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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a post

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Speaker 1: Super Bowl Monday morning episode of the Deli Juice Podcast

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Speaker 1: with me Matt Parrelt at Sports Talk. Matt to follow

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Speaker 1: me on Twitter. This podcast being brought to you by

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Speaker 1: our friends at bet MGM with that promo code juice

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Speaker 1: All Right, I'm not going to rant and rave here.

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Speaker 1: We had a losing day yesterday. It was a losing week.

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Speaker 1: I believe I got to go and do the accounting,

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Speaker 1: but I think that. I mean, I'm pretty confident, but

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Speaker 1: I might be wrong, but I'm pretty confident. Not a

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Speaker 1: big losing week, but a losing week for the first

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Speaker 1: full official week of my return to the Deli Juice Podcast.

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Speaker 1: I had a very good postseason and I'm onned up

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Speaker 1: up for the playoffs, but I did wind up down

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Speaker 1: the Super Bowl, which isn't totally uncommon. I was awesome

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Speaker 1: last year in the Super Bowl, and I was horrific

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Speaker 1: during the playoffs. Two and two. On our prop bets yesterday,

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Speaker 1: we get the Kelsey number. Kelsey of her yardage over

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Speaker 1: we get the shortage touchdown to both cash, so we

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Speaker 1: got those two right. The forty seven yard field goal

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Speaker 1: did not come in. It was never even a close

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Speaker 1: attempt from a field goal of that distance. And then

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Speaker 1: two players only mahomes and Hurts through passes in the game,

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Speaker 1: so two and two. And then I had a plus

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Speaker 1: fourteen fifty exact on the Eagles over the Chiefs and

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Speaker 1: a five to one for the Chiefs over the Eagles.

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Speaker 1: So I didn't lose money on that. But overall, my

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Speaker 1: experiment that I did on my other podcast where I

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Speaker 1: was playing exact as that actually was a loser. Chiefs

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Speaker 1: got back a little bit, and then I got an

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Speaker 1: in game play on the Chiefs. I bet both teams

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Speaker 1: at plus three sixty because the game was such interesting

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Speaker 1: with with swings, I had the Chiefs plus three sixty

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Speaker 1: in game. I have the Eagles plus three to sixty

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Speaker 1: in game. Chiefs got there. Eagles obviously did not, but

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Speaker 1: so I want some money coming back with that. But overall,

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Speaker 1: it was a losing day for me on the Super

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Speaker 1: Bowl and I did a little experiment. I'm gonna go

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Speaker 1: back to that for the NHL playoffs, probably not for

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Speaker 1: the NBA, but I might for the NBA. I don't know.

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Speaker 1: It's an interesting strategy. We'll get into it later on

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Speaker 1: in the spring about betting exact does and trying to

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Speaker 1: get the best odds so it doesn't matter who wins.

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Speaker 1: And really, I mean I was gonna win regardless of

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Speaker 1: who is going to play, and that, you know, I

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Speaker 1: just kind of added onto the pile in the stack.

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Speaker 1: But you know that parlay, that teaser, I did not

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Speaker 1: come in Chiefs plus seven and a half. I really

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Speaker 1: liked the under. I was dead wrong. I mean, the

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Speaker 1: under was a bad bet. Everybody was on the over.

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Speaker 1: At one point. I was told last night that the

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Speaker 1: South Point here in Vegas was accepting a hundred thousand

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Speaker 1: dollars wagering if you wanted to come in and bet

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Speaker 1: one hundred k on the under, which is someone unheard

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Speaker 1: of in Vegas. You normally don't see those types of bets.

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Speaker 1: But they were like six figure wagers on the under.

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Speaker 1: Anybody want it, and nobody was betting it. It was

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Speaker 1: all over money. Game flew over. But that game is

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Speaker 1: going to be remembered for the call that happened at

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Speaker 1: the end of regulation and we could have had overtime.

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Speaker 1: We could have had an incredible drive where the game

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Speaker 1: was decided on the field, and unfortunately that game got

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Speaker 1: awarded to the Chiefs. Buy a flag on a Tiki

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Speaker 1: tech call? Was it holding? Sure? Did you know? Did

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Speaker 1: the players all say it was holding? After the game?

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Speaker 1: Sure doesn't mean the call should have been made. Precedent

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Speaker 1: says that call should not have been made. We have

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Speaker 1: seen it for years in sports that that call should

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Speaker 1: not have been made. And I would rather have seen

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Speaker 1: us have, you know, a three point lead for the

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Speaker 1: Chiefs and Patrick Mahomes on the sidelines watching Jalen Hurts

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Speaker 1: and see if Jalen Hurts could go kick a field goal,

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Speaker 1: tie the game, go to overtime and maybe we get,

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Speaker 1: you know, an amazing game. You know, my most mirrorable

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Speaker 1: Super Bowls are always either crazy come from behind wins

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Speaker 1: or amazing moments right the David Tyree helmet catch the

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Speaker 1: Patriots down twenty eight to three, you know, just unbelievable

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Speaker 1: moments in a Super Bowl where the players decided and

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Speaker 1: that's not what happened last night. It sucks, I mean,

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Speaker 1: is no way around that. It just thinks. And so

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Speaker 1: congrats to the Chiefs. You know, Patrick Mahomes is a

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Speaker 1: first ballot Hall of Famer, there's no debating it. He's

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Speaker 1: you know, him and Andy Reid are an incredible combination.

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Speaker 1: Brady and Belichick were an incredible combination. We'll see what happens,

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Speaker 1: you know, when they're done. They're nowhere near done. I

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Speaker 1: don't use the word dynasty until we talk about a

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Speaker 1: team winning three championships in four years. The Chiefs are

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Speaker 1: on their way. They've got two rings, but you know,

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Speaker 1: long way to go in my mind to get to

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Speaker 1: the dynasty world here. You know, a lot of teams

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Speaker 1: have won two Broncos one back to back, and you

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Speaker 1: know didn't get to the dynasty. So I'm not there yet.

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Speaker 1: But Casey is a very very formidable opponent for here

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Speaker 1: on out. In the AFC West. You got one team

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Speaker 1: that's owning it and they're going to be very tough

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Speaker 1: to deal with. The a is gonna have a very

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Speaker 1: tough team to deal with, even without Tyreek Hill. They

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Speaker 1: went and won the Super Bowl. It says a lot

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Speaker 1: about the upper management for the Chiefs, Mahomes and what

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Speaker 1: they can do together, what Reading and Mahomes can do together.

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Speaker 1: But you know, AFC is not going to be easy.

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Speaker 1: You know, Bengals aren't going anywhere, Bills aren't going anywhere,

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Speaker 1: and there's new talent coming into the league every single year.

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Speaker 1: So congrats to Jalen Hurts played his tail off. That

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Speaker 1: fumble was huge, really costly. That was the difference in

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Speaker 1: the game in a lot of ways. But you know,

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Speaker 1: in the second half it was all Chiefs. In the

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Speaker 1: first half was all Eagles, So you know, Eagles first

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Speaker 1: half was a pretty good bet. We talked about it

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Speaker 1: all week from Radio Row. Congratsu of the Chiefs. So

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Speaker 1: what happens here? You know, we turned the page and

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Speaker 1: it's a great time for you guys if you're looking

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Speaker 1: to reassess your bank role, reassess your unit size, and

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Speaker 1: just take a look at how you're gonna bet, because

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Speaker 1: premium from Betting Pros is a very cool way to

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Speaker 1: do this. Now, we are giving away a year of

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Speaker 1: com slash Chat and start betting smarter, not harder. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so I'm going to have some fun today. I mean

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Speaker 1: it's a Monday. I'm not gonna go too crazy the NHL.

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Speaker 1: I've been cold in the NHL, so I'm going to

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Speaker 1: do something differently here today and I'm going to hopefully

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Speaker 1: bank on some goaltending here today. I got a couple

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Speaker 1: of plus money bets at a half a unit that

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Speaker 1: I'm going to throw in the first period, and then

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Speaker 1: I have a college basketball play that I want to

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Speaker 1: give you. So let's start in the NHL. It's a

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Speaker 1: smaller slate in the NHL coming up here today, but

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Speaker 1: you know I I like betting hockey a lot. The

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Speaker 1: All Star break has kind of thrown a wrench in things.

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Speaker 1: But let's talk about first period unders. Okay, first period unders.

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Speaker 1: I've been playing first period overs, but there's been some

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Speaker 1: lack of offense since these guys have come off holiday.

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Speaker 1: If you will. Off of their vacations. Legs are a

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Speaker 1: little soft, not great. But the Arizona Coyotes right now

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Speaker 1: are one to nine over their last ten games to

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Speaker 1: a first period over that's hitting at just ten percent.

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Speaker 1: They're on the road against Nashville. Now, Nashville, Sorrows is

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Speaker 1: going to be a net for the Preds. The total

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Speaker 1: list game is six, so the books are kind of

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Speaker 1: shading in a little bit saying, Okay, maybe not a

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Speaker 1: high scoring game Nashville first period. They're six and four

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Speaker 1: over their last ten fifty five percent for them, But

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Speaker 1: they're an offense that is somewhat challenged. They don't score

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Speaker 1: a ton of goals. And if we can get just

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Speaker 1: one goal to be scored here in this game, this

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Speaker 1: is what we're going to be looking for here. Nashville

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Speaker 1: needs to step up, needs Sorrows to play well. He

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Speaker 1: has a decent goals against average on the season with

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Speaker 1: two point seven to three. He's a pretty good goaltender

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Speaker 1: at home with a two point sixty four goals against average,

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Speaker 1: so you got to need him to play strong. Coyotes

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Speaker 1: are six twenty and six on the road. They're bad

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Speaker 1: on the road in the beginning beat up as well.

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Speaker 1: They've lost their last two road games four to three

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Speaker 1: and six five. You might go, Matt, just bet the over.

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Speaker 1: I don't know. Preds won two to one on the

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Speaker 1: road in their last game. They lost five to one

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Speaker 1: at home in the game before that after the All

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Speaker 1: Star Break against the Vegas goal of the Knights, they

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Speaker 1: got completely skunked by Vegas. So I'm a little concerned

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Speaker 1: about backing Nashville. Let's go with under one and a

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Speaker 1: half goals between the Coyotes and the Predators here. And

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Speaker 1: what's fun about these bets is that you're getting plus more.

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Speaker 1: It's plus one ten, okay, on under one and a

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Speaker 1: half goals for the Coots and the Predators. We only

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Speaker 1: need to hit one of these. By the way, half

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Speaker 1: a unit flat half unit play on the Coots and

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Speaker 1: the Preds under one and a half goals in the

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Speaker 1: first period for a half a unit. Now for the

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Speaker 1: other half a unit, we're going to go and take

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Speaker 1: a look at. And this might be, you know, a

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Speaker 1: little bit scary for some people, but I think it's

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Speaker 1: it's a decent play just given what we have seen

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Speaker 1: out of the Minnesota wild The Wilds are on a

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Speaker 1: run here when it comes to first period unders, their

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Speaker 1: record so far right here, first period unders, they are

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Speaker 1: eleven and sorry they are what's that number? First period

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Speaker 1: over there? We go, so to the under they are

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Speaker 1: eleven and four to no goals in the first ten minutes.

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Speaker 1: Eleven and four, so I'm not giving up goals early.

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Speaker 1: And they are thirteen and two over their last fifteen

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Speaker 1: for under one and a half goals in the first

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Speaker 1: ten minutes. That's the best right now in the NHL.

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Speaker 1: You talk about just teams that do not give up goals,

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Speaker 1: they're the lowest scoring team and giving up team in

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Speaker 1: the first period in the NHL. Now, with the record

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Speaker 1: of twenty one and fifty one twenty one times in

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Speaker 1: fifty one games, sorry, twenty one times in fiftween games,

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Speaker 1: that's forty one percent. They're one in nine over the

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Speaker 1: last ten games. For the Minnesota Wild, it's plus one

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Speaker 1: forty because of Florida. Because of Florida's offense and what

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Speaker 1: Florida is capable of doing offensively, they can score and

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Speaker 1: score a bunch of goals. But the hope is is

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Speaker 1: that Florida is going to be kept in check. Here,

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Speaker 1: the goaltender for the game tonight. This worries me a

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Speaker 1: little bit, but Guphisen looked really good in the last game.

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Speaker 1: Butbrovsky is very good for Florida. We just need one goal.

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Speaker 1: A one nothing mark is fine. It's plus one forty

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Speaker 1: for under one and a half goals in the first period.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna jump on a half a unit here and

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Speaker 1: ride the wild and ride the Anaheim Ducks for unders.

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Speaker 1: Sorry the Coyote, excuse me, the Azona Coyote. Excuse me.

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Speaker 1: Arizona Coyotes take two teams that do not score in

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Speaker 1: the first period and have not scored in the first

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Speaker 1: period all that much. It's a difficult thing when you

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Speaker 1: look at Arizona one in nine over the last ten,

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Speaker 1: Minnesota one to nine in the last ten. Because the

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Speaker 1: All Star break falls in break has broken it up,

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Speaker 1: so it's these numbers are a lot of the games

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Speaker 1: are being played before the All Star break. But let's

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Speaker 1: just hope these numbers hold. With Arizona and Minnesota, both

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Speaker 1: teams are ice under one and a half goals at

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Speaker 1: plus one forty for Minnesota in Florida and under one

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Speaker 1: and a half goals in the first period. Half of

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Speaker 1: unit for the Coyotes and the Predators. All right, one

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Speaker 1: full unit college basketball play to get into, and it's

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Speaker 1: Miami at North Carolina. So kempom has this as a

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Speaker 1: three point win for North Carolina. But when you start

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Speaker 1: breaking down the numbers here, it's pretty interesting. Miami has

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Speaker 1: been phenomenal on the road this year. They're eight and

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Speaker 1: three ATS on the road. They are eleven and four

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Speaker 1: in the ACC so far today, just over this season,

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Speaker 1: fifteen and ten overall. North Carolina is eight fifteen and

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Speaker 1: two ATS, and they're six and six at home. Over

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Speaker 1: the last five games, they're one to three and one,

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Speaker 1: and in the ACC, North Carolina is five eight and one.

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Speaker 1: The number is four and a half here. So kempom

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Speaker 1: has it as a three point win. You get plus

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Speaker 1: four and a half here on a Miami team that's

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Speaker 1: playing very well at the moment. They've covered three of

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Speaker 1: the last four games. They've won four games in a row.

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Speaker 1: They were twenty point home favorites against Louisville and they

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Speaker 1: won by eight. That's not great. But they were home

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Speaker 1: against Duke Laying three and they won by twenty two points.

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Speaker 1: They were catching one and a half against Clemson and

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Speaker 1: they won by four. They were laying four against against

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Speaker 1: VA Tech and they won by nine. So they lost

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Speaker 1: at pitt who's playing very well right now in the ACC.

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Speaker 1: But you got a team in Miami that's playing really hard,

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Speaker 1: great ats. And yes, I know North Carolina just beat

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Speaker 1: Clemson by twenty points laying seven, but before that, they

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Speaker 1: didn't cover over the previous four games, laying one and

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Speaker 1: a half against wake Forest, lost by seven, catching two

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Speaker 1: and a half points against Duke, lost by six, laying

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Speaker 1: eight and a half at home against Pittsburgh, lost by one,

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Speaker 1: and they were laying four against Syracuse and they pushed

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Speaker 1: so a three to zero three and one mark over

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Speaker 1: the last four games before the win over Clemson. I

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Speaker 1: think it's too many points. I think it's too heavy.

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Speaker 1: I think Carolina probably wins the game. But this is

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Speaker 1: gonna be a fun game in North Carolina, big game

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Speaker 1: in the ACC. I'm gonna take the points Miami plus

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Speaker 1: four and a half for one point one units and

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Speaker 1: see if the Hurricanes and keep this game close. I

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Speaker 1: would sprinkle on the money line as well. I don't

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Speaker 1: hate a money line bet here on Miami potentially to

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Speaker 1: go in there and win. Miami's got the number next

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Speaker 1: to their name, So people are gonna bet them. I mean,

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Speaker 1: the pros are gonna be on Carolina, I think. But

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Speaker 1: there's you may get five, you may get five and

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Speaker 1: a half. I got four and a half last night.

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Speaker 1: Miami is twenty and five straight up, eleven and four

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Speaker 1: in the ACC. I'm gonna ride the streak here. Four

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Speaker 1: wins in a row, seven wins over their last ten games,

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Speaker 1: six and five on the road, going up against I

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Speaker 1: know Carolina's eleven and one straight up at home. Let's

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Speaker 1: get Carolina to win, win the game by three, and

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Speaker 1: let's get a four and a half point cover here.

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Speaker 1: Miami plus four and a half for one point one units.

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Speaker 1: All right, that's the only college basketball bet here. Miami

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Speaker 1: plus four and a half under first period with Arizona

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Speaker 1: under first period with Minnesota plus one forty and plus

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Speaker 1: one ten, both those bets for a half of units.

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Speaker 1: Minu's Matt Parolt following me on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt.

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Speaker 1: Every morning, the Daily Juice podcast being brought to you

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Speaker 1: by bet MGM