1 00:00:10,280 --> 00:00:12,680 Speaker 1: Hey everybody, Welcome back to another edition of the Betting 2 00:00:12,680 --> 00:00:15,880 Speaker 1: Pros NFL Podcast, brought to you by bet MGM. I'm 3 00:00:15,920 --> 00:00:18,000 Speaker 1: your host, Dan Harris. You can find me on Twitter 4 00:00:18,320 --> 00:00:21,440 Speaker 1: at Dan Harris eighty. We are onto the divisional round 5 00:00:21,480 --> 00:00:23,720 Speaker 1: and we have got some big spreads to break down. 6 00:00:24,079 --> 00:00:26,400 Speaker 1: With me to tackle it all is Larry Hartstein, a 7 00:00:26,480 --> 00:00:29,440 Speaker 1: senior analyst for sports Line. Larry's one of the more 8 00:00:29,480 --> 00:00:32,000 Speaker 1: accurate sports betters in the game. He is fifty five 9 00:00:32,080 --> 00:00:34,520 Speaker 1: and thirty six against the spread this year, a pretty 10 00:00:34,520 --> 00:00:37,040 Speaker 1: remarkable number, and last year he went sixty one and 11 00:00:37,120 --> 00:00:39,279 Speaker 1: forty seven on all his picks. You can find him 12 00:00:39,320 --> 00:00:42,280 Speaker 1: on Twitter at Larry Hartstein. Larry, thanks for coming on. 13 00:00:42,320 --> 00:00:42,800 Speaker 1: How's it going. 14 00:00:43,040 --> 00:00:45,159 Speaker 2: Oh, it's going great. Glad to be here, Dan. 15 00:00:45,560 --> 00:00:47,720 Speaker 1: So can I assume then that you had a clean 16 00:00:47,840 --> 00:00:50,640 Speaker 1: sweep last week and that crazy wildcard round or what 17 00:00:51,560 --> 00:00:51,800 Speaker 1: you know? 18 00:00:51,880 --> 00:00:54,760 Speaker 2: I only liked one game each day, and the first 19 00:00:54,840 --> 00:00:58,600 Speaker 2: day went beautifully with the Titans plus the points almost 20 00:00:58,640 --> 00:01:00,840 Speaker 2: never in doubt, although we needed that goal line stand 21 00:01:00,840 --> 00:01:03,160 Speaker 2: to kind of shift the momentum at the end of 22 00:01:03,160 --> 00:01:05,120 Speaker 2: the second quarter. But then I was on the Eagles, 23 00:01:05,160 --> 00:01:08,360 Speaker 2: like it seemed like every professional in the world was 24 00:01:08,400 --> 00:01:11,000 Speaker 2: on the Eagles, and the entire public was on the Seahawks, 25 00:01:11,000 --> 00:01:12,560 Speaker 2: and then you know what happened. 26 00:01:12,840 --> 00:01:15,880 Speaker 1: Yeah, you know, fade the public is always the common 27 00:01:15,880 --> 00:01:18,600 Speaker 1: refrain that everybody uses, but it doesn't always work. I mean, 28 00:01:18,640 --> 00:01:21,320 Speaker 1: the public wins, you know, that's what's going to happen. Obviously, 29 00:01:21,560 --> 00:01:23,800 Speaker 1: you can't foresee the Carson Wentz injury. And I assume 30 00:01:23,840 --> 00:01:25,679 Speaker 1: that you think that if Wentz were able to make 31 00:01:25,680 --> 00:01:27,480 Speaker 1: it through that game healthy, that the Eagles would have 32 00:01:27,480 --> 00:01:28,280 Speaker 1: pulled it out. Correct. 33 00:01:28,600 --> 00:01:31,640 Speaker 2: I don't know, because McCown played a lot better than expected. 34 00:01:31,720 --> 00:01:35,000 Speaker 2: I mean, I'm still rewatching that play on fourth and four, 35 00:01:35,120 --> 00:01:37,200 Speaker 2: fourth and three where the running back has it in 36 00:01:37,240 --> 00:01:41,760 Speaker 2: the flat, has a clear first down and just drops it. Yeah, 37 00:01:41,800 --> 00:01:43,720 Speaker 2: you know, I would love to say it was all Wentz, 38 00:01:43,760 --> 00:01:47,760 Speaker 2: but you know, either that's how it goes in this business, 39 00:01:47,800 --> 00:01:48,280 Speaker 2: as you know. 40 00:01:48,720 --> 00:01:52,280 Speaker 1: Yeah, the Seahawks also have been basically modelbusters all year long. 41 00:01:52,360 --> 00:01:54,040 Speaker 1: They just find a way to win these games even 42 00:01:54,080 --> 00:01:57,000 Speaker 1: though they're not a particularly good team. That's the onespread 43 00:01:57,000 --> 00:01:58,880 Speaker 1: this weekend, which we'll talk about in a bit that 44 00:01:59,000 --> 00:02:01,920 Speaker 1: is not particularly big. It's one of the closer ones. 45 00:02:01,960 --> 00:02:04,760 Speaker 1: So we'll get there as we get into it. Look, 46 00:02:05,640 --> 00:02:06,840 Speaker 1: Larry and I are going to be getting into the 47 00:02:06,840 --> 00:02:08,919 Speaker 1: odds for the four divisional games. We're also going to 48 00:02:08,960 --> 00:02:11,920 Speaker 1: be talking about a couple of futures that we might like. 49 00:02:12,040 --> 00:02:13,840 Speaker 1: But let's dive into it right here with the first 50 00:02:13,840 --> 00:02:16,600 Speaker 1: game of the week. That's the Vikings at the forty 51 00:02:16,680 --> 00:02:18,799 Speaker 1: nine ers. The Niners are laying six and a half 52 00:02:18,919 --> 00:02:20,679 Speaker 1: right now. I saw it open at seven, so it's 53 00:02:20,680 --> 00:02:23,400 Speaker 1: down just a tad and the total at forty four 54 00:02:23,480 --> 00:02:26,160 Speaker 1: and a half. The Vikings come up with a huge upset, 55 00:02:26,280 --> 00:02:28,840 Speaker 1: huge win for sports books. I'm sure a lot of 56 00:02:28,880 --> 00:02:32,560 Speaker 1: parlays or teasers like the one that I had got 57 00:02:32,560 --> 00:02:34,720 Speaker 1: blown up there. When the Saints losing. They're two big 58 00:02:34,800 --> 00:02:37,200 Speaker 1: injured players, Dalvin Cook Adam thieland they come up huge. 59 00:02:37,240 --> 00:02:40,320 Speaker 1: They dominate the time of possession thirty seven minutes. Overall, 60 00:02:40,520 --> 00:02:42,280 Speaker 1: the defense plays well, they get a ton of pressure 61 00:02:42,320 --> 00:02:45,400 Speaker 1: on Breezo. Overall, other than trying to give the game 62 00:02:45,440 --> 00:02:47,520 Speaker 1: away at the very end, they pretty well dominated at me. 63 00:02:47,520 --> 00:02:49,919 Speaker 1: While the Niners are fully rested, they can get to 64 00:02:49,960 --> 00:02:52,640 Speaker 1: the quarterback, they can run the ball, they're creative on offense, 65 00:02:52,639 --> 00:02:55,639 Speaker 1: they're getting healthy. It sounds like now Kwan Alexander may 66 00:02:55,680 --> 00:02:57,959 Speaker 1: return here. I feel like the public might be a 67 00:02:58,000 --> 00:03:00,440 Speaker 1: little excited about the Vikings after that big win. But 68 00:03:00,560 --> 00:03:02,800 Speaker 1: what do you think here with the opener at Niners 69 00:03:02,840 --> 00:03:04,799 Speaker 1: laying six and a half, with the total at forty 70 00:03:04,840 --> 00:03:05,720 Speaker 1: four and a half. 71 00:03:06,080 --> 00:03:08,960 Speaker 2: You kind of sketched it out. How on the surface, 72 00:03:09,040 --> 00:03:11,760 Speaker 2: your first instinct is, yeah, this Vikings team can play 73 00:03:11,760 --> 00:03:14,639 Speaker 2: with anyone when Cook is healthy, Feeling's healthy. They ran 74 00:03:14,680 --> 00:03:18,160 Speaker 2: the ball forty times, really controlled the game for the 75 00:03:18,200 --> 00:03:22,720 Speaker 2: most part. And I have noted, you know, repeatedly that 76 00:03:22,800 --> 00:03:26,120 Speaker 2: people have just hammered this Viking secondary all year. But 77 00:03:26,160 --> 00:03:28,600 Speaker 2: if you look at the last seven games, only six 78 00:03:28,680 --> 00:03:32,640 Speaker 2: touchdown passes, allowed only one three hundred yard passer and 79 00:03:32,680 --> 00:03:34,880 Speaker 2: that was Philip Rivers who had three ZHO seven in 80 00:03:34,960 --> 00:03:37,360 Speaker 2: a blowout loss. So they have played a lot better 81 00:03:37,440 --> 00:03:41,000 Speaker 2: down the stretch. All of that said, I think when 82 00:03:41,040 --> 00:03:43,680 Speaker 2: you take a step back, like you said, and look 83 00:03:43,720 --> 00:03:46,520 Speaker 2: at the health on the forty nine Ers defense with 84 00:03:46,640 --> 00:03:49,440 Speaker 2: d Ford coming back six and a half sacks, you 85 00:03:49,520 --> 00:03:52,320 Speaker 2: got Nick Bosa, you got all the other rushers, and 86 00:03:52,560 --> 00:03:56,520 Speaker 2: remember what the Vikings O line looked like against the Packers. 87 00:03:56,560 --> 00:03:59,320 Speaker 2: I mean that was a meaningful game at home. They 88 00:03:59,360 --> 00:04:02,840 Speaker 2: couldn't block it at all, and this defensive front of 89 00:04:02,880 --> 00:04:05,920 Speaker 2: the forty nine Ers is more athletic than the Packers 90 00:04:06,040 --> 00:04:09,320 Speaker 2: pass rush, So to me, that's what gives me hesitation 91 00:04:09,600 --> 00:04:12,320 Speaker 2: as opposed to just grabbing the points with Minnesota. 92 00:04:12,560 --> 00:04:15,760 Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't love this for Minnesota under a touchdown, 93 00:04:15,800 --> 00:04:17,919 Speaker 1: I lean towards the Vikings. It certainly seems like a 94 00:04:17,960 --> 00:04:20,160 Speaker 1: game which I would love to do a teaser with 95 00:04:20,279 --> 00:04:22,440 Speaker 1: and tease the Niners down to basically a pick them 96 00:04:22,440 --> 00:04:24,279 Speaker 1: game because it's hard for me to see them losing it. 97 00:04:24,400 --> 00:04:26,720 Speaker 1: I said the same thing last week where the Saints 98 00:04:26,760 --> 00:04:28,880 Speaker 1: at giving one and a half were part of one 99 00:04:28,880 --> 00:04:31,159 Speaker 1: of my better bets for the teasers. So you never know, 100 00:04:31,279 --> 00:04:33,680 Speaker 1: of course, But yeah, I think the problem with the 101 00:04:33,760 --> 00:04:36,839 Speaker 1: Vikings they have an offensive line. They're a good run 102 00:04:36,880 --> 00:04:39,520 Speaker 1: blocking offensive line, but they're really not a great pass 103 00:04:39,560 --> 00:04:42,000 Speaker 1: blocking offensive line. I think they're really going to struggle 104 00:04:42,160 --> 00:04:44,719 Speaker 1: to keep cousins upright against the forty nine Ers. Do 105 00:04:44,760 --> 00:04:47,039 Speaker 1: you expect this line to roughly stay where it is? 106 00:04:47,040 --> 00:04:48,360 Speaker 1: Do you think it's going to get passed the key 107 00:04:48,400 --> 00:04:50,080 Speaker 1: number of seven? Do you see it trending down? How 108 00:04:50,120 --> 00:04:52,120 Speaker 1: do you see it unfolding as the week goes on. 109 00:04:52,800 --> 00:04:54,280 Speaker 2: I think it's going to be one of these things 110 00:04:54,279 --> 00:04:56,840 Speaker 2: where you may see it back and forth between seven 111 00:04:56,880 --> 00:04:58,919 Speaker 2: and six and a half. But I think it's going 112 00:04:59,000 --> 00:05:02,040 Speaker 2: to close under a touchdown. I don't think any chance 113 00:05:02,080 --> 00:05:05,000 Speaker 2: it would go over a touchdown unless there's some you know, 114 00:05:05,200 --> 00:05:08,320 Speaker 2: significant vikings injury news. I mean, how has Steeling got 115 00:05:08,360 --> 00:05:10,600 Speaker 2: He looked finally healthy. I mean that was that was 116 00:05:10,640 --> 00:05:12,919 Speaker 2: the Adam Theelen we know and love, and what a 117 00:05:12,960 --> 00:05:15,480 Speaker 2: great catch you know, to get down to the three 118 00:05:15,560 --> 00:05:18,320 Speaker 2: yard line there. But how's he going to react on 119 00:05:18,360 --> 00:05:20,960 Speaker 2: a short week traveling? You know, is he going to 120 00:05:21,000 --> 00:05:23,040 Speaker 2: be able to play the way he did? And also Cook, 121 00:05:23,360 --> 00:05:26,640 Speaker 2: you know, seemed to go unscathed, but he's been dealing 122 00:05:26,640 --> 00:05:29,479 Speaker 2: with injuries, so that kind of concerns me for the Vikes. 123 00:05:29,480 --> 00:05:31,360 Speaker 2: But no, I think it's going to stay right in 124 00:05:31,360 --> 00:05:32,239 Speaker 2: that six and a half. 125 00:05:32,520 --> 00:05:34,040 Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree, I don't see it getting past the 126 00:05:34,080 --> 00:05:36,600 Speaker 1: key number of seven. But you did call it. They 127 00:05:36,640 --> 00:05:39,239 Speaker 1: were able to get two of their huge playmakers healthy 128 00:05:39,240 --> 00:05:41,440 Speaker 1: and it made all the different Steelen plaid great. Cook 129 00:05:41,480 --> 00:05:43,640 Speaker 1: played great, and again, as you said, they got out 130 00:05:43,680 --> 00:05:45,280 Speaker 1: of the game unscared, so it is going to make 131 00:05:45,279 --> 00:05:46,920 Speaker 1: a big difference. The one thing I'm going to talk 132 00:05:46,920 --> 00:05:49,240 Speaker 1: about I have never liked. I'm sure you don't, as 133 00:05:49,279 --> 00:05:52,440 Speaker 1: somebody who specialized in this, the narratives about how Kirk 134 00:05:52,480 --> 00:05:55,080 Speaker 1: Cousins you know, can play in primetime and everybody knew 135 00:05:55,080 --> 00:05:57,200 Speaker 1: about his record on Monday Night fooball and everything like that. 136 00:05:57,360 --> 00:05:58,960 Speaker 1: I don't never bought into any of that. I was 137 00:05:58,960 --> 00:06:01,200 Speaker 1: glad to see him kind put to rest. The one 138 00:06:01,240 --> 00:06:03,840 Speaker 1: thing is, though he is not nearly as good a 139 00:06:03,920 --> 00:06:06,599 Speaker 1: quarterback outdoors, which I'm sure you could say for a 140 00:06:06,640 --> 00:06:09,320 Speaker 1: lot of people, but generally speaking, his passer rating in 141 00:06:09,360 --> 00:06:12,440 Speaker 1: his career is roughly twenty points less outdoors than it 142 00:06:12,480 --> 00:06:14,000 Speaker 1: is indoor. Is there going to be a big home 143 00:06:14,040 --> 00:06:16,679 Speaker 1: field advantage for the Niners. So again, if I'm going 144 00:06:16,680 --> 00:06:19,240 Speaker 1: one way or another, at this point, I lean towards 145 00:06:19,240 --> 00:06:20,920 Speaker 1: the Niners lank six and a half. I don't think 146 00:06:20,960 --> 00:06:22,760 Speaker 1: there's any rush to bet it for the reason that 147 00:06:22,800 --> 00:06:24,280 Speaker 1: you said, because I don't think that it's going to 148 00:06:24,320 --> 00:06:25,960 Speaker 1: get up to seven. But as of right now, I 149 00:06:26,040 --> 00:06:28,359 Speaker 1: like my guess is by the time I'm making my 150 00:06:28,480 --> 00:06:30,800 Speaker 1: actual bets that I'm gonna tease them down here to 151 00:06:30,880 --> 00:06:33,520 Speaker 1: more like half a point, and we'll see how that goes. 152 00:06:34,000 --> 00:06:36,760 Speaker 1: Let's move on to our next game. Titans at the Ravens. 153 00:06:36,839 --> 00:06:39,400 Speaker 1: Ravens laying nine. This is trending downward a little bit. 154 00:06:39,440 --> 00:06:41,360 Speaker 1: I saw it at ten at some places when we 155 00:06:41,440 --> 00:06:42,960 Speaker 1: first opened. It was nine and a half when I 156 00:06:43,000 --> 00:06:45,560 Speaker 1: looked earlier this morning, but down to nine. The total 157 00:06:45,560 --> 00:06:47,960 Speaker 1: has also dropped a point. It was at forty eight, 158 00:06:48,000 --> 00:06:51,160 Speaker 1: it's now at forty seven. Look, the Titans make the 159 00:06:51,240 --> 00:06:54,240 Speaker 1: vast majority of people outside of New England happy by 160 00:06:54,320 --> 00:06:56,640 Speaker 1: knocking off the Patriots. They also make one of the 161 00:06:56,640 --> 00:06:59,120 Speaker 1: people on these podcast who is in New England happy 162 00:06:59,160 --> 00:07:01,800 Speaker 1: by knocking off the Patriots. Derek Henry rushes for one 163 00:07:01,880 --> 00:07:05,760 Speaker 1: hundred and eighty two yards, absolutely dominant performance. On his birthday. 164 00:07:05,960 --> 00:07:08,480 Speaker 1: Ryan Tannehill threw for just seventy two yards. I feel 165 00:07:08,520 --> 00:07:10,280 Speaker 1: like that got lost a little bit. Everybody was so 166 00:07:10,600 --> 00:07:12,560 Speaker 1: down on the Patriots as I was talking about that 167 00:07:12,600 --> 00:07:14,680 Speaker 1: today with everybody who I live around, and they were 168 00:07:14,680 --> 00:07:16,960 Speaker 1: so down on the Patriots defense for letting Henry run 169 00:07:16,960 --> 00:07:18,760 Speaker 1: over them. But you know, in the end, they held 170 00:07:18,800 --> 00:07:21,200 Speaker 1: Tannehill to just seventy two yards. It's hard to be 171 00:07:21,280 --> 00:07:23,720 Speaker 1: that disappointed in them. He's going to need more than that, though, 172 00:07:23,720 --> 00:07:26,120 Speaker 1: to beat a Ravens team that has just been completely 173 00:07:26,480 --> 00:07:29,600 Speaker 1: dominant for several months. At this point, mark Ingram is 174 00:07:29,640 --> 00:07:32,720 Speaker 1: a question mark. They are still reportedly optimistic about him 175 00:07:32,760 --> 00:07:34,400 Speaker 1: being able to return for this game, but they are 176 00:07:34,440 --> 00:07:36,960 Speaker 1: signing these running backs to quote unquote go on their 177 00:07:36,960 --> 00:07:39,400 Speaker 1: practice squad. But it makes me a little worried about 178 00:07:39,400 --> 00:07:42,119 Speaker 1: his status coming in. But their defense is strong. Lamar 179 00:07:42,200 --> 00:07:45,200 Speaker 1: Jackson is incredible. This is also the third straight road 180 00:07:45,280 --> 00:07:47,320 Speaker 1: game for the Titans. You gotta feel like they're getting 181 00:07:47,600 --> 00:07:50,720 Speaker 1: a little weary here. But Raven's laying nine. That's a 182 00:07:50,720 --> 00:07:52,840 Speaker 1: big number, and the total of forty seven head you feel. 183 00:07:53,600 --> 00:07:55,600 Speaker 2: You know, you started with Derek Henry and he's the 184 00:07:55,640 --> 00:07:58,600 Speaker 2: guy sixty six carries the past two weeks. I mean, 185 00:07:58,640 --> 00:08:00,680 Speaker 2: I know they wanted to get him the record the 186 00:08:00,720 --> 00:08:03,960 Speaker 2: week before, but you know, give this guy a little bit. 187 00:08:04,360 --> 00:08:06,560 Speaker 2: I just I think at some point he's going to 188 00:08:06,640 --> 00:08:08,880 Speaker 2: run out of gas. And this is a good Ravens 189 00:08:08,960 --> 00:08:11,560 Speaker 2: run defense, much better than the Patriots. You know, ninety 190 00:08:11,560 --> 00:08:15,440 Speaker 2: four yards rushing aloud per game. Of course, teams do 191 00:08:15,600 --> 00:08:19,040 Speaker 2: get behind and have to throw. And you know the 192 00:08:19,080 --> 00:08:22,440 Speaker 2: temptation is the Titans. I mean they they're eight and 193 00:08:22,440 --> 00:08:25,679 Speaker 2: three with Tannehill. They have out gained even those three losses, 194 00:08:25,680 --> 00:08:29,200 Speaker 2: they outgained their opponents. The yards per attempt with Tannehill 195 00:08:29,280 --> 00:08:32,920 Speaker 2: is through the roof up until this past week. But 196 00:08:33,040 --> 00:08:35,880 Speaker 2: I just don't see the Titans slowing down the Ravens 197 00:08:35,920 --> 00:08:40,000 Speaker 2: at all. They're seventeenth and dvoa. Defensively, the Patriots had 198 00:08:40,000 --> 00:08:42,200 Speaker 2: over three hundred yards. I mean the goal line stand first, 199 00:08:42,200 --> 00:08:44,200 Speaker 2: a goal at the one they couldn't put it in, 200 00:08:44,240 --> 00:08:46,440 Speaker 2: And I just I love Tennessee so much, but I 201 00:08:46,559 --> 00:08:50,400 Speaker 2: just don't see how they're going to stop Baltimore at all. 202 00:08:50,520 --> 00:08:52,839 Speaker 2: So I mean, right now, for me, it's it's the 203 00:08:52,920 --> 00:08:53,760 Speaker 2: Ravens or nothing. 204 00:08:54,559 --> 00:08:56,840 Speaker 1: You know. The one thing you want to make a 205 00:08:56,880 --> 00:08:59,760 Speaker 1: case for them, of course, it's at where their defense 206 00:08:59,800 --> 00:09:02,360 Speaker 1: is wrong is against the run, right, That's kind of 207 00:09:02,360 --> 00:09:04,560 Speaker 1: where they excel to the extent that it is, and 208 00:09:04,559 --> 00:09:06,520 Speaker 1: that's what you need to do to be able to 209 00:09:06,559 --> 00:09:09,080 Speaker 1: stop the Ravens. And that's especially true if mark Ingram 210 00:09:09,280 --> 00:09:12,480 Speaker 1: is out in this game. I mean, Gus Edwards certainly 211 00:09:12,520 --> 00:09:15,080 Speaker 1: has been serviceable when he's in there. They've got Justice 212 00:09:15,120 --> 00:09:16,800 Speaker 1: Hill who's going to add a little bit of a dynamic. 213 00:09:17,160 --> 00:09:20,199 Speaker 1: But really, in the end, I agree with you, especially 214 00:09:20,240 --> 00:09:22,600 Speaker 1: you know, I don't think the Titans are built to 215 00:09:22,640 --> 00:09:24,760 Speaker 1: put up a ton of points, and that's especially true 216 00:09:24,800 --> 00:09:27,559 Speaker 1: against the Ravens defense, which you know in the preseason. 217 00:09:27,559 --> 00:09:29,240 Speaker 1: I don't know how you felt about this coming into 218 00:09:29,240 --> 00:09:31,680 Speaker 1: this season. I was not on the Ravens, putting aside 219 00:09:31,679 --> 00:09:34,520 Speaker 1: that obviously I could not foresee what they were going 220 00:09:34,559 --> 00:09:37,440 Speaker 1: to be turned into on offense, but I was concerned 221 00:09:37,520 --> 00:09:39,840 Speaker 1: about their defense. I really didn't think that they were 222 00:09:39,840 --> 00:09:42,520 Speaker 1: going to be able to perform to the level that 223 00:09:42,640 --> 00:09:45,240 Speaker 1: they are currently performing at, and they weren't for the 224 00:09:45,240 --> 00:09:48,200 Speaker 1: first half of the season. But really, once Brandon Williams 225 00:09:48,240 --> 00:09:51,040 Speaker 1: got healthy, their run defense got stronger, and their pass defense, 226 00:09:51,040 --> 00:09:53,480 Speaker 1: their secondary is very good, but they still are a 227 00:09:53,520 --> 00:09:56,480 Speaker 1: little bit beatable on the ground, right, I mean, Henry 228 00:09:56,840 --> 00:09:58,880 Speaker 1: for as big a load as he's seen, he doesn't 229 00:09:58,920 --> 00:10:00,960 Speaker 1: look to be slowing down, So you know, they're going 230 00:10:01,040 --> 00:10:03,360 Speaker 1: to try to control the game on the ground as 231 00:10:03,440 --> 00:10:05,800 Speaker 1: much as possible. My feeling though, is, and this goes 232 00:10:05,800 --> 00:10:08,440 Speaker 1: along with what you said, it's really difficult. You know, 233 00:10:08,480 --> 00:10:10,280 Speaker 1: the Ravens are going to score points no matter what. 234 00:10:10,360 --> 00:10:12,480 Speaker 1: This is just what they do. It's really difficult to 235 00:10:12,520 --> 00:10:14,400 Speaker 1: see the Titans being able to put up the type 236 00:10:14,440 --> 00:10:16,760 Speaker 1: of points that you're gonna need to to match them 237 00:10:16,760 --> 00:10:19,960 Speaker 1: because they just don't have you knows, as efficient as 238 00:10:20,160 --> 00:10:22,760 Speaker 1: Ryan Tannehill has been, he doesn't have the goods really 239 00:10:22,800 --> 00:10:24,520 Speaker 1: to get them to come back for all that. So 240 00:10:24,800 --> 00:10:27,280 Speaker 1: out of curiosity, what do you think about the total here? 241 00:10:27,360 --> 00:10:30,680 Speaker 1: Because for me, it's a little difficult because both teams 242 00:10:30,679 --> 00:10:33,520 Speaker 1: are gonna run so much, right, and they're gonna run heavily, 243 00:10:33,760 --> 00:10:35,880 Speaker 1: so the clock is going to keep running, and so 244 00:10:35,960 --> 00:10:38,320 Speaker 1: that leans towards the under. But it kind of just 245 00:10:38,480 --> 00:10:42,720 Speaker 1: feels like the Ravens are gonna arrested. Ravens team, regardless 246 00:10:42,760 --> 00:10:44,480 Speaker 1: of Ingram is going to put up like thirty five 247 00:10:44,480 --> 00:10:46,559 Speaker 1: points and smash the over. And that's just kind of 248 00:10:46,880 --> 00:10:47,559 Speaker 1: a gut feel like that. 249 00:10:47,640 --> 00:10:50,240 Speaker 2: How about you, Yeah, my first name would be the over. 250 00:10:50,400 --> 00:10:53,280 Speaker 2: Even though the Ravens have been amazing on defense since 251 00:10:53,280 --> 00:10:55,400 Speaker 2: the loss to Cleveland, I mean they at one point 252 00:10:55,440 --> 00:10:57,120 Speaker 2: they had a ten week stretch where they were the 253 00:10:57,240 --> 00:11:01,400 Speaker 2: number one defense in the NFL. Weren't as dominant the 254 00:11:01,480 --> 00:11:04,760 Speaker 2: last you know, the last week or so, but last 255 00:11:04,760 --> 00:11:06,800 Speaker 2: couple of weeks. But yeah, I would lean over. These 256 00:11:06,800 --> 00:11:11,040 Speaker 2: are the two best red zone teams in the league. 257 00:11:11,200 --> 00:11:15,240 Speaker 2: I mean one and two. The Titans score like seventy 258 00:11:15,280 --> 00:11:18,920 Speaker 2: percent and the Ravens not far behind. So yeah, I 259 00:11:18,920 --> 00:11:22,679 Speaker 2: think it's going to be Baltimore getting way up, forcing 260 00:11:23,000 --> 00:11:26,840 Speaker 2: the Titans to throw throw, throw, and you know, thirty 261 00:11:26,880 --> 00:11:30,079 Speaker 2: one twenty one, something like that, thirty five twenty four. 262 00:11:30,559 --> 00:11:31,360 Speaker 2: I think it's over. 263 00:11:31,800 --> 00:11:34,439 Speaker 1: Yeah, no, I agree with you, That's what I'm saying. 264 00:11:34,440 --> 00:11:38,080 Speaker 1: And I just again, it's really a spread. This big 265 00:11:38,160 --> 00:11:40,680 Speaker 1: makes me nervous, Okay. I mean it's below double digits, 266 00:11:40,679 --> 00:11:42,720 Speaker 1: so that's fine. Anything. When you get to double digits, 267 00:11:42,760 --> 00:11:45,920 Speaker 1: I immediately essentially have to talk myself out of taking 268 00:11:46,000 --> 00:11:48,680 Speaker 1: the dog because I just love getting that many points. 269 00:11:48,720 --> 00:11:50,760 Speaker 1: It's a lot of points here. It's kind of tough, 270 00:11:50,800 --> 00:11:53,280 Speaker 1: but I could just so easily see the Ravens just 271 00:11:53,400 --> 00:11:56,480 Speaker 1: completely smashing this team because they are that good and 272 00:11:56,480 --> 00:11:58,439 Speaker 1: they have looked that good. So it is something where 273 00:11:58,600 --> 00:12:01,680 Speaker 1: your early lean is towards the Ravens. I lean towards 274 00:12:01,720 --> 00:12:04,280 Speaker 1: the Ravens as well, but I'm not quite as confident 275 00:12:04,320 --> 00:12:06,120 Speaker 1: in it, but the over under we are both leaning, 276 00:12:06,120 --> 00:12:07,920 Speaker 1: and it's trending down, so there may be some money 277 00:12:07,960 --> 00:12:09,440 Speaker 1: coming in on the under, but I think both of 278 00:12:09,520 --> 00:12:11,120 Speaker 1: us think there're gonna be a lot of points scoring 279 00:12:11,160 --> 00:12:13,040 Speaker 1: this game, so we lean towards the over at least 280 00:12:13,040 --> 00:12:15,400 Speaker 1: as it's it's right now at forty seven. So the 281 00:12:15,480 --> 00:12:18,800 Speaker 1: Ravens are really really good, but they're not quite as 282 00:12:18,800 --> 00:12:21,000 Speaker 1: good as bet mgm, which not only allows you to 283 00:12:21,040 --> 00:12:23,640 Speaker 1: bet from your phone with the bet mgm Sports app, 284 00:12:23,840 --> 00:12:26,880 Speaker 1: but also which basically gives you bets that are essentially 285 00:12:27,160 --> 00:12:30,160 Speaker 1: like guaranteed money. Here's what you need to do. Search 286 00:12:30,160 --> 00:12:32,520 Speaker 1: for the bet mgm Sports app in your app store, 287 00:12:32,760 --> 00:12:35,200 Speaker 1: download it, and sign up for an account. And when 288 00:12:35,200 --> 00:12:38,880 Speaker 1: you sign up, use our promo code Harris, because if 289 00:12:38,880 --> 00:12:42,800 Speaker 1: you do, you're gonna get an off you can't refuse. 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We've 293 00:12:48,720 --> 00:12:50,720 Speaker 1: been talking about the NFL all season, we're talking about 294 00:12:50,720 --> 00:12:53,120 Speaker 1: it on this podcast, but that season's winding down, so 295 00:12:53,160 --> 00:12:55,400 Speaker 1: think about doing a little betting on something like I 296 00:12:55,400 --> 00:12:58,640 Speaker 1: don't know basketball like tomorrow when the Knicks take on 297 00:12:58,720 --> 00:13:02,760 Speaker 1: the Lakers on the money line for either team to win, 298 00:13:02,800 --> 00:13:05,240 Speaker 1: and when you do, you win a dollar in free 299 00:13:05,240 --> 00:13:09,880 Speaker 1: bets for every point scored in the game, regardless of 300 00:13:09,960 --> 00:13:12,079 Speaker 1: the outcome. 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And although you can sign up 310 00:13:33,640 --> 00:13:35,840 Speaker 1: an easily deposit money anywhere, you must be in the 311 00:13:35,840 --> 00:13:37,800 Speaker 1: state of New Jersey to place the sports bet, and 312 00:13:37,880 --> 00:13:40,880 Speaker 1: certain restrictions apply. Visit BETMGM dot com for the full 313 00:13:40,880 --> 00:13:43,000 Speaker 1: list of terms and conditions. And if you've got a 314 00:13:43,040 --> 00:13:46,920 Speaker 1: gambling problem, called one eight hundred gambler. All right, Larry, 315 00:13:46,960 --> 00:13:49,760 Speaker 1: let's move on to our next game. The Texans at 316 00:13:49,800 --> 00:13:52,000 Speaker 1: the Chiefs. The Chiefs here are laying nine and a half. 317 00:13:52,000 --> 00:13:54,160 Speaker 1: This is the line that has been trending up steadily 318 00:13:54,200 --> 00:13:56,680 Speaker 1: since it opened, and the total is at fifty, which 319 00:13:56,679 --> 00:13:59,400 Speaker 1: has also trended up a little bit. The Texans escape 320 00:13:59,400 --> 00:14:02,080 Speaker 1: against the Bill in a game they really had no 321 00:14:02,200 --> 00:14:04,560 Speaker 1: business winning. They look dead in the water at halftime. 322 00:14:04,840 --> 00:14:07,719 Speaker 1: Deshaun Watson can do some really really good things when 323 00:14:07,720 --> 00:14:10,160 Speaker 1: they finally take the reins off him. They really need 324 00:14:10,200 --> 00:14:12,280 Speaker 1: Will Fuller to come back. Though. He stretches the field, 325 00:14:12,320 --> 00:14:14,920 Speaker 1: he really opens up the offense. He's obviously going to 326 00:14:14,960 --> 00:14:16,720 Speaker 1: be a question mark right now for this game, but 327 00:14:16,760 --> 00:14:19,240 Speaker 1: he is trending in the right direction from all the reports. 328 00:14:19,520 --> 00:14:22,040 Speaker 1: JJ Watt comes back. He actually does contribute here. I 329 00:14:22,040 --> 00:14:23,760 Speaker 1: thought he was just going to be somebody who got 330 00:14:23,800 --> 00:14:27,440 Speaker 1: the crowd and played a few snaps and got into it, 331 00:14:27,440 --> 00:14:29,720 Speaker 1: but without really making an impact. But he does. The 332 00:14:29,760 --> 00:14:33,240 Speaker 1: defense continues to play fine, but they're certainly beatable. Meanwhile, 333 00:14:33,240 --> 00:14:35,240 Speaker 1: the Chiefs look more like the Chiefs of old. They're 334 00:14:35,240 --> 00:14:38,000 Speaker 1: playing extremely well now six and oh to close out 335 00:14:38,000 --> 00:14:40,640 Speaker 1: the season. Damian Williams is the one running back that 336 00:14:40,720 --> 00:14:42,640 Speaker 1: can get stuff done on that team, and he is healthy. 337 00:14:42,800 --> 00:14:45,320 Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes looks healthy and is playing as good as 338 00:14:45,360 --> 00:14:48,640 Speaker 1: he has and the defense has quietly played much better 339 00:14:48,680 --> 00:14:50,680 Speaker 1: down the stretch. This is a rematch. Remember the Texans 340 00:14:50,680 --> 00:14:53,040 Speaker 1: came in here. They beat this team thirty one to 341 00:14:53,120 --> 00:14:55,080 Speaker 1: twenty four back in Week six, So there is that 342 00:14:55,080 --> 00:14:56,600 Speaker 1: that they can hang their hat on. But how do 343 00:14:56,640 --> 00:14:59,360 Speaker 1: you feel here, Chiefs at home after the bye, laying 344 00:14:59,440 --> 00:15:01,320 Speaker 1: nine and a half with a total at fifty. 345 00:15:02,000 --> 00:15:04,400 Speaker 2: Wow. I have a million thoughts on this game. I'm 346 00:15:04,440 --> 00:15:06,040 Speaker 2: not going to give you all of them, but first 347 00:15:06,040 --> 00:15:07,760 Speaker 2: we can throw out the Week six thirty one to 348 00:15:07,760 --> 00:15:10,400 Speaker 2: twenty four. Just throw it out. The Chiefs actually average 349 00:15:10,440 --> 00:15:13,080 Speaker 2: six point six yards per play and the Texans only 350 00:15:13,120 --> 00:15:15,520 Speaker 2: average five point seven yards per play. They actually just 351 00:15:15,760 --> 00:15:18,800 Speaker 2: had a ton more plays because some fluky things happen 352 00:15:18,880 --> 00:15:21,440 Speaker 2: in that game. If you recall and look who didn't 353 00:15:21,440 --> 00:15:24,840 Speaker 2: play for the Chiefs, then Sammy Watkins, Eric Fisher, Andrew Wiley, 354 00:15:24,960 --> 00:15:28,560 Speaker 2: Chris Jones, Anthony Hitchins, They're all gonna be all gonna 355 00:15:28,600 --> 00:15:31,680 Speaker 2: be back for this game, so that I can really 356 00:15:31,720 --> 00:15:34,480 Speaker 2: almost just throw out that game. And you mentioned Will Fuller, 357 00:15:34,480 --> 00:15:37,280 Speaker 2: I mean nine catches of thirty yards or more if 358 00:15:37,320 --> 00:15:41,320 Speaker 2: he doesn't come back, Deshaun Watson's passer rating goes down 359 00:15:41,400 --> 00:15:44,960 Speaker 2: by twenty points. They need fuller out there. Like you said, 360 00:15:44,960 --> 00:15:48,080 Speaker 2: the Chiefs did lose one safety, but otherwise they are 361 00:15:48,200 --> 00:15:51,720 Speaker 2: really really healthy. And like you said, closing six and zero, 362 00:15:51,840 --> 00:15:55,960 Speaker 2: I wasn't so disturbed the way they did not stomp 363 00:15:56,040 --> 00:15:58,040 Speaker 2: the Chargers in the final week. I mean, that's a 364 00:15:58,120 --> 00:16:01,040 Speaker 2: division foe and they still covered. The still won by ten, 365 00:16:01,320 --> 00:16:05,040 Speaker 2: But the five previous games, the defense was totally lights out. 366 00:16:05,080 --> 00:16:07,120 Speaker 2: And look at the coaching mismatch. I don't think there 367 00:16:07,120 --> 00:16:10,520 Speaker 2: could be a bigger coaching mismatch with time to prepare 368 00:16:11,120 --> 00:16:15,280 Speaker 2: then read versus O'Brien. So yeah, I totally get this 369 00:16:15,400 --> 00:16:16,920 Speaker 2: line trending upward. 370 00:16:17,440 --> 00:16:21,640 Speaker 1: Yeah, it's man all right there. I also have a 371 00:16:21,680 --> 00:16:23,800 Speaker 1: bunch of thoughts on it. You mentioned Reid. Of course, 372 00:16:23,840 --> 00:16:26,000 Speaker 1: everybody knows this record coming off a bye in the 373 00:16:26,040 --> 00:16:29,000 Speaker 1: regular season, so you have to factor that in something 374 00:16:29,040 --> 00:16:31,160 Speaker 1: that you know, I'm sure will you know you're gonna 375 00:16:31,200 --> 00:16:33,400 Speaker 1: hear every angle on this game as the week goes on. 376 00:16:33,440 --> 00:16:35,560 Speaker 1: But one of the things I think about is Arrowhead 377 00:16:35,600 --> 00:16:38,840 Speaker 1: for years had always been this really, really really difficult 378 00:16:38,840 --> 00:16:40,840 Speaker 1: place to play. It still is and one of the 379 00:16:40,840 --> 00:16:43,120 Speaker 1: things that I think you might see here, especially, you know, 380 00:16:43,200 --> 00:16:47,080 Speaker 1: the Texans are coming off a big game against the 381 00:16:47,080 --> 00:16:49,360 Speaker 1: Bills where they really fought it out. They're probably a 382 00:16:49,400 --> 00:16:51,520 Speaker 1: little tired. You've got the Chiefs coming off the buy 383 00:16:51,760 --> 00:16:55,040 Speaker 1: that place is going to be insane. I was looking 384 00:16:55,040 --> 00:16:58,840 Speaker 1: at this earlier today. The average false start penalties for 385 00:16:58,960 --> 00:17:02,360 Speaker 1: a team for the entire year was seventeen point three 386 00:17:02,400 --> 00:17:05,080 Speaker 1: to eight. That is what the average NFL team averaged 387 00:17:05,119 --> 00:17:09,600 Speaker 1: in false start penalties. This year, the Texans had thirty 388 00:17:09,800 --> 00:17:13,439 Speaker 1: two false starts, nearly double what the average team was. 389 00:17:13,600 --> 00:17:16,240 Speaker 1: They lost one hundred and fifty nine yards on those penalties. 390 00:17:16,359 --> 00:17:18,800 Speaker 1: The next closest was Buffalo and that was at twenty six. 391 00:17:18,880 --> 00:17:21,720 Speaker 1: They're not even in the same vicinity. So you've got 392 00:17:21,760 --> 00:17:26,159 Speaker 1: a team that has tons of problems false starting, and 393 00:17:26,200 --> 00:17:28,840 Speaker 1: you're in Arrowhead right now, where the place is going 394 00:17:28,880 --> 00:17:31,040 Speaker 1: to be insane. I think you're gonna be cut that 395 00:17:31,359 --> 00:17:34,120 Speaker 1: you can't. The Chiefs are going to score a ton 396 00:17:34,200 --> 00:17:36,720 Speaker 1: of points in this game. The Texans are gonna have 397 00:17:36,800 --> 00:17:38,560 Speaker 1: to be able to keep up with them. And I 398 00:17:38,600 --> 00:17:41,280 Speaker 1: think this, you know, the fact that they're so penalized 399 00:17:41,480 --> 00:17:43,639 Speaker 1: coming in is really going to hurt them offensively. I 400 00:17:43,640 --> 00:17:45,199 Speaker 1: think that it's going to push them back, but you 401 00:17:45,280 --> 00:17:47,639 Speaker 1: mentioned it. I mentioned it, Will Fuller has to come 402 00:17:47,680 --> 00:17:49,760 Speaker 1: back here. If he doesn't come back, I don't see 403 00:17:49,800 --> 00:17:52,280 Speaker 1: any chance that the Texans are going to be able 404 00:17:52,280 --> 00:17:54,639 Speaker 1: to keep this game close. I think he completely opens 405 00:17:54,720 --> 00:17:57,480 Speaker 1: up the field and I think it helps Watson be 406 00:17:57,520 --> 00:17:59,719 Speaker 1: able to get the ball to everybody. And you know, 407 00:18:00,200 --> 00:18:01,879 Speaker 1: really the way to beat the Chiefs, and I know 408 00:18:01,960 --> 00:18:04,919 Speaker 1: you mentioned it how the Texans beat them earlier and 409 00:18:04,960 --> 00:18:06,720 Speaker 1: you're throwing that game out, is the way to beat 410 00:18:06,720 --> 00:18:08,359 Speaker 1: the Chiefs really is to try to do it on 411 00:18:08,440 --> 00:18:10,399 Speaker 1: the ground and to try to control the clock and 412 00:18:10,400 --> 00:18:13,760 Speaker 1: to try to keep Patrick Mahomes off the field. But 413 00:18:14,160 --> 00:18:16,919 Speaker 1: I just don't think the Texans have the offense to 414 00:18:16,920 --> 00:18:18,520 Speaker 1: do that. Carlo Side is at a nice season, Duke 415 00:18:18,560 --> 00:18:20,480 Speaker 1: Johnson can jip in, but they're not a team that 416 00:18:20,600 --> 00:18:23,600 Speaker 1: just you know, runs the ball constantly and controls the clock. 417 00:18:23,680 --> 00:18:25,760 Speaker 1: That's not really how they're built. So for me, I 418 00:18:25,840 --> 00:18:28,600 Speaker 1: kind of like the Chiefs, even at the big number 419 00:18:28,680 --> 00:18:31,719 Speaker 1: right now, and out of curiosity the total it's fifty 420 00:18:31,840 --> 00:18:34,160 Speaker 1: right now, I mean that's a big number. At this point. 421 00:18:34,200 --> 00:18:35,960 Speaker 1: I still think that this is going over as well, 422 00:18:35,960 --> 00:18:38,480 Speaker 1: even though look, my general lean sorry, I know, I'm 423 00:18:38,520 --> 00:18:40,560 Speaker 1: just as you said. There's a million things we could 424 00:18:40,560 --> 00:18:43,000 Speaker 1: talk about with this game. My general lean is towards 425 00:18:43,040 --> 00:18:45,400 Speaker 1: the under. I think, you know, the public generally likes 426 00:18:45,440 --> 00:18:47,760 Speaker 1: the over, so these lines are kind of built when 427 00:18:47,800 --> 00:18:49,480 Speaker 1: you can pick your spots to go in for the under. 428 00:18:49,520 --> 00:18:51,560 Speaker 1: But with this one, I don't know. It just feels 429 00:18:51,600 --> 00:18:53,560 Speaker 1: like a ton of points are going to be scored here, 430 00:18:53,760 --> 00:18:55,639 Speaker 1: and I kind of lean towards the over despite the 431 00:18:55,720 --> 00:18:56,959 Speaker 1: Chiefs improving defense. 432 00:18:57,000 --> 00:19:00,199 Speaker 2: What do you think, Well, that's an unbelievable stat you 433 00:19:00,200 --> 00:19:02,920 Speaker 2: gave about the false starts. I may use that myself, 434 00:19:02,960 --> 00:19:07,119 Speaker 2: but I will I will credit you the thing. My 435 00:19:07,240 --> 00:19:10,280 Speaker 2: first look would be the over, but then you look 436 00:19:10,280 --> 00:19:13,080 Speaker 2: at the Chiefs have really been on an under trend, 437 00:19:13,200 --> 00:19:16,760 Speaker 2: especially at home. The one thing, though, is Mahomes is healthy. 438 00:19:16,800 --> 00:19:18,920 Speaker 2: I mean, he wasn't even healthy in that first game. 439 00:19:19,119 --> 00:19:21,360 Speaker 2: He was hobbling around. He managed to throw for two 440 00:19:21,400 --> 00:19:24,280 Speaker 2: seventy three and three touchdowns, but he got picked. I mean, 441 00:19:24,320 --> 00:19:27,320 Speaker 2: this is going to be a much more efficient Chiefs 442 00:19:27,359 --> 00:19:29,840 Speaker 2: offense than we saw that first time, and they're getting 443 00:19:29,880 --> 00:19:32,040 Speaker 2: into the thirties I mean, I think the question is, 444 00:19:32,400 --> 00:19:35,439 Speaker 2: you know, are the Texans going to get twenty? You know, 445 00:19:35,480 --> 00:19:38,040 Speaker 2: that's the part of the equation we have to wait for. 446 00:19:38,119 --> 00:19:39,679 Speaker 2: And I think that comes down to Fuller. 447 00:19:40,400 --> 00:19:42,280 Speaker 1: Yeah. But the one thing I will say is that 448 00:19:42,320 --> 00:19:44,719 Speaker 1: when push comes to shove, you know if even if 449 00:19:44,720 --> 00:19:46,600 Speaker 1: the Chiefs are way ahead, you know, Watson's going to 450 00:19:46,640 --> 00:19:49,240 Speaker 1: pull some craziness out of his hat. Yeah, at some 451 00:19:49,400 --> 00:19:52,040 Speaker 1: point and rip off like an eightyar Touchdow and the 452 00:19:52,040 --> 00:19:54,440 Speaker 1: game maybe I'd reach at that point, well, Nileen, towards 453 00:19:54,440 --> 00:19:56,199 Speaker 1: the over That's part of what I think happened. And 454 00:19:56,240 --> 00:19:58,080 Speaker 1: the one thing we haven't really talked about, by the way, 455 00:19:58,160 --> 00:20:01,560 Speaker 1: is that you know, when Dami Williams was out, Andy 456 00:20:01,600 --> 00:20:04,840 Speaker 1: Reid just did not want to run the ball, you know, 457 00:20:05,040 --> 00:20:06,879 Speaker 1: he didn't trustle Sean McCoy was in active in a 458 00:20:06,920 --> 00:20:09,480 Speaker 1: couple of games. Darwin Thompson wasn't gonna done. They took 459 00:20:09,560 --> 00:20:11,520 Speaker 1: Spencer Ware off the street, who looked like he was 460 00:20:11,600 --> 00:20:14,600 Speaker 1: running in mud. Damian Williams he did it last year 461 00:20:14,600 --> 00:20:16,159 Speaker 1: in the playoffs and towards the end of the season. 462 00:20:16,280 --> 00:20:18,880 Speaker 1: I think he completely opens up this offense even more. 463 00:20:18,960 --> 00:20:21,680 Speaker 1: They're dynamic without it, but I think his presence now 464 00:20:21,720 --> 00:20:24,440 Speaker 1: being fully healthy, he's the one running back they really trust, 465 00:20:24,440 --> 00:20:26,040 Speaker 1: and I think he really can do a lot of things, 466 00:20:26,040 --> 00:20:28,400 Speaker 1: so that the Chiefs are going to put up a 467 00:20:28,440 --> 00:20:30,920 Speaker 1: monstrous amount of points. And the reason why I kind 468 00:20:30,920 --> 00:20:32,800 Speaker 1: of like the over is because it strikes me as 469 00:20:32,840 --> 00:20:34,359 Speaker 1: a game where, yeah, you're right, the Chiefs are going 470 00:20:34,440 --> 00:20:36,879 Speaker 1: to break thirty, I feel like pretty easily, and you know, 471 00:20:37,160 --> 00:20:38,720 Speaker 1: I think they're going to win the game pretty handily, 472 00:20:38,840 --> 00:20:40,560 Speaker 1: and that's going to just lead to some sort of 473 00:20:40,600 --> 00:20:43,920 Speaker 1: you know, a quote unquote backdoor over of fifty because 474 00:20:43,920 --> 00:20:45,359 Speaker 1: I think that in the end they're going to sit 475 00:20:45,400 --> 00:20:47,560 Speaker 1: back a little bit and Deshaun Watson's going to do 476 00:20:47,600 --> 00:20:50,080 Speaker 1: some crazy things. But either way, we're both obviously very 477 00:20:50,119 --> 00:20:50,879 Speaker 1: high in the Chiefs. 478 00:20:51,080 --> 00:20:55,040 Speaker 2: Yeah, one more, sorry interrupt you there. And it's funny 479 00:20:55,040 --> 00:20:57,200 Speaker 2: with Damian Williams. I mean, that's why his fantasy stock 480 00:20:57,320 --> 00:21:00,560 Speaker 2: was so high based on that late season run. But 481 00:21:01,200 --> 00:21:04,680 Speaker 2: in Dvoway, which I know you respect as well, top twelve, 482 00:21:04,840 --> 00:21:06,920 Speaker 2: every team in the playoffs is in the top twelve. 483 00:21:07,040 --> 00:21:10,840 Speaker 2: The Texans are twenty third and waited Dvoway, So I 484 00:21:10,880 --> 00:21:12,840 Speaker 2: mean they shouldn't be here. I mean, if the ref 485 00:21:12,880 --> 00:21:16,440 Speaker 2: had made the right call on the kickoff and awarded 486 00:21:16,520 --> 00:21:19,280 Speaker 2: either a touchdown or a safety, and many many other 487 00:21:19,320 --> 00:21:21,879 Speaker 2: reasons why they shouldn't even be in this game, but 488 00:21:22,080 --> 00:21:24,359 Speaker 2: they are in the game. I just think they're going 489 00:21:24,440 --> 00:21:25,240 Speaker 2: to be outclassed. 490 00:21:25,520 --> 00:21:27,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, I completely agree with you, And as someone who 491 00:21:27,640 --> 00:21:30,119 Speaker 1: had the Bills on the money line, I agree with 492 00:21:30,200 --> 00:21:33,080 Speaker 1: you that it's unfortunate they really the better team did 493 00:21:33,119 --> 00:21:34,960 Speaker 1: not win that game in my opinion. Let's move on 494 00:21:35,000 --> 00:21:37,359 Speaker 1: to our final game of the week, the one with 495 00:21:37,440 --> 00:21:40,840 Speaker 1: a spread that doesn't make your eyebrows go up, the 496 00:21:40,880 --> 00:21:43,760 Speaker 1: Seahawks at the Packers. Packers are currently laying four with 497 00:21:43,800 --> 00:21:46,480 Speaker 1: the total at forty six and a half. We talked 498 00:21:46,480 --> 00:21:48,400 Speaker 1: about it a little bit briefly. It's hard to take 499 00:21:48,440 --> 00:21:50,600 Speaker 1: too much from the Seahawks in their win over the 500 00:21:50,600 --> 00:21:53,840 Speaker 1: Eagles since Carson Wentz went out so earlyer though again, 501 00:21:53,920 --> 00:21:56,960 Speaker 1: you know, Josh McCown kept them in the game. Other 502 00:21:57,040 --> 00:21:59,320 Speaker 1: than that huge game for DK Metcalf, the Seahawks were 503 00:21:59,359 --> 00:22:02,520 Speaker 1: relatively conservative overall. It looks like they're getting a little 504 00:22:02,560 --> 00:22:05,600 Speaker 1: bit healthier here on the offensive line. Meanwhile, the Packers 505 00:22:05,640 --> 00:22:08,280 Speaker 1: have been just this enigma all season where they have 506 00:22:08,560 --> 00:22:13,119 Speaker 1: not looked overly impressive. Almost at any point in the beginning. 507 00:22:13,119 --> 00:22:15,679 Speaker 1: They were relying a lot on their defense. Aaron Rodgers 508 00:22:15,720 --> 00:22:17,600 Speaker 1: had a couple of big games, but nothing that really 509 00:22:17,640 --> 00:22:20,200 Speaker 1: blew your socks off. Sometimes the running backs would go nuts, 510 00:22:20,240 --> 00:22:22,680 Speaker 1: but you never felt like they were this number two 511 00:22:22,800 --> 00:22:25,359 Speaker 1: seed in the NFC. But here they are. They have 512 00:22:25,440 --> 00:22:28,160 Speaker 1: home field advantage. The Seahawks just went through a rough game. 513 00:22:28,400 --> 00:22:30,240 Speaker 1: What do you think here with the Packers laying four 514 00:22:30,280 --> 00:22:31,720 Speaker 1: at a dead number, a little bit in the over 515 00:22:31,800 --> 00:22:33,160 Speaker 1: under at forty six and a half. 516 00:22:34,040 --> 00:22:36,360 Speaker 2: Like you said, two teams that are not as good 517 00:22:36,400 --> 00:22:39,200 Speaker 2: as their record. I mean the Seahawks had a plus 518 00:22:39,440 --> 00:22:43,119 Speaker 2: seven margin for the entire season. That was there, and 519 00:22:43,200 --> 00:22:45,280 Speaker 2: then they won by eight, so that was bigger than 520 00:22:45,320 --> 00:22:47,760 Speaker 2: their whole margin for this season. The Packers were plus 521 00:22:47,760 --> 00:22:52,080 Speaker 2: sixty something, not overly impressive given their record. Like you said, 522 00:22:52,119 --> 00:22:55,639 Speaker 2: I'm worried about the Seahawks. Normally I would say, you know, 523 00:22:55,720 --> 00:23:00,479 Speaker 2: two under, you know, two underwhelming teams. Russell Wilson getting points, 524 00:23:00,520 --> 00:23:02,520 Speaker 2: Just grab the points, you know, the four points. The 525 00:23:02,560 --> 00:23:05,720 Speaker 2: Packers don't look capable of blowing anyone out. They almost 526 00:23:05,760 --> 00:23:08,399 Speaker 2: lost to the Lions. The last week of the season 527 00:23:08,400 --> 00:23:11,040 Speaker 2: when they needed the game. But you look at the 528 00:23:11,080 --> 00:23:14,000 Speaker 2: Seahawks travel and I just think, you know, that Sunday 529 00:23:14,080 --> 00:23:17,040 Speaker 2: night game against the Niners, that was a very physical game, 530 00:23:17,080 --> 00:23:20,679 Speaker 2: that was very intense. Then they travel cross country to Philly, 531 00:23:20,720 --> 00:23:24,000 Speaker 2: then they travel back, and then they travel, you know, 532 00:23:24,119 --> 00:23:26,680 Speaker 2: back to the Midwest. So I just wonder if they're 533 00:23:26,680 --> 00:23:28,600 Speaker 2: going to be a little tired, and you know, and 534 00:23:28,640 --> 00:23:31,480 Speaker 2: they can't run the ball at all. Marshawn Lynch two 535 00:23:31,480 --> 00:23:35,280 Speaker 2: point two seven yards per carry, nineteen yards for the 536 00:23:35,440 --> 00:23:38,119 Speaker 2: entire rushing attack or at least for Lynch and the 537 00:23:38,200 --> 00:23:42,560 Speaker 2: rookie homer against Philly. So you know, a lot of 538 00:23:42,600 --> 00:23:47,520 Speaker 2: things kind of point to Green Bay because of how unimpressed, 539 00:23:47,760 --> 00:23:50,840 Speaker 2: unimpressive Seattle has been. Other than the facts, they've got 540 00:23:50,880 --> 00:23:54,560 Speaker 2: Russell Wilson and somehow they're eight and one on the road. 541 00:23:55,080 --> 00:23:58,040 Speaker 1: Yeah, he's I say the Seahawks are a model buster. 542 00:23:58,119 --> 00:24:01,320 Speaker 1: It's really Wilson. He's just incredible. Now they're probably going 543 00:24:01,400 --> 00:24:03,560 Speaker 1: to have some more success running the ball in this 544 00:24:03,600 --> 00:24:06,040 Speaker 1: game Philadelphia. That's the one thing that their defense can 545 00:24:06,080 --> 00:24:08,159 Speaker 1: really do. They can stop the run. Not so with 546 00:24:08,200 --> 00:24:10,719 Speaker 1: the Packers. They're better against the pass than they are 547 00:24:10,720 --> 00:24:13,440 Speaker 1: with the run. But again it's the difference in personnel. 548 00:24:13,480 --> 00:24:16,159 Speaker 1: Chris Carson, as much as he had fumbling problems, is 549 00:24:16,200 --> 00:24:20,639 Speaker 1: a legitimate NFL running back. He's solid. Rashot Penny, very solid. 550 00:24:20,800 --> 00:24:23,480 Speaker 1: Travis Homer, I you know, barely knew who he was 551 00:24:23,520 --> 00:24:25,320 Speaker 1: before he had to get in there. And Marshawn Lynch. 552 00:24:25,680 --> 00:24:28,080 Speaker 1: You know, it's fun, it's a good story, and he 553 00:24:28,200 --> 00:24:31,000 Speaker 1: still runs angry, but he's nowhere near the caliber that 554 00:24:31,119 --> 00:24:33,360 Speaker 1: those guys are. So they want to run the ball, 555 00:24:33,440 --> 00:24:35,320 Speaker 1: so they're still going to try to do it in 556 00:24:35,359 --> 00:24:38,040 Speaker 1: this game. I you know, it's a game where I 557 00:24:38,040 --> 00:24:40,600 Speaker 1: look at the line Packers laying for and the same 558 00:24:40,640 --> 00:24:42,879 Speaker 1: way at the Eagles. You looked at that line and 559 00:24:42,920 --> 00:24:46,800 Speaker 1: the Seahawks were favored initially before the line swung because 560 00:24:46,800 --> 00:24:48,919 Speaker 1: all the money came in on the Eagles, and you 561 00:24:49,080 --> 00:24:51,520 Speaker 1: just feel like, the Seahawks can't win this game, and 562 00:24:51,760 --> 00:24:54,800 Speaker 1: they can't keep this game even really all that close. 563 00:24:55,160 --> 00:24:58,159 Speaker 1: But it's a tough thing to do to bet against 564 00:24:58,200 --> 00:25:01,000 Speaker 1: Wilson in this spot. I feel like in the end, 565 00:25:01,040 --> 00:25:03,320 Speaker 1: you know, we give our plays on Thursday, so I 566 00:25:03,320 --> 00:25:05,560 Speaker 1: haven't had enough time to really dive into this. This 567 00:25:05,600 --> 00:25:07,480 Speaker 1: strikes me as the game again where I'm gonna want 568 00:25:07,520 --> 00:25:09,159 Speaker 1: to tease it, but I'm gonna want to tease it 569 00:25:09,320 --> 00:25:13,520 Speaker 1: up and take probably the Seahawks getting ten or something 570 00:25:13,560 --> 00:25:15,560 Speaker 1: like that, depending on where it goes, because I do 571 00:25:15,640 --> 00:25:18,159 Speaker 1: think in the end Wilson is capable of keeping the 572 00:25:18,200 --> 00:25:20,520 Speaker 1: game close. I just it's really difficult to see them 573 00:25:20,520 --> 00:25:24,280 Speaker 1: winning against arrested Packers team at home. You know, lambeau 574 00:25:24,280 --> 00:25:26,600 Speaker 1: Field is a tough place to play, and given all 575 00:25:26,640 --> 00:25:29,119 Speaker 1: the travel you mentioned it, they've been through some tough games. 576 00:25:29,160 --> 00:25:31,240 Speaker 1: You know, it's hard for me to really get excited. 577 00:25:31,240 --> 00:25:33,240 Speaker 1: How about the total out of curiosity forty six and 578 00:25:33,280 --> 00:25:35,040 Speaker 1: a half. That seems about right to me. I don't 579 00:25:35,080 --> 00:25:36,040 Speaker 1: have a great lean on it. 580 00:25:36,960 --> 00:25:40,520 Speaker 2: I would my first lean would definitely be under with how, 581 00:25:40,640 --> 00:25:42,800 Speaker 2: you know, unimpressive. Each offense has been. 582 00:25:43,359 --> 00:25:43,479 Speaker 1: Uh. 583 00:25:43,680 --> 00:25:46,320 Speaker 2: One thing you got to watch for is Brian Blaga. 584 00:25:46,400 --> 00:25:48,680 Speaker 2: I mean he is not cleared from his concussion yet 585 00:25:48,720 --> 00:25:50,760 Speaker 2: and and Clowney is coming on. I mean, he made 586 00:25:50,800 --> 00:25:54,800 Speaker 2: an impact and if Bloga is not there, that's a 587 00:25:54,800 --> 00:25:58,840 Speaker 2: big that's a big thing for the Seahawks, you know, 588 00:25:59,400 --> 00:26:01,440 Speaker 2: in terms of keeping it close. But all of their 589 00:26:01,480 --> 00:26:05,120 Speaker 2: games have been close, right, And so yeah, the teaser 590 00:26:05,160 --> 00:26:08,080 Speaker 2: that you mentioned taking them up over you know, double 591 00:26:08,080 --> 00:26:09,600 Speaker 2: digits very attractive. 592 00:26:09,920 --> 00:26:12,400 Speaker 1: Yeah, that's really where I'm leaning because they're never it's 593 00:26:12,480 --> 00:26:14,800 Speaker 1: really difficult to see them getting blown out, right, that's 594 00:26:14,840 --> 00:26:16,200 Speaker 1: just not a thing. And I said the same thing 595 00:26:16,240 --> 00:26:18,760 Speaker 1: with the Bills last week. As much as I expected 596 00:26:18,760 --> 00:26:21,760 Speaker 1: the Bills to in the end win that game, teasing 597 00:26:21,840 --> 00:26:23,200 Speaker 1: them up from two and a half to eight and 598 00:26:23,200 --> 00:26:25,080 Speaker 1: a half made me feel really confident because it just 599 00:26:25,080 --> 00:26:27,479 Speaker 1: did not seem like there was any way that they 600 00:26:27,480 --> 00:26:29,879 Speaker 1: were going to get completely blown out of that building. 601 00:26:29,880 --> 00:26:32,879 Speaker 1: And again, even if the Seahawks go down, Wilson is 602 00:26:32,960 --> 00:26:35,359 Speaker 1: able to make these miraculous throws and do things with 603 00:26:35,440 --> 00:26:37,280 Speaker 1: his legs enough to keep it close. So I could 604 00:26:37,320 --> 00:26:39,000 Speaker 1: see that one more as a backdoor cover. But that 605 00:26:39,000 --> 00:26:40,840 Speaker 1: one's going to be a really interesting game because again, 606 00:26:40,880 --> 00:26:44,919 Speaker 1: the Seahawks just you know, there's some is more than 607 00:26:44,960 --> 00:26:46,760 Speaker 1: the total of their parts and in the end, and 608 00:26:46,840 --> 00:26:48,840 Speaker 1: a lot of that comes down to Wilson. Before we 609 00:26:48,920 --> 00:26:51,120 Speaker 1: finish up, I want to remind everyone about our giveaway. 610 00:26:51,200 --> 00:26:53,919 Speaker 1: It's assigned Michael Thomas Saint's helmet. You can go to 611 00:26:53,920 --> 00:26:57,160 Speaker 1: bettingpros dot com slash contest for more details, but to enter, 612 00:26:57,240 --> 00:26:59,280 Speaker 1: just leave a review for the show on Apple Podcasts 613 00:26:59,359 --> 00:27:02,200 Speaker 1: or Stitcher. The screenshot of that review to contest at 614 00:27:02,200 --> 00:27:04,800 Speaker 1: Bettingpros dot com. 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All right, Larry, we have talked 623 00:27:28,240 --> 00:27:30,440 Speaker 1: about all the games, so let's briefly give our thoughts 624 00:27:30,720 --> 00:27:32,880 Speaker 1: on some of the futures for the Super Bowl. I'm 625 00:27:32,880 --> 00:27:34,920 Speaker 1: gonna give you the current Betting Pros odds and you 626 00:27:34,960 --> 00:27:36,760 Speaker 1: can tell me whether or not you like any of 627 00:27:36,800 --> 00:27:39,600 Speaker 1: them at their price. The current Super Bowl odds for 628 00:27:39,680 --> 00:27:42,120 Speaker 1: the teams remaining in the playoffs are the Ravens at 629 00:27:42,119 --> 00:27:45,120 Speaker 1: plus two hundred, the heavy favorite forty nine Ers at 630 00:27:45,160 --> 00:27:48,760 Speaker 1: plus three twenty five, the Chiefs at plus three fifty, 631 00:27:49,119 --> 00:27:52,280 Speaker 1: the Packers at plus seven fifty, the Seahawks at plus 632 00:27:52,320 --> 00:27:55,760 Speaker 1: twelve hundred, the Vikings at plus fourteen hundred, and then 633 00:27:55,800 --> 00:27:57,480 Speaker 1: you're going all the way down to the Texans at 634 00:27:57,520 --> 00:28:00,600 Speaker 1: plus twenty five hundred and the Titans at plus three thousand. 635 00:28:00,840 --> 00:28:04,480 Speaker 1: Do any of those strike your fancy at all a little. 636 00:28:04,240 --> 00:28:06,840 Speaker 2: Bit on the Chiefs, Like you said, they're a different team, 637 00:28:07,040 --> 00:28:09,200 Speaker 2: you know, six and zero down the stretch. Their defense 638 00:28:09,320 --> 00:28:13,480 Speaker 2: is healthy, Mahomes is healthy. They're number three in DBOA. 639 00:28:13,600 --> 00:28:15,600 Speaker 2: But the number two team was New Orleans. I mean 640 00:28:15,640 --> 00:28:17,880 Speaker 2: it's basically the Raves and the Chiefs I think are 641 00:28:18,000 --> 00:28:22,360 Speaker 2: the two best teams. So I think the only one 642 00:28:22,359 --> 00:28:24,159 Speaker 2: that's attractive to me is Casey. 643 00:28:24,680 --> 00:28:27,680 Speaker 1: Yeah, Casey is the one that I like at plus 644 00:28:27,680 --> 00:28:30,200 Speaker 1: three fifty. The only other one, and this is bad 645 00:28:30,200 --> 00:28:32,920 Speaker 1: because I just kind of got through talking bad about them, 646 00:28:33,080 --> 00:28:36,159 Speaker 1: is the Packers at plus seven to fifty, because you know, 647 00:28:36,400 --> 00:28:39,280 Speaker 1: I think we both expect them probably to be able 648 00:28:39,320 --> 00:28:42,200 Speaker 1: to win this game. The forty nine Ers, I assume 649 00:28:42,240 --> 00:28:44,160 Speaker 1: are going to be able to beat the Vikings, but 650 00:28:44,400 --> 00:28:46,880 Speaker 1: of course you never know. Everybody thought the Saints were 651 00:28:46,880 --> 00:28:48,600 Speaker 1: going to beat the Vikings right now, if the Vikings 652 00:28:48,600 --> 00:28:50,480 Speaker 1: have to go into Green Bay, I think we can 653 00:28:50,520 --> 00:28:53,160 Speaker 1: safely say the Packers are probably going to be going 654 00:28:53,160 --> 00:28:54,920 Speaker 1: to the super Bowl, but I think they can go 655 00:28:55,040 --> 00:28:57,640 Speaker 1: into San Francisco and win eight. I don't want to, 656 00:28:57,680 --> 00:29:00,200 Speaker 1: you know, Aaron Rodgers being present. He's not the Aaron 657 00:29:00,240 --> 00:29:02,400 Speaker 1: Rodgers of old, but he is still capable of making 658 00:29:02,720 --> 00:29:06,200 Speaker 1: ridiculous throws. They have very good running backs. Their pass 659 00:29:06,240 --> 00:29:08,880 Speaker 1: defense is good, their run defense is okay and could 660 00:29:08,920 --> 00:29:11,440 Speaker 1: get better. But it's seven point fifty. It's the only 661 00:29:11,480 --> 00:29:13,520 Speaker 1: other one I look at that says this could have 662 00:29:13,960 --> 00:29:15,840 Speaker 1: a real shot of cashing. But I agree with you 663 00:29:15,880 --> 00:29:17,920 Speaker 1: the Chiefs. I you know, I don't want to pick 664 00:29:17,920 --> 00:29:20,360 Speaker 1: against Lamar Jackson and publicly or anything like that, but 665 00:29:20,800 --> 00:29:23,000 Speaker 1: I kind of lean that the Chiefs are going to 666 00:29:23,040 --> 00:29:25,080 Speaker 1: win the Super Bowl this year, and I'm kind of 667 00:29:25,160 --> 00:29:27,200 Speaker 1: rooting for it as well. But I think that they 668 00:29:27,200 --> 00:29:29,680 Speaker 1: are the one beat of plus three fifty that I'd 669 00:29:29,680 --> 00:29:30,640 Speaker 1: probably like as well. 670 00:29:30,720 --> 00:29:34,280 Speaker 2: I gotta say with with Aaron Rodgers start to interject 671 00:29:34,320 --> 00:29:38,440 Speaker 2: there yet apologize, all right, Well, I mean last four 672 00:29:38,480 --> 00:29:43,400 Speaker 2: games fifty five point eight percent completions, seventy six passer 673 00:29:43,480 --> 00:29:46,520 Speaker 2: rating six yards per attempt. I mean, it could not 674 00:29:46,640 --> 00:29:49,200 Speaker 2: have looked worse down the stretch. But I also kind 675 00:29:49,200 --> 00:29:52,120 Speaker 2: of feel like there is some magic there. We haven't 676 00:29:52,160 --> 00:29:54,720 Speaker 2: seen it yet. I mean, maybe this team has been 677 00:29:54,800 --> 00:29:58,280 Speaker 2: saving it for the postseason, but we've just been waiting 678 00:29:58,320 --> 00:30:01,040 Speaker 2: for this offense to kind of come alive and maybe 679 00:30:01,040 --> 00:30:05,520 Speaker 2: with the rest and maybe having home field, and you know, 680 00:30:05,600 --> 00:30:08,479 Speaker 2: I'm just thinking like it's got to be in there somewhere. 681 00:30:08,560 --> 00:30:10,600 Speaker 2: And if you look at some of the games, even 682 00:30:10,640 --> 00:30:13,840 Speaker 2: you know, Matt Lafleur talked about this, some of these 683 00:30:13,880 --> 00:30:16,320 Speaker 2: passes are just like a yard off, a half yard off. 684 00:30:16,360 --> 00:30:19,040 Speaker 2: Like the timing is that they have had chances to 685 00:30:19,080 --> 00:30:22,720 Speaker 2: put up thirty plus and just have barely missed connections. 686 00:30:22,800 --> 00:30:25,440 Speaker 2: So I'm not saying it's gonna happen, but like you said, 687 00:30:25,520 --> 00:30:26,600 Speaker 2: I would not rule it out. 688 00:30:26,920 --> 00:30:28,640 Speaker 1: Well, there are two things that I think about when 689 00:30:28,680 --> 00:30:31,120 Speaker 1: you say that. One is sort of like the Saints, 690 00:30:31,240 --> 00:30:33,600 Speaker 1: what's really killing them a little bit is they don't 691 00:30:33,600 --> 00:30:36,280 Speaker 1: really have a second option in the passing game other 692 00:30:36,360 --> 00:30:38,680 Speaker 1: than Devonte Adams, right, and that was always kind of Saints. 693 00:30:38,720 --> 00:30:41,960 Speaker 1: They got Jared Cook involved, but really, who is the 694 00:30:42,080 --> 00:30:45,560 Speaker 1: Packers number two wide receiver. Is it Alan Lazard, you know? 695 00:30:45,720 --> 00:30:48,880 Speaker 1: Is it Geronimo Allison? Is it marcuz Velde Scantling. You 696 00:30:49,000 --> 00:30:51,320 Speaker 1: just haven't been able to find that guy all year long, 697 00:30:51,360 --> 00:30:53,560 Speaker 1: so it's a little difficult to see him really doing 698 00:30:53,600 --> 00:30:56,720 Speaker 1: something great. However, with that said, you mentioned fantasy. That's 699 00:30:56,800 --> 00:30:58,920 Speaker 1: part of what I do. I do a lot of 700 00:30:58,920 --> 00:31:02,880 Speaker 1: fantasy rankings. There were two games at least maybe three, 701 00:31:02,920 --> 00:31:05,520 Speaker 1: I guess that we can talk about that Aaron Rodgers, 702 00:31:05,600 --> 00:31:08,239 Speaker 1: who was not a great fantasy quarterback on the year 703 00:31:08,240 --> 00:31:10,080 Speaker 1: because you just he didn't have that great year where 704 00:31:10,080 --> 00:31:13,120 Speaker 1: he would just explode, right. He would just bomb out 705 00:31:13,160 --> 00:31:15,840 Speaker 1: five or six touchdown passes. He would look explosive, and 706 00:31:15,880 --> 00:31:17,960 Speaker 1: that's what you need. And that's still in there. As 707 00:31:18,000 --> 00:31:20,840 Speaker 1: you said, it's still in his arm. He can still 708 00:31:20,880 --> 00:31:23,080 Speaker 1: do it. We haven't seen the evidence of it lately. 709 00:31:23,200 --> 00:31:26,120 Speaker 1: It might not manifest itself. But that's the reason why 710 00:31:26,120 --> 00:31:28,440 Speaker 1: at plus seven to fifty, you could see if he 711 00:31:28,600 --> 00:31:32,120 Speaker 1: goes on an old school Aaron Rodgers run, you never 712 00:31:32,200 --> 00:31:34,240 Speaker 1: know what's gonna happen with this team. So I agree 713 00:31:34,280 --> 00:31:36,600 Speaker 1: with you, though, Chiefs A plus three fifty, that's my favorite. 714 00:31:36,600 --> 00:31:38,480 Speaker 1: If The only other one that I would even kind 715 00:31:38,520 --> 00:31:41,760 Speaker 1: of think about is the Packers at plus seven to fifty. Well, 716 00:31:41,760 --> 00:31:43,720 Speaker 1: that's going to do it for today's show. Larry, thanks 717 00:31:43,760 --> 00:31:46,080 Speaker 1: for coming on. You gave some great information and remind 718 00:31:46,120 --> 00:31:48,480 Speaker 1: everybody where they can find more of you and your work. 719 00:31:49,280 --> 00:31:51,840 Speaker 2: Check me out on sportsline dot com, on Twitter at 720 00:31:51,960 --> 00:31:54,400 Speaker 2: Larry Heartstein and Dan. I enjoyed it. 721 00:31:54,920 --> 00:31:56,640 Speaker 1: Yeah, really great having you on. I hope we can 722 00:31:56,640 --> 00:32:00,400 Speaker 1: do it again soon. Thanks again to the sponsor they show, 723 00:32:00,400 --> 00:32:03,240 Speaker 1: bet MGM. Remember to download the bet MGM Sports app, 724 00:32:03,360 --> 00:32:06,440 Speaker 1: use the promo code Harris, place a one dollar money 725 00:32:06,440 --> 00:32:09,240 Speaker 1: line bet on the Lakers next either team, and win 726 00:32:09,360 --> 00:32:12,760 Speaker 1: a dollar in free bets for every point scored in 727 00:32:12,840 --> 00:32:15,400 Speaker 1: the game. And don't forget to rate and review the podcast. 728 00:32:15,560 --> 00:32:17,960 Speaker 1: Send a screenshot of that review to contest at bettingpros 729 00:32:17,960 --> 00:32:22,200 Speaker 1: dot com for your chance to an assigned Michael Thomas helmet. 730 00:32:22,360 --> 00:32:24,200 Speaker 1: We will be back later this week giving some of 731 00:32:24,240 --> 00:32:26,560 Speaker 1: our best bets for the divisional round. I'll talk to 732 00:32:26,600 --> 00:32:26,880 Speaker 1: you then