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Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's time to place

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Speaker 1: your bets. It's me Joey P joe Pisapia and this

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Speaker 1: is VP NFL. It's time to look ahead to the

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Speaker 1: props and look way past Thursday Night Football. Oh what

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Speaker 1: a punt fest. That was a lucky for me in

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Speaker 1: one of my most important leagues. Ericson, I'm playing a

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Speaker 1: team that has Kien Williams and Cooper Cup and let's

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Speaker 1: just say the point total was not what they expected.

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Speaker 1: So I think I'm very much alive fingers cross. Will

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Speaker 1: see how it goes. But we got a lot of

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Speaker 1: stuff to bet on this week, still a lot of props.

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Speaker 1: I know. I'm gonna try not to ask Welshit all

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Speaker 1: about last night because he doesn't want to talk about it.

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Speaker 1: He's not in a good mood, and that's okay. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna let him. Just as Homer Simpson said, wallow in

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Speaker 1: his own crapulence. That's what I'm gonna let you do.

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Speaker 1: And Andrew Erickson, did you have any money on how

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Speaker 1: many punts were in Thursday Night Football? Just out of curiosity?

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Speaker 2: No, I did not.

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Speaker 3: Had the Deebo Samuel first touchdown which he dropped, which

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Speaker 3: would have easily cashed and saved everything else that I

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Speaker 3: had bet on that game. The Grendel receiving yards, the

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Speaker 3: last thing I add to the car was actually the

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Speaker 3: only good bet that came out of Thursday night football.

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Speaker 3: But guys, what this means is we're due do for

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Speaker 3: a big week ration, for a big, big Sunday, big Monday.

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Speaker 3: So we're gonna bounce back because again, all the touchdowns

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Speaker 3: are now gonna scored on Sunday because we got numb

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Speaker 3: on Thursday night. You know, there's a limited amount, finite

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Speaker 3: amount of touchdowns are scored every single week, which mean

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Speaker 3: the tuddies are coming in bunches on Sunday.

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Speaker 4: So get ready, Rickson, it's not bitcoin. Touchdowns are not bitcoin.

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Speaker 4: There's not a touchdown. Ye that made only a finite

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Speaker 4: amount of touchdowns.

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Speaker 1: Ericson's cock eyed optimism is exactly what this world needs.

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Speaker 1: And you need to take a little bit more of

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Speaker 1: it with you this weekend. That's what I say, take

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Speaker 1: it with you.

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Speaker 5: I don't need to hear anything from you right now.

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Speaker 5: I don't know.

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Speaker 4: I wish they had beat buttons on here now. That

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Speaker 4: game was trash. I only had wished that. Did they

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Speaker 4: say it's the first game all season that didn't have

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Speaker 4: any touchdowns because that was, like I believe, so it

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Speaker 4: was like two twenty two to one or two twenty

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Speaker 4: to one. If you bet no touchdown in that game,

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Speaker 4: that was the only play.

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Speaker 1: What who would do that? Especially Pook had been playing

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Speaker 1: and Stafford all that suff Yeah, we're on the Cincinnati folks.

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Speaker 1: So let's move on. And don't forget when we're talking

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Speaker 1: about props. Were using the prop bet cheat sheet. You

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Speaker 1: can find it over at bettingpros dot com slash props

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Speaker 1: or if you have the app, which you should download

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Speaker 1: it sink your sports books for free. Use the prop

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Speaker 1: bet cheat sheet to make all your prop bets. Welsh,

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Speaker 1: let's shake the dust off and let's talk about bo Nicks,

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Speaker 1: the greatest quarterback in the history of the league. He's

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Speaker 1: been able to do some great things this year. All

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Speaker 1: jokes aside, and it's a good matchup for him. They

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Speaker 1: are favorites. So how do you want to approach bow

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Speaker 1: Knicks with a two thirty seven and a half passing

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Speaker 1: yards were going over or under this?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, we're gonna go over and unlike uh DeAndre Campbell

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Speaker 4: or Devondre Campbell or not gonna work here anymore, doesn't matter.

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Speaker 4: Just because I lost doesn't mean I'm going to step

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Speaker 4: off the show and not come back and play.

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Speaker 5: I'm a gamer, he's not. And we're going with bow Knicks.

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Speaker 4: Passing yards over two point thirty seven on the over, Yes, sir.

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Speaker 4: He has hit this in three straight weeks. Colts have

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Speaker 4: given this up in five of the last six weeks,

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Speaker 4: coming off of a buye bo Nicks has Boonix just

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Speaker 4: in general, the completion percentage and how he's worked. He

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Speaker 4: has been this like low key, I like in their

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Speaker 4: offense to like how Patrick mahomes and they'll have these

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Speaker 4: rotational wide receivers keep moving throughout there. They've just like

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Speaker 4: put bo Nix in a situation where he doesn't have

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Speaker 4: to make these big, crazy plays. He can have just

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Speaker 4: like high leverage, high completion passes and that works really

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Speaker 4: well for him. And this Colts matchup is pretty fantastic

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Speaker 4: on the ground in the air, so I love bo

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Speaker 4: Nicks here. Projected numbers are quite a bit over this.

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Speaker 4: I think majority of them are over two fifty. So

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Speaker 4: coming off of the bye, that little bit of.

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Speaker 5: Rest and game planning. Just love it even more.

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Speaker 4: And as I think I said in the Prediction show

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Speaker 4: to Ericson, bo Nicks is the horse king and the

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Speaker 4: Colts will be the glue.

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Speaker 1: Well, last week, Ericson, you were dogging your boy Bryce

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Speaker 1: Young with the under and you were right now this

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Speaker 1: week different matchup their favorites against the Cowboys. What a

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Speaker 1: fun time that is. This time you found an over

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Speaker 1: with Bryce Young. So it looks like maybe, just maybe

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Speaker 1: all your Carolina stuff is on track. Baby, it looks

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Speaker 1: like mister Panther is on a roll. So how are

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Speaker 1: we gonna make money on Bryce Young this week?

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Speaker 3: Let's get this straight. It's mister cardiac cat. The Panthers

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Speaker 3: in their underdogs. That's in their Panthers. They're they're kittens. No,

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Speaker 3: we've got the cardiac Cats coming out to play this

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Speaker 3: week against Dallas at home. So the prop that I

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Speaker 3: like the most is the one probably on my favorites

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Speaker 3: this week is Bryce Young over his rushing yards at

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Speaker 3: thirteen and a half. He's been over this in four

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Speaker 3: straight games. He's at least seventeen rushing yards last four

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Speaker 3: straight games. You look at Dallas, what do they offer

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Speaker 3: the best on defense? Is their pass rush. So if

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Speaker 3: they're going to get to Bryce Young, he's going to

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Speaker 3: be running around trying to scramble. And the reason why

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Speaker 3: is Dallas second and most rushing yards allowed to quarterbacks

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Speaker 3: this season. So you've got the quarterback who's running a lot.

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Speaker 3: The matchup is there, Bryce Youung's playing well, So I

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Speaker 3: feel really good about this one. So I'm gonna go

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Speaker 3: over on Bryce Young his rushing yards.

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Speaker 1: Well for your second prop this week, we're gonna say,

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Speaker 1: in the same game, go with cdee Lamb. Now is

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Speaker 1: a receiving prop this week is around sixty three and

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Speaker 1: a half. He has gone over this number three of

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Speaker 1: the last four weeks, so can he do it again

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Speaker 1: this week? Welsh?

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Speaker 4: Yes, and that is the play sticking into that game.

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Speaker 4: I love this one, and I will tell you this

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Speaker 4: one's actually gone down. This has gone down two yards

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Speaker 4: since the early market. He's had six or more receptions

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Speaker 4: in four of his last five games, as you mentioned,

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Speaker 4: by the way, including three games of eight or more.

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Speaker 4: He has hit this in three of his last four games.

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Speaker 4: Highly graded, you know, like right near the top ten

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Speaker 4: of the wide receiver quarterback matchup metric that they put

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Speaker 4: on pff.

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Speaker 5: Which you like to see.

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Speaker 4: They're also dogs, so if they're behind, they're going to

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Speaker 4: be throwing. And one thing that we know is Cooper

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Speaker 4: Rush is going to continuously throw the ball to Ceedee Lamb.

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Speaker 4: So the question can be that there was one of

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Speaker 4: those games where it was like an absurd amount of

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Speaker 4: receptions and the yards weren't there, But you're going to

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Speaker 4: be able to do that with the Panthers, And I'm

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Speaker 4: not so sure that. I think because the Panthers are

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Speaker 4: a favorite, a lot of people feel like, oh man,

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Speaker 4: this is going to be a blowout, is going to

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Speaker 4: be crazy. It's like, no, I think the Cowboys are

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Speaker 4: going to be competitive. Panthers give up the most fantasy

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Speaker 4: yards to running backs. I know it's a betting show,

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Speaker 4: so that doesn't matter, but they're gonna be able to

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Speaker 4: The Cowboys are gonna be able to establish a running game,

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Speaker 4: which is going to help the passing game. And the

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Speaker 4: passing game evolves around Ceedee Lamb. He is his own

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Speaker 4: planet and everything else rotates around it. So this is

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Speaker 4: really low total. I really like it for Ceedee Lamb.

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Speaker 4: The receptions, by the way, also are five point five,

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Speaker 4: but it's juice to Hell. So on a prediction side

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Speaker 4: or projection side, it's around six receptions. So can I

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Speaker 4: average over eleven yards per reception with CD lamb, Yes,

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Speaker 4: I think I can against the Carolina Panthers. So I

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Speaker 4: think this is a It's not my favorite favorite favorite

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Speaker 4: of the week, but I think this one has a

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Speaker 4: really nice floor.

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Speaker 5: On the betting.

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Speaker 1: Side, the last man's standing for the New Orleans Saints

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Speaker 1: is Alvin Kamara, So a figure is going to get

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Speaker 1: a lot of work. But Jake Canterer's playing quarterbacks, so

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Speaker 1: maybe some three and outs could put that in jeopardy.

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Speaker 1: So when you're looking at New Orleans this week, in

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Speaker 1: this offense, and you're trying to evaluate Alvin can what

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Speaker 1: side do you come out on?

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Speaker 3: Undertaker, the under, the under on Alvin Kamara under sixty

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Speaker 3: eight and a half rushing yards. Look, he had the

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Speaker 3: smash spot last week. He had seventeen carries against the

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Speaker 3: Giants and got forty four yards two point six yards

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Speaker 3: percare against the freaking New York Giants to have one

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Speaker 3: of the worst run defenses in the NFL.

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Speaker 2: So in a game.

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Speaker 3: Where the Saints are underdogs against the Commanders coming off

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Speaker 3: a bye week, with Jake Hayner making the start, I

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Speaker 3: don't know how much rushing yard Alvin Kamara is going

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Speaker 3: to accumulate in this spot sixty eight and a half rushing yards.

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Speaker 3: He's hit this number twice since Week four. It's week fifteen, guys,

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Speaker 3: It's week fifteen, and it's nowhere near Week four. So

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Speaker 3: I think that with Kendre Miller back. In the four

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Speaker 3: games with Kendry Miller played this year, Alvin Kamara has

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Speaker 3: gone under his rushing prop three of those games. Without

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Speaker 3: Derek Carr, He's three, and Ozho towards the under. So

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Speaker 3: I get why this number is what it is because

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Speaker 3: of what he's done all year long, but all the

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Speaker 3: other factors are at play in this matchup, no Derek Carr,

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Speaker 3: tougher matchup, Kendrey Miller's hell healthy, I don't think he's

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Speaker 3: coming nowhere near close sixty eight half rushing yards. So

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Speaker 3: I think this number is going to continue to dip.

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Speaker 3: I think that actually opened closer to seventy seven and

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Speaker 3: a half rushing yards and it's been on a steady

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Speaker 3: decline since that. So hop on it now because I

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Speaker 3: think by the time this closes on Sunday, it's going

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Speaker 3: to be around sixty five, sixty four to sixty three,

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Speaker 3: and again he got he was under fifty yards against

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Speaker 3: the Giants last week, So I continue to poundy under Erickson.

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Speaker 4: I love this one too, you know, because I'm kind

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Speaker 4: of on Candre Miller. They want you to press that

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Speaker 4: over their offer, at least on DK right now, it's

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Speaker 4: plus money to go over. You don't usually see plus

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Speaker 4: money on rushing yard props, especially for running backs. So

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Speaker 4: that's the play. Is this is steadily going down. Is

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Speaker 4: they're wanting you to take that over, and I am

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Speaker 4: with you on that. I kind of believe that Hendre

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Speaker 4: Miller is going to be a little bit more involved.

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Speaker 4: I almost took this one. I have like three running

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Speaker 4: backs that are just in my brain about unders. I

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Speaker 4: am is it the over today?

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Speaker 5: For sure?

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Speaker 4: But I tried, and I wanted and I've contemplated some unders,

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Speaker 4: So I love this one all right.

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Speaker 1: Before we get to the next prop bet on the

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Speaker 1: list for the boys. If you're looking for a way

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Speaker 1: the financial platform for smartbetters, allows you to do just that.

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Speaker 1: Here's how it works. You go to bettingpros dot com

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Speaker 1: are betting smarter. Let's get to the next prop here

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Speaker 1: on the list here for these gentlemen, Welsh. I love

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Speaker 1: this one. I'm all in. I was talking up on

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Speaker 1: the Thursday live stream on Fantasy Pros about Adam Thielen.

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Speaker 1: You were here with the fifty one and a half

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Speaker 1: receiving yards. The guy has been great, the ageless wonder,

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Speaker 1: Adam Thielen. It makes me feel good because it's an

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Speaker 1: older guy here. It's good to see when the old

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Speaker 1: farts get out there and play football and do a

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Speaker 1: good job. So I'm in on this over. Why should

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Speaker 1: everybody else be betting it along with us?

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Speaker 4: Well, by the way we're you and I are in

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Speaker 4: the age where you look at like a thirty four

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Speaker 4: year old as an old farmer.

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Speaker 1: That's right. Well, he's a old far for football standards.

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Speaker 1: That'd be for football for eric for.

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Speaker 5: Wide receivers too.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, get closer closer to old fart for football standards,

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Speaker 1: ever closer, every shout out.

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Speaker 4: To betting pros and the Meme department for last night,

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Speaker 4: using Ericson at one of the team meet up falls

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Speaker 4: whide receiver against our boy AJ. I don't think everybody

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Speaker 4: knew what it was, but it's one of the greatest

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Speaker 4: quarter I know, you're the quarterback there and our guy

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Speaker 4: AJ's there and Ericson. Erickson, you look so tall in

264
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Speaker 4: that too. You look like you're going to have really

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Speaker 4: good Adam feeling like separation. Just sometimes the routes they

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Speaker 4: don't always run four with slippery.

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Speaker 3: That's one of the worst aesthetically like videos I've ever

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Speaker 3: seen my entire life of myself, just like.

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Speaker 2: A but just terrible.

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Speaker 4: It's pretty, it's pretty amazing. But onto Adam Thielen. I

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Speaker 4: love this number. I actually started on the receptions. I

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Speaker 4: know you guys always like yards more than receptions. I'll

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Speaker 4: get down with the receptions. But four and a half

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Speaker 4: was the receiving reception number, which I think is a smash.

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Speaker 4: But you're getting better odds on the yards, and I

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Speaker 4: told myself was I was going through because you know,

277
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Speaker 4: he smashed this on receptions across the board, but it

278
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Speaker 4: was like around minus one thirty, said, if this is

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Speaker 4: anything under sixty, think you got to smash the yards.

280
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Speaker 4: And sure enough, fifty one and a half. He has

281
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Speaker 4: hit this in three straight games. He has had twenty

282
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Speaker 4: one targets and seventeen receptions over the last two games alone.

283
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Speaker 4: The Cowboys have given up this receiving yard number to

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Speaker 4: a wide receiver against eight straight weeks. Eight straight weeks,

285
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Speaker 4: and Adam Thielen is the no doubt number one receiver

286
00:12:32,400 --> 00:12:35,880
Speaker 4: for the Carolina Panthers who are favored. So we are

287
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Speaker 4: now in the market. These three are like, I like

288
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Speaker 4: those two that I've already had. We're now in the

289
00:12:40,400 --> 00:12:42,559
Speaker 4: market that I really love these next three, and this

290
00:12:42,600 --> 00:12:44,680
Speaker 4: is one that I love. It's a low number for

291
00:12:44,720 --> 00:12:47,439
Speaker 4: a number one receiver against a Cowboys team that gives

292
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Speaker 4: this up a bunch and a guy that is getting massive,

293
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Speaker 4: massive amounts of a target share and the favorite, so

294
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Speaker 4: Adam Thielen, I think yards is an absolute smash right now.

295
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Speaker 1: Ryan Robinson Junior over six and a half receiving yards

296
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Speaker 1: is where we're going next. So not the rushing, but

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Speaker 1: the receiving. So Andrew, let's talk about this one. I

298
00:13:05,280 --> 00:13:07,440
Speaker 1: know Austin Eckler is gonna be out here again, So

299
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Speaker 1: he's probably not gonna when we're gonna get him back,

300
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Speaker 1: if we're gonna get him back. But Robinson's role, especially

301
00:13:12,440 --> 00:13:14,559
Speaker 1: coming off a buy, expects to be pretty large, and

302
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Speaker 1: this seems like a pretty easy number to get. So

303
00:13:16,200 --> 00:13:16,920
Speaker 1: where are you going here?

304
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Speaker 3: Yeah, I just think it's really really low for a

305
00:13:19,000 --> 00:13:21,400
Speaker 3: player that, Yeah, you're not looking at Brian Robinson as

306
00:13:21,440 --> 00:13:24,360
Speaker 3: this player that's known for his receiving props per se.

307
00:13:24,600 --> 00:13:26,880
Speaker 3: But he's gone over this number in three of his

308
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Speaker 3: last four. When I first got him's at five and

309
00:13:28,679 --> 00:13:30,360
Speaker 3: a half receiving yards. He's gone over that in four

310
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Speaker 3: straight games. So he's had at least six receiving yards

311
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Speaker 3: in four straight games. So you're feeling pretty good if

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Speaker 3: you're taking the over at six and a half. And

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Speaker 3: part of the reason why I was drawn to this

314
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Speaker 3: is the projections just have him flying way over this number.

315
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Speaker 3: It's just way too low, and I don't think it's

316
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Speaker 3: accounting for the fact that, like you said, Austin Eckler's

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Speaker 3: not part of this offense.

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Speaker 2: Like he's on edge reserve, he's not coming back.

319
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Speaker 3: So even if Jerry m McNichols is playing in that

320
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Speaker 3: Eckler role, I still think Robinson is good for at

321
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Speaker 3: least one or two screen passes behind the line of scrimmage.

322
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Speaker 3: And what do we know about the Saints. They cannot tackle,

323
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Speaker 3: Like they're one of the worst tackling teams. In the end,

324
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Speaker 3: they'll still try to tackle Sean Tucker from Week five

325
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Speaker 3: or whatever, that monster game. So Brian Robinson again, he

326
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Speaker 3: can get this on the first drive. You get this

327
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Speaker 3: on the first play they decide to like dial up

328
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Speaker 3: a screen pass form, which they do. Brian Robinson coming

329
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Speaker 3: out of Alabama not really known as a receiver, but

330
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Speaker 3: for some reason he'd always been kind of like overly

331
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Speaker 3: efficient in the receiving game. So I really just I

332
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Speaker 3: trust in the projections here. It's not just on VP.

333
00:14:21,920 --> 00:14:24,520
Speaker 3: NFL Pro has really good projections as well, and those

334
00:14:24,600 --> 00:14:27,480
Speaker 3: have him flying over this number. So without Eckler again,

335
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Speaker 3: he's been over six receiving yards in both games without

336
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Speaker 3: Eckler played this season. I think that gets this one

337
00:14:32,480 --> 00:14:33,240
Speaker 3: done pretty easily.

338
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Speaker 4: I want to throw out that I almost put this

339
00:14:35,920 --> 00:14:37,360
Speaker 4: on my card and I did bet it. So I

340
00:14:37,400 --> 00:14:39,600
Speaker 4: talked about like, oh I almost did the under. This

341
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Speaker 4: is one that I've got my own sheet, and I

342
00:14:41,880 --> 00:14:43,120
Speaker 4: you know these are the bets I'm gonna do, and

343
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Speaker 4: here's the ones I put on the show.

344
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Speaker 5: I bet this one. I'm with you.

345
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Speaker 4: I also got five and a half, which seems like

346
00:14:48,400 --> 00:14:51,360
Speaker 4: an absolute smash. So this is a definite co sign

347
00:14:51,480 --> 00:14:54,400
Speaker 4: here as one that is already on the betting pros

348
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Speaker 4: app under my name.

349
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Speaker 1: Yeah. I also put it together with him scoring anytime touchdown,

350
00:14:59,280 --> 00:15:01,160
Speaker 1: which is minus three already on the Jews pretty heavy

351
00:15:01,160 --> 00:15:03,920
Speaker 1: this week, which feels, you know, probably right. But we

352
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Speaker 1: put that together with this number here, the six and

353
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Speaker 1: a half, you get plus one seventy. That's a pretty

354
00:15:09,520 --> 00:15:11,600
Speaker 1: good spot to live into. You get that into plus money.

355
00:15:11,600 --> 00:15:13,640
Speaker 1: That seems like a lock there for me. Let's get

356
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Speaker 1: to to a tongue Yiloa next. I got a stat

357
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Speaker 1: for you, Welsh to his last four games, seventy five

358
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Speaker 1: percent completion percentage, thirteen hundred passing yards, eleven touchdowns, no picks,

359
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Speaker 1: and a passer rating of one eighteen point five. So,

360
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Speaker 1: taking on the Texans this week, how do you want

361
00:15:29,560 --> 00:15:31,560
Speaker 1: to approach to a tongue of Biloa? Considering this run

362
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Speaker 1: he's been on.

363
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Speaker 4: We are going to take those touchdowns on all those

364
00:15:35,320 --> 00:15:38,280
Speaker 4: stats over those four games. Add one more stat he

365
00:15:38,320 --> 00:15:41,840
Speaker 4: has had two touchdowns or more in those four straight

366
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Speaker 4: games he has thrown. So we are going over one

367
00:15:44,400 --> 00:15:47,480
Speaker 4: point five on the passing touchdowns the Texans, they have

368
00:15:47,560 --> 00:15:51,400
Speaker 4: given up two or more touchdowns in four or five games.

369
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Speaker 4: You can't run against the Texans. The Dolphins can move.

370
00:15:54,240 --> 00:15:56,720
Speaker 4: They're definitely not that early season's Dolphins where every other

371
00:15:56,760 --> 00:15:58,400
Speaker 4: play is a run and we're like, what the hell

372
00:15:58,480 --> 00:15:58,880
Speaker 4: is going on?

373
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Speaker 1: Now?

374
00:15:59,280 --> 00:16:01,440
Speaker 4: They're getting the ball on the air more Tyreek Hill.

375
00:16:01,520 --> 00:16:03,400
Speaker 4: I'll tell you I have a Tyreek Hill bet. But

376
00:16:03,440 --> 00:16:05,280
Speaker 4: the line moved a little too much. I took him

377
00:16:05,320 --> 00:16:06,800
Speaker 4: off of the show. I was going to put the

378
00:16:06,840 --> 00:16:09,480
Speaker 4: receiving yards on this show, but I took it early,

379
00:16:09,520 --> 00:16:12,080
Speaker 4: and it's moved up three or four yards already. And

380
00:16:12,160 --> 00:16:14,120
Speaker 4: this is just a really great spot. So two is

381
00:16:14,200 --> 00:16:16,800
Speaker 4: hitting this from the passing department. You can pass against

382
00:16:16,800 --> 00:16:18,960
Speaker 4: the Texans while not running, So I think that is

383
00:16:19,000 --> 00:16:21,240
Speaker 4: what is going to happen. I think there are multiple

384
00:16:21,240 --> 00:16:23,080
Speaker 4: things that align in a great way where Two is

385
00:16:23,120 --> 00:16:26,160
Speaker 4: throwing touchdowns, the Texans are giving them up, the Jaalen

386
00:16:26,200 --> 00:16:29,600
Speaker 4: Waddle is finally reconnecting. So give me one point five

387
00:16:29,680 --> 00:16:31,840
Speaker 4: over passing touchdowns for two of this week.

388
00:16:32,040 --> 00:16:33,480
Speaker 3: I like this one a lot too well because I

389
00:16:33,480 --> 00:16:35,880
Speaker 3: think too you look at the Texans, they give up

390
00:16:35,880 --> 00:16:38,720
Speaker 3: the highest percentage of passing touchdowns in the NFL. So

391
00:16:39,120 --> 00:16:42,600
Speaker 3: whenever Miami does ultimately score, it's probably going to be

392
00:16:42,640 --> 00:16:43,440
Speaker 3: through the air, even.

393
00:16:43,280 --> 00:16:45,600
Speaker 2: If it's a pass to eight Chan or Wattle or

394
00:16:45,600 --> 00:16:47,080
Speaker 2: Tyreek Kill. So this is a really good one.

395
00:16:47,120 --> 00:16:50,200
Speaker 4: Or John Oan overtime to screw up your your playoff run,

396
00:16:50,880 --> 00:16:51,680
Speaker 4: playoff runt.

397
00:16:53,680 --> 00:16:57,640
Speaker 1: No bitterness, none whatsoever. A big market game between the

398
00:16:57,640 --> 00:16:59,840
Speaker 1: Bills and the Lions. And usually when you're talking about

399
00:17:00,080 --> 00:17:01,760
Speaker 1: running backs in the Lions catching the football, we're talking

400
00:17:01,760 --> 00:17:05,240
Speaker 1: abou Jamir Gibbs. But instead we're gonna talk about David Montgomery.

401
00:17:05,280 --> 00:17:07,680
Speaker 1: Here's a fun fact. Seven to last eight weeks, he's

402
00:17:07,720 --> 00:17:11,000
Speaker 1: gone over this number for receiving yards. Now, I didn't

403
00:17:11,040 --> 00:17:13,119
Speaker 1: quite realize that. I know you got it fifteen and

404
00:17:13,160 --> 00:17:14,960
Speaker 1: a half. I see it on betting pros at sixteen.

405
00:17:15,480 --> 00:17:17,520
Speaker 1: So we're going over this. This is kind of sneaky

406
00:17:17,560 --> 00:17:21,000
Speaker 1: because I think everyone's perception of the Lions is all

407
00:17:21,080 --> 00:17:23,040
Speaker 1: Manty just kind of runs the football and runs in

408
00:17:23,640 --> 00:17:26,320
Speaker 1: you know, those touchdowns. But he's done a lot more

409
00:17:26,400 --> 00:17:29,480
Speaker 1: than that, and it clearly the stats bear that out.

410
00:17:29,880 --> 00:17:32,520
Speaker 3: Yeah, he's been kind of under the radar as the

411
00:17:32,600 --> 00:17:35,680
Speaker 3: receiving back in this backfield. And shout out to the

412
00:17:35,680 --> 00:17:38,120
Speaker 3: betting pros prop bet cheat sheet again. I'm looking through

413
00:17:38,200 --> 00:17:41,120
Speaker 3: each of the matchups looking for the flame emojis, right,

414
00:17:41,160 --> 00:17:43,199
Speaker 3: like who's up streak, like who can I back and

415
00:17:43,200 --> 00:17:45,000
Speaker 3: to see Davi Montgomery seving guards and say this, like

416
00:17:45,000 --> 00:17:47,800
Speaker 3: this little flame like it's burning bright though, because like

417
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Speaker 3: you said, I mean, he's been hitting this consistently week

418
00:17:50,480 --> 00:17:52,520
Speaker 3: in and week out, over fifteen and a half receiving

419
00:17:52,560 --> 00:17:54,720
Speaker 3: yards in six straight games and ten of his thirteen

420
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Speaker 3: games played the season. That's almost eighty percent of the

421
00:17:56,720 --> 00:18:00,560
Speaker 3: time he's hitting this number. So him, by himself in

422
00:18:00,600 --> 00:18:03,360
Speaker 3: a neutral matchup is going over this number in most

423
00:18:03,359 --> 00:18:05,399
Speaker 3: of his games that he's played. And then you factor

424
00:18:05,440 --> 00:18:08,720
Speaker 3: in Buffalo's defense, one of the worst defense in terms

425
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Speaker 3: of defending running backs in the passing game top three,

426
00:18:11,240 --> 00:18:14,080
Speaker 3: most yards, most catches, and targets to running backs this

427
00:18:14,119 --> 00:18:17,280
Speaker 3: season in the passing game. So in a script where hey,

428
00:18:17,280 --> 00:18:19,840
Speaker 3: you could actually see Detroit having to throw a little

429
00:18:19,880 --> 00:18:22,480
Speaker 3: bit more love Dave Montgomery here going over as receiving

430
00:18:22,560 --> 00:18:24,840
Speaker 3: arts brought because this is a game strip where you're

431
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Speaker 3: actually expecting Jared Goff to probably drop back a little

432
00:18:27,640 --> 00:18:29,639
Speaker 3: bit more than usual, where it's he dropped, he throws

433
00:18:29,680 --> 00:18:31,840
Speaker 3: twenty times and you just kind of hoping Montgomery rips off,

434
00:18:31,880 --> 00:18:34,720
Speaker 3: breaks a couple of tackles. So this one definitely another

435
00:18:34,760 --> 00:18:36,160
Speaker 3: one of my favorites on the card this week.

436
00:18:36,359 --> 00:18:38,520
Speaker 1: All right, Welsh, let's go to the Battle of Pennsylvania

437
00:18:38,560 --> 00:18:40,240
Speaker 1: for the last one. We're gonna start with here and

438
00:18:40,240 --> 00:18:43,360
Speaker 1: then we'll get to the touchdown calls. So Russell Wilson

439
00:18:43,600 --> 00:18:46,080
Speaker 1: not passing stuff this week, but rushing is where you're going,

440
00:18:46,119 --> 00:18:47,320
Speaker 1: so let's talk about the why.

441
00:18:47,680 --> 00:18:49,719
Speaker 4: Yeah, I ended up really loving this one, and like,

442
00:18:49,760 --> 00:18:52,800
Speaker 4: I don't bet a whole lot of Russ props or

443
00:18:52,840 --> 00:18:55,360
Speaker 4: anything like that, but just as I kept digging in

444
00:18:55,840 --> 00:18:59,399
Speaker 4: seven point five rushing yards for us this week, and

445
00:18:59,440 --> 00:19:01,480
Speaker 4: I was like, Okay, this is interesting because it's a

446
00:19:01,520 --> 00:19:04,640
Speaker 4: tough matchup against Philly, But what's like the one thing

447
00:19:04,640 --> 00:19:07,480
Speaker 4: that's in our face. No George Pickens, there's no chance

448
00:19:07,480 --> 00:19:10,800
Speaker 4: he's gonna play, and they cannot get the ball deep

449
00:19:10,880 --> 00:19:13,560
Speaker 4: and they want to Russ wants to and I think

450
00:19:13,680 --> 00:19:16,600
Speaker 4: without having Pickens, that's going to be a situation that's

451
00:19:16,600 --> 00:19:18,960
Speaker 4: going to end up having Russ take the ball down more.

452
00:19:19,119 --> 00:19:21,120
Speaker 5: Now seven point five rushing yards.

453
00:19:21,119 --> 00:19:23,440
Speaker 4: He has hit this in two of his last three games,

454
00:19:23,960 --> 00:19:28,960
Speaker 4: while never this season having less than three rushes per game.

455
00:19:29,040 --> 00:19:31,320
Speaker 4: So you've got a floor of three rushes per game.

456
00:19:31,359 --> 00:19:33,960
Speaker 4: You've also now got a deep game that is taken

457
00:19:34,000 --> 00:19:36,159
Speaker 4: away from him. Let's throw the Eagles into this. The

458
00:19:36,200 --> 00:19:39,760
Speaker 4: Eagles have given up this rushing yard number two quarterbacks

459
00:19:39,920 --> 00:19:43,639
Speaker 4: they've played against every single week of the season, starting

460
00:19:43,680 --> 00:19:46,800
Speaker 4: from Week four on. It doesn't matter the quarterback. Trevor

461
00:19:46,880 --> 00:19:49,160
Speaker 4: Lawrence is in there, hit it, Joe Burrow's in there,

462
00:19:49,240 --> 00:19:53,120
Speaker 4: hit it. Rushing quarterbacks, they hit it. Quarterbacks on average

463
00:19:53,119 --> 00:19:57,320
Speaker 4: against the Eagles are averaging four carries eighteen yards rushing.

464
00:19:57,960 --> 00:20:00,560
Speaker 4: I love this marker because you know us is getting

465
00:20:00,600 --> 00:20:03,240
Speaker 4: at least three carries. The deep game is gone, the

466
00:20:03,320 --> 00:20:05,159
Speaker 4: pressure in I think is gonna move him up the

467
00:20:05,160 --> 00:20:07,119
Speaker 4: field more. And the Eagles are giving this up. And

468
00:20:07,200 --> 00:20:09,359
Speaker 4: like I said, every single game they've given up this

469
00:20:09,400 --> 00:20:12,720
Speaker 4: rushing yard total two quarterbacks since Week four. It ends

470
00:20:12,840 --> 00:20:15,320
Speaker 4: up weirdly being one of my favorite bets this week.

471
00:20:15,760 --> 00:20:17,359
Speaker 1: I think it's a very interesting one. I mentioned to

472
00:20:17,440 --> 00:20:19,359
Speaker 1: Ericson that I feel like at some point Field is

473
00:20:19,359 --> 00:20:21,679
Speaker 1: going to get some work in this game, because when

474
00:20:21,720 --> 00:20:23,560
Speaker 1: you're down at a weapon like Pickens, you want to

475
00:20:23,560 --> 00:20:25,879
Speaker 1: try to offset things a little bit. I've been searching everywhere.

476
00:20:25,880 --> 00:20:28,560
Speaker 1: I can't get any justin Fields props. I'm even looking

477
00:20:28,560 --> 00:20:31,320
Speaker 1: for like an any time touchdown for him right now,

478
00:20:31,359 --> 00:20:33,840
Speaker 1: and it's hard to find, which is a shame. But

479
00:20:33,880 --> 00:20:35,840
Speaker 1: if he if you get it, folks, if it pops

480
00:20:35,920 --> 00:20:38,800
Speaker 1: up in the next you know, twenty four hours, I'd

481
00:20:38,840 --> 00:20:40,080
Speaker 1: be all over it. Go ahead, Ericson.

482
00:20:40,440 --> 00:20:42,840
Speaker 3: I can't wait to see like when Russ has his

483
00:20:42,880 --> 00:20:44,520
Speaker 3: eyes glow right and then he's like I'm gonna run.

484
00:20:44,520 --> 00:20:46,439
Speaker 3: I'm gonna run him. In my mind, I'm like, let

485
00:20:46,640 --> 00:20:47,679
Speaker 3: Ross cook, let's go.

486
00:20:47,920 --> 00:20:48,920
Speaker 5: Yeah, I want him to run.

487
00:20:49,040 --> 00:20:51,160
Speaker 4: I mean, by the way, like because I love this one.

488
00:20:51,680 --> 00:20:53,639
Speaker 4: Like last week, as we're going four and one, just

489
00:20:53,640 --> 00:20:55,159
Speaker 4: want to point that out. I'm very jaded right now

490
00:20:55,200 --> 00:20:58,760
Speaker 4: because of the Niners and losing my off from last night.

491
00:20:58,840 --> 00:21:00,640
Speaker 4: But I was great last week on this show. But

492
00:21:00,680 --> 00:21:02,639
Speaker 4: like one of my favorites was Bijon, and that was

493
00:21:02,720 --> 00:21:05,000
Speaker 4: only one that didn't hit. This will probably be the

494
00:21:05,040 --> 00:21:07,040
Speaker 4: one because the logic is there. I do want to

495
00:21:07,080 --> 00:21:10,000
Speaker 4: point out to you DraftKings has justin fields anytime touchdown

496
00:21:10,000 --> 00:21:11,920
Speaker 4: at plus seven hundred, so seven to one.

497
00:21:12,040 --> 00:21:13,920
Speaker 1: Oh so DK's got it, okay. I was looking on

498
00:21:14,040 --> 00:21:16,159
Speaker 1: VANDU that couldn't find it there. I couldn't find on

499
00:21:16,200 --> 00:21:19,080
Speaker 1: the app yet. So that's good. That's very good news.

500
00:21:19,119 --> 00:21:21,960
Speaker 1: All right. So, speaking of good process, I know you've

501
00:21:22,000 --> 00:21:24,160
Speaker 1: been talking all weeks since Monday, you've been talking about

502
00:21:24,200 --> 00:21:26,720
Speaker 1: Jalen Hurts in the same game Ericson. You've got some

503
00:21:26,720 --> 00:21:29,040
Speaker 1: feelings about this one too. He had been very turnover

504
00:21:29,080 --> 00:21:31,840
Speaker 1: prone last year. This year it's been always a more

505
00:21:31,840 --> 00:21:35,600
Speaker 1: conservative offense, much to the chagrin of AJ Brown. But

506
00:21:36,000 --> 00:21:38,000
Speaker 1: that might change a little bit this week. And if

507
00:21:38,040 --> 00:21:40,200
Speaker 1: it does, there's more room for error, and it looks

508
00:21:40,200 --> 00:21:42,119
Speaker 1: like Andrew Erickson wants to take advantage of that.

509
00:21:42,600 --> 00:21:44,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, Jalen Hurts is going to throw an interception this week.

510
00:21:44,600 --> 00:21:46,120
Speaker 2: It's going to happen. Because we're talking.

511
00:21:45,960 --> 00:21:48,280
Speaker 3: About the Steelers. We love the Steelers plus five and

512
00:21:48,280 --> 00:21:50,560
Speaker 3: a half. So how do they cover this game? Oh, well,

513
00:21:50,600 --> 00:21:52,959
Speaker 3: they get an interception. I'm Jalen Hurts. Like it's pretty

514
00:21:52,960 --> 00:21:55,560
Speaker 3: intuitive to think, Okay, well they get a pick, they're

515
00:21:55,560 --> 00:21:57,320
Speaker 3: going to cover the five and a half point spread.

516
00:21:57,400 --> 00:21:59,359
Speaker 3: This game is going to go under the total because

517
00:21:59,400 --> 00:22:01,600
Speaker 3: it's going to be gritty, gonna go through the mud.

518
00:22:01,720 --> 00:22:04,200
Speaker 3: And the thing with Hurts, right, the narrative all week

519
00:22:04,240 --> 00:22:06,320
Speaker 3: has been AJ Brown, this, AJ Brown's got to get

520
00:22:06,320 --> 00:22:08,440
Speaker 3: his target's got to take the overs on AJ Brown.

521
00:22:08,560 --> 00:22:10,320
Speaker 3: But I'm kind of looking at it from like a

522
00:22:10,359 --> 00:22:13,560
Speaker 3: different perspective, where, Okay, now Jalen Hurts is gonna have

523
00:22:13,640 --> 00:22:15,639
Speaker 3: to throw into more tight windows because they got to

524
00:22:15,680 --> 00:22:17,800
Speaker 3: get AJ Brown ten targets or else he's gonna be

525
00:22:17,840 --> 00:22:19,800
Speaker 3: upset and he's gonna go on Twitter again and complain.

526
00:22:20,320 --> 00:22:22,480
Speaker 3: So I'm looking at it from a different respective thank

527
00:22:22,520 --> 00:22:26,120
Speaker 3: instead of taking overs on AJ Brown, look at Jalen Hurts, Well, boy,

528
00:22:26,160 --> 00:22:28,760
Speaker 3: you're gonna get intercepted this time because start the year

529
00:22:29,040 --> 00:22:30,760
Speaker 3: he was throwing picks left and right, because he was

530
00:22:30,800 --> 00:22:33,400
Speaker 3: forcing more throws. The last time he threw an interception

531
00:22:33,840 --> 00:22:36,679
Speaker 3: was against Dallas, one of the tougher pass rushes they

532
00:22:36,680 --> 00:22:41,200
Speaker 3: have faced this season. Pittsburgh's defense this year third interceptions first,

533
00:22:41,200 --> 00:22:43,280
Speaker 3: and turnover margin. They have an interception in ten of

534
00:22:43,320 --> 00:22:46,800
Speaker 3: thirteen games played, including eight of their last nine games.

535
00:22:47,040 --> 00:22:50,040
Speaker 3: So he's way overdue to throw a pick. And if

536
00:22:50,080 --> 00:22:53,600
Speaker 3: they're gonna be dialing up more pass attempts, well arrest

537
00:22:53,640 --> 00:22:55,200
Speaker 3: my case he's getting intercepted this week.

538
00:22:55,400 --> 00:22:57,680
Speaker 1: There you go, So I iNTS are coming for Jalen

539
00:22:57,760 --> 00:23:00,359
Speaker 1: Hurts and hopefully some touchdowns as well well. And the

540
00:23:00,400 --> 00:23:03,199
Speaker 1: Touchdown Score Report at bettingpros dot com slash touchdown is

541
00:23:03,200 --> 00:23:05,560
Speaker 1: the way to get an edge on your touchdown bets.

542
00:23:05,960 --> 00:23:09,400
Speaker 1: Our touchdown score report compares anytime touchdown stats to prop

543
00:23:09,400 --> 00:23:12,480
Speaker 1: bet odds and projections to help identify the best anytime

544
00:23:12,560 --> 00:23:15,080
Speaker 1: touchdown bets you're gonna find anywhere. It's head over right

545
00:23:15,119 --> 00:23:17,879
Speaker 1: now to bettingpros dot com slash touchdown for the latest

546
00:23:17,920 --> 00:23:21,680
Speaker 1: touchdown prop analysis today. I've got my touchdowns ready to rock.

547
00:23:21,760 --> 00:23:23,760
Speaker 1: Let's go going. Jerry Judy one of the best wide

548
00:23:23,800 --> 00:23:26,880
Speaker 1: receivers in the league. When Jamis Winston is out there,

549
00:23:26,920 --> 00:23:28,640
Speaker 1: so I know the weather might be tricky in that game,

550
00:23:28,720 --> 00:23:30,640
Speaker 1: I still think we're gonna get Jerry Judy to find

551
00:23:30,640 --> 00:23:34,080
Speaker 1: the end zone plus one sixty five and the squeaky

552
00:23:34,320 --> 00:23:37,080
Speaker 1: wheel gets the grease. I think Jalen Hurts might throw

553
00:23:37,080 --> 00:23:38,880
Speaker 1: a pick, but I think at some point he's also

554
00:23:38,880 --> 00:23:42,879
Speaker 1: gonna throw a touchdown to AJ Brown plus one forty five. Again,

555
00:23:42,920 --> 00:23:45,880
Speaker 1: when you chirp, typically get the football, and I expect

556
00:23:45,880 --> 00:23:48,600
Speaker 1: that to happen this weekend. Good four o'clock games. So

557
00:23:48,640 --> 00:23:51,000
Speaker 1: you got that game, you got the Bills Detroit games,

558
00:23:51,119 --> 00:23:54,199
Speaker 1: really fun stuff in that late window. Ericson, let's go

559
00:23:54,240 --> 00:23:56,360
Speaker 1: to you for your touchdowns this week. I know you've

560
00:23:56,359 --> 00:23:59,840
Speaker 1: got one that is a double dip as well that

561
00:23:59,880 --> 00:24:00,520
Speaker 1: you high on.

562
00:24:00,960 --> 00:24:03,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, let's call it the Trey mcdouble.

563
00:24:03,240 --> 00:24:05,480
Speaker 3: Right, Trey McBride's going to score two touties this week

564
00:24:05,520 --> 00:24:07,879
Speaker 3: against the New England Patriots, like they're the worst defense

565
00:24:07,920 --> 00:24:11,080
Speaker 3: in terms of EPA allowed per play to players in

566
00:24:11,119 --> 00:24:13,800
Speaker 3: pass catches that are aligned tight. And we all know

567
00:24:13,920 --> 00:24:16,720
Speaker 3: the shtick with Trey McBride this year. Can't catch touchdown.

568
00:24:16,760 --> 00:24:18,920
Speaker 3: He sees all these red zone targets, is on pace

569
00:24:18,960 --> 00:24:21,639
Speaker 3: to have the most receiving yards targets without a receiving touchdown.

570
00:24:21,720 --> 00:24:22,560
Speaker 2: YadA, YadA, YadA.

571
00:24:22,560 --> 00:24:25,640
Speaker 3: Okay, this is where regression comes to head, right, this

572
00:24:25,680 --> 00:24:28,000
Speaker 3: is where you have an explosion game in an exposable

573
00:24:28,040 --> 00:24:30,639
Speaker 3: matchup we know that we're going to see Christian Gonzales

574
00:24:30,800 --> 00:24:34,440
Speaker 3: cover of Marvin Harrison Junior. Patriot's defense is overall very bad,

575
00:24:34,440 --> 00:24:35,840
Speaker 3: and I don't think they have anyone that can really

576
00:24:35,880 --> 00:24:38,880
Speaker 3: stop Trey McBride, who is a drowning in targets over

577
00:24:39,000 --> 00:24:39,880
Speaker 3: the last couple of weeks.

578
00:24:39,920 --> 00:24:41,479
Speaker 2: So I love McBride here. And it's funny.

579
00:24:41,880 --> 00:24:44,000
Speaker 3: I mentioned this on the FP Show l this week,

580
00:24:44,000 --> 00:24:46,879
Speaker 3: but there's actually special on DraftKings because they're also aware

581
00:24:46,880 --> 00:24:50,280
Speaker 3: of the the Trey McBride lack of touchdowns. At plus

582
00:24:50,280 --> 00:24:53,040
Speaker 3: seven hundred, bet McBride to have nine receptions and not

583
00:24:53,119 --> 00:24:57,280
Speaker 3: score a touchdown and it's called Trey McBride's maid basically.

584
00:24:56,920 --> 00:24:58,320
Speaker 1: So I like that.

585
00:24:58,440 --> 00:25:00,920
Speaker 3: So it's an interesting if you want to go heavy

586
00:25:00,920 --> 00:25:04,520
Speaker 3: on some of these multi touchdown approaches to the baby ride. Again,

587
00:25:04,560 --> 00:25:06,440
Speaker 3: he's probably gonna have a ton of catches in yards

588
00:25:06,440 --> 00:25:08,800
Speaker 3: in this game too, But that's just an interesting thing

589
00:25:08,800 --> 00:25:10,000
Speaker 3: that I was looking at that I thought was kind

590
00:25:10,000 --> 00:25:12,680
Speaker 3: of funny because the books are aware that Pride is

591
00:25:12,720 --> 00:25:15,320
Speaker 3: allergic to the end zone. So, uh yeah, trading Brad

592
00:25:15,359 --> 00:25:16,520
Speaker 3: scoring this week, okay?

593
00:25:16,680 --> 00:25:18,800
Speaker 1: Uh And you've also got one for with a stone

594
00:25:18,800 --> 00:25:20,440
Speaker 1: cold Steve Austin to get the end zone this week.

595
00:25:20,440 --> 00:25:21,199
Speaker 1: Who is it? You got there?

596
00:25:21,280 --> 00:25:21,399
Speaker 5: Oh?

597
00:25:21,480 --> 00:25:27,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, but uh, that's smarter, not harder, guys, Stone, I'm

598
00:25:27,000 --> 00:25:29,399
Speaker 3: doing it for all the bits and the trade.

599
00:25:30,000 --> 00:25:31,200
Speaker 2: That's smarter, not harder.

600
00:25:32,280 --> 00:25:35,160
Speaker 1: Big double with cheese, So we go Stone Smart.

601
00:25:35,400 --> 00:25:35,640
Speaker 2: Uh.

602
00:25:35,720 --> 00:25:37,520
Speaker 3: Tight end for those aren't aware. Tight end for the

603
00:25:37,560 --> 00:25:41,640
Speaker 3: Los Angeles Chargers. I think Joe, it's been a long season.

604
00:25:41,880 --> 00:25:43,959
Speaker 3: I think I finally found my Donald Parhum that I've

605
00:25:44,000 --> 00:25:45,720
Speaker 3: been looking for as.

606
00:25:45,600 --> 00:25:47,280
Speaker 1: A replacement all this time.

607
00:25:47,720 --> 00:25:52,280
Speaker 3: And I think again a uh, former wide receiver convert

608
00:25:52,359 --> 00:25:55,000
Speaker 3: Chargers tight end that is Stone Smart here. So I

609
00:25:55,040 --> 00:25:57,480
Speaker 3: expect him to get the start this week. With Will

610
00:25:57,560 --> 00:26:00,119
Speaker 3: Disley out last week, in just the second half, he

611
00:26:00,160 --> 00:26:02,600
Speaker 3: had three targets fifty four yards twenty four yard grab.

612
00:26:02,880 --> 00:26:05,840
Speaker 3: And what I've noticed with Justin Herbert this year is

613
00:26:05,880 --> 00:26:07,480
Speaker 3: it doesn't matter who the titand has been like he

614
00:26:07,520 --> 00:26:10,000
Speaker 3: has hyper targeted that position. And you look at the matchup.

615
00:26:10,160 --> 00:26:12,040
Speaker 3: The Hit Bay Buccaneers are one of the worst defenses

616
00:26:12,080 --> 00:26:14,960
Speaker 3: in the NFL against guarding tight ends. So if they're

617
00:26:15,000 --> 00:26:16,359
Speaker 3: going to be scoring, is it going to be Gus

618
00:26:16,359 --> 00:26:19,000
Speaker 3: Buss up the middle against the stack box I don't

619
00:26:19,040 --> 00:26:21,040
Speaker 3: think so. I think it's going to be Stone Smart

620
00:26:21,040 --> 00:26:23,240
Speaker 3: finding the end zone. So those are my tight end

621
00:26:23,760 --> 00:26:25,960
Speaker 3: touchdowns on the call this week. I'm looking forward to.

622
00:26:26,119 --> 00:26:30,080
Speaker 1: Here we go, one smart fellow, he felt smart. All right, Welsh,

623
00:26:30,240 --> 00:26:32,800
Speaker 1: your turn. Let's blow this up here with some touchdown call.

624
00:26:32,920 --> 00:26:35,080
Speaker 5: Man Ericson loves those tight ends.

625
00:26:35,160 --> 00:26:39,320
Speaker 4: I mean, if we could have a percentage of how

626
00:26:39,320 --> 00:26:42,520
Speaker 4: many times you bet tight end touchdowns fifty percent I

627
00:26:42,560 --> 00:26:45,440
Speaker 4: think on the year. But all right, my touchdown calls

628
00:26:45,720 --> 00:26:49,040
Speaker 4: this week, number one, we are going with a tight end.

629
00:26:49,040 --> 00:26:50,320
Speaker 4: Would you look at that? I am going with a

630
00:26:50,359 --> 00:26:53,040
Speaker 4: tight end. I'm going with brock Bowers. It's interesting when

631
00:26:53,080 --> 00:26:56,600
Speaker 4: you look at the Falcons. The Falcons are getting demolished

632
00:26:56,640 --> 00:26:59,760
Speaker 4: from wide receivers. They don't really rank if you sort

633
00:26:59,840 --> 00:27:01,560
Speaker 4: by tight end, they don't really rank like you know,

634
00:27:01,560 --> 00:27:03,639
Speaker 4: they're giving up a ton of fantasy points or touchdowns

635
00:27:04,240 --> 00:27:06,239
Speaker 4: as far as wide receivers go. They're giving up the

636
00:27:06,280 --> 00:27:09,480
Speaker 4: most receiving touchdowns in the NFL, the wide receivers right

637
00:27:09,520 --> 00:27:12,800
Speaker 4: now and on the last month, they're also giving up

638
00:27:12,840 --> 00:27:15,600
Speaker 4: the most touchdowns. Well, guess what brock Bower is not

639
00:27:15,680 --> 00:27:18,760
Speaker 4: just a tight end. Rock Bowers is everything. He's the

640
00:27:18,960 --> 00:27:21,280
Speaker 4: wide receiver of the tight end, the number one, the

641
00:27:21,320 --> 00:27:22,320
Speaker 4: be all end all.

642
00:27:22,400 --> 00:27:23,240
Speaker 5: For the Raiders.

643
00:27:23,520 --> 00:27:26,080
Speaker 4: This is a great spot to a secondary. When they

644
00:27:26,480 --> 00:27:29,760
Speaker 4: move Bowers out, I mean mayor Michael Mayer, they've end

645
00:27:29,880 --> 00:27:32,200
Speaker 4: up putting in as a tight end spot who's played

646
00:27:32,200 --> 00:27:34,920
Speaker 4: really well. Brock Bowers is going to score. It's plus

647
00:27:35,040 --> 00:27:38,320
Speaker 4: one sixty this week. It's a great matchup. My other

648
00:27:38,440 --> 00:27:41,680
Speaker 4: touchdown call going with a quarterback going than anytime touchdown

649
00:27:41,960 --> 00:27:45,000
Speaker 4: Lamar Jackson. That one is sitting around plus one point eighty,

650
00:27:45,080 --> 00:27:48,080
Speaker 4: which I really like over on Lamar Jackson. The Giants

651
00:27:48,080 --> 00:27:51,800
Speaker 4: have given up these seventh most rushing touchdowns to quarterbacks

652
00:27:51,840 --> 00:27:55,000
Speaker 4: so far this year. It is a ridiculous matchup across

653
00:27:55,040 --> 00:27:57,080
Speaker 4: the board. We're going to be hyper focused on Derreck

654
00:27:57,160 --> 00:27:59,960
Speaker 4: Henry Lamar is going to put one in at plus one.

655
00:28:00,359 --> 00:28:03,160
Speaker 4: Also want to point out you had plus three twenty

656
00:28:03,160 --> 00:28:05,920
Speaker 4: on stone Smart plus three forty on DK for stone

657
00:28:05,920 --> 00:28:08,320
Speaker 4: Smart anytime touchdowns. So make sure to go to Betting

658
00:28:08,359 --> 00:28:10,639
Speaker 4: Pros check out the tab of each player where you

659
00:28:10,640 --> 00:28:13,120
Speaker 4: can analyze the bets and you can see the best

660
00:28:13,280 --> 00:28:16,160
Speaker 4: betting market across the land. If you like to shop

661
00:28:16,200 --> 00:28:19,359
Speaker 4: around to the best odds for Stone Smart, Lamar Jackson,

662
00:28:19,400 --> 00:28:22,640
Speaker 4: brock Bauers, or even multi touchdowns for Trey McBride.

663
00:28:23,119 --> 00:28:26,119
Speaker 1: Fun, fat, guys. I know you like fun facts. So

664
00:28:26,600 --> 00:28:30,280
Speaker 1: there's two games on the slate where there's any time

665
00:28:30,320 --> 00:28:32,680
Speaker 1: touchdown scores that are all in the plus money. Do

666
00:28:32,680 --> 00:28:34,359
Speaker 1: you want to guess what those two games might be?

667
00:28:35,200 --> 00:28:38,720
Speaker 1: So no minus, So there's no expectations. I feel like

668
00:28:38,840 --> 00:28:41,920
Speaker 1: Vegas is silently telling us, maybe you should take the

669
00:28:42,040 --> 00:28:44,280
Speaker 1: unders in these games. I'm just saying I think it's

670
00:28:44,360 --> 00:28:47,040
Speaker 1: kind of interesting. You rarely see that that, like one

671
00:28:47,080 --> 00:28:49,160
Speaker 1: guy is not in the minus or at least even money,

672
00:28:49,400 --> 00:28:51,000
Speaker 1: they're all in the plus money. You want to take

673
00:28:51,040 --> 00:28:51,640
Speaker 1: a guest.

674
00:28:51,480 --> 00:28:56,760
Speaker 5: Here, I am going to say, ooh, this is really tough.

675
00:28:56,960 --> 00:28:58,560
Speaker 1: Just think it's fun. This is just fun at the

676
00:28:58,640 --> 00:29:01,720
Speaker 1: end of the show, all right, Jaguars, Jets, Jaguars is

677
00:29:01,720 --> 00:29:05,720
Speaker 1: one of them. Jaguars plus one thirty DeVante Adams is

678
00:29:05,760 --> 00:29:07,880
Speaker 1: the best one you get. No, it's not the Broncos

679
00:29:08,000 --> 00:29:10,239
Speaker 1: right now anyway as a record.

680
00:29:11,000 --> 00:29:15,200
Speaker 3: Not can't be, can't be Steel's Eagles, No, no.

681
00:29:15,200 --> 00:29:17,640
Speaker 5: Hey, Patriots, Cardinals, now Connor's.

682
00:29:17,520 --> 00:29:22,920
Speaker 1: No, No, it's actually Brown's and Kansas City Chiefs. Everybody's

683
00:29:22,920 --> 00:29:25,360
Speaker 1: in the plus money on that one. Interesting, So the

684
00:29:25,400 --> 00:29:27,560
Speaker 1: best one is Pacheco plus one twenty.

685
00:29:27,760 --> 00:29:29,640
Speaker 5: Yeah, that's really clear. Okay, that's the.

686
00:29:29,680 --> 00:29:32,080
Speaker 1: Lowest of the of the I just thought that was

687
00:29:32,120 --> 00:29:34,880
Speaker 1: really odd. Typically there's only always one guy and if

688
00:29:34,920 --> 00:29:36,400
Speaker 1: you get a game like that, Okay, maybe you get

689
00:29:36,400 --> 00:29:39,240
Speaker 1: one game like that where everyone's a plus, but not too. Honestly,

690
00:29:39,280 --> 00:29:40,800
Speaker 1: it's typically an odd thing.

691
00:29:40,960 --> 00:29:45,200
Speaker 3: So yeah, that seems uh fishy Verry sauce, very saus

692
00:29:45,320 --> 00:29:47,000
Speaker 3: So Travis kell is gonna score this week? Then I

693
00:29:47,040 --> 00:29:49,080
Speaker 3: guess he asked he has to score.

694
00:29:49,560 --> 00:29:53,680
Speaker 4: Need Andre Hopkins to go absolutely ballistic. Shout out to

695
00:29:53,720 --> 00:29:56,640
Speaker 4: Derek Brown who has me laddering DeAndre Hopkins this week.

696
00:29:56,920 --> 00:29:58,400
Speaker 1: Well, I mean weather, it could be an issue in

697
00:29:58,400 --> 00:30:01,480
Speaker 1: that one, so just pay attention before I bet it. Well,

698
00:30:01,560 --> 00:30:03,280
Speaker 1: you gotta sit your line alerts over on the Betting

699
00:30:03,280 --> 00:30:05,640
Speaker 1: Pros app and again download that bad boy, subscribe to

700
00:30:05,640 --> 00:30:07,400
Speaker 1: the Betting Pros podcast wherever you get your pods and

701
00:30:07,440 --> 00:30:10,200
Speaker 1: of course our YouTube channel as well. That's what you do,

702
00:30:10,240 --> 00:30:12,120
Speaker 1: and drop your comments below. What are your favorite prop

703
00:30:12,120 --> 00:30:14,040
Speaker 1: bets for Week fifteen? That I'll do it for us

704
00:30:14,080 --> 00:30:17,000
Speaker 1: those are hours, but the story of the game goes

705
00:30:17,040 --> 00:30:19,040
Speaker 1: on for the Welsh and the Undertaker. I'm Joey P.

706
00:30:19,600 --> 00:30:22,800
Speaker 1: We'll see you next time. Kids. Thanks for listening to

707
00:30:22,880 --> 00:30:24,160
Speaker 1: the Betting Pros podcast.

708
00:30:24,400 --> 00:30:26,800
Speaker 6: If you love the show, the best freeway to support

709
00:30:26,840 --> 00:30:28,920
Speaker 6: us is by leaving a positive review on.

710
00:30:28,840 --> 00:30:30,480
Speaker 1: Apple Podcasts or Spotify.

711
00:30:30,760 --> 00:30:33,400
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712
00:30:33,480 --> 00:30:35,360
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713
00:30:35,760 --> 00:30:37,560
Speaker 5: Also subscribe to our YouTube channel

714
00:30:37,640 --> 00:30:45,360
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