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Speaker 1: Lots up.

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Speaker 2: Guys, How are you welcome into a Sunday morning episode

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Speaker 2: of the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt Perrault.

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Speaker 1: What is up? Boys and girls?

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Speaker 2: If you are or if you missed yesterday, Yes, your

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Speaker 2: eyes and ears are not deceiving you. I am back

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Speaker 2: hosting this podcast once again and well as you would

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Speaker 2: probably expect it. The Juice hosted by Matt Perraulton. We're

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Speaker 2: down the Juiced in day number one, two and two.

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Speaker 2: Day yesterday, not great with Kansas and not great with Creighton,

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Speaker 2: but we got the Indiana victory and we got the

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Speaker 2: over in Iowa. So two and two down point two

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Speaker 2: units point two not two point two, so really not

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Speaker 2: a lot of blood at all lost, not great, flat

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Speaker 2: day zero day as we start this trek, now, a

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Speaker 2: couple things quickly here. When we do this every day,

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Speaker 2: there's going to be the ups and the downs. Okay,

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Speaker 2: we are in this for the long haul. We understand

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Speaker 2: that things are going to be great at times and

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Speaker 2: things aren't going to be great at times. We're gonna

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Speaker 2: get hot, we're gonna get cold, just the way that

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Speaker 2: this goes. Okay, the discord channel and the link is

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Speaker 2: underneath me for watching on YouTube, bettingpros dot Com, slash

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Speaker 2: chat to get in is a really fun place to be.

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Speaker 1: Now.

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Speaker 2: I'm taping this at ten fifteen Pacific time right now.

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Speaker 2: There's a UFC card going on right now. It's kind

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Speaker 2: of crazy, but it's fun to see all my night

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Speaker 2: owls who are up in the Discord channel hanging out

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Speaker 2: watching games and watching these fights. We just watched Saint

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Speaker 2: Mary's beat Gonzaga in overtime. That's what makes the Discord

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Speaker 2: Channel so fun to be a part of because you

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Speaker 2: when the podcast is going on or games I'm not.

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Speaker 1: Betting things you can get involved with.

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Speaker 2: You can hear and see what other people are playing,

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Speaker 2: and any live betting opportunities. I mean, I jumped in

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Speaker 2: with the Kansas minus four hit myself in the head

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Speaker 2: with that.

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Speaker 1: That was stupid of me to do that.

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Speaker 2: But other live bets I like to make, and other plays,

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Speaker 2: other thoughts I've got on the UFC main card tonight

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Speaker 2: and whatnot. So it's a really fun place to be

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Speaker 2: and it's a really great way to interact. If you

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Speaker 2: have any questions anything you want to run by me,

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Speaker 2: it's a great way of getting at me. My handle

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Speaker 2: on there is at Sports Talk Matt two point oh

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Speaker 2: everything else. Socially it's at sports Talk Map, but Discord

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Speaker 2: channel it's at it's at sportstok.

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Speaker 1: Map two point l and so it's just fun to

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Speaker 1: be back. It's fun.

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Speaker 2: Thank you for all the warm notes, DMS, messages, tweets

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Speaker 2: on Instagram and Twitter, DMS, everything you guys have done

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Speaker 2: to make me feel really welcome and warm coming back

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Speaker 2: into this. I couldn't be happier being back. So let's

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Speaker 2: get into it. And look, I hate today all right.

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Speaker 2: Today is a brutal day in betting. I only have

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Speaker 2: two plays, both in college basketball. I thought about looking

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Speaker 2: at NBA. I wanted to go ahead and take Memphis today.

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Speaker 2: I just can't stomach it. Overnight. I wanted to take

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Speaker 2: the Kings tonight. I can't stomach overnight. It's just too

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Speaker 2: difficult right now with the NBA. And I mean, the

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Speaker 2: NHL comes back tomorrow, thank goodness. So I got hockey

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Speaker 2: on Monday, so that will be fun to get into it.

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Speaker 2: We'll have hockey and we'll have college basketball, so we'll

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Speaker 2: have two sports to bet. I just find the NBA

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Speaker 2: almost unbettable right now, and it's just a simple. You

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Speaker 2: dislike on my part here when it comes to it,

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Speaker 2: But if you want to use a free opportunity or

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Speaker 2: an opportunity to get a they don't like the words

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Speaker 2: dollars for new users with the promo code juice juice

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Speaker 2: you get extra opportunities to bet. It's a big in

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Speaker 2: the industry right now. We're trying to figure out what's

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Speaker 2: the right word to say for what the books are

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Speaker 2: going to give you. And you're gonna give you a

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Speaker 2: chance to bet back and win back your money, I

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Speaker 2: guess is the best way of saying it. But it's

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Speaker 2: a pretty good offer from betmgm right now with that

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Speaker 2: new users with bet mgm. Okay, let's talk about Penn

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Speaker 2: State and Nebraska. Man alive. I think Penn State's winning

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Speaker 2: this game, okay, but the number worries me. It's over

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Speaker 2: a bucket Penn State's offense is there, but home teams

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Speaker 2: in college basketball in February, my spidy sense is going

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Speaker 2: off here with Nebraska. I'm a little concerned about laying

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Speaker 2: points on the road with a Penn State team, so

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Speaker 2: I think the total is a better thing to look at.

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Speaker 2: Total's one thirty six right now.

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Speaker 1: Now.

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Speaker 2: Ken Pom has this as essentially one thirty four, so

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Speaker 2: we're a little bit over on Kempom in terms of

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Speaker 2: they think it's going to be an under game. Here's

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Speaker 2: why I think we could see a lot of points

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Speaker 2: being scored in this game. Penn State's offense is pretty good.

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Speaker 2: Penn State's offense right now, if you look at kempom,

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Speaker 2: it's in the top twenty five for offensive efficiency this season.

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Speaker 2: Nebraska's defense is not bad either. Nebraska's offense, they don't

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Speaker 2: score okay, but Penn State defensively, they're not that good either.

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Speaker 2: They're nearly out to the top one hundred defensively. Nebraska

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Speaker 2: is at fifty three right now on Kempom for defensive

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Speaker 2: adjusted efficiency.

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Speaker 1: It's pretty good.

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Speaker 2: They don't give up a ton of offensive rebounds. They

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Speaker 2: hit their free throws, which is big when it comes

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Speaker 2: to betting overs, we want free throws. Penn State's not

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Speaker 2: great at that, but Penn State is in the top

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Speaker 2: twenty for three point percentage and they're also in the

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Speaker 2: top sixty for two point percentage, top twenty for free

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Speaker 2: throw percentage. We need them to hit shots today. Again,

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Speaker 2: if this over is gonna hit, we need Penn State

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Speaker 2: to cover most likely. Now, I said that about Iowa.

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Speaker 2: Iowa didn't cover that three point line last night. I

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Speaker 2: was thinking about laying the three points with Iowa, and

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Speaker 2: I said, all right, let's bet the over instead overhit.

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Speaker 2: I wouldn't cover Iowa on my two. I feel like

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Speaker 2: there's a similar thing going on here with Penn State

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Speaker 2: minus five. If I think Penn State could win this

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Speaker 2: game by four points and we don't cover, but the

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Speaker 2: over comes in a play at one thirty six, and

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Speaker 2: we get that, and I think it's a safer play

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Speaker 2: to come in and bet the over one thirty six

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Speaker 2: and just hope that Nebraska scores enough points to get

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Speaker 2: us there. Now, if you look at how these teams

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Speaker 2: have played over the last couple of weeks, Penn State

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Speaker 2: on the year is twelve and ten to the over.

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Speaker 2: Pen Nebraska is sixteen, six and one to the under.

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Speaker 2: But against the Big Ten, Nebraska's five and seven to

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Speaker 2: the over, so seven and five to the under not

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Speaker 2: as big of a margin seven and four to the

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Speaker 2: over for Penn State in the Big Ten, just six

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Speaker 2: and four to the under. They're an under team Penn

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Speaker 2: State on the road and Nebraska is abysmal. Okay two

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Speaker 2: seven and one to the over or seven to two

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Speaker 2: and one to the under at home this season, so

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Speaker 2: might go like, Matt, what are you doing well? The

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Speaker 2: Northwestern game went over by thirteen points. They gave up

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Speaker 2: seventy eight points to a Northwestern team that doesn't score

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Speaker 2: all that much. And three of the last four games

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Speaker 2: for Penn State has gone over over. Against Perdue, they

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Speaker 2: gave up eighty points to Purdue, they got killed eighty

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Speaker 2: to sixty. In their last game on the road, they

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Speaker 2: scored eighty three points against Michigan. At home, they gave

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Speaker 2: up sixty five points to Rutgers. That game went under

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Speaker 2: because they were ice cold in that one. But against

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Speaker 2: Nebraska they scored seventy six points. At home, Nebraska scored

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Speaker 2: sixty five and this game went over by six and

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Speaker 2: a half points. So change of venue and you go, okay,

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Speaker 2: the number is adjusted by a point and a half.

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Speaker 2: It's one thirty six. The previous total was one thirty

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Speaker 2: four and a half game went over by six and

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Speaker 2: a half points. Here we have one thirty six, so

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Speaker 2: essentially it's just a one possession difference. I need Nebraska

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Speaker 2: to score sixty five points or more. I think Penn

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Speaker 2: State's gonna get seventy or more. Let's get both teams

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Speaker 2: into the seventies here, and let's go over for one

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Speaker 2: point one units over Penn State and Nebraska. It might

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Speaker 2: be an ugly game, but it might be a better

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Speaker 2: game than we think. Because I can't get around to

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Speaker 2: bet Ohio State and Michigan, I don't know what to

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Speaker 2: do with that game.

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Speaker 1: That game is really hard to bet. I want to

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Speaker 1: bet Michigan.

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Speaker 2: My head says bet Michigan, but my better sports betting

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Speaker 2: acumen says Ohio State's live and be really careful with

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Speaker 2: Ohio State. Given that this is a rivalry game and

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Speaker 2: it's a big game on a Sunday. College basketball kind

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Speaker 2: of has it to their own here. With no hockey,

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Speaker 2: only a select number of NBA games being played, a

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Speaker 2: lot of college basketball fans are gonna be watching Big

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Speaker 2: ten basketball. Ohio State Michigan's the game of the day.

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Speaker 2: That's gonna be a lot of fun to watch. But

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Speaker 2: I lean Michigan, but I don't know what to do

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Speaker 2: with it. I couldn't come around to betting it. I

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Speaker 2: wanted to bet it, but I couldn't get there in

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Speaker 2: order to bet it. I was like, man, I want to,

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Speaker 2: I want to, I want to, but I couldn't do it.

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Speaker 2: So there's a cool thing betting Pros has got going on,

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Speaker 2: something that's been added here since I actually left, and

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Speaker 2: now to the Betting Pros YouTube channel and comment below

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Speaker 2: on this video. And they made me say that, by

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Speaker 2: the way, so don't get don't make fun of me.

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Speaker 2: Should be underneath me, now below me, because when you do,

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Speaker 2: That's bettingpros dot com slash upgrade and start betting smarter,

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Speaker 2: not harder. All right, let's go into bet number two

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Speaker 2: on the day, and this one's going to be interesting.

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Speaker 2: Houston against Temple, number one team in the country in

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Speaker 2: action on the road. Again what I talked about earlier.

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Speaker 2: It's February. Home teams in February. Man Saint Mary's. They

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Speaker 2: knocked off Gonzaga. They're ten and zero now in conference.

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Speaker 2: They were at home, Indiana at home, Iowa State at home,

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Speaker 2: Creighton at home. Okay, home teams in February, here's Temple

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Speaker 2: at home. It's a game on ESPN two six pm

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Speaker 2: Eastern time starts for this one. Houston lost to Temple

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Speaker 2: at home just three games ago. They were nineteen point

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Speaker 2: favorites and they lost by one. They turned around and

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Speaker 2: beat Central Florida. But then they didn't cover against Cincinnati,

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Speaker 2: and they didn't cover against Wichita. These numbers are inflated

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Speaker 2: because Houston was so good against the spread earlier in

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Speaker 2: the year. Temple is playing extremely well right now. They

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Speaker 2: are eight and two ATS over their last ten games.

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Speaker 2: They are seven and five at home ATS. But they're

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Speaker 2: playing much better, four and one over their last five.

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Speaker 2: And get this, in conference play, Temple is eight and

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Speaker 2: two ats Houston. Because they're a top ranked team, and

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Speaker 2: because people pay attention to them, they got the little

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Speaker 2: number one against their name. The numbers get inflated, the

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Speaker 2: numbers eleven and a half here for Houston on the road.

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Speaker 2: I got a home dog at plus eleven and a

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Speaker 2: half and a team that just beat Houston outright as

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Speaker 2: nineteen point dogs in their place. So while the narrative

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Speaker 2: is here, comes Houston angry mad and they're not going

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Speaker 2: to get into the foul shooting fight that they got

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Speaker 2: into in the first matchup. Maybe maybe not. Temple just

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Speaker 2: wants to go ahead and make this thing really ugly.

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Speaker 2: I lean towards the under in this game, but the

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Speaker 2: totals one thirty one and a half, I mean, this

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Speaker 2: is just really really low. And Houston conference play wise,

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Speaker 2: they're seven and three to the over in conference play,

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Speaker 2: and it really concerns me with the last game was

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Speaker 2: fifth fifty six fifty five. If Temple is going to

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Speaker 2: win the game outright, the under is going to hit, okay,

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Speaker 2: So you want to bet you can correlate this even

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Speaker 2: if you want you want to get a little funky,

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Speaker 2: you can take the eleven and a half the points.

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Speaker 2: You can correlated with the under and go ahead and

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Speaker 2: just under in the dog. Right.

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Speaker 1: A lot of times it's favorite and over. This is

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Speaker 1: under and dog.

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Speaker 2: If you want to correlate the two and do a parlay,

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Speaker 2: you might get yourself a little extra.

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Speaker 1: If you want to go ahead and jump on that,

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Speaker 1: I don't mind doing that.

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Speaker 2: I'm just going to take the eleven and a half points,

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Speaker 2: and I hope that we see a very similar game

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Speaker 2: that we saw on the twenty second in January, which

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Speaker 2: is going to be a very low scoring game. Grind

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Speaker 2: it out, free throw contest, just burn that shot clock

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Speaker 2: right down, and you get the home crowd for Temple.

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Speaker 2: You got this rocking atmosphere in Philadelphia. It's been a

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Speaker 2: big run for Philadelphia lately. Right, you can get a

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Speaker 2: lot of really cool story lines with the Eagles and

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Speaker 2: the Sixers.

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Speaker 1: Flyers aren't really doing their park.

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Speaker 2: But this is a home game for Temple, and if

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Speaker 2: they can withstand the early punch from the Cougars that

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Speaker 2: will come in the first five minutes themselves, there ride

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Speaker 2: the home court. I'll take the eleven and a half.

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Speaker 2: I do lean towards the under, but one point one units.

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Speaker 2: We're going with Temple plus eleven and a half at

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Speaker 2: home up against Houston here today. So, like you mentioned,

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Speaker 2: I don't like the card. I'm not gonna go heavy.

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Speaker 2: I'm not going to force it here today. We got

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Speaker 2: a lot to bet on Monday. I'm headed to the

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Speaker 2: super Bowl on Monday, so we got a lot of

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Speaker 2: cool things coming up with that and picks and plays

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Speaker 2: and prop bets and we'll have a ton of stuff

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Speaker 2: coming for the super Bowl with the Eagles and the Chiefs.

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Speaker 2: But I'm just gonna kind of go into a Sunday

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Speaker 2: and not force my hand here and just do two

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Speaker 2: bets and we're gonna go and take the over Penn

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Speaker 2: State Nebraska one thirty six, and we're gonna take Temple

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Speaker 2: at plus eleven and a half at home coming up

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Speaker 2: against Houston. You guys can follow me on Twitter at

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Speaker 2: sports Talk Matts in the Discord channel at Sports Talk

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Speaker 2: Matt two point zero.

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Speaker 1: As well every single morning. Great to be back with you.

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Speaker 2: It's They'll Juice podcast being brought to you by BETMGM

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Speaker 1: Besant and Beside and preside to present