WEBVTT - Charitable Giving, Reporting Tech Earnings and Outlook 

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio News.

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<v Speaker 2>You're listening to Bloomberg Business Week with Karl Messer and

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<v Speaker 2>Tim Steneveek on Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 1>When you're thinking about inflation and how much it has

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<v Speaker 1>strained consumers' finances in recent years, it's also affecting charities

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<v Speaker 1>that depend on donations for their fillent anthropic work. And

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<v Speaker 1>a new study for Wells Fargo on Giving in America

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<v Speaker 1>Today that analyze consumers feelings on charitable giving. Three quarters

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<v Speaker 1>of Americans say that generosity is a part of their

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<v Speaker 1>core values, though how feel like they don't have enough

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<v Speaker 1>money to give. Although giving remains a study for most,

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<v Speaker 1>nearly a third are donating less this past year. So

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<v Speaker 1>what exactly gives Tim? And as the calendar nears twenty

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<v Speaker 1>twenty five, can a new incoming administration Washington change those

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<v Speaker 1>feelings in anticipation of favorable tax policies? So here to

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<v Speaker 1>impact the survey for us is Stephanie Buckley, head of

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<v Speaker 1>Trust in Philanthropic Services at Wells Fargo, joining us from

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<v Speaker 1>Los Angeles. Thanks so much Stephanie for being here with us.

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<v Speaker 1>Walk us through sort of this latest report, and why

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<v Speaker 1>is it that you're starting to see not even just

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<v Speaker 1>you know, inflation that especially over the past few years

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<v Speaker 1>that had weighed on consumers, but you're also seeing it

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<v Speaker 1>in particular corners of the market when it comes to

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<v Speaker 1>charities in those donations.

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<v Speaker 3>Absolutely, our survey result was very interesting. I was interested

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<v Speaker 3>to see what was going on, and as you noted,

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<v Speaker 3>roughly twenty nine percent gave less, but yet seventy eight

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<v Speaker 3>percent again, as you noted, are have generosity as one

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<v Speaker 3>of their core values. So it's an interesting mix. And

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<v Speaker 3>in terms of.

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<v Speaker 4>The inflation that we're seeing, you know, a.

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<v Speaker 3>Lot of it is if you think about it, like

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<v Speaker 3>if you go to the grocery store for one hundred dollars,

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<v Speaker 3>it used to be a whole basket of groceries coming out.

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<v Speaker 3>Now maybe I get a bag of groceries. And I

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<v Speaker 3>think people are really feeling that pinch, and so that

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<v Speaker 3>is carrying over into the philanthropic world, and that's what

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<v Speaker 3>we're seeing.

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<v Speaker 1>It.

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<v Speaker 2>I feel like going into the philanthropic world this year

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<v Speaker 2>in a different way than last year. I mean, by

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<v Speaker 2>pretty much every measure, inflation has eased from where it

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<v Speaker 2>was a year ago, and of course where it was

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<v Speaker 2>two years ago.

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<v Speaker 3>Yes, but what we're seeing and what we're seeing with

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<v Speaker 3>our clients in particular, is they don't yes, it's easing

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<v Speaker 3>a bit, but they're not feeling that it's easing enough

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<v Speaker 3>that they have a lot of extra funds to give.

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<v Speaker 3>And that's what the survey was showing, is that people

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<v Speaker 3>just don't feel like they have the extra But the

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<v Speaker 3>other side of it is they still fill that tug

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<v Speaker 3>that pool to give to charity and to help others

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<v Speaker 3>who are in need. And so again the surveys showed

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<v Speaker 3>that that core value, most of them still have the

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<v Speaker 3>core value of generosity. And we even saw some who

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<v Speaker 3>what we call the sacrificial giving who will say, you know,

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<v Speaker 3>I'm going to defer my own needs to help others

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<v Speaker 3>who may be in a worse situation than I am.

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<v Speaker 1>So when it comes to different types of tax policies,

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<v Speaker 1>I know a lot of people want to point to

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<v Speaker 1>that is potentially something that could help out the situation,

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<v Speaker 1>but walk us through kind of the difficulties there and

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<v Speaker 1>what would need to happen in order to see that

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<v Speaker 1>help charitable giving, because there's a lot of different types

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<v Speaker 1>of things when it comes to deductions that are a

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<v Speaker 1>little bit more convoluted not as easy to decipher.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, that's a great question. What we're seeing is what

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<v Speaker 3>the past tax changes. The standard deduction went up significantly,

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<v Speaker 3>and what that meant is that less people are itemizing

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<v Speaker 3>their deduction and for gifts to charities, that's an itemized deduction.

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<v Speaker 3>So for some people they feel like, well, if I'm

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<v Speaker 3>not going to get that extra tax benefit, and maybe

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<v Speaker 3>I don't feel like I have a lot of extra money,

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<v Speaker 3>I'm not going to give. But for those who are itemizing,

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<v Speaker 3>that is a big lever that they can use because

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<v Speaker 3>essentially that charitable gifting, if they are itemizing their deductions,

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<v Speaker 3>whatever they give to charity is going to proportionately reduce

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<v Speaker 3>some of their tax axes. And so we are seeing

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<v Speaker 3>that and that was a big thing that came out

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<v Speaker 3>when the standard deduction raised significantly. As we know with

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<v Speaker 3>the current incoming administration, they were the ones that did

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<v Speaker 3>that big jump in the standard deduction, so likely it's

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<v Speaker 3>going to maintain. And for charities, that shift was focusing

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<v Speaker 3>on their larger donors who are itemizing, and those donors

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<v Speaker 3>who give maybe it's the ten one hundred, one thousand

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<v Speaker 3>dollars amounts which might seem small, but honestly, for charities

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<v Speaker 3>that is a significant lifeblood for them to get those

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<v Speaker 3>smaller amounts because those smaller amounts over a large amount

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<v Speaker 3>of people do add up for them. So it is

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<v Speaker 3>important for all levels of donors that give to charity

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<v Speaker 3>to continue to give to support the charities that are

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<v Speaker 3>doing the important work.

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<v Speaker 2>Stephanie, I'm wondering if your survey accounted for income level

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<v Speaker 2>or net worth level in terms of people who gave,

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<v Speaker 2>and what you can tell us about how giving changes

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<v Speaker 2>across income spectrums, like as a proportion of how much

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<v Speaker 2>money people have, how much they give.

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<v Speaker 3>Now again, when it comes to giving, interesting enough, what

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<v Speaker 3>studies historically so not just the walls part of a study,

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<v Speaker 3>but those at the lower income levels often give a

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<v Speaker 3>higher percentage of their assets. And the other piece too,

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<v Speaker 3>that I think is important to talk about in terms

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<v Speaker 3>of giving. It's not just giving money, right, so we

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<v Speaker 3>call what the treasures the five te's. It's also giving time.

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<v Speaker 3>It's also giving of your expertise, it's giving you know,

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<v Speaker 3>in addition to the treasure, it's giving testimony, it's the

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<v Speaker 3>actual service. And so part of what I think is

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<v Speaker 3>important when we talk about philanthropy is to broaden the

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<v Speaker 3>conversation beyond just the treasure in the in the five t's,

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<v Speaker 3>it's to broaden it to all sorts of aspects. And

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<v Speaker 3>when you are that inclusive, what we find is those

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<v Speaker 3>who are at the lower income levels typically give more

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<v Speaker 3>to society than those who are at the higher in

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<v Speaker 3>terms of like a percentage of assets.

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<v Speaker 1>So how are the demographics of donor shifting?

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<v Speaker 3>Well, again, as I mentioned before, if we're talking about

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<v Speaker 3>and what usually the measurable piece of it is the

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<v Speaker 3>treasure right, we can measure how much people are giving

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<v Speaker 3>based on tax returns or what charities are reporting that

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<v Speaker 3>they received for donations in a particular year. And so

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<v Speaker 3>again with the higher standard deduction, as I mentioned before,

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<v Speaker 3>what we're measuring the treasure amount is those who are

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<v Speaker 3>in the higher income who have the ability to overcome

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<v Speaker 3>the hurdle of the standard deduction, are giving more. They're

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<v Speaker 3>becoming the larger base of donors for a lot of

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<v Speaker 3>charities and charities we are seeing that in the giving numbers,

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<v Speaker 3>and as part of that, they are also looking at

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<v Speaker 3>those who, like I said before, give those lower amounts,

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<v Speaker 3>and those amounts are critical. So I think The important

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<v Speaker 3>part for people to realize is, you know, maybe you're

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<v Speaker 3>not getting the benefit of the day action, but the

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<v Speaker 3>charities still need those those gifts. You say, well, ten dollars,

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<v Speaker 3>what is that going to do? It actually does a lot,

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<v Speaker 3>especially when it's multiplied across a larger, break larger group

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<v Speaker 3>of people who are giving.

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<v Speaker 2>So let's look forward to twenty twenty five and how

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<v Speaker 2>you and the team at Wells Fargar are thinking about

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<v Speaker 2>a new administration when it comes to charitable giving. We

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<v Speaker 2>know a big part of the priorities of the incoming

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<v Speaker 2>Trump administration is to extend the Tax Cuts and Jobs

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<v Speaker 2>Act when they do when it does expire next year.

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<v Speaker 2>How did that shift I believe it was twenty seventeen.

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<v Speaker 2>How did that change charitable giving in the first administration

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<v Speaker 2>based on previously because of rules about deduction and those

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<v Speaker 2>sorts of things.

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<v Speaker 4>Yep.

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<v Speaker 3>In some ways, as I've said before, it's changed who

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<v Speaker 3>is giving. But in other ways, I think it also

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<v Speaker 3>has encouraged those who maybe are not in an agreement

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<v Speaker 3>with thet to really give to support the causes that

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<v Speaker 3>are important to them. So one of the things we're

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<v Speaker 3>seeing is, for example, you know, maybe women's rights. A

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<v Speaker 3>lot of people are rising up and saying, you know what,

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<v Speaker 3>that is important to me, and I want to give

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<v Speaker 3>to that cause. So in other ways where they might

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<v Speaker 3>not have been as encouraged to do it before, they're

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<v Speaker 3>really focusing on that. And that's another note too that

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<v Speaker 3>I think is important to be aware of, is that

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<v Speaker 3>a lot of people want to be able to be

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<v Speaker 3>strategic with their philanthropy. They want to be able to say, like, hey,

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<v Speaker 3>whatever I'm giving here is really making a difference. And

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<v Speaker 3>so as part of that, it's important for people to

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<v Speaker 3>think about, you know, maybe just not what we call

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<v Speaker 3>spreading pockets of sunshine here and there, but to say,

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<v Speaker 3>you know, how much do I have in my budget

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<v Speaker 3>to give to philanthropy or to give to the charities

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<v Speaker 3>I want to support this year, and to focus a

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<v Speaker 3>good portion on those particular causes where they know that

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<v Speaker 3>giving a large amount can get a bigger impact for

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<v Speaker 3>what's truly important to them.

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<v Speaker 2>Stephanie Buckley, head of Trust Philanthropic Services at Wells Fargo,

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<v Speaker 2>joining us this afternoon. All right, well, look at chairs

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<v Speaker 2>of Hewlett Packard Enterprise kind of jumping all over the place,

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<v Speaker 2>higher by about one point six percent right now, in

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<v Speaker 2>the after hours, the company did report better than expected

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<v Speaker 2>quarterly revenue and a jump in sales of servers to

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<v Speaker 2>power AI work We've got with us right now, Crawford

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<v Speaker 2>del Pratt, President over at I d C, joining us

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<v Speaker 2>here in the Bloomberg Interactive Brokers studio. Welcome back, Crawford.

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<v Speaker 2>You've had a chance to dive into these numbers a

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<v Speaker 2>little bit. What sticks out to you?

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, so great to see you guys, Thanks for having me. So, look,

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<v Speaker 4>this is a record revenue quarter for for HPE, and

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<v Speaker 4>I think it's it's indicative of a number of things.

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<v Speaker 4>It's indicative of this extraordinary server and storage growth that

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<v Speaker 4>we're seeing. So, you know, just for context, the server

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<v Speaker 4>business was a single digit growth business for multiple years.

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<v Speaker 1>I d C.

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<v Speaker 4>Overall, we forecast you know, wait for it, thirty seven

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<v Speaker 4>percent growth in servers and storage this year in dollars. Okay,

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<v Speaker 4>So what's driving that. It's an architectural shift to AI,

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<v Speaker 4>right and we are seeing that service providers and then

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<v Speaker 4>ultimately enterprises will need to upgrade their infrastructure to support

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<v Speaker 4>these new what we call AI workloads.

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<v Speaker 1>So especially because when you hear AI, always think of

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<v Speaker 1>maybe companies like an Nvidia, maybe not as sexy as

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<v Speaker 1>a name quite like this, but when it comes to

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<v Speaker 1>especially sort of the it spending side of things with

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<v Speaker 1>HPE as well as some of its other competitors, who

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<v Speaker 1>do you think can really benefit from this Beyonce when

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<v Speaker 1>we're talking about other type of chip type semiconductor type stocks.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, So when you start looking at what's happening with AI,

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<v Speaker 4>and this is what you're seeing in HPEES numbers, is

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<v Speaker 4>that you have to upgrade your overall infrastructure. So that

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<v Speaker 4>means that companies like HPE are benefiting, companies like Dell

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<v Speaker 4>are benefiting. You're seeing also ultimately you'll see the software

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<v Speaker 4>stack associated with managing your infrastructure. Ultimately your applications will benefit.

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<v Speaker 4>But that's going to take a longer period of time.

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<v Speaker 4>But in the near term, you know, beyond the Nvidia,

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<v Speaker 4>you're seeing that the entire infrastructures that needs to get grinded.

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<v Speaker 4>Now for let's just get back to HPE for a second.

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<v Speaker 4>What's also happening at HPE is that a number of

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<v Speaker 4>years ago they went on diversification strategy. They bought a

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<v Speaker 4>company called Uruba Networks and a Ruben Networks expanded their

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<v Speaker 4>footprint in the enterprise. So last quarter, HPE, you had

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<v Speaker 4>a tougher reaction from Wall Street because they saw their

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<v Speaker 4>gross margins dip. They saw them dip again, but that

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<v Speaker 4>was really related to a slow down and a stall

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<v Speaker 4>in the enterprise infrastructure space in a RUBA networks what'll

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<v Speaker 4>we call the edge of the network, the wireless and

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<v Speaker 4>wireless infrastructure. And as that infrastructure now is working through

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<v Speaker 4>its inventory, HP saw a sequential increase in that business,

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<v Speaker 4>even though it's still down twenty percent year over year.

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<v Speaker 4>Sequentially that business is starting to stabilize and their gross

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<v Speaker 4>margins will start to have started the stabilized as well,

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<v Speaker 4>although like I said, they were down about four hundred BIPs. Now,

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<v Speaker 4>I think going forward, what you're seeing at the company

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<v Speaker 4>is and you're seeing this in other companies as well,

0:12:09.840 --> 0:12:14.840
<v Speaker 4>like Dell, that the demand is just sustained for infrastructure

0:12:15.320 --> 0:12:18.560
<v Speaker 4>and the demand for n HP's case, HPEES case, the

0:12:18.600 --> 0:12:21.959
<v Speaker 4>demand for infrastructure around the network will likely increase and

0:12:22.000 --> 0:12:25.040
<v Speaker 4>it'll forget. They announced that they have the air intent

0:12:25.080 --> 0:12:29.160
<v Speaker 4>required Juniper Networks that will add their ability to get

0:12:29.240 --> 0:12:31.480
<v Speaker 4>the service provider side of the network and they expect

0:12:31.480 --> 0:12:34.120
<v Speaker 4>to close that deal sometime in early twenty five. So

0:12:35.040 --> 0:12:37.520
<v Speaker 4>it's a very interesting story. Is this company is really

0:12:37.559 --> 0:12:40.480
<v Speaker 4>reinventing itself and is seeing the benefit of that reinvention

0:12:40.600 --> 0:12:41.120
<v Speaker 4>in their numbers.

0:12:41.320 --> 0:12:42.400
<v Speaker 2>What's it trying to leave behind?

0:12:43.640 --> 0:12:46.560
<v Speaker 4>So, what it's trying to leave behind is running on

0:12:46.800 --> 0:12:51.760
<v Speaker 4>that X eighty six Intel treadmill of commoditization, right. I mean,

0:12:51.880 --> 0:12:54.040
<v Speaker 4>so you know, HPE sat back a number of years

0:12:54.080 --> 0:12:56.959
<v Speaker 4>ago and said, where are the largest profit pools that

0:12:57.000 --> 0:13:00.439
<v Speaker 4>we can prosecute in the enterprise networking at the top

0:13:00.440 --> 0:13:02.840
<v Speaker 4>of the list. That's why they went after Ruba software.

0:13:02.880 --> 0:13:05.800
<v Speaker 4>That's why they brought out things like es Morale Storage.

0:13:05.880 --> 0:13:08.360
<v Speaker 4>That's why they and by the way, Dell Body MC right. Yeah,

0:13:08.600 --> 0:13:11.960
<v Speaker 4>in the in the case of HPE, they brought out Electro,

0:13:12.000 --> 0:13:14.920
<v Speaker 4>which is their new storage platform. Now they're looking at

0:13:15.280 --> 0:13:18.040
<v Speaker 4>at networking and saying, huh, well, there's also this service

0:13:18.040 --> 0:13:23.240
<v Speaker 4>provider networking, this really high capacity, high bandwidth networking. Juniper

0:13:23.440 --> 0:13:25.880
<v Speaker 4>adds that that's what is So what they're trying to

0:13:25.920 --> 0:13:29.000
<v Speaker 4>do is they're they're basically the gravitational force of commoditization,

0:13:29.120 --> 0:13:30.760
<v Speaker 4>is what they're leading. They're trying to leave behind.

0:13:30.960 --> 0:13:34.319
<v Speaker 1>Jessman and Timsten of Akure the Bloomberg Interactive Brokers Studio.

0:13:34.360 --> 0:13:38.319
<v Speaker 1>We're actually back with Crawford del President at IDC International

0:13:38.440 --> 0:13:41.880
<v Speaker 1>Data Corp, joining us in the Bloomberg Interactive Broker Studio

0:13:42.440 --> 0:13:45.520
<v Speaker 1>once again. And so we were just speaking Crawford about

0:13:45.520 --> 0:13:49.520
<v Speaker 1>obviously HPE posting higher than expected fourth quarter revenue due

0:13:49.520 --> 0:13:52.640
<v Speaker 1>to that continuing AI demand and looking at that stock HPE,

0:13:52.720 --> 0:13:55.000
<v Speaker 1>and after I was trading up close to two percent.

0:13:55.280 --> 0:13:57.160
<v Speaker 1>But another stock I wanted to point out that a

0:13:57.160 --> 0:13:59.880
<v Speaker 1>lot of tension is given to is super Micro SMC.

0:14:00.360 --> 0:14:02.679
<v Speaker 1>Now at a certain point it was one of the

0:14:02.960 --> 0:14:05.320
<v Speaker 1>worst performing stocks in the S and P five hundred

0:14:05.320 --> 0:14:08.640
<v Speaker 1>this year just because of those questions surrounding its accounting practices.

0:14:08.679 --> 0:14:10.680
<v Speaker 1>Though if you look here to date, it's recovered some

0:14:10.720 --> 0:14:13.640
<v Speaker 1>of those losses and it's actually help around forty five percent.

0:14:13.960 --> 0:14:16.360
<v Speaker 1>You were talking about kind of the exposure when it

0:14:16.360 --> 0:14:20.840
<v Speaker 1>comes to service providers. If you're thinking about like Metas Salesforce, Microsoft,

0:14:21.360 --> 0:14:24.240
<v Speaker 1>SMCI doesn't exactly have the same kind of broad reach

0:14:24.320 --> 0:14:26.240
<v Speaker 1>that some of its competitors do when it comes to

0:14:26.280 --> 0:14:29.440
<v Speaker 1>a company like this, and especially some of the accounting

0:14:29.440 --> 0:14:31.400
<v Speaker 1>news that has come past. How do you make of

0:14:31.440 --> 0:14:33.080
<v Speaker 1>this and is its stock performance so far?

0:14:33.560 --> 0:14:36.560
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, So when you look at super Micro, it's a

0:14:36.600 --> 0:14:40.800
<v Speaker 4>fascinating company because where an HPE or a Dell or

0:14:40.960 --> 0:14:45.920
<v Speaker 4>Lenovo sells a broad range of products that address the

0:14:45.960 --> 0:14:48.800
<v Speaker 4>needs of many many different kinds of enterprises and also

0:14:48.920 --> 0:14:53.040
<v Speaker 4>service providers, certainly super Micro has a range of products,

0:14:53.040 --> 0:14:55.960
<v Speaker 4>but really what they do is a significant amount of

0:14:56.040 --> 0:15:00.400
<v Speaker 4>engineering and innovation really for what we call ultra dense

0:15:00.720 --> 0:15:05.320
<v Speaker 4>service provider applications. And so you know you're a hyperscaler,

0:15:05.400 --> 0:15:08.000
<v Speaker 4>so you're a Microsoft, or you're a or you're a Meta,

0:15:08.120 --> 0:15:10.920
<v Speaker 4>or you're a Google. Super Micro is going to do

0:15:10.960 --> 0:15:15.480
<v Speaker 4>that really really tight engineering between the components as well

0:15:16.120 --> 0:15:19.080
<v Speaker 4>between between component suppliers as well as the actual physical

0:15:19.120 --> 0:15:21.800
<v Speaker 4>box and bring that box out and and and allow

0:15:21.880 --> 0:15:27.800
<v Speaker 4>you to have a very very dense environment. The downside

0:15:27.800 --> 0:15:30.880
<v Speaker 4>of that is that they don't have the same distribution channel,

0:15:30.920 --> 0:15:33.040
<v Speaker 4>they don't have the same reach that you would see

0:15:33.040 --> 0:15:35.920
<v Speaker 4>at a Lenovo or at a Dell. So the concentration

0:15:36.040 --> 0:15:38.160
<v Speaker 4>of customers is very very high.

0:15:38.200 --> 0:15:40.520
<v Speaker 2>Oh, it's incredible. You go to this, Uh, well, the

0:15:40.560 --> 0:15:43.600
<v Speaker 2>concentration of customers, the concentration of who they're buying.

0:15:43.360 --> 0:15:45.720
<v Speaker 4>From both Okay, yeah, yeah, yeah.

0:15:45.560 --> 0:15:47.600
<v Speaker 2>Because they see that on both it's like it's pretty remarkable.

0:15:47.960 --> 0:15:51.960
<v Speaker 2>I mean, they're a huge customer of Nvidia. Yeah, oh absolutely,

0:15:52.320 --> 0:15:54.000
<v Speaker 2>it's like they're one of the top customers there.

0:15:54.080 --> 0:15:57.520
<v Speaker 4>So so think about the AI and actually this this

0:15:57.560 --> 0:16:00.120
<v Speaker 4>is a great metamor think about the AI kind of

0:16:00.280 --> 0:16:03.480
<v Speaker 4>market right now is an upside down triangle. At the

0:16:03.480 --> 0:16:05.640
<v Speaker 4>top of the triangle or the service providers, and that's

0:16:05.640 --> 0:16:08.640
<v Speaker 4>where the majority of your demand is coming. Okay, that's

0:16:08.680 --> 0:16:11.920
<v Speaker 4>the animal that's eating all the Nvidia processors right now.

0:16:12.160 --> 0:16:14.080
<v Speaker 2>So that's the Microsoft's and the Amazon that's.

0:16:13.960 --> 0:16:17.960
<v Speaker 4>The hyperscalers, the Microsofts, the Amazon's, the salesforces, the the

0:16:18.040 --> 0:16:22.200
<v Speaker 4>metas and as that triangle comes down, it gets narrow

0:16:22.320 --> 0:16:26.800
<v Speaker 4>or narrow because the enterprise customers haven't really stepped up

0:16:27.000 --> 0:16:31.840
<v Speaker 4>and bought into generative AI in the same way within

0:16:32.000 --> 0:16:32.840
<v Speaker 4>their data center.

0:16:33.120 --> 0:16:35.520
<v Speaker 2>Is that but if they do it, wouldn't they just

0:16:35.560 --> 0:16:38.920
<v Speaker 2>go to a hyperscaler. Well that's just it, rather than

0:16:39.000 --> 0:16:41.400
<v Speaker 2>doing it on prem potentially.

0:16:41.720 --> 0:16:46.360
<v Speaker 4>But what we see is we see a lot of customers.

0:16:46.400 --> 0:16:48.120
<v Speaker 4>I'm not saying this is a customer, but a customer

0:16:48.240 --> 0:16:50.080
<v Speaker 4>like a a JP Morgan or something like that, but

0:16:50.520 --> 0:16:55.520
<v Speaker 4>significant investment in custom applications, and those custom applications they

0:16:55.560 --> 0:16:57.360
<v Speaker 4>want to be able to take those data stores that

0:16:57.360 --> 0:17:00.360
<v Speaker 4>they're creating in their custom applications. Those are in their

0:17:00.400 --> 0:17:03.960
<v Speaker 4>own data centers, and they will ultimately want to train

0:17:04.080 --> 0:17:07.359
<v Speaker 4>their own large language models and have their custom applications

0:17:07.400 --> 0:17:09.600
<v Speaker 4>be able to use those large language models to be

0:17:09.600 --> 0:17:12.639
<v Speaker 4>able to get generative AI answers to serve their customers

0:17:12.800 --> 0:17:15.720
<v Speaker 4>and their employees in new ways. That is when the

0:17:16.160 --> 0:17:19.280
<v Speaker 4>bottom of the pyramid starts to get wider, because then

0:17:19.520 --> 0:17:23.359
<v Speaker 4>enterprises start buying into this technology. But we're not there yet.

0:17:23.480 --> 0:17:26.000
<v Speaker 4>Where we are is the top is what's consuming the

0:17:26.119 --> 0:17:30.680
<v Speaker 4>vast majority of these processors. And what's interesting about generative

0:17:30.680 --> 0:17:34.520
<v Speaker 4>AI is that usually with these compute architectures, it becomes

0:17:34.520 --> 0:17:36.879
<v Speaker 4>a law of diminishing returns, where the performance starts to

0:17:38.200 --> 0:17:40.719
<v Speaker 4>tap out no matter how much capacity you throw at it.

0:17:40.880 --> 0:17:43.360
<v Speaker 4>We haven't seen that yet. With generative AI. You can

0:17:43.480 --> 0:17:46.600
<v Speaker 4>keep throwing processing capacity at it and the system gets

0:17:46.800 --> 0:17:48.880
<v Speaker 4>more and more and more capable, and you can also

0:17:48.920 --> 0:17:50.640
<v Speaker 4>get significant speed gains. Yeah.

0:17:50.680 --> 0:17:53.120
<v Speaker 1>One of my favorite functions in the terminal is s PLC,

0:17:53.200 --> 0:17:55.280
<v Speaker 1>so you to see the supply chains. I'm sure to

0:17:55.400 --> 0:17:56.200
<v Speaker 1>me have been looking at.

0:17:56.080 --> 0:17:57.560
<v Speaker 4>To customer.

0:18:00.119 --> 0:18:02.520
<v Speaker 1>US for our radio listeners so that they know so

0:18:02.560 --> 0:18:05.479
<v Speaker 1>you can get engauge there. So super Micro has been

0:18:05.480 --> 0:18:06.919
<v Speaker 1>in the S and P five hundred for less than

0:18:06.920 --> 0:18:07.200
<v Speaker 1>a year.

0:18:07.200 --> 0:18:07.800
<v Speaker 4>It got at it.

0:18:08.400 --> 0:18:11.240
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, this you got added toward the end of the

0:18:11.240 --> 0:18:14.159
<v Speaker 1>first quarterback in March. So I mean, what do you

0:18:14.200 --> 0:18:16.200
<v Speaker 1>make of kind of like what's next here after it's

0:18:16.240 --> 0:18:18.679
<v Speaker 1>trying to get over this hurdle with the accounting issues.

0:18:19.080 --> 0:18:21.080
<v Speaker 4>Yeah again, you know, and I see you know, we

0:18:21.080 --> 0:18:23.360
<v Speaker 4>we we don't pick stocks, but I but I will

0:18:23.400 --> 0:18:26.840
<v Speaker 4>tell you that from a from a performance standpoint, there

0:18:26.920 --> 0:18:29.840
<v Speaker 4>is such a significant amount of engineering and so much

0:18:29.840 --> 0:18:32.240
<v Speaker 4>as a significant amount of a demand within that company. I

0:18:32.320 --> 0:18:34.679
<v Speaker 4>believe that in the long term they are going to

0:18:34.760 --> 0:18:38.640
<v Speaker 4>benefit continue to benefit from this AI boom, particularly as

0:18:38.640 --> 0:18:42.119
<v Speaker 4>service providers continue to invest. So you know, take that,

0:18:42.200 --> 0:18:44.760
<v Speaker 4>take that with what you will. But I don't see

0:18:44.800 --> 0:18:47.520
<v Speaker 4>a world where super Micro is not continuing to participate

0:18:47.720 --> 0:18:48.359
<v Speaker 4>in this market.

0:18:48.400 --> 0:18:50.800
<v Speaker 2>Okay, Crawford, I'm going to go off script a little bit, sure,

0:18:50.840 --> 0:18:52.480
<v Speaker 2>because I want to get your take on this. You're

0:18:52.480 --> 0:18:54.520
<v Speaker 2>in Boston, that's where you're absolutely Okay, you spend a

0:18:54.560 --> 0:18:56.520
<v Speaker 2>lot of time in the Bay Area. Have you taken

0:18:56.520 --> 0:18:56.919
<v Speaker 2>a weaimo.

0:18:58.160 --> 0:19:01.040
<v Speaker 4>I have not taken away moh, but I have crossed

0:19:01.080 --> 0:19:03.000
<v Speaker 4>the street in front of one and it didn't hit you.

0:19:03.119 --> 0:19:04.240
<v Speaker 4>It didn't hit it didn't.

0:19:04.240 --> 0:19:07.840
<v Speaker 2>You're that I like to see. Yeah, here's why I ask.

0:19:08.000 --> 0:19:09.720
<v Speaker 2>I was out in San Francisco a few weeks ago.

0:19:10.040 --> 0:19:11.920
<v Speaker 2>Now anyone can take these way mos. You don't have

0:19:11.960 --> 0:19:13.600
<v Speaker 2>to be on a list anymore. I downloaded the app

0:19:13.720 --> 0:19:16.240
<v Speaker 2>further right, I don't. I mean it was I was

0:19:16.280 --> 0:19:18.040
<v Speaker 2>only able to go within San Francisco. That's all I

0:19:18.080 --> 0:19:20.560
<v Speaker 2>needed to do. I know they're training them, Yeah, they're

0:19:20.600 --> 0:19:22.679
<v Speaker 2>they're training them to go to the airport. Now you

0:19:22.680 --> 0:19:25.000
<v Speaker 2>can't get on the highway with them. Yet it blew

0:19:25.040 --> 0:19:28.720
<v Speaker 2>my mind. It was incredible. I was a skeptic. I'm

0:19:28.720 --> 0:19:31.320
<v Speaker 2>totally sold. Now after this one twenty eight minute trip.

0:19:32.440 --> 0:19:35.160
<v Speaker 2>Are we are we going? Where do the companies that

0:19:35.240 --> 0:19:37.480
<v Speaker 2>you cover just in the last minute that we have, Yeah,

0:19:37.480 --> 0:19:40.280
<v Speaker 2>where are the companies that you cover play in that space?

0:19:40.320 --> 0:19:42.920
<v Speaker 2>Like if if we're working to a world where these

0:19:42.960 --> 0:19:44.399
<v Speaker 2>are all going to be these are going to be

0:19:44.440 --> 0:19:46.600
<v Speaker 2>all over, how do the companies that you cover benefit.

0:19:47.280 --> 0:19:50.399
<v Speaker 4>Boy, there's there's number, there's a number of ways. And

0:19:50.880 --> 0:19:52.520
<v Speaker 4>it also blew my mind. One of my team members

0:19:52.560 --> 0:19:55.560
<v Speaker 4>sent me a video of her in a wamo and bananas.

0:19:55.400 --> 0:19:58.680
<v Speaker 4>It's it's driving itself. It's driving itself around a lot

0:19:58.720 --> 0:20:02.639
<v Speaker 4>of ways. So companies like so think of a driverless

0:20:02.720 --> 0:20:07.000
<v Speaker 4>vehicle as a little data center, a little smart connected

0:20:07.040 --> 0:20:09.800
<v Speaker 4>node on the network. It has its own network inside

0:20:09.800 --> 0:20:13.400
<v Speaker 4>of it, and it's obviously consuming a lot of processing

0:20:13.440 --> 0:20:16.160
<v Speaker 4>power from the network. But what's different about a self

0:20:16.200 --> 0:20:19.000
<v Speaker 4>driving vehicle is the amount of processing it needs to do.

0:20:19.200 --> 0:20:22.440
<v Speaker 4>We call this compute at the edge of the network

0:20:22.560 --> 0:20:25.199
<v Speaker 4>because it has to decide very very rapidly. Is that

0:20:25.240 --> 0:20:27.040
<v Speaker 4>a human, is that a mailbox? Is that a dog?

0:20:27.119 --> 0:20:29.560
<v Speaker 4>Is that a shadow? And it has to be able.

0:20:29.680 --> 0:20:32.320
<v Speaker 4>It can't compute that at the core of the network.

0:20:32.320 --> 0:20:34.200
<v Speaker 4>It's got a computer at the edge. So the kinds

0:20:34.200 --> 0:20:37.000
<v Speaker 4>of companies that benefit from that is surprise in Nvidia,

0:20:37.200 --> 0:20:39.840
<v Speaker 4>where you know they've been a key partner to FSD

0:20:40.080 --> 0:20:44.119
<v Speaker 4>so full self driving at Tesla for quite some time. Also,

0:20:44.280 --> 0:20:47.359
<v Speaker 4>over time, maybe companies people don't think as much about Samsung,

0:20:47.880 --> 0:20:49.280
<v Speaker 4>so they're going to be making a lot of the

0:20:49.320 --> 0:20:53.040
<v Speaker 4>semiconductor content as well as the LED technology where you

0:20:53.040 --> 0:20:55.400
<v Speaker 4>see these cars are become big curve displays.

0:20:55.440 --> 0:20:57.199
<v Speaker 2>Over time, We've got a bit more time with you,

0:20:57.280 --> 0:20:59.439
<v Speaker 2>and you know when we're chatting. Just now, before we

0:20:59.480 --> 0:21:02.879
<v Speaker 2>did some news, we were talking about driverless cars, and

0:21:02.920 --> 0:21:05.280
<v Speaker 2>I'm curious about you haven't had the chance to ride

0:21:05.400 --> 0:21:07.639
<v Speaker 2>one some of your employees, have you mentioned? I was

0:21:07.680 --> 0:21:09.159
<v Speaker 2>saying that I wrote in one in San Francisco a

0:21:09.160 --> 0:21:11.200
<v Speaker 2>few weeks ago. Anyone listening or watching right now knows

0:21:11.200 --> 0:21:14.040
<v Speaker 2>that because they can't stop talking about it. It was

0:21:14.040 --> 0:21:16.600
<v Speaker 2>a Jaguar. Yeah, it was electric Jaguar. It was totally clean.

0:21:16.840 --> 0:21:19.000
<v Speaker 2>I got in like you know, you can choose the music.

0:21:19.040 --> 0:21:21.000
<v Speaker 2>It's I was facetiming with my parents to like show

0:21:21.040 --> 0:21:24.199
<v Speaker 2>how cool this was. But I really I was so

0:21:24.280 --> 0:21:26.359
<v Speaker 2>skeptical of the technology before and now that I was

0:21:26.400 --> 0:21:29.119
<v Speaker 2>able to experience it, it was just absolutely remarkable. And I

0:21:29.160 --> 0:21:33.720
<v Speaker 2>do envision a world where we see auto accidents just

0:21:33.960 --> 0:21:37.119
<v Speaker 2>plummet as a result of technology such as this. Am

0:21:37.160 --> 0:21:39.480
<v Speaker 2>I am I dreaming? Or is that something that happens

0:21:39.480 --> 0:21:40.160
<v Speaker 2>in our lifetime?

0:21:41.040 --> 0:21:43.320
<v Speaker 4>No, I don't think you're dreaming. I think it does

0:21:43.359 --> 0:21:45.560
<v Speaker 4>fall in the category of the old Paul Sappho from

0:21:45.560 --> 0:21:47.840
<v Speaker 4>Stanford Free so I don't confuse a clear view with

0:21:47.880 --> 0:21:48.639
<v Speaker 4>a short distance.

0:21:49.359 --> 0:21:50.160
<v Speaker 2>He's a futurist.

0:21:50.320 --> 0:21:54.159
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, he's a futurist. And I think we are going

0:21:54.200 --> 0:21:55.520
<v Speaker 4>to get there, but I think we're going to go

0:21:55.560 --> 0:21:58.240
<v Speaker 4>through kind of an icky period. And that period is

0:21:58.240 --> 0:22:00.240
<v Speaker 4>where the self driving cars don't make mistakes, but the

0:22:00.320 --> 0:22:03.399
<v Speaker 4>humans do. And I think that's going to have really

0:22:03.520 --> 0:22:07.080
<v Speaker 4>tough situation, a tough impact on things like insurance, and

0:22:07.119 --> 0:22:09.320
<v Speaker 4>it's gonna make it, you know, potentially more expensive. And

0:22:09.320 --> 0:22:11.720
<v Speaker 4>that may actually get to a point where people start

0:22:11.760 --> 0:22:13.880
<v Speaker 4>to say, do I want to be the person not

0:22:14.000 --> 0:22:16.320
<v Speaker 4>using self driving because it's costs a lot for me

0:22:16.400 --> 0:22:18.560
<v Speaker 4>to get in this vehicle and use this vehicle, because

0:22:18.600 --> 0:22:21.200
<v Speaker 4>the risk that I may be distracted by doing something,

0:22:21.200 --> 0:22:23.479
<v Speaker 4>looking at a phone, having a bad day, whatever, the

0:22:23.520 --> 0:22:27.240
<v Speaker 4>car never never has that. So I think eventually we

0:22:27.280 --> 0:22:30.520
<v Speaker 4>will get there, but it's going to take us probably

0:22:30.560 --> 0:22:34.280
<v Speaker 4>longer than people think because roads are complicated, Uh what's

0:22:34.320 --> 0:22:36.800
<v Speaker 4>not gonna and they're complicated all over the world and

0:22:36.840 --> 0:22:39.600
<v Speaker 4>all I mean, I self driving in Rome. You know,

0:22:39.600 --> 0:22:41.879
<v Speaker 4>it gives me, gives me, It gives me, gives me

0:22:41.920 --> 0:22:44.879
<v Speaker 4>a headache. But I think that we are very close

0:22:45.160 --> 0:22:48.639
<v Speaker 4>to being able to see it on highways, being able

0:22:48.640 --> 0:22:51.120
<v Speaker 4>to see it on UH in a lot of US

0:22:51.200 --> 0:22:54.360
<v Speaker 4>cities and in a lot of North American cities. And

0:22:54.440 --> 0:22:57.080
<v Speaker 4>I think we're probably fat It's probably closer than people think.

0:22:57.119 --> 0:22:59.240
<v Speaker 4>I think it's you know, probably in the next in

0:22:59.280 --> 0:23:01.480
<v Speaker 4>the next five years, you're probably going to start to

0:23:01.560 --> 0:23:05.199
<v Speaker 4>see more and more modes, more and more companies bringing

0:23:05.200 --> 0:23:07.440
<v Speaker 4>out the kind of technology the Tesla can bring out,

0:23:07.440 --> 0:23:09.639
<v Speaker 4>where you know, you've got one hand on the steering wheel,

0:23:09.640 --> 0:23:12.160
<v Speaker 4>but really, if you want to go pretty pretty full

0:23:12.200 --> 0:23:15.520
<v Speaker 4>self pretty full sell driving, you can.

0:23:16.800 --> 0:23:20.480
<v Speaker 1>I've actually never been in aweimo or anything like that.

0:23:20.520 --> 0:23:22.200
<v Speaker 2>You're not the only one. There are only a few

0:23:22.200 --> 0:23:24.000
<v Speaker 2>cities where they do this. They do it in Austin,

0:23:24.040 --> 0:23:26.080
<v Speaker 2>they do it in Phoenix, there was a story about Miami.

0:23:26.320 --> 0:23:28.160
<v Speaker 2>Of course, San Francisco, Yeah, in San Francisco.

0:23:28.480 --> 0:23:32.119
<v Speaker 1>So when you're thinking about legislation coming out of Washington,

0:23:32.160 --> 0:23:34.160
<v Speaker 1>obviously we have a new administration coming in, but kind

0:23:34.160 --> 0:23:36.840
<v Speaker 1>of realistically over the course of years, because this will

0:23:36.880 --> 0:23:39.600
<v Speaker 1>take a while. As you were mentioning, what do you

0:23:39.600 --> 0:23:42.000
<v Speaker 1>think would need to happen? Because also you were talking

0:23:42.040 --> 0:23:44.600
<v Speaker 1>about the complications of roads and depending on what type

0:23:44.600 --> 0:23:45.640
<v Speaker 1>of city you're in.

0:23:46.080 --> 0:23:48.160
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, so there's going to be a lot of legislation

0:23:48.200 --> 0:23:50.080
<v Speaker 4>that's gonna that that's going to need to be addressed here,

0:23:50.119 --> 0:23:52.399
<v Speaker 4>which is why I think it's going to take a

0:23:52.480 --> 0:23:54.600
<v Speaker 4>long time, much longer than the five years I mentioned

0:23:54.760 --> 0:23:58.040
<v Speaker 4>for full self driving. But the kind of assist where

0:23:58.119 --> 0:24:00.520
<v Speaker 4>you know, what Tesla has today is really only what

0:24:00.600 --> 0:24:02.800
<v Speaker 4>Tesla has where you have one a little couple fingers

0:24:02.840 --> 0:24:04.840
<v Speaker 4>on the steering wheel and the car is doing the

0:24:04.920 --> 0:24:07.159
<v Speaker 4>vast majority of the driving. That's going to go to

0:24:07.240 --> 0:24:08.320
<v Speaker 4>multiple manufacturers.

0:24:08.480 --> 0:24:10.120
<v Speaker 2>What I was in, what I was in was full

0:24:10.160 --> 0:24:11.520
<v Speaker 2>self driving. I mean I wasn't even in.

0:24:11.480 --> 0:24:13.280
<v Speaker 4>The Yeah, yeah, so what you were in is going

0:24:13.320 --> 0:24:15.920
<v Speaker 4>to take a lot longer from a legislation standpoint, where

0:24:15.960 --> 0:24:18.840
<v Speaker 4>we're going to have to see, again, this is going

0:24:18.920 --> 0:24:22.000
<v Speaker 4>to get complicated because our state's comfortable with it is

0:24:22.040 --> 0:24:24.879
<v Speaker 4>the federal government going across you know, if you if

0:24:24.880 --> 0:24:26.600
<v Speaker 4>you want to go across state line, states have to

0:24:26.640 --> 0:24:29.159
<v Speaker 4>have agreements, and if states don't have agreements, then it

0:24:29.160 --> 0:24:31.960
<v Speaker 4>becomes a federal issue. And I think that could take,

0:24:32.119 --> 0:24:33.960
<v Speaker 4>you know, a lot longer than the technology could take it.

0:24:34.000 --> 0:24:35.919
<v Speaker 2>It's also hard from a rules perspective, and I mean

0:24:36.000 --> 0:24:37.800
<v Speaker 2>rules in the sense of like rules of the road.

0:24:38.119 --> 0:24:40.960
<v Speaker 2>For example, I had to drive recently and I was

0:24:41.040 --> 0:24:43.639
<v Speaker 2>driving my car in New York City and there was

0:24:44.119 --> 0:24:46.240
<v Speaker 2>a car double parked in front of me, so I

0:24:46.240 --> 0:24:48.240
<v Speaker 2>couldn't get around it. In order to get around it,

0:24:48.680 --> 0:24:50.800
<v Speaker 2>I had to actually go over a double yellow line.

0:24:50.840 --> 0:24:53.600
<v Speaker 2>There were no cars coming right. But what I did

0:24:53.840 --> 0:24:57.359
<v Speaker 2>was not considered following the rules in the sense of

0:24:57.400 --> 0:24:59.000
<v Speaker 2>like if a computer, like I don't know if a

0:24:59.000 --> 0:25:01.080
<v Speaker 2>computer would do that, if I were in a self

0:25:01.160 --> 0:25:02.800
<v Speaker 2>driving car, would I have just sat.

0:25:02.760 --> 0:25:05.280
<v Speaker 4>Would you have just sat there and been frustrated because

0:25:05.280 --> 0:25:08.280
<v Speaker 4>you it's an obvious solution that's not going to harm anybody,

0:25:08.320 --> 0:25:10.200
<v Speaker 4>and you know it's it's the kind of thing you

0:25:10.240 --> 0:25:13.480
<v Speaker 4>could do potentially. And now those kinds of things, you know,

0:25:13.600 --> 0:25:15.959
<v Speaker 4>can be those kinds of conditions can be programmed in,

0:25:16.280 --> 0:25:18.919
<v Speaker 4>but probably not for a long time. I'll give you

0:25:18.960 --> 0:25:22.719
<v Speaker 4>another example. What about the example where people start to

0:25:22.760 --> 0:25:26.320
<v Speaker 4>figure out where the vulnerabilities are in these vehicles. So

0:25:26.400 --> 0:25:27.960
<v Speaker 4>if you want to see that, you know I'm making

0:25:27.960 --> 0:25:29.240
<v Speaker 4>this up, But if you want to see the vehicle

0:25:29.280 --> 0:25:31.800
<v Speaker 4>behave in maybe a strange way, come up very close

0:25:31.840 --> 0:25:33.760
<v Speaker 4>to the back corner of it, or you know, you

0:25:34.119 --> 0:25:35.200
<v Speaker 4>to figure.

0:25:34.920 --> 0:25:37.680
<v Speaker 2>Out sort of bad actors, not necessarily.

0:25:37.160 --> 0:25:39.199
<v Speaker 4>Bad actors, but just people that try to figure out

0:25:39.240 --> 0:25:42.679
<v Speaker 4>where the vulnerabilities are so that they can get around

0:25:42.680 --> 0:25:45.640
<v Speaker 4>them faster potentially, or you know, potentially, you know, try

0:25:45.640 --> 0:25:47.240
<v Speaker 4>to game the system in some way when you're a

0:25:47.320 --> 0:25:50.040
<v Speaker 4>driver and you're and you're driving sort of against if

0:25:50.080 --> 0:25:52.359
<v Speaker 4>you will, a full sell driving vehicle.

0:25:52.560 --> 0:25:55.359
<v Speaker 1>Looks like Alphabet's robotaxi service is going to launch in

0:25:55.400 --> 0:25:58.760
<v Speaker 1>Miami in twenty twenty six, so maybe that's down.

0:26:00.359 --> 0:26:01.560
<v Speaker 4>More of these cropping up.

0:26:01.560 --> 0:26:03.800
<v Speaker 2>I'm just waiting for New York, that's right.

0:26:04.040 --> 0:26:05.920
<v Speaker 1>How how complicated is that?

0:26:06.040 --> 0:26:06.119
<v Speaker 4>Like?

0:26:06.200 --> 0:26:06.360
<v Speaker 3>Will?

0:26:07.400 --> 0:26:09.920
<v Speaker 4>I mean, it seems very start getting out to some

0:26:09.960 --> 0:26:12.280
<v Speaker 4>of those boroughs, you start getting downtown, it starts to

0:26:12.280 --> 0:26:14.159
<v Speaker 4>get a little bit complicated. But I would say I

0:26:14.160 --> 0:26:18.440
<v Speaker 4>don't think New York is meaningfully more complicated. San Francisco

0:26:18.480 --> 0:26:19.800
<v Speaker 4>can be pretty complicated as well.

0:26:20.040 --> 0:26:23.960
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I'm talking to a friend who works intact and

0:26:24.000 --> 0:26:26.879
<v Speaker 2>he was saying New York's tough because there aren't very

0:26:26.880 --> 0:26:29.679
<v Speaker 2>many legal places to pull over where San Francisco there

0:26:29.680 --> 0:26:31.480
<v Speaker 2>are a lot of like driveways that people can pull

0:26:31.520 --> 0:26:34.560
<v Speaker 2>into to get into one of these things. But yeah, yeah,

0:26:34.600 --> 0:26:37.679
<v Speaker 2>it could be complicated here. See Crawford, always love it

0:26:37.880 --> 0:26:41.320
<v Speaker 2>when you stop by. Thanks for sticking extra, Thanks so

0:26:41.440 --> 0:26:44.480
<v Speaker 2>much for the time, Crawford Del Pratt, President at id C,