Speaker 1: Player Proppin'. Let's talk to the pros. Welcome in everybody
Speaker 1: to betting pros. It's time to place your bets. This
Speaker 1: be Joey P Joe Pisapia and today we're talking NFL Draft.
Speaker 1: We're just days away from the NFL Draft and we're
Speaker 1: gonna be chatting about player props to help me break
Speaker 1: down the players. Of course, is the one the only
Speaker 1: Andrew ericson and before we even get going, and want
Speaker 1: to remind everybody, do not forget set your calendars, set
Speaker 1: everything you have, alarms, whatever you got, because we will
Speaker 1: be hosting the draft live again once again next Thursday,
Speaker 1: April twenty seventh, seven pm Eastern. The draft begins and
Speaker 1: we're gonna be there. We want you to be there
Speaker 1: with us. We are the perfect second screen experience for
Speaker 1: the NFL Draft. While you're watching the players come off
Speaker 1: the board, we're gonna tell you what to think of
Speaker 1: them from a fantasy perspective. We're gonna help you with
Speaker 1: the wagering perspective, all of it. It's over on our
Speaker 1: YouTube channel again, YouTube dot com slash Fantasy Pros. If
Speaker 1: you haven't already subscribed, subscribe and clicked that little bell
Speaker 1: for notifications so you know when the coverage begins. But
Speaker 1: I'm telling it begins at seven pm Eastern on Draft night.
Speaker 1: Andrew Erickson will be there. The question is, Andrew, will
Speaker 1: you be wearing a tie along with me?
Speaker 2: No?
Speaker 3: No, I'm gonna be in my my joggers, probably because
Speaker 3: I want to be nice and comfy for the long
Speaker 3: night of excitement and ultimate tilt. When the Patriots pick
Speaker 3: eventually at fourteen fifteen, where they're gonna end up picking,
Speaker 3: They're gonna wild us again with another great pick.
Speaker 2: Can't wait. So it should be fun.
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's gonna be real fun. It was really fun
Speaker 1: last year when you and I were on together and
Speaker 1: they took Taekwon Thornton. That was a great time. I
Speaker 1: really enjoyed that.
Speaker 2: Really.
Speaker 1: Coul Strange was another one. Yeah, that was another one.
Speaker 1: But any rate, before we get going into the show,
Speaker 1: remember bet MGM, the King of Sportsbooks, is the sponsor
Speaker 1: offering one thousand dollars to new users. So if you're
Speaker 1: making some bets here on the NFL Draft, is a
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Speaker 1: code at BETMGM is Juice, So go ahead and download
Speaker 1: the BETMGM app. Now, and let's talk about some of
Speaker 1: the numbers here of the over unders Erickson on some
Speaker 1: of these players and where they might end up. Right now,
Speaker 1: Let's start with Zay Flowers, who is at twenty two
Speaker 1: and a half in terms of pick number the over under. Now,
Speaker 1: this is a limited wide receiver draft. I forard. A
Speaker 1: lot of people say things like, well, outside of JSN,
Speaker 1: there really isn't a slam dunk guy. But I think,
Speaker 1: you know, sometimes we begin to be surprised and it's
Speaker 1: become a wide receiver league. So in your opinion is
Speaker 1: say Flower's gonna go over or under this twenty.
Speaker 2: Two and a half, I'm gonna say under.
Speaker 3: And this is a line that's moved recently, I think
Speaker 3: in the last couple of weeks. I think it was
Speaker 3: originally at twenty four and a half now down to
Speaker 3: twenty to two and a half. So the money's coming
Speaker 3: in on the under, and that's where I'm going to
Speaker 3: continue to hammer away at it. I just don't think
Speaker 3: a team, especially like the Seattle Seahawks, Like, that's a
Speaker 3: team that's been connected to Zay Flowers to out the process.
Speaker 3: A lot of my mock drafts have say Flowers going
Speaker 3: to the Seahawks and you have the Chargers, Ravens, Patriots
Speaker 3: all picked before twenty three. I just don't see all
Speaker 3: those tea teas that you could see a need for
Speaker 3: a wide receiver. Maybe it isn't Zay, but the way
Speaker 3: that the market is kind of trending, Zay looks like
Speaker 3: he's going to be the number two receiver off the
Speaker 3: board and doesn't come with as many issues with some
Speaker 3: of these other players where you see the upside, there's
Speaker 3: a lot of downside. J Flowers a senior stand out
Speaker 3: at BC. I think people feel more safe about his
Speaker 3: projection and because of this draft class is just not
Speaker 3: super top heavy drafting, safety does make a lot of sense.
Speaker 3: I think that's kind of where Zay Flowers kind of
Speaker 3: fits in.
Speaker 1: Yeah, there's a couple of good fits there for him
Speaker 1: right around that pick. So the under on the twenty
Speaker 1: two and a half, and look, it's a wide receiver league,
Speaker 1: you know, so teams are going to be aggressive even
Speaker 1: if the pool isn't great. The need's going to be
Speaker 1: there for a lot of teams and maybe they can
Speaker 1: elevate some of these players in the right system. Jalen
Speaker 1: Carter defensive tackle, and his draft stock was very high
Speaker 1: and then it took a tumble starting to climb back up.
Speaker 1: The number is six and a half right now, or
Speaker 1: even the over or the underside of Jalen Carter at
Speaker 1: six and a half.
Speaker 3: If you'd asked me this a couple weeks ago, I
Speaker 3: probably would have been on the over side of this,
Speaker 3: you know, projecting him to be more kind of like
Speaker 3: the Eagles basically being that firewall team where hy Rosman
Speaker 3: is going to take him regardless of whatever was going
Speaker 3: on because they picked in tenth, they have another first
Speaker 3: round pick, just get the best player, like easy game.
Speaker 3: But now that we're kind of hearing okay, the off
Speaker 3: the field things have kind of cleared up a little bit,
Speaker 3: and now the rhetoric is, oh.
Speaker 2: Well, is he a high effort guy? Is he giving?
Speaker 3: And that to me is like teams basically putting out
Speaker 3: smoke that yeah, he's not a high motor guy. Like
Speaker 3: when we talked to him, he said that he doesn't
Speaker 3: try very hard. So the team's kind of inviting the fact, Hey,
Speaker 3: let's let him fall to us. I think specific with
Speaker 3: the Lions, like Dan Campbell didn't come out, and I
Speaker 3: have like these rating reviews about Jalen Carter, but like,
Speaker 3: what does he come out and supposed to say, Like
Speaker 3: he's not gonna say, oh, like this guy should be
Speaker 3: the first pick overall. He's like no, like he wants
Speaker 3: to suppress his stock so that he's available to the
Speaker 3: Lions when they pick at number six overall. Ultimately, I
Speaker 3: don't think that the Lions would pass on Jailen Card
Speaker 3: if he's there at six. So I'm gonna go under
Speaker 3: here at six and a half.
Speaker 1: I would not be shocked if somebody traded up to
Speaker 1: take him, to be honest with you, because he is
Speaker 1: the best guy at that position in this draft, and
Speaker 1: it's pretty clear. I think there's a there's a clear linebacker,
Speaker 1: there is a clear you know, edge rusher. There's also
Speaker 1: a clear defensive tackle, and I think he is it.
Speaker 1: Anthony Richardson, This is a fun one because this is
Speaker 1: the tools he quarterback right, the size, the speed, all
Speaker 1: the measurables, but some of the intangibles are still work
Speaker 1: in progress. His number is now four and a half
Speaker 1: over at betting pros for the overunder of when he
Speaker 1: gets drafted. Some of the teams. We can kind of
Speaker 1: pair this together, if you think we're looking at the
Speaker 1: Tennessee Titans at plus two hundred to select him, the
Speaker 1: Indianapolis Colts at plus two to fifty, the Las Vegas
Speaker 1: Raiders at plus four to thirty. Then of course later
Speaker 1: on you have the Seahawks at plus one thousand, and
Speaker 1: so on and so forth. But Richardson a polarizing figure.
Speaker 1: How do you see him fitting into one of these teams?
Speaker 1: Is there a wager you want to make and do
Speaker 1: you agree it's going to be the under potentially, which
Speaker 1: would put the Indianapolis Colts on there potentially at plus
Speaker 1: two fifty even if somebody moves up. Also for Anthony Richardson.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I like the underplay at plus money because when
Speaker 3: you look at Richardson throughout draft, the pre draft process,
Speaker 3: you know he was the favorite to be the number
Speaker 3: three overall pick, you know, at minus odds like he
Speaker 3: like he was the favorite to be there, and that
Speaker 3: was with the Cardinals still picking at number three. Now
Speaker 3: people are starting to back off on Richardson going third
Speaker 3: overall because oh, well, the Cardinals are still in hold
Speaker 3: of that third overall pick. They're not going to have
Speaker 3: that pick when the draft is all said and done
Speaker 3: because they have no incentive right now to try to
Speaker 3: trade that pick because teams don't know what the Texans
Speaker 3: are doing at number two. So I'm not gonna if
Speaker 3: I'm a team, I'm not going to trade up for
Speaker 3: the number three spot and then have the Texans take
Speaker 3: the guy I want at number two and then be
Speaker 3: like left hold in the bag and be like, Okay,
Speaker 3: I just traded up and I don't have the guy
Speaker 3: that I want. So this could be the thing that
Speaker 3: just destroys all mock drafts where the Cardinals make a
Speaker 3: day of trade and this trade can be already negotiated,
Speaker 3: you know, it's like, hey, this guy is here, We're
Speaker 3: going to make this trade. So it's not going to
Speaker 3: be necessarily out of the blue from the team's perspectives,
Speaker 3: but from our viewership, it's going to make it very
Speaker 3: entertaining to watch the top three. So for me, I
Speaker 3: like the under here with Richardson Again, I mentioned it's
Speaker 3: at plus money, and it's because he is the guy
Speaker 3: that you go up and trade for you know who
Speaker 3: did the.
Speaker 1: Four nin Is it a matter of the Colts flip
Speaker 1: flopping there and just paying enough to go up that
Speaker 1: one spot. Is it a matter of the Las Vegas
Speaker 1: Raiders making a big move or the Tennessee Titans, who
Speaker 1: did take a quarterback last year in Milake Willis? But
Speaker 1: certainly we're not. I think thrilled with the progress he
Speaker 1: made as the season went on, considering they signed somebody
Speaker 1: off the street before starting him late in December.
Speaker 3: Yeah, I think when it comes to the teams, I
Speaker 3: like the Titans, I like the Raiders, the Texans, you know,
Speaker 3: and I think two with the Richardson play here is
Speaker 3: you also have potential outs with Okay at number two.
Speaker 3: Let's say the Texans just take Richardson like they like
Speaker 3: him more than Strout, Like is that impossible? No? And
Speaker 3: you could also argue the Colts, what if they are
Speaker 3: this smoke about Levis is just not true? Like they
Speaker 3: like Richardson more. It makes more sense from the Shane
Speaker 3: steike In point of view. He was with Jalen Hurts.
Speaker 3: Why would they want Levis when like to get Anthony Richardson,
Speaker 3: who profiles I think more towards like a Jalen Hurts
Speaker 3: type of player. So you have two outs with that,
Speaker 3: and then you have the potential of a Titans team
Speaker 3: trading up or the Raiders trading up. And when you
Speaker 3: look at those teams, the Cardinals, Monte Austin for where
Speaker 3: does he come from? The Newman Patriots, and the Tennessee Titans.
Speaker 3: That's how these trades get done because of relationships. So
Speaker 3: even in the wildest one would be like the Patriots
Speaker 3: because again there's a connection there with Monte Ausin for
Speaker 3: with the Patriots organization. Same to me nic Cassario in
Speaker 3: the Texans. So there's a lot of ways where I
Speaker 3: don't know which team it's going to be, but there
Speaker 3: are a lot of outs that I think that it's
Speaker 3: worth it at plus money for At the end of
Speaker 3: the day, there's going to be a team that moves up,
Speaker 3: and whether it's the Texans or through a flurry of trades,
Speaker 3: I do think Richard's going to be a top five pick.
Speaker 1: All right, let's talk about Jackson Smith and Jigba. Twelve
Speaker 1: and a half is the overunder for him to be
Speaker 1: selected in the draft. The Houston Texans are the favorite
Speaker 1: on the board at plus four fifty. They've got multiple picks.
Speaker 1: We know the New England Patriots are plus five hundred,
Speaker 1: but you and I both know that ain't gonna happen.
Speaker 1: There's no way they're going to actually go ahead and
Speaker 1: take a weapon, God forbid. The Green Bay Packers are
Speaker 1: plus five hundred. They're more interesting. The Giants a plus
Speaker 1: twelve hundred certainly could use some help there. The Bears
Speaker 1: are at twelve hundred. So are the Titans at fourteen,
Speaker 1: so both in the double digits. There are those three
Speaker 1: teams Jackson, Smith and Jig. But seems to be the
Speaker 1: consensus number one. We've seen the consensus number one not
Speaker 1: go number one overall, depending on what the system is
Speaker 1: and what they're looking for and how they evaluate talent.
Speaker 1: So is he the first guy off the board in
Speaker 1: your opinion? They? If so, is it under twelve and
Speaker 1: a half?
Speaker 2: I think he is the first guy off the board.
Speaker 3: And for me, the way I view it is, I
Speaker 3: wouldn't want to bet him to go under twelve and
Speaker 3: a half. I'd rather just bet him to go to
Speaker 3: the Texans. I think that that's a better way to
Speaker 3: kind of strategically use your units in my opinion, because
Speaker 3: the Texans are the cutoff for me. It's like, if
Speaker 3: he doesn't go, I think that twelve spot for Houston
Speaker 3: is a good spot for him.
Speaker 2: It's kind of where I've mocked him in a lot
Speaker 2: of my mock drafts.
Speaker 3: But if they just decide they want somebody else, which
Speaker 3: is totally possible. They they just may not want it receiver,
Speaker 3: then he's going to fall to any number of these
Speaker 3: teams where I don't really feel strongly about any of
Speaker 3: these teams in particularly like drafting him, except the Texans,
Speaker 3: but they're already the favorite, so that's how I would
Speaker 3: probably approach it. But if the text'sn't taken, then yeah,
Speaker 3: I think he's going to be over all right.
Speaker 1: Will Levis last guy we're gonna talk about before we
Speaker 1: move on to being drafted by position. We have Will
Speaker 1: Levs at six and a half is the number at
Speaker 1: the over under. You have the Indianapolis Colts at plus
Speaker 1: one hundred. As you mentioned earlier, a lot of smoke
Speaker 1: there a lot of words coming out of people's mouths
Speaker 1: about Will Levis and the Colts. The Houston Texans at
Speaker 1: plus three fifty, then the Raiders at plus six hundred,
Speaker 1: which to me is the best ROI on this board.
Speaker 1: If anybody wants to throw the football, it's got to
Speaker 1: be Josh McDaniels. The Titans at plus one thousand. Then
Speaker 1: you have the Seahawks and Buccaneers kind of pulling up
Speaker 1: the rear here later on. But I'm looking at the
Speaker 1: plus six hundred, I'm looking at the Raiders. But what
Speaker 1: do you think about the six and a half and
Speaker 1: the landing spot for will Levis?
Speaker 2: I mean, I'm pounded the over on this.
Speaker 3: I do not think that he's going to be a
Speaker 3: top six pay I get that, you know quarterbacks, you
Speaker 3: know teams need them, So why would Will Levis be
Speaker 3: the quarterback that teams need the most? Like that just
Speaker 3: doesn't make any sense to me. And this steam that
Speaker 3: he's gotten in the last week and a half where
Speaker 3: it's like, oh, well, the Colts really like him, even
Speaker 3: though the Colts, you know, general manager and owner tweeted
Speaker 3: out a picture of him and all the quarterbacks and
Speaker 3: all the different scenarios they could do. I think it's
Speaker 3: a lot of smoke coming from Indianapolis. I think they're
Speaker 3: kind of like enjoying the pain between the number two
Speaker 3: overall pick at number three pick kind of sitting pretty
Speaker 3: at four, being like, all right, well we'll see what happens.
Speaker 3: Like we're not really sure. Maybe we'll take the best
Speaker 3: defensive players. So I don't think that Levis is a
Speaker 3: lock at all to go to the Colts. So plus one,
Speaker 3: I mean I can get better, ah, a better payout
Speaker 3: to just have him go over six and a half
Speaker 3: than for him to go to the Colts at plus
Speaker 3: one hundred versus plus one hundred and fifty. So child, please,
Speaker 3: I'm pounded the overall Will Levis six and a half?
Speaker 1: I watched I saw an ind Instagram post of his
Speaker 1: where he was eating a banana with a peel on
Speaker 1: right off the bat that.
Speaker 2: I absolutely love that On draft.
Speaker 1: It's disgusting. I don't know, like to me your draft
Speaker 1: stockcast to at least plumbing a few if you're gonna
Speaker 1: do that kind of stuff, that's just that's just madness.
Speaker 1: All right, Let's get on with the show and continue
Speaker 1: to talk about who's going to be first in there
Speaker 1: grouping at position to get selected, because this is always
Speaker 1: a fun wager. And also if you're gonna make fun wagers,
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Speaker 1: So start betting smarter and not harder with betting pros ericson,
Speaker 1: let's bet a little smarter here. Let's start with first
Speaker 1: wide receiver drafted. Now, you said Jackson Smith and Jigma.
Speaker 1: He is the minus two fifty clear favorite here. However,
Speaker 1: Zay Flowers is at plus three fifty. You have Addison
Speaker 1: at plus six hundred, and then Quentin Johnston at plus twelve.
Speaker 1: Can you make any case for Jay Flowers here? Or
Speaker 1: is this already just too heavy? The juice is there,
Speaker 1: Jsn's the guy.
Speaker 2: I think Jays ends the guy.
Speaker 3: And this is a tough class too, because it's not
Speaker 3: really great at the top. But I think that Smith
Speaker 3: and Jigbuzz's safety and floor just kind of makes teams
Speaker 3: feel most comfortable taking him versus some of these other players. Now,
Speaker 3: I think, if you want to do it from like
Speaker 3: a long shot point of view, I think Jalen Hyatt,
Speaker 3: who I think that I'm not even sure you listed
Speaker 3: off his odds.
Speaker 2: But just the speed he's buried on there.
Speaker 3: Yeah, Like that's the play I would try to make
Speaker 3: is guys that have speed, because we see that all
Speaker 3: the time.
Speaker 2: Teams just always overdraft guys that are fast.
Speaker 3: We saw with the Henry Ruggs draft when he clearly
Speaker 3: wasn't the best receipt, Like it didn't matter. He's just
Speaker 3: going to be a team that wants somebody that is fast.
Speaker 3: So if Addison had tested better, I think that he
Speaker 3: would be a more polarizing bet to make. I think
Speaker 3: probably better. But right now I'm really kind of like
Speaker 3: laying off most of the wide receiver ones. It seems
Speaker 3: like pretty pretty clear cut that's going to be JSN,
Speaker 3: and then after that I think it's there are some
Speaker 3: more question marks aback who could be the number two,
Speaker 3: but leaning towards a there as well.
Speaker 1: So is the way to play it? Maybe do it
Speaker 1: live where you're watching it. Once JSN goes off the board,
Speaker 1: then see what the odds are on who the next
Speaker 1: wide receiver to go is, because that would be I
Speaker 1: think an interesting one because you can make a case
Speaker 1: for a couple of different guys then depending on which
Speaker 1: team is there. So keep a close eye on that. Again,
Speaker 1: this is why he used the betting pros apps. You
Speaker 1: can stay on top of all these odds and they're
Speaker 1: going to be moving that night. We're going to be
Speaker 1: broadcasting live on the Fantasy Pros channel. We're going to
Speaker 1: be helping you with that. But in case you can't
Speaker 1: be there for the broadcast, have the app so you
Speaker 1: can stay on top of all these changes. Also tight end.
Speaker 1: Now this one's moved because Michael Mayer was the guy.
Speaker 1: Now he's moved to the second spot. Dalton king Kaid
Speaker 1: has gone up to the first spot minus one seventy five.
Speaker 1: Mayor is now at plus one fifty. Then you have
Speaker 1: Darnah Washington at plus seven hundred and Luke Musgrave further back.
Speaker 1: So do you believe in this flip here where King
Speaker 1: Kaid is now gone above Michael Mahyer? Do you think
Speaker 1: this holds or is this an opportunity to wager on
Speaker 1: Michael Mayer plus money.
Speaker 3: I think it's an opportunity to wager on Michael Meyer
Speaker 3: plus money. I think that you know what changed, like
Speaker 3: like like what happened with King Caid versus mckinkay never
Speaker 3: tested the only thing that kind of came out on him.
Speaker 1: You know, you know what I think changed all of
Speaker 1: us talking about Kinkaid being a fantasy asset, and I
Speaker 1: do believe it's not just us, but you know, just
Speaker 1: media in general being excited for that style player and
Speaker 1: forgetting about, Hey, this is the NFL first and maybe
Speaker 1: the all purpose tight end might be a little bit
Speaker 1: more appealing to certain teams.
Speaker 3: I think that that's completely accurate, because teams value NFL
Speaker 3: tight ends that can actually block much more than they
Speaker 3: do just go out and catch passes. Michael mahyeror is
Speaker 3: also much younger than Don King k King Kate's a
Speaker 3: much older prospect, So yeah, I think this is a
Speaker 3: perfect opportunity. I was waiting for King Kid. I expected
Speaker 3: him to test eventually, and then I thought, Okay, he's
Speaker 3: gonna test, he's gonna be more athletic, and then okay
Speaker 3: that the money's gonna come in on him, like that
Speaker 3: makes sense. But he never tested, so it was a
Speaker 3: matter of Okay, he's healthy. Like that's really the only
Speaker 3: update we got. And Michael Mahyer just kind of was
Speaker 3: status quo, you know, was it uber or uber athletic
Speaker 3: when he tested, But we kind of knew that already.
Speaker 3: It's like, this guy just comes out and catches passes.
Speaker 3: He's Jason Witten two point zero. But Jason went had
Speaker 3: a pretty good NFL career if we're looking at how
Speaker 3: he did over his entire career. So I think that, yeah,
Speaker 3: Mayor plus money here is definitely the bet to make.
Speaker 1: Now we've got a close one. When it comes to
Speaker 1: the offensive lineman, Peters Kronski is at plus one ten,
Speaker 1: Paris Johnson Junior plus one ten, Robert Jones pulling up
Speaker 1: the rear at seven hundred, and Darnall Wright plus eight hundred.
Speaker 1: So Johnson or Scronsky, who do you think is the
Speaker 1: first guy off the board.
Speaker 3: So it's interesting because it really depends on the books
Speaker 3: that you look at, because I've seen varying numbers across
Speaker 3: different types of books, whether you're looking at bet MGM, DraftKings,
Speaker 3: sportsbook like you're seeing sometimes Skronsky's the favorite at minus odds,
Speaker 3: and in this situation on FANDLE he's at plus odds time,
Speaker 3: tied with Paris Johnson Junior. So I think for me
Speaker 3: it's still Scronsky, like that's the guy I would want
Speaker 3: to bet on. I think that he offers a little
Speaker 3: bit more versatility. Again, he played left tackle at Northwestern,
Speaker 3: but he's a little bit smaller, so teams might view
Speaker 3: him more as an interior offensive lineman shift him over
Speaker 3: the guard. But at the same time, we're kind of
Speaker 3: getting away from oh, well, your tackle has to have
Speaker 3: x length of arm length for him to be able
Speaker 3: to survive. It's like, nah, the game doesn't really work
Speaker 3: that way as much anymore, Like offensive line coaches aren't
Speaker 3: necessarily harpening on the arm length necessarily as much. So
Speaker 3: for me, the ambiguity of the top of it, you
Speaker 3: want to go right down to Broderick Jones at plus
Speaker 3: seven hundred because I think that if the Bears are
Speaker 3: on the clock and they need an offensive lineman and
Speaker 3: they're kind of like the first team projected to take
Speaker 3: an offensive lineman, I think rogerck Jones is their guy
Speaker 3: because when you look at Proderick Jones' profile on mock Draftable,
Speaker 3: it's exactly the same as Braxton Jones, who the Bears
Speaker 3: drafted last year. So I think he hits their profile.
Speaker 3: And I think the ambiguity at the top of this
Speaker 3: is telling you that, hey, there's an opportunity that it
Speaker 3: could be a third party that actually ends up being
Speaker 3: the number one lineman here, And I like Projick Jones
Speaker 3: at plus seven hundred.
Speaker 1: First defensive player drafted, Andrew will Anderson is minus four hundred.
Speaker 1: It's a lot of juice there. Then Tyree Wilson at
Speaker 1: plus five and Jalen Carter plus seven to fifty. I
Speaker 1: think Carter's a fascinating long shot here because I could
Speaker 1: see a team moving up for him, because it wasn't
Speaker 1: that long ago where he was that consensus with Portico
Speaker 1: talking about maybe he's the best player in this draft,
Speaker 1: all these other conversations being had. What do you think.
Speaker 1: You think that's crazy? You think it's gonna be Will
Speaker 1: no matter what. And we also know trades impact things too,
Speaker 1: like that, all of a sudden, the team that might
Speaker 1: have been lined up to take will Anderson they move out.
Speaker 1: Another quarterback goes up. Next thing, you know, the draft
Speaker 1: shakes out a little differently than you think. What do
Speaker 1: you think about this one? Is this one verdy far gone?
Speaker 1: Or is there still opportunity? No?
Speaker 2: I don't think it is.
Speaker 3: I think that for me, I like Tyre Wilson to
Speaker 3: be the first team gets a player drafted. I just
Speaker 3: look at him and he reminds me more of the
Speaker 3: freakiness of like the Trayvon Walker where Aide Hutchinson is
Speaker 3: the Will Anderson where it's like you know exactly what
Speaker 3: you're getting, like he's going to be a super safe
Speaker 3: project like or prospect.
Speaker 2: He's gonna be super productive.
Speaker 3: But this not how the NFL draft works, Like like
Speaker 3: teams fall in love with these freaky guys. It's like,
Speaker 3: we don't care about the production. We just want the
Speaker 3: guy that tests off the charts and can be this,
Speaker 3: you know, ultimate freak, and that's Tyree Wilson. So again
Speaker 3: it goes back to, Okay, he was hurt during the
Speaker 3: pre draft process, so he ain't really needs to get
Speaker 3: to test. But at the same time, teams talk about, how,
Speaker 3: oh my god, like this guy when you look at
Speaker 3: precious per game, like when he was healthy at Texas
Speaker 3: Tech last year, he was just as productive as Will Laderson.
Speaker 3: So I think Tyre Wilson at plus odds, I mean,
Speaker 3: he's all just come down a lot. I think that
Speaker 3: when I made my bet with Tyre Wilson to be
Speaker 3: the first defensive player, which I posted on my draft
Speaker 3: prop card, which you can find over on bettingpros dot com,
Speaker 3: I was killed it.
Speaker 1: I've got one too I look, that's a great way
Speaker 1: to help track and also to see what other people
Speaker 1: are wagering into. So it's a great feature that they
Speaker 1: offer there. But you've already so you've already invested in
Speaker 1: this is what you're saying.
Speaker 3: Yep. So I got it at plus fifteen hundred from
Speaker 3: your reverse defensive player, and now it's down to plus
Speaker 3: five hundred. So again, still a hefty payday. Still, So
Speaker 3: I think Tyre Wilson just go chase after these freaks
Speaker 3: because NFL teams just they salivate over these players and
Speaker 3: they find ways to get around the Oh well, you know,
Speaker 3: Will Anderson is fine, like, oh, like what could Tyre
Speaker 3: Wilson be?
Speaker 2: So yeah, that's the way I would approach it.
Speaker 1: Now it's a very good cornerback draft too. Christian Gonzale
Speaker 1: seemed to be the guy, and now Devin Witherspoon in
Speaker 1: a lot of books gone past them. So Witherspoon's at
Speaker 1: minus two hundred and Christian Gonzales is now at plus
Speaker 1: one point fifty. Do you think that holds? You think
Speaker 1: now's the time to buy it in Christian Gonzales now
Speaker 1: that it's flip flopped.
Speaker 3: Yeah, again it goes back to you know, we have
Speaker 3: this one guy that's there throughout the entire process, and
Speaker 3: then they get bored or the guy tests, and this
Speaker 3: is exactly what happened.
Speaker 2: Devin Witherspoon had his pro day.
Speaker 3: Oh but you know now he's the favorite to be
Speaker 3: the number one quarter and it doesn't The way that
Speaker 3: it's set up is people are basically pegging him to
Speaker 3: go to the Lions because they're a man coverage corner
Speaker 3: team that that's what they need. They traded away Jeffakuda,
Speaker 3: so it's like, Okay, it makes sense they need to
Speaker 3: have the cornerback. But now that you're kind of factoring
Speaker 3: in the Jalen Carter, Okay, he could fall. They're gonna
Speaker 3: take Jalen Carter instead of Devon Witherspoon. Even if they
Speaker 3: need a cornerback more than a pass rusher or a
Speaker 3: defensive tackle, it doesn't matter. They're going to take Carter
Speaker 3: because he's the best player on the board. Whereas Christian Gonzales,
Speaker 3: he's more scheme versatile, like I don't think that he
Speaker 3: needs to be in a man corner cover seam, Like
Speaker 3: he can play zone a little bit better than a
Speaker 3: guy like Devon Witherspoon, So yeah, for me, it's like,
Speaker 3: why is the market so combid It's gonna be Witherspoon,
Speaker 3: especially now that they have to peg him to the lines,
Speaker 3: because there are plenty of teams that could take a
Speaker 3: cornerback like the Raiders, who are just looking for speed.
Speaker 3: I'm looking for the athletic freak, who in this case
Speaker 3: is Gonzales and not necessarily Witherspoon. So yeah, I think
Speaker 3: Gonzales would be the bet that I would make.
Speaker 1: One more to get to first linebacker drafted Drew Sanders
Speaker 1: at plus one twenty five, Jack Campbell at the same
Speaker 1: plus one twenty five than Trenton Simpson at plus three
Speaker 1: eighty Any feel on this one?
Speaker 3: So I gotta give shut out to Thor because he's
Speaker 3: been pounding the table for Jack Campbell to be the
Speaker 3: first linebacker drafted, and I am I am tailing him
Speaker 3: all the way because he knows his Iowa guys. So
Speaker 3: I think it makes sense, you know, looking at Jack
Speaker 3: Campbell versus Drew Sanders, Jack Campbell's a more of a
Speaker 3: traditional like middle linebacker prospect, whereas Drew Sanders kind of
Speaker 3: has this pass rushing type of off the edge blitz
Speaker 3: type of you know, skill set. So again you're looking
Speaker 3: at okay, he is more specific to a certain scheme,
Speaker 3: like you're drafting Drew Sanders because you want a linebacker
Speaker 3: that's gonna blow to come off the edge versus Jack Campbell,
Speaker 3: who is your more prototypical all round linebacker. And there's
Speaker 3: just not a lot of those guys in this class
Speaker 3: that are just like plug and play day one starter
Speaker 3: middle linebacker, like that's Jack Campbell, where s Drew Sanders
Speaker 3: is more of a niche type. So I just don't
Speaker 3: understand really why like Drew Sanders has been the favorite.
Speaker 3: I mean, we're not seeing a lot of linebacker action
Speaker 3: anyway from I don't expect there to be one drafted
Speaker 3: in round one. So for me, no, I'm going with
Speaker 3: thors guy.
Speaker 2: And Jack Campbell.
Speaker 1: There you go, all right. I would be remiss Andrew
Speaker 1: if I let you go without talking about a fun
Speaker 1: wager because we've been doing this for months now and
Speaker 1: everybody locks into at least one really fun NFL draft wager.
Speaker 1: So what do you have for the people? Lay it
Speaker 1: out there for all right?
Speaker 3: So on Draftking Sportsbook, you can bet on Jake Moody
Speaker 3: the kicker from the Michigan Wolverines to be drafted by
Speaker 3: a certain team, so you could bet him different odds
Speaker 3: to be selected by a certain team. And for me,
Speaker 3: that team is I think it's going to be the
Speaker 3: New England Patriots because I know my Patriots and the
Speaker 3: spiel for why Jake Moody will be a Patriot when
Speaker 3: it all said and done, which again you can get
Speaker 3: right now. Last time I check was at twenty to
Speaker 3: one odds. I got it at thirty to one odds. Sorry, guys,
Speaker 3: but it was on the draft prop cheat so if
Speaker 3: you had read the article, you would already know about this.
Speaker 3: So anyway, with Jake Moody. Jake Moody was the kicker
Speaker 3: at the East West Shrine Game who was coached by
Speaker 3: the Patriots coaching staff, and ESPN's Mike Reese reported that
Speaker 3: Bill Belichick was so heavily involved with the special teams
Speaker 3: unit that people thought he was the special team's coach during.
Speaker 1: The special teams unit was dreadful at the second half
Speaker 1: of last year. So he certainly needs to fix a
Speaker 1: lot of problems with the special teams unit.
Speaker 2: But continue, yes he does.
Speaker 3: And Nick full who is coming off his worst year
Speaker 3: to date is going to be thirty eight years old.
Speaker 3: It was not impressive last year, especially in bad weather
Speaker 3: games like he could not be trusted whatsoever. And during
Speaker 3: the East West Shrine Game, Moody hit four field goals,
Speaker 3: two which were over fifty yards. The team that the
Speaker 3: Patriots were coaching won twelve to six. This is the
Speaker 3: This is how Bill Belichick wants to win games in
Speaker 3: the NFL this next season. He wants it on the
Speaker 3: leg of Jake Moody from Michigan. And to add kind
Speaker 3: of another sprinkle towards the connection of Michigan, the Pitches
Speaker 3: have already had a Michigan kicker in their system a
Speaker 3: couple of years ago, Quinn Nordon. They'd signed him as
Speaker 3: an undrafted free agent. Quinn Nordon used to play with
Speaker 3: Jake Moody at Michigan. So I'm just connecting all the
Speaker 3: dots here. At twenty to one odds. Look, when he
Speaker 3: gets drafted by the Patriots in the sixth round on
Speaker 3: Saturday Day three, you're gonna be jumping for joy. But like,
Speaker 3: oh yeah, this is great. Jake Moody to the Patriots.
Speaker 3: So that's my long shot bet for fun.
Speaker 1: There you go, you got a kicker wager everybody. What's
Speaker 1: better than that? I can tell you. And if you
Speaker 1: want more insights, remember join us live for the Draft
Speaker 1: on our Fantasy Pros YouTube channel again YouTube dot com
Speaker 1: Slash Fantasy Pros seven pm Eastern Thursday, April twenty seventh.
Speaker 1: We will be hosting the draft live yet again Thorn
Speaker 1: n Eistrom, Matthew Friedman. We've got Andrew Erickson, We've got
Speaker 1: Derek Brown, a whole cast of characters and analysts for
Speaker 1: you to break down the picks. We're gonna be talking
Speaker 1: about wagering as well. We're gonna talk about fantasy a lot,
Speaker 1: so we want you to be there and be a
Speaker 1: part of it. Again. Make sure you click that little
Speaker 1: bell for notifications when you subscribe so you know when
Speaker 1: the coverage begins and be a part of it. Don't
Speaker 1: forget also to download the betmgm app and use that
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Speaker 1: when you use that promo code and don't forget once again,
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Speaker 1: to Betting Pros YouTube. That'll do it for us, but
Speaker 1: the story of the game goes on for Andrew Ericson.
Speaker 1: I'm Joey P. We'll see you next time, kids,