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Speaker 1: Ed Wellkind Lake Agains Live. It is Sunday Night, August

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Speaker 1: twenty first year of Our Lord, twenty twenty two, the

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Speaker 1: show where it kind of all again again. If you

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Speaker 1: have never watched this show, if you're a pay state veteran, regardless,

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Speaker 1: this is the show for you. If you don't have

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Speaker 1: a college football show to call your own, if you

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Speaker 1: feel like the national college football media has kind of

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Speaker 1: left you behind, this is the show for you. If

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Speaker 1: you don't watch college football, if you're totally new to

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Speaker 1: the game, or you've watched it, your entire life doesn't matter. Tonight,

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Speaker 1: this show is for you. Whether you know the show

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Speaker 1: or not, it's for you. We've got full predictions. We

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Speaker 1: will have a record projection for every hour five team

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Speaker 1: in this great country of ours. By the end of

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Speaker 1: this show tonight, you will know our conference champion prediction.

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Speaker 1: You will know our playoff prediction. You'll know our national

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Speaker 1: champion for this college football season. Before we go off

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Speaker 1: the air tonight, I've got camp whispers and intel from

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Speaker 1: eight or nine programs from all across the country. We

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Speaker 1: got quarterback moves being made. We've got injury intel to

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Speaker 1: get to you. The Rama Noodle Express leaves the station

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Speaker 1: for Week one tonight. We've got four best bets on

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Speaker 1: games that are still two weeks away. We're doing all

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Speaker 1: that as they watch us in Waverley, Tennessee. In Clovis,

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Speaker 1: New Mexico, College Station Texas is tuned in, even though

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Speaker 1: I'm told some of you out there pull for Bowling Green,

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Speaker 1: albeit in College Station and Fatbell, North Carolina. Hey, buckle up.

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Speaker 1: It's going to be the longest show we've ever done.

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Speaker 1: It's the most jam packed show we've ever done. It

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Speaker 1: was a big undertaking, but the team pulled it off.

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Speaker 1: Now it's just up to me to execute. First things First,

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Speaker 1: let's dive into some SEC scrimmage intell cals. There's a

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Speaker 1: lot going on down here, and then I'm going to

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Speaker 1: expand it nationally in just a second to keep you

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Speaker 1: up to date on Before we even get into predictions,

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Speaker 1: I got to update you on Alabama. We've been watching

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Speaker 1: that wide receiver group. A lot of people nationally are

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Speaker 1: looking at that wide receiver group. If you're trying to

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Speaker 1: nitpick and saying, ooh, I don't recognize a lot of

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Speaker 1: those names, well number eleven here Treyshon Holden's a perfect example.

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Speaker 1: Of names that you probably remember if you follow recruiting

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Speaker 1: hardcore and you've seen him pop on the screen a

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Speaker 1: time or two for Alabama. But he hasn't been as

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Speaker 1: of yet a Jalen Waddle or a Devonte Smith. Well,

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Speaker 1: it sounds like his time has arrived. They had a

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Speaker 1: scrimmage there in tuscal Lucy yesterday. He had three touchdowns.

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Speaker 1: They were all over fifty yards, so they were at

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Speaker 1: the explosive play variety. He is a guy, has never

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Speaker 1: been a weakness. It's never anything like that. It's just

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Speaker 1: sometimes you got to wait your turn when you're at Alabama,

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Speaker 1: and if you don't immediately as a true freshman, folks

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Speaker 1: can forget about you. Well, Treyshon Holden was decent as

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Speaker 1: a true freshman, but he's won along with Jermaine Burton

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Speaker 1: and Jacory Brooks. I don't call Brooks a veteran, but

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Speaker 1: the more established presence is there. He's the next guy

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Speaker 1: that it sounds like is ready to pop along with

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Speaker 1: freshman like Kobe Prentiss. Isaiah Bond is probably the fastest

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Speaker 1: out of that whole group. I'm looking forward to watching them.

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Speaker 1: You know what, we don't really talk about a lot

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Speaker 1: with Bama, and we talk about him a lot, but

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Speaker 1: we don't talk so much about the fact that they

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Speaker 1: may have the best one to two combo at running

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Speaker 1: back in the country. If Jace McClellan is healthy and

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Speaker 1: ninety plus percent of what we know he's capable of

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Speaker 1: because they got Jamiir Gibbs, they're at RB one. So man,

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Speaker 1: they're gonna be really good this year. How good we'll see.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna predict them later in the show. Texas A

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Speaker 1: and M. I want to address something with A and M.

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Speaker 1: There's some conflicting intel from Texas A and M. I'm

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Speaker 1: talking even about some folks who watch the same scrimmage

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Speaker 1: and come away thinking different things. You got some folks

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Speaker 1: who say, ooh, this offense still feels kind of herky

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Speaker 1: Jerkie Haines King throwing one too many interceptions for me

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Speaker 1: at practice today. I don't think folks understand how good

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Speaker 1: they are defensively, how deep they are defensively. And I

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Speaker 1: don't think you get how hard it is to scrimmage

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Speaker 1: when you got a number of your premier playmakers out

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Speaker 1: that you will have on Saturdays in the fall. Here's

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Speaker 1: what I think I know about A and M number one,

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Speaker 1: they're gonna be better offensively. How much better is a

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Speaker 1: valid question. I think Haines King is your guy at quarterback.

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Speaker 1: Does he sustain that the whole? That's a valid question.

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Speaker 1: I think that some players being out in these scrimmages,

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Speaker 1: along with increasing amounts of depth upfront defensively, have sort

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Speaker 1: of thrown perception out of whack. They're not facing themselves.

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Speaker 1: It's not maroon on white comes Saturday in the fall,

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Speaker 1: you're facing Miami. You're facing Mississippi State, in which case

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Speaker 1: it still will kind of be maroon on white. You

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Speaker 1: get the picture. Though. This happens sometimes when teams are

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Speaker 1: elevating from good to either very good or good to

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Speaker 1: eventually great. Sometimes even the local fans don't really understand

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Speaker 1: what they're watching. I've seen this with Georgia. Georgia just

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Speaker 1: won a national championship. And sometimes I would listen to

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Speaker 1: scrimmage intel and I would listen to practice reports, and

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Speaker 1: you don't know how to properly gauge it because you

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Speaker 1: don't know how good each side of the ball is

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Speaker 1: and how one side of the ball is impacting the other.

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Speaker 1: A and M's going to be fine. Are they going

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Speaker 1: to be good enough offensively to win the West. I

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Speaker 1: don't know that's what we made the segments later in

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Speaker 1: the show for. But I think hayines King's going to

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Speaker 1: be just fine. I think you will see increase in

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Speaker 1: the explsivity raid offensively this year. I just think it's

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Speaker 1: going to kind of be a work in progress. That

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Speaker 1: doesn't mean Connor Wegman couldn't make a move. That's just

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Speaker 1: because he's that good. I don't think it's going to

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Speaker 1: be because King's a week. So let's let's take everything

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Speaker 1: that we hear from College station and let's try and

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Speaker 1: run it through the proper film. I humbly ask that

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Speaker 1: what about Georgia. They just won a national championship. You know,

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Speaker 1: if you've been watching Lake Kick, we hadn't really been

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Speaker 1: focused on the you know, the quarterback talk a lot

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Speaker 1: of people do nationally because we know who it is,

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Speaker 1: and we know who he is and Stetson Bennett I

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Speaker 1: am very fascinated and have been for a few weeks

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Speaker 1: now at the number two corner position opposite keiey Ringo,

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Speaker 1: and it sounds like Kamori Lassiter has just locked that

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Speaker 1: thing up. Now that's who we expected to lock that

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Speaker 1: position up. But it is sort of comforting, given all

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Speaker 1: indications that we've gotten out of Athens, that he's done

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Speaker 1: it with a couple of weeks to go before they

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Speaker 1: play Oregon, because now you can start to domino your

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Speaker 1: way through the rest of that secondary and you can

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Speaker 1: start to build out your depth, and you can start

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Speaker 1: to get guys the appropriate amount of reps and practice.

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Speaker 1: I'm not telling Kirby Smart anything he doesn't know, but

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Speaker 1: I think sometimes when you're watching this, you think to yourself, Oh,

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Speaker 1: it doesn't matter when they figure it out, just as

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Speaker 1: long as they figure it out. Oh it matters. You

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Speaker 1: want to get that thing figured out as quickly as possible.

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Speaker 1: Because of that rep situation. They don't let you practice

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Speaker 1: four hours a day, guys, they give you a very

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Speaker 1: very fine window in which you can practice. And so,

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Speaker 1: Tamori Lassner, that's really good news. That's really good news

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Speaker 1: because of number one, what I just stated. Number two,

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Speaker 1: it's a good thing that George is figuring out the

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Speaker 1: corner rotation because there is going to be, how shall

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Speaker 1: I put this, an increased emphasis on the importance of

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Speaker 1: that position for Georgia this year when you lose a

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Speaker 1: bunch of guys to the NFL at the positions they

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Speaker 1: lost them, and that doesn't mean woe is me next year.

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Speaker 1: It may may mean you got to win a different way.

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Speaker 1: And I think that's valid for Georgia. But they lost

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Speaker 1: so much defensive front talent, generational talent to the NFL

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Speaker 1: that positions like last year that you may have been

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Speaker 1: able to hide guys at I'm thinking of Darien Kendrick

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Speaker 1: for example. This year could be put under more of

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Speaker 1: a microscope. And so if I've got Ringo there, and

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Speaker 1: I've got a Kamari Lassiter who is taking the position

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Speaker 1: by the throat and can improve week by week, and

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Speaker 1: then I got guys on the back end like well

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Speaker 1: like a number of them Stokes, not the least which

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Speaker 1: could grow into starting roles at some point during this year.

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Speaker 1: That's a good thing. Georgia Secondary is going to be

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Speaker 1: tested a lot more this year than it was last year.

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Speaker 1: They need those guys. This is a big headline for them. Florida.

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Speaker 1: This is not going to be really big hidden news.

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Speaker 1: I just don't know that folks really understand how big

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Speaker 1: it is. Anthony Richardson is a really good football player,

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Speaker 1: that you know, he's a starting quarterback at Florida. Any

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Speaker 1: of you who got a taste of FIM last year,

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Speaker 1: you probably looked and you said, well, guy's got a

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Speaker 1: lot of potential. That number fifteen there. I don't care

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Speaker 1: what his nickname is. He's got a lot of potential.

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Speaker 1: He is on the fringe of the Heisman odds when

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Speaker 1: you're looking on YouTube right now, if you're looking at

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Speaker 1: the start there, I'm not so much focused on that.

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Speaker 1: I don't think he has the talent around him at

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Speaker 1: receiver to propel himself into that conversation. But I do

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Speaker 1: think he is a talent, and this is being echoed

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Speaker 1: by everyone. I mean everyone around the Florida program. He's

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Speaker 1: the kind of talent that can change the outcome of

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Speaker 1: multiple games for them this year. Now, they got to

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Speaker 1: be close, you know, so they can't be turning the

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Speaker 1: ball over four times. And that's on him as well

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Speaker 1: as others. But he's the kind of guy. He's the

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Speaker 1: fall forward kind of guy. He's the kind of broken

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Speaker 1: play by any means necessary to make it happen kind

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Speaker 1: of guy. A few times a game that you remember

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Speaker 1: Auburn having in twenty ten. This is not the Cam

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Speaker 1: Newton comparison thing, so save the individual clips that make

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Speaker 1: it sound like that. But the Cam Newton effect was

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Speaker 1: that around him, that Auburn offense was not much to

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Speaker 1: write home about, but he single handedly took them and

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Speaker 1: drugged them to a national championship. I don't expect Florida

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Speaker 1: to make it that far this year, but I do

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Speaker 1: expect them to win some games that when the dust settles,

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Speaker 1: you look at fifteen and say, he drugged that team

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Speaker 1: to a win this after That's incredible what he did.

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Speaker 1: Anthony Richards. You keep him healthy, which you know guys

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Speaker 1: his size tend to do more frequently than smaller guys.

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Speaker 1: I think he can do some very special things this year.

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Speaker 1: And it's again, it's something that you've read in preview

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Speaker 1: magazines and maybe your own eyeballs have told you. It's

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Speaker 1: being validated so far throughout fall camp. That's the important part. Last,

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Speaker 1: but not least here in the SEC sounds at Auburn

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Speaker 1: like Brian Harson's ready to name a starting quarterback. I

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Speaker 1: got to go on record as saying, this one has

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Speaker 1: not gone the way that I necessarily expected it to go.

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Speaker 1: I thought, Zach Calzada was going to be more of

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Speaker 1: a factor here, and he may be later in the year,

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Speaker 1: but it's just not the case now. In fact, he's

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Speaker 1: probably the third option for them. TJ. Finley sounds for

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Speaker 1: all intents and purposes like he's locked up this quarterback

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Speaker 1: position and it's so imperative because well it's the quarterback position.

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Speaker 1: But also there is no team in America, especially in

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Speaker 1: the SEC, that needs a fast start more than Auburn

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Speaker 1: because that over under win total is six for a reason,

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Speaker 1: are deficient in some areas, but their schedule gives them

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Speaker 1: a chance. It gives them a lot of runway. They

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Speaker 1: got to what should be layup games to start the

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Speaker 1: year in Mercer in San Jose State, and then the

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Speaker 1: next three are losable games, but they're also winnable game.

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Speaker 1: These won't be big point spreads either way. And all

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Speaker 1: three of them Penn State, Missouri, LSU back to back

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Speaker 1: to back. They're all in Jurden Hair Stadium, which begs

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Speaker 1: the question, what kind of quarterback player you get? Auburn's

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Speaker 1: going to be good enough. They're overall just sheer talent roster.

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Speaker 1: While not top five or top ten, there's still plenty

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Speaker 1: good enough to hang in every one of these games,

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Speaker 1: they've got to basically play an SEC version of Iowa football.

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Speaker 1: And for those of you who've watched Iowa, you know

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Speaker 1: exactly what I'm talking about. Those of you who have

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Speaker 1: watched Auburn last year, you know they're fully capable of it. Now,

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Speaker 1: what I wonder is is there any added pop? Does TJ.

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Speaker 1: Finley give you any added pop? Because they're saying all

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Speaker 1: the right things about him down there, But when do

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Speaker 1: you not say all the right things? You don't name

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Speaker 1: a starting quarterback and then say we're going to have

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Speaker 1: to win in spite of him though you know, I know,

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Speaker 1: I just named him my store, but he leaves a

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Speaker 1: lot to be desired. Of course you don't say that,

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Speaker 1: but yet that's how I felt when I watch him

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Speaker 1: play at times last year. So I'm very interested, very interesting,

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Speaker 1: because they, obviously as a coaching staff, have either seen

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Speaker 1: enough from him that he has improved enough to lead them,

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Speaker 1: or there's that B scenario which we don't want to entertain,

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Speaker 1: and that's just he's the starter because of lack of ops.

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Speaker 1: So let's just cross our fingers because we've got an

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Speaker 1: over win total bet on Auburn. So let's cross our

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Speaker 1: fingers and hope that's the case. I do wonder with

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Speaker 1: Zach Calzada, that's the guy who was injured didn't get

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Speaker 1: spring So I guess it's not the craziest thing to

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Speaker 1: imagine that he couldn't come right in a new program

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Speaker 1: absence spring ball and lockdown a starting job. I wonder

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Speaker 1: once they get into the season, because we know it'll

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Speaker 1: get rocky eventually. It even gets rocky for the eventual

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Speaker 1: championship team. If it gets rocky for them, they lose

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Speaker 1: a couple of games. Is it just TJ Finley wire

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Speaker 1: to wire or a week over week in practice? Do

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Speaker 1: we see Zach Calzotti get healthier and healthier and do

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Speaker 1: we see him maybe make a move? Is Robbie Ashford

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Speaker 1: a guy making a move? I keep leaving him out

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Speaker 1: irresponsibly because he'd be the one probably taking starting reps

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Speaker 1: right now if it weren't for TJ. Finley. So that's

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Speaker 1: an update from around the SEC. I want to tell

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Speaker 1: you what kind of weekend. We just had a really

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Speaker 1: big one Thursday. I did something for only the second

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Speaker 1: time in the history of the show. Our partners at

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Speaker 1: Academy Sports and Outdoors they said, we got a brand

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Speaker 1: new store opening in Virginia, first one in the state

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Speaker 1: of Virginia. Do your thing. That those were the words

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Speaker 1: from academy. Do your thing is very professional. Don't expect

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Speaker 1: everyone to understand that kind of executive talk. But they said,

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Speaker 1: do your things. And I told you we're putting Chalali

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Speaker 1: of supremacy on the line. That is the plural of Chalice,

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Speaker 1: regardless of what the comment section says. That's the plural

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Speaker 1: of Chalice. And that is this fancy little glass figureine here.

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Speaker 1: And I said, if you prove to me that you

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Speaker 1: go to that Richmond, Virginia Academy grand opening, you're in

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Speaker 1: the running to win at Chalice. Well, we're sending half

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Speaker 1: a dozen of them because we had I probably think

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Speaker 1: hundreds of you, dozens and dozens and dozens. I still

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Speaker 1: haven't open all of them, but we had probably hundreds

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Speaker 1: of you check in from the Richmond, Virginia Academy. Now

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna have to wait until later in the week

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Speaker 1: to see if they broke the record that we also

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Speaker 1: set when they opened one in Panama City a few

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Speaker 1: weeks ago. We got that record. Did we break our

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Speaker 1: own record for traffic for an Academy Sports and Outdoors

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Speaker 1: grand opening. We'll see, but I appreciate that. Also for

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Speaker 1: the record, Austin Hunter Tyler, I hadn't forgotten about you.

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Speaker 1: We're backwarded on chall Live Supremacy right now. So when

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Speaker 1: I get thirty of them in, I've got them being

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Speaker 1: shipped here right now. We've got a bunch to send out.

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Speaker 1: Thank you so much for that. It is about the

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Speaker 1: millionth time that you have taken a call to action

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Speaker 1: and you've delivered above and beyond. That's why Academy Sports

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Speaker 1: and Outdoors is our exclusive provider, and that's why they're

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Speaker 1: banging on the door constantly wanting to do more and

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Speaker 1: more with the show. So from them through me to you,

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Speaker 1: thank you guys so much for that. You know what

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Speaker 1: Tonight's show is about a lot of things, but tonight's

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Speaker 1: show is our official season prediction, and so over how

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Speaker 1: long it's gonna take. But we don't have a heart

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Speaker 1: out tonight, and so as long as it takes, we're

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Speaker 1: going to go through all the Power five conference. I'm

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Speaker 1: not gonna hang on any one team for a long time,

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Speaker 1: but we're gonna go through these conferences. I'm gonna single

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Speaker 1: out some teams and I'm gonna go a little bit

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Speaker 1: more in depth, but I'm gonna give you record predictions

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Speaker 1: for every team in these conferences. We're gonna go conference

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Speaker 1: championship matchups, We're gonna go winners. I'm gonna eventually give

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Speaker 1: you playoff picks. We've got more camp whispers and intel

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Speaker 1: coming up, and we got some best bets coming up too.

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Speaker 1: So I know the clock says seven fifteenth Central. We

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Speaker 1: haven't really even scratched the surface of the show. Big

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Speaker 1: Ten prediction time. We're gonna go first in the East

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Speaker 1: and then in the West. And here's what I'm going

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Speaker 1: to do. First thing I want to do is I

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Speaker 1: want to look at the overall division settings and I

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Speaker 1: want to take a look at who's favored, because a

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Speaker 1: lot of times that matters. But in the Big Ten

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Speaker 1: last year, it didn't Ohio State. Man, they were the

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Speaker 1: overwhelming favorite, just like they are this year, but it

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Speaker 1: was Michigan that ended up taking home the belt. Last year.

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Speaker 1: We remember that we were at the Ohio State Michigan game.

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Speaker 1: Look at the odds here, Ohio State a minus two

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Speaker 1: to fifty money line favorite right now to take the

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Speaker 1: Big Ten overall. These are overall conference standings. So here's

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Speaker 1: what we're gonna do. Let's start in the East. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna go in no particular order here in fact, what

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna do as we look at the Big ten

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Speaker 1: Eastern Division title odds Ohio State, Michigan, Penn State, Michigan State,

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna just go on the Clapper system and we

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Speaker 1: have what in productions called the Vogue or the Voice

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Speaker 1: of God, which is a voice comes from the nether world,

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Speaker 1: and randomly, we're gonna pick some teams and I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: give you my immediate breakdown. I'm gonna give you a

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Speaker 1: best case, worst case, and our actual model record projection.

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Speaker 1: Let's see if this works. First team in these state

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Speaker 1: Penn State, all right, the fighting Jesse's of Penn State,

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Speaker 1: believe it or not. That is yes, Penn State's a

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Speaker 1: really good team. Guys keep going getting a lot of

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Speaker 1: emotion when folks talk to me about Penn State. They

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Speaker 1: keep on going about the even and eleven over the

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Speaker 1: last two years, and they keep on talking about Sean Clifford.

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Speaker 1: And it's never stat driven. It's just either he's really

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Speaker 1: good or he's terrible, and here's the reality. This is

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Speaker 1: a really good talent roster. Jean Clifford is a good quarterback.

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Speaker 1: I didn't say great, I didn't say elite. I didn't

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Speaker 1: say Heisman contender. I said he's plenty good enough to

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Speaker 1: win just about every game they play. They get their

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Speaker 1: toughest when at home against Ohio State. They're over under.

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Speaker 1: Preseason win total is eight and a half. Okay, So

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Speaker 1: as we dive in here a little bit, their transfers

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Speaker 1: are so vital. A lot of folks are talking about

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Speaker 1: Clifford and whatnot. They've got a big time wide receiver

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Speaker 1: intensely that's come in. They need him to hit. They've

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Speaker 1: got offensive line help from Cornell No. Less that needs

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Speaker 1: to hit. They got an edge guy coming in. They

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Speaker 1: need those to hit. They as a staff believe they

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Speaker 1: will hit. Take a look at their schedule. It's really

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Speaker 1: interesting because they start off a lot the same way

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Speaker 1: they did last year. Two of their first three games

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Speaker 1: are very losable, very treacherous. At Purdue at Auburn, they're

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Speaker 1: both on the road. I'm gonna show you what our

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Speaker 1: model thinks about this team. I'm gonna go best case,

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Speaker 1: worst case, and most likely the best case for Penn

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Speaker 1: State because of how experienced you our quarterback, and also

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Speaker 1: because of the overall level of talent they have, and

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Speaker 1: I think they really did a good job in the

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Speaker 1: transfer market is I think the best case for Penn

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Speaker 1: State is an eleven and one season. In fact, our

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Speaker 1: model in some of the scenarios, if we simulate the

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Speaker 1: season one hundred times, spits out an eleven and one.

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Speaker 1: The worst case here, which we've seen play out of

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Speaker 1: time or two over the past few seasons with Penn

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Speaker 1: State is seven and five. That probably involves injury, as

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Speaker 1: is the case most of the time when you go

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Speaker 1: worst case. But our actual prediction for Penn State this

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Speaker 1: year is nine and three. How close does that get

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Speaker 1: you to contending in the Big Ten? We'll see. Think

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Speaker 1: that went well? Yeah, good pace? All right? Next up,

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Speaker 1: next team Michigan, the Michigan Wolverine. So I've taken a

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Speaker 1: lot of flack for Michigan. I'm going to say for

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Speaker 1: Michigan over Michigan is what I've taken a lot of

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Speaker 1: flight for. I'm a huge believer in Michigan. This year,

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Speaker 1: we got them rated the fourth best team in the country.

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Speaker 1: We would favor this team against last year's team if

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Speaker 1: they played today. So that's how high I am on them.

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Speaker 1: Everyone wants to talk about who you lose, and with

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Speaker 1: good reason. Michigan lost some really good players, but that

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Speaker 1: over under win total sits at nine and a half.

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Speaker 1: Number one because they got a lot of good ones

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Speaker 1: coming back, and number two, it's a very workable schedule.

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Speaker 1: You know, you can paint yourself a lot of paths

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Speaker 1: for them to be right there in the thick of

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Speaker 1: that big ten championship race. So while everyone else is

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Speaker 1: a who have they lost? Camp, I'm sort of a

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Speaker 1: camp of who do they have? And what they've got

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Speaker 1: is a really enviable position at quarterback twofold. Ditto at

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Speaker 1: the running back position. This is the deepest and best

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Speaker 1: wide receiver stable they've had. You know what they are

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Speaker 1: on the offensive line, you know what their identity is offensively,

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Speaker 1: And I say that even as they've lost an offensive

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Speaker 1: coordinator they promoted from with them for a reason, they

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Speaker 1: knew they didn't have to go anywhere. They had everything

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Speaker 1: they needed right here in house. Could be one of

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Speaker 1: the sneakiest best offenses in the country this year. And

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Speaker 1: that defense. While they've lost some big names This is

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Speaker 1: not the first time they've had to replace premiere NFL

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Speaker 1: departures up front. They'll do it again. They'll be fine,

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Speaker 1: and this is a team that if they need to,

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Speaker 1: we'll be able to outscore someone a time or two

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Speaker 1: this year. Let's take a look at the best, worst,

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Speaker 1: and most likely record scenarios for Michigan this year. Our

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Speaker 1: best case is actually twelve and zero. We have a

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Speaker 1: couple of pads here. They beat Ohio State last year.

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Speaker 1: It is not out of this world insane to say

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Speaker 1: that if that same identity faces that same identity with

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Speaker 1: Ohio State again this year and there is an improvement

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Speaker 1: on the Buckeye side of the fence, it may not

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Speaker 1: matter which facility that game is played in. That's not

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Speaker 1: the most likely. That's the best case. The worst case

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Speaker 1: is nine and three, which is very, very crazy, I know,

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Speaker 1: because the actual Vegas win totals nine and a half.

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Speaker 1: But I'm just telling you what the model spits out.

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Speaker 1: It's extremely high on Michigan. So there aren't a lot

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Speaker 1: of seven and eight win type scenarios, and there's nine

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Speaker 1: and three. Looking at the schedule right now, they start

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Speaker 1: off with a really long runway. That's no disrespect Colorado

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Speaker 1: State or Maryland is just a really long runway. But

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Speaker 1: that heart of the schedule when they go at Iowa

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Speaker 1: and then they got Penn State a couple of weeks later,

426
00:20:12,960 --> 00:20:16,760
Speaker 1: looking really forward to that. What is our prediction for Michigan.

427
00:20:17,000 --> 00:20:21,360
Speaker 1: Our official prediction for Michigan, our fourth highest rated team

428
00:20:21,359 --> 00:20:23,760
Speaker 1: in the j people is eleven and one. Michigan is

429
00:20:23,800 --> 00:20:24,880
Speaker 1: going to be right in the thick of the Big

430
00:20:24,880 --> 00:20:27,760
Speaker 1: Ten championship picture as a result of that record, and

431
00:20:27,760 --> 00:20:29,960
Speaker 1: that's just regular season. At eleven and one, they will

432
00:20:30,000 --> 00:20:32,120
Speaker 1: be right there in the thick of the college football

433
00:20:32,160 --> 00:20:35,520
Speaker 1: playoff picture until the finish line, just like they were

434
00:20:35,600 --> 00:20:38,280
Speaker 1: last year. Next up, when are we going to do

435
00:20:38,280 --> 00:20:39,800
Speaker 1: Ohio State? Are we doing Ohio State?

436
00:20:40,440 --> 00:20:42,960
Speaker 2: Let's go to Michigan's rival, Ohio State.

437
00:20:43,560 --> 00:20:47,640
Speaker 1: Okay, this is it? This is it? Feel like the draft? Okay.

438
00:20:48,320 --> 00:20:51,560
Speaker 1: So Ryan Day rolls into Big Ten media Days a

439
00:20:51,600 --> 00:20:54,160
Speaker 1: couple of weeks ago and he talks about how big

440
00:20:54,160 --> 00:20:57,000
Speaker 1: a failure last year was and he didn't crack a smile.

441
00:20:57,040 --> 00:20:58,680
Speaker 1: And I know, if you read the transcript you may

442
00:20:58,680 --> 00:21:02,000
Speaker 1: have thought, oh, that's a little tongue. It's not. If

443
00:21:02,040 --> 00:21:05,040
Speaker 1: you make your goals to win that game against Michigan,

444
00:21:05,480 --> 00:21:07,560
Speaker 1: to go on and win the Big Ten Championship game,

445
00:21:07,560 --> 00:21:09,280
Speaker 1: and to win the national championship. They were over three

446
00:21:09,359 --> 00:21:12,800
Speaker 1: last year, so a lot of accolades, a lot of big,

447
00:21:12,880 --> 00:21:16,359
Speaker 1: fancy statistical numbers, but they didn't ultimately accomplish any of

448
00:21:16,359 --> 00:21:18,320
Speaker 1: the things they wanted to. The good news is they

449
00:21:18,359 --> 00:21:21,120
Speaker 1: returned a whole lot of those pieces and they went

450
00:21:21,160 --> 00:21:24,320
Speaker 1: and made definitive upgrades defensively, and I'm talking about from

451
00:21:24,359 --> 00:21:27,439
Speaker 1: staff exact defensively. There are a lot of guys, a

452
00:21:27,440 --> 00:21:32,000
Speaker 1: lot of really talented guys that as individuals have not

453
00:21:32,160 --> 00:21:35,040
Speaker 1: maximized their potential for Ohio State because they hadn't been

454
00:21:35,080 --> 00:21:37,199
Speaker 1: put in the best position to Jim Knowles and his

455
00:21:37,280 --> 00:21:39,840
Speaker 1: staff will change that. I don't know how long it'll take,

456
00:21:40,200 --> 00:21:42,760
Speaker 1: but I imagine a lot of it's happening right now. The

457
00:21:42,920 --> 00:21:45,760
Speaker 1: entire mood around this team is exactly where it needs

458
00:21:45,800 --> 00:21:47,159
Speaker 1: to be. You can feel it. You don't have to

459
00:21:47,160 --> 00:21:49,240
Speaker 1: be in Columbus, Ohio to feel that. I think they've

460
00:21:49,280 --> 00:21:52,760
Speaker 1: got an underrated, tough schedule by Big Ten standards. I

461
00:21:52,800 --> 00:21:55,120
Speaker 1: know it may get laughed at outside of the Big Ten.

462
00:21:55,480 --> 00:21:59,399
Speaker 1: They play six games that we have rated seven or

463
00:21:59,480 --> 00:22:02,280
Speaker 1: higher on the difficulty scale. Notre names one of them.

464
00:22:02,320 --> 00:22:04,680
Speaker 1: I know they're favored big, but that's not an easy

465
00:22:04,800 --> 00:22:07,840
Speaker 1: opponent to start off with. They've got Wisconsin at home,

466
00:22:07,880 --> 00:22:10,880
Speaker 1: they go to Michigan State, Iowa at Penn State, Michigan

467
00:22:10,920 --> 00:22:13,840
Speaker 1: at home. There are some stiff opponents here. It's no

468
00:22:13,880 --> 00:22:16,240
Speaker 1: one that they shouldn't be able to handle. But because

469
00:22:16,280 --> 00:22:18,719
Speaker 1: of that, I'll get to record projections in just a second,

470
00:22:19,359 --> 00:22:21,720
Speaker 1: I'm going to tell you this is not some shoe

471
00:22:21,760 --> 00:22:24,480
Speaker 1: in twelve and oero regular season team. I do want

472
00:22:24,520 --> 00:22:27,920
Speaker 1: to point out that if they do fail to meet

473
00:22:27,960 --> 00:22:32,040
Speaker 1: expectations this year, it will be one of the biggest

474
00:22:32,080 --> 00:22:35,440
Speaker 1: wastes of premier offensive talent over a two year span

475
00:22:35,680 --> 00:22:37,640
Speaker 1: that you will have seen. You don't want to put

476
00:22:37,640 --> 00:22:40,160
Speaker 1: yourself in position where you know you had that wide

477
00:22:40,160 --> 00:22:42,840
Speaker 1: out talent, you know you had that quarterback talent, and

478
00:22:42,880 --> 00:22:45,160
Speaker 1: by your standards, you don't have a thing to show

479
00:22:45,200 --> 00:22:47,800
Speaker 1: for it. That's the kind of competitive pressure that's on

480
00:22:47,840 --> 00:22:50,280
Speaker 1: Ohio State this year. Let's take a look at the

481
00:22:50,320 --> 00:22:54,879
Speaker 1: record projection best, worst, and most likely via our wonderful model.

482
00:22:54,880 --> 00:22:57,359
Speaker 1: Here best case for Ohio State's always twelve and oh,

483
00:22:57,520 --> 00:22:59,720
Speaker 1: there's always an undefeated path in the cards for the

484
00:22:59,720 --> 00:23:05,000
Speaker 1: buck guys. Worst case nine and three, same worst case

485
00:23:05,040 --> 00:23:08,360
Speaker 1: record as Michigan. By the way, this would involve their

486
00:23:08,480 --> 00:23:11,600
Speaker 1: overall level of physicality not rising to the level it

487
00:23:11,640 --> 00:23:14,520
Speaker 1: needs to be. This would include them kind of be

488
00:23:14,720 --> 00:23:17,399
Speaker 1: diced against the likes of Michigan on the ground and

489
00:23:17,440 --> 00:23:19,199
Speaker 1: being pushed around and put on skates. They have no

490
00:23:19,280 --> 00:23:22,240
Speaker 1: excuse for performing like that, but if worst case happens,

491
00:23:22,400 --> 00:23:25,640
Speaker 1: that just means that's what's unfolded. Our prediction for Ohio

492
00:23:25,720 --> 00:23:28,720
Speaker 1: State is eleven and one, which also puts the buck guys,

493
00:23:28,880 --> 00:23:30,800
Speaker 1: even though they have a loss, right there in the

494
00:23:30,800 --> 00:23:32,480
Speaker 1: middle of the Big Ten, right there in the middle

495
00:23:32,480 --> 00:23:34,880
Speaker 1: of the college football playoff, and that probably comes down

496
00:23:34,880 --> 00:23:36,760
Speaker 1: to the head to head with Michigan, and we'll talk

497
00:23:36,800 --> 00:23:38,520
Speaker 1: about that in just a few minutes.

498
00:23:39,280 --> 00:23:43,480
Speaker 2: We move on final team in the East State.

499
00:23:43,880 --> 00:23:47,800
Speaker 1: Michigan State. Spartans are let me make sure I'm not

500
00:23:47,840 --> 00:23:50,399
Speaker 1: speaking out a turn. Yeah, I think so. Michigan State's

501
00:23:50,400 --> 00:23:52,800
Speaker 1: the most fascinating team to me to watch in the

502
00:23:52,800 --> 00:23:55,040
Speaker 1: Big Ten this year, and that includes all the teams

503
00:23:55,040 --> 00:23:58,520
Speaker 1: in the West too, because it really just comes down

504
00:23:58,560 --> 00:24:02,240
Speaker 1: to does it all verify? Last year your eyes didn't

505
00:24:02,359 --> 00:24:04,280
Speaker 1: see If you saw what you saw, you saw a

506
00:24:04,320 --> 00:24:06,159
Speaker 1: team that a lot of folks didn't even expect to

507
00:24:06,200 --> 00:24:08,320
Speaker 1: make a bowl game, and all of a sudden, I mean,

508
00:24:08,359 --> 00:24:10,440
Speaker 1: they're in the thick of the college football playoff talk

509
00:24:10,480 --> 00:24:13,440
Speaker 1: in November, no less. But then you enter twenty twenty two,

510
00:24:13,680 --> 00:24:15,800
Speaker 1: the over underwent total seven and a half. You know,

511
00:24:15,880 --> 00:24:18,280
Speaker 1: So it's kind of an odds maker's world telling you,

512
00:24:18,320 --> 00:24:21,520
Speaker 1: all right, last year was nice. That's probably not where

513
00:24:21,520 --> 00:24:24,560
Speaker 1: you should set your expectation level. But at the same time,

514
00:24:25,040 --> 00:24:27,320
Speaker 1: if you believe in what mel Tucker's cooking up there,

515
00:24:27,480 --> 00:24:30,439
Speaker 1: like I do, then Michigan State becomes the kind of

516
00:24:30,440 --> 00:24:33,280
Speaker 1: team where if the culture and the identity lends itself

517
00:24:33,320 --> 00:24:36,400
Speaker 1: to just blind belief in the preseason, there may be

518
00:24:36,440 --> 00:24:39,120
Speaker 1: some names I don't know yet, but I know Michigan

519
00:24:39,160 --> 00:24:42,480
Speaker 1: State's way. Therefore I will know those players by season.

520
00:24:42,560 --> 00:24:45,120
Speaker 1: Zen think you got examples of that there. Peyton Thorn

521
00:24:45,160 --> 00:24:47,760
Speaker 1: is an incredibly important player this year because of what

522
00:24:47,840 --> 00:24:49,920
Speaker 1: you have to replace in the backfield. You don't replace

523
00:24:49,920 --> 00:24:52,600
Speaker 1: a Kenneth Walker. Their coaches have been out front about

524
00:24:52,640 --> 00:24:55,800
Speaker 1: saying that in the aggregate, though, you can replace the

525
00:24:55,840 --> 00:24:58,840
Speaker 1: production by being a little bit better offensively, making sure

526
00:24:58,880 --> 00:25:02,400
Speaker 1: you protect football at the quarterback position, and also sure

527
00:25:02,400 --> 00:25:04,000
Speaker 1: it would be nice to have a little bit better

528
00:25:04,040 --> 00:25:08,800
Speaker 1: play in the defensive secondary. They had more passes thrown

529
00:25:08,840 --> 00:25:10,399
Speaker 1: on them last year than anyone, so they had a

530
00:25:10,480 --> 00:25:12,720
Speaker 1: chore on their hands. I think they'll be better there.

531
00:25:13,160 --> 00:25:16,000
Speaker 1: How much better probably is going to determine several games.

532
00:25:16,480 --> 00:25:18,560
Speaker 1: Let's take the look as you're looking at their schedule here,

533
00:25:18,920 --> 00:25:20,920
Speaker 1: they got Ohio State at home, they got Wisconsin at home.

534
00:25:20,960 --> 00:25:24,040
Speaker 1: They go to Michigan that game at Penn State last

535
00:25:24,040 --> 00:25:25,960
Speaker 1: week of the year. How much will that game mean

536
00:25:26,200 --> 00:25:28,560
Speaker 1: in the Grand Big ten scheme of things? What is

537
00:25:28,600 --> 00:25:31,080
Speaker 1: the model? What is the record projection? Here? The best

538
00:25:31,080 --> 00:25:33,840
Speaker 1: case for Michigan State is ten and two. In fact,

539
00:25:33,840 --> 00:25:36,760
Speaker 1: the model paints a very confident ten and two. For

540
00:25:36,920 --> 00:25:39,600
Speaker 1: the best case for Michigan State. That's you staying healthy,

541
00:25:40,000 --> 00:25:43,600
Speaker 1: That is you maintaining your identity even year over year

542
00:25:43,640 --> 00:25:45,880
Speaker 1: having lost a lot of talent. That's a good sign

543
00:25:45,880 --> 00:25:47,639
Speaker 1: if they're able to do that for obvious reasons. The

544
00:25:47,680 --> 00:25:50,240
Speaker 1: worst case is you kind of just regress back to

545
00:25:50,280 --> 00:25:53,480
Speaker 1: what expectations were for you last, and that's five and seven.

546
00:25:53,800 --> 00:25:56,639
Speaker 1: And that would be obviously a scenario where you get

547
00:25:56,680 --> 00:25:59,280
Speaker 1: to the end of the year and people are talking

548
00:25:59,359 --> 00:26:02,160
Speaker 1: about one wonder, they're talking about flash in pan. Well,

549
00:26:02,160 --> 00:26:04,359
Speaker 1: that's not any conversation. We want Michigan State to be

550
00:26:04,440 --> 00:26:07,880
Speaker 1: in our model projects eight and four as the most

551
00:26:07,960 --> 00:26:12,280
Speaker 1: likely record prediction for Michigan State. Now, what it also does,

552
00:26:12,359 --> 00:26:14,919
Speaker 1: and I should mention this is has a ton of

553
00:26:14,920 --> 00:26:18,040
Speaker 1: one possession games. So they are the quintessential bob team.

554
00:26:18,080 --> 00:26:20,600
Speaker 1: They're the bounce of ball team. You know, they're a

555
00:26:20,640 --> 00:26:24,200
Speaker 1: turnover here, They're a missed fourth down conversion away there

556
00:26:24,240 --> 00:26:26,879
Speaker 1: from making that thing ten and two, making it eight

557
00:26:26,920 --> 00:26:29,600
Speaker 1: and four, making it six and six. That is why

558
00:26:30,280 --> 00:26:33,399
Speaker 1: Michigan State is the most fascinating team to me to

559
00:26:33,480 --> 00:26:35,440
Speaker 1: watch in the Big Ten, because they're a disruptor too.

560
00:26:36,200 --> 00:26:38,119
Speaker 1: Ohio State's where they're spposed to be, you know, Michigan

561
00:26:38,160 --> 00:26:40,240
Speaker 1: historically is kind of where they're suposed to be. Folks

562
00:26:40,320 --> 00:26:42,159
Speaker 1: in the Big Ten don't want Michigan State doing what

563
00:26:42,200 --> 00:26:45,240
Speaker 1: they're doing right now. They have no interest in battling

564
00:26:45,320 --> 00:26:48,639
Speaker 1: Michigan State for recruits. They have no interest in getting

565
00:26:48,640 --> 00:26:51,159
Speaker 1: real strong pushback on the field from Michigan State. Michigan

566
00:26:51,200 --> 00:26:52,800
Speaker 1: State is just supposed to be one of those nice,

567
00:26:53,119 --> 00:26:55,840
Speaker 1: scrappy teams, and we end up beating them, and then

568
00:26:55,960 --> 00:26:57,240
Speaker 1: at the end of the day we pat them on

569
00:26:57,240 --> 00:26:59,320
Speaker 1: the head and we say, well, you guys gave us

570
00:26:59,320 --> 00:27:03,120
Speaker 1: a stiff chow today. Have fun in East Lansing. This winner, Well,

571
00:27:03,119 --> 00:27:06,159
Speaker 1: that's not Michigan State football anymore. And that's what you

572
00:27:06,240 --> 00:27:10,280
Speaker 1: need this season to validate. All right, that's the East.

573
00:27:10,440 --> 00:27:13,639
Speaker 1: Now look at the East. Hid to odds again, you

574
00:27:13,680 --> 00:27:16,040
Speaker 1: saw that. Now we go to the West in the

575
00:27:16,040 --> 00:27:19,639
Speaker 1: Big Ten West, Wisconsin a short favorite. I would say

576
00:27:20,040 --> 00:27:23,119
Speaker 1: Nebraska's up there. Iowa was only plus five hundred per

577
00:27:23,200 --> 00:27:27,320
Speaker 1: Due plus five fifty, Minnesota plus six fifty. Translation, this

578
00:27:27,400 --> 00:27:30,959
Speaker 1: is anyone's ballgame, with Wisconsin being the slight favorite. So

579
00:27:31,200 --> 00:27:33,000
Speaker 1: what kind of order are we going to go in

580
00:27:33,040 --> 00:27:37,479
Speaker 1: here at the Big Ten West? Josh you La Corn,

581
00:27:37,320 --> 00:27:40,960
Speaker 1: don't give me riddles, just give me the team Nebraska.

582
00:27:41,119 --> 00:27:46,680
Speaker 1: Thank you Nebraska. First up. What could be avenued may

583
00:27:46,720 --> 00:27:49,120
Speaker 1: not be immediately for them. They went in the transfer

584
00:27:49,160 --> 00:27:53,040
Speaker 1: portal and they essentially rehuled their entire team, which stands

585
00:27:53,080 --> 00:27:56,280
Speaker 1: to reason if all or most of that coalesces the

586
00:27:56,359 --> 00:27:58,320
Speaker 1: way they wanted to. Eventually this could be a really

587
00:27:58,359 --> 00:28:01,040
Speaker 1: good team. Is it reasonable to expect that right out

588
00:28:01,040 --> 00:28:04,359
Speaker 1: of the gate. I don't know. They play Northwestern less

589
00:28:04,359 --> 00:28:06,600
Speaker 1: than a week from now, I don't know. But the

590
00:28:06,640 --> 00:28:08,880
Speaker 1: schedule does set up to where if they can get

591
00:28:08,920 --> 00:28:11,919
Speaker 1: through that opener over in Ireland, then they've got some

592
00:28:12,000 --> 00:28:14,280
Speaker 1: time to put the pieces together. They're over under win

593
00:28:14,359 --> 00:28:17,879
Speaker 1: total sits there at seven, which is a marked improvement.

594
00:28:18,000 --> 00:28:20,239
Speaker 1: Even if they push from what they have been on

595
00:28:20,280 --> 00:28:24,560
Speaker 1: the field under Scott Frost. The schedule helps. Ultimately, Casey

596
00:28:24,560 --> 00:28:27,440
Speaker 1: Thompson's got to get it done here. That's the quarterback transfer.

597
00:28:27,800 --> 00:28:30,760
Speaker 1: Talk to folks around Texas and talk to folks around

598
00:28:30,760 --> 00:28:34,920
Speaker 1: Casey Thompson, and I'm not sure the rest of the

599
00:28:34,960 --> 00:28:37,679
Speaker 1: country understands the severity of his injury last year, that

600
00:28:37,720 --> 00:28:41,320
Speaker 1: thumb injury, and what he was and wasn't capable of doing.

601
00:28:41,880 --> 00:28:45,200
Speaker 1: I'm not making excuses, just giving it to you like

602
00:28:45,240 --> 00:28:48,640
Speaker 1: it is. If he is one hundred percent of what

603
00:28:48,760 --> 00:28:52,120
Speaker 1: he's capable of, they've got a really good quarterback, probably

604
00:28:52,120 --> 00:28:55,320
Speaker 1: an underrated quarterback there in Casey Thompson. I think that

605
00:28:55,400 --> 00:28:58,080
Speaker 1: improvement along the lines of scrimmage is imperative for them.

606
00:28:58,320 --> 00:29:00,720
Speaker 1: I think they understand that lines that a lot of

607
00:29:00,720 --> 00:29:04,120
Speaker 1: people have gotten worked up over nationally about how many

608
00:29:04,120 --> 00:29:05,480
Speaker 1: times you got to go over to the old trash?

609
00:29:05,520 --> 00:29:08,160
Speaker 1: Can it practice? I don't care. I just hope they're

610
00:29:08,200 --> 00:29:10,440
Speaker 1: better here, That's what I hope. So let's take a

611
00:29:10,440 --> 00:29:13,320
Speaker 1: look at what the model says on the record projection.

612
00:29:13,800 --> 00:29:16,760
Speaker 1: What's the best case for Nebraska. The best case is

613
00:29:16,800 --> 00:29:20,160
Speaker 1: ten and two because of the schedule that we talked about,

614
00:29:20,640 --> 00:29:23,800
Speaker 1: the entirety of the spring in summer, it's very workable.

615
00:29:24,240 --> 00:29:27,320
Speaker 1: They're a one possession loss team after one possession loss team,

616
00:29:27,400 --> 00:29:29,200
Speaker 1: you know all that, which means if I get a

617
00:29:29,240 --> 00:29:31,360
Speaker 1: bounce the right way weekly instead of the wrong way,

618
00:29:31,840 --> 00:29:34,920
Speaker 1: they can make a quantum leap record wise. But just

619
00:29:35,000 --> 00:29:37,160
Speaker 1: as easy as it is to say that, I can

620
00:29:37,200 --> 00:29:39,920
Speaker 1: say their worst case is three and nine. Again, think

621
00:29:39,960 --> 00:29:43,640
Speaker 1: about the discrepancy there. That's almost irresponsible to put on

622
00:29:43,720 --> 00:29:47,600
Speaker 1: the screen. But yet this is Nebraska, and so yes,

623
00:29:47,640 --> 00:29:50,240
Speaker 1: they're capable of doing something incredible this year, and they're

624
00:29:50,240 --> 00:29:53,840
Speaker 1: capable of just totally being a tire fire. I have

625
00:29:53,960 --> 00:29:57,160
Speaker 1: no clue, be honest, neither do you. When it comes

626
00:29:57,160 --> 00:30:00,560
Speaker 1: to what to expect. So what's the happy medium and five?

627
00:30:00,760 --> 00:30:03,680
Speaker 1: That's our record projection for Nebraska. That would be a

628
00:30:03,680 --> 00:30:06,280
Speaker 1: bowl game for the first time under Scott Frost. That

629
00:30:06,320 --> 00:30:08,840
Speaker 1: would be double the amount of wins in any given

630
00:30:08,840 --> 00:30:11,640
Speaker 1: season that he has had there so far. It's there,

631
00:30:11,840 --> 00:30:15,080
Speaker 1: It is there, there for the taking. Please make it happen,

632
00:30:15,120 --> 00:30:16,720
Speaker 1: Nebraska seven and five.

633
00:30:19,600 --> 00:30:21,120
Speaker 2: Let's go to the Iowa Hawkins.

634
00:30:21,920 --> 00:30:26,520
Speaker 1: Iowa is no mystery, and yet so many times teams

635
00:30:26,560 --> 00:30:29,720
Speaker 1: fail figure it out. They're just waiting for you to lose,

636
00:30:30,080 --> 00:30:33,160
Speaker 1: and you know what you do and them game and

637
00:30:33,240 --> 00:30:36,040
Speaker 1: they take it from me. It's very methodical and I

638
00:30:36,120 --> 00:30:38,200
Speaker 1: respect it because there is probably no team in the

639
00:30:38,200 --> 00:30:41,000
Speaker 1: Big ten more in tune with their identity than Iowa.

640
00:30:41,080 --> 00:30:43,920
Speaker 1: They're over under win total seven and a half this year.

641
00:30:44,320 --> 00:30:48,280
Speaker 1: There is a skill in making more talented teams play

642
00:30:48,480 --> 00:30:51,560
Speaker 1: your game. Iowa does it all the time. They may

643
00:30:51,560 --> 00:30:54,640
Speaker 1: not always win, but they are masters. They're experts at

644
00:30:54,640 --> 00:30:57,840
Speaker 1: making you full of four and five star talent play

645
00:30:57,960 --> 00:31:03,680
Speaker 1: their game. And it's not fun, and it's physical and

646
00:31:03,760 --> 00:31:06,680
Speaker 1: it's taxing, and you never feel like you get out

647
00:31:06,680 --> 00:31:08,160
Speaker 1: of the gate and you feel like you're playing in

648
00:31:08,200 --> 00:31:11,160
Speaker 1: quicksand and there you go. They've got you. And so

649
00:31:11,240 --> 00:31:12,960
Speaker 1: what are they going to do this year? Is there

650
00:31:13,040 --> 00:31:16,360
Speaker 1: any uptick offensive? Because a lot of folks, and I'm

651
00:31:16,360 --> 00:31:18,280
Speaker 1: in this camp, I watch Iowa and I just think

652
00:31:18,280 --> 00:31:22,400
Speaker 1: they are what they are offensive And is that the case?

653
00:31:22,560 --> 00:31:25,040
Speaker 1: I think it probably is. But yet because of how

654
00:31:25,120 --> 00:31:28,600
Speaker 1: overall secure they are in their identity and because of

655
00:31:28,640 --> 00:31:31,400
Speaker 1: overall how deep the talent is on the team, Look,

656
00:31:31,520 --> 00:31:34,280
Speaker 1: they still if you look at our record projections, they

657
00:31:34,360 --> 00:31:36,680
Speaker 1: still have a ten and two in them this year.

658
00:31:37,280 --> 00:31:39,640
Speaker 1: There is a path where you turn the ball over

659
00:31:39,760 --> 00:31:41,960
Speaker 1: enough and where they're comfortable enough just sitting there and

660
00:31:42,000 --> 00:31:44,280
Speaker 1: waiting for it, they go ten and two. But because

661
00:31:44,320 --> 00:31:48,239
Speaker 1: they are also limited offensively if you do execute against them,

662
00:31:48,240 --> 00:31:49,640
Speaker 1: if you don't turn the ball over a whole lot,

663
00:31:49,720 --> 00:31:51,480
Speaker 1: there's also a five and seven in there. I think

664
00:31:51,520 --> 00:31:53,840
Speaker 1: eight and four for Iowa is what we're going to

665
00:31:53,920 --> 00:31:56,920
Speaker 1: go with as the most likely projection. Eight and four.

666
00:31:56,960 --> 00:31:58,720
Speaker 1: It's a really good year for Iowa. Eight and four.

667
00:31:59,200 --> 00:32:03,760
Speaker 1: Next up, let's go to the Wisconsin Bad Wisconsin is

668
00:32:03,800 --> 00:32:06,920
Speaker 1: the preseason favorite in the Big Ten West. Not by much,

669
00:32:07,000 --> 00:32:09,760
Speaker 1: but they are the preseason favorite. There have been rumblings

670
00:32:09,760 --> 00:32:13,520
Speaker 1: out of Madison about an improved pass game. I myself

671
00:32:13,520 --> 00:32:15,800
Speaker 1: remained skeptical but hopeful. Tyler Bell is a name that

672
00:32:15,840 --> 00:32:19,360
Speaker 1: we've heard about virtually every week. We've seen some circus catches.

673
00:32:19,720 --> 00:32:22,080
Speaker 1: Sometimes that's just highlight real stuff. Sometimes that means you

674
00:32:22,160 --> 00:32:24,400
Speaker 1: got the real thing on your hands. I hope they do.

675
00:32:24,440 --> 00:32:27,560
Speaker 1: They lost a number of their premier pass catchers, but

676
00:32:27,600 --> 00:32:30,440
Speaker 1: what is premier in the passing game at Wisconsin? So

677
00:32:30,520 --> 00:32:33,680
Speaker 1: you still got guys with a perfect opportunity to flash

678
00:32:33,720 --> 00:32:37,400
Speaker 1: on the scene. They've got a critical stretch at the

679
00:32:37,600 --> 00:32:41,000
Speaker 1: end of their season. They closed the season at Iowa,

680
00:32:41,600 --> 00:32:46,240
Speaker 1: at Nebraska and versus Minnesota. Those are all in division games,

681
00:32:46,440 --> 00:32:49,120
Speaker 1: and those are basically the teams they'll be bouncing off

682
00:32:49,160 --> 00:32:51,160
Speaker 1: of to try and get where they want to be,

683
00:32:51,200 --> 00:32:54,160
Speaker 1: and that's the Big Ten Championship game. This is always

684
00:32:54,200 --> 00:32:57,240
Speaker 1: a team in contention. Last year feels like they were off.

685
00:32:57,280 --> 00:32:59,720
Speaker 1: They weren't. They were nine to four. Let's take a

686
00:32:59,720 --> 00:33:03,560
Speaker 1: look at the model projections for Wisconsin. The best case

687
00:33:04,400 --> 00:33:07,320
Speaker 1: we put it at ten and two, and they, by

688
00:33:07,360 --> 00:33:09,840
Speaker 1: the way, go to Ohio State in the regular season,

689
00:33:10,040 --> 00:33:12,200
Speaker 1: so best case ten and two. In fact, I've bumped

690
00:33:12,200 --> 00:33:15,040
Speaker 1: it up to eleven and one, because the only game

691
00:33:15,080 --> 00:33:16,840
Speaker 1: where you look at and you say that's gonna be

692
00:33:16,840 --> 00:33:19,479
Speaker 1: a tough I don't know about that was the Ohio

693
00:33:19,480 --> 00:33:22,120
Speaker 1: State game. So eleven and one for Wisconsin, best case,

694
00:33:22,280 --> 00:33:24,560
Speaker 1: worst case is eight and four. That's not a big

695
00:33:24,640 --> 00:33:27,040
Speaker 1: drop off. Guys. Eight and four on your worst day

696
00:33:27,520 --> 00:33:29,960
Speaker 1: is getting it done at a pretty high level. We

697
00:33:30,040 --> 00:33:33,800
Speaker 1: predict Wisconsin to go ten and two this year, and

698
00:33:33,880 --> 00:33:36,200
Speaker 1: my guess you're about to see shortly is ten and

699
00:33:36,200 --> 00:33:37,959
Speaker 1: two may very well be good enough to land them

700
00:33:37,960 --> 00:33:40,560
Speaker 1: in the Big Ten Championship game. Last stuff in the

701
00:33:40,560 --> 00:33:41,040
Speaker 1: Big Ten.

702
00:33:41,000 --> 00:33:45,000
Speaker 2: West j Flett and the Minnesota Golden got.

703
00:33:45,360 --> 00:33:49,120
Speaker 1: In that order. Maybe Minnesota is a team the model

704
00:33:49,320 --> 00:33:54,240
Speaker 1: is suspiciously high, rarely suspiciously because the over under win

705
00:33:54,320 --> 00:33:56,440
Speaker 1: total here is seven and a half. We've got him

706
00:33:56,440 --> 00:33:58,320
Speaker 1: as a top thirty team. I know, I haven't told

707
00:33:58,320 --> 00:34:01,560
Speaker 1: you that yet. So there's breaking news. Minnesota top thirty

708
00:34:01,560 --> 00:34:05,239
Speaker 1: and the j people. It's very simple. You've got the

709
00:34:05,240 --> 00:34:07,400
Speaker 1: offensive coordinator back there that you always should have had

710
00:34:07,400 --> 00:34:10,160
Speaker 1: in Kurt Soraka. They've got help which they did not

711
00:34:10,280 --> 00:34:12,440
Speaker 1: have last year at all. So let's cross our fingers

712
00:34:12,480 --> 00:34:16,160
Speaker 1: for that. And Tanner Morgan being married again with Kurt Soraka.

713
00:34:16,200 --> 00:34:18,839
Speaker 1: As it turns out, that's a very good combination. It's

714
00:34:18,840 --> 00:34:21,560
Speaker 1: a good combination, especially in an ultra wide open division

715
00:34:21,719 --> 00:34:24,280
Speaker 1: to make some big things happen. They got to beat Iowa,

716
00:34:24,360 --> 00:34:25,520
Speaker 1: you know what they got to do. They gotta beat

717
00:34:25,520 --> 00:34:27,600
Speaker 1: the Hawk guys. They've lost five straight to them. They

718
00:34:27,600 --> 00:34:29,719
Speaker 1: get him at home, they get him the second to

719
00:34:29,840 --> 00:34:32,640
Speaker 1: last game of the season. You really wonder, don't you,

720
00:34:32,920 --> 00:34:35,839
Speaker 1: how much we'll be riding on that game. Let's take

721
00:34:35,840 --> 00:34:39,399
Speaker 1: a look at the record projections for Iowa. We've got

722
00:34:39,440 --> 00:34:43,800
Speaker 1: best case for them at nine and three. Nine and three,

723
00:34:44,560 --> 00:34:47,520
Speaker 1: I think for Minnesota is number one. It's one of

724
00:34:47,560 --> 00:34:49,719
Speaker 1: the better records that you've seen them have. Nine and three.

725
00:34:49,760 --> 00:34:51,839
Speaker 1: It would be a phenomenal year for them. Five and

726
00:34:51,920 --> 00:34:54,759
Speaker 1: seven because of the overall lack of depth that you

727
00:34:54,840 --> 00:34:57,399
Speaker 1: normally have because you don't recruit at the highest level

728
00:34:57,400 --> 00:34:59,200
Speaker 1: in the world, five and seven is the worst case.

729
00:34:59,440 --> 00:35:02,680
Speaker 1: Are day for Minnesota is eight and four, which puts

730
00:35:02,680 --> 00:35:05,160
Speaker 1: them right in the mix. One bounce here, one bounce

731
00:35:05,200 --> 00:35:09,600
Speaker 1: there for winning the Big Ten West, at least Big West.

732
00:35:09,680 --> 00:35:11,600
Speaker 1: All right, let's take a look at the final standings

733
00:35:11,640 --> 00:35:13,680
Speaker 1: here so I just gave you all a w record.

734
00:35:14,920 --> 00:35:19,239
Speaker 1: So in the Big Ten, perception in the Big Ten

735
00:35:19,560 --> 00:35:23,440
Speaker 1: is the East laps the West. Are model backs that up,

736
00:35:23,480 --> 00:35:26,640
Speaker 1: power ratings back that up. We've got Ohio State winning

737
00:35:26,719 --> 00:35:29,200
Speaker 1: the East, and that really comes down to a head

738
00:35:29,239 --> 00:35:31,360
Speaker 1: to head win over Michigan because we got the Buckeyes

739
00:35:31,400 --> 00:35:34,239
Speaker 1: and the Wolverines both losing a regular season game. It's

740
00:35:34,280 --> 00:35:37,080
Speaker 1: important to note if Michigan's only losing one and it's

741
00:35:37,080 --> 00:35:39,160
Speaker 1: at the very end of the season, they're right there

742
00:35:39,160 --> 00:35:41,400
Speaker 1: still in the playoff makes over. In the West, we

743
00:35:41,560 --> 00:35:45,480
Speaker 1: like Wisconsin over Minnesota. Minnesota a little bit higher rated

744
00:35:45,840 --> 00:35:48,280
Speaker 1: in our model, at least than what I've seen nationally.

745
00:35:48,440 --> 00:35:51,600
Speaker 1: So we got Ohio State versus Wisconsin in the Big

746
00:35:51,600 --> 00:35:56,040
Speaker 1: Ten championship game. I go buck, guys, because I can't

747
00:35:56,120 --> 00:35:59,880
Speaker 1: ignore the proven commodities there. And I also can't ignore

748
00:35:59,880 --> 00:36:02,640
Speaker 1: that if you're gonna light Ohio State up, even if

749
00:36:02,640 --> 00:36:04,640
Speaker 1: defensively they aren't where they need to be this year,

750
00:36:04,960 --> 00:36:06,719
Speaker 1: you're probably gonna light them up through the air, aren't you.

751
00:36:06,800 --> 00:36:08,719
Speaker 1: I just can't trust Wisconsin to do that, even in

752
00:36:08,719 --> 00:36:11,320
Speaker 1: a Big Ten championship game scenario. So give me Ohio

753
00:36:11,360 --> 00:36:17,359
Speaker 1: State over Wisconsin Big Ten Champions. All right, hey, what

754
00:36:17,440 --> 00:36:21,360
Speaker 1: is this show? I've hesitated to do this. I'm going

755
00:36:21,400 --> 00:36:23,200
Speaker 1: to do it for like two minutes here. So I

756
00:36:23,239 --> 00:36:26,440
Speaker 1: know a lot of you are new. We add I

757
00:36:26,480 --> 00:36:28,400
Speaker 1: don't even want to get in the number tens of

758
00:36:28,400 --> 00:36:31,759
Speaker 1: thousands and tens of thousands of people per month, so

759
00:36:31,840 --> 00:36:33,800
Speaker 1: a lot of you come in and you're just picking

760
00:36:33,800 --> 00:36:35,040
Speaker 1: it up on the fly. You don't know what the

761
00:36:35,040 --> 00:36:37,600
Speaker 1: show is. What the show is is something that used

762
00:36:37,600 --> 00:36:39,880
Speaker 1: to be independent. We did it down in Columbus, Georgia.

763
00:36:40,000 --> 00:36:42,400
Speaker 1: I didn't know producer Jesse, I didn't know director Column

764
00:36:42,680 --> 00:36:44,759
Speaker 1: and then Shan and Terry called me about two and

765
00:36:44,760 --> 00:36:47,040
Speaker 1: a half years ago, who at the time ran twenty

766
00:36:47,040 --> 00:36:48,799
Speaker 1: four seven Sports, and he said, why don't you come

767
00:36:48,800 --> 00:36:50,959
Speaker 1: do that show here? Come do it here, do whatever

768
00:36:51,000 --> 00:36:53,000
Speaker 1: you want to. They stayed out of the way. They

769
00:36:53,040 --> 00:36:55,319
Speaker 1: have to this day and they've let us create this,

770
00:36:55,760 --> 00:36:58,400
Speaker 1: and you've allowed us to create it. It's pretty unique,

771
00:36:58,800 --> 00:37:03,040
Speaker 1: very community based, even though overall the metrics would tell

772
00:37:03,040 --> 00:37:05,360
Speaker 1: you it's the biggest college football show in the world

773
00:37:05,880 --> 00:37:09,400
Speaker 1: odd and YouTube combined, but we keep it very communal.

774
00:37:09,800 --> 00:37:11,640
Speaker 1: We don't have a ton of bells and whistles around here.

775
00:37:11,800 --> 00:37:13,719
Speaker 1: Not interested at all in diving into a lot of

776
00:37:13,719 --> 00:37:16,040
Speaker 1: the stories that a lot of the national types do

777
00:37:16,640 --> 00:37:19,319
Speaker 1: because that's their lane. That's not our lane. What we

778
00:37:19,360 --> 00:37:21,200
Speaker 1: do love is we love Saturdays in the fall. We

779
00:37:21,200 --> 00:37:24,360
Speaker 1: don't apologize for it. We don't recognize the season. We

780
00:37:24,360 --> 00:37:27,520
Speaker 1: don't recognize fall weddings, at least on Saturdays. What we

781
00:37:27,560 --> 00:37:30,000
Speaker 1: do recognize is this is the greatest game in the world.

782
00:37:30,320 --> 00:37:33,880
Speaker 1: So why not just talk about it and leave the

783
00:37:33,920 --> 00:37:36,120
Speaker 1: other nonsense at the door that's going to be waiting

784
00:37:36,120 --> 00:37:37,800
Speaker 1: for you when the show's over. You want to be

785
00:37:37,840 --> 00:37:40,719
Speaker 1: a part of this show. It's free. Everything we do

786
00:37:40,800 --> 00:37:43,239
Speaker 1: is free. You're free to come, free to go. We

787
00:37:43,360 --> 00:37:45,640
Speaker 1: got a lot of nomenclature around here that may not

788
00:37:45,719 --> 00:37:48,520
Speaker 1: make sense. What is pate State? You'll learn hang around

789
00:37:48,560 --> 00:37:50,879
Speaker 1: long enough. What is the ram Noodle Express? You'll learn

790
00:37:51,040 --> 00:37:54,440
Speaker 1: hang around long enough. But I will tell you this

791
00:37:54,480 --> 00:37:57,080
Speaker 1: is your college football show. We fully believe that we

792
00:37:57,160 --> 00:37:59,200
Speaker 1: put in the work. We don't take days off, we

793
00:37:59,200 --> 00:38:02,120
Speaker 1: don't take months off, and we come to you every week.

794
00:38:02,200 --> 00:38:05,640
Speaker 1: So if you're looking for college football show, this is it. Sunday, Tuesday,

795
00:38:05,680 --> 00:38:08,160
Speaker 1: Thursday Night eight Eastern seventh Central. You can find it

796
00:38:08,200 --> 00:38:11,279
Speaker 1: on podcast anywhere you get your pods, and you can

797
00:38:11,280 --> 00:38:14,719
Speaker 1: follow on social at late Kick Josh. And if you

798
00:38:14,840 --> 00:38:17,080
Speaker 1: just heard that, you're already here, so thank you for

799
00:38:17,120 --> 00:38:20,359
Speaker 1: being here. Take it to five of your friends. Pause.

800
00:38:20,400 --> 00:38:22,520
Speaker 1: We'd love to keep it free. You know what we

801
00:38:22,560 --> 00:38:24,160
Speaker 1: need to do next up is we need to go

802
00:38:24,239 --> 00:38:28,600
Speaker 1: all the way over to the ACC ACC prediction time.

803
00:38:28,800 --> 00:38:30,759
Speaker 1: Not going to do every team in the conference, but

804
00:38:30,840 --> 00:38:32,640
Speaker 1: I do want to dive into a few of them,

805
00:38:32,840 --> 00:38:35,080
Speaker 1: and I do want to start by looking at some

806
00:38:35,120 --> 00:38:37,680
Speaker 1: odds here. And I know that a lot of you

807
00:38:37,760 --> 00:38:40,920
Speaker 1: have doubts about Clemson. Odds makers don't, at least relative

808
00:38:40,920 --> 00:38:44,080
Speaker 1: to their conference competition, clumbson minus one forty right now

809
00:38:44,320 --> 00:38:47,799
Speaker 1: to win the ACC. For the record, Miami would be

810
00:38:47,920 --> 00:38:51,279
Speaker 1: next up. That would be an interesting ACC championship game,

811
00:38:51,280 --> 00:38:53,560
Speaker 1: wouldn't it? All? Right, let's start in the Atlantic. What

812
00:38:53,640 --> 00:38:57,120
Speaker 1: are the division odds to win the Atlantic? A lot

813
00:38:57,160 --> 00:38:59,040
Speaker 1: of you probably don't have it memorized. That's the one

814
00:38:59,080 --> 00:39:01,920
Speaker 1: where Clumson and in n C State are. So Clemson

815
00:39:01,960 --> 00:39:04,040
Speaker 1: is of minus two forty favorite to win the Atlantic.

816
00:39:04,120 --> 00:39:06,799
Speaker 1: NC State's next, but they're plus four point fifty. What

817
00:39:07,120 --> 00:39:09,000
Speaker 1: order pray tail. Are we going to go in in

818
00:39:09,040 --> 00:39:09,600
Speaker 1: the Atlantic?

819
00:39:11,080 --> 00:39:16,160
Speaker 2: Don't take me back to the wolf? NC stated alert.

820
00:39:16,080 --> 00:39:18,799
Speaker 1: N C State, this is the year. It's got to

821
00:39:18,800 --> 00:39:21,560
Speaker 1: be the year they return a lot. The lines of

822
00:39:21,560 --> 00:39:25,520
Speaker 1: scrimmage look really good, don't have questions at quarterback, and

823
00:39:25,760 --> 00:39:29,040
Speaker 1: they've already taken a bite out of Clemson. They beat

824
00:39:29,080 --> 00:39:31,879
Speaker 1: them last year, so they're not shook by Clemson. In fact,

825
00:39:31,920 --> 00:39:34,360
Speaker 1: they play the style of ball that is perfectly conducive

826
00:39:34,520 --> 00:39:38,880
Speaker 1: to going into Tiger Stadium and being not comfortable, but

827
00:39:38,960 --> 00:39:41,400
Speaker 1: at least playing within themselves. They're over under win totals

828
00:39:41,400 --> 00:39:44,120
Speaker 1: eight and a half. They're built from the inside out.

829
00:39:44,440 --> 00:39:48,200
Speaker 1: That is absolutely the formula for if anyone's going to

830
00:39:48,239 --> 00:39:50,319
Speaker 1: pull this thing off again this year. To pull it off,

831
00:39:51,480 --> 00:39:53,839
Speaker 1: I've heard a lot of conversation that confuses me about

832
00:39:53,920 --> 00:39:55,480
Speaker 1: NC State. A lot of people say, are they going

833
00:39:55,560 --> 00:39:57,000
Speaker 1: to get there this year? Are they going to get

834
00:39:57,000 --> 00:39:59,440
Speaker 1: over the hump? And I'm asking what hump? They went

835
00:39:59,520 --> 00:40:01,680
Speaker 1: nine to three last year, They were good last year.

836
00:40:01,719 --> 00:40:04,239
Speaker 1: They already arrived to me last year. Now if you're

837
00:40:04,280 --> 00:40:06,839
Speaker 1: talking about that ten win season that they haven't had

838
00:40:06,840 --> 00:40:09,960
Speaker 1: since the early two thousands, Okay, maybe a little unfair

839
00:40:09,960 --> 00:40:12,920
Speaker 1: scale to judge them against. But okay, I like everything

840
00:40:12,960 --> 00:40:14,480
Speaker 1: about them this year. Let's take a look at what

841
00:40:14,480 --> 00:40:17,239
Speaker 1: the model thinks. What's the best case for NC State.

842
00:40:17,320 --> 00:40:19,799
Speaker 1: Remember we did the projection the other night. They only

843
00:40:19,840 --> 00:40:22,960
Speaker 1: play one of our jp PULL preseason top twenty five

844
00:40:23,000 --> 00:40:26,480
Speaker 1: teams in the regular season one. So best case scenario

845
00:40:26,520 --> 00:40:30,279
Speaker 1: is eleven and one for them. That could happen. That

846
00:40:30,360 --> 00:40:32,479
Speaker 1: is angels in the outfield, flap those wings could happen.

847
00:40:32,640 --> 00:40:35,719
Speaker 1: Their worst case is seven and five. That's just a

848
00:40:35,800 --> 00:40:39,160
Speaker 1: regression to the pack, injury, turnover, lose some close games.

849
00:40:39,480 --> 00:40:42,160
Speaker 1: Don't have the highest overall talent level in the world,

850
00:40:42,480 --> 00:40:44,759
Speaker 1: but their talent level is plenty high enough. Believe me.

851
00:40:45,000 --> 00:40:48,360
Speaker 1: What is the official prediction around here? Our official prediction

852
00:40:48,680 --> 00:40:52,239
Speaker 1: for NC State ten and two. That's what we're going with.

853
00:40:52,520 --> 00:40:54,840
Speaker 1: Ten and two puts them in the mix for well

854
00:40:54,920 --> 00:40:57,360
Speaker 1: a whole lot of things, and that could include the

855
00:40:57,400 --> 00:41:01,840
Speaker 1: ACC Championship game. So because we got to see what Clemson.

856
00:41:01,440 --> 00:41:05,440
Speaker 2: Does next, stuff, Clemson didn't.

857
00:41:05,200 --> 00:41:08,960
Speaker 1: Have to wait long, did we. The Clemson conversation I

858
00:41:08,960 --> 00:41:11,720
Speaker 1: think has kind of been unrealistic over the past few months.

859
00:41:11,760 --> 00:41:14,120
Speaker 1: You've got one crowd that says they'll be right back

860
00:41:14,239 --> 00:41:16,800
Speaker 1: in the playoff. Then you got another crowd that says

861
00:41:17,000 --> 00:41:20,760
Speaker 1: they're done, and then you've got people like me who say, guys,

862
00:41:21,080 --> 00:41:23,040
Speaker 1: excuse me, both sides. Could we just come to the

863
00:41:23,040 --> 00:41:25,879
Speaker 1: middle over here and acknowledge that they may go ten

864
00:41:25,920 --> 00:41:27,640
Speaker 1: and too? This what if they go ten and too?

865
00:41:27,640 --> 00:41:29,120
Speaker 1: We had a question about that the other night. What

866
00:41:29,200 --> 00:41:31,640
Speaker 1: if they go ten and two? Well, the answer is

867
00:41:31,680 --> 00:41:33,759
Speaker 1: they had a really good year. That's the answer to

868
00:41:33,800 --> 00:41:35,359
Speaker 1: what if they go ten and to Their over under

869
00:41:35,360 --> 00:41:37,640
Speaker 1: win total is ten and a half. Okay, So if

870
00:41:37,680 --> 00:41:40,080
Speaker 1: they go ten and two, slight hit on the under.

871
00:41:40,160 --> 00:41:43,560
Speaker 1: They had a good year. Where is Clemson right? They

872
00:41:43,600 --> 00:41:46,759
Speaker 1: open on Labor Day night against Georgia Tech. I think

873
00:41:46,760 --> 00:41:50,440
Speaker 1: they'll be really good to great obviously. The difference in

874
00:41:50,480 --> 00:41:52,799
Speaker 1: that is ten and two verse twelve and no. I

875
00:41:52,840 --> 00:41:56,719
Speaker 1: think that there's reason to be optimistic cautiously about what

876
00:41:56,719 --> 00:42:00,319
Speaker 1: we've heard out of Clemson's fall camp so far. They

877
00:42:00,400 --> 00:42:02,800
Speaker 1: understand what they do and don't have it quarterback. Now,

878
00:42:02,680 --> 00:42:05,320
Speaker 1: hopefully you just get a year two. I call it

879
00:42:05,400 --> 00:42:07,000
Speaker 1: kind of year one and a half the year two

880
00:42:07,640 --> 00:42:10,239
Speaker 1: because DJ didn't really play a whole first year's freshman year.

881
00:42:10,280 --> 00:42:12,359
Speaker 1: But you hope you get some progression there. You hope

882
00:42:12,400 --> 00:42:14,920
Speaker 1: you get some more continuity at receiver. Their leading receiver

883
00:42:14,960 --> 00:42:17,640
Speaker 1: was under six hundred yards total last year, so you've

884
00:42:17,640 --> 00:42:19,920
Speaker 1: got to improve that. You improve that, you improve a

885
00:42:19,960 --> 00:42:23,640
Speaker 1: lot of things. I think the gap this year is

886
00:42:23,640 --> 00:42:26,680
Speaker 1: a little bit smaller than what you're used to over

887
00:42:26,719 --> 00:42:29,160
Speaker 1: the last few years. But they're the overwhelming favorite still

888
00:42:29,200 --> 00:42:31,319
Speaker 1: for a reason. I want to take a look at

889
00:42:31,320 --> 00:42:33,239
Speaker 1: a couple of things here. So the first thing is

890
00:42:33,480 --> 00:42:35,080
Speaker 1: twelve and OH is always on the table for them.

891
00:42:35,120 --> 00:42:37,640
Speaker 1: So our projected records for Clemson, twelve and OH is

892
00:42:37,680 --> 00:42:40,479
Speaker 1: always there. That's the best case they get NC stayed

893
00:42:40,520 --> 00:42:43,799
Speaker 1: at home. There's a little tricky scheduling dynamic, but it's

894
00:42:43,880 --> 00:42:47,320
Speaker 1: nothing they can't manage. The worst case our model spat

895
00:42:47,320 --> 00:42:50,120
Speaker 1: out was eight and four, which I have very big

896
00:42:50,160 --> 00:42:53,680
Speaker 1: problems seeing even on their worst day, because even if

897
00:42:53,680 --> 00:42:57,120
Speaker 1: they have injury at quarterback, they've got a really good

898
00:42:57,160 --> 00:42:59,480
Speaker 1: backup quarterback. It's a guy a lot of people are

899
00:42:59,520 --> 00:43:02,960
Speaker 1: very excited to see. So if kay Klubnick is playing

900
00:43:03,040 --> 00:43:05,680
Speaker 1: quarterback for them in Week six because the worst has happened,

901
00:43:05,760 --> 00:43:07,840
Speaker 1: are they falling that far off a Cliff, No, if

902
00:43:07,880 --> 00:43:10,880
Speaker 1: they're eight and four, that is the cumulative impact of

903
00:43:10,960 --> 00:43:13,840
Speaker 1: losing those staffers. That's what I got to imagine that is.

904
00:43:13,880 --> 00:43:16,680
Speaker 1: And if that's the case, then yeah, we got a

905
00:43:16,680 --> 00:43:20,120
Speaker 1: different kind of uncomfortable conversation to have in December. Our

906
00:43:20,160 --> 00:43:24,880
Speaker 1: most likely record for Clemson's ten and two. Ten and

907
00:43:24,920 --> 00:43:28,480
Speaker 1: two is exactly the scenario that I presented to you

908
00:43:28,520 --> 00:43:30,719
Speaker 1: a second ago. It's almost like I'd peeked a head.

909
00:43:30,880 --> 00:43:33,000
Speaker 1: If they go ten and two, I'm gonna call it

910
00:43:33,040 --> 00:43:35,920
Speaker 1: a really good year. Yet, aren't my words? If they

911
00:43:35,960 --> 00:43:38,120
Speaker 1: go ten and two, A majority of the country is

912
00:43:38,160 --> 00:43:40,880
Speaker 1: not because the expectation level and the perception of Clemson

913
00:43:40,920 --> 00:43:42,960
Speaker 1: has gotten so out of whack that folks think ten

914
00:43:43,000 --> 00:43:46,560
Speaker 1: and two is a bad year. And it's not just not.

915
00:43:47,080 --> 00:43:49,480
Speaker 1: You should be down when you lose a couple of

916
00:43:49,480 --> 00:43:52,200
Speaker 1: long time staffers at coordinator position. You should be down.

917
00:43:52,400 --> 00:43:54,560
Speaker 1: You should be down when you're having to address the

918
00:43:54,640 --> 00:43:58,319
Speaker 1: kind of offensive and sometimes ineptitude that you had last year.

919
00:43:58,560 --> 00:44:02,360
Speaker 1: This isn't xbox I just hit resets. They're real humans

920
00:44:02,360 --> 00:44:03,920
Speaker 1: you're having to deal with there, and real ones you're

921
00:44:03,920 --> 00:44:05,680
Speaker 1: having to replace. So ten and two would be a

922
00:44:05,719 --> 00:44:07,760
Speaker 1: really good year. That is what we see for Clemson.

923
00:44:08,800 --> 00:44:09,680
Speaker 1: We got one more in.

924
00:44:09,600 --> 00:44:12,640
Speaker 2: This what's a good year?

925
00:44:13,760 --> 00:44:16,280
Speaker 1: Hmm, what is a good Well, I'm about to present

926
00:44:16,360 --> 00:44:18,360
Speaker 1: my actual record projection. Then you tell me if you

927
00:44:18,400 --> 00:44:22,040
Speaker 1: think it's good. I think Florida State's on a good path.

928
00:44:22,120 --> 00:44:24,760
Speaker 1: I have felt that way since day one under Mike Norvel.

929
00:44:25,239 --> 00:44:27,719
Speaker 1: I hear some chuckling out there. You think, because they're

930
00:44:27,760 --> 00:44:29,360
Speaker 1: not in the title picture yet, it means he's not

931
00:44:29,400 --> 00:44:32,239
Speaker 1: the right guy. You think, because that recruiting class, which

932
00:44:32,239 --> 00:44:34,440
Speaker 1: i'd love to see improve, is not in the top ten,

933
00:44:34,600 --> 00:44:37,279
Speaker 1: it doesn't mean they're on the right track. Well, they

934
00:44:37,320 --> 00:44:39,840
Speaker 1: could be tracking in the right direction and just not

935
00:44:39,920 --> 00:44:42,680
Speaker 1: going as quickly maybe as you want them to. But

936
00:44:42,760 --> 00:44:45,120
Speaker 1: it is still progress. They're over under win total seven

937
00:44:45,560 --> 00:44:49,560
Speaker 1: this year. Florida State is tracking in the right direction.

938
00:44:50,320 --> 00:44:53,839
Speaker 1: I just hope it continues this year. They've got a

939
00:44:53,880 --> 00:44:56,799
Speaker 1: shaky offensive line situation on the interior right now. That's

940
00:44:56,880 --> 00:44:59,480
Speaker 1: due mainly to injury. I think there's a little bit

941
00:44:59,520 --> 00:45:01,919
Speaker 1: of improved on the defensive side of things. I think

942
00:45:01,960 --> 00:45:04,439
Speaker 1: wide receiver could be sneaky good for them this year.

943
00:45:05,520 --> 00:45:08,320
Speaker 1: Just don't get knocked off the rails. That's the trick

944
00:45:08,560 --> 00:45:11,600
Speaker 1: for Florida State. I mean, they play LSU in Week

945
00:45:11,760 --> 00:45:14,000
Speaker 1: one and they'll already have a game under their belt

946
00:45:14,000 --> 00:45:18,080
Speaker 1: by then. But they've got a tough little road here.

947
00:45:18,120 --> 00:45:21,280
Speaker 1: They've got at Louisville. After that, they've got Boston Collars,

948
00:45:21,280 --> 00:45:22,960
Speaker 1: they got a ranked Wait for us, they go two,

949
00:45:23,040 --> 00:45:26,239
Speaker 1: NC State Clemson. There's just there's not that string of

950
00:45:26,280 --> 00:45:28,040
Speaker 1: games where you look and you say, all right, that's

951
00:45:28,120 --> 00:45:30,799
Speaker 1: the stretch where we'll get right, We'll get everything figured out.

952
00:45:31,640 --> 00:45:34,200
Speaker 1: Just don't get knocked off the rails. What are the

953
00:45:34,200 --> 00:45:36,680
Speaker 1: different record scenarios this year Florida State? Well, as the

954
00:45:36,719 --> 00:45:39,719
Speaker 1: model sees it, there is a path for nine and three,

955
00:45:40,239 --> 00:45:43,000
Speaker 1: and that'd be really interesting. That would probably overly inflate

956
00:45:43,000 --> 00:45:45,120
Speaker 1: expectations down there. But nine and three is the absolute

957
00:45:45,200 --> 00:45:47,239
Speaker 1: best case given the way the schedule works At the

958
00:45:47,280 --> 00:45:49,440
Speaker 1: worst case for the same reasons, given the way the

959
00:45:49,440 --> 00:45:52,120
Speaker 1: schedule works out four and eight, Because that that schedule

960
00:45:52,320 --> 00:45:56,560
Speaker 1: is up to its maximum potential. If none of those

961
00:45:56,600 --> 00:46:01,440
Speaker 1: teams are underachieving, there could be way more losses dealt

962
00:46:01,440 --> 00:46:03,600
Speaker 1: out than you're comfortable with. At FSU, what is our

963
00:46:03,640 --> 00:46:06,879
Speaker 1: overall prediction for EFIC overall prediction is seven and five

964
00:46:06,960 --> 00:46:09,719
Speaker 1: this year. So the question there that producer Jesse over

965
00:46:09,719 --> 00:46:12,759
Speaker 1: the loudspeaker said, is what is a good year for them?

966
00:46:12,920 --> 00:46:15,200
Speaker 1: I think seven and five is a good year. Seven

967
00:46:15,239 --> 00:46:17,400
Speaker 1: and five is again it's another pick up in the

968
00:46:17,480 --> 00:46:19,560
Speaker 1: right direction. I think it really sets you up to

969
00:46:19,560 --> 00:46:23,440
Speaker 1: be excited about twenty twenty three? Is that the way

970
00:46:23,480 --> 00:46:25,560
Speaker 1: the fan base? First off, let's see if it pans

971
00:46:25,600 --> 00:46:28,320
Speaker 1: out that way. All right, let's go over to the coastal.

972
00:46:28,400 --> 00:46:32,200
Speaker 1: Right quick, let's take a look at some of these odds. Obviously,

973
00:46:33,200 --> 00:46:35,880
Speaker 1: in the coastal we got a lot of newness. So

974
00:46:35,960 --> 00:46:38,320
Speaker 1: in the Coastal, Miami's favored, even though they got a

975
00:46:38,320 --> 00:46:40,719
Speaker 1: brand new staff down there to win the division. At

976
00:46:40,760 --> 00:46:43,840
Speaker 1: pitt it's the same staff, but you've got newness at quarterback.

977
00:46:43,960 --> 00:46:47,320
Speaker 1: At North Carolina there's newnis at quarterback and along the staff.

978
00:46:47,360 --> 00:46:50,040
Speaker 1: Mac Brown's still there though, And we got newness everywhere

979
00:46:50,200 --> 00:46:54,160
Speaker 1: in the Virginias. So let's let's start where where are

980
00:46:54,160 --> 00:46:54,800
Speaker 1: we going to start?

981
00:46:55,960 --> 00:46:57,319
Speaker 2: Let's start with the U.

982
00:46:57,840 --> 00:47:03,120
Speaker 1: Okay, so let's start with Miami. Miami is an interesting

983
00:47:03,160 --> 00:47:05,680
Speaker 1: case study here because there's a new staff, but they're

984
00:47:05,719 --> 00:47:08,440
Speaker 1: not starting from scratch, far from it. Actually they're the

985
00:47:08,480 --> 00:47:10,920
Speaker 1: favorite to win the division. They're over under win totals

986
00:47:10,960 --> 00:47:12,880
Speaker 1: eight and a half in the preseason. They need to

987
00:47:12,920 --> 00:47:16,080
Speaker 1: be competitive in every game. That's what they need when

988
00:47:16,120 --> 00:47:18,560
Speaker 1: odds makers are telling you your favor to win the division,

989
00:47:18,600 --> 00:47:20,480
Speaker 1: even if you don't win it, a very least, you

990
00:47:20,520 --> 00:47:22,920
Speaker 1: should be competitive when you inherit the kind of quarterback

991
00:47:22,960 --> 00:47:25,960
Speaker 1: count they have. At the very least, you should be competitive.

992
00:47:26,400 --> 00:47:30,160
Speaker 1: When you've got the kind of emerging defensive talent they've

993
00:47:30,280 --> 00:47:33,360
Speaker 1: especially seen through fall camp in the front seven, you

994
00:47:33,400 --> 00:47:36,680
Speaker 1: should be competitive in every game. Will they be competitive

995
00:47:36,800 --> 00:47:41,240
Speaker 1: in every game? Offensively, wide receivers got to catch the football.

996
00:47:42,000 --> 00:47:45,520
Speaker 1: Carry over last year to this year. Defense, I think

997
00:47:45,560 --> 00:47:48,920
Speaker 1: for them, especially their ability on third downs is going

998
00:47:48,960 --> 00:47:52,279
Speaker 1: to impact the outcome of a couple of games. They've

999
00:47:52,360 --> 00:47:55,000
Speaker 1: got players, and they've got some that are emerging. Even

1000
00:47:55,040 --> 00:47:58,839
Speaker 1: as we speak, really excited to see Miami, and I'm

1001
00:47:58,880 --> 00:48:01,560
Speaker 1: doubly excited as some of those young guys like Nagelique Kelly,

1002
00:48:01,640 --> 00:48:03,440
Speaker 1: for example, As some of those guys come along more

1003
00:48:03,440 --> 00:48:05,640
Speaker 1: and more, he could be a guy that's not clicking

1004
00:48:05,840 --> 00:48:07,680
Speaker 1: in week one, two or three, but in week seven,

1005
00:48:07,719 --> 00:48:10,640
Speaker 1: eight nine, all of a sudden, you're saying, Wow, some

1006
00:48:10,719 --> 00:48:13,000
Speaker 1: of these young guys round and inform a little quicker

1007
00:48:13,000 --> 00:48:15,400
Speaker 1: than I thought they were. They can get after the quarterback.

1008
00:48:15,600 --> 00:48:18,360
Speaker 1: They've got themselves a good quarterback. They should be in

1009
00:48:18,400 --> 00:48:21,640
Speaker 1: every game. Let's take a look at record projections. Best

1010
00:48:21,640 --> 00:48:25,200
Speaker 1: case eleven and one from Miami. They've got the team

1011
00:48:25,200 --> 00:48:26,799
Speaker 1: to do it, they've got the schedule to do it.

1012
00:48:27,000 --> 00:48:29,279
Speaker 1: There's a path to eleven and one, which would just

1013
00:48:29,320 --> 00:48:32,440
Speaker 1: be an entirely different conversation. Worst case is six and six.

1014
00:48:32,719 --> 00:48:37,320
Speaker 1: First year drawing pains, injury wide receivers, drop young guys,

1015
00:48:37,600 --> 00:48:40,440
Speaker 1: they don't have the one to twelve in them, and

1016
00:48:40,480 --> 00:48:43,400
Speaker 1: they sort of hit a wall, and so you're starting

1017
00:48:43,440 --> 00:48:45,480
Speaker 1: to lose some games you don't really think you should.

1018
00:48:46,040 --> 00:48:50,319
Speaker 1: The prediction, though, is lofty. I admit that ten and

1019
00:48:50,360 --> 00:48:54,839
Speaker 1: two is our model prediction for Miami this year. Ten

1020
00:48:54,920 --> 00:48:56,960
Speaker 1: and two, as you would well imagine, is going to

1021
00:48:57,040 --> 00:48:59,920
Speaker 1: get you right there in the thick of the ACC championship. Converse.

1022
00:49:01,320 --> 00:49:03,280
Speaker 1: One more team I wanted to touch on in this division.

1023
00:49:04,640 --> 00:49:09,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, just Pitt, Just Pitt Bessie booking like it through

1024
00:49:09,040 --> 00:49:14,799
Speaker 3: Pennsylvanian pit won the ACC last year, which is why

1025
00:49:14,800 --> 00:49:16,480
Speaker 3: a lot of folks were up in arms when we

1026
00:49:16,560 --> 00:49:18,800
Speaker 3: released the JP pole and Pitt was nowhere to be found.

1027
00:49:19,040 --> 00:49:21,960
Speaker 1: Pitt's actually not even in our top thirty. It's interest.

1028
00:49:22,040 --> 00:49:23,440
Speaker 1: I'll explain it to you in a second. They're over

1029
00:49:23,520 --> 00:49:26,000
Speaker 1: under win total is eight and a half. The model

1030
00:49:26,080 --> 00:49:30,560
Speaker 1: is lower on Pitt because when you don't recruit perennially

1031
00:49:31,040 --> 00:49:34,120
Speaker 1: in the top twenty five and then you lose first

1032
00:49:34,200 --> 00:49:39,319
Speaker 1: round type talented quarterback, it impacts you disproportionately. I know

1033
00:49:39,360 --> 00:49:41,719
Speaker 1: what the preview mags say, I know what the fans say.

1034
00:49:41,760 --> 00:49:44,480
Speaker 1: I talked to a number of Pitt fans about this weekly.

1035
00:49:45,080 --> 00:49:48,080
Speaker 1: I know what could happen. We're trying to figure out

1036
00:49:48,080 --> 00:49:50,439
Speaker 1: what will happen, So what's the most likely path here.

1037
00:49:50,840 --> 00:49:53,759
Speaker 1: You've made a change at offensive coordinator. Everything feels good.

1038
00:49:53,880 --> 00:49:56,160
Speaker 1: I know Paton Ordoosey feels good about it right now.

1039
00:49:56,320 --> 00:49:58,080
Speaker 1: We got to get into the season and we got

1040
00:49:58,080 --> 00:50:00,800
Speaker 1: to win games. We don't just want to get along

1041
00:50:00,840 --> 00:50:03,200
Speaker 1: with him. We got to win games. And I'm telling

1042
00:50:03,239 --> 00:50:07,120
Speaker 1: you that's where I think the model differentiates a little

1043
00:50:07,160 --> 00:50:09,719
Speaker 1: bit with just this crowd that expects Pitt to be

1044
00:50:09,840 --> 00:50:12,000
Speaker 1: right back in the thick of things. I've been wrong

1045
00:50:12,040 --> 00:50:14,080
Speaker 1: before now, but this model has been right a little

1046
00:50:14,080 --> 00:50:16,279
Speaker 1: bit more than it's been wrong. And here's the good news.

1047
00:50:16,320 --> 00:50:18,560
Speaker 1: Even before they get in conference play, we'll find out

1048
00:50:18,560 --> 00:50:20,719
Speaker 1: a lot. West Virginia in week one is a game

1049
00:50:20,760 --> 00:50:23,759
Speaker 1: we'll talk about later in the show. Tennessee in week two.

1050
00:50:24,520 --> 00:50:27,680
Speaker 1: Fascinating game because that's the kind of team you could

1051
00:50:27,680 --> 00:50:30,640
Speaker 1: potentially have to trade scores with and keep up with.

1052
00:50:31,440 --> 00:50:34,600
Speaker 1: Is pit Football in twenty twenty two the kind of

1053
00:50:34,600 --> 00:50:36,840
Speaker 1: team that can do that. Let's take a look at

1054
00:50:36,840 --> 00:50:40,480
Speaker 1: the record projection, because the model is ready to admit

1055
00:50:40,760 --> 00:50:42,520
Speaker 1: that there's a best case here of ten and two.

1056
00:50:42,920 --> 00:50:46,160
Speaker 1: So they were in that ballpark last year. They were

1057
00:50:46,200 --> 00:50:47,879
Speaker 1: eleven and three overall at the end of the year,

1058
00:50:48,000 --> 00:50:50,399
Speaker 1: ten and two could happen. The worst case is six

1059
00:50:50,440 --> 00:50:54,359
Speaker 1: and six. The record prediction for PITT is eight and four.

1060
00:50:54,960 --> 00:50:56,840
Speaker 1: I think eighty four is a good year for PITT.

1061
00:50:57,520 --> 00:51:01,920
Speaker 1: Say this out loud. Pit Football wins, the ACC loses

1062
00:51:01,960 --> 00:51:03,799
Speaker 1: a first round draft pick a quarterback, and still goes

1063
00:51:03,800 --> 00:51:05,480
Speaker 1: eight and four. That's the way it should be framed.

1064
00:51:05,680 --> 00:51:08,640
Speaker 1: It should be a testament paton Ardoozy. But because of

1065
00:51:08,719 --> 00:51:10,839
Speaker 1: the way the expectation level is shaping up out there.

1066
00:51:10,880 --> 00:51:12,960
Speaker 1: I don't think it would be viewed as a success.

1067
00:51:13,000 --> 00:51:15,040
Speaker 1: I would though, So eight and four is my feel

1068
00:51:15,040 --> 00:51:17,120
Speaker 1: for pett. Let's take a look at the entire ACC here.

1069
00:51:17,760 --> 00:51:20,960
Speaker 1: What's the overall projection level? Where are all the records?

1070
00:51:20,960 --> 00:51:25,120
Speaker 1: Taking out the teams that we didn't mention ACC picture

1071
00:51:25,200 --> 00:51:28,040
Speaker 1: this year, we are taking Clemson to win the Atlantic.

1072
00:51:28,160 --> 00:51:31,359
Speaker 1: Notice same record as NC State, it's the head to head,

1073
00:51:31,480 --> 00:51:34,120
Speaker 1: it's NC State going into Clemson. As of now, the

1074
00:51:34,160 --> 00:51:37,040
Speaker 1: model would predict them to lose that game. My feel

1075
00:51:37,520 --> 00:51:39,759
Speaker 1: is that there are a couple of losses on this

1076
00:51:39,840 --> 00:51:43,439
Speaker 1: schedule for Clemson. We think that the NC State game

1077
00:51:43,520 --> 00:51:46,359
Speaker 1: is one that they end up pulling off, and if

1078
00:51:46,400 --> 00:51:48,759
Speaker 1: they do, then they give themselves the inside track to

1079
00:51:48,800 --> 00:51:52,080
Speaker 1: win the Atlantic. In the coastal we got Miami by

1080
00:51:52,120 --> 00:51:54,359
Speaker 1: a couple of games, got Miami winning that thing. Keep

1081
00:51:54,400 --> 00:51:57,480
Speaker 1: in mind they go ten and two, that's our prediction.

1082
00:51:57,920 --> 00:52:00,160
Speaker 1: One of them is probably at A and M in

1083
00:52:00,200 --> 00:52:03,120
Speaker 1: week three, so they may very well be what a

1084
00:52:03,239 --> 00:52:06,360
Speaker 1: one loss ACC team, that's a really good year for

1085
00:52:06,440 --> 00:52:08,640
Speaker 1: Mario Chris Bond. At that point, you put yourself in

1086
00:52:08,680 --> 00:52:12,880
Speaker 1: prime position to just go see go measure yourself against Clemson.

1087
00:52:12,880 --> 00:52:15,799
Speaker 1: We got Clemson versus Miami in the ACC Championship game.

1088
00:52:15,840 --> 00:52:19,239
Speaker 1: As of today, Clemson is the pick to win the

1089
00:52:19,320 --> 00:52:23,360
Speaker 1: ACC Championship, which probably puts the Tigers right there in

1090
00:52:23,400 --> 00:52:31,000
Speaker 1: the thick of the playoff picture comes seasons in. I

1091
00:52:31,360 --> 00:52:33,759
Speaker 1: have something that I need to tell you. I know

1092
00:52:33,800 --> 00:52:36,680
Speaker 1: it's Sunday night. We're not putting everything in this show.

1093
00:52:40,440 --> 00:52:44,280
Speaker 1: There is one thing that I left out of tonight's show.

1094
00:52:44,760 --> 00:52:46,560
Speaker 1: But I know I told a little Parker on Twitter.

1095
00:52:46,600 --> 00:52:48,919
Speaker 1: I empty the barrel every show. We left one little

1096
00:52:49,000 --> 00:52:52,360
Speaker 1: tidbit in the barrel. And that is a big tidbit. Actually,

1097
00:52:53,400 --> 00:52:57,080
Speaker 1: the location for Week one of the every given Saturday.

1098
00:52:57,840 --> 00:53:02,239
Speaker 1: We are a mere forty eight hours hours away, give

1099
00:53:02,320 --> 00:53:04,719
Speaker 1: or take a couple of minutes from revealing our Week

1100
00:53:04,760 --> 00:53:08,000
Speaker 1: one destination. I cannot tell you. Look at my hand.

1101
00:53:08,080 --> 00:53:09,839
Speaker 1: I just took that sip of caffeine. There's no way

1102
00:53:09,880 --> 00:53:13,640
Speaker 1: I'm shaking that much already. No, we're shaking out of anticipation,

1103
00:53:14,400 --> 00:53:17,520
Speaker 1: maybe even a little nervousness for announcing our Week one destination.

1104
00:53:17,560 --> 00:53:18,640
Speaker 1: Because I know some of you are going to be

1105
00:53:18,800 --> 00:53:21,439
Speaker 1: aggravated with me because we can only go to one place.

1106
00:53:21,480 --> 00:53:23,640
Speaker 1: We're going to Gainesville. No, we're going to Fayeteville, We're

1107
00:53:23,640 --> 00:53:25,840
Speaker 1: going to Columbus. Or we just pulling a shocker and

1108
00:53:25,880 --> 00:53:27,799
Speaker 1: going to New Orleans on Sunday night and for going

1109
00:53:27,840 --> 00:53:31,879
Speaker 1: the show. Probably not, but I'm going to announce our

1110
00:53:31,920 --> 00:53:36,280
Speaker 1: week one destination Tuesday night on this show. We could

1111
00:53:36,280 --> 00:53:38,800
Speaker 1: not be more excited. I haven't even let the school

1112
00:53:38,840 --> 00:53:42,120
Speaker 1: know yet, that's how secretive it is. So the every

1113
00:53:42,120 --> 00:53:43,960
Speaker 1: given Saturday tour, for those of you who are new

1114
00:53:44,000 --> 00:53:46,319
Speaker 1: around here, we go to a game every week, we

1115
00:53:46,360 --> 00:53:48,560
Speaker 1: get the hand pick the one we go to. You

1116
00:53:48,719 --> 00:53:52,319
Speaker 1: heavily factor into that. I can be bought, I can

1117
00:53:52,360 --> 00:53:56,080
Speaker 1: be recruited, I can be swayed. I am not impartial.

1118
00:53:56,280 --> 00:54:00,640
Speaker 1: I have heavy biases, and I can easily be convinced

1119
00:54:00,719 --> 00:54:04,239
Speaker 1: to come to your town. So Tuesday night, looking forward

1120
00:54:04,280 --> 00:54:06,799
Speaker 1: to that. Cannot wait every given Saturday to our merch

1121
00:54:07,160 --> 00:54:10,200
Speaker 1: soon to drop in the Late Kicks store. I've got

1122
00:54:10,200 --> 00:54:12,319
Speaker 1: more calf whispers and Intel to get to you. I'm

1123
00:54:12,360 --> 00:54:14,720
Speaker 1: only halfway done here. So far with whispers and Intel,

1124
00:54:15,200 --> 00:54:18,719
Speaker 1: let's get back to some scrimmage. Intel. We got to

1125
00:54:18,760 --> 00:54:22,040
Speaker 1: talk about Texas. It finally happened, and I was not

1126
00:54:22,160 --> 00:54:25,480
Speaker 1: expecting it. To happen. But Steve Sarksian over the weekend,

1127
00:54:25,800 --> 00:54:29,320
Speaker 1: sure enough, when you weres is our QB one, which

1128
00:54:29,640 --> 00:54:32,960
Speaker 1: comes on the heels of rumor out of Austin that

1129
00:54:33,080 --> 00:54:36,319
Speaker 1: Hudson card was actually running with the ones and he

1130
00:54:36,480 --> 00:54:39,319
Speaker 1: was looking better. Well, here's what we've been waiting on

1131
00:54:39,440 --> 00:54:42,200
Speaker 1: the entire time with Quinn you were. We've been waiting

1132
00:54:42,400 --> 00:54:46,239
Speaker 1: on the click point, which is our own terminology around here.

1133
00:54:46,400 --> 00:54:49,680
Speaker 1: The clickpoint is just when is it? Maybe it's in camp,

1134
00:54:49,719 --> 00:54:51,520
Speaker 1: Maybe it's week five of the season where you as

1135
00:54:51,520 --> 00:54:54,239
Speaker 1: a staff are watching and you're saying, all right, we

1136
00:54:54,280 --> 00:54:56,719
Speaker 1: always knew he was more talented. We always knew he's

1137
00:54:56,719 --> 00:54:58,840
Speaker 1: the long term plan here. We always knew that. But

1138
00:54:58,920 --> 00:55:02,319
Speaker 1: when's he gonna take the Apparently the clickpoint happened. I

1139
00:55:02,320 --> 00:55:04,920
Speaker 1: am not a believer in a number of the conspiracy

1140
00:55:05,000 --> 00:55:08,600
Speaker 1: theories floating around which would paint this kind of picture

1141
00:55:09,600 --> 00:55:15,319
Speaker 1: start leaving the Athletic Company dark Friday night, grabbed by

1142
00:55:15,360 --> 00:55:18,040
Speaker 1: the shirt by a number of boosters, pushed up against

1143
00:55:18,080 --> 00:55:21,440
Speaker 1: the wall and told, in no uncertain terms, it's yours

1144
00:55:22,000 --> 00:55:24,880
Speaker 1: or it's your tires, buddy, when you is a starting

1145
00:55:25,120 --> 00:55:27,319
Speaker 1: or your break lines are as good as cut. I

1146
00:55:27,400 --> 00:55:30,640
Speaker 1: personally have no evidence that happened, or do you I

1147
00:55:30,680 --> 00:55:33,719
Speaker 1: think that in reality when yours has been named the

1148
00:55:33,719 --> 00:55:37,279
Speaker 1: starting quarterback for Texas because drum roll please, he gives

1149
00:55:37,320 --> 00:55:40,000
Speaker 1: them the best chance to win football games. I know

1150
00:55:40,080 --> 00:55:42,480
Speaker 1: it's boring. I know it doesn't make for a great

1151
00:55:42,520 --> 00:55:45,839
Speaker 1: Netflix series. That is what I believe has happened here.

1152
00:55:46,120 --> 00:55:48,000
Speaker 1: Now here's what I didn't say. A lot of you

1153
00:55:48,080 --> 00:55:50,160
Speaker 1: just heard something I didn't say. You heard me say

1154
00:55:50,360 --> 00:55:53,279
Speaker 1: Texas is about to soar with Quen you as at quarterback. No,

1155
00:55:53,520 --> 00:55:55,959
Speaker 1: quite the opposite. There will be some growing pains here.

1156
00:55:56,440 --> 00:55:59,920
Speaker 1: That's the nature of having a first time starter at

1157
00:56:00,080 --> 00:56:03,719
Speaker 1: quarterback behind what could be a shaky offensive line. That's

1158
00:56:03,760 --> 00:56:05,799
Speaker 1: just the way it is, Bruce Hornsby, we got to

1159
00:56:05,800 --> 00:56:09,480
Speaker 1: deal with it. Major injury averted by the way Kelvin Banks,

1160
00:56:09,840 --> 00:56:13,120
Speaker 1: who is probably going to start, if not immediately, eventually

1161
00:56:13,120 --> 00:56:15,800
Speaker 1: at left tackle for them. He's a true freshman. Remember

1162
00:56:15,800 --> 00:56:17,640
Speaker 1: he committed to Oregon, they flipped him. He's an en

1163
00:56:17,640 --> 00:56:21,440
Speaker 1: State kid, five star. He originally sounded like he had

1164
00:56:21,480 --> 00:56:24,240
Speaker 1: gone down to one of those threaded season ending injuries

1165
00:56:24,239 --> 00:56:26,080
Speaker 1: the other day. Nope, not the case. Just a mild

1166
00:56:26,120 --> 00:56:28,920
Speaker 1: ankle spray according to Chip Brown of Horns twenty four

1167
00:56:28,920 --> 00:56:31,560
Speaker 1: to seven, which is a great resource. By the way,

1168
00:56:31,560 --> 00:56:33,640
Speaker 1: if you're not a Texas fan and you're not over

1169
00:56:33,680 --> 00:56:36,080
Speaker 1: one Horns twenty four seven, I'd ask, what are you

1170
00:56:36,120 --> 00:56:38,239
Speaker 1: doing with your life? I'm not here to judge. I

1171
00:56:38,280 --> 00:56:41,400
Speaker 1: am here to tell you that mild ankle spray. Kelvin Banks.

1172
00:56:41,719 --> 00:56:43,279
Speaker 1: They said he probably could have gone back in the

1173
00:56:43,320 --> 00:56:46,879
Speaker 1: game if he needed to the other day. So next up,

1174
00:56:47,120 --> 00:56:48,719
Speaker 1: speaking of the Knes, we just touched on him a

1175
00:56:48,719 --> 00:56:52,880
Speaker 1: second ago. Nijelalie Kelly was their second highest rated commit

1176
00:56:53,120 --> 00:56:55,960
Speaker 1: in this last class. They are getting more and more

1177
00:56:55,960 --> 00:56:59,279
Speaker 1: excited by they. I really mean, the fan base, the

1178
00:56:59,280 --> 00:57:02,280
Speaker 1: staff is probably I'll be trying to temper expectations because

1179
00:57:02,280 --> 00:57:04,440
Speaker 1: he just got there ten minutes ago. Niger Leaue Kelly's

1180
00:57:04,440 --> 00:57:07,040
Speaker 1: going to be really good, one of those when not

1181
00:57:07,160 --> 00:57:10,120
Speaker 1: if sort of things. He's been coming on very very

1182
00:57:10,160 --> 00:57:13,920
Speaker 1: strongly in fall camp so far, and I think that

1183
00:57:14,000 --> 00:57:16,520
Speaker 1: it's making an impression on a lot of folks down there.

1184
00:57:16,600 --> 00:57:19,440
Speaker 1: They've had scrimmages, they just had one, and while wide

1185
00:57:19,440 --> 00:57:23,960
Speaker 1: receiver drops continue to plague them offensively, you are seeing

1186
00:57:24,520 --> 00:57:27,600
Speaker 1: the makings of a pretty formidable defensive front. I keep

1187
00:57:27,880 --> 00:57:30,840
Speaker 1: running this by you, guys. Everyone's talking about Tyler van

1188
00:57:30,920 --> 00:57:34,560
Speaker 1: Dyke with good reason. This defensive front. It could be

1189
00:57:34,680 --> 00:57:37,480
Speaker 1: changing some games for them. It could be putting them

1190
00:57:37,480 --> 00:57:39,880
Speaker 1: in position. It could give Miami a lot of those

1191
00:57:39,920 --> 00:57:42,760
Speaker 1: plus two turnover type saturdays and all of a sudden,

1192
00:57:43,040 --> 00:57:44,760
Speaker 1: you don't have to light the world on fire offense.

1193
00:57:45,080 --> 00:57:47,080
Speaker 1: Eventually you want to be able to. But you know

1194
00:57:47,280 --> 00:57:50,919
Speaker 1: there could be some some twenty three to sixteen slob

1195
00:57:51,080 --> 00:57:53,240
Speaker 1: or knock, when's the last time we start that in

1196
00:57:53,280 --> 00:57:56,320
Speaker 1: Coral Gables that they come out the beneficiary of or

1197
00:57:56,320 --> 00:57:58,920
Speaker 1: on the right side of, because defense gave him an opportunity,

1198
00:57:59,160 --> 00:58:00,960
Speaker 1: probably a couple of more opportunities, and then they thought

1199
00:58:01,000 --> 00:58:02,840
Speaker 1: they were going to have on a given Saturday, keep

1200
00:58:02,840 --> 00:58:05,320
Speaker 1: an eye on Nijalie. Kelly's gonna play for them. Eventually.

1201
00:58:05,320 --> 00:58:10,760
Speaker 1: This year Penn State needed some going into this spring

1202
00:58:11,200 --> 00:58:13,760
Speaker 1: and going into this summer, they needed something, you know

1203
00:58:13,800 --> 00:58:18,400
Speaker 1: what it was. They needed their transfer portal guys to hit.

1204
00:58:19,480 --> 00:58:22,440
Speaker 1: They got one named Mitchell Tinsley, who is a wide

1205
00:58:22,520 --> 00:58:26,640
Speaker 1: receiver out of Western Kentucky. Han Dotson, who'd you lose him?

1206
00:58:26,800 --> 00:58:30,000
Speaker 1: Who'd you gain Mitchell Tinsley. Always follow up who you

1207
00:58:30,040 --> 00:58:32,080
Speaker 1: lost with who did you gain? Because that's the one

1208
00:58:32,080 --> 00:58:33,480
Speaker 1: you're gonna see on the field this year. They're not

1209
00:58:33,480 --> 00:58:35,760
Speaker 1: just gonna make him play with ten because John Dotson's

1210
00:58:36,000 --> 00:58:38,560
Speaker 1: so Mitchell Tinsley there, you pair him with Parker Washington,

1211
00:58:38,880 --> 00:58:42,400
Speaker 1: John Clifford as veteran with a capitol V as veteran

1212
00:58:42,440 --> 00:58:45,880
Speaker 1: could be couldn't be a pretty good, sneaky good passing

1213
00:58:45,880 --> 00:58:50,160
Speaker 1: attack there. Cop Robinson, we're going to choose to use

1214
00:58:50,160 --> 00:58:53,200
Speaker 1: his nickname instead of the name is Mamma gaven Top

1215
00:58:53,320 --> 00:58:56,959
Speaker 1: Robinson is an edge player who also looking very good

1216
00:58:56,960 --> 00:59:00,320
Speaker 1: for them in fall Camp Hunter Norzad. He is like

1217
00:59:00,360 --> 00:59:03,240
Speaker 1: a Swiss Army knife of an offensive lineman from Cornell

1218
00:59:03,720 --> 00:59:06,600
Speaker 1: in the Ivy League. Ever heard of it. All three

1219
00:59:06,640 --> 00:59:08,440
Speaker 1: of those guys are going to be contributors for them,

1220
00:59:08,480 --> 00:59:10,960
Speaker 1: if not outright starters for them. That's a good thing.

1221
00:59:11,160 --> 00:59:13,280
Speaker 1: That's very It's because you got to trust your evows.

1222
00:59:13,840 --> 00:59:16,840
Speaker 1: Not everyone was after an offensive lineman from Cornell, for example,

1223
00:59:17,000 --> 00:59:19,120
Speaker 1: But if he can win for you and he's versatile

1224
00:59:19,200 --> 00:59:21,680
Speaker 1: enough to play multiple positions for you, so all you're

1225
00:59:21,680 --> 00:59:23,480
Speaker 1: looking for, it doesn't really matter where they came from.

1226
00:59:23,880 --> 00:59:26,480
Speaker 1: Plus he's played a while. He's almost half as old

1227
00:59:26,520 --> 00:59:29,400
Speaker 1: as Sean Clifford, so he's got some seasoning to him

1228
00:59:29,400 --> 00:59:32,040
Speaker 1: as well. Really good to hear. Now, let's just get

1229
00:59:32,040 --> 00:59:34,720
Speaker 1: to the Purdue game and next Thursday night. I think

1230
00:59:34,760 --> 00:59:37,640
Speaker 1: that is also I want to stop in Tallahassee right quick.

1231
00:59:37,920 --> 00:59:41,760
Speaker 1: Florida State is home of Johnny Wilson. Do you know

1232
00:59:41,760 --> 00:59:44,120
Speaker 1: who Johnny Wilson is? I don't think you do. He

1233
00:59:44,200 --> 00:59:47,200
Speaker 1: transferred there from Arizona State. He is an ogre. He

1234
00:59:47,320 --> 00:59:49,880
Speaker 1: is six foot seven, he's about two hundred and twenty

1235
00:59:49,920 --> 00:59:53,760
Speaker 1: five pounds, but he doesn't move like one got He's

1236
00:59:53,760 --> 00:59:57,880
Speaker 1: got ogre listings, but he is really really twitching, in fact,

1237
00:59:57,920 --> 01:00:01,640
Speaker 1: overly twitchy for a guy sixty seven. I was reading

1238
01:00:01,640 --> 01:00:04,280
Speaker 1: some of Brendan San's writing over on Nole's twenty four

1239
01:00:04,280 --> 01:00:07,400
Speaker 1: to seven, and he was talking about how he's not

1240
01:00:07,720 --> 01:00:10,000
Speaker 1: just a big body they put out there. Johnny Wilson's

1241
01:00:10,040 --> 01:00:11,960
Speaker 1: been a guy in scrimmages that has come on to

1242
01:00:11,960 --> 01:00:13,440
Speaker 1: the point where they're not going to be able to

1243
01:00:13,520 --> 01:00:16,880
Speaker 1: keep him off the field and winning one on ones,

1244
01:00:17,560 --> 01:00:20,640
Speaker 1: you know, blocking quickness. There are a lot of facets

1245
01:00:20,680 --> 01:00:22,200
Speaker 1: of his game that take a lot of folks by

1246
01:00:22,240 --> 01:00:25,000
Speaker 1: surprise when they see him, because you see a guy

1247
01:00:25,040 --> 01:00:29,360
Speaker 1: that big, you just figure, well, probably, you know, probably

1248
01:00:29,360 --> 01:00:31,640
Speaker 1: someone they could put at h bag, probably someone they'd

1249
01:00:31,680 --> 01:00:33,680
Speaker 1: use in goal line. But I mean, how's this guy

1250
01:00:33,960 --> 01:00:36,280
Speaker 1: going to get off the line? Well against the better

1251
01:00:36,360 --> 01:00:38,880
Speaker 1: corners in the country, he may struggle, but hey, most

1252
01:00:38,920 --> 01:00:42,000
Speaker 1: good receivers struggle there. But Johnny Wilson's a guy who

1253
01:00:42,040 --> 01:00:44,520
Speaker 1: continues to work on his craft as first and foremost,

1254
01:00:44,600 --> 01:00:48,240
Speaker 1: he's committed to it. Secondly, matchups are very, very important

1255
01:00:48,280 --> 01:00:50,640
Speaker 1: in this game that we all love so much. And

1256
01:00:50,680 --> 01:00:53,320
Speaker 1: if Johnny Wilson is six' seven and can all of

1257
01:00:53,320 --> 01:00:55,800
Speaker 1: a sudden turn fifty fifties into seventy thirties for you

1258
01:00:55,840 --> 01:00:57,600
Speaker 1: down in the red, ZONE i don't care if he

1259
01:00:57,640 --> 01:01:00,720
Speaker 1: serves no other purpose on the. Team if If Florida

1260
01:01:00,840 --> 01:01:04,160
Speaker 1: state just woeful through the air last, year If Florida

1261
01:01:04,200 --> 01:01:07,000
Speaker 1: state all of a sudden found themselves a matchup advantage or,

1262
01:01:07,080 --> 01:01:09,280
Speaker 1: two they got some size at receiver in that. Room,

1263
01:01:09,320 --> 01:01:12,600
Speaker 1: overall if they found that this is not a team

1264
01:01:12,640 --> 01:01:14,680
Speaker 1: that's loaded to the gills with five stars left and,

1265
01:01:14,760 --> 01:01:16,960
Speaker 1: right they've got a flex where they can flex And

1266
01:01:17,000 --> 01:01:20,960
Speaker 1: Johnny wilson may give them an opportunity to. Flex all,

1267
01:01:21,040 --> 01:01:23,120
Speaker 1: RIGHT i know THAT i made you wait for a little.

1268
01:01:23,120 --> 01:01:27,800
Speaker 1: While another stiff of. Caffeine hold, on don't have. It

1269
01:01:29,840 --> 01:01:31,800
Speaker 1: i'm baiting some people who THINK i. Do with, That

1270
01:01:32,920 --> 01:01:35,600
Speaker 1: we've got to predict THE sec kind of the main,

1271
01:01:35,640 --> 01:01:39,560
Speaker 1: EVENT i, guess so let's dive into. It there's nowhere to.

1272
01:01:39,600 --> 01:01:42,120
Speaker 1: Start let's just dive. In we're going to go. Random

1273
01:01:42,440 --> 01:01:45,440
Speaker 1: THE Sec east is the side of THE sec THAT

1274
01:01:45,440 --> 01:01:47,160
Speaker 1: i want to start. On let's take a look at

1275
01:01:47,160 --> 01:01:49,840
Speaker 1: some conference, odds and let's take a look at some

1276
01:01:50,120 --> 01:01:52,920
Speaker 1: well conference. Odds first Are, Bama, georgia and everyone. Else

1277
01:01:53,080 --> 01:01:55,320
Speaker 1: so we know THAT i almost kind of skip past

1278
01:01:55,320 --> 01:01:58,120
Speaker 1: it in my. Mind i'm going to start divisionally in The.

1279
01:01:58,160 --> 01:02:00,720
Speaker 1: East and let's take a look at how that's because It's,

1280
01:02:00,800 --> 01:02:05,160
Speaker 1: georgia sure, Enough but it's Not Tennessee florida two. Three It's,

1281
01:02:05,200 --> 01:02:09,040
Speaker 1: Kentucky kentucky sitting there in the number two. Spot and that's.

1282
01:02:09,080 --> 01:02:10,920
Speaker 1: Interesting so we'll get to The cats in due. Time

1283
01:02:10,960 --> 01:02:13,960
Speaker 1: georgia the overwhelming favorite? Here should they be the overwhelming?

1284
01:02:14,000 --> 01:02:17,720
Speaker 1: Favorite geordan? Answer? Yes have crazier things happened Also, yes

1285
01:02:17,800 --> 01:02:22,520
Speaker 1: let's dive. In first Up Florida. GATORS a little reverb

1286
01:02:22,600 --> 01:02:25,720
Speaker 1: there with The Florida. Gators they're starting twenty two can.

1287
01:02:25,720 --> 01:02:28,200
Speaker 1: PLAY i have very little doubt about. That some of

1288
01:02:28,240 --> 01:02:29,840
Speaker 1: my friends and a lot more of my enemies over

1289
01:02:29,880 --> 01:02:31,520
Speaker 1: on the swamp twenty four to seven board have been

1290
01:02:31,680 --> 01:02:34,080
Speaker 1: asking about the depth. Situation. There are we really as

1291
01:02:34,120 --> 01:02:36,880
Speaker 1: thin as they say we are in terms of quality? Depth,

1292
01:02:36,960 --> 01:02:38,520
Speaker 1: YEAH i don't want to hear tell you about your,

1293
01:02:38,560 --> 01:02:41,160
Speaker 1: team but, yeah that's been echoed by a few folks

1294
01:02:41,160 --> 01:02:43,520
Speaker 1: inside that. Building if you can shake your magic eight

1295
01:02:43,520 --> 01:02:46,400
Speaker 1: ball and promise me, few if any injuries With florida this,

1296
01:02:46,560 --> 01:02:49,640
Speaker 1: year the over at seven wins would be the biggest

1297
01:02:49,720 --> 01:02:52,320
Speaker 1: lot on Planet. Earth but you cannot do. That you

1298
01:02:52,360 --> 01:02:53,880
Speaker 1: also can't tell me where the injuries are going to.

1299
01:02:53,960 --> 01:02:55,880
Speaker 1: Come so we got to try and figure this thing.

1300
01:02:55,920 --> 01:02:59,800
Speaker 1: Out they've got tough staffs to, face not just. Teams

1301
01:03:00,080 --> 01:03:02,520
Speaker 1: they face two of the most veteran coaching staffs In

1302
01:03:02,560 --> 01:03:05,320
Speaker 1: america the first two weeks of the season In utah

1303
01:03:05,400 --> 01:03:08,640
Speaker 1: With winningham and stoops At kentucky in week, two and

1304
01:03:08,640 --> 01:03:10,080
Speaker 1: then they go To. Knoxville and that's just in the

1305
01:03:10,080 --> 01:03:13,160
Speaker 1: first month of the. Season Anthony richardson is good enough

1306
01:03:13,200 --> 01:03:15,800
Speaker 1: to win some games they otherwise were going to. Lose

1307
01:03:15,920 --> 01:03:17,919
Speaker 1: he is good enough to drag them to a win

1308
01:03:18,120 --> 01:03:20,880
Speaker 1: a couple of times this. Year what does the model

1309
01:03:20,920 --> 01:03:23,560
Speaker 1: say About? Florida what is the best case for The

1310
01:03:23,560 --> 01:03:26,560
Speaker 1: gators this? Year you may think it's a little, higher

1311
01:03:27,240 --> 01:03:29,680
Speaker 1: but the model says nine and three best case For

1312
01:03:29,720 --> 01:03:33,600
Speaker 1: florida this. Year you cannot avoid how thin they are

1313
01:03:33,720 --> 01:03:36,360
Speaker 1: at a few, position and there is no world where

1314
01:03:36,400 --> 01:03:38,440
Speaker 1: you go uninjured at every position the whole. Year so

1315
01:03:38,480 --> 01:03:41,120
Speaker 1: even best, case you're gonna have some attrition. Somewhere nine

1316
01:03:41,160 --> 01:03:43,280
Speaker 1: and three be a really good. Year worst case is

1317
01:03:43,320 --> 01:03:46,000
Speaker 1: five and. SEVEN i don't really think we need to

1318
01:03:46,040 --> 01:03:48,560
Speaker 1: go down that. Road seven and five is the most

1319
01:03:48,640 --> 01:03:51,440
Speaker 1: likely prediction the model spits out For. FLORIDA i don't

1320
01:03:51,440 --> 01:03:53,880
Speaker 1: think there'd be a ton Of gator folks happy about,

1321
01:03:53,920 --> 01:03:55,920
Speaker 1: That BUT i think if you pair that with what

1322
01:03:55,960 --> 01:03:58,880
Speaker 1: they end up doing and recruiting the, cycle which promises

1323
01:03:58,920 --> 01:04:01,320
Speaker 1: to be better and better by the, day we could

1324
01:04:01,360 --> 01:04:04,120
Speaker 1: work with. That you avoid a, disaster you're building your

1325
01:04:04,200 --> 01:04:06,120
Speaker 1: roster back the way you want. It we can work with.

1326
01:04:06,160 --> 01:04:10,280
Speaker 1: That my sneaking suspicion is the model may be a

1327
01:04:10,440 --> 01:04:12,440
Speaker 1: tinge low on where it should be With, florida but

1328
01:04:12,520 --> 01:04:18,320
Speaker 1: seven and five is the official. Prediction let's go WITH.

1329
01:04:18,440 --> 01:04:23,000
Speaker 1: Contexu The Kentucky wildcats are these second odds on favorite

1330
01:04:23,040 --> 01:04:27,240
Speaker 1: to win THE secs distant, second but. Second, nonetheless this

1331
01:04:27,400 --> 01:04:28,840
Speaker 1: is the year they need to make it. HAPPY i,

1332
01:04:28,840 --> 01:04:30,400
Speaker 1: mean if they're ever going to pull some magic off,

1333
01:04:30,440 --> 01:04:32,320
Speaker 1: here you get the best quarterback you've had there in

1334
01:04:32,400 --> 01:04:35,000
Speaker 1: quite a. While you get the Two mississippi schools from the.

1335
01:04:35,000 --> 01:04:37,160
Speaker 1: West there's no easy draw from the, west but that's

1336
01:04:37,200 --> 01:04:38,560
Speaker 1: pretty much the way you would want to draw it.

1337
01:04:38,600 --> 01:04:41,320
Speaker 1: Up and you Get georgia at home late in the

1338
01:04:41,400 --> 01:04:45,160
Speaker 1: year with a solid, schedule dynamic advantage because of the

1339
01:04:45,160 --> 01:04:48,760
Speaker 1: stretch That georgia will be coming. Off they've got to

1340
01:04:48,760 --> 01:04:51,960
Speaker 1: define who they are, offensively though they lose some. TALENT

1341
01:04:52,000 --> 01:04:53,240
Speaker 1: i don't need to talk to you about how Good

1342
01:04:53,280 --> 01:04:56,040
Speaker 1: Wandell robinson. IS i also don't need to talk to

1343
01:04:56,040 --> 01:04:58,000
Speaker 1: you about how Good Will levis. Is everybody's got an

1344
01:04:58,040 --> 01:05:03,120
Speaker 1: opinion on. That all very interested at Come. December what

1345
01:05:03,160 --> 01:05:06,520
Speaker 1: we claim their offensive identity is though See Chris, RODRIGUEZ

1346
01:05:06,560 --> 01:05:08,440
Speaker 1: i think is one of the more important players in

1347
01:05:08,480 --> 01:05:10,920
Speaker 1: THE sec this. Year the running back there At kentucky

1348
01:05:11,160 --> 01:05:13,040
Speaker 1: had nine games last year of one hundred and more.

1349
01:05:13,120 --> 01:05:15,280
Speaker 1: Yards he's going to have to be a workforce for.

1350
01:05:15,360 --> 01:05:17,840
Speaker 1: Them that's even With Will levis in the. Backfield because

1351
01:05:17,920 --> 01:05:21,200
Speaker 1: balance is ultimately what they're going to. Need they can't

1352
01:05:21,240 --> 01:05:24,760
Speaker 1: be What Mississippi state is. Offensively they need a good

1353
01:05:24,840 --> 01:05:27,840
Speaker 1: balance there and they need to feature guys Like Chris.

1354
01:05:27,920 --> 01:05:32,360
Speaker 1: Rodriguez he needs to be a guy that is around

1355
01:05:32,440 --> 01:05:34,919
Speaker 1: that Early november time frame When georgia comes in there

1356
01:05:34,960 --> 01:05:38,480
Speaker 1: in contention for ALL sec on what will that game?

1357
01:05:38,520 --> 01:05:40,720
Speaker 1: Mean by the, way That november nineteenth date Against, georgia

1358
01:05:40,720 --> 01:05:42,640
Speaker 1: what will it? Mean will The east be on the

1359
01:05:42,680 --> 01:05:46,200
Speaker 1: line that? Day that's kind of in the remains to

1360
01:05:46,240 --> 01:05:48,120
Speaker 1: be seen. Camp let's take a look at the record.

1361
01:05:48,160 --> 01:05:51,240
Speaker 1: Projections what does the model say About kentucky best case

1362
01:05:51,760 --> 01:05:56,160
Speaker 1: ten and, two worst case six and, six which In

1363
01:05:56,280 --> 01:05:59,840
Speaker 1: kentucky terminology is not a terrible worst case to. Have

1364
01:06:00,440 --> 01:06:03,200
Speaker 1: the prediction is nine and. Three so the models buy In,

1365
01:06:03,280 --> 01:06:05,160
Speaker 1: Kentucky we got them top twenty five in the. Country

1366
01:06:05,240 --> 01:06:09,880
Speaker 1: the model Buys kentucky nine and, three puts them right in.

1367
01:06:09,920 --> 01:06:13,520
Speaker 1: Contention for the conversation they're not normally in if not

1368
01:06:13,760 --> 01:06:17,600
Speaker 1: even THE Sec. East you're talking about in some scenarios

1369
01:06:17,640 --> 01:06:20,400
Speaker 1: being in That New Year's Day bowl rotation depending on

1370
01:06:20,400 --> 01:06:22,800
Speaker 1: how things shake. Out so nine and three For kentucky

1371
01:06:23,440 --> 01:06:25,160
Speaker 1: a very very solid year to say the.

1372
01:06:25,240 --> 01:06:29,360
Speaker 2: Least it's time to talk about The.

1373
01:06:29,360 --> 01:06:33,040
Speaker 1: Bulldogs, YEAH i figured that was. Coming georgia lost a

1374
01:06:33,040 --> 01:06:35,920
Speaker 1: lot of first round. Talent that's the. Bad there's the

1375
01:06:35,920 --> 01:06:38,400
Speaker 1: good news for them is it's also got a lot

1376
01:06:38,400 --> 01:06:40,880
Speaker 1: of first Round you just don't know their names, yet

1377
01:06:41,200 --> 01:06:43,680
Speaker 1: you soon. Will george is the overwhelming favorite to win

1378
01:06:43,680 --> 01:06:47,520
Speaker 1: The east over under win total of. ELEVEN i have

1379
01:06:47,560 --> 01:06:50,520
Speaker 1: a fascination with How Kirby smart plays this thing this

1380
01:06:50,640 --> 01:06:54,080
Speaker 1: year BECAUSE i am fascinated to learn whether they're ready

1381
01:06:54,080 --> 01:06:58,240
Speaker 1: to lean on offense to win. Games everyone left to

1382
01:06:58,280 --> 01:07:01,640
Speaker 1: talk about that offensive Revolution tuscaloosa about eight or nine years.

1383
01:07:01,680 --> 01:07:05,440
Speaker 1: Ago And i'm looking At georgia And i've been a.

1384
01:07:05,440 --> 01:07:08,400
Speaker 1: Believer they've tried to evolve a little bit the past

1385
01:07:08,400 --> 01:07:11,560
Speaker 1: couple of, year and for differing, reasons they haven't fully

1386
01:07:11,600 --> 01:07:13,600
Speaker 1: been able to dive into. It now they've got a lean,

1387
01:07:13,680 --> 01:07:17,959
Speaker 1: in they've got established quarterback. Play although they're a little

1388
01:07:17,960 --> 01:07:21,320
Speaker 1: bit thin. There they've got good wide receiver. Talent this

1389
01:07:21,400 --> 01:07:24,760
Speaker 1: is the deepest tight end room in about seventy. Years

1390
01:07:24,760 --> 01:07:27,000
Speaker 1: college football is scene AND i just don't go back

1391
01:07:27,040 --> 01:07:30,000
Speaker 1: further than seventy. Years so they need help at wide.

1392
01:07:30,000 --> 01:07:33,240
Speaker 1: Receiver they can stay relatively healthy. There this should be

1393
01:07:33,240 --> 01:07:35,560
Speaker 1: a team that can win games offensively and give that

1394
01:07:35,600 --> 01:07:38,320
Speaker 1: defense time to round into whatever form they're gonna end up.

1395
01:07:38,360 --> 01:07:41,440
Speaker 1: Being what's the best case for George this is a

1396
01:07:41,440 --> 01:07:44,040
Speaker 1: team that now and for the foreseeable future will always

1397
01:07:44,040 --> 01:07:46,240
Speaker 1: have a best case of twelve to. Zero their worst

1398
01:07:46,280 --> 01:07:49,640
Speaker 1: case is no lower than nine and. Three it's hard

1399
01:07:49,680 --> 01:07:52,400
Speaker 1: to be that talented and fall below nine and. Three worst.

1400
01:07:52,400 --> 01:07:55,400
Speaker 1: Case our prediction For georgia this year is eleven and,

1401
01:07:55,520 --> 01:08:00,480
Speaker 1: one because while they are very, TALENTED i do think

1402
01:08:00,480 --> 01:08:03,440
Speaker 1: that when you're replacing what they're replacing, defensively when you're

1403
01:08:03,440 --> 01:08:06,440
Speaker 1: coming off a title and you have some more greenery

1404
01:08:06,520 --> 01:08:09,480
Speaker 1: on your roster that needs to get its collective feet under,

1405
01:08:09,520 --> 01:08:13,360
Speaker 1: it and you don't have a Dynamic heisman type presence,

1406
01:08:13,480 --> 01:08:16,439
Speaker 1: quarterback you're due for a loss somewhere along the. Way,

1407
01:08:16,640 --> 01:08:19,280
Speaker 1: hey you lose games sometimes coming off a, title and

1408
01:08:19,280 --> 01:08:20,840
Speaker 1: it ends up being the best thing that could. Happen

1409
01:08:21,320 --> 01:08:23,160
Speaker 1: so that's How i'm going to present that loss of

1410
01:08:23,240 --> 01:08:25,600
Speaker 1: positive mander For georgia. Fans eleven and one is the

1411
01:08:25,640 --> 01:08:28,599
Speaker 1: prediction for the national champ from last, year which puts

1412
01:08:28,600 --> 01:08:30,920
Speaker 1: some writing contention for the same thing again this. Year

1413
01:08:32,360 --> 01:08:37,200
Speaker 1: let's go To. Missouri let's go To. Missouri they need

1414
01:08:37,240 --> 01:08:39,479
Speaker 1: to buy time for this recruiting. Class they just brought

1415
01:08:39,479 --> 01:08:41,920
Speaker 1: in a pretty good, One Luther burden for. Example that's

1416
01:08:41,920 --> 01:08:43,800
Speaker 1: a wide receiver they'll get on the field. Immediately this.

1417
01:08:43,920 --> 01:08:46,720
Speaker 1: Year they're over under win totals five, though and it's

1418
01:08:46,720 --> 01:08:49,040
Speaker 1: hard for me to expect a ton out of the.

1419
01:08:49,080 --> 01:08:52,599
Speaker 1: Quarterback then this year we've been surprised. BEFORE i JUST

1420
01:08:52,760 --> 01:08:55,519
Speaker 1: i don't. Know and they play in the wrong conference

1421
01:08:55,560 --> 01:08:57,600
Speaker 1: to be saying that kind of. Stuff they need to

1422
01:08:57,600 --> 01:08:59,640
Speaker 1: Be bowl leleig that's what they need to. Be so

1423
01:08:59,680 --> 01:09:01,960
Speaker 1: you look at their win total, there they need to

1424
01:09:02,000 --> 01:09:05,360
Speaker 1: find a way To bowl. Eligibility don't go back by

1425
01:09:05,400 --> 01:09:07,439
Speaker 1: yourself some. Time don't have the four and, eight three

1426
01:09:07,439 --> 01:09:10,400
Speaker 1: and nine type, Disaster. Colin let's go right to the

1427
01:09:10,600 --> 01:09:13,679
Speaker 1: record projections. Here what's the best. Case the best case

1428
01:09:13,720 --> 01:09:16,920
Speaker 1: would be eight and. Four that would be phenomenal year For.

1429
01:09:17,080 --> 01:09:21,080
Speaker 1: Missouri the worst case has disaster. Written oh that's four and,

1430
01:09:21,120 --> 01:09:23,639
Speaker 1: eight and that's where a lot of folks go into

1431
01:09:23,680 --> 01:09:26,360
Speaker 1: year four Under Eli drinkwitz and they question whether he

1432
01:09:26,439 --> 01:09:28,320
Speaker 1: needs to be the. Guy you've heard that conversation. Before

1433
01:09:30,240 --> 01:09:33,759
Speaker 1: the prediction's five and. Seven, here that's what the model spits.

1434
01:09:33,760 --> 01:09:36,760
Speaker 1: Out you miss a bowl, game you go backwards and

1435
01:09:36,960 --> 01:09:39,080
Speaker 1: all of a, sudden you, know you look at the.

1436
01:09:39,120 --> 01:09:43,760
Speaker 1: Schedule here they Miss alabama this, Year they did not

1437
01:09:43,960 --> 01:09:48,040
Speaker 1: Play TEXAS a and them this. Year SO i it

1438
01:09:48,080 --> 01:09:50,320
Speaker 1: never gets easier in THE. SEC i don't know what

1439
01:09:50,400 --> 01:09:53,280
Speaker 1: five and seven would lead to, conversation but that's what

1440
01:09:53,320 --> 01:09:59,320
Speaker 1: the model spits out From. Missouri So, carolin let's go

1441
01:09:59,360 --> 01:10:02,400
Speaker 1: To Columbia North. Carolina this is the toughest team to

1442
01:10:02,439 --> 01:10:05,400
Speaker 1: project in THE Sec east BECAUSE i fully believe in

1443
01:10:05,439 --> 01:10:08,640
Speaker 1: the progress. THERE i also fully believe in the difficulty of.

1444
01:10:08,720 --> 01:10:11,240
Speaker 1: Scheduling that's not something they can afford to worry. About

1445
01:10:11,320 --> 01:10:13,000
Speaker 1: but we sit behind the, mic so we can afford

1446
01:10:13,040 --> 01:10:15,519
Speaker 1: to worry about. That Spencer ratler is one of the

1447
01:10:15,600 --> 01:10:18,559
Speaker 1: most important players in college football this, year number one

1448
01:10:18,600 --> 01:10:23,800
Speaker 1: because he could single handedly impact multiple teams seasons Including South,

1449
01:10:23,840 --> 01:10:27,920
Speaker 1: carolina but also for the future of this. Program If

1450
01:10:27,960 --> 01:10:30,800
Speaker 1: Spencer ratler ends up being what they hope he is this, year,

1451
01:10:31,040 --> 01:10:33,439
Speaker 1: boy they could package that up for a long time in.

1452
01:10:33,520 --> 01:10:36,000
Speaker 1: Recruiting and they can package it not only in high,

1453
01:10:36,000 --> 01:10:37,559
Speaker 1: schools but they can do it in the portal as.

1454
01:10:37,600 --> 01:10:40,839
Speaker 1: Well he is the. Gateway Spencer ratler is the gateway

1455
01:10:41,240 --> 01:10:44,640
Speaker 1: to opening up a new recruiting approach For South. Carolina

1456
01:10:45,520 --> 01:10:47,679
Speaker 1: AND i think he's also doing a lot of good

1457
01:10:47,680 --> 01:10:50,320
Speaker 1: For Luke dody there no matter who's their starting, QUARTERBACK

1458
01:10:50,439 --> 01:10:52,000
Speaker 1: i think IT'S i think it's been very good for

1459
01:10:52,040 --> 01:10:54,000
Speaker 1: both guys over in the win total of six and a.

1460
01:10:54,040 --> 01:10:57,639
Speaker 1: Half it's a schedule that is sort of a tale

1461
01:10:57,640 --> 01:11:00,559
Speaker 1: of three, parts if you. Will they've got that stretch

1462
01:11:00,600 --> 01:11:03,200
Speaker 1: early two game stretch where they Play, arkansas and they Got,

1463
01:11:03,200 --> 01:11:06,120
Speaker 1: georgia but then a couple of winnable. Games then they

1464
01:11:06,160 --> 01:11:08,720
Speaker 1: dive Into kentucky AND a AND. M but then they

1465
01:11:08,760 --> 01:11:11,080
Speaker 1: got a couple more winnable, games and then they Got,

1466
01:11:11,160 --> 01:11:13,320
Speaker 1: Florida Tennessee clemson at the end of the. Year so

1467
01:11:13,439 --> 01:11:17,040
Speaker 1: at each, stop there are two spots on that schedule

1468
01:11:17,080 --> 01:11:20,880
Speaker 1: where you can't afford to catch your breath necessarily because

1469
01:11:20,920 --> 01:11:23,360
Speaker 1: every week's of. Competition but you get What i'm. Saying

1470
01:11:23,360 --> 01:11:25,920
Speaker 1: there's a difference in PLAYING a AND m And georgia

1471
01:11:26,000 --> 01:11:29,720
Speaker 1: versus Playing missouri And, Vanderbilt, Charlotte South Carolina. State so

1472
01:11:29,960 --> 01:11:32,120
Speaker 1: if you got to play the teams they got to,

1473
01:11:32,120 --> 01:11:34,320
Speaker 1: play that's probably the WAY i would line it. Up

1474
01:11:34,400 --> 01:11:36,760
Speaker 1: let's take a look at the record projections For South

1475
01:11:36,760 --> 01:11:39,720
Speaker 1: carolina this. Year the best case For Shane beemers team

1476
01:11:39,720 --> 01:11:42,919
Speaker 1: would be nine to. Three that would be marvelous sophomore

1477
01:11:42,960 --> 01:11:46,040
Speaker 1: campaign there because of how brutal the schedule is and

1478
01:11:46,080 --> 01:11:48,360
Speaker 1: the possibility of. Injury the worst case takes them all

1479
01:11:48,360 --> 01:11:51,360
Speaker 1: the way down to four and. Eight the prediction For

1480
01:11:51,479 --> 01:11:55,000
Speaker 1: South carolina this year is seven and. FIVE i cannot

1481
01:11:55,000 --> 01:11:57,880
Speaker 1: stress enough there is a path this, year especially if

1482
01:11:57,880 --> 01:12:00,599
Speaker 1: the losses are, close where seven and five From South

1483
01:12:00,640 --> 01:12:03,840
Speaker 1: carolina could mean they were a top twenty team because

1484
01:12:03,840 --> 01:12:06,840
Speaker 1: that's how difficult the. Schedule so it's never been more

1485
01:12:06,880 --> 01:12:08,639
Speaker 1: important than with some of these teams with these high

1486
01:12:08,680 --> 01:12:11,320
Speaker 1: end schedules to run that record through a proper. Filter

1487
01:12:11,400 --> 01:12:14,479
Speaker 1: seven and five For South carolina is how we see

1488
01:12:14,479 --> 01:12:15,040
Speaker 1: that playing.

1489
01:12:15,040 --> 01:12:19,080
Speaker 2: OUT i Volunteer tennessee, Yep.

1490
01:12:19,160 --> 01:12:23,200
Speaker 1: TENNESSEE i Think tennessee's year two factor matters a. Ton

1491
01:12:23,320 --> 01:12:26,320
Speaker 1: Josh hipel came in last year after the hiring, cycle

1492
01:12:26,560 --> 01:12:28,479
Speaker 1: he had a ton of attrition in the, portal and

1493
01:12:28,520 --> 01:12:33,200
Speaker 1: somehow they still overachieved relative to the preseason. Expectation defense

1494
01:12:33,280 --> 01:12:35,720
Speaker 1: is a major question. HERE i don't think that's a

1495
01:12:35,760 --> 01:12:40,719
Speaker 1: shock to. Anyone i've listened To Josh hipel, talk especially

1496
01:12:40,760 --> 01:12:42,479
Speaker 1: a lot this past, week and he's talked about their.

1497
01:12:42,560 --> 01:12:46,639
Speaker 1: Depth they've improved defensively depth. Wise he's not just talking

1498
01:12:46,680 --> 01:12:49,680
Speaker 1: about the overall talent, level talking about the guys they

1499
01:12:49,680 --> 01:12:51,479
Speaker 1: can depend, on the guys who are smart enough to

1500
01:12:51,479 --> 01:12:54,120
Speaker 1: put on the, field the guys who are competitive enough

1501
01:12:55,080 --> 01:12:57,960
Speaker 1: in tangibles and. Tangle they have depth. THERE i think

1502
01:12:58,000 --> 01:13:00,439
Speaker 1: that will prove itself. Out they probably won't be a

1503
01:13:00,479 --> 01:13:02,479
Speaker 1: top twenty, unit but they don't have to be with

1504
01:13:02,479 --> 01:13:05,040
Speaker 1: the way they can. Score Cedric tillman at wide receiver

1505
01:13:05,479 --> 01:13:07,760
Speaker 1: is already a household name in most places around THE.

1506
01:13:07,800 --> 01:13:10,559
Speaker 1: SEC i think he nationally could be a household name this.

1507
01:13:10,640 --> 01:13:15,439
Speaker 1: Year that depth on, defense let's just walk ourselves through

1508
01:13:15,880 --> 01:13:18,000
Speaker 1: and let's say when we go to record projections here For,

1509
01:13:18,040 --> 01:13:21,959
Speaker 1: tennessee let's say that is the. Case if that defensive

1510
01:13:22,000 --> 01:13:25,240
Speaker 1: depth is, improved Like Josh heipel and his staff believe it.

1511
01:13:25,320 --> 01:13:26,920
Speaker 1: Is you know What tennessee could do this. Year they

1512
01:13:27,320 --> 01:13:29,760
Speaker 1: can go ten and. Two that's the best case scenario For.

1513
01:13:29,840 --> 01:13:32,840
Speaker 1: Tennessee and if they go ten and, two that's the

1514
01:13:32,880 --> 01:13:36,320
Speaker 1: team that's there in, contention right there Alongside georgia for

1515
01:13:36,400 --> 01:13:39,040
Speaker 1: THE Sec. East so if ten and two's best, case

1516
01:13:39,240 --> 01:13:43,320
Speaker 1: what is worst case worst case For tennessee is five and.

1517
01:13:43,439 --> 01:13:46,000
Speaker 1: SEVEN i think there's a pretty healthy gap, there obviously

1518
01:13:46,040 --> 01:13:47,679
Speaker 1: a gap of five. GAMES i think there's a pretty

1519
01:13:47,720 --> 01:13:50,080
Speaker 1: healthy gap because there's still room here for them to

1520
01:13:50,120 --> 01:13:53,200
Speaker 1: go backwards record. Wise you come in year one and

1521
01:13:53,240 --> 01:13:56,559
Speaker 1: you do what you. Do that's not the starting. Point

1522
01:13:56,800 --> 01:13:59,320
Speaker 1: they make you start from scratch every. Year you gotta

1523
01:13:59,320 --> 01:14:01,320
Speaker 1: win all those games. Again so five and seven is

1524
01:14:01,320 --> 01:14:04,760
Speaker 1: still their worst. Case model is high on the nine

1525
01:14:04,760 --> 01:14:07,679
Speaker 1: and three is what it spits out for the most

1526
01:14:07,760 --> 01:14:11,519
Speaker 1: likely record. Projection that gets them the over in the win,

1527
01:14:11,680 --> 01:14:15,240
Speaker 1: total that gets them in some really good bowl, conversation

1528
01:14:15,640 --> 01:14:18,519
Speaker 1: that makes them potentially a contender for most of the

1529
01:14:18,560 --> 01:14:21,519
Speaker 1: year in THE Sec. East and, hey it also means

1530
01:14:21,560 --> 01:14:23,960
Speaker 1: they sprung an upset or. Two that, point we just

1531
01:14:23,960 --> 01:14:30,639
Speaker 1: got to figure out where those upsets. Are gotta do. It, yeah,

1532
01:14:30,760 --> 01:14:33,320
Speaker 1: Yeah so let's breeze through this right. QUICK i had

1533
01:14:33,360 --> 01:14:37,760
Speaker 1: Tip Barton. Stimmens vanderbilt is actually probably in the air right.

1534
01:14:37,800 --> 01:14:41,040
Speaker 1: Now they're flying To hawaii over unders two and a

1535
01:14:41,080 --> 01:14:42,680
Speaker 1: half Wins. Colin let's take a look at what the

1536
01:14:42,720 --> 01:14:48,160
Speaker 1: model spat out. One the best case For vanderbilt is five, wins,

1537
01:14:48,280 --> 01:14:51,040
Speaker 1: okay so that would be an overwhelming. Over the worst

1538
01:14:51,080 --> 01:14:54,160
Speaker 1: case is one and. Eleven The models spat out three and.

1539
01:14:54,280 --> 01:14:56,080
Speaker 1: Nine so you can even look at that one of two.

1540
01:14:56,120 --> 01:15:00,280
Speaker 1: Ways either they lost nine games or the. Overhit i'm

1541
01:15:00,280 --> 01:15:02,080
Speaker 1: going to choose to look at it as we project

1542
01:15:02,120 --> 01:15:04,519
Speaker 1: the over to. Hit with, that we hop over The

1543
01:15:04,560 --> 01:15:07,800
Speaker 1: Chattahoochee river to THE Sec. West let's take a look

1544
01:15:07,800 --> 01:15:11,840
Speaker 1: at those preseason. Odds It's alabama's, conference right, yeah, well

1545
01:15:11,920 --> 01:15:14,519
Speaker 1: at least their, division and at least according to odds makers,

1546
01:15:14,520 --> 01:15:19,400
Speaker 1: Preseason alabama's a minus five hundred favorite in THE Sec.

1547
01:15:19,720 --> 01:15:24,920
Speaker 1: WEST i put out a stat today AND i think

1548
01:15:24,960 --> 01:15:27,720
Speaker 1: some of you saw it On. Twitter so we have

1549
01:15:28,000 --> 01:15:32,200
Speaker 1: EVERY Sec west team preseason rated in the top twenty,

1550
01:15:32,200 --> 01:15:35,120
Speaker 1: five which is insanely, deep. RIGHT i don't remember ever

1551
01:15:35,160 --> 01:15:38,760
Speaker 1: saying that about any, Division and yet we're so high

1552
01:15:38,840 --> 01:15:42,000
Speaker 1: On bama THAT i Took Jalen, milroe who's their backup,

1553
01:15:42,080 --> 01:15:44,880
Speaker 1: quarterback AND i put him at, starter AND i simulated the.

1554
01:15:44,880 --> 01:15:47,799
Speaker 1: Season the model would Pick alabama to win The west

1555
01:15:47,920 --> 01:15:50,759
Speaker 1: as deep as it is With Jalen milroe at. Quarterback

1556
01:15:51,000 --> 01:15:53,839
Speaker 1: so that's taking A Heisman trophy winner out and Putting milroe.

1557
01:15:53,840 --> 01:15:56,080
Speaker 1: In milroe's a. Truck by the, way for those of

1558
01:15:56,120 --> 01:15:59,400
Speaker 1: you who are Unfamiliar Jalen, milroe you don't look at

1559
01:15:59,439 --> 01:16:01,800
Speaker 1: him and say up. Anything But i'm just telling you

1560
01:16:01,880 --> 01:16:04,439
Speaker 1: that's how good the model views this team before they've

1561
01:16:04,439 --> 01:16:07,000
Speaker 1: played a. Game so with that in, mind let's dive

1562
01:16:07,040 --> 01:16:07,280
Speaker 1: into the.

1563
01:16:07,840 --> 01:16:12,280
Speaker 2: Division slight Sprint TEXAS a and M Okay.

1564
01:16:12,400 --> 01:16:14,760
Speaker 1: TEXAS a AND. M this is not a rebuilding. Year

1565
01:16:15,160 --> 01:16:18,160
Speaker 1: it's not a build towards. Year cannot emphasize this. Enough

1566
01:16:18,280 --> 01:16:20,479
Speaker 1: this team is good enough to win this. Year they're

1567
01:16:20,479 --> 01:16:23,200
Speaker 1: good enough to be competitive or win every game they

1568
01:16:23,320 --> 01:16:26,519
Speaker 1: out class ninety to ninety five percent of their. Schedule

1569
01:16:26,960 --> 01:16:28,679
Speaker 1: that's not the kind of team you talk about being

1570
01:16:28,680 --> 01:16:32,200
Speaker 1: in rebuilding mode or being in twenty twenty three and beyond,

1571
01:16:32,240 --> 01:16:34,800
Speaker 1: mode they can win this. Year it's a big year

1572
01:16:34,800 --> 01:16:37,400
Speaker 1: For Jimbo fisher because as he starts to stack a

1573
01:16:37,400 --> 01:16:40,479
Speaker 1: lot more of this offensive perimeter skill on top of

1574
01:16:40,600 --> 01:16:43,519
Speaker 1: what they've already got out. There they've got to improve

1575
01:16:43,800 --> 01:16:45,840
Speaker 1: in some of those critical. Metrics you know that that

1576
01:16:45,920 --> 01:16:48,559
Speaker 1: explosive pass play twenty yards and more downfield. Stuff that

1577
01:16:48,600 --> 01:16:51,519
Speaker 1: stuff's got to. Improve there's no question about. That when

1578
01:16:51,560 --> 01:16:53,240
Speaker 1: you've got a, chain when you got A Nia, smith

1579
01:16:53,240 --> 01:16:55,439
Speaker 1: when you've Got Evan stewart and the likes of that

1580
01:16:55,479 --> 01:16:58,240
Speaker 1: recruiting class coming, in it's a non. Starter they got

1581
01:16:58,280 --> 01:17:01,240
Speaker 1: to get better. There AND i think they bill it's

1582
01:17:01,280 --> 01:17:03,920
Speaker 1: how much, better how big a quantum leap do you?

1583
01:17:04,000 --> 01:17:06,760
Speaker 1: Make their defense is going to get better and better

1584
01:17:06,760 --> 01:17:08,839
Speaker 1: as the year goes. On they Got miami In arkansas,

1585
01:17:08,920 --> 01:17:10,720
Speaker 1: early they got App state in week. Two let's not

1586
01:17:10,760 --> 01:17:13,200
Speaker 1: overlook that there's a stretch there where they're on the

1587
01:17:13,280 --> 01:17:17,439
Speaker 1: road three consecutive. Weeks they're In dallas Against, Arkansas they're

1588
01:17:17,439 --> 01:17:20,560
Speaker 1: In starkville Against Mississippi, state and then they're In. Tuscalosa

1589
01:17:20,640 --> 01:17:23,280
Speaker 1: this is with no bye. Week they're In tuscaloosa Against.

1590
01:17:23,360 --> 01:17:27,320
Speaker 1: ALABAMA i know some of you think That alabama controls

1591
01:17:27,320 --> 01:17:31,120
Speaker 1: the schedule making. Process they, don't but this is not my,

1592
01:17:31,200 --> 01:17:34,200
Speaker 1: evidence because this is evidence to the. Contrary So TEXAS

1593
01:17:34,240 --> 01:17:37,880
Speaker 1: a AND, m what is the record projection for them this?

1594
01:17:37,960 --> 01:17:41,240
Speaker 1: Year best case FOR TEXTA anm is eleven and one

1595
01:17:41,560 --> 01:17:43,280
Speaker 1: because there's only one team they're going to face this

1596
01:17:43,360 --> 01:17:45,800
Speaker 1: year more talented than, Them so you got a chance

1597
01:17:45,840 --> 01:17:49,080
Speaker 1: to go eleven and, one especially if offense starts rounding

1598
01:17:49,080 --> 01:17:51,400
Speaker 1: into form and they do start doing more through the

1599
01:17:51,439 --> 01:17:53,719
Speaker 1: air than they've been doing in the. Past the worst

1600
01:17:53,760 --> 01:17:56,720
Speaker 1: case is seven and. Five that would be an extremely

1601
01:17:56,760 --> 01:17:59,960
Speaker 1: Uncomfortable december. Conversation just gonna spoil it for you. Now

1602
01:18:00,320 --> 01:18:03,080
Speaker 1: IF a AND m actually, regresses the knock on them

1603
01:18:03,160 --> 01:18:06,519
Speaker 1: is they win eight. Game if they get better talent

1604
01:18:06,600 --> 01:18:11,400
Speaker 1: wise and go, backwards Bad. December not a Merry christmas For.

1605
01:18:11,439 --> 01:18:14,120
Speaker 1: Jimbo the record prediction here For TEXAS a AND m

1606
01:18:14,160 --> 01:18:18,000
Speaker 1: is nine and, three and nine and three is a

1607
01:18:18,000 --> 01:18:21,120
Speaker 1: really good. YEAR i personally think they're capable of even

1608
01:18:21,120 --> 01:18:23,120
Speaker 1: more than, that but it's the, model it's not. ME

1609
01:18:24,080 --> 01:18:25,960
Speaker 1: i think when you look at the role they could

1610
01:18:26,000 --> 01:18:28,599
Speaker 1: get on early in the year and whether they get

1611
01:18:28,640 --> 01:18:31,400
Speaker 1: through That bama game. Unscathed they're. Not they set themselves

1612
01:18:31,520 --> 01:18:35,240
Speaker 1: Up South, Carolina Old, Miss, Florida, auburn UMass. Lsu you're

1613
01:18:35,280 --> 01:18:38,160
Speaker 1: not gonna convince me that they're not the better team

1614
01:18:38,240 --> 01:18:40,120
Speaker 1: and the favorite team in every one of those. GAMES

1615
01:18:40,120 --> 01:18:42,000
Speaker 1: i think that game At Mississippi, state by the, way

1616
01:18:42,000 --> 01:18:43,880
Speaker 1: Before bama was one of the biggest traps the conference this.

1617
01:18:43,960 --> 01:18:46,800
Speaker 1: Year but there you. Go nine and three is the

1618
01:18:46,840 --> 01:18:47,840
Speaker 1: prediction For TEXAS a.

1619
01:18:47,880 --> 01:18:49,679
Speaker 2: And m stuff.

1620
01:18:49,920 --> 01:18:53,600
Speaker 1: Holds oh, boy all, right here we. Go let me

1621
01:18:53,600 --> 01:18:56,920
Speaker 1: tiptoe around this Ole miss got a lot of really

1622
01:18:56,920 --> 01:18:59,960
Speaker 1: good pieces out of the. Transport AND i credit their

1623
01:19:00,080 --> 01:19:04,599
Speaker 1: staff or doing how quickly can that staff turned pieces

1624
01:19:04,640 --> 01:19:09,080
Speaker 1: and individuals into a team caliber of which they were last,

1625
01:19:09,120 --> 01:19:11,680
Speaker 1: year because they were a double digit win team last.

1626
01:19:11,760 --> 01:19:14,280
Speaker 1: Year their preseason over underwent total is seven and a half.

1627
01:19:14,360 --> 01:19:17,200
Speaker 1: Year if you look at their, schedule AND i think

1628
01:19:17,240 --> 01:19:19,920
Speaker 1: everyone who has bet them over or under has looked at,

1629
01:19:19,960 --> 01:19:22,519
Speaker 1: It they've got a ton of. Runway they've got a

1630
01:19:22,680 --> 01:19:30,040
Speaker 1: really ultra work first. Half they Go Troy, Central, Arkansas, Georgia, Tech, Ulsa, Kentucky, Vanderbilt.

1631
01:19:30,080 --> 01:19:33,600
Speaker 1: Auburn we're almost To. Halloween then they get into the

1632
01:19:33,680 --> 01:19:36,280
Speaker 1: LSU's AND a And m's And alabamas And, Arkansas Mississippi,

1633
01:19:36,280 --> 01:19:40,320
Speaker 1: State so do they trip up? Early and signs point

1634
01:19:40,360 --> 01:19:43,080
Speaker 1: to note we've got an under bet on old miss

1635
01:19:43,160 --> 01:19:46,560
Speaker 1: seven and a. Half AND i Think Zach evans is

1636
01:19:46,560 --> 01:19:48,000
Speaker 1: going to be a monster at running back for. THEM

1637
01:19:48,000 --> 01:19:49,920
Speaker 1: i have no doubt about. HIM i think he's going

1638
01:19:49,960 --> 01:19:51,800
Speaker 1: to be one of the premier backs in the country this.

1639
01:19:51,880 --> 01:19:57,520
Speaker 1: YEAR i question whether they have anything close at quarterback

1640
01:19:57,680 --> 01:20:00,639
Speaker 1: to what they need to. Have and then the second

1641
01:20:00,680 --> 01:20:05,080
Speaker 1: part is it is very hard to quantify how long

1642
01:20:05,120 --> 01:20:08,120
Speaker 1: it takes for all those transfer portal pieces to. Allesce

1643
01:20:08,240 --> 01:20:10,639
Speaker 1: if it happens, immediately you end up being What Michigan

1644
01:20:10,640 --> 01:20:12,280
Speaker 1: state was last. Year but there are going to be

1645
01:20:12,280 --> 01:20:15,439
Speaker 1: some other cautionary tales in this new portal era that we're,

1646
01:20:15,479 --> 01:20:18,400
Speaker 1: in AND i never know when it's, coming BUT i

1647
01:20:18,400 --> 01:20:20,960
Speaker 1: think if there is a wobbly tire in The west this,

1648
01:20:21,080 --> 01:20:24,160
Speaker 1: year my personal feel has been that it's going to

1649
01:20:24,200 --> 01:20:26,760
Speaker 1: be all. Missed now here's what the model. Thinks that's me.

1650
01:20:26,800 --> 01:20:28,360
Speaker 1: Personal let's take a look at what the model. Thing

1651
01:20:28,680 --> 01:20:31,840
Speaker 1: best case is nine and. Three the worst case it

1652
01:20:31,920 --> 01:20:34,559
Speaker 1: spat out was five and. Seven but see it's kind

1653
01:20:34,560 --> 01:20:38,040
Speaker 1: of in line with. Me thank, you. Model the model

1654
01:20:38,160 --> 01:20:41,200
Speaker 1: spits out six and six as the most likely record.

1655
01:20:41,200 --> 01:20:44,280
Speaker 1: Projection in, FACT i may be higher On Old miss

1656
01:20:44,280 --> 01:20:45,920
Speaker 1: than The. MODEL i may go seven and five for,

1657
01:20:46,000 --> 01:20:48,920
Speaker 1: Them so shame on the. Model i'm here to defend

1658
01:20:48,920 --> 01:20:52,240
Speaker 1: you against the. MODEL i just think things are going

1659
01:20:52,280 --> 01:20:57,040
Speaker 1: to get real very fast come Mid, october and if

1660
01:20:57,439 --> 01:21:00,360
Speaker 1: they're not what you hope they, are in if they

1661
01:21:00,360 --> 01:21:02,240
Speaker 1: are WHAT i think they, are it's going to be

1662
01:21:02,240 --> 01:21:04,040
Speaker 1: tough to find a win on the back half of that.

1663
01:21:04,080 --> 01:21:06,000
Speaker 1: Schedule who, knows crazy things have.

1664
01:21:06,000 --> 01:21:08,880
Speaker 2: Happened gotta say it from.

1665
01:21:09,040 --> 01:21:14,519
Speaker 1: Time, Yeah, Harvey alabama is the overwhelming favorite to win this.

1666
01:21:14,600 --> 01:21:17,200
Speaker 1: Division this is not a rebuilding year. Anymore that's the good.

1667
01:21:17,200 --> 01:21:20,400
Speaker 1: News so you get Peak bama this. Year you may

1668
01:21:20,479 --> 01:21:22,000
Speaker 1: end up getting the best version of them we've seen

1669
01:21:22,120 --> 01:21:24,080
Speaker 1: Under Nick. Saban it's going to be the best pass

1670
01:21:24,160 --> 01:21:26,760
Speaker 1: rush you've seen in The Nick saban. Era you've got

1671
01:21:26,800 --> 01:21:31,000
Speaker 1: a Returning heisman. Quarterback they are emerging very quickly at wide,

1672
01:21:31,000 --> 01:21:34,120
Speaker 1: receiver Tray John. Holden you, KNOW i think a lot

1673
01:21:34,120 --> 01:21:36,240
Speaker 1: of those young guys whose names you don't know, yet

1674
01:21:36,280 --> 01:21:38,439
Speaker 1: you will know probably by the middle point of the.

1675
01:21:38,479 --> 01:21:41,600
Speaker 1: Season offensive line figure to be a huge concern for.

1676
01:21:41,640 --> 01:21:44,479
Speaker 1: THEM i don't think. SO i Think Tyler steen coming

1677
01:21:44,560 --> 01:21:48,040
Speaker 1: in at left tackle and THEN Jc latham getting that

1678
01:21:48,120 --> 01:21:50,639
Speaker 1: time to develop and being plugged in out right. Tackle

1679
01:21:51,240 --> 01:21:53,719
Speaker 1: they feel, good AND i feel good because they feel

1680
01:21:53,720 --> 01:21:57,360
Speaker 1: good about where they're. At the strategy AGAINST, bam if

1681
01:21:57,360 --> 01:21:59,320
Speaker 1: you didn't know any, better is we'll just run the ball,

1682
01:21:59,320 --> 01:22:05,320
Speaker 1: along will? You? Okay, WELL Dj dale And Byron, young

1683
01:22:05,439 --> 01:22:07,320
Speaker 1: Who i'm really high on this, year and justin to Boy,

1684
01:22:07,400 --> 01:22:09,280
Speaker 1: be those are the three guys that they'll probably start

1685
01:22:09,320 --> 01:22:14,479
Speaker 1: on the defensive. Line senior, senior. Senior you're used to

1686
01:22:14,520 --> 01:22:16,160
Speaker 1: being able to run the ball on them because you're

1687
01:22:16,200 --> 01:22:18,280
Speaker 1: used to having a bunch of kids start up. Front

1688
01:22:18,560 --> 01:22:21,200
Speaker 1: not this, year not this. Year it's really interesting to

1689
01:22:21,200 --> 01:22:23,200
Speaker 1: see what they do in defensive line recruiting going. Forward

1690
01:22:23,240 --> 01:22:25,920
Speaker 1: but for the here and, now there's not much of

1691
01:22:26,000 --> 01:22:29,120
Speaker 1: weeks on. Them maybe you don't have a dynamic pass

1692
01:22:29,160 --> 01:22:33,840
Speaker 1: catcher at tight. End maybe just maybe they're not quite

1693
01:22:33,920 --> 01:22:37,519
Speaker 1: as good at corner as people. Expect maybe these are

1694
01:22:37,560 --> 01:22:40,000
Speaker 1: such first world. Problems let's take a look at the

1695
01:22:40,040 --> 01:22:43,080
Speaker 1: record projection For. Alabama best case is always twelve and

1696
01:22:43,080 --> 01:22:44,519
Speaker 1: oh with, THEM i don't need to bore you with.

1697
01:22:44,560 --> 01:22:46,799
Speaker 1: That their worst case is a double digit win, season

1698
01:22:47,439 --> 01:22:51,080
Speaker 1: and they've got an incredibly underrated road slate this. Year

1699
01:22:51,160 --> 01:22:53,080
Speaker 1: this is not a layup for them at. All but

1700
01:22:53,120 --> 01:22:55,920
Speaker 1: their worst case is still ten and. Two this is

1701
01:22:56,160 --> 01:22:58,519
Speaker 1: a team that the model predicts you go twelve and,

1702
01:22:58,560 --> 01:23:02,479
Speaker 1: oho so their best case is also their most. Likely

1703
01:23:02,560 --> 01:23:05,120
Speaker 1: we don't see that very, often only because you can't

1704
01:23:05,120 --> 01:23:07,920
Speaker 1: go thirteen in negative, One so twelve and zero that's

1705
01:23:08,000 --> 01:23:10,559
Speaker 1: what the model. Likes With. Alabama more on The crimson

1706
01:23:10,560 --> 01:23:11,160
Speaker 1: tide a little.

1707
01:23:11,200 --> 01:23:14,000
Speaker 2: Bit Mississippi.

1708
01:23:14,040 --> 01:23:18,280
Speaker 1: State you know a lot About Mississippi. STATE i don't

1709
01:23:18,280 --> 01:23:21,000
Speaker 1: think most of you. Do it is my. Belief we

1710
01:23:21,080 --> 01:23:24,360
Speaker 1: Got Mississippi state raided inside the. Top so actually we

1711
01:23:24,400 --> 01:23:27,720
Speaker 1: Got Mississippi state power rated number twenty start the, year

1712
01:23:27,960 --> 01:23:29,680
Speaker 1: and a lot of people are looking at the. SIDEWAYS

1713
01:23:30,080 --> 01:23:32,719
Speaker 1: i believe if you PUT lsu jerseys on this, team

1714
01:23:33,080 --> 01:23:35,200
Speaker 1: they would be a lot of folks dark horse contender

1715
01:23:35,240 --> 01:23:37,479
Speaker 1: in The. West the only thing you doubt about them

1716
01:23:37,520 --> 01:23:40,679
Speaker 1: is you haven't Seen Mississippi state do. It this team

1717
01:23:41,160 --> 01:23:43,360
Speaker 1: can do. That they can play that. Role now they're

1718
01:23:43,360 --> 01:23:45,320
Speaker 1: over under win total six and a half because they

1719
01:23:45,320 --> 01:23:48,479
Speaker 1: play our toughest schedule in the. Country but what shouldn't

1720
01:23:48,520 --> 01:23:52,280
Speaker 1: be overlooked as you check out how difficult that schedule

1721
01:23:52,400 --> 01:23:54,599
Speaker 1: is is we went through this couple of weeks. Ago

1722
01:23:55,120 --> 01:23:58,559
Speaker 1: they have their own little individual scheduling. Dynamics so WHEN

1723
01:23:58,640 --> 01:24:01,160
Speaker 1: a AND m comes in, there you got to REMEMBER

1724
01:24:01,400 --> 01:24:03,920
Speaker 1: a And m's got that game sandwich Between arkansas And.

1725
01:24:04,040 --> 01:24:07,640
Speaker 1: Bama so it's not the easiest path for their opponents.

1726
01:24:07,680 --> 01:24:09,280
Speaker 1: Either you only play one of them per. Week you

1727
01:24:09,280 --> 01:24:12,080
Speaker 1: don't play your schedule on A. Saturday you play one

1728
01:24:12,120 --> 01:24:14,800
Speaker 1: team on A. Saturday So Mississippi state is gonna take

1729
01:24:14,840 --> 01:24:18,400
Speaker 1: some lumps this, year but they have a very underrated.

1730
01:24:18,479 --> 01:24:20,479
Speaker 1: Roster had AN nfl scout type tell me a couple

1731
01:24:20,479 --> 01:24:22,880
Speaker 1: of weeks, ago it's the most underrated roster from a

1732
01:24:22,880 --> 01:24:26,400
Speaker 1: FUTURE nfl perspective in the. COUNTRY i just think they're

1733
01:24:26,439 --> 01:24:29,960
Speaker 1: being overlooked because They're Mississippi, state not because of what

1734
01:24:30,040 --> 01:24:33,040
Speaker 1: they do or don't possess the ability to. Do so

1735
01:24:33,160 --> 01:24:36,400
Speaker 1: let's take a look at the record projection the best

1736
01:24:36,479 --> 01:24:40,320
Speaker 1: case For Mississippi state this year nine and. Three even

1737
01:24:40,360 --> 01:24:43,240
Speaker 1: with that, record you know what that's telling. You that's

1738
01:24:43,280 --> 01:24:45,760
Speaker 1: that model telling you if this team played in THE,

1739
01:24:45,760 --> 01:24:48,800
Speaker 1: acc they would challenge for the conference. Champion if this

1740
01:24:48,880 --> 01:24:50,799
Speaker 1: team played in The big twelve or The pac, twelve

1741
01:24:50,840 --> 01:24:54,799
Speaker 1: they would challenge for the conference. Champion worst case because

1742
01:24:55,000 --> 01:24:57,880
Speaker 1: of this schedule is three and. Nine the most likely

1743
01:24:58,000 --> 01:25:01,080
Speaker 1: record prediction for our model From Mississippi state is eight and.

1744
01:25:01,120 --> 01:25:04,439
Speaker 1: Four that would be AND i cannot overstate this enough

1745
01:25:04,760 --> 01:25:07,519
Speaker 1: a phenomenal. Year If Mississippi state goes eight and four

1746
01:25:07,520 --> 01:25:10,280
Speaker 1: against their, schedule it's likely they've played at a top

1747
01:25:10,360 --> 01:25:14,360
Speaker 1: fifteen level. Nationally that's how tough it is to win

1748
01:25:14,400 --> 01:25:16,080
Speaker 1: eight games against what they're going to face this.

1749
01:25:16,160 --> 01:25:21,240
Speaker 2: Year we move, on it's your, Time Joshua, Arkansas.

1750
01:25:20,680 --> 01:25:23,160
Speaker 1: Well is it my time or is it? Art? SO

1751
01:25:23,160 --> 01:25:25,240
Speaker 1: i don't want to Leave Sam pittman In arkansas out

1752
01:25:25,240 --> 01:25:29,479
Speaker 1: of The arkansas is becoming now a program where the

1753
01:25:29,479 --> 01:25:33,000
Speaker 1: intangibles and the culture are such that you blindly buy,

1754
01:25:33,040 --> 01:25:35,800
Speaker 1: them or at LEAST i. Do the biggest connect or

1755
01:25:35,840 --> 01:25:40,000
Speaker 1: the biggest disconnect nationally With arkansas is they Lost Treylon. Burkes,

1756
01:25:40,280 --> 01:25:43,000
Speaker 1: hey everybody's talking About arkansas Losing Traylon. Burks you Should

1757
01:25:43,040 --> 01:25:45,880
Speaker 1: it's a first round talented wide. Receiver those, don't they

1758
01:25:45,880 --> 01:25:49,680
Speaker 1: don't come through fav but very. Often that's WHY i

1759
01:25:49,760 --> 01:25:52,880
Speaker 1: really need you to. UNDERSTAND i don't think they're falling

1760
01:25:52,920 --> 01:25:55,880
Speaker 1: off at. RECEIVER i don't think there's one receiver there

1761
01:25:56,040 --> 01:25:59,680
Speaker 1: that Is Traylon. BURKS i think their receiver unit is

1762
01:25:59,720 --> 01:26:02,880
Speaker 1: going to be fully equipped to pick up that slack this.

1763
01:26:03,000 --> 01:26:05,800
Speaker 1: Year and that's an area WHERE i wouldn't have set

1764
01:26:05,840 --> 01:26:07,840
Speaker 1: it in the. SPRING i don't Think Sam pittman would

1765
01:26:07,840 --> 01:26:10,439
Speaker 1: have said it in the. SPRING i Think Kendall brile's

1766
01:26:11,280 --> 01:26:13,320
Speaker 1: being this the first time he's ever had a returning,

1767
01:26:13,400 --> 01:26:15,640
Speaker 1: quarterback has a lot to work. With, still they have

1768
01:26:15,680 --> 01:26:18,160
Speaker 1: a lot of improvements still to be had in their passing,

1769
01:26:18,200 --> 01:26:22,160
Speaker 1: game even with how many ACCOLADES kJ jefferson has. ENJOYED

1770
01:26:22,520 --> 01:26:26,000
Speaker 1: i think they can get better in their overall passing.

1771
01:26:26,080 --> 01:26:29,800
Speaker 1: MATCH i truly believe that they'll always have what they

1772
01:26:29,840 --> 01:26:33,280
Speaker 1: need on the ground this. YEAR i have no question

1773
01:26:33,320 --> 01:26:36,679
Speaker 1: about the fatality of that. TEAM i think that they

1774
01:26:36,720 --> 01:26:40,000
Speaker 1: still feel targeted in a lot of. Ways number one

1775
01:26:40,000 --> 01:26:42,000
Speaker 1: by their own, administration because if you look at the,

1776
01:26:42,040 --> 01:26:45,200
Speaker 1: schedule it's ridiculous they go TO B. WHITE i cannot

1777
01:26:45,240 --> 01:26:46,720
Speaker 1: wrap my mind around the fact that they're going to

1778
01:26:46,760 --> 01:26:49,120
Speaker 1: go To Provo utah in the middle of conference, play

1779
01:26:49,360 --> 01:26:53,519
Speaker 1: no bye week until After so be that as it.

1780
01:26:53,560 --> 01:26:57,680
Speaker 1: May i've Got i've just got to reiterate same THING

1781
01:26:57,720 --> 01:27:00,600
Speaker 1: i said With Mississippi state the schedule, is don't you

1782
01:27:00,760 --> 01:27:03,600
Speaker 1: only play one team per? Week arkansas didn't have to

1783
01:27:03,600 --> 01:27:05,559
Speaker 1: play a schedule on A. Saturday they've got to Play,

1784
01:27:05,600 --> 01:27:07,880
Speaker 1: TEXAS a AND. M they beat him last, year they Get,

1785
01:27:07,920 --> 01:27:10,280
Speaker 1: bama they get him at, home they go To Mississippi

1786
01:27:10,320 --> 01:27:12,720
Speaker 1: state At. Auburn you get the. Picture this is a

1787
01:27:12,760 --> 01:27:14,880
Speaker 1: team that can be competitive in every game they. Play

1788
01:27:14,920 --> 01:27:16,760
Speaker 1: This let's take a look at what the model thinks

1789
01:27:16,760 --> 01:27:20,439
Speaker 1: with the. Records best case For arkansas actually is eleven and,

1790
01:27:20,560 --> 01:27:24,400
Speaker 1: one which is shocking CONSIDERING i actually didn't make that

1791
01:27:24,400 --> 01:27:28,360
Speaker 1: the model. Did and secondly because of how stiff the schedule.

1792
01:27:28,439 --> 01:27:30,600
Speaker 1: Is but goes back to WHAT i talked. About The

1793
01:27:30,680 --> 01:27:32,880
Speaker 1: alabama game is the only one that you look at

1794
01:27:32,920 --> 01:27:35,720
Speaker 1: and say that's probably a sure. Loss it's not even

1795
01:27:35,760 --> 01:27:37,559
Speaker 1: a sure loss there because they play him at. Home

1796
01:27:38,040 --> 01:27:41,679
Speaker 1: Ask texas what it's like going up. There, Secondly bama

1797
01:27:41,680 --> 01:27:45,760
Speaker 1: struggled on the road last Year, Florida, AUBURN a AND,

1798
01:27:45,840 --> 01:27:47,960
Speaker 1: m so it could. Happen my point is eleven and

1799
01:27:48,080 --> 01:27:50,400
Speaker 1: one is the best, case six and six is the worst.

1800
01:27:50,400 --> 01:27:53,800
Speaker 1: Case nine and three is the record that the model,

1801
01:27:53,840 --> 01:27:57,439
Speaker 1: projects which is a solid two game above the over underwin.

1802
01:27:57,560 --> 01:27:59,920
Speaker 1: Total arkansas is going to be an over reschiver again this.

1803
01:28:00,120 --> 01:28:02,760
Speaker 1: Year passing games probably going to surprise a lot of.

1804
01:28:02,800 --> 01:28:05,000
Speaker 1: You it won't surprise, them and if you've been paying

1805
01:28:05,040 --> 01:28:07,920
Speaker 1: attention during fall, camp it probably won't surprise. You they

1806
01:28:07,960 --> 01:28:10,040
Speaker 1: may need to score a few more points this. Year

1807
01:28:10,080 --> 01:28:13,120
Speaker 1: SO i Like arkansas again this. YEAR i know that's

1808
01:28:13,160 --> 01:28:14,640
Speaker 1: not the biggest shock in the, world BUT i like them.

1809
01:28:14,640 --> 01:28:18,040
Speaker 2: Again there it's time to talk about Hawk.

1810
01:28:18,320 --> 01:28:22,040
Speaker 1: OH i think this is the toughest situation any coaching

1811
01:28:22,080 --> 01:28:24,880
Speaker 1: staff has been placed in in the. Country part of

1812
01:28:24,920 --> 01:28:28,559
Speaker 1: it not by their own, doing but ultimately you're the

1813
01:28:28,600 --> 01:28:30,240
Speaker 1: one that gets paid a lot of money to win

1814
01:28:30,280 --> 01:28:32,639
Speaker 1: more than six games because that's their over under preseason win.

1815
01:28:32,680 --> 01:28:35,400
Speaker 1: Total have they figured out? QUARTERBACK i know they're probably

1816
01:28:35,479 --> 01:28:38,280
Speaker 1: ready to name a. Starter have they figured quarterback? Out

1817
01:28:38,360 --> 01:28:40,880
Speaker 1: there are two very different Points i'm trying to make.

1818
01:28:40,880 --> 01:28:44,040
Speaker 1: There these are the most important first five games in

1819
01:28:44,080 --> 01:28:48,200
Speaker 1: THE sec playing and. Simple If auburn stumbles at, all

1820
01:28:48,479 --> 01:28:50,920
Speaker 1: in the first month to a little over a. Month

1821
01:28:51,320 --> 01:28:53,880
Speaker 1: it'll go downhill. Quickly they've got TO i think they

1822
01:28:53,920 --> 01:28:55,280
Speaker 1: got to Beat Penn state at. HOME i think they

1823
01:28:55,320 --> 01:28:57,080
Speaker 1: got to Beat missouri at. HOME i think they need

1824
01:28:57,120 --> 01:28:58,599
Speaker 1: to be no worse than four and, one and more

1825
01:28:58,600 --> 01:29:00,599
Speaker 1: than likely need to be five and oh coming out

1826
01:29:00,640 --> 01:29:03,720
Speaker 1: of That october first date AGAINST. Lsu you got to

1827
01:29:03,720 --> 01:29:06,120
Speaker 1: build up as much steam as you can because it

1828
01:29:06,240 --> 01:29:08,360
Speaker 1: goes uphill really really. Quick AND i don't know if

1829
01:29:08,360 --> 01:29:11,000
Speaker 1: their propeller is big enough to push after. That but

1830
01:29:11,720 --> 01:29:13,960
Speaker 1: there is a, great, big intangible with this team THAT

1831
01:29:14,040 --> 01:29:17,880
Speaker 1: i don't want you to. Ignore they feel like they got,

1832
01:29:17,880 --> 01:29:21,000
Speaker 1: targeted they felt. Wronged they felt like when that group

1833
01:29:21,120 --> 01:29:23,280
Speaker 1: came after their head, coach they also came after folks

1834
01:29:23,320 --> 01:29:25,280
Speaker 1: on that. Team you only get one chance to play college,

1835
01:29:25,320 --> 01:29:28,280
Speaker 1: football and a lot of, folks not a, lot some

1836
01:29:28,320 --> 01:29:30,760
Speaker 1: folks around that program tried to snatch the rug out

1837
01:29:30,760 --> 01:29:33,200
Speaker 1: from under players on that. Team not just the. Staff

1838
01:29:33,439 --> 01:29:35,000
Speaker 1: the players were the ones who were having to deal

1839
01:29:35,040 --> 01:29:38,040
Speaker 1: with it. Too there is a lot of, energy a

1840
01:29:38,080 --> 01:29:39,680
Speaker 1: lot of. It, now it takes more than that to

1841
01:29:39,720 --> 01:29:42,160
Speaker 1: win football, game but that's certainly part of. It so

1842
01:29:42,840 --> 01:29:44,880
Speaker 1: that spirit they talk about down there all the. Time

1843
01:29:44,920 --> 01:29:47,000
Speaker 1: they've got. It there is no doubt in that locker

1844
01:29:47,080 --> 01:29:49,599
Speaker 1: room they've got all. That they still got to have

1845
01:29:49,800 --> 01:29:52,360
Speaker 1: players who are good enough to win football, games and

1846
01:29:52,400 --> 01:29:54,240
Speaker 1: that's the great unknown With. Auburn let's take a look

1847
01:29:54,240 --> 01:29:57,680
Speaker 1: at what the model. Says best case For auburn eight and.

1848
01:29:57,800 --> 01:30:03,040
Speaker 1: Four worst case bottom falls, out probably staff, overturned three and.

1849
01:30:03,160 --> 01:30:06,600
Speaker 1: Nine the prediction is seven and five, here so that

1850
01:30:06,720 --> 01:30:08,760
Speaker 1: hits the over on the win. TOTAL i think it's

1851
01:30:08,800 --> 01:30:10,960
Speaker 1: good enough to Buy harson and his staff another. Year

1852
01:30:11,439 --> 01:30:15,160
Speaker 1: seven wins would be while not what their expectation level

1853
01:30:15,240 --> 01:30:18,000
Speaker 1: is down, there it would be a really good year

1854
01:30:18,080 --> 01:30:20,000
Speaker 1: given what the circumstances have been off the.

1855
01:30:20,080 --> 01:30:22,880
Speaker 2: Field let's wrap on THE.

1856
01:30:22,960 --> 01:30:27,559
Speaker 1: Lsu, yeah let's do. That IS lsu in a rebuilding.

1857
01:30:27,640 --> 01:30:29,240
Speaker 1: Year let me let me just let me just throw that.

1858
01:30:29,280 --> 01:30:31,439
Speaker 1: Out So Brian kelly has got his new, staff THEN

1859
01:30:32,400 --> 01:30:35,800
Speaker 1: lsu does not do, rebuilding especially not with a talent

1860
01:30:35,880 --> 01:30:38,120
Speaker 1: roster like they may have the best receiver stable in THE.

1861
01:30:38,160 --> 01:30:40,559
Speaker 1: Sec they got multiple quarterbacks down there that they think

1862
01:30:40,560 --> 01:30:43,400
Speaker 1: they can roll. With so you probably can accomplish both

1863
01:30:43,960 --> 01:30:46,840
Speaker 1: lay to win this, year but we're also rebuilding we're

1864
01:30:46,880 --> 01:30:49,920
Speaker 1: just retooling on the. Fly when you've got the wide

1865
01:30:49,960 --> 01:30:52,240
Speaker 1: receiver room they, have when you've got the potential at

1866
01:30:52,280 --> 01:30:55,920
Speaker 1: quarterback they, have you've got a shot most every week you.

1867
01:30:56,000 --> 01:30:59,120
Speaker 1: Play bama comes in there this, year so their biggest

1868
01:30:59,160 --> 01:31:02,880
Speaker 1: test is not gonna come in week one or. TWO

1869
01:31:03,479 --> 01:31:05,880
Speaker 1: i think in week. Three you need to be very

1870
01:31:05,920 --> 01:31:10,639
Speaker 1: careful because there is some fun momentum down there right

1871
01:31:10,680 --> 01:31:13,160
Speaker 1: now with their. Secondary AND i am telling you as

1872
01:31:13,200 --> 01:31:16,080
Speaker 1: plainly AS i can from people who would know that

1873
01:31:17,120 --> 01:31:20,479
Speaker 1: you need to take a cautionary approach FOR, lsu especially

1874
01:31:20,520 --> 01:31:25,120
Speaker 1: at corner this, year Because i'm not so sure that

1875
01:31:25,160 --> 01:31:27,960
Speaker 1: they're built to go up against the best passing attacks this.

1876
01:31:28,040 --> 01:31:30,479
Speaker 1: League one of them you're gonna face Against Mississippi. State

1877
01:31:30,600 --> 01:31:32,760
Speaker 1: you're gonna get one Against. Tennessee you're gonna get one

1878
01:31:32,760 --> 01:31:35,439
Speaker 1: against The old Miss you're gonna get the best Against.

1879
01:31:35,439 --> 01:31:39,000
Speaker 1: Alabama we'll find out. THERE i think they could take

1880
01:31:39,000 --> 01:31:41,320
Speaker 1: their lumps in the, secondary even though they addressed it

1881
01:31:41,320 --> 01:31:44,280
Speaker 1: as best they, could you cannot get around the fact

1882
01:31:44,280 --> 01:31:48,760
Speaker 1: that playing you're playing with guys who are less than

1883
01:31:48,800 --> 01:31:50,880
Speaker 1: ideal even at their, best to deal with some of

1884
01:31:50,880 --> 01:31:53,160
Speaker 1: the passing. Attacks you're gonna face out. Here there's nothing

1885
01:31:53,160 --> 01:31:54,880
Speaker 1: they can do about that at this. Point what they

1886
01:31:54,920 --> 01:31:57,160
Speaker 1: can do is they can score as much as they possibly.

1887
01:31:57,160 --> 01:31:59,800
Speaker 1: Can their best case is nine to three according to the.

1888
01:31:59,800 --> 01:32:03,160
Speaker 1: Model their worst case is five and. Seven the model

1889
01:32:03,200 --> 01:32:06,040
Speaker 1: has them going seven and five as the most likely

1890
01:32:06,080 --> 01:32:08,760
Speaker 1: path this year FOR. LSU i think it'd be an

1891
01:32:08,760 --> 01:32:11,639
Speaker 1: okay year for. Them it'd be a touch or two

1892
01:32:11,640 --> 01:32:15,640
Speaker 1: below what MOST lsu fans. Expect BUT i am trying

1893
01:32:15,920 --> 01:32:18,080
Speaker 1: my best to explain to some of MY lsu buddies

1894
01:32:18,479 --> 01:32:21,640
Speaker 1: there is a path that includes seven and five and,

1895
01:32:21,760 --> 01:32:25,240
Speaker 1: success because maybe that seven and five includes finding some

1896
01:32:25,280 --> 01:32:28,120
Speaker 1: things out you needed to find out about your program

1897
01:32:28,560 --> 01:32:31,479
Speaker 1: in order to flourish in twenty twenty three and. Beyond

1898
01:32:32,280 --> 01:32:34,000
Speaker 1: let's take a look at those finals Standing we just

1899
01:32:34,040 --> 01:32:36,400
Speaker 1: got to the ENTIRE. Scc can you believe. That let's

1900
01:32:36,439 --> 01:32:39,920
Speaker 1: take a look at the THE sec final. Standings here

1901
01:32:39,920 --> 01:32:44,200
Speaker 1: we Got georgia winning The, East tennessee finishing second over

1902
01:32:44,240 --> 01:32:46,640
Speaker 1: there right in front Of. Kentucky so you probably got

1903
01:32:46,680 --> 01:32:49,120
Speaker 1: a head to head win There tennessee Over. Kentucky over

1904
01:32:49,200 --> 01:32:52,439
Speaker 1: in The, west It's alabama twelve and. Zero IT'S a

1905
01:32:52,600 --> 01:32:55,559
Speaker 1: AND m And arkansas both at nine and, three and

1906
01:32:55,600 --> 01:32:57,960
Speaker 1: then you Go Mississippi STATE. Lsu we got Ole miss

1907
01:32:58,240 --> 01:33:02,479
Speaker 1: six and, six but finishing last in The. West, oh

1908
01:33:02,520 --> 01:33:04,439
Speaker 1: please don't be fooled by. THAT i, mean Ole miss

1909
01:33:04,439 --> 01:33:06,360
Speaker 1: would be very competitive in a lot of other. Conferences

1910
01:33:06,600 --> 01:33:10,240
Speaker 1: it's just an insanely deep DIVISION sec championship. Game It's

1911
01:33:10,280 --> 01:33:13,519
Speaker 1: bama And georgia. Again and in THE sec championship, game

1912
01:33:13,720 --> 01:33:16,599
Speaker 1: we're Taking alabama Over. Georgia it's gonna be, really, really

1913
01:33:16,720 --> 01:33:20,439
Speaker 1: really tough to Beat alabama this. Year they're watching us

1914
01:33:20,439 --> 01:33:23,960
Speaker 1: tonight In, Columbus. Ohio thank you for tuning. In they're

1915
01:33:23,960 --> 01:33:28,519
Speaker 1: watching us In Newport, News. Virginia they're watching us In Fort, Stewart.

1916
01:33:28,720 --> 01:33:31,320
Speaker 1: Georgia we appreciate all you guys being tuned. In if

1917
01:33:31,360 --> 01:33:33,680
Speaker 1: you have not, ALREADY i see we're well over a

1918
01:33:33,760 --> 01:33:37,280
Speaker 1: thousand lights. Already why not try for two thousand lights

1919
01:33:37,280 --> 01:33:39,920
Speaker 1: tonight right here doing the live. SHOW i also want

1920
01:33:39,920 --> 01:33:41,960
Speaker 1: to remind you guys as we shift to another conference,

1921
01:33:41,960 --> 01:33:44,960
Speaker 1: here The late kickstore is. OPEN i don't need to

1922
01:33:45,000 --> 01:33:47,280
Speaker 1: advertise it because it's doing just fine without advertising. It

1923
01:33:47,320 --> 01:33:51,800
Speaker 1: But hatstatemterial dot com is. Open don't tell THEM i sent.

1924
01:33:51,840 --> 01:33:54,639
Speaker 1: You let's go to The big. Twelve shall We let's

1925
01:33:54,640 --> 01:33:57,120
Speaker 1: get refreshed. Here not only isn't gonna do something for

1926
01:33:57,160 --> 01:33:58,840
Speaker 1: the first. Time here we take a little swig of.

1927
01:33:58,880 --> 01:34:05,000
Speaker 1: Caffeine but what you don't, Though we've also Got public's

1928
01:34:05,040 --> 01:34:08,000
Speaker 1: water jug right, here and we gotta say hydrated because

1929
01:34:08,040 --> 01:34:12,519
Speaker 1: we're going through the entire, country Right so a quick

1930
01:34:12,560 --> 01:34:15,439
Speaker 1: swig of water and we're good to. Go let's talk

1931
01:34:15,479 --> 01:34:18,240
Speaker 1: about The big. TWELVE i told you the other, NIGHT

1932
01:34:18,360 --> 01:34:20,759
Speaker 1: i was not lying to. You this is the Conference

1933
01:34:20,760 --> 01:34:22,960
Speaker 1: i'm most excited to watch this. Year it's the conference

1934
01:34:23,000 --> 01:34:25,479
Speaker 1: where anything could. Happen there is no clear. Favorite there

1935
01:34:25,479 --> 01:34:28,040
Speaker 1: are about six or seven teams that you reasonably could

1936
01:34:28,080 --> 01:34:31,080
Speaker 1: make an argument for. Winning and the odds right, now

1937
01:34:31,720 --> 01:34:34,160
Speaker 1: just to give you an, Idea oklahoma is the favorite

1938
01:34:34,280 --> 01:34:37,120
Speaker 1: currently to win the. Conference they're plus one Ninety texas

1939
01:34:37,120 --> 01:34:40,080
Speaker 1: plus two to Fifty Oklahoma state plus four. Fifty baylor

1940
01:34:40,160 --> 01:34:42,960
Speaker 1: returns a better, quarterback their ENTIRE o line AND d.

1941
01:34:43,080 --> 01:34:46,599
Speaker 1: Line their plus six fifty odds fourth best team according

1942
01:34:46,600 --> 01:34:49,680
Speaker 1: to odds maker to win the conference this. Year so

1943
01:34:49,840 --> 01:34:52,439
Speaker 1: let's talk about this. Conference let's talk about a few.

1944
01:34:52,439 --> 01:34:53,960
Speaker 1: Teams Then i'll show you how we think the whole

1945
01:34:53,960 --> 01:34:57,720
Speaker 1: thing's going to shake. Out talk About, Baylor, Yeah i'll

1946
01:34:57,760 --> 01:35:01,200
Speaker 1: talk About you don't need to tell me. Twice preview.

1947
01:35:01,200 --> 01:35:03,200
Speaker 1: Magazine culture is going to tell you that there is

1948
01:35:03,240 --> 01:35:06,479
Speaker 1: a lack of proven player For baylor this. Year and

1949
01:35:06,560 --> 01:35:08,439
Speaker 1: it's not something that you've heard me. Say it's not

1950
01:35:08,479 --> 01:35:11,519
Speaker 1: SOMETHING i will say because the culture and the system are,

1951
01:35:11,560 --> 01:35:14,479
Speaker 1: proven which is going to lead to year over. Year

1952
01:35:15,160 --> 01:35:18,040
Speaker 1: you finding out mid Season baylor had the players all.

1953
01:35:18,080 --> 01:35:21,360
Speaker 1: Along my favorite preview magazine didn't know their. NAMES i

1954
01:35:21,439 --> 01:35:23,680
Speaker 1: didn't know their. NAMES i got fooled into thinking that

1955
01:35:23,720 --> 01:35:26,519
Speaker 1: meant there were. Weaknesses when they've been brought through and

1956
01:35:26,560 --> 01:35:30,080
Speaker 1: developed by that system they've, Got they're gonna be. Fine

1957
01:35:30,160 --> 01:35:32,280
Speaker 1: they're gonna be just. Fine and let me also remind

1958
01:35:32,320 --> 01:35:36,559
Speaker 1: you we don't need to, reiterate but remember they chose

1959
01:35:36,600 --> 01:35:38,519
Speaker 1: to go in a different direction at quarterback than the

1960
01:35:38,520 --> 01:35:41,320
Speaker 1: guy who took them to The big twelve. Champions they've

1961
01:35:41,360 --> 01:35:43,799
Speaker 1: got their ENTIRE o line AND d line. Back they've

1962
01:35:43,840 --> 01:35:46,640
Speaker 1: got the nucleus of that team. Back you're gonna hear

1963
01:35:46,680 --> 01:35:49,920
Speaker 1: a lot about linebacker, secondary who's he gonna throw the ball.

1964
01:35:50,000 --> 01:35:54,200
Speaker 1: To they'll be. THERE i have full confide the pieces

1965
01:35:54,240 --> 01:35:57,400
Speaker 1: will be, there the pieces will. Emerge let's take a

1966
01:35:57,400 --> 01:36:00,040
Speaker 1: look AS i think this program has staying, power but

1967
01:36:00,200 --> 01:36:03,400
Speaker 1: the model does the model? Agree what's the best case

1968
01:36:03,680 --> 01:36:06,519
Speaker 1: For baylor this? Year best case is eleven and one

1969
01:36:06,960 --> 01:36:09,000
Speaker 1: in a wide open. Conference of, course if you can

1970
01:36:09,040 --> 01:36:12,040
Speaker 1: win every, game eleven and one could. Happen six and

1971
01:36:12,080 --> 01:36:13,720
Speaker 1: six is tough for me to, see even in the

1972
01:36:13,760 --> 01:36:16,120
Speaker 1: worst of. Times but six and six is the worst.

1973
01:36:16,160 --> 01:36:20,559
Speaker 1: Case our prediction is. Lofty we Got baylor going ten and, two,

1974
01:36:21,360 --> 01:36:23,320
Speaker 1: which If i'm not, mistaken maybe good enough to win the.

1975
01:36:23,360 --> 01:36:25,120
Speaker 1: CONFERENCE i don't. Know we'll find out in a couple of.

1976
01:36:25,040 --> 01:36:28,559
Speaker 2: Minutes About Oklahoma tuck.

1977
01:36:28,800 --> 01:36:33,080
Speaker 1: Sooner, okay you know what is interesting, here aside from

1978
01:36:33,120 --> 01:36:36,640
Speaker 1: just everything's, new is Combining Jeff labatt offensive coordinator With

1979
01:36:36,760 --> 01:36:41,160
Speaker 1: Dylan gabriel quarterback and overall perhaps still the best talent

1980
01:36:41,280 --> 01:36:44,439
Speaker 1: ross when you account for development in The Big twelve

1981
01:36:44,840 --> 01:36:47,639
Speaker 1: their SECONDARY i don't know how much improvement we'll. See

1982
01:36:47,720 --> 01:36:50,679
Speaker 1: it will be immediately, improved just Because Brenton venables lives

1983
01:36:50,680 --> 01:36:54,040
Speaker 1: in that area. Code now it'll be immediately, IMPROVED i think,

1984
01:36:54,120 --> 01:36:58,040
Speaker 1: offensively even though you can make the argument that they

1985
01:36:58,080 --> 01:37:00,559
Speaker 1: could be explosive. OFFENSIVELY i just think there'll be less

1986
01:37:00,600 --> 01:37:04,680
Speaker 1: and less reliant on needing. FIREWORKS i think they'll be

1987
01:37:04,720 --> 01:37:07,879
Speaker 1: a little more reliant on a sustainable kind of. Offense

1988
01:37:07,920 --> 01:37:10,599
Speaker 1: there's a little bit less. Fluctuation, now maybe you trade

1989
01:37:11,000 --> 01:37:13,640
Speaker 1: not scoring forty five or fifty points as, often but

1990
01:37:13,760 --> 01:37:17,479
Speaker 1: if you can score thirty four, Routinely i'll take. THAT

1991
01:37:17,960 --> 01:37:19,439
Speaker 1: i think that this is going to be a really

1992
01:37:19,479 --> 01:37:21,840
Speaker 1: good team this. Year they'll get better as the season goes.

1993
01:37:21,880 --> 01:37:23,599
Speaker 1: ON i don't think you need to wait two or three.

1994
01:37:23,680 --> 01:37:26,920
Speaker 1: Years this is a ready made. Product remember they didn't

1995
01:37:26,960 --> 01:37:29,679
Speaker 1: Fire Lincoln. Riley he chose to, leave so things weren't going.

1996
01:37:29,720 --> 01:37:34,200
Speaker 1: Poorly could they go even? Better fruiting in short term

1997
01:37:34,200 --> 01:37:37,160
Speaker 1: has already said. Yes what does the model Say oklahoma

1998
01:37:37,200 --> 01:37:40,320
Speaker 1: will be on the? Field best case eleven and, one

1999
01:37:40,920 --> 01:37:44,760
Speaker 1: worst case seven and. Five the prediction For oklahoma this

2000
01:37:44,880 --> 01:37:48,479
Speaker 1: year we got them right there ten and. Two there's

2001
01:37:48,520 --> 01:37:50,760
Speaker 1: some up and. Down there is some volatility in The Big.

2002
01:37:50,800 --> 01:37:52,080
Speaker 1: Twelve but at the end of the, day if they're

2003
01:37:52,080 --> 01:37:54,360
Speaker 1: ten and, two which is what the model thinks they will,

2004
01:37:54,360 --> 01:37:57,360
Speaker 1: be they're right there in contention for The Big twelve championship. Game,

2005
01:37:57,400 --> 01:37:59,519
Speaker 1: remember there are no divisions, here so just the two

2006
01:37:59,560 --> 01:38:01,000
Speaker 1: best teams go to the championship.

2007
01:38:01,040 --> 01:38:04,760
Speaker 2: Game next Up horns From horns down For.

2008
01:38:04,880 --> 01:38:07,960
Speaker 1: Texas could it be somewhere in the. Middle let's See

2009
01:38:08,320 --> 01:38:12,120
Speaker 1: texas is the most volatile out of all The power

2010
01:38:12,200 --> 01:38:14,400
Speaker 1: five teams when it comes to the best. Case in

2011
01:38:14,439 --> 01:38:16,479
Speaker 1: the worst, case they're over under win totals eight and a,

2012
01:38:16,520 --> 01:38:19,320
Speaker 1: half which is down from nine last. Week so we

2013
01:38:19,360 --> 01:38:22,920
Speaker 1: got that under just in. Time if Quinn ewers is the,

2014
01:38:22,920 --> 01:38:25,320
Speaker 1: man let's talk about beste quin youwrs is the man

2015
01:38:25,600 --> 01:38:28,160
Speaker 1: in this passing game clicks they can win The big,

2016
01:38:28,200 --> 01:38:31,800
Speaker 1: twelve no two ways about. It but also response is

2017
01:38:31,840 --> 01:38:34,439
Speaker 1: a very important word for. Them remember last year they

2018
01:38:34,520 --> 01:38:37,160
Speaker 1: lost To. Oklahoma Steeve sarkisian admitted at the end of the,

2019
01:38:37,240 --> 01:38:39,760
Speaker 1: YEAR i never got that team. Back Boe davis had

2020
01:38:39,840 --> 01:38:42,840
Speaker 1: that epic rant on the, bus which we played on

2021
01:38:42,880 --> 01:38:46,120
Speaker 1: the Show we Are Big Bo Davis. Fans on the,

2022
01:38:46,160 --> 01:38:49,479
Speaker 1: show he said what needed to be. Said ideally players

2023
01:38:49,520 --> 01:38:51,280
Speaker 1: would have been saying, that but a coach had to say.

2024
01:38:51,280 --> 01:38:55,920
Speaker 1: It all that, means what how much did you? Improve

2025
01:38:55,960 --> 01:38:58,160
Speaker 1: how far have you? Come, well you won't find out

2026
01:38:58,160 --> 01:39:00,760
Speaker 1: when things are, good you'll find out when you see

2027
01:39:00,760 --> 01:39:02,400
Speaker 1: a bump in the, road maybe It's week two Against,

2028
01:39:02,439 --> 01:39:05,719
Speaker 1: alabama how do you? Respond response is what will determine

2029
01:39:05,720 --> 01:39:07,600
Speaker 1: the outcome of this season For then let's take a

2030
01:39:07,600 --> 01:39:09,799
Speaker 1: look at the best. Case the best case For texas

2031
01:39:10,160 --> 01:39:13,519
Speaker 1: is they respond admirably and they go ten and two this,

2032
01:39:13,600 --> 01:39:17,080
Speaker 1: year and that's probably getting into The big Twelve championship

2033
01:39:17,080 --> 01:39:19,920
Speaker 1: game Because bama loss is probably in that ten and.

2034
01:39:19,920 --> 01:39:22,760
Speaker 1: Two the worst case is five and. Seven that would

2035
01:39:22,800 --> 01:39:26,080
Speaker 1: be missing a bowl, again and that would be bowlless

2036
01:39:26,080 --> 01:39:28,200
Speaker 1: in the first two years Of Steve. Sarkisan that wouldn't be.

2037
01:39:28,280 --> 01:39:32,880
Speaker 1: Fun the model says eight and Four, texas that hits the.

2038
01:39:33,000 --> 01:39:36,840
Speaker 1: Under but there's this weird place in my mind that

2039
01:39:36,960 --> 01:39:40,200
Speaker 1: still thinks it's a good year and something at least

2040
01:39:40,479 --> 01:39:44,800
Speaker 1: tangible and solid has. Happened they've had some, downs but

2041
01:39:44,800 --> 01:39:47,120
Speaker 1: they've had a few more. Ups in that eight and four,

2042
01:39:47,160 --> 01:39:49,920
Speaker 1: world we finally get to ask what bowl Game texas

2043
01:39:50,000 --> 01:39:52,880
Speaker 1: is going? To so eight and, FOUR i know you

2044
01:39:52,920 --> 01:39:56,960
Speaker 1: guys want, more but at least disaster right with eight

2045
01:39:57,080 --> 01:40:00,559
Speaker 1: four and you're trending in the right. Direction, ok let's

2046
01:40:00,600 --> 01:40:03,160
Speaker 1: take a look at the overall confer. Picture here in

2047
01:40:03,200 --> 01:40:06,639
Speaker 1: The Big. Twelve this one is so so. Hard big,

2048
01:40:06,680 --> 01:40:10,160
Speaker 1: twelve hardest conference to predict In. America we've Got baylor

2049
01:40:10,240 --> 01:40:13,400
Speaker 1: And oklahoma each going ten and. Two that is Our

2050
01:40:13,400 --> 01:40:15,560
Speaker 1: big Twelve championship. Game to give you an idea of

2051
01:40:15,600 --> 01:40:18,559
Speaker 1: how this conference shakes out behind, It Oklahoma state at

2052
01:40:18,640 --> 01:40:22,519
Speaker 1: nine and, Three texas at eight and, four My Iowa

2053
01:40:22,600 --> 01:40:26,599
Speaker 1: state cycling at seven and. Five everyone. SLEEPER i, MEAN

2054
01:40:26,800 --> 01:40:28,680
Speaker 1: i know a guy In singapore doesn't speak a lick Of,

2055
01:40:28,680 --> 01:40:31,200
Speaker 1: english never seen the sport in his, life except to

2056
01:40:31,240 --> 01:40:36,360
Speaker 1: Say Kansas state is his SLEEPER Tcu West. Virginia that's

2057
01:40:36,360 --> 01:40:37,800
Speaker 1: how it shakes out on down the line a little.

2058
01:40:37,840 --> 01:40:42,160
Speaker 1: Bit oklahoma Versus. Baylor i've Got oklahoma Over baylor in

2059
01:40:42,200 --> 01:40:45,559
Speaker 1: The big Twelve championship. Game my thinking is if ou

2060
01:40:45,680 --> 01:40:48,719
Speaker 1: gets themselves into that, game that means they have bought

2061
01:40:48,760 --> 01:40:52,800
Speaker 1: themselves enough time to round into a form THAT i,

2062
01:40:52,840 --> 01:40:55,200
Speaker 1: think when at its, best is going to be too

2063
01:40:55,240 --> 01:40:59,080
Speaker 1: difficult to Overcome baylor in The big Twelve championship game.

2064
01:40:59,080 --> 01:41:03,439
Speaker 1: Again but ultimately we Have oklahoma winning that. Day i'm

2065
01:41:03,479 --> 01:41:05,640
Speaker 1: so happy with what we're about to. Do i'm so.

2066
01:41:05,800 --> 01:41:11,840
Speaker 1: Happy week one is still thirteen days. Away but The

2067
01:41:11,920 --> 01:41:14,639
Speaker 1: Rama Noodle express is here. Right what is The Rama Noodle?

2068
01:41:14,680 --> 01:41:16,960
Speaker 1: Express it is SOMETHING i made up a long time.

2069
01:41:17,000 --> 01:41:19,360
Speaker 1: Ago the nickname came from a guy who used to

2070
01:41:19,400 --> 01:41:21,479
Speaker 1: call our radio show way back in the day In,

2071
01:41:21,479 --> 01:41:25,639
Speaker 1: columbus who threatened. Us he, said give me winning gambling

2072
01:41:25,720 --> 01:41:28,639
Speaker 1: picks for my children will have to eat ramen. Noodles

2073
01:41:28,640 --> 01:41:32,000
Speaker 1: the rest of, it not, him his, Children and so

2074
01:41:32,200 --> 01:41:35,719
Speaker 1: you've never felt pressure until kids diets on the. LINE

2075
01:41:36,160 --> 01:41:39,760
Speaker 1: i kept the. Nickname our betting model is. Proprietary it's

2076
01:41:39,840 --> 01:41:42,400
Speaker 1: right here on this. Computer it wins for us every.

2077
01:41:42,439 --> 01:41:45,559
Speaker 1: Year last year was one of its less performing, years

2078
01:41:45,560 --> 01:41:47,680
Speaker 1: and it's still won fifty five point four percent against the.

2079
01:41:47,680 --> 01:41:51,679
Speaker 1: Spread so we do good every. Year the only rule

2080
01:41:52,040 --> 01:41:54,640
Speaker 1: is bet them, all don't bet any of. Them we

2081
01:41:54,760 --> 01:41:58,760
Speaker 1: are starting Our week one Best bets. Night i'm not

2082
01:41:58,760 --> 01:42:00,880
Speaker 1: waiting until next. WEEK i got four of. Them we're

2083
01:42:00,920 --> 01:42:04,240
Speaker 1: ready to move. On nothing fancy, here no game. Breakdown

2084
01:42:04,400 --> 01:42:06,880
Speaker 1: If i'm giving you these, picks it's caused the model,

2085
01:42:06,880 --> 01:42:09,520
Speaker 1: says fire on. Them the first one's gonna Be thursday.

2086
01:42:09,640 --> 01:42:13,240
Speaker 1: Night In week, one backyard brawl is. Back West virginia

2087
01:42:13,760 --> 01:42:17,160
Speaker 1: is plus seven Against. Pip model has this thing at

2088
01:42:17,160 --> 01:42:20,320
Speaker 1: About pit minus four and three quarter, Points so we

2089
01:42:20,439 --> 01:42:23,400
Speaker 1: Like West. Virginia there is value. Here we like The

2090
01:42:23,479 --> 01:42:26,519
Speaker 1: mountaineers plus seven with an outside shot to pull the

2091
01:42:26,520 --> 01:42:30,400
Speaker 1: outright up. Step later in the, weekend we go To Saturday.

2092
01:42:30,880 --> 01:42:33,479
Speaker 1: Louisville wish we could have gotten this one. Earlier we

2093
01:42:33,520 --> 01:42:36,760
Speaker 1: still feel very good about. It louisville is minus three

2094
01:42:36,760 --> 01:42:39,439
Speaker 1: and a half At. Syracuse we think it's a double

2095
01:42:39,439 --> 01:42:42,720
Speaker 1: digit win For. LOUISVILLE i think it's gonna be one

2096
01:42:42,720 --> 01:42:45,280
Speaker 1: of the squarest lines on the. BOARD i don't think

2097
01:42:45,320 --> 01:42:47,439
Speaker 1: there's gonna be Much syracuse. ACTION i just think the

2098
01:42:47,520 --> 01:42:50,799
Speaker 1: number is that. Wrong so we're not even hesitating it crossed.

2099
01:42:50,840 --> 01:42:52,960
Speaker 1: Three we don't. Care we're Taking louisville minus three and a.

2100
01:42:53,000 --> 01:42:58,400
Speaker 1: Half we're going to The Great Pacific northwest for our next,

2101
01:42:58,439 --> 01:43:03,040
Speaker 1: bet but we're taking THEM Mac Team washington opens Against Kent.

2102
01:43:03,160 --> 01:43:07,160
Speaker 1: State Kent state right now is catching twenty one and

2103
01:43:07,200 --> 01:43:10,719
Speaker 1: a half. Points we are going to Take Kent state

2104
01:43:11,200 --> 01:43:16,200
Speaker 1: plus twenty one and a half Against. Washington that ONE'S

2105
01:43:16,240 --> 01:43:18,240
Speaker 1: i think a nine to. Thirty it's a ten to

2106
01:43:18,240 --> 01:43:20,280
Speaker 1: Thirty eastern. KICKOFF i only need you guys staying up

2107
01:43:20,280 --> 01:43:21,840
Speaker 1: to Washingt if you don't want, to but we're Taking

2108
01:43:21,880 --> 01:43:26,960
Speaker 1: Kent state plus twenty one and a. Half we've got

2109
01:43:26,960 --> 01:43:30,680
Speaker 1: it at About washington minus, sixteen and so we think

2110
01:43:30,680 --> 01:43:33,160
Speaker 1: there's a lot of value the last ONE i wanted

2111
01:43:33,160 --> 01:43:35,719
Speaker 1: to hit. On so far we Got West virginia plus,

2112
01:43:35,760 --> 01:43:38,639
Speaker 1: Seven louisville minus three and a, Half Kent state plus

2113
01:43:38,680 --> 01:43:40,920
Speaker 1: twenty one and a. Half let's go To sunday. Night

2114
01:43:41,000 --> 01:43:43,439
Speaker 1: it's a standalone game in week, one it's in The.

2115
01:43:43,439 --> 01:43:48,280
Speaker 1: Superdome IT'S lsu minus. Three it's still on three right.

2116
01:43:48,320 --> 01:43:50,519
Speaker 1: Now we GOT lsu win in this thing by about

2117
01:43:50,560 --> 01:43:53,080
Speaker 1: six and a half. Points so the model leans HEAVILY.

2118
01:43:53,520 --> 01:43:57,160
Speaker 1: Lsu And i'll tell you what it really. Likes it

2119
01:43:57,320 --> 01:44:01,240
Speaker 1: likes THAT lsu defensive front Against Florida state's iffy offensive

2120
01:44:01,280 --> 01:44:05,240
Speaker 1: line right, now and it likes The bayou bing to

2121
01:44:05,400 --> 01:44:07,960
Speaker 1: open it for the. Win SO lsu minus, Three Kent

2122
01:44:08,080 --> 01:44:10,360
Speaker 1: state plus twenty one and a, Half louisville minus three

2123
01:44:10,400 --> 01:44:14,400
Speaker 1: and a, Half West virginia plus, seven that's not. It

2124
01:44:15,120 --> 01:44:17,200
Speaker 1: those are just the Four i'm handing out right. Now

2125
01:44:17,800 --> 01:44:21,000
Speaker 1: let's quickly go to THE pac. Twelve then we're gonna

2126
01:44:21,040 --> 01:44:23,760
Speaker 1: give you playoff, picks and then we're finally gonna get

2127
01:44:23,760 --> 01:44:28,479
Speaker 1: out of. Here THE pac twelve interesting situation right now

2128
01:44:28,600 --> 01:44:30,840
Speaker 1: because THE pac, twelve no one knows the future of the.

2129
01:44:30,880 --> 01:44:35,000
Speaker 1: Conference it's just that right, now we Know utah's, good

2130
01:44:35,200 --> 01:44:37,840
Speaker 1: we know USC's got a whole lot of. Newness we've Got,

2131
01:44:37,880 --> 01:44:40,160
Speaker 1: oregon but we got a new staff out there At.

2132
01:44:40,160 --> 01:44:45,719
Speaker 1: OREGON i think to, myself is there really any point

2133
01:44:45,800 --> 01:44:48,320
Speaker 1: in looking at odds? Here there's so much. NEWNESS i

2134
01:44:48,360 --> 01:44:51,760
Speaker 1: know they're out. There i'm Just i'm looking at it

2135
01:44:51,800 --> 01:44:54,760
Speaker 1: and everything starts from scratch for. ME i Like, utah

2136
01:44:54,760 --> 01:44:56,160
Speaker 1: BUT i don't know what to expect From oregon AND.

2137
01:44:56,280 --> 01:44:57,920
Speaker 1: Usc i'm gonna give it my best shot, here, Though

2138
01:44:58,120 --> 01:45:02,920
Speaker 1: so let's start with. That they have divisions out here,

2139
01:45:03,000 --> 01:45:05,639
Speaker 1: now but the way they do the conference championship game

2140
01:45:05,720 --> 01:45:07,920
Speaker 1: is they just take the two. Bets so you got,

2141
01:45:07,920 --> 01:45:10,479
Speaker 1: divisions but we're not going to take division. Winner so,

2142
01:45:10,800 --> 01:45:15,240
Speaker 1: whatever let's get into. It quack, Quack let's go With.

2143
01:45:15,240 --> 01:45:18,080
Speaker 1: Oregon there is excellent energy with this new. Staff i'm

2144
01:45:18,080 --> 01:45:20,520
Speaker 1: not going to deny that there is a unique opportunity

2145
01:45:20,520 --> 01:45:23,400
Speaker 1: here to win right, away kind of like The oklahoma

2146
01:45:23,560 --> 01:45:25,919
Speaker 1: of The west. Coast in, fact you could also CLASSIFY

2147
01:45:26,000 --> 01:45:28,240
Speaker 1: usc as THAT i know how those two fan bases

2148
01:45:28,280 --> 01:45:30,559
Speaker 1: love to be compared to each. Other their defense is

2149
01:45:30,560 --> 01:45:33,120
Speaker 1: going to give them time to round into. Form what,

2150
01:45:33,240 --> 01:45:36,240
Speaker 1: FORM i don't. KNOW i don't know how much trust

2151
01:45:36,240 --> 01:45:40,200
Speaker 1: Bow knicks. QUARTERBACK i don't know how much trust that young.

2152
01:45:40,280 --> 01:45:44,960
Speaker 1: Receiver for there's some talented, receiver it hasn't been fully realized.

2153
01:45:45,040 --> 01:45:48,360
Speaker 1: Yet the offensive line is. INTACT i think this can

2154
01:45:48,479 --> 01:45:50,880
Speaker 1: end up being a pretty good. Team the jpeople start

2155
01:45:50,960 --> 01:45:53,720
Speaker 1: them outside the top twenty five because what you could

2156
01:45:53,760 --> 01:45:55,240
Speaker 1: be is not what you get raided on right, now

2157
01:45:55,280 --> 01:45:57,280
Speaker 1: is what it thinks you will be in week. One

2158
01:45:57,840 --> 01:46:00,400
Speaker 1: so THAT i mean teams have risen and that thing

2159
01:46:00,400 --> 01:46:02,639
Speaker 1: every single Year oregon could be. Won this year they

2160
01:46:02,680 --> 01:46:05,880
Speaker 1: open Against. Georgia rest of the schedules. Workable let's take

2161
01:46:05,880 --> 01:46:08,479
Speaker 1: a look at the best. Case eleven and one is

2162
01:46:08,520 --> 01:46:11,360
Speaker 1: the best case because outside of That georgia, game no

2163
01:46:11,360 --> 01:46:14,960
Speaker 1: one's gonna outplast. Them but they do eventually have a

2164
01:46:15,000 --> 01:46:18,559
Speaker 1: team that out. Physical so best case eleven and, one

2165
01:46:18,600 --> 01:46:21,519
Speaker 1: worst case seven and, five we Got oregon going nine and.

2166
01:46:21,640 --> 01:46:23,479
Speaker 1: Three nine and three is a very very good. Year

2167
01:46:23,640 --> 01:46:25,280
Speaker 1: nine and three puts you in contention for everything you

2168
01:46:25,280 --> 01:46:26,840
Speaker 1: need to be in contention next UP.

2169
01:46:28,520 --> 01:46:29,280
Speaker 2: Usf.

2170
01:46:29,520 --> 01:46:32,640
Speaker 1: SEASON usc is a tough team to figure. OUT i,

2171
01:46:32,680 --> 01:46:35,559
Speaker 1: mean offensive talent puts them right in the, conversation and

2172
01:46:36,040 --> 01:46:39,479
Speaker 1: it's hard to wrap your head around how much new

2173
01:46:39,520 --> 01:46:42,120
Speaker 1: talent because it's a brand new. Era you're not used

2174
01:46:42,120 --> 01:46:44,960
Speaker 1: to seeing people able to do. This can they handle

2175
01:46:45,000 --> 01:46:48,120
Speaker 1: the physicality Of utah is really just the QUESTION i

2176
01:46:48,200 --> 01:46:51,840
Speaker 1: keep coming back, to can you outscore the teams that

2177
01:46:52,000 --> 01:46:54,640
Speaker 1: do have that physical edge On there aren't many of.

2178
01:46:54,680 --> 01:46:57,080
Speaker 1: THEM i said teams. PLURAL i, mean If utah has

2179
01:46:57,120 --> 01:46:59,719
Speaker 1: that edge on, you can you outscore them or doesn't

2180
01:46:59,760 --> 01:47:02,840
Speaker 1: end up looking Like utah Versus oregon last. Year that's

2181
01:47:02,880 --> 01:47:05,720
Speaker 1: what THE pac twelve will ultimately probably come down. To this.

2182
01:47:05,840 --> 01:47:09,760
Speaker 1: Year you SEE usc, schedule they go To utah ten to.

2183
01:47:09,840 --> 01:47:12,759
Speaker 1: Fifteen That october fifteenth date is WHEN i have circled

2184
01:47:12,880 --> 01:47:14,920
Speaker 1: it could be our first ever trip to THE pac.

2185
01:47:15,000 --> 01:47:19,040
Speaker 1: Twelve we'll. See but in the, meantime what does the

2186
01:47:19,040 --> 01:47:23,640
Speaker 1: model say ABOUT? Usc best case for The trojan eleven and.

2187
01:47:23,720 --> 01:47:26,280
Speaker 1: One we think even in the best of, times there's

2188
01:47:26,280 --> 01:47:29,719
Speaker 1: a loss somewhere out. There the worst case five, loss

2189
01:47:29,760 --> 01:47:32,719
Speaker 1: seven and. Five but the prediction FOR usc this, year

2190
01:47:33,200 --> 01:47:36,599
Speaker 1: really good, season nine to three in year one Under Lincoln. Riley,

2191
01:47:37,600 --> 01:47:43,519
Speaker 1: Ooh utah, though, Yep let's Talk. Utah they have waited

2192
01:47:43,600 --> 01:47:46,160
Speaker 1: for this Opportunity Salt Lake city for a long. Time

2193
01:47:46,280 --> 01:47:48,200
Speaker 1: not only do they probably have the best collection of

2194
01:47:48,200 --> 01:47:52,200
Speaker 1: talent that they've had Under Kyle. Winningham oregon is seeing

2195
01:47:52,200 --> 01:47:55,040
Speaker 1: a ton of. TRANSITION usc is seeing a ton of.

2196
01:47:55,040 --> 01:47:59,160
Speaker 1: Transition The conference has an uncertain. Future it's. Now this

2197
01:47:59,240 --> 01:48:01,680
Speaker 1: is the time for, You. Utah they talk so much

2198
01:48:01,680 --> 01:48:03,920
Speaker 1: about what they would have been capable of last. Year

2199
01:48:04,200 --> 01:48:06,360
Speaker 1: they clicked too late if the playoff would have been.

2200
01:48:06,400 --> 01:48:09,000
Speaker 1: Expanded forget all that it's not expanded. Yet do it this.

2201
01:48:09,080 --> 01:48:11,920
Speaker 1: Year this Is utah's. Time Tam rising is back at.

2202
01:48:11,960 --> 01:48:14,719
Speaker 1: Quarterback he's also in the control room right. Now virtually

2203
01:48:14,760 --> 01:48:18,519
Speaker 1: their entire wide receiver room is. Back they made good

2204
01:48:18,560 --> 01:48:21,240
Speaker 1: portal MOVES i think at linebacker to shore up some

2205
01:48:21,400 --> 01:48:24,680
Speaker 1: BIG nfl losses. There this is the time for. Them

2206
01:48:24,680 --> 01:48:26,920
Speaker 1: what does the model. Think let's take a look best

2207
01:48:26,920 --> 01:48:30,840
Speaker 1: case For utah in THE pac twelve and they open

2208
01:48:30,880 --> 01:48:33,760
Speaker 1: Against florida on the. Road best cases twelve and. Zero

2209
01:48:34,080 --> 01:48:36,920
Speaker 1: there is a path Where utah goes. Undefeated this. Year

2210
01:48:37,120 --> 01:48:39,519
Speaker 1: the worst case is eight and. Four they're just too

2211
01:48:39,560 --> 01:48:42,320
Speaker 1: good to fall anywhere below. THAT i think our prediction

2212
01:48:42,600 --> 01:48:46,439
Speaker 1: For utah this year is eleven and, One and If

2213
01:48:46,520 --> 01:48:48,479
Speaker 1: utah is eleven and, one they're going to THE pac

2214
01:48:48,520 --> 01:48:51,600
Speaker 1: twelve championship. Game and if they win that thing and

2215
01:48:51,640 --> 01:48:54,040
Speaker 1: they're twelve and, one they've got a shot to be

2216
01:48:54,080 --> 01:48:56,200
Speaker 1: in the playoff because their schedule is good, enough so

2217
01:48:56,200 --> 01:48:57,640
Speaker 1: they got a shot to be in the. Playoff all, Right,

2218
01:48:57,640 --> 01:49:00,240
Speaker 1: Colin let's take a look at the overall picture here

2219
01:49:00,280 --> 01:49:03,320
Speaker 1: in the. CONFERENCE i pause So colin can have a

2220
01:49:03,320 --> 01:49:07,880
Speaker 1: clean in force that THE pac twelve, Picture oregon nine to,

2221
01:49:08,040 --> 01:49:11,240
Speaker 1: three is it gonna be good enough to get THE

2222
01:49:11,240 --> 01:49:13,400
Speaker 1: pac twelve Championship if they're nine and. Three keep in,

2223
01:49:13,439 --> 01:49:16,479
Speaker 1: mind it's not just division winner against division. Winner they're

2224
01:49:16,479 --> 01:49:20,720
Speaker 1: taking the two best teams. Regardless and we think THAT

2225
01:49:20,960 --> 01:49:24,280
Speaker 1: usc And utah are gonna be the two teams that

2226
01:49:24,479 --> 01:49:26,400
Speaker 1: end up battling even though they're in the same division

2227
01:49:26,640 --> 01:49:29,040
Speaker 1: for the conference championship, game which would mean a rematch

2228
01:49:29,280 --> 01:49:32,559
Speaker 1: in the conference championship. Game and just like last, year

2229
01:49:33,120 --> 01:49:36,160
Speaker 1: we THINK usc will fall once To utah and Then

2230
01:49:36,320 --> 01:49:39,280
Speaker 1: utah turned the trick again in The pac twelve championship,

2231
01:49:39,280 --> 01:49:41,240
Speaker 1: game and they'll pull a repeat of what they did

2232
01:49:41,240 --> 01:49:44,519
Speaker 1: Against oregon last, year and The pac twelve will See

2233
01:49:44,600 --> 01:49:47,720
Speaker 1: utah emerge as a twelve and one team right there

2234
01:49:47,760 --> 01:49:51,720
Speaker 1: in the thick of the. Playoffs we've used the teleprompter

2235
01:49:51,800 --> 01:49:54,439
Speaker 1: one time. Tonight do you know what the teleprompter says right?

2236
01:49:54,479 --> 01:49:58,599
Speaker 1: Now just don't Forget Notre. Dame, see it's tough when

2237
01:49:58,600 --> 01:50:01,479
Speaker 1: you do these conference breakdowns to remember they're not in.

2238
01:50:01,520 --> 01:50:04,600
Speaker 1: One did you know? That you Know Notre dame's not

2239
01:50:04,600 --> 01:50:06,280
Speaker 1: in the? Conference most of you don't ever talk about,

2240
01:50:06,280 --> 01:50:09,240
Speaker 1: THAT i. Know so let's just show very. Quickly let's

2241
01:50:09,240 --> 01:50:12,040
Speaker 1: go Through Notre dame. Schedule Notre. Dame you know they

2242
01:50:12,040 --> 01:50:15,800
Speaker 1: open on the road Against Ohio. State but after, that

2243
01:50:15,960 --> 01:50:17,720
Speaker 1: what do you know about? Them, well they've got a

2244
01:50:17,760 --> 01:50:20,080
Speaker 1: game In Las vegas Against Brigham, young they got a

2245
01:50:20,080 --> 01:50:23,920
Speaker 1: game In baltimore Against. Navy they, go, oh they Get

2246
01:50:23,920 --> 01:50:26,040
Speaker 1: clemson at. Home ACTUALLY i always get that confused in my.

2247
01:50:26,080 --> 01:50:28,120
Speaker 1: Mind they go TO usc at the end of the. Year,

2248
01:50:29,240 --> 01:50:32,719
Speaker 1: hey we're lower On Notre. Dame our models lower On Notre.

2249
01:50:32,800 --> 01:50:35,040
Speaker 1: Dame AP's got them at, Five we've got them at.

2250
01:50:35,040 --> 01:50:37,439
Speaker 1: Fourteen we still think they're a really good. Team but

2251
01:50:38,479 --> 01:50:40,960
Speaker 1: what does the model think in terms of overall? Records

2252
01:50:42,040 --> 01:50:43,880
Speaker 1: the over unders eight and a half, here that's the

2253
01:50:43,920 --> 01:50:46,400
Speaker 1: win total over under eight and a half In. Vegas

2254
01:50:46,680 --> 01:50:49,840
Speaker 1: what does the model think For Notre? Dame believe it or,

2255
01:50:49,880 --> 01:50:52,040
Speaker 1: Not even though the model makes them the fourteenth best

2256
01:50:52,040 --> 01:50:53,840
Speaker 1: team in the country to start the, year there is

2257
01:50:53,880 --> 01:50:57,280
Speaker 1: an eleven and one path that the model sees that

2258
01:50:57,320 --> 01:51:00,120
Speaker 1: would basically mean go loose To Ohio state and on

2259
01:51:00,200 --> 01:51:02,439
Speaker 1: the table the rest of the. Way the model says it's.

2260
01:51:02,479 --> 01:51:06,200
Speaker 1: There model says it's. Possible what is the worst case

2261
01:51:06,280 --> 01:51:09,599
Speaker 1: For Notre? Dame model says seven and five is worst

2262
01:51:09,600 --> 01:51:13,040
Speaker 1: case For Marcus freeman and. Company the most likely record

2263
01:51:13,200 --> 01:51:15,960
Speaker 1: and our official prediction For Notre dame this year is

2264
01:51:16,120 --> 01:51:19,000
Speaker 1: nine and. Three nine and three is a good. Year

2265
01:51:19,280 --> 01:51:22,200
Speaker 1: they're gonna have a great recruiting. Class nine and, THREE

2266
01:51:22,479 --> 01:51:25,240
Speaker 1: i would think is going to have them upset a

2267
01:51:25,240 --> 01:51:28,600
Speaker 1: couple of times along with The week one. LOSS i

2268
01:51:28,760 --> 01:51:30,360
Speaker 1: just they're gonna be in a lot of one possession

2269
01:51:30,360 --> 01:51:33,800
Speaker 1: games this. YEAR i don't endorse their quarterback situation right

2270
01:51:33,840 --> 01:51:36,599
Speaker 1: now enough to Where i'm ready to go higher than nine,

2271
01:51:36,800 --> 01:51:38,280
Speaker 1: Race so nine and THREE i think is pretty good.

2272
01:51:38,320 --> 01:51:41,840
Speaker 1: Year we got a lot of you watching. Live this

2273
01:51:41,880 --> 01:51:43,760
Speaker 1: is probably gonna be our most watched and listen to

2274
01:51:43,880 --> 01:51:46,559
Speaker 1: show that we've ever done around, here and then we'll

2275
01:51:46,600 --> 01:51:49,599
Speaker 1: probably break that, record, hopefully but a lot of. You

2276
01:51:49,680 --> 01:51:54,200
Speaker 1: here's how great our. AUDIENCE i open MY dm frequently

2277
01:51:54,320 --> 01:51:56,879
Speaker 1: and someone's just in. There they're not asking for, Anything

2278
01:51:57,200 --> 01:51:59,800
Speaker 1: they're just, saying what CAN i do to help the?

2279
01:51:59,800 --> 01:52:02,400
Speaker 1: Shoe what CAN i? Do what CAN i? Do and

2280
01:52:03,040 --> 01:52:05,240
Speaker 1: here's what you can. Do it's as simple as. This

2281
01:52:06,360 --> 01:52:09,000
Speaker 1: like every one of these, videos well if they're, good

2282
01:52:09,080 --> 01:52:11,840
Speaker 1: if they, suck hit the thumbs down because we deserve.

2283
01:52:11,880 --> 01:52:15,120
Speaker 1: It but liking the, videos the most important thing you

2284
01:52:15,120 --> 01:52:19,800
Speaker 1: can do is subscribing to this channel and subscribing to

2285
01:52:19,880 --> 01:52:23,000
Speaker 1: the podcast, feed and then going and taking your best

2286
01:52:23,000 --> 01:52:26,479
Speaker 1: friend's phone while they're not looking and doing it on their,

2287
01:52:26,520 --> 01:52:29,320
Speaker 1: phone and then go taking your mom's phone and doing

2288
01:52:29,320 --> 01:52:31,600
Speaker 1: it on her. Phone tell me, fine they don't have

2289
01:52:31,600 --> 01:52:33,400
Speaker 1: to pay for. It it's not like a reoccurring. Charge

2290
01:52:33,600 --> 01:52:36,719
Speaker 1: subscriptions are the name of the game for. Us, also

2291
01:52:37,000 --> 01:52:41,120
Speaker 1: sharing this show and telling your, friends because word of

2292
01:52:41,160 --> 01:52:43,760
Speaker 1: mouth is better than any marketing. Budget they could give.

2293
01:52:43,800 --> 01:52:46,280
Speaker 1: Us we don't spend a dime to market show because

2294
01:52:46,320 --> 01:52:49,519
Speaker 1: you do it for. Us you like you sub you,

2295
01:52:49,640 --> 01:52:53,120
Speaker 1: share and follow on the social. Accounts i'm Told Young

2296
01:52:53,160 --> 01:52:56,160
Speaker 1: bradley's about to get us up on, TikTok AND i

2297
01:52:56,200 --> 01:52:58,800
Speaker 1: Stress Young bradley as going to it's at late, Kick.

2298
01:52:58,880 --> 01:53:01,000
Speaker 1: Josh no matter where you look, at you do those four.

2299
01:53:01,040 --> 01:53:03,559
Speaker 1: Things you have done everything that you could ever, do

2300
01:53:03,600 --> 01:53:05,280
Speaker 1: and then some to help us. Out that's all we,

2301
01:53:05,320 --> 01:53:09,160
Speaker 1: need like sub share and then. Follow that's. It the

2302
01:53:09,240 --> 01:53:12,360
Speaker 1: last THING i wanted to do for you tonight kind

2303
01:53:12,360 --> 01:53:15,439
Speaker 1: of a grand, finale if you, will IS i wanted

2304
01:53:15,439 --> 01:53:17,200
Speaker 1: to give you our playoff, picks AND i wanted to

2305
01:53:17,200 --> 01:53:19,800
Speaker 1: give you our national champion and So i'm going to

2306
01:53:19,880 --> 01:53:22,920
Speaker 1: do that to wrap the. Show college football playoff. Picks

2307
01:53:23,120 --> 01:53:26,760
Speaker 1: you've seen our conference, Winners you've seen those matchups who emerge.

2308
01:53:26,960 --> 01:53:30,400
Speaker 1: Though the odds to win the national championship right now

2309
01:53:30,720 --> 01:53:35,280
Speaker 1: in order Are, Bama Ohio, State, Georgia, clemson and then

2310
01:53:35,320 --> 01:53:38,599
Speaker 1: believe it or, NOT usc has the fifth best odds

2311
01:53:38,880 --> 01:53:41,479
Speaker 1: to win the national, championship THEN a AND m And

2312
01:53:41,680 --> 01:53:44,960
Speaker 1: Utah texas is in. THERE lsu at plus five thousand

2313
01:53:45,000 --> 01:53:47,360
Speaker 1: if you want some value On Brian kelly and. Company

2314
01:53:47,400 --> 01:53:50,679
Speaker 1: let's take a look at what we project our playoff

2315
01:53:50,680 --> 01:53:53,920
Speaker 1: field to look. Like we've Got alabama as the best

2316
01:53:53,920 --> 01:53:56,400
Speaker 1: team in the. Country we are going to have them

2317
01:53:56,479 --> 01:53:59,800
Speaker 1: winning THE sec and locking down the number one. Seed

2318
01:54:00,360 --> 01:54:04,360
Speaker 1: we've Got Ohio state locking down The Big ten championship

2319
01:54:04,600 --> 01:54:06,840
Speaker 1: with one regular season. Loss we got the Buck geys

2320
01:54:06,880 --> 01:54:11,040
Speaker 1: at number. Two utah for the first time we were

2321
01:54:11,040 --> 01:54:13,439
Speaker 1: going to put in the playoff first time in several,

2322
01:54:13,479 --> 01:54:16,120
Speaker 1: years The pac twelve will have been. Represented that is

2323
01:54:16,160 --> 01:54:19,960
Speaker 1: a one Loss pac twelve, champion The Utah. Utes and

2324
01:54:20,000 --> 01:54:24,400
Speaker 1: Then i've Got michigan in the playoff despite not winning

2325
01:54:24,680 --> 01:54:27,200
Speaker 1: The Big, ten and that's going to be a really

2326
01:54:27,360 --> 01:54:30,080
Speaker 1: interesting and dicey. SITUATION i think they're going to be

2327
01:54:30,080 --> 01:54:33,160
Speaker 1: good enough that would give Us bama Versus michigan And

2328
01:54:33,240 --> 01:54:37,320
Speaker 1: Ohio state Versus utah in the semi. Finals, obviously there's

2329
01:54:37,320 --> 01:54:39,400
Speaker 1: no skill in projecting this stuff this far down the,

2330
01:54:39,440 --> 01:54:42,080
Speaker 1: road but the way we would see that play out

2331
01:54:42,400 --> 01:54:44,880
Speaker 1: is a national championship rematch from a couple of years,

2332
01:54:44,880 --> 01:54:49,000
Speaker 1: Ago alabama Versus Ohio. State that would be At Sofi

2333
01:54:49,120 --> 01:54:53,520
Speaker 1: stadium in Beautiful, Englewood, california which just means we get

2334
01:54:53,560 --> 01:54:56,240
Speaker 1: to say With Sam betshani sushi all, week which is

2335
01:54:56,280 --> 01:54:58,600
Speaker 1: all you can really ask for him. Life and the

2336
01:54:58,640 --> 01:55:02,480
Speaker 1: prediction there Is alabama wins the national. Champion let me

2337
01:55:02,480 --> 01:55:05,040
Speaker 1: tell you. Something unless you've got a model out there

2338
01:55:05,080 --> 01:55:07,640
Speaker 1: that can predict, Injury i'm going to assume That bama

2339
01:55:07,680 --> 01:55:10,640
Speaker 1: team's going to be fully. Healthy if they're fully healthy this,

2340
01:55:10,720 --> 01:55:13,400
Speaker 1: year there is not anyone in this country that's going

2341
01:55:13,440 --> 01:55:15,400
Speaker 1: to beat them with the belt. ON i have no

2342
01:55:15,480 --> 01:55:17,640
Speaker 1: doubt about. It alabama is the best team in the.

2343
01:55:17,640 --> 01:55:20,240
Speaker 1: COUNTRY i think we will say that about them wire to,

2344
01:55:20,280 --> 01:55:22,520
Speaker 1: wire AND i think come seasons, in you'll look at

2345
01:55:22,520 --> 01:55:23,920
Speaker 1: it and say it's one of the best teams That

2346
01:55:24,000 --> 01:55:28,640
Speaker 1: sabans ever. Had, alabama you were national champion at least

2347
01:55:28,960 --> 01:55:33,240
Speaker 1: as Of. August i'm very. Interesting see IF i get.

2348
01:55:33,280 --> 01:55:35,200
Speaker 1: Agreement by the, way in the control, room speaking of

2349
01:55:35,240 --> 01:55:38,640
Speaker 1: the control, room as we wrap up, Here i've got

2350
01:55:38,640 --> 01:55:42,280
Speaker 1: to get, hey what it A, Yes, Jared that's pretty

2351
01:55:42,320 --> 01:55:43,800
Speaker 1: much WHAT i. DID i was reading the live. CHAT

2352
01:55:44,080 --> 01:55:45,640
Speaker 1: i got a little post it note on my finger

2353
01:55:45,640 --> 01:55:48,160
Speaker 1: here as we wrap, up do you have any idea

2354
01:55:48,160 --> 01:55:50,640
Speaker 1: what our staff just? Did we had two hundred and

2355
01:55:50,640 --> 01:55:53,480
Speaker 1: seventy elements in the, show which is more than double

2356
01:55:53,520 --> 01:55:56,440
Speaker 1: what the previous record. WAS i gave the staff a

2357
01:55:56,480 --> 01:55:59,520
Speaker 1: grand total of what ten hours put the show. Together

2358
01:56:00,280 --> 01:56:03,000
Speaker 1: i've been in local news AND, tv AND i don't

2359
01:56:03,040 --> 01:56:06,200
Speaker 1: think we ever had a show that was even fractionally

2360
01:56:06,240 --> 01:56:09,480
Speaker 1: as involved as the show that we just. Produced and

2361
01:56:10,680 --> 01:56:12,960
Speaker 1: they pulled it. Off Director colin's been punching this thing

2362
01:56:13,000 --> 01:56:15,640
Speaker 1: for their two. Hours it's easier to send a man

2363
01:56:15,760 --> 01:56:17,800
Speaker 1: to the moon than it is to do what they just,

2364
01:56:17,840 --> 01:56:20,440
Speaker 1: did but they did, it and so my hat's off to,

2365
01:56:20,520 --> 01:56:22,640
Speaker 1: him AND i appreciate you guys for being tuned. In

2366
01:56:22,720 --> 01:56:24,800
Speaker 1: it's going to be a great. Year this is your

2367
01:56:24,800 --> 01:56:27,640
Speaker 1: college football. Show we're happy that you chose to be.

2368
01:56:27,720 --> 01:56:31,480
Speaker 1: Here tell your, family tell your, Friends tell everyone can

2369
01:56:31,560 --> 01:56:33,760
Speaker 1: subscribe while you're at. It we will be back Here

2370
01:56:33,880 --> 01:56:37,480
Speaker 1: tuesday night at the same time until. Now For Director,

2371
01:56:37,560 --> 01:56:41,320
Speaker 1: colin for Producer, jesse for our entire production executive. Team

2372
01:56:41,560 --> 01:56:43,640
Speaker 1: I'm Josh. Baate have yourself a great start.

2373
01:56:43,720 --> 01:56:44,800
Speaker 2: Year weekum