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Speaker 1: The Action Network podcast, named vest vetting Podcast or radio

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Speaker 1: show by the Fantasy Sports and Gaming Association and the

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Speaker 1: number one show for the invested sports fan.

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Speaker 2: All Right, here we go. We're growing in job spec

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Speaker 2: I'm sitting it to cash.

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Speaker 3: We'll see most gamblers when they go to gamble, they

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Speaker 3: go to win.

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Speaker 2: God, that's incredible.

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Speaker 4: Big banks, small banks.

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Speaker 2: I like to make money.

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Speaker 5: All right, this is the ultimate combine you want to pull,

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Speaker 5: and we are underway.

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Speaker 2: Hello everyone, Welcome back to another NFL Fantasy Flex episode

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Speaker 2: of the award winning Action Network podcast, presented by Bett MGM,

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Speaker 2: the official OS provider of the show. I'm Matthew Friedman,

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Speaker 2: the editor in chief of Fantasy Labs. Here with me

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Speaker 2: are Shawn Corner and Chris Raymond. Shawn is the Action

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Speaker 2: Network Director of Predictive Analytics. Chris is a senior editor

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Speaker 2: and analyst at the Action Network, and there too the

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Speaker 2: best fantasy football rankers in the world. In this episode,

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Speaker 2: we are highlighting the players at the top of our

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Speaker 2: week four rankings, which you can of course find in

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Speaker 2: our Fantasy tool at the Action Network. We are discussing

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Speaker 2: the guys we are high and low on, including daily

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Speaker 2: fantasy values fades and tournament plays. Of course, for more

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Speaker 2: on DFS, you can check out our Fantasy Labs models.

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Speaker 2: And then we're going to speculate on a couple of

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Speaker 2: player props offered by our oddsmaker Sean Corner and joining

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Speaker 2: us and his return to the show his longtime friend

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Speaker 2: and fellow self loathing Cowboys fan Davis Maddock, an NFL

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Speaker 2: contributor for Proto Experts and hosts of the take Cast podcast, Davis,

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Speaker 2: how's it gone?

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Speaker 3: It's gone great. I always love coming on this show.

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Speaker 3: This is one of my favorite ones, so I'm very

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Speaker 3: excited to be here with you guys.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it's always good having you on the show. I

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Speaker 2: like to have you normally. In week four, it's the

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Speaker 2: first of the bye weeks. I want to remind everyone

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Speaker 2: to participate in the best DFS contest on this side

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Speaker 2: of the Atlantic. I'm talking about the Action Network podcast

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Speaker 2: Tournament of Champions presented by bet MGM. It is a

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Speaker 2: listeners can join for free every week. Click on the

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Speaker 2: link in the episode description to join. All right, guys,

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Speaker 2: let's get into the show. At the top of our

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Speaker 2: quarterback rankings this week, no big surprises there. We have

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Speaker 2: Russell Wilson and then maybe this is a smidgeon of

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Speaker 2: a surprise for some people, we have Josh Allen number two,

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Speaker 2: and then Patrick Mahomes number three. Davis, how are you

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Speaker 2: stacking your quarterbacks this week? The guys, the three guys

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Speaker 2: at the top of your board.

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Speaker 3: So I think there is this really interesting dynamic going

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Speaker 3: on in fantasy football right now where there is a

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Speaker 3: clear tier of haves and have nots at quarterbacks. Right now,

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Speaker 3: Russell Wilson and Josh Allen are on pace to have

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Speaker 3: the first and third highest Fantasy totals ever. And Mahomes

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Speaker 3: is having a good season right I think he had

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Speaker 3: like about forty five DraftKings points on Monday night. Lamar

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Speaker 3: is having a terrible season. Lamar's quarterback twelve right now,

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Speaker 3: and that kind of changes the complexity of it. But

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Speaker 3: the overall point I'm trying to make is you just

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Speaker 3: you can't be losing at quarterback, right Like you can't

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Speaker 3: be rolling into your games with Tom Brady, you can't

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Speaker 3: be rolling into your games with Ben Roethlisberger, with Ryan

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Speaker 3: Tanneil these guys who are even having good seasons. You're

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Speaker 3: getting You're because you're getting schlacked by people who have Mahomes,

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Speaker 3: by people who have Josh Allen, by people who have

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Speaker 3: Russ Wilson. I would have them in that order, though, Friedman,

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Speaker 3: that you that you just laid out.

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Speaker 2: Really you have that order.

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Speaker 3: Josh Allen was like born to score fantasy points. Like like,

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Speaker 3: I actually think that over the course of the year

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Speaker 3: we will see a lot more Chiefs gets play out

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Speaker 3: like Week one and Week two where the offense looked

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Speaker 3: really conservative and you were just begging them to stop

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Speaker 3: handing the ball off to Clyde ever Tilaire. Then week

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Speaker 3: three where Mahomes, you know, looks like the best athlete

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Speaker 3: you know to ever play any sport. Ever, I actually

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Speaker 3: think they would rather give the ball to Clyde ver

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Speaker 3: Tilaire twenty five times a game.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, any read always going against the grain. I should

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Speaker 2: say last week I had Josh Allen as my number

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Speaker 2: one quarterback and it felt like a shock when I

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Speaker 2: first did my projections to have him there. And now

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Speaker 2: it just feels like some not like totally normal, but

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Speaker 2: like I'm getting used to it. And and Sean, you

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Speaker 2: at this point now have Alan ranked in the top three.

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Speaker 2: How do you stack the top three guys?

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Speaker 5: Number one is Russell Wilson. He's in a tier all

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Speaker 5: by himself. And then you know, I mentioned it last

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Speaker 5: week just it's so interchangeable with Mahomes, Alan, Dak, even

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Speaker 5: Lamar I think he'll have a bounce back game, and

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Speaker 5: Kyler Murray that you know, there's actually tied for number two.

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Speaker 5: I bought Josh Allen down just a tad just because

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Speaker 5: John Brown's expected to mess that that could hurt him

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Speaker 5: a bit. But and Mahomes proved last night you know

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Speaker 5: he's matchup proof, so I bumped him up a little bit.

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Speaker 5: So right now I have Mahomes number two and Josh

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Speaker 5: Allen number three. But again, like you know, Dak and

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Speaker 5: Lamar and Kyler are all right there, So it's you know,

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Speaker 5: any of these top six should be in every persons

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Speaker 5: starting lineup in season long fantasy. The question is for DFS,

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Speaker 5: which guy Shouterry? We could talk about that in a bit.

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Speaker 2: All right, Raybond, what about you? How are you stacking

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Speaker 2: the top three guys?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, so right now I'm going Russell Wilson. I agree

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Speaker 4: with Sean. He's got to be in a tier by himself.

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Speaker 4: He's got fourteen touchdowns on the year, he's just playing

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Speaker 4: unbelievable and he gets to Miami Dolphins, now one of

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Speaker 4: the worst defenses in the in the week, so he's there.

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Speaker 4: I have Mahomes number two for now, but him, Josh Allen,

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Speaker 4: and Lamar Jackson are separated by tents of a point

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Speaker 4: for me, So I may end up going with Josh

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Speaker 4: Allen number two and even Lamar number three because it's

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Speaker 4: overreaction week because I talked about how Lamar Jackson really

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Speaker 4: it was a bad match for him against the Chiefs. Yes,

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Speaker 4: they're run defense, but you're gonna need to pass on

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Speaker 4: them at some point because they can score so many points.

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Speaker 4: And this is the second time that you know, Mark

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Speaker 4: Andrews got shut down Spagnolo has just been really good

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Speaker 4: at kind of shutting him down and shutting his top

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Speaker 4: weapons down. And now you're playing the Washington football team.

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Speaker 4: That's a totally different kind of defense. Baltimore favored by

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Speaker 4: thirteen points on the road, so the regression could be

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Speaker 4: swift for Lamar Jackson, while I'm a little bit more

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Speaker 4: concerned about Mahomes against the Patriots just because it's Bill

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Speaker 4: Belichick and you know, Mahomes coming off the big week,

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Speaker 4: So I may end up flip flopping those guys and

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Speaker 4: go Wilson Allen Jackson. But right now I still have

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Speaker 4: Mahomes number two ahead of Jackson and Allen.

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Speaker 2: So I have Alan number one, and it's super close

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Speaker 2: with Russell Wilson. I mean, you know, like tens of

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Speaker 2: a point. If you look at the projected fantasy points

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Speaker 2: in our rankings, we have Russell Wilson projected for twenty

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Speaker 2: five point two and Josh Allen for twenty five, so

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Speaker 2: even collectively, like we have those guys neck and neck,

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Speaker 2: and then number three, I'm actually going with Dak Prescott,

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Speaker 2: who I think has a fantastic matchup against the Cleveland Browns,

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Speaker 2: who might be without number one cornerback Denzel Ward. Number

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Speaker 2: two cornerback Greedy Williams. He practiced last week, but he's

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Speaker 2: still yet to play this season. And then of course,

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Speaker 2: you know, without their starting safety for the entire season,

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Speaker 2: and he's crushed historically at home as a favorite. And

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Speaker 2: then it's a game with a very high total around

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Speaker 2: fifty five points right now at bet MGM. So I

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Speaker 2: think just a fantastic spot for him. But Sean, as

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Speaker 2: you said, it's close with all of these guys at

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Speaker 2: the top, but I give the edge to Dak for

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Speaker 2: number three. All Right, Davis, I want to get your

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Speaker 2: thoughts on a guy that you are relatively high on.

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Speaker 3: So I mean the guy that I seem to be

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Speaker 3: high on relative to their their DraftKings salary and probably

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Speaker 3: where other rankers will have him is going to be

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Speaker 3: Cam Newton. I know that we just saw a running

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Speaker 3: quarterback get punished against the Kansas City Chiefs. This might

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Speaker 3: be prepared to load the hot take cannon, but actually

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Speaker 3: think Cam is a better passer than Lamar. He tends

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Speaker 3: to make the short, you know, eight yard sideline throws

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Speaker 3: like he's pretty automatic with those. He did have. He

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Speaker 3: did have that interception against the Seahawks when he was

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Speaker 3: trying to hit to mere Bird. But he's like a

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Speaker 3: lot better at that and especially at staying in the pocket.

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Speaker 3: And I don't think we are going to see the

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Speaker 3: Chiefs blow out the Patriots the way that they blew

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Speaker 3: out the Ravens. And Cam is the best goal on

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Speaker 3: Russian football, right he has three rushing touchdowns through two weeks.

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Speaker 3: They really didn't need him to play at all against

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Speaker 3: the Raiders. I mean, they probably could have won that

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Speaker 3: game with Stidham, but Rexburg had had the three touchdowns. Basically,

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Speaker 3: Cam Newton is going to get like twenty two Fantasy

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Speaker 3: points at a minimum this week, and I can get

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Speaker 3: up to like thirty five. I imagine when I sit

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Speaker 3: down to do my rankings this week, he'll be like

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Speaker 3: my quarterback seven or eight.

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Speaker 2: Probably, Yeah, Davis, I'm right there with you. He's the

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Speaker 2: guy that I've also kind of highlighted as someone I'm

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Speaker 2: high on. I have him at QB seven, Sean, you

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Speaker 2: and Chris have him, I believe around quarterback ten. What

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Speaker 2: are your thoughts with this matchup?

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Speaker 5: Yeah, so I have Cam QB nine. Last week I

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Speaker 5: think I had him like QB four. I was pretty

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Speaker 5: high on him, just that goal line offense that they

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Speaker 5: run with him. You know, I think we can expect

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Speaker 5: over ten rushing touchdowns this year, so I think it's

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Speaker 5: gonna be pretty volatile. But a matchup like this where

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Speaker 5: he's gonna be forced to throw will be similar to

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Speaker 5: what we saw against the Seahawks. So I do love

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Speaker 5: Cam this week. But when it comes to QB's I'm

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Speaker 5: high on. I still think that, you know, these qbs

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Speaker 5: in the seven K range are must plays this week.

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Speaker 5: I think you absolutely have to spend up at QB. So,

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Speaker 5: you know, Russ Wilson, Dak Josh Allen and Kyler and

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Speaker 5: Patrick Mahomes, even all these seven K guys. I think

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Speaker 5: if you're gonna build twenty lineups, you want to, you know,

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Speaker 5: focus on those guys and their stacks. I think Russell

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Speaker 5: Wilson is just the easiest guy to stack. You can,

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Speaker 5: you know, go Tyra Lockett or DK Metcalf or both.

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Speaker 5: So he'll probably be my highest own QB and GPPs.

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Speaker 5: But the other guy I want to highlight is the

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Speaker 5: QB on the other side of the ball in that game,

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Speaker 5: and that's Ryan Fitzpatrick. He's only five point four k

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Speaker 5: So if I'm going to spend down, I think he

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Speaker 5: would be the guy. He's my top streamer play this

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Speaker 5: week as my QB fourteen. But I think this this

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Speaker 5: could be a shootout. And you know, I had this

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Speaker 5: line projected for about seven and a half, so seeing

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Speaker 5: it bet down to bet MGM, it's down to Seahawks

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Speaker 5: minus six and a half, So I think Sharps might

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Speaker 5: think that the Dolphins can keep this closer than people realize.

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Speaker 5: With Ryan Fitzpatrick, we always have to worry about him

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Speaker 5: getting bench Fortua, but I think he's pretty safe this week.

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Speaker 5: And if you're playing him a GPPs, you know you're

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Speaker 5: going for upside anyway. So he's my top cheap flyer

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Speaker 5: this week.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, fitz is definitely popping in the Fantasy Labs models Raybond,

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Speaker 2: I want to get your thoughts on Cam Newton and

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Speaker 2: then a guy that you are high on this week.

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Speaker 5: Yeah.

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Speaker 4: So Cam is really interesting to me because I actually

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Speaker 4: think he's the perfect GPP quarterback because I could see

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Speaker 4: it going one of two ways. I could see them

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Speaker 4: really kind of limiting him in the past game, like

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Speaker 4: they they've not only shut down Lamar, they've really made

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Speaker 4: it tough on Deshaun Watson. We know Andy Reid is

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Speaker 4: like one of the few coaches in the league that

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Speaker 4: can kind of match up with Belichick. But on the

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Speaker 4: other side, this is perfect for Belichick because they just played,

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Speaker 4: you know, two of the best quarterbacks in the league

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Speaker 4: that have similar skill sets. And I'm just thinking they

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Speaker 4: might run Cam like twenty five times, like this is

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Speaker 4: the number of bottom three defense and rushing DVOA and

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Speaker 4: every time quarterbacks are trying to drop back and throw

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Speaker 4: against these guys, they can't do it. Like l Jerrus

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Speaker 4: Sneid is really good, Like they have a really good,

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Speaker 4: kind of underrated secondary that we don't really good.

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Speaker 3: It's a stretch. It's better than the run defense for sure.

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Speaker 3: I mean, I think I think Matt now Is. I mean,

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Speaker 3: he's the guy who really holds it all together. Snead

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Speaker 3: could get burnt if their wide receivers weren't Edelman, Harry

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Speaker 3: and demiir Burn.

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Speaker 4: They are, But that's what I'm put This is what

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Speaker 4: I say.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I see your point.

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Speaker 4: For shreg Nolo is makes them better with his scheming,

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Speaker 4: Like he's always fun. Like they finished like number one

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Speaker 4: or two in the league in defense against wide receivers

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Speaker 4: last year, and that was with like corners that like

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Speaker 4: it was like Pashan Breeland and all these guys. So

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Speaker 4: Cam could run like twenty five times against his defense.

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Speaker 4: So I think he is like has like QB one

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Speaker 4: overall upside. But I'm a little more worried about his floor.

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Speaker 4: So I think I'm gonna go with him in GVPS.

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Speaker 4: But I was kind of I was glad you guys

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Speaker 4: brought him up for me. I had Ryan Fitzpatrick circle

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Speaker 4: as well. You want to think about how crazy Russell

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Speaker 4: Wilson is playing, and you look at the Seahawks defense

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Speaker 4: and they've given up three hundred and ninety four more

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Speaker 4: passing yards than Russell Wilson has thrown for They're getting

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Speaker 4: into shootouts so everybody because Russ is just scoring so quick,

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Speaker 4: they're being so efficient. So you look at this game

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Speaker 4: the total fifty four. See it's given up the most

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Speaker 4: passing yards in the league. And it could be sloppy

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Speaker 4: with Fitzpatrick, he might throw a pick or two, but

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Speaker 4: they're at home. You know, you just got to go

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Speaker 4: with it. This is like the cheap guy that could

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Speaker 4: put up like four hundred yards and We've seen Pat

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Speaker 4: Fitzpatrick do it before, so that is like the nut play.

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Speaker 2: All right, Davis, who are you relatively low.

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Speaker 3: On Deshaun Watson and Jared Goff. I love Deshaun Watson.

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Speaker 3: I think he's great. I'm assuming that this game plays

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Speaker 3: and that it's not called off due to COVID tests

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Speaker 3: or whatever. He's sixty six hundred on DraftKings, you know,

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Speaker 3: and I think at that point I would just I'd

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Speaker 3: rather go to Kyler. I would rather play Cam Newton.

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Speaker 3: Like I think that this Texans offense is so spectacularly untalented,

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Speaker 3: with Will Fuller playing through some kind of hamstring thing,

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Speaker 3: no offensive line, DeAndre Hopkins gone playing, David Johnson eighty

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Speaker 3: five percent of the offensive snaps. I know, I like

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Speaker 3: David john and Buddy. We had so many great memories together.

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Speaker 3: I really I love you. I think you're great. I

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Speaker 3: just it's you know, we all we all lose our

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Speaker 3: fastball at some point, and I and I also think

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Speaker 3: that I don't know if they're going to let him run.

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Speaker 3: Really this year, he has eleven rushing attempts through three games.

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Speaker 3: They're all they were all designed or they were all scrambles, right,

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Speaker 3: these are not designed runs. So I kind of think

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Speaker 3: that Deshaun Watson is like a back end QB one

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Speaker 3: rest of season, and I don't think that's the prevailing

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Speaker 3: opinion on him yet.

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Speaker 2: Sean, who are you relatively low on?

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Speaker 5: You know, I think Lamar Jackson is overpriced. You know

299
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Speaker 5: that the prices came out before my night football, so

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Speaker 5: he's going to be pretty low owned, and I'm going

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Speaker 5: to be fading him just a eighty one hundred. You know,

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Speaker 5: he's going to have a bounce back game against Washington

303
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Speaker 5: for sure, but this is one of those spots where

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Speaker 5: we could see RG three play most of the fourth quarter.

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Speaker 5: So I just given the other qbs in the seven

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Speaker 5: k range, his ceiling doesn't compare to these guys, and

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Speaker 5: I think this will be the last week we're we

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Speaker 5: see Lamar really significantly priced higher than everybody else. I

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Speaker 5: think he's going to be, you know, right in the

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Speaker 5: seven k range with these these guys. So I think

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Speaker 5: after last night, I'm pretty bearish on Lamar going forward.

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Speaker 5: But again, you know, I expect him about back. He

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Speaker 5: has a high floor, but just not worth his price.

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Speaker 5: And the other guy I'm fading is Jared Goff at

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Speaker 5: sixty seven hundred. This is just one of those games

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Speaker 5: where the Rams should play with the lead. They're minus

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Speaker 5: twelve and a half at at MGM right now, and

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Speaker 5: they've they've shown that when they have the lead this year, they're,

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00:15:30,760 --> 00:15:32,880
Speaker 5: you know, a very run heavy team right now. They

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Speaker 5: have the seventh high highest run rate when leading, and

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Speaker 5: they're the actually actually the only team with forty plus

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Speaker 5: attempts in the top ten teams. So it's a pretty

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Speaker 5: stable or a more stable metric for them. So this

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Speaker 5: could be a big Darryl Henderson game, Malcolm Brown type game.

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Speaker 5: So if Jared Goff doesn't get involved early, I really

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Speaker 5: worry about his flour here. So I'm fading him at

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Speaker 5: sixty seven.

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Speaker 2: Hundred, right, But I think you're also low on golf, right.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, And it's just to do it, I mean sixty

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Speaker 4: seven hundred for like Davis mentioned it earlier in the show,

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Speaker 4: like you can't have one of these dropback passers that's

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Speaker 4: not going to give you anything on the ground.

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Speaker 3: Like he's literally he literally's got to throw for like

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00:16:10,520 --> 00:16:13,160
Speaker 3: five hundred yards and five touchdowns to make optimals with

335
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Speaker 3: how much these other quarterbacks are scoring.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, like it just makes no sense. I don't know

337
00:16:17,240 --> 00:16:20,000
Speaker 4: how he got there. And and as Sean said, the

338
00:16:20,080 --> 00:16:23,560
Speaker 4: Rams are running at a higher rate, so yes, God

339
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Speaker 4: could be efficient. And you know, you know there's a

340
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Speaker 4: scenario where he gets like two hundred and thirty yards

341
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Speaker 4: and four touchdowns or something, but just way too expensive

342
00:16:32,680 --> 00:16:35,120
Speaker 4: for you know, all those other guys, I mean literally

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Speaker 4: anyone else in that year, even Burrow who's going against

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Speaker 4: the Jags, who are I believe they're dead last in

345
00:16:41,800 --> 00:16:45,160
Speaker 4: DVOA against the pass and number nine against the run,

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00:16:45,320 --> 00:16:48,000
Speaker 4: So you have a funnel there, like anybody else that

347
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Speaker 4: can give you something on the ground in that price range.

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Speaker 4: Not God, all.

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Speaker 2: Right, And the guy I'm relatively low on mentioned him earlier,

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Speaker 2: Patrick Mahomes, not in my top three. I have him

351
00:16:57,600 --> 00:17:01,120
Speaker 2: number five, you know, still a respectable run, but a

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Speaker 2: very tough matchup going against the New England Patriots, who

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00:17:06,000 --> 00:17:09,040
Speaker 2: I wouldn't say like are automatic to shut him down

354
00:17:09,119 --> 00:17:11,280
Speaker 2: or anything like that, but I think will be good

355
00:17:11,400 --> 00:17:15,560
Speaker 2: enough in slowing him down to prevent him from reaching

356
00:17:15,760 --> 00:17:19,680
Speaker 2: the atmospheric heights of scoring that we're likely to see

357
00:17:19,800 --> 00:17:23,800
Speaker 2: from guys like Russell Wilson and Josh Allen Dak Prescott

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Speaker 2: Sean give us the prop.

359
00:17:27,440 --> 00:17:30,840
Speaker 5: So last week was Josh Allen passing yards. I felt

360
00:17:30,840 --> 00:17:33,520
Speaker 5: that that was the most uncomfortable projection to make last week,

361
00:17:34,080 --> 00:17:36,720
Speaker 5: and we're going there again this week because it's still uncomfortable.

362
00:17:37,000 --> 00:17:40,240
Speaker 5: He cleared three hundred yards again, so it's a matter of,

363
00:17:40,320 --> 00:17:42,440
Speaker 5: you know, how high are we bumping him up. Last week,

364
00:17:42,480 --> 00:17:44,240
Speaker 5: I had him at two fifty five I think it was,

365
00:17:44,320 --> 00:17:47,960
Speaker 5: and everybody took under. So I'm gonna be careful with

366
00:17:48,040 --> 00:17:52,240
Speaker 5: this one. But I have it at two seventy eight

367
00:17:52,240 --> 00:17:52,840
Speaker 5: and a half.

368
00:17:53,240 --> 00:17:55,480
Speaker 2: I'll take the over. I think I wanted to go

369
00:17:55,600 --> 00:17:58,840
Speaker 2: over last week, but then I went out. I'm just

370
00:17:59,359 --> 00:18:02,000
Speaker 2: I have a pretty projected for over pretty comfortably. I

371
00:18:02,040 --> 00:18:05,520
Speaker 2: think I have it at two eighty four, so I'll

372
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Speaker 2: take the over.

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Speaker 5: Are you facturing John Brown being out and that at all?

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Speaker 2: I've got Brown projected for, you know, just like a

375
00:18:13,880 --> 00:18:16,480
Speaker 2: four percent target share, you know, just sort of like, yeah,

376
00:18:16,720 --> 00:18:20,159
Speaker 2: the token like placeholder of I doubt he plays. But

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Speaker 2: I'm just going to put this in here just in case.

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Speaker 3: I'm not shorting Josh Allen in any circumstance against any

379
00:18:27,000 --> 00:18:30,280
Speaker 3: opponent until he'd like until I see him not do it.

380
00:18:30,320 --> 00:18:35,360
Speaker 3: I mean, Josh Allen is having the Lamar Jackson, Patrick Mahomes,

381
00:18:35,400 --> 00:18:38,159
Speaker 3: Dak Prescott super Nova season where like everything is just

382
00:18:38,200 --> 00:18:40,680
Speaker 3: gonna go right for him until it doesn't.

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00:18:40,920 --> 00:18:43,359
Speaker 4: The thing about Alan is, Listen, he could get this

384
00:18:43,480 --> 00:18:46,080
Speaker 4: on the ground and this is like the Raiders, so

385
00:18:46,440 --> 00:18:48,639
Speaker 4: they could just not show up, you know. I know

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Speaker 4: they're at home and then the Bills are going across.

387
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Speaker 4: But it could be a very efficient game with a

388
00:18:54,440 --> 00:18:56,560
Speaker 4: couple of rushing scores. He doesn't necessarily have to throw

389
00:18:56,600 --> 00:18:58,760
Speaker 4: it around, especially if Brown's going to be banged up.

390
00:18:58,800 --> 00:19:01,240
Speaker 4: So I could see an avage to them to Josh

391
00:19:01,320 --> 00:19:04,560
Speaker 4: Allen killing and him still not throwing for two hundred

392
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Speaker 4: and seventy eight or two hundred and seventy nine.

393
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Speaker 2: So I'll go under right. By the way, I should

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00:19:08,760 --> 00:19:11,119
Speaker 2: mention that you can check out the Fantasy Labs player

395
00:19:11,160 --> 00:19:13,960
Speaker 2: prop tool, where the props with the bet quality of

396
00:19:14,000 --> 00:19:16,280
Speaker 2: ten have a sixty percent win rate over the past

397
00:19:16,320 --> 00:19:18,520
Speaker 2: two years, and of course when player props are posted,

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Speaker 2: you can bet on them at bet MGM.

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Speaker 6: Hope you're enjoying this great Action Network podcast. I want

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00:19:24,160 --> 00:19:26,280
Speaker 6: to make sure you know about the Locked On podcast

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00:19:26,320 --> 00:19:29,680
Speaker 6: network Locked On as a daily podcast on your favorite team.

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Speaker 4: Welcome to you Lockdown forty nine ers. You are locked

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Speaker 4: onwn of the Dallas Matage weckome everybody to the Locked

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00:19:34,119 --> 00:19:35,840
Speaker 4: On Lakers podcast Let's Go.

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00:19:36,119 --> 00:19:39,000
Speaker 6: Locked On podcasts are hosted by the local experts who

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Speaker 2: Let's look at the running backs. The guys at the

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Speaker 2: top of our rankings are Alvin Kamara, Ezekiel Elliott, and Raybon.

411
00:19:58,640 --> 00:20:01,080
Speaker 2: It's a proud day for you, Aaron Jones, who has

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Speaker 2: absolutely just crushed this year. Davis, how are you ranking

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Speaker 2: your top three?

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Speaker 3: I mean Alvin Kamara number one. Alvin Kamara number one,

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Speaker 3: no doubt, Ezekiel Elliott and then Jones would be number

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Speaker 3: three for.

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Speaker 2: Me, Sean, how are you ranking them?

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Speaker 5: Kamara, Elliott and Jones. Derrick Henry has the matchup against

419
00:20:26,560 --> 00:20:28,320
Speaker 5: the Steelers. We don't even know if that's gonna play,

420
00:20:29,160 --> 00:20:31,320
Speaker 5: so he's a little bit lower this week. And Dalvin Cook,

421
00:20:31,640 --> 00:20:34,919
Speaker 5: who's trending up, just he can't reach the caliber of

422
00:20:35,040 --> 00:20:38,480
Speaker 5: Aaron Jones. Like you said, good call, Raybond, But yeah,

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00:20:38,560 --> 00:20:41,000
Speaker 5: Aaron Jones is definitely top three running back this week.

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Speaker 2: All right, Raybon, this is this is the opportunity to crow.

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00:20:45,200 --> 00:20:48,199
Speaker 4: I have him number four, so I'm actually will I

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00:20:48,240 --> 00:20:51,760
Speaker 4: have I have Jacob's a hair ahead of him. They're

427
00:20:51,800 --> 00:20:53,840
Speaker 4: like tents of a point separated, so maybe I just

428
00:20:53,840 --> 00:20:56,359
Speaker 4: need to knock Jacobs down, but it's really close for me.

429
00:20:56,400 --> 00:20:58,760
Speaker 4: I don't really disagree with any of that. I think

430
00:20:59,280 --> 00:21:01,679
Speaker 4: Kamara has to be number one right now with Thomas

431
00:21:01,680 --> 00:21:05,160
Speaker 4: out Drew Brees just like he's like the best quarterback

432
00:21:05,240 --> 00:21:08,280
Speaker 4: ever at like not turning into Peyton Madding when he

433
00:21:08,320 --> 00:21:10,800
Speaker 4: gets old, Like he's just gonna continue to like be

434
00:21:10,840 --> 00:21:13,679
Speaker 4: efficient and like hey this like just gonna dump it

435
00:21:13,720 --> 00:21:15,560
Speaker 4: off to this guy who can get me like all

436
00:21:15,600 --> 00:21:19,480
Speaker 4: of my yards. So yeah, Kamaris mash play and I

437
00:21:19,480 --> 00:21:21,919
Speaker 4: agree Henry's a little he gets a little knockdown in

438
00:21:21,960 --> 00:21:24,119
Speaker 4: this matchup. And we obviously don't know what's going on

439
00:21:24,160 --> 00:21:25,280
Speaker 4: with those teams.

440
00:21:25,840 --> 00:21:29,159
Speaker 2: All right, So I have Aaron Jones number two, Kamara

441
00:21:29,280 --> 00:21:33,040
Speaker 2: number one, obviously, Jones number two. I actually have Jacob's

442
00:21:33,240 --> 00:21:35,600
Speaker 2: number three, And it's not that I think it's a

443
00:21:35,640 --> 00:21:37,960
Speaker 2: great matchup or anything for him. It's just that I

444
00:21:38,000 --> 00:21:40,680
Speaker 2: think he's going to be used so much. He has

445
00:21:40,760 --> 00:21:43,520
Speaker 2: been used so much in the running game, He's being

446
00:21:43,640 --> 00:21:47,439
Speaker 2: used enough in the passing game, and then if they

447
00:21:47,480 --> 00:21:50,119
Speaker 2: get near the end zone, it's, you know, almost automatic

448
00:21:50,160 --> 00:21:53,119
Speaker 2: that he's going to get an opportunity to score. And

449
00:21:53,160 --> 00:21:55,880
Speaker 2: so I have him just a hair ahead of Zeke

450
00:21:56,040 --> 00:21:59,320
Speaker 2: in part because the Cowboys are passing so much that

451
00:21:59,440 --> 00:22:02,080
Speaker 2: Zeke is a getting the usage that I think.

452
00:22:02,000 --> 00:22:04,400
Speaker 3: Once he got like twenty one targets through three games.

453
00:22:04,640 --> 00:22:07,240
Speaker 3: He just keeps dropping them. He just keeps dropping, Like

454
00:22:07,280 --> 00:22:10,080
Speaker 3: I literally think he already has six drops through three games.

455
00:22:10,080 --> 00:22:12,920
Speaker 3: But let me tell you they're not going anywhere, dude.

456
00:22:12,920 --> 00:22:15,040
Speaker 3: They just are going to keep feeding Zeke. It's the

457
00:22:15,160 --> 00:22:16,840
Speaker 3: organizational philosophy, dude.

458
00:22:17,040 --> 00:22:19,480
Speaker 2: Yeah. I mean I was not taking drops or anything

459
00:22:19,600 --> 00:22:22,119
Speaker 2: like that into account, Like I'm looking pretty much as

460
00:22:22,160 --> 00:22:24,840
Speaker 2: just like market share and projecting that forward, like I

461
00:22:24,840 --> 00:22:27,560
Speaker 2: think he'll have a good game. I haven't projected number four.

462
00:22:28,000 --> 00:22:31,639
Speaker 3: You can't discount the own the libs factor where if

463
00:22:31,640 --> 00:22:34,160
Speaker 3: they get up fourteen, it's like it's like we're getting

464
00:22:34,240 --> 00:22:36,560
Speaker 3: Zeke for a second and third down for the entire

465
00:22:37,000 --> 00:22:40,280
Speaker 3: third and fourth quarters, like they that they the Cowboys

466
00:22:40,400 --> 00:22:41,560
Speaker 3: love to do that stuff.

467
00:22:41,840 --> 00:22:42,320
Speaker 2: That's true.

468
00:22:42,680 --> 00:22:51,440
Speaker 4: Zeke last week played eighty snaps according to PFF to night. Yeah, dude,

469
00:22:51,480 --> 00:22:54,119
Speaker 4: like like this is a home favorite with a fifty

470
00:22:54,200 --> 00:22:57,280
Speaker 4: six total, Like this is a smash spot for Zeke.

471
00:22:57,480 --> 00:22:59,440
Speaker 4: Like this is a ridiculous smash spot.

472
00:22:59,480 --> 00:23:02,040
Speaker 3: Yeah, he is the number one player in fantasy football

473
00:23:02,119 --> 00:23:03,560
Speaker 3: and you should just just.

474
00:23:04,720 --> 00:23:06,760
Speaker 4: Like Freeman is like this alternate univer.

475
00:23:06,840 --> 00:23:09,159
Speaker 3: Yeah, Freeman Friedman is being Friedman is being like a

476
00:23:09,200 --> 00:23:12,159
Speaker 3: big self anding Cowboys fan right now, Like he watched

477
00:23:12,160 --> 00:23:14,760
Speaker 3: Cedric Wilson score two touchdowns and like it's just had

478
00:23:15,119 --> 00:23:16,440
Speaker 3: reevaluating his priors.

479
00:23:16,480 --> 00:23:21,600
Speaker 2: Now those touchdowns won they belonged to Ceedee Lamb that

480
00:23:21,760 --> 00:23:22,160
Speaker 2: they did.

481
00:23:22,359 --> 00:23:25,600
Speaker 3: They did, or or Gallup or Cooper or Daldon Schultz

482
00:23:25,680 --> 00:23:29,160
Speaker 3: or like anyone other than Cedric Wilson. Anyway, I will

483
00:23:29,160 --> 00:23:32,600
Speaker 3: take Zeke versus Aaron Jones for twenty five dollars smash.

484
00:23:32,840 --> 00:23:36,040
Speaker 2: The Packers are home favorites, like thirteen and a half

485
00:23:36,080 --> 00:23:39,280
Speaker 2: point favorites with like the highest total on the slate.

486
00:23:39,600 --> 00:23:41,320
Speaker 3: Sounds like Tyler Irvin to own the lips.

487
00:23:41,400 --> 00:23:43,520
Speaker 4: Oh my god. Yeah, like I was about to say, Friedman,

488
00:23:43,600 --> 00:23:45,720
Speaker 4: you are completely backwards right now, because this is the

489
00:23:45,720 --> 00:23:49,040
Speaker 4: AJ Dowing game. Yeah, this is like twenty one and

490
00:23:49,080 --> 00:23:51,920
Speaker 4: AJ Dillon gets like fifteen carried in the third quarter.

491
00:23:52,000 --> 00:23:52,159
Speaker 5: A J.

492
00:23:52,359 --> 00:23:54,400
Speaker 2: Dillon had no carries last week.

493
00:23:54,520 --> 00:23:57,280
Speaker 3: I know what I'm telling Tyler, Dude, Tyler Irvin played

494
00:23:57,280 --> 00:24:00,440
Speaker 3: a bunch. I'm not even being facetious. Tyler Ervian Irvin

495
00:24:00,520 --> 00:24:02,000
Speaker 3: is like a guy you have to bid a dollar

496
00:24:02,040 --> 00:24:03,679
Speaker 3: on now, Like he's like, it's a real thing.

497
00:24:04,240 --> 00:24:07,479
Speaker 4: I told Freeman that in the preseason, didn't believing how

498
00:24:07,880 --> 00:24:08,600
Speaker 4: did we get here?

499
00:24:08,720 --> 00:24:10,600
Speaker 2: It's only how did we get here in the show

500
00:24:10,640 --> 00:24:12,520
Speaker 2: and how did we get here in life? Okay, and

501
00:24:12,560 --> 00:24:15,960
Speaker 2: AJ Doillon next week? Book it, Davis. Who is someone

502
00:24:16,040 --> 00:24:17,040
Speaker 2: you're relatively high.

503
00:24:16,920 --> 00:24:20,240
Speaker 3: On, someone I'm relatively high on. It's I mean, it's

504
00:24:20,240 --> 00:24:22,280
Speaker 3: gonna be Clyde Evers Hilaire, because I bet I'll have

505
00:24:22,359 --> 00:24:24,920
Speaker 3: him ranked is like running back five or six this week.

506
00:24:25,000 --> 00:24:28,399
Speaker 3: Like like, for example, I think Clyde verts Hilaire is

507
00:24:28,440 --> 00:24:31,560
Speaker 3: a better fantasy play than Austin Eckler, a better fantasy

508
00:24:31,600 --> 00:24:36,399
Speaker 3: play than Nick Chubb, James Connor, James Robinson, Chris Carson,

509
00:24:36,440 --> 00:24:39,760
Speaker 3: if he's active, like I like Kenyan Drake like I

510
00:24:40,359 --> 00:24:44,679
Speaker 3: think he is. We've seen it, the on ramp to

511
00:24:44,680 --> 00:24:47,320
Speaker 3: Clydeverts Hilaire being like the third best running back in Fantasy.

512
00:24:47,359 --> 00:24:49,600
Speaker 3: We've seen it, and it just hasn't all came together,

513
00:24:49,680 --> 00:24:52,399
Speaker 3: Like we haven't had the touchdowns and six catches in

514
00:24:52,440 --> 00:24:54,080
Speaker 3: the same game yet, but it's coming.

515
00:24:55,440 --> 00:24:59,359
Speaker 2: Davis side question here, is Edwards a Laire already the

516
00:24:59,640 --> 00:25:02,600
Speaker 2: number one running back in Dynasty? Yeah?

517
00:25:03,280 --> 00:25:05,560
Speaker 3: Yeah, I would if I had clave with Tilaia my roster,

518
00:25:05,920 --> 00:25:07,840
Speaker 3: there's not another running back, I would trade him one

519
00:25:07,840 --> 00:25:08,440
Speaker 3: for one four.

520
00:25:08,760 --> 00:25:11,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's that's my sense of this as well, Sean.

521
00:25:12,400 --> 00:25:14,640
Speaker 2: And by the way, Davis, I should say, we're right

522
00:25:14,640 --> 00:25:18,280
Speaker 2: there with you. We all have Edwards layer number five

523
00:25:18,359 --> 00:25:22,119
Speaker 2: to number seven in the rankings, so we, like you are,

524
00:25:22,240 --> 00:25:24,800
Speaker 2: are pretty on board with him this week, Sean, who

525
00:25:24,800 --> 00:25:25,399
Speaker 2: are you high on?

526
00:25:25,760 --> 00:25:27,640
Speaker 5: So the two running backs I'm high on this week

527
00:25:27,960 --> 00:25:29,919
Speaker 5: really haven't done much this year, but I think this

528
00:25:29,960 --> 00:25:34,080
Speaker 5: is a good BILO opportunity in DFS especially. But the

529
00:25:34,080 --> 00:25:36,680
Speaker 5: first guy is Joe Mixon. He's at home against the

530
00:25:36,760 --> 00:25:39,480
Speaker 5: Jaguars at fifty eight hundred. I'm down on mix in

531
00:25:39,560 --> 00:25:43,240
Speaker 5: long term, I view Moore as an RB two. He's

532
00:25:43,400 --> 00:25:44,919
Speaker 5: kind of a bus if you took him, you know,

533
00:25:44,960 --> 00:25:48,600
Speaker 5: in round one. But Jovanni Bernard just eats into his

534
00:25:48,640 --> 00:25:51,960
Speaker 5: target share way too much, especially when the Bengals are trailing,

535
00:25:51,960 --> 00:25:53,440
Speaker 5: which we're going to see a ton of this year.

536
00:25:53,760 --> 00:25:55,520
Speaker 5: So I think we get a you know, a run

537
00:25:55,560 --> 00:25:58,240
Speaker 5: heavy game script here. They're minus three and a half,

538
00:25:58,280 --> 00:26:00,639
Speaker 5: I believe against the Jaguars, so this should be a

539
00:26:00,800 --> 00:26:03,280
Speaker 5: big mixan game where he could see twenty plus touches,

540
00:26:04,040 --> 00:26:06,600
Speaker 5: good chances to score. So I love buying low here.

541
00:26:06,920 --> 00:26:08,560
Speaker 5: I don't know if he's going to be low on

542
00:26:08,680 --> 00:26:11,280
Speaker 5: or not, but I think people overlook him for sure.

543
00:26:11,600 --> 00:26:14,960
Speaker 5: And the other guy similar situation is David Johnson has

544
00:26:15,000 --> 00:26:16,879
Speaker 5: had a brutal start to the season just based on

545
00:26:16,920 --> 00:26:19,800
Speaker 5: the schedule. But the Texans, you know they're going to

546
00:26:19,840 --> 00:26:22,359
Speaker 5: be favored against the Vikings if this game plays, of course,

547
00:26:23,440 --> 00:26:25,880
Speaker 5: so I think we'll see a positive game script from him.

548
00:26:25,920 --> 00:26:29,320
Speaker 5: He's been seeing a ton of passing routes with Duke

549
00:26:29,359 --> 00:26:32,520
Speaker 5: Johnson out. It's unclear if Duke Johnson will return this week,

550
00:26:32,600 --> 00:26:35,000
Speaker 5: but I think this could be a heavy workhorse game

551
00:26:35,000 --> 00:26:36,960
Speaker 5: for David Johnson, So I love him at fifty six

552
00:26:37,000 --> 00:26:39,879
Speaker 5: hundred against this Vikings defense that is a shell of

553
00:26:39,920 --> 00:26:40,760
Speaker 5: its former self.

554
00:26:41,080 --> 00:26:44,200
Speaker 2: To be kind, I was low on Mixing last week.

555
00:26:44,480 --> 00:26:47,560
Speaker 2: I'm low again on him this week. And looking at

556
00:26:47,600 --> 00:26:50,480
Speaker 2: the rankings, Sean, you're high on him, Rayvaughn, you're high

557
00:26:50,480 --> 00:26:53,439
Speaker 2: on him. I'm really low on him. I don't know

558
00:26:53,520 --> 00:26:56,840
Speaker 2: if we can take for certain that the Bengals actually,

559
00:26:57,680 --> 00:27:00,000
Speaker 2: like should be favored, or even if they should be favored,

560
00:27:00,240 --> 00:27:03,760
Speaker 2: actually will end this game, will win this game. Like

561
00:27:03,800 --> 00:27:08,200
Speaker 2: we've seen a situation where Mixon is getting a lot

562
00:27:08,280 --> 00:27:11,200
Speaker 2: of the carries, but he's not getting goal one opportunities

563
00:27:11,520 --> 00:27:16,040
Speaker 2: and he's not getting targets, so he's basically getting you know,

564
00:27:16,200 --> 00:27:21,080
Speaker 2: like empty calories with no protein until we actually see

565
00:27:21,119 --> 00:27:24,640
Speaker 2: him start to produce more fantasy points. I just don't

566
00:27:24,640 --> 00:27:27,800
Speaker 2: know if I can actually invest in him, So I'm

567
00:27:27,840 --> 00:27:31,360
Speaker 2: relatively low. Ray Bond, I think you are high on him.

568
00:27:31,640 --> 00:27:33,960
Speaker 4: Yeah, I don't feel great about it, to be honest,

569
00:27:33,960 --> 00:27:37,720
Speaker 4: but I bet the over on Jags Bengals, and at

570
00:27:37,720 --> 00:27:39,760
Speaker 4: forty four and a half it's up to forty eight.

571
00:27:40,080 --> 00:27:41,960
Speaker 4: I just think this is going to be a close game.

572
00:27:41,960 --> 00:27:46,040
Speaker 4: With two below average defenses in average ish quarterbacks and

573
00:27:46,119 --> 00:27:47,320
Speaker 4: the ball. I think the ball is just going to

574
00:27:47,359 --> 00:27:49,720
Speaker 4: move in this game. So Mixon still gets a ton

575
00:27:49,760 --> 00:27:52,399
Speaker 4: of the snaps, a stunt of you know, he doesn't

576
00:27:52,400 --> 00:27:55,000
Speaker 4: get all the targets and the routes in the backfield,

577
00:27:55,000 --> 00:27:57,159
Speaker 4: but still is going to be there when it's all

578
00:27:57,200 --> 00:28:00,879
Speaker 4: said and done. And I think Joe Burrow is a

579
00:28:00,880 --> 00:28:03,359
Speaker 4: good is like a good quarterback in this spot to

580
00:28:03,400 --> 00:28:04,800
Speaker 4: kind of just move the ball for him, He's gonna

581
00:28:04,800 --> 00:28:07,200
Speaker 4: take some pressure off him. And this JAG's defense is

582
00:28:07,560 --> 00:28:10,399
Speaker 4: not not great. So I like mixing. I also like

583
00:28:10,480 --> 00:28:12,679
Speaker 4: Sean's call it. David Johnson, I think you know, Davis,

584
00:28:12,680 --> 00:28:15,399
Speaker 4: you mentioned earlier how Johnson I think he mentioned Johnson

585
00:28:15,480 --> 00:28:17,080
Speaker 4: wasn't you know, he wasn't looking good.

586
00:28:17,080 --> 00:28:18,040
Speaker 2: And I'm saying in.

587
00:28:18,000 --> 00:28:19,879
Speaker 4: This spot, like just look like just it's just like

588
00:28:19,960 --> 00:28:22,920
Speaker 4: a math problem, right, Like the Texans have had forty

589
00:28:23,000 --> 00:28:25,639
Speaker 4: running back carries this year. Johnson I think has had eleven,

590
00:28:25,680 --> 00:28:28,280
Speaker 4: eleven and thirteen. Like the average number for a team

591
00:28:28,560 --> 00:28:31,359
Speaker 4: of handoffs is about twenty two. Now you take a

592
00:28:31,400 --> 00:28:33,359
Speaker 4: couple of those away because it's Watson and he runs,

593
00:28:33,359 --> 00:28:35,920
Speaker 4: but still like there's gonna be a game where Johnson

594
00:28:35,920 --> 00:28:38,520
Speaker 4: gets like a normal amount of game like carries because

595
00:28:38,520 --> 00:28:40,560
Speaker 4: it's a good game script and he's getting all of

596
00:28:40,600 --> 00:28:43,800
Speaker 4: the backfield carries, especially with Duke banged up. So I

597
00:28:44,000 --> 00:28:46,080
Speaker 4: like Johnson in this spot. Down to fifty six hundred

598
00:28:46,400 --> 00:28:48,320
Speaker 4: A couple other guys real quick. I want to mention Kenyan.

599
00:28:48,360 --> 00:28:50,800
Speaker 4: Drake's at six K. He's had eighteen plus touches in

600
00:28:50,840 --> 00:28:53,880
Speaker 4: all three weeks, hasn't really done anything with them. Carolina

601
00:28:54,000 --> 00:28:56,560
Speaker 4: number twenty eight and run defense DVA. I think this

602
00:28:56,640 --> 00:28:58,360
Speaker 4: is a spot where Drake could blow up. We've seen

603
00:28:58,440 --> 00:29:00,960
Speaker 4: him do it in the past. Long run uns, you know,

604
00:29:01,040 --> 00:29:03,360
Speaker 4: three four touchdowns in a game, He's capable of that.

605
00:29:03,840 --> 00:29:06,240
Speaker 4: And Carlos Hide. I don't think Chris Carson's going to

606
00:29:06,240 --> 00:29:07,960
Speaker 4: play this thing. It's a one to two week injury.

607
00:29:08,240 --> 00:29:10,400
Speaker 4: I could be wrong, but monitor the situation.

608
00:29:10,640 --> 00:29:12,720
Speaker 3: No, I think he's going to be out longer than this.

609
00:29:13,120 --> 00:29:16,840
Speaker 3: It's like this is such a weird Seattle thing, Like, Okay, great,

610
00:29:17,160 --> 00:29:19,680
Speaker 3: his ACL is not torn as MCL is not torn.

611
00:29:19,840 --> 00:29:22,840
Speaker 3: Like great, don't I don't necessarily buy, but like, oh,

612
00:29:22,920 --> 00:29:26,440
Speaker 3: he might be active against Miami. Like my guess is

613
00:29:26,480 --> 00:29:28,640
Speaker 3: we see him in week six, they.

614
00:29:28,520 --> 00:29:30,400
Speaker 5: Have a week six bye, I think, so that might

615
00:29:30,440 --> 00:29:33,000
Speaker 5: be a good reason for them to keep them out. Yes,

616
00:29:33,200 --> 00:29:36,960
Speaker 5: they return week seven against the Cardinals, so that would

617
00:29:36,960 --> 00:29:38,360
Speaker 5: be the target date I would think.

618
00:29:38,680 --> 00:29:41,280
Speaker 4: Yeah, so Carlos Hide and this is I love this,

619
00:29:41,360 --> 00:29:43,160
Speaker 4: especially for DFS. I think you got to pick him

620
00:29:43,200 --> 00:29:45,160
Speaker 4: up on your waiver wire if you don't have him already.

621
00:29:45,160 --> 00:29:50,400
Speaker 4: But in DFS he's five point three k So Russell

622
00:29:50,440 --> 00:29:52,760
Speaker 4: Wilson is going to be the chalk, of course, and

623
00:29:53,000 --> 00:29:57,120
Speaker 4: the Seattle has had fourteen passing touchdowns thanks to Russ's brilliance.

624
00:29:57,240 --> 00:29:59,680
Speaker 4: They've had one rushing touchdown that that's going to regress

625
00:29:59,680 --> 00:30:02,080
Speaker 4: at some point point, and you would have major leverage

626
00:30:02,120 --> 00:30:04,720
Speaker 4: because Hide is probably going to be the number one back.

627
00:30:04,760 --> 00:30:06,920
Speaker 4: I think Homer will mix on passing downs, but the

628
00:30:06,960 --> 00:30:09,720
Speaker 4: goal line carry should go to Hide. And this Dolphins

629
00:30:09,760 --> 00:30:12,800
Speaker 4: defense is second to last in run DVOA. It's the

630
00:30:12,880 --> 00:30:16,600
Speaker 4: total is fifty four. So this is a potential sneaky

631
00:30:16,760 --> 00:30:20,280
Speaker 4: like to multi touchdown spot for Hyde. As disgusting as

632
00:30:20,320 --> 00:30:21,880
Speaker 4: that sounds, all right.

633
00:30:22,200 --> 00:30:25,320
Speaker 3: It does sound pretty disgusting. Yeah, it does not gonna.

634
00:30:25,080 --> 00:30:28,120
Speaker 2: Why you guys mentioned earlier being down on golf in

635
00:30:28,200 --> 00:30:31,040
Speaker 2: part because it's a good running spot. I'm you know,

636
00:30:31,120 --> 00:30:34,480
Speaker 2: kind of correlated with that. High on Darryl Henderson. We've

637
00:30:34,520 --> 00:30:38,480
Speaker 2: just really seen him get the workload with the Rams

638
00:30:38,520 --> 00:30:41,560
Speaker 2: over the past two weeks, so I think he's probably

639
00:30:41,600 --> 00:30:44,640
Speaker 2: going to be the guy. Really no certainty in terms

640
00:30:44,640 --> 00:30:47,200
Speaker 2: of when Cam Akers comes back, and Malcolm Brown is

641
00:30:47,240 --> 00:30:51,040
Speaker 2: also dealing with some injuries. So pretty high on Darryl

642
00:30:51,080 --> 00:30:53,520
Speaker 2: Henderson this week, Davis, who are you low.

643
00:30:53,400 --> 00:30:56,360
Speaker 3: On guys who just catch a little bit of ownership

644
00:30:56,440 --> 00:30:59,880
Speaker 3: from you know, like these guys can score too touchdown?

645
00:31:00,320 --> 00:31:02,880
Speaker 3: You know that's just gonna be the classic like Eckler

646
00:31:03,240 --> 00:31:07,560
Speaker 3: Chubb region of guys. I do think, though, I'm probably

647
00:31:07,720 --> 00:31:11,360
Speaker 3: not gonna be buying the dip with Kenyan Drake. So

648
00:31:11,520 --> 00:31:14,040
Speaker 3: a couple of things. One, I think every week that

649
00:31:14,120 --> 00:31:17,200
Speaker 3: he looks terrible, they're much more likely to give more

650
00:31:17,240 --> 00:31:19,920
Speaker 3: of the work to Chase Edmonds. And not only that,

651
00:31:20,120 --> 00:31:22,800
Speaker 3: I think that My my hot take for this week

652
00:31:22,880 --> 00:31:26,000
Speaker 3: is we see Eno Benjamin no longer a game day

653
00:31:26,040 --> 00:31:28,000
Speaker 3: and active. I think that they're gonna make him active

654
00:31:28,400 --> 00:31:30,960
Speaker 3: this week. They're they're coming off the loss. Drake has

655
00:31:31,120 --> 00:31:33,960
Speaker 3: been their worst player on offense right I mean, I

656
00:31:33,960 --> 00:31:36,240
Speaker 3: guess maybe you could say Keshawn Johnson, like looked like

657
00:31:36,240 --> 00:31:40,280
Speaker 3: he was shaving points on that on that that last

658
00:31:40,360 --> 00:31:43,080
Speaker 3: drive in the fourth quarter. But he's been terrible. He

659
00:31:43,160 --> 00:31:45,480
Speaker 3: has not signed to any kind of contract extension, like

660
00:31:45,520 --> 00:31:47,840
Speaker 3: he's just if if it doesn't work out for him

661
00:31:47,840 --> 00:31:49,360
Speaker 3: this year in Arizona, they don't have to pay him,

662
00:31:49,360 --> 00:31:51,320
Speaker 3: and he's just he's gone. He's off the team. We

663
00:31:51,360 --> 00:31:53,920
Speaker 3: saw it last year. They had no allegiance, like Cliff

664
00:31:54,000 --> 00:31:57,080
Speaker 3: had no allegiance to David Johnson. Once he got dinged up,

665
00:31:57,120 --> 00:32:00,000
Speaker 3: we saw him be a healthy scratch or the third

666
00:32:00,120 --> 00:32:01,760
Speaker 3: running the third string running back for the rest of

667
00:32:01,800 --> 00:32:04,320
Speaker 3: the season. So I totally get it. And maybe you know,

668
00:32:04,320 --> 00:32:05,920
Speaker 3: if you're listening to this and then you play me

669
00:32:06,520 --> 00:32:08,920
Speaker 3: on draftings Sunday and cash and I have Kenyan Drake.

670
00:32:08,960 --> 00:32:11,640
Speaker 3: I reserve that right. But he is not going to

671
00:32:11,680 --> 00:32:14,720
Speaker 3: be a core part of my tournament strategy. He won't

672
00:32:14,720 --> 00:32:16,840
Speaker 3: be on any of my single entry or three max teams.

673
00:32:17,160 --> 00:32:21,400
Speaker 2: That was so wonderful. That was a very Davis statement. Also,

674
00:32:22,000 --> 00:32:25,120
Speaker 2: I'm glad it was someone else other than me who

675
00:32:25,360 --> 00:32:28,000
Speaker 2: mentioned a third string running back on the show. Otherwise

676
00:32:28,520 --> 00:32:29,280
Speaker 2: running back who.

677
00:32:29,160 --> 00:32:31,320
Speaker 3: Has not even been active to play special.

678
00:32:31,000 --> 00:32:31,880
Speaker 4: Teams this year.

679
00:32:33,880 --> 00:32:36,600
Speaker 2: By the way Corey Kolement doing, by the way, I

680
00:32:37,000 --> 00:32:39,440
Speaker 2: feel like it should be said that in we three,

681
00:32:39,600 --> 00:32:42,720
Speaker 2: Dan Arnold might have been the worst, the worst player

682
00:32:42,840 --> 00:32:43,160
Speaker 2: on the.

683
00:32:43,360 --> 00:32:45,280
Speaker 3: You think so, I don't know. I think it was

684
00:32:45,360 --> 00:32:46,080
Speaker 3: I think it was Drake.

685
00:32:46,720 --> 00:32:49,280
Speaker 4: You know, you know who it really was? Right, it

686
00:32:49,280 --> 00:32:51,640
Speaker 4: was Kyle Murray because because he was supposed to smash

687
00:32:51,680 --> 00:32:53,360
Speaker 4: and he threw all these interceptions and he lost the

688
00:32:53,400 --> 00:32:55,680
Speaker 4: game and the over didn't hit like that was the

689
00:32:55,680 --> 00:32:57,680
Speaker 4: worst player. Like the Cardinals have a lot of candidates,

690
00:32:57,680 --> 00:32:59,520
Speaker 4: and it's actually not it's not ideal.

691
00:32:59,720 --> 00:33:02,440
Speaker 5: You know who outproduced Dan Arnold in week three, Jason

692
00:33:02,560 --> 00:33:03,360
Speaker 5: ja Sternberger.

693
00:33:03,520 --> 00:33:05,840
Speaker 4: Yep, you know who got out produced by two other

694
00:33:05,880 --> 00:33:09,000
Speaker 4: Packard tight ends in week three, Jace Sternberger. But now

695
00:33:09,040 --> 00:33:12,040
Speaker 4: you got it? You do for a comeback at there's.

696
00:33:11,920 --> 00:33:14,240
Speaker 2: Just so much production to go around in the Bay

697
00:33:14,360 --> 00:33:18,640
Speaker 2: as we all expected. Okay, Sean, who are you low one?

698
00:33:19,120 --> 00:33:21,320
Speaker 5: Well? I had this written down last night, but mark

699
00:33:21,440 --> 00:33:23,960
Speaker 5: Ingram I expected him to smash last night. I thought

700
00:33:24,000 --> 00:33:26,560
Speaker 5: it'd be a close game, and I was gonna say,

701
00:33:26,640 --> 00:33:28,560
Speaker 5: you know, Ingram gets a huge boost and games are

702
00:33:28,560 --> 00:33:31,239
Speaker 5: supposed to be close, and don't play him when it's

703
00:33:31,280 --> 00:33:33,959
Speaker 5: gonna be a blowout. So I guess my point stands corrected.

704
00:33:34,040 --> 00:33:36,480
Speaker 5: But this week I expect the Ravens to blow out

705
00:33:36,920 --> 00:33:40,400
Speaker 5: the football team, so he's not worth the fifty seven

706
00:33:40,520 --> 00:33:43,360
Speaker 5: hundred price tag. I think the Ravens will bounce back,

707
00:33:43,440 --> 00:33:46,320
Speaker 5: but we've seen them go to Gus Edwards in the

708
00:33:46,360 --> 00:33:48,920
Speaker 5: fourth quarter when when they're blowing out another team. So

709
00:33:49,360 --> 00:33:51,320
Speaker 5: stay away from Ingram this week. I'm sure you already

710
00:33:51,360 --> 00:33:52,680
Speaker 5: were stay away.

711
00:33:52,440 --> 00:33:53,520
Speaker 3: From Ingram every week.

712
00:33:54,040 --> 00:33:54,400
Speaker 5: Marking.

713
00:33:54,720 --> 00:33:57,240
Speaker 3: Mark Ingram is is done. We've seen it.

714
00:33:57,800 --> 00:34:00,240
Speaker 5: I was, I was fading him week three last and

715
00:34:00,280 --> 00:34:02,240
Speaker 5: that I mean he kept scoring touchdowns. But I think

716
00:34:02,280 --> 00:34:03,400
Speaker 5: it's officially toasted.

717
00:34:03,640 --> 00:34:06,800
Speaker 3: I think it's officially Dobbins Edward Sison, Yeah, and Dobbins

718
00:34:06,800 --> 00:34:09,200
Speaker 3: looked Dobbins looked great. They just I don't know why

719
00:34:09,280 --> 00:34:11,439
Speaker 3: they keep playing arms much. But Dobbins looks legit.

720
00:34:11,560 --> 00:34:14,680
Speaker 5: Yeah, he's the pass catching back, as you know, little

721
00:34:14,760 --> 00:34:16,080
Speaker 5: value that provides in this offense, but.

722
00:34:16,080 --> 00:34:18,239
Speaker 3: He's probably he's what we thought Justice Sale was going

723
00:34:18,320 --> 00:34:18,480
Speaker 3: to be.

724
00:34:18,719 --> 00:34:22,560
Speaker 5: Yeah, exactly. And the other guy, I won't step on

725
00:34:23,000 --> 00:34:24,839
Speaker 5: Raybounds toes here because I know he's low on him,

726
00:34:24,840 --> 00:34:27,800
Speaker 5: but Eckler at seventy one hundred, I'm fading him. He

727
00:34:28,000 --> 00:34:30,239
Speaker 5: had a huge game against the Panthers and now he

728
00:34:30,320 --> 00:34:33,000
Speaker 5: faces the Bucks, who've done a pretty good job containing

729
00:34:33,160 --> 00:34:35,880
Speaker 5: RB One's uh you know, Kamara and CMC were limited.

730
00:34:36,200 --> 00:34:38,279
Speaker 5: They managed to score two touchdowns each. But I don't

731
00:34:38,280 --> 00:34:41,480
Speaker 5: think Eckler will get that lucky. And if Tyrod starts,

732
00:34:41,560 --> 00:34:44,560
Speaker 5: I think we're gonna have to downgrade Eckler whenever Tyrod starts,

733
00:34:45,200 --> 00:34:47,800
Speaker 5: So hopefully Herbert is a kep going forward if you

734
00:34:47,840 --> 00:34:50,040
Speaker 5: own Eckler, but I'm down on him at seventy one

735
00:34:50,120 --> 00:34:50,600
Speaker 5: K this week.

736
00:34:50,800 --> 00:34:52,759
Speaker 2: I love how Sean just said I'm not going to

737
00:34:53,160 --> 00:34:56,080
Speaker 2: step on it and then gave the full analysis about

738
00:34:56,120 --> 00:35:00,680
Speaker 2: why you will have other points. But yeah, Raymond hit

739
00:35:00,760 --> 00:35:01,720
Speaker 2: us with the Akler stuff.

740
00:35:01,960 --> 00:35:04,200
Speaker 4: Yeah, Eker is a guy I love, and I think

741
00:35:04,280 --> 00:35:06,880
Speaker 4: Davis mentioned it. He could always score two touchdowns. But

742
00:35:07,680 --> 00:35:11,799
Speaker 4: the Bucks defense is extremely underrated. I think they're front.

743
00:35:11,840 --> 00:35:13,640
Speaker 3: Herbert's gonna look like a rookie in this game.

744
00:35:13,960 --> 00:35:17,319
Speaker 4: Yeah yeah, And that's my thinking exactly. And the thing

745
00:35:17,400 --> 00:35:19,359
Speaker 4: with the Bucks defense is every player on their front

746
00:35:19,440 --> 00:35:21,880
Speaker 4: is either a former like top twelve first round or

747
00:35:21,880 --> 00:35:22,480
Speaker 4: a former.

748
00:35:22,320 --> 00:35:23,440
Speaker 5: All Pro or both.

749
00:35:24,120 --> 00:35:27,560
Speaker 4: And if they're keying in on Eclaer especially, it's gonna

750
00:35:27,560 --> 00:35:29,480
Speaker 4: be problematic, and I think that they're gonna have to

751
00:35:29,520 --> 00:35:31,440
Speaker 4: go in other directions. And by the way, they're allowing

752
00:35:32,520 --> 00:35:35,080
Speaker 4: one hundred and fifty yards on fifty seven carries, just

753
00:35:35,120 --> 00:35:37,960
Speaker 4: two point six yards per on the ground, So it's

754
00:35:38,000 --> 00:35:39,880
Speaker 4: not one of those games where epwork can like supplement

755
00:35:39,960 --> 00:35:42,719
Speaker 4: his lack of passing usage or like inefficiency if it

756
00:35:42,800 --> 00:35:44,960
Speaker 4: comes to that with like, you know, some some good

757
00:35:45,040 --> 00:35:48,080
Speaker 4: yards per carry, as you know he can usually and

758
00:35:48,120 --> 00:35:51,040
Speaker 4: then Nick Chubb as well, Like it's just hard for

759
00:35:51,160 --> 00:35:54,640
Speaker 4: me from like a projection perspective to get him enough

760
00:35:55,400 --> 00:35:58,520
Speaker 4: usage this week to you know, be in in my

761
00:35:58,640 --> 00:36:02,160
Speaker 4: top ten. He's actually my RBS seventeen right now. He's

762
00:36:02,640 --> 00:36:05,839
Speaker 4: out carried Kareem Hunt just fifty one to thirty eight.

763
00:36:06,120 --> 00:36:09,000
Speaker 4: They've had a couple of positive scripts with you know,

764
00:36:09,160 --> 00:36:13,720
Speaker 4: scoring thirty plus on both the Bengals and the Washington

765
00:36:13,760 --> 00:36:18,080
Speaker 4: football team. Now they're a big dog against Dallas on

766
00:36:18,239 --> 00:36:21,600
Speaker 4: the road, so it's the amount of carries tend to

767
00:36:21,640 --> 00:36:24,080
Speaker 4: go down in those situations. I think Stefanski will still

768
00:36:24,120 --> 00:36:26,759
Speaker 4: run it obviously to keep it close. But Chubb only

769
00:36:26,880 --> 00:36:29,840
Speaker 4: averaging one target per game. And that's even he's running

770
00:36:29,840 --> 00:36:31,520
Speaker 4: a decent amount of routes. It's not like Hunt is

771
00:36:31,560 --> 00:36:33,360
Speaker 4: blowing him out of the water and routes run and

772
00:36:33,440 --> 00:36:36,719
Speaker 4: he's still not getting targeted that much. And Dallas, you know,

773
00:36:36,760 --> 00:36:38,799
Speaker 4: if they get ahead, you're not just gonna be able

774
00:36:38,840 --> 00:36:40,600
Speaker 4: to like dump the ball off to running backs. You're

775
00:36:40,600 --> 00:36:42,160
Speaker 4: gonna have to go down the field. You're gonna have

776
00:36:42,200 --> 00:36:44,120
Speaker 4: to go to Beckham and Landry, you might have to

777
00:36:44,200 --> 00:36:46,759
Speaker 4: use Austin Hooper some more. So, just not a game

778
00:36:46,800 --> 00:36:49,040
Speaker 4: where I think Chub can can live up to his cost.

779
00:36:49,719 --> 00:36:51,160
Speaker 2: All right, Sean, give us the prop.

780
00:36:51,680 --> 00:36:57,200
Speaker 5: The prop is James Robinson rushing yards against the Bengals.

781
00:36:57,719 --> 00:36:59,600
Speaker 5: I have it at seventy and a half.

782
00:37:00,200 --> 00:37:02,920
Speaker 4: I think he's higher than Quieted. Quiet Edward's aware, by

783
00:37:02,920 --> 00:37:03,320
Speaker 4: the way.

784
00:37:03,360 --> 00:37:06,359
Speaker 3: That's that's an under I know this James Robinson story

785
00:37:06,400 --> 00:37:09,040
Speaker 3: has been incredible. I know he was awesome on Thursday Night.

786
00:37:09,160 --> 00:37:12,920
Speaker 3: I think that some harsh realities for the James Robinson

787
00:37:13,000 --> 00:37:16,319
Speaker 3: investors are coming soon, and it sucks because I'm one

788
00:37:16,400 --> 00:37:18,879
Speaker 3: of them. Like I have him in some of these

789
00:37:19,000 --> 00:37:21,960
Speaker 3: leagues where he was like an early fab guy, like

790
00:37:22,040 --> 00:37:26,080
Speaker 3: a week zero fab guy. But yeah, I just I'm

791
00:37:26,160 --> 00:37:29,400
Speaker 3: not feeling great about well, just the whole Jaguars offense.

792
00:37:29,480 --> 00:37:32,439
Speaker 3: It seems like it's tough times a coming.

793
00:37:32,960 --> 00:37:35,320
Speaker 2: Before Sean moves the line, I'm going to bet the

794
00:37:35,440 --> 00:37:38,520
Speaker 2: under as well. I have it around sixty and a half.

795
00:37:38,880 --> 00:37:40,560
Speaker 4: Sean, what was the line seventy and a half.

796
00:37:40,560 --> 00:37:43,120
Speaker 5: Seven and a half. Now it's sixty five minute.

797
00:37:43,160 --> 00:37:45,919
Speaker 4: Now you can have seventy and a half I want Yeah,

798
00:37:46,000 --> 00:37:48,200
Speaker 4: you're way too low. I'm at seventy one four. Bro,

799
00:37:48,440 --> 00:37:51,360
Speaker 4: there we go like almost the whole yard above, but

800
00:37:51,520 --> 00:37:54,160
Speaker 4: I'll go over and this is more just a math play,

801
00:37:54,280 --> 00:37:57,640
Speaker 4: Like I think the Bengals defense is. It's going to

802
00:37:57,719 --> 00:38:00,560
Speaker 4: be decent against the run. I think though they'll struggle

803
00:38:00,600 --> 00:38:03,920
Speaker 4: more in the past game. But Robinson still has what

804
00:38:04,120 --> 00:38:07,880
Speaker 4: good and is getting. He's kind of like their centerpiece

805
00:38:07,920 --> 00:38:08,400
Speaker 4: on offense.

806
00:38:08,719 --> 00:38:11,359
Speaker 3: He plays every he plays every down right right.

807
00:38:11,360 --> 00:38:13,440
Speaker 4: So like it's that like a play that I'm like, like,

808
00:38:13,520 --> 00:38:15,600
Speaker 4: he should not be quite higher than Criid Edwards Dulaiir.

809
00:38:15,880 --> 00:38:20,680
Speaker 4: That's egregious and ridiculous, But I think he's gonna somehow

810
00:38:20,800 --> 00:38:22,440
Speaker 4: get his way you know find his way to like

811
00:38:22,560 --> 00:38:26,480
Speaker 4: you know twelve to eighteen you know PPR points one

812
00:38:26,480 --> 00:38:27,000
Speaker 4: way or another.

813
00:38:28,800 --> 00:38:31,440
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Speaker 2: And now back to the show. All right, let's move

834
00:39:26,280 --> 00:39:29,680
Speaker 2: along to wide receivers. The wide receivers. At the top

835
00:39:29,760 --> 00:39:33,320
Speaker 2: of our rankings, we have Tyler Lockett, DeAndre Hopkins, and

836
00:39:33,600 --> 00:39:35,799
Speaker 2: Calvin Ridley. Davis, how do you stack them?

837
00:39:36,239 --> 00:39:38,719
Speaker 3: I mean, look, it's we're jumping the shark if we're

838
00:39:38,760 --> 00:39:41,719
Speaker 3: ranking Tyler Locket ahead of DeAndre Hopkins. Come on, guys,

839
00:39:41,880 --> 00:39:45,200
Speaker 3: we are we act, yes, yes, we actually are. What

840
00:39:45,400 --> 00:39:48,600
Speaker 3: is Tyler Rockett's touchdown rate right now? Like thirteen percent?

841
00:39:48,760 --> 00:39:49,680
Speaker 4: It's Russell Wilson.

842
00:39:50,080 --> 00:39:52,960
Speaker 2: Shawn agrees with you, Davis. For what it's worth.

843
00:39:53,120 --> 00:39:55,880
Speaker 3: Sewan, you have Hopkins, Hopkins, Lockett, Ridley.

844
00:39:56,400 --> 00:39:59,320
Speaker 5: Yeah, I have Hopkins number one. I have a Lockett

845
00:39:59,680 --> 00:40:02,600
Speaker 5: and Metcalf two to three. I feel like I had

846
00:40:02,640 --> 00:40:04,640
Speaker 5: this happen last week, and I just bumped him down

847
00:40:04,680 --> 00:40:07,920
Speaker 5: because I'm still a little bit uncomfortable ranking of the

848
00:40:08,000 --> 00:40:11,440
Speaker 5: top three. Yeah, I think that's it.

849
00:40:11,640 --> 00:40:11,880
Speaker 3: That's it.

850
00:40:11,960 --> 00:40:15,080
Speaker 5: They're both top three. And I'm a huge Calvin Ridley fan.

851
00:40:15,520 --> 00:40:17,600
Speaker 5: But you know, with Julio Jones, I think that does

852
00:40:17,719 --> 00:40:20,759
Speaker 5: cap is upside. So lock It and Metcalf top three for.

853
00:40:20,840 --> 00:40:21,319
Speaker 2: Me for sure.

854
00:40:22,120 --> 00:40:26,240
Speaker 3: Before sanity checking last week, I had Lockett and Metcalf

855
00:40:26,360 --> 00:40:30,120
Speaker 3: both projected for over point seven receiving touchdowns. Like it

856
00:40:30,200 --> 00:40:33,120
Speaker 3: is the most absurd projection I've ever seen. And then

857
00:40:33,239 --> 00:40:35,080
Speaker 3: I went and like fiddled with a Manu lane and

858
00:40:35,080 --> 00:40:37,400
Speaker 3: they both just scored. They both just scored thirty points.

859
00:40:37,480 --> 00:40:39,879
Speaker 5: I'm saying, I'm just not fiddling anymore. I'm just letting

860
00:40:39,880 --> 00:40:40,080
Speaker 5: it be.

861
00:40:40,560 --> 00:40:44,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, I'm I'm there too, except no, I'm not there.

862
00:40:44,719 --> 00:40:47,839
Speaker 2: I need to fiddle. Ray Bond. Who are you having

863
00:40:48,000 --> 00:40:49,640
Speaker 2: at number one? You have Lockett number one.

864
00:40:50,360 --> 00:40:53,800
Speaker 4: His quarterback has thrown fourteen touchdowns. His quarnerback has like

865
00:40:53,920 --> 00:40:55,640
Speaker 4: pretty much not made a bad throw all year. And

866
00:40:55,840 --> 00:40:58,680
Speaker 4: it's like it's what I get it. He's played the Falcons,

867
00:40:59,040 --> 00:41:02,359
Speaker 4: he's played the Patrioticks are a little better, still still

868
00:41:02,440 --> 00:41:05,560
Speaker 4: torched them, and then the Cowboys bad. But he's playing

869
00:41:05,600 --> 00:41:08,480
Speaker 4: the Dolphins now, Like it's like this doesn't have to

870
00:41:08,680 --> 00:41:11,319
Speaker 4: stop yet. You know it'll stop at some point. He'll

871
00:41:11,400 --> 00:41:13,440
Speaker 4: run into a He'll run into one of those bad

872
00:41:13,520 --> 00:41:16,120
Speaker 4: games at some point, but this is it just doesn't

873
00:41:16,120 --> 00:41:18,040
Speaker 4: set up as a game. So I'm gonna contigue roll

874
00:41:18,080 --> 00:41:20,040
Speaker 4: with it. Then I have Calvin Ridley number two, because

875
00:41:20,400 --> 00:41:24,320
Speaker 4: it's like Calvin Ridley and in this you know Falcons

876
00:41:25,440 --> 00:41:28,640
Speaker 4: Green Bay game. Falcons are a big dog. They've thrown

877
00:41:28,680 --> 00:41:30,359
Speaker 4: more than any team in the league, you know, since

878
00:41:30,440 --> 00:41:32,800
Speaker 4: Cutter took back over. They have I believe it is

879
00:41:32,960 --> 00:41:36,400
Speaker 4: now thirteen of nineteen games or something like with forty

880
00:41:36,520 --> 00:41:39,759
Speaker 4: or thirty nine plus pass attempts. And Calvin Ridley's been

881
00:41:39,920 --> 00:41:44,359
Speaker 4: amazing and the Falcons defense is so bad that that's

882
00:41:44,360 --> 00:41:45,799
Speaker 4: a lot of times what can put these guys over

883
00:41:45,840 --> 00:41:47,440
Speaker 4: the edge because look at the Seahawks and Russ, like,

884
00:41:47,680 --> 00:41:50,440
Speaker 4: part of it is Russ bawling and but and part

885
00:41:50,480 --> 00:41:52,880
Speaker 4: of it is the Seahawks can't stop anyone. So I

886
00:41:53,040 --> 00:41:56,319
Speaker 4: love this for Calvin and then Hopkins, I have number three,

887
00:41:56,360 --> 00:41:59,400
Speaker 4: and that's it's not like I am down on Hopkins

888
00:42:00,080 --> 00:42:01,680
Speaker 4: or anything like that, but you look at the matchup,

889
00:42:01,760 --> 00:42:06,600
Speaker 4: Arizona playing Carolina could be a little bit like easier

890
00:42:06,680 --> 00:42:09,040
Speaker 4: of a time. Arizona is a favorite. I think this

891
00:42:09,239 --> 00:42:10,800
Speaker 4: could be a game where you start to see the

892
00:42:10,880 --> 00:42:13,560
Speaker 4: run game get more involved, especially after Kyler had some

893
00:42:13,680 --> 00:42:16,000
Speaker 4: turnovers last week in a game that they should versus

894
00:42:16,040 --> 00:42:18,680
Speaker 4: an opponent they should have beat. So that's that's kind

895
00:42:18,680 --> 00:42:20,440
Speaker 4: of why I have them but if you had him

896
00:42:20,480 --> 00:42:23,440
Speaker 4: in a different order, I'm not actually gonna gonna, you know,

897
00:42:23,680 --> 00:42:27,360
Speaker 4: argue with you, but yeah, it's block it Ridley Hopkins

898
00:42:27,400 --> 00:42:27,560
Speaker 4: for me.

899
00:42:28,040 --> 00:42:29,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, I have Ridley number one, And a lot of

900
00:42:29,880 --> 00:42:32,160
Speaker 2: it just has to do with the market share of

901
00:42:32,239 --> 00:42:34,240
Speaker 2: the targets that I think he's going to get without

902
00:42:34,400 --> 00:42:38,160
Speaker 2: Julio there, and he's just gotten unreal target volume anyway,

903
00:42:38,680 --> 00:42:42,080
Speaker 2: And if Julio is out once again, which I'm expecting

904
00:42:42,160 --> 00:42:45,200
Speaker 2: he probably will be, and then now also of Russell

905
00:42:45,280 --> 00:42:49,360
Speaker 2: Gage left in week three with a concussion, so Gauge

906
00:42:49,480 --> 00:42:51,440
Speaker 2: might not play in this game. So if both of

907
00:42:51,480 --> 00:42:53,360
Speaker 2: those guys are out, obviously he's going to have a

908
00:42:53,440 --> 00:42:55,520
Speaker 2: ton of defensive attention. But I think you will also

909
00:42:55,960 --> 00:42:58,239
Speaker 2: have a ton of volume, which is why I have

910
00:42:58,360 --> 00:43:00,920
Speaker 2: him number one. David, who are you high on?

911
00:43:01,600 --> 00:43:03,279
Speaker 3: So I guess the guy that I'm going to be

912
00:43:03,440 --> 00:43:05,680
Speaker 3: highest on relative to what people are going to do

913
00:43:05,800 --> 00:43:09,400
Speaker 3: this week is going to be Viscuschanal Because DJ Shark

914
00:43:09,480 --> 00:43:12,319
Speaker 3: on Monday went to go back in and get more

915
00:43:12,400 --> 00:43:14,800
Speaker 3: test done. I think it's a knee. I'm not actually

916
00:43:14,960 --> 00:43:18,080
Speaker 3: sure what DJ Shark has an injury to on his body,

917
00:43:18,120 --> 00:43:21,480
Speaker 3: but yeah, I think Chanol, I'm basically going to project

918
00:43:21,600 --> 00:43:23,759
Speaker 3: him kind of the same way I did last week.

919
00:43:23,880 --> 00:43:27,000
Speaker 3: You know, I actually think that Chris Conley putting together

920
00:43:27,040 --> 00:43:30,920
Speaker 3: that point shaving performance on Thursday night is going to

921
00:43:30,960 --> 00:43:33,920
Speaker 3: actually expand Chanolt's role relative to what it would have

922
00:43:34,000 --> 00:43:37,320
Speaker 3: been had Conley been decent in that game. So I

923
00:43:37,840 --> 00:43:40,440
Speaker 3: think Chanolt I'm going to be high on relative to

924
00:43:40,560 --> 00:43:43,000
Speaker 3: the market, Smith Schuster, I'm going to be high on

925
00:43:43,960 --> 00:43:48,320
Speaker 3: relative to the market. And Marky's Brown. I'm not discouraged, Hollywood.

926
00:43:48,440 --> 00:43:50,000
Speaker 3: I still believe in you, buddy.

927
00:43:50,200 --> 00:43:51,520
Speaker 2: Sean, who are you high on?

928
00:43:52,120 --> 00:43:55,000
Speaker 5: So these are the two players will be targeting GPPs.

929
00:43:55,160 --> 00:43:57,759
Speaker 5: I think they're good by low opportunities. They should be

930
00:43:57,880 --> 00:43:59,759
Speaker 5: under owned because they haven't really done much this year.

931
00:43:59,800 --> 00:44:02,600
Speaker 5: But Brandon Cooks is the first one for me at

932
00:44:02,680 --> 00:44:05,200
Speaker 5: forty five hundred. You know, he's had a rough start

933
00:44:05,239 --> 00:44:07,080
Speaker 5: to the season. They you know, they face the Chiefs

934
00:44:07,200 --> 00:44:10,080
Speaker 5: Raven Steelers. He's still, you know, trying to get in

935
00:44:10,160 --> 00:44:13,000
Speaker 5: sync with Deshaun Watson. But last week he ran around

936
00:44:13,000 --> 00:44:15,000
Speaker 5: on ninety one percent of the snap. So he's playing

937
00:44:15,960 --> 00:44:17,880
Speaker 5: and you know he's due for a breakout. And I

938
00:44:17,960 --> 00:44:21,000
Speaker 5: think this Vikings defense could be a smash spot for him.

939
00:44:21,040 --> 00:44:24,120
Speaker 5: We saw Cleif Raymond just go bonkers on him and he's,

940
00:44:24,160 --> 00:44:26,239
Speaker 5: you know, really the Titans deep threat. So I think

941
00:44:26,320 --> 00:44:29,319
Speaker 5: Cooks could sneak in a long touchdown this week. He's

942
00:44:29,440 --> 00:44:32,880
Speaker 5: super cheap again GPP only don't play in cash obviously,

943
00:44:33,640 --> 00:44:36,439
Speaker 5: but I'm buying low on him. And then de Mary

944
00:44:36,480 --> 00:44:40,760
Speaker 5: Bird is my three K flyer this week. He played

945
00:44:40,920 --> 00:44:44,280
Speaker 5: a snap one hundred percent of the time on Camington's dropbacks.

946
00:44:44,320 --> 00:44:46,960
Speaker 5: Last week. I think he's averaged like ninety seven percent

947
00:44:47,400 --> 00:44:50,400
Speaker 5: of the snaps on pass plays. So this matchup at

948
00:44:50,520 --> 00:44:53,359
Speaker 5: case where Newton will be throwing a lot more, Bird

949
00:44:53,440 --> 00:44:55,440
Speaker 5: could go off. And when I say go off, I

950
00:44:55,560 --> 00:44:58,359
Speaker 5: mean five yards, eighty yards and a touchdown. You won't

951
00:44:58,400 --> 00:44:59,880
Speaker 5: need much at three K, but he could be a

952
00:45:00,040 --> 00:45:04,200
Speaker 5: nikky GPP flyer this week. So for me, I like

953
00:45:04,239 --> 00:45:05,200
Speaker 5: t Higgins this week.

954
00:45:05,280 --> 00:45:08,279
Speaker 4: I think this is this is the time of year where,

955
00:45:08,680 --> 00:45:11,840
Speaker 4: especially because we had the COVID offseason, you know, not

956
00:45:11,960 --> 00:45:14,680
Speaker 4: as much camp, You're starting to see the rookie receivers

957
00:45:15,000 --> 00:45:17,840
Speaker 4: blow up around this time. We saw it with Jefferson.

958
00:45:17,920 --> 00:45:21,120
Speaker 4: Higgins actually caught two touchdowns last week, but the key

959
00:45:21,239 --> 00:45:23,800
Speaker 4: for him was that they when they made Ross inactive,

960
00:45:24,560 --> 00:45:27,680
Speaker 4: it was essentially for Higgins. Higgins led the He led

961
00:45:27,680 --> 00:45:30,800
Speaker 4: the Bengals and routes run. He was forty three to

962
00:45:31,239 --> 00:45:35,040
Speaker 4: Boyd forty two, AJ Green forty one, eighty three percent

963
00:45:35,200 --> 00:45:38,279
Speaker 4: of the dropacks. You just have to go with him

964
00:45:38,640 --> 00:45:40,200
Speaker 4: right now. I think, you know, Tyr Boyd's in a

965
00:45:40,239 --> 00:45:43,000
Speaker 4: good spot as well. But AJ Greens really doesn't look

966
00:45:43,040 --> 00:45:45,440
Speaker 4: like himself, and Joe Burrow is kind of struggling if

967
00:45:45,480 --> 00:45:47,759
Speaker 4: he's peppering them with targets. So I think that's kind

968
00:45:47,800 --> 00:45:50,120
Speaker 4: of why they made Higgins, you know, a bigger part.

969
00:45:50,200 --> 00:45:53,040
Speaker 4: So like they give him another option that's not John Ross,

970
00:45:53,040 --> 00:45:55,240
Speaker 4: who is another guy that like it's like Feaster Famin.

971
00:45:55,360 --> 00:45:58,680
Speaker 4: So I love Higgins this week, and in generally, I

972
00:45:58,760 --> 00:46:00,640
Speaker 4: think this is the time, Like I love the channel

973
00:46:00,719 --> 00:46:03,120
Speaker 4: call with Davis. I think all of the rookie receivers

974
00:46:03,360 --> 00:46:06,120
Speaker 4: Jefferson go back to him. But I think Friedman's going

975
00:46:06,160 --> 00:46:08,480
Speaker 4: to disagree with me on this one, so I'm interested

976
00:46:08,520 --> 00:46:11,799
Speaker 4: to hear his take. But I like Devonte Parker this week. Again,

977
00:46:11,840 --> 00:46:16,319
Speaker 4: I mentioned it Seattle has given up essentially like three

978
00:46:16,400 --> 00:46:18,440
Speaker 4: hundred yards more than anyone else in the league passing

979
00:46:18,719 --> 00:46:21,480
Speaker 4: like four hundred more yards than Russ has even thrown

980
00:46:21,600 --> 00:46:24,560
Speaker 4: four And you look at Parker, he was struggling with

981
00:46:24,680 --> 00:46:28,320
Speaker 4: injury in that first game, the last week, the second

982
00:46:28,360 --> 00:46:30,680
Speaker 4: week he ran around on ninety percent of the dropbacks,

983
00:46:31,040 --> 00:46:33,760
Speaker 4: and last week he was up at at one hundred.

984
00:46:33,960 --> 00:46:36,719
Speaker 4: So like it's a simple it's simple math, you know,

985
00:46:36,960 --> 00:46:40,120
Speaker 4: like the Seahawks are gonna score points, the Dolphins are

986
00:46:40,160 --> 00:46:41,600
Speaker 4: going to have to come back, and they're gonna have

987
00:46:41,640 --> 00:46:43,520
Speaker 4: to throw it down the field. And the Seahawks can't

988
00:46:43,520 --> 00:46:47,200
Speaker 4: stop anybody. It was Cam Newton to Julian Edelman over

989
00:46:47,280 --> 00:46:50,719
Speaker 4: and over in that Seattle game, and they couldn't stop that.

990
00:46:51,000 --> 00:46:53,440
Speaker 4: And you know, he's really the only guy in New England.

991
00:46:53,520 --> 00:46:55,920
Speaker 4: And so you look at the Parker he's had kind

992
00:46:55,960 --> 00:47:00,719
Speaker 4: of a you know, not really he's had an underwhelming stretch.

993
00:47:00,760 --> 00:47:02,279
Speaker 4: I guess you could say, you know, not really much

994
00:47:02,320 --> 00:47:05,080
Speaker 4: to show for his routes over the past couple of games.

995
00:47:05,120 --> 00:47:07,320
Speaker 4: But I think this is a big, big spot for

996
00:47:07,360 --> 00:47:09,160
Speaker 4: him where you could see him pop off for you know,

997
00:47:09,239 --> 00:47:11,319
Speaker 4: one hundred and fifty two hundred yards and a couple

998
00:47:11,320 --> 00:47:11,880
Speaker 4: of touchdowns.

999
00:47:12,200 --> 00:47:14,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm relatively low I might need to make adjustments here.

1000
00:47:15,040 --> 00:47:17,360
Speaker 2: The big thing is he just hasn't gotten many targets

1001
00:47:17,400 --> 00:47:19,160
Speaker 2: to this point this season. And rayvonn to your point,

1002
00:47:19,160 --> 00:47:21,440
Speaker 2: he has been out there running the routes, he just

1003
00:47:21,560 --> 00:47:25,440
Speaker 2: hasn't been targeted. And there are enough other guys who

1004
00:47:25,520 --> 00:47:29,000
Speaker 2: are getting the ball within that offense, like you think

1005
00:47:29,040 --> 00:47:31,400
Speaker 2: that they should be going to Parker much more than

1006
00:47:31,440 --> 00:47:35,480
Speaker 2: they have been. But you know, Preston Williams, Gasicki, Isaiah

1007
00:47:35,600 --> 00:47:38,279
Speaker 2: Ford is getting more targets than he should. So I

1008
00:47:38,320 --> 00:47:40,760
Speaker 2: would assume that this is a game in which Parker

1009
00:47:40,800 --> 00:47:43,439
Speaker 2: would go off, but he just hasn't gotten the target

1010
00:47:43,520 --> 00:47:46,239
Speaker 2: share to this point in the season to like for

1011
00:47:46,360 --> 00:47:49,239
Speaker 2: me to like bump him to the point that he

1012
00:47:49,400 --> 00:47:51,640
Speaker 2: needs to be for me to project him higher.

1013
00:47:52,280 --> 00:47:53,640
Speaker 4: I get what you're saying, but I think this is

1014
00:47:53,800 --> 00:47:55,600
Speaker 4: this has to be like this is because this is

1015
00:47:55,680 --> 00:47:58,479
Speaker 4: not really bumping him. This is literally you're just letting

1016
00:47:58,480 --> 00:48:01,760
Speaker 4: the math play out. He was hurt week one ninety percent,

1017
00:48:02,040 --> 00:48:05,840
Speaker 4: one hundred percent. You're not getting receivers, many receivers running

1018
00:48:05,840 --> 00:48:10,040
Speaker 4: one hundred percent of the dropbacks versus the worst pass

1019
00:48:10,200 --> 00:48:12,560
Speaker 4: defense in the league in a game with a total

1020
00:48:12,600 --> 00:48:14,640
Speaker 4: of fifty four where the team is going to be

1021
00:48:14,680 --> 00:48:17,120
Speaker 4: playing from behind, like that's just like this is the

1022
00:48:17,239 --> 00:48:19,440
Speaker 4: game where Parker is probably gonna get like twenty five

1023
00:48:19,480 --> 00:48:21,920
Speaker 4: percent of his season total and then go back to

1024
00:48:22,000 --> 00:48:22,440
Speaker 4: being like it.

1025
00:48:23,520 --> 00:48:25,520
Speaker 2: I mean, I hear you I need to make adjustments,

1026
00:48:25,560 --> 00:48:28,280
Speaker 2: but I don't. I'm still I can make massive adjustments

1027
00:48:28,320 --> 00:48:30,479
Speaker 2: on Parker Davis. Who are you lowing?

1028
00:48:30,960 --> 00:48:34,080
Speaker 3: I always hate to give low wide receivers because they

1029
00:48:34,160 --> 00:48:36,560
Speaker 3: just you know, it's so much easier to blow up

1030
00:48:36,600 --> 00:48:40,040
Speaker 3: on these. I think one guy who I will just

1031
00:48:40,160 --> 00:48:43,560
Speaker 3: always be low on because I hate the offense so

1032
00:48:43,680 --> 00:48:46,239
Speaker 3: much is McLaurin. I'm not too brand to him this week,

1033
00:48:46,320 --> 00:48:49,640
Speaker 3: and then expensive guys that I expect to be under

1034
00:48:50,040 --> 00:48:53,640
Speaker 3: the field. On An Robinson, you know, I don't know

1035
00:48:53,719 --> 00:48:56,759
Speaker 3: if I buy this. An Robinson is like a top ten,

1036
00:48:57,040 --> 00:49:00,040
Speaker 3: top five wide receiver with Nick Foles at quarterbacks, and

1037
00:49:00,080 --> 00:49:02,759
Speaker 3: then also probably in tournaments, I'll just end up having

1038
00:49:02,880 --> 00:49:05,920
Speaker 3: like no theling like thelin will be twelve percent in

1039
00:49:05,960 --> 00:49:08,120
Speaker 3: a million maker or something, and I just I won't

1040
00:49:08,160 --> 00:49:10,600
Speaker 3: have him at all. You know, I'd rather Amari. I

1041
00:49:10,640 --> 00:49:12,560
Speaker 3: think i'd even rather Keen Allen, And like I don't

1042
00:49:12,600 --> 00:49:15,400
Speaker 3: like Keenan Allen at all I'd rather Mike Evan's probably

1043
00:49:15,520 --> 00:49:18,279
Speaker 3: rather mark he's brown than play thelon where he's the

1044
00:49:18,360 --> 00:49:19,680
Speaker 3: Worris Price sat on DraftKings.

1045
00:49:20,000 --> 00:49:22,520
Speaker 2: All Right, Sean, who are you low on?

1046
00:49:23,160 --> 00:49:27,000
Speaker 5: I'm low on Keenan Allen. Davis has mentioned him, but yeah,

1047
00:49:27,040 --> 00:49:29,799
Speaker 5: he's sixty five hundred this week. I think people could

1048
00:49:29,920 --> 00:49:33,120
Speaker 5: overweight last week's game. I mean they fell behind to

1049
00:49:33,239 --> 00:49:36,520
Speaker 5: the Panthers. Talk about the perfect game script, so you

1050
00:49:36,600 --> 00:49:38,839
Speaker 5: know his thirteen catch, one hundred and thirty two yard,

1051
00:49:38,920 --> 00:49:41,000
Speaker 5: one touchdown game is going to be a little bit misleading.

1052
00:49:41,320 --> 00:49:43,920
Speaker 5: This week, you know, they faced the Buccaneers who are

1053
00:49:44,040 --> 00:49:46,200
Speaker 5: much better defense. And again we don't really know if

1054
00:49:46,200 --> 00:49:49,320
Speaker 5: Tyra's going to start or not, but anytime Tyrod starts,

1055
00:49:49,440 --> 00:49:51,800
Speaker 5: I'm going to downgrade Keenan Allen and Austin Eckler a

1056
00:49:51,840 --> 00:49:54,279
Speaker 5: bit and boost up Mike Williams just based on the

1057
00:49:54,320 --> 00:49:57,759
Speaker 5: limited sample SI as we've seen. The other guy I'm

1058
00:49:57,800 --> 00:50:00,800
Speaker 5: low on this week is Juju Smith Schuster. Again, it

1059
00:50:00,920 --> 00:50:03,560
Speaker 5: depends if this game plays or not, but he's sixty

1060
00:50:03,600 --> 00:50:08,680
Speaker 5: five hundred. Assuming Deonte plays, I have Juju all the

1061
00:50:08,680 --> 00:50:11,200
Speaker 5: way down to wide receiver thirty and a big part

1062
00:50:11,239 --> 00:50:13,279
Speaker 5: of that just has to do with James Washington and

1063
00:50:13,400 --> 00:50:16,440
Speaker 5: Chase Claypool stepping up and even Eric Ebron. I just

1064
00:50:16,520 --> 00:50:18,760
Speaker 5: think one of the appealing things that Juju is always

1065
00:50:18,800 --> 00:50:20,759
Speaker 5: you know, he's gonna see massive target share, but just

1066
00:50:21,120 --> 00:50:23,400
Speaker 5: with all these weapons stepping up, it's a lot more

1067
00:50:23,520 --> 00:50:26,160
Speaker 5: spread out, so that that definitely hurts Juju and he's

1068
00:50:26,200 --> 00:50:28,480
Speaker 5: going to become a little bit more touchdown dependent than

1069
00:50:28,480 --> 00:50:31,680
Speaker 5: I think we were hoping. So I'm down on him

1070
00:50:31,760 --> 00:50:34,359
Speaker 5: this week, assuming the game plays hy y abound. Here

1071
00:50:34,360 --> 00:50:36,200
Speaker 5: are you low on Alan Robinson?

1072
00:50:36,840 --> 00:50:40,439
Speaker 4: Like again, the Falcons defense is there's there's a few

1073
00:50:40,560 --> 00:50:43,840
Speaker 4: defenses that you just can't take, you know, path performance

1074
00:50:43,880 --> 00:50:46,520
Speaker 4: and kind of project it out, and the Falcons defense

1075
00:50:46,600 --> 00:50:48,359
Speaker 4: is one of them. I mean, this is a team

1076
00:50:48,440 --> 00:50:51,279
Speaker 4: that builds, you know, fifteen to twenty twenty five point

1077
00:50:51,320 --> 00:50:53,400
Speaker 4: weeds in every game and then the other team just

1078
00:50:53,480 --> 00:50:54,799
Speaker 4: has to come back and beat him.

1079
00:50:55,400 --> 00:50:55,560
Speaker 5: You know.

1080
00:50:55,719 --> 00:50:59,200
Speaker 4: So Alan Robinson puts up a huge game and now

1081
00:50:59,239 --> 00:51:02,560
Speaker 4: he's facing a cold and you know, this is interesting

1082
00:51:02,640 --> 00:51:04,920
Speaker 4: to me because I know they let Gardner minhter dow

1083
00:51:05,040 --> 00:51:07,640
Speaker 4: nine of nineteen of twenty and Week one not much

1084
00:51:07,719 --> 00:51:10,359
Speaker 4: yardage but he did get three touchdowns. But the Colts

1085
00:51:10,440 --> 00:51:13,800
Speaker 4: now rate number one in past defense dv away according

1086
00:51:13,800 --> 00:51:16,640
Speaker 4: to Football Outsider, So this is still a tough defense

1087
00:51:17,400 --> 00:51:19,719
Speaker 4: to put up production on. And I just don't think

1088
00:51:19,760 --> 00:51:22,560
Speaker 4: it will be the same kind of game script and

1089
00:51:23,360 --> 00:51:25,319
Speaker 4: it will be a tougher matchup even if I don't

1090
00:51:25,320 --> 00:51:27,959
Speaker 4: think the Cults are that good, much different game script.

1091
00:51:28,000 --> 00:51:30,959
Speaker 4: The total is only I think forty forty four, forty

1092
00:51:31,000 --> 00:51:33,800
Speaker 4: five in this game, and that's after the Bears, you know,

1093
00:51:34,200 --> 00:51:36,160
Speaker 4: have put up high twenties and two out of the

1094
00:51:36,200 --> 00:51:37,479
Speaker 4: three games and thirty.

1095
00:51:37,800 --> 00:51:39,480
Speaker 2: So like this is just not a good spot for him,

1096
00:51:40,040 --> 00:51:42,160
Speaker 2: all right, Sean, give us the prop. Well.

1097
00:51:42,280 --> 00:51:44,279
Speaker 5: I I was thinking about doing a Cedric Wilson prop,

1098
00:51:44,400 --> 00:51:47,680
Speaker 5: but I think we're gonna pivot to Devonte Parker just

1099
00:51:47,760 --> 00:51:49,719
Speaker 5: based on what Raybaun said. I'm pretty high in two,

1100
00:51:49,760 --> 00:51:51,759
Speaker 5: so I'm just curious to work here where you guys

1101
00:51:52,200 --> 00:51:56,560
Speaker 5: have him projected. But I have his receiving yards at

1102
00:51:56,840 --> 00:51:58,400
Speaker 5: sixty six and a half yards.

1103
00:51:59,080 --> 00:51:59,799
Speaker 3: That's high, dud.

1104
00:52:01,960 --> 00:52:04,680
Speaker 2: I'll take the under, but I have it at sixty

1105
00:52:04,760 --> 00:52:06,719
Speaker 2: two and a half. So it's not as if like

1106
00:52:07,040 --> 00:52:11,040
Speaker 2: it's like I'm egregiously off on the line that you said.

1107
00:52:11,080 --> 00:52:12,480
Speaker 2: I think part of it is that I'm just not

1108
00:52:13,000 --> 00:52:15,759
Speaker 2: projecting him for that many touchdowns.

1109
00:52:16,200 --> 00:52:20,959
Speaker 4: At so I'll go over want I want the area all.

1110
00:52:20,880 --> 00:52:24,680
Speaker 2: Right, at tight end, we have Travis Kelce, Darren Waller,

1111
00:52:25,080 --> 00:52:29,880
Speaker 2: zach Ertz. I think not much of a surprise there, Davis,

1112
00:52:30,320 --> 00:52:31,960
Speaker 2: do you agree with those rankings?

1113
00:52:32,440 --> 00:52:34,160
Speaker 3: Those are those are the way I have him for sure.

1114
00:52:34,560 --> 00:52:36,800
Speaker 2: Okay, Davis, who are you relatively high on?

1115
00:52:37,480 --> 00:52:40,239
Speaker 3: I think the guy I am highest on has got

1116
00:52:40,360 --> 00:52:42,040
Speaker 3: to be it's got to be Waller, right, who had

1117
00:52:42,080 --> 00:52:44,960
Speaker 3: the bad game last week but had a hey at

1118
00:52:45,120 --> 00:52:48,760
Speaker 3: thirty eight percent target share heading into that. That's pipe

1119
00:52:48,840 --> 00:52:51,160
Speaker 3: that Patriots game. And like, I don't know, I'm pretty

1120
00:52:51,200 --> 00:52:54,560
Speaker 3: cool just throwing out Patriots games for skill position players,

1121
00:52:54,840 --> 00:52:57,680
Speaker 3: especially when they're the only good skill position player on

1122
00:52:57,760 --> 00:53:01,239
Speaker 3: their team, like Rugs didn't play. Edward's injured in that game.

1123
00:53:01,680 --> 00:53:02,200
Speaker 4: So I'm cool.

1124
00:53:02,520 --> 00:53:05,840
Speaker 3: Yeah, And I think Buffalo whatever, you know, their defense

1125
00:53:05,880 --> 00:53:08,760
Speaker 3: seems fine. It doesn't seem as good as the Patriots defense.

1126
00:53:08,800 --> 00:53:13,759
Speaker 3: So I think Waller is Waller at fifty two hundred man, Yeah,

1127
00:53:14,360 --> 00:53:16,480
Speaker 3: he's gonna be He's gonna lose me some money this week.

1128
00:53:16,520 --> 00:53:19,799
Speaker 2: I think, Sean, I think you're there with Davis, right, Yeah,

1129
00:53:19,840 --> 00:53:22,360
Speaker 2: I am right there with Davis that they could be

1130
00:53:22,480 --> 00:53:25,200
Speaker 2: without Henry Ruggs and Brian Edwards this week, so if

1131
00:53:25,239 --> 00:53:27,160
Speaker 2: could be the Hunter run fro and Darren Waller Shaw.

1132
00:53:27,160 --> 00:53:30,440
Speaker 5: I'm all in on bounce back game for Waller Raymond.

1133
00:53:30,480 --> 00:53:30,960
Speaker 2: What about you?

1134
00:53:31,680 --> 00:53:34,160
Speaker 4: I mentioned, you know, buying on rookies and you know,

1135
00:53:34,360 --> 00:53:36,120
Speaker 4: kind of looking at the routes run to see, you know,

1136
00:53:36,200 --> 00:53:39,160
Speaker 4: which rookies were kind of jumping up in the board,

1137
00:53:39,239 --> 00:53:41,320
Speaker 4: and the same kind of applies to young guys that

1138
00:53:41,400 --> 00:53:43,919
Speaker 4: we expect to break out at some point that really

1139
00:53:44,040 --> 00:53:47,120
Speaker 4: haven't yet. One of those players I think is TJ Hockinson.

1140
00:53:47,760 --> 00:53:51,319
Speaker 4: TJ Hockinson obviously, you know, first round tight end didn't

1141
00:53:51,360 --> 00:53:53,839
Speaker 4: get off to quite the start we wanted. Looking at

1142
00:53:53,880 --> 00:53:57,920
Speaker 4: his routes run these past three weeks Week one, sixty

1143
00:53:57,960 --> 00:54:01,279
Speaker 4: per week to sixty six percent week three, and this

1144
00:54:01,440 --> 00:54:04,640
Speaker 4: is you know, Kenny Galladay comes back eighty nine percent.

1145
00:54:05,200 --> 00:54:06,759
Speaker 4: You know, now he's up to seven, he's up to

1146
00:54:06,960 --> 00:54:09,520
Speaker 4: you know, seventy for the season. I think that trend

1147
00:54:09,640 --> 00:54:11,239
Speaker 4: is going to continue. I think he's gonna be a

1148
00:54:11,280 --> 00:54:14,720
Speaker 4: big part of their offense going forward, So I love TJ. Hockinson.

1149
00:54:14,760 --> 00:54:17,360
Speaker 4: This week I have him as my tight end number seven.

1150
00:54:18,400 --> 00:54:21,200
Speaker 2: Kay. I'm very much in on Noah Fant, who I

1151
00:54:21,280 --> 00:54:24,440
Speaker 2: think is playing just as efficiently as he was last year,

1152
00:54:25,040 --> 00:54:28,439
Speaker 2: but now with Courtland Sutton out is starting to see

1153
00:54:28,880 --> 00:54:32,280
Speaker 2: many more targets and so going against a Jets defense

1154
00:54:32,360 --> 00:54:35,080
Speaker 2: that I think is pretty helpless, I could see him

1155
00:54:35,120 --> 00:54:37,000
Speaker 2: having a big game. So I have him all the

1156
00:54:37,040 --> 00:54:40,319
Speaker 2: way at number four in my rankings. Davis, who are

1157
00:54:40,320 --> 00:54:40,719
Speaker 2: you low on?

1158
00:54:41,360 --> 00:54:45,920
Speaker 3: I think that it's gonna be I guess I expect

1159
00:54:45,920 --> 00:54:48,920
Speaker 3: a lot of people to go to Gaseki just because

1160
00:54:49,000 --> 00:54:50,880
Speaker 3: I think a lot of people are gonna want bringbacks

1161
00:54:50,920 --> 00:54:52,799
Speaker 3: for Seattle. I think a lot of people are gonna

1162
00:54:52,840 --> 00:54:55,640
Speaker 3: want to get guys. You know, they're gonna want those

1163
00:54:55,640 --> 00:54:58,400
Speaker 3: Fitzpatrick sacks. And it's not that I don't like Mike Kiseki.

1164
00:54:58,520 --> 00:55:01,759
Speaker 3: I actually am like a lot long term Giseki Truther

1165
00:55:01,800 --> 00:55:04,040
Speaker 3: or you know, I was arguing with pack Horane about

1166
00:55:04,120 --> 00:55:07,920
Speaker 3: him all off season. The thing is, though, is I

1167
00:55:08,080 --> 00:55:12,200
Speaker 3: would rather play Logan Thomas. I would rather play Hunter

1168
00:55:12,320 --> 00:55:15,040
Speaker 3: Henry right, and like just like I think this is

1169
00:55:15,120 --> 00:55:17,560
Speaker 3: like Pete GASICKI price at fifty one hundred, like he's

1170
00:55:17,640 --> 00:55:20,160
Speaker 3: very expensive at fifty one hundred on draftgangs.

1171
00:55:20,680 --> 00:55:26,040
Speaker 2: I mean, Raybon is is taking the approach of preferring

1172
00:55:26,080 --> 00:55:29,680
Speaker 2: Logan Thomas with you. Logan Thomas is number six in Raybon's.

1173
00:55:29,320 --> 00:55:31,840
Speaker 3: Ranking, So yeah, I'm playing Logan Thomas in cash.

1174
00:55:31,800 --> 00:55:34,239
Speaker 2: Certainly someone to think about there, Sean, who are you

1175
00:55:34,320 --> 00:55:35,040
Speaker 2: relatively low on?

1176
00:55:36,040 --> 00:55:38,320
Speaker 5: So the guy I'm relatively low and is mol Ali Cox,

1177
00:55:38,480 --> 00:55:41,279
Speaker 5: And it's more of just a word of caution. At

1178
00:55:41,360 --> 00:55:44,400
Speaker 5: thirty nine hundred, I think people may pivot to him

1179
00:55:44,400 --> 00:55:45,400
Speaker 5: as a cheap option.

1180
00:55:45,440 --> 00:55:47,000
Speaker 2: And you know, his his game.

1181
00:55:47,120 --> 00:55:49,520
Speaker 5: I was high on him week two when Jack Doyle

1182
00:55:49,640 --> 00:55:52,839
Speaker 5: was out, but last week's three catch for fifty yards

1183
00:55:52,880 --> 00:55:55,680
Speaker 5: and a touchdown is kind of fluky because Jack Tayler

1184
00:55:55,760 --> 00:55:57,719
Speaker 5: return and he ran around on I think it was

1185
00:55:57,760 --> 00:56:01,600
Speaker 5: sixty to seventy percent of snaps and hawks was limited

1186
00:56:01,680 --> 00:56:04,120
Speaker 5: about like twenty five to thirty percent of the snaps

1187
00:56:04,200 --> 00:56:07,759
Speaker 5: on past plays. So I'd be careful with him. You know,

1188
00:56:07,920 --> 00:56:09,359
Speaker 5: he's he's a guy that has a ton of talent.

1189
00:56:09,440 --> 00:56:11,320
Speaker 5: We might take him going forward, but this week, just

1190
00:56:11,360 --> 00:56:12,080
Speaker 5: stay away from.

1191
00:56:12,000 --> 00:56:14,840
Speaker 2: Him, Raybon. What about you, Tyra Hagbee?

1192
00:56:15,280 --> 00:56:17,040
Speaker 4: You know, his price is a top three tight end.

1193
00:56:17,680 --> 00:56:20,319
Speaker 4: I just I'm not there with Higbee, you know, looking

1194
00:56:20,360 --> 00:56:22,920
Speaker 4: at his routes running the past three weeks, uh sixty

1195
00:56:23,000 --> 00:56:26,200
Speaker 4: five to fifty to forty percent of the dropbacks. Now,

1196
00:56:26,280 --> 00:56:28,640
Speaker 4: I do think some like in the last game that

1197
00:56:28,719 --> 00:56:31,440
Speaker 4: had to do a little bit with Buffalo, when they're healthy,

1198
00:56:31,840 --> 00:56:34,799
Speaker 4: they play well against tight ends. I don't think it's

1199
00:56:34,880 --> 00:56:36,880
Speaker 4: as big of a concern with Waller because he's not

1200
00:56:37,080 --> 00:56:40,279
Speaker 4: like a traditional, you know, tight end. But you know

1201
00:56:40,440 --> 00:56:42,600
Speaker 4: the way the Rams are playing right now, they're kind

1202
00:56:42,600 --> 00:56:44,719
Speaker 4: of mixing it up with game plans. They're running a ton.

1203
00:56:45,840 --> 00:56:48,920
Speaker 4: It was Higbee forty percent at Everett thirty four percent

1204
00:56:49,040 --> 00:56:51,560
Speaker 4: last week. For the season, it's fifty two to twenty

1205
00:56:51,600 --> 00:56:53,880
Speaker 4: seven percent. So that's just it's not a good split

1206
00:56:54,040 --> 00:56:54,400
Speaker 4: either way.

1207
00:56:55,080 --> 00:56:57,879
Speaker 2: Sean, can we talk about this because it's it's rare

1208
00:56:58,280 --> 00:57:01,160
Speaker 2: that Raymond and I are exactly on the same side

1209
00:57:01,160 --> 00:57:05,800
Speaker 2: of something. But it's a situation where you have Higbee

1210
00:57:06,040 --> 00:57:10,279
Speaker 2: ranked number three, Raymond has him number eighteen, and I

1211
00:57:10,440 --> 00:57:11,520
Speaker 2: have him number eighteen.

1212
00:57:13,040 --> 00:57:16,480
Speaker 3: We get to three. WHOA, Now I'm scared.

1213
00:57:17,720 --> 00:57:20,920
Speaker 5: Oh my god, it must be just touchdown equity. I mean,

1214
00:57:21,080 --> 00:57:25,440
Speaker 5: the Rams have a pretty massive team total. You know,

1215
00:57:25,600 --> 00:57:28,360
Speaker 5: on the fly, I can't really go into every projection

1216
00:57:28,520 --> 00:57:30,520
Speaker 5: for every guy in this range, but you know, when

1217
00:57:30,520 --> 00:57:32,280
Speaker 5: it comes to Higbee, I just I still think he

1218
00:57:32,320 --> 00:57:35,200
Speaker 5: has touched on equity. I'm projecting him for four catches,

1219
00:57:35,440 --> 00:57:38,120
Speaker 5: four point two catches and forty eight yards. So you know,

1220
00:57:38,160 --> 00:57:41,080
Speaker 5: when I have him ranked third, it's not like, you know,

1221
00:57:41,160 --> 00:57:43,320
Speaker 5: I'm projecting an eight catch game or anything. I think

1222
00:57:43,440 --> 00:57:46,439
Speaker 5: with Higbee, when it comes my model, it just team

1223
00:57:46,520 --> 00:57:48,640
Speaker 5: total and touch on equity. That's all I could say.

1224
00:57:49,040 --> 00:57:51,720
Speaker 5: I smashed the under on him last week. I think

1225
00:57:51,760 --> 00:57:54,320
Speaker 5: when it comes to you know, his yardage and receptions,

1226
00:57:54,360 --> 00:57:57,360
Speaker 5: I think, you know those can be deceiving, but I

1227
00:57:57,560 --> 00:58:00,000
Speaker 5: just think touchdown acquity with that, Higbee.

1228
00:58:00,320 --> 00:58:02,320
Speaker 2: Sean give us the prop.

1229
00:58:03,360 --> 00:58:06,680
Speaker 5: Let's go of zach Ertz with no Dallas godd and

1230
00:58:06,840 --> 00:58:08,880
Speaker 5: who knows who else is out for the Eagles. But

1231
00:58:09,680 --> 00:58:13,480
Speaker 5: I have his projection at sixty two and a half

1232
00:58:13,560 --> 00:58:14,320
Speaker 5: receiving yards.

1233
00:58:15,080 --> 00:58:16,640
Speaker 3: I'll take the over. But it would have been way

1234
00:58:16,680 --> 00:58:19,120
Speaker 3: more funny if you would have said sixty two receiving

1235
00:58:19,160 --> 00:58:22,120
Speaker 3: yards and two and a half yards after the catch.

1236
00:58:22,560 --> 00:58:25,520
Speaker 5: Right exactly. Yeah, receptions is probably a better profile.

1237
00:58:26,080 --> 00:58:28,080
Speaker 3: I take the over till up to like five and

1238
00:58:28,160 --> 00:58:30,959
Speaker 3: a half on receptions, I think, oh, really he's gonna

1239
00:58:31,040 --> 00:58:33,720
Speaker 3: heat dude by Bible group Bible group narrative. He's just

1240
00:58:33,800 --> 00:58:35,000
Speaker 3: gonna he's just gonna.

1241
00:58:34,760 --> 00:58:39,439
Speaker 4: Crush under for me. I mean, number one, it's really

1242
00:58:39,480 --> 00:58:41,240
Speaker 4: odd with Ertz. I don't know what it is, but

1243
00:58:42,000 --> 00:58:45,560
Speaker 4: it's like when they're at home, Wentz targets him and

1244
00:58:45,920 --> 00:58:48,400
Speaker 4: he tends to eat. He's averaging seventy four point six

1245
00:58:48,560 --> 00:58:51,040
Speaker 4: yards at home in thirty two home games since twenty sixteen,

1246
00:58:51,480 --> 00:58:55,040
Speaker 4: just forty eight point eight in thirty road games over

1247
00:58:55,120 --> 00:58:57,000
Speaker 4: that same span. So that's a lot of a lot

1248
00:58:57,080 --> 00:58:59,440
Speaker 4: of a sample for such a huge split. But more

1249
00:58:59,720 --> 00:59:03,560
Speaker 4: than that, I'm just done, like doubting this forty nine

1250
00:59:03,640 --> 00:59:06,360
Speaker 4: er team in Kyle Shanahan's ability to get this team

1251
00:59:06,440 --> 00:59:09,960
Speaker 4: prepared to beat opponents, and that think that like, oh,

1252
00:59:10,080 --> 00:59:13,160
Speaker 4: this team's hurt, they're banged up, like it like I'm

1253
00:59:13,240 --> 00:59:15,680
Speaker 4: just done betting against them, And this is just another

1254
00:59:15,720 --> 00:59:18,840
Speaker 4: one of those situations. And also like Carson, Wentz couldn't

1255
00:59:18,920 --> 00:59:21,280
Speaker 4: be playing worse, and this just seems like, I mean,

1256
00:59:21,280 --> 00:59:23,520
Speaker 4: you talk about Adam Gates getting fired, Carson wentz about

1257
00:59:23,560 --> 00:59:24,040
Speaker 4: to get fired.

1258
00:59:24,520 --> 00:59:28,520
Speaker 3: Oh I hope, so, Buddy, I hope, So bring bring

1259
00:59:28,640 --> 00:59:29,360
Speaker 3: Jalen Baby.

1260
00:59:29,840 --> 00:59:32,120
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm with I'm with Raybon on this. I'll take

1261
00:59:32,160 --> 00:59:35,520
Speaker 2: the under. An added part of this is Jawkwiskey Tart,

1262
00:59:35,640 --> 00:59:38,840
Speaker 2: the strong safety for the forty nine ers in particular

1263
00:59:39,120 --> 00:59:42,760
Speaker 2: is he's just been like a tight end, shutdown defender

1264
00:59:43,520 --> 00:59:47,680
Speaker 2: for the past couple of seasons. So with Raybond there, Davis,

1265
00:59:48,120 --> 00:59:50,240
Speaker 2: what content should people check out?

1266
00:59:51,000 --> 00:59:53,360
Speaker 3: Every Wednesday morning? I finally have the Take cast on

1267
00:59:53,440 --> 00:59:56,160
Speaker 3: a good schedule, and then we do the sports Grid

1268
00:59:56,160 --> 00:59:59,680
Speaker 3: Fantasy Football podcast that's four times a week. We do

1269
01:00:00,600 --> 01:00:04,560
Speaker 3: these fullcast that's Wednesdays on Rhoda Grinders. And then all

1270
01:00:04,600 --> 01:00:08,560
Speaker 3: of my seasonal fantasy football content is free on sportscrid

1271
01:00:08,600 --> 01:00:11,600
Speaker 3: dot com. Rankings starts at all that. All that stuff

1272
01:00:11,680 --> 01:00:14,080
Speaker 3: is free. All my DFS stuff is on Daily Rooto

1273
01:00:14,160 --> 01:00:14,480
Speaker 3: dot com.

1274
01:00:14,720 --> 01:00:16,800
Speaker 2: All right, be sure to follow Davis on Twitter at

1275
01:00:17,000 --> 01:00:19,200
Speaker 2: Davis Maddick. You can follow Sean, Chris and me in

1276
01:00:19,280 --> 01:00:22,240
Speaker 2: the Action Network ap at the Underscore Odds maker Chris, Raybond,

1277
01:00:22,240 --> 01:00:24,440
Speaker 2: and Matt f the Oracle. Use the app get Real

1278
01:00:24,480 --> 01:00:27,400
Speaker 2: Time Odds and track your bets. For free. Please subscribe

1279
01:00:27,400 --> 01:00:29,000
Speaker 2: to me and rate, interview the show, and listen and

1280
01:00:29,080 --> 01:00:32,240
Speaker 2: download on Spotify. See you again next episode.

1281
01:00:47,960 --> 01:00:49,040
Speaker 7: We're finished talking.