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Speaker 1: It's time to place your bets. Let's talk to the pros.

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Speaker 2: Welcome in everybody to betting pros.

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Speaker 1: It is me, Joey paid, Joe Pizzafia, and the NBA

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Speaker 1: playoffs are upon us. So who better to break it

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Speaker 1: all down than our own Mike Randall Fantasy Pros. Now, Mike,

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Speaker 1: I know, is a little different format than some of

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Speaker 1: us old timers like me at least, are used to

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Speaker 1: in terms of the way the playoffs have run. We've

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Speaker 1: got a little bit more extra playoff run here. We're

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Speaker 1: gonna break down those play in games and then a

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Speaker 1: little bit of playoff futures as well. So, Mike, before

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Speaker 1: we even start here today, I want you to set

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Speaker 1: the stage, if you will, for what's gonna happen here

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Speaker 1: over the next twenty four to forty eight hours with

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Speaker 1: these play in games in the schedule and how you

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Speaker 1: basically see these games flushing themselves out.

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Speaker 2: Joe, this is fantastic. So the NBA has added these

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Speaker 2: games for more excitement, more game, more fun, more betting

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Speaker 2: opportunities is what this is. So tonight we have the

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Speaker 2: two seven to eight battles. The winner of the two

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Speaker 2: games tonight are the seven seeds, the seven seeds in

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Speaker 2: the Eastern and the Western Conference. Then tomorrow we'll have

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Speaker 2: teams nine versus teams ten, and those teams, the winner

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Speaker 2: of those games will go against the loser of tonight's

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Speaker 2: game for the eighth seeds. So if you win today,

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Speaker 2: not only are you in, you are locked into the

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Speaker 2: seven seeds. So basically, what we've done is taken the

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Speaker 2: last two seeds in East Conference and we've turned them

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Speaker 2: into four teams battling for two spots over the next

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Speaker 2: couple days.

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Speaker 1: And if they ended a tie, then it's a rock

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Speaker 1: paper SCS or tournament to the death. I believe, yes,

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Speaker 1: Rockey go so right now, so you've got tonight the

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Speaker 1: two seven and eight seeds are going to battle. We

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Speaker 1: got Brooklyn nine and a half over Cleveland right now,

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Speaker 1: That minus one eighty a fan duel Minnesota minus three,

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Speaker 1: and that's a minus one ten at the excuse me

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Speaker 1: verst the LA Clippers on DraftKings. So the winners of

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Speaker 1: those seeds again, that's what we're looking for today. Now

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Speaker 1: let's start with this first one. Let's start with Brooklyn

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Speaker 1: versus the Cleveland Cavaliers. Brooklyn nine and a half point

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Speaker 1: favors here in this one, the over unders two to

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Speaker 1: twenty seven. So walk me through your thoughts on Brooklyn

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Speaker 1: heavy favorite in this one. How do you see this

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Speaker 1: one shaking out?

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Speaker 2: Joe? You know this in all the other sports that

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Speaker 2: the public when they bet, they overrate the stars. I

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Speaker 2: understand that the NBA is a star driven league, but

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Speaker 2: every team has stars. I think the public is overreacting

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Speaker 2: to Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving way too much here.

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Speaker 2: The Nets have not been good against the spread all

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Speaker 2: year long. Yes, in the beginning it was Hardening Durant,

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Speaker 2: and then one of them was out, and then Kyrie

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Speaker 2: was back, but he couldn't play in the home games,

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Speaker 2: et cetera. I don't care. I'm at the show meet

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Speaker 2: point here with the Brooklyn Nets thirty two to forty

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Speaker 2: eight and two. The Nets are forty percent against the spread,

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Speaker 2: second worst in the NBA nine thirty one one twenty

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Speaker 2: two and a half percent winning percentage against the spread

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Speaker 2: at home, Yes, Joe, that's the worst in the NBA.

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Speaker 2: And five point twenty six and one sixteen percent against

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Speaker 2: the spread as a home favorite that also is the worst.

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Speaker 2: Yet people are backing the Nets tonight, like they did

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Speaker 2: on Friday against the Calves. Cavaliers do not have Jared Allen,

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Speaker 2: the big man inside does a tremendous job double double machine.

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Speaker 2: He has a finger injury he is still dealing with,

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Speaker 2: and the Calves are just nineteen and seventeen without him. However,

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Speaker 2: when they played last Friday in Brooklyn, in a game

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Speaker 2: both teams had to have because the players were not

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Speaker 2: definitively determined at that time, they were losing the Nets

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Speaker 2: going into the fourth quarter by five points, so the

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Speaker 2: Calves should be very confident tonight. No Goran dragic for

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Speaker 2: the Nets because of Covid Seth. Curry's gonna play, but

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Speaker 2: he has an ankle injury. The Nets with the Tube

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Speaker 2: players on the floor Duran and Kyrie eleven and six overall.

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Speaker 2: I think the key to this game Joe is Kris

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Speaker 2: LeVert little revenge spot here against the Nets. He played

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Speaker 2: fantastically well against them last Friday, but then he got

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Speaker 2: his fifth foul with eleven minutes left, he had to sit.

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Speaker 2: No surprise Outside scored thirty three to nineteen. Cavaliers were

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Speaker 2: after that point. As long as there is no foul trouble,

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Speaker 2: I think the Calves are live here. I am taking

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Speaker 2: the Cavaliers plus now nine and a half going against

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Speaker 2: the Brooklyn team that has struggled on defense. This game, also,

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Speaker 2: I think, tends to the under. It's not a surprise

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Speaker 2: to you or anyone that playoff basketball. Playoff games tend

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Speaker 2: to go slower and go to the under. That's what

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Speaker 2: I'm doing here, Cavaliers, a natural match, my friend, the

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Speaker 2: under and the underdog. Give me the Calves plus nine

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Speaker 2: and a half minus went away and FanDuel and give

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Speaker 2: me the under here at two twenty seven.

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Speaker 1: Here you have it, Mike Randall going against the Brooklyn

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Speaker 1: star power. I like it. Randall, I like it, And

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Speaker 1: you make a lot of good cases for Cleveland in

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Speaker 1: this game, absolutely, and one game is just that at

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Speaker 1: the end of the day, it's one game. We saw

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Speaker 1: certainly saw that play out in the NCAA tournament as

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Speaker 1: it always does over there. So Mike is on the

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Speaker 1: side of the Cavaliers and that plus nine and a

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Speaker 1: half again, and that's the under. In case you're paid

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Speaker 1: attention at home for two twenty seven. So look at you,

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Speaker 1: Mike Randal. I hope this comes in very good arguments

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Speaker 1: here for Mike Randall on the Cleveland side. Let's go

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Speaker 1: to the next game here, let's talk about Minnesota. This

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Speaker 1: was a lot tighter on the board. At least we

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Speaker 1: have Minnesota up excuse me, two and a half point

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Speaker 1: favorite erear versus the Los Angeles Clippers. You can get

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Speaker 1: this at minus one twelve over on the Fanduels side.

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Speaker 1: The over under for this game is two thirty and

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Speaker 1: a half and that's minus one ten on DraftKings. So Mike,

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Speaker 1: walk me through Minnesota and the Clippers tonight.

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Speaker 2: The Clippers are a different team, Joe than most realized

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Speaker 2: because now Paul George is back. He had been out

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Speaker 2: with an injury and an elbow for the long part

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Speaker 2: of the season. They're now four and one since his return.

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Speaker 2: Tyler is a very good coach. So now you have

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Speaker 2: Minnesota that has lived on offense. They can score Carl

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Speaker 2: Anthony Towns, Anthony Edwards, D'Angelo Russell. They can post points,

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Speaker 2: but their defense is not great. I am going to

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Speaker 2: go with the Clippers here, which a lot of the

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Speaker 2: Sharps are getting the points. This was at three and

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Speaker 2: a half. It's now down to two and a half.

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Speaker 2: Timberwolves forty two thirty eight and two fifty two percent

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Speaker 2: this year against the spread, but they have not covered

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Speaker 2: eight of their last ten. Clippers are forty forty one

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Speaker 2: and one against the Spritzel about five hundred, but they

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Speaker 2: played most of the year without Kawhi and of course

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Speaker 2: Paul George George is back. He's the tough matchup. And

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Speaker 2: what I like about this game, and this leads into

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Speaker 2: some props. I like as well, that the Clippers have

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Speaker 2: been able to limit Carl Anthony Towns, the big man

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Speaker 2: for the Timberwolves. He is only averaging Joe fifteen points

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Speaker 2: a game this year. He's a twenty five to twenty

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Speaker 2: six point per game player. Because ty Lou has schemed

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Speaker 2: him out. They will guard him with fours, they will

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Speaker 2: double him, they will make other players beat them. And

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Speaker 2: on the other side, I think Paul George can take

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Speaker 2: this game over. Paul George has made five or more

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Speaker 2: three pointers in three of his last five games. His

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Speaker 2: shooting looks good. He's attacking the basket, he's creating open shots.

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Speaker 2: And the Timberwolves on defense, they are not good. What

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Speaker 2: they do is they over commit to the screens, they're aggressive,

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Speaker 2: and they give up kicks in three pointers at an

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Speaker 2: alarming rate. So look for Reggie Jackson, look for nick

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Speaker 2: list Patoom, look for George to light them up from deep.

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Speaker 2: I think the Clippers are the better team here. The

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Speaker 2: only concern I have here would be foul trouble for George,

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Speaker 2: which he probably shouldn't get into. And on the flip side,

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Speaker 2: Karl Anthony towns five fouls in four of his last

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Speaker 2: five games. So this is a young Wolves team. They're inexperienced.

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Speaker 2: The Clippers are experienced, They've gone through this situation before.

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Speaker 2: Veteran team. George is back. Timberwolves have not been good

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Speaker 2: on defense, fifth worst defensive rating in the last seven games.

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Speaker 2: Clippers are top ten during that time have really started

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Speaker 2: to come together. Clippers have made eighteen to three pointers

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Speaker 2: per game in their last seven, so I think they

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Speaker 2: light up here again. Clippers have done well against the

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Speaker 2: Timberwolves all year. I am going to stay with them

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Speaker 2: here on the road. I know we get nervous because

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Speaker 2: it's the Clippers and they always find a way to

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Speaker 2: blow it. But now that Georgia is back, they're four

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Speaker 2: and one. I think they're going to score and I

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Speaker 2: love their defense. If this game is a track meet

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Speaker 2: and goes up and down the floor. The Timberwolves are

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Speaker 2: going to win. It's rare that that happens. It's rare

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Speaker 2: that it happens against such a good coach like Tyl Loue.

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Speaker 2: It's rare that it happens here with a veteran team

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Speaker 2: like the Clippers. I think they control it. This game

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Speaker 2: stings under two thirty. You're getting a high number two thirty,

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Speaker 2: two thirty and a half because the Timberwolves run up

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Speaker 2: and down the floor. I'm taking the Clippers again, tethering

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Speaker 2: Joe the under with the underdog, Clippers with the points

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Speaker 2: and the under here to win outright against Minnesota.

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Speaker 1: There he goes again, two games, two unders, two underdogs.

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Speaker 1: So let's fast forward to tomorrow night. Instead got Atlanta

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Speaker 1: four and a half point favorites for Charlotte minus one

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Speaker 1: ten over on DraftKings. Now, Atlanta has certainly, you know,

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Speaker 1: showed a lot down the stretch for you. Do you

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Speaker 1: think it carries over into this game against Charlotte.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I think it does. Charlotte has not shown me much.

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Speaker 2: They're king of the little people. They've had wins down

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Speaker 2: the stretch over Orlando, Washington and a free fall in

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Speaker 2: Chicago team. They were then blitzed by thirty points against

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Speaker 2: Miami and Philly. So once the Hornets see anyone of

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Speaker 2: a decent level of play or better, they just don't

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Speaker 2: play well. It's a savvy team. Don't forget they're running

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Speaker 2: the playoffs last year Joe Trey Young with magic. They

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Speaker 2: beat the Knicks, they beat Philly, they took the Bucks

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Speaker 2: to six as well. They don't have John Collins, who

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Speaker 2: is injured, but they do have the seventh best record

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Speaker 2: at home in the league against the spread. I don't

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Speaker 2: trust Terry Rogier in a big spot on the road

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Speaker 2: shooting threes for Charlotte, and they are a SIV in

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Speaker 2: the middle. The book here with props all the year

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Speaker 2: has been betting the opposing big man against the Hornets inside.

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Speaker 2: Jared Allen, who he's playing for Cleveland. I just mentioned

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Speaker 2: when twenty four and twenty two against them earlier this year.

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Speaker 2: I think Clint Capella has a field day. Do I

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Speaker 2: think a young Charlotte team that turns the ball struggle

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Speaker 2: on defense is going to go into Atlanta A veteran

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Speaker 2: team that made a good run last year. People were

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Speaker 2: talking about them as an NBA champion future and they're

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Speaker 2: now playing hot. I don't think that's gonna happen. I

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Speaker 2: like Atlanta here. I will lay the points. Charlotte good

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Speaker 2: run made the playoffs, LaMelo ball exciting. Too many turnovers

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Speaker 2: for me. Hawks at home covering this.

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Speaker 1: Game, so the youth not enough matching up against the

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Speaker 1: experience of the Atlanta Hawks. So Mike's on the four

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Speaker 1: and a half side of Atlanta in this one. Let's

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Speaker 1: go to the next one on the board here, which

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Speaker 1: is San Antonio plus five at New Orleans minus one

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Speaker 1: ten over on the DK side and the Spurs and

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Speaker 1: Pelicans over under number is two twenty eight. So do

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Speaker 1: you think that this is San Antonio's opportunity or do

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Speaker 1: you think New Orleans takes this?

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Speaker 2: I think it's two different teams here. Popovich has the

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Speaker 2: Spurs playing tremendously well down the stretch. De Jontay Murray,

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Speaker 2: their star guard, has been out with a mysterious illness,

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Speaker 2: has not stopped the Spurs at all. They've won nine

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Speaker 2: of eleven here, and they've covered nine of those eleven

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Speaker 2: games as well. The Spurs are twenty three sixteen to

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Speaker 2: two against the spread on the road, eighth best defensive

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Speaker 2: rating without Dejonte, it's almost Joe like Pop said, we

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Speaker 2: don't have Murray. We want to make a run here,

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Speaker 2: so we're gonna have to commit to defense. Now. Murray

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Speaker 2: is back. He played on Sunday, got the webs off.

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Speaker 2: He looks really refreshed and replenished. They're going against the

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Speaker 2: Pelican team that is ten and five to the under

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Speaker 2: as a home favorite, So the Pelicans who like to run,

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Speaker 2: are going to slow it down. We're slowing it down

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Speaker 2: again because of playoff basketball against the hot Spurs team.

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Speaker 2: Spurs are nineteen twelve and one to the under on

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Speaker 2: the road, so points are more valuable when you project

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Speaker 2: a lower scoring game. I think that's what this is.

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Speaker 2: Five points is too much. Murray is back. They're going

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Speaker 2: to have matchup problems here with the Pelicans, who with CJ.

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Speaker 2: McCollums come over from the treib Lazers, have played well

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Speaker 2: but have been inconsistent here. Spurs are hot with the

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Speaker 2: points the better coach Brandon Ingram for the Pelicans may

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Speaker 2: or may not play, has a hamstring injury, hasn't played

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Speaker 2: the last couple of games. Too many question marks. I

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Speaker 2: think Spurs can win this outright, I will gladly take

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Speaker 2: the five here and looking at an under another close game,

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Speaker 2: pop in the playoffs, I'm going to take them with

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Speaker 2: the points every time.

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Speaker 1: Classic Popovich Shue. Right, just game plan for whatever talent

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Speaker 1: you have, and then make sure you get everybody healthy

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Speaker 1: for the playoffs. That sounds about right to me. Just

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Speaker 1: get in and then wreak havoc. That's what he's always done.

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Speaker 1: It's worked out pretty well for him in that career,

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Speaker 1: that's for sure. All Right, let's move on now to

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Speaker 1: some NBA futures. Let's talk about winning the Eastern Conference.

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Speaker 1: Give me your take on the East and how it

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Speaker 1: shapes up, Mike, Yeah, the.

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Speaker 2: Eastern Conference is interesting because there are some teams that

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Speaker 2: I just don't like. Joe, the idea that the Nets

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Speaker 2: are here as the second favorite team to win the

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Speaker 2: East is laughable to me. They haven't played well all year.

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Speaker 2: You can't just flip it on like this. You have

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Speaker 2: Kyrie back, you have Durant, they're taking the majority of

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Speaker 2: the shots. They have drag its and COVID protocols, and

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Speaker 2: people are grabbing them to win the East. Forget it,

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Speaker 2: And the same for me, Joe, with the Sixers. We've

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Speaker 2: seen James Harden, king of the regular season, struggles in

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Speaker 2: the postseason. This is Doc Rivers who struggle in the postseason.

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Speaker 2: It's James Harden who struggle in the postseason. No interest

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Speaker 2: in either of those teams. People are gonna get excited

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Speaker 2: if Ben Simmons comes back from the Nets based on

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Speaker 2: what Ben Simmons had a terrible playoff last year. He

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Speaker 2: has not played. He battles some issues off the court

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Speaker 2: as well, which of course we support him. But it's

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Speaker 2: hard for me to get behind the Nets or the

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Speaker 2: Sixers in this situation. Too many moving parts, and even

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Speaker 2: Joel Embiid, who is talking about being the MVP down

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Speaker 2: the stretch, djok It seems to have have gone past

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Speaker 2: him and is now the favorite to win the award.

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Speaker 2: So the third way I'll start in the East is

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Speaker 2: two teams. I am not betting the Nets and the Sixers.

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Speaker 2: Forget both of them. So where's the value? Like the

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Speaker 2: old where's the Beef commercial in the eighties, let's start

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Speaker 2: with the Bucks. You can get the Bucks as the

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Speaker 2: Eastern Conference champion at plus three to fifty on DK.

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Speaker 2: Veteran team healthy, well coached, has gone through it before,

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Speaker 2: has pretty much home court except against Miami. Love that value.

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Speaker 2: I hate betting the favorites. We talked about this with

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Speaker 2: the NFL show we did a couple months ago. I

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Speaker 2: don't like the favorites, but certainly here plus three fifty

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Speaker 2: for the Bucks, and then you can look at it.

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Speaker 2: You look at Miami. I got Miami Joe a few

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Speaker 2: months ago at twenty two to one to win the

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Speaker 2: NBA title. They're now down to ten to one. You

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Speaker 2: can still get him as the number one seed at

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Speaker 2: plus four to seventy five, so you're almost getting five

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Speaker 2: to one in the number one seed. That's because no

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Speaker 2: one knows who's gonna win here, because they're all bunched

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Speaker 2: up Celtics, Nats, everyone's bunched up. I will grab them,

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Speaker 2: no problem. And of course, Joe, you want a long shot,

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Speaker 2: and me give you a long shot. How about the

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Speaker 2: Toronto Raptors. The Raptors are three and zero here against

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Speaker 2: the Bucks. This year they're two and one with two

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Speaker 2: overtime win against the Heat. And we have this whole thing,

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Speaker 2: which I'm sure you know about that. Of course, the

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Speaker 2: Sixers are now going to Toronto and Matisse Thybold is

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Speaker 2: not vaccinated, so he can't play there. The Celtics didn't

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Speaker 2: want to play the Raptors either because someone on there

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Speaker 2: is not vaccinated either, So just another advantage for the

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Speaker 2: Raptors and Nick Nurse a great coach at home. You

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Speaker 2: can get them at forty to one. Are they a

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Speaker 2: long shot? Absolutely, but the Raptors have won fourteen of

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Speaker 2: their last twenty games, two wins over Philly. I like

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Speaker 2: Toronto as a long shot, and I like the Bucks

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Speaker 2: in the heat in the Eastern Conference.

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Speaker 1: Any thoughts on the Western Conference? Well, I got you.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, the Western Conference to me is pretty much the Suns,

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Speaker 2: and they are only at plus one seventeen. But they've

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Speaker 2: looked so good, Joe, even since Chris Paul had been out,

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Speaker 2: they've still found a way to win. I thought that

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Speaker 2: maybe there'd be a chance that the Grizzlies could actually

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Speaker 2: catch them, because when Paul goes out, I thought they

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Speaker 2: would get closer. They actually elongated the lead. Now they

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Speaker 2: are clearly the number one team. They have the experience,

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Speaker 2: they're healthy, Paul had a chance to rest because he

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Speaker 2: had his injury. It's very tough for me to get

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Speaker 2: behind anyone. Doncic is now hurt for the Mavericks, so

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Speaker 2: they're out. Nuggets no way, Jazz are in fighting. Still

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Speaker 2: team only meetings, and they blow a lead at home

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Speaker 2: to the Suns the other day. They absolutely had to

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Speaker 2: have Golden State. The injuries have started to creep up

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Speaker 2: with them a little bit. I don't like them for

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Speaker 2: the same reason I like the Nets. The players come

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Speaker 2: back and they have to blend together. So if you're

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Speaker 2: looking for my only other choice in the West, it's

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Speaker 2: a little clearer to me. I am going with the

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Speaker 2: Memphis Grizzlies. Jah Morant is this good that he could

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Speaker 2: possibly as the youngest team ever to win fifty games

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Speaker 2: in a year. The Memphis Grizzlies this year their average

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Speaker 2: ages twenty four and a half years all for each

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Speaker 2: of their players. Jah Moran is back and could lead

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Speaker 2: them to an upset. So to me, the West is

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Speaker 2: a little more clear cut. There's no real long shots.

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Speaker 2: I like there. I don't like Pelicans, Timberwolves, forget those teams.

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Speaker 2: It's two teams in the West to me, the Suns,

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Speaker 2: even at plus one seventy if you can get it

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Speaker 2: at DraftKings or plus one fifteen at points. Bet, I

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Speaker 2: still don't mind that, because I think they are clearly

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Speaker 2: the best team in the West. But I do like

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Speaker 2: Job Moran and the Grizzlies, And if you look around,

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Speaker 2: my friend, you can get them at ten to one

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Speaker 2: plus one thousand to win the Western Conference, the Memphis

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Speaker 2: Grizzlies at DraftKings. So to me, there's only two teams

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Speaker 2: in the West. My heart says jaw, my head says

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Speaker 2: the Suns.

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Speaker 1: Young teams are always tough because they don't know they're

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Speaker 1: not supposed to be there. And Moran is a spectacular

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Speaker 1: talent that makes them very dangerous, that's for sure. So

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Speaker 1: obviously you can follow Mike Grandall over on the Twitter

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Speaker 1: Twitter Machine excuse me at randall Rant. And if you're

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Speaker 1: looking to get involved in these games, whether it's tonight's action,

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Speaker 1: tomorrow's action, or some NBA futures, we encourage you to

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Speaker 1: go to betting per and make sure you look at

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Speaker 1: all the consensus lines because they're all there for you

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Speaker 1: find the best spot to put your wager and put

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Speaker 1: your money down. You can only do that and compare

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Speaker 1: all those lines in one spot. At benningpros dot com.

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Speaker 1: It's the place to be. Make sure you subscribe to

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Speaker 1: the podcast wherever you get your pods, and of course

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Speaker 1: Mike Randald's gonna have live streams and a lot more

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Speaker 1: NBA content to come throughout the playoffs, so make sure

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Speaker 1: you are also following us on our YouTube channel as

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Speaker 1: well and subscribe there at Benpros also. That'll do it

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Speaker 1: for us, but the story of the game goes on

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Speaker 1: for Mike Randall. I'm Joey P. We'll see you next time.

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Speaker 2: Kids,