1 00:00:01,000 --> 00:00:05,080 Speaker 1: Welcome back to Fantasy Pros Baseball podcast. Hello friends, my 2 00:00:05,200 --> 00:00:07,760 Speaker 1: name it's Chris Welsh, and today we're gonna be breaking 3 00:00:07,800 --> 00:00:12,000 Speaker 1: down my five high upside closers heading into the season. 4 00:00:12,240 --> 00:00:14,200 Speaker 1: That can be kind of a mixed bag. What do 5 00:00:14,200 --> 00:00:17,919 Speaker 1: I mean the five best closers? No? Do all these 6 00:00:17,920 --> 00:00:21,920 Speaker 1: guys have to have lockdown gigs? No? Not necessarily. We're 7 00:00:21,960 --> 00:00:24,120 Speaker 1: playing for the upside. So some of the guys I'm 8 00:00:24,160 --> 00:00:26,840 Speaker 1: going to talk to you about don't even technically or 9 00:00:26,880 --> 00:00:29,560 Speaker 1: guaranteed have a gig right now. Some might be in 10 00:00:29,560 --> 00:00:33,080 Speaker 1: some platoon situations, but we're talking about the upside you 11 00:00:33,200 --> 00:00:36,120 Speaker 1: can get from some of these closers in drafts. So 12 00:00:36,240 --> 00:00:39,440 Speaker 1: they're not going to be inside the top ten because 13 00:00:39,440 --> 00:00:41,800 Speaker 1: how much further and how much upside can you go 14 00:00:42,000 --> 00:00:44,239 Speaker 1: past the top ten? Number eight to number six? Does 15 00:00:44,240 --> 00:00:46,640 Speaker 1: that count? No? So I'm gonna give you five high 16 00:00:46,720 --> 00:00:49,920 Speaker 1: upside closer types to be taking a look atter this season. 17 00:00:50,080 --> 00:00:53,240 Speaker 1: But first, I want you to get ahead of all 18 00:00:53,400 --> 00:00:56,240 Speaker 1: of your Fantasy baseball competition this year, and how you're 19 00:00:56,280 --> 00:00:58,440 Speaker 1: going to do it is by picking up the twenty 20 00:00:58,520 --> 00:01:02,800 Speaker 1: twenty three Fantasy Baseball draftkit at fantasypros dot com. Slash 21 00:01:02,880 --> 00:01:06,600 Speaker 1: Draftkit with expert ranks, cheat sheets, projections, draft prep articles, 22 00:01:06,640 --> 00:01:09,800 Speaker 1: position primers, and more. You're gonna have everything you need 23 00:01:09,840 --> 00:01:12,920 Speaker 1: to dominate your draft for free. Yeah yeah, you don't 24 00:01:12,920 --> 00:01:16,440 Speaker 1: need to rewind that for free. Upgradingto Premium unlocks even 25 00:01:16,560 --> 00:01:19,480 Speaker 1: more draft strategy content and our draftkit, along with access 26 00:01:19,520 --> 00:01:21,680 Speaker 1: to the discord which allows you to directly interact with 27 00:01:21,720 --> 00:01:24,960 Speaker 1: our analysts like myself. So unlock the secrets to winning 28 00:01:25,000 --> 00:01:27,800 Speaker 1: your fantasy baseball season with our Fantasy Baseball Draftkit today 29 00:01:27,840 --> 00:01:32,560 Speaker 1: at fantasypros dot com Slash Draftkit. Now, let's talk about 30 00:01:32,600 --> 00:01:35,680 Speaker 1: some closers coming in at number five. I'm gonna give 31 00:01:35,720 --> 00:01:37,840 Speaker 1: you the name, but I'm also going to acknowledge the 32 00:01:37,920 --> 00:01:40,600 Speaker 1: cheating here that there might be another guy in this. 33 00:01:40,720 --> 00:01:42,480 Speaker 1: But the player I'm going to tell you about at 34 00:01:42,560 --> 00:01:45,800 Speaker 1: number five on the high upside closing is Arizona Diamondbacks 35 00:01:45,880 --> 00:01:49,280 Speaker 1: Kevin Ginkel. I know it's an Arizona diamonback, but a 36 00:01:49,320 --> 00:01:52,160 Speaker 1: sneaky team who's looking to pick up more wins this year. 37 00:01:52,320 --> 00:01:56,840 Speaker 1: Tory Lavello likes a single closer. Diamondbacks GM Mike Hazen 38 00:01:56,920 --> 00:01:59,040 Speaker 1: was actually asked about this recently and what they were 39 00:01:59,040 --> 00:02:01,680 Speaker 1: gonna do with the situation, and he acknowledged that Tory 40 00:02:01,720 --> 00:02:05,080 Speaker 1: Leavello himself just likes to pick a guy, though he 41 00:02:05,120 --> 00:02:08,480 Speaker 1: would be open if Lavello wanted to go with multiple arms. 42 00:02:08,639 --> 00:02:11,520 Speaker 1: Now the team has Mark Milanson, who's four hundred years old, 43 00:02:11,960 --> 00:02:14,320 Speaker 1: lacks the upside and did not carry the job into 44 00:02:14,400 --> 00:02:16,720 Speaker 1: last year. The best reliever on this team is actually 45 00:02:16,840 --> 00:02:19,200 Speaker 1: Joe Mantiply, who made the All Star Game last year. 46 00:02:19,320 --> 00:02:22,400 Speaker 1: But he's a lefty in that bullpen. Traditional Tory Levello 47 00:02:22,440 --> 00:02:24,880 Speaker 1: would probably want to keep him for maybe the fire 48 00:02:24,919 --> 00:02:27,440 Speaker 1: hose situation where he might come in and get some saves, 49 00:02:27,520 --> 00:02:29,800 Speaker 1: but he might be a really important asset for the 50 00:02:29,880 --> 00:02:31,960 Speaker 1: seventh or eighth inning for the team. And that's why 51 00:02:31,960 --> 00:02:34,080 Speaker 1: I'm bringing you Kevin Ginkl on here, though they've got 52 00:02:34,120 --> 00:02:35,919 Speaker 1: a couple names are going to be working through here. 53 00:02:35,960 --> 00:02:39,200 Speaker 1: Ginko last year improved his fastball by two miles per 54 00:02:39,200 --> 00:02:41,880 Speaker 1: hour win from ninety four to ninety six point four. 55 00:02:42,080 --> 00:02:44,920 Speaker 1: Was also able to increase his slighter percentage by almost 56 00:02:44,919 --> 00:02:46,920 Speaker 1: two miles per hour from eighty three point nine to 57 00:02:46,960 --> 00:02:49,280 Speaker 1: eighty five point four. He had a three to three 58 00:02:49,320 --> 00:02:53,160 Speaker 1: ERA but a two point nine expected era and a 59 00:02:53,200 --> 00:02:55,720 Speaker 1: thirty one point three CSW would put him in line 60 00:02:55,760 --> 00:02:58,560 Speaker 1: with relievers like David Bednar. The Diamondbacks are going to 61 00:02:58,639 --> 00:03:00,640 Speaker 1: have to steal some wins in here. They're gonna have 62 00:03:00,680 --> 00:03:02,200 Speaker 1: to find ways. But this is a relief pitch with 63 00:03:02,320 --> 00:03:05,119 Speaker 1: a close to ten k per nine that made big 64 00:03:05,160 --> 00:03:07,520 Speaker 1: improvements off of last year on a team that wants 65 00:03:07,520 --> 00:03:10,040 Speaker 1: a singular closer. He also had a phenomenal three point 66 00:03:10,040 --> 00:03:13,000 Speaker 1: eight home run flyball ratio, doesn't give up home runs 67 00:03:13,200 --> 00:03:15,400 Speaker 1: a one point five to four ground ball to fly 68 00:03:15,560 --> 00:03:18,480 Speaker 1: ball ratio. This is a guy that makes sense as 69 00:03:18,520 --> 00:03:21,920 Speaker 1: a closer on a team that wants a single closer. 70 00:03:22,000 --> 00:03:24,760 Speaker 1: Watch Joe mantiply and always watch guys like Mark mllanson. 71 00:03:24,800 --> 00:03:26,920 Speaker 1: But Kevin Ginkole comes at number five. For me, coming 72 00:03:26,919 --> 00:03:28,400 Speaker 1: in at number four, we are going to talk about 73 00:03:28,400 --> 00:03:31,480 Speaker 1: a closer that has a job. His brother is quite good, 74 00:03:31,840 --> 00:03:35,640 Speaker 1: Alexis Diaz, the younger brother of Edwin Diaz. Now this 75 00:03:35,720 --> 00:03:39,040 Speaker 1: is another closer that's on a not good team. But 76 00:03:39,560 --> 00:03:41,720 Speaker 1: this is a closer that looks like he is being 77 00:03:41,760 --> 00:03:43,760 Speaker 1: setup to be the guy on a team. And that 78 00:03:43,920 --> 00:03:45,840 Speaker 1: is a little bit few and far between right now. 79 00:03:45,960 --> 00:03:49,480 Speaker 1: In our landscape of closers an almost twelve K per 80 00:03:49,600 --> 00:03:51,960 Speaker 1: nine he put up last year. He had ten saves 81 00:03:51,960 --> 00:03:54,680 Speaker 1: in his major league debut with a one point eight 82 00:03:54,840 --> 00:03:58,560 Speaker 1: four ERA. Now, the underlying stats don't exactly lock up. 83 00:03:58,640 --> 00:04:01,320 Speaker 1: Is his ex fIF was three nine seven, but if 84 00:04:01,320 --> 00:04:03,880 Speaker 1: you go look at his expected ERA, it's two seven 85 00:04:03,920 --> 00:04:05,960 Speaker 1: to six. The Reds are not going to win a 86 00:04:06,040 --> 00:04:09,520 Speaker 1: ton of games, but we're valuing guys like David Bednar 87 00:04:09,720 --> 00:04:12,600 Speaker 1: even higher. And Alexis Diaz is one of those players 88 00:04:12,760 --> 00:04:15,360 Speaker 1: that might be able to sneak into thirty five saves. 89 00:04:15,360 --> 00:04:17,640 Speaker 1: We've seen it happen with Daniel Bard. He's got the 90 00:04:17,640 --> 00:04:20,839 Speaker 1: strikeout potential, he's got to cut the walks, does not 91 00:04:21,040 --> 00:04:23,280 Speaker 1: give up home runs, which is key to why the 92 00:04:23,320 --> 00:04:25,440 Speaker 1: Reds would want to keep him in this role. And 93 00:04:25,480 --> 00:04:28,640 Speaker 1: if you look on Fantasy pros ADP, it's around one 94 00:04:28,880 --> 00:04:32,320 Speaker 1: fifty behind some guys that don't even have lockdown situations, 95 00:04:32,320 --> 00:04:34,520 Speaker 1: So we are going to talk about them. I like alexisds. 96 00:04:34,520 --> 00:04:36,560 Speaker 1: I think there's a lot of upside. He's coming in 97 00:04:36,600 --> 00:04:39,359 Speaker 1: at number four, number three on the high upside closers. 98 00:04:39,560 --> 00:04:43,120 Speaker 1: How about a Yankees closer? Yeah, the upside is there. 99 00:04:43,160 --> 00:04:46,359 Speaker 1: Because the team could provide him with thirty to forty 100 00:04:46,360 --> 00:04:49,200 Speaker 1: saves if he has the gig. We're talking about Clay Holmes. Now, 101 00:04:49,320 --> 00:04:51,839 Speaker 1: Clay Holmes did not light the world on fire with 102 00:04:51,920 --> 00:04:54,680 Speaker 1: a just barely nine k per nine. Almost had three 103 00:04:54,800 --> 00:04:57,120 Speaker 1: walks per nine as well, but he had a nice 104 00:04:57,120 --> 00:05:00,159 Speaker 1: two to five four ERA that seemed very sustainable. His 105 00:05:00,320 --> 00:05:02,400 Speaker 1: x FIP was two nine. He had a two two 106 00:05:02,480 --> 00:05:05,440 Speaker 1: eight Sierra, which we'll take all day, and an over 107 00:05:05,560 --> 00:05:07,960 Speaker 1: thirty CSW and we'd like a little bit higher on 108 00:05:07,960 --> 00:05:09,360 Speaker 1: this wing you strike percentage. But here's one of the 109 00:05:09,400 --> 00:05:11,919 Speaker 1: big keys and why we talk about the upside here 110 00:05:12,160 --> 00:05:15,320 Speaker 1: because this is not a young, up and coming closer. 111 00:05:15,640 --> 00:05:18,800 Speaker 1: This is the Yankees closer, and Bran Cashman has already 112 00:05:18,839 --> 00:05:21,599 Speaker 1: said that the team is comfortable with moving forward with 113 00:05:21,640 --> 00:05:24,200 Speaker 1: Clay Holmes as being the closer for the season because 114 00:05:24,240 --> 00:05:26,160 Speaker 1: the market is kind of dried up. The names are 115 00:05:26,200 --> 00:05:28,160 Speaker 1: gone out unless they go out and trade for someone. 116 00:05:28,240 --> 00:05:30,880 Speaker 1: Clay Holmes is lockdown to be the guy. And for 117 00:05:30,960 --> 00:05:34,279 Speaker 1: the simple fact for him to walk into thirty plus 118 00:05:34,560 --> 00:05:39,360 Speaker 1: saves going outside the top ten of closers. Yeah, that's 119 00:05:39,400 --> 00:05:42,359 Speaker 1: the big thing we talked about. Alexis Diaz. He's not 120 00:05:42,480 --> 00:05:45,799 Speaker 1: that much further up. He's actually in the bottom fifteen. 121 00:05:45,839 --> 00:05:48,800 Speaker 1: He's outside the top fifteen is closers according to Fantasy 122 00:05:48,800 --> 00:05:51,320 Speaker 1: pros ADP. Right now. The upside there is for him 123 00:05:51,360 --> 00:05:55,000 Speaker 1: to be top five. We give a guy like rysill Iglesias, 124 00:05:55,120 --> 00:05:57,360 Speaker 1: you know, inside the top ten value on a good team, 125 00:05:57,400 --> 00:05:59,920 Speaker 1: Clay Holmes should actually be given about the same value. 126 00:06:00,040 --> 00:06:02,520 Speaker 1: This could be another Ryan Presley situation, a lot of 127 00:06:02,600 --> 00:06:05,400 Speaker 1: upside or play homes moving up. That'll be number three. 128 00:06:05,520 --> 00:06:08,840 Speaker 1: Number two on the list is all about stuff. Johan 129 00:06:09,040 --> 00:06:13,400 Speaker 1: Duran with the Minnesota Twins an average of almost one 130 00:06:13,480 --> 00:06:16,080 Speaker 1: hundred and one miles per hour on the fastball, an 131 00:06:16,120 --> 00:06:19,560 Speaker 1: almost ninety mile per hour slider, and he'll also throw 132 00:06:19,600 --> 00:06:21,880 Speaker 1: you up a little split finger with a curveball. The 133 00:06:22,040 --> 00:06:24,440 Speaker 1: arsenal's really good. He just was not given the full 134 00:06:24,520 --> 00:06:26,920 Speaker 1: gig last year and there's still no guarantees this year. 135 00:06:27,000 --> 00:06:29,360 Speaker 1: Hoory Lopez last year picked up saves and only allowed 136 00:06:29,440 --> 00:06:31,920 Speaker 1: Duran to get too, but with an almost twelve k 137 00:06:32,000 --> 00:06:35,640 Speaker 1: per nine a sub two era, the stuff is there 138 00:06:35,680 --> 00:06:37,800 Speaker 1: to curate this guy to be the closer. Now, this 139 00:06:37,839 --> 00:06:41,719 Speaker 1: team may implement multiple guys, but the stuff provides you 140 00:06:41,800 --> 00:06:44,400 Speaker 1: the upside of being one of the best closers in baseball. 141 00:06:44,440 --> 00:06:47,040 Speaker 1: It's a Josh Haters situation. It's kind of like Devin Williams. 142 00:06:47,240 --> 00:06:49,680 Speaker 1: That's other Devin Williams being given the gig. This is 143 00:06:49,720 --> 00:06:52,480 Speaker 1: a team that is going to provide win opportunities. This 144 00:06:52,560 --> 00:06:55,720 Speaker 1: is a high, high strikeout pitcher. These are the type 145 00:06:55,760 --> 00:06:57,200 Speaker 1: of bets that I'm going to look for, especially when 146 00:06:57,200 --> 00:07:00,680 Speaker 1: I'm playing this game of who are the high upside closers? 147 00:07:00,760 --> 00:07:04,760 Speaker 1: And almost eighteen percent swinging strike percentage and an over 148 00:07:04,880 --> 00:07:08,720 Speaker 1: thirty two percent CSW. If he has the gig, Johann 149 00:07:08,839 --> 00:07:12,000 Speaker 1: Duran could become a top five closer in baseball at 150 00:07:12,040 --> 00:07:14,720 Speaker 1: worst top ten, even if the era gets a little 151 00:07:14,720 --> 00:07:16,520 Speaker 1: bit shaky, the strikeouts are going to be there. This 152 00:07:16,560 --> 00:07:19,679 Speaker 1: is going to be big strikeouts, hopefully big saves. Early 153 00:07:19,760 --> 00:07:22,200 Speaker 1: projections have him just close to the teens. If you 154 00:07:22,240 --> 00:07:25,120 Speaker 1: look at atc it's at twelve he gets a gig, 155 00:07:25,200 --> 00:07:27,880 Speaker 1: we could push twenty and again this is a teen's 156 00:07:27,920 --> 00:07:31,200 Speaker 1: closer upside. Is there number two high upside closer Johann 157 00:07:31,280 --> 00:07:34,320 Speaker 1: Duran and that takes us to number one. My favorite 158 00:07:34,360 --> 00:07:37,920 Speaker 1: closer to draft. It's on the same landscape as Johann 159 00:07:38,000 --> 00:07:43,120 Speaker 1: Duran Andris Munios with the Seattle Mariners over thirteen k 160 00:07:43,240 --> 00:07:45,360 Speaker 1: per nine this past year a two and a half 161 00:07:45,400 --> 00:07:48,440 Speaker 1: ERA with an X fIF that was lower. We don't 162 00:07:48,480 --> 00:07:50,080 Speaker 1: usually see that. He had a two four nine e RA. 163 00:07:50,440 --> 00:07:54,240 Speaker 1: He's expected ERA one point eight four, which is an 164 00:07:54,280 --> 00:07:57,280 Speaker 1: absolutely absurd number. He had an over twenty percent swinging 165 00:07:57,280 --> 00:07:59,440 Speaker 1: strike percent. It's twenty one point four and a thirty 166 00:07:59,480 --> 00:08:03,080 Speaker 1: five point for CSW. You want to talk about velocity, 167 00:08:03,240 --> 00:08:05,680 Speaker 1: it's over one hundred on average on the fastball. He 168 00:08:05,720 --> 00:08:08,080 Speaker 1: also throws a slider that is close to eighty nine 169 00:08:08,120 --> 00:08:11,080 Speaker 1: miles per hour. It's a two pitch pitcher of elite stuff. 170 00:08:11,320 --> 00:08:13,720 Speaker 1: Going into camp, Paul Seawall doesn't look like he'll be 171 00:08:13,760 --> 00:08:16,080 Speaker 1: ready for spring, Andres Munials was also hurt, but he's 172 00:08:16,080 --> 00:08:17,840 Speaker 1: already shed his boot and looks like he's going to 173 00:08:17,880 --> 00:08:20,640 Speaker 1: begin some activities. Andres Munio seems like the perfect guy 174 00:08:20,680 --> 00:08:22,840 Speaker 1: to put at the back end of the bullpen. Maybe 175 00:08:22,880 --> 00:08:25,800 Speaker 1: Paul Seawall get some opportunities. He could set the stage 176 00:08:25,800 --> 00:08:28,760 Speaker 1: for Munas. But Munhos has the elite closer stuff to 177 00:08:28,800 --> 00:08:30,760 Speaker 1: be one of the best closers in baseball on a 178 00:08:30,880 --> 00:08:34,160 Speaker 1: great Mariners team. He just doesn't have the gig like Duran. 179 00:08:34,320 --> 00:08:36,560 Speaker 1: But we're going for upside here, guys, and that will 180 00:08:36,600 --> 00:08:38,880 Speaker 1: do it. Who do you got? I got an idea 181 00:08:38,880 --> 00:08:41,320 Speaker 1: for you. Join up with the Fantasy Pros discord. You 182 00:08:41,320 --> 00:08:43,319 Speaker 1: can get in the chats and you can start talking 183 00:08:43,400 --> 00:08:46,200 Speaker 1: about who your upside closers are. Let us know. You 184 00:08:46,200 --> 00:08:48,040 Speaker 1: can also tweet at it as well, and go to 185 00:08:48,040 --> 00:08:50,319 Speaker 1: Fantasypros dot com slash Draftkit to pick up the draft 186 00:08:50,400 --> 00:08:53,120 Speaker 1: kit today. It's absolutely free. Then if you want to upgrade, 187 00:08:53,200 --> 00:08:55,000 Speaker 1: you'll be hanging out in the discord with us and 188 00:08:55,040 --> 00:08:57,000 Speaker 1: the rest of our awesome community. That's going to do 189 00:08:57,040 --> 00:08:58,599 Speaker 1: it for me. Thank you guys for hanging out, and 190 00:08:58,640 --> 00:09:00,679 Speaker 1: I will talk to you on the flip side. It's 191 00:09:00,760 --> 00:09:03,880 Speaker 1: Chris Welsh, It's Fantasy Pros and we are out of here. Byebye. 192 00:09:04,160 --> 00:09:07,840 Speaker 1: Thanks for listening to the Fantasy Pros Baseball podcast. Follow 193 00:09:07,920 --> 00:09:11,480 Speaker 1: us on Twitter at Fantasy Pros MLB and subscribe to 194 00:09:11,520 --> 00:09:15,440 Speaker 1: our YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Fantasy Pros MLB.