1 00:00:03,440 --> 00:00:06,800 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg Surveillance. One of the things we have 2 00:00:06,960 --> 00:00:11,240 Speaker 1: to do is reinvigorate the Atlantic relationship, which is strength 3 00:00:11,320 --> 00:00:14,240 Speaker 1: and relations with the European community. A consequence of set 4 00:00:14,280 --> 00:00:17,040 Speaker 1: tightening over the next year could be a US passion 5 00:00:17,079 --> 00:00:19,160 Speaker 1: in seen. I think that is going to add to 6 00:00:19,239 --> 00:00:21,800 Speaker 1: the upside for the young. When you value a basket 7 00:00:21,840 --> 00:00:24,520 Speaker 1: of stocks in Germany now and you're up against a 8 00:00:24,680 --> 00:00:28,760 Speaker 1: zero interest rate for years, they look very attractive. Here 9 00:00:28,800 --> 00:00:33,080 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Surveillance, your link to the world of economics, finance 10 00:00:33,159 --> 00:00:37,000 Speaker 1: and investment on Bloomberg Radio. Good morning everyone, Michael McKay 11 00:00:37,000 --> 00:00:40,320 Speaker 1: in time kening. Mr mckeoff today Francine Lacroix. She pulled 12 00:00:40,360 --> 00:00:44,640 Speaker 1: the shortest of short straws. She's in London assisting this morning. 13 00:00:45,200 --> 00:00:48,120 Speaker 1: She has pneumonia, the flu or eight other diseases. We 14 00:00:48,159 --> 00:00:51,839 Speaker 1: really don't know. She's medicated. Are you okay, francinc Can 15 00:00:51,880 --> 00:00:53,479 Speaker 1: you get through the next hour? We did great? We 16 00:00:53,560 --> 00:00:57,080 Speaker 1: just needs need to survive brexit. Good. I recommend some 17 00:00:57,720 --> 00:01:03,240 Speaker 1: uh what's at Fortnum and Mason Piccadilly TI or seventeen 18 00:01:03,280 --> 00:01:07,640 Speaker 1: o seven, Yeah, something like that. I don't know. Take 19 00:01:07,640 --> 00:01:10,440 Speaker 1: your tea. The four X brief this morning as we 20 00:01:10,480 --> 00:01:13,800 Speaker 1: get started here. Uh it is is always brought you 21 00:01:13,840 --> 00:01:16,600 Speaker 1: by Interactive Brokers, winner of f X weeks two thousand 22 00:01:16,959 --> 00:01:20,360 Speaker 1: fifteen award for the best retail for its trading platform. 23 00:01:20,440 --> 00:01:23,640 Speaker 1: Visit ib at I b k R dot com, slash 24 00:01:24,200 --> 00:01:28,959 Speaker 1: four x and really early early early this morning, yen, 25 00:01:29,160 --> 00:01:33,520 Speaker 1: excuse me, n memby weakness which really bears watching into 26 00:01:33,560 --> 00:01:38,000 Speaker 1: the China Monday call it Sunday evening, New York time. 27 00:01:38,920 --> 00:01:41,440 Speaker 1: My radars up, folks. I'll be blunt. We went from 28 00:01:41,440 --> 00:01:44,600 Speaker 1: a sixty seven to a six point five one. It's 29 00:01:44,640 --> 00:01:48,400 Speaker 1: not like trading envelopes or two standard deviations kind of move. 30 00:01:48,440 --> 00:01:52,160 Speaker 1: But nevertheless, a weakness to written memby which you should 31 00:01:52,200 --> 00:01:56,760 Speaker 1: be informed of yen euro one eleven sixty six dollar 32 00:01:56,840 --> 00:02:03,720 Speaker 1: strength the x y nine six point one eight Yahoo, 33 00:02:04,200 --> 00:02:08,280 Speaker 1: here's David Wilson, Yah, who indeed will get to that second, 34 00:02:08,520 --> 00:02:11,560 Speaker 1: doesn't get it's getting more interesting though, What do you 35 00:02:11,600 --> 00:02:13,880 Speaker 1: got to talk about that in a moment, because really, 36 00:02:14,160 --> 00:02:16,239 Speaker 1: if you look at what's going on with the futures 37 00:02:16,240 --> 00:02:19,480 Speaker 1: being lowers driven by oil prices, again, you've got crew 38 00:02:19,560 --> 00:02:21,560 Speaker 1: down more than a dollar a barrow in New York 39 00:02:21,600 --> 00:02:24,840 Speaker 1: trading for the second straight day. You look at Exon 40 00:02:24,919 --> 00:02:27,400 Speaker 1: Mobile and Chevron, they're both down about one percent in 41 00:02:27,440 --> 00:02:30,799 Speaker 1: early trading. Marathon Oil down three and a half percent, 42 00:02:30,840 --> 00:02:33,640 Speaker 1: and yes there's Yahoo. Not a whole lot of direction 43 00:02:33,720 --> 00:02:36,560 Speaker 1: in the stock so far was up one percent. Has 44 00:02:36,600 --> 00:02:40,360 Speaker 1: given back that game. The activist investor's Starboard value began 45 00:02:40,400 --> 00:02:44,200 Speaker 1: a proxy fight to replace the web portal's entire board. 46 00:02:44,520 --> 00:02:47,600 Speaker 1: That's where it gets interesting. They want all nine seats 47 00:02:47,639 --> 00:02:50,600 Speaker 1: on the board. Starboard owns at one point seven percent 48 00:02:50,680 --> 00:02:52,920 Speaker 1: Steak and Yahoo. It has called for an overhaul of 49 00:02:52,960 --> 00:02:56,680 Speaker 1: its management as well as its directors. You've got our 50 00:02:56,720 --> 00:02:58,880 Speaker 1: Tree a group down one a half percent. The cigarette 51 00:02:58,919 --> 00:03:00,560 Speaker 1: maker was cut to neutral from by a Bank of 52 00:03:00,600 --> 00:03:04,240 Speaker 1: America Merrill Lynch, citing valuation trea's shares of trading at 53 00:03:04,240 --> 00:03:07,519 Speaker 1: about twenty two times earnings, where the price earnings ratio 54 00:03:07,600 --> 00:03:12,160 Speaker 1: peaked twice last year. On the take over front, Staples 55 00:03:12,240 --> 00:03:15,000 Speaker 1: up four and a half percent. The federal judge criticized 56 00:03:15,080 --> 00:03:18,519 Speaker 1: US regulators were trying to obtain false information in their 57 00:03:18,560 --> 00:03:22,640 Speaker 1: effort to block the office products retailer from buying office Depot. 58 00:03:23,000 --> 00:03:25,960 Speaker 1: The judges hearing the Federal Trade Commission's anti trust lawsuit 59 00:03:26,000 --> 00:03:29,000 Speaker 1: against the six point three billion dollar deal, and the 60 00:03:29,120 --> 00:03:33,120 Speaker 1: Office Depot shares up about ten percent in early trading. 61 00:03:33,639 --> 00:03:36,200 Speaker 1: Uh Terrax up eight and a half percent. China zoom 62 00:03:36,200 --> 00:03:38,600 Speaker 1: Line Heavy Industry raised its offer for the maker of 63 00:03:38,640 --> 00:03:41,520 Speaker 1: cranes and other industrial equipment, and Terek said it will 64 00:03:41,560 --> 00:03:44,720 Speaker 1: whole talks with the company, and Terrax previously accepted an 65 00:03:44,800 --> 00:03:48,320 Speaker 1: offer from Finland's Conn of cranes. On the earnings front, 66 00:03:48,320 --> 00:03:51,360 Speaker 1: Accent You're up one percent. The consulting FIRMACE fiscal second 67 00:03:51,400 --> 00:03:54,600 Speaker 1: quarter profit and revenue exceeded analyst average estimates in the 68 00:03:54,600 --> 00:03:58,360 Speaker 1: Bloomberg survey. Signa Jewelers up two percent. The owner of 69 00:03:58,360 --> 00:04:02,080 Speaker 1: the Jared k and z Ale jewelry Change indicated fiscally, 70 00:04:02,080 --> 00:04:05,120 Speaker 1: your earnings are likely to beat estimates. PDH up four 71 00:04:05,120 --> 00:04:07,600 Speaker 1: and a half percent. The maker of Calvin Kleine and 72 00:04:07,680 --> 00:04:11,280 Speaker 1: Tommy Hilfinger apparel reported fiscal fourth quarter earnings and sales 73 00:04:11,280 --> 00:04:14,840 Speaker 1: and exceeded estimates. Katie Home up six percent. The home 74 00:04:14,880 --> 00:04:19,440 Speaker 1: builders fiscal first quarter profit and revenue beat projections finish line, 75 00:04:19,480 --> 00:04:21,920 Speaker 1: though down four and a half percent. The Athletic were 76 00:04:22,000 --> 00:04:26,000 Speaker 1: Retailers earnings forecast for the current fiscal year trailed estimates 77 00:04:26,120 --> 00:04:29,280 Speaker 1: and Portola Pharmaceuticals most actles stock and early trading down 78 00:04:29,279 --> 00:04:31,920 Speaker 1: twenty eight and a half percent. The drug maker set 79 00:04:31,960 --> 00:04:34,800 Speaker 1: a proposed treatment to prevent blood clots failed to meet 80 00:04:34,800 --> 00:04:37,480 Speaker 1: a goal for effectiveness in a final stage study. I 81 00:04:38,160 --> 00:04:40,320 Speaker 1: love when you're here, particularly when you have your dark 82 00:04:40,400 --> 00:04:44,440 Speaker 1: side of the Moon tie on. But David Gilmore moment, 83 00:04:44,920 --> 00:04:47,479 Speaker 1: good Friday's coming up. You know it's a dark time. 84 00:04:47,760 --> 00:04:49,920 Speaker 1: David Wilson with us with his pink Floyd tie on 85 00:04:50,040 --> 00:04:52,920 Speaker 1: this morning. Arthur Lovitt is not wearing a pink Floyd tie. 86 00:04:53,120 --> 00:04:56,080 Speaker 1: Is the former chairman of the Security and Exchange Commission, 87 00:04:56,160 --> 00:05:00,200 Speaker 1: board member for Bloomberg. Lbe Arthur within your research. Note 88 00:05:00,240 --> 00:05:03,000 Speaker 1: to me this morning. One thing stands out and you 89 00:05:03,040 --> 00:05:07,640 Speaker 1: are dead on. It is surreal how Wall Street and 90 00:05:07,760 --> 00:05:11,920 Speaker 1: bankers struggle with what would be in every other election, 91 00:05:12,040 --> 00:05:17,960 Speaker 1: totally normal runaway Republican candidate. And boy are they struggling 92 00:05:18,240 --> 00:05:21,400 Speaker 1: with someone that owns six of the skyscrapers they all 93 00:05:21,440 --> 00:05:24,680 Speaker 1: live in in Manhattan. Just give us, you know, granted 94 00:05:24,720 --> 00:05:28,440 Speaker 1: from a democratic aisle, give us Arthur Levitt some perspective 95 00:05:28,839 --> 00:05:34,560 Speaker 1: on how Mr Trump courts Wall Street well in almost 96 00:05:34,560 --> 00:05:39,800 Speaker 1: any other election, the bankers and Wall Street would be 97 00:05:40,400 --> 00:05:46,800 Speaker 1: celebrating the emergence of a highly visible Republican candidate. But 98 00:05:49,160 --> 00:05:52,160 Speaker 1: there are many reasons that they're holding back. Trump isn't 99 00:05:52,200 --> 00:05:57,440 Speaker 1: committed to regulatory relief, He's not committed to Dodd Frank 100 00:05:57,520 --> 00:06:02,080 Speaker 1: repeal or any other bank prayer party, and when in doubt, 101 00:06:02,160 --> 00:06:05,719 Speaker 1: Trump is a populist and that's that's bad for banks, 102 00:06:06,320 --> 00:06:10,400 Speaker 1: and Trump pursues Vendetta's would you like him over seeing 103 00:06:10,440 --> 00:06:17,480 Speaker 1: the SEC or CFPB? Trump could cost Republicans the Senate 104 00:06:17,839 --> 00:06:23,080 Speaker 1: and maybe even the House. Do you have a perspective 105 00:06:23,400 --> 00:06:28,360 Speaker 1: on his financial platform as people struggle with his foreign 106 00:06:28,640 --> 00:06:35,320 Speaker 1: policy platform? I absolutely do not. Uh, you know, I'd ask, 107 00:06:35,720 --> 00:06:42,200 Speaker 1: I'd ask back, what policy program has Trump clearly defined? 108 00:06:42,400 --> 00:06:45,760 Speaker 1: And you couldn't come up with an answer. And I 109 00:06:45,800 --> 00:06:48,760 Speaker 1: really blame the media for not pinning him down on 110 00:06:49,560 --> 00:06:56,320 Speaker 1: the incredibly vague policy proposals, and Wall Street and financial 111 00:06:56,360 --> 00:07:03,400 Speaker 1: markets is probably the least likely area of of Trump's 112 00:07:03,520 --> 00:07:10,760 Speaker 1: imprint in terms of specific proposals. Are we yes? Sorry, 113 00:07:10,800 --> 00:07:14,400 Speaker 1: go ahead, no? No. I was going to ask you about, 114 00:07:14,960 --> 00:07:18,400 Speaker 1: you know, political spending and whether the SEC will actually 115 00:07:18,480 --> 00:07:22,040 Speaker 1: take up the issue of disclosure of more political spending 116 00:07:22,040 --> 00:07:26,640 Speaker 1: this year not a chance, I'd saying not likely for 117 00:07:26,760 --> 00:07:31,720 Speaker 1: next year as well. Uh, it's a hot button issue. 118 00:07:32,440 --> 00:07:36,800 Speaker 1: The Oversight Committee, headed by Jeb henzel Ring of the House, 119 00:07:37,960 --> 00:07:43,160 Speaker 1: simply wouldn't tolerate that kind of bill. And the power 120 00:07:43,280 --> 00:07:49,040 Speaker 1: has shifted so heavily against regulation and against the SEC 121 00:07:49,240 --> 00:07:53,720 Speaker 1: in particular on the part of its oversight body that 122 00:07:53,800 --> 00:07:57,160 Speaker 1: to take on a hot button issue such as can 123 00:07:57,280 --> 00:08:02,800 Speaker 1: revealing campaign funding is absolutely out of the question for 124 00:08:02,880 --> 00:08:06,280 Speaker 1: this year, and I would say next year as well, 125 00:08:06,680 --> 00:08:10,880 Speaker 1: unless the Democrats were to take back the House, which 126 00:08:10,960 --> 00:08:17,400 Speaker 1: is extraordinarily unlikely. I look, Arthur, some of the challenges 127 00:08:17,760 --> 00:08:19,520 Speaker 1: are we at a point in the election cycle where 128 00:08:19,560 --> 00:08:22,040 Speaker 1: everything just gets on hold in the game of the 129 00:08:22,160 --> 00:08:25,640 Speaker 1: SEC and regulation. I mean, does everybody basically shut down 130 00:08:25,640 --> 00:08:28,040 Speaker 1: to see who wins the first Tuesday? And I think, 131 00:08:29,200 --> 00:08:33,400 Speaker 1: I think in the absence of some extraordinary scandal or 132 00:08:34,120 --> 00:08:37,040 Speaker 1: break up of some sort, or failure of some sort, 133 00:08:37,760 --> 00:08:42,920 Speaker 1: the SEC is not going to implement anything really dramatic 134 00:08:43,000 --> 00:08:47,000 Speaker 1: in the area of rulemaking this year. And a lot 135 00:08:47,120 --> 00:08:52,240 Speaker 1: depends next year on who was elected president. I think 136 00:08:52,280 --> 00:08:58,800 Speaker 1: in a Hillary who led country, the SEC will be 137 00:08:58,880 --> 00:09:06,160 Speaker 1: more of an activist agency then in a Donald Trump environment. Yeah, Arthur, 138 00:09:06,240 --> 00:09:11,160 Speaker 1: I just find it amazing. Uh where we are, it's extraordinary. 139 00:09:12,080 --> 00:09:16,280 Speaker 1: I thought that Bernie made Off was the biggest surprise 140 00:09:16,360 --> 00:09:20,320 Speaker 1: of my professional life. But I think that Donald Trump 141 00:09:20,320 --> 00:09:25,040 Speaker 1: trumps that well, very good. That's quite agree. I don't 142 00:09:25,080 --> 00:09:27,120 Speaker 1: give my opinion, Arthur. I get shot if I do. 143 00:09:27,360 --> 00:09:30,040 Speaker 1: But John Tucker was laughing at me. But well, what 144 00:09:30,280 --> 00:09:34,760 Speaker 1: Arthur Levitty says, he does it. But Arthur Levitt, by 145 00:09:34,800 --> 00:09:37,080 Speaker 1: the way, folks, so we're the way a rod got 146 00:09:37,200 --> 00:09:41,720 Speaker 1: his two year retirement tour is some Arthur Levitt. Arthur's 147 00:09:41,760 --> 00:09:46,040 Speaker 1: got out of five year retirement tour. Arthur Levitt, thank 148 00:09:46,080 --> 00:09:48,520 Speaker 1: you so much. He is the former chairman of the 149 00:09:48,520 --> 00:09:53,199 Speaker 1: Security Exchange Commission h joining us today. Francine, I'll tell 150 00:09:53,200 --> 00:09:55,680 Speaker 1: you I have no idea where we'll be in eight 151 00:09:55,679 --> 00:09:59,960 Speaker 1: weeks on the politic after Wisconsin, after the political derby, 152 00:10:00,280 --> 00:10:03,680 Speaker 1: shout out to with all due respect, John Heilman and 153 00:10:03,720 --> 00:10:07,640 Speaker 1: Mark Halperin are doing what actually needs to be done, 154 00:10:08,160 --> 00:10:11,840 Speaker 1: which is have conversations with the candidates that are not 155 00:10:11,960 --> 00:10:15,760 Speaker 1: incendiary and gotcha and all that. I give them major 156 00:10:15,840 --> 00:10:19,680 Speaker 1: marks for driving the conversation forward. I urge you to 157 00:10:19,720 --> 00:10:23,440 Speaker 1: consider the digital access and the actual show with all 158 00:10:23,520 --> 00:10:27,080 Speaker 1: due respect, that you can see at five pm typically 159 00:10:27,080 --> 00:10:30,840 Speaker 1: worldwide on Bloomberg. They've done a great job of moving 160 00:10:31,520 --> 00:10:35,720 Speaker 1: the conversation with the candidates forward away from the sterea 161 00:10:35,800 --> 00:10:40,320 Speaker 1: that's UH epidemic today, futures negative fourteen, doubt futures at 162 00:10:40,320 --> 00:10:44,120 Speaker 1: negative one twelve A tenure yield one point eight six 163 00:10:44,200 --> 00:10:52,959 Speaker 1: percent UH accrued Donna dollar fifty nine. And now to 164 00:10:53,040 --> 00:10:56,160 Speaker 1: the news in New York is Michael Barr, Tom Francine, 165 00:10:56,200 --> 00:10:59,200 Speaker 1: thank you very much. The chief Paris attacks suspect has 166 00:10:59,240 --> 00:11:02,160 Speaker 1: appeared in cool word in Brussels, where his lawyer declared 167 00:11:02,200 --> 00:11:05,280 Speaker 1: that Salah obvious Slam is not interested in fighting extradition 168 00:11:05,360 --> 00:11:09,439 Speaker 1: to France. Meanwhile, French and Belgian media reports speak of 169 00:11:09,600 --> 00:11:13,040 Speaker 1: an additional bomber in Brussels who is alive and on 170 00:11:13,200 --> 00:11:16,360 Speaker 1: the run. Democrats are evenly split between Hillary Clinton and 171 00:11:16,440 --> 00:11:19,480 Speaker 1: Bernie Sanders. That is, according to a new Bloomberg pole 172 00:11:19,960 --> 00:11:23,319 Speaker 1: It shows that Sanders has of people who planned to 173 00:11:23,440 --> 00:11:27,160 Speaker 1: vote or have voted in Democratic contests this year. Clinton 174 00:11:27,280 --> 00:11:31,120 Speaker 1: has forty percent. Today is the deadline for Indiana governor 175 00:11:31,160 --> 00:11:34,560 Speaker 1: Mike Pence to act on the controversial anti abortion measure. 176 00:11:35,000 --> 00:11:38,080 Speaker 1: It would ban abortions because of genetic abnormalities such as 177 00:11:38,200 --> 00:11:41,760 Speaker 1: down syndrome. Global News twenty four hours a day, powered 178 00:11:41,800 --> 00:11:44,960 Speaker 1: by our two journalists and more than a hundred fifty 179 00:11:45,000 --> 00:11:47,800 Speaker 1: news bureaus from around the world. Michael bar Franzing, Tom, 180 00:11:48,040 --> 00:11:49,880 Speaker 1: Michael bar thanks so much. We are thrilled with you. 181 00:11:50,040 --> 00:11:53,679 Speaker 1: From our London and New York World headquarters. Fransing Okua 182 00:11:53,760 --> 00:11:57,320 Speaker 1: and Tom King will continue our discussion on economics, finance, 183 00:11:57,360 --> 00:12:02,079 Speaker 1: investment in international relations futes A negative fourteen Bloomberg Surveillance 184 00:12:05,520 --> 00:12:08,120 Speaker 1: Market drivers brought to you by Mercedes Benz This moth 185 00:12:08,160 --> 00:12:11,240 Speaker 1: your Mercedes Vence trstate dealers welcome Spring with limited time 186 00:12:11,320 --> 00:12:14,000 Speaker 1: offers and select models like the Sporting c L A 187 00:12:14,120 --> 00:12:17,199 Speaker 1: and Versatile g l A, each engineered in price to move. 188 00:12:17,320 --> 00:12:19,160 Speaker 1: Visit m b usa dot com today