WEBVTT - BI Weekend: Six Month Reports, Tesla Safety Issues, Business School Rankings

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Intelligence with Scarletfoo and Paul Sweeney.

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<v Speaker 2>How do you think the FED is looking at tariffs?

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<v Speaker 2>The uncertainty of terriffs.

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<v Speaker 3>Let's take a look at the sectors and how they

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<v Speaker 3>performed a.

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<v Speaker 2>Lot of investors getting whip saled every day by news events.

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<v Speaker 1>Breaking market headlines, and corporate news from across the globe.

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<v Speaker 3>Could we see a market disruption of market events?

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<v Speaker 2>So people just too exuberant out there?

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<v Speaker 3>You see some so called low quality stocks driving this

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<v Speaker 3>short term rally.

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Intelligence with Scarlettfoo and Paul Sweeney on Bloomberg Radio,

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<v Speaker 1>YouTube and Bloomberg Originals.

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<v Speaker 2>On today's Bloomberg Intelligence Show, we dig inside the big

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<v Speaker 2>business stories impacting Wall Street and the global markets.

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<v Speaker 4>Each and every week, we provide in depth research and

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<v Speaker 4>data on some of the two thousand companies and one

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<v Speaker 4>hundred and thirty industries our analysts cover worldwide.

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<v Speaker 2>Today, we'll explain how the global business of sports is

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<v Speaker 2>getting bigger fast.

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<v Speaker 4>Plus a look at the yearly Bloomberg BusinessWeek's ranking of

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<v Speaker 4>the best business schools in the country.

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<v Speaker 2>But first, this week, President Trump pushed for a six

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<v Speaker 2>month reporting schedule for publicly traded US companies. This would

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<v Speaker 2>in the current quarterly format to quote, save money and

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<v Speaker 2>allow managers to focus on properly running their companies for more.

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<v Speaker 4>Scarlet Foo and guest host Isabell Lee were joined by

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<v Speaker 4>Michael Casper, Bloomberg Intelligence US equity strategists. They first asked

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<v Speaker 4>Michael to break down what this would mean for earning season.

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<v Speaker 5>Certainly has been an idea that's been floated for quite

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<v Speaker 5>some time among ESG circles, even if you go back

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<v Speaker 5>to the twenty sixteen election, I believe Hillary was floating

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<v Speaker 5>this idea. But it does have some validity in terms

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<v Speaker 5>of aligning you know, shareholder ideas with long term performance

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<v Speaker 5>and management incentives. Right, if management doesn't have to beat

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<v Speaker 5>a quarterly number every quarter, they can more easily focus

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<v Speaker 5>on the longer term, and that certainly has its merits.

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<v Speaker 5>But again, I don't think chan is the best analog

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<v Speaker 5>to make right.

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<v Speaker 6>There, talk to us about the risks that semi annual

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<v Speaker 6>reporting could post, because why haven't we done it? Obviously,

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<v Speaker 6>I'm sure that our regulators and policymakers have way into

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<v Speaker 6>pros and cons.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, so it's a it's less flow of information, right,

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<v Speaker 5>So you think about the quarterly reporting schedule, you're getting

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<v Speaker 5>information every three months. As an investor, you can process

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<v Speaker 5>that information more accurately priced things in the market, And

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<v Speaker 5>with a six month time frame, you lose a little

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<v Speaker 5>bit of that, right, And obviously I think consensus estimates

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<v Speaker 5>will be a little bit less let's say, accurate, because

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<v Speaker 5>they have to forecast a six month time period instead

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<v Speaker 5>of a three month time period. So that there are

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<v Speaker 5>some bumps in the road with adopting this, But again,

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<v Speaker 5>if it can align shareholder value with management centis, maybe

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<v Speaker 5>you do get a benefit out of it.

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<v Speaker 3>Would CEOs necessarily like this, I mean, I'm sure everyone

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<v Speaker 3>wants to save time and save money that that was

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<v Speaker 3>something that the President cited as a benefit of moving

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<v Speaker 3>to six months reporting as opposed to three months, But

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<v Speaker 3>in general, is this something that CEOs would favor.

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<v Speaker 5>I don't know if they would favor it. I think

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<v Speaker 5>they'd be pretty indifferent to it. It's still the same

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<v Speaker 5>scheme of you know, you've got a number every six months,

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<v Speaker 5>you've got to beat that number. It's just more aligning

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<v Speaker 5>that goal with with shareholder value, right, So I don't

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<v Speaker 5>know necessarily if they favor one over the other. They

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<v Speaker 5>might think their life is a little bit easier trying

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<v Speaker 5>to beat on a six month time frame than a

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<v Speaker 5>three month timeframe. But I don't know if it really

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<v Speaker 5>affects cost too much. As the President pointed.

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<v Speaker 6>Out, do you think that under the current SEC regime

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<v Speaker 6>that this would actually be approved because to Scarlett's point earlier,

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<v Speaker 6>and we all know this wasn't the first time this

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<v Speaker 6>was floated, But yeah, maybe it will be approved.

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<v Speaker 5>Maybe, I don't know. There's again, it's been a really

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<v Speaker 5>long push of this and back and forth. Should we

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<v Speaker 5>do six months? Should we do annually? Evens there's some

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<v Speaker 5>countries out there that do annual, and it really hasn't

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<v Speaker 5>gained a lot of traction. I think investors in the

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<v Speaker 5>US are really set on the quarterly reporting schedule. They

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<v Speaker 5>really look for those quarterly numbers to drive their analysis,

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<v Speaker 5>and so it's going to meet a lot of resistance

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<v Speaker 5>amongst the investor.

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<v Speaker 3>Community, I think, yeah, especially as more retail investors are

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<v Speaker 3>now investing in the market too. They want to hear

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<v Speaker 3>from the companies directly, and a lot of those companies

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<v Speaker 3>are tailoring their commentary to this new investor class as well.

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<v Speaker 3>Not so much institutional investors, but the individual investors out there.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, certainly you've got this huge flow of zero day

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<v Speaker 5>trading options and everybody trading around earnings events, especially in

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<v Speaker 5>the retail space. That's huge. So maybe amongst the constituency,

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<v Speaker 5>obviously they don't have as much of a lobbying voice

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<v Speaker 5>as you know, your big institutional investors, but amongst his constituency,

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<v Speaker 5>maybe there's a little bit of resistance there as well

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<v Speaker 5>from the retail community.

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<v Speaker 6>Would there be a sector or industry that would benefit

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<v Speaker 6>from a semi annual report, good question.

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<v Speaker 5>Oh yeah, I don't know necessarily, if I could pick

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<v Speaker 5>a sector that would benefit the most. I think tech

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<v Speaker 5>obviously has gained the most from the quarterly reporting schedule.

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<v Speaker 7>Right.

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<v Speaker 5>They've done a really good job of managing their earnings

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<v Speaker 5>and consistently beating and you know, we've seen it time

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<v Speaker 5>and time again. IBM was the bastion of this back

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<v Speaker 5>in the nineties and early two thousands financial engineering to

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<v Speaker 5>beat the quarterly number. It's since, I would argue it's

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<v Speaker 5>been Apple and Microsoft have been very good at it.

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<v Speaker 5>So I think Tech's been the biggest beneficiary, So maybe

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<v Speaker 5>the biggest.

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<v Speaker 2>Our Thanks to Michael Casper Bloomberg Intelligence US equity strategist and.

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<v Speaker 4>Speaking of earnings, Paul, we got results from Cracker Barrel

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<v Speaker 4>this week.

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<v Speaker 2>The company offered sales guidance that missed expectation, showing the

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<v Speaker 2>brand is still dealing with a fallout from its controversial

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<v Speaker 2>and short lived logo change.

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<v Speaker 4>For details, we caught up with BI restaurant analyst Michael Halen.

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<v Speaker 8>They were recorded a great quarter. You know, Same Star

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<v Speaker 8>sales were up five point four percent in the restaurants,

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<v Speaker 8>a couple hundred basis points ahead of the street. But

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<v Speaker 8>sales have decelerated pretty significantly here, you know, since August

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<v Speaker 8>in the logo controversy. So you know, thought Julie Messino

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<v Speaker 8>did a great job. I think she's running a steady

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<v Speaker 8>ship right now. And you know, they're focusing on the

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<v Speaker 8>things that they've been focused on from the beginning, which

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<v Speaker 8>is providing better service and higher quality food at a

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<v Speaker 8>good price point. I would say it seems like they

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<v Speaker 8>may have sandbag guidance as well. They basically are extrapolating

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<v Speaker 8>current track grafic trends throughout the rest of the quarter.

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<v Speaker 8>You know, when second measure data that that Bloomberg owns

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<v Speaker 8>that that we follow is showing that traffic may be

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<v Speaker 8>stabilizing here. So I guess, I guess we'll see.

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<v Speaker 2>All right, let's move on to what's going on with

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<v Speaker 2>our friends that darted.

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<v Speaker 8>Yeah, you know Darden. It was an interesting quarter. Sales

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<v Speaker 8>were fantastic, but slightly below you know, very high expectations,

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<v Speaker 8>and the most interesting part of their report was that

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<v Speaker 8>their margins contracted, largely due to beef costs and Uber

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<v Speaker 8>fees because they did this one million free delivery promotions

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<v Speaker 8>supported by you know, Uber eats marketing dollars, right, and

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<v Speaker 8>so it actually made up five percent of sales, and

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<v Speaker 8>that's very impressive for something that's been instituted, you.

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<v Speaker 9>Know, within a year.

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<v Speaker 8>So, yeah, the margins, you know this, this company has

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<v Speaker 8>best in class margins. They've always protected their margins and

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<v Speaker 8>so seeing a same store sales gain that, you know,

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<v Speaker 8>a very strong same star sales gain without the margin expansion,

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<v Speaker 8>I think shocked some investors.

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<v Speaker 4>So what are they planning to do to widen those margins?

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<v Speaker 4>I heard the portions might not be as big? Are

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<v Speaker 4>they looking at possibly raising prices on the menu.

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<v Speaker 8>Well, they're going to raise prices, but not too aggressively.

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<v Speaker 8>So they're very careful about increasing their prices. A big

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<v Speaker 8>reason why we think they're outperforming is that they've increased

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<v Speaker 8>their prices a lot less than competitors since the pandemic, right,

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<v Speaker 8>and so they don't want to lose that advantage. So

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<v Speaker 8>they are going to raise prices this year, but it's

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<v Speaker 8>going to be modest and less than peers. You know,

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<v Speaker 8>you mentioned the smaller entrees. That's really a move to

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<v Speaker 8>boost traffic. So what they're doing is they're taking seven

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<v Speaker 8>of their popular entrees. They're making an additional, lighter menu

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<v Speaker 8>with those seven items. They're shrinking the portion and they're

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<v Speaker 8>lowering the price, and they're hoping that actually brings in

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<v Speaker 8>greater traffic with low income consumers. So shrinking the size

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<v Speaker 8>of the entrees isn't isn't a major plan in terms

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<v Speaker 8>of saving the margins. With the margins, it's going to

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<v Speaker 8>be you know, executing rights. That's what they're known for,

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<v Speaker 8>you know, consistently becoming more productive in their restaurants. That's

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<v Speaker 8>how they're going to try to fund this. You know,

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<v Speaker 8>there will be some slight price increases, and they mentioned

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<v Speaker 8>they could be a little bit more aggressive. If you know,

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<v Speaker 8>the higher beef prices remain stubborn.

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<v Speaker 2>Thanks to bi's Michael Halen.

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<v Speaker 4>We also got earnings from General Mills this week.

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<v Speaker 2>The maker of curios reported a solid quarter but was

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<v Speaker 2>cautious about the road ahead.

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<v Speaker 4>We spoke with b I Consumer Stables analyst Diana rosso Penya.

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<v Speaker 10>They were mainly in line with expectations. It wasn't that

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<v Speaker 10>much of a surprise, but still, you know, the stock

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<v Speaker 10>is a little bit on the south side. People expected

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<v Speaker 10>better news than what they disclosed.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, I mean North America sales came under pressure. What

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<v Speaker 4>was the drag there?

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<v Speaker 10>It was mainly on volume. We expected volume declines but

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<v Speaker 10>not to the magnitude that they did. It was down

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<v Speaker 10>four percent on organic on the organic part, so obviously

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<v Speaker 10>consumers are still trading down. They are mentioning that, you know,

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<v Speaker 10>about eight brands of theirs. It was positive, but it's

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<v Speaker 10>still it wasn't enough for the whole segment two to

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<v Speaker 10>pull through.

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<v Speaker 2>What are they doing or what are they saying about

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<v Speaker 2>tariffs and the impact on their costs versus maybe what

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<v Speaker 2>they're trying to pass along to customers.

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<v Speaker 10>So they are upsetting some of the costs with cost savings.

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<v Speaker 10>It's usually going to be They expected to be about

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<v Speaker 10>one to two percent of cogs this year, which is

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<v Speaker 10>a little bit lower than for example, Campbell's expected they

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<v Speaker 10>expected around four percent.

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<v Speaker 4>So you know, they're not there.

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<v Speaker 10>They do not want to raise prices. They want to

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<v Speaker 10>be competitive because obviously volume growth is not happening.

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<v Speaker 4>So yeah, I mean, they're getting competition from more folks.

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<v Speaker 4>I mean, on the one hand, they're benefiting from the

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<v Speaker 4>fact that more people are eating at home, right, but

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<v Speaker 4>yet when we're going to the supermarket, more people are

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<v Speaker 4>choosing those private label brands. What's their sort of you know,

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<v Speaker 4>plan of attack there.

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<v Speaker 10>Yeah, so they're increase in marketing, They're they're hoping for innovation.

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<v Speaker 7>Uh.

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<v Speaker 10>They mentioned that twenty five percent of sales growth will

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<v Speaker 10>come in North America retail will probably come from innovation

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<v Speaker 10>this year. And this is what all everybody's trying to

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<v Speaker 10>get to the problem is. And that was mentioned on

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<v Speaker 10>the call as well, was that even the price increases

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<v Speaker 10>are not as significant as it used to be, they're

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<v Speaker 10>still high.

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<v Speaker 4>So on a basket size.

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<v Speaker 10>You're still paying a lot more than the used to

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<v Speaker 10>two years ago.

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<v Speaker 2>Talk to us about store brands versus kind of the

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<v Speaker 2>the brands. We all grew up with. Here, tell us

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<v Speaker 2>how that's changed over time. Our store brands are becoming

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<v Speaker 2>a bigger, bigger part of the average cart.

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<v Speaker 10>Yes, well, retailers are investing more on their private label.

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<v Speaker 10>It allows them to bring people into the store. Some

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<v Speaker 10>of the brands are have a cult following. I will say, hello,

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<v Speaker 10>Costco so exactly, so people are going to the store

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<v Speaker 10>to buy that particular brand. They're more profitable than national brands,

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<v Speaker 10>So obviously they're still incentive for retailers to deploy some

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<v Speaker 10>of that some of their own I think.

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<v Speaker 4>Some people take it cheek to buy private label, right, Well,

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<v Speaker 4>we're at like a badge of honor.

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<v Speaker 2>Certainly. I was shocked at the price differential.

0:11:45.559 --> 0:11:47.760
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, because they have that pricing power right These stores

0:11:48.000 --> 0:11:50.160
<v Speaker 4>to you know, make their products a lot more attractive.

0:11:50.240 --> 0:11:53.160
<v Speaker 4>Really quick Blue Buffalo, it's their pet food. I was

0:11:53.200 --> 0:11:55.560
<v Speaker 4>surprised to see that that that was not a leader

0:11:55.600 --> 0:11:56.000
<v Speaker 4>for them.

0:11:56.360 --> 0:12:00.280
<v Speaker 10>Yeah, so Wilderness was not is not doing as well

0:12:00.280 --> 0:12:03.760
<v Speaker 10>as they are hoping. Dog food in general has been

0:12:03.960 --> 0:12:07.640
<v Speaker 10>a headwind, not only for them but also for the

0:12:07.720 --> 0:12:14.280
<v Speaker 10>overall industry. Cat food seems to be the leading indicator here,

0:12:14.559 --> 0:12:16.360
<v Speaker 10>which is surprising, but.

0:12:16.640 --> 0:12:18.520
<v Speaker 4>Cat food is outpacing dog food.

0:12:18.640 --> 0:12:21.080
<v Speaker 10>Yes, correct, We have seen this for the past year.

0:12:21.559 --> 0:12:24.640
<v Speaker 10>There seems to be a growth in the cat population

0:12:24.760 --> 0:12:26.480
<v Speaker 10>more than the dog population.

0:12:26.360 --> 0:12:29.320
<v Speaker 2>Thanks to Diana coming out.

0:12:29.360 --> 0:12:33.040
<v Speaker 4>We look at Elon's purchase of one billion dollars worth

0:12:33.080 --> 0:12:34.000
<v Speaker 4>of Tesla shares.

0:12:34.320 --> 0:12:37.280
<v Speaker 2>Listening to Bloomberg Intelligence on Bloomberg Radio, providing in depth

0:12:37.280 --> 0:12:39.560
<v Speaker 2>research and data on two thousand companies and one hundred

0:12:39.600 --> 0:12:40.400
<v Speaker 2>and thirty industries.

0:12:40.559 --> 0:12:44.080
<v Speaker 4>You can access Bloomberg Intelligence via bi go on the terminal.

0:12:44.120 --> 0:12:46.480
<v Speaker 4>I'm Alexis Christophers and now Paul Sweeney.

0:12:46.600 --> 0:12:47.680
<v Speaker 9>This is Bloomberg.

0:12:51.800 --> 0:12:56.320
<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Intelligence with Scarlett Foo and Paul Sweeney

0:12:56.679 --> 0:12:57.959
<v Speaker 1>on Bloomberg Radio.

0:12:58.520 --> 0:13:01.640
<v Speaker 2>I'm Paul Sweeney. Join this week by Alexis Christophers. We

0:13:01.760 --> 0:13:04.440
<v Speaker 2>moved to news from the ev giant Tesla. This week

0:13:04.480 --> 0:13:07.559
<v Speaker 2>Elon Musk purchased about one billion dollars worth of Tesla shares.

0:13:07.400 --> 0:13:09.439
<v Speaker 4>And this comes after the billionaire was awarded one of

0:13:09.520 --> 0:13:12.640
<v Speaker 4>the biggest pay packages in corporate history. For details, host

0:13:12.679 --> 0:13:14.920
<v Speaker 4>Scarlett Foo and guest host Isabelle Lee were joined by

0:13:14.960 --> 0:13:17.240
<v Speaker 4>Bloomberg Global Autos editor Craig Trudell.

0:13:17.400 --> 0:13:20.280
<v Speaker 11>There was an all out push with Robin Denholm the

0:13:20.360 --> 0:13:23.800
<v Speaker 11>chair of the company, speaking with us at Bloomberg Television,

0:13:23.840 --> 0:13:26.480
<v Speaker 11>speaking with you know, the New York Times, the Wall

0:13:26.520 --> 0:13:30.400
<v Speaker 11>Street Journal, all sorts of major news organizations about the

0:13:30.440 --> 0:13:32.959
<v Speaker 11>merits of this pay package that the board is proposing.

0:13:33.000 --> 0:13:35.800
<v Speaker 11>There's going to be a big shareholder vote in November

0:13:35.920 --> 0:13:40.199
<v Speaker 11>on handing you know, Musk, this this potentially up to

0:13:41.040 --> 0:13:44.840
<v Speaker 11>one trillion dollars worth of stock. There's a lot of

0:13:45.160 --> 0:13:47.560
<v Speaker 11>caveats all that that Musk would have to sort of

0:13:48.280 --> 0:13:50.679
<v Speaker 11>you know, pull a rabbit out of the hat again

0:13:50.760 --> 0:13:54.720
<v Speaker 11>after you know, doing so after a twenty eighteen pay

0:13:54.760 --> 0:13:57.800
<v Speaker 11>package where the board laid out out all these really

0:13:57.800 --> 0:14:02.400
<v Speaker 11>ambitious you know, market value and performance milestones. Musk, you know,

0:14:02.640 --> 0:14:04.480
<v Speaker 11>at that time it was kind of perceived as this

0:14:04.600 --> 0:14:09.400
<v Speaker 11>moonshot pay package. He proceeded to knock them all out,

0:14:09.480 --> 0:14:12.760
<v Speaker 11>and they're now calling this next pay package a mark

0:14:12.760 --> 0:14:16.720
<v Speaker 11>shot pay package. So, you know, I think there's this

0:14:16.720 --> 0:14:18.719
<v Speaker 11>This is all sort of part of a piece, right

0:14:18.960 --> 0:14:22.080
<v Speaker 11>of trying to get investors to sort of, you know,

0:14:22.160 --> 0:14:26.760
<v Speaker 11>focus on you know, far out there targets objectives from

0:14:26.800 --> 0:14:29.320
<v Speaker 11>Musks that would make shareholders a whole lot of money.

0:14:29.680 --> 0:14:32.720
<v Speaker 11>And it comes amid you know, real signs of stress

0:14:32.720 --> 0:14:35.240
<v Speaker 11>for the core here and now business for Tesla, where

0:14:35.760 --> 0:14:39.800
<v Speaker 11>their sales have just really struggled this year and there

0:14:39.880 --> 0:14:42.520
<v Speaker 11>haven't really been signs of of sort of meaningful change

0:14:42.520 --> 0:14:44.120
<v Speaker 11>in that trend even into this quarter.

0:14:44.400 --> 0:14:46.880
<v Speaker 3>Right, So this will properly motivate him. I'm so glad

0:14:46.920 --> 0:14:49.040
<v Speaker 3>you brought up the twenty eighteen pay package and some

0:14:49.120 --> 0:14:52.520
<v Speaker 3>of the moonshot milestones that laid out for Elon Musk.

0:14:52.800 --> 0:14:54.760
<v Speaker 3>What was the most I don't want to use the

0:14:54.760 --> 0:14:57.920
<v Speaker 3>word outrageous, but the most ambitious of those milestones, And

0:14:58.400 --> 0:15:01.240
<v Speaker 3>did he s each and every one of them?

0:15:01.520 --> 0:15:05.040
<v Speaker 11>Yeah, I mean in terms of the milestones there, I

0:15:05.120 --> 0:15:07.760
<v Speaker 11>mean just even the market cap figures. I think you know,

0:15:07.800 --> 0:15:10.480
<v Speaker 11>when when they were laid out, you know, it was

0:15:10.600 --> 0:15:12.920
<v Speaker 11>it was just sort of unfathomable that, you know, a

0:15:12.960 --> 0:15:15.560
<v Speaker 11>car company could be, you know, a trillion dollar company,

0:15:16.000 --> 0:15:18.720
<v Speaker 11>and you know, give give the guy credit. He went

0:15:18.760 --> 0:15:22.160
<v Speaker 11>out there and made it happen. You know. I think

0:15:22.760 --> 0:15:26.520
<v Speaker 11>Tesla now is trying to sort of, you know, incentivize

0:15:26.600 --> 0:15:30.320
<v Speaker 11>him to turn Tesla into a company that is many

0:15:30.360 --> 0:15:33.520
<v Speaker 11>multiples of even the VIDIA, the most valuable company in

0:15:34.640 --> 0:15:37.360
<v Speaker 11>the world in the here and now, and yet you know,

0:15:37.400 --> 0:15:39.960
<v Speaker 11>the sort of path to getting there is really uncertain

0:15:40.520 --> 0:15:43.840
<v Speaker 11>because you know, you've heard Musk make these pitches about

0:15:44.120 --> 0:15:48.920
<v Speaker 11>robotaxis and about humanoid robots. But you know, he is

0:15:48.960 --> 0:15:51.880
<v Speaker 11>a long way from accomplishing some of these new objectives

0:15:51.880 --> 0:15:52.920
<v Speaker 11>that the board has set for him.

0:15:53.520 --> 0:15:57.360
<v Speaker 6>This must buying shares personally, is governance concerns or could

0:15:57.360 --> 0:16:01.680
<v Speaker 6>it even actually reinforce skepticism about how closely Tesla's board

0:16:01.960 --> 0:16:04.080
<v Speaker 6>is aligned with his self interest.

0:16:04.480 --> 0:16:07.800
<v Speaker 11>Generally, whenever a CEO or an insider of a company

0:16:07.880 --> 0:16:09.920
<v Speaker 11>is buying shares, that's taken as a good thing and

0:16:09.920 --> 0:16:13.440
<v Speaker 11>not necessarily you know, something to look at skins at

0:16:13.480 --> 0:16:17.600
<v Speaker 11>from a corporate governance perspective. It does, however, I think

0:16:17.640 --> 0:16:20.040
<v Speaker 11>it's worth sort of you know, thinking about this billion

0:16:20.040 --> 0:16:23.800
<v Speaker 11>dollar purchase and context. This is a guy who's you know,

0:16:24.440 --> 0:16:26.440
<v Speaker 11>sort of you know, a billion dollars can be found

0:16:26.480 --> 0:16:29.840
<v Speaker 11>in his couch cushions, right he is is the top

0:16:29.840 --> 0:16:33.760
<v Speaker 11>person on the Bloomberg Billionaire's Index. He's worth about you know,

0:16:33.880 --> 0:16:37.760
<v Speaker 11>four hundred and twenty billion dollars at the moment, and

0:16:38.240 --> 0:16:41.560
<v Speaker 11>so you know just how meaningful this is. With any

0:16:41.600 --> 0:16:43.840
<v Speaker 11>other CEO, you would look at a billion dollar Stoft

0:16:43.840 --> 0:16:46.680
<v Speaker 11>purchase and maybe take you know, take real note of

0:16:46.720 --> 0:16:50.760
<v Speaker 11>that with Musk, Is it that huge a show of confidence?

0:16:50.840 --> 0:16:52.840
<v Speaker 11>Maybe not in the context of, you know, just how

0:16:52.880 --> 0:16:53.760
<v Speaker 11>much wealth he has.

0:16:54.000 --> 0:16:56.400
<v Speaker 2>Our thanks to Craig Drudell, Bloomberg Global Autos Editor.

0:16:56.800 --> 0:16:59.840
<v Speaker 4>Keeping with Tesla, we're going to move now to door safety.

0:17:00.040 --> 0:17:03.000
<v Speaker 2>This week, US auto safety regulators open an investigation into

0:17:03.000 --> 0:17:05.000
<v Speaker 2>whether Tesla door handles are defective.

0:17:05.119 --> 0:17:08.919
<v Speaker 4>And this comes after a Bloomberg exclusive saying NHTSA received

0:17:08.920 --> 0:17:12.040
<v Speaker 4>complaints that Tesla's design features like the door handles are

0:17:12.040 --> 0:17:14.040
<v Speaker 4>confusing occupants and first responders.

0:17:14.160 --> 0:17:16.440
<v Speaker 2>For more, Scarlett Fille and Stacey Vandock Smith were joined

0:17:16.480 --> 0:17:20.040
<v Speaker 2>by Steve Man Bloomberg Intelligence, Global Autos and Industrials Research Channels.

0:17:20.160 --> 0:17:24.720
<v Speaker 12>Well, it is a very serious situations, serious safety situation. Now,

0:17:25.119 --> 0:17:29.240
<v Speaker 12>first of all, there is a manual release from the

0:17:29.280 --> 0:17:33.399
<v Speaker 12>interior of the vehicle. But the safety issue is that

0:17:33.520 --> 0:17:37.000
<v Speaker 12>you can't manually override the electronics and open the door

0:17:37.040 --> 0:17:42.160
<v Speaker 12>from the outside. Now, this is an issue that's I'm

0:17:42.200 --> 0:17:46.960
<v Speaker 12>plaguing the whole industry. It's not just Tesla, okay, and

0:17:47.640 --> 0:17:50.320
<v Speaker 12>you know there's there's a number of automakers have solved

0:17:50.320 --> 0:17:53.760
<v Speaker 12>the issue, and I think Tesla does need to solve

0:17:53.800 --> 0:17:58.280
<v Speaker 12>this issue because you know, you know, people have died

0:17:58.359 --> 0:18:02.359
<v Speaker 12>because of this problem. Here, I think from the investor's perspective,

0:18:02.440 --> 0:18:05.240
<v Speaker 12>there is a solution. There is a number of vehicles.

0:18:05.280 --> 0:18:08.560
<v Speaker 12>For example, the Aldi they have actually solved that issue,

0:18:08.960 --> 0:18:12.280
<v Speaker 12>and they they solved it by you know, having a

0:18:12.320 --> 0:18:16.000
<v Speaker 12>double pull on the latch to actually open the vehicle manually.

0:18:16.080 --> 0:18:19.280
<v Speaker 12>So I think from an investor perspective, it is an issue.

0:18:19.680 --> 0:18:23.359
<v Speaker 12>It needs to be solved, and it's solvable. As you know,

0:18:23.520 --> 0:18:28.600
<v Speaker 12>the trillion dollar pay package and uh and the reieration

0:18:28.800 --> 0:18:32.879
<v Speaker 12>of the company moving towards AI is really getting the

0:18:32.920 --> 0:18:37.760
<v Speaker 12>investor very excited. The robo taxi is rolling out, apparently

0:18:37.800 --> 0:18:41.399
<v Speaker 12>the extended the model Y is selling really well in China.

0:18:41.960 --> 0:18:45.000
<v Speaker 12>So and then in Europe, where we saw a lot

0:18:45.000 --> 0:18:48.800
<v Speaker 12>of decline in ev sales seems to be ticking up.

0:18:48.960 --> 0:18:52.000
<v Speaker 3>But the pay package rewards Elon Musk for thinking really big,

0:18:52.080 --> 0:18:55.840
<v Speaker 3>not dealing with how to unlock car doors. In the

0:18:55.880 --> 0:18:58.879
<v Speaker 3>event of some kind of problem, you say that Audi

0:18:58.920 --> 0:19:01.639
<v Speaker 3>has solved this, Are Tesla engineers going to take their

0:19:01.680 --> 0:19:02.320
<v Speaker 3>queue from Audi?

0:19:03.040 --> 0:19:07.199
<v Speaker 12>Possibly? Really? Yeah, I mean it's it's it's important. It's

0:19:07.280 --> 0:19:10.960
<v Speaker 12>important that they solve this because Tesla, when they roll

0:19:10.960 --> 0:19:14.440
<v Speaker 12>out the robo taxi, safety is an important issue for them,

0:19:14.560 --> 0:19:16.679
<v Speaker 12>and it's an important issue not just for Tesla, I

0:19:16.680 --> 0:19:21.120
<v Speaker 12>think for the whole industry, and it's a reputation that

0:19:21.160 --> 0:19:24.280
<v Speaker 12>they're trying to build, especially you know they're they try

0:19:24.320 --> 0:19:26.880
<v Speaker 12>to roll out robo taxi and you know, they want

0:19:26.920 --> 0:19:31.320
<v Speaker 12>to project themselves as a safe automaker. So I think

0:19:31.359 --> 0:19:34.639
<v Speaker 12>it's going to be a priority list for for Elon

0:19:34.760 --> 0:19:36.600
<v Speaker 12>Musk and the rest of the organization there.

0:19:37.280 --> 0:19:42.919
<v Speaker 13>It does also seem that that people are feeling quite

0:19:43.200 --> 0:19:45.720
<v Speaker 13>optimistic about this stock, but also there's there does seem

0:19:45.760 --> 0:19:49.040
<v Speaker 13>to be a liability issue in addition to a need

0:19:49.080 --> 0:19:51.280
<v Speaker 13>to solve this problem issue. Is that at all concern?

0:19:51.720 --> 0:19:52.480
<v Speaker 7>Yeah, it is.

0:19:52.520 --> 0:19:56.119
<v Speaker 12>It is a liability and I wouldn't be surprised that,

0:19:56.840 --> 0:19:59.600
<v Speaker 12>you know, there's going to be other legal issue that

0:19:59.600 --> 0:20:03.040
<v Speaker 12>that come up. I think from an investor perspective, this

0:20:03.119 --> 0:20:07.840
<v Speaker 12>is normal. Business recalls are normal and there are other

0:20:07.920 --> 0:20:12.560
<v Speaker 12>safety issues that has been recall not just at Tesla,

0:20:12.640 --> 0:20:17.119
<v Speaker 12>but and other automakers. So I think the investor are

0:20:17.200 --> 0:20:21.720
<v Speaker 12>taking this. I don't want to say lightly, but it's

0:20:21.800 --> 0:20:25.400
<v Speaker 12>normal business that we're going to get over this.

0:20:25.480 --> 0:20:28.159
<v Speaker 3>It's a work in progress. Yes, are there other safety

0:20:28.200 --> 0:20:31.360
<v Speaker 3>issues in particular that Tesla needs to focus on pay

0:20:31.400 --> 0:20:35.880
<v Speaker 3>attention to that could, if left unresolved, could become legal

0:20:35.920 --> 0:20:36.760
<v Speaker 3>liability issues.

0:20:37.040 --> 0:20:41.600
<v Speaker 12>Robotaxi there's still a safety driver sitting on a passenger

0:20:41.680 --> 0:20:44.919
<v Speaker 12>seat pretty much on every Robotaxi. I think there is

0:20:45.000 --> 0:20:48.679
<v Speaker 12>discussions of taking the safety driver out at the end

0:20:48.720 --> 0:20:51.240
<v Speaker 12>of the year, but I think they need to tread

0:20:51.480 --> 0:20:56.000
<v Speaker 12>very very carefully, especially for Tesla. It's a high profile company.

0:20:57.119 --> 0:21:00.480
<v Speaker 12>Anything negative is going to damage the reputation, and so

0:21:01.080 --> 0:21:03.960
<v Speaker 12>if they don't take up the safety driver at the

0:21:04.040 --> 0:21:07.240
<v Speaker 12>end of year, I wouldn't be surprised. I think they

0:21:07.280 --> 0:21:09.800
<v Speaker 12>do need to take it one step at a time

0:21:09.840 --> 0:21:14.280
<v Speaker 12>and make sure everything goes well before they do a

0:21:14.320 --> 0:21:15.960
<v Speaker 12>full launch without the safety driver.

0:21:16.440 --> 0:21:19.320
<v Speaker 2>Our thanks to Steve Mann Bloomberg Intelligence, the global autos

0:21:19.320 --> 0:21:20.920
<v Speaker 2>and industrials research analysts, and.

0:21:20.880 --> 0:21:23.400
<v Speaker 4>Each week we look at research from Bloomberg n EF

0:21:23.440 --> 0:21:25.640
<v Speaker 4>previously known as New Energy Finance.

0:21:25.760 --> 0:21:27.879
<v Speaker 2>They're the team at Bloomberg that tracks and analyzes the

0:21:27.960 --> 0:21:31.879
<v Speaker 2>energy transition from commodities to power, transport, industries, buildings, and

0:21:31.960 --> 0:21:35.399
<v Speaker 2>agricultural sectors. This week, look that data center Demand and

0:21:35.760 --> 0:21:39.520
<v Speaker 2>R Plus north America's biggest renewable energy conference.

0:21:39.840 --> 0:21:42.159
<v Speaker 4>For more, host Scarlett Food and guest hosts Isabelle Lee

0:21:42.240 --> 0:21:46.160
<v Speaker 4>were joined by Derek flackl BNEF, lead US policy analyst.

0:21:46.480 --> 0:21:48.080
<v Speaker 14>Ri E Plus and Real Energy Plus is one of

0:21:48.080 --> 0:21:51.760
<v Speaker 14>the biggest conferences in North America. You see battery manufacturers,

0:21:51.840 --> 0:21:54.840
<v Speaker 14>transform manufacturers, energy storage manufacturers from all over the world

0:21:54.880 --> 0:21:57.560
<v Speaker 14>hawking their wares, and basically what everybody is trying to

0:21:57.600 --> 0:22:00.720
<v Speaker 14>do is rush to build, rush to safe harbor in

0:22:00.800 --> 0:22:03.040
<v Speaker 14>order to get legal compliance, to get tax credits in

0:22:03.080 --> 0:22:05.760
<v Speaker 14>the US government before rules change at the end of

0:22:05.800 --> 0:22:07.840
<v Speaker 14>the year. Now, as a reminder, those who are following

0:22:07.840 --> 0:22:10.200
<v Speaker 14>the Trump administration will recall the one big Beautiful bill,

0:22:10.440 --> 0:22:12.159
<v Speaker 14>a big budget act passed to the middle of the

0:22:12.240 --> 0:22:15.000
<v Speaker 14>year that has substantial changes for the way that you

0:22:15.000 --> 0:22:17.560
<v Speaker 14>can claim tax credits. If you're a window solar project,

0:22:17.600 --> 0:22:20.040
<v Speaker 14>you have to get under construction by a certain deadline

0:22:20.119 --> 0:22:21.919
<v Speaker 14>or you face an even harder cut off or when

0:22:21.960 --> 0:22:24.280
<v Speaker 14>your project can enter service, and at the beginning of

0:22:24.400 --> 0:22:27.080
<v Speaker 14>next year, suddenly you've gotten new foreign entity of concern

0:22:27.200 --> 0:22:29.960
<v Speaker 14>rules that could make you in eligible for tax credits

0:22:29.960 --> 0:22:33.240
<v Speaker 14>based on your exposure to mostly Chinese firms, whether through

0:22:33.240 --> 0:22:36.560
<v Speaker 14>corporate ownership, through supply chains, or through intellectual property and

0:22:36.600 --> 0:22:39.960
<v Speaker 14>other agreements. You're seeing firms restructure themselves in order to

0:22:40.040 --> 0:22:43.480
<v Speaker 14>avoid getting hit by those rules. You're seeing developers build

0:22:43.520 --> 0:22:46.680
<v Speaker 14>up massive stocks of solar and energy storage in order

0:22:46.720 --> 0:22:51.040
<v Speaker 14>to try and have equipment that allows them to claim

0:22:51.040 --> 0:22:53.280
<v Speaker 14>those credits before the rules come into effect. And you

0:22:53.359 --> 0:22:57.960
<v Speaker 14>also have massive growth in US battery factories and new

0:22:58.000 --> 0:23:01.360
<v Speaker 14>players entering the market to try and ser more domestic demand.

0:23:01.680 --> 0:23:04.199
<v Speaker 14>So you see this combination of a rush with the

0:23:04.240 --> 0:23:06.960
<v Speaker 14>possibility of a cliff afterwards. And I think everybody is

0:23:07.040 --> 0:23:09.560
<v Speaker 14>waiting for new rules to come out to provide some

0:23:09.600 --> 0:23:12.000
<v Speaker 14>clarity on exactly how much of the market can survive

0:23:12.040 --> 0:23:12.680
<v Speaker 14>the shift.

0:23:12.960 --> 0:23:15.919
<v Speaker 3>How anxious were the companies and the executives at this

0:23:16.000 --> 0:23:20.320
<v Speaker 3>event because, as you mentioned, they are moving quickly because

0:23:20.720 --> 0:23:23.080
<v Speaker 3>the rules could change on them. The goalposts could change

0:23:23.119 --> 0:23:25.840
<v Speaker 3>at any point. What is the one certainty that they

0:23:25.920 --> 0:23:29.399
<v Speaker 3>have in operating through this uncertainty.

0:23:30.440 --> 0:23:33.280
<v Speaker 14>I think the one certainty that they have besides that

0:23:33.359 --> 0:23:35.760
<v Speaker 14>more change is coming, is that there is going to

0:23:35.880 --> 0:23:38.520
<v Speaker 14>be load growth in the grid as a kind of

0:23:38.960 --> 0:23:41.280
<v Speaker 14>tailwind supporting the market in phase of other headwinds. Right,

0:23:41.320 --> 0:23:44.280
<v Speaker 14>we all know that data centers, among other applications like

0:23:44.320 --> 0:23:48.640
<v Speaker 14>new manufacturing and electrification, are causing electricity demand to rise

0:23:48.680 --> 0:23:50.399
<v Speaker 14>for the first time in the US in about two decades,

0:23:50.440 --> 0:23:53.679
<v Speaker 14>and at very fast, kind of chunky rates. So that

0:23:53.800 --> 0:23:56.119
<v Speaker 14>in turn means that electricity prices are going to have

0:23:56.160 --> 0:23:59.280
<v Speaker 14>to go up, especially given that the tax credits that

0:23:59.320 --> 0:24:02.760
<v Speaker 14>were sort of subing new power build are going away

0:24:02.880 --> 0:24:05.600
<v Speaker 14>or at least being severely reduced. That in turn is

0:24:05.640 --> 0:24:08.280
<v Speaker 14>going to make the economic case work out for more projects.

0:24:08.560 --> 0:24:11.400
<v Speaker 14>But that is filled with uncertainties in and of itself. Right,

0:24:11.440 --> 0:24:15.600
<v Speaker 14>you have different utility markets, different states trying to change

0:24:15.640 --> 0:24:18.960
<v Speaker 14>the way that power is paid for by large load

0:24:18.960 --> 0:24:22.159
<v Speaker 14>customers like data centers, and where the cost falls, how

0:24:22.160 --> 0:24:25.160
<v Speaker 14>many projects get built, how much public utility comissions allow

0:24:25.160 --> 0:24:27.520
<v Speaker 14>given the cost increases that most rate payers are going

0:24:27.560 --> 0:24:31.720
<v Speaker 14>to see. That's a source of uncertainty even within that certainty,

0:24:32.000 --> 0:24:34.080
<v Speaker 14>And so you see at riplus there was a lot

0:24:34.119 --> 0:24:37.800
<v Speaker 14>of talk of virtual power plants or special timing on

0:24:37.960 --> 0:24:41.720
<v Speaker 14>electric vehicle charging, anything to sort of keep the electricity

0:24:41.720 --> 0:24:45.680
<v Speaker 14>system from being overbuilt because as a reminder, way the

0:24:45.720 --> 0:24:48.399
<v Speaker 14>electricity system is structured is for the hottest and coldest

0:24:48.440 --> 0:24:50.560
<v Speaker 14>days of the year, when there's the largest amount of

0:24:50.600 --> 0:24:53.320
<v Speaker 14>electricity demand. A huge amount of cost is driven by that,

0:24:53.440 --> 0:24:55.480
<v Speaker 14>and there's extra capacity that goes unused. A lot of

0:24:55.480 --> 0:24:58.760
<v Speaker 14>the time. People are trying to get creative about how

0:24:58.800 --> 0:25:01.280
<v Speaker 14>you use more capacity it's already on the grid to

0:25:01.280 --> 0:25:04.080
<v Speaker 14>prevent things from getting more expensive for customers, or if

0:25:04.080 --> 0:25:06.360
<v Speaker 14>you do need to build new stuff, basically putting those

0:25:06.359 --> 0:25:10.120
<v Speaker 14>costs on two data centers themselves. Nevertheless, there is still

0:25:10.160 --> 0:25:12.840
<v Speaker 14>a key tailwind in the face of this policy uncertainty.

0:25:12.840 --> 0:25:14.880
<v Speaker 14>It's just a question of what that actually means for

0:25:15.000 --> 0:25:15.920
<v Speaker 14>every other customer.

0:25:16.160 --> 0:25:18.159
<v Speaker 2>Thanks to Derek Flack will be n EF lead at

0:25:18.200 --> 0:25:19.240
<v Speaker 2>US Policy Analyst.

0:25:19.440 --> 0:25:21.720
<v Speaker 4>Coming up, we look at how the global sports industry

0:25:21.800 --> 0:25:23.439
<v Speaker 4>is huge and growing rapidly.

0:25:23.600 --> 0:25:26.439
<v Speaker 2>You're listening to Bloomberg Intelligence on Bloomberg Radio, providing in

0:25:26.480 --> 0:25:28.720
<v Speaker 2>depth research and data on two thousand companies and one

0:25:28.760 --> 0:25:29.840
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0:25:30.000 --> 0:25:33.200
<v Speaker 4>You can access Bloomberg Intelligence via Big on the terminal.

0:25:33.359 --> 0:25:35.600
<v Speaker 4>I'm Alexis Christoffers and I'm Paul Sweeney.

0:25:35.680 --> 0:25:36.800
<v Speaker 2>This is Bloomberg.

0:25:41.800 --> 0:25:44.760
<v Speaker 15>As veterans We're no strangers to helping others.

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0:26:33.200 --> 0:26:35.240
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0:26:40.720 --> 0:26:45.240
<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Intelligence with Scarlet Foo and Paul Sweeney

0:26:45.560 --> 0:26:46.879
<v Speaker 1>on Bloomberg Radio.

0:26:47.280 --> 0:26:51.280
<v Speaker 2>Paul Sweeney joined this week by Alexis Christopher's. Franchise valuations

0:26:51.280 --> 0:26:54.960
<v Speaker 2>are surging across the two point sixty five trillion dollar

0:26:55.040 --> 0:26:58.280
<v Speaker 2>global sports industry, with three year analyzed growth rates running

0:26:58.280 --> 0:27:00.520
<v Speaker 2>at it double digit pace across the majors.

0:27:00.800 --> 0:27:03.800
<v Speaker 4>A loosening of ownership restrictions is driving an influx of

0:27:03.880 --> 0:27:08.480
<v Speaker 4>institutional capital into professional sports franchises, enabling access to a

0:27:08.520 --> 0:27:10.600
<v Speaker 4>deeper pool of potential investors.

0:27:10.720 --> 0:27:13.159
<v Speaker 2>We broke down the numbers with BI analysts and Business

0:27:13.160 --> 0:27:14.800
<v Speaker 2>of Sports co hosts Damian Sasauer.

0:27:14.840 --> 0:27:17.760
<v Speaker 16>Two point six five trillion is revenue generated or expected

0:27:17.800 --> 0:27:20.040
<v Speaker 16>revenue to be generated just this year alone from the

0:27:20.040 --> 0:27:22.800
<v Speaker 16>global business of sports. So let's put some color around it,

0:27:22.840 --> 0:27:25.639
<v Speaker 16>and really it's everything from the sixty billion dollars a

0:27:25.720 --> 0:27:28.160
<v Speaker 16>year that's generated from METIA rights, the thirty billion dollars

0:27:28.200 --> 0:27:30.000
<v Speaker 16>in advertising spend. But if you want to take that

0:27:30.040 --> 0:27:32.880
<v Speaker 16>two point six five trillion and it's recreational vehicles, it's

0:27:32.880 --> 0:27:36.240
<v Speaker 16>a parrel. It's everything. What we focus on is fan engagement,

0:27:36.240 --> 0:27:38.840
<v Speaker 16>and fan engagement is roughly seven hundred and fifty billion

0:27:38.920 --> 0:27:42.320
<v Speaker 16>in revenue generator per year, and there's no better mechanism

0:27:42.359 --> 0:27:45.359
<v Speaker 16>to take advantage of that segment than to own a

0:27:45.359 --> 0:27:46.360
<v Speaker 16>professional sports team.

0:27:46.400 --> 0:27:46.840
<v Speaker 11>But you cannot.

0:27:46.880 --> 0:27:50.119
<v Speaker 16>Everyone can own one, right they're privately listed or I'm sorry,

0:27:50.000 --> 0:27:53.640
<v Speaker 16>they're not publicly listed. They're private entities. You just can't

0:27:53.640 --> 0:27:55.920
<v Speaker 16>invest in them easily. So together with Brian Dougherty, get

0:27:55.960 --> 0:27:58.840
<v Speaker 16>the Raganathan, Kevin Niar and the whole team here at BI,

0:27:59.160 --> 0:28:00.800
<v Speaker 16>we came up with some way is that you know,

0:28:00.840 --> 0:28:02.960
<v Speaker 16>your everyday investor might be able to take advantage of

0:28:02.960 --> 0:28:05.920
<v Speaker 16>the opportunity set in the global business of sports. And

0:28:05.960 --> 0:28:08.400
<v Speaker 16>we wrote a huge research report on it and it's

0:28:08.440 --> 0:28:08.920
<v Speaker 16>really good.

0:28:09.200 --> 0:28:12.000
<v Speaker 6>We did watch your twelve minutes segment and then you

0:28:12.040 --> 0:28:14.720
<v Speaker 6>said that the difference is the sports industry has limited

0:28:14.760 --> 0:28:15.560
<v Speaker 6>public access.

0:28:15.960 --> 0:28:17.159
<v Speaker 17>Is that for the better?

0:28:17.480 --> 0:28:20.720
<v Speaker 16>So it's changing, So the rules changes, specifically with regard

0:28:20.800 --> 0:28:23.359
<v Speaker 16>to private equity investment in the NFL. I mean the

0:28:23.440 --> 0:28:25.720
<v Speaker 16>NFL is first among equals. I mean their national media

0:28:25.760 --> 0:28:28.400
<v Speaker 16>deal is eleven years, one hundred and ten billion, something

0:28:28.440 --> 0:28:30.840
<v Speaker 16>along those lines. It's twelve billion and average annual value

0:28:30.880 --> 0:28:34.159
<v Speaker 16>per team. It dominates professional sports. But really, at the

0:28:34.240 --> 0:28:36.240
<v Speaker 16>end of the day, you know what you are seeing

0:28:36.240 --> 0:28:38.480
<v Speaker 16>here from some of the recent transactions that have taken

0:28:38.480 --> 0:28:41.720
<v Speaker 16>place in the private space. Talking the Philadelphia Eagles, the

0:28:41.760 --> 0:28:43.840
<v Speaker 16>Buffalo Bills, a lot of these teams have sold small

0:28:43.920 --> 0:28:47.040
<v Speaker 16>minority interests in their teams to private equity. It's driven

0:28:47.280 --> 0:28:51.320
<v Speaker 16>the entire the entire universe higher so to put some

0:28:50.960 --> 0:28:55.560
<v Speaker 16>some numbers around it, since year end alone, the average

0:28:56.320 --> 0:28:59.560
<v Speaker 16>NFL team has gone up by thirty five percent in valuation.

0:28:59.680 --> 0:29:02.520
<v Speaker 16>So the top twenty five teams across all of professional

0:29:02.520 --> 0:29:05.959
<v Speaker 16>sports I'm including international sports like soccer, the NFL now

0:29:06.000 --> 0:29:08.680
<v Speaker 16>comprises twenty two of the top twenty five slots alone,

0:29:08.840 --> 0:29:10.720
<v Speaker 16>led by the Dallas Cowboys of course, but the Jets

0:29:10.720 --> 0:29:12.520
<v Speaker 16>are up there. So yeah, no, I mean like it

0:29:12.640 --> 0:29:16.200
<v Speaker 16>used to have a sparring of the yeah, right, despite

0:29:16.200 --> 0:29:17.760
<v Speaker 16>their best effort, Scarlett, but you know, used to have

0:29:17.840 --> 0:29:20.800
<v Speaker 16>FC Barcelona, Real Madrid, you have, you know, some baseball

0:29:20.800 --> 0:29:22.840
<v Speaker 16>teams like the Yankees, Dodgers in Red Sox that used

0:29:22.840 --> 0:29:24.040
<v Speaker 16>to be up there, and a lot of them have

0:29:24.200 --> 0:29:26.840
<v Speaker 16>kind of fallen back due to the fact that private

0:29:26.840 --> 0:29:29.320
<v Speaker 16>equity is now and allowed to invest in the NFL.

0:29:29.600 --> 0:29:32.000
<v Speaker 3>Okay, I mean private equity being allowed to invest in

0:29:32.040 --> 0:29:34.760
<v Speaker 3>the NFL was definitely a watershed moment, but private equity

0:29:34.760 --> 0:29:37.440
<v Speaker 3>was allowed to invest in European football clubs for a

0:29:37.440 --> 0:29:38.320
<v Speaker 3>lot longer before.

0:29:38.360 --> 0:29:39.720
<v Speaker 15>We're different sport, yeah.

0:29:39.640 --> 0:29:40.360
<v Speaker 7>Very different sport.

0:29:40.400 --> 0:29:42.640
<v Speaker 3>But I'm curious in terms of the breakdown of that

0:29:42.640 --> 0:29:44.920
<v Speaker 3>two point sixty five trillion dollar number, how much of

0:29:44.960 --> 0:29:47.560
<v Speaker 3>that is tied to the NFL. How much of that

0:29:47.640 --> 0:29:49.560
<v Speaker 3>is tied to things like European soccer.

0:29:49.880 --> 0:29:52.920
<v Speaker 16>Well, I mean it's a much smaller percentage than that, right,

0:29:52.960 --> 0:29:54.600
<v Speaker 16>because I mean that two point six to five trillion

0:29:54.640 --> 0:29:56.720
<v Speaker 16>that's generated a year. I mean, again, it has everything

0:29:56.760 --> 0:29:59.040
<v Speaker 16>to do with recreational vehicles, the footwear in a parrel.

0:29:59.080 --> 0:30:00.520
<v Speaker 16>But if you're just talking about a sports team and

0:30:00.520 --> 0:30:04.000
<v Speaker 16>how they generate their money, it's just really national media

0:30:04.040 --> 0:30:07.640
<v Speaker 16>rights or local sports media rights, and it's gate receipts primarily,

0:30:07.680 --> 0:30:10.520
<v Speaker 16>you know, ticketing, parking concessions, the things that you pay

0:30:10.520 --> 0:30:12.320
<v Speaker 16>for when you go to an event. Right, So you know,

0:30:12.320 --> 0:30:13.760
<v Speaker 16>if you just want to talk about gate receipts, I

0:30:13.760 --> 0:30:15.560
<v Speaker 16>mean one hundred and sixty two game schedule for the

0:30:15.560 --> 0:30:18.800
<v Speaker 16>Major League Baseball, they dominate in gate receipts, but in

0:30:18.960 --> 0:30:21.720
<v Speaker 16>national media rights, which is the real animal that everyone's

0:30:21.800 --> 0:30:24.040
<v Speaker 16>chasing right now. You hear about the NBA's new media

0:30:24.120 --> 0:30:26.760
<v Speaker 16>rights deal F one UFC. The Major League Baseball just

0:30:26.800 --> 0:30:30.760
<v Speaker 16>did something new there as well. You know, it's the NFL.

0:30:30.840 --> 0:30:33.200
<v Speaker 16>I mean, the NFL is first among equals and national

0:30:33.240 --> 0:30:36.560
<v Speaker 16>media deals. It represents seventy five percent of every team's

0:30:36.600 --> 0:30:40.480
<v Speaker 16>average annual value revenue that's generated every year. So yeah,

0:30:40.640 --> 0:30:42.520
<v Speaker 16>you know, I mean, you know, these national media deals

0:30:42.560 --> 0:30:44.560
<v Speaker 16>are huge, and now that the NBA just did its

0:30:44.560 --> 0:30:47.480
<v Speaker 16>big deal, we expect that, you know, come, I believe

0:30:47.520 --> 0:30:50.760
<v Speaker 16>twenty twenty eight, Scarlet, the NFL is going to re up.

0:30:50.760 --> 0:30:53.360
<v Speaker 16>It has the ability to buy out of its existing

0:30:53.560 --> 0:30:56.480
<v Speaker 16>contract and renegotiate it, and it definitely is going to

0:30:56.520 --> 0:30:58.720
<v Speaker 16>do that. And I think that's what's commanding a lot

0:30:58.760 --> 0:31:02.040
<v Speaker 16>of these valuations because in specifically private equity investors, they

0:31:02.040 --> 0:31:03.280
<v Speaker 16>see this and they want to take.

0:31:03.120 --> 0:31:03.760
<v Speaker 9>Advantage of it.

0:31:03.800 --> 0:31:06.200
<v Speaker 6>Can you talk about the revenue mix, because it varies

0:31:06.240 --> 0:31:08.840
<v Speaker 6>across major leagues. I'm looking at this really pretty table

0:31:08.880 --> 0:31:11.440
<v Speaker 6>you have for NFL, the biggest driver is national media.

0:31:11.560 --> 0:31:11.720
<v Speaker 2>Yep.

0:31:11.880 --> 0:31:15.000
<v Speaker 6>For NHL, and I'm eyeballing here, it's ticket sales and

0:31:15.040 --> 0:31:17.880
<v Speaker 6>it seems like concessions slash parking. Who would have thought

0:31:18.440 --> 0:31:20.720
<v Speaker 6>is kind of a significant chunk across all of them.

0:31:20.840 --> 0:31:22.560
<v Speaker 6>What do you think will be the single biggest driver

0:31:22.640 --> 0:31:23.720
<v Speaker 6>or is it really going to be different?

0:31:23.800 --> 0:31:26.760
<v Speaker 16>Well, that's only because the average franchise value to revenue

0:31:26.840 --> 0:31:29.640
<v Speaker 16>multiple for the NHL is just seven point seven times.

0:31:29.680 --> 0:31:31.560
<v Speaker 16>I mean, in the NFL's case, it's twelve and a

0:31:31.600 --> 0:31:32.160
<v Speaker 16>half times.

0:31:32.960 --> 0:31:36.840
<v Speaker 3>NFL isn't a league of it, nothing else even compares, correct.

0:31:36.520 --> 0:31:38.600
<v Speaker 16>I mean, but you might argue, I mean, look, despite

0:31:38.600 --> 0:31:40.760
<v Speaker 16>the fact that the NHL generates you know, call it,

0:31:41.120 --> 0:31:44.320
<v Speaker 16>I don't know, two billion dollars in revenue per year

0:31:44.360 --> 0:31:47.520
<v Speaker 16>on average, you know, it's still it's multiple still smaller

0:31:47.520 --> 0:31:49.680
<v Speaker 16>than that of Major League Soccer, which generates much less.

0:31:49.720 --> 0:31:51.120
<v Speaker 16>And again that just has to do with the fact

0:31:51.120 --> 0:31:54.040
<v Speaker 16>that you have all these MLS valuations now on the

0:31:54.080 --> 0:31:57.320
<v Speaker 16>back of you know, some great European players like Messi

0:31:57.320 --> 0:31:59.400
<v Speaker 16>who are now coming to play in places like Miami.

0:31:59.640 --> 0:32:02.240
<v Speaker 16>Just try up a lot of these valuations and so yeah,

0:32:02.400 --> 0:32:04.600
<v Speaker 16>you know, I mean, you know, we're still in early days.

0:32:04.600 --> 0:32:08.440
<v Speaker 16>But really it's the entrance of institutional capital, Isabelle, that's

0:32:08.480 --> 0:32:11.440
<v Speaker 16>really driving everything higher. You know, for the first time ever,

0:32:11.760 --> 0:32:15.720
<v Speaker 16>you know, institutional investors are gaining access to these sports

0:32:15.760 --> 0:32:18.120
<v Speaker 16>teams and they are looking to you know, get a

0:32:18.160 --> 0:32:20.360
<v Speaker 16>high return on investment from them. And just to be

0:32:20.440 --> 0:32:23.680
<v Speaker 16>very clear, you mentioned soccer before, because of relegation on

0:32:23.720 --> 0:32:25.320
<v Speaker 16>all these things. In soccer, in the fact that there's

0:32:25.320 --> 0:32:28.560
<v Speaker 16>no salary cap is very very difficult to extract a

0:32:28.640 --> 0:32:32.560
<v Speaker 16>profit from owning a EPL team, a European Premier League team,

0:32:32.560 --> 0:32:35.600
<v Speaker 16>whereas the salary cap allows for you know, I guess

0:32:35.960 --> 0:32:38.400
<v Speaker 16>better profit generation in the US. And so I think

0:32:38.440 --> 0:32:41.000
<v Speaker 16>that's one element to why you're seeing a lot of

0:32:41.000 --> 0:32:44.320
<v Speaker 16>the evaluations for these real Madrid FC, Barcelona come off

0:32:44.360 --> 0:32:45.360
<v Speaker 16>relative to the NFL.

0:32:45.560 --> 0:32:48.520
<v Speaker 3>So owning a European soccer club is more about bragging

0:32:48.600 --> 0:32:50.800
<v Speaker 3>rights than actually making money. Is that Is that what

0:32:50.800 --> 0:32:51.240
<v Speaker 3>I'm saying.

0:32:51.320 --> 0:32:53.920
<v Speaker 16>I would say no, not entirely. I would say yes,

0:32:53.960 --> 0:32:56.560
<v Speaker 16>it's definitely a trophy asset, but they all are. I

0:32:56.600 --> 0:32:59.040
<v Speaker 16>would just say the playing field for soccer, the fact

0:32:59.080 --> 0:33:01.280
<v Speaker 16>that there really isn't any way to you know, to

0:33:01.720 --> 0:33:04.840
<v Speaker 16>just cap with with with Middle East money that's come

0:33:04.840 --> 0:33:06.400
<v Speaker 16>into a lot of it. You know, it's just very,

0:33:06.480 --> 0:33:08.880
<v Speaker 16>very difficult to extract a profit and continue to pay

0:33:08.880 --> 0:33:12.400
<v Speaker 16>these players and compete for these salaries with with the

0:33:12.560 --> 0:33:14.880
<v Speaker 16>likes of you know, uh, you know, Man City and

0:33:14.880 --> 0:33:17.520
<v Speaker 16>some of the others who have really really deep pocketed investors.

0:33:17.560 --> 0:33:19.600
<v Speaker 16>And I think that's what's kind of skewing all the

0:33:19.640 --> 0:33:23.080
<v Speaker 16>revenue generation, all the valuation multiples to the downside.

0:33:23.080 --> 0:33:27.240
<v Speaker 6>In Europe any projection or outlook on the future of esports.

0:33:27.440 --> 0:33:30.920
<v Speaker 16>So, esports and sports betting are two of the biggest

0:33:30.960 --> 0:33:33.800
<v Speaker 16>drivers of our you know. So Bloomberg's created the Bloomberg

0:33:34.080 --> 0:33:36.560
<v Speaker 16>equal Weight Sports Basket, which is a way that your

0:33:36.600 --> 0:33:39.240
<v Speaker 16>average sort of investor can take advantage of any number

0:33:39.280 --> 0:33:41.760
<v Speaker 16>of publicly traded stocks that have, you know, exposure to

0:33:41.760 --> 0:33:44.240
<v Speaker 16>the sports industry. And Breed Dowerdies and her team have

0:33:44.320 --> 0:33:46.680
<v Speaker 16>done a great job of developing this and sports betting

0:33:46.680 --> 0:33:48.960
<v Speaker 16>and esports are wow, such a big part of it.

0:33:49.000 --> 0:33:51.320
<v Speaker 16>And esports, especially if you look at the purse from

0:33:51.360 --> 0:33:53.840
<v Speaker 16>like the I'm not an esports you know, expert here,

0:33:54.120 --> 0:33:56.280
<v Speaker 16>but but but Nathan n I do. My colleague in

0:33:56.280 --> 0:33:58.600
<v Speaker 16>Singapore is and he said that the purse from like

0:33:58.640 --> 0:34:01.600
<v Speaker 16>the World Championship of East Sports is on par or

0:34:01.680 --> 0:34:03.800
<v Speaker 16>higher than that of Wimbledon. I mean, can you imagine

0:34:03.840 --> 0:34:06.560
<v Speaker 16>higher than the Masters here here, I'm talking to golf here.

0:34:06.760 --> 0:34:09.239
<v Speaker 16>You know, it's just amazing how much money is being

0:34:09.280 --> 0:34:13.320
<v Speaker 16>funneled into that specific sort of subsector of the sports industry.

0:34:13.440 --> 0:34:16.040
<v Speaker 16>And it's growing. It's growing at a cager of like

0:34:16.080 --> 0:34:18.160
<v Speaker 16>double digits over the past five years, which is just

0:34:18.520 --> 0:34:20.560
<v Speaker 16>astronomical and I think there's more to come our.

0:34:20.480 --> 0:34:22.960
<v Speaker 2>Thanks to bi analysts and Business of Sports co host

0:34:23.000 --> 0:34:23.800
<v Speaker 2>Damian Sasaur.

0:34:24.160 --> 0:34:27.160
<v Speaker 4>This week, Bloomberg Business Week reported in their annual ranking

0:34:27.200 --> 0:34:30.480
<v Speaker 4>of full time MBA program that Stanford Graduate School of

0:34:30.520 --> 0:34:32.680
<v Speaker 4>Business is again number one.

0:34:32.800 --> 0:34:36.400
<v Speaker 2>Why Stanford host Scarlettfoo and guest host Stacy Vanick Smith

0:34:36.440 --> 0:34:40.239
<v Speaker 2>were joined by Demitra kesinid's Bloomberg News Senior.

0:34:40.040 --> 0:34:43.840
<v Speaker 17>Editor, Stanford came out top of our US rankings. We

0:34:43.880 --> 0:34:47.080
<v Speaker 17>have rankings across regions, so it's not globally the number

0:34:47.120 --> 0:34:51.279
<v Speaker 17>one school, just to clarify, but uh, you know, it

0:34:51.360 --> 0:34:56.880
<v Speaker 17>certainly points to resilience and strength of the programs. Stanford,

0:34:56.880 --> 0:34:59.520
<v Speaker 17>as we know in Silicon Valley, with all its focus

0:34:59.520 --> 0:35:03.759
<v Speaker 17>on technollogy and entrepreneurism and more, has been very, very

0:35:03.760 --> 0:35:06.840
<v Speaker 17>strong for years. You know that maybe to some degree

0:35:06.880 --> 0:35:09.280
<v Speaker 17>masks some of the problems that we see that especially

0:35:09.320 --> 0:35:12.239
<v Speaker 17>in the US, but globally, schools are confronting. I mean,

0:35:12.280 --> 0:35:17.040
<v Speaker 17>there are a lot of challenges today. There are geopolitical challenges,

0:35:17.400 --> 0:35:20.680
<v Speaker 17>there are challenges that are more specific to the US.

0:35:20.840 --> 0:35:24.040
<v Speaker 17>With what we've seen play out over several months, given

0:35:24.280 --> 0:35:30.279
<v Speaker 17>the current administration stance towards international students, towards issues of diversity.

0:35:30.560 --> 0:35:32.799
<v Speaker 17>So there are certainly a lot of things that are

0:35:32.800 --> 0:35:36.839
<v Speaker 17>just making tensions a little heightened right now and are

0:35:37.440 --> 0:35:41.080
<v Speaker 17>really raising the level of discussion and concern among deans

0:35:41.120 --> 0:35:44.000
<v Speaker 17>in a way that has them trying to come together

0:35:44.200 --> 0:35:46.560
<v Speaker 17>from around the world and really think about how do

0:35:46.600 --> 0:35:49.839
<v Speaker 17>we best support each other to support education, because what

0:35:49.880 --> 0:35:52.200
<v Speaker 17>we ultimately are in the business of is education.

0:35:53.120 --> 0:35:55.719
<v Speaker 13>Well, clearly some of those challenges have to do with

0:35:55.920 --> 0:35:59.440
<v Speaker 13>some of the some of the Trump administrations policies and

0:35:59.480 --> 0:36:04.359
<v Speaker 13>stances going after certain colleges and universities. How has that

0:36:04.480 --> 0:36:08.759
<v Speaker 13>factored in to business schools, to enrollment and to some

0:36:08.840 --> 0:36:11.920
<v Speaker 13>of the concerns that you're mentioning that deans of different

0:36:11.960 --> 0:36:12.960
<v Speaker 13>business schools are taking on.

0:36:13.280 --> 0:36:15.920
<v Speaker 17>I mean, it's starting very slowly, you know. It's not

0:36:16.120 --> 0:36:20.200
<v Speaker 17>as though we're seeing some great exodus from people interested

0:36:20.200 --> 0:36:22.600
<v Speaker 17>in schools in the US. We still have a very

0:36:22.640 --> 0:36:25.360
<v Speaker 17>strong system of business schools in this country, also in

0:36:25.400 --> 0:36:28.600
<v Speaker 17>Europe and in Asia, and there are very particular facets

0:36:28.640 --> 0:36:31.040
<v Speaker 17>to each of them that appeal to students depending on

0:36:31.080 --> 0:36:34.000
<v Speaker 17>what they're looking for. But I think that international students

0:36:34.040 --> 0:36:36.520
<v Speaker 17>who have come to this country in very large numbers

0:36:36.560 --> 0:36:39.960
<v Speaker 17>to business schools are starting to really question whether this

0:36:40.120 --> 0:36:44.440
<v Speaker 17>is the best option for them given the opportunities available elsewhere.

0:36:44.600 --> 0:36:46.520
<v Speaker 17>And part of that mix also has to do with

0:36:46.600 --> 0:36:49.839
<v Speaker 17>factors that aren't so specifically about the administration right now

0:36:49.840 --> 0:36:53.440
<v Speaker 17>in the US, but about jobs and opportunities and growth

0:36:54.320 --> 0:36:57.000
<v Speaker 17>are schools in the US. In addition to some of

0:36:57.040 --> 0:37:00.359
<v Speaker 17>the factors that they're facing that are more about some

0:37:00.400 --> 0:37:03.440
<v Speaker 17>of these issues around diversity and international students, they're also

0:37:03.480 --> 0:37:06.879
<v Speaker 17>confronting a situation in which, you know, more graduates are

0:37:06.920 --> 0:37:11.640
<v Speaker 17>finishing their programs with no job in hand. The share

0:37:11.680 --> 0:37:14.279
<v Speaker 17>of students that are finishing and that have a job

0:37:14.320 --> 0:37:17.840
<v Speaker 17>offer within three months. While it's not again a huge shift,

0:37:17.920 --> 0:37:20.440
<v Speaker 17>but it is a shift we're seeing, is really it's,

0:37:20.480 --> 0:37:23.160
<v Speaker 17>you know, that sort of percentage is being cut away.

0:37:23.560 --> 0:37:27.200
<v Speaker 17>We've seen so many cuts in technology, We've seen cuts

0:37:27.280 --> 0:37:30.200
<v Speaker 17>in many other industries that are leading. Consulting is really

0:37:30.239 --> 0:37:34.080
<v Speaker 17>a big one that draws business school students historically in

0:37:34.200 --> 0:37:37.680
<v Speaker 17>very large numbers. Consulting is going through a huge shift

0:37:37.760 --> 0:37:41.360
<v Speaker 17>right now, largely because of AI. We've seen many stories

0:37:41.360 --> 0:37:43.799
<v Speaker 17>about this, the way it affects the work that they're

0:37:43.800 --> 0:37:46.359
<v Speaker 17>doing the way that they're recruiting, how many people they

0:37:46.360 --> 0:37:50.040
<v Speaker 17>need to hire. So it's affecting all schools in various ways.

0:37:50.080 --> 0:37:53.239
<v Speaker 17>International programs have a lot of partnerships with US programs.

0:37:53.520 --> 0:37:56.600
<v Speaker 17>US programs send a lot of students abroad. The visa

0:37:56.640 --> 0:37:59.960
<v Speaker 17>issues are also, you know, very very touchy right now.

0:38:00.360 --> 0:38:03.920
<v Speaker 17>So it feels like it's on many fronts and just

0:38:04.000 --> 0:38:07.640
<v Speaker 17>coming together in a way that's more sort of pronounced.

0:38:07.440 --> 0:38:10.880
<v Speaker 4>And our thanks to demetri Kecndes, Bloomberg News Senior Editor.

0:38:11.120 --> 0:38:13.879
<v Speaker 2>That's this week's edition of Bloomberg Intelligence on Bloomberg Radio,

0:38:13.960 --> 0:38:16.360
<v Speaker 2>providing in depth research and data on two thousand companies

0:38:16.360 --> 0:38:17.720
<v Speaker 2>and one hundred and thirty industries.

0:38:17.840 --> 0:38:20.560
<v Speaker 4>And remember you can access Bloomberg Intelligence via bi Go

0:38:21.080 --> 0:38:24.120
<v Speaker 4>on the terminal. I'm Alexis Christophers and I'm Ball Sweeney.

0:38:24.280 --> 0:38:26.840
<v Speaker 2>Stay with us. Today's top stories and global business headlines

0:38:26.840 --> 0:38:29.240
<v Speaker 2>are coming up right now.