WEBVTT - 2023 NFL Draft Prop Bets: Odds & Best Bets for Winning Big (Ep. 297) 0:00:00.480 --> 0:00:04.960 Player Proppin'. Let's talk to the pros. Welcome in everybody 0:00:04.960 --> 0:00:07.000 to betting pros. It's time to place your bets. This 0:00:07.080 --> 0:00:10.880 be Joey P Joe Pisapia and today we're talking NFL Draft. 0:00:10.880 --> 0:00:13.520 We're just days away from the NFL Draft and we're 0:00:13.520 --> 0:00:16.320 gonna be chatting about player props to help me break 0:00:16.360 --> 0:00:18.520 down the players. Of course, is the one the only 0:00:18.560 --> 0:00:21.320 Andrew ericson and before we even get going, and want 0:00:21.360 --> 0:00:25.760 to remind everybody, do not forget set your calendars, set 0:00:25.800 --> 0:00:28.960 everything you have, alarms, whatever you got, because we will 0:00:29.000 --> 0:00:33.559 be hosting the draft live again once again next Thursday, 0:00:33.680 --> 0:00:36.400 April twenty seventh, seven pm Eastern. The draft begins and 0:00:36.440 --> 0:00:38.120 we're gonna be there. We want you to be there 0:00:38.159 --> 0:00:41.640 with us. We are the perfect second screen experience for 0:00:41.840 --> 0:00:44.040 the NFL Draft. While you're watching the players come off 0:00:44.120 --> 0:00:45.800 the board, we're gonna tell you what to think of 0:00:45.800 --> 0:00:47.640 them from a fantasy perspective. We're gonna help you with 0:00:47.720 --> 0:00:50.400 the wagering perspective, all of it. It's over on our 0:00:50.440 --> 0:00:53.840 YouTube channel again, YouTube dot com slash Fantasy Pros. If 0:00:53.880 --> 0:00:56.760 you haven't already subscribed, subscribe and clicked that little bell 0:00:56.840 --> 0:00:59.560 for notifications so you know when the coverage begins. But 0:00:59.600 --> 0:01:03.160 I'm telling it begins at seven pm Eastern on Draft night. 0:01:03.200 --> 0:01:05.640 Andrew Erickson will be there. The question is, Andrew, will 0:01:05.680 --> 0:01:07.160 you be wearing a tie along with me? 0:01:08.160 --> 0:01:08.679 No? 0:01:08.680 --> 0:01:12.480 No, I'm gonna be in my my joggers, probably because 0:01:12.520 --> 0:01:14.199 I want to be nice and comfy for the long 0:01:14.319 --> 0:01:17.560 night of excitement and ultimate tilt. When the Patriots pick 0:01:17.640 --> 0:01:20.160 eventually at fourteen fifteen, where they're gonna end up picking, 0:01:20.240 --> 0:01:23.000 They're gonna wild us again with another great pick. 0:01:23.040 --> 0:01:24.800 Can't wait. So it should be fun. 0:01:25.080 --> 0:01:26.760 Yeah, it's gonna be real fun. It was really fun 0:01:26.840 --> 0:01:28.280 last year when you and I were on together and 0:01:28.280 --> 0:01:30.160 they took Taekwon Thornton. That was a great time. I 0:01:30.200 --> 0:01:31.000 really enjoyed that. 0:01:31.880 --> 0:01:32.679 Really. 0:01:32.720 --> 0:01:35.960 Coul Strange was another one. Yeah, that was another one. 0:01:36.040 --> 0:01:38.319 But any rate, before we get going into the show, 0:01:38.360 --> 0:01:41.839 remember bet MGM, the King of Sportsbooks, is the sponsor 0:01:42.160 --> 0:01:44.440 offering one thousand dollars to new users. So if you're 0:01:44.480 --> 0:01:46.360 making some bets here on the NFL Draft, is a 0:01:46.360 --> 0:01:49.320 good place to do it is BETMGM. You get one 0:01:49.360 --> 0:01:52.120 thousand dollars in free bonuses if you do it. Right 0:01:52.120 --> 0:01:54.640 here and use that promo code Juice Again. That promo 0:01:54.640 --> 0:01:57.440 code at BETMGM is Juice, So go ahead and download 0:01:57.440 --> 0:02:00.800 the BETMGM app. Now, and let's talk about some of 0:02:00.840 --> 0:02:04.200 the numbers here of the over unders Erickson on some 0:02:04.280 --> 0:02:07.440 of these players and where they might end up. Right now, 0:02:07.520 --> 0:02:10.360 Let's start with Zay Flowers, who is at twenty two 0:02:10.440 --> 0:02:13.600 and a half in terms of pick number the over under. Now, 0:02:13.639 --> 0:02:16.519 this is a limited wide receiver draft. I forard. A 0:02:16.560 --> 0:02:19.520 lot of people say things like, well, outside of JSN, 0:02:19.880 --> 0:02:23.920 there really isn't a slam dunk guy. But I think, 0:02:24.000 --> 0:02:26.560 you know, sometimes we begin to be surprised and it's 0:02:26.560 --> 0:02:29.400 become a wide receiver league. So in your opinion is 0:02:29.440 --> 0:02:32.280 say Flower's gonna go over or under this twenty. 0:02:32.000 --> 0:02:34.280 Two and a half, I'm gonna say under. 0:02:34.480 --> 0:02:36.720 And this is a line that's moved recently, I think 0:02:36.760 --> 0:02:38.040 in the last couple of weeks. I think it was 0:02:38.040 --> 0:02:40.080 originally at twenty four and a half now down to 0:02:40.080 --> 0:02:41.919 twenty to two and a half. So the money's coming 0:02:41.919 --> 0:02:43.720 in on the under, and that's where I'm going to 0:02:43.760 --> 0:02:46.200 continue to hammer away at it. I just don't think 0:02:46.200 --> 0:02:48.959 a team, especially like the Seattle Seahawks, Like, that's a 0:02:49.000 --> 0:02:51.400 team that's been connected to Zay Flowers to out the process. 0:02:51.600 --> 0:02:54.040 A lot of my mock drafts have say Flowers going 0:02:54.040 --> 0:02:56.799 to the Seahawks and you have the Chargers, Ravens, Patriots 0:02:56.800 --> 0:02:59.600 all picked before twenty three. I just don't see all 0:02:59.639 --> 0:03:01.320 those tea teas that you could see a need for 0:03:01.360 --> 0:03:04.079 a wide receiver. Maybe it isn't Zay, but the way 0:03:04.080 --> 0:03:06.079 that the market is kind of trending, Zay looks like 0:03:06.120 --> 0:03:07.760 he's going to be the number two receiver off the 0:03:07.760 --> 0:03:11.560 board and doesn't come with as many issues with some 0:03:11.560 --> 0:03:14.120 of these other players where you see the upside, there's 0:03:14.120 --> 0:03:16.680 a lot of downside. J Flowers a senior stand out 0:03:16.680 --> 0:03:19.280 at BC. I think people feel more safe about his 0:03:19.320 --> 0:03:21.520 projection and because of this draft class is just not 0:03:21.720 --> 0:03:25.399 super top heavy drafting, safety does make a lot of sense. 0:03:25.440 --> 0:03:27.560 I think that's kind of where Zay Flowers kind of 0:03:27.600 --> 0:03:27.960 fits in. 0:03:28.320 --> 0:03:30.000 Yeah, there's a couple of good fits there for him 0:03:30.120 --> 0:03:32.680 right around that pick. So the under on the twenty 0:03:32.680 --> 0:03:35.080 two and a half, and look, it's a wide receiver league, 0:03:35.240 --> 0:03:36.840 you know, so teams are going to be aggressive even 0:03:36.840 --> 0:03:38.400 if the pool isn't great. The need's going to be 0:03:38.440 --> 0:03:40.200 there for a lot of teams and maybe they can 0:03:40.640 --> 0:03:42.920 elevate some of these players in the right system. Jalen 0:03:43.040 --> 0:03:46.600 Carter defensive tackle, and his draft stock was very high 0:03:46.640 --> 0:03:49.520 and then it took a tumble starting to climb back up. 0:03:49.600 --> 0:03:51.480 The number is six and a half right now, or 0:03:51.520 --> 0:03:54.520 even the over or the underside of Jalen Carter at 0:03:54.520 --> 0:03:55.240 six and a half. 0:03:55.680 --> 0:03:57.000 If you'd asked me this a couple weeks ago, I 0:03:57.000 --> 0:03:59.240 probably would have been on the over side of this, 0:03:59.520 --> 0:04:02.000 you know, projecting him to be more kind of like 0:04:02.080 --> 0:04:05.320 the Eagles basically being that firewall team where hy Rosman 0:04:05.440 --> 0:04:07.760 is going to take him regardless of whatever was going 0:04:07.800 --> 0:04:09.839 on because they picked in tenth, they have another first 0:04:09.880 --> 0:04:12.680 round pick, just get the best player, like easy game. 0:04:13.040 --> 0:04:15.800 But now that we're kind of hearing okay, the off 0:04:15.840 --> 0:04:17.600 the field things have kind of cleared up a little bit, 0:04:18.080 --> 0:04:20.000 and now the rhetoric is, oh. 0:04:19.800 --> 0:04:22.960 Well, is he a high effort guy? Is he giving? 0:04:23.200 --> 0:04:26.840 And that to me is like teams basically putting out 0:04:26.839 --> 0:04:29.080 smoke that yeah, he's not a high motor guy. Like 0:04:29.080 --> 0:04:30.440 when we talked to him, he said that he doesn't 0:04:30.480 --> 0:04:33.719 try very hard. So the team's kind of inviting the fact, Hey, 0:04:34.200 --> 0:04:36.320 let's let him fall to us. I think specific with 0:04:36.360 --> 0:04:38.039 the Lions, like Dan Campbell didn't come out, and I 0:04:38.120 --> 0:04:40.880 have like these rating reviews about Jalen Carter, but like, 0:04:41.040 --> 0:04:43.080 what does he come out and supposed to say, Like 0:04:43.160 --> 0:04:44.560 he's not gonna say, oh, like this guy should be 0:04:44.560 --> 0:04:46.320 the first pick overall. He's like no, like he wants 0:04:46.360 --> 0:04:49.359 to suppress his stock so that he's available to the 0:04:49.400 --> 0:04:52.359 Lions when they pick at number six overall. Ultimately, I 0:04:52.360 --> 0:04:54.360 don't think that the Lions would pass on Jailen Card 0:04:54.400 --> 0:04:56.680 if he's there at six. So I'm gonna go under 0:04:56.720 --> 0:04:57.800 here at six and a half. 0:04:58.000 --> 0:04:59.640 I would not be shocked if somebody traded up to 0:04:59.640 --> 0:05:01.840 take him, to be honest with you, because he is 0:05:01.960 --> 0:05:04.320 the best guy at that position in this draft, and 0:05:04.360 --> 0:05:06.600 it's pretty clear. I think there's a there's a clear linebacker, 0:05:06.960 --> 0:05:09.279 there is a clear you know, edge rusher. There's also 0:05:09.360 --> 0:05:11.279 a clear defensive tackle, and I think he is it. 0:05:11.640 --> 0:05:13.960 Anthony Richardson, This is a fun one because this is 0:05:14.000 --> 0:05:17.400 the tools he quarterback right, the size, the speed, all 0:05:17.440 --> 0:05:20.680 the measurables, but some of the intangibles are still work 0:05:20.720 --> 0:05:23.400 in progress. His number is now four and a half 0:05:23.520 --> 0:05:26.000 over at betting pros for the overunder of when he 0:05:26.040 --> 0:05:28.640 gets drafted. Some of the teams. We can kind of 0:05:28.680 --> 0:05:31.280 pair this together, if you think we're looking at the 0:05:31.320 --> 0:05:33.760 Tennessee Titans at plus two hundred to select him, the 0:05:33.800 --> 0:05:36.479 Indianapolis Colts at plus two to fifty, the Las Vegas 0:05:36.560 --> 0:05:38.560 Raiders at plus four to thirty. Then of course later 0:05:38.600 --> 0:05:40.840 on you have the Seahawks at plus one thousand, and 0:05:40.920 --> 0:05:45.000 so on and so forth. But Richardson a polarizing figure. 0:05:45.440 --> 0:05:47.960 How do you see him fitting into one of these teams? 0:05:48.000 --> 0:05:49.599 Is there a wager you want to make and do 0:05:49.680 --> 0:05:52.440 you agree it's going to be the under potentially, which 0:05:52.480 --> 0:05:56.440 would put the Indianapolis Colts on there potentially at plus 0:05:56.440 --> 0:06:00.320 two fifty even if somebody moves up. Also for Anthony Richardson. 0:06:00.760 --> 0:06:04.240 Yeah, I like the underplay at plus money because when 0:06:04.240 --> 0:06:07.200 you look at Richardson throughout draft, the pre draft process, 0:06:07.279 --> 0:06:08.960 you know he was the favorite to be the number 0:06:09.000 --> 0:06:11.719 three overall pick, you know, at minus odds like he 0:06:11.920 --> 0:06:14.400 like he was the favorite to be there, and that 0:06:14.520 --> 0:06:16.479 was with the Cardinals still picking at number three. Now 0:06:16.520 --> 0:06:18.880 people are starting to back off on Richardson going third 0:06:18.920 --> 0:06:22.119 overall because oh, well, the Cardinals are still in hold 0:06:22.120 --> 0:06:24.560 of that third overall pick. They're not going to have 0:06:24.640 --> 0:06:26.600 that pick when the draft is all said and done 0:06:26.600 --> 0:06:28.400 because they have no incentive right now to try to 0:06:28.440 --> 0:06:30.520 trade that pick because teams don't know what the Texans 0:06:30.560 --> 0:06:33.000 are doing at number two. So I'm not gonna if 0:06:33.040 --> 0:06:34.360 I'm a team, I'm not going to trade up for 0:06:34.400 --> 0:06:36.800 the number three spot and then have the Texans take 0:06:36.800 --> 0:06:39.479 the guy I want at number two and then be 0:06:39.680 --> 0:06:41.159 like left hold in the bag and be like, Okay, 0:06:41.160 --> 0:06:42.599 I just traded up and I don't have the guy 0:06:42.600 --> 0:06:45.360 that I want. So this could be the thing that 0:06:45.400 --> 0:06:47.960 just destroys all mock drafts where the Cardinals make a 0:06:48.040 --> 0:06:51.320 day of trade and this trade can be already negotiated, 0:06:51.520 --> 0:06:53.040 you know, it's like, hey, this guy is here, We're 0:06:53.080 --> 0:06:55.320 going to make this trade. So it's not going to 0:06:55.360 --> 0:06:58.920 be necessarily out of the blue from the team's perspectives, 0:06:58.960 --> 0:07:01.159 but from our viewership, it's going to make it very 0:07:01.279 --> 0:07:03.840 entertaining to watch the top three. So for me, I 0:07:03.920 --> 0:07:06.160 like the under here with Richardson Again, I mentioned it's 0:07:06.160 --> 0:07:08.479 at plus money, and it's because he is the guy 0:07:08.520 --> 0:07:10.800 that you go up and trade for you know who 0:07:10.840 --> 0:07:11.080 did the. 0:07:11.040 --> 0:07:13.800 Four nin Is it a matter of the Colts flip 0:07:13.800 --> 0:07:15.800 flopping there and just paying enough to go up that 0:07:15.840 --> 0:07:18.440 one spot. Is it a matter of the Las Vegas 0:07:18.520 --> 0:07:20.920 Raiders making a big move or the Tennessee Titans, who 0:07:20.920 --> 0:07:22.680 did take a quarterback last year in Milake Willis? But 0:07:22.720 --> 0:07:25.040 certainly we're not. I think thrilled with the progress he 0:07:25.080 --> 0:07:27.560 made as the season went on, considering they signed somebody 0:07:27.600 --> 0:07:30.120 off the street before starting him late in December. 0:07:30.720 --> 0:07:32.720 Yeah, I think when it comes to the teams, I 0:07:32.840 --> 0:07:36.280 like the Titans, I like the Raiders, the Texans, you know, 0:07:37.080 --> 0:07:39.600 and I think two with the Richardson play here is 0:07:40.080 --> 0:07:42.560 you also have potential outs with Okay at number two. 0:07:42.600 --> 0:07:45.480 Let's say the Texans just take Richardson like they like 0:07:45.560 --> 0:07:48.720 him more than Strout, Like is that impossible? No? And 0:07:48.760 --> 0:07:50.920 you could also argue the Colts, what if they are 0:07:51.000 --> 0:07:54.080 this smoke about Levis is just not true? Like they 0:07:54.200 --> 0:07:55.920 like Richardson more. It makes more sense from the Shane 0:07:55.960 --> 0:07:58.360 steike In point of view. He was with Jalen Hurts. 0:07:58.640 --> 0:08:00.960 Why would they want Levis when like to get Anthony Richardson, 0:08:01.000 --> 0:08:03.600 who profiles I think more towards like a Jalen Hurts 0:08:03.680 --> 0:08:06.480 type of player. So you have two outs with that, 0:08:06.880 --> 0:08:08.920 and then you have the potential of a Titans team 0:08:08.960 --> 0:08:11.800 trading up or the Raiders trading up. And when you 0:08:11.840 --> 0:08:15.000 look at those teams, the Cardinals, Monte Austin for where 0:08:15.040 --> 0:08:18.240 does he come from? The Newman Patriots, and the Tennessee Titans. 0:08:19.160 --> 0:08:21.680 That's how these trades get done because of relationships. So 0:08:22.120 --> 0:08:24.560 even in the wildest one would be like the Patriots 0:08:24.640 --> 0:08:26.680 because again there's a connection there with Monte Ausin for 0:08:26.800 --> 0:08:29.800 with the Patriots organization. Same to me nic Cassario in 0:08:29.800 --> 0:08:32.640 the Texans. So there's a lot of ways where I 0:08:32.679 --> 0:08:35.040 don't know which team it's going to be, but there 0:08:35.040 --> 0:08:37.440 are a lot of outs that I think that it's 0:08:37.480 --> 0:08:39.959 worth it at plus money for At the end of 0:08:39.960 --> 0:08:41.480 the day, there's going to be a team that moves up, 0:08:41.800 --> 0:08:44.880 and whether it's the Texans or through a flurry of trades, 0:08:45.240 --> 0:08:47.040 I do think Richard's going to be a top five pick. 0:08:47.480 --> 0:08:51.120 All right, let's talk about Jackson Smith and Jigba. Twelve 0:08:51.200 --> 0:08:52.920 and a half is the overunder for him to be 0:08:52.960 --> 0:08:55.400 selected in the draft. The Houston Texans are the favorite 0:08:55.440 --> 0:08:57.680 on the board at plus four fifty. They've got multiple picks. 0:08:57.760 --> 0:09:00.000 We know the New England Patriots are plus five hundred, 0:09:00.120 --> 0:09:01.640 but you and I both know that ain't gonna happen. 0:09:01.720 --> 0:09:03.160 There's no way they're going to actually go ahead and 0:09:03.200 --> 0:09:05.760 take a weapon, God forbid. The Green Bay Packers are 0:09:05.800 --> 0:09:08.720 plus five hundred. They're more interesting. The Giants a plus 0:09:08.720 --> 0:09:11.640 twelve hundred certainly could use some help there. The Bears 0:09:11.640 --> 0:09:14.479 are at twelve hundred. So are the Titans at fourteen, 0:09:14.600 --> 0:09:16.520 so both in the double digits. There are those three 0:09:16.559 --> 0:09:19.280 teams Jackson, Smith and Jig. But seems to be the 0:09:19.320 --> 0:09:22.079 consensus number one. We've seen the consensus number one not 0:09:22.240 --> 0:09:24.920 go number one overall, depending on what the system is 0:09:24.960 --> 0:09:27.520 and what they're looking for and how they evaluate talent. 0:09:28.080 --> 0:09:29.480 So is he the first guy off the board in 0:09:29.480 --> 0:09:31.240 your opinion? They? If so, is it under twelve and 0:09:31.280 --> 0:09:31.640 a half? 0:09:32.440 --> 0:09:33.880 I think he is the first guy off the board. 0:09:34.200 --> 0:09:36.160 And for me, the way I view it is, I 0:09:36.160 --> 0:09:38.160 wouldn't want to bet him to go under twelve and 0:09:38.200 --> 0:09:39.840 a half. I'd rather just bet him to go to 0:09:39.880 --> 0:09:42.280 the Texans. I think that that's a better way to 0:09:42.520 --> 0:09:47.160 kind of strategically use your units in my opinion, because 0:09:47.440 --> 0:09:49.320 the Texans are the cutoff for me. It's like, if 0:09:49.320 --> 0:09:52.160 he doesn't go, I think that twelve spot for Houston 0:09:52.200 --> 0:09:52.880 is a good spot for him. 0:09:52.920 --> 0:09:54.240 It's kind of where I've mocked him in a lot 0:09:54.240 --> 0:09:55.120 of my mock drafts. 0:09:55.400 --> 0:09:57.720 But if they just decide they want somebody else, which 0:09:57.760 --> 0:10:00.280 is totally possible. They they just may not want it receiver, 0:10:00.840 --> 0:10:03.760 then he's going to fall to any number of these 0:10:03.800 --> 0:10:06.320 teams where I don't really feel strongly about any of 0:10:06.320 --> 0:10:09.239 these teams in particularly like drafting him, except the Texans, 0:10:09.320 --> 0:10:11.600 but they're already the favorite, so that's how I would 0:10:11.600 --> 0:10:14.680 probably approach it. But if the text'sn't taken, then yeah, 0:10:14.679 --> 0:10:16.880 I think he's going to be over all right. 0:10:16.920 --> 0:10:19.079 Will Levis last guy we're gonna talk about before we 0:10:19.160 --> 0:10:22.640 move on to being drafted by position. We have Will 0:10:22.720 --> 0:10:24.720 Levs at six and a half is the number at 0:10:24.760 --> 0:10:27.679 the over under. You have the Indianapolis Colts at plus 0:10:27.679 --> 0:10:30.120 one hundred. As you mentioned earlier, a lot of smoke 0:10:30.240 --> 0:10:32.960 there a lot of words coming out of people's mouths 0:10:32.960 --> 0:10:35.400 about Will Levis and the Colts. The Houston Texans at 0:10:35.400 --> 0:10:37.960 plus three fifty, then the Raiders at plus six hundred, 0:10:38.000 --> 0:10:39.760 which to me is the best ROI on this board. 0:10:39.760 --> 0:10:41.920 If anybody wants to throw the football, it's got to 0:10:41.920 --> 0:10:44.520 be Josh McDaniels. The Titans at plus one thousand. Then 0:10:44.520 --> 0:10:46.880 you have the Seahawks and Buccaneers kind of pulling up 0:10:46.920 --> 0:10:48.959 the rear here later on. But I'm looking at the 0:10:48.960 --> 0:10:50.960 plus six hundred, I'm looking at the Raiders. But what 0:10:51.000 --> 0:10:52.360 do you think about the six and a half and 0:10:52.440 --> 0:10:53.840 the landing spot for will Levis? 0:10:54.760 --> 0:10:56.480 I mean, I'm pounded the over on this. 0:10:57.240 --> 0:10:59.200 I do not think that he's going to be a 0:10:59.240 --> 0:11:02.679 top six pay I get that, you know quarterbacks, you 0:11:02.720 --> 0:11:05.800 know teams need them, So why would Will Levis be 0:11:05.840 --> 0:11:07.760 the quarterback that teams need the most? Like that just 0:11:07.800 --> 0:11:09.840 doesn't make any sense to me. And this steam that 0:11:09.880 --> 0:11:12.320 he's gotten in the last week and a half where 0:11:12.360 --> 0:11:14.040 it's like, oh, well, the Colts really like him, even 0:11:14.080 --> 0:11:16.600 though the Colts, you know, general manager and owner tweeted 0:11:16.640 --> 0:11:18.440 out a picture of him and all the quarterbacks and 0:11:18.480 --> 0:11:20.920 all the different scenarios they could do. I think it's 0:11:20.920 --> 0:11:23.240 a lot of smoke coming from Indianapolis. I think they're 0:11:23.320 --> 0:11:25.960 kind of like enjoying the pain between the number two 0:11:26.000 --> 0:11:27.839 overall pick at number three pick kind of sitting pretty 0:11:27.840 --> 0:11:30.360 at four, being like, all right, well we'll see what happens. 0:11:30.559 --> 0:11:32.760 Like we're not really sure. Maybe we'll take the best 0:11:32.760 --> 0:11:35.480 defensive players. So I don't think that Levis is a 0:11:35.520 --> 0:11:37.320 lock at all to go to the Colts. So plus one, 0:11:37.520 --> 0:11:40.000 I mean I can get better, ah, a better payout 0:11:40.040 --> 0:11:41.600 to just have him go over six and a half 0:11:41.600 --> 0:11:43.520 than for him to go to the Colts at plus 0:11:43.559 --> 0:11:46.520 one hundred versus plus one hundred and fifty. So child, please, 0:11:46.800 --> 0:11:49.440 I'm pounded the overall Will Levis six and a half? 0:11:49.720 --> 0:11:52.240 I watched I saw an ind Instagram post of his 0:11:52.360 --> 0:11:54.680 where he was eating a banana with a peel on 0:11:55.640 --> 0:11:56.640 right off the bat that. 0:11:57.280 --> 0:11:59.800 I absolutely love that On draft. 0:12:00.000 --> 0:12:02.600 It's disgusting. I don't know, like to me your draft 0:12:02.640 --> 0:12:05.079 stockcast to at least plumbing a few if you're gonna 0:12:05.080 --> 0:12:07.439 do that kind of stuff, that's just that's just madness. 0:12:07.559 --> 0:12:09.920 All right, Let's get on with the show and continue 0:12:09.920 --> 0:12:12.440 to talk about who's going to be first in there 0:12:12.480 --> 0:12:15.199 grouping at position to get selected, because this is always 0:12:15.200 --> 0:12:18.079 a fun wager. And also if you're gonna make fun wagers, 0:12:18.120 --> 0:12:20.720 make sure you subscribe to Betting Pros YouTube channel that 0:12:20.800 --> 0:12:24.960 you're watching right now, and because right now, we're giving 0:12:24.960 --> 0:12:27.520 away a free premium upgrade. So if you do take 0:12:27.520 --> 0:12:29.559 your wagering seriously or if you're something you're getting into, 0:12:29.640 --> 0:12:31.280 this is a great opportunity. All you have to do 0:12:31.400 --> 0:12:33.360 is to be a subscriber of the Betting Pros YouTube 0:12:33.440 --> 0:12:36.240 channel and then drop a comment below, and just like that, 0:12:36.360 --> 0:12:39.360 you are entered to win a free one year premium 0:12:39.480 --> 0:12:42.319 Betting Pros upgrade. So it's a great thing. If you 0:12:42.320 --> 0:12:43.720 want to check it out, you can go to Bettingpros 0:12:43.760 --> 0:12:46.240 dot com slash upgrade and just upgrade now if that 0:12:46.320 --> 0:12:49.120 sounds like something fun for you. Again, the app is free. 0:12:49.559 --> 0:12:51.760 Some of the information on here, I'm telling you right now, 0:12:51.840 --> 0:12:54.400 it's going to change the way you bet forever. And 0:12:54.440 --> 0:12:56.760 we're trying to help everybody here make better picks, make 0:12:56.800 --> 0:12:59.040 more money. That's what we're trying to do. So make 0:12:59.040 --> 0:13:02.120 sure you again subscribe, drop a comment below, maybe you'll 0:13:02.160 --> 0:13:04.680 be the winner again. That's YouTube dot com slash Betting 0:13:04.720 --> 0:13:07.719 Pros or just upgrade for free today, Well not for free, 0:13:07.720 --> 0:13:10.200 excuse me. You can upgrade for free that way, but 0:13:10.720 --> 0:13:13.040 Bettingpros dot com slash upgrade. If you don't want to 0:13:13.080 --> 0:13:15.240 wait for the freebie, that's the way to do it. 0:13:15.280 --> 0:13:19.040 So start betting smarter and not harder with betting pros ericson, 0:13:19.080 --> 0:13:22.440 let's bet a little smarter here. Let's start with first 0:13:22.440 --> 0:13:24.960 wide receiver drafted. Now, you said Jackson Smith and Jigma. 0:13:25.320 --> 0:13:28.559 He is the minus two fifty clear favorite here. However, 0:13:28.880 --> 0:13:31.080 Zay Flowers is at plus three fifty. You have Addison 0:13:31.080 --> 0:13:34.840 at plus six hundred, and then Quentin Johnston at plus twelve. 0:13:35.280 --> 0:13:37.320 Can you make any case for Jay Flowers here? Or 0:13:37.360 --> 0:13:39.640 is this already just too heavy? The juice is there, 0:13:39.800 --> 0:13:40.680 Jsn's the guy. 0:13:41.840 --> 0:13:43.000 I think Jays ends the guy. 0:13:43.200 --> 0:13:45.400 And this is a tough class too, because it's not 0:13:45.640 --> 0:13:48.160 really great at the top. But I think that Smith 0:13:48.160 --> 0:13:51.440 and Jigbuzz's safety and floor just kind of makes teams 0:13:51.480 --> 0:13:55.440 feel most comfortable taking him versus some of these other players. Now, 0:13:56.400 --> 0:13:57.640 I think, if you want to do it from like 0:13:57.679 --> 0:14:00.480 a long shot point of view, I think Jalen Hyatt, 0:14:00.480 --> 0:14:02.080 who I think that I'm not even sure you listed 0:14:02.080 --> 0:14:03.040 off his odds. 0:14:02.720 --> 0:14:05.000 But just the speed he's buried on there. 0:14:05.120 --> 0:14:07.880 Yeah, Like that's the play I would try to make 0:14:07.960 --> 0:14:10.040 is guys that have speed, because we see that all 0:14:10.080 --> 0:14:10.400 the time. 0:14:10.559 --> 0:14:12.880 Teams just always overdraft guys that are fast. 0:14:12.920 --> 0:14:15.120 We saw with the Henry Ruggs draft when he clearly 0:14:15.200 --> 0:14:17.280 wasn't the best receipt, Like it didn't matter. He's just 0:14:17.320 --> 0:14:20.240 going to be a team that wants somebody that is fast. 0:14:20.640 --> 0:14:23.280 So if Addison had tested better, I think that he 0:14:23.320 --> 0:14:26.120 would be a more polarizing bet to make. I think 0:14:26.280 --> 0:14:28.920 probably better. But right now I'm really kind of like 0:14:29.000 --> 0:14:30.880 laying off most of the wide receiver ones. It seems 0:14:30.920 --> 0:14:33.360 like pretty pretty clear cut that's going to be JSN, 0:14:33.400 --> 0:14:35.600 and then after that I think it's there are some 0:14:35.600 --> 0:14:37.240 more question marks aback who could be the number two, 0:14:37.240 --> 0:14:39.120 but leaning towards a there as well. 0:14:39.520 --> 0:14:40.880 So is the way to play it? Maybe do it 0:14:40.920 --> 0:14:43.320 live where you're watching it. Once JSN goes off the board, 0:14:43.320 --> 0:14:44.680 then see what the odds are on who the next 0:14:44.800 --> 0:14:47.880 wide receiver to go is, because that would be I 0:14:47.880 --> 0:14:49.760 think an interesting one because you can make a case 0:14:49.800 --> 0:14:52.000 for a couple of different guys then depending on which 0:14:52.040 --> 0:14:54.080 team is there. So keep a close eye on that. Again, 0:14:54.120 --> 0:14:56.000 this is why he used the betting pros apps. You 0:14:56.000 --> 0:14:57.520 can stay on top of all these odds and they're 0:14:57.520 --> 0:14:59.200 going to be moving that night. We're going to be 0:14:59.200 --> 0:15:01.400 broadcasting live on the Fantasy Pros channel. We're going to 0:15:01.440 --> 0:15:03.520 be helping you with that. But in case you can't 0:15:03.520 --> 0:15:05.800 be there for the broadcast, have the app so you 0:15:05.840 --> 0:15:09.520 can stay on top of all these changes. Also tight end. 0:15:09.680 --> 0:15:12.680 Now this one's moved because Michael Mayer was the guy. 0:15:13.080 --> 0:15:15.080 Now he's moved to the second spot. Dalton king Kaid 0:15:15.120 --> 0:15:17.600 has gone up to the first spot minus one seventy five. 0:15:18.000 --> 0:15:20.040 Mayor is now at plus one fifty. Then you have 0:15:20.120 --> 0:15:23.560 Darnah Washington at plus seven hundred and Luke Musgrave further back. 0:15:23.640 --> 0:15:26.720 So do you believe in this flip here where King 0:15:26.800 --> 0:15:29.920 Kaid is now gone above Michael Mahyer? Do you think 0:15:29.960 --> 0:15:32.040 this holds or is this an opportunity to wager on 0:15:32.080 --> 0:15:33.160 Michael Mayer plus money. 0:15:33.760 --> 0:15:35.720 I think it's an opportunity to wager on Michael Meyer 0:15:35.760 --> 0:15:39.480 plus money. I think that you know what changed, like 0:15:39.480 --> 0:15:42.640 like like what happened with King Caid versus mckinkay never 0:15:42.680 --> 0:15:45.320 tested the only thing that kind of came out on him. 0:15:45.440 --> 0:15:47.280 You know, you know what I think changed all of 0:15:47.360 --> 0:15:50.960 us talking about Kinkaid being a fantasy asset, and I 0:15:51.320 --> 0:15:53.440 do believe it's not just us, but you know, just 0:15:53.520 --> 0:15:57.280 media in general being excited for that style player and 0:15:57.360 --> 0:16:00.480 forgetting about, Hey, this is the NFL first and maybe 0:16:00.480 --> 0:16:02.080 the all purpose tight end might be a little bit 0:16:02.120 --> 0:16:03.480 more appealing to certain teams. 0:16:03.800 --> 0:16:08.920 I think that that's completely accurate, because teams value NFL 0:16:08.960 --> 0:16:11.480 tight ends that can actually block much more than they 0:16:11.480 --> 0:16:14.080 do just go out and catch passes. Michael mahyeror is 0:16:14.080 --> 0:16:16.200 also much younger than Don King k King Kate's a 0:16:16.240 --> 0:16:19.120 much older prospect, So yeah, I think this is a 0:16:19.160 --> 0:16:23.000 perfect opportunity. I was waiting for King Kid. I expected 0:16:23.040 --> 0:16:24.800 him to test eventually, and then I thought, Okay, he's 0:16:24.840 --> 0:16:26.920 gonna test, he's gonna be more athletic, and then okay 0:16:26.960 --> 0:16:28.440 that the money's gonna come in on him, like that 0:16:28.480 --> 0:16:31.280 makes sense. But he never tested, so it was a 0:16:31.280 --> 0:16:33.560 matter of Okay, he's healthy. Like that's really the only 0:16:33.640 --> 0:16:35.680 update we got. And Michael Mahyer just kind of was 0:16:35.960 --> 0:16:39.520 status quo, you know, was it uber or uber athletic 0:16:39.520 --> 0:16:41.120 when he tested, But we kind of knew that already. 0:16:41.120 --> 0:16:42.960 It's like, this guy just comes out and catches passes. 0:16:43.320 --> 0:16:45.320 He's Jason Witten two point zero. But Jason went had 0:16:45.320 --> 0:16:49.000