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Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's down to place

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Speaker 1: your bets, and this meet Joey b Joe Pizapia, and

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Speaker 1: this is VP NFL. It's time to look ahead to

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Speaker 1: the best bets for week eighteen. That's right, Welcome everyone

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Speaker 1: to week eighteen where no one is playing, well, a

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Speaker 1: few people are playing, and the three of us are

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Speaker 1: playing and we're gonna be wagering on it. Drell Ferman Junior,

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Speaker 1: the Undertaker, Andrew Erickson and myself are looking ahead and look,

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Speaker 1: there's opportunity. That's what there is, and hopefully you watch

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Speaker 1: them fun college football yesterday, Terrell, that was one of

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Speaker 1: the best games I think we're gonna see all year

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Speaker 1: for the rest of the twenty twenty five calendar. We

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Speaker 1: got on the first day. It was incredible to watch

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Speaker 1: Texas kept giving them chance after chance, put you still

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Speaker 1: end up getting a victory at the end of the day,

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Speaker 1: even though you let Arizona hang in there. That was

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Speaker 1: super fun. We gotta get ericson watching some more college football. Ericson.

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Speaker 1: You were remarking, this feels like preseason to you, and

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Speaker 1: that means that it feels like opportunity season. That's what

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Speaker 1: it feels like to me. If you know some of

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Speaker 1: the ins and out and some of these teams, especially

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Speaker 1: some of the incentives of certain players in certain situations too,

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Speaker 1: you might be able to do Okay.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I would agree with that, But the Lions also

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Speaker 2: knew that too, Right, There's a reason why we have

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Speaker 2: certain teams favorite in certain spots. And I think the

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Speaker 2: thing that's tough about this is I feel like you

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Speaker 2: can hit the angle right, but we know that there's

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Speaker 2: gonna be a team that has all the motivation in

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Speaker 2: the world to win this week and they're gonna lose

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Speaker 2: outright to a team that's playing for nothing, because that

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Speaker 2: happens every single year, and it's like trying to like,

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Speaker 2: where's that spot.

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Speaker 3: I personally don't.

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Speaker 2: Feel confident about that's particular play this week. I'm not

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Speaker 2: sure if Trelo feels differently, but I don't know. I mean,

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Speaker 2: if it wasn't the Jets, I would honestly say the

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Speaker 2: Jets Dolphins game, that would be the prime spot for it.

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Speaker 2: But I can't recommend somebody betting on the Jets.

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Speaker 4: So oh, here he goes. He's just like just like them,

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Speaker 4: just like those people that just find ways to bet

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Speaker 4: the Jets. That's exactly what the people that bet the

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Speaker 4: Jets would say.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, they find ways to lose every single week. But

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Speaker 1: we're gonna get after it right now and go through

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Speaker 1: some of those games. Don't forget everybody. This's a great

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Speaker 1: time to download the Betting Pros app. What are you

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Speaker 1: doing with you, Tom? You should be downloading the app

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Speaker 1: already for goodness, say get the free trial going all

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Speaker 1: these fun things. Use the premium tools for a couple

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Speaker 1: of days for free. That sounds pretty good to me.

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Speaker 1: So we've got lots of opportunities there. Also, you could

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Speaker 1: join our discord at bettingpros dot com slash chat. We're

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Speaker 1: gonna be doing a lot of content there answering questions

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Speaker 1: there throughout the playoffs, So it's a great time to

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Speaker 1: join the discord as well. Now, Terrell Furman, I know

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Speaker 1: we're gonna start this week. You're gonna start with the

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Speaker 1: Pittsburgh Steelers. Now, you and I haven't seen each other

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Speaker 1: throughout the holidays. We did some Christmas stuff and I

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Speaker 1: talked quite a bit about how you know it's time

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Speaker 1: for Lamar Jackson to beat the Pittsburgh Steelers. Enough is enough.

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Speaker 1: You weren't having it, and then I haven't seen you

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Speaker 1: in weeks, and you didn't think I was gonna forget

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Speaker 1: about it now, did you? Because now we're in a

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Speaker 1: spot where I like the Cincinnati Bengals again and you're

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Speaker 1: telling me about the Pittsburgh Steelers once again, the Steelers

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Speaker 1: winning this game? I say, no, what say you?

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Speaker 4: I would say that the Pittsburgh Steelers lost to the

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Speaker 4: Kansas City Chiefs, who are going to win the Super

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Speaker 4: Bowl this year, and three pete they lost to Lamar Jackson,

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Speaker 4: who should be MVP in that offense, and the Ravens,

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Speaker 4: so you know what, they lightning strikes once like it's

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Speaker 4: not gonna strike twice. And they lost to the Eagles, who,

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Speaker 4: as much as I hate to say it, are actually

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Speaker 4: a good football team. Fine, yes, that was a horrible

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Speaker 4: I don't think anybody has had a three game stretch

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Speaker 4: that was that bad in the NFL. And they lost

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Speaker 4: all three and they played them all in like eleven days,

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Speaker 4: So you know what, perfectly fine. If there's anybody, and

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Speaker 4: I mean anybody that is going to get up for

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Speaker 4: a game at the end of the year that it

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Speaker 4: might mean something, it might not it doesn't really matter.

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Speaker 4: We're gonna go out there and play the game. And

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Speaker 4: when I mean, have you seen hard knocks this season?

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Speaker 4: Do you want to get behind Mike Tomlin or do

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Speaker 4: you want to get behind Zach Taylor? Like that is

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Speaker 4: what you real or is it rhetorical? No, it's rhetorical

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Speaker 4: for you. I want I want the because that's my answer.

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Speaker 4: My answer is I was not see there was no ce.

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Speaker 4: There was no other option fill in the blank. There

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Speaker 4: was either Zach Taylor or Mike Tomlin. And it's not

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Speaker 4: for you. It's for the listeners to say, hey, drop

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Speaker 4: it in the comments. Who do you like more? Just

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Speaker 4: Zach Taylor Mike Tomlin. I'm very very curious on who

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Speaker 4: you would like better. So, yes, this is very very simple.

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Speaker 1: Well, neither of those guys are playing quarterback. So I

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Speaker 1: consulted with the Council of Joe's and I don't know if.

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Speaker 4: You realize counsel of Ricks, just like the Council.

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Speaker 1: Of Rex Baby. And let me tell you something, I

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Speaker 1: don't care if Zach Taylor is Joe Burrow's morty. It

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Speaker 1: doesn't matter to me because Joe Burrow's playing like Rick

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Speaker 1: right now. Joe Burrow has forty two touchdowns and eight

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Speaker 1: picks on the gear. He's playing out of his mind.

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Speaker 1: He was incredible last Saturday against the Denver Broncos, which

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Speaker 1: is a pretty good defensive team. Look, I understand they

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Speaker 1: still got tons of problems, but my problem with the

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Speaker 1: Steelers is I don't think offensively they can really do

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Speaker 1: anything this. I think they've been exposed. I think it's over.

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Speaker 1: I think it was a fun little Russell Wilson moment there,

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Speaker 1: and I kept warning everybody that it wasn't real. And

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Speaker 1: you're right, historically speaking Mike Tomlin in these situations. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: I'm with you. I love Mike Tomlin as a football coach.

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Speaker 1: I just I'm putting my money where the quarterback is

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Speaker 1: right now. The quarterback is in Cincinnati. Ericson, you think

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Speaker 1: that the Steelers are the money line too? Have you

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Speaker 1: all gone crazy?

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Speaker 2: No, because I'm looking at the entire body of work

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Speaker 2: this season and I've seen enough from the offense. With

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Speaker 2: George Pickens again, it was his first week back from

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Speaker 2: his hamstring injury. Now he's been fully another week removed

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Speaker 2: from that injury and win this offense. Cook, When did

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Speaker 2: this team put a forty Burger on. Oh, the same

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Speaker 2: Cincinnati Bengals team on the road. They've already played head

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Speaker 2: to head and the Steelers won on the road, So okay,

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Speaker 2: they're going to be underdogs at home because, oh, the

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Speaker 2: Bengals have to win to maybe make the playoffs and

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Speaker 2: the Steelers they already have their playoff spot. They have

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Speaker 2: nothing to play for. Uh yeah, they do. They win,

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Speaker 2: they get to play the Texans. They'd rather play the

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Speaker 2: Texans in the playoffs. They have to face Baltimore for

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Speaker 2: the third time on the road, So I think there's

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Speaker 2: plenty incentive here. You don't want to go into the

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Speaker 2: playoffs on a four game losing streak. Nonsense, that's not

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Speaker 2: gonna happen with Mike Tomlins squad. Again, historically speaking, Steelers

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Speaker 2: home underdogs. This is spy that you want to back

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Speaker 2: in Pittsburgh Steelers. And the thing I want to point

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Speaker 2: out to about Burrow and this amazing season, this goes

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Speaker 2: back to preseason analysis. Why I like the Bengals a

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Speaker 2: lot as Super Bowl players as Joe Burrow MVP. They

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Speaker 2: had the easiest schedule in the NFL. There's a reason

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Speaker 2: why we've looked up every single week in the Bengals

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Speaker 2: have been like touchdown favorites every single week that they've played.

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Speaker 2: This team has not played well against AFC North when

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Speaker 2: they had divisional games. This is where they gone short.

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Speaker 2: Look at Joe Burrow's record in the AFC North I'm

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Speaker 2: pulling into right now, nine to fourteen against divisional opponents,

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Speaker 2: twenty eight sixteen and one in non divisional contest. His

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Speaker 2: numbers dip in divisional matchups against his AFC North opponents.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, they've beaten crappy teams all year long. He's

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Speaker 2: thrown amazing touchdowns on crappy teams all year long. This

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Speaker 2: is not a crappy team in my opinion. Steelers at

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Speaker 2: home plus more and a half on the money line, Yes,

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Speaker 2: give it to me all day, let's go.

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Speaker 1: I think Cincinnati has everything to play. If they don't win,

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Speaker 1: it's over. You've got everything. Yes, Pittsburgh can better their

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Speaker 1: stars without a doubt. But the end of the day,

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Speaker 1: they're in the playoffs already, and nobody wants to get hurt.

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Speaker 1: And I'm telling you Cincinnati, he's got everything to play for.

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Speaker 1: This is all on the line, and Joe Burrow is

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Speaker 1: playing some of the best football I've seen that quarterback

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Speaker 1: play in a while, and he's just looked so damn good.

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Speaker 1: But we'll have to disagree.

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Speaker 4: So that defense isn't playing some of the best football

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Speaker 4: that I've seen in a while.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, but at this place, that ego because Buffalo's defense

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Speaker 1: is great. They keep winning games too. They give them

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Speaker 1: ninety points of back to back weeks between the Rams

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Speaker 1: and the and the Detroit Lions. And we're supposed to

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Speaker 1: annoint the Buffalo Bills the champions of the world too,

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Speaker 1: Like this is the NFL. Now, there's a couple of

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Speaker 1: teams that play good des so you can count them

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Speaker 1: on one hand, pretty.

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Speaker 4: Mu which is why I said the Kansas City Chiefs

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Speaker 4: are good to win the Super Bowl again, and everybody's

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Speaker 4: gonna be upset about it. And I'm gonna tell you all,

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Speaker 4: like I've been selling with four years, that Patrick Mahomes

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Speaker 4: is the greatest quarterback of all time, Like there is

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Speaker 4: no all times. I don't care. I'm sitting here with Sue.

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Speaker 4: He's the greatest quarterback at all time. And he's about

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Speaker 4: to get a bount to get a three peat.

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Speaker 1: And if he gets a three p he's still not

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Speaker 1: the greatest quarterback all the time. He still needs that

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Speaker 1: jem quarterback. We'll get That's a whole argument for another podcast.

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Speaker 4: And then another ring happens, and then another ring happens.

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Speaker 1: See, this is the problem you had me agreeing with

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Speaker 1: you that yes, because I have all the preseason shares

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Speaker 1: of the Kansasity Chiefs versus the Lions Kansa Chiefs whin

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Speaker 1: the Super Bowl, Kansay Chiefs got you. See, It's like

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Speaker 1: we're so close to holding hands, and then you go

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Speaker 1: and say something like he's the greatest quarterback ever and

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Speaker 1: then we get work on again, which I just want

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Speaker 1: to hang out with. You. Can I just come over

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Speaker 1: and play a little Super Nintendo and just be cool

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Speaker 1: for the club?

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Speaker 4: You can? Absolutely?

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Speaker 1: All right? All right, well, let's get to the next

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Speaker 1: game here, Raiders. Right now, you are on this week

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Speaker 1: they are going to be heading out against the Los

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Speaker 1: Angeles Chargers. They are at home against the Chargers this

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Speaker 1: week right now. The number is plus five plus four

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Speaker 1: and a half in some other spots. And you like

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Speaker 1: the Raiders, So Drell, let's talk about why.

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Speaker 4: Well, I mean, if you like the Steelers, you have

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Speaker 4: to like the Raiders because if the Steelers win, I

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Speaker 4: mean the Chargers have at that point, they have nothing

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Speaker 4: to play for. There's nothing, there's nothing to play for

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Speaker 4: the Chargers. And if you tell me that there's some

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Speaker 4: easn stick sighting in this game at the end of

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Speaker 4: the season, oh absolutely, it's the Raiders all day. And

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Speaker 4: I mean it's gonna be the money line play. So

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Speaker 4: I'm just hedging my bets on being right about the Steelers. So, Joe,

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Speaker 4: you should actually love the Chargers in this spot. You

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Speaker 4: should because if if since he does win, the Chargers

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Speaker 4: should Yeah, you should love it. There's no way, there's

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Speaker 4: no way that I could put a bet in on

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Speaker 4: the Steelers and not also have the same bet in

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Speaker 4: on the Raiders, because if I get an Eastern stick

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Speaker 4: sighting at the end of the season, oh it's Raiders

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Speaker 4: all the way, all the way. And if I have

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Speaker 4: plus money on that, amazing.

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Speaker 1: Follow me on betting pros, everybody for my spite betting

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Speaker 1: of Terrell in Week Eighteen's could be a lot of it.

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Speaker 1: It's gonna be fantastic. You're gonna love it. Get in,

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Speaker 1: get in well a, gettin's good here. Eric said, let's

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Speaker 1: go to another game too. The Green Bay Packers heavy

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Speaker 1: favorites against the Bears. Hopefully somebody can put the Bears

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Speaker 1: out of their misery their ten point favorites in this

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Speaker 1: game already, you're gonna be maybe without some pieces getting

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Speaker 1: rested it here and there. But at the same time,

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Speaker 1: you have a certain approach to this game that you

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Speaker 1: are really in favor of.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, like taking the Greenmay Packers at home first half

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Speaker 2: spread because I don't want to lay ten points because

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Speaker 2: it's too many for a team that I don't know

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Speaker 2: what the effort level is going to be in the

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Speaker 2: second half of the game. And what do we know

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Speaker 2: about the Bears. That's when they scored their points, is

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Speaker 2: all in the second half of games. They don't score

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Speaker 2: points in the first half. If they score points at all.

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Speaker 2: I know we didn't see them score a touchdown last week.

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Speaker 2: Maybe that happens again, maybe it doesn't. But either way,

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Speaker 2: I know that we're going to get the best from

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Speaker 2: the Greenway Packers offense in the first half of this

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Speaker 2: game after what happened last week. Slow starters only kicked

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Speaker 2: a field goal and they kept running the football even

246
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Speaker 2: though they were down by so much and the comeback

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Speaker 2: was a little bit too late.

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Speaker 3: So I like six and a half here.

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Speaker 2: That's what the first half spread is for the Packers

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Speaker 2: against the Bears, and that's where I feel most comfortable

251
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Speaker 2: laying that amount of points. I don't feel comfortable with

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Speaker 2: the ten and a half in the divisional game. Again,

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Speaker 2: the Bearers should have beat the Packers the last time

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Speaker 2: we played. The last time they played, the Bear should

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Speaker 2: have beat the Packers straight up at home.

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Speaker 3: So did they.

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Speaker 1: Still have the head coach though?

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Speaker 2: Last time they played, Now, that was after they fired

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Speaker 2: their one of their fat after they.

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Speaker 1: Started after the fire, but they still have a head

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Speaker 1: coach at that time. Now, everything's just it's weird, but

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Speaker 1: it's a weird situation. However, all year, Carell, we've had

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Speaker 1: certainly some good I see you making some changes here

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Speaker 1: as we're going, So I don't know what's happening live here.

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Speaker 1: So is this next bet a Bears pick that you

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Speaker 1: want to do?

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Speaker 4: I just realized I wanted to move it up because

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Speaker 4: I had I had it at four and it was

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Speaker 4: no reason I had to just go ahead and piggyback

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Speaker 4: off of it.

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Speaker 1: Right, So let's let's move it.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, let's talk about the fars right now, because oh,

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Speaker 4: I mean Ericson. You said it in the beginning of

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Speaker 4: when we let this off, there's always going to be

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Speaker 4: a team that needs the game and they blow it.

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Speaker 4: How is that? Jorden Love is a guy that I

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Speaker 4: love is a quarterback, but it is in a roller

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Speaker 4: coaster as him as your quarterback, betting on him. And

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Speaker 4: it feels like this Bears team, if there was any

280
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Speaker 4: way they could mess this all up, is by finally

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Speaker 4: figuring it out at the end of the season in

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Speaker 4: this offense being able to move the football because the

283
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Speaker 4: defenses look really solid, the offense hasn't been able to

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Speaker 4: do anything. I'm all over the Bears catching this many

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Speaker 4: points and just what I think could be somewhat of

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Speaker 4: a little bit of a letdown of Hey, we know

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Speaker 4: we're about to go in there and beat this Bears

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Speaker 4: team and we're going to handle business and all of that,

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Speaker 4: and the Bears just kind of being what they were

290
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Speaker 4: earlier in the season against the same Packers team, a

291
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Speaker 4: really really annoying net at the bar.

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Speaker 1: All right, So maybe the Bears have a little life

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Speaker 1: in them at the end of the season. We shall see. Erickson.

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Speaker 1: Let's go to Indianapolis. The Colts are reeling after a

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Speaker 1: loss last week to the Giants. Yes, that's right, the Giants,

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Speaker 1: Trell Are you reeling from that victory? I would imagine

297
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Speaker 1: as well, like you're doing Okay. I didn't do a

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Speaker 1: check in.

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Speaker 5: On it was it was next game, said like, I think,

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Speaker 5: I think that's I think you've said all that needs

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Speaker 5: to be said.

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Speaker 1: About that one.

303
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Speaker 3: The people know, Yeah, anything else?

304
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Speaker 1: Is that? Anything else? To Internet's the silence is definite?

305
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Speaker 1: All right? Ericson, Let's go to the Jacksonville Jaguars heading

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Speaker 1: into Indianapolis. So look, I mean Indy certainly, I think

307
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Speaker 1: with Shane Zechen wants to leave on a high note,

308
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Speaker 1: you end up getting Joe Flacco last week. Again, it

309
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Speaker 1: just everything that went wrong for them just went wrong.

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Speaker 1: This is a season where I had high expectations for

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Speaker 1: the Colts, and I will take the l on that

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Speaker 1: they really did not live up to what I thought

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Speaker 1: they could be. But what can they be in Week eighteen? Here?

314
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Speaker 1: And what's the best approach to betting this game?

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Speaker 2: Taking me over forty three and a half points is

316
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Speaker 2: way too low for two of I think the league's

317
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Speaker 2: worst defenses going ahead head. We just saw the Colts

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Speaker 2: defense give up a historic performance to Drew Locke as

319
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Speaker 2: the quarterback of the New York Giants.

320
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Speaker 1: Historic historically good. I was just just historically good, is

321
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Speaker 1: what we were getting.

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Speaker 2: These defenses are so horrible, both of them. You have

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Speaker 2: this game being played in a dome, and I want

324
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Speaker 2: to put this out about the Jaguars. So they've scored

325
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Speaker 2: thirty points more three straight games against Indiapolis Colts, pre

326
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Speaker 2: straight games. Doug Peterson knows how to attack this defense.

327
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Speaker 2: And it doesn't matter whose quarterback is because Mac Jones

328
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Speaker 2: knows who to get the ball to. His name is

329
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Speaker 2: Brian Thomas Junior. He's going to have a day and

330
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Speaker 2: this game is going to go. I mean, if the

331
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Speaker 2: Jaguars score thirty points, the game is going way over

332
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Speaker 2: forty three and a half. Because we know Jacksonville can't

333
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Speaker 2: stop anybody. So whether it's Richardson Flacco, I don't really care.

334
00:14:20,480 --> 00:14:22,000
Speaker 2: I think we're gonna get points here. I think that

335
00:14:22,040 --> 00:14:23,760
Speaker 2: this is such an this is way too low. I

336
00:14:23,760 --> 00:14:26,960
Speaker 2: mean games in Indianapolis have averaged over forty five points

337
00:14:27,000 --> 00:14:29,800
Speaker 2: per game. Last four Colts games have gone over the

338
00:14:29,840 --> 00:14:32,320
Speaker 2: total nine to the last twelve Colts games as favorites

339
00:14:32,440 --> 00:14:35,360
Speaker 2: have gone over the total. So I love the over.

340
00:14:35,400 --> 00:14:36,840
Speaker 2: That's gonna think it's way too low at forty three

341
00:14:36,840 --> 00:14:38,360
Speaker 2: and a half. Especially, we don't have to worry about whether,

342
00:14:38,560 --> 00:14:40,000
Speaker 2: you know, that's always a concern to this now our

343
00:14:40,080 --> 00:14:42,880
Speaker 2: time of the year, January, there's rain, there's win this kid.

344
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Speaker 3: Guys with motivation, We don't know.

345
00:14:44,600 --> 00:14:46,280
Speaker 2: These teams are both out of it, but we have

346
00:14:46,480 --> 00:14:49,800
Speaker 2: coaches potentially coaching for their jobs. So offensively, Doug Peterson

347
00:14:49,800 --> 00:14:51,960
Speaker 2: and Change Steichen want to put the best tape out there, like, hey,

348
00:14:52,000 --> 00:14:54,320
Speaker 2: my offense can still cook, and they're going to expose

349
00:14:54,360 --> 00:14:55,440
Speaker 2: these terrible defenses.

350
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Speaker 3: So out the over.

351
00:14:57,080 --> 00:14:58,680
Speaker 1: I love that take. I think you're going to look

352
00:14:58,720 --> 00:15:00,600
Speaker 1: at a lot of overs, just a I know everybody.

353
00:15:00,600 --> 00:15:02,920
Speaker 1: Two week eight team gets a little crazy because defensive

354
00:15:02,920 --> 00:15:05,880
Speaker 1: players already have their plane tickets booked. They're done. They

355
00:15:05,880 --> 00:15:07,760
Speaker 1: don't want to tackle anybody anymore. And I don't blame

356
00:15:07,800 --> 00:15:10,680
Speaker 1: them either, some of these teams. So I love this pick.

357
00:15:10,760 --> 00:15:13,040
Speaker 1: This number is absurdly low. In my opinion, I think

358
00:15:13,040 --> 00:15:15,400
Speaker 1: this is absolutely one of the best numbers on the board.

359
00:15:15,880 --> 00:15:20,360
Speaker 1: And Andrew Rickson, Drew Lock, oh oh, Terrell actually finally

360
00:15:20,400 --> 00:15:22,600
Speaker 1: got his thoughts together. Yes, go ahead, Dear.

361
00:15:22,600 --> 00:15:27,200
Speaker 4: Drew Locke had one of when you put all the

362
00:15:27,240 --> 00:15:29,440
Speaker 4: statistics together, one of the best games.

363
00:15:29,760 --> 00:15:32,120
Speaker 1: It's like you can't formulate the words in so many

364
00:15:32,120 --> 00:15:34,400
Speaker 1: emotions because it's.

365
00:15:34,200 --> 00:15:37,120
Speaker 4: Hard to understand. But Drew Lock, when you put all

366
00:15:37,120 --> 00:15:39,640
Speaker 4: the statistics together, had one of the best games ever

367
00:15:39,960 --> 00:15:43,440
Speaker 4: for a quarterback. And he is in a category that

368
00:15:43,520 --> 00:15:48,040
Speaker 4: houses Hall of famers in Lamar Jackson and Drew Locke.

369
00:15:48,080 --> 00:15:52,440
Speaker 4: Now this Colts team and somehow, some way they're gonna

370
00:15:52,440 --> 00:15:54,840
Speaker 4: win this week. That's what's gonna That's what That's what's

371
00:15:54,880 --> 00:15:58,240
Speaker 4: gonna make it so much more more annoying. It's the

372
00:15:58,280 --> 00:16:00,800
Speaker 4: only thing that is more annoying than that Giants win

373
00:16:01,280 --> 00:16:03,720
Speaker 4: is how I went out in the fantasy playoffs this season.

374
00:16:04,280 --> 00:16:06,840
Speaker 4: That that's literally only a more annoying thing. And if

375
00:16:06,920 --> 00:16:09,000
Speaker 4: I could just do a quick segue to vent to

376
00:16:09,320 --> 00:16:12,080
Speaker 4: my co host here, because it was horrible because I'm

377
00:16:12,120 --> 00:16:14,200
Speaker 4: in two leagues, a home league and a dynasty league,

378
00:16:14,280 --> 00:16:17,040
Speaker 4: and I was dominating both leagues, and I get to

379
00:16:17,080 --> 00:16:19,120
Speaker 4: the semi final round in the home league and I

380
00:16:19,200 --> 00:16:23,480
Speaker 4: lose eighty eight points. Nothing good at all. But then

381
00:16:23,560 --> 00:16:26,560
Speaker 4: the next week is Championship week and I'm in the

382
00:16:26,600 --> 00:16:28,800
Speaker 4: third place game and I put up one hundred and

383
00:16:28,880 --> 00:16:30,000
Speaker 4: ninety points.

384
00:16:30,560 --> 00:16:31,840
Speaker 1: Oh bro, one.

385
00:16:31,800 --> 00:16:32,400
Speaker 4: Hundred and nights.

386
00:16:32,440 --> 00:16:34,040
Speaker 1: I feel your pain. And then I had to watch

387
00:16:34,120 --> 00:16:36,960
Speaker 1: the Lamar on Christmas with Derrick Henry. And then I

388
00:16:36,960 --> 00:16:39,240
Speaker 1: watched T Higgins catch three touchdowns in a standalone game

389
00:16:39,280 --> 00:16:42,280
Speaker 1: on Saturday afternoon, and I was playing in a third

390
00:16:42,360 --> 00:16:44,600
Speaker 1: place game too, so I feel it horrible.

391
00:16:44,800 --> 00:16:46,240
Speaker 4: And then the Dynasty League.

392
00:16:46,720 --> 00:16:49,520
Speaker 1: I knew this was becoming a therapy sez.

393
00:16:49,840 --> 00:16:53,200
Speaker 4: It was horribor. It was horrible because I twenty eight

394
00:16:53,240 --> 00:16:57,680
Speaker 4: points by Jaydon Daniels. That's what it took to beat me,

395
00:16:58,160 --> 00:16:59,800
Speaker 4: twenty eight points.

396
00:17:00,200 --> 00:17:03,520
Speaker 1: And he was are you ready to move on to

397
00:17:03,520 --> 00:17:04,040
Speaker 1: the Dolphins?

398
00:17:04,119 --> 00:17:04,239
Speaker 2: Now?

399
00:17:05,040 --> 00:17:07,280
Speaker 4: He was under itself overtime over time.

400
00:17:07,600 --> 00:17:09,480
Speaker 1: I'm gonna send you a nice one of those weighted

401
00:17:09,480 --> 00:17:11,600
Speaker 1: blankets to get you through the month of January.

402
00:17:12,640 --> 00:17:14,640
Speaker 4: Shirt off, hoodie, you are so it kind of threw

403
00:17:14,680 --> 00:17:16,560
Speaker 4: me off, and I was sorry to bring up the

404
00:17:16,560 --> 00:17:20,840
Speaker 4: bad members. All right, one thing is for certain. And

405
00:17:20,960 --> 00:17:24,080
Speaker 4: again here again, I'm gonna agree with Terrell. I'm on

406
00:17:24,160 --> 00:17:26,200
Speaker 4: that Ericson sounded like you were trying to talk himself

407
00:17:26,200 --> 00:17:26,760
Speaker 4: into the Jets.

408
00:17:26,800 --> 00:17:28,960
Speaker 1: Here. The one thing we know about the Dolphins is

409
00:17:29,000 --> 00:17:32,080
Speaker 1: what they lose to good teams. They beat bad teams.

410
00:17:32,160 --> 00:17:35,200
Speaker 1: The Jets are what a bad team. Need more analysis

411
00:17:35,240 --> 00:17:35,439
Speaker 1: than this.

412
00:17:35,600 --> 00:17:38,080
Speaker 4: No, there's really nothing else. That's literally what I had

413
00:17:38,119 --> 00:17:40,600
Speaker 4: written down. It's like you're in my computer looking at

414
00:17:40,600 --> 00:17:43,040
Speaker 4: my notes. Is literally what I had written down. And

415
00:17:43,119 --> 00:17:47,240
Speaker 4: I mean, there's only one situation that I would say,

416
00:17:47,280 --> 00:17:49,560
Speaker 4: you know what I can see where the Jets win,

417
00:17:50,160 --> 00:17:52,800
Speaker 4: and that's what Tyrod Taylor gets to start. That's it.

418
00:17:53,000 --> 00:17:53,760
Speaker 1: If you're if you're.

419
00:17:53,640 --> 00:17:56,520
Speaker 4: Betting on the Jets, you're one hundred percent. You're either

420
00:17:56,760 --> 00:17:59,680
Speaker 4: crazy or you're one hundred percent betting on the fact

421
00:17:59,720 --> 00:18:02,199
Speaker 4: that Tyrod Taylor is going to start in the in

422
00:18:02,280 --> 00:18:04,880
Speaker 4: the game, because I trust Tyrod Taylor, shouts at the seven,

423
00:18:04,920 --> 00:18:07,560
Speaker 4: five to seven. I trust Tyler Taylor, so one hundred percent.

424
00:18:07,640 --> 00:18:09,240
Speaker 4: But I don't think he's gonna do that. I think

425
00:18:09,240 --> 00:18:12,040
Speaker 4: Aaron Rodgers is that guy. He's gonna go play in

426
00:18:12,040 --> 00:18:14,159
Speaker 4: this game, and maybe he takes himself out again like

427
00:18:14,200 --> 00:18:15,840
Speaker 4: he did last week, but the game's gonna be so

428
00:18:15,880 --> 00:18:17,440
Speaker 4: far out of reach at that point that it doesn't

429
00:18:17,440 --> 00:18:20,879
Speaker 4: even matter. So yes, one hundred this is it the

430
00:18:20,920 --> 00:18:23,359
Speaker 4: Dolphins still can make the playoffs. Believe it or not,

431
00:18:23,400 --> 00:18:25,159
Speaker 4: the Dolphins can still make the playoffs.

432
00:18:25,640 --> 00:18:28,200
Speaker 1: So let me ask you this. So two, it's really

433
00:18:28,200 --> 00:18:30,439
Speaker 1: two questions. The two part question A, do you think

434
00:18:30,480 --> 00:18:31,959
Speaker 1: people are gonna bet on this because I think it's

435
00:18:32,000 --> 00:18:34,159
Speaker 1: Aaron rodgers last dance even though it's probably not his

436
00:18:34,280 --> 00:18:37,080
Speaker 1: last dance. We all know Aaron Rodgers, and you think

437
00:18:37,119 --> 00:18:39,879
Speaker 1: they're gonna get suckered into that. And then question number two,

438
00:18:41,240 --> 00:18:44,720
Speaker 1: if to A doesn't play in this game for whatever reason,

439
00:18:45,040 --> 00:18:46,080
Speaker 1: or do you feel as confident?

440
00:18:46,840 --> 00:18:51,000
Speaker 4: So I think that anybody no, So I think that

441
00:18:51,080 --> 00:18:53,879
Speaker 4: if there's no, no, no, that's the first question. The

442
00:18:53,880 --> 00:18:56,440
Speaker 4: second question is yes, I'm one hundred percent confidence snow Puttley.

443
00:18:56,600 --> 00:18:58,840
Speaker 4: We've seen him be able to play this in late

444
00:18:59,000 --> 00:19:01,639
Speaker 4: late game seasons in Baltimore like we've seen him. And

445
00:19:01,640 --> 00:19:03,960
Speaker 4: then if you watch that Browns game, he looked like

446
00:19:04,000 --> 00:19:05,960
Speaker 4: the quarterback with the polls. He looked like a guy

447
00:19:05,960 --> 00:19:07,800
Speaker 4: that you could actually bet on, not DCRs a hit.

448
00:19:07,840 --> 00:19:09,399
Speaker 4: So why we're not talking about the Browns here today?

449
00:19:09,560 --> 00:19:11,800
Speaker 4: But as I go back to the first question, I

450
00:19:11,800 --> 00:19:14,720
Speaker 4: think anybody betting on the Jets is just too big

451
00:19:14,760 --> 00:19:17,120
Speaker 4: of themselves to admit that we were just completely wrong.

452
00:19:17,760 --> 00:19:19,480
Speaker 4: I was the person that had a bet on the

453
00:19:19,520 --> 00:19:23,119
Speaker 4: Jets earlier this season in London, and I admit I

454
00:19:23,240 --> 00:19:25,720
Speaker 4: was horribly wrong, and I faded them ever since, and

455
00:19:25,800 --> 00:19:28,800
Speaker 4: it's been it's been amazing. And so just admit you wrong.

456
00:19:28,960 --> 00:19:31,119
Speaker 4: This team is horrible. You can't take them. You cannot

457
00:19:31,119 --> 00:19:32,800
Speaker 4: bet the Jets, all right.

458
00:19:32,800 --> 00:19:35,040
Speaker 1: Can't bet the Jets here. And I realize I have

459
00:19:35,080 --> 00:19:38,760
Speaker 1: to start rooting for Aaron Rodgers because if he does retire,

460
00:19:40,520 --> 00:19:42,600
Speaker 1: god knows, we're gonna end up with a podcast and

461
00:19:42,760 --> 00:19:44,280
Speaker 1: I don't know if I can handle that in twenty

462
00:19:44,280 --> 00:19:45,719
Speaker 1: twenty five. I don't know if I'm ready for that.

463
00:19:45,760 --> 00:19:47,879
Speaker 1: So I want to I want to latch on somewhere

464
00:19:48,000 --> 00:19:50,400
Speaker 1: next year. I don't aware, but I wanted to be played.

465
00:19:50,200 --> 00:19:52,879
Speaker 3: For Aaron Rodgers. In Into the Darkness.

466
00:19:53,200 --> 00:19:56,000
Speaker 1: Into the Darkness my podcast, It's gonna be in a cave,

467
00:19:56,160 --> 00:19:58,679
Speaker 1: you know, people, the guests can't find their way in,

468
00:19:58,720 --> 00:20:00,600
Speaker 1: they have no idea where the microph and it's gonna

469
00:20:00,640 --> 00:20:00,920
Speaker 1: be great.

470
00:20:01,200 --> 00:20:04,120
Speaker 4: You're a fantastic My worst fear is Aaron Rodgers talks

471
00:20:04,160 --> 00:20:06,440
Speaker 4: himself into the other side of the building. Worst fear

472
00:20:06,480 --> 00:20:08,560
Speaker 4: in the world, worst fear in.

473
00:20:08,480 --> 00:20:12,520
Speaker 1: The world, building like the Giants or into management with

474
00:20:12,520 --> 00:20:13,000
Speaker 1: the Jets.

475
00:20:13,240 --> 00:20:17,320
Speaker 4: No, I mean that's actually crazy. But if he talked

476
00:20:17,400 --> 00:20:20,200
Speaker 4: himself into it's a hey, this bleak Davers guy looks

477
00:20:20,200 --> 00:20:22,800
Speaker 4: pretty good. And no, please don't Aaron Rodgers, don't look

478
00:20:22,800 --> 00:20:24,400
Speaker 4: our way, Please don't look it's.

479
00:20:24,520 --> 00:20:26,520
Speaker 1: For the boy hood dream. Maybe it's some for the

480
00:20:26,560 --> 00:20:28,440
Speaker 1: boyhood dream. You think about that, Maybe you don't want

481
00:20:28,440 --> 00:20:30,959
Speaker 1: to pay brock Purty. Maybe go you're Aaron Rodgers instead.

482
00:20:31,080 --> 00:20:33,159
Speaker 1: San Francisco the.

483
00:20:33,560 --> 00:20:35,040
Speaker 3: First you gotta follow the Brett Farr path.

484
00:20:35,840 --> 00:20:38,600
Speaker 1: Don't don't let Welsh hear this podcast. And I said

485
00:20:38,640 --> 00:20:40,280
Speaker 1: that out loud because I'm sure he would not be

486
00:20:40,359 --> 00:20:40,919
Speaker 1: very happy with that.

487
00:20:41,000 --> 00:20:45,640
Speaker 4: Let's talk about thee out here today, team.

488
00:20:45,520 --> 00:20:50,000
Speaker 1: Man, we're super punchy. Let's talk about the Texans in

489
00:20:50,040 --> 00:20:53,040
Speaker 1: this one. The Texans have had their fair share of

490
00:20:53,080 --> 00:20:55,200
Speaker 1: problems here. They are gonna be on the road against

491
00:20:55,200 --> 00:20:58,440
Speaker 1: the Tennessee Titans this game. Right now, you get plus

492
00:20:58,480 --> 00:21:01,439
Speaker 1: two in some spots, plus one and some others on

493
00:21:01,480 --> 00:21:05,320
Speaker 1: the Tennessee side. So the line really does vary. So

494
00:21:05,440 --> 00:21:09,000
Speaker 1: have you know different favorites even which again week eighteen

495
00:21:09,000 --> 00:21:11,399
Speaker 1: could be very fluid, So ericson what's your approach to

496
00:21:11,400 --> 00:21:13,080
Speaker 1: this one? What's the line that you like the most here?

497
00:21:13,240 --> 00:21:15,159
Speaker 2: Yeah, I like the Texans side with the points, and

498
00:21:15,200 --> 00:21:17,600
Speaker 2: I think that you outlined it pretty well where you don't.

499
00:21:17,680 --> 00:21:19,320
Speaker 2: Nobody really knows what this game is gonna look like

500
00:21:19,480 --> 00:21:22,800
Speaker 2: because the Texans don't have anything to play for. But

501
00:21:23,000 --> 00:21:24,919
Speaker 2: we always knew we've seen the line move like it was.

502
00:21:24,920 --> 00:21:27,000
Speaker 2: Originally what we talked earlier on Monday, Joe was Texans

503
00:21:27,040 --> 00:21:29,040
Speaker 2: plus four and a half because oh, the Titans are

504
00:21:29,040 --> 00:21:31,199
Speaker 2: going to start their guys and the Texans are not.

505
00:21:31,280 --> 00:21:33,320
Speaker 2: But then you've heard CJ. Stroud talk about, no, we

506
00:21:33,359 --> 00:21:36,040
Speaker 2: want to win double digit games, we want to play well.

507
00:21:36,080 --> 00:21:37,600
Speaker 2: I mean, they haven't played well all year, so you

508
00:21:37,600 --> 00:21:40,399
Speaker 2: think that them walking backwards into the playoffs is getting

509
00:21:40,440 --> 00:21:42,000
Speaker 2: them any hope of oh, well now we'll turn it

510
00:21:42,000 --> 00:21:43,240
Speaker 2: on now that we're in the playoffs. And they got

511
00:21:43,280 --> 00:21:45,600
Speaker 2: destroyed on Christmas. So I think the Texts are going

512
00:21:45,640 --> 00:21:47,400
Speaker 2: to play their guys, and that's why I like backing

513
00:21:47,440 --> 00:21:50,120
Speaker 2: them here and again talking about what's been a profitable

514
00:21:50,119 --> 00:21:52,880
Speaker 2: strategy this year betting against the Jets. No, but that's

515
00:21:52,880 --> 00:21:55,080
Speaker 2: actually not been the most profitable strategy. The number one

516
00:21:55,119 --> 00:21:57,240
Speaker 2: most profitable strategy this year is betting against the Tennessee

517
00:21:57,240 --> 00:22:01,119
Speaker 2: Titans two and fourteen against the spread two and fourteen.

518
00:22:01,520 --> 00:22:04,159
Speaker 2: It's like, hard to be that bad against the spread,

519
00:22:04,200 --> 00:22:07,160
Speaker 2: not just winning games outright, So that's what I'm going

520
00:22:07,160 --> 00:22:08,520
Speaker 2: to kind of go back here with. And even though

521
00:22:08,520 --> 00:22:10,800
Speaker 2: the Texans, again they're not exactly the team that you

522
00:22:10,880 --> 00:22:12,600
Speaker 2: want to bet, and the one of the covers the

523
00:22:12,640 --> 00:22:15,600
Speaker 2: Titans actually have actually came against Houston, I think you

524
00:22:15,640 --> 00:22:17,840
Speaker 2: see that balance out here. So I'm not really sure

525
00:22:17,840 --> 00:22:19,399
Speaker 2: what we're gonna see in this game. So you're not

526
00:22:19,400 --> 00:22:21,159
Speaker 2: getting a lot of oh, well, Stroud's gonna do X,

527
00:22:21,240 --> 00:22:22,840
Speaker 2: Y and Z, because I'm not really sure how that's

528
00:22:22,840 --> 00:22:25,240
Speaker 2: gonna play out. But if you're giving me Texans with

529
00:22:25,359 --> 00:22:29,040
Speaker 2: points against the combination of Mason Ronolf and Will Levis

530
00:22:29,080 --> 00:22:31,680
Speaker 2: pot actually both playing in this game, clear the Titans

531
00:22:31,680 --> 00:22:33,159
Speaker 2: aren't looking to win this game either. They're going to

532
00:22:33,200 --> 00:22:35,960
Speaker 2: play two different quarterbacks. So I will get the Texans

533
00:22:35,960 --> 00:22:38,960
Speaker 2: who have an incentive. They're incentive like, hey, let's play

534
00:22:39,000 --> 00:22:42,040
Speaker 2: good football. Let's do that. So I'll back the Texans there.

535
00:22:42,640 --> 00:22:45,000
Speaker 1: All right, Let's get to the Marquee matchup, the great game,

536
00:22:45,359 --> 00:22:47,040
Speaker 1: and we all want to watch in prime time the

537
00:22:47,200 --> 00:22:49,199
Speaker 1: battle for the number one spot in the NFC, the

538
00:22:49,240 --> 00:22:51,880
Speaker 1: battle for the buye as we're calling it here around

539
00:22:51,920 --> 00:22:54,240
Speaker 1: these pars. I got the Vikings and the Detroit Lions

540
00:22:54,320 --> 00:22:57,520
Speaker 1: matching up. You know, it's funny. I go back to

541
00:22:58,200 --> 00:23:01,360
Speaker 1: the Viking schedule, and you know they were undefeated, man,

542
00:23:01,400 --> 00:23:03,520
Speaker 1: that game in London against the Jets. They came back

543
00:23:03,680 --> 00:23:05,600
Speaker 1: and they dropped a game, a close one to Detroit,

544
00:23:05,640 --> 00:23:07,439
Speaker 1: and then lost another game to the Rams. And they

545
00:23:07,440 --> 00:23:10,480
Speaker 1: haven't lost since Week nine. Okay, so it's been a

546
00:23:10,520 --> 00:23:14,480
Speaker 1: long time since this team has dropped a game, and

547
00:23:14,520 --> 00:23:16,640
Speaker 1: I feel like they just get no respect. And I've

548
00:23:16,640 --> 00:23:19,320
Speaker 1: got my feelings about this game, and it feels like, Terrell,

549
00:23:19,440 --> 00:23:22,040
Speaker 1: you're leaning towards my feelings and we're gonna get Ericson's

550
00:23:22,040 --> 00:23:26,399
Speaker 1: feelings and all the takes on Detroit Minnesota. So Terrell,

551
00:23:26,480 --> 00:23:28,600
Speaker 1: let's start with you here. What's your best bet for

552
00:23:28,640 --> 00:23:30,280
Speaker 1: this big time battle of the bye.

553
00:23:31,359 --> 00:23:34,120
Speaker 4: As much as I really really think there's something wrong

554
00:23:34,160 --> 00:23:37,560
Speaker 4: here in Minnesota, this is a perfect spot for them, man.

555
00:23:38,080 --> 00:23:40,800
Speaker 4: This is such a good spot. Is such a good

556
00:23:40,880 --> 00:23:44,440
Speaker 4: spot like, not only can you stick it to the Lions,

557
00:23:44,440 --> 00:23:48,080
Speaker 4: who have been licking their chops all season as the

558
00:23:48,080 --> 00:23:51,080
Speaker 4: best team in the NFC, you can push them down

559
00:23:51,119 --> 00:23:55,520
Speaker 4: to five. Five is five, right, Yeah? They go down

560
00:23:55,520 --> 00:23:59,760
Speaker 4: to five with this season. And it's because you just

561
00:24:00,119 --> 00:24:03,879
Speaker 4: kind of nickel and dime your way each and every

562
00:24:04,000 --> 00:24:06,480
Speaker 4: time they talk about all these one score games Kevin

563
00:24:06,480 --> 00:24:09,679
Speaker 4: O'Connell wins, and then you realize, like, oh man, so

564
00:24:09,720 --> 00:24:11,480
Speaker 4: many of those times in those games they had a

565
00:24:11,520 --> 00:24:15,520
Speaker 4: three score lead, like they did up seventeen points recently,

566
00:24:15,600 --> 00:24:17,840
Speaker 4: and then blew it. And then now they won a

567
00:24:17,840 --> 00:24:19,480
Speaker 4: one score game and it looks like, oh, he did

568
00:24:19,480 --> 00:24:21,720
Speaker 4: it in a one score game, Like, no, it's so

569
00:24:21,800 --> 00:24:24,280
Speaker 4: annoying that I have to back this Vikings team. But

570
00:24:24,359 --> 00:24:27,879
Speaker 4: this defense is very concerning of the Detroit Lions. I

571
00:24:27,880 --> 00:24:29,880
Speaker 4: think they're really really beat up, and I just don't

572
00:24:29,920 --> 00:24:31,720
Speaker 4: know how they're going to be able to cover two

573
00:24:31,800 --> 00:24:36,639
Speaker 4: number one receivers in Jordan Addison and Justin Jefferson. I

574
00:24:36,840 --> 00:24:39,040
Speaker 4: have no idea how to do it. Jordan Addison is

575
00:24:39,080 --> 00:24:42,639
Speaker 4: probably demolishing records somewhere for another team if he's the

576
00:24:42,680 --> 00:24:45,320
Speaker 4: only guy there. That's how good he is. And then

577
00:24:45,359 --> 00:24:46,080
Speaker 4: you add TJ.

578
00:24:46,119 --> 00:24:46,479
Speaker 1: Howkson.

579
00:24:46,560 --> 00:24:49,160
Speaker 4: You have all the weapons around Sam Darnold and they

580
00:24:49,400 --> 00:24:51,560
Speaker 4: can push the ball, push the ball, push the ball.

581
00:24:51,720 --> 00:24:54,560
Speaker 4: I don't know if Jared Golf second time around against

582
00:24:54,600 --> 00:24:56,560
Speaker 4: Brian Flores is going to be able to win that shootout.

583
00:24:56,640 --> 00:24:57,840
Speaker 1: So I like the Vikings.

584
00:24:57,840 --> 00:24:58,720
Speaker 4: I think they get it done.

585
00:24:59,240 --> 00:25:02,000
Speaker 1: I he says, have the Jordan Adison thing with Jordan

586
00:25:02,000 --> 00:25:05,359
Speaker 1: as like jordanads benefits a lot from Justin Jefferson outside

587
00:25:05,359 --> 00:25:05,680
Speaker 1: of the field.

588
00:25:06,119 --> 00:25:07,920
Speaker 4: You say that, and so he goes to another team

589
00:25:07,920 --> 00:25:09,760
Speaker 4: and does the exact same thing. Like when you look

590
00:25:09,760 --> 00:25:16,840
Speaker 4: at when you watch the when you watch activity, when

591
00:25:16,880 --> 00:25:19,720
Speaker 4: you watch how he runs his watch him against competition,

592
00:25:20,000 --> 00:25:22,439
Speaker 4: despite whoever it is, the number one, number two, whoever

593
00:25:22,440 --> 00:25:26,119
Speaker 4: it is, he's always really really good and he's been that.

594
00:25:26,480 --> 00:25:29,000
Speaker 4: He was the first player of the nil Era. When

595
00:25:29,040 --> 00:25:30,960
Speaker 4: he left pitt and went over to USC he was

596
00:25:31,000 --> 00:25:32,680
Speaker 4: the first player of the nil Era. And it was

597
00:25:32,720 --> 00:25:35,119
Speaker 4: because he was that good. It's just so happens he

598
00:25:35,160 --> 00:25:37,479
Speaker 4: went to another team with the Alpha wide receiver. If

599
00:25:37,480 --> 00:25:39,000
Speaker 4: he was anywhere else, he would still be this good.

600
00:25:39,440 --> 00:25:42,560
Speaker 1: All right, ericson Minnesota Detroit, what's your approach to this game?

601
00:25:42,920 --> 00:25:44,520
Speaker 2: You know, I was really tested my limits because I

602
00:25:44,800 --> 00:25:46,600
Speaker 2: love the overs at course field, but.

603
00:25:47,000 --> 00:25:50,000
Speaker 4: You do this is when I saw this, I was shocked.

604
00:25:50,320 --> 00:25:51,480
Speaker 4: I was sorry.

605
00:25:53,680 --> 00:25:56,320
Speaker 3: The Undertaker's back, yeah.

606
00:25:55,680 --> 00:25:59,600
Speaker 4: I was. He's at for he never takes an underhere,

607
00:26:00,080 --> 00:26:01,720
Speaker 4: never taking that. It takes it under here.

608
00:26:02,200 --> 00:26:03,040
Speaker 1: No, it doesn't.

609
00:26:03,320 --> 00:26:03,960
Speaker 3: At this number.

610
00:26:04,160 --> 00:26:07,680
Speaker 2: I'm adjusting my expectations because it's just way too high. Okay,

611
00:26:07,760 --> 00:26:10,000
Speaker 2: fifty six and a half points in the NFL in

612
00:26:10,040 --> 00:26:12,840
Speaker 2: two thousand and twenty five. Now now and then we're

613
00:26:12,840 --> 00:26:15,040
Speaker 2: gonna be get betting games of fifty seven point totals.

614
00:26:15,119 --> 00:26:17,040
Speaker 3: I just can't do it. Like that's it for me.

615
00:26:17,400 --> 00:26:20,440
Speaker 2: I look at the trends with the games obviously talking

616
00:26:20,440 --> 00:26:22,440
Speaker 2: about in Detroit. You know, the key number has always

617
00:26:22,480 --> 00:26:24,760
Speaker 2: been fifty five points, like that's really where games have

618
00:26:24,840 --> 00:26:26,840
Speaker 2: gone over the total the most amount of times over

619
00:26:26,880 --> 00:26:29,159
Speaker 2: fifty five. But this number is nowhere near that, Like

620
00:26:29,280 --> 00:26:32,280
Speaker 2: it's well above fifty five points. So I just think

621
00:26:32,280 --> 00:26:35,120
Speaker 2: that this is everybody getting carried away. It's like there's

622
00:26:35,200 --> 00:26:36,720
Speaker 2: there's gonna be a million pot. It's like why stop

623
00:26:36,760 --> 00:26:38,680
Speaker 2: nowt Like why just go over sixty go over sixty five?

624
00:26:38,720 --> 00:26:40,879
Speaker 2: Like it's never gonna stop. And yes, any game can

625
00:26:40,920 --> 00:26:43,199
Speaker 2: go over. Again, we know how bad the Lions defense

626
00:26:43,320 --> 00:26:45,919
Speaker 2: is that liking score points, the lines can score points.

627
00:26:46,119 --> 00:26:47,919
Speaker 2: But I think it's interesting when you look at the

628
00:26:47,920 --> 00:26:50,480
Speaker 2: exact numbers and this totals actually come down right because

629
00:26:50,480 --> 00:26:52,760
Speaker 2: we saw it closer to fifty seven and fifty seven

630
00:26:52,760 --> 00:26:54,719
Speaker 2: and a half. Now we're talking about it here on Thursday,

631
00:26:54,760 --> 00:26:57,560
Speaker 2: it's around fifty six and a half. Looking historically, so

632
00:26:57,680 --> 00:27:00,399
Speaker 2: this is from bet iq. So since two thousand and

633
00:27:00,400 --> 00:27:02,919
Speaker 2: three games out of closed with a fifty seven plus

634
00:27:02,960 --> 00:27:05,879
Speaker 2: point total are seventeen and seven towards the over at

635
00:27:05,920 --> 00:27:08,760
Speaker 2: seventy percent. Now keep in mind the total is no

636
00:27:08,800 --> 00:27:11,240
Speaker 2: longer at fifty seven, it's at fifty six, fifty six

637
00:27:11,240 --> 00:27:14,040
Speaker 2: and a half those games and also including fifty five

638
00:27:14,080 --> 00:27:16,119
Speaker 2: and a half games that have closed at that number,

639
00:27:16,520 --> 00:27:19,200
Speaker 2: thirteen and twenty nine towards the over, So that's thirty

640
00:27:19,240 --> 00:27:22,560
Speaker 2: one percent. So again, if this number closes a little

641
00:27:22,560 --> 00:27:24,600
Speaker 2: bit higher, maybe I would change my opinion. But right now,

642
00:27:24,720 --> 00:27:27,000
Speaker 2: at fifty six and a half fifty six, these games

643
00:27:27,040 --> 00:27:28,880
Speaker 2: do not go over the total like they fall short

644
00:27:28,880 --> 00:27:31,720
Speaker 2: of expectations more often than not historically, So I'm back

645
00:27:31,760 --> 00:27:34,840
Speaker 2: in the trends here, maybe I'll be wrong again, wouldn't

646
00:27:34,840 --> 00:27:36,280
Speaker 2: surprise me and all if there's points in this game.

647
00:27:36,280 --> 00:27:37,880
Speaker 2: But I think we're gonna look up. We get fifty

648
00:27:37,920 --> 00:27:39,959
Speaker 2: one points in a really back and forth game, that

649
00:27:40,359 --> 00:27:42,399
Speaker 2: just leads a little bit left to be desired. So

650
00:27:42,440 --> 00:27:44,320
Speaker 2: I'm gonna take the under here and we'll see how

651
00:27:44,320 --> 00:27:45,160
Speaker 2: it goes on Sunday night.

652
00:27:45,600 --> 00:27:48,520
Speaker 4: Sunday Night football under has been good too, so yeah,

653
00:27:48,560 --> 00:27:49,040
Speaker 4: that's true.

654
00:27:49,480 --> 00:27:50,800
Speaker 1: Look, it's just the end of the year. It's gonna

655
00:27:50,800 --> 00:27:52,240
Speaker 1: be I think everone's gonna be a little tightier. My

656
00:27:52,400 --> 00:27:55,160
Speaker 1: take on this game also happens to be this week's

657
00:27:55,200 --> 00:27:59,000
Speaker 1: Week eighteen upset special. Give me the Minnesota Vikings. Why

658
00:27:59,240 --> 00:28:02,320
Speaker 1: Because Dan can ambling big games, always does the same thing,

659
00:28:02,400 --> 00:28:05,600
Speaker 1: which makes a bad decision at some point it ends

660
00:28:05,680 --> 00:28:09,320
Speaker 1: up costing his team a victory. Sometimes he gets behind

661
00:28:09,400 --> 00:28:11,639
Speaker 1: him makes bad decisions. Sometimes he's working from ahead and

662
00:28:11,720 --> 00:28:14,200
Speaker 1: makes bad decisions. Saw in the playoffs last year, saw

663
00:28:14,200 --> 00:28:16,760
Speaker 1: in the regular season this year. I've seen enough of

664
00:28:16,760 --> 00:28:18,880
Speaker 1: it to get it and I know what's going on here.

665
00:28:19,040 --> 00:28:22,080
Speaker 1: So Dan Campbell, at the end of the day, I

666
00:28:22,119 --> 00:28:24,439
Speaker 1: don't trust him in these kind of spots. This is

667
00:28:24,480 --> 00:28:26,159
Speaker 1: a big game, This is a moment where all of

668
00:28:26,160 --> 00:28:28,760
Speaker 1: a sudden he tightens up and he gets too aggressive

669
00:28:28,800 --> 00:28:31,119
Speaker 1: sometimes and he doesn't pump the brakes because he doesn't

670
00:28:31,119 --> 00:28:33,199
Speaker 1: have a break in his car. We already established that.

671
00:28:33,400 --> 00:28:36,040
Speaker 1: Excuse me, not his car, his Ford f one to fifty.

672
00:28:36,040 --> 00:28:38,000
Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure, because there's no way that guy's not

673
00:28:38,080 --> 00:28:41,000
Speaker 1: driving some incredible giant pickup truck I would imagine. However,

674
00:28:41,480 --> 00:28:44,840
Speaker 1: give me the Minnesota Vikings plus one thirty money line.

675
00:28:45,280 --> 00:28:48,200
Speaker 1: Lock it up Sunday night football, and for the parlay

676
00:28:48,240 --> 00:28:50,840
Speaker 1: of the week, let's take those Minnesota Vikings plus one thirty.

677
00:28:51,040 --> 00:28:53,440
Speaker 1: Let's take the Seahawks minus three hundred on the money

678
00:28:53,440 --> 00:28:55,840
Speaker 1: line too, because the Rams ain't playing anybody this week.

679
00:28:56,000 --> 00:28:58,960
Speaker 1: They are pulling all the goods. Forget it. It's gonna

680
00:28:58,960 --> 00:29:01,680
Speaker 1: be the b and cealing stars of that team playing.

681
00:29:02,000 --> 00:29:04,040
Speaker 1: And then give me the Spike bet on the money

682
00:29:04,040 --> 00:29:06,200
Speaker 1: line of the Cincinnati Bengals at minus one thirty. Put

683
00:29:06,240 --> 00:29:08,320
Speaker 1: them all together, what do you get? You get plus

684
00:29:08,560 --> 00:29:12,320
Speaker 1: four forty two for Week eighteen. That's the way I'm

685
00:29:12,360 --> 00:29:15,160
Speaker 1: approaching Week eighteen. So let's get after it, everybody. It's

686
00:29:15,160 --> 00:29:17,720
Speaker 1: been a fun season with the boys, but don't worry, kids,

687
00:29:17,760 --> 00:29:20,000
Speaker 1: we're not going anywhere. We're gonna be throughout the NFL

688
00:29:20,000 --> 00:29:22,600
Speaker 1: playoffs together and a Terrell's got more college stuff, more

689
00:29:22,720 --> 00:29:25,280
Speaker 1: NBA stuff. We're gonna be doing NFL Draft stuff before

690
00:29:25,320 --> 00:29:28,920
Speaker 1: you know it. Matt Perrault, myself, Andrew Erickson is gonna

691
00:29:28,960 --> 00:29:31,400
Speaker 1: be doing some live streams next week for the wildcard round.

692
00:29:31,400 --> 00:29:33,240
Speaker 1: So a lot of good things. We're not going anywhere.

693
00:29:33,440 --> 00:29:36,120
Speaker 1: Even though the regular season's ending, We've got a lot

694
00:29:36,160 --> 00:29:39,320
Speaker 1: of football just beginning. So make sure you subscribe to

695
00:29:39,320 --> 00:29:41,520
Speaker 1: the podcast wherever you get your pods for betting pros,

696
00:29:41,560 --> 00:29:43,960
Speaker 1: and of course subscribe to the YouTube channel and ring

697
00:29:43,960 --> 00:29:46,040
Speaker 1: the belts that it goes thing for notifications, so you

698
00:29:46,080 --> 00:29:47,880
Speaker 1: don't miss any of those live streams because a're gona

699
00:29:47,920 --> 00:29:49,640
Speaker 1: pop up in the afternoons. You're gonna say, oh, I

700
00:29:49,680 --> 00:29:51,400
Speaker 1: missed the live stream. I wish I was there to

701
00:29:51,400 --> 00:29:53,760
Speaker 1: talk with the guys, and we wish you were there too,

702
00:29:53,840 --> 00:29:56,600
Speaker 1: So be with us instead. Ring the bell, subscribe to

703
00:29:56,600 --> 00:29:59,400
Speaker 1: the channel. Drop your comments below, especially if they're about

704
00:29:59,480 --> 00:30:01,200
Speaker 1: Joe Burrow and the Council of Jos. That'll do it

705
00:30:01,200 --> 00:30:04,280
Speaker 1: for us for Week eighteen. Have a great one, everybody,

706
00:30:04,360 --> 00:30:05,960
Speaker 1: that'll do it for us, but the story of the

707
00:30:06,000 --> 00:30:08,400
Speaker 1: game goes on for Terrell, Furman, Junior and the Undertaker

708
00:30:08,440 --> 00:30:11,840
Speaker 1: Andrew Ericson I'm Joey p. We'll see you next time. Kids.

709
00:30:12,920 --> 00:30:15,040
Speaker 1: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast.

710
00:30:15,280 --> 00:30:17,680
Speaker 6: If you love the show, the best freeway to support

711
00:30:17,720 --> 00:30:20,600
Speaker 6: us is by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts

712
00:30:20,720 --> 00:30:23,720
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713
00:30:23,760 --> 00:30:27,560
Speaker 6: Pros and Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to

714
00:30:27,560 --> 00:30:36,240
Speaker 6: our YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros