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Speaker 1: The Action Network podcast, named vest vetting Podcast or radio

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Speaker 1: show by the Fantasy Sports and Gaming Association and the

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Speaker 1: number one show for the invested sports fan.

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Speaker 2: All Right, here we go.

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Speaker 3: Fifteen, twenty, twenty five, thirty thirty five, forty forty five

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Speaker 3: fifty The.

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Speaker 4: Kicks Block Look college Football World Stander.

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Speaker 5: Oh my goodness, it's.

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Speaker 6: Stomble the football, the lateral turn, a counter on.

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Speaker 5: The inside, get you the lad.

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Speaker 6: Table off the field tonight.

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Speaker 2: It's not the sage of the game in the fight,

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Speaker 2: it's the sage of the fight.

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Speaker 6: What's up, the general nation? Welcome to the Action net

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Speaker 6: Work Podcast.

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Speaker 3: This is the College Football Betting Preview Week six. I'm

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Speaker 3: Stucky in with me as always is Colin Wilson. We

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Speaker 3: have some big boy matchups this week, and college football

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Speaker 3: is officially back.

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Speaker 6: You're excited.

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Speaker 2: By excited, I mean we have Miami and Clemson. We

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Speaker 2: have the Red River Shootout. You can't say shootout. You

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Speaker 2: have the Red River Showdown. You got SEC in full swing.

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Speaker 2: Is there anything more exciting than having all this and

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Speaker 2: the fact that we get a UMass game next week?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, it's amazing. UMass is going to to Georgia Southern,

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Speaker 3: so we'll be talking about that next week. We have

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Speaker 3: a loaded show. We're gonna first start off with our

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Speaker 3: marquee games. We'll talk Texas Oklahoma vah Tech, uncre just

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Speaker 3: a number of ranked matchups Tennessee, Georgia, Miami, Clemson, and

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Speaker 3: I think we disagree in a lot of these games,

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Speaker 3: so it should be interesting. And then we'll get into

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Speaker 3: the best of the rest. We'll talk some hurricane and

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Speaker 3: wind impact. October is BYU free money again, and maybe

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Speaker 3: some UTEP and Minor Nation, and then we'll finish up

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Speaker 3: with an FC yes or no Friday Night Lights of

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Speaker 3: a Friday night college football game, overdog underdog moneyline parlay

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Speaker 3: our money lin underdogs have been rolling. Maybe we'll do

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Speaker 3: a fourth down bonus and get some early thoughts on

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Speaker 3: round robin from Colin if they're such a successful weekend.

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Speaker 3: But first, let's get into the marquee games of the weekend.

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Speaker 1: It's another fabulous weekend of college football.

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Speaker 5: Let's check out the marquee matchups. We'll all end up

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Speaker 5: bedding for Week six.

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Speaker 3: All right, we're gonna start the first marque game of

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Speaker 3: the weekend. We're gonna start with Texas Oklahoma.

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Speaker 6: At that MGM.

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Speaker 3: Oklahoma is a two and a half point favorite over

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Speaker 3: Texas over under obviously high. It's seventy two and a half.

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Speaker 3: As you mentioned, this is the Red River Shootout rivalry.

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Speaker 3: I don't know what they call it anymore. There's also

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Speaker 3: three trophies. This is one hundred and sixteenth meeting between

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Speaker 3: Texas and Oklahoma.

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Speaker 6: It'll be onnoon if at Fox.

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Speaker 3: I think cous Johnson will be doing it, which is great.

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Speaker 3: Their first meeting came back in nineteen hundred. Texas won

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Speaker 3: twenty eight to two. I promise you Oklahoma will score

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Speaker 3: more than two points. Oklahoma's won four to the last five,

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Speaker 3: including the past two years and fourteen of the past

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Speaker 3: twenty one. Texas has one and three straight up in

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Speaker 3: their Herman Riley Air over the past three years. They've

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Speaker 3: met four times, including the Big Twelve championship. But Texas

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Speaker 3: is three and one against the spread three and oh

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Speaker 3: against the spread in the regular season. They interesting think

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Speaker 3: about this game is Oklahoma has been a favorite of

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Speaker 3: at least a touchdown in each of the past four meetings.

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Speaker 3: But this is obviously under a field goal, you know.

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Speaker 3: And then these two teams come in kind of scuffling

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Speaker 3: we're not used to. You know, Oklahoma's not ranked. Texas

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Speaker 3: is just this first time in since two thousand that

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Speaker 3: neither of these teams are in the top twenty, and

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Speaker 3: they're both obviously coming off losses. Oklahoma's oh and two

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Speaker 3: in the Big twelve. I mean, it just sounds funny

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Speaker 3: to say a lot of the issues have been on

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Speaker 3: defense for both teams. But that doesn't mean that the

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Speaker 3: offenses have been perfect. You know, Oklahoma, their offensive line

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Speaker 3: we've talked with this isn't the same. And their running game, Look,

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Speaker 3: they lost their Kennedy Brooks opted out, they had their

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Speaker 3: next best back transfer to Ohio State. Their next bets

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Speaker 3: back is suspended for the first four games, including this game,

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Speaker 3: so their running backs are not as good. They're running

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Speaker 3: game and n This is what people are always like, oh,

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Speaker 3: the Heisman quarterbacks, the passing game, which is all true

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Speaker 3: for Lincoln Riley, but it all starts with the running game.

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Speaker 3: Everything that they want to do starts the running game.

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Speaker 3: Twenty seventeen, Lincoln Riley's first year average five point six

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Speaker 3: yards per rush thirteenth in the nation twenty eighteen, six

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Speaker 3: point six first in the nation twenty nineteen six yards

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Speaker 3: per carry, fifth to the nation, thirteenth first fifth this

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Speaker 3: year three point six yards per carry, almost half of

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Speaker 3: what they've been averaging under Riley. That's fifty first out

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Speaker 3: of what's seventy whatever teams there are, and ave average

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Speaker 3: is only three and a half yards per carry against

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Speaker 3: Missouri State. This rushing game is broken. Spencer Rattler is

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Speaker 3: playing well, but he's still very inexperience that he's making

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Speaker 3: key mistakes. It's all on him because there's no help

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Speaker 3: in the running game these two teams. Also, it's worth

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Speaker 3: noting that they've been just really sloppy there. I think

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Speaker 3: bottom three in the nation, both of them in penalties

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Speaker 3: and miss tackles. So if one of the teams, if

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Speaker 3: either team can clean that up and the other doesn't,

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Speaker 3: that could make the difference. I'll tell you my perspective

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Speaker 3: on this game and then I'll let you dive in.

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Speaker 3: I'm lower on Oklahoma than the market, much lower it why.

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Speaker 3: I love the Iowa State last week, and I think

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Speaker 3: they have problems on offense. You know, they have wide

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Speaker 3: receivers that are out. Also, I think that it's going

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Speaker 3: to take some time for Rattler to to play a

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Speaker 3: complete game without making those mistakes that we're seeing, and

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Speaker 3: the defense is just bad. I know that they're going

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Speaker 3: to get Ronnie Perkins back and the defense is different

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Speaker 3: with him, but the corners are bad. The corners are short,

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Speaker 3: all under six foot. That could be a problem against Texas,

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Speaker 3: which has a ton of size at receiver. And ultimately

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Speaker 3: I think Texas wins this game, but I make it

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Speaker 3: a pick because I'm lower in Okahoma. The most of

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Speaker 3: it gets the three, I will take Texas, but I

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Speaker 3: think I'd rather wait to get it live. You look

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Speaker 3: at the last four matchups, Oklahoma scored and Oklahoma's always

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Speaker 3: dominant in the first quarter, especially the first drive. Lincoln

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Speaker 3: Riley's script. The last four games in the Riley Herman

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Speaker 3: err Oklahoma scored in their opening drive, three of them

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Speaker 3: been touchdowns. They're always one of the best first quarter

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Speaker 3: teams in the nation. There should be a ton of

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Speaker 3: points in this game, so you probably it's a good

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Speaker 3: game to trade live, so I unless I can get

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Speaker 3: If I get three flat, I might take Texas, but

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Speaker 3: I'll also be looking for Texas live, especial if Okahama

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Speaker 3: gets the ball, goes down and scores a touchdown. We've

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Speaker 3: seen Oklahoma melt in the fourth quarter so far this year.

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Speaker 3: But ultimately, I think what the difference is is, I'll

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Speaker 3: take Texas's running backs. They have better running backs, they

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Speaker 3: have a better secondary, and the more experienced quarterback is

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Speaker 3: playing in what is fifth to ever shootut I could

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Speaker 3: play in six next year because this year doesn't count

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Speaker 3: for eligibility if he decides to come back, and I

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Speaker 3: think Texas is more likely to get a couple turnovers

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Speaker 3: against Raler, which could be the difference.

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Speaker 6: Yeah, I like Texas here.

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Speaker 3: I would want three to play at pregame, but I'll

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Speaker 3: be hunting for Texas live. I'm just not a fan

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Speaker 3: of this Oklahoma team. I think they have a lot

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Speaker 3: of work to do, so does Texas. But I just

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Speaker 3: like the more experienced quarterback, the better running backs, the

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Speaker 3: wide receiver size against Oklahoma's corners, and I think they

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Speaker 3: have the more experienced secondary. Two good kickers in this

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Speaker 3: game by the way, too. So what are you seeing here?

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Speaker 2: Well, as a rule of thumb, Texas fans there, of course,

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna piss off the Texas fans. Guys are terrible.

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Speaker 2: It's just a razorback. Sorry, it's a lifelong thing Southwest Conference,

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Speaker 2: Richard Dixon coming to the games when my parents and

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Speaker 2: my grandparents were younger. No, I mean, look before we

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Speaker 2: dive into Oklahoma and Texas. As a rule of thumb,

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Speaker 2: when you have two defenses on the field that can't

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Speaker 2: do anything generally the entire Big twelve, it's a good

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Speaker 2: game for live trading. I mean, you're gonna have off

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Speaker 2: You're gonna have runs by each offense of consecutive scores.

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Speaker 2: That makes for good trading on both teams. So I

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Speaker 2: completely agree with Stucky in the fact that you're gonna

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Speaker 2: get a good number. Now for me, I was looking

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Speaker 2: for the cheapest money line price on Oklahoma that I

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Speaker 2: could get. Got that during the week, and don't think

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Speaker 2: for one second that I'm not locking in Texas once

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Speaker 2: it gets over seven, maybe ten, maybe eleven. So once

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Speaker 2: i can lock in some sort of window, that's the

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Speaker 2: way I'm gonna play this. It seems to be what

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Speaker 2: we do every year with this game, because I'm always

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Speaker 2: for some reason not giving Herman credit in this game,

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Speaker 2: and then I have to buy out live with Texas.

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Speaker 2: But that's probably gonna be the same formula this year,

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Speaker 2: So if we get deep into the end of the analytics,

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Speaker 2: you know, it's just it's not pretty. I mean, Oklahoma's

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Speaker 2: sixty fourth and defending explosive pass. Texas's defense is just

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Speaker 2: as bad. I mean they're allowing Texas Tech to do

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Speaker 2: to them. You know, there are differences in the early

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Speaker 2: numbers with these teams like Texas eighteenth and finishing drives,

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Speaker 2: but they're not explosive in the rush or the pass.

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Speaker 2: They're really good at getting first downs, but they're not

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Speaker 2: good at throwing the deep ball. To me, it really

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Speaker 2: came down to one reason why I wanted to get

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Speaker 2: a position on Oklahoma. Not only is it because they

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Speaker 2: generally do pretty well in first quarter, which has been

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Speaker 2: true because Spencer Rattler's success rate in the second half

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Speaker 2: against Kansas State, against everybody has been terrible. His success

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Speaker 2: rate has all come in the first half. Everything that

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Speaker 2: he's done has been the first half and not in

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Speaker 2: the second half at all. So I think it's good

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Speaker 2: if you want to get an early position in Oklahoma

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Speaker 2: or even take a first half number on the Sooners.

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Speaker 2: But you know, to me, this came down to these

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Speaker 2: two extremely pathetic defenses, which is what they are and

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Speaker 2: there is one thing about Texas that just stuck out

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Speaker 2: to me I couldn't get over, and that's the fact

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Speaker 2: that they've had three sacks on the year against UTEP

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Speaker 2: Texas Tech TCU three total sacks. You take out Joseph Asi,

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Speaker 2: no one on this team has more than two quarterback hurries.

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Speaker 2: That's unbelievable that you have not been able to have

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Speaker 2: more than two hurries against that schedule.

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Speaker 7: We are not in a point in our program where

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Speaker 7: we can not play our best and expect to win.

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Speaker 6: It's not going to happen.

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Speaker 2: If you look at Spencer Ratler's numbers, like we're talking

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Speaker 2: a thirty percent like drop and completion rate. When there's

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Speaker 2: hands in his face and when he has people up

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Speaker 2: at his grill, when he is left alone in the

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Speaker 2: pocket to himself and he has time to think, he

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Speaker 2: threads the neo perfectly. He looks great, but when he

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Speaker 2: is pressured or he is forced to move, he gets

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Speaker 2: in big trouble. So if Texas doesn't have any anybody's

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Speaker 2: one player that's forced hurries, then I'm going to go

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Speaker 2: with the quarterback that I think that can make the

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Speaker 2: bigger strike play. And that's definitely Spencer Raller. I mean

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Speaker 2: Sam Elder, Yes, he is going to be there for

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Speaker 2: a six year, not going to go to the NFL.

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Speaker 2: He's really good to pick it up first downs. I

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Speaker 2: mean they have a very high first down percentage every

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Speaker 2: year behind Sam Ellinger. But that's not the quick, explosive,

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Speaker 2: quick strike game. So that's some arguments with people on

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Speaker 2: Twitter this week. People I put in my pick on

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Speaker 2: the Action app that this is the second week in

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Speaker 2: a row that Spencer Rattler has seen the three three five,

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Speaker 2: and people want to remind me that Texas is no

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Speaker 2: longer a three three five. True, chrissh one to go

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Speaker 2: to a four two five, But in eighty four plays

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Speaker 2: eighty four defensive plays this year per Sports Source Analytics,

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Speaker 2: they've lined up in three three five and a lot

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Speaker 2: of their defense has been in three three five. So

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Speaker 2: I'm not saying that, you know, Chris ash isn't gonna

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Speaker 2: change it up or he's gonna do something different. What

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Speaker 2: I'm saying is is when a kid likes Spencer Rattler,

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Speaker 2: it's the first time he ever sees the three three

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Speaker 2: five against Iowa State and he is confused, Well, this

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Speaker 2: is the second time he's going to see a defensive

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Speaker 2: formation like that, with that kind of secondary, and so

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Speaker 2: he should at least be better in his fifth quarter

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Speaker 2: against the defense it looks like this. So my initial

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Speaker 2: position is Oklahoma I may buy out of it if

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Speaker 2: we get a double digit number on Texas live. But

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Speaker 2: generally these defenses they're absolutely terrible. And since Texas can't

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Speaker 2: get any pressure in Spencer Ratler's face, I think the

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Speaker 2: Sooners are the play.

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Speaker 6: Yeah, I think it's gonna I think both teams will

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Speaker 6: be able to move the ball.

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Speaker 3: I mean, I don't think anyone would dispeate that. Like

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Speaker 3: I said, where I think the difference will come will

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Speaker 3: be in the red zone. It'll be maybe a mistake

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Speaker 3: or two from Rattler. And Oklahoma hasn't been the same

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Speaker 3: team in the red zone this year, mainly because they

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Speaker 3: run the ball last year. What they settled last week

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Speaker 3: they settled for a field goal at like the one

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Speaker 3: yard line Da've allowed And on the defensive side, they

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Speaker 3: have allowed a touchdown on every trip inside the twenty.

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Speaker 3: The Power Five opponents Texas would have scored a touchdown

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Speaker 3: on every trip inside the twenty. How they not fumbled

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Speaker 3: at the one going in to win that game against TCU.

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Speaker 3: I want to see what Texas does with Jordan Winnington,

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Speaker 3: how much he plays. Tarik Black is he dead? I

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Speaker 3: mean he's in the dog house apparently, and he transferred

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Speaker 3: from Michigan. He's supposed to be helping out this year

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Speaker 3: and he's six three. He could do some things, but

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Speaker 3: I don't know. We'll see if they use him.

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Speaker 6: They got their kild receiver back last year. But again, Tree.

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Speaker 2: Black Kid had had the entire Michigan fan base, like,

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Speaker 2: you know, excited and slavereign and crazy that this was

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Speaker 2: the shape Patterson to Tarik Black was going to be like,

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Speaker 2: you know, the next coming of Montana to Rice, and

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Speaker 2: boy he has he's just fallen off the face of

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Speaker 2: the earth.

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Speaker 6: Texas is the other thing Texas run to.

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Speaker 3: He has been so bad this year, but Oklahoma's just

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Speaker 3: not running the ball. I don't know if they can

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Speaker 3: exploit it.

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Speaker 6: Good arguments on boats.

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Speaker 3: I think ultimately it's best to trade this game. I'll

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Speaker 3: be looking for Texas live and hook them horns. Look

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Speaker 3: out for a write up that I'll have on Action

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Speaker 3: Network app and actionework dot com. If you don't have

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Speaker 3: the app, go and download it. All right, Before we

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Speaker 3: get to our next marque game, I did want to

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Speaker 3: remind everyone of the Action Network podcast Tournament of Champions

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Speaker 3: presented by Bett MGM, the official odds provider of the

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Speaker 3: Action Work podcast.

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Speaker 6: It's live.

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Speaker 3: It's a free weekly Yahoo DFS tournament specifically for our

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Speaker 6: That's you who we appreciate.

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Speaker 3: You can join by clicking on the link at our

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Speaker 3: episode description. Just go to the episode description click it there.

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Speaker 3: It's completely free. You can enter any week you want

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Speaker 3: Just for our podcast listeners. The top ten weekly finishers

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Speaker 3: You just join it minutes ago for a shot at

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Speaker 3: some free prizes. All right, so let's move on to

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Speaker 3: our second marquee game of the day, and that is

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Speaker 3: Florida at Texas A and M. This game is at

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Speaker 3: noon on ESPN at bet MGM. Right now, Florida is

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Speaker 3: a six and a half point favorite over under fifty

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Speaker 3: eight and a half.

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Speaker 6: I'll let you kind of dive in here. I won't

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Speaker 6: go into as long of a ramble as I did with.

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Speaker 3: Texas, but I did play Texas A and M plus seven,

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Speaker 3: which I think we disagree on the number here. I

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Speaker 3: was impressed by Texas A and M last week and

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Speaker 3: what they did. They made some bad mistakes in the secondary,

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Speaker 3: which I think are correctable. I'm and granted they were

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Speaker 3: playing some of the best receivers in college football and

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Speaker 3: maybe the best offense, but they moved the ball against

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Speaker 3: them all day. I mean they that drop on fourth down.

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Speaker 3: I think we talked about this last week. They crossed

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Speaker 3: the forty eight times and they just couldn't finish drives.

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Speaker 3: As of right now, there's a big gap between Alabama's

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Speaker 3: defense and Florida's defense. This defense lost a lot to

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Speaker 3: the NFL, and it's showing this defense is just not

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Speaker 3: getting stops. The underlying metrics are not impressive. On the

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Speaker 3: other side, Florida's offense is rolling. I mean, Kyle Pitch

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Speaker 3: is my boy. I was hyping him all last year

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Speaker 3: before he broke out now everyone's favorite player. He's awesome,

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Speaker 3: hybrid wide receiver, tight end, almost unguardable, and Kyle Trast

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Speaker 3: is playing really well. That offense is as good as

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Speaker 3: advertised right now for Florida, but the defense is leaving

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Speaker 3: a lot to be desired. I think Texa A and

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Speaker 3: M will move the ball just like they did against Alabama,

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Speaker 3: but this time they'll finish drives against the Florida defense

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Speaker 3: that's kind of reeling right now and trying to figure

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Speaker 3: itself out. I think Texas A and M will get

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Speaker 3: a few more stops than they did against Bama, and

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Speaker 3: I think they hang around in this game. So I

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Speaker 3: took them plus seven at home. You disagree with Yeah,

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Speaker 3: I get here, correct I do.

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Speaker 2: But I mean the more it's seven, or of even

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Speaker 2: it's over seven, the less that you know. I have

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Speaker 2: that stance. I took Florida minus five at the beginning

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Speaker 2: of the week on some night or Monday morning, because

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Speaker 2: I just thought that that was too low. This is

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Speaker 2: a number that I had power rated at nine, and

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Speaker 2: it's a number that I felt would get to seven

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Speaker 2: and get over seven. Maybe it still will, Maybe it'll

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Speaker 2: hang out at six and a half. But from reading

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Speaker 2: the market, anytime that this number has gotten to seven,

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Speaker 2: it has gotten serious, major sharp attention. So you know,

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Speaker 2: whether it's seven shows, I'm not sure, but it seems

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Speaker 2: like every time it does, it gets slammed. There is

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Speaker 2: a major difference between these two teams. I love Pits

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Speaker 2: just like you said. I mean, he said twelve catches

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Speaker 2: and six of them been for touchdowns. So it's quite

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Speaker 2: a connection that they've got going on here. But there

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Speaker 2: is a major difference in these two teams. Florida's fish.

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Speaker 3: But before you get that, you do agree that Florida

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Speaker 3: has zero issues on defense right now?

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Speaker 2: Right? Oh yeah, I'm looking at it right now. I

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Speaker 2: mean seventieth in lineyards on defense, that's not a Florida defense.

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Speaker 2: When does a Florida defense, you know, have seventieth in lineyards?

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Speaker 2: Which is you know, can lineyards is can you get

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Speaker 2: the yard that you're supposed to get, like on first

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Speaker 2: and ten, or you get in the required yards on

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Speaker 2: second seven? Orre you getting the required yards? Florida's defense

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Speaker 2: is seventieth in the nation. I mean there's only been like,

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Speaker 2: what seventy three to seventy four teams that have played

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Speaker 2: that's horotious, terrible.

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Speaker 6: I get this, by the way, get this.

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Speaker 3: In your head everyone, because I have to do it

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Speaker 3: to myself too, And it's going to be a moving

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Speaker 3: target as we add teams. But for now and this week,

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Speaker 3: when we say like a team's seventieth, that's basically like

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Speaker 3: saying a team is one hundred and twenty eight or

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Speaker 3: one hundred and thirtieth, because there's only been seventy and

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Speaker 3: changed teams beat.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, and seeing Florida ranked seventieth in lineyards

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Speaker 2: is like, it's shocking to see that, to see that

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Speaker 2: their defense and rushing success rate for the Gators is

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Speaker 2: seventy second. You can run on them all day. Now,

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Speaker 2: that's not really a strength of Texas A and them

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Speaker 2: to this point. And that's the reason why I was

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Speaker 2: on Florida earlier this week is because some of the

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Speaker 2: things that you know Florida is wek at on defense,

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Speaker 2: Texas A and M really isn't the best and doing

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Speaker 2: like I mean, they're fifty six in offensive rushing success rate,

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Speaker 2: So that's not you know, I'm not sure how bad

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Speaker 2: that's gonna hurt Florida, but I mean, what really made

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Speaker 2: me stick to this and not want to buy out

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Speaker 2: is the offensive finishing drives. So finishing drives is how

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Speaker 2: many points are you scoring past the forty yard line.

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Speaker 2: Florida's offense is second in the nation. I mean we're

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Speaker 2: talking touchdowns almost every single time. Texas A and M's

390
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Speaker 2: offense sixty seven that's maybe a field goal. I think

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Speaker 2: it's like two point seven. It's not very good. You know,

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Speaker 2: Texas A and M's offensive line there's seventy second and stuff. Right,

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Speaker 2: They're just not getting to push, They're not getting to move,

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Speaker 2: you know, So we'll see how they respond. The defense really,

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Speaker 2: you know, kind of let me down in my bet

396
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Speaker 2: against them. Against Alabama last week. I mean, Bama had

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Speaker 2: nine point nine yards per play. That's not very good,

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Speaker 2: you know. I think it's going to be a very

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Speaker 2: slow paced game. These teams ring forty ninth and sixty

400
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Speaker 2: third and seconds per play. Anything over seven is gonna

401
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Speaker 2: have plenty of value on Texas A and M. Because

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Speaker 2: it's just not going to be that fast paced of

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Speaker 2: the game. I'd actually kind of suggest an under here too.

404
00:18:54,880 --> 00:18:58,399
Speaker 2: It's just not going to be a quick, straight game whatsoever.

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Speaker 2: But for me, I'm gonna stick with my and have

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Speaker 2: the Florida minus five. I'm not going to go buy

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Speaker 2: back on Texas A and M plus seven if it's

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Speaker 2: a live number and it gets into double digits. Maybe,

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Speaker 2: I mean, at the same time, I'll be trying to

410
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Speaker 2: balance in Oklahoma Texas at this early spot. But you know,

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Speaker 2: for me, I'm gonna stick to my guns with Florida.

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Speaker 2: I suggest them with five, I'll suggest them with six

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Speaker 2: and a half. I think it's seven's time to lay

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Speaker 2: off and start looking at A and m's way when

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Speaker 2: you get the hook and anything above.

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Speaker 3: Well, yeah, we agree on the cap here that it's

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Speaker 3: going to come down to finishing drives. I think that

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Speaker 3: Texas A and M will be able to finish drives

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Speaker 3: against this Florida defense from what I've seen, and you're

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Speaker 3: going based on the numbers that they haven't and Florida

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Speaker 3: has been really good at finishing drives. So I agree

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Speaker 3: that's what it's going to come down to. Texas A

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00:19:40,480 --> 00:19:43,960
Speaker 3: and M will have when they get deep, you know

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Speaker 3: inside Florida territory will have to get sevens because Florida

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Speaker 3: is going to find a way to get sevens.

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Speaker 6: So it should be an interesting game.

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Speaker 3: And yeah, that's also at noon, so you're getting get

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Speaker 3: your drinks in early, start at make your bloody at

429
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Speaker 3: eight or nine, Irish coffee at ten, and get ready

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Speaker 3: to get going early at noon Eastern because we have

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Speaker 3: Texas Oklahoma and Florida, Texas A and m end we

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Speaker 3: have another rank matchup at noon. If you can believe it,

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Speaker 3: I actually hate this. I mean I like that maybe

434
00:20:16,280 --> 00:20:18,720
Speaker 3: if there's two, but I like to ease my way

435
00:20:18,720 --> 00:20:21,879
Speaker 3: into the day. I my ideal, you know, once it happens,

436
00:20:21,880 --> 00:20:24,920
Speaker 3: I love it. But my ideal schedule for a day

437
00:20:25,200 --> 00:20:27,200
Speaker 3: is I have like one game I really love at

438
00:20:27,200 --> 00:20:29,280
Speaker 3: noon that I can focus on, and then like at

439
00:20:29,320 --> 00:20:31,360
Speaker 3: three point thirty you bring me like four or five

440
00:20:31,480 --> 00:20:35,080
Speaker 3: more and then like six seven, I have like six

441
00:20:35,160 --> 00:20:39,200
Speaker 3: or seven more games. And but yeah, we're getting right

442
00:20:39,200 --> 00:20:44,120
Speaker 3: into it here on at noon on Saturday. That brings

443
00:20:44,200 --> 00:20:47,240
Speaker 3: us to our third marquee game of the day, VA

444
00:20:47,280 --> 00:20:52,720
Speaker 3: Tech at North Carolina at bet MGM. North Carolina is

445
00:20:52,760 --> 00:20:56,800
Speaker 3: a four and a half point favorite over Under fifty

446
00:20:57,320 --> 00:21:00,360
Speaker 3: nine and a half. Both these teams come in at

447
00:21:00,400 --> 00:21:03,880
Speaker 3: two to zero, haven't you and C to me, it's

448
00:21:03,880 --> 00:21:07,119
Speaker 3: just hit something's off with the offense, just a little

449
00:21:07,160 --> 00:21:11,200
Speaker 3: off some of their advanced stats as of right now.

450
00:21:12,200 --> 00:21:14,240
Speaker 6: Just I thought this offense was.

451
00:21:14,200 --> 00:21:19,000
Speaker 3: Gonna be further along early on this season, and they

452
00:21:19,000 --> 00:21:22,240
Speaker 3: really could have lost to Boston College last week, you know,

453
00:21:22,280 --> 00:21:26,320
Speaker 3: and they were. Their offense was really kind of yeah

454
00:21:26,440 --> 00:21:28,840
Speaker 3: against Syracuse as well. We said it was a three

455
00:21:28,880 --> 00:21:31,040
Speaker 3: to three five, But the North Carolin offense just seems

456
00:21:31,040 --> 00:21:33,600
Speaker 3: a little off. Vo Tech, on the other side, we

457
00:21:33,680 --> 00:21:36,760
Speaker 3: saw them get a win against Duke. I don't know

458
00:21:36,800 --> 00:21:39,160
Speaker 3: how much we can take from that game other than

459
00:21:39,720 --> 00:21:42,320
Speaker 3: Herbert looks fantastic at running back for vo Tech. But

460
00:21:42,440 --> 00:21:45,360
Speaker 3: vo Tech escaped that game. I mean they they had

461
00:21:45,400 --> 00:21:49,240
Speaker 3: to because they were missing almost their entire secondary. Their

462
00:21:49,280 --> 00:21:52,600
Speaker 3: four top defensive backs were out eight of the for

463
00:21:52,840 --> 00:21:56,119
Speaker 3: COVID complications. Eight of the fifteen defensive backs on the

464
00:21:56,240 --> 00:21:59,840
Speaker 3: roster didn't suit up, including their top four and their

465
00:22:00,200 --> 00:22:03,159
Speaker 3: quarterback from last year. And then Hooker, he didn't play.

466
00:22:03,480 --> 00:22:06,440
Speaker 3: I assume he's gonna play this week and it'll be back.

467
00:22:06,480 --> 00:22:08,760
Speaker 3: There was a chance he was gonna play last week,

468
00:22:08,760 --> 00:22:10,840
Speaker 3: but that secondary. I had a two freshmen and a

469
00:22:10,920 --> 00:22:14,080
Speaker 3: walk on starting last week against Duke in the secondary.

470
00:22:14,000 --> 00:22:15,080
Speaker 6: So it was kind of iffy.

471
00:22:15,160 --> 00:22:17,280
Speaker 3: But they ended up finding a way to get the win.

472
00:22:18,040 --> 00:22:20,640
Speaker 3: You would expect most of those guys to be back

473
00:22:20,800 --> 00:22:23,879
Speaker 3: this week. On the other side, for UNC, if a

474
00:22:24,080 --> 00:22:26,560
Speaker 3: Tech can find a passing game to go with Herbert,

475
00:22:26,600 --> 00:22:28,960
Speaker 3: with Hooker back, they might be able to do some

476
00:22:29,000 --> 00:22:37,520
Speaker 3: things against this UNC secondary, which hasn't really faced a

477
00:22:38,160 --> 00:22:41,040
Speaker 3: electric passing attack so far. And they've been able to

478
00:22:41,440 --> 00:22:43,800
Speaker 3: you know, kind of you know, they face Boston College

479
00:22:43,840 --> 00:22:46,960
Speaker 3: and they faced Sarahcuse. You have to remember that this

480
00:22:47,040 --> 00:22:50,159
Speaker 3: North Carolina team has lost three potential starters in their secondary.

481
00:22:50,640 --> 00:22:52,080
Speaker 6: Miles Woolfolk their safety.

482
00:22:52,240 --> 00:22:56,560
Speaker 3: He's ineligible academically ineligible, which is big because dj Ford

483
00:22:56,560 --> 00:22:58,399
Speaker 3: opted out in the preseason and those two were competing

484
00:22:58,440 --> 00:23:02,200
Speaker 3: for a starting job, and their cornerback Price Watts also

485
00:23:02,240 --> 00:23:04,679
Speaker 3: opted out. So the secondary isn't as supposed to be

486
00:23:04,680 --> 00:23:07,680
Speaker 3: a strong suit. It's sot decent, but it's not as

487
00:23:07,680 --> 00:23:10,600
Speaker 3: deep as it was. But this line's sitting at four

488
00:23:10,760 --> 00:23:13,080
Speaker 3: before the year, if you told me this, I would

489
00:23:13,080 --> 00:23:15,480
Speaker 3: have said, give me UNC here. And I don't know

490
00:23:15,520 --> 00:23:17,680
Speaker 3: Hooker is going. There's gonna be some rust and him

491
00:23:17,720 --> 00:23:18,440
Speaker 3: getting back.

492
00:23:18,240 --> 00:23:20,960
Speaker 6: Into the flow. But something just seems off with the heels.

493
00:23:21,000 --> 00:23:21,640
Speaker 6: What do you see here.

494
00:23:21,920 --> 00:23:24,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean something definitely seems off with the heels.

495
00:23:24,280 --> 00:23:26,640
Speaker 2: And I'll point to the key stat that Sam Howe

496
00:23:26,800 --> 00:23:30,160
Speaker 2: is oh for eight on passes that go over twenty yards.

497
00:23:30,240 --> 00:23:32,560
Speaker 2: That is not the Sam Howe. We know that is

498
00:23:32,600 --> 00:23:37,000
Speaker 2: not the dash Newsom has been Invisibble invisible. I don't

499
00:23:37,000 --> 00:23:39,280
Speaker 2: know what something's going on. I mean, you can't explain

500
00:23:39,320 --> 00:23:41,080
Speaker 2: that stat. This was supposed to be the most explosive

501
00:23:41,080 --> 00:23:43,919
Speaker 2: offense in the nation and Sam Howe being oh for

502
00:23:44,000 --> 00:23:45,840
Speaker 2: eight on passes that go over twenty yards at this

503
00:23:45,880 --> 00:23:48,479
Speaker 2: point is a little bit of a shock. I'm pushing

504
00:23:48,480 --> 00:23:50,680
Speaker 2: my chips on the table in Virginia Tech in this game.

505
00:23:51,000 --> 00:23:53,840
Speaker 2: Hindon Hooker fully cleared. He was cleared last week. I

506
00:23:53,840 --> 00:23:55,600
Speaker 2: don't think he was in game condition. I think there

507
00:23:55,640 --> 00:23:58,440
Speaker 2: was still some COVID stuff going on. He won the job,

508
00:23:58,720 --> 00:24:01,239
Speaker 2: you know, you know in preseason camp he won the job.

509
00:24:01,320 --> 00:24:04,600
Speaker 2: Just find up with Quincy Patterson, Brax and Burmeister and

510
00:24:05,000 --> 00:24:08,840
Speaker 2: give Creditton Braxton from Oregon got I lost money on him.

511
00:24:08,880 --> 00:24:10,560
Speaker 2: It feels like in twenty fourteen, how long has this

512
00:24:10,640 --> 00:24:13,280
Speaker 2: kid been in college? But Brax and Burmeister and Quincy

513
00:24:13,320 --> 00:24:16,720
Speaker 2: Patterson held up his backups, so you know they've they've

514
00:24:16,720 --> 00:24:18,960
Speaker 2: got him to this point right now. And you got

515
00:24:18,960 --> 00:24:21,680
Speaker 2: to give Virginia Tech some credit. Missing twenty three players

516
00:24:21,800 --> 00:24:24,760
Speaker 2: over n C State, missing twenty one players against Duke

517
00:24:25,040 --> 00:24:27,359
Speaker 2: to stay on the Virginia Tech offensive side of the ball.

518
00:24:27,800 --> 00:24:31,520
Speaker 2: Khalil Herbert transfer in from Kansas. You just go to Kansas.

519
00:24:31,560 --> 00:24:32,840
Speaker 2: I think you're just eating up in a black hole.

520
00:24:32,880 --> 00:24:34,639
Speaker 2: Will be amazing if we saw Pooka ever play in

521
00:24:34,640 --> 00:24:37,760
Speaker 2: the SEC or something. But Khalil Herbert, you know, is

522
00:24:37,800 --> 00:24:40,640
Speaker 2: averaging two hundred and seventy six and a half all

523
00:24:40,720 --> 00:24:46,680
Speaker 2: purpose yards. That's receiving, it's rushing kick returns. That's fantastic.

524
00:24:46,720 --> 00:24:49,480
Speaker 2: Now we've talked about how much this Virginia Tech team

525
00:24:49,960 --> 00:24:52,600
Speaker 2: has dealt with COVID, but the offensive line is doing

526
00:24:52,640 --> 00:24:55,240
Speaker 2: some work. Of the two hundred and fifty plus snaps

527
00:24:55,560 --> 00:24:58,120
Speaker 2: of all the starting offensive linemen, there's only been six

528
00:24:58,200 --> 00:24:59,120
Speaker 2: run disruptions.

529
00:24:59,600 --> 00:24:59,879
Speaker 6: Six.

530
00:25:00,640 --> 00:25:03,840
Speaker 2: That's one of the most ridiculous stats in NCAA. You

531
00:25:03,920 --> 00:25:07,200
Speaker 2: and c you know, their defensive front fifty fourth in

532
00:25:07,280 --> 00:25:10,400
Speaker 2: power success, forty ninth and stuff, right, d what does

533
00:25:10,400 --> 00:25:13,040
Speaker 2: that mean they're not stopping? You know, you got third

534
00:25:13,040 --> 00:25:15,720
Speaker 2: and two, they're not stopping it. You got Shore third

535
00:25:15,720 --> 00:25:18,520
Speaker 2: and four they're not stopping it. That's one of the

536
00:25:18,600 --> 00:25:20,560
Speaker 2: you know. Yeah, like we said, there's only seventy something

537
00:25:20,600 --> 00:25:23,080
Speaker 2: teams going, so those are pretty terrible ranks. I think

538
00:25:23,119 --> 00:25:24,879
Speaker 2: Sam Howe is going to have some real issues here

539
00:25:24,920 --> 00:25:27,919
Speaker 2: against a Virginia Tech team that is getting healthier. People.

540
00:25:27,920 --> 00:25:32,200
Speaker 2: Forget that. Hindon Hooker I think got six games, seven

541
00:25:32,280 --> 00:25:35,080
Speaker 2: to eight games, somewhere around ten tds, and no, I

542
00:25:35,200 --> 00:25:38,160
Speaker 2: INT's he's extremely accurate. I know that there is a

543
00:25:38,200 --> 00:25:41,040
Speaker 2: PFF article out there floating around about tight window passing

544
00:25:41,440 --> 00:25:43,400
Speaker 2: and that Hendon Hooker was right up there with Joe

545
00:25:43,440 --> 00:25:45,119
Speaker 2: Burrow last year and then it just fell off a

546
00:25:45,119 --> 00:25:48,560
Speaker 2: cliff as to who was that accurate with their passing.

547
00:25:48,880 --> 00:25:52,600
Speaker 2: So if Justin Winte held Hooker out because his conditioning

548
00:25:52,600 --> 00:25:54,800
Speaker 2: wasn't there and he just wasn't ready, and he's cleared

549
00:25:54,840 --> 00:25:56,840
Speaker 2: he's ready to go this week, then I would expect

550
00:25:56,880 --> 00:25:58,480
Speaker 2: that he would know best if the RUSS has been

551
00:25:58,840 --> 00:26:01,560
Speaker 2: knocked off here. So I'm back in Virginia Tech all

552
00:26:01,560 --> 00:26:04,560
Speaker 2: the way. I think the number I haven't actually power

553
00:26:04,640 --> 00:26:08,120
Speaker 2: rated closer to one to North Carolina by one so

554
00:26:08,400 --> 00:26:11,000
Speaker 2: I've hammered it. I'll probably hammer it again a little

555
00:26:11,000 --> 00:26:12,840
Speaker 2: bit around Robin Action. We'll see here at the end

556
00:26:12,840 --> 00:26:14,199
Speaker 2: of the podcast. If I make up my mind if

557
00:26:14,200 --> 00:26:18,240
Speaker 2: it's going to be in our underdog moneyline parlay.

558
00:26:17,280 --> 00:26:20,280
Speaker 3: Fair enough, I don't hate it made and just based

559
00:26:20,280 --> 00:26:23,400
Speaker 3: on the I test from what I've seen from North Carolina.

560
00:26:23,840 --> 00:26:26,840
Speaker 3: All right, let's move on to our fourth Marque game

561
00:26:26,880 --> 00:26:28,080
Speaker 3: of the day. We're going to move out of the

562
00:26:28,119 --> 00:26:33,280
Speaker 3: noon slot to the three thirty Eastern time slot on CBS,

563
00:26:33,359 --> 00:26:38,080
Speaker 3: everyone's favorite game of the day usually, and we had

564
00:26:38,080 --> 00:26:43,720
Speaker 3: a good one. Another ranked matchup between Tennessee and Georgia.

565
00:26:44,240 --> 00:26:47,760
Speaker 3: Right now at bet MGM, Georgia is a twelve and

566
00:26:47,800 --> 00:26:51,720
Speaker 3: a half point favorite over under forty two and a half.

567
00:26:53,200 --> 00:26:57,280
Speaker 3: I am almost positive you're going to disagree. I told

568
00:26:57,280 --> 00:26:59,400
Speaker 3: you last week, I just to tease that I think

569
00:26:59,560 --> 00:27:01,719
Speaker 3: I'm gonna I like them. Next week, I played them

570
00:27:01,840 --> 00:27:03,920
Speaker 3: plus fourteen. If you have the Action app, you would

571
00:27:03,920 --> 00:27:06,840
Speaker 3: have seen that when the line came out. I love

572
00:27:07,800 --> 00:27:11,200
Speaker 3: like and starting to love some things about this Tennessee team.

573
00:27:11,359 --> 00:27:13,800
Speaker 3: Now they've won eight games in a row, and the

574
00:27:13,920 --> 00:27:17,520
Speaker 3: criticism is that you know they're now from based on recruiting,

575
00:27:17,560 --> 00:27:20,920
Speaker 3: they're better than all the other teams in the you know,

576
00:27:20,960 --> 00:27:24,560
Speaker 3: they're kind of in that step below the elite teams

577
00:27:24,560 --> 00:27:28,960
Speaker 3: in the SEC, but much better than you know, the

578
00:27:29,040 --> 00:27:31,240
Speaker 3: kind of bottom feeders. Right, They've kind of taken that

579
00:27:31,280 --> 00:27:34,439
Speaker 3: next step, but they haven't been able to compete with

580
00:27:34,600 --> 00:27:38,440
Speaker 3: the Georgia's the Alabamas over the past couple of years.

581
00:27:38,440 --> 00:27:41,800
Speaker 3: I mean, they've gotten stomped in those matchups. Are they

582
00:27:41,840 --> 00:27:45,800
Speaker 3: ready now to compete? I say yes, and I'll tell

583
00:27:45,840 --> 00:27:48,280
Speaker 3: you why. I mean, first of all, Georgia I think

584
00:27:48,359 --> 00:27:52,080
Speaker 3: has benefited from a really favorable schedule so far. I mean,

585
00:27:52,160 --> 00:27:55,439
Speaker 3: they their defense, they have fifty two quarterback hurries in

586
00:27:55,440 --> 00:27:59,080
Speaker 3: the first two games. They went up against just hilariously

587
00:27:59,119 --> 00:28:00,919
Speaker 3: bad offensive line. I mean, if you look at Alburt's

588
00:28:00,920 --> 00:28:03,240
Speaker 3: offensive line, I mean, we know Arkansas offense line is

589
00:28:03,280 --> 00:28:06,520
Speaker 3: really small, and they kind of just got pushed around

590
00:28:06,640 --> 00:28:08,679
Speaker 3: Alburn's offensive line. We knew they had replace their in

591
00:28:08,680 --> 00:28:11,800
Speaker 3: tireles and it's like two star recruits and three star recruits.

592
00:28:12,400 --> 00:28:15,480
Speaker 3: Tennessee's offensive line, I'm gonna say it right now, is

593
00:28:15,520 --> 00:28:16,320
Speaker 3: the best in the nation.

594
00:28:16,680 --> 00:28:17,160
Speaker 6: They have.

595
00:28:17,400 --> 00:28:20,280
Speaker 3: I mean Cad May's transfer from Georgia tackle four star

596
00:28:20,480 --> 00:28:24,080
Speaker 3: Brandon Kennedy, five star from Bama transfer Trey Smith, one

597
00:28:24,119 --> 00:28:26,880
Speaker 3: of the best guards in the nation's five star, five

598
00:28:26,960 --> 00:28:30,400
Speaker 3: star Wania Morris tackle. I mean they have a two

599
00:28:30,480 --> 00:28:34,159
Speaker 3: four seven, that nine to fifty one composite grade on

600
00:28:34,160 --> 00:28:37,760
Speaker 3: their offensive line. That's elite. That's elite, that's like Alabama.

601
00:28:37,880 --> 00:28:40,400
Speaker 3: These are all five stars across the board. This team

602
00:28:40,480 --> 00:28:43,479
Speaker 3: is going to be able to get a push up front,

603
00:28:43,640 --> 00:28:48,280
Speaker 3: unlike any most teams that Georgia plays, and you know

604
00:28:48,560 --> 00:28:51,200
Speaker 3: they're going to give Guarantinos some time and play action.

605
00:28:52,000 --> 00:28:53,920
Speaker 3: I think the Gray and Chandler will have some success

606
00:28:54,000 --> 00:28:56,520
Speaker 3: moving the ball. The Tennessee defense is much better than

607
00:28:56,560 --> 00:28:59,959
Speaker 3: Alburn's defense right now, much better than Arkansas's defense this year.

608
00:29:00,200 --> 00:29:00,920
Speaker 6: Be a grinder.

609
00:29:01,560 --> 00:29:04,160
Speaker 3: The totals are forty two and a half, which makes

610
00:29:04,200 --> 00:29:08,240
Speaker 3: fourteen points very appetizing in this game. But I think

611
00:29:08,240 --> 00:29:11,600
Speaker 3: on the strength of the offensive line and experience secondary,

612
00:29:11,880 --> 00:29:14,600
Speaker 3: I think Tennessee is ready to not win this game,

613
00:29:15,000 --> 00:29:18,480
Speaker 3: but to hang around with Georgia. Great kicker also, even

614
00:29:18,520 --> 00:29:20,320
Speaker 3: though he's off to a slow start and I just

615
00:29:20,440 --> 00:29:24,080
Speaker 3: am not buying stetson Bennett the fourth. We'll see what

616
00:29:24,120 --> 00:29:25,880
Speaker 3: he can do this week. He did it against the

617
00:29:25,920 --> 00:29:29,000
Speaker 3: brat Arkansas a little bit in the second half. He

618
00:29:29,080 --> 00:29:32,520
Speaker 3: did it against a brand new Auburn secondary. But this

619
00:29:32,600 --> 00:29:35,480
Speaker 3: is an experienced Tennessee secondary. And I mean this is

620
00:29:35,480 --> 00:29:37,680
Speaker 3: a former walk on and JT. Daniels's back, but he's

621
00:29:37,720 --> 00:29:39,720
Speaker 3: running with a threes apparently, and I think this is

622
00:29:39,720 --> 00:29:43,120
Speaker 3: gonna be Stetson Bennett starting on Saturday. So give me

623
00:29:43,160 --> 00:29:47,000
Speaker 3: the balls. Rocky Top, I see you Knoxville, I see

624
00:29:47,040 --> 00:29:48,720
Speaker 3: you Tennessee everywhere.

625
00:29:48,720 --> 00:29:53,240
Speaker 6: But Murphy's brow. I know you disagree what he got.

626
00:29:52,320 --> 00:29:54,720
Speaker 2: First, I should say I feel like I'm compromised because

627
00:29:54,720 --> 00:29:57,479
Speaker 2: I keep Bettinggainst Tennessee and I keep losing. And everything

628
00:29:57,520 --> 00:30:00,320
Speaker 2: that you said, especially about the offensive line, that's all true.

629
00:30:00,560 --> 00:30:02,400
Speaker 2: Let's get something out of the way. Like we've been

630
00:30:02,440 --> 00:30:05,720
Speaker 2: podcasting for years now, that's our fourth season podcast together.

631
00:30:05,760 --> 00:30:09,440
Speaker 2: And I've never said this. My favorite SEC song is

632
00:30:10,000 --> 00:30:12,240
Speaker 2: not the Arkansas Razorbacks fight song.

633
00:30:12,440 --> 00:30:12,560
Speaker 6: Now.

634
00:30:12,600 --> 00:30:15,560
Speaker 2: I love Tusk and that is the theme song to

635
00:30:15,600 --> 00:30:18,720
Speaker 2: the podcast of this show, but I have to tell you,

636
00:30:19,040 --> 00:30:22,560
Speaker 2: I think Rocky Top song is the best on the SEC.

637
00:30:24,000 --> 00:30:26,960
Speaker 2: I went there in nineteen ninety eight, saw saw Clint

638
00:30:26,960 --> 00:30:28,920
Speaker 2: s Turner Fumble and they sang that song. It was

639
00:30:28,960 --> 00:30:31,000
Speaker 2: in my ears, in my head my entire junior year

640
00:30:31,040 --> 00:30:34,080
Speaker 2: of college, and it's never left my brain when I

641
00:30:34,120 --> 00:30:37,400
Speaker 2: fired up the NCAA fourteen thirteen, all the years that

642
00:30:37,440 --> 00:30:40,120
Speaker 2: we had those games. When that song comes on, you just,

643
00:30:41,880 --> 00:30:42,560
Speaker 2: I mean look at it.

644
00:30:42,840 --> 00:30:44,800
Speaker 3: Especially if you have money on Tennessee and then they

645
00:30:44,800 --> 00:31:29,760
Speaker 3: score a touchdown and that song goes, oh, Brady.

646
00:31:08,680 --> 00:31:10,800
Speaker 2: You just want to get up there. I mean the lyrics.

647
00:31:10,920 --> 00:31:13,120
Speaker 2: Once I had a girl on Rocky Top Half Bear,

648
00:31:13,200 --> 00:31:15,880
Speaker 2: Other half Cat, Wild is a mink but sweet as

649
00:31:15,880 --> 00:31:18,160
Speaker 2: a soda pop. I still dream about that.

650
00:31:18,240 --> 00:31:19,040
Speaker 6: The lyrics to this.

651
00:31:19,080 --> 00:31:22,000
Speaker 2: Song are fantastic, all right, So what about capping the game?

652
00:31:22,040 --> 00:31:24,720
Speaker 2: So what's kept me off Georgia all week is that

653
00:31:24,920 --> 00:31:29,480
Speaker 2: I don't have this game necessarily. It's power rated at fourteen,

654
00:31:29,880 --> 00:31:31,440
Speaker 2: but I knew the number was going to drop all week,

655
00:31:31,440 --> 00:31:32,880
Speaker 2: and I knew there was going to be heavy Tennessee

656
00:31:32,880 --> 00:31:35,080
Speaker 2: money and I didn't want to take a bad Georgia number.

657
00:31:35,400 --> 00:31:37,480
Speaker 2: So reading the market is what's kept me off this

658
00:31:37,560 --> 00:31:41,320
Speaker 2: game one hundred percent. I'm a little compromised because I

659
00:31:41,360 --> 00:31:43,880
Speaker 2: do like Georgia. I think that they could have improved

660
00:31:43,920 --> 00:31:48,480
Speaker 2: quarterback play. I saw their offensive line just blow through

661
00:31:48,800 --> 00:31:51,640
Speaker 2: an inexperienced Auburn team, So I don't know how much

662
00:31:51,680 --> 00:31:53,720
Speaker 2: I should take away from that. You know, Georgia's defense

663
00:31:53,800 --> 00:31:56,000
Speaker 2: is already posting top six numbers against the Russian the

664
00:31:56,040 --> 00:31:59,920
Speaker 2: past explosiveness, They're already looking great in success rate on defense.

665
00:32:00,040 --> 00:32:03,440
Speaker 2: Georgia's defense is everything we thought. They would be fantastic

666
00:32:03,520 --> 00:32:05,400
Speaker 2: to getting you off the field, but they can't take

667
00:32:05,400 --> 00:32:07,520
Speaker 2: the ball away from you. Here we go again. Now,

668
00:32:07,560 --> 00:32:09,440
Speaker 2: one thing that is scaring me is that they're seventy

669
00:32:09,440 --> 00:32:11,840
Speaker 2: first and finishing drives is not a big sample set.

670
00:32:12,160 --> 00:32:13,840
Speaker 2: Not a lot of people have gotten past the forty

671
00:32:13,880 --> 00:32:16,640
Speaker 2: yard line on Georgia, so we're gonna discard that stat

672
00:32:16,640 --> 00:32:18,400
Speaker 2: for a while. But they are sixty fourth in Havoc

673
00:32:18,760 --> 00:32:20,800
Speaker 2: and they have had enough defensive plays where we can

674
00:32:20,880 --> 00:32:23,720
Speaker 2: make an assessment there. They're not taking the ball away,

675
00:32:24,120 --> 00:32:26,560
Speaker 2: they're not getting enough tackles for loss, they're not pat

676
00:32:26,600 --> 00:32:30,040
Speaker 2: breaking up any passes. So that's what's kind of kept

677
00:32:30,040 --> 00:32:33,480
Speaker 2: me off. This line is Tennessee for real, Listen. I

678
00:32:33,560 --> 00:32:35,959
Speaker 2: don't I didn't want to come out and just you know,

679
00:32:36,080 --> 00:32:39,080
Speaker 2: take Georgia out of spite because I'm compromised because I

680
00:32:39,080 --> 00:32:42,520
Speaker 2: don't like Jeremy Pruitt, because I don't like Jim Cheney,

681
00:32:42,520 --> 00:32:45,360
Speaker 2: because I don't like Guarantano. If they beat Georgia here,

682
00:32:45,480 --> 00:32:47,600
Speaker 2: or they cover, or they make it, make them sweat,

683
00:32:47,760 --> 00:32:49,280
Speaker 2: then I have to start believing in them, like I

684
00:32:49,840 --> 00:32:51,600
Speaker 2: had a whole bunch of money on Indiana against them

685
00:32:51,600 --> 00:32:54,160
Speaker 2: in the Bowl last year. I've just never believed in Tennessee.

686
00:32:54,720 --> 00:32:56,720
Speaker 2: So this is a game I'm going to sit out.

687
00:32:57,160 --> 00:32:59,920
Speaker 2: You know, Guaran Tanno right now is seventy second passing EPA,

688
00:33:00,360 --> 00:33:02,560
Speaker 2: so his expected points when he throws this is just

689
00:33:02,600 --> 00:33:04,800
Speaker 2: not explosive. He's just not I don't think he can

690
00:33:04,840 --> 00:33:06,760
Speaker 2: get enough chunk yards and he doesn't have enough quick

691
00:33:06,800 --> 00:33:11,040
Speaker 2: strike to beat this Georgia defense. I think Georgie's defense

692
00:33:11,120 --> 00:33:13,120
Speaker 2: is going to be great at getting Tennessee's offense off

693
00:33:13,160 --> 00:33:15,640
Speaker 2: the field. Offense a little bit of a question mark

694
00:33:15,680 --> 00:33:18,640
Speaker 2: for Georgia. No play for me. I would rather prefer

695
00:33:18,680 --> 00:33:21,560
Speaker 2: this lower. But if you like Tennessee, I'm staring at

696
00:33:21,600 --> 00:33:23,000
Speaker 2: a board full of twelve and a half, twelve and

697
00:33:23,040 --> 00:33:26,080
Speaker 2: a half of bet MGM. It looked much better at

698
00:33:26,080 --> 00:33:28,880
Speaker 2: fourteen thirteen and a half thirteen. I would wait to

699
00:33:28,880 --> 00:33:30,680
Speaker 2: see if some Georgia money comes in to prop that

700
00:33:30,720 --> 00:33:32,200
Speaker 2: back up. I wouldn't want to sit around with a

701
00:33:32,200 --> 00:33:33,440
Speaker 2: dead number like twelve and a half.

702
00:33:33,880 --> 00:33:36,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean I had to take fourteen. Like I

703
00:33:36,120 --> 00:33:39,920
Speaker 3: said before, it's fourteen's also a lot of points for

704
00:33:40,040 --> 00:33:44,600
Speaker 3: a total of forty two, right, Like it's so yeah.

705
00:33:44,640 --> 00:33:45,800
Speaker 3: I agree with you that it's not going to be

706
00:33:45,800 --> 00:33:48,080
Speaker 3: easy for Tennessee to move the ball. But I think

707
00:33:48,080 --> 00:33:51,560
Speaker 3: they're going to have enough success on the ground with

708
00:33:51,640 --> 00:33:53,760
Speaker 3: that offensive line. And they just I went back and

709
00:33:53,760 --> 00:33:56,880
Speaker 3: watched some of the Missouri game. Missouri did got nothing

710
00:33:56,880 --> 00:33:58,680
Speaker 3: in the back of that offensive line was just.

711
00:33:58,760 --> 00:34:03,240
Speaker 6: Driving them all day long. So this offensive line is legit.

712
00:34:03,760 --> 00:34:08,200
Speaker 3: We will see on Saturday if I'll be playing some

713
00:34:08,320 --> 00:34:11,080
Speaker 3: rocky top on Monday's football review podcast.

714
00:34:11,840 --> 00:34:14,200
Speaker 4: Hope you're enjoying this great Action network podcast. I want

715
00:34:14,200 --> 00:34:16,800
Speaker 4: to make sure you know about the locked On podcast network.

716
00:34:16,840 --> 00:34:19,759
Speaker 4: Locked on as a daily podcast on your favorite team.

717
00:34:19,880 --> 00:34:21,600
Speaker 2: Welcome to you, Lockdown forty nine ers.

718
00:34:21,680 --> 00:34:23,360
Speaker 6: You are lockedown of the Dallas marriage.

719
00:34:23,080 --> 00:34:25,160
Speaker 2: Welcome everybody to the Lockdown Lakers podcast.

720
00:34:25,360 --> 00:34:25,919
Speaker 6: Let's Go.

721
00:34:26,200 --> 00:34:29,120
Speaker 4: Locked On podcasts are hosted by the local experts who

722
00:34:29,160 --> 00:34:31,360
Speaker 4: know your team better than anyone and give you the

723
00:34:31,440 --> 00:34:34,200
Speaker 4: inside scoop. So go to your podcast app and search

724
00:34:34,400 --> 00:34:38,719
Speaker 4: locked on your favorite team. Subscribe to your Locked On podcast.

725
00:34:42,120 --> 00:34:45,160
Speaker 6: Let's move on to our final Marquy game of the day.

726
00:34:46,400 --> 00:34:49,719
Speaker 6: This one we may agree on. I think we do.

727
00:34:50,239 --> 00:34:54,520
Speaker 3: This is the prime time our fifth ranked matchup of

728
00:34:54,600 --> 00:35:00,359
Speaker 3: the day, Miami at Clemson, seven thirty Eastern Top ten

729
00:35:00,520 --> 00:35:03,480
Speaker 3: matchup at bet MGM. Right now, Clemson is a fourteen

730
00:35:04,000 --> 00:35:08,000
Speaker 3: point favored over under sixty two and a half. I

731
00:35:08,120 --> 00:35:12,160
Speaker 3: played Miami plus fifteen all this CLV. I'm gonna get

732
00:35:12,239 --> 00:35:14,960
Speaker 3: smoked this weekend. When I saw that number, I make

733
00:35:15,000 --> 00:35:20,600
Speaker 3: it closer to ten. Clemson. Just eye test wise, there's

734
00:35:20,920 --> 00:35:25,880
Speaker 3: this isn't the peak elite Clemson teams that we've seen,

735
00:35:26,840 --> 00:35:32,000
Speaker 3: especially on defense. Their offense obviously is Trevor Lawrenson, Travis etn.

736
00:35:32,320 --> 00:35:37,000
Speaker 3: Their weapons aren't as abundant as they've been in the

737
00:35:37,040 --> 00:35:40,080
Speaker 3: past due to some circumstances out of their control.

738
00:35:40,239 --> 00:35:41,480
Speaker 6: But the offense is still really good.

739
00:35:41,480 --> 00:35:45,160
Speaker 3: But this defense let Virginia do a lot more than

740
00:35:45,160 --> 00:35:48,640
Speaker 3: I thought the Cavaliers could. The question then becomes, I mean,

741
00:35:48,680 --> 00:35:51,120
Speaker 3: I make this ten I'm a believer in Miami, and

742
00:35:51,239 --> 00:35:53,319
Speaker 3: just from an eye test, Miami can compete in this game.

743
00:35:53,640 --> 00:35:59,480
Speaker 3: The question becomes can Miami sustain drives and or which

744
00:36:00,400 --> 00:36:02,880
Speaker 3: might be tough against Clempson. Even though Clemson's D looks

745
00:36:02,880 --> 00:36:04,960
Speaker 3: like it has some issues, will they be able to

746
00:36:04,960 --> 00:36:08,279
Speaker 3: get enough explosive plays to keep up Clemson's going to

747
00:36:08,360 --> 00:36:13,160
Speaker 3: score with Etn and Lawrence, I say yes, but maybe

748
00:36:13,160 --> 00:36:15,840
Speaker 3: I'm buying into Miami too late thoughts.

749
00:36:15,719 --> 00:36:17,680
Speaker 2: Well, you got a great number of fifteen. You know

750
00:36:17,760 --> 00:36:19,640
Speaker 2: this is uh, this is a number that I actually

751
00:36:19,680 --> 00:36:22,160
Speaker 2: make lower. I make it around nine and a half.

752
00:36:22,239 --> 00:36:25,919
Speaker 2: So I should be on Miami, but I'm not because wow,

753
00:36:26,440 --> 00:36:28,759
Speaker 2: I am going against my own number and I'm going

754
00:36:28,800 --> 00:36:31,200
Speaker 2: to be on Clemson here. There was a third to

755
00:36:31,280 --> 00:36:34,360
Speaker 2: four times at MGM. I would wait for thirteen and

756
00:36:34,400 --> 00:36:35,759
Speaker 2: a half. I think we can get it. I think

757
00:36:35,800 --> 00:36:38,279
Speaker 2: some shops are going to need that money. So you know,

758
00:36:38,280 --> 00:36:39,879
Speaker 2: we'll wait and see if that thirteen a half pops.

759
00:36:39,920 --> 00:36:42,200
Speaker 2: And I'm gonna take Clemson here. And there's just a

760
00:36:42,239 --> 00:36:43,839
Speaker 2: couple of things when I was digging around, and I'm

761
00:36:43,880 --> 00:36:45,520
Speaker 2: the way the Miami fans are gonna call in and

762
00:36:45,600 --> 00:36:48,240
Speaker 2: rip me up for this, but I'm telling you, wait.

763
00:36:48,239 --> 00:36:49,280
Speaker 6: Let's go Miami.

764
00:36:49,880 --> 00:36:52,960
Speaker 2: Clemson has allowed just one rush of twenty yards. I

765
00:36:52,960 --> 00:36:55,160
Speaker 2: think it was a garbage time run. Clemson's allowed one

766
00:36:55,239 --> 00:36:58,479
Speaker 2: rush of twenty plus yards. For dearra King. To cover

767
00:36:58,560 --> 00:36:59,959
Speaker 2: this number, it's going to have to be in pass

768
00:37:00,120 --> 00:37:01,480
Speaker 2: downs and it's going to have to be through the air.

769
00:37:01,480 --> 00:37:04,240
Speaker 2: It's not going to be in busted plays. I feel

770
00:37:04,239 --> 00:37:08,640
Speaker 2: like that Louisville defense was a horrible, horrible test for

771
00:37:08,719 --> 00:37:10,320
Speaker 2: someone like deer Keem to go up to because he

772
00:37:10,400 --> 00:37:13,520
Speaker 2: just shreded them, and that's not what the Clemsons defense

773
00:37:13,600 --> 00:37:16,200
Speaker 2: is now. I do think Red Vinnables has his work

774
00:37:16,200 --> 00:37:18,680
Speaker 2: cutout for him. This is not the same Clemson defense

775
00:37:18,680 --> 00:37:20,840
Speaker 2: that we've had in years past. It's showing up in

776
00:37:20,920 --> 00:37:22,560
Speaker 2: some of the numbers. They're good in success R eight

777
00:37:22,560 --> 00:37:25,160
Speaker 2: against the rush of the past. There's some EPA issues.

778
00:37:25,160 --> 00:37:28,359
Speaker 2: They are allowing some plays power success whereas forty eight

779
00:37:28,560 --> 00:37:31,680
Speaker 2: stuff rate wise forty eighth on defense, Controlling the line

780
00:37:31,680 --> 00:37:33,040
Speaker 2: of scrimmage is going to be a big deal here,

781
00:37:33,680 --> 00:37:36,400
Speaker 2: but there's just things that Miami does that I feel

782
00:37:36,400 --> 00:37:40,400
Speaker 2: that Clemson can stop Miami's strength on defense. Since the eighties,

783
00:37:40,480 --> 00:37:42,880
Speaker 2: since you and I were kids, has always been a

784
00:37:43,000 --> 00:37:47,120
Speaker 2: havoc defense. Thirty one tackles for loss, four forced fumbles,

785
00:37:47,120 --> 00:37:50,279
Speaker 2: fifteen passes defense. This is the U and that's what

786
00:37:50,320 --> 00:37:52,760
Speaker 2: they do. But the problem is is Clemson on offense

787
00:37:52,880 --> 00:37:55,080
Speaker 2: is not giving the ball up and they're not letting

788
00:37:55,120 --> 00:37:57,279
Speaker 2: people in the backfield. And if you get back there,

789
00:37:57,760 --> 00:38:00,239
Speaker 2: Travis Etam looked like a circus act walking a tight

790
00:38:00,280 --> 00:38:02,799
Speaker 2: rope on two hundred feet up above the air. They're

791
00:38:02,840 --> 00:38:05,520
Speaker 2: six in havoc allowed Clemson. So I don't see them

792
00:38:05,560 --> 00:38:07,800
Speaker 2: giving the ball away. I don't see them making mistakes.

793
00:38:08,760 --> 00:38:11,279
Speaker 2: Right now, Trevor Lawrence is throwing at a seventy three

794
00:38:11,320 --> 00:38:14,239
Speaker 2: percent completion rate that's eight percent higher than his two

795
00:38:14,320 --> 00:38:16,480
Speaker 2: year average from the years before. He has yet to

796
00:38:16,480 --> 00:38:18,879
Speaker 2: throw him interception. On the offensive line, we've been talking

797
00:38:18,920 --> 00:38:22,120
Speaker 2: about Georgia's offensive line, We've been talking about Tennessee's offensive line.

798
00:38:22,280 --> 00:38:25,719
Speaker 2: We need to talk about Clemson's offensive line because of

799
00:38:25,760 --> 00:38:28,640
Speaker 2: the four hundred and fourteen pass blocking snaps of the

800
00:38:28,680 --> 00:38:32,200
Speaker 2: five starters, of all five starters, and the pass blocking

801
00:38:32,200 --> 00:38:34,720
Speaker 2: snaps they've had, there's been four hundred and fourteen they've

802
00:38:34,719 --> 00:38:38,560
Speaker 2: given up a combined one sack Jackson Carmen. That's it.

803
00:38:39,320 --> 00:38:42,600
Speaker 2: Handful of hurries, not much. No one's getting to Trevor Lawrence.

804
00:38:43,000 --> 00:38:45,080
Speaker 2: We know he can run. He did it all last year.

805
00:38:45,120 --> 00:38:46,880
Speaker 2: He hasn't been doing it this year. We know he

806
00:38:46,920 --> 00:38:49,520
Speaker 2: can run if he needs to. I just don't think Miami.

807
00:38:49,760 --> 00:38:53,480
Speaker 2: I don't trust Miami's secondary Nobody has tested them, Nobody's

808
00:38:53,520 --> 00:38:56,040
Speaker 2: thrown it that deep. I don't think Clemson's played a

809
00:38:56,080 --> 00:38:57,879
Speaker 2: full game. I don't think they've had interest in playing

810
00:38:57,880 --> 00:39:00,400
Speaker 2: a full game. Obvious from the citadel, you know. I

811
00:39:00,400 --> 00:39:03,320
Speaker 2: think the Virginia thing was, you know, a game before

812
00:39:03,360 --> 00:39:06,600
Speaker 2: a big week primetime game. I do think the pace

813
00:39:06,680 --> 00:39:08,280
Speaker 2: is going to be really high in this game. Miami's

814
00:39:08,360 --> 00:39:11,040
Speaker 2: ninth and seconds per play, clemsones twenty second seconds per play.

815
00:39:11,200 --> 00:39:14,400
Speaker 2: Clemson is pretty fast. They're striking quick. They have big plays.

816
00:39:14,719 --> 00:39:14,920
Speaker 6: You know.

817
00:39:14,960 --> 00:39:18,640
Speaker 2: Frankly, Miami has to hold their into the bargain up

818
00:39:18,880 --> 00:39:21,520
Speaker 2: to have this game go over. Sixty two is a

819
00:39:21,560 --> 00:39:24,760
Speaker 2: little high for me. I want the under in this game,

820
00:39:25,040 --> 00:39:27,440
Speaker 2: and I'm gonna roll with Clemson. I think Miami is

821
00:39:27,480 --> 00:39:29,320
Speaker 2: gonna give it their best shot. I think RTT Lashley

822
00:39:29,400 --> 00:39:32,040
Speaker 2: is gonna throw the covered at him first few drives,

823
00:39:32,480 --> 00:39:33,120
Speaker 2: and then I think.

824
00:39:33,840 --> 00:39:35,760
Speaker 6: Too, they are coming off of bye the two weeks.

825
00:39:36,280 --> 00:39:37,919
Speaker 2: I think Venables is going to have it figured out.

826
00:39:38,320 --> 00:39:40,080
Speaker 2: I think Venables will have it figured out by the

827
00:39:40,080 --> 00:39:42,360
Speaker 2: time we get to the middle eight. Four minutes left

828
00:39:42,680 --> 00:39:44,960
Speaker 2: in the in the first half, four minutes in the

829
00:39:45,280 --> 00:39:47,200
Speaker 2: of the second half is called the middle eight, and

830
00:39:47,239 --> 00:39:50,480
Speaker 2: that's what Clemson's dominated for a decade. It seems like

831
00:39:50,760 --> 00:39:53,760
Speaker 2: I think Venables give him three or four drives, lastly

832
00:39:53,840 --> 00:39:56,640
Speaker 2: throws the kitchen sink at him. Vinables will figure it out.

833
00:39:57,000 --> 00:39:59,640
Speaker 2: I'm gonna take Clemson to cover. I do argue that

834
00:39:59,640 --> 00:40:01,640
Speaker 2: you probably I could get a better number live, but

835
00:40:01,680 --> 00:40:03,239
Speaker 2: I'm gonna take Clemson here, and I think it goes

836
00:40:03,320 --> 00:40:05,879
Speaker 2: under because Miami doesn't get the appropriate points that they need.

837
00:40:06,719 --> 00:40:09,880
Speaker 3: I disagree. We disagree on all five games. I think yeah,

838
00:40:10,080 --> 00:40:14,040
Speaker 3: and I have just bought into what I've seen from Miami.

839
00:40:14,080 --> 00:40:15,960
Speaker 3: I think that there's value in the number. I don't

840
00:40:15,960 --> 00:40:19,399
Speaker 3: think this Clemson defense is anywhere as good as we've

841
00:40:19,440 --> 00:40:22,319
Speaker 3: seen in The Miami offensive line has significantly improved with

842
00:40:22,360 --> 00:40:25,160
Speaker 3: some transfers. They have a bye week with Lastly to

843
00:40:25,200 --> 00:40:27,799
Speaker 3: prepare for this game. And look, I mean Clemson. Yeah,

844
00:40:27,880 --> 00:40:29,920
Speaker 3: a lot of their numbers are good. They played Citadel

845
00:40:29,920 --> 00:40:33,319
Speaker 3: wake Forest in Virginia. I think Virginia Brennan Armstrong threw

846
00:40:33,320 --> 00:40:35,480
Speaker 3: for three hundred yards and three touchdowns and ran for

847
00:40:35,600 --> 00:40:39,160
Speaker 3: ninety So I think there's gonna be opportunities there for King.

848
00:40:40,040 --> 00:40:41,000
Speaker 6: It's not gonna be easy.

849
00:40:41,040 --> 00:40:44,200
Speaker 3: I think Limpson wins this game. But and remember Miami

850
00:40:44,239 --> 00:40:47,200
Speaker 3: special teams, man, we know Clemson special teams are going

851
00:40:47,280 --> 00:40:50,879
Speaker 3: to be usually struggle. Miami has a great kicker now

852
00:40:50,920 --> 00:40:54,320
Speaker 3: and a great punter. Maybe that comes into play Miami

853
00:40:54,520 --> 00:40:55,440
Speaker 3: or Gallas.

854
00:40:55,480 --> 00:40:55,760
Speaker 5: Bam.

855
00:40:55,960 --> 00:40:58,920
Speaker 2: We're waiting for Miami's field goal. Kicker did a fifty

856
00:40:58,920 --> 00:41:01,759
Speaker 2: five yarder in this one, and their ponner can boom it.

857
00:41:02,280 --> 00:41:04,600
Speaker 2: But hopefully they're not punning too much. Miami fans, I'm

858
00:41:04,600 --> 00:41:08,200
Speaker 2: gonna need you on Saturday night to call into the

859
00:41:08,280 --> 00:41:11,760
Speaker 2: voicemail if we cover. If not, you can stay silent.

860
00:41:11,840 --> 00:41:14,120
Speaker 2: We're gonna need to call it either way that you

861
00:41:14,160 --> 00:41:15,839
Speaker 2: and I are on opposite ends of everything that we

862
00:41:15,920 --> 00:41:17,759
Speaker 2: usually we agree, but they're gonna be calling in for

863
00:41:17,800 --> 00:41:19,279
Speaker 2: one of us. One of us is gonna have a

864
00:41:19,280 --> 00:41:19,880
Speaker 2: bad Sunday.

865
00:41:20,480 --> 00:41:24,040
Speaker 3: That wraps up our marquee Games of the week five

866
00:41:24,400 --> 00:41:28,640
Speaker 3: ranked matchups should be a hell of a Saturday. Before

867
00:41:28,680 --> 00:41:32,160
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886
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Speaker 7: And now back to the show.

887
00:42:31,560 --> 00:42:34,640
Speaker 6: Okay, let's get to the best of the rest. Let's

888
00:42:34,760 --> 00:42:35,440
Speaker 6: we have to talk.

889
00:42:35,360 --> 00:42:40,279
Speaker 3: Whether here there's a hurricane that forced that's going to

890
00:42:40,320 --> 00:42:43,960
Speaker 3: impact the number of different games from a win perspective.

891
00:42:43,960 --> 00:42:47,240
Speaker 3: We've seen a number of totals crash as a result.

892
00:42:47,320 --> 00:42:54,279
Speaker 3: We've seen LSU Missouri move from Baton Rouge to Columbia.

893
00:42:53,640 --> 00:42:55,239
Speaker 6: From night to a noon kick.

894
00:42:55,360 --> 00:42:58,680
Speaker 3: Now, I like Missouri by the way, fourteen or better LSU.

895
00:42:58,960 --> 00:43:02,200
Speaker 3: They did dominate Vanderbilt from a score perspective, but there

896
00:43:02,239 --> 00:43:04,960
Speaker 3: was opportunities for Vanderbilt in that game. And that I mean,

897
00:43:05,000 --> 00:43:08,759
Speaker 3: Vanderbilt's just terrible and they had drops and I went

898
00:43:08,800 --> 00:43:12,200
Speaker 3: back and looked at Missouri. David played by drops and

899
00:43:12,239 --> 00:43:15,120
Speaker 3: that's one of the reasons Baslic has been has struggled.

900
00:43:15,120 --> 00:43:17,879
Speaker 3: But he's actually when I watched that Tennessee game, he's

901
00:43:17,920 --> 00:43:21,959
Speaker 3: given his receivers chances. This all CE team, remember lost

902
00:43:22,040 --> 00:43:26,960
Speaker 3: nineteen starters and now their offensive line is in flux.

903
00:43:27,520 --> 00:43:29,879
Speaker 3: I might have to bring a defensive player back over

904
00:43:29,960 --> 00:43:32,480
Speaker 3: to play guard. Their starting guard and tackle might not play.

905
00:43:32,719 --> 00:43:35,960
Speaker 3: I like them fourteen or more. But I digress battle

906
00:43:36,160 --> 00:43:42,000
Speaker 3: miss might get canceled, maybe not, but there's gonna be

907
00:43:42,040 --> 00:43:46,200
Speaker 3: win there. And then Arkansas Auburn as well. I made

908
00:43:46,239 --> 00:43:48,160
Speaker 3: a mistake the one game I did not get any

909
00:43:48,160 --> 00:43:49,960
Speaker 3: closing line value. And I'm curious to get your thoughts

910
00:43:50,000 --> 00:43:51,520
Speaker 3: on all three of those SEC games and any other

911
00:43:51,560 --> 00:43:54,160
Speaker 3: win games you want to mention. I made a mistake.

912
00:43:54,239 --> 00:43:57,520
Speaker 3: I bet Auburn minus sixteen. I think it look they're

913
00:43:57,520 --> 00:44:00,160
Speaker 3: gonna have bo Nick's gonna have time to throw. He's

914
00:44:00,160 --> 00:44:03,520
Speaker 3: actually going against a defensive line that their offensive line

915
00:44:03,520 --> 00:44:05,880
Speaker 3: can control a little bit of a letdown factor.

916
00:44:05,960 --> 00:44:07,280
Speaker 6: Or for Arkansas as well.

917
00:44:07,360 --> 00:44:10,759
Speaker 3: I think Auburn kind of will take out its frustrations

918
00:44:10,800 --> 00:44:13,960
Speaker 3: from last week against Arkansas. I think I thought that

919
00:44:14,000 --> 00:44:16,320
Speaker 3: this had blood written all over it, so I'd laid sixteen,

920
00:44:16,480 --> 00:44:18,880
Speaker 3: awful number. You can get thirteen half down, And my

921
00:44:19,000 --> 00:44:21,680
Speaker 3: mistake is that I didn't think about the weather coming.

922
00:44:21,680 --> 00:44:24,840
Speaker 3: And then the total dropped about a touchdown, so obviously

923
00:44:24,920 --> 00:44:28,920
Speaker 3: the side dropped as well. So I cost myself getting

924
00:44:29,000 --> 00:44:31,040
Speaker 3: under two touchdowns in n laying six tea, which is

925
00:44:31,080 --> 00:44:31,800
Speaker 3: a terrible number.

926
00:44:31,920 --> 00:44:34,040
Speaker 6: Bow next season then full effect.

927
00:44:35,880 --> 00:44:38,360
Speaker 3: But what are your thoughts across the border, any wind

928
00:44:38,520 --> 00:44:40,680
Speaker 3: totals or those SEC games that I mentioned.

929
00:44:40,719 --> 00:44:43,239
Speaker 6: Obviously, we want to get your thoughts on your razorback,

930
00:44:43,280 --> 00:44:45,560
Speaker 6: your hogs. Can they go for two in a row?

931
00:44:46,160 --> 00:44:46,319
Speaker 3: Whoo?

932
00:44:46,719 --> 00:44:50,640
Speaker 5: Pig suy absolute dumpster fined, dumpster fine.

933
00:44:50,719 --> 00:44:52,040
Speaker 2: I don't know how we win a game the rest

934
00:44:52,040 --> 00:44:53,799
Speaker 2: of the year, just blowing program up.

935
00:44:53,880 --> 00:44:55,360
Speaker 6: Give us a death sentence.

936
00:44:55,440 --> 00:44:57,759
Speaker 5: Collins talking razorback football.

937
00:44:59,520 --> 00:45:02,160
Speaker 2: It's one to call a big dog, and then it's

938
00:45:02,160 --> 00:45:04,239
Speaker 2: one thing to cut a video, and then it's one

939
00:45:04,280 --> 00:45:06,799
Speaker 2: thing to have it be your own team. You know.

940
00:45:06,960 --> 00:45:10,560
Speaker 2: I mean that's really the trifecta there. But you know,

941
00:45:10,600 --> 00:45:12,759
Speaker 2: I think this week we're gonna come back to reality.

942
00:45:13,280 --> 00:45:15,480
Speaker 2: I thought what Mississippi State did in Week one there was,

943
00:45:15,560 --> 00:45:18,160
Speaker 2: you know, a way for Arkansas to beat them. And

944
00:45:18,280 --> 00:45:20,640
Speaker 2: I believe in this coaching staff. I said the direction

945
00:45:20,800 --> 00:45:23,120
Speaker 2: was moving in the right moving in the right way,

946
00:45:23,200 --> 00:45:25,600
Speaker 2: and they showed that against Mississippi State. Now you have

947
00:45:25,640 --> 00:45:28,840
Speaker 2: to deal with your team that just got a huge,

948
00:45:29,080 --> 00:45:32,240
Speaker 2: huge win, first time they've had an SEC victory in years.

949
00:45:33,080 --> 00:45:35,680
Speaker 2: Probably nobody on this squad was even on the seventeen team.

950
00:45:35,719 --> 00:45:38,680
Speaker 2: I didn't think about that for a minute, but you know.

951
00:45:38,840 --> 00:45:40,719
Speaker 2: So now we've had that win and we have to

952
00:45:40,719 --> 00:45:42,560
Speaker 2: go back on the road again and we're going into

953
00:45:42,600 --> 00:45:45,600
Speaker 2: a hurricane. And for me, this was an under the

954
00:45:45,719 --> 00:45:49,239
Speaker 2: entire time Listen, Arkansas's terrible at finishing drives kJ Jefferson,

955
00:45:49,280 --> 00:45:52,160
Speaker 2: our future star quarterback. He fumbled at the two yard line.

956
00:45:52,200 --> 00:45:53,960
Speaker 2: I mean, you think about what that score was for

957
00:45:53,960 --> 00:45:55,879
Speaker 2: such a long time. We had a chance to pile

958
00:45:55,960 --> 00:45:59,040
Speaker 2: it on and in our Arkansas backup quarterback who will

959
00:45:59,080 --> 00:46:02,120
Speaker 2: be our store quarterback, fumbled at the two. We're working progress,

960
00:46:02,200 --> 00:46:04,440
Speaker 2: Arkansas are working progress. I don't think you're completely skunk

961
00:46:04,520 --> 00:46:07,280
Speaker 2: with that sixteen. I was thinking about playing the thirteen myself.

962
00:46:07,280 --> 00:46:09,560
Speaker 2: The weather bothers me. I mean, Hurricane Delta coming in

963
00:46:09,800 --> 00:46:12,799
Speaker 2: could have thirty five mile an hour wind, gus precipitation,

964
00:46:13,280 --> 00:46:16,399
Speaker 2: Arkansas's almost dead last and scoring points when they get

965
00:46:16,400 --> 00:46:19,040
Speaker 2: passed the opponent forty yard line. Arkansas d is the

966
00:46:19,040 --> 00:46:22,800
Speaker 2: best in the nation against pass explosiveness. Hey, they're picking six.

967
00:46:23,160 --> 00:46:26,320
Speaker 2: They're making life hell for quarterbacks. But we're a hurricane.

968
00:46:26,640 --> 00:46:28,880
Speaker 2: There might not be a lot of passing. Bonix might

969
00:46:28,920 --> 00:46:30,400
Speaker 2: not be throwing it down the field when there's this

970
00:46:30,480 --> 00:46:32,239
Speaker 2: kind of win. Gus you know, so I don't see

971
00:46:32,360 --> 00:46:35,160
Speaker 2: the team moving the ball much. Project this around fifteen.

972
00:46:36,080 --> 00:46:37,960
Speaker 2: I think you might be okay with the sixteen. For me,

973
00:46:38,000 --> 00:46:40,000
Speaker 2: I've gotten underbed on it. I'm just gonna stick with that.

974
00:46:40,360 --> 00:46:42,439
Speaker 2: See how the weather plays out. As far as elis

975
00:46:42,600 --> 00:46:46,239
Speaker 2: Missouri goes. You know, Bays, Look, you're right he can.

976
00:46:46,320 --> 00:46:49,120
Speaker 2: He's about a fifty percent completion rate. That's without pressure.

977
00:46:49,360 --> 00:46:54,200
Speaker 2: He's had some drops. But you know, Missouri's d allowed

978
00:46:54,200 --> 00:46:56,520
Speaker 2: a handful of thirty plus yard passes through two games,

979
00:46:57,320 --> 00:46:59,360
Speaker 2: and it feels like to me they just kind of

980
00:46:59,360 --> 00:47:01,120
Speaker 2: gave up last week week. I mean, Seann Robinson came

981
00:47:01,160 --> 00:47:03,440
Speaker 2: in for two drives, was out the rest of the game,

982
00:47:03,440 --> 00:47:05,080
Speaker 2: and then the Missouri defense didn't show up at all.

983
00:47:05,120 --> 00:47:07,239
Speaker 2: So they've got to do better. There not really an

984
00:47:07,239 --> 00:47:10,120
Speaker 2: opinion on that game, bam all miss I've hammered the

985
00:47:10,239 --> 00:47:13,120
Speaker 2: under knowing that that hurricane was going to come in.

986
00:47:13,200 --> 00:47:15,160
Speaker 2: Now we've got a game time move till later on

987
00:47:15,200 --> 00:47:18,560
Speaker 2: in the evening to check ACU weather. We're looking at

988
00:47:18,600 --> 00:47:20,640
Speaker 2: thirty five mile an hour wind gusts in the day

989
00:47:21,239 --> 00:47:23,759
Speaker 2: down to twenty mile an hour wind gusts at night.

990
00:47:23,880 --> 00:47:26,320
Speaker 2: I'm still not sure it's safe. I can't believe that

991
00:47:26,360 --> 00:47:28,520
Speaker 2: they haven't tried to move this game. Kiffin came out

992
00:47:28,560 --> 00:47:30,680
Speaker 2: last night. We're recording on Thursday night. Keivivin came out

993
00:47:30,719 --> 00:47:33,279
Speaker 2: late on Wednesday night and said, there are options on

994
00:47:33,280 --> 00:47:35,560
Speaker 2: the table to play this game on Friday. There's options

995
00:47:35,600 --> 00:47:38,480
Speaker 2: on the table to play this game on Sunday. And

996
00:47:38,520 --> 00:47:40,440
Speaker 2: then as far as you and I recording this, they

997
00:47:40,520 --> 00:47:43,160
Speaker 2: just moved the game like two hours back, trying to

998
00:47:43,280 --> 00:47:45,640
Speaker 2: miss a little bit of that wind. If they're still

999
00:47:45,640 --> 00:47:48,000
Speaker 2: playing that game on Saturday night, then I think the

1000
00:47:48,040 --> 00:47:50,640
Speaker 2: first half under is worth of play because that wind

1001
00:47:50,800 --> 00:47:53,160
Speaker 2: is thirty miles per hour. The gusts are going to

1002
00:47:53,239 --> 00:47:54,719
Speaker 2: be there. It's still going to be there in the

1003
00:47:54,719 --> 00:47:57,920
Speaker 2: first half. They can't escape that. The ole Miss defense. Listen,

1004
00:47:57,920 --> 00:47:59,640
Speaker 2: if there was no weather at all, this thing would

1005
00:47:59,640 --> 00:48:02,600
Speaker 2: fly over the seventies. It should be in the seventies, right,

1006
00:48:02,640 --> 00:48:04,680
Speaker 2: I mean. Old Miss's defense is terrible, seventy fourth and

1007
00:48:04,719 --> 00:48:08,000
Speaker 2: brushing seventy third. Passing success rate, their success rate is

1008
00:48:08,000 --> 00:48:09,280
Speaker 2: worse than the nation, it's.

1009
00:48:09,160 --> 00:48:09,800
Speaker 6: Not even close.

1010
00:48:10,560 --> 00:48:13,440
Speaker 2: But offensively, old Miss is top five in passing success

1011
00:48:13,520 --> 00:48:16,439
Speaker 2: rate and their top five and seconds per play. Old

1012
00:48:16,440 --> 00:48:18,560
Speaker 2: Miss is going to be a problem for people. But

1013
00:48:18,600 --> 00:48:21,840
Speaker 2: this hurricane just changes the game completely. This is not

1014
00:48:21,920 --> 00:48:25,400
Speaker 2: going to be Kiffin and Saban on a nice, calm

1015
00:48:25,440 --> 00:48:28,839
Speaker 2: weather evening taking shots at each other, although they already are.

1016
00:48:28,960 --> 00:48:31,520
Speaker 2: There was a tweet I'm sorry. There was a statement

1017
00:48:31,560 --> 00:48:33,920
Speaker 2: put out by Saban last night saying I may be

1018
00:48:34,040 --> 00:48:35,799
Speaker 2: old and I've had a hip replacement, but at least

1019
00:48:35,840 --> 00:48:40,040
Speaker 2: I know how to cover a ballgame shots fired. So

1020
00:48:40,160 --> 00:48:42,359
Speaker 2: don't think for two seconds these two do like each

1021
00:48:42,400 --> 00:48:45,560
Speaker 2: other a lot. They are personal and friends with each other,

1022
00:48:45,880 --> 00:48:47,680
Speaker 2: but don't think they don't want to rub in each

1023
00:48:47,680 --> 00:48:49,960
Speaker 2: other's face. And by the way, Saban hates All miss

1024
00:48:50,160 --> 00:48:52,720
Speaker 2: he lost to Oxford back in the Hugh Freeze days.

1025
00:48:53,120 --> 00:48:56,080
Speaker 2: He does not take a trip to Old miss lightly anymore.

1026
00:48:56,719 --> 00:48:59,239
Speaker 2: But the hurricane changes everything, So for me, they keep

1027
00:48:59,239 --> 00:49:01,240
Speaker 2: this thing. On Saturday night, I play a first half under.

1028
00:49:01,880 --> 00:49:05,279
Speaker 3: Would you lean towards Ole missing the points since you

1029
00:49:05,280 --> 00:49:06,640
Speaker 3: think it's going to be lower scoring?

1030
00:49:09,320 --> 00:49:09,680
Speaker 6: Yeah?

1031
00:49:10,080 --> 00:49:11,880
Speaker 2: I do, because if it's going to be lower scoring,

1032
00:49:11,920 --> 00:49:14,200
Speaker 2: then that gives value to the twenty four. I think

1033
00:49:14,200 --> 00:49:16,480
Speaker 2: that twenty four is inflated anyways. I believe I have

1034
00:49:16,560 --> 00:49:19,719
Speaker 2: this number around nineteen or twenty, So it's a little high. Anyways,

1035
00:49:21,440 --> 00:49:24,239
Speaker 2: the footing, I thought about this a lot, like does

1036
00:49:24,280 --> 00:49:27,160
Speaker 2: the field condition in the turf and the weather. Does

1037
00:49:27,200 --> 00:49:29,400
Speaker 2: that affect the defense or does that affect the offense?

1038
00:49:29,400 --> 00:49:32,440
Speaker 2: When you have skill positions like Elijah Moore Jalen Waddle

1039
00:49:32,520 --> 00:49:35,120
Speaker 2: both sides of the ball, maybe it hurts defense more

1040
00:49:35,160 --> 00:49:37,000
Speaker 2: because they don't know what angle the runner is going

1041
00:49:37,080 --> 00:49:39,360
Speaker 2: to go. But then again, how far is mac Jones

1042
00:49:39,360 --> 00:49:40,799
Speaker 2: going to be throwing the ball down the field? How

1043
00:49:40,800 --> 00:49:43,160
Speaker 2: far is Matt Coral going to be throwing the ball

1044
00:49:43,200 --> 00:49:46,080
Speaker 2: down the field? So you know, I think there's value

1045
00:49:46,080 --> 00:49:47,680
Speaker 2: in the old miss number with the weather, and I

1046
00:49:47,680 --> 00:49:50,040
Speaker 2: think there's value in the first half under.

1047
00:49:50,000 --> 00:49:52,640
Speaker 3: All right, let's move on here and move on to

1048
00:49:52,760 --> 00:49:56,480
Speaker 3: some rapid fire. Let's cover a bunch of other games

1049
00:49:56,520 --> 00:49:57,839
Speaker 3: here that we wanted to get to.

1050
00:49:58,640 --> 00:50:08,959
Speaker 6: Have to mention b October it is officially his month.

1051
00:50:09,400 --> 00:50:13,480
Speaker 3: He deserves the call out for the win, the money

1052
00:50:13,520 --> 00:50:17,400
Speaker 3: line win last week against Oklahoma. They've been a covering

1053
00:50:17,480 --> 00:50:21,600
Speaker 3: and winning machine in October under party under Campbell this

1054
00:50:21,680 --> 00:50:23,920
Speaker 3: week at n MGM. Right now, their twelve and a

1055
00:50:23,960 --> 00:50:27,239
Speaker 3: half point favorites at home against Texas Tech do you

1056
00:50:27,320 --> 00:50:30,560
Speaker 3: worry about the letdown. Is this just hey, we have

1057
00:50:30,640 --> 00:50:34,239
Speaker 3: to back party because it's October and that's what you do.

1058
00:50:34,320 --> 00:50:35,320
Speaker 6: Any thoughts in this game.

1059
00:50:35,600 --> 00:50:38,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, I would take Iowa State in this game. You

1060
00:50:38,080 --> 00:50:40,800
Speaker 2: know we're gonna see Al Bowman's gonna play. He's the

1061
00:50:40,880 --> 00:50:42,839
Speaker 2: king of first reads. And what I mean by that

1062
00:50:42,960 --> 00:50:45,640
Speaker 2: is he is terrible when he goes to his second, third,

1063
00:50:45,640 --> 00:50:48,879
Speaker 2: and fourth option. He is a hot route machine, which

1064
00:50:48,920 --> 00:50:52,040
Speaker 2: means he can hit his first receiver and if that

1065
00:50:52,040 --> 00:50:54,880
Speaker 2: can't be stopped, he's gonna tear it team apart. Texas

1066
00:50:54,880 --> 00:50:57,960
Speaker 2: Tech's only had one sack this season. It's because Bowman

1067
00:50:58,040 --> 00:51:00,440
Speaker 2: takes the snap and he immediately rifles it to his

1068
00:51:00,560 --> 00:51:02,640
Speaker 2: first read. So if you get any kind of defense

1069
00:51:02,640 --> 00:51:05,759
Speaker 2: whatsoever that's good enough to find out who the hot

1070
00:51:05,800 --> 00:51:07,960
Speaker 2: red is, who the hot route is in the first option,

1071
00:51:08,600 --> 00:51:11,120
Speaker 2: then you're going to be able to stop that. You

1072
00:51:11,160 --> 00:51:12,759
Speaker 2: know Io State is going to be able to do that.

1073
00:51:12,800 --> 00:51:14,920
Speaker 2: This is a great passing defense. They just proved it

1074
00:51:14,960 --> 00:51:17,359
Speaker 2: against Oklahoma. You know. On the other side of the ball,

1075
00:51:17,400 --> 00:51:20,520
Speaker 2: Texas text d is sixty third passing success rate. That's terrible.

1076
00:51:20,560 --> 00:51:23,040
Speaker 2: Against brock Perdy, They're sixty six in the havoc. They're

1077
00:51:23,080 --> 00:51:24,799
Speaker 2: not going to take the ball away, they're not going

1078
00:51:24,800 --> 00:51:26,799
Speaker 2: to tackle iOS State in the backfield, and they're not

1079
00:51:26,840 --> 00:51:29,160
Speaker 2: going to have any passes defensed in this game. Io

1080
00:51:29,200 --> 00:51:32,040
Speaker 2: State's covered for the last five in this series because

1081
00:51:32,040 --> 00:51:35,480
Speaker 2: it's an easy game plan. Just find out where Bowman's

1082
00:51:35,480 --> 00:51:37,759
Speaker 2: throwing the ball to, who his hot route is, and

1083
00:51:37,840 --> 00:51:40,040
Speaker 2: defend that person because he can't throw it to second, third,

1084
00:51:40,080 --> 00:51:43,120
Speaker 2: and fourth options. So I'm rolling with the Cyclones this week.

1085
00:51:43,360 --> 00:51:43,960
Speaker 2: Take the twelve.

1086
00:51:44,360 --> 00:51:46,439
Speaker 3: Well, if I see that come across the up, I

1087
00:51:46,480 --> 00:51:48,839
Speaker 3: am obliged to follow because it is brocked over. So

1088
00:51:48,880 --> 00:51:50,760
Speaker 3: I'll be joining you. So we finally agree on something.

1089
00:51:50,880 --> 00:51:55,799
Speaker 3: We also might agree on this next topic. BYU is

1090
00:51:55,840 --> 00:52:03,200
Speaker 3: a thirty five point home favorite against ut. Essay, look,

1091
00:52:03,400 --> 00:52:06,479
Speaker 3: BYU has looked so impressive. They played garbage, they played

1092
00:52:06,480 --> 00:52:09,600
Speaker 3: absolute garbage. But just I mean Zach Wilson, a quarterback,

1093
00:52:09,640 --> 00:52:12,879
Speaker 3: has been unbelievable. They passed the eye test right. It's

1094
00:52:12,920 --> 00:52:15,799
Speaker 3: one of those things where they're demolishing these teams even

1095
00:52:15,800 --> 00:52:22,279
Speaker 3: though they're shitty teams. I'm aggressively adjusting BYU so much,

1096
00:52:22,320 --> 00:52:24,000
Speaker 3: I'm like, I can't believe I'm moving them up this

1097
00:52:24,160 --> 00:52:27,080
Speaker 3: much and I still can't get close to this number.

1098
00:52:27,080 --> 00:52:27,840
Speaker 6: I'm at thirty.

1099
00:52:28,160 --> 00:52:31,239
Speaker 3: So I had to take plus thirty five with meat meat.

1100
00:52:31,800 --> 00:52:33,759
Speaker 3: I was hoping it didn't get to thirty five, and

1101
00:52:33,840 --> 00:52:35,600
Speaker 3: I was gonna not take it. I was gonna convince

1102
00:52:35,680 --> 00:52:37,239
Speaker 3: myself I don't want to lose any more money to

1103
00:52:37,280 --> 00:52:37,680
Speaker 3: b AU.

1104
00:52:37,840 --> 00:52:39,080
Speaker 6: And then he went to thirty five.

1105
00:52:39,800 --> 00:52:44,560
Speaker 3: So here we are making our our weekly Mormon donation

1106
00:52:45,400 --> 00:52:47,319
Speaker 3: to the Church of Latter day Saints. Are we going

1107
00:52:47,400 --> 00:52:50,520
Speaker 3: to make another donation this week? Or can we finally

1108
00:52:50,520 --> 00:52:53,560
Speaker 3: get a winner with meat meat with me?

1109
00:52:53,680 --> 00:52:53,879
Speaker 6: Right?

1110
00:52:54,080 --> 00:52:56,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, I'm with you here. Those numbers too high,

1111
00:52:56,920 --> 00:52:59,160
Speaker 2: you know, and keep repeating myself with BYU every week.

1112
00:52:59,840 --> 00:53:01,799
Speaker 2: Too high or maybe I'm just too off, But I

1113
00:53:01,800 --> 00:53:03,759
Speaker 2: mean I think the number is too high. Let's take

1114
00:53:03,760 --> 00:53:05,919
Speaker 2: a look at it. I mean, this isn't just I'm

1115
00:53:05,960 --> 00:53:09,520
Speaker 2: fading BYU because they have overlooked to Houston on Friday

1116
00:53:09,600 --> 00:53:11,480
Speaker 2: night next week. They do have a short week coming up,

1117
00:53:11,480 --> 00:53:14,439
Speaker 2: but that's not what's going on. I was completely ready

1118
00:53:14,440 --> 00:53:16,480
Speaker 2: to just lay off this game, have nothing to do

1119
00:53:16,560 --> 00:53:19,359
Speaker 2: with it. Let UTSA travel up the provo and get

1120
00:53:19,400 --> 00:53:22,280
Speaker 2: the doors blown off of them and then I listened

1121
00:53:22,280 --> 00:53:26,560
Speaker 2: to Kalani Sataki in his press conference on Monday, and

1122
00:53:26,719 --> 00:53:29,640
Speaker 2: all he could talk about was the fact that UTSA

1123
00:53:29,800 --> 00:53:33,800
Speaker 2: uses tight ends to block. They use twelve, they use eleven,

1124
00:53:33,840 --> 00:53:36,319
Speaker 2: they use twelve, they use eleven. Sometimes there's two tight

1125
00:53:36,400 --> 00:53:38,879
Speaker 2: end sets. They love to run the ball, they want

1126
00:53:38,880 --> 00:53:41,560
Speaker 2: to be physical. They use a tight end. They use

1127
00:53:41,600 --> 00:53:43,560
Speaker 2: it tight. That's all I heard. So I went back

1128
00:53:43,560 --> 00:53:47,759
Speaker 2: and I looked Troy, Laatech, Navy. None of them use

1129
00:53:47,760 --> 00:53:50,480
Speaker 2: a tight end. They all run ten, twenty or thirty.

1130
00:53:50,520 --> 00:53:52,839
Speaker 2: I mean, think about Navy, they don't use tight ends.

1131
00:53:52,880 --> 00:53:55,920
Speaker 2: They run three running backs, that's thirty. You know, LA

1132
00:53:56,000 --> 00:53:57,759
Speaker 2: Tech and Troy ran ten and twenty. They don't use

1133
00:53:57,800 --> 00:54:00,520
Speaker 2: tight ends. So the reason why Klonie Satad you mentioned

1134
00:54:00,560 --> 00:54:02,719
Speaker 2: it so much is because they have yet to go

1135
00:54:02,840 --> 00:54:05,400
Speaker 2: up against a team that uses tight ends or have

1136
00:54:05,480 --> 00:54:08,719
Speaker 2: a team that's blocked them in a rushing situation with

1137
00:54:08,840 --> 00:54:10,920
Speaker 2: tight ends. You know. And then if you look at

1138
00:54:11,000 --> 00:54:12,840
Speaker 2: you know what they're going to play next week with Houston,

1139
00:54:13,400 --> 00:54:15,560
Speaker 2: we think it's gonna be all eleven, so there'll be

1140
00:54:15,600 --> 00:54:17,719
Speaker 2: a tight end involved there, but they definitely won't see

1141
00:54:17,719 --> 00:54:20,359
Speaker 2: any twelve. So you have to wonder if defensively, they're

1142
00:54:20,360 --> 00:54:22,399
Speaker 2: getting ready to have two tight ends on the field

1143
00:54:22,440 --> 00:54:23,600
Speaker 2: and just try to get through this game and get

1144
00:54:23,600 --> 00:54:26,040
Speaker 2: ready for Houston next week. I don't know, Listen, Tonga

1145
00:54:26,120 --> 00:54:28,440
Speaker 2: is a monster in the middle, but we're gonna see

1146
00:54:28,480 --> 00:54:31,640
Speaker 2: what UTC can do on off tackle runs. I think

1147
00:54:31,640 --> 00:54:33,399
Speaker 2: they can do enough. I think they can get enough

1148
00:54:33,400 --> 00:54:36,120
Speaker 2: points on the board. They're definitely showing it with their explosiveness,

1149
00:54:36,440 --> 00:54:39,680
Speaker 2: So I'm gonna say UTSA gets enough on the board

1150
00:54:39,680 --> 00:54:42,480
Speaker 2: to cover this. Sataki may just want.

1151
00:54:42,320 --> 00:54:42,640
Speaker 6: To get out.

1152
00:54:42,680 --> 00:54:44,080
Speaker 2: I mean, I know he took any against Troy and

1153
00:54:44,120 --> 00:54:46,600
Speaker 2: everybody got that under that we played a couple weeks ago.

1154
00:54:46,960 --> 00:54:48,440
Speaker 2: But I think Sataki may want to get out of

1155
00:54:48,520 --> 00:54:51,640
Speaker 2: this game and think about the biggest game left on

1156
00:54:51,680 --> 00:54:54,160
Speaker 2: their schedule, which is Houston next week, because they have

1157
00:54:54,280 --> 00:54:57,960
Speaker 2: a absolute clear path to an undefeated season if they

1158
00:54:57,960 --> 00:55:01,120
Speaker 2: can get past Houston on Friday night. So yeah, I'm

1159
00:55:01,160 --> 00:55:03,920
Speaker 2: with you. Meet me in the thirty five right for us?

1160
00:55:04,040 --> 00:55:08,879
Speaker 3: All right, let's move on here to Mississippi State at Kentucky.

1161
00:55:09,200 --> 00:55:13,239
Speaker 3: Kentucky is a one and a half point home favorite

1162
00:55:13,400 --> 00:55:17,160
Speaker 3: over under fifty seven and a half. I do have

1163
00:55:17,280 --> 00:55:22,120
Speaker 3: to pat myself on the back for everything I rambled

1164
00:55:22,160 --> 00:55:25,000
Speaker 3: about and rode about Kentucky's pass defense, it's been exposed.

1165
00:55:25,000 --> 00:55:26,400
Speaker 3: It's been one of the worst in the nation so

1166
00:55:26,480 --> 00:55:29,160
Speaker 3: far this year. Last year they were number two in

1167
00:55:29,239 --> 00:55:32,520
Speaker 3: passyards allowed, and it was all flukes, like we said

1168
00:55:32,680 --> 00:55:36,120
Speaker 3: and talked about, and that has shown. So that's not

1169
00:55:36,400 --> 00:55:41,640
Speaker 3: really a great omen go before you face a Mike

1170
00:55:41,719 --> 00:55:44,680
Speaker 3: Leeja offense. But will they be able to just sit

1171
00:55:44,760 --> 00:55:48,799
Speaker 3: back in the zone like Arkansas did and slow Mississippi

1172
00:55:48,840 --> 00:55:51,759
Speaker 3: State down? Can Kentucky do enough on the ground and

1173
00:55:51,880 --> 00:55:54,640
Speaker 3: on offense to get this cover. I don't really have

1174
00:55:54,680 --> 00:55:58,640
Speaker 3: a strong feel on this game. I was initially thinking

1175
00:55:58,680 --> 00:56:02,719
Speaker 3: about the over to be frank, but I think I'm

1176
00:56:02,719 --> 00:56:05,440
Speaker 3: gonna be staying away here unless you can swing me

1177
00:56:05,520 --> 00:56:07,239
Speaker 3: or I find anything else digging the rest of the week.

1178
00:56:07,280 --> 00:56:07,919
Speaker 6: What do you see here?

1179
00:56:08,280 --> 00:56:09,719
Speaker 2: I kind of like the Misisispi state in this game.

1180
00:56:09,760 --> 00:56:11,920
Speaker 2: I think they'll get up off the schneid here. You know,

1181
00:56:11,960 --> 00:56:14,440
Speaker 2: Kentucky does run a three three five and a three

1182
00:56:14,520 --> 00:56:16,400
Speaker 2: four four so far this year, so there's not a

1183
00:56:16,440 --> 00:56:19,400
Speaker 2: really big schematic change that they're going to have to

1184
00:56:19,440 --> 00:56:21,520
Speaker 2: go through. As far as Russian three and drop an eight,

1185
00:56:22,320 --> 00:56:24,880
Speaker 2: they should know the air raid, well, it originated with

1186
00:56:24,920 --> 00:56:28,360
Speaker 2: how Mummy at Kentucky original air raid and how Mummy

1187
00:56:28,400 --> 00:56:31,880
Speaker 2: coming out of Kentucky. Yet Kentucky has no vertical passing

1188
00:56:31,920 --> 00:56:35,920
Speaker 2: game this year whatsoever. There's seventy fourth in passing success rate.

1189
00:56:36,160 --> 00:56:39,399
Speaker 2: That's a problem. So now there's a lot of things

1190
00:56:39,400 --> 00:56:42,080
Speaker 2: with Kentucky I have issues with. I know who they've played,

1191
00:56:42,120 --> 00:56:44,200
Speaker 2: I know their schedule. But the biggest issue that I

1192
00:56:44,239 --> 00:56:47,560
Speaker 2: have with Kentucky their red zone d is atrocious. They

1193
00:56:47,719 --> 00:56:49,640
Speaker 2: opponents have had ten red zone trips and they've come

1194
00:56:49,680 --> 00:56:52,480
Speaker 2: away with eight touchdowns. There's no way I could take

1195
00:56:52,520 --> 00:56:55,279
Speaker 2: it under in this game. Missippi State's D They've had

1196
00:56:55,360 --> 00:56:58,200
Speaker 2: six red zone trips by opponents and allowed five scores.

1197
00:56:58,360 --> 00:57:00,480
Speaker 2: There's just no way I could ever take an under

1198
00:57:00,480 --> 00:57:02,400
Speaker 2: in this game because people are scoring a will against

1199
00:57:02,400 --> 00:57:05,560
Speaker 2: both of these defenses. I think Misssippi State is gonna

1200
00:57:05,560 --> 00:57:07,480
Speaker 2: you know, kJ Costell will be fine. I think he

1201
00:57:07,520 --> 00:57:10,320
Speaker 2: has a better day than he did against Arkansas. Kentucky

1202
00:57:10,880 --> 00:57:14,920
Speaker 2: is has a non existent passing game right now. They

1203
00:57:14,960 --> 00:57:17,439
Speaker 2: have got to get it together through the air. So

1204
00:57:17,600 --> 00:57:20,480
Speaker 2: I like, I prefer Mississippi State here, and I prefer

1205
00:57:20,520 --> 00:57:23,400
Speaker 2: an over. I haven't bet it. I have bet the over,

1206
00:57:23,560 --> 00:57:25,760
Speaker 2: but I have put a little bit on Missippi State

1207
00:57:25,760 --> 00:57:27,320
Speaker 2: here fair enough.

1208
00:57:27,440 --> 00:57:31,160
Speaker 3: All right, let's move on to another game that I'm

1209
00:57:31,960 --> 00:57:34,680
Speaker 3: excited to bet but also dreading, and that's U TEP.

1210
00:57:34,760 --> 00:57:37,840
Speaker 6: We got to talk about al Paso Alpasso.

1211
00:57:38,280 --> 00:57:41,480
Speaker 5: We're talking Minor Nation out.

1212
00:57:41,240 --> 00:57:46,040
Speaker 6: In the west. Tis town of El Paso picks up.

1213
00:57:46,440 --> 00:57:49,720
Speaker 3: I know my people down in Minor Nation itching the

1214
00:57:49,800 --> 00:57:53,040
Speaker 3: call this week, but I back to I took U TEP.

1215
00:57:53,360 --> 00:57:54,480
Speaker 6: This could get scary this week.

1216
00:57:54,480 --> 00:57:56,040
Speaker 3: And there's no I didn't bet any Kansas, but I

1217
00:57:56,080 --> 00:57:58,480
Speaker 3: have UTEP and UTSA meet MEEP.

1218
00:57:58,240 --> 00:57:58,960
Speaker 6: And Minor Nation.

1219
00:57:59,640 --> 00:58:03,960
Speaker 3: I took UTEP plus fourteen and a half. At right now,

1220
00:58:03,960 --> 00:58:09,439
Speaker 3: it's at BETAMGM at Louisiana Tech. This UTEP team, it's

1221
00:58:09,440 --> 00:58:11,800
Speaker 3: not the laughing stock of college football anymore.

1222
00:58:12,240 --> 00:58:14,160
Speaker 6: It's you know, I mean, they beat Steven F. Austin

1223
00:58:14,200 --> 00:58:14,520
Speaker 6: by ten.

1224
00:58:14,560 --> 00:58:17,520
Speaker 3: They got railroaded by Texas, but you can't really blame

1225
00:58:17,560 --> 00:58:17,920
Speaker 3: them for that.

1226
00:58:17,920 --> 00:58:18,960
Speaker 6: With the talent discrepancy.

1227
00:58:19,000 --> 00:58:21,520
Speaker 3: They held on to beat Abalene Christian. Then they went

1228
00:58:21,560 --> 00:58:26,920
Speaker 3: to La Monroe and they won by twenty five. And

1229
00:58:26,960 --> 00:58:28,720
Speaker 3: then they had a bye before this game. And they're

1230
00:58:28,720 --> 00:58:30,920
Speaker 3: going to go to Louisiana Tech always helps to have

1231
00:58:30,960 --> 00:58:33,400
Speaker 3: a buye before you travel to rest. Look, there's some

1232
00:58:33,480 --> 00:58:37,000
Speaker 3: players on this team hard to send their quarterback. I

1233
00:58:37,840 --> 00:58:41,400
Speaker 3: like Hankins the running back, decent running back, So I

1234
00:58:41,440 --> 00:58:43,120
Speaker 3: think they can hang around in this game against the

1235
00:58:43,160 --> 00:58:47,080
Speaker 3: Louisiana Tech team that is replacing just a ton And

1236
00:58:47,120 --> 00:58:49,280
Speaker 3: it's kind of a mess. Right now, Am I crazy

1237
00:58:49,320 --> 00:58:51,240
Speaker 3: for back in minor Nation? And you have a story

1238
00:58:51,240 --> 00:58:52,000
Speaker 3: at all about someone?

1239
00:58:52,080 --> 00:58:54,560
Speaker 2: Right? Yeah? Yeah, I don't think you're crazy for back,

1240
00:58:54,600 --> 00:58:56,840
Speaker 2: And I mean I project. I project the game at twelve,

1241
00:58:56,880 --> 00:58:58,760
Speaker 2: so taking them at fourteen, fourteen and a half is

1242
00:58:59,120 --> 00:59:01,200
Speaker 2: I think worth it actually with the style of play.

1243
00:59:01,280 --> 00:59:03,959
Speaker 2: And you know, from a personal standpoint, I flew home

1244
00:59:04,000 --> 00:59:07,520
Speaker 2: from some family last Sunday night and ran into some

1245
00:59:07,680 --> 00:59:09,920
Speaker 2: UTEP players in the airport. They were on a bye

1246
00:59:09,920 --> 00:59:12,960
Speaker 2: week last week. Ran into somebody that's gonna be playing

1247
00:59:13,040 --> 00:59:15,640
Speaker 2: tight end Luke Sodo this week, had a long talk

1248
00:59:15,640 --> 00:59:18,040
Speaker 2: with him about Demo and how they're doing their testing,

1249
00:59:18,120 --> 00:59:21,080
Speaker 2: how things are going with the team and their quarterback

1250
00:59:21,160 --> 00:59:23,640
Speaker 2: and the drops and how the defense is playing and

1251
00:59:23,640 --> 00:59:26,480
Speaker 2: the pace of play, and it was just really refreshing

1252
00:59:26,480 --> 00:59:28,720
Speaker 2: to get it I mean they are all on the

1253
00:59:28,760 --> 00:59:31,200
Speaker 2: same page down there. They really believe in themselves and

1254
00:59:31,240 --> 00:59:33,200
Speaker 2: they think. I mean, these three wins has just done

1255
00:59:33,440 --> 00:59:36,800
Speaker 2: wonders for this team and their attitude about what they

1256
00:59:36,800 --> 00:59:39,160
Speaker 2: can actually achieve this season. So good for UTEP a

1257
00:59:39,240 --> 00:59:43,680
Speaker 2: team that you know, we have ran to Vegas betting

1258
00:59:43,720 --> 00:59:47,120
Speaker 2: team Total unders on for years. So good for these guys.

1259
00:59:47,160 --> 00:59:50,040
Speaker 2: But I mean handicapping this game, utep is seventy first

1260
00:59:50,080 --> 00:59:52,800
Speaker 2: and seconds per play. It takes them thirty two seconds

1261
00:59:52,840 --> 00:59:55,200
Speaker 2: to snap the ball. This is not a fast offense whatsoever.

1262
00:59:55,560 --> 00:59:59,000
Speaker 2: But believe it or not, they've had thirteen passing plays

1263
00:59:59,040 --> 01:00:02,880
Speaker 2: over twenty yards. North Carolina can't do that, but utep

1264
01:00:03,000 --> 01:00:07,520
Speaker 2: is that's fifteenth in the COUNTRYEP rings Minor Nation rinks

1265
01:00:07,520 --> 01:00:11,600
Speaker 2: fifteenth in the country and plays passing plays over twenty yards.

1266
01:00:11,720 --> 01:00:14,960
Speaker 2: That's crazy latex defense. They're now sixty fifth and passing

1267
01:00:15,000 --> 01:00:17,160
Speaker 2: success right. I think utep is gonna have a little

1268
01:00:17,160 --> 01:00:20,160
Speaker 2: bit of success here. Utep is creating havoc. They've had

1269
01:00:20,400 --> 01:00:24,600
Speaker 2: four forced fumbles, they've had nineteen tackles for loss. I

1270
01:00:24,720 --> 01:00:27,840
Speaker 2: like UTEP I haven't. I haven't bought them yet this week.

1271
01:00:28,400 --> 01:00:30,640
Speaker 2: I do like the under. I do like the under here,

1272
01:00:30,680 --> 01:00:33,320
Speaker 2: I'm probably gonna up taken UTEP and let's go. We'll

1273
01:00:33,360 --> 01:00:36,280
Speaker 2: be looking out for friends of the podcast, and we're

1274
01:00:36,320 --> 01:00:37,560
Speaker 2: all on on Minor Nation here.

1275
01:00:37,920 --> 01:00:40,440
Speaker 3: I mean, yeah, just think about it from a morale perspective.

1276
01:00:40,560 --> 01:00:43,360
Speaker 3: With that team, the last three years they won zero

1277
01:00:44,120 --> 01:00:47,920
Speaker 3: one and one games two games total.

1278
01:00:47,960 --> 01:00:50,160
Speaker 6: The last three years, They've won three games this year.

1279
01:00:50,480 --> 01:00:53,120
Speaker 6: That's this is a team that is.

1280
01:00:53,120 --> 01:00:56,680
Speaker 3: Gonna cherish every second of this season after a couple

1281
01:00:56,720 --> 01:00:59,720
Speaker 3: of rough seasons there. I think that they hang around

1282
01:00:59,720 --> 01:01:03,600
Speaker 3: here and get the cover. Minor Nation can't wait to

1283
01:01:03,640 --> 01:01:05,840
Speaker 3: hear from our friend. The last game I wanted to

1284
01:01:05,840 --> 01:01:10,480
Speaker 3: cover here is Navy Temple at that MGM. Navy is

1285
01:01:10,520 --> 01:01:14,640
Speaker 3: a three and a half point home underdog against Temple

1286
01:01:14,680 --> 01:01:17,000
Speaker 3: over under fifty and a half. I wanted to bring

1287
01:01:17,040 --> 01:01:20,200
Speaker 3: this game up because of a trend that I wanted

1288
01:01:20,200 --> 01:01:22,640
Speaker 3: to bring up and point out for this year about

1289
01:01:22,720 --> 01:01:25,760
Speaker 3: teams playing their first I did an article on Action Network.

1290
01:01:25,760 --> 01:01:28,400
Speaker 3: If you haven't seen it, teams playing their first game

1291
01:01:28,960 --> 01:01:32,120
Speaker 3: of the year against teams who have already played. It's

1292
01:01:32,120 --> 01:01:35,680
Speaker 3: a it's been a huge advantage historically fifty five fifty

1293
01:01:35,760 --> 01:01:38,240
Speaker 3: six percent against the spread over the last thirty five

1294
01:01:38,320 --> 01:01:40,520
Speaker 3: years and the reason for that, and it's some it's

1295
01:01:40,560 --> 01:01:43,480
Speaker 3: counterintuitive to some people because you would say, oh, this

1296
01:01:43,560 --> 01:01:46,400
Speaker 3: team already got a game under their belt, shook off

1297
01:01:46,400 --> 01:01:48,560
Speaker 3: some of the rusts, they got some game action, so

1298
01:01:48,600 --> 01:01:49,920
Speaker 3: that should give them an ede against a team who

1299
01:01:49,920 --> 01:01:53,960
Speaker 3: hasn't played. But that does not outweigh the film advantage

1300
01:01:54,000 --> 01:01:56,120
Speaker 3: that you have. Think about college football teams all the

1301
01:01:56,160 --> 01:01:59,800
Speaker 3: turnover coaching staff. If you have a you know, coming

1302
01:01:59,800 --> 01:02:02,400
Speaker 3: into a season, in your opener, you can show off

1303
01:02:02,400 --> 01:02:06,080
Speaker 3: some new things. You're gonna have different personnel, maybe different staff.

1304
01:02:06,400 --> 01:02:08,880
Speaker 3: So if a team's already played one or two games

1305
01:02:08,920 --> 01:02:11,600
Speaker 3: and you haven't, you have a huge film advantage on

1306
01:02:11,640 --> 01:02:13,840
Speaker 3: that team, whereas they.

1307
01:02:13,680 --> 01:02:14,560
Speaker 6: Have nothing on you.

1308
01:02:15,160 --> 01:02:17,640
Speaker 3: Coming into this year, I thought that that advantage might

1309
01:02:17,680 --> 01:02:21,800
Speaker 3: be diminished because I thought that potentially playing a game

1310
01:02:22,280 --> 01:02:24,920
Speaker 3: would be worth much more this year after shortened springs

1311
01:02:24,960 --> 01:02:29,400
Speaker 3: and summers. That has not been the case. Teams playing

1312
01:02:30,120 --> 01:02:34,200
Speaker 3: their first game this year against teams who have already

1313
01:02:34,200 --> 01:02:38,040
Speaker 3: played at least one game are twenty two and six

1314
01:02:38,640 --> 01:02:42,280
Speaker 3: against the spread, covering by an average of nine points

1315
01:02:42,320 --> 01:02:46,640
Speaker 3: per game. That's I mean staggering. Set includes fcs versus

1316
01:02:46,680 --> 01:02:50,520
Speaker 3: FBS matchups as well. So it's been just dominant, been

1317
01:02:50,520 --> 01:02:53,320
Speaker 3: dominant historically, it's been even more dominant this year. So

1318
01:02:53,480 --> 01:02:55,960
Speaker 3: showing that film edgis still there. The one game where

1319
01:02:55,960 --> 01:02:58,680
Speaker 3: we have that fits that criteria this week is with Temple.

1320
01:02:58,760 --> 01:03:02,160
Speaker 3: We're playing their first game against Navy. Navy will have

1321
01:03:02,200 --> 01:03:05,360
Speaker 3: nothing on Temple. I don't necessarily know if it usually

1322
01:03:05,400 --> 01:03:07,480
Speaker 3: would be a huge advantage to have film on Navy.

1323
01:03:07,640 --> 01:03:11,200
Speaker 3: You generally know what they're gonna do. But Navy is

1324
01:03:11,960 --> 01:03:14,400
Speaker 3: throwing a little bit more. With Dalen Morris, their quarterback

1325
01:03:14,400 --> 01:03:16,280
Speaker 3: who didn't go travel to air Force because of a

1326
01:03:16,320 --> 01:03:20,520
Speaker 3: medical condition that can flare up in elevation and the

1327
01:03:20,560 --> 01:03:21,520
Speaker 3: altitude out there.

1328
01:03:21,960 --> 01:03:23,040
Speaker 6: He'll be back this week.

1329
01:03:23,080 --> 01:03:24,400
Speaker 3: They know that, you know, they might be able to

1330
01:03:24,440 --> 01:03:26,680
Speaker 3: throw a little more. They've seen some tape on Dalen Morris,

1331
01:03:27,320 --> 01:03:29,080
Speaker 3: and it doesn't hurt to have extra time to prepare

1332
01:03:29,080 --> 01:03:31,200
Speaker 3: for the triple option. It's hard for me to get

1333
01:03:31,200 --> 01:03:33,280
Speaker 3: a read on Temple, but I just wanted to point

1334
01:03:33,320 --> 01:03:35,640
Speaker 3: that out, not only for this week, but moving forward

1335
01:03:35,640 --> 01:03:38,040
Speaker 3: and in years in years to come, the team playing a

1336
01:03:38,040 --> 01:03:40,240
Speaker 3: first game against team already played, it might be counter

1337
01:03:40,360 --> 01:03:42,200
Speaker 3: to it. With some but they usually have an edge.

1338
01:03:42,520 --> 01:03:45,320
Speaker 3: Any thoughts on Navy versus Temple.

1339
01:03:45,200 --> 01:03:48,360
Speaker 2: No, I think I kind of liked Navy in this game.

1340
01:03:48,880 --> 01:03:51,240
Speaker 2: I'm not a Rod Carry fan, and they've had some

1341
01:03:51,280 --> 01:03:54,120
Speaker 2: turnover there at the program, and I think Navy was

1342
01:03:54,200 --> 01:03:56,520
Speaker 2: playing KOI for a while. I'm not really sure what

1343
01:03:56,560 --> 01:03:59,160
Speaker 2: was going on. I mean, they're finally tackling in themselves.

1344
01:04:00,440 --> 01:04:02,520
Speaker 2: So this was a Navy game for me. And I

1345
01:04:02,560 --> 01:04:05,000
Speaker 2: know the trends of teams, you know, not playing teams

1346
01:04:05,000 --> 01:04:06,920
Speaker 2: in the first game. I mean, we got to get

1347
01:04:06,920 --> 01:04:08,680
Speaker 2: you and I are recording on Thursday. It's about to

1348
01:04:08,680 --> 01:04:10,439
Speaker 2: happen here with Houston, so we'll see how this turns

1349
01:04:10,440 --> 01:04:11,040
Speaker 2: out this week.

1350
01:04:11,320 --> 01:04:13,120
Speaker 3: All right, before we get to three and out, we

1351
01:04:13,200 --> 01:04:18,960
Speaker 3: got to talk some fcs in FC yes or No.

1352
01:04:24,760 --> 01:04:30,320
Speaker 5: Southland or SEC Big Sky or Big Ten. It's time

1353
01:04:30,360 --> 01:04:32,880
Speaker 5: to play FC yes or No.

1354
01:04:37,360 --> 01:04:41,840
Speaker 6: I'm excited for this one Army Citadel. We need two.

1355
01:04:42,440 --> 01:04:44,760
Speaker 3: This isn't too service to get too FGS service out,

1356
01:04:45,160 --> 01:04:48,640
Speaker 3: but these are two triple option military schools that are

1357
01:04:48,680 --> 01:04:54,200
Speaker 3: renewing their rivalry the most illustrious moments in Citadel's history.

1358
01:04:54,240 --> 01:04:56,439
Speaker 3: Maybe we're back in nineteen ninety one and nineteen ninety

1359
01:04:56,440 --> 01:04:59,080
Speaker 3: two when they beat Army, and they haven't played since

1360
01:04:59,160 --> 01:05:02,680
Speaker 3: Army beat them twenty five four back in nineteen ninety four. Look,

1361
01:05:02,720 --> 01:05:06,919
Speaker 3: these teams are obviously very similar. They run triple options,

1362
01:05:07,200 --> 01:05:11,680
Speaker 3: they have to overcome some recruiting shortcomings in the talent department,

1363
01:05:11,720 --> 01:05:14,440
Speaker 3: and they do it with a unique scheme. Look, Citadel

1364
01:05:14,560 --> 01:05:17,560
Speaker 3: is not a great football team. Just throw that out

1365
01:05:17,640 --> 01:05:20,960
Speaker 3: right now. They've but they've played two FBS schools already.

1366
01:05:21,080 --> 01:05:23,240
Speaker 3: They've also had a buye before this game. They've just

1367
01:05:23,240 --> 01:05:25,960
Speaker 3: been really sloppy. Like if you go back to the

1368
01:05:25,960 --> 01:05:29,000
Speaker 3: South Florida game, they lost, I think by thirty. That

1369
01:05:29,040 --> 01:05:31,520
Speaker 3: game was like seven to six towards the end of

1370
01:05:31,520 --> 01:05:34,000
Speaker 3: the first half, and then they their punter was that

1371
01:05:34,240 --> 01:05:36,200
Speaker 3: you gotta say it. It was like, I'll tweet it out.

1372
01:05:36,200 --> 01:05:37,400
Speaker 3: It was like the worst punt of' ever seen. He

1373
01:05:37,400 --> 01:05:39,200
Speaker 3: punted it like what he was like trying to run

1374
01:05:39,240 --> 01:05:40,840
Speaker 3: back in the end zone. He muffed it and then

1375
01:05:41,120 --> 01:05:44,040
Speaker 3: he ended up like punting it from the end zone

1376
01:05:44,080 --> 01:05:46,320
Speaker 3: a half of the yard, a half a yard into

1377
01:05:46,360 --> 01:05:50,760
Speaker 3: another guy's hands, went right into South Florida players' hands.

1378
01:05:51,040 --> 01:05:53,640
Speaker 3: So it was officially recorded as a punt for no

1379
01:05:53,800 --> 01:05:57,360
Speaker 3: yards and a no yard kickoff a punt return touchdown

1380
01:05:57,600 --> 01:05:58,840
Speaker 3: one of the most ridiculous.

1381
01:05:58,480 --> 01:05:59,200
Speaker 6: Players you ever see.

1382
01:05:59,360 --> 01:06:02,680
Speaker 3: But they've had I had to twenty four penalties, seven turnovers.

1383
01:06:02,800 --> 01:06:03,560
Speaker 6: I mean, it's been a mess.

1384
01:06:03,560 --> 01:06:05,920
Speaker 3: Against Eastern Kentucky, they also lost, I think by thirty,

1385
01:06:06,120 --> 01:06:08,560
Speaker 3: but the box score is dead even this team has

1386
01:06:08,600 --> 01:06:11,160
Speaker 3: had to deal with a lot. They had eleven players

1387
01:06:11,160 --> 01:06:14,160
Speaker 3: opt out, including you know, an All American transfer running back,

1388
01:06:14,240 --> 01:06:15,560
Speaker 3: most of their starting backfield.

1389
01:06:15,640 --> 01:06:18,040
Speaker 6: I mean, this is a team that had to.

1390
01:06:17,960 --> 01:06:23,080
Speaker 3: Play with a converted quarterback at the b back. It

1391
01:06:23,120 --> 01:06:24,960
Speaker 3: was a mess. They have to have a senior quarterback

1392
01:06:24,960 --> 01:06:27,400
Speaker 3: in Brandon Rainy. He'll run it like twenty times, not

1393
01:06:27,440 --> 01:06:29,680
Speaker 3: gonna be that explosive. But this is a team that's

1394
01:06:29,760 --> 01:06:32,760
Speaker 3: ran it one hundred and sixty nine times in three games.

1395
01:06:32,800 --> 01:06:34,800
Speaker 3: They're all in three, they're averaging only three point seven

1396
01:06:34,880 --> 01:06:38,520
Speaker 3: yards per carry. They did find a little something against

1397
01:06:38,520 --> 01:06:40,680
Speaker 3: Eastern Kentucky though they ran at sixty seven times for

1398
01:06:40,720 --> 01:06:44,200
Speaker 3: three hundred and forty seven yards, and again the yards

1399
01:06:44,240 --> 01:06:46,640
Speaker 3: were about equal Sode'll just turned it over three times

1400
01:06:46,640 --> 01:06:49,080
Speaker 3: and didn't force any So I think with this bye

1401
01:06:49,120 --> 01:06:52,200
Speaker 3: week over these the two weeks they can clean some

1402
01:06:52,280 --> 01:06:52,800
Speaker 3: of that up.

1403
01:06:53,240 --> 01:06:56,440
Speaker 6: They can get their conditioning right. Like their backfield.

1404
01:06:56,680 --> 01:06:59,040
Speaker 3: Again, it was a converted quarterback at slot back and

1405
01:06:59,080 --> 01:07:02,680
Speaker 3: a converted lineback or at full back, both freshman against

1406
01:07:02,520 --> 01:07:04,280
Speaker 3: you USF and they had no depth.

1407
01:07:04,680 --> 01:07:05,720
Speaker 6: So like these guys were.

1408
01:07:05,600 --> 01:07:08,520
Speaker 3: So winded and so they started to iron some of

1409
01:07:08,520 --> 01:07:09,680
Speaker 3: that out against Theaseter Kentucky.

1410
01:07:09,760 --> 01:07:10,640
Speaker 6: Now they have a bye week.

1411
01:07:10,840 --> 01:07:13,120
Speaker 3: They see the triple option all the time on defense,

1412
01:07:13,440 --> 01:07:17,800
Speaker 3: and we know the triple option history. Eight unders between

1413
01:07:17,800 --> 01:07:20,600
Speaker 3: Servicecademies it hit about an eighty percent clip, So you

1414
01:07:20,640 --> 01:07:22,040
Speaker 3: know that this game there's going to be not a

1415
01:07:22,040 --> 01:07:25,040
Speaker 3: lot of possessions. The clock's going to be speed racing.

1416
01:07:25,320 --> 01:07:28,720
Speaker 3: I think that Citadel coming after a bye this is

1417
01:07:28,720 --> 01:07:31,160
Speaker 3: their super Bowl. They're going up to me. This is

1418
01:07:31,200 --> 01:07:33,600
Speaker 3: their final game of the year. This is their fourth

1419
01:07:33,600 --> 01:07:35,800
Speaker 3: and final game. That's all they have, you know, for

1420
01:07:35,840 --> 01:07:39,160
Speaker 3: their seniors to try and get this win. They're they're

1421
01:07:39,200 --> 01:07:41,280
Speaker 3: gonna be up for this game. So you know, I

1422
01:07:41,280 --> 01:07:44,040
Speaker 3: always love Service Academy unders. I immediately took it under

1423
01:07:44,080 --> 01:07:46,760
Speaker 3: fifty one when this came out, I immediately took plus

1424
01:07:46,800 --> 01:07:47,400
Speaker 3: thirty one.

1425
01:07:48,000 --> 01:07:51,000
Speaker 6: I like under forty seven or above.

1426
01:07:51,120 --> 01:07:53,480
Speaker 3: I think at the totals now forty seven, forty eight.

1427
01:07:54,120 --> 01:07:57,600
Speaker 3: I like Citadel at anything thirty or above. I think

1428
01:07:57,600 --> 01:08:01,560
Speaker 3: this game will be ugly and Citadel will hang around

1429
01:08:02,360 --> 01:08:05,360
Speaker 3: just enough to lose by three touchdowns by twenty four.

1430
01:08:06,280 --> 01:08:10,880
Speaker 3: And keep in mind that these coaching staffs are very

1431
01:08:11,000 --> 01:08:11,600
Speaker 3: very close.

1432
01:08:11,800 --> 01:08:13,360
Speaker 6: They run in the same recruiting circles.

1433
01:08:13,400 --> 01:08:16,880
Speaker 3: They've you know, they've Armies hired people from Citadel, They've

1434
01:08:16,880 --> 01:08:19,280
Speaker 3: they had like zoom meetings, they visit each other. I mean,

1435
01:08:19,280 --> 01:08:21,680
Speaker 3: they're just in the same circles of these military academies,

1436
01:08:22,160 --> 01:08:25,240
Speaker 3: very very close teams. I don't think Army would, under

1437
01:08:25,280 --> 01:08:28,040
Speaker 3: any circumstance try to run this up. They'll they'll you know,

1438
01:08:28,040 --> 01:08:30,400
Speaker 3: they're not going to have a last second score like

1439
01:08:30,439 --> 01:08:34,120
Speaker 3: you saw against Eveline Christian. I still have nightmares about that,

1440
01:08:34,520 --> 01:08:37,800
Speaker 3: So I think you would see knees instead, so that

1441
01:08:37,880 --> 01:08:40,759
Speaker 3: maybe could come into play. So I like the under

1442
01:08:41,320 --> 01:08:44,719
Speaker 3: and I like Citadel in the FCS special between two

1443
01:08:45,360 --> 01:08:47,840
Speaker 3: military academy schools. I think this is on one thirty

1444
01:08:47,840 --> 01:08:50,000
Speaker 3: on CBS Sports Star, so you know, I'll find a

1445
01:08:50,040 --> 01:08:51,439
Speaker 3: TV somewhere to have this on.

1446
01:08:51,880 --> 01:08:55,040
Speaker 6: Let's go three and out.

1447
01:08:55,400 --> 01:08:58,880
Speaker 5: Let's make it a quick three and out all right.

1448
01:08:58,800 --> 01:09:01,679
Speaker 6: First down, we got to talk night lights.

1449
01:09:02,520 --> 01:09:05,439
Speaker 2: That's here, gentlemen, clear eyes, full hearts.

1450
01:09:06,200 --> 01:09:08,840
Speaker 6: Let's go play some footfall. On Friday night.

1451
01:09:08,840 --> 01:09:11,960
Speaker 3: We have Louisville five point favorite at bet MGM over

1452
01:09:12,040 --> 01:09:14,960
Speaker 3: under sixty three and a half at Georgia Tech.

1453
01:09:15,600 --> 01:09:16,360
Speaker 6: What are you think here?

1454
01:09:17,120 --> 01:09:18,800
Speaker 2: Yeah, I took the under sixty four and a half

1455
01:09:18,800 --> 01:09:21,320
Speaker 2: on this one. You know, Georgia Tech has They've had

1456
01:09:21,320 --> 01:09:24,559
Speaker 2: a tempo change and Sims are running a very fast offense,

1457
01:09:24,840 --> 01:09:27,160
Speaker 2: faster than usual at least for the Yellow Jackets. They're

1458
01:09:27,200 --> 01:09:29,120
Speaker 2: one of the worst in the nation finishing drives. I mean,

1459
01:09:29,160 --> 01:09:31,320
Speaker 2: the theme of the podcast has been finishing drives. Are

1460
01:09:31,320 --> 01:09:33,799
Speaker 2: you scoring points when you get past the forty? Georgia

1461
01:09:33,840 --> 01:09:36,160
Speaker 2: Tech is not. They're one of the worst. Louisville's defense

1462
01:09:36,240 --> 01:09:38,479
Speaker 2: is twelfth in the nation and finishing drives, so they

1463
01:09:38,520 --> 01:09:40,800
Speaker 2: are stopping people after they get it to, you know,

1464
01:09:40,840 --> 01:09:44,320
Speaker 2: into their territory. I expect Louisville to kind of get

1465
01:09:44,320 --> 01:09:46,599
Speaker 2: back up on that horse and have explosive running plays

1466
01:09:46,640 --> 01:09:49,680
Speaker 2: after facing the defenses of Pitt in Miami. I mean,

1467
01:09:49,720 --> 01:09:52,080
Speaker 2: it's not hard to look bad against those two defenses,

1468
01:09:52,479 --> 01:09:54,320
Speaker 2: and I think Louisville is gonna have some success here

1469
01:09:54,360 --> 01:09:56,760
Speaker 2: on offense. You know, it's hurt their havoc allowed. I

1470
01:09:56,840 --> 01:09:59,920
Speaker 2: kind of throw that whole seventieth ranking of havoc allowed

1471
01:10:00,080 --> 01:10:03,080
Speaker 2: away because that is the pit in Miami defenses. This

1472
01:10:03,120 --> 01:10:05,519
Speaker 2: is not the Georgia Tech defense. So while I haven't

1473
01:10:05,520 --> 01:10:08,639
Speaker 2: taken anybody on the side, I am favoring the under

1474
01:10:08,680 --> 01:10:11,120
Speaker 2: in this game just because of Georgia Tech's ability to

1475
01:10:11,439 --> 01:10:14,400
Speaker 2: really not get any points when they get into opponent territory.

1476
01:10:14,840 --> 01:10:15,080
Speaker 6: Yeah.

1477
01:10:15,080 --> 01:10:18,000
Speaker 3: One thing that most worth noting here is Louisville's quarterback

1478
01:10:18,040 --> 01:10:22,599
Speaker 3: Malie Cunningham. He is expected back under center on Friday

1479
01:10:22,720 --> 01:10:26,040
Speaker 3: night against Georgia Tech. Got carved off against Pitt. Turnovers

1480
01:10:26,080 --> 01:10:30,040
Speaker 3: have been a problem for him. He last year he

1481
01:10:30,120 --> 01:10:32,960
Speaker 3: threw twenty two touchdowns at only five picks in twelve games,

1482
01:10:33,360 --> 01:10:37,080
Speaker 3: and this year he's already thrown five picks and he

1483
01:10:37,120 --> 01:10:39,640
Speaker 3: fumbled once. So he's got to cut down on the turnovers.

1484
01:10:40,160 --> 01:10:43,080
Speaker 3: I don't hate that underlook on Friday night. All right,

1485
01:10:43,160 --> 01:10:45,720
Speaker 3: let's move on to second down here and talk our

1486
01:10:45,800 --> 01:10:47,080
Speaker 3: favorite overdog.

1487
01:10:47,360 --> 01:10:49,000
Speaker 2: It's called the overdogs parlay.

1488
01:10:49,600 --> 01:10:52,040
Speaker 3: I'll start it would have been Auburn if there wasn't

1489
01:10:52,080 --> 01:10:54,280
Speaker 3: weather but I mean, just all this weather introduces so

1490
01:10:54,360 --> 01:10:58,360
Speaker 3: much variance. It's hard to find a non weather favorite

1491
01:10:58,400 --> 01:11:00,280
Speaker 3: this week. So I guess I'll just go to get

1492
01:11:00,320 --> 01:11:02,759
Speaker 3: a shout out for I played this game at minus fourteen.

1493
01:11:03,000 --> 01:11:06,000
Speaker 3: I'll say Arkansas State, who I just auto play every week.

1494
01:11:06,080 --> 01:11:07,400
Speaker 6: I don't care if I lose.

1495
01:11:07,600 --> 01:11:11,040
Speaker 3: And I gotta get a shout out for Jay Adams

1496
01:11:11,400 --> 01:11:13,280
Speaker 3: this week on the podcast.

1497
01:11:13,800 --> 01:11:17,080
Speaker 5: The most electrifying player in college football.

1498
01:11:17,720 --> 01:11:21,960
Speaker 6: Just go Jonathan Adams. That is an unbelievable catch. That

1499
01:11:22,040 --> 01:11:27,640
Speaker 6: is like Obi j Holder this time tub you have

1500
01:11:27,720 --> 01:11:31,600
Speaker 6: Donny was a broad Jays putting up stop it. This

1501
01:11:31,760 --> 01:11:33,960
Speaker 6: is not real. This kid is amazing.

1502
01:11:37,200 --> 01:11:39,920
Speaker 3: I will tell you that they are right now there

1503
01:11:39,960 --> 01:11:44,240
Speaker 3: minus fifteen at home against Central Arkansas. I make this

1504
01:11:44,320 --> 01:11:46,120
Speaker 3: closer to twenty, so I do see value, and I'll

1505
01:11:46,120 --> 01:11:49,480
Speaker 3: say Arkansas State in the Red Wolves and go off Adams.

1506
01:11:49,600 --> 01:11:50,599
Speaker 6: Jonathan Adams.

1507
01:11:50,960 --> 01:11:54,439
Speaker 3: This young man is an absolute freak.

1508
01:11:55,040 --> 01:11:55,960
Speaker 6: You favorite ever dog.

1509
01:11:56,240 --> 01:11:57,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm gonna go back and say Iowa State for

1510
01:11:57,960 --> 01:12:00,680
Speaker 2: everything that I said before. It's b October. I think

1511
01:12:00,680 --> 01:12:03,200
Speaker 2: they're going You know, they've had success covering for the

1512
01:12:03,320 --> 01:12:06,000
Speaker 2: last five games against Texas Tech. I believe that They're

1513
01:12:06,000 --> 01:12:08,439
Speaker 2: gonna be able to prevent Bowman from hitting his hot route,

1514
01:12:08,760 --> 01:12:09,840
Speaker 2: So give me the cyclones.

1515
01:12:10,040 --> 01:12:11,519
Speaker 6: All right, let's move on to third down.

1516
01:12:11,520 --> 01:12:16,599
Speaker 3: Here our favorite money line underdog for our underdog weekly

1517
01:12:16,680 --> 01:12:18,200
Speaker 3: Underdog money line parlay.

1518
01:12:21,120 --> 01:12:26,080
Speaker 5: Turning good weekends into great weekends. It's time for the

1519
01:12:26,240 --> 01:12:27,520
Speaker 5: money line Parlay.

1520
01:12:28,840 --> 01:12:30,120
Speaker 2: We are four and four.

1521
01:12:29,960 --> 01:12:32,360
Speaker 3: On the year for like plus six units. They have

1522
01:12:32,400 --> 01:12:34,360
Speaker 3: a weekly piece. We'll write these up as well on

1523
01:12:34,400 --> 01:12:37,920
Speaker 3: Actionnetwork dot com and the Action Network AP. I've hit

1524
01:12:38,000 --> 01:12:42,639
Speaker 3: three of four, all a touchdown or greater, and this

1525
01:12:42,720 --> 01:12:44,559
Speaker 3: week going soft.

1526
01:12:44,680 --> 01:12:48,240
Speaker 6: I don't love any large underdogs. I thought about.

1527
01:12:48,000 --> 01:12:51,160
Speaker 3: Tennessee, but I knew that you would kill me, and

1528
01:12:51,240 --> 01:12:53,040
Speaker 3: I ultimately don't think that they can win the game.

1529
01:12:53,400 --> 01:12:57,080
Speaker 3: So I'm gonna go with a short underdog here and

1530
01:12:57,160 --> 01:12:59,920
Speaker 3: a team I believe is gonna I mentioned this earlier

1531
01:12:59,920 --> 01:13:02,760
Speaker 3: in podcast. Why I'm going with hook the Horns. I

1532
01:13:02,760 --> 01:13:04,760
Speaker 3: think they find a way to win this game. How

1533
01:13:04,760 --> 01:13:06,280
Speaker 3: about you are your favorite.

1534
01:13:06,520 --> 01:13:08,120
Speaker 2: I'll take another short one too. I'm gonna go to

1535
01:13:08,200 --> 01:13:10,479
Speaker 2: Virginia Tech. I just I keep coming back to the

1536
01:13:10,479 --> 01:13:12,639
Speaker 2: fact that Sam how is not completed to pass over

1537
01:13:12,680 --> 01:13:15,680
Speaker 2: twenty yards, and I love what Virginia Tech has on

1538
01:13:15,760 --> 01:13:18,040
Speaker 2: offense just and Hndon Hooker coming back. I mean, you

1539
01:13:18,080 --> 01:13:20,960
Speaker 2: throw him in, Khalil Herbert, give me the Hokies all day.

1540
01:13:21,240 --> 01:13:22,400
Speaker 6: That's three downs.

1541
01:13:22,400 --> 01:13:25,679
Speaker 3: But look, the trend, which I love in all football

1542
01:13:25,760 --> 01:13:29,200
Speaker 3: is going for it more on fourth downs in college football.

1543
01:13:29,200 --> 01:13:30,880
Speaker 3: And then if els, let's have a bonus fourth down

1544
01:13:30,960 --> 01:13:33,200
Speaker 3: here really quick. Before we got out here, kamab a

1545
01:13:33,280 --> 01:13:37,120
Speaker 3: video and an article about his round, his round robin

1546
01:13:37,680 --> 01:13:42,560
Speaker 3: underdog money line that was insane last week. So you

1547
01:13:42,600 --> 01:13:44,400
Speaker 3: don't have to have it finalized here. I don't know

1548
01:13:44,439 --> 01:13:46,320
Speaker 3: if you do or not, but just share a couple

1549
01:13:46,680 --> 01:13:49,920
Speaker 3: some early thoughts on your round robin for week six.

1550
01:13:50,439 --> 01:13:52,760
Speaker 2: Well, I mean, we hit six to seven last week,

1551
01:13:52,840 --> 01:13:55,400
Speaker 2: and I'm really glad that happened. And this happens every year.

1552
01:13:55,439 --> 01:13:57,840
Speaker 2: I mean last year we kind of toiled around hitting

1553
01:13:57,880 --> 01:13:59,840
Speaker 2: three to seven, hitting four of seven, and there was

1554
01:13:59,840 --> 01:14:01,920
Speaker 2: a weeks we hit six of seven. Kin two years

1555
01:14:01,960 --> 01:14:05,120
Speaker 2: ago we hit a seven of seven, and uh, I think,

1556
01:14:05,240 --> 01:14:07,439
Speaker 2: so you know, I mean I bought a boat off

1557
01:14:07,560 --> 01:14:09,880
Speaker 2: doing this a couple of years ago, so uh, you

1558
01:14:09,880 --> 01:14:12,200
Speaker 2: know it. These can pay off. But I will warn

1559
01:14:12,240 --> 01:14:14,639
Speaker 2: everybody there's a week where you'll go one and seven.

1560
01:14:15,080 --> 01:14:18,519
Speaker 2: So don't you know, just just because you win doesn't yeah,

1561
01:14:18,680 --> 01:14:20,240
Speaker 2: or a couple of weeks, So just because you win

1562
01:14:20,600 --> 01:14:22,880
Speaker 2: doesn't mean you need to increase your bet size. Make this,

1563
01:14:23,280 --> 01:14:26,240
Speaker 2: you know, five percent of what your total unit cost is.

1564
01:14:26,240 --> 01:14:28,280
Speaker 2: It shouldn't be high. That's why I joke around and

1565
01:14:28,280 --> 01:14:30,360
Speaker 2: say you should get a Chipotle bull now because we

1566
01:14:30,360 --> 01:14:32,120
Speaker 2: had some success. That could be a Chipoti bull with

1567
01:14:32,120 --> 01:14:35,360
Speaker 2: guacamole on it. So with that being said, of course,

1568
01:14:35,439 --> 01:14:37,000
Speaker 2: Virginia Tech is going to be in this thing. I

1569
01:14:37,040 --> 01:14:38,880
Speaker 2: try to make it around seven. I try to have

1570
01:14:38,960 --> 01:14:41,080
Speaker 2: what I call a boat anchor, which is a very

1571
01:14:41,160 --> 01:14:43,400
Speaker 2: very small favorite that I think is absolutely gonna win

1572
01:14:43,439 --> 01:14:46,080
Speaker 2: for me. That team is Oklahoma, So Oklahoma will be

1573
01:14:46,120 --> 01:14:48,880
Speaker 2: in it, Virginia Tech will be in it, you know

1574
01:14:49,080 --> 01:14:51,120
Speaker 2: the other ones that are on the board. I've pretty

1575
01:14:51,160 --> 01:14:52,960
Speaker 2: much finalized who it's going to be. I know that

1576
01:14:53,000 --> 01:14:55,479
Speaker 2: we'll have some more stuff out at Action Network about

1577
01:14:55,479 --> 01:14:57,880
Speaker 2: who's going to be on that list. North Texas is

1578
01:14:57,920 --> 01:14:59,280
Speaker 2: going to be on the list. There's some problems with

1579
01:14:59,360 --> 01:15:01,360
Speaker 2: Charlotte that I got, especially Charlotte going on the road

1580
01:15:01,360 --> 01:15:03,960
Speaker 2: and the pace of play that North Texas has North

1581
01:15:03,960 --> 01:15:05,960
Speaker 2: Texas is a short one. They're going to be in

1582
01:15:06,000 --> 01:15:10,200
Speaker 2: there too. Western Kentucky. Everybody loves Marshall. I love Marshall,

1583
01:15:10,200 --> 01:15:12,200
Speaker 2: but they shouldn't be spotting seven on the road against

1584
01:15:12,200 --> 01:15:15,519
Speaker 2: Western Kentucky. Western Kentucky is still a decent ball club,

1585
01:15:15,600 --> 01:15:17,800
Speaker 2: so they're going to be in there for me. Sarahcuse

1586
01:15:17,880 --> 01:15:18,200
Speaker 2: is in there.

1587
01:15:18,400 --> 01:15:18,639
Speaker 6: Listen.

1588
01:15:18,680 --> 01:15:20,040
Speaker 2: I don't know how Duke is a favorite in a

1589
01:15:20,040 --> 01:15:22,240
Speaker 2: football game. I don't know how this year, what we've

1590
01:15:22,240 --> 01:15:25,439
Speaker 2: seen with everything, how Duke is favored in any football game.

1591
01:15:25,800 --> 01:15:28,640
Speaker 2: And Sarahcuse, I think is the worst offensive success rate

1592
01:15:28,680 --> 01:15:30,400
Speaker 2: in the nation. But if you're going to give me

1593
01:15:30,439 --> 01:15:32,080
Speaker 2: two points and you're going to make Duke a favorite,

1594
01:15:32,080 --> 01:15:34,120
Speaker 2: you shouldn't be a favorite against anybody. Frankly, in the

1595
01:15:34,120 --> 01:15:37,120
Speaker 2: a SEC an AEC play, they shouldn't be. So Duke's

1596
01:15:37,160 --> 01:15:40,840
Speaker 2: going to be in there. Other than that, I think

1597
01:15:40,880 --> 01:15:43,120
Speaker 2: we'll the finalized card. It'll be out there and Action

1598
01:15:43,240 --> 01:15:46,160
Speaker 2: Network look for the video we shot, it's being produced.

1599
01:15:46,360 --> 01:15:48,960
Speaker 2: Look forward to being out there and hopefully hopefully we

1600
01:15:49,000 --> 01:15:50,360
Speaker 2: can get at least three or four winners and this

1601
01:15:50,360 --> 01:15:51,519
Speaker 2: thing make everybody some money.

1602
01:15:51,760 --> 01:15:52,840
Speaker 6: All right, there you have it.

1603
01:15:53,000 --> 01:15:56,600
Speaker 3: I appreciate you joining me as always, Colin. Should be

1604
01:15:56,800 --> 01:16:00,479
Speaker 3: an awesome weekend. Light up the voicemails on my Twitter

1605
01:16:00,560 --> 01:16:03,400
Speaker 3: pro while at Stuckey twos for the voicemail number, Colin,

1606
01:16:03,479 --> 01:16:06,280
Speaker 3: I disagree on a ton, so the recap we do

1607
01:16:06,520 --> 01:16:09,559
Speaker 3: voicemails and the recap episode should be interesting, which will

1608
01:16:09,600 --> 01:16:12,960
Speaker 3: be out on Monday morning. But thanks to everyone for listening.

1609
01:16:13,000 --> 01:16:15,759
Speaker 3: Thank you for all of your support. Love you guys,

1610
01:16:16,120 --> 01:16:21,000
Speaker 3: and you know everyone in my DMS asking questions about lines.

1611
01:16:21,040 --> 01:16:24,520
Speaker 3: This is our personal community, so we love the voicemails.

1612
01:16:24,520 --> 01:16:28,720
Speaker 3: We love your support as always. Subscribe on subscribe, subscribe.

1613
01:16:28,360 --> 01:16:30,200
Speaker 6: Tell a friend, tell enemy, rate and review. It really

1614
01:16:30,240 --> 01:16:30,880
Speaker 6: helps us out.

1615
01:16:31,120 --> 01:16:32,920
Speaker 3: Gave a five star which is why you love the

1616
01:16:32,960 --> 01:16:35,360
Speaker 3: podcast or just hey, love it. But thanks again for

1617
01:16:35,439 --> 01:16:38,559
Speaker 3: listening and we'll catch all on Monday morning.

1618
01:16:39,160 --> 01:16:41,759
Speaker 6: Good luck this weekend. We'll catch you all later. Cheers.

1619
01:16:42,360 --> 01:17:02,360
Speaker 6: He's out, We're finished talking.