WEBVTT - 0606FullPodcast

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to the Bloomberg Markets Podcast. I'm Paul Sweeney, alongside

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<v Speaker 1>my co host Matt Miller. Every business day we bring

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<v Speaker 1>you interviews from CEOs, market pros, and Bloomberg experts, along

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<v Speaker 1>with essential market moving news. Find the Bloomberg Markets Podcast

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<v Speaker 1>on Apple Podcasts or wherever you listen to podcasts, and

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<v Speaker 1>at Bloomberg dot com slash podcast. All right, we have

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<v Speaker 1>Rosalind Matthison in our Bloomberg Interactive Broker studio today. She's

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<v Speaker 1>Executive everit for International Government for Bloomberg News based in London,

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<v Speaker 1>but we have are here in the States this week.

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<v Speaker 1>We found on the last hour meth that she is Australian.

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<v Speaker 1>From some little news. What's the name of the town again, Ros,

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<v Speaker 1>it's a code Goombungee Bungee Goombungee. It's an indigenous name. Wow,

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<v Speaker 1>go figure. I mean, I I don't know. One day

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<v Speaker 1>me and Roz traveled to a remote town in Austria

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<v Speaker 1>to interview the former head of the FBI, James Komy.

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<v Speaker 1>Together really was that in Austria? Yeah, that was awesome.

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<v Speaker 1>That was such a cool I mean, you know, he

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<v Speaker 1>had just written a book and obviously it was like

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<v Speaker 1>comy versus Trump. But he's amazingly fascinating and also really tall, dude,

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<v Speaker 1>extremely tall. Yeah, explained to us, what's happening in London today,

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<v Speaker 1>folks forting us, we need to pay attention to a

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<v Speaker 1>vote that's going on in Parliament. What's going on over there? Well,

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<v Speaker 1>that's right. So it seems like enough of his own

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<v Speaker 1>lawmakers have had enough of him, and so they've submitted

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<v Speaker 1>letters calling for a leadership vote on his him leading

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<v Speaker 1>the Tory Party, which of course means his leadership of

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<v Speaker 1>the country as a whole. So that vote will happen

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<v Speaker 1>in a couple of hours today, it goes. It takes

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<v Speaker 1>about two hours for it to happen. They fall into

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<v Speaker 1>a room one by one and cast their vote, yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>your nay, and then there's an outcome. It looks like

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<v Speaker 1>at this point he will probably win that vote because

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<v Speaker 1>they need hundred eighty Tory lawmakers to go against him.

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<v Speaker 1>But the question is, what is the damage that's being

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<v Speaker 1>done simply by having this vote happen in the first place,

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<v Speaker 1>And what is the margin by which he would presumably

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<v Speaker 1>win this vote. It could be quite tight and tighter

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<v Speaker 1>than he would like. Can that suggests of course that

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<v Speaker 1>other knives will be out for him even despite the

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<v Speaker 1>outcome today potentially, but the base cases that he wins,

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<v Speaker 1>right because, um, his own party is bringing this vote essentially,

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<v Speaker 1>and it's a system that I think a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>Americans are unfamiliar with. They have this committee. It all

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<v Speaker 1>seems so old and weird. Um, But what if they lose.

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<v Speaker 1>They're bringing on an election that they're sure then later

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<v Speaker 1>to lose. Well, that is the risk also from this

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<v Speaker 1>is he might win, and then he might decide to

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<v Speaker 1>call an election to try and get a fresh mandate

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<v Speaker 1>from the public or to get rid of some of

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<v Speaker 1>these Tory rebels. But why how could he? I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>they're experiencing inflation just like we are, and they're doing

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<v Speaker 1>very little about it, just like we are. I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>people are a lot of people are being driven into

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<v Speaker 1>poverty by these high energy praises right well, exactly in

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<v Speaker 1>all the polling shows that going to an election anytime

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<v Speaker 1>soon would be very self defeating for the Tories because

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<v Speaker 1>of all the things that you mentioned, particularly the state

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<v Speaker 1>of the economy, inflation, the idea has not delivered on

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<v Speaker 1>his promises to bring development to areas in northern England

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<v Speaker 1>UM and so on. He came in, of course in

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<v Speaker 1>a landslide when UM in intercalentinam with a very large

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<v Speaker 1>majority for a British prime minister, and that's all seemingly

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<v Speaker 1>evaporated at this point. But he may decide just to

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<v Speaker 1>go that because he is a very charismatic politician. He's

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<v Speaker 1>a very charismatic campaign and maybe he thinks somehow, if

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<v Speaker 1>you can call an election and get out there, he

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<v Speaker 1>can somehow rally the faithful and get enough voters back

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<v Speaker 1>for the Tories. But it's a very big ask given

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<v Speaker 1>what we're seeing at the moment in the polling. All right,

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<v Speaker 1>let's switch gears rather since we have you in studio,

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<v Speaker 1>want to cover broad range here Ukraine, but we're not

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<v Speaker 1>going into our fourth month. I guess over there in Ukraine,

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<v Speaker 1>is there a consensus amongst the folks that really file

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<v Speaker 1>this closely how this might play out here or is

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<v Speaker 1>this just going to be a long, long slog. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>it's certainly hitting that kind of grinding more of attrition,

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<v Speaker 1>which we would imagine could go on for an extended period.

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<v Speaker 1>You're seeing Russian troops make incremental gains and then get

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<v Speaker 1>pushed back again. And then further gains, but suddenly holding

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<v Speaker 1>some of the ground that they've taken in the east

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<v Speaker 1>of Ukraine at this point controlling about of Ukrainian territory

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<v Speaker 1>either way, and very much entrenching themselves there. So what

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<v Speaker 1>you'll see is potentially months and months and months of

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<v Speaker 1>this very sort of like small bore fighting that's going

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<v Speaker 1>on on the ground. And then the question is what

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<v Speaker 1>does the rest of the world do with that, um,

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<v Speaker 1>even if they ship in more and more weapons, particularly artillery,

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<v Speaker 1>does that change the course of the war or are

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<v Speaker 1>we stuck with this for the foreseeable future. And at

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<v Speaker 1>some point, as you see France and Germany and other

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<v Speaker 1>sort of dipping their toe into the water, does the

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<v Speaker 1>Ukrainian president need to negotiate with with Russian the Russian

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<v Speaker 1>Russian president and does that in turn involve him agreeing

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<v Speaker 1>to see territory. What do we know about the casualties

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<v Speaker 1>that the Ukrainians are are facing or you know, even

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<v Speaker 1>if it just versus the Russians, I mean, do we

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<v Speaker 1>know about numbers? Do we know, um, if they're if

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<v Speaker 1>they're losing by a light Well, the numbers are very

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<v Speaker 1>hard to get a clear view of because of course

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<v Speaker 1>they're coming from either side with their own interpretation on it,

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<v Speaker 1>but what's clear is that both sides are suffering extensive

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<v Speaker 1>casualties in terms of manpower. At this point, Russia has

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<v Speaker 1>lost a lot of equipment as well, which has been

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<v Speaker 1>very difficult for it in terms of its campaign on

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<v Speaker 1>the ground. But just as Russia has lost all the trips,

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<v Speaker 1>so has Ukraine. And it's got conscriptions, so it's got

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<v Speaker 1>fresh people coming in. But that will also become a

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<v Speaker 1>problem for Ukraine the more this goes on. And because

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<v Speaker 1>it's more experienced fighters, of course, we're the ones who

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<v Speaker 1>are in there first. So what you do is you

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<v Speaker 1>bring in less experienced people who are conscripted um and

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<v Speaker 1>then over time that becomes very difficult for you crime

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<v Speaker 1>as well. Difficult, difficult situation. Rosalind Math is an executive

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<v Speaker 1>editor for International Government Bloomberg News based in London, but

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<v Speaker 1>here in the States. This week, I getting the least

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<v Speaker 1>briefly here in New York and head down to Washington,

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<v Speaker 1>d C. Rights Power. That's where the power brokers are met,

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<v Speaker 1>and that's where ros Mouth needs to be. I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, there's just us here in New York and

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<v Speaker 1>some others. So anyway, appreciate that. Let's get right to

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<v Speaker 1>our next guest, because we got a lot to talk about.

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<v Speaker 1>Prea Misra, Managing director and global head of Rates Strategy

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<v Speaker 1>A TV Securities Cupria. You know, I'm looking at my

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg terminal. My tenure treasury is kind of my first

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<v Speaker 1>place to go and talking rates. I got a little

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<v Speaker 1>headline there. It's a three spot on. That's notable, I guess,

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<v Speaker 1>but it just seems like we're in this trading range

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<v Speaker 1>here for interest rates, and that despite the fact that

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<v Speaker 1>my Federal Reserve has said that it's raising rates pretty

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<v Speaker 1>aggressively here, So well, what do you make of that? Sure?

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<v Speaker 1>So thanks for having yes. I think rates are likely

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<v Speaker 1>to be in a range for the near term because,

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<v Speaker 1>as you said, the Fed is hiking. I think they

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<v Speaker 1>want to see clear and convincing signs in Chapel's words

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<v Speaker 1>of decline, and they were not seeing it yet of inflation.

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<v Speaker 1>But I think what's happened in the rates market is

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<v Speaker 1>we're also starting to price in growth fears, which is

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<v Speaker 1>why I think we stay in a to seventy five

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<v Speaker 1>three and a quarter ten year range because when you

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<v Speaker 1>start getting to the upper end of the range, and

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<v Speaker 1>we're right in the middle of the range now. But

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<v Speaker 1>if we sell off, and I do think rates are

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<v Speaker 1>likely with QT to get to that upper end of

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<v Speaker 1>the range, then the market is going to get concerned

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<v Speaker 1>about growth fears. And at what point I interest rates

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<v Speaker 1>high enough that you start to impact intersensitive sectors housing,

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<v Speaker 1>consumer durables, you know, the savings that we're all banking

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<v Speaker 1>on the consumer. Those sailings are getting depleted every day,

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<v Speaker 1>and so I think that the growth fears prevent rates

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<v Speaker 1>from rising too much further out because we've priced in

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<v Speaker 1>a lot. A lot in terms of FED hikes have

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<v Speaker 1>already been priced in, so I do there's a ceiling

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<v Speaker 1>there in terms of growth fears that prevents rates from

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<v Speaker 1>rising a lot. And on the downside, which is why

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<v Speaker 1>I think we stopped around that. To this, inflation is

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<v Speaker 1>just too high, and so I don't think the FED

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<v Speaker 1>is ready to blink or even um sort of suggests

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<v Speaker 1>that it pauses. Likely I do think they won't be

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<v Speaker 1>able to hike as much as is priced in. So

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<v Speaker 1>we like the front end, but the long end, with

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<v Speaker 1>inflation high QT happening, I think that long end has

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<v Speaker 1>some more room to rise. How much of this is

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, obviously, if the FED is going to keep

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<v Speaker 1>hiking rates, and you know, the econ one oh one

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<v Speaker 1>lesson is you don't want to hold this paper because

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<v Speaker 1>you're going to be able to get something that yields

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<v Speaker 1>more later. Um. But that's program perspective of somebody who

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<v Speaker 1>wants UH to be clipping coupons? Right? Are they drawn

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<v Speaker 1>in at three three and a quarter to a point

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<v Speaker 1>where it kind of puts a cap on on the

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<v Speaker 1>yields that can how high they can rise? Yeah, so

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<v Speaker 1>you're bringing up the supply demand. I think supply demand

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<v Speaker 1>is still negative for treasuries, meaning you know, three and

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<v Speaker 1>a quarter with inflation at six eight, depending on which

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<v Speaker 1>measure you're looking at. Yes, coupons are higher today than

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<v Speaker 1>they were a year ago, but I think it's I'm

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<v Speaker 1>hard pressed to think that it's attractive. We're still seeing

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<v Speaker 1>outflows from fixed income funds. We've had one week of inflow,

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<v Speaker 1>so I still don't think there's demand coming from you know,

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<v Speaker 1>how much interest rates have risen. Where the demand is

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<v Speaker 1>coming from people trying to hedge for recession risks or

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<v Speaker 1>growth slow down, And so if you have a risk

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<v Speaker 1>asset in your portfolio, having some treasuries that will provide

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<v Speaker 1>that hedging property, which I have to say, treasuries were

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<v Speaker 1>not a great hedge in the first quarter, but that

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<v Speaker 1>hedge has come back. I think now we've growth slows down. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>those hikes are going to get priced, and so it's

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<v Speaker 1>more from a macro economy slowdown risk asset performance. That's

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<v Speaker 1>where the demand for treasuries is coming from, not just

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<v Speaker 1>from a raging stand I mean a key question is, um,

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<v Speaker 1>how quickly you see inflation coming back down to you know,

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<v Speaker 1>the two percent what we've decided I guess as an

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<v Speaker 1>acceptable level. Does that come down to to you know,

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<v Speaker 1>two or three percent at the end of I struggled

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<v Speaker 1>to say that, or we we don't even have it

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<v Speaker 1>at three. We have it a little bit above three

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<v Speaker 1>at the end of next year. And so that's the

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<v Speaker 1>tricky part. I mean, as much as the FED is

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<v Speaker 1>committed I think to price stability, the administration's committed to it,

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<v Speaker 1>there are aspects of inflation that are out of their control, food, energy,

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<v Speaker 1>even parts of shelter. We have a demographic shift in

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<v Speaker 1>housing and there just hasn't been enough creation of that

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<v Speaker 1>housing in the last few years. So I think, um,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, and I think this is a question, a

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<v Speaker 1>tough question the FED will have to answer by your

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<v Speaker 1>end is do they are they okay with inflation decelerating?

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<v Speaker 1>They clearly want a deceleration, but if it decelerates to

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<v Speaker 1>three and a half, it's still significantly lower than here

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<v Speaker 1>is at okay? Can they be a little more patient

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<v Speaker 1>trying to get to that two percent target over four

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<v Speaker 1>years rather than one year? So you know, in our

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<v Speaker 1>forecast right now, even so, at the end of this

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<v Speaker 1>year were four and a half on PC, at the

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<v Speaker 1>end of next year a little over three. But we

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<v Speaker 1>think the FED might be comfortable as long as it's

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<v Speaker 1>heading in the right direction, as long as we age inflation,

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<v Speaker 1>which is also an important part of this, is not accelerating.

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<v Speaker 1>I think, you know, their tolerance band will be tested

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<v Speaker 1>by the market, but slowing growth will allow them to say,

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<v Speaker 1>maybe we just have to tolerate high inflation for a while.

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<v Speaker 1>But it's something I think we haven't really heard from

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<v Speaker 1>the FED yet, and that that's still an open question.

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<v Speaker 1>All right, pre Miser, thank you so much for joining us.

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<v Speaker 1>As always, we love getting your thoughts on kind of

0:11:43.400 --> 0:11:46.160
<v Speaker 1>where rates may be heading and what this feder reserved

0:11:46.840 --> 0:11:50.360
<v Speaker 1>maybe thinking about as we passed through the data misras

0:11:50.400 --> 0:11:53.240
<v Speaker 1>a Managing director and global head of rate strategy at

0:11:53.320 --> 0:12:00.640
<v Speaker 1>TD Securities. Here, all right, let's talk side our security

0:12:00.640 --> 0:12:02.720
<v Speaker 1>will shift gears there. We're all putting more and more

0:12:03.240 --> 0:12:05.000
<v Speaker 1>as we you know, in the last two years, work

0:12:05.040 --> 0:12:07.880
<v Speaker 1>from homes, learn from home, putting more and more data

0:12:08.480 --> 0:12:11.160
<v Speaker 1>in the cloud, doing more and more with technology, and

0:12:11.200 --> 0:12:14.839
<v Speaker 1>of course that raises the concerns about data security, cybersecurity

0:12:14.880 --> 0:12:17.480
<v Speaker 1>broadly define. Our next guest is absolutely on the front

0:12:17.480 --> 0:12:20.679
<v Speaker 1>lines of that. Guilt Schwed is the CEO of Checkpoints

0:12:20.760 --> 0:12:24.760
<v Speaker 1>Software Technologies. You can find that on nastack c h

0:12:24.880 --> 0:12:26.840
<v Speaker 1>KP is a tick of your you put into your

0:12:26.840 --> 0:12:30.439
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg terminal. Guil, thanks so much for joining us here. Again,

0:12:30.480 --> 0:12:34.720
<v Speaker 1>it just seems like your business cybersecurity is more important

0:12:34.720 --> 0:12:36.800
<v Speaker 1>than it's ever been as we put more and more

0:12:37.280 --> 0:12:39.640
<v Speaker 1>or we engage more and more with technology and put

0:12:39.640 --> 0:12:42.000
<v Speaker 1>more and more data in the cloud. Give us just

0:12:42.320 --> 0:12:44.920
<v Speaker 1>your thirty thousand foot view with where this tech stack

0:12:45.040 --> 0:12:49.000
<v Speaker 1>is in terms of cybersecurity. Hi, Paul, I met the

0:12:49.240 --> 0:12:52.000
<v Speaker 1>first year. Absolutely right, we are more vulnerable than ever

0:12:52.080 --> 0:12:55.920
<v Speaker 1>to cyber attack, both because we're dependent on the Internet

0:12:55.960 --> 0:12:59.160
<v Speaker 1>and the network so much, and also because the attacks

0:12:59.200 --> 0:13:02.240
<v Speaker 1>are becoming more more sophisticated. The software that we use

0:13:02.320 --> 0:13:05.120
<v Speaker 1>on every device, on our laptop, on our you know,

0:13:05.520 --> 0:13:10.920
<v Speaker 1>home TV or vacuum cleaner, each one of them has software. Unfortunately,

0:13:10.960 --> 0:13:14.800
<v Speaker 1>all that software has vulnerabilities, and the hackers do take

0:13:14.840 --> 0:13:19.160
<v Speaker 1>advantage of that. And and we are I think almost

0:13:19.160 --> 0:13:22.760
<v Speaker 1>all time high in terms of number of attacks. So

0:13:22.880 --> 0:13:25.360
<v Speaker 1>what's the answer. I mean, um, do you just have

0:13:25.480 --> 0:13:28.320
<v Speaker 1>to keep building a better mouse trap over and over

0:13:28.480 --> 0:13:32.760
<v Speaker 1>and over again? First we do, I mean our the

0:13:32.840 --> 0:13:36.600
<v Speaker 1>systems we build in our industry are all are many

0:13:36.640 --> 0:13:39.760
<v Speaker 1>of them are real time updated and they try to

0:13:39.840 --> 0:13:44.080
<v Speaker 1>adjust themselves all the time. We're building systems that try

0:13:44.160 --> 0:13:46.840
<v Speaker 1>to stop attacks, even attacks that we don't know about.

0:13:47.400 --> 0:13:51.920
<v Speaker 1>That using AI looks at the different patterns of usage

0:13:52.040 --> 0:13:55.600
<v Speaker 1>and when they see something that's suspiciously just stop it.

0:13:56.480 --> 0:13:59.400
<v Speaker 1>And the yes, we do have run as fast as

0:13:59.440 --> 0:14:03.080
<v Speaker 1>we can to top the attackers. Give us a sense guil.

0:14:03.160 --> 0:14:05.840
<v Speaker 1>I think what gets some people who don't live this

0:14:05.920 --> 0:14:08.160
<v Speaker 1>every day but get some really concerns when they hear

0:14:08.160 --> 0:14:12.880
<v Speaker 1>about state sponsored cyber attacks. State sponsored ransomware, that type

0:14:12.920 --> 0:14:14.960
<v Speaker 1>of thing. It gives a sense of how that has

0:14:15.000 --> 0:14:16.760
<v Speaker 1>evolved and kind of what you think at all do

0:14:16.960 --> 0:14:22.640
<v Speaker 1>going forward. So first, many large, many advanced economies and

0:14:22.720 --> 0:14:26.760
<v Speaker 1>countries developed state sponsor technologies to either spy on the

0:14:26.880 --> 0:14:29.760
<v Speaker 1>enemy or even attack at time of four. The challenge

0:14:29.840 --> 0:14:32.160
<v Speaker 1>is not that we're trying just to fight our government

0:14:32.200 --> 0:14:35.880
<v Speaker 1>were not. The challenges that with technologies falls into the

0:14:35.920 --> 0:14:39.680
<v Speaker 1>hands of the wrong guys. And that's something. For example,

0:14:39.760 --> 0:14:42.600
<v Speaker 1>last year there was a devastating attack on the city

0:14:42.640 --> 0:14:47.080
<v Speaker 1>of Baltimore. The attack was by some foreign countries, but

0:14:47.200 --> 0:14:50.600
<v Speaker 1>not foreign countries, foreign groups from foreign countries, but the

0:14:50.680 --> 0:14:54.440
<v Speaker 1>technology they used was actually technology were developed by the

0:14:54.560 --> 0:14:57.840
<v Speaker 1>n say that I think about a few miles from

0:14:57.840 --> 0:15:01.680
<v Speaker 1>the same place the US and show the security agency.

0:15:01.720 --> 0:15:03.560
<v Speaker 1>So the challenge that we have is that this is

0:15:03.600 --> 0:15:08.440
<v Speaker 1>software technology, and sooner or later, almost any attack technology

0:15:08.520 --> 0:15:15.560
<v Speaker 1>falls into the hands of the wrong guys. Bear us

0:15:15.720 --> 0:15:23.520
<v Speaker 1>by publishing. Don't want to look like having some practical

0:15:23.640 --> 0:15:27.440
<v Speaker 1>difficulties there with with he was about to share way

0:15:27.520 --> 0:15:30.480
<v Speaker 1>too much truth with us, I think, and somebody hacked

0:15:30.560 --> 0:15:33.200
<v Speaker 1>his phone line. Yeah exactly, But I know this company

0:15:33.280 --> 0:15:36.520
<v Speaker 1>is based in Israel, as well. But I mean, I

0:15:36.600 --> 0:15:39.120
<v Speaker 1>just think this. I mean, we hear from everybody, um

0:15:39.160 --> 0:15:42.280
<v Speaker 1>and it's just when it hits the news every once

0:15:42.320 --> 0:15:44.160
<v Speaker 1>in a while that comes to people's attention. But we

0:15:44.240 --> 0:15:46.480
<v Speaker 1>hear companies talk about it all the time, the amount

0:15:46.480 --> 0:15:51.280
<v Speaker 1>they're investing in cybersecurity, because every it seems like most,

0:15:51.320 --> 0:15:54.960
<v Speaker 1>if not every company has a lot of data dependency.

0:15:55.160 --> 0:15:58.400
<v Speaker 1>I gotta be honest with you. Listening to Gil just now,

0:15:59.080 --> 0:16:02.680
<v Speaker 1>I was by the realization that technology is going to

0:16:02.760 --> 0:16:06.440
<v Speaker 1>be the death of us all simply, we're we are

0:16:06.520 --> 0:16:10.600
<v Speaker 1>basically engineering the end of our own world. Here. Should

0:16:10.600 --> 0:16:12.720
<v Speaker 1>make a movie about that. At some point, AI is

0:16:12.760 --> 0:16:15.280
<v Speaker 1>just gonna take over and you're not gonna worry about

0:16:15.320 --> 0:16:18.400
<v Speaker 1>your social secourney. Ne're getting hacked. Kil Let me just

0:16:18.440 --> 0:16:19.920
<v Speaker 1>ask you. I think we got you back on the line.

0:16:19.920 --> 0:16:23.560
<v Speaker 1>Here is technology going to be the end of us all? Are? We?

0:16:23.640 --> 0:16:26.560
<v Speaker 1>Are we eventually going to face our globe, our own

0:16:26.560 --> 0:16:31.280
<v Speaker 1>global demise at the hands of like AI and technology.

0:16:31.680 --> 0:16:34.520
<v Speaker 1>I'm actually quite optimistic. I think technology has a bigger

0:16:34.520 --> 0:16:36.400
<v Speaker 1>and bigger role in our lives. But if we look

0:16:36.400 --> 0:16:39.760
<v Speaker 1>at our personal safety and so on, it's much better

0:16:39.840 --> 0:16:42.080
<v Speaker 1>now than it used to be. A twenty or fifty

0:16:42.160 --> 0:16:45.280
<v Speaker 1>years ago, though the risks that we have to face

0:16:45.320 --> 0:16:50.240
<v Speaker 1>are different. Gil What are gen V cyber text and

0:16:50.280 --> 0:16:53.200
<v Speaker 1>why to they matter? Gen vere do what we call

0:16:53.320 --> 0:16:56.760
<v Speaker 1>Gen five cyber attack are the most sophisticated attacks we

0:16:56.840 --> 0:17:00.800
<v Speaker 1>see today. They are what we call ulti vectors. So

0:17:00.920 --> 0:17:02.960
<v Speaker 1>the attacks get from one place like an up you

0:17:03.040 --> 0:17:06.560
<v Speaker 1>download into the phone, which turns into something that gets

0:17:06.560 --> 0:17:10.320
<v Speaker 1>into your computer, but at the end gets the malware

0:17:10.440 --> 0:17:13.640
<v Speaker 1>into the data center of on the cloud or at

0:17:13.640 --> 0:17:17.119
<v Speaker 1>your company. They are usually very hard to spot. They

0:17:17.160 --> 0:17:19.720
<v Speaker 1>are usually every time they come they look a little

0:17:19.720 --> 0:17:22.479
<v Speaker 1>bit differently, so you can just say this looks like

0:17:22.520 --> 0:17:25.680
<v Speaker 1>an attack and they can create a lot of damage.

0:17:25.760 --> 0:17:27.919
<v Speaker 1>Sometimes they would hide and still the data for a

0:17:27.960 --> 0:17:31.000
<v Speaker 1>long period of time. Sometimes they would just create an

0:17:31.000 --> 0:17:34.159
<v Speaker 1>attack that all on the same minute take down the

0:17:34.320 --> 0:17:37.439
<v Speaker 1>entire hospital, or at the same minute take down the

0:17:37.600 --> 0:17:41.040
<v Speaker 1>entire nation. We just celebrate, not celebrated. We just mentioned

0:17:41.680 --> 0:17:46.640
<v Speaker 1>last week the fifth anniversary of the big attack on Ukraine,

0:17:46.880 --> 0:17:49.280
<v Speaker 1>not the war in Ukraine now, but five years ago

0:17:49.320 --> 0:17:52.760
<v Speaker 1>there was a huge attack. They took down the entire country.

0:17:53.080 --> 0:17:57.399
<v Speaker 1>So these are pretty difficult attacks to deal with. When

0:17:57.440 --> 0:17:59.720
<v Speaker 1>I think that's what we need to deal with today.

0:18:00.119 --> 0:18:02.520
<v Speaker 1>Al Right, Gil, thanks so much for going joining us.

0:18:02.920 --> 0:18:09.760
<v Speaker 1>Gil shwed there I think the longest serving CEO any

0:18:09.840 --> 0:18:14.000
<v Speaker 1>NASDAC company, which is pretty cool talking about um uh,

0:18:14.440 --> 0:18:18.560
<v Speaker 1>cybersecurity that in a sense, his company, Checkpoint, kind of invented,

0:18:19.040 --> 0:18:24.000
<v Speaker 1>you know. They started this whole firewall thing, and that

0:18:24.080 --> 0:18:26.240
<v Speaker 1>just seems like a great business to be in. I mean,

0:18:26.280 --> 0:18:30.080
<v Speaker 1>I just can't imagine a company over until it's all over.

0:18:30.119 --> 0:18:32.000
<v Speaker 1>I can't imagine a company saying we're gonna spend less

0:18:32.040 --> 0:18:34.280
<v Speaker 1>this year on cybersecurity than we did last year. I

0:18:34.320 --> 0:18:36.440
<v Speaker 1>just think every budget that comes in, you know, to

0:18:36.520 --> 0:18:39.399
<v Speaker 1>the CFO, is a higher budget for spending on and

0:18:39.440 --> 0:18:41.639
<v Speaker 1>that's good for the Checkpoints of the world and the

0:18:41.680 --> 0:18:47.399
<v Speaker 1>other folks that cater to that. You know. One of

0:18:47.440 --> 0:18:50.239
<v Speaker 1>the things that's definitely changed here during this pandemic kind

0:18:50.240 --> 0:18:53.680
<v Speaker 1>of a I'm not sure if that's an anticipated fallout,

0:18:53.720 --> 0:18:56.760
<v Speaker 1>but workers have a lot more leverage. It seems people

0:18:56.760 --> 0:18:59.159
<v Speaker 1>are saying, I'm not coming back to the office, or

0:18:59.760 --> 0:19:01.600
<v Speaker 1>you know, it's such a type market, I'm gonna go

0:19:01.840 --> 0:19:05.160
<v Speaker 1>leave my current job for a better paying job. It's

0:19:05.160 --> 0:19:09.359
<v Speaker 1>just really changed the whole dynamic of the workforce and

0:19:09.400 --> 0:19:12.320
<v Speaker 1>how and where you work. Nia set Home joins us.

0:19:12.359 --> 0:19:15.880
<v Speaker 1>She's a managing partner at set Home Law Group. Are

0:19:15.880 --> 0:19:19.080
<v Speaker 1>these things let's start just with the work from home

0:19:19.359 --> 0:19:22.720
<v Speaker 1>hybrid how do you do it kind of thing? I

0:19:22.800 --> 0:19:26.320
<v Speaker 1>guess companies large and small still trying to figure it out.

0:19:26.359 --> 0:19:29.800
<v Speaker 1>But it seems like the hybrid thing is kind of

0:19:29.840 --> 0:19:31.960
<v Speaker 1>the preferred model that's emerging. Is that what you're seeing.

0:19:33.440 --> 0:19:37.720
<v Speaker 1>I'm hearing a variety of opinions on this from the employees.

0:19:37.760 --> 0:19:40.399
<v Speaker 1>I'm certainly hearing that hybrid is here to stay and

0:19:40.520 --> 0:19:43.639
<v Speaker 1>that's what they're anticipating and what they're hoping for. But

0:19:43.680 --> 0:19:45.919
<v Speaker 1>a lot of business owners are struggling with the hybrid

0:19:45.960 --> 0:19:49.679
<v Speaker 1>model for many reasons. You know, the economics of it,

0:19:49.760 --> 0:19:52.760
<v Speaker 1>and of course, you know, building culture and managing teams

0:19:53.200 --> 0:19:56.960
<v Speaker 1>is more difficult when people are in disjointed um parts

0:19:57.000 --> 0:19:59.600
<v Speaker 1>of the country. But you know, um, RONNIEA, the thing

0:19:59.760 --> 0:20:04.080
<v Speaker 1>is um A lot of employees want to have the

0:20:04.160 --> 0:20:07.159
<v Speaker 1>hired option or even completely work from home, and a

0:20:07.160 --> 0:20:13.159
<v Speaker 1>lot of their old white male bosses say, no, you

0:20:13.240 --> 0:20:16.360
<v Speaker 1>have to be in the office. Um. If I want

0:20:16.359 --> 0:20:19.840
<v Speaker 1>to work from home and I am producing just as

0:20:19.920 --> 0:20:22.560
<v Speaker 1>much or even better than I would be in the office,

0:20:23.040 --> 0:20:25.040
<v Speaker 1>but I get fired for not coming in. Do I

0:20:25.080 --> 0:20:29.160
<v Speaker 1>have a case? I don't believe. So. As long as

0:20:29.280 --> 0:20:34.880
<v Speaker 1>the rule is applied the same for all employees, then

0:20:35.000 --> 0:20:38.040
<v Speaker 1>I don't think you would have a case. But that's

0:20:38.080 --> 0:20:40.040
<v Speaker 1>the debate right now. I work with a lot of

0:20:40.040 --> 0:20:43.520
<v Speaker 1>small business owners not you know the fortune or even

0:20:43.880 --> 0:20:46.680
<v Speaker 1>Fortune two thousand, if there is such a thing, and

0:20:47.600 --> 0:20:52.720
<v Speaker 1>they're not yet certain as it's a productivity and whether

0:20:52.760 --> 0:20:55.080
<v Speaker 1>it's better for employees to work from home or not.

0:20:55.800 --> 0:20:58.560
<v Speaker 1>All right? How about another issue. Employed at a tech

0:20:58.640 --> 0:21:03.119
<v Speaker 1>firm in Silk and Valley pandemic hits, I go to

0:21:04.160 --> 0:21:08.680
<v Speaker 1>Jackson Hole and relocate and they say, fine, you can

0:21:08.680 --> 0:21:10.199
<v Speaker 1>do your job there, but we're going to pay at

0:21:10.280 --> 0:21:14.679
<v Speaker 1>Jackson Hole level wages, not Silicon Valley level wages. Is

0:21:14.680 --> 0:21:21.199
<v Speaker 1>that okay? I think that is probably okay from a

0:21:21.240 --> 0:21:23.800
<v Speaker 1>legal perspective, but it is a very tough, tough till

0:21:23.880 --> 0:21:26.240
<v Speaker 1>to swallow. You're doing the same work, You're the same person,

0:21:26.280 --> 0:21:29.159
<v Speaker 1>you just move to geography. I don't think that's the

0:21:29.200 --> 0:21:33.440
<v Speaker 1>best conversation to have with employees. Is that conversation happening though?

0:21:33.480 --> 0:21:36.560
<v Speaker 1>Because I can see, if I'm an employer, I would

0:21:36.600 --> 0:21:39.240
<v Speaker 1>definitely want to have that conversation. It is. It is

0:21:39.280 --> 0:21:42.880
<v Speaker 1>definitely happening, and a lot of the reason for that

0:21:43.000 --> 0:21:46.480
<v Speaker 1>is because of the additional financial and administrative burdens that

0:21:46.600 --> 0:21:49.600
<v Speaker 1>come with allowing your workforce to work in states where

0:21:49.640 --> 0:21:52.800
<v Speaker 1>you may not be you know, already registered. If you're

0:21:52.800 --> 0:21:55.280
<v Speaker 1>already registered to do business there, it doesn't make too

0:21:55.359 --> 0:21:58.880
<v Speaker 1>much difference. But if you have to now pay taxes

0:21:58.920 --> 0:22:02.040
<v Speaker 1>there and do a whole host of other things like

0:22:02.080 --> 0:22:05.600
<v Speaker 1>for chesse, workers compensation insurance in these other states, then

0:22:05.640 --> 0:22:09.880
<v Speaker 1>that conversation is taking place with a lot of stride.

0:22:09.880 --> 0:22:12.760
<v Speaker 1>Now yet, Yeah, that's interesting. You know, my um my

0:22:12.800 --> 0:22:15.800
<v Speaker 1>wife is looking to hire for a position and her

0:22:15.880 --> 0:22:19.080
<v Speaker 1>company is willing to allow someone to work from home,

0:22:19.720 --> 0:22:22.040
<v Speaker 1>but she says she can only hire from certain states.

0:22:22.080 --> 0:22:24.320
<v Speaker 1>And I didn't really understand why, but I guess the

0:22:24.400 --> 0:22:27.359
<v Speaker 1>point is for companies, this is a difficult landscape to

0:22:27.440 --> 0:22:30.560
<v Speaker 1>navigate because, um, you've got to be able to pay

0:22:30.600 --> 0:22:33.119
<v Speaker 1>workers comp in different states, or pay taxes in different

0:22:33.160 --> 0:22:36.600
<v Speaker 1>states if you want to have employees who I guess

0:22:37.400 --> 0:22:41.439
<v Speaker 1>have an I P address there. Right, Yes, that is true,

0:22:41.680 --> 0:22:46.399
<v Speaker 1>and some of the laws are extremely cryptic as to

0:22:46.720 --> 0:22:50.280
<v Speaker 1>what does even working from home means. So if you're

0:22:50.320 --> 0:22:52.840
<v Speaker 1>working in another state and the company registers to do

0:22:52.920 --> 0:22:55.359
<v Speaker 1>business there, are you really working from home? Are you

0:22:55.400 --> 0:22:57.520
<v Speaker 1>working in the cafe? And then if you get injured,

0:22:57.960 --> 0:23:01.800
<v Speaker 1>who's paying for that? So it can get quite complicated.

0:23:02.359 --> 0:23:04.359
<v Speaker 1>So how do you think this is complaing for you?

0:23:04.400 --> 0:23:07.720
<v Speaker 1>The smaller businesses that you deal with, Ronnie, I would

0:23:07.720 --> 0:23:12.000
<v Speaker 1>think they would have less flexibility, less resources. So what

0:23:12.040 --> 0:23:15.680
<v Speaker 1>are you advising them or what are you seeing them do? Well?

0:23:15.720 --> 0:23:17.720
<v Speaker 1>I don't want to get into exactly what I advise

0:23:17.800 --> 0:23:20.240
<v Speaker 1>them to do. However, I do have a discussion with

0:23:20.280 --> 0:23:23.720
<v Speaker 1>them about the costs associated with expanding into states where

0:23:23.720 --> 0:23:29.600
<v Speaker 1>they're not already uh, you know, having employees. So a

0:23:29.640 --> 0:23:31.720
<v Speaker 1>lot of the clients that I work with that are

0:23:31.840 --> 0:23:34.680
<v Speaker 1>in fashion and tech, so they marry both fashion and

0:23:34.720 --> 0:23:38.240
<v Speaker 1>tex They don't really have any brick and mortar, but

0:23:38.480 --> 0:23:41.879
<v Speaker 1>they have limited the states in which will allow people

0:23:41.920 --> 0:23:46.320
<v Speaker 1>to work from home because of these additional burdens. It's

0:23:46.320 --> 0:23:48.080
<v Speaker 1>a whole new world out there. It's a brave new

0:23:48.119 --> 0:23:51.359
<v Speaker 1>worlds new world I know, and people are doing that

0:23:51.760 --> 0:23:54.480
<v Speaker 1>remote work, Runnie said home, thank you so much for

0:23:54.560 --> 0:23:57.080
<v Speaker 1>joining us. Ronnie, a Sad Home managing partner set Home

0:23:57.240 --> 0:24:02.480
<v Speaker 1>Law Group. Thanks for listening to the Bloomberg Markets podcast.

0:24:02.880 --> 0:24:06.080
<v Speaker 1>You can subscribe and listen to interviews with Apple Podcasts

0:24:06.200 --> 0:24:10.120
<v Speaker 1>or whatever podcast platform you prefer. I'm Matt Miller. I'm

0:24:10.160 --> 0:24:14.199
<v Speaker 1>on Twitter at Matt Miller three and on False Sweeney

0:24:14.200 --> 0:24:16.840
<v Speaker 1>I'm on Twitter at pt Sweeney. Before the podcast, you

0:24:16.840 --> 0:24:19.280
<v Speaker 1>can always catch us worldwide at Bloomberg Radio