WEBVTT - Divisional Playoff Round! 0:00:04.299 --> 0:00:06.699 NFL Game Deview is a production of the NFL in 0:00:06.739 --> 0:00:11.059 partnership with iHeartRadio. 0:00:13.339 --> 0:00:16.099 Everybody Welcome to game Debut, presented by Caesar Sportsbook. After 0:00:16.139 --> 0:00:18.979 Claybund glad to be back with Greg Rosenthal and Cynthia 0:00:19.059 --> 0:00:21.099 Freeland and we got a divisional. 0:00:20.779 --> 0:00:23.459 Round to look forward to, guys, we do. I missed 0:00:23.499 --> 0:00:26.659 you guys last week. And this is the best week 0:00:26.659 --> 0:00:27.579 into football of the year. 0:00:27.779 --> 0:00:29.659 I mean, I think both last week and this week 0:00:29.939 --> 0:00:32.139 two best in a row. So I don't know, We're 0:00:32.219 --> 0:00:32.979 lucky all around here. 0:00:33.059 --> 0:00:35.299 He's just in a great mood since you know what happened. 0:00:35.539 --> 0:00:38.459 Well, yeah, we'll get I know what happened. We'll get 0:00:38.499 --> 0:00:43.099 Cynthia's crown blue like Blunail a little bit in the show. 0:00:43.139 --> 0:00:45.979 But we are spinning the next twenty eight minutes and 0:00:46.059 --> 0:00:49.539 change running through matchups in the AFC. Let's look at 0:00:49.579 --> 0:00:52.859 these divisional round schedules, starting off with an AFC matchup 0:00:52.859 --> 0:00:55.979 a ringatch earlier in this season, the Houston Texans against 0:00:55.979 --> 0:00:59.339 the Chiefs, and then the Commanders and the Lions on Saturday, 0:00:59.339 --> 0:01:01.619 wrapping up with the Rams and the Eagles and the 0:01:01.699 --> 0:01:04.699 Ravens Bills on Sunday. But we need to take a 0:01:04.739 --> 0:01:07.579 look back. That's the last time Houston Texas played the 0:01:07.659 --> 0:01:10.499 Kansas City Chiefs. Just a few weeks ago. Patrick Mahomes 0:01:10.499 --> 0:01:12.699 coming off with ankle injury. It was a high ankle 0:01:12.739 --> 0:01:15.579 spring that came a week previously. So how did he 0:01:15.779 --> 0:01:19.419 test that ankle by piling into the end zone with 0:01:19.579 --> 0:01:22.979 Texans on his back? Fifteen yard rushing touchdown Chase led 0:01:23.019 --> 0:01:25.819 seven anohing That's the second longest rushing touchdown of his career. 0:01:26.579 --> 0:01:29.619 That was the most rushing yards he's ever had in 0:01:29.619 --> 0:01:31.179 the first quarter of a game, and that could be 0:01:31.179 --> 0:01:33.539 big in this game because the Texans have struggled against 0:01:33.539 --> 0:01:34.539 scrambling quarterbacks. 0:01:34.619 --> 0:01:37.219 Yeah, he had thirty three rushing yards and that touchdown 0:01:37.619 --> 0:01:40.139 to finish the game third quarter. Now Texas trails seventeen 0:01:40.179 --> 0:01:43.419 to ten. Second and seven from the Chiefs thirty biggest 0:01:43.459 --> 0:01:45.259 play of the game, maybe one of the biggest plays 0:01:45.259 --> 0:01:48.659 of the season for the Texans. Stroud thirty yard touchdown 0:01:48.699 --> 0:01:52.339 to Tank Dell. The problem is Tank Dell holds onto 0:01:52.379 --> 0:01:56.659 that ball despite tearing his ACL and also having a 0:01:56.739 --> 0:02:00.819 dislocated kneecap. He was out for the season. Of course. CJ. Stroud, 0:02:00.859 --> 0:02:04.859 one of Tankdelle's close friends. He'd overcome so much gunshot 0:02:04.899 --> 0:02:08.219 wound in the off season. Jared Rayn Jared Wayne just 0:02:08.259 --> 0:02:10.139 got elevated from the practice squad. He had to be 0:02:10.139 --> 0:02:12.539 consoled as well because it was him that ran into 0:02:12.579 --> 0:02:15.939 Tankdlle's knee. A rough loss for the Texans. Really a 0:02:15.939 --> 0:02:20.019 different game after that point. Castroud clearly emotional on the sideline. 0:02:20.579 --> 0:02:23.659 Later in the third, Chiefs leading seventeen sixteen Mahomes funds 0:02:23.779 --> 0:02:26.779 Xavier Worthy eight yard touchdown. They led twenty four to sixteen, 0:02:27.179 --> 0:02:31.339 go on to win twenty seven to nineteen, but the 0:02:31.379 --> 0:02:34.219 Texans would earn their way back. So it's time for 0:02:34.339 --> 0:02:37.939 home field advantage presented by Zillo. The Chiefs and Texans 0:02:38.059 --> 0:02:40.899 meeting up again Saturday. Kansas City hasn't lost at home 0:02:41.259 --> 0:02:45.859 since Christmas of twenty twenty three. Does that win streak continue, Cynthia. 0:02:45.579 --> 0:02:48.299 It sure does, but only by six points. I have 0:02:48.339 --> 0:02:51.659 twenty six to twenty in this matchup. Why because when 0:02:51.659 --> 0:02:54.579 I look at the opportunity for Patrick Mahomes to be special, 0:02:54.779 --> 0:02:57.179 there is some rust and I need to figure out 0:02:57.179 --> 0:02:59.539 if the O line is going to hold up in 0:02:59.619 --> 0:03:01.979 this one. One of the rest versus rust arguments that 0:03:02.019 --> 0:03:05.099 I think is most compelling is how was effect pressure 0:03:05.259 --> 0:03:08.499 for Patrick Mahomes figuring out that rotation? And Andy Reid 0:03:08.539 --> 0:03:11.019 and his most recent press conference was talking about they're 0:03:11.139 --> 0:03:15.099 rotating in practice between DJ Humphries Joe Tooney, what's going 0:03:15.099 --> 0:03:17.179 on at left tackle? My friend, Well, if you're going 0:03:17.219 --> 0:03:19.779 to force Patrick Mahomes to run like this a lot, 0:03:19.899 --> 0:03:21.779 it's going to be more difficult. If you're going to 0:03:21.819 --> 0:03:24.219 force him to throw under duress, it's going to be 0:03:24.219 --> 0:03:27.099 more difficult. So I think the actual benefit here for 0:03:27.139 --> 0:03:29.859 them having three weeks plus off will be to figure 0:03:29.899 --> 0:03:32.419 out how that O line gets just a smidge better. 0:03:33.139 --> 0:03:36.819 I also have the Texans beating the number, but I've 0:03:36.859 --> 0:03:39.379 got the Kansas City Chiefs winning this game by four, 0:03:39.459 --> 0:03:41.659 twenty four to twenty. And I don't think it's because 0:03:41.899 --> 0:03:43.859 it's a US. I have a case to make in 0:03:43.939 --> 0:03:46.459 opposition to US, because Patrick Mahomes has played sixty one 0:03:46.499 --> 0:03:49.299 games since January of twenty twenty two. It's just now 0:03:49.379 --> 0:03:51.859 twenty twenty five. We remember that rest is good for you, 0:03:52.259 --> 0:03:54.499 and I love football. It's provided a whole lot for 0:03:54.579 --> 0:03:56.099 my life, including a lot of things that I care 0:03:56.139 --> 0:03:58.899 about deeply. It's not good for you. The Texans were 0:03:58.939 --> 0:04:01.779 in that least sixteen game, but then the pressure started. 0:04:02.019 --> 0:04:05.699 Spags blitzed on forty four percent oh CJ. Strouds dropbacks. 0:04:05.779 --> 0:04:08.499 They had a fifty six percent pressure rate in the 0:04:08.539 --> 0:04:12.379 second half, and Houston really had no answers. Then I'm 0:04:12.499 --> 0:04:15.499 not going to count on them, Greg to have these answers. Now, 0:04:15.539 --> 0:04:17.459 I think the Chiefs survive in advance. 0:04:17.579 --> 0:04:20.179 Yeah, it is such a big number, and it makes sense. 0:04:20.259 --> 0:04:22.899 It's a team going for their third straight title, and 0:04:22.979 --> 0:04:25.299 you guys both have the Texans cover in the number. 0:04:25.619 --> 0:04:29.219 I'll reach you on that and I'll raise you a 0:04:29.259 --> 0:04:32.939 Texans go. Let's go Texans pull off the upset. 0:04:33.059 --> 0:04:34.939 We're just scregging it up. We're not worried. 0:04:35.019 --> 0:04:39.259 It's about that Texans defense where Demiko Ryans really got 0:04:39.299 --> 0:04:42.259 out coached in that first matchup. I actually think it's 0:04:42.299 --> 0:04:44.899 an advantage that they just played them. They went into Arrowhead, 0:04:45.059 --> 0:04:47.619 they played them even really for three quarters until that 0:04:47.699 --> 0:04:51.339 tanked Dell injury. But Andy Reid was one step ahead 0:04:51.339 --> 0:04:53.859 of Demiko Ryans in that defense, and that defense, to me, 0:04:54.059 --> 0:04:56.459 was better than the Chiefs offense throughout the course of 0:04:56.459 --> 0:04:59.419 the season. You're watching Will Anderson and Danielle Hunter get 0:04:59.419 --> 0:05:02.939 go nuts on what happened last week. Also at cornerback, 0:05:03.739 --> 0:05:08.219 Derek and Kamari Lassiter top two cornerbacks in the league 0:05:08.219 --> 0:05:11.139 in terms of opposing completion percentage. I do believe this 0:05:11.259 --> 0:05:14.499 defense is special. It's gonna take something special to beat 0:05:14.539 --> 0:05:15.739 the Chiefs, and that's what the texts. 0:05:15.739 --> 0:05:17.219 They're gonna do what we. 0:05:17.259 --> 0:05:19.979 Gotta just take it against the Chiefs. I love it. 0:05:20.019 --> 0:05:23.899 You can catch this game on NFL Plus. Folks postseason. 0:05:23.899 --> 0:05:26.379 With NFL Plus, it's a great opportunity to stream the 0:05:26.539 --> 0:05:30.379 entire postseason, including every playoff game and Super Bowl fifty 0:05:30.459 --> 0:05:33.859 nine live on mobile. Subscription required for NFL Plus. Visit 0:05:33.939 --> 0:05:38.699 Plus dot NFL dot com in order to see the terms. 0:05:38.699 --> 0:05:40.259 Time to make it buy an area. Let's go this 0:05:40.339 --> 0:05:42.739 guy or that guy who is more likely to row 0:05:42.819 --> 0:05:46.099 for two touchdowns? Cynthia CJ. Stroud Er, Patrick Mahomes. 0:05:45.779 --> 0:05:48.859 Patrick Mahomes, I think number one, this defense is now 0:05:48.859 --> 0:05:50.459 in full force for the Chiefs, so that's gonna make 0:05:50.499 --> 0:05:53.099 things more difficult. And number two, a short pass that 0:05:53.179 --> 0:05:55.139 it goes for a yack that actually works out too 0:05:55.219 --> 0:05:55.899 that counts as. 0:05:55.819 --> 0:05:57.379 A passing touchdown for the quarterback. 0:05:57.619 --> 0:06:01.059 While I want to point out that Travis Kelce has 0:06:01.099 --> 0:06:05.139 thirteen touchdowns in thirteen playoff appearances, I like that a lot. 0:06:05.379 --> 0:06:07.259 I think that it could also be a game where oh, 0:06:07.299 --> 0:06:09.819 I don't know, Noah Grave potentially sees the end zone, 0:06:09.979 --> 0:06:13.059 or perhaps a Kareem Hunt like get it going, get 0:06:13.099 --> 0:06:15.499 it going on, Buddy in this game type of situation. 0:06:15.579 --> 0:06:17.059 So I think at least one and a half, so 0:06:17.059 --> 0:06:18.339 two or more passing touchdowns. 0:06:18.419 --> 0:06:23.979 Patrick Mahomes also counts as that overhand underhand Shouble Bass 0:06:23.979 --> 0:06:28.339 of the Chiefs run throat all the time also catches account. 0:06:28.619 --> 0:06:31.939 Travis Kelce typically a beast in the playoffs. Who do 0:06:31.939 --> 0:06:33.779 you think he's going to have over five and a 0:06:33.819 --> 0:06:36.619 half more catches? Who's more likely him or Nico Collins. 0:06:36.899 --> 0:06:38.299 Well, I'm a rule follower. 0:06:38.579 --> 0:06:40.739 You give me a question, I'm going to answer it directly. 0:06:40.899 --> 0:06:43.539 More likely is Nico Collins. I think they both get 0:06:43.579 --> 0:06:46.099 over five and a half. But Nico Collins is in 0:06:46.139 --> 0:06:48.619 the prime of his career. Travis Kelce's on the back 0:06:48.699 --> 0:06:51.379 end against the defense that is typically very good up 0:06:51.379 --> 0:06:54.179 the middle. Nico Collins can win anywhere you saw him 0:06:54.219 --> 0:06:57.459 on those inbreakers a week ago against the Chargers, but 0:06:57.619 --> 0:07:00.059 he's just as good winning one on one on the outside, 0:07:00.059 --> 0:07:03.579 where I think he'll have some mismatches against a Chiefs 0:07:03.699 --> 0:07:07.819 group undersized and Nico Collins, he can rack up a 0:07:07.819 --> 0:07:10.339 lot of receptions. And this isn't about yards making get 0:07:10.419 --> 0:07:11.539 yards after the catch too. 0:07:11.699 --> 0:07:14.339 If you're looking at what happens on crucial downs, so 0:07:14.419 --> 0:07:17.419 like third and fourth and those inbreakers to Nico Collins, 0:07:17.419 --> 0:07:20.619 who that is a good matchup. I think inbreakers were 0:07:20.659 --> 0:07:23.219 what changed the game last week, and that could be 0:07:23.259 --> 0:07:24.499 another area to look for. 0:07:24.539 --> 0:07:25.539 And this one, it's. 0:07:25.379 --> 0:07:28.259 About getting and keeping CJ Sprout in rhythm and it's 0:07:28.259 --> 0:07:31.179 all about the yak. So get CJ to get it 0:07:31.219 --> 0:07:34.139 to Nico Collins in space, and I think I like that. 0:07:34.179 --> 0:07:36.779 I like that a lot space is the final front here, 0:07:36.859 --> 0:07:38.739 and it's a big part of why I'm taking this 0:07:38.899 --> 0:07:42.659 last one. Joe Mixon or Xavier Worthy over seventy scrimmage yards, 0:07:42.699 --> 0:07:45.579 I think Joe Mixon is more likely. I just discussed 0:07:45.619 --> 0:07:49.579 how much Steve Spagnolo might blitz CJ. Stroup in this game. 0:07:49.579 --> 0:07:52.019 I think it's a great opportunity to get Joe Mixon 0:07:52.059 --> 0:07:54.979 involved in the passing game, especially the quick passing game, 0:07:55.459 --> 0:07:59.019 give the Kansas City defense something else to look at. 0:07:59.059 --> 0:08:01.539 I know that we saw PFF Bobby have a lot 0:08:01.539 --> 0:08:03.979 of first dound runs against the Chargers. Much of this 0:08:04.219 --> 0:08:07.179 grant of users on social media like myself, But I 0:08:07.179 --> 0:08:09.819 think Joe Mixon is involved in this game, not just 0:08:09.859 --> 0:08:13.499 in the traditional run. Since two really good football players, 0:08:13.499 --> 0:08:15.059 it's a shame only one of them can be good. 0:08:15.139 --> 0:08:17.459 Let's look back to the Week four matchup between the 0:08:17.579 --> 0:08:19.819 Ravens and the Bills. This is the first carry of 0:08:19.819 --> 0:08:23.379 the game for Derrick Henry. It was a seventy seven 0:08:23.739 --> 0:08:27.539 excuse me, eighty seven yard touchdown run. Baltimore led seven 0:08:27.579 --> 0:08:29.899 to nothing. He finished with one hundred and ninety nine 0:08:29.979 --> 0:08:34.139 yards on the ground and a receiving touchdown. Skipping ahead 0:08:34.179 --> 0:08:36.299 to the third quarter, Bill's trailing twenty one to ten. 0:08:37.859 --> 0:08:41.499 It's a flip Josh Allen, but oh, Kyle van Noy 0:08:41.619 --> 0:08:44.019 causes a fumble. Kyle Hamilton jumps on top of it, 0:08:44.099 --> 0:08:46.979 runs it back eight yards. Look at the die from 0:08:47.059 --> 0:08:49.219 Kyle van Noyd to get that ball out before Josh 0:08:49.259 --> 0:08:53.259 Allen could cut loose. He'd finished sixteen of twenty nine 0:08:53.299 --> 0:08:56.059 for one hundred and eighty yards through the air. Next 0:08:56.139 --> 0:08:59.659 Ravens possession, first and goal at the Bills nine. Lamar 0:08:59.819 --> 0:09:01.499 is gonna keep that, He's gonna take it for a 0:09:01.579 --> 0:09:03.979 nine yard touchdown run. The Ravens wore going to win 0:09:04.459 --> 0:09:07.939 five to ten and Josh Allen on the sideline thinking 0:09:08.019 --> 0:09:11.139 we're gonna get these guys in the divisional round and well, Josh, 0:09:11.259 --> 0:09:13.779 it's that time as a time for Seas the Season 0:09:13.819 --> 0:09:16.259 presented by seas Or Sportsbook. As we look at the 0:09:16.259 --> 0:09:20.219 first touchdown score odds between the Ravens and the Bills 0:09:20.259 --> 0:09:23.259 and Derreck Henry who got that touchdown? Seconds in to 0:09:23.339 --> 0:09:25.979 the Week four matchup, the odds on favorite at plus 0:09:26.179 --> 0:09:28.859 four hundred with Josh Allen, James Cook and Khalil Shakir 0:09:29.499 --> 0:09:32.459 following him up Lamar Jackson at plus eleven hundred. Let's 0:09:32.539 --> 0:09:35.659 dive right in to this huge, incredible matchup. Everyone's gonna 0:09:35.659 --> 0:09:38.019 have to wait all weekend for it. Two MVP candidates 0:09:38.179 --> 0:09:41.419 going head to head Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen to 0:09:41.499 --> 0:09:43.259 see who gets a chance to go to the AFC 0:09:43.339 --> 0:09:45.139 Championship Game. Who do you think does it? Gric? 0:09:45.339 --> 0:09:47.779 I think the Bills get it done. I'm sorry to 0:09:47.819 --> 0:09:51.059 break your heart, trick, but I'm wrong very often. Thirty 0:09:51.099 --> 0:09:53.659 one to thirty. I believe in points in this game 0:09:53.699 --> 0:09:55.459 more than I do in my pick of who is 0:09:55.459 --> 0:09:57.979 going to win the games, because these two quarterbacks are 0:09:58.179 --> 0:10:01.059 just that good. You feel for both of these guys 0:10:01.499 --> 0:10:03.819 having to go up against each other. If Josh Allen loses, 0:10:03.859 --> 0:10:06.379 it'd be fourth straight year they've lost in the division round. 0:10:06.419 --> 0:10:08.899 That's never happened in a history of the NFL, at 0:10:08.979 --> 0:10:11.059 least in this round. Losing the same time. And if 0:10:11.139 --> 0:10:14.299 Lamar Jackson struggled in this game, he's had some of 0:10:14.339 --> 0:10:17.419 his worst performances in the playoffs. I think last week 0:10:17.539 --> 0:10:19.379 is gonna give both of them a lot of confidence. 0:10:19.379 --> 0:10:22.779 And I ultimately think as good as these defenses are 0:10:22.819 --> 0:10:25.259 and how much they've improved over the course of the season, 0:10:25.539 --> 0:10:27.299 I don't think they're gonna hold up. It's still an 0:10:27.339 --> 0:10:29.739 offensive league. I don't care about the weather. I think 0:10:29.739 --> 0:10:32.739 they're both gonna ball out, which will help an annoying 0:10:32.899 --> 0:10:36.859 narrative for whoever loses this game. But ultimately, the Bills 0:10:36.899 --> 0:10:39.539 are at home. If it was in Baltimore, i'd probably 0:10:39.579 --> 0:10:44.419 go Baltimore. But at home the Bills a balanced offense 0:10:44.699 --> 0:10:47.339 that can run the ball against this Ravens front and 0:10:47.459 --> 0:10:48.059 can throw it. 0:10:48.099 --> 0:10:50.579 I give them a one point win, but either way 0:10:50.859 --> 0:10:53.139 I like that over all. 0:10:53.219 --> 0:10:55.499 Right, well, I too have a one point win. I 0:10:55.499 --> 0:10:57.859 have twenty seven to twenty six in this matchup. 0:10:58.339 --> 0:10:59.019 Do you guys know. 0:10:58.979 --> 0:11:03.659 Who DJ Sauce Von the Dawn happens to be? No, yeah, 0:11:04.459 --> 0:11:06.659 DJ name, and he, to me is the reason why 0:11:06.739 --> 0:11:09.419 I have the Bills winning this game. Why well, he 0:11:09.539 --> 0:11:13.059 lines up primarily on the left side of the defense, 0:11:13.179 --> 0:11:15.579 which means he gets to match up with Roger Rosengarden, 0:11:15.619 --> 0:11:18.659 the right tackle for the Ravens. Rosen Garden is near 0:11:18.699 --> 0:11:20.819 the bottom of the league in terms of pressures allowed 0:11:20.859 --> 0:11:21.579 at the position. 0:11:22.019 --> 0:11:23.819 And if you're looking at what DJ. 0:11:23.979 --> 0:11:29.099 Sauce Von the Dawn has done since returning from there by, oh, 0:11:29.139 --> 0:11:31.419 it's just a twenty four percent pressure rate. And if 0:11:31.419 --> 0:11:34.179 you look at just third down specifically, that number goes 0:11:34.219 --> 0:11:38.299 to thirty two percent. So listen, he's spinning. He spins 0:11:38.299 --> 0:11:40.259 in the locker room. That's a fun fact. You know, 0:11:40.299 --> 0:11:42.699 you can tell your friends. And he's actually, you know, 0:11:42.739 --> 0:11:44.659 he's very good DJ, and he's also very good at 0:11:44.699 --> 0:11:45.139 rushing pass. 0:11:45.219 --> 0:11:46.259 He spins on the field too. 0:11:46.539 --> 0:11:47.299 Oh there we go. 0:11:47.419 --> 0:11:49.539 You know he ain't just a bull rusher. He's got 0:11:49.539 --> 0:11:51.419 the spin move both on and off the field. 0:11:51.899 --> 0:11:53.939 Maybe Roger rosen Garden will have a great moment and 0:11:53.979 --> 0:11:56.499 he'll and he'll tell him he's somebody like Miles Garrett do. 0:11:56.659 --> 0:11:58.019 Or like that that record scratch. 0:11:58.579 --> 0:12:03.299 Yes, I I this is a great game, and I 0:12:03.339 --> 0:12:05.019 agree with you guys. It's going to be a close game. 0:12:05.259 --> 0:12:07.379 I have a two point game. I have Baltimore winning 0:12:08.139 --> 0:12:10.219 and a lot of it's the reason the Buffalo Bills 0:12:10.259 --> 0:12:13.419 had that dominant win last week with their ability to 0:12:13.499 --> 0:12:16.699 run the football. But the Baltimore Ravens can do it differently, 0:12:16.899 --> 0:12:18.779 and we saw them do it. Looking back at that 0:12:18.819 --> 0:12:21.299 highlight with the way that Derrick Henry had that eighty 0:12:21.299 --> 0:12:24.579 seven yard touchdown on the first carret, I'm not reproducing that, 0:12:24.979 --> 0:12:27.779 but just look at how Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry 0:12:27.819 --> 0:12:31.179 have operated the zone read late in the season. It 0:12:31.259 --> 0:12:35.099 feels like Lamar has made the right choice almost every 0:12:35.139 --> 0:12:38.259 single time. And with that run game, if you can 0:12:38.299 --> 0:12:40.619 limit the opportunity, especially with the Ravens having one of 0:12:40.659 --> 0:12:44.699 the better run defenses in the NFL. The Bills play 0:12:44.779 --> 0:12:48.139 more Nickel than anybody ninety five percent of the time. 0:12:48.179 --> 0:12:51.339 Buffalo is going to have five or six defensive backs 0:12:52.419 --> 0:12:55.659 on the field. Baltimore one of the best rushing teams 0:12:55.819 --> 0:12:58.459 against Nickel and don defenses. I just believe the Ravens 0:12:58.459 --> 0:12:59.739 will be able to run the game, and I think 0:12:59.739 --> 0:13:01.579 they're going to run their way to the AFC Championship. 0:13:01.659 --> 0:13:03.379 I swear there's got to be like a five percent 0:13:03.459 --> 0:13:06.499 air thing, because I basically don't see them not playing nickels. 0:13:06.499 --> 0:13:09.179 So I'm just curious, what are those five What is 0:13:09.179 --> 0:13:09.699 that five percent? 0:13:09.699 --> 0:13:10.659 Because I gotta go find it. 0:13:10.899 --> 0:13:13.339 It's like an accident, Like I guess, some teams were 0:13:13.419 --> 0:13:14.939 lucky enough to get to the goal line and they 0:13:14.979 --> 0:13:17.939 had some opportunities there. That was season. The season brought 0:13:17.939 --> 0:13:20.659 to you by Caesar Sportsbook. Bet just one dollar and 0:13:20.739 --> 0:13:24.299 double booster. Next ten bets up to twenty five dollars. 0:13:24.499 --> 0:13:29.779 Terms and conditions apply. Must be twenty one plus. Let's 0:13:29.779 --> 0:13:32.299 get some notable player props. According to the folks that 0:13:32.339 --> 0:13:35.059 Caesar Sports Book, we can get Josh Allen at one 0:13:35.059 --> 0:13:38.299 and a half passing touchdown, Lamar Jackson going around two 0:13:38.339 --> 0:13:40.979 hundred twenty one and a half and a half pass yards, 0:13:41.059 --> 0:13:44.259 James Cook about sixty rush yards, Derek Henry ninety seven 0:13:44.299 --> 0:13:47.699 and a half, and Khalil Shakir four and a half receptions. 0:13:47.739 --> 0:13:51.499 So let's talk more or less some player props for 0:13:51.539 --> 0:13:55.379 this matchup, Greg Well Josh Allen have more or less 0:13:55.619 --> 0:13:57.979 than two hundred and eighty seven total yards. 0:13:57.739 --> 0:14:01.379 Total being the total number, and word there, we're going 0:14:01.419 --> 0:14:04.939 way over. This is easy love that Cynthia and I 0:14:05.019 --> 0:14:06.939 are both on the same side of points in this 0:14:06.979 --> 0:14:10.459 game because she was over that number as well. Josh 0:14:10.539 --> 0:14:13.139 Allen is going to be very important in the running 0:14:13.139 --> 0:14:15.339 game now. When he was younger, he almost would wait 0:14:15.419 --> 0:14:18.139 to the end of the season to scramble more often, 0:14:18.619 --> 0:14:22.019 especially in the playoffs. Now he's just a big part 0:14:22.019 --> 0:14:23.899 of the running game all the time. And I do 0:14:23.979 --> 0:14:26.899 think in this matchup when he drops back, he's gonna 0:14:26.899 --> 0:14:27.779 be running quite a bit. 0:14:27.819 --> 0:14:28.579 Why are you laughing? 0:14:28.699 --> 0:14:31.659 Because five seasons is not like I'm just saying. If 0:14:31.659 --> 0:14:33.579 you remember though, early in. 0:14:33.539 --> 0:14:35.459 His career, like once he got to this point in 0:14:35.499 --> 0:14:37.499 the season, he just started running all the time. 0:14:38.699 --> 0:14:41.619 I'm Josh Allen, Destroyer of Worlds, the other world destroyer 0:14:41.699 --> 0:14:44.099 the quarterback for the Raven Cynthia Well Lamar Jackson have 0:14:44.219 --> 0:14:46.139 more or less than one and a half passing touch. 0:14:46.179 --> 0:14:48.499 I'm Lamar Jackson also destroyer of the World. Yes, I 0:14:48.499 --> 0:14:50.019 think he will have more than one and a half 0:14:50.059 --> 0:14:51.139 passing touchdowns. 0:14:51.339 --> 0:14:52.179 High scoring game. 0:14:52.219 --> 0:14:55.219 But also let's look at where this Bill's defense is 0:14:55.259 --> 0:14:56.019 most vulnerable. 0:14:56.019 --> 0:14:58.739 In their first matchup, they actually did not stack the 0:14:58.739 --> 0:15:02.459 box very often. Big mistake. Huge Why because Derek Henry 0:15:02.539 --> 0:15:03.139 ran all over them. 0:15:03.219 --> 0:15:04.819 This time, I think the stack the box a little 0:15:04.819 --> 0:15:07.499 bit more, which leaves to more vulnerability in the pass 0:15:07.579 --> 0:15:11.099 catching game. So I think that will benefit ra Shan Bateman. 0:15:11.099 --> 0:15:13.979 Should Zay Flowers play potentially Zay Flowers and of course 0:15:14.219 --> 0:15:15.739 the tight end Mark Andrews. 0:15:16.299 --> 0:15:18.859 I'll take this last one. Will Derrick Henry have over 0:15:18.899 --> 0:15:21.859 one hundred and five scrimmage yards? We've seen more, especially 0:15:21.859 --> 0:15:24.779 since the Justice Hill injury. Justice Hill back Dereck Henry 0:15:24.819 --> 0:15:27.499 still catching more passes. I think he gets north of 0:15:27.819 --> 0:15:29.739 that number, which just saw the one hundred and ninety 0:15:29.819 --> 0:15:33.299 nine yards, and they do run very well against stack boxes. 0:15:33.339 --> 0:15:35.419 And the problem is if you stack the box and 0:15:35.539 --> 0:15:38.539 Derrick Henry and he gets to the second level you're 0:15:38.619 --> 0:15:41.139 chasing he got and you're trying to grab hair. He's 0:15:41.179 --> 0:15:43.499 cut his hair off since then so that the hair 0:15:43.579 --> 0:15:45.899 is not there to grab. So I think there's more 0:15:46.139 --> 0:15:48.819 three mores and more or less as we look at 0:15:48.859 --> 0:15:53.459 this great end to divisional weekend here in the NFL, 0:15:53.499 --> 0:15:56.659 coming up the Division Round, usually the best weekend of 0:15:56.659 --> 0:16:00.419 the NFL year. We're expecting points on points when we return. 0:16:00.619 --> 0:16:03.859 We're giving you some of our favorite props for the weekend. 0:16:04.219 --> 0:16:15.739 Stick around, write this down. Coming up next that four 0:16:15.739 --> 0:16:19.699 divisional playoff weekends Saturday at noon at Sunday at eleven 0:16:19.739 --> 0:16:23.379 am Eastern with NFL Game Day morning on Saturday, all 0:16:23.459 --> 0:16:26.379 six four and seven eighths two hundred and fifty five 0:16:26.419 --> 0:16:29.859 pounds of Max Crosby, which are smaller than Cynthia Freeland 0:16:30.299 --> 0:16:33.939 joined the crew in studio to see how the Texans 0:16:33.939 --> 0:16:36.819 can slow down Patrick Mahomes plus gimme checks, sitting down 0:16:36.819 --> 0:16:39.419 with Kansas City Chiefs pro bowler Chris Jones, all that 0:16:39.499 --> 0:16:41.299 and more. Saturday at noon. 0:16:41.379 --> 0:16:42.419 He's the same height as Ian. 0:16:42.899 --> 0:16:43.779 Yeah, he's right there. 0:16:43.939 --> 0:16:47.739 Just between this, I'm taller the NFL media Cynthia and Ian. 0:16:47.859 --> 0:16:48.379 I love it. 0:16:48.779 --> 0:16:52.579 That puts rich in like the Wimby zone right there 0:16:52.579 --> 0:16:54.539 at the front of this graphic. It's time for expert 0:16:54.579 --> 0:16:58.139 playmakers presented by into it turbo attacks. Patrick Mahomes always 0:16:58.139 --> 0:17:00.779 seems to shine in the playoffs. Will he have over 0:17:00.819 --> 0:17:03.619 two hundred and seventy six and a half total yards 0:17:03.699 --> 0:17:05.819 on saturate against the Texans India? 0:17:05.859 --> 0:17:08.499 He will shine, But I don't think his yardage total 0:17:08.539 --> 0:17:11.539 gets that high. Why because I think this is where 0:17:11.579 --> 0:17:15.139 Andy Reid coming off of bye, becomes a nice run 0:17:15.379 --> 0:17:18.899 play caller. Meaning let's not have Patrick Mahomes have to 0:17:18.939 --> 0:17:21.739 do too many crazy things against this defense that brings 0:17:21.739 --> 0:17:24.259 the second highest pressure rate, that has those great corners. 0:17:24.459 --> 0:17:25.979 Let's run the football more so. 0:17:26.059 --> 0:17:27.619 I don't think it's going to be quite as many 0:17:27.699 --> 0:17:30.499 yards as that. But remember, don't fret, Mary Anne Freeland, 0:17:30.539 --> 0:17:33.179 I'm not picking against Patrick Mahomes, who you love so much. 0:17:33.299 --> 0:17:35.259 I am picking him to win. Just doesn't need to 0:17:35.259 --> 0:17:36.099 be throwing late in the game. 0:17:36.259 --> 0:17:37.899 Well, Maryanne Friedland, listen up. 0:17:37.939 --> 0:17:40.419 I am picking against Patrick Mahomes and I'm going under 0:17:40.459 --> 0:17:43.219 on this one too. I am curious if he's going 0:17:43.299 --> 0:17:44.819 to get rid of the ball as quickly as he 0:17:44.859 --> 0:17:46.899 did against the Texas. It was a great game plan. 0:17:46.939 --> 0:17:49.539 You would assume they'd be a little more prepared for it. 0:17:49.699 --> 0:17:51.539 Maybe he's feeling healthier and he actually hold on to 0:17:51.619 --> 0:17:54.139 the ball morn and weirdly that doesn't help him. 0:17:54.979 --> 0:17:58.379 So yeah, they both say no, so confirmed. Greg and 0:17:58.419 --> 0:18:01.419 Cynthia say Patrick Mahomes is bad and we'll have a bag. 0:18:01.459 --> 0:18:03.779 And Cynthia's mom is going to call her and be 0:18:03.859 --> 0:18:04.619 mean to god. 0:18:04.499 --> 0:18:06.419 How do you hate Patrick mahone? Why do you hate heavy? 0:18:06.419 --> 0:18:08.659 He's my favorite player in the league. That's what I'm 0:18:08.659 --> 0:18:08.939 in here. 0:18:09.019 --> 0:18:11.379 Mom. Don't worry, because it's time to give your daughter 0:18:11.779 --> 0:18:18.059 her flowers. Congratulations to Cynthia Freeland, the regular season Picks champion. 0:18:18.899 --> 0:18:23.619 Just the competition, one hundred and ninety four and seventy eight. 0:18:23.699 --> 0:18:26.499 We have not seen numbers like that, Cynthia, congratulations. 0:18:26.619 --> 0:18:26.979 Thanks. 0:18:27.259 --> 0:18:30.179 I mean, you know, I just I guess, like you know, 0:18:30.499 --> 0:18:32.779 I didn't realize it was that I stop tracking. 0:18:33.099 --> 0:18:34.699 Oh stop, no, it's true. 0:18:34.819 --> 0:18:37.379 First of all, I take exception to demolishing the competition. 0:18:37.539 --> 0:18:40.939 I had you all season and then she passed me 0:18:41.339 --> 0:18:44.739 in week seventeen and eighteen because she's a closer. He's 0:18:44.739 --> 0:18:46.339 a finisher. Winners close. 0:18:46.779 --> 0:18:49.059