1 00:00:00,440 --> 00:00:03,360 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Nick, Dick and Paul Show. I am 2 00:00:03,400 --> 00:00:05,920 Speaker 1: one of your hosts, Nick Bilton, and I'm a writer 3 00:00:06,040 --> 00:00:10,080 Speaker 1: of all things writerly, including for this episode, a screenwriter 4 00:00:10,200 --> 00:00:11,080 Speaker 1: and documentarian. 5 00:00:11,440 --> 00:00:14,760 Speaker 2: I'm de Costello, general partner at the venture capital firm 6 00:00:14,760 --> 00:00:18,280 Speaker 2: I Want Advisors and Lumber Futures Trader Lumber. 7 00:00:18,480 --> 00:00:22,160 Speaker 3: Really I didn't know about. I'm so excited. Paul Kadrowski, 8 00:00:23,560 --> 00:00:26,160 Speaker 3: partner at a firm called ESK, Venture's former Wall Street 9 00:00:26,200 --> 00:00:28,560 Speaker 3: guy way back, Quen, I used to have my dungeons 10 00:00:28,560 --> 00:00:31,240 Speaker 3: and Dragons. Characters were always chaotic good which feels appropriate, 11 00:00:31,320 --> 00:00:32,720 Speaker 3: just so you know, Oh that's good. 12 00:00:32,760 --> 00:00:33,360 Speaker 4: It's good to hear. 13 00:00:33,640 --> 00:00:36,519 Speaker 1: We actually brought back a guest that we had on 14 00:00:36,560 --> 00:00:40,760 Speaker 1: a few weeks ago, Alan Loebe, who is a screenwriter, 15 00:00:41,080 --> 00:00:44,120 Speaker 1: and he was on talking about poly markets and the 16 00:00:44,120 --> 00:00:46,360 Speaker 1: betting markets and sports betting and so on and so forth. 17 00:00:46,479 --> 00:00:47,519 Speaker 1: Did I say that wrong? I did? 18 00:00:47,520 --> 00:00:49,560 Speaker 4: Didn't I prediction market, prediction market. 19 00:00:49,600 --> 00:00:51,640 Speaker 1: It keeps mixing up for our prediction and Polly. But 20 00:00:51,680 --> 00:00:54,080 Speaker 1: that's okay. If you did not listen to that episode, 21 00:00:54,120 --> 00:00:56,520 Speaker 1: it was fantastic and I would recommend you go back 22 00:00:56,560 --> 00:00:59,760 Speaker 1: and listen to it. We got some amazing, amazing stories 23 00:00:59,760 --> 00:01:03,160 Speaker 1: from that, and we're we have allan on to talk about. 24 00:01:03,200 --> 00:01:04,720 Speaker 1: We're going to talk about Hollywood. We're going to talk 25 00:01:04,720 --> 00:01:07,280 Speaker 1: about AI. We're going to talk about how Alan and 26 00:01:07,319 --> 00:01:09,679 Speaker 1: I won't have a job in a few months years, 27 00:01:09,800 --> 00:01:12,959 Speaker 1: whatever that is. Alan, welcome back to the show. 28 00:01:13,040 --> 00:01:14,520 Speaker 5: Thank you, it's great to be here. We went from 29 00:01:14,560 --> 00:01:20,600 Speaker 5: gambling to Hollywood, which are super completely redundant. It's thematic. 30 00:01:35,200 --> 00:01:38,400 Speaker 1: Paul's going to kick us off today with some questions 31 00:01:38,640 --> 00:01:43,000 Speaker 1: about AI and Hollywood and stream writing and creativity and whatnot. 32 00:01:42,800 --> 00:01:45,200 Speaker 3: Right because I'm a domain expert on the topics. Yeah, No, 33 00:01:45,360 --> 00:01:47,199 Speaker 3: I mean Nick and I have had this conversation many 34 00:01:47,200 --> 00:01:51,480 Speaker 3: times about this strange moment that Hollywood finds itself in. 35 00:01:51,520 --> 00:01:53,800 Speaker 3: And Hollywood's been, you know, a sole sequence of strange 36 00:01:53,800 --> 00:01:56,520 Speaker 3: moments probably back for one hundred years and fifty hundred 37 00:01:56,560 --> 00:02:00,000 Speaker 3: years now. But this idea of this evolution of how 38 00:02:00,000 --> 00:02:02,640 Speaker 3: how stuff gets created, who does the creating that it's 39 00:02:02,680 --> 00:02:06,640 Speaker 3: happening increasingly with technology involved. The lengths are shrinking, and 40 00:02:06,680 --> 00:02:10,919 Speaker 3: in particular, even right now, this evolution towards much shorter 41 00:02:11,080 --> 00:02:15,200 Speaker 3: videos that people talk about vertical videos. What's your general 42 00:02:15,320 --> 00:02:18,240 Speaker 3: view on a sort of scale of one to ten 43 00:02:18,320 --> 00:02:20,920 Speaker 3: how absolutely panic stricken people are about what's going on. 44 00:02:21,040 --> 00:02:22,560 Speaker 6: I would probably put it an eight and a half 45 00:02:23,120 --> 00:02:23,480 Speaker 6: and a half. 46 00:02:23,520 --> 00:02:25,320 Speaker 1: That's pretty low. Actually, I would have done a year 47 00:02:25,360 --> 00:02:26,200 Speaker 1: go half. 48 00:02:26,240 --> 00:02:29,000 Speaker 4: You're more than nine and a half. Yeah, I think why. 49 00:02:29,080 --> 00:02:31,919 Speaker 5: There's definitely a lot of panic, and there's a huge 50 00:02:31,960 --> 00:02:35,720 Speaker 5: amount of uncertainty. With uncertainty there comes you know, panic. 51 00:02:35,800 --> 00:02:38,840 Speaker 5: But I don't know if anyone knows how this is 52 00:02:38,840 --> 00:02:39,760 Speaker 5: going to butt. 53 00:02:39,880 --> 00:02:41,800 Speaker 3: But just let's sort of frame it. Is it panic 54 00:02:41,880 --> 00:02:44,919 Speaker 3: because of changing ways that things are being produced, Panic 55 00:02:44,960 --> 00:02:48,560 Speaker 3: because of consolidation among studios. I'd say, yes, I'm a 56 00:02:48,560 --> 00:02:50,680 Speaker 3: panic because of the writer's strike, which is I mean 57 00:02:50,760 --> 00:02:51,160 Speaker 3: just all. 58 00:02:51,200 --> 00:02:53,720 Speaker 1: The it's all the all that I believe. Can you 59 00:02:53,840 --> 00:02:57,160 Speaker 1: to put to put this into perspective for listeners, You've 60 00:02:57,200 --> 00:02:59,400 Speaker 1: been in the industry fifteen years, twenty years? 61 00:02:59,480 --> 00:03:00,520 Speaker 6: No, no, no longer than that. 62 00:03:00,560 --> 00:03:00,840 Speaker 1: Wow. 63 00:03:01,520 --> 00:03:04,160 Speaker 5: I was a failure and struggling to make it in 64 00:03:04,200 --> 00:03:06,400 Speaker 5: this industry for twelve years and I've been somewhat of 65 00:03:06,440 --> 00:03:08,760 Speaker 5: a success for twenty two years. 66 00:03:08,960 --> 00:03:09,720 Speaker 1: It's better to be. 67 00:03:09,639 --> 00:03:10,919 Speaker 6: A success, I'll put it that way. 68 00:03:10,960 --> 00:03:13,480 Speaker 1: So I'd love to hear the story of how you 69 00:03:13,520 --> 00:03:15,720 Speaker 1: broke in. But before you get there, can you explain 70 00:03:15,840 --> 00:03:18,520 Speaker 1: how the industry has changed and how it's different from 71 00:03:18,639 --> 00:03:20,000 Speaker 1: back then to today. 72 00:03:20,080 --> 00:03:21,160 Speaker 6: Well, it's much different now. 73 00:03:21,240 --> 00:03:23,239 Speaker 5: I mean now I don't even know and I don't 74 00:03:23,240 --> 00:03:25,440 Speaker 5: know if anyone knows where it's going and where it's heading, 75 00:03:26,040 --> 00:03:29,519 Speaker 5: and the type of content and where people are seeing 76 00:03:29,520 --> 00:03:32,679 Speaker 5: the content, the length of content, the delivery service, everything 77 00:03:32,760 --> 00:03:35,000 Speaker 5: is different. But when I broke in, it was really 78 00:03:35,840 --> 00:03:39,520 Speaker 5: about as a screenwriter is a storyteller. This is I 79 00:03:39,880 --> 00:03:43,000 Speaker 5: don't know how actors you know, nailed auditions and got 80 00:03:43,040 --> 00:03:43,600 Speaker 5: acting gigs. 81 00:03:43,600 --> 00:03:44,800 Speaker 6: I'm not going to speak to that. But as a. 82 00:03:44,800 --> 00:03:48,640 Speaker 5: Screenwriter, you just you wrote specscripts. That's what it was. 83 00:03:48,640 --> 00:03:51,880 Speaker 5: Was the nineties when I came here and everybody wrote specscripts, 84 00:03:52,520 --> 00:03:54,920 Speaker 5: meaning a film script that they wrote for no money, 85 00:03:54,920 --> 00:03:57,200 Speaker 5: and then they tried to get an agent or a 86 00:03:57,240 --> 00:03:59,960 Speaker 5: studio to notice it. And there was a gold rush. 87 00:04:00,080 --> 00:04:03,200 Speaker 5: It was a gold rush in the nineties where the 88 00:04:03,240 --> 00:04:05,640 Speaker 5: studios would find a specscript they love and they'd give 89 00:04:05,680 --> 00:04:09,160 Speaker 5: this kid out a UFC two million dollars in nineteen 90 00:04:09,320 --> 00:04:11,839 Speaker 5: ninety seven money for that script, and then they would 91 00:04:11,920 --> 00:04:14,760 Speaker 5: fire him and rewrite every word. So basically they were 92 00:04:14,760 --> 00:04:17,680 Speaker 5: buying movie ideas, dressed up movie ideas. There was a 93 00:04:17,760 --> 00:04:22,000 Speaker 5: very famous story of when Harvey Weinstein bought a bar 94 00:04:22,360 --> 00:04:24,800 Speaker 5: the guy was working at. He was working at a bar. 95 00:04:24,920 --> 00:04:26,640 Speaker 5: He wrote a script and there was a lot of 96 00:04:26,640 --> 00:04:29,600 Speaker 5: studios all bidding for it, and Harvey Weinstein bought the 97 00:04:29,680 --> 00:04:32,320 Speaker 5: bar the guy was working at and gave him the bar, 98 00:04:33,000 --> 00:04:36,040 Speaker 5: and that movie was Boondocks Saints, which ended up becoming 99 00:04:36,080 --> 00:04:38,640 Speaker 5: a TV show. I don't know if any of you 100 00:04:38,680 --> 00:04:40,719 Speaker 5: guys remember any of this, but this was a famous 101 00:04:40,720 --> 00:04:41,679 Speaker 5: Hollywood story. 102 00:04:42,320 --> 00:04:45,240 Speaker 6: But there was they loved. There was such a gold 103 00:04:45,320 --> 00:04:46,120 Speaker 6: rush for ideas. 104 00:04:46,160 --> 00:04:48,279 Speaker 5: So that's when I came in. I tried to get 105 00:04:48,279 --> 00:04:49,760 Speaker 5: in on that as a gambler. 106 00:04:50,240 --> 00:04:52,520 Speaker 3: But just on that though, and I mean, why do 107 00:04:52,560 --> 00:04:55,080 Speaker 3: you think that was what was going on at that 108 00:04:55,200 --> 00:04:57,680 Speaker 3: time that drove this gold mush mentality a few things. 109 00:04:57,720 --> 00:04:59,520 Speaker 3: First of all, it wasn't the rise of streaming services. 110 00:04:59,520 --> 00:05:00,960 Speaker 3: I mean, there was a dynamics were comparing. 111 00:05:01,040 --> 00:05:05,400 Speaker 5: Every studio would release on average, there were probably nine 112 00:05:05,400 --> 00:05:08,040 Speaker 5: big ones or eight big ones, and they would all 113 00:05:08,080 --> 00:05:12,120 Speaker 5: release on average twelve to fifteen movies a year. Yeah, okay, 114 00:05:12,160 --> 00:05:15,200 Speaker 5: so that was they needed that, they needed that pipeline service. 115 00:05:15,520 --> 00:05:18,040 Speaker 5: Right now, even a big studio with the tent poles 116 00:05:18,520 --> 00:05:21,200 Speaker 5: will probably only release four or five movies a year. 117 00:05:21,480 --> 00:05:23,960 Speaker 5: If that I mean, the streamers are kind of back 118 00:05:24,000 --> 00:05:26,360 Speaker 5: into that business of releasing a lot of more volume 119 00:05:27,440 --> 00:05:29,760 Speaker 5: which no one remembers and no one see many many 120 00:05:29,800 --> 00:05:32,359 Speaker 5: people don't remember. Many people don't see the streamer movies. 121 00:05:32,440 --> 00:05:34,320 Speaker 5: I mean, you could look at the big movie stars 122 00:05:34,320 --> 00:05:36,360 Speaker 5: and what movies they made in the last five years, 123 00:05:36,400 --> 00:05:38,120 Speaker 5: and half of them are on Apple that you had 124 00:05:38,160 --> 00:05:38,920 Speaker 5: no idea existed. 125 00:05:39,000 --> 00:05:42,359 Speaker 3: I just had that experience driving down Melrose where I 126 00:05:42,400 --> 00:05:44,599 Speaker 3: was looking at, you know, for your consideration, all the 127 00:05:44,600 --> 00:05:46,280 Speaker 3: posters and so on, and was like, don't know it, 128 00:05:46,320 --> 00:05:47,680 Speaker 3: don't know it, don't know it, don't know it, don't 129 00:05:47,720 --> 00:05:48,080 Speaker 3: know what it was. 130 00:05:48,080 --> 00:05:51,600 Speaker 4: Like up for six of words, it was what the hell? 131 00:05:51,600 --> 00:05:53,359 Speaker 5: Remember when we were growing up, when I was breaking 132 00:05:53,360 --> 00:05:56,680 Speaker 5: in you remembered it every movie. 133 00:05:55,640 --> 00:05:58,120 Speaker 2: Every when the oscars wrong, you were like seeing it, 134 00:05:58,200 --> 00:05:59,920 Speaker 2: seen it, seen it, seen it, need to see it. 135 00:06:00,279 --> 00:06:02,240 Speaker 4: Now you're like, don't know it, don't know it. Sounds dumb. 136 00:06:02,279 --> 00:06:02,920 Speaker 4: It don't know it. 137 00:06:05,600 --> 00:06:05,960 Speaker 3: Why is it? 138 00:06:06,000 --> 00:06:11,920 Speaker 2: By the way, also, Boondocks Saints only twenty six percent 139 00:06:11,960 --> 00:06:14,279 Speaker 2: on the Tomato Meter, so not actually a great movie. 140 00:06:15,000 --> 00:06:18,359 Speaker 5: You'll know the movie did not do great great cast. 141 00:06:18,400 --> 00:06:22,560 Speaker 2: Willem Dafoe plays the FBI agent. I saw the movie 142 00:06:22,640 --> 00:06:25,400 Speaker 2: when I first came out. You remember who stars, It's 143 00:06:25,440 --> 00:06:26,160 Speaker 2: Williem Dafoe. 144 00:06:26,160 --> 00:06:26,840 Speaker 4: He's like kind of. 145 00:06:27,279 --> 00:06:30,240 Speaker 6: Kind of a you know, they would they would, they 146 00:06:30,240 --> 00:06:31,479 Speaker 6: would pay millions and millions and. 147 00:06:31,480 --> 00:06:32,280 Speaker 4: Millions of dollars. 148 00:06:32,360 --> 00:06:34,560 Speaker 3: Who is the guy that had an outlines that had 149 00:06:34,640 --> 00:06:37,600 Speaker 3: a lot of bunch of his outlines showing Joe astra House, 150 00:06:37,600 --> 00:06:40,000 Speaker 3: Shane Black, Shane Black. That was I actually remember the 151 00:06:40,040 --> 00:06:42,120 Speaker 3: story you probably tell well. 152 00:06:42,160 --> 00:06:44,800 Speaker 5: Joe Esterhouse is the one who sold an outline for 153 00:06:44,880 --> 00:06:47,640 Speaker 5: four point eight million dollars to New Line in nineteen 154 00:06:47,720 --> 00:06:51,039 Speaker 5: ninety something and that became the movie, the classic movie 155 00:06:51,040 --> 00:06:53,360 Speaker 5: the Academy we don't feel called show Girls. 156 00:06:53,520 --> 00:06:55,320 Speaker 6: I don't know if you remember show Girls. 157 00:06:55,680 --> 00:06:58,600 Speaker 1: Uh, And that was from an outline that was from 158 00:06:58,600 --> 00:06:58,920 Speaker 1: a night. 159 00:06:58,880 --> 00:07:01,520 Speaker 3: It wasn't Blacks the same something that was wrote. 160 00:07:01,360 --> 00:07:04,760 Speaker 5: Lethal Weapons, which was really really a great movie, class. 161 00:07:04,720 --> 00:07:07,120 Speaker 3: Movie, and it was his first project. 162 00:07:07,240 --> 00:07:09,360 Speaker 5: It was one of his first projects, and it broke 163 00:07:09,400 --> 00:07:13,120 Speaker 5: him through and he became a phenomenally talented and successful 164 00:07:13,120 --> 00:07:14,320 Speaker 5: Screenwrin he was a great screenwriter. 165 00:07:14,400 --> 00:07:15,520 Speaker 4: He still is, he's still working. 166 00:07:16,320 --> 00:07:18,720 Speaker 1: What was your breakthrough moment? What happened? 167 00:07:19,480 --> 00:07:21,480 Speaker 5: Well, I had been struggling, Like I said, I was struggling, 168 00:07:21,520 --> 00:07:23,480 Speaker 5: so I just to fill out in the blanks. I 169 00:07:23,720 --> 00:07:26,240 Speaker 5: came out here to to to win that lottery and 170 00:07:26,320 --> 00:07:27,560 Speaker 5: to in that gold rush. 171 00:07:27,600 --> 00:07:28,120 Speaker 6: And I wrote. 172 00:07:27,920 --> 00:07:30,920 Speaker 5: Speckstript after specscript after specstrum, and I sold none, and 173 00:07:32,040 --> 00:07:34,280 Speaker 5: I got a little bit of interest from some people, 174 00:07:34,360 --> 00:07:36,840 Speaker 5: but nothing really major. And I did sell one or 175 00:07:36,840 --> 00:07:39,240 Speaker 5: two pitches at the time for very little money for 176 00:07:39,280 --> 00:07:41,960 Speaker 5: what we call guild minimum, which wasn't a lot, and 177 00:07:42,000 --> 00:07:44,520 Speaker 5: I would lose the gambling within two weeks. 178 00:07:46,080 --> 00:07:48,760 Speaker 1: That was the last podcast. 179 00:07:49,160 --> 00:07:51,160 Speaker 5: Makes sense, But the point is, so I was struggling, 180 00:07:51,160 --> 00:07:53,240 Speaker 5: I was going to leave the business, and and I 181 00:07:53,400 --> 00:07:56,800 Speaker 5: just I had one final Hail Mary script that I 182 00:07:57,200 --> 00:07:59,280 Speaker 5: I went to New York to write, and that was 183 00:07:59,320 --> 00:08:03,760 Speaker 5: the one that somehow bursted through. It's a movie on 184 00:08:03,800 --> 00:08:06,040 Speaker 5: Amazon now called Only Leaving Boy in New York, which 185 00:08:07,000 --> 00:08:08,960 Speaker 5: is on a streamer, so therefore no one's probably seen 186 00:08:08,960 --> 00:08:09,560 Speaker 5: it or know about it. 187 00:08:09,600 --> 00:08:10,280 Speaker 4: You check it out. 188 00:08:10,400 --> 00:08:12,080 Speaker 1: You were there were to be. 189 00:08:12,000 --> 00:08:15,440 Speaker 4: Fair again show Girls, for which esther House got. 190 00:08:15,280 --> 00:08:18,800 Speaker 2: Paid an excurinary amount of money for an outline twenty 191 00:08:18,840 --> 00:08:22,720 Speaker 2: four percent on the Tomato meter. So the point being, 192 00:08:23,080 --> 00:08:25,200 Speaker 2: these guys who are buying these movies have no taste. 193 00:08:25,200 --> 00:08:27,160 Speaker 4: What's that? I don't know what? They're fine? 194 00:08:27,680 --> 00:08:29,679 Speaker 1: There. There was a moment though, when you did sell 195 00:08:29,960 --> 00:08:32,160 Speaker 1: your movie, where you had sold your car. You were 196 00:08:32,160 --> 00:08:34,319 Speaker 1: so broke right, and you would tell you those before 197 00:08:34,400 --> 00:08:38,600 Speaker 1: I that was, you know, before I had sold. Here's 198 00:08:38,960 --> 00:08:42,000 Speaker 1: here's the question I have is why were there good 199 00:08:42,080 --> 00:08:44,199 Speaker 1: movies then and there are not good movies today? 200 00:08:44,320 --> 00:08:47,000 Speaker 4: That's a great question, do you know? The answer? 201 00:08:47,080 --> 00:08:48,160 Speaker 6: A tough thing to answer. 202 00:08:48,320 --> 00:08:51,440 Speaker 5: I would challenge the premise on it, though. First of all, 203 00:08:51,520 --> 00:08:55,080 Speaker 5: I would say that there were some, you know, obviously 204 00:08:55,120 --> 00:08:57,880 Speaker 5: great movies then, and there is great, for lack of 205 00:08:57,880 --> 00:09:01,240 Speaker 5: a better term, TV shows now. I'm in secession, Game 206 00:09:01,280 --> 00:09:05,319 Speaker 5: of Thrones, going back a little bit, Sopranos, Breaking Bad, 207 00:09:05,720 --> 00:09:08,560 Speaker 5: those are on par with any great movie we loved 208 00:09:08,640 --> 00:09:12,080 Speaker 5: in nineteen ninety eight, So I mean me, and in 209 00:09:12,120 --> 00:09:14,920 Speaker 5: those days there wasn't that, There wasn't that premium cable, 210 00:09:15,240 --> 00:09:15,520 Speaker 5: you know. 211 00:09:15,559 --> 00:09:18,679 Speaker 6: Stories Coming It was really good. A lot of misunderstanding. 212 00:09:18,800 --> 00:09:21,000 Speaker 3: Yeah, you'll go back and watch if they just would 213 00:09:21,040 --> 00:09:22,160 Speaker 3: speak to each other, and. 214 00:09:22,120 --> 00:09:27,360 Speaker 1: So back back then you could sell to producers. There 215 00:09:27,400 --> 00:09:30,240 Speaker 1: was a lot more studios, right compared to today. 216 00:09:30,320 --> 00:09:32,480 Speaker 5: Yeah, there were the studios that were there, and they're 217 00:09:32,520 --> 00:09:34,959 Speaker 5: still here for the most part. We're making more movies, 218 00:09:35,040 --> 00:09:37,120 Speaker 5: a lot more movies, and releasing more movies. 219 00:09:37,520 --> 00:09:38,720 Speaker 6: But there were a lot of bad movies in. 220 00:09:38,720 --> 00:09:39,320 Speaker 4: Those days too. 221 00:09:39,720 --> 00:09:41,480 Speaker 6: I think there's a nostalgia bias. 222 00:09:41,800 --> 00:09:43,240 Speaker 4: It's like a percentage thing, too, right. 223 00:09:43,280 --> 00:09:44,720 Speaker 3: I mean the idea that if they were like I 224 00:09:44,720 --> 00:09:47,120 Speaker 3: don't know, say it's ten studios each doing ten movies 225 00:09:47,160 --> 00:09:48,960 Speaker 3: a year or whatever, one hundred and fifty plus movies 226 00:09:49,000 --> 00:09:51,080 Speaker 3: a year, ten percent of them are any good, that's 227 00:09:51,080 --> 00:09:53,760 Speaker 3: fifteen movies. I'm going to remember that now with a 228 00:09:53,840 --> 00:09:55,839 Speaker 3: much smaller slate, If ten percent of them are good, 229 00:09:55,840 --> 00:09:57,640 Speaker 3: the odds or I didn't even notice that one. Because 230 00:09:57,640 --> 00:09:59,960 Speaker 3: there's so few movies being produced, it just turns into 231 00:10:00,040 --> 00:10:01,240 Speaker 3: one or two half decent movies. 232 00:10:01,320 --> 00:10:03,920 Speaker 5: There's also the original idea capture, which those were original 233 00:10:04,000 --> 00:10:06,520 Speaker 5: ideas mostly and sometimes off of a book. 234 00:10:06,640 --> 00:10:09,559 Speaker 6: Books were very big. Now you're making movies. 235 00:10:09,200 --> 00:10:12,520 Speaker 5: Off of all sorts of IP graphic novels and in 236 00:10:12,720 --> 00:10:16,200 Speaker 5: the I P RB sometimes you are you know, it's 237 00:10:16,679 --> 00:10:19,120 Speaker 5: sometimes it's a round peg square hole. 238 00:10:19,240 --> 00:10:21,000 Speaker 6: No, did I get that right? 239 00:10:22,200 --> 00:10:25,800 Speaker 1: We've got we're flexible on brand movies. Here's a list 240 00:10:25,800 --> 00:10:28,480 Speaker 1: of brand movies in development. Hot Wheels, Barney Magicate, Bowl, 241 00:10:28,520 --> 00:10:33,880 Speaker 1: Who Know, Rock Soccam, Robots, American Girl, Doll, Polly Packet, Viewmaster, 242 00:10:34,000 --> 00:10:36,840 Speaker 1: and Wishbone. You are actually doing I'm up for like 243 00:10:36,880 --> 00:10:37,360 Speaker 1: three of those. 244 00:10:37,440 --> 00:10:41,000 Speaker 3: No, But isn't it wasn't that the plot of the 245 00:10:41,120 --> 00:10:41,400 Speaker 3: what was that? 246 00:10:42,000 --> 00:10:47,520 Speaker 1: The seth the studio kool Aid thing is which is 247 00:10:47,840 --> 00:10:48,600 Speaker 1: the studio? 248 00:10:48,600 --> 00:10:51,880 Speaker 2: By the way, watch that will get made somewhere is going. 249 00:10:51,800 --> 00:10:54,240 Speaker 3: Someone's not a bad idea, but the thing that I 250 00:10:54,280 --> 00:10:56,240 Speaker 3: and again I'm just you know, talking out of my 251 00:10:56,240 --> 00:10:58,440 Speaker 3: ass here on this stuff. But I mean, which has 252 00:10:58,440 --> 00:11:03,040 Speaker 3: never stopped me before? So why stop now? So here's 253 00:11:03,040 --> 00:11:05,160 Speaker 3: my theory on all of this. The reason why IP 254 00:11:05,320 --> 00:11:07,719 Speaker 3: has become so important isn't just because like I don't know, 255 00:11:07,760 --> 00:11:11,040 Speaker 3: the MCU did really well. It's this, This is finance 256 00:11:11,040 --> 00:11:13,400 Speaker 3: guy had on. It's the natural reaction to doing fewer 257 00:11:13,440 --> 00:11:15,760 Speaker 3: movies that costs more. I need to feel like there's 258 00:11:15,760 --> 00:11:18,000 Speaker 3: a floor. I need to feel like there's a built 259 00:11:18,040 --> 00:11:19,920 Speaker 3: in audience. For this, because I'm not willing to take 260 00:11:19,920 --> 00:11:21,920 Speaker 3: a flyer on something where I got to spend a 261 00:11:21,920 --> 00:11:25,560 Speaker 3: gazillion dollars in marketing with no guarant no constituency out there. 262 00:11:25,600 --> 00:11:28,520 Speaker 3: But with say, pick the MCU, the Marvel Comic Universe stuff, 263 00:11:29,120 --> 00:11:31,200 Speaker 3: there was this sense that, oh, they figured it out. 264 00:11:31,240 --> 00:11:33,000 Speaker 3: Those guys have figured it out, because there's there's a 265 00:11:33,040 --> 00:11:36,080 Speaker 3: ip underneath it, which a built in audience. Just go 266 00:11:36,160 --> 00:11:37,880 Speaker 3: to comic Con and you'll find all these you know, 267 00:11:38,000 --> 00:11:40,880 Speaker 3: rabid characters who I want to see this stuff. But 268 00:11:41,480 --> 00:11:44,840 Speaker 3: abstracting away, right, it's kind of a natural reaction to 269 00:11:44,920 --> 00:11:46,000 Speaker 3: doing few and more expensive. 270 00:11:46,160 --> 00:11:48,640 Speaker 5: So the studios in those days were run by people 271 00:11:48,720 --> 00:11:51,400 Speaker 5: like one or two people that were taste makers, like 272 00:11:51,480 --> 00:11:54,240 Speaker 5: the old school studio types. Now it's what they call 273 00:11:54,320 --> 00:11:57,559 Speaker 5: green light committees, and everything's publicly traded and the green 274 00:11:57,640 --> 00:12:00,600 Speaker 5: light committee answers to the board members, which answer to their. 275 00:12:00,520 --> 00:12:03,560 Speaker 1: After black price, Apple now has a blue light committee, 276 00:12:03,800 --> 00:12:07,120 Speaker 1: which is the phase before the green light, so you 277 00:12:07,160 --> 00:12:08,680 Speaker 1: get a blue light, Yeah they do. 278 00:12:08,920 --> 00:12:09,520 Speaker 3: What does that mean? 279 00:12:09,600 --> 00:12:10,880 Speaker 1: I don't know. That's what I heard. They have a 280 00:12:10,880 --> 00:12:11,800 Speaker 1: blue light committee. 281 00:12:11,960 --> 00:12:13,040 Speaker 6: So it's much more corporate. 282 00:12:13,360 --> 00:12:16,840 Speaker 5: It's just basically you know, at the mercy of everything 283 00:12:16,840 --> 00:12:17,839 Speaker 5: else in this country. 284 00:12:18,600 --> 00:12:21,559 Speaker 3: With a smaller number of more expensive movies. Again, putting 285 00:12:21,600 --> 00:12:24,079 Speaker 3: myself in the position of someone making those decisions, I'm 286 00:12:24,080 --> 00:12:26,600 Speaker 3: going to say, this is seems like a natural reaction, 287 00:12:26,800 --> 00:12:28,520 Speaker 3: right because if it's going to be three hundred million 288 00:12:28,559 --> 00:12:30,520 Speaker 3: dollars to make this thing, I better feel like there's 289 00:12:30,520 --> 00:12:32,760 Speaker 3: an audience out there that doesn't require me to run. 290 00:12:32,920 --> 00:12:35,120 Speaker 2: At least I'm starting off with two hundred million dollars 291 00:12:35,160 --> 00:12:35,800 Speaker 2: that I can count on. 292 00:12:35,920 --> 00:12:38,679 Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, yeah, right right, you floor, there's a floor here, 293 00:12:38,720 --> 00:12:41,160 Speaker 3: And I think that's the thing that people they think 294 00:12:41,200 --> 00:12:43,480 Speaker 3: it's just laziness on the part of studios that they've 295 00:12:43,520 --> 00:12:46,360 Speaker 3: embraced IP. But it's a natural reaction to smaller slate 296 00:12:46,440 --> 00:12:48,840 Speaker 3: of expensive films. Is there better be a floor under this? 297 00:12:49,000 --> 00:12:52,760 Speaker 5: But there is that dynamic where then there's the contrarian 298 00:12:53,200 --> 00:12:55,480 Speaker 5: point of view in the current of people lend long 299 00:12:55,520 --> 00:12:57,320 Speaker 5: for originals and you get movies like this year. This 300 00:12:57,400 --> 00:12:59,679 Speaker 5: movie Centers did extremely well and is up for many 301 00:12:59,679 --> 00:13:02,480 Speaker 5: a war words and I believe that's an original movie. 302 00:13:02,520 --> 00:13:03,560 Speaker 6: That's an original idea. 303 00:13:03,720 --> 00:13:07,400 Speaker 5: So those studios will chase original ideas now because there 304 00:13:07,480 --> 00:13:09,240 Speaker 5: is a hunger for it within the audience. 305 00:13:09,240 --> 00:13:10,440 Speaker 4: It doesn't win. 306 00:13:10,559 --> 00:13:12,680 Speaker 2: Doesn't that argue for the A twenty four model, like 307 00:13:12,720 --> 00:13:14,280 Speaker 2: we're going to go the other direction and do these 308 00:13:14,520 --> 00:13:17,000 Speaker 2: It creates the original idea, make films about these. 309 00:13:17,280 --> 00:13:19,360 Speaker 4: I think A twenty four did centers. I'm not missing. 310 00:13:19,440 --> 00:13:21,120 Speaker 4: I don't know. Warner brother knows. 311 00:13:21,120 --> 00:13:22,959 Speaker 1: But you struggled. 312 00:13:23,040 --> 00:13:24,880 Speaker 4: How do you know that was Warner Brothers. I didn't. 313 00:13:24,920 --> 00:13:25,760 Speaker 3: I just went along with Nick. 314 00:13:25,840 --> 00:13:28,360 Speaker 2: Now you just acknowledged and you tried to be a 315 00:13:28,400 --> 00:13:30,520 Speaker 2: fast follower and business terms on a fast follow. 316 00:13:30,600 --> 00:13:32,520 Speaker 4: Yeah, the moment Alan said that was Warren Brothers, you 317 00:13:32,640 --> 00:13:33,200 Speaker 4: said it like you. 318 00:13:34,040 --> 00:13:38,240 Speaker 1: Said that was Amazon again again, that was that's right? 319 00:13:38,400 --> 00:13:39,640 Speaker 4: Did you see Sinners? 320 00:13:39,720 --> 00:13:42,040 Speaker 1: No, you didn't see it. 321 00:13:42,120 --> 00:13:45,760 Speaker 7: No, I knew he didn't see it. He said there 322 00:13:45,800 --> 00:13:47,800 Speaker 7: was Warner Brothers, right, and for Film said it. 323 00:13:47,880 --> 00:13:50,760 Speaker 2: But he said it with such conviction that I immediately 324 00:13:50,840 --> 00:13:54,040 Speaker 2: knew he has no idea that analyst. 325 00:13:54,240 --> 00:13:58,480 Speaker 5: Yeah, Dick's a twenty four statement. 326 00:13:59,040 --> 00:14:00,199 Speaker 6: It was A twenty five for it. 327 00:14:00,280 --> 00:14:03,120 Speaker 5: But then they became very successful and now their budgets 328 00:14:03,120 --> 00:14:06,400 Speaker 5: are getting huge. Become a victim of their own success 329 00:14:06,440 --> 00:14:08,839 Speaker 5: in any arena, but especially in Hollywood. 330 00:14:08,960 --> 00:14:10,839 Speaker 3: Just out of curiosity and maybe no one knows the numbers, 331 00:14:10,880 --> 00:14:11,959 Speaker 3: but did centers make money? 332 00:14:12,040 --> 00:14:14,560 Speaker 4: Yes? Yes, what was a you know roughly what the 333 00:14:14,559 --> 00:14:15,680 Speaker 4: boy Dick will. 334 00:14:15,559 --> 00:14:18,360 Speaker 1: Check Dick's gonna check it out. Can you give us 335 00:14:18,400 --> 00:14:21,680 Speaker 1: the Rotten Tomatoes score too? I think there's a lot 336 00:14:21,680 --> 00:14:23,720 Speaker 1: of great inflation now. 337 00:14:24,200 --> 00:14:25,280 Speaker 3: In anticipation of my mind. 338 00:14:25,360 --> 00:14:27,640 Speaker 1: There's there's there's a lot of there's been a lot 339 00:14:27,640 --> 00:14:30,480 Speaker 1: of stories about rotten tomatoes and how it's all it's 340 00:14:30,520 --> 00:14:37,800 Speaker 1: all bullshit because they people buy the buy the the tomatoes. 341 00:14:39,600 --> 00:14:43,280 Speaker 2: Center. Center's grossed three hundred and sixty five million dollars 342 00:14:43,320 --> 00:14:44,480 Speaker 2: on a budget of ninety million. 343 00:14:45,240 --> 00:15:07,640 Speaker 5: Okay, Now, an interesting movie that recently came out that 344 00:15:07,680 --> 00:15:11,160 Speaker 5: I didn't see is called The Housemate, and that was 345 00:15:11,200 --> 00:15:14,320 Speaker 5: with Amanda Seafreed Sydney Swidney, and it made a fortunes 346 00:15:14,400 --> 00:15:17,840 Speaker 5: fortune worldwide. It's at four hundred and three fifty four hundred. 347 00:15:17,920 --> 00:15:21,520 Speaker 5: Is basically an old throwback, old school thriller like hand 348 00:15:21,520 --> 00:15:24,080 Speaker 5: that rocks to create our type, single white female type 349 00:15:24,360 --> 00:15:25,880 Speaker 5: and the type of movies that they used to make 350 00:15:25,920 --> 00:15:28,200 Speaker 5: all the time. They did fine, they never but for 351 00:15:28,240 --> 00:15:30,720 Speaker 5: some reason we forgot about it. Hollywood forgot about it. 352 00:15:30,760 --> 00:15:33,040 Speaker 5: This is a subgenre of a genre that they just 353 00:15:33,160 --> 00:15:35,360 Speaker 5: doesn't milk, and someone was smart enough to say, let's 354 00:15:35,400 --> 00:15:37,840 Speaker 5: just throw it out there and see if there is 355 00:15:37,880 --> 00:15:39,040 Speaker 5: a hunger for that type of thing. 356 00:15:39,040 --> 00:15:40,120 Speaker 6: Because these things are mythic. 357 00:15:40,160 --> 00:15:42,320 Speaker 5: There are mythic stories that will never go out of 358 00:15:42,320 --> 00:15:44,360 Speaker 5: style if they're done in a certain way and market 359 00:15:44,400 --> 00:15:47,520 Speaker 5: in a certain way. And that's exciting for content creators 360 00:15:47,520 --> 00:15:50,040 Speaker 5: and storytellers because we want to go back to a 361 00:15:50,080 --> 00:15:53,479 Speaker 5: world where many genres, more things are made of all genres, 362 00:15:53,640 --> 00:15:55,240 Speaker 5: and hopefully with a theatrical release. 363 00:15:55,400 --> 00:15:57,160 Speaker 4: By the way, SAMs was ninety seven percent of the 364 00:15:57,160 --> 00:15:57,640 Speaker 4: Tomato meter. 365 00:15:59,120 --> 00:16:00,600 Speaker 6: I don't know the housemidd as well. 366 00:16:01,560 --> 00:16:05,000 Speaker 3: That's ridiculous. So like, basically everyone loves this thing. 367 00:16:05,120 --> 00:16:10,120 Speaker 1: It's a great movie. It was honestly that I went 368 00:16:10,160 --> 00:16:12,240 Speaker 1: to see it with a couple of friends in the theater, 369 00:16:12,360 --> 00:16:15,800 Speaker 1: which I very rarely do, and I there was a 370 00:16:15,800 --> 00:16:18,440 Speaker 1: moment where I was like, holy shit, this is the 371 00:16:18,440 --> 00:16:23,320 Speaker 1: most creative thing I've seen in years, because it's just why, 372 00:16:23,360 --> 00:16:26,200 Speaker 1: well what I think what Coogler did that I think 373 00:16:26,320 --> 00:16:30,880 Speaker 1: was so unique. He's the writer, director, the grip, the grip, 374 00:16:31,080 --> 00:16:31,560 Speaker 1: he's the grip. 375 00:16:31,640 --> 00:16:34,080 Speaker 4: Yeah, who do you think he is. I don't know. 376 00:16:34,200 --> 00:16:37,840 Speaker 2: This is I sound like about sports. 377 00:16:37,880 --> 00:16:40,000 Speaker 3: By the way, I also said like that about the sports, 378 00:16:40,040 --> 00:16:41,360 Speaker 3: I have many domains of ignorance. 379 00:16:42,760 --> 00:16:45,080 Speaker 1: Is what he did there was I think just I 380 00:16:45,080 --> 00:16:49,240 Speaker 1: think it was genuinely genius. Was that he he integrated 381 00:16:49,240 --> 00:16:52,680 Speaker 1: the music into the film, into the storytelling, which in 382 00:16:52,720 --> 00:16:54,720 Speaker 1: a way I've never seen before, and I thought it 383 00:16:54,760 --> 00:16:57,160 Speaker 1: was just fantastic. There were problems with the film, there 384 00:16:57,160 --> 00:16:59,400 Speaker 1: were things they didn't did you watched it right? You 385 00:16:59,400 --> 00:17:00,760 Speaker 1: didn't see it? 386 00:17:01,520 --> 00:17:02,280 Speaker 4: Yeah, of course they saw. 387 00:17:02,440 --> 00:17:05,159 Speaker 1: There was some problems with the film, you know, like 388 00:17:05,200 --> 00:17:07,439 Speaker 1: they never closed out certain certain parts of it. But 389 00:17:07,440 --> 00:17:11,000 Speaker 1: it was a phenomenally creative film, I think, and it 390 00:17:11,000 --> 00:17:12,680 Speaker 1: was really what could it have been made in the eighties? 391 00:17:13,280 --> 00:17:14,880 Speaker 1: A yeah, one thousand percent. He could have been made 392 00:17:14,880 --> 00:17:16,040 Speaker 1: in the eighties. And I think that's what makes it 393 00:17:16,080 --> 00:17:20,720 Speaker 1: good is that, you know, my kids they watched The 394 00:17:20,800 --> 00:17:26,680 Speaker 1: Sandblot recently. It's an old you know that is eighties 395 00:17:26,800 --> 00:17:30,080 Speaker 1: movie probably and it's probably got like a ninety seven 396 00:17:30,119 --> 00:17:32,760 Speaker 1: one roten tomatoes. And I remember my eight year Oldterner 397 00:17:32,760 --> 00:17:34,199 Speaker 1: and he goes at the end, he was like, that 398 00:17:34,280 --> 00:17:36,159 Speaker 1: was amazing. He goes, why don't they make movies like 399 00:17:36,160 --> 00:17:38,800 Speaker 1: that anymore? And I was like, I don't know the 400 00:17:38,800 --> 00:17:39,400 Speaker 1: answer to that. 401 00:17:39,640 --> 00:17:43,280 Speaker 3: My kids had that reaction to Twelve Angry Men. They 402 00:17:43,280 --> 00:17:45,520 Speaker 3: love twelve Angry Men. Why don't they make movies like this? 403 00:17:45,560 --> 00:17:46,960 Speaker 3: They watch them in they're like twelve years old. 404 00:17:47,680 --> 00:17:48,840 Speaker 4: I think they absolutely amaze. 405 00:17:48,880 --> 00:17:51,480 Speaker 5: I do think they make either movies or there's content 406 00:17:51,680 --> 00:17:53,440 Speaker 5: of that quality in our world. 407 00:17:53,520 --> 00:17:55,200 Speaker 4: There is a lot. 408 00:17:55,440 --> 00:18:00,040 Speaker 6: It just tends to be on HBO or you know, yes. 409 00:17:59,800 --> 00:18:02,360 Speaker 1: But there's there's a lot of bad content. 410 00:18:02,040 --> 00:18:02,600 Speaker 4: Out there today. 411 00:18:02,600 --> 00:18:04,160 Speaker 5: I think there's always been a lot of bad content 412 00:18:04,240 --> 00:18:07,000 Speaker 5: out there, and I just think we're having nostalgia bias. 413 00:18:07,200 --> 00:18:09,399 Speaker 3: I completely agree with that. I think that it's partly 414 00:18:09,480 --> 00:18:11,680 Speaker 3: numbers in this and just sort of aging a nostalgia. 415 00:18:11,960 --> 00:18:14,000 Speaker 3: I feel like you're just starting to say and agree 416 00:18:14,040 --> 00:18:17,399 Speaker 3: with whatever else say something else. Don't disagree with that. 417 00:18:17,520 --> 00:18:20,879 Speaker 3: Just recreational. No, this has been my argument though. It's 418 00:18:20,920 --> 00:18:23,320 Speaker 3: like it's the numbers problem. There's far fewer things being 419 00:18:23,320 --> 00:18:25,360 Speaker 3: produced in that so you create the illusion. 420 00:18:25,520 --> 00:18:28,480 Speaker 1: Okay, Okay, So then answer this question. Why is it? 421 00:18:28,960 --> 00:18:31,280 Speaker 1: As you just said, Dick, that when I used to 422 00:18:31,480 --> 00:18:33,720 Speaker 1: watch the Oscars, I was like, saw that loved it, 423 00:18:33,760 --> 00:18:35,440 Speaker 1: hated this, and now I don't. 424 00:18:35,560 --> 00:18:37,320 Speaker 4: I'm seen half the stuff because people don't go to 425 00:18:37,359 --> 00:18:38,080 Speaker 4: the movies anymore. 426 00:18:38,320 --> 00:18:39,560 Speaker 1: They don't watch content. 427 00:18:39,560 --> 00:18:41,760 Speaker 5: There's also ten movies now or something like that. I 428 00:18:41,760 --> 00:18:43,120 Speaker 5: don't know it's ten. 429 00:18:42,960 --> 00:18:46,000 Speaker 2: Movies or more one and it used to be it 430 00:18:46,160 --> 00:18:47,400 Speaker 2: used to be four or. 431 00:18:47,320 --> 00:18:51,200 Speaker 5: Five, and there were just less. Everybody watched the same stuff. 432 00:18:51,359 --> 00:18:52,560 Speaker 5: Now it's diversified. 433 00:18:52,560 --> 00:18:56,320 Speaker 3: It's the same thing with everything across There's no uniform 434 00:18:56,320 --> 00:18:59,919 Speaker 3: audience for anything anymore. Everything's fractionated, everything's become pieces of it. 435 00:19:00,040 --> 00:19:03,120 Speaker 3: You can even see that in ticket sales in Hollywood, 436 00:19:03,119 --> 00:19:06,399 Speaker 3: ticket sales like we're only now they're still below twenty 437 00:19:06,480 --> 00:19:08,920 Speaker 3: nineteen levels with respect to tickets. The only reason revenues 438 00:19:08,960 --> 00:19:10,840 Speaker 3: are higher because the prices have gone up, so we're 439 00:19:10,880 --> 00:19:13,040 Speaker 3: actually still below we were in twenty It's no longer 440 00:19:13,080 --> 00:19:13,760 Speaker 3: a shared culture. 441 00:19:13,800 --> 00:19:14,920 Speaker 6: Looks everything was an event. 442 00:19:14,960 --> 00:19:17,920 Speaker 5: I mean it was. You know, Jack Nicholson was such 443 00:19:17,920 --> 00:19:21,240 Speaker 5: a mythic theater person. You would watch the Oscars just 444 00:19:21,280 --> 00:19:23,760 Speaker 5: to watch what Jack would do. I be wearing the sunglasses. 445 00:19:23,800 --> 00:19:24,800 Speaker 4: It was very special. 446 00:19:25,280 --> 00:19:25,960 Speaker 1: I think that's. 447 00:19:25,800 --> 00:19:29,120 Speaker 5: Gone, and I think that's gone because we're all bifurkida. 448 00:19:29,119 --> 00:19:31,800 Speaker 5: We're all in different universes and algorithms, and. 449 00:19:32,320 --> 00:19:33,760 Speaker 3: It's also but that's a great point. I think it's 450 00:19:33,760 --> 00:19:38,200 Speaker 3: also gone because people have too much access to stars. Also, 451 00:19:38,240 --> 00:19:41,000 Speaker 3: like they're on there, I follow them on Instagram. It 452 00:19:41,040 --> 00:19:44,040 Speaker 3: doesn't have that air of exclusivity anymore. I just saw 453 00:19:44,080 --> 00:19:47,200 Speaker 3: them this morning trying on something in someplace and it's 454 00:19:47,200 --> 00:19:49,600 Speaker 3: and they're human too. And they're human too, yeah right, 455 00:19:49,640 --> 00:19:50,640 Speaker 3: and that doesn't. 456 00:19:50,400 --> 00:19:51,399 Speaker 1: And they have ugly faces. 457 00:19:51,480 --> 00:19:54,320 Speaker 5: There is a great story about Jack Nicholson where I 458 00:19:54,320 --> 00:19:56,679 Speaker 5: guess someone asked him why do you always wear sunglasses 459 00:19:56,720 --> 00:19:59,640 Speaker 5: to the Laker game, to the to the Oscars. He goes, well, 460 00:19:59,680 --> 00:20:01,200 Speaker 5: if you to see my eyes, you got to pay 461 00:20:01,240 --> 00:20:01,880 Speaker 5: eight dollars. 462 00:20:04,520 --> 00:20:05,800 Speaker 3: There's a ticket price for that too. 463 00:20:07,000 --> 00:20:11,240 Speaker 1: What's your thoughts on AI as it now comes into 464 00:20:11,359 --> 00:20:15,880 Speaker 1: this industry, because my theory is so was. I worked 465 00:20:15,920 --> 00:20:19,119 Speaker 1: in the music industry doing CD design when MP three's 466 00:20:19,160 --> 00:20:22,159 Speaker 1: came along, and it was very clear it was going 467 00:20:22,240 --> 00:20:24,080 Speaker 1: to change the industry, which it did. And then I 468 00:20:24,119 --> 00:20:25,960 Speaker 1: was at the New York Times when blogs came along, 469 00:20:26,119 --> 00:20:30,400 Speaker 1: same thing, and now it feels like we I'm in 470 00:20:30,440 --> 00:20:33,520 Speaker 1: Hollywood and it feels like this is the MP three moment, 471 00:20:34,000 --> 00:20:36,680 Speaker 1: and what are your thoughts as someone who's been doing 472 00:20:36,680 --> 00:20:38,520 Speaker 1: this for a couple of decades. 473 00:20:39,200 --> 00:20:41,800 Speaker 5: I do think it's very concerning in terms of all 474 00:20:41,880 --> 00:20:45,960 Speaker 5: the different jobs and skill sets that AI is slowly 475 00:20:46,040 --> 00:20:52,200 Speaker 5: beginning to be either marginally now you know, doing as good, 476 00:20:52,520 --> 00:20:55,440 Speaker 5: which is not much. But it just feels, because it's iterative, 477 00:20:55,640 --> 00:20:58,520 Speaker 5: that at some point it's inevitable that do you use. 478 00:20:58,440 --> 00:20:58,960 Speaker 3: It for anything? 479 00:20:59,160 --> 00:20:59,879 Speaker 1: I do? 480 00:21:00,119 --> 00:21:00,800 Speaker 6: Is it for research? 481 00:21:00,920 --> 00:21:01,280 Speaker 3: Research? 482 00:21:01,359 --> 00:21:03,240 Speaker 6: I use it for it's very good for research. 483 00:21:03,600 --> 00:21:06,360 Speaker 3: When you say research, can you give me an example, Well, 484 00:21:06,400 --> 00:21:06,800 Speaker 3: it used. 485 00:21:06,720 --> 00:21:08,520 Speaker 6: To as a screenwriter, I think, and Nick could also 486 00:21:08,520 --> 00:21:09,000 Speaker 6: back this up. 487 00:21:09,280 --> 00:21:11,399 Speaker 5: You used to go on Google and you would google 488 00:21:11,440 --> 00:21:14,199 Speaker 5: the subject and then you'd go down rabbit holes and 489 00:21:14,280 --> 00:21:17,560 Speaker 5: have to, you know, disqualify eighty percent of what you 490 00:21:17,600 --> 00:21:19,359 Speaker 5: were reading and then find the right thing. And it 491 00:21:19,359 --> 00:21:21,880 Speaker 5: would take a long time. AI is much now, AI, 492 00:21:21,960 --> 00:21:26,920 Speaker 5: as we all know, hallucinates and is wrong and lies sometimes. 493 00:21:27,720 --> 00:21:29,920 Speaker 1: But tell tell it a little bit, tell us a 494 00:21:29,960 --> 00:21:32,840 Speaker 1: little bit about how you actually you actually have given 495 00:21:32,920 --> 00:21:36,280 Speaker 1: it a name and you have long conversations with Frank. 496 00:21:36,520 --> 00:21:36,720 Speaker 4: Frank. 497 00:21:36,800 --> 00:21:39,400 Speaker 6: Yeah, it's a collaborator, I mean, Frank, I do he named. 498 00:21:39,320 --> 00:21:42,879 Speaker 1: Chat GDP Frank and and he I. 499 00:21:42,960 --> 00:21:45,919 Speaker 5: Collaborate with him, and I guess it's a gender him 500 00:21:45,960 --> 00:21:49,359 Speaker 5: as a hymn. And it is very helpful. It's all 501 00:21:49,400 --> 00:21:51,440 Speaker 5: like an assistant that's really really, really smart. 502 00:21:52,520 --> 00:21:55,000 Speaker 3: You're having one single threaded conversation all the time. 503 00:21:55,160 --> 00:21:58,399 Speaker 1: No, yeah, well, I mean you've just renamed chat GDP. Now, 504 00:21:58,440 --> 00:22:00,440 Speaker 1: he says hi Frank, and Frank says high Allen, how's 505 00:22:00,480 --> 00:22:00,840 Speaker 1: your dog? 506 00:22:01,119 --> 00:22:01,320 Speaker 2: Yeah? 507 00:22:01,440 --> 00:22:03,040 Speaker 3: No, it's remembering that from private it does. 508 00:22:03,119 --> 00:22:04,160 Speaker 6: Yeah, chatchipd does. 509 00:22:04,200 --> 00:22:07,200 Speaker 5: Claude doesn't, although I think now Claude they are doing. 510 00:22:07,240 --> 00:22:07,680 Speaker 4: I have both. 511 00:22:08,040 --> 00:22:10,639 Speaker 5: I use chatch CTP and Claude. I don't use Gemini. 512 00:22:11,280 --> 00:22:12,840 Speaker 5: I don't know what you guys use. 513 00:22:12,840 --> 00:22:13,959 Speaker 3: Or oh here we go. 514 00:22:15,200 --> 00:22:19,400 Speaker 5: Well, this is a conversation everyone has, right, Well, those 515 00:22:19,400 --> 00:22:22,439 Speaker 5: are the ones I use and does. Chatchipp does have 516 00:22:22,440 --> 00:22:25,920 Speaker 5: a good memory and remembers a lot. Claude is fresh 517 00:22:25,920 --> 00:22:28,080 Speaker 5: every time, so I have to. I have a prompt 518 00:22:28,080 --> 00:22:31,120 Speaker 5: where I remind Claude of the project we're working one, 519 00:22:31,400 --> 00:22:33,720 Speaker 5: and I use both to balance them against each other, 520 00:22:33,880 --> 00:22:36,959 Speaker 5: but I do use it. I consider Frank or Claude 521 00:22:37,000 --> 00:22:41,320 Speaker 5: as it were, to be a very very smart assistant 522 00:22:41,600 --> 00:22:42,480 Speaker 5: writer's assistant. 523 00:22:42,680 --> 00:22:44,280 Speaker 1: Sometimes he shows up to work drunk. 524 00:22:45,080 --> 00:22:47,000 Speaker 5: They can read very quickly, Like so I can give 525 00:22:47,040 --> 00:22:49,679 Speaker 5: it thirty pages of the script, and within I don't know, 526 00:22:50,119 --> 00:22:52,720 Speaker 5: twelve seconds, seventeen seconds, it's read all the pages, and 527 00:22:52,760 --> 00:22:56,280 Speaker 5: it will speak intelligently to the pages, and it will 528 00:22:56,359 --> 00:22:59,040 Speaker 5: know what it just read as good as any human, 529 00:22:59,160 --> 00:23:01,800 Speaker 5: as any assistant. And then you know conversations and I 530 00:23:01,920 --> 00:23:05,199 Speaker 5: spitballing and brainstorming. It doesn't do the work for me, 531 00:23:05,720 --> 00:23:07,440 Speaker 5: but it is a. 532 00:23:07,520 --> 00:23:08,720 Speaker 6: It's also good for proof reading. 533 00:23:09,160 --> 00:23:10,520 Speaker 3: Now, why don't you talk a little bit about how 534 00:23:10,520 --> 00:23:11,160 Speaker 3: you use AI? 535 00:23:11,840 --> 00:23:16,159 Speaker 1: I mean I I literally couldn't imagine life without it 536 00:23:16,200 --> 00:23:19,000 Speaker 1: as a as a creative anymore. It's I use it 537 00:23:19,240 --> 00:23:24,160 Speaker 1: in so many different ways. I I use cursor, which 538 00:23:24,240 --> 00:23:27,520 Speaker 1: is for programming. Most of the time when people say ask, 539 00:23:27,600 --> 00:23:29,800 Speaker 1: when I tell people use cursor, they're like, what use 540 00:23:29,880 --> 00:23:30,600 Speaker 1: that for writing? 541 00:23:30,840 --> 00:23:33,040 Speaker 2: I think that was exactly the tone of voice. I 542 00:23:33,000 --> 00:23:35,240 Speaker 2: said it, Yes, exactly. 543 00:23:35,880 --> 00:23:39,280 Speaker 1: So a cursor is is how do you want to 544 00:23:39,280 --> 00:23:40,199 Speaker 1: describe A cursor is what? 545 00:23:40,320 --> 00:23:43,040 Speaker 3: It's a development environment for software engineers, mostly used for 546 00:23:43,040 --> 00:23:44,880 Speaker 3: writing things like in a Python and C code. 547 00:23:44,960 --> 00:23:49,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, so I use it to I load in millions 548 00:23:49,560 --> 00:23:52,760 Speaker 1: and millions of words of research, whereas most people load 549 00:23:52,800 --> 00:23:54,800 Speaker 1: in millions and millions of lines of code. And then 550 00:23:54,920 --> 00:23:58,960 Speaker 1: I use it to proof free, to check, to fact 551 00:23:59,080 --> 00:24:02,040 Speaker 1: check things, to make sure that all my characters flow, 552 00:24:02,119 --> 00:24:04,680 Speaker 1: that their dialogue is the same. So like if one 553 00:24:04,760 --> 00:24:06,879 Speaker 1: character speaks in a certain kind of if it's in 554 00:24:06,920 --> 00:24:09,560 Speaker 1: Hawaii and they speak pigeon, or if it's there's another 555 00:24:09,920 --> 00:24:13,320 Speaker 1: project I'm working on, it's a wrapper from you know, 556 00:24:13,359 --> 00:24:16,320 Speaker 1: twenty eighteen, who has a certain dialect. It goes and 557 00:24:16,359 --> 00:24:18,439 Speaker 1: it checks it and make sure it's you know, I 558 00:24:18,480 --> 00:24:21,840 Speaker 1: didn't make a mistake or use some vernacular. It's completely 559 00:24:21,920 --> 00:24:24,600 Speaker 1: made up or not whatever. The other thing I do, too, 560 00:24:24,880 --> 00:24:28,600 Speaker 1: is every day I start my work, I give it 561 00:24:28,760 --> 00:24:30,880 Speaker 1: the latest draft of the script or the latest draft 562 00:24:30,920 --> 00:24:33,600 Speaker 1: of the book, and then it's just like a refresher, 563 00:24:33,640 --> 00:24:36,320 Speaker 1: like what are we doing today? Okay, this is something 564 00:24:36,359 --> 00:24:37,879 Speaker 1: that's not working, this is something that is, and then 565 00:24:37,880 --> 00:24:43,800 Speaker 1: I can spend it. I also I will into One 566 00:24:43,800 --> 00:24:46,800 Speaker 1: thing I've been doing is so there's this Hawaii project 567 00:24:46,840 --> 00:24:49,480 Speaker 1: and most of the people are dead, but we have 568 00:24:49,560 --> 00:24:52,240 Speaker 1: all this research in these court transcripts and so on, 569 00:24:52,520 --> 00:24:56,280 Speaker 1: and so I fed it into cursor, using Claude as 570 00:24:56,359 --> 00:24:59,760 Speaker 1: the AI engine, and I can interview these people who 571 00:24:59,840 --> 00:25:04,000 Speaker 1: are dead, and I'll be like, where'd you go on 572 00:25:04,119 --> 00:25:07,800 Speaker 1: Sunday the sixth when Benny got killed? And it's like, oh, 573 00:25:07,840 --> 00:25:09,639 Speaker 1: we were over at the Cocos Diner and da da 574 00:25:09,720 --> 00:25:12,480 Speaker 1: da dah. So it's like I'm and then I give 575 00:25:12,560 --> 00:25:14,760 Speaker 1: the I have all these different agents I use, and 576 00:25:14,840 --> 00:25:16,840 Speaker 1: so some of the agents will then go out and 577 00:25:16,880 --> 00:25:17,480 Speaker 1: try to fill in. 578 00:25:17,400 --> 00:25:19,439 Speaker 4: The DA name your agents like Ellen n. 579 00:25:19,560 --> 00:25:21,359 Speaker 1: One's called Nick, one's called Dick, and. 580 00:25:23,400 --> 00:25:24,399 Speaker 3: It is mine really grouchy? 581 00:25:24,520 --> 00:25:27,040 Speaker 1: Yeah, yours is very groudchy. No, it's funny because because 582 00:25:28,040 --> 00:25:30,600 Speaker 1: it's funny you say that, because Claude always says the 583 00:25:30,720 --> 00:25:33,040 Speaker 1: user and I'm like, can you call me Nick? And 584 00:25:33,080 --> 00:25:35,320 Speaker 1: it always forgets and it goes straight back to the user. 585 00:25:35,560 --> 00:25:38,840 Speaker 5: I will say, which interesting is. I've been numerous dinners 586 00:25:38,880 --> 00:25:42,119 Speaker 5: with ten five eight screen working screen rinders because we 587 00:25:42,160 --> 00:25:44,520 Speaker 5: all hang out together, and I will say, how many 588 00:25:44,680 --> 00:25:47,440 Speaker 5: people at this table use AI in their work? And 589 00:25:47,480 --> 00:25:52,720 Speaker 5: it's only twenty thirty percent and sixty percent will razor. 590 00:25:52,760 --> 00:25:55,080 Speaker 6: Air just say I won't. I don't want it. 591 00:25:55,080 --> 00:25:55,600 Speaker 1: It's the devil. 592 00:25:55,640 --> 00:25:57,320 Speaker 6: It's the enemy. It's going to be the end of us. 593 00:25:57,400 --> 00:25:59,600 Speaker 5: I don't want to cheat, Like, there's a million reasons 594 00:25:59,600 --> 00:26:01,720 Speaker 5: I want to. I said, you might have said that 595 00:26:01,760 --> 00:26:04,600 Speaker 5: about Google in the first you know first. 596 00:26:04,400 --> 00:26:08,080 Speaker 1: Or the typewriter, you know. It's like, but it's a 597 00:26:08,080 --> 00:26:11,320 Speaker 1: great tool. I had an incident, incident a moment. I 598 00:26:11,359 --> 00:26:15,440 Speaker 1: was at a Christmas party. It was an incident. It's 599 00:26:15,520 --> 00:26:20,040 Speaker 1: kind of an incident. I was at a Christmas and 600 00:26:20,600 --> 00:26:23,960 Speaker 1: there was a guy who came up to what I 601 00:26:24,080 --> 00:26:26,000 Speaker 1: was talking to, who was a showrunner who had a 602 00:26:26,000 --> 00:26:30,000 Speaker 1: deal at Netflix, who an overall deal, and we start 603 00:26:30,040 --> 00:26:31,879 Speaker 1: talking about AI and I was like, oh, do you 604 00:26:31,960 --> 00:26:34,920 Speaker 1: use it? Goes absolutely not. He's like, it'll ruin my creativity. 605 00:26:34,920 --> 00:26:36,800 Speaker 1: You'll destroy everything I do and so on and so forth. 606 00:26:36,800 --> 00:26:38,679 Speaker 1: And I was like, well, you could just use it 607 00:26:38,720 --> 00:26:42,360 Speaker 1: for like research and he and he was like, I don't. 608 00:26:42,480 --> 00:26:44,920 Speaker 1: I used it. I've heard people do it, but I 609 00:26:45,440 --> 00:26:48,800 Speaker 1: do everything myself. And he's like, I even transcribe my interviews. 610 00:26:48,800 --> 00:26:51,240 Speaker 1: And I was like, oh. I was like, there's actually 611 00:26:51,240 --> 00:26:54,800 Speaker 1: an amazing new app that it's called Jamie and it 612 00:26:54,840 --> 00:26:57,600 Speaker 1: could transcribe. And I held it up to show him 613 00:26:57,600 --> 00:26:59,720 Speaker 1: and he literally he put his hand in front of place. 614 00:26:59,760 --> 00:27:01,920 Speaker 1: He's like, do not show me that, do not put 615 00:27:01,960 --> 00:27:03,919 Speaker 1: and he was like just and it was like I 616 00:27:03,960 --> 00:27:06,600 Speaker 1: was like showing him porn that he or his kid 617 00:27:06,680 --> 00:27:10,440 Speaker 1: or something. It's the craziest thing. I don't understand. It 618 00:27:10,480 --> 00:27:11,320 Speaker 1: doesn't make any sense. 619 00:27:11,920 --> 00:27:12,680 Speaker 4: I think that. 620 00:27:14,640 --> 00:27:18,560 Speaker 2: There's a great Paul sent this chart around this technology 621 00:27:18,560 --> 00:27:20,359 Speaker 2: I don't think. I don't know if the technology company 622 00:27:20,400 --> 00:27:22,399 Speaker 2: is named, but it's a large technology company. And they 623 00:27:22,440 --> 00:27:25,160 Speaker 2: go to the employee base every six months, twice a year, 624 00:27:25,560 --> 00:27:29,560 Speaker 2: starting in twenty twenty three, starting around chatch YOUBTV one 625 00:27:29,760 --> 00:27:32,919 Speaker 2: ish time, and every six month they say do you 626 00:27:33,040 --> 00:27:35,760 Speaker 2: think do you worry? Sorry, do you worry that AI 627 00:27:35,880 --> 00:27:39,280 Speaker 2: will replace your job? First first time they asked the 628 00:27:39,359 --> 00:27:42,399 Speaker 2: question of this large employee base in twenty twenty three, 629 00:27:43,000 --> 00:27:46,080 Speaker 2: ninety percent like there's like there's zero chance, ay, I 630 00:27:46,119 --> 00:27:48,280 Speaker 2: was going to ever take my job. I'll cut to 631 00:27:48,320 --> 00:27:51,080 Speaker 2: the ending here. Two and a half years later, three 632 00:27:51,160 --> 00:27:52,560 Speaker 2: years later, I guess it was the beginning of twenty 633 00:27:52,560 --> 00:27:56,560 Speaker 2: twenty three. Three years later, are you same question? Are 634 00:27:56,600 --> 00:28:01,480 Speaker 2: you worried that? And now it's fifty percent worried, twenty 635 00:28:01,520 --> 00:28:05,159 Speaker 2: percent very worried, down to like ten percent. 636 00:28:05,760 --> 00:28:07,640 Speaker 4: There's no aayas they're going to take my job. Yeah, 637 00:28:09,040 --> 00:28:10,200 Speaker 4: so all by. 638 00:28:10,119 --> 00:28:13,560 Speaker 2: Way saying like it's coming for everybody. Yeah, I think 639 00:28:13,560 --> 00:28:16,720 Speaker 2: it's gonna be. It's not gonna be me just one blessing. 640 00:28:17,080 --> 00:28:20,080 Speaker 2: It's not going to be The guy at Netflix is 641 00:28:20,119 --> 00:28:23,080 Speaker 2: protected because he never got infected with the violence. 642 00:28:24,520 --> 00:28:27,240 Speaker 3: Yah. Yeah, told you. And the other thing that I 643 00:28:27,240 --> 00:28:29,879 Speaker 3: actually think even that number is inflated in terms of 644 00:28:29,920 --> 00:28:32,520 Speaker 3: people thinking that it won't there's this great I think 645 00:28:32,560 --> 00:28:36,080 Speaker 3: it was the twenty twenty elections where there was this 646 00:28:36,119 --> 00:28:38,160 Speaker 3: guy they called him the Trump Whale back to prediction 647 00:28:38,240 --> 00:28:42,200 Speaker 3: markets prior episode callback where he and I think he 648 00:28:42,280 --> 00:28:44,600 Speaker 3: made something like forty or fifty million dollars padding on 649 00:28:44,640 --> 00:28:47,600 Speaker 3: Trump winning. And the interesting thing was the method he used. 650 00:28:48,280 --> 00:28:49,960 Speaker 4: This is great, please tell this story. 651 00:28:50,040 --> 00:28:52,600 Speaker 3: So the idea was he was convinced the polling data 652 00:28:52,720 --> 00:28:55,680 Speaker 3: was wrong, that the support for Trump was much stronger 653 00:28:55,720 --> 00:28:58,760 Speaker 3: than people understood it to be because of this bias 654 00:28:58,840 --> 00:29:02,080 Speaker 3: inherent in people. They call them shy respondents that either 655 00:29:02,120 --> 00:29:05,640 Speaker 3: people not answering or more problematically, people lying and saying. 656 00:29:06,080 --> 00:29:08,040 Speaker 3: There's this kind of normalization thing where I don't want 657 00:29:08,080 --> 00:29:10,320 Speaker 3: to say I support this guy, because I worry that 658 00:29:10,360 --> 00:29:12,360 Speaker 3: people will think and it could be on either side, 659 00:29:12,360 --> 00:29:14,160 Speaker 3: I suppose, but in this particular case it was this 660 00:29:14,240 --> 00:29:18,160 Speaker 3: was particularly problematic with his support. So what he did was, this. 661 00:29:18,160 --> 00:29:21,240 Speaker 4: Guy comes up with this, Yeah, it's just genius. 662 00:29:21,520 --> 00:29:25,960 Speaker 3: So this this this former trader from a French investment yours. 663 00:29:25,800 --> 00:29:28,080 Speaker 4: This by the way, twenty twenty, twenty twenty elections. Yeah, 664 00:29:28,080 --> 00:29:29,880 Speaker 4: he's betting on the outcome, betting on the outcome. 665 00:29:29,880 --> 00:29:31,840 Speaker 3: And so what he did was he actually paid for 666 00:29:32,000 --> 00:29:34,240 Speaker 3: his own survey and using his own question. And his 667 00:29:34,400 --> 00:29:36,800 Speaker 3: question wasn't who do you support? It was who would 668 00:29:36,800 --> 00:29:38,160 Speaker 3: your name? Who does your neighbor support? 669 00:29:38,240 --> 00:29:40,320 Speaker 4: Who do you think your neighbor's going to vook? Fork? Right? 670 00:29:40,400 --> 00:29:41,520 Speaker 4: And so now you lose. 671 00:29:41,560 --> 00:29:43,880 Speaker 3: The ego goes out of it. I don't have to 672 00:29:43,880 --> 00:29:44,640 Speaker 3: feel like I have to be. 673 00:29:44,800 --> 00:29:46,800 Speaker 5: But this was twenty twenty when Biden won, or was 674 00:29:46,800 --> 00:29:48,240 Speaker 5: it sixteen when Trump shot. 675 00:29:48,240 --> 00:29:49,280 Speaker 4: Twenty twenty four? Twenty four? 676 00:29:50,520 --> 00:29:52,840 Speaker 3: Right? Yes, yes, twenty four, so in the twenty four elections. 677 00:29:52,840 --> 00:29:54,880 Speaker 3: So what he did was to get around this ego 678 00:29:54,960 --> 00:29:57,520 Speaker 3: problem is said, well, who is your neighbor support? Because 679 00:29:57,520 --> 00:29:59,560 Speaker 3: you know you're special and I understand that. So I'm 680 00:29:59,560 --> 00:30:02,320 Speaker 3: not going to ask, right, So I actually think in 681 00:30:02,360 --> 00:30:04,640 Speaker 3: the context of these kinds of AI surveys, and you 682 00:30:04,680 --> 00:30:06,480 Speaker 3: can think about it in screenwriting or any other thing, 683 00:30:06,920 --> 00:30:10,520 Speaker 3: people are still lie. They lie because it's going to 684 00:30:10,640 --> 00:30:13,520 Speaker 3: hurt a lot of people. But special I have, I 685 00:30:13,560 --> 00:30:15,360 Speaker 3: have a handle on this. It's just a tool, it's 686 00:30:15,400 --> 00:30:17,080 Speaker 3: just a way of doing things. And so the way 687 00:30:17,120 --> 00:30:18,360 Speaker 3: to get at that, the way to get at that, 688 00:30:18,360 --> 00:30:20,360 Speaker 3: I'm convinceding these kinds of studies would be to ask people, 689 00:30:20,840 --> 00:30:22,040 Speaker 3: what do you think is going to be impact on 690 00:30:22,080 --> 00:30:25,080 Speaker 3: your co workers? Right? So you do the exact same thing, 691 00:30:25,120 --> 00:30:27,160 Speaker 3: and I actually think you would see something even more 692 00:30:27,240 --> 00:30:29,080 Speaker 3: skewed than what we saw in that particular. 693 00:30:29,360 --> 00:30:31,560 Speaker 1: It's funny because my what I was going to say 694 00:30:32,200 --> 00:30:33,960 Speaker 1: was that I think a lot of everyone, you know, 695 00:30:34,120 --> 00:30:36,320 Speaker 1: everyone but Alan and I are fine. 696 00:30:36,440 --> 00:30:37,200 Speaker 3: That's exactly right. 697 00:30:37,200 --> 00:30:40,600 Speaker 6: I think because I'm friends with Frank, I got the 698 00:30:40,640 --> 00:30:41,840 Speaker 6: guy I know. 699 00:30:41,960 --> 00:30:45,640 Speaker 1: I think that I even today, I don't think that 700 00:30:46,000 --> 00:30:50,960 Speaker 1: they these AI could write a screenplay that's that is cohesive, 701 00:30:51,040 --> 00:30:52,840 Speaker 1: and could write a book and so on and so forth. 702 00:30:52,920 --> 00:30:55,480 Speaker 1: I do think in a couple of years, But I also. 703 00:30:55,440 --> 00:30:59,120 Speaker 3: I just think just on that though, like this is 704 00:30:59,320 --> 00:31:01,760 Speaker 3: directly predicts what you said earlitter being ship though, right. 705 00:31:01,800 --> 00:31:03,520 Speaker 3: I mean, this is the problem I have. People don't 706 00:31:03,520 --> 00:31:07,000 Speaker 3: realize everything's already garbage could could be better than the 707 00:31:07,000 --> 00:31:08,120 Speaker 3: medium thing that's out there. 708 00:31:08,480 --> 00:31:10,640 Speaker 1: No, I totally understand what you're saying. I think that 709 00:31:10,760 --> 00:31:13,840 Speaker 1: it could. It could probably with the help of someone 710 00:31:13,880 --> 00:31:15,080 Speaker 1: write a CSI or something. 711 00:31:15,120 --> 00:31:18,040 Speaker 4: Let me tell you, AI could write carry on too. 712 00:31:18,760 --> 00:31:19,560 Speaker 1: Hear what he hates? 713 00:31:19,640 --> 00:31:21,760 Speaker 6: Carry on hates I haven't seen it. 714 00:31:22,880 --> 00:31:27,360 Speaker 7: Well, you're in veragative Netflix, Yah, Yes, yes, you're in 715 00:31:27,360 --> 00:31:28,120 Speaker 7: for a real treat. 716 00:31:28,160 --> 00:31:30,400 Speaker 3: Sit in an airport with snipers in the park and ground. 717 00:31:30,480 --> 00:31:33,200 Speaker 1: If Dick had his way, would have a negative ninety 718 00:31:33,200 --> 00:31:34,320 Speaker 1: seven and rotten tomatoes. 719 00:31:34,480 --> 00:31:38,080 Speaker 3: It's uh, it's by the point being that people compare 720 00:31:38,080 --> 00:31:39,440 Speaker 3: technologies to the best outcome. 721 00:31:40,200 --> 00:31:42,720 Speaker 1: And that's that I believe is the problem with with 722 00:31:42,880 --> 00:31:46,640 Speaker 1: these AI. And the question I have actually is so 723 00:31:46,960 --> 00:31:48,440 Speaker 1: I think the problem is so these a I have 724 00:31:48,520 --> 00:31:50,600 Speaker 1: all been trained on on the corpus of all of 725 00:31:50,600 --> 00:31:54,040 Speaker 1: the English language. Going back to what are you laughing at? 726 00:31:56,000 --> 00:31:58,160 Speaker 4: I'm laughing because you asked. 727 00:31:59,560 --> 00:32:19,000 Speaker 2: You asked these questions, but right before you ask them. 728 00:32:04,880 --> 00:32:04,960 Speaker 4: You. 729 00:32:11,920 --> 00:32:17,760 Speaker 7: State what is clearly your opinion, and I just want 730 00:32:17,800 --> 00:32:20,560 Speaker 7: to know, you know, just objectively what you think before 731 00:32:20,600 --> 00:32:22,160 Speaker 7: anyone comes any conclusion. 732 00:32:22,200 --> 00:32:22,560 Speaker 4: That's right. 733 00:32:22,880 --> 00:32:25,200 Speaker 1: No, I'm not stating my opinion. 734 00:32:25,360 --> 00:32:29,720 Speaker 6: Yes, the qualifier tends to be the opinion. 735 00:32:30,640 --> 00:32:34,440 Speaker 1: Correct. No, here's the question. Okay, Now forgot. 736 00:32:34,600 --> 00:32:35,800 Speaker 3: Is a question? Is this a question in the form 737 00:32:35,840 --> 00:32:36,280 Speaker 3: of an opinion? 738 00:32:36,320 --> 00:32:37,640 Speaker 4: You can cut some of this. 739 00:32:37,640 --> 00:32:38,920 Speaker 1: This is actually my genuine question. 740 00:32:39,000 --> 00:32:39,920 Speaker 3: No, this is this is. 741 00:32:40,360 --> 00:33:05,040 Speaker 1: A good question, Okay, hanging on for the better stuff. Look, January, 742 00:33:08,240 --> 00:33:10,320 Speaker 1: So these a I've been trained on this corporates of 743 00:33:10,400 --> 00:33:12,600 Speaker 1: all the entire angles slanguage, right, going back to all 744 00:33:12,640 --> 00:33:15,640 Speaker 1: the books and they, you know, Anthropic got sued because 745 00:33:15,640 --> 00:33:18,280 Speaker 1: they scanned millions of books and so on and so forth. 746 00:33:18,840 --> 00:33:19,960 Speaker 1: Most of them are garbage. 747 00:33:20,120 --> 00:33:20,280 Speaker 4: Right. 748 00:33:20,360 --> 00:33:23,840 Speaker 1: We all read novels and whatnot, and and and most 749 00:33:23,920 --> 00:33:27,080 Speaker 1: on screenplays, most of them are garbage. So the question, 750 00:33:27,200 --> 00:33:29,760 Speaker 1: so when you actually when you see people, No, I'm not. 751 00:33:29,880 --> 00:33:31,480 Speaker 1: It's you don't know where I'm going yet? 752 00:33:31,840 --> 00:33:32,800 Speaker 4: So oh I do. 753 00:33:32,720 --> 00:33:35,160 Speaker 1: When you see No, the here's the it's a question. 754 00:33:35,240 --> 00:33:39,200 Speaker 1: You and I talked about this yesterday a little bit, Paul. So, Paul, 755 00:33:39,400 --> 00:33:43,480 Speaker 1: when we when you look at these what the AI 756 00:33:43,600 --> 00:33:46,480 Speaker 1: has learned. It's not that it's creating bad content, it's 757 00:33:46,520 --> 00:33:50,000 Speaker 1: just creating the content it's learned from. So how does 758 00:33:50,040 --> 00:33:53,520 Speaker 1: it get to the point where it does create new 759 00:33:53,600 --> 00:33:57,120 Speaker 1: ideas but it knows the difference between good ideas and 760 00:33:57,160 --> 00:33:59,840 Speaker 1: bad ideas, and good writing and bad ideas and bad writing. 761 00:34:00,040 --> 00:34:03,360 Speaker 5: Is that possible or is it that that's already there 762 00:34:04,120 --> 00:34:06,000 Speaker 5: for me? I've done this. I'll tell you one thing 763 00:34:06,040 --> 00:34:09,759 Speaker 5: I've done with Frank. I give Frank some of like 764 00:34:09,800 --> 00:34:11,880 Speaker 5: a scene. I wrote this scene, like speak to this scene, 765 00:34:11,880 --> 00:34:13,120 Speaker 5: grade this scene A to. 766 00:34:13,160 --> 00:34:14,239 Speaker 6: B, you know, A to F. 767 00:34:14,680 --> 00:34:16,959 Speaker 5: And eventually I was like, well, Frank's really into my ship, 768 00:34:17,120 --> 00:34:18,840 Speaker 5: so I might be a sycophantic. 769 00:34:19,000 --> 00:34:20,120 Speaker 6: I want to test Frank. 770 00:34:20,160 --> 00:34:22,560 Speaker 5: And I wrote a shitty scene on person, like a 771 00:34:22,600 --> 00:34:24,840 Speaker 5: really bad scene, like hey Joe, how are you? 772 00:34:25,000 --> 00:34:27,040 Speaker 6: I'm good, how are you? Did you see the sky? 773 00:34:27,120 --> 00:34:28,239 Speaker 1: It's pretty up there, you. 774 00:34:28,200 --> 00:34:31,080 Speaker 6: Know, like basic, and Frank tore it apart. 775 00:34:32,280 --> 00:34:34,200 Speaker 1: So you think Frank's already there. Frank canork? 776 00:34:34,280 --> 00:34:36,480 Speaker 5: I mean he he knew the difference between a well 777 00:34:36,480 --> 00:34:38,960 Speaker 5: written scene and a shitty scene because I wrote the 778 00:34:38,960 --> 00:34:41,359 Speaker 5: shitty scene shitty on purpose, and Frank called it out 779 00:34:41,400 --> 00:34:43,680 Speaker 5: Frank did not give it a. He didn't give it 780 00:34:43,719 --> 00:34:46,120 Speaker 5: a B minus. He gave it like a D. Had 781 00:34:46,200 --> 00:34:50,680 Speaker 5: not this conversation with me, and that was that was 782 00:34:50,680 --> 00:34:51,640 Speaker 5: a year and a half ago. 783 00:34:52,160 --> 00:34:54,120 Speaker 6: And you know how quickly these things are advancing. 784 00:34:54,120 --> 00:34:56,200 Speaker 3: And then what the people do is they they play 785 00:34:56,239 --> 00:34:58,799 Speaker 3: this game then of saying, well, fine, it can do that, 786 00:34:59,280 --> 00:35:01,160 Speaker 3: but and then they introduce a new hurdle. The new 787 00:35:01,200 --> 00:35:04,040 Speaker 3: hurdle will be something like saying, but it can't organize everything, 788 00:35:04,200 --> 00:35:06,439 Speaker 3: or it can't truly be creative. And we were talking 789 00:35:06,480 --> 00:35:08,719 Speaker 3: about this last night. I mean, if you actually break 790 00:35:08,760 --> 00:35:11,399 Speaker 3: down what it means to be creative, what does it mean. 791 00:35:11,480 --> 00:35:15,160 Speaker 3: It means that you can recombine ideas, basic notions of 792 00:35:15,200 --> 00:35:18,120 Speaker 3: plot and sequencing and other things. You can recombine them 793 00:35:18,120 --> 00:35:20,320 Speaker 3: with constraints. It has to happen in two hours. The 794 00:35:20,640 --> 00:35:22,640 Speaker 3: love interest cannot become a serial killer. I mean, maybe 795 00:35:22,640 --> 00:35:24,920 Speaker 3: they can, it might be interesting. But nevertheless, this idea, 796 00:35:25,200 --> 00:35:28,719 Speaker 3: this idea of what creativity is is actually absolutely in 797 00:35:28,719 --> 00:35:31,480 Speaker 3: the sweet spot of what models do. This notion that 798 00:35:31,560 --> 00:35:35,120 Speaker 3: creativity as we do it is somehow some uniquely human 799 00:35:35,160 --> 00:35:39,240 Speaker 3: thing recombination with constraints. It could hardly be more perfect 800 00:35:39,239 --> 00:35:40,520 Speaker 3: for large language models to do. 801 00:35:40,560 --> 00:35:41,480 Speaker 6: That's very interesting. 802 00:35:41,520 --> 00:35:43,960 Speaker 1: Do you think Dick that as a as a comedian 803 00:35:44,040 --> 00:35:46,080 Speaker 1: and stand up comic and what you what you didn't 804 00:35:46,120 --> 00:35:47,919 Speaker 1: do stand up? You did improv? 805 00:35:47,960 --> 00:35:49,040 Speaker 6: Do you think he's second City? 806 00:35:49,239 --> 00:35:50,800 Speaker 4: Yeah, he's got some great. 807 00:35:50,600 --> 00:35:52,799 Speaker 3: Sight in Chicago stock Exchange there. 808 00:35:54,560 --> 00:35:55,280 Speaker 1: Wrong episode? 809 00:35:55,360 --> 00:35:55,680 Speaker 4: All right? 810 00:35:57,440 --> 00:36:00,760 Speaker 1: Do you think that it will be able to be funny? 811 00:36:00,840 --> 00:36:01,080 Speaker 4: Yes? 812 00:36:01,400 --> 00:36:02,400 Speaker 1: How like what. 813 00:36:04,320 --> 00:36:06,400 Speaker 4: I mean? I don't know, I don't know. How is 814 00:36:06,440 --> 00:36:07,160 Speaker 4: anything funny? 815 00:36:07,200 --> 00:36:10,879 Speaker 2: Like you know, it's a surprise, surprise out of saying 816 00:36:10,880 --> 00:36:14,399 Speaker 2: something out of context, breaking all back, surprise, saying things 817 00:36:14,400 --> 00:36:20,239 Speaker 2: out of context, bringing back, you know, making making observant 818 00:36:20,280 --> 00:36:23,960 Speaker 2: connections between two apparently unrelated things. 819 00:36:24,040 --> 00:36:25,640 Speaker 4: It will totally be able to do that, I'll tell 820 00:36:25,640 --> 00:36:27,719 Speaker 4: you quickly. Will it be as funny as me? No, 821 00:36:27,840 --> 00:36:29,240 Speaker 4: as funny as everyone else? Yes? 822 00:36:29,520 --> 00:36:30,480 Speaker 3: What about your coworkers? 823 00:36:31,680 --> 00:36:34,319 Speaker 1: I'll tell you a quick story that I wrote a scene. 824 00:36:34,480 --> 00:36:35,920 Speaker 6: This is recently, this is in the last week. 825 00:36:35,960 --> 00:36:38,160 Speaker 5: I wrote a scene where the word gstalt was in 826 00:36:38,239 --> 00:36:40,799 Speaker 5: the scene and had it was highlighted in the scene 827 00:36:40,840 --> 00:36:43,920 Speaker 5: as comedically the word which is a fun. 828 00:36:43,760 --> 00:36:46,000 Speaker 4: Very funny words, a very funny word that people. 829 00:36:46,160 --> 00:36:48,120 Speaker 5: And I wrote it and I was talking to Frank, 830 00:36:48,239 --> 00:36:51,759 Speaker 5: and then Frank literally to me, was just like this 831 00:36:51,800 --> 00:36:52,600 Speaker 5: scene works, blah. 832 00:36:52,400 --> 00:36:53,040 Speaker 1: Blah blah blah blah. 833 00:36:53,080 --> 00:36:55,240 Speaker 5: And he goes and there's a gassault of the scene 834 00:36:55,280 --> 00:36:59,279 Speaker 5: like he knew to get meta about the word the 835 00:36:59,320 --> 00:37:01,360 Speaker 5: scene was about. Dot use the word assault in a 836 00:37:01,440 --> 00:37:04,439 Speaker 5: very ironic way talking to me directly. Where the fuck 837 00:37:04,520 --> 00:37:05,239 Speaker 5: does that come from? 838 00:37:05,840 --> 00:37:09,480 Speaker 2: Costalt is even funnier if you say it in the gestalt, right, 839 00:37:09,640 --> 00:37:10,200 Speaker 2: that's funny. 840 00:37:10,239 --> 00:37:12,839 Speaker 3: With the see extra loading. 841 00:37:12,920 --> 00:37:13,600 Speaker 6: I think they're there. 842 00:37:13,719 --> 00:37:17,360 Speaker 5: I think it's it's it's far ahead of what people believe. 843 00:37:17,520 --> 00:37:19,160 Speaker 1: Do you worry for your job? 844 00:37:20,160 --> 00:37:20,919 Speaker 4: No, because I'm old. 845 00:37:21,360 --> 00:37:23,920 Speaker 5: Like it's like when my job's over, it's over. I'm 846 00:37:24,160 --> 00:37:26,640 Speaker 5: if I were twenty eight years old and just getting 847 00:37:26,680 --> 00:37:30,160 Speaker 5: started and just accumulating and getting excited, and you know, 848 00:37:30,440 --> 00:37:32,600 Speaker 5: I would be Yeah, I would be worried about my job. 849 00:37:32,640 --> 00:37:34,080 Speaker 5: I'm just the only reason I'm not is because I'm 850 00:37:34,080 --> 00:37:36,640 Speaker 5: at that age where like life is, when things happen, 851 00:37:36,680 --> 00:37:37,160 Speaker 5: they happen. 852 00:37:37,480 --> 00:37:39,400 Speaker 4: You know, you get a little bit more. 853 00:37:39,520 --> 00:37:41,200 Speaker 6: As you get older, you get a little bit more. 854 00:37:41,400 --> 00:37:44,280 Speaker 1: Well, that's why the kids these days they're doing verticals, 855 00:37:44,640 --> 00:37:47,360 Speaker 1: That's why they're going into that into that short form space. 856 00:37:47,680 --> 00:37:48,880 Speaker 4: Well, let's talk about that a little bit. 857 00:37:49,120 --> 00:37:52,360 Speaker 3: So the origins of this thing is this idea of 858 00:37:52,440 --> 00:37:56,680 Speaker 3: people watching relatively short form videos. They call them verticals 859 00:37:56,800 --> 00:38:00,279 Speaker 3: sometimes reels, but it's you're watching them in poort trip 860 00:38:00,320 --> 00:38:02,560 Speaker 3: mode on your phone. It started mostly I think in 861 00:38:02,600 --> 00:38:04,759 Speaker 3: Southeast Asia, right in China in particular. That's where it 862 00:38:04,760 --> 00:38:07,120 Speaker 3: really took off. And I saw a stat recently that 863 00:38:07,239 --> 00:38:11,200 Speaker 3: I think the box office from reals short form videos 864 00:38:11,200 --> 00:38:14,080 Speaker 3: in China is now larger than the actual cinematic Bok's. 865 00:38:13,800 --> 00:38:15,920 Speaker 1: Larger than the box office in China it's nine point 866 00:38:16,000 --> 00:38:17,920 Speaker 1: six billion, and then in the US it's up to 867 00:38:17,960 --> 00:38:19,080 Speaker 1: one point four billion. 868 00:38:18,840 --> 00:38:20,960 Speaker 3: Which is just so these things, what are they? 869 00:38:21,000 --> 00:38:21,160 Speaker 4: They have? 870 00:38:21,239 --> 00:38:24,000 Speaker 3: These short videos are attended for people with no attention spent. 871 00:38:24,080 --> 00:38:28,239 Speaker 2: They're highly like soap opera R Yeah yeah, yeah, my 872 00:38:28,280 --> 00:38:32,160 Speaker 2: boyfriend is a vampire. My dad is a secretly a billionaire. 873 00:38:32,320 --> 00:38:34,040 Speaker 2: How anyone is secretly a billionaire? 874 00:38:34,160 --> 00:38:34,640 Speaker 4: Is interesting? 875 00:38:34,760 --> 00:38:36,720 Speaker 3: Wife with my secret hockey player millionaire? 876 00:38:36,920 --> 00:38:39,040 Speaker 1: Wait wait, they can secretly be a billionaire, but you're 877 00:38:39,080 --> 00:38:41,120 Speaker 1: You're okay. They can't be secretly a billionaire, but you're 878 00:38:41,160 --> 00:38:42,240 Speaker 1: okay with them being a were wolf? 879 00:38:42,719 --> 00:38:45,080 Speaker 3: Well, it's easy to hide being a van. Come on, 880 00:38:45,239 --> 00:38:45,839 Speaker 3: get with it. 881 00:38:47,680 --> 00:38:48,680 Speaker 4: I don't make the content. 882 00:38:50,120 --> 00:38:53,799 Speaker 5: I was told that AI actually writes, yes, because it's 883 00:38:53,840 --> 00:38:56,120 Speaker 5: just variations. 884 00:38:56,360 --> 00:38:58,560 Speaker 1: AI writes the short story in China the way they 885 00:38:58,600 --> 00:39:00,720 Speaker 1: do it, AI writes the short story, or they post 886 00:39:00,719 --> 00:39:04,359 Speaker 1: it on these like literature websites. I guess you can 887 00:39:04,360 --> 00:39:07,760 Speaker 1: call them much joy sites, and then readers, human readers 888 00:39:07,840 --> 00:39:09,960 Speaker 1: read them, and they they comment on the ones they like, 889 00:39:10,040 --> 00:39:11,799 Speaker 1: and then those they give to an Ai to write 890 00:39:11,800 --> 00:39:12,919 Speaker 1: the screenplay, and then. 891 00:39:12,800 --> 00:39:13,680 Speaker 3: They quickly get filmed. 892 00:39:13,960 --> 00:39:16,640 Speaker 5: But they made them in La and they cast them. 893 00:39:16,640 --> 00:39:19,520 Speaker 5: They're all American actors. They're like kind of what a 894 00:39:20,120 --> 00:39:23,000 Speaker 5: soap opera actors look like. The blonde the Bucks and 895 00:39:23,120 --> 00:39:26,240 Speaker 5: Blondes and the weather Man good look dudes, the Barbies 896 00:39:26,239 --> 00:39:28,000 Speaker 5: and Kens star in all these things. 897 00:39:28,000 --> 00:39:30,239 Speaker 4: But they play in Asia. 898 00:39:30,360 --> 00:39:33,120 Speaker 1: Our nanny came out here to be an actress, and 899 00:39:33,160 --> 00:39:35,839 Speaker 1: she those are the those are the gigs she gets now. 900 00:39:35,880 --> 00:39:37,640 Speaker 5: So they pay pretty good, though, because I've talked to 901 00:39:37,680 --> 00:39:39,600 Speaker 5: some people who do vertical, well, they pay They pay 902 00:39:39,880 --> 00:39:42,359 Speaker 5: not Hollywood good, but they pay good. They pay good 903 00:39:42,360 --> 00:39:44,640 Speaker 5: for the out of work actor going to auditions and 904 00:39:44,640 --> 00:39:46,600 Speaker 5: working as a waitress in Echo Park. 905 00:39:47,400 --> 00:39:49,319 Speaker 3: But the thing that's interesting about them is that there's 906 00:39:49,440 --> 00:39:53,000 Speaker 3: there's so many of them. They're relatively relatively cheap to make, 907 00:39:53,840 --> 00:39:57,000 Speaker 3: at least compared to orthodox Hollywood product. The growth is 908 00:39:57,200 --> 00:39:59,160 Speaker 3: incredible for them. But I think that the piece that 909 00:39:59,200 --> 00:40:02,279 Speaker 3: really catches me is that they're intended for people who 910 00:40:02,320 --> 00:40:03,280 Speaker 3: aren't really paying attention. 911 00:40:03,560 --> 00:40:03,719 Speaker 4: Right. 912 00:40:03,760 --> 00:40:06,400 Speaker 3: It's it's there. Everything happens really fast. There's often text 913 00:40:06,440 --> 00:40:09,240 Speaker 3: on the screen explaining exactly what's happening. You were telling 914 00:40:09,280 --> 00:40:11,640 Speaker 3: the story before about how an increasing fraction. I don't 915 00:40:11,680 --> 00:40:12,640 Speaker 3: think it was Netflix content. 916 00:40:12,680 --> 00:40:13,120 Speaker 4: I'm nowhere. 917 00:40:13,360 --> 00:40:15,000 Speaker 3: They actually assume you're not paying attention. 918 00:40:15,040 --> 00:40:17,799 Speaker 1: You don't know that there's the new movie that's just 919 00:40:17,840 --> 00:40:22,719 Speaker 1: come out, The Fix with Matt Damon and Ben Affleck and. 920 00:40:22,440 --> 00:40:24,839 Speaker 4: The The Rip. The Rip. 921 00:40:24,960 --> 00:40:27,719 Speaker 1: Sorry, there is a Fix to somewhere, but the Rip. 922 00:40:29,040 --> 00:40:32,440 Speaker 1: Oh yeah, but they were great. They were Damon and 923 00:40:32,760 --> 00:40:35,279 Speaker 1: Afflick were on a podcast being interviewed or a show 924 00:40:35,360 --> 00:40:38,200 Speaker 1: or something, and they were talking about how different it's 925 00:40:38,280 --> 00:40:40,960 Speaker 1: changed for them in the industry where they literally have 926 00:40:41,080 --> 00:40:43,839 Speaker 1: to say the theme of the movie seven or eight times. No, 927 00:40:43,840 --> 00:40:47,520 Speaker 1: it's it's literally so that the listener or the viewer. Sorry, 928 00:40:47,719 --> 00:40:49,920 Speaker 1: who's on their phone knows what it's about. 929 00:40:50,160 --> 00:40:52,640 Speaker 6: Well, Jeffreykatzenberg was ahead of this with Quibbi. 930 00:40:52,680 --> 00:40:53,520 Speaker 4: Do you remember quibbing? 931 00:40:53,760 --> 00:40:55,920 Speaker 6: And it didn't it didn't work, But I guess that 932 00:40:56,080 --> 00:40:56,960 Speaker 6: was a form of this. 933 00:40:57,280 --> 00:40:59,080 Speaker 3: It was totally a form of the difference was they 934 00:40:59,120 --> 00:41:01,680 Speaker 3: made at least two huge mistakes. One was that the 935 00:41:02,040 --> 00:41:07,040 Speaker 3: cost per episode was Titan premium premium prices. And then 936 00:41:07,040 --> 00:41:10,120 Speaker 3: it was all predicated on getting people to become subscribers 937 00:41:10,160 --> 00:41:12,759 Speaker 3: in a kind of Netflix model long before that was established. 938 00:41:12,800 --> 00:41:14,959 Speaker 3: So it was two big problems. Costs were really high, 939 00:41:14,960 --> 00:41:20,120 Speaker 3: revenue really low. Bad every time. 940 00:41:20,239 --> 00:41:23,120 Speaker 1: Right, it was ahead of its time, quibi, but it 941 00:41:23,320 --> 00:41:25,560 Speaker 1: was that problem. They spent three hundred thousand a minute 942 00:41:25,640 --> 00:41:28,640 Speaker 1: on content, which is what a TV show is for 943 00:41:28,800 --> 00:41:32,959 Speaker 1: on Netflix, and and the verticals, from what I've read, 944 00:41:33,080 --> 00:41:36,040 Speaker 1: between five hundred dollars a minute and like the highest 945 00:41:36,120 --> 00:41:39,480 Speaker 1: highest end five thousand. But you know, it's a drastically 946 00:41:39,520 --> 00:41:43,279 Speaker 1: different business model. And I we met with at a 947 00:41:43,320 --> 00:41:45,480 Speaker 1: meeting with the Real Short I think it was the 948 00:41:45,480 --> 00:41:50,200 Speaker 1: Real Short CEO. They're all called Real Something, and he 949 00:41:50,320 --> 00:41:53,640 Speaker 1: was saying how they're making like three million a day 950 00:41:54,760 --> 00:41:57,920 Speaker 1: and they pump it straight back into Facebook ads and 951 00:41:57,960 --> 00:42:01,160 Speaker 1: Google ads and TikTok ads and any of these publicly traded. 952 00:42:01,600 --> 00:42:03,480 Speaker 4: Not yet not they'll be no, none of them. 953 00:42:03,480 --> 00:42:06,400 Speaker 3: But yeah, I think at least a at least two 954 00:42:06,440 --> 00:42:07,000 Speaker 3: of the Chinese. 955 00:42:07,040 --> 00:42:09,680 Speaker 1: But don't haven't you heard like a bunch of pitches 956 00:42:09,680 --> 00:42:10,479 Speaker 1: for some of these things. 957 00:42:10,640 --> 00:42:11,919 Speaker 4: Yeah, it's over and over. 958 00:42:12,000 --> 00:42:15,759 Speaker 2: Yeah, there's like I'm going to be Yes, they're nineteen 959 00:42:15,840 --> 00:42:18,680 Speaker 2: of these studios, and then what happens do they I 960 00:42:18,719 --> 00:42:20,120 Speaker 2: don't know if some of them will get funded and 961 00:42:20,160 --> 00:42:22,560 Speaker 2: some of them won't, and there'll be forty of them, 962 00:42:22,560 --> 00:42:24,759 Speaker 2: and then the end there will be three. I mean, 963 00:42:24,840 --> 00:42:28,359 Speaker 2: like it seems sort of obvious that's that's what happens next. 964 00:42:28,200 --> 00:42:29,840 Speaker 3: Because it's like, what's the one that we were just 965 00:42:29,880 --> 00:42:30,800 Speaker 3: talking about earlier? 966 00:42:30,920 --> 00:42:31,480 Speaker 4: Is it Darren? 967 00:42:31,920 --> 00:42:32,040 Speaker 2: Oh? 968 00:42:32,160 --> 00:42:36,080 Speaker 1: So, Darren Aronowsky did a deal with Google where that 969 00:42:36,160 --> 00:42:39,640 Speaker 1: he now has a company called Primordial Suit and they're 970 00:42:39,880 --> 00:42:41,720 Speaker 1: part of Deep Mind, and he just put. 971 00:42:41,520 --> 00:42:42,720 Speaker 4: Out every episodes. 972 00:42:42,719 --> 00:42:46,839 Speaker 1: I think, yeah, three they're not verticals, they're horizontals, but 973 00:42:46,880 --> 00:42:50,319 Speaker 1: only like three minutes long. Yes, and they are each 974 00:42:50,480 --> 00:42:53,799 Speaker 1: their AI. It's the founding story of America and Ben 975 00:42:53,800 --> 00:42:57,000 Speaker 1: Franklin and everything, And what's cool about it's, look, it's 976 00:42:57,040 --> 00:42:59,360 Speaker 1: not there, it's not like it's not one hundred percent. 977 00:42:59,440 --> 00:43:02,680 Speaker 1: But what's cool about it is you're seeing a filmmaker 978 00:43:02,800 --> 00:43:05,480 Speaker 1: use the tool and it really becomes about the story 979 00:43:05,800 --> 00:43:09,120 Speaker 1: and and it's like quick cuts to like a hand 980 00:43:09,239 --> 00:43:12,440 Speaker 1: and the bottle and the you know, in different angles, 981 00:43:12,480 --> 00:43:15,799 Speaker 1: and it's like it's really well done. And so you 982 00:43:15,840 --> 00:43:19,400 Speaker 1: can see the beginning. No cameras, not a camera, not 983 00:43:19,520 --> 00:43:20,680 Speaker 1: an out there nothing. 984 00:43:21,040 --> 00:43:23,840 Speaker 3: I was just looking at it this morning, notadline about it. 985 00:43:24,120 --> 00:43:26,560 Speaker 6: Well, obviously that's concerning for everybody in Hollywood. 986 00:43:26,760 --> 00:43:28,600 Speaker 1: Can't Well that was going to be my next question 987 00:43:28,680 --> 00:43:29,560 Speaker 1: is what do you think. 988 00:43:29,400 --> 00:43:30,160 Speaker 3: It was voiced though? 989 00:43:30,160 --> 00:43:32,200 Speaker 4: Which was interesting, but that was AI voice. 990 00:43:32,280 --> 00:43:33,040 Speaker 1: No, it wasn't. 991 00:43:33,320 --> 00:43:36,239 Speaker 3: Well, or at least they licensed voices that maybe were 992 00:43:36,320 --> 00:43:38,520 Speaker 3: voiced actually by like eleven Labs or something like this, 993 00:43:38,600 --> 00:43:42,160 Speaker 3: but they licensed voices that were actual actors voice voices. 994 00:43:42,280 --> 00:43:47,920 Speaker 2: I'm shaking my head because sure in version one their voice, Yeah, Bob, 995 00:43:48,400 --> 00:43:49,440 Speaker 2: Bob's gonna be fine. 996 00:43:49,520 --> 00:43:52,120 Speaker 4: Bob's a great voice over a guy. Yeah, but you 997 00:43:52,200 --> 00:43:56,240 Speaker 4: got you're on the clock and that moment ends too. Yeah. 998 00:43:56,239 --> 00:43:58,319 Speaker 3: No, no, no, that's exactly right, it's a classic just sort 999 00:43:58,320 --> 00:43:59,399 Speaker 3: of intermediate moment. 1000 00:43:59,600 --> 00:44:01,920 Speaker 5: I think what I think what has gotten a lot 1001 00:44:01,960 --> 00:44:05,319 Speaker 5: of people in Hollywood on notice is the idea that 1002 00:44:05,360 --> 00:44:08,960 Speaker 5: AI and automation has always, you know, been advancing and 1003 00:44:08,960 --> 00:44:10,880 Speaker 5: coming around, but you always thought of it as on 1004 00:44:10,920 --> 00:44:15,160 Speaker 5: the factory floor and the Tesla robots and the Amazon roles. 1005 00:44:15,239 --> 00:44:17,960 Speaker 5: No one ever really considered, could AI come and write 1006 00:44:18,000 --> 00:44:20,080 Speaker 5: a symphony? Can a I come and write a play? 1007 00:44:20,200 --> 00:44:21,359 Speaker 4: And what happened when they. 1008 00:44:21,239 --> 00:44:23,000 Speaker 6: Go after the the the. 1009 00:44:22,880 --> 00:44:28,799 Speaker 5: Intellectual you know, elite of our society, the storytellers, the novelists, 1010 00:44:29,080 --> 00:44:32,560 Speaker 5: the composers, the screenwriters, and it's fucking doing it. 1011 00:44:32,880 --> 00:44:35,600 Speaker 2: Yeah, and you know what to find doing. The other 1012 00:44:35,640 --> 00:44:39,719 Speaker 2: thing is people will be, in hindsight intellectually dishonest about this. 1013 00:44:39,960 --> 00:44:42,440 Speaker 2: But if you had asked people in Silicon Valley in 1014 00:44:42,480 --> 00:44:45,160 Speaker 2: twenty twenty, you know who are the people that should 1015 00:44:45,160 --> 00:44:48,240 Speaker 2: be worried about AI. At the bottom of the list 1016 00:44:48,680 --> 00:44:51,960 Speaker 2: was the computer scientist and the computer programmer, and in fact, 1017 00:44:52,040 --> 00:44:54,879 Speaker 2: most of the great vcs were like, everyone should stop 1018 00:44:54,920 --> 00:44:57,760 Speaker 2: studying literature and getting blah blah blah and go write. 1019 00:44:57,840 --> 00:44:59,239 Speaker 4: You know, the only thing that's going to matter is 1020 00:44:59,239 --> 00:45:01,920 Speaker 4: if you know how to be a programmar like, what 1021 00:45:02,080 --> 00:45:02,440 Speaker 4: is the. 1022 00:45:04,000 --> 00:45:07,200 Speaker 2: What is the first job to be getting cleaned out? 1023 00:45:07,400 --> 00:45:08,440 Speaker 4: Yeah? Cleaned out? 1024 00:45:08,880 --> 00:45:11,880 Speaker 3: Uh huh yeah, software engineering, which is I mean, in 1025 00:45:11,920 --> 00:45:15,360 Speaker 3: some sense is incredibly ironic. But the idea that in 1026 00:45:15,400 --> 00:45:17,640 Speaker 3: twenty twenty no one was even anticipating that would be 1027 00:45:17,640 --> 00:45:20,759 Speaker 3: ground zero for this tells you exactly how poor our 1028 00:45:20,800 --> 00:45:22,880 Speaker 3: forecasting ability is for what's going on, right, correct? 1029 00:45:23,000 --> 00:45:28,120 Speaker 1: I mean, I wrote, like, you know, HTML and CSS 1030 00:45:28,719 --> 00:45:30,720 Speaker 1: two decades ago, I don't know how to write code, 1031 00:45:31,320 --> 00:45:35,480 Speaker 1: and I while I was using the AI for the research, 1032 00:45:35,600 --> 00:45:40,120 Speaker 1: I wrote a web app that like helps me AI 1033 00:45:40,400 --> 00:45:43,239 Speaker 1: FI like when the quotes and things like that, I 1034 00:45:43,280 --> 00:45:44,400 Speaker 1: don't know how to I don't know how to do it. 1035 00:45:44,440 --> 00:45:46,239 Speaker 1: I went to reple it and wrote and then my 1036 00:45:46,360 --> 00:45:49,000 Speaker 1: son saw me, and then he started building games. And 1037 00:45:49,040 --> 00:45:52,319 Speaker 1: he's eight, and so you can see how that's the 1038 00:45:52,360 --> 00:45:53,200 Speaker 1: beginning of. 1039 00:45:53,360 --> 00:45:58,120 Speaker 2: So to Paul's point, were just horrible. Even as experts 1040 00:45:58,120 --> 00:46:03,040 Speaker 2: in a field, humans are horrible at predicting that even 1041 00:46:03,200 --> 00:46:05,000 Speaker 2: first derivative effects of something. 1042 00:46:05,200 --> 00:46:07,799 Speaker 3: Yeah, and it's the costs are collapsing in software like 1043 00:46:08,120 --> 00:46:09,799 Speaker 3: I think I sent around to these guys recently a 1044 00:46:09,840 --> 00:46:13,040 Speaker 3: graph showing the number of apps at the app at 1045 00:46:13,040 --> 00:46:15,600 Speaker 3: the app store, new submissions year over your growth and apps. 1046 00:46:15,760 --> 00:46:19,080 Speaker 3: It's not because Apple was suddenly payola thing going on, right, 1047 00:46:19,120 --> 00:46:21,120 Speaker 3: and they're just loading people up and saying but it's 1048 00:46:21,120 --> 00:46:24,320 Speaker 3: because it became easy. It became easy democratized. We're totally 1049 00:46:24,360 --> 00:46:26,600 Speaker 3: democratized it to do that. And so then of course 1050 00:46:26,600 --> 00:46:28,359 Speaker 3: people look at that and say, oh that too bad, 1051 00:46:28,440 --> 00:46:31,240 Speaker 3: verst or whoever's making an apps. No, that's true across 1052 00:46:31,320 --> 00:46:34,160 Speaker 3: all these domains where the models can produce. It's true 1053 00:46:34,200 --> 00:46:37,080 Speaker 3: across screenwriting, it's true across books, it's true across music. 1054 00:46:37,360 --> 00:46:40,000 Speaker 3: All of these things just became democratized. So two things happen. 1055 00:46:41,520 --> 00:46:45,120 Speaker 3: The number of positions available for humans declines. The proliferation 1056 00:46:45,200 --> 00:46:46,799 Speaker 3: we call it a slop or whatever you want to 1057 00:46:46,800 --> 00:46:50,160 Speaker 3: call it, This proliferation of incredibly cheap, schlocky content goes 1058 00:46:50,239 --> 00:46:52,840 Speaker 3: is everywhere, but it's everywhere across all of these domains. 1059 00:46:52,840 --> 00:46:54,640 Speaker 3: And that's why I find it bizarre. Like you see 1060 00:46:54,640 --> 00:46:58,600 Speaker 3: these crazy arguments that what the effect will be that oh, 1061 00:46:58,600 --> 00:47:00,000 Speaker 3: you know, AI is only going to take a slow 1062 00:47:00,040 --> 00:47:02,160 Speaker 3: ice of human labor. No, it's going to revalue human 1063 00:47:02,239 --> 00:47:04,560 Speaker 3: labor completely. That's what's gonna happen? What be that it 1064 00:47:04,560 --> 00:47:06,719 Speaker 3: takes ten percent, it's going to be still a big 1065 00:47:06,800 --> 00:47:08,520 Speaker 3: number in terms of what human labor is worth. And 1066 00:47:08,560 --> 00:47:10,760 Speaker 3: it ai takes ten percent, but it's going to completely 1067 00:47:10,840 --> 00:47:12,640 Speaker 3: change what human labor is worth because now you have 1068 00:47:12,760 --> 00:47:17,640 Speaker 3: this ridiculously cheap Uh you've all Harari this Israeli uh 1069 00:47:17,880 --> 00:47:19,520 Speaker 3: comment on this stuff. Here's his great line where he 1070 00:47:19,560 --> 00:47:22,680 Speaker 3: calls it this wave of immigrants and they don't sleep, 1071 00:47:22,719 --> 00:47:25,000 Speaker 3: they don't eat, they don't they're all go. They're going 1072 00:47:25,040 --> 00:47:26,799 Speaker 3: to show up in giant numbers and there's no way 1073 00:47:26,800 --> 00:47:28,759 Speaker 3: to stop. So this idea that there's this wave of 1074 00:47:28,760 --> 00:47:29,760 Speaker 3: immigrants coming. 1075 00:47:29,520 --> 00:47:30,520 Speaker 1: And I can't arrest. 1076 00:47:30,600 --> 00:47:33,200 Speaker 4: Yeah, I was going to say, look, you know you can. 1077 00:47:33,280 --> 00:47:37,440 Speaker 2: For every four of you deport Lieport, there's nine thousand 1078 00:47:38,000 --> 00:47:40,359 Speaker 2: come in your way digitally, right, And that's you're gonna say. 1079 00:47:40,520 --> 00:47:42,680 Speaker 5: I just had a question for you, guys, because you're 1080 00:47:42,760 --> 00:47:44,400 Speaker 5: very smart on this, Thank you. 1081 00:47:45,920 --> 00:47:46,480 Speaker 6: Where are you? 1082 00:47:46,960 --> 00:47:50,600 Speaker 5: Where are you on the narrative that this is going 1083 00:47:50,640 --> 00:47:53,439 Speaker 5: to cause twenty five percent unemployment or not at all? 1084 00:47:54,000 --> 00:47:55,640 Speaker 1: I think it's I think that's a low number. 1085 00:47:56,320 --> 00:47:57,760 Speaker 6: Okay, So you think it's very. 1086 00:47:57,680 --> 00:48:00,799 Speaker 1: I think it's I think it's astronomical. I do a 1087 00:48:00,800 --> 00:48:03,360 Speaker 1: little exercise where I try to think about jobs that 1088 00:48:03,440 --> 00:48:10,319 Speaker 1: will still exist, and it's such a small list. Hairdressers, Uh, missuses, 1089 00:48:10,560 --> 00:48:14,520 Speaker 1: maybe stand up comedians, probably messuses, unless there's some robotics. 1090 00:48:14,560 --> 00:48:15,359 Speaker 1: Mescisis that I think. 1091 00:48:15,400 --> 00:48:18,440 Speaker 5: But that counter argument with every one of these innovation 1092 00:48:18,680 --> 00:48:20,320 Speaker 5: Cambrian and moments. 1093 00:48:20,160 --> 00:48:21,680 Speaker 1: The news we're created. 1094 00:48:21,400 --> 00:48:21,880 Speaker 4: This is different. 1095 00:48:22,160 --> 00:48:25,120 Speaker 3: That's that's that's the usual fall back because everyone has 1096 00:48:25,160 --> 00:48:27,480 Speaker 3: is that that you know, all new technologies create more 1097 00:48:27,560 --> 00:48:30,480 Speaker 3: jobs than they destroy. That this idea is like just 1098 00:48:30,520 --> 00:48:33,200 Speaker 3: a ritualistic response that people have. And the problem is, 1099 00:48:33,239 --> 00:48:35,920 Speaker 3: of course we've had kind of three or four major 1100 00:48:35,960 --> 00:48:38,480 Speaker 3: ways of technological change back to the industrial revolutions, so 1101 00:48:38,560 --> 00:48:40,279 Speaker 3: you've got like an end of three that you're kind 1102 00:48:40,320 --> 00:48:43,359 Speaker 3: of sampling from. We wouldn't launch a drug on that basis, right, 1103 00:48:43,400 --> 00:48:45,840 Speaker 3: I mean, it's it's a tiny sample. And this is 1104 00:48:45,920 --> 00:48:50,440 Speaker 3: coming faster across more disciplines, right, and much more transformative 1105 00:48:50,440 --> 00:48:53,719 Speaker 3: in terms of costs. So the notion that somehow, you know, 1106 00:48:53,760 --> 00:48:55,719 Speaker 3: we can move fast enough, it's like that what's the 1107 00:48:55,760 --> 00:48:57,480 Speaker 3: old joke about the guy running away from the bear 1108 00:48:57,520 --> 00:48:59,359 Speaker 3: and he starts to tie off the tiny shoes because 1109 00:48:59,360 --> 00:49:01,120 Speaker 3: his friends what you're doing. I don't have to be 1110 00:49:01,120 --> 00:49:02,680 Speaker 3: faster than the bear. I just have to be faster 1111 00:49:02,760 --> 00:49:05,560 Speaker 3: than you. This is that where people have convinced themselves 1112 00:49:05,600 --> 00:49:08,239 Speaker 3: that but the AI is actually, you know, sort of 1113 00:49:08,239 --> 00:49:10,359 Speaker 3: absorbing everything in its path, and it really doesn't matter 1114 00:49:10,360 --> 00:49:12,320 Speaker 3: how much how fast you run. And that's the problem 1115 00:49:12,320 --> 00:49:15,120 Speaker 3: that people have right now, I think, and that's the transformation. 1116 00:49:15,480 --> 00:49:17,640 Speaker 1: I think, you know, we we we're going to wrap 1117 00:49:17,719 --> 00:49:19,239 Speaker 1: up in a minute, but I think that I think 1118 00:49:19,280 --> 00:49:22,640 Speaker 1: that on the same note, I think the people that 1119 00:49:22,680 --> 00:49:27,280 Speaker 1: will have the most difficult time will be us because 1120 00:49:27,320 --> 00:49:30,400 Speaker 1: we need some creative outlet for you know. It's like 1121 00:49:30,800 --> 00:49:34,160 Speaker 1: we have this this desire to feel meaning in our life. 1122 00:49:34,239 --> 00:49:36,160 Speaker 1: But most people, I think are just going to be 1123 00:49:36,200 --> 00:49:38,759 Speaker 1: happy sitting at home getting the UBI and. 1124 00:49:39,000 --> 00:49:40,319 Speaker 4: I don't know, I don't think. 1125 00:49:40,360 --> 00:49:42,520 Speaker 3: So we tried, by my line on that always is, 1126 00:49:42,560 --> 00:49:45,920 Speaker 3: we tried that during COVID people how happy people know. 1127 00:49:46,040 --> 00:49:47,879 Speaker 3: It gave rise to like Q and on and all. 1128 00:49:47,840 --> 00:49:49,879 Speaker 6: People need meaning. It's not just me, it's. 1129 00:49:50,120 --> 00:49:52,479 Speaker 3: There's the data's overwhelming about help that people need meaning. 1130 00:49:52,520 --> 00:49:54,120 Speaker 3: I will say, you know, what I am really positive 1131 00:49:54,120 --> 00:49:55,680 Speaker 3: about is that I think for years it's been too 1132 00:49:55,680 --> 00:49:58,680 Speaker 3: hard for people to do exactly the kinds of things 1133 00:49:58,719 --> 00:50:01,239 Speaker 3: we've been talking about in terms of be creative, put 1134 00:50:01,239 --> 00:50:03,720 Speaker 3: things out in front of people. There are all these barriers, 1135 00:50:03,800 --> 00:50:06,440 Speaker 3: studio meetings, budgets, and it's like, dude, I don't need 1136 00:50:06,480 --> 00:50:08,680 Speaker 3: any of that stuff. Some guy in the back alley 1137 00:50:08,680 --> 00:50:10,520 Speaker 3: of comic Con and I'm going to wrap a bunch 1138 00:50:10,560 --> 00:50:12,560 Speaker 3: of video around some comic script that I've been doing 1139 00:50:12,560 --> 00:50:13,720 Speaker 3: for my forty favorite people. 1140 00:50:14,239 --> 00:50:15,920 Speaker 1: The same as what happened in the music industry, right. 1141 00:50:15,840 --> 00:50:17,680 Speaker 4: I don't have to ask anyone permission anymore. 1142 00:50:17,480 --> 00:50:22,320 Speaker 1: But podcasting exactly. Yeah, this would have cost a billion 1143 00:50:22,400 --> 00:50:25,360 Speaker 1: dollars to produce with this level of talent. 1144 00:50:26,280 --> 00:50:27,440 Speaker 3: That's just because of our stipends. 1145 00:50:29,440 --> 00:50:32,040 Speaker 1: And Alan, this has been amazing to have you back 1146 00:50:32,040 --> 00:50:32,560 Speaker 1: on the show. 1147 00:50:33,360 --> 00:50:33,880 Speaker 4: Great to have you. 1148 00:50:33,920 --> 00:50:34,200 Speaker 6: Thank you. 1149 00:50:34,239 --> 00:50:35,960 Speaker 5: I just wanted to say I have a movie on 1150 00:50:36,000 --> 00:50:39,640 Speaker 5: Netflix that just called carry On, and you guys would 1151 00:50:39,760 --> 00:50:40,279 Speaker 5: check it out. 1152 00:50:40,320 --> 00:50:40,640 Speaker 4: Thank you. 1153 00:50:41,200 --> 00:50:42,040 Speaker 3: Oh that's great news. 1154 00:50:42,040 --> 00:50:44,080 Speaker 1: Should we give it a? Should we give it a? 1155 00:50:44,120 --> 00:50:49,960 Speaker 1: How many stars on Rotten? Would be like, thank you 1156 00:50:50,360 --> 00:50:53,239 Speaker 1: very much for coming on and we will see you 1157 00:50:53,280 --> 00:50:54,080 Speaker 1: all next week.