WEBVTT - Buck Brief  - David Reaboi

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<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Buck Sexton Show podcast.

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<v Speaker 2>Let make sure you subscribe to the podcast on the

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<v Speaker 2>iHeartRadio app or wherever you get your podcasts. Welcome to

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<v Speaker 2>the Buck Brief. Everybody on this episode talking to my

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<v Speaker 2>friend foreign policy analyst David Reeboy Reeboy as we call him.

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<v Speaker 1>Good to see you, Great to see you too.

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<v Speaker 2>So where do we stand right now with the Let's

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<v Speaker 2>start with the Biden US response to the terrorist atrocity

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<v Speaker 2>committed against the State of Israel, It's people and Jewish people.

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<v Speaker 2>The timeline of this response. What's happened so far? I mean,

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<v Speaker 2>how do you assess it?

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<v Speaker 1>So immediately, when I heard Joe Biden deliver a very beautiful,

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<v Speaker 1>very let's say, ostentatiously pro Israel sounding speech, I knew

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<v Speaker 1>that something was up, and I knew that he would

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<v Speaker 1>use the cover of his you know, his his beautiful

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<v Speaker 1>rhetoric two uh, to to do things that will really

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<v Speaker 1>imperil Israel's security or I'll say, continue to do them

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<v Speaker 1>because his administration, and like the Obama one prior to this,

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<v Speaker 1>has done nothing but try to to undermine Israel by

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<v Speaker 1>empowering Israel's enemies and making it very hard for Israel

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<v Speaker 1>to defend itself, and we we see this now with

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<v Speaker 1>with with with a response to this particular you know,

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<v Speaker 1>horrific attack. Immediately it started out that you know, yes,

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<v Speaker 1>of course Israel has the right to defend itself, but

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<v Speaker 1>we're going to micromanage that response, and we're going to

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<v Speaker 1>make sure that Israel's war aims, which are absolutely legitimate,

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<v Speaker 1>which are have to do with completely destroying Hamas's capabilities

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<v Speaker 1>to you know, to to UH to do this again

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<v Speaker 1>and and also to UH you know, to to destroy

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<v Speaker 1>the terrorist group UH in its in its in its midst,

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<v Speaker 1>in its backyard. The the Biden administration has set it

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<v Speaker 1>up such that that it makes it impossible for Israel

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<v Speaker 1>to do so. The first thing that it did was

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<v Speaker 1>was demand the resupply of Hamas. I mean Hamas is

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<v Speaker 1>UH is is you know, controls Gaza with an iron fist.

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<v Speaker 1>And they said, okay, well, humanitarian aid needs to go in,

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<v Speaker 1>which of course UH goes straight to Hamas and allows

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<v Speaker 1>for it to UH to to resupply. And in addition

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<v Speaker 1>to that, UH Biden decided to show up in Israel

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<v Speaker 1>for for really an unknown reason, you know, I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>I think he was doing it for I think he

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<v Speaker 1>was doing it for for pr on one hand, But

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<v Speaker 1>the bigger reason he was doing it is really to

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<v Speaker 1>tie Israel's hands and make sure that a ground invasion

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<v Speaker 1>into Gaza could not could not occur while he was there.

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<v Speaker 1>And I think everyone is looking around and they're saying,

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<v Speaker 1>where is this ground invasion? Why isn't Israel doing what

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<v Speaker 1>it needs to do. It's it's a mass to border,

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<v Speaker 1>it's mass its army along Gaza's borders, and and uh,

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<v Speaker 1>and nothing is happening.

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<v Speaker 2>And what do you what do you ascribe that delay to? Mostly?

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<v Speaker 2>I mean, what do you think is the reason? Is

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<v Speaker 2>it hostage negotiations proceeding?

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<v Speaker 1>No, I don't think so. I think I think one

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<v Speaker 1>it has to do with the Biden administration, Uh, pretty

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<v Speaker 1>much blackmailing Israel into standing down here. And it's a

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<v Speaker 1>very hard thing to negotiate. I mean, we, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>we we we the United States. The Biden administration held

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<v Speaker 1>bunker busters up from the Israelis because AMS exists deep

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<v Speaker 1>inside a massive, you know, three hundred mile tunnel network

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<v Speaker 1>underneath Gaza. I mean, it's it's estimated to be about

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<v Speaker 1>half the size of the New York subway system, which

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<v Speaker 1>itself is ridiculously, ridiculously huge, and everything is down there,

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<v Speaker 1>and you know, Biden said, was holding the bunker buster's hostage.

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<v Speaker 1>And then of course you have the other, the other

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<v Speaker 1>issue that Israel faces, which is really you know, people think, oh,

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<v Speaker 1>this is this is Israel versus a you know, rinky

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<v Speaker 1>ding terror army, and it's not true. It's actually it's

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<v Speaker 1>actually a really serious situation. Once you add to it,

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<v Speaker 1>the other Iranian propsy to Israel's north has Bellah with

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<v Speaker 1>one hundred and fifty or two hundred thousand serious missiles,

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<v Speaker 1>not you know, not the crappy missiles that the that

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<v Speaker 1>you know from Gaza, right, but but these, but these

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<v Speaker 1>are are very serious missiles that that have been put

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<v Speaker 1>in place in civilian neighborhoods in southern Lebanon for the

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<v Speaker 1>last ten years or since Israel pulled out of there,

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<v Speaker 1>and and Hesbela and Iran basically said, well, if you

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<v Speaker 1>you know, the minute you go into Gaza, we're going

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<v Speaker 1>to launch a war on you from the north. And

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<v Speaker 1>any everyone knows that Israel is tiny and does not

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<v Speaker 1>have the luxury of waiting for you know, the first

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<v Speaker 1>round of attack. I mean, if if Hesbelah decides, for example,

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<v Speaker 1>from the north to press a button and it's and

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<v Speaker 1>it's go time, or to put it more more accurately,

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<v Speaker 1>if Iran decides that it's time for Hasbelah to press

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<v Speaker 1>the button and uh and launch a war from the

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<v Speaker 1>north on Israel with all of these rockets. I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>it's about about it's the same amount of ordinance as

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<v Speaker 1>a nuclear bomb. Uh. And Israel could not really absorb

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<v Speaker 1>that kind of hit. So they know that they will

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<v Speaker 1>have to, you know, in order to prevent, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>something truly horrible in Israel in regards to Habelah. They're

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<v Speaker 1>going to have to either pre empt or lead the

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<v Speaker 1>or lead Hasbelah to believe that they will in fact

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<v Speaker 1>pre empt and and I think what we're seeing now

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<v Speaker 1>is the Biden administration really hamstringing Israel's ability to do

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<v Speaker 1>both those things.

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<v Speaker 2>We'll come back here in a second and dive back

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<v Speaker 2>That's Belize isfun dot com. All right, back to our

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<v Speaker 2>topic here, David, Israel and what it's going to do

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<v Speaker 2>do you have Do you have any sense at all

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<v Speaker 2>that or any concern at all I should say that

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<v Speaker 2>Israel's not really going to be able to do the

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<v Speaker 2>mission against Hamas and Gaza that it seems it must

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<v Speaker 2>do right now, or do you think that there's a

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<v Speaker 2>chance they're gonna hold back and not really go in

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<v Speaker 2>full force.

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<v Speaker 1>Honestly, I have that fear I think I think anyone

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<v Speaker 1>who's kind of looking at the situation soberly has that fear.

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<v Speaker 1>This is this is what happens when you know, this

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<v Speaker 1>is what happened happens when you have the the Biden

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<v Speaker 1>d O D you know, full of of folks who

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<v Speaker 1>are allegedly Iranian spies, and you have the top intelligence

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<v Speaker 1>position of the National Security Council led by a former

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<v Speaker 1>UH students for Justice in Palestine Prohomas Guy. I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>this is the kind of thing that you, unfortunately have

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<v Speaker 1>come to expect. And I know that they're doing everything

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<v Speaker 1>behind the scenes. You know, it must be very hard

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<v Speaker 1>for Natayahu actually to negotiate both the UH, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>the security needs of Israel that he's responsible for, the

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<v Speaker 1>political mood in Israel, which is we need to deal

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<v Speaker 1>with this problem now, and then the United States, which

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<v Speaker 1>is putting up all these these kind of ridiculous obstacles

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<v Speaker 1>and making it making it impossible for Israel to to

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<v Speaker 1>you know, to achieve any of its war I ams

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<v Speaker 1>here and I don't end the vant Nyahu one bit

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<v Speaker 1>for having to walk this tightrope and really having to

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<v Speaker 1>negotiate this this particular minefield. I mean, who knows what

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<v Speaker 1>they're threatening him with, but I am one certain they are.

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<v Speaker 2>Do you think that Iran is willing to follow through

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<v Speaker 2>on its threats here if Israel does invade Gaza, meaning

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<v Speaker 2>that it will mobilize all the militias including has Blood

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<v Speaker 2>but militia in Syria and Iraq against US targets, US

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<v Speaker 2>bases in the region as well as Israel, Or you

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<v Speaker 2>think that that's bluster.

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<v Speaker 1>I don't think it's bluster. I think it's something that

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<v Speaker 1>probably will happen. But look, the the Iranians know that

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<v Speaker 1>they have the Biden administration on the hook. So for Biden,

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<v Speaker 1>for these guys, the last thing they want to admit

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<v Speaker 1>is that their Middle East policy has been a dismal, amoral,

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<v Speaker 1>a strategic complete failure right in terms of empowering Iran

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<v Speaker 1>and giving and looking the other way while Iran, uh,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, continues with its bad behavior. And the last

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<v Speaker 1>thing they're going to do is say, okay, no, we've

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<v Speaker 1>got to really reverse course. I mean, you could see

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<v Speaker 1>it with with Russia and Ukraine. You know, what's the

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<v Speaker 1>likelihood that they're going to wake up one day and say,

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<v Speaker 1>you know what, I think, I think we really messed up,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, putting all this pressure on Putin, We're going

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<v Speaker 1>to maybe try a carrots and sticks as opposed to

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<v Speaker 1>just sticks approach. I mean, I can't imagine it happening.

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<v Speaker 1>And and that gets us into a really tricky, scary

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<v Speaker 1>place where Iran gets to you know, has that you know,

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<v Speaker 1>it is counting on the on the Biden administration to

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<v Speaker 1>not address what is plainly happening. So for example, everybody

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<v Speaker 1>knows that Iran had a hand in the you know,

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<v Speaker 1>the horrible attack on Israel with with Hamas. I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>they they're they're they're they're very capable. They pay for

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<v Speaker 1>everything that happens in Hamas. And and we know we

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<v Speaker 1>also know from you know, from many public sources that

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of the people who are paragliding were paragliding

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<v Speaker 1>up with Hesbellah in Lebanon. So we see all these

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<v Speaker 1>these kind of operational links. And I mean, anyone who

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<v Speaker 1>you know, anyone who knows the region at all, would say, yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>of course Iran was uh was was involved in this.

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<v Speaker 1>But immediately after it was very important for the Biden

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<v Speaker 1>administration to come out and say, oh, we have no

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<v Speaker 1>definitive intelligence that that that that has Iran, uh, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>taking credit for this, which of course the same day

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<v Speaker 1>was blown up by Hamas itself, which you know, Hamas

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<v Speaker 1>came out and they said thank you very much for

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<v Speaker 1>your health Ieran, you know, in public. But for the

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<v Speaker 1>United States, for this administration, it was paramount to get

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<v Speaker 1>Iran off the hook because then, you know, if Iran,

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<v Speaker 1>if people know that Iran was indeed responsible for this

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<v Speaker 1>or had a hand in it, then it makes the

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<v Speaker 1>administration look like fools. And the last thing they're going

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<v Speaker 1>to do is admit error.

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<v Speaker 2>I want to ask you one more question about Iran

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<v Speaker 2>when we come back here in a second. But first,

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<v Speaker 2>your first order. Dave, I'll ask you this one to

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<v Speaker 2>close us out here in this conversation. Why is the

0:13:53.497 --> 0:13:58.617
<v Speaker 2>Democrat Party so enamored with with Iran and refuses to

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<v Speaker 2>treat iron like the state sponsor of terror and the

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<v Speaker 2>menace that it is.

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<v Speaker 1>Oh boy, that's the big question. We can be here

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<v Speaker 1>for a long time addressing that one, but basically I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>if you want to read the definitive case for this,

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<v Speaker 1>my friend Michael Duran wrote it in Mosaic magazine in

0:14:21.817 --> 0:14:25.617
<v Speaker 1>twenty fifteen where he was talking about the Iran deal.

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<v Speaker 1>And it's something that you know, I mean, it's something

0:14:29.697 --> 0:14:34.417
<v Speaker 1>that has been an obsession with the foreign policy smart

0:14:34.497 --> 0:14:39.737
<v Speaker 1>set for literally, you know, forty years since the Islamic

0:14:39.817 --> 0:14:46.337
<v Speaker 1>Revolution there and lately the Obama folks and then the

0:14:46.337 --> 0:14:51.017
<v Speaker 1>Biden folks, which are basically the same people, they realized, Hey,

0:14:52.137 --> 0:14:54.177
<v Speaker 1>we have a bunch of allies in the Middle East

0:14:54.257 --> 0:14:58.857
<v Speaker 1>who are Israel and Saudi Arabia and you know other

0:14:59.017 --> 0:15:04.577
<v Speaker 1>Sunni powers, Iran is Shia, and the world will be

0:15:04.577 --> 0:15:08.777
<v Speaker 1>better off if our allies were less powerful and Iran

0:15:08.937 --> 0:15:11.177
<v Speaker 1>was more powerful, and it would creates some sort of

0:15:11.217 --> 0:15:17.737
<v Speaker 1>equilibrium at least. That's that's the that's the steel man

0:15:17.817 --> 0:15:22.697
<v Speaker 1>the strongest possible argument that that they can make, and

0:15:22.697 --> 0:15:25.417
<v Speaker 1>and that's their thinking. They believe that Iran is a

0:15:25.457 --> 0:15:29.737
<v Speaker 1>responsible power. Never mind that you know it, uh, it

0:15:29.857 --> 0:15:39.777
<v Speaker 1>controls Lebanon, Yemen, Iraq and Syria through terror proxies and

0:15:39.777 --> 0:15:43.057
<v Speaker 1>and and destabilizes the region, you know, any way you

0:15:43.097 --> 0:15:47.697
<v Speaker 1>slice it. But but these people believe that Iran could

0:15:47.737 --> 0:15:55.977
<v Speaker 1>be and is a responsible regional actor and UH, and

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<v Speaker 1>they kind of want to bring it into the into

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<v Speaker 1>the UH the fold of nations. And I mean, I

0:16:02.177 --> 0:16:06.377
<v Speaker 1>think it's a stupid thing to believe Number one in

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<v Speaker 1>and of itself, it's just it it doesn't fit with

0:16:09.417 --> 0:16:11.977
<v Speaker 1>the with the fact of what Iran is. But number

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<v Speaker 1>two is even if you could make that argument, the

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<v Speaker 1>very fact that our longtime allies, you know, Israel, all

0:16:20.457 --> 0:16:23.857
<v Speaker 1>the Gulf States, you know, on and on have a

0:16:23.897 --> 0:16:28.177
<v Speaker 1>serious problem with with with Iran, should in fact give

0:16:28.257 --> 0:16:32.057
<v Speaker 1>us pause. You know. I want to say, the one

0:16:32.577 --> 0:16:36.697
<v Speaker 1>really great thing that Barack Obama did was he was

0:16:36.737 --> 0:16:42.657
<v Speaker 1>so tilted towards Iran that you know that Israel and

0:16:42.657 --> 0:16:46.457
<v Speaker 1>and and the Emirates in Saudi Arabia and Bahrain and

0:16:46.497 --> 0:16:49.457
<v Speaker 1>several of these other countries had to kind of get

0:16:49.497 --> 0:16:52.937
<v Speaker 1>together and because they realized, hey, we're on our own

0:16:52.977 --> 0:16:56.577
<v Speaker 1>here against Iran, because the United States is tilted towards Iran.

0:16:57.057 --> 0:16:59.897
<v Speaker 1>And that's what made things like the Abraham Accords possible.

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<v Speaker 1>So if it wouldn't have been for the United States meddling,

0:17:04.937 --> 0:17:06.457
<v Speaker 1>you know, would be a very different region.

0:17:06.937 --> 0:17:10.297
<v Speaker 2>David Reeboy everybody. David, I always appreciate the inside, my friend.

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<v Speaker 2>Good to see you for sure, you too,