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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 2: I'm just about that action awesome. All right, here we

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Speaker 2: go throwing spect we're sitting.

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Speaker 1: It's a cash time. We'll see most gamblers when they

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Speaker 1: go to gamble, they go to wind. That's incredible.

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Speaker 2: Big bank, small banks. I like to make money.

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Speaker 1: All right, this is the ultimate combining you want to

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Speaker 1: fall and we are underway.

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Speaker 2: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast, presented by Bett MGM.

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Speaker 2: I am Evan Abrams, and we are here to recap

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Speaker 2: a wacky and wild Week seventeen. We're gonna do this

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Speaker 2: a little bit different today. I am solo, as you

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Speaker 2: will be back next week with me to recap all

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Speaker 2: the week eighteen action. But today we're just gonna go

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Speaker 2: division by division and talk about playoff scenarios for each week,

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Speaker 2: and maybe I'll at a note or two on what

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Speaker 2: happened today and all the action. But let's get right

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Speaker 2: into it. Let's start with the AFC East and the Ravens.

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Speaker 2: So Miami at Baltimore, Baltimore gets the win. New England

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Speaker 2: at Buffalo, Buffalo gets the win. The Ravens just absolutely

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Speaker 2: dominated this game. At this point, we probably have to

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Speaker 2: assume Lamar's MVP is settled. Lamar entered this week minus

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Speaker 2: won fifty minus one sixty to win the award. He

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Speaker 2: is now minus nine thousand as I'm recording this, so

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Speaker 2: it looks like this is done. He actually entered week

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Speaker 2: one at fourteen to one. He was as high as

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Speaker 2: eighteen to one entering leak six, so a little bit

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Speaker 2: of value there from the Miami side of this listen,

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Speaker 2: no moster, no waddle, understandable bad loss. They gave up

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Speaker 2: fifty six points. This statue isn't great for TUA. He

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Speaker 2: is two to nine straight up three seven and one

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Speaker 2: against the spread against winning teams on the road or neutral,

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Speaker 2: telling the cover of the spread by eleven points eight

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Speaker 2: points per game, so not a great number coming off

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Speaker 2: this one. You talk about New England for a second.

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Speaker 2: They played to Buffalo. They did a good job staying

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Speaker 2: in the game. Zapi was terrible. The turnovers overall just

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Speaker 2: makes it really easy for Buffalo to score points in

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Speaker 2: this one. Absolutely no passing yards from Josh Allen and

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Speaker 2: Zapy Early on the box score looked absolutely wonky, but

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Speaker 2: Patriots do get the cover end up five ten and

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Speaker 2: one so far against the spread for that team. Looking

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Speaker 2: at some resolutions for this game looking forward, So Buffalo

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Speaker 2: Miami next week AFC East for the division. That's it.

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Speaker 2: It doesn't get any better than this. Buffalo was as

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Speaker 2: high as sixteen to one to win the AFC East

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Speaker 2: entering Week fourteen, so unbelievable job by them just to

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Speaker 2: get to this game. But the Bills Week eighteen scenario

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Speaker 2: in general is pretty fascinating. If they win, they win

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Speaker 2: the AFC East easy. If they lose, and the Steelers,

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Speaker 2: who were playing a Ravens team with basically nothing to

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Speaker 2: play for now with the one seed locked up, and

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Speaker 2: the Jaguars, who were playing for the division against a

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Speaker 2: five and eleven awful Titan team. If they both win,

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Speaker 2: both the Steelers and Jaguars the Bills are out of

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Speaker 2: the playoffs. So that scenario the scary one for Buffalo.

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Speaker 2: But win and in and no issues. From Baltimore's point

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Speaker 2: of view, one seed locked up, home field advantage in

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Speaker 2: the bag. Everything goes through Baltimore, and their defenses looked incredible,

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Speaker 2: So lamar MVP Baltimore role. It's Baltimore, gentlemen. The gods

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Speaker 2: will not save you. Okay, let's do the AFC South now.

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Speaker 2: So Panthers played the Jaguars. Jaguars got the win, and

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Speaker 2: the cover. Raiders played the Colts. Colts got the win,

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Speaker 2: and Titans played the Texans, and the Texans got the win.

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Speaker 2: So Jacksonville dominated Carolina. I don't think we need to

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Speaker 2: go into that much. Carolina was just atrocious on the

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Speaker 2: road this year. They went zero to nine straight up,

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Speaker 2: two and seven against the spread. So just tough going forward.

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Speaker 2: Jacksonville we'll talk about in a second. Now. From the

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Speaker 2: Colts and Raiders point of view, he had the Devonte

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Speaker 2: Adams backdoor cover. Congratulations to Raiders backers, and for the Colts,

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Speaker 2: it's just Indy continues to find a way. Gardner Minshew

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Speaker 2: has fifteen career wins now forty percent of those have

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Speaker 2: come since November first. He is on some ride right now.

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Speaker 2: And then Houston just dominated Tennessee. Probably not much to

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Speaker 2: talk about there. Tennessee's gone thirty five straight games without

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Speaker 2: scoring thirty points. Their offense just can't find a way.

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Speaker 2: And Houston would be the first team with a rookie

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Speaker 2: head coach and rookie quarterback to make the playoffs since

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Speaker 2: the Colts in twenty twelve, behind Chuck Bagano and Andrew

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Speaker 2: Luck now to looking forward, the Raiders were eliminated from

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Speaker 2: playoff contention, So the Raiders now haven't won a playoff

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Speaker 2: game since losing in the Super Bowl in two thousand

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Speaker 2: and two. I think that's it for Las Vegas. And

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Speaker 2: let's look at the AFC South for a second and

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Speaker 2: look at next week. So jackson if they win at Tennessee,

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Speaker 2: they win the AFC South playing. If Jacksonville loses, then

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Speaker 2: the door opens. So if Jacksonville loses, the winner of

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Speaker 2: Houston at Indy will be Division champs. Now it's worth

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Speaker 2: noting all three AFC South teams are alive for wildcard births,

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Speaker 2: with Houston controlling its own playoff fate for the seventh

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Speaker 2: Seeds taking control destiny. Let's wrap up the AFC with

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Speaker 2: the AFC North and AFC West will combine three games

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Speaker 2: in this window. But before that, let's just start with

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Speaker 2: Cleveland really quickly. They beat the Jets on Thursday Night Football.

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Speaker 2: Obviously Cleveland going to the playoffs, but Joe Flack goes

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Speaker 2: the story. First player in NFL history to throw for

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Speaker 2: two hundred and fifty yards and two touchdowns in each

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Speaker 2: of his first five games. Is like his spiral downfield.

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Speaker 2: Just looks incredible at this point. He can't believe he

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Speaker 2: was off the couch. Just an incredible story. Entering week eighteen,

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Speaker 2: it looks like the Browns will be in Jacksonville, but

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Speaker 2: it really depends on the AFA South winner there. Now

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Speaker 2: to the Chiefs, just something not right with that offense. Still,

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Speaker 2: Kelsey was shut out at the half. He only has

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Speaker 2: sixteen receiving yards. Obviously, Rice had a decent day. I

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Speaker 2: think Mahomess rapport with him, probably better than all of

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Speaker 2: his other receivers. And just these stats kind of prove

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Speaker 2: how great their defense has been and how bad their offense.

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Speaker 2: Mahomes sixteen and three to the under at home last

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Speaker 2: two seasons. This year, second half unders fourteen to two

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Speaker 2: in Chiefs games, fourth quarter unders fifteen and one. Just

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Speaker 2: unreal stats for the Chiefs and their once high powered offense.

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Speaker 2: Quickly for the Broncos, they beat the Chargers.

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Speaker 1: On at Denver.

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Speaker 2: Broncos not really too much of a game, sixteen to

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Speaker 2: nine either way, bunch of backups. Not much to take

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Speaker 2: away except for fantasy and gamblers out there. And finally

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Speaker 2: Pittsburgh and Seattle. Pittsburgh beat Seattle on the road. Pittsburgh

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Speaker 2: just had a vicious running attack in this one, two

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Speaker 2: hundred two yards on forty six carries, just literally staying

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Speaker 2: to the ground and causing some turnovers late, but Mike

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Speaker 2: Tomlin over five hundred again. Tomlin leads the Steelers for

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Speaker 2: his seventeenth season in a row, passing Hallis who had sixteenth.

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Speaker 2: For the third longest streak five hundred or better by

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Speaker 2: a head coach. Only Landry and Belichick have a longer streak.

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Speaker 2: So just an incredible job by Tomlin. Once again, appreciate

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Speaker 2: my resume. Let's look at some of these resolutions. So

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Speaker 2: what do these teams need? Well, the Bengals are out

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Speaker 2: of the playoffs. The best thing for Cincinnati right now

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Speaker 2: is next year they're going to have a last place schedule,

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Speaker 2: so that is fantastic for them. They're out with the

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Speaker 2: loss and the Pittsburgh win, so eliminated. And the same

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Speaker 2: with Denver. With Case's win and Pittsburgh's win, Denver's eliminated,

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Speaker 2: so out of the picture. Now Kansas City wins the

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Speaker 2: AFC West clinches it for a eighth consecutive year, now

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Speaker 2: the second longest old time streak for the division. Brady

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Speaker 2: eleven straight years with New England. Looks like the Chiefs

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Speaker 2: are going to be home against the Bills, but still

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Speaker 2: thinks to decide in week eighteen. There from Seattle's point

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Speaker 2: of view, so Seattle needed a win to clinch and

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Speaker 2: lost to Pittsburgh. So Seattle can still make the playoffs

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Speaker 2: if they beat the Cardinals and the Packers don't win

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Speaker 2: against the Bears. So that is how Seattle gets in

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Speaker 2: and Pittsburgh. The easiest path for Pittsburgh is this. This

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Speaker 2: is how Pittsburgh most likely would get to the seventh seed.

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Speaker 2: They would need a win at a Buffalo loss or

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Speaker 2: a win and a Jacksonville loss. Now, ironically enough, I

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Speaker 2: believe they can still get into the loss if Jacksonville

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Speaker 2: loses and Denver wins. But those first two scenarios is

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Speaker 2: the easiest way for Pittsburgh to make the playoffs.

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Speaker 1: Somebody got to be all in for everybody to be

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Speaker 1: all in. The Action Network podcast is presented by Bennet

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Speaker 1: Gambing problem called one eight hundred gambler.

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Speaker 2: All right, this is our halfway point. Time to shift

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Speaker 2: to the NFC. We're going to talk NFC East and

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Speaker 2: the Lions will start with Saturday night. Oh lord, so

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Speaker 2: the Taylor Decker reporting not reporting sixty eight versus seventy.

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Speaker 2: You guys have heard it. It's all understood at this point.

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Speaker 2: A great play by Detroit. Awful situation by the refs.

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Speaker 2: It doesn't matter if you have one ass cheek and

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Speaker 2: three toes, I will beat your rafts. Should have been

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Speaker 2: a win for Detroit, but honestly, a win for Dallas.

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Speaker 2: That is just a situation. You know, obviously, lots of

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Speaker 2: different circumstances, but that's probably the nuts and bolts of it.

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Speaker 2: There's nothing we can do about it. Dallas undefeated at

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Speaker 2: home now. They've won sixteen straight home games, third time

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Speaker 2: since the merger. They've gone undefeated at home in a

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Speaker 2: single season, first time since eighty one. Now it's worth

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Speaker 2: noting entering Sunday, if the forty nine Ers and Eagles

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Speaker 2: had won, the Lions would have been locked into the

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Speaker 2: three seed and basically had nothing to play for in

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Speaker 2: Week eighteen against the Vikings. That didn't happen. The Cardinals

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Speaker 2: take out the Eagles as eleven and a half point underdogs.

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Speaker 2: That was the close about twelve and a half and

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Speaker 2: even thirteen at points. This is the worst loss ats

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Speaker 2: for Philly since Washington last year, so not too long,

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Speaker 2: but still an awful loss. It is five straight losses

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Speaker 2: against the spread for the Eagles, so first time that's

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Speaker 2: happened for them since twenty twelve. They just aren't the

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Speaker 2: same team right now and one of the reasons why

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Speaker 2: they've about thirty five points to Arizona five to the Giants,

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Speaker 2: they've allowed twenty plus and six straight. Just not the

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Speaker 2: same Philly team. So those are those two games now

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Speaker 2: the resolution part of this. So the Philly loss means

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Speaker 2: San Francisco's the one seed, and it means Dallas is

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Speaker 2: likely the two seed with Detroit the three. That is

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Speaker 2: the likely scenario. So if Dallas wins at Washington in

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Speaker 2: Week eighteen, They're the two, Detroit's the three, Philly's the five.

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Speaker 2: Now if Dallas loses, it gets a lot more complicated,

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Speaker 2: but Detroit and Philly basically just still need to win

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Speaker 2: their games now. Detroit's against Minnesota and Philly plays at

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Speaker 2: the Giants. The one concern I have with Philly, which

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Speaker 2: is probably worth bringing up, is this season they just

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Speaker 2: have two wins of ten plus points. The fewest ever

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Speaker 2: for a Super Bowl winner is three, done twice by

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Speaker 2: the eighty two Washington team and twenty fifteen Broncos. Ten

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Speaker 2: of the last eleven Super Bowl champs have had six

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Speaker 2: or more ten plus point wins. So Philly just doesn't

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Speaker 2: fit right now. But let's see if they can turn

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Speaker 2: it around at some point. Let's keep rolling in the NFC.

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Speaker 2: Rams were at the Giants forty nine Ers at the Commanders.

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Speaker 2: Rams just squeaked by and died. The Rams five game

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Speaker 2: ATS win streak. But listen, the Rams are six and

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Speaker 2: one straight up last seven, only lost to the Ravens.

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Speaker 2: They've looked really, really good. Today was a guess, a

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Speaker 2: blip on the radar, except because more about the Giants.

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Speaker 2: Giants five and one ats in the last six and

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Speaker 2: they've just been a scrappy bunch. I mean even the

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Speaker 2: Veto or Tyrod, though I think Tyrod makes him more complete.

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Speaker 2: That passed down field he had with the touchdown was

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Speaker 2: just incredible. I believe that was the most air yards

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Speaker 2: on a touchdown pass all season. Great, great pass. It

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Speaker 2: just makes the Giants a better team. It's worth talking

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Speaker 2: about the forty nine ers for a second. They win

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Speaker 2: by seventeen on the road in Washington. They're eleventh win

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Speaker 2: of ten plus points this season. Oh man, so many

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Speaker 2: points being man, which is the most since two thousand

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Speaker 2: and seven with the Hatreots, and the record for ten

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Speaker 2: point wins is thirteen by the ninety nine Rams. So

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Speaker 2: San Francisco would come one shy with a performance next week.

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Speaker 2: But unreal from San Francisco just week in and week

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Speaker 2: out dominating opponents, especially when you compare it to like

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Speaker 2: Philadelphia on the other hand, and the other story from

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Speaker 2: this game, definitely Christian McCaffrey closes at minus three point

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Speaker 2: forty for any time touchdown, which would be tied for

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Speaker 2: the highest for any player over the last three seasons,

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Speaker 2: with of course Christian McCaffrey earlier this year. He actually

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Speaker 2: didn't score in both of those games, so tough one

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Speaker 2: for betters out there, Okay, and now looking forward for

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Speaker 2: these teams, Niners clinched, They've clinched for a while. They've

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Speaker 2: got the one seed now, so home field advantage. And

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Speaker 2: it's worth noting with Baltimore and San Francisco clinching the

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Speaker 2: one seed in their respective conferences, this is now the

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Speaker 2: first time since two thousand and nine both one seeds

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Speaker 2: clinched before the last week of the season. So all

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Speaker 2: wrapped up finally, the Rams clinching a playoff berth. It

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Speaker 2: was a funny story on Twitter x whatever the heck

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Speaker 2: we want to call it these days. There was a

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Speaker 2: report that they were watching the game on the tarmac

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Speaker 2: at Newark as Pittsburgh won and they got in so

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Speaker 2: very cool story. And it looks like they will be

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Speaker 2: taking a trip to Detroit to face goff In. Ll

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Speaker 2: be the best storyline except for Flacco going back to Baltimore, right,

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Speaker 2: So we'll see if that happens going into the playoffs.

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Speaker 2: I'm talking about revenge. Let's recap the NFC South Action

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Speaker 2: Falcons at Bears. Bears get the win and the cover

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Speaker 2: pretty much dominate from start to finish on this one, wet, rainy,

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Speaker 2: snowy Atlanta looked just pretty often just a great day

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Speaker 2: for Chicago. Overall, they win the game, they look great,

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Speaker 2: fields looks great, and with the Carolina loss, they get

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Speaker 2: the number one pick. Happy New Year's Eve in Chicago,

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Speaker 2: and similar to the Giants, they've just been looking good lately,

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Speaker 2: five and one ATS in their last six. They started

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Speaker 2: three and one against the spread eight and four ATS since,

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Speaker 2: so hopefully they finished strong in Week eighteen. Atlanta, on

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Speaker 2: the other hand, yeah, they don't have their quarterback. I

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Speaker 2: think we all know that. They are five and eleven

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Speaker 2: against the spread, tied for their worst year in the

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Speaker 2: last twenty years. Finally, Tampa Bay four game win streak

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Speaker 2: is toast after they lose at home against the Saints.

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Speaker 2: Baker Mayfield again twenty six and twenty one against the

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Speaker 2: spread as an underdog, now thirteen twenty six and one

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Speaker 2: ATS as a favorite. He is two hundred and seventeenth

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Speaker 2: of two hundred and twenty quarterbacks ats last twenty years.

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Speaker 2: Is a favorite, so continues to kind of struggle in

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Speaker 2: that spot. New Orleans not much to say, car under

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Speaker 2: two hundred yards their defense looks good. They continue to

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Speaker 2: look better on the road than they do at home,

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Speaker 2: which probably gonna get a home playoff game here winning

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Speaker 2: the NFC South if they get in. Finally, let's look

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Speaker 2: at some scenarios for these teams. Start with the easy one.

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Speaker 2: The Bears are eliminated with the Packers when so they're done,

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Speaker 2: but they face each other next week. We'll get to

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Speaker 2: that in a second. So let's talk about the NFC South.

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Speaker 2: If Tampa Bay wins at Carolina next week, the Bucks

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Speaker 2: win the division, they're the four seed. Easy pas. If

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Speaker 2: Tampa Bay loses to Carolina, the winner of Atlanta and

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Speaker 2: New Orleans wins the NFC South and becomes the four seed.

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Speaker 2: New Orleans can actually also make the wild card. If

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Speaker 2: the Saints beat Atlanta. Forgetting the result with Tampa Bay

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Speaker 2: and Arizona beats Seattle and Green Bay loses to Chicago,

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Speaker 2: New Orleans can still make the wild card. Now, when

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Speaker 2: you're talking about either the Bucks, Falcons, or Saints in

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Speaker 2: terms of winning the NFC South, they're all most likely

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Speaker 2: going to host the Eagles in the playoffs. Finally, the

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Speaker 2: AFC South and the NFC South both have three teams

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Speaker 2: eligible to win the vision and during the final week

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Speaker 2: of the regular season. That has never happened in NFL history,

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Speaker 2: So we are getting ready for some high drama in

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Speaker 2: Week eighteen. Finally, green Bay at Minnesota. This is how

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Speaker 2: we ended Week seventeen on Sunday night, right before midnight.

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Speaker 2: Green Bay really just dominated Minnesota and Love played close

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Speaker 2: to perfect most of the game. Three passing touchdowns. He

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Speaker 2: is now third in the NFL in passing tds, which

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Speaker 2: unbelievable if you would have said that at the beginning

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Speaker 2: the year. I believe I had money on him to

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Speaker 2: throw the most interceptions, so not exactly the right handicap.

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Speaker 2: Jayden Reid hurt for green Bay in this game, so

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Speaker 2: not good looking forward. We're gonna have to check that

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Speaker 2: status early this week, especially with a big game for

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Speaker 2: green Bay this weekend. Wild stat with this one, so

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Speaker 2: the most games this year with two plus passing touchdowns

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Speaker 2: and zero interceptions. That would be Brock Party and Jordan Love.

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Speaker 2: So just an incredible season for the green Bay quarterback

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Speaker 2: and from Minnesota side, Jaron Hall was terrible. Nick Mullins

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Speaker 2: came in for a bench haul. Neither of them really

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Speaker 2: did anything. And if you own justin Jefferson in fantasy.

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Speaker 2: Just a terrible championship for him, just five receptions for

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Speaker 2: fifty nine yards. Now, looking forward to the playoffs for

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Speaker 2: both these teams. With Seattle losing to Pittsburgh earlier, Minnesota

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Speaker 2: couldn't be eliminated on Sunday Night Football, so the loss

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Speaker 2: didn't exactly get rid of them from contention. But here

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Speaker 2: is what they need to get in. So they're going

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Speaker 2: to need to beat the Lions. They're going to need

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Speaker 2: the Bears to beat the Packers, and the Cardinals to

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Speaker 2: beat the Seahawks, and then one or both of Falcons

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Speaker 2: beat the Saints, Panthers beat the Bucks. So the Vikings

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Speaker 2: are going to need a lot of help, and Green

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Speaker 2: Bay much simpler. They just need to beat the Bears

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Speaker 2: and the Packers are going to the playoffs. All right.

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Speaker 2: That is it. So we covered pretty much all thirty

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Speaker 2: two teams and sixteen games for Week seventeen. This has

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Speaker 2: been the Action Network Podcast presented by Bett MGM I

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Speaker 2: am Evan Abrams. Tune in next week for all of

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Speaker 2: our Week eighteen podcast content and action here and enjoy

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Speaker 2: the week.

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Speaker 1: Happy, Happy New Year.

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Speaker 2: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

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Speaker 2: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

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Speaker 2: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred gambler