1 00:00:01,160 --> 00:00:05,519 Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody, the betting pros. This is wild Card weekend. 2 00:00:05,559 --> 00:00:08,119 Speaker 1: It is me, Joey p Joe, Pi's Apia, and with 3 00:00:08,160 --> 00:00:11,160 Speaker 1: me is Matt Paroult, the sports Matt in case you 4 00:00:11,240 --> 00:00:13,680 Speaker 1: didn't know, he's hanging out with me. We're gonna talking 5 00:00:13,760 --> 00:00:16,239 Speaker 1: to Wildcard Action. We've got a bunch of games coming 6 00:00:16,280 --> 00:00:19,560 Speaker 1: up in the NFL this weekend, and I gotta tell you, Parolt, 7 00:00:20,079 --> 00:00:22,720 Speaker 1: I know something's gonna go sideways. It's the nature of 8 00:00:22,760 --> 00:00:25,640 Speaker 1: the beast, especially on Wildcard weekend, and I do think 9 00:00:25,640 --> 00:00:27,200 Speaker 1: there might be a team or two that's in a 10 00:00:27,200 --> 00:00:29,720 Speaker 1: good spot to cover. But man, oh man, it feels 11 00:00:29,720 --> 00:00:31,600 Speaker 1: a little chalk to me. It feels like some of 12 00:00:31,640 --> 00:00:35,040 Speaker 1: these teams are punching out of their weight class, and 13 00:00:35,120 --> 00:00:38,199 Speaker 1: I feel like the chalk is kind of where I 14 00:00:38,240 --> 00:00:40,519 Speaker 1: can't get away from. Matt Parolt. Are you having the 15 00:00:40,520 --> 00:00:42,760 Speaker 1: same problems I am, as you're trying to break this down. 16 00:00:43,440 --> 00:00:45,319 Speaker 2: I don't know. And good to see it and good 17 00:00:45,360 --> 00:00:46,680 Speaker 2: to do this now on the betting. 18 00:00:46,880 --> 00:00:48,800 Speaker 1: And it's good to see you too. So it's the 19 00:00:48,840 --> 00:00:51,879 Speaker 1: way I love you. It's good to see you. We're 20 00:00:51,920 --> 00:00:54,200 Speaker 1: happy that drown Mayo's not our coach. Anymore. I think 21 00:00:54,360 --> 00:00:56,920 Speaker 1: I think we're looking forward to that. So pleasantries aside. 22 00:00:56,960 --> 00:00:57,400 Speaker 1: Let's get to this. 23 00:00:57,600 --> 00:00:58,680 Speaker 2: Yes, this was on Discord. 24 00:00:58,720 --> 00:01:00,440 Speaker 3: Now we're moving over to the video st of things, 25 00:01:00,480 --> 00:01:02,400 Speaker 3: so thanks for the guys who've made the transition over 26 00:01:02,400 --> 00:01:04,440 Speaker 3: from Discord over here to the Benicros YouTube channel. 27 00:01:04,480 --> 00:01:06,360 Speaker 2: Will do this every Tuesday now during the playoffs. 28 00:01:06,360 --> 00:01:09,040 Speaker 3: But I think what's interesting about this weekend is that 29 00:01:09,080 --> 00:01:14,240 Speaker 3: we have never seen a betting five day experience like this, 30 00:01:14,800 --> 00:01:17,319 Speaker 3: where we have a national semi final on Thursday, we 31 00:01:17,360 --> 00:01:19,800 Speaker 3: have a National semi final on Friday, we have two 32 00:01:19,840 --> 00:01:22,120 Speaker 3: games on Saturday, three games on Sunday, and one game 33 00:01:22,160 --> 00:01:22,640 Speaker 3: on Monday. 34 00:01:23,160 --> 00:01:24,880 Speaker 2: So we have just an. 35 00:01:24,800 --> 00:01:30,080 Speaker 3: Incredible amount of opportunities to bet on big, meaningful football games. 36 00:01:30,600 --> 00:01:32,640 Speaker 3: And the first and foremost the advice is to pace 37 00:01:32,680 --> 00:01:35,880 Speaker 3: yourself because you can get yourself in trouble pretty quickly here. 38 00:01:35,920 --> 00:01:38,280 Speaker 3: Because the number of prop betting markets and the number 39 00:01:38,319 --> 00:01:40,320 Speaker 3: of opportunities you're going to have for both the college 40 00:01:40,360 --> 00:01:43,000 Speaker 3: and the pro playoffs is going to be significant. So 41 00:01:43,840 --> 00:01:47,440 Speaker 3: I think from that standpoint, be careful, find your spots, 42 00:01:47,600 --> 00:01:49,760 Speaker 3: be judicious with the picks you're going to play on. 43 00:01:50,000 --> 00:01:51,920 Speaker 2: Don't just fire blindly and go crazy. 44 00:01:52,360 --> 00:01:54,680 Speaker 3: I do think there's something to be said about the 45 00:01:54,760 --> 00:01:56,920 Speaker 3: haves and the have nots in the NFL, and I 46 00:01:56,920 --> 00:01:59,600 Speaker 3: think we're going to learn it pretty quickly here on Saturday, 47 00:01:59,680 --> 00:02:01,920 Speaker 3: because I can't wait see what the Chargers are going 48 00:02:01,960 --> 00:02:02,680 Speaker 3: to do here. 49 00:02:03,000 --> 00:02:05,680 Speaker 2: Because they got a shot to beat the Chiefs. 50 00:02:06,240 --> 00:02:09,280 Speaker 3: If they can win this first game as a road favorite, 51 00:02:09,440 --> 00:02:12,800 Speaker 3: go in the win and move on. Because the Texans 52 00:02:12,840 --> 00:02:16,320 Speaker 3: are I don't know who's worse, Houston or Pittsburgh, but 53 00:02:16,639 --> 00:02:17,560 Speaker 3: one of the two is. 54 00:02:17,520 --> 00:02:20,239 Speaker 1: Just they're both like to answer that question, Can I 55 00:02:20,280 --> 00:02:23,680 Speaker 1: weigh in, Yeah, I think it's Houston because I think, well, 56 00:02:23,720 --> 00:02:25,000 Speaker 1: I think I think when you have a team that 57 00:02:25,040 --> 00:02:28,680 Speaker 1: creates the turnover differential that Pittsburgh does, that allows you 58 00:02:28,720 --> 00:02:32,240 Speaker 1: to stay in games and that also changes mojo in 59 00:02:32,400 --> 00:02:35,480 Speaker 1: big games and playoff situations too. When you create turnovers, 60 00:02:35,480 --> 00:02:36,919 Speaker 1: you gotta go like make if it's Patrick, you know, 61 00:02:36,960 --> 00:02:38,639 Speaker 1: when you got the pass rush, you have where you 62 00:02:38,639 --> 00:02:41,560 Speaker 1: can get after the quarterback, you can create turnovers, you 63 00:02:41,600 --> 00:02:45,480 Speaker 1: can create pressure. That is something that's very important. How However, 64 00:02:45,560 --> 00:02:47,480 Speaker 1: you know, despite the fact that you have those guys 65 00:02:47,480 --> 00:02:50,800 Speaker 1: on the edge, Weill Anderson's a great player. The strength 66 00:02:50,960 --> 00:02:54,720 Speaker 1: of the Chargers for me is Slater. It's all. It's 67 00:02:54,760 --> 00:02:56,640 Speaker 1: those guys on the edge. So it's like when your 68 00:02:56,760 --> 00:02:59,040 Speaker 1: strength kind of matches one of the air strings, it 69 00:02:59,080 --> 00:03:01,079 Speaker 1: feels kind of neutral. What do you think of that? 70 00:03:01,120 --> 00:03:01,360 Speaker 2: Take? 71 00:03:01,600 --> 00:03:01,680 Speaker 3: No? 72 00:03:01,760 --> 00:03:03,760 Speaker 2: I like it, And I think it comes down to JK. 73 00:03:03,880 --> 00:03:06,560 Speaker 3: Dobbins and the ability for the Chargers to run the football, 74 00:03:06,600 --> 00:03:08,480 Speaker 3: because this is what Harball's going to try to do, 75 00:03:09,120 --> 00:03:11,280 Speaker 3: run the ball. I think the game is a dead under. 76 00:03:11,680 --> 00:03:14,240 Speaker 3: I mean the Charger games have been dead under all year. 77 00:03:14,520 --> 00:03:16,160 Speaker 3: I think this week is going to be a dead under. 78 00:03:16,440 --> 00:03:19,240 Speaker 3: I think there's going to be I mean, a couple 79 00:03:19,240 --> 00:03:20,960 Speaker 3: of games that could be really sleepy. They we'll get 80 00:03:20,960 --> 00:03:22,800 Speaker 3: to here this weekend. They may not be all that exciting. 81 00:03:22,800 --> 00:03:24,160 Speaker 3: And I think this is one of them. With Houston 82 00:03:24,200 --> 00:03:26,920 Speaker 3: Hope posting the Chargers. But there's just so much on 83 00:03:26,960 --> 00:03:30,919 Speaker 3: the table here for Justin Herbert to change the narrative 84 00:03:30,960 --> 00:03:33,640 Speaker 3: that like, this is a guy who can live up 85 00:03:33,680 --> 00:03:35,880 Speaker 3: to what the Chargers thought he was going to be 86 00:03:35,960 --> 00:03:38,040 Speaker 3: when they drafted him out of Oregon, that he can 87 00:03:38,080 --> 00:03:40,960 Speaker 3: be the quarterback that makes the play the throw that 88 00:03:41,000 --> 00:03:43,640 Speaker 3: they will need to, you know, pick up a third 89 00:03:43,680 --> 00:03:46,240 Speaker 3: and four in the fourth quarter to keep a drive alive, 90 00:03:46,520 --> 00:03:48,760 Speaker 3: to be able to score if they're down by four points, 91 00:03:48,800 --> 00:03:50,560 Speaker 3: can you go on a drive and score a touchdown 92 00:03:50,560 --> 00:03:52,760 Speaker 3: and take your team to to the second level, to 93 00:03:52,760 --> 00:03:56,680 Speaker 3: the second season or second weekend. I'm really curious because 94 00:03:56,720 --> 00:03:59,720 Speaker 3: I like the Chargers a lot. If they go to Arrowhead, 95 00:03:59,760 --> 00:04:02,040 Speaker 3: I think that's the team the Chargers that the Chiefs 96 00:04:02,080 --> 00:04:05,080 Speaker 3: do not want to see. We've seen near misses in 97 00:04:05,120 --> 00:04:07,960 Speaker 3: the playoffs or in the regular season between the Chargers 98 00:04:08,280 --> 00:04:11,200 Speaker 3: and the Broncos at Arrowhead, where those teams are not 99 00:04:11,280 --> 00:04:14,000 Speaker 3: afraid to go in there. They have experience and they're 100 00:04:14,080 --> 00:04:17,120 Speaker 3: used to it. Everyone's looking forward to Buffalo taking on 101 00:04:17,360 --> 00:04:20,560 Speaker 3: the Chiefs. I'm not so sure we get it, because 102 00:04:20,760 --> 00:04:22,560 Speaker 3: I do think the Chargers will have a shot, but 103 00:04:22,560 --> 00:04:24,560 Speaker 3: they got to get past the Texans first. 104 00:04:25,360 --> 00:04:27,560 Speaker 1: I think the Chiefs are hitting their stride at the 105 00:04:27,600 --> 00:04:30,360 Speaker 1: time where the league should be afraid. They got healthy. 106 00:04:30,480 --> 00:04:32,120 Speaker 1: At the end. My home is starting to drop three 107 00:04:32,200 --> 00:04:34,159 Speaker 1: hundred yard games. They have a week off. They know 108 00:04:34,200 --> 00:04:36,479 Speaker 1: how to prepare with a week off, not all every 109 00:04:36,480 --> 00:04:38,520 Speaker 1: team does. Sometimes you get that buy you don't know 110 00:04:38,560 --> 00:04:41,120 Speaker 1: what to do with yourself. Andy Reid understands what to 111 00:04:41,120 --> 00:04:43,440 Speaker 1: do to prepare his team. And again, I hate that 112 00:04:43,520 --> 00:04:45,400 Speaker 1: it's chalk. I hate that the World Series this year 113 00:04:45,520 --> 00:04:48,320 Speaker 1: was the Yankees and the Dodgers. It was especially as 114 00:04:48,320 --> 00:04:50,800 Speaker 1: a Mets fan, it was super annoying to me. However, 115 00:04:51,000 --> 00:04:54,040 Speaker 1: I will tell you, looking ahead here, it feels like 116 00:04:54,080 --> 00:04:56,200 Speaker 1: a finite group here where we're still in that lock 117 00:04:56,279 --> 00:04:58,400 Speaker 1: of like there's probably five teams that have a shot 118 00:04:58,400 --> 00:05:01,200 Speaker 1: for this Legitimately, maybe somebody ends up being spoiler. Let's 119 00:05:01,240 --> 00:05:03,520 Speaker 1: start with this game though, too, because you're because I'm 120 00:05:03,520 --> 00:05:05,440 Speaker 1: fixated on this one too. I don't know if this 121 00:05:05,640 --> 00:05:08,200 Speaker 1: three is even enough here with the Chargers. I think 122 00:05:08,240 --> 00:05:10,240 Speaker 1: the Charger are gonna go in there and really kick 123 00:05:10,279 --> 00:05:12,239 Speaker 1: the crap out of the Houston Texas. To be honest 124 00:05:12,279 --> 00:05:14,880 Speaker 1: with you, Yeah, that being said, do you think there's 125 00:05:14,920 --> 00:05:16,880 Speaker 1: any teasing of this line? Do you want to move 126 00:05:16,880 --> 00:05:19,080 Speaker 1: this line at all because of your confidence level in 127 00:05:19,400 --> 00:05:23,039 Speaker 1: coaching quarterback? Because I feel like coaching quarterback matters so 128 00:05:23,120 --> 00:05:24,760 Speaker 1: much here when you get into the playoffs and it 129 00:05:24,800 --> 00:05:28,000 Speaker 1: feels like that group is really solidified, has played well 130 00:05:28,040 --> 00:05:29,520 Speaker 1: down the stretch. What do you think about this? Or 131 00:05:29,600 --> 00:05:30,680 Speaker 1: you want to just stay with the three. 132 00:05:30,800 --> 00:05:33,760 Speaker 3: Yeah, if I was gonna move it would I would 133 00:05:33,760 --> 00:05:35,000 Speaker 3: look at the total to move. 134 00:05:35,040 --> 00:05:37,440 Speaker 2: I wouldn't move the side. I mean three two and 135 00:05:37,480 --> 00:05:37,800 Speaker 2: a half. 136 00:05:37,920 --> 00:05:39,560 Speaker 3: It's you know at DraftKings you can get two and 137 00:05:39,560 --> 00:05:42,479 Speaker 3: a half minus twenty. Right now, most everybody else is 138 00:05:42,520 --> 00:05:44,400 Speaker 3: at three. I think that's going to be the prevailing 139 00:05:44,480 --> 00:05:47,720 Speaker 3: number by the close of business today. Everyone's gonna be 140 00:05:47,800 --> 00:05:51,440 Speaker 3: on three. I don't trust the Texans plus nine or 141 00:05:51,440 --> 00:05:51,960 Speaker 3: plus ten. 142 00:05:52,240 --> 00:05:52,800 Speaker 2: I just don't. 143 00:05:53,160 --> 00:05:55,360 Speaker 3: I think they've had such a difficult time scoring without 144 00:05:55,400 --> 00:05:59,320 Speaker 3: Tank Dell. You can neutralize Nico Collins, and frankly, their 145 00:05:59,400 --> 00:06:01,679 Speaker 3: running game is not been the same. Their offensive line 146 00:06:01,720 --> 00:06:04,000 Speaker 3: is a huge problem, and we know the Chargers can 147 00:06:04,000 --> 00:06:07,200 Speaker 3: get after the get up the quarterback and rush it 148 00:06:07,240 --> 00:06:10,480 Speaker 3: and create problem for CJ. Stroud, who really has regressed. 149 00:06:10,960 --> 00:06:13,680 Speaker 3: And frankly, the coaching as well has regressed. I think 150 00:06:13,680 --> 00:06:16,080 Speaker 3: we were also enamored with a first year head coach 151 00:06:16,120 --> 00:06:18,680 Speaker 3: with a first year quarterback and how great they were 152 00:06:18,800 --> 00:06:22,080 Speaker 3: last year. But they have really taken a step backwards 153 00:06:22,279 --> 00:06:25,200 Speaker 3: both coaching and quarterback play this year that I don't 154 00:06:25,200 --> 00:06:27,440 Speaker 3: think I even trust them at a ten point number. 155 00:06:27,560 --> 00:06:29,800 Speaker 3: I think you're right that this game could get ugly 156 00:06:29,880 --> 00:06:31,760 Speaker 3: and be a fourteen point I mean, this could be 157 00:06:31,800 --> 00:06:32,400 Speaker 3: a twenty. 158 00:06:32,240 --> 00:06:33,320 Speaker 2: To three type final. 159 00:06:33,680 --> 00:06:36,240 Speaker 3: Like it has that type of feel to me where 160 00:06:36,279 --> 00:06:39,600 Speaker 3: the Chargers just suffocate this offense for the Texans and 161 00:06:39,640 --> 00:06:41,240 Speaker 3: they can't do anything, and. 162 00:06:41,200 --> 00:06:43,320 Speaker 2: We've seen them be blown out at home late in 163 00:06:43,360 --> 00:06:43,760 Speaker 2: the year. 164 00:06:44,880 --> 00:06:46,800 Speaker 3: I don't like the Texans at all here in this game, 165 00:06:46,800 --> 00:06:48,320 Speaker 3: but I think the under is the best play. And 166 00:06:48,400 --> 00:06:51,160 Speaker 3: just you know, it's dropping opened at forty four, it's 167 00:06:51,160 --> 00:06:52,680 Speaker 3: down to forty two and a half. If you like 168 00:06:52,720 --> 00:06:54,560 Speaker 3: the under, I'd take it now because that numbers is 169 00:06:54,560 --> 00:06:57,080 Speaker 3: going to keep on going down as the week progresses. 170 00:06:57,680 --> 00:06:59,160 Speaker 1: You make a great point with the offensive line of 171 00:06:59,160 --> 00:07:00,880 Speaker 1: the Texas too, something I brought up yesterday on the 172 00:07:00,920 --> 00:07:02,840 Speaker 1: look Ahead show. You go back and watch that on 173 00:07:02,880 --> 00:07:05,560 Speaker 1: our YouTube. Of course, make sure you subscribe, and of 174 00:07:05,560 --> 00:07:08,400 Speaker 1: course if you've got comments here, questions, drop them in 175 00:07:08,440 --> 00:07:10,040 Speaker 1: the chats and if you want a super chat, we'll 176 00:07:10,040 --> 00:07:13,120 Speaker 1: get it into in this half hour for sure. Let's 177 00:07:13,160 --> 00:07:15,840 Speaker 1: move on to Baltimore Pittsburgh. This is three point zero, 178 00:07:15,880 --> 00:07:17,680 Speaker 1: so a third time they're going to play. I was 179 00:07:17,800 --> 00:07:19,720 Speaker 1: very much on Baltimore the last time this team played. 180 00:07:19,760 --> 00:07:22,600 Speaker 1: It felt like Lamar Jackson was ready to exercise the demons, 181 00:07:23,120 --> 00:07:26,440 Speaker 1: and he absolutely did. And they are another team rolling, 182 00:07:26,960 --> 00:07:29,440 Speaker 1: whereas Pittsburgh feels like they are rolling down the other 183 00:07:29,480 --> 00:07:31,680 Speaker 1: side of the hill. I mean, losing four straight games 184 00:07:32,760 --> 00:07:35,240 Speaker 1: plus ten is a lot in division teams. I know 185 00:07:35,280 --> 00:07:38,239 Speaker 1: they are built to play each other. But Matt, once again, 186 00:07:38,280 --> 00:07:41,280 Speaker 1: from everything you're seeing on offense with Pittsburgh, can they 187 00:07:41,400 --> 00:07:43,440 Speaker 1: hang with Baltimore? And I don't want to take too 188 00:07:43,520 --> 00:07:46,000 Speaker 1: much out of the Baltimore Ravens defense playing better because 189 00:07:46,040 --> 00:07:49,040 Speaker 1: some of the offenses that they've played here since the 190 00:07:49,120 --> 00:07:52,680 Speaker 1: break are not exactly world beating offenses. So where are 191 00:07:52,680 --> 00:07:54,640 Speaker 1: you at with this ten? I know it's a big number, 192 00:07:54,840 --> 00:07:57,440 Speaker 1: but it just feels like Baltimore is I don't know 193 00:07:57,520 --> 00:07:59,640 Speaker 1: the far superior offense at this point. 194 00:08:00,080 --> 00:08:02,520 Speaker 2: So my co host on my other show is from Pittsburgh, 195 00:08:02,880 --> 00:08:03,960 Speaker 2: and I said to him. 196 00:08:03,880 --> 00:08:06,520 Speaker 1: We won't hold that against him. I said, night, Scott book. Now, 197 00:08:06,560 --> 00:08:08,160 Speaker 1: he's not from Pittsburgh. He just loves the steal. 198 00:08:08,240 --> 00:08:09,720 Speaker 3: I said nine and a half and he went it 199 00:08:09,720 --> 00:08:11,880 Speaker 3: should be ten. I was like, what he goes, number 200 00:08:11,880 --> 00:08:13,560 Speaker 3: should be ten, should be nine and half, should be ten? 201 00:08:14,080 --> 00:08:17,240 Speaker 3: And we have this running joke that when Pittsburgh plays Baltimore, 202 00:08:17,520 --> 00:08:19,840 Speaker 3: the number is the easiest number for any book maker 203 00:08:19,920 --> 00:08:21,560 Speaker 3: to make. All they have to do is do three, 204 00:08:21,840 --> 00:08:25,640 Speaker 3: Pittsburgh Baltimore three. It's been that way every single time 205 00:08:25,760 --> 00:08:28,560 Speaker 3: these teams play numbers three. It depends on who's at 206 00:08:28,560 --> 00:08:30,640 Speaker 3: home versus who's favored to who's a dog. But you 207 00:08:30,720 --> 00:08:32,200 Speaker 3: just put the three up in a way you go. 208 00:08:33,240 --> 00:08:36,360 Speaker 3: Ten is incredible. I mean, it shows you what the 209 00:08:36,400 --> 00:08:40,520 Speaker 3: market thinks of one Russell Wilson to the offense, but 210 00:08:40,640 --> 00:08:43,640 Speaker 3: also the defense for Pittsburgh. The fact that the defense 211 00:08:43,679 --> 00:08:46,560 Speaker 3: has not been able to overcome the offensive deficiency is 212 00:08:46,600 --> 00:08:49,080 Speaker 3: to keep them in football games because the offense is 213 00:08:49,080 --> 00:08:51,680 Speaker 3: turning the football over at such a crazy rate that 214 00:08:51,720 --> 00:08:54,080 Speaker 3: the defense can't do much when they're you know, their 215 00:08:54,080 --> 00:08:56,520 Speaker 3: back to against their goal line the entire game. They 216 00:08:56,520 --> 00:08:59,240 Speaker 3: can't stop guys like Lamar Jackson, who's having an MVP 217 00:08:59,360 --> 00:09:02,440 Speaker 3: caliber season. And so I don't know that the books 218 00:09:02,440 --> 00:09:04,720 Speaker 3: were at nine or nine and a half as teaser 219 00:09:04,760 --> 00:09:06,559 Speaker 3: protection for six point teasers. 220 00:09:06,840 --> 00:09:07,760 Speaker 2: It's now at ten. 221 00:09:08,000 --> 00:09:09,960 Speaker 3: I think the only way you would tease this game 222 00:09:10,000 --> 00:09:11,920 Speaker 3: is by doing a seven point teaser and pull it 223 00:09:11,960 --> 00:09:14,520 Speaker 3: down to minus three, which is the number we talked about, 224 00:09:14,920 --> 00:09:16,760 Speaker 3: and take Ravens minus three. 225 00:09:17,280 --> 00:09:18,680 Speaker 2: I don't know what to do with the total. 226 00:09:18,840 --> 00:09:21,520 Speaker 3: It feels like the game should fly over, just given 227 00:09:21,559 --> 00:09:23,600 Speaker 3: where Pittsburgh has been this year. They've been touch an 228 00:09:23,640 --> 00:09:26,800 Speaker 3: overteam because their offense has been able to score. But 229 00:09:26,920 --> 00:09:29,640 Speaker 3: with the pickins problem and the lack of running game 230 00:09:29,640 --> 00:09:33,520 Speaker 3: for Pittsburgh Baltimore's defense. You talk about hitting the stride, 231 00:09:33,559 --> 00:09:35,319 Speaker 3: and people have talked a lot about the Chiefs getting 232 00:09:35,360 --> 00:09:38,240 Speaker 3: right and getting healthy. Not enough people are talking about 233 00:09:38,240 --> 00:09:41,120 Speaker 3: the Ravens defense. That the Ravens defense in the last 234 00:09:41,120 --> 00:09:45,360 Speaker 3: six weeks has really changed the narrative and they're playing 235 00:09:45,640 --> 00:09:49,440 Speaker 3: really well defensively, and their secondary, which was much maligned 236 00:09:49,559 --> 00:09:51,720 Speaker 3: for much of the entire year for giving up huge 237 00:09:51,800 --> 00:09:55,960 Speaker 3: yardage and huge amounts of scoring, has quietly turned into 238 00:09:56,000 --> 00:09:58,360 Speaker 3: a playoff caliber defense for harball. 239 00:09:59,280 --> 00:10:02,000 Speaker 1: All right, we will take a look at that and 240 00:10:02,040 --> 00:10:04,720 Speaker 1: see if thirty four to seventeen, by the way, the 241 00:10:04,800 --> 00:10:06,920 Speaker 1: last score between these two teams, so the three was 242 00:10:06,920 --> 00:10:10,200 Speaker 1: not gonna hold that time. Just saying it again, I 243 00:10:10,240 --> 00:10:12,480 Speaker 1: look at this. I've watched the Steelers play these last 244 00:10:12,480 --> 00:10:15,600 Speaker 1: few weeks. I just feel like they're out of their 245 00:10:15,600 --> 00:10:17,720 Speaker 1: class right now with Baltimore the way they're playing, if 246 00:10:17,720 --> 00:10:19,640 Speaker 1: this was in Pittsburgh, maybe I feel a little differently, 247 00:10:19,720 --> 00:10:21,200 Speaker 1: maybe as being a little tighter. Maybe there's not going 248 00:10:21,280 --> 00:10:25,000 Speaker 1: to be eight or something like that. But I mean, 249 00:10:25,360 --> 00:10:28,240 Speaker 1: I get it. I mean and Russell Wilson right now, 250 00:10:28,280 --> 00:10:30,559 Speaker 1: I have zero confidence in. I don't think he can 251 00:10:30,640 --> 00:10:32,680 Speaker 1: do two minute drives. I don't think the fact that 252 00:10:32,720 --> 00:10:34,840 Speaker 1: they were trying to go down the field in the 253 00:10:34,840 --> 00:10:36,560 Speaker 1: first half of that game on that fourth and one 254 00:10:36,640 --> 00:10:38,360 Speaker 1: and think, oh, it's forty seconds, we have a timeout, 255 00:10:38,360 --> 00:10:40,360 Speaker 1: we can go sixty yards. No, you can't. You see 256 00:10:40,360 --> 00:10:42,360 Speaker 1: this offense. What are you thinking about? And then you 257 00:10:42,400 --> 00:10:44,720 Speaker 1: give up a three because you go for that fourth 258 00:10:44,720 --> 00:10:46,640 Speaker 1: and one and next thing you know, they kick that 259 00:10:46,679 --> 00:10:48,680 Speaker 1: field goal and you nw lose him by a couple points. 260 00:10:48,760 --> 00:10:51,079 Speaker 1: That was the game there. That's stupid decision. And I 261 00:10:51,120 --> 00:10:53,520 Speaker 1: don't know, man, know, Tomlin's been a long time since 262 00:10:53,559 --> 00:10:55,520 Speaker 1: we won a playoff game. People start chirping if it 263 00:10:55,520 --> 00:10:58,800 Speaker 1: happens again. Before we get to the Sunday Action, quick 264 00:10:58,840 --> 00:11:01,200 Speaker 1: reminder out there forever, Bud, we're giving away free stuff here. 265 00:11:01,320 --> 00:11:04,240 Speaker 1: The signed Dak Prescott Cowboys helmet can be yours. If 266 00:11:04,240 --> 00:11:05,920 Speaker 1: you want a chance to win this bad boy from 267 00:11:05,920 --> 00:11:08,120 Speaker 1: our friends at Pristine Auction dot com, all you need 268 00:11:08,160 --> 00:11:10,600 Speaker 1: to do is go to Bettingpros dot com slash contest, 269 00:11:10,800 --> 00:11:12,920 Speaker 1: complete the form and either download the Betting Pros app, 270 00:11:13,040 --> 00:11:15,400 Speaker 1: leave a review of the Betting Pros podcast, or subscribe 271 00:11:15,440 --> 00:11:18,280 Speaker 1: to our social media channels at Betting Pros on X 272 00:11:18,360 --> 00:11:21,080 Speaker 1: on TikTok and at Betting Pros NFL on Instagram. The 273 00:11:21,120 --> 00:11:23,800 Speaker 1: more actions you complete, the more entries you'll receive, and 274 00:11:23,840 --> 00:11:25,720 Speaker 1: we'll be announcing the winner right here on the channel, 275 00:11:25,760 --> 00:11:28,280 Speaker 1: So make sure you turn on those notifications. Bring up 276 00:11:28,280 --> 00:11:30,560 Speaker 1: bell tolkos ding so you can be alerted when new 277 00:11:30,640 --> 00:11:32,760 Speaker 1: episodes are up and you can claim your prize or 278 00:11:32,760 --> 00:11:34,959 Speaker 1: the Dak Prescott helmet. He doesn't need it, he's not 279 00:11:35,040 --> 00:11:36,800 Speaker 1: in the playoffs. You might as well have it, all right, 280 00:11:37,000 --> 00:11:40,319 Speaker 1: Let's get to the Sunday action here and continue to 281 00:11:40,360 --> 00:11:44,120 Speaker 1: press along. Wildcard weekend Denver buffalo number was eight eight 282 00:11:44,120 --> 00:11:47,040 Speaker 1: and a half. It's floating around forty seven is the total? 283 00:11:47,640 --> 00:11:47,959 Speaker 2: Excuse me? 284 00:11:48,120 --> 00:11:49,880 Speaker 1: Forty seven is a total here plus three sixty on 285 00:11:49,880 --> 00:11:52,439 Speaker 1: the money line. This is the one where I feel 286 00:11:52,480 --> 00:11:55,600 Speaker 1: like the Denver defense with the pressure they put with shortan, 287 00:11:57,160 --> 00:11:59,240 Speaker 1: especially depending how they use their tanny's he gonna stay 288 00:11:59,240 --> 00:12:01,480 Speaker 1: with one guy, he gonna load around in situations. That's 289 00:12:01,520 --> 00:12:02,959 Speaker 1: gonna be an interesting thing to see. And I don't 290 00:12:02,960 --> 00:12:04,440 Speaker 1: know if we're gonna get a feel for that right away. 291 00:12:04,520 --> 00:12:07,240 Speaker 1: Maybe this is more of an in game betting scenario 292 00:12:07,360 --> 00:12:09,280 Speaker 1: for us to take a look at too and wait 293 00:12:09,360 --> 00:12:11,920 Speaker 1: on that. But this is the one where it feels like, 294 00:12:12,040 --> 00:12:14,520 Speaker 1: at least for me, that Denver is capable of covering this. 295 00:12:14,600 --> 00:12:17,120 Speaker 1: Do I think they're gonna win on the road in Buffalo? No, 296 00:12:18,040 --> 00:12:19,800 Speaker 1: but I do think they can be more competitive than 297 00:12:19,800 --> 00:12:22,199 Speaker 1: maybe people realize. And the eight is a pretty big number. 298 00:12:22,240 --> 00:12:24,040 Speaker 1: What's your thoughts and instincts on this one. 299 00:12:24,160 --> 00:12:25,640 Speaker 2: Yeah, I think Denver's getting killed. 300 00:12:26,160 --> 00:12:27,360 Speaker 1: Look, I think Never's getting killed. 301 00:12:27,360 --> 00:12:31,920 Speaker 3: Okay, fading rookie quarterbacks making their first start on the road, 302 00:12:32,440 --> 00:12:38,599 Speaker 3: isn't That's just a old betting adage. There's two opportunities 303 00:12:38,640 --> 00:12:42,400 Speaker 3: to do it, Washington and Denver. You take your quarterback 304 00:12:42,400 --> 00:12:45,480 Speaker 3: who's on the road. Buffalo has the ability to put 305 00:12:45,559 --> 00:12:48,240 Speaker 3: up a really big number, and I just think this 306 00:12:48,440 --> 00:12:51,160 Speaker 3: is an elite offense for the Buffalo Bills. When you're 307 00:12:51,160 --> 00:12:52,959 Speaker 3: going on the road to this environment and I look 308 00:12:53,000 --> 00:12:54,520 Speaker 3: at Denver so that the cold is not going to 309 00:12:54,559 --> 00:12:56,400 Speaker 3: bother them at all. They're going to be able to 310 00:12:56,400 --> 00:12:58,440 Speaker 3: handle the cold. I just don't think they can stop 311 00:12:58,520 --> 00:13:01,120 Speaker 3: Josh Allen. I think this is a team that's going 312 00:13:01,160 --> 00:13:03,120 Speaker 3: to be on a mission. This is a team that's 313 00:13:03,160 --> 00:13:06,480 Speaker 3: going to say, look at yeah, certain's great, he's won. 314 00:13:07,200 --> 00:13:08,800 Speaker 3: He can cut the field in half. 315 00:13:08,600 --> 00:13:10,200 Speaker 2: If you will. But I think they can run the. 316 00:13:10,200 --> 00:13:11,920 Speaker 3: Football, and I think Josh Allen can run the football 317 00:13:11,960 --> 00:13:15,760 Speaker 3: himself on this Denver offense, never Denver defense. And Bo 318 00:13:15,880 --> 00:13:18,360 Speaker 3: Nicks is a dink and dunk quarterback. That's just what 319 00:13:18,480 --> 00:13:20,920 Speaker 3: he has done. Sure, I just don't think they go 320 00:13:20,920 --> 00:13:22,840 Speaker 3: into Buffalo and be able to dink and dunk their 321 00:13:22,880 --> 00:13:26,280 Speaker 3: way to keep the game close in any turnovers whatsoever, 322 00:13:26,360 --> 00:13:31,199 Speaker 3: any fumbles, any mistakes, tough environment, tough game. I know 323 00:13:31,280 --> 00:13:32,520 Speaker 3: it's a lot of points, but I think it's a 324 00:13:32,520 --> 00:13:33,800 Speaker 3: two touchdown win for the Bills. 325 00:13:34,520 --> 00:13:36,640 Speaker 1: What about the amount of points the Bills defense is 326 00:13:36,679 --> 00:13:38,720 Speaker 1: given up? Though? Can we talk about that a little bit. 327 00:13:38,800 --> 00:13:39,760 Speaker 1: I mean, the. 328 00:13:41,080 --> 00:13:43,760 Speaker 3: Gems can Denver exploit it did never have the weapons 329 00:13:43,800 --> 00:13:47,080 Speaker 3: to exploit that, and is Sean Payton comfortable going on 330 00:13:47,120 --> 00:13:50,480 Speaker 3: the road in the playoffs and saying, okay, kid sling it, 331 00:13:50,679 --> 00:13:52,600 Speaker 3: throw it thirty five times, see what you can do. 332 00:13:53,320 --> 00:13:55,560 Speaker 1: Look, I agree, I think Josh Allen. Look, I love 333 00:13:55,600 --> 00:13:58,760 Speaker 1: the Josh Allen anytime touchdown along with the Bills to 334 00:13:58,800 --> 00:14:00,280 Speaker 1: win on the money line. Like you take those two 335 00:14:00,320 --> 00:14:02,240 Speaker 1: things but together, it's a very simple way to approach 336 00:14:02,280 --> 00:14:04,720 Speaker 1: it where you're probably going to do well there and 337 00:14:04,960 --> 00:14:07,320 Speaker 1: that'd be the most exciting number you'll get on that. 338 00:14:07,360 --> 00:14:09,480 Speaker 1: But I think it's something you can invest in, and 339 00:14:09,480 --> 00:14:11,120 Speaker 1: that's what I'm looking for, especially when you make that 340 00:14:11,120 --> 00:14:12,480 Speaker 1: great point at the top of the show too, which 341 00:14:12,520 --> 00:14:16,840 Speaker 1: is a long, five day weekend of incredible standalone football 342 00:14:17,240 --> 00:14:19,120 Speaker 1: where you're gonna want to be involved in it. So 343 00:14:19,280 --> 00:14:22,000 Speaker 1: maybe you know this is some chalky approach, is a 344 00:14:22,000 --> 00:14:23,960 Speaker 1: certain game, and i'd look at I can get action. 345 00:14:24,120 --> 00:14:26,800 Speaker 3: Yeah, I think this is a money line parlay play. Okay, 346 00:14:26,880 --> 00:14:30,160 Speaker 3: I really wouldn't get involved with the line per se, 347 00:14:30,160 --> 00:14:32,800 Speaker 3: because there's a big difference or discrepancy right now in 348 00:14:32,840 --> 00:14:34,560 Speaker 3: the market. You can find eight and a half, you 349 00:14:34,560 --> 00:14:35,840 Speaker 3: can find nine and a half. I mean, you can 350 00:14:35,920 --> 00:14:38,160 Speaker 3: build your own middle if you want the game falls nine, 351 00:14:38,200 --> 00:14:40,400 Speaker 3: you can win both bets, so you can play around 352 00:14:40,440 --> 00:14:41,880 Speaker 3: with it if you would like. But I'd think the 353 00:14:41,880 --> 00:14:44,440 Speaker 3: Bills aren't going to lose to Denver. So, as you 354 00:14:44,440 --> 00:14:48,720 Speaker 3: said earlier, Chalky Chalky Chalky Weekend, this is one of 355 00:14:48,720 --> 00:14:50,760 Speaker 3: those just bet it and forget it type of games. 356 00:14:50,840 --> 00:14:53,240 Speaker 3: I cannot see Denver beating Buffalo in Buffalo. 357 00:14:53,720 --> 00:14:55,600 Speaker 1: I can't see them winning either. I can't see them 358 00:14:55,640 --> 00:14:57,640 Speaker 1: covering though, if they come out flat in the first 359 00:14:57,680 --> 00:15:01,040 Speaker 1: half of this game after basically sitting everybody last week. 360 00:15:01,120 --> 00:15:03,080 Speaker 1: If they come out a little bit flat on there, 361 00:15:03,200 --> 00:15:06,080 Speaker 1: or don't take Denver seriously enough, you know Sean Payton's 362 00:15:06,080 --> 00:15:09,000 Speaker 1: gonna be very prepared. He's an experienced head coach. As 363 00:15:09,040 --> 00:15:10,960 Speaker 1: you mentioned whether it's not like a Dome team, it's 364 00:15:11,000 --> 00:15:12,720 Speaker 1: not a West Coast team, it's not a South Florida 365 00:15:12,800 --> 00:15:14,840 Speaker 1: team traveling to Buffalo. This is a team where the 366 00:15:14,840 --> 00:15:17,880 Speaker 1: elements aren't gonna bother them, the cold's not gonna bother them. 367 00:15:18,000 --> 00:15:19,600 Speaker 1: There's a lot of reasons why I think this could 368 00:15:19,600 --> 00:15:22,120 Speaker 1: be a very competitive contest and a surprisingly one too. 369 00:15:22,240 --> 00:15:24,240 Speaker 1: The next one I don't think is competitive. The next 370 00:15:24,280 --> 00:15:26,360 Speaker 1: one I think is a mud hole waiting to be 371 00:15:26,360 --> 00:15:28,720 Speaker 1: stomped by the Eagles. This is the one I don't 372 00:15:28,760 --> 00:15:31,320 Speaker 1: get Pearl four and a half the Eagles. To me, 373 00:15:32,120 --> 00:15:34,640 Speaker 1: this is the one where if I'm looking for a blowout, 374 00:15:34,680 --> 00:15:37,680 Speaker 1: it's against green Bay. I quarterbacks banged up a little bit, 375 00:15:37,720 --> 00:15:40,560 Speaker 1: have a rist issue. We have no Christian Watson last year. 376 00:15:40,800 --> 00:15:43,280 Speaker 1: Last week, excuse me, Romeo Dobbs was out. The tour 377 00:15:43,320 --> 00:15:45,640 Speaker 1: for this game is forty five and a half. I 378 00:15:45,680 --> 00:15:48,240 Speaker 1: don't see how green Bay look. Green Bay had a 379 00:15:48,280 --> 00:15:50,160 Speaker 1: good season. It's funny. It's coming full circle for them. 380 00:15:50,160 --> 00:15:51,960 Speaker 1: They started with the Eagles. Now they're gonna, I think, 381 00:15:52,080 --> 00:15:54,360 Speaker 1: end with the Eagles. I think this is the game 382 00:15:54,400 --> 00:15:58,400 Speaker 1: where the Eagles with herts back, with Saquon rested, with 383 00:15:58,520 --> 00:16:00,800 Speaker 1: that defense they have in that arm, in that building. 384 00:16:00,800 --> 00:16:02,920 Speaker 1: And we all know I lived in Philly for six years. 385 00:16:03,160 --> 00:16:04,800 Speaker 1: I could tell you those people are gonna be ready 386 00:16:04,800 --> 00:16:06,480 Speaker 1: to go by four thirty. They're gonna start drinking at 387 00:16:06,520 --> 00:16:08,360 Speaker 1: nine in the morning. It's gonna be a wild crowd. 388 00:16:08,360 --> 00:16:10,880 Speaker 1: They're gonna be out there tailgating, and this is going 389 00:16:10,920 --> 00:16:13,160 Speaker 1: to be rocking at the Link. I think this is 390 00:16:13,160 --> 00:16:14,400 Speaker 1: where the Eagles just roll. 391 00:16:14,720 --> 00:16:14,960 Speaker 2: Yeah. 392 00:16:15,000 --> 00:16:16,800 Speaker 3: I think The only way that they don't is if 393 00:16:16,800 --> 00:16:19,640 Speaker 3: Green Bayed defense can keep them in the game and 394 00:16:19,680 --> 00:16:23,400 Speaker 3: not allowing Saquan to go off. But that's asking a lot. 395 00:16:23,720 --> 00:16:25,840 Speaker 3: I mean, I think you're right about the offense. I 396 00:16:25,880 --> 00:16:28,720 Speaker 3: think you know, losing they The one thing about the 397 00:16:28,760 --> 00:16:31,320 Speaker 3: Packers is that they've had a lot of wide receiver weapons. 398 00:16:31,360 --> 00:16:33,760 Speaker 2: They've been pretty judicious with spreading the ball around. 399 00:16:34,040 --> 00:16:36,720 Speaker 3: So I know the Watson acl injury really is significant 400 00:16:36,720 --> 00:16:39,000 Speaker 3: in stinks, but like I feel like they're gonna be 401 00:16:39,000 --> 00:16:41,280 Speaker 3: able to kind of make up for that, maybe more 402 00:16:41,280 --> 00:16:44,000 Speaker 3: tight end, you know, targets. Maybe they try to do 403 00:16:44,080 --> 00:16:46,000 Speaker 3: some different things in the running game to throw the 404 00:16:46,040 --> 00:16:48,880 Speaker 3: ball more to Josh Jacobs, which has been successful in 405 00:16:49,200 --> 00:16:49,680 Speaker 3: the past. 406 00:16:50,120 --> 00:16:51,600 Speaker 2: They got to run the ball and play defense. 407 00:16:51,640 --> 00:16:53,360 Speaker 3: Like, if you like the Packers plus four and a 408 00:16:53,400 --> 00:16:55,120 Speaker 3: half or four, you have to play the under because 409 00:16:55,120 --> 00:16:56,960 Speaker 3: the game is going to be just a rock fight. 410 00:16:57,560 --> 00:17:00,520 Speaker 3: If this game gets even close to twenty four points, 411 00:17:01,200 --> 00:17:04,320 Speaker 3: I think green Bays in deep trouble. So I mean, yeah, 412 00:17:04,520 --> 00:17:06,720 Speaker 3: I think you could look at laying this. I also 413 00:17:06,920 --> 00:17:09,240 Speaker 3: may want to wait and see if the number climbs. 414 00:17:09,520 --> 00:17:11,400 Speaker 3: This could be a teaser option as well. It's gonna 415 00:17:11,400 --> 00:17:14,080 Speaker 3: pull it down or go money line parlay. You could 416 00:17:14,119 --> 00:17:16,119 Speaker 3: take the Bills, you could take the Eagles. 417 00:17:16,560 --> 00:17:17,440 Speaker 2: I will be very. 418 00:17:17,240 --> 00:17:21,800 Speaker 3: Surprised that on Sunday if any of the home teams lose, 419 00:17:22,240 --> 00:17:24,440 Speaker 3: and I think the only one would be Tampa would 420 00:17:24,440 --> 00:17:25,480 Speaker 3: get to that game here in a second. 421 00:17:25,520 --> 00:17:26,960 Speaker 2: But I think you could do a two leg money 422 00:17:26,960 --> 00:17:27,560 Speaker 2: line parlay. 423 00:17:27,880 --> 00:17:29,760 Speaker 3: It's not gonna pay you a ton, but I think 424 00:17:29,800 --> 00:17:31,000 Speaker 3: you can take the Bills and you can take the 425 00:17:31,040 --> 00:17:33,000 Speaker 3: Eagles and then maybe find something else that you like, 426 00:17:33,280 --> 00:17:36,159 Speaker 3: because I would be stunned if either if Buffalo or 427 00:17:36,160 --> 00:17:37,560 Speaker 3: the Eagles lose on Sunday. 428 00:17:38,000 --> 00:17:41,080 Speaker 1: Look, I'm not saying Christian Watson is, you know, justin 429 00:17:41,119 --> 00:17:43,880 Speaker 1: Jefferson here. My point is that you need all hands 430 00:17:43,920 --> 00:17:46,359 Speaker 1: on deck to get against the secondary that good, and 431 00:17:46,400 --> 00:17:48,320 Speaker 1: I think that's I think the Eagles are going to 432 00:17:48,400 --> 00:17:51,560 Speaker 1: dominate time of possession of this game, and if they 433 00:17:51,600 --> 00:17:54,200 Speaker 1: have a lead, now you are you can't run the 434 00:17:54,200 --> 00:17:55,720 Speaker 1: football and do what you want to do is green 435 00:17:55,760 --> 00:17:57,360 Speaker 1: Bay down the second half of the year, and that's 436 00:17:57,359 --> 00:17:59,960 Speaker 1: what they kind of became, right LaForce are running football more. 437 00:18:00,280 --> 00:18:03,040 Speaker 1: They started winning games, no turnovers, all that stuff. That's 438 00:18:03,040 --> 00:18:04,840 Speaker 1: fine and dandy, but that's not gonna work against this 439 00:18:04,880 --> 00:18:06,720 Speaker 1: Eagles team on the road. It's just not gonna do it. 440 00:18:07,200 --> 00:18:11,239 Speaker 1: The next one is intriguing. Jaydan Daniels has had a 441 00:18:11,280 --> 00:18:14,520 Speaker 1: penchant for coming up big, big spots. Twelve touchdowns this 442 00:18:14,600 --> 00:18:16,639 Speaker 1: year in the fourth quarter or in overtime. That is 443 00:18:17,000 --> 00:18:20,080 Speaker 1: an astounding thing for a rookie to put up. Ye Still, 444 00:18:20,280 --> 00:18:22,560 Speaker 1: Tampa at home three point favorites, I think that's right. 445 00:18:22,640 --> 00:18:24,359 Speaker 1: It feels like it. Fifty and a half is the 446 00:18:24,359 --> 00:18:26,800 Speaker 1: total of the highest total of wild card weekend. Do 447 00:18:26,840 --> 00:18:27,920 Speaker 1: you think it's too high? 448 00:18:28,480 --> 00:18:30,840 Speaker 2: Yes, I think it's too high. Just from a playoff perspective, 449 00:18:30,880 --> 00:18:31,360 Speaker 2: it's too high. 450 00:18:31,400 --> 00:18:34,159 Speaker 3: I just think there's no old average to take the 451 00:18:34,240 --> 00:18:36,560 Speaker 3: highest total on the board been under and it's a 452 00:18:36,600 --> 00:18:38,480 Speaker 3: high total. I mean, fifteen and a half is a 453 00:18:38,560 --> 00:18:43,000 Speaker 3: high total in playoff football. Baker Mayfield as a favorite 454 00:18:43,040 --> 00:18:46,800 Speaker 3: has not been good, but Jayden Daniels has been tremendous 455 00:18:47,200 --> 00:18:50,280 Speaker 3: at home against the number seven and two against the 456 00:18:50,359 --> 00:18:52,280 Speaker 3: number at home three four and one. 457 00:18:52,760 --> 00:18:55,600 Speaker 2: On the road, you got a team that's won. 458 00:18:55,840 --> 00:18:58,119 Speaker 3: Two in a row and they've I mean, if you 459 00:18:58,119 --> 00:18:59,840 Speaker 3: go all the way, they have one lost. Tampa does 460 00:19:00,119 --> 00:19:03,919 Speaker 3: all the way back to the twenty fourth of November. 461 00:19:04,119 --> 00:19:06,560 Speaker 3: You gotta go back to the tenth against San Francisco 462 00:19:06,680 --> 00:19:09,000 Speaker 3: for the other loss, when they lost to Dallas on 463 00:19:09,040 --> 00:19:10,399 Speaker 3: the road. That was a little bit of just like 464 00:19:10,440 --> 00:19:12,840 Speaker 3: a what the heck happened to Tampa in that game. 465 00:19:13,080 --> 00:19:15,920 Speaker 3: They've been really good at home, beating New Orleans by eight, 466 00:19:16,000 --> 00:19:21,359 Speaker 3: beating Carolina by thirty four, beating Vegas by fifteen. I look, 467 00:19:21,600 --> 00:19:23,960 Speaker 3: fading rookie quarterbacks is something that a lot of people 468 00:19:23,960 --> 00:19:25,760 Speaker 3: are going to do. I don't think you go broke 469 00:19:25,840 --> 00:19:28,560 Speaker 3: doing it. When it comes to a playoff game. I 470 00:19:28,640 --> 00:19:31,040 Speaker 3: like that defense for Tampa to have something to contain 471 00:19:31,160 --> 00:19:34,480 Speaker 3: Jaydon Daniels. While the story is tremendous, this is why 472 00:19:34,520 --> 00:19:36,480 Speaker 3: you play all year to have a home playoff game, 473 00:19:36,520 --> 00:19:38,040 Speaker 3: and I'll take the home team to win. 474 00:19:38,840 --> 00:19:41,919 Speaker 1: I am too. I think Baker Mayfield just does not 475 00:19:41,960 --> 00:19:44,240 Speaker 1: get enough credit. He just doesn't for what he's done 476 00:19:44,240 --> 00:19:46,760 Speaker 1: this year. And I think the end of that game, 477 00:19:46,800 --> 00:19:48,680 Speaker 1: you know where they push to get Evans that record, 478 00:19:48,760 --> 00:19:51,880 Speaker 1: you see the team coalesce around an individual. I think 479 00:19:51,920 --> 00:19:54,520 Speaker 1: it just tells you what kind of team this Tampa 480 00:19:54,560 --> 00:19:57,360 Speaker 1: Bay group is. And I think it's an amazing story too. Yeah, 481 00:19:57,400 --> 00:19:59,359 Speaker 1: here's the problem. Everyone's gonna get caught up in the 482 00:19:59,400 --> 00:20:03,000 Speaker 1: story of Washington. See it's a close number. Be dazzled 483 00:20:03,000 --> 00:20:08,280 Speaker 1: by the absolutely dramatic, incredible ends to some of these 484 00:20:08,320 --> 00:20:10,320 Speaker 1: games with Jayden Daniels as you and they have been, 485 00:20:10,760 --> 00:20:14,680 Speaker 1: and that exists. But I think that once again you're 486 00:20:14,720 --> 00:20:16,760 Speaker 1: finding a team that is a little out of their depth. 487 00:20:16,880 --> 00:20:18,399 Speaker 1: The Buccaneers have been here before. 488 00:20:18,440 --> 00:20:18,919 Speaker 2: They run here. 489 00:20:18,960 --> 00:20:21,159 Speaker 1: Last year they beat the Eagles at home, which I think, 490 00:20:21,200 --> 00:20:23,400 Speaker 1: when you look at the rosters and the experience level, 491 00:20:23,520 --> 00:20:27,120 Speaker 1: a far greater task than being the Washington Commanders. Commanders 492 00:20:27,160 --> 00:20:28,520 Speaker 1: are going to play fast and lose. They are going 493 00:20:28,600 --> 00:20:30,600 Speaker 1: to be dangerous. They're not supposed to be here. I 494 00:20:30,680 --> 00:20:33,000 Speaker 1: get it. But I'm with you, Pert, I think this 495 00:20:33,040 --> 00:20:35,480 Speaker 1: is again another chalk one. Let's get to Monday night 496 00:20:35,520 --> 00:20:38,640 Speaker 1: before we do. Don't forget download the Betting Pros app 497 00:20:38,840 --> 00:20:41,040 Speaker 1: Sink your Sports Folks for free and use the Betting 498 00:20:41,040 --> 00:20:44,000 Speaker 1: Pro Systems. Our new Betting Pro Systems tools are designed 499 00:20:44,000 --> 00:20:46,840 Speaker 1: to help you find winning strategies and make smarter bets. 500 00:20:47,000 --> 00:20:50,320 Speaker 1: Customize your betting systems by sport, bet type and timeframe 501 00:20:50,680 --> 00:20:53,080 Speaker 1: to find the best opportunities using real time data and 502 00:20:53,240 --> 00:20:57,040 Speaker 1: expert analysis. Track the performance of different betting systems over time, 503 00:20:57,080 --> 00:21:00,000 Speaker 1: and optimize your bets to increase the chances of success. 504 00:21:00,200 --> 00:21:03,159 Speaker 1: Download the Betting pros app today and elevate your betting 505 00:21:03,200 --> 00:21:07,080 Speaker 1: strategy to make smarter bets. That's what you want to do, 506 00:21:07,320 --> 00:21:09,200 Speaker 1: all right, Let's make a smart bet here on this 507 00:21:09,280 --> 00:21:12,200 Speaker 1: last game Monday night football. How much do we want 508 00:21:12,200 --> 00:21:14,080 Speaker 1: to take out of what we saw on Sunday night? 509 00:21:14,200 --> 00:21:17,040 Speaker 1: Is Sam Darnold just not a guy for big spots 510 00:21:17,440 --> 00:21:19,520 Speaker 1: or is that a blip on the radar And it's 511 00:21:19,560 --> 00:21:21,600 Speaker 1: good to get it out of his system because right 512 00:21:21,640 --> 00:21:23,760 Speaker 1: now you get Minnesota minus one and a half. In 513 00:21:23,800 --> 00:21:26,600 Speaker 1: some markets, you've got the Rams plus one and a half. Now, 514 00:21:26,640 --> 00:21:31,000 Speaker 1: the Rams don't have a home field advantage, right The Rams, 515 00:21:31,080 --> 00:21:33,560 Speaker 1: I don't think have a defense nearly as good as 516 00:21:34,119 --> 00:21:36,360 Speaker 1: the Minnesota Vikings. I'm sure you would agree with that. 517 00:21:36,800 --> 00:21:39,440 Speaker 1: Yet this game is basically a pick him. I think 518 00:21:39,560 --> 00:21:42,720 Speaker 1: people are looking way too much into last Sunday night 519 00:21:43,040 --> 00:21:44,040 Speaker 1: your thoughts. 520 00:21:43,880 --> 00:21:46,480 Speaker 3: Well, I think it's also the fact that the Rams 521 00:21:46,520 --> 00:21:49,520 Speaker 3: beat the Vikings earlier this year in this building by ten, 522 00:21:50,200 --> 00:21:52,240 Speaker 3: so I think it's got as much to do with 523 00:21:52,320 --> 00:21:53,840 Speaker 3: last week as it does, and the last. 524 00:21:53,720 --> 00:21:56,679 Speaker 1: Time they lost up until week seventeen or eighteen, I should. 525 00:21:56,400 --> 00:21:59,040 Speaker 3: Say we've seen this matchup already and it didn't go 526 00:21:59,160 --> 00:22:01,000 Speaker 3: very well. Now you can talk about the face mask 527 00:22:01,040 --> 00:22:02,879 Speaker 3: call that wasn't called in that game in the end 528 00:22:02,960 --> 00:22:05,359 Speaker 3: zone that everybody who was a Viking fan was yelling 529 00:22:05,440 --> 00:22:07,919 Speaker 3: and screaming about, saying, wait a minute, this is ridiculous. 530 00:22:08,119 --> 00:22:09,400 Speaker 2: And I do think Rey is right. 531 00:22:09,640 --> 00:22:11,240 Speaker 3: I do think a lot of people are going to 532 00:22:11,280 --> 00:22:15,360 Speaker 3: be headed over from Minneapolis to LA to buy tickets 533 00:22:15,359 --> 00:22:16,560 Speaker 3: to be in this There will be a lot of 534 00:22:16,560 --> 00:22:17,399 Speaker 3: purple in the building. 535 00:22:17,400 --> 00:22:19,560 Speaker 2: There's no debating that it's not going to be a 536 00:22:19,640 --> 00:22:20,280 Speaker 2: home field. 537 00:22:20,320 --> 00:22:22,280 Speaker 3: I don't know, maybe even a silent count might be 538 00:22:22,320 --> 00:22:25,359 Speaker 3: necessary for Matthew Stafford given how loud the Viking fans 539 00:22:25,359 --> 00:22:28,640 Speaker 3: may be coming into this. Look, this is a really 540 00:22:28,720 --> 00:22:32,080 Speaker 3: hard game to bet. And I look, the Rams are 541 00:22:32,119 --> 00:22:35,639 Speaker 3: a fun team, They're a really interesting team. But eleven 542 00:22:35,680 --> 00:22:38,160 Speaker 3: to five and one ats for the Vikings this year. 543 00:22:38,240 --> 00:22:42,119 Speaker 3: Forget the wins being fourteen and three. They've been tremendous 544 00:22:42,119 --> 00:22:44,800 Speaker 3: against the number because the market just hasn't believed in 545 00:22:44,840 --> 00:22:48,440 Speaker 3: them professionals all year long. Have said the Vikings are clowns, 546 00:22:48,480 --> 00:22:51,520 Speaker 3: They're not good, they're completely overrated, and they've bet against 547 00:22:51,560 --> 00:22:54,040 Speaker 3: them for most of the year and they've lost betting 548 00:22:54,080 --> 00:22:57,080 Speaker 3: against the Vikings for most of the year. If I 549 00:22:57,240 --> 00:22:59,520 Speaker 3: had to take it, fine, I'll lay the one one 550 00:22:59,560 --> 00:23:01,080 Speaker 3: and a half point with the Vikings. But I'm not 551 00:23:01,119 --> 00:23:03,920 Speaker 3: gonna like it. This is gonna come. I'm not gonna 552 00:23:03,960 --> 00:23:05,320 Speaker 3: like it. I'm telling you right now. This is gonna 553 00:23:05,320 --> 00:23:08,000 Speaker 3: be hard. This is a hard button to buy here 554 00:23:08,080 --> 00:23:11,800 Speaker 3: because I think the Rams are completely live at home 555 00:23:12,119 --> 00:23:15,040 Speaker 3: with Sean McVay up against one of his former coaches 556 00:23:15,880 --> 00:23:18,439 Speaker 3: asking Sam Donald to do something that none of us 557 00:23:18,440 --> 00:23:20,520 Speaker 3: thought he was going to do in his career, which 558 00:23:20,560 --> 00:23:22,400 Speaker 3: is take a team and win a road playoff game. 559 00:23:22,560 --> 00:23:24,000 Speaker 2: I mean, if you know, knock someone on. 560 00:23:24,000 --> 00:23:25,639 Speaker 3: The head five years ago and woke up and we're like, hey, 561 00:23:25,640 --> 00:23:27,679 Speaker 3: Sam Donald's going to play quarterback for the Vikings and 562 00:23:27,720 --> 00:23:29,080 Speaker 3: win a road playoff game, he'd be. 563 00:23:29,000 --> 00:23:30,119 Speaker 2: Like, shut up, no, he's not. 564 00:23:30,280 --> 00:23:32,000 Speaker 3: What are you talking about. I don't care who he's playing. 565 00:23:32,040 --> 00:23:35,159 Speaker 3: It's not happening, So it's trying. I mean, if he 566 00:23:35,240 --> 00:23:38,640 Speaker 3: wins this game, Sam Donald makes forty million dollars next year, 567 00:23:38,920 --> 00:23:40,919 Speaker 3: he'll be a forty million dollars a year quarterback. He 568 00:23:40,960 --> 00:23:43,800 Speaker 3: wins a road playoff game, he's cashing in a gigantic 569 00:23:43,840 --> 00:23:44,760 Speaker 3: amount of money, So. 570 00:23:44,680 --> 00:23:47,760 Speaker 2: He has a shirt a huge, huge game. 571 00:23:48,560 --> 00:23:50,960 Speaker 3: And that's very scary to be quite honest, because I'm 572 00:23:50,960 --> 00:23:53,600 Speaker 3: a Patriot fan and I remember Sam Donald's with the Jets. 573 00:23:54,080 --> 00:23:58,119 Speaker 1: I do seeing ghosts for all seeing ghosts who hot 574 00:23:58,119 --> 00:24:02,080 Speaker 1: take watching him. You know that Minnesota game last week. 575 00:24:02,080 --> 00:24:04,240 Speaker 1: I really thought Minnesota was going to keep it close 576 00:24:04,320 --> 00:24:06,200 Speaker 1: and be there, and they did in the first half. 577 00:24:06,200 --> 00:24:08,880 Speaker 1: They have the opportunities, they missed them, and I think 578 00:24:08,880 --> 00:24:11,520 Speaker 1: what happened was when you watched Donald in the red zone, 579 00:24:11,520 --> 00:24:14,040 Speaker 1: missed that one, it kind of snowballed into the next one, 580 00:24:14,040 --> 00:24:17,040 Speaker 1: and then he started to press. I think the best 581 00:24:17,040 --> 00:24:20,439 Speaker 1: thing for Sam Donald is Kevin O'Connell because after the game, 582 00:24:20,520 --> 00:24:22,600 Speaker 1: Kevin O'Connell basically said, we'll see you in two weeks. 583 00:24:22,920 --> 00:24:25,040 Speaker 1: That's what he said, and that mindset. 584 00:24:25,119 --> 00:24:28,040 Speaker 3: I think that that was Dan Campbell saying it to him, 585 00:24:28,160 --> 00:24:29,040 Speaker 3: I'll see you in two weeks. 586 00:24:29,080 --> 00:24:31,720 Speaker 1: Yeah. Well, I mean, but Kevin O'Connell coming around and 587 00:24:31,760 --> 00:24:34,840 Speaker 1: basically having this feel of yeah, yeah, Okay. I think 588 00:24:34,880 --> 00:24:37,800 Speaker 1: Kevin O'Connell is that right coach for Sam Donald to 589 00:24:37,880 --> 00:24:40,600 Speaker 1: say to knock it out of it. I think Donald 590 00:24:40,640 --> 00:24:42,320 Speaker 1: is that guy that will press in those big spots 591 00:24:42,320 --> 00:24:43,720 Speaker 1: and have those things. And I think was good that 592 00:24:43,760 --> 00:24:45,960 Speaker 1: it happened now because he's never played in a game 593 00:24:45,960 --> 00:24:48,280 Speaker 1: that important the NFL. Let's be honest, or maybe in 594 00:24:48,320 --> 00:24:50,239 Speaker 1: his career, let's be honest, like, I don't think he's 595 00:24:50,240 --> 00:24:52,560 Speaker 1: ever played a game quite that pressurized at this moment, 596 00:24:52,600 --> 00:24:54,159 Speaker 1: in this situation, on that stage. 597 00:24:54,280 --> 00:24:55,920 Speaker 2: Never was the whole country watching like that. 598 00:24:56,080 --> 00:24:59,280 Speaker 1: Maybe it's best that he got that out of his system. Maybe, 599 00:24:59,400 --> 00:25:02,040 Speaker 1: or maybe just I think the Vikings are going to 600 00:25:02,080 --> 00:25:05,479 Speaker 1: go in there again. I think this line is not 601 00:25:05,520 --> 00:25:08,080 Speaker 1: giving the Vikings enough respect, as no one has all year. 602 00:25:08,720 --> 00:25:12,679 Speaker 1: I think maybe just maybe everybody is right. The Lions 603 00:25:12,720 --> 00:25:15,240 Speaker 1: are just the class of the NFC by a large margin, 604 00:25:15,400 --> 00:25:18,000 Speaker 1: and in that building are very tough to beat. But 605 00:25:18,119 --> 00:25:20,560 Speaker 1: my goodness, I think that people are putting a little 606 00:25:20,560 --> 00:25:23,159 Speaker 1: bit too much into that because if Justin Jefferson comes 607 00:25:23,200 --> 00:25:24,600 Speaker 1: down with one of those balls, if one of those 608 00:25:24,640 --> 00:25:27,359 Speaker 1: balls in that red zone comes down in the right 609 00:25:27,400 --> 00:25:30,440 Speaker 1: spot where the touch is okay, and it's not overthrown. 610 00:25:30,520 --> 00:25:34,200 Speaker 1: Maybe just maybe that game mentally doesn't go the same 611 00:25:34,200 --> 00:25:36,320 Speaker 1: way it does in the second half, where the Lions 612 00:25:36,359 --> 00:25:39,280 Speaker 1: just made adjustments and opened up again. In Division games 613 00:25:39,320 --> 00:25:41,160 Speaker 1: get a little whacky. You're right, the Rams had beat 614 00:25:41,200 --> 00:25:43,600 Speaker 1: them last time. It was controversial. But I think all 615 00:25:43,640 --> 00:25:45,760 Speaker 1: those things are lining up here. I don't think the 616 00:25:45,840 --> 00:25:48,840 Speaker 1: Vikings are going to disappoint yet. I want to emphasize 617 00:25:48,840 --> 00:25:51,199 Speaker 1: the word yet they will. They're the Vikings, that's what 618 00:25:51,240 --> 00:25:53,040 Speaker 1: they do. But I do think they win this week. 619 00:25:53,080 --> 00:25:55,239 Speaker 1: We again, it's a lot of chalk out there, but 620 00:25:55,800 --> 00:25:57,520 Speaker 1: luckily for all of you, we're here to help you 621 00:25:57,600 --> 00:25:59,200 Speaker 1: with it, and Matt Parrault of course as well. You 622 00:25:59,240 --> 00:26:01,520 Speaker 1: can go to our discoord and join that Betting pros 623 00:26:01,560 --> 00:26:03,159 Speaker 1: dot Com slash chat to get in touch with us 624 00:26:03,160 --> 00:26:07,439 Speaker 1: over there. Also, very cool thing. On Saturday four fifteen, 625 00:26:07,520 --> 00:26:09,600 Speaker 1: we're gonna be live here on the channel, myself Scott 626 00:26:09,640 --> 00:26:12,760 Speaker 1: Bogman doing some in game live action here on the 627 00:26:12,880 --> 00:26:15,840 Speaker 1: channel during that Wildcard first game, kicking things off. We'll 628 00:26:15,840 --> 00:26:17,840 Speaker 1: give you thoughts on other games as well. As we're 629 00:26:17,840 --> 00:26:20,200 Speaker 1: sitting around. We want you to join us. It's a 630 00:26:20,240 --> 00:26:21,880 Speaker 1: second screen experience for you. 631 00:26:21,920 --> 00:26:24,120 Speaker 3: And we're moving by the way, we're moving the Sunday 632 00:26:24,320 --> 00:26:28,160 Speaker 3: live stream to Saturday, so we'll have you pre game 633 00:26:28,200 --> 00:26:31,080 Speaker 3: as wellh So myself and Pat fitz Morris we'll have 634 00:26:31,119 --> 00:26:34,040 Speaker 3: you on Saturday, as we'll do all five games before 635 00:26:34,119 --> 00:26:37,080 Speaker 3: Saturday's kickoff of the first game, so normally we do 636 00:26:37,119 --> 00:26:39,160 Speaker 3: it on Sunday, moving it to Saturday. 637 00:26:39,760 --> 00:26:41,000 Speaker 2: Next two weeks we're doing that. 638 00:26:41,040 --> 00:26:43,440 Speaker 3: We're gonna do the live stream on Saturday morning versus 639 00:26:43,520 --> 00:26:45,240 Speaker 3: doing it on Sunday morning, So we'll have you a 640 00:26:45,320 --> 00:26:47,359 Speaker 3: pre and in game so you can just go to 641 00:26:47,400 --> 00:26:49,520 Speaker 3: the Betting Pros YouTube channel and just have it locked 642 00:26:49,560 --> 00:26:50,240 Speaker 3: in the whole time. 643 00:26:50,480 --> 00:26:52,880 Speaker 1: Subscribe right now, ring the belt to that those days 644 00:26:52,880 --> 00:26:54,520 Speaker 1: so you get alerted and you don't forget because I 645 00:26:54,560 --> 00:26:57,320 Speaker 1: know life's busy, you know, Junior's got soccer or flag 646 00:26:57,359 --> 00:26:59,320 Speaker 1: football or whatever is going on there and you're in 647 00:26:59,320 --> 00:27:02,040 Speaker 1: a million places in January. But be with us regardless 648 00:27:02,080 --> 00:27:03,480 Speaker 1: when you watching the games, or even if you're not 649 00:27:03,520 --> 00:27:06,160 Speaker 1: watching the games, so you can have the best information 650 00:27:06,200 --> 00:27:07,919 Speaker 1: you can to go make the best investments you can. 651 00:27:07,960 --> 00:27:10,160 Speaker 1: Matt Parolt, it's always a good time hanging out with you, buddy. 652 00:27:10,160 --> 00:27:12,520 Speaker 1: Good to see your friend hopefully next week as well. 653 00:27:12,840 --> 00:27:14,480 Speaker 1: And that'll do it for us, But the story of 654 00:27:14,520 --> 00:27:16,639 Speaker 1: the game goes on for Matt Parolt, I'm Joey p. 655 00:27:17,280 --> 00:27:19,680 Speaker 1: We'll see you next time. Kids, enjoy Wildcard weekend. 656 00:27:20,080 --> 00:27:22,720 Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you 657 00:27:22,760 --> 00:27:25,119 Speaker 4: love the show, the best freeway to support us is 658 00:27:25,160 --> 00:27:28,560 Speaker 4: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 659 00:27:28,840 --> 00:27:31,480 Speaker 4: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 660 00:27:31,560 --> 00:27:33,440 Speaker 4: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. 661 00:27:33,840 --> 00:27:35,600 Speaker 2: Also subscribe to our YouTube channel 662 00:27:35,720 --> 00:27:43,400 Speaker 4: At YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros.