1 00:00:02,759 --> 00:00:06,360 Speaker 1: Live from the Bloomberg Interactive Brooker Studios is Bloomberg day 2 00:00:06,360 --> 00:00:10,039 Speaker 1: Break for Wednesday, January eighteen. Coming up this hour. It's 3 00:00:10,160 --> 00:00:12,680 Speaker 1: day three of the World Economic Forum. We are in 4 00:00:12,800 --> 00:00:15,680 Speaker 1: Davos with the latest. The end tumbles after the Bank 5 00:00:15,720 --> 00:00:19,680 Speaker 1: of Japan keeps monetary settings unchanged. Secretary Yelling meets with 6 00:00:19,800 --> 00:00:22,759 Speaker 1: China's Vice Premier in a bid to manage tensions and 7 00:00:22,840 --> 00:00:27,080 Speaker 1: investors away key readings on inflation and retail sales babeled. 8 00:00:27,120 --> 00:00:30,840 Speaker 1: Congressman Santos has been assigned to House committee seats, whilst 9 00:00:30,840 --> 00:00:33,360 Speaker 1: the man accused of a deadly truck attack in Manhattan 10 00:00:33,440 --> 00:00:36,960 Speaker 1: is on trial. I'm Michael Vaughn More, I'm John Stasharon 11 00:00:37,000 --> 00:00:39,479 Speaker 1: Sports the de fleeted nets lost in San Antonio. The 12 00:00:39,479 --> 00:00:42,040 Speaker 1: next place tonight in the big upset at the Australian Open. 13 00:00:44,400 --> 00:00:48,600 Speaker 1: That's all's trendy ahead on Bloomberg Daybreak on Bloomberg eleven three, 14 00:00:48,600 --> 00:00:53,040 Speaker 1: on New York, Bloomberg one, Washington, d C, Bloomberg one 15 00:00:53,040 --> 00:00:57,560 Speaker 1: oh six one, Boston, Bloomberg nine sixties and Francisco Sirius 16 00:00:57,720 --> 00:01:00,080 Speaker 1: x M one nine team, and around the world on 17 00:01:00,280 --> 00:01:07,679 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Radio dot Com and via the Bloomberg Business. Good morning, 18 00:01:07,760 --> 00:01:10,600 Speaker 1: I'm Nathan Hagar and I'm kerin Moscow. Here are the 19 00:01:10,640 --> 00:01:14,319 Speaker 1: stories we're following today. Let's get to the latest from Davos. 20 00:01:14,360 --> 00:01:17,000 Speaker 1: It is day three of the World Economic Forum GIT 21 00:01:17,080 --> 00:01:20,959 Speaker 1: to Gopinath, the International Monetary Funds number two official, is there. 22 00:01:21,280 --> 00:01:23,800 Speaker 1: She tells us the global economy is showing signs of 23 00:01:23,840 --> 00:01:27,240 Speaker 1: resilience and China is a key. We expect to see 24 00:01:27,360 --> 00:01:30,759 Speaker 1: China's growth recover later this year, and also it has 25 00:01:30,840 --> 00:01:32,880 Speaker 1: that has positive spiller was for the rest of the world. 26 00:01:33,120 --> 00:01:35,800 Speaker 1: We've certainly seen more engagement between the U S and China. 27 00:01:36,080 --> 00:01:38,880 Speaker 1: I think one important meeting was what happened at the 28 00:01:38,920 --> 00:01:42,160 Speaker 1: Leader Summit in Bali in November between Prison Biden prison 29 00:01:42,280 --> 00:01:44,360 Speaker 1: Ugene Pink. That was a positive assigned. The idea was 30 00:01:44,400 --> 00:01:47,440 Speaker 1: to put the floor on their relationship. To Gopinath with 31 00:01:47,520 --> 00:01:49,440 Speaker 1: the i m F made those comments in an interview 32 00:01:49,480 --> 00:01:52,840 Speaker 1: with Bloomberg's Francine la Qua. Meantime, Nathan, we're watching for 33 00:01:52,920 --> 00:01:56,840 Speaker 1: more signs of improvement in US China relations. Treasury Secretary 34 00:01:56,920 --> 00:01:59,760 Speaker 1: Janet Yellen has held her first face to face meeting, 35 00:01:59,760 --> 00:02:03,400 Speaker 1: which Chinese Vice Premier Leo ha and Zurich and Bloomberg 36 00:02:03,440 --> 00:02:06,760 Speaker 1: Washington correspondent Joe Matthew has more. It's at the beginning 37 00:02:06,760 --> 00:02:09,160 Speaker 1: of a trip that she is making to Africa, which 38 00:02:09,200 --> 00:02:11,600 Speaker 1: is important. It's part of the strategy to try to 39 00:02:11,639 --> 00:02:14,160 Speaker 1: find elements around the world that that that can align 40 00:02:14,240 --> 00:02:17,840 Speaker 1: with the United States policy here and not China for 41 00:02:17,880 --> 00:02:21,080 Speaker 1: that matter. They've met three times by video conference, and 42 00:02:21,080 --> 00:02:23,720 Speaker 1: he's gonna be leaving his post when President she unveils 43 00:02:23,760 --> 00:02:25,239 Speaker 1: his new government in March, so this could be a 44 00:02:25,280 --> 00:02:28,799 Speaker 1: bit of a farewell conversation. Bloomberg's Joe Matthew reports that 45 00:02:28,919 --> 00:02:31,880 Speaker 1: during today's meeting, Secretary Yellen said the US and China 46 00:02:31,919 --> 00:02:35,720 Speaker 1: need to manage their differences and prevent competition from turning 47 00:02:35,720 --> 00:02:39,160 Speaker 1: into conflict. Turning back to markets, now, Karen, we're seeing 48 00:02:39,160 --> 00:02:42,080 Speaker 1: the yen get weaker this morning, trading at one twenty 49 00:02:42,200 --> 00:02:45,240 Speaker 1: nine point four four against the dollar. The move comes 50 00:02:45,280 --> 00:02:47,720 Speaker 1: after the Bank of Japan made no changes to its 51 00:02:47,800 --> 00:02:51,760 Speaker 1: yield curve control program. Bloomberg Daybreak Asia anchor Brian Curtis 52 00:02:51,760 --> 00:02:54,680 Speaker 1: has more. This was the b o J pushing back 53 00:02:54,720 --> 00:02:58,120 Speaker 1: against market speculation of change. The b o J double 54 00:02:58,200 --> 00:03:01,000 Speaker 1: down on its stimulus program, leading to huge swings in 55 00:03:01,080 --> 00:03:03,560 Speaker 1: bond yields and the end the b o J made 56 00:03:03,560 --> 00:03:07,440 Speaker 1: no key changes. That was more or less expected by economists, 57 00:03:07,440 --> 00:03:10,600 Speaker 1: but traders were betting that the yield curve control policy 58 00:03:10,639 --> 00:03:13,920 Speaker 1: would be altered or scrapped. The b o J said no, 59 00:03:14,240 --> 00:03:16,720 Speaker 1: and in effect we're content to stay at odds with 60 00:03:16,800 --> 00:03:20,960 Speaker 1: other central banks. Brian Curtis, Bloomberg debris greay, Brian, thank you. 61 00:03:21,000 --> 00:03:23,560 Speaker 1: In the UK this morning, data show inflation coming in 62 00:03:23,600 --> 00:03:25,760 Speaker 1: lower for the second month in a row. And let's 63 00:03:25,760 --> 00:03:27,519 Speaker 1: go live to London and get the details of a 64 00:03:27,600 --> 00:03:30,760 Speaker 1: Bloomberg's you win, pass you and good morning, Good morning, 65 00:03:30,800 --> 00:03:33,720 Speaker 1: Karen and Nathan. Consumer prices in the UK rose ten 66 00:03:33,800 --> 00:03:36,800 Speaker 1: point five percent in December from a year ago. That's 67 00:03:36,800 --> 00:03:39,080 Speaker 1: the second time that inflation has eased from its peak 68 00:03:39,120 --> 00:03:43,040 Speaker 1: above eleven percent back in October. But prices in Britain 69 00:03:43,080 --> 00:03:46,880 Speaker 1: are still increasing at five times the official two percent targets, 70 00:03:47,160 --> 00:03:49,040 Speaker 1: and that means another tough call for the Bank of 71 00:03:49,080 --> 00:03:52,200 Speaker 1: England at they're meeting on February first in London. I'mu 72 00:03:52,200 --> 00:03:54,640 Speaker 1: and pot Spoinberg debreak you and thank you. Interest rates 73 00:03:54,640 --> 00:03:57,080 Speaker 1: are also in focus at the European Central Bank their 74 00:03:57,120 --> 00:04:00,640 Speaker 1: speculation the e c B could slow its pace of hikes, 75 00:04:00,640 --> 00:04:03,240 Speaker 1: but Governing Council member Francois v Roy de Gallo is 76 00:04:03,280 --> 00:04:05,560 Speaker 1: pushing back at that idea. We caught up with him 77 00:04:05,680 --> 00:04:08,240 Speaker 1: at the World Economic Forum. Let me remind you of 78 00:04:08,320 --> 00:04:12,160 Speaker 1: the words of President Leaguard. It's her last press conference 79 00:04:12,200 --> 00:04:16,800 Speaker 1: in December. We should expect to raise weights at the 80 00:04:16,880 --> 00:04:21,120 Speaker 1: pace of fifty basis points for a period of time. Well, 81 00:04:21,400 --> 00:04:25,400 Speaker 1: the words are still valid today, but again we are pragmatic. 82 00:04:25,800 --> 00:04:28,960 Speaker 1: ECB Governing Council member Francois vi Roy de Gallo says 83 00:04:28,960 --> 00:04:30,880 Speaker 1: it's too soon to talk about the size of an 84 00:04:30,880 --> 00:04:33,600 Speaker 1: infrastrate hike in March. Well, back here in the US, 85 00:04:33,720 --> 00:04:36,479 Speaker 1: Nathan investors are waiting for two key readings on the 86 00:04:36,520 --> 00:04:39,760 Speaker 1: economy before the opening bell and Bloomberg's Michael McKee has 87 00:04:39,760 --> 00:04:43,360 Speaker 1: a preview of retail sales and PPI data for December. 88 00:04:43,560 --> 00:04:47,080 Speaker 1: Earlier holiday spending and inflation are expected to take a 89 00:04:47,120 --> 00:04:50,359 Speaker 1: bite out of December retail sales sales were up a 90 00:04:50,400 --> 00:04:53,360 Speaker 1: lot in October and if cooled since and are even 91 00:04:53,400 --> 00:04:56,919 Speaker 1: lower on an inflation adjusted basis. There may be some 92 00:04:57,000 --> 00:05:00,240 Speaker 1: good news on inflation, however, producer prices are FO asked 93 00:05:00,279 --> 00:05:02,480 Speaker 1: to have fallen on both a month over month and 94 00:05:02,680 --> 00:05:07,360 Speaker 1: annual basis. That likely would reinforce investor perceptions the feds 95 00:05:07,440 --> 00:05:12,359 Speaker 1: cumulative rate hikes are affecting inflation. Michael McKey Bloomberg Daybreak, 96 00:05:12,440 --> 00:05:15,000 Speaker 1: All right, Mike, thanks. The SMP five hundred's coming off, 97 00:05:15,000 --> 00:05:18,000 Speaker 1: its first loss in five days. Is disappointing earnings from 98 00:05:18,040 --> 00:05:21,240 Speaker 1: Goldman Sachs Way on stocks. Wells Fargo Securities head of 99 00:05:21,240 --> 00:05:23,680 Speaker 1: equity strategy Chris Harvey says there is room to go 100 00:05:23,760 --> 00:05:27,400 Speaker 1: lower from here. We think there's downside the DRED, but 101 00:05:27,560 --> 00:05:30,560 Speaker 1: ultimately do recover, right. We we do think that we 102 00:05:30,640 --> 00:05:33,840 Speaker 1: end up higher for DRED is the high for this year, 103 00:05:34,360 --> 00:05:36,800 Speaker 1: and we do think we get there. We think that again, 104 00:05:37,040 --> 00:05:40,200 Speaker 1: what you're facing is more of an economic malaise, not 105 00:05:40,279 --> 00:05:42,640 Speaker 1: a sharp sell off, not something that that's going to 106 00:05:42,680 --> 00:05:45,640 Speaker 1: be horrific, and as a result, we can muddle through that. 107 00:05:45,880 --> 00:05:49,120 Speaker 1: Wells fargoes. Chris Harvey, like so many other strategists, says 108 00:05:49,240 --> 00:05:51,640 Speaker 1: FED policy will be key for the path of equities 109 00:05:51,680 --> 00:05:54,520 Speaker 1: this year. Well. Returning to corporate News now, Nathan, and 110 00:05:54,560 --> 00:05:56,920 Speaker 1: we're seeing more job cuts in the tech industry, Let's 111 00:05:56,960 --> 00:05:59,720 Speaker 1: get the latest Live with the Bloomberg Steve Rappaport's Steve 112 00:05:59,720 --> 00:06:03,039 Speaker 1: good Good morning, Karen and Nathan. Add Microsoft to the 113 00:06:03,080 --> 00:06:05,920 Speaker 1: list of tech companies tightening the belt. The software giant 114 00:06:05,960 --> 00:06:09,159 Speaker 1: plans to slash jobs in various engineering divisions today. The 115 00:06:09,240 --> 00:06:11,719 Speaker 1: number of cuts is not clear, but a person familiar 116 00:06:11,760 --> 00:06:14,560 Speaker 1: with the matter tells Bloomberg the reduction will be significantly 117 00:06:14,640 --> 00:06:17,679 Speaker 1: larger than previous rounds of layoffs. The company stock closed 118 00:06:17,720 --> 00:06:20,200 Speaker 1: up yesterday by nearly half of a percent. Shares are 119 00:06:20,240 --> 00:06:22,800 Speaker 1: down slightly in pre market trading. Live in New York. 120 00:06:22,800 --> 00:06:29,240 Speaker 1: I'm Steve Rappaport, Bloomberg Daybreak. Thank you, Karen. It's forty 121 00:06:29,240 --> 00:06:31,839 Speaker 1: four degrees in Central Park. We're looking for sunshine today 122 00:06:31,880 --> 00:06:34,239 Speaker 1: and highs in the low fifties. It will turn cloudy tonight. 123 00:06:34,279 --> 00:06:36,040 Speaker 1: We'll get down to the up for thirties. Time not 124 00:06:36,120 --> 00:06:37,560 Speaker 1: to take a look at some of the other stories 125 00:06:37,600 --> 00:06:40,400 Speaker 1: making news in New York and around the world. Good morning, 126 00:06:40,400 --> 00:06:44,000 Speaker 1: Michael barn Good morning, Nathan. Despite being accused of violating 127 00:06:44,000 --> 00:06:48,200 Speaker 1: campaign finance laws and falsifying his resume, newly elected New 128 00:06:48,279 --> 00:06:52,080 Speaker 1: York Congressman George Santos is taking up his duties in Washington. 129 00:06:52,440 --> 00:06:56,440 Speaker 1: He's been assigned on two committees. It comes as calls 130 00:06:56,520 --> 00:06:59,840 Speaker 1: for the Long Island representative to resign are growing from 131 00:06:59,839 --> 00:07:04,160 Speaker 1: his District three and among lawmakers. Another New York congressman, 132 00:07:04,240 --> 00:07:08,120 Speaker 1: Democrat Richie Torres, says he has asked the Federal Elections 133 00:07:08,160 --> 00:07:12,600 Speaker 1: Commission to look into the campaign finance allegations tours. Speaking 134 00:07:12,640 --> 00:07:15,760 Speaker 1: to the adversary group Concerned Citizens of n Y three, 135 00:07:16,000 --> 00:07:18,920 Speaker 1: how to message for Santos, This will not end well 136 00:07:18,920 --> 00:07:22,720 Speaker 1: for you. You should resign in order to put to 137 00:07:22,800 --> 00:07:26,320 Speaker 1: rest the national nightmare you're creating, not only for yourself, 138 00:07:27,000 --> 00:07:28,920 Speaker 1: but for the people of New York three who are 139 00:07:28,960 --> 00:07:33,840 Speaker 1: being denied the representation that they deserve. Santos has sense 140 00:07:33,880 --> 00:07:37,679 Speaker 1: refused to step down. The Biden administration remains under pressure 141 00:07:37,760 --> 00:07:41,160 Speaker 1: to talk about the discovery of classified documents in the 142 00:07:41,200 --> 00:07:45,680 Speaker 1: President's home and think tank office. White House attorneys say 143 00:07:45,720 --> 00:07:49,280 Speaker 1: they turned in those documents voluntarily. White House Press Secretary 144 00:07:49,360 --> 00:07:53,240 Speaker 1: Kurin Jean Pierre, We're going to continue to uh as 145 00:07:53,280 --> 00:07:55,840 Speaker 1: we have said, fully cooperate with the Department of Justice. 146 00:07:55,840 --> 00:07:59,160 Speaker 1: We're going to fully cooperate with the President's team is 147 00:07:59,240 --> 00:08:02,720 Speaker 1: going to fully put with the special counsel. Republicans are 148 00:08:02,720 --> 00:08:06,960 Speaker 1: demanding investigations. However, the Biden administration is accusing the GOP 149 00:08:07,120 --> 00:08:11,120 Speaker 1: of hypocrisy, saying they showed little interest in investigating Donald 150 00:08:11,160 --> 00:08:15,120 Speaker 1: Trump took hundreds of classified documents to his Mara Lago home. 151 00:08:15,880 --> 00:08:19,040 Speaker 1: Ci Fulo Sipov is on trial this week on terror, 152 00:08:19,080 --> 00:08:22,600 Speaker 1: rism and murder charges in New York City. Thirty say 153 00:08:22,640 --> 00:08:25,760 Speaker 1: he is responsible for the deadly terror attack on Halloween 154 00:08:26,040 --> 00:08:29,480 Speaker 1: in seventeen in Manhattan. He is accused of driving a 155 00:08:29,560 --> 00:08:33,040 Speaker 1: rented truck down a bike path along the West Side Highway, 156 00:08:33,120 --> 00:08:36,760 Speaker 1: mowing down pedestrians and writers, killing eight and injuring many more. 157 00:08:37,120 --> 00:08:40,920 Speaker 1: Prosecutors say he wanted to join ISIS. The chief of 158 00:08:41,040 --> 00:08:45,120 Speaker 1: Ukraine's National Police says a helicopter crash and a Kiev 159 00:08:45,240 --> 00:08:49,640 Speaker 1: suburb has killed sixteen people. Those killed include Ukraine's Interior 160 00:08:49,720 --> 00:08:53,280 Speaker 1: minister and two children. Global News twenty four hours a 161 00:08:53,400 --> 00:08:56,520 Speaker 1: day on air and on Bloomberg Quittake, powered by more 162 00:08:56,559 --> 00:08:59,240 Speaker 1: than seven hundred journalists and analysts more than a hundred, 163 00:08:59,240 --> 00:09:02,880 Speaker 1: twenty countries. Michael Barrn, this is Bloomberg, Nathan Michael, thank 164 00:09:02,960 --> 00:09:09,600 Speaker 1: you time for a Bloomberg sports update. Brought to you 165 00:09:09,640 --> 00:09:12,240 Speaker 1: by Tri State OUTI good morning, John stanshawer morning, and 166 00:09:12,320 --> 00:09:14,720 Speaker 1: Nathan upset at the Australian Open, or I fail at 167 00:09:14,720 --> 00:09:16,800 Speaker 1: out the top seed in defending champion, the winner of 168 00:09:16,800 --> 00:09:20,000 Speaker 1: a record twenty two Grand slams out in the second 169 00:09:20,080 --> 00:09:22,640 Speaker 1: round and it was not closed, beating straight sets by 170 00:09:22,640 --> 00:09:26,199 Speaker 1: twenty seven year old American Mackenzie McDaniel, former n C 171 00:09:26,280 --> 00:09:28,440 Speaker 1: Double A champion u C l A. He's ranked sixty 172 00:09:28,559 --> 00:09:31,080 Speaker 1: five the dall seam Bothered by a hip injury, American 173 00:09:31,160 --> 00:09:34,480 Speaker 1: Francis Tiafo one straight sets, so to Jess Pagoula. She's 174 00:09:34,520 --> 00:09:37,080 Speaker 1: the third seed on the women's side, already without Kevin Durant, 175 00:09:37,120 --> 00:09:39,360 Speaker 1: Kyrie irving the late scratch for the Nets in San 176 00:09:39,400 --> 00:09:42,480 Speaker 1: Antonio like injured calf, and sure enough the Spurs one 177 00:09:42,559 --> 00:09:45,839 Speaker 1: one oh six to ninety eight. Keldon Johnson scored thirty 178 00:09:45,880 --> 00:09:48,120 Speaker 1: six no one for Brooklyn, hit for even twenty and 179 00:09:48,120 --> 00:09:51,240 Speaker 1: the Nets were three of twenty three on three pointers. 180 00:09:51,320 --> 00:09:53,960 Speaker 1: Nixon wizards. Tonight at the Garden, the Islanders host the 181 00:09:54,080 --> 00:09:56,880 Speaker 1: NHL leading Bruins. Brian dave Ball has already taken the 182 00:09:56,880 --> 00:09:59,000 Speaker 1: Giants to a place no one figured they'd be at 183 00:09:59,040 --> 00:10:02,800 Speaker 1: the division play else but not satisfied. Next stop Philadelphia. 184 00:10:02,880 --> 00:10:04,719 Speaker 1: Good to move on, but you gotta put that in 185 00:10:04,760 --> 00:10:07,320 Speaker 1: the past really quick and get to the preparation on 186 00:10:07,400 --> 00:10:12,120 Speaker 1: this week's opponent, which um number one seed going to 187 00:10:12,120 --> 00:10:15,840 Speaker 1: the East, that beat us twice. You got eight pro bowlers, 188 00:10:16,000 --> 00:10:19,240 Speaker 1: six all pros, and they can get your attention real quick, 189 00:10:19,240 --> 00:10:20,839 Speaker 1: so we'll get a lot of work to do. Saturday night, 190 00:10:20,960 --> 00:10:23,360 Speaker 1: fifth ever playoff game between the two teams. They both 191 00:10:23,360 --> 00:10:26,240 Speaker 1: won twice. The Giants have not won in Philly since 192 00:10:26,280 --> 00:10:29,240 Speaker 1: two thousand thirteen. Has forty five year old Tom Brady 193 00:10:29,280 --> 00:10:32,000 Speaker 1: weighs his NFL future, So does thirty nine year old 194 00:10:32,000 --> 00:10:34,920 Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers. He said he's not ready to make a decision, 195 00:10:34,920 --> 00:10:36,920 Speaker 1: but says that the Packers want to go young and 196 00:10:37,000 --> 00:10:39,200 Speaker 1: he wants to keep playing. It have to be with 197 00:10:39,240 --> 00:10:42,240 Speaker 1: a different team. Rob Gronkowski says he considered coming out 198 00:10:42,240 --> 00:10:45,240 Speaker 1: of retirement again, decided against it, but if he did, 199 00:10:45,240 --> 00:10:46,959 Speaker 1: it was gonna be for Buffalo, the team he grew 200 00:10:47,000 --> 00:10:52,839 Speaker 1: up looking for. Live from coast to coast, from New 201 00:10:52,960 --> 00:10:56,959 Speaker 1: York to San Francisco, Boston to Washington, d C. Nationwide 202 00:10:57,000 --> 00:10:59,880 Speaker 1: on sirius X amp, the Bloomberg Business app, and bloom 203 00:11:00,200 --> 00:11:05,040 Speaker 1: dot Com. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning. I'm Nathan 204 00:11:05,080 --> 00:11:07,840 Speaker 1: Hagar taking you back to Davos now bringing you some 205 00:11:07,920 --> 00:11:11,560 Speaker 1: of our conversations from day three of the World Economic Forum. 206 00:11:11,559 --> 00:11:14,920 Speaker 1: Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund, Gita Gopinath is 207 00:11:14,960 --> 00:11:17,840 Speaker 1: forecasting the year ahead for the global economy and the 208 00:11:17,880 --> 00:11:21,280 Speaker 1: influence of US and China relations. In a conversation with 209 00:11:21,320 --> 00:11:24,400 Speaker 1: Bloomberg's Francine la Quax, Gopinat says it is going to 210 00:11:24,400 --> 00:11:27,080 Speaker 1: be a rocky first half of the year as several 211 00:11:27,120 --> 00:11:31,200 Speaker 1: countries battle inflation and manage geopolitical risks. At the same time, 212 00:11:31,320 --> 00:11:34,440 Speaker 1: she thinks China's reopening is a key stimulus for the 213 00:11:34,440 --> 00:11:38,600 Speaker 1: global economy and as a result US China relations as well. 214 00:11:38,960 --> 00:11:41,760 Speaker 1: Let's listen in to part of that conversation. Now, you 215 00:11:41,840 --> 00:11:44,760 Speaker 1: seem a bit more optimistic than maybe a couple of 216 00:11:44,800 --> 00:11:47,959 Speaker 1: months ago. So overall, are you leading towards a better 217 00:11:48,000 --> 00:11:50,800 Speaker 1: forecast for the world economy this year? In terms of 218 00:11:50,840 --> 00:11:53,319 Speaker 1: the overall foecust We will have the south at the 219 00:11:53,440 --> 00:11:56,880 Speaker 1: end of January, but it will be in the ballpark 220 00:11:56,920 --> 00:11:59,319 Speaker 1: of what we put out in October. So I think 221 00:11:59,320 --> 00:12:02,240 Speaker 1: the positive way to think about it is, you know, 222 00:12:02,280 --> 00:12:05,719 Speaker 1: after going through about three rounds of downgrades, at least 223 00:12:05,760 --> 00:12:08,360 Speaker 1: we don't have a worse outcome that we're looking at 224 00:12:08,360 --> 00:12:12,040 Speaker 1: this time around. The positive news is that we have 225 00:12:12,240 --> 00:12:15,920 Speaker 1: global growth for the bottoming out of this year. It 226 00:12:16,000 --> 00:12:18,360 Speaker 1: improves towards the second half of this year and then 227 00:12:18,400 --> 00:12:22,040 Speaker 1: into four and that's because that we've seeing signs of resilience. 228 00:12:22,080 --> 00:12:24,840 Speaker 1: We have China that's ripped off with zero COVID policy, 229 00:12:25,040 --> 00:12:28,960 Speaker 1: so we're going to see some improvement towards the end 230 00:12:28,960 --> 00:12:31,880 Speaker 1: of the year. But again, this is still a tough here. 231 00:12:32,160 --> 00:12:33,880 Speaker 1: It is a tough here. But do you think inflation 232 00:12:33,920 --> 00:12:36,520 Speaker 1: has peaked? And if inflation speak doesn't make it again 233 00:12:36,679 --> 00:12:38,520 Speaker 1: much easier from the from the second half, is that 234 00:12:38,640 --> 00:12:41,160 Speaker 1: the main thing that would make a difference. Our expectation 235 00:12:41,320 --> 00:12:44,959 Speaker 1: is that headline inflation has peaked, But when it comes 236 00:12:45,000 --> 00:12:48,160 Speaker 1: to the more sticky components of inflation, which is inflation 237 00:12:48,360 --> 00:12:53,280 Speaker 1: services sector inflation, there are countries where that's still trending up. 238 00:12:53,720 --> 00:12:56,000 Speaker 1: In the US, we've seeing signs of its slowing, but 239 00:12:56,040 --> 00:12:58,000 Speaker 1: we're gonna have to wait for a few more months 240 00:12:58,000 --> 00:13:00,240 Speaker 1: of the kind of good data that we suffering come 241 00:13:00,240 --> 00:13:02,800 Speaker 1: out of the US just to start thinking that, Okay, 242 00:13:02,840 --> 00:13:05,800 Speaker 1: now we're truly on the part towards the two percent target. 243 00:13:05,960 --> 00:13:07,840 Speaker 1: I think one three policy will have to stay the 244 00:13:07,840 --> 00:13:10,760 Speaker 1: course through three git. How are you expecting the China 245 00:13:10,840 --> 00:13:13,840 Speaker 1: reopening to go ahead? So today we also have Janet Yellen, 246 00:13:14,440 --> 00:13:17,480 Speaker 1: Treasury Secretary, meeting with the Vice Primery of China in Zurich. 247 00:13:17,760 --> 00:13:19,920 Speaker 1: Are you expecting a rap prosh ball between the two 248 00:13:19,920 --> 00:13:22,040 Speaker 1: and does that help with the world economy? I mean, firstly, 249 00:13:22,160 --> 00:13:24,920 Speaker 1: we have a China reopening, which literally means that they're 250 00:13:24,920 --> 00:13:27,280 Speaker 1: going to travel two different paths of the world after 251 00:13:27,320 --> 00:13:30,480 Speaker 1: being shut out for a couple of years. So that 252 00:13:30,800 --> 00:13:33,880 Speaker 1: with the increasing mobility, we expect to see China's growth 253 00:13:33,920 --> 00:13:36,880 Speaker 1: recover later this year. And also it has that has 254 00:13:36,880 --> 00:13:39,400 Speaker 1: positive spillers for the rest of the world. We've certainly 255 00:13:39,400 --> 00:13:42,160 Speaker 1: seen more engagement between the US and China. I think 256 00:13:42,240 --> 00:13:45,240 Speaker 1: one important meeting was what happened at the Leader summit 257 00:13:45,280 --> 00:13:48,280 Speaker 1: in Bali in November between prison by didn President Juan 258 00:13:48,360 --> 00:13:50,199 Speaker 1: pink That was a positive signed. The idea was to 259 00:13:50,240 --> 00:13:52,719 Speaker 1: put a floor on their relationship, and I think these 260 00:13:52,760 --> 00:13:54,679 Speaker 1: meetings are critical. I mean, these are the two largest 261 00:13:54,720 --> 00:13:57,120 Speaker 1: economies of the world. It's important for the rest of 262 00:13:57,160 --> 00:13:59,240 Speaker 1: the world that they work closely together. How worried are 263 00:13:59,240 --> 00:14:03,280 Speaker 1: you about the US sailing? It really should not be 264 00:14:03,440 --> 00:14:07,280 Speaker 1: something we are even second guessing at this point. Right 265 00:14:07,400 --> 00:14:11,600 Speaker 1: the US has the highest investment grade rating in the world. 266 00:14:12,440 --> 00:14:15,319 Speaker 1: There's already enough uncertainty, there are enough risks that we 267 00:14:15,400 --> 00:14:17,199 Speaker 1: have to deal with. This should not be an additional 268 00:14:17,280 --> 00:14:19,400 Speaker 1: risk that the US or the world should have to 269 00:14:19,480 --> 00:14:21,120 Speaker 1: deal with. But is it. I feel like a lot 270 00:14:21,160 --> 00:14:22,920 Speaker 1: of the charters here on Dables and elsewhere, is that, 271 00:14:23,000 --> 00:14:25,760 Speaker 1: actually we could see that sailing. It could be difficult 272 00:14:25,800 --> 00:14:28,200 Speaker 1: to get through it, and we could even see US 273 00:14:28,280 --> 00:14:31,400 Speaker 1: being downgraded. There was certainly a risk to it. I mean, 274 00:14:31,440 --> 00:14:35,200 Speaker 1: there is certainly, given the dynamics that we have in 275 00:14:35,400 --> 00:14:38,720 Speaker 1: the US Congress, there will certainly be some tensions around it. 276 00:14:38,800 --> 00:14:41,240 Speaker 1: But I really hope they just get the job done 277 00:14:41,440 --> 00:14:43,360 Speaker 1: and do the right thing. We just moved the death ceiling. 278 00:14:43,920 --> 00:14:45,640 Speaker 1: Do what's needed to make sure that this is not 279 00:14:45,800 --> 00:14:47,920 Speaker 1: in question. I know you focus a lot of your 280 00:14:48,000 --> 00:14:50,640 Speaker 1: energy on talking about fragmentation, and actually I guess the 281 00:14:50,680 --> 00:14:53,760 Speaker 1: pitfalls of that. Are we seeing a more fragmented world 282 00:14:54,000 --> 00:14:57,120 Speaker 1: than we did even last year. The world has been 283 00:14:57,160 --> 00:15:01,240 Speaker 1: moving towards fragmentation, say over the last few years. They 284 00:15:01,280 --> 00:15:06,040 Speaker 1: started with the U. S. China trade tensions before the pandemic. 285 00:15:06,320 --> 00:15:08,840 Speaker 1: Now you've had the pandemic. In the war, everybody is 286 00:15:08,920 --> 00:15:12,880 Speaker 1: very concerned about economic security and national security. You know, 287 00:15:12,960 --> 00:15:15,600 Speaker 1: those are good things. It's important for countries to build resilience. 288 00:15:15,920 --> 00:15:18,840 Speaker 1: But we're also seeing that as kind of ensuring, which 289 00:15:18,880 --> 00:15:21,920 Speaker 1: is bringing production back home. And that's if we move 290 00:15:21,960 --> 00:15:23,800 Speaker 1: in that direction, I think it's just going to be 291 00:15:23,880 --> 00:15:26,800 Speaker 1: costly for both households and for farms everywhere. We've seen 292 00:15:26,920 --> 00:15:28,800 Speaker 1: quite a lot of vlatility in the market because the 293 00:15:28,840 --> 00:15:31,160 Speaker 1: b A jayput or didn't put in place. Do you 294 00:15:31,200 --> 00:15:33,960 Speaker 1: support to those kind of moves. So the Bank of 295 00:15:34,040 --> 00:15:37,960 Speaker 1: Japan has a pretty complex decision to deal with unlikes 296 00:15:38,000 --> 00:15:40,080 Speaker 1: the other major economies of the world. Yes, they have 297 00:15:40,200 --> 00:15:44,360 Speaker 1: inflation going going up, but the risk of inflation sliding 298 00:15:44,440 --> 00:15:46,880 Speaker 1: back well below their target remains high. So they have 299 00:15:47,040 --> 00:15:51,000 Speaker 1: to do this complex straight off keeping monetary policy accommodative 300 00:15:51,640 --> 00:15:55,160 Speaker 1: while ensuring that it's consistent with the inflation data that's 301 00:15:55,200 --> 00:15:57,560 Speaker 1: coming up. We have actually a mission in Japan Right 302 00:15:57,600 --> 00:16:00,440 Speaker 1: now on the ground, We're gonna have a report coming 303 00:16:00,480 --> 00:16:05,200 Speaker 1: out of Japan relatively suitor to their future. This is 304 00:16:05,240 --> 00:16:08,680 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Daybreak Today, your morning brief on the stories making 305 00:16:08,760 --> 00:16:12,000 Speaker 1: news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. 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