1 00:00:05,840 --> 00:00:08,399 Speaker 1: Welcome and everybody to Fantasy pros MLB. It's time to 2 00:00:08,440 --> 00:00:10,960 Speaker 1: talk some trades. It's me joeyp Jo Pi's Apia with me. 3 00:00:11,039 --> 00:00:14,240 Speaker 1: Of course is the Welsh, and of course sometimes we 4 00:00:14,400 --> 00:00:16,799 Speaker 1: like to buy players just on principle. We've done that 5 00:00:16,840 --> 00:00:19,320 Speaker 1: a few times. Last week we talked about Corey Sieger. 6 00:00:19,360 --> 00:00:22,400 Speaker 1: But it's not just the veterans. Sometimes it's the youth 7 00:00:22,440 --> 00:00:25,520 Speaker 1: of America as well. We get spoiled with these prospects 8 00:00:25,600 --> 00:00:28,440 Speaker 1: when they don't hit right away. We're like Veruka in 9 00:00:28,520 --> 00:00:31,720 Speaker 1: Willy Wonka. I want it now. Father. You can't always 10 00:00:31,720 --> 00:00:35,040 Speaker 1: have what you want any no. I brought up a 11 00:00:35,120 --> 00:00:38,160 Speaker 1: prospect and I wanted to hit five hundred right away. 12 00:00:38,680 --> 00:00:41,400 Speaker 1: It doesn't happen that way. But if you're patient, perhaps 13 00:00:41,479 --> 00:00:44,320 Speaker 1: you get that Nick Kurtz bounce, and we both want 14 00:00:44,360 --> 00:00:47,320 Speaker 1: that out of Roman Anthony. Roman Anthony has been struggle 15 00:00:47,320 --> 00:00:49,680 Speaker 1: bus at the big league so far, hitting one twenty 16 00:00:49,760 --> 00:00:52,479 Speaker 1: eight with a five sixty two OPS. But let's not 17 00:00:52,640 --> 00:00:54,640 Speaker 1: forget at Triple A this year he was hitting two 18 00:00:54,720 --> 00:00:57,120 Speaker 1: eighty eight with a nine to fourteen OPS. And he's 19 00:00:57,160 --> 00:00:59,800 Speaker 1: a really good hitter. So once again, well she comes 20 00:00:59,840 --> 00:01:03,680 Speaker 1: down to probably folks might have either drafted and stashed 21 00:01:03,680 --> 00:01:05,960 Speaker 1: this guy, spent a lot of fab on this guy. 22 00:01:06,000 --> 00:01:09,840 Speaker 1: They haven't gotten results. The pressure is on, and maybe 23 00:01:10,080 --> 00:01:12,080 Speaker 1: all of a sudden there's a window to buy when 24 00:01:12,080 --> 00:01:14,600 Speaker 1: somebody's been too impatient with Roman Anthony. I think there 25 00:01:14,680 --> 00:01:16,440 Speaker 1: is that window, and I want them on my team 26 00:01:16,480 --> 00:01:18,759 Speaker 1: still because I believe in Roman Anthony and I believe 27 00:01:18,800 --> 00:01:20,400 Speaker 1: in where they're hitting him in the order. What say 28 00:01:20,480 --> 00:01:23,640 Speaker 1: you to buying low on a big prospect in baseball 29 00:01:23,680 --> 00:01:24,880 Speaker 1: who's now with the big club. 30 00:01:25,240 --> 00:01:28,080 Speaker 2: I do think there's a justification to end up doing it. 31 00:01:28,600 --> 00:01:31,720 Speaker 2: We're looking at the profile. Fifteen percent barrel rate is 32 00:01:31,760 --> 00:01:34,360 Speaker 2: really great. The sample size is still low. You know, 33 00:01:34,400 --> 00:01:37,160 Speaker 2: we're like under fifty eight bats, but in that time 34 00:01:37,400 --> 00:01:42,800 Speaker 2: great barrel, solid hard hit rate average EVS over ninety one, 35 00:01:42,880 --> 00:01:45,480 Speaker 2: which is really good. Strikeouts, you know, they've been a 36 00:01:45,520 --> 00:01:47,319 Speaker 2: little bit of a problem. One of the things that 37 00:01:47,440 --> 00:01:49,640 Speaker 2: really jumps out to you is the way that he's walking. 38 00:01:49,720 --> 00:01:52,360 Speaker 2: Though he's getting on basis an eighteen percent walk rate, 39 00:01:53,080 --> 00:01:58,200 Speaker 2: dude has walked in five straight games and has what 40 00:01:58,320 --> 00:02:01,080 Speaker 2: is that seven walks in his last five games, So 41 00:02:01,120 --> 00:02:03,960 Speaker 2: I mean he's like, those are the things that are 42 00:02:03,960 --> 00:02:05,840 Speaker 2: going to have pitchers start to adjust to you and 43 00:02:05,920 --> 00:02:07,800 Speaker 2: change to you. They're not getting him to chase in 44 00:02:07,880 --> 00:02:10,359 Speaker 2: certain ways. And then you add that to a profile 45 00:02:10,400 --> 00:02:12,760 Speaker 2: that's like, well, you know, there's some big, hard hitting 46 00:02:12,800 --> 00:02:16,280 Speaker 2: stuff in his game. He's underperforming against fastballs, which I 47 00:02:16,280 --> 00:02:19,120 Speaker 2: think he can bounce back on. I think there's kind 48 00:02:19,120 --> 00:02:21,240 Speaker 2: of a second half buy for Roman Anthony. We don't 49 00:02:21,240 --> 00:02:22,680 Speaker 2: know what this team is going to look like. If 50 00:02:22,720 --> 00:02:25,760 Speaker 2: they dismantle any more pieces, maybe he can move up. 51 00:02:25,680 --> 00:02:26,200 Speaker 1: In the order. 52 00:02:26,960 --> 00:02:30,280 Speaker 2: It's weird to go and buy a post hype prospect 53 00:02:30,320 --> 00:02:32,960 Speaker 2: who's struggling, but in a deeper league. I do think 54 00:02:33,000 --> 00:02:34,480 Speaker 2: it could be kind of a sneaky play to get 55 00:02:34,520 --> 00:02:37,160 Speaker 2: him involved. Dynasty's are kind of a whole nother discussion. 56 00:02:37,200 --> 00:02:39,519 Speaker 2: I also think he's a decent buy in Dynasty, but 57 00:02:39,560 --> 00:02:42,280 Speaker 2: I don't think there's really anything that's come off of 58 00:02:42,320 --> 00:02:44,520 Speaker 2: his value in redraft. You probably have a lot of 59 00:02:44,520 --> 00:02:47,200 Speaker 2: people deciding maybe I should cut him at this point, 60 00:02:47,280 --> 00:02:49,600 Speaker 2: and I think there is a definite bounce back that's 61 00:02:49,639 --> 00:02:50,520 Speaker 2: in his future. 62 00:02:51,320 --> 00:02:54,120 Speaker 1: Speaking of Dynasty buys, what a perfect segue. Well, if 63 00:02:54,160 --> 00:02:57,400 Speaker 1: you're such a professional, look at that. Christian Campbell, the 64 00:02:57,480 --> 00:03:00,519 Speaker 1: teammate or was teammate at certain times of the year. 65 00:03:00,639 --> 00:03:03,800 Speaker 1: Here of a Roman Anthony Christian Campbell got sent out. Look, 66 00:03:03,840 --> 00:03:06,240 Speaker 1: he was brilliant in April, awful in May, get sent 67 00:03:06,320 --> 00:03:08,920 Speaker 1: down in June. It sounds like a song. I don't know, 68 00:03:09,000 --> 00:03:11,040 Speaker 1: but let's not forget in the minor leagues and one 69 00:03:11,120 --> 00:03:13,640 Speaker 1: hundred and thirty nine games he hit three twenty seven, 70 00:03:13,720 --> 00:03:15,720 Speaker 1: four forty with a five to forty nine, slugging a 71 00:03:15,800 --> 00:03:17,880 Speaker 1: nine to eighty nine. Oh ps, he's a really good hitter. 72 00:03:18,120 --> 00:03:20,480 Speaker 1: The league adjusted to him, he didn't adjust back. My 73 00:03:20,600 --> 00:03:23,200 Speaker 1: guess is Welsh. The normal pattern of Christian Campbell goes 74 00:03:23,200 --> 00:03:25,639 Speaker 1: to triple A. You know, maybe after the All Star 75 00:03:25,720 --> 00:03:28,239 Speaker 1: break gets another shot here and that second time around 76 00:03:28,280 --> 00:03:30,560 Speaker 1: is going to be much better. So in redraft leagues, 77 00:03:30,600 --> 00:03:32,000 Speaker 1: I'm sure he's been dropped in a lot of leagues, 78 00:03:32,040 --> 00:03:34,040 Speaker 1: but in deeper ones may be held on to. I 79 00:03:34,040 --> 00:03:36,880 Speaker 1: would look to pry him away, hoping that August and 80 00:03:36,920 --> 00:03:39,840 Speaker 1: September are better months for Christian Campbell, because don't forget, 81 00:03:40,000 --> 00:03:42,240 Speaker 1: the Red Sox made a financial investment in this kid. 82 00:03:42,240 --> 00:03:45,120 Speaker 1: They extended him. Follow the money. It means they believe 83 00:03:45,160 --> 00:03:47,600 Speaker 1: in him. Injuries could happen at any moment too where 84 00:03:47,600 --> 00:03:50,240 Speaker 1: Campbell gets another shot. But I do think leaving him 85 00:03:50,280 --> 00:03:51,760 Speaker 1: in triple A for at least a couple weeks to 86 00:03:51,800 --> 00:03:53,520 Speaker 1: get right is a great idea, and I think he 87 00:03:53,600 --> 00:03:55,720 Speaker 1: will get right based on the kind of player he is. 88 00:03:55,960 --> 00:03:58,480 Speaker 1: So whether it's redraft in deeper leagues or even dynasty leagues, 89 00:03:58,480 --> 00:04:01,080 Speaker 1: I think Christian Campbell right now, for me personally, this 90 00:04:01,160 --> 00:04:03,480 Speaker 1: is when you buy because I think the profile is 91 00:04:03,480 --> 00:04:05,720 Speaker 1: still really good and I think the upside is still there. 92 00:04:06,360 --> 00:04:09,680 Speaker 2: Secret sauce in dynasty. Not all dynasty leagues, you know, 93 00:04:09,760 --> 00:04:12,040 Speaker 2: work like this, But if you're in a league where 94 00:04:12,200 --> 00:04:15,200 Speaker 2: you got just anxious owners and stuff like that, that 95 00:04:15,240 --> 00:04:17,920 Speaker 2: you have this great prospect who struggles and this isn't 96 00:04:17,920 --> 00:04:19,760 Speaker 2: like the Roman Anthony one. This is he was up 97 00:04:19,880 --> 00:04:22,720 Speaker 2: up and then when sent down, it's a prime opportunity 98 00:04:22,760 --> 00:04:24,240 Speaker 2: to see if you can go and get that and 99 00:04:24,279 --> 00:04:26,080 Speaker 2: you can go and buy on him. It doesn't always 100 00:04:26,120 --> 00:04:28,599 Speaker 2: work because you got you know, really savvy owners that nope, 101 00:04:28,680 --> 00:04:31,400 Speaker 2: not willing to knowing prospects take some time, but like 102 00:04:31,480 --> 00:04:34,040 Speaker 2: I'm in complete agreement on this one. He was Minor 103 00:04:34,120 --> 00:04:37,440 Speaker 2: League Player of the Month in April. Hit two eighty seven, 104 00:04:37,520 --> 00:04:40,200 Speaker 2: Like he showed off this really good ability to hit 105 00:04:40,240 --> 00:04:42,400 Speaker 2: early on, and then he fell into some slumps while 106 00:04:42,440 --> 00:04:44,960 Speaker 2: they were having him move his position. He had you know, 107 00:04:45,040 --> 00:04:47,320 Speaker 2: not to be ruffield. Ever's in this and like you 108 00:04:47,360 --> 00:04:49,279 Speaker 2: don't do it in season, but you know, there was 109 00:04:49,320 --> 00:04:51,480 Speaker 2: just a lot this team was asking of him. He 110 00:04:51,560 --> 00:04:54,360 Speaker 2: struggled with the secondary stuff against like breaking and off 111 00:04:54,400 --> 00:04:56,919 Speaker 2: speed pitches. He was kind of a fastball hitter. I 112 00:04:56,920 --> 00:04:59,279 Speaker 2: think they're gonna retool, get the confidence back up. This 113 00:04:59,360 --> 00:05:02,560 Speaker 2: is a guy that you know made the team. He 114 00:05:02,640 --> 00:05:05,640 Speaker 2: succeeded early and then he struggled. They're going to let 115 00:05:05,680 --> 00:05:08,599 Speaker 2: him reset, get the positional stuff maybe every single day. 116 00:05:08,600 --> 00:05:11,000 Speaker 2: His big focus doesn't need to be playing some other position. 117 00:05:11,360 --> 00:05:13,599 Speaker 2: They're going to clear out some roster space on here, 118 00:05:13,960 --> 00:05:16,919 Speaker 2: and none of that actually matters for Dynasty. That's all 119 00:05:17,200 --> 00:05:20,599 Speaker 2: just conjecture of this season. What a great situation you 120 00:05:20,640 --> 00:05:22,880 Speaker 2: can be in if you kind of stink a little bit. 121 00:05:23,160 --> 00:05:24,880 Speaker 2: Is like, if you have a great team, there's a 122 00:05:25,040 --> 00:05:28,359 Speaker 2: high team that is, you know, making a playoff push, 123 00:05:28,360 --> 00:05:30,640 Speaker 2: and you are maybe building or playing for next year, 124 00:05:30,839 --> 00:05:34,240 Speaker 2: and they have Campbell, it's a perfect opportunity to sell 125 00:05:34,279 --> 00:05:36,919 Speaker 2: some pieces that help someone now buy on Campbell to 126 00:05:36,920 --> 00:05:39,919 Speaker 2: an owner that's frustrated. There's just a lot of a 127 00:05:39,960 --> 00:05:42,080 Speaker 2: lot of pieces in there of why a trade can 128 00:05:42,120 --> 00:05:43,839 Speaker 2: make sense, or at least why you can do some 129 00:05:44,000 --> 00:05:46,680 Speaker 2: exploratory looking at Christian Campbell in Dynasty. 130 00:05:47,320 --> 00:05:50,280 Speaker 1: A quick correction before the YouTube comments come out of 131 00:05:50,279 --> 00:05:53,200 Speaker 1: the woodwork. He was Rookie of the Year in April, 132 00:05:53,279 --> 00:05:57,360 Speaker 1: not Minor League player of April. So I hear you, Yeah, 133 00:05:57,640 --> 00:06:00,000 Speaker 1: I see how he says. It's okay. I don't apologize. 134 00:06:00,200 --> 00:06:03,479 Speaker 1: I'm fluent in Welsh. Okay, some people still are learning 135 00:06:03,480 --> 00:06:05,600 Speaker 1: the language. I have my dual lingos and for Spanish. 136 00:06:05,720 --> 00:06:09,240 Speaker 2: I was thinking he was the Minor League player of 137 00:06:09,240 --> 00:06:13,240 Speaker 2: the year last year and all of baseball. That got 138 00:06:13,279 --> 00:06:14,720 Speaker 2: into my brain here, yes. 139 00:06:14,720 --> 00:06:16,360 Speaker 1: Mind it in there. I love it all right. One 140 00:06:16,360 --> 00:06:18,159 Speaker 1: more thing you should combine into your brain is the 141 00:06:18,160 --> 00:06:20,800 Speaker 1: performance of Edward Cabrera the last two months, because it's 142 00:06:20,839 --> 00:06:23,240 Speaker 1: been awesome. As bad as it was in April, where 143 00:06:23,240 --> 00:06:25,159 Speaker 1: he had a seven four to two ERA, if you 144 00:06:25,160 --> 00:06:27,360 Speaker 1: go look at the month of May, in five starts, 145 00:06:27,400 --> 00:06:30,120 Speaker 1: he was two and zero with twenty eight strikeouts and 146 00:06:30,200 --> 00:06:32,200 Speaker 1: eight walks, a two ERA and a one point one 147 00:06:32,320 --> 00:06:35,360 Speaker 1: nine whip so far in June over three starts, thirteen innings, 148 00:06:35,440 --> 00:06:39,600 Speaker 1: fifteen strikeouts, seven walks, a two seven five ERA. Basically 149 00:06:39,760 --> 00:06:42,960 Speaker 1: since April he's been a two point five ERA pitcher. 150 00:06:43,200 --> 00:06:45,680 Speaker 1: And there's a chance Edward Cabrera could end up somewhere else. 151 00:06:45,720 --> 00:06:48,320 Speaker 1: I know he's still controllable, but the Marlins are the Marlins. 152 00:06:48,360 --> 00:06:49,960 Speaker 1: They don't make a lot of good decisions, and at 153 00:06:49,960 --> 00:06:52,640 Speaker 1: any point Edward Cabrera could be somebody that another team 154 00:06:52,760 --> 00:06:55,920 Speaker 1: is looking at. But regardless, Welsh, this turnaround has been 155 00:06:56,040 --> 00:06:58,400 Speaker 1: exquisite and I think he is still a guy you 156 00:06:58,440 --> 00:07:01,720 Speaker 1: could probably buy, considering his ERA is sitting at three 157 00:07:01,760 --> 00:07:03,839 Speaker 1: eight one. Yeah, he's been really good the last couple 158 00:07:03,839 --> 00:07:06,320 Speaker 1: of months, But I wonder if fantasy managers are even 159 00:07:06,320 --> 00:07:10,160 Speaker 1: noticing sometimes because the negativity always attached with Cabrera. To me, 160 00:07:10,240 --> 00:07:13,480 Speaker 1: this is the perfect sneaky purchase right now while the 161 00:07:13,560 --> 00:07:16,240 Speaker 1: last six seven starts have been really great for him, 162 00:07:16,560 --> 00:07:18,520 Speaker 1: and who knows if he ends up on a contending team, 163 00:07:18,560 --> 00:07:19,320 Speaker 1: how goold he could be. 164 00:07:19,800 --> 00:07:21,760 Speaker 2: I'd really love him if he was on another team. 165 00:07:22,240 --> 00:07:24,280 Speaker 2: I don't know if I'm as confident as you in 166 00:07:24,520 --> 00:07:27,760 Speaker 2: buying him in a world that speculates he's gonna be 167 00:07:27,840 --> 00:07:29,840 Speaker 2: like Sandy I think is going to get traded regardless 168 00:07:29,840 --> 00:07:31,920 Speaker 2: of what they're telling us right now. Thanks, Andy's gonna 169 00:07:31,920 --> 00:07:34,040 Speaker 2: get moved. That gives me a little bit more confidence. 170 00:07:34,280 --> 00:07:36,960 Speaker 2: I'm just not sure Edward Cabrera does. That doesn't mean 171 00:07:36,960 --> 00:07:39,240 Speaker 2: like what he's not doing isn't you know, solid like 172 00:07:39,280 --> 00:07:42,320 Speaker 2: he is putting up like two fantastic months. One thing 173 00:07:42,360 --> 00:07:45,000 Speaker 2: that's really weird about the Marlins of noticing it seems 174 00:07:45,040 --> 00:07:48,119 Speaker 2: like there's some like organizational change because you had these guys. 175 00:07:48,120 --> 00:07:50,600 Speaker 2: You had Sandy al Contra, who's like a big, primary, 176 00:07:50,720 --> 00:07:54,000 Speaker 2: high usage change up guy, and you had Cabrera last 177 00:07:54,080 --> 00:07:56,160 Speaker 2: year who threw his change up thirty three percent of 178 00:07:56,160 --> 00:07:58,880 Speaker 2: the time number one pitch. It's still his number one pitch, 179 00:07:59,040 --> 00:08:00,960 Speaker 2: but the usage is down to twenty four. So what 180 00:08:00,960 --> 00:08:02,560 Speaker 2: I'm saying is you got these guys with these great 181 00:08:02,640 --> 00:08:05,880 Speaker 2: changeups that they're lowering the usages of which I don't 182 00:08:05,960 --> 00:08:08,520 Speaker 2: understand why. It has made him a little bit Edward 183 00:08:08,560 --> 00:08:10,840 Speaker 2: Cabrera a little bit more successful this year, higher with 184 00:08:11,040 --> 00:08:14,360 Speaker 2: rates on his curveball and slider as those look like 185 00:08:14,440 --> 00:08:17,360 Speaker 2: at least his slider usage has gone way up curve 186 00:08:17,440 --> 00:08:19,200 Speaker 2: is about the same. I guess what I'm getting at 187 00:08:19,520 --> 00:08:20,960 Speaker 2: is it seems like there might be a little bit 188 00:08:20,960 --> 00:08:23,960 Speaker 2: of an organizational like pitching change, and I wonder the 189 00:08:24,080 --> 00:08:26,240 Speaker 2: long term effects of that. I just don't want to 190 00:08:26,280 --> 00:08:28,760 Speaker 2: edit Cabrera with the Marlins. I'm cool with buying him 191 00:08:28,760 --> 00:08:30,520 Speaker 2: because I think his name value, like you said, is 192 00:08:30,560 --> 00:08:32,959 Speaker 2: pretty pretty low right now, and he's performing at a 193 00:08:33,000 --> 00:08:34,720 Speaker 2: high clip. I would love it if he was on 194 00:08:34,760 --> 00:08:36,640 Speaker 2: another team. I'm just not sold that's going to happen. 195 00:08:36,720 --> 00:08:38,800 Speaker 2: But you know, if he can be had for kind 196 00:08:38,800 --> 00:08:41,800 Speaker 2: of next to nothing because of his team context, we're there. 197 00:08:41,880 --> 00:08:45,000 Speaker 2: But long term, I have some questions about Cabrera, all right. 198 00:08:45,000 --> 00:08:46,840 Speaker 1: Before we get to the guys to sell, don't forget 199 00:08:46,840 --> 00:08:49,319 Speaker 1: to use the trade analyzer. If you want to instantly 200 00:08:49,440 --> 00:08:52,760 Speaker 1: evaluate trades and how they benefit your team, make sure 201 00:08:52,800 --> 00:08:54,960 Speaker 1: you're using the trade analyzes are only available at Fantasy 202 00:08:54,960 --> 00:08:58,679 Speaker 1: Pros Baseball My Playbook or Fantasypros dot Com slash MLB 203 00:08:58,760 --> 00:09:01,120 Speaker 1: My Playbook. The Trade Analot is the tool you need 204 00:09:01,400 --> 00:09:04,240 Speaker 1: to make inform trade decisions, So download the Fantasy Baseball 205 00:09:04,280 --> 00:09:06,600 Speaker 1: Might Playbook app wherever you get your apps, and use 206 00:09:06,679 --> 00:09:10,240 Speaker 1: the trade analyzer. In all of your deals today sell high. 207 00:09:10,280 --> 00:09:12,080 Speaker 1: The first one, again is more of a principal thing. 208 00:09:12,160 --> 00:09:14,560 Speaker 1: I love the player. I know Welsh does too. Jeremy 209 00:09:14,559 --> 00:09:16,800 Speaker 1: Penney has had a great season, hitting three twenty six 210 00:09:16,840 --> 00:09:18,920 Speaker 1: on the year, and over his last thirty games he's 211 00:09:18,960 --> 00:09:22,880 Speaker 1: hitting over three sixty. I just think that's gonna come 212 00:09:22,920 --> 00:09:24,360 Speaker 1: back down to earth a little bit. I don't think 213 00:09:24,400 --> 00:09:27,400 Speaker 1: he's a three to sixty hitter necessarily, but it's been 214 00:09:27,400 --> 00:09:30,000 Speaker 1: a great run for him. Regardless. I'm not selling him 215 00:09:30,000 --> 00:09:32,760 Speaker 1: for nothing, Welsh, but looking at right now where he 216 00:09:32,920 --> 00:09:35,560 Speaker 1: is in terms of trajectory, do I think he's gonna 217 00:09:35,559 --> 00:09:38,760 Speaker 1: slug five sixty six like he has over the last 218 00:09:38,760 --> 00:09:41,400 Speaker 1: thirty days. I don't know about that. I think that 219 00:09:41,679 --> 00:09:43,320 Speaker 1: maybe we get a little bit of a letdown here, 220 00:09:43,440 --> 00:09:46,520 Speaker 1: especially the longer Alvarez is not in that lineup, the 221 00:09:46,559 --> 00:09:48,800 Speaker 1: less protection there is. I think eventually people start looking 222 00:09:48,840 --> 00:09:51,360 Speaker 1: at pana is, let's not let that guy beat us, 223 00:09:51,679 --> 00:09:53,520 Speaker 1: and I think things might come down to earth. So again, 224 00:09:53,559 --> 00:09:55,559 Speaker 1: this is just a matter of regression, not trying to 225 00:09:55,559 --> 00:09:57,680 Speaker 1: give him away, but this is his peak value, So 226 00:09:57,720 --> 00:10:00,160 Speaker 1: on principle, I'm at least shopping him to see what 227 00:10:00,160 --> 00:10:01,720 Speaker 1: I might be able to bring back from my squad. 228 00:10:02,120 --> 00:10:04,760 Speaker 2: This is a tough one for me because I don't 229 00:10:04,840 --> 00:10:07,120 Speaker 2: disagree with what you're saying. I do not believe he's 230 00:10:07,160 --> 00:10:10,600 Speaker 2: gonna end the year as a three thirty hitter and 231 00:10:10,760 --> 00:10:13,079 Speaker 2: he's just gonna keep building and building. I think this 232 00:10:13,280 --> 00:10:16,520 Speaker 2: regret regression is like it's gonna come in right. 233 00:10:16,600 --> 00:10:21,520 Speaker 1: But my pitching staff sure, but what does regression look like? 234 00:10:21,600 --> 00:10:26,120 Speaker 2: Sometime regression looks like complete failure, and sometimes regression is 235 00:10:26,559 --> 00:10:29,320 Speaker 2: just tiny little bitty bits and it doesn't really affect. 236 00:10:29,320 --> 00:10:32,200 Speaker 2: So my point is, is the number one ward shortstop, 237 00:10:32,400 --> 00:10:35,679 Speaker 2: his name value is really high. If somebody wants to 238 00:10:35,720 --> 00:10:39,840 Speaker 2: pay for him as this three almost thirty hitter and 239 00:10:40,440 --> 00:10:42,200 Speaker 2: you know he's gonna hit twenty five and he's gonna 240 00:10:42,200 --> 00:10:44,360 Speaker 2: steal thirty and he's gonna be a second round player, 241 00:10:44,679 --> 00:10:47,720 Speaker 2: and someone wants to pay at a really, really high cost, 242 00:10:48,240 --> 00:10:50,800 Speaker 2: I am gonna listen. But the idea to trade him 243 00:10:50,800 --> 00:10:55,199 Speaker 2: because he's gonna regress makes him less valuable. I just 244 00:10:55,280 --> 00:10:57,079 Speaker 2: don't think the reg I don't think the regression is 245 00:10:57,120 --> 00:11:00,719 Speaker 2: going to decimate the awesome value in the production you're 246 00:11:00,720 --> 00:11:03,400 Speaker 2: gonna get. So if it's like Jeremy Paani. I'll give 247 00:11:03,400 --> 00:11:04,959 Speaker 2: you a little bit more for him. I'm trying to 248 00:11:04,960 --> 00:11:08,040 Speaker 2: think of like good proper names and trades. I just 249 00:11:08,120 --> 00:11:10,920 Speaker 2: don't think regardless of how valuable he is in real baseball, 250 00:11:10,960 --> 00:11:13,240 Speaker 2: it's like top five in war in Baseball, number one 251 00:11:13,240 --> 00:11:16,880 Speaker 2: shortstop war type with Bobby Wait Junior. He's incredible. I 252 00:11:16,920 --> 00:11:20,160 Speaker 2: just don't know the trade numbers that are gonna come 253 00:11:20,240 --> 00:11:22,840 Speaker 2: your way are gonna make sense regardless of whatever that 254 00:11:22,880 --> 00:11:25,160 Speaker 2: regression looks like, because you know his hitting profile. 255 00:11:26,160 --> 00:11:27,560 Speaker 1: It's just better across the board. 256 00:11:27,600 --> 00:11:29,880 Speaker 2: He's striking out less, he's walking more, he's making higher 257 00:11:29,960 --> 00:11:32,800 Speaker 2: quality of contact. He's hitting over three hundred against breaking 258 00:11:32,840 --> 00:11:35,599 Speaker 2: and ospeed pitches, and he is pulling the ball a 259 00:11:35,640 --> 00:11:38,000 Speaker 2: little bit more. So that regression might be he doesn't 260 00:11:38,040 --> 00:11:40,640 Speaker 2: hit three thirty, but he hits two ninety, and two 261 00:11:40,679 --> 00:11:42,959 Speaker 2: ninety is still really, really valuable. So I got to 262 00:11:43,000 --> 00:11:45,240 Speaker 2: get a haul if I'm gonna consider Jamie Penia. So 263 00:11:45,559 --> 00:11:48,520 Speaker 2: I'm pushing back on this one kind of on my principle, 264 00:11:48,559 --> 00:11:49,840 Speaker 2: but it makes sense. 265 00:11:50,120 --> 00:11:52,720 Speaker 1: You're sevninety, He's got to hit a drop off now 266 00:11:52,720 --> 00:11:55,280 Speaker 1: with thirty points. Yeah, that's like that's gonna be tough. 267 00:11:55,440 --> 00:11:57,160 Speaker 1: But that's gonna take his toll on your fantasy team 268 00:11:57,160 --> 00:11:58,440 Speaker 1: if you have him during that stretches. 269 00:11:58,480 --> 00:12:01,080 Speaker 2: But if that's two ninety, okay, But if that two 270 00:12:01,120 --> 00:12:03,720 Speaker 2: to ninety is like he just hits for more power, 271 00:12:03,840 --> 00:12:05,880 Speaker 2: but the batting average goes down and stuff, that's what 272 00:12:06,040 --> 00:12:08,400 Speaker 2: it could happen. But again, you were talking about a 273 00:12:08,400 --> 00:12:11,400 Speaker 2: three thirty, double digit homer and stolen based guy, and 274 00:12:11,440 --> 00:12:13,559 Speaker 2: you can sell war on people. If you can do it, 275 00:12:14,200 --> 00:12:16,199 Speaker 2: you should. You should listen because the best parts of 276 00:12:16,240 --> 00:12:18,080 Speaker 2: Jeremy Pinion may have already happened this season. 277 00:12:18,240 --> 00:12:20,880 Speaker 1: All right, Jonathan Ronda's best parts have definitely been at 278 00:12:20,880 --> 00:12:23,000 Speaker 1: home this year. Three sixty nine batting average with a 279 00:12:23,040 --> 00:12:26,080 Speaker 1: nine to sixty one OPS on the road two fifty 280 00:12:26,200 --> 00:12:30,160 Speaker 1: five batting average, much different player a seven ninety seven OPS. 281 00:12:30,160 --> 00:12:33,360 Speaker 1: That's a huge chasm, almost two hundred points difference there. 282 00:12:33,600 --> 00:12:36,640 Speaker 1: So let's talk about Jonathan Ronda because the Rays are 283 00:12:36,640 --> 00:12:38,560 Speaker 1: gonna be road warriors this summer based on the way 284 00:12:38,640 --> 00:12:40,880 Speaker 1: schedule has been laid out here in the July and 285 00:12:40,920 --> 00:12:43,800 Speaker 1: August period, that could be a problem for Ronda. Again, 286 00:12:43,880 --> 00:12:45,800 Speaker 1: maybe we've seen the best of him, so far in 287 00:12:45,840 --> 00:12:48,559 Speaker 1: twenty twenty five at the front end of the season. Welsh, 288 00:12:48,559 --> 00:12:48,880 Speaker 1: what do you. 289 00:12:48,800 --> 00:12:50,360 Speaker 2: Think, Yeah, I'm with you on this one. 290 00:12:50,440 --> 00:12:50,640 Speaker 1: Yeah. 291 00:12:50,640 --> 00:12:53,520 Speaker 2: The interesting thing was it felt very platoony with him 292 00:12:53,520 --> 00:12:56,400 Speaker 2: as well. That might be gone because he technically it's 293 00:12:56,400 --> 00:12:58,600 Speaker 2: a very short sample size only like fifty at bats 294 00:12:58,640 --> 00:13:01,040 Speaker 2: he's had against lefties, but he is too eighty against 295 00:13:01,080 --> 00:13:04,319 Speaker 2: lefties this year. But of note, there isn't really a 296 00:13:04,400 --> 00:13:06,160 Speaker 2: lot of impact. So like even if you were to 297 00:13:06,160 --> 00:13:08,480 Speaker 2: start playing a few more games, he has no homers 298 00:13:08,840 --> 00:13:13,199 Speaker 2: versus lefties. He has almost no doubles. It's actually kind 299 00:13:13,200 --> 00:13:15,640 Speaker 2: of crazy with the numbers. Look down there, batting average 300 00:13:15,720 --> 00:13:17,480 Speaker 2: drops a little bit, and then you do have this 301 00:13:17,520 --> 00:13:20,320 Speaker 2: really dramatic home road split. This is one of those 302 00:13:20,360 --> 00:13:23,839 Speaker 2: where it's like if Jonathan Ronda becomes a two eighty 303 00:13:23,880 --> 00:13:27,199 Speaker 2: two seventy hitter, he doesn't have enough really impact, you know, 304 00:13:27,240 --> 00:13:29,280 Speaker 2: like we're talking about like you know, Jeremy Pania or 305 00:13:29,320 --> 00:13:32,000 Speaker 2: just a lot of other players. The impactful stats I'm 306 00:13:32,040 --> 00:13:34,480 Speaker 2: not sure gonna look super great. They are still playing platoon, 307 00:13:35,000 --> 00:13:38,040 Speaker 2: little platoony with him that, yeah, I think with how 308 00:13:38,120 --> 00:13:41,719 Speaker 2: high he just ranks everywhere because the websites that you 309 00:13:41,720 --> 00:13:44,480 Speaker 2: guys play on they kind of overvaluate batting average if 310 00:13:44,480 --> 00:13:46,680 Speaker 2: you're in category sometimes, so you know, like Jacob Wilson 311 00:13:46,720 --> 00:13:49,200 Speaker 2: becomes like a top fifteen player, but Hornda hitting three 312 00:13:49,280 --> 00:13:51,560 Speaker 2: twenty five, he's going to rank really high. He's got 313 00:13:51,600 --> 00:13:54,480 Speaker 2: a high batting average, he's got some homers. If you 314 00:13:54,520 --> 00:13:56,400 Speaker 2: go to fangrafts, war is going to rank. And my 315 00:13:56,440 --> 00:13:58,520 Speaker 2: point is is he's just kind of high up there 316 00:13:58,679 --> 00:14:00,560 Speaker 2: that I think you can sell off him. And I 317 00:14:00,640 --> 00:14:03,280 Speaker 2: don't hate this at all from him not playing versus 318 00:14:03,440 --> 00:14:06,000 Speaker 2: lefties and playing more on the road that if I 319 00:14:06,000 --> 00:14:08,079 Speaker 2: think I would get out from Jonathan Ronde, even though 320 00:14:08,080 --> 00:14:09,520 Speaker 2: he has been very consistent all year. 321 00:14:10,320 --> 00:14:12,480 Speaker 1: All right, let's talk about one more guy that is 322 00:14:12,520 --> 00:14:14,920 Speaker 1: on his way back and returning for the Cubs, and 323 00:14:15,280 --> 00:14:17,160 Speaker 1: Show to a Monaga was great last year. I was 324 00:14:17,200 --> 00:14:19,000 Speaker 1: a big supporter of his. But I always say that 325 00:14:19,240 --> 00:14:21,280 Speaker 1: when a guy's returning from an injury, Welsh, that's when 326 00:14:21,280 --> 00:14:23,120 Speaker 1: his value was at its peak, right because he hasn't 327 00:14:23,160 --> 00:14:27,000 Speaker 1: really done anything yet. He's all just hope and glory 328 00:14:27,040 --> 00:14:29,760 Speaker 1: and everything is just rosy right now. But everything wasn't 329 00:14:29,840 --> 00:14:32,440 Speaker 1: rosy for show Toy Moanaga before he went on the IL. 330 00:14:32,440 --> 00:14:34,640 Speaker 1: Over his first forty four innings of the season, he 331 00:14:34,760 --> 00:14:37,320 Speaker 1: was pretty rough. His kper nine was at six' eighty, 332 00:14:37,400 --> 00:14:40,960 Speaker 1: five way lower than last year's nine. Mark his walks 333 00:14:40,960 --> 00:14:43,280 Speaker 1: per nine were a two point eight, two way higher 334 00:14:43,280 --> 00:14:45,840 Speaker 1: than last year's one four to five. Mark HIS era 335 00:14:46,040 --> 00:14:47,880 Speaker 1: was a two way two but has expected era was 336 00:14:47,920 --> 00:14:50,440 Speaker 1: four to six. Four he had a four to five 337 00:14:50,680 --> 00:14:53,960 Speaker 1: THREE fip and a four to eight three X. Fip to, 338 00:14:54,040 --> 00:14:56,280 Speaker 1: me if you haven't had A monaga for a, while 339 00:14:56,360 --> 00:14:58,960 Speaker 1: and it's been a while since he's, pitched he has 340 00:14:58,960 --> 00:15:01,080 Speaker 1: a lot of value in the. Trade he pitches for The. 341 00:15:01,120 --> 00:15:02,920 Speaker 1: Cubs he had coming off a great year last. Year 342 00:15:03,360 --> 00:15:05,400 Speaker 1: but if you found The Mizzerrales keys or a couple 343 00:15:05,440 --> 00:15:07,400 Speaker 1: other guys of the waiver, wire The chris Boobage is 344 00:15:07,480 --> 00:15:08,960 Speaker 1: or some guys like that that have really filled the 345 00:15:08,960 --> 00:15:12,000 Speaker 1: spots for you in your, rotation they don't Need. Imanaga 346 00:15:12,440 --> 00:15:14,240 Speaker 1: this is the time to trade. Him based off of 347 00:15:14,280 --> 00:15:16,440 Speaker 1: what he was doing before he went on THE. Il 348 00:15:16,480 --> 00:15:18,240 Speaker 1: what do you think about Dealing imanaga right? 349 00:15:18,280 --> 00:15:20,640 Speaker 2: Now, Yeah i'm kind of open to. THIS i got 350 00:15:20,640 --> 00:15:23,240 Speaker 2: to see him pitch and. Rehab it was one of 351 00:15:23,280 --> 00:15:25,880 Speaker 2: the hottest days, ever out here it was like one 352 00:15:25,960 --> 00:15:28,240 Speaker 2: hundred and eight at like ten, am and he was 353 00:15:28,280 --> 00:15:30,880 Speaker 2: pitching out here in complex and, rehabbing and you, know 354 00:15:30,920 --> 00:15:33,680 Speaker 2: he was, very very efficient going up against these really young, 355 00:15:33,720 --> 00:15:36,520 Speaker 2: guys pitching to a lot of contact, though and you, 356 00:15:36,560 --> 00:15:39,040 Speaker 2: know there was a few really hard hit balls THAT 357 00:15:39,400 --> 00:15:41,200 Speaker 2: i wonder when you start to take that over into 358 00:15:41,200 --> 00:15:44,640 Speaker 2: the major. Leagues what that made me think was maybe 359 00:15:44,640 --> 00:15:47,680 Speaker 2: that low kate percentage was kind of reality to. Him 360 00:15:47,680 --> 00:15:50,320 Speaker 2: and you see those expected er numbers that kind of 361 00:15:50,320 --> 00:15:52,560 Speaker 2: stare at. You if showed To imanaga is a sub 362 00:15:52,680 --> 00:15:56,080 Speaker 2: like twenty to twenty three k percentage. GUY i don't love. 363 00:15:56,120 --> 00:15:58,800 Speaker 2: That i'm not really super excited about. That his walks were. 364 00:15:58,880 --> 00:16:01,960 Speaker 2: Up he's in the expected numbers or up is because 365 00:16:01,960 --> 00:16:04,480 Speaker 2: he was giving up a lot of barreled, contact and 366 00:16:04,840 --> 00:16:08,000 Speaker 2: the expected batting average against the three major pitch types he, 367 00:16:08,080 --> 00:16:10,280 Speaker 2: throws we're all higher than what was actually given. Up 368 00:16:10,320 --> 00:16:13,000 Speaker 2: so there is this weird state of, like you, know 369 00:16:13,160 --> 00:16:15,800 Speaker 2: him kind of expanding in a bad way on his 370 00:16:15,840 --> 00:16:17,840 Speaker 2: stats and getting i don't want to say getting blown, 371 00:16:17,880 --> 00:16:20,440 Speaker 2: up but maybe a tiny. Bit it's actually not a bad. 372 00:16:20,480 --> 00:16:23,480 Speaker 2: Idea there's so many pitching injuries out, There he's about 373 00:16:23,520 --> 00:16:25,520 Speaker 2: to come back on a great. Team people might kind 374 00:16:25,560 --> 00:16:27,520 Speaker 2: of forget some of that and just, go oh, GREAT 375 00:16:27,520 --> 00:16:29,360 Speaker 2: i can get the second half Of. Yamaanaga you might 376 00:16:29,360 --> 00:16:31,440 Speaker 2: be able to get fair value and fair value for Your. 377 00:16:31,440 --> 00:16:33,880 Speaker 2: Monaga has him just moved him up because so many 378 00:16:33,880 --> 00:16:35,840 Speaker 2: pitches have fallen off the? List, YEAH i THINK i 379 00:16:35,880 --> 00:16:39,640 Speaker 2: am definitely open to, consolidating and specifically into the scenario 380 00:16:39,760 --> 00:16:42,920 Speaker 2: you said where you maybe have really hit gold in 381 00:16:43,000 --> 00:16:45,600 Speaker 2: some spots and you have a solid. Rotation maybe you 382 00:16:45,600 --> 00:16:47,560 Speaker 2: could really finish out your team and sell high on 383 00:16:47,600 --> 00:16:49,920 Speaker 2: show To. Imanaga drop your comments. 384 00:16:49,920 --> 00:16:52,480 Speaker 1: Below are you buying or selling show To? Imanaga and 385 00:16:52,520 --> 00:16:55,080 Speaker 1: your comment might just win you a cecil field or 386 00:16:55,120 --> 00:16:58,800 Speaker 1: autograph jersey From Christine. Auction if you subscribe To Fantasy BROWS, 387 00:16:58,880 --> 00:17:01,400 Speaker 1: mlb drop your comment and like this. Video that'll do 388 00:17:01,440 --> 00:17:03,320 Speaker 1: it for, Us but the story of the game goes 389 00:17:03,320 --> 00:17:05,960 Speaker 1: on for The. Welsh I'm JOEY. P we'll see you next. Time. 390 00:17:06,040 --> 00:17:09,280 Speaker 1: Giz thanks for listening to The Fantasy Pros Fantasy baseball. 391 00:17:09,359 --> 00:17:12,199 Speaker 1: Podcast if you love the, show the best freeway to 392 00:17:12,200 --> 00:17:14,920 Speaker 1: support us is by leaving a positive review On Apple 393 00:17:15,000 --> 00:17:19,080 Speaker 1: podcasts Or, spotify follow us on, X, instagram and TikTok 394 00:17:19,119 --> 00:17:21,880 Speaker 1: At Fantasy, pros and subscribe to our YouTube channel at 395 00:17:21,880 --> 00:17:24,479 Speaker 1: YouTube dot Com Slash Fantasy PROS mlb