1 00:00:00,240 --> 00:00:02,840 Speaker 1: Has bitcoin fallen under the same fate that gold's been 2 00:00:02,840 --> 00:00:08,720 Speaker 1: suffering for decades. I'm talking about paper markets driving spot prices. Now. 3 00:00:08,760 --> 00:00:10,559 Speaker 1: A lot of people want to look at JP Morgan, 4 00:00:10,600 --> 00:00:13,520 Speaker 1: which of course have gotten in trouble for manipulating gold markets, 5 00:00:13,560 --> 00:00:17,360 Speaker 1: and today they might be manipulating bitcoin markets as well. 6 00:00:17,480 --> 00:00:20,360 Speaker 1: My guest today, Eric Weise. He's famously known as the 7 00:00:20,360 --> 00:00:23,079 Speaker 1: person who orange pilled Michael Saylor. Actually he's on this 8 00:00:23,120 --> 00:00:25,760 Speaker 1: interview today for Michael Sailor's yacht. He's been working with 9 00:00:25,960 --> 00:00:28,360 Speaker 1: high net worth billionaires for a long time. He's at 10 00:00:28,360 --> 00:00:31,680 Speaker 1: the forefront of institutional adoption, and he believes that paper 11 00:00:31,680 --> 00:00:33,960 Speaker 1: bitcoin may be one of the greatest threats to the 12 00:00:34,040 --> 00:00:36,560 Speaker 1: market that we're facing today. We're going to talk about 13 00:00:36,560 --> 00:00:38,920 Speaker 1: his solutions as to what he thinks can solve it, 14 00:00:39,000 --> 00:00:41,519 Speaker 1: the potential risk that he sees as this all develops, 15 00:00:41,600 --> 00:00:43,360 Speaker 1: and what you should be paying attention to if you 16 00:00:43,360 --> 00:00:45,440 Speaker 1: want to build wealth in this new age. It's a 17 00:00:45,440 --> 00:00:47,800 Speaker 1: great conversation with Eric. Let's just go ahead, jump right 18 00:00:47,800 --> 00:00:51,880 Speaker 1: into it. Eric, thanks so much for jumping in. Always 19 00:00:51,880 --> 00:00:53,319 Speaker 1: a pleasure talking to you. I can't wait to dig 20 00:00:53,360 --> 00:00:53,680 Speaker 1: in here. 21 00:00:54,960 --> 00:00:56,280 Speaker 2: Let's start off question. Thanks for having me. 22 00:00:56,400 --> 00:00:58,560 Speaker 1: Let's start with a big question here that we're going 23 00:00:58,640 --> 00:01:02,600 Speaker 1: to dive deep into bitcoin, treasuries, the new financial engineering 24 00:01:02,760 --> 00:01:05,680 Speaker 1: arms race, if you will, would you say, is this 25 00:01:05,800 --> 00:01:09,000 Speaker 1: the birth of a new financial system or leverage and 26 00:01:09,080 --> 00:01:11,240 Speaker 1: regulation trap waiting to snapshot? 27 00:01:11,400 --> 00:01:17,920 Speaker 2: I think it's just pragmatic behavior from corporations, right. I think, 28 00:01:17,920 --> 00:01:22,880 Speaker 2: if we like zoom out a little bit, most companies 29 00:01:23,560 --> 00:01:27,520 Speaker 2: don't survive for that long. And one of the main 30 00:01:27,600 --> 00:01:31,720 Speaker 2: reasons companies don't survive that long is they give away 31 00:01:32,520 --> 00:01:35,319 Speaker 2: their capital that they earn, and they do it in 32 00:01:35,360 --> 00:01:40,280 Speaker 2: the forms of dividends and buybacks. And these big companies 33 00:01:40,400 --> 00:01:44,160 Speaker 2: will give back billions and hundreds of billions of dollars 34 00:01:44,360 --> 00:01:47,720 Speaker 2: over the years. And the reason they do that is 35 00:01:48,520 --> 00:01:52,520 Speaker 2: investors will punish you as a company for holding US 36 00:01:52,640 --> 00:01:55,960 Speaker 2: dollars and they say, hey, you're holding onto this cash. 37 00:01:56,000 --> 00:01:57,560 Speaker 2: If you don't have a better use for it, give 38 00:01:57,600 --> 00:02:01,000 Speaker 2: it back. And so I think what companies are doing, 39 00:02:01,320 --> 00:02:06,080 Speaker 2: and treasury companies are doing that exclusively, but just regular companies. 40 00:02:06,120 --> 00:02:08,239 Speaker 2: It would make sense for any company that has cash 41 00:02:08,280 --> 00:02:11,000 Speaker 2: on the balance sheet hold it in something that is 42 00:02:11,080 --> 00:02:15,520 Speaker 2: going to appreciate or not, you know, inflate away so 43 00:02:15,560 --> 00:02:18,600 Speaker 2: that you're purchasing power is getting destroyed and hang on 44 00:02:18,720 --> 00:02:21,359 Speaker 2: to that capital for the future so that you can 45 00:02:21,480 --> 00:02:25,720 Speaker 2: retool and compete down the road instead of returning that capital. 46 00:02:26,560 --> 00:02:30,640 Speaker 2: And so I think bitcoin treasury companies are an extreme 47 00:02:30,760 --> 00:02:33,720 Speaker 2: version of that where people are saying the capital is 48 00:02:34,240 --> 00:02:36,919 Speaker 2: the main thing. We want to focus on the capital. 49 00:02:37,760 --> 00:02:42,960 Speaker 2: Bitcoin's in this relatively nascent stage. We know or believe 50 00:02:43,040 --> 00:02:46,080 Speaker 2: strongly that it's going to emerge into into this store 51 00:02:46,120 --> 00:02:48,919 Speaker 2: of value, and so we want to get as much 52 00:02:48,919 --> 00:02:51,120 Speaker 2: of it as we can now, and we're happy to 53 00:02:51,200 --> 00:02:55,160 Speaker 2: engage in an arbitrage where we're giving away some percentage 54 00:02:56,120 --> 00:02:59,320 Speaker 2: in interest in order to get the money now so 55 00:02:59,360 --> 00:03:02,120 Speaker 2: that we can have of that annual gain that we 56 00:03:02,200 --> 00:03:05,840 Speaker 2: perceive being kind of pretty solid and predictable. And Bitcoin 57 00:03:06,080 --> 00:03:07,160 Speaker 2: in the future. 58 00:03:07,360 --> 00:03:09,720 Speaker 1: Certainly we know that it's the best store value, has 59 00:03:09,760 --> 00:03:12,440 Speaker 1: been the best store value now for seventeen years, and 60 00:03:12,520 --> 00:03:14,359 Speaker 1: so of course it makes sense. And I love the 61 00:03:14,360 --> 00:03:16,280 Speaker 1: way that you frame that up with businesses don't know 62 00:03:16,280 --> 00:03:17,880 Speaker 1: what to do with their cash, they return it, but 63 00:03:19,160 --> 00:03:21,440 Speaker 1: we have businesses, and then should they find a better 64 00:03:21,480 --> 00:03:23,600 Speaker 1: way to store their cash, and then we have treasury 65 00:03:23,720 --> 00:03:26,520 Speaker 1: strategy companies, and then so I think there's a differentiation there, 66 00:03:26,520 --> 00:03:29,519 Speaker 1: which we'll dig into. But if we think about one 67 00:03:29,560 --> 00:03:31,120 Speaker 1: thing that I'm seeing, and I try to kind of 68 00:03:31,160 --> 00:03:35,280 Speaker 1: break down to people, is how different what treasury strategy 69 00:03:35,280 --> 00:03:38,600 Speaker 1: companies are doing versus traditional businesses, One of which is 70 00:03:38,640 --> 00:03:42,640 Speaker 1: that the entire financial world is based off of discounted 71 00:03:42,640 --> 00:03:46,040 Speaker 1: future cash flows and like pe ratios, Right, so we're 72 00:03:46,040 --> 00:03:49,040 Speaker 1: buying a stock at a ratio based off of where 73 00:03:49,080 --> 00:03:53,040 Speaker 1: their cash flows will be in the future, and maybe 74 00:03:53,040 --> 00:03:55,200 Speaker 1: not as true today, but under the traditional lens of 75 00:03:55,200 --> 00:03:59,600 Speaker 1: Warren Buffett value investor lens, I'm buying this company because 76 00:04:00,080 --> 00:04:02,480 Speaker 1: I believe in those future cash flows and so yeah, 77 00:04:02,520 --> 00:04:04,480 Speaker 1: they should return some of those cash flows to me. 78 00:04:05,320 --> 00:04:07,880 Speaker 1: Versus a treasury strategy company is about trying to grow 79 00:04:07,880 --> 00:04:11,960 Speaker 1: the asset base, which is a different strategy altogether, isn't it. 80 00:04:11,960 --> 00:04:15,720 Speaker 2: It is, But you'd also be happy to put your 81 00:04:15,720 --> 00:04:18,600 Speaker 2: money in something that the value of it was going 82 00:04:18,640 --> 00:04:20,839 Speaker 2: to go up if you have liquidity and can take 83 00:04:20,839 --> 00:04:25,159 Speaker 2: it out anytime. So I think from an operating business 84 00:04:25,200 --> 00:04:28,560 Speaker 2: point of view, it's still a good business model. I 85 00:04:28,560 --> 00:04:30,680 Speaker 2: think what treasury if you want to get into, what 86 00:04:30,800 --> 00:04:34,400 Speaker 2: is the business of treasury companies. They're not just holding companies, 87 00:04:34,600 --> 00:04:40,000 Speaker 2: they're not just financial engineering. They're taking bitcoin and they're 88 00:04:40,240 --> 00:04:44,360 Speaker 2: refining it in a way that appeals to different investor groups. 89 00:04:44,600 --> 00:04:48,640 Speaker 2: There are convertible bond investors, they're preferred stock investors. There 90 00:04:48,640 --> 00:04:51,320 Speaker 2: are folks that like all different kinds of credit instruments. 91 00:04:51,360 --> 00:04:54,960 Speaker 2: They are equity investors. And what you're doing is you're 92 00:04:55,040 --> 00:05:01,400 Speaker 2: taking bitcoin, You're underpinning that security with bitcoin, and then 93 00:05:01,440 --> 00:05:07,159 Speaker 2: you're giving that investor a percentage of the return that 94 00:05:07,200 --> 00:05:10,160 Speaker 2: we anticipate on getting on bitcoin. And the reason that 95 00:05:10,200 --> 00:05:16,200 Speaker 2: works is we have such a high estimation, guarantee, certainty 96 00:05:16,440 --> 00:05:19,880 Speaker 2: belief in the return on bitcoin that we're able to 97 00:05:19,920 --> 00:05:23,960 Speaker 2: strip off varying degrees of that return and give it 98 00:05:24,000 --> 00:05:26,440 Speaker 2: to different investors. So if you look at you know, 99 00:05:26,480 --> 00:05:32,680 Speaker 2: in the purest form STRC strategies, preferred stock, which is 100 00:05:32,720 --> 00:05:38,520 Speaker 2: currently paying an eleven percent annual dividend, pays monthly. What 101 00:05:38,560 --> 00:05:41,000 Speaker 2: they've done there is they've said, Okay, you may not 102 00:05:41,240 --> 00:05:46,320 Speaker 2: like bitcoin, but you like eleven percent return with monthly pay. 103 00:05:47,000 --> 00:05:50,680 Speaker 2: We'll take the rest of the upside that we are 104 00:05:50,720 --> 00:05:54,040 Speaker 2: certain is there with bitcoin. We'll strip off eleven percent 105 00:05:54,520 --> 00:05:57,480 Speaker 2: we'll make it in a structure where the rate ratchets 106 00:05:57,560 --> 00:06:00,279 Speaker 2: up or will sell more to keep the prices close 107 00:06:00,360 --> 00:06:03,080 Speaker 2: to part as we can. So we'll strip away the volatility. 108 00:06:03,360 --> 00:06:06,919 Speaker 2: We'll give you I think in strategies view probably a 109 00:06:06,960 --> 00:06:09,440 Speaker 2: third of the yield and we'll keep two thirds of 110 00:06:09,640 --> 00:06:14,840 Speaker 2: the yield. And so it's refining bitcoin or domesticating bitcoin 111 00:06:15,279 --> 00:06:18,760 Speaker 2: in a way that different investor groups like. And when 112 00:06:18,839 --> 00:06:22,240 Speaker 2: you do that, you get their capital and fresh capital, 113 00:06:22,240 --> 00:06:24,520 Speaker 2: and that allows you to buy more bitcoin. So for 114 00:06:24,600 --> 00:06:27,080 Speaker 2: the common shareholder, because all of these businesses have to 115 00:06:27,080 --> 00:06:32,320 Speaker 2: benefit the common shareholder, right, Your fiduciary responsibility always goes 116 00:06:32,360 --> 00:06:34,520 Speaker 2: to the common shareholder, not a debt hoolder, not a 117 00:06:34,560 --> 00:06:39,520 Speaker 2: preferred holder. Your fiduciary responsibilities are to the common shareholder. 118 00:06:40,040 --> 00:06:44,599 Speaker 2: And if the common shareholder as a result of this 119 00:06:44,760 --> 00:06:47,800 Speaker 2: is waking up with more bitcoin per share, then they 120 00:06:47,800 --> 00:06:51,440 Speaker 2: went to sleep with, then the exercise is worth doing. 121 00:06:52,080 --> 00:06:55,039 Speaker 1: Yeah, you know, I've spent so much time down in 122 00:06:55,080 --> 00:06:57,680 Speaker 1: this rabbit hole. It seems so obvious to me. And 123 00:06:57,880 --> 00:07:02,560 Speaker 1: we have very similar, similar adjacent business models in the 124 00:07:02,560 --> 00:07:05,680 Speaker 1: world where like a bank takes deposits, they pay a 125 00:07:05,760 --> 00:07:08,480 Speaker 1: yield on those deposits I'll be very low, but they 126 00:07:08,480 --> 00:07:11,640 Speaker 1: pay a yield and then they invest those deposits, loaning 127 00:07:11,680 --> 00:07:14,920 Speaker 1: them back out, and then they make a spread. And 128 00:07:14,960 --> 00:07:17,960 Speaker 1: it's not just banks, I mean other asset heavy businesses. 129 00:07:18,000 --> 00:07:20,960 Speaker 1: You might have a gold mining company, for example, right 130 00:07:21,080 --> 00:07:24,720 Speaker 1: receive shareholder capital, invest into assets in the ground. They 131 00:07:24,720 --> 00:07:26,560 Speaker 1: expect those asked to be worth more in the future. 132 00:07:26,560 --> 00:07:28,760 Speaker 1: They pay out a yield or whatever. And so it 133 00:07:28,800 --> 00:07:33,120 Speaker 1: seems very common, but for some reason, the majority of 134 00:07:33,120 --> 00:07:36,080 Speaker 1: people just can't seem to figure out even though we 135 00:07:36,120 --> 00:07:38,560 Speaker 1: have these parallels, what do you think that what do 136 00:07:38,560 --> 00:07:40,720 Speaker 1: you think is blocking most people from just sort of 137 00:07:40,760 --> 00:07:43,960 Speaker 1: realizing the simplicity and the elegance of that model. 138 00:07:45,000 --> 00:07:48,680 Speaker 2: I think the reason it's challenging for some people to 139 00:07:48,800 --> 00:07:52,920 Speaker 2: accept it is they start with a cynical view of bitcoin, 140 00:07:53,720 --> 00:07:55,960 Speaker 2: and so the fact that this is based on bitcoin, 141 00:07:56,040 --> 00:07:58,480 Speaker 2: all of a sudden, they're like, Oh, this is a scam, 142 00:07:58,520 --> 00:08:01,720 Speaker 2: this is part of a scam. They're leveraging up a scam, 143 00:08:02,080 --> 00:08:05,320 Speaker 2: and their brand is already predisposed to view it negatively, 144 00:08:06,720 --> 00:08:09,640 Speaker 2: you know. But there's been there have been great feedback 145 00:08:09,920 --> 00:08:13,880 Speaker 2: from and I shouldn't mention their names, but you know, 146 00:08:14,760 --> 00:08:20,320 Speaker 2: very high profile, well known pioneers who pioneered high yield 147 00:08:20,400 --> 00:08:26,800 Speaker 2: debt and shelf registrations, at ms and things of that nature, 148 00:08:27,240 --> 00:08:30,840 Speaker 2: who were never fully appreciated for their innovations. And they've 149 00:08:30,880 --> 00:08:35,560 Speaker 2: seen what strategies done, and you know they've conveyed to 150 00:08:35,800 --> 00:08:39,920 Speaker 2: Michael you know just how you know incredible his his 151 00:08:40,800 --> 00:08:46,080 Speaker 2: usage of these financial instruments has been so it is 152 00:08:46,160 --> 00:08:49,720 Speaker 2: you know, financial engineering almost has a derogatory hint to it, 153 00:08:50,200 --> 00:08:54,839 Speaker 2: but it's pretty incredible that you know that that strategy 154 00:08:54,840 --> 00:08:58,160 Speaker 2: and others are kind of teaching Wall Street how best 155 00:08:58,200 --> 00:09:00,000 Speaker 2: to use some of these tools that have been around 156 00:09:00,080 --> 00:09:00,880 Speaker 2: on for a long time. 157 00:09:01,120 --> 00:09:03,200 Speaker 1: Yeah, I would agree with you. I mean, if you 158 00:09:03,240 --> 00:09:06,200 Speaker 1: don't believe in bitcoin's long term appreciation and long term 159 00:09:06,280 --> 00:09:09,040 Speaker 1: use case, then none of them makes any sense, Like 160 00:09:09,120 --> 00:09:11,040 Speaker 1: why would you even go into them? And sure, I 161 00:09:11,040 --> 00:09:14,200 Speaker 1: guess I could be a yield investor because they're guaranteeing 162 00:09:14,240 --> 00:09:16,040 Speaker 1: they have assets, so okay, I'll trust the yield. I 163 00:09:16,080 --> 00:09:18,560 Speaker 1: don't believe in what you're doing, but I believe in 164 00:09:18,600 --> 00:09:21,720 Speaker 1: your collateral base or your ability to repay. But from 165 00:09:21,720 --> 00:09:23,640 Speaker 1: a from a main standpoint, yeah, if you don't believe 166 00:09:23,679 --> 00:09:25,240 Speaker 1: in the long term use case of bitcoin, then it 167 00:09:25,280 --> 00:09:28,360 Speaker 1: doesn't really make sense. But then I would ask the question, then, 168 00:09:28,440 --> 00:09:33,920 Speaker 1: why do most bitcoiners misunderstand not even be able to 169 00:09:34,000 --> 00:09:36,640 Speaker 1: understand what's going on because they obviously believe the bitcoin 170 00:09:36,760 --> 00:09:37,160 Speaker 1: use case. 171 00:09:38,360 --> 00:09:42,600 Speaker 2: I don't know that miss most bitcoiners do misunderstand. I 172 00:09:42,600 --> 00:09:47,440 Speaker 2: think there's a difference between most bitcoiners and the bitcoiners. 173 00:09:46,800 --> 00:09:48,160 Speaker 1: On Okay, good point. 174 00:09:48,840 --> 00:09:54,040 Speaker 2: So you know, we all spend a lot of time 175 00:09:54,200 --> 00:09:59,920 Speaker 2: on that platform, which I love, where there's actually free speech. However, 176 00:10:00,000 --> 00:10:02,040 Speaker 2: there are a lot of people on the planet and 177 00:10:02,080 --> 00:10:07,120 Speaker 2: most of them aren't on x and Strategy, for example, 178 00:10:07,200 --> 00:10:12,280 Speaker 2: has fifty five million beneficial shareholders. So there are an 179 00:10:12,400 --> 00:10:17,040 Speaker 2: awful lot of direct and indirect investors who do get 180 00:10:17,080 --> 00:10:18,880 Speaker 2: it and do believe in it. And that's just the 181 00:10:18,920 --> 00:10:22,160 Speaker 2: common stock. Then you've got you know, all the uh, 182 00:10:22,960 --> 00:10:25,040 Speaker 2: all the other securities that people hold. So I think 183 00:10:25,080 --> 00:10:27,120 Speaker 2: there are I think there are a number of believers. 184 00:10:28,320 --> 00:10:35,640 Speaker 2: But you know, bitcoin bitcoin maximalists have such a strong 185 00:10:35,800 --> 00:10:40,800 Speaker 2: views and uh, it's always struck me as peculiar that 186 00:10:41,400 --> 00:10:44,920 Speaker 2: for an asset like bitcoin that's all about freedom, that 187 00:10:45,040 --> 00:10:48,840 Speaker 2: a lot of bitcoin maximalists uh don't seem to want 188 00:10:48,880 --> 00:10:52,440 Speaker 2: to extend the freedom to people of how they choose 189 00:10:52,480 --> 00:10:53,160 Speaker 2: to Bitcoin. 190 00:10:53,800 --> 00:10:56,319 Speaker 1: Of interesting, I think a lot of a bitcoin is 191 00:10:56,360 --> 00:10:59,120 Speaker 1: also sort of come in with this sound money thesis 192 00:10:59,160 --> 00:11:01,320 Speaker 1: and this deflationary currency, and so all you have to 193 00:11:01,320 --> 00:11:02,760 Speaker 1: do is just hold it and that's all you have 194 00:11:02,840 --> 00:11:05,920 Speaker 1: to do, which is true. You can just hoddle bitcoin 195 00:11:05,960 --> 00:11:08,720 Speaker 1: and outperform pretty much everybody else, you know, the funds, 196 00:11:08,720 --> 00:11:13,400 Speaker 1: et cetera. But they fail to understand the greater financial 197 00:11:13,400 --> 00:11:16,480 Speaker 1: system that we have today. For example, just for example, 198 00:11:17,040 --> 00:11:20,839 Speaker 1: the three hundred trillion dollars of demand for yield products. 199 00:11:21,760 --> 00:11:25,600 Speaker 1: And if I'm seventy eight years old, I need yield. 200 00:11:25,720 --> 00:11:27,400 Speaker 1: I need to pay for my medicine, and I need 201 00:11:27,400 --> 00:11:29,320 Speaker 1: to pay for my rent, and I can't hoddle for 202 00:11:29,360 --> 00:11:31,840 Speaker 1: five years. I can't. I'm seventy eight or whatever, right, 203 00:11:32,520 --> 00:11:35,800 Speaker 1: and so I need yield today, And like bitcoinners, so 204 00:11:35,920 --> 00:11:39,160 Speaker 1: then those people shouldn't They should just die. They can't hoddle, 205 00:11:39,200 --> 00:11:41,080 Speaker 1: so then they're cut out, and so like, they just 206 00:11:41,120 --> 00:11:43,599 Speaker 1: fail to understand the way the world is working in 207 00:11:43,640 --> 00:11:45,840 Speaker 1: the demand for these types of and the need for 208 00:11:45,880 --> 00:11:47,240 Speaker 1: these types of things. 209 00:11:47,559 --> 00:11:54,200 Speaker 2: Yeah, our obligations in life are in fiat and we've 210 00:11:54,240 --> 00:11:57,679 Speaker 2: got to make mortgage payments, rent payments, car payments, whatever, 211 00:11:58,320 --> 00:12:00,840 Speaker 2: you know, food payments, whatever it is that we're that 212 00:12:00,880 --> 00:12:05,120 Speaker 2: we need our money for. And some of these yield 213 00:12:05,120 --> 00:12:09,400 Speaker 2: products are great for that because if you understand the 214 00:12:09,440 --> 00:12:12,520 Speaker 2: collateral a little bit, and something like Stretch doesn't scare 215 00:12:12,559 --> 00:12:15,800 Speaker 2: you because you think five times over collateralized with bitcoin 216 00:12:16,320 --> 00:12:19,720 Speaker 2: of a product that's yielding eleven percent is sufficiently secure 217 00:12:19,760 --> 00:12:22,199 Speaker 2: for you. Then you can put some money in that 218 00:12:22,760 --> 00:12:26,280 Speaker 2: and you'll have income and cash flow that you can 219 00:12:26,600 --> 00:12:28,920 Speaker 2: you know, live in a feat world and and that 220 00:12:28,960 --> 00:12:32,080 Speaker 2: will allow you to kind of leave your bitcoin stash 221 00:12:32,240 --> 00:12:33,760 Speaker 2: untouched through the volatility. 222 00:12:34,360 --> 00:12:36,199 Speaker 1: Yeah, And like I said, I mean maybe you're older, 223 00:12:36,280 --> 00:12:38,520 Speaker 1: you can't you can't hoddle for five years and they 224 00:12:38,520 --> 00:12:39,719 Speaker 1: can't handle the volatility. 225 00:12:39,880 --> 00:12:40,160 Speaker 2: Yeah. 226 00:12:40,400 --> 00:12:43,199 Speaker 1: I look at it also as like, you know, two 227 00:12:43,240 --> 00:12:45,600 Speaker 1: types of people in the world. You have consumers and creators, 228 00:12:45,640 --> 00:12:47,720 Speaker 1: and so the creators are always going to create more 229 00:12:47,800 --> 00:12:50,240 Speaker 1: than they consume. And so I think there's always two 230 00:12:50,240 --> 00:12:51,840 Speaker 1: truths that will be there. And a lot of bitcoiners 231 00:12:51,880 --> 00:12:53,920 Speaker 1: maybe don't understand this, and so I'll get your take, 232 00:12:54,000 --> 00:12:56,640 Speaker 1: But like there's always going to be people who have 233 00:12:56,720 --> 00:12:59,440 Speaker 1: created more than they've consumed and so they have they 234 00:12:59,440 --> 00:13:01,960 Speaker 1: have saving and they're gonna want to loan that out, 235 00:13:02,679 --> 00:13:04,600 Speaker 1: and they're gonna need yield because you said, you know, 236 00:13:04,640 --> 00:13:06,760 Speaker 1: they need their pay their expenses. And then there's always 237 00:13:06,760 --> 00:13:10,040 Speaker 1: people that need to borrow. I need to expand my operations, 238 00:13:10,040 --> 00:13:12,440 Speaker 1: I need to build factory equipment. Like, there's always a 239 00:13:12,520 --> 00:13:14,599 Speaker 1: demand for borrowing, and there's always people that want to 240 00:13:14,600 --> 00:13:17,480 Speaker 1: loan it out. And so why wouldn't that just happen 241 00:13:17,520 --> 00:13:20,200 Speaker 1: on the bitcoin asset base as opposed to a fiat base. 242 00:13:20,720 --> 00:13:23,600 Speaker 1: Every day we see headlines about inflation and dead and 243 00:13:23,679 --> 00:13:27,079 Speaker 1: diminishing control over our own money. That's why I always 244 00:13:27,080 --> 00:13:29,760 Speaker 1: come back to bitcoin because it's built for generations, it's 245 00:13:29,760 --> 00:13:33,079 Speaker 1: built for legacy. But protecting your bitcoin legacy the right 246 00:13:33,080 --> 00:13:36,920 Speaker 1: way is not always simple. It demands discipline, focus, and 247 00:13:36,960 --> 00:13:40,560 Speaker 1: the right partner. Now that's why I personally use unchained Signature. 248 00:13:40,760 --> 00:13:44,520 Speaker 1: It's a premium private client service for serious bitcoin holders 249 00:13:44,559 --> 00:13:49,600 Speaker 1: who want expert guidance, resilient custody, and enduring partnership. 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So if 259 00:14:21,720 --> 00:14:24,760 Speaker 1: you want to get set up, check out Unchained signature 260 00:14:24,920 --> 00:14:28,720 Speaker 1: at unchained dot com, slash mark Moss and as a 261 00:14:28,760 --> 00:14:31,320 Speaker 1: loyal listener, I got a discount for you. Just use 262 00:14:31,360 --> 00:14:34,400 Speaker 1: code Moss ten at checkout to get ten percent off 263 00:14:34,560 --> 00:14:37,600 Speaker 1: your first year. Because your bitcoin isn't just for life, 264 00:14:38,120 --> 00:14:39,760 Speaker 1: it's for generations. 265 00:14:39,520 --> 00:14:46,160 Speaker 2: Yeah, it would, you know. Probably my biggest uh peeve 266 00:14:46,280 --> 00:14:51,960 Speaker 2: right now is people lending out or rehypothecating their bitcoin. 267 00:14:53,240 --> 00:14:57,320 Speaker 2: I think that this is a really pernicious thing. It's 268 00:14:57,480 --> 00:15:03,040 Speaker 2: incredibly negative for bitcoin and the spot price of bitcoin. 269 00:15:03,560 --> 00:15:06,080 Speaker 2: I think in large part it's part of what is 270 00:15:06,440 --> 00:15:12,800 Speaker 2: suppressing the price. And you've got treasury companies, you've got miners, 271 00:15:12,920 --> 00:15:16,240 Speaker 2: you've got individuals with lots of bitcoin, kind of like 272 00:15:16,280 --> 00:15:19,320 Speaker 2: you were saying, and they want to earn some yield 273 00:15:19,360 --> 00:15:23,280 Speaker 2: on their bitcoin, so they're lending their bitcoin out. The 274 00:15:23,880 --> 00:15:28,760 Speaker 2: problem with that is the borrowers of bitcoin are not 275 00:15:28,920 --> 00:15:32,080 Speaker 2: people who love and want to hold bitcoin. Those people 276 00:15:32,160 --> 00:15:36,120 Speaker 2: have bitcoin. The borrowers of bitcoin are people who want 277 00:15:36,120 --> 00:15:39,080 Speaker 2: to short it because you can't sell bitcoin if you 278 00:15:39,120 --> 00:15:41,760 Speaker 2: don't own it, so they have to borrow it to 279 00:15:41,880 --> 00:15:45,080 Speaker 2: short it, and they've got some duration on their trade, 280 00:15:45,440 --> 00:15:47,280 Speaker 2: and they say, Okay, I think bitcoin's going to go 281 00:15:47,360 --> 00:15:50,280 Speaker 2: down over the next year, I'll pay you, you know, 282 00:15:50,320 --> 00:15:53,960 Speaker 2: whatever the market rate is to borrow x amount of 283 00:15:54,000 --> 00:15:56,800 Speaker 2: bitcoin from you, and then I'll sell it. And it's 284 00:15:56,920 --> 00:16:01,720 Speaker 2: very possible that it gets rehypothecated then by whoever bought it, 285 00:16:02,200 --> 00:16:06,720 Speaker 2: and you get this cycle of rehypothecation which creates multiple 286 00:16:06,800 --> 00:16:10,479 Speaker 2: sellers from one bitcoin, and so we have a circulating 287 00:16:10,560 --> 00:16:14,440 Speaker 2: supply of bitcoin on the cell side of the market 288 00:16:14,920 --> 00:16:18,840 Speaker 2: that is just suppressing the price. And it's a it's 289 00:16:18,880 --> 00:16:20,560 Speaker 2: a big, big problem in my opinion. 290 00:16:20,640 --> 00:16:22,800 Speaker 1: Yes, certainly, I mean it for a lot of reasons. 291 00:16:22,800 --> 00:16:25,160 Speaker 1: To your point, it sort of gives these short sellers 292 00:16:25,200 --> 00:16:28,240 Speaker 1: the ammunition they need, which is one problem, but it 293 00:16:28,280 --> 00:16:30,880 Speaker 1: also takes away the demand on the other side as well, right, 294 00:16:30,920 --> 00:16:32,800 Speaker 1: So they're not buying the bitcoin that they should have been. 295 00:16:33,600 --> 00:16:35,240 Speaker 1: They're borrowing correct. 296 00:16:35,560 --> 00:16:38,160 Speaker 2: Yeah, because when they sell it, they're not buying it, right, 297 00:16:38,200 --> 00:16:40,880 Speaker 2: they're borrowing it, so they're not they're not paying for it, 298 00:16:41,280 --> 00:16:44,920 Speaker 2: they're just paying interest and then returning it. Right. So yes, 299 00:16:45,000 --> 00:16:47,840 Speaker 2: down the road, when they close their you know, short 300 00:16:47,960 --> 00:16:50,440 Speaker 2: or borrow, they have to deliver the bitcoin back. But 301 00:16:50,560 --> 00:16:53,160 Speaker 2: you're in the meantime, you're creating tons of sellers for 302 00:16:53,240 --> 00:16:57,000 Speaker 2: this one bitcoin that got loan, right, and it's it's 303 00:16:57,040 --> 00:17:00,320 Speaker 2: it's killing us. And it's all because you know, people 304 00:17:00,320 --> 00:17:04,840 Speaker 2: want to compete for single digit percentages yield on their bitcoin, right. 305 00:17:05,480 --> 00:17:08,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean we've been so ingrained that we have 306 00:17:08,080 --> 00:17:10,600 Speaker 1: to put our assets to work and they have to 307 00:17:10,640 --> 00:17:12,320 Speaker 1: earn a yield, and so they want to do that. 308 00:17:12,400 --> 00:17:14,640 Speaker 1: But what do you think I mean, because we've had 309 00:17:15,040 --> 00:17:17,560 Speaker 1: cash settled futures for a long time, and which is 310 00:17:17,600 --> 00:17:21,560 Speaker 1: basically the same thing, we see new types of cash 311 00:17:21,600 --> 00:17:23,920 Speaker 1: settled stuff coming out. JP Morgan came out with a 312 00:17:23,960 --> 00:17:27,199 Speaker 1: new structured product that doesn't actually buy bitcoin, So all 313 00:17:27,240 --> 00:17:30,199 Speaker 1: of that compounds it or do you see the rehypothication 314 00:17:30,320 --> 00:17:32,160 Speaker 1: of the bitcoin being something different than that. 315 00:17:33,640 --> 00:17:35,399 Speaker 2: I think it compounds it, but I do see the 316 00:17:36,640 --> 00:17:40,119 Speaker 2: rehypothication of the bitcoin is something that's like really clear 317 00:17:40,200 --> 00:17:43,719 Speaker 2: and very easy for folks to understand, and it's like 318 00:17:43,960 --> 00:17:49,280 Speaker 2: it's really pernicious. It's super evil because the way you 319 00:17:49,320 --> 00:17:53,359 Speaker 2: put an asset with fixed supply to work is you 320 00:17:53,440 --> 00:17:57,119 Speaker 2: take it out of circulation. It's working by you sitting 321 00:17:57,119 --> 00:17:59,720 Speaker 2: on it and not selling it and keeping it secure. 322 00:18:00,160 --> 00:18:03,120 Speaker 2: It's working, and the second you loan it back out, 323 00:18:03,359 --> 00:18:04,919 Speaker 2: it starts working against you. 324 00:18:05,119 --> 00:18:11,880 Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, yeah. I talk about it like owning assets, 325 00:18:11,960 --> 00:18:15,399 Speaker 1: never selling assets, and then your bitcoin, and then I 326 00:18:15,480 --> 00:18:17,920 Speaker 1: call it either I use it term like renting liquidity 327 00:18:17,920 --> 00:18:19,719 Speaker 1: against the asset, or I like to think of bitcoin 328 00:18:19,760 --> 00:18:22,639 Speaker 1: and then harvesting the appreciation of the bitcoin, so like 329 00:18:22,960 --> 00:18:26,800 Speaker 1: I could turn bitcoin into a yield asset by harvesting 330 00:18:26,840 --> 00:18:29,080 Speaker 1: some of the appreciation with debt, sort of like what 331 00:18:29,160 --> 00:18:31,600 Speaker 1: sailor is doing with stretch for example, but from like 332 00:18:31,640 --> 00:18:35,080 Speaker 1: an individual personal level. If I also think that bitcoin 333 00:18:35,119 --> 00:18:38,200 Speaker 1: is going up by thirty forty fifty percent per year compounding, 334 00:18:38,520 --> 00:18:41,760 Speaker 1: I could borrow ten percent against it each year, which 335 00:18:41,800 --> 00:18:44,679 Speaker 1: then that debt is tax free because it's debt, and 336 00:18:44,720 --> 00:18:46,359 Speaker 1: I'm just harvesting a little bit. But I don't I 337 00:18:46,400 --> 00:18:50,160 Speaker 1: don't stop the compounding, so the asset is still compounding. 338 00:18:50,160 --> 00:18:52,679 Speaker 1: It's still technically out of service obviously, as long as 339 00:18:52,680 --> 00:18:55,680 Speaker 1: you're boring from somebody who's not re hypothecating very key piece. 340 00:18:56,640 --> 00:18:58,919 Speaker 1: But then I keep the asset in my custody, I 341 00:18:59,000 --> 00:19:01,520 Speaker 1: keep it from being loan back out working against me, 342 00:19:01,600 --> 00:19:07,160 Speaker 1: and I can still harvest the appreciation as well. So maybe, yeah, 343 00:19:07,280 --> 00:19:07,760 Speaker 1: you have to. 344 00:19:09,200 --> 00:19:11,080 Speaker 2: If you have to give up some of the upside 345 00:19:11,320 --> 00:19:13,960 Speaker 2: on your bitcoin in order to get present day fiat 346 00:19:14,000 --> 00:19:20,640 Speaker 2: to live. You know, that's understandable. In the best case scenario, 347 00:19:21,280 --> 00:19:26,200 Speaker 2: companies or individuals have some kind of FIAT income, uh, 348 00:19:26,240 --> 00:19:27,960 Speaker 2: and they don't need to do that, and they can 349 00:19:28,560 --> 00:19:33,400 Speaker 2: take whatever extra because there's no such thing as extra money, 350 00:19:33,440 --> 00:19:35,760 Speaker 2: but they take whatever, you know, money they don't need 351 00:19:35,760 --> 00:19:38,000 Speaker 2: in the short term and add that to their stack. 352 00:19:38,720 --> 00:19:41,280 Speaker 2: You know that that's the ideal scenario. But for people, 353 00:19:41,680 --> 00:19:44,800 Speaker 2: you know, obviously the person who's one hundred percent into bitcoin, 354 00:19:45,200 --> 00:19:48,359 Speaker 2: if they have to sell a little periodically or you know, 355 00:19:48,880 --> 00:19:51,600 Speaker 2: do a little, you know, kind of debt type thing 356 00:19:51,640 --> 00:19:54,560 Speaker 2: in order to live day to day. You know, that's 357 00:19:54,640 --> 00:19:58,680 Speaker 2: not what I'm talking about. I'm talking about companies with many, 358 00:19:58,720 --> 00:20:02,640 Speaker 2: many thousands of bitcoin and that are loaning out thousands 359 00:20:02,680 --> 00:20:07,360 Speaker 2: of bitcoin, which now there's thousands of bitcoin for sale. 360 00:20:07,560 --> 00:20:10,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, and I know you know you've worked firsthand with 361 00:20:10,600 --> 00:20:13,000 Speaker 1: a bunch of these treasury companies, so from the inner 362 00:20:13,080 --> 00:20:16,280 Speaker 1: workings without dropping in the names obviously, I mean you've 363 00:20:16,440 --> 00:20:18,880 Speaker 1: you're seeing this actually going down. People are doing this. 364 00:20:20,480 --> 00:20:23,880 Speaker 2: And not the companies that I'm right, but that's with 365 00:20:24,000 --> 00:20:27,360 Speaker 2: but but yes, yeah, very much. So. You know, you'll 366 00:20:27,400 --> 00:20:30,639 Speaker 2: see a lot of times you'll see debt deals in 367 00:20:30,680 --> 00:20:34,360 Speaker 2: these companies and they say, Okay, we'll give you this debt, 368 00:20:34,520 --> 00:20:37,800 Speaker 2: but we really need to take possession of the bitcoin. 369 00:20:38,080 --> 00:20:40,239 Speaker 2: We'll give you a lower rate on the debt if 370 00:20:40,280 --> 00:20:44,240 Speaker 2: you let us, you know, encumber it personally and hold 371 00:20:44,280 --> 00:20:46,600 Speaker 2: it in our Why are they giving you a lower 372 00:20:46,680 --> 00:20:50,159 Speaker 2: rate if you do that. They're doing it because they're lending, right, 373 00:20:50,680 --> 00:20:54,280 Speaker 2: And so yeah, that's that's the stuff that I think 374 00:20:54,359 --> 00:20:55,720 Speaker 2: is problem. 375 00:20:55,320 --> 00:20:57,720 Speaker 1: At Yeah, how big of a problem do you think 376 00:20:57,800 --> 00:21:00,040 Speaker 1: that is? I mean, do you have any sort of 377 00:21:00,119 --> 00:21:02,439 Speaker 1: estimation of about like how many bitcoins or how much this 378 00:21:02,520 --> 00:21:05,280 Speaker 1: is actually influencing thing. Or is it more like, hey, this, 379 00:21:05,400 --> 00:21:07,679 Speaker 1: we see this growing and it could become a problem, 380 00:21:07,720 --> 00:21:09,719 Speaker 1: so maybe we should start talking about it and stopping 381 00:21:09,720 --> 00:21:10,760 Speaker 1: it before it gets too big. 382 00:21:11,960 --> 00:21:14,680 Speaker 2: No, I think I think it is currently a problem. 383 00:21:14,920 --> 00:21:17,800 Speaker 2: I you know, I know of large enough pools of 384 00:21:17,840 --> 00:21:23,000 Speaker 2: bitcoin that are being loaned out, So I think it's 385 00:21:23,080 --> 00:21:26,880 Speaker 2: currently a problem, not a potential problem. Okay, I think 386 00:21:27,800 --> 00:21:29,520 Speaker 2: I think think about it this. Think about it in 387 00:21:29,560 --> 00:21:33,960 Speaker 2: the extreme. If everybody who held bitcoin refused to lend 388 00:21:33,960 --> 00:21:36,320 Speaker 2: it out, where would the price be now? Right? 389 00:21:36,400 --> 00:21:37,240 Speaker 1: Yeah, if there was. 390 00:21:37,680 --> 00:21:42,320 Speaker 2: Because the truth is, the vast majority of folks and 391 00:21:42,359 --> 00:21:45,520 Speaker 2: when I say folks, I mean individuals or corporations that 392 00:21:45,560 --> 00:21:49,040 Speaker 2: hold bitcoin. They're holding bitcoin as a long term store 393 00:21:49,040 --> 00:21:52,920 Speaker 2: of value. There are no there There really aren't natural 394 00:21:53,040 --> 00:21:55,960 Speaker 2: sellers that are long bitcoin. Yes, you get your share 395 00:21:55,960 --> 00:21:58,800 Speaker 2: of traders, but it's not that many, right, And so 396 00:21:58,880 --> 00:22:02,159 Speaker 2: if you, if you, if the long term holders just 397 00:22:02,240 --> 00:22:05,639 Speaker 2: didn't let their bitcoin get back into circulation to sell, 398 00:22:05,960 --> 00:22:09,919 Speaker 2: there'd be very little, you know, supply for sale, and 399 00:22:09,960 --> 00:22:11,879 Speaker 2: we'd have a supply demand in balance, and the price 400 00:22:11,960 --> 00:22:12,840 Speaker 2: would go Yeah. 401 00:22:12,920 --> 00:22:15,200 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean we know for sure. I mean Celsius 402 00:22:15,240 --> 00:22:18,919 Speaker 1: and blockfire that went down, and you know, probably FTX 403 00:22:19,080 --> 00:22:20,680 Speaker 1: was engaged in that as well. For sure, they were 404 00:22:20,680 --> 00:22:23,439 Speaker 1: doing a lot of re highproflication, so so giving people 405 00:22:23,560 --> 00:22:26,359 Speaker 1: very low it's if you don't pay for the product, 406 00:22:26,359 --> 00:22:27,920 Speaker 1: you are the products. So you're getting a one percent 407 00:22:28,000 --> 00:22:30,760 Speaker 1: rate on a loan, what do you think is happening? 408 00:22:30,920 --> 00:22:32,840 Speaker 1: And so that was that was really rampant. I don't 409 00:22:32,840 --> 00:22:35,359 Speaker 1: know how much I've been seeing that today, but certainly 410 00:22:35,359 --> 00:22:37,879 Speaker 1: the bitcoin treasury companies I suppose could do that as well. 411 00:22:38,400 --> 00:22:40,439 Speaker 1: So I guess the thing is if you want, if 412 00:22:40,440 --> 00:22:41,800 Speaker 1: you do want to give your money to a bitcoin 413 00:22:41,880 --> 00:22:43,959 Speaker 1: treasury company, maybe you should just see what they're doing 414 00:22:43,960 --> 00:22:45,719 Speaker 1: with the bitcoin making sure they don't have a policy 415 00:22:45,800 --> 00:22:46,840 Speaker 1: to loan that back out. 416 00:22:47,480 --> 00:22:48,080 Speaker 2: Absolutely. 417 00:22:48,400 --> 00:22:49,920 Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, because you don't. 418 00:22:50,240 --> 00:22:52,320 Speaker 2: I think it's the kind of thing that you know, 419 00:22:53,200 --> 00:22:56,920 Speaker 2: at these Bitcoin for Corporations conferences and stuff, this should 420 00:22:56,920 --> 00:23:00,240 Speaker 2: be a hot topic. Yeah, because all the company is 421 00:23:00,280 --> 00:23:04,000 Speaker 2: in this space, they're long term believers in bitcoin. And 422 00:23:04,040 --> 00:23:06,520 Speaker 2: while the spot price of bitcoin is not the be 423 00:23:06,680 --> 00:23:08,800 Speaker 2: all end all for those of us in the bitcoin 424 00:23:08,840 --> 00:23:13,960 Speaker 2: community who have you know, more theoretical kind of things 425 00:23:14,000 --> 00:23:17,280 Speaker 2: that matter as well, the spot price matters. 426 00:23:17,400 --> 00:23:20,080 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean it does. If it's a store of value, 427 00:23:20,119 --> 00:23:22,160 Speaker 1: then it should hold its value, and so the price 428 00:23:22,200 --> 00:23:23,840 Speaker 1: has to go up if it's going to be a 429 00:23:23,880 --> 00:23:24,800 Speaker 1: store of value. 430 00:23:24,720 --> 00:23:27,800 Speaker 2: And we're an emerging store of values, so it's got 431 00:23:27,840 --> 00:23:30,320 Speaker 2: to do more than hold. It's got to go up 432 00:23:30,840 --> 00:23:36,120 Speaker 2: relatively dramatically. Yeah, you know, the the in the medium term. 433 00:23:36,240 --> 00:23:39,399 Speaker 1: Yeah. Now on top of that, then we do also 434 00:23:39,520 --> 00:23:43,160 Speaker 1: have the cash settled futures, and we have JP Morgan 435 00:23:43,240 --> 00:23:46,439 Speaker 1: now jumping in. I'm curious your take on JP Morgan 436 00:23:47,480 --> 00:23:51,200 Speaker 1: if you've seen some of the maybe coincidental smoke, maybe 437 00:23:51,200 --> 00:23:54,200 Speaker 1: there's some fire there, but it seemed like a very 438 00:23:54,240 --> 00:23:58,000 Speaker 1: strange coincidence. On October tenth, Trump put out the tweet 439 00:23:58,000 --> 00:24:00,480 Speaker 1: about one hundred percent tariffs on China, which then the 440 00:24:00,520 --> 00:24:02,760 Speaker 1: markets came down because of that, which then sent the 441 00:24:02,880 --> 00:24:07,160 Speaker 1: entire crypto market that was overleveraged into a massive down downturn. 442 00:24:08,080 --> 00:24:12,040 Speaker 1: You saw market makers getting liquidated, you know, accounts getting 443 00:24:12,359 --> 00:24:15,439 Speaker 1: ADL shutting accounts down that or even in profit. But 444 00:24:15,600 --> 00:24:18,639 Speaker 1: then if that wasn't enough, it seemed like the same 445 00:24:18,960 --> 00:24:23,240 Speaker 1: day JP Morgan changed the margin requirements on MSTR stock, 446 00:24:24,080 --> 00:24:26,520 Speaker 1: one of the most heavily traded stocks in the world. 447 00:24:26,600 --> 00:24:29,040 Speaker 1: Do everyone's doing options with it? Leverage? And they changed 448 00:24:29,080 --> 00:24:32,359 Speaker 1: the margin requirement from fifty to ninety five percent, and 449 00:24:32,440 --> 00:24:35,760 Speaker 1: maybe that was just coincidental, but then they introduced a 450 00:24:35,800 --> 00:24:37,320 Speaker 1: structured bitcoin product. 451 00:24:38,359 --> 00:24:45,119 Speaker 2: Yeah. So Jamie Diamond famously started out with the strongest 452 00:24:45,160 --> 00:24:49,560 Speaker 2: anti bitcoin rhetoric, right like, if I see anybody working 453 00:24:49,560 --> 00:24:53,040 Speaker 2: for me trading and I'll fire them, and you know 454 00:24:53,640 --> 00:24:59,160 Speaker 2: it's it's softened and softened over time. It went. Then 455 00:24:59,200 --> 00:25:01,720 Speaker 2: it went to you know, a lot of money left 456 00:25:01,800 --> 00:25:07,280 Speaker 2: JP Morgan's private bank. I think it was, uh like 457 00:25:07,720 --> 00:25:10,400 Speaker 2: the most they'd ever have leaven a quarter wow. And 458 00:25:10,800 --> 00:25:14,000 Speaker 2: it got to Diamond and he said, what's going on 459 00:25:14,200 --> 00:25:16,440 Speaker 2: in the private bank and they said, well, we don't. 460 00:25:16,480 --> 00:25:20,359 Speaker 2: We won't let them buy bitcoin exposure. So this money 461 00:25:20,440 --> 00:25:23,280 Speaker 2: left to go buy bitcoin exposure. And that's you know, 462 00:25:23,359 --> 00:25:25,240 Speaker 2: that's what got them to capitulate a little bit and 463 00:25:25,280 --> 00:25:30,120 Speaker 2: allow people to buy I GB It was. It was great. 464 00:25:30,160 --> 00:25:32,680 Speaker 2: Only GBTC was around at that point. It was a 465 00:25:32,720 --> 00:25:36,520 Speaker 2: gray scout, right, there wasn't ib yet, and so that's 466 00:25:36,520 --> 00:25:40,040 Speaker 2: what that's what's flipped that And then he's gotten softer 467 00:25:40,119 --> 00:25:43,960 Speaker 2: and softer, and then he analogizes it to like tobacco. 468 00:25:44,040 --> 00:25:46,720 Speaker 2: He's like, I don't recommend people smoke, but we don't 469 00:25:47,080 --> 00:25:50,200 Speaker 2: stop people from buying Philip Morris and so. And now 470 00:25:50,920 --> 00:25:53,640 Speaker 2: they're doing their own things. Now they're providing collateral. Now 471 00:25:53,640 --> 00:25:55,840 Speaker 2: they're doing all kinds of stuff. So it's like, I think, 472 00:25:56,280 --> 00:25:58,320 Speaker 2: on one hand, we have to look at the progression 473 00:25:58,760 --> 00:26:02,240 Speaker 2: of how he vilified, hated us, and now more and 474 00:26:02,320 --> 00:26:07,679 Speaker 2: more he's coming to participate and even potentially trying to 475 00:26:07,680 --> 00:26:12,000 Speaker 2: steal some of our business, so to speak. Right, And 476 00:26:12,119 --> 00:26:14,399 Speaker 2: that's what happens when Wall Street comes in, right, Like, 477 00:26:14,600 --> 00:26:17,480 Speaker 2: they go after the money, and I think that's a 478 00:26:17,480 --> 00:26:19,440 Speaker 2: win for us. I would position that as a win. 479 00:26:20,800 --> 00:26:25,040 Speaker 2: I think they did it in a shitty way. But 480 00:26:25,680 --> 00:26:30,240 Speaker 2: you know, whether it was coincidental or intentional, I wouldn't 481 00:26:30,280 --> 00:26:33,560 Speaker 2: have any idea. But JP Morgan went from a hater 482 00:26:33,720 --> 00:26:38,359 Speaker 2: to participate it. Yeah, so that's in the grand scheme 483 00:26:38,400 --> 00:26:40,400 Speaker 2: of things, that's not bad. Well. 484 00:26:40,440 --> 00:26:43,320 Speaker 1: I do like to think that intelligence is the ability 485 00:26:43,359 --> 00:26:45,280 Speaker 1: to receive new information and change your mind, And so 486 00:26:45,320 --> 00:26:47,560 Speaker 1: I do like to think that just like Sailor pivoted 487 00:26:47,600 --> 00:26:50,600 Speaker 1: from his twenty thirteen to tweet about bitcoin, Just like 488 00:26:50,640 --> 00:26:52,639 Speaker 1: we've seen Larry Fink pivot off of it, and I 489 00:26:53,359 --> 00:26:57,080 Speaker 1: believe Larry Fink has changed his mind. Donald Trump changed 490 00:26:57,119 --> 00:26:59,520 Speaker 1: his mind, and I suppose Jamie Diamond could change his 491 00:26:59,560 --> 00:27:03,480 Speaker 1: mind as well, and that's okay, absolutely, So they should 492 00:27:03,480 --> 00:27:05,560 Speaker 1: receive new information and then change their mind, and now 493 00:27:05,560 --> 00:27:08,320 Speaker 1: it's become more legitimate. So I would hope that's the case. 494 00:27:08,359 --> 00:27:09,880 Speaker 1: I do think with like I said, with Larry Fink, 495 00:27:09,960 --> 00:27:11,919 Speaker 1: I think it's the case. Obviously, Sailor was Trump. I 496 00:27:11,920 --> 00:27:15,080 Speaker 1: think it is. Jamie Diamond, I don't know, and we're 497 00:27:15,080 --> 00:27:16,560 Speaker 1: still on the fence with him, although I don't know 498 00:27:16,560 --> 00:27:18,439 Speaker 1: if he saw some of his remarks at Davos, but 499 00:27:18,520 --> 00:27:19,920 Speaker 1: he's pretty based right now. 500 00:27:21,320 --> 00:27:27,639 Speaker 2: Yeah. Yeah, he took some shots at tax policy in 501 00:27:27,680 --> 00:27:29,960 Speaker 2: the US, which was kind of not party specific. 502 00:27:30,040 --> 00:27:33,639 Speaker 1: Yeah, But I think the thing that kind of worries 503 00:27:33,720 --> 00:27:35,280 Speaker 1: me though, is the product that they came out with, 504 00:27:35,320 --> 00:27:37,880 Speaker 1: the structured product that they launch is all cash settled, 505 00:27:38,200 --> 00:27:41,240 Speaker 1: so they're not actually buying bitcoin either, so it's like 506 00:27:41,600 --> 00:27:45,119 Speaker 1: it's like a paper bitcoin thing. And so from that perspective, 507 00:27:45,200 --> 00:27:46,879 Speaker 1: kind of to the point that you're making it doesn't 508 00:27:46,880 --> 00:27:49,600 Speaker 1: affect the supply and demand of bitcoin and actually, what 509 00:27:49,600 --> 00:27:51,600 Speaker 1: it does do is takes money that would normally have 510 00:27:51,640 --> 00:27:54,680 Speaker 1: bought bitcoin and instead bets it over here on the side. 511 00:27:54,720 --> 00:27:56,520 Speaker 1: So that's detrimental to Bitcoin. 512 00:27:57,440 --> 00:27:59,720 Speaker 2: Without a doubt, Without a doubt, I agree with you 513 00:27:59,840 --> 00:28:04,119 Speaker 2: that you know, there's a there's a website I think 514 00:28:04,160 --> 00:28:09,200 Speaker 2: it's called Visual Capitalist, and they've got a great visual 515 00:28:09,240 --> 00:28:14,000 Speaker 2: which shows all the asset classes in the world in 516 00:28:14,160 --> 00:28:16,040 Speaker 2: cubes so you can get a feel for like the 517 00:28:16,080 --> 00:28:19,920 Speaker 2: size of that asset class. And as you scroll down 518 00:28:21,119 --> 00:28:25,000 Speaker 2: this website, it's absolutely mind blowing when you look at 519 00:28:25,040 --> 00:28:29,280 Speaker 2: all these other massive asset classes, currency, real estate, you know, 520 00:28:29,359 --> 00:28:33,240 Speaker 2: all these different things, right, and then you get down 521 00:28:33,280 --> 00:28:37,919 Speaker 2: at the bottom to derivatives. Yeah, and it's like orders 522 00:28:37,960 --> 00:28:42,640 Speaker 2: of magnitude larger than not only any other asset class, 523 00:28:42,640 --> 00:28:46,560 Speaker 2: but these asset classes combined. And this is part of 524 00:28:46,600 --> 00:28:51,360 Speaker 2: the growing pains of being accepted by Wall Street and 525 00:28:51,360 --> 00:28:55,440 Speaker 2: getting thrown into their machine. We will suffer through these 526 00:28:55,520 --> 00:28:58,240 Speaker 2: derivative products where the tail can wag the dog. 527 00:28:58,640 --> 00:29:03,200 Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, which I mean the derivatives market is so 528 00:29:03,200 --> 00:29:05,240 Speaker 1: big people don't even know how big it is. It's 529 00:29:06,120 --> 00:29:11,520 Speaker 1: well over a quadrillion dollars estimated, and it can wag 530 00:29:11,560 --> 00:29:14,800 Speaker 1: the dog. Gold and the gold and silver markets have 531 00:29:14,840 --> 00:29:17,200 Speaker 1: been suffering this from this from a long time. And 532 00:29:17,680 --> 00:29:20,440 Speaker 1: again they don't even know. I mean I've seen estimates 533 00:29:20,440 --> 00:29:24,240 Speaker 1: anywhere from one hundred up to five hundred paper ounces 534 00:29:24,240 --> 00:29:26,480 Speaker 1: for everyone physical ounce, and they've sort of just like 535 00:29:26,560 --> 00:29:29,160 Speaker 1: lost control out. Yeah. 536 00:29:29,320 --> 00:29:32,640 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, very few people who have exposure to 537 00:29:32,760 --> 00:29:37,040 Speaker 2: gold really have exposure to physical gold, very very few. 538 00:29:37,640 --> 00:29:40,880 Speaker 2: And like you know, for context, I think all the 539 00:29:40,920 --> 00:29:43,479 Speaker 2: gold that's out of the ground in the entire world 540 00:29:44,240 --> 00:29:46,680 Speaker 2: wouldn't fill to Olympic sized swimming. 541 00:29:46,440 --> 00:29:47,240 Speaker 1: Yeah, something like that. 542 00:29:47,520 --> 00:29:51,920 Speaker 2: So yeah, so, but there's a lot of gold derivatives. 543 00:29:51,520 --> 00:29:54,560 Speaker 1: That's yeah, And we've seen you know, JP Morgan traders 544 00:29:54,600 --> 00:29:58,280 Speaker 1: getting getting you know, indicted or actually getting convicted of 545 00:29:58,560 --> 00:30:01,920 Speaker 1: manipulating gold markets. Do it through like naked short selling, right, 546 00:30:01,960 --> 00:30:03,800 Speaker 1: so they don't even have to they don't even have 547 00:30:03,880 --> 00:30:06,479 Speaker 1: to borrow the gold in the example you're given, they 548 00:30:06,480 --> 00:30:08,240 Speaker 1: can just do it naked. They don't even have it. 549 00:30:08,560 --> 00:30:10,360 Speaker 2: Yeah, it's good. Good to be the market maker. 550 00:30:10,560 --> 00:30:12,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, good to be the market maker. I suppose. Now, 551 00:30:12,920 --> 00:30:14,760 Speaker 1: on one hand, a lot of gold bugs might say 552 00:30:14,760 --> 00:30:17,440 Speaker 1: that's kept the price of gold down, but maybe like 553 00:30:17,480 --> 00:30:19,720 Speaker 1: a beach ball underwater. I mean, look at gold today. 554 00:30:19,760 --> 00:30:21,720 Speaker 1: I think it almost hit like five thousand dollars and 555 00:30:21,800 --> 00:30:25,560 Speaker 1: ounce incredible. At some point maybe they can manage. They 556 00:30:25,920 --> 00:30:29,080 Speaker 1: could affect some short term volatility, but over the long run, 557 00:30:29,120 --> 00:30:31,080 Speaker 1: I mean it's sort of what's gonna do, what it's 558 00:30:31,080 --> 00:30:35,360 Speaker 1: gonna do. Governments will never stop printing money, so inflation 559 00:30:35,600 --> 00:30:37,960 Speaker 1: it's not going away. Now. If your money's not earning 560 00:30:38,000 --> 00:30:41,240 Speaker 1: at least ten percent a year, you're losing purchasing power. 561 00:30:41,480 --> 00:30:43,440 Speaker 1: That's why I talk about bitcoin. It's the number one 562 00:30:43,480 --> 00:30:46,400 Speaker 1: way to beat inflation and secure your future. And the 563 00:30:46,480 --> 00:30:49,720 Speaker 1: question I get asked almost every day is where do 564 00:30:49,720 --> 00:30:52,560 Speaker 1: you buy your bitcoin? Now? For years, I'll personally use 565 00:30:52,800 --> 00:30:55,120 Speaker 1: river dot com and I only take on sponsors that 566 00:30:55,160 --> 00:30:58,040 Speaker 1: I use and I trust, And I trust them because 567 00:30:58,120 --> 00:31:01,520 Speaker 1: rivers bitcoin only a one hundred percent reserve and they 568 00:31:01,600 --> 00:31:05,200 Speaker 1: keep your bitcoin safe in cold storage with no middlemen, 569 00:31:05,680 --> 00:31:08,000 Speaker 1: and you can actually talk to a real person, a 570 00:31:08,200 --> 00:31:12,360 Speaker 1: US based support, dedicated manager. Now, try getting that peace 571 00:31:12,360 --> 00:31:16,360 Speaker 1: of mind from coinbase. Of course you can't. Now the perks. 572 00:31:16,560 --> 00:31:19,160 Speaker 1: If you set up auto buys, you can pay zero 573 00:31:19,280 --> 00:31:21,760 Speaker 1: fees plus instead of you're bank paying you. You know, 574 00:31:21,880 --> 00:31:25,040 Speaker 1: zero point four percent on cash, River pays you three 575 00:31:25,160 --> 00:31:28,760 Speaker 1: point seventy five percent on cash paid in bitcoin. So 576 00:31:28,760 --> 00:31:31,600 Speaker 1: if you're ready to build your bitcoin position with confidence, 577 00:31:31,840 --> 00:31:34,960 Speaker 1: go to River dot com, slash mark Moss and get 578 00:31:35,040 --> 00:31:37,600 Speaker 1: up to one hundred dollars in bitcoin when you sign up. 579 00:31:37,840 --> 00:31:40,880 Speaker 1: Because freedom starts when you own your money, and your 580 00:31:40,880 --> 00:31:42,160 Speaker 1: money starts with bitcoin. 581 00:31:42,840 --> 00:31:46,840 Speaker 2: Yeah, I think you know, these the animal spirits of derivatives. 582 00:31:47,720 --> 00:31:51,880 Speaker 2: They when they're with you, they're phenomenal. When they're against you, 583 00:31:51,920 --> 00:31:56,560 Speaker 2: they're brutal. And all of these animal spirits that bitcoin 584 00:31:56,640 --> 00:32:00,440 Speaker 2: is kind of suffering through over the last year that 585 00:32:00,520 --> 00:32:04,120 Speaker 2: are suppressing the price, there will come a time when 586 00:32:04,120 --> 00:32:07,440 Speaker 2: the tide turns and those animal spirits are with us, 587 00:32:07,960 --> 00:32:09,960 Speaker 2: and there'll be a big part of the reason that 588 00:32:10,000 --> 00:32:13,239 Speaker 2: we have these green candles that you know are are 589 00:32:13,400 --> 00:32:17,160 Speaker 2: mind boggling. So I think we, you know, we have 590 00:32:17,240 --> 00:32:22,600 Speaker 2: to we have to be adults and take our growing pains, 591 00:32:24,160 --> 00:32:28,240 Speaker 2: you know, and just kind of live with this new reality. 592 00:32:28,440 --> 00:32:30,640 Speaker 1: Do you think that bitcoin is maybe a little bit 593 00:32:30,680 --> 00:32:34,719 Speaker 1: more immune to some of that, like unlike gold, because 594 00:32:34,720 --> 00:32:38,360 Speaker 1: of its open, you know, transparent sort of blockchain where 595 00:32:38,360 --> 00:32:41,040 Speaker 1: we can see the amount of coins where the coins 596 00:32:41,080 --> 00:32:45,760 Speaker 1: are so number one gold, we don't really know bitcoin. 597 00:32:45,800 --> 00:32:48,160 Speaker 1: We can see it number two to your point, and 598 00:32:47,960 --> 00:32:49,880 Speaker 1: not a lot of people own gold because it's really 599 00:32:49,920 --> 00:32:51,960 Speaker 1: hard to take custody of it unless you have like 600 00:32:52,040 --> 00:32:54,640 Speaker 1: one coin. But with bitcoin, I can, I could move it, 601 00:32:55,080 --> 00:32:58,400 Speaker 1: I could custody it myself, and so maybe that sort 602 00:32:58,400 --> 00:33:00,000 Speaker 1: of kind of gives it a little bit of defense. 603 00:33:01,120 --> 00:33:04,120 Speaker 2: Maybe I haven't spent a lot of time thinking about that. 604 00:33:06,160 --> 00:33:10,600 Speaker 2: The transparency piece is really big. However, a lot of 605 00:33:10,640 --> 00:33:14,200 Speaker 2: that breaks down with Wall Street coming in right because 606 00:33:14,680 --> 00:33:17,440 Speaker 2: you've got even the spotytfs that have to buy one 607 00:33:17,480 --> 00:33:20,440 Speaker 2: for one or Strategy or some of the treasury companies, 608 00:33:21,040 --> 00:33:24,720 Speaker 2: or even kind of like the aggregation at the exchanges. 609 00:33:26,280 --> 00:33:28,360 Speaker 2: You know, a lot of that transparency goes away. 610 00:33:31,320 --> 00:33:35,600 Speaker 1: I mean interesting, yes, but funds, ETFs, public companies should 611 00:33:35,640 --> 00:33:38,880 Speaker 1: report how many bitcoin they have, and we're pretty good 612 00:33:38,880 --> 00:33:41,600 Speaker 1: with the Internet salus these days. They could quickly figure 613 00:33:41,600 --> 00:33:44,600 Speaker 1: out sort of like what is institutionally held bitcoin and 614 00:33:44,720 --> 00:33:47,120 Speaker 1: compare that to the overall supply of bitcoin, and if 615 00:33:47,120 --> 00:33:49,880 Speaker 1: it gets really lopsided, it's not very difficult for people 616 00:33:49,920 --> 00:33:52,840 Speaker 1: just again to take custody. So for example, we saw 617 00:33:52,880 --> 00:33:55,000 Speaker 1: this really kick off in twenty twenty three when those 618 00:33:55,000 --> 00:33:57,360 Speaker 1: three banks collapse, which that's a whole other story, but 619 00:33:58,040 --> 00:34:00,680 Speaker 1: sort of one of us. One of the main things 620 00:34:00,800 --> 00:34:03,440 Speaker 1: was how fast people were able to run on the bank. 621 00:34:04,080 --> 00:34:06,360 Speaker 1: So I could literally just grab my phone, open up 622 00:34:06,360 --> 00:34:10,040 Speaker 1: my account, hit transfer, gone, and banks weren't prepared for 623 00:34:10,120 --> 00:34:13,120 Speaker 1: that speed. They got caught off guards with their duration mismatch. 624 00:34:13,480 --> 00:34:17,280 Speaker 1: And so if internet slew started kind of reporting public 625 00:34:17,400 --> 00:34:20,600 Speaker 1: funds Bitcoin and we're off sides, and then a proof 626 00:34:20,600 --> 00:34:24,640 Speaker 1: of fund's day happens, everybody withdraws real quick. Like that's 627 00:34:24,719 --> 00:34:26,280 Speaker 1: kind of what I mean, like some of this defense 628 00:34:26,320 --> 00:34:28,000 Speaker 1: that maybe could. 629 00:34:27,920 --> 00:34:31,640 Speaker 2: Keep them honest. I think you're right. I think it 630 00:34:31,680 --> 00:34:32,840 Speaker 2: could definitely be helpful. 631 00:34:32,960 --> 00:34:36,400 Speaker 1: What about let's move into bitcoin's use case as a 632 00:34:36,440 --> 00:34:39,279 Speaker 1: medium of exchange. So a lot of people have thought 633 00:34:39,280 --> 00:34:42,480 Speaker 1: maybe bitcoin's failed because it hasn't become a medium exchange. 634 00:34:43,080 --> 00:34:46,040 Speaker 1: Some people say that maybe it's only going to be 635 00:34:46,080 --> 00:34:49,080 Speaker 1: a store of value into the future. You know, I 636 00:34:49,080 --> 00:34:51,640 Speaker 1: know Sailor sort of talks in that way, but I'm 637 00:34:51,640 --> 00:34:54,759 Speaker 1: curious your take on the medium exchange. Number One, the 638 00:34:54,880 --> 00:34:58,080 Speaker 1: use case is that's something that happens later. But number two, 639 00:34:58,160 --> 00:35:00,440 Speaker 1: do you think if it actually did become a medium 640 00:35:00,480 --> 00:35:03,120 Speaker 1: exchange and people are actually custing and using it, if that, 641 00:35:03,200 --> 00:35:07,440 Speaker 1: I that might also help fight off this this rehypothecation 642 00:35:07,600 --> 00:35:09,520 Speaker 1: and paper bitcoin that we're talking about. 643 00:35:11,560 --> 00:35:13,440 Speaker 2: The last point is a good one. I haven't I 644 00:35:13,480 --> 00:35:16,120 Speaker 2: haven't thought about that, to be honest. 645 00:35:16,840 --> 00:35:18,520 Speaker 1: Right, Because if I'm gonna if I'm gonna use as 646 00:35:18,560 --> 00:35:20,680 Speaker 1: a medium exchange and I'm gonna keep it in my account. 647 00:35:20,400 --> 00:35:23,320 Speaker 2: Yeah, you're not going to loan it out so quick. Yeah. 648 00:35:23,680 --> 00:35:26,359 Speaker 2: Although I have to say, and I know this may 649 00:35:26,360 --> 00:35:30,200 Speaker 2: not be the popular opinion, I don't think it's important 650 00:35:30,239 --> 00:35:33,919 Speaker 2: for bitcoin to be a medium of exchange. I don't 651 00:35:34,040 --> 00:35:38,640 Speaker 2: think the world has a medium of exchange problem. And also, 652 00:35:39,000 --> 00:35:41,480 Speaker 2: I mean when we talk about medium of exchange, we're 653 00:35:41,520 --> 00:35:46,879 Speaker 2: talking about currency, right, and stable coins work very well 654 00:35:46,920 --> 00:35:52,160 Speaker 2: as a medium of exchange. Right. There's very little cash 655 00:35:52,200 --> 00:35:56,960 Speaker 2: transactions in the United States as it is. Most people 656 00:35:57,040 --> 00:36:01,160 Speaker 2: these days don't even carry paper money any kind, right, 657 00:36:01,719 --> 00:36:07,240 Speaker 2: So yeah, so we don't have a medium of exchange problem. 658 00:36:07,560 --> 00:36:11,680 Speaker 2: But currency also is a very small percentage of global assets, 659 00:36:12,080 --> 00:36:16,480 Speaker 2: whereas store of value is massive. So even though bitcoin 660 00:36:16,560 --> 00:36:21,319 Speaker 2: may have been shooting for medium of exchange, and more 661 00:36:21,360 --> 00:36:26,120 Speaker 2: of a currency. It's stumbled upon being a solution to 662 00:36:26,840 --> 00:36:31,440 Speaker 2: a problem that is much much much bigger and more valuable, 663 00:36:31,480 --> 00:36:35,480 Speaker 2: which is store of value. So if we didn't solve 664 00:36:35,520 --> 00:36:38,680 Speaker 2: the medium of exchange problem, I think that's just fine 665 00:36:38,719 --> 00:36:42,040 Speaker 2: with me. And there are technological challenges, certainly, and L 666 00:36:42,160 --> 00:36:44,560 Speaker 2: one as to why that's the case. But maybe with 667 00:36:44,719 --> 00:36:47,640 Speaker 2: L two's and L three's it becomes more functional. But 668 00:36:47,719 --> 00:36:50,520 Speaker 2: I don't think it's important that bitcoin achieves that. 669 00:36:51,320 --> 00:36:52,959 Speaker 1: I look at it. I mean, when you look through 670 00:36:53,120 --> 00:36:56,080 Speaker 1: I mean, let me just read the Bitcoin standard, but 671 00:36:56,120 --> 00:36:58,600 Speaker 1: if you look through thousands of years of monetary history, 672 00:36:58,640 --> 00:37:00,840 Speaker 1: you'll see that we've had feathers in oxygen te shells, 673 00:37:00,880 --> 00:37:02,960 Speaker 1: and then gold emerge as the best one. But it 674 00:37:03,000 --> 00:37:06,319 Speaker 1: follows like this four phase evolution of Look at this, 675 00:37:06,400 --> 00:37:08,680 Speaker 1: Look at the feather of this rock. It's a collectible. 676 00:37:08,719 --> 00:37:11,480 Speaker 1: This is interesting, and some collectibles become store of values. 677 00:37:11,520 --> 00:37:13,320 Speaker 1: So a lot of rich people store wealth in cars 678 00:37:13,360 --> 00:37:15,560 Speaker 1: and arts, so collectibles, but only if it has the 679 00:37:15,600 --> 00:37:18,640 Speaker 1: right attributes. Money attributes could go from a store of 680 00:37:18,719 --> 00:37:21,560 Speaker 1: value into a medium exchange. So a mona lisa can't 681 00:37:21,600 --> 00:37:23,879 Speaker 1: work as money obviously, right, And either kind of cow. 682 00:37:24,560 --> 00:37:26,360 Speaker 1: So if it has the right attributes, it could be 683 00:37:26,560 --> 00:37:29,319 Speaker 1: medium exchange, which gold did, and then eventually, if enough 684 00:37:29,320 --> 00:37:30,960 Speaker 1: people use it could be a unit of accounts. Like 685 00:37:30,960 --> 00:37:34,759 Speaker 1: the four phases, and like bitcoin is unique because it's 686 00:37:34,760 --> 00:37:37,600 Speaker 1: a technology that can be in all four of those, 687 00:37:38,080 --> 00:37:39,719 Speaker 1: but it doesn't mean that it takes all four at 688 00:37:39,719 --> 00:37:42,839 Speaker 1: the same time. So it's like an evolutionary process. So 689 00:37:43,840 --> 00:37:46,040 Speaker 1: but but I but but yeah, But what I would 690 00:37:46,040 --> 00:37:50,719 Speaker 1: say is technology needs to solve problems. And to your point, 691 00:37:50,719 --> 00:37:53,439 Speaker 1: the world didn't really need faster money, like our money 692 00:37:53,480 --> 00:37:57,360 Speaker 1: is pretty fast. But what But but what I would 693 00:37:57,400 --> 00:38:01,200 Speaker 1: say though, is that viewpoint of like we have dollars, 694 00:38:01,239 --> 00:38:03,640 Speaker 1: we kind of have stable coins. I don't use cash 695 00:38:03,640 --> 00:38:06,120 Speaker 1: in any way. Whatever. The US is four percent of 696 00:38:06,160 --> 00:38:11,040 Speaker 1: the world's population four percent. Now it's a larger share 697 00:38:11,080 --> 00:38:14,400 Speaker 1: of GDP. But what I would say is that, for example, 698 00:38:14,480 --> 00:38:17,239 Speaker 1: the lady that cuts my hair, she's from Afghanistan. She's 699 00:38:17,440 --> 00:38:19,279 Speaker 1: lived here for a long time, but that's where she's from. 700 00:38:19,320 --> 00:38:21,799 Speaker 1: And like a couple of years ago, when the Bide 701 00:38:21,800 --> 00:38:25,560 Speaker 1: administration disastrously pulled out of Afghanistan and the tally Band 702 00:38:25,560 --> 00:38:27,359 Speaker 1: took over the central bank, she's like man I really 703 00:38:27,360 --> 00:38:28,839 Speaker 1: wish I could help out some of the ladies back 704 00:38:28,840 --> 00:38:31,120 Speaker 1: in Afghanistan, but I can't send them any money because 705 00:38:31,680 --> 00:38:34,080 Speaker 1: the Talibank controls the central banks, right if you're in 706 00:38:34,120 --> 00:38:37,120 Speaker 1: North Korea, Like there are parts of the world where 707 00:38:37,120 --> 00:38:39,560 Speaker 1: there is a problem with currency, and it's not a 708 00:38:39,600 --> 00:38:41,160 Speaker 1: big enough problem today, and it's not a problem that 709 00:38:41,200 --> 00:38:43,680 Speaker 1: needs to be solved immediately. But I do think over 710 00:38:43,840 --> 00:38:47,160 Speaker 1: this evolutionary arc because it's solved. 711 00:38:47,280 --> 00:38:53,640 Speaker 2: Yeah, it's it's solved, right, So I think everybody would 712 00:38:53,640 --> 00:38:58,960 Speaker 2: be very happy getting a stable coin or a digital dollar, right, 713 00:38:59,000 --> 00:39:02,719 Speaker 2: So I think that we're going to have fewer currencies. 714 00:39:03,320 --> 00:39:07,719 Speaker 2: Why would people continue to use lesser fiat currencies than 715 00:39:07,760 --> 00:39:12,440 Speaker 2: the dollar when stable coins allow everyone globally to use 716 00:39:12,480 --> 00:39:15,759 Speaker 2: the dollar as their medium of exchange. So I think 717 00:39:15,800 --> 00:39:21,000 Speaker 2: that I think that's sailed. I think that's good that 718 00:39:21,480 --> 00:39:24,560 Speaker 2: the dollar will win that and proliferate. I think that's 719 00:39:24,600 --> 00:39:26,880 Speaker 2: good for the United States, and I think it's really 720 00:39:26,880 --> 00:39:31,840 Speaker 2: good for bitcoin because imagine if bitcoin was genuinely threatening 721 00:39:32,360 --> 00:39:37,680 Speaker 2: to the US dollar as a medium of exchange. I 722 00:39:37,680 --> 00:39:41,560 Speaker 2: I think I think, you you know, the love that 723 00:39:41,560 --> 00:39:44,640 Speaker 2: we're getting from the administration, which you can you can 724 00:39:44,760 --> 00:39:46,640 Speaker 2: like it or hate it, or feel whatever kind of 725 00:39:46,640 --> 00:39:50,719 Speaker 2: way about it. But I think people underestimate just how 726 00:39:51,719 --> 00:39:57,719 Speaker 2: uh just how vulnerable bitcoin would be at a you know, 727 00:39:57,800 --> 00:40:04,160 Speaker 2: sub a couple trillion dollars to global superpowers doing everything 728 00:40:04,200 --> 00:40:07,919 Speaker 2: they could to kill it. Yeah, and the one thing, 729 00:40:08,320 --> 00:40:12,160 Speaker 2: there aren't a lot of things that would unite Republicans 730 00:40:12,160 --> 00:40:17,400 Speaker 2: and Democrats, but if defending the dollar ever had a 731 00:40:17,440 --> 00:40:21,520 Speaker 2: common enemy, I think you see some pretty good unification there. 732 00:40:21,560 --> 00:40:26,160 Speaker 2: So I like that US stable coins will proliferate and 733 00:40:26,160 --> 00:40:28,040 Speaker 2: and the dollar will win. I think that's good, and 734 00:40:28,080 --> 00:40:30,160 Speaker 2: I think it's good for Bitcoin that we can be 735 00:40:30,200 --> 00:40:33,560 Speaker 2: a store of value alongside that and help each other. 736 00:40:34,719 --> 00:40:37,399 Speaker 1: Really, the long term store of value, the global store 737 00:40:37,400 --> 00:40:41,200 Speaker 1: of value is US treasuries, not US dollars. Right, So 738 00:40:41,280 --> 00:40:44,239 Speaker 1: there's they're storing treasuries in their in their banks, and 739 00:40:44,360 --> 00:40:47,040 Speaker 1: right now gold is threatening that. Right, So we've seen 740 00:40:47,640 --> 00:40:49,320 Speaker 1: US treasuries have gone. 741 00:40:49,080 --> 00:40:51,719 Speaker 2: The stable coins have to be backed by treasuries, so 742 00:40:52,640 --> 00:40:55,640 Speaker 2: one to one, so right, they are right. 743 00:40:55,680 --> 00:40:57,000 Speaker 1: I want to get into I want to get into 744 00:40:57,040 --> 00:40:59,400 Speaker 1: that park specifically. But like we've seen just since in 745 00:40:59,440 --> 00:41:02,560 Speaker 1: the last ten years, US treasuries have gone from sixty 746 00:41:02,600 --> 00:41:09,840 Speaker 1: percent to forty percent of reserves global reserves, and gold 747 00:41:09,920 --> 00:41:12,640 Speaker 1: now with partly because of the price appreciation, is now 748 00:41:12,640 --> 00:41:16,840 Speaker 1: going up to fifty percent. So we're seeing a flipping 749 00:41:16,960 --> 00:41:21,880 Speaker 1: happening there in actual reserve. So it's like maybe maybe not, 750 00:41:22,040 --> 00:41:24,080 Speaker 1: I don't have the exact data on this, but like 751 00:41:24,200 --> 00:41:28,520 Speaker 1: how much buying treasury buying pressure does somebody in Venezuela, 752 00:41:28,600 --> 00:41:32,560 Speaker 1: an individual bring in Venezuela or Lebanon or Turkey versus 753 00:41:32,640 --> 00:41:35,720 Speaker 1: the central banks. And so it seems like the greatest 754 00:41:35,719 --> 00:41:38,560 Speaker 1: threat to the US dollar today is gold, right by 755 00:41:38,600 --> 00:41:40,560 Speaker 1: a long shot, and not because of the me in exchange, 756 00:41:40,560 --> 00:41:44,080 Speaker 1: but it's it's what we see going on in China 757 00:41:44,400 --> 00:41:46,799 Speaker 1: and through Hong Kong. They just set up a new 758 00:41:47,600 --> 00:41:50,479 Speaker 1: they set up a whole new parallel financial system. They're 759 00:41:50,560 --> 00:41:54,440 Speaker 1: using the RMB for liquidity. Everything's being settled in gold, 760 00:41:54,800 --> 00:41:57,440 Speaker 1: and they've opened swap lines with thirty two countries everyone 761 00:41:57,480 --> 00:42:03,359 Speaker 1: but the US. And yeah, and so the best way 762 00:42:03,360 --> 00:42:07,239 Speaker 1: to defend the dollar is stop printing money. How about that? 763 00:42:07,760 --> 00:42:11,800 Speaker 2: Yeah? I think that I agree completely. I think the 764 00:42:12,040 --> 00:42:13,800 Speaker 2: chances of that happening are remote. 765 00:42:13,880 --> 00:42:16,960 Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, exactly. So I think about like the two 766 00:42:17,080 --> 00:42:19,959 Speaker 1: main drivers for bitcoin seems to be the store of value, 767 00:42:19,960 --> 00:42:21,959 Speaker 1: which is, stop printing money and then just take away 768 00:42:21,960 --> 00:42:24,439 Speaker 1: the need and I store my value there and then 769 00:42:24,920 --> 00:42:29,279 Speaker 1: stop censoring transactions. Those two those two things. But on 770 00:42:29,320 --> 00:42:31,440 Speaker 1: the set on that side, let's go back to stable 771 00:42:31,480 --> 00:42:34,200 Speaker 1: coins for a minute. I think it's a great step. 772 00:42:35,200 --> 00:42:37,759 Speaker 1: I understand that people around the world are dying to 773 00:42:37,760 --> 00:42:39,920 Speaker 1: get into dollars, or literally dying because they can't get 774 00:42:39,960 --> 00:42:42,879 Speaker 1: into dollars. They're watching their their savings and and their 775 00:42:42,920 --> 00:42:45,080 Speaker 1: their money they need on a weekly basis just evaporate. 776 00:42:45,120 --> 00:42:47,720 Speaker 1: I mean, we saw in Iran they lost like forty percent, 777 00:42:47,920 --> 00:42:51,640 Speaker 1: you know, like overnight. So it's a it's an amazing 778 00:42:51,760 --> 00:42:55,000 Speaker 1: interim step both to preserve the dollar strength but also 779 00:42:55,040 --> 00:42:58,120 Speaker 1: help those people on a lifeline. And so the Trump 780 00:42:58,120 --> 00:43:02,279 Speaker 1: administration has been its Beersent specifically, his job is to 781 00:43:02,320 --> 00:43:05,560 Speaker 1: sell treasuries. Sosent specifically has been pushing that. He's estimating 782 00:43:05,560 --> 00:43:08,560 Speaker 1: like three trillion dollars in stable coins. Congress passed it, 783 00:43:09,080 --> 00:43:12,719 Speaker 1: Trump signed it. It's done, and now the banks are 784 00:43:12,719 --> 00:43:13,960 Speaker 1: trying to fight against it and hold it up. 785 00:43:15,800 --> 00:43:19,359 Speaker 2: Yeah, the banks. The banks are very opposed to it 786 00:43:19,719 --> 00:43:24,480 Speaker 2: because the banks have a little monopoly on taking your 787 00:43:24,520 --> 00:43:28,160 Speaker 2: money and not paying you any significant interest, as we 788 00:43:28,160 --> 00:43:32,760 Speaker 2: said at the top right, and the stable coins, since 789 00:43:32,800 --> 00:43:36,799 Speaker 2: they're backed one to one with treasuries, they can take 790 00:43:36,840 --> 00:43:41,200 Speaker 2: a portion of the yield from those treasuries and compete 791 00:43:41,200 --> 00:43:43,640 Speaker 2: with each other and pass it on to consumers, right 792 00:43:43,800 --> 00:43:47,160 Speaker 2: to holders of the stable coin. And that scares the 793 00:43:47,200 --> 00:43:51,719 Speaker 2: crap out of the banks because they can't compete with that. 794 00:43:51,840 --> 00:43:53,279 Speaker 1: Why why can't they compete with that? 795 00:43:55,680 --> 00:43:59,200 Speaker 2: Because they're doing fractional reserve bank. I mean, in theory 796 00:43:59,200 --> 00:44:02,719 Speaker 2: they could, right, but they're not. When you give them 797 00:44:02,920 --> 00:44:08,040 Speaker 2: your money, it's not necessarily backed one to one with anything. 798 00:44:08,160 --> 00:44:10,560 Speaker 2: They can use that capital for a wide variety of 799 00:44:10,600 --> 00:44:14,520 Speaker 2: things with different durations, different risk profiles, etc. So, but 800 00:44:14,600 --> 00:44:17,040 Speaker 2: for the stable coins, it's pretty easy and straightforward. It's like, 801 00:44:17,719 --> 00:44:19,239 Speaker 2: you know, we have one hundred billion dollars of the 802 00:44:19,320 --> 00:44:22,960 Speaker 2: stable coin. You know, we're making six percent yield on this. 803 00:44:23,719 --> 00:44:27,200 Speaker 2: We'll share three percent with you, yep, you know, yep. 804 00:44:27,600 --> 00:44:30,040 Speaker 1: Yeah. And so what it does is it exposes their 805 00:44:30,160 --> 00:44:32,799 Speaker 1: entire business model for what it is. So kind of 806 00:44:32,800 --> 00:44:34,799 Speaker 1: going back to those three banks that went belly up 807 00:44:34,800 --> 00:44:37,840 Speaker 1: in twenty twenty three, there was that duration mismatch. So 808 00:44:37,920 --> 00:44:41,160 Speaker 1: stable coin companies hold your money. It's equity based and 809 00:44:41,880 --> 00:44:44,319 Speaker 1: on demand. I can get my deposit back anytime I want, 810 00:44:44,360 --> 00:44:46,040 Speaker 1: and I can earn the yield. But then the banks 811 00:44:46,120 --> 00:44:48,719 Speaker 1: or you're basically giving your money to the bank, becoming 812 00:44:48,760 --> 00:44:52,040 Speaker 1: an unsecured creditor, and they're going to loan it out 813 00:44:52,040 --> 00:44:53,360 Speaker 1: over some better. 814 00:44:53,160 --> 00:44:54,919 Speaker 2: Hope you've given it to a bank that's too big 815 00:44:54,920 --> 00:44:55,600 Speaker 2: to fail. 816 00:44:55,560 --> 00:44:59,360 Speaker 1: Right, and then their business model is then fractional reserve. 817 00:44:59,680 --> 00:45:01,359 Speaker 1: But if so I'm able to take my money out 818 00:45:01,400 --> 00:45:03,440 Speaker 1: and give it to a stable point company or yield, 819 00:45:03,719 --> 00:45:08,480 Speaker 1: the entire fractional reserve banking system would fall apart. All right, 820 00:45:08,520 --> 00:45:10,720 Speaker 1: stop what you're doing right now and book your travel 821 00:45:10,760 --> 00:45:13,560 Speaker 1: to come join me in Las Vegas for the Bitcoin Conference. 822 00:45:13,560 --> 00:45:15,400 Speaker 1: It's the biggest event of the year, the one I 823 00:45:15,440 --> 00:45:17,840 Speaker 1: look forward through the most every single year. Literally my 824 00:45:17,960 --> 00:45:21,400 Speaker 1: entire year calendar is set around it. It's the biggest event, 825 00:45:21,440 --> 00:45:24,799 Speaker 1: the most culturally relevant event happening in the world. The 826 00:45:24,840 --> 00:45:27,319 Speaker 1: top politicians, the top bank is, the top investors, the 827 00:45:27,320 --> 00:45:30,600 Speaker 1: top entertainers. Everybody's going to be there, So come check 828 00:45:30,600 --> 00:45:33,000 Speaker 1: it out. April twenty seventh through the twenty ninth use 829 00:45:33,080 --> 00:45:35,680 Speaker 1: my code mark Moss to save ten percent. And if 830 00:45:35,680 --> 00:45:37,920 Speaker 1: you use my code to save ten percent, send me 831 00:45:37,960 --> 00:45:40,440 Speaker 1: a message on social media or email and I'll invite 832 00:45:40,480 --> 00:45:42,480 Speaker 1: you to a private party I'm having at the event 833 00:45:42,760 --> 00:45:43,520 Speaker 1: and I'll see you there. 834 00:45:46,840 --> 00:45:49,680 Speaker 2: If it happened at scale, yeah, and I you know 835 00:45:49,760 --> 00:45:55,960 Speaker 2: there was. I actually tweeted this comment by one of 836 00:45:55,960 --> 00:45:58,160 Speaker 2: the JP Morgan guys. I can I can find it. 837 00:45:58,200 --> 00:45:59,960 Speaker 2: Just give you a second here where they kind of 838 00:46:00,120 --> 00:46:03,279 Speaker 2: like said the quiet part out loud a little bit, 839 00:46:04,000 --> 00:46:09,600 Speaker 2: says we always embrace competition, but the bank doesn't want 840 00:46:09,680 --> 00:46:13,759 Speaker 2: to compete against a brand new, parallel ecosystem of deposits 841 00:46:14,080 --> 00:46:18,520 Speaker 2: and interest that has no appropriate regulation. So it's like 842 00:46:18,960 --> 00:46:22,400 Speaker 2: it's like, yeah, we're happy to compete against like products 843 00:46:22,480 --> 00:46:24,760 Speaker 2: or inferior products. We just don't want to compete against 844 00:46:24,840 --> 00:46:28,200 Speaker 2: a better product, and so we'll say that it. We'll 845 00:46:28,200 --> 00:46:31,520 Speaker 2: say that it doesn't have sufficient oversighter regulation. And that's 846 00:46:31,520 --> 00:46:33,920 Speaker 2: why you're seeing the pushback from the banks. It's that simple. 847 00:46:33,960 --> 00:46:37,600 Speaker 2: It's like, we don't want to lose capital, like the banks, 848 00:46:37,080 --> 00:46:41,680 Speaker 2: just like JP Morgan allowed exposure to bitcoin when people 849 00:46:41,680 --> 00:46:44,040 Speaker 2: started taking their money out of the bank, like that 850 00:46:44,200 --> 00:46:46,239 Speaker 2: is the holy grail of the business people take their 851 00:46:46,239 --> 00:46:49,799 Speaker 2: money out of your custody. It's a problem, and that's 852 00:46:49,800 --> 00:46:50,960 Speaker 2: why they're fighting this so hard. 853 00:46:51,680 --> 00:46:55,640 Speaker 1: Yeah, unfortunately for them. Yeah, that fractional reserve banking system 854 00:46:55,760 --> 00:46:59,000 Speaker 1: is completely exposed. That's what I saw. Brian Armstrong, CEO 855 00:46:59,080 --> 00:47:02,520 Speaker 1: of Coinbase, has been in Davos saying that. He was 856 00:47:02,520 --> 00:47:05,000 Speaker 1: on I think CNBC is saying the same thing, and 857 00:47:05,440 --> 00:47:06,960 Speaker 1: he was saying, the banks are trying to say stable 858 00:47:06,960 --> 00:47:10,160 Speaker 1: coins are risky, but it's backed one to one. It's 859 00:47:10,200 --> 00:47:13,280 Speaker 1: the it's the fractional reserve system and the bank that's risky, 860 00:47:14,600 --> 00:47:16,640 Speaker 1: and so you know what happens in that. I think 861 00:47:16,640 --> 00:47:20,320 Speaker 1: that's also why you know, we saw Caitlin try to 862 00:47:20,360 --> 00:47:22,880 Speaker 1: launch Custodia Bank and she got blocked for the same reason. 863 00:47:22,920 --> 00:47:25,480 Speaker 1: She wanted to do a full reserve bank. And so 864 00:47:25,480 --> 00:47:28,760 Speaker 1: they don't want that better competition model to fight against. 865 00:47:29,480 --> 00:47:32,280 Speaker 2: They do not want the better competition model. It will 866 00:47:32,480 --> 00:47:34,040 Speaker 2: it will cost them money. 867 00:47:34,520 --> 00:47:37,720 Speaker 1: The law was already passed by Congress, Trump already signed it. 868 00:47:37,719 --> 00:47:39,880 Speaker 1: It seems like the cows have already left the barn. 869 00:47:40,120 --> 00:47:42,439 Speaker 1: I mean, do you think the banks are strong enough 870 00:47:42,480 --> 00:47:44,000 Speaker 1: to fight and pull this thing back. 871 00:47:45,000 --> 00:47:49,040 Speaker 2: I don't know. I think what was passed was no 872 00:47:49,160 --> 00:47:53,719 Speaker 2: interest on no interest paid on stable coins, and so 873 00:47:53,880 --> 00:47:57,640 Speaker 2: I I think right now they're okay, they're happy with that. Okay, 874 00:47:59,040 --> 00:48:03,239 Speaker 2: there they're pet fight of companies being able to pay 875 00:48:03,280 --> 00:48:07,239 Speaker 2: interest on stable coins. Meanwhile, Tether's probably a static too, 876 00:48:07,360 --> 00:48:10,480 Speaker 2: right ye, because they've got they've got so much of 877 00:48:10,480 --> 00:48:12,080 Speaker 2: this stuff out there and they don't have to share 878 00:48:12,440 --> 00:48:14,759 Speaker 2: any of the income on it. It's it all goes 879 00:48:14,760 --> 00:48:19,760 Speaker 2: to them, which is what makes them so damn profitable. Yeah, 880 00:48:19,880 --> 00:48:23,080 Speaker 2: but I think I think we're seeing obviously all of 881 00:48:23,120 --> 00:48:26,839 Speaker 2: this stuff, compare all of this to uh CBDC, right, 882 00:48:27,160 --> 00:48:30,160 Speaker 2: this central bank digital currency, which would be like the 883 00:48:30,200 --> 00:48:34,959 Speaker 2: most evil, awful thing ever, right, And I think, amazingly 884 00:48:35,040 --> 00:48:39,400 Speaker 2: to me, now politicians actually understand that, which is great 885 00:48:39,800 --> 00:48:43,440 Speaker 2: the amount of education that this community has done with politicians. 886 00:48:43,480 --> 00:48:48,319 Speaker 2: I saw Ron DeSantis, governor of Florida, tweeted something in 887 00:48:48,360 --> 00:48:54,600 Speaker 2: the last forty eight hours basically bashing cbdc's and understanding 888 00:48:54,600 --> 00:48:57,680 Speaker 2: how evil they are. It was. It was pretty awesome. 889 00:48:58,360 --> 00:49:00,839 Speaker 2: So I think I think we're coming a long way 890 00:49:00,840 --> 00:49:04,239 Speaker 2: on the education front with politicians and they understand just 891 00:49:04,320 --> 00:49:08,280 Speaker 2: how evil CBDCs are and I you know, nothing converts 892 00:49:08,320 --> 00:49:11,319 Speaker 2: people to bitcoin like the threat of a CBDC. 893 00:49:11,440 --> 00:49:14,840 Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, yeah, I mean anything that will threaten their 894 00:49:14,960 --> 00:49:17,719 Speaker 1: property and their freedom, then they're going to react to that. Yeah. 895 00:49:18,560 --> 00:49:21,600 Speaker 1: You'd put a tweet out talking about trumpet Davos saying 896 00:49:21,640 --> 00:49:25,840 Speaker 1: the US must dominate crypto or China wins. And you 897 00:49:25,840 --> 00:49:28,360 Speaker 1: said super far superpowers will fight to buy bitcoin. So 898 00:49:29,280 --> 00:49:32,040 Speaker 1: one thing that's interesting is trying to get the dollar 899 00:49:32,080 --> 00:49:35,000 Speaker 1: stable coins out to the rest of the world. Tether 900 00:49:35,080 --> 00:49:37,000 Speaker 1: has said that in you know, they go boots on 901 00:49:37,000 --> 00:49:38,440 Speaker 1: the ground and try and help people learn how to 902 00:49:38,520 --> 00:49:40,160 Speaker 1: use stable coins and things like that. And they said 903 00:49:40,200 --> 00:49:42,480 Speaker 1: that boots on the ground they also find China they're 904 00:49:42,520 --> 00:49:44,520 Speaker 1: trying to help people get into their digital you want 905 00:49:44,560 --> 00:49:48,560 Speaker 1: as well. So it is a competition. Oh yeah. A 906 00:49:48,719 --> 00:49:52,359 Speaker 1: question I have is, you know, if that's true, do 907 00:49:52,480 --> 00:49:56,480 Speaker 1: the States do the banks? Does the US keep the 908 00:49:56,680 --> 00:49:59,840 Speaker 1: rules loose or loosen the rules to attract the capital. 909 00:50:00,000 --> 00:50:04,759 Speaker 1: So for example, if they push KYC regulations out, most 910 00:50:04,800 --> 00:50:07,080 Speaker 1: of the world can't the world that needs it, they 911 00:50:07,080 --> 00:50:10,239 Speaker 1: can't come into it now, and so like it there, 912 00:50:10,360 --> 00:50:13,799 Speaker 1: it's like we're gonna have to like keep regulations loose 913 00:50:13,880 --> 00:50:15,960 Speaker 1: or loosen them more to bring the world in if 914 00:50:15,960 --> 00:50:18,080 Speaker 1: that's what we want. But if we try to put 915 00:50:18,120 --> 00:50:21,360 Speaker 1: the KYC in and squeeze it and control the flow capital, 916 00:50:21,440 --> 00:50:24,600 Speaker 1: then we're going to exclude the world. It's a tough 917 00:50:24,680 --> 00:50:29,319 Speaker 1: predicament for a nation that wants to control everything spot on. 918 00:50:29,560 --> 00:50:34,680 Speaker 2: It will be very interesting to see. That's above my 919 00:50:34,719 --> 00:50:38,600 Speaker 2: pay grade which way it goes. But I do think 920 00:50:38,680 --> 00:50:43,560 Speaker 2: that more than anything, politicians want control and power, and 921 00:50:43,640 --> 00:50:48,200 Speaker 2: in order to proliferate US dollars stable coins, they will 922 00:50:48,239 --> 00:50:53,000 Speaker 2: have to sacrifice some of that control, oversight, and power 923 00:50:53,480 --> 00:50:58,440 Speaker 2: in exchange for world dominance, so to speak. And that 924 00:50:58,480 --> 00:51:02,480 Speaker 2: will be a discussion that has to be had by 925 00:51:02,520 --> 00:51:05,000 Speaker 2: those groups. And I hope they come out on the 926 00:51:05,040 --> 00:51:10,640 Speaker 2: side of loosening it up in exchange for dollar stable 927 00:51:10,680 --> 00:51:14,200 Speaker 2: coins proliferating. And I think the reason that they likely 928 00:51:14,239 --> 00:51:20,000 Speaker 2: will come out on the right side there is one 929 00:51:20,000 --> 00:51:24,520 Speaker 2: thing that they like equal to control is much. And 930 00:51:26,640 --> 00:51:29,120 Speaker 2: you know, if you perlifinate the stable coins, you get 931 00:51:29,160 --> 00:51:31,080 Speaker 2: a lot of US treasury sold because they got to 932 00:51:31,080 --> 00:51:31,839 Speaker 2: be backed one to one. 933 00:51:31,920 --> 00:51:35,759 Speaker 1: Yeah. Yeah, So with all that kind of being said, 934 00:51:35,800 --> 00:51:40,440 Speaker 1: the backdrop we saw, you know, potentially paper bitcoin happening 935 00:51:40,880 --> 00:51:45,120 Speaker 1: from a bunch of different sources rehypothecated bitcoin. The price 936 00:51:45,160 --> 00:51:47,719 Speaker 1: of bitcoin, I think maybe caught a few people off 937 00:51:47,760 --> 00:51:53,560 Speaker 1: guard in twenty twenty five. Underline fundamentals seem like they 938 00:51:53,600 --> 00:51:56,200 Speaker 1: worked pretty good. The price didn't cooperate. It got smoked 939 00:51:56,200 --> 00:52:00,400 Speaker 1: by gold. In the same window we did an all 940 00:52:00,480 --> 00:52:02,560 Speaker 1: time high and not so long ago, what three four 941 00:52:02,640 --> 00:52:07,080 Speaker 1: months in quarter four high? Yeah, in quarter four yeah. 942 00:52:06,080 --> 00:52:10,120 Speaker 2: And so you know that's that's material, and then we 943 00:52:10,200 --> 00:52:15,799 Speaker 2: outperformed gold dramatically in prior periods. So I think we're 944 00:52:15,800 --> 00:52:17,840 Speaker 2: seeing a little bit of this kind of. 945 00:52:17,920 --> 00:52:20,840 Speaker 1: Yeah, when I look at when I look at the 946 00:52:21,320 --> 00:52:24,040 Speaker 1: when I look at the bitcoin price priced in gold, 947 00:52:25,440 --> 00:52:27,640 Speaker 1: I mean, yes, we have seen this before. But the 948 00:52:27,719 --> 00:52:30,920 Speaker 1: last time we saw this was twenty one to twenty 949 00:52:30,920 --> 00:52:33,560 Speaker 1: two when bitcoin was selling off in the last four 950 00:52:33,640 --> 00:52:36,000 Speaker 1: year cycle, and then it bottomed in twenty twenty two 951 00:52:36,000 --> 00:52:38,959 Speaker 1: when bitcoin bottomed at whatever sixteen thousand, and then we've 952 00:52:38,960 --> 00:52:42,080 Speaker 1: been beating gold ever since. And now gold is beating 953 00:52:42,080 --> 00:52:46,359 Speaker 1: bigwin again, sort of like another bear market cycle here 954 00:52:46,400 --> 00:52:47,719 Speaker 1: on the four year cycle. A lot of people have 955 00:52:47,719 --> 00:52:50,760 Speaker 1: been saying that's dead. I've sort of been in that camp, 956 00:52:50,800 --> 00:52:52,279 Speaker 1: to be honest with you, because I think it's like 957 00:52:52,320 --> 00:52:55,160 Speaker 1: global equid it's driving it. But if you look at 958 00:52:55,200 --> 00:52:57,120 Speaker 1: the gold chart, it sort of looks like we're in 959 00:52:57,160 --> 00:52:57,759 Speaker 1: that right now. 960 00:52:58,320 --> 00:53:02,000 Speaker 2: Yeah. I don't pay attention into too much technical analysis. 961 00:53:02,120 --> 00:53:06,680 Speaker 2: I think, you know, from a having cycle perspective, I 962 00:53:06,760 --> 00:53:10,680 Speaker 2: think that we've got some individual buyers out there right 963 00:53:10,719 --> 00:53:13,920 Speaker 2: now that buy more than the entire natural supply of 964 00:53:13,960 --> 00:53:19,000 Speaker 2: bitcoin that the miners produce, and so maybe that greatly 965 00:53:19,080 --> 00:53:24,200 Speaker 2: mitigates this cycle thing. I do think that we're suffering 966 00:53:24,239 --> 00:53:28,520 Speaker 2: now relative to gold. I strongly believe there will be 967 00:53:28,560 --> 00:53:33,399 Speaker 2: a catch up period where bitcoin materially outperforms gold. As 968 00:53:33,440 --> 00:53:36,959 Speaker 2: you mentioned earlier, the one thing that gold has right 969 00:53:37,000 --> 00:53:40,799 Speaker 2: now which is helping them materially is they've got nation 970 00:53:40,920 --> 00:53:45,800 Speaker 2: state buyers and for countries who print their own money 971 00:53:46,120 --> 00:53:48,880 Speaker 2: who want to buy something like how great is that? 972 00:53:49,040 --> 00:53:52,600 Speaker 1: Yeah? I know you've worked with a lot of very 973 00:53:52,640 --> 00:53:56,000 Speaker 1: wealthy people and setting up funds, and you're on the 974 00:53:56,040 --> 00:53:58,799 Speaker 1: bitcoin treasury side of things, working with big investors on 975 00:53:58,840 --> 00:54:03,160 Speaker 1: that side. Do you think from that side of the market, 976 00:54:03,360 --> 00:54:06,240 Speaker 1: is there some growing concerns in the bitcoin space, maybe 977 00:54:06,280 --> 00:54:10,719 Speaker 1: specifically around quantum or some other market structure, or is 978 00:54:10,719 --> 00:54:12,520 Speaker 1: it sort of just kind of like noise that people 979 00:54:12,560 --> 00:54:14,080 Speaker 1: start talking about when the price dips. 980 00:54:15,640 --> 00:54:20,680 Speaker 2: I think the quantum thing is such fun, you know, 981 00:54:20,880 --> 00:54:26,840 Speaker 2: and it's like you get these people who want to 982 00:54:26,920 --> 00:54:32,560 Speaker 2: create and elevate a problem because they want to get 983 00:54:32,640 --> 00:54:36,680 Speaker 2: rich on providing the solution. You know. Look at and 984 00:54:36,760 --> 00:54:41,880 Speaker 2: politicians are famous for this. Right Al Gore screamed his 985 00:54:41,960 --> 00:54:44,520 Speaker 2: head off about climate change, climate change, climate change is 986 00:54:44,560 --> 00:54:47,839 Speaker 2: still doing it, but he's personally made like over three 987 00:54:47,920 --> 00:54:53,280 Speaker 2: hundred million dollars from solving this fictious problem right as 988 00:54:53,320 --> 00:54:58,279 Speaker 2: he flies to Davos on his private jet. So I 989 00:54:58,320 --> 00:55:01,520 Speaker 2: think we see some of that in our world on 990 00:55:01,560 --> 00:55:05,520 Speaker 2: the quantum side of things. You know. I don't think 991 00:55:05,600 --> 00:55:09,959 Speaker 2: quantum computing is a material mid term risk in any 992 00:55:10,000 --> 00:55:16,240 Speaker 2: way for bitcoin. I think the number of logical cubits 993 00:55:16,280 --> 00:55:21,600 Speaker 2: that are needed to uh, you know, hack bitcoin are 994 00:55:21,840 --> 00:55:25,360 Speaker 2: somewhere between two hundred and two thousand, and the best 995 00:55:25,640 --> 00:55:28,200 Speaker 2: estimates that I've seen say that we'll be at two 996 00:55:28,239 --> 00:55:32,439 Speaker 2: to five by twenty thirty. So. And then the other 997 00:55:32,520 --> 00:55:37,600 Speaker 2: thing is I think that when the time comes, much 998 00:55:37,719 --> 00:55:40,920 Speaker 2: like an iPhone, you get in, you know, a system 999 00:55:41,040 --> 00:55:43,800 Speaker 2: update that gets pushed out right, there'll be a quantum 1000 00:55:43,880 --> 00:55:47,520 Speaker 2: resistant update, you know, when the time is right, and 1001 00:55:47,920 --> 00:55:52,280 Speaker 2: it'll be approved, you know, and it'll get and Bitcoin 1002 00:55:52,320 --> 00:55:55,480 Speaker 2: will get updated relatively quickly and be quantum resistant. But 1003 00:55:55,520 --> 00:55:58,280 Speaker 2: the more interesting thing to me is pretty much everything 1004 00:55:58,280 --> 00:56:01,200 Speaker 2: else is going to get hacked first. The Federal Reserve 1005 00:56:01,280 --> 00:56:03,200 Speaker 2: is going to get hacked. JP Morgan's going to get 1006 00:56:03,200 --> 00:56:05,960 Speaker 2: hacked Google, and your Gmail is going to get hacked. 1007 00:56:06,320 --> 00:56:09,479 Speaker 2: All of this is going to like be hacked long 1008 00:56:09,560 --> 00:56:12,719 Speaker 2: before Bitcoin, so we will have ample time and we 1009 00:56:12,760 --> 00:56:16,160 Speaker 2: will have ample financial incentive as a financial network to 1010 00:56:16,280 --> 00:56:19,760 Speaker 2: fix it. And I think the folks promoting this fud 1011 00:56:20,360 --> 00:56:23,560 Speaker 2: in particular on Twitter, I think it's a really shitty, 1012 00:56:23,600 --> 00:56:28,120 Speaker 2: pernicious thing to do, and I don't really give it 1013 00:56:28,800 --> 00:56:29,400 Speaker 2: much attention. 1014 00:56:29,640 --> 00:56:31,840 Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree with you on that. I mean, Satoshi 1015 00:56:31,920 --> 00:56:35,120 Speaker 1: warned us of quantum before he left. People have been 1016 00:56:35,360 --> 00:56:38,520 Speaker 1: knowing about this, working on solutions. To your point, there's 1017 00:56:38,640 --> 00:56:40,799 Speaker 1: plenty of solutions that are available to us. It just 1018 00:56:40,840 --> 00:56:42,799 Speaker 1: takes one update, we transfer our coins to a new 1019 00:56:42,880 --> 00:56:45,839 Speaker 1: quantum address. It just seems like such an easy thing 1020 00:56:46,640 --> 00:56:49,360 Speaker 1: to deal with. So to blow it all out of 1021 00:56:49,360 --> 00:56:51,120 Speaker 1: your portion over that. And the other thing i'd say 1022 00:56:51,160 --> 00:56:53,640 Speaker 1: is to your point, we'd see everything get hacked before Bitcoin. 1023 00:56:54,000 --> 00:56:56,480 Speaker 1: What I would also just add to that is you 1024 00:56:56,520 --> 00:57:00,000 Speaker 1: said Google would get hacked. It's probably Google or something 1025 00:57:00,160 --> 00:57:02,360 Speaker 1: like Google that would actually have the quantum. 1026 00:57:02,560 --> 00:57:05,040 Speaker 2: So it's not like exactly and how quickly are they 1027 00:57:05,040 --> 00:57:07,560 Speaker 2: going to put out something that hacks the encryption on 1028 00:57:07,680 --> 00:57:10,520 Speaker 2: all of your Gmail, all of your Google everything, right. 1029 00:57:10,480 --> 00:57:12,080 Speaker 1: Not so bright. So it's not going to come from 1030 00:57:12,120 --> 00:57:15,360 Speaker 1: some like basement dweller code or that like comes up 1031 00:57:15,400 --> 00:57:17,560 Speaker 1: with this malicious quantum. It's going to come from a 1032 00:57:17,600 --> 00:57:20,240 Speaker 1: Google or some sort of an institution like that, and 1033 00:57:20,320 --> 00:57:22,480 Speaker 1: so we're going to know about it. They're not going 1034 00:57:22,560 --> 00:57:24,520 Speaker 1: to be using it for evil, at least at first 1035 00:57:24,600 --> 00:57:26,800 Speaker 1: until it leaks. So then we have like even a 1036 00:57:26,880 --> 00:57:29,000 Speaker 1: longer head start because again, right, they're not going to 1037 00:57:29,000 --> 00:57:31,200 Speaker 1: be hacking the d D. You know, Google is not 1038 00:57:31,200 --> 00:57:33,400 Speaker 1: going to do that. I wouldn't think and they were. 1039 00:57:33,600 --> 00:57:36,600 Speaker 2: I think we're going to someone's going to hack into 1040 00:57:36,600 --> 00:57:38,080 Speaker 2: the d D at some point. 1041 00:57:38,840 --> 00:57:43,400 Speaker 1: They already do, right, And so we're going you. 1042 00:57:43,360 --> 00:57:47,080 Speaker 2: Know, we'll still have plenty of time, you know, when 1043 00:57:47,120 --> 00:57:53,520 Speaker 2: that happens to craft a quantum solution and we will. 1044 00:57:53,880 --> 00:57:56,560 Speaker 2: You know, there's there's you know, a couple of trillion 1045 00:57:56,600 --> 00:57:59,080 Speaker 2: dollars and by then, you know, maybe many many trillion 1046 00:57:59,120 --> 00:58:02,800 Speaker 2: dollar network. Financial network has plenty of incentive to protect 1047 00:58:02,800 --> 00:58:04,120 Speaker 2: itself and it will. 1048 00:58:05,320 --> 00:58:08,840 Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, well we went round the world. That 1049 00:58:08,880 --> 00:58:11,840 Speaker 1: was a really helpful conversation, Eric, I appreciate you taking 1050 00:58:11,880 --> 00:58:15,400 Speaker 1: the time to do that. An I know you're you know, 1051 00:58:15,440 --> 00:58:17,320 Speaker 1: I know you're working with a couple of bitcoin companies. 1052 00:58:17,320 --> 00:58:20,040 Speaker 1: You've you're working with RANJ. I think it's called down 1053 00:58:20,120 --> 00:58:23,440 Speaker 1: in Brazil core Scientific. Anything that you want to like 1054 00:58:23,680 --> 00:58:26,000 Speaker 1: bring people's attention to, or anything least to go take 1055 00:58:26,000 --> 00:58:26,440 Speaker 1: a look at. 1056 00:58:27,040 --> 00:58:31,200 Speaker 2: I mean, right, you know, the Orange BTC in Brazil 1057 00:58:31,720 --> 00:58:35,800 Speaker 2: is a very any, very unique situation. The awareness in 1058 00:58:35,840 --> 00:58:38,280 Speaker 2: Brazil isn't quite there yet, the volume is not quite 1059 00:58:38,320 --> 00:58:41,560 Speaker 2: there yet. So the stock is trading at a material 1060 00:58:41,600 --> 00:58:46,560 Speaker 2: discount to nav So for Brazilian, for Brazilians in particular, 1061 00:58:46,640 --> 00:58:49,320 Speaker 2: or anybody who has money that they can invest in 1062 00:58:49,680 --> 00:58:53,160 Speaker 2: Latin America. I think that's that's a really good opportunity. 1063 00:58:53,240 --> 00:58:57,640 Speaker 2: And in Brazil in particular, there are ways for companies 1064 00:58:57,720 --> 00:59:03,160 Speaker 2: to distribute asset. That's two shareholders which is essentially a 1065 00:59:03,200 --> 00:59:05,360 Speaker 2: way to bring it back to NAV should it ever 1066 00:59:05,480 --> 00:59:08,640 Speaker 2: need to happen, so that gap is going to close. 1067 00:59:08,920 --> 00:59:11,520 Speaker 2: The other nice thing about it for Brazilians in particular 1068 00:59:12,240 --> 00:59:15,960 Speaker 2: is if you own a publicly traded stock in Brazil, 1069 00:59:16,160 --> 00:59:19,000 Speaker 2: there's a lower tax rate than there is for buying 1070 00:59:19,040 --> 00:59:22,520 Speaker 2: and selling bitcoin. It's like fifteen percent versus twenty two percent, 1071 00:59:22,840 --> 00:59:25,280 Speaker 2: so it's like fifty percent less tax. So in a 1072 00:59:25,360 --> 00:59:29,000 Speaker 2: lot of ways, it's a very financially good way to 1073 00:59:29,640 --> 00:59:32,600 Speaker 2: have bitcoin exposure, especially if you're getting it out of discounts. NAV. 1074 00:59:32,800 --> 00:59:35,720 Speaker 2: So I think that one's gonna do just fine. We 1075 00:59:35,880 --> 00:59:39,120 Speaker 2: just got to keep work on working on creating away. 1076 00:59:39,720 --> 00:59:43,520 Speaker 1: My overall take just in general on the treasury space 1077 00:59:43,600 --> 00:59:47,200 Speaker 1: is like they have the bitcoin, just don't lose the bitcoin. 1078 00:59:47,440 --> 00:59:49,200 Speaker 1: Because if you believe bitcoin's going to hit two hundred 1079 00:59:49,200 --> 00:59:53,240 Speaker 1: and three hundred and five hundred a million, it's it's 1080 00:59:53,320 --> 00:59:56,040 Speaker 1: kind of go up, right, and so just wait, maybe 1081 00:59:56,040 --> 00:59:57,680 Speaker 1: your time time frame has to be a little bit 1082 00:59:57,720 --> 01:00:00,400 Speaker 1: longer than you would hoped it would be. Now company 1083 01:00:00,520 --> 01:00:02,800 Speaker 1: is in danger of losing the bitcoin. That's another story 1084 01:00:03,200 --> 01:00:05,000 Speaker 1: from these Most of these companies as long as. 1085 01:00:05,000 --> 01:00:09,280 Speaker 2: No definitely not there's where the bitcoin is secure and 1086 01:00:09,520 --> 01:00:14,200 Speaker 2: there is a very teeny teeny amount of debt relative 1087 01:00:14,280 --> 01:00:18,480 Speaker 2: to the assets, and now that we're not in we're 1088 01:00:18,520 --> 01:00:20,680 Speaker 2: not in any risk of losing the bitcoin. There. 1089 01:00:21,240 --> 01:00:22,880 Speaker 1: Cool. Well, let's wrap it up. Eric, let me ask 1090 01:00:22,920 --> 01:00:26,040 Speaker 1: you one last question. What would you say the number 1091 01:00:26,040 --> 01:00:30,160 Speaker 1: one mistake you see smart people making right now maybe 1092 01:00:30,160 --> 01:00:33,560 Speaker 1: where they're getting confused the between the narrative that they're 1093 01:00:33,560 --> 01:00:36,080 Speaker 1: seeing and then like the underlying structure of the market. 1094 01:00:36,920 --> 01:00:39,560 Speaker 2: I think it's a couple fold. We're seeing a little 1095 01:00:39,600 --> 01:00:43,600 Speaker 2: bit of a lack of enthusiasm, and I think part 1096 01:00:43,600 --> 01:00:46,000 Speaker 2: of this comes from you know, we've been talking about 1097 01:00:46,040 --> 01:00:48,320 Speaker 2: the gold analogy, and I think it's a fair analogy. 1098 01:00:48,840 --> 01:00:52,040 Speaker 2: But if you rewind to a time of pre bitcoin, 1099 01:00:52,040 --> 01:00:54,720 Speaker 2: because you and I have been around for a minute, 1100 01:00:55,240 --> 01:00:58,200 Speaker 2: you know, gold was not sexy. You know, there was 1101 01:00:58,280 --> 01:01:00,480 Speaker 2: still no shortage of people out there. We would like 1102 01:01:00,680 --> 01:01:04,240 Speaker 2: never own gold, right like I would own gold. And 1103 01:01:04,320 --> 01:01:06,720 Speaker 2: so I think there are a lot of people that 1104 01:01:07,120 --> 01:01:09,840 Speaker 2: as we become more and more like gold, that there's 1105 01:01:09,880 --> 01:01:12,000 Speaker 2: going to be groups of people who are a little 1106 01:01:12,040 --> 01:01:14,040 Speaker 2: bit ignorant to what it is. And you know, it's 1107 01:01:14,040 --> 01:01:17,520 Speaker 2: not appealing to them, and that's okay. We don't have 1108 01:01:17,600 --> 01:01:20,160 Speaker 2: to be for everyone, and to some degree it's good 1109 01:01:20,160 --> 01:01:23,320 Speaker 2: that we're not for everyone. I mean, if every millionaire 1110 01:01:24,600 --> 01:01:27,960 Speaker 2: you know in the United States wanted to buy a bitcoin, 1111 01:01:28,960 --> 01:01:31,600 Speaker 2: they can have a third of the bitcoin, right, So 1112 01:01:33,440 --> 01:01:35,200 Speaker 2: you know, we're not going to be for everybody. But 1113 01:01:35,240 --> 01:01:38,040 Speaker 2: that's okay. I do think that, like nothing, Cell is 1114 01:01:38,120 --> 01:01:40,320 Speaker 2: like winning. And we've got a lot of people that 1115 01:01:40,440 --> 01:01:46,760 Speaker 2: haven't lived through some of the downturns in bitcoin, and 1116 01:01:47,160 --> 01:01:50,560 Speaker 2: some of those folks are getting a little gun shy. 1117 01:01:51,120 --> 01:01:54,000 Speaker 2: And you know, people think holding is easy, and I 1118 01:01:54,040 --> 01:01:57,400 Speaker 2: always say, like they'll say, you got lucky, but it's 1119 01:01:57,440 --> 01:01:59,240 Speaker 2: not easy and it's not lucky. You have to do 1120 01:01:59,280 --> 01:02:02,160 Speaker 2: your own research, have your conviction, and that's what keeps 1121 01:02:02,160 --> 01:02:05,520 Speaker 2: you from selling when when things seem a little bit bleaching. 1122 01:02:06,120 --> 01:02:09,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, well good stuff, Eric, Appreciate you taking 1123 01:02:09,560 --> 01:02:12,160 Speaker 1: the time out of your busy schedule or yacht life 1124 01:02:12,240 --> 01:02:16,000 Speaker 1: I guess, uh, pleasure yacht life to come come talk 1125 01:02:16,040 --> 01:02:18,160 Speaker 1: to us over here. We'll wrap it up with that. 1126 01:02:18,200 --> 01:02:20,840 Speaker 2: Thank you, awesome man. Thanks a lot