WEBVTT - Citigroup CEO Jane Fraser Talks M & A

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, Radio News.

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<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg News Global finance correspondent Stionali basic sitting down right

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<v Speaker 2>now with City CEO Jane Fraser for an exclusive interview

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<v Speaker 2>from City headquarters in New York City.

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<v Speaker 3>Shanali, Thank you so much. Tim.

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<v Speaker 4>Yes, I'm standing by now with CEO of City Group,

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<v Speaker 4>Jane Fraser, and we are just one week out from

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<v Speaker 4>Donald Trump's presidential victory. As the CEO of one of

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<v Speaker 4>the country's largest banks, what's the most significant change you're

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<v Speaker 4>expecting with the Trump administration.

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<v Speaker 5>Well, first of all, Sanali, thank you so much for

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<v Speaker 5>joining us here at Cities headquarters in New York.

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<v Speaker 1>It is lovely to see you again. Thank you.

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<v Speaker 5>So I view this not just from the perspective of

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<v Speaker 5>our own operations, but from that broader perspective from our

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<v Speaker 5>clients around the world.

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<v Speaker 1>And I think they'd say fourties.

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<v Speaker 5>The first one is the tempering of regular second would

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<v Speaker 5>be taxes, third would be tariffs, and the final one

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<v Speaker 5>would be tightening immigration. And as we look across the board,

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<v Speaker 5>I would put that in the perspective of a largely

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<v Speaker 5>pro growth agenda.

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<v Speaker 4>Well, you're also the most global bank in the country.

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<v Speaker 4>How are you preparing for the world of global finance

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<v Speaker 4>to potentially be shaken up by some of these policies.

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<v Speaker 4>The tariff policy in particular, it's something that Trump has

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<v Speaker 4>made clear it's a key policy that he'll be implement

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<v Speaker 4>in So when.

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<v Speaker 5>We look at trade, you're right that there's going to

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<v Speaker 5>be changes, but it's not Trade is not going away.

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<v Speaker 1>So as we look.

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<v Speaker 5>At this around the world, I think we've already seen

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<v Speaker 5>major changes in the global lanes in the last three years,

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<v Speaker 5>driven by geopolitics and technology transformation. If you speak food, energy, technology, security,

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<v Speaker 5>cyber finance, green all of these different lanes are changing

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<v Speaker 5>around the world. This just puts one more into the mix.

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<v Speaker 5>So it will take a bit of time from trade

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<v Speaker 5>and the tariffs to see what goes from the rhetoric

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<v Speaker 5>to the actual agreements and the policies, and then into execution.

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<v Speaker 1>We'll have some time to work out what that mix is.

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<v Speaker 4>Another major reason I bring up trade first is because

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<v Speaker 4>a lot of prominent economists have brought up the idea

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<v Speaker 4>of inflation that could be brought on on the heels

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<v Speaker 4>of tariffs. How concerned are you about inflation? You are

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<v Speaker 4>kind of very early here to catch it.

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<v Speaker 3>In the first place.

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<v Speaker 5>Certainly there are elements of this that could be inflationary.

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<v Speaker 5>At the same time, we've also seen, particularly here in

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<v Speaker 5>the States, an ability to have productivity improvements and driving

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<v Speaker 5>changes through. So I would say we've got to wait

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<v Speaker 5>and see people decide policy and determine policy. Let's see

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<v Speaker 5>what the policies are, and then we can work out

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<v Speaker 5>what's the what's the response to it.

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<v Speaker 4>Well, the other interesting thing here is that the interest

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<v Speaker 4>rate expectation has changed really meaningfully, and that's given concerns

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<v Speaker 4>around fiscal deficits. How concerned are you about the deficit

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<v Speaker 4>in particular heading into next year and even beyond that.

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<v Speaker 5>It's certainly a consideration for me for the medium and

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<v Speaker 5>longer term. There's both a numerator and a denominator to

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<v Speaker 5>this equation. The numerator is growth and the denominator is

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<v Speaker 5>obviously the fiscal disciplines. And I think one of the

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<v Speaker 5>benefits here in the States compared to many geographies is

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<v Speaker 5>that we've got the growth part of the numerator, which

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<v Speaker 5>is helpful. This is clearly going to come into play

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<v Speaker 5>on the denominator, and we're going to need to see

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<v Speaker 5>the fiscal discipline. I don't think it's going to be

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<v Speaker 5>such an equation globally for the next couple of years,

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<v Speaker 5>because I think a lot of roads lead to the.

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<v Speaker 1>US in terms of investments.

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<v Speaker 4>In the meantime, it's interesting the bond market reaction you

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<v Speaker 4>saw last week alone, and as of this morning you

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<v Speaker 4>were flirting again with four point four percent on the

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<v Speaker 4>ten year the seeover bank, how much do you worry

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<v Speaker 4>about their long and the curve tailing off?

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<v Speaker 3>And is it a good thing in some degree for you?

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<v Speaker 5>What I think we're seeing in terms of the long

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<v Speaker 5>end is something everyone is going to be keeping a very.

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<v Speaker 1>Close eye on.

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<v Speaker 5>But I take the step back and look at what

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<v Speaker 5>actually is happening at the moment. We are seeing the

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<v Speaker 5>big unlock we've been waiting to see on the M

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<v Speaker 5>and A side. When is it the clients can be

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<v Speaker 5>more active in the one to three billion dollar acquisition

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<v Speaker 5>range the sponsors have been waiting to see and unlocking

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<v Speaker 5>for them to participate more. We're seeing that right now beginning.

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<v Speaker 5>Same for the IPO market growth of lev finn So

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<v Speaker 5>I think most of the attention is actually going to

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<v Speaker 5>pivot to the primary issuance and the activity that's driving

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<v Speaker 5>behind it, and that will be the story for the

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<v Speaker 5>next while.

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<v Speaker 4>I'm glad you brought that up. I will take you there.

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<v Speaker 4>It seems like you want to go to murder as

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<v Speaker 4>an acquisition. City Group, of course, is the advisor on

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<v Speaker 4>the largest deal of the year so far, the thirty

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<v Speaker 4>five billion dollar Mars deal to buy Calenova. There's an

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<v Speaker 4>expectation by investors out there that you could see bigger

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<v Speaker 4>and bigger deals. When you talk to clients, how excited

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<v Speaker 4>are they to push the button? How willing are they

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<v Speaker 4>to push the button on deals that are even larger

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<v Speaker 4>than thirty five billion dollars.

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<v Speaker 5>I think there's been a there's a lot of pent

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<v Speaker 5>up demand. But at the same time, I see, particularly

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<v Speaker 5>in the States, which is the majority of the M

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<v Speaker 5>and A activity at the moment, and it's likely to

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<v Speaker 5>be that way. It is game on the clients are

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<v Speaker 5>on the front foot in the States that they're looking

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<v Speaker 5>at driving transformation of their businesses. It is a scale

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<v Speaker 5>game at the moment in industry after industry and technology

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<v Speaker 5>is changing so quickly. It's very exciting, but it means

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<v Speaker 5>that clients who are not necessarily in technology, somebody discover

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<v Speaker 5>they better be, and they're going to be buying expertise

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<v Speaker 5>in that area.

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<v Speaker 1>So it's going to be pretty active from.

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<v Speaker 5>The strategics as well as from the sponsor space, partly

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<v Speaker 5>pent up but also the new possibilities.

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<v Speaker 4>Do you think that means that this is a series

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<v Speaker 4>of smaller deals that will start to make the deal

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<v Speaker 4>market come back in mass or is that inclination for

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<v Speaker 4>mega deals still there? There's a little bit of a

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<v Speaker 4>question out there and still how much those deals will

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<v Speaker 4>get through.

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<v Speaker 3>Even in Trump anti trust authority.

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<v Speaker 5>Certainly there are questions, but I think it's an and

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<v Speaker 5>not in all. We had our technology conference last week.

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<v Speaker 5>We had over one hundred and ten or so CEOs

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<v Speaker 5>from around the world, all wanting to be very focused

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<v Speaker 5>on the States. We kind of bring the world to

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<v Speaker 5>Silicon Valley, and the dialogue was around all of the

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<v Speaker 5>above at the moment.

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<v Speaker 1>So the ambition is there.

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<v Speaker 5>As always with M and A, there's a difference between

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<v Speaker 5>announced and completed, and that's where I certainly our people

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<v Speaker 5>are ready to help.

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<v Speaker 3>You've got a new investment banking chief.

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<v Speaker 4>In part of the idea is to go after more

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<v Speaker 4>private equity client. There's also an expectation of private equity

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<v Speaker 4>deals to come back. But if interest rates remain higher,

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<v Speaker 4>how possible is that deal flow to come to the surface.

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<v Speaker 5>Obviously, lower rates is helpful, and we've got a long

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<v Speaker 5>way to go in bringing the rates down. I mean,

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<v Speaker 5>there is a lot of cushion there at the moment,

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<v Speaker 5>as everyone knows, so we would expect them to come

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<v Speaker 5>down from where they are. How high, how far down

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<v Speaker 5>they go to be determined. But certainly what we are

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<v Speaker 5>seeing is, you know, there's a lot of reason for

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<v Speaker 5>people to be participating.

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<v Speaker 1>You also have private asset market.

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<v Speaker 5>You know, we're very happy with our new relationship and

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<v Speaker 5>partnership effort with Apollo twenty five billion dollars of fire

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<v Speaker 5>power to provide into non investment grade clients to help

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<v Speaker 5>getting deals done. So those are important parts of the equation,

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<v Speaker 5>and there are innovations out there to help clients responsibly grow, expand,

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<v Speaker 5>and acquire.

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<v Speaker 4>I'm glad you brought up the Apollo deal. Wondering more

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<v Speaker 4>on how it's going. Have you done your first set

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<v Speaker 4>of deals yet, how far along are you and how

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<v Speaker 4>many more conversations are you having just like it?

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<v Speaker 5>Well in the States, is the overwhelming portion at the

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<v Speaker 5>moment is roughly seventy percent to the private asset market.

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<v Speaker 5>So you've certainly got garnered a lot of attention by

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<v Speaker 5>the scale of this because I think it provides for

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<v Speaker 5>our clients more alternatives when they come to us when

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<v Speaker 5>we're originating and working with them, so they have more

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<v Speaker 5>alternatives and they have a lot of deal certainty. We've

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<v Speaker 5>worked a lot with Apollo over the last couple of

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<v Speaker 5>years on similar types of efforts, so we know each

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<v Speaker 5>other well, they know our origination, and that deal certainty

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<v Speaker 5>is very helpful for any of our clients.

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<v Speaker 1>I would expect us to.

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<v Speaker 5>Continue looking at how we can expand and bring in

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<v Speaker 5>other partners.

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<v Speaker 3>You know, it's interesting.

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<v Speaker 4>I've asked you about interest rates as it pertains to

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<v Speaker 4>your clients, also interested in how it pertains to your

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<v Speaker 4>net interestingcome do you think because rates might not fall

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<v Speaker 4>as much as initially expected, there's room for more NII

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<v Speaker 4>expansion here through this year and next.

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<v Speaker 1>Year when you look at the larger banks and look

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<v Speaker 1>at us.

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<v Speaker 5>We've got the benefit of a diversified business model. So

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<v Speaker 5>you ideally are looking at something where you know something

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<v Speaker 5>changes in the macro geopolitical environment. You've gone the ability

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<v Speaker 5>to move things around and adapt accordingly. So if we

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<v Speaker 5>end up with lower for longer or a higher for

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<v Speaker 5>longer environment, then we'll be the NII would benefit equally.

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<v Speaker 5>We had double digit nil growth last quarter. We've had

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<v Speaker 5>a strong focus on fees. We have banking franchise, our

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<v Speaker 5>wealth franchise, our services franchise, all growing very nicely taking share,

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<v Speaker 5>and you know that provides us additional cushion there.

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<v Speaker 4>A lot of investors are also very excited about the

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<v Speaker 4>financial sector right now because of this anticipation of an.

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<v Speaker 3>New regulatory regime.

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<v Speaker 4>Do you think that the BUZL three proposals will actually

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<v Speaker 4>be rolled back even further than that revised nine percent

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<v Speaker 4>increase in capital that has.

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<v Speaker 3>Been put forward.

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<v Speaker 5>When I look at BUZZLE three, we've had very constructive

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<v Speaker 5>discussions as a sector with the FED in terms of

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<v Speaker 5>looking at what are the unintended consequences of BUZZLE three,

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<v Speaker 5>because we need access to credit for small businesses, for consumers,

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<v Speaker 5>for farmers, for smaller banks and institutions, and this trickles down.

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<v Speaker 5>So I think the main goal here is to make

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<v Speaker 5>sure that there are no unintended ill consequences to access

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<v Speaker 5>to credit, to the competitiveness of the American banking system

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<v Speaker 5>that is the best in the world, and I say

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<v Speaker 5>that proudly, and also to market structure and making sure

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<v Speaker 5>that balance gets right. So I'm sure those dialogues will

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<v Speaker 5>continue to be constructive. We have to see what the

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<v Speaker 5>next proposal is though, I'm sure be another comment period

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<v Speaker 5>and then we shall.

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<v Speaker 1>Wait and see.

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<v Speaker 4>Should you face a more relaxed regulatory environment here, what

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<v Speaker 4>does that free you up more to do?

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<v Speaker 5>We have said a vision for our bank, we put

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<v Speaker 5>a strategy behind it, and we have an execution plan

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<v Speaker 5>that we are just systematically going through each different step

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<v Speaker 5>along the way. So for us, what this means is

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<v Speaker 5>our strategy is working. You could see that in our

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<v Speaker 5>third quarter results. Revenues up in every business, positive operating leverage,

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<v Speaker 5>gaining share, growing fees. We still have more work to

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<v Speaker 5>do and focus on the day job and getting that

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<v Speaker 5>job done properly, getting through the transformation work we need

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<v Speaker 5>to modernizing sit and simplifying city and improving our returns.

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<v Speaker 4>When you think about your returns, investors are asking so

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<v Speaker 4>much about cost discipline. What's the toughest part for you

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<v Speaker 4>to cut costs in order to get to the targets

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<v Speaker 4>that you've set out for yourself.

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<v Speaker 5>We're making sure that we both get the bank to

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<v Speaker 5>be more efficient and get it to be more simple,

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<v Speaker 5>so that modernization and simplification agenda is very important.

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<v Speaker 1>That also means investing.

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<v Speaker 5>The transformation that we're doing is both addressing some of

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<v Speaker 5>the regulatory issues that were raised, but they're also in

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<v Speaker 5>the benefit of shareholders because ultimately they drive to a

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<v Speaker 5>more efficient, modern organization. We also need to be investing

0:12:41.080 --> 0:12:44.920
<v Speaker 5>in our businesses, so it's driving forward on critical investments

0:12:44.960 --> 0:12:49.800
<v Speaker 5>and platforms that will help support our competitive advantage. And

0:12:49.840 --> 0:12:55.360
<v Speaker 5>it's simplifying the bank. We've successfully reorganized the institution. We've

0:12:55.360 --> 0:12:59.880
<v Speaker 5>realized benefits from it. We've realized benefits from the cost

0:13:00.240 --> 0:13:02.120
<v Speaker 5>takeouts we've done from divesting.

0:13:02.760 --> 0:13:04.720
<v Speaker 1>For me, it's about getting it right.

0:13:05.160 --> 0:13:08.960
<v Speaker 5>I don't want to take short term fixes and shortcuts

0:13:09.200 --> 0:13:11.679
<v Speaker 5>at the expense of making sure that this bank has

0:13:11.760 --> 0:13:14.880
<v Speaker 5>run well properly in the benefit of all stakeholders.

0:13:15.120 --> 0:13:19.000
<v Speaker 4>What a more relaxed regulatory environment also potentially lead to

0:13:20.400 --> 0:13:21.199
<v Speaker 4>less expenses.

0:13:23.280 --> 0:13:27.800
<v Speaker 5>It ultimately our transformation will lead to less expenses. I

0:13:27.840 --> 0:13:31.280
<v Speaker 5>look at it not just from the banking perspective. I

0:13:31.320 --> 0:13:33.000
<v Speaker 5>look at it from all of our clients.

0:13:33.000 --> 0:13:33.880
<v Speaker 1>And I think that's.

0:13:33.720 --> 0:13:37.680
<v Speaker 5>Why we see this big unlock, because over a regulation

0:13:38.280 --> 0:13:41.679
<v Speaker 5>can result for a client in being slower, it can

0:13:42.200 --> 0:13:45.000
<v Speaker 5>adding costs where it doesn't need to, it can affect

0:13:45.080 --> 0:13:48.800
<v Speaker 5>competitive advantage, and I think it's how do you get

0:13:48.800 --> 0:13:53.679
<v Speaker 5>the pendulum in the right place. A tapering of regulation

0:13:53.840 --> 0:13:58.080
<v Speaker 5>will certainly help multiple industries make sure that we get

0:13:58.080 --> 0:13:59.720
<v Speaker 5>that balance into a good place.

0:14:00.080 --> 0:14:02.120
<v Speaker 4>When you're talking about balance as well, how do you

0:14:02.120 --> 0:14:04.680
<v Speaker 4>think about the ability to keep investing while you're keeping

0:14:04.679 --> 0:14:07.680
<v Speaker 4>an eye on expenses your investment bank in particular. We've

0:14:07.679 --> 0:14:09.840
<v Speaker 4>talked about it a lot. How do you think about

0:14:09.840 --> 0:14:12.560
<v Speaker 4>the trade off on bringing on new deal makers? You

0:14:12.679 --> 0:14:17.120
<v Speaker 4>have one very prize position still open potentially with the

0:14:17.200 --> 0:14:18.040
<v Speaker 4>new head of M and A.

0:14:18.559 --> 0:14:22.520
<v Speaker 5>Well, I think about bringing talent in and very carefully.

0:14:22.600 --> 0:14:25.280
<v Speaker 5>Because we've got some very strong talent in our own

0:14:25.360 --> 0:14:28.600
<v Speaker 5>organization whom we're very proud and they're doing a very

0:14:28.600 --> 0:14:31.360
<v Speaker 5>good job. We want to make sure it's not only

0:14:31.400 --> 0:14:34.520
<v Speaker 5>that they are strong players in of themselves, but that

0:14:34.560 --> 0:14:37.960
<v Speaker 5>they fit the culture the right way, that they understand

0:14:38.040 --> 0:14:42.239
<v Speaker 5>the power of the franchise. They're excited about the potential

0:14:42.280 --> 0:14:45.600
<v Speaker 5>that we have ahead and that they're going to play

0:14:46.000 --> 0:14:46.920
<v Speaker 5>on the team.

0:14:46.760 --> 0:14:48.280
<v Speaker 1>To try and drive that forward.

0:14:48.800 --> 0:14:51.200
<v Speaker 5>We haven't found it to be a problem to attract

0:14:51.240 --> 0:14:52.560
<v Speaker 5>great talent to City.

0:14:53.640 --> 0:14:57.240
<v Speaker 4>So very importantly here we're about a year since you

0:14:57.320 --> 0:15:02.640
<v Speaker 4>announced a very massive reorganization. Where do you stand now,

0:15:02.840 --> 0:15:05.680
<v Speaker 4>do you feel like you're almost done? And what does

0:15:05.720 --> 0:15:09.160
<v Speaker 4>City group the new City group? Well like under a

0:15:09.200 --> 0:15:11.240
<v Speaker 4>Jane phraser as you think about the path ahead after

0:15:11.280 --> 0:15:12.040
<v Speaker 4>this first phase.

0:15:12.640 --> 0:15:14.680
<v Speaker 5>So I always said this year is going to be

0:15:14.680 --> 0:15:19.160
<v Speaker 5>a pivotal year for our strategy, and again the third quarter,

0:15:19.400 --> 0:15:22.240
<v Speaker 5>and indeed the results through the year have shown that

0:15:22.320 --> 0:15:26.880
<v Speaker 5>the strategy is delivering. We did the reorganization, as you said,

0:15:27.080 --> 0:15:30.040
<v Speaker 5>announced it six months ago. We got it completed six

0:15:30.080 --> 0:15:36.800
<v Speaker 5>months later, which is pretty good time. We've managed to

0:15:36.840 --> 0:15:40.880
<v Speaker 5>get some layers taken out of the organization for in total,

0:15:40.920 --> 0:15:44.560
<v Speaker 5>which is a lot. We reorganized our different businesses so

0:15:44.600 --> 0:15:48.120
<v Speaker 5>that they were in the best position to compete looking

0:15:48.160 --> 0:15:51.560
<v Speaker 5>forward and the right configuration around it. We took out

0:15:51.600 --> 0:15:55.880
<v Speaker 5>a lot of complexity of different activities and bureaucracy that

0:15:55.960 --> 0:15:59.960
<v Speaker 5>weren't necessary. We've still been tweaking some things here and there.

0:16:00.360 --> 0:16:03.800
<v Speaker 5>You don't get it right first shot, I'm in one

0:16:03.880 --> 0:16:05.000
<v Speaker 5>hundred percent of the way.

0:16:05.320 --> 0:16:07.360
<v Speaker 1>I'm very happy where we got to.

0:16:08.160 --> 0:16:11.520
<v Speaker 5>Now, we're focused on driving the performance of the business,

0:16:11.920 --> 0:16:14.400
<v Speaker 5>and we're focused around making sure that we get our

0:16:14.400 --> 0:16:19.800
<v Speaker 5>transformation done properly, the right way and deliver the results

0:16:19.800 --> 0:16:23.000
<v Speaker 5>that we need to a lot of urgency around here,

0:16:23.400 --> 0:16:25.240
<v Speaker 5>a lot of focus and accountability.

0:16:25.800 --> 0:16:27.400
<v Speaker 3>Jane, We thank you so much for joining us.

0:16:27.400 --> 0:16:29.920
<v Speaker 4>That is Jane Fraser, of course, the CEO of City

0:16:29.960 --> 0:16:33.280
<v Speaker 4>Group down at City Groups New York headquarters, and of

0:16:33.280 --> 0:16:33.560
<v Speaker 4>course a.

0:16:33.520 --> 0:16:37.040
<v Speaker 2>Big thank you too. A Bloomberg News financial correspondent Ushanali

0:16:37.080 --> 0:16:40.120
<v Speaker 2>bask sitting down with City CEO Jane Fraser, just now

0:16:40.320 --> 0:16:41.840
<v Speaker 2>in Lower Manhattan