1 00:00:14,320 --> 00:00:16,720 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Thursday 2 00:00:16,760 --> 00:00:19,919 Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt 3 00:00:19,920 --> 00:00:22,640 Speaker 1: Parolt at Sports Talk. Matt to follow me on Twitter. 4 00:00:23,200 --> 00:00:26,640 Speaker 1: After a day off, we are back. We bet yesterday, 5 00:00:26,680 --> 00:00:30,920 Speaker 1: but Saturday and US Open bets. We had Cam Smith 6 00:00:31,040 --> 00:00:32,800 Speaker 1: coming in the top ten. You can jump on that 7 00:00:32,840 --> 00:00:35,920 Speaker 1: if you'd like that bet from yesterday, and then a 8 00:00:35,920 --> 00:00:38,559 Speaker 1: couple of college baseball bets. Remind you about that on 9 00:00:38,640 --> 00:00:41,600 Speaker 1: Friday's podcast because it does not start till Saturday. For 10 00:00:41,680 --> 00:00:43,800 Speaker 1: the game we have bet the teams. 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It's the only other four round bet. 41 00:02:34,120 --> 00:02:37,880 Speaker 1: I'm gonna have for the US Open. But golf fans, 42 00:02:37,919 --> 00:02:39,920 Speaker 1: you got to try to help me out. I appreciate 43 00:02:39,960 --> 00:02:42,080 Speaker 1: this a lot. Somebody told me to go look for 44 00:02:42,120 --> 00:02:46,680 Speaker 1: the four round US Open Jordan's speeth against Justin Thomas. 45 00:02:46,720 --> 00:02:50,880 Speaker 1: This is on DraftKings. It's also here in Vegas where 46 00:02:50,880 --> 00:02:53,320 Speaker 1: you can get it at the Westgates. Okay, I got 47 00:02:53,400 --> 00:02:56,720 Speaker 1: it from minus one forty. I couldn't find this on DraftKings, 48 00:02:56,720 --> 00:02:58,639 Speaker 1: but maybe I wasn't looking hard enough because I found 49 00:02:58,680 --> 00:03:01,200 Speaker 1: out the West Skates, so I didn't really care. It's 50 00:03:01,280 --> 00:03:04,160 Speaker 1: supposedly minus one thirty, but we'll officially play it at 51 00:03:04,240 --> 00:03:06,880 Speaker 1: minus one forty. Little juicy, little heavy, but it's a 52 00:03:06,919 --> 00:03:09,480 Speaker 1: four round, four day bets. I'm a little comfortable laying 53 00:03:09,560 --> 00:03:12,520 Speaker 1: it because it's a four round bet. But Jordan Speed 54 00:03:12,720 --> 00:03:15,919 Speaker 1: came in fourth and twenty ninth at the Majors this year, 55 00:03:16,000 --> 00:03:18,280 Speaker 1: and a lot of people are picking Jordan Speed to 56 00:03:18,400 --> 00:03:21,480 Speaker 1: win this thing. Coming up this week for the US Open, 57 00:03:22,600 --> 00:03:26,000 Speaker 1: Justin Thomas has missed the cut and finished sixty fifth. 58 00:03:26,600 --> 00:03:29,320 Speaker 1: Speed is coming off of a fifth place finish at 59 00:03:29,520 --> 00:03:34,760 Speaker 1: the Thomas MC at Mirfield. Thomas has not played well. 60 00:03:34,880 --> 00:03:37,480 Speaker 1: Things have not been going well at all the rough 61 00:03:37,520 --> 00:03:42,040 Speaker 1: could kill Justin Thomas with his inaccuracies. His iron play 62 00:03:42,080 --> 00:03:45,440 Speaker 1: has not been good. We're gonna take a four round 63 00:03:45,800 --> 00:03:49,840 Speaker 1: head to head of Jordan Speed over Justin Thomas for 64 00:03:50,040 --> 00:03:53,760 Speaker 1: one point four units. All right, one point four units 65 00:03:54,280 --> 00:03:57,240 Speaker 1: take Jordan Speed. Some people again are picking him to 66 00:03:57,280 --> 00:03:59,360 Speaker 1: win the thing out right. If he does that, we'll 67 00:03:59,360 --> 00:04:04,040 Speaker 1: win this all but Speith over Thomas four round bet 68 00:04:04,520 --> 00:04:07,760 Speaker 1: at minus one forty one point four units down to 69 00:04:07,800 --> 00:04:10,360 Speaker 1: win one unit coming back for the US Open. All right, 70 00:04:10,400 --> 00:04:13,720 Speaker 1: so just two bets Cam Smith to come in top ten. 71 00:04:14,080 --> 00:04:16,360 Speaker 1: No dead heat rules. By the way, make sure you're 72 00:04:16,400 --> 00:04:19,520 Speaker 1: watching for that head to head four rounder Speeth over 73 00:04:19,600 --> 00:04:22,760 Speaker 1: Thomas minus one forty. Although supposedly DraftKings has it at 74 00:04:22,800 --> 00:04:25,240 Speaker 1: minus one thirty. You can get it better. I played 75 00:04:25,240 --> 00:04:28,440 Speaker 1: it at one forty here in Vegas at the super Book. 76 00:04:28,520 --> 00:04:30,760 Speaker 1: So maybe if the super Book is live in your state, 77 00:04:30,800 --> 00:04:33,960 Speaker 1: can go find it there as well. All right, to baseball. 78 00:04:34,120 --> 00:04:37,080 Speaker 1: Two baseball bets going here today, Let's talk about the 79 00:04:37,160 --> 00:04:41,440 Speaker 1: Rockies and the Braves. It is Kyle Freeland Day. Kyle 80 00:04:41,480 --> 00:04:44,320 Speaker 1: Freeland on the road has been very good. It's been 81 00:04:44,400 --> 00:04:49,159 Speaker 1: very good. Recently, unders have been coming in consistently Rockies 82 00:04:49,200 --> 00:04:51,120 Speaker 1: on the road. They lost to the Red Sox six 83 00:04:51,160 --> 00:04:53,800 Speaker 1: to three yesterday on the road, a little bit of 84 00:04:53,839 --> 00:04:57,120 Speaker 1: a higher era than what you'd expect from Kyle Freeland. 85 00:04:57,120 --> 00:04:59,599 Speaker 1: He actually is a better homey RA than roadie RA 86 00:05:00,040 --> 00:05:02,000 Speaker 1: four point eight to one on the road, three point 87 00:05:02,080 --> 00:05:06,159 Speaker 1: one point nine at home. But that's because recent history 88 00:05:06,160 --> 00:05:09,000 Speaker 1: hasn't been great on the road for him. On the 89 00:05:09,080 --> 00:05:11,600 Speaker 1: road at Arizona five to one loss, give of five 90 00:05:11,680 --> 00:05:15,440 Speaker 1: earned runs in six sorry, five and two thirds worth 91 00:05:15,480 --> 00:05:16,919 Speaker 1: of work. But then the next game after that against 92 00:05:16,960 --> 00:05:20,720 Speaker 1: Kansas City two earned runs in seven innings. He's lost 93 00:05:20,880 --> 00:05:24,000 Speaker 1: three straight starts, but five to one, two nothing, and 94 00:05:24,120 --> 00:05:29,360 Speaker 1: three to two, all low scoring games. Now, the Braves 95 00:05:29,400 --> 00:05:33,640 Speaker 1: are one of the best home teams two overs on 96 00:05:33,880 --> 00:05:38,159 Speaker 1: the year, okay, like ten games over five hundred at 97 00:05:38,160 --> 00:05:40,880 Speaker 1: home to the over, but the Rockies are one of 98 00:05:40,880 --> 00:05:44,240 Speaker 1: the worst road teams to the under or to the over, 99 00:05:44,279 --> 00:05:47,280 Speaker 1: I should say in baseball. And the Braves are going 100 00:05:47,360 --> 00:05:50,760 Speaker 1: to trot out a guy who the Rockies haven't seen before, 101 00:05:51,120 --> 00:05:54,320 Speaker 1: Aj Smith saw I think I say say his name 102 00:05:54,440 --> 00:05:58,480 Speaker 1: sawver aj Smith Sawber, twenty year old right hander from 103 00:05:58,520 --> 00:06:02,000 Speaker 1: Fort Worth, Texas. He's pitched in two games so far, 104 00:06:02,160 --> 00:06:06,280 Speaker 1: one time in relief in one start relief against the Diamondbacks, 105 00:06:06,320 --> 00:06:10,120 Speaker 1: two and a third no earn runs start against the 106 00:06:10,240 --> 00:06:13,240 Speaker 1: Washington Nationals back on the ninth of June. He won 107 00:06:13,279 --> 00:06:15,400 Speaker 1: the game, got the win three to two, win five 108 00:06:15,440 --> 00:06:18,760 Speaker 1: and a third, just two runs given up, zero of them, 109 00:06:18,839 --> 00:06:24,599 Speaker 1: earned only three hits given up. These Rocky hitters haven't 110 00:06:24,640 --> 00:06:28,200 Speaker 1: seen this guy me Kyle freedlely not to get hammered here. 111 00:06:28,240 --> 00:06:30,800 Speaker 1: The Braves scored ten runs last night. They won ten 112 00:06:30,839 --> 00:06:33,920 Speaker 1: to seven against the Tigers. I'm gonna bet the under 113 00:06:34,560 --> 00:06:41,039 Speaker 1: minus one twenty under nine Braves and the Colorado Rockies. 114 00:06:41,520 --> 00:06:44,640 Speaker 1: Let's hope the under team prevails with you know, kind 115 00:06:44,640 --> 00:06:47,360 Speaker 1: of ships going in different directions. Braves are an over 116 00:06:47,480 --> 00:06:50,400 Speaker 1: team at home, Rockies are an under team on the road. 117 00:06:50,760 --> 00:06:54,240 Speaker 1: Let's hope the pitching holds up under nine minus one 118 00:06:54,360 --> 00:06:58,599 Speaker 1: twenty one point two units down on this. Second bet. 119 00:06:58,880 --> 00:07:02,680 Speaker 1: Third bet for the pod second bet Angels and the Rangers. 120 00:07:03,520 --> 00:07:08,000 Speaker 1: Otani against Avaldi. Oh, it's an underplay, right bet the 121 00:07:08,120 --> 00:07:12,360 Speaker 1: under right can't do it, even though the knee jerk 122 00:07:12,480 --> 00:07:16,120 Speaker 1: is to jump in on show. Heyotani, his numbers are 123 00:07:16,240 --> 00:07:19,680 Speaker 1: actually a little bit deceiving at the moment as to 124 00:07:19,720 --> 00:07:22,120 Speaker 1: the way he's pitched on the road. Otani is a 125 00:07:22,200 --> 00:07:25,600 Speaker 1: four point two to two ERA on the road. He's 126 00:07:25,640 --> 00:07:29,119 Speaker 1: two to one opposing batting average is still just point 127 00:07:29,360 --> 00:07:32,880 Speaker 1: one point or sorry or one ninety opposing batting average. 128 00:07:33,200 --> 00:07:35,760 Speaker 1: But he's given up seven home runs on the road. 129 00:07:36,760 --> 00:07:39,480 Speaker 1: Seven home runs. That's a lot of home runs to 130 00:07:39,520 --> 00:07:42,040 Speaker 1: be given up for a starting pitcher of his caliber. 131 00:07:42,320 --> 00:07:46,280 Speaker 1: For sho Heotani this early in this season, so I 132 00:07:46,320 --> 00:07:49,960 Speaker 1: think Otani's gonna get hit here. And Otani look at 133 00:07:50,000 --> 00:07:52,800 Speaker 1: his recent games and how he has pitched, how the 134 00:07:52,840 --> 00:07:55,160 Speaker 1: games have gone. This is kind of wild. Five four 135 00:07:55,280 --> 00:07:58,520 Speaker 1: six two eight five four two nine five. I mean 136 00:07:58,560 --> 00:08:02,440 Speaker 1: that's you know, normally, Sorry with my computer, you don't 137 00:08:02,480 --> 00:08:05,760 Speaker 1: normally see a guy like a Tani having that type 138 00:08:05,760 --> 00:08:09,040 Speaker 1: of scores. So last five games, final score nine to 139 00:08:09,120 --> 00:08:12,000 Speaker 1: five four two eight, five six two five four. The 140 00:08:12,040 --> 00:08:15,320 Speaker 1: total of this game is eight of Aaldi's pitching for 141 00:08:15,440 --> 00:08:18,440 Speaker 1: the Rangers. But the Rangers offense has been really good 142 00:08:18,640 --> 00:08:22,320 Speaker 1: and they score a lot of runs at home. Avaldi. Look, 143 00:08:22,360 --> 00:08:24,840 Speaker 1: he's nine and two with a two point four to 144 00:08:24,960 --> 00:08:29,040 Speaker 1: nine er. I'll give you that, but even Avaldi hasn't 145 00:08:29,080 --> 00:08:32,600 Speaker 1: been outstanding. You give four earned runs in his last 146 00:08:32,640 --> 00:08:36,280 Speaker 1: start against Tampa Bay Rays on the road. Now, two 147 00:08:36,360 --> 00:08:39,600 Speaker 1: starts before that he went six and five, no earned runs, 148 00:08:39,600 --> 00:08:42,120 Speaker 1: and either one of those starts one complete game against 149 00:08:42,160 --> 00:08:45,560 Speaker 1: the Pirates, nine innings, only one earned runs given up. 150 00:08:45,600 --> 00:08:47,960 Speaker 1: I mean, he's been tremendous, don't get me wrong. And 151 00:08:48,000 --> 00:08:50,240 Speaker 1: at home you would think he has a great ERA. 152 00:08:50,720 --> 00:08:52,760 Speaker 1: He doesn't. At home, it's a three point three to 153 00:08:52,760 --> 00:08:54,640 Speaker 1: eight ERA. On the road of Valdi has a one 154 00:08:54,640 --> 00:08:58,000 Speaker 1: point nine to eight EER. So you have a pitcher 155 00:08:58,040 --> 00:09:00,920 Speaker 1: at home with a slightly elevated ER and a pitcher 156 00:09:00,960 --> 00:09:03,880 Speaker 1: on the road with a slightly elevated ERA, and the 157 00:09:03,920 --> 00:09:08,160 Speaker 1: totals eight. I mean this is someone of like I 158 00:09:08,360 --> 00:09:09,960 Speaker 1: almost like do like a double check on this. I 159 00:09:09,960 --> 00:09:11,719 Speaker 1: was like, wait, is this really gonna be that's right? 160 00:09:11,920 --> 00:09:15,920 Speaker 1: It's it's eight. Yeah, it's it's eight overs minus one fifteen. 161 00:09:17,120 --> 00:09:21,280 Speaker 1: We're gonna bet the over eight Angels Rangers over eight 162 00:09:21,520 --> 00:09:24,760 Speaker 1: minus one point fifteen, one point one five units down 163 00:09:25,400 --> 00:09:26,880 Speaker 1: on this. And if you look at the way these 164 00:09:26,880 --> 00:09:29,240 Speaker 1: teams have scored against each other so far this season, 165 00:09:29,280 --> 00:09:32,120 Speaker 1: I mean last two games nine of US three games 166 00:09:32,280 --> 00:09:36,760 Speaker 1: nine to six, seven three, six three. Okay, every game 167 00:09:36,800 --> 00:09:39,920 Speaker 1: has gone over eight. I'm just gonna follow the trend here, 168 00:09:40,080 --> 00:09:44,160 Speaker 1: and even with Otani pitching over eight minus one fifteen 169 00:09:44,520 --> 00:09:48,800 Speaker 1: Angels Rangers tonight total eight go over for one point 170 00:09:48,840 --> 00:09:50,959 Speaker 1: one to five units. All right, So the three bets 171 00:09:51,000 --> 00:09:54,839 Speaker 1: for US here, US Open and Baseball. We're going under 172 00:09:54,920 --> 00:09:58,120 Speaker 1: nine Braves and the Colorado Rockies at minus won twenty 173 00:09:58,400 --> 00:10:02,040 Speaker 1: we're going over eight angel and the Rangers here mis 174 00:10:02,080 --> 00:10:05,880 Speaker 1: one fifteen Jordan'speeth over Justin Thomas. That is a minus 175 00:10:05,960 --> 00:10:08,680 Speaker 1: one forty bet for all four rounds of the US Open, 176 00:10:08,720 --> 00:10:11,960 Speaker 1: which starts in Los Angeles coming up here today. Hopefully 177 00:10:12,000 --> 00:10:13,880 Speaker 1: that later start time on the West Coast gives you 178 00:10:13,920 --> 00:10:15,920 Speaker 1: guys on the East Coast some time to make that 179 00:10:15,960 --> 00:10:18,960 Speaker 1: bet minus one thirty. Supposedly at DraftKings, I got out 180 00:10:18,960 --> 00:10:20,800 Speaker 1: at the West gate mis one forty one point four 181 00:10:20,920 --> 00:10:23,599 Speaker 1: units down on that mis Matt Parolt following me on 182 00:10:23,640 --> 00:10:26,200 Speaker 1: Twitter at Sports Talk Matt. Every single morning, it is 183 00:10:26,240 --> 00:10:29,080 Speaker 1: the Daily Juice Podcast, being brought to you by Omaha 184 00:10:29,120 --> 00:10:43,160 Speaker 1: Steaks dot Com.