1 00:00:00,000 --> 00:00:02,080 Speaker 1: I think that's the type of guy you trade and 2 00:00:02,120 --> 00:00:06,520 Speaker 1: then in April a bunch of injuries hit and you're like, man, 3 00:00:06,559 --> 00:00:08,680 Speaker 1: Cody Bellinger could have done X, Y and Z. 4 00:00:13,680 --> 00:00:18,080 Speaker 2: Welcome into Northside Territory Foul Territory Network Cubs Podcast. I'm 5 00:00:18,120 --> 00:00:21,400 Speaker 2: Sahad Sharma with my partner Patrick Mooney, where your Cubs 6 00:00:21,440 --> 00:00:26,360 Speaker 2: beat writers over at the Athletic. Patrick Winter is here, 7 00:00:26,400 --> 00:00:28,200 Speaker 2: so I'm dressed appropriately. 8 00:00:30,960 --> 00:00:33,760 Speaker 1: I'm out of Marriott, so I'm in in season mode. 9 00:00:33,920 --> 00:00:36,600 Speaker 3: Actual. Yeah that was pretty good. Yeah, yeah, nice? 10 00:00:36,880 --> 00:00:41,120 Speaker 2: All right, Yeah, we got another mail bag episode here 11 00:00:41,159 --> 00:00:43,680 Speaker 2: for Thanksgiving week. We're gonna do two mail bags. You 12 00:00:43,720 --> 00:00:49,080 Speaker 2: guys have a lot of questions last week. I think 13 00:00:49,120 --> 00:00:51,280 Speaker 2: we did a mail bag last week or two weeks ago. 14 00:00:51,880 --> 00:00:55,920 Speaker 2: The frustration wasn't nearly at the level it is now. 15 00:00:56,760 --> 00:01:00,240 Speaker 2: I would a couple things before we even get into this. 16 00:01:00,720 --> 00:01:05,200 Speaker 2: It's we're recording on Tuesday, November twenty sixth. Winter meetings 17 00:01:05,240 --> 00:01:09,920 Speaker 2: haven't even come yet. I get the frustration when there 18 00:01:10,000 --> 00:01:13,320 Speaker 2: are rumblings out there that make it seem that make 19 00:01:13,400 --> 00:01:15,880 Speaker 2: it clear the Cubs aren't going after Wan Soto and 20 00:01:15,920 --> 00:01:20,319 Speaker 2: Corbyn Burns and that type of talent. I'd also just 21 00:01:20,640 --> 00:01:26,840 Speaker 2: caution everyone about making assumptions about where this team is headed, 22 00:01:27,040 --> 00:01:31,520 Speaker 2: like they they're ninety nine point nine percent sure that 23 00:01:31,600 --> 00:01:35,399 Speaker 2: they're going to look better on paper at the end 24 00:01:35,440 --> 00:01:39,360 Speaker 2: of this winter. That now, if you like all the 25 00:01:39,400 --> 00:01:43,120 Speaker 2: moves or not, that that's a separate that's a separate debate. 26 00:01:43,240 --> 00:01:43,880 Speaker 3: But they haven't. 27 00:01:44,000 --> 00:01:46,759 Speaker 2: They've made a couple of smaller moves to help the bullpen. 28 00:01:47,120 --> 00:01:50,280 Speaker 2: I would not I would not react like this offseason 29 00:01:50,320 --> 00:01:54,000 Speaker 2: has already been decided. We'll we'll get into where your 30 00:01:54,040 --> 00:01:56,600 Speaker 2: frustrations lay and maybe try and explain some things, because 31 00:01:56,640 --> 00:01:59,440 Speaker 2: I think some things have kind of been twisted over 32 00:01:59,480 --> 00:02:01,760 Speaker 2: the past cup weeks with what we've written, with what 33 00:02:01,880 --> 00:02:06,040 Speaker 2: Ken's written, and of course a report from Bob Nightingale, 34 00:02:07,280 --> 00:02:10,880 Speaker 2: our good friend. You know, it's easy to twist these 35 00:02:10,880 --> 00:02:13,440 Speaker 2: things and get to a really negative place. And I'm 36 00:02:13,440 --> 00:02:15,200 Speaker 2: not saying you shouldn't be in a negative place. I'm 37 00:02:15,200 --> 00:02:18,080 Speaker 2: just saying I don't think it's as bad says some 38 00:02:18,200 --> 00:02:21,960 Speaker 2: fans have have turned turned it to Patrick. 39 00:02:21,960 --> 00:02:23,440 Speaker 3: Should we just get to the questions here? 40 00:02:23,480 --> 00:02:24,200 Speaker 1: Yeah, let's do it. 41 00:02:24,360 --> 00:02:26,360 Speaker 3: Yeah, all right, So the first. 42 00:02:26,080 --> 00:02:29,600 Speaker 2: One from Peyton Coopman, who is more likely to get 43 00:02:29,639 --> 00:02:32,280 Speaker 2: traded Cody Bellinger or Nico Horner. 44 00:02:34,440 --> 00:02:39,120 Speaker 1: I honestly think both are doubtful or unlikely. I would 45 00:02:39,240 --> 00:02:43,960 Speaker 1: say that some team may want Nico more at shortstop 46 00:02:44,000 --> 00:02:50,960 Speaker 1: and maybe willing to overlook a very uncertain rehab. I 47 00:02:50,960 --> 00:02:54,519 Speaker 1: think with Bellinger, the money, his volatility year to year 48 00:02:54,840 --> 00:03:00,000 Speaker 1: is too much. Although we'll see where Jan Soto signs. 49 00:03:00,200 --> 00:03:02,000 Speaker 1: That could happen, you know, by the end of the 50 00:03:02,040 --> 00:03:05,200 Speaker 1: winter meetings, and maybe some teams could pivot as you've written, 51 00:03:05,240 --> 00:03:09,080 Speaker 1: as I've written, and say, well, maybe Bellinger for a 52 00:03:09,200 --> 00:03:15,280 Speaker 1: year or two could help, you know, bridge a team 53 00:03:16,320 --> 00:03:20,280 Speaker 1: until the next big free agent. But I'm still I 54 00:03:20,360 --> 00:03:22,040 Speaker 1: feel part of this is just sort of like the 55 00:03:22,160 --> 00:03:27,440 Speaker 1: vacuum of kind of the off season before stuff really 56 00:03:27,600 --> 00:03:30,880 Speaker 1: starts happening, and just how stuck the Cubs are. I 57 00:03:30,919 --> 00:03:33,760 Speaker 1: think you've made this clear, like they don't really want 58 00:03:33,800 --> 00:03:37,960 Speaker 1: to trade either of these guys, Like they there's no 59 00:03:38,120 --> 00:03:43,280 Speaker 1: like negative personality conflict going on right right, It's just 60 00:03:43,360 --> 00:03:47,000 Speaker 1: they're sort of stuck and they don't have no trade 61 00:03:47,000 --> 00:03:49,040 Speaker 1: clauses the way several of their key players do. 62 00:03:50,400 --> 00:03:53,160 Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree with you that I think Nico may 63 00:03:53,200 --> 00:03:56,280 Speaker 2: have more value on the trade market yeah, for sure. 64 00:03:57,120 --> 00:03:59,280 Speaker 2: You know when when you can market him as a 65 00:03:59,320 --> 00:04:03,880 Speaker 2: shortstop even with the injury, assuming that a team is 66 00:04:03,920 --> 00:04:05,800 Speaker 2: able to look at the medicals and say like, yeah, 67 00:04:06,040 --> 00:04:10,760 Speaker 2: we're not concerned here, he'll be ready by April fifteenth. 68 00:04:10,840 --> 00:04:13,000 Speaker 2: I'm throwing out a number. I'm throwing out a date 69 00:04:13,040 --> 00:04:14,560 Speaker 2: that's not a real date that we have. 70 00:04:15,840 --> 00:04:18,920 Speaker 3: We're good with this. You know, we'll take two weeks. 71 00:04:19,160 --> 00:04:22,360 Speaker 2: We'll take losing two weeks for a plus defensive short 72 00:04:22,400 --> 00:04:24,440 Speaker 2: stop that can make a ton of contact and steal 73 00:04:24,480 --> 00:04:25,239 Speaker 2: a ton of bases. 74 00:04:26,680 --> 00:04:27,960 Speaker 3: I think there's value there. 75 00:04:28,040 --> 00:04:33,720 Speaker 2: I don't think the Cubs are as aggressively moving or 76 00:04:33,800 --> 00:04:37,839 Speaker 2: as aggressively trying to move Horner as they are with Bellinger. 77 00:04:38,320 --> 00:04:43,640 Speaker 2: We'll get into that right now, Patrick that the next 78 00:04:43,760 --> 00:04:46,760 Speaker 2: question is why are the Cubs desperately trying to trade 79 00:04:46,800 --> 00:04:50,440 Speaker 2: Bellinger when we who are the Cubs already have close 80 00:04:50,480 --> 00:04:54,119 Speaker 2: to fifty five million available before the luxury tax. Okay, 81 00:04:54,880 --> 00:04:58,320 Speaker 2: we got into this last week, and I think it's 82 00:04:58,360 --> 00:05:01,240 Speaker 2: something that's just important to get in to continually. 83 00:05:01,560 --> 00:05:02,919 Speaker 3: I think. 84 00:05:04,440 --> 00:05:07,480 Speaker 2: Jed Hoyer and Carter Hawkins and this front office kind 85 00:05:07,480 --> 00:05:10,279 Speaker 2: of expected Cody Bellinger to opt out. Now that doesn't 86 00:05:10,320 --> 00:05:13,320 Speaker 2: mean they didn't plan for him topped in. That doesn't 87 00:05:13,360 --> 00:05:16,120 Speaker 2: mean that they were like completely blindsided and like, oh no, 88 00:05:16,240 --> 00:05:19,880 Speaker 2: what do we do? I think their hope, like you said, 89 00:05:20,279 --> 00:05:23,440 Speaker 2: is that they can market him as the number two 90 00:05:23,560 --> 00:05:28,880 Speaker 2: outfielder after Juan Soto, you know, like Santanderer and Taoskar 91 00:05:29,279 --> 00:05:32,520 Speaker 2: Hernandez have something to say about that. Of course, neither 92 00:05:32,520 --> 00:05:35,560 Speaker 2: of them can play center field. They don't have the 93 00:05:35,640 --> 00:05:41,960 Speaker 2: versatility that Cody Bellinger has. I'll say this, we'll get 94 00:05:41,960 --> 00:05:46,240 Speaker 2: into the luxury tax thing. I wonder how much of 95 00:05:46,279 --> 00:05:49,880 Speaker 2: what we're seeing Ken had it. We've been hearing it, 96 00:05:50,279 --> 00:05:53,880 Speaker 2: Bob had it. Teams don't want to deal with this 97 00:05:53,960 --> 00:05:58,400 Speaker 2: contract like it's some albatross. I don't buy that as much. 98 00:05:58,520 --> 00:06:02,480 Speaker 2: I feel like that's trying to uh cloud the market 99 00:06:02,640 --> 00:06:05,080 Speaker 2: and and and make it seem like he's like some 100 00:06:05,320 --> 00:06:09,000 Speaker 2: untradable piece. I'm not buying that. Like, yeah, I get 101 00:06:09,040 --> 00:06:11,479 Speaker 2: it's a one like one year, it doesn't matter. In 102 00:06:11,520 --> 00:06:14,159 Speaker 2: a second year. Oh maybe if he's bad, that drops 103 00:06:14,200 --> 00:06:17,320 Speaker 2: his you know, he's gonna opt in. And I'm sorry, 104 00:06:17,320 --> 00:06:20,360 Speaker 2: I just don't think like he's some albatross contract that 105 00:06:20,560 --> 00:06:26,600 Speaker 2: destroys Uh you know, everyone's desire to like spend like 106 00:06:26,640 --> 00:06:32,920 Speaker 2: they just crushes everyone's payroll. I don't know if you 107 00:06:33,000 --> 00:06:37,359 Speaker 2: agree with that or not. Patrick, I think sometimes we 108 00:06:37,480 --> 00:06:40,560 Speaker 2: can be listen, we have to report what we hear. 109 00:06:40,880 --> 00:06:44,560 Speaker 2: But I also think sometimes we can be leveraged as 110 00:06:44,640 --> 00:06:45,240 Speaker 2: media too. 111 00:06:47,000 --> 00:06:49,520 Speaker 3: Never never yeah, yeah. 112 00:06:49,040 --> 00:06:53,200 Speaker 2: So I don't doubt that, Like we've like we have 113 00:06:53,360 --> 00:06:55,680 Speaker 2: heard all these things. It's just sometimes I wonder, it's 114 00:06:55,720 --> 00:06:57,760 Speaker 2: like I hear it over and over again. I'm like, 115 00:06:58,279 --> 00:07:01,440 Speaker 2: is it really that bad as it earned so negative 116 00:07:02,520 --> 00:07:06,040 Speaker 2: that that people really think, like I can't touch that contract. 117 00:07:06,080 --> 00:07:09,279 Speaker 2: It's not It's not seven years at most, it's two 118 00:07:09,320 --> 00:07:11,440 Speaker 2: years and fifty million bucks. 119 00:07:13,320 --> 00:07:15,800 Speaker 1: Well, it's going to be a pretty big number. I mean, 120 00:07:15,840 --> 00:07:20,000 Speaker 1: depending on how you know a potential negotiation would shake 121 00:07:20,040 --> 00:07:22,480 Speaker 1: out in terms of paying it down bad contract, going 122 00:07:22,520 --> 00:07:28,120 Speaker 1: back the level of the prospect or two included in 123 00:07:28,200 --> 00:07:30,800 Speaker 1: the deal. I just think there's like, why did Cody 124 00:07:30,840 --> 00:07:34,520 Speaker 1: Bollinger come back to the Cubs. Why did he right 125 00:07:34,920 --> 00:07:36,440 Speaker 1: all the way back to the beginning. Why was he 126 00:07:36,480 --> 00:07:39,160 Speaker 1: non tendered by the Dodgers. Why did he come back 127 00:07:39,160 --> 00:07:42,360 Speaker 1: to the Cubs at the start of spring training last year? 128 00:07:42,360 --> 00:07:43,720 Speaker 3: Why did he opt in for next year. 129 00:07:43,760 --> 00:07:50,000 Speaker 1: There is, you know, fair or not, some hesitation out 130 00:07:50,040 --> 00:07:55,960 Speaker 1: there about what's what would you be getting for salary 131 00:07:56,080 --> 00:07:59,600 Speaker 1: number X, depending on you know, how it shakes out 132 00:07:59,240 --> 00:08:04,600 Speaker 1: in in those negotiations, And it's like the teams that 133 00:08:04,680 --> 00:08:08,720 Speaker 1: are super data driven are going to have concerns about 134 00:08:08,720 --> 00:08:12,960 Speaker 1: the quality of contact. He's not old, but he is 135 00:08:13,040 --> 00:08:15,440 Speaker 1: thirty next year. I think you sort of wonder, like, 136 00:08:15,560 --> 00:08:19,800 Speaker 1: have you already seen the best of Cody Bellinger? 137 00:08:20,640 --> 00:08:20,960 Speaker 3: I don't know. 138 00:08:21,000 --> 00:08:25,400 Speaker 1: Watching him play every day and particularly on this Cub's roster, 139 00:08:25,480 --> 00:08:28,960 Speaker 1: I think it's a nice piece to have. Like you say, 140 00:08:29,000 --> 00:08:32,760 Speaker 1: there aren't like who's name a better center field option 141 00:08:33,000 --> 00:08:38,520 Speaker 1: out there that's like available. They're just very scarce left 142 00:08:38,520 --> 00:08:41,240 Speaker 1: handed hitter, playoff experience, like all these things. So I actually, 143 00:08:41,320 --> 00:08:45,520 Speaker 1: I don't think the Cubs are desperately trying. I think 144 00:08:45,559 --> 00:08:48,400 Speaker 1: they're eager to hear what's out there. I think they 145 00:08:48,440 --> 00:08:55,400 Speaker 1: would certainly like to repurpose that money. But at the 146 00:08:55,440 --> 00:08:58,040 Speaker 1: same time, I think that's the type of guy you trade. 147 00:08:58,120 --> 00:09:01,439 Speaker 1: And then in April a bunchunch of injuries hit and 148 00:09:01,559 --> 00:09:04,719 Speaker 1: you're like, man, Cody Bellinger could have done X, Y and. 149 00:09:04,760 --> 00:09:09,640 Speaker 2: Z, right, right, Yeah, no, I think we're also starting 150 00:09:09,679 --> 00:09:12,360 Speaker 2: to downgrade his value on the field for this team, 151 00:09:12,800 --> 00:09:15,720 Speaker 2: just thinking about him as a contract number instead of 152 00:09:16,000 --> 00:09:20,280 Speaker 2: in payroll, instead of his production. And just to touch 153 00:09:20,280 --> 00:09:23,600 Speaker 2: on this, the Cubs have yeah, close to fifty five 154 00:09:23,640 --> 00:09:27,720 Speaker 2: million available. You sign one picture, good picture. Half of 155 00:09:27,720 --> 00:09:31,199 Speaker 2: that is almost gone, okay, and then you want to 156 00:09:31,240 --> 00:09:36,480 Speaker 2: have So let's let's get into payroll, because here's the 157 00:09:36,520 --> 00:09:37,120 Speaker 2: next question. 158 00:09:37,480 --> 00:09:40,040 Speaker 3: Patrick, go ahead and read it. 159 00:09:40,640 --> 00:09:43,840 Speaker 1: All right, The rumbling seem to be pointing towards cutting salary. 160 00:09:43,920 --> 00:09:46,680 Speaker 1: I just can't understand why. I'm not asking for it 161 00:09:46,720 --> 00:09:48,920 Speaker 1: to make sense. Instead, I'm asking for you to paint 162 00:09:48,960 --> 00:09:51,280 Speaker 1: me a best case scenario off season. 163 00:09:51,760 --> 00:09:53,920 Speaker 2: Okay, I couldn't fit in the name there. I think 164 00:09:53,920 --> 00:09:58,439 Speaker 2: that was Shane. I apologize if that wasn't Shane. We 165 00:09:58,559 --> 00:10:01,120 Speaker 2: got a lot of questions. Can't even go through Twitter 166 00:10:01,160 --> 00:10:04,120 Speaker 2: and find find out exactly who that was. But so 167 00:10:04,200 --> 00:10:06,720 Speaker 2: let's let's deal with the first part of this, right, 168 00:10:07,240 --> 00:10:11,360 Speaker 2: cutting salary. So, if let's say it's fifty five million 169 00:10:11,440 --> 00:10:14,160 Speaker 2: left right now, and they're they're trying to get rid 170 00:10:14,240 --> 00:10:17,200 Speaker 2: of Bellinger, trying to move Bellinger's salary to open it 171 00:10:17,280 --> 00:10:22,079 Speaker 2: up to like almost eighty five million. Okay, that's you 172 00:10:22,440 --> 00:10:25,360 Speaker 2: touch on it. They just want more payroll flexibility. They're 173 00:10:25,360 --> 00:10:29,400 Speaker 2: not like fifty five million goes quickly when you have, 174 00:10:29,960 --> 00:10:32,480 Speaker 2: say they want to sign a pitcher, and then what 175 00:10:32,520 --> 00:10:36,720 Speaker 2: if they want like a depth Yeah, yeah, they're still 176 00:10:37,000 --> 00:10:41,520 Speaker 2: like Matt Tyce isn't the answer at catcher, right, bullpen 177 00:10:41,880 --> 00:10:45,520 Speaker 2: happens quickly if they want to add like different pieces 178 00:10:45,559 --> 00:10:48,280 Speaker 2: on the bench, right, because I don't think they want 179 00:10:48,320 --> 00:10:52,400 Speaker 2: to start the season with these kids as the bench pieces, 180 00:10:52,600 --> 00:10:55,400 Speaker 2: because they want them as depth, but they don't want 181 00:10:55,440 --> 00:10:57,720 Speaker 2: them sitting on the bench at the major league level. 182 00:10:59,120 --> 00:11:02,520 Speaker 2: So there's it's going to be a few more like that. 183 00:11:02,679 --> 00:11:08,240 Speaker 2: Money goes quickly. It just it flies off the payroll quickly, 184 00:11:08,760 --> 00:11:11,160 Speaker 2: and you need to find the right player suspended on. 185 00:11:11,559 --> 00:11:14,680 Speaker 2: They're looking for more flexibility there to do different things. 186 00:11:16,040 --> 00:11:19,240 Speaker 2: Whether that's the right move to get rid of Bellinger 187 00:11:19,320 --> 00:11:24,040 Speaker 2: or not. You know, I'd need to see what more happens. 188 00:11:24,440 --> 00:11:25,400 Speaker 3: I said this last time. 189 00:11:25,440 --> 00:11:27,640 Speaker 2: I kind of looked at it as if they're moving 190 00:11:27,679 --> 00:11:31,440 Speaker 2: Bellinger and they don't get anything of significance really in 191 00:11:31,520 --> 00:11:34,280 Speaker 2: return other than payroll flexibility. 192 00:11:35,760 --> 00:11:36,840 Speaker 3: That basically is. 193 00:11:36,960 --> 00:11:39,880 Speaker 2: The beginning of the off season. In my mind, it 194 00:11:39,920 --> 00:11:42,400 Speaker 2: looks like, okay, this is how it would look like 195 00:11:42,440 --> 00:11:47,400 Speaker 2: if he opted out. So you know what's an ideal 196 00:11:48,240 --> 00:11:51,600 Speaker 2: a best case scenario off season for me? 197 00:11:51,800 --> 00:11:52,360 Speaker 3: Right now? 198 00:11:52,840 --> 00:11:57,880 Speaker 2: It's it's it would be it would be finding a 199 00:11:57,920 --> 00:12:02,439 Speaker 2: way to get no doubt outstarter that looks like a 200 00:12:02,559 --> 00:12:05,720 Speaker 2: two sometimes but as you know, you feel comfortable saying 201 00:12:05,760 --> 00:12:10,920 Speaker 2: he's a three, right. It'd be getting two more legitimate relievers, 202 00:12:11,200 --> 00:12:14,040 Speaker 2: one with some closing experience. Doesn't have to be a 203 00:12:14,040 --> 00:12:16,800 Speaker 2: lockdown closer, but just someone or at least someone that 204 00:12:16,840 --> 00:12:19,040 Speaker 2: looks on the precipice of like, hey, this guy can 205 00:12:19,040 --> 00:12:22,960 Speaker 2: handle the high leverage, we're gonna give him save opportunities 206 00:12:23,000 --> 00:12:26,440 Speaker 2: and spread it around to him, Porter Hodge and whoever 207 00:12:26,480 --> 00:12:30,440 Speaker 2: I'm missing, you know. And then and then it would 208 00:12:30,480 --> 00:12:34,319 Speaker 2: be finding a way to get another bat in the lineup, 209 00:12:34,800 --> 00:12:39,880 Speaker 2: whether that is something smaller like Michael Conforto or something 210 00:12:40,840 --> 00:12:45,480 Speaker 2: you know, via trade. And when I talk about a picture, 211 00:12:45,720 --> 00:12:49,120 Speaker 2: I like adding a starting picture that could be via 212 00:12:49,200 --> 00:12:52,280 Speaker 2: trade too, well, you have to consider that. Don't just 213 00:12:52,320 --> 00:12:55,120 Speaker 2: assume that they're gonna So that's that's a way that 214 00:12:55,360 --> 00:13:00,400 Speaker 2: if they don't move Bellinger's contract, if you add picture 215 00:13:00,440 --> 00:13:04,640 Speaker 2: that's like, areb eligible that you feel good about, then 216 00:13:04,679 --> 00:13:06,400 Speaker 2: you can spend a little bit more money and find 217 00:13:06,440 --> 00:13:07,360 Speaker 2: a way to add a bat. 218 00:13:07,440 --> 00:13:09,120 Speaker 3: I'm just like that. 219 00:13:09,760 --> 00:13:14,559 Speaker 2: These are realistic scenarios, right These are not dream scenarios. 220 00:13:14,559 --> 00:13:17,920 Speaker 2: I'm not going to say go get Anthony Santander and 221 00:13:17,960 --> 00:13:20,920 Speaker 2: sign Max free because I don't think they're They're They're 222 00:13:20,960 --> 00:13:23,160 Speaker 2: not going to be aggressive with the qualified offer guys. 223 00:13:23,280 --> 00:13:25,760 Speaker 2: I don't think they're shopping at that level right now. 224 00:13:27,400 --> 00:13:29,959 Speaker 2: I think things can change if they move Bellinger. I 225 00:13:30,280 --> 00:13:35,439 Speaker 2: just don't know what that looks like or what that means. 226 00:13:36,080 --> 00:13:39,480 Speaker 1: Yeah, And I think part of their strategy has been 227 00:13:40,480 --> 00:13:43,600 Speaker 1: to just be patient and see what happens in January 228 00:13:43,679 --> 00:13:47,320 Speaker 1: when players and agents have to scramble when other team's 229 00:13:47,360 --> 00:13:54,839 Speaker 1: more impacted by the cable TV situation, if they're sidelined. 230 00:13:56,840 --> 00:14:00,240 Speaker 1: Like you say, Conforto is one of the names our 231 00:14:00,320 --> 00:14:02,800 Speaker 1: colleague here and not the athletic Ken Rosenthal mentioned in 232 00:14:02,880 --> 00:14:05,440 Speaker 1: terms of the braves of like looking at outfielders, Like 233 00:14:06,080 --> 00:14:08,440 Speaker 1: I think that's kind of the thing with Bellinger right Like, 234 00:14:09,200 --> 00:14:10,960 Speaker 1: if he was a free agent right now, like what 235 00:14:11,000 --> 00:14:15,680 Speaker 1: would he get, Like probably not thirty plus million a year, Right, 236 00:14:15,920 --> 00:14:17,280 Speaker 1: you could probably get more than two. 237 00:14:17,400 --> 00:14:18,559 Speaker 3: But like. 238 00:14:20,200 --> 00:14:22,720 Speaker 1: There are guys out there that they may see if like, oh, 239 00:14:22,800 --> 00:14:24,720 Speaker 1: that would be like a nice piece like for this 240 00:14:24,800 --> 00:14:29,680 Speaker 1: particular group. And I do think they'll be able to 241 00:14:29,720 --> 00:14:33,120 Speaker 1: pounce on those. And we've written this before. The trade 242 00:14:33,160 --> 00:14:38,200 Speaker 1: market will open up for them, Like they have a 243 00:14:38,240 --> 00:14:43,160 Speaker 1: lot of trade chips, they have needs, they have relationships 244 00:14:43,200 --> 00:14:44,320 Speaker 1: to try and go after. 245 00:14:44,760 --> 00:14:46,960 Speaker 3: You know that picture you're talking about. 246 00:14:47,800 --> 00:14:51,720 Speaker 2: Yeah, when you talk about waiting and being patient, I 247 00:14:51,720 --> 00:14:54,760 Speaker 2: think that's going to trigger Cubs fans for sure, and I. 248 00:14:54,880 --> 00:14:57,760 Speaker 3: And I get it. Yeah, I'd like it would be 249 00:14:57,760 --> 00:14:58,640 Speaker 3: annoying to watch. 250 00:14:58,680 --> 00:15:01,960 Speaker 2: Again, like no real significant moves at least have made 251 00:15:02,040 --> 00:15:04,800 Speaker 2: some smaller moves here. We can't we can't make the 252 00:15:05,400 --> 00:15:07,800 Speaker 2: how much did we have or the like they're one 253 00:15:07,800 --> 00:15:10,160 Speaker 2: of like two teams that hasn't added the player to 254 00:15:10,200 --> 00:15:11,600 Speaker 2: the forty man it's. 255 00:15:11,440 --> 00:15:14,480 Speaker 1: Only like the second inning of the offseason. 256 00:15:13,960 --> 00:15:18,120 Speaker 2: Right yeah, yeah, yeah, so at least they we can't 257 00:15:18,240 --> 00:15:23,240 Speaker 2: use that as an argument anymore. Is it a Tom 258 00:15:23,320 --> 00:15:26,800 Speaker 2: Ricketts problem or a Jed Hoyer problem? If it's true 259 00:15:26,880 --> 00:15:30,200 Speaker 2: the team wants to get back under the luxury tax 260 00:15:30,320 --> 00:15:34,200 Speaker 2: next year, Yeah, you know, I think they they may 261 00:15:34,280 --> 00:15:36,640 Speaker 2: be under the luxury tax next year because it goes 262 00:15:36,760 --> 00:15:40,960 Speaker 2: up four million from last year, and I think they're 263 00:15:41,000 --> 00:15:43,200 Speaker 2: going to be hovering around. They're going to end up 264 00:15:43,240 --> 00:15:46,760 Speaker 2: hovering around where they were last year. I think that 265 00:15:47,040 --> 00:15:51,200 Speaker 2: is kind of that. This was my understanding, but well 266 00:15:51,200 --> 00:15:55,520 Speaker 2: before they'd really finalized the budget, So I don't know 267 00:15:55,680 --> 00:16:00,200 Speaker 2: how much that's changed. If it's changed dramatically. Obviously, by 268 00:16:00,240 --> 00:16:02,600 Speaker 2: the way they've been behaving and the signals they're sending out, 269 00:16:03,800 --> 00:16:07,400 Speaker 2: it doesn't seem like it's changed dramatically. 270 00:16:08,600 --> 00:16:14,040 Speaker 3: In either direction. But who listen, Tom Rikins gives you 271 00:16:14,080 --> 00:16:14,600 Speaker 3: a hoy or a. 272 00:16:14,600 --> 00:16:17,720 Speaker 2: Budget, and he has money to spend and he has 273 00:16:17,760 --> 00:16:19,920 Speaker 2: to spend it as he sees fit. Right, And that's 274 00:16:19,960 --> 00:16:27,920 Speaker 2: a budget for everything right all around, you know, whether 275 00:16:28,000 --> 00:16:33,200 Speaker 2: it's manager, yeah, the manager, the front office, how they 276 00:16:33,240 --> 00:16:39,480 Speaker 2: set all that stuff up. You know, I think that's 277 00:16:39,840 --> 00:16:43,040 Speaker 2: who is it a problem? You can you could make 278 00:16:43,080 --> 00:16:45,000 Speaker 2: an argument on either side. 279 00:16:45,200 --> 00:16:45,400 Speaker 3: Right. 280 00:16:45,840 --> 00:16:48,160 Speaker 2: You could say, like Jet isn't spending it the way 281 00:16:48,160 --> 00:16:51,120 Speaker 2: he should. You can make that argument he go get 282 00:16:51,160 --> 00:16:54,960 Speaker 2: better players. I come back to an argument I made before. Yes, 283 00:16:55,040 --> 00:16:57,080 Speaker 2: he's spent about two hundred and forty million dollars on 284 00:16:57,120 --> 00:16:59,680 Speaker 2: this payroll. There were not many young players that were 285 00:16:59,680 --> 00:17:03,720 Speaker 2: emerging yet. And the combo ideal combo is you spend 286 00:17:03,960 --> 00:17:07,280 Speaker 2: your payroll and then you have super cheap young talent 287 00:17:07,359 --> 00:17:09,800 Speaker 2: coming up as well. So you have the paid players, 288 00:17:09,800 --> 00:17:15,480 Speaker 2: the well paid players, veterans Ian Hap Saya, Suzuki Dansby Swanson, 289 00:17:16,400 --> 00:17:19,880 Speaker 2: Jameson Tyne, those guys, and then you have and then 290 00:17:19,920 --> 00:17:22,840 Speaker 2: you have the rookies, the young players Pete ro Armstrong, 291 00:17:22,880 --> 00:17:28,960 Speaker 2: Miguel Amaya next year, Matt Shaws, Is Biastero's maybe Kate Horton. Right, 292 00:17:29,520 --> 00:17:33,080 Speaker 2: those guys are are so much more affordable, and now 293 00:17:33,119 --> 00:17:34,920 Speaker 2: you're talking about a two hundred and forty million dollars 294 00:17:34,920 --> 00:17:37,720 Speaker 2: payroll that looks a lot different. That's what I want. 295 00:17:37,760 --> 00:17:39,359 Speaker 2: I want to see what they can do when they 296 00:17:39,400 --> 00:17:42,199 Speaker 2: have that combo. Is this is their plan coming to 297 00:17:42,280 --> 00:17:48,480 Speaker 2: fruition or not? I like through like Tom Ricketts's. 298 00:17:48,520 --> 00:17:51,080 Speaker 3: You know, I'll let you. 299 00:17:51,640 --> 00:17:54,720 Speaker 1: I think they're I think they're tied together in a 300 00:17:54,760 --> 00:17:57,640 Speaker 1: lot of ways. I think their like outlooks on this 301 00:17:57,840 --> 00:18:04,479 Speaker 1: are not totally dissimilar in terms of like resetting the 302 00:18:04,520 --> 00:18:09,200 Speaker 1: market with you know, fourteen year contracts like Jed's concerns 303 00:18:10,600 --> 00:18:15,080 Speaker 1: and hesitations, I think are very similar to Tom's, and ultimately, 304 00:18:16,240 --> 00:18:19,040 Speaker 1: you know, Jed's the one who has to operate within 305 00:18:19,320 --> 00:18:25,359 Speaker 1: that structure. I think, from ownership's perspective, two hundred and 306 00:18:25,359 --> 00:18:30,720 Speaker 1: forty million is exponentially more than anyone else in their division, 307 00:18:30,920 --> 00:18:34,520 Speaker 1: and therefore more than enough to win the division, even 308 00:18:34,520 --> 00:18:38,200 Speaker 1: though historically that hasn't really proven to be. 309 00:18:39,480 --> 00:18:41,520 Speaker 3: The case. And so. 310 00:18:43,200 --> 00:18:45,320 Speaker 1: On the other hand, I think Jed has been a 311 00:18:45,320 --> 00:18:49,720 Speaker 1: good company man. I think he's pretty loyal to the 312 00:18:50,160 --> 00:18:54,840 Speaker 1: organization and has kind of presented a plan to ownership 313 00:18:54,880 --> 00:18:58,720 Speaker 1: which they signed off on, and he has I think 314 00:18:58,800 --> 00:19:03,399 Speaker 1: done it in a way that makes sense from ownership's perspective. 315 00:19:03,560 --> 00:19:07,280 Speaker 1: And so that's why, of course, this is a huge 316 00:19:07,320 --> 00:19:09,879 Speaker 1: offseason for this front office. It's a huge year for 317 00:19:09,960 --> 00:19:14,240 Speaker 1: them to make the playoffs or not. The results and 318 00:19:14,280 --> 00:19:19,119 Speaker 1: accountability matter. But it's also like it's not like Jed's 319 00:19:19,119 --> 00:19:21,840 Speaker 1: gone rogue here or that, like he hasn't been surprised 320 00:19:21,880 --> 00:19:25,359 Speaker 1: by what the Rickets are doing like this is. I 321 00:19:25,359 --> 00:19:28,600 Speaker 1: think there's a lot of uh kind of ownership in 322 00:19:28,640 --> 00:19:31,120 Speaker 1: this from both the business side and the baseball side, 323 00:19:31,119 --> 00:19:33,399 Speaker 1: and I think it's kind of would be unfair to 324 00:19:33,400 --> 00:19:35,840 Speaker 1: totally pin it on one or the other, even though 325 00:19:35,840 --> 00:19:38,280 Speaker 1: that's probably what will happen if they don't win next year. 326 00:19:39,040 --> 00:19:43,640 Speaker 2: Right, And here's the similar question, why are the Rickets 327 00:19:43,680 --> 00:19:48,160 Speaker 2: operating the Cubs like the team is based in Pittsburgh. Look, 328 00:19:49,400 --> 00:19:51,680 Speaker 2: I think there's so much nuance here and I think 329 00:19:51,680 --> 00:19:56,480 Speaker 2: it's unfair to go to the extremes right at Pittsburgh. 330 00:19:56,560 --> 00:19:58,080 Speaker 2: I want to say they had a payroll of like 331 00:19:58,160 --> 00:20:03,240 Speaker 2: seventy five million last year. What happens in Pittsburgh is 332 00:20:03,320 --> 00:20:07,680 Speaker 2: extremely embarrassing and frustrating to see from afar, and I'm 333 00:20:07,720 --> 00:20:13,760 Speaker 2: sure the fan base there and everyone is not happy 334 00:20:13,840 --> 00:20:15,880 Speaker 2: with the way they do things. They have a lot 335 00:20:15,880 --> 00:20:18,080 Speaker 2: of young talent and they're not spending any money to 336 00:20:18,720 --> 00:20:24,640 Speaker 2: upgrade around them. That's maddening. Right, At least the Cubs 337 00:20:24,800 --> 00:20:28,320 Speaker 2: are spending. It's what I said before. They're spending, and 338 00:20:28,400 --> 00:20:34,160 Speaker 2: your fans are understandably not happy with the results. Right, 339 00:20:34,359 --> 00:20:37,880 Speaker 2: they're spending not at the level that I think they 340 00:20:37,880 --> 00:20:40,680 Speaker 2: should that many of you think they should. I think 341 00:20:40,720 --> 00:20:43,800 Speaker 2: they should be just below the Mets and the Dodgers. 342 00:20:45,280 --> 00:20:46,960 Speaker 2: I think that'd be nice if they were a top 343 00:20:47,000 --> 00:20:51,160 Speaker 2: five payroll. They're like a top ten right around there payroll. 344 00:20:51,440 --> 00:20:54,320 Speaker 2: So it's not as extremely bad as like, this is 345 00:20:54,359 --> 00:20:56,040 Speaker 2: the cheapest owner, what a joke. 346 00:20:56,200 --> 00:20:57,280 Speaker 3: But it's also not. 347 00:20:59,040 --> 00:21:03,400 Speaker 2: Hey, you own all of Wrigleyville and and and fill. 348 00:21:03,280 --> 00:21:04,200 Speaker 3: That ballpark up. 349 00:21:05,600 --> 00:21:08,399 Speaker 2: Marquee is probably not doing as well as hoped, but 350 00:21:08,520 --> 00:21:12,040 Speaker 2: not doing as terribly as every other you know, you know, 351 00:21:13,000 --> 00:21:16,960 Speaker 2: outlet around the game outside of like the Dodgers and 352 00:21:17,280 --> 00:21:20,320 Speaker 2: a select few, right like most everyone else is not 353 00:21:20,440 --> 00:21:23,720 Speaker 2: making any money from their TV companies if they even 354 00:21:23,880 --> 00:21:29,760 Speaker 2: have one their TV deal, So you know, it's that 355 00:21:29,840 --> 00:21:33,879 Speaker 2: they have a nice situation financially. They're not spending like 356 00:21:34,720 --> 00:21:38,840 Speaker 2: Steve Cohen, and that's just the reality. It's not gonna happen. 357 00:21:39,280 --> 00:21:43,200 Speaker 2: I also, I don't think it's helpful to compare them 358 00:21:43,240 --> 00:21:47,760 Speaker 2: to like just not spend at all, because it muddies 359 00:21:47,840 --> 00:21:51,080 Speaker 2: up the waters and it's just like there's nuance here. 360 00:21:52,119 --> 00:21:55,040 Speaker 1: I think the way to reframe it for Fraying David's 361 00:21:55,119 --> 00:21:58,639 Speaker 1: question would be why aren't the Ricketts operating the Cubs 362 00:21:58,720 --> 00:22:03,840 Speaker 1: like the yes ownership groups in Philadelphia and San Diego? 363 00:22:04,320 --> 00:22:08,359 Speaker 1: And we'll see how the Padres move forward over the 364 00:22:08,440 --> 00:22:11,920 Speaker 1: next couple of years, and you know whether that does 365 00:22:12,000 --> 00:22:16,399 Speaker 1: cripple their operation, but you've seen the energy yet Petgo 366 00:22:16,560 --> 00:22:19,479 Speaker 1: Park and how good that team has been and how 367 00:22:19,480 --> 00:22:21,720 Speaker 1: they were able to like reimagine it on the fly. 368 00:22:23,040 --> 00:22:27,120 Speaker 1: Philadelphia was a straight ownership decision to say, yeah, we're 369 00:22:27,160 --> 00:22:29,160 Speaker 1: going for it, and they have Dave Dombrowski who's very 370 00:22:29,160 --> 00:22:33,200 Speaker 1: good at kind of twisting ownership's arm to spend. 371 00:22:34,440 --> 00:22:35,040 Speaker 3: More money. 372 00:22:35,119 --> 00:22:37,919 Speaker 1: Again, we'll see with Philadelphia like what sort of cliff 373 00:22:38,000 --> 00:22:44,760 Speaker 1: they're approaching or not. And you're right, like this just 374 00:22:44,800 --> 00:22:47,159 Speaker 1: does come down to ownership, Steve collenk the Meths, you know, 375 00:22:47,240 --> 00:22:50,440 Speaker 1: we're you know, a second team in that town and 376 00:22:50,720 --> 00:22:53,119 Speaker 1: maybe they always will be, but the gap is certainly 377 00:22:53,119 --> 00:22:55,920 Speaker 1: closing where they can go, you know, dollar for dollar, 378 00:22:56,040 --> 00:23:00,800 Speaker 1: player for player with the Yankees. And you know, I 379 00:23:00,880 --> 00:23:04,480 Speaker 1: do think what you alluded to earlier, sat of is relevant. 380 00:23:04,520 --> 00:23:09,600 Speaker 1: Of Okay, when the Caid Horton's and the Matt Shaws 381 00:23:09,680 --> 00:23:14,679 Speaker 1: are on those minimum salaries again, how are they gonna 382 00:23:15,720 --> 00:23:19,480 Speaker 1: really like turbo charges this roster because that was the 383 00:23:19,480 --> 00:23:21,800 Speaker 1: big thing in twenty sixteen. Right, If you have Chris 384 00:23:21,800 --> 00:23:25,080 Speaker 1: Bryant and Hobby Bias and Addison Russell, all these guys 385 00:23:25,080 --> 00:23:28,480 Speaker 1: making virtually nothing, and then they kind of went for it. 386 00:23:29,160 --> 00:23:34,080 Speaker 1: And that would probably be Jed's argument here or his 387 00:23:34,160 --> 00:23:38,480 Speaker 1: presentation to ownership and the fan base of like, all right, once, 388 00:23:38,840 --> 00:23:41,400 Speaker 1: once these pieces are in place, you know p Crow 389 00:23:41,480 --> 00:23:47,160 Speaker 1: Armstrong before as a pre arbitration player, for example, Michael Bush, 390 00:23:48,720 --> 00:23:51,960 Speaker 1: you'd have after twenty twenty six, some of these guys 391 00:23:51,960 --> 00:23:56,720 Speaker 1: who were paid the higher aav to come to Chicago 392 00:23:56,800 --> 00:23:58,920 Speaker 1: and kind of dress up the product and make it 393 00:23:59,200 --> 00:24:02,280 Speaker 1: look a little more spect those things fall off as well, 394 00:24:02,440 --> 00:24:06,480 Speaker 1: and then I think maybe you'd see the Cubs unleash 395 00:24:06,880 --> 00:24:11,400 Speaker 1: to a certain extent. Not always fair to like drop 396 00:24:11,480 --> 00:24:14,560 Speaker 1: Theo's name in these things, but he clearly was a 397 00:24:14,600 --> 00:24:17,520 Speaker 1: catalyst for a lot of what happened in that area. 398 00:24:17,600 --> 00:24:21,040 Speaker 1: And it's kind of to be determined how they'll operate 399 00:24:21,600 --> 00:24:25,600 Speaker 1: when that similar, if a similar opportunity presents. 400 00:24:25,240 --> 00:24:28,399 Speaker 2: Itself, right, And and I just wanted to touch on 401 00:24:28,440 --> 00:24:31,120 Speaker 2: this before we wrap up the episode, but you you 402 00:24:31,240 --> 00:24:33,080 Speaker 2: kind of touched on it a couple of times here. 403 00:24:34,760 --> 00:24:37,960 Speaker 2: People like Dave Dombrowski have a way about them that 404 00:24:37,960 --> 00:24:40,760 Speaker 2: that they're able to get more out of their owner. 405 00:24:40,800 --> 00:24:43,600 Speaker 2: They're able to like kind of sell it to the owner, like, no, 406 00:24:43,760 --> 00:24:46,600 Speaker 2: let's let's go for this in a different way. 407 00:24:46,680 --> 00:24:50,520 Speaker 3: Let's let's push all in. Uh. Let's uh. 408 00:24:50,920 --> 00:24:53,920 Speaker 2: And THEO had that ability, right, THEO was really good 409 00:24:53,960 --> 00:24:58,919 Speaker 2: at that and then it stopped working and and I 410 00:24:58,960 --> 00:25:01,800 Speaker 2: don't and I don't think they was thrilled about that. 411 00:25:02,359 --> 00:25:04,320 Speaker 2: And Jed kind of is like, these are my working 412 00:25:04,359 --> 00:25:08,080 Speaker 2: parameters and I'm not going to you know, I don't 413 00:25:08,119 --> 00:25:10,720 Speaker 2: know if it's Jed not pushing or Jed just saying like, 414 00:25:10,760 --> 00:25:13,920 Speaker 2: this is the reality that I'm faced with and I'm 415 00:25:13,960 --> 00:25:17,040 Speaker 2: not going to bother to deal with it. But that's 416 00:25:17,080 --> 00:25:20,080 Speaker 2: a real thing, you know, having a front office, having 417 00:25:20,480 --> 00:25:22,640 Speaker 2: you know, head of baseball ops that's able to kind 418 00:25:22,680 --> 00:25:25,480 Speaker 2: of push the owner, and having an owner that's willing 419 00:25:25,520 --> 00:25:26,159 Speaker 2: to be pushed. 420 00:25:27,200 --> 00:25:28,720 Speaker 3: I think Tom Ricketts was. 421 00:25:29,560 --> 00:25:34,000 Speaker 2: That owner pre twenty sixteen and maybe even post twenty 422 00:25:34,119 --> 00:25:35,600 Speaker 2: sixteen when you talk about you Darvish. 423 00:25:35,600 --> 00:25:36,520 Speaker 3: But something changed. 424 00:25:37,320 --> 00:25:39,919 Speaker 2: Maybe it was just as simple as that twenty eighteen season, 425 00:25:41,520 --> 00:25:44,640 Speaker 2: and maybe maybe that was what it was that kind 426 00:25:44,640 --> 00:25:46,760 Speaker 2: of changed the way he looks at it. 427 00:25:46,880 --> 00:25:48,680 Speaker 3: Maybe is that. 428 00:25:48,720 --> 00:25:51,639 Speaker 2: Combined with seeing teams like Tampa Bay and Cleveland and 429 00:25:52,240 --> 00:25:55,840 Speaker 2: Milwaukee do it the way they do it. But you 430 00:25:55,880 --> 00:25:58,679 Speaker 2: know it's clear that he's not going to spend like 431 00:25:58,680 --> 00:26:02,280 Speaker 2: the Padres in the Phillies, and it'll always just be 432 00:26:02,600 --> 00:26:05,000 Speaker 2: a talking point of like look at the Diamondbacks, look 433 00:26:05,040 --> 00:26:07,879 Speaker 2: at the Rays, look at Cleveland, whatever it may be, 434 00:26:08,040 --> 00:26:12,600 Speaker 2: that year's talking point may be all right. Thanks for 435 00:26:12,680 --> 00:26:15,639 Speaker 2: listening everyone, Thanks for watching on YouTube. Make sure to 436 00:26:15,720 --> 00:26:19,640 Speaker 2: rate review, Subscribe to North Side Territory, Subscribe on YouTube. 437 00:26:19,760 --> 00:26:23,320 Speaker 2: Subscribe to The Athletic where Patrick and I will be 438 00:26:23,440 --> 00:26:28,240 Speaker 2: covering everything all off season, all things Cubs. Truly appreciate 439 00:26:28,760 --> 00:26:29,920 Speaker 2: everyone that listens. 440 00:26:29,960 --> 00:26:30,320 Speaker 3: Thanks