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Speaker 1: It's time to place your bets. Let's talk to the pros,

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Speaker 1: all right, come down to three two one. Welcome in

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Speaker 1: everybody to betting Pros. It is the Joey's p Joe

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Speaker 1: Pizza Villa. And if you can believe it, already in

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Speaker 1: twelve in the college football season. So Scott Fogman is

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Speaker 1: here to break it all down. Of course, you can

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Speaker 1: check out all of Scott's word over at Bettingpros dot com.

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Speaker 1: And of course that's where we have all of our

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Speaker 1: consensus lines where you can go and make your wagers

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Speaker 1: to win money on college football. And Scott Bogman, I

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Speaker 1: know you got to see your Longhorns play yeah week kid,

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Speaker 1: or should I say lose last week? So I mean,

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Speaker 1: it's fun to go out again. Can we just focus

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Speaker 1: on that before we get into the games. Let's just

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Speaker 1: focus on that.

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Speaker 2: Well.

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Speaker 3: Look in Texas, it felt like it was normal. You know,

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Speaker 3: there was no precautions, no anything. I remember the beginning

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Speaker 3: of the year, my buddy sent me a text and said, hey,

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Speaker 3: you have your card because I think you need your

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Speaker 3: card to get into Texas. And I'm like, yeah, I

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Speaker 3: got it if they need it or whatever, and he goes, okay,

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Speaker 3: And then I text him when I was about to

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Speaker 3: leave for Austin, and I said, do I still need this?

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Speaker 3: He goes, no, you don't need to bother bringing a masking.

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Speaker 3: You're gonna be fine.

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Speaker 2: So I was like, well, you.

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Speaker 1: Did send me the picture of the barbecue, which was

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Speaker 1: very because you know me, I'm about the barbecue.

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Speaker 3: Terry Blacks in Austin is amazing. It is okay, the

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Speaker 3: barbecue is amazing, great, of course, but the macaroni and cheese,

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Speaker 3: macaroni and cheese I've ever had in my life. And look,

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Speaker 3: take fat guy recommendations, right, No, can give me recommendations,

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Speaker 3: you know. But Joe is a skinny guy.

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Speaker 1: A skinny guy, I'm fit fat. There's a difference. I'm

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Speaker 1: fit fat.

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Speaker 2: Yeah.

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Speaker 3: You you like food, you like like more than most

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Speaker 3: skinny people.

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Speaker 1: There's one pack here, my friend, but just thatat guy.

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Speaker 3: Well I got a cooler, all right, So take the

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Speaker 3: back guy suggestions on the food. If you're in Austin,

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Speaker 3: go to Terry Blacks. It's worth the wait. It's amazing.

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Speaker 1: Go.

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Speaker 2: So that part was great. Uh.

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Speaker 3: Texas losing to Kansas at home for the first time ever,

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Speaker 3: not so much. Fun, especially when I made the trip

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Speaker 3: there and then had to drive back home that same night,

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Speaker 3: three hours from Austin in the pitch black dark was

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Speaker 3: not fun, so you know, but it was fun to

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Speaker 3: see my friends, fun to see the atmosphere and all

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Speaker 3: that stuff.

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Speaker 2: Not so much fun to lose.

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Speaker 1: But well, before we get into the likes and the

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Speaker 1: leans for week twelve, besides Texas being bad, what else

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Speaker 1: did you learn for week eleven?

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Speaker 3: You know what, it wasn't all bad because Oklahoma got exposed.

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Speaker 3: I didn't think Baylor was going to be the team

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Speaker 3: to do it coming off there lost to TCU, but

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Speaker 3: they were clearly overlooking Oklahoma. I didn't overlooking TCU to

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Speaker 3: get to Oklahoma. I didn't think that they were going

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Speaker 3: to beat Oklahoma straight up. But you know, Caleb Williams

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Speaker 3: looked bad. He also got his hand stepped on. Spencer

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Speaker 3: Ratler doesn't inspire much confidence right now, so it was

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Speaker 3: about right. And the CFP poll that had him at

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Speaker 3: eight the whole time, even though they were undefeat undefeated,

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Speaker 3: seems to be just about right.

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Speaker 2: So I was happy to see that.

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Speaker 3: And on the flip side, Ohio State, you know, perdue

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Speaker 3: big game Hunters. Not against Ohio State wasn't going to happen.

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Speaker 3: Ohio State absolutely dominated that game. Actually got to see

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Speaker 3: that one before I went in to watch the Texas

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Speaker 3: game this week, so that was impressive to see.

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Speaker 2: Ohio State. Looks like they're clicking on all cylinders right now.

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Speaker 1: All right, well, let's kick things off here with the likes,

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Speaker 1: and let's start here with Louisville. Nineteen and a half

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Speaker 1: point favorites at Duke. Sixteen and a half is the

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Speaker 1: number now, this game is Thursday night. Duke is on

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Speaker 1: a six game losing streak, and look, they've been getting

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Speaker 1: blown out here in these games. So nineteen and a

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Speaker 1: half is that actually too small of a number? I

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Speaker 1: know that's a weird thing to say when we're approaching twenty,

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Speaker 1: but some of these numbers are thrown out there when

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Speaker 1: you're looking at the Duke glosses almost look like this

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Speaker 1: could be an easy one for Louisville here.

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Speaker 3: I mean, I think it could easily be a low number,

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Speaker 3: right because, like you said, the last four in a

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Speaker 3: row that Duke has lost thirty one, twenty five, thirty eight,

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Speaker 3: and forty eight. Now Louisville, they're not having a great

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Speaker 3: year either, Joe, I mean and five and record and

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Speaker 3: against the spread. But they have a significant mismatch here

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Speaker 3: in my opinion, against Duke. In the rushing game. They're

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Speaker 3: twenty six in the nation running two hundred point eight

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Speaker 3: yards per game, and Duke is one hundred and seventh.

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Speaker 3: That's stopping the run, allowing one hundred and ninety eight

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Speaker 3: yards per game. So Duke's offense has it's.

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Speaker 2: Been good rushing.

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Speaker 3: They've been led by Miteo Durant, who is tenth, the

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Speaker 3: tenth leading rusher in the nation. Right now, they're thirty

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Speaker 3: seventh in the country in rushing yards at a hundred

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Speaker 3: and nine seven yards per game. But the one good

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Speaker 3: thing Louisville does on defense to stop the run. They're

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Speaker 3: forty first, only allowing one hundred and thirty three and

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Speaker 3: a half yards per game. So I think this is

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Speaker 3: a mismatch game. I think there's another one where Duke

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Speaker 3: gets beat down. So I'm gonna take Louisville and lay

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Speaker 3: the points here.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's move on to the next one. You're

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Speaker 1: number seven Michigan State at number four Ohio State. Ohio State,

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Speaker 1: this is the number. It seems like this week nineteen

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Speaker 1: point favorites sixty six and a half is the over under.

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Speaker 1: So your thoughts on Michigan stated here in this battle

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Speaker 1: of two teams in the top ten. Obviously Ohio State,

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Speaker 1: you know, is up there and right now looking at

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Speaker 1: the college playoffs, is there any chance he hear Michigan

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Speaker 1: State can cover this number.

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Speaker 3: I don't think so, and I think this is another

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Speaker 3: mismatch game. And you don't really have to talk too

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Speaker 3: much about this one even, you know, because Michigan State

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Speaker 3: is dead last in the country number seven, rankedeen one

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Speaker 3: hundred and thirtieth in the country against the pass, and

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Speaker 3: Ohio State is sixth in the country in passing offense.

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Speaker 3: So you just see that type of a mismatch. You

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Speaker 3: see what Garrett Wilson did last week. Chris o'lave is

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Speaker 3: a stud Jackson Smith and Jigba is one of the

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Speaker 3: best route runners in.

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Speaker 2: The country for Ohio State.

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Speaker 3: I just think that that mismatch is going to mean

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Speaker 3: Ohio State wins this one walking away. So I've got

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Speaker 3: Ohio State and I will also lay the points in

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Speaker 3: this game.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's move on to the next one. Here

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Speaker 1: on the slate, number thirteen, Wake Forest at Clemson. Now

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Speaker 1: Clemson's four and a half point favorites in this contest,

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Speaker 1: despite the fact that wake Forest is the ranked team.

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Speaker 1: A little battle of offense versus defense here, and I

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Speaker 1: guess the question is can the Clemson defense here do

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Speaker 1: enough yere to basically stop the thirteenth ranked wake Forest team.

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Speaker 2: I think they can.

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Speaker 1: Now.

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Speaker 3: Clemson is, like you said, offense fors defense show. Clemson

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Speaker 3: has the third best scoring defense in the country. Wake

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Speaker 3: Forest has the second best scoring offense twenty eighth against

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Speaker 3: the pass for wake Forest, fourteenth best passing offense for

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Speaker 3: wake Forest, seventeenth against the pass. Here, I just think

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Speaker 3: that in Clemson's game, Clemson always seems to control the

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Speaker 3: pace of the game. They've held a couple of good

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Speaker 3: offenses to low points. Wake Forest has been held to

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Speaker 3: no less than thirty five points this year, but no

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Speaker 3: one has scored more than twenty seven against Clemson, So

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Speaker 3: what breaks. I think it's the wake Forest offense. I

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Speaker 3: think Clemson's defense is really, really good, and I think

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Speaker 3: they're gonna win this game by the four and a half.

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Speaker 3: Last three weeks in a row, they put up at

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Speaker 3: least thirty points. Some bad teams they played, but they've

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Speaker 3: gotten able to practice their offense and make it better.

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Speaker 2: So in my opinion, I think Clemson's going to take

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Speaker 2: this game now.

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Speaker 1: I can't believe we're going to do Notre Dame this

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Speaker 1: early in the show.

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Speaker 2: Hold on, Joe, hold on Becauys.

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Speaker 3: I picked Notre Dame minus the points and against the

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Speaker 3: spread in my article and nailed them both.

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Speaker 1: Now go, you've turned the corner. Took weeks.

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Speaker 3: It was Brendan Armstrong sat in that game, so Virginia

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Speaker 3: had nothing on offense, so it was kind of cherry picking.

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Speaker 3: But hey, if you played it, you won money. That's

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Speaker 3: all that is right, exact green. Anyway you make it

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Speaker 3: doesn't matter.

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Speaker 1: That's right. That's right. So number six, Notre Dame seventeen

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Speaker 1: point favorites here at home against Georgia Tech. So Bogman,

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Speaker 1: can you keep the streak alive? Two weeks in the row?

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Speaker 2: I think so.

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Speaker 3: Georgia Tech is definitely they're on the right track. You know,

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Speaker 3: they're one of the worst teams in the country, but

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Speaker 3: they are getting better. There are still three three and

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Speaker 3: seven in record and only four and six against the spread.

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Speaker 2: But Notre Dame is humming right now.

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Speaker 3: They thumped the Brendan armstring list Virginia Cavaliers last week.

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Speaker 3: They pounded an improving Navy team the week before. So basically,

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Speaker 3: if you're a team that is improving but you're not

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Speaker 3: quite there, Notre Dame's going to expose you. And I

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Speaker 3: think that's exactly what's going to happen in this game.

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Speaker 3: I think Notre Dame exposes Georgia Tech. And they are

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Speaker 3: clicking on all cylinders at the absolute right time here.

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Speaker 1: And you know what else happens here here? As Notre

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Speaker 1: Dame continues to look good and win games, people start

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Speaker 1: to think that they're better than they are, and then

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Speaker 1: they'll play some team that is far better than in

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Speaker 1: a bowl game and they'll get shell ACKed in that game,

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Speaker 1: and then we all go back to square one again.

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Speaker 1: Just remember I said it, because that's where it's going.

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Speaker 1: SMU at fifth rank Cincinnati Cincinnati eleven and a half

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Speaker 1: point favorites in this contest. Sixty five is the over

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Speaker 1: under Your thoughts on Cincinnati here in this contest against SMU.

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Speaker 3: Well, they didn't cover against USF, who is bad. They

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Speaker 3: are almost lost to Tulsa. They beat Navy by a

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Speaker 3: touchdown as four touchdown favorites. It really seems to me

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Speaker 3: like the pressure is mounting for Cincinnati and it's starting

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Speaker 3: to get to them. SMU stomped UCF last week, but

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Speaker 3: lost the previous two games to Memphis and Houston. But

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Speaker 3: this is another good offense versus defense matchup, SMU having

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Speaker 3: the sixth highest scoring offense in the country against since

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Speaker 3: he's sixth best scoring defense in the country. But both

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Speaker 3: these teams have been great, but Smud, they've had their

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Speaker 3: lumps and they're going to be playing with a nothing

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Speaker 3: to lose attitude here, and since he has just been

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Speaker 3: tight for weeks, I'm gonna take SMU on the money line,

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Speaker 3: and I think this will finally put the bed since

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Speaker 3: he for a playoff consideration.

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Speaker 2: They're standing at fifth right now.

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Speaker 3: I know the ap they're still very high, but I

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Speaker 3: just don't think that this is going to be the

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Speaker 3: year that a Chief five team makes it. And this

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Speaker 3: is your one chance, since he's your one shot, and

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Speaker 3: they got to beat SMU to do it. But they

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Speaker 3: have been playing just a little too tight for me

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Speaker 3: to like them here, So I'll take SMU on the

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Speaker 3: money line straight up.

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Speaker 1: Is it the pressure box or is this team maybe

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Speaker 1: just not as good as their fifth rank.

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Speaker 3: I really think it's the pressure, because I think they're good.

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Speaker 3: I think that you know, you've talked about Desmond Ritter

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Speaker 3: being one of the best quarterbacks in the country. You know,

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Speaker 3: he's a stud for sure, but he hasn't been playing

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Speaker 3: his best football.

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Speaker 1: He hasn't. That's that's what's been concerning me because you

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Speaker 1: see the talent there, but right right now it's been

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Speaker 1: struggled these last few weeks.

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Speaker 2: And Navy.

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Speaker 3: You know, we just talked about how Navy got thumped

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Speaker 3: by Notre Dame and Notre Dame lost to Cincy. They're

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Speaker 3: they're not as good of a team as as since

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Speaker 3: he is. So I just think that the pressure is

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Speaker 3: really mounting on these guys. And I just think at

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Speaker 3: some week somewhere here, whether it's here or in the

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Speaker 3: AC Championship, it's gonna be they're gonna take a loss.

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Speaker 2: And I think this is the week to do it.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's go to the Battle of California here

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Speaker 1: u c l A three point favorites at USC sixty

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Speaker 1: five and a half is the number. So walk me

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Speaker 1: through this one. Who do you like?

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Speaker 2: I like the Bruins.

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Speaker 1: Here.

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Speaker 3: Ucla has been better than advertised, but they still can't

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Speaker 3: seem to go toe to toe with those top Pack

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Speaker 3: twelve teams.

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Speaker 2: They have losses to Oregon, Utah, and Arizona State.

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Speaker 3: But the problem here is that USC they're not one

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Speaker 3: of the top Pac twelve teams anymore.

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Speaker 2: They're just not.

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Speaker 3: They might be better on offense now that Slovis is

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Speaker 3: hurt and they're gonna go with the freshman Jackson Dart

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Speaker 3: in his first start, but the problem is the defense

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Speaker 3: for USC. Ucla is going to run it with Charbonne

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Speaker 3: and Brown and are averaging over two hundred yards a game.

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Speaker 3: USC is eighty second against the run, and USC's five

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Speaker 3: losses they are giving up over two hundred yards on average,

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Speaker 3: including Oregon State ran for like three hundred and thirty

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Speaker 3: two yards on them. So I'm gonna take UCLA on

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Speaker 3: the road. I'm gonna lay the points. Should be a

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Speaker 3: fun Pac twelve game to watch, but I got the

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Speaker 3: Bruins in this one fairly easy.

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Speaker 1: I know that you know, I'm old enough to know

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Speaker 1: at least that college football can be cyclical, right in

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Speaker 1: terms of cos where you know where we're at and

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Speaker 1: which Conferences, you know, and it's been the it's been

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Speaker 1: the SEC for quite some time. Is there any world

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Speaker 1: with the right coach that USC can recruit and become

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Speaker 1: a power again in college football? Because USC historically always

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Speaker 1: was and I know, you know, the last decade and

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Speaker 1: a half it's been you know, the SEC basically. But

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Speaker 1: can you see kind of get.

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Speaker 3: Back on track at all in the next few years,

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Speaker 3: You think, yes, absolutely, And I think you know, both

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Speaker 3: these jobs USC and Texas ever since they played in

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Speaker 3: the national title game. You know, uh, these teams have

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Speaker 3: been moved in the wrong direction here.

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Speaker 1: I was gonna say, they haven't been the same since.

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Speaker 3: Right, And really what it is is it's about you're

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Speaker 3: always going to have the recruits. I mean, Texas is

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Speaker 3: always top ten and recruiting, so is USC. Right, it's

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Speaker 3: getting those players to gel and play together. And you know,

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Speaker 3: these kids they start getting, you know, more and more

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Speaker 3: exposure to being the man earlier in earlier, so you know,

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Speaker 3: they want to do a little bit less hard work

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Speaker 3: and they're not working as hard as those other kids,

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Speaker 3: and you know, this is what happens. I think, to

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Speaker 3: sound like a complete old man about it, I think

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Speaker 3: that it's just, you know, It's why I don't personally

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Speaker 3: like meeting athletes that much is that, you know, a

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Speaker 3: lot of them have big heads. They've been told they're

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Speaker 3: the man ever since they were in high school, and

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Speaker 3: they start to buy it.

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Speaker 2: So you're still just a guy school.

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Speaker 1: You know, now about twelve years old, for.

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Speaker 3: Sure, you're still just a guy. Regardless of how much

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Speaker 3: money or fame and all that stuff. You're just a dude.

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Speaker 2: So not me.

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Speaker 1: I'm special. My mom told me, see.

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Speaker 3: There you go, and every one of my friends and

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Speaker 3: all my hanger honors and my coaches and everyone I've

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Speaker 3: been around in my life.

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Speaker 1: So I need a good entourage. Yes, I feel like

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Speaker 1: that's the one thing I'm missing in life.

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Speaker 3: You need one that brings that humbles you. You need

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Speaker 3: entourage humbles you. So guys that I've got and I

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Speaker 3: didn't realize it.

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Speaker 1: Boy, oh boy, there's enough humble pie going around here.

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Speaker 1: Let's go on to the next one here. South Carolina's

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Speaker 1: at home hosting seventeenth ranked Auburn. Auburn seven and a

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Speaker 1: half point favorites and this one, forty four and a

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Speaker 1: half is the number, so Auburn should win this one. Handling, right.

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Speaker 2: I mean, the line shouldn't be this closed.

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Speaker 3: But bon Knicks, who had just gotten a firm grip

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Speaker 3: on this quarterback job at Auburn again, is going out

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Speaker 3: for the season with ankle surgery.

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Speaker 2: So, you know, I don't know.

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Speaker 3: If that's a negative, man, I know, I understand what

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Speaker 3: you're saying, right, bon Knicks had finally looked like that

321
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Speaker 3: number one overall quarterback the last couple of weeks, right,

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Speaker 3: and now they've got to have to go back to TJ. Finley,

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Speaker 3: who's you know, a Rejeck from LSU playing at Auburn now.

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Speaker 3: But here's the thing, though, South Carolina is pretty miserable.

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Speaker 3: And yes they did beat Florida, but Florida has been

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Speaker 3: playing just about as bad as anyone in the country recently.

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Speaker 3: I don't know if you saw their game against Samford

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Speaker 3: this weekend, but Sanmford had thirty five points on them

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Speaker 3: at halftime and they had to score sixty whatever to

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Speaker 3: beat Samford. It was just pathetic. Florida is a train

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Speaker 3: wreck right now. But the opponents in South Carolina's other

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Speaker 3: four wins outside of the Florida win, have a combined

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Speaker 3: record of fourteen in twenty six. So I think Auburn,

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Speaker 3: even without their quarterback, can find a way to beat

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Speaker 3: the game Cocks by a little more.

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Speaker 2: Than a touchdown. That's all you're asking here.

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Speaker 3: The only good thing South Carolina does is stop the

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Speaker 3: pass anyway, and now you know you're going to run

339
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Speaker 3: it a lot because you don't have a good passer.

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Speaker 3: So I think it fits the narrative for Auburn beating

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Speaker 3: down South Carolina. I think they run it down their throat.

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Speaker 3: So I'm going to take the Tigers and lay the

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Speaker 3: points here.

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Speaker 1: All right, last of the likes here, we have tenth

345
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Speaker 1: ranked Oklahoma State the numbers ten and a half here

346
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Speaker 1: on their end at Texas Tech, fifty six and a

347
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Speaker 1: half is the over under. So your thoughts here on

348
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Speaker 1: number ten Oklahoma State. Can they win this one and

349
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Speaker 1: romp over Texas Tech? Or will Texas Tech be competitive

350
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Speaker 1: in this one?

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Speaker 3: I don't think they're going to be competitive. Okay State

352
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Speaker 3: is eight and two against the spread, nine and one

353
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Speaker 3: on the season. They're a good team. I'm not quite

354
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Speaker 3: sure why this line is as low as than and

355
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Speaker 3: a half points. I guess because it's a road game.

356
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Speaker 1: I was gonna say it's got to because it's a

357
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Speaker 1: road game. That's the only thing I could possibly imagine.

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Speaker 3: And Texas Tech just won a big game, right, So

359
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Speaker 3: they just played a rank game against Iowa State and

360
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Speaker 3: beat them after the head coach was fired and all

361
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Speaker 3: that stuff. But Texas Tech can score with anyone, but

362
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Speaker 3: their defense is horrible.

363
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Speaker 2: They're one hundred eleven scoring.

364
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Speaker 3: They've allowed thirty five points or more in six games

365
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Speaker 3: so far this season. The most points Okay State has

366
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Speaker 3: allowed this season is twenty four. So give me the

367
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Speaker 3: Cowboys and I lay the points. I think this one's

368
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Speaker 3: going to be in my article for sure. I don't

369
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Speaker 3: know why the public is so far in on Texas Tech.

370
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Speaker 3: The majority of the cash when I looked late last

371
00:16:33,320 --> 00:16:37,520
Speaker 3: night was Texas Tech, so I just I don't understand

372
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Speaker 3: what's happening there.

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Speaker 1: All right, Well, those are all the likes. So let's

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Speaker 1: switch gears now to the leans, maybe a little less confident,

375
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Speaker 1: but certainly ones that we can approach. And let's start

376
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Speaker 1: with Iowa State at twelfth rank Oklahoma Oklahoma's four point

377
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Speaker 1: favorites in this contest. Sixty and a half is the

378
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Speaker 1: over under, so I know this one is tight. Here,

379
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Speaker 1: you would imagine it's you know, Oklahoma at home, ranked

380
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Speaker 1: team four points, but is there a little bit more

381
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Speaker 1: of the meets the eye here in this one?

382
00:17:04,040 --> 00:17:04,280
Speaker 2: Yeah?

383
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Speaker 3: You know, we were talking about this game on See

384
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Speaker 3: If You Winning Edge with my guys Nick and Xavier,

385
00:17:08,160 --> 00:17:10,480
Speaker 3: and Xavier made a good point of Look, this is

386
00:17:10,480 --> 00:17:13,200
Speaker 3: the last gasp for Iowa State, right, I have all

387
00:17:13,240 --> 00:17:16,640
Speaker 3: these seniors coming back. They've obviously been disappointing. They've had

388
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Speaker 3: four losses so far this year, but in Oklahoma had

389
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Speaker 3: their bump. They lost to Baylor, so you know, they're

390
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Speaker 3: now ranked twelve and all that stuff. But I think

391
00:17:26,600 --> 00:17:30,399
Speaker 3: this really is going to come down to Caleb Williams.

392
00:17:31,080 --> 00:17:33,720
Speaker 3: He had his hand stepped on and it clearly affected him.

393
00:17:33,720 --> 00:17:36,159
Speaker 3: In the second half, he left for a drive. Spencer

394
00:17:36,240 --> 00:17:39,239
Speaker 3: Ratler came in. He couldn't do anything against Baylor, and

395
00:17:39,280 --> 00:17:42,880
Speaker 3: Oklahoma might have got a little bit blueprinted against Baylor here.

396
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Speaker 3: So I'm content to just watch this game gun. In

397
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Speaker 3: my head, I take Oklahoma. I think they're the more

398
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Speaker 3: talented team, and I think, you know, if Caleb Williams's

399
00:17:50,880 --> 00:17:53,320
Speaker 3: hand is okay, they're going to be fine. But I

400
00:17:53,400 --> 00:17:55,040
Speaker 3: just I don't think i'd really want to mess with

401
00:17:55,040 --> 00:17:55,480
Speaker 3: this game.

402
00:17:55,920 --> 00:17:56,000
Speaker 2: Now.

403
00:17:56,080 --> 00:17:58,800
Speaker 1: The next one here is Alabama obviously ranked second in

404
00:17:58,840 --> 00:18:01,760
Speaker 1: the nation. They are two twenty one point favorites. They'll

405
00:18:01,760 --> 00:18:04,240
Speaker 1: be taking on twenty fifth rank at Arkansas in this game.

406
00:18:04,320 --> 00:18:07,320
Speaker 1: The over unders fifty eight. So take me through this

407
00:18:07,359 --> 00:18:09,840
Speaker 1: because I know that you know, Alabama is still ranked

408
00:18:09,920 --> 00:18:12,400
Speaker 1: number two. They're not quite as dominant of an Alabama

409
00:18:12,440 --> 00:18:14,440
Speaker 1: team as we're used to in the last few years.

410
00:18:14,440 --> 00:18:16,080
Speaker 1: It feels like a little bit of a transition year,

411
00:18:16,160 --> 00:18:18,680
Speaker 1: some greener kids who are going to get their experience.

412
00:18:18,720 --> 00:18:20,240
Speaker 1: And you know, they did have a tough loss a

413
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Speaker 1: couple of weeks ago, but numbers twenty one here, is

414
00:18:23,600 --> 00:18:25,919
Speaker 1: there any chance that Arkansas can fight and cover this

415
00:18:26,040 --> 00:18:28,520
Speaker 1: twenty one? We all expect Alabama to win. But I

416
00:18:28,560 --> 00:18:31,200
Speaker 1: guess the question is three touchdowns is a lot?

417
00:18:31,640 --> 00:18:35,040
Speaker 3: Yeah, That's really the thing here for me is Bama.

418
00:18:35,680 --> 00:18:38,040
Speaker 3: They haven't been that unstoppable team that they have been

419
00:18:38,240 --> 00:18:40,560
Speaker 3: in the last couple of years. There's six and four

420
00:18:40,600 --> 00:18:42,960
Speaker 3: against the spread, and outside of the loss of Texas

421
00:18:43,000 --> 00:18:46,120
Speaker 3: A and M, they've also played close games against Florida

422
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Speaker 3: and LSU, who are not fantastic this year, specifically Florida,

423
00:18:49,840 --> 00:18:52,280
Speaker 3: although that was earlier in the year, and.

424
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Speaker 2: My thing.

425
00:18:54,320 --> 00:18:57,240
Speaker 3: You know, Arkansas is not the little brother in the

426
00:18:57,400 --> 00:19:00,680
Speaker 3: SEC anymore. There's six ranked in the country rushing and

427
00:19:00,800 --> 00:19:03,639
Speaker 3: have a strong defense, so they can play some games

428
00:19:03,720 --> 00:19:06,480
Speaker 3: tight here, but they seem to play up or down

429
00:19:06,840 --> 00:19:07,439
Speaker 3: two teams.

430
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Speaker 2: I mean against Ole Miss.

431
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Speaker 3: They lost that game well, with fifty two to fifty one,

432
00:19:12,080 --> 00:19:13,280
Speaker 3: so over one hundred points.

433
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Speaker 2: Scored in that game.

434
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Speaker 3: But my favorite part about writing these little synopsis is

435
00:19:18,560 --> 00:19:21,240
Speaker 3: up was I said, I've written this sentence three times

436
00:19:21,280 --> 00:19:23,200
Speaker 3: because I keep flip flopping on who to pick.

437
00:19:23,680 --> 00:19:23,880
Speaker 2: Gun.

438
00:19:23,920 --> 00:19:26,399
Speaker 3: In my head, I'm gonna take Bama, you know, and

439
00:19:26,480 --> 00:19:28,879
Speaker 3: lay the points here, but I don't like it. So

440
00:19:28,960 --> 00:19:31,680
Speaker 3: there's just no way I'm gonna lay my hard earned

441
00:19:31,760 --> 00:19:34,080
Speaker 3: dollars on this game. I'm content to just sit and

442
00:19:34,119 --> 00:19:34,840
Speaker 3: see how this was.

443
00:19:34,880 --> 00:19:36,920
Speaker 1: Well, the one about the fifty eight Bogs. But then

444
00:19:37,000 --> 00:19:38,879
Speaker 1: what would you take the over then on the fifty eight.

445
00:19:39,080 --> 00:19:40,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, I would take the over on the fifty eight

446
00:19:41,000 --> 00:19:41,399
Speaker 2: for sure.

447
00:19:41,520 --> 00:19:43,280
Speaker 1: So that to me seems like a better play than

448
00:19:43,280 --> 00:19:43,880
Speaker 1: the twenty one.

449
00:19:44,160 --> 00:19:44,520
Speaker 2: It is.

450
00:19:44,600 --> 00:19:47,159
Speaker 3: It definitely is better on the twenty one. But I mean,

451
00:19:47,200 --> 00:19:49,000
Speaker 3: if you're gonna take the twenty one, you might as well,

452
00:19:49,040 --> 00:19:52,480
Speaker 3: take the fifty eight, right, because you're if Bama's winning

453
00:19:52,480 --> 00:19:56,000
Speaker 3: by twenty one, you're already almost there. So right, unless

454
00:19:56,040 --> 00:19:58,600
Speaker 3: it's twenty one zip, which I can't imagine it it is.

455
00:19:58,720 --> 00:20:01,359
Speaker 1: Or even you know what I mean. But also the

456
00:20:01,400 --> 00:20:03,359
Speaker 1: same could be said. If you think it's gonna be competitive,

457
00:20:03,400 --> 00:20:05,760
Speaker 1: maybe if the Arkansaw is in it, it's probably not

458
00:20:05,760 --> 00:20:08,280
Speaker 1: gonna be like a defensive struggle necessary kind of game.

459
00:20:08,800 --> 00:20:10,919
Speaker 2: You know, it could be like if we've got.

460
00:20:10,760 --> 00:20:12,760
Speaker 1: To score with Alabama, I guess, is what I'm saying.

461
00:20:12,760 --> 00:20:14,800
Speaker 1: Like I don't I don't know if you know as

462
00:20:14,880 --> 00:20:17,640
Speaker 1: much as you want to talk about Arkansas defensively being

463
00:20:17,760 --> 00:20:19,960
Speaker 1: a good team, that they can.

464
00:20:19,840 --> 00:20:23,200
Speaker 3: Control the pace, but like even in Alabama's loss, they

465
00:20:23,200 --> 00:20:27,040
Speaker 3: control pace right exactly now, I understand what you're saying.

466
00:20:27,080 --> 00:20:28,600
Speaker 2: So, yeah, I think the over is the better.

467
00:20:28,680 --> 00:20:30,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, the fifty eight teams like the best of all

468
00:20:30,320 --> 00:20:33,280
Speaker 1: the leans there. What about Nebraska at eighteenth ranked Wisconsin.

469
00:20:33,320 --> 00:20:35,560
Speaker 1: Wisconsin is eight and a half point favorites in this one.

470
00:20:35,560 --> 00:20:37,320
Speaker 1: The over under is just forty two.

471
00:20:38,040 --> 00:20:41,520
Speaker 3: I mean, Nebraska has played up to pretty much everyone

472
00:20:41,680 --> 00:20:44,960
Speaker 3: after that embarrassing loss to Illinois to start the season,

473
00:20:45,000 --> 00:20:46,960
Speaker 3: but the schedule has been brutal. They have losses to

474
00:20:47,040 --> 00:20:50,920
Speaker 3: Oklahoma and Minnesota by seven, Michigan State Michigan by three,

475
00:20:51,040 --> 00:20:53,800
Speaker 3: Purdue by five, in Ohio State by nine. So not

476
00:20:53,880 --> 00:20:55,959
Speaker 3: getting vit by double digits by any of those teams

477
00:20:56,320 --> 00:21:00,879
Speaker 3: is fairly impressive for a three to seven Nebraska team,

478
00:21:01,080 --> 00:21:03,680
Speaker 3: but they're coming off of bye week. Wisconsin stumbled out

479
00:21:03,680 --> 00:21:06,000
Speaker 3: the gate with losses Penn State, Notre Dame in Michigan

480
00:21:06,040 --> 00:21:08,920
Speaker 3: in three of their first four games, but they've won

481
00:21:09,000 --> 00:21:11,400
Speaker 3: six straight behind some good defense in a great running game.

482
00:21:11,720 --> 00:21:13,720
Speaker 3: I just have no trust in their quarterback.

483
00:21:13,760 --> 00:21:14,359
Speaker 2: Graham Merts.

484
00:21:14,560 --> 00:21:19,680
Speaker 3: He is He is just brutal to watch play quarterback.

485
00:21:19,760 --> 00:21:22,320
Speaker 3: And it's so weird. You know, he came in, he

486
00:21:22,359 --> 00:21:24,639
Speaker 3: started his first game in Wisconsin, threw five touchdowns, and

487
00:21:24,640 --> 00:21:28,639
Speaker 3: everyone's like, WHOA, Maybe Wisconsin has something now because Wisconsin

488
00:21:28,760 --> 00:21:31,840
Speaker 3: is like they're like the Vikings have been for the

489
00:21:31,920 --> 00:21:34,800
Speaker 3: last twenty five years. They're a quarterback away from winning

490
00:21:34,800 --> 00:21:37,000
Speaker 3: a Natty, right. They have a great defense, they always

491
00:21:37,000 --> 00:21:39,120
Speaker 3: have a good running game, but the quarterback's been rough.

492
00:21:39,280 --> 00:21:42,560
Speaker 3: So Graham Marts ain't the guy to make it happen.

493
00:21:42,720 --> 00:21:46,240
Speaker 3: So I think, you know, I'm gonna take Nebraska and

494
00:21:46,280 --> 00:21:48,600
Speaker 3: lay the points, even though the three and seven and

495
00:21:48,720 --> 00:21:52,320
Speaker 3: Wisconsin on this six game win streak maybe to look foolish,

496
00:21:52,359 --> 00:21:54,000
Speaker 3: but they have an extra week arrest, they have two

497
00:21:54,000 --> 00:21:56,640
Speaker 3: weeks to prep for Wisconsin. I don't trust what they're

498
00:21:56,640 --> 00:21:59,440
Speaker 3: doing on offense in Wisconsin right now, so I'll take

499
00:21:59,480 --> 00:22:00,320
Speaker 3: the Huskers.

500
00:22:00,640 --> 00:22:02,400
Speaker 1: All right now. You gotta walk me through this last

501
00:22:02,440 --> 00:22:04,879
Speaker 1: one because this makes no sense to me. Third ranked

502
00:22:04,920 --> 00:22:09,040
Speaker 1: Oregon on the road at twenty fourth ranked Utah, Utah

503
00:22:09,119 --> 00:22:12,640
Speaker 1: favored by three the numbers fifty nine. You gotta walk

504
00:22:12,640 --> 00:22:14,080
Speaker 1: me through because I have no idea how to look

505
00:22:14,080 --> 00:22:14,760
Speaker 1: at this game here.

506
00:22:15,080 --> 00:22:17,720
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, I don't know if I'm gonna be

507
00:22:17,760 --> 00:22:20,120
Speaker 3: able to give you a much extra here, Joe.

508
00:22:20,040 --> 00:22:22,240
Speaker 1: Bobby, How does a third ranked team on the road

509
00:22:22,280 --> 00:22:23,199
Speaker 1: three point dogs?

510
00:22:23,640 --> 00:22:26,560
Speaker 3: Well, it's because Utah has been playing good. Utah is

511
00:22:26,600 --> 00:22:29,119
Speaker 3: getting majority of the money in this game, which, like

512
00:22:29,160 --> 00:22:31,520
Speaker 3: I said, is confusing me. But they've won three in

513
00:22:31,560 --> 00:22:33,640
Speaker 3: a row, but they also dropped three to Oregon State,

514
00:22:33,720 --> 00:22:35,159
Speaker 3: San Diego State, and BYU.

515
00:22:35,600 --> 00:22:37,080
Speaker 2: Oregon did have.

516
00:22:36,960 --> 00:22:40,440
Speaker 3: That embarrassing loss to Stanford earlier this year, but they've

517
00:22:40,440 --> 00:22:43,239
Speaker 3: also hung on to win every other game so if

518
00:22:43,240 --> 00:22:46,120
Speaker 3: it's a close game, they win it right unless it's

519
00:22:46,119 --> 00:22:49,960
Speaker 3: at Stanford overtime loss. So they had some close calls

520
00:22:50,000 --> 00:22:53,800
Speaker 3: against UCLA and Cal, but they've come through and they're

521
00:22:53,800 --> 00:22:55,680
Speaker 3: still in the CFP rankings number three.

522
00:22:55,960 --> 00:22:58,080
Speaker 2: Like you said, Utah played close.

523
00:22:57,840 --> 00:23:01,320
Speaker 3: Against Arizona last week, and they could be without their

524
00:23:01,320 --> 00:23:03,800
Speaker 3: top running back tav And Thomas, who missed last week too.

525
00:23:04,119 --> 00:23:06,639
Speaker 3: So I'm gonna take Oregon and put this one in

526
00:23:06,720 --> 00:23:10,800
Speaker 3: the Leans because they play games so close, so there's

527
00:23:10,840 --> 00:23:15,000
Speaker 3: no way I would pick Utah in this game. I

528
00:23:15,040 --> 00:23:17,800
Speaker 3: would not lay the points and take Utah even at home.

529
00:23:18,160 --> 00:23:22,120
Speaker 3: But Oregon does not inspire me because they play up

530
00:23:22,240 --> 00:23:24,200
Speaker 3: or down almost every single week.

531
00:23:24,359 --> 00:23:25,720
Speaker 2: I think that's what people are seeing.

532
00:23:25,920 --> 00:23:29,320
Speaker 3: It's almost like the Cincinnati stuff that I talked about before.

533
00:23:29,480 --> 00:23:32,200
Speaker 3: I think Cincinnati just flet straight up loses this week.

534
00:23:32,240 --> 00:23:34,440
Speaker 3: I think they've been playing too tight. SMU is too

535
00:23:34,440 --> 00:23:36,760
Speaker 3: good of a team to get caught in against, so

536
00:23:36,840 --> 00:23:38,879
Speaker 3: I think they lose. I think people are thinking that

537
00:23:39,040 --> 00:23:42,680
Speaker 3: same thing with Oregon. But Oregon is experienced in these

538
00:23:42,680 --> 00:23:46,000
Speaker 3: close games, and you know, I like the run game

539
00:23:46,040 --> 00:23:49,359
Speaker 3: that they have now with Diane Cardwell, so I'm gonna

540
00:23:49,359 --> 00:23:51,960
Speaker 3: take the Ducks here and you get points for the

541
00:23:52,040 --> 00:23:54,680
Speaker 3: number three team just because they're on the road. I'll

542
00:23:54,760 --> 00:23:57,840
Speaker 3: take it, but I don't love it because you know,

543
00:23:58,080 --> 00:24:02,920
Speaker 3: I mean, just something round doesn't inspire too much confidence.

544
00:24:02,960 --> 00:24:06,239
Speaker 3: Then something goes wrong in a game that tight and

545
00:24:06,280 --> 00:24:08,640
Speaker 3: they straight up lose it and maybe buy a touchdown.

546
00:24:08,720 --> 00:24:12,719
Speaker 3: So I'm content to sit and watch this game, but

547
00:24:12,840 --> 00:24:16,760
Speaker 3: I like the under fifty nine. I'll take the under

548
00:24:16,800 --> 00:24:19,120
Speaker 3: because both these teams go by the run.

549
00:24:19,600 --> 00:24:21,720
Speaker 1: Well, you all shouldn't be content just sitting and watching.

550
00:24:21,760 --> 00:24:23,960
Speaker 1: You should go and make some wagers and make sure

551
00:24:24,000 --> 00:24:26,160
Speaker 1: when you do use bettingpros dot com and of course

552
00:24:26,160 --> 00:24:28,399
Speaker 1: a Betting Pros app as well to make sure you

553
00:24:28,480 --> 00:24:31,400
Speaker 1: get in there and know exactly what's happening. Bogman's piece

554
00:24:31,440 --> 00:24:33,840
Speaker 1: will be out for you to read to get all

555
00:24:33,960 --> 00:24:35,760
Speaker 1: your updates on everything going on in the world of

556
00:24:35,800 --> 00:24:38,399
Speaker 1: college football this week and in these weeks ahead. We

557
00:24:38,520 --> 00:24:41,399
Speaker 1: got the conference championship games ahead of us. In the

558
00:24:41,400 --> 00:24:43,920
Speaker 1: next few weeks, we got bowl season coming up. We're

559
00:24:43,920 --> 00:24:46,040
Speaker 1: gonna have a lot of fun here on the Betting

560
00:24:46,080 --> 00:24:47,960
Speaker 1: Pro Show when it comes to college football. Make sure

561
00:24:48,000 --> 00:24:50,679
Speaker 1: you follow him on the Twitter machine at Bogman sports

562
00:24:50,720 --> 00:24:53,120
Speaker 1: as well. He needs more Twitter followers. That's what I think.

563
00:24:53,119 --> 00:24:55,520
Speaker 1: That's right, he says. No. I say yes, so I

564
00:24:55,640 --> 00:24:57,919
Speaker 1: win because I have a microphone and you have to

565
00:24:57,960 --> 00:25:00,639
Speaker 1: listen to every word. I say, that's all right, But

566
00:25:01,040 --> 00:25:03,960
Speaker 1: bogin great stuff as always. I want this Notre Dame

567
00:25:04,000 --> 00:25:06,879
Speaker 1: streak to stay alive again for a second week in

568
00:25:06,920 --> 00:25:10,160
Speaker 1: a row. Baby, it feels good. Let's do it. So

569
00:25:10,320 --> 00:25:13,240
Speaker 1: everybody enjoy your college football this week, and of course

570
00:25:13,280 --> 00:25:15,040
Speaker 1: we'll be back again next week to do it all again.

571
00:25:15,119 --> 00:25:16,840
Speaker 1: That'll do it for us, But the story of the

572
00:25:16,880 --> 00:25:19,680
Speaker 1: game goes on for Scott Bogman. I'm Joey P. We'll

573
00:25:19,720 --> 00:25:33,960
Speaker 1: see you next time. Kids,