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Speaker 1: Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of I Heart Radio.

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Speaker 1: Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from I Heart Radio,

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Speaker 1: your weekly source for the nation's best fantasy football advice, speculation,

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Speaker 1: and whatever stupid stuff they decided to drop into the show.

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Speaker 1: Now here's your host, Paul. Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly.

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Speaker 1: I am Paul Giarchy and my co host today is

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Speaker 1: Scott Fish. Hello. Scott, Hello, it's going to be here

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Speaker 1: twice in like three weeks. I know, sah, I'm letta

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Speaker 1: start the show off with something weird. I I in

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Speaker 1: order to do this show today, I had to send

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Speaker 1: the kids to the grandparents thank you, and uh come

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Speaker 1: up here to do the show. And I told the

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Speaker 1: wife you're gonna be You're gonna have the house to

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Speaker 1: yourself for most of the day. Yeah, she wasn't heartbroken

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Speaker 1: by that. She seemed almost like strangely happy about that.

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Speaker 1: Get going very weird. It is very weird, by the way.

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Speaker 1: It get to do the show, not half to do

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Speaker 1: a quick reminder, Yes, it's very I love doing this show.

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Speaker 1: Well good because we go to the two hour format

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Speaker 1: next back into we're back into regular season mode and

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Speaker 1: again and I know I'm there back to backs. That'll

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Speaker 1: be great. So all kinds of training camp updates and stuff,

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Speaker 1: and we're starting to get some of the training camp

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Speaker 1: stuff starting to hit. But we're focusing this show, Scott

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Speaker 1: on the NFC North, the last of our eight divisions.

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Speaker 1: We timed it out with the start of training camp,

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Speaker 1: but anything else it's perfect, um and we're so well,

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Speaker 1: we'll hit the team's the NFC North. We're gonna get

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Speaker 1: Detroit out of the way first. The least to say

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Speaker 1: about that team at least interesting stuff to say. Uh,

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Speaker 1: no offense to you. I mean you're gonna do your

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Speaker 1: best of what what what you're given, don't get me wrong.

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Speaker 1: And um, I can't. I can't kill ten minutes on

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Speaker 1: Kenny Golladay anymore. You can't exactly exactly um. And you

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Speaker 1: weren't even here for the NFC East to do Kenny

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Speaker 1: Love So unfortunately, I'll quick mention Guillotine Leagues dot Com.

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Speaker 1: We're rolling guillotine leagues right now. If you want to

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Speaker 1: join a guillotine league and try the freshest, funnest new

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Speaker 1: way to play, we encourage you to check that out.

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Speaker 1: Eighteen teams start the season every week. The low scoring

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Speaker 1: team gets cut and all their players go to the

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Speaker 1: waiver wire and pandemonium ensues. Uh, Scott, You've played in

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Speaker 1: several guillotines and uh tons of fun. Yes, I am

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Speaker 1: not great at them. I do usually make it six

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Speaker 1: d eight weeks, but I am not a I'm never

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Speaker 1: a contender and I'm never out. First part of the

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Speaker 1: beauty of the Guillotine League is there's no playbook yet, right,

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Speaker 1: and there's not just like one way to win, and

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Speaker 1: there aren't you know, the experts haven't like cracked the

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Speaker 1: code on the Guillotine League yet, so that's uh, you know,

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Speaker 1: for example, in one of my guillotine leagues that just

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Speaker 1: got done drafting recently, UH can makers. But I can

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Speaker 1: rebound from it easier in a Guillotine League than any

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Speaker 1: other format, because if I can just survive week one,

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Speaker 1: some good running backs gonna get cut off of somebody's

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Speaker 1: roster and I can go fill that. I'll have to

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Speaker 1: pay to do it. I'll have to make a big

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Speaker 1: fab push to do it, but if I feel like

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Speaker 1: I need to, I can. I wish there was a

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Speaker 1: show out there that I could listen to that could

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Speaker 1: help me last past week six or eight well, that

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Speaker 1: would be the Chop podcast. Thank you very much for

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Speaker 1: teaeing that up. I appreciate it. If you're not already

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Speaker 1: subscribed to Chop the Gailloteam League podcast, we encourage you

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Speaker 1: to do that. And there's a new episode of that.

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Speaker 1: By the way, let's dive into the Detroit Lions. Let's

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Speaker 1: do it. Yeah, it's uh, this is It feels like

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Speaker 1: another in a series of perpetual rebuilds for our Lions. Yep.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna start at the quarterback position with David Bluff

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Speaker 1: and Tim Boyle. Okay, I won't start there still, I'll

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Speaker 1: start with Goff, Jared Goff, who's going undrafted in your

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Speaker 1: normal eighteen round leagues, probably rightfully so, but I'll stick

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Speaker 1: with him anyway. Last year Stafford played all sixteen games,

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Speaker 1: barely had four thousand yards. He had twenty six touchdowns

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Speaker 1: and ten interceptions. That's Stafford, who puts up stats stat

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Speaker 1: Padford as they call him. I feel like that's Goff's

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Speaker 1: absolute ceiling, like there's I don't think there's any chance

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Speaker 1: he gets above that. And last year Stafford had better

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Speaker 1: weapons like Holiday and Marvin Jones. This year they don't

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Speaker 1: have much. I just don't even think golf is even

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Speaker 1: worth drafting. I think this is accurate his non ADP.

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Speaker 1: I think he's going to be a situational starter because

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Speaker 1: the lines will be behind in almost every game, and

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Speaker 1: you're gonna find those easier past defenses that will relax,

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Speaker 1: and he's onnable. He'll padd some staffs. You can roster

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Speaker 1: him in super flex and he's going to be a

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Speaker 1: waiver wire guy for sure. But for draft wise, I'm

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Speaker 1: not drafting he will be to take a chance on

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Speaker 1: me guy. He will be. Yeah, he'll be a five

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Speaker 1: time to take a chance on him here over the

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Speaker 1: course of the season. Now, the bad news is who's

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Speaker 1: he's through, who he's throwing too? Right? Yeah, And and

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Speaker 1: really let's just start with t J. Hockenson honestly, because

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Speaker 1: that's what he's sitting on. A big year. He is

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Speaker 1: reportedly in camp he is better than all the wide receivers.

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Speaker 1: He's his cuts and breaks are better than all of them,

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Speaker 1: which doesn't surprise me. He's last year's ti end for

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Speaker 1: he's my tight end for right now and my tight

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Speaker 1: end for and he's being drafted his tight end six.

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Speaker 1: I don't get that feels wrong. It's the Kyle Pitts people.

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Speaker 1: Because Kyle Pitts is tight end four. I think I

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Speaker 1: think to Hockinson is closer to that top three than

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Speaker 1: he is to the guys below him, the Andrews Pitts group.

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Speaker 1: I do feel like it's a mini tier of his own.

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Speaker 1: But yeah, he's my tight end for your tight end,

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Speaker 1: for last year's tight end for in an offense without

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Speaker 1: many pass pass catchers, um in an offense that's going

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Speaker 1: to be kept playing. We've just mentioned playing from behind

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Speaker 1: a lot. He had over a hundred targets last year

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Speaker 1: with better weapons around him. I just I just don't

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Speaker 1: see a way that he doesn't get twenty to thirty

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Speaker 1: more targets. He he maybe he maybe fights for that

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Speaker 1: hundred catch range. This year he gets sixty nine or

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Speaker 1: something like that that last year. I could see twenty

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Speaker 1: plus more catches this year. It's as simple as this.

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Speaker 1: He's a really good player. T J. Hockenson on Ah,

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Speaker 1: he's the best receiver on the team. They're gonna be

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Speaker 1: down in every game. So that's it. You're all that together.

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Speaker 1: He's sitting out a big here late fifth round, and

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Speaker 1: if you don't invest in those first in those first three,

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Speaker 1: I'm I'm loving that late fifth round because you've already

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Speaker 1: got probably a couple of running backs and wide receivers

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Speaker 1: right you're filling in, and you know in one of

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Speaker 1: those top three guys probably falters due to injury or whatever,

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Speaker 1: and Hockinson ends up in the top three. Yeah, I

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Speaker 1: think there's a coin flips chances he's one of the

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Speaker 1: top three. This is one of those years there's generally

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Speaker 1: it's get one of the top two or three or

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Speaker 1: wait till like way late this one, I feel like

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Speaker 1: there's the middle. I feel like there's Hockinson and Pitts

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Speaker 1: and Mark Andrews and guys in the middle that you

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Speaker 1: can feel pretty decently comfortable with. Agree with that, except

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Speaker 1: for the Pitts. Park I detailed it on the show

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Speaker 1: last week. My you know the dangers of the first

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Speaker 1: round tight end. You know it well because you don't

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Speaker 1: have talked about this for every season. He's got a

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Speaker 1: break twenty years of trends, and he might be good

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Speaker 1: enough to do it, especially if they don't play him

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Speaker 1: at tight end. If they just play him, really is

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Speaker 1: a standing slot in our side receiver that I think

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Speaker 1: Pitts can do it, but otherwise I'm worried. Yeah, it's

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Speaker 1: it's all about where he's going. If you have been

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Speaker 1: tight end six tight and tight end six seven in

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Speaker 1: the tight end landscape, it's like seven hundred yards and

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Speaker 1: five or success. I think that's like at tight end six.

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Speaker 1: It's actually okay, you know, um and the upside, you know,

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Speaker 1: that's that's probably why he's going because of upside. But

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Speaker 1: we're not here to talk about that's right, We're not here, right,

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Speaker 1: And you know what I want. I don't really want

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Speaker 1: to talk about the receivers, but I suppose we need

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Speaker 1: to mention Priman, and I actually only have one receiver

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Speaker 1: I want to talk about. I will say Bush, you know,

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Speaker 1: I will say Breshot Priman. You know, he's got those

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Speaker 1: line bloodlines, so maybe that helps. Dad played on um

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Speaker 1: Cepis flashed a little at the end of last year.

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Speaker 1: Tyrell the Gazelle flashed with the Chargers and the Raiders.

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Speaker 1: But I don't think there's anything better than waiver wire

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Speaker 1: pickups in those bad games. I'm on Ross st. Brown.

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Speaker 1: I think is a sneaky play to possibly lead this

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Speaker 1: team in targets and and catches. I think it's I

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Speaker 1: think it's within reason. Um, you think a Lions rookie

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Speaker 1: receiver can lead the team including t J Hockinson, it's

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Speaker 1: I think it's gonna be him and t J. Hockenson

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Speaker 1: or the two. I think I think golf might lean

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Speaker 1: on him like he leaned on Cup from the slot. Uh.

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Speaker 1: Everything reported out of Almanra is that he is working

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Speaker 1: like crazy. He's taking its super series. He's there before people,

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Speaker 1: he's leaving after people. He's on the jug machine for

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Speaker 1: like for an hour, just catching like one handed after

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Speaker 1: everyone's already gone. He is taking every ounce of this seriously.

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Speaker 1: And even though the other two sat Brown brothers, you know,

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Speaker 1: Osiris and and Equinimias, are like he's the best of us,

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Speaker 1: it's and I just I just feel like he is

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Speaker 1: going to get in there sooner than later, and he's

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Speaker 1: going to become golf's safety blanket. Um. But my main

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Speaker 1: love about him is he could be the wide receiver

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Speaker 1: one on this team and he's going in the fourteenth round.

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Speaker 1: That's your price tag, that's what you like on How

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Speaker 1: how quickly does he become a reliable fan of he started?

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Speaker 1: I honestly don't know a question, but we're we're talking

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Speaker 1: about the guy who's like five deep on your bench. Also,

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Speaker 1: you know what I mean, Like like it's it's not

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Speaker 1: a heavy investment that takes a while, exactly. It's it's

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Speaker 1: one of those where it might be a past heavy

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Speaker 1: team and he might come out as the one. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: makes sense, all right, you're you know it's not like

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Speaker 1: he's got to get by many talented receivers. He really doesn't.

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Speaker 1: What's his percentage of plays run from the slot versus outside?

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Speaker 1: I actually don't know that. Do you think forward? I

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Speaker 1: thought you were talking about no, no no, no, not pass

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Speaker 1: going forward? What do you think? Um? Gosh? Just just

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Speaker 1: because of the players that they have on the outside

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Speaker 1: are all burners, right, I think he's got to play

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Speaker 1: in the slot most of the time and then and

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Speaker 1: that keeps him on the field. I don't these guys.

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Speaker 1: That's why I'm asking. These guys aren't slot guys, right,

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Speaker 1: That's why I'm asking if slot is his? Is his

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Speaker 1: pathway to playing time? And think about how good Cooper

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Speaker 1: Cup was with goffin a rookie. Yep, that's her. That's

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Speaker 1: your upside here, right, yep? Yep? That's and again fourteenth round.

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Speaker 1: That's why, like every year there's a wide receiver that's

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Speaker 1: the wide receiver one on the team going super late

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Speaker 1: and you're like, this is a wide receiver one you're

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Speaker 1: getting here? I think it's possible, you get possible, you

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Speaker 1: get a wide receiver one in the fourteenth round. Now

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Speaker 1: we don't have Sean McVeigh on this coaching staff that

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Speaker 1: Anthony Lynn. In fairness, you know he never should have

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Speaker 1: been a head coach, but just look at what he

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Speaker 1: did for Justin Herbert, right, he was able to you know,

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Speaker 1: he's evil able to craft a good offense last year. Yep.

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Speaker 1: So you know it's it's not a disaster with this

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Speaker 1: new coaching staff. No it isn't. And I mean Keenan

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Speaker 1: Allen amin Ra is not Keenan Allen from the slot.

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Speaker 1: You don't know, not yet yep. So you yeah, yeah,

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Speaker 1: we'll see, we'll see. But talking about Anthony Lynn and

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Speaker 1: the way he uses backs is interesting because he does

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Speaker 1: like to split it up. He famously talks about having

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Speaker 1: an A back the between the tackles, you know, pound

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Speaker 1: him down back, and the B back like the Austin

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Speaker 1: Neckler that will play in the slot to decent amount.

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Speaker 1: And he said Jamal Williams is his A back, he's

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Speaker 1: between the tackles guy, his his more power back, and

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Speaker 1: and Deondrew Swift is the B back. He's gonna he's

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Speaker 1: gonna jump outside and catch passes, which I like for

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Speaker 1: DeAndre Swift, but if he's not getting a full workload,

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Speaker 1: I think where he's being drafted, his RB nineteenth is

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Speaker 1: kind of fair, but I also think it's more closer

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Speaker 1: to his floor. I could see a pathway for DeAndre

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Speaker 1: Swift to be a top twelve back. He's just got

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Speaker 1: to get more of that work than Anthony Lynn's letting

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Speaker 1: on right, and he needs to get goal line carries.

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Speaker 1: If he's got a manufacture his touchdowns from outside the

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Speaker 1: five yard, that makes it a lot harder. If he's

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Speaker 1: saying that Jamal Williams is gonna be my A gap

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Speaker 1: B gap guy, that suggests to me that Williams will

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Speaker 1: get the goal line work. Yeah, that's that's that's the problem.

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Speaker 1: You you have to and with an offense that's going

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Speaker 1: to be behind a lot that's negative game scrap for

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Speaker 1: running back generally, so you're gonna have to buoy that

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Speaker 1: with the pass catching ability which should go to Swift,

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Speaker 1: so that helps him there. But yeah, the the goal

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Speaker 1: line work, the inside the five work is where it's

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Speaker 1: going to be. Uh, We're gonna have to see what

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Speaker 1: happens there. So I think people are baking that risk

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Speaker 1: into his ADP. And that's why I do feel like

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Speaker 1: RB nineteen at the end of the is is likely

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Speaker 1: closer to his flour For me, Jamal Williams going in

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Speaker 1: the ninth round RB forty four, I'm fine with that

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Speaker 1: because if Swift goes down, you have a workhorse back.

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Speaker 1: So the fact that he's going in those Pollard Madison

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Speaker 1: ranges makes sense. And you can start him in a

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Speaker 1: you know, in a pinch anyway you can, you can

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Speaker 1: flex Jamal. Yeah, and this is a I mean Anthony

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Speaker 1: Lynn with with the Chargers, they were putting twenty to

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Speaker 1: thirty touches with the running backs weekly. I could see

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Speaker 1: him being an eight, nine, ten, twelve touch game guy

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Speaker 1: most weeks. Yeah, yeah, makes sense, absolutely fair, all right,

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Speaker 1: who is the player that is we do this at

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Speaker 1: the end of every team. Who's the player at his

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Speaker 1: current ADP that you think is the riskiest of the

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Speaker 1: Lions And they're all the ADPs are suppressed here. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: I'm sure this was a little tricky. Yeah, yeah, this

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Speaker 1: is this is really really interesting, the most risky, I guess.

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Speaker 1: I guess. Oh man, I don't even see the fact

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Speaker 1: that Goff doesn't even have an ad right. It almost

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Speaker 1: has to be swift by definition. It really does nobody

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Speaker 1: else except Howkinson's getting even drafted, and we love Hawkinson. Yeah, exactly,

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Speaker 1: it's got to be swift, just kind of like we

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Speaker 1: thought Acres was the one, just because he's the one

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Speaker 1: going the highest. So the highest when you're using such

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Speaker 1: a high draft capital, that's the risk, is the high

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Speaker 1: draft capital. Um, But I it is him, but it's

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Speaker 1: I still feel it's fair. Okay, that's fine, and the

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Speaker 1: player with the most upside compared to a d I

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Speaker 1: think we know where I'm going with this. Like I

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Speaker 1: think Hackinson could be a top three guy, but I

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Speaker 1: think but it's Alman Raw for me. I I just

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Speaker 1: feel he's a guy that he could end up with

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Speaker 1: over like Marvin Jones had like a hundred targets last year.

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Speaker 1: If he turns into Marvin Jones but from the slot

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Speaker 1: and becomes that safety blanket, you're getting him in the

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Speaker 1: fourteenth round. He might be their wide receiver one. When

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Speaker 1: we come back from this break, the gangs back together

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Speaker 1: in Green Bay, we'll tell you what to expect from

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Speaker 1: the Aaron Rodgers lead to Green Bay Packers. Welcome back

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Speaker 1: Fantasy Football Weekly. Paul Charchi and Scott Fish with you.

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Speaker 1: We're going around the NFC North previewing how we expect

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Speaker 1: this season to go. We specifically don't do a lot

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Speaker 1: of recap on last year. You already know how that

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Speaker 1: how that went, So it's all for looking. Let's go

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Speaker 1: to Green Bay. Gangs back together, and Scott, they're playing

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Speaker 1: mad Chip on their shoulder. At least a Rodg does

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Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers with new love and this anger and I

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Speaker 1: hate madd Aaron Rodgers. He's just so good. I think

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Speaker 1: he's I think he's sitting on an ice here. So

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Speaker 1: Green Bay is playing for a Super Bowl this year.

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Speaker 1: How committed are they to a this year's Super Bowl? Scott?

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Speaker 1: Not only are they over the cap for next year,

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Speaker 1: they're over the maximum UM mount. The cap can possibly

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Speaker 1: increase next year. That's the Packers current contract situation for

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Speaker 1: next season. UM. So, as you know, Aaron Rodgers reported

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Speaker 1: back at the start of training camp set his piece.

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Speaker 1: He's in the new quarterback um. The only reason to

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Speaker 1: believe Rogers will be any worse than last year's MVP

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Speaker 1: season is the declining state of his offensive line and

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Speaker 1: the fact that he's a year older. He'll turn thirty

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Speaker 1: eight this year, so you know, maybe this is the

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Speaker 1: year when the arms starts to erode a bit. But

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Speaker 1: we don't have any We don't have any reason to

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Speaker 1: believe that's the case. You know, for dynasty holders keeping

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Speaker 1: Jordan's love, you got another year to wait. And and

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Speaker 1: here's the part that really worries me, and I am

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Speaker 1: a dynasty owner holding Jordan's love. If Jordan's Love looked

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Speaker 1: at NFL ready, this team would have shipped Rogers for

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Speaker 1: the three first round picks they wanted reportedly, and you

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Speaker 1: know whatever, they'd have made that deal and gone ahead

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Speaker 1: with love and got their picks. They don't think love

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Speaker 1: can win, and so they're all in on this year

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Speaker 1: Super Bowl. Yep, completely agree. So I think you're holding

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Speaker 1: love for at least another year, And even then, you're

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Speaker 1: not sure he didn't if he didn't look NFL ready,

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Speaker 1: Now is he gonna look NFL ready? A year from now. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: I I I expect to Pat CHRISTI drafting of the

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Speaker 1: quarterback next year. UM, all right, so you know what

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Speaker 1: to expect that Aaron Rodgers. I don't you know. I

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Speaker 1: don't even need to talk really about him in his

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Speaker 1: fantasy prospects. I have him a quarterback five. Um. The

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Speaker 1: all four of the quarterbacks before him are rushing quarterbacks. UM.

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Speaker 1: And you know guys that are gonna gonna chip in

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Speaker 1: some on the ground. Rogers really isn't that guy anymore?

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Speaker 1: You did? Yep? That windows shut. You know you could

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Speaker 1: have got him his quarterback thirteen fifteen, seventeen nineteen, and

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Speaker 1: that's all dead now you're now you're gonna have to

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Speaker 1: spend a fifth round pick, sixth round pick on Aaron

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Speaker 1: Rodgers if you want them. So let's talk about the

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Speaker 1: offensive line, Scott. This is the part, this is the

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Speaker 1: one wrinkle where you worry about this this team a bit.

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Speaker 1: So they've lost Brian Bulaga, Corey Lindsley, and Rick Wagner

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Speaker 1: bolog At two years ago. David bo r is coming

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Speaker 1: off in a c L. He's on the publist right now.

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Speaker 1: They don't know if he's gonna be ready for the

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Speaker 1: start of the season. Pro Football Focus ranked last year's

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Speaker 1: line at number two overall. Aaron Rodgers was the least

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Speaker 1: pressured quarterback in the NFL. Pro Football Focus projects this

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Speaker 1: year's line at that is a sizeable drop from number two.

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Speaker 1: UH utility lineman Billy Wagner is going to try to

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Speaker 1: be the full time right tackle this year. They've got

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Speaker 1: this elite utility lineman that they drafted um Elkin Jenkins.

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Speaker 1: Awesome player and one of the great draft picks that

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Speaker 1: you know, for all the heat that Brian Goodcoutz has

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Speaker 1: taken that pick, he nailed that pick. Dr Alexander to

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Speaker 1: Alexander right um already. So they got Jenkins now playing

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Speaker 1: a little bit of left tackle, and they're worried that

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Speaker 1: he might have to go left out. He's really an

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Speaker 1: interior guy, but they're worried he's gonna have to play

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Speaker 1: left tackle. If it turns out bo r he can't go.

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Speaker 1: Second round rookie josh My AARs is going to have

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Speaker 1: to make starts at center. There's an offensive line that

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Speaker 1: for the Packers, and where there's been tremendous stability, has

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Speaker 1: got a lot of flux right now, and with that

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Speaker 1: it opens up the prospect of some worse and I

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Speaker 1: think less consistent play for the entire offense. Let's talk

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Speaker 1: about whiteouts, Davante Adams. You already know everything that you

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Speaker 1: know about Adams currently playing in the last year of

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Speaker 1: his previous deal, so he's playing for money. Uh. The

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Speaker 1: only question to me is is he wide receiver one

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Speaker 1: or wide receiver two? In your fantasy rankings? Where do

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Speaker 1: you have him Scott one? I have no problem with that.

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Speaker 1: I have Tyreek Hill one. I have him, you know.

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Speaker 1: And part of it is, and this is just the

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Speaker 1: emotional side of me. I just love having Tyreek Hill

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Speaker 1: on my team because when Patrick Mahomes is airing out

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Speaker 1: these sixty yard bombs, I know who's on the other

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Speaker 1: end of that. And while that ball is at mid

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Speaker 1: arc of its zenith, I'm already standing in my living

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Speaker 1: room jumping up and down at the prospect of Tyreek

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Speaker 1: Hill pulling that in. And and you love the idea

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Speaker 1: of Mahomes throwing tons and tons of touchdown passes because

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Speaker 1: their their wide receiver three usually doesn't get much the

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Speaker 1: usually right, it's easy, and I think I believe Mahomes

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Speaker 1: has got fifty touchdowns in him this year, the improved

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Speaker 1: offensive line. I just think this offense is ready to explode.

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Speaker 1: Model they already it already explodes. I think even beyond

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Speaker 1: I did, it's gonna be a whole half step better

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Speaker 1: than last year's I think. Anyway, we're not here to talk. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: we're said, this is what happens when we get together.

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Speaker 1: Though we talk a lot of football, which I love.

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Speaker 1: Um all right, so you already know your there's no

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Speaker 1: downside with Adams whatsoever. Um, even if he and the

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Speaker 1: team are at a contracting pass whatever else. If everybody's

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Speaker 1: playing mad, I still love these guys, and I still

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Speaker 1: want to I still want every part of it. But

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Speaker 1: let's go to the rest of the wide receivers because

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Speaker 1: there's a lot to talk about here and far more interesting.

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Speaker 1: Marcus Veldes Scantling has perpetually burned fantasy owners because he

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Speaker 1: has the one great deep pass that shows up on

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Speaker 1: everybody's highlights, and he has posted this big game. Everybody

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Speaker 1: runs the waiver wire, you pick him up, and then

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Speaker 1: he does nothing for like three straight games, and I

400
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Speaker 1: mean nothing. So I went through the last two years

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Speaker 1: when he does not score, which is most of the time.

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Speaker 1: By the way, you know he's like four touchdowns a year.

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Speaker 1: Here's your average game when Mark Hazvelda Scaling does not score.

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Speaker 1: One and a half catches for twenty yards and it

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Speaker 1: went lower right exactly. Um. Now, he did lead the

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Speaker 1: NFL and average targeted air yards last year at eighteen,

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Speaker 1: which is insane for my first rounder. You don't have

408
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Speaker 1: to catch it, that's the best part. You're just targeted. Um, so,

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Speaker 1: way too much risk. And you know, maybe this is

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Speaker 1: the season it all comes together, but I do. I

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Speaker 1: can't have guys like that in my fantasy team because

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Speaker 1: that guy produces losses when he does not score, and

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Speaker 1: he usually does not score in Gaietting leaves as a

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Speaker 1: total disaster. Alan Lazard ran mostly from the slot and

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Speaker 1: then and you might be tempted to take him because

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Speaker 1: you know Roger's sitting on what should be a good year.

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Speaker 1: But then if you're Allen Lazard, here comes your quarterback

418
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Speaker 1: lobbying for a different slot quide receiver in Randall Cobb,

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Speaker 1: and they got him. So now Randall Cobb is there,

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Speaker 1: and that leaves Alan Lazard is the odd man out

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Speaker 1: because we know Rogers wants Cobb to be the starter,

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Speaker 1: so Lizard's stuck. He can run outside, and he ran

423
00:21:38,800 --> 00:21:41,520
Speaker 1: about forty of his plays last year from the outside,

424
00:21:41,760 --> 00:21:45,200
Speaker 1: but he mostly is a slot receiver, so Lizard's undraftable.

425
00:21:45,600 --> 00:21:49,399
Speaker 1: So Loud's sorry about Randall Cob woefully ineffective since leaving

426
00:21:49,400 --> 00:21:52,520
Speaker 1: Green Bay. And now he's thirty one years old, and

427
00:21:52,600 --> 00:21:55,240
Speaker 1: I question whether he's the same receiver that Aaron Rodgers

428
00:21:55,280 --> 00:21:57,760
Speaker 1: remembers from the last time they played together back in

429
00:21:59,600 --> 00:22:04,280
Speaker 1: you know, then he was okay. Since then, he's been bad.

430
00:22:04,640 --> 00:22:06,479
Speaker 1: And if I if, even if we roll back the

431
00:22:06,560 --> 00:22:09,879
Speaker 1: cock to Cobbs good old days with the Packers. So

432
00:22:09,960 --> 00:22:13,160
Speaker 1: I looked at Cobb's last three seasons in Green Bay

433
00:22:13,200 --> 00:22:17,320
Speaker 1: with Aaron Rodgers. He still wasn't that good for fantasy purposes.

434
00:22:17,359 --> 00:22:20,960
Speaker 1: He averaged forty three yards and a quarter of a

435
00:22:21,040 --> 00:22:23,480
Speaker 1: touchdown per game. That's all you were getting out of

436
00:22:23,560 --> 00:22:28,680
Speaker 1: Randall Cob when he was younger and better in two thousand, sixteen, seventeen,

437
00:22:28,680 --> 00:22:32,320
Speaker 1: and eighteen. So Cobb is not anybody IM interested in either,

438
00:22:32,520 --> 00:22:35,800
Speaker 1: and he's gonna split time with Lizard. Then there's Rookie

439
00:22:35,800 --> 00:22:40,720
Speaker 1: and Marie Rogers, who unfortunately is ideally suited for the slot,

440
00:22:41,200 --> 00:22:43,919
Speaker 1: and so that's a real problem for him. And it

441
00:22:44,040 --> 00:22:46,639
Speaker 1: really looks like Amari Rodgers is going to be a

442
00:22:46,680 --> 00:22:50,080
Speaker 1: special teamer this year. He's gonna spend the season grooming

443
00:22:50,280 --> 00:22:52,439
Speaker 1: in a very light roll. He'll get a little bit

444
00:22:52,480 --> 00:22:55,400
Speaker 1: of slot work when it's available. When there's four wide,

445
00:22:55,440 --> 00:22:57,399
Speaker 1: he might be on the field, but I don't think

446
00:22:57,400 --> 00:23:00,520
Speaker 1: he's gonna be on the field. And was such a

447
00:23:00,560 --> 00:23:04,159
Speaker 1: great thing for Amari Rodgers because I really like Amari Rodgers.

448
00:23:04,440 --> 00:23:06,440
Speaker 1: I think he'd be great in that role. But now

449
00:23:06,520 --> 00:23:08,800
Speaker 1: you know you'll never start him. He gets to learn

450
00:23:08,880 --> 00:23:10,960
Speaker 1: under Cobb and he can just sit in the back

451
00:23:11,040 --> 00:23:13,680
Speaker 1: and you can get him cheaper. It's like I think,

452
00:23:13,680 --> 00:23:15,359
Speaker 1: all around, it was good for him, Ari and his

453
00:23:15,480 --> 00:23:18,000
Speaker 1: Dynasty empire. And the only downside is by the time

454
00:23:18,000 --> 00:23:22,320
Speaker 1: he's playing next year, it's gonna be Jordan's love. Maybe

455
00:23:22,359 --> 00:23:24,080
Speaker 1: the biggest winner out of all of this is Robert

456
00:23:24,119 --> 00:23:27,359
Speaker 1: Tonyan finished last year really well. He's scored in five

457
00:23:27,440 --> 00:23:30,080
Speaker 1: straight games from Week eleven to Week fifteen, and then

458
00:23:30,200 --> 00:23:33,600
Speaker 1: scored twice more in the playoffs. Um he scored eleven

459
00:23:33,760 --> 00:23:36,000
Speaker 1: total times. It feels a little flukey though he was

460
00:23:36,040 --> 00:23:38,159
Speaker 1: targeted inside the five yard line just four times and

461
00:23:38,200 --> 00:23:40,160
Speaker 1: inside the tender yard line just eight times, and yet

462
00:23:40,160 --> 00:23:43,600
Speaker 1: he's still at eleven touchdowns super high conversion rate on those,

463
00:23:43,960 --> 00:23:46,680
Speaker 1: so maybe that doesn't doesn't work out as well that way,

464
00:23:46,840 --> 00:23:49,720
Speaker 1: and touch he's he's very touchdown dependent as a fantasy

465
00:23:49,720 --> 00:23:51,760
Speaker 1: player because they targeted him only three and a half

466
00:23:51,800 --> 00:23:59,800
Speaker 1: times per game. Tonyan Tanyan, Yeah, it's fun Yeah, like funny.

467
00:24:01,000 --> 00:24:02,119
Speaker 1: I think I had it wrong and now I got

468
00:24:02,160 --> 00:24:07,000
Speaker 1: it right. So, um. The hope is that in this

469
00:24:07,320 --> 00:24:10,080
Speaker 1: his second year as a full time starter Scott, that

470
00:24:10,520 --> 00:24:16,000
Speaker 1: Tanyan ends up getting incrementally better and that he earns

471
00:24:16,040 --> 00:24:19,320
Speaker 1: and gets more targets from from Aaron Rodgers. Catch percential

472
00:24:19,320 --> 00:24:23,040
Speaker 1: is ridiculous. Last year's number one in the league. Yeah,

473
00:24:23,040 --> 00:24:25,640
Speaker 1: that's something Rodgers is gonna like. Yes, that is how

474
00:24:25,640 --> 00:24:27,959
Speaker 1: you do you build grade vibes your quarterback by not

475
00:24:28,080 --> 00:24:31,840
Speaker 1: dropping the balls he throws you. Um, and his aid

476
00:24:31,880 --> 00:24:36,040
Speaker 1: out of eight yards is pretty good for a tight end. Yeah. Yeah,

477
00:24:36,080 --> 00:24:39,000
Speaker 1: I was gonna mention with Hawkinson in the last one.

478
00:24:39,400 --> 00:24:43,359
Speaker 1: Hawkinson's is eleven on his career, which is ridiculous. Oh

479
00:24:43,400 --> 00:24:45,920
Speaker 1: I'm sorry, Yeah, eleven yards per reception. No, you're talking

480
00:24:45,920 --> 00:24:50,800
Speaker 1: about a dot. Yeah, that's really good for uh So,

481
00:24:51,440 --> 00:24:53,879
Speaker 1: Tanyan's got some upside that most of the other players

482
00:24:53,880 --> 00:24:56,920
Speaker 1: in this offense, I think don't have as as receivers.

483
00:24:57,000 --> 00:24:59,919
Speaker 1: Especially let's go to the running backs. Even if Jamal

484
00:25:00,000 --> 00:25:02,720
Speaker 1: William's gone, Aaron Jones is not, I don't think gonna

485
00:25:02,760 --> 00:25:06,159
Speaker 1: get a dramatically bigger role, especially on the ground. I

486
00:25:06,200 --> 00:25:09,280
Speaker 1: think most of Jamal Williams rushing work is gonna go

487
00:25:09,320 --> 00:25:13,200
Speaker 1: to A J. Dillon. And in last Thursday's press conference,

488
00:25:13,280 --> 00:25:16,520
Speaker 1: Jones said he's dropped his body fat percentage. He says

489
00:25:16,560 --> 00:25:19,240
Speaker 1: he's leaner and faster right now. He's changed his diet.

490
00:25:19,680 --> 00:25:22,240
Speaker 1: He also said, and this is the really important thing.

491
00:25:22,280 --> 00:25:24,440
Speaker 1: If you take nothing else out of this Packers conversation,

492
00:25:24,520 --> 00:25:30,040
Speaker 1: get this. He's doing extra reps with offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hacketts, specifically,

493
00:25:30,119 --> 00:25:34,679
Speaker 1: under his receiving techniques. Last two seasons, he caught forty

494
00:25:34,680 --> 00:25:38,879
Speaker 1: seven and forty nine passes. Those are good numbers A J.

495
00:25:39,040 --> 00:25:43,560
Speaker 1: Dillon can't catch. Jamal Williams has been getting thirty five

496
00:25:43,600 --> 00:25:48,480
Speaker 1: to forty five receptions per year. Almost all of those

497
00:25:48,520 --> 00:25:52,800
Speaker 1: targets and receptions are going to go to Aaron Jones.

498
00:25:53,640 --> 00:25:58,280
Speaker 1: Aaron Jones may have a Chimera Eckler like uptick in

499
00:25:58,520 --> 00:26:02,200
Speaker 1: volume of past matches that nobody seems to be talking about.

500
00:26:02,920 --> 00:26:06,080
Speaker 1: The Jamal Williams targets and receptions are going to go

501
00:26:06,160 --> 00:26:09,760
Speaker 1: to Aaron Jones. A J. Dillon had three targets all

502
00:26:09,800 --> 00:26:14,160
Speaker 1: of last year. That's it. And that's why I think

503
00:26:14,760 --> 00:26:18,600
Speaker 1: Aaron Jones is potentially sitting on a far better season

504
00:26:18,600 --> 00:26:20,840
Speaker 1: than most people realize. We're gonna talk more about him

505
00:26:20,840 --> 00:26:23,800
Speaker 1: in a little bit, yep. I'm I'm very much an

506
00:26:23,800 --> 00:26:26,720
Speaker 1: agree with with you on basically all of that. I

507
00:26:26,720 --> 00:26:28,919
Speaker 1: I love the idea of Aaron Jones getting more passing,

508
00:26:28,960 --> 00:26:30,480
Speaker 1: and I don't think Dylan gets it. But I do

509
00:26:30,520 --> 00:26:32,280
Speaker 1: think Dylan gets a decent amount of work to at

510
00:26:32,359 --> 00:26:35,040
Speaker 1: least be draftworthy, oh for sure. And I like Dylan

511
00:26:35,119 --> 00:26:37,920
Speaker 1: is let's let's transition to him. He's presumed to get

512
00:26:37,960 --> 00:26:40,159
Speaker 1: most of the hundred and ten hundred twenty carries that

513
00:26:40,200 --> 00:26:43,520
Speaker 1: Jamal Williams had been getting and in the limited sample

514
00:26:43,560 --> 00:26:45,359
Speaker 1: size that he had last year, and it was limited

515
00:26:45,440 --> 00:26:47,240
Speaker 1: for A J. Delon. We kept thinking you'd get more work,

516
00:26:47,280 --> 00:26:48,560
Speaker 1: and it wasn't ntil the very end of the year,

517
00:26:48,840 --> 00:26:52,320
Speaker 1: and especially in one snowy game. UM, he ran pretty well.

518
00:26:52,400 --> 00:26:55,200
Speaker 1: He averaged five point three yards per carry. He boasted

519
00:26:55,240 --> 00:26:59,320
Speaker 1: an insane twenty six percent broken tackle rate, which is

520
00:26:59,320 --> 00:27:03,480
Speaker 1: one of the highest in the league. His sixty eight

521
00:27:03,560 --> 00:27:07,960
Speaker 1: percent yard after contract rate was top quartile. He also

522
00:27:08,040 --> 00:27:11,119
Speaker 1: averaged three and a half yards after contact, which was elite.

523
00:27:11,119 --> 00:27:13,240
Speaker 1: All that for A J. Dillon, And that's a lot

524
00:27:13,280 --> 00:27:16,000
Speaker 1: of why I think those carries from Jamal Williams will

525
00:27:16,040 --> 00:27:21,040
Speaker 1: go to A J. Dillon and the catch maybe despite

526
00:27:21,040 --> 00:27:23,000
Speaker 1: the massive frame that A J. Dillon has, I mean,

527
00:27:23,040 --> 00:27:26,679
Speaker 1: it looks perfectly perfectly built for goal line use. They

528
00:27:26,680 --> 00:27:29,880
Speaker 1: didn't give him any goal line use last year, and

529
00:27:29,880 --> 00:27:32,760
Speaker 1: and uh, Aaron Jones made good on his goal line use.

530
00:27:33,200 --> 00:27:35,399
Speaker 1: So we don't know for sure that he's going to

531
00:27:35,520 --> 00:27:39,320
Speaker 1: get a bunch of the easy touchdowns. Maybe he will,

532
00:27:39,680 --> 00:27:41,480
Speaker 1: but they've got a guy that like and has has

533
00:27:41,520 --> 00:27:44,000
Speaker 1: been good there and Aaron Jones. So let's talk about

534
00:27:44,000 --> 00:27:49,280
Speaker 1: the riskiest player to his current adp UM. I decided

535
00:27:49,320 --> 00:27:51,359
Speaker 1: to go with A J. Dillon here, who's going off

536
00:27:51,359 --> 00:27:53,040
Speaker 1: the board is running back forty in the eighth rone.

537
00:27:53,040 --> 00:27:54,240
Speaker 1: Even though I like him and I think he's gonna

538
00:27:54,240 --> 00:27:56,800
Speaker 1: get the D twenty carries, but he can't catch, so

539
00:27:56,840 --> 00:27:58,639
Speaker 1: he's not gonna help you in PPR. And if he

540
00:27:58,680 --> 00:28:01,119
Speaker 1: can't get and he's not gonna get a goal one touchdowns,

541
00:28:01,640 --> 00:28:05,120
Speaker 1: that means your box score is gonna be twelve carries

542
00:28:05,160 --> 00:28:09,520
Speaker 1: for fifty five yards and that just you know, five

543
00:28:09,720 --> 00:28:12,760
Speaker 1: points does not move the needle. Yeah, he's he's a

544
00:28:12,760 --> 00:28:16,080
Speaker 1: spot start at best like that, and he's going in

545
00:28:16,119 --> 00:28:18,080
Speaker 1: front of a lot of other running backs that have

546
00:28:19,000 --> 00:28:23,840
Speaker 1: a clearer path to either weekly production or RB one production,

547
00:28:23,960 --> 00:28:27,240
Speaker 1: particularly in PPR. Player with the most upside compared to

548
00:28:27,280 --> 00:28:30,160
Speaker 1: ADP is Aaron Jones. He's ADP is weirdly low Scott.

549
00:28:30,200 --> 00:28:32,840
Speaker 1: It's RB ten at the beginning of the second round.

550
00:28:34,320 --> 00:28:39,080
Speaker 1: If his PPR production is gonna vault forward by maybe

551
00:28:39,120 --> 00:28:43,560
Speaker 1: even double, I think he's got literally RB one upside.

552
00:28:44,040 --> 00:28:46,959
Speaker 1: He could be one overall. Not like when we mentioned

553
00:28:47,000 --> 00:28:49,000
Speaker 1: Alman Ross st Brown, we I met number one on

554
00:28:49,040 --> 00:28:52,960
Speaker 1: the team. This is RB one overall. Aaron Jones has

555
00:28:53,040 --> 00:28:56,880
Speaker 1: that in him and a clear picky you know, the

556
00:28:56,920 --> 00:28:59,400
Speaker 1: top five RB spot and he's currently going off the

557
00:28:59,400 --> 00:29:01,840
Speaker 1: board at RB, especially in an offense that should score

558
00:29:01,840 --> 00:29:05,760
Speaker 1: a lot. Yes, you always want that you want. All right,

559
00:29:06,000 --> 00:29:10,360
Speaker 1: let's let's transition over to the Chicago Bears and offense

560
00:29:10,720 --> 00:29:13,520
Speaker 1: in a fair amount of flux. Yeah, we'll start at

561
00:29:13,520 --> 00:29:16,680
Speaker 1: the quarterback position in an interesting spot because I'm going

562
00:29:16,720 --> 00:29:22,000
Speaker 1: to talk about the third string quarterback, the current third

563
00:29:22,040 --> 00:29:26,880
Speaker 1: string quarterback, which is incredibly volatile in drafts. Right now,

564
00:29:26,960 --> 00:29:31,600
Speaker 1: you will see him go in the ninth round Justin's Fields,

565
00:29:31,640 --> 00:29:34,840
Speaker 1: Justin Fields exactly. Sorry for not mentioning that earlier. You

566
00:29:34,880 --> 00:29:37,280
Speaker 1: can see him go in the ninth round or in

567
00:29:37,320 --> 00:29:41,440
Speaker 1: the seventeen round because he does not have that locked up,

568
00:29:41,440 --> 00:29:43,320
Speaker 1: And a lot of people who play in leagues that

569
00:29:43,360 --> 00:29:45,760
Speaker 1: are like eighteen rounds, sixteen rounds, they don't want a

570
00:29:45,800 --> 00:29:48,640
Speaker 1: third string quarterback or back up by end of training

571
00:29:48,640 --> 00:29:51,520
Speaker 1: camp or maybe even started by but they don't want

572
00:29:51,560 --> 00:29:54,800
Speaker 1: to back up, you know, early on in the draft.

573
00:29:54,880 --> 00:29:57,920
Speaker 1: So he's going all over the place. But he's a

574
00:29:58,000 --> 00:30:00,880
Speaker 1: league winner type pic. He He's one of those guys

575
00:30:00,920 --> 00:30:04,560
Speaker 1: that he's your typical end of the draft league winner

576
00:30:04,560 --> 00:30:07,000
Speaker 1: if you get him late enough. See I I love

577
00:30:07,280 --> 00:30:10,960
Speaker 1: I love getting Justin Fields late in drafts and just

578
00:30:11,040 --> 00:30:14,080
Speaker 1: knowing you know, I don't knowing that I'm gonna start

579
00:30:14,120 --> 00:30:15,760
Speaker 1: him sooner or later. So it was in Chicago this

580
00:30:15,800 --> 00:30:18,920
Speaker 1: week doing sports talk radio on six seventy to score

581
00:30:18,960 --> 00:30:20,760
Speaker 1: with my friends there and he did a show with

582
00:30:20,880 --> 00:30:24,040
Speaker 1: two hosts, Dan and Layla, and I asked them, give

583
00:30:24,120 --> 00:30:28,280
Speaker 1: me the week when Justin Fields is your starter dance

584
00:30:28,320 --> 00:30:31,760
Speaker 1: and week three laylists, a week five, week six versus

585
00:30:31,760 --> 00:30:35,080
Speaker 1: the Packers would be an interesting, wouldn't it. Um that's

586
00:30:35,120 --> 00:30:38,320
Speaker 1: kind of a grinder to put him in, but it's fun.

587
00:30:38,440 --> 00:30:40,000
Speaker 1: It tells you don't have to hold them that long

588
00:30:40,200 --> 00:30:42,560
Speaker 1: if that's you know, if he's if they're right, you

589
00:30:42,640 --> 00:30:45,400
Speaker 1: don't have to hold Fields that long. You know, you

590
00:30:45,440 --> 00:30:49,680
Speaker 1: could throw Ryan Fitzpatrick in and you know, who knows

591
00:30:49,680 --> 00:30:51,560
Speaker 1: what happens when they play him out for a month

592
00:30:51,560 --> 00:30:55,600
Speaker 1: and then or one of these guys that might start

593
00:30:55,720 --> 00:30:59,400
Speaker 1: the season like that. Yeah, yeah, but Fitzpatrick's a great,

594
00:30:59,600 --> 00:31:03,160
Speaker 1: a great idea for that type of move. The only

595
00:31:03,200 --> 00:31:05,640
Speaker 1: problem with Justin Fields is he's a running quarterback, and

596
00:31:05,680 --> 00:31:07,520
Speaker 1: we know they have so much trouble getting in the

597
00:31:07,560 --> 00:31:13,920
Speaker 1: top ten overall starters. Yeah, exactly, look at look at

598
00:31:14,000 --> 00:31:18,200
Speaker 1: Jalen Hurst last year. Yeah, you know, Jalen was able

599
00:31:18,240 --> 00:31:20,920
Speaker 1: to be a top ten fantasy quarterback with almost no

600
00:31:21,040 --> 00:31:24,479
Speaker 1: passing production. Yeah, it's that Konami code when they you

601
00:31:24,520 --> 00:31:27,720
Speaker 1: get that running uh, those running street rushing numbers. Yeah,

602
00:31:27,720 --> 00:31:30,080
Speaker 1: it's it's just a huge boom. So once he becomes

603
00:31:30,080 --> 00:31:33,400
Speaker 1: the starter, he's going to be rostered in every league.

604
00:31:33,440 --> 00:31:34,960
Speaker 1: So just grab Hi at the end of your draft

605
00:31:35,000 --> 00:31:37,000
Speaker 1: if you can. But there are leagues you have to reach.

606
00:31:37,160 --> 00:31:38,800
Speaker 1: You really have to reach for him. But it's it's

607
00:31:38,800 --> 00:31:42,280
Speaker 1: a league winning type of move. Uh. In the passing game,

608
00:31:42,320 --> 00:31:45,560
Speaker 1: we really we really only have two options to talk about, honestly,

609
00:31:45,600 --> 00:31:47,520
Speaker 1: Like if you look at the pair's dip chart, it's

610
00:31:47,600 --> 00:31:53,160
Speaker 1: filled with a lot of nothing. It's it's really Ellen Robinson, uh,

611
00:31:53,280 --> 00:31:58,560
Speaker 1: Fantasy Football Weekly's man, Darnell Mooney, who we and especially you,

612
00:31:58,720 --> 00:32:01,000
Speaker 1: but we were all really on all last year and

613
00:32:01,480 --> 00:32:05,520
Speaker 1: people are finally starting to come around, I know, um

614
00:32:05,640 --> 00:32:09,520
Speaker 1: and maybe maybe Cole Command who's got a little bit

615
00:32:09,560 --> 00:32:11,080
Speaker 1: of a hype, but he's really going at the end

616
00:32:11,080 --> 00:32:13,480
Speaker 1: of drafts and and maybe not even drafted in some leagues.

617
00:32:14,800 --> 00:32:17,760
Speaker 1: So they still have nine tight ends on absolutely and

618
00:32:17,840 --> 00:32:22,040
Speaker 1: Jimmy Graham's tight end. Yeah. Yeah. The hype on the

619
00:32:22,080 --> 00:32:25,080
Speaker 1: hype on Commet is basically they had like six seven

620
00:32:25,240 --> 00:32:27,840
Speaker 1: targets in five of his last six games. Last they

621
00:32:27,880 --> 00:32:31,280
Speaker 1: started to get him open and utilizing him more. And

622
00:32:31,560 --> 00:32:34,320
Speaker 1: you know when someone ends this season hot, like like

623
00:32:34,400 --> 00:32:37,840
Speaker 1: Graham did, or like Aaron Foster, Larry Johnson, like all

624
00:32:37,880 --> 00:32:40,440
Speaker 1: these guys that end the year hot, they're the hot

625
00:32:40,440 --> 00:32:43,080
Speaker 1: bus for the next year. That's commet right now. You

626
00:32:43,080 --> 00:32:45,080
Speaker 1: remember the tight end that that was at this time

627
00:32:45,160 --> 00:32:49,520
Speaker 1: last year. I don't Tyler Higbee come off that monster

628
00:32:49,640 --> 00:32:54,440
Speaker 1: December without Gerald Everett and everybody pushed his ADP way

629
00:32:54,520 --> 00:32:57,200
Speaker 1: up into like tight ends six or something. In fairness

630
00:32:57,400 --> 00:33:01,760
Speaker 1: to Higbee, Everett came back, the wide receivers came back healthy,

631
00:33:01,760 --> 00:33:05,000
Speaker 1: and this one in this situation, Graham did come back.

632
00:33:05,240 --> 00:33:08,480
Speaker 1: But Graham was there before. But they shipped out Anthony

633
00:33:08,520 --> 00:33:14,520
Speaker 1: Miller and they didn't add anything. Um But so he's undrafted.

634
00:33:14,520 --> 00:33:16,360
Speaker 1: That's way too much time on colchm At just a

635
00:33:16,480 --> 00:33:19,000
Speaker 1: sleeper to keep your mind on while you're watching early

636
00:33:19,040 --> 00:33:21,280
Speaker 1: in the season. Maybe for waiver wire Allen Robinson, we

637
00:33:21,320 --> 00:33:23,200
Speaker 1: don't have to talk about him much. He's had a

638
00:33:23,280 --> 00:33:26,880
Speaker 1: hundred fifty plus targets two straight years. He might be

639
00:33:26,920 --> 00:33:29,600
Speaker 1: getting he's quarterback proof, but he might get be getting

640
00:33:29,640 --> 00:33:34,920
Speaker 1: a huge upgrade soon. So he's going third round as

641
00:33:34,960 --> 00:33:37,240
Speaker 1: wide receiver twelve. I think that's fair. I think he's

642
00:33:37,240 --> 00:33:39,120
Speaker 1: a top twelve wide receiver and he's going to wide

643
00:33:39,160 --> 00:33:41,800
Speaker 1: receiver twelve. You know, if you told me he had

644
00:33:41,960 --> 00:33:44,280
Speaker 1: a wide receiver four, I get it. A wide receiver

645
00:33:44,360 --> 00:33:48,240
Speaker 1: four team. Okay. You know here's the downside of Robinson

646
00:33:48,360 --> 00:33:50,960
Speaker 1: and who's never had good quarterback, ain't always been able

647
00:33:51,000 --> 00:33:54,440
Speaker 1: to produce anyway. Is Andy Dalton's not going to give

648
00:33:54,520 --> 00:33:59,040
Speaker 1: him a lot, and then he'll transition to Justin Fields,

649
00:33:59,040 --> 00:34:02,680
Speaker 1: who's learning the NFL on the fly, and we don't

650
00:34:02,680 --> 00:34:04,080
Speaker 1: even know what kind of passer he could be. We

651
00:34:04,080 --> 00:34:05,560
Speaker 1: know he's got a big arm and that you know

652
00:34:05,600 --> 00:34:07,480
Speaker 1: he could unlock a deep passing game, but you know

653
00:34:07,480 --> 00:34:09,880
Speaker 1: how long is that going to take? So it feels

654
00:34:09,920 --> 00:34:14,120
Speaker 1: like there's no pathway for Allen Robinson to have really

655
00:34:14,160 --> 00:34:19,239
Speaker 1: good quarterbacking early and maybe at all this year. Man,

656
00:34:19,840 --> 00:34:23,960
Speaker 1: I feel like we've seen enough of the first years

657
00:34:23,960 --> 00:34:26,399
Speaker 1: out of and I'm not staying Fields as this yet,

658
00:34:26,440 --> 00:34:28,840
Speaker 1: but the first year of Dak, the first year of Herbert,

659
00:34:28,880 --> 00:34:30,680
Speaker 1: the first the first full year of the home Like,

660
00:34:30,719 --> 00:34:32,520
Speaker 1: I feel like we've seen enough of those recently to

661
00:34:32,600 --> 00:34:35,680
Speaker 1: go there is a path there, it's just you probably

662
00:34:35,680 --> 00:34:37,920
Speaker 1: don't want to bet on the path. Most people don't

663
00:34:37,960 --> 00:34:41,719
Speaker 1: think fields is was as NFL ready as most of

664
00:34:41,719 --> 00:34:45,720
Speaker 1: the guys. This is fair, This is very fair. Um,

665
00:34:45,800 --> 00:34:49,319
Speaker 1: Anthony Miller is gone, But honestly, that changed nothing for me.

666
00:34:49,440 --> 00:34:52,279
Speaker 1: He was really falling by the wayside at the end

667
00:34:52,280 --> 00:34:55,680
Speaker 1: of things last year. Darnell Mooney had fifty five targets

668
00:34:55,719 --> 00:34:57,799
Speaker 1: in the last eight games last year, and if you

669
00:34:57,840 --> 00:35:01,000
Speaker 1: extrapulate that, I think that's a ten targets season. Just

670
00:35:01,080 --> 00:35:04,480
Speaker 1: gonna that's pretty good. But yeah, he really had started

671
00:35:04,480 --> 00:35:06,480
Speaker 1: to come on strong, and there's there's clips of how

672
00:35:06,480 --> 00:35:08,960
Speaker 1: many times he was missed on routes he was wide

673
00:35:08,960 --> 00:35:12,200
Speaker 1: open to make huge impacts. Um. I think I think

674
00:35:12,280 --> 00:35:15,040
Speaker 1: he's he's in for basically a breakout year going in

675
00:35:15,040 --> 00:35:18,359
Speaker 1: the twelfth round. Um, which is an absolute steel wide

676
00:35:18,360 --> 00:35:21,320
Speaker 1: Receuper fifty four, because I have him far higher than that.

677
00:35:21,480 --> 00:35:25,680
Speaker 1: Maybe I just like him too much, uh, but uh, yeah,

678
00:35:25,719 --> 00:35:28,440
Speaker 1: I feel like Allen Robinson going is wide Receuper twelve

679
00:35:28,480 --> 00:35:30,240
Speaker 1: is fair. I feel like Darnell Mooney is a steel

680
00:35:30,239 --> 00:35:33,160
Speaker 1: at wider super fifty four it's it's an offense that

681
00:35:34,000 --> 00:35:37,719
Speaker 1: the concern is. The defense is really good, you know,

682
00:35:38,000 --> 00:35:40,239
Speaker 1: and so maybe they don't need to pass quite as much.

683
00:35:40,320 --> 00:35:42,919
Speaker 1: But it's been good for a few years and these

684
00:35:42,960 --> 00:35:45,399
Speaker 1: players that performed, and the lack of a depth chart

685
00:35:45,560 --> 00:35:47,600
Speaker 1: is where they get their value for. They're going to

686
00:35:47,719 --> 00:35:51,520
Speaker 1: see most of the work um in the running game.

687
00:35:52,920 --> 00:35:55,799
Speaker 1: David Montgomery had a breakout year last year, and I

688
00:35:55,840 --> 00:35:59,000
Speaker 1: know he had fifty four receptions, but Terry Cohen was

689
00:35:59,040 --> 00:36:01,640
Speaker 1: out like the whole year three. Cohen is a guy

690
00:36:01,719 --> 00:36:05,480
Speaker 1: who had a hundred ninety five targets into two previous years.

691
00:36:06,160 --> 00:36:08,840
Speaker 1: Now he doesn't enter this season healthy though, so we

692
00:36:08,880 --> 00:36:10,839
Speaker 1: don't know for sure that he's going to be the

693
00:36:10,920 --> 00:36:14,680
Speaker 1: old tree Cohen or even if they'll start week one. Man,

694
00:36:15,239 --> 00:36:17,960
Speaker 1: this is true, but it's hard to imagine a scenario

695
00:36:18,000 --> 00:36:21,440
Speaker 1: where he does. It doesn't factor this season, right. I

696
00:36:21,800 --> 00:36:24,759
Speaker 1: don't feel like Montgomery is going to get all that many,

697
00:36:25,200 --> 00:36:27,800
Speaker 1: like a huge amount of receptions, even though we've already

698
00:36:27,800 --> 00:36:31,439
Speaker 1: seen the camp highlights of fields to Montgomery throwing passes UM.

699
00:36:33,160 --> 00:36:35,839
Speaker 1: But I feel like last year with his his three

700
00:36:35,880 --> 00:36:38,920
Speaker 1: hundred three hundred plus touches and his fifty four receptions

701
00:36:39,360 --> 00:36:42,080
Speaker 1: and is barely over a thousand yards. Is probably right

702
00:36:42,120 --> 00:36:45,480
Speaker 1: about where he's you know about his ceiling. You know,

703
00:36:45,800 --> 00:36:48,359
Speaker 1: he might get more yards and more carries this year,

704
00:36:48,440 --> 00:36:51,040
Speaker 1: but drop it in the receiving front. But I think

705
00:36:51,080 --> 00:36:53,719
Speaker 1: he's fair. I think he's fair at RB eighteen. I

706
00:36:53,719 --> 00:36:56,080
Speaker 1: actually have him lower than that, but I do too,

707
00:36:56,080 --> 00:36:57,359
Speaker 1: I have him a little lower than that. I think

708
00:37:00,120 --> 00:37:02,839
Speaker 1: Matt Negie says he's gonna run him a lot, He's

709
00:37:02,840 --> 00:37:05,680
Speaker 1: gonna treat him like course back. Matt Neggie is a

710
00:37:05,719 --> 00:37:08,719
Speaker 1: stone cold liar or just somebody who like you know,

711
00:37:09,160 --> 00:37:11,000
Speaker 1: he means it when he says it, but then the

712
00:37:11,040 --> 00:37:13,359
Speaker 1: game's come and he you know, he can't. He can't

713
00:37:13,400 --> 00:37:16,399
Speaker 1: stop who he is. Um. You know, we'll see if

714
00:37:16,440 --> 00:37:19,520
Speaker 1: Montgomery continues to get that much work. Now. In terms

715
00:37:19,520 --> 00:37:22,799
Speaker 1: of being like just a special back, he's not. He's

716
00:37:22,840 --> 00:37:25,000
Speaker 1: just not. He's not. I thought he'd be better at

717
00:37:25,040 --> 00:37:27,440
Speaker 1: this level, the NFL level, than he is. He is

718
00:37:27,480 --> 00:37:32,839
Speaker 1: a capable back, especially after at Iowa State, like he

719
00:37:33,000 --> 00:37:36,839
Speaker 1: broke records for miss tackles and broken tackles. His elusiveness

720
00:37:36,880 --> 00:37:39,759
Speaker 1: was off the charts. And he's not that he is,

721
00:37:39,800 --> 00:37:43,640
Speaker 1: just the teams he played because because yeah he is

722
00:37:43,680 --> 00:37:48,359
Speaker 1: not he is very he's he's a good NFL back,

723
00:37:49,200 --> 00:37:51,920
Speaker 1: but he's got a starting role where he gets three touches,

724
00:37:52,239 --> 00:37:55,200
Speaker 1: you know, and that's that's the thing. Um, Like I

725
00:37:55,239 --> 00:37:57,919
Speaker 1: have him below Swift, you know, Swift is I think

726
00:37:58,080 --> 00:38:01,000
Speaker 1: RB nineteen in Montgomery's RB eighteen, I'm blows Wift. I

727
00:38:01,000 --> 00:38:04,200
Speaker 1: have him below Sanders, like I have him just below

728
00:38:04,560 --> 00:38:08,160
Speaker 1: some of these other in that real warming up to Sanders, Yeah, yeah,

729
00:38:08,280 --> 00:38:10,759
Speaker 1: I think he's being misdrafted a lot. Yeah, I may,

730
00:38:10,800 --> 00:38:14,040
Speaker 1: I may push Sanders into like RB fifteen sixteen range.

731
00:38:14,160 --> 00:38:16,719
Speaker 1: I I saw Henderson go above all three of those

732
00:38:16,760 --> 00:38:18,080
Speaker 1: the other day, and I'm like, I don't know if

733
00:38:18,120 --> 00:38:23,120
Speaker 1: I'm doing that. But but not to get us off

734
00:38:23,160 --> 00:38:28,120
Speaker 1: the off topic again with Sanders and other stuff. Too

735
00:38:28,160 --> 00:38:30,879
Speaker 1: high he's going in the eleventh round. It's just too high.

736
00:38:30,920 --> 00:38:33,400
Speaker 1: You've already mentioned the concerns about how much he's going

737
00:38:33,440 --> 00:38:36,279
Speaker 1: to be in in the seasons, but he's mostly a

738
00:38:36,320 --> 00:38:40,000
Speaker 1: reception back and they and you know, he's not gonna

739
00:38:40,040 --> 00:38:42,520
Speaker 1: get a lot of carries. This offense needs to be.

740
00:38:43,560 --> 00:38:45,399
Speaker 1: If he was on a high power like a Green

741
00:38:45,400 --> 00:38:47,480
Speaker 1: Bay offense, I'd be like heck, yes, give me three

742
00:38:47,560 --> 00:38:50,600
Speaker 1: Coon with all that opportunity, I just don't think it's

743
00:38:50,640 --> 00:38:54,120
Speaker 1: in here with the Bears offense and that defense. So

744
00:38:54,200 --> 00:38:56,120
Speaker 1: I think he's way too high. And Damian Williams is

745
00:38:56,120 --> 00:38:58,160
Speaker 1: getting drafted, but I'm not in on that at all.

746
00:38:58,239 --> 00:39:00,319
Speaker 1: I kind of am as my last pick in my draft.

747
00:39:00,360 --> 00:39:03,040
Speaker 1: He's fourteenth round. Like, That's what I'm saying. If I

748
00:39:03,080 --> 00:39:05,080
Speaker 1: feel like that, I don't trust. I don't trust Cohen

749
00:39:05,160 --> 00:39:08,040
Speaker 1: to come back and be himself. I don't touch Montgomery

750
00:39:08,120 --> 00:39:10,640
Speaker 1: is a great runner. I don't know, And that's I

751
00:39:10,680 --> 00:39:13,440
Speaker 1: know I'm living. I'm reliving the playoffs from two years

752
00:39:13,480 --> 00:39:17,440
Speaker 1: ago when Damian Williams was shockingly confident. This is my problem,

753
00:39:17,719 --> 00:39:20,400
Speaker 1: and I wrote it right down. I'm like, I credit

754
00:39:20,480 --> 00:39:23,279
Speaker 1: Andy Reid and that offensive line at that time and

755
00:39:23,360 --> 00:39:27,560
Speaker 1: that offense at that time more than I credit Damian Williams.

756
00:39:27,880 --> 00:39:31,000
Speaker 1: But he did. Look he did it, you know, like,

757
00:39:31,080 --> 00:39:33,319
Speaker 1: we can't take that away from that. It's it's not

758
00:39:33,400 --> 00:39:36,480
Speaker 1: like he shriveled up and failed in that situation. He

759
00:39:36,520 --> 00:39:40,560
Speaker 1: had a great situation. And Edwards Hilaire did Bell did

760
00:39:40,640 --> 00:39:42,959
Speaker 1: all that offense. Well, it's terrible, but still those guys

761
00:39:42,960 --> 00:39:45,280
Speaker 1: weren't able to produce on him regularly. But yeah, Damian

762
00:39:45,320 --> 00:39:50,920
Speaker 1: Williams mid fourteenth round RB, I guess that's fine. Honestly,

763
00:39:50,960 --> 00:39:53,719
Speaker 1: it's I'm probably not drafting him and I'm the waiver

764
00:39:53,800 --> 00:39:55,520
Speaker 1: wear guy on him, but maybe that just means I

765
00:39:55,520 --> 00:39:58,000
Speaker 1: don't get him, all right, So who is the Bears

766
00:39:58,000 --> 00:40:00,400
Speaker 1: player that you think is the riskiest compared the current

767
00:40:00,440 --> 00:40:03,600
Speaker 1: a DP. Yeah, I think it's it's both right there

768
00:40:03,880 --> 00:40:06,160
Speaker 1: in the in the running backs. I think David Moncomming

769
00:40:06,320 --> 00:40:09,640
Speaker 1: is the riskiest because he's going above guys I like

770
00:40:09,800 --> 00:40:12,480
Speaker 1: better and I can see a pathway for his receptions

771
00:40:12,520 --> 00:40:14,640
Speaker 1: to go down. I can see the offense going down

772
00:40:14,640 --> 00:40:18,000
Speaker 1: and not Um and I think the second the most.

773
00:40:18,640 --> 00:40:21,759
Speaker 1: I think he's the riskiest. Um Cohen is like right

774
00:40:21,800 --> 00:40:24,080
Speaker 1: there with him with the super risky, you know, because

775
00:40:24,440 --> 00:40:27,759
Speaker 1: eleventh round alright, player with the most upside compared to

776
00:40:27,760 --> 00:40:32,600
Speaker 1: a DP, I'm going I mean, it's clear. We don't

777
00:40:32,600 --> 00:40:35,200
Speaker 1: even have to say anymore. When we come back, we

778
00:40:35,239 --> 00:40:38,360
Speaker 1: will break down the Minnesota Vikings from a fantasy perspective,

779
00:40:38,400 --> 00:40:40,479
Speaker 1: what we expect from this new offense that is now

780
00:40:41,320 --> 00:40:46,279
Speaker 1: in its seventh year with seven new offensive coordinators, which

781
00:40:46,320 --> 00:40:48,960
Speaker 1: is a which staggering how do you even do that?

782
00:40:49,440 --> 00:40:52,879
Speaker 1: But that's the spot the Bikings are. That's what killed

783
00:40:52,880 --> 00:40:58,040
Speaker 1: Alex Smith's career. Well well and a devastating leg entry.

784
00:40:58,480 --> 00:41:02,160
Speaker 1: Well yeah that too. Uh. Also just want to get quickly,

785
00:41:02,160 --> 00:41:03,920
Speaker 1: I'm gonna I'm gonna ask you for your thoughts on

786
00:41:04,400 --> 00:41:06,879
Speaker 1: cam Akers from a dynasty standpoint, knowing how much work

787
00:41:06,920 --> 00:41:09,200
Speaker 1: you put into dynasty and whether or not you know

788
00:41:09,280 --> 00:41:11,560
Speaker 1: what I saw he got. He got moved for a

789
00:41:11,600 --> 00:41:13,680
Speaker 1: pick in one of my league. Somebody decided to get

790
00:41:13,719 --> 00:41:14,840
Speaker 1: out of him, and I want to know if you

791
00:41:14,840 --> 00:41:17,520
Speaker 1: think you should move cam Akers as well. Paul Charchy

792
00:41:17,560 --> 00:41:21,120
Speaker 1: and Scott Fish with you back in moments, Welcome back

793
00:41:21,160 --> 00:41:24,440
Speaker 1: Fantasy Football Weekly. With you, Paul Chargion and Scott Fish.

794
00:41:24,480 --> 00:41:26,239
Speaker 1: We've got one team in the NFC North to break

795
00:41:26,280 --> 00:41:30,000
Speaker 1: down the Minnesota Vikings right here in our backyard. But Scott,

796
00:41:30,080 --> 00:41:34,800
Speaker 1: I want to talk about cam Akers from a dynasty standpoint. Um,

797
00:41:34,840 --> 00:41:38,800
Speaker 1: he suffered an achilles injury. The total number of running

798
00:41:38,800 --> 00:41:42,080
Speaker 1: backs history of NFL that have come back to have

799
00:41:42,600 --> 00:41:51,480
Speaker 1: meaningful careers off an Achilles injury is nobody, nobody, uh

800
00:41:51,640 --> 00:41:53,880
Speaker 1: cam Aker, and it's it's a tragedy for cam and

801
00:41:53,920 --> 00:41:57,120
Speaker 1: maybe he'll be the first cam Akers got traded in

802
00:41:57,120 --> 00:41:59,040
Speaker 1: one of my leagues. The team that had him was

803
00:41:59,080 --> 00:42:02,520
Speaker 1: rebuilding anyway, and they traded him for a next year's

804
00:42:02,520 --> 00:42:05,360
Speaker 1: second round pick, mid second rounder. I've seen that a

805
00:42:05,400 --> 00:42:08,520
Speaker 1: lot about the right. Is that about where he's going? Well,

806
00:42:08,920 --> 00:42:11,920
Speaker 1: I I yes, that's I have seen that. I have

807
00:42:11,960 --> 00:42:14,120
Speaker 1: seen that a decent amount. But normally you have to

808
00:42:14,120 --> 00:42:16,239
Speaker 1: get a future pick because it's someone who's playing for

809
00:42:16,280 --> 00:42:18,720
Speaker 1: this year and they don't want to trade a now asset.

810
00:42:19,520 --> 00:42:21,320
Speaker 1: I mean I I do have a list here of

811
00:42:21,440 --> 00:42:24,920
Speaker 1: some of some of the trades that happened literally today

812
00:42:25,080 --> 00:42:29,279
Speaker 1: for him. But um yeah, so like cam Akers for

813
00:42:29,360 --> 00:42:35,239
Speaker 1: Michael Thomas, which is interesting. Michael Thomas okay, uh, cam

814
00:42:35,280 --> 00:42:39,160
Speaker 1: Akers straight up for Zack Moss, which is interesting. Cam

815
00:42:39,200 --> 00:42:45,719
Speaker 1: Akers for Josh Jacobs Man. People are getting real. They're

816
00:42:45,719 --> 00:42:49,160
Speaker 1: getting good players for cam Akers. Yep, good for you,

817
00:42:49,480 --> 00:42:52,880
Speaker 1: cam Akers. And Darryl Henderson for d J. Moore. So

818
00:42:53,000 --> 00:42:55,000
Speaker 1: he had to hit throw in Darrel Henderson to get

819
00:42:55,040 --> 00:43:01,319
Speaker 1: up there. But as second rounder for Camp So yeah,

820
00:43:01,360 --> 00:43:03,719
Speaker 1: that's a second rounder for cam There's a couple of those,

821
00:43:03,760 --> 00:43:05,880
Speaker 1: so apparently that is a common price, and you and

822
00:43:05,920 --> 00:43:08,000
Speaker 1: I would pay for Zach I'd pay, I'd give i'd

823
00:43:08,080 --> 00:43:11,239
Speaker 1: Rutch with our Zack Moss healthy. Then hoping that Cam

824
00:43:11,239 --> 00:43:13,640
Speaker 1: Akers is the first player in the first running back

825
00:43:13,960 --> 00:43:16,040
Speaker 1: in the history of the game to come back and

826
00:43:16,080 --> 00:43:18,840
Speaker 1: have a meaningful career offen Achilles. Here's Cam in a

827
00:43:18,920 --> 00:43:22,440
Speaker 1: second for a first Oh there you go. Yeah, that

828
00:43:22,480 --> 00:43:26,000
Speaker 1: makes sense too. Um, all right, let's talk Vikings. So

829
00:43:26,200 --> 00:43:28,720
Speaker 1: Vikings under the season. As I mentioned, a new offensive

830
00:43:28,719 --> 00:43:31,240
Speaker 1: coordinator in every seas. That's the last time the Vikings

831
00:43:31,280 --> 00:43:33,719
Speaker 1: went back to back years with the same coordinator was

832
00:43:34,719 --> 00:43:39,200
Speaker 1: and fifteen. Every year a new coordinator and they bring

833
00:43:39,200 --> 00:43:41,320
Speaker 1: in it. It's is now Clint Kobiak, who's going to

834
00:43:41,400 --> 00:43:43,400
Speaker 1: run his old man's offense. I'm sure he's got his

835
00:43:43,440 --> 00:43:45,680
Speaker 1: own twists and things that keep it fresh for Clinton.

836
00:43:45,719 --> 00:43:48,080
Speaker 1: That's almos As our quarterback streak. We haven't had a

837
00:43:48,160 --> 00:43:50,920
Speaker 1: quarterback start every game of the season two years in

838
00:43:50,920 --> 00:43:55,160
Speaker 1: a row since Tarkenton. Well, okay, wait cousins, Mr Weeks.

839
00:43:55,200 --> 00:44:00,640
Speaker 1: See he's played fifteen at six games and that was

840
00:44:00,680 --> 00:44:04,200
Speaker 1: a by choice. So you know you can't take that

841
00:44:04,280 --> 00:44:08,200
Speaker 1: away from Kurt Um. So you know, in despite all

842
00:44:08,200 --> 00:44:10,640
Speaker 1: these changes. You would think with seven different coordinators in

843
00:44:10,680 --> 00:44:18,080
Speaker 1: seven years, UM, that they would that the offense would

844
00:44:18,080 --> 00:44:19,840
Speaker 1: be like all over the place, would be very different

845
00:44:19,920 --> 00:44:21,680
Speaker 1: year to year and it'd be all these But it

846
00:44:21,719 --> 00:44:25,720
Speaker 1: really isn't. Isn't It's always been And I think because

847
00:44:25,760 --> 00:44:28,600
Speaker 1: of who Mike Zimmer is, this is a run first

848
00:44:28,920 --> 00:44:32,040
Speaker 1: offense and we'll continue to be. So. The biggest issue

849
00:44:32,040 --> 00:44:34,040
Speaker 1: for the Vikings, and the thing you need to concentrate

850
00:44:34,080 --> 00:44:36,880
Speaker 1: most on, is the offensive line. The Vikings parted ways

851
00:44:37,080 --> 00:44:40,120
Speaker 1: with their second best offensive lineman, left tackle Riley Reef.

852
00:44:40,160 --> 00:44:44,719
Speaker 1: They filled his spot with first round rookie Christian Derrisaw. Unfortunately,

853
00:44:44,719 --> 00:44:48,239
Speaker 1: Derrisaw missed the offseason program after undergoing core surgery in

854
00:44:48,280 --> 00:44:51,000
Speaker 1: the off season. UM, and he may not be ready

855
00:44:51,040 --> 00:44:52,960
Speaker 1: to start the season. We don't know yet, and you

856
00:44:53,000 --> 00:44:54,520
Speaker 1: know what his status is going to be, and that's

857
00:44:54,560 --> 00:44:59,719
Speaker 1: something to watch through through training camp. Um. If if

858
00:44:59,719 --> 00:45:02,880
Speaker 1: he hadn't go, they're gonna use utility alignment in that spot,

859
00:45:02,880 --> 00:45:05,280
Speaker 1: and that would worry me a lot. The Vikings guards

860
00:45:05,400 --> 00:45:07,920
Speaker 1: are the league's worst tandem where they were last year,

861
00:45:07,960 --> 00:45:10,680
Speaker 1: so they spent a third round pick on Ohio States

862
00:45:10,680 --> 00:45:14,320
Speaker 1: Wyatt Davis. He also missed the offseason program with injury.

863
00:45:14,480 --> 00:45:17,319
Speaker 1: And but Davis is practicing early in training camp and

864
00:45:17,360 --> 00:45:19,759
Speaker 1: has looked good through the first few days of training camp.

865
00:45:19,800 --> 00:45:22,239
Speaker 1: And I expect why Davis to be a starter on

866
00:45:22,320 --> 00:45:25,080
Speaker 1: this offensive line at guard and Ezra Cleveland as the

867
00:45:25,080 --> 00:45:29,359
Speaker 1: other starter. Let's talk Kirk Cousins quietly very solid last year.

868
00:45:29,440 --> 00:45:33,560
Speaker 1: Get this ADP is quarterback nineteen two of the last

869
00:45:33,640 --> 00:45:37,200
Speaker 1: three years he's been quarterback eleven or better. He's constantly

870
00:45:37,239 --> 00:45:41,839
Speaker 1: slept on, constantly right from week eight forward last year,

871
00:45:41,960 --> 00:45:45,040
Speaker 1: quarterback Robert Woods or something a little bit from week

872
00:45:45,120 --> 00:45:48,320
Speaker 1: eight forward last year, he had twenty four touchdown passes

873
00:45:48,360 --> 00:45:52,160
Speaker 1: and three interceptions. That was Kirk Cousins, uh. And he

874
00:45:52,239 --> 00:45:55,359
Speaker 1: played behind the league's twenty nine ranked pass blocking unit

875
00:45:55,440 --> 00:45:59,560
Speaker 1: last year. Now the offensive line could even be worse.

876
00:45:59,640 --> 00:46:01,600
Speaker 1: That's the Gary part. I mean. If if it turns

877
00:46:01,600 --> 00:46:04,319
Speaker 1: out Christian Derris saw isn't ready to be at least

878
00:46:04,360 --> 00:46:06,480
Speaker 1: as good as Riley Reef was last year, this offensive

879
00:46:06,480 --> 00:46:09,160
Speaker 1: one could actually be worse somehow, which would be very frustrating.

880
00:46:09,640 --> 00:46:13,239
Speaker 1: Despite his leaky line, only seven quarterbacks held the ball

881
00:46:13,320 --> 00:46:16,440
Speaker 1: longer in the pocket than Kirk did, which I attribute

882
00:46:16,480 --> 00:46:19,920
Speaker 1: to two things. Number one, bravery, Uh, he gets demolished

883
00:46:19,960 --> 00:46:24,040
Speaker 1: all the time. And the Vikings schematically just throw down field.

884
00:46:24,360 --> 00:46:26,000
Speaker 1: This is part of part of what they like to do.

885
00:46:26,080 --> 00:46:28,520
Speaker 1: That like to run, run, run, pull defenses closer to

886
00:46:28,520 --> 00:46:30,600
Speaker 1: the line of scrimmage and then if Kirk throw over you,

887
00:46:31,040 --> 00:46:35,319
Speaker 1: that's their recipe. On offense, he had he had more

888
00:46:35,480 --> 00:46:39,080
Speaker 1: a higher completed air yards than guys like Patrick Mahomes

889
00:46:39,120 --> 00:46:42,719
Speaker 1: and Russell Wilson who we think of as long ball passers,

890
00:46:43,239 --> 00:46:47,240
Speaker 1: and Kirk's completed air yards were higher than those guys.

891
00:46:47,960 --> 00:46:51,600
Speaker 1: Offensive line worries aside. He's got two elite receivers Kirk does.

892
00:46:51,640 --> 00:46:54,440
Speaker 1: He's got a new safety blanket indeed Westbrook and a

893
00:46:54,480 --> 00:46:57,439
Speaker 1: third year prospect in and IRV Smith, who will talk

894
00:46:57,480 --> 00:47:00,480
Speaker 1: about here. Well, we'll go there now with why not

895
00:47:00,680 --> 00:47:03,120
Speaker 1: Let's start with uh, Well, let's let's go to the receiver.

896
00:47:03,200 --> 00:47:05,600
Speaker 1: Let's go to Adam Theeland coming off a fourteen touchdown season,

897
00:47:05,600 --> 00:47:08,120
Speaker 1: but that's an outlier. His previous high bit was ten.

898
00:47:08,239 --> 00:47:10,640
Speaker 1: He's been more like an eight nine touchdown guy and

899
00:47:10,719 --> 00:47:14,640
Speaker 1: feels like a regression is coming. Co point, his third

900
00:47:14,640 --> 00:47:17,840
Speaker 1: baby is coming. His first time he had a yards

901
00:47:17,840 --> 00:47:20,440
Speaker 1: his second time he had a touchdowns. I like it.

902
00:47:21,000 --> 00:47:25,480
Speaker 1: I like it. The baby boom, it's the baby for

903
00:47:25,560 --> 00:47:28,520
Speaker 1: Adam Feland, I would be great. Uh. He had the

904
00:47:28,600 --> 00:47:30,919
Speaker 1: third most red zone targets last year and the third

905
00:47:30,960 --> 00:47:34,080
Speaker 1: most targets from inside the ten yard line last year,

906
00:47:34,719 --> 00:47:36,959
Speaker 1: So if those were to continue, that would be great.

907
00:47:37,000 --> 00:47:39,919
Speaker 1: But that also feels like it may not hold up.

908
00:47:40,320 --> 00:47:44,400
Speaker 1: His route tree, though, got noticeably shorter last year and

909
00:47:44,480 --> 00:47:47,759
Speaker 1: he yielded long routes to Justin Jefferson, and I think

910
00:47:47,760 --> 00:47:50,920
Speaker 1: that's probably going to continue. His route running and hands

911
00:47:50,920 --> 00:47:53,040
Speaker 1: are excellent. He's going to be a very safe fantasy

912
00:47:53,080 --> 00:47:56,359
Speaker 1: pick currently going off the board. I believe a DP

913
00:47:56,719 --> 00:48:00,520
Speaker 1: is wide receiver twenty. I believe for Adam Feeling. Uh.

914
00:48:00,560 --> 00:48:04,359
Speaker 1: Justin Jefferson's first season were was bonkers and he wasn't

915
00:48:04,360 --> 00:48:06,359
Speaker 1: even the starter for the first two games of the year,

916
00:48:06,680 --> 00:48:08,880
Speaker 1: and he ended up with more targets and more yards

917
00:48:08,880 --> 00:48:12,920
Speaker 1: than Adam Feeling. He's set numerous rookie receiving records and

918
00:48:13,120 --> 00:48:15,200
Speaker 1: he's already been He was a standout player in mini

919
00:48:15,239 --> 00:48:18,120
Speaker 1: camp for the Vikings this offseason. Mary that was no

920
00:48:18,200 --> 00:48:20,399
Speaker 1: off season. Now he rolls in with a year under

921
00:48:20,400 --> 00:48:22,920
Speaker 1: his belt and a mini camp and heads into training

922
00:48:22,960 --> 00:48:26,719
Speaker 1: camp and he was the first player in NFL history

923
00:48:26,800 --> 00:48:29,800
Speaker 1: last year he had fourteen hundred yards on one hundred

924
00:48:29,840 --> 00:48:34,400
Speaker 1: twenty five or fewer targets. Not the first rookie, first

925
00:48:34,560 --> 00:48:38,480
Speaker 1: player ever had four hundred yards on a hive targets

926
00:48:38,560 --> 00:48:41,760
Speaker 1: or less. It is He's already one of the league's

927
00:48:41,760 --> 00:48:44,359
Speaker 1: best route runners. He led the league in yards per

928
00:48:44,440 --> 00:48:47,520
Speaker 1: target and at a very healthy a dot of eleven uh,

929
00:48:47,840 --> 00:48:50,680
Speaker 1: he commanded at whopping thirty six percent of the team's

930
00:48:50,719 --> 00:48:54,920
Speaker 1: air yards as a rookie. It's all nuts for him.

931
00:48:54,960 --> 00:48:57,120
Speaker 1: And it's scary to think about how good Jefferson will

932
00:48:57,160 --> 00:49:00,239
Speaker 1: be if he takes a typical year to jump that

933
00:49:00,400 --> 00:49:05,200
Speaker 1: most good receivers take. It's possible, justin Jefferson's the best

934
00:49:05,239 --> 00:49:08,480
Speaker 1: receiver in the league. It's possible we're talking about him

935
00:49:08,520 --> 00:49:11,880
Speaker 1: next year as wide receiver one, wide receiver to wide

936
00:49:11,880 --> 00:49:14,640
Speaker 1: receiver three. It takes a lot because this is still

937
00:49:14,680 --> 00:49:16,959
Speaker 1: a run first offense. But he might just be that good.

938
00:49:18,480 --> 00:49:20,800
Speaker 1: Vikings added d D. Westbrook, who will be the team's

939
00:49:20,840 --> 00:49:23,080
Speaker 1: true slot receiver. But I do not believe there's any

940
00:49:23,080 --> 00:49:27,040
Speaker 1: fantasy value there. Let's talk tight ends. Give him the

941
00:49:27,120 --> 00:49:32,080
Speaker 1: value you gave Jarius, Right, yeah, right, I just to say, virtually, uh,

942
00:49:32,200 --> 00:49:35,000
Speaker 1: Kyle Rodolph's gone, and that opens up forty ish targets

943
00:49:35,040 --> 00:49:38,400
Speaker 1: for somebody. It'll probably be IRV Smith. Uh. Rudy was

944
00:49:38,440 --> 00:49:40,680
Speaker 1: also a frequent red zone target prior to last year.

945
00:49:40,680 --> 00:49:43,600
Speaker 1: When Rudy really tailed off, he was gobbling up of

946
00:49:43,640 --> 00:49:46,960
Speaker 1: the team's red zone targets that could go to IRV Smith,

947
00:49:47,600 --> 00:49:49,680
Speaker 1: but not necessarily. And when we talk about IRF Smith,

948
00:49:49,680 --> 00:49:51,279
Speaker 1: I'm gonna give you more bad than good here, right,

949
00:49:53,640 --> 00:49:55,359
Speaker 1: that's right where in fact I've got you, I've got

950
00:49:55,360 --> 00:49:59,040
Speaker 1: the quote. All right, So er Smith is still only

951
00:49:59,040 --> 00:50:01,640
Speaker 1: twenty three years old, but you're getting a twenty three

952
00:50:01,719 --> 00:50:03,759
Speaker 1: year old who's got eleven hundred snaps under his belt,

953
00:50:03,760 --> 00:50:04,960
Speaker 1: which is good. I mean, a lot of guys are

954
00:50:05,080 --> 00:50:08,239
Speaker 1: entering the league at twenty three as rookies and he's

955
00:50:08,280 --> 00:50:10,960
Speaker 1: got eleven hundred snaps under his belt. Um, he's a

956
00:50:10,960 --> 00:50:13,920
Speaker 1: former second round pick. High equity is a good athlete.

957
00:50:14,400 --> 00:50:17,960
Speaker 1: There are problems with IRV Smith. His blocking is bad

958
00:50:18,200 --> 00:50:22,840
Speaker 1: and his past blocking is atrocious, and that does that

959
00:50:22,880 --> 00:50:24,480
Speaker 1: means he may not be on the field as much

960
00:50:24,480 --> 00:50:28,440
Speaker 1: as we'd want um. In the Mike Zimmer era, the

961
00:50:28,560 --> 00:50:31,239
Speaker 1: Vikings just don't throw to their tight ends that much

962
00:50:31,840 --> 00:50:34,560
Speaker 1: and that could be an issue as well. And the

963
00:50:34,560 --> 00:50:38,080
Speaker 1: team really likes Tyler Conklin the other tight end. A

964
00:50:38,120 --> 00:50:42,080
Speaker 1: few weeks ago, Jen that was July one. When asked

965
00:50:42,080 --> 00:50:44,799
Speaker 1: about IRV Smith getting more reps this year, here's what

966
00:50:44,880 --> 00:50:49,000
Speaker 1: Mike Zimmer said. Honestly, I don't think it's any bigger

967
00:50:49,080 --> 00:50:51,480
Speaker 1: role for Smith whatsoever. I think it's a bigger role

968
00:50:51,560 --> 00:50:55,960
Speaker 1: for Tyler Conklin. Yep, that's a worry. Now. You could

969
00:50:56,040 --> 00:50:58,160
Speaker 1: say coaches lie, and they do. But the thing is,

970
00:50:58,239 --> 00:51:00,360
Speaker 1: Zimmer is about a straight at shooters the is in

971
00:51:00,400 --> 00:51:04,920
Speaker 1: the NFL. Usually, Zimmer says it it's legit um and

972
00:51:05,040 --> 00:51:11,279
Speaker 1: also mentioned this the next Gen stats. One of their

973
00:51:11,320 --> 00:51:15,720
Speaker 1: stats is cushion, how much separation you're getting dead last

974
00:51:15,800 --> 00:51:19,480
Speaker 1: in the NFL at among all tight ends and wide receivers.

975
00:51:19,719 --> 00:51:24,759
Speaker 1: IRV Smith interesting dead last and cushion. So yeah, I

976
00:51:24,880 --> 00:51:28,640
Speaker 1: just i'm I'm I'm I'm a lot more nervous about

977
00:51:28,719 --> 00:51:30,680
Speaker 1: if Smith than many others. There are people a lot

978
00:51:30,760 --> 00:51:32,680
Speaker 1: of people that are projecting a breakout. I don't think

979
00:51:32,680 --> 00:51:35,839
Speaker 1: it's coming. So Rudolph missed the last four games last year,

980
00:51:36,440 --> 00:51:39,080
Speaker 1: so we got a preview. Yeah, do you know they're splits,

981
00:51:40,520 --> 00:51:43,640
Speaker 1: But it's close to fifty between Tyler Conklin and if

982
00:51:43,719 --> 00:51:51,439
Speaker 1: Smith for one and his touchdown, Smith three and three

983
00:51:51,480 --> 00:51:55,360
Speaker 1: touchdowns and most of Irv's stats. Two of the touchdowns

984
00:51:55,360 --> 00:51:58,239
Speaker 1: in like sixty seventy yards came in that fifty two

985
00:51:58,239 --> 00:52:01,880
Speaker 1: to thirty three New Orleans too, out of shootout. So like,

986
00:52:02,000 --> 00:52:05,479
Speaker 1: outside of that one huge just past all game game,

987
00:52:06,560 --> 00:52:09,080
Speaker 1: Conklin kind of outproduced him in the other three. Yeah,

988
00:52:09,200 --> 00:52:12,680
Speaker 1: that says a lot, So I would think I'm warding

989
00:52:12,680 --> 00:52:16,439
Speaker 1: people off on Earth Smith. I think you should sho uh.

990
00:52:16,719 --> 00:52:19,560
Speaker 1: Dalvin Cook is in the conversation with the league's best backs.

991
00:52:19,560 --> 00:52:22,280
Speaker 1: He was Pro Football Focus his second length ranked runner

992
00:52:22,400 --> 00:52:26,040
Speaker 1: last You see, he's really good. Last year he was

993
00:52:26,120 --> 00:52:29,520
Speaker 1: second in total yards after contact, he was second in

994
00:52:29,600 --> 00:52:33,160
Speaker 1: miss tackles, and he has played He's performed incredibly well

995
00:52:33,200 --> 00:52:36,520
Speaker 1: for a player running behind for his entire career, terrible

996
00:52:36,560 --> 00:52:39,520
Speaker 1: offensive lines, and yet he's still he's still managed to

997
00:52:39,520 --> 00:52:43,040
Speaker 1: be effective. The best thing about Dalvin Cook for fantasy

998
00:52:43,040 --> 00:52:46,440
Speaker 1: owners is Mike Zimmer. The Vikings have been a top

999
00:52:46,560 --> 00:52:51,360
Speaker 1: eight rushing team by attempts in five of Zimmer's seven seasons,

1000
00:52:52,040 --> 00:52:54,759
Speaker 1: the two seasons when they didn't finish Top eight where

1001
00:52:54,800 --> 00:52:59,719
Speaker 1: Dalvin Cook's two lost seasons. Alexander Madison remains one of

1002
00:52:59,760 --> 00:53:02,360
Speaker 1: the most viable handcuffs and fantasy football. He is a

1003
00:53:02,360 --> 00:53:05,320
Speaker 1: good scheme fit for the Vikings, and I generally don't

1004
00:53:05,360 --> 00:53:07,080
Speaker 1: like to handcuff, but if you want a handcuff, here

1005
00:53:07,120 --> 00:53:12,000
Speaker 1: go for it. Riskiest player a current ADP. I really

1006
00:53:12,000 --> 00:53:14,080
Speaker 1: have a hard time with this because most most of

1007
00:53:14,080 --> 00:53:16,120
Speaker 1: the Vikes only like three or four Vikings they even

1008
00:53:16,120 --> 00:53:19,720
Speaker 1: want to draft um. I think Adam Theland's appropriately priced

1009
00:53:19,760 --> 00:53:22,919
Speaker 1: at wide receiver twenty round five. But maybe just due

1010
00:53:22,920 --> 00:53:26,680
Speaker 1: to touchdown regression, and maybe because Justin Jefferson might be

1011
00:53:26,800 --> 00:53:34,120
Speaker 1: just insanely good, that maybe Adam Thealen drops off a bit. Yeah, honestly,

1012
00:53:34,160 --> 00:53:37,000
Speaker 1: you could go with almost anyone, like because Cook is

1013
00:53:37,000 --> 00:53:38,960
Speaker 1: going mid first round. There's a lot of risk there,

1014
00:53:39,000 --> 00:53:42,600
Speaker 1: but I think it's fair. It's fair. I think Jefferson

1015
00:53:42,920 --> 00:53:44,279
Speaker 1: there are a lot of people that think he's going

1016
00:53:44,320 --> 00:53:47,640
Speaker 1: to regress, that the defense better is better, that they're

1017
00:53:47,640 --> 00:53:50,080
Speaker 1: gonna lean on the run, they'll be lower scoring, you know,

1018
00:53:50,200 --> 00:53:54,400
Speaker 1: Like I agree with you, like I thought about Jeffin.

1019
00:53:55,000 --> 00:53:58,240
Speaker 1: Justin Jefferson's going off the board is wide receiver eight. Yeah,

1020
00:53:58,280 --> 00:54:00,520
Speaker 1: that's that is a lot for a second guy. But

1021
00:54:00,600 --> 00:54:02,879
Speaker 1: he's so good it could be IRV two because he's

1022
00:54:03,080 --> 00:54:05,040
Speaker 1: he's going as a top ten tight end and he

1023
00:54:05,120 --> 00:54:07,680
Speaker 1: might fall fall short of that player with the most

1024
00:54:07,760 --> 00:54:11,080
Speaker 1: upside compared to a DP as Kirk Cousins. His ADP

1025
00:54:11,480 --> 00:54:15,880
Speaker 1: is quarterback nineteen, round thirteen. Yeah, that's he was like

1026
00:54:16,080 --> 00:54:18,600
Speaker 1: at quarterback a level last year quarterback nine. Two years

1027
00:54:18,680 --> 00:54:21,960
Speaker 1: before that, we talked about players be drafted at their

1028
00:54:21,960 --> 00:54:24,920
Speaker 1: ceiling below the scene at He's being drafted below his

1029
00:54:25,040 --> 00:54:32,239
Speaker 1: floor somehow, well below his floor. It's uh, there's been

1030
00:54:32,239 --> 00:54:34,480
Speaker 1: a lot of fun. Thanks Scott. We encourage you to

1031
00:54:34,800 --> 00:54:37,720
Speaker 1: check out Guillotine Leagues dot com. You can follow Scott

1032
00:54:37,760 --> 00:54:41,120
Speaker 1: Fish at Scott Fish twenty four on Twitter. Um, Scott Fish,

1033
00:54:41,120 --> 00:54:44,040
Speaker 1: bowls are all wrapped. It was a great season, the

1034
00:54:44,120 --> 00:54:48,560
Speaker 1: Scott Fish Guillotine League all wrapped up. That went great. Yeah, great,

1035
00:54:48,600 --> 00:54:50,319
Speaker 1: Glad to have you here and we'll talk again next week.

1036
00:54:50,400 --> 00:54:54,600
Speaker 1: Sounds good. Thanks for listening, everybody. Bye bye. Fantasy Football

1037
00:54:54,640 --> 00:54:57,279
Speaker 1: Weekly is a production of I Heart Radio for more

1038
00:54:57,320 --> 00:54:59,799
Speaker 1: podcasts from my heart Radio, visit the i heart Radio

1039
00:55:00,000 --> 00:55:03,280
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