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Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't really know what to say. I'm looking

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Speaker 1: at my John Mattire Heisman ticket. I'm not ripping it up.

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Speaker 1: It's gonna take a whole lot more than one little

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Speaker 1: broken bone in a hand and prayers up for John

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Speaker 1: Mattire by the way to rip up this Heisman ticket.

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Speaker 1: But I was getting too good. I'm like Kit, I'm

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Speaker 1: like the little sister and a league of their own.

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Speaker 1: I get ahead of the John Mattire curb. I bet

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Speaker 1: an inordinate amount of money on a Heisman ticket for

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Speaker 1: John Mattire and then what happens broken hand which apparently

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Speaker 1: he played with and still good enough to beat Auburn.

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Speaker 1: Does that impact my Auburn A and M game preview tonight?

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Speaker 1: I can't say no. So yeah, I'm just spilling emotion

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Speaker 1: all over the place as we come on the air.

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Speaker 1: In case you missed it today, John matteer out for

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Speaker 1: a few weeks with I think broken bone in the hand,

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Speaker 1: Jesse whatever. His hand is hurt, my heart is hurt.

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Speaker 1: We're jam packed. Still, we're gonna do the show tonight.

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Speaker 1: It's Tuesday, September twenty third, Thear of Our Lord twenty

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Speaker 1: twenty five High Top a lovely downtown Nashville, Tennessee. It

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Speaker 1: is show Me Saturday. I'm not the biggest on these

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Speaker 1: nicknamed Saturdays, but buddy, it is show me Saturday. Because

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Speaker 1: there's a lot of things that I thought I knew

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Speaker 1: in August that I have divorced myself from. There's some

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Speaker 1: other stuff I'm trying to figure out that I got

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Speaker 1: all these top teams, and I need to know are

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Speaker 1: you real? Am I imagining you? Are you real? So

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Speaker 1: we're gonna find out a lot. We've got some folks

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Speaker 1: with the backs against the wall already can't afford another loss.

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Speaker 1: Notre Dame, You're gonna be one in three after Saturday.

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Speaker 1: So Mike Gunny got fired today. He didn't retire, he

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Speaker 1: didn't resign, he got fired. We will discuss JP pole

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Speaker 1: is out tonight. I'm looking at it right now. I

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Speaker 1: hate it. For those of you who think that this

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Speaker 1: is my poll immunity, Nah, that's the model's poll. And

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Speaker 1: tonight I dare I say I will have a bigger

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Speaker 1: issue with the JP pole tonight than the haters who

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Speaker 1: notably have an issue with it every week. We'll see

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Speaker 1: all that plus some added best bets. We got a

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Speaker 1: jam packed show that is a sizeable, sizeable pack of papers.

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Speaker 1: They're watching us in Texar, Canada, Texas, Alpharetta, Georgia, bear Lake, Michigan,

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Speaker 1: Fort Collins, Colorado. I gotta tell you we could win

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Speaker 1: awards for how loaded the Instagram story was this past weekend.

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Speaker 1: It figures to be that way again because we're doing

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Speaker 1: multiple games Saturday. Plus I've got it on good authority

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Speaker 1: that we may not get rained out for softball Friday night,

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Speaker 1: because that's the stupidity of the life that we live.

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Speaker 1: We stay in Nashville so we can play slow pitch

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Speaker 1: softball on Friday, then we go to two game Saturday.

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Speaker 1: It's all documented at Josh pat CFB. If you're not

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Speaker 1: following on Instagram, and like one hundred thousand of you are,

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Speaker 1: but if you're not head over there, it doesn't cost anything,

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Speaker 1: just like it doesn't cost anything to subscribed to the

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Speaker 1: YouTube channel, which we're pushing five hundred k on. So

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Speaker 1: I appreciate you guys. This is a very serious show Tonight.

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Speaker 1: We may laugh some, but this show is no laughing matter.

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Speaker 1: It's prediction Tuesday Tuesdays when we do business around here.

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Speaker 1: So where shall we start? Probably with the game one

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Speaker 1: of the games that we're going to go to Alabama

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Speaker 1: at Georgia Saturday, seven thirty eastern kickoff on ABC. Let

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Speaker 1: me set the table for you. This game happened last year.

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Speaker 1: It was a five chaly classic. We were there. It

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Speaker 1: was in Tuscaloosa. Bama got up by like fifty somehow

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Speaker 1: Georgia then had the lead in the game. I cannot

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Speaker 1: in strong enough terms encourage you to rewatch that game

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Speaker 1: this week as we head into this game, because I

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Speaker 1: want you to know that thing was forty one thirty four,

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Speaker 1: and the total on this game this year's fifty two

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Speaker 1: and a half. Interesting little stroke of the chin. There

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Speaker 1: over eight hundred passing yards in this game. Last years

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Speaker 1: thirty three consecutive home wins. I can hear people clipping

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Speaker 1: that for hype videos even as I speak. But listen,

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Speaker 1: it's extremely hard to play there. It is extremely difficult

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Speaker 1: to beat Georgia anywhere. But when you marry the two,

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Speaker 1: that winning streak makes a lot of sense. Now there

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Speaker 1: are some out there who would tell you that doesn't

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Speaker 1: really matter for Alabama because Alabama's had Georgia's number. I

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Speaker 1: promise you it matters. As we get into this. It's

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Speaker 1: good that Bama's getting jam Miller back, great phenomenal. Can't wait.

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Speaker 1: Remember this is my national champion, so I picked them.

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Speaker 1: I need them to be healthy. Tim Keenan back, huge deal.

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Speaker 1: I don't want to overlook any of that. That's why

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Speaker 1: I want to mention that right up front in this video.

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Speaker 1: Here's how I think this game's gonna go. I expect

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Speaker 1: a defiant effort from Georgia. And what I mean is

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Speaker 1: kind of like last year when they went and played

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Speaker 1: Texas and there were people me included, I think, validly

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Speaker 1: questioning them, questioning their medal. Why aren't you stopping the run?

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Speaker 1: Why can't you run the ball? All this stuff, and

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Speaker 1: they had a stat profile. It was several weeks into

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Speaker 1: the season, it wasn't early. And then they went to

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Speaker 1: Texas and just kind of turned it on its ear

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Speaker 1: and they just threw Texas in a wood chipper in

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Speaker 1: their own building in Austin, and then did it again

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Speaker 1: in Atlanta a few weeks later, and I remember thinking

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Speaker 1: to myself, good, that's Georgia. It almost makes me angry.

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Speaker 1: I didn't see that version of Georgia earlier, so we're

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Speaker 1: a lot earlier in the season this year than when

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Speaker 1: they played Texas last year. And this game's in Athens,

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Speaker 1: it's not in Tuscaloosa or Austin or anything like that.

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Speaker 1: But they're sixty second in pressure rate right now. They're

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Speaker 1: one hundred and fifteenth in sacks. So you can look

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Speaker 1: at those numbers or you can just try and picture

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Speaker 1: this in your head. I got an Alabama offensive line

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Speaker 1: that's been very iffy. I've got a program the past

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Speaker 1: couple of years. It's been a little iffy on the road.

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Speaker 1: They've been prone to penalties, they've been prone to giving

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Speaker 1: up pressures on your quarterback. Just force it, just make

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Speaker 1: it happen. That's a defiant effort. That's what I mean.

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Speaker 1: That you take the piece of paper and then you

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Speaker 1: realize paper don't play as me Mall would say, players do.

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Speaker 1: Coaching staffs get players ready, and then players go play.

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Speaker 1: The Alabama offensive line I think has a lot to

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Speaker 1: prove here, a lot to prove. You go back and

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Speaker 1: watch that Florida State game and everyone's kind of wondering,

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Speaker 1: what do we do with that tape? What do we

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Speaker 1: do with that outcome? Is Florida State secretly great? Was

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Speaker 1: that just this one off. I don't know yet. I

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Speaker 1: told you after that game concluded. The next time I'll

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Speaker 1: really find anything out about Bama is three weeks from

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Speaker 1: now at that point, which was the road game at Georgia,

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Speaker 1: because that's the next time they'll be thrown in a

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Speaker 1: blender on the road. So here we go. It's a

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Speaker 1: few days away. I just I remember that Texas game

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Speaker 1: last year, and I've watched Kirby smart Georgia teams, and

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Speaker 1: sometimes it plays true to what the stat sheet tells you.

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Speaker 1: There are other times they just have this defiant manner

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Speaker 1: about themselves, and they have this defiant effort that they

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Speaker 1: put forth. And sometimes you'll watch them like I did

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Speaker 1: against Texas and they're just getting after the quarterback all

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Speaker 1: night and I'm like, boy, that hasn't been there all year.

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Speaker 1: Where did it come from? Well? The answer is it

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Speaker 1: was always there. They just for whatever reason, had it

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Speaker 1: bottled up and didn't really have the strength to twist

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Speaker 1: the top until the Texas game. I think another thing

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Speaker 1: could be in play there, and that is Georgia only

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Speaker 1: feels truly threatened a few times a year. Georgia only

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Speaker 1: feels like people doubt them a few times a year.

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Speaker 1: People doubted him on the road at Texas last year.

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Speaker 1: And I'll tell you, as much as Bama looked bad

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Speaker 1: in Week one, that has kind of subsided because they've

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Speaker 1: buzz sawed everybody they've played since then, and they're going

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Speaker 1: to go in here and this line's two and a half.

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Speaker 1: This thing dropped below a field goal today it's two

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Speaker 1: and a half in favor of Georgia, which implies maybe

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Speaker 1: Bama even a slight favorite on a neutral field, Georgia

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Speaker 1: feels a little doubted here. That's when you tend to

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Speaker 1: get those efforts from them. So that's the first thing

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Speaker 1: I'm looking for. The second thing is it's a really

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Speaker 1: really big competitive character test. I'll use the M word.

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Speaker 1: It's a really big manhood test for Georgia. We give

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Speaker 1: Dave Blue full freedom to echo that all throughout that building.

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Speaker 1: You do whatever you need to do. But Bama ninety

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Speaker 1: first in penalties right now, Georgia fourth. Georgia. It was

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Speaker 1: so impressive to watch them go into Knoxville, not a

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Speaker 1: single false start. Now they won't have to deal with

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Speaker 1: crowd noise this Saturday, but point being, that's indicative of

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Speaker 1: a very, very disciplined team. It's a high competitive character team.

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Speaker 1: I think that's in Alabama. I just think they have

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Speaker 1: to show it here. It's a real gut check moment

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Speaker 1: because for all the what IFFs that you could talk about,

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Speaker 1: and there are several ways Bama could have a lot

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Speaker 1: of success Saturday, it all works downstream of having composure

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Speaker 1: and really having toughness. By that, I mean you got

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Speaker 1: to nut up a little bit against that pass rush

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Speaker 1: and give your guy time to throw. Because when Ty

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Speaker 1: Simpsons had time to throw, he's looked surgical this year.

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Speaker 1: What was he like forty one to forty six the

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Speaker 1: last couple of weeks. That really is a moot point.

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Speaker 1: He doesn't have time to throw. And if your offensive lineman,

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Speaker 1: specifically at the tackle positions look like Turnstiles all night,

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Speaker 1: and you understand who you're playing here. Even if Kirby

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Speaker 1: Smart doesn't have a front seven loaded with future first rounders,

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Speaker 1: he's got plenty good enough personnel and there are plenty

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Speaker 1: multiple enough to give you a lot of different looks,

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Speaker 1: a lot of different pressures. It's on the road anyway

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Speaker 1: you can't hear. So it is a big, big competitive

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Speaker 1: character gut check time for Alabama. Now if they answer

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Speaker 1: that bell, then it's game on, because if they answer

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Speaker 1: that bell, Bama's playing with the kind of precision that

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Speaker 1: can embarrass you. Alabama's got the kind of skill set

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Speaker 1: out wide that if a quarterback has time to throw,

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Speaker 1: can embarrass you. That includes Georgia. They can do a

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Speaker 1: lot of business against this Georgia secondary if they're given time,

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Speaker 1: which thanks the question how much time will Ty Simpson have?

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Speaker 1: I also think about getting jam Miller back. One of

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Speaker 1: the other things I kind of got to see to

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Speaker 1: believe with Alabama is you get your tail back back

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Speaker 1: jam Miller phenomenal camp obviously not penciled in but written

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Speaker 1: in sharpie as there areb one and they've been without

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Speaker 1: him and they get him back. If that just resurrects

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Speaker 1: their ground game, so be it. I frankly don't even

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Speaker 1: think they look for that to happen here. I think

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Speaker 1: they look to manufacture what would be rushing yard dige

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Speaker 1: a little more creatively. Then that be interesting to see

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Speaker 1: who all gets their hands on the ball in the

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Speaker 1: backfield this Saturday. But I just think Ty Simpson and

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Speaker 1: that wide receiver corps, I mean, if he's given any time,

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Speaker 1: they'll go to work here Tennessee. When Georgia went up

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Speaker 1: there had nine passes of fifteen plus yards. Ty Simpsons

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Speaker 1: forty one of forty six in his last two games

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Speaker 1: for six hundred and twelve, eight touchdowns, no picks. And

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Speaker 1: you look at the variety, not just the weapons Alabama

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Speaker 1: has in their wide receiver room. It's how unique, or

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Speaker 1: maybe how varied the personnel is. Ryan Williams. Everyone pops

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Speaker 1: on the Georgia tape last year when they talk about

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Speaker 1: Ryan Williams again, I'll be really interested to see how

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Speaker 1: they use him Saturday. Above and beyond the obvious, Jeremy

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Speaker 1: Bernard is the best receiver that they've had. Kirby Smart

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Speaker 1: talked about earlier this week. I agree with him. Isaiah

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Speaker 1: Horton a different, bigger body type guy, the one I

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Speaker 1: think could break out. It's lots Ofer Brooks in this game.

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Speaker 1: You got a lot of guys that you got to

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Speaker 1: account for here. I don't know that Georgia's secondary is

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Speaker 1: as deep with proven talent. In fact, I know they're

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Speaker 1: not as they have been in the past. Their defense

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Speaker 1: is ninety second in the country right now in thirty

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Speaker 1: plus yard pass plays given up. That's cause they've played

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Speaker 1: Tennessee and most other folks haven't. Okay, so that warps

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Speaker 1: the stack category a little bit. But then you think

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Speaker 1: to yourself, this group could do exactly what Tennessee did

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Speaker 1: to you, albeit in your own building, if you give

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Speaker 1: them time. So that's the Bama side of things offensively.

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Speaker 1: Then you talk about the Georgia side of things offensively,

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Speaker 1: and I just want you to fill in this blank

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Speaker 1: for me, georgiating Gunner Stockton is what? Is it a

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Speaker 1: huge issue all night? Is it sort of an issue?

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Speaker 1: Is it spotty? Is it a non issue? Does this

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Speaker 1: offensive line just beautifully answer the bell? If they do,

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Speaker 1: Georgia could win this thing by double digits. One of

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Speaker 1: the things you got to bank on if you're siding

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Speaker 1: with Alabama in this game is they're the number five

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Speaker 1: team in the country according to PFF, at least in

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Speaker 1: pressure rate, and they're facing a really vulnerable offensive line.

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Speaker 1: As of this moment, I got no clue what Georgia

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Speaker 1: is going to do on the right side of their

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Speaker 1: offensive line, but that quick pass games got to be there,

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Speaker 1: Their run games got to be there. You talk about

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Speaker 1: a competitive character test, a manhood test, it makes a

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Speaker 1: lot of this academic If you can just run the

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Speaker 1: ball for four point eight yards per carry, that wouldn't

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Speaker 1: set the world on fire. It wouldn't set records, but

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Speaker 1: it'd be good enough for Georgia to then also incorporate

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Speaker 1: that quarterback run game, which a lot of these teams

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Speaker 1: with quarterbacks that have mobility about themselves gear up for

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Speaker 1: these games. That's where it's worked into the script and

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Speaker 1: elsewhere it's just kind of we know we can win

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Speaker 1: by throwing our helmet out there. I look forward to

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Speaker 1: seeing the tight end position in this game as well,

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Speaker 1: because I think the tight end position Dell lost and

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Speaker 1: lucky guys that would you know, be star they're stars there,

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Speaker 1: but I'm they're the kinds of guys if I plug

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Speaker 1: them in Penn State's offense randomly, would Shine would be

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Speaker 1: leading receiver type material. Georgia happens to have loaded up

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Speaker 1: at wide receiver a fair mountain themselves, which leads me

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Speaker 1: to my next point. For all the weaponry we're talking

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Speaker 1: about with Alabama, Georgia, they've got some guys out wide too.

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Speaker 1: They specifically retooled that room. I think for games like this.

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Speaker 1: They watched what Bama did to him last year to

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Speaker 1: get out to that early lead and then they responded.

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Speaker 1: But I think their skill set is different above and

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Speaker 1: beyond this year in the wide receiver department now than

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Speaker 1: it was last year. I really think they want the

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Speaker 1: option if they get in those types of games to

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Speaker 1: feel totally comfortable. That's in our wheelhouse. Now, it's not

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Speaker 1: uncomfortable at all. That's in our wheelhouse. The intangibles in

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Speaker 1: this game probably matter about as much as any of

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Speaker 1: these big games this Saturday. You can talk all you

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Speaker 1: want to about Bama being on the road and think

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Speaker 1: it has this reverse psychological effect of if I talk

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Speaker 1: about it enough, maybe it won't be an issue. It's

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Speaker 1: an issue until proven otherwise. Guys, that Oklahoma results not

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Speaker 1: going away, that Vandy results not going away, that Florida

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Speaker 1: State results not going away, and people want to get

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Speaker 1: mad at it. They can get mad at it. They've

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Speaker 1: been a different team on the road than they have

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Speaker 1: been at home. That's got to change or else you

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Speaker 1: chalk these games up as losses. But George's got a

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Speaker 1: Bama issue as well. And if you don't think that's real,

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Speaker 1: then I don't really know that you've been watching this.

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Speaker 1: I have watched Georgia torment Tennessee torment them. I've watched

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Speaker 1: Bama torment Georgia. So if you're a Georgia fan and

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Speaker 1: you believe in that intangible variable mattering in the Tennessee match,

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Speaker 1: it matters here as well. Let's take a look at

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Speaker 1: what the model thinks about this game. The FanDuel number

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Speaker 1: right now is Georgia minus two and a half, which

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Speaker 1: changed this afternoon, right Jesse, I think it changed this afternoon.

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Speaker 1: Model kind of agrees with what it already was. Models

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Speaker 1: got Georgia minus three and a half. Here's where I'm

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Speaker 1: going with this, the exact same way I went when

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Speaker 1: Georgia went up to Nieland Stadium. If I'm going to

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Speaker 1: be proven wrong on this, I'm going to be proven

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Speaker 1: wrong by Georgia losing in a place they haven't lost

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Speaker 1: in since I don't know, it's been a long long time.

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Speaker 1: If I'm going to be proven wrong, I'm going to

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Speaker 1: be proven wrong by Bama thriving on the road instead

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Speaker 1: of struggling like they have recently. So until I see

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Speaker 1: both of those things change simultaneously, to me, this is

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Speaker 1: Georgia's game, So I'll take Georgia to win. I'll take

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Speaker 1: Georgia to cover and we'll be there either way. We

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Speaker 1: will be there looking really really forward to that one.

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Speaker 1: That is about the most intense matchup that I've seen

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Speaker 1: in this league over the past several years. We had

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Speaker 1: that crazy stat Jesse. I can't remember exactly what it was.

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Speaker 1: We should have written it down. That matchup Georgia or Alabama.

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Speaker 1: That's been every SEC champ since like twenty fourteen, except

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Speaker 1: for one year when LSU won it in twenty nineteen.

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Speaker 1: Crazy quick trip will fuel us. We'll be at the

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Speaker 1: USC Illinois game early Saturday, will hop down to Athens

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Speaker 1: for the primetime kickoff. Quick trip will fuel it all.

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Speaker 1: Maybe even some cold brew on tap along the way.

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Speaker 1: Who knows for Lucky you know, quick trip fuels the

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Speaker 1: entire tour. They fueled the tour last year, They are

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Speaker 1: fueling the faultl Live tour this year. Now. They did

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Speaker 1: not commission that beautiful artwork. They could have. They could have,

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Speaker 1: but pres took care of the artwork. But yeah, they

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Speaker 1: just say, hey, wherever you want to go, just point

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Speaker 1: to it on a map. We'll get you there, done

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Speaker 1: and done. And then just for good measure, they talk

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Speaker 1: side a whole lot of free gas to you guys.

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Speaker 1: So I mean I do that at my leisure. They've

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Speaker 1: given me full freedom to just throw out gas cards

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Speaker 1: whenever I want to. And as you can see if

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Speaker 1: you're following me on the socials at Josh pat CFP,

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Speaker 1: I proudly do that. So that game is brought to

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Speaker 1: you by Quick Trip. The entire Fall tour is brought

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Speaker 1: to you by Quick Trip. We appreciate and love quick

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Speaker 1: trip around here. Next up the big matchups. Just never

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Speaker 1: m We got Monster Game after Monster Game Oregon at

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Speaker 1: Penn State. We've waited for this one. This is Saturday.

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Speaker 1: This is seven thirty Eastern on NBC. You know what

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Speaker 1: that means, kids, white out in conference play hoops amongst

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Speaker 1: us thought we'd ever see it again. We thought the

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Speaker 1: white out was a thing of the past, like like

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Speaker 1: Andy Griffith and Black and White. You hear about it

336
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Speaker 1: from the olds, but you think I'll never see it myself. Well,

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Speaker 1: here it is. We see the white out as God

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Speaker 1: intended it. At night in front of the world with

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Speaker 1: a top five opponent in town, number two versus number

340
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Speaker 1: three in the Big ten odds right here, number two

341
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Speaker 1: versus number three in the college football playoff odds. Let's

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Speaker 1: go ahead and get it out of the way. We

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Speaker 1: have to do it. James Franklin is a massive friend

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Speaker 1: of this program. James Franklin is also four and twenty

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Speaker 1: versus the top ten at Penn State. There you go,

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Speaker 1: all right. I read the stat You know the thing.

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Speaker 1: I read the stat The dynamics give Penn State a

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Speaker 1: massive edge here. We've talked about it since spring because

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Speaker 1: we had the schedule in hand already. So here's what

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Speaker 1: Oregon's working against. Poor Oregon. At last check, They're still

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Speaker 1: going to show up. But poor Oregon. They are taking

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Speaker 1: a young team on the road for the first time.

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Speaker 1: Penn State is off a bye. So you've got that

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Speaker 1: just alone, that's a huge deal. You've got the white out.

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Speaker 1: I mean, you've got Oregon having ripped Montana State and

356
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Speaker 1: in Oklahoma State and Northwestern and Oregon State to pieces,

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Speaker 1: and no one's put an ounce of pressure on him,

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Speaker 1: and now the pressure is going to be felt in

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Speaker 1: what some would call the most hostile environment college football

360
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Speaker 1: has to offer. I wouldn't even be pushing back on that,

361
00:19:13,560 --> 00:19:15,159
Speaker 1: by the way. I've seen a white out, but it

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Speaker 1: was Auburn, and Jesse tells me that that's not that's

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00:19:18,600 --> 00:19:19,960
Speaker 1: not as good as what this will be. That's what

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Speaker 1: Jesse tells me at least, So that's what you have

365
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Speaker 1: to go up against if you're Oregon. Make no mistake

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Speaker 1: about this. All the keys everyone's going to point out,

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Speaker 1: this is about Drew Aller. That's who this game's about.

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Speaker 1: There is a world where Penn State runs for two

369
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Speaker 1: hundred and they still lose. And I know that because

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Speaker 1: I watched him run for two ninety seven against Oregon

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Speaker 1: in the Big Ten championship game last year and guess what,

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Speaker 1: they still lost. So all due respect to the ground game,

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Speaker 1: I assume they'll get theirs. I know they will. No

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Speaker 1: one's gonna shut down Penn State running the ball, but

375
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Speaker 1: Drew Aller some of these look like typos. He's two

376
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Speaker 1: of nine on throws of over twenty yards in the

377
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Speaker 1: air so far this year. Now, Josh, they hadn't played anybody.

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Speaker 1: You're right, I'll get back to that in a second. Also,

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Speaker 1: they've had six explosive passes all year. That's good for

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Speaker 1: ninety fifth in the country, so top one hundred, I guess, Josh,

381
00:20:15,800 --> 00:20:17,879
Speaker 1: But they haven't played anybody. All right, I've heard you

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Speaker 1: guys say that to me over and over again. Here's

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Speaker 1: my question, are you insinuating they're holding something back? Of

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Speaker 1: course they're holding something back. Are you insinuating to me

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Speaker 1: that Penn State actually just possesses the ability to stretch

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Speaker 1: the field vertically any old time they want to, and

387
00:20:33,040 --> 00:20:36,680
Speaker 1: they've simply bottled that up so far. If you're right,

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Speaker 1: this is a really big deal. And if you're right,

389
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Speaker 1: I need to pick Penn State to win this game

390
00:20:41,280 --> 00:20:43,320
Speaker 1: and they will emerge from this as a bona fide

391
00:20:43,440 --> 00:20:47,359
Speaker 1: national championship contender. Now, Oregon has the fiftieth run defense

392
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Speaker 1: in the country, so again I expect Penn State to

393
00:20:50,160 --> 00:20:52,399
Speaker 1: do a fair amount of business on the ground. Like

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Speaker 1: I said, they ran it for three hundred in the

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Speaker 1: Big Ten Championship game they lost, So that is not

396
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Speaker 1: the padlock stat that someone want to make it out

397
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Speaker 1: to be. Now here's what else has to happen here.

398
00:21:02,600 --> 00:21:06,800
Speaker 1: Dante Moore, quarterback for Oregon, really good player has not

399
00:21:06,880 --> 00:21:09,719
Speaker 1: faced this kind of environment. They got to go in

400
00:21:09,760 --> 00:21:13,240
Speaker 1: there and try to maintain what they've been doing and

401
00:21:13,320 --> 00:21:16,920
Speaker 1: avoid the crowbar. They got to avoid crowbar theory working

402
00:21:16,960 --> 00:21:19,240
Speaker 1: its way into this game. They've had thirty one plays

403
00:21:19,240 --> 00:21:23,320
Speaker 1: of twenty plus through the air already this year, and

404
00:21:23,359 --> 00:21:26,360
Speaker 1: if you hadn't watched Oregon, and judging by their competition

405
00:21:26,440 --> 00:21:30,280
Speaker 1: so far, you probably haven't, he's near seventy five percent completion.

406
00:21:30,680 --> 00:21:32,479
Speaker 1: So if I'm a Penn State fan, I'm listening to that,

407
00:21:32,760 --> 00:21:35,359
Speaker 1: I'm just yep, Yeah, I know he's good. Yeah, he

408
00:21:35,400 --> 00:21:38,119
Speaker 1: hadn't faced us, And you're right, he hadn't faced you

409
00:21:38,800 --> 00:21:41,520
Speaker 1: to Korean Moore versus Aj Harris. If that's the matchup

410
00:21:41,560 --> 00:21:44,280
Speaker 1: we get in this game, Aj Harris, I think he's

411
00:21:44,359 --> 00:21:48,000
Speaker 1: been thrown at like once all year. No one's dumb

412
00:21:48,080 --> 00:21:50,800
Speaker 1: enough to even throw to him. Central Phoenix City High

413
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Speaker 1: School product, By the way, Oregon will throw that way.

414
00:21:55,200 --> 00:21:57,600
Speaker 1: They're I don't care who you're putting on to Korean Moore,

415
00:21:57,960 --> 00:22:00,920
Speaker 1: They're going to make you prove that there's not anything

416
00:22:00,920 --> 00:22:02,719
Speaker 1: to be done on that side of the field. But

417
00:22:02,840 --> 00:22:05,560
Speaker 1: Oregon's offensive line going on the road against the number

418
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Speaker 1: twelve pressure rate defense in the country, that's really what

419
00:22:08,200 --> 00:22:11,159
Speaker 1: we're looking at here, because there is, of course, as

420
00:22:11,240 --> 00:22:13,320
Speaker 1: much as I said, there's a world where Penn State's

421
00:22:13,359 --> 00:22:16,200
Speaker 1: rushing numbers don't end up being the end all be all.

422
00:22:16,600 --> 00:22:19,119
Speaker 1: There is a world where they do end up winning

423
00:22:19,160 --> 00:22:22,840
Speaker 1: the game because Penn State and the pressure they can

424
00:22:22,840 --> 00:22:25,280
Speaker 1: put on Oregon kind of puts them in a blender

425
00:22:25,320 --> 00:22:27,680
Speaker 1: and Penn State realizes, oh, we can compress the game.

426
00:22:28,640 --> 00:22:31,520
Speaker 1: Oh wow, twenty three is gonna win this game. Twenty

427
00:22:31,520 --> 00:22:34,160
Speaker 1: four points gonna win this game. Wow, Well, maybe Drew

428
00:22:34,200 --> 00:22:35,800
Speaker 1: Dutton need to throw it all over the place. Yeah,

429
00:22:35,840 --> 00:22:38,639
Speaker 1: that's possible. Remember Jim Knowles, who is the DC at

430
00:22:38,680 --> 00:22:41,920
Speaker 1: Penn State, now faced Oregon twice last year, faced will

431
00:22:41,960 --> 00:22:45,640
Speaker 1: Stein twice last year, once in Eugene, and then they

432
00:22:45,720 --> 00:22:49,880
Speaker 1: just completely overhaul everything about their approach and suffocated them

433
00:22:50,000 --> 00:22:52,080
Speaker 1: a few months later in Pasadena, it was like, not

434
00:22:52,160 --> 00:22:55,320
Speaker 1: even the same teams play them. Penn State's got to

435
00:22:55,320 --> 00:23:00,360
Speaker 1: finish drives here, they gotta finish drive so touch down

436
00:23:00,359 --> 00:23:04,760
Speaker 1: percentage in the red zone. Oregon sixteenth, Penn State eighty eighth.

437
00:23:05,359 --> 00:23:09,639
Speaker 1: What I cannot stand, especially if I'm picking Penn State,

438
00:23:10,200 --> 00:23:12,760
Speaker 1: is I can't stand these games where I got a

439
00:23:12,760 --> 00:23:14,679
Speaker 1: lot of hope as they're moving down the field. The

440
00:23:14,720 --> 00:23:16,479
Speaker 1: Ohio State game is kind of like this. Last year,

441
00:23:16,520 --> 00:23:18,159
Speaker 1: I got a lot of hope moving down the field

442
00:23:18,359 --> 00:23:21,159
Speaker 1: and then just settle for three. Settle for three. Settle

443
00:23:21,200 --> 00:23:23,920
Speaker 1: for three because the other guy sometimes doesn't settle for three.

444
00:23:24,359 --> 00:23:27,199
Speaker 1: If it's that kind of game again, if it just

445
00:23:27,280 --> 00:23:30,399
Speaker 1: goes the way that is not Penn State. Can't you

446
00:23:30,520 --> 00:23:33,800
Speaker 1: hear the call in shows? Can't you imagine the message

447
00:23:33,800 --> 00:23:37,720
Speaker 1: board threads more the same look good between the twenties.

448
00:23:37,880 --> 00:23:41,879
Speaker 1: Couldn't finish drives a thirty to twenty sixth final because

449
00:23:41,920 --> 00:23:44,000
Speaker 1: we couldn't punch it in and they did. I mean,

450
00:23:44,080 --> 00:23:47,040
Speaker 1: especially when you've got all these edges tilted your way.

451
00:23:47,400 --> 00:23:49,400
Speaker 1: This is a very young Oregon team on the road.

452
00:23:49,400 --> 00:23:52,280
Speaker 1: There's every reason for them to just go learn a

453
00:23:52,280 --> 00:23:55,200
Speaker 1: tough lesson against you. And you teach the tough lesson

454
00:23:55,240 --> 00:23:57,400
Speaker 1: you win this game because you're supposed to win this game.

455
00:23:57,760 --> 00:23:59,520
Speaker 1: And they lose this game and they look and say, oh,

456
00:23:59,520 --> 00:24:01,240
Speaker 1: it's not the end of the world. It will be

457
00:24:01,280 --> 00:24:02,960
Speaker 1: a different team two months from now. That's the way

458
00:24:03,000 --> 00:24:05,719
Speaker 1: this is kind of supposed to play out. What has

459
00:24:05,760 --> 00:24:08,439
Speaker 1: Penn State saved for this game? To get back to

460
00:24:08,480 --> 00:24:11,360
Speaker 1: that theory, strong working theory. A lot of my Penn

461
00:24:11,400 --> 00:24:14,439
Speaker 1: State folks share this theory and that is. Yeah, offense

462
00:24:14,520 --> 00:24:17,960
Speaker 1: has been pretty bowlding shoe ugly so far. That's okay, though.

463
00:24:18,160 --> 00:24:21,399
Speaker 1: That's okay because we haven't had to show anything. People

464
00:24:21,440 --> 00:24:23,639
Speaker 1: have been talking about Penn State's first three games like

465
00:24:23,640 --> 00:24:26,840
Speaker 1: their spring games. We're not showing anything against Nevada or

466
00:24:26,960 --> 00:24:31,159
Speaker 1: FIU or Villanova. Cool. Well, if that theory is correct,

467
00:24:31,520 --> 00:24:33,760
Speaker 1: and to some extent it has to be correct, this

468
00:24:33,800 --> 00:24:35,800
Speaker 1: is where you break it out. I got an over

469
00:24:35,880 --> 00:24:38,320
Speaker 1: under for you. This is not available at FanDuel. It

470
00:24:38,359 --> 00:24:42,080
Speaker 1: could be Jesse Caufanduel. I got a good prop for them.

471
00:24:42,160 --> 00:24:45,760
Speaker 1: So my prop is, well, first, let me tell you

472
00:24:45,760 --> 00:24:49,199
Speaker 1: my theory. I think I think there are issues with

473
00:24:49,240 --> 00:24:51,480
Speaker 1: the Penn State passing game. I don't think Penn State's

474
00:24:51,480 --> 00:24:53,440
Speaker 1: going to light the world on fire through the air.

475
00:24:54,160 --> 00:24:56,800
Speaker 1: If I'm wrong, I'm wrong. I'm probably not, though, So

476
00:24:56,880 --> 00:25:02,200
Speaker 1: here's my question. How many penns eight snaps does Drew

477
00:25:02,240 --> 00:25:05,800
Speaker 1: Aller not take? Now, I'm not talking about injury, okay,

478
00:25:05,800 --> 00:25:10,600
Speaker 1: no one's predicting injury. Drew Aller's healthy Saturday. I'm asking

479
00:25:10,640 --> 00:25:13,720
Speaker 1: you how many snaps offensively for Penn State go to

480
00:25:13,760 --> 00:25:16,320
Speaker 1: someone other than Drew Holler. And I'm gonna set the

481
00:25:16,359 --> 00:25:19,480
Speaker 1: over under it five and a half. Where do you go,

482
00:25:20,240 --> 00:25:23,080
Speaker 1: Penn State, folks, especially, where do you go? I think

483
00:25:23,119 --> 00:25:25,560
Speaker 1: I'm over. We moved it from four and a half

484
00:25:25,600 --> 00:25:27,160
Speaker 1: to five and a half, so there was some internal

485
00:25:27,200 --> 00:25:30,200
Speaker 1: movement in the office. Today, I'm gonna take the over.

486
00:25:30,880 --> 00:25:35,960
Speaker 1: I think they get as not desperate, but competitively creative

487
00:25:36,119 --> 00:25:39,359
Speaker 1: as a Penn State offensive game plan has been in

488
00:25:39,440 --> 00:25:40,960
Speaker 1: quite a while. I think they know they have to

489
00:25:40,960 --> 00:25:44,160
Speaker 1: do it. That's how I think the game of playout.

490
00:25:44,200 --> 00:25:45,879
Speaker 1: Having said that, let's take a look at what the

491
00:25:45,920 --> 00:25:48,399
Speaker 1: model thinks. FanDuel right now has Penn State is a

492
00:25:48,440 --> 00:25:52,840
Speaker 1: three and a half point favorite. The model disagrees completely.

493
00:25:53,000 --> 00:25:55,160
Speaker 1: It has it at a pick em, so the model

494
00:25:55,320 --> 00:25:58,640
Speaker 1: strong lean towards Oregon. I'm going to make a principled

495
00:25:58,760 --> 00:26:02,200
Speaker 1: call here. I'm gonna go against the model and seventy

496
00:26:02,200 --> 00:26:04,479
Speaker 1: five percent of our audience, apparently in the poll I

497
00:26:04,480 --> 00:26:07,000
Speaker 1: have posted earlier today. Penn State's just got to win

498
00:26:07,040 --> 00:26:10,440
Speaker 1: this game. They've just got to win the game. You

499
00:26:10,560 --> 00:26:13,639
Speaker 1: could not right this thing with any more edge tilted

500
00:26:13,640 --> 00:26:18,080
Speaker 1: towards Penn State than there is, so, of course, Oregon

501
00:26:18,200 --> 00:26:20,320
Speaker 1: phenomenal team by the end of the year. If they

502
00:26:20,320 --> 00:26:23,720
Speaker 1: face off again, I'd probably pick Oregon in this spot.

503
00:26:24,080 --> 00:26:26,960
Speaker 1: I'm just telling you, I think it's a desperation spot

504
00:26:27,000 --> 00:26:29,359
Speaker 1: for Penn State. They have geared up for this thing

505
00:26:29,680 --> 00:26:32,439
Speaker 1: all spring, all summer. They know what's at stake. They know.

506
00:26:32,720 --> 00:26:35,080
Speaker 1: I mean, if they lose this thing, the odds of

507
00:26:35,160 --> 00:26:38,680
Speaker 1: going into Columbus and winning in another month or two

508
00:26:39,080 --> 00:26:42,640
Speaker 1: not great. It's gonna be tough anyway. They've just got

509
00:26:42,680 --> 00:26:45,840
Speaker 1: to get it. This is one of these things, one

510
00:26:45,880 --> 00:26:48,520
Speaker 1: of these big games eventually has to go their way.

511
00:26:48,560 --> 00:26:53,440
Speaker 1: And I just think, if you're listening on podcasts, I'm

512
00:26:53,440 --> 00:26:55,800
Speaker 1: doing that thing where you put the index finger in

513
00:26:55,840 --> 00:26:58,119
Speaker 1: the thumb on the insides of the eyes. But I

514
00:26:58,119 --> 00:27:00,840
Speaker 1: don't even have a headache. I'm just preparing. I'm gonna

515
00:27:00,840 --> 00:27:02,320
Speaker 1: take Penn State in a big game. I'm gonna take

516
00:27:02,359 --> 00:27:05,359
Speaker 1: James Franklin in a big game. There's the poll immunity.

517
00:27:05,520 --> 00:27:09,479
Speaker 1: I posted this earlier today. We got like nearly fourteen

518
00:27:09,560 --> 00:27:13,080
Speaker 1: thousand votes on this, and I basically posed this question,

519
00:27:13,160 --> 00:27:15,520
Speaker 1: the entire fate of the world rides on you being right.

520
00:27:15,880 --> 00:27:22,960
Speaker 1: Who wins this game? Saturday? And seventy people, seventy four

521
00:27:23,040 --> 00:27:25,720
Speaker 1: percent of the country picked the three and a half

522
00:27:25,720 --> 00:27:30,440
Speaker 1: point underdog to win the game. Out right, So where

523
00:27:30,440 --> 00:27:33,679
Speaker 1: are we is a society? I'm gonna ask a lot

524
00:27:33,720 --> 00:27:37,200
Speaker 1: of Mike Gundhy questions here? Where are we as a society?

525
00:27:37,800 --> 00:27:40,160
Speaker 1: Seventy five percent of you say, I don't even need

526
00:27:40,160 --> 00:27:45,720
Speaker 1: the points. Just canna be Oregon outright? My goodness, speaking

527
00:27:45,760 --> 00:27:50,159
Speaker 1: of Mike Gundy. Hard transition there, Bradley, I know, I know,

528
00:27:50,240 --> 00:27:56,760
Speaker 1: it's tough. We lost an American icon today. He's okay,

529
00:27:56,960 --> 00:27:59,560
Speaker 1: He's perfectly healthy. It's just Mike Guandhy lost his job.

530
00:28:00,040 --> 00:28:03,159
Speaker 1: This is huge news. He was the second longest tenured

531
00:28:03,200 --> 00:28:07,399
Speaker 1: head coach in major college football. Kirk Ferrence at Iowa

532
00:28:07,760 --> 00:28:10,359
Speaker 1: is the only other one. Mike Gundhy had had the

533
00:28:10,400 --> 00:28:14,600
Speaker 1: Oklahoma State job for twenty one seasons. Quickly, those of

534
00:28:14,640 --> 00:28:17,000
Speaker 1: you who were listening out there, who was the head

535
00:28:17,040 --> 00:28:20,240
Speaker 1: coach at Oklahoma State before Mike Guandhy. Who did Mike

536
00:28:20,240 --> 00:28:24,119
Speaker 1: Gandhy replace at Oklahoma State? If numbers don't mean anything

537
00:28:24,119 --> 00:28:27,240
Speaker 1: to you, I'm about to make it hit home. Less

538
00:28:27,720 --> 00:28:33,800
Speaker 1: Miles was the coach that Mike Gandhy replaced. Miles has

539
00:28:34,280 --> 00:28:36,800
Speaker 1: long since been at LSU for a long time, been

540
00:28:36,880 --> 00:28:39,520
Speaker 1: gone from LSU for a long time, coached at Kansas

541
00:28:39,560 --> 00:28:41,760
Speaker 1: and has gone from there now, and Mike Gandy was

542
00:28:41,800 --> 00:28:44,400
Speaker 1: still just hanging out in still Water, Oh by the way.

543
00:28:44,680 --> 00:28:49,360
Speaker 1: From six to twenty twenty three, above five hundred every year.

544
00:28:49,960 --> 00:28:53,760
Speaker 1: Just an incredible run, and it ended poorly, as most

545
00:28:53,920 --> 00:28:56,840
Speaker 1: ten years do, very few of them end on your terms.

546
00:28:56,840 --> 00:29:00,440
Speaker 1: But there's a bunch of young adults around still who

547
00:29:00,440 --> 00:29:03,360
Speaker 1: have never known an Oklahoma State coaching search. I mean,

548
00:29:03,400 --> 00:29:06,960
Speaker 1: I got folks in their early to mid twenties who

549
00:29:07,000 --> 00:29:10,560
Speaker 1: either weren't alive or were and can't remember the last

550
00:29:10,600 --> 00:29:13,360
Speaker 1: time this job ever came open. So let's do a

551
00:29:13,480 --> 00:29:17,080
Speaker 1: quick check here. We already had Brent Pry fired at

552
00:29:17,240 --> 00:29:21,760
Speaker 1: Virginia Tech, we had Deshan Foster fired at UCLA. Now

553
00:29:21,760 --> 00:29:24,760
Speaker 1: we got Mike Gundy fired at Oklahoma State. I think

554
00:29:24,800 --> 00:29:28,840
Speaker 1: it's fair to ask the question, well, if they were

555
00:29:28,880 --> 00:29:32,960
Speaker 1: on such unstable footing that it's September twenty third and

556
00:29:33,000 --> 00:29:35,520
Speaker 1: you're already ready to fire him, why did they start

557
00:29:35,560 --> 00:29:38,280
Speaker 1: the season as your head coach? A lot of times

558
00:29:38,320 --> 00:29:43,560
Speaker 1: those are very very complex questions. However, sometimes people overthink

559
00:29:43,600 --> 00:29:46,320
Speaker 1: the room, and when you ask that question, you're asking

560
00:29:46,360 --> 00:29:48,800
Speaker 1: the right question. I always ask that anytime a guy

561
00:29:48,840 --> 00:29:52,239
Speaker 1: loses his job in September, just the principal side of

562
00:29:52,280 --> 00:29:56,120
Speaker 1: me thinks, Okay, if he had less than four weeks

563
00:29:56,160 --> 00:29:59,040
Speaker 1: of rope left, why did he ever start the season

564
00:29:59,120 --> 00:30:03,120
Speaker 1: to begin with. So here's kind of the long and

565
00:30:03,160 --> 00:30:06,360
Speaker 1: short of it, and maybe Mike Gundy will tell his

566
00:30:06,400 --> 00:30:08,640
Speaker 1: story eventually. I don't know. I think he was already

567
00:30:08,680 --> 00:30:11,960
Speaker 1: checked out this year. The word was that it was

568
00:30:12,000 --> 00:30:15,000
Speaker 1: a complete disaster behind the scenes at Oklahoma State, and

569
00:30:15,080 --> 00:30:18,479
Speaker 1: the word was they came to him and sort of

570
00:30:18,600 --> 00:30:21,240
Speaker 1: strong armed him into taking a pay cut this past year,

571
00:30:21,280 --> 00:30:24,680
Speaker 1: and the pay cut, the money saved from the pay

572
00:30:24,680 --> 00:30:26,680
Speaker 1: cut was going to go into the nil fund, and

573
00:30:26,720 --> 00:30:28,400
Speaker 1: then he took the pay cut, and then the money

574
00:30:28,440 --> 00:30:30,560
Speaker 1: didn't really go where he expected it to go. A

575
00:30:30,600 --> 00:30:32,640
Speaker 1: lot of staffers kind of got out of dodge when

576
00:30:32,680 --> 00:30:35,600
Speaker 1: they could, And I really think Mike Gundy was just

577
00:30:35,680 --> 00:30:39,280
Speaker 1: kind of on autopilot this year. He acted like it,

578
00:30:39,320 --> 00:30:42,400
Speaker 1: He carried himself like it from afar and I don't

579
00:30:42,400 --> 00:30:44,520
Speaker 1: blame him. I don't even blame him. Hate that there

580
00:30:44,560 --> 00:30:48,960
Speaker 1: are players there whose one experience in college football has

581
00:30:49,000 --> 00:30:51,920
Speaker 1: to be burned during this the ad today comes out

582
00:30:52,080 --> 00:30:54,320
Speaker 1: flat out says, I'm not worried about this year, the

583
00:30:54,360 --> 00:30:56,200
Speaker 1: next few weeks. I'm not worried about that. I'm worried

584
00:30:56,240 --> 00:30:59,000
Speaker 1: about the next several years. Cool. Screw you to all

585
00:30:59,000 --> 00:31:01,000
Speaker 1: the guys still here. Oh but by the way, we

586
00:31:01,040 --> 00:31:03,960
Speaker 1: expect you to suit up and play every Saturday. You know,

587
00:31:04,760 --> 00:31:08,080
Speaker 1: it's an opportunity here for Oklahoma State, obviously to go

588
00:31:08,120 --> 00:31:12,080
Speaker 1: make a new hire. He was not afforded the opportunity

589
00:31:12,080 --> 00:31:15,880
Speaker 1: to retire and finish the season. Reportedly, so there were

590
00:31:15,920 --> 00:31:18,239
Speaker 1: some mixed reports out there earlier today. They came to

591
00:31:18,320 --> 00:31:20,720
Speaker 1: him and said, do you want to announce your retirement,

592
00:31:20,840 --> 00:31:24,080
Speaker 1: We'll let you know finish the season. Apparently that wasn't

593
00:31:24,080 --> 00:31:26,760
Speaker 1: the case. These folks hated each other. I mean, Mike

594
00:31:26,800 --> 00:31:29,240
Speaker 1: Gundy wasn't getting along with anyone in the administration there.

595
00:31:29,240 --> 00:31:32,360
Speaker 1: That's well known in Oklahoma State circles. I just know

596
00:31:32,440 --> 00:31:35,200
Speaker 1: people who live in ann Arbor, Michigan aren't paying a

597
00:31:35,240 --> 00:31:39,760
Speaker 1: whole lot of attention to Oklahoma State. So Mike Gundhy's

598
00:31:39,800 --> 00:31:43,120
Speaker 1: next move, according to those close to him, is he

599
00:31:43,160 --> 00:31:47,160
Speaker 1: wants to get right back into coaching. Football coaches are

600
00:31:47,200 --> 00:31:49,680
Speaker 1: put on this earth to coach. I got no problem

601
00:31:49,760 --> 00:31:52,720
Speaker 1: coach till you're one hundred, for all I care. But selfishly,

602
00:31:53,680 --> 00:31:55,920
Speaker 1: I hope he takes a few years off from coaching,

603
00:31:56,520 --> 00:32:01,960
Speaker 1: because Mike Gundy, unfiltered, with a microphone in front of him,

604
00:32:02,400 --> 00:32:05,520
Speaker 1: would be about as entertaining as any pregame show could

605
00:32:05,560 --> 00:32:09,400
Speaker 1: hope to produce to you, any kind of studio show

606
00:32:09,600 --> 00:32:11,880
Speaker 1: could hope to offer you. I don't even know which

607
00:32:11,920 --> 00:32:13,960
Speaker 1: network it could be us, for all I care, I've

608
00:32:13,960 --> 00:32:16,360
Speaker 1: never co hosted the show with anyone. If Mike Gundhy

609
00:32:16,440 --> 00:32:17,920
Speaker 1: hit us up and said, I want to do a

610
00:32:17,920 --> 00:32:21,440
Speaker 1: few shows with you done, me and Mike Gundy, and

611
00:32:21,440 --> 00:32:23,960
Speaker 1: I'd probably shut up most of the time. It'd be

612
00:32:24,000 --> 00:32:27,120
Speaker 1: that amazing. Now you could say he was never really

613
00:32:27,160 --> 00:32:29,360
Speaker 1: all that unfair. He was never really all that filtered,

614
00:32:29,400 --> 00:32:32,640
Speaker 1: even as a coach. You're right, but even I know

615
00:32:32,880 --> 00:32:35,120
Speaker 1: even you and I know he held some stuff back.

616
00:32:35,480 --> 00:32:37,320
Speaker 1: I'd just love to hear his take on the game

617
00:32:38,080 --> 00:32:41,280
Speaker 1: with no consequences tied to it. I'd love to hear that.

618
00:32:41,360 --> 00:32:45,880
Speaker 1: I mean, Mike Gundy on television would be mussy. And

619
00:32:45,920 --> 00:32:48,760
Speaker 1: there are many people out there that are really must

620
00:32:48,840 --> 00:32:52,080
Speaker 1: see appointment viewing. For me, that would be one of them.

621
00:32:52,240 --> 00:32:55,040
Speaker 1: What kind of job is this? I don't really know

622
00:32:55,080 --> 00:32:57,240
Speaker 1: that I fully formed my opinion on this yet. I'm

623
00:32:57,280 --> 00:33:01,959
Speaker 1: looking at my phone right now and there are you know,

624
00:33:02,320 --> 00:33:05,160
Speaker 1: several people who have hit me up even as we've

625
00:33:05,160 --> 00:33:07,560
Speaker 1: been on air to talk about this very subject. I

626
00:33:08,280 --> 00:33:11,360
Speaker 1: think Zach Robinson, who is the OC right now for

627
00:33:11,360 --> 00:33:14,960
Speaker 1: the Atlanta Falcons, I certainly think from the donor class there,

628
00:33:15,120 --> 00:33:17,840
Speaker 1: he's the overwhelming favorite. If I had to guess, I

629
00:33:17,880 --> 00:33:19,720
Speaker 1: would say I think he'll get the job. I have

630
00:33:19,800 --> 00:33:22,520
Speaker 1: no idea, because again I got to talk to a

631
00:33:22,560 --> 00:33:24,360
Speaker 1: lot of people before I have any kind of opinion.

632
00:33:24,440 --> 00:33:28,000
Speaker 1: So mine's just a guess on that front. But if

633
00:33:28,040 --> 00:33:31,120
Speaker 1: you've got a coaching opening right now and you're looking

634
00:33:31,160 --> 00:33:33,959
Speaker 1: to go the up and coming coordinator route, boy, it's

635
00:33:33,960 --> 00:33:36,560
Speaker 1: a good time. It's a good time. Shannon Dawson's down

636
00:33:36,560 --> 00:33:40,160
Speaker 1: at Miami, phenomenal coach, Will Stein at Oregon, Ben Arbuckle

637
00:33:40,440 --> 00:33:42,560
Speaker 1: at Oklahoma just down the road. I mean, our Buckle

638
00:33:42,600 --> 00:33:44,880
Speaker 1: could live in the same house he's in right now.

639
00:33:45,400 --> 00:33:49,040
Speaker 1: Colin Klein. Can you imagine Oklahoma State going and grabbing

640
00:33:49,040 --> 00:33:52,440
Speaker 1: Colin Klein before Kansas State can have their job open

641
00:33:52,440 --> 00:33:55,720
Speaker 1: and go get Colin Klein. My goodness, But I just

642
00:33:55,840 --> 00:33:58,520
Speaker 1: wonder now, I'm always fascinated by this because it's a very,

643
00:33:58,600 --> 00:34:01,600
Speaker 1: very tumultuous time in college Athay, So I'm always fascinated

644
00:34:01,800 --> 00:34:04,200
Speaker 1: at the perception of a job, the profile of a

645
00:34:04,320 --> 00:34:07,600
Speaker 1: job Virginia Tech same way. What do you think about

646
00:34:07,600 --> 00:34:09,879
Speaker 1: the job? That's the first thing I'm asking coaches, That's

647
00:34:09,920 --> 00:34:12,320
Speaker 1: the first thing I'm asking agents. How do you see

648
00:34:12,360 --> 00:34:16,040
Speaker 1: that job? And that's what will dominate a lot of

649
00:34:16,040 --> 00:34:19,000
Speaker 1: my free time over the next few days. I have

650
00:34:19,120 --> 00:34:21,960
Speaker 1: huge news here, though you think Mike Gundi being fired

651
00:34:21,960 --> 00:34:27,080
Speaker 1: today was big news. We got a new partner. We

652
00:34:27,160 --> 00:34:33,240
Speaker 1: got a new partner. When we took control of our show.

653
00:34:34,239 --> 00:34:38,640
Speaker 1: One of my main motivations was I wanted to make

654
00:34:38,680 --> 00:34:42,680
Speaker 1: sure that we had full control to say no anytime

655
00:34:42,880 --> 00:34:46,279
Speaker 1: that some executive came to us with some company that

656
00:34:46,400 --> 00:34:50,200
Speaker 1: was going to buy advertising on our show, because I

657
00:34:50,239 --> 00:34:53,640
Speaker 1: only want to present brands on our show that we

658
00:34:53,680 --> 00:34:56,279
Speaker 1: actually believe in and have relationships with, and you can't

659
00:34:56,280 --> 00:34:58,520
Speaker 1: do that if you're working for someone else. So we

660
00:34:58,600 --> 00:35:00,560
Speaker 1: never really had issues with this, but I wanted to

661
00:35:00,560 --> 00:35:02,360
Speaker 1: get ahead of the curve on it. So when we

662
00:35:02,360 --> 00:35:05,520
Speaker 1: took ownership of the show, I promised you, guys, hey,

663
00:35:05,560 --> 00:35:07,560
Speaker 1: when we have a partner on the show, you're gonna

664
00:35:07,560 --> 00:35:10,160
Speaker 1: have tangible benefit from it. At number one and number two,

665
00:35:10,880 --> 00:35:14,240
Speaker 1: you can rest assured that we're partnering with them because

666
00:35:14,280 --> 00:35:16,319
Speaker 1: we love them, because we got a relationship with them,

667
00:35:16,520 --> 00:35:19,719
Speaker 1: and we say no to millions of dollars per year

668
00:35:20,000 --> 00:35:22,480
Speaker 1: because we can say no to it because we have

669
00:35:22,600 --> 00:35:25,239
Speaker 1: full right of refusal on that. Let me tell you

670
00:35:25,320 --> 00:35:28,960
Speaker 1: who we said yes to. So I've been working back

671
00:35:29,040 --> 00:35:31,719
Speaker 1: and forth with a company called flex Power, talking to

672
00:35:31,760 --> 00:35:35,160
Speaker 1: them back and forth. We are launching a partnership with

673
00:35:35,239 --> 00:35:38,360
Speaker 1: them tonight. I'm ecstatic about it because they are longtime

674
00:35:38,440 --> 00:35:40,879
Speaker 1: viewers of the show, so they are friends of Peate State.

675
00:35:41,320 --> 00:35:44,240
Speaker 1: So they are like you, except they may just happen

676
00:35:44,280 --> 00:35:47,040
Speaker 1: to run a company, which is just a small difference.

677
00:35:47,080 --> 00:35:50,640
Speaker 1: It's not that big a difference. Here is why I

678
00:35:50,680 --> 00:35:52,919
Speaker 1: wanted to partner with them, because when I walk through

679
00:35:52,920 --> 00:35:57,160
Speaker 1: a sea of tailgating every single weekend, I see generators

680
00:35:57,200 --> 00:36:00,799
Speaker 1: all over the place. And then growing up up, I

681
00:36:00,840 --> 00:36:04,160
Speaker 1: would watch my dad need to do stuff and fix stuff.

682
00:36:04,239 --> 00:36:06,800
Speaker 1: It could be do it around the house type stuff.

683
00:36:06,920 --> 00:36:09,279
Speaker 1: It could be powering a pitching machine when we went

684
00:36:09,280 --> 00:36:12,160
Speaker 1: out to hit baseballs. But bring the generator out there

685
00:36:12,160 --> 00:36:15,759
Speaker 1: with you, homeowners, especially when storms move through. Been a

686
00:36:15,840 --> 00:36:19,160
Speaker 1: very inactive hurricane season so far, if anyone's paying attention

687
00:36:19,200 --> 00:36:22,000
Speaker 1: to the Atlantic basin, but that could change just like that.

688
00:36:22,040 --> 00:36:24,759
Speaker 1: We're in mid September, the speak of hurricane season right now.

689
00:36:26,160 --> 00:36:29,600
Speaker 1: You need backup generators. You need the Flex three thirty

690
00:36:29,640 --> 00:36:31,399
Speaker 1: I is the product, by the way, that I would

691
00:36:31,400 --> 00:36:34,680
Speaker 1: recommend you going to myflexpower dot com and checking out.

692
00:36:35,719 --> 00:36:38,880
Speaker 1: They're good friends of the program. I'm very happy to

693
00:36:38,920 --> 00:36:40,759
Speaker 1: be with them. I think in time you'll learn about

694
00:36:40,800 --> 00:36:43,439
Speaker 1: the products they have. But I would just encourage you again,

695
00:36:43,480 --> 00:36:46,439
Speaker 1: this is something most of you need anyway. It's one

696
00:36:46,480 --> 00:36:49,279
Speaker 1: of the number one things on any to do list

697
00:36:49,360 --> 00:36:51,160
Speaker 1: out there is, man, we need to get a generator.

698
00:36:51,280 --> 00:36:53,360
Speaker 1: We've got to make sure we get a generator good,

699
00:36:53,760 --> 00:36:56,279
Speaker 1: get the best, and get it from friends of ours

700
00:36:56,320 --> 00:37:00,400
Speaker 1: over at myflexpower dot Com. Always happy to enter a

701
00:37:00,400 --> 00:37:02,680
Speaker 1: new partner because we don't do it very often, but

702
00:37:02,760 --> 00:37:05,759
Speaker 1: when we do, we're introducing friends of the program. So

703
00:37:05,880 --> 00:37:12,799
Speaker 1: there you go. LSU. Sorry, sorry, Bradley Jump the gun

704
00:37:12,840 --> 00:37:16,080
Speaker 1: a little bit. LSU at ol Miss Saturday, three point

705
00:37:16,080 --> 00:37:20,480
Speaker 1: thirty Eastern, two thirty Grove Time, kickoff. ABC is the network.

706
00:37:20,560 --> 00:37:23,600
Speaker 1: This was a four point five Chali game last year.

707
00:37:24,080 --> 00:37:27,520
Speaker 1: There was a field storming last year. And remember this

708
00:37:27,600 --> 00:37:31,080
Speaker 1: is a game LSU won in overtime and they never

709
00:37:31,239 --> 00:37:34,640
Speaker 1: led for a second. Yeah, how rare that is to

710
00:37:34,760 --> 00:37:37,440
Speaker 1: win a game and you never led for a second.

711
00:37:37,480 --> 00:37:39,239
Speaker 1: They hit I think walk off field goal or walk

712
00:37:39,239 --> 00:37:43,600
Speaker 1: off touchdown. Whatever. It was so big question around this thing.

713
00:37:43,640 --> 00:37:45,960
Speaker 1: Oh who's gonna start at quarterback for old mess? I

714
00:37:46,000 --> 00:37:48,560
Speaker 1: don't care. Either one of them will be good. That's

715
00:37:48,600 --> 00:37:51,480
Speaker 1: my professional analysis there. I don't care. I know they

716
00:37:51,520 --> 00:37:53,640
Speaker 1: got five different wide receivers with one hundred and thirty

717
00:37:53,680 --> 00:37:57,359
Speaker 1: plus yards receiving so far. So no matter whopst has

718
00:37:57,400 --> 00:37:59,839
Speaker 1: been playing, they've been spreading the ball around. Remember we

719
00:37:59,840 --> 00:38:02,239
Speaker 1: were using the word controversy on this show. When you

720
00:38:02,320 --> 00:38:06,000
Speaker 1: got two good quarterbacks. It's not controversial, that's competition, that's depth,

721
00:38:06,040 --> 00:38:10,480
Speaker 1: it's not it's not controversy at all. But I regret

722
00:38:10,520 --> 00:38:13,960
Speaker 1: to inform you the thing is happening again for LSU

723
00:38:14,520 --> 00:38:17,120
Speaker 1: and the stat profiles starting to reflect it. Thirty first

724
00:38:17,400 --> 00:38:20,400
Speaker 1: in passing yards per game one hundred and twelfth in

725
00:38:20,520 --> 00:38:24,319
Speaker 1: rushing yards per game. So once again we're gonna do this, huh. Now,

726
00:38:24,560 --> 00:38:27,279
Speaker 1: the difference is they got a really good defense they

727
00:38:27,280 --> 00:38:30,880
Speaker 1: can lean on, so it hasn't cost them a game yet.

728
00:38:31,480 --> 00:38:33,760
Speaker 1: Garrett Nusmyer has been far less than one hundred percent,

729
00:38:33,840 --> 00:38:37,319
Speaker 1: and yet they're still throwing the ball much better than

730
00:38:37,320 --> 00:38:40,400
Speaker 1: their running the ball. I don't get it. It shouldn't

731
00:38:40,400 --> 00:38:43,000
Speaker 1: be an issue there, but it is. And the big

732
00:38:43,000 --> 00:38:46,120
Speaker 1: issue this weekend is that is absolutely how you attack

733
00:38:46,200 --> 00:38:48,439
Speaker 1: Old Miss. Ole Miss has the one hundred and twenty

734
00:38:48,480 --> 00:38:51,680
Speaker 1: second run defense in the country, and it may not

735
00:38:51,719 --> 00:38:53,879
Speaker 1: even matter because LSU hadn't been able to run the ball.

736
00:38:54,000 --> 00:38:57,000
Speaker 1: So LSU needs to run the ball here. Please, if

737
00:38:57,080 --> 00:38:59,760
Speaker 1: ever it shows up, make it show up this week.

738
00:38:59,800 --> 00:39:02,080
Speaker 1: It's a huge prove it spot for that offensive line

739
00:39:02,160 --> 00:39:04,160
Speaker 1: because one thing I do know about Ole Miss is

740
00:39:04,160 --> 00:39:06,200
Speaker 1: they can get after you, especially on the edge, and

741
00:39:06,280 --> 00:39:09,040
Speaker 1: doubly especially if you're vulnerable at tackle. They can get

742
00:39:09,080 --> 00:39:12,160
Speaker 1: after you, and triply especially if you're in a bunch

743
00:39:12,200 --> 00:39:15,400
Speaker 1: of obvious passing downs on third down. So I go

744
00:39:15,440 --> 00:39:17,560
Speaker 1: back to the same question we asked about LSU in

745
00:39:17,640 --> 00:39:20,239
Speaker 1: the preseason. We'll just ask it about this game. What

746
00:39:20,280 --> 00:39:23,600
Speaker 1: are you asking Garrett Nusmeyer to do? Last year, I

747
00:39:23,680 --> 00:39:26,040
Speaker 1: thought they asked him to do an unfair amount of things.

748
00:39:27,320 --> 00:39:29,920
Speaker 1: Hopefully he's not asked to shoulder an unfair amount of

749
00:39:29,920 --> 00:39:32,160
Speaker 1: the load against Saturday. Now, what is Lane kiff and

750
00:39:32,160 --> 00:39:36,560
Speaker 1: see against this LSU secondary? They've they had fifteen designed

751
00:39:36,600 --> 00:39:40,640
Speaker 1: QB runs last week with Trinidad Chambliss play him, so

752
00:39:41,719 --> 00:39:43,600
Speaker 1: I expect that to be baked into the game plan

753
00:39:43,680 --> 00:39:46,840
Speaker 1: again here LSU forty third pass D tenth rushing D.

754
00:39:48,600 --> 00:39:51,680
Speaker 1: You would think in the preseason, looking at the fact

755
00:39:51,680 --> 00:39:54,279
Speaker 1: that they had to face kid Club Nick Clemson week one,

756
00:39:54,560 --> 00:39:57,000
Speaker 1: they got to face DJ Lagway a few weeks later,

757
00:39:57,120 --> 00:39:59,000
Speaker 1: you would think by the time they play at Ole

758
00:39:59,080 --> 00:40:04,320
Speaker 1: Miss they face two really good passing attacks. Nope. Now,

759
00:40:04,960 --> 00:40:09,000
Speaker 1: could be that LSU is the common denominator there. LSU

760
00:40:09,120 --> 00:40:12,040
Speaker 1: just makes you look foolish. That may be the case.

761
00:40:12,120 --> 00:40:14,120
Speaker 1: If that's the case, then we need it again here.

762
00:40:14,560 --> 00:40:18,160
Speaker 1: I need full American hero Blake Baker mode from the defense.

763
00:40:19,600 --> 00:40:22,160
Speaker 1: I think LSU needs to play with the lead. That's

764
00:40:22,160 --> 00:40:27,440
Speaker 1: what I think. They have had twelve first quarter possessions

765
00:40:27,520 --> 00:40:33,719
Speaker 1: so far this year three touchdowns, two turnovers, six punts,

766
00:40:34,120 --> 00:40:37,440
Speaker 1: one missed field goal. And the problem here is ole

767
00:40:37,560 --> 00:40:40,080
Speaker 1: Miss can jump you. And if they do and you

768
00:40:40,120 --> 00:40:42,480
Speaker 1: look up and it's fourteen to three, then what do

769
00:40:42,520 --> 00:40:44,239
Speaker 1: you do. Well, you panic a little bit in your

770
00:40:44,239 --> 00:40:46,959
Speaker 1: play calling and you just got to throw the ball

771
00:40:47,000 --> 00:40:49,680
Speaker 1: fifty four times. And that is not where we want

772
00:40:49,719 --> 00:40:52,000
Speaker 1: to be. I don't even care if Msmier is fully healthy.

773
00:40:52,080 --> 00:40:53,839
Speaker 1: That is not where we want to be here. That's

774
00:40:53,840 --> 00:40:55,560
Speaker 1: not putting me in a good enough position or a

775
00:40:55,600 --> 00:40:58,239
Speaker 1: fair position. So there are a couple of games this

776
00:40:58,280 --> 00:41:01,040
Speaker 1: weekend where I actually think Road Team rabbing an early lead,

777
00:41:01,400 --> 00:41:03,640
Speaker 1: don't have to lead it, but be within one possession.

778
00:41:04,120 --> 00:41:06,799
Speaker 1: Don't ever been catch up mode. I think it's imperative.

779
00:41:07,000 --> 00:41:08,759
Speaker 1: Let's take a look at what the model thinks. So

780
00:41:08,880 --> 00:41:11,600
Speaker 1: right now you need to know LSU opened as a

781
00:41:11,640 --> 00:41:15,360
Speaker 1: favorite in this game. It has crossed zero ole Miss

782
00:41:15,400 --> 00:41:18,600
Speaker 1: as of this evening, and it is Thursday evening. If

783
00:41:18,640 --> 00:41:21,480
Speaker 1: you're watching the replay, ole Miss is now a one

784
00:41:21,480 --> 00:41:23,920
Speaker 1: and a half point favorite. And let me tell you,

785
00:41:23,960 --> 00:41:27,440
Speaker 1: the model says not enough that that line needs to

786
00:41:27,520 --> 00:41:29,520
Speaker 1: keep on moving to catch up with where the model is.

787
00:41:29,520 --> 00:41:32,400
Speaker 1: The model is all the way up to Ole Miss

788
00:41:32,400 --> 00:41:36,000
Speaker 1: minus four. Model thinks that the wrong team was favored.

789
00:41:36,480 --> 00:41:38,440
Speaker 1: The model now thinks the right team is favored, but

790
00:41:38,480 --> 00:41:42,200
Speaker 1: it's still not enough. Model thinks old Miss wins and covers,

791
00:41:42,200 --> 00:41:44,160
Speaker 1: and I do too, So gimme old Miss to win,

792
00:41:44,560 --> 00:41:46,719
Speaker 1: gimme old Miss to cover. I think there's still some

793
00:41:46,800 --> 00:41:50,200
Speaker 1: issues with this LSU team. They've been masked a little

794
00:41:50,200 --> 00:41:53,120
Speaker 1: bit because they have won games, which is very good.

795
00:41:53,400 --> 00:41:56,080
Speaker 1: And I also fully believe in the theory that it's

796
00:41:56,080 --> 00:41:58,239
Speaker 1: possible for a team to have issues early in the

797
00:41:58,320 --> 00:42:01,040
Speaker 1: year and get them worked out the season goes on.

798
00:42:01,400 --> 00:42:04,160
Speaker 1: Sometimes that happens, like with Florida last year, but it

799
00:42:04,200 --> 00:42:06,279
Speaker 1: was too late because they had already lost a bunch

800
00:42:06,280 --> 00:42:08,359
Speaker 1: of games by the time they figured it out. Well,

801
00:42:08,400 --> 00:42:10,560
Speaker 1: if you can play defense like LSU has so far,

802
00:42:11,200 --> 00:42:13,600
Speaker 1: maybe you don't have to lose. Maybe you keep winning

803
00:42:13,719 --> 00:42:17,319
Speaker 1: ugly and then you just end up winning. Maybe they're

804
00:42:17,320 --> 00:42:21,480
Speaker 1: watching us in Lawrenceville, Georgia at Shanghai, China. They said

805
00:42:21,480 --> 00:42:24,120
Speaker 1: they're using a VPN over there. I won't tell if

806
00:42:24,120 --> 00:42:28,200
Speaker 1: you won't. They're checking us out in Bloomington, Indiana also

807
00:42:28,800 --> 00:42:32,759
Speaker 1: tuned in, especially our friends in Bloomington will want to

808
00:42:32,920 --> 00:42:35,640
Speaker 1: stay tuned in for the JP pole release later because

809
00:42:35,680 --> 00:42:37,719
Speaker 1: I have it on good authority that a local team

810
00:42:37,760 --> 00:42:41,080
Speaker 1: there in Bloomington can't get more specific than that. Is

811
00:42:41,120 --> 00:42:43,600
Speaker 1: a big riser in the JP Pole. In the meantime,

812
00:42:45,400 --> 00:42:48,160
Speaker 1: Auburn at Texas A and M is a huge game Saturday,

813
00:42:48,200 --> 00:42:52,360
Speaker 1: three point thirty Eastern kickoff on ESPN. Really bad schedule

814
00:42:52,440 --> 00:42:54,880
Speaker 1: dynamics for Auburn. This is why that Oklahoma game was

815
00:42:54,920 --> 00:42:57,600
Speaker 1: so important. They go in there, they lose to Oklahoma,

816
00:42:57,719 --> 00:43:01,000
Speaker 1: and you knew even in the spring, Boy, if that

817
00:43:01,040 --> 00:43:03,239
Speaker 1: game goes sideways for them, If they lose that game,

818
00:43:03,480 --> 00:43:05,240
Speaker 1: they got to go right back on the road again

819
00:43:05,400 --> 00:43:07,920
Speaker 1: against a rested A and M team. So it's your

820
00:43:07,920 --> 00:43:10,160
Speaker 1: fifth game in a row, it's the second leg of

821
00:43:10,239 --> 00:43:13,120
Speaker 1: back to back road games, and you're facing a rested

822
00:43:13,120 --> 00:43:16,560
Speaker 1: team at home and they may be better than you anyway.

823
00:43:17,760 --> 00:43:19,640
Speaker 1: So that's all you got to do, Hugh Freeze and Auburn.

824
00:43:19,640 --> 00:43:21,080
Speaker 1: All you gotta is go in there and win in

825
00:43:21,120 --> 00:43:23,640
Speaker 1: those circumstances. Now, I've got good news for A and M.

826
00:43:24,000 --> 00:43:25,960
Speaker 1: Not that I've got more good news for A and M.

827
00:43:27,080 --> 00:43:31,480
Speaker 1: They're living off explosive passes I happen to have more

828
00:43:31,520 --> 00:43:34,960
Speaker 1: good news. Auburn is one hundred and eighth. Then explosive

829
00:43:35,000 --> 00:43:39,279
Speaker 1: passes allowed so far this year sounds pretty fundamental. Do

830
00:43:39,320 --> 00:43:41,200
Speaker 1: we want to go ahead and predict the game? Not

831
00:43:41,320 --> 00:43:45,319
Speaker 1: quite so fast. We have not seen at Auburn, at

832
00:43:45,400 --> 00:43:49,520
Speaker 1: least a pair like Casey Concepcion and Mario Craver. They

833
00:43:49,560 --> 00:43:52,799
Speaker 1: haven't seen talent like that. And look, Oklahoma's got good

834
00:43:52,840 --> 00:43:57,040
Speaker 1: players at wide receiver. These two are playing, especially Craver's

835
00:43:57,040 --> 00:43:59,040
Speaker 1: playing about as well as anyone in the country is

836
00:43:59,080 --> 00:44:01,600
Speaker 1: playing right now. It could feel a lot like the

837
00:44:01,600 --> 00:44:04,359
Speaker 1: Notre Dame game. Though. You go into that one and

838
00:44:04,400 --> 00:44:06,799
Speaker 1: you look at it from months away and you think, boy,

839
00:44:07,080 --> 00:44:08,480
Speaker 1: if A and M's gonna go up there and win

840
00:44:09,840 --> 00:44:12,680
Speaker 1: ground and pound, man, they got to go. Do Notre

841
00:44:12,760 --> 00:44:15,200
Speaker 1: Dame better than Notre Dame does Notre Dame. Well, that

842
00:44:15,400 --> 00:44:18,279
Speaker 1: wasn't what happened. They ran it for less than one

843
00:44:18,360 --> 00:44:20,879
Speaker 1: hundred and fifty, but they threw the ball all over

844
00:44:20,880 --> 00:44:23,680
Speaker 1: the place. And this is an Auburn run defense that

845
00:44:23,800 --> 00:44:27,520
Speaker 1: is number one in yards per attempt allowed. They're allowing

846
00:44:27,640 --> 00:44:31,480
Speaker 1: less than two yards per carry. So either Texas A

847
00:44:31,520 --> 00:44:34,520
Speaker 1: and M inverts that stack category or they got to

848
00:44:34,520 --> 00:44:37,400
Speaker 1: throw the ball again, and they can because Auburn is

849
00:44:37,840 --> 00:44:40,200
Speaker 1: very susceptible to it. On the back end. What that

850
00:44:40,360 --> 00:44:43,680
Speaker 1: does though, if you watch that Notre Dame game, you

851
00:44:43,760 --> 00:44:46,560
Speaker 1: saw Marcel Reid win the game for him, but you

852
00:44:46,600 --> 00:44:50,400
Speaker 1: also saw some very very interceptible balls that just weren't

853
00:44:50,400 --> 00:44:53,759
Speaker 1: picked off. He's fifty eight point six percent completion right now.

854
00:44:54,120 --> 00:44:56,319
Speaker 1: So if you make A and M throw the ball,

855
00:44:56,480 --> 00:45:00,200
Speaker 1: they can embarrass you doing it. They can also the

856
00:45:00,200 --> 00:45:04,279
Speaker 1: ball to you. So just it's part of the risk reward.

857
00:45:04,440 --> 00:45:05,960
Speaker 1: If we're gonna play that kind of ball at A

858
00:45:06,000 --> 00:45:09,120
Speaker 1: and M, it's part of the risk reward. Another spot here,

859
00:45:09,160 --> 00:45:12,440
Speaker 1: I think where the road team needs a really really

860
00:45:12,520 --> 00:45:17,080
Speaker 1: fast start, grab a lead, or at least respond and

861
00:45:17,160 --> 00:45:19,920
Speaker 1: be within one possession or in the lead, because I

862
00:45:19,960 --> 00:45:23,399
Speaker 1: cannot be asking Jackson Arnold to be on the road

863
00:45:23,440 --> 00:45:26,600
Speaker 1: playing catch up. It's the same as I said, but

864
00:45:26,680 --> 00:45:29,399
Speaker 1: nus Meyer, but I trust Arnold a lot less than us,

865
00:45:29,719 --> 00:45:32,359
Speaker 1: of course, but it's the same thing here. If they're

866
00:45:32,400 --> 00:45:34,200
Speaker 1: having to ask him to throw the ball in an

867
00:45:34,239 --> 00:45:37,080
Speaker 1: ordinate amount of times, it's not gonna happen. It's not

868
00:45:37,120 --> 00:45:41,000
Speaker 1: gonna work for them. A and m's pass rush Kyle

869
00:45:41,160 --> 00:45:45,319
Speaker 1: Field and by the way, a quarterback that I don't

870
00:45:45,320 --> 00:45:46,960
Speaker 1: think they trust to throw the ball all over the

871
00:45:46,960 --> 00:45:48,959
Speaker 1: middle of the field. I know they tried some last

872
00:45:49,000 --> 00:45:52,719
Speaker 1: week to some success. That's not where you're gonna live

873
00:45:52,880 --> 00:45:55,879
Speaker 1: in this game if you're Auburn. Jeremiah Cobbs a really

874
00:45:55,920 --> 00:45:59,520
Speaker 1: good tailback for them. Jackson Arnold versus the second I

875
00:45:59,560 --> 00:46:02,279
Speaker 1: think they're seventy second run d in the country right now.

876
00:46:02,360 --> 00:46:06,560
Speaker 1: A and M. So test that run on it. This

877
00:46:06,120 --> 00:46:08,279
Speaker 1: could be the kind of game if you're wondering how

878
00:46:08,320 --> 00:46:12,160
Speaker 1: Auburn could win this thing. Number One, they got really

879
00:46:12,200 --> 00:46:14,799
Speaker 1: good football players and they're desperate, So that's the first

880
00:46:14,800 --> 00:46:16,560
Speaker 1: way they could win it. The second way they could

881
00:46:16,560 --> 00:46:19,719
Speaker 1: win it is where you get a kind of game

882
00:46:19,840 --> 00:46:22,640
Speaker 1: thus settles. You look at the box score. They had

883
00:46:22,760 --> 00:46:27,080
Speaker 1: nineteen passes and fifty two runs. Because they started converting

884
00:46:27,160 --> 00:46:29,160
Speaker 1: first and ten, second, five, third, and two. Move the

885
00:46:29,239 --> 00:46:32,360
Speaker 1: chains just continue to put together these long, time consuming

886
00:46:32,440 --> 00:46:36,520
Speaker 1: drives and Marcel Reid maybe a little erratic passing, and

887
00:46:36,560 --> 00:46:38,680
Speaker 1: there's some three and outs on the other side. Auburn

888
00:46:38,680 --> 00:46:41,480
Speaker 1: starts to tilt time of possession, which is a Parker

889
00:46:41,520 --> 00:46:44,319
Speaker 1: Fleming special really advanced stat category. I know he loves

890
00:46:44,360 --> 00:46:48,080
Speaker 1: at stats of war. But more importantly, you start to

891
00:46:48,120 --> 00:46:52,239
Speaker 1: control game tempo, you start to control possessions, You start

892
00:46:52,239 --> 00:46:55,600
Speaker 1: to control how often Casey Concepts and Marrio Kraver are

893
00:46:55,640 --> 00:46:59,400
Speaker 1: on the field, and you're playing your game. You're running

894
00:46:59,440 --> 00:47:03,279
Speaker 1: the ball. Quarterback runs probably an instrumental part there, but

895
00:47:03,360 --> 00:47:06,959
Speaker 1: it's just a much lower risk approach. If Auburn wins

896
00:47:07,000 --> 00:47:09,040
Speaker 1: this game, I guarantee you it could be two to

897
00:47:09,080 --> 00:47:13,319
Speaker 1: one run to pass ratio. My concern is too much

898
00:47:13,360 --> 00:47:15,839
Speaker 1: will have to be asked of Jackson Arnold, because as

899
00:47:15,880 --> 00:47:19,719
Speaker 1: much as what I just said sounds good, pretty sure

900
00:47:19,760 --> 00:47:21,560
Speaker 1: they're aware of that strategy over at A and M

901
00:47:21,600 --> 00:47:24,120
Speaker 1: as well, and they're gonna be well prepared for this game.

902
00:47:24,760 --> 00:47:28,000
Speaker 1: Jackson Arnold last week got sacked ten times, and I

903
00:47:28,040 --> 00:47:30,480
Speaker 1: heard a lot of people just immediately start criticizing the

904
00:47:30,480 --> 00:47:35,560
Speaker 1: Auburn offensive line. And I'm not absolving them. I think

905
00:47:35,600 --> 00:47:37,880
Speaker 1: it was more to it than just oh, the Auburn

906
00:47:37,920 --> 00:47:42,840
Speaker 1: offensive line was a sieve. There were some times Jackson

907
00:47:42,800 --> 00:47:45,000
Speaker 1: Oarland just sat there and held the ball. And I'm

908
00:47:45,000 --> 00:47:48,400
Speaker 1: not sitting here pretending I'm some quarterback Officionado. But it

909
00:47:48,520 --> 00:47:52,279
Speaker 1: seemed like if read number one was covered up, it

910
00:47:52,440 --> 00:47:55,160
Speaker 1: was really tough getting through that progression to read two,

911
00:47:55,560 --> 00:47:58,560
Speaker 1: read three and again. This is not the place to

912
00:47:58,600 --> 00:48:01,719
Speaker 1: find yourself, Kyle. Is not the kind of place you

913
00:48:01,800 --> 00:48:04,359
Speaker 1: figure things out as a quarterback. Let's take a look

914
00:48:04,360 --> 00:48:06,720
Speaker 1: at what the model thinks. FanDuel right now has Texas

915
00:48:06,760 --> 00:48:09,880
Speaker 1: A and M minus six and a half. The model

916
00:48:09,960 --> 00:48:12,040
Speaker 1: is a little north of that. We've got A and

917
00:48:12,160 --> 00:48:15,200
Speaker 1: M minus seven and a half. It's the kind of

918
00:48:15,239 --> 00:48:17,799
Speaker 1: spot like Florida was in last or two weeks ago

919
00:48:18,000 --> 00:48:21,800
Speaker 1: at LSU, even last week when Florida was at Miami.

920
00:48:21,840 --> 00:48:24,400
Speaker 1: You know, you think to yourself, ultra talented, back against

921
00:48:24,400 --> 00:48:27,480
Speaker 1: the wall, wounded animal mode. This is just the kind

922
00:48:27,520 --> 00:48:31,680
Speaker 1: of game where that kind of team shows up. Somehow

923
00:48:31,719 --> 00:48:34,400
Speaker 1: they find a way, you know, the old bear crawl

924
00:48:34,440 --> 00:48:37,560
Speaker 1: over broken glass approach. But they're in it at the end.

925
00:48:38,320 --> 00:48:40,520
Speaker 1: And that's what my instinct tells me about this game.

926
00:48:40,560 --> 00:48:44,000
Speaker 1: The problem is the dynamics are such that you could

927
00:48:44,040 --> 00:48:45,920
Speaker 1: have a hard fought game and it ends up being

928
00:48:45,960 --> 00:48:49,120
Speaker 1: thirty to twenty because there's a late touchdown, just a backbreaker.

929
00:48:49,880 --> 00:48:51,399
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take a and M to win and cover.

930
00:48:52,120 --> 00:48:53,879
Speaker 1: The numbers minus six and a half. By the way,

931
00:48:54,040 --> 00:48:55,560
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take A and M to win and cover.

932
00:48:55,960 --> 00:48:58,400
Speaker 1: And if I'm right, that's a tough spot for Auburn.

933
00:48:58,760 --> 00:49:03,040
Speaker 1: You're already down two conference games over this little eight

934
00:49:03,120 --> 00:49:06,960
Speaker 1: day stretch here. Got to be tough. What's not tough

935
00:49:07,400 --> 00:49:10,520
Speaker 1: is figuring out where to get your clothing, to get

936
00:49:10,560 --> 00:49:16,080
Speaker 1: your sporting equipment, and I mean balls, bats, but also tents, canopies,

937
00:49:16,280 --> 00:49:18,400
Speaker 1: any kind of outdoor gear you need. You want to

938
00:49:18,440 --> 00:49:20,920
Speaker 1: go fishing, you can do it at Academy. Well they

939
00:49:20,920 --> 00:49:23,759
Speaker 1: don't have the actual pond there per se, but all

940
00:49:23,760 --> 00:49:26,680
Speaker 1: the equipment you would need is there at that point.

941
00:49:26,800 --> 00:49:30,279
Speaker 1: Nature provides the rest of it. Academy Sports Outdoors long

942
00:49:30,320 --> 00:49:32,799
Speaker 1: time partner of ours. The way we look at this

943
00:49:33,160 --> 00:49:36,799
Speaker 1: again with the partners that we choose, is we go

944
00:49:36,840 --> 00:49:39,640
Speaker 1: with folks who have stuff you're gonna buy anyway. I

945
00:49:39,719 --> 00:49:42,200
Speaker 1: know you guys are tailgating. I know you're sitting out

946
00:49:42,239 --> 00:49:44,520
Speaker 1: on the dock at home. If you're not tailgating, I

947
00:49:44,560 --> 00:49:46,520
Speaker 1: know you need chairs to sit in. Make sure they

948
00:49:46,520 --> 00:49:49,840
Speaker 1: say Academy on the back. It's great, it's like designer clothing,

949
00:49:49,880 --> 00:49:52,360
Speaker 1: but it's designer chairs instead, and they're much more affordable

950
00:49:52,800 --> 00:49:57,799
Speaker 1: the canopies, so you don't walk away from that tailgate.

951
00:49:58,200 --> 00:50:01,240
Speaker 1: The color of our logo here can't have that, guys,

952
00:50:01,800 --> 00:50:04,680
Speaker 1: sunburn sunpoison. It's a real thing. No one gets it

953
00:50:04,719 --> 00:50:08,520
Speaker 1: when they're under one of those Academy canopy tents. Plus,

954
00:50:08,520 --> 00:50:10,640
Speaker 1: it makes you more popular, more people want to hang

955
00:50:10,680 --> 00:50:13,480
Speaker 1: out with you. Now, if you're a social recluse, ignore

956
00:50:13,520 --> 00:50:15,239
Speaker 1: what I just said. But most of you have a

957
00:50:15,239 --> 00:50:19,799
Speaker 1: little butterfly about you. Academy helps there. Look, I would

958
00:50:19,800 --> 00:50:21,160
Speaker 1: even go as far as to say you can make

959
00:50:21,200 --> 00:50:23,319
Speaker 1: friends at Academy, but I know some of you don't

960
00:50:23,320 --> 00:50:25,640
Speaker 1: have one right there in your hometown. But you do

961
00:50:25,719 --> 00:50:28,520
Speaker 1: have the Internet because you're watching the show or listening,

962
00:50:28,719 --> 00:50:31,239
Speaker 1: and so you can go to Academy dot com and

963
00:50:31,320 --> 00:50:33,719
Speaker 1: find basically anything you need and then big League chew

964
00:50:33,719 --> 00:50:37,880
Speaker 1: in the checkout line. We continue. I mean to be

965
00:50:38,160 --> 00:50:41,600
Speaker 1: very clear. I want to remind you before anyone complains,

966
00:50:41,920 --> 00:50:44,239
Speaker 1: we're not even getting to all the games tonight. We'll

967
00:50:44,239 --> 00:50:46,560
Speaker 1: have several more games. We don't even hit until Thursday.

968
00:50:47,160 --> 00:50:50,000
Speaker 1: So if you're wondering where your game is, it's probably

969
00:50:50,080 --> 00:50:53,279
Speaker 1: on the Thursday. Show, which hasn't happened yet. Ohio State

970
00:50:53,320 --> 00:50:58,560
Speaker 1: at Washington is just great. Saturday, three thirty Eastern, twelve

971
00:50:58,600 --> 00:51:03,600
Speaker 1: thirty local kick. It's the Sea Game. Man. So Brad

972
00:51:04,040 --> 00:51:07,120
Speaker 1: and Gary and Jenny Dell in Lincoln, Nebraska last week,

973
00:51:07,120 --> 00:51:10,600
Speaker 1: all the way up to Seattle this week. Oh some travel.

974
00:51:11,040 --> 00:51:12,960
Speaker 1: I happen to know some of them live in South Florida,

975
00:51:13,000 --> 00:51:16,320
Speaker 1: so as some travel. Ohio State hitting the West coast,

976
00:51:17,560 --> 00:51:19,520
Speaker 1: a venue most of those fans have not been to.

977
00:51:19,680 --> 00:51:21,799
Speaker 1: They went out to Oregon last year. That was a

978
00:51:21,840 --> 00:51:24,520
Speaker 1: great scene. I am telling you, if you're on the fence,

979
00:51:24,880 --> 00:51:27,200
Speaker 1: buy the tickets. I'll give you a discount later in

980
00:51:27,239 --> 00:51:29,640
Speaker 1: the show. Actually buy the tickets, Go to the game,

981
00:51:29,960 --> 00:51:32,439
Speaker 1: Go see this. Get there as early as you can.

982
00:51:32,640 --> 00:51:35,600
Speaker 1: If you got upper deck tickets, by the way, get

983
00:51:35,640 --> 00:51:37,920
Speaker 1: in there the moment they open those gates. Get up

984
00:51:37,920 --> 00:51:39,440
Speaker 1: to your seat as quick as you can before the

985
00:51:39,480 --> 00:51:42,399
Speaker 1: place is filled up. And experience what I experienced two

986
00:51:42,520 --> 00:51:44,839
Speaker 1: years ago when I went to the Oregon game, and

987
00:51:44,880 --> 00:51:51,080
Speaker 1: that is watching the silence, the serenity over the water there.

988
00:51:51,640 --> 00:51:53,560
Speaker 1: Now the sun's already up by this point. I got

989
00:51:53,640 --> 00:51:56,400
Speaker 1: in there to watch the sunrise. It's just amazing places

990
00:51:56,480 --> 00:51:59,600
Speaker 1: like a screen saver. It's really amazing. Ohio State is

991
00:51:59,640 --> 00:52:03,680
Speaker 1: six and off a bye week under Ryan Day, but

992
00:52:06,160 --> 00:52:10,400
Speaker 1: Georgia notably has the longest home win streak in the country.

993
00:52:11,200 --> 00:52:14,280
Speaker 1: Who do you think is number two? It is Washington,

994
00:52:15,360 --> 00:52:18,600
Speaker 1: so not the easiest place to go play. Contrary to

995
00:52:18,640 --> 00:52:21,520
Speaker 1: the belief of people mainly who haven't been there, this

996
00:52:21,600 --> 00:52:23,520
Speaker 1: is a big test for each of these offensive lines.

997
00:52:23,560 --> 00:52:26,960
Speaker 1: You know, number one and number six in pressure rate

998
00:52:27,080 --> 00:52:30,759
Speaker 1: without blitzing. According to True Media, those are the two

999
00:52:30,800 --> 00:52:33,719
Speaker 1: defenses that we're talking about here. So they've gotten home.

1000
00:52:33,920 --> 00:52:36,000
Speaker 1: They hadn't had to bring extra pressure to do it.

1001
00:52:36,600 --> 00:52:39,879
Speaker 1: Washington the other thing I'm excited to see here. They

1002
00:52:39,920 --> 00:52:43,040
Speaker 1: are known to man up on these receivers about as

1003
00:52:43,120 --> 00:52:47,480
Speaker 1: much as any team in FBS. And I'm looking at

1004
00:52:47,520 --> 00:52:50,520
Speaker 1: that and thinking, surely that changes against Ohio State, right,

1005
00:52:50,640 --> 00:52:54,680
Speaker 1: I don't know, Maybe it doesn't. It's a bold strategy,

1006
00:52:54,920 --> 00:52:57,239
Speaker 1: bolder than anything you see in dodgeball. If you just

1007
00:52:57,280 --> 00:52:59,680
Speaker 1: look at Jeremiah Smith and Brandon Ennis and Carnel Tait

1008
00:52:59,719 --> 00:53:02,920
Speaker 1: and all these guys and say, you know, I like

1009
00:53:03,000 --> 00:53:07,560
Speaker 1: our corners one on one against you guys, Well that's

1010
00:53:07,560 --> 00:53:10,840
Speaker 1: what they make popcorn for demon. Williams is one of

1011
00:53:10,840 --> 00:53:13,480
Speaker 1: my favorite players. Most of you haven't watched him play

1012
00:53:13,480 --> 00:53:15,920
Speaker 1: a lot. He's a starting quarterback at Washington. This is

1013
00:53:15,960 --> 00:53:19,600
Speaker 1: sort of the game I've circled, not as his coming

1014
00:53:19,640 --> 00:53:22,600
Speaker 1: out party. It's really hard to do that against Ohio State.

1015
00:53:22,719 --> 00:53:25,600
Speaker 1: Could happen. Hard to do that against Ohio State. I

1016
00:53:25,760 --> 00:53:28,520
Speaker 1: just know this is the moment most of America will

1017
00:53:28,560 --> 00:53:32,400
Speaker 1: really be watching him for the first time. And I

1018
00:53:32,480 --> 00:53:35,520
Speaker 1: wonder is it mostly his arm or is it the

1019
00:53:35,560 --> 00:53:39,200
Speaker 1: full arsenal because he runs the ball fairly effectively, But

1020
00:53:40,080 --> 00:53:41,960
Speaker 1: I don't know. Ohio State just looks too good to

1021
00:53:42,040 --> 00:53:43,759
Speaker 1: run the ball on. He looks too good for a

1022
00:53:43,880 --> 00:53:46,359
Speaker 1: quarterback run to be an integral part of what you do,

1023
00:53:46,600 --> 00:53:50,000
Speaker 1: at least from a planned play call standpoint. So if

1024
00:53:50,200 --> 00:53:52,839
Speaker 1: we are to believe that Ohio State will limit what

1025
00:53:52,880 --> 00:53:56,160
Speaker 1: he does with his legs, it's tough. He is a

1026
00:53:56,360 --> 00:53:59,319
Speaker 1: surefire weapon with him. But if they can limit it,

1027
00:53:59,760 --> 00:54:02,440
Speaker 1: he is a seventy three percent passer. He is a

1028
00:54:02,520 --> 00:54:04,919
Speaker 1: six touchdowns, no interception guy. So far, they just haven't

1029
00:54:04,920 --> 00:54:08,600
Speaker 1: played anybody. Many teams haven't played anybody. But you know what,

1030
00:54:08,600 --> 00:54:11,160
Speaker 1: what if you're legit and you haven't played anyone. You're

1031
00:54:11,160 --> 00:54:13,840
Speaker 1: still legit. It's just people don't know it yet because

1032
00:54:13,880 --> 00:54:18,000
Speaker 1: you haven't played anyone. I lean towards that, but I'm

1033
00:54:18,000 --> 00:54:20,880
Speaker 1: a big believer. I'm a big believer in Demon Williams.

1034
00:54:20,960 --> 00:54:25,040
Speaker 1: Washington number one in FBS in third down conversions right now.

1035
00:54:25,560 --> 00:54:29,480
Speaker 1: So you want to padlock stat look at Demon Williams

1036
00:54:29,480 --> 00:54:31,840
Speaker 1: on the ground. That's one, and then I think the

1037
00:54:31,880 --> 00:54:36,279
Speaker 1: second more important is Washington offense third down conversion rate?

1038
00:54:36,840 --> 00:54:39,600
Speaker 1: What's it looking like, because I mean Ohio State turns

1039
00:54:39,640 --> 00:54:42,920
Speaker 1: a lot of people's stat profile on its ear. We'll

1040
00:54:42,920 --> 00:54:45,520
Speaker 1: see if they do that. I mean, remember, look, just

1041
00:54:45,600 --> 00:54:48,759
Speaker 1: a few weeks ago, there were so many questions about

1042
00:54:48,800 --> 00:54:51,959
Speaker 1: this Ohio State defense, and then they shut Texas down

1043
00:54:52,920 --> 00:54:55,879
Speaker 1: and everyone thought the questions were answered. But then people

1044
00:54:56,000 --> 00:55:00,480
Speaker 1: kept watching Texas saying gross. And you haven't watched Ohio

1045
00:55:00,520 --> 00:55:04,360
Speaker 1: State again since then because they haven't really played anybody.

1046
00:55:04,719 --> 00:55:07,520
Speaker 1: So who knows if there may not be some kind

1047
00:55:07,560 --> 00:55:10,120
Speaker 1: of weakness or some kind of flaw, some kind of

1048
00:55:10,120 --> 00:55:13,319
Speaker 1: crack exposed by a really good coaching staff up there

1049
00:55:13,320 --> 00:55:16,759
Speaker 1: at Washington and a really good quarterback at Washington. I

1050
00:55:16,800 --> 00:55:19,120
Speaker 1: think they need a turnover here. I think Washington probably

1051
00:55:19,120 --> 00:55:21,120
Speaker 1: needs to be plus in the turnover battle in a

1052
00:55:21,160 --> 00:55:23,959
Speaker 1: reason to believe, So that's something that probably happens early

1053
00:55:23,960 --> 00:55:25,560
Speaker 1: in the game. I don't care if it's special teams

1054
00:55:25,640 --> 00:55:29,520
Speaker 1: or a turnover Demal Williams finds a crease for seventy

1055
00:55:29,560 --> 00:55:32,760
Speaker 1: three yards and a score. Something needs to happen early.

1056
00:55:32,840 --> 00:55:34,919
Speaker 1: If it does, then it's game on. And if it does,

1057
00:55:35,000 --> 00:55:37,680
Speaker 1: then my friends there from Columbus traveling up to the

1058
00:55:37,719 --> 00:55:41,400
Speaker 1: Great Pacific Northwest get to experience one of the underrated

1059
00:55:41,480 --> 00:55:45,200
Speaker 1: venues in American sports at full throat and it's nothing

1060
00:55:45,239 --> 00:55:49,760
Speaker 1: to it's nothing to be trifled with. As Memo would say,

1061
00:55:49,800 --> 00:55:52,879
Speaker 1: it's still early enough. One thing I want to keep

1062
00:55:52,920 --> 00:55:55,600
Speaker 1: saying about these big games, it's still early enough in

1063
00:55:55,640 --> 00:56:00,160
Speaker 1: the season where there are unknowns about these contending teams

1064
00:56:00,600 --> 00:56:03,560
Speaker 1: that will be exposed. Now they could be revealed, so

1065
00:56:03,640 --> 00:56:07,080
Speaker 1: that's a positive, or they could be exposed. So I'm

1066
00:56:07,160 --> 00:56:11,160
Speaker 1: saying this about anybody. Oregon, it could happen, Penn State,

1067
00:56:11,160 --> 00:56:14,160
Speaker 1: it could happen, Ohio State, it could happen. And the

1068
00:56:14,200 --> 00:56:17,080
Speaker 1: way it would happen is you just face a different

1069
00:56:17,160 --> 00:56:20,719
Speaker 1: kind of player, a different collection of talent, a different scheme, etc.

1070
00:56:21,000 --> 00:56:23,680
Speaker 1: Than you've seen so far. And it just so happens

1071
00:56:24,000 --> 00:56:26,200
Speaker 1: those guys are the ones built to expose you. Here's

1072
00:56:26,239 --> 00:56:29,720
Speaker 1: the problem that could just as easily, if not more easily,

1073
00:56:29,760 --> 00:56:32,879
Speaker 1: happened to Washington. They're sitting there three and zero as well,

1074
00:56:32,960 --> 00:56:35,040
Speaker 1: you know, so no one's beating them, no one's come

1075
00:56:35,120 --> 00:56:39,440
Speaker 1: close to them. Now they face Ohio State, so there

1076
00:56:39,440 --> 00:56:41,839
Speaker 1: could be cracks all in your dam as well. And

1077
00:56:41,880 --> 00:56:43,840
Speaker 1: it's just that here comes the water pressure for the

1078
00:56:43,880 --> 00:56:46,080
Speaker 1: first time. Let's take a look at what the model thinks.

1079
00:56:46,520 --> 00:56:48,440
Speaker 1: We got Ohio State minus eight and a half at

1080
00:56:48,480 --> 00:56:51,640
Speaker 1: FanDuel right now, and that number dropped a little bit

1081
00:56:51,680 --> 00:56:53,600
Speaker 1: earlier this week and it came down right to where

1082
00:56:53,600 --> 00:56:56,560
Speaker 1: the model already is. We got Ohio State minus eight

1083
00:56:56,600 --> 00:56:58,800
Speaker 1: and a half as well. I think I'm going to

1084
00:56:58,840 --> 00:57:01,160
Speaker 1: split the difference here. I think Ohio State will go

1085
00:57:01,200 --> 00:57:03,799
Speaker 1: win this game. I think it's going to be very competitive.

1086
00:57:04,400 --> 00:57:08,120
Speaker 1: An upset would mildly surprise, but not shot me at all.

1087
00:57:08,680 --> 00:57:11,600
Speaker 1: I will take Washington plus the points. Anything above eight

1088
00:57:11,719 --> 00:57:14,080
Speaker 1: we're getting it right now. I'll take Washington plus eight

1089
00:57:14,080 --> 00:57:17,080
Speaker 1: and a half. They cannot match Ohio State. Man for man.

1090
00:57:17,160 --> 00:57:20,200
Speaker 1: Most teams can't, but I think there's some unique dynamic

1091
00:57:20,240 --> 00:57:24,600
Speaker 1: athletes Washington has, namely at the quarterback position. That, along

1092
00:57:24,640 --> 00:57:28,200
Speaker 1: with home field and an inexperienced Ohio State team really

1093
00:57:28,240 --> 00:57:30,680
Speaker 1: experiencing that kind of environment for the first time this year,

1094
00:57:31,840 --> 00:57:33,840
Speaker 1: I think something crazy could happen. At the very least,

1095
00:57:33,880 --> 00:57:36,040
Speaker 1: I think the home team could cover there. So give

1096
00:57:36,040 --> 00:57:39,280
Speaker 1: me be Washington plus the points. I do like Ohio

1097
00:57:39,360 --> 00:57:43,120
Speaker 1: State outright. Though, I appreciate all you guys being tuned

1098
00:57:43,160 --> 00:57:44,960
Speaker 1: in live. I know you've got a lot to do.

1099
00:57:45,000 --> 00:57:48,280
Speaker 1: You hear the train horn outside, Yes, that was not

1100
00:57:48,320 --> 00:57:50,240
Speaker 1: a sound effect that Bradley played. I know a lot

1101
00:57:50,240 --> 00:57:52,120
Speaker 1: of you have stuff to do on a Tuesday night

1102
00:57:52,400 --> 00:57:55,520
Speaker 1: in the fall. I appreciate you watching. Make sure you

1103
00:57:55,600 --> 00:57:58,000
Speaker 1: subscribe to the channel. I do want to tell you.

1104
00:57:58,640 --> 00:58:02,000
Speaker 1: First off, I plead with you to subscribe. You know

1105
00:58:02,040 --> 00:58:04,479
Speaker 1: we're on track to hit five hundred k subs before

1106
00:58:04,520 --> 00:58:07,840
Speaker 1: the end of the year. The question becomes twofold number one,

1107
00:58:07,880 --> 00:58:10,880
Speaker 1: when will it happen? Number two? How do we celebrate?

1108
00:58:11,600 --> 00:58:14,880
Speaker 1: I'm open to taking suggestions. How do we celebrate? And

1109
00:58:14,880 --> 00:58:16,600
Speaker 1: I don't want to count our chickens, but I mean

1110
00:58:16,600 --> 00:58:19,560
Speaker 1: it's simple math. So it's probably gonna happen. Unless I

1111
00:58:19,600 --> 00:58:23,200
Speaker 1: suspend myself, it's probably going to happen. Get us there.

1112
00:58:23,520 --> 00:58:27,120
Speaker 1: Word of mouth works phenomenally. I get dms every day

1113
00:58:27,120 --> 00:58:29,600
Speaker 1: from you guys, showing me the proof that you have

1114
00:58:29,720 --> 00:58:33,440
Speaker 1: gotten your mom to subscribe or your cousin Charles to subscribe.

1115
00:58:33,560 --> 00:58:37,640
Speaker 1: Welcome Mom, Welcome Charles, Welcome all, and if you're new here,

1116
00:58:37,920 --> 00:58:39,440
Speaker 1: this is the part of the show that will make

1117
00:58:39,440 --> 00:58:42,200
Speaker 1: the least amount of sense to you. JP pole is

1118
00:58:42,240 --> 00:58:46,160
Speaker 1: out for week five. I got hard disagreement with my

1119
00:58:46,280 --> 00:58:49,320
Speaker 1: own model this week. We're not on speaking terms. I

1120
00:58:49,320 --> 00:58:52,360
Speaker 1: haven't even looked at the screen. So here's the situation.

1121
00:58:52,880 --> 00:58:55,400
Speaker 1: These are not my rankings, but I'm glad that I

1122
00:58:55,480 --> 00:58:57,560
Speaker 1: do my rankings. See there it is. There's the helpful

1123
00:58:57,560 --> 00:59:02,560
Speaker 1: tutorial there. These are not rankings. That is on Thursday.

1124
00:59:02,600 --> 00:59:04,440
Speaker 1: And I did not use to give out my own

1125
00:59:04,520 --> 00:59:06,400
Speaker 1: rankings because everyone else does it. But the more and

1126
00:59:06,400 --> 00:59:08,880
Speaker 1: more I look at the JP polls stray further from God,

1127
00:59:09,120 --> 00:59:12,160
Speaker 1: the more and more I realize, no, the Commissioner's pole

1128
00:59:12,240 --> 00:59:15,640
Speaker 1: is needed. I'll put this out and we'll listen to

1129
00:59:15,680 --> 00:59:19,360
Speaker 1: a solid forty eight hours of moaning and complaining and

1130
00:59:19,400 --> 00:59:21,480
Speaker 1: in this case is going to be warranted because the

1131
00:59:21,520 --> 00:59:24,240
Speaker 1: JP Pole is fairly ridiculous this week. And then I'll

1132
00:59:24,280 --> 00:59:27,760
Speaker 1: put out the best rankings in the land on Thursday,

1133
00:59:27,840 --> 00:59:33,560
Speaker 1: right as we gear up for a weekend's action. Let's

1134
00:59:33,600 --> 00:59:36,360
Speaker 1: start at twenty. Okay, let's start at twenty. I took

1135
00:59:36,400 --> 00:59:38,960
Speaker 1: the suggestions from the podcast crowd. I don't do it

1136
00:59:38,960 --> 00:59:42,000
Speaker 1: in random order. I do it in true countdown order.

1137
00:59:42,040 --> 00:59:44,080
Speaker 1: Here Vandy is in the JP Pole. They are at

1138
00:59:44,160 --> 00:59:46,760
Speaker 1: number twenty. They are up three spots. But here's the

1139
00:59:46,760 --> 00:59:50,480
Speaker 1: most important part. From a raw power rating standpoint, they

1140
00:59:50,520 --> 00:59:54,040
Speaker 1: are up seven points from their preseason rating. That's a

1141
00:59:54,160 --> 00:59:57,600
Speaker 1: huge jump. I mean, Vandy being a legit top twenty

1142
00:59:57,640 --> 01:00:00,720
Speaker 1: power rating team is a massive deal. So good for them.

1143
01:00:01,760 --> 01:00:06,240
Speaker 1: Michigan is up six spots. They're at nineteen. That's a

1144
01:00:06,240 --> 01:00:09,400
Speaker 1: big jump for them. USC's at number eighteen. They go

1145
01:00:09,440 --> 01:00:11,560
Speaker 1: to Illinois. I will see them in person for the

1146
01:00:11,560 --> 01:00:15,000
Speaker 1: first time this year, but not the first time ever Saturday.

1147
01:00:15,480 --> 01:00:17,320
Speaker 1: That was one mistake I made on the show the

1148
01:00:17,360 --> 01:00:20,520
Speaker 1: other night. I was all excited, Oh man, the Fault

1149
01:00:20,560 --> 01:00:22,560
Speaker 1: o't Lie Tour is headed to Illinois. We're going to

1150
01:00:22,600 --> 01:00:25,200
Speaker 1: see USC in person. I said, I've never seen a

1151
01:00:25,320 --> 01:00:28,560
Speaker 1: USC game in person before, and then it was brought

1152
01:00:28,560 --> 01:00:31,200
Speaker 1: to my attention that three years ago I went out

1153
01:00:31,240 --> 01:00:36,440
Speaker 1: to the Rose Bowl and saw them beat UCLA fact,

1154
01:00:36,920 --> 01:00:39,040
Speaker 1: So there you go. USC. It doesn't change their power rating.

1155
01:00:39,160 --> 01:00:42,760
Speaker 1: They're number eighteen. Eli Drinkwitz has Missouri at number seventeen.

1156
01:00:43,440 --> 01:00:46,880
Speaker 1: They got a quarterback playing phenomenally right now. They are

1157
01:00:47,240 --> 01:00:50,640
Speaker 1: set up to make a run. I think Missouri is

1158
01:00:50,680 --> 01:00:54,400
Speaker 1: one of several teams that are normally up. It looked

1159
01:00:54,400 --> 01:00:57,840
Speaker 1: at as like paper tiger types, kind of pun intended.

1160
01:00:57,920 --> 01:01:01,280
Speaker 1: It really could be legitimate playoff not just playoff contenders,

1161
01:01:01,280 --> 01:01:02,880
Speaker 1: but teams that could do something if they make it

1162
01:01:03,040 --> 01:01:05,320
Speaker 1: this year. I feel the same way about a certain

1163
01:01:05,360 --> 01:01:06,960
Speaker 1: other team that's number twelve. I'll get to them in

1164
01:01:07,000 --> 01:01:12,920
Speaker 1: a second. Florida State is number sixteen. I don't know.

1165
01:01:13,200 --> 01:01:16,240
Speaker 1: They're playing Miami this upcoming week though the week after

1166
01:01:16,280 --> 01:01:19,440
Speaker 1: this upcoming week, so we'll figure a lot out about them.

1167
01:01:19,880 --> 01:01:22,040
Speaker 1: I am so excited to break that game down next week.

1168
01:01:22,240 --> 01:01:27,040
Speaker 1: All right, top fifteen, Bradley, Let's go LSU. Very peculiar,

1169
01:01:27,760 --> 01:01:33,120
Speaker 1: very peculiar, LSU. They are down four points in the

1170
01:01:33,160 --> 01:01:36,400
Speaker 1: power rating from where they were three weeks ago, which

1171
01:01:36,480 --> 01:01:40,480
Speaker 1: means they are down to number fifteen. Overall, the model

1172
01:01:40,640 --> 01:01:44,720
Speaker 1: just keeps not buying what LSU selling. It's not that

1173
01:01:44,760 --> 01:01:46,760
Speaker 1: they don't deserve to be ranked high. I'm going to

1174
01:01:46,840 --> 01:01:50,440
Speaker 1: have them ranked top five come Thursday when the Commissioner's

1175
01:01:50,440 --> 01:01:52,959
Speaker 1: poll comes out. So they deserve to be ranked top five.

1176
01:01:53,280 --> 01:01:56,560
Speaker 1: But as for neutral field favorability, and you can take

1177
01:01:56,600 --> 01:01:57,800
Speaker 1: it or leave it as to what do you care

1178
01:01:57,800 --> 01:02:01,400
Speaker 1: about that, the model continues to LSU. And here's what

1179
01:02:01,480 --> 01:02:04,240
Speaker 1: concerns me with that. It started to do that with

1180
01:02:04,280 --> 01:02:08,640
Speaker 1: South Carolina before South Carolina had lost anything, and then

1181
01:02:08,680 --> 01:02:11,120
Speaker 1: South Carolina lost, and it's done that with a couple

1182
01:02:11,120 --> 01:02:13,520
Speaker 1: of teams this year, kind of gotten ahead of the

1183
01:02:13,560 --> 01:02:15,600
Speaker 1: curve and started dropping them even though they were winning,

1184
01:02:15,640 --> 01:02:18,520
Speaker 1: and then they end up losing. Illinois. It was doing

1185
01:02:18,520 --> 01:02:22,560
Speaker 1: that with Illinois. So let's just keep that in mind.

1186
01:02:23,160 --> 01:02:26,080
Speaker 1: Texas Tech is number fourteen, and there is now a

1187
01:02:26,120 --> 01:02:28,640
Speaker 1: gap forming in the Big twelve. There is a I

1188
01:02:28,680 --> 01:02:31,880
Speaker 1: think we have a four point separation, which is a

1189
01:02:31,920 --> 01:02:35,640
Speaker 1: pretty big gap between Texas Tech and the next closest

1190
01:02:35,640 --> 01:02:39,040
Speaker 1: team in the Big twelve. So that is noteworthy because

1191
01:02:39,080 --> 01:02:42,120
Speaker 1: that is not normal for that conference. A and M

1192
01:02:42,200 --> 01:02:46,440
Speaker 1: is thirteen. Look at Indiana. They're up ten spots this week.

1193
01:02:46,600 --> 01:02:50,760
Speaker 1: They're number twelve. They are up a touchdown in their

1194
01:02:50,840 --> 01:02:54,720
Speaker 1: overall raw power rating from week one. I cannot stress

1195
01:02:54,760 --> 01:02:57,640
Speaker 1: this as strong enough terms. We never took Indiana seriously

1196
01:02:58,000 --> 01:02:59,840
Speaker 1: as a team that could do damage if they made

1197
01:02:59,840 --> 01:03:02,680
Speaker 1: the playoffs. Last year. We thought they deserve to be

1198
01:03:02,720 --> 01:03:05,080
Speaker 1: in the playoff. They were never winning a game once

1199
01:03:05,120 --> 01:03:08,360
Speaker 1: they got in. This is a different team. This Indiana

1200
01:03:08,440 --> 01:03:11,200
Speaker 1: team is fully capable of not only making the playoff,

1201
01:03:11,600 --> 01:03:13,840
Speaker 1: they are fully capable of winning games in the playoff.

1202
01:03:14,120 --> 01:03:17,960
Speaker 1: I firmly believe that they are every bit a legit

1203
01:03:18,000 --> 01:03:22,560
Speaker 1: contender this year. Tennessee's at number eleven. Excited to see

1204
01:03:22,560 --> 01:03:25,240
Speaker 1: Tennessee on the road in Startville this weekend. That is

1205
01:03:25,280 --> 01:03:27,600
Speaker 1: a big matchup, That's not an easy game for them.

1206
01:03:27,960 --> 01:03:33,080
Speaker 1: Top ten Oklahoma's at number ten. Of course, yes, I

1207
01:03:33,160 --> 01:03:36,360
Speaker 1: saw the news today. They have lost John Matteer for

1208
01:03:36,400 --> 01:03:41,640
Speaker 1: several weeks. Starting quarterback. Injured the hand against Auburn. He

1209
01:03:41,720 --> 01:03:44,160
Speaker 1: is going to miss. They got a bye week this week,

1210
01:03:44,240 --> 01:03:46,360
Speaker 1: right then they got the Kent State game, then they

1211
01:03:46,400 --> 01:03:50,280
Speaker 1: got Texas. My guess is he misses the Texas game,

1212
01:03:50,320 --> 01:03:52,480
Speaker 1: but I know there's a lot of hope that maybe

1213
01:03:52,480 --> 01:03:55,680
Speaker 1: he's back by the time they played Texas. Anyway, forget

1214
01:03:55,680 --> 01:03:59,240
Speaker 1: about that for a second. Oklahoma's power rating here at

1215
01:03:59,320 --> 01:04:03,320
Speaker 1: number ten is with John Matti, so without him, which

1216
01:04:03,360 --> 01:04:05,800
Speaker 1: would be temporary, we would adjust that they may not

1217
01:04:05,840 --> 01:04:09,440
Speaker 1: be top twenty five without him, So fingers crossed he's

1218
01:04:09,480 --> 01:04:12,080
Speaker 1: back soon. Ole Miss is up four spots at number nine.

1219
01:04:12,520 --> 01:04:15,320
Speaker 1: The model's been notoriously anti Old Miss in the past,

1220
01:04:15,600 --> 01:04:18,440
Speaker 1: so this is noteworthy models getting higher and higher on

1221
01:04:18,480 --> 01:04:21,800
Speaker 1: Old Miss. Notre dame at number eight again, I know

1222
01:04:21,840 --> 01:04:24,960
Speaker 1: they're a multi loss team. You either understand what we're

1223
01:04:25,000 --> 01:04:27,919
Speaker 1: doing here or you don't. They would be favored over

1224
01:04:27,920 --> 01:04:31,600
Speaker 1: most teams in the country, including many undefeated teams. Josh,

1225
01:04:32,200 --> 01:04:34,880
Speaker 1: why even play the games so we can determine winners?

1226
01:04:35,080 --> 01:04:36,800
Speaker 1: But look, you got him at number eight. It doesn't

1227
01:04:36,800 --> 01:04:38,640
Speaker 1: look like you care who wins. No, in this, I

1228
01:04:38,640 --> 01:04:40,400
Speaker 1: don't care who wins. I care who would be favored

1229
01:04:40,840 --> 01:04:43,600
Speaker 1: the Commissioner's pull on Thursday, I care who wins. Miami's

1230
01:04:43,680 --> 01:04:47,880
Speaker 1: number seven. Does that seem low to you, especially when

1231
01:04:47,920 --> 01:04:52,240
Speaker 1: Texas is sitting number six? Miami against Texas right now.

1232
01:04:52,560 --> 01:04:54,760
Speaker 1: If you think I'm taking Texas over Miami on a

1233
01:04:54,800 --> 01:04:58,200
Speaker 1: neutral field drugs, and yet the model is sitting here

1234
01:04:58,200 --> 01:05:00,200
Speaker 1: trying to sell me on the fact that everything's right

1235
01:05:00,200 --> 01:05:03,360
Speaker 1: in Austin again because Arch Manning flexed on some poor

1236
01:05:03,400 --> 01:05:05,840
Speaker 1: dB there's going to be bagging groceries three weeks from now.

1237
01:05:06,200 --> 01:05:08,800
Speaker 1: All it's good. We just bumped Texas up. Would we

1238
01:05:08,800 --> 01:05:11,880
Speaker 1: bump them up five spots? We didn't do anything. I

1239
01:05:11,920 --> 01:05:14,160
Speaker 1: got nothing to do with this. Texas does not belong

1240
01:05:14,240 --> 01:05:17,800
Speaker 1: number six. But here's what's in play. This thing heavily

1241
01:05:17,840 --> 01:05:21,640
Speaker 1: factors in talent. Heavily factors in talent, because nine times

1242
01:05:21,640 --> 01:05:24,360
Speaker 1: out of ten, that's what should be factored in when

1243
01:05:24,360 --> 01:05:28,040
Speaker 1: it comes to a power rating. When they're formulating spreads

1244
01:05:28,040 --> 01:05:30,840
Speaker 1: over at FanDuel, I promise you they're heavily baking in

1245
01:05:30,960 --> 01:05:36,160
Speaker 1: talent profiles. Well, that matters unless your performance level is

1246
01:05:36,200 --> 01:05:40,240
Speaker 1: not matching your talent rating. And if it's not, then

1247
01:05:40,240 --> 01:05:42,600
Speaker 1: there's a lot of money to be made betting against

1248
01:05:42,800 --> 01:05:46,280
Speaker 1: that kind of team. I say all that to say, Texas,

1249
01:05:46,600 --> 01:05:49,680
Speaker 1: even in power ratings, should not be number six right now.

1250
01:05:50,080 --> 01:05:53,560
Speaker 1: But they are. Shame on you, Shame on the model.

1251
01:05:54,120 --> 01:05:56,800
Speaker 1: Not shame on me. Couldn't be me, Shame on the model?

1252
01:05:56,840 --> 01:06:01,040
Speaker 1: All right? Top five. Penn State's number five, they play

1253
01:06:01,120 --> 01:06:05,520
Speaker 1: number two Oregon this week. Bama's number four. They play

1254
01:06:05,600 --> 01:06:09,360
Speaker 1: number three Georgia this week. Ohio State's number one. They

1255
01:06:09,440 --> 01:06:13,880
Speaker 1: play at Washington this week. There's a lot of probably

1256
01:06:14,000 --> 01:06:17,680
Speaker 1: question as there was last week about Bama. Bama number four,

1257
01:06:17,880 --> 01:06:21,040
Speaker 1: How could that be? Bama got embarrassed by Florida State

1258
01:06:21,080 --> 01:06:24,320
Speaker 1: week one. I know, I watched the game. What's your point, Well,

1259
01:06:24,400 --> 01:06:28,360
Speaker 1: the point is they shouldn't be number four? Why not? Well,

1260
01:06:28,400 --> 01:06:30,480
Speaker 1: I mean, what are you trying to say? Put them

1261
01:06:30,560 --> 01:06:33,439
Speaker 1: number four? I'm saying they'd be favored over everybody beneath them.

1262
01:06:33,680 --> 01:06:36,480
Speaker 1: That's what I'm saying on a neutral field. Well, where's

1263
01:06:36,480 --> 01:06:38,600
Speaker 1: the proof of that? The proof is right there on

1264
01:06:38,640 --> 01:06:41,040
Speaker 1: the board this week. Did you notice what that spread

1265
01:06:41,120 --> 01:06:45,080
Speaker 1: is against Georgia. Bama at Georgia Georgia minus two and

1266
01:06:45,120 --> 01:06:48,640
Speaker 1: a half. The implication there is on a neutral field,

1267
01:06:48,880 --> 01:06:52,720
Speaker 1: that's a Pickham game, or maybe even Alabama slightly favored.

1268
01:06:53,200 --> 01:06:56,840
Speaker 1: So you can debate this, but you're debating against a wall.

1269
01:06:57,200 --> 01:07:00,400
Speaker 1: The evidence is already there. If Bama was what you

1270
01:07:00,920 --> 01:07:03,680
Speaker 1: think they should be. That'd be like a nine point

1271
01:07:03,760 --> 01:07:05,960
Speaker 1: dog on the road this week at Georgia, they're not.

1272
01:07:06,720 --> 01:07:09,320
Speaker 1: They're not, So that doesn't mean they're gonna win anything.

1273
01:07:09,920 --> 01:07:12,280
Speaker 1: In fact, I picked Georgia to win and cover. So

1274
01:07:12,680 --> 01:07:15,920
Speaker 1: what I think is gonna happen is completely independent, as

1275
01:07:16,000 --> 01:07:18,720
Speaker 1: is what you think will happen relative to what the

1276
01:07:18,840 --> 01:07:21,360
Speaker 1: number would be. That's all we're trying to do here,

1277
01:07:21,720 --> 01:07:24,640
Speaker 1: that's it. We're trying to help the world. We're not

1278
01:07:24,680 --> 01:07:27,280
Speaker 1: trying to cause more chaos. That's not what we need.

1279
01:07:27,520 --> 01:07:29,600
Speaker 1: We're trying to bring people together with the j people,

1280
01:07:29,680 --> 01:07:33,640
Speaker 1: although I would argue Texas at number six is no

1281
01:07:33,720 --> 01:07:37,080
Speaker 1: way to bring America together, no way to bring America together.

1282
01:07:37,120 --> 01:07:39,560
Speaker 1: And you know what else, I don't know what in

1283
01:07:39,560 --> 01:07:42,320
Speaker 1: the world happened when Texas came to the SEC. But

1284
01:07:43,160 --> 01:07:48,080
Speaker 1: not only do they get coddled by the model, also

1285
01:07:48,440 --> 01:07:52,360
Speaker 1: every single legit quarterback gets buzz sawed before they face Texas.

1286
01:07:53,280 --> 01:07:56,000
Speaker 1: What we got Lagway in a boot, so they're not

1287
01:07:56,040 --> 01:07:58,240
Speaker 1: gonna face him in a couple of weeks. In all likelihood,

1288
01:07:58,720 --> 01:08:01,120
Speaker 1: Matier may be out, so they may not face him.

1289
01:08:01,680 --> 01:08:04,720
Speaker 1: Last year they avoided Lagway in Austin. I don't know

1290
01:08:04,840 --> 01:08:10,000
Speaker 1: what happened when they came to the SEC. I don't know,

1291
01:08:10,480 --> 01:08:14,680
Speaker 1: but yeah, the model loves Texas. Loves Texas. You can

1292
01:08:14,760 --> 01:08:17,800
Speaker 1: love Texas too, go to FanDuel. Who knows, Maybe you

1293
01:08:17,840 --> 01:08:19,479
Speaker 1: agree with the model. I know a lot of my

1294
01:08:19,479 --> 01:08:21,679
Speaker 1: friends in Austin do no. Actually, some of them even

1295
01:08:21,680 --> 01:08:23,519
Speaker 1: tell me the models a little high on them right now.

1296
01:08:23,720 --> 01:08:26,519
Speaker 1: But nevertheless, I got news for you. You ever heard

1297
01:08:26,560 --> 01:08:30,639
Speaker 1: of boost Fest, Well, it's happening at FanDuel the twenty

1298
01:08:30,640 --> 01:08:33,320
Speaker 1: fifth through the twenty eighth, So that is basically this weekend.

1299
01:08:34,040 --> 01:08:36,760
Speaker 1: Here's how boost Fest works. There's just a bunch of

1300
01:08:36,840 --> 01:08:40,439
Speaker 1: profit boosts all over the place. Ryder Cup is coming up.

1301
01:08:40,640 --> 01:08:44,000
Speaker 1: We got college football, we got the NFL. You just

1302
01:08:44,080 --> 01:08:47,599
Speaker 1: need to look around once you peruse FanDuel and look

1303
01:08:47,600 --> 01:08:50,200
Speaker 1: at which games have profit boost tokens on them. What

1304
01:08:50,240 --> 01:08:53,720
Speaker 1: that means for the unwashed is you bet money on

1305
01:08:53,760 --> 01:08:55,599
Speaker 1: a game and then you just win a whole lot

1306
01:08:55,640 --> 01:08:57,559
Speaker 1: more than you normally would have if your bet hits.

1307
01:08:57,600 --> 01:09:01,280
Speaker 1: It's a beautiful thing, profit boost erful thing. Now, in

1308
01:09:01,320 --> 01:09:05,000
Speaker 1: the interest of getting you money, I want to tell

1309
01:09:05,040 --> 01:09:09,240
Speaker 1: you that I'm about to get you some money. So, Jesse,

1310
01:09:09,360 --> 01:09:13,479
Speaker 1: are we good? In the description? By the way, we

1311
01:09:13,520 --> 01:09:16,000
Speaker 1: are good? Okay, all right. You can look in the

1312
01:09:16,040 --> 01:09:18,439
Speaker 1: description if you're on YouTube right now, or you can

1313
01:09:18,479 --> 01:09:22,280
Speaker 1: just look in the chat. There's a link there. You

1314
01:09:22,280 --> 01:09:24,160
Speaker 1: don't have to do anything at that link, but if

1315
01:09:24,240 --> 01:09:26,479
Speaker 1: you want to give us your information there and you

1316
01:09:26,560 --> 01:09:28,960
Speaker 1: have a fan duel account, I'm giving ten of you

1317
01:09:29,000 --> 01:09:32,639
Speaker 1: one hundred dollars in bonus bets tonight because I went

1318
01:09:32,640 --> 01:09:35,000
Speaker 1: to FanDuel and said I need to give away some money,

1319
01:09:35,080 --> 01:09:38,760
Speaker 1: and they said, okay, well, how's a thousand. I said,

1320
01:09:38,800 --> 01:09:40,880
Speaker 1: it's a good start. It's a good start. I think

1321
01:09:40,880 --> 01:09:42,719
Speaker 1: we can do better down the rope. It's a good start.

1322
01:09:43,080 --> 01:09:45,479
Speaker 1: So there it is. It's in the right there, I

1323
01:09:45,479 --> 01:09:47,559
Speaker 1: see it. It's penned. So you can click that link.

1324
01:09:47,720 --> 01:09:49,719
Speaker 1: There's a link in the description. It pays to watch

1325
01:09:49,760 --> 01:09:52,920
Speaker 1: the show live, obviously, just click it, enter your info

1326
01:09:53,200 --> 01:09:55,400
Speaker 1: or don't. But if you do enter your info, I'm

1327
01:09:55,400 --> 01:09:57,280
Speaker 1: going to pick ten of you and we're going to

1328
01:09:57,320 --> 01:09:59,200
Speaker 1: give you one hundred dollars in bonus bets.

1329
01:10:00,080 --> 01:10:02,360
Speaker 2: Must be twenty one plus and present in select states

1330
01:10:02,360 --> 01:10:05,439
Speaker 2: for Kansas, in affiliation with Kansas Star Casino or eighteen

1331
01:10:05,439 --> 01:10:08,400
Speaker 2: plus and present in DC. First online real money wager

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Speaker 2: only five dollars first deposit required. Bonus issued as non

1333
01:10:11,800 --> 01:10:15,240
Speaker 2: withthrawable bonus bets which expire seven days after receipt. Restrictions

1334
01:10:15,240 --> 01:10:19,080
Speaker 2: apply see terms at sportsbook dot FanDuel dot com. Gambling

1335
01:10:19,080 --> 01:10:21,920
Speaker 2: problem call one eight hundred gambler, or visit FanDuel dot

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01:10:21,960 --> 01:10:24,400
Speaker 2: com slash RG call one eight eight eight seven eight

1337
01:10:24,479 --> 01:10:27,519
Speaker 2: nine seventy seven seventy seven, or visit CCPG dot org

1338
01:10:27,600 --> 01:10:31,240
Speaker 2: slash chat in Connecticut, or visit nd gamblinghelp dot org

1339
01:10:31,280 --> 01:10:35,240
Speaker 2: in Maryland. Hope is here. Visit gambling Helplinema dot org

1340
01:10:35,360 --> 01:10:37,800
Speaker 2: or call eight hundred three two seven fifty fifty for

1341
01:10:37,800 --> 01:10:40,559
Speaker 2: twenty four seven support in Massachusetts or call one eight

1342
01:10:40,600 --> 01:10:43,000
Speaker 2: seven seven eight Hope, n y or text Hope and

1343
01:10:43,080 --> 01:10:43,880
Speaker 2: Why in New York.

1344
01:10:44,479 --> 01:10:47,400
Speaker 1: We'll announce that on Thursday. I think we'll announce on Thursday.

1345
01:10:47,400 --> 01:10:49,280
Speaker 1: But what I'm about to announce here before I end

1346
01:10:49,320 --> 01:10:51,479
Speaker 1: this show is I've got two more best bets aboard

1347
01:10:51,479 --> 01:10:54,360
Speaker 1: the Ramanoodle Express. So the games were already on. To

1348
01:10:54,439 --> 01:10:57,599
Speaker 1: remind you from the other night, Mississippi state plus nine

1349
01:10:57,640 --> 01:11:00,479
Speaker 1: and a half. That's not shocking Rise plus fourteen and

1350
01:11:00,520 --> 01:11:04,599
Speaker 1: a half is utterly shocking. We have gone from frankly

1351
01:11:04,720 --> 01:11:07,479
Speaker 1: hating on food and rejecting food to betting on food

1352
01:11:08,000 --> 01:11:10,200
Speaker 1: because a lot of people are losing the food these days.

1353
01:11:10,400 --> 01:11:13,120
Speaker 1: And they're playing Navy. They're fourteen and a half point dogs.

1354
01:11:13,120 --> 01:11:15,880
Speaker 1: But you know what, Rice has been a double digit

1355
01:11:15,960 --> 01:11:19,080
Speaker 1: dog and pulled the outright upset already this year. So

1356
01:11:19,320 --> 01:11:21,360
Speaker 1: I'm not ready to order the Rice T shirt yet.

1357
01:11:21,439 --> 01:11:23,800
Speaker 1: Don't send me that thing yet, but if you beat Navy,

1358
01:11:23,880 --> 01:11:27,120
Speaker 1: absolutely send it. Okay, We are going to bet on

1359
01:11:27,160 --> 01:11:29,280
Speaker 1: Hawaii for the first time, and I don't know how

1360
01:11:29,320 --> 01:11:32,040
Speaker 1: long Hawaii is getting six and a half. We are

1361
01:11:32,040 --> 01:11:34,519
Speaker 1: betting against every service academy this week. I feel so

1362
01:11:34,600 --> 01:11:38,040
Speaker 1: un American. Hawaii plus six and a half against Air

1363
01:11:38,080 --> 01:11:42,080
Speaker 1: Force and Ole Miss is going to be a best

1364
01:11:42,080 --> 01:11:45,439
Speaker 1: bet and we're not even getting the best of line

1365
01:11:45,520 --> 01:11:47,439
Speaker 1: value here. But I think Old Miss is gonna win

1366
01:11:47,479 --> 01:11:49,280
Speaker 1: that thing by a field goal, or more so Ole

1367
01:11:49,320 --> 01:11:52,080
Speaker 1: Miss minus one and a half, Hawaii plus six and

1368
01:11:52,080 --> 01:11:54,840
Speaker 1: a half, Rice plus fourteen and a half, Mississippi State

1369
01:11:55,040 --> 01:11:59,519
Speaker 1: plus nine and a half. Rama Noudle Express is already

1370
01:11:59,520 --> 01:12:01,880
Speaker 1: a winner this shar year. Now we want to stretch

1371
01:12:01,920 --> 01:12:04,160
Speaker 1: the margins, and that's what we'll look to do this weekend.

1372
01:12:04,400 --> 01:12:07,320
Speaker 1: We'll be back Thursday. Remember the Thursday show now starts

1373
01:12:07,320 --> 01:12:12,599
Speaker 1: at seven eastern sixth Central, mainly to appease Kublicks travel schedule. Also,

1374
01:12:12,640 --> 01:12:15,200
Speaker 1: I'm told the NFL does something in the way of

1375
01:12:15,240 --> 01:12:17,720
Speaker 1: a game on Thursday night, So we'll do the show

1376
01:12:17,760 --> 01:12:21,120
Speaker 1: Thursday night, and it is going to be loaded week.

1377
01:12:21,120 --> 01:12:23,000
Speaker 1: We haven't even gotten to all the games yet, so

1378
01:12:23,040 --> 01:12:26,439
Speaker 1: we'll get to more games Thursday. Subscribe and tell five

1379
01:12:26,479 --> 01:12:28,920
Speaker 1: of your friends to do the same, because truthfully, I'd

1380
01:12:28,960 --> 01:12:31,000
Speaker 1: like to be at five hundred K by Thanksgiving. Just

1381
01:12:31,000 --> 01:12:33,200
Speaker 1: get it out of the way before December even starts.

1382
01:12:33,640 --> 01:12:36,400
Speaker 1: There you go, that's our goal for director Bradley, Producer Jesse.

1383
01:12:36,479 --> 01:12:38,120
Speaker 1: I'm Josh Paate. Take care. We'll see you back here

1384
01:12:38,320 --> 01:12:41,599
Speaker 1: same time Thursday night, except an hour earlier until then,

1385
01:12:41,680 --> 01:12:52,160
Speaker 1: God Bless.

1386
01:12:56,840 --> 01:12:59,160
Speaker 2: Must be twenty one plus and present in select states

1387
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Speaker 2: for Kansas in a fifiliation with Kansas Star Casino, or

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Speaker 2: eighteen plus and present in DC first online real money

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Speaker 2: wager only five dollars first deposit required. Bonus issued as

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Speaker 2: non withdrawable bonus bets, which expire seven days after receipt.

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Speaker 2: Restrictions apply see terms at sportsbook dot FanDuel dot com.

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