1 00:00:10,200 --> 00:00:13,440 Speaker 1: Hello, and welcome to another episode of the Odd Lots Podcast. 2 00:00:13,520 --> 00:00:15,880 Speaker 2: I'm Joe Wisenthal and I'm Tracy Alloway. 3 00:00:16,040 --> 00:00:16,439 Speaker 3: Tracy. 4 00:00:17,000 --> 00:00:20,560 Speaker 1: Today we have a special episode of the podcast That's Right. 5 00:00:20,680 --> 00:00:23,439 Speaker 4: So we traveled to Austin, Texas. We were there for 6 00:00:23,560 --> 00:00:27,320 Speaker 4: the Texas Tribune Festival, and we recorded a live episode 7 00:00:27,360 --> 00:00:30,480 Speaker 4: with one of our favorite All Thoughts guests, Jiggershaw. 8 00:00:30,600 --> 00:00:31,040 Speaker 5: That's right. 9 00:00:31,200 --> 00:00:34,360 Speaker 1: Jigger is, as listeners may know, the head of the 10 00:00:34,400 --> 00:00:38,159 Speaker 1: Loan Program at the Department of Energy. This is his 11 00:00:38,360 --> 00:00:40,800 Speaker 1: third time appearing. The first time we talked to him 12 00:00:40,920 --> 00:00:44,360 Speaker 1: was early twenty twenty two, when the loan Program's office 13 00:00:44,600 --> 00:00:47,680 Speaker 1: was this sort of small backwater office within the DOE. 14 00:00:48,080 --> 00:00:50,400 Speaker 1: Then we talked to him again about a year ago, 15 00:00:50,560 --> 00:00:53,680 Speaker 1: right after the Inflation Reduction Act was passed, when his 16 00:00:53,720 --> 00:00:57,160 Speaker 1: office got tons of money to lend out. And then 17 00:00:57,200 --> 00:01:00,480 Speaker 1: this was sort of like a one year on at episode. 18 00:01:00,920 --> 00:01:03,600 Speaker 1: What are they doing with all this money at his 19 00:01:03,720 --> 00:01:06,480 Speaker 1: office and what are the real prospects for sort of 20 00:01:06,600 --> 00:01:08,360 Speaker 1: decarbonizing our electricity. 21 00:01:08,680 --> 00:01:10,120 Speaker 2: He's sort of in the groove now. 22 00:01:10,160 --> 00:01:13,479 Speaker 4: He's spending some of the billions of dollars that he's 23 00:01:13,560 --> 00:01:16,880 Speaker 4: been authorized to spend by Washington and it's really interesting 24 00:01:16,920 --> 00:01:19,520 Speaker 4: to see how he's actually putting that money to work 25 00:01:19,720 --> 00:01:22,520 Speaker 4: and what's getting him excited in the energy space right now. 26 00:01:22,760 --> 00:01:24,560 Speaker 3: All right, so take a listen, Jigger. 27 00:01:24,640 --> 00:01:27,160 Speaker 1: We've talked to a couple of times in the past 28 00:01:27,280 --> 00:01:30,560 Speaker 1: on the podcast about the Loan Program Office. What do 29 00:01:30,680 --> 00:01:33,640 Speaker 1: we start just to like sort of a quick summary, 30 00:01:33,800 --> 00:01:36,479 Speaker 1: and we've talked like about what you do, like real quickly, 31 00:01:36,560 --> 00:01:39,320 Speaker 1: just what is the Loan Program Office for people who 32 00:01:39,400 --> 00:01:42,920 Speaker 1: may have not familiar with it or past episode, and 33 00:01:43,000 --> 00:01:43,440 Speaker 1: what do you do? 34 00:01:44,440 --> 00:01:45,720 Speaker 5: Well, thanks for having me back. 35 00:01:47,080 --> 00:01:49,440 Speaker 6: The Loan Program's Office was started in two thousand and five, 36 00:01:49,680 --> 00:01:52,280 Speaker 6: and the whole point of it was that for a 37 00:01:52,320 --> 00:01:56,040 Speaker 6: lot of this technology that Doe is awesome at inventing, 38 00:01:57,120 --> 00:02:00,760 Speaker 6: it tends to not be able to get commercial debt 39 00:02:00,880 --> 00:02:01,800 Speaker 6: for commercialization. 40 00:02:02,080 --> 00:02:04,040 Speaker 5: So a lot of these projects might be. 41 00:02:04,000 --> 00:02:07,600 Speaker 6: A billion dollar project and going to get debt from 42 00:02:07,640 --> 00:02:09,919 Speaker 6: the commercial markets for a first of a kind project, 43 00:02:10,280 --> 00:02:13,480 Speaker 6: you know, namely like you know, the Tesla's first loan 44 00:02:13,840 --> 00:02:16,639 Speaker 6: or some of the large solar and geothermal projects we did, 45 00:02:17,280 --> 00:02:21,480 Speaker 6: it was just not feasible. But what's more interesting is 46 00:02:21,560 --> 00:02:26,560 Speaker 6: today our remit's been expanded substantially, so it used to 47 00:02:26,600 --> 00:02:29,280 Speaker 6: be we had this innovation bucket, and then we had 48 00:02:29,320 --> 00:02:33,520 Speaker 6: this vehicles bucket. Basically, today we have a tribal energy program. 49 00:02:33,680 --> 00:02:38,320 Speaker 6: We have this energy infrastructure refurbishment program, right, so figuring 50 00:02:38,360 --> 00:02:40,639 Speaker 6: out how to take old coal plants and term of 51 00:02:40,720 --> 00:02:43,760 Speaker 6: nuclear plants, or old transmission lines and double them up, 52 00:02:43,880 --> 00:02:45,880 Speaker 6: or you know, figuring out what to do with old 53 00:02:45,880 --> 00:02:48,640 Speaker 6: refineries or tank farms. And so we have a much 54 00:02:48,800 --> 00:02:52,040 Speaker 6: larger scope today. So we've got, you know, a lot 55 00:02:52,080 --> 00:02:53,239 Speaker 6: more resources today. 56 00:02:53,960 --> 00:02:56,440 Speaker 2: So how much money do you actually control now? 57 00:02:56,520 --> 00:02:59,919 Speaker 4: Because of course I've seen variable estimates and I get 58 00:03:00,120 --> 00:03:02,600 Speaker 4: that a lot of it depends on how things develop. 59 00:03:02,680 --> 00:03:05,360 Speaker 4: But you've been doing this for a while. Now, you 60 00:03:05,400 --> 00:03:07,760 Speaker 4: have extended some loans. Do you have a good sense 61 00:03:07,800 --> 00:03:11,000 Speaker 4: of whether it's four hundred billion or five hundred billion 62 00:03:11,120 --> 00:03:12,280 Speaker 4: or six hundred billion. 63 00:03:12,919 --> 00:03:15,519 Speaker 5: I mean, what's a billion between friends? 64 00:03:15,639 --> 00:03:17,160 Speaker 3: What's a hundred million between friends? 65 00:03:17,280 --> 00:03:18,400 Speaker 5: Yeah? I think so. 66 00:03:18,440 --> 00:03:20,440 Speaker 6: When I first came into office, it was roughly forty 67 00:03:20,480 --> 00:03:23,840 Speaker 6: billion dollars of loan authority. Today, if all of our 68 00:03:23,840 --> 00:03:27,239 Speaker 6: loan authority was used, it'd be closer to four hundred billion. 69 00:03:28,240 --> 00:03:30,399 Speaker 6: We have no idea whether it'll all be used, right, 70 00:03:30,440 --> 00:03:34,000 Speaker 6: So the largest program there is this refurbishment program, which 71 00:03:34,080 --> 00:03:37,440 Speaker 6: is two hundred and fifty billion dollars. Interestingly enough, it 72 00:03:37,480 --> 00:03:39,160 Speaker 6: really is taking off. So I think when we first 73 00:03:39,160 --> 00:03:42,320 Speaker 6: started talking to electric utilities and oil and gas companies 74 00:03:42,360 --> 00:03:45,080 Speaker 6: and others about using it, I think they didn't want 75 00:03:45,080 --> 00:03:45,760 Speaker 6: any part of it. 76 00:03:45,880 --> 00:03:47,480 Speaker 5: They didn't really see how it was valuable. 77 00:03:47,800 --> 00:03:51,840 Speaker 6: Today, I think we've already got about fifty six billion 78 00:03:51,880 --> 00:03:55,640 Speaker 6: dollars worth of loans either received or being actively prepared 79 00:03:55,640 --> 00:03:58,440 Speaker 6: that we've seen early drafts of. So we are seeing 80 00:03:58,440 --> 00:04:00,920 Speaker 6: a lot of interest in that program. So you know, 81 00:04:01,720 --> 00:04:03,680 Speaker 6: whether we get to that number or not will be 82 00:04:03,760 --> 00:04:05,600 Speaker 6: determined whether that program is successful. 83 00:04:05,680 --> 00:04:05,880 Speaker 3: Yeah. 84 00:04:05,960 --> 00:04:08,160 Speaker 1: The first time we ever talked to I think it 85 00:04:08,200 --> 00:04:11,400 Speaker 1: was early twenty twenty two and someone said, oh, Jigger, 86 00:04:11,640 --> 00:04:13,760 Speaker 1: he's someone you should talk to. He knows about energy, 87 00:04:13,920 --> 00:04:15,440 Speaker 1: sort of an interesting. 88 00:04:15,040 --> 00:04:16,520 Speaker 3: Guy and knows about this stuff. 89 00:04:16,640 --> 00:04:18,240 Speaker 1: And then I think it was like about three or 90 00:04:18,240 --> 00:04:22,720 Speaker 1: four months later and the Inflation Reduction Act passed and 91 00:04:22,800 --> 00:04:25,039 Speaker 1: someone's like, oh, you know that guy, Jigger, you talk to. 92 00:04:25,080 --> 00:04:28,000 Speaker 1: His office just got whatever six hundred Billion're like, oh, 93 00:04:28,040 --> 00:04:30,000 Speaker 1: so what went from like the sort of I don't know, 94 00:04:30,120 --> 00:04:33,000 Speaker 1: backwater is the right word, but fairly like modest division 95 00:04:33,000 --> 00:04:35,880 Speaker 1: of the Department of Energy, you are now a key 96 00:04:36,360 --> 00:04:40,880 Speaker 1: player and essentially this massive effort by the Biden administration 97 00:04:41,400 --> 00:04:45,600 Speaker 1: to decarbonize our energy system. 98 00:04:46,160 --> 00:04:46,440 Speaker 5: Yeah. 99 00:04:46,480 --> 00:04:50,200 Speaker 6: Look, I think that when you think about my own background, 100 00:04:50,240 --> 00:04:53,280 Speaker 6: having started Son Edison and then Generate Capital, I think 101 00:04:53,320 --> 00:04:57,599 Speaker 6: I have a unique understanding on how this stuff works, 102 00:04:58,080 --> 00:05:01,039 Speaker 6: which is that we have these extraordinary people who frankly 103 00:05:01,640 --> 00:05:05,680 Speaker 6: bust their hump for ten years in obscurity before they 104 00:05:05,760 --> 00:05:06,280 Speaker 6: get to. 105 00:05:06,320 --> 00:05:07,919 Speaker 5: Where the loan Program's office can help them. 106 00:05:08,000 --> 00:05:10,200 Speaker 6: Right when you think about a lot of these companies 107 00:05:10,200 --> 00:05:13,760 Speaker 6: who have figured out green cement or green steel or 108 00:05:14,120 --> 00:05:18,159 Speaker 6: you know, next generation transmission lines or next generation hydrogen facilities, 109 00:05:18,200 --> 00:05:20,640 Speaker 6: I mean they were in a lab getting some like 110 00:05:20,839 --> 00:05:23,920 Speaker 6: fifty thousand dollars grant like ten years ago, and then 111 00:05:24,080 --> 00:05:26,240 Speaker 6: their thesis worked out, and then they decided to get 112 00:05:26,279 --> 00:05:28,200 Speaker 6: an a round and then a B round. Some of 113 00:05:28,200 --> 00:05:32,680 Speaker 6: them may have spacked prematurely, you remember the time, and 114 00:05:32,760 --> 00:05:35,000 Speaker 6: so you know, I think that the goal for me 115 00:05:35,279 --> 00:05:38,120 Speaker 6: is not to you know, puff myself up, but to 116 00:05:38,200 --> 00:05:41,520 Speaker 6: recognize that we have all these people and honestly the 117 00:05:41,560 --> 00:05:44,920 Speaker 6: ecosystem that we have in this country. To take them 118 00:05:44,960 --> 00:05:49,599 Speaker 6: from the technology works to connecting it to the American 119 00:05:49,640 --> 00:05:51,440 Speaker 6: worker building the facility here. 120 00:05:51,680 --> 00:05:52,640 Speaker 5: Doing all this stuff here. 121 00:05:53,120 --> 00:05:55,360 Speaker 6: Frankly, we haven't done in forty years here, right, I 122 00:05:55,400 --> 00:05:58,360 Speaker 6: mean most of our technologies went to Asia or went 123 00:05:58,400 --> 00:06:01,159 Speaker 6: to Europe to get commercialized. And now I think with 124 00:06:01,200 --> 00:06:03,200 Speaker 6: the Inflation Reduction Act, it's sort of my job to 125 00:06:03,240 --> 00:06:06,760 Speaker 6: convince them to use these resources to stay here and 126 00:06:06,839 --> 00:06:09,160 Speaker 6: to do it here, right, And I think a lot 127 00:06:09,160 --> 00:06:10,960 Speaker 6: of that really means that we got to do a 128 00:06:11,000 --> 00:06:13,160 Speaker 6: lot more outreache. We've got to convince them that this 129 00:06:13,240 --> 00:06:16,400 Speaker 6: is a place that wants them, because you know how 130 00:06:16,480 --> 00:06:18,320 Speaker 6: hard it is, right, I Mean, you have to get 131 00:06:18,600 --> 00:06:21,159 Speaker 6: permission from people, you have to get a permit, you 132 00:06:21,200 --> 00:06:23,440 Speaker 6: have to get a governor who actually wants to put 133 00:06:23,440 --> 00:06:26,160 Speaker 6: together an economic development package for you, right, And if 134 00:06:26,200 --> 00:06:28,560 Speaker 6: you haven't done it in forty years, then it could 135 00:06:28,640 --> 00:06:30,359 Speaker 6: be that, you know, it's a little bit harder to 136 00:06:30,400 --> 00:06:30,800 Speaker 6: do it here. 137 00:06:31,440 --> 00:06:34,159 Speaker 4: Do you feel pressure to spend the money, like is 138 00:06:34,200 --> 00:06:36,400 Speaker 4: there a sense of urgency here? And then how do 139 00:06:36,440 --> 00:06:39,680 Speaker 4: you actually balance that with the need to make efficient 140 00:06:39,920 --> 00:06:43,479 Speaker 4: and useful and ideally profitable investments. 141 00:06:43,800 --> 00:06:46,480 Speaker 6: So I definitely don't feel pressure to put the money 142 00:06:46,520 --> 00:06:48,560 Speaker 6: out the door. I think that the money should go 143 00:06:48,560 --> 00:06:50,400 Speaker 6: out the door if it, you know, deserves to gout 144 00:06:50,400 --> 00:06:53,360 Speaker 6: the door. And we have three hundred people who work 145 00:06:53,400 --> 00:06:55,240 Speaker 6: for us at the Loan Program's office, and so they 146 00:06:55,240 --> 00:06:59,200 Speaker 6: are the ones actually evaluating and you know, doing the 147 00:06:59,440 --> 00:07:01,440 Speaker 6: work to get the loan to the finish line. I 148 00:07:01,480 --> 00:07:04,039 Speaker 6: certainly have a lot of subject matter expertise, so I 149 00:07:04,040 --> 00:07:07,400 Speaker 6: can be somewhat helpful, But honestly, the biggest part of 150 00:07:07,400 --> 00:07:09,840 Speaker 6: my job is to get people to trust us, right. 151 00:07:09,920 --> 00:07:12,440 Speaker 6: So getting the growth companies to trust us was something 152 00:07:12,480 --> 00:07:14,360 Speaker 6: that was fairly easy for me because a lot of 153 00:07:14,360 --> 00:07:17,800 Speaker 6: those people are my peers from my professional life. But 154 00:07:17,880 --> 00:07:20,440 Speaker 6: getting the electric utility companies to use us, I mean, 155 00:07:20,480 --> 00:07:22,920 Speaker 6: that was not an easy task. And now I've got 156 00:07:22,960 --> 00:07:24,600 Speaker 6: to get the oil and gas companies to get to 157 00:07:24,720 --> 00:07:27,360 Speaker 6: use us, right, and that's not easy at all. Many 158 00:07:27,400 --> 00:07:28,880 Speaker 6: of them feel like they're going to get stripped of 159 00:07:28,920 --> 00:07:31,760 Speaker 6: their country club membership if they use the Loan Program's 160 00:07:31,760 --> 00:07:34,480 Speaker 6: office right and so, but they're not going to do 161 00:07:34,520 --> 00:07:37,080 Speaker 6: the right thing unless they do it right, because the 162 00:07:37,160 --> 00:07:40,240 Speaker 6: numbers don't work without our debt, Like the returns aren't 163 00:07:40,320 --> 00:07:43,160 Speaker 6: high enough without our debt, and so I need them 164 00:07:43,240 --> 00:07:44,720 Speaker 6: to come into the office. And so a lot of 165 00:07:44,720 --> 00:07:46,480 Speaker 6: what I'm doing is trying to build trust. 166 00:07:46,800 --> 00:07:49,520 Speaker 1: So your company that you started, sun Edison, I mean 167 00:07:49,520 --> 00:07:53,000 Speaker 1: it was a finance breakthrough, right, I mean the solar 168 00:07:53,280 --> 00:07:56,360 Speaker 1: technology has existed, but you understood that there was an 169 00:07:56,360 --> 00:07:59,200 Speaker 1: opportunity to finance the deployment of solar in a new way. 170 00:07:59,520 --> 00:08:02,160 Speaker 3: Can you just speak theoretically or big picture? 171 00:08:02,520 --> 00:08:06,040 Speaker 1: Why are there projects that can pay back the debt, 172 00:08:06,360 --> 00:08:10,120 Speaker 1: but which private sector money is not there? Why is 173 00:08:10,120 --> 00:08:13,080 Speaker 1: it important for the public sector balance sheet to be 174 00:08:13,200 --> 00:08:16,040 Speaker 1: deployed for certain types of energy projects? 175 00:08:16,080 --> 00:08:18,480 Speaker 3: And then maybe we can get into some of these specifics. 176 00:08:19,240 --> 00:08:21,240 Speaker 5: There's a couple of reasons that I'll go through. Right. 177 00:08:21,360 --> 00:08:25,160 Speaker 6: One is the Department of Energy has ten thousand expert 178 00:08:25,240 --> 00:08:28,880 Speaker 6: scientists and engineers on the platform. Right, most of the 179 00:08:28,960 --> 00:08:32,200 Speaker 6: fundamental patents and these technologies were invented by one of 180 00:08:32,200 --> 00:08:35,120 Speaker 6: those ten thousand people. So when you have a methane 181 00:08:35,200 --> 00:08:38,240 Speaker 6: pyrolysis project like monolith materials that we give a conditional 182 00:08:38,240 --> 00:08:40,800 Speaker 6: commitment to in twenty twenty one, like, there's somebody in 183 00:08:40,840 --> 00:08:43,000 Speaker 6: a national lab who actually invented it. And so when 184 00:08:43,000 --> 00:08:45,200 Speaker 6: I go to him and I say, hey, you know, like, 185 00:08:45,240 --> 00:08:46,240 Speaker 6: what do you think about this thing? 186 00:08:46,360 --> 00:08:46,560 Speaker 5: Right? 187 00:08:46,600 --> 00:08:49,880 Speaker 6: They're like, yeah, we've done like eighteen demonstrations of this 188 00:08:49,920 --> 00:08:52,160 Speaker 6: project and we think this will work. And the way 189 00:08:52,160 --> 00:08:54,559 Speaker 6: that they're approaching it's going to work, et cetera. There's 190 00:08:54,600 --> 00:08:57,080 Speaker 6: nobody for JP Morgan to go to for that. They're 191 00:08:57,120 --> 00:08:59,000 Speaker 6: going to be like this scares the crap out of me. 192 00:08:59,280 --> 00:09:01,120 Speaker 6: I'm not going to do that. And so you can 193 00:09:01,200 --> 00:09:04,360 Speaker 6: imagine that there's a lot of technology risk that is 194 00:09:04,440 --> 00:09:08,000 Speaker 6: perceived by the banks that we can actually manage because. 195 00:09:07,760 --> 00:09:09,400 Speaker 5: We have all these experts on a platform. 196 00:09:09,679 --> 00:09:11,640 Speaker 6: The other piece of it, though, is that you know, 197 00:09:11,760 --> 00:09:14,920 Speaker 6: with the Basel three rules, you know, passing up to 198 00:09:14,960 --> 00:09:17,760 Speaker 6: the global financial crisis, for a lot of these banks, 199 00:09:17,800 --> 00:09:22,280 Speaker 6: if they don't actually have investment grade off take agreements 200 00:09:22,280 --> 00:09:24,040 Speaker 6: for some of these things, Like I'll give you an example, 201 00:09:24,160 --> 00:09:27,560 Speaker 6: like for a lot of these critical minerals projects, there's 202 00:09:27,600 --> 00:09:30,040 Speaker 6: no history whatsoever for someone and say you know what, 203 00:09:31,120 --> 00:09:33,720 Speaker 6: I'll pay a fixed price for that lithium for ten years. 204 00:09:34,000 --> 00:09:36,880 Speaker 6: Generally speaking, it's like, well, whatever the lithium price is, 205 00:09:36,920 --> 00:09:38,560 Speaker 6: we're going to benchmark to that price. 206 00:09:38,840 --> 00:09:41,400 Speaker 5: My lithium has gone down by forty five percent already 207 00:09:41,400 --> 00:09:42,120 Speaker 5: this year, right. 208 00:09:42,000 --> 00:09:45,320 Speaker 6: And so so the government is actually willing to take 209 00:09:45,320 --> 00:09:48,640 Speaker 6: that risk because we know that, you know, we're going 210 00:09:48,679 --> 00:09:51,200 Speaker 6: to have all these electric vehicles purchased over the next 211 00:09:51,200 --> 00:09:51,720 Speaker 6: ten years. 212 00:09:51,880 --> 00:09:53,440 Speaker 5: The world's going to be short lithium. 213 00:09:53,480 --> 00:09:56,280 Speaker 6: So even if in the short term lithium prices went down, 214 00:09:56,320 --> 00:09:58,520 Speaker 6: in the long term, you're going to need these resources 215 00:09:58,960 --> 00:10:03,320 Speaker 6: like that. That formula under a bank's rules would require 216 00:10:03,679 --> 00:10:06,120 Speaker 6: a huge amount of Tier one capital to be set 217 00:10:06,160 --> 00:10:08,319 Speaker 6: aside for that loan. So you can imagine them saying, 218 00:10:08,840 --> 00:10:11,480 Speaker 6: I'm not making investment banking profits on this. I'm not 219 00:10:11,520 --> 00:10:13,600 Speaker 6: going to use my Tier one capital for this, right. 220 00:10:14,200 --> 00:10:17,880 Speaker 6: Because there's a bit of a friction, right because on 221 00:10:17,920 --> 00:10:19,640 Speaker 6: the other side you got the Federal Reserve and the 222 00:10:19,640 --> 00:10:22,559 Speaker 6: OCC Commissioners who are saying that looks like a risky 223 00:10:22,600 --> 00:10:24,480 Speaker 6: load if we're going to make you put more Tier 224 00:10:24,559 --> 00:10:27,160 Speaker 6: one capital against it, right, And so there's lots of 225 00:10:27,240 --> 00:10:31,080 Speaker 6: reasons why you have friction in the marketplace. But before 226 00:10:31,520 --> 00:10:34,800 Speaker 6: we were active, most of these these companies had one 227 00:10:34,840 --> 00:10:37,600 Speaker 6: hundred percent equity finance everything. Right, they would just have 228 00:10:37,640 --> 00:10:40,000 Speaker 6: to raise a billion dollars in the marketplace and then 229 00:10:40,040 --> 00:10:42,080 Speaker 6: do that, and you can imagine there's very few companies 230 00:10:42,120 --> 00:10:45,120 Speaker 6: that could do that. So then we were restricting innovation 231 00:10:45,440 --> 00:10:47,320 Speaker 6: and restricting it's getting commercialized. 232 00:11:02,920 --> 00:11:05,320 Speaker 4: I realized I made an assumption in my previous question 233 00:11:05,360 --> 00:11:07,959 Speaker 4: because I said, ideally you would make loans that make 234 00:11:08,000 --> 00:11:09,720 Speaker 4: a profit, and that's probably true. 235 00:11:09,960 --> 00:11:13,280 Speaker 2: But how do you think about profit versus risk? 236 00:11:13,520 --> 00:11:15,760 Speaker 4: Do you have to make a profit or do you 237 00:11:15,760 --> 00:11:19,720 Speaker 4: think there's a role for government to finance riskier projects 238 00:11:19,720 --> 00:11:21,640 Speaker 4: that maybe have a public good or utility. 239 00:11:22,559 --> 00:11:25,440 Speaker 6: Yeah, a profit is a very strong word, right, because 240 00:11:25,760 --> 00:11:27,880 Speaker 6: we don't really make a profit in the government, So 241 00:11:28,240 --> 00:11:30,680 Speaker 6: I don't think about it that way. I think the 242 00:11:30,679 --> 00:11:33,720 Speaker 6: way I think about it is Congress gives us a 243 00:11:33,760 --> 00:11:36,240 Speaker 6: couple of things. So let me just maybe help you 244 00:11:36,360 --> 00:11:40,040 Speaker 6: understand how the money flows. So you know, when we 245 00:11:40,120 --> 00:11:44,000 Speaker 6: give somebody a loan, the US Treasury Department theoretically issues 246 00:11:44,160 --> 00:11:47,800 Speaker 6: bonds and then we issue that loan. So the US 247 00:11:47,880 --> 00:11:50,520 Speaker 6: government has to pay back those bonds, and so there's 248 00:11:50,520 --> 00:11:53,000 Speaker 6: a certain cost to the US government of that thing. 249 00:11:53,160 --> 00:11:56,960 Speaker 6: So if I'm charging someone US treasuries plus thirty seven 250 00:11:56,960 --> 00:11:58,800 Speaker 6: a half basis points, which is a lot of our 251 00:11:58,840 --> 00:12:02,760 Speaker 6: loans are at that rate, then the money I'm getting 252 00:12:02,760 --> 00:12:05,520 Speaker 6: in for the US Treasury bond coupon, I'm not viewing 253 00:12:05,520 --> 00:12:08,120 Speaker 6: as profit, right say, because that's just going back out 254 00:12:08,160 --> 00:12:10,600 Speaker 6: the tour to investor. So it's the thirty seven half 255 00:12:10,600 --> 00:12:13,040 Speaker 6: basis points that you know was coming in abovehand. 256 00:12:13,120 --> 00:12:13,280 Speaker 5: Right. 257 00:12:13,840 --> 00:12:17,400 Speaker 6: Separately, the US Congress gives us something called credit subsidy, 258 00:12:17,840 --> 00:12:19,920 Speaker 6: and what we use that for is to put a. 259 00:12:19,880 --> 00:12:21,160 Speaker 5: Loan loss reserve in place. 260 00:12:21,200 --> 00:12:24,640 Speaker 6: So I might say, like our average loan is rated 261 00:12:25,280 --> 00:12:27,880 Speaker 6: B minus, right, what you guys would call junk bonds. 262 00:12:28,200 --> 00:12:31,600 Speaker 6: So so like you know, by definition, when we issue 263 00:12:31,640 --> 00:12:35,080 Speaker 6: the loan, we are saying that it will likely have 264 00:12:35,200 --> 00:12:37,800 Speaker 6: a default right of let's say, maybe a twelve percent 265 00:12:38,160 --> 00:12:40,760 Speaker 6: risk of default or a twenty two percent risk of default, 266 00:12:40,800 --> 00:12:43,040 Speaker 6: but it's not a one percent risk of default. And 267 00:12:43,080 --> 00:12:45,240 Speaker 6: so then we put that much money to the side 268 00:12:45,240 --> 00:12:48,679 Speaker 6: and a loan loss reserve. So the Congress is saying, 269 00:12:49,120 --> 00:12:53,360 Speaker 6: you have this amount of money to quote unquote lose, right, 270 00:12:53,400 --> 00:12:55,240 Speaker 6: and that's the money that they. 271 00:12:55,120 --> 00:12:56,880 Speaker 5: Allocate through a budget process. 272 00:12:57,400 --> 00:13:01,440 Speaker 6: And what we've averaged today is that we put aside 273 00:13:01,559 --> 00:13:05,319 Speaker 6: five dollars in loan loss reserve for every dollar. 274 00:13:05,040 --> 00:13:07,520 Speaker 5: Of actually realized losses we've had. 275 00:13:07,520 --> 00:13:10,200 Speaker 6: So we put together roughly five billion dollars of loan 276 00:13:10,240 --> 00:13:12,559 Speaker 6: loss reserves and we've lost about one point zero three 277 00:13:12,679 --> 00:13:16,480 Speaker 6: billion total. And so from that perspective, that's you know, 278 00:13:16,559 --> 00:13:20,280 Speaker 6: four billion that the Congress gave us to quote unquote lose, 279 00:13:20,400 --> 00:13:22,720 Speaker 6: that we didn't lose, and that we returned back to 280 00:13:22,760 --> 00:13:26,200 Speaker 6: the taxpayer. So but I mean the other way I 281 00:13:26,200 --> 00:13:28,560 Speaker 6: think about it, right, So that's strictly answering your question. 282 00:13:28,880 --> 00:13:30,520 Speaker 6: But the other way I think about it is it 283 00:13:30,600 --> 00:13:34,000 Speaker 6: is clearly the case that Tesla is the best electric 284 00:13:34,080 --> 00:13:38,240 Speaker 6: vehicle company in the world, clearly, and they will fully 285 00:13:38,240 --> 00:13:40,000 Speaker 6: admit that there is no chance that they would have 286 00:13:40,040 --> 00:13:43,320 Speaker 6: gotten the metals off the ground without our loan. And 287 00:13:43,400 --> 00:13:47,559 Speaker 6: so what's it worth to dominate these industries into the future, 288 00:13:47,640 --> 00:13:50,600 Speaker 6: not just electric vehicles, which happened in the first generation there, 289 00:13:50,880 --> 00:13:54,400 Speaker 6: but in the future. Right when you look at methane pyrolysis, 290 00:13:55,320 --> 00:13:57,440 Speaker 6: what they do is they take natural gas, they split 291 00:13:57,480 --> 00:14:01,080 Speaker 6: it into hydrogen and carbon. Carbon black is something you 292 00:14:01,120 --> 00:14:04,800 Speaker 6: need to make tires, even electric vehicles used tires, and 293 00:14:04,880 --> 00:14:07,840 Speaker 6: so we need to use that, right and so right 294 00:14:07,840 --> 00:14:10,080 Speaker 6: now the largest exporter of carbon black in the world 295 00:14:10,120 --> 00:14:10,600 Speaker 6: is Russia. 296 00:14:11,040 --> 00:14:11,199 Speaker 5: Right. 297 00:14:11,280 --> 00:14:13,560 Speaker 6: If this works, which I'm pretty sure it will, we 298 00:14:13,640 --> 00:14:16,920 Speaker 6: will be the largest exporter of carbon black in the world. Right, 299 00:14:17,040 --> 00:14:19,840 Speaker 6: and that's a really important market for us to dominate. 300 00:14:19,960 --> 00:14:20,120 Speaker 5: Right. 301 00:14:20,200 --> 00:14:23,120 Speaker 6: So the question really is like, you know, yes, there's 302 00:14:24,160 --> 00:14:26,920 Speaker 6: you know, being good with taxpayer money, but the other 303 00:14:26,920 --> 00:14:28,880 Speaker 6: piece is actually reaching real outcomes. 304 00:14:29,400 --> 00:14:31,760 Speaker 1: All right, So we sort of we've covered in the 305 00:14:31,880 --> 00:14:35,400 Speaker 1: very broad strokes the bank that you basically run within 306 00:14:35,480 --> 00:14:38,120 Speaker 1: the Department of Energy. Zooming out is part of this 307 00:14:38,240 --> 00:14:41,440 Speaker 1: whole project. And we're here in Texas in Austin at 308 00:14:41,480 --> 00:14:44,840 Speaker 1: the Texas Tribune Festival. This is a state of course 309 00:14:44,960 --> 00:14:48,640 Speaker 1: where energy and the grid has been in the news 310 00:14:48,720 --> 00:14:49,880 Speaker 1: a lot in the last few years. 311 00:14:49,920 --> 00:14:51,400 Speaker 3: And it seems to me like when we think. 312 00:14:51,240 --> 00:14:53,160 Speaker 1: About the grid, well, a few years ago, most of 313 00:14:53,280 --> 00:14:54,440 Speaker 1: us weren't even thinking about the grid. 314 00:14:54,480 --> 00:14:56,240 Speaker 3: We just sort of took it for granted. It just worked. 315 00:14:56,560 --> 00:14:59,040 Speaker 1: Over the last few years in various states, we've had 316 00:14:59,080 --> 00:15:04,960 Speaker 1: these problems. People want right, cheap electricity, they want reliable 317 00:15:04,960 --> 00:15:07,880 Speaker 1: electricity and increasingly clean electricity. 318 00:15:08,080 --> 00:15:09,400 Speaker 3: Can we have all three? 319 00:15:10,400 --> 00:15:11,520 Speaker 5: We're delivering all three. 320 00:15:11,600 --> 00:15:15,600 Speaker 6: I mean, look at Texas, right, Texas is the like 321 00:15:15,720 --> 00:15:18,040 Speaker 6: ground zero here, right, You're talking about the state that 322 00:15:18,080 --> 00:15:21,160 Speaker 6: has installed more wind power and more solar power over 323 00:15:21,160 --> 00:15:23,520 Speaker 6: the last five years than any other place in the 324 00:15:23,680 --> 00:15:26,480 Speaker 6: entire country. I think it's number one in the country 325 00:15:26,480 --> 00:15:28,680 Speaker 6: and wind and number two in the country in solar, 326 00:15:28,720 --> 00:15:30,920 Speaker 6: and will be number one in the country in solar in. 327 00:15:30,880 --> 00:15:31,760 Speaker 5: Like eighteen months. 328 00:15:32,280 --> 00:15:34,680 Speaker 6: It's also number one in the country and on an 329 00:15:34,720 --> 00:15:38,920 Speaker 6: ongoing basis in installing battery storage, right. I mean, it's 330 00:15:38,960 --> 00:15:42,120 Speaker 6: also the one that's actually like, you know, piloting these 331 00:15:42,200 --> 00:15:46,160 Speaker 6: virtual power plants where there were Tesla Electric Company customers 332 00:15:46,160 --> 00:15:49,200 Speaker 6: this last summer who had like negative six hundred dollars 333 00:15:49,240 --> 00:15:53,000 Speaker 6: bills because they were selling power from their power walls 334 00:15:53,040 --> 00:15:55,360 Speaker 6: into the marketplace at five dollars a kilo an hour 335 00:15:55,400 --> 00:15:58,720 Speaker 6: when market prices dictated it, and so they were helping 336 00:15:58,760 --> 00:16:02,480 Speaker 6: their neighbors, right, And so that that is not allowed 337 00:16:02,480 --> 00:16:05,560 Speaker 6: in California, like that is allowed here. So when you 338 00:16:05,600 --> 00:16:09,440 Speaker 6: think about the level of innovation happening in Texas right now, 339 00:16:09,800 --> 00:16:12,400 Speaker 6: it is at an all time high. And you know, I 340 00:16:12,440 --> 00:16:15,640 Speaker 6: think that part of it is because Texas needs that 341 00:16:15,760 --> 00:16:19,320 Speaker 6: level of innovation, right, I mean, their natural gas fleet 342 00:16:19,400 --> 00:16:21,760 Speaker 6: didn't perform as well as they wanted it to during 343 00:16:21,960 --> 00:16:24,360 Speaker 6: you know, URI and then some of the other issues. 344 00:16:24,600 --> 00:16:28,080 Speaker 6: So they've recognized that they need to diversify where the 345 00:16:28,080 --> 00:16:30,080 Speaker 6: electricity comes from, which is why they're building so much 346 00:16:30,120 --> 00:16:33,600 Speaker 6: solar and wind. But also they've decided to put two 347 00:16:33,680 --> 00:16:37,680 Speaker 6: new semiconductor plants here in Texas. They have all this growth, 348 00:16:37,760 --> 00:16:40,480 Speaker 6: All these companies are deciding that Texas is where they 349 00:16:40,480 --> 00:16:43,320 Speaker 6: want to build stuff. If you fly into DFW Airport, 350 00:16:43,640 --> 00:16:46,040 Speaker 6: there's all these roads and you're like, where the house is. 351 00:16:46,280 --> 00:16:49,280 Speaker 6: They're coming in like the next eighteen months. There's so 352 00:16:49,400 --> 00:16:53,120 Speaker 6: much load growth here. So now the question really becomes like, 353 00:16:53,280 --> 00:16:56,280 Speaker 6: how do we build the grid of the future. And 354 00:16:56,320 --> 00:16:59,680 Speaker 6: they're figuring that out here in Texas. It's pretty exciting. 355 00:17:00,240 --> 00:17:02,920 Speaker 4: Well, setting the great state of Texas aside, and we 356 00:17:03,000 --> 00:17:05,199 Speaker 4: are recording this live in Austin, so I feel like 357 00:17:05,280 --> 00:17:06,720 Speaker 4: I should describe it that way. 358 00:17:07,560 --> 00:17:08,679 Speaker 2: Setting Texas aside. 359 00:17:08,720 --> 00:17:11,760 Speaker 4: I mean, it is true that you have seen demands 360 00:17:11,880 --> 00:17:15,239 Speaker 4: on the grid rise, and in particular, I think I 361 00:17:15,280 --> 00:17:18,359 Speaker 4: saw a statistic saying that something there was a forty 362 00:17:18,400 --> 00:17:22,760 Speaker 4: percent increase in the amount of grid connection applications in 363 00:17:22,840 --> 00:17:25,399 Speaker 4: twenty twenty two alone, And a lot of this is 364 00:17:25,400 --> 00:17:29,840 Speaker 4: coming from you know renewable solar wind that need electricity 365 00:17:29,880 --> 00:17:31,719 Speaker 4: and want to feed it back into the grid. 366 00:17:32,119 --> 00:17:34,080 Speaker 2: How do you solve that problem? 367 00:17:34,359 --> 00:17:35,879 Speaker 6: Let me back it up for a second and then 368 00:17:36,000 --> 00:17:38,800 Speaker 6: like explain to you what's you know, where the friction 369 00:17:38,880 --> 00:17:40,359 Speaker 6: points are, and then maybe we can talk about how 370 00:17:40,359 --> 00:17:44,040 Speaker 6: we solve it. So, in general, you've got three major 371 00:17:44,119 --> 00:17:48,480 Speaker 6: pieces here, right, You've got generation of electricity. You've got 372 00:17:48,560 --> 00:17:51,679 Speaker 6: the transportation of the electricity to your home or business 373 00:17:51,800 --> 00:17:54,880 Speaker 6: or whatever is the transmission distribution grid. And then you've 374 00:17:54,920 --> 00:17:57,760 Speaker 6: got the load itself, right, and so you've got a 375 00:17:57,760 --> 00:18:01,240 Speaker 6: lot of load growth from new manufacturing facilities being announced 376 00:18:01,240 --> 00:18:04,200 Speaker 6: because of the Inflation Reduction Act. You've got electric vehicles 377 00:18:04,240 --> 00:18:06,680 Speaker 6: being added to the grid at record numbers. You've got 378 00:18:06,880 --> 00:18:10,440 Speaker 6: heat pumps, all these other things. Right, So the main 379 00:18:10,520 --> 00:18:12,880 Speaker 6: thing that I think you're asking about is the transmission grid. 380 00:18:13,119 --> 00:18:14,439 Speaker 6: So you've got a whole bunch of people. 381 00:18:14,560 --> 00:18:16,159 Speaker 2: Wait, can we back up for a second. What's the 382 00:18:16,200 --> 00:18:18,200 Speaker 2: difference between transmission and distribution. 383 00:18:19,160 --> 00:18:22,399 Speaker 6: So the transmission grid is generally at much higher voltages 384 00:18:22,480 --> 00:18:26,960 Speaker 6: and you're transporting power long distances from where you know, 385 00:18:27,080 --> 00:18:28,840 Speaker 6: like the Panhandle of Texas where they have a lot 386 00:18:28,840 --> 00:18:30,000 Speaker 6: of wind down. 387 00:18:29,760 --> 00:18:30,960 Speaker 5: Here to populated centers. 388 00:18:31,040 --> 00:18:34,439 Speaker 6: Right, the distribution grid is what's in your neighborhood and 389 00:18:34,640 --> 00:18:38,919 Speaker 6: is you know, basically having to manage, you know, making. 390 00:18:38,640 --> 00:18:41,440 Speaker 5: Sure that you have power for your four heir amp service. 391 00:18:41,200 --> 00:18:44,359 Speaker 6: Because if you plug in fifteen electric cars at the 392 00:18:44,400 --> 00:18:46,919 Speaker 6: same time, then the distribution grid has to either be 393 00:18:46,920 --> 00:18:50,320 Speaker 6: able to handle it or be able to throttle the 394 00:18:50,520 --> 00:18:54,000 Speaker 6: amps to each home so that the distribution grid doesn't 395 00:18:54,040 --> 00:18:55,000 Speaker 6: you know, get overloaded. 396 00:18:55,400 --> 00:18:58,640 Speaker 4: So what are the issues sort of facing the transmission 397 00:18:58,840 --> 00:18:59,959 Speaker 4: aspect of the grid at the moment. 398 00:19:00,680 --> 00:19:03,879 Speaker 6: So basically what happens is is that you know, someone says, 399 00:19:03,920 --> 00:19:06,439 Speaker 6: I've got a fantastic piece of land. I think I 400 00:19:06,440 --> 00:19:08,800 Speaker 6: can put wind power on it or solar power. Mostly 401 00:19:08,800 --> 00:19:11,240 Speaker 6: it's solar these days, there's a lot less wind in 402 00:19:11,280 --> 00:19:14,280 Speaker 6: that transmission queue and they say, great, you know, like 403 00:19:14,400 --> 00:19:16,920 Speaker 6: I'd like to apply to be able to use. 404 00:19:16,840 --> 00:19:19,320 Speaker 5: That transmission line. Now, there's. 405 00:19:20,600 --> 00:19:23,119 Speaker 6: Many different regions of the country, and each one of 406 00:19:23,119 --> 00:19:26,520 Speaker 6: them does it differently. Texas is arguably the best region 407 00:19:26,600 --> 00:19:29,040 Speaker 6: for this, and so what they do is they check 408 00:19:29,119 --> 00:19:31,720 Speaker 6: to make sure it'll be safe so when you connect 409 00:19:31,760 --> 00:19:34,119 Speaker 6: it to the grid, it won't actually make the grid 410 00:19:34,240 --> 00:19:37,400 Speaker 6: like unstable and you know, and then take something down 411 00:19:37,440 --> 00:19:40,680 Speaker 6: so they'll check that, But then they don't actually check 412 00:19:41,160 --> 00:19:43,080 Speaker 6: necessarily that there's capacity for you. 413 00:19:43,560 --> 00:19:45,360 Speaker 5: They sort of say you. 414 00:19:45,280 --> 00:19:48,000 Speaker 6: Should just interconnect, and if there's too much on the 415 00:19:48,000 --> 00:19:50,360 Speaker 6: grid any one time, we're gonna tell you to curtail. 416 00:19:50,560 --> 00:19:52,480 Speaker 6: So we're gonna tell you to shut off. And you know, 417 00:19:52,480 --> 00:19:54,600 Speaker 6: you can imagine you're not making any money when you 418 00:19:54,600 --> 00:19:57,400 Speaker 6: shut off, right, and so but Texas is like, that's 419 00:19:57,440 --> 00:20:01,120 Speaker 6: your problem, like you know, and then separ they actually 420 00:20:02,280 --> 00:20:07,000 Speaker 6: calculate really well what the loss to rate payers are 421 00:20:07,280 --> 00:20:11,720 Speaker 6: for that congestion. Right, So if there's not enough transmission capacity, 422 00:20:11,800 --> 00:20:14,200 Speaker 6: then the coal plant that's next to somebody's house has 423 00:20:14,240 --> 00:20:16,880 Speaker 6: to turn on and be used more. That's more expensive. 424 00:20:16,920 --> 00:20:20,240 Speaker 6: They say, Oh, if there was enough transmission capacity, then 425 00:20:20,440 --> 00:20:23,160 Speaker 6: that would have been cheaper and better, right, And then 426 00:20:23,240 --> 00:20:26,639 Speaker 6: that's what they justify paying Encore, which does a lot 427 00:20:26,680 --> 00:20:30,040 Speaker 6: of the transmission distribution, to be able to build new transmission. 428 00:20:30,040 --> 00:20:33,119 Speaker 6: They're like, well, the congestion charges were so large that 429 00:20:33,160 --> 00:20:36,120 Speaker 6: we should build new transmission to make sure that people. 430 00:20:35,960 --> 00:20:37,480 Speaker 5: Have lower bills. 431 00:20:37,760 --> 00:20:41,640 Speaker 6: So that is the ideal situation, and that's what Texas does, 432 00:20:41,680 --> 00:20:44,040 Speaker 6: and you get a lot more movement. I mean, even 433 00:20:44,040 --> 00:20:46,440 Speaker 6: Texas is clogged up just because there's so many applications, 434 00:20:46,440 --> 00:20:50,439 Speaker 6: but they're the fastest. But places like the Northeast, or 435 00:20:50,440 --> 00:20:52,800 Speaker 6: the mid Atlantic States or the Midwest States, I mean 436 00:20:52,840 --> 00:20:55,879 Speaker 6: people are actually waiting like four to five years to 437 00:20:55,960 --> 00:20:59,840 Speaker 6: get permission to interconnect because in those states they largely say, well, 438 00:20:59,880 --> 00:21:02,440 Speaker 6: we we want to know that there's actually a piece 439 00:21:02,480 --> 00:21:05,840 Speaker 6: of transmission that's available for you. So we're waiting for 440 00:21:05,920 --> 00:21:09,080 Speaker 6: this coal plant to cease operations with this natural gas 441 00:21:09,080 --> 00:21:12,320 Speaker 6: plan before we allocate that transmission for you, because we 442 00:21:12,320 --> 00:21:15,320 Speaker 6: don't want to do this curtailment thing. And so as 443 00:21:15,320 --> 00:21:18,960 Speaker 6: a result, we we have twelve hundred megawatts twelve hundred 444 00:21:19,000 --> 00:21:22,400 Speaker 6: gigawatts of like roughly like of generation. 445 00:21:22,080 --> 00:21:22,720 Speaker 5: In this country. 446 00:21:23,320 --> 00:21:26,639 Speaker 6: We have the same amount twelve hundred gigawatts waiting in 447 00:21:26,720 --> 00:21:29,760 Speaker 6: queues for permission to be added to the grid right now. 448 00:21:29,800 --> 00:21:30,000 Speaker 5: Wow. 449 00:21:30,320 --> 00:21:34,000 Speaker 1: As soon as the Inflation Reduction Act passed and everyone 450 00:21:34,080 --> 00:21:37,040 Speaker 1: got really excited about all of this new energy that 451 00:21:37,160 --> 00:21:39,480 Speaker 1: was going to be in a wind and solar, et cetera, 452 00:21:39,800 --> 00:21:42,520 Speaker 1: then immediately people started saying, oh, but we don't have 453 00:21:42,560 --> 00:21:45,120 Speaker 1: the transmission capacity, and then there was this big fight 454 00:21:45,160 --> 00:21:47,600 Speaker 1: we need permitting reform, and we need that because that's 455 00:21:47,600 --> 00:21:50,199 Speaker 1: the only way otherwise we're gonna have all this stranded energy. Like, 456 00:21:50,480 --> 00:21:54,640 Speaker 1: are we at risk of having a bunch of government 457 00:21:54,880 --> 00:21:58,960 Speaker 1: subsidized or government influenced energy that ultimately does not make 458 00:21:59,000 --> 00:22:00,959 Speaker 1: it onto the grid because of some other fight that 459 00:22:01,000 --> 00:22:02,320 Speaker 1: hasn't gotten taken care of. 460 00:22:02,359 --> 00:22:06,359 Speaker 6: You, So let me answer that question from the other side, Okay, 461 00:22:06,880 --> 00:22:09,760 Speaker 6: but I will answer it. I think that in general, 462 00:22:09,840 --> 00:22:11,920 Speaker 6: the question is why does any of this stuff matter? 463 00:22:12,640 --> 00:22:14,400 Speaker 5: Right? Like, I mean, why do you. 464 00:22:14,400 --> 00:22:18,240 Speaker 6: Care rather we actually interconnect all this sore and wind 465 00:22:18,359 --> 00:22:21,919 Speaker 6: or new nuclear plants or a geothermal facility? You know, 466 00:22:21,960 --> 00:22:25,560 Speaker 6: we want to relcense thirty seven gigawatts of hydro dams 467 00:22:25,600 --> 00:22:28,280 Speaker 6: that are like from nineteen ten, Right, why do we 468 00:22:28,320 --> 00:22:28,800 Speaker 6: even care? 469 00:22:29,280 --> 00:22:32,920 Speaker 5: It's because everybody wants to use chat GBT. Right. 470 00:22:33,000 --> 00:22:38,200 Speaker 6: Chat GBT is ten thousand megawatts of compute power by itself. 471 00:22:38,480 --> 00:22:40,560 Speaker 6: Now you add like Google and all this other stuff, 472 00:22:40,560 --> 00:22:41,880 Speaker 6: and then people want to let. 473 00:22:41,800 --> 00:22:43,520 Speaker 5: Your cars they like it. 474 00:22:43,600 --> 00:22:45,560 Speaker 6: You know, like my son yells at the car in 475 00:22:45,560 --> 00:22:47,399 Speaker 6: front of me because it's like they have a tailpipe. 476 00:22:47,560 --> 00:22:50,520 Speaker 3: My daughter, you know, help my daughter does That's how. 477 00:22:50,440 --> 00:22:53,119 Speaker 5: It is right. So that's why we care about this stuff. 478 00:22:53,160 --> 00:22:55,199 Speaker 6: Like, we're not doing it because we're trying to like 479 00:22:55,280 --> 00:22:58,800 Speaker 6: just make everything more complicated. We're doing this because Americans 480 00:22:58,880 --> 00:23:03,280 Speaker 6: believe that using more electricity makes their life better. Right, 481 00:23:03,359 --> 00:23:06,320 Speaker 6: whether it's like storing photos that they probably should delete, 482 00:23:06,359 --> 00:23:08,399 Speaker 6: but they're going to keep them around anyway, right, and 483 00:23:08,400 --> 00:23:10,960 Speaker 6: then paying like Apple another dollar niney nine a month. 484 00:23:11,240 --> 00:23:14,320 Speaker 5: Right, That's that's why we care about this stuff. Right. 485 00:23:14,560 --> 00:23:17,840 Speaker 6: So now the question becomes like, if we all care 486 00:23:17,880 --> 00:23:21,000 Speaker 6: about this enough, right, if we all want this enough, 487 00:23:21,560 --> 00:23:23,439 Speaker 6: what are we willing to do to accelerate it? 488 00:23:23,920 --> 00:23:24,080 Speaker 5: Right? 489 00:23:24,160 --> 00:23:27,640 Speaker 6: So you've got permitting, You've got the National Environmental Protection Act, 490 00:23:27,680 --> 00:23:29,919 Speaker 6: and so people talk about NEPA and all this other stuff, 491 00:23:30,200 --> 00:23:34,000 Speaker 6: and so do we want to make this stuff easier? 492 00:23:34,400 --> 00:23:34,560 Speaker 5: Right? 493 00:23:34,600 --> 00:23:37,320 Speaker 6: And you've got Bill McKibben, who wrote a big article 494 00:23:37,359 --> 00:23:39,359 Speaker 6: about saying it's time to build. I mean, this is 495 00:23:39,400 --> 00:23:41,879 Speaker 6: the guy who led the movement to like kill the 496 00:23:41,880 --> 00:23:46,000 Speaker 6: Excel pipeline, right, and so even he's saying like we 497 00:23:46,119 --> 00:23:48,639 Speaker 6: sort of need to build, right, And so now the 498 00:23:49,160 --> 00:23:51,760 Speaker 6: question really becomes how do we build, and how do 499 00:23:51,800 --> 00:23:53,719 Speaker 6: we do it in a way that's equitable, that like 500 00:23:53,760 --> 00:23:55,840 Speaker 6: make sure that we're you know, paying people a fair 501 00:23:55,880 --> 00:23:59,119 Speaker 6: wage and all these other things. And what we're looking 502 00:23:59,160 --> 00:24:03,280 Speaker 6: at doing is, like you know, is figuring out how 503 00:24:03,320 --> 00:24:06,520 Speaker 6: we actually like check to make sure that things. 504 00:24:06,359 --> 00:24:08,680 Speaker 5: That we really care about are checked. Right. 505 00:24:08,760 --> 00:24:11,520 Speaker 6: We don't want to like, you know, just gloss over 506 00:24:11,680 --> 00:24:13,920 Speaker 6: things and just say, ah, whatever, we should just lower 507 00:24:13,920 --> 00:24:16,920 Speaker 6: our standards. We're just saying that we might be applying 508 00:24:16,960 --> 00:24:21,200 Speaker 6: the standards in an incorrect way for certain projects, right, 509 00:24:21,200 --> 00:24:24,760 Speaker 6: because certain projects really don't have the level of toxicity 510 00:24:25,160 --> 00:24:29,320 Speaker 6: within air pollution issues or local impacts or the things, 511 00:24:29,320 --> 00:24:32,680 Speaker 6: and certain projects maintain those things right, like bring chemical 512 00:24:32,680 --> 00:24:34,800 Speaker 6: plants or some of these other things, And so we 513 00:24:34,840 --> 00:24:36,679 Speaker 6: just need to be more appropriate in the way in 514 00:24:36,720 --> 00:24:39,000 Speaker 6: which we implement those rules. 515 00:24:39,080 --> 00:24:39,240 Speaker 5: Right. 516 00:24:39,280 --> 00:24:41,560 Speaker 6: So that's one piece of it. The other piece of 517 00:24:41,600 --> 00:24:44,560 Speaker 6: it is, you know, we need to do things differently. 518 00:24:44,680 --> 00:24:48,840 Speaker 6: Right for a long time, for twenty years, we have 519 00:24:48,920 --> 00:24:51,920 Speaker 6: not had load growth in this country. Right, So we 520 00:24:51,960 --> 00:24:55,600 Speaker 6: basically sell the same number of tarra wade hours today 521 00:24:55,920 --> 00:24:57,840 Speaker 6: that we did in two thousand and three. And largely 522 00:24:57,920 --> 00:24:58,679 Speaker 6: that's because. 523 00:24:58,560 --> 00:25:01,080 Speaker 1: There's a good reason that no one WI really paid 524 00:25:01,160 --> 00:25:02,320 Speaker 1: much attention to this stuff. 525 00:25:02,320 --> 00:25:03,439 Speaker 3: There just wasn't the need for it. 526 00:25:03,480 --> 00:25:05,080 Speaker 6: There was no need for it, right, I see. But 527 00:25:05,240 --> 00:25:07,960 Speaker 6: now everyone is like, oh my god, we got to 528 00:25:08,000 --> 00:25:11,359 Speaker 6: grow again. That's a lot, right. But the beauty is 529 00:25:11,400 --> 00:25:13,960 Speaker 6: we actually have solutions to all of it. Like the 530 00:25:14,400 --> 00:25:17,280 Speaker 6: crazy thing is, like I'll like on the grid, right, 531 00:25:17,680 --> 00:25:20,680 Speaker 6: there are all these things called grid enhancing technologies. 532 00:25:20,880 --> 00:25:21,760 Speaker 5: I'll give you an example. 533 00:25:21,800 --> 00:25:24,800 Speaker 6: Like the grid basically is operated by slide roll and 534 00:25:24,840 --> 00:25:28,840 Speaker 6: so people say this, this thing basically has three thousand 535 00:25:28,880 --> 00:25:29,840 Speaker 6: megawats capacity. 536 00:25:30,200 --> 00:25:32,840 Speaker 5: Right, That's actually not true, right. 537 00:25:32,880 --> 00:25:36,560 Speaker 6: What's true is that it the capacity changes based on 538 00:25:36,600 --> 00:25:37,800 Speaker 6: the temperature outside. 539 00:25:38,080 --> 00:25:39,240 Speaker 5: Right, So there's less. 540 00:25:39,000 --> 00:25:41,720 Speaker 6: Capacity when it's like one hundred and two degrees outside, way, 541 00:25:41,760 --> 00:25:43,919 Speaker 6: more capacity when the it's forty five degrees. Right, So 542 00:25:43,960 --> 00:25:46,640 Speaker 6: you can put in dynamic load ratings. Right, guess who 543 00:25:46,680 --> 00:25:50,040 Speaker 6: does that? Everybody but the United States? Right, and so, 544 00:25:50,119 --> 00:25:53,119 Speaker 6: and we invented it. So the UK is fully deployed it, 545 00:25:53,119 --> 00:25:56,320 Speaker 6: Belgium is fully deployed, all these other Brazil, India, Everyone's 546 00:25:56,359 --> 00:25:58,560 Speaker 6: doing this stuff except for us. So, like this is 547 00:25:58,560 --> 00:26:00,960 Speaker 6: what I was saying. We have all the entrepreneurs who 548 00:26:01,000 --> 00:26:04,240 Speaker 6: invented all this stuff, and we didn't deploy it here. 549 00:26:04,840 --> 00:26:07,560 Speaker 6: We let them go overseas to deploy it right there? 550 00:26:07,680 --> 00:26:09,720 Speaker 2: Why it seems like a slam dunk. 551 00:26:09,920 --> 00:26:14,000 Speaker 6: Why why not impediment So like PPL was on a 552 00:26:14,040 --> 00:26:17,000 Speaker 6: podcast the other day, which is Pennsylvania Powered Light, and 553 00:26:17,040 --> 00:26:19,280 Speaker 6: they were saying, you know, basically they had this thing 554 00:26:19,320 --> 00:26:20,840 Speaker 6: where they had to solve it. So they put in 555 00:26:20,920 --> 00:26:23,440 Speaker 6: dynamic lotter rings. It was only like nine hundred thousand 556 00:26:23,440 --> 00:26:26,000 Speaker 6: dollars to do it, but it saved fifty million dollars 557 00:26:26,000 --> 00:26:27,919 Speaker 6: of upgrades. And they were like, we make money to 558 00:26:27,960 --> 00:26:31,919 Speaker 6: deploy dollars, Like this was a terrible decision for our shareholders. 559 00:26:32,240 --> 00:26:34,240 Speaker 6: We did it because there was no other way for 560 00:26:34,320 --> 00:26:35,879 Speaker 6: us to upgrade that line, and we had a customer 561 00:26:35,920 --> 00:26:39,639 Speaker 6: that really needed it. And so to upgrade the entire 562 00:26:40,000 --> 00:26:43,320 Speaker 6: United States of America with grate enhancing technologies to unlock 563 00:26:43,440 --> 00:26:47,359 Speaker 6: thirty percent more transmission capacity would cost a total of 564 00:26:47,400 --> 00:26:51,520 Speaker 6: three billion dollars. Let's do it, right, But like, but 565 00:26:51,640 --> 00:26:55,120 Speaker 6: you have, but you, but but you have like all 566 00:26:55,160 --> 00:26:58,360 Speaker 6: these competing interests of people who are like, but Jigger, 567 00:26:58,400 --> 00:27:01,080 Speaker 6: I was gonna spend twenty three billion dollars to upgrade 568 00:27:01,080 --> 00:27:03,400 Speaker 6: the transmission grade that was going to be rate based 569 00:27:03,440 --> 00:27:05,480 Speaker 6: for my shareholders. Why would I want the three billion, 570 00:27:05,720 --> 00:27:08,439 Speaker 6: But you know what, all of that is evaporating away 571 00:27:08,480 --> 00:27:11,280 Speaker 6: today because they're all just saying, we can't. 572 00:27:11,160 --> 00:27:12,280 Speaker 5: Keep up with load growth. 573 00:27:12,560 --> 00:27:15,720 Speaker 6: So we'll do the three billion, and we'll invest even 574 00:27:15,760 --> 00:27:18,400 Speaker 6: more money because a lot of our stuff's fifty years old, 575 00:27:18,440 --> 00:27:20,640 Speaker 6: so we kind of have to like replace it anyway. 576 00:27:21,000 --> 00:27:24,640 Speaker 6: And so all of these traditional like loggerheads that we've 577 00:27:24,680 --> 00:27:27,960 Speaker 6: been at for twenty years is really going away because 578 00:27:27,960 --> 00:27:29,399 Speaker 6: people know that we need both. 579 00:27:30,240 --> 00:27:32,240 Speaker 4: I'm going to take a queue from a member of 580 00:27:32,280 --> 00:27:34,760 Speaker 4: the audience and ask, like, how much interest do you 581 00:27:34,840 --> 00:27:38,280 Speaker 4: see from the utilities themselves when it comes to your 582 00:27:38,440 --> 00:27:39,200 Speaker 4: loan program? 583 00:27:39,240 --> 00:27:41,040 Speaker 2: Are they knocking at your door? Is there still a 584 00:27:41,080 --> 00:27:41,840 Speaker 2: lot of reticence? 585 00:27:42,560 --> 00:27:45,560 Speaker 6: So when this when the Inflation Reduction Act first passed, 586 00:27:45,640 --> 00:27:49,080 Speaker 6: we got this you know, energy refurbishment sort of program, 587 00:27:49,440 --> 00:27:51,560 Speaker 6: and you know, I reached out to them all and 588 00:27:51,600 --> 00:27:54,440 Speaker 6: they said, Jigger, we can raise money ourselves. We don't 589 00:27:54,440 --> 00:27:56,080 Speaker 6: need to use your program. We're never, never going to 590 00:27:56,160 --> 00:27:58,560 Speaker 6: use your program. Then I was able to like recruit 591 00:27:58,640 --> 00:28:01,639 Speaker 6: Leslie Rich, who's the most stock analysts on Wall Street 592 00:28:01,840 --> 00:28:04,520 Speaker 6: for the electric utility industry from JP Morgan to come 593 00:28:04,560 --> 00:28:07,560 Speaker 6: run the program and like, suddenly I've got like fifty 594 00:28:07,560 --> 00:28:09,879 Speaker 6: eight billion dollars with a loan applications in the loan 595 00:28:09,960 --> 00:28:12,679 Speaker 6: program's office. So you know, people really do matter, and 596 00:28:12,760 --> 00:28:15,720 Speaker 6: so she's been able to convince them. She's like, well, 597 00:28:15,760 --> 00:28:18,400 Speaker 6: you know, you kind of are a soft rate cap. 598 00:28:18,440 --> 00:28:20,359 Speaker 6: You can't keep raising rates ten percent a year and 599 00:28:20,400 --> 00:28:23,080 Speaker 6: continue to like have a social license in your state, 600 00:28:23,200 --> 00:28:25,680 Speaker 6: like you should actually figure out how to reduce rates 601 00:28:25,680 --> 00:28:29,119 Speaker 6: for rate payers. And so the arguments are like, you know, 602 00:28:29,200 --> 00:28:32,359 Speaker 6: filtering through. People are having these conversations. I do think 603 00:28:32,440 --> 00:28:37,399 Speaker 6: that for sure, in twenty nineteen, people were not serious 604 00:28:37,520 --> 00:28:39,680 Speaker 6: about the fact that we might have load growth again. 605 00:28:40,120 --> 00:28:42,920 Speaker 6: Even when the Inflation Reduction Act passed. It's not clear 606 00:28:42,920 --> 00:28:46,800 Speaker 6: to me that people really had internalized it. Today, no 607 00:28:46,880 --> 00:28:51,520 Speaker 6: matter where I go, people are actually actively interested in 608 00:28:51,640 --> 00:28:55,600 Speaker 6: learning about how they should do things differently within the 609 00:28:55,680 --> 00:29:00,880 Speaker 6: utility sector in all three areas, right, So generationsmission distribution, 610 00:29:01,360 --> 00:29:04,200 Speaker 6: and what we call virtual power plants, which is actually 611 00:29:04,640 --> 00:29:07,920 Speaker 6: you know, flexing demand with the same level of dexterity 612 00:29:07,920 --> 00:29:09,479 Speaker 6: that we currently only flex supply. 613 00:29:10,200 --> 00:29:12,640 Speaker 4: I definitely want to talk about virtual power plants, but 614 00:29:13,040 --> 00:29:16,360 Speaker 4: since you mentioned electricity rates just then, I mean both 615 00:29:16,440 --> 00:29:19,280 Speaker 4: Joe and I live in New York. We are the 616 00:29:19,360 --> 00:29:23,160 Speaker 4: slaves of con Edison in some respect. And every year, 617 00:29:23,400 --> 00:29:26,440 Speaker 4: it seems con Edison will announce a rate hike, and 618 00:29:26,480 --> 00:29:29,040 Speaker 4: a lot of that goes into not necessarily the price 619 00:29:29,040 --> 00:29:32,400 Speaker 4: of electricity, but the distribution costs. And I think that's 620 00:29:32,400 --> 00:29:34,360 Speaker 4: been a trend for a few years where you know, 621 00:29:34,600 --> 00:29:38,920 Speaker 4: actual load demand or consumption of electricity has been pretty stable, 622 00:29:39,240 --> 00:29:41,840 Speaker 4: but distribution costs have gone up and up. Can you 623 00:29:41,840 --> 00:29:44,720 Speaker 4: explain what's happening with that dynamic and how you know 624 00:29:44,760 --> 00:29:47,400 Speaker 4: the DOE can help with that aspect of it. 625 00:29:47,880 --> 00:29:51,560 Speaker 6: Yeah, so let me start from first principles and then 626 00:29:51,600 --> 00:29:55,640 Speaker 6: I'll answer your question directly. So in two thousand, right, 627 00:29:55,640 --> 00:30:00,440 Speaker 6: the National Academy of Sciences said, you know, the most 628 00:30:00,520 --> 00:30:04,920 Speaker 6: important machine in the whole world was the electric utility grid, 629 00:30:05,000 --> 00:30:07,520 Speaker 6: right of the twentieth century. Right, And so they got 630 00:30:07,520 --> 00:30:10,720 Speaker 6: this award for you know, the best engineering marvel of 631 00:30:10,720 --> 00:30:11,520 Speaker 6: the twentieth century. 632 00:30:11,600 --> 00:30:11,760 Speaker 5: Right. 633 00:30:12,280 --> 00:30:15,240 Speaker 6: This engineering marvel has cost us over at trillion dollars 634 00:30:15,520 --> 00:30:19,040 Speaker 6: to build right over time, and we use it forty 635 00:30:19,080 --> 00:30:19,840 Speaker 6: percent of the time. 636 00:30:20,240 --> 00:30:21,640 Speaker 5: So, if you're a private center. 637 00:30:21,480 --> 00:30:24,880 Speaker 6: Company, which some of these utilities are, and you have 638 00:30:24,960 --> 00:30:27,040 Speaker 6: a machine that you built, a cost a trillion dollars 639 00:30:27,360 --> 00:30:29,200 Speaker 6: and you only use it forty percent of time. You'd 640 00:30:29,240 --> 00:30:34,160 Speaker 6: be like, usually we're trying to maximize the like operational like, 641 00:30:34,240 --> 00:30:36,760 Speaker 6: you know, capacity utilization of this machine. 642 00:30:36,760 --> 00:30:38,360 Speaker 5: We spend a trillion dollars on it, we should use 643 00:30:38,360 --> 00:30:39,560 Speaker 5: it more, right, So. 644 00:30:39,520 --> 00:30:41,920 Speaker 6: The reason they don't use it more is when air 645 00:30:41,920 --> 00:30:45,200 Speaker 6: conditioning came in in the nineteen seventies, right, then you 646 00:30:45,280 --> 00:30:47,960 Speaker 6: had this peak, right, so whenever you have a hot day, 647 00:30:48,000 --> 00:30:50,400 Speaker 6: you have its peak. And so they built the transmission 648 00:30:50,440 --> 00:30:52,760 Speaker 6: distribution grid to handle air conditioning. They built a bunch 649 00:30:52,760 --> 00:30:55,760 Speaker 6: of natural gas peaker plants to be able to power 650 00:30:55,800 --> 00:31:00,520 Speaker 6: that air conditioning. And so the peak to trough youation, 651 00:31:00,880 --> 00:31:03,720 Speaker 6: like has gone bigger. Right, So now you're using one 652 00:31:03,800 --> 00:31:06,280 Speaker 6: hundred units of energy at the top and you're using 653 00:31:06,360 --> 00:31:08,160 Speaker 6: like twenty five units of energy at the bottom. 654 00:31:08,280 --> 00:31:08,480 Speaker 5: Right. 655 00:31:08,880 --> 00:31:14,040 Speaker 6: And so what they have said to homeowners or you 656 00:31:14,040 --> 00:31:17,520 Speaker 6: know condo owners or you know renters, is you can 657 00:31:17,560 --> 00:31:20,920 Speaker 6: do whatever you want with your demand, and we will 658 00:31:20,960 --> 00:31:22,440 Speaker 6: make sure that the lights work. 659 00:31:22,920 --> 00:31:23,160 Speaker 5: Right. 660 00:31:23,800 --> 00:31:27,920 Speaker 6: That's really expensive, right, So every time you buy something, 661 00:31:27,960 --> 00:31:32,000 Speaker 6: whether it's a hair dryer or an espresso machine or whatever, 662 00:31:32,040 --> 00:31:34,520 Speaker 6: it is they have to upgrade the service to make 663 00:31:34,560 --> 00:31:36,360 Speaker 6: sure that if all of you turn it on at 664 00:31:36,400 --> 00:31:38,560 Speaker 6: the same time, or some reasonable amount of you turn 665 00:31:38,600 --> 00:31:40,960 Speaker 6: at the same time, then you can be accommodated. 666 00:31:41,200 --> 00:31:41,400 Speaker 5: Right. 667 00:31:41,680 --> 00:31:44,320 Speaker 6: The other way for them to do that is to say, 668 00:31:44,680 --> 00:31:47,560 Speaker 6: there are some loads that you just don't care about, right, 669 00:31:47,720 --> 00:31:51,160 Speaker 6: Like your water heater. You don't really care whether your 670 00:31:51,200 --> 00:31:53,480 Speaker 6: water heater turns on right after you finished taking a 671 00:31:53,480 --> 00:31:56,040 Speaker 6: shower or whether it turns on like six hours later 672 00:31:56,080 --> 00:31:58,680 Speaker 6: when there's excess capacity in the grid. And a lot 673 00:31:58,680 --> 00:32:02,040 Speaker 6: of real electric co ops have controlled those water heaters 674 00:32:02,080 --> 00:32:05,040 Speaker 6: for thirty years, so it's not new technology. But like 675 00:32:05,120 --> 00:32:08,800 Speaker 6: if you flatten the load, right and you shift like 676 00:32:09,080 --> 00:32:11,080 Speaker 6: you know. And the reason this is coming back in 677 00:32:11,120 --> 00:32:14,520 Speaker 6: a big way right now is because of electric vehicles. Right, Like, 678 00:32:15,360 --> 00:32:18,440 Speaker 6: most people who have electric vehicles, they plug in their 679 00:32:18,440 --> 00:32:20,440 Speaker 6: car when they come home from work or school or whatever, 680 00:32:20,840 --> 00:32:23,320 Speaker 6: and they leave it plugged in for thirteen hours, but 681 00:32:23,400 --> 00:32:26,360 Speaker 6: it's only charging for three of those thirteen hours, right, 682 00:32:26,600 --> 00:32:29,840 Speaker 6: So people don't really care which three hours they're charging 683 00:32:30,200 --> 00:32:32,400 Speaker 6: as long as it's charged by the time they wake 684 00:32:32,480 --> 00:32:33,000 Speaker 6: up in the morning. 685 00:32:33,120 --> 00:32:33,280 Speaker 5: Right. 686 00:32:33,600 --> 00:32:37,000 Speaker 6: And so people are like, oh, like, we can actually 687 00:32:37,040 --> 00:32:40,960 Speaker 6: accommodate a lot more electric vehicles if we do manage charging. 688 00:32:41,480 --> 00:32:44,400 Speaker 6: And so now once you open that door, well, now 689 00:32:44,400 --> 00:32:47,320 Speaker 6: you've got to allow water heaters and thermostats and all 690 00:32:47,360 --> 00:32:49,120 Speaker 6: sorts of other stuff that you have an app for 691 00:32:49,280 --> 00:32:52,400 Speaker 6: on your phone right to be able to manage charging. 692 00:32:52,440 --> 00:32:56,040 Speaker 6: And so so the old paradigm was that kan ED 693 00:32:56,360 --> 00:32:59,760 Speaker 6: just upgraded the distribution circuit every time you found some 694 00:33:00,240 --> 00:33:03,400 Speaker 6: new thing that you want to buy. And now we're saying, ah, 695 00:33:03,440 --> 00:33:06,160 Speaker 6: that's kind of getting expensive. You should actually do managed 696 00:33:06,400 --> 00:33:21,720 Speaker 6: you know, charge. 697 00:33:23,120 --> 00:33:26,120 Speaker 1: So we're about halfway done with our time with you here, 698 00:33:26,160 --> 00:33:27,680 Speaker 1: and I want to like get into like some of 699 00:33:27,720 --> 00:33:30,080 Speaker 1: the specific source of generation. We should talk a little 700 00:33:30,080 --> 00:33:32,120 Speaker 1: wind and nuclear and all that. But before we do, 701 00:33:32,840 --> 00:33:36,280 Speaker 1: there's this critique of the way entered infrastructure in the 702 00:33:36,320 --> 00:33:39,400 Speaker 1: US has developed these days, particularly under that Biden administration. 703 00:33:39,760 --> 00:33:42,959 Speaker 1: And the critique is basically, Okay, we have this mission 704 00:33:43,080 --> 00:33:46,200 Speaker 1: to decarbonize the grid, add capacity, all that, but that 705 00:33:46,280 --> 00:33:50,920 Speaker 1: the administration adds all these other requirements social requirements. Oh, 706 00:33:51,080 --> 00:33:54,400 Speaker 1: the companies have to provide childcare, and they have to 707 00:33:54,600 --> 00:33:56,520 Speaker 1: do this or that, all these other things that maybe 708 00:33:56,520 --> 00:34:00,000 Speaker 1: didn't make it into the bill. And maybe other progress 709 00:34:00,040 --> 00:34:02,959 Speaker 1: several liberal interests like want to squeeze it in somehow 710 00:34:03,120 --> 00:34:05,520 Speaker 1: to how we build out, and they're like, we're never 711 00:34:05,520 --> 00:34:08,840 Speaker 1: going to accomplish these goals of decarbonization if the company's 712 00:34:08,880 --> 00:34:12,600 Speaker 1: building this or that also have to satisfy X, Y 713 00:34:12,800 --> 00:34:16,200 Speaker 1: and z, you know, sort of liberal wish list progressive 714 00:34:16,280 --> 00:34:19,640 Speaker 1: dreams of whatever it is. Do you see that in 715 00:34:19,680 --> 00:34:21,839 Speaker 1: your day to day that this is an impediment that 716 00:34:22,040 --> 00:34:25,280 Speaker 1: things that are not directly related to building an electrification 717 00:34:25,640 --> 00:34:27,640 Speaker 1: get in the way of new construction. 718 00:34:28,360 --> 00:34:33,600 Speaker 6: No, So, so in general, I'd say that we have 719 00:34:33,640 --> 00:34:36,200 Speaker 6: statutory requirements. Right, so for our office, you have to 720 00:34:36,200 --> 00:34:39,160 Speaker 6: pay Davis bake and wages. For construction, you have to 721 00:34:39,200 --> 00:34:42,399 Speaker 6: use this thing called the Cargo Preference Act. But other 722 00:34:42,440 --> 00:34:45,240 Speaker 6: than that, there are no other requirements of my office, 723 00:34:45,320 --> 00:34:48,920 Speaker 6: and so we don't impose any other requirements onto, you know, 724 00:34:48,960 --> 00:34:53,120 Speaker 6: our applicants. Now that being said, remember we haven't done 725 00:34:53,120 --> 00:34:56,080 Speaker 6: this in forty years, right. It's not like the United 726 00:34:56,120 --> 00:34:59,080 Speaker 6: States of America has been like building manufacturing facilities, brand new. 727 00:34:59,040 --> 00:35:00,879 Speaker 5: Manufacturing facilities for four years. 728 00:35:00,880 --> 00:35:01,280 Speaker 3: We haven't. 729 00:35:01,719 --> 00:35:04,920 Speaker 6: And so you know, yesterday I was in Georgetown, Texas, 730 00:35:04,920 --> 00:35:08,759 Speaker 6: one of our companies, Uh, Selling right is building their 731 00:35:08,760 --> 00:35:12,080 Speaker 6: facility up there there to make these extraordinary wire harnesses 732 00:35:12,160 --> 00:35:15,439 Speaker 6: for electric vehicles that are like ninety five percent less weight, 733 00:35:16,200 --> 00:35:18,680 Speaker 6: which is amazing. But you know the thing is, and 734 00:35:18,719 --> 00:35:21,480 Speaker 6: you would think wire harnesses are things that you know, 735 00:35:21,560 --> 00:35:23,640 Speaker 6: you can only make in low wage countries around the world. 736 00:35:23,640 --> 00:35:25,640 Speaker 6: But they have this innovative process and so they can 737 00:35:25,680 --> 00:35:29,319 Speaker 6: make it here in Georgetown, Texas. We asked them to 738 00:35:29,360 --> 00:35:32,359 Speaker 6: put together a meeting right for you know, workforce. They 739 00:35:32,400 --> 00:35:34,680 Speaker 6: have to hire about a thousand people, and so you know, 740 00:35:34,680 --> 00:35:36,040 Speaker 6: how are you going to do that? Where are you 741 00:35:36,040 --> 00:35:38,719 Speaker 6: going to go? Et cetera, et cetera. There were a 742 00:35:38,760 --> 00:35:41,760 Speaker 6: lot of people came and you know, facilitated conversation. 743 00:35:41,800 --> 00:35:42,879 Speaker 5: There's no mandate there. 744 00:35:42,880 --> 00:35:45,200 Speaker 6: I wasn't suggesting that they had to hire you know, 745 00:35:45,239 --> 00:35:47,239 Speaker 6: a good mix of this group or that group or 746 00:35:47,280 --> 00:35:50,120 Speaker 6: whatever it is. It's more like, let's have a conversation, right. 747 00:35:50,520 --> 00:35:52,400 Speaker 6: It was very clear to me that most of the 748 00:35:52,440 --> 00:35:56,440 Speaker 6: people in that room were so appreciative of Selling creating 749 00:35:56,440 --> 00:35:59,560 Speaker 6: a thousand jobs in that community, but had never had 750 00:35:59,600 --> 00:36:03,480 Speaker 6: the chance to provide Selling any feedback about how they 751 00:36:03,560 --> 00:36:05,040 Speaker 6: might recruit better. 752 00:36:05,800 --> 00:36:06,000 Speaker 5: Right. 753 00:36:06,440 --> 00:36:10,040 Speaker 6: Now, that's not because Selling's a bad company, right. Selling's 754 00:36:10,080 --> 00:36:13,400 Speaker 6: a startup company that probably almost went bankrupt like three times. 755 00:36:13,719 --> 00:36:15,160 Speaker 5: And you know, think. 756 00:36:15,120 --> 00:36:17,680 Speaker 6: They're lucky stars that they got the capitol when they 757 00:36:17,680 --> 00:36:19,680 Speaker 6: needed to to actually get to this point and now 758 00:36:19,719 --> 00:36:22,360 Speaker 6: they're building a factory. They're like the American dream. So 759 00:36:22,480 --> 00:36:24,759 Speaker 6: I'm not surprised that the number one thing that he's 760 00:36:24,800 --> 00:36:27,520 Speaker 6: working on is not figuring out that his workforce issues, right, 761 00:36:27,560 --> 00:36:29,480 Speaker 6: and number one thing he's working on is making sure 762 00:36:29,520 --> 00:36:32,560 Speaker 6: that the Chinese don't steal his technology, and like that, 763 00:36:32,640 --> 00:36:36,040 Speaker 6: he's continuing to like, you know, succeed on this stuff, right. 764 00:36:36,120 --> 00:36:38,600 Speaker 6: And so so he came up after me. His name 765 00:36:38,680 --> 00:36:41,440 Speaker 6: is Kevin Cokeley, and he's great, and he said, you know, Jigger, 766 00:36:41,520 --> 00:36:43,120 Speaker 6: this was super helpful. 767 00:36:43,520 --> 00:36:46,120 Speaker 5: I want to do right by these folks in the community. 768 00:36:46,120 --> 00:36:48,640 Speaker 6: I want to actually meet all these people, et cetera, 769 00:36:48,680 --> 00:36:51,200 Speaker 6: et cetera like and so it was a good conversation. 770 00:36:51,320 --> 00:36:53,240 Speaker 6: I didn't force him to hit some sort of metric 771 00:36:53,400 --> 00:36:55,839 Speaker 6: or do this thing or whatever else. But you know, 772 00:36:55,920 --> 00:36:58,280 Speaker 6: in general, what I find is all of the people 773 00:36:59,360 --> 00:37:03,239 Speaker 6: participate in the program's office are you know, Americans who 774 00:37:03,239 --> 00:37:05,520 Speaker 6: are quite proud of their country. They want to do 775 00:37:05,640 --> 00:37:07,560 Speaker 6: right by their workers. They want to do right by 776 00:37:07,560 --> 00:37:09,680 Speaker 6: the communities. So they're in et cetera. But it's not 777 00:37:09,800 --> 00:37:13,000 Speaker 6: surprising me that they're not experts in that part of, 778 00:37:13,440 --> 00:37:16,120 Speaker 6: you know, building a company. They're experts in their technology, 779 00:37:16,560 --> 00:37:19,600 Speaker 6: and so we do facilitate good conversations. I'll give you 780 00:37:19,680 --> 00:37:23,040 Speaker 6: one more story. So there's one company that we provide 781 00:37:23,080 --> 00:37:25,760 Speaker 6: a conditional commitment to. I'll try to keep the details sparse. 782 00:37:25,760 --> 00:37:30,239 Speaker 6: So they're uh, you know, outing them. They are going 783 00:37:30,280 --> 00:37:34,480 Speaker 6: into a state that has an extraordinary shortage of construction workers, right. 784 00:37:34,840 --> 00:37:37,239 Speaker 6: So and they said, look, Jigger, I'm just not gonna 785 00:37:37,239 --> 00:37:39,560 Speaker 6: be pro union, like, that's not going to happen, right. Fine, 786 00:37:39,840 --> 00:37:41,880 Speaker 6: So I said, well, but you should sign a project 787 00:37:41,920 --> 00:37:44,000 Speaker 6: labor agreement. They're like, Jigger, that sounds like a union term, 788 00:37:44,320 --> 00:37:46,279 Speaker 6: and so I was like, well, it kind of is 789 00:37:46,280 --> 00:37:46,920 Speaker 6: a union. 790 00:37:46,760 --> 00:37:49,120 Speaker 5: Term, right, So you should sign a project labor agreement. 791 00:37:49,360 --> 00:37:53,239 Speaker 6: And what that does is it mandates and requires the 792 00:37:53,320 --> 00:37:55,640 Speaker 6: union to do a couple of things. One is start 793 00:37:55,680 --> 00:37:59,200 Speaker 6: training workers for you right now, right six months eight 794 00:37:59,200 --> 00:38:03,040 Speaker 6: months before you actually need them. But two, if there's 795 00:38:03,160 --> 00:38:07,040 Speaker 6: actually too much work and not enough workers, you get 796 00:38:07,200 --> 00:38:11,000 Speaker 6: first in line right now. If you end up doing 797 00:38:11,040 --> 00:38:14,960 Speaker 6: an RFP and you pick a non union contractor, right, 798 00:38:15,280 --> 00:38:18,799 Speaker 6: that's fine. They would still pull from this union hall 799 00:38:18,920 --> 00:38:21,239 Speaker 6: or not or whatever. Like union workers do a lot 800 00:38:21,239 --> 00:38:24,560 Speaker 6: of non union contractor work, right. He's like, Jigger, I 801 00:38:24,640 --> 00:38:27,480 Speaker 6: never understood that. They never taught me that at Harvard 802 00:38:27,520 --> 00:38:29,880 Speaker 6: Business School, Like, I don't know how any of this 803 00:38:29,880 --> 00:38:33,000 Speaker 6: stuff works, right, And so he was appreciative, Like, you know, 804 00:38:33,080 --> 00:38:33,600 Speaker 6: it wasn't like. 805 00:38:33,600 --> 00:38:35,640 Speaker 5: He was union anti union, like pro union. 806 00:38:35,719 --> 00:38:37,720 Speaker 6: He was like, I'm probably not inclined to go union, 807 00:38:38,120 --> 00:38:41,120 Speaker 6: but like, I do need workers that are trained to 808 00:38:41,280 --> 00:38:44,080 Speaker 6: like actually start working on my job site as soon 809 00:38:44,120 --> 00:38:45,880 Speaker 6: as I'm ready, and this is going to make it 810 00:38:45,920 --> 00:38:48,000 Speaker 6: easier for me to meet my schedule and my cost. 811 00:38:48,280 --> 00:38:49,080 Speaker 5: Yeah, I'll do that. 812 00:38:49,800 --> 00:38:52,319 Speaker 4: So you sort of suggested that some of these executives 813 00:38:52,320 --> 00:38:54,720 Speaker 4: maybe they just hadn't thought about it before or weren't 814 00:38:54,760 --> 00:38:57,200 Speaker 4: experts in it because they were focused on other things 815 00:38:57,400 --> 00:39:00,399 Speaker 4: like competing with China. But just to press on the point, 816 00:39:00,400 --> 00:39:02,400 Speaker 4: because I think it's kind of timely at the moment, 817 00:39:02,640 --> 00:39:05,160 Speaker 4: especially given the UAW strikes. 818 00:39:05,600 --> 00:39:07,719 Speaker 2: But one of the arguments that you hear is if you. 819 00:39:07,719 --> 00:39:11,960 Speaker 4: Attach a lot of expensive conditions to the labor force 820 00:39:12,320 --> 00:39:16,120 Speaker 4: within the US that makes it uncompetitive compared to places 821 00:39:16,160 --> 00:39:18,759 Speaker 4: like China or Mexico, where the cost of labor is 822 00:39:18,800 --> 00:39:22,280 Speaker 4: not only cheaper, but also not unionized and is probably 823 00:39:22,280 --> 00:39:24,040 Speaker 4: not providing things like childcare. 824 00:39:24,360 --> 00:39:26,560 Speaker 2: How do you think about the competitive aspect of that. 825 00:39:27,000 --> 00:39:30,360 Speaker 6: As I said before, the Loan Program's office requires Davis 826 00:39:30,360 --> 00:39:34,640 Speaker 6: Bacon wages for construction in general. That hasn't been a problem. 827 00:39:34,840 --> 00:39:37,799 Speaker 6: You know, the in general, when you construct something, you 828 00:39:37,840 --> 00:39:40,080 Speaker 6: want the folks who have the most training doing your 829 00:39:40,080 --> 00:39:43,360 Speaker 6: construction is you know firstand and you know and so 830 00:39:44,080 --> 00:39:46,520 Speaker 6: and so. You know, like that really isn't something that 831 00:39:46,560 --> 00:39:48,279 Speaker 6: we fight over. They're like, yeah, that makes sense. So 832 00:39:48,320 --> 00:39:50,759 Speaker 6: we want the highest quality workforce so that you know, 833 00:39:50,800 --> 00:39:52,640 Speaker 6: when we build this building, it last for thirty years 834 00:39:52,640 --> 00:39:53,920 Speaker 6: and it'll be done properly. 835 00:39:54,000 --> 00:39:56,080 Speaker 5: Right, So, so that isn't really a problem. 836 00:39:56,080 --> 00:39:59,000 Speaker 6: There's no requirement for folks to go union for the 837 00:39:59,000 --> 00:40:02,600 Speaker 6: operating jobs, like we're not requiring that. That being said, 838 00:40:02,719 --> 00:40:06,080 Speaker 6: we're saying to people that these are particularly in the 839 00:40:06,120 --> 00:40:08,919 Speaker 6: manufacturing space again, which we haven't done really in forty years. 840 00:40:10,160 --> 00:40:13,880 Speaker 6: You know, these are craftsmen, right, Like they're actually like 841 00:40:14,280 --> 00:40:16,839 Speaker 6: the more they work at that place, the better they 842 00:40:16,880 --> 00:40:20,239 Speaker 6: get at that job, and they become more productive, and 843 00:40:20,280 --> 00:40:22,719 Speaker 6: they provide a lot of insight. I think when you 844 00:40:22,760 --> 00:40:25,040 Speaker 6: hear Elon Musk talk a lot about this at Tesla, 845 00:40:25,440 --> 00:40:29,400 Speaker 6: you know, they've sort of onshore almost everything that it 846 00:40:29,440 --> 00:40:31,520 Speaker 6: takes to make a car, right, so they don't really 847 00:40:31,520 --> 00:40:32,839 Speaker 6: import from you know. 848 00:40:32,800 --> 00:40:34,080 Speaker 5: One thousand different suppliers. 849 00:40:34,080 --> 00:40:36,080 Speaker 6: They do stuff here, and what they say is actually 850 00:40:36,160 --> 00:40:39,920 Speaker 6: the folks who work on the line actually bring a 851 00:40:39,920 --> 00:40:42,960 Speaker 6: lot of the best innovations to the table, right They're like, oh, 852 00:40:43,000 --> 00:40:44,799 Speaker 6: this could be done smarter, this could be done better, 853 00:40:44,880 --> 00:40:48,000 Speaker 6: this could do stuff like So in general, like you know, 854 00:40:48,080 --> 00:40:52,000 Speaker 6: I feel like we're having these false arguments because this 855 00:40:52,160 --> 00:40:55,200 Speaker 6: is like something that I don't know. It finds like 856 00:40:55,800 --> 00:40:58,000 Speaker 6: certain tribes want one things or tribes want something else. 857 00:40:58,040 --> 00:41:00,480 Speaker 6: So it's a great fault line to create. But I 858 00:41:00,480 --> 00:41:03,360 Speaker 6: think we all agree that you want workers who actually 859 00:41:03,360 --> 00:41:05,000 Speaker 6: want to be there. You don't want turnover, you don't 860 00:41:05,000 --> 00:41:07,840 Speaker 6: want like ten percent of your workforce leaving every month, 861 00:41:07,920 --> 00:41:11,080 Speaker 6: and you know, you want you know, folks to believe 862 00:41:11,160 --> 00:41:13,759 Speaker 6: that they can you know, feed their families and you know, 863 00:41:13,840 --> 00:41:15,880 Speaker 6: support a community and all that stuff on that So 864 00:41:16,200 --> 00:41:18,879 Speaker 6: I don't think we're arguing over those things. And we're 865 00:41:18,880 --> 00:41:22,239 Speaker 6: also not saying that one hundred percent of everything that 866 00:41:22,320 --> 00:41:25,680 Speaker 6: America consumes, we consume a lot is going to be 867 00:41:25,760 --> 00:41:27,799 Speaker 6: made in the United States of America, right, And so 868 00:41:27,880 --> 00:41:30,759 Speaker 6: I think the administration has gone to China gone other 869 00:41:30,800 --> 00:41:33,839 Speaker 6: things saying we're not decoupling. So it's really but there's 870 00:41:33,840 --> 00:41:38,640 Speaker 6: a lot of these high value innovations that we've invented 871 00:41:38,680 --> 00:41:41,520 Speaker 6: out of the Department of Energy, and instead of licensing 872 00:41:41,560 --> 00:41:43,719 Speaker 6: them to other countries, which is basically what we did 873 00:41:43,800 --> 00:41:46,200 Speaker 6: for forty years, we're saying, why don't we tied to 874 00:41:46,200 --> 00:41:47,759 Speaker 6: the American workforce and make them here? 875 00:41:47,880 --> 00:41:48,640 Speaker 3: Nuclear power? 876 00:41:48,719 --> 00:41:52,040 Speaker 1: Two questions, What is the role in your view long 877 00:41:52,360 --> 00:41:56,120 Speaker 1: in terms of meeting all this demand of nuclear growth 878 00:41:56,160 --> 00:41:58,560 Speaker 1: in the US. And is the reason we haven't had 879 00:41:58,680 --> 00:42:02,200 Speaker 1: much nuclear expansion in the US because a bunch of 880 00:42:02,239 --> 00:42:06,200 Speaker 1: people there's like some combination of anti nuclear hippies and 881 00:42:06,200 --> 00:42:07,919 Speaker 1: people who watch The Simpsons too much. 882 00:42:12,360 --> 00:42:14,160 Speaker 5: I challenged the premise of your question. 883 00:42:14,239 --> 00:42:17,040 Speaker 3: No, no, no, I'm just asking is that the reason 884 00:42:17,200 --> 00:42:18,000 Speaker 3: or not? Am I wrong? 885 00:42:18,840 --> 00:42:19,080 Speaker 5: I was? 886 00:42:19,280 --> 00:42:22,000 Speaker 1: I'm not necessarily assuming that, but I believe a lot 887 00:42:22,000 --> 00:42:24,160 Speaker 1: of people there's a lot. 888 00:42:24,040 --> 00:42:27,319 Speaker 5: Of stuff going on. Let me try to unpack it 889 00:42:27,360 --> 00:42:27,959 Speaker 5: for you. I think. 890 00:42:28,160 --> 00:42:31,719 Speaker 6: So basically, nuclear power really had its heyday sort of 891 00:42:31,760 --> 00:42:33,520 Speaker 6: in the sixties and the seventies, right, that's when we 892 00:42:33,520 --> 00:42:36,200 Speaker 6: built a lot of our nuclear parwer plants. In the seventies, 893 00:42:36,239 --> 00:42:38,839 Speaker 6: it was already the case that nuclear power plants were 894 00:42:38,840 --> 00:42:42,320 Speaker 6: becoming more and more expensive. You had the Nuclear Regultory Commission, 895 00:42:42,360 --> 00:42:45,880 Speaker 6: you had a lot more regulation, and so, you know, 896 00:42:45,960 --> 00:42:49,080 Speaker 6: so you were already getting people less interested in doing 897 00:42:49,120 --> 00:42:51,280 Speaker 6: nuclear power by the time you got to the late seventies. 898 00:42:51,560 --> 00:42:54,000 Speaker 6: Then you had through My Island, Right you can imagine 899 00:42:54,080 --> 00:42:56,880 Speaker 6: like that sort of scared people. And so no one died. 900 00:42:57,160 --> 00:42:59,719 Speaker 6: Everyone's fine, Like, you know, nuclear is one of the 901 00:42:59,719 --> 00:43:02,560 Speaker 6: safe technologies in the world, but you know, it's scared people. 902 00:43:02,719 --> 00:43:05,520 Speaker 6: We basically didn't approve any new nuclear plants after that. 903 00:43:05,800 --> 00:43:08,680 Speaker 6: We finished the Biron nuclear power plant, which I grew 904 00:43:08,760 --> 00:43:11,160 Speaker 6: up next to in Illinois in nineteen eighty four, and 905 00:43:11,160 --> 00:43:13,880 Speaker 6: then we finished watts Bar recently, and so we've had 906 00:43:13,920 --> 00:43:16,480 Speaker 6: a couple of nuclear plants come online. Vogel Unit three 907 00:43:16,640 --> 00:43:19,040 Speaker 6: just came online. Vocal Unit furs should come online at 908 00:43:19,080 --> 00:43:22,960 Speaker 6: the end of the year. Early next year, so in Georgia. 909 00:43:23,080 --> 00:43:25,840 Speaker 6: So I think that in general, the nuclear power fleet 910 00:43:25,880 --> 00:43:28,560 Speaker 6: that we have now was largely built in the nineteen seventies. 911 00:43:28,640 --> 00:43:28,839 Speaker 5: Right. 912 00:43:30,120 --> 00:43:34,960 Speaker 6: Nuclear power is one of those things where the frustration 913 00:43:35,120 --> 00:43:36,799 Speaker 6: that I have, and I was on the board of 914 00:43:36,840 --> 00:43:40,880 Speaker 6: Greenpeace for six years, is that they don't actually try 915 00:43:40,920 --> 00:43:45,399 Speaker 6: to do it better, right. It's always someone else's fault. 916 00:43:45,480 --> 00:43:48,959 Speaker 6: It's like nuclear power is just so damn complicated. It's 917 00:43:49,040 --> 00:43:51,600 Speaker 6: so hard to build. This soul and win stuff is 918 00:43:51,640 --> 00:43:55,080 Speaker 6: so easy. Like, we build complicated stuff all the time. 919 00:43:55,200 --> 00:43:58,200 Speaker 6: We built like oil refineries, we built like there's like 920 00:43:58,239 --> 00:44:01,640 Speaker 6: a lot of semiconductor fabs or no picnic right. So 921 00:44:01,840 --> 00:44:04,719 Speaker 6: it's not like we don't know how to build complicated stuff, right. 922 00:44:04,760 --> 00:44:07,080 Speaker 6: But what I find is is that in nuclear power 923 00:44:07,400 --> 00:44:10,719 Speaker 6: it's always something like, well, if the federal government would 924 00:44:10,800 --> 00:44:14,000 Speaker 6: just do it, we should just get the Department of Defense. 925 00:44:13,680 --> 00:44:18,239 Speaker 5: To just do it right, you know, like Okay, but like. 926 00:44:18,280 --> 00:44:20,520 Speaker 6: That hasn't really worked for you since the nineteen seventies, 927 00:44:20,560 --> 00:44:24,120 Speaker 6: so let's not try that because that's not working. So 928 00:44:24,160 --> 00:44:26,560 Speaker 6: I think a lot of what we've done is right 929 00:44:26,640 --> 00:44:32,319 Speaker 6: size the nuclear energy industry by saying, look, you know 930 00:44:32,360 --> 00:44:35,480 Speaker 6: these ten to fifteen billion dollar nuclear plants. It's not 931 00:44:35,520 --> 00:44:35,880 Speaker 6: something that. 932 00:44:35,920 --> 00:44:37,440 Speaker 5: Utilities want to build, right. 933 00:44:37,600 --> 00:44:40,359 Speaker 6: Like, In fact, if you look at like the last 934 00:44:40,400 --> 00:44:43,680 Speaker 6: forty or fifty years of utility bankruptcies, like half of 935 00:44:43,680 --> 00:44:46,840 Speaker 6: them were because of nuclear plets. So you know, I 936 00:44:46,880 --> 00:44:49,799 Speaker 6: can imagine like a CEO of the utility company is like, 937 00:44:50,080 --> 00:44:51,480 Speaker 6: I don't know, I don't want to do a nucleus. 938 00:44:51,520 --> 00:44:53,719 Speaker 5: I like my job maybe not exactly right. 939 00:44:53,760 --> 00:44:55,920 Speaker 6: And so now we have this thing called small modular reactors, 940 00:44:55,960 --> 00:44:58,760 Speaker 6: which are neither small nor modular, but like, that's fine, 941 00:44:59,760 --> 00:45:03,040 Speaker 6: but they basically cost two to four billion dollars, right, 942 00:45:03,080 --> 00:45:05,640 Speaker 6: And in two to four billion dollars, the utilities know 943 00:45:05,680 --> 00:45:07,279 Speaker 6: how to do two to four billion dollar projects, and 944 00:45:07,280 --> 00:45:09,680 Speaker 6: they can find bonding for that and assurance for that. 945 00:45:09,719 --> 00:45:13,120 Speaker 6: There's EPC contractors that have a balance sheet that's large 946 00:45:13,200 --> 00:45:15,160 Speaker 6: enough to wrap a two to four billion dollar project, 947 00:45:15,200 --> 00:45:18,279 Speaker 6: et cetera. So we now have a size that we 948 00:45:18,360 --> 00:45:21,279 Speaker 6: actually can handle. When you look at like Vogel three 949 00:45:21,280 --> 00:45:25,160 Speaker 6: and four, Fogel four was thirty percent cheaper than Vogel three, 950 00:45:25,280 --> 00:45:28,200 Speaker 6: right because the same workforce is working on the same reactor, 951 00:45:28,239 --> 00:45:30,000 Speaker 6: and they did it better the second time around, which 952 00:45:30,000 --> 00:45:30,799 Speaker 6: you can imagine. 953 00:45:30,920 --> 00:45:31,719 Speaker 5: So the way that these. 954 00:45:31,640 --> 00:45:34,400 Speaker 6: Small module reactors work is that you built four in 955 00:45:34,440 --> 00:45:37,440 Speaker 6: one place. You build three hundred megawat reactors. You build 956 00:45:37,440 --> 00:45:39,319 Speaker 6: four of them in one place, and so you have 957 00:45:39,360 --> 00:45:41,600 Speaker 6: twelve hundred megawatts. The first one's probably going to come 958 00:45:41,640 --> 00:45:44,320 Speaker 6: in the closer four billion, the second one thirty percent cheaper, 959 00:45:44,440 --> 00:45:46,879 Speaker 6: the third ones twenty percent cheaper, the fourth than six 960 00:45:46,880 --> 00:45:49,160 Speaker 6: percent cheaper. And so now you get to a place 961 00:45:49,160 --> 00:45:51,920 Speaker 6: where it can be cost effective. Folks can handle it. 962 00:45:51,920 --> 00:45:54,200 Speaker 6: It's bite sized. You can end at any time if 963 00:45:54,200 --> 00:45:55,719 Speaker 6: you don't want to build the third one or the 964 00:45:55,719 --> 00:45:58,560 Speaker 6: fourth one. And so you're starting to see a formula 965 00:45:58,600 --> 00:46:00,879 Speaker 6: that people are getting excited about. Not only are people 966 00:46:00,840 --> 00:46:04,200 Speaker 6: gettingxcited about, they're getting excited about US designs, right because 967 00:46:04,200 --> 00:46:07,839 Speaker 6: there's Korean designs and Russian designs and Chinese designs, and 968 00:46:07,920 --> 00:46:10,120 Speaker 6: so you know, our good friends in Canada chose a 969 00:46:10,239 --> 00:46:13,400 Speaker 6: US design, the Giataci BWX three hundred. So they're building 970 00:46:13,400 --> 00:46:16,319 Speaker 6: four of them at Darlington. The folks at Cinthos and 971 00:46:16,360 --> 00:46:20,040 Speaker 6: Poland also chose the design. There's a lot of lessons learned. 972 00:46:20,040 --> 00:46:22,560 Speaker 6: We're following those lessons learned. So I could go on 973 00:46:22,600 --> 00:46:24,680 Speaker 6: and on and on an entire podcast about this. But 974 00:46:24,719 --> 00:46:27,319 Speaker 6: I would say that in general, I don't think it's 975 00:46:27,360 --> 00:46:29,600 Speaker 6: the fault of the environmental groups or the fault of 976 00:46:30,360 --> 00:46:33,160 Speaker 6: the Nuclear Reglatory Commission, which everyone likes to blame, or 977 00:46:33,320 --> 00:46:36,560 Speaker 6: the Simpsons. I think it's the fault of the nuclear 978 00:46:36,880 --> 00:46:41,480 Speaker 6: energy industry to not say, look, you know, modern finance 979 00:46:41,600 --> 00:46:45,279 Speaker 6: works this way, right, Modern utility CEOs work this way, 980 00:46:45,400 --> 00:46:48,799 Speaker 6: Modern public service commissions work this way. Let's create a 981 00:46:48,840 --> 00:46:52,000 Speaker 6: product that actually works within the framework that we have 982 00:46:52,080 --> 00:46:53,240 Speaker 6: in the United States of America. 983 00:46:53,680 --> 00:46:55,000 Speaker 5: And they've now done that. 984 00:46:55,120 --> 00:46:57,040 Speaker 6: So I think we now have a product that people 985 00:46:57,040 --> 00:46:59,319 Speaker 6: can get excited about. And you saw the governor of 986 00:46:59,360 --> 00:47:02,239 Speaker 6: Texas and now that he was directing the Public Service 987 00:47:02,239 --> 00:47:05,440 Speaker 6: Commission to figure that out here. And you've seen announcements 988 00:47:05,440 --> 00:47:09,120 Speaker 6: from Duke Energy, and announcements from Dominion, and announcements from. 989 00:47:09,239 --> 00:47:10,360 Speaker 5: The Tennessee Value Authority. 990 00:47:10,440 --> 00:47:13,200 Speaker 6: So you're starting to see utilities, you know, say, this 991 00:47:13,280 --> 00:47:15,839 Speaker 6: is actually a really interesting approach, and so we'll see 992 00:47:15,840 --> 00:47:18,719 Speaker 6: if it works. But I think that there's approach now 993 00:47:18,760 --> 00:47:19,840 Speaker 6: that's fit for purpose. 994 00:47:20,840 --> 00:47:24,800 Speaker 4: Setting three eyed fish aside and other Simpsons references, I mean. 995 00:47:24,760 --> 00:47:26,600 Speaker 2: Can you talk a little bit more about how. 996 00:47:26,400 --> 00:47:28,759 Speaker 4: You see it developing, Like what are the hurdles to 997 00:47:28,920 --> 00:47:32,080 Speaker 4: actually getting some of these smaller plants set up? Can 998 00:47:32,120 --> 00:47:33,799 Speaker 4: you walk us through what the process would be and 999 00:47:33,840 --> 00:47:35,759 Speaker 4: how you would imagine it unfolding. 1000 00:47:36,440 --> 00:47:38,960 Speaker 6: So one of the challenges with the nuclear power industry 1001 00:47:39,440 --> 00:47:43,160 Speaker 6: is that there's no nuclear power industry. So so you 1002 00:47:43,239 --> 00:47:47,160 Speaker 6: have like the Nuclear Energy Institute, right, and they're made 1003 00:47:47,239 --> 00:47:49,520 Speaker 6: up of a bunch of utility companies that basically own 1004 00:47:49,600 --> 00:47:52,560 Speaker 6: nuclear power plants. But like if you ask the CEO 1005 00:47:52,719 --> 00:47:56,719 Speaker 6: of like Energy or you know, Doke or Dominion and say, 1006 00:47:56,760 --> 00:47:59,879 Speaker 6: are you a nuclear power person? And they're like, no, 1007 00:48:00,080 --> 00:48:02,440 Speaker 6: we own nuclear power plants, we own reneal bunergy power plants, 1008 00:48:02,440 --> 00:48:04,640 Speaker 6: we own cold plants, we own natri gas plants, right, 1009 00:48:04,680 --> 00:48:08,200 Speaker 6: And so you can imagine like they're not necessarily like 1010 00:48:08,480 --> 00:48:11,160 Speaker 6: the driving force behind new nuclear. 1011 00:48:11,600 --> 00:48:11,799 Speaker 5: Right. 1012 00:48:12,200 --> 00:48:14,120 Speaker 6: So then you've got a bunch of other companies you've 1013 00:48:14,160 --> 00:48:19,439 Speaker 6: heard of, like New Scale, Oaklow, you know, Giataci, Hole Tech, 1014 00:48:19,920 --> 00:48:23,799 Speaker 6: Terror Power x Energy, Right, But they're also not the 1015 00:48:23,880 --> 00:48:27,160 Speaker 6: nuclear power industry. They are nuclear power designers. So that's 1016 00:48:27,200 --> 00:48:30,440 Speaker 6: like saying I have an architect, and then architect designed 1017 00:48:30,440 --> 00:48:33,480 Speaker 6: the beautiful house. Yes, they've designed a beautiful nuclear power 1018 00:48:33,480 --> 00:48:35,560 Speaker 6: plant and it works. And you know when I say 1019 00:48:35,600 --> 00:48:37,279 Speaker 6: it works, like they've spent a lot of money at 1020 00:48:37,280 --> 00:48:39,880 Speaker 6: a supercomputer and told me that it works, right, So 1021 00:48:40,080 --> 00:48:42,000 Speaker 6: like it's not like they've actually built one of these 1022 00:48:42,040 --> 00:48:42,640 Speaker 6: things before. 1023 00:48:43,000 --> 00:48:44,360 Speaker 5: So now you've got that. 1024 00:48:44,520 --> 00:48:47,600 Speaker 6: So then the question becomes like who is the industry 1025 00:48:47,719 --> 00:48:51,200 Speaker 6: right And so in the case of the Giatachi b 1026 00:48:51,239 --> 00:48:54,360 Speaker 6: to b r X three hundred, right, Giataci is only 1027 00:48:54,360 --> 00:48:57,239 Speaker 6: a design firm. Ge does not make any of it. 1028 00:48:57,520 --> 00:48:58,440 Speaker 5: They don't like. 1029 00:48:58,719 --> 00:49:00,560 Speaker 6: All they do is design it right, and then they'll 1030 00:49:00,560 --> 00:49:02,960 Speaker 6: probably take it through the Nuclear Regatory Commission. 1031 00:49:03,200 --> 00:49:04,440 Speaker 5: B to BXT is. 1032 00:49:04,400 --> 00:49:07,000 Speaker 6: The company that actually has been hired to make it, 1033 00:49:07,040 --> 00:49:11,040 Speaker 6: and they are in the nuclear submarine and nuclear navy business, 1034 00:49:11,040 --> 00:49:14,320 Speaker 6: and so they make a lot of parts for the military, 1035 00:49:14,360 --> 00:49:16,400 Speaker 6: and so they have some knowledge of how to do 1036 00:49:16,440 --> 00:49:19,160 Speaker 6: this right, and so that's great, and so they're going 1037 00:49:19,200 --> 00:49:20,640 Speaker 6: to do parts of it. And then we have to 1038 00:49:20,760 --> 00:49:24,719 Speaker 6: now find an EPC contractor that wants to do this. 1039 00:49:24,880 --> 00:49:27,560 Speaker 6: Remember the ones who worked on Vogel went bankrupt, right, 1040 00:49:27,640 --> 00:49:29,960 Speaker 6: so it's not for the faint of heart for them 1041 00:49:30,000 --> 00:49:33,719 Speaker 6: to decide to get into the nuclear energy industry. But 1042 00:49:34,280 --> 00:49:38,520 Speaker 6: we're you know, like aspirational, ambitious folks, right, and think 1043 00:49:38,520 --> 00:49:41,120 Speaker 6: about it from a national security lens, right. I mean, 1044 00:49:42,000 --> 00:49:46,399 Speaker 6: once a country chooses a nuclear power plant, let's say 1045 00:49:46,400 --> 00:49:50,239 Speaker 6: from Russia, they're tied to Russia for eighty years. You 1046 00:49:50,239 --> 00:49:53,280 Speaker 6: can imagine the national security complex with the United States 1047 00:49:53,560 --> 00:49:56,399 Speaker 6: would rather that country pick a US design and tie 1048 00:49:56,440 --> 00:49:59,040 Speaker 6: them to the United States for eighty years. So there's 1049 00:49:59,080 --> 00:50:02,440 Speaker 6: a lot riding on figuring this out. So a couple things. 1050 00:50:02,520 --> 00:50:05,120 Speaker 6: One is that if you're a supply chain provider for 1051 00:50:05,160 --> 00:50:07,880 Speaker 6: a nuclear so you're making a forge or whatever it is, 1052 00:50:08,920 --> 00:50:11,640 Speaker 6: you can imagine ramping this whole thing up for one 1053 00:50:11,760 --> 00:50:12,960 Speaker 6: nuclear reactor is not. 1054 00:50:13,080 --> 00:50:14,360 Speaker 5: Your idea of awesome. 1055 00:50:14,800 --> 00:50:17,560 Speaker 6: So you're like, well, where are the ten reactors going 1056 00:50:17,640 --> 00:50:18,200 Speaker 6: to come from? 1057 00:50:18,239 --> 00:50:20,160 Speaker 5: Right? So I've told you this one, where's the next 1058 00:50:20,160 --> 00:50:20,960 Speaker 5: one going to come from? 1059 00:50:21,000 --> 00:50:23,279 Speaker 6: So in some ways, when I say that, like Duke 1060 00:50:23,320 --> 00:50:26,360 Speaker 6: has put nuclear into their Integrated Resource Plan and dominion, 1061 00:50:26,440 --> 00:50:28,120 Speaker 6: you know, the governor has been talking about it. And 1062 00:50:28,160 --> 00:50:31,040 Speaker 6: then you've got you know, the Tennessee Value Authority where 1063 00:50:31,320 --> 00:50:33,760 Speaker 6: Jeff Flash has talked about, you know, putting four reactors 1064 00:50:33,800 --> 00:50:36,000 Speaker 6: at Clinch River. And then you've got the Governor of 1065 00:50:36,000 --> 00:50:38,839 Speaker 6: Texas directing the Public Service Commission to do this stuff. Well, 1066 00:50:38,880 --> 00:50:41,279 Speaker 6: now you've got like a critical mass of people that 1067 00:50:41,320 --> 00:50:43,560 Speaker 6: are saying we should do this, And then the question becomes, 1068 00:50:43,960 --> 00:50:46,880 Speaker 6: what do you need to go from this would be 1069 00:50:46,960 --> 00:50:49,920 Speaker 6: really awesome to do in our state to here's an 1070 00:50:50,040 --> 00:50:53,600 Speaker 6: order right for the nuclear reactor. And so we wrote 1071 00:50:53,600 --> 00:50:56,360 Speaker 6: a lift off report at the Loan Program's office and 1072 00:50:56,400 --> 00:50:59,040 Speaker 6: the Department Entergy was led by Vanessa Chan at the 1073 00:50:59,080 --> 00:51:03,040 Speaker 6: Office of Technology Transitions and the Office of Planergy Demonstrations, 1074 00:51:03,080 --> 00:51:06,920 Speaker 6: which runs the Advanced Reactor Deployment Program. 1075 00:51:07,200 --> 00:51:08,359 Speaker 5: And these are. 1076 00:51:08,360 --> 00:51:10,279 Speaker 4: Very cool, by the way, I don't normally say this 1077 00:51:10,480 --> 00:51:13,279 Speaker 4: about government publications, but these ones are what I was. 1078 00:51:13,280 --> 00:51:14,480 Speaker 3: Going to see the exact same thing. 1079 00:51:14,840 --> 00:51:18,479 Speaker 1: They're all really worth reading, very readable, and really good 1080 00:51:18,719 --> 00:51:21,200 Speaker 1: entry points and just to understanding some of these technologies. 1081 00:51:21,239 --> 00:51:22,240 Speaker 3: So well done on that. 1082 00:51:22,120 --> 00:51:23,040 Speaker 5: Thank you, Thank you. 1083 00:51:23,080 --> 00:51:26,399 Speaker 6: We like kept it down to like thirty pages or so, 1084 00:51:26,640 --> 00:51:29,040 Speaker 6: and then like it's uh, it was. It was a 1085 00:51:29,080 --> 00:51:31,759 Speaker 6: really an extraordinary effort. And then the woman who was 1086 00:51:31,800 --> 00:51:35,120 Speaker 6: a lead off there there, Julie Kosaraki, is like on 1087 00:51:35,200 --> 00:51:37,359 Speaker 6: a speaking circuit. She's going to all these places and 1088 00:51:37,560 --> 00:51:39,799 Speaker 6: figuring out how to get this person to move one 1089 00:51:39,840 --> 00:51:42,160 Speaker 6: inch this direction and this person to move one inch disrection. 1090 00:51:42,600 --> 00:51:45,880 Speaker 6: And so there's a lot of facilitation and technical assistance 1091 00:51:45,920 --> 00:51:49,440 Speaker 6: that we're providing in this process. But the roadmap is 1092 00:51:49,480 --> 00:51:53,760 Speaker 6: there told to us by the industry in that Nuclear 1093 00:51:53,760 --> 00:51:57,040 Speaker 6: liftop report. So you know, I don't know whether we're 1094 00:51:57,080 --> 00:51:59,480 Speaker 6: going to get there, but like, those are some of 1095 00:51:59,520 --> 00:52:02,520 Speaker 6: the tenants, right, is you need a design that multiple 1096 00:52:02,560 --> 00:52:05,400 Speaker 6: people pick. You need to at least build ten, hopefully 1097 00:52:05,480 --> 00:52:07,560 Speaker 6: twenty of them, right. You need to make sure that 1098 00:52:07,600 --> 00:52:09,440 Speaker 6: the supply chain gets built out. You need to have 1099 00:52:09,640 --> 00:52:12,720 Speaker 6: a trained workforce, right, which we have thirteen thousand people 1100 00:52:12,719 --> 00:52:15,200 Speaker 6: now that have been trained out of the Vocal Nuclear plant. 1101 00:52:15,880 --> 00:52:18,480 Speaker 6: You know, you need all these pieces in order to 1102 00:52:18,480 --> 00:52:18,960 Speaker 6: attempt this. 1103 00:52:19,520 --> 00:52:21,760 Speaker 1: I just thought of a question, and I've been meaning, 1104 00:52:21,840 --> 00:52:23,759 Speaker 1: I've been wanting for like two years to do a 1105 00:52:23,800 --> 00:52:26,200 Speaker 1: whole episode on this that I just never happened. 1106 00:52:26,239 --> 00:52:27,640 Speaker 3: So now I'm going to ask you this to answer 1107 00:52:27,680 --> 00:52:29,200 Speaker 3: this in one literally one minute. 1108 00:52:29,320 --> 00:52:32,399 Speaker 1: I read the ISM Manufacturing Report every month and there's 1109 00:52:32,400 --> 00:52:34,600 Speaker 1: this section on things that are in short supply, and 1110 00:52:34,640 --> 00:52:37,640 Speaker 1: as the supply chain has healed over time, that list 1111 00:52:37,680 --> 00:52:41,359 Speaker 1: gets shorter and shorter. But the most persistent thing that 1112 00:52:41,440 --> 00:52:45,480 Speaker 1: is in short supply for manufacturers is just electrical components, 1113 00:52:45,480 --> 00:52:47,520 Speaker 1: and they complain about that, and it's been this issue. 1114 00:52:47,560 --> 00:52:48,359 Speaker 3: What is going on there? 1115 00:52:48,480 --> 00:52:51,359 Speaker 1: Do you know, like what the source of this bottleneck 1116 00:52:51,719 --> 00:52:54,120 Speaker 1: is and what is driving it? 1117 00:52:55,040 --> 00:52:57,160 Speaker 6: Well, I don't know that I know for certain what 1118 00:52:57,280 --> 00:52:59,360 Speaker 6: the source of the bottle neck is, but I would 1119 00:52:59,360 --> 00:53:03,560 Speaker 6: say that in general, when you look at manufacturing companies, 1120 00:53:04,360 --> 00:53:07,040 Speaker 6: they're The dynamic with manufacturing is if you build it, 1121 00:53:07,080 --> 00:53:10,400 Speaker 6: they will come right. So like I build a factory 1122 00:53:10,680 --> 00:53:13,560 Speaker 6: and you buy one piece, and then the next week 1123 00:53:13,600 --> 00:53:15,239 Speaker 6: you buy one piece, and then you're gonna buy a piece, 1124 00:53:15,280 --> 00:53:17,000 Speaker 6: and then you're like, ah, I think I'm gonna wait 1125 00:53:17,000 --> 00:53:19,759 Speaker 6: two weeks and I'm gonna buy something, right, Like, I 1126 00:53:19,800 --> 00:53:23,080 Speaker 6: don't know. That's not like a reassuring like model by 1127 00:53:23,120 --> 00:53:25,080 Speaker 6: which I want to stay ahead of the market. I 1128 00:53:25,239 --> 00:53:27,680 Speaker 6: like to stay slightly behind the market so that like 1129 00:53:27,719 --> 00:53:30,279 Speaker 6: I could charge a higher price and you know, et cetera. Right, 1130 00:53:30,320 --> 00:53:34,279 Speaker 6: And so for those folks who want us to accelerate 1131 00:53:34,360 --> 00:53:37,000 Speaker 6: investments in the supply chain, they need to make a 1132 00:53:37,040 --> 00:53:40,480 Speaker 6: long term order, right. And so for a lot of 1133 00:53:40,480 --> 00:53:43,640 Speaker 6: the electrical contractors or a lot of the utility companies 1134 00:53:43,680 --> 00:53:47,240 Speaker 6: who are wanting transformers or a lot of these other stuffs. 1135 00:53:48,800 --> 00:53:49,400 Speaker 5: But think about it. 1136 00:53:49,400 --> 00:53:53,359 Speaker 6: If you're running electric utility company, do you not have 1137 00:53:53,440 --> 00:53:56,560 Speaker 6: a predictable track record of how many transformers you install 1138 00:53:56,600 --> 00:53:59,480 Speaker 6: every year? Do you not have like an integrated resource 1139 00:53:59,520 --> 00:54:01,600 Speaker 6: plan that's as over the next ten years, I think 1140 00:54:01,600 --> 00:54:04,160 Speaker 6: we're gonna buy this many transformers. Well, then why wouldn't 1141 00:54:04,160 --> 00:54:06,359 Speaker 6: you just make an order for like ten years worth 1142 00:54:06,440 --> 00:54:09,200 Speaker 6: of transformers this week? You and like ten of your 1143 00:54:09,200 --> 00:54:13,320 Speaker 6: closest friends, and then you build a transformer manufacturing facility 1144 00:54:13,360 --> 00:54:16,200 Speaker 6: in your community, and then they feel confident because they've 1145 00:54:16,200 --> 00:54:18,279 Speaker 6: got orders for the next ten years, and you feel 1146 00:54:18,320 --> 00:54:21,200 Speaker 6: confident because you've got a local supply of transformers. Instead, 1147 00:54:21,360 --> 00:54:23,880 Speaker 6: I got a bunch of people going, uh, jigger, we 1148 00:54:23,920 --> 00:54:26,280 Speaker 6: need to fix transformers. And I was like, you should 1149 00:54:26,280 --> 00:54:27,600 Speaker 6: give me an off take agreement. 1150 00:54:27,920 --> 00:54:30,200 Speaker 5: I don't know. That seems like a lot of work. 1151 00:54:30,440 --> 00:54:32,920 Speaker 6: And I was like, but that there's a formula to 1152 00:54:33,000 --> 00:54:35,680 Speaker 6: how this stuff happens. Like It's not like one of 1153 00:54:35,680 --> 00:54:37,719 Speaker 6: those things where it's like I wish I had an 1154 00:54:37,800 --> 00:54:40,840 Speaker 6: oversupply of the components that I want and I'm not 1155 00:54:40,920 --> 00:54:43,280 Speaker 6: willing to do anything to actually make that happen. 1156 00:54:45,000 --> 00:54:48,600 Speaker 4: Speaking of bottlenecks, this is kind of a cliched question, 1157 00:54:48,680 --> 00:54:50,480 Speaker 4: but I'd still be curious to get your answer to this. 1158 00:54:50,800 --> 00:54:54,040 Speaker 4: If you could waive a magic wand and make you know, 1159 00:54:54,280 --> 00:54:58,600 Speaker 4: one aspect of the industry, or the political landscape, or 1160 00:54:58,640 --> 00:55:03,719 Speaker 4: the regulatory landscape go away to make the process of 1161 00:55:03,760 --> 00:55:08,520 Speaker 4: transitioning to cleaner, cheaper energy better, what would it be. 1162 00:55:09,800 --> 00:55:12,400 Speaker 6: Oh gosh, this is definitely gonna get me in trouble, 1163 00:55:13,800 --> 00:55:16,360 Speaker 6: so maybe let me say it this way. I think, 1164 00:55:16,560 --> 00:55:19,960 Speaker 6: in general, as I've said before, we have all the 1165 00:55:20,040 --> 00:55:23,520 Speaker 6: technologies we need to not only tackle this problem, but 1166 00:55:23,800 --> 00:55:28,560 Speaker 6: dominate not only you know, the sector here, but then 1167 00:55:28,600 --> 00:55:31,080 Speaker 6: to export and dominate around the world, like whether it's 1168 00:55:31,320 --> 00:55:35,240 Speaker 6: hydrogen or transmission or you know, whatever it is, solar wind, 1169 00:55:35,320 --> 00:55:38,480 Speaker 6: all these other things. We have all those technologies, and 1170 00:55:38,520 --> 00:55:41,560 Speaker 6: frankly we invented them. Everyone's like, oh, China makes solar panels. 1171 00:55:41,840 --> 00:55:45,480 Speaker 6: We invented all that technology right along with Martin Green 1172 00:55:45,520 --> 00:55:48,080 Speaker 6: at the Internasy of New South Wales and so like, 1173 00:55:48,200 --> 00:55:50,239 Speaker 6: you know, those are the two places where all came from, right, 1174 00:55:50,280 --> 00:55:52,440 Speaker 6: we were forced a license to them because you know, like 1175 00:55:52,440 --> 00:55:55,520 Speaker 6: we weren't manufacturing here. And so one of my big 1176 00:55:55,600 --> 00:55:59,680 Speaker 6: challenges is that as we learn to build again, what 1177 00:55:59,719 --> 00:56:02,719 Speaker 6: we do in the nineteen seventies is basically divorce all 1178 00:56:02,760 --> 00:56:05,280 Speaker 6: politicians from knowledge in this area. 1179 00:56:05,960 --> 00:56:06,200 Speaker 5: Right. 1180 00:56:06,640 --> 00:56:10,480 Speaker 6: So all politicians basically have like an airport authority and. 1181 00:56:10,440 --> 00:56:12,759 Speaker 2: They are diplomatically put by the way. 1182 00:56:12,760 --> 00:56:15,880 Speaker 6: Right, and they have like a sewer authority, an electric 1183 00:56:16,000 --> 00:56:18,160 Speaker 6: utility and you know whatever it is. 1184 00:56:18,239 --> 00:56:18,479 Speaker 5: Right. 1185 00:56:18,760 --> 00:56:21,440 Speaker 6: So when you ask them, like, hey, how do we 1186 00:56:21,560 --> 00:56:24,719 Speaker 6: lead in this area, they don't know, right, And so 1187 00:56:24,840 --> 00:56:26,960 Speaker 6: they go to the guy who runs the sewer authority 1188 00:56:27,040 --> 00:56:29,480 Speaker 6: or the water authority or the you know, airport authority, 1189 00:56:29,600 --> 00:56:32,320 Speaker 6: and that person says, I want to do things exactly 1190 00:56:32,360 --> 00:56:34,840 Speaker 6: the same way as my grandfather did in the nineteen seventies, 1191 00:56:34,920 --> 00:56:36,840 Speaker 6: and we should replace everything exactly the same way. I 1192 00:56:36,880 --> 00:56:39,640 Speaker 6: don't want to install new technology. I've already got people 1193 00:56:39,680 --> 00:56:42,239 Speaker 6: who are like trained in the old technology, right, And 1194 00:56:42,280 --> 00:56:43,520 Speaker 6: so why do we do this stuff? 1195 00:56:43,560 --> 00:56:43,719 Speaker 5: Right? 1196 00:56:43,760 --> 00:56:46,920 Speaker 6: And so we need to like come back together and 1197 00:56:47,000 --> 00:56:51,680 Speaker 6: commit ourselves to actually taking us technology and deploying it here. 1198 00:56:52,239 --> 00:56:55,040 Speaker 5: Right. And the risk aversion is. 1199 00:56:55,040 --> 00:56:58,160 Speaker 6: Like leading to a lot of increased cost because doing 1200 00:56:58,200 --> 00:57:01,440 Speaker 6: things the same way as nineteen seventies is crazy expensive. 1201 00:57:01,760 --> 00:57:04,840 Speaker 6: We have stuff that's ninety percent cheaper. But what happens 1202 00:57:04,920 --> 00:57:07,960 Speaker 6: is you go to the consultant who you pay, and 1203 00:57:08,000 --> 00:57:10,680 Speaker 6: they say, I don't know if that's gonna work. 1204 00:57:11,320 --> 00:57:12,520 Speaker 5: I don't know, Like I. 1205 00:57:12,480 --> 00:57:14,839 Speaker 6: Know it's been deployed like forty times in China and 1206 00:57:14,880 --> 00:57:17,320 Speaker 6: fifty times in the Middle East and like in Europe, 1207 00:57:17,360 --> 00:57:20,000 Speaker 6: but I don't know if it's gonna work here. We 1208 00:57:20,040 --> 00:57:21,800 Speaker 6: should do exactly the same thing we did in the 1209 00:57:21,840 --> 00:57:25,000 Speaker 6: nineteen seventies, and so it'd be nice to like figure 1210 00:57:25,040 --> 00:57:28,360 Speaker 6: out how to break that like sort of knowledge gap 1211 00:57:28,480 --> 00:57:30,760 Speaker 6: so that we're doing stuff here again. 1212 00:57:31,120 --> 00:57:31,880 Speaker 3: One last question. 1213 00:57:31,920 --> 00:57:33,760 Speaker 1: You know, it's kind of it's an exciting time and 1214 00:57:33,800 --> 00:57:36,200 Speaker 1: it's fun every it feels like every day or at 1215 00:57:36,240 --> 00:57:38,920 Speaker 1: least every week, there's some new announcement. Some of it 1216 00:57:38,960 --> 00:57:42,720 Speaker 1: comes from loan program office funding, like some new battery 1217 00:57:42,840 --> 00:57:45,480 Speaker 1: factory or some new technology or breaking ground on some 1218 00:57:45,560 --> 00:57:46,800 Speaker 1: new geothermal et cetera. 1219 00:57:47,120 --> 00:57:48,280 Speaker 5: So much winning. 1220 00:57:48,840 --> 00:57:52,600 Speaker 1: So we're getting tired of all the winning with all this, 1221 00:57:52,760 --> 00:57:55,560 Speaker 1: But like twenty twenty four, like what is what are 1222 00:57:55,600 --> 00:57:58,240 Speaker 1: we looking for? Are is twenty twenty four gonna be 1223 00:57:58,280 --> 00:58:00,840 Speaker 1: another year where there's just like ton more in the pipe, 1224 00:58:00,840 --> 00:58:03,120 Speaker 1: and we can expect a lot more out of EU. 1225 00:58:03,600 --> 00:58:05,880 Speaker 1: Of all these announcements, is there a lot more coming? 1226 00:58:06,840 --> 00:58:09,920 Speaker 6: There is a lot more coming, some of which is predictable, right. 1227 00:58:09,960 --> 00:58:13,200 Speaker 6: You got the Hydrogen hubits announcement coming out later this year. 1228 00:58:13,400 --> 00:58:17,160 Speaker 6: You know, you've got the GRIP funding for like grid 1229 00:58:17,200 --> 00:58:19,000 Speaker 6: resilience coming out here pretty soon. 1230 00:58:19,120 --> 00:58:20,800 Speaker 5: And so some of it's predictable. 1231 00:58:20,880 --> 00:58:23,360 Speaker 6: Some of it's not predictable because like all the folks 1232 00:58:23,360 --> 00:58:26,680 Speaker 6: who've applied to my office are confidential. But you know, 1233 00:58:26,760 --> 00:58:30,160 Speaker 6: I think that the part that is the most exciting 1234 00:58:30,240 --> 00:58:34,520 Speaker 6: to me is that you're starting just starting to get 1235 00:58:34,800 --> 00:58:39,120 Speaker 6: mayors and county commissioners and others going, wait a second, 1236 00:58:39,440 --> 00:58:42,840 Speaker 6: how do we make our town or our county attractive 1237 00:58:43,200 --> 00:58:44,400 Speaker 6: to the next announcement? 1238 00:58:44,840 --> 00:58:45,040 Speaker 5: Right? 1239 00:58:45,400 --> 00:58:47,360 Speaker 6: And so like, you know, we have like I think 1240 00:58:47,440 --> 00:58:51,440 Speaker 6: less than one percent vacancy right right now in industrial properties, 1241 00:58:52,240 --> 00:58:54,240 Speaker 6: and so if you talk to brokers, they're like, we 1242 00:58:54,280 --> 00:58:57,160 Speaker 6: have no more properties left. I have like four applicants 1243 00:58:57,200 --> 00:59:00,400 Speaker 6: who are waiting to pick a site, and that's what's 1244 00:59:00,440 --> 00:59:02,400 Speaker 6: holding them up to like actually make an announcement. 1245 00:59:02,440 --> 00:59:02,560 Speaker 5: Right. 1246 00:59:03,480 --> 00:59:06,360 Speaker 6: But then, like I talked to this guy in Ohio, 1247 00:59:06,440 --> 00:59:08,520 Speaker 6: and he's like, oh, yeah, I have like five sites. 1248 00:59:08,800 --> 00:59:11,640 Speaker 6: We just forgot to like rezone them and we forgot 1249 00:59:11,640 --> 00:59:14,960 Speaker 6: to reregister them this way. And so now he's doing 1250 00:59:15,000 --> 00:59:19,320 Speaker 6: that and that property doesn't actually earn any property taxes 1251 00:59:19,400 --> 00:59:21,760 Speaker 6: right now because it's classified as a brownfield. They like 1252 00:59:21,800 --> 00:59:24,360 Speaker 6: are cleaning it up, putting it back into circulation and 1253 00:59:25,080 --> 00:59:27,360 Speaker 6: like you know, folks can pick it and then they 1254 00:59:27,360 --> 00:59:29,480 Speaker 6: can like put jobs there. And also there's stuff we 1255 00:59:29,600 --> 00:59:31,360 Speaker 6: just like it's one of those weird things in the 1256 00:59:31,440 --> 00:59:35,680 Speaker 6: United States where like we have all this extraordinary wealth, right, 1257 00:59:35,920 --> 00:59:39,880 Speaker 6: wealth of innovation, wealth of like engineering talent, applied engineering, 1258 00:59:39,880 --> 00:59:43,240 Speaker 6: town all this stuff, and like we forgot about some 1259 00:59:43,400 --> 00:59:46,520 Speaker 6: of it. It's like just there, it's sitting there, and 1260 00:59:46,600 --> 00:59:48,960 Speaker 6: like so like there's all these pieces that we have 1261 00:59:49,000 --> 00:59:51,280 Speaker 6: to get out. So part of what's going to make 1262 00:59:51,360 --> 00:59:54,920 Speaker 6: next year so successful is not just the announcements around 1263 00:59:55,000 --> 00:59:57,160 Speaker 6: you know, the funding opportunities and that kind of stuff, 1264 00:59:57,400 --> 01:00:00,800 Speaker 6: but also all these micro decisions that are being made 1265 01:00:01,400 --> 01:00:04,720 Speaker 6: by local towns and communities going wait a second, you're 1266 01:00:04,760 --> 01:00:07,200 Speaker 6: saying that that piece of property that's just been sitting 1267 01:00:07,200 --> 01:00:10,720 Speaker 6: there is actually like an asset. Yeah, it's an asset, 1268 01:00:10,800 --> 01:00:12,720 Speaker 6: like clean it up, let's put it back into use. 1269 01:00:12,840 --> 01:00:15,080 Speaker 6: Like they have a rail spur that goes to them, 1270 01:00:15,080 --> 01:00:16,680 Speaker 6: there's actually there's actually on the river. 1271 01:00:16,920 --> 01:00:19,240 Speaker 5: People want to like use that so they could transport 1272 01:00:19,240 --> 01:00:19,600 Speaker 5: their goods. 1273 01:00:19,640 --> 01:00:21,920 Speaker 6: They're like, oh, man, I thought that was just an 1274 01:00:21,920 --> 01:00:24,720 Speaker 6: eyesore in our town. And so like that to me 1275 01:00:24,840 --> 01:00:27,280 Speaker 6: is super exciting, right, And then we're starting to get 1276 01:00:27,320 --> 01:00:30,120 Speaker 6: a ton of people who are saying, maybe I don't 1277 01:00:30,120 --> 01:00:31,480 Speaker 6: have to go to a four year college and maybe 1278 01:00:31,520 --> 01:00:33,720 Speaker 6: I can go to Texas State Technical College and do 1279 01:00:33,760 --> 01:00:36,360 Speaker 6: a two year degree and like and make six figure income, 1280 01:00:36,800 --> 01:00:39,080 Speaker 6: like actually becoming really good at my trade, right, and 1281 01:00:39,080 --> 01:00:41,760 Speaker 6: also this stuff and that's bringing pride to people because 1282 01:00:41,760 --> 01:00:44,040 Speaker 6: for a long time people were like I like to 1283 01:00:44,040 --> 01:00:46,440 Speaker 6: work with my hands, right, that was like a euphemism 1284 01:00:46,480 --> 01:00:48,800 Speaker 6: for I wasn't like a book person. 1285 01:00:48,920 --> 01:00:51,360 Speaker 5: And but like we actually need a lot of people 1286 01:00:51,640 --> 01:00:52,160 Speaker 5: to work. 1287 01:00:51,960 --> 01:00:55,160 Speaker 6: With their hands, right, and so like, like I find 1288 01:00:55,200 --> 01:00:57,959 Speaker 6: that what's most exciting is not the announcements we're making here, 1289 01:00:58,520 --> 01:01:01,800 Speaker 6: but like it's leading to a level of confidence in 1290 01:01:01,840 --> 01:01:04,520 Speaker 6: all these other parts of the economy where. 1291 01:01:04,320 --> 01:01:06,640 Speaker 5: People are like, maybe we can't actually pull this off. 1292 01:01:06,800 --> 01:01:09,360 Speaker 3: Jigger Shaw, thank you so much. This is a real thrill. 1293 01:01:09,360 --> 01:01:11,880 Speaker 1: I always love catching up great not dand it on. 1294 01:01:12,640 --> 01:01:14,120 Speaker 3: Thank you to everyone uh. 1295 01:01:14,240 --> 01:01:30,760 Speaker 1: Texas Tribune Fest and appreciate everyone coming up. That was 1296 01:01:30,800 --> 01:01:34,440 Speaker 1: our conversation with Jigger Shaw. I'm Joe Wisenthal. You could 1297 01:01:34,480 --> 01:01:36,280 Speaker 1: follow me at The Stalwart. 1298 01:01:36,040 --> 01:01:38,880 Speaker 4: And I'm Tracy Alloway. You can follow me at Tracy Alloway. 1299 01:01:39,120 --> 01:01:44,160 Speaker 1: Follow Jigger at Jiggershaw DC. Follow our producers Carmen Rodriguez 1300 01:01:44,240 --> 01:01:47,440 Speaker 1: at Carmen Armand and dash Ol Bennett at dashbod and 1301 01:01:47,480 --> 01:01:50,200 Speaker 1: a special thanks to Moses on them. Follow all of 1302 01:01:50,200 --> 01:01:53,840 Speaker 1: the Bloomberg podcasts under the handle at podcasts and for 1303 01:01:53,960 --> 01:01:57,200 Speaker 1: more oddlocks content, go to Bloomberg dot com slash odlots, 1304 01:01:57,440 --> 01:02:00,360 Speaker 1: where we have a blog, we post transcripts, we have 1305 01:02:00,360 --> 01:02:03,920 Speaker 1: a newsletter, and if you enjoyed this episode and you 1306 01:02:03,960 --> 01:02:06,120 Speaker 1: want to chat about it with fellow listeners, go to 1307 01:02:06,200 --> 01:02:09,439 Speaker 1: discord dot gg slash odd Lots. We have an energy room, 1308 01:02:09,520 --> 01:02:11,880 Speaker 1: we have a climate room in there, lots of fans 1309 01:02:11,880 --> 01:02:14,560 Speaker 1: of Jigger in there, so people will be discussing this. 1310 01:02:14,520 --> 01:02:15,240 Speaker 3: One for sure. 1311 01:02:15,400 --> 01:02:17,880 Speaker 4: And if you enjoy odd Lots, if you want us 1312 01:02:17,920 --> 01:02:20,960 Speaker 4: to do more episodes, for instance on the future of 1313 01:02:21,080 --> 01:02:23,560 Speaker 4: the nuclear industry or lack thereof. 1314 01:02:23,880 --> 01:02:25,320 Speaker 2: Then please leave us a. 1315 01:02:25,360 --> 01:02:28,560 Speaker 4: Positive review on your favorite podcast platform. 1316 01:02:28,600 --> 01:02:29,360 Speaker 2: Thanks for listening.