200 It's a big deal. So you know, the professional side 0:08:31.320 --> 0:08:34.720 is going to be this Jets side. And we talked 0:08:34.760 --> 0:08:37.280 about all the teasers, all of it. It's all going 0:08:37.360 --> 0:08:38.080 to be bills money. 0:08:38.160 --> 0:08:39.679 So I like you, like you. 0:08:39.800 --> 0:08:41.280 I feel confident in our spot, and I'm just so 0:08:41.400 --> 0:08:43.360 happy we have the six and a half because we 0:08:43.440 --> 0:08:46.720 need every point here against Josh Allen. So good, good number, 0:08:47.080 --> 0:08:51.920 good spot, underrated Jets team that's in my mind. We're 0:08:52.000 --> 0:08:54.240 praying they pull off the upset and it's a nice, 0:08:54.360 --> 0:08:58.240 nice fade next week on this Jets team because they're, 0:08:58.800 --> 0:09:02.199 you know, a sixty yard field goal away from being 0:09:02.240 --> 0:09:04.280 one to oher from last week and in the spot 0:09:04.679 --> 0:09:06.600 that the potential could be two and oh and it's 0:09:06.720 --> 0:09:09.719 like I think the general public is still sleep on 0:09:09.800 --> 0:09:14.920 this team. And yeah, once again we're banking on fields 0:09:15.200 --> 0:09:17.559 as a as a dog higher than three, which is 0:09:17.640 --> 0:09:19.760 usually a good spot to back them. So six and 0:09:19.800 --> 0:09:21.600 a half will take that every time in the contest. 0:09:21.880 --> 0:09:24.559 By the way, while you were talking, I started getting 0:09:24.559 --> 0:09:27.040 nervous that this line was moving in the apposite direction. 0:09:28.280 --> 0:09:30.320 So I bet the six and a half. If people 0:09:30.360 --> 0:09:32.400 are watching and they saw me squinting and looking away, 0:09:32.440 --> 0:09:34.679 it's only because I decided to We're not going to 0:09:34.720 --> 0:09:35.280 get that seven. 0:09:35.440 --> 0:09:37.000 I'm not going to get I just never thought I 0:09:37.000 --> 0:09:37.719 was gonna get back there. 0:09:37.920 --> 0:09:39.440 I got that. I took the six and a half. 0:09:39.440 --> 0:09:41.480 I tried to be as patient as I could. All Right, 0:09:42.920 --> 0:09:46.760 Titans and Jets, pretty sharp plays so far. We're on 0:09:46.840 --> 0:09:48.559 the sharp side in both of those games. Five and 0:09:48.600 --> 0:09:49.560 a half and six and a half. 0:09:51.360 --> 0:09:53.600 I definitely say the sharp the sharp number for the Titans, 0:09:53.640 --> 0:09:54.240 that was the six. 0:09:55.160 --> 0:09:57.319 Yeah, but the sharp side is still going to be 0:09:57.360 --> 0:10:02.400 the Titans regardless. The New York Giants at Dallas, Dallas 0:10:02.520 --> 0:10:08.120 at five and a half, pretty much settling there. We know, 0:10:08.320 --> 0:10:10.880 we got a little bit of grief from wise guys 0:10:11.240 --> 0:10:16.160 that we were on the square side on Thursday. I'm 0:10:16.240 --> 0:10:19.920 seeing everything everyone is saying. Russell Wilson will be better 0:10:20.040 --> 0:10:25.760 against this Cowboys' secondary than he was against the Commander's secondary. 0:10:26.480 --> 0:10:31.640 Deron Bland is out for the Cowboys. I'm just looking 0:10:32.080 --> 0:10:38.599 purely at a quarterback quarterback situation. I'm gonna bet on 0:10:38.760 --> 0:10:43.120 dak at home in a dead number that is lower 0:10:43.200 --> 0:10:46.480 than six. Andrew Thomas out for the Giants. This team 0:10:46.520 --> 0:10:48.520 has not been able to figure out how to protect 0:10:48.600 --> 0:10:51.040 quarterbacks or how to run the ball when Andrew Thomas 0:10:51.080 --> 0:10:55.240 has been out the past two seasons, Wandale Robinson limited 0:10:55.280 --> 0:10:57.800 in practice, questionable for the game. If he does play, 0:10:57.840 --> 0:11:00.200 he will be hobbled. He had more receptions last week 0:11:00.240 --> 0:11:04.280 and thelak neighbors. So I don't love the roster that 0:11:04.360 --> 0:11:06.439 the Giants are putting on the field, and I do 0:11:06.640 --> 0:11:08.280 love what the Cowboys can do at home with a 0:11:08.360 --> 0:11:10.400 much better quarterback. So I'm still on the Cowboys. 0:11:11.800 --> 0:11:14.640 Yeah, I'm trying to find the Andrew Thomas news because 0:11:14.640 --> 0:11:16.880 that to me, I'm right there with you. That's a 0:11:17.040 --> 0:11:17.560 huge deal. 0:11:17.880 --> 0:11:19.080 He's been doubtful all week. 0:11:19.360 --> 0:11:21.920 The expectations practice all week either, like. 0:11:22.000 --> 0:11:23.800 The expectations are that he will not play. 0:11:24.200 --> 0:11:24.800 I agree with you. 0:11:25.000 --> 0:11:27.320 I was just hoping, I'd hope. I was hoping Cheffy 0:11:27.320 --> 0:11:29.920 would do is like three a m. Tweet he was out, 0:11:30.080 --> 0:11:33.960 but never came. I'm not gonna lie to I sat 0:11:34.040 --> 0:11:36.000 there at one point for like thirty minutes just dead 0:11:36.040 --> 0:11:39.199 staring in social media because I was just like, tweet it. 0:11:41.120 --> 0:11:44.240 I like, you have been checking this NonStop, Like I 0:11:44.320 --> 0:11:46.880 really I want it to be true because I think 0:11:46.920 --> 0:11:49.800 it's key to the bet. And we're look, that's what 0:11:49.880 --> 0:11:53.000 we're doing. We're anticipating, we're prognosticating we're. 0:11:54.360 --> 0:11:57.880 All that. I just need it because it's this is 0:11:58.120 --> 0:12:02.520 such Oh it's spot we never take like this is 0:12:04.559 --> 0:12:07.000 a gift. I can't believe this is under six. 0:12:08.000 --> 0:12:11.559 It's been getting pounded all week by the public and 0:12:11.720 --> 0:12:16.120 professionals alike. And we talked about the the pros came 0:12:16.200 --> 0:12:19.480 in on the Giant side every time it touches six. 0:12:19.920 --> 0:12:25.080 So scary, scary, scary, scary. But I'm just gonna keep 0:12:25.120 --> 0:12:30.080 believing in they just overvaling a Giants team. And why 0:12:30.120 --> 0:12:32.440 wouldn't the public be on this Cowboys team? 0:12:32.520 --> 0:12:32.600 Right? 0:12:32.679 --> 0:12:37.440 They look good in a primetime game, which I mean 0:12:37.520 --> 0:12:40.480 you talked about that CD drops. How does CD not 0:12:40.600 --> 0:12:42.240 come out here where one hundred and fifty yards I 0:12:42.280 --> 0:12:46.080 saw Cowherd took his prop. I know it's super choky, 0:12:46.120 --> 0:12:48.439 but I love to play because it's like this man 0:12:49.320 --> 0:12:51.280 I saw the night they got back from that Eagles game. 0:12:51.280 --> 0:12:52.679 He apparently went to the facility and just use the 0:12:52.760 --> 0:12:55.440 jug machine, which you could say, oh, that's a looking 0:12:55.520 --> 0:12:55.839 me thing. 0:12:56.559 --> 0:12:58.959 This dude's got the money. He's not out there for 0:12:59.080 --> 0:13:01.640 look at me. This is this is more than that. 0:13:01.760 --> 0:13:03.280 This is a true high level competitor. 0:13:03.400 --> 0:13:08.160 So CD pickens I don't see how the secondary of 0:13:08.320 --> 0:13:10.640 that Giants team stops that that one. 0:13:10.760 --> 0:13:10.920 Two. 0:13:12.160 --> 0:13:14.679 Obviously, the running game will struggle for the Cowboys. It's 0:13:14.720 --> 0:13:17.559 not gonna be like the Eagles without Jaalen Carter. That 0:13:17.800 --> 0:13:19.959 to be will be the difference maybe the game, and 0:13:20.040 --> 0:13:21.679 that's maybe the Giants can attack it. But like you 0:13:21.840 --> 0:13:25.160 just said, we both think Russ looked absolutely finished against 0:13:25.160 --> 0:13:26.120 the Washington defense. 0:13:26.160 --> 0:13:27.560 That you saw. 0:13:27.720 --> 0:13:29.880 The middle of the field for Washington against the Green 0:13:29.920 --> 0:13:33.440 Bay was wide open. They have a thirty six year 0:13:33.440 --> 0:13:37.079 old linebacker and Bobby Wagner trying to cover twenty four 0:13:37.120 --> 0:13:40.640 to twenty five year old tight ends. Like Washington's has 0:13:40.640 --> 0:13:42.760 their own issues, the Giants did not expose a single 0:13:42.800 --> 0:13:44.599 one of them. So yeah, I'm I think we're in 0:13:44.640 --> 0:13:48.439 the same page. It's I'm confident. I know I'm being 0:13:48.559 --> 0:13:50.880 these words. When they win this game by three and 0:13:51.120 --> 0:13:53.800 it's like, how did that just happen? It's weak two, 0:13:54.320 --> 0:13:56.959 It's it's weird things are going to happen. But I 0:13:57.000 --> 0:13:59.040 don't know, it just feel like it's a bad number 0:13:59.080 --> 0:14:00.559 from the books and we're going to good number here. 0:14:00.559 --> 0:14:03.600 So dude, listen, we always know that one of our 0:14:04.000 --> 0:14:08.280 blind spots is not playing favorites in our final five, 0:14:09.280 --> 0:14:13.040 and I think that this is an opportunity where we 0:14:13.160 --> 0:14:16.280 are comfortable with the good quarterback against the bad quarterback 0:14:16.440 --> 0:14:18.719 at home. To me, that's the end, that's that's the 0:14:18.800 --> 0:14:21.560 ball game. And honestly, I think there are harder decisions. 0:14:22.400 --> 0:14:23.720 For example, I. 0:14:23.760 --> 0:14:25.120 Know, I'm just scared because we have two of these 0:14:25.280 --> 0:14:29.200 this week and it's week two. It's like we two. 0:14:29.280 --> 0:14:31.560 We know Week two is such like an overreaction in 0:14:31.600 --> 0:14:35.239 Week one, and I feel like we're not overreacting. 0:14:35.360 --> 0:14:39.960 But yeah, I don't get this line. That's what's freaking 0:14:40.000 --> 0:14:40.480 me out. Chad. 0:14:41.400 --> 0:14:43.280 What pros are putting big money on this? I know 0:14:43.360 --> 0:14:44.840 they're out there. I've talked to them and it's like, 0:14:45.800 --> 0:14:49.120 I can't believe. You just love putting your heavy Your 0:14:49.160 --> 0:14:51.240 biggest bet of the weekend is on Russell Wilson and 0:14:51.320 --> 0:14:53.080 this Giants team back to back weeks. 0:14:53.360 --> 0:14:55.880 Tell me this doesn't feel like the Panthers last year, 0:14:56.160 --> 0:14:58.360 where they have bought in on something they think they 0:14:58.440 --> 0:15:03.160 are seeing with the Giants and it might be six seven, 0:15:03.200 --> 0:15:07.720 eight weeks before everything they thought they saw for the Giants. 0:15:07.800 --> 0:15:11.600 I think it's really about this defensive line coming to 0:15:11.680 --> 0:15:14.920 fruition because the quarterback play is so bad and that 0:15:15.240 --> 0:15:16.360 is undoing everything. 0:15:17.400 --> 0:15:19.600 But it's like this d line against a young guy 0:15:19.840 --> 0:15:22.320 maybe makes sense, but it's like you went, we saw 0:15:22.520 --> 0:15:24.640 last week, but now you're getting Dak. Like Dak is 0:15:24.840 --> 0:15:27.320 just like we talked before the season, he's just an 0:15:27.440 --> 0:15:29.640 underrated guy. And I think that was the biggest wake 0:15:29.720 --> 0:15:32.160 up called the public and most people watching that Eagles game. 0:15:32.200 --> 0:15:34.760 It's like, oh, yeah, this is this is a healthy 0:15:34.920 --> 0:15:37.880 Dak with confidence putting the pushing the ball downfield because 0:15:38.240 --> 0:15:40.400 it's a dying art. These guys just do not push 0:15:40.480 --> 0:15:43.000 the ball fifteen twenty yards down the field anymore. And 0:15:43.480 --> 0:15:45.520 Dak's still in that mode of pushing the ball, taking 0:15:45.600 --> 0:15:48.960 higher risk. And yeah, I think we're in the same Patriot, 0:15:49.000 --> 0:15:51.840 I just the Russell Wilson. This is Jackson Dart. I 0:15:51.920 --> 0:15:55.240 actually would look at this differently, but yeah, it feels 0:15:55.280 --> 0:15:57.560 like there's nothing less than Russ and he might be 0:15:57.640 --> 0:15:59.840 making us eat those words as we meet it later 0:15:59.880 --> 0:16:00.400 on tonight. 0:16:00.640 --> 0:16:02.680 All Right, we're feeling good about Titans, We're feeling good 0:16:02.680 --> 0:16:05.920 about Jets, We're feeling good ish about Cowboys. You said 0:16:05.960 --> 0:16:08.360 we have two of these Philadelphia minus one and a 0:16:08.440 --> 0:16:12.640 half at Kansas City. Some money starting to come in 0:16:12.800 --> 0:16:15.560 on Kansas City this morning. We're starting to see this 0:16:15.720 --> 0:16:21.200 line move back in that direction. If one and a 0:16:21.240 --> 0:16:25.000 half is the prevailing line that people can get, how 0:16:25.080 --> 0:16:27.920 are we feeling about this right now? Because I'll be honest, 0:16:29.560 --> 0:16:36.200 on Thursday, you one hundred percent convinced me that the 0:16:36.280 --> 0:16:38.320 Eagles were the right side. You were on a roll. 0:16:39.360 --> 0:16:42.480 I don't think anything has changed my mind since then. 0:16:42.560 --> 0:16:45.600 But are we courageous enough to make this one of 0:16:45.640 --> 0:16:48.800 our final five when the money might be moving against 0:16:48.880 --> 0:16:51.920 us now? And we know how scary it is to 0:16:51.960 --> 0:16:53.840 bet a game when the line is flipped from plus 0:16:53.920 --> 0:16:54.680 one to minus one? 0:16:56.160 --> 0:16:58.720 It is, But like in my mind a lot of 0:16:58.760 --> 0:17:01.440 stuff this year, with our contest, I've come to realization, 0:17:01.880 --> 0:17:06.760 especially after last week, I'd rather lose this bet here 0:17:07.040 --> 0:17:09.920 on Hurts in this spot than lose it on I 0:17:10.000 --> 0:17:16.720 don't know, Drake may or yeah, Daniel Jones, because I 0:17:16.960 --> 0:17:20.640 like those spots. I like those numbers. But here we're 0:17:20.680 --> 0:17:24.399 getting a good number on a good team. You know, Hurts, 0:17:24.520 --> 0:17:26.320 We've all seen the stats, right. I think he's at 0:17:27.040 --> 0:17:29.719 fifteen straight wins in games he's finished for the Eagles, 0:17:29.960 --> 0:17:35.600 So you know, incredible run on the flip side, this 0:17:35.800 --> 0:17:38.280 could be the low of lows, right, I mean the 0:17:38.320 --> 0:17:41.240 amount of pros I've heard from this week, and I've 0:17:41.320 --> 0:17:45.879 heard what they're saying. I get their position. Anyone can 0:17:45.920 --> 0:17:48.760 see their position coming from a mile away. Right, Oh 0:17:48.840 --> 0:17:52.040 my god, it's my homes. You think moms going over too? 0:17:52.200 --> 0:17:55.120 Like it's never ending amount of who is that guy? 0:17:55.400 --> 0:17:55.520 Is? He? 0:17:55.680 --> 0:17:58.120 Is he a sixty five year old dude from South 0:17:58.200 --> 0:18:01.080 Jersey with a you're in a cigar. 0:18:01.600 --> 0:18:03.119 That's where I'm at. I'm an ac baby. 0:18:04.359 --> 0:18:09.160 It's it's never ending like it's it's so much throwing 0:18:09.200 --> 0:18:12.560 stuff from the past into your face. I get where 0:18:12.560 --> 0:18:14.639 they're coming from because I do take into account what 0:18:14.720 --> 0:18:15.280 happened in the past. 0:18:15.359 --> 0:18:17.879 Obvio seen how big of a deal is. But what 0:18:18.000 --> 0:18:19.840 does it have to do anything with this season? 0:18:19.920 --> 0:18:22.560 That the Chiefs have never been oh too since twenty 0:18:22.680 --> 0:18:26.119 fourteen or in the Mahomes era, in the any Rid air, 0:18:26.200 --> 0:18:28.720 they've never been over too? Have they ever had a 0:18:28.800 --> 0:18:31.520 brutal start where they went to Brazil and then played 0:18:31.520 --> 0:18:34.800 the defending home defending champion at home the following week? 0:18:34.920 --> 0:18:37.920 And did they lose their one and two receiver that 0:18:38.040 --> 0:18:39.119 they desperately needed. 0:18:40.040 --> 0:18:44.800 And it's just and are they all getting other than Mahomes? 0:18:45.840 --> 0:18:49.560 Are their best players closer to mid thirties than early 0:18:49.640 --> 0:18:51.720 thirties right or twenties? 0:18:52.480 --> 0:18:56.320 And it's football, Like the football, nothing lasts forever in 0:18:56.359 --> 0:19:02.080 the sport. I mean that Belichick, Brady Error, the greatness, 0:19:03.040 --> 0:19:06.359 Randy Moss, Gronk, all these amazing pieces. Raindy never got 0:19:06.440 --> 0:19:11.520 a ring with those teams. Like there's just there's windows 0:19:11.600 --> 0:19:15.480 for these different organizations. And I'm not saying this is 0:19:15.520 --> 0:19:18.040 the window closed on this team, but this team is 0:19:18.080 --> 0:19:20.159 going to be so different November than they are right 0:19:20.240 --> 0:19:22.560 now with this Chiefs team, and they're being priced in 0:19:22.640 --> 0:19:27.639 this game like this is a November game. So I 0:19:27.800 --> 0:19:30.959 make the line two and a half. It's one crazy 0:19:31.040 --> 0:19:35.240 good value on this Eagle side. And I get the 0:19:35.320 --> 0:19:38.440 professional side, right. This is you know, every talk in 0:19:38.520 --> 0:19:41.000