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Speaker 1: Hey guys, So are you welcome into a Sunday morning

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Speaker 1: edition of the DL Juice Podcast. My name is Matt Peralta.

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Speaker 1: You follow me on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt. Each

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Speaker 1: day morning, we are here on Bettingpros dot com. We're

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Speaker 1: always being brought to buy at MGM. We're always found

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Speaker 1: on YouTube or wherever you get your audio video on YouTube.

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Speaker 2: Obviously.

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Speaker 1: All right, So I'm taping this at six o'clock, which

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Speaker 1: is way earlier than I normally tape it, because I'm

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Speaker 1: heading out to dinner with my family and I simply

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Speaker 1: don't want to tape this thing later tonight. We already

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Speaker 1: have the three podcast picks in from yesterday, and we've

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Speaker 1: got two going on right now that we're added. So

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Speaker 1: the full unit plays go two and one, and I

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Speaker 1: have two half a unit plays currently going with the

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Speaker 1: Braves money line.

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Speaker 2: They're up one to nothing here in the third inning on.

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Speaker 1: The Dodgers at plus one thirty six and the Suns

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Speaker 1: at plus three. That game will tip off here in

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Speaker 1: about an hour against the Portland Trailblazers. I don't think

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Speaker 1: the Suns are going to have a tough time with

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Speaker 1: bad legs if they lose I don't think it's going

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Speaker 1: to because they're tired. I just think you may have

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Speaker 1: like a Damian Lillard insane game. But I don't like

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Speaker 1: the defense for Portland, just like it in like the

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Speaker 1: defense last year, and I think we'll see a lot

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Speaker 1: of points being scored in that game. I thought about

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Speaker 1: taking the over, but just take the sun to plus

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Speaker 1: the three here early in the year. Okay, so those

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Speaker 1: are the place two and one. Alabama in the first

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Speaker 1: half does not cash. Only one that doesn't cash. I

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Speaker 1: mean they got more yards, more first downs, they were dominant,

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Speaker 1: but they turned the ball over and when you do

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Speaker 1: that that bad things happened. BEMA led at the half,

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Speaker 1: but they did not lead by more than fifteen points

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Speaker 1: like we bet, so that bet does not cash. Pitt

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Speaker 1: gets the win outright and covers that three point line.

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Speaker 1: Two quarterbacks for Clemson played in that game, and neither one,

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Speaker 1: any good pit gets that win minus three. And then

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Speaker 1: we had the under that came in easily with LSU

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Speaker 1: and Ole miss that cash for us as well.

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Speaker 2: I had a pretty good day.

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Speaker 1: I actually hit a parlay no a teaser a college

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Speaker 1: football teas for fun. Look, people were asking me this

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Speaker 1: question like Matt, why do you say don't bet college

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Speaker 1: football teasers? Because look, I think if you go back,

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Speaker 1: if you like playing teasers, and I love them in

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Speaker 1: the NFL, but in college, I think, if you go

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Speaker 1: back and you look at your records, and I always

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Speaker 1: recommend keeping records of every bit you make, and go

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Speaker 1: back and looking count how many times you would have

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Speaker 1: cashed a college football teaser without having to tease it.

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Speaker 1: Meaning the numbers aren't as sharp in the NFL, and

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Speaker 1: weird and wacky things happen in college. For instance, there

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Speaker 1: was a nine overtime game yesterday nine. This new two

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Speaker 1: point conversion rule is ridiculous. I hated it in principle,

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Speaker 1: I hate it in execution. But look, that's funky, right,

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Speaker 1: two points, two points, two points. Weird numbers pop up

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Speaker 1: and weird things coming. If you're teasing numbers around, that's

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Speaker 1: awkward and weird. College football oftentimes goals for two. You

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Speaker 1: have a lot of two point plays that could run

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Speaker 1: during college football. You have a lot of strange like

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Speaker 1: wacky hail Mary, you know, on side kick type craziness

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Speaker 1: that happened in college football. So if you're teasing college

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Speaker 1: just go back and look at it, and more often

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Speaker 1: than not, you don't need the help.

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Speaker 2: It would have cashed anyway, and you just gave up value.

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Speaker 2: So rather than.

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Speaker 1: Parlaying it together that I'm recommending parlaying, but I like

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Speaker 1: a parlay more than I like a teaser. In college, however,

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Speaker 1: I did think there was a unique kind of spot

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Speaker 1: with UCLA in Oregon. I thought that game was going

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Speaker 1: to be very close, and initially Oregon got up by

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Speaker 1: two touchdowns late, but then I come from behind storm

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Speaker 1: by Ucla that lose the game by three, and it

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Speaker 1: was a pick at the time, and I'm like, you

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Speaker 1: know what if I gave either team six points, it

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Speaker 1: might work out kind of well. So I gave Ucla

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Speaker 1: six points that came in. I gave LSU fifteen points

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Speaker 1: because that LSU could hang around.

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Speaker 2: They did. That came in, and then I gave.

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Speaker 1: Which was the last one came remember the third leg,

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Speaker 1: but I gave it whatever the third leg it hit

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Speaker 1: and it was a two two to one parlay that

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Speaker 1: came to one teaser that came in for me in

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Speaker 1: college football. So we got that right, We got the

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Speaker 1: We got to push in the second half for Clemson

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Speaker 1: and Pitt and gave out a personal play on that

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Speaker 1: on the on the Discord channel. That was a push

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Speaker 1: so but I hit on I'm blanking or whatever else

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Speaker 1: I hit on handle something else, but it was it

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Speaker 1: was a good day, Okay. So even if I lose

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Speaker 1: both the bets coming up here for uh for the

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Speaker 1: Late the nightcap, I'm still gonna be winning day. It

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Speaker 1: may not be a winning day on the pod, might

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Speaker 1: be slightly down if we missed both those half unit

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Speaker 1: bets we got going on right now. But I feel

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Speaker 1: comfortable coming in here and taping because well, Dan Harris

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Speaker 1: and I are going to be on the live stream

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Speaker 1: tomorrow and I'll tell you this now and i'll tell

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Speaker 1: you it then. I hate this card. I hate this

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Speaker 1: NFL card with a passion. This is an awesome week

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Speaker 1: for Circa. I love being involved in the Circa Million

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Speaker 1: and I posted our daily juice picks.

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Speaker 2: We'll do more of that coming up.

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Speaker 1: I'll give us out during the Durnal live chap eight

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Speaker 1: am Pacific time, eleven am Eastern with Dan Harris and

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Speaker 1: myself on this YouTube channel. I will give you the

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Speaker 1: both place not gonna do it now. I will give

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Speaker 1: you both picks for my personal Circuit team and for

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Speaker 1: the Daily Juice Circuit team. But I personally just really

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Speaker 1: think that it's a good place, a good week to

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Speaker 1: have picks in a picks contest versus betting. So I

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Speaker 1: already gave you guys the Eagles plus nine and the

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Speaker 1: Patriots minus one. I've got two more units to give you,

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Speaker 1: three more picks to give you here on the podcast.

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Speaker 1: But first let me tell you about BETTMGM and the

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Speaker 1: five dollars offer. If you bet five dollars using the

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Speaker 1: promo code Juice one hundred and side money line total,

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Speaker 1: whatever you bet on it, if a touchdown gets scored

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Speaker 1: in a game today in the NFL and the game

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Speaker 1: you bet on, you win one hundred dollars in free

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Speaker 1: wagers thanks to bet mgm. New users only Juice one

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Speaker 1: hundred when you sign up at betmgm betmgm dot com. Right,

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Speaker 1: so we have Eagles plus nine, Patriots mass one. We've

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Speaker 1: already did that teaser.

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Speaker 2: I'm going to come.

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Speaker 1: Back here and this is a discord channel or sorry sorry,

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Speaker 1: this is a Daily Juice Circuit team pick and a

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Speaker 1: personal team pick. It's four and a half in the contest.

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Speaker 1: It's four here for us CAC minus four and there's

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Speaker 1: money coming in on the Titans. Okay, people think this

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Speaker 1: number is too heavy because Derek Henry is gonna run

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Speaker 1: all over that defense for the Chiefs. We know how

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Speaker 1: bad that chief defense is, correct, but that secondary for

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Speaker 1: the Titans is so banged up. I mean, they have

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Speaker 1: so many injuries, and we saw it on Monday night.

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Speaker 1: It's a short week. Those guys, if they do kind

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Speaker 1: of come back, they're gonna be banged up.

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Speaker 2: They're not gonna be healthy.

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Speaker 1: And look, as long as Patrick Mahomes doesn't throw interceptions,

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Speaker 1: and it feels like every time a ball gets deflected

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Speaker 1: or dropped or tipped in the air, it's getting picked

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Speaker 1: off for Mahomes.

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Speaker 2: He's had some really bad turnover luck this year.

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Speaker 1: As long as that doesn't continue here, they're not gonna

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Speaker 1: be stopped. Titans defense, They're not gonna stop this team. Okay,

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Speaker 1: I don't think the Chiefs defense is very good, but

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Speaker 1: Derrick Henry is gonna run the football and he's gonna

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Speaker 1: pick up big guardians. And you probably love Derek Henry

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Speaker 1: and player props. Maybe I'll be on Derrick Henry player

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Speaker 1: props today, but I just think minus four I think

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Speaker 1: this is a ten point win for Kansas City, I

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Speaker 1: really do. I think this Chiefs team is going to

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Speaker 1: be able to score at will, and I just don't

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Speaker 1: think that this Titans team can keep up. I know

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Speaker 1: you're getting aj Brown back and you got Julio Jones,

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Speaker 1: who's a little bit nicked up here, but you know,

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Speaker 1: see what he looks like.

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Speaker 2: I can't remember he's in or out.

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Speaker 1: It doesn't matter to me if he plays or not,

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Speaker 1: because I just don't think this Titans offense is built

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Speaker 1: to score forty points, and I think you need to

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Speaker 1: score forty points to beat the Chiefs.

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Speaker 2: Okay, I'm putting the Chiefs.

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Speaker 1: Toole at forty and I'm only laying four and the

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Speaker 1: total is fifty seven, so I mean seventeen to twenty

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Speaker 1: points here. Maybe you like the over in this game,

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Speaker 1: but I don't know, Okay, I just don't know. I'm

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Speaker 1: only laying four points. I think with a team that

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Speaker 1: runs the ball, playing keep away away from the Chiefs,

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Speaker 1: that home crowd is going to be rocking again. But

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Speaker 1: let down spot after the big win over the Bills,

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Speaker 1: tough to get up and back to back weeks if

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Speaker 1: you're in the NFL with the Titans. This is a

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Speaker 1: roller coaster type team that got really high. I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: get on the coming down. I'm taking case minus four here.

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Speaker 1: I got a better number than what was in the contest,

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Speaker 1: case minus four for one full unit, all right, And

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Speaker 1: then I have searched around and searched around as to

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Speaker 1: what to bet on next, because I don't want to

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Speaker 1: give you just two plays. I have to have three plays,

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Speaker 1: three unit three one unit plays going and I couldn't

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Speaker 1: figure out what I wanted to do. So I'm going

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Speaker 1: to go to a total bet in the Rams and

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Speaker 1: the Lions. But I'm gonna split it in half, and

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Speaker 1: I'm going to go a half unit on each one

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Speaker 1: of these things. Most likely, if if one hits, that

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Speaker 1: they both hit. But unless something really wonky happens. So

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Speaker 1: the number is sixteen and a half. It was fifteen

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Speaker 1: in the circle contest. Both teams took the Rams minus fifteen.

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Speaker 1: It's now sixteen and a half. It's a big, big number.

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Speaker 1: And yeah, double digit spreads in the NFL had been

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Speaker 1: hitting at about sixty five percent clip, so it's not

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Speaker 1: a bad idea. The Lions secondary is absolutely embarrassingly bad.

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Speaker 1: Cooper Cup's going to have a huge game. I got

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Speaker 1: to talk to Dan Harris, but I don't know how

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Speaker 1: we say off a Cooper Cup props today receptions yards.

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Speaker 1: I think he has a monster game catching the football

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Speaker 1: for the La Rams, But this La Ram defense is

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Speaker 1: not as good as it's been in the past. Okay,

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Speaker 1: And I think that the Lions can move the ball.

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Speaker 1: I think the Lions are gonna score. And my question

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Speaker 1: is with a line at seventeen, essentially you have to

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Speaker 1: win by seventeen. You know, thirty four to seventeen is

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Speaker 1: what we're talking about, right, That's what the books are

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Speaker 1: projecting from a final score perspective, somewhere in that radio

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Speaker 1: in that range. And if we go thirty four to seventeen,

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Speaker 1: the total is fifty and a half.

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Speaker 2: We got to go over there, right.

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Speaker 1: I mean, if that's what the books are projecting, and

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Speaker 1: you think they're going to score many, how many points

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Speaker 1: would Rams score? The Rams could score a ton, The

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Speaker 1: Rams could score forty by themselves, and then maybe it's

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Speaker 1: a forty to fourteen type of final right over hits

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Speaker 1: over comes in and hits half a unit on the

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Speaker 1: over fifty and a half for the Lions in the rams.

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Speaker 1: But the other half a unit, I'm going to go

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Speaker 1: to the lamp to the Lions team total, which is

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Speaker 1: sixteen and a half, all right, And again, thirty four

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Speaker 1: to seventeen is what we're talking about here, right, Maybe

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Speaker 1: it's forty to seventeen. We get the over, but I

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Speaker 1: need seventeen points out of the Lions, even in mop

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Speaker 1: up duty, in garbage time touchdowns, in garbage time field goals.

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Speaker 1: I think we get seventeen points out of the Lions offense.

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Speaker 1: This is a Jared Goffer revenge game as much as

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Speaker 1: it's a Matthew Stafford revenge game. It's a Jared Goff

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Speaker 1: revenge game, and the players know it.

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Speaker 2: I think they'll run the ball. Okay, not great, but okay.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna go a half unit on the Lions team

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Speaker 1: total over seventeen and a half, sorry, sixteen and a

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Speaker 1: half for the Lions to score seventeen points here in

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Speaker 1: this game for a half of unit's.

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Speaker 2: Okay, shop around.

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Speaker 1: I found this at minus one ten in mice one twenty,

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Speaker 1: minus one ten on the over, fifteen and a half

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Speaker 1: in minus one twenty on the over sixteen and a

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Speaker 1: half for the Lions team total.

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Speaker 2: Okay, so I will have the long teaser during the

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Speaker 2: live stream.

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Speaker 1: We missed it for the first time last week end

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Speaker 1: up going five and one now on the Wong teasers.

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Speaker 2: Hope we'll bounce back and grab a long.

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Speaker 1: Teaser for us here on the live stream on the

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Speaker 1: off of YouTube for the Betting Pros YouTube channel with

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Speaker 1: Dan Harris and myself at eleven o'clock Eastern time. But

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Speaker 1: we're going Eagles plus nine, Patriots minus one minus one

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Speaker 1: twenty six point teaser. We're going Casey minus four against

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Speaker 1: the Titans. Okay, there could be I mean, I'm already

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Speaker 1: involved with the Eagles and the Patriots. Now I'm involved

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Speaker 1: with the Rams and I'm involved with the with the

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Speaker 1: Casey Chiefs. I'm gonna watch this Washington number and the

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Speaker 1: Panthers number. Okay, there could be something in the works

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Speaker 1: with either one of those games during the day during

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Speaker 1: the live stream, there could be an ad depending on

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Speaker 1: what happened. Both those are picks in my circuit teams,

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Speaker 1: and the line of the Panthers number is coming down.

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Speaker 1: There's Giants money showing up. So if the Panthers number

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Speaker 1: continues to drop, if we get the Panthers. There's already

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Speaker 1: gone below three at Circus Sports in Vegas. So if

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Speaker 1: we get it to like two or you know, one

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Speaker 1: and a half something like that, I very well maybe

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Speaker 1: jumping on the Panthers here against a horrific Giants team.

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Speaker 1: I don't really get that line movement at all for

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Speaker 1: the Panthers.

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Speaker 2: And the Lions.

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Speaker 1: And if I can get to seven for the Packers,

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Speaker 1: I mean the Washington football team. We took the plus eight,

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Speaker 1: but if you get me to seven or lower with

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Speaker 1: the Packers, I may bet on the other side. And

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Speaker 1: there's a big liability to that. At most books, a

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Speaker 1: lot of people are laying the eight points with the Packers.

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Speaker 2: Eh.

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Speaker 1: I'm not comfortable doing that yet, but we'll figure out

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Speaker 1: where the numbers go and what we may or may

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Speaker 1: not get involved with.

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Speaker 2: Again. Okay, so casey.

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Speaker 1: Minus four over fifteen and a half for the Rams, Lions,

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Speaker 1: Lions team total over sixteen and a half, both those

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Speaker 1: are half a unit. And then for mis one to

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Speaker 1: twenty Egles plus nine and the Patriots minus one.

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Speaker 2: I will talk to you.

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Speaker 1: Come up in the live stream Dan Harrison myself at

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Speaker 1: eleven o'clock each time on the YouTube channel for Week

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Speaker 1: seven of the NFL minus Matt Paroltz, followed me on

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Speaker 1: Twitter at sports Talk Matt. Each every morning, it's the

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Speaker 1: Daily Juice podcast, always being brought to you by bet

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Speaker 1: MGM