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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast from the Action Network. Guy,

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Speaker 1: I'm Chad Millman in it is a special, special day

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Speaker 1: because we are so close to the NFL season starting,

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Speaker 1: because everyone is in training camp, because people are being

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Speaker 1: carted off the field, because players are holding out, because

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Speaker 1: lineups are changing as we speak, Odds are changing as

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Speaker 1: we speak. Season wind totals are changing as we speak,

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Speaker 1: which means the only reason this podcast exists so I

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Speaker 1: can get Bob Scucci on the phone. And after a

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Speaker 1: hundred twenty days, Bob Scoocie, we have a new producer

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Speaker 1: who might not know that we have playing music for Scoot,

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Speaker 1: so uh I will. We're just gonna leave that here

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Speaker 1: and he can throw it in at the end. Scooch,

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Speaker 1: Bookmaker to the world. Remember that your bookmaker to the

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Speaker 1: world from New Orleans and all the board giving books

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Speaker 1: all over the country. It's been so long, I almost forgot.

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Speaker 1: It's good to be back, though. I forgot you had

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Speaker 1: playing music too. I forgot actually how to even introduce you.

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Speaker 1: It's been that long. Uh Well, part of the problem,

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Speaker 1: Scooch is, um you have a huge new job within

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Speaker 1: the Boyd Gaming Corporation. You're incredibly busy. In fact, I'm

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Speaker 1: giving a gift to all podcast listeners right now because

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Speaker 1: this is going to be the tightest most up to

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Speaker 1: speed podcast they could possibly have about wind totals and

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Speaker 1: futures because you got a hard stop in less than

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Speaker 1: twenty minutes. Yeah, part of the new job comes with

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Speaker 1: a territory. I don't want to waste a minute with

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Speaker 1: jibber jabber scooch right now this very second. Tell me

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Speaker 1: the top five liabilities for future odds at the Boyd

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Speaker 1: Gamings properties. Top five starting with the Raiders. Uh. There

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Speaker 1: we get crushed on the Raiders. They're down the thirty

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Speaker 1: to one and probably they should be a lot higher,

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Speaker 1: but we're just moving off of the liability on that.

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Speaker 1: And we've seen that the last few years since they

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Speaker 1: made the announcement that they're going to be coming to Vegas.

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Speaker 1: So there's a lot of kind of local support for them. Uh,

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Speaker 1: just a lot of Raider fans, guys coming from California.

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Speaker 1: That's number one. Uh. Number two is probably not a

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Speaker 1: surprise to anybody, the Cardinals that we opened at two

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Speaker 1: to one. We're down to eighty to one on the Cardinals.

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Speaker 1: But you know, a lot of a lot of hype

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Speaker 1: surrounding Murray and uh new coaching staff and you know,

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Speaker 1: a new offense. So not a big surprise there as well. Uh.

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Speaker 1: Oddly the Broncos are number three for US. Um we

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Speaker 1: opened them up at hundred to one or down to

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Speaker 1: fifty to one. Uh. We do get a lot of

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Speaker 1: public support for the Broncos here here in Vegas, so uh,

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Speaker 1: not a big surprise, but just a little surprise. The

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Speaker 1: next one is actually the Browns, which we have undervalue

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Speaker 1: to my opinion at eight to one. You know they

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Speaker 1: should be they should be a lot higher. But again

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Speaker 1: we're just the money is moving it down and then

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Speaker 1: we'll probably adjust that back up. And was that one more?

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Speaker 1: We have one more? My We're actually pretty good on

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Speaker 1: the on the restaurant, so those are our top um.

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Speaker 1: I would probably say it's kind of a toss up.

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Speaker 1: I'll throw the Lions in there only because uh that's

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Speaker 1: one of our liabilities. But I mean I didn't even

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Speaker 1: move to move the odds on them, So those are

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Speaker 1: our top Here's what's interesting to me about all that.

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Speaker 1: Raiders make sense, local market, Broncos a little strange, Cardinals

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Speaker 1: and Browns. What the funk are people thinking? Honest to god? Yeah, yeah,

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Speaker 1: I get it. And we see the same thing in

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Speaker 1: the season the season win totals with with with both

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Speaker 1: teams as well, and I think just all the height

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Speaker 1: uh surrounding Kyler, Murray and Kingsbury and it's gonna just

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Speaker 1: revolutionize the offense. And uh, you know, we only have

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Speaker 1: them at five wins season wins, and but people just

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Speaker 1: have these high aspirations, uh for for a guy that

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Speaker 1: hasn't you know, played a regular season down in the NFL. Uh.

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Speaker 1: So it's a lot of public hepe the Browns I

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Speaker 1: get because they kind of overperformed last year and coming

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Speaker 1: off of two years ago when they were horrendous and

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Speaker 1: just the big transition and of the team. Uh, people

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Speaker 1: are rooting for the Browns. So you know, part of

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Speaker 1: it is that they actually think that they're gonna do

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Speaker 1: pretty well. But I think part of it is just

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Speaker 1: they're kind of feelings that they want the Browns to succeed.

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Speaker 1: They want to see the Browns in the playoffs, they

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Speaker 1: want to see the Browns win. So for that one,

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Speaker 1: I understand. Also, yeah, what do you have the Browns

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Speaker 1: at nine nine and a half? Yeah, nine and a

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Speaker 1: half nine and a half. Are you kidding me? Yeah?

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Speaker 1: And so the sharp guys obviously are betting it under

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Speaker 1: what we have the under a minus of dollar and

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Speaker 1: but just the overwhelming public support to to win tain

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Speaker 1: games in that division. It's, uh, you know, it's fun

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Speaker 1: to watch. I feel like the biggest value might be

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Speaker 1: on the Steelers to win the division. Yeah. Absolutely. I

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Speaker 1: mean you're looking at the you know, the Bengals and

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Speaker 1: the and the Ravens, and nobody is expecting anything from them. So, uh,

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Speaker 1: I agree with you there. I think I think that's

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Speaker 1: a pretty good bet. What do you have the Steelers

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Speaker 1: to win the division at right now? Uh? There minus

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Speaker 1: dollar twenty. The Steelers to win the division are minus

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Speaker 1: a dollar twenty. So what are the Browns like minus

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Speaker 1: two twenty? Uh they are minus The Browns are minus one,

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Speaker 1: eighty Ravens are probably minus one. Fifty Steelers are minus

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Speaker 1: one that all the Ravens are plus plus Yeah, okay,

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Speaker 1: um yeah, give me the Steelers. Give me the Steelers

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Speaker 1: all day in that scenario. Sure, what do you have

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Speaker 1: the Steelers season win total at? I think we have

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Speaker 1: them at the nine and a half. Also, uh, where

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Speaker 1: are they are we have them at nine? We opened,

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Speaker 1: We opened, We opened nine over dollar fifty. They got

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Speaker 1: bet down a little bit, but the public is kind

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Speaker 1: of supporting them over nine wins. Interesting. Yeah, this nine

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Speaker 1: right now, but but the public's on the oder and

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Speaker 1: the Sharp guys were on the under at nine and

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Speaker 1: a half early. It's so interesting how these things developed,

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Speaker 1: right because there has been NonStop talk about Kyler Murray.

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Speaker 1: And I do think that Kyler Murray is a direct

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Speaker 1: result of Baker Mayfield and the success he had last

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Speaker 1: year running the offense being a little bit of a

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Speaker 1: gun slinger, being able to move in the pocket, uh,

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Speaker 1: coming in as a rookie. Offenses designed sort of in

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Speaker 1: a more sophisticated way at the collegiate level, and Kyler Murray,

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Speaker 1: in a lot of ways, not personality, but potentially in style,

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Speaker 1: represents what could be based on what Baker Mayfield was.

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Speaker 1: And I think there's just way too much hype. Like

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Speaker 1: I believe in Kyler Murray is a fantasy guy. You

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Speaker 1: listen to all the Action Network Fantasy podcast and they're amazing.

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Speaker 1: Go download them. Action Network podcasts um Chris RayBan, Shaun Corner,

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Speaker 1: and Matthew Freedman like our three guys who do it,

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Speaker 1: love love love Kyler Murray. I do not think Kyler

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Speaker 1: Murly Kyler Murray list the Cardinals team into six wins

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Speaker 1: this year. Yeah, I agree with with the whole assessment

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Speaker 1: in that he's probably much more ready than most quarterbacks

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Speaker 1: coming into the NFL, working with a with a coach

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Speaker 1: like Kingsbury was a quarterbacks coach and and probably has

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Speaker 1: a leg up. And then you hear guys like Larry

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Speaker 1: Fitzgerald saying that he's probably the most ready of any

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Speaker 1: quarterback I've seen ever enter the league. So that kind

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Speaker 1: of adds to the hype. But the reality is for

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Speaker 1: a rookie quarterback to come into this league and there's

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Speaker 1: still you know, the size. I mean, he's only five

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Speaker 1: ten and no matter how good he is, and he

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Speaker 1: can kind of make the comparisons to Russell Wilson. Uh,

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Speaker 1: you know, that's a tall stretch. That's a big stretch

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Speaker 1: to to ask for a guy to come in and

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Speaker 1: make that big of a difference in terms of a

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Speaker 1: few extra winds on the season to total. So the

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Speaker 1: other one I'm not getting. So the Browns and Cardinals

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Speaker 1: just feel often me and people are being silly. The

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Speaker 1: Broncos is a weird one to me. To me, that

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Speaker 1: feels like a wise guy play. And let me tell

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Speaker 1: you why. I think they are betting on the Broncos defense,

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Speaker 1: and I think their way overestimating the Broncos defense at

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Speaker 1: a time when they have no quarterback. Do not, do not,

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Speaker 1: do not tell me that they've solved their quarterback situation.

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Speaker 1: So am I wrong? I don't think you're wrong on that. No,

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Speaker 1: I think you're kind of right on the money. You

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Speaker 1: know why? Why is that? I think like a wise guy?

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Speaker 1: I forgot? So you've been so long, you know I

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Speaker 1: forgot just because you know, or a wise guy you are?

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Speaker 1: You walked right into that. I did. Yeah, I did.

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Speaker 1: If I'm investing my money, which I already have in

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Speaker 1: a couple of different places. I bought the Indianapolis Colts

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Speaker 1: at eighteen to one. Where do you have the cults

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Speaker 1: right now to win the whole thing? Yeah? We have

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Speaker 1: met twelve to one. See, I got a little bit

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Speaker 1: of a discount on that. I did a good job.

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Speaker 1: Did early? Have you gotten wise guy money in the Colts? Uh?

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Speaker 1: Not really? No, I think kind of the words out

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Speaker 1: a little bit on on them. To in terms of

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Speaker 1: like the public, uh with with Luck being injured the

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Speaker 1: last few years and realizing that he's still one of

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Speaker 1: the best quarterbacks in the league. Um, they're not getting

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Speaker 1: a huge public support there, but they're getting some public support.

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Speaker 1: And I think we kind of beat him to the

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Speaker 1: punch with with kind of low odds on that. We

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Speaker 1: have the regular season win total at nine and a half,

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Speaker 1: which is really high. But but I think in that

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Speaker 1: division where I think you're going to see the other

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Speaker 1: teams kind of progressing a little bit. I think a

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Speaker 1: Colts have been on the improved last couple of years, so, um,

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Speaker 1: to expect ten wins out of that out of them

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Speaker 1: is not a stretch. The other team that I was

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Speaker 1: high on to win their conference, the Dallas Cowboys, attend

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Speaker 1: to one. Obviously, this was before Ezekiel Elliott decided to

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Speaker 1: hold out and go on vacation in Mexico, before Jerry

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Speaker 1: Jones decided to say you don't even need a running

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Speaker 1: back to winning the NFL. UM some nice negotiating postures

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Speaker 1: going on between Zeke and Jerry Jones. Do you adjust

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Speaker 1: the Cowboys odds at all for conference or Super Bowl

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Speaker 1: based on someone like Ezekiel Elliott. Is he a big

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Speaker 1: enough factor in how you're determining point spreads, future odds, etcetera?

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Speaker 1: A little bit, um not a great deal in terms

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Speaker 1: of the futures um. Certainly if we know that he's

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Speaker 1: going to miss the entire season, and that makes uh

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Speaker 1: much bigger difference than if we know he's out for

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Speaker 1: a couple of games as a holdout. Uh So, so

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Speaker 1: it depends. But certainly someone of his magnitude of changes

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Speaker 1: the offense changes the dynamics a little bit and definitely

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Speaker 1: makes the difference of probably about a half a game

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Speaker 1: to a game on the season win total. So, uh,

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Speaker 1: definitely adjustments we've we've actually seen. You know, we opened

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Speaker 1: the Cowboys regular season win total at eight and a

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Speaker 1: half and we had more individual bets on the over

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Speaker 1: the Cowboys than any other team on the board for us,

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Speaker 1: and uh, most of that is just kind of public action.

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Speaker 1: We know the kind of support the Cowboys have across

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Speaker 1: the country, so it's not a huge surprise that we

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Speaker 1: would get so many bets. Some of them were pretty

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Speaker 1: nice sized bets, and we actually moved the season win

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Speaker 1: total up from eight and a half to nine. And

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Speaker 1: we're actually at nine over a quarter and haven't seen

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Speaker 1: any any TakeBack from the sharp guys on the under yet.

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Speaker 1: But having said that, I think the numbers right. I mean,

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Speaker 1: they might win nine nine games and we lose a

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Speaker 1: little money, but uh, I think they're they're more likely

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Speaker 1: to be an eight and eight team. Give me right now,

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Speaker 1: you've given me top five liabilities for board gaming, give

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Speaker 1: me the top five wise Guy future odds plays future odds.

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Speaker 1: That's a that's a tough one. I mean they're they're

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Speaker 1: kind of all over all. Right, hold on, hold on,

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Speaker 1: hold on. Would it be easier to give me top

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Speaker 1: five wise Guy season win total plays? Yeah, so give

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Speaker 1: me that. Yeah. So let's see. One of them would

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Speaker 1: be the the Dolphins over four and a half. Probably

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Speaker 1: not going to be uh kind of popular plays, but

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Speaker 1: that's how they roll. Wise guys don't do popular. I'll

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Speaker 1: tell you one is the Chargers over nine and a half. Um,

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Speaker 1: we really got a couple of big bets on the

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Speaker 1: Chargers over nine and a half on that a lot

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Speaker 1: of support and those are those were sharp plays. Um,

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Speaker 1: I like it. We have the Bills under under six

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Speaker 1: and a half and plus money on that one. That's

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Speaker 1: a probably our next biggest one. And actually the Bears

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Speaker 1: under nine and a half is another sharp play. Love

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Speaker 1: love love that. I love the Bears under it. Here's

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Speaker 1: the problem, Scooch, As a long time passionate public Bears fan,

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Speaker 1: I don't like the hype. Not a fan of how

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Speaker 1: much the Bears future total future aids have dropped, not

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Speaker 1: a fan of the Mitch Drubisky is the right value

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Speaker 1: for season m v P hype. This team has a

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Speaker 1: great defense, there's no doubt about it, but all of

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Speaker 1: a sudden they are playing in a much different position.

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Speaker 1: They are the hunted, right, And I thought that last

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Speaker 1: year Matt Nagy made a lot of mistakes in the

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Speaker 1: way he managed the game, and it did not come

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Speaker 1: down to them missing a forty three year o field goal,

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Speaker 1: and that's why they lost the season. That should have

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Speaker 1: been a twenty year field goal if he had managed

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Speaker 1: the game properly and put the ball in the right

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Speaker 1: places and called the right players. So that's true. Agree

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Speaker 1: with that. I worry about them there. Yeah, and that division,

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Speaker 1: I mean we expect the We expect the Packers too,

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Speaker 1: and and the Vikings both to be, if not the

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Speaker 1: same as last year, better than last year. So U tough,

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Speaker 1: tough division to get ten wins. UM. I also, look,

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Speaker 1: the Dolphins thing is just stupid, like they're a team

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Speaker 1: in disarray. They'll be lucky to get three wins. UM.

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Speaker 1: The Bills is interesting. I like that, uh playing against

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Speaker 1: the public. They're way too many people going in on

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Speaker 1: Josh Allen as sort of the Tim Tebow Uh and

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Speaker 1: timt about regressed quite a bit in the second year

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Speaker 1: when defense is figured out what to do with them.

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Speaker 1: The Chargers over nine and a half, you're basically saying

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Speaker 1: you like the Los Angeles Chargers to win the a

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Speaker 1: f C West exactly. And there's a lot of those

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Speaker 1: same people that feel like the Chiefs are going to

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Speaker 1: be taking a little bit of a step back. I mean,

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Speaker 1: they're still obviously going to make the playoffs, but they're

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Speaker 1: just relying to school pull too much on on Tyreek Hill,

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Speaker 1: and you know, we don't know what's gonna happen there. Um.

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Speaker 1: You know, I do think that it's gonna be a

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Speaker 1: tight race between the two of them. But the Chargers

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Speaker 1: are you know, they're they're healthy this year, they've been

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Speaker 1: fighting injuries and and if they stay healthy, Uh, I

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Speaker 1: think they could win that division. Scooch, I know you

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Speaker 1: gotta bounce. I feel like this was the most efficient, thoughtful,

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Speaker 1: twenty minutes walk your Dog podcast that anybody could possibly

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Speaker 1: get to figure out who the wise guys like and

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Speaker 1: where your liabilities are so what they can avoid. You're

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Speaker 1: gonna be coming back all season, Budy. We've already confirmed,

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Speaker 1: but you can't. No no takebacks. I got you. I

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Speaker 1: had to ease my way in with a little, short,

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Speaker 1: efficient podcast. I like it all right, brother, I'll talk

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Speaker 1: to you later. Hey, thanks a lot. Chat. Thanks man.

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Speaker 1: There you having, folks. Bob Scucci back on the Scooch Pod,

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Speaker 1: back on his own podcast, and we have missed him

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Speaker 1: desperately bringing so much good football information. He'll be back

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Speaker 1: every single week as we get into the NFL season.

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Speaker 1: This has been the favorites from the Action Network. Downloaded

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Speaker 1: Apple podcast rate review, subscribe, get it at radio dot com,

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Speaker 1: slash the Action Network, where anywhere else you download your podcasts.

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Speaker 1: Until next time, I love you,