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Speaker 1: You're ready for the season. Yeah, I'm ready for the season.

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Speaker 1: Everyone's ready for the season. I don't quite think America,

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Speaker 1: the college football public is ready for what's coming Saturday. Now.

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Speaker 1: A lot of times when people talk that way, something

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Speaker 1: bad's common. I hold in my hand top secret, classified

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Speaker 1: information that I'm about to share with you publicly. That

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Speaker 1: could be the best news you've heard in months. I

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Speaker 1: know it's the best news I've heard in months. I

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Speaker 1: hold in my hand an official forecast, because as of now,

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Speaker 1: it is forecast to be seventy eight degrees in Fate

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Speaker 1: of Arkansas this Saturday. Kickoff Columbus, Ohio, where I'm going

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Speaker 1: to be Low's possibly in the upper forties Saturday morning,

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Speaker 1: we're topping out in the mid seventies. Atlanta barely gets

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Speaker 1: into the eighties. Saturday, Clemson, South Carolina. Remember how that

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Speaker 1: was going to be sweltering hot LSU Clemson on the road.

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Speaker 1: Drink the pickle juice, cramps left and right. Yeah, low eighties,

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Speaker 1: very tolerable humidity. We have never in the history of

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Speaker 1: this sport been more back than we are this week.

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Speaker 1: We're jam packed, We're high at top. As you can tell,

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Speaker 1: a changing downtown Nashville, Tennessee, because it feels like football

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Speaker 1: season outside, and we're going to talk about that at

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Speaker 1: every angle imaginable tonight. This season is going to be incredible.

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Speaker 1: There's no need to be a negative. Everyone's undefeated except

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Speaker 1: for Kansas State, except for Fresno State, but largely you

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Speaker 1: haven't even played yet. It's gonna be incredible season. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna prove it to you in just a couple of moments.

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Speaker 1: I am also going to, in the interest of full disclosure,

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Speaker 1: give you my, not the Model, my win loss record

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Speaker 1: predictions for not one, not two, not three, but every

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Speaker 1: single team in the SEC tonight. It won't take like

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Speaker 1: five hours. It doesn't. It doesn't. It doesn't behoove us

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Speaker 1: to do a show like that, but we're going to

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Speaker 1: do game predictions tonight. Normally that's a Tuesday night thing,

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Speaker 1: but since it's week one, we really don't how much

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Speaker 1: to react to from yesterday. We're gonna go ahead and

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Speaker 1: get Texas, Ohio State on the record tonight. Tell you

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Speaker 1: what the Model thinks, I'll tell you what I think.

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Speaker 1: I'll give you a prediction. We'll give you a full breakdown.

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Speaker 1: Auburn Baylor's a Friday night game. So we're gonna go

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Speaker 1: ahead and do that one too, and we do it

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Speaker 1: once a year normally when everyone's rolling back in state

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Speaker 1: starts classes tomorrow. Actually Bradley getting bed early tonight. And so,

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Speaker 1: what I like to do every year, knowing that we

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Speaker 1: have like hundreds of thousands of new listeners and viewers

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Speaker 1: from this time last year, maybe millions, who knows, is

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Speaker 1: I like to have orientation not at the beginning of

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Speaker 1: the show, but at the ending of the show. So

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Speaker 1: if you're new around here, you wonder, why does he

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Speaker 1: do that? Why does he say that? What does that mean?

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Speaker 1: Could be to a number of things that you've seen

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Speaker 1: or heard on the show. It'll all make sense at

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Speaker 1: the end of tonight's show. It's a good refresher course

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Speaker 1: for those of you who have been around those of

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Speaker 1: you who are new. It's mandatory. You can't turn the

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Speaker 1: show off. You're not allowed to. And if you're trying

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Speaker 1: to recruit a friend or a family member to the show,

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Speaker 1: it's a it's a good explainer to put in front

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Speaker 1: of them. We're loaded tonight. That's a heavy stack of papers.

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Speaker 1: We're loaded. They're watching us in Baton Rouge Louisiana, San Antonio, Texas,

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Speaker 1: Wesley Chapel, Florida, Decatur, Alabama. Just down the road. Good

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Speaker 1: train watching to be had there. Indicator guys, paper Pop,

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Speaker 1: this rare opening show, paper Pop. It's all happening this week. Okay,

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Speaker 1: it's never been more important for you to be following

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Speaker 1: on the socials at Josh Pate CFB. You know what's

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Speaker 1: back this week Ram and it'll express in fact, that'll

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Speaker 1: happen on this show. You don't even have to be following,

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Speaker 1: but you know where you do need to be following.

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Speaker 1: You do need to be following on Instagram because live

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Speaker 1: Friday night at a non disclosed location in Columbus, Ohio.

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Speaker 1: It's going to be a hotel room. We will do

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Speaker 1: Friday night lines. That's back. The Fall tours back, which

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Speaker 1: means behind the scenes access is back, Like who knows

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Speaker 1: what Ryan Day's gonna let us do up there this weekend.

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Speaker 1: But the only way you'll see it's not on the

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Speaker 1: show close. That'll be Sunday. It'll be over by then.

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Speaker 1: You got to be following that Instagram story in the

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Speaker 1: Fall is the place to be. I'm telling you, TikTok's

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Speaker 1: taking off too. But Instagram story. When I'm on the road,

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Speaker 1: I'm on the sidelines at these games on Saturday, you

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Speaker 1: just get. You get a view that I can't give you.

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Speaker 1: No one else is really going to give you because

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Speaker 1: they don't care about you like we do at Josh

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Speaker 1: pat CFB. Okay, that is a very hefty open to

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Speaker 1: the show. I want to tell you something as we

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Speaker 1: begin tonight, there's no reason for you to be upset.

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Speaker 1: There will be wailing, there will be gnashing of teeth

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Speaker 1: at some point for most of you this year, but

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Speaker 1: not now, not tonight, Bradley, here's a good endpoint. College

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Speaker 1: football season's here. Okay. It's a time to be happy.

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Speaker 1: It's a time of rebirth. It's a time of optimism,

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Speaker 1: of promise, of potential and will dreams get shattered along

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Speaker 1: the way, Sure most of them will, But that's not

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Speaker 1: what God created late August for That's what God created

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Speaker 1: Halloween and beyond for your dreams can be tru crushed

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Speaker 1: by then. But I think we've got an amazing in

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Speaker 1: college football season coming up, and I'm going to give

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Speaker 1: you some reasons why you can come up with your own.

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Speaker 1: The first thing I'm thinking about is I've got ten

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Speaker 1: of them. We have never had this many contenders for

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Speaker 1: a national championship that I can remember in my lifetime.

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Speaker 1: We have come to learn that the national championship picture

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Speaker 1: is normally three teams, five teams, seven teams. There are

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Speaker 1: nine teams at plus fifteen hundred or better odds to

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Speaker 1: win this whole thing. And Texas, A and M's not

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Speaker 1: even included in that. Miami's not even included in that.

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Speaker 1: Florida is not even included in that. And the reason

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Speaker 1: I list those teams is because those are teams where

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Speaker 1: if they were to get in the playoff, could make

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Speaker 1: a lot of noise calls. They do have the minimum

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Speaker 1: baseline talent roster, in fact well above the minimum baseline.

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Speaker 1: But just think about how wide open it is this time.

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Speaker 1: Last year, Ohio State, Georgia, like those were the betting favorites.

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Speaker 1: Both of them lost two games in the regular season,

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Speaker 1: so they both made the playoff. Ohio State won the

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Speaker 1: whole thing, But even last year it was very tumultuous.

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Speaker 1: You guys know how rarely I use that word. Think

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Speaker 1: about this year and think about how much could go right,

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Speaker 1: especially if we don't have elite teams that's one of

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Speaker 1: the big questions that we have for early in the year.

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Speaker 1: I'll tell you another thing that I think is going

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Speaker 1: to make this season amazing. The big key that I

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Speaker 1: have long spoken about in this sport has been the

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Speaker 1: state of Florida and the big programs in the state

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Speaker 1: of Florida not taking care of business for a prolonged

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Speaker 1: period of time meant that the in state talent didn't

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Speaker 1: stay home for a prolonged period of time, which led

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Speaker 1: to Alabama's entire defensive backfield being made up of Florida

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Speaker 1: players when they won the title in twenty twenty. You

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Speaker 1: just watched that, and that's insane. That shouldn't happen. Why

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Speaker 1: does it happen. Well, those players aren't staying home calls,

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Speaker 1: their teams aren't winning. So now we have fest forwarded

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Speaker 1: five years. Florida State was great two years ago, then

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Speaker 1: they were terrible, and so we got to wait and

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Speaker 1: we got to find out what will they be this year.

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Speaker 1: Billy Napier, I think's got the best team that he's

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Speaker 1: had at Florida. I think very highly of them. We're

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Speaker 1: gonna predict them later in the show. I'll tell you

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Speaker 1: which win loss record I think they'll have Miami under

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Speaker 1: Mario Christobaal still knocking on the door of playoff contention,

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Speaker 1: but not there yet. They haven't kicked the door down yet.

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Speaker 1: Had cam Ward last year, no defense got Carson Beck

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Speaker 1: this year. Do they have a good enough defense replace

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Speaker 1: their entire secondary? Got a new defensive coordinator. They think

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Speaker 1: it may be a low key strength. What do we think.

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Speaker 1: We're kind of up in the air right now. We

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Speaker 1: got to wait and watch them play Notre Dame standalone

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Speaker 1: game Sunday night, Week one. Again. If this doesn't get

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Speaker 1: your heart race in a little bit, I don't know

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Speaker 1: why you're watching the show. Probably more of a soccer fan,

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Speaker 1: probably more of a basketball fan, and you just happen

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Speaker 1: to stumble upon it. But man, if you love college football,

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Speaker 1: think about the potential just in the state of Florida.

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Speaker 1: And that's not to mention our buddy Alex Goldish down

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Speaker 1: at USF. Could they make some noise they play Boise

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Speaker 1: to start the season. You see f Scott Frost back home.

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Speaker 1: It's like we just erased that entire Nebraska chapter and

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Speaker 1: he's back home making comments left and right about whether

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Speaker 1: he should have ever left or not. So I've got that.

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Speaker 1: I've got Brian Kelly, who is not a coach in

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Speaker 1: the state of Florida. Brian Kelly is the LSU head coach. Though.

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Speaker 1: What excites me about twenty twenty five is we get

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Speaker 1: to find out one way or the other about Brian Kelly.

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Speaker 1: I don't always talk in such definitive terms because it's

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Speaker 1: fortune cookie type stuff. Normally there are shades of gray

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Speaker 1: to every season. But I do think it's fair to

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Speaker 1: say someone's going to be proven right about Brian Kelly.

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Speaker 1: Now there's one group I've probably found myself in this

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Speaker 1: group that thinks Brian Kelly's a very good head coach.

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Speaker 1: That thinks Brian Kelly's probably gotten some unjust criticism and

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Speaker 1: in other cases maybe not criticized enough. So it's very compartmentalized.

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Speaker 1: But who thinks all in all he's the real deal.

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Speaker 1: Then there's another group that thinks he's a total and

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Speaker 1: abject fraud and they claim they knew it the day

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Speaker 1: he faked that accent and he's never really come and

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Speaker 1: rounded into form and turned LSU into a national title contender. Well, well,

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Speaker 1: those two worldviews they can't coexist. So one of them's

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Speaker 1: got to be right, and one of them's got to

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Speaker 1: be wrong. Now, you don't find that out in the

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Speaker 1: guy's first season. You really don't find it out in

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Speaker 1: a second season. When you get third season, when you

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Speaker 1: get fourth season, you get to a point where you're

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Speaker 1: gonna find out. So Brian Kelly's now had time to

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Speaker 1: maybe make not the best of hires when he started

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Speaker 1: out there, and maybe make not the best of personnel

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Speaker 1: decisions when he first started it out there, and then

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Speaker 1: he's had time to reap the consequences of it, the

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Speaker 1: Jaden Daniels year where defense cost him a shot at

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Speaker 1: a national title, and then he's had a year to

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Speaker 1: course correct and that organization's course corrected, and they hired

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Speaker 1: really good defensively, and they've got really good front office personnel.

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Speaker 1: May have the best GM in the country for all

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Speaker 1: we know. And now there's another season. Okay, with all

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Speaker 1: that happening, this is really the show me season. They

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Speaker 1: made a lot of good moves defensively in the portal,

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Speaker 1: They've talked a lot about being more offensively. They've got

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Speaker 1: a returning quarterback, it's their guy. So what if they

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Speaker 1: go eleven and one. What if they're in Atlanta. Well

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Speaker 1: there's your answer. What if they go seven and five? Well,

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Speaker 1: also there's your answer. So we get to find out

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Speaker 1: one way or the other. About Brian Kelly. I feel

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Speaker 1: like last year, speaking of Brian Kelly, the team that

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Speaker 1: he left to go to LSU was Notre Dame. I

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Speaker 1: feel like last year Notre Dame announced their arrival back

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Speaker 1: on the national championship stage. And it's fun unless you're,

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Speaker 1: you know, a Notre Dame hater, it's fun that Notre

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Speaker 1: Dame's back. I was never a believer college football needed

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Speaker 1: Notre Dame because I'm not a believer. College football needs

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Speaker 1: needs any team to be great. College football is great,

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Speaker 1: and if you want to be a part of it,

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Speaker 1: that's wonderful. It does help. I think it does make

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Speaker 1: it better if Notre Dame is in it, because no

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Speaker 1: one's indifferent on Notre Dame. Either love him or you

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Speaker 1: hate him. So Notre Dame's back, and by back, I

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Speaker 1: don't just mean a good, solid team. They played for

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Speaker 1: a national title last year. They're squarely in the mix

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Speaker 1: of that conversation again this year, I feel like the

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Speaker 1: sport has kind of come back to them a little

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Speaker 1: bit as opposed to five years ago when the talk

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Speaker 1: amongst many myself included was a fear that the game

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Speaker 1: had passed Notre Dame by and by that, I don't

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Speaker 1: know what everyone else meant. What I meant is I'm

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Speaker 1: just not sure the talent profile of recruiting classes that

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Speaker 1: you can get at Notre Dame is going to compete

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Speaker 1: with the likes of at the time Bama, Stillbama at

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Speaker 1: the time and still now Georgia at the time, still

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Speaker 1: now Ohio State. Well, you know, they went up against

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Speaker 1: Ohio State last year and they lost, but they beat Georgia,

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Speaker 1: you know they So they're competitive now. But here's the

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Speaker 1: follow up. The follow up is number one, they've got

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Speaker 1: to deliver a follow up campaign to last year. Number

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Speaker 1: two at Miami, Texas A and m at Arkansas, Boise,

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Speaker 1: NC State, and USC They play all of those teams

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Speaker 1: by October eighteenth, and they're breaking in a brand new quarterback.

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Speaker 1: So they are back, but they've got challenges. Now. Half

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Speaker 1: the internet will tell you Notre Dame plays a cupcake schedule.

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Speaker 1: The other half has looked at their schedule, so that's

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Speaker 1: not easy. People will look at going to Arkansas like

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Speaker 1: that's easy. It may be easier in November if it's

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Speaker 1: come off the rails for him. Arkansas is still going

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Speaker 1: to be all in when Notre Dame goes there. And

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Speaker 1: also that's kind of a one game season for Arkansas,

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Speaker 1: so even if they are bad elsewhere, they could pop

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Speaker 1: one on you. My point there is I'm very interested

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Speaker 1: in watching that. I mean, Al Golden won the Broyls

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Speaker 1: Award last year and he's off to the NFL and Jesse.

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Speaker 1: I don't even feel like we've talked about that on

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Speaker 1: our show enough, so let's find out. I also think

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Speaker 1: it's a referendum season for two other guys, and this

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Speaker 1: is going to be really fun to watch because neither

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Speaker 1: of them have any room to complain. The entire runway

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Speaker 1: is built exactly how they would have it built. It

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Speaker 1: is a referendum season for James Franklin at Penn State.

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Speaker 1: It's a referendum season for dabos Winny at Clemson. Both

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Speaker 1: of them have the quarterbacks that they have recruited and

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Speaker 1: developed in house and built towards this year, and Drew

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Speaker 1: Aller and k Klubnick, both of them have very manageable schedules.

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Speaker 1: Last year, they had a lot of the same pieces

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Speaker 1: that they'll have this year, and they weren't quite good enough,

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Speaker 1: but they were both playoff teams, So the question becomes

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Speaker 1: how much did they improve or is just a little

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Speaker 1: bit better version of what they were last year good enough?

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Speaker 1: Is Clemson's depth good enough? Is Penn State's wide receiver

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Speaker 1: room filled with those transfers good enough? Because there is

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Speaker 1: one path where one or both of them are in

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Speaker 1: the final four national championship game, maybe one of them

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Speaker 1: wins it, And I mean, what a story that is,

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Speaker 1: no matter what you're talking about, one of the bigger

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Speaker 1: stories in the last couple of decades in college football.

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Speaker 1: If either one of them wins it. For different reasons,

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Speaker 1: one of them is thought to not be able to

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Speaker 1: do it period, the other one is thought to have

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Speaker 1: the game having passed in by and so it would

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Speaker 1: be a gigantic I told you so by Deboswiney. It'd

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Speaker 1: be I told you I could From James Franklin. There

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Speaker 1: is another world that we at least have to acknowledge

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Speaker 1: could exist, and that is they're just okay. There's just

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Speaker 1: another version, like a copy and paste of last year,

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Speaker 1: which probably is good enough for Penn State to who

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Speaker 1: knows go to the Big Ten title game but not

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Speaker 1: win it. Clemson may be good enough to win the

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Speaker 1: ACC but nothing much more than that. And you can't

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Speaker 1: call that a failure of a season, but you kind

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Speaker 1: of can call it a failure of a season. Ohio

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Speaker 1: State is returning production in the eighties, Texas is returning

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Speaker 1: production in the eighties, and yet both of them are

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Speaker 1: expected to compete for a national title this year just

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Speaker 1: cause that is the talent roster that is the makeup

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Speaker 1: of those places. Clemson and Penn State will not be

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Speaker 1: viewed that way this time next year. I don't think

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Speaker 1: they'll be viewed that way. So it is very much

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Speaker 1: more of a window type opportunity for them than maybe

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Speaker 1: still some of the big boys that are there every

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Speaker 1: single year. I'm not done. I contendu you it is

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Speaker 1: going to be this year as it is every year

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Speaker 1: because the Big twelve is wide open. You could call

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Speaker 1: your aunt, who has said, Jimmy, you're a big college

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Speaker 1: football fan, right, yes, Aunt, Trish, get me into college football.

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Speaker 1: I don't even want to pull for a team. Just

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Speaker 1: just sell me on I watch soap operas every day, right,

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Speaker 1: I haven't worked in years. Just sell me on the storylines. Okay,

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Speaker 1: the Big Twelve, that's what you tell your aunt, the

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Speaker 1: Big Twelve. It could be Iowa State. They were just

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Speaker 1: victorious halfway around the world. Got home at noon today,

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Speaker 1: I'm told, per reputable sources from Dublin, Ireland after they

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Speaker 1: beat Kansas State. Kansas State's now behind the eight ball already,

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Speaker 1: but they were favored to win the conference going into yesterday.

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Speaker 1: You got Texas Tech with the ultimate talent roster experience,

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Speaker 1: the ultimate portal experiment. You've got Arizona State looking to

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Speaker 1: not defend the title because they're not defending anything. They're

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Speaker 1: looking to repeat as a conference champ for the first

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Speaker 1: time out there. I think no one's done it in

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Speaker 1: like half a decade. Baylor's sneaking around. They open with Auburn,

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Speaker 1: which is not a conference game, but we get to

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Speaker 1: find out how improved Dave Randa's bunch is. Utah is

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Speaker 1: the one that worries me the most because I don't

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Speaker 1: feel like I've talked enough about Utah, and I just

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Speaker 1: feel like Kyle Winningham's selling on him after one year

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Speaker 1: is very ignorant and very foolish. Jesse's not playing quarterback

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Speaker 1: for him, anymore, got to here from New Mexico, so

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Speaker 1: expect an upgrade there if I know Jesse like I

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Speaker 1: think I do, And then I'm watching Kansas yesterday and

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Speaker 1: the same stuff we had heard out of fall camp.

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Speaker 1: Jalen Daniels is healthy, well, obviously he's healthy. Now he

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Speaker 1: needs to be healthy for eleven more of them, but

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Speaker 1: if he is, they could be a surprise contender. Point being,

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Speaker 1: there should be no surprise contender in the Big Twelve.

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Speaker 1: Anyone who gets surprised by the Big Twelve being up

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Speaker 1: in the air does not really know the Big Twelve

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Speaker 1: like we do. What about Ohio State? What about Ryan Day?

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Speaker 1: We'll see them this weekend. We're going to be on

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Speaker 1: the road there Texas and Ohio State. Have you ever

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Speaker 1: thought to yourself, well, the head coach man, he just

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Speaker 1: won the national championship, but there's a lot of pressure

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Speaker 1: on him this year. No one ever says that. But

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Speaker 1: yet it's kind of the case with Ryan Day. It's

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Speaker 1: not the case that he needs to win another national title. No,

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Speaker 1: there's this whole other season that's baked into Ohio State's

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Speaker 1: world that most of you don't worry about, even though

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Speaker 1: you guys play rivalry games. No one has the dynamic

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Speaker 1: in their life right now that Ryan Day and Ohio

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Speaker 1: State do. As it relates to Michigan. Even coming off

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Speaker 1: a national championship last year, there's a yeah, but there's

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Speaker 1: not an asterisk next to the validity of the title.

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Speaker 1: There's not that there's an asterisk next to it in

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Speaker 1: the sense that everyone congratulates you and then says, gotta

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Speaker 1: beat Michigan, though, And they're not smiling when you chuck

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Speaker 1: a lot them. They're just dead serious. They should be.

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Speaker 1: You gotta beat Michigan though We're going on half a decade,

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Speaker 1: this is entering a fifth year now. You can't lose

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Speaker 1: to them. They got Bryce Underwood up there, I got

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Speaker 1: folks willing to spend, and the NCAA cloud is in

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Speaker 1: the rear view mirror now. So all the message board

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Speaker 1: fodder has to rid itself of that and refocus on

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Speaker 1: what we should be focused on, which is the game

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Speaker 1: on the field. The game on the field, it's a

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Speaker 1: long way away, it's several months away, but everything builds

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Speaker 1: to that, you know, because Ohio State correct me if

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Speaker 1: I'm wrong, Jesse. I think they've been favored in like

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Speaker 1: every one of these games the past four years and

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Speaker 1: they're zero to four, so it won't matter. Ohio State

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Speaker 1: could beat Texas by twenty this Saturday, and they go

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Speaker 1: in Washington and win, and they could go and wrote

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Speaker 1: Illinois and win beat Penn State. It doesn't matter. If

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Speaker 1: the futures mark it over at FanDuel has Ohio State

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Speaker 1: minus twenty Ohio State minus twenty two. That's what they

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Speaker 1: had last year they got beat. So we will not

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Speaker 1: matter until the dust settles. Four full quarters have been

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Speaker 1: played at least, and there's a bigger number on that

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Speaker 1: scoreboard for the Scarleton Grade than there is for the

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Speaker 1: Maze and Blue. That is a very weird kind of

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Speaker 1: pressure that only exists in college football. I love it

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Speaker 1: because I don't have to worry about it. I just

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Speaker 1: get to talk about it. What about a couple of

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Speaker 1: brands You may have heard of, USC and Nebraska. Could

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Speaker 1: we see a rebirth of one or both of them

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Speaker 1: this year. It's been a long time, long time since

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Speaker 1: we talked about conference championship pictures slash playoff pictures, and

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Speaker 1: we got to talk about USC and we got to

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Speaker 1: talk about Nebraska. And this year they're in the same conference.

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Speaker 1: Of course, now this year, could we be talking about

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Speaker 1: one or both. Well, that's up to them because the

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Speaker 1: second layer, the third layer maybe of the Big ten's

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Speaker 1: been very much removed from that conference championship conversation. But

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Speaker 1: who knows, Maybe they close the gap. Maybe there's a

385
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Speaker 1: lot more competitive depth to the Big Ten. Maybe they

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Speaker 1: have a lot to say about it. What's the line

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Speaker 1: of scrimmage situation at USC what's the consistency and performance

388
00:19:57,720 --> 00:20:01,359
Speaker 1: defensively like at USC or did to scale up last year?

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Speaker 1: Do they scale up this year to where they could

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00:20:03,440 --> 00:20:06,919
Speaker 1: hang twenty four sometimes and win games. That'd be a

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Speaker 1: whole new day. Or remember Lincoln Riley talked about it

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Speaker 1: last year going into last year. We've rehired on the

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Speaker 1: defensive side. It's a whole new day around here. I

394
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Speaker 1: went out there this spring. They fully believe it. Man,

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Speaker 1: they believe they got a secret the rest of the

396
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Speaker 1: world's gonna find out about. I can't wait. I hope

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Speaker 1: it's reality. I hope Nebraska being legit is reality. Hey,

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Speaker 1: I picked them to go to the playoff and I

399
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Speaker 1: got mocked, notably as the biggest Nebraska backer in the

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Speaker 1: city of Nashville, Tennessee. At least and maybe beyond. I'm

401
00:20:38,040 --> 00:20:41,840
Speaker 1: being mocked. Matt Rules out there starting to podcast. My

402
00:20:42,040 --> 00:20:47,199
Speaker 1: vision for December, My vision for the postseason is I

403
00:20:47,280 --> 00:20:49,639
Speaker 1: look like a genius. He has me on as a

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00:20:49,680 --> 00:20:54,480
Speaker 1: guest and we celebrate together. Got to make it happen first.

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00:20:54,640 --> 00:20:57,480
Speaker 1: How great would that be? Though, again, not for people

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Speaker 1: who hate Nebraska, but just indifferent observers out there, Many

407
00:21:02,720 --> 00:21:05,840
Speaker 1: of hoopst will tell you Nebraska's time to be at

408
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Speaker 1: the head table has come and gone. Well, they were

409
00:21:08,320 --> 00:21:11,040
Speaker 1: wrong about Notre Dame. Could they be wrong about Nebraska? Man?

410
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Speaker 1: What about Bama and Georgia? Last year Georgia won the league?

411
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Speaker 1: Bama lost three games and it was crisis mode in

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Speaker 1: Tuscaloosa and it was ah, okay, yeah, but we could

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Speaker 1: look a whole lot better mode in Athens, which again

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Speaker 1: just speaks to how dominant that program is. That ten

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Speaker 1: and two in an SEC championship was kind of viewed

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Speaker 1: as a had a little transition year. It could have

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Speaker 1: been better, It could have been better, It could have

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Speaker 1: been a whole lot worse though, or might not that

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Speaker 1: be the case? Might the floor be so high under

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Speaker 1: Kirby Smart that's about as bad as you can do.

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Speaker 1: I think that's a little unfair and unrealistic, but maybe

422
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Speaker 1: so we get Kaitlyn de Borr in year two, folks

423
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Speaker 1: like me got sky high expectations for him. I've seen, frankly,

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Speaker 1: I've seen an uncomfortable amount of people start to get

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Speaker 1: behind Alabama. Now. I don't like that. I would much

426
00:22:00,720 --> 00:22:04,560
Speaker 1: rather be on an island, especially with these bigger brand names,

427
00:22:04,560 --> 00:22:06,800
Speaker 1: because it gets talked about a lot. But whatever, they're

428
00:22:06,800 --> 00:22:09,399
Speaker 1: going to have to be competitively mature enough to handle

429
00:22:09,440 --> 00:22:12,879
Speaker 1: it around there. But you know, there's an expectation, I

430
00:22:12,880 --> 00:22:16,080
Speaker 1: would say, a fairly widely held expectation that last year

431
00:22:16,760 --> 00:22:20,040
Speaker 1: people are willing to accept as this transitional sort of year.

432
00:22:20,640 --> 00:22:22,480
Speaker 1: The more and more the vibe gets out, and the

433
00:22:22,480 --> 00:22:25,160
Speaker 1: more and more you realize, I have some unique situations,

434
00:22:25,240 --> 00:22:28,560
Speaker 1: unique circumstances last year, So they'll get it righted this year.

435
00:22:28,880 --> 00:22:32,200
Speaker 1: That'll be a Kailen Debor team whatever, Kaylen de Bor's

436
00:22:32,240 --> 00:22:35,160
Speaker 1: Alabama's going to be. That's what we'll get this year. Well,

437
00:22:35,160 --> 00:22:37,000
Speaker 1: if they go ten and two, that's great. Where are

438
00:22:37,040 --> 00:22:38,280
Speaker 1: they go eight and four? Where do they go? Seven

439
00:22:38,359 --> 00:22:44,120
Speaker 1: and five? Crisis open up the one nine hundred hotline

440
00:22:44,200 --> 00:22:47,560
Speaker 1: in Tuscaloosa. So that's fun to watch if you're not

441
00:22:47,600 --> 00:22:50,400
Speaker 1: in the fish bowl, that's really fun to watch at Georgia.

442
00:22:50,680 --> 00:22:53,080
Speaker 1: I mean, this is to me the number one program

443
00:22:53,080 --> 00:22:55,720
Speaker 1: in America, And you know what, if that's the case,

444
00:22:56,640 --> 00:22:59,600
Speaker 1: you could realistically have a down year that still involves

445
00:22:59,600 --> 00:23:02,280
Speaker 1: a conference title win, and you could be right back

446
00:23:02,320 --> 00:23:05,960
Speaker 1: to running the ball effectively, if not dominantly, this year.

447
00:23:06,200 --> 00:23:08,600
Speaker 1: You could be right back to top ten, top fifteen

448
00:23:08,640 --> 00:23:12,040
Speaker 1: across the board defensive metrics this year, and you could

449
00:23:12,040 --> 00:23:15,840
Speaker 1: have in the aggregate, improved what's been a net weakness

450
00:23:15,840 --> 00:23:18,000
Speaker 1: for you, the wide receiver room, and you'd go win

451
00:23:18,080 --> 00:23:23,240
Speaker 1: the conference title, national title this year. Or you could

452
00:23:23,280 --> 00:23:26,760
Speaker 1: go eight and four, nine and three yourself and have

453
00:23:26,880 --> 00:23:29,600
Speaker 1: everyone start to look at twenty twenty four not as

454
00:23:29,600 --> 00:23:32,400
Speaker 1: a blip but as the beginning of a trend. Now,

455
00:23:32,480 --> 00:23:35,399
Speaker 1: it'd be very, very difficult for me to imagine a

456
00:23:35,480 --> 00:23:40,160
Speaker 1: Kirby Smart program like trending down. No one's immune from that. Though.

457
00:23:40,920 --> 00:23:43,280
Speaker 1: That's fun to watch, that's why we watch it. And

458
00:23:43,400 --> 00:23:45,520
Speaker 1: the state of Texas could be the story of college

459
00:23:45,560 --> 00:23:49,399
Speaker 1: football season. Although I have offered up like five or

460
00:23:49,440 --> 00:23:53,120
Speaker 1: six different potential stories of college football season so Texas

461
00:23:53,200 --> 00:23:55,880
Speaker 1: is expected to compete for a national title. We think

462
00:23:55,920 --> 00:23:58,320
Speaker 1: Texas A and M is the most underrated team in

463
00:23:58,400 --> 00:24:01,360
Speaker 1: the SEC in the odds market, so we think they're

464
00:24:01,400 --> 00:24:05,600
Speaker 1: both playoff contenders. Texas Tech absolutely is the story of

465
00:24:05,600 --> 00:24:07,399
Speaker 1: the Big twelve and one of the stories of the

466
00:24:07,520 --> 00:24:12,359
Speaker 1: entire country. Baylor very sneaky Big twelve team TCU also

467
00:24:12,520 --> 00:24:16,000
Speaker 1: very sneaky Big twelve team. Houston year two under Willie Fritz,

468
00:24:16,040 --> 00:24:21,440
Speaker 1: approximately nobody talking about them, and yet Connor Wigman's down

469
00:24:21,440 --> 00:24:26,400
Speaker 1: there yep, yep, still playing Power four quarterback. Related note,

470
00:24:26,440 --> 00:24:28,920
Speaker 1: Houston is in the Big twelve. Now, you got to

471
00:24:28,960 --> 00:24:31,800
Speaker 1: do your flash card exercise as kids, You got to

472
00:24:31,840 --> 00:24:35,720
Speaker 1: refamiliarize yourself with your new landscape of college football. And

473
00:24:36,160 --> 00:24:40,360
Speaker 1: there's Rice, who can they make loose to food this year?

474
00:24:41,760 --> 00:24:45,200
Speaker 1: Those are some of the reasons I'm excited. Those are

475
00:24:45,240 --> 00:24:48,000
Speaker 1: not exhaustive reasons. Those are just some of the reasons

476
00:24:48,000 --> 00:24:49,480
Speaker 1: that I'm excited. I think it's going to be an

477
00:24:49,480 --> 00:24:52,200
Speaker 1: incredible year. When you have a picture at the top

478
00:24:52,240 --> 00:24:56,000
Speaker 1: of the board this compacted. When you have number nine

479
00:24:56,160 --> 00:24:59,840
Speaker 1: through forty in my Power ratings separated by eleven point,

480
00:25:00,880 --> 00:25:05,800
Speaker 1: you're setting yourself up for not a car wreck because

481
00:25:05,880 --> 00:25:11,320
Speaker 1: that sounds terrible, but the best form of bumper cars

482
00:25:11,359 --> 00:25:14,679
Speaker 1: that you could ever play. But putting school logos on

483
00:25:14,720 --> 00:25:17,440
Speaker 1: each one of the cars. That's the That's the entire

484
00:25:17,480 --> 00:25:19,399
Speaker 1: landscape this year. I can't wait for it. Oh, I

485
00:25:19,440 --> 00:25:21,399
Speaker 1: can't wait for it. We're just getting started tonight. This

486
00:25:21,440 --> 00:25:25,240
Speaker 1: show's jam packed, proudly fueled by Quick Trip. I have

487
00:25:25,359 --> 00:25:29,280
Speaker 1: had a number of conversations lately with people who are

488
00:25:29,400 --> 00:25:32,320
Speaker 1: taking all form of pictures and Quick Trip parking lots.

489
00:25:32,800 --> 00:25:34,679
Speaker 1: Not sure what the plural of parking lots could be

490
00:25:34,720 --> 00:25:36,480
Speaker 1: other than parking lots. They may be able to help

491
00:25:36,560 --> 00:25:39,720
Speaker 1: us on that. It warms the heart, it warms the soul,

492
00:25:39,800 --> 00:25:42,880
Speaker 1: now you need to know. I forward most of those

493
00:25:42,960 --> 00:25:46,960
Speaker 1: over to QTJ Quick Trip Joe, who is our contact

494
00:25:47,160 --> 00:25:50,840
Speaker 1: at the Quick Trip world at headquarters out there in Oklahoma.

495
00:25:51,160 --> 00:25:54,080
Speaker 1: They love it. They love it. Imagine a Monday morning

496
00:25:54,160 --> 00:25:58,399
Speaker 1: meeting at quick Trip headquarters at nine am. Everyone walks in,

497
00:25:58,480 --> 00:26:00,440
Speaker 1: and then at nine oh two am people are just

498
00:26:00,480 --> 00:26:02,160
Speaker 1: looking at cel phone pictures of you guys in their

499
00:26:02,160 --> 00:26:05,560
Speaker 1: parking lots, cold brew on tap inside, all kind of

500
00:26:05,600 --> 00:26:08,639
Speaker 1: snacks depending on breakfast could be breakfast depending on lunch.

501
00:26:08,880 --> 00:26:11,000
Speaker 1: Could be lunch. Maybe you're a long haul trucker in

502
00:26:11,040 --> 00:26:12,919
Speaker 1: the middle of the night, could be anything and everything.

503
00:26:13,480 --> 00:26:16,840
Speaker 1: We appreciate them. They are fueling the fall tour, the

504
00:26:16,960 --> 00:26:20,280
Speaker 1: fall don't lie tours, hitting the road this Saturday. Actually,

505
00:26:21,800 --> 00:26:29,000
Speaker 1: can't wait. Appreciate quick trip. This will be controversial, There's

506
00:26:29,000 --> 00:26:31,239
Speaker 1: no way around this. I try and avoid controversy as

507
00:26:31,280 --> 00:26:33,840
Speaker 1: much as I can. Pretty clean cut around here, you know,

508
00:26:33,880 --> 00:26:35,560
Speaker 1: I mean, look at the whiteness in this T shirt.

509
00:26:35,880 --> 00:26:39,520
Speaker 1: It's Christine. But we're about to get it dirty. About

510
00:26:39,520 --> 00:26:41,160
Speaker 1: to get it dirty, all right, here we go, Bradley.

511
00:26:42,119 --> 00:26:46,040
Speaker 1: If anyone who is watching live wonders, I'm just giving

512
00:26:46,119 --> 00:26:48,239
Speaker 1: Bradley qes. So when he goes back and cuts up

513
00:26:48,240 --> 00:26:55,120
Speaker 1: the show afterwards, he doesn't include that foolishness. It's time

514
00:26:55,160 --> 00:26:57,720
Speaker 1: to predict wins and losses for SEC teams this year.

515
00:26:57,800 --> 00:27:00,119
Speaker 1: I need to stress this is not the model. This

516
00:27:00,160 --> 00:27:02,680
Speaker 1: is not the model. I have shirked responsibility over onto

517
00:27:02,720 --> 00:27:06,800
Speaker 1: the model. I have deflected blame onto the model. But

518
00:27:06,880 --> 00:27:09,040
Speaker 1: it's time for me to step up, be an adult,

519
00:27:09,080 --> 00:27:12,679
Speaker 1: take some responsibility and say let's close the computer. I

520
00:27:12,680 --> 00:27:14,040
Speaker 1: need to keep it open because I got to see

521
00:27:14,040 --> 00:27:18,240
Speaker 1: my feedback screen. But let's close the computer figuratively and

522
00:27:18,320 --> 00:27:20,879
Speaker 1: let's take a personal stand. No more ride in the fence.

523
00:27:21,880 --> 00:27:23,719
Speaker 1: I'm just repeating what all the haters have told me

524
00:27:23,800 --> 00:27:26,760
Speaker 1: all of August. So this is not the model. This

525
00:27:26,840 --> 00:27:29,240
Speaker 1: is me, This is my this right here, that's my gut.

526
00:27:29,359 --> 00:27:34,000
Speaker 1: I'm calling my shots. There are only three teams from

527
00:27:34,040 --> 00:27:37,280
Speaker 1: all of last year that had losing records in the SEC,

528
00:27:37,720 --> 00:27:39,439
Speaker 1: and yet it was viewed as a down year for

529
00:27:39,480 --> 00:27:42,720
Speaker 1: the SEC because there were really no elite teams down

530
00:27:42,760 --> 00:27:46,320
Speaker 1: there either down there, I'm in Nashville, down here, and

531
00:27:46,440 --> 00:27:51,200
Speaker 1: so only one to eleven win season in the entire conference.

532
00:27:51,280 --> 00:27:54,120
Speaker 1: Last year Georgia was ten and two and they won

533
00:27:54,400 --> 00:27:57,159
Speaker 1: the league. What kind of year are we going to

534
00:27:57,200 --> 00:28:00,359
Speaker 1: have this year? I have a fundamental belief out the

535
00:28:00,400 --> 00:28:04,600
Speaker 1: SEC this year, and that is it's Nashville skyline protocol.

536
00:28:05,160 --> 00:28:07,080
Speaker 1: What I mean, if any of you who have been

537
00:28:07,080 --> 00:28:08,959
Speaker 1: in Nashville, you know exactly what I'm talking about. We're

538
00:28:09,000 --> 00:28:12,760
Speaker 1: high top downtown Nashville, Tennessee, roughly roughly maybe on the outskirts. Now.

539
00:28:13,840 --> 00:28:17,320
Speaker 1: There are no one hundred foot mega skyscrapers in Nashville,

540
00:28:17,400 --> 00:28:19,679
Speaker 1: but there are a lot of sort of similar height,

541
00:28:19,880 --> 00:28:24,159
Speaker 1: tall buildings, and it could be the AT and T building,

542
00:28:24,160 --> 00:28:26,320
Speaker 1: the Batman building stands out to you, maybe the Pinnacle

543
00:28:26,320 --> 00:28:28,640
Speaker 1: building stands out. Maybe the Bridge known building stands out.

544
00:28:28,880 --> 00:28:31,760
Speaker 1: Maybe our studio stands out. But there's no one up

545
00:28:31,840 --> 00:28:33,879
Speaker 1: until they open this paramount tower in a couple of

546
00:28:33,920 --> 00:28:36,400
Speaker 1: years that stands out above and beyond. I think that's

547
00:28:36,440 --> 00:28:41,760
Speaker 1: the SEC again this year. It's just a conglomeration of tall,

548
00:28:41,920 --> 00:28:46,880
Speaker 1: good looking buildings, very picturesque conference skyline. There's no one

549
00:28:47,000 --> 00:28:50,360
Speaker 1: high rise, there's no like one world trade that's above

550
00:28:50,360 --> 00:28:53,720
Speaker 1: and beyond everything else. And so the difference in nine

551
00:28:53,720 --> 00:28:55,520
Speaker 1: and three and seven and five in this conference this

552
00:28:55,640 --> 00:28:58,960
Speaker 1: year is negligible. It's one of the rare four syllable

553
00:28:58,960 --> 00:29:00,720
Speaker 1: words that I felt the need to use on the

554
00:29:00,720 --> 00:29:03,200
Speaker 1: show tonight. But it will be impossible to spot the

555
00:29:03,240 --> 00:29:05,880
Speaker 1: difference in nine to three and seven and five in August.

556
00:29:06,160 --> 00:29:09,800
Speaker 1: It's impossible. Coaches can't see it much less we the

557
00:29:09,920 --> 00:29:14,000
Speaker 1: people of college football is Alex listen. It's a good

558
00:29:14,000 --> 00:29:17,280
Speaker 1: T shirt idea. Let me give you an example. Last year,

559
00:29:17,280 --> 00:29:20,000
Speaker 1: So LS, you finished eight and four last year, If

560
00:29:20,000 --> 00:29:22,400
Speaker 1: you were sitting in August and you were predicting them

561
00:29:22,400 --> 00:29:25,240
Speaker 1: to go eight and four, or maybe someone predicting six

562
00:29:25,320 --> 00:29:27,520
Speaker 1: and six. I think about what the difference there is.

563
00:29:28,240 --> 00:29:32,239
Speaker 1: LSU did not even lead Ole Miss in regulation and

564
00:29:32,360 --> 00:29:35,760
Speaker 1: beat them. That's a win. They had that phantom no

565
00:29:35,960 --> 00:29:39,880
Speaker 1: call up at South Carolina where also Sellers went down

566
00:29:39,920 --> 00:29:41,840
Speaker 1: for portion of the game. They won. That one had

567
00:29:41,880 --> 00:29:44,520
Speaker 1: to come from behind, they nutted up, they won the game.

568
00:29:44,560 --> 00:29:49,400
Speaker 1: Congrats to them. Could you possibly see the difference like

569
00:29:49,520 --> 00:29:52,040
Speaker 1: plus or minus in those games from August? Of course

570
00:29:52,080 --> 00:29:55,880
Speaker 1: you can't point being they're the same team. Just bounces

571
00:29:55,920 --> 00:29:59,000
Speaker 1: go their way, bounces don't go their way against USC.

572
00:29:59,440 --> 00:30:03,120
Speaker 1: So my point in revealing what we're about to reveal is,

573
00:30:04,280 --> 00:30:07,200
Speaker 1: I think we got to recalibrate our mind for what

574
00:30:07,400 --> 00:30:09,400
Speaker 1: the new nine and three. I think nine and three

575
00:30:09,440 --> 00:30:11,800
Speaker 1: is the new ten and two. And I think that

576
00:30:11,880 --> 00:30:13,719
Speaker 1: there are some seven and fives in this conference this

577
00:30:13,800 --> 00:30:17,640
Speaker 1: year that could realistically say we had an okay year

578
00:30:17,680 --> 00:30:19,200
Speaker 1: and that used to not be the case. All Right,

579
00:30:19,240 --> 00:30:23,080
Speaker 1: here we go. I'm nervous. I don't like it, but

580
00:30:23,160 --> 00:30:27,440
Speaker 1: we gotta do it. Who do we go with? First? Up? Jesse,

581
00:30:27,560 --> 00:30:30,760
Speaker 1: remind me of this A and M Okay, Yeah, that's right,

582
00:30:30,800 --> 00:30:34,200
Speaker 1: I have my paper turnaround Texas A and M overtfanduel.

583
00:30:34,200 --> 00:30:36,200
Speaker 1: The over underwin total is seven and a half. This

584
00:30:36,280 --> 00:30:39,320
Speaker 1: is the most underpriced team in this entire conference. To me,

585
00:30:39,720 --> 00:30:41,920
Speaker 1: they will go over seven and a half. But this

586
00:30:41,960 --> 00:30:44,560
Speaker 1: is not over under win total. This is exactly what

587
00:30:44,600 --> 00:30:47,880
Speaker 1: the record's going to be. I love the offensive identity

588
00:30:47,920 --> 00:30:50,600
Speaker 1: of this team. We have them as the number nine.

589
00:30:50,640 --> 00:30:53,800
Speaker 1: Strength of schedule and the SEC and our internal metrics.

590
00:30:54,160 --> 00:30:57,479
Speaker 1: The Tier two matchups, as we define them, will decide

591
00:30:57,480 --> 00:30:59,120
Speaker 1: Texas A and M season. They have three of them.

592
00:30:59,160 --> 00:31:02,160
Speaker 1: They play Missouri on on the road, they play Auburn

593
00:31:02,240 --> 00:31:05,840
Speaker 1: at home, they play South Carolina at home. The way

594
00:31:05,920 --> 00:31:09,160
Speaker 1: that that group of games goes, I think we'll determine

595
00:31:09,160 --> 00:31:12,080
Speaker 1: this season. And we've got them doing very well in

596
00:31:12,120 --> 00:31:14,760
Speaker 1: those games. We've got the game at Texas at the

597
00:31:14,840 --> 00:31:18,680
Speaker 1: end of the year having SEC championship implications on it

598
00:31:18,840 --> 00:31:22,080
Speaker 1: and playoff implications on it. Yet again, I've got Texas

599
00:31:22,120 --> 00:31:24,720
Speaker 1: A and M going nine to three this year. We

600
00:31:24,840 --> 00:31:28,040
Speaker 1: view them as a bona fide college football playoff contender.

601
00:31:28,840 --> 00:31:31,240
Speaker 1: I feel like we should have drum roll next up,

602
00:31:31,920 --> 00:31:36,720
Speaker 1: random order here, let's do Georgia next. I'm spinning a wheel.

603
00:31:36,760 --> 00:31:38,560
Speaker 1: You just have to imagine me spinning the wheel. Here.

604
00:31:39,080 --> 00:31:42,080
Speaker 1: George's over underwent total is nine and a half. I

605
00:31:42,120 --> 00:31:45,240
Speaker 1: think home field advantage is as important for Georgia as

606
00:31:45,280 --> 00:31:48,160
Speaker 1: any team in this conference. This year EA Sports comes

607
00:31:48,160 --> 00:31:51,080
Speaker 1: out with their home field advantage ratings. We do all

608
00:31:51,080 --> 00:31:54,200
Speaker 1: our stadium ratings. Well, here's where it really matters. It

609
00:31:54,200 --> 00:31:56,680
Speaker 1: really matters when Ole Miss comes into your building. Can

610
00:31:56,720 --> 00:31:59,840
Speaker 1: they operate on third down? How's ty Simpson? How does

611
00:32:00,080 --> 00:32:03,280
Speaker 1: arch Manning? How do they feel playing in Sandford Stadium

612
00:32:03,320 --> 00:32:06,640
Speaker 1: on third down? That's where the home crowd at Georgia

613
00:32:06,640 --> 00:32:09,240
Speaker 1: this year could fundamentally impact the season because they do

614
00:32:09,280 --> 00:32:11,840
Speaker 1: play a tough schedule, but they they get those dudes

615
00:32:11,840 --> 00:32:13,800
Speaker 1: at home, and then they go to Tennessee. But they

616
00:32:13,800 --> 00:32:16,120
Speaker 1: go to Tennessee early in the year, they do go

617
00:32:16,160 --> 00:32:19,280
Speaker 1: to Auburn. Those teams are in varying states of flux.

618
00:32:19,480 --> 00:32:22,880
Speaker 1: Here is my mild concern with Georgia. I do believe

619
00:32:22,920 --> 00:32:26,000
Speaker 1: that there'll be a rebound identity wise. I do believe

620
00:32:26,040 --> 00:32:27,760
Speaker 1: they'll be able to run the ball better this year.

621
00:32:28,920 --> 00:32:30,719
Speaker 1: Is there still going to be a little bit of

622
00:32:30,720 --> 00:32:35,959
Speaker 1: inconsistency on that offensive line with so much unproven across

623
00:32:36,000 --> 00:32:39,400
Speaker 1: the front. They trust them, they've developed them, and this

624
00:32:39,920 --> 00:32:42,160
Speaker 1: program deserves benefit of the doubt. And I don't disagree

625
00:32:42,200 --> 00:32:45,040
Speaker 1: with that, but I've got that as a mild concern.

626
00:32:45,480 --> 00:32:47,920
Speaker 1: I think the wide receiver room could be low key

627
00:32:47,960 --> 00:32:49,800
Speaker 1: one of the best in the country if it's allowed

628
00:32:49,840 --> 00:32:52,400
Speaker 1: to be gun or Stockton. Of course, at quarterback, everyone's

629
00:32:52,480 --> 00:32:56,400
Speaker 1: asking questions about him. I think his performance works downstream

630
00:32:56,680 --> 00:32:59,280
Speaker 1: of the offensive line and the ground game being there,

631
00:32:59,320 --> 00:33:02,800
Speaker 1: and the defense front being up a notch or down

632
00:33:02,840 --> 00:33:06,360
Speaker 1: a notch. There are enough collective concerns with that defensive

633
00:33:06,360 --> 00:33:09,040
Speaker 1: and offensive front. Then I'm not willing to go double

634
00:33:09,080 --> 00:33:12,000
Speaker 1: digit wins on Georgia. I'm going nine and three on Georgia.

635
00:33:12,040 --> 00:33:14,240
Speaker 1: I've got him as a playoff team, but I don't

636
00:33:14,240 --> 00:33:16,160
Speaker 1: have them winning the conference. So I got Georgia at

637
00:33:16,200 --> 00:33:20,240
Speaker 1: nine and three. Next up, you know, let's be scientific.

638
00:33:21,840 --> 00:33:24,280
Speaker 1: Give me Auburn, Jesse, all right? Next up is Auburn

639
00:33:24,440 --> 00:33:27,200
Speaker 1: is Again, this is as high level of production as

640
00:33:27,200 --> 00:33:30,720
Speaker 1: you will ever see. Auburn is one of the big

641
00:33:30,760 --> 00:33:33,280
Speaker 1: wildcard teams in the SEC, if not the country. This year.

642
00:33:33,320 --> 00:33:36,360
Speaker 1: They're over underwin total at FanDuel is seven and a half.

643
00:33:37,120 --> 00:33:40,160
Speaker 1: We've got him with the number thirteen strength of schedule

644
00:33:40,640 --> 00:33:46,200
Speaker 1: in the SEC. Okay, having said that, they got four

645
00:33:46,240 --> 00:33:49,800
Speaker 1: losable games in the first half of the year, and

646
00:33:49,840 --> 00:33:51,400
Speaker 1: one of them is on the road in Week one

647
00:33:51,600 --> 00:33:57,040
Speaker 1: at Baylor. And look, I don't expect miracles with Jackson Arnold.

648
00:33:57,240 --> 00:34:00,000
Speaker 1: I don't expect miracles with Jackson Arnold, and that means

649
00:34:00,000 --> 00:34:02,560
Speaker 1: means I don't expect him to have had the problems

650
00:34:02,560 --> 00:34:05,840
Speaker 1: he had last year at Oklahoma. But just like magically,

651
00:34:05,880 --> 00:34:09,800
Speaker 1: we turn the page and what a fairy tale, disneyesque

652
00:34:09,840 --> 00:34:12,080
Speaker 1: story this is. No, They're gonna be ups and downs.

653
00:34:12,640 --> 00:34:15,040
Speaker 1: In the best of cases for Auburn, They're gonna be

654
00:34:15,080 --> 00:34:17,560
Speaker 1: up and downs. They got the thirteenth strength of schedule

655
00:34:17,600 --> 00:34:20,040
Speaker 1: in the SEC. I told you they got four losable

656
00:34:20,080 --> 00:34:24,279
Speaker 1: games in the first half. If quarterback play allows the

657
00:34:24,320 --> 00:34:28,040
Speaker 1: talent profile of that team to play to its potential,

658
00:34:28,480 --> 00:34:31,279
Speaker 1: then Auburn could surprise a lot of people. Because I

659
00:34:31,320 --> 00:34:34,680
Speaker 1: am not as high on Auburn as I definitely would be.

660
00:34:34,719 --> 00:34:37,479
Speaker 1: If you gave me that promise, I'm not sold it'll

661
00:34:37,520 --> 00:34:41,239
Speaker 1: be there. I'm not sold that the quarterback play will

662
00:34:41,239 --> 00:34:43,960
Speaker 1: allow the potential of the talent profile of this team

663
00:34:43,960 --> 00:34:45,879
Speaker 1: to be unlocked. What I mean by that is if

664
00:34:45,960 --> 00:34:48,920
Speaker 1: Jackson Arnold's good, that offensive line is really good, that

665
00:34:48,960 --> 00:34:52,640
Speaker 1: offensive line is really underrated nationally, that wide receiver room

666
00:34:52,840 --> 00:34:56,040
Speaker 1: is criminally underrated nationally. But it's cause people don't think

667
00:34:56,239 --> 00:34:59,440
Speaker 1: that they're gonna matter. I think they're gonna matter, but

668
00:34:59,520 --> 00:35:02,640
Speaker 1: I'm st still not sold to the point where I'm

669
00:35:02,680 --> 00:35:05,920
Speaker 1: willing to go ooh, watch out Auburn dark horse playoff contender.

670
00:35:06,560 --> 00:35:09,200
Speaker 1: I've got Auburn slotted at seven and five right now,

671
00:35:09,560 --> 00:35:12,880
Speaker 1: but I am freely admitting they are one of the

672
00:35:12,880 --> 00:35:15,399
Speaker 1: two teams in the conference that I'm most exposed on

673
00:35:15,719 --> 00:35:18,520
Speaker 1: because they're one of the two teams with the highest

674
00:35:18,960 --> 00:35:23,160
Speaker 1: variance and potential outcome high end to low end. Let's go.

675
00:35:24,560 --> 00:35:28,000
Speaker 1: Let's go Florida Gators next. We all know the story

676
00:35:28,040 --> 00:35:31,040
Speaker 1: here if you've been watching this show. Florida's over underwent

677
00:35:31,080 --> 00:35:32,719
Speaker 1: total is seven and a half this year. We got

678
00:35:32,800 --> 00:35:35,000
Speaker 1: him playing the toughest strength of schedule in the SEC

679
00:35:35,239 --> 00:35:38,840
Speaker 1: and the toughest strength of schedule in America, and I

680
00:35:39,000 --> 00:35:42,799
Speaker 1: maybe foolishly but boldly am in on them anyway. I've

681
00:35:42,800 --> 00:35:46,920
Speaker 1: got him as a playoff team, So Obviously I believe

682
00:35:46,920 --> 00:35:50,160
Speaker 1: in DJ Lagway, but more so than saying that generically,

683
00:35:50,600 --> 00:35:52,600
Speaker 1: more so than saying, boy, look at what he does

684
00:35:52,640 --> 00:35:56,920
Speaker 1: on broken plays. It is deep ball accuracy paired with

685
00:35:56,960 --> 00:36:00,200
Speaker 1: this receiver room that I really trust, paired with that

686
00:36:00,239 --> 00:36:03,520
Speaker 1: offensive line. And it also speaking of that offensive line

687
00:36:03,560 --> 00:36:06,840
Speaker 1: gives me great comfort to know that if the passing

688
00:36:06,880 --> 00:36:09,919
Speaker 1: game is not clicking, if it starts out slow any

689
00:36:10,000 --> 00:36:13,400
Speaker 1: given Saturday, they've got that offensive line to fall back on.

690
00:36:13,440 --> 00:36:17,120
Speaker 1: They got a really really high level ground game, multifaceted

691
00:36:17,120 --> 00:36:20,040
Speaker 1: ground game, including the quarterback there to fall back on.

692
00:36:20,400 --> 00:36:22,840
Speaker 1: I think we're pairing that with a top twenty style

693
00:36:22,960 --> 00:36:28,680
Speaker 1: defense and a dynamic like athletic, lengthy defense at Florida,

694
00:36:29,200 --> 00:36:31,839
Speaker 1: and I think the whole team's dynamic enough to where

695
00:36:31,880 --> 00:36:34,640
Speaker 1: they can win so many different ways. I've got the

696
00:36:34,640 --> 00:36:37,920
Speaker 1: Florida Gators breaking through this year, a year after Napier

697
00:36:38,120 --> 00:36:40,440
Speaker 1: was sold down the river and then they didn't fire him,

698
00:36:40,480 --> 00:36:43,480
Speaker 1: just probably because they couldn't afford to do it. Boom

699
00:36:43,520 --> 00:36:46,399
Speaker 1: comeback story of the year. Florida finishes nine and three.

700
00:36:46,520 --> 00:36:51,279
Speaker 1: They are in the College Football Playoff. I need a fan.

701
00:36:51,400 --> 00:36:55,560
Speaker 1: Myself could go bad for me. We're not even halfway done.

702
00:36:55,600 --> 00:36:59,560
Speaker 1: We got to continue. Okay, Texas is next up, because

703
00:36:59,600 --> 00:37:01,200
Speaker 1: that's the tea that's in front of me right now.

704
00:37:01,680 --> 00:37:05,560
Speaker 1: Texas Longhorns over underwin total at FanDuel nine and a half.

705
00:37:05,800 --> 00:37:08,840
Speaker 1: Sark told us in the spring, we have built towards

706
00:37:08,920 --> 00:37:12,640
Speaker 1: this year. Yes, Arch is a first year starter, but

707
00:37:12,719 --> 00:37:15,640
Speaker 1: he's our guy, and we've developed him, and we recruited him,

708
00:37:15,680 --> 00:37:18,680
Speaker 1: and we have viewed the future of this program with

709
00:37:18,800 --> 00:37:22,000
Speaker 1: his face at quarterback, and we viewed the future of

710
00:37:22,040 --> 00:37:24,640
Speaker 1: this line of scrimmage as being the biggest in the

711
00:37:24,680 --> 00:37:29,120
Speaker 1: country athletically biggest in the country. And they've achieved that.

712
00:37:29,200 --> 00:37:31,120
Speaker 1: They've got to go prove it now. But I'll take

713
00:37:31,160 --> 00:37:33,879
Speaker 1: a lot of their new over most of the other

714
00:37:33,920 --> 00:37:36,439
Speaker 1: countries unproven. I don't know how to explain it, guys.

715
00:37:36,480 --> 00:37:39,160
Speaker 1: If you go watch and practice, they're one of three

716
00:37:39,200 --> 00:37:42,200
Speaker 1: or four teams where you just blindly assume everyone's a

717
00:37:42,200 --> 00:37:44,680
Speaker 1: stud and you're not missing the mark by much if

718
00:37:44,680 --> 00:37:49,000
Speaker 1: you assume that they have potentially a game changing pass

719
00:37:49,080 --> 00:37:51,960
Speaker 1: rush any set of downs. We get to see that

720
00:37:52,000 --> 00:37:55,240
Speaker 1: early on against Ohio State. There again, are just so

721
00:37:55,320 --> 00:37:57,920
Speaker 1: many ways they can beat you. But I'm telling you,

722
00:37:58,280 --> 00:38:00,760
Speaker 1: there are more than a few teams on this schedule

723
00:38:00,800 --> 00:38:03,680
Speaker 1: that can beat them, and it makes me less comfortable

724
00:38:03,760 --> 00:38:06,719
Speaker 1: in backing Texas when I know Ohio State's on the road,

725
00:38:06,719 --> 00:38:08,799
Speaker 1: Florida's on the road, oh U is away from home,

726
00:38:09,239 --> 00:38:11,239
Speaker 1: They've got to go to Georgia late in the year.

727
00:38:12,280 --> 00:38:14,480
Speaker 1: There's a lot of newness that you're taking into those

728
00:38:14,480 --> 00:38:16,920
Speaker 1: tough environments. I do think there are a couple of

729
00:38:16,960 --> 00:38:19,520
Speaker 1: losses on the schedule, but I do have Texas playing

730
00:38:19,520 --> 00:38:22,040
Speaker 1: for the SEC championship and I got them going ten

731
00:38:22,080 --> 00:38:27,600
Speaker 1: and two in the regular season. Next up, let's do

732
00:38:27,680 --> 00:38:30,720
Speaker 1: Bama Jesse. Yeah, let's go ahead and do o Bama.

733
00:38:30,760 --> 00:38:36,319
Speaker 1: Okay Alabama. Alabama over underwent total at fanduels nine and

734
00:38:36,360 --> 00:38:39,640
Speaker 1: a half. I think this staff challenges Georgia for the

735
00:38:39,640 --> 00:38:43,239
Speaker 1: best overall coaching staff that we have graded in the SEC.

736
00:38:43,719 --> 00:38:47,239
Speaker 1: Last year was a whole story unto itself. Last year

737
00:38:47,280 --> 00:38:49,759
Speaker 1: is not this year, and I think this year will

738
00:38:49,800 --> 00:38:53,239
Speaker 1: help a lot of people better view last year through

739
00:38:53,280 --> 00:38:56,560
Speaker 1: the proper prism. They are excellent out wide both sides

740
00:38:56,600 --> 00:38:58,680
Speaker 1: of the ball. Wide receiver room maybe the best in

741
00:38:58,719 --> 00:39:01,160
Speaker 1: the conference. I think they do have the best group

742
00:39:01,200 --> 00:39:04,080
Speaker 1: of defensive backs in the conference, and there's a lot

743
00:39:04,120 --> 00:39:06,360
Speaker 1: of variety in both of those rooms, and there are

744
00:39:06,360 --> 00:39:08,480
Speaker 1: a lot of young guys who are pushing for play

745
00:39:08,480 --> 00:39:11,680
Speaker 1: in time, but that they don't actually have to play.

746
00:39:12,239 --> 00:39:14,680
Speaker 1: It's just luxury. If they get those kind of guys

747
00:39:14,760 --> 00:39:18,360
Speaker 1: on the field, consistency will be the key offensively for

748
00:39:18,400 --> 00:39:20,640
Speaker 1: them this year. I don't mean they need to be consistent.

749
00:39:20,680 --> 00:39:23,839
Speaker 1: I think they will be consistent. They weren't last year.

750
00:39:24,160 --> 00:39:26,640
Speaker 1: The same team that went and dropped forty plus at

751
00:39:26,760 --> 00:39:30,600
Speaker 1: LSU got dunked on on the road at Oklahoma and

752
00:39:30,680 --> 00:39:32,799
Speaker 1: just tossed the ball away left and right. Well, how

753
00:39:32,840 --> 00:39:35,720
Speaker 1: in the world, for all the criticism throwing that offensive

754
00:39:35,760 --> 00:39:38,239
Speaker 1: staff's way, how do you game plan for that? You

755
00:39:38,280 --> 00:39:40,919
Speaker 1: don't even know. It's a schizophrenic profile of a team.

756
00:39:41,080 --> 00:39:42,719
Speaker 1: You don't even know what you're getting week to week.

757
00:39:42,800 --> 00:39:44,920
Speaker 1: How do you develop an offensive game plan for that?

758
00:39:45,320 --> 00:39:48,520
Speaker 1: Ty Simpson may not have the highest of highs that

759
00:39:48,560 --> 00:39:51,200
Speaker 1: Milroe had, he may not lead Sports Center as much,

760
00:39:51,800 --> 00:39:55,520
Speaker 1: but I guarantee you there'll be plenty consistent enough at quarterback.

761
00:39:55,600 --> 00:39:57,759
Speaker 1: That's a former five star talent, by the way, to

762
00:39:57,800 --> 00:40:01,279
Speaker 1: where the complimentary nature of having good having a good

763
00:40:01,280 --> 00:40:04,400
Speaker 1: offensive line, having great skill out wide, and having a

764
00:40:04,440 --> 00:40:07,319
Speaker 1: defense that doesn't force you to score forty a game

765
00:40:07,840 --> 00:40:11,080
Speaker 1: will lend itself to a more steady, consistent outcome week

766
00:40:11,120 --> 00:40:14,000
Speaker 1: to week. I got Alabama in the SEC Championship game.

767
00:40:14,280 --> 00:40:16,319
Speaker 1: I got them going ten and two in route to

768
00:40:16,320 --> 00:40:19,040
Speaker 1: getting to Atlanta. I don't have anyone in this conference

769
00:40:19,040 --> 00:40:21,400
Speaker 1: winning more than ten games, so I got Bama right

770
00:40:21,440 --> 00:40:24,640
Speaker 1: there at the top of the league. I think we

771
00:40:24,680 --> 00:40:28,040
Speaker 1: should do South Carolina next because a lot of people

772
00:40:28,040 --> 00:40:30,480
Speaker 1: are asking for it. In the live chat. South Carolina

773
00:40:30,520 --> 00:40:33,040
Speaker 1: is over underwent total at FanDuel is seven and a half.

774
00:40:33,080 --> 00:40:35,520
Speaker 1: This is very tough for me, very tough because their

775
00:40:35,520 --> 00:40:40,160
Speaker 1: strength of schedule is number five. Their best offensive player

776
00:40:40,200 --> 00:40:42,520
Speaker 1: could also be the best win in the league. Their

777
00:40:42,520 --> 00:40:44,840
Speaker 1: best defensive player could also be the best one in

778
00:40:44,840 --> 00:40:48,080
Speaker 1: the league. There's a huge if here. This is my

779
00:40:48,239 --> 00:40:51,600
Speaker 1: separation from what I've heard from camp, and it's going

780
00:40:51,680 --> 00:40:53,520
Speaker 1: to be the defining point to me of their season.

781
00:40:55,000 --> 00:40:58,360
Speaker 1: I still need to see their wide receiver room downstream

782
00:40:58,400 --> 00:41:01,239
Speaker 1: of Nick Harbor come through for me to believe that

783
00:41:01,320 --> 00:41:04,239
Speaker 1: this can be a dynamic enough offense to win nine

784
00:41:04,280 --> 00:41:08,319
Speaker 1: plus games. If I'm wrong, That's how they'll win nine

785
00:41:08,360 --> 00:41:11,719
Speaker 1: plus games. If they are a contender for the SEC Championship.

786
00:41:12,000 --> 00:41:16,920
Speaker 1: It'll because that wide receiver room has exceeded above my expectations,

787
00:41:16,960 --> 00:41:21,200
Speaker 1: and also because they've really successfully backfilled the defensive departures

788
00:41:21,239 --> 00:41:24,120
Speaker 1: to the NFL. I give them great credit for developing

789
00:41:24,120 --> 00:41:26,160
Speaker 1: players there. Like you look at a lot of the

790
00:41:26,160 --> 00:41:28,399
Speaker 1: guys they've sent to the NFL. These were not all

791
00:41:28,480 --> 00:41:31,319
Speaker 1: five stars, sure fire locks no matter where they go

792
00:41:31,400 --> 00:41:34,200
Speaker 1: type guys. So they've done a supreme job of developing.

793
00:41:34,239 --> 00:41:37,279
Speaker 1: So by that logic, you may look at me and say, okay, well,

794
00:41:37,280 --> 00:41:40,680
Speaker 1: if we develop that wave, might you think we have

795
00:41:40,760 --> 00:41:43,040
Speaker 1: another wave coming through. That's why I call it a

796
00:41:43,120 --> 00:41:46,920
Speaker 1: question instead of weakness. But those questions make me go

797
00:41:47,000 --> 00:41:49,719
Speaker 1: on the low end because of the strength of schedule.

798
00:41:50,080 --> 00:41:52,880
Speaker 1: So I'm going to go eight and four for South

799
00:41:52,920 --> 00:41:56,400
Speaker 1: Carolina and call it a really good year. But with

800
00:41:56,520 --> 00:41:59,800
Speaker 1: the understanding that Leonora Sellers could be the best quarterback

801
00:41:59,800 --> 00:42:02,080
Speaker 1: in the country, and if he is, that's the kind

802
00:42:02,080 --> 00:42:04,880
Speaker 1: of guy who has the kind of skill set that

803
00:42:04,960 --> 00:42:07,800
Speaker 1: can will a team through a game. Watch the Clemsing

804
00:42:07,840 --> 00:42:10,759
Speaker 1: game last year if you don't believe me. And so

805
00:42:11,640 --> 00:42:13,880
Speaker 1: nine to three, even ten and two wouldn't shot me

806
00:42:13,960 --> 00:42:16,600
Speaker 1: with them, But realistically, like if I've got a bet

807
00:42:16,600 --> 00:42:18,759
Speaker 1: money on this, I'm going more towards eight and four

808
00:42:18,800 --> 00:42:26,040
Speaker 1: with South Carolina, Let's go with Oklahoma, next most fascinating

809
00:42:26,040 --> 00:42:29,200
Speaker 1: team in the league. To me, Oklahoma over underwent total

810
00:42:29,280 --> 00:42:32,440
Speaker 1: seven and a half at fan duel. I am very

811
00:42:32,719 --> 00:42:36,520
Speaker 1: high on this team, have been since the spring, even

812
00:42:36,560 --> 00:42:38,439
Speaker 1: the late winter. I didn't even have to wait until

813
00:42:38,480 --> 00:42:40,320
Speaker 1: the spring. The bad news is they do have the

814
00:42:40,440 --> 00:42:42,840
Speaker 1: number two strength of schedule in the country according to

815
00:42:42,880 --> 00:42:45,399
Speaker 1: our internal metrics. The good news is they got John

816
00:42:45,440 --> 00:42:47,960
Speaker 1: Matteir and despite the fact that there are some doubters

817
00:42:48,000 --> 00:42:52,080
Speaker 1: about his throwing motion and quality of competition faced, I

818
00:42:52,120 --> 00:42:54,359
Speaker 1: think he can compete for the Heisman Trophy. He will

819
00:42:54,400 --> 00:42:57,360
Speaker 1: cut through this league cut through, not meaning he'll dominate it,

820
00:42:57,400 --> 00:43:00,680
Speaker 1: although I think he'll be good cut through meaning his

821
00:43:01,120 --> 00:43:04,920
Speaker 1: talent will level up. It will translate his game, will translate,

822
00:43:05,120 --> 00:43:07,680
Speaker 1: his offensive quarter that he coordinator that he brought in toe,

823
00:43:07,920 --> 00:43:12,080
Speaker 1: his offensive coordinator will translate. Their offense will translate to

824
00:43:12,160 --> 00:43:17,960
Speaker 1: this conference. I trust their wide receiver additions. I hope

825
00:43:18,320 --> 00:43:21,680
Speaker 1: that the offensive line will allow this team to reach

826
00:43:21,719 --> 00:43:24,880
Speaker 1: its potential. I think defense not big question for me.

827
00:43:25,040 --> 00:43:29,759
Speaker 1: Defensive profile top twenty conservatively, it's the offensive line. It

828
00:43:29,880 --> 00:43:33,640
Speaker 1: was last year or too. I start to sometimes get

829
00:43:33,640 --> 00:43:36,399
Speaker 1: myself in this mode where, since I want to buy

830
00:43:36,400 --> 00:43:39,279
Speaker 1: into a team, I believe best case scenario about the

831
00:43:39,360 --> 00:43:42,480
Speaker 1: question position unit, Well, the offensive line is the question

832
00:43:42,560 --> 00:43:45,319
Speaker 1: position unit. I can't allow myself to do that, though,

833
00:43:45,680 --> 00:43:48,240
Speaker 1: so I've got to still believe there's some ups and downs.

834
00:43:48,760 --> 00:43:52,000
Speaker 1: I still will not go crazy about the prediction because

835
00:43:52,040 --> 00:43:54,560
Speaker 1: of the uncertainty along the offensive line. But I think

836
00:43:54,560 --> 00:43:56,480
Speaker 1: this is a dangerous team, and I think it's a

837
00:43:56,480 --> 00:44:00,960
Speaker 1: team where the losses are really close losses. I've got

838
00:44:01,000 --> 00:44:04,279
Speaker 1: them going eight and four, and I've got this being

839
00:44:04,320 --> 00:44:08,359
Speaker 1: the only team that at eight and four has some

840
00:44:08,480 --> 00:44:12,120
Speaker 1: kind of fringe comment made about them on playoff selection Sunday.

841
00:44:12,120 --> 00:44:14,640
Speaker 1: They're not going to the playoff. I'm saying. I could

842
00:44:14,640 --> 00:44:17,719
Speaker 1: see that panel sitting at the desk saying, you know,

843
00:44:17,760 --> 00:44:19,920
Speaker 1: I think Oklahoma at eight and four is better than

844
00:44:19,920 --> 00:44:21,800
Speaker 1: some of these nine and three or ten and two teams,

845
00:44:21,880 --> 00:44:24,640
Speaker 1: because that's how good I think they will look, albeit

846
00:44:24,800 --> 00:44:28,680
Speaker 1: in an eight and four year. Next up, let's go LSU.

847
00:44:28,719 --> 00:44:30,520
Speaker 1: I got two of them that I want to iso here.

848
00:44:32,600 --> 00:44:35,360
Speaker 1: LSU's over underwent total is eight and a half. LSU

849
00:44:35,400 --> 00:44:38,160
Speaker 1: has me more nervous than any team in the SEC,

850
00:44:38,960 --> 00:44:42,840
Speaker 1: because I am lower on LSU than most of the media,

851
00:44:43,400 --> 00:44:45,880
Speaker 1: most of the public. It's the hardest team for me

852
00:44:45,920 --> 00:44:48,640
Speaker 1: to read. Okay, first, the positives. They've done an excellent

853
00:44:48,719 --> 00:44:52,000
Speaker 1: job making moves on defense. They made moves this time

854
00:44:52,080 --> 00:44:54,799
Speaker 1: last year and got the right staffers in there. They

855
00:44:54,840 --> 00:44:57,319
Speaker 1: made moves over the winter, and they got the right

856
00:44:57,320 --> 00:45:01,040
Speaker 1: guys through the portal, so I actually believe in them

857
00:45:01,360 --> 00:45:04,480
Speaker 1: a lot. Defensively, I think Garrett Nussmeyer is a very

858
00:45:04,520 --> 00:45:07,520
Speaker 1: good player. I stopped short of calling him a great player.

859
00:45:07,840 --> 00:45:10,480
Speaker 1: I think he's a very good player. I think that's

860
00:45:10,480 --> 00:45:15,319
Speaker 1: a realistic expectation level to put on him, Expecting high

861
00:45:15,400 --> 00:45:18,600
Speaker 1: level offensive line play when there's still some mixing and

862
00:45:18,680 --> 00:45:21,520
Speaker 1: matching there and they didn't play to that level last year,

863
00:45:21,520 --> 00:45:27,000
Speaker 1: and expecting, more importantly, a complimentary enough ground game to

864
00:45:27,080 --> 00:45:31,480
Speaker 1: make this offense balanced enough. Just blindly expecting that is

865
00:45:31,520 --> 00:45:34,120
Speaker 1: a bridge a little too far from me, especially when

866
00:45:34,160 --> 00:45:37,280
Speaker 1: you got Clemson and Florida and Ole Miss and South

867
00:45:37,280 --> 00:45:40,360
Speaker 1: Carolina and Vandy and Texas A and m all before Halloween.

868
00:45:40,640 --> 00:45:43,239
Speaker 1: It is not a backloaded schedule, So you got to

869
00:45:43,280 --> 00:45:46,520
Speaker 1: come firing out of the gate with a defined offensive

870
00:45:46,560 --> 00:45:49,120
Speaker 1: identity that I haven't seen you have in a couple

871
00:45:49,160 --> 00:45:52,399
Speaker 1: of years, and a defense that's playing at a high level,

872
00:45:52,440 --> 00:45:55,040
Speaker 1: which I actually believe will happen, but still have to

873
00:45:55,040 --> 00:45:59,040
Speaker 1: have proven. They play five Tier one opponents, they play

874
00:45:59,120 --> 00:46:02,600
Speaker 1: two Tier two opponents. By our estimation, this is a

875
00:46:02,640 --> 00:46:04,400
Speaker 1: tough schedule, no matter if you're the best team in

876
00:46:04,400 --> 00:46:07,359
Speaker 1: the country or not. I've got them going eight and four,

877
00:46:08,160 --> 00:46:10,439
Speaker 1: and I actually think that's a really good team going

878
00:46:10,480 --> 00:46:12,200
Speaker 1: eight and four. I just think this is a very

879
00:46:12,280 --> 00:46:15,560
Speaker 1: challenging schedule that if I have questions at offensive line

880
00:46:15,640 --> 00:46:18,359
Speaker 1: and I don't know you can run the ball effectively enough,

881
00:46:19,000 --> 00:46:20,560
Speaker 1: will not allow me to go above an eight and

882
00:46:20,600 --> 00:46:24,360
Speaker 1: four prediction. Lastly, before I go the rest of the conference,

883
00:46:24,400 --> 00:46:27,040
Speaker 1: I'm gonna zone in on Tennessee right here for just

884
00:46:27,080 --> 00:46:30,760
Speaker 1: a second. Let's see win total. Yeah eight and a half. Okay,

885
00:46:30,920 --> 00:46:33,279
Speaker 1: Tennessee's over under win total at FanDuel is eight and

886
00:46:33,280 --> 00:46:36,359
Speaker 1: a half. Churn was going to be inevitable this year.

887
00:46:36,480 --> 00:46:38,560
Speaker 1: They knew it last year. I've told this story a

888
00:46:38,600 --> 00:46:40,560
Speaker 1: few times I was up there for a game last

889
00:46:40,640 --> 00:46:43,399
Speaker 1: year and was asking some personnel types about this year.

890
00:46:43,400 --> 00:46:45,080
Speaker 1: They already knew they were going to have their challenges,

891
00:46:45,080 --> 00:46:49,160
Speaker 1: offensive line being chief among them. But they do get

892
00:46:49,160 --> 00:46:52,040
Speaker 1: the second easiest strength of schedule in the SEC this year.

893
00:46:52,360 --> 00:46:56,280
Speaker 1: That's what gives them an outside shot to contend. Here's

894
00:46:56,320 --> 00:46:59,560
Speaker 1: my question about Joey Aguilar. So he comes there, he

895
00:46:59,640 --> 00:47:03,080
Speaker 1: was at app State, he went and ate breakfast at

896
00:47:03,160 --> 00:47:07,520
Speaker 1: UCLA basically, then he comes to Tennessee. Josh Hipel's quarterbacks

897
00:47:07,520 --> 00:47:09,360
Speaker 1: don't really turn the ball over a whole lot, but

898
00:47:09,440 --> 00:47:12,920
Speaker 1: he did last year. So is Hypel systems sort of

899
00:47:12,960 --> 00:47:15,000
Speaker 1: turnover proof? Is that the kind of system that you

900
00:47:15,080 --> 00:47:17,239
Speaker 1: plug a quarterback in and like a lego piece, it

901
00:47:17,320 --> 00:47:21,000
Speaker 1: just fits. I wouldn't put it past him. I don't

902
00:47:21,040 --> 00:47:23,080
Speaker 1: know that that's how the real world works, but if

903
00:47:23,120 --> 00:47:25,440
Speaker 1: it does work that way, Josh Hipel is the one

904
00:47:25,480 --> 00:47:27,040
Speaker 1: that will prove me wrong and find a way to

905
00:47:27,360 --> 00:47:30,600
Speaker 1: show that offensive line just has to overperform this year.

906
00:47:30,640 --> 00:47:33,640
Speaker 1: That wide receiver room really needs to stay healthy and

907
00:47:33,760 --> 00:47:36,759
Speaker 1: shake itself out, and we need a really really good

908
00:47:36,800 --> 00:47:40,000
Speaker 1: delineation one two three. I need guys to take on

909
00:47:40,280 --> 00:47:44,680
Speaker 1: roles and have a developed picture, because this is not

910
00:47:44,800 --> 00:47:46,839
Speaker 1: the kind of quarterback that's going to elevate a room.

911
00:47:46,880 --> 00:47:48,960
Speaker 1: It's the kind of quarterback that needs to be elevated

912
00:47:49,200 --> 00:47:53,399
Speaker 1: by his supporting cast. I just expect mixed results from them,

913
00:47:53,800 --> 00:47:55,759
Speaker 1: and I've got him going eight and four this year.

914
00:47:55,960 --> 00:47:58,600
Speaker 1: And I'm telling you, because of all the external drama

915
00:47:58,760 --> 00:48:00,759
Speaker 1: around this team, this is me. This is not the

916
00:48:00,800 --> 00:48:03,239
Speaker 1: way they should think. I think there's a world where

917
00:48:03,239 --> 00:48:05,279
Speaker 1: they go eight and four and they feel really good

918
00:48:05,560 --> 00:48:09,640
Speaker 1: coming out of it, all things considered about twenty twenty six. Now, again,

919
00:48:10,320 --> 00:48:13,200
Speaker 1: that is not how I would advise Josh Heipelin company

920
00:48:13,200 --> 00:48:14,360
Speaker 1: to think. By the way, we've got a lot of

921
00:48:14,360 --> 00:48:17,080
Speaker 1: folks watching live. Make sure you like the video unless

922
00:48:17,120 --> 00:48:19,120
Speaker 1: I just picked you to you know, hit under on

923
00:48:19,160 --> 00:48:21,680
Speaker 1: your win total, in which case I understand if you don't,

924
00:48:21,680 --> 00:48:24,040
Speaker 1: but it helps us when you like the video. Plus,

925
00:48:24,080 --> 00:48:27,200
Speaker 1: you're watching anyway, and it's free. Some other teams here.

926
00:48:28,360 --> 00:48:30,000
Speaker 1: I just want to because I wanted to show you

927
00:48:30,040 --> 00:48:32,600
Speaker 1: every team, so I just gave you like ten teams.

928
00:48:32,760 --> 00:48:36,200
Speaker 1: I got Missouri going eight and four this year. I'm

929
00:48:36,239 --> 00:48:38,959
Speaker 1: a little uneasy about the quarterback thing. I'm a little

930
00:48:39,040 --> 00:48:42,040
Speaker 1: uneasy that they'll have the consistency and performance. It's so

931
00:48:42,160 --> 00:48:44,840
Speaker 1: important a word in a season that I expect to

932
00:48:44,840 --> 00:48:48,080
Speaker 1: play out like this. Anybody who can be consistent, even

933
00:48:48,120 --> 00:48:51,400
Speaker 1: if you're just consistently above average, you're gonna set yourself

934
00:48:51,400 --> 00:48:53,160
Speaker 1: apart because I just think it sets up for a

935
00:48:53,239 --> 00:48:57,239
Speaker 1: very inconsistent, volatile year, and I worry that Missouri can't

936
00:48:57,280 --> 00:48:59,040
Speaker 1: give me enough of that. I got him going eight

937
00:48:59,040 --> 00:49:00,640
Speaker 1: and four, which is still a good that is not

938
00:49:00,680 --> 00:49:02,759
Speaker 1: a bad year. But I think there may be some

939
00:49:02,760 --> 00:49:06,120
Speaker 1: people out there painting them because of a more workable schedule.

940
00:49:06,239 --> 00:49:08,840
Speaker 1: Is like a fringe SEC title contender. I don't have

941
00:49:08,920 --> 00:49:12,120
Speaker 1: them as that. I've got Mississippi State going four and eight,

942
00:49:13,000 --> 00:49:15,160
Speaker 1: which is an over. I think they're over underwin total

943
00:49:15,239 --> 00:49:16,920
Speaker 1: is either three and a half something like that, so

944
00:49:17,200 --> 00:49:19,600
Speaker 1: I've got them going over. I think they could bite

945
00:49:19,640 --> 00:49:23,280
Speaker 1: someone still at least another year away. I have got

946
00:49:23,480 --> 00:49:27,440
Speaker 1: Vandy going six and six, which I think is fair.

947
00:49:27,840 --> 00:49:31,120
Speaker 1: The only person who thinks that's a disappointment is someone

948
00:49:31,120 --> 00:49:33,960
Speaker 1: who I think has unrealistic expectations after one year, or

949
00:49:34,000 --> 00:49:37,319
Speaker 1: Diego Pavia, and he should have high expectations. Ole miss

950
00:49:37,320 --> 00:49:40,440
Speaker 1: I've got going eight and four the same thing. I

951
00:49:40,440 --> 00:49:43,040
Speaker 1: think their profile is a really talented team. I love

952
00:49:43,080 --> 00:49:46,600
Speaker 1: that their defensive front is mostly homegrown, even as portal

953
00:49:47,000 --> 00:49:50,400
Speaker 1: is the optimum word that is associated with them, rightfully,

954
00:49:50,440 --> 00:49:55,480
Speaker 1: so they do have a homegrown element about that defensive front.

955
00:49:55,600 --> 00:49:58,239
Speaker 1: Austin Simmons could be a breakout star if he is.

956
00:49:58,280 --> 00:50:00,359
Speaker 1: I'm wrong. If he is, they're going to go over

957
00:50:00,640 --> 00:50:03,600
Speaker 1: eight wins. I've got Arkansas going five and seven. They're

958
00:50:03,640 --> 00:50:07,080
Speaker 1: over under win totals five and a half. I think

959
00:50:07,120 --> 00:50:09,960
Speaker 1: it can be a competitive team. Taylor Green's a very

960
00:50:09,960 --> 00:50:12,760
Speaker 1: good player. I don't know if he's got it around

961
00:50:12,840 --> 00:50:15,080
Speaker 1: him man, And it's a tough schedule, and they got

962
00:50:15,200 --> 00:50:17,919
Speaker 1: noted aim out of conference. I got him going five

963
00:50:17,960 --> 00:50:20,560
Speaker 1: and seven. That probably means a coaching change if I'm right,

964
00:50:20,640 --> 00:50:23,080
Speaker 1: and I'll just sit here and hope I'm wrong. I've

965
00:50:23,120 --> 00:50:25,799
Speaker 1: got Kentucky going four and eight. I don't feel much

966
00:50:25,880 --> 00:50:29,200
Speaker 1: juice out of there. I don't really know where that

967
00:50:29,239 --> 00:50:32,040
Speaker 1: program's going right now. So that's how I see the

968
00:50:32,080 --> 00:50:34,759
Speaker 1: SEC this year, wins and losses. Now, Listen, you know

969
00:50:35,400 --> 00:50:41,279
Speaker 1: the rule around here. I am totally open to a

970
00:50:41,320 --> 00:50:44,759
Speaker 1: well intentioned discourse. Of course, a lot of people are

971
00:50:44,760 --> 00:50:47,520
Speaker 1: going to disagree with that. There's only one rule. The

972
00:50:47,600 --> 00:50:50,319
Speaker 1: rule is not to not disagree. The rule is if

973
00:50:50,360 --> 00:50:54,120
Speaker 1: you disagree, make sure you tell me what your predictions are.

974
00:50:54,160 --> 00:50:56,319
Speaker 1: Because what we don't have on this campus here, maybe

975
00:50:56,400 --> 00:50:58,600
Speaker 1: other camp I, but not on this campus. What we

976
00:50:58,680 --> 00:51:03,520
Speaker 1: don't have is folks taking shots at a prediction without

977
00:51:03,560 --> 00:51:06,560
Speaker 1: giving their own prediction, because that's the cowards way out,

978
00:51:06,600 --> 00:51:08,799
Speaker 1: and we don't do that. We don't breed that around here.

979
00:51:10,080 --> 00:51:14,800
Speaker 1: Do you see this monitor? Do you see this monitor? Well,

980
00:51:14,920 --> 00:51:18,439
Speaker 1: that means the Peate State store has reopened. Peytstatematerial dot

981
00:51:18,440 --> 00:51:20,440
Speaker 1: com is open. If you missed the show the other night,

982
00:51:20,520 --> 00:51:24,160
Speaker 1: it's open. But what you may have noticed was missing

983
00:51:24,200 --> 00:51:27,799
Speaker 1: the other night was the Fall Don't Lie merch, and

984
00:51:27,920 --> 00:51:30,960
Speaker 1: we got flooded. I almost feel like I got spammed.

985
00:51:31,000 --> 00:51:34,000
Speaker 1: We got so many DMS and emails and comments, where's

986
00:51:34,040 --> 00:51:37,080
Speaker 1: the fall Don't Lie stuff? Where's the Fall Don't Lie stuff? Well,

987
00:51:37,120 --> 00:51:39,239
Speaker 1: I'll tell you where it is. It's here right now.

988
00:51:39,440 --> 00:51:42,520
Speaker 1: We just hit go on it right before the show.

989
00:51:42,880 --> 00:51:45,760
Speaker 1: In fact, I was talking to Alex who runs Designed

990
00:51:45,800 --> 00:51:48,920
Speaker 1: for Us, who was a genius by the way, and

991
00:51:49,000 --> 00:51:52,320
Speaker 1: I was telling her Alex the rama Noodle Express shirt

992
00:51:52,360 --> 00:51:54,680
Speaker 1: was our number one seller the other night. I think

993
00:51:54,719 --> 00:51:57,920
Speaker 1: people are really digging the nuanced type show related stuff

994
00:51:57,960 --> 00:52:00,279
Speaker 1: a whole lot, which leads me to my next point.

995
00:52:00,320 --> 00:52:02,719
Speaker 1: We just announced the tour. We got so many good

996
00:52:02,719 --> 00:52:05,440
Speaker 1: designs let's not even settle on one, so we didn't.

997
00:52:05,640 --> 00:52:08,600
Speaker 1: So they are like three different designs over there, including

998
00:52:08,600 --> 00:52:12,360
Speaker 1: the one that presme Tyler formerly known as Tyler the Creator.

999
00:52:12,400 --> 00:52:16,160
Speaker 1: Apparently that name was taken, so we got that design.

1000
00:52:16,640 --> 00:52:18,920
Speaker 1: We got a new design we just mocked up last night.

1001
00:52:18,960 --> 00:52:21,160
Speaker 1: We got a third design. We got all kind of designs.

1002
00:52:21,200 --> 00:52:23,719
Speaker 1: So the Fall Don't Lie Tour hits the road this Saturday,

1003
00:52:24,040 --> 00:52:28,440
Speaker 1: and you can be outfitted accordingly. We have got mountains

1004
00:52:28,440 --> 00:52:30,920
Speaker 1: of feedback on the Peate State store. I welcome it

1005
00:52:31,120 --> 00:52:32,880
Speaker 1: because I basically want to put in there what you

1006
00:52:32,960 --> 00:52:34,799
Speaker 1: want to wear, So let me know what you want.

1007
00:52:35,600 --> 00:52:37,480
Speaker 1: In a perfect world, people are wearing this stuff that

1008
00:52:37,560 --> 00:52:41,239
Speaker 1: don't even watch the show. Imagine whoms to amongst us

1009
00:52:41,520 --> 00:52:48,359
Speaker 1: could envision that happening. Okay, as I mentioned, we got

1010
00:52:48,360 --> 00:52:53,000
Speaker 1: a big game coming up Texas at Ohio State noon

1011
00:52:53,320 --> 00:52:58,600
Speaker 1: eastern kickoff on Fox. I've got a forecast. Let's go

1012
00:52:58,800 --> 00:53:02,040
Speaker 1: sixty eight degrees kickoff. Let's call that we're still a

1013
00:53:02,040 --> 00:53:04,439
Speaker 1: few days away. We're going to be there. The Fault

1014
00:53:04,480 --> 00:53:05,840
Speaker 1: Ut Live Tour is going to be there. I'll be

1015
00:53:05,840 --> 00:53:08,479
Speaker 1: on the sidelines for this game. I cannot wait. Last

1016
00:53:08,480 --> 00:53:10,640
Speaker 1: time I was at Ohio Stadium, it was twenty one

1017
00:53:10,680 --> 00:53:13,879
Speaker 1: degrees at kickoff. So I will take this, and I'll

1018
00:53:13,880 --> 00:53:16,360
Speaker 1: take it in short sleeves, immunity. Let's set the table.

1019
00:53:16,719 --> 00:53:19,320
Speaker 1: This is number one versus number two in the odds

1020
00:53:19,320 --> 00:53:21,959
Speaker 1: to win the National Championship. This is number one versus

1021
00:53:22,040 --> 00:53:25,000
Speaker 1: number two in the JP pole. And these are two

1022
00:53:25,000 --> 00:53:27,120
Speaker 1: teams that don't return a whole lot of production. Eighty

1023
00:53:27,200 --> 00:53:30,480
Speaker 1: first and eighty ninth in returning production. It doesn't even

1024
00:53:30,520 --> 00:53:35,640
Speaker 1: matter who's who. These are not normal teams. Okay. I

1025
00:53:35,640 --> 00:53:37,880
Speaker 1: know a lot of times in preview magazine culture, you

1026
00:53:37,920 --> 00:53:40,280
Speaker 1: can sort of get lost in the sauce, so to speak,

1027
00:53:40,320 --> 00:53:43,480
Speaker 1: and you can think all returning starters are created equal

1028
00:53:43,840 --> 00:53:47,160
Speaker 1: and all new starters are created equal. All I can

1029
00:53:47,200 --> 00:53:50,920
Speaker 1: tell you is watch warm ups. I know most of

1030
00:53:50,960 --> 00:53:52,919
Speaker 1: you don't have access to practice, but if you could

1031
00:53:52,960 --> 00:53:56,600
Speaker 1: go watch these teams practice, you'd look at Texas's guys.

1032
00:53:56,840 --> 00:53:59,799
Speaker 1: You look at Ohio States guys, and you'd say who's

1033
00:53:59,840 --> 00:54:02,400
Speaker 1: that and they say, oh, that's a new starter. And

1034
00:54:02,440 --> 00:54:04,759
Speaker 1: the reason you ask who's that is because he looks

1035
00:54:04,800 --> 00:54:08,920
Speaker 1: like a second third year NFL guy. They're everywhere, So

1036
00:54:09,400 --> 00:54:12,240
Speaker 1: not all new starters are created equal, is my point,

1037
00:54:12,960 --> 00:54:17,000
Speaker 1: which means a game like this, with this blend of

1038
00:54:17,120 --> 00:54:21,800
Speaker 1: raw talent and this blend of uncertainty, means you could

1039
00:54:21,840 --> 00:54:24,279
Speaker 1: have any outcome imaginable. It could be twenty one to

1040
00:54:24,360 --> 00:54:27,120
Speaker 1: nineteen either way, it could be thirty eight to twenty

1041
00:54:27,160 --> 00:54:31,400
Speaker 1: either way. There is probably no result outside of like

1042
00:54:31,520 --> 00:54:34,640
Speaker 1: fifty to ten that would shot me in this game.

1043
00:54:35,239 --> 00:54:38,160
Speaker 1: I think Ohio State needs to find out. Though there

1044
00:54:38,160 --> 00:54:39,880
Speaker 1: are gonna be a lot to talk about Arch Manning here.

1045
00:54:39,880 --> 00:54:41,560
Speaker 1: They're gonna be a lot to talk about Jeremiah Smith,

1046
00:54:41,640 --> 00:54:43,839
Speaker 1: Caleb Downs, there should be Ryan Wingo needs to get

1047
00:54:43,840 --> 00:54:47,440
Speaker 1: a lot of mention. But fundamentally, the key to this

1048
00:54:47,480 --> 00:54:49,560
Speaker 1: game is Ohio State's got to find out. And what

1049
00:54:49,600 --> 00:54:53,480
Speaker 1: they got to find out is did Texas really rebuild

1050
00:54:53,520 --> 00:54:57,640
Speaker 1: the interior of that defensive line like everyone says they did?

1051
00:54:58,480 --> 00:55:01,640
Speaker 1: Cause you can talk in spring talking fall camp, but

1052
00:55:01,920 --> 00:55:05,000
Speaker 1: what happens if you run it between the tackles and

1053
00:55:05,040 --> 00:55:07,360
Speaker 1: you're running it for six and a half seven yards

1054
00:55:07,600 --> 00:55:10,759
Speaker 1: per carry in the first quarter, midway through the second quarter,

1055
00:55:10,800 --> 00:55:13,320
Speaker 1: and you start to realize, Wow, the easiest way to

1056
00:55:13,360 --> 00:55:16,560
Speaker 1: ease Julian say and into a season is second, three

1057
00:55:16,680 --> 00:55:19,480
Speaker 1: after second and three after second and three. Boy, that's

1058
00:55:19,560 --> 00:55:23,680
Speaker 1: really favorable to ease a new quarterback into a season. Now,

1059
00:55:24,800 --> 00:55:29,000
Speaker 1: I say that, and you need to understand, yes, yes,

1060
00:55:29,040 --> 00:55:32,120
Speaker 1: we got two Ohio State tailbacks that departed to the

1061
00:55:32,239 --> 00:55:35,880
Speaker 1: NFL as well. So People's and Donaldson like, we don't

1062
00:55:35,920 --> 00:55:38,000
Speaker 1: know what we're gonna get from them. I can tell

1063
00:55:38,040 --> 00:55:40,759
Speaker 1: you that staff thinks a lot of them, But you know,

1064
00:55:40,880 --> 00:55:43,120
Speaker 1: Florida State staff thought a lot of their players last

1065
00:55:43,200 --> 00:55:44,560
Speaker 1: year and they were dead in the water. I don't

1066
00:55:44,560 --> 00:55:46,360
Speaker 1: think that's gonna be Ohio State this year. But the

1067
00:55:46,400 --> 00:55:48,719
Speaker 1: point is, you don't know, you don't know. Itto live

1068
00:55:48,800 --> 00:55:52,080
Speaker 1: bullets start flying and it's those guys turn. Well, it's

1069
00:55:52,120 --> 00:55:54,160
Speaker 1: their turn now. Just like on the other side of

1070
00:55:54,200 --> 00:55:57,840
Speaker 1: the ball, it's Texas's interior defensive line. It's their turn. Now.

1071
00:55:58,280 --> 00:56:01,160
Speaker 1: Can they stand up against the run, because if they can,

1072
00:56:01,360 --> 00:56:04,760
Speaker 1: then we start to ask the other questions. It's probably

1073
00:56:04,800 --> 00:56:07,239
Speaker 1: the question that's going to lead the broadcast. It'll be

1074
00:56:07,280 --> 00:56:09,800
Speaker 1: the question on most people's minds. It's the quarterback question.

1075
00:56:09,880 --> 00:56:11,839
Speaker 1: But the way I think about the quarterback match up

1076
00:56:11,840 --> 00:56:14,640
Speaker 1: here is I think about the QB one wide receiver

1077
00:56:14,680 --> 00:56:17,000
Speaker 1: one pairings. So I got Julian Say, and I got

1078
00:56:17,080 --> 00:56:19,480
Speaker 1: Jeremiah Smith, who's the best player in America to me.

1079
00:56:20,360 --> 00:56:23,240
Speaker 1: I got arch Manning. I got Ryan Wingo, who doesn't

1080
00:56:23,239 --> 00:56:26,160
Speaker 1: take a back seat to very many Besides this dude

1081
00:56:26,160 --> 00:56:30,080
Speaker 1: at Ohio State. Is there a huge gap between those

1082
00:56:31,280 --> 00:56:35,160
Speaker 1: or if that's a wash, shouldn't I expect Ohio State

1083
00:56:35,320 --> 00:56:39,680
Speaker 1: to own this side of the matchup card because I

1084
00:56:39,719 --> 00:56:42,920
Speaker 1: look at Ohio State beyond Jeremiah Smith, and I got Tate,

1085
00:56:43,040 --> 00:56:45,719
Speaker 1: and I got Ennis, and I got Claire the tight

1086
00:56:45,800 --> 00:56:48,920
Speaker 1: end transfer I believe from Purdue. I mean, they got

1087
00:56:48,960 --> 00:56:51,359
Speaker 1: pass catchers there that you won't even hear a whole

1088
00:56:51,360 --> 00:56:55,360
Speaker 1: lot about this Saturday. That would start many places, many

1089
00:56:55,480 --> 00:56:59,000
Speaker 1: places that are expected to compete for playoff spots. But

1090
00:56:59,040 --> 00:57:03,000
Speaker 1: then on the other side, downstream of Ryan Wingo, I

1091
00:57:03,040 --> 00:57:05,759
Speaker 1: got more, I got Livingstone, I got those tight end

1092
00:57:05,800 --> 00:57:09,279
Speaker 1: transfers at Texas. My point is I look at that

1093
00:57:09,760 --> 00:57:12,200
Speaker 1: and I think, hey, man, even if Texas gets a

1094
00:57:12,239 --> 00:57:14,720
Speaker 1: lot out of Ryan Wingo, just like Ohio State probably

1095
00:57:14,760 --> 00:57:18,400
Speaker 1: will out of Jeremiah Smith. I really like Ohio State's receivers.

1096
00:57:18,400 --> 00:57:22,000
Speaker 1: I like their pass catchers downstream of their QB one

1097
00:57:22,080 --> 00:57:25,919
Speaker 1: wide receiver one. But this is Texas, it's Steve Sarkesian.

1098
00:57:26,600 --> 00:57:29,439
Speaker 1: So they just they grow those guys on trees there

1099
00:57:29,440 --> 00:57:32,120
Speaker 1: to the point where one way this game could get

1100
00:57:32,120 --> 00:57:34,720
Speaker 1: crooked in a way that I don't expect it. I

1101
00:57:34,760 --> 00:57:37,600
Speaker 1: can't see it coming is arch has already got two

1102
00:57:37,720 --> 00:57:40,640
Speaker 1: hundred and seventy five passing yards late in the third quarter,

1103
00:57:41,280 --> 00:57:43,960
Speaker 1: and I've got like three or four different guys with

1104
00:57:44,080 --> 00:57:46,840
Speaker 1: sixty plus on the board. That's the kind of thing

1105
00:57:46,880 --> 00:57:49,560
Speaker 1: that could happen. It's a variable quarterback. And then the

1106
00:57:49,600 --> 00:57:54,000
Speaker 1: other one is pass rush. Texas's pass rush is unmatched nationally,

1107
00:57:54,680 --> 00:57:56,080
Speaker 1: and they got to earn the right to get there.

1108
00:57:56,120 --> 00:57:58,520
Speaker 1: That's why I led with the point of stopping to run.

1109
00:57:58,600 --> 00:58:00,440
Speaker 1: So Texas has got to earn the right to get there.

1110
00:58:00,440 --> 00:58:03,000
Speaker 1: But once they earned the right to rush the passer

1111
00:58:03,040 --> 00:58:04,640
Speaker 1: at which doesn't have to be third down for them.

1112
00:58:04,680 --> 00:58:06,000
Speaker 1: By the way, these dudes drew on the field a

1113
00:58:06,000 --> 00:58:10,440
Speaker 1: lot when Texas gets after the quarterback, which they will

1114
00:58:10,440 --> 00:58:14,160
Speaker 1: a lot this year. It's not one guy like if

1115
00:58:14,160 --> 00:58:16,880
Speaker 1: Colin Simmons was on your team, he would be on

1116
00:58:16,920 --> 00:58:20,280
Speaker 1: the face of your program. But if Anthony Hill was

1117
00:58:20,320 --> 00:58:22,680
Speaker 1: on your team, he'd also be on the face of

1118
00:58:22,680 --> 00:58:24,400
Speaker 1: your program. And I got news for you. If Trey

1119
00:58:24,440 --> 00:58:27,320
Speaker 1: Moore was on your team, he'd probably be on the

1120
00:58:27,320 --> 00:58:30,120
Speaker 1: face of your program. Colton v Sec would probably be

1121
00:58:30,160 --> 00:58:32,160
Speaker 1: on the face of your program if he played for you,

1122
00:58:32,760 --> 00:58:36,880
Speaker 1: and they got all of them. So it could be

1123
00:58:37,440 --> 00:58:41,920
Speaker 1: that nobody's moving the ball particularly well and those guys

1124
00:58:42,000 --> 00:58:44,919
Speaker 1: end up turning the game around. And it's the kind

1125
00:58:44,960 --> 00:58:47,480
Speaker 1: of thing that Brian Hartline, for being a first time

1126
00:58:47,520 --> 00:58:51,919
Speaker 1: play caller, may not deal with but one or two

1127
00:58:51,960 --> 00:58:54,160
Speaker 1: times the rest of his career. It's just a very

1128
00:58:54,240 --> 00:58:57,280
Speaker 1: hilasis pass rush. Now again, you run the ball right

1129
00:58:57,320 --> 00:59:00,200
Speaker 1: at him successfully, it neutralizes a lot of that. That's

1130
00:59:00,200 --> 00:59:02,120
Speaker 1: why the million dollar questions, can you run the ball

1131
00:59:02,160 --> 00:59:04,640
Speaker 1: at him successfully? I'm going to repeat this before I

1132
00:59:04,720 --> 00:59:07,040
Speaker 1: give you our prediction and what the model thinks. The

1133
00:59:07,240 --> 00:59:10,720
Speaker 1: range of potential outcomes couldn't be wider here. There will

1134
00:59:10,760 --> 00:59:13,960
Speaker 1: be a lot of people from Austin Texas and Columbus Saturday,

1135
00:59:14,280 --> 00:59:16,760
Speaker 1: and you'll walk around outside the stadium and you'll see

1136
00:59:16,760 --> 00:59:19,360
Speaker 1: the sites. It's a great place to go, it's awesome

1137
00:59:19,400 --> 00:59:23,720
Speaker 1: place to visit. And you'll talk amongst yourselves and you'll

1138
00:59:23,760 --> 00:59:27,240
Speaker 1: say things like, Hey, where y'all from? Abilene? Oh yeah, man,

1139
00:59:27,360 --> 00:59:30,080
Speaker 1: we're from We're from ash de Bulah. Happy to have

1140
00:59:30,160 --> 00:59:32,240
Speaker 1: y'all here. Boy. It should be a great game either way.

1141
00:59:32,240 --> 00:59:35,200
Speaker 1: Today you don't know that. You don't know this is

1142
00:59:35,240 --> 00:59:36,560
Speaker 1: going to be a great game. This could be a

1143
00:59:36,600 --> 00:59:40,360
Speaker 1: blowout your way, it could be a blowout their way.

1144
00:59:40,440 --> 00:59:43,520
Speaker 1: You have two of the most loaded talent rosters in America,

1145
00:59:43,760 --> 00:59:45,960
Speaker 1: and you got a ton of uncertainty. When you throw

1146
00:59:46,000 --> 00:59:49,080
Speaker 1: those ingredients in the blender. You could spit out twenty

1147
00:59:49,080 --> 00:59:51,920
Speaker 1: one to twenty. You could spit out forty one to thirteen.

1148
00:59:52,120 --> 00:59:54,840
Speaker 1: Someone's minus three turnovers, someone has a career day and

1149
00:59:54,880 --> 00:59:57,720
Speaker 1: sets up their Heisman campaign. All this stuff's on the table.

1150
00:59:57,960 --> 01:00:00,000
Speaker 1: That's why I think the padlock stat in this game

1151
01:00:00,160 --> 01:00:02,440
Speaker 1: will be explosive plays. Let's take a look at what

1152
01:00:02,440 --> 01:00:05,919
Speaker 1: the model thinks. The model thinks that the line is right,

1153
01:00:06,120 --> 01:00:10,920
Speaker 1: if not a little bit tighter. FanDuel Ohio State minus

1154
01:00:10,920 --> 01:00:14,160
Speaker 1: two and a half. Our model has Ohio State minus one.

1155
01:00:14,360 --> 01:00:16,240
Speaker 1: I'm going to tell you where I think the edge

1156
01:00:16,280 --> 01:00:18,200
Speaker 1: is in this game that I have not mentioned yet,

1157
01:00:18,880 --> 01:00:22,080
Speaker 1: but I've mentioned several times over the summer, and that

1158
01:00:22,240 --> 01:00:24,480
Speaker 1: is for all the respect I have for Matt Patricia,

1159
01:00:24,680 --> 01:00:27,200
Speaker 1: he hadn't done this. For all the respect I got

1160
01:00:27,200 --> 01:00:28,680
Speaker 1: for Brian Hartline, I got a ton of it, he

1161
01:00:28,680 --> 01:00:30,400
Speaker 1: hadn't done this. Texas has got one of the best

1162
01:00:30,400 --> 01:00:33,320
Speaker 1: staffs in the country, and they got continuity on that staff,

1163
01:00:33,560 --> 01:00:35,320
Speaker 1: and I trust him to go on the road here.

1164
01:00:35,760 --> 01:00:37,600
Speaker 1: I actually don't have a ton of trust in anything

1165
01:00:37,640 --> 01:00:40,320
Speaker 1: in this game, but I'm gonna lean Texas to win

1166
01:00:40,360 --> 01:00:43,760
Speaker 1: the game out right Saturday. I think Sark needs the

1167
01:00:43,800 --> 01:00:47,200
Speaker 1: game more. By the way, that's sort of a storyline thing.

1168
01:00:47,200 --> 01:00:48,600
Speaker 1: We don't do a ton of that on this show.

1169
01:00:48,600 --> 01:00:51,440
Speaker 1: But I just envisioned a world where Texas goes in

1170
01:00:51,480 --> 01:00:54,840
Speaker 1: there and wins. That's all right, that's all right. Ohio

1171
01:00:54,920 --> 01:00:58,120
Speaker 1: State just won a national title. Lick your wounds, regroup.

1172
01:00:58,240 --> 01:01:00,560
Speaker 1: You may see him again down the road, and you

1173
01:01:00,640 --> 01:01:02,920
Speaker 1: got your entire conference slate to get ready for it.

1174
01:01:02,960 --> 01:01:07,240
Speaker 1: You're fine, You're fine. Nothing's ruined and nothing would be

1175
01:01:07,320 --> 01:01:10,000
Speaker 1: ruined for Texas either. Here's the difference. If they go

1176
01:01:10,040 --> 01:01:13,720
Speaker 1: and they lose this game, they still got the rest

1177
01:01:13,760 --> 01:01:16,320
Speaker 1: of their season to play. But it just it becomes

1178
01:01:16,360 --> 01:01:19,760
Speaker 1: this little bullet in the chamber, and it's still in

1179
01:01:19,800 --> 01:01:22,760
Speaker 1: the hold stir. You're not ready, You're not ready to

1180
01:01:22,800 --> 01:01:25,600
Speaker 1: fire on anyone yet, but you start to get yourself

1181
01:01:25,640 --> 01:01:27,360
Speaker 1: ready to say, now, hold on a second, if he

1182
01:01:27,440 --> 01:01:30,320
Speaker 1: loses another game in the regular season, Hold on a second.

1183
01:01:31,320 --> 01:01:34,800
Speaker 1: You got beat by Debor in the playoff, and then

1184
01:01:34,840 --> 01:01:37,920
Speaker 1: you had two shots against Kirby last year and you

1185
01:01:38,000 --> 01:01:41,720
Speaker 1: went zero for two there. And now we lost to

1186
01:01:41,800 --> 01:01:43,560
Speaker 1: Ryan Day in the playoff last year, and now we

1187
01:01:43,600 --> 01:01:46,120
Speaker 1: got another shot at him. Should have been the revenge game.

1188
01:01:46,200 --> 01:01:49,040
Speaker 1: And they got new everything up there, new coaches, and

1189
01:01:49,040 --> 01:01:50,880
Speaker 1: we couldn't get the job done against them. Either. We're

1190
01:01:50,920 --> 01:01:55,040
Speaker 1: having trouble against big time coaches. They start questioning Steve Sarkisian.

1191
01:01:56,600 --> 01:01:59,840
Speaker 1: I think Sartan needs the game more. Academy sports are

1192
01:01:59,840 --> 01:02:01,640
Speaker 1: not doors is where you need to go to get

1193
01:02:01,640 --> 01:02:04,920
Speaker 1: outfitted for it. Specifically, you got to get those tents,

1194
01:02:05,200 --> 01:02:08,320
Speaker 1: canopy tents God send this time of year and any

1195
01:02:08,360 --> 01:02:11,600
Speaker 1: time of year you need your chairs, You need your coolers,

1196
01:02:11,880 --> 01:02:14,000
Speaker 1: you need your coozies, you need well big lead chew.

1197
01:02:14,040 --> 01:02:16,600
Speaker 1: Of course, a staple of any good college football diet.

1198
01:02:16,960 --> 01:02:19,280
Speaker 1: Academy Sports and Outdoors has been with us from the beginning.

1199
01:02:19,360 --> 01:02:22,080
Speaker 1: We had a meeting about these folks a little earlier today.

1200
01:02:22,200 --> 01:02:24,240
Speaker 1: Very encouraged with what we're going to do with them

1201
01:02:24,280 --> 01:02:27,680
Speaker 1: this upcoming season. I'm very encouraged because I know, any

1202
01:02:27,680 --> 01:02:31,160
Speaker 1: given show we're doing, there are many people who have

1203
01:02:31,200 --> 01:02:34,120
Speaker 1: never visited Academy, and there's some of you, candidly who

1204
01:02:34,120 --> 01:02:36,360
Speaker 1: don't have one in your backyard. That's okay. You have Internet.

1205
01:02:36,480 --> 01:02:39,160
Speaker 1: You have to because that's how you're watching the show

1206
01:02:39,280 --> 01:02:43,120
Speaker 1: or listening to the show. Academy dot com works. Check

1207
01:02:43,160 --> 01:02:46,000
Speaker 1: them out no matter what you need in life. If

1208
01:02:46,000 --> 01:02:47,920
Speaker 1: you're a college football fan, if you love outdoors, if

1209
01:02:47,920 --> 01:02:50,320
Speaker 1: you're going to hunt in this fall, WIT's Turkey season

1210
01:02:50,320 --> 01:02:53,560
Speaker 1: opening in Arkansas, make sure you go to Academy before

1211
01:02:53,560 --> 01:02:55,480
Speaker 1: it does. I got one more game I wanted to

1212
01:02:55,480 --> 01:02:59,320
Speaker 1: break down tonight. See Week one's always weird because Week one,

1213
01:02:59,400 --> 01:03:02,479
Speaker 1: I mean, we're we got Sunday games, we got Friday games,

1214
01:03:02,520 --> 01:03:05,320
Speaker 1: we got all kinds of stuff happening. Plus we'll do

1215
01:03:05,400 --> 01:03:08,800
Speaker 1: some game predictions on Sunday. So I'm doing some game

1216
01:03:08,840 --> 01:03:11,960
Speaker 1: predictions tonight. I'm doing the rest of them Tuesday. The

1217
01:03:11,960 --> 01:03:14,680
Speaker 1: show's not nearly over. I'm just saying. If I don't

1218
01:03:14,720 --> 01:03:17,400
Speaker 1: do LSU Clemson on the show tonight, it's cause we're

1219
01:03:17,400 --> 01:03:20,320
Speaker 1: waiting for Tuesday. I got a hiccup. I'm sorry. That's

1220
01:03:20,320 --> 01:03:23,160
Speaker 1: why I was buying time. So I am going to

1221
01:03:23,200 --> 01:03:24,919
Speaker 1: do this one though, because this is a Friday game.

1222
01:03:25,560 --> 01:03:29,400
Speaker 1: Auburn's playing Baylor. Oh man, something's going to go terribly

1223
01:03:29,440 --> 01:03:33,480
Speaker 1: wrong for someone. This is a Friday night eight Eastern

1224
01:03:33,560 --> 01:03:36,800
Speaker 1: time kickoff on Fox. Does Brando have this game? Does

1225
01:03:36,880 --> 01:03:39,560
Speaker 1: Uncle Tim? I think Uncle Tim has this game. Saw

1226
01:03:39,560 --> 01:03:42,640
Speaker 1: someone hating on Uncle Tim today? Shame, shame, and scoring

1227
01:03:42,720 --> 01:03:45,600
Speaker 1: on you. Let's set the table here. These two head

1228
01:03:45,640 --> 01:03:49,840
Speaker 1: coaches were slandered last year. Dave Randa was all but

1229
01:03:49,960 --> 01:03:52,320
Speaker 1: fired and then he had the audacity to win. It

1230
01:03:52,360 --> 01:03:55,280
Speaker 1: was like Billy Napier light out there in Waco, and

1231
01:03:55,320 --> 01:03:58,240
Speaker 1: then Hugh Freeze. Of course, I mean last year. Listen

1232
01:03:58,320 --> 01:04:00,320
Speaker 1: to this. This is a paper popa right of a

1233
01:04:00,320 --> 01:04:05,280
Speaker 1: stat Auburn was twenty seventh in points per game allowed defensively,

1234
01:04:05,360 --> 01:04:09,040
Speaker 1: last year, but they were one hundred and eighteenth in

1235
01:04:09,160 --> 01:04:15,440
Speaker 1: fifty plus yard pass plays allowed, identity crisis defensively, And

1236
01:04:15,440 --> 01:04:17,800
Speaker 1: that's not even to mention how many games they led

1237
01:04:17,920 --> 01:04:21,080
Speaker 1: and had good offensive numbers in except for the one

1238
01:04:21,240 --> 01:04:23,600
Speaker 1: pesky fact that they kept giving the ball to the

1239
01:04:23,680 --> 01:04:26,760
Speaker 1: other team. The Oklahoma game still haunts me to this day.

1240
01:04:27,200 --> 01:04:30,600
Speaker 1: So that was last year. College football teaches us every

1241
01:04:30,600 --> 01:04:32,360
Speaker 1: single year. Last year didn't have to be this year,

1242
01:04:32,360 --> 01:04:35,200
Speaker 1: but it could be this year if the corrections aren't

1243
01:04:35,200 --> 01:04:37,160
Speaker 1: made from last year. Think that's a meme, all quote.

1244
01:04:37,320 --> 01:04:42,680
Speaker 1: So candidly, now that we're here, I have to admit

1245
01:04:42,720 --> 01:04:45,880
Speaker 1: to you all spring, I expected something in this game.

1246
01:04:46,320 --> 01:04:49,400
Speaker 1: All summer, I expected something in this game. Then I

1247
01:04:49,440 --> 01:04:51,560
Speaker 1: got to the game breakdown and I've changed my mind.

1248
01:04:51,680 --> 01:04:54,800
Speaker 1: So let's get into the game breakdown. Should Auburn not

1249
01:04:54,880 --> 01:04:58,080
Speaker 1: control the line of scrimmage? Here? For all the talk

1250
01:04:58,080 --> 01:05:01,760
Speaker 1: about quarterbacks, all to talk about this, Auburn's offensive line

1251
01:05:02,280 --> 01:05:04,080
Speaker 1: could be the most underrated in the country. What is

1252
01:05:04,120 --> 01:05:06,680
Speaker 1: it rated? I don't know, not top five, and maybe

1253
01:05:06,680 --> 01:05:09,240
Speaker 1: it should be, because maybe it's a top five offensive line.

1254
01:05:09,360 --> 01:05:12,120
Speaker 1: The quarterback will get questioned. Jackson Arnold will get questioned,

1255
01:05:12,120 --> 01:05:16,400
Speaker 1: I'll question him. It's a Friday night, it's Waco. Weird

1256
01:05:16,440 --> 01:05:19,000
Speaker 1: stuff can happen any time of year in Waco. I

1257
01:05:19,080 --> 01:05:21,800
Speaker 1: got some documentaries to show you if you don't believe me.

1258
01:05:22,320 --> 01:05:24,920
Speaker 1: So much could go wrong here, here's what could go right.

1259
01:05:25,400 --> 01:05:28,800
Speaker 1: Baylor's defensive front's a little undersized relative to what Auburn

1260
01:05:28,880 --> 01:05:31,520
Speaker 1: sees in normal conference play. What if they just lean

1261
01:05:31,560 --> 01:05:34,320
Speaker 1: on him and mash them? Now, I think to myself,

1262
01:05:34,640 --> 01:05:37,280
Speaker 1: I've got as much respect for Dave Randa of the

1263
01:05:37,360 --> 01:05:41,480
Speaker 1: defensive coach as almost anyone that side of the ball

1264
01:05:41,520 --> 01:05:44,880
Speaker 1: in America. So I think to myself self, if there's

1265
01:05:44,920 --> 01:05:47,320
Speaker 1: a turnover prone quarterback who's starting his first game in

1266
01:05:47,360 --> 01:05:51,480
Speaker 1: a new school, and his team has really good offensive

1267
01:05:51,480 --> 01:05:54,080
Speaker 1: line play, and I know they want to run the

1268
01:05:54,120 --> 01:05:57,680
Speaker 1: ball on me, what's the last thing that personnel wise schematically,

1269
01:05:57,720 --> 01:05:59,880
Speaker 1: I'm gonna let them do. They may do it to it,

1270
01:06:00,120 --> 01:06:02,160
Speaker 1: but I'm not gonna let him do it run the ball.

1271
01:06:02,680 --> 01:06:04,480
Speaker 1: So I think Dave A. Randa sells out in every

1272
01:06:04,480 --> 01:06:06,920
Speaker 1: way imaginable to try and stop the run. Now, if

1273
01:06:06,920 --> 01:06:09,480
Speaker 1: he's still defenseless against it, it's a long night. It's

1274
01:06:09,520 --> 01:06:14,120
Speaker 1: thirty to ten Final score Edge Auburn. But if you

1275
01:06:14,240 --> 01:06:17,520
Speaker 1: blow folks off the ball all night, the quarterback problem

1276
01:06:17,640 --> 01:06:20,320
Speaker 1: takes care of itself. Baylor was not great against the

1277
01:06:20,400 --> 01:06:24,240
Speaker 1: run last year, so that's kind of a non negotiable, like,

1278
01:06:24,280 --> 01:06:26,640
Speaker 1: I gotta find that out. And if we start seeing

1279
01:06:26,640 --> 01:06:31,120
Speaker 1: that Atlina scrimmage move consistently Auburn's way early, we'd probably

1280
01:06:31,120 --> 01:06:33,000
Speaker 1: go find something else to do in the second half. However,

1281
01:06:33,040 --> 01:06:35,560
Speaker 1: that is not the way that maybe this will play out.

1282
01:06:35,720 --> 01:06:37,920
Speaker 1: So then the next thing becomes how big is the

1283
01:06:38,000 --> 01:06:42,240
Speaker 1: edgic quarterback? We think Baylor has the edgit quarterback Sawyer Robertson.

1284
01:06:42,280 --> 01:06:45,920
Speaker 1: It's pretty safe to say Edge goes his way if

1285
01:06:45,920 --> 01:06:48,960
Speaker 1: it just comes down to a quarterback versus quarterback matchup. Now,

1286
01:06:49,120 --> 01:06:50,640
Speaker 1: if you've ever watched this game, you know they're not

1287
01:06:50,640 --> 01:06:52,280
Speaker 1: on the field at the same time, so that's not

1288
01:06:52,360 --> 01:06:56,640
Speaker 1: necessarily what it comes down to. But the funny thing

1289
01:06:56,680 --> 01:06:59,840
Speaker 1: about this is you kind of know the ceiling in

1290
01:06:59,840 --> 01:07:03,000
Speaker 1: the floor. For Robertson, I've got no clue what the

1291
01:07:03,040 --> 01:07:05,360
Speaker 1: ceiling or the floor is. For Jackson Nonold, I'm pretty

1292
01:07:05,360 --> 01:07:07,560
Speaker 1: sure last year is the floor. I hope it was.

1293
01:07:07,840 --> 01:07:10,680
Speaker 1: What's the ceiling? And then the follow up is if

1294
01:07:10,720 --> 01:07:13,880
Speaker 1: Hugh Freeze really has worked a miracle here, if the

1295
01:07:13,920 --> 01:07:17,040
Speaker 1: turnover issue just doesn't rear its ugly head, who knows.

1296
01:07:17,040 --> 01:07:20,520
Speaker 1: Maybe Auburn forces turnovers, that's allowed. But what if the

1297
01:07:20,560 --> 01:07:24,320
Speaker 1: turnover problem's not there, it's not a turnover prone week one,

1298
01:07:25,480 --> 01:07:27,960
Speaker 1: Auburn's wide receiver room can take over the game. This

1299
01:07:28,080 --> 01:07:30,720
Speaker 1: is yet another area of this game where I look

1300
01:07:30,760 --> 01:07:33,360
Speaker 1: at guys like cam Coleman and Frankly, I don't know

1301
01:07:33,360 --> 01:07:37,120
Speaker 1: that Baylor's got an answer for him size wise. I

1302
01:07:37,160 --> 01:07:39,400
Speaker 1: don't think they've got a guy that can man up

1303
01:07:39,440 --> 01:07:42,960
Speaker 1: with him. And then secondly, if Auburn's running the ball effectively,

1304
01:07:44,600 --> 01:07:47,960
Speaker 1: Baylor's got to make a decision. I think Baylor's they're

1305
01:07:48,000 --> 01:07:50,080
Speaker 1: not playing light box all night like. I don't think

1306
01:07:50,080 --> 01:07:52,520
Speaker 1: these dbs are gonna have a ton of help, and

1307
01:07:52,560 --> 01:07:54,880
Speaker 1: that Auburn wide receiver room could take over the game

1308
01:07:55,040 --> 01:08:00,520
Speaker 1: if the quarterback play lets it. I can't forcest turnovers.

1309
01:08:00,600 --> 01:08:02,920
Speaker 1: I try, and I try, and I try, and the

1310
01:08:02,920 --> 01:08:06,600
Speaker 1: model keeps telling me the same thing. You're on your own.

1311
01:08:06,840 --> 01:08:10,200
Speaker 1: I can't forecast turnovers. Auburn was one hundred and twentieth

1312
01:08:10,240 --> 01:08:13,919
Speaker 1: and turnover margin last year. Baylor was thirty fifth. That's

1313
01:08:13,960 --> 01:08:17,439
Speaker 1: how this game swings. If those numbers hold, that's how

1314
01:08:17,439 --> 01:08:22,840
Speaker 1: this game swings. Can Auburn game script to avoid the

1315
01:08:23,520 --> 01:08:27,320
Speaker 1: high leverage spots? You know? In other words, are there

1316
01:08:27,360 --> 01:08:31,200
Speaker 1: a bunch of moments Friday night where you go? Or

1317
01:08:31,280 --> 01:08:34,800
Speaker 1: is it just I'm comfortable? Man, I'm sitting here in

1318
01:08:34,840 --> 01:08:38,040
Speaker 1: Alexander City, Alabama. I'm out here on Lake Martin. I

1319
01:08:38,080 --> 01:08:40,880
Speaker 1: couldn't be happier with what I'm seeing. Auburn's got the

1320
01:08:40,920 --> 01:08:43,519
Speaker 1: talent edge, you know, so if talent, if talent wins out,

1321
01:08:43,560 --> 01:08:46,200
Speaker 1: Auburn wins out Friday. I gotta be honest with you.

1322
01:08:46,439 --> 01:08:48,320
Speaker 1: Let's take a look at what the model thinks. The

1323
01:08:48,360 --> 01:08:50,759
Speaker 1: FanDuel number right now is Auburn minus two and a half.

1324
01:08:51,640 --> 01:08:54,839
Speaker 1: The model disagrees, but you know what, the model disagreed

1325
01:08:54,880 --> 01:08:56,680
Speaker 1: with me on Iowa State too. And then I was

1326
01:08:56,720 --> 01:08:59,679
Speaker 1: emphatically right on that Auburn's gonna win this game. Auburn's

1327
01:08:59,680 --> 01:09:02,160
Speaker 1: gonna go went to Waco, Texas on a Friday night.

1328
01:09:02,640 --> 01:09:04,960
Speaker 1: Most of these guys are visiting Waco for the last

1329
01:09:04,960 --> 01:09:07,000
Speaker 1: time in their lives, and I think they're gonna get

1330
01:09:07,040 --> 01:09:10,280
Speaker 1: a win. Now, it may not be pretty. But it's

1331
01:09:10,320 --> 01:09:11,960
Speaker 1: the kind of game where you go in there, you

1332
01:09:12,000 --> 01:09:13,960
Speaker 1: get your win, and then you get to the airport

1333
01:09:14,000 --> 01:09:16,439
Speaker 1: as quick as you can, and as you take off,

1334
01:09:16,479 --> 01:09:19,080
Speaker 1: you say, all right, a ton of mistakes tonight, we'll

1335
01:09:19,080 --> 01:09:21,880
Speaker 1: get them cleaned up. But everyone looked me in the eye.

1336
01:09:21,920 --> 01:09:25,799
Speaker 1: We avoided disaster. I think Auburn's going to avoid disaster

1337
01:09:26,120 --> 01:09:28,800
Speaker 1: and they're gonna win in week one. If you want

1338
01:09:28,800 --> 01:09:32,880
Speaker 1: to go, go, don't buy your ticket chet until you

1339
01:09:32,960 --> 01:09:35,400
Speaker 1: go to seat Geek. And this goes for anyone and

1340
01:09:35,479 --> 01:09:37,000
Speaker 1: everyone out there. You don't even have to be going

1341
01:09:37,040 --> 01:09:39,080
Speaker 1: to a college football game, although I assume most of

1342
01:09:39,120 --> 01:09:42,599
Speaker 1: you are. I know it's ticket buying season, so I'm

1343
01:09:42,600 --> 01:09:44,920
Speaker 1: pulling the same string I did last year with our

1344
01:09:44,920 --> 01:09:47,160
Speaker 1: friends over at seat Geek. You got a lot of

1345
01:09:47,160 --> 01:09:50,200
Speaker 1: tickets to buy, so you know, buy them at your leisure,

1346
01:09:50,280 --> 01:09:52,840
Speaker 1: but make sure when you use seat Geek. I'm just

1347
01:09:52,880 --> 01:09:55,080
Speaker 1: getting you a discount here. So I'm gonna get you

1348
01:09:55,160 --> 01:09:58,200
Speaker 1: ten percent off any order of up to two hundred dollars.

1349
01:09:58,360 --> 01:10:00,600
Speaker 1: Any order above two hund oh, I'm just getting you

1350
01:10:00,640 --> 01:10:03,000
Speaker 1: twenty dollars off. So you know I can't just get

1351
01:10:03,040 --> 01:10:06,760
Speaker 1: you ten percent off of two million dollar order. How

1352
01:10:06,760 --> 01:10:08,840
Speaker 1: many Taylor Swift shows is that? By the way, so

1353
01:10:09,640 --> 01:10:13,120
Speaker 1: use the code paate ten at checkout, pat E one

1354
01:10:13,240 --> 01:10:16,839
Speaker 1: zero at checkout. Again, you're going to these games anyway.

1355
01:10:17,960 --> 01:10:21,000
Speaker 1: Just save yourself some money in this economy, in any economy,

1356
01:10:21,000 --> 01:10:25,080
Speaker 1: save yourself some money. I got bold predictions. And then

1357
01:10:25,160 --> 01:10:27,200
Speaker 1: at the end of the show tonight, look at this.

1358
01:10:27,720 --> 01:10:30,599
Speaker 1: I believe in writing by hand, but I had Jesse

1359
01:10:30,760 --> 01:10:36,519
Speaker 1: print out a few nuggets and items of interest for

1360
01:10:36,600 --> 01:10:40,400
Speaker 1: Pate State Orientation tonight because we have so many nubes

1361
01:10:40,439 --> 01:10:43,559
Speaker 1: around here. That's not a pejorative. We love you just

1362
01:10:43,600 --> 01:10:46,240
Speaker 1: like we love our seasoned veterans. But there's a lot

1363
01:10:46,240 --> 01:10:48,719
Speaker 1: about the show that doesn't make sense. And don't worry

1364
01:10:48,880 --> 01:10:51,919
Speaker 1: if I'm describing you. If you find yourself thoroughly confused,

1365
01:10:51,920 --> 01:10:57,120
Speaker 1: a lot like what is Pate State? What school is that?

1366
01:10:57,200 --> 01:11:00,400
Speaker 1: Don't worry? What is immunity? Don't worry. I'm gonna playing it.

1367
01:11:00,560 --> 01:11:02,720
Speaker 1: I got one more batch of bold predictions here. By

1368
01:11:02,760 --> 01:11:06,599
Speaker 1: the way, Great crowd Live chat is popping. Make sure

1369
01:11:06,640 --> 01:11:10,040
Speaker 1: you like the video and subscribe to the channel. These

1370
01:11:10,080 --> 01:11:13,000
Speaker 1: things are free. I know. I make fun a lot

1371
01:11:13,000 --> 01:11:15,200
Speaker 1: in the comment section. That's how we keep the show free.

1372
01:11:15,760 --> 01:11:17,720
Speaker 1: Show is going to be free no matter what. Just

1373
01:11:17,720 --> 01:11:20,680
Speaker 1: a little spoiler alert. Just help us out on that

1374
01:11:20,720 --> 01:11:23,439
Speaker 1: one front. Just subscribe to the channel. It doesn't change

1375
01:11:23,479 --> 01:11:25,759
Speaker 1: anything for you. It doesn't sign you up for anything.

1376
01:11:26,200 --> 01:11:29,160
Speaker 1: It helps put food on the table for Bradley and

1377
01:11:29,200 --> 01:11:33,719
Speaker 1: Pez and Mitch and Jesse sometimes me. So it helps

1378
01:11:33,800 --> 01:11:35,839
Speaker 1: us out. We appreciate it. It's free. It's college football

1379
01:11:35,840 --> 01:11:37,800
Speaker 1: all year. That's how that's how you can show a

1380
01:11:37,840 --> 01:11:40,200
Speaker 1: token of your appreciation. And that's about all I need

1381
01:11:40,240 --> 01:11:43,120
Speaker 1: you to do. Okay, Bold prediction time, one of the

1382
01:11:43,160 --> 01:11:44,800
Speaker 1: last batches here. What do you believe? What are you

1383
01:11:44,800 --> 01:11:46,400
Speaker 1: betting your money on this year? What are you willing

1384
01:11:46,400 --> 01:11:49,720
Speaker 1: to back up with your good, hard earned name in

1385
01:11:49,760 --> 01:11:51,960
Speaker 1: exchange for me potentially calling you out in December if

1386
01:11:52,000 --> 01:11:55,120
Speaker 1: it crashes and burns. First up tonight, Alex, He says,

1387
01:11:55,120 --> 01:11:58,200
Speaker 1: bold prediction. This is a good one. Three states will

1388
01:11:58,200 --> 01:12:02,479
Speaker 1: have two teams in the college football playoff. This is

1389
01:12:02,520 --> 01:12:05,120
Speaker 1: a nine point five for me. But hear me out.

1390
01:12:05,160 --> 01:12:07,439
Speaker 1: So it could be Texas. There's a bunch of teams

1391
01:12:07,479 --> 01:12:11,280
Speaker 1: in Texas. It could be Florida. We need two teams,

1392
01:12:11,280 --> 01:12:13,439
Speaker 1: by the way, So Florida could make it, Miami could

1393
01:12:13,520 --> 01:12:17,080
Speaker 1: make it. Could FSU surprise people and be back Scott Frost.

1394
01:12:17,080 --> 01:12:21,280
Speaker 1: There's no way, no way, usf who knows you know?

1395
01:12:21,479 --> 01:12:24,519
Speaker 1: Iowa is a sneaky contender here. Iowa State could win

1396
01:12:24,560 --> 01:12:27,880
Speaker 1: the Big twelve. Iowa could surprise people. New quarterback there

1397
01:12:27,920 --> 01:12:31,640
Speaker 1: from the FCS ranks, go ten and two. South Carolina's

1398
01:12:31,640 --> 01:12:35,439
Speaker 1: got Clemson in South Carolina. Tennessee like Tennessee and Memphis.

1399
01:12:35,439 --> 01:12:38,439
Speaker 1: Maybe I'm not quite buying that. Vandy's a playoff contender.

1400
01:12:39,560 --> 01:12:45,519
Speaker 1: Georgia has Georgia Tech and Georgia Louisiana Tulane LSU. It's

1401
01:12:45,640 --> 01:12:48,360
Speaker 1: just that three states have to get a pair of

1402
01:12:48,400 --> 01:12:52,120
Speaker 1: teams in California. It's just shame I didn't even mention California.

1403
01:12:52,880 --> 01:12:54,479
Speaker 1: I'm not quite there, So I'm gonna go nine and

1404
01:12:54,520 --> 01:13:00,160
Speaker 1: a half next up. Somehow this is even bolder. From Gainsville, Florida.

1405
01:13:00,280 --> 01:13:03,320
Speaker 1: It'll make sense. In a second. DJ Lagway wins the Heisman,

1406
01:13:03,360 --> 01:13:06,639
Speaker 1: Florida wins the national championship. That's a nine point seventy

1407
01:13:06,680 --> 01:13:10,080
Speaker 1: five So for those interested, Florida has the twelfth best

1408
01:13:10,080 --> 01:13:13,720
Speaker 1: odds to win it all. DJ Lagway has the eleventh

1409
01:13:13,720 --> 01:13:16,320
Speaker 1: best odds to win the Heisman Trophy. That number is low.

1410
01:13:16,360 --> 01:13:19,479
Speaker 1: I've already bet on it. First Off, you need him

1411
01:13:19,479 --> 01:13:22,920
Speaker 1: to play an entire season, which is notable because he

1412
01:13:22,920 --> 01:13:26,679
Speaker 1: hasn't gotten through a stretch of camp yet without missing reps.

1413
01:13:27,280 --> 01:13:29,760
Speaker 1: Trust me, I don't say that with the glee. I

1414
01:13:29,840 --> 01:13:31,800
Speaker 1: need him to play the whole year. I mean I've

1415
01:13:31,800 --> 01:13:35,760
Speaker 1: got a playoff prediction riding on this. Secondly, they got

1416
01:13:35,760 --> 01:13:38,280
Speaker 1: a good ground game, okay, so we can lean on that,

1417
01:13:38,320 --> 01:13:40,800
Speaker 1: so I don't need him to be Superman. They could

1418
01:13:40,800 --> 01:13:42,840
Speaker 1: make it to the title game and lose. Though. That's

1419
01:13:42,880 --> 01:13:45,960
Speaker 1: the problem with this prediction. Lagway could win the Heisman.

1420
01:13:46,160 --> 01:13:48,400
Speaker 1: Florida could go twelve and zero and win the SEC

1421
01:13:48,560 --> 01:13:52,519
Speaker 1: and buzz all their way through the quarterfinal, the semi final,

1422
01:13:52,560 --> 01:13:54,080
Speaker 1: and then they get beaten the title game and this

1423
01:13:54,080 --> 01:13:56,479
Speaker 1: prediction crashed and burn. This is really hard, So I'm

1424
01:13:56,479 --> 01:13:58,240
Speaker 1: going to make it a nine point seventy five immunity.

1425
01:13:58,439 --> 01:14:02,400
Speaker 1: Next up, Oh the headlines if this were to happen,

1426
01:14:03,000 --> 01:14:06,280
Speaker 1: Keegan from Month CPA good people in Munsey, He said,

1427
01:14:06,320 --> 01:14:10,400
Speaker 1: Penn State boat races, Ohio State and Columbus winning by

1428
01:14:10,439 --> 01:14:12,720
Speaker 1: three or more scores. Why can't you just predict them

1429
01:14:12,760 --> 01:14:16,439
Speaker 1: to win by three. They hadn't beat him since twenty sixteen.

1430
01:14:16,479 --> 01:14:19,880
Speaker 1: That's bold enough. So this is a should have made

1431
01:14:19,920 --> 01:14:22,120
Speaker 1: it a ten, Jesse, make it a ten. This is

1432
01:14:22,160 --> 01:14:24,920
Speaker 1: a ten. They haven't won this game, as I said,

1433
01:14:25,200 --> 01:14:28,200
Speaker 1: since twenty sixteen. And even if Penn State does go

1434
01:14:28,280 --> 01:14:31,639
Speaker 1: in there and they beat Ohio State, if you told

1435
01:14:31,680 --> 01:14:34,200
Speaker 1: me all that right now, but you didn't tell me

1436
01:14:34,200 --> 01:14:36,360
Speaker 1: to score, I'd still make this like a nine. They're

1437
01:14:36,360 --> 01:14:39,680
Speaker 1: not beating them by seventeen plus. They may beat them

1438
01:14:39,720 --> 01:14:42,360
Speaker 1: by three, they may beat them by six. In no

1439
01:14:42,520 --> 01:14:44,720
Speaker 1: world does Penn State go in there and blow them out.

1440
01:14:44,920 --> 01:14:47,240
Speaker 1: Just not the It's not conducive to the style of

1441
01:14:47,280 --> 01:14:49,760
Speaker 1: play they incorporate. So I'm making that a nine point

1442
01:14:49,800 --> 01:14:51,760
Speaker 1: seventy five. And that scratched that making it a ten.

1443
01:14:52,280 --> 01:14:56,080
Speaker 1: And lastly, you gotta be careful with the wording here.

1444
01:14:57,479 --> 01:15:01,639
Speaker 1: Every game Miami wins, it will be by double digits. Now,

1445
01:15:01,680 --> 01:15:05,160
Speaker 1: what he did not say is Miami will win every

1446
01:15:05,200 --> 01:15:08,200
Speaker 1: game by double digits. So they could be eight and four,

1447
01:15:08,680 --> 01:15:10,880
Speaker 1: but as long as their eight wins are all by

1448
01:15:10,880 --> 01:15:14,200
Speaker 1: double digits, this prediction hits. I think this is bold

1449
01:15:14,240 --> 01:15:17,360
Speaker 1: but not crazy. So this is a nine. So think

1450
01:15:17,400 --> 01:15:19,760
Speaker 1: this through. If you can't see the schedule. They play

1451
01:15:19,840 --> 01:15:22,439
Speaker 1: Notre Dame in week one, they could just lose the game.

1452
01:15:22,960 --> 01:15:25,120
Speaker 1: They play Florida a few weeks later. They could lose

1453
01:15:25,120 --> 01:15:26,840
Speaker 1: the game. They could lose to Louisville. They can go

1454
01:15:26,880 --> 01:15:28,960
Speaker 1: to SMU and lose. They can lose all those games.

1455
01:15:29,640 --> 01:15:32,960
Speaker 1: But as long as they beat FSU and Stanford and

1456
01:15:33,040 --> 01:15:36,599
Speaker 1: Syracuse and NC State and VOTEC and Pitt by double digits,

1457
01:15:37,040 --> 01:15:41,519
Speaker 1: this could hit. I still think that's a stretch. First off,

1458
01:15:41,600 --> 01:15:44,320
Speaker 1: they may beat Notre Dame, probably just not beaten them

1459
01:15:44,320 --> 01:15:46,519
Speaker 1: by double digits. Probably not beating Florida even if they

1460
01:15:46,560 --> 01:15:49,080
Speaker 1: do by double digits. So I'm gonna call this a nine.

1461
01:15:49,120 --> 01:15:53,280
Speaker 1: But there is this weird world where it's like Miami

1462
01:15:53,320 --> 01:15:55,200
Speaker 1: goes eight and four, but they're nowhere close to nine

1463
01:15:55,200 --> 01:15:57,720
Speaker 1: and three. So they go eight and four and all

1464
01:15:57,760 --> 01:16:00,880
Speaker 1: of their wins or blowouts, but they never really came

1465
01:16:00,920 --> 01:16:03,320
Speaker 1: close to beating any of the other teams. So, and

1466
01:16:03,439 --> 01:16:05,800
Speaker 1: to be weird but not impossible, you can bet it

1467
01:16:05,840 --> 01:16:08,559
Speaker 1: all on f exclusive odds provider of the show. I've

1468
01:16:08,640 --> 01:16:10,680
Speaker 1: got big news. By the way, I don't know if

1469
01:16:10,720 --> 01:16:12,840
Speaker 1: you've heard about that new holiday they're having over there.

1470
01:16:12,960 --> 01:16:16,680
Speaker 1: I tend to partake in this one. Future's Day is

1471
01:16:16,760 --> 01:16:19,640
Speaker 1: Tuesday at FanDuel, and you might be riding around and

1472
01:16:19,640 --> 01:16:22,479
Speaker 1: your little kids asking you, Daddy, what's Future's Day. Well,

1473
01:16:23,360 --> 01:16:25,240
Speaker 1: you don't need to worry about it. You need to

1474
01:16:25,240 --> 01:16:27,519
Speaker 1: go to school. You're in third grade, so you cannot

1475
01:16:27,520 --> 01:16:30,920
Speaker 1: bet responsibly. You cannot bet period. Dad can, though, So

1476
01:16:30,960 --> 01:16:33,760
Speaker 1: if dad wants to bet responsibly, you might want to

1477
01:16:33,760 --> 01:16:36,200
Speaker 1: wait till Tuesday to do it. Instant bonus on any

1478
01:16:36,280 --> 01:16:40,599
Speaker 1: college football futures bet that means a Heisman bet, that

1479
01:16:40,680 --> 01:16:44,640
Speaker 1: means a conference title pick, that means odds to make

1480
01:16:44,680 --> 01:16:47,840
Speaker 1: the playoff, to win the whole thing. Do it on Tuesday.

1481
01:16:48,200 --> 01:16:50,240
Speaker 1: It's not illegal for you to do it on Monday.

1482
01:16:50,400 --> 01:16:52,799
Speaker 1: I would just say wait until Future's Day. On Tuesday,

1483
01:16:52,800 --> 01:16:55,479
Speaker 1: they're gonna have flash deals every three hours. I don't

1484
01:16:55,479 --> 01:16:57,360
Speaker 1: even know what they're gonna be, So I got to

1485
01:16:57,360 --> 01:16:59,800
Speaker 1: click refresh on that one, which is a little messed

1486
01:16:59,840 --> 01:17:01,360
Speaker 1: up if you think about it, I think I should

1487
01:17:01,360 --> 01:17:07,719
Speaker 1: know what they are. Write that down all right, FanDuel

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Speaker 1: Josh Pate. All you had to do was go bet

1495
01:17:29,520 --> 01:17:33,880
Speaker 1: five dollars on Kansas. They just blowout Fresno thirteen point spread.

1496
01:17:33,920 --> 01:17:36,599
Speaker 1: There's no limit. I told you you'll bet five dollars

1497
01:17:36,640 --> 01:17:38,960
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Speaker 1: sure enough, one of our viewers said, Wow, I thought

1500
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Speaker 1: you were lying when you said it was that easy.

1501
01:17:46,439 --> 01:17:49,479
Speaker 1: I wasn't lying. You could still do it. You could

1502
01:17:49,520 --> 01:17:51,720
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01:17:51,720 --> 01:17:54,920
Speaker 1: out Syracuse, bet five dollars on it, get three hundred

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01:17:54,960 --> 01:17:58,000
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01:17:58,000 --> 01:18:01,960
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1516
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Speaker 1: Hope is here. Visit gambling Helplinema dot org or call

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01:18:46,160 --> 01:18:48,920
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1520
01:18:56,479 --> 01:19:00,280
Speaker 1: n Y in New York. All right, this is a

1521
01:19:00,320 --> 01:19:03,360
Speaker 1: very very important segment on the show. Candidly, if I

1522
01:19:03,400 --> 01:19:05,960
Speaker 1: screw this up at all, I'll just make Bradley stay

1523
01:19:06,000 --> 01:19:09,840
Speaker 1: around late because we'll re record it. Because this is

1524
01:19:09,880 --> 01:19:12,280
Speaker 1: gonna live on the channel. This will be like on

1525
01:19:12,360 --> 01:19:17,200
Speaker 1: the home screen when anyone shows up. All right, let

1526
01:19:17,200 --> 01:19:20,880
Speaker 1: me clear my voice, let me clear my head. It

1527
01:19:20,960 --> 01:19:24,200
Speaker 1: is time. It is time, Bradley. When I snap my fingers,

1528
01:19:24,200 --> 01:19:25,840
Speaker 1: that's when I want you to in cut for the edit.

1529
01:19:26,400 --> 01:19:29,400
Speaker 1: It is time for everyone who's new around here, or

1530
01:19:29,439 --> 01:19:31,360
Speaker 1: everyone who's been here for a while but needs a

1531
01:19:31,360 --> 01:19:37,799
Speaker 1: little re education of sorts to participate in peate state orientation. Bradley,

1532
01:19:37,840 --> 01:19:40,920
Speaker 1: here's a good point for you. Peate state orientation. What

1533
01:19:40,960 --> 01:19:43,120
Speaker 1: in the world is this? What is this place? What

1534
01:19:43,280 --> 01:19:45,240
Speaker 1: is this show? This is a one stop shop if

1535
01:19:45,280 --> 01:19:47,439
Speaker 1: you're new, if you're a new listener, if you're a

1536
01:19:47,439 --> 01:19:49,679
Speaker 1: new viewer, if you've got a friend you're trying to recruit,

1537
01:19:49,800 --> 01:19:52,160
Speaker 1: or if you've been watching but you need a refresher course.

1538
01:19:52,479 --> 01:19:54,519
Speaker 1: This right here at beginning of the college football season,

1539
01:19:55,000 --> 01:19:58,120
Speaker 1: this is orientation for this channel. What is this show?

1540
01:19:58,120 --> 01:20:00,679
Speaker 1: It's college football show. It's Josh Payt's college football show.

1541
01:20:01,000 --> 01:20:04,320
Speaker 1: I'm Josh Pate. We do it year round. Several years ago,

1542
01:20:04,760 --> 01:20:07,800
Speaker 1: I looked around and I said, there are thirty seven

1543
01:20:07,920 --> 01:20:10,920
Speaker 1: NFL shows. There seem like there are a million NBA shows.

1544
01:20:11,160 --> 01:20:13,759
Speaker 1: There are college football shows, but I really don't feel

1545
01:20:13,760 --> 01:20:16,080
Speaker 1: like any of them speak to me. They don't get

1546
01:20:16,120 --> 01:20:20,000
Speaker 1: in the weeds enough. It's just this fifty thousand foot stuff.

1547
01:20:20,479 --> 01:20:22,920
Speaker 1: So you can either complain about it or you can

1548
01:20:22,920 --> 01:20:24,880
Speaker 1: make the show you want to watch. So we made

1549
01:20:24,920 --> 01:20:26,599
Speaker 1: the show we want to watch. We do it three

1550
01:20:26,680 --> 01:20:30,240
Speaker 1: nights a week during the season. It's live Sunday, Tuesday, Thursday,

1551
01:20:30,520 --> 01:20:33,479
Speaker 1: eight Eastern, seventh Central. You can watch the replay. You

1552
01:20:33,520 --> 01:20:37,000
Speaker 1: can listen to it on podcast. We own the entire thing.

1553
01:20:38,080 --> 01:20:40,800
Speaker 1: There is not a single corporate entity that owns one

1554
01:20:40,840 --> 01:20:44,240
Speaker 1: percent of this show. We own it, We produce it.

1555
01:20:44,560 --> 01:20:47,200
Speaker 1: The IP is ours, the name is ours, the channel

1556
01:20:47,280 --> 01:20:49,519
Speaker 1: is ours, the podcast fee it is ours. So if

1557
01:20:49,560 --> 01:20:53,200
Speaker 1: you see anything happen on this show, it's not conspiratorial.

1558
01:20:53,479 --> 01:20:57,000
Speaker 1: It's not caused somebody from management on high asked us

1559
01:20:57,040 --> 01:20:59,160
Speaker 1: to do this, or some network told us we had

1560
01:20:59,200 --> 01:21:01,320
Speaker 1: to do that. I'm not sure that happens anyway, but

1561
01:21:01,360 --> 01:21:04,320
Speaker 1: it definitely doesn't happen around here. It's our show producer, Jesse,

1562
01:21:04,680 --> 01:21:07,960
Speaker 1: that's our producer, Director Bradley, that's our producer. We got Mitch,

1563
01:21:08,040 --> 01:21:09,840
Speaker 1: We got pres out in the truck right now. We

1564
01:21:09,920 --> 01:21:12,439
Speaker 1: had a whole host of people. But there are people

1565
01:21:12,880 --> 01:21:15,800
Speaker 1: We completely make this happen because you have allowed us

1566
01:21:15,800 --> 01:21:18,360
Speaker 1: to make it happen. Let me tell you about us.

1567
01:21:18,680 --> 01:21:23,040
Speaker 1: We ride or die for college football. No apologies. We

1568
01:21:23,080 --> 01:21:25,880
Speaker 1: don't feel bad about it. We live for it all year.

1569
01:21:25,960 --> 01:21:29,560
Speaker 1: We don't care what casuals think. We don't think casuals

1570
01:21:29,560 --> 01:21:32,599
Speaker 1: are bad people. We just don't value their opinion quite

1571
01:21:32,600 --> 01:21:36,600
Speaker 1: as much as the rest of you do. They, for instance,

1572
01:21:36,960 --> 01:21:39,320
Speaker 1: would tell you you're a bad person for skipp and

1573
01:21:39,320 --> 01:21:42,240
Speaker 1: fall weddings. We don't think that. We think they're bad

1574
01:21:42,280 --> 01:21:45,719
Speaker 1: people for expecting you to compromise your values. The rest

1575
01:21:45,760 --> 01:21:48,200
Speaker 1: of society looks down on that. We don't look down

1576
01:21:48,240 --> 01:21:50,519
Speaker 1: on that kind of mentality around here because we're really

1577
01:21:50,600 --> 01:21:53,040
Speaker 1: about the life. We're really about the college football life.

1578
01:21:53,080 --> 01:21:56,200
Speaker 1: If I'm describing you, you are what we call paid

1579
01:21:56,200 --> 01:22:00,480
Speaker 1: state material. You'll see me throw that term around quite frequently.

1580
01:22:00,560 --> 01:22:03,400
Speaker 1: What is Pate State, Well, we kind of tried to

1581
01:22:03,520 --> 01:22:07,000
Speaker 1: make up a fictitious university. We wanted something to describe

1582
01:22:07,040 --> 01:22:11,960
Speaker 1: our community that we've built for the show, and we

1583
01:22:12,000 --> 01:22:15,080
Speaker 1: wanted something that sort of was a reflector of the

1584
01:22:15,120 --> 01:22:18,800
Speaker 1: ethos of the show. We wanted, you know, something you

1585
01:22:18,840 --> 01:22:21,640
Speaker 1: can belong to, but something that belongs to you, if

1586
01:22:21,680 --> 01:22:24,360
Speaker 1: that makes any sense, and that is Pate State. It's

1587
01:22:24,360 --> 01:22:27,920
Speaker 1: an idea, it's a cool logo, it's a community, it's

1588
01:22:27,960 --> 01:22:30,120
Speaker 1: all of these things. It's all of these things kind

1589
01:22:30,120 --> 01:22:32,400
Speaker 1: of like its whole little world. Some things that you're

1590
01:22:32,400 --> 01:22:34,680
Speaker 1: going to hear around here that if you're new, may

1591
01:22:34,720 --> 01:22:37,320
Speaker 1: not make a lot of sense. I'll talk about splatterings

1592
01:22:37,360 --> 01:22:40,479
Speaker 1: a lot. That's just a blowout loss, guys, It's going

1593
01:22:40,560 --> 01:22:43,400
Speaker 1: to happen a lot in college football season. Close cousin

1594
01:22:43,760 --> 01:22:47,439
Speaker 1: of the Sarah McLaughlin Special, which also makes its triumphant

1595
01:22:47,520 --> 01:22:50,320
Speaker 1: return this week, and that is one time per week

1596
01:22:50,800 --> 01:22:53,120
Speaker 1: there's a game that really goes sideways, it really goes

1597
01:22:53,160 --> 01:22:56,800
Speaker 1: off the rails, and it's not good enough to just

1598
01:22:56,840 --> 01:23:00,200
Speaker 1: do a game recap. We got to set some off

1599
01:23:00,320 --> 01:23:03,040
Speaker 1: piano music under it. Now. We don't pay Sarah McLaughlin

1600
01:23:03,160 --> 01:23:07,000
Speaker 1: enough to license her actual songs per se, but we

1601
01:23:07,080 --> 01:23:09,000
Speaker 1: make it close enough where you get the gist. And

1602
01:23:09,040 --> 01:23:11,519
Speaker 1: I'll just read a box score off and it's a really,

1603
01:23:11,560 --> 01:23:14,439
Speaker 1: really tough emotional time if you're a fan of that team.

1604
01:23:14,800 --> 01:23:16,960
Speaker 1: But I think it brings us all together in the end.

1605
01:23:17,280 --> 01:23:21,120
Speaker 1: You'll hear me say immunity a lot. For instance, if

1606
01:23:21,160 --> 01:23:23,240
Speaker 1: I talk about a game and I say, this is

1607
01:23:23,240 --> 01:23:25,120
Speaker 1: a big one, one of the biggest ones we've ever seen.

1608
01:23:25,160 --> 01:23:29,320
Speaker 1: Immunity immunity born from shows like The Office is just

1609
01:23:29,360 --> 01:23:32,640
Speaker 1: a very juvenile rule that we made up, wherein if

1610
01:23:32,680 --> 01:23:36,240
Speaker 1: you say immunity after a phrase that anyone could drop,

1611
01:23:36,280 --> 01:23:39,760
Speaker 1: that's what she said on they are ineligible to drop.

1612
01:23:39,800 --> 01:23:41,880
Speaker 1: That's what she said. And you may listen to that

1613
01:23:41,960 --> 01:23:45,760
Speaker 1: and you may think, well, that's childish. It absolutely is,

1614
01:23:46,200 --> 01:23:49,600
Speaker 1: but again we make no apologies for it. Will you

1615
01:23:49,600 --> 01:23:52,880
Speaker 1: will hear occasionally, especially if you're listening on podcast that

1616
01:23:53,160 --> 01:23:55,040
Speaker 1: out of nowhere, so a lot of sounds like gunfire,

1617
01:23:55,120 --> 01:23:58,320
Speaker 1: roll the window up. No, it's a paper pop. It's

1618
01:23:58,360 --> 01:24:00,240
Speaker 1: just a point of emphasis. If we've got some they're

1619
01:24:00,240 --> 01:24:03,280
Speaker 1: really important to say. You know, Jesse got a haircut. Boom,

1620
01:24:03,520 --> 01:24:07,599
Speaker 1: paper pop, point of emphasis. We have a very very

1621
01:24:07,720 --> 01:24:12,160
Speaker 1: unique way of pluralization on the show Drive the Grammar

1622
01:24:12,200 --> 01:24:17,800
Speaker 1: Teachers Crazy, And that form of pluralization is that you

1623
01:24:17,840 --> 01:24:20,200
Speaker 1: could just throw an accent and eye on the end

1624
01:24:20,200 --> 01:24:23,919
Speaker 1: of most words, and we consider them plural campus. For example,

1625
01:24:24,200 --> 01:24:27,120
Speaker 1: I'll be on several of them this fall. Are they campuses? No,

1626
01:24:27,200 --> 01:24:31,920
Speaker 1: they're CAMPI that's what they are. We have chalices of supremacy. No,

1627
01:24:32,000 --> 01:24:35,320
Speaker 1: we don't. We have chali of supremacy. I would encourage

1628
01:24:35,320 --> 01:24:37,240
Speaker 1: you to just start doing it in your personal life

1629
01:24:37,280 --> 01:24:40,760
Speaker 1: everywhere up to an including a standardized test. Maybe not

1630
01:24:40,760 --> 01:24:43,080
Speaker 1: so much on the test, but in life. It drives

1631
01:24:43,080 --> 01:24:46,160
Speaker 1: people crazy. And that's how we roll around here. Look,

1632
01:24:46,200 --> 01:24:51,400
Speaker 1: every Fall consists of a nationwide tour. My job is wonderful.

1633
01:24:51,880 --> 01:24:54,479
Speaker 1: I wish you all could do it with me. Imagine this.

1634
01:24:54,640 --> 01:24:57,400
Speaker 1: You talk about college football all week, you spend the globe,

1635
01:24:57,479 --> 01:24:59,240
Speaker 1: you handpick the game you want to go to, You

1636
01:24:59,240 --> 01:25:01,679
Speaker 1: go stand on the side line at that game. On Saturday,

1637
01:25:01,720 --> 01:25:03,760
Speaker 1: you either drive or fly back to Nashville, and you

1638
01:25:03,840 --> 01:25:06,320
Speaker 1: talk about it on Sunday. Rinch repeat the next week.

1639
01:25:06,640 --> 01:25:09,800
Speaker 1: We call it fill in the Blank Tour. We had

1640
01:25:09,840 --> 01:25:12,760
Speaker 1: the Renaissance Tour, we had the whole New Saturday Tour.

1641
01:25:13,080 --> 01:25:15,240
Speaker 1: We had the Every Given Saturday Tour. We had the

1642
01:25:15,240 --> 01:25:18,400
Speaker 1: Once upon a Saturday Tour. This Falls Tour is the

1643
01:25:18,479 --> 01:25:23,280
Speaker 1: Fall Don't Lie Tour. Shirts now available at paytstatematerial dot com.

1644
01:25:23,600 --> 01:25:26,320
Speaker 1: I look forward to it. It is such a great time.

1645
01:25:26,360 --> 01:25:29,200
Speaker 1: It's my favorite time of the year. We view games

1646
01:25:29,240 --> 01:25:32,320
Speaker 1: a little differently around here as well. You know, anyone

1647
01:25:32,320 --> 01:25:37,160
Speaker 1: can rank teams. Many people do ranked teams. We've never

1648
01:25:37,200 --> 01:25:40,720
Speaker 1: really been into rankings. Here at payt State, we are

1649
01:25:40,800 --> 01:25:44,639
Speaker 1: into power ratings. Now. Power ratings and rankings are two

1650
01:25:44,640 --> 01:25:47,599
Speaker 1: different things. Rankings is merit based. You win, you move up,

1651
01:25:47,640 --> 01:25:50,479
Speaker 1: you lose, you move down. Power ratings don't really care

1652
01:25:50,520 --> 01:25:54,080
Speaker 1: about that. Power ratings are more in line with neutral

1653
01:25:54,120 --> 01:25:57,439
Speaker 1: field favorability. We've got our own model over here, so

1654
01:25:57,560 --> 01:26:00,720
Speaker 1: we generate our own numbers in house. It's adictive. We

1655
01:26:00,880 --> 01:26:02,880
Speaker 1: use it to bet. We've made money on it every

1656
01:26:02,960 --> 01:26:05,519
Speaker 1: year except one. I don't want to mention which year

1657
01:26:05,560 --> 01:26:07,599
Speaker 1: that was. It's a little too close in the rearview mirror.

1658
01:26:08,600 --> 01:26:10,519
Speaker 1: But all we really care about is who would the

1659
01:26:10,560 --> 01:26:13,240
Speaker 1: model favor against two on a neutral field tomorrow. There

1660
01:26:13,240 --> 01:26:15,479
Speaker 1: are several one and oh teams that would be an

1661
01:26:15,560 --> 01:26:18,240
Speaker 1: underdog to in one teams. Does it make sense in

1662
01:26:18,320 --> 01:26:21,360
Speaker 1: rankings world? Makes perfect sense in power ratings world. How

1663
01:26:21,360 --> 01:26:23,719
Speaker 1: do we illustrate it every week with our own poll,

1664
01:26:23,960 --> 01:26:28,280
Speaker 1: the JP pole? Do people vote on it? No? Does

1665
01:26:28,320 --> 01:26:32,479
Speaker 1: it still stack up in traditionally what you would call rankings, Yes,

1666
01:26:32,520 --> 01:26:35,360
Speaker 1: it does, we don't call it rankings. You will notice

1667
01:26:35,400 --> 01:26:37,960
Speaker 1: that this is one of these single drivers of the

1668
01:26:38,000 --> 01:26:41,200
Speaker 1: most negative discourse around this show. When the JP pole

1669
01:26:41,280 --> 01:26:44,080
Speaker 1: is released on social media every week, and no matter

1670
01:26:44,120 --> 01:26:47,599
Speaker 1: how thoroughly I explain the gist of it, many many

1671
01:26:47,600 --> 01:26:49,760
Speaker 1: people on social media who see it do not watch

1672
01:26:49,800 --> 01:26:52,639
Speaker 1: the show. They will never watch this video, and therefore

1673
01:26:53,080 --> 01:26:56,200
Speaker 1: they are the unwashed masses. They are casuals. It's unfortunate.

1674
01:26:56,560 --> 01:27:00,120
Speaker 1: It's unfortunate, but it's a reality, as Mima said, the

1675
01:27:00,120 --> 01:27:02,559
Speaker 1: world that we have to live in. And so we

1676
01:27:02,600 --> 01:27:06,320
Speaker 1: do the JP Pole every single week. We predict our

1677
01:27:06,360 --> 01:27:09,959
Speaker 1: best bets and we call it the Rama Noodle Express.

1678
01:27:10,120 --> 01:27:12,120
Speaker 1: The Rama Noodle Express is a name that was born

1679
01:27:12,240 --> 01:27:14,880
Speaker 1: long ago from an inside joke that a guy used

1680
01:27:14,920 --> 01:27:16,840
Speaker 1: to have with us when I was doing talk radio

1681
01:27:17,240 --> 01:27:20,240
Speaker 1: down in Columbus, Georgia. So the Rama Noudle Express will

1682
01:27:20,280 --> 01:27:23,840
Speaker 1: really start Tuesday night. If you're listening live right now,

1683
01:27:24,240 --> 01:27:26,799
Speaker 1: and if you're listening throughout the season. We could release

1684
01:27:26,840 --> 01:27:29,640
Speaker 1: a best bet at any given time. It could be

1685
01:27:29,720 --> 01:27:33,000
Speaker 1: on Instagram, it could be on the show, but it'll

1686
01:27:33,040 --> 01:27:38,240
Speaker 1: all cap itself on Friday Night Lines. Friday Night Lines

1687
01:27:38,320 --> 01:27:40,840
Speaker 1: is the culmination of the entire week. It's on Instagram

1688
01:27:40,880 --> 01:27:44,200
Speaker 1: live at Josh pat CFB, by the way, and I'll

1689
01:27:44,200 --> 01:27:46,280
Speaker 1: do it most of the time from a hotel room

1690
01:27:46,640 --> 01:27:48,880
Speaker 1: in the city of the game that we're going to

1691
01:27:48,960 --> 01:27:52,360
Speaker 1: be at the next day. It is very low produced,

1692
01:27:52,560 --> 01:27:56,400
Speaker 1: it's very low quality, it's poorly lit, and it's just

1693
01:27:56,560 --> 01:27:59,080
Speaker 1: me interacting with the live chat. I got the model

1694
01:27:59,120 --> 01:28:01,679
Speaker 1: pulled up and I tell you what the best bets are,

1695
01:28:01,840 --> 01:28:04,120
Speaker 1: but the games that you're interested in that I'm not betting.

1696
01:28:04,160 --> 01:28:06,800
Speaker 1: I also give you the model's opinion on that. It's

1697
01:28:06,840 --> 01:28:09,040
Speaker 1: a great time. Great time one of my favorite things

1698
01:28:09,080 --> 01:28:11,679
Speaker 1: that we do. We've got several new partnerships this year.

1699
01:28:12,000 --> 01:28:14,360
Speaker 1: None of them will affect the show. I have entered

1700
01:28:14,400 --> 01:28:17,679
Speaker 1: into a partnership with ESPN. You'll see me on Sports Center,

1701
01:28:17,800 --> 01:28:20,800
Speaker 1: Get Up, Whatnot every week. Has nothing to do with

1702
01:28:20,840 --> 01:28:23,920
Speaker 1: this show, though. I've entered into a partnership with Will

1703
01:28:23,920 --> 01:28:26,320
Speaker 1: and Taylor, the guy's over Busting with the Boys. Just

1704
01:28:26,360 --> 01:28:28,840
Speaker 1: did a great show with them last week. We'll do

1705
01:28:28,880 --> 01:28:32,360
Speaker 1: the locker room with them every Wednesday over on their channel.

1706
01:28:32,720 --> 01:28:35,000
Speaker 1: It's going to be awesome. I think it's going to

1707
01:28:35,000 --> 01:28:37,400
Speaker 1: be a product that really scales this year. But that's

1708
01:28:37,400 --> 01:28:39,880
Speaker 1: separate and apart from this show. I have entered into

1709
01:28:39,880 --> 01:28:42,040
Speaker 1: a partnership with on three Sports. They will be the

1710
01:28:42,080 --> 01:28:45,360
Speaker 1: exclusive data provider of this show when it comes to

1711
01:28:45,400 --> 01:28:50,120
Speaker 1: transfer portal information, recruiting rankings and the like, nil valuations.

1712
01:28:50,360 --> 01:28:53,880
Speaker 1: That is a partnership we don't work for ON three.

1713
01:28:53,920 --> 01:28:56,759
Speaker 1: We are partnered with on three, which is awesome because

1714
01:28:56,880 --> 01:29:00,040
Speaker 1: I love and have worked with before. Many of the

1715
01:29:00,040 --> 01:29:03,040
Speaker 1: people who are here. We have partnered with Yahoo Sports.

1716
01:29:03,560 --> 01:29:07,120
Speaker 1: They were instrumental in building this beautiful studio that we're

1717
01:29:07,160 --> 01:29:10,960
Speaker 1: in right now, among several other distribution mechanisms that we

1718
01:29:11,000 --> 01:29:14,360
Speaker 1: now have available to us and partnerships and know how,

1719
01:29:14,520 --> 01:29:18,040
Speaker 1: as a result of the Yahoo Sports collaboration, none of

1720
01:29:18,120 --> 01:29:21,680
Speaker 1: what I just said affects the show. And I want

1721
01:29:21,720 --> 01:29:23,280
Speaker 1: to tell you that because there's been a lot of

1722
01:29:23,320 --> 01:29:26,400
Speaker 1: talk out there all these partnerships. Man, are you selling

1723
01:29:26,479 --> 01:29:28,960
Speaker 1: out here? Are you selling out there to sell out?

1724
01:29:29,000 --> 01:29:30,800
Speaker 1: I've got to own less than one hundred percent of

1725
01:29:30,800 --> 01:29:32,800
Speaker 1: the show, and last time I checked, we own one

1726
01:29:32,840 --> 01:29:35,960
Speaker 1: hundred percent of it. Always will. I haven't always, but

1727
01:29:36,040 --> 01:29:38,040
Speaker 1: I always will. So I wanted to take some time

1728
01:29:38,080 --> 01:29:41,240
Speaker 1: tonight and ease your concerns. We're not entering into any

1729
01:29:41,280 --> 01:29:45,240
Speaker 1: partnership that fundamentally changes this show in any way. The

1730
01:29:45,280 --> 01:29:48,600
Speaker 1: show is the north Star and everything else works around it.

1731
01:29:49,600 --> 01:29:53,839
Speaker 1: The merch store is back and it's incredible. Peytstatematerial dot Com.

1732
01:29:54,120 --> 01:29:56,320
Speaker 1: We are going to have things rotating in and out

1733
01:29:56,320 --> 01:29:59,200
Speaker 1: of there all year. I am very, very happy with

1734
01:29:59,240 --> 01:30:02,000
Speaker 1: the team we have work in there. However, I'm wearing

1735
01:30:02,040 --> 01:30:04,479
Speaker 1: a white T shirt, and there's a reason I've always

1736
01:30:04,479 --> 01:30:06,840
Speaker 1: worn a white T shirt on this show. I feel

1737
01:30:06,880 --> 01:30:10,000
Speaker 1: like Orientation Night is the time to remind you why

1738
01:30:10,040 --> 01:30:14,000
Speaker 1: that is. The white T shirt is born out of

1739
01:30:14,040 --> 01:30:16,799
Speaker 1: a time long ago when I was working in local

1740
01:30:16,840 --> 01:30:20,600
Speaker 1: news and someone I really love but I had a

1741
01:30:20,640 --> 01:30:24,000
Speaker 1: fundamental disagreement with, told me you can't be on TV

1742
01:30:24,040 --> 01:30:27,280
Speaker 1: and not wear a suit. You can't be talking sports

1743
01:30:27,320 --> 01:30:29,240
Speaker 1: on TV not wearing a suit. And I just always

1744
01:30:29,240 --> 01:30:32,679
Speaker 1: thought it was dumb. If I'm on the news reporting

1745
01:30:32,720 --> 01:30:34,840
Speaker 1: a triple homicide, I need to be wearing a suit.

1746
01:30:35,200 --> 01:30:37,920
Speaker 1: If I'm on TV talking about Auburn versus Baylor, it

1747
01:30:37,920 --> 01:30:40,360
Speaker 1: doesn't matter what I'm wearing. And I never thought sports

1748
01:30:40,400 --> 01:30:42,920
Speaker 1: fans cared about what you're wearing. If you're talking sports,

1749
01:30:43,040 --> 01:30:44,720
Speaker 1: they're not wearing suits at home, Why in the world

1750
01:30:44,760 --> 01:30:47,639
Speaker 1: would I be so? I always thought to myself, one day,

1751
01:30:48,080 --> 01:30:49,880
Speaker 1: when I get to do it my way, I'm going

1752
01:30:49,960 --> 01:30:52,760
Speaker 1: to emphatically prove this point. I wear a white T

1753
01:30:52,920 --> 01:30:58,200
Speaker 1: shirt every show. It's economical, it feels good. I don't

1754
01:30:58,240 --> 01:31:00,640
Speaker 1: really care if it looks good. It is good, it

1755
01:31:00,720 --> 01:31:04,280
Speaker 1: works for us. There is no bias for or against

1756
01:31:04,360 --> 01:31:07,360
Speaker 1: any team on the show. I'm gonna say that, and

1757
01:31:07,560 --> 01:31:10,439
Speaker 1: most people will disagree with it. They will claim you're

1758
01:31:10,479 --> 01:31:13,680
Speaker 1: a fan or you're a hater of everyone. There'll be

1759
01:31:13,760 --> 01:31:17,960
Speaker 1: people who pull up old Internet clips or old snapshots

1760
01:31:18,000 --> 01:31:19,880
Speaker 1: from news stations you used to work at, and they

1761
01:31:19,880 --> 01:31:22,240
Speaker 1: have no idea what they're looking at. They have no idea.

1762
01:31:22,560 --> 01:31:25,720
Speaker 1: It's part of a multi tiered marketing campaign that we

1763
01:31:25,760 --> 01:31:29,479
Speaker 1: did back in the day at WLTZ. Strangely only one

1764
01:31:29,520 --> 01:31:34,000
Speaker 1: screenshot of which still exists. Anyway, everybody that someone thinks

1765
01:31:34,000 --> 01:31:36,599
Speaker 1: you're a fan of that fan base has a portion

1766
01:31:36,760 --> 01:31:39,320
Speaker 1: of that thinks you're a hater of. There's no real,

1767
01:31:39,360 --> 01:31:41,920
Speaker 1: baked in bias. We talk good about the good teams.

1768
01:31:42,400 --> 01:31:45,720
Speaker 1: We disproportionately talk about the really good teams. I do

1769
01:31:45,760 --> 01:31:49,080
Speaker 1: have great relationships with coaches, truth be told, I'm probably

1770
01:31:49,120 --> 01:31:52,680
Speaker 1: more a fan of coaches than I am of teams themselves.

1771
01:31:53,560 --> 01:31:58,080
Speaker 1: But I love the sport. I love stormchasing. We do

1772
01:31:58,120 --> 01:32:00,160
Speaker 1: it a lot in the spring. There's one movie post

1773
01:32:00,240 --> 01:32:02,679
Speaker 1: on this entire set, and it's the Twister movie poster.

1774
01:32:03,160 --> 01:32:06,320
Speaker 1: I just got married to a wonderful young lady named

1775
01:32:06,320 --> 01:32:09,519
Speaker 1: Savannah who has, believe it or not, better stories about

1776
01:32:09,560 --> 01:32:12,960
Speaker 1: college football than I do, because she worked in college

1777
01:32:12,960 --> 01:32:17,040
Speaker 1: football everywhere from Southern Miss and Jones Community College to

1778
01:32:17,240 --> 01:32:21,559
Speaker 1: LSU to Ole Miss to Alabama. So I, look, I

1779
01:32:21,680 --> 01:32:23,880
Speaker 1: just talk about it as a former fan. Man, if

1780
01:32:23,920 --> 01:32:27,439
Speaker 1: she ever gets her show, probably in trouble. But if

1781
01:32:27,479 --> 01:32:30,760
Speaker 1: she ever gets her show, man the stories that she

1782
01:32:30,840 --> 01:32:33,000
Speaker 1: could tell. And look, I want to be college football

1783
01:32:33,000 --> 01:32:36,040
Speaker 1: commissioner as well. I think I have some great ideas.

1784
01:32:36,360 --> 01:32:38,679
Speaker 1: I think we can slowly turn this from a running

1785
01:32:38,760 --> 01:32:41,640
Speaker 1: joke to a serious campaign. And I'm still waiting for

1786
01:32:41,720 --> 01:32:44,920
Speaker 1: the twenty twenty eight presidential field to take shape. But

1787
01:32:45,040 --> 01:32:48,000
Speaker 1: whichever candidate makes this a central part of their platform

1788
01:32:48,240 --> 01:32:50,960
Speaker 1: is probably going to get my backing. That's how we

1789
01:32:51,000 --> 01:32:54,320
Speaker 1: play politics on the show. Any presidential candidate that wants

1790
01:32:54,400 --> 01:32:57,639
Speaker 1: to include making me college football commissioner, I'm probably tossing

1791
01:32:57,640 --> 01:33:00,200
Speaker 1: my support your way. We are happy to have you

1792
01:33:00,240 --> 01:33:03,240
Speaker 1: on board for this season. We are looking forward to it.

1793
01:33:03,280 --> 01:33:05,479
Speaker 1: We got a million irons in the fire, and it's

1794
01:33:05,520 --> 01:33:08,519
Speaker 1: all because of you. So I appreciate you. Guys. I

1795
01:33:08,560 --> 01:33:10,080
Speaker 1: tell you a lot, but it's still more than you

1796
01:33:10,120 --> 01:33:12,920
Speaker 1: could ever know. And all of us here echo that sentiment.

1797
01:33:13,000 --> 01:33:16,679
Speaker 1: I just happened to be the one talking to the microphone. Bradley,

1798
01:33:16,760 --> 01:33:18,880
Speaker 1: that's your outcut. All right, good show tonight. We got

1799
01:33:18,880 --> 01:33:20,400
Speaker 1: to go home and eat. We were afraid this is

1800
01:33:20,439 --> 01:33:22,479
Speaker 1: gonna last two hours. So I think I got us

1801
01:33:22,520 --> 01:33:25,879
Speaker 1: out here as expeditiously as I could. For director Bradley,

1802
01:33:25,920 --> 01:33:28,640
Speaker 1: For a producer Jesse, I'm Josh Pate. Take care, have

1803
01:33:28,680 --> 01:33:47,160
Speaker 1: a great start to your week, and God bless. Sign

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