WEBVTT - BI Weekend: Rocket Deal, Restaurant Spending, Gen AI 

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. This is Bloomberg Intelligence

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<v Speaker 1>with Alex Steel and Paul Sweeney.

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<v Speaker 2>The real app performance has been in US corporate high yield.

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<v Speaker 3>Are the companies lean enough? Have they trimmed all the fats?

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<v Speaker 2>The semiconductor business is a really cyclical.

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<v Speaker 1>Business, breaking market headlines and corporate news from across the globe.

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<v Speaker 3>Do investors like the M and A that we've seen?

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<v Speaker 2>These are two big time blue chip companies.

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<v Speaker 3>Window between the peak and cunt changing super fast.

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Intelligence with Alex Steel and Paul Sweeney on Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 2>On Today's Boomberg Intelligence Show, we dig inside the big

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<v Speaker 2>business stories impacting Wall Street and the global markets.

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<v Speaker 3>Each and every week we provide in depth research and

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<v Speaker 3>data on some of the two thousand companies and one

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<v Speaker 3>hundred and thirty industries our analysts cover worldwide.

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<v Speaker 2>Today, we'll look at a big deal in the M

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<v Speaker 2>and A space that will create a mortgage behemoth.

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<v Speaker 3>Plus we're going to discuss the rising costs of food

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<v Speaker 3>and wow that's effecting the consumer.

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<v Speaker 2>But first we begin with research. Bloomberg Intelligence recently put

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<v Speaker 2>out on ten companies to watch for in the second

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<v Speaker 2>quarter of twenty twenty five and for more on this.

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<v Speaker 3>Liz Paul and I were joined by Tim Craig, head

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<v Speaker 3>Bloomberg Intelligence Global Chief Content Officer.

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<v Speaker 2>We first asked him to give us a broad scope

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<v Speaker 2>of the company he's looking at.

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<v Speaker 4>So just as a reminder, these are all based off

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<v Speaker 4>of focus ideas, which for us in Bloomberg Intelligence are

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<v Speaker 4>high conviction out of consensus views where we see catalysts

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<v Speaker 4>ahead that can actually change the market's mindset around these companies.

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<v Speaker 4>So you've talked about the weight on consumer sentiment and

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<v Speaker 4>things along those lines. Well, Dollar Rama, which is a

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<v Speaker 4>dollar store up in Canada has yeah, exactly, They're going

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<v Speaker 4>to face slower wage growth, higher inflation. We've not seen

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<v Speaker 4>estimate cuts yet for Dollar Rama, like we've seen a

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<v Speaker 4>dollar Tree and dollar stores and whatnot. We think that's coming.

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<v Speaker 4>Another one that is interesting if you want to throw

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<v Speaker 4>on as well the whole tariff concept is PDD. You

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<v Speaker 4>might not have heard of this, but this is one

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<v Speaker 4>of the big Chinese companies that trade tech companies that

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<v Speaker 4>trades in New York. They own Timu, which is that

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<v Speaker 4>ultra low priced e commerce platform in the States. There's

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<v Speaker 4>their bigger platform is one in China, they're going to

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<v Speaker 4>have constraints on what they can bring in at the

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<v Speaker 4>right price, and they're also investing pretty heavily outside the

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<v Speaker 4>US to grow their non US platform beyond China. So

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<v Speaker 4>again we think that there's estimate cuts there to come.

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<v Speaker 2>Hey, Tim, One of the more looking at this list,

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<v Speaker 2>one of the more controversial calls, I think is Tesla.

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<v Speaker 2>Steve Manner, the analyst for Bloomberg Intelligence covering the auto business,

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<v Speaker 2>he's pretty positive on Tesla here despite the stock price

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<v Speaker 2>in there. I guess the concern about Elon Muskin is focus.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, you know, you could throw this in with tariffs,

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<v Speaker 4>with policy, et cetera, and clearly it's taken a shellacking

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<v Speaker 4>from a stock price perspective. We see two things going

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<v Speaker 4>on here. Number One, there's been a lot of talk

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<v Speaker 4>about how their sales have been disappointing as of Leyden.

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<v Speaker 4>Is that because of politics, We think, frankly it's because

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<v Speaker 4>of the model transition with the new Model Y coming out,

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<v Speaker 4>orders even in China have been good, and we would

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<v Speaker 4>expect to see sales to pick up as we proceed

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<v Speaker 4>through the second quarter and on ind to midyear. You've

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<v Speaker 4>also got a really underappreciated battery storage business that is

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<v Speaker 4>also starting to ramp up. So we see two catalysts

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<v Speaker 4>here to play out that people aren't focused on because

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<v Speaker 4>of all the other noise.

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<v Speaker 3>And here's one for Paul here Cracker Barrel, Oh yeah,

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<v Speaker 3>is on your list again. I've never been.

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<v Speaker 2>Now, Tim, he lives in London.

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<v Speaker 4>You go to New.

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<v Speaker 3>York City, man like, I don't know what I'm going

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<v Speaker 3>to see.

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<v Speaker 2>Tim grew up in southwest Virginia. He knows.

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<v Speaker 3>I mean I'll eat it. If you buy it and

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<v Speaker 3>eat it, I mean give it to me, I'll eat it.

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<v Speaker 3>Let's put it that way, all right, talk to us about.

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<v Speaker 4>Really good I've crack. Cracker Barrel falls into the restructuring

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<v Speaker 4>reorganization bucket. And there's another one on the list as

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<v Speaker 4>well that actually may be good for you, Alex. I'll

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<v Speaker 4>come back to But cracker Barrel three years of estimate cuts.

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<v Speaker 4>There's next to no buys on this on this stock.

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<v Speaker 4>And from an underlying business perspective, they've made some wholesale revamps,

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<v Speaker 4>the menu, their approach to service. Uh, they're remodeling stores,

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<v Speaker 4>and we think that there's an inflection to come from

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<v Speaker 4>the standpoint of earnings trends. Notwithstanding the economy, this one's

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<v Speaker 4>already been beaten down, and we think that there's an

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<v Speaker 4>up decided to come Carrying's the other one carrying? Yeah?

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<v Speaker 4>So again three years of estimate cuts, you think who

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<v Speaker 4>is carrying? Well, their biggest label is Gucci. There you go,

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<v Speaker 4>Alex and if.

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<v Speaker 3>I only discount him, let's be clear.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, So new CEO at Gucci, a new head designer

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<v Speaker 4>at Gucci. We think there's a rejuvenation at hand, and

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<v Speaker 4>it's not in the estimates.

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<v Speaker 2>So again, Tim, let's just step back a little bit.

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<v Speaker 2>European markets really performing well, certainly relative to the US market.

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<v Speaker 2>What are your clients saying here?

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<v Speaker 4>So I think there are a couple of things coalescing. Three.

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<v Speaker 4>In fact, you take tariffs and all the concern that's

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<v Speaker 4>going on. You take deep seek and that raising the

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<v Speaker 4>specter of g Is there a different dynamic in the

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<v Speaker 4>world of tech that's been driving US markets and US exceptionalism.

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<v Speaker 4>And then you have a big European defense initiative and

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<v Speaker 4>imperative with Germany coming out with what people around here

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<v Speaker 4>are calling the Bazooka. And you add these together, there's

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<v Speaker 4>a growth idea developing in Europe. There's concern about what's

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<v Speaker 4>going on in the US. And if you look at

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<v Speaker 4>our economists, they see as much of a hit on

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<v Speaker 4>US growth and inflation as they see it anywhere outside

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<v Speaker 4>of Mexico and Canada. So you know, all of that

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<v Speaker 4>weighs on the US and Europe is an alternative, and

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<v Speaker 4>obviously we've talked a lot about how it's valued relative

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<v Speaker 4>to the States. I think that creates a money flow issue,

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<v Speaker 4>a money flow opportunity, just like it does for China.

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<v Speaker 5>All right.

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<v Speaker 3>Thanks to Tim Craig had Bloomberg Intelligence, a global Chief

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<v Speaker 3>Content Officer, Each week we look at research from Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 3>n EF previously known as New Energy Finance. They're the

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<v Speaker 3>team at Bloomberg that tracks and analyzes the energy transition

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<v Speaker 3>from commodities to power, transport, industries, building, and ag sectors.

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<v Speaker 3>This week we looked at the growing enthusiasm for nuclear

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<v Speaker 3>power for more.

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<v Speaker 2>Guest hosts Isabelle Lee and I were joined by Chris Gaddomski,

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<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg and EF lead nuclear analysts. We first to ask

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<v Speaker 2>Chris what his thoughts are on nuclear power as a

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<v Speaker 2>source to fuel AI expansion.

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<v Speaker 6>It's a great technology for supplying clean, carbon free twenty

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<v Speaker 6>four to seven base load power. However, there's a mismatch

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<v Speaker 6>between the demand for the electricity. Data centers say they

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<v Speaker 6>would like to have the electricity right away tomorrow, if

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<v Speaker 6>not sooner, and any new nuclear capacity in the US

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<v Speaker 6>is not going to come online until after twenty thirty.

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<v Speaker 6>I mean you may have one or two outliers come

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<v Speaker 6>on beforehand, but before you have a reliable demonstration of

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<v Speaker 6>the technology. Because these are all new technologies being built,

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<v Speaker 6>we'll be looking for after twenty thirty, So possibly we

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<v Speaker 6>could miss the first wave of advanced reactor contribution to

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<v Speaker 6>the AI developments.

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<v Speaker 5>Why is nuclear construction in the West barely budgeting, whereas,

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<v Speaker 5>in for instance, Asia Pacific region it's booming.

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<v Speaker 6>There's two big reasons for that. One, the price at

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<v Speaker 6>which the Chinese, for example, can build a nuclear power

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<v Speaker 6>plant is much lower than we can in the US,

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<v Speaker 6>and that's the function the fact that China right now

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<v Speaker 6>is building twenty eight nuclear power plants. We have built

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<v Speaker 6>two in the last ten or fifteen years, and so

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<v Speaker 6>they will build six nuclear power plants at the same site,

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<v Speaker 6>and the construction team moves from one reactor to the

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<v Speaker 6>next reactor to the next reactive reactor h reactor subsequently

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<v Speaker 6>costs less than the first. So to China to build

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<v Speaker 6>reactors for maybe one fifth to one quarter of what

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<v Speaker 6>the US can build, it makes sense for them to

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<v Speaker 6>build a lot of nuclear power plants. We've lost the

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<v Speaker 6>x tease and the desire to build a lot of

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<v Speaker 6>large nuclear power plants. To cite some advantages and significant

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<v Speaker 6>benefits to the technology, talk to.

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<v Speaker 2>Us about small modular reactors. Is that a solution.

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<v Speaker 6>Yeah, it is a solution because the not dynamic has

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<v Speaker 6>has has changed in the past. We've seen let's build

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<v Speaker 6>large reactors to get economies of scale in size. The

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<v Speaker 6>conversations talk, well, let's build a lot of small reactors

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<v Speaker 6>and get down the learning curve as quickly as we can.

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<v Speaker 6>So there are only two small modi reactors operating modern

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<v Speaker 6>ones operating in the world, one in China, one in Russia.

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<v Speaker 6>China is building another one. Russia is planning to build

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<v Speaker 6>another one, but they haven't yet broken ground on that.

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<v Speaker 6>So it's a technology that presents a lot less risk

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<v Speaker 6>to the utility or the hyperscaler who is buying it.

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<v Speaker 6>There's no big deployment risk. There is technology risk because

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<v Speaker 6>these are all first of a kind, and so with

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<v Speaker 6>the first of a kind project, especially in the nucle

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<v Speaker 6>power business, there's a lot of uncertainty with regards to

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<v Speaker 6>schedule and cost, and so people are thinking about this.

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<v Speaker 6>A lot of the utilities of are making plans to

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<v Speaker 6>go forward. The US and Canada the UK are leading

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<v Speaker 6>the effort, and so it's going to take some time

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<v Speaker 6>before those first reactors, small, major reactors, and advanced reactors

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<v Speaker 6>across the finish line.

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<v Speaker 5>We know that new nuclear projects are coming online slower,

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<v Speaker 5>But do you think this administration will change that or

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<v Speaker 5>is it going to be status quo.

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<v Speaker 6>The Trump administration in its first time first term was

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<v Speaker 6>very very pro developing uranium the equivalent of drill baby

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<v Speaker 6>drill from the uranium sector, and to a certain extent

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<v Speaker 6>that uranium has bounced back up. The current administration now

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<v Speaker 6>is favorable towards nuclear. Chris Wright, the Secretary of Energy,

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<v Speaker 6>has a pedigree from Berkeley and MIT to the leading

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<v Speaker 6>academic institutions regarding nuclear, and I think that they are

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<v Speaker 6>very pro nuclear. However, the big question is how much

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<v Speaker 6>government funding will be used to support nuclear reactor construction.

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<v Speaker 6>That's something that we're still working out and trying to

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<v Speaker 6>understand Chris.

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<v Speaker 2>I finished the first season of the TV show Landman,

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<v Speaker 2>so I now consider myself an expert in the oil

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<v Speaker 2>and gas business, and I think my takeaway is, you know,

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<v Speaker 2>listening to energy providers and energy users, we're going to

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<v Speaker 2>need everything. We're going to need fossil fuels, We're gonna

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<v Speaker 2>need the wind, We're going to need solar, all that

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<v Speaker 2>kind of stuff. Maybe nuclear. How do you think about that?

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<v Speaker 6>Yeah, my take is that we certainly do need nuclear.

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<v Speaker 6>If you look on a geopolitical basis, you have China

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<v Speaker 6>building twenty eight reactors, large reactors. Also, as soon as

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<v Speaker 6>it passes are post twenty third, they'll have more nuclear

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<v Speaker 6>power plants operating than we do. The Russians are very,

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<v Speaker 6>very aggressively building nuclear power plants not only in Russia

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<v Speaker 6>but in Middle East and establishing one hundred year relations

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<v Speaker 6>with that, and I think that has caused a lot

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<v Speaker 6>of concern for the US government saying, hey, listen, we

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<v Speaker 6>need to sort of offer a viable alternative option for

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<v Speaker 6>new nuclear in the years ahead. And I think it's

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<v Speaker 6>a very very solid ambition. Biden dedministration called for two

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<v Speaker 6>hundred gigawats of extra nuclear capacity. That's tripling what we

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<v Speaker 6>have right now, and so there is a tremendous need

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<v Speaker 6>for it, and I think there has a place. It's

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<v Speaker 6>not a solution for all the problems, but it works

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<v Speaker 6>very well for many types of applications.

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<v Speaker 2>Our thanks to Chris Gadomski, Bloomberg and EF lead nuclear analyst.

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<v Speaker 3>All right, coming up, we're going to break down the

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<v Speaker 3>future of AI empowering data centers.

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<v Speaker 2>You're listening to Bloomberg Intelligence on Bloomberg Radio, providing in

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<v Speaker 2>depth research and data on two thousand companies and one

0:12:55.960 --> 0:12:58.840
<v Speaker 2>hundred and thirty industries. You can access Bloomberg Intelligence via

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<v Speaker 2>bi go in the terminal Paul Sweeney and.

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<v Speaker 3>I'm Alex Steele, and this is Bloomberg.

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<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live

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<v Speaker 3>We move now to the M and A space.

0:13:23.960 --> 0:13:26.839
<v Speaker 2>This week we heard that the online mortgage provider Rocket

0:13:26.880 --> 0:13:31.560
<v Speaker 2>is acquiring mister Cooper Group, the country's largest mortgage servicer it's.

0:13:31.400 --> 0:13:34.120
<v Speaker 3>An all stock deal valued about nine point four billion dollars,

0:13:34.120 --> 0:13:36.800
<v Speaker 3>and this will create a mortgage behemoth that handles one

0:13:36.920 --> 0:13:39.360
<v Speaker 3>in every six mortgages in the US.

0:13:39.559 --> 0:13:41.440
<v Speaker 2>For more, guest host Isabelle Lee and I were joined

0:13:41.440 --> 0:13:45.160
<v Speaker 2>by Page Smith, Bloomberg News consumer finance reporter. We first

0:13:45.160 --> 0:13:47.560
<v Speaker 2>asked Page to explain the latest deal and what mister

0:13:47.679 --> 0:13:48.280
<v Speaker 2>Cooper is.

0:13:48.960 --> 0:13:51.680
<v Speaker 7>Mister Cooper is more is best known, I would say,

0:13:51.679 --> 0:13:54.080
<v Speaker 7>in the mortgage servicing side of things, So it's sort

0:13:54.080 --> 0:13:56.680
<v Speaker 7>of after the fact, you've got your mortgage, but who

0:13:56.720 --> 0:13:59.720
<v Speaker 7>were you actually interacting with, you know, gears down the line,

0:13:59.720 --> 0:14:02.400
<v Speaker 7>it's actually going to be mister Cooper. But this is

0:14:02.440 --> 0:14:05.680
<v Speaker 7>a big deal for Rocket because they've kind of they've

0:14:05.720 --> 0:14:08.280
<v Speaker 7>been trying to position themselves as sort of a one

0:14:08.400 --> 0:14:13.480
<v Speaker 7>stop shop for consumers finance offerings, so think credit cards

0:14:13.559 --> 0:14:18.960
<v Speaker 7>in addition to your mortgage and you know, now theoretically

0:14:19.000 --> 0:14:22.520
<v Speaker 7>your mortgage servicing rights. So it's it's a pretty big

0:14:22.520 --> 0:14:25.080
<v Speaker 7>deal for this company based in Detroit. Dan Gilbert a

0:14:25.120 --> 0:14:29.240
<v Speaker 7>pretty prominent person in the finance yep, pretty big in

0:14:29.280 --> 0:14:32.920
<v Speaker 7>sports as well. But nine point four billion dollars, it's

0:14:33.200 --> 0:14:34.320
<v Speaker 7>a big deal for these folks.

0:14:34.680 --> 0:14:37.400
<v Speaker 5>We have Rocket also striking a deal to acquire Redfin,

0:14:37.480 --> 0:14:40.560
<v Speaker 5>which is a real estate brokerage. How will that build

0:14:40.760 --> 0:14:43.480
<v Speaker 5>into this one or if they're even connected at all.

0:14:43.680 --> 0:14:46.760
<v Speaker 7>Certainly it's it is basically sort of from a sort

0:14:46.800 --> 0:14:49.360
<v Speaker 7>of a nose to nose to toe, if you will,

0:14:49.600 --> 0:14:53.520
<v Speaker 7>of the home buying experience. Everything will sort of be

0:14:53.640 --> 0:14:58.040
<v Speaker 7>under this Rocket umbrella. It you know Redfinn as you

0:14:58.400 --> 0:15:00.200
<v Speaker 7>as I think a lot of folks will you know

0:15:00.320 --> 0:15:04.800
<v Speaker 7>quite well, is this platform for buying and selling homes

0:15:04.840 --> 0:15:07.040
<v Speaker 7>and it would be sort of a starting point for

0:15:07.080 --> 0:15:11.320
<v Speaker 7>the home buying journey. Rocket is well known for originating,

0:15:11.360 --> 0:15:15.000
<v Speaker 7>getting or creating mortgages, and now mister Cooper is well

0:15:15.040 --> 0:15:17.320
<v Speaker 7>known for sort of the servicing of mortgages. So it's

0:15:17.360 --> 0:15:19.760
<v Speaker 7>it is kind of from start to finish of the

0:15:19.760 --> 0:15:20.680
<v Speaker 7>home buying process.

0:15:20.680 --> 0:15:23.480
<v Speaker 2>Theoretically, they got a lot of debt on their bouncy

0:15:23.480 --> 0:15:25.480
<v Speaker 2>because I being a former banker, I don't look at

0:15:25.520 --> 0:15:28.280
<v Speaker 2>stock market values. I look at enterprise value to include

0:15:28.280 --> 0:15:30.880
<v Speaker 2>the debt. It's eighteen point five billion dollars because that's

0:15:30.880 --> 0:15:32.800
<v Speaker 2>what you get paid on. You get paid on enterprise

0:15:32.840 --> 0:15:37.480
<v Speaker 2>a so that is a big, big number there. Talk

0:15:37.480 --> 0:15:39.600
<v Speaker 2>to us about the mortgage business. I mean, is it

0:15:39.600 --> 0:15:41.440
<v Speaker 2>doesn't seem like there's a lot of deals happening in

0:15:41.840 --> 0:15:42.680
<v Speaker 2>the business.

0:15:42.960 --> 0:15:45.400
<v Speaker 7>Well, I mean, I think we can look at interest rates.

0:15:45.400 --> 0:15:48.760
<v Speaker 7>It's certainly been a tough time for home buyers and sellers,

0:15:48.800 --> 0:15:52.880
<v Speaker 7>and that also weighs on these home on these home lenders.

0:15:53.520 --> 0:15:56.160
<v Speaker 7>It's a tough time for folks who kind of have

0:15:56.280 --> 0:15:58.800
<v Speaker 7>put their eggs all in one basket, which is the

0:15:58.840 --> 0:16:02.080
<v Speaker 7>home lending business. But that's kind of what Rocket has

0:16:02.120 --> 0:16:04.560
<v Speaker 7>been aiming to do, is to really branch out and

0:16:04.640 --> 0:16:09.040
<v Speaker 7>diversify their business so they're not so interest rate reliant

0:16:09.720 --> 0:16:12.480
<v Speaker 7>or exposed rather which they have been in the past.

0:16:12.520 --> 0:16:14.880
<v Speaker 7>And frankly that's showed up in their earnings over the

0:16:14.880 --> 0:16:18.800
<v Speaker 7>past couple of years. So I chatted with CEO U

0:16:18.800 --> 0:16:22.000
<v Speaker 7>and Krishna over the summer. Actually we did kind of

0:16:22.000 --> 0:16:24.840
<v Speaker 7>a deeper dive into Rocket and the company, and one

0:16:24.840 --> 0:16:27.920
<v Speaker 7>thing that he told me then was that artificial intelligence

0:16:28.000 --> 0:16:30.440
<v Speaker 7>is actually a big bet that they're making to really

0:16:30.480 --> 0:16:33.240
<v Speaker 7>try to boost the business and make that home buying

0:16:33.280 --> 0:16:36.400
<v Speaker 7>process truly as smooth as possible for the customers, to

0:16:36.560 --> 0:16:40.280
<v Speaker 7>kind of amp up their offerings and we'll see how

0:16:40.280 --> 0:16:41.760
<v Speaker 7>it works out. With for them in the end, But

0:16:41.880 --> 0:16:43.760
<v Speaker 7>so far numbers look pretty good.

0:16:44.400 --> 0:16:47.600
<v Speaker 5>What's this deal expected? Were you hearing chatter before? Did

0:16:47.600 --> 0:16:48.760
<v Speaker 5>it's completely shock you?

0:16:49.080 --> 0:16:51.960
<v Speaker 7>I was not hearing chatter before, and it seems like

0:16:52.000 --> 0:16:54.320
<v Speaker 7>the market is responding in kind of an interesting way.

0:16:54.360 --> 0:16:57.040
<v Speaker 7>But we're going to continue to follow the story and

0:16:57.080 --> 0:17:00.000
<v Speaker 7>see how this kind of fits into the broader rockets.

0:17:00.320 --> 0:17:02.400
<v Speaker 2>Who do they compete against? Do they compete against the

0:17:03.160 --> 0:17:05.119
<v Speaker 2>banks that make the loans or the banks that make

0:17:05.119 --> 0:17:07.159
<v Speaker 2>the loans usually just syndicate them away, right.

0:17:07.280 --> 0:17:09.359
<v Speaker 7>Well, I kind of take a different take on that

0:17:09.640 --> 0:17:12.280
<v Speaker 7>since I cover consumer and finance kind of broadly. I

0:17:12.280 --> 0:17:14.480
<v Speaker 7>think of folks who are kind of trying to be

0:17:14.960 --> 0:17:19.480
<v Speaker 7>that one one stop shop for consumer the consumer finance experience.

0:17:19.520 --> 0:17:21.960
<v Speaker 7>So for me, I think of you know, so FI

0:17:22.119 --> 0:17:26.280
<v Speaker 7>technologies for example, that is like a they have a

0:17:26.320 --> 0:17:29.879
<v Speaker 7>lot of lending opportunities for consumers, but they do a

0:17:29.880 --> 0:17:33.000
<v Speaker 7>heck of a lot of other business as well. Robinhood

0:17:33.040 --> 0:17:35.520
<v Speaker 7>even coming at it from the investing side of things

0:17:35.680 --> 0:17:39.520
<v Speaker 7>now offering banking products for folks, That's kind of how

0:17:39.560 --> 0:17:42.080
<v Speaker 7>I think about it in terms of competitors. But that's

0:17:42.200 --> 0:17:45.240
<v Speaker 7>just from a fintech consumer finance perspective when it comes

0:17:45.240 --> 0:17:48.200
<v Speaker 7>to home lenders. You know, other big folks in the space,

0:17:48.440 --> 0:17:50.400
<v Speaker 7>the space. I was just looking at some data by

0:17:50.760 --> 0:17:55.240
<v Speaker 7>Inside Mortgage Finance that placed United Wholesale Mortgagees number one,

0:17:55.600 --> 0:17:58.640
<v Speaker 7>Pennymac is number two, and Rocket as number three.

0:17:58.720 --> 0:18:02.399
<v Speaker 2>Penny Mac is what I use. Anything that rings a bell? Okay,

0:18:02.760 --> 0:18:05.280
<v Speaker 2>Dan Gilbert just for what it's worth. Kids on the

0:18:05.359 --> 0:18:08.000
<v Speaker 2>rich top list of Bloomberg all the wealthy people, he

0:18:08.080 --> 0:18:10.680
<v Speaker 2>comes in at number sixty two. Well they're not bad.

0:18:10.960 --> 0:18:13.879
<v Speaker 2>Net worth of twenty eight point seven billion dollars up

0:18:13.880 --> 0:18:14.960
<v Speaker 2>two point six billion.

0:18:14.760 --> 0:18:15.159
<v Speaker 8>Year to date.

0:18:15.359 --> 0:18:18.439
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, he's a force in Detroit. I would say some

0:18:18.560 --> 0:18:20.760
<v Speaker 7>of our colleagues out of the Detroit Bureau did a

0:18:20.800 --> 0:18:22.960
<v Speaker 7>great story on him last year. If you're interested in

0:18:23.040 --> 0:18:24.000
<v Speaker 7>the terminal, All.

0:18:23.960 --> 0:18:26.760
<v Speaker 3>Right, thanks to Paige Smith, Bloomberg News Consumer Finance Reporter,

0:18:27.280 --> 0:18:29.560
<v Speaker 3>we move next to the artificial intelligence sector.

0:18:29.920 --> 0:18:32.600
<v Speaker 2>Guest host Normal Linda and I were joined by John Lynn,

0:18:32.680 --> 0:18:34.440
<v Speaker 2>chief business officer at Equinox.

0:18:34.760 --> 0:18:37.399
<v Speaker 3>Equinex is the largest global data center provider and is

0:18:37.400 --> 0:18:40.160
<v Speaker 3>listed on the Nasdaq Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol.

0:18:39.880 --> 0:18:41.159
<v Speaker 4>E q i X.

0:18:41.520 --> 0:18:44.160
<v Speaker 2>John lenn joined to discuss the future of AI empowering

0:18:44.240 --> 0:18:46.800
<v Speaker 2>data centers, and I began the conversation by asking John

0:18:46.840 --> 0:18:48.720
<v Speaker 2>to explain what Equinox does.

0:18:49.080 --> 0:18:52.679
<v Speaker 8>We're really the fundamental digital infrastructure provider of the world,

0:18:52.800 --> 0:18:55.479
<v Speaker 8>building two hundred and sixty eight data centers across seventy

0:18:55.480 --> 0:18:57.520
<v Speaker 8>four market If you're the guys, we are the guys

0:18:57.600 --> 0:19:01.119
<v Speaker 8>building and connecting all of these cloud provide and enterprises,

0:19:01.400 --> 0:19:03.240
<v Speaker 8>making all of that data available for AI.

0:19:03.760 --> 0:19:05.840
<v Speaker 9>And it's really interesting because I was just speaking with

0:19:05.920 --> 0:19:09.200
<v Speaker 9>him during the break saying that I cover US real

0:19:09.280 --> 0:19:11.719
<v Speaker 9>estate stocks, I cover real estate investment trusts, and that's

0:19:11.760 --> 0:19:14.880
<v Speaker 9>exactly what falls in that patch. This is my guy.

0:19:15.880 --> 0:19:18.439
<v Speaker 9>So wonderful to have this conversation. But I think that

0:19:18.480 --> 0:19:21.160
<v Speaker 9>there's often people don't really when you think about data centers,

0:19:21.160 --> 0:19:23.600
<v Speaker 9>they don't often think about the people that are actually

0:19:23.720 --> 0:19:25.960
<v Speaker 9>providing the real estate for data centers. So can you

0:19:26.000 --> 0:19:29.280
<v Speaker 9>talk a little bit about how equinics differs from maybe

0:19:29.280 --> 0:19:31.119
<v Speaker 9>for thinking about a data center itself, but more or

0:19:31.200 --> 0:19:33.399
<v Speaker 9>less the fact that you guys are acquiring properties and

0:19:33.440 --> 0:19:34.240
<v Speaker 9>doing it that way.

0:19:34.440 --> 0:19:36.560
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, you can think about it as full scope development,

0:19:36.560 --> 0:19:38.800
<v Speaker 8>where I mean we're going from raw land getting their

0:19:38.920 --> 0:19:41.360
<v Speaker 8>entitlements and then building the entire data center and then

0:19:41.520 --> 0:19:45.399
<v Speaker 8>operating that for perpetuity essentially. And our focus is around

0:19:45.400 --> 0:19:48.200
<v Speaker 8>making sure we're getting as many customers as possible into

0:19:48.240 --> 0:19:51.480
<v Speaker 8>the facilities and really interconnecting their data flows together, which

0:19:51.520 --> 0:19:54.120
<v Speaker 8>is pretty unique in the data center space, which has

0:19:54.200 --> 0:19:56.280
<v Speaker 8>also been a great opportunity for us to participate in

0:19:56.280 --> 0:19:57.080
<v Speaker 8>the AI growth.

0:19:57.720 --> 0:19:59.320
<v Speaker 2>What are you guys seeing here? What are you seeing

0:19:59.320 --> 0:20:02.840
<v Speaker 2>from your client and the people you talk to about

0:20:02.960 --> 0:20:05.080
<v Speaker 2>kind of their needs going forward? Because right now, I

0:20:05.119 --> 0:20:07.240
<v Speaker 2>think in the marketplace, if you look at like Nvidious

0:20:07.240 --> 0:20:09.200
<v Speaker 2>stock and some of the other stocks that trade around

0:20:09.280 --> 0:20:11.639
<v Speaker 2>the AI theme, twenty twenty five has not been a

0:20:11.640 --> 0:20:14.560
<v Speaker 2>good year, after obviously phenomenal extraordinary growth in twenty three

0:20:14.600 --> 0:20:18.520
<v Speaker 2>twenty four, maybe before that. How are you viewing the

0:20:18.600 --> 0:20:20.840
<v Speaker 2>growth here in AI and from your end of the business,

0:20:20.840 --> 0:20:21.600
<v Speaker 2>the real estate side.

0:20:21.760 --> 0:20:23.679
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, First, I'd just say, you know, AI is a

0:20:23.720 --> 0:20:26.240
<v Speaker 8>portion of the demand for data centers, but data center

0:20:26.240 --> 0:20:28.720
<v Speaker 8>as a whole are powering everything that everybody is doing,

0:20:28.800 --> 0:20:31.600
<v Speaker 8>right like listening to this broadcast, you know, ordering food

0:20:31.600 --> 0:20:35.040
<v Speaker 8>for lunch, you know, trading, trading on the exchange, et cetera.

0:20:35.280 --> 0:20:38.080
<v Speaker 8>I mean, you need computers for everything nowadays, and that's

0:20:38.080 --> 0:20:40.840
<v Speaker 8>still continuing. I think, you know, digital transformation is not

0:20:40.880 --> 0:20:43.320
<v Speaker 8>in the early stages anymore, but we're far from done,

0:20:43.320 --> 0:20:46.080
<v Speaker 8>and so that is just the secular driver that will continue.

0:20:46.680 --> 0:20:49.600
<v Speaker 8>From the eye landscape, I'd say obviously a huge amount

0:20:49.640 --> 0:20:52.080
<v Speaker 8>of interest and excitement and I think the it caught

0:20:52.080 --> 0:20:55.399
<v Speaker 8>the imagination of everyone, and I'd say, right now what

0:20:55.440 --> 0:20:59.320
<v Speaker 8>we're seeing is like exciting use cases that are really

0:20:59.359 --> 0:21:02.160
<v Speaker 8>providing durable value, right. And I think it's still early

0:21:02.240 --> 0:21:05.240
<v Speaker 8>stages for many of that across the general business landscape,

0:21:05.320 --> 0:21:07.480
<v Speaker 8>but that's what gets me fundamentally excited. You look at

0:21:07.520 --> 0:21:09.960
<v Speaker 8>a company like a Bristol Meyers squib a customer of ours.

0:21:10.080 --> 0:21:14.240
<v Speaker 8>They're doing drug discovery using videogpus and like being able

0:21:14.280 --> 0:21:18.560
<v Speaker 8>to increase and accelerate their time to therapeutics. That's fundamentally

0:21:18.600 --> 0:21:20.560
<v Speaker 8>going to improve like human life, right, and I think

0:21:20.600 --> 0:21:22.800
<v Speaker 8>that there's so many different aspects that AI can improve

0:21:23.000 --> 0:21:23.640
<v Speaker 8>based on that.

0:21:23.840 --> 0:21:25.879
<v Speaker 9>So run us through some of your biggest customers, who

0:21:25.920 --> 0:21:26.560
<v Speaker 9>do you all work with.

0:21:26.960 --> 0:21:29.320
<v Speaker 8>Certainly the cloud providers are some of our top customers.

0:21:29.480 --> 0:21:32.119
<v Speaker 8>We've got over two thousand different network providers as well.

0:21:32.280 --> 0:21:35.000
<v Speaker 8>The Genesis of the company was really around how do

0:21:35.040 --> 0:21:37.480
<v Speaker 8>we help the Internet scale? And that ended up being, well,

0:21:37.480 --> 0:21:41.600
<v Speaker 8>how do we help the globes telecommunications and data flows scale.

0:21:41.840 --> 0:21:43.920
<v Speaker 8>And so when you think about all of the cloud providers,

0:21:44.040 --> 0:21:46.680
<v Speaker 8>how do they connect to the end customers, that's through

0:21:46.720 --> 0:21:50.200
<v Speaker 8>our facilities. And then as we've built that landscape, we've

0:21:50.280 --> 0:21:53.800
<v Speaker 8>ended up basically becoming the place where enterprises put their

0:21:53.840 --> 0:21:56.760
<v Speaker 8>most trusted assets. When you think about then, whether they

0:21:56.800 --> 0:21:59.040
<v Speaker 8>have some workloads that are in the public cloud, well,

0:21:59.040 --> 0:22:00.520
<v Speaker 8>they're going to have some that are going to have

0:22:00.560 --> 0:22:03.159
<v Speaker 8>ownership and control of themselves. When they put those in

0:22:03.160 --> 0:22:06.399
<v Speaker 8>our facilities, it lets them glue that infrastructure together and

0:22:06.440 --> 0:22:09.640
<v Speaker 8>become like one super powerful environment.

0:22:09.960 --> 0:22:14.399
<v Speaker 2>And folks, Equinics is a publicly traded company. Eqix is

0:22:14.640 --> 0:22:16.880
<v Speaker 2>the ticker. It's got a market cap of eighty one

0:22:17.119 --> 0:22:20.520
<v Speaker 2>billion dollars. And if you want some research on it

0:22:20.560 --> 0:22:22.720
<v Speaker 2>and you're on the Bloomberg terminal, Jeffrey Langbaum was my

0:22:22.880 --> 0:22:25.840
<v Speaker 2>reat analyst. He covers eqix. You can go big and

0:22:25.840 --> 0:22:30.200
<v Speaker 2>that's where you find the research on Equinox. John talk

0:22:30.240 --> 0:22:31.879
<v Speaker 2>to us about the global formfront and we know you

0:22:31.880 --> 0:22:36.440
<v Speaker 2>guys are global here, where are you seeing growth stronger

0:22:36.480 --> 0:22:37.679
<v Speaker 2>growth versus weaker growth.

0:22:38.200 --> 0:22:41.080
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, I'd say across the landscape, there's still quite a

0:22:41.080 --> 0:22:43.760
<v Speaker 8>bit of demand for data center activity. You know, we're

0:22:43.800 --> 0:22:46.680
<v Speaker 8>particularly excited about some of the emerging markets Southeast Asia

0:22:46.720 --> 0:22:50.000
<v Speaker 8>for instance. It's certainly growing quite a bit. But you know,

0:22:50.320 --> 0:22:52.520
<v Speaker 8>based off of a lot of the recent Surgeon AI

0:22:52.760 --> 0:22:54.520
<v Speaker 8>and kind of the use cases set up for that,

0:22:54.880 --> 0:22:57.000
<v Speaker 8>just a tremendous amount of growth in the US over

0:22:57.000 --> 0:22:58.200
<v Speaker 8>the course of the last two years.

0:22:58.720 --> 0:23:00.560
<v Speaker 9>So, I mean, when we think about your creditors in

0:23:00.640 --> 0:23:03.520
<v Speaker 9>this broader landscape, there's obviously digital realty trust when we're

0:23:03.520 --> 0:23:06.359
<v Speaker 9>thinking about publicly traded routes here in the data center space,

0:23:06.680 --> 0:23:09.080
<v Speaker 9>and if you look over the past five years, we

0:23:09.160 --> 0:23:12.360
<v Speaker 9>have equinic shares that have risen forty percent, but that's

0:23:12.400 --> 0:23:15.199
<v Speaker 9>compared to digital realty that's risen about eleven percent. What

0:23:15.240 --> 0:23:16.840
<v Speaker 9>do you think that you all are doing differently than

0:23:16.880 --> 0:23:17.800
<v Speaker 9>your competitors.

0:23:18.800 --> 0:23:23.280
<v Speaker 8>I think one, it's our focus around really driving diversity

0:23:23.320 --> 0:23:26.560
<v Speaker 8>of customer and like kind of having an ecosystem that

0:23:26.600 --> 0:23:28.760
<v Speaker 8>we've built around the value that we're doing, and so

0:23:28.840 --> 0:23:31.440
<v Speaker 8>that's incredibly important for us. Like for the AI trade,

0:23:31.440 --> 0:23:34.199
<v Speaker 8>for instance, we're focusing not just on capturing some of

0:23:34.200 --> 0:23:36.719
<v Speaker 8>these large training footprints, but really, how do we make

0:23:36.720 --> 0:23:39.040
<v Speaker 8>sure we're getting all of these AI players and exposing

0:23:39.080 --> 0:23:40.920
<v Speaker 8>them to the rest of our customer base and really,

0:23:40.960 --> 0:23:46.000
<v Speaker 8>again that fuel becomes additional growth across our entire portfolio.

0:23:46.800 --> 0:23:49.919
<v Speaker 2>Do you develop and build data centers or do you

0:23:49.960 --> 0:23:53.040
<v Speaker 2>just buy existing we develop and build? Where are you

0:23:53.400 --> 0:23:56.520
<v Speaker 2>developing and building these days? And if you say Texas.

0:23:56.280 --> 0:23:59.480
<v Speaker 8>Or Florida, Well, we're building all around the world. I

0:23:59.520 --> 0:24:02.560
<v Speaker 8>think we've got sixty eight current like major construction projects

0:24:02.640 --> 0:24:05.040
<v Speaker 8>across it. Yeah, so it's we're very active.

0:24:05.760 --> 0:24:07.760
<v Speaker 2>Wow, how about it?

0:24:07.760 --> 0:24:10.360
<v Speaker 9>It's really it's a big company in this. I mean, yeah,

0:24:10.600 --> 0:24:13.840
<v Speaker 9>people think about you guys have to come to my path.

0:24:15.080 --> 0:24:16.000
<v Speaker 8>It's a beautiful space.

0:24:17.040 --> 0:24:18.600
<v Speaker 9>So what is your you know, what are your thoughts

0:24:18.600 --> 0:24:20.520
<v Speaker 9>for people who are saying that, you know, the tech

0:24:20.600 --> 0:24:22.919
<v Speaker 9>rally has run too far? You know, maybe we have

0:24:23.080 --> 0:24:25.439
<v Speaker 9>CAPEC spend that's just you know, bloated. There's so much

0:24:25.480 --> 0:24:27.879
<v Speaker 9>spending in this space. Is this a place to be

0:24:27.960 --> 0:24:30.560
<v Speaker 9>investing right now? When we think about AI and places

0:24:30.600 --> 0:24:31.000
<v Speaker 9>of that.

0:24:31.280 --> 0:24:34.960
<v Speaker 8>Regard, I think the long term trend around this is

0:24:35.000 --> 0:24:36.920
<v Speaker 8>going to be inevitable, right, I think it's certainly we're

0:24:36.960 --> 0:24:39.480
<v Speaker 8>creating durable value, not just for you know, kind of

0:24:39.480 --> 0:24:42.199
<v Speaker 8>the planet and all of our customers, but but for shareholders.

0:24:42.240 --> 0:24:44.600
<v Speaker 8>I think the the amount of investment in the space,

0:24:44.640 --> 0:24:47.320
<v Speaker 8>and like the numbers are candidly like eyewatering right now.

0:24:47.359 --> 0:24:48.879
<v Speaker 8>And so but a lot of that I think is

0:24:48.920 --> 0:24:52.760
<v Speaker 8>just capital accumulation rather than deployment. And you know, compared

0:24:52.800 --> 0:24:55.000
<v Speaker 8>to a lot of other markets in the real estate side,

0:24:55.080 --> 0:24:58.159
<v Speaker 8>it's actually a little hard to kind of overbuild just

0:24:58.200 --> 0:25:01.679
<v Speaker 8>because there's so many natural like limiters in terms of

0:25:01.680 --> 0:25:04.640
<v Speaker 8>the way we want to scale, from utility power availability,

0:25:04.680 --> 0:25:07.560
<v Speaker 8>to supply chain to you know kind of just the

0:25:07.600 --> 0:25:09.920
<v Speaker 8>amount of trades you need to be able to build

0:25:09.920 --> 0:25:12.159
<v Speaker 8>and operate these facilities. And so I think that that

0:25:12.280 --> 0:25:15.159
<v Speaker 8>helps kind of provide more rationality than you know, in

0:25:15.200 --> 0:25:17.120
<v Speaker 8>some some real estate markets where you know, you can

0:25:17.119 --> 0:25:19.040
<v Speaker 8>throw up a shell pretty easily, you can you can

0:25:19.119 --> 0:25:21.760
<v Speaker 8>kind of just like convert and overbuild. In this case,

0:25:22.040 --> 0:25:24.480
<v Speaker 8>it's a very long development cycle, and so I think

0:25:24.520 --> 0:25:26.560
<v Speaker 8>you'll you'll see kind of some self metering there.

0:25:26.880 --> 0:25:29.760
<v Speaker 2>Our thanks to John Lynn, chief business officer Equinics.

0:25:29.640 --> 0:25:31.199
<v Speaker 3>Coming up in the program, we're going to break down

0:25:31.240 --> 0:25:33.640
<v Speaker 3>the rising cost of food and how that's affecting the consumer.

0:25:33.760 --> 0:25:36.439
<v Speaker 2>You're listening to Bloomberg Intelligence on Bloomberg Radio, providing in

0:25:36.480 --> 0:25:38.639
<v Speaker 2>depth research and data on two thousand companies and one

0:25:38.760 --> 0:25:41.680
<v Speaker 2>hundred and thirty industries. You can access Bloomberg Intelligence via

0:25:41.760 --> 0:25:43.840
<v Speaker 2>b I go on the terminal. I'm Paul Sweeney and.

0:25:43.800 --> 0:25:45.760
<v Speaker 3>Am Alex Steele, and this is Bloomberg.

0:25:53.640 --> 0:25:57.560
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. Catch the program

0:25:57.640 --> 0:26:00.560
<v Speaker 1>live weekdays at ten a m. Eastern on app Cocklay

0:26:00.560 --> 0:26:03.320
<v Speaker 1>and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business App. You can

0:26:03.400 --> 0:26:06.840
<v Speaker 1>also listen live on Amazon Alexa from our flagship New

0:26:06.920 --> 0:26:10.639
<v Speaker 1>York station. Just say Alexa play Bloomberg eleven thirty.

0:26:11.720 --> 0:26:14.080
<v Speaker 2>We turned out to the restaurant industry this week. Guess

0:26:14.119 --> 0:26:16.119
<v Speaker 2>so was normal? Lindon I were joined by Michael Halen,

0:26:16.119 --> 0:26:18.879
<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg Intelligence senior restaurant and food service analysts.

0:26:18.960 --> 0:26:21.240
<v Speaker 3>He joined to discuss the rise and costs of food

0:26:21.280 --> 0:26:22.840
<v Speaker 3>and how that's affecting the consumer.

0:26:23.200 --> 0:26:25.680
<v Speaker 2>First asked Michael to break down his most recent research

0:26:25.760 --> 0:26:27.000
<v Speaker 2>on restaurant spending.

0:26:27.359 --> 0:26:30.000
<v Speaker 10>Restaurant space is unique. We were in a restaurant recession

0:26:30.080 --> 0:26:34.320
<v Speaker 10>last year. Higher prices, Yeah, higher prices really kind of

0:26:34.400 --> 0:26:37.200
<v Speaker 10>you know, the you know, the low income consumer kind

0:26:37.200 --> 0:26:38.840
<v Speaker 10>of pushed back against higher prices.

0:26:38.920 --> 0:26:39.080
<v Speaker 4>Right.

0:26:39.160 --> 0:26:42.359
<v Speaker 10>QUSR has been raising their prices since twenty twenty. The

0:26:42.400 --> 0:26:44.760
<v Speaker 10>rest of the restaurant industry has been raising prices since

0:26:44.800 --> 0:26:46.919
<v Speaker 10>twenty twenty one. So last year was kind of that

0:26:47.000 --> 0:26:51.520
<v Speaker 10>restaurant recession. This year, you know, we see you know,

0:26:51.600 --> 0:26:55.720
<v Speaker 10>higher income consumers with a better balance sheet. Right, Crypto's

0:26:55.760 --> 0:26:59.119
<v Speaker 10>up significantly. Home prices are still rising, right, and so

0:26:59.720 --> 0:27:02.080
<v Speaker 10>you know, for that reason, we think that this is

0:27:02.119 --> 0:27:03.800
<v Speaker 10>going to be a better year. And we still think

0:27:03.840 --> 0:27:06.600
<v Speaker 10>so in the data that we've seen and from a

0:27:06.640 --> 0:27:09.440
<v Speaker 10>lot of the CEOs that we've spoken to. The weakness

0:27:09.440 --> 0:27:14.400
<v Speaker 10>in February was broad based, and to me that's less concerning.

0:27:14.440 --> 0:27:16.520
<v Speaker 10>I would be more concerned if they said, listen, low

0:27:16.560 --> 0:27:20.200
<v Speaker 10>income consumer pulled back even harder, the middle income consumer

0:27:20.240 --> 0:27:22.960
<v Speaker 10>started to pull back harder, that would be more concerning

0:27:23.000 --> 0:27:25.639
<v Speaker 10>to me. Broad Based tells me that, well, it was

0:27:25.720 --> 0:27:29.840
<v Speaker 10>really cold. We got snow all over the country, including Sarasota, right,

0:27:30.119 --> 0:27:35.400
<v Speaker 10>and New Orleans. It was the coldest January in thirteen

0:27:35.520 --> 0:27:38.879
<v Speaker 10>years or so, right, and the flu was really bad.

0:27:38.960 --> 0:27:42.040
<v Speaker 10>So for me, it really seems that people were just

0:27:42.320 --> 0:27:44.560
<v Speaker 10>sick of the weather and sitting on the couch waiting

0:27:44.560 --> 0:27:46.680
<v Speaker 10>for things to open up. We have some weekly data

0:27:46.720 --> 0:27:49.600
<v Speaker 10>for early March, and data got better.

0:27:49.920 --> 0:27:51.880
<v Speaker 9>So what data are you looking at when it comes

0:27:51.880 --> 0:27:53.520
<v Speaker 9>to consumer health? I know you said there's some that

0:27:53.520 --> 0:27:54.919
<v Speaker 9>you don't really pay as much attention to.

0:27:55.160 --> 0:27:55.400
<v Speaker 6>Yeah.

0:27:55.400 --> 0:27:58.960
<v Speaker 10>For the restaurant stuff, we use black box intelligence. We

0:27:59.040 --> 0:28:02.960
<v Speaker 10>get very good industry level and sub segment level seems

0:28:02.960 --> 0:28:06.000
<v Speaker 10>source sales traffic and check data. When I'm looking at

0:28:06.000 --> 0:28:08.560
<v Speaker 10>the consumer, you know, it's kind of dated right now

0:28:08.600 --> 0:28:10.760
<v Speaker 10>because it comes out quarterly, But I'm looking very closely

0:28:10.800 --> 0:28:13.720
<v Speaker 10>at credit card balances and so credit card balances, credit

0:28:13.800 --> 0:28:17.439
<v Speaker 10>card delinquencies, autal on delinquencies. They are still rising, but

0:28:17.560 --> 0:28:21.320
<v Speaker 10>at a much lower slower pace than they were early

0:28:21.400 --> 0:28:25.800
<v Speaker 10>last year, so it's a rate of change improvement. We're

0:28:25.840 --> 0:28:29.640
<v Speaker 10>also looking at CPI declining, real income's rising, and savings

0:28:29.720 --> 0:28:33.800
<v Speaker 10>rates rising, right, and so to me, those are all

0:28:33.840 --> 0:28:37.280
<v Speaker 10>good things for the low income consumer, right, So yeah,

0:28:37.320 --> 0:28:41.160
<v Speaker 10>we're not so concerned about that that consumer sentiment data.

0:28:41.280 --> 0:28:44.280
<v Speaker 2>How about terraffs, How does that impact the average restaurant

0:28:44.320 --> 0:28:46.880
<v Speaker 2>if they're buying food and that type of stuff.

0:28:46.960 --> 0:28:49.800
<v Speaker 10>Yeah, Listen, if you're a mom and pop shop and

0:28:49.840 --> 0:28:54.680
<v Speaker 10>you're importing you know, Italian or Japanese items, stuff like that,

0:28:55.120 --> 0:28:55.720
<v Speaker 10>it could hurt.

0:28:55.840 --> 0:28:56.000
<v Speaker 4>Right.

0:28:56.040 --> 0:28:59.920
<v Speaker 10>For most our chains, they're sourcing a very large majority

0:29:00.120 --> 0:29:03.160
<v Speaker 10>of their products in the United States. You know, Chipotle

0:29:03.320 --> 0:29:05.520
<v Speaker 10>was one everyone was worried about their saying, it's gonna

0:29:05.520 --> 0:29:07.880
<v Speaker 10>be like thirty basis points impact to their food.

0:29:08.160 --> 0:29:10.160
<v Speaker 2>So the block prices aren't going to go crazy.

0:29:10.400 --> 0:29:12.040
<v Speaker 10>Yeah, it's gonna be like thirty basis points for the

0:29:12.080 --> 0:29:15.040
<v Speaker 10>Alvocado prices, right, And they've for years they've been you know,

0:29:15.120 --> 0:29:18.200
<v Speaker 10>expanding beyond Mexico in terms of sourcing. One of the

0:29:18.680 --> 0:29:21.360
<v Speaker 10>companies that we cover that has probably the most exposure

0:29:21.520 --> 0:29:25.520
<v Speaker 10>overseas is Darden. They said they actually import about twenty

0:29:25.560 --> 0:29:28.240
<v Speaker 10>percent of their items. Part of that is they have

0:29:28.280 --> 0:29:31.840
<v Speaker 10>an Italian chain, right, but also it's just cheaper for them,

0:29:32.280 --> 0:29:36.200
<v Speaker 10>and so they're working on sourcing domestically and in other

0:29:36.240 --> 0:29:38.400
<v Speaker 10>places to try to ease some of that pain. So

0:29:38.640 --> 0:29:40.719
<v Speaker 10>even though it's a twenty percent number, it can be

0:29:40.880 --> 0:29:43.000
<v Speaker 10>much lower than that, So the restaurants aren't going to

0:29:43.040 --> 0:29:44.800
<v Speaker 10>be impacted that harshly.

0:29:45.080 --> 0:29:48.720
<v Speaker 9>How are consumers adjusting to the price increases. Are people

0:29:48.760 --> 0:29:50.800
<v Speaker 9>just saying, Hey, I want to go out, I want

0:29:50.800 --> 0:29:52.520
<v Speaker 9>to eat, so I'm just going to pay more even

0:29:52.600 --> 0:29:54.520
<v Speaker 9>sell or are they a bit more resistant?

0:29:54.600 --> 0:29:57.880
<v Speaker 2>If so, witch groups, it's a case shaped recovery, right.

0:29:57.960 --> 0:30:01.200
<v Speaker 10>And so chains like Chilis, I mean, they just posted

0:30:01.200 --> 0:30:04.160
<v Speaker 10>a thirty percent comp in the United States over a

0:30:04.280 --> 0:30:07.000
<v Speaker 10>five percent comp. We've never seen that before for a

0:30:07.080 --> 0:30:09.640
<v Speaker 10>chain that's been around as long as But they're bringing

0:30:09.680 --> 0:30:14.400
<v Speaker 10>in younger consumers, wealthier consumers that are willing to spend, right.

0:30:14.440 --> 0:30:18.040
<v Speaker 10>And so the top slant of the K, people with money,

0:30:18.160 --> 0:30:20.840
<v Speaker 10>they're doing just fine, and they're still spending at restaurants, right.

0:30:20.880 --> 0:30:22.560
<v Speaker 10>It's the people on the bottom slant of the K.

0:30:22.720 --> 0:30:26.240
<v Speaker 10>It's these chains that are catering to low income consumers, right,

0:30:26.240 --> 0:30:29.400
<v Speaker 10>that are getting that pushback. Either they're you know, going

0:30:29.400 --> 0:30:31.760
<v Speaker 10>to restaurants less frequently, they're doing more shopping at the

0:30:31.760 --> 0:30:34.560
<v Speaker 10>grocery store, or and when they do go to the restaurants,

0:30:34.600 --> 0:30:38.680
<v Speaker 10>oftentimes they're ordering off the menu, or they're ordering less drinks, apptizers,

0:30:38.680 --> 0:30:40.080
<v Speaker 10>desserts and stuff like that.

0:30:40.280 --> 0:30:44.480
<v Speaker 2>Hey, Mike, how about labor real quick? Thirty seconds, bus boys, dishwashers,

0:30:44.600 --> 0:30:46.880
<v Speaker 2>migrant labor migrant labors cut off here is that can

0:30:46.960 --> 0:30:48.200
<v Speaker 2>be a problem for some of these restaurants.

0:30:48.280 --> 0:30:52.000
<v Speaker 10>Well, it's a concern for the restaurant and industry in general.

0:30:52.200 --> 0:30:55.560
<v Speaker 10>Most of our companies are compliant, they are right, and

0:30:55.640 --> 0:30:57.760
<v Speaker 10>so they're not really too worried about it.

0:30:57.880 --> 0:31:00.520
<v Speaker 2>Our thanks to Michael Halen, Bloomberg Intelligence scene restaurant and

0:31:00.560 --> 0:31:01.479
<v Speaker 2>food service analyst.

0:31:01.920 --> 0:31:05.800
<v Speaker 3>This week, Bloomberg Intelligence hosted its fourth Generative Artificial Intelligence

0:31:05.840 --> 0:31:08.440
<v Speaker 3>Conference and there were some great lineups in terms of

0:31:08.480 --> 0:31:11.200
<v Speaker 3>how you apply and mag jen AI for more.

0:31:11.320 --> 0:31:14.400
<v Speaker 2>Alex and I were joined by Julie Choice, CMO of

0:31:14.560 --> 0:31:17.400
<v Speaker 2>Sarah Bros. We first to ask Julie where she thinks

0:31:17.440 --> 0:31:19.479
<v Speaker 2>we are with the changing views of AI.

0:31:20.040 --> 0:31:23.320
<v Speaker 11>Well, I think that AI is really kind of hitting

0:31:23.400 --> 0:31:28.320
<v Speaker 11>the mainstream more. I think that you know, chatchipt surfaced

0:31:28.360 --> 0:31:32.280
<v Speaker 11>at the end of was that twenty two? I mean technically,

0:31:32.320 --> 0:31:34.760
<v Speaker 11>I think the first model came out in twenty twenty two,

0:31:35.560 --> 0:31:37.880
<v Speaker 11>and it's been almost two and a half years since then,

0:31:38.520 --> 0:31:42.360
<v Speaker 11>and chatchipt has found its way into so much of

0:31:42.400 --> 0:31:45.560
<v Speaker 11>our lives, and so people are more comfortable with AI, right,

0:31:45.960 --> 0:31:48.960
<v Speaker 11>and so now I think we're just shifting into okay,

0:31:49.280 --> 0:31:52.560
<v Speaker 11>AI can be a part of my life. But it's

0:31:52.600 --> 0:31:53.840
<v Speaker 11>still early days.

0:31:54.080 --> 0:31:56.360
<v Speaker 3>So where do you sit then, in the in the

0:31:56.360 --> 0:31:57.480
<v Speaker 3>pyramid for AI?

0:31:58.280 --> 0:32:01.760
<v Speaker 11>So we are Cerebras makes this beautiful chip which is

0:32:01.800 --> 0:32:06.840
<v Speaker 11>basically AI infrastructure. We are the equivalent of Nvidia, so

0:32:06.880 --> 0:32:10.920
<v Speaker 11>in video GPUs, it's just an alternative type of processor

0:32:11.000 --> 0:32:15.360
<v Speaker 11>for AI. So we are the underlying compute that's powering

0:32:15.440 --> 0:32:18.800
<v Speaker 11>the training and running of models like CHET GPT.

0:32:19.760 --> 0:32:21.600
<v Speaker 2>I guess one of the questions now is people are

0:32:21.640 --> 0:32:23.760
<v Speaker 2>trying to just get a better handle on what the

0:32:23.880 --> 0:32:28.440
<v Speaker 2>compute needs are going forward. Gensen Wong at Nvidia remains

0:32:28.480 --> 0:32:31.200
<v Speaker 2>extraordinary bullish about that, and he has been, you know,

0:32:31.360 --> 0:32:35.360
<v Speaker 2>the voice of AI for many investors for the past

0:32:35.360 --> 0:32:36.600
<v Speaker 2>couple of years. Where do you think we are in

0:32:36.640 --> 0:32:37.400
<v Speaker 2>that compute need?

0:32:37.520 --> 0:32:41.720
<v Speaker 11>Oh my goodness, I completely agree with Jensen Hang. I've

0:32:41.720 --> 0:32:45.680
<v Speaker 11>been following Jensen kind of unofficially as a mentor. I

0:32:45.720 --> 0:32:50.080
<v Speaker 11>find him to be an incredibly inspiring leader. I agree.

0:32:50.280 --> 0:32:53.080
<v Speaker 11>I think that the compute needs for AI are ever

0:32:53.280 --> 0:32:58.840
<v Speaker 11>increasing now with models like GPT four O which and

0:32:59.000 --> 0:33:02.960
<v Speaker 11>the whole one series. These are like these reasoning models. Right.

0:33:03.160 --> 0:33:05.440
<v Speaker 11>I'm here in New York to go to the generative

0:33:05.480 --> 0:33:09.480
<v Speaker 11>AI scaling event that Bloomberg is hosting, and it's all

0:33:09.520 --> 0:33:14.120
<v Speaker 11>about this like inference time. Compute. Inference time requires a

0:33:14.200 --> 0:33:19.040
<v Speaker 11>tremendous amount of compute, and so we're still just scratching

0:33:19.040 --> 0:33:22.440
<v Speaker 11>the surface of how much compute is really needed for

0:33:22.560 --> 0:33:24.600
<v Speaker 11>this extra level of intelligence.

0:33:24.720 --> 0:33:26.960
<v Speaker 3>And do you play in the inference and the LM

0:33:27.240 --> 0:33:30.240
<v Speaker 3>space like the training and the usage you do both?

0:33:30.480 --> 0:33:30.760
<v Speaker 4>Yes?

0:33:30.840 --> 0:33:33.760
<v Speaker 11>Okay, yes, so cerebversus in both training and inference.

0:33:34.000 --> 0:33:38.320
<v Speaker 3>What is has demand for your products changed at all

0:33:38.440 --> 0:33:40.760
<v Speaker 3>since deep Seed came out in terms of pricing or

0:33:40.800 --> 0:33:41.720
<v Speaker 3>in terms of demand.

0:33:42.120 --> 0:33:44.920
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, I mean deep Seak happened in January and it

0:33:45.000 --> 0:33:48.720
<v Speaker 11>was such a big moment for the industry and we

0:33:49.120 --> 0:33:52.200
<v Speaker 11>immediately within forty eight hours of the news that big day,

0:33:52.680 --> 0:33:55.680
<v Speaker 11>we added deep Seek to our catalog of models. And

0:33:55.720 --> 0:33:59.000
<v Speaker 11>so what we do is we offer Lama models, Deep

0:33:59.040 --> 0:34:02.400
<v Speaker 11>Seek models, and other kinds of models to the developer

0:34:02.440 --> 0:34:06.960
<v Speaker 11>community right in our cloud. And our differentiation from GPUs

0:34:07.040 --> 0:34:10.360
<v Speaker 11>is that we're like twenty to seventy times faster in

0:34:10.480 --> 0:34:14.440
<v Speaker 11>terms of like that response time when you put in

0:34:14.480 --> 0:34:17.960
<v Speaker 11>a query. Our responses are about twenty to seventy times

0:34:18.000 --> 0:34:21.880
<v Speaker 11>faster because of the architecture being bigger, So deep Seek

0:34:22.000 --> 0:34:25.640
<v Speaker 11>really created this moment of developers coming at us saying,

0:34:25.719 --> 0:34:28.000
<v Speaker 11>oh my god, you guys have the fastest deep Seek.

0:34:28.040 --> 0:34:30.279
<v Speaker 11>We want to you know, we want we want that,

0:34:30.719 --> 0:34:32.960
<v Speaker 11>we want to see what that can do. And that's

0:34:33.000 --> 0:34:35.920
<v Speaker 11>led to a lot of prototyping. But what we do

0:34:35.960 --> 0:34:38.000
<v Speaker 11>see is that when it comes to developers that are

0:34:38.000 --> 0:34:41.960
<v Speaker 11>building AI businesses, there's a lot more usage of Lama.

0:34:42.120 --> 0:34:46.240
<v Speaker 11>So Meta Lama is probably still the most popular open

0:34:46.280 --> 0:34:48.880
<v Speaker 11>source AI model that is downloaded at least from the

0:34:48.920 --> 0:34:52.520
<v Speaker 11>Cerebraus cloud. And then we have customers like Perplexity and

0:34:52.640 --> 0:34:55.959
<v Speaker 11>mistral Alpha Sense based here in New York that are

0:34:56.040 --> 0:34:59.680
<v Speaker 11>kind of serving their adapted Lama models as well as

0:34:59.719 --> 0:35:01.040
<v Speaker 11>their own custom models.

0:35:01.320 --> 0:35:06.279
<v Speaker 2>So the deep Seak issue for the industry was, Hey,

0:35:06.320 --> 0:35:11.800
<v Speaker 2>here's this Chinese company coming out with an AI solution

0:35:11.920 --> 0:35:15.840
<v Speaker 2>at a much lower cost. Is that good or bad

0:35:15.960 --> 0:35:18.960
<v Speaker 2>or neither good or bad for the AI evolution?

0:35:19.440 --> 0:35:19.640
<v Speaker 7>Oh?

0:35:19.719 --> 0:35:23.440
<v Speaker 11>I think it's very good because deep Seek was a

0:35:23.520 --> 0:35:26.160
<v Speaker 11>state of the art model when it came out. It's

0:35:26.200 --> 0:35:28.840
<v Speaker 11>still one of the best models in the world, especially

0:35:28.880 --> 0:35:32.000
<v Speaker 11>I think with their at V three. And what it

0:35:32.160 --> 0:35:35.720
<v Speaker 11>proves is that when you can open source this level

0:35:35.760 --> 0:35:40.400
<v Speaker 11>of intelligence, You're bringing down the cost to developers and

0:35:40.480 --> 0:35:45.040
<v Speaker 11>it increases developer creativity. And so one of the things

0:35:45.040 --> 0:35:48.319
<v Speaker 11>that Cerebras is super passionate about is providing developers with

0:35:48.400 --> 0:35:52.680
<v Speaker 11>the best models open source or custom you know, fastest

0:35:52.800 --> 0:35:55.480
<v Speaker 11>at the best price. And so we were just very

0:35:55.480 --> 0:35:59.080
<v Speaker 11>excited when Deepseak open sourced, and clearly like the developers

0:35:59.080 --> 0:36:01.520
<v Speaker 11>were very excited as well. It was definitely kind of

0:36:01.520 --> 0:36:03.200
<v Speaker 11>an inflection moment.

0:36:03.360 --> 0:36:06.279
<v Speaker 3>In terms of what you're most excited about right now, Like,

0:36:06.280 --> 0:36:09.359
<v Speaker 3>what's the coolest use case you've seen when it comes

0:36:09.400 --> 0:36:11.160
<v Speaker 3>to training and when it comes to in fronts.

0:36:11.520 --> 0:36:14.279
<v Speaker 11>Fantastic question. So for training, I'm going to bring up

0:36:14.320 --> 0:36:19.239
<v Speaker 11>a healthcare use case. So one of our favorite partners,

0:36:19.360 --> 0:36:22.040
<v Speaker 11>and you know, we shouldn't have favorites, but I really

0:36:22.080 --> 0:36:25.680
<v Speaker 11>appreciate the work that Mayo Clinic has done in Cerebras.

0:36:26.000 --> 0:36:29.640
<v Speaker 11>They have been able to train world leading foundation model

0:36:29.840 --> 0:36:34.480
<v Speaker 11>using genomic data, and the point of their genomic model

0:36:34.600 --> 0:36:38.440
<v Speaker 11>is to help patients of rheumatoid arthritis. I have a

0:36:38.480 --> 0:36:41.040
<v Speaker 11>family member who's been struggling with this terrible disease for

0:36:41.080 --> 0:36:45.000
<v Speaker 11>a decade, and this AI model can help her find

0:36:45.040 --> 0:36:49.760
<v Speaker 11>the medicine that actually works much more quickly. I didn't

0:36:49.800 --> 0:36:55.080
<v Speaker 11>realize that actually rheumatoid arthritis generally forty percent fail rate

0:36:55.400 --> 0:36:58.280
<v Speaker 11>in terms of aligning the right medicine to the patient.

0:36:58.680 --> 0:37:01.279
<v Speaker 11>And so really proud of the work that the mail

0:37:01.320 --> 0:37:04.960
<v Speaker 11>Clinic team has done in partnership with Cerebris, training that

0:37:05.080 --> 0:37:08.680
<v Speaker 11>model super fast on our chip, releasing it in probably

0:37:08.760 --> 0:37:11.239
<v Speaker 11>less than nine months of development time. Wow on the

0:37:11.280 --> 0:37:14.719
<v Speaker 11>training side. On the inference side, I'm very excited to

0:37:14.760 --> 0:37:17.920
<v Speaker 11>be working with companies like Perplexity as well as Mistral.

0:37:18.239 --> 0:37:22.000
<v Speaker 11>These are some very very AI forward companies leading the

0:37:22.080 --> 0:37:26.839
<v Speaker 11>way in terms of disruptive search experiences for consumers and

0:37:27.640 --> 0:37:32.680
<v Speaker 11>amazing chat assistance, especially in Europe, and we're powering their

0:37:32.760 --> 0:37:33.960
<v Speaker 11>super fast results.

0:37:34.520 --> 0:37:37.719
<v Speaker 2>Your company, are you seeing any impacts of just the

0:37:37.840 --> 0:37:41.080
<v Speaker 2>uncertainty surrounding how this TWERFF policy will evolve? Is it

0:37:41.320 --> 0:37:43.200
<v Speaker 2>and your customers saying, you know, we're just going to

0:37:43.239 --> 0:37:44.920
<v Speaker 2>wait a little bit before we place an order or

0:37:44.920 --> 0:37:45.480
<v Speaker 2>something like that.

0:37:45.640 --> 0:37:49.320
<v Speaker 11>No, Actually, it's really all systems go Okay. Our customers

0:37:49.400 --> 0:37:52.640
<v Speaker 11>want the fastest inference speeds, they want the smartest models

0:37:52.640 --> 0:37:56.560
<v Speaker 11>in their applications. We're not waiting to find out. There's

0:37:56.600 --> 0:37:59.000
<v Speaker 11>no time to wait. We have to deliver the fastest

0:37:59.000 --> 0:38:00.640
<v Speaker 11>compute to the best Custos commers in the world.

0:38:01.120 --> 0:38:04.000
<v Speaker 3>Our thanks to Julie Choi, CMO of Sarah Bross.

0:38:04.600 --> 0:38:09.319
<v Speaker 1>This is the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast, available on Apple, Spotify,

0:38:09.480 --> 0:38:13.440
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0:38:13.680 --> 0:38:16.960
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