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Speaker 1: This is what happens when the fourth Turning meets fifth

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Speaker 1: generation warfare.

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Speaker 2: On your Mind A commentator, international social media sensation and

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Speaker 2: former Navy intelligence veteran.

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Speaker 3: This is Human Events with your host Jack Posovic christ Is.

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Speaker 4: A record number of Americans are taking off for their

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Speaker 4: holiday weekend destinations. Drivers will find some relief at the

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Speaker 4: gas pump, with the national average expected to dip to

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Speaker 4: three point fifteen Friday, the lowest level on July fourth

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Speaker 4: since twenty twenty one.

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Speaker 5: The first group of immigrants has arrived at Alligator Alcatraz.

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Speaker 5: That's the new detention center located deep in the Everglades, Florida.

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Speaker 5: Officials say the alligators and snakes that surround the facility

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Speaker 5: will deter anyone from trying to escape.

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Speaker 6: Job Job Job's report.

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Speaker 1: I wouldn't look for this to make an easy more

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Speaker 1: likely one hundred and four seven thousand jobs definitely better

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Speaker 1: than expected.

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Speaker 7: Supreme Court is throwing out rulings in favor of transgender

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Speaker 7: people in four states, and this follows the Justice's recent

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Speaker 7: decision of holding a Tennessee ban on certain medical treatment

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Speaker 7: for transgender use. But the justices took no action in

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Speaker 7: cases involving the participation of transgender students on school sports teams.

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Speaker 7: So the High Court now is also ordering judges to

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Speaker 7: re examine cases from those states.

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Speaker 8: Man who wasn't the only one, the only American citizen

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Speaker 8: who's been targeted by the deportation machine, a deportation machine

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Speaker 8: that will be unleashed on steroids by this one big

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Speaker 8: ugly bill.

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Speaker 6: We're in a good place right now. We feel very

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Speaker 6: good about where we are, and we're moving forward.

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Speaker 1: We are going to deliver the Big beautiful Bill, the

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Speaker 1: President's America First Agenda, and we're going to do right

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Speaker 1: by the American people. All right, ladies and gentlemen, welcome

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Speaker 1: aboard today's edition of Human Events Daily. Today is July third,

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty five. Anno dominie.

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Speaker 6: We are on the.

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Speaker 1: Cusp of something big and something beautiful. All right, Here

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Speaker 1: are all the updates on the Big Beautiful Bill, which appears,

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Speaker 1: for all intents and purposes to be imminently passing. Speaker

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Speaker 1: Johnson is now on the floor. He has his magic minute.

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Speaker 1: He's up there speaking right now. We've also just seen

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Speaker 1: the end of Akeem Jeffries. We're told eight hours, forty

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Speaker 1: four minutes he spoke breaking The record for that was

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Speaker 1: originally set by previous speaker Kevin McCarthy. But I gotta say,

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Speaker 1: jeffries Man, no riz jeffries Right, TIMU Obama. This guy

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Speaker 1: not a single standout moment other than one which we

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Speaker 1: just played for you, where he said we are going

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Speaker 1: to get deportations on steroids, a deportation machine on steroids.

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Speaker 1: Let me tell you something. I voted for the deportation machine.

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Speaker 1: Sign me up for the deportation machine. I'm part of

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Speaker 1: the deportation machine. You want to know something. You want

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Speaker 1: to know what won the popular vote in twenty twenty

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty four. It was the deportation machine. Just think

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Speaker 1: about it. I'm just sitting back imagining what my commute

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Speaker 1: is going to be like when we twenty x the

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Speaker 1: ice budget. I'm thinking about what all the public parks

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Speaker 1: and public spaces are going to be like when we

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Speaker 1: twenty x the ice budget. I'm thinking about what restaurants

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Speaker 1: and movies and beaches and all of it are going

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Speaker 1: to be like when we twenty x the ice budget.

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Speaker 1: Not to mention healthcare costs, going to the er and

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Speaker 1: not having to wait three hours for just a couple

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Speaker 1: of stitches, being able to go and buy a house

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Speaker 1: on Zillo without having to worry about these insane housing prices.

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Speaker 1: Just find a place to rent. Imagine all of the

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Speaker 1: incredible things we will have when we twenty x the

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Speaker 1: ICE budget. I saw somebody else saying, I Bremer, of course,

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Speaker 1: famous neoliberal, was saying, I can't believe that under this

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Speaker 1: new bill, Under this bill, the United States Deportation Authority

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Speaker 1: ICE will have a larger military budget than most world

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Speaker 1: countries have for their military.

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Speaker 6: And I said, my goodness, that's exactly what I voted for.

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Speaker 1: Got what I voted for, Award, got what I voted for, award,

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Speaker 1: got what I voted for, Award.

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Speaker 6: This is what we want. And let me tell you something.

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Speaker 6: To TIMU Obama, no Riz, Jeffreyes, we are going to

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Speaker 6: get what we want. The American people are going to

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Speaker 6: get what they voted for. Whether you like it or not.

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Speaker 6: We'll be right back.

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Speaker 9: Jack Pisovic, Human Events Daily, Real America Voice.

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Speaker 10: Nothing will stand in our way, and our Golden age

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Speaker 10: has just begun.

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Speaker 11: This is Human Events with Jacksovin.

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Speaker 1: Now it's time for everyone to understand what America first

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Speaker 1: truly means.

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Speaker 11: Welcome to the second American Revolution.

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Speaker 1: All right, folks, here we are Human Events Daily. We're

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Speaker 1: back real America's voice. Now we've got Speaker Johnson is

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Speaker 1: delivering his last right there. He's just given this the

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Speaker 1: end of his speech. You can see that down in

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Speaker 1: the corner. So we're keeping a track on this, and

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Speaker 1: it appears that votes could be happening within the hour.

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Speaker 1: If that happens, we will take you to that. But

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Speaker 1: to give us an update on all things big beautiful bill,

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Speaker 1: we've got May Mailman joining us now, the Deputy Assistant

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Speaker 1: to the President and senior policy strategist.

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Speaker 6: May how are you hey, it's going to be back.

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Speaker 1: Well, it's incredible to have you here. And I got

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Speaker 1: to say it all for all intents and purposes, it

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Speaker 1: looks as though the White House, the Administration, you guys

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Speaker 1: are on the cusp of a big, beautiful victory where

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Speaker 1: this bill will be turned into the.

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Speaker 6: Big beautiful law.

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Speaker 1: Walk us through how the White House have used the

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Speaker 1: process happening from here on out, and really what's in

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Speaker 1: this bill that Americans can be looking forward to.

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Speaker 12: Yeah, so after Congress votes, then we have to implement.

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Speaker 12: So that means a couple of things. One on the

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Speaker 12: tax credits. We need to make sure that no tax

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Speaker 12: on social Security, no tax on tips, no tax on

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Speaker 12: overtime get actually implemented through the Treasury process. So this

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Speaker 12: is where we work with the deep state to make

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Speaker 12: sure that everybody has the guidance that they need and

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Speaker 12: then American labor can finally be freed up again and

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Speaker 12: so that we can see a manufacturing renaissance. So that's

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Speaker 12: something that we are focused on, is implementing the tax provisions.

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Speaker 13: Then you've got a lot.

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Speaker 14: Of the rest.

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Speaker 12: We are gonna obviously wind down a lot of the

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Speaker 12: green new scam deals, so there will be no new

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Speaker 12: credits issued in twenty twenty eight. And so basically anything

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Speaker 12: that is in construction right now has to be it.

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Speaker 14: That's it.

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Speaker 12: And so we're going to be moving over a lot

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Speaker 12: of investment, a lot of focus to reliable American made

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Speaker 12: energy sources, those sorts of things. We've got work requirements

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Speaker 12: that we're going to implement. So this is going to

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Speaker 12: put so many more people into the workforce. It's going

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Speaker 12: to give so many people something to live for again.

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Speaker 12: Right now without work requirements, people and these are pretty

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Speaker 12: simple work requirements twenty hours a week. This is something

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Speaker 12: that all Americans who are able bodied can do and

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Speaker 12: should do. So we're going to empower Americans to get

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Speaker 12: back in the workforce and provide for their families. There's

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Speaker 12: so many wins in here. Conservative wins, savings wins. I

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Speaker 12: know the CBO says that this is going to increase

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Speaker 12: the deficit. Our numbers are eight point four trillion dollars

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Speaker 12: off of that because tax cuts produce more revenue for

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Speaker 12: the government. We also have the largest savings of any

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Speaker 12: bill in history. So we're going to be saving money.

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Speaker 12: We're going to be putting people to work. We're going

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Speaker 12: to be uplifting the American spirit. We're going to be

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Speaker 12: increasing manufacturing, making our country energy dominant. So many wins here.

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Speaker 1: And may when it comes down to it, there's one

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Speaker 1: issue I think above all that when our audience weighs

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Speaker 1: in on this, when they really come in, the single

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Speaker 1: biggest issue that we get is ice and they want

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Speaker 1: to see the full funding for ice. And this is

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Speaker 1: something where I think if you go to the mainstream media,

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Speaker 1: they're not even talking about it, or if they do,

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Speaker 1: you get heem Jeffries and the deportation machine on steroids,

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Speaker 1: and I'm joking said, did you not understand what all

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Speaker 1: of twenty twenty four was about. I'm pretty sure the

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Speaker 1: President talked about this every single chance he was physically

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Speaker 1: able to do. So that the American people need relief

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Speaker 1: from the massive influx of illegal aliens that came under

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Speaker 1: Joe Biden. So talk to us a little bit about

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Speaker 1: this piece on finally funding ICE to do the job

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Speaker 1: that needs to be done.

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Speaker 12: Right, So, President Joe Biden let in people who you

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Speaker 12: don't even know the numbers, and you don't know who

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Speaker 12: they are, but they're living in your communities. They're in

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Speaker 12: many places still living on the streets, and they're endangering

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Speaker 12: Americans and it's something that Americans voted against. So by

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Speaker 12: fully funding border security, this is funding the wall, and

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Speaker 12: this is also funding ICE operations, so not only ICE

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Speaker 12: officers to increase the number of ICE officers, but increase

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Speaker 12: the number of bedspace because if you've got an ICE officer,

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Speaker 12: but there's nowhere to put people while they go through

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Speaker 12: their proceedings. Right, So this is America, and everybody gets proceedings,

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Speaker 12: but those proceedings take a while, so there has to

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Speaker 12: be a place to put people. So this bill fully

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Speaker 12: funds not only ICE officers, but it also funds that

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Speaker 12: infrastructure like the bedspace in order to effectuate these removals,

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Speaker 12: to keep America safe and to promote the legal pathway. Right,

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Speaker 12: it is completely unfair that people get to hop the

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Speaker 12: line and then if you get across the border, then

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Speaker 12: there's no one to catch you. Then there's nothing that

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Speaker 12: happens to you. A nation that is founded on fairness

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Speaker 12: and justice cannot tolerate that sort of system, and this

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Speaker 12: bill puts an end to it.

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Speaker 1: Oh absolutely, And I certainly understand the concerns of many

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Speaker 1: out there who have raised questions about spending particular on

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Speaker 1: a variety of these things. But it's incredible to me,

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Speaker 1: how number one, when you're removing these illegal aliens who

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Speaker 1: are such a drain on our systems, and a drain

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Speaker 1: by the way, on the entitlement programs, that that doesn't

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Speaker 1: seem to fact certainly doesn't factor into the CBO score,

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Speaker 1: but it doesn't factor into any of their arguments because

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Speaker 1: you're actually increased or decreasing the demand for social services

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Speaker 1: through the deportations. And you know, they're only focused on

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Speaker 1: the supply side of this, but on another side, they're

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Speaker 1: not talking about growth. How do you have jobs numbers

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Speaker 1: like the ones that come out today which obviously would

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Speaker 1: have factored into the CBO score but didn't. That is

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Speaker 1: only just the start of what we're starting to see

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Speaker 1: from the new economy going forward. Talk to us a

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Speaker 1: little bit about how there really isn't the correct story

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Speaker 1: being put out on growth.

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Speaker 12: Yeah, so right now, the way that the Congressional Budget Office,

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Speaker 12: which always says that liberal bills are free, I mean,

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Speaker 12: this is a group that said that Biden's student loan

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Speaker 12: or sorry Obama same you know, same thing, but that

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Speaker 12: Obama student loan program would cost zero dollars, that for

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Speaker 12: the government to give loans to everybody who wanted them,

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Speaker 12: it would not cost anything. It would actually make up

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Speaker 12: enough money to pay for Obamacare. Of course, that's crazy, right,

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Speaker 12: our student loan system, nobody's repaying. You're giving it to

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Speaker 12: people who can't finish their degrees, who actually had no

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Speaker 12: intention of doing it, and students to a US set

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Speaker 12: of a failure by universities that give them useless degrees.

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Speaker 12: So this is the CBO that thought that that program

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Speaker 12: would actually save money, says that this bill is going

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Speaker 12: to cost money, and the way that they get to that,

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Speaker 12: as your listeners will know, is that they say that

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Speaker 12: the tax cuts are very expensive. But here's the funny thing.

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Speaker 12: The tax cuts are an extension of what's already the case.

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Speaker 12: So they're saying that it's expensive to literally just continue

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Speaker 12: the status quo. But if we had the greatest tax

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Speaker 12: hike in history, that would not be the status quo.

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Speaker 12: That would be very expensive to the American people in

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Speaker 12: that you would end American manufacturing, you would end small

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Speaker 12: business growth, and so you would see a real decline

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Speaker 12: in the GDP and in the jobs in the manufacturing,

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Speaker 12: but also in the American spirit. I mean, honestly, it

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Speaker 12: would just crush people and the amount of money that

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Speaker 12: they have to spend.

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Speaker 13: And so the CBO score has no.

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Speaker 12: Bearing on reality. And when we look from our CEA,

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Speaker 12: so this is our Council of Economic Advisors, which is

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Speaker 12: a non part as an organization within the Executive brand,

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Speaker 12: they said that if you look at even the tariff

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Speaker 12: revenue combined with the growth, combined with the savings, we

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Speaker 12: are eight point four trillion dollars off of what the

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Speaker 12: CBO says. So clearly we don't believe what they have

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Speaker 12: to say, and when the American people shouldn't either.

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Speaker 1: Well, I think this is incredible. May We've only got

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Speaker 1: about a minute left. I know you guys are super busy.

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Speaker 1: There does it look like though? And it certainly seems

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Speaker 1: to be for me. I tweeted this this morning. So

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Speaker 1: we have to make sure that it's true that on

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Speaker 1: this fourth of July, President Trump is about to deliver

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Speaker 1: one of the most biggest and beautiful birthday presents to

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Speaker 1: the United States of America since seventeen seventy six.

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Speaker 6: Are we going to get there?

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Speaker 14: I think we will.

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Speaker 12: I think we have the votes and right now then

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Speaker 12: it just turns to us. Our job gets hard, Congress's

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Speaker 12: job gets easy, and we have to implement. Of course,

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Speaker 12: there's still things Congress can do, but this implements President

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Speaker 12: Trump's agenda. One of the things I think people were

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Speaker 12: frustrated about was that there were so many wins during

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Speaker 12: Trump one point zero, and then Biden took them all

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Speaker 12: away on day one. He took them all away. And

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Speaker 12: this is important in order to solidify and change the

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Speaker 12: course of our country, in order to have President Trump's

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Speaker 12: agenda be permanent.

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Speaker 14: That's what this bill does.

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Speaker 1: Simple is that May where can people go to follow

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Speaker 1: you and see everything that you and the White.

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Speaker 6: House are putting out.

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Speaker 12: Yeah, so on Twitter, I'm at May Mailman, and obviously

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Speaker 12: follow all of our great people here in the White House, Caroline,

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Speaker 12: our White House Press office. So yeah, that's where you

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Speaker 12: can find me.

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Speaker 6: We love all the folks there and the great work

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Speaker 6: you guys are doing.

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Speaker 7: May.

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Speaker 6: If I don't see you, have a happy Independence Day.

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Speaker 6: Thank you? All right? Right back, Jack Rosoba Human Eventelly teams.

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Speaker 15: So that you talk about influencers, these are influences.

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Speaker 13: And they're friends of mine.

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Speaker 3: Jack, great back. My name is Pauli Standlin and I'm

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Speaker 3: a former swimmer from the University of Pennsylvania.

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Speaker 7: My name is Riley Gaines.

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Speaker 1: I was a swimmer at the University of Kentucky.

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Speaker 4: I was permanently injured at the hands of a man

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Speaker 4: when I was forced to play against him in a

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Speaker 4: high school volleyball game.

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Speaker 3: I was forced to compete against a biological male or

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Speaker 3: my middle school track team.

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Speaker 12: I had to compete against two biological males.

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Speaker 13: Thought all four years of high school.

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Speaker 3: Trump said Admin and the Department of Education have gotten

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Speaker 3: in the University of Pennsylvania, not just to apologize for

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Speaker 3: what they did to me and other female athletes that

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Speaker 3: were forced to compete against and alongside this male athlete.

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Speaker 3: But they also got them to change their policies and

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Speaker 3: to take down his records from the board, which is

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Speaker 3: a great win.

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Speaker 12: The stories we heard brought tears to all of our eyes.

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Speaker 13: It was powerful, it was moving.

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Speaker 3: I'm so excited for the announcement from Secretary McMahon and

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Speaker 3: President Trump today as they stand at the forefront of

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Speaker 3: this issue for women and girls everywhere, and I'm so

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Speaker 3: thankful that we finally have an administration in office who

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Speaker 3: was willing to stand up and ensure that no other

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Speaker 3: girl has to experience the paint and heartbreak I went through.

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Speaker 3: I'm just very excited that the Trump administration is taking

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Speaker 3: action to protect girls.

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Speaker 1: We're fighting for the next generation young girls like my daughter.

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Speaker 11: So just very very grateful and excited for what this means.

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Speaker 1: Well, incredible news out of the White House in terms

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Speaker 1: of that, and we've also, of course very excited to

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Speaker 1: have on the great, the Great I'm going to give

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Speaker 1: her the Great Paula Scanlon, who is just in that video.

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Speaker 1: She is a senior fellow at a EP but also

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Speaker 1: of course, was on the swim team with the Thomas Paula.

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Speaker 3: What a week it's been for you, definitely, I mean

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Speaker 3: it's been a really crazy week just getting around. This

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Speaker 3: announcement really came very suddenly, but I'm grateful for it.

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Speaker 3: I think we've seen really strong leadership from the Trump administration.

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Speaker 3: I mean, continued strong leadership. They campaigned on this, they

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Speaker 3: promised this, and they delivered only within six months. They

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Speaker 3: got pen to already come crawling back apologizing this is

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Speaker 3: a historic win.

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Speaker 13: And again, I'm so grateful for them in their leadership.

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Speaker 1: So walk us through for folks who haven't seen the

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Speaker 1: whole context of it. And you know, I saw this

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Speaker 1: stuff that you had tweeted out about it. But walk

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Speaker 1: us through what exactly has Penn done here?

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Speaker 3: Yes, so back in March, the Trump administration pull federal

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Speaker 3: funding from the University of Pennsylvania for their violations in

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Speaker 3: Title nine. I mean, obviously they had a six foot

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Speaker 3: four tall, fully intact mail on our women's swim team.

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Speaker 3: It's very clear they were violating Title nine. There, they

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Speaker 3: pull the funds. Penn then went to the Trump administration

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Speaker 3: said hey, I'm willing to negotiating and whatever happened behind

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Speaker 3: closed doors of those wonderful people. They got the University

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Speaker 3: of Pennsylvania to issue an apology to the female athletes affected,

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Speaker 3: wife Thomas's name from the record board, begin using language that's.

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Speaker 13: True in defining men and women, which is very important.

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Speaker 3: Which is so silly that we even have to make

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Speaker 3: them do that, But that was one of the other

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Speaker 3: things that they agreed to.

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Speaker 13: And again, this is something we've never seen before.

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Speaker 3: No one else who's violated these Title nine problems has

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Speaker 3: come to the table like this and just said, actually.

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Speaker 13: We're going to lock this all back.

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Speaker 1: So and this of course comes on the heels of

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Speaker 1: the pressure from the Trump administration locking up the federal

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Speaker 1: funding and getting them to actually try to behave Do

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Speaker 1: you think that President Trump maybe had a little bit

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Speaker 1: of a personal investment in this because he himself is

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Speaker 1: a pengrad.

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Speaker 3: I mean, we can only look at the connection, but

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Speaker 3: I hope so.

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Speaker 13: But also I think that penn is realizing really what's

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Speaker 13: at stake here.

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Speaker 3: Right We've seen Harvard go the other direction and not

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Speaker 3: cooperate with the Trump administration. I think what they're seeing

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Speaker 3: is the Trump administration stands on business and should be feared.

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Speaker 3: And I honestly think the University of Pennsylvania, finally, for

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Speaker 3: the first time ever, has done the smart thing here.

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Speaker 3: So I hope the connection is there, and I would

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Speaker 3: love for Trump to go back. Why don't actually, you know,

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Speaker 3: they should have agreed to Trump should have to be

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Speaker 3: the commencement speaker at the University of Pennsylvania next year.

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Speaker 13: That's what I would have liked to see in their agreement.

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Speaker 6: Oh my gosh.

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Speaker 1: So so actually have him there and now and correct

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Speaker 1: me if I'm wrong. But Penn I think this is true.

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Speaker 1: You're required to sit there through the graduation speaker, Isn't

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Speaker 1: that right?

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Speaker 14: I think so.

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Speaker 3: I mean, I maybe you could get up and leave,

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Speaker 3: but they probably won't let you out.

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Speaker 14: No, I didn't know.

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Speaker 1: I remember this coming up probably years ago, and there

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Speaker 1: was some like crazy Islamic speaker and I had some

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Speaker 1: friends who were there at the time, and they were

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Speaker 1: required to.

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Speaker 6: They were required to.

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Speaker 1: They were required to speak or required to sit during

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Speaker 1: the speech, and so I guess they'd have to be

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Speaker 1: forced to be there.

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Speaker 6: By the way, I am being told through.

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Speaker 1: My producer ear, well, my ear, that the big beautiful

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Speaker 1: bill has just passed guys, can we get that? Can

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Speaker 1: we get that box up in the corner here, And

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Speaker 1: I want to see the actual votes if we can

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Speaker 1: get the actual votes, may have been a voice vote

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Speaker 1: and so.

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Speaker 6: There it is incredible.

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Speaker 1: Pollock, can I just get you to weigh in real

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Speaker 1: quick on on this bill because this is this is

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Speaker 1: hot breaking news.

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Speaker 3: Oh my gosh, I cannot leave them on with you

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Speaker 3: and this is happening obviously, this is just again hard

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Speaker 3: work at stake here.

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Speaker 13: That's so many things we had to get in there,

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Speaker 13: and this is why we have strong leadership under the

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Speaker 13: Trump administration. I mean, this is amazing.

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Speaker 3: I'm so glad to see Trump's agenda continue to get

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Speaker 3: pushed along. And I'm glad some of the people that

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Speaker 3: were questionable have now cooperated.

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Speaker 1: So this is incredible, and I want to get the

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Speaker 1: numbers on this, and we're gonna have to look at

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Speaker 1: the actual UH, the actual members. But yeah, you can

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Speaker 1: see it there too. I think it says it was

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Speaker 1: at two sixteen two sixteen h two Republicans voted against

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Speaker 1: UH to not vote, So of course we're going to

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Speaker 1: have to track them all down. Brian Fitzpatrick last night

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Speaker 1: running away from the House chamber. Uh So for Brian Fitzpatrick,

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Speaker 1: by the way, Bucks County, Pennsylvania, Paula, one of your

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Speaker 1: favorite locations if I remember correctly.

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Speaker 13: Yeah, I have a lot of family out there. We

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Speaker 13: spoke together at an event out in Bucks.

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Speaker 6: We did an event there. Yeah, you got to go

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Speaker 6: him a visit. We may have to go. Put no,

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Speaker 6: Brian Fitzpatrick.

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Speaker 1: So he's there because it's its former brother Seed, his

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Speaker 1: late brother Seed, who is a very good congressman. Brian

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Speaker 1: is someone that I've known for over fifteen years, you know,

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Speaker 1: through his brother. And I just say, you know, Brian

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Speaker 1: Fitzpatrick is no Mike Fitzpatrick. And that's saying that's probably

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Speaker 1: the best thing that I could say about his tenure

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Speaker 1: in Congress.

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Speaker 6: It's just as simple as that former FBI director.

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Speaker 3: You know.

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Speaker 6: It's just it's just is what it is. Paula.

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Speaker 1: This is a huge, huge wind though, I think for

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Speaker 1: people who want to twenty x the ice budget, for

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Speaker 1: people who want to actually get out there and see

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Speaker 1: these mass deportsations take place and actually get the President's

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Speaker 1: avenda agenda pushed forward last minute. To you, Paul Scanlon,

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Speaker 1: where can people go to follow you? And how important

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Speaker 1: are all of these victories for Americans for regular Americans?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, well, definitely, I'm pretty active over on ex Paula

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Speaker 3: Wi Scanlon.

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Speaker 13: You can keep following along with what I'm doing, but I.

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Speaker 3: Think what just happened just shows us exactly what I

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Speaker 3: was saying earlier is that the Trump administration stands on business.

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Speaker 3: They don't just make promises, they deliver on them, and

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Speaker 3: this is just another example of that.

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Speaker 13: And so again, I'm grateful for his leadership.

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Speaker 3: I'm grateful that he's president and everything really that he's

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Speaker 3: done I've been so pleased with in the last couple

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Speaker 3: of months. And I know we're technically still early on

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Speaker 3: in the administration, so I'm excited to see what else

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Speaker 3: leadership gets up to.

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Speaker 1: And last question, Paula, as a gen Z New Yorker,

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Speaker 1: will you be supporting Zoran Mundami later this year?

445
00:22:52,880 --> 00:22:54,600
Speaker 3: I mean, I sure hope you guys can figure out

446
00:22:54,600 --> 00:22:56,760
Speaker 3: how I would stand no anyone butt him. In fact,

447
00:22:56,840 --> 00:22:58,960
Speaker 3: I'm going to be working very hard to make sure

448
00:22:59,000 --> 00:23:01,480
Speaker 3: he's not elected. Anyone wants to come to New York

449
00:23:01,520 --> 00:23:04,280
Speaker 3: and help out with that, please let me know. We're

450
00:23:04,280 --> 00:23:07,080
Speaker 3: gonna make sure socialism does not take over probably communism

451
00:23:07,200 --> 00:23:07,720
Speaker 3: doesn't take.

452
00:23:07,640 --> 00:23:08,400
Speaker 13: Over in New York City.

453
00:23:09,280 --> 00:23:12,359
Speaker 1: Absolutely all right, folks, Paul Scanalen give her a follow.

454
00:23:12,720 --> 00:23:15,800
Speaker 1: Incredible news the BBB. We've got Rich Barris coming up

455
00:23:15,840 --> 00:23:18,040
Speaker 1: next to here. Human Events Daily on Real America's Voice.

456
00:23:37,080 --> 00:23:39,680
Speaker 16: Terrence Bates here with your Real America's Voice News Break.

457
00:23:39,720 --> 00:23:42,680
Speaker 16: We appreciate you being here with us. President Trump's One

458
00:23:42,760 --> 00:23:45,480
Speaker 16: Big Beautiful Bill has passed in the House and is

459
00:23:45,560 --> 00:23:48,680
Speaker 16: now headed to the President's desk for his signature. We're

460
00:23:48,720 --> 00:23:52,000
Speaker 16: hearing the President Trump will sign the measure tomorrow, possibly

461
00:23:52,400 --> 00:23:55,840
Speaker 16: during his ceremony in the Rose Garden. Democratic House Minority

462
00:23:55,920 --> 00:23:58,280
Speaker 16: Leader Hakim Jeffries delayed the vote as long as he

463
00:23:58,359 --> 00:24:01,119
Speaker 16: possibly could by speaking on the House floor for about

464
00:24:01,160 --> 00:24:04,359
Speaker 16: eight hours this morning. House Speaker Mike Johnson, though, followed

465
00:24:04,440 --> 00:24:07,119
Speaker 16: up the filibuster style speech with his own words of

466
00:24:07,240 --> 00:24:10,960
Speaker 16: encouragement for his fellow Republicans in order to as encourage

467
00:24:10,960 --> 00:24:14,120
Speaker 16: them to stand up and pass the bill. Two Republicans

468
00:24:14,240 --> 00:24:17,080
Speaker 16: voted against the measure, which turned out to be short

469
00:24:17,200 --> 00:24:19,720
Speaker 16: of the three that would have been needed to put

470
00:24:19,760 --> 00:24:21,560
Speaker 16: on to put an ugly face on.

471
00:24:21,640 --> 00:24:22,840
Speaker 6: The One Big Beautiful Bill.

472
00:24:23,160 --> 00:24:25,440
Speaker 16: Earlier this morning, I had an opportunity to talk with

473
00:24:25,560 --> 00:24:27,960
Speaker 16: New York Congresswoman Nicole Malatakis.

474
00:24:30,000 --> 00:24:34,240
Speaker 2: Making our nation secure, safe, prosperous, and affordable. That's what

475
00:24:34,440 --> 00:24:37,520
Speaker 2: this bill does. We protect our vulnerable, we protect the

476
00:24:37,640 --> 00:24:41,119
Speaker 2: tax payer. We allow hard working Americans to keep more

477
00:24:41,160 --> 00:24:43,760
Speaker 2: of their money. We allow senior citizens to keep more

478
00:24:43,800 --> 00:24:47,040
Speaker 2: of their Social Security eighty eight percent, by the way

479
00:24:47,320 --> 00:24:50,800
Speaker 2: of senior citizens on Social Security will see their tax

480
00:24:50,880 --> 00:24:54,800
Speaker 2: liability erased on Social Security. That's about fifty one million

481
00:24:54,840 --> 00:24:56,439
Speaker 2: Americans that will benefit from this.

482
00:24:57,000 --> 00:24:57,840
Speaker 5: So this is huge.

483
00:24:58,480 --> 00:25:00,879
Speaker 2: We're very much looking forward to taking this vote so

484
00:25:01,040 --> 00:25:02,639
Speaker 2: people can start benefiting from.

485
00:25:02,520 --> 00:25:03,480
Speaker 13: This right away.

486
00:25:04,720 --> 00:25:06,720
Speaker 16: And we're told the President was on the phone with

487
00:25:06,840 --> 00:25:10,760
Speaker 16: potential Republican holdouts early this morning working to flip their votes.

488
00:25:11,000 --> 00:25:13,480
Speaker 16: The White House, as I said, already scheduling a signing

489
00:25:13,560 --> 00:25:17,000
Speaker 16: ceremony for the bill tomorrow because of course, now the

490
00:25:17,119 --> 00:25:20,399
Speaker 16: House has passed that bill. And while President Trump waits

491
00:25:20,440 --> 00:25:22,280
Speaker 16: for the one big, beautiful bill to make it to

492
00:25:22,359 --> 00:25:25,119
Speaker 16: his desk because it's headed that way, he is headed

493
00:25:25,160 --> 00:25:28,720
Speaker 16: this afternoon to rally at the state grounds in Iowa.

494
00:25:29,240 --> 00:25:31,320
Speaker 16: He'll be there in the heartland to launch a year

495
00:25:31,640 --> 00:25:35,040
Speaker 16: of America too. Fifty events you're actually going to be

496
00:25:35,119 --> 00:25:37,320
Speaker 16: looking or you're looking here at video of President Trump

497
00:25:37,400 --> 00:25:40,640
Speaker 16: arriving at the Iowa State Fair last year during the campaign,

498
00:25:40,680 --> 00:25:43,840
Speaker 16: where he promised a big celebration. That's a quick check

499
00:25:43,880 --> 00:25:46,000
Speaker 16: of your headlines. I'm Terrence Bates.

500
00:25:52,680 --> 00:25:56,400
Speaker 14: And Jack, Where's Jack? Where's Jack?

501
00:25:57,920 --> 00:25:58,399
Speaker 3: Where is it?

502
00:25:59,160 --> 00:25:59,400
Speaker 5: Jack?

503
00:25:59,440 --> 00:26:00,159
Speaker 3: I want to see you.

504
00:26:02,760 --> 00:26:05,760
Speaker 7: Great job, Jack, Thank you, what a job you do.

505
00:26:06,240 --> 00:26:07,399
Speaker 14: You know, we have an incredible thing.

506
00:26:07,560 --> 00:26:08,760
Speaker 10: We're always talking about.

507
00:26:08,560 --> 00:26:10,919
Speaker 1: The fake news and the band, but we have guys,

508
00:26:11,440 --> 00:26:16,040
Speaker 1: and these are the guys should be getting polishes. All right, folks,

509
00:26:16,119 --> 00:26:20,280
Speaker 1: Jack Pisoba here we are back live Human Events Daily, Washington,

510
00:26:20,800 --> 00:26:21,520
Speaker 1: d C.

511
00:26:22,320 --> 00:26:23,520
Speaker 6: And what's think It's time?

512
00:26:23,600 --> 00:26:25,960
Speaker 1: As he head towards America's Birthday, I think it's time

513
00:26:26,200 --> 00:26:28,280
Speaker 1: for a polling update. And what better way to do

514
00:26:28,400 --> 00:26:33,040
Speaker 1: that than to bring on the people's pundit himself, Rich Barris,

515
00:26:33,240 --> 00:26:34,080
Speaker 1: the founder and.

516
00:26:34,400 --> 00:26:37,639
Speaker 6: Executive of the Big Data Poll. Rich, what's going on?

517
00:26:37,760 --> 00:26:37,879
Speaker 3: Man?

518
00:26:39,000 --> 00:26:39,760
Speaker 14: Living the dream?

519
00:26:39,800 --> 00:26:40,320
Speaker 6: As always?

520
00:26:40,440 --> 00:26:40,640
Speaker 5: Jack?

521
00:26:40,720 --> 00:26:41,200
Speaker 14: How about you?

522
00:26:43,240 --> 00:26:47,040
Speaker 1: And I can't wait for America's America's big, beautiful birthday tomorrow.

523
00:26:47,440 --> 00:26:50,240
Speaker 1: But but Rich, when we're getting down to it, There's

524
00:26:50,280 --> 00:26:52,720
Speaker 1: been a lot of back and forth about the President's

525
00:26:52,880 --> 00:26:56,919
Speaker 1: poll numbers this month, or I should say really during June,

526
00:26:57,359 --> 00:26:59,480
Speaker 1: going back and forth, and there are a lot of

527
00:26:59,520 --> 00:27:02,440
Speaker 1: people may and comments saying, hey, what's going on? You know,

528
00:27:02,720 --> 00:27:05,360
Speaker 1: he's making some moves that a lot of people didn't expect.

529
00:27:05,720 --> 00:27:07,760
Speaker 1: Are his numbers going up or his numbers going down?

530
00:27:07,760 --> 00:27:10,879
Speaker 1: We have a clip that I want to show that

531
00:27:11,080 --> 00:27:13,080
Speaker 1: kind of highlights this from CNN.

532
00:27:13,160 --> 00:27:13,879
Speaker 6: Guys. Let's run that.

533
00:27:14,480 --> 00:27:16,959
Speaker 9: I mean, I think politician would like this number here,

534
00:27:17,080 --> 00:27:18,240
Speaker 9: especially to see it go up.

535
00:27:18,560 --> 00:27:21,560
Speaker 8: How about compared to other presidents who were Republicans.

536
00:27:21,720 --> 00:27:24,320
Speaker 10: Yeah, it's history making. It's history making. What are we

537
00:27:24,400 --> 00:27:26,240
Speaker 10: talking about here? So why don't we look back? We

538
00:27:26,320 --> 00:27:29,520
Speaker 10: have all the president's Republican presidents going back over the

539
00:27:29,680 --> 00:27:32,480
Speaker 10: last thirty five, thirty six, thirty seven years. What are

540
00:27:32,480 --> 00:27:35,080
Speaker 10: we talking about? Gop who strongly approved five months and

541
00:27:35,160 --> 00:27:38,520
Speaker 10: look at this George HW. Bush Bush forty one, forty

542
00:27:38,560 --> 00:27:41,399
Speaker 10: six percent, Bush forty three, fifty nine. You see Trump

543
00:27:41,560 --> 00:27:44,679
Speaker 10: the first term fifty three. But look at this sixty

544
00:27:44,720 --> 00:27:48,040
Speaker 10: three percent. He beats all the other Republicans on the

545
00:27:48,119 --> 00:27:50,720
Speaker 10: board here. And I was looking even back since Reagan

546
00:27:51,080 --> 00:27:54,280
Speaker 10: and get this, Donald Trump beats Ronald Reagan. When it

547
00:27:54,320 --> 00:27:56,400
Speaker 10: comes to the strongly approved five months, and of course

548
00:27:56,480 --> 00:27:59,119
Speaker 10: Reagan was coming off that high after that assassination attempt.

549
00:27:59,320 --> 00:28:02,040
Speaker 10: So the bottom line is Donald Trump is making history

550
00:28:02,400 --> 00:28:05,240
Speaker 10: with the Republican base. He is more beloved by this

551
00:28:05,440 --> 00:28:10,400
Speaker 10: Republican base than any Republican base loved any GOP president

552
00:28:10,680 --> 00:28:13,359
Speaker 10: five months and it is history making.

553
00:28:14,480 --> 00:28:16,640
Speaker 6: All right, Jack soviek, here we are back, and that's

554
00:28:16,760 --> 00:28:17,560
Speaker 6: Rich Barsel Rich.

555
00:28:18,119 --> 00:28:21,040
Speaker 1: When we're looking at this these numbers, and I've seen

556
00:28:21,080 --> 00:28:22,960
Speaker 1: a lot of conservatives sharing this, I said, well, wait

557
00:28:23,000 --> 00:28:27,200
Speaker 1: a minute. This is strong approval among Republicans, which is

558
00:28:27,280 --> 00:28:30,720
Speaker 1: great and certainly what we want, absolutely, but it doesn't

559
00:28:30,760 --> 00:28:32,320
Speaker 1: really tell the whole story, does it.

560
00:28:33,600 --> 00:28:37,399
Speaker 14: No, really doesn't. And you know, Jack, the problem with

561
00:28:37,640 --> 00:28:40,040
Speaker 14: clips like that, in arguments like that, is that Trump's

562
00:28:40,120 --> 00:28:42,040
Speaker 14: base is not only Republicans.

563
00:28:42,120 --> 00:28:44,160
Speaker 11: So there's a little bit of good news and a

564
00:28:44,200 --> 00:28:45,880
Speaker 11: little bit of bad news for the president. Then the

565
00:28:45,920 --> 00:28:49,600
Speaker 11: good news is there are also more Republicans under Donald Trump.

566
00:28:49,920 --> 00:28:51,480
Speaker 14: Than we've ever measured.

567
00:28:51,680 --> 00:28:54,240
Speaker 11: Democrats are in a registration collapse, but they're also in

568
00:28:54,320 --> 00:28:57,640
Speaker 11: an identification collapse. When Upolster calls and asked, what do

569
00:28:57,680 --> 00:29:00,920
Speaker 11: you identify? Ass right, So there are no d plus.

570
00:29:01,200 --> 00:29:04,160
Speaker 11: There should not be any D plus samples anymore because

571
00:29:04,240 --> 00:29:07,160
Speaker 11: it doesn't exist in the real world. But that being said,

572
00:29:07,600 --> 00:29:10,800
Speaker 11: Trump's base, and this is why he wins when nobody

573
00:29:10,840 --> 00:29:13,440
Speaker 11: else can win. This is why he can win Michigan,

574
00:29:13,520 --> 00:29:15,520
Speaker 11: This is why he can win Pennsylvania, why he can

575
00:29:15,600 --> 00:29:19,520
Speaker 11: win Wisconsin, right, why he wins Ohio by thirteen points,

576
00:29:19,600 --> 00:29:23,120
Speaker 11: why he wins Iowa by thirteen points, Florida thirteen points.

577
00:29:23,160 --> 00:29:27,280
Speaker 11: You cannot win those states and not like that with

578
00:29:27,440 --> 00:29:30,760
Speaker 11: those kind of numbers just from Republicans, you just can't

579
00:29:30,800 --> 00:29:34,000
Speaker 11: do it. So Trump, he has gotten a base that

580
00:29:34,200 --> 00:29:38,360
Speaker 11: is not just loyal to the Republican Party. So that's

581
00:29:38,880 --> 00:29:40,720
Speaker 11: those are the people that you really have to watch

582
00:29:40,800 --> 00:29:44,320
Speaker 11: because in truth, you know, his strong approval among Republicans

583
00:29:44,360 --> 00:29:46,440
Speaker 11: has held pretty steady since he's been elected to his

584
00:29:46,520 --> 00:29:48,640
Speaker 11: second term in office, hasn't really moved.

585
00:29:50,040 --> 00:29:50,240
Speaker 6: Well.

586
00:29:50,280 --> 00:29:52,560
Speaker 1: And this is exactly who we spent rich when I

587
00:29:52,560 --> 00:29:55,840
Speaker 1: would have you on, you know, every week during the election. Yeah,

588
00:29:55,920 --> 00:29:59,320
Speaker 1: we weren't really talking about his approval among Republicans because

589
00:29:59,360 --> 00:30:02,480
Speaker 1: politics is a game of addition, and so the idea

590
00:30:02,720 --> 00:30:06,080
Speaker 1: was all about building this coalition and expanding the MAGA

591
00:30:06,200 --> 00:30:10,800
Speaker 1: tent out beyond the normal boundaries of just four to

592
00:30:10,920 --> 00:30:14,560
Speaker 1: four Republicans or straight ticket Republicans. It was how do

593
00:30:14,600 --> 00:30:16,720
Speaker 1: you expand to those low prop voters, how do you

594
00:30:16,760 --> 00:30:19,840
Speaker 1: expand working class in the key states in seven out

595
00:30:19,880 --> 00:30:22,480
Speaker 1: of seven of the swing states, getting blacks and Hispanics

596
00:30:22,520 --> 00:30:24,600
Speaker 1: on board. Where you were the first person years ago

597
00:30:24,680 --> 00:30:27,160
Speaker 1: and half a decade ago now to talk about how

598
00:30:27,240 --> 00:30:30,840
Speaker 1: his Hispanics, particularly Hispanic men, and finally pused by the way,

599
00:30:30,920 --> 00:30:33,480
Speaker 1: finally got out with this huge study saying oh wait, exactly.

600
00:30:33,800 --> 00:30:37,280
Speaker 1: Rich Paris has been saying all along that that Trump

601
00:30:37,400 --> 00:30:38,720
Speaker 1: was going to win Hispanic men.

602
00:30:38,680 --> 00:30:42,480
Speaker 6: Which he did, and and and so there's this this

603
00:30:42,720 --> 00:30:43,440
Speaker 6: huge gap.

604
00:30:43,320 --> 00:30:46,240
Speaker 1: Though, I think between a lot of those and which

605
00:30:46,320 --> 00:30:49,200
Speaker 1: which you really would see in independence. But you know,

606
00:30:49,320 --> 00:30:51,520
Speaker 1: even then, a lot of these people, which which you've

607
00:30:51,520 --> 00:30:53,160
Speaker 1: talked about a lot, they're not the type of people

608
00:30:53,200 --> 00:30:55,600
Speaker 1: that just answer polls on a regular basis. Even it's

609
00:30:55,760 --> 00:30:58,200
Speaker 1: very hard to pull those types of people. But the

610
00:30:58,320 --> 00:31:01,040
Speaker 1: way we can we can generate, way we can measure

611
00:31:01,080 --> 00:31:04,120
Speaker 1: this is through voting. You can see the way that

612
00:31:04,200 --> 00:31:08,640
Speaker 1: they voted so rich for those people, this extra group

613
00:31:08,720 --> 00:31:12,280
Speaker 1: of people that's been added to the strong Republican base.

614
00:31:12,720 --> 00:31:16,400
Speaker 1: What's going on in those types the independence let's call

615
00:31:16,480 --> 00:31:20,280
Speaker 1: them that. You know, where's their approval at because when

616
00:31:20,320 --> 00:31:22,360
Speaker 1: I see the CNN piece, they're not talking about it

617
00:31:22,400 --> 00:31:22,680
Speaker 1: at all.

618
00:31:24,320 --> 00:31:26,680
Speaker 11: No, they're not, because, of course though, that's the group

619
00:31:26,800 --> 00:31:29,640
Speaker 11: that wins or loses elections. Jack that if you can

620
00:31:29,720 --> 00:31:32,800
Speaker 11: get this group out, they're inclined to support I don't

621
00:31:32,800 --> 00:31:35,680
Speaker 11: want to say right wing candidates, but they're definitely inclined

622
00:31:35,680 --> 00:31:38,880
Speaker 11: to support the Trump agenda. But what is that agenda?

623
00:31:38,960 --> 00:31:42,760
Speaker 11: And who are this group of independents and independent leaning?

624
00:31:42,920 --> 00:31:44,480
Speaker 11: You know, they're really Republicans, but.

625
00:31:44,560 --> 00:31:46,160
Speaker 14: You know they lean that way. They just don't.

626
00:31:46,200 --> 00:31:48,400
Speaker 11: They don't have no loyalty to the party whatsoever. And

627
00:31:48,480 --> 00:31:50,760
Speaker 11: that's part the reason why is part of who they are.

628
00:31:51,120 --> 00:31:54,840
Speaker 11: They're very skeptical people. They're distrustful of government, they're distrustful

629
00:31:54,880 --> 00:31:57,080
Speaker 11: of anything. They didn't even want to vote because their

630
00:31:57,160 --> 00:31:59,920
Speaker 11: number one reason is that their vote doesn't matter. Right,

631
00:32:00,360 --> 00:32:02,640
Speaker 11: the system is what it is and their vote doesn't

632
00:32:02,640 --> 00:32:05,160
Speaker 11: make a difference. Somebody like Donald Trump inspired them to.

633
00:32:05,160 --> 00:32:05,840
Speaker 14: Go out and vote.

634
00:32:06,280 --> 00:32:09,520
Speaker 11: Uh And and the Republican Party's number one job should

635
00:32:09,520 --> 00:32:12,000
Speaker 11: be to hold on to those people. However, you know,

636
00:32:12,120 --> 00:32:13,440
Speaker 11: I mean, it is what it is. We have to

637
00:32:13,480 --> 00:32:15,800
Speaker 11: call it, well, we have to call balls and strikes here.

638
00:32:16,520 --> 00:32:22,280
Speaker 11: Since the military strike in Iran, this group has has soured.

639
00:32:22,360 --> 00:32:26,040
Speaker 11: I wouldn't say they're they're gone, but they they were

640
00:32:26,120 --> 00:32:28,520
Speaker 11: not happy with that. This is what I think people

641
00:32:28,600 --> 00:32:32,480
Speaker 11: lost sight of during that entire affair. And his numbers

642
00:32:32,520 --> 00:32:34,920
Speaker 11: have improved again over the last week a little bit,

643
00:32:34,960 --> 00:32:37,760
Speaker 11: but we'll see what happens in the future. What generally

644
00:32:37,840 --> 00:32:40,480
Speaker 11: happens when some when when there's an air strike or

645
00:32:40,680 --> 00:32:43,280
Speaker 11: you know, even when America goes to war, you get

646
00:32:43,320 --> 00:32:46,960
Speaker 11: a temporary, temporary rally around the flag effect, and that

647
00:32:47,320 --> 00:32:50,480
Speaker 11: is typically fueled by people who may never vote for you,

648
00:32:50,640 --> 00:32:53,400
Speaker 11: have never voted for you, but it's temporary and and

649
00:32:53,760 --> 00:32:56,640
Speaker 11: they'll shoot over to somewhat approved maybe or and they're

650
00:32:57,000 --> 00:32:59,200
Speaker 11: typically not going to say they strongly approve, but they

651
00:32:59,360 --> 00:33:02,920
Speaker 11: end up adding to the positive your positive numbers.

652
00:33:03,200 --> 00:33:06,240
Speaker 14: But it comes at the risk of potentially.

653
00:33:05,880 --> 00:33:09,719
Speaker 11: Losing support among people who only and always vote for you, right,

654
00:33:09,800 --> 00:33:12,120
Speaker 11: So if you can get them out, that is the

655
00:33:12,160 --> 00:33:15,880
Speaker 11: group we obsessed over before the election, Jack, Those are

656
00:33:15,920 --> 00:33:18,120
Speaker 11: the groups that Donald Trump could get out that we

657
00:33:18,480 --> 00:33:21,000
Speaker 11: on your show over and over again said, you know

658
00:33:21,120 --> 00:33:24,960
Speaker 11: the Ron de santhis cannot Nicky Haley cannot. This group

659
00:33:25,360 --> 00:33:28,800
Speaker 11: is you know, the Ohio River Valley, right parts of Pennsylvania,

660
00:33:29,200 --> 00:33:32,760
Speaker 11: southeastern Michigan. Just think about who these groups are, Jack

661
00:33:32,840 --> 00:33:39,240
Speaker 11: Southeast Southeastern Michigan from you know, Dearborn to Saginaw and

662
00:33:39,560 --> 00:33:40,520
Speaker 11: Macomb County.

663
00:33:40,960 --> 00:33:43,800
Speaker 14: These are not pro military intervention people.

664
00:33:44,240 --> 00:33:46,400
Speaker 11: In fact, when we pulled it, they made up the

665
00:33:46,440 --> 00:33:48,600
Speaker 11: line's share of the quarter of the country said they.

666
00:33:48,520 --> 00:33:51,040
Speaker 14: Wanted no role in the Middle East whatsoever.

667
00:33:51,520 --> 00:33:53,920
Speaker 11: So you know, Donald Trump was smart to move on

668
00:33:54,080 --> 00:33:55,640
Speaker 11: from this or try to move on from this and

669
00:33:55,720 --> 00:33:58,120
Speaker 11: get back to his domestic agenda because that's what they

670
00:33:58,160 --> 00:33:59,160
Speaker 11: were screaming for him to do.

671
00:34:00,800 --> 00:34:03,320
Speaker 1: Well, you know, it's it's so interesting because anecdotally, I

672
00:34:03,480 --> 00:34:06,320
Speaker 1: I had just two things to happen in the wake

673
00:34:06,400 --> 00:34:06,840
Speaker 1: of all of this.

674
00:34:07,040 --> 00:34:09,160
Speaker 6: Over the last you know, a couple of weeks here

675
00:34:09,400 --> 00:34:12,560
Speaker 6: in in the DC area, is that I was, I

676
00:34:12,719 --> 00:34:14,960
Speaker 6: was up, and I was I was driving around. I

677
00:34:14,960 --> 00:34:17,080
Speaker 6: saw one of these. I know, I saw one of these.

678
00:34:17,120 --> 00:34:19,840
Speaker 1: It was it was guy driving a pickup truck and

679
00:34:19,920 --> 00:34:22,320
Speaker 1: on the bumper sticker it said, I'm not a Democrat.

680
00:34:22,480 --> 00:34:26,200
Speaker 6: I'm not a Republican, I'm an American, and and I'm like,

681
00:34:26,360 --> 00:34:28,640
Speaker 6: that's the guy. That's the guy right there.

682
00:34:29,000 --> 00:34:32,600
Speaker 1: He's driving a pickup truck, he's working class, he hates

683
00:34:32,680 --> 00:34:37,160
Speaker 1: the parties, hates the parties, and he loves America. I'm like,

684
00:34:37,280 --> 00:34:39,320
Speaker 1: that's the that's the guy who's going to vote for

685
00:34:39,400 --> 00:34:41,960
Speaker 1: Trump and not go out and vote for anyone else.

686
00:34:42,000 --> 00:34:46,520
Speaker 6: So that's a Trump only voter. However, I also.

687
00:34:46,400 --> 00:34:49,120
Speaker 1: Heard anecdotally from I'll just say, a friend of mine

688
00:34:49,600 --> 00:34:54,120
Speaker 1: has a father who is more of the MSNBC persuasion, which,

689
00:34:54,160 --> 00:34:56,800
Speaker 1: of course you know, and I'm always hearing their arguments.

690
00:34:56,840 --> 00:34:59,759
Speaker 1: But you know what's what's interesting, though, is it's it

691
00:35:00,000 --> 00:35:03,960
Speaker 1: gives me insight into sort of how the average MSNBC

692
00:35:04,120 --> 00:35:07,320
Speaker 1: viewer is thinking. And one of the things that I

693
00:35:07,440 --> 00:35:09,640
Speaker 1: heard was on the back end of this was he

694
00:35:09,920 --> 00:35:12,759
Speaker 1: loved the Iran stripes. He said, you know what, it

695
00:35:12,920 --> 00:35:14,680
Speaker 1: was the right thing to do, it was the right

696
00:35:14,760 --> 00:35:17,520
Speaker 1: time to do it. And after having talked to you

697
00:35:17,640 --> 00:35:20,640
Speaker 1: about this dynamic, I said, I went back to my friend.

698
00:35:20,640 --> 00:35:22,279
Speaker 1: I said, hey, do you think your dad would ever

699
00:35:22,400 --> 00:35:23,840
Speaker 1: vote for I know he's not up, but like, do

700
00:35:23,880 --> 00:35:26,200
Speaker 1: you think your dad would ever vote for Trump On

701
00:35:26,760 --> 00:35:29,040
Speaker 1: the back end of this, He's like, no, no, never,

702
00:35:29,160 --> 00:35:32,000
Speaker 1: absolutely not. So he could, he could agree, and he

703
00:35:32,040 --> 00:35:34,319
Speaker 1: could agree with it. So rich are you saying then,

704
00:35:34,560 --> 00:35:36,560
Speaker 1: that that's the kind of thing that might show up

705
00:35:36,600 --> 00:35:40,719
Speaker 1: in polling as sort of a temporary, temporary boost, a

706
00:35:40,760 --> 00:35:43,800
Speaker 1: sugar high, this rally around the flag effect that exists

707
00:35:43,880 --> 00:35:47,880
Speaker 1: for a limited amount of time, yet doesn't actually translate

708
00:35:47,960 --> 00:35:48,840
Speaker 1: to voting behavior.

709
00:35:49,840 --> 00:35:50,799
Speaker 14: That's exactly right.

710
00:35:51,000 --> 00:35:54,360
Speaker 11: And then also added to somebody like that would be

711
00:35:54,600 --> 00:35:58,239
Speaker 11: like a Bill Crystal Metro Republican who still identifies as

712
00:35:58,280 --> 00:36:01,680
Speaker 11: a Republican even though we know he's not. Somebody like that,

713
00:36:02,160 --> 00:36:03,759
Speaker 11: you know, the needle would move a little bit, But

714
00:36:03,920 --> 00:36:06,440
Speaker 11: this guy would never actually cast a ballot for Trump

715
00:36:06,680 --> 00:36:07,719
Speaker 11: or most right.

716
00:36:09,320 --> 00:36:12,759
Speaker 14: Of most Republicans. And there's also something else I should know.

717
00:36:13,080 --> 00:36:17,320
Speaker 11: So throughout the duration of Trump's second presidency, his strong

718
00:36:17,440 --> 00:36:21,880
Speaker 11: disapproval rating among independents has not hit forty percent. It

719
00:36:22,080 --> 00:36:27,359
Speaker 11: did the weekend of these strikes, right, so by Monday, uh,

720
00:36:27,640 --> 00:36:29,920
Speaker 11: it was it was about forty percent. Now that has

721
00:36:30,000 --> 00:36:32,719
Speaker 11: come down again this week, and we'll see, but that

722
00:36:32,960 --> 00:36:35,920
Speaker 11: is being fueled by the people who only and if

723
00:36:35,960 --> 00:36:36,719
Speaker 11: you get them out.

724
00:36:36,880 --> 00:36:40,160
Speaker 14: They only vote for you, that is being So you

725
00:36:40,360 --> 00:36:42,160
Speaker 14: risk that guy, you risk you.

726
00:36:42,200 --> 00:36:45,720
Speaker 11: Know, but temporary support for the support or temporary support

727
00:36:46,000 --> 00:36:48,400
Speaker 11: of that guy, that gentleman that you just mentioned, you

728
00:36:48,640 --> 00:36:52,320
Speaker 11: risk losing those people, right, So again.

729
00:36:52,480 --> 00:36:53,880
Speaker 6: Smart about to move on.

730
00:36:54,000 --> 00:36:59,200
Speaker 1: So you're saying, you're saying that his disapproval among independents

731
00:36:59,520 --> 00:37:02,839
Speaker 1: hit its highest ever in its second his second term

732
00:37:03,440 --> 00:37:06,800
Speaker 1: the weekend of those strikes when that took place, and

733
00:37:06,960 --> 00:37:12,520
Speaker 1: has gone down since. But independence were largely swinging against this.

734
00:37:14,120 --> 00:37:16,480
Speaker 11: Yeah, that's exactly where and that's being fueled by those

735
00:37:16,840 --> 00:37:21,000
Speaker 11: they're not they're Republican leaning, but they're not. They also say,

736
00:37:21,640 --> 00:37:23,399
Speaker 11: and this will give you So this will give people

737
00:37:23,480 --> 00:37:26,440
Speaker 11: some great insight. When every time somebody says they're an independent,

738
00:37:26,480 --> 00:37:28,439
Speaker 11: we always follow up and try to prod them about

739
00:37:28,520 --> 00:37:30,759
Speaker 11: what their leanings are. And one of the questions that

740
00:37:30,880 --> 00:37:34,000
Speaker 11: we ask is which party is more closely aligned with

741
00:37:34,080 --> 00:37:36,840
Speaker 11: your views? But one of the response choices is that

742
00:37:36,960 --> 00:37:39,600
Speaker 11: they share little in common with either party, you know.

743
00:37:39,680 --> 00:37:42,200
Speaker 11: So they can either say that they lean more toward Republicans,

744
00:37:42,280 --> 00:37:46,080
Speaker 11: more towards Democrats, maybe they're equal to both, or they

745
00:37:46,200 --> 00:37:49,000
Speaker 11: share little in common with either party.

746
00:37:49,520 --> 00:37:52,440
Speaker 14: That is the group that turns sour over these strikes.

747
00:37:52,480 --> 00:37:55,320
Speaker 11: And that is the group, by the way, that always

748
00:37:55,520 --> 00:37:57,080
Speaker 11: was a key group when we came When I came

749
00:37:57,160 --> 00:37:59,440
Speaker 11: on the show, I would tell you about this Trump

750
00:37:59,480 --> 00:38:02,360
Speaker 11: or boss of Oh, that's where they come from, because

751
00:38:02,400 --> 00:38:06,280
Speaker 11: they're just so you know, they're they're they're disgruntled about

752
00:38:06,280 --> 00:38:09,440
Speaker 11: the entire process, right, So they don't they don't like

753
00:38:09,520 --> 00:38:13,000
Speaker 11: either party. They don't align with ether parties. So RFK

754
00:38:13,280 --> 00:38:14,719
Speaker 11: had a nice chunk from this group.

755
00:38:15,440 --> 00:38:20,440
Speaker 14: But strike that's your mom because margin get them out.

756
00:38:21,239 --> 00:38:23,760
Speaker 1: Yeah, your Maha margin and so many of the states.

757
00:38:24,040 --> 00:38:26,520
Speaker 1: I mean, you've got suburbanites in that group. You've got

758
00:38:26,600 --> 00:38:28,520
Speaker 1: people who are just kind of checked out. But I

759
00:38:28,560 --> 00:38:31,600
Speaker 1: would imagine, I would imagine you have upper class, you know,

760
00:38:31,719 --> 00:38:35,040
Speaker 1: sort of like upper middle class as well as working

761
00:38:35,360 --> 00:38:38,320
Speaker 1: a little bit group people who are just not invested

762
00:38:38,440 --> 00:38:41,040
Speaker 1: in politics, or people who are checked out because of

763
00:38:41,120 --> 00:38:41,879
Speaker 1: the years.

764
00:38:41,800 --> 00:38:45,920
Speaker 6: Of Biden, Obama, Bush, Romney and the rest. This is fascinating.

765
00:38:46,040 --> 00:38:49,960
Speaker 6: We're walking you through the Trump coalition in the second term.

766
00:38:50,080 --> 00:38:51,680
Speaker 6: Jack pasobac Bridge Barris right back.

767
00:39:01,760 --> 00:39:02,960
Speaker 10: Jack is a great guy.

768
00:39:03,040 --> 00:39:06,080
Speaker 1: He's rich. That fantastic book everybody's talking about it, go

769
00:39:06,239 --> 00:39:06,480
Speaker 1: get it.

770
00:39:07,120 --> 00:39:09,200
Speaker 2: And he's been my friend right from the beginning of

771
00:39:09,320 --> 00:39:10,920
Speaker 2: this whole yearnful event.

772
00:39:11,200 --> 00:39:12,480
Speaker 14: And we're going to turn her around.

773
00:39:12,520 --> 00:39:14,080
Speaker 7: This make our country way to get.

774
00:39:16,880 --> 00:39:20,439
Speaker 17: They said gen Z would stay silent, that we'd back down,

775
00:39:21,000 --> 00:39:24,880
Speaker 17: that we'd forget what's worth fighting for. But this generation remembers,

776
00:39:25,520 --> 00:39:29,759
Speaker 17: we remember truth, we remember freedom, and now we rise.

777
00:39:31,360 --> 00:39:32,520
Speaker 16: This is more than a conference.

778
00:39:33,000 --> 00:39:36,440
Speaker 15: It's a call to action to reclaim the future, to

779
00:39:36,600 --> 00:39:40,280
Speaker 15: ignite a movement that cannot be ignored. Student Action Summit

780
00:39:40,360 --> 00:39:43,600
Speaker 15: twenty twenty five featuring the boldest voices in the fight.

781
00:39:44,040 --> 00:39:48,800
Speaker 15: Charlie Kirk, Secretary, Pete Hagsat, Tucker Carlson, Steve Benn, Brett Cooper,

782
00:39:49,120 --> 00:39:54,239
Speaker 15: Secretary Christy no Riley Gains, Brandon Tatum, Jack Pisoba, Laura Ingland,

783
00:39:54,440 --> 00:39:58,880
Speaker 15: Megan Kelly, Greg Guttfeldt, Tom Homan, Congressman Byron Donalds, Russell

784
00:39:58,920 --> 00:40:04,480
Speaker 15: Brand Savannah. Join thousands of students, future leaders, and freedom fighters.

785
00:40:05,239 --> 00:40:08,760
Speaker 15: This is the battleground of ideas. This is the Student

786
00:40:08,880 --> 00:40:14,520
Speaker 15: Action Summit. Register now at SAS twenty five dot com.

787
00:40:19,640 --> 00:40:22,279
Speaker 17: When I'm working long hours, I'm always listening to human

788
00:40:22,320 --> 00:40:23,480
Speaker 17: events with Jack Pasopic.

789
00:40:23,600 --> 00:40:24,560
Speaker 6: All Right, Jack posopic.

790
00:40:24,560 --> 00:40:27,080
Speaker 1: We're back with Rich Barris, and you know, I want

791
00:40:27,080 --> 00:40:30,160
Speaker 1: people to understand that when we're digging into the numbers

792
00:40:30,400 --> 00:40:32,239
Speaker 1: like this, there's a reason for him.

793
00:40:32,239 --> 00:40:34,359
Speaker 6: People say, why are you going so branular? Why are

794
00:40:34,360 --> 00:40:36,719
Speaker 6: you splitting the hair? And you're going so deep a

795
00:40:36,760 --> 00:40:37,200
Speaker 6: sick guys.

796
00:40:37,280 --> 00:40:41,520
Speaker 1: Listen, we live in a polarized country, a polarized country

797
00:40:41,600 --> 00:40:44,840
Speaker 1: with a polarized electorate. Much of this because media consumption,

798
00:40:45,360 --> 00:40:49,440
Speaker 1: generational shift, demographic shift. You could talk about that pillarblue

799
00:40:49,440 --> 00:40:51,120
Speaker 1: in the face, and we talk about all the time. However,

800
00:40:52,000 --> 00:40:54,080
Speaker 1: what we want to focus on here is winning. And

801
00:40:54,160 --> 00:40:56,400
Speaker 1: if you want to win, you have to put together

802
00:40:56,520 --> 00:40:59,399
Speaker 1: a coalition of fifty percent plus one. And so how

803
00:40:59,480 --> 00:41:02,400
Speaker 1: did President and Trump get to there in all of

804
00:41:02,480 --> 00:41:04,640
Speaker 1: the swing states, seven out of seven of the swing

805
00:41:04,760 --> 00:41:07,879
Speaker 1: states and turn out the popular vote because he found

806
00:41:07,920 --> 00:41:10,319
Speaker 1: a way to go pocket by pocket by pocket, by

807
00:41:10,360 --> 00:41:13,600
Speaker 1: pocket by pocket, put this all together and boom, put

808
00:41:13,840 --> 00:41:18,720
Speaker 1: up across the board the most massive victory anyone's ever seen.

809
00:41:19,120 --> 00:41:21,960
Speaker 1: And so that's why it's so key to watch the

810
00:41:22,080 --> 00:41:25,840
Speaker 1: shift of these pockets, because these margins, Oh you're just

811
00:41:25,880 --> 00:41:29,240
Speaker 1: focusing on the margins. Yeah, it's called the margin of victory,

812
00:41:29,719 --> 00:41:32,720
Speaker 1: the margin of victory. That's why I watched the margin,

813
00:41:33,000 --> 00:41:36,120
Speaker 1: because that goes from winning an election to losing an election.

814
00:41:36,560 --> 00:41:38,759
Speaker 6: Rich Barris helped me out here.

815
00:41:39,040 --> 00:41:40,520
Speaker 1: You know, people are like, oh, why are you so

816
00:41:40,680 --> 00:41:44,160
Speaker 1: focused on this, because this is winning versus losing, And

817
00:41:44,440 --> 00:41:46,759
Speaker 1: I'm sorry, but I want to keep winning and I

818
00:41:46,800 --> 00:41:47,919
Speaker 1: don't ever want to stop winning.

819
00:41:49,520 --> 00:41:51,960
Speaker 11: And I think people don't understand, even though it's something

820
00:41:51,960 --> 00:41:54,439
Speaker 11: I've been saying for years, is that the the only

821
00:41:54,520 --> 00:41:58,279
Speaker 11: thing that's consistent about political coalitions in this country is

822
00:41:58,360 --> 00:42:02,200
Speaker 11: that they consistently evolve, and you have to consistently.

823
00:42:01,600 --> 00:42:05,320
Speaker 14: Observe them and watch and usually almost always.

824
00:42:04,960 --> 00:42:07,759
Speaker 11: At least I believe this, it's because voters are making

825
00:42:07,800 --> 00:42:10,560
Speaker 11: a rational policy choice, or they're making a rational choice

826
00:42:10,560 --> 00:42:14,880
Speaker 11: to not vote at all. And that Pew research study

827
00:42:14,920 --> 00:42:18,520
Speaker 11: that you cited in the last segment, Jack, that study

828
00:42:18,680 --> 00:42:22,520
Speaker 11: showed exactly what we had been screaming about for two years,

829
00:42:22,680 --> 00:42:25,880
Speaker 11: that there is actually more of these voters that Republicans

830
00:42:25,920 --> 00:42:28,719
Speaker 11: could go get if they were focused and if they

831
00:42:28,880 --> 00:42:31,920
Speaker 11: understood what we were saying and understood the significance of it,

832
00:42:32,360 --> 00:42:35,200
Speaker 11: had all of them gone out to vote, it would

833
00:42:35,280 --> 00:42:39,399
Speaker 11: not have been a marginal popular vote win, it would

834
00:42:39,440 --> 00:42:42,840
Speaker 11: have been an overwhelming one anyway, five to seven points.

835
00:42:42,960 --> 00:42:46,440
Speaker 11: I mean, could you imagine a Republican presidential candidate winning

836
00:42:46,520 --> 00:42:49,520
Speaker 11: the popular vote by five to seven points.

837
00:42:49,719 --> 00:42:52,520
Speaker 14: And you have to understand where these people are located.

838
00:42:52,880 --> 00:42:58,200
Speaker 11: They're disproportionately, they disproportionately impact the electoral college. So when

839
00:42:58,280 --> 00:43:01,839
Speaker 11: you get these voters out in greater numbers, you're impacting

840
00:43:02,280 --> 00:43:05,719
Speaker 11: the electoral college count more than you would think, more

841
00:43:05,760 --> 00:43:08,680
Speaker 11: than you would expect. Right, just from adding X number

842
00:43:08,719 --> 00:43:11,399
Speaker 11: of voters, How could it swing the state that much?

843
00:43:11,719 --> 00:43:14,000
Speaker 14: Because they tend to live in the.

844
00:43:14,080 --> 00:43:18,640
Speaker 11: States that matter, and so I don't know what matters more, right,

845
00:43:19,400 --> 00:43:22,600
Speaker 11: And it's also important to know that Republicans are they're

846
00:43:22,640 --> 00:43:26,120
Speaker 11: on a timer with these voters because and we showed

847
00:43:26,160 --> 00:43:28,520
Speaker 11: this and demonstrated this during the Republican primary.

848
00:43:28,880 --> 00:43:30,920
Speaker 14: These voters told us that they're really at that.

849
00:43:31,040 --> 00:43:33,120
Speaker 11: Time was only one candidate they would go out and

850
00:43:33,239 --> 00:43:34,920
Speaker 11: vote for, and that was Donald Trump.

851
00:43:35,360 --> 00:43:37,440
Speaker 14: So the Republican Party's job right.

852
00:43:37,360 --> 00:43:40,600
Speaker 11: Now, I do what you got to do legislatively, then

853
00:43:40,719 --> 00:43:43,759
Speaker 11: move on and on the ground, behind the scenes, your

854
00:43:43,880 --> 00:43:46,360
Speaker 11: job is to convince these voters that the party is

855
00:43:46,400 --> 00:43:49,120
Speaker 11: becoming more like Donald Trump, And that is really the

856
00:43:49,320 --> 00:43:52,360
Speaker 11: entire argument you have got to make these people understand

857
00:43:52,400 --> 00:43:55,520
Speaker 11: that the Republican Party's changed. It's going to take up

858
00:43:55,600 --> 00:43:58,600
Speaker 11: Trump's banner when he's no longer in office, and he's

859
00:43:58,640 --> 00:44:02,480
Speaker 11: going to move vote. If they do that, you're talking

860
00:44:02,520 --> 00:44:05,600
Speaker 11: about a Roosevelt like coalition that will endure for thirty years.

861
00:44:06,120 --> 00:44:09,320
Speaker 14: So, I mean, that's why we obsess over these numbers, folks.

862
00:44:09,400 --> 00:44:12,319
Speaker 11: Do you know the difference between the pendulum swinging back

863
00:44:12,360 --> 00:44:15,880
Speaker 11: and forth temporarily like it often does in American politics,

864
00:44:16,200 --> 00:44:19,200
Speaker 11: or sometimes a big realignment comes around, and that big

865
00:44:19,320 --> 00:44:23,320
Speaker 11: realignment is historical and it changes the trajectory of the electorate,

866
00:44:23,440 --> 00:44:25,480
Speaker 11: like it did for Roosevelt, by the way, it did

867
00:44:25,719 --> 00:44:28,759
Speaker 11: so for Reagan as well. You know, Republicans were kind

868
00:44:28,800 --> 00:44:31,840
Speaker 11: of in the wilderness, and Reagan ushered in something Obama,

869
00:44:32,000 --> 00:44:35,560
Speaker 11: by the way, was very jealous of. He ushered in

870
00:44:35,840 --> 00:44:39,239
Speaker 11: a thirty year change in the American psyche, and he

871
00:44:39,400 --> 00:44:41,560
Speaker 11: got people to come out and vote Republican that had

872
00:44:41,680 --> 00:44:45,200
Speaker 11: never in the past, at Nick Catholics, at Nick Irish right.

873
00:44:45,400 --> 00:44:48,759
Speaker 11: So he changed the He changed that equation that you

874
00:44:48,840 --> 00:44:51,160
Speaker 11: were just talking about, And that's what Trump has the

875
00:44:51,560 --> 00:44:54,560
Speaker 11: he already did. It's just that now Republicans need to

876
00:44:55,239 --> 00:44:57,520
Speaker 11: be able to pick that up and also expand on

877
00:44:57,640 --> 00:44:59,960
Speaker 11: it because you can the numbers are there to expand

878
00:45:00,160 --> 00:45:00,320
Speaker 11: on it.

879
00:45:01,440 --> 00:45:04,040
Speaker 6: And I think this is so important. Rich. You got

880
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Speaker 6: to write this up, brother, because this is one of

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Speaker 6: the most.

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Speaker 1: Important things that I think you've uncovered, and it's something

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Speaker 1: that I think a lot of us can sort of

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Speaker 1: sense it when we're out there, whether it's on social

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Speaker 1: media or just reading comments and emails. But you've put

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Speaker 1: it together in this package that you've uncovered that I

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Speaker 1: think is so important because again, just like anything else

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Speaker 1: in politics, when you when you take an action that

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Speaker 1: benefits that one group over another in your coalition, that

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Speaker 1: runs the risk of costing other.

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Speaker 6: Members of the group.

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Speaker 1: Rich Bariss, Where can people go to find you and

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Speaker 1: get all of these incredible insights?

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Speaker 11: Best place where everywhere, Jack, But the best place is

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Speaker 11: on locals, People's pundent dot locals dot com, People's pundent

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Speaker 11: dot locals dot com. Thanks as always, Brother, Happy independently.

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Speaker 6: Rich and from the Postsos to the Barrasses. Happy Independence

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Speaker 6: Day ladies and gentlemen. Always yeah for the layer Shore