1 00:00:00,400 --> 00:00:02,400 Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast. 2 00:00:03,120 --> 00:00:04,760 Speaker 2: I'm just about that action also. 3 00:00:07,640 --> 00:00:11,800 Speaker 1: All right, here we go from there, throwing in so speak, 4 00:00:13,080 --> 00:00:16,920 Speaker 1: I'm saying it's a cash to stop. We see most 5 00:00:16,960 --> 00:00:20,280 Speaker 1: gamble is when they go to gamble, they go to wind. 6 00:00:20,400 --> 00:00:24,840 Speaker 2: That's incredible being bank, small bank, I like to make money. 7 00:00:24,920 --> 00:00:27,960 Speaker 3: All right, this is the ultimate kabine. 8 00:00:27,800 --> 00:00:35,280 Speaker 2: You want to pack and we are underway. Welcome to 9 00:00:35,320 --> 00:00:38,879 Speaker 2: the Action Network Podcast. I am your host, Evan Abrams, 10 00:00:38,880 --> 00:00:42,000 Speaker 2: and I am joined as always on the recap episode 11 00:00:42,080 --> 00:00:44,600 Speaker 2: on the best best episode on any episode. Really we 12 00:00:44,640 --> 00:00:48,080 Speaker 2: do here because he's the best. Brandon Anderson First of all, Brandon, 13 00:00:48,080 --> 00:00:49,479 Speaker 2: what's up? How are you? You know? 14 00:00:49,600 --> 00:00:52,040 Speaker 3: I'm doing well? Funday of football. The Chiefs did the 15 00:00:52,120 --> 00:00:55,160 Speaker 3: Chiefs thing again in the day less Fun day of 16 00:00:55,160 --> 00:00:58,080 Speaker 3: football betting for me, not my best day of the year, 17 00:00:58,280 --> 00:01:00,960 Speaker 3: two and fifteen on the Bats. We're gonna have to 18 00:01:01,000 --> 00:01:03,040 Speaker 3: get it back starting tonight. We got a couple hot 19 00:01:03,080 --> 00:01:05,760 Speaker 3: reads coming for you, a couple bets already in so 20 00:01:06,040 --> 00:01:08,319 Speaker 3: you know, we go up and down a little bit, 21 00:01:08,400 --> 00:01:11,000 Speaker 3: but Funday games. Ready to talk about it and get 22 00:01:11,040 --> 00:01:12,160 Speaker 3: into next week's stuff too. 23 00:01:12,800 --> 00:01:14,840 Speaker 2: Well, we might as well get into the first game here, 24 00:01:14,840 --> 00:01:16,920 Speaker 2: which is Sunday Night Football and a winner from you 25 00:01:17,000 --> 00:01:19,480 Speaker 2: because you did have the under in this one. Chiefs 26 00:01:19,600 --> 00:01:23,320 Speaker 2: win nineteen seventeen. Of course, they don't cover the four 27 00:01:23,319 --> 00:01:25,200 Speaker 2: and a half points thread, because when do they ever 28 00:01:25,280 --> 00:01:29,760 Speaker 2: cover a thread? Total goes under forty three. Honestly, the 29 00:01:29,800 --> 00:01:33,200 Speaker 2: storyline first half and the storyline second half felt like 30 00:01:33,200 --> 00:01:37,479 Speaker 2: two completely different games. The Chiefs were extremely pass heavy 31 00:01:37,520 --> 00:01:39,880 Speaker 2: in the first half, stalling in the red zone, which 32 00:01:39,920 --> 00:01:42,000 Speaker 2: was pretty much the entire game. I mean, first half 33 00:01:42,000 --> 00:01:45,119 Speaker 2: it was basically zero for two ish near the red zone, 34 00:01:45,240 --> 00:01:47,720 Speaker 2: two for two on field goals. They were one for 35 00:01:47,800 --> 00:01:50,000 Speaker 2: three actually in the red zone in the entire game. 36 00:01:50,240 --> 00:01:55,680 Speaker 2: But first half the Chargers offense basically six drives, five punts, 37 00:01:55,720 --> 00:01:57,680 Speaker 2: two three and outs in a failed drive to end 38 00:01:57,680 --> 00:02:01,160 Speaker 2: a half, and they had nothing. I mean, Herbert got hurt. 39 00:02:01,560 --> 00:02:03,840 Speaker 2: He was getting knocked around, and so is Mahomes. That 40 00:02:03,960 --> 00:02:07,080 Speaker 2: both quarterbacks and the game with three sacks apiece, and 41 00:02:07,120 --> 00:02:12,000 Speaker 2: felt like pressure was getting in on both sides of 42 00:02:12,040 --> 00:02:15,880 Speaker 2: the ball here for both quarterbacks. The other point of this, 43 00:02:15,960 --> 00:02:19,519 Speaker 2: which is just really intriguing, was how the second half 44 00:02:19,560 --> 00:02:23,840 Speaker 2: starts right. So first drive, thirteen plays, seventy nine yards, touchdown, 45 00:02:24,200 --> 00:02:27,120 Speaker 2: that's the Chargers to their next drive. Four plays, seventy 46 00:02:27,120 --> 00:02:29,840 Speaker 2: four yards, touchdown. It was just it looked like they 47 00:02:29,840 --> 00:02:33,400 Speaker 2: were having a much easier time without mcconkee, where in 48 00:02:33,440 --> 00:02:36,079 Speaker 2: the first half they looked like they did all year 49 00:02:36,120 --> 00:02:38,960 Speaker 2: when he doesn't play. And it was you know, for 50 00:02:39,000 --> 00:02:41,359 Speaker 2: anyone I know, Nick Giffin was in on the Chargers 51 00:02:41,480 --> 00:02:43,600 Speaker 2: under nineteen and a half team total in this one, 52 00:02:43,960 --> 00:02:46,560 Speaker 2: and he was right in the sense that without McConkey, 53 00:02:46,639 --> 00:02:50,600 Speaker 2: they just looked absolutely lost. But we can kind of 54 00:02:50,639 --> 00:02:53,280 Speaker 2: push ahead here because we all know what ends up happening. 55 00:02:53,720 --> 00:02:57,520 Speaker 2: Four thirty five to go, Chargers have the lead, then 56 00:02:57,520 --> 00:02:59,000 Speaker 2: all of a sudden, they're giving the ball back to 57 00:02:59,080 --> 00:03:01,840 Speaker 2: Kansas City, and anyone who's seen the movie before says 58 00:03:01,880 --> 00:03:04,560 Speaker 2: to themselves, all right, well, the Chargers aren't getting the 59 00:03:04,600 --> 00:03:09,160 Speaker 2: ball back, and they never did. Fourteen plays, forty seven yards, 60 00:03:09,520 --> 00:03:11,960 Speaker 2: the huge first down to it was Kelsey, right, it 61 00:03:12,000 --> 00:03:15,480 Speaker 2: was Kelsey on that last first down. Yep. And here 62 00:03:15,480 --> 00:03:17,360 Speaker 2: are the storylines before I toss it over to from 63 00:03:17,360 --> 00:03:19,720 Speaker 2: a stat's point of view, after the Chargers win this game, 64 00:03:19,720 --> 00:03:23,040 Speaker 2: because I think it's important based off of their resume 65 00:03:23,160 --> 00:03:25,080 Speaker 2: and who they are as a team, so from the 66 00:03:25,160 --> 00:03:28,280 Speaker 2: Charger side, Herbert still only has one interception. He's gone 67 00:03:28,320 --> 00:03:31,920 Speaker 2: eleven straight starts now without a pick, which really is 68 00:03:31,960 --> 00:03:34,640 Speaker 2: putting the Chargers in every single game they play and 69 00:03:34,720 --> 00:03:38,480 Speaker 2: probably pulling out some games they shouldn't. From the chief side, 70 00:03:38,640 --> 00:03:41,280 Speaker 2: I think it's pretty intriguing that they're twelve and one 71 00:03:41,400 --> 00:03:44,320 Speaker 2: and they only have ten takeaways this year. It's just 72 00:03:44,920 --> 00:03:49,160 Speaker 2: unbelievably voodoo stuff happening in Kansas City week to week. 73 00:03:49,360 --> 00:03:51,480 Speaker 2: And there's some tweets out there that are literally going 74 00:03:51,520 --> 00:03:54,640 Speaker 2: through every single scenario that has led them to this mark. 75 00:03:54,720 --> 00:03:57,640 Speaker 2: But twelve and one straight up four eight and one 76 00:03:58,080 --> 00:04:02,280 Speaker 2: against the spread, I mean I can go on here. 77 00:04:02,360 --> 00:04:04,720 Speaker 2: Chiefs win the AFC West in their ninth straight year. 78 00:04:05,000 --> 00:04:07,600 Speaker 2: They were one to two odds in the preseason. It 79 00:04:07,680 --> 00:04:10,760 Speaker 2: felt inevitable when you started looking through each team and 80 00:04:10,800 --> 00:04:13,560 Speaker 2: kind of how the season went. The stat I will 81 00:04:13,560 --> 00:04:16,840 Speaker 2: say since nineteen ninety only two teams have had a 82 00:04:16,960 --> 00:04:20,320 Speaker 2: seventy five percent win percentage while on a seven plus 83 00:04:20,360 --> 00:04:23,039 Speaker 2: game ATS losing streak. That would be the twenty twenty 84 00:04:23,080 --> 00:04:27,040 Speaker 2: four Chiefs and the twenty twenty Chiefs. It is the 85 00:04:27,080 --> 00:04:29,520 Speaker 2: same story over and over again and I'll give you 86 00:04:29,520 --> 00:04:32,039 Speaker 2: one more, which is the under. The under was pretty 87 00:04:32,080 --> 00:04:35,159 Speaker 2: comfortable all of tonight. Now in his career at Arrowhead, 88 00:04:35,240 --> 00:04:37,640 Speaker 2: Mahomes is forty one and twenty six to the under, 89 00:04:38,160 --> 00:04:40,719 Speaker 2: thirteen and six when they face an AFC West team, 90 00:04:40,800 --> 00:04:43,360 Speaker 2: and Herbert is nineteen and five to the under in 91 00:04:43,400 --> 00:04:47,119 Speaker 2: his last twenty four starts and Sunday Night Football thirty 92 00:04:47,200 --> 00:04:49,440 Speaker 2: nine and nineteen to the under since twenty two, So 93 00:04:49,680 --> 00:04:52,159 Speaker 2: it all kind of fell that way. But it just 94 00:04:52,200 --> 00:04:55,760 Speaker 2: felt like another Chiefs win in typical Chiefs territory. What 95 00:04:55,760 --> 00:04:56,640 Speaker 2: do you have here, Brandon? 96 00:04:57,320 --> 00:04:59,400 Speaker 3: Yeah, this under was my first pick of the week 97 00:04:59,440 --> 00:05:01,880 Speaker 3: in my favorite Apparently I should just stopped there and 98 00:05:02,000 --> 00:05:03,680 Speaker 3: just put all the units on that when and been 99 00:05:03,720 --> 00:05:06,680 Speaker 3: done for the week. Under was good. Underfelt good all 100 00:05:06,720 --> 00:05:11,480 Speaker 3: the way. I feel like for the Chargers, you from 101 00:05:11,560 --> 00:05:14,320 Speaker 3: a one game standpoint, you kind of feel pretty good 102 00:05:14,320 --> 00:05:17,520 Speaker 3: about this. Like I think just before halftime, even when 103 00:05:17,520 --> 00:05:20,200 Speaker 3: it was three nothing or maybe six nothing and the 104 00:05:20,880 --> 00:05:23,480 Speaker 3: Chiefs were driving and he announcers kind of said the 105 00:05:23,480 --> 00:05:25,680 Speaker 3: same thing. You're like, I'm not sure that Harbaugh was 106 00:05:25,680 --> 00:05:28,800 Speaker 3: too upset the way this is gone, Like they definitely 107 00:05:28,920 --> 00:05:31,240 Speaker 3: had you know that they had I forget if it 108 00:05:31,279 --> 00:05:33,520 Speaker 3: was Palmer or who it was, had him open for 109 00:05:33,560 --> 00:05:36,919 Speaker 3: a touchdown, just a little bit overthrown. You know, Chargers 110 00:05:36,920 --> 00:05:39,440 Speaker 3: receiversly half would have dropped it anyways, even if it 111 00:05:39,520 --> 00:05:42,839 Speaker 3: hit him. But you know, I think this is the 112 00:05:42,880 --> 00:05:47,080 Speaker 3: script you want for the Chargers. So on the one hand, 113 00:05:47,600 --> 00:05:51,080 Speaker 3: you're in Arrowhead facing the now twelve and one back 114 00:05:51,120 --> 00:05:55,359 Speaker 3: to back Super Bowl champions on the road, Big Division game. 115 00:05:56,000 --> 00:05:59,600 Speaker 3: You basically played him, even missing your top running back, 116 00:06:00,080 --> 00:06:03,840 Speaker 3: missing your only real go to receiver, without really a 117 00:06:03,880 --> 00:06:06,560 Speaker 3: lot of weapons to start with. The stats are just 118 00:06:06,600 --> 00:06:09,479 Speaker 3: like dead even across the board, they're within ten yards 119 00:06:09,520 --> 00:06:11,760 Speaker 3: of each other. Neither team even hit three hundred a night. 120 00:06:11,760 --> 00:06:15,680 Speaker 3: They're exactly equal on first downs, just like time and 121 00:06:15,760 --> 00:06:19,960 Speaker 3: possession almost dead equal. Neither team turned over. So yeah, 122 00:06:20,000 --> 00:06:21,440 Speaker 3: it comes down to a field goal at the end, 123 00:06:21,480 --> 00:06:25,080 Speaker 3: Like that's kind of what happens in a game like this. Unfortunately, 124 00:06:25,160 --> 00:06:28,080 Speaker 3: you lost the coin flip, and if you're the Chargers, 125 00:06:28,120 --> 00:06:30,359 Speaker 3: you can't keep losing these type of coin flips, And 126 00:06:30,360 --> 00:06:32,719 Speaker 3: if you're the Chiefs, you apparently can keep winning them. 127 00:06:32,760 --> 00:06:36,120 Speaker 3: That's just what they're gonna do. I feel like from 128 00:06:36,160 --> 00:06:39,240 Speaker 3: a Chargers standpoint, you feel pretty good about the process here, 129 00:06:39,279 --> 00:06:42,200 Speaker 3: You feel pretty good about what your team did. Where 130 00:06:42,240 --> 00:06:44,520 Speaker 3: this is going, like, remember this is only thirteen games 131 00:06:44,560 --> 00:06:48,000 Speaker 3: into the Jim Harbaught era. Here, we nobody really had 132 00:06:48,480 --> 00:06:51,480 Speaker 3: the Chargers coming to Kansas City late in the season 133 00:06:51,600 --> 00:06:54,200 Speaker 3: still with like a real shot at the division in 134 00:06:54,240 --> 00:06:57,680 Speaker 3: their eyes. This season, that line looked pretty good. They 135 00:06:57,760 --> 00:07:01,520 Speaker 3: kept Harbor protected. I thought the defense did us job. 136 00:07:01,560 --> 00:07:03,800 Speaker 3: You hold the Chiefs at home to under three hundred yards, 137 00:07:04,160 --> 00:07:05,800 Speaker 3: you make them work for it the way they did. 138 00:07:06,600 --> 00:07:08,800 Speaker 3: Even like the drive you said, the winning drive will 139 00:07:08,800 --> 00:07:12,800 Speaker 3: what fourteen plays forty seven yards? That's Chiefs football. Now, 140 00:07:12,880 --> 00:07:16,800 Speaker 3: Unfortunately it sucks to watch. It's like two yards, three yards, 141 00:07:16,840 --> 00:07:21,640 Speaker 3: three yards fourth down conversion like fourteen plays forty seven yards. 142 00:07:21,800 --> 00:07:23,960 Speaker 3: Granted there's a couple of kneel downs in they're kind of, 143 00:07:24,440 --> 00:07:26,560 Speaker 3: you know, puffing the stats a little bit, but still 144 00:07:26,880 --> 00:07:30,000 Speaker 3: we're talking like four yards of pop, which, to be fair, 145 00:07:30,080 --> 00:07:31,880 Speaker 3: is what the Chiefs want. Also, on that drive, you 146 00:07:31,920 --> 00:07:34,560 Speaker 3: want to just bleed the clock out there. But I 147 00:07:34,600 --> 00:07:37,440 Speaker 3: don't know, I feel like the Chargers feel good. Chargers 148 00:07:37,520 --> 00:07:40,960 Speaker 3: now fall I think into a three way tie for 149 00:07:41,160 --> 00:07:44,560 Speaker 3: the other wildcard teams with the Ravens, with the Broncos. 150 00:07:45,160 --> 00:07:49,280 Speaker 3: So I think from a neutral standpoint, this was the 151 00:07:49,320 --> 00:07:51,400 Speaker 3: better outcome. The Chiefs, we can kind of pencil in 152 00:07:51,520 --> 00:07:53,560 Speaker 3: is the one seed. Now we'll get to the Bills 153 00:07:53,560 --> 00:07:57,160 Speaker 3: game shortly, but Chiefs are two games up, probably looking 154 00:07:57,200 --> 00:08:00,720 Speaker 3: relatively safe there We're used to that. But we get 155 00:08:00,720 --> 00:08:04,800 Speaker 3: an interesting wildcard race now, interesting positioning between those teams. 156 00:08:05,280 --> 00:08:08,000 Speaker 3: Even if it is those three we'll get to Miami, 157 00:08:08,080 --> 00:08:10,120 Speaker 3: they're maybe in the mix now as they hunt the 158 00:08:10,160 --> 00:08:12,800 Speaker 3: Colts rough this week, they're probably in the mix still. 159 00:08:13,360 --> 00:08:16,720 Speaker 3: So you know, I think this is the more interesting 160 00:08:16,760 --> 00:08:19,400 Speaker 3: outcome because we can all like debate about the doink 161 00:08:19,520 --> 00:08:22,360 Speaker 3: and did the rest gift that Chiefs another one? Like, 162 00:08:22,400 --> 00:08:25,600 Speaker 3: of course not, that's not a thing. But yeah, I 163 00:08:26,440 --> 00:08:32,439 Speaker 3: guess from a betting standpoint, one nibbling the nibbling, one 164 00:08:32,920 --> 00:08:35,160 Speaker 3: little thought I have that I'm not gonna bet just yet, 165 00:08:35,160 --> 00:08:39,440 Speaker 3: but I'm keeping an eye on it. I'm not totally 166 00:08:39,520 --> 00:08:44,120 Speaker 3: convinced that some Chief is I think the chief could 167 00:08:44,160 --> 00:08:46,320 Speaker 3: win an award. We've talked about Andy Reid for Coach 168 00:08:46,320 --> 00:08:49,120 Speaker 3: of the Year. They could still get to like sixteen 169 00:08:49,160 --> 00:08:51,880 Speaker 3: to one. They're only four more wins away from its 170 00:08:51,960 --> 00:08:57,120 Speaker 3: tough schedule, Josh Allen lost, Lamar Jackson's lost a bunch 171 00:08:57,160 --> 00:09:00,760 Speaker 3: of games running back might now when MVP, we still 172 00:09:00,800 --> 00:09:04,040 Speaker 3: think MVP is open. If the Chiefs really get to 173 00:09:04,080 --> 00:09:06,680 Speaker 3: fifteen and two, sixteen and one and like lap the 174 00:09:06,720 --> 00:09:09,559 Speaker 3: rest of the NFL, and if Josh Allen loses another 175 00:09:09,600 --> 00:09:11,320 Speaker 3: game or two, and now the Chiefs are up like 176 00:09:11,320 --> 00:09:14,720 Speaker 3: three four games on them by the end, are we sure? 177 00:09:14,880 --> 00:09:18,400 Speaker 3: Are we positive? We wouldn't just give the best player 178 00:09:18,440 --> 00:09:21,160 Speaker 3: in the league, the guy who we all watch and 179 00:09:21,200 --> 00:09:23,440 Speaker 3: we're like, yeah, here goes Pat right up and down 180 00:09:23,440 --> 00:09:26,480 Speaker 3: the field again for the win. Isn't that the MVP. 181 00:09:26,600 --> 00:09:28,480 Speaker 3: I don't think it's totally dead yet. 182 00:09:29,880 --> 00:09:32,400 Speaker 2: I mean, he's thirty to one right now. And we'll 183 00:09:32,400 --> 00:09:35,000 Speaker 2: talk about Josh Allen, who is the odds on favored 184 00:09:35,000 --> 00:09:38,480 Speaker 2: by a decently large margin. But you're not wrong except 185 00:09:38,520 --> 00:09:40,959 Speaker 2: that it's just the numbers from Josh after six touchdowns, 186 00:09:42,040 --> 00:09:44,559 Speaker 2: I'll say after the Chargers though, they did look competent, 187 00:09:44,600 --> 00:09:46,480 Speaker 2: and they look competent in a game with out mcconkee 188 00:09:46,640 --> 00:09:49,840 Speaker 2: and Dobbins, and they have injuries kind of a little 189 00:09:49,840 --> 00:09:52,439 Speaker 2: bit all over the place here, So I think you're right. 190 00:09:52,480 --> 00:09:54,640 Speaker 2: Pretty impressive, and they have a huge game against Denver 191 00:09:54,760 --> 00:09:57,280 Speaker 2: coming up since they I believe they hold the advantage 192 00:09:57,320 --> 00:09:59,840 Speaker 2: over them currently, but we'll be right in the race 193 00:10:00,120 --> 00:10:03,559 Speaker 2: that game happens, all right, let's keep rolling here. Jets 194 00:10:03,600 --> 00:10:07,440 Speaker 2: Miami Dolphins get to win thirty two twenty six in 195 00:10:07,640 --> 00:10:11,719 Speaker 2: overtime now at Action Labs, Action Network, we closed the 196 00:10:11,800 --> 00:10:14,280 Speaker 2: six and a half, so the Jets do end up 197 00:10:14,320 --> 00:10:16,760 Speaker 2: getting the clothes cover there, but there were five and 198 00:10:16,800 --> 00:10:19,360 Speaker 2: a half and six is all week, so depending where 199 00:10:19,360 --> 00:10:21,880 Speaker 2: you got it, and the total goes over forty five 200 00:10:21,920 --> 00:10:24,640 Speaker 2: with overtime. From my point of view before I toss 201 00:10:24,640 --> 00:10:27,360 Speaker 2: it to you, Jets eliminated from the playoffs now officially, 202 00:10:27,360 --> 00:10:30,679 Speaker 2: so that's fourteen straight years now. Miami is still in 203 00:10:30,720 --> 00:10:33,520 Speaker 2: it with this, which is very important. The interesting thing 204 00:10:33,559 --> 00:10:35,319 Speaker 2: on the six and a half line, this was the 205 00:10:35,960 --> 00:10:40,240 Speaker 2: largest underdog in Rogers's career versus a divisional opponent. So 206 00:10:40,320 --> 00:10:43,720 Speaker 2: this is basically the bottom after he dominated the NFC 207 00:10:43,760 --> 00:10:46,240 Speaker 2: North so many years in Green Bay, and a fun 208 00:10:46,240 --> 00:10:48,800 Speaker 2: one before I tossed it into his career. He is 209 00:10:48,840 --> 00:10:51,359 Speaker 2: twelve and zeros straight up versus the Jets and Patriots 210 00:10:51,400 --> 00:10:53,760 Speaker 2: and one in eight versus the Bills. 211 00:10:54,080 --> 00:10:57,880 Speaker 3: Wow, Yeah, I had the first half under on this one. 212 00:10:57,920 --> 00:10:59,560 Speaker 3: It was a good clue right away that this day 213 00:10:59,679 --> 00:11:02,240 Speaker 3: was not going my way. Here's how the game starts 214 00:11:02,240 --> 00:11:05,320 Speaker 3: in the first half, touchdown, field goal, field goal, touchdown, 215 00:11:05,400 --> 00:11:08,120 Speaker 3: field goal, field goal, field goal. They scored in every possession, 216 00:11:08,160 --> 00:11:09,760 Speaker 3: tell a kneel down before the half. It should have 217 00:11:09,760 --> 00:11:11,680 Speaker 3: been more points, probably should have been like forty one. 218 00:11:12,040 --> 00:11:13,800 Speaker 3: We settled for a bunch of short field goals, and 219 00:11:13,880 --> 00:11:15,880 Speaker 3: really that was kind of the story of the game. 220 00:11:16,400 --> 00:11:20,280 Speaker 3: Both teams kept moving the ball, kept getting long drives, 221 00:11:20,640 --> 00:11:22,880 Speaker 3: selling for field goals. Otherwise I think either team could 222 00:11:22,920 --> 00:11:25,120 Speaker 3: have won relatively comfortably if they just punched in a 223 00:11:25,120 --> 00:11:28,640 Speaker 3: few more touchdowns. The Jets hit a forty two yard 224 00:11:28,679 --> 00:11:33,240 Speaker 3: field goal fifty two seconds left shades of Clemson SMU 225 00:11:33,720 --> 00:11:37,120 Speaker 3: if you watch that on Friday on Saturday night, Mammy 226 00:11:37,160 --> 00:11:39,760 Speaker 3: gets the kickoff return down now three with under a 227 00:11:39,760 --> 00:11:41,480 Speaker 3: minute left, but we turned it out to the forty 228 00:11:41,520 --> 00:11:44,559 Speaker 3: five two passes you're in field goal range. We got overtime, 229 00:11:45,480 --> 00:11:48,360 Speaker 3: and like the rest of the game, effectively, no like 230 00:11:48,400 --> 00:11:50,360 Speaker 3: whoever won the coin toss, was probably gonna win this 231 00:11:50,400 --> 00:11:53,080 Speaker 3: one because no defense had been stopping in all the game, 232 00:11:53,480 --> 00:11:56,079 Speaker 3: maybe just the red zone, so Mammy won the toss. 233 00:11:56,480 --> 00:12:01,280 Speaker 3: John Smith, our hero from Thanksgiving Evening, no touches all game. 234 00:12:01,760 --> 00:12:05,080 Speaker 3: First play of overtime, twenty yard catch, second play, fourteen 235 00:12:05,160 --> 00:12:07,640 Speaker 3: yard catch, gets in for the touchdown for the win. 236 00:12:08,440 --> 00:12:11,920 Speaker 3: Miami finished one of nine on third downs, but if 237 00:12:11,920 --> 00:12:14,839 Speaker 3: you look at their EPA per play zero point three 238 00:12:14,960 --> 00:12:17,640 Speaker 3: pa per play on early downs, fifty eight early downs, 239 00:12:17,640 --> 00:12:20,760 Speaker 3: that's a really good mark. Negative point two to three 240 00:12:20,840 --> 00:12:24,480 Speaker 3: on twelve late downs. So they get the win. But 241 00:12:24,600 --> 00:12:27,199 Speaker 3: they were consistently moving the ball on the Jets all 242 00:12:27,240 --> 00:12:30,240 Speaker 3: game long. It just didn't happen on the third downs 243 00:12:30,240 --> 00:12:33,760 Speaker 3: when they got there. Aaron Rodgers three hundred and thirty 244 00:12:33,840 --> 00:12:36,680 Speaker 3: nine yards, first three hundred yard game for him since 245 00:12:36,679 --> 00:12:40,800 Speaker 3: December twenty twenty one. That was a thirty five games 246 00:12:40,840 --> 00:12:44,760 Speaker 3: ago for him. So you know, we got there, Aaron. 247 00:12:44,800 --> 00:12:47,120 Speaker 3: We got there one more one hundred, three hundred yard game, 248 00:12:47,679 --> 00:12:50,440 Speaker 3: Dolphins six and seven. So we just talked about those 249 00:12:50,520 --> 00:12:54,199 Speaker 3: three AFC wildcard teams. I think they're the team of 250 00:12:54,360 --> 00:12:55,520 Speaker 3: most intrigued left. 251 00:12:55,520 --> 00:12:56,080 Speaker 2: They go to. 252 00:12:56,120 --> 00:12:58,680 Speaker 3: Houston next week, a team that you and I have 253 00:12:58,720 --> 00:13:01,360 Speaker 3: certainly had plenty of bad things to say in the 254 00:13:01,360 --> 00:13:04,920 Speaker 3: off of bye a week. But Houston, then San fran 255 00:13:05,160 --> 00:13:08,120 Speaker 3: no longer is daunting of a task, Cleveland then the 256 00:13:08,200 --> 00:13:10,840 Speaker 3: Jets again. Now three of those are on the road. 257 00:13:11,440 --> 00:13:15,520 Speaker 3: This is a different looking Miami team. They're not chunking 258 00:13:15,559 --> 00:13:18,679 Speaker 3: with a huge plays. They're chewing up the middle of 259 00:13:18,679 --> 00:13:21,320 Speaker 3: the field. They're getting the ball out quick. Tula's putting 260 00:13:21,400 --> 00:13:24,240 Speaker 3: up some great looking counting numbers because they're just getting 261 00:13:24,280 --> 00:13:27,840 Speaker 3: the ball out into their playmakers over the middle, letting 262 00:13:27,880 --> 00:13:31,200 Speaker 3: them do their thing. And I don't know, we get 263 00:13:31,240 --> 00:13:33,000 Speaker 3: to see if it's real or not. They're gonna need 264 00:13:33,040 --> 00:13:36,480 Speaker 3: some help either way. But that Miami Houston game next 265 00:13:36,480 --> 00:13:38,040 Speaker 3: week suddenly looks really interesting. 266 00:13:38,480 --> 00:13:41,000 Speaker 2: Yeah, and Tua has an opportunity, even though it is indoors, 267 00:13:41,120 --> 00:13:43,560 Speaker 2: to beat a good team on the road, which he 268 00:13:43,760 --> 00:13:47,040 Speaker 2: just absolutely hasn't done in his entire career. So we 269 00:13:47,120 --> 00:13:48,960 Speaker 2: get to watch that next week, which should be a 270 00:13:49,000 --> 00:13:50,880 Speaker 2: really good game. Right now, Houston is a two point 271 00:13:51,000 --> 00:13:53,800 Speaker 2: favorite one o'clock window next week. All right, let's keep 272 00:13:53,840 --> 00:13:57,160 Speaker 2: going here. The Bills and the Rams. Rams get to 273 00:13:57,160 --> 00:14:00,400 Speaker 2: win forty four to forty two. Highest score game of 274 00:14:00,440 --> 00:14:02,560 Speaker 2: the day. Shout out to Billy Ward, who had that 275 00:14:02,640 --> 00:14:06,480 Speaker 2: at about five to one in one of our articles earlier. Rams, 276 00:14:06,640 --> 00:14:10,120 Speaker 2: I think, too, really, there you go even better. Nice job, Billy, 277 00:14:11,200 --> 00:14:13,199 Speaker 2: and so yeah, Rams get the win. There three and 278 00:14:13,240 --> 00:14:15,679 Speaker 2: a half point home Dogs total goes over forty nine 279 00:14:15,720 --> 00:14:18,720 Speaker 2: and a half. I mean from the start, the Bills 280 00:14:18,760 --> 00:14:22,000 Speaker 2: basically trailed the entire game. I mean the Rams really 281 00:14:22,120 --> 00:14:26,520 Speaker 2: played up here. Stafford played absolutely amazing. I think if 282 00:14:26,560 --> 00:14:29,480 Speaker 2: you watch the game, though, you come away with Puka Nakua. 283 00:14:29,800 --> 00:14:33,760 Speaker 2: I believe he led all of Sunday wide receivers or 284 00:14:34,200 --> 00:14:37,440 Speaker 2: you know, anyone in receiving yards on this day, which 285 00:14:37,480 --> 00:14:39,640 Speaker 2: was like fourteen to one during the day as well. 286 00:14:39,920 --> 00:14:43,480 Speaker 2: He had a fantastic day. But Stafford overall had a 287 00:14:43,520 --> 00:14:47,560 Speaker 2: success rate of sixty six percent in this game. I 288 00:14:47,560 --> 00:14:51,160 Speaker 2: mean he tore it up. He was all over the place. 289 00:14:51,360 --> 00:14:56,000 Speaker 2: And last four games ten passing touchdowns, zero picks for him, 290 00:14:56,200 --> 00:14:59,520 Speaker 2: he has thirteen to twenty plus yard plays in those 291 00:14:59,560 --> 00:15:02,280 Speaker 2: four games. I mean he has been on an absolute tear. 292 00:15:02,320 --> 00:15:04,080 Speaker 2: I believe the Rams with three and one in those 293 00:15:04,120 --> 00:15:07,880 Speaker 2: four games, and they've got themselves just still in the picture. 294 00:15:08,080 --> 00:15:09,720 Speaker 2: Because I think a lot of people looked at this 295 00:15:09,800 --> 00:15:12,280 Speaker 2: one and said, well, they're probably going to lose to Buffalo, 296 00:15:12,360 --> 00:15:15,960 Speaker 2: but really played well, played up to competition. He was 297 00:15:16,400 --> 00:15:18,560 Speaker 2: tossing it around to all of his receivers and then 298 00:15:18,600 --> 00:15:20,920 Speaker 2: on the other side of the ball. I mean, Josh 299 00:15:21,000 --> 00:15:26,160 Speaker 2: Allen legitimately did absolutely everything he could, scoring six touchdowns 300 00:15:26,200 --> 00:15:29,120 Speaker 2: in this game, three in the air, three on the ground. 301 00:15:29,200 --> 00:15:31,240 Speaker 2: Didn't have a receiving touchdown this week, so that's the 302 00:15:31,240 --> 00:15:36,160 Speaker 2: only thing he didn't do. But I mean minus and 303 00:15:36,240 --> 00:15:38,560 Speaker 2: right now at a few sportsbooks, he's minus four point 304 00:15:38,600 --> 00:15:41,560 Speaker 2: fifty to win the MVP. I mean there is a 305 00:15:41,680 --> 00:15:45,000 Speaker 2: large and he lost this game, so I mean there 306 00:15:45,080 --> 00:15:47,080 Speaker 2: is a large, large gap. If you look at the 307 00:15:47,080 --> 00:15:50,280 Speaker 2: market right now, he's minus four p fifty, Saquons plus 308 00:15:50,320 --> 00:15:52,960 Speaker 2: five point fifty, and then you jump to Lamar at 309 00:15:53,000 --> 00:15:55,200 Speaker 2: fourteen to one and Goff at seventeen to one, and 310 00:15:55,240 --> 00:15:58,680 Speaker 2: then the person you had discussed, Mahomes, is still thirty 311 00:15:58,680 --> 00:16:01,960 Speaker 2: to one right now to the award. The only other 312 00:16:02,040 --> 00:16:05,000 Speaker 2: things I'll say about this game, Rams were twelve of 313 00:16:05,160 --> 00:16:08,760 Speaker 2: sixteen on third and fourth down, which basically won them 314 00:16:08,800 --> 00:16:12,040 Speaker 2: the day because without all that stuff and the six 315 00:16:12,080 --> 00:16:13,880 Speaker 2: touch on the other side, it would have been impossible 316 00:16:13,920 --> 00:16:16,840 Speaker 2: to win win the game. The crazy part about this 317 00:16:17,360 --> 00:16:20,120 Speaker 2: so Buffalo has now scored thirty plus points in seven 318 00:16:20,160 --> 00:16:23,600 Speaker 2: straight games. Buffalo had an eight point two yards per 319 00:16:23,600 --> 00:16:26,720 Speaker 2: play today and lost. The Bills are the first team 320 00:16:26,880 --> 00:16:30,120 Speaker 2: to score six plus touchdowns with no turnovers and lose 321 00:16:30,160 --> 00:16:32,800 Speaker 2: the game. I mean, I don't take anything away from 322 00:16:32,800 --> 00:16:35,080 Speaker 2: this game from the offensive side. I do probably have 323 00:16:35,120 --> 00:16:37,840 Speaker 2: to look at the defensive side from Buffalo. When they're 324 00:16:37,880 --> 00:16:40,680 Speaker 2: losing games forty four to forty two, your main competition 325 00:16:40,760 --> 00:16:45,400 Speaker 2: is Kansas City and they're winning games nineteen seventeen, I 326 00:16:45,440 --> 00:16:48,200 Speaker 2: think there's going to be an interesting math problem if 327 00:16:48,240 --> 00:16:51,640 Speaker 2: they meet. Obviously, we already saw that once. To me, 328 00:16:51,760 --> 00:16:55,360 Speaker 2: this was just an amazing game to watch. I'm gonna 329 00:16:55,400 --> 00:16:57,880 Speaker 2: probably rewatch it. There were no sacks in the game, 330 00:16:58,120 --> 00:17:01,080 Speaker 2: there were no turnovers. There was also no scoreless quarter 331 00:17:01,160 --> 00:17:05,320 Speaker 2: for any team. I mean, this was just pure awesome football. 332 00:17:05,640 --> 00:17:07,600 Speaker 2: The Bills Rams game was a first game in NFL 333 00:17:07,680 --> 00:17:10,239 Speaker 2: history in which each team scored forty plus points and 334 00:17:10,280 --> 00:17:14,399 Speaker 2: had no turnofs. So it is just a really really 335 00:17:14,440 --> 00:17:17,880 Speaker 2: fun game overall. I think it's also worth mentioning Buffalo 336 00:17:17,960 --> 00:17:21,719 Speaker 2: next week maybe the game of the season. Forget Bill's Chiefs. 337 00:17:21,840 --> 00:17:25,040 Speaker 2: I want to watch Bills Lions, and that's exactly what 338 00:17:25,040 --> 00:17:27,359 Speaker 2: we're going to see, which could be a Super Bowl preview, 339 00:17:27,400 --> 00:17:29,280 Speaker 2: which oh my god, could you imagine the world in 340 00:17:29,320 --> 00:17:32,840 Speaker 2: a Bill's Lions to get to the super Bowl. But 341 00:17:33,280 --> 00:17:35,560 Speaker 2: that's what I got here, I mean, just aside. The 342 00:17:35,600 --> 00:17:38,359 Speaker 2: only other like play that impacted the game was the 343 00:17:38,600 --> 00:17:40,280 Speaker 2: I don't know if anyone saw this, but the Rams 344 00:17:40,320 --> 00:17:43,520 Speaker 2: false start that wasn't called on fourth and five. If 345 00:17:43,520 --> 00:17:46,280 Speaker 2: it does get called, is there like a huge impact there. Obviously, 346 00:17:46,320 --> 00:17:49,399 Speaker 2: this game impacts the NFC West, impacts the one seed, 347 00:17:49,720 --> 00:17:53,040 Speaker 2: so maybe maybe something flips. But other than that, just 348 00:17:53,160 --> 00:17:55,520 Speaker 2: a fantastic football game. Yeah. 349 00:17:55,520 --> 00:17:57,240 Speaker 3: I had a couple other players of note too. I 350 00:17:57,280 --> 00:17:58,959 Speaker 3: don't know if you mentioned it, but the Bills had 351 00:17:59,000 --> 00:18:02,920 Speaker 3: a punt blocked return for a touchdown. I kind of thought, honestly, 352 00:18:02,960 --> 00:18:06,200 Speaker 3: that decided the game in the end, because neither team stopped, 353 00:18:06,440 --> 00:18:09,680 Speaker 3: neither defense stopped anybody, no turnovers, only one field goal. 354 00:18:09,680 --> 00:18:11,960 Speaker 3: They're eight of nine in the red zone, so we 355 00:18:12,000 --> 00:18:13,800 Speaker 3: only had five puns all game. That's like the only 356 00:18:13,800 --> 00:18:15,760 Speaker 3: failure that happened, and one of them got blocked for 357 00:18:15,800 --> 00:18:19,320 Speaker 3: a touchdown. I think honestly they ran out of time otherwise, 358 00:18:19,359 --> 00:18:21,800 Speaker 3: but that was kind of the difference. I just mentioned 359 00:18:21,880 --> 00:18:24,800 Speaker 3: EPA per play the early downs on the last game. 360 00:18:25,320 --> 00:18:28,520 Speaker 3: Rams here for the game zero point three EPA per play. 361 00:18:28,920 --> 00:18:31,840 Speaker 3: That's really good. That is the ninety fifth percentile. Just 362 00:18:31,840 --> 00:18:35,280 Speaker 3: for a reference, that's zero point three. The Bills had 363 00:18:35,400 --> 00:18:39,000 Speaker 3: zero point five to three EPA per play. That's like 364 00:18:39,240 --> 00:18:42,160 Speaker 3: nearly double, and it's what the Rams are already good. 365 00:18:42,160 --> 00:18:45,600 Speaker 3: It's one hundredth percent just crazy offense in this game. 366 00:18:45,920 --> 00:18:48,320 Speaker 3: The other play is we get down to the end. 367 00:18:48,720 --> 00:18:52,080 Speaker 3: The Bills are pushing, they're down nine. They need to 368 00:18:52,080 --> 00:18:53,840 Speaker 3: get into the end zone. They're on like the one 369 00:18:53,920 --> 00:18:56,920 Speaker 3: yard line, and they try the QB sneak. Don't get in, 370 00:18:57,080 --> 00:19:00,480 Speaker 3: so huge stop for the Rams. But McDermott calls the 371 00:19:00,560 --> 00:19:03,560 Speaker 3: time out. You can't call the time out there. Your 372 00:19:03,640 --> 00:19:06,400 Speaker 3: only job is get in the end zone with your 373 00:19:06,440 --> 00:19:09,199 Speaker 3: three timeouts still, so you can kick it off and 374 00:19:09,280 --> 00:19:11,639 Speaker 3: pin them back deep hopefully get a stop. Ain't nobody 375 00:19:11,640 --> 00:19:13,800 Speaker 3: being stops all day, but you're gonna have to get one. 376 00:19:14,359 --> 00:19:16,920 Speaker 3: Rather do that than on side kick it onside just 377 00:19:16,960 --> 00:19:20,240 Speaker 3: startn't working. So that was basically the game at that point, 378 00:19:20,280 --> 00:19:23,800 Speaker 3: they had to onside it, and they had two timeouts left, 379 00:19:23,800 --> 00:19:27,320 Speaker 3: and the Rams, ironically of always for the game to end, 380 00:19:27,359 --> 00:19:30,159 Speaker 3: The game ends on the Rams punting. The ball just 381 00:19:30,240 --> 00:19:32,160 Speaker 3: kind of bounces into the end zone as the clock 382 00:19:32,240 --> 00:19:36,400 Speaker 3: runs out, and that's the game. Josh Allen by standard 383 00:19:36,400 --> 00:19:40,320 Speaker 3: fantasy points scoring fifty one point eighty eight points today, 384 00:19:40,359 --> 00:19:45,760 Speaker 3: the most points in history by a quarterback in fantasy football, unless, 385 00:19:45,760 --> 00:19:47,800 Speaker 3: of course, you play college fantasy fotball, in which case 386 00:19:47,800 --> 00:19:50,480 Speaker 3: somebody does that like every week. College fantasy is awesome. 387 00:19:51,000 --> 00:19:54,679 Speaker 3: So yeah, just a really fun game. I agree. Definitely 388 00:19:54,680 --> 00:19:57,479 Speaker 3: a one to go back and rewatch if you missed it, 389 00:19:57,560 --> 00:20:00,000 Speaker 3: and you know, you watch the highlights, you're pretty much 390 00:20:00,040 --> 00:20:02,160 Speaker 3: watching the whole game because the entire game was highlights. 391 00:20:02,920 --> 00:20:04,760 Speaker 2: Yeah, and this is a good one to rewatch, honestly, 392 00:20:05,160 --> 00:20:07,919 Speaker 2: and I probably will before Bill's Lions next week. That 393 00:20:08,040 --> 00:20:10,199 Speaker 2: total right now, which you could have told me it 394 00:20:10,280 --> 00:20:12,960 Speaker 2: was maybe sixty, but it's actually fifty three and a half. 395 00:20:13,520 --> 00:20:15,720 Speaker 3: Yeah, analyzing it was fifty one and a half. It's 396 00:20:15,720 --> 00:20:17,400 Speaker 3: already got up a couple of points because how could 397 00:20:17,400 --> 00:20:17,760 Speaker 3: it Oh. 398 00:20:17,680 --> 00:20:20,119 Speaker 2: Wow, oh wow, yeah, oh yeah, I see it actually 399 00:20:20,119 --> 00:20:22,239 Speaker 2: opened fifty and a half for us, So yeah, on 400 00:20:22,280 --> 00:20:25,159 Speaker 2: the rise there. All right, my big stat is going 401 00:20:25,240 --> 00:20:27,600 Speaker 2: to be super simple today, so we can keep rolling here. 402 00:20:28,040 --> 00:20:30,840 Speaker 2: The longest ATS winning streak right now in the NFL. 403 00:20:30,920 --> 00:20:35,280 Speaker 2: Do you have any guesses? Oh man, putting you on 404 00:20:35,280 --> 00:20:37,880 Speaker 2: the spot here. We did not talk about this. It's 405 00:20:37,920 --> 00:20:40,080 Speaker 2: a great guess and you're on the right track. It 406 00:20:40,119 --> 00:20:43,399 Speaker 2: is the Carolina Panthers five and zero against the spread 407 00:20:43,440 --> 00:20:46,040 Speaker 2: since November first. No other team in the NFL is 408 00:20:46,119 --> 00:20:51,760 Speaker 2: undefeated during that spans. Yes, Panthers Island. Bryce Young's looked good. 409 00:20:51,960 --> 00:20:53,600 Speaker 2: I mean since he got benched. He feels like he 410 00:20:53,640 --> 00:20:55,359 Speaker 2: has a little bit of swagger behind him. But that 411 00:20:55,480 --> 00:20:59,160 Speaker 2: is the big stat. All right, let's keep rolling. Carolina 412 00:20:59,760 --> 00:21:03,720 Speaker 2: at the Eagles. Eagles hold on twenty two sixteen as 413 00:21:03,760 --> 00:21:07,280 Speaker 2: a fourteen point favorite. On close, the total goes under 414 00:21:07,320 --> 00:21:10,400 Speaker 2: forty four and a half. So the two notes here 415 00:21:10,440 --> 00:21:12,920 Speaker 2: before I toss it to you, double digit favorites started 416 00:21:12,920 --> 00:21:15,480 Speaker 2: this season five and zero against the spread. They are 417 00:21:15,480 --> 00:21:18,879 Speaker 2: now zero to four ATS since that mark. And of 418 00:21:18,920 --> 00:21:22,160 Speaker 2: course the three point one million dollar man who definitely 419 00:21:22,200 --> 00:21:24,600 Speaker 2: didn't care about this game, because if you put three 420 00:21:24,640 --> 00:21:27,480 Speaker 2: point one million dollars on a game. You're not sweating it, 421 00:21:27,520 --> 00:21:28,640 Speaker 2: So what do you have to say? 422 00:21:29,840 --> 00:21:31,480 Speaker 3: Yeah? I mean that was really the big story of 423 00:21:31,480 --> 00:21:33,679 Speaker 3: this game was the three million dollar bet that the 424 00:21:33,720 --> 00:21:36,280 Speaker 3: whole world is sweating more than the guy that actually 425 00:21:36,359 --> 00:21:40,800 Speaker 3: made bet. So yeah, Honestly, the stats digging into this 426 00:21:41,119 --> 00:21:42,840 Speaker 3: say that this game was every bus as close as 427 00:21:42,840 --> 00:21:45,679 Speaker 3: it looked. Eagles win by a touchdown under you know, 428 00:21:45,760 --> 00:21:49,200 Speaker 3: six points, kind of a Yanke's result for Philadelphia. Now, look, 429 00:21:49,760 --> 00:21:51,800 Speaker 3: you can have one of these results. The Panthers are 430 00:21:51,840 --> 00:21:55,040 Speaker 3: playing a little better. Good for them. I doubted whether 431 00:21:55,080 --> 00:21:57,679 Speaker 3: Bryce Young could do it against a better defense, and 432 00:21:58,320 --> 00:22:00,640 Speaker 3: you know, they did a nice job. I think more 433 00:22:00,640 --> 00:22:03,240 Speaker 3: of the story is like Chuba Hobard is good. Feeling 434 00:22:03,400 --> 00:22:06,080 Speaker 3: was good. Probably Sam was fine, which is good. Fine 435 00:22:06,200 --> 00:22:08,919 Speaker 3: is good. He got benched and looked not an NFL 436 00:22:08,960 --> 00:22:11,760 Speaker 3: player like two months ago. Will take fine against a 437 00:22:11,800 --> 00:22:15,120 Speaker 3: good defense. Eagles even get three hundred yards. I don't 438 00:22:15,160 --> 00:22:18,120 Speaker 3: know how you do that against this terrible Panthers defense. Now, 439 00:22:18,520 --> 00:22:21,040 Speaker 3: part of it is that they know the ball very much. 440 00:22:21,160 --> 00:22:24,720 Speaker 3: But I thought Jalen Hurts not great. Like I still 441 00:22:25,000 --> 00:22:27,479 Speaker 3: don't trust this passing game. The numbers are pretty good 442 00:22:27,520 --> 00:22:29,520 Speaker 3: when aj Brown is on the field, which he was, 443 00:22:30,000 --> 00:22:32,240 Speaker 3: but hurts only one hundred and eight yards today, took 444 00:22:32,280 --> 00:22:36,600 Speaker 3: four sacks against not a great defense under three hundred 445 00:22:36,640 --> 00:22:40,000 Speaker 3: yards against the Panthers. Again, I can excuse it. You're 446 00:22:40,040 --> 00:22:42,240 Speaker 3: allowed one. You can be the Chiefs just get a win. 447 00:22:42,359 --> 00:22:44,600 Speaker 3: Sometimes this is what a Chiefs game sort of felt 448 00:22:44,640 --> 00:22:47,280 Speaker 3: like here, But it's also what the Eagles did all 449 00:22:47,320 --> 00:22:50,280 Speaker 3: last season, and I don't love that we might be 450 00:22:50,320 --> 00:22:52,600 Speaker 3: turning back that way. So it's not a trend yet. 451 00:22:52,640 --> 00:22:55,720 Speaker 3: It's one game and it's an easy like letdown spot 452 00:22:56,000 --> 00:23:00,560 Speaker 3: get other games up ahead. But you know, credit the Panthers. 453 00:23:00,640 --> 00:23:02,960 Speaker 3: Maybe I was just like half a season early on 454 00:23:03,040 --> 00:23:05,680 Speaker 3: Panthers island be nice that they could get a couple 455 00:23:05,720 --> 00:23:08,200 Speaker 3: more wins here, Maybe we get backdoor cash that over 456 00:23:08,280 --> 00:23:10,880 Speaker 3: five and a half, we're still three wins away, so 457 00:23:10,920 --> 00:23:14,000 Speaker 3: today it would have been nice. But yeah, I got 458 00:23:14,000 --> 00:23:16,399 Speaker 3: an eye on the Eagles. That's a team that is 459 00:23:16,480 --> 00:23:18,159 Speaker 3: now one I think nine in a row out of 460 00:23:18,160 --> 00:23:21,040 Speaker 3: the by But this is not a great win. Let's 461 00:23:21,040 --> 00:23:23,760 Speaker 3: see how they respond to what kind of feels like 462 00:23:23,800 --> 00:23:24,280 Speaker 3: a loss. 463 00:23:24,359 --> 00:23:27,640 Speaker 2: Next week does feel like a loss, but also very 464 00:23:27,640 --> 00:23:30,560 Speaker 2: funny that they finished so bad last year and are 465 00:23:30,560 --> 00:23:32,480 Speaker 2: probably they could like run the table this year and 466 00:23:32,520 --> 00:23:35,040 Speaker 2: do the exact opposite, but I still don't know. I mean, 467 00:23:35,040 --> 00:23:38,639 Speaker 2: their past defense has been absurd in terms of just 468 00:23:39,119 --> 00:23:42,240 Speaker 2: ben by, not break not allowing tons of yards, which 469 00:23:42,840 --> 00:23:45,080 Speaker 2: is difficult. You know, we're gonna face the Lions and 470 00:23:45,119 --> 00:23:47,560 Speaker 2: this and that, and it could be stingy, which is interesting, 471 00:23:47,600 --> 00:23:52,239 Speaker 2: all right, Seattle at Arizona. So Seattle wins thirty to 472 00:23:52,280 --> 00:23:55,920 Speaker 2: eighteen as a three point underdog on the road. Total 473 00:23:56,000 --> 00:23:59,280 Speaker 2: goes over forty five and a half. Early on, there 474 00:23:59,320 --> 00:24:02,920 Speaker 2: was twenty four points in the first quarter. Seattle ended 475 00:24:02,960 --> 00:24:05,399 Speaker 2: up leading twenty four to ten at the half. But 476 00:24:05,480 --> 00:24:08,679 Speaker 2: this game really just comes down to Arizona had two turnovers, 477 00:24:09,000 --> 00:24:11,840 Speaker 2: they went four of twelve on third down, They had 478 00:24:11,920 --> 00:24:15,280 Speaker 2: no sacks on defense, and Seattle had six point seven 479 00:24:15,320 --> 00:24:19,000 Speaker 2: yards per play. I mean, other than that, Arizona always 480 00:24:19,040 --> 00:24:23,320 Speaker 2: felt about a possession and a half behind most of 481 00:24:23,359 --> 00:24:26,520 Speaker 2: the game, like even when they got close, Seattle kind 482 00:24:26,520 --> 00:24:29,560 Speaker 2: of had the answers and it all was Zach Sharboneck 483 00:24:29,760 --> 00:24:32,359 Speaker 2: one hundred and thirty four rushing yards. That is the 484 00:24:32,400 --> 00:24:35,639 Speaker 2: most for a Seahawks running back since the twenty twenty 485 00:24:35,640 --> 00:24:39,480 Speaker 2: two season. So no, Kenneth Walker, forget all that stuff. 486 00:24:39,680 --> 00:24:42,359 Speaker 2: We actually might be looking at someone that is going 487 00:24:42,440 --> 00:24:45,520 Speaker 2: to be in competition, especially some of the fumbles. Walker 488 00:24:45,560 --> 00:24:49,040 Speaker 2: can't stay on the field. Charbay looked great today, and 489 00:24:49,080 --> 00:24:51,920 Speaker 2: then Gino, I think this is worth actually talking about 490 00:24:51,960 --> 00:24:54,800 Speaker 2: because he's had some struggles at home, but on the 491 00:24:54,920 --> 00:24:57,960 Speaker 2: road been great. They're five and one straight up, he 492 00:24:58,000 --> 00:25:02,439 Speaker 2: only has two interceptions. Passer rating is thirteen points higher 493 00:25:02,720 --> 00:25:05,840 Speaker 2: on the road than it isn't home, So something seems 494 00:25:05,880 --> 00:25:08,240 Speaker 2: to be clicking there on the Seattle side. Now quickly 495 00:25:08,280 --> 00:25:11,440 Speaker 2: on Arizona, Kyler had a really tough passing day here, 496 00:25:11,480 --> 00:25:14,200 Speaker 2: so the two interceptions fine, but it is also the 497 00:25:14,240 --> 00:25:18,600 Speaker 2: third worst completion percentage over expected for any quarterback on 498 00:25:18,640 --> 00:25:21,320 Speaker 2: the day. It was Drew Locke, who started like zho 499 00:25:21,400 --> 00:25:24,479 Speaker 2: of eight passing. On the day it was Will Levis 500 00:25:24,640 --> 00:25:27,359 Speaker 2: and Kyler Murray. That is not a list he wants 501 00:25:27,400 --> 00:25:30,719 Speaker 2: to be on. So really the complete opposite of what 502 00:25:30,760 --> 00:25:33,680 Speaker 2: we saw from Gino. Listen, the Cardinals are now lost 503 00:25:33,720 --> 00:25:36,840 Speaker 2: three in a row. During that span, Kyler is twenty 504 00:25:36,880 --> 00:25:39,640 Speaker 2: fourth and epa per play like we are seeing kind 505 00:25:39,720 --> 00:25:42,040 Speaker 2: of what the trend has been with him. They get 506 00:25:42,040 --> 00:25:44,960 Speaker 2: in a spot to be good and then he brings 507 00:25:44,960 --> 00:25:47,800 Speaker 2: them back to mediocrity. And it kind of feels like 508 00:25:47,840 --> 00:25:50,680 Speaker 2: what Arizona's going through here. Since the beginning of the 509 00:25:50,760 --> 00:25:54,640 Speaker 2: twenty twenty two season, the Cardinals are four and twelve 510 00:25:54,720 --> 00:25:57,359 Speaker 2: now against the spread versus the NFC West, That is 511 00:25:57,400 --> 00:26:00,480 Speaker 2: the least profitable team versusir on a division in that 512 00:26:00,560 --> 00:26:04,680 Speaker 2: span any team in the NFL. So over and over again, 513 00:26:04,800 --> 00:26:07,400 Speaker 2: I feel like we're getting to a spot where like, Okay, 514 00:26:07,400 --> 00:26:09,399 Speaker 2: this is the game, Arizona's going to do it and 515 00:26:09,480 --> 00:26:12,480 Speaker 2: be good, and we get this kind of flat spot 516 00:26:13,000 --> 00:26:15,280 Speaker 2: now looking at the division, Arizona is now oh and 517 00:26:15,359 --> 00:26:18,080 Speaker 2: two versus Seattle, but they're one to er versus San 518 00:26:18,080 --> 00:26:21,880 Speaker 2: Francisco in the Rams. Seattle is oh and one versus 519 00:26:21,880 --> 00:26:24,159 Speaker 2: the Rams with one game to play, so still a 520 00:26:24,160 --> 00:26:26,959 Speaker 2: lot of kind of juggling. But this is a really 521 00:26:27,359 --> 00:26:29,600 Speaker 2: big win for Seahawks Island, which I know you and 522 00:26:29,640 --> 00:26:32,000 Speaker 2: I have both kind of touted. So this is a 523 00:26:32,040 --> 00:26:34,720 Speaker 2: really big one to kind of get Arizona a game 524 00:26:34,760 --> 00:26:36,760 Speaker 2: and a half behind you, you know, because they can't 525 00:26:36,800 --> 00:26:39,200 Speaker 2: tie two. 526 00:26:39,119 --> 00:26:41,880 Speaker 3: And a half they have two games plus the tie. Yeah, 527 00:26:42,160 --> 00:26:44,400 Speaker 3: it's really the Rams are the bigger threat at this point. 528 00:26:44,480 --> 00:26:47,240 Speaker 3: And that's yeah, that Seattle goes to LA to close 529 00:26:47,280 --> 00:26:49,720 Speaker 3: out the season in the week eighteen. That's their really 530 00:26:49,760 --> 00:26:52,239 Speaker 3: favorite for that Sunday night game to close the season out, 531 00:26:52,280 --> 00:26:55,000 Speaker 3: where it's like, all right, here's a de facto playoff game. 532 00:26:55,280 --> 00:26:57,320 Speaker 3: We could be headed that way on Seattle and in 533 00:26:57,400 --> 00:26:58,240 Speaker 3: Los Angeles. 534 00:26:59,000 --> 00:27:03,159 Speaker 2: It's crazy. The Seahawks. They're at home dog against the 535 00:27:03,200 --> 00:27:06,239 Speaker 2: Packers next week. It'll be their ninth consecutive game as 536 00:27:06,240 --> 00:27:10,199 Speaker 2: an underdog, which I found very very interesting. They just 537 00:27:10,240 --> 00:27:13,200 Speaker 2: gonna keep putting up offense, keep winning, being stingy on defense, 538 00:27:13,400 --> 00:27:16,400 Speaker 2: and being dogs to good opponents. But I found that intriguing. 539 00:27:16,440 --> 00:27:19,520 Speaker 2: All right, let's keep moving here. Cleveland at Pittsburgh. The 540 00:27:19,560 --> 00:27:22,920 Speaker 2: Steelers win the game twenty seven to fourteen. They cover 541 00:27:23,080 --> 00:27:25,800 Speaker 2: as a six point favorite, the total goes under forty 542 00:27:25,840 --> 00:27:28,720 Speaker 2: two and a half. The streak that continues here Browns 543 00:27:28,720 --> 00:27:32,040 Speaker 2: have now lost twenty one consecutive regular season games in Pittsburgh, 544 00:27:32,400 --> 00:27:35,560 Speaker 2: last win coming Tim Couch in two thousand and three. 545 00:27:35,880 --> 00:27:38,280 Speaker 2: And I found this one really interesting. I look this up. 546 00:27:38,320 --> 00:27:41,840 Speaker 2: The Steelers are now twenty nine to zero against the 547 00:27:41,880 --> 00:27:44,679 Speaker 2: spread in their straight up wins since the start of 548 00:27:44,680 --> 00:27:47,480 Speaker 2: the twenty twenty two season, no wins without a cover 549 00:27:47,600 --> 00:27:48,200 Speaker 2: for Pittsburgh. 550 00:27:48,840 --> 00:27:51,840 Speaker 3: Wow, you know they really shouldn't covered this one. He'll 551 00:27:51,880 --> 00:27:56,120 Speaker 3: be honest. Yeah, I played them even other than they're 552 00:27:56,160 --> 00:28:00,160 Speaker 3: the Browns. So the Browns they led seven to three early. 553 00:28:00,680 --> 00:28:03,240 Speaker 3: Then Jamis does what he does, throws the interception, short 554 00:28:03,240 --> 00:28:07,720 Speaker 3: field touchdown, and then right into halftime long drive for Cleveland. 555 00:28:07,800 --> 00:28:10,639 Speaker 3: The miss the field goal. Out of halftime long drive, 556 00:28:10,720 --> 00:28:13,639 Speaker 3: the miss the field goal, turnover and down the next drive, 557 00:28:13,960 --> 00:28:16,760 Speaker 3: bang twenty seven to seven. It just goes that way. 558 00:28:16,800 --> 00:28:18,879 Speaker 3: The Browns, by a lot of the numbers, are the 559 00:28:18,880 --> 00:28:21,919 Speaker 3: better team, but they have three turnovers to one, and 560 00:28:21,960 --> 00:28:24,439 Speaker 3: they got two of thirteen on third down, and they 561 00:28:24,440 --> 00:28:26,399 Speaker 3: get the game away, they miss a couple of field goals. 562 00:28:27,040 --> 00:28:30,040 Speaker 3: I have to own this one. Maybe my worst hot 563 00:28:30,119 --> 00:28:32,800 Speaker 3: read outcome of the year. Here this was, or maybe 564 00:28:32,800 --> 00:28:35,280 Speaker 3: this was. This was a look ahead. Actually I had 565 00:28:35,280 --> 00:28:38,719 Speaker 3: the under forty and a half the line the total 566 00:28:38,800 --> 00:28:41,120 Speaker 3: mood I believe up to forty three and a half. 567 00:28:41,640 --> 00:28:46,120 Speaker 3: If you took the closing under, you won forty one points. 568 00:28:46,320 --> 00:28:48,760 Speaker 3: If you took my look ahead under before the line, 569 00:28:48,960 --> 00:28:51,760 Speaker 3: look Cleveland and Pittsburgh both scored like three thousand points 570 00:28:51,840 --> 00:28:55,440 Speaker 3: last week. This was the real, real kicking the balls 571 00:28:55,480 --> 00:28:59,080 Speaker 3: for me today and for you guys that trail tailed 572 00:28:59,080 --> 00:29:02,479 Speaker 3: as well. So you know we're pretty good at finding CLV. 573 00:29:02,920 --> 00:29:06,560 Speaker 3: We got terrible CLV on this one. And I love 574 00:29:06,600 --> 00:29:08,880 Speaker 3: the victory lap when we close out a winner that 575 00:29:08,920 --> 00:29:11,680 Speaker 3: we had to snager early. This is the opposite. We 576 00:29:11,680 --> 00:29:13,600 Speaker 3: don't have too many of those, so i'llow it. We'll 577 00:29:13,600 --> 00:29:14,280 Speaker 3: get the next one. 578 00:29:15,600 --> 00:29:17,800 Speaker 2: Yeah, just just a tough result overall. And there was 579 00:29:17,880 --> 00:29:20,000 Speaker 2: so many points in this game when Cleveland was close 580 00:29:20,040 --> 00:29:21,760 Speaker 2: and everyone I know, a bunch of us were on 581 00:29:21,800 --> 00:29:24,440 Speaker 2: Cleveland plus seven and we were like, okay, as long 582 00:29:24,480 --> 00:29:29,640 Speaker 2: as Jamis doesn't Oh, okay, yeah, James problem. And the 583 00:29:29,760 --> 00:29:32,520 Speaker 2: issue is is like when you know you're betting on Jamis, okay, fine, 584 00:29:32,680 --> 00:29:34,480 Speaker 2: but you also know you're betting on Jamis in a 585 00:29:34,520 --> 00:29:38,040 Speaker 2: game against the Steelers, who kind of forced people into 586 00:29:38,040 --> 00:29:41,200 Speaker 2: these types of choices. It's just a tough result overall. All, Right, 587 00:29:41,560 --> 00:29:44,680 Speaker 2: rest of the slate, We're gonna go quickly here. Falcons 588 00:29:45,040 --> 00:29:48,480 Speaker 2: Vikings the Kirk Cousins Bowl. Vikings win the game forty 589 00:29:48,480 --> 00:29:51,160 Speaker 2: two to twenty one, covering the six point spread total 590 00:29:51,240 --> 00:29:54,960 Speaker 2: goes over forty six and a half. The real kind 591 00:29:54,960 --> 00:29:56,880 Speaker 2: of crazy one here is the role as an underdog 592 00:29:56,920 --> 00:29:58,959 Speaker 2: for Cousins have been pretty bad. Since twenty twenty two. 593 00:29:59,040 --> 00:30:01,520 Speaker 2: He is three and ten as a dog, two and 594 00:30:01,600 --> 00:30:04,960 Speaker 2: eleven straight up in those games, and Cousins hasn't thrown 595 00:30:05,000 --> 00:30:08,960 Speaker 2: a touchdown in four games. His last was against the Cowboys. 596 00:30:09,120 --> 00:30:11,320 Speaker 2: It was so long ago Dak played in that game, 597 00:30:11,480 --> 00:30:14,240 Speaker 2: So that is how long ago Kirk Cousins threw a touchdown. 598 00:30:14,240 --> 00:30:15,080 Speaker 2: What do you got here, Brandon? 599 00:30:15,800 --> 00:30:18,880 Speaker 3: Yeah, I gotta be honest as a Vikings fan, and 600 00:30:18,880 --> 00:30:21,720 Speaker 3: it's forty two to twenty one late, the Falcons are driving. 601 00:30:22,120 --> 00:30:24,480 Speaker 3: I think everybody is honestly rooting for Kirk to throw 602 00:30:24,480 --> 00:30:26,240 Speaker 3: a touchdown at that point, like, come on, let the 603 00:30:26,280 --> 00:30:29,680 Speaker 3: man have one touchdown and his homecoming here, at least 604 00:30:29,680 --> 00:30:33,200 Speaker 3: homecoming to where he played for six seasons. Yeah, I 605 00:30:33,240 --> 00:30:36,720 Speaker 3: had the jilted lovers, you know, the wide receiver thing here. 606 00:30:37,120 --> 00:30:39,120 Speaker 3: Drake London came up just short. We got a little 607 00:30:39,160 --> 00:30:43,280 Speaker 3: garbage time, almost got there. Minnesota's receivers apparently were jilted, though, 608 00:30:43,280 --> 00:30:46,000 Speaker 3: because Jordan Addison eight one hundred and thirty three and 609 00:30:46,080 --> 00:30:49,520 Speaker 3: three touchdowns. Justin Jefferson seven for one hundred and thirty 610 00:30:49,520 --> 00:30:53,000 Speaker 3: two and two touchdowns. Sam Darnold had a monster game 611 00:30:53,360 --> 00:30:56,680 Speaker 3: so much that I saw my timeline at least talking about. 612 00:30:56,720 --> 00:30:59,680 Speaker 3: Is Sam Darnold the MVP race? Now let me summarize 613 00:30:59,720 --> 00:31:02,719 Speaker 3: for you. No, but you know, nice game, glad you 614 00:31:02,720 --> 00:31:05,400 Speaker 3: have a big game here. Atlanta actually had a huge 615 00:31:05,440 --> 00:31:08,160 Speaker 3: game offensively too, Like this is a twenty one point game, 616 00:31:08,400 --> 00:31:10,640 Speaker 3: it's tied into the fourth quarter. This just kind of 617 00:31:10,960 --> 00:31:13,520 Speaker 3: got away late. Atlanta finished two to five in the 618 00:31:13,560 --> 00:31:16,120 Speaker 3: red zone to turnover three times. But I do think 619 00:31:16,160 --> 00:31:18,640 Speaker 3: it's notable. I don't really feel like people are talking 620 00:31:18,640 --> 00:31:21,840 Speaker 3: about this yet. Last year in Minnesota's defense, the Brian 621 00:31:21,920 --> 00:31:25,479 Speaker 3: floor Is defense really fell off later in the season 622 00:31:25,480 --> 00:31:28,000 Speaker 3: as opponents kind of adjusted to it. Now, look, the 623 00:31:28,080 --> 00:31:30,400 Speaker 3: Vikings had some injuries as well, so that was definitely 624 00:31:30,440 --> 00:31:34,200 Speaker 3: part of it. The Vikings defensive numbers have been slowly 625 00:31:34,360 --> 00:31:37,480 Speaker 3: tailing off a little bit. Atlanta had almost five hundred 626 00:31:37,520 --> 00:31:39,800 Speaker 3: yards of offense today. If this is an offense, it 627 00:31:39,840 --> 00:31:43,480 Speaker 3: hasn't really been that good lately, and they would have 628 00:31:43,560 --> 00:31:46,520 Speaker 3: kept it much closer. Two field goals in the red zone, 629 00:31:46,680 --> 00:31:49,920 Speaker 3: turn around down at the thirteen two interceptions in Minnesota 630 00:31:50,000 --> 00:31:55,240 Speaker 3: territory sneakily. Maybe it's just my Minnesota nihilism, but I 631 00:31:55,280 --> 00:31:59,280 Speaker 3: do think that Vikings defense is slowly trending. Like, look, 632 00:31:59,280 --> 00:32:02,680 Speaker 3: it's just regress. Mean, you can't be the number one forever. 633 00:32:03,240 --> 00:32:05,680 Speaker 3: And I think that they are trickling backward a little 634 00:32:05,720 --> 00:32:08,920 Speaker 3: bit more than people have noticed. And a score line 635 00:32:08,960 --> 00:32:12,840 Speaker 3: like this kind of goes that direction as well. 636 00:32:13,080 --> 00:32:15,840 Speaker 2: Yeah, and the rest of their schedule. And now, granted 637 00:32:15,840 --> 00:32:19,320 Speaker 2: they don't need wins, I mean, they'd like to have wins. 638 00:32:19,640 --> 00:32:21,480 Speaker 2: I think at this point. I think they see themselves 639 00:32:21,480 --> 00:32:24,959 Speaker 2: in the playoffs. But Lions, Packers, Seahawks, Bears, I mean, 640 00:32:25,000 --> 00:32:28,320 Speaker 2: I guess for Bears. But aside from that, nothing's super easy. 641 00:32:29,040 --> 00:32:32,880 Speaker 2: All right, let's keep rolling Raiders, Bucks. So the Bucks 642 00:32:32,920 --> 00:32:35,520 Speaker 2: get the win and cover the seven point spread twenty 643 00:32:35,560 --> 00:32:40,120 Speaker 2: eight to thirteen. Total goes under forty seven. The story 644 00:32:40,120 --> 00:32:44,400 Speaker 2: here from the Raiders side, Aiden O'Connell hurt, Desmin Ridder in. 645 00:32:44,840 --> 00:32:47,560 Speaker 2: Looks like O'Connell is done for the season. Potentially he's 646 00:32:47,560 --> 00:32:49,800 Speaker 2: gonna have more tests on Monday, but looks like he 647 00:32:49,800 --> 00:32:53,400 Speaker 2: could be done. It could be Desmond Ridder time in Vegas, 648 00:32:53,600 --> 00:32:56,240 Speaker 2: and then from Baker's point of view, between twenty eighteen 649 00:32:56,240 --> 00:32:59,160 Speaker 2: and twenty twenty two, Baker was twenty nine forty one 650 00:32:59,200 --> 00:33:01,840 Speaker 2: to one again to spread, the third worst mark in 651 00:33:01,880 --> 00:33:04,680 Speaker 2: the NFL with the Bucks. He is now twenty and 652 00:33:04,880 --> 00:33:09,440 Speaker 2: twelve against the spread. So a complete and utter confidence 653 00:33:09,600 --> 00:33:12,360 Speaker 2: change in my opinion from Baker. But what do you 654 00:33:12,400 --> 00:33:12,760 Speaker 2: got here? 655 00:33:13,440 --> 00:33:16,040 Speaker 3: Yeah, deswind Ritter, we get the revenge game next week 656 00:33:16,120 --> 00:33:20,840 Speaker 3: Monday Night football, Des Rider Felcons, get excited. If you 657 00:33:20,960 --> 00:33:23,960 Speaker 3: like question Vikings Falcons today, don't worry. You could watch 658 00:33:24,040 --> 00:33:26,080 Speaker 3: both of them on Monday Night. We get the doubleheader 659 00:33:26,200 --> 00:33:28,720 Speaker 3: coming a week from now. It'sas time to look forward 660 00:33:28,760 --> 00:33:31,960 Speaker 3: to Bucks dominating this game. It took them a while 661 00:33:31,960 --> 00:33:34,160 Speaker 3: to actually pull away, but the stats are pretty heavily 662 00:33:34,160 --> 00:33:38,040 Speaker 3: in their favor. Bucky Irving did get injury Elite. Tampa 663 00:33:38,040 --> 00:33:40,960 Speaker 3: Bay's running game has really come around this season, so 664 00:33:41,080 --> 00:33:42,840 Speaker 3: keep an eye on that one. Bucks are alone in 665 00:33:42,960 --> 00:33:45,560 Speaker 3: first place now with the Atlanta loss and the Tampa win. 666 00:33:46,040 --> 00:33:49,360 Speaker 3: That's important because Atlanta's swept the Buccaneers, so they win 667 00:33:49,400 --> 00:33:52,000 Speaker 3: the tie break, but the Bucks are game up now. 668 00:33:52,360 --> 00:33:53,880 Speaker 3: This is one that you and I have talked about 669 00:33:53,880 --> 00:33:55,640 Speaker 3: for about a month. Now we got that plus seven 670 00:33:55,720 --> 00:33:58,280 Speaker 3: hundred ticket. You ain't gonna get seven hundred any more. Now, 671 00:33:58,320 --> 00:33:59,680 Speaker 3: you may want to think about the other way to 672 00:33:59,720 --> 00:34:02,320 Speaker 3: put it when you think about Atlanta or the Saints. 673 00:34:02,360 --> 00:34:04,800 Speaker 3: I guess who are up next, but probably not. But 674 00:34:04,920 --> 00:34:08,719 Speaker 3: Tampa looking pretty good, Atlanta not looking so good. The 675 00:34:08,760 --> 00:34:12,280 Speaker 3: Buccaneers I think might have actually, other than the Chiefs, 676 00:34:12,440 --> 00:34:14,400 Speaker 3: I think in the NFC, the Buccaneers have the longest 677 00:34:14,400 --> 00:34:17,400 Speaker 3: playoff streak right now, and it certainly looks like they 678 00:34:17,480 --> 00:34:20,080 Speaker 3: might just be lining up for another one this year. 679 00:34:21,160 --> 00:34:24,600 Speaker 2: Bucks Chargers next week. Just sounds like a fun game 680 00:34:25,040 --> 00:34:28,200 Speaker 2: between an NFC AFC with just different styles. So that 681 00:34:28,200 --> 00:34:32,319 Speaker 2: should be a good one, all right, Saints Giants. So 682 00:34:32,520 --> 00:34:37,759 Speaker 2: Saints get the win fourteen to eleven, but the Giants 683 00:34:37,800 --> 00:34:40,120 Speaker 2: cover the spread at home plus four and a half. 684 00:34:40,280 --> 00:34:44,200 Speaker 2: Total goes way under forty and a half at fourteen eleven. 685 00:34:44,239 --> 00:34:48,080 Speaker 2: There Derek Carr hurt in. This one also looks like 686 00:34:48,320 --> 00:34:52,040 Speaker 2: it doesn't look great overall, leaving the arena in an 687 00:34:52,080 --> 00:34:55,919 Speaker 2: air cast, Jake Hayner comes in, I'm not really sure 688 00:34:56,000 --> 00:34:57,720 Speaker 2: and I don't know if you know this, Like, where 689 00:34:57,800 --> 00:35:00,279 Speaker 2: was Spencer Rattlers he heard too, I actually don't now. 690 00:35:00,320 --> 00:35:02,560 Speaker 3: I think that the last time Carr got hurt, the 691 00:35:02,600 --> 00:35:05,960 Speaker 3: same thing happened, Hayner came in. I think Rattler is 692 00:35:06,000 --> 00:35:08,080 Speaker 3: like the third quarterback, so he kind of come in 693 00:35:08,120 --> 00:35:10,320 Speaker 3: unless they both get hurt. But then I wouldn't be 694 00:35:10,360 --> 00:35:12,920 Speaker 3: surprised if Ratler ends up starting, Like I think, Hayner 695 00:35:13,040 --> 00:35:15,000 Speaker 3: is ready to be the backup any given a play, 696 00:35:15,080 --> 00:35:18,240 Speaker 3: but Rattler is the guy that, like, like I suspect 697 00:35:18,239 --> 00:35:19,960 Speaker 3: he may start the final month and let's see what 698 00:35:19,960 --> 00:35:22,040 Speaker 3: we got from him. So I think it's probably just 699 00:35:22,120 --> 00:35:26,120 Speaker 3: that again. But yeah, Derek Carr looks like from my 700 00:35:26,160 --> 00:35:29,239 Speaker 3: Twitter doctor Folks, looks like a fracture in his nown 701 00:35:29,320 --> 00:35:31,680 Speaker 3: throwing hands, so I think you'd be surprised to see 702 00:35:31,719 --> 00:35:34,640 Speaker 3: him again. We're gonna get back to this game Saints 703 00:35:34,680 --> 00:35:37,239 Speaker 3: next week in the hot read. But that line on 704 00:35:37,360 --> 00:35:39,680 Speaker 3: the next week Saints Kim against the Commander has already 705 00:35:39,719 --> 00:35:42,759 Speaker 3: moved over a field goal and the totals dropped way down, 706 00:35:43,120 --> 00:35:46,560 Speaker 3: So certainly books are expecting that no Derek Carr next week. 707 00:35:48,200 --> 00:35:52,319 Speaker 3: I believe only twice this season, As you know, I 708 00:35:52,360 --> 00:35:54,760 Speaker 3: love to fade Derek Carr. I love to fade Dennis 709 00:35:54,800 --> 00:35:57,360 Speaker 3: Allen when he still existed. I think two times this 710 00:35:57,440 --> 00:36:01,960 Speaker 3: season I've decided to believe and invested in a Saints pick, 711 00:36:02,280 --> 00:36:05,840 Speaker 3: in a Saints' future, and in both times, two days 712 00:36:05,920 --> 00:36:08,760 Speaker 3: later we got a game and Derek Carr got injured 713 00:36:08,760 --> 00:36:11,080 Speaker 3: and missed time again. So I'm done with the Saints 714 00:36:11,160 --> 00:36:14,279 Speaker 3: after this fourteen to three late they almost were done 715 00:36:14,320 --> 00:36:18,000 Speaker 3: with themselves. The Giants almost accidentally won this game. They 716 00:36:18,000 --> 00:36:22,600 Speaker 3: get a long thirteen play touchdown drive, then the interception, 717 00:36:22,680 --> 00:36:24,719 Speaker 3: then they go fifty six yards. They get down to 718 00:36:24,760 --> 00:36:27,759 Speaker 3: the twelve yard line for the easy field goal, the 719 00:36:27,800 --> 00:36:31,680 Speaker 3: thirty five yard are to tie, and Graham Gano gonna 720 00:36:31,719 --> 00:36:36,200 Speaker 3: get some like posters up in New York, heroically misses 721 00:36:36,239 --> 00:36:39,440 Speaker 3: the field goal Jacksonville, Who're gonna get to in a 722 00:36:39,480 --> 00:36:43,040 Speaker 3: second one the game today we're down to the Giants 723 00:36:43,080 --> 00:36:45,520 Speaker 3: and the Raiders, the only teams tied at the bottom 724 00:36:45,560 --> 00:36:48,600 Speaker 3: of the standings for that number one pick. Huge hero 725 00:36:48,800 --> 00:36:52,680 Speaker 3: move for Graham Gano and uh yeah, Drew Locke trying 726 00:36:52,719 --> 00:36:54,719 Speaker 3: a little too hard out there. You can see why 727 00:36:54,760 --> 00:36:57,000 Speaker 3: the Giants want to tell me to Beto playing because 728 00:36:57,320 --> 00:36:59,399 Speaker 3: Giants accidentally staying a little competitive in this one. That's 729 00:36:59,440 --> 00:37:00,640 Speaker 3: not really the plan right now. 730 00:37:01,280 --> 00:37:04,439 Speaker 2: Yeah, Giants and Jets now five and twenty one this year. 731 00:37:05,160 --> 00:37:08,040 Speaker 2: But this one was a really really good loss for 732 00:37:08,120 --> 00:37:11,680 Speaker 2: the Giants. But all right, let's keep the only thing 733 00:37:11,680 --> 00:37:14,040 Speaker 2: I was gonna say here is Giants ended their seven 734 00:37:14,120 --> 00:37:18,040 Speaker 2: game ATS losing streak, which intriguing nonetheless that they got 735 00:37:18,080 --> 00:37:21,080 Speaker 2: the cover here. No one figures out a way to 736 00:37:21,120 --> 00:37:23,600 Speaker 2: bet against the Saints. They are just up and down 737 00:37:23,680 --> 00:37:26,520 Speaker 2: so much it's ridiculous, and also it's funny. I mean, 738 00:37:27,239 --> 00:37:29,160 Speaker 2: you put a lot of futures into the app and 739 00:37:29,200 --> 00:37:32,200 Speaker 2: that's kind of your portfolio. But believe you, your long 740 00:37:32,200 --> 00:37:35,360 Speaker 2: shots recently were the Jaguars and then Trevor Lawrence goes down, 741 00:37:35,520 --> 00:37:37,399 Speaker 2: and then the Saints and then Derek Carr goes down. 742 00:37:37,480 --> 00:37:40,000 Speaker 2: So let me know what you're interested in, all right, 743 00:37:40,520 --> 00:37:44,960 Speaker 2: Chicago Chicago at San Francisco. San Francisco beat Chicago thirty 744 00:37:45,040 --> 00:37:47,919 Speaker 2: eight to thirteen, And honestly, it wasn't even as close 745 00:37:47,920 --> 00:37:50,319 Speaker 2: as thirty eight to thirteen sounds, but it was a 746 00:37:50,440 --> 00:37:52,680 Speaker 2: There were only a three point favorite in this game, 747 00:37:52,800 --> 00:37:55,680 Speaker 2: which I think shocked a lot of people. Total goes 748 00:37:55,800 --> 00:37:57,960 Speaker 2: over forty three and a half. Obviously, this is the 749 00:37:58,000 --> 00:38:04,280 Speaker 2: first game without eber Loose and Holy mackerel, so twenty 750 00:38:04,360 --> 00:38:07,920 Speaker 2: four to nothing at the half. The storyline going around 751 00:38:08,239 --> 00:38:11,200 Speaker 2: X and everywhere else was the fact that the yardage 752 00:38:11,200 --> 00:38:14,520 Speaker 2: at that point was three nineteen to four. The Bears 753 00:38:14,520 --> 00:38:20,320 Speaker 2: had five drives and four yards, So honestly, there really 754 00:38:20,360 --> 00:38:23,360 Speaker 2: isn't much to say aside from the fact that the 755 00:38:23,400 --> 00:38:26,520 Speaker 2: game finished. San Francisco had seven point four yards per play, 756 00:38:26,719 --> 00:38:30,880 Speaker 2: Chicago had three point one. From a future standpoint on 757 00:38:31,000 --> 00:38:34,520 Speaker 2: Chicago's side, Caleb got sacked seven times again in this game, 758 00:38:34,680 --> 00:38:37,239 Speaker 2: so that is fifty six times this year. That is 759 00:38:37,280 --> 00:38:41,600 Speaker 2: the second most for a rookie through fourteen games, since 760 00:38:41,680 --> 00:38:43,080 Speaker 2: the sacks were dragged in like I think it was 761 00:38:43,120 --> 00:38:45,960 Speaker 2: eighty two. The only other one would be David Carr, 762 00:38:45,960 --> 00:38:48,160 Speaker 2: and you never want to be on a sack list 763 00:38:48,480 --> 00:38:51,960 Speaker 2: with David Carr. And then from San Francisco side, this 764 00:38:52,080 --> 00:38:55,200 Speaker 2: was really the get right game that I think we 765 00:38:55,200 --> 00:38:58,000 Speaker 2: were looking for. Now San Francisco, this probably isn't their year, 766 00:38:58,080 --> 00:39:01,680 Speaker 2: even though they are firmly in the conversation for the 767 00:39:01,680 --> 00:39:04,719 Speaker 2: wild card. But perty was great. Twenty twenty five three 768 00:39:04,800 --> 00:39:08,520 Speaker 2: twenty five, two touchdowns, is his best passer rating game 769 00:39:08,520 --> 00:39:11,960 Speaker 2: in the season, and honestly, his a dot averaged up 770 00:39:12,000 --> 00:39:15,680 Speaker 2: the target being nine point five and only having five 771 00:39:15,719 --> 00:39:20,120 Speaker 2: incompletions just super super impressive. But the rest of the 772 00:39:20,239 --> 00:39:26,440 Speaker 2: Niners schedule, which is Detroit, Rams, Arizona, Miami, is super difficult. 773 00:39:27,400 --> 00:39:29,000 Speaker 2: And then the stat I'll give you before we move 774 00:39:29,040 --> 00:39:32,479 Speaker 2: on here, Bears still have it won on the road 775 00:39:32,480 --> 00:39:35,759 Speaker 2: on a Sunday in almost three full calendar years is 776 00:39:35,920 --> 00:39:38,800 Speaker 2: twenty straight losses on the road on a Sunday for 777 00:39:38,840 --> 00:39:42,040 Speaker 2: the Bears. Their last win December of twenty twenty one 778 00:39:42,400 --> 00:39:47,840 Speaker 2: behind Nick Foles. So Chicago's still just kind of figuring 779 00:39:47,840 --> 00:39:50,160 Speaker 2: everything out and they might as well keep losing games. 780 00:39:50,560 --> 00:39:52,319 Speaker 3: Yeah, I think I saw. I'm going to get the 781 00:39:52,400 --> 00:39:54,319 Speaker 3: years wrong. I'm guessing here, but I think I saw. 782 00:39:54,719 --> 00:39:57,160 Speaker 3: The Bears have played the forty nine Ers five times 783 00:39:57,239 --> 00:39:59,400 Speaker 3: in the last maybe seven years, and they've had a 784 00:39:59,400 --> 00:40:02,480 Speaker 3: different head coach now in every one of the games. 785 00:40:03,640 --> 00:40:06,799 Speaker 2: That is. That's not an encapsulation of everything that's gone 786 00:40:06,840 --> 00:40:08,680 Speaker 2: on there. It made me think of Jim tom Sulla. 787 00:40:08,840 --> 00:40:12,920 Speaker 2: But now that's the other side, all right. Jacksonville at Tennessee, 788 00:40:13,400 --> 00:40:17,000 Speaker 2: Jaggs upset the Titans. Can't believe the Titans are favorite 789 00:40:17,000 --> 00:40:19,320 Speaker 2: in games, but it is Mac Jones the other side, 790 00:40:19,440 --> 00:40:22,200 Speaker 2: Jags upset the Titans ten to six as a three 791 00:40:22,200 --> 00:40:26,040 Speaker 2: point dog. Total goes under forty. So the Titans are 792 00:40:26,040 --> 00:40:29,560 Speaker 2: now two and eleven against the spread this season. That 793 00:40:29,680 --> 00:40:32,320 Speaker 2: is the worst mark through thirteen games since the twenty 794 00:40:32,440 --> 00:40:38,759 Speaker 2: sixteen Browns. And they've got the Bengals, Colts, Jaguars, and 795 00:40:38,880 --> 00:40:42,640 Speaker 2: Texans left, so maybe one more easy game. But aside 796 00:40:42,640 --> 00:40:46,160 Speaker 2: from that, we could be looking at absolute history here 797 00:40:46,760 --> 00:40:48,840 Speaker 2: depending on where they finish ats. So what do you 798 00:40:48,880 --> 00:40:49,239 Speaker 2: have here? 799 00:40:49,960 --> 00:40:53,000 Speaker 3: Yeah, we could, but we'll lavist at injury his shoulder again, 800 00:40:53,080 --> 00:40:56,160 Speaker 3: so we might acximply get a not terrible quarterback playing 801 00:40:56,239 --> 00:40:59,360 Speaker 3: for Tennessee. Honestly, the nothing is game of the season 802 00:40:59,400 --> 00:41:01,320 Speaker 3: so far you need to know anything about this game. 803 00:41:01,640 --> 00:41:03,520 Speaker 3: Times are up six nothing to the fourth quarter. The 804 00:41:03,560 --> 00:41:05,880 Speaker 3: only reason we do care is because we took the 805 00:41:05,920 --> 00:41:08,960 Speaker 3: Jaguars mind shaft today. I took them under the ten 806 00:41:09,000 --> 00:41:10,880 Speaker 3: and a half, under the seven and a half. So 807 00:41:10,920 --> 00:41:12,640 Speaker 3: I was like, I was in on this game. Remember 808 00:41:12,680 --> 00:41:14,680 Speaker 3: I wanted nothing to do with this. Don't put it 809 00:41:14,719 --> 00:41:16,080 Speaker 3: on red zone. I don't want to ever see a 810 00:41:16,120 --> 00:41:19,880 Speaker 3: play in this game. Let nothing happen and nothing behold 811 00:41:19,920 --> 00:41:23,040 Speaker 3: what was happening so well till the Jaguars get one 812 00:41:23,080 --> 00:41:25,600 Speaker 3: good drive get a touchdown, we still hit the four 813 00:41:25,600 --> 00:41:27,200 Speaker 3: to one under ten and a half. It like my 814 00:41:27,280 --> 00:41:29,520 Speaker 3: only win of the day. Here's my biggest l of 815 00:41:29,600 --> 00:41:32,760 Speaker 3: the day, despite all my other losses. So I'm watching 816 00:41:32,760 --> 00:41:35,160 Speaker 3: the game with my girlfriend. I'm trying to explain to her, like, Okay, 817 00:41:35,440 --> 00:41:37,719 Speaker 3: so remember I told you, like, my thing is the escalators. 818 00:41:37,719 --> 00:41:39,440 Speaker 3: If I like it, bet, I really go high on it, 819 00:41:39,680 --> 00:41:41,279 Speaker 3: and I'm like it. But sometimes you know, like that, 820 00:41:41,520 --> 00:41:43,680 Speaker 3: I think Jaguars are not going to score, So then 821 00:41:43,719 --> 00:41:46,120 Speaker 3: I have to have like the opposite escalators, so we 822 00:41:46,160 --> 00:41:48,640 Speaker 3: create the mind shaft. I'm explaining the whole thing and 823 00:41:48,640 --> 00:41:52,400 Speaker 3: I'm getting all excited. She goes, but escalators go both ways, 824 00:41:53,360 --> 00:41:55,760 Speaker 3: and never really thought about that before, so I guess 825 00:41:55,800 --> 00:41:58,399 Speaker 3: maybe it's just an escalator. But either way, we got 826 00:41:58,400 --> 00:42:01,400 Speaker 3: one level of our escalator mind shaft will take the 827 00:42:01,520 --> 00:42:04,320 Speaker 3: lean terrible game. Nothing else will say about. 828 00:42:04,080 --> 00:42:07,160 Speaker 2: It, Yeah, no future thing to talk about there. It 829 00:42:07,239 --> 00:42:11,239 Speaker 2: was just the eighth screen, is what I'd like to 830 00:42:11,239 --> 00:42:14,960 Speaker 2: call it. All right, let's talk about another game that 831 00:42:15,120 --> 00:42:18,280 Speaker 2: is Monday Night Football, which is a little questionable overall 832 00:42:18,280 --> 00:42:20,719 Speaker 2: in terms of how much it matters, but hey, it's 833 00:42:20,719 --> 00:42:33,120 Speaker 2: something to gamble on. Bengals at Cowboys Monday Night Football 834 00:42:33,120 --> 00:42:35,960 Speaker 2: overs are twelve and four so far this year, which 835 00:42:36,000 --> 00:42:38,799 Speaker 2: has been the complete, utter opposite from what we've seen 836 00:42:38,840 --> 00:42:43,279 Speaker 2: from Sunday Night Football. But the interesting part here is 837 00:42:43,320 --> 00:42:46,560 Speaker 2: the fact that from a Dallas point of view, they 838 00:42:46,600 --> 00:42:50,600 Speaker 2: have been really really bad under McCarthy last few seasons 839 00:42:50,600 --> 00:42:52,440 Speaker 2: coming out of the locker room. So they are actually 840 00:42:52,800 --> 00:42:55,560 Speaker 2: three and nine ats in the third quarter this year, 841 00:42:55,600 --> 00:42:59,000 Speaker 2: worst mark in the NFL, and last three years or 842 00:42:59,080 --> 00:43:01,319 Speaker 2: since it started last year, they're eight and twenty one 843 00:43:01,760 --> 00:43:05,279 Speaker 2: in that spot, So a pretty tough situation. I'll give 844 00:43:05,280 --> 00:43:07,080 Speaker 2: you my quick beat before I toss it to you. 845 00:43:07,400 --> 00:43:10,040 Speaker 2: I kind of like Tolbert under two and a half receptions. 846 00:43:10,239 --> 00:43:13,320 Speaker 2: I actually saw Matt Treby, who is our NFL editor, 847 00:43:13,360 --> 00:43:16,560 Speaker 2: talking about this in our Action Network discord because I 848 00:43:16,600 --> 00:43:19,120 Speaker 2: think the pro projections like it as well. But to me, 849 00:43:19,440 --> 00:43:22,240 Speaker 2: you're getting Brandon Cooks back in action and he's basically 850 00:43:22,280 --> 00:43:25,040 Speaker 2: taking up that slot that Tolbert would be, So I 851 00:43:25,040 --> 00:43:28,160 Speaker 2: think you're gonna lose some snaps here even after last week, 852 00:43:28,200 --> 00:43:30,920 Speaker 2: and you still have Mingo and Brooks who kind of 853 00:43:30,920 --> 00:43:34,279 Speaker 2: play that role as well. So that was one I 854 00:43:34,320 --> 00:43:36,120 Speaker 2: was looking at. What do you think about Monday Night Football? 855 00:43:36,640 --> 00:43:38,640 Speaker 3: I think that they are lucky that they're doing the 856 00:43:38,640 --> 00:43:42,040 Speaker 3: Simpsons thing, because that's about the thing about this game. 857 00:43:42,960 --> 00:43:44,359 Speaker 3: I do want to see, you know, like we got 858 00:43:44,360 --> 00:43:47,560 Speaker 3: Mina Chimes gets her own Simpsons icon, Like I want 859 00:43:47,560 --> 00:43:49,120 Speaker 3: to see what that looks like. We did the Toy 860 00:43:49,160 --> 00:43:50,640 Speaker 3: Story Game last year and I was like, come on, 861 00:43:50,680 --> 00:43:53,320 Speaker 3: what are we doing? Toy Story Game was awesome. I 862 00:43:53,320 --> 00:43:55,600 Speaker 3: don't know how you have a game like in near 863 00:43:55,719 --> 00:43:59,720 Speaker 3: real time turning into animated toy story and now Simpsons, 864 00:43:59,719 --> 00:44:01,120 Speaker 3: I don't know how you pull that off. I want 865 00:44:01,120 --> 00:44:03,879 Speaker 3: to see that. It has to be these teams, so 866 00:44:03,960 --> 00:44:07,279 Speaker 3: be it. I guess over would have been the play here, 867 00:44:07,680 --> 00:44:10,800 Speaker 3: but the over got crushed this week. It was forty 868 00:44:10,800 --> 00:44:12,840 Speaker 3: five and a half last Sunday. It's like up toward 869 00:44:12,920 --> 00:44:16,480 Speaker 3: fifty now. But the Bengals defense is so bad. Cowboys, 870 00:44:16,920 --> 00:44:20,560 Speaker 3: especially at home, have been really bad defensively. Bengals pass 871 00:44:20,600 --> 00:44:22,719 Speaker 3: offense is like the only good thing this game. So 872 00:44:23,280 --> 00:44:26,120 Speaker 3: if we're watching for Simpsons characters to do fun stuff. 873 00:44:26,120 --> 00:44:29,399 Speaker 3: That's probably our best bet. I'll be honest. I had 874 00:44:29,440 --> 00:44:32,040 Speaker 3: so little on this game, but I gotta have a bet. 875 00:44:32,320 --> 00:44:34,640 Speaker 3: I was like, all right, who on that Who on 876 00:44:34,719 --> 00:44:37,279 Speaker 3: either team has a Simpsons character name, Let's go for 877 00:44:37,360 --> 00:44:39,880 Speaker 3: like an anytime touchdown or prop for Simpson's character. 878 00:44:40,640 --> 00:44:41,000 Speaker 2: Nothing. 879 00:44:41,360 --> 00:44:44,560 Speaker 3: There's no Nahasipima, Petalons or anybody else on this team. 880 00:44:45,080 --> 00:44:47,640 Speaker 3: So here's the peck. I got some trends for you. 881 00:44:48,239 --> 00:44:49,719 Speaker 3: I was just taking the Bengals if you get up 882 00:44:49,760 --> 00:44:53,680 Speaker 3: below the six. Here's some trends. Team agnostic ones road 883 00:44:53,680 --> 00:44:56,920 Speaker 3: favorites Monday night between three to seven points, fifty nine 884 00:44:56,960 --> 00:45:00,000 Speaker 3: percent against the spread. Road favorites of three or more 885 00:45:00,160 --> 00:45:03,960 Speaker 3: after losing is a home favorite, that's the Bengals fifty ATS. 886 00:45:04,400 --> 00:45:07,160 Speaker 3: Teams on a three game losing streak like the Bengals 887 00:45:07,200 --> 00:45:09,360 Speaker 3: against a team on a two or three game winning streak, 888 00:45:09,600 --> 00:45:13,840 Speaker 3: which apparently is the Cowboys sixty two percent ATS and 889 00:45:13,920 --> 00:45:17,120 Speaker 3: a couple Joe Burrow stats Burrow after a lost sixty 890 00:45:17,120 --> 00:45:20,400 Speaker 3: five percent against the spread Burrow and non division games 891 00:45:20,480 --> 00:45:24,200 Speaker 3: after the first four weeks seventy two percent ATS. Bengals 892 00:45:24,200 --> 00:45:26,040 Speaker 3: are still trying to hang around to this thing. I 893 00:45:26,080 --> 00:45:28,279 Speaker 3: think we all know where we're headed on that, but 894 00:45:29,040 --> 00:45:32,160 Speaker 3: I'll follow the trends and get something on it. Watch 895 00:45:32,200 --> 00:45:35,399 Speaker 3: the Simpsons thing and get out of here. And so yeah, 896 00:45:35,520 --> 00:45:38,240 Speaker 3: Bengals minus five and a half below the key number. 897 00:45:38,280 --> 00:45:40,200 Speaker 3: We'll put that in as the pick for this one. 898 00:45:40,760 --> 00:45:43,560 Speaker 2: It's really just a shame that Jerome Simpson wasn't a 899 00:45:43,600 --> 00:45:45,560 Speaker 2: wide receiver in this game because he would have gotten 900 00:45:45,600 --> 00:45:49,279 Speaker 2: a lot of targets and a good touchdown. Bet. Okay, cool, 901 00:45:49,320 --> 00:45:52,080 Speaker 2: those are the bets for Monday Night Football. Now, I 902 00:45:52,160 --> 00:45:54,279 Speaker 2: believe you have two hot reads. So what's your first one? 903 00:45:54,320 --> 00:45:56,760 Speaker 2: Hot rap Bo sevent day. 904 00:45:57,000 --> 00:46:01,160 Speaker 1: On ice rights ice creams HOI real trade. 905 00:46:04,120 --> 00:46:06,399 Speaker 3: Yeah, first one is a little bit different than usual. 906 00:46:06,400 --> 00:46:10,040 Speaker 3: I'm gonna take Colts Broncos under forty three and a half. 907 00:46:10,160 --> 00:46:13,879 Speaker 3: Now here's what's different. Colts and Broncos didn't play today. 908 00:46:14,040 --> 00:46:17,000 Speaker 3: Normally on Hot Read, we are trying to play something 909 00:46:17,120 --> 00:46:20,160 Speaker 3: to fade the movement of what's just happened today. But 910 00:46:20,920 --> 00:46:23,480 Speaker 3: I had this one circled coming in and it's already 911 00:46:23,560 --> 00:46:25,360 Speaker 3: dropping at a couple of books. So you want to 912 00:46:25,360 --> 00:46:28,560 Speaker 3: grab under forty three and a half forty forty one 913 00:46:28,719 --> 00:46:31,600 Speaker 3: forty three or all key numbers. Here's the key stat. 914 00:46:31,680 --> 00:46:33,479 Speaker 3: Here's why I have this one circled from the jump. 915 00:46:33,719 --> 00:46:36,640 Speaker 3: I'm gonna lead with a trend here. In games with 916 00:46:36,760 --> 00:46:38,560 Speaker 3: a total of at least forty which is most of 917 00:46:38,640 --> 00:46:41,239 Speaker 3: them where both teams are coming off a bye week 918 00:46:41,280 --> 00:46:44,759 Speaker 3: over the last two decades, the under is sixty eight 919 00:46:44,840 --> 00:46:48,600 Speaker 3: percent hit rate. Including the under has hit in eight 920 00:46:48,840 --> 00:46:51,600 Speaker 3: straight of those games by over ten points a game. 921 00:46:52,080 --> 00:46:54,680 Speaker 3: The average score in those eight games is thirty two 922 00:46:54,719 --> 00:46:58,480 Speaker 3: point six combined. Not one game went over forty points 923 00:46:58,600 --> 00:47:01,120 Speaker 3: in that mix, So that bodes very well for a 924 00:47:01,200 --> 00:47:02,520 Speaker 3: pick here. And then if you just look at the 925 00:47:02,600 --> 00:47:06,600 Speaker 3: teams Denver their last time out, they got embarrassed that 926 00:47:06,719 --> 00:47:09,799 Speaker 3: Monday night, they got lit up by Jamis Winston. Now 927 00:47:09,840 --> 00:47:13,719 Speaker 3: they had two weeks to get ready for Anthony Richardson. Man, 928 00:47:13,800 --> 00:47:15,440 Speaker 3: I don't know how that's gonna go for the Colts. 929 00:47:15,480 --> 00:47:18,680 Speaker 3: Anthony Richardson against all that pressure, a third of his 930 00:47:18,840 --> 00:47:21,840 Speaker 3: passes are deep. He's just chucking it hoping for big plays. 931 00:47:22,320 --> 00:47:24,040 Speaker 3: This is not the defense I don't think to do 932 00:47:24,120 --> 00:47:27,600 Speaker 3: that against. Denver is especially good on early downs. So 933 00:47:27,680 --> 00:47:30,800 Speaker 3: we're just gonna get like Indianapolis living on big plays. 934 00:47:31,400 --> 00:47:33,799 Speaker 3: Colts offense has really only been good late in the game. 935 00:47:33,840 --> 00:47:37,120 Speaker 3: That's where Denver's defense has been their best. Colts defense 936 00:47:37,640 --> 00:47:40,360 Speaker 3: not terrible either, top ten on first quarter and a 937 00:47:40,440 --> 00:47:42,880 Speaker 3: third quarter. That's when Denver has been a little better 938 00:47:42,960 --> 00:47:46,000 Speaker 3: with some of their scripted stuff. For Bonnicks. Really, we 939 00:47:46,120 --> 00:47:48,680 Speaker 3: kind of have a two rookie showdown here. Richardson's basically 940 00:47:48,719 --> 00:47:51,680 Speaker 3: a rookie still, obviously, Bonnicks is two weeks for the 941 00:47:51,719 --> 00:47:54,759 Speaker 3: defense to prep. I'm just gonna take the under here 942 00:47:55,120 --> 00:47:58,560 Speaker 3: under forty three and a half. Again, that trend both 943 00:47:58,600 --> 00:48:00,279 Speaker 3: teams coming off a double by that that was one 944 00:48:00,280 --> 00:48:02,800 Speaker 3: of my favorite under trends. So lock that one in 945 00:48:02,920 --> 00:48:04,279 Speaker 3: from the start, even though on the other one of 946 00:48:04,320 --> 00:48:05,279 Speaker 3: those teams played today. 947 00:48:06,040 --> 00:48:08,719 Speaker 2: Yeah, I have both of those. I have so many 948 00:48:08,760 --> 00:48:10,719 Speaker 2: bet Live systems, as does a lot of us who 949 00:48:10,800 --> 00:48:14,399 Speaker 2: work here, but under bet under recently, we're both teams 950 00:48:14,400 --> 00:48:17,480 Speaker 2: are on long rest. Extended rest. Where both teams are 951 00:48:17,480 --> 00:48:20,560 Speaker 2: on extended rest is sixty two hundred and two sixty 952 00:48:20,640 --> 00:48:22,759 Speaker 2: three and one, So yeah, all of them kind of 953 00:48:22,800 --> 00:48:25,440 Speaker 2: fit that. So I'm on the same page. I think 954 00:48:25,480 --> 00:48:29,120 Speaker 2: the entire bet is all Indies defense because I know. 955 00:48:29,400 --> 00:48:30,960 Speaker 2: I think you know exactly what you're gonna get from 956 00:48:31,000 --> 00:48:33,720 Speaker 2: Denver's defense, as long as it's not a crazy Jamus 957 00:48:33,760 --> 00:48:34,640 Speaker 2: Monday night football game. 958 00:48:35,120 --> 00:48:38,040 Speaker 3: Yeah, I think so, all right. My second hot read 959 00:48:38,520 --> 00:48:40,600 Speaker 3: is a teaser. We haven't done a lot of teasers 960 00:48:40,680 --> 00:48:43,640 Speaker 3: this year. Yeah, it's one of my just win baby teasers. 961 00:48:43,760 --> 00:48:46,839 Speaker 3: So here are the two picks. Arizona Cardinals minus six 962 00:48:46,880 --> 00:48:49,520 Speaker 3: and a half home against the Patriots. We're gonna tease 963 00:48:49,560 --> 00:48:51,080 Speaker 3: that down to half a point, so we just got 964 00:48:51,200 --> 00:48:53,239 Speaker 3: to win that one, and then we'll do another one 965 00:48:53,360 --> 00:48:56,080 Speaker 3: very similar. We'll take the Commanders on the road minus 966 00:48:56,200 --> 00:48:59,520 Speaker 3: seven at the Saints. We'll tease that one down to one. 967 00:48:59,719 --> 00:49:03,799 Speaker 3: So we just basically need to win both games. Washington, please, 968 00:49:03,880 --> 00:49:05,839 Speaker 3: for the love of God, don't win by a one point, 969 00:49:05,920 --> 00:49:09,080 Speaker 3: and then we'll be good to go. As usual, when 970 00:49:09,120 --> 00:49:11,080 Speaker 3: we do one of these kind of just win teasers, 971 00:49:11,600 --> 00:49:13,200 Speaker 3: the case is pretty simple, so I don't have to 972 00:49:13,239 --> 00:49:16,320 Speaker 3: get too far into it. So first game, Cardinals Patriots. 973 00:49:16,400 --> 00:49:19,799 Speaker 3: The Cardinals are not coming off of bye. I think 974 00:49:19,800 --> 00:49:23,720 Speaker 3: they look pretty good. They still even today with pretty 975 00:49:23,719 --> 00:49:27,120 Speaker 3: impressive offensively that the way Salles defense has been playing, 976 00:49:27,520 --> 00:49:30,240 Speaker 3: I know that those the two early interceptions by Kyler. 977 00:49:30,920 --> 00:49:32,840 Speaker 3: I thought otherwise they kind of hung in there, and 978 00:49:32,920 --> 00:49:35,120 Speaker 3: the Cardinals are just way better than the Patriots, who 979 00:49:35,120 --> 00:49:39,000 Speaker 3: are dead last by DVOA bomb three offense, bomb three defense. 980 00:49:39,480 --> 00:49:41,279 Speaker 3: I do think Drake May is playing pretty well, to 981 00:49:41,360 --> 00:49:43,920 Speaker 3: be honest, but there's not a lot of other help there. 982 00:49:44,400 --> 00:49:46,399 Speaker 3: The Cardinals are six and seven, They're not dead yet, 983 00:49:46,480 --> 00:49:48,759 Speaker 3: but they probably have to win out. They certainly have 984 00:49:48,840 --> 00:49:51,520 Speaker 3: to win this game. New England I think would frankly 985 00:49:51,600 --> 00:49:53,719 Speaker 3: prefer to lose anyway when it comes down to it. 986 00:49:54,239 --> 00:49:57,200 Speaker 3: So Arizona at home. I just think it's the much 987 00:49:57,280 --> 00:50:02,240 Speaker 3: better team. Commanders are off the bye week, jayde and Daniels. 988 00:50:02,320 --> 00:50:04,480 Speaker 3: I think that's really big for him. He got banged 989 00:50:04,560 --> 00:50:07,640 Speaker 3: up early, has never really gotten healthy. Now he's gotten 990 00:50:07,680 --> 00:50:11,760 Speaker 3: a little chance to rest. Hopefully, hopefully our guy Cliff 991 00:50:11,840 --> 00:50:14,040 Speaker 3: Kingsbury can do a little self scouting see what the 992 00:50:14,120 --> 00:50:17,319 Speaker 3: offense can improve on. I think the health factor off 993 00:50:17,360 --> 00:50:19,920 Speaker 3: the rest for this team is really big. Offensive line 994 00:50:20,040 --> 00:50:22,799 Speaker 3: was getting really banged up. Brand Robinson's missed a bunch 995 00:50:22,840 --> 00:50:25,879 Speaker 3: of time. Washington's seven to two when he plays. That's 996 00:50:25,920 --> 00:50:29,120 Speaker 3: important this one because they are the number thirty two 997 00:50:29,239 --> 00:50:33,960 Speaker 3: run defense are the Saints, So I think Washington should 998 00:50:34,000 --> 00:50:36,240 Speaker 3: be able to move the ball pretty easily here, especially 999 00:50:36,520 --> 00:50:40,759 Speaker 3: running the ball the Saints really, if they're going to 1000 00:50:40,800 --> 00:50:43,319 Speaker 3: hang in this game, it has to because Washington's pass 1001 00:50:43,360 --> 00:50:46,759 Speaker 3: defense is very beatable. But no Derek Carr as it 1002 00:50:46,840 --> 00:50:48,960 Speaker 3: looks like in the spread as we talked about, So 1003 00:50:49,840 --> 00:50:52,360 Speaker 3: I don't know. I'd probably prefer Spencer Ratler to Jay Kner, 1004 00:50:52,440 --> 00:50:54,000 Speaker 3: but I'm not sure I care a whole lot on 1005 00:50:54,120 --> 00:50:57,200 Speaker 3: this one so far. When Derek Carr did not play 1006 00:50:57,239 --> 00:50:59,960 Speaker 3: it all this season, the Saints lost by eighteen twenty three, 1007 00:51:00,320 --> 00:51:03,160 Speaker 3: twenty four points, so we just need him to lose 1008 00:51:03,239 --> 00:51:07,319 Speaker 3: by two. Cardinals win. They need to win to catch 1009 00:51:07,360 --> 00:51:10,680 Speaker 3: the Commanders. The Commanders need to win to stay ahead 1010 00:51:10,680 --> 00:51:12,840 Speaker 3: of the Cardinals. So kind of taking advantage of the 1011 00:51:12,880 --> 00:51:16,080 Speaker 3: incentives a little bit here. I don't love how much 1012 00:51:16,160 --> 00:51:18,239 Speaker 3: this is tied to Cliff Kingsbury, his old team and 1013 00:51:18,320 --> 00:51:21,640 Speaker 3: his new team. Don't love taking two Cliff Kingsbury teams 1014 00:51:21,760 --> 00:51:23,640 Speaker 3: late in the year to go out and get that win. 1015 00:51:24,200 --> 00:51:27,000 Speaker 3: But we just need to win. Just win, baby Cardinals 1016 00:51:27,080 --> 00:51:28,400 Speaker 3: Commanders on the teaser. 1017 00:51:28,920 --> 00:51:31,439 Speaker 2: Yeah, at this point, the Cardinals absolutely need the game 1018 00:51:31,520 --> 00:51:33,800 Speaker 2: and they're lucky to be in the race after losing 1019 00:51:33,880 --> 00:51:36,520 Speaker 2: three straight. So I like that. You know, Drake may 1020 00:51:36,640 --> 00:51:38,960 Speaker 2: is gonna keep it close, but probably make the mistake 1021 00:51:39,000 --> 00:51:42,520 Speaker 2: against the stingy Arizona defense that probably locks it away. 1022 00:51:42,880 --> 00:51:45,040 Speaker 2: Then from the other side, Jayden Daniels, I mean, as 1023 00:51:45,080 --> 00:51:47,759 Speaker 2: long as you think the Dallas game, they were ten 1024 00:51:47,800 --> 00:51:49,680 Speaker 2: and a half point favorites, was a bit of a fluke. 1025 00:51:49,840 --> 00:51:52,279 Speaker 2: I mean, he's been pretty nails and rocks as a 1026 00:51:52,360 --> 00:51:54,879 Speaker 2: favorite this year. I he's four. Oh, well, let's see. 1027 00:51:54,880 --> 00:51:57,120 Speaker 2: I'm looking at this. Yeah, like he's like six and 1028 00:51:57,239 --> 00:52:00,239 Speaker 2: two ats as a favorite, which is really really good 1029 00:52:00,280 --> 00:52:02,800 Speaker 2: from a rookie point of view. So I like it 1030 00:52:03,040 --> 00:52:05,480 Speaker 2: all right. Before we wrap up, let's hear from Patrick 1031 00:52:05,520 --> 00:52:08,560 Speaker 2: Everson from Vegas Insiders and how things looked in Las Vegas. 1032 00:52:08,960 --> 00:52:11,800 Speaker 1: Thanks a lot, Evan, Patrick Everson here for Vegas Insider. 1033 00:52:11,840 --> 00:52:15,479 Speaker 1: Happened to be back on the Action Network podcast. Let's 1034 00:52:15,880 --> 00:52:20,440 Speaker 1: recap a little bit of NFL Week fourteen odds, and 1035 00:52:20,680 --> 00:52:23,160 Speaker 1: we'll start with the teams that were the most popular plays. 1036 00:52:23,239 --> 00:52:26,239 Speaker 1: Give you an idea where the public was particularly on 1037 00:52:26,480 --> 00:52:30,560 Speaker 1: Sunday at BETMGM, the team taking the most point spread 1038 00:52:30,640 --> 00:52:34,960 Speaker 1: tickets was the Buffalo Bills. They were followed by the 1039 00:52:35,040 --> 00:52:39,440 Speaker 1: Dolphins and the Vikings, so the Bills obviously do not 1040 00:52:39,600 --> 00:52:43,279 Speaker 1: cover losing outright in a shootout against the Rams, the 1041 00:52:43,400 --> 00:52:47,400 Speaker 1: Dolphins were minus six, probably closed minus six and a 1042 00:52:47,400 --> 00:52:50,200 Speaker 1: half it looks like at most spots, and ended up 1043 00:52:50,200 --> 00:52:53,880 Speaker 1: getting pressed to overtime by the underdog New York Jets. 1044 00:52:54,400 --> 00:52:57,320 Speaker 1: Dolphins ultimately win by six and overtime, So with the 1045 00:52:57,360 --> 00:53:00,400 Speaker 1: six and a half closer, that's a winner for Jets 1046 00:53:00,520 --> 00:53:03,239 Speaker 1: backers and a loser if you took the Dolphins there. 1047 00:53:03,719 --> 00:53:06,280 Speaker 1: That ended up being a really key game for multiple 1048 00:53:06,320 --> 00:53:08,560 Speaker 1: sports books including bet MGM. 1049 00:53:09,440 --> 00:53:10,560 Speaker 2: Really needed the. 1050 00:53:10,640 --> 00:53:14,120 Speaker 1: Jets to win that game outright, honestly a lot, and 1051 00:53:14,280 --> 00:53:16,279 Speaker 1: as did other books. A lot of money line play, 1052 00:53:16,320 --> 00:53:18,760 Speaker 1: a lot of money line parlays that included the Dolphins, 1053 00:53:19,280 --> 00:53:22,880 Speaker 1: for sure, but bet MGM, the Super Book, and others 1054 00:53:23,480 --> 00:53:25,879 Speaker 1: all mentioned the Dolphins getting plenty of play on straight 1055 00:53:25,960 --> 00:53:29,080 Speaker 1: bets and certainly in money line parlays, and a teaser 1056 00:53:29,160 --> 00:53:31,839 Speaker 1: number was key there as well, obviously, sitting at six 1057 00:53:31,920 --> 00:53:34,560 Speaker 1: six and a half. The third most bet team on 1058 00:53:34,680 --> 00:53:38,560 Speaker 1: tickets at BETMGM was the Vikings Hammered Atlanta doubled up 1059 00:53:38,560 --> 00:53:40,759 Speaker 1: on Atlanta, so they win and cover easy. That's a 1060 00:53:40,800 --> 00:53:43,440 Speaker 1: win for the public. There the most bet teams in 1061 00:53:43,520 --> 00:53:47,160 Speaker 1: terms of spread money at bet mgm the Dolphins, who 1062 00:53:47,480 --> 00:53:49,760 Speaker 1: did not cover the six and a half. The Chiefs 1063 00:53:50,200 --> 00:53:52,560 Speaker 1: minus four second most bet team buying money on the 1064 00:53:52,560 --> 00:53:56,560 Speaker 1: spread on straight bets at BETMGM win another close game. 1065 00:53:56,880 --> 00:53:59,600 Speaker 1: The Chiefs do and do not cover the spread for 1066 00:53:59,840 --> 00:54:02,719 Speaker 1: I believe the seventh straight time they haven't covered a 1067 00:54:02,760 --> 00:54:05,000 Speaker 1: spread in like a month and a half. They don't 1068 00:54:05,040 --> 00:54:06,680 Speaker 1: cover the spread. They win all these close games, but 1069 00:54:06,719 --> 00:54:09,120 Speaker 1: they do not cover the spread. And the Bills were 1070 00:54:09,160 --> 00:54:10,719 Speaker 1: the third most bet team by money and as we 1071 00:54:10,760 --> 00:54:12,960 Speaker 1: already mentioned, the Phils to not cover the spread obviously 1072 00:54:13,080 --> 00:54:17,399 Speaker 1: lost outright against La A couple of games that were 1073 00:54:17,640 --> 00:54:20,600 Speaker 1: lesser light games but were really key, particularly for benham 1074 00:54:20,680 --> 00:54:24,279 Speaker 1: Jam in the early window, were just lopsided games. And 1075 00:54:24,360 --> 00:54:27,200 Speaker 1: it was really lopsided play on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1076 00:54:27,280 --> 00:54:31,719 Speaker 1: against the Las Vegas Raiders, and it was really lopsided 1077 00:54:31,800 --> 00:54:35,880 Speaker 1: play on the Eagles against the Panthers. Benham Jam needed 1078 00:54:36,239 --> 00:54:38,400 Speaker 1: both the Raiders and the Panthers at least against the spread, 1079 00:54:38,719 --> 00:54:41,640 Speaker 1: got it with the Panthers that three point one million 1080 00:54:41,719 --> 00:54:45,440 Speaker 1: dollar money line Better almost kissed three point one million 1081 00:54:45,480 --> 00:54:47,880 Speaker 1: dollars could buy today. It was very close, a lot 1082 00:54:47,920 --> 00:54:51,480 Speaker 1: closer than people expected considering that the Eagles were fourteen 1083 00:54:51,520 --> 00:54:54,680 Speaker 1: point home favorites, so Circa had to pay out of 1084 00:54:54,840 --> 00:54:57,560 Speaker 1: four hundred and forty thousand dollars or so to that Better. 1085 00:54:57,640 --> 00:54:59,600 Speaker 1: It was it was a pretty good win for the Better, 1086 00:54:59,680 --> 00:55:03,080 Speaker 1: but that Better certainly got a huge, huge sweat. But again, 1087 00:55:03,120 --> 00:55:05,080 Speaker 1: as I alluded to a couple of lesser light games 1088 00:55:05,120 --> 00:55:07,239 Speaker 1: that were ended up being really key just because they 1089 00:55:07,239 --> 00:55:09,520 Speaker 1: were so lopsided, so much lopside of action on Tampa 1090 00:55:09,600 --> 00:55:12,719 Speaker 1: Bay and on the Eagles, and surely those teams weren't 1091 00:55:12,719 --> 00:55:15,320 Speaker 1: moneylined parlays and so forth. Especially the Eagles scene is 1092 00:55:15,760 --> 00:55:18,600 Speaker 1: basically a free space in your money one parlays and 1093 00:55:18,640 --> 00:55:22,000 Speaker 1: probably a teaser play as well. So obviously we alluded 1094 00:55:22,040 --> 00:55:23,640 Speaker 1: to that Bills Rams game a little bit earlier, I 1095 00:55:23,640 --> 00:55:26,520 Speaker 1: want to shootout that was a really good outcome for 1096 00:55:26,760 --> 00:55:30,200 Speaker 1: the books, not for the betters. Unfortunately, the public did 1097 00:55:30,280 --> 00:55:33,440 Speaker 1: not get their backing the Bills, with the Rams holding 1098 00:55:33,520 --> 00:55:36,320 Speaker 1: on for a win in a track meet. But what 1099 00:55:36,440 --> 00:55:39,480 Speaker 1: it really sounded like is this late game, the final 1100 00:55:39,560 --> 00:55:41,640 Speaker 1: game of the day, the Charges of the Chiefs, the 1101 00:55:41,719 --> 00:55:44,719 Speaker 1: highlight game of the day. That was a stumbling block 1102 00:55:44,800 --> 00:55:47,360 Speaker 1: for several sports books. Betters have caught on that the 1103 00:55:47,440 --> 00:55:49,760 Speaker 1: Chiefs do not cover games, but they do win games, 1104 00:55:50,040 --> 00:55:52,319 Speaker 1: and that's exactly what happened tonight. So the Chiefs were 1105 00:55:52,360 --> 00:55:55,440 Speaker 1: in a lot of moneyline parlays. They were the closing 1106 00:55:55,560 --> 00:55:58,480 Speaker 1: leg for a lot of money line parlays. Multiple sports 1107 00:55:58,520 --> 00:56:00,680 Speaker 1: books betam Jam said they needed the Chargers out right, 1108 00:56:00,760 --> 00:56:02,719 Speaker 1: the super books said they needed the Chargers out right, 1109 00:56:02,880 --> 00:56:05,680 Speaker 1: South Point said they needed the Chargers outright. All these 1110 00:56:05,719 --> 00:56:08,360 Speaker 1: books needed the Chargers out right. They needed There was 1111 00:56:08,400 --> 00:56:10,080 Speaker 1: plenty of money line play on the Chiefs, whether it 1112 00:56:10,120 --> 00:56:12,800 Speaker 1: was straight vets or parlays, et cetera. So kind of 1113 00:56:12,840 --> 00:56:14,400 Speaker 1: a back and forth day, but it sounds like the 1114 00:56:14,480 --> 00:56:16,800 Speaker 1: betters may have nosed ahead by getting the Chiefs to 1115 00:56:16,880 --> 00:56:21,160 Speaker 1: win that game to close out NFL Week fourteen Sunday. 1116 00:56:21,840 --> 00:56:26,040 Speaker 1: As we look at the Monday night game, and it's 1117 00:56:26,080 --> 00:56:29,160 Speaker 1: not exactly exhilarating, but just to get you the most 1118 00:56:29,239 --> 00:56:31,800 Speaker 1: up to date numbers on where things stand at Draft 1119 00:56:31,920 --> 00:56:36,160 Speaker 1: Kings on the Monday night game, you've got the Dallas 1120 00:56:36,280 --> 00:56:42,160 Speaker 1: Cowboys hosting the Cincinnati Bengals, and the Bengals are solid favorite, 1121 00:56:42,160 --> 00:56:44,800 Speaker 1: even though the Bengals are having a rough rough season. 1122 00:56:45,480 --> 00:56:48,239 Speaker 1: You've got plenty of tickets and money coming in for Cincinnati. 1123 00:56:48,320 --> 00:56:49,839 Speaker 1: You're looking at about two and a half to one 1124 00:56:50,320 --> 00:56:52,839 Speaker 1: tickets on the point spread and almost four to one 1125 00:56:52,920 --> 00:56:55,160 Speaker 1: money on the point spread, and they're even laying the 1126 00:56:55,239 --> 00:56:58,160 Speaker 1: minus two thirty at Draft Kings on the Bengals on 1127 00:56:58,560 --> 00:57:01,720 Speaker 1: the money line, looking at about six to one tickets 1128 00:57:01,800 --> 00:57:04,719 Speaker 1: and three to one money on Cincinnati. So they're pretty 1129 00:57:04,719 --> 00:57:08,040 Speaker 1: heavy to Cincinnati on Monday Night. Anything that got through 1130 00:57:08,120 --> 00:57:11,200 Speaker 1: moneyline parlays and so forth, and straight bet parlays, if 1131 00:57:11,200 --> 00:57:13,960 Speaker 1: they survived the day on Sunday, anything that got through 1132 00:57:14,040 --> 00:57:15,840 Speaker 1: is almost certainly going to run the Bengals. It's a 1133 00:57:15,920 --> 00:57:19,320 Speaker 1: pretty sure bet. The DraftKings, bet, MGM and elsewhere are 1134 00:57:19,440 --> 00:57:21,760 Speaker 1: going to need the Cowboys and would love to get 1135 00:57:21,800 --> 00:57:23,919 Speaker 1: the Cowboys out right on Monday Night. 1136 00:57:24,360 --> 00:57:28,520 Speaker 2: All right. That has been the Action Network podcast. The 1137 00:57:28,680 --> 00:57:32,280 Speaker 2: recap episode off of Week fourteen. The only real announcement 1138 00:57:32,360 --> 00:57:34,520 Speaker 2: is we'll be back, but there are no more buys, 1139 00:57:34,600 --> 00:57:37,080 Speaker 2: so we are going to have a lot of games 1140 00:57:37,480 --> 00:57:41,480 Speaker 2: every single week now. On the stretch run, so looking 1141 00:57:41,560 --> 00:57:43,240 Speaker 2: forward to it. Going to go a little bit faster 1142 00:57:43,360 --> 00:57:45,240 Speaker 2: through some stuff, especially some of these bad ones, so 1143 00:57:45,320 --> 00:57:48,440 Speaker 2: it's gonna be great. Thank you for listening, and see 1144 00:57:48,480 --> 00:57:49,160 Speaker 2: you guys next time. 1145 00:58:04,520 --> 00:58:09,000 Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or 1146 00:58:09,080 --> 00:58:11,840 Speaker 1: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is 1147 00:58:11,880 --> 00:58:14,960 Speaker 1: available twenty four seven at one eight hundred Gambler