1 00:00:02,560 --> 00:00:04,560 Speaker 1: Welcome back to A number's Name with Ryan Grodoski. Thank 2 00:00:04,559 --> 00:00:08,480 Speaker 1: you guys for being here. I have a packed show 3 00:00:08,560 --> 00:00:10,560 Speaker 1: for you, and any packed I mean packed. I have 4 00:00:10,600 --> 00:00:14,200 Speaker 1: to tell you, whenever Trump does something to irritate me 5 00:00:14,320 --> 00:00:16,800 Speaker 1: and annoys me, and I think this happens with everybody. 6 00:00:16,840 --> 00:00:19,800 Speaker 1: With Trump, you just you're like, Okay, I'm done, I've 7 00:00:19,840 --> 00:00:23,280 Speaker 1: had enough, I'm tapped out. I can't do this anymore. 8 00:00:24,160 --> 00:00:27,520 Speaker 1: And then he does something that is you know, a 9 00:00:27,560 --> 00:00:30,800 Speaker 1: win that is existential for conservatives, where I'm like, all right, 10 00:00:30,800 --> 00:00:35,280 Speaker 1: he want me back. That happened over the week and 11 00:00:35,320 --> 00:00:38,479 Speaker 1: for those faithful listeners, you've heard me say time and 12 00:00:38,560 --> 00:00:42,880 Speaker 1: time again that mass immigration, both legal and illegal, are 13 00:00:42,960 --> 00:00:48,519 Speaker 1: allowing Democrat run states to escape the political ramifications for 14 00:00:48,680 --> 00:00:51,519 Speaker 1: their bad policy. What does that mean. It means that, 15 00:00:52,080 --> 00:00:55,440 Speaker 1: you know, every year, thousands and tens of thousands, if 16 00:00:55,480 --> 00:01:00,440 Speaker 1: not more, Americans are leaving New York, New Jersey, California, Illinois. 17 00:01:00,440 --> 00:01:03,639 Speaker 1: They're done, They're tired of bad liberal policies. But what 18 00:01:03,760 --> 00:01:07,760 Speaker 1: happens is that those same states are accepting hundreds of 19 00:01:07,840 --> 00:01:11,399 Speaker 1: thousands of immigrants, both legal and illegal, into the country. 20 00:01:11,720 --> 00:01:14,400 Speaker 1: And so when we have our census every ten years, 21 00:01:14,640 --> 00:01:18,200 Speaker 1: those states don't lose as much electoral power as they 22 00:01:18,319 --> 00:01:22,760 Speaker 1: should because they're using immigrants kind of to pad their losses. 23 00:01:23,360 --> 00:01:27,160 Speaker 1: So you know, AOC has a seat today or or 24 00:01:27,240 --> 00:01:31,640 Speaker 1: Maxine Waters has a seat today in part because they 25 00:01:31,720 --> 00:01:34,280 Speaker 1: have enough immigrants moving to those districts and moving to 26 00:01:34,319 --> 00:01:37,640 Speaker 1: those states where otherwise they wouldn't have had those seats. 27 00:01:39,760 --> 00:01:43,280 Speaker 1: And by the way, it allows Democrats failed policies in 28 00:01:44,160 --> 00:01:48,320 Speaker 1: the states to be maximalized to the entire country because 29 00:01:48,480 --> 00:01:51,160 Speaker 1: Washington doesn't feel the ramifications, which they should because of 30 00:01:51,200 --> 00:01:56,440 Speaker 1: bad state policies. Okay, according to new Census data, because 31 00:01:56,480 --> 00:02:00,000 Speaker 1: of the drastic cuts to immigration with legal any legal 32 00:02:00,520 --> 00:02:02,800 Speaker 1: because of the Trump administration, especially on the illegal side, 33 00:02:02,800 --> 00:02:05,200 Speaker 1: there's been a little bit of cuts on legal immigration 34 00:02:05,640 --> 00:02:09,480 Speaker 1: through regulatory reform. There's been obviously nothing through the Congress. 35 00:02:09,919 --> 00:02:16,240 Speaker 1: There has been a massive reduction immigration through every metropolitan 36 00:02:16,320 --> 00:02:20,520 Speaker 1: area in this country. According to the Census, every single 37 00:02:21,000 --> 00:02:24,760 Speaker 1: metro area saw a decline in immigration numbers, almost all 38 00:02:24,880 --> 00:02:29,120 Speaker 1: by over fifty percent. In El Paso there was a 39 00:02:29,240 --> 00:02:32,200 Speaker 1: ninety five percent reduction, that's all illegal immigration, by the way, 40 00:02:32,560 --> 00:02:37,040 Speaker 1: in Los Angeles sixty seven percent reduction. Denver seventy two 41 00:02:37,040 --> 00:02:41,359 Speaker 1: percent reduction, New York City sixty five percent reduction, Chicago 42 00:02:41,840 --> 00:02:46,280 Speaker 1: sixty two percent reduction, Seattle thirty one percent reduction. And 43 00:02:46,360 --> 00:02:50,840 Speaker 1: this reduction of immigration levels create the blueprints for the 44 00:02:51,000 --> 00:02:54,640 Speaker 1: twenty thirty census redistion, which will only be happening in 45 00:02:54,720 --> 00:02:57,919 Speaker 1: half a decade. It's not that far away, really, I mean, 46 00:02:57,919 --> 00:03:00,680 Speaker 1: it's as far as twenty twenty was, and that feels 47 00:03:00,720 --> 00:03:03,800 Speaker 1: like it was thirty five seconds ago. So how many 48 00:03:03,840 --> 00:03:05,920 Speaker 1: blue seats are they going to lose in the House? 49 00:03:06,200 --> 00:03:08,360 Speaker 1: How many electoral college woods are they going to lose? 50 00:03:09,919 --> 00:03:12,760 Speaker 1: Likely a lot more than they thought they were going 51 00:03:12,800 --> 00:03:16,320 Speaker 1: to lose just a year ago. And I want to 52 00:03:17,000 --> 00:03:20,760 Speaker 1: I want to put this calculation, you know, into people's 53 00:03:20,760 --> 00:03:26,360 Speaker 1: heads in twenty twenty. In twenty twenty four, Kamala Harris 54 00:03:26,680 --> 00:03:30,480 Speaker 1: had to win every blue wall state to be president, 55 00:03:30,680 --> 00:03:33,520 Speaker 1: right Joe Biden had to win every blue wall state 56 00:03:33,760 --> 00:03:38,280 Speaker 1: to be president. The rate that it is going right now, 57 00:03:38,840 --> 00:03:43,560 Speaker 1: even if a Democrat were to win Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania, 58 00:03:44,160 --> 00:03:47,600 Speaker 1: they could not win the presidency. Let me repeat that 59 00:03:47,640 --> 00:03:52,800 Speaker 1: the blue wall becomes irrelevant the way that the demographics 60 00:03:52,880 --> 00:03:55,840 Speaker 1: are shaking out and By the way, this number, this 61 00:03:56,120 --> 00:03:58,040 Speaker 1: sens this number that just came out. This is the 62 00:03:58,120 --> 00:04:01,440 Speaker 1: twenty twenty four to twenty twenty five census. This is 63 00:04:01,480 --> 00:04:05,280 Speaker 1: a census where Biden is still the present for six 64 00:04:05,800 --> 00:04:08,920 Speaker 1: months of the year. The twenty twenty five to twenty 65 00:04:08,960 --> 00:04:11,280 Speaker 1: twenty six census, which will be coming out next year, 66 00:04:11,800 --> 00:04:14,680 Speaker 1: is going to be a blood bath. Like if this 67 00:04:14,760 --> 00:04:18,400 Speaker 1: is the first six months before Trump put in the 68 00:04:18,600 --> 00:04:22,480 Speaker 1: travel bans on dozens of countries, before he increased the 69 00:04:22,680 --> 00:04:26,440 Speaker 1: H one B ray to one hundred thousand dollars for 70 00:04:26,480 --> 00:04:30,799 Speaker 1: new H one B employees, before really ramping up mass deportations. 71 00:04:31,120 --> 00:04:35,880 Speaker 1: It's going to be a blood bath for Democrats next year. 72 00:04:36,640 --> 00:04:39,800 Speaker 1: Twenty twenty four to twenty twenty five was the slowest 73 00:04:39,920 --> 00:04:43,880 Speaker 1: rate of growth for immigration in this country since the 74 00:04:44,000 --> 00:04:50,320 Speaker 1: COVID pandemic, with forty percent of US county's losing population, 75 00:04:50,560 --> 00:04:53,839 Speaker 1: even though the overall population grew by one point eight 76 00:04:53,880 --> 00:04:55,720 Speaker 1: million people, which is still a lot for a one 77 00:04:55,960 --> 00:04:58,119 Speaker 1: year Caldari year. If you think about it, that's bigger 78 00:04:58,160 --> 00:05:00,679 Speaker 1: than a lot of smaller states in the country. Net 79 00:05:00,720 --> 00:05:03,920 Speaker 1: migration at the US from overseas fell by more than 80 00:05:03,960 --> 00:05:07,080 Speaker 1: a million people, and the places that were affected the 81 00:05:07,200 --> 00:05:12,920 Speaker 1: most are big cities, especially big blue cities. Net international 82 00:05:12,960 --> 00:05:16,240 Speaker 1: migration fell by more than fifty percent, and places that 83 00:05:16,440 --> 00:05:19,760 Speaker 1: had more than a million people living them. People do 84 00:05:19,800 --> 00:05:21,880 Speaker 1: not want to live in big cities the way that 85 00:05:21,920 --> 00:05:25,800 Speaker 1: they used to. They prefer exerbs or in suburbs. With 86 00:05:25,920 --> 00:05:28,159 Speaker 1: the Internet the way it is now, you don't need 87 00:05:28,200 --> 00:05:30,680 Speaker 1: to live in New York to get, you know, a 88 00:05:30,720 --> 00:05:33,120 Speaker 1: good job. It helps to have access to, you know, 89 00:05:33,240 --> 00:05:37,159 Speaker 1: potential clients or to jobs, but you don't have to 90 00:05:37,200 --> 00:05:39,600 Speaker 1: work there anymore the way that you know. They people 91 00:05:39,640 --> 00:05:42,719 Speaker 1: have satellite offices everywhere, and a lot of people don't 92 00:05:42,760 --> 00:05:44,440 Speaker 1: work in an office at all. They work from home, 93 00:05:44,480 --> 00:05:46,880 Speaker 1: they work from their computer. They travel a lot more. 94 00:05:48,240 --> 00:05:52,400 Speaker 1: Here is the list of places that experience the highest 95 00:05:52,480 --> 00:05:56,479 Speaker 1: number of people with population change. This is like negative 96 00:05:56,480 --> 00:06:00,800 Speaker 1: population change. This is births plus inward my both forre 97 00:06:00,920 --> 00:06:05,560 Speaker 1: and domestic minus deaths. I'm from outward migration. People who 98 00:06:05,640 --> 00:06:08,160 Speaker 1: left the state and people who died minus people who 99 00:06:08,160 --> 00:06:10,479 Speaker 1: were born and people who moved to the state. Okay, 100 00:06:10,720 --> 00:06:15,479 Speaker 1: the number one place to lose people Los Angeles. They 101 00:06:15,520 --> 00:06:19,839 Speaker 1: lost fifty three thousand, nine hundred and thirty four people 102 00:06:20,040 --> 00:06:23,360 Speaker 1: folks LA lost the congressional district in a single year 103 00:06:23,680 --> 00:06:27,960 Speaker 1: fifty three nine hundred people. They lost an entire congressional 104 00:06:27,960 --> 00:06:31,960 Speaker 1: district in one year. Experts are saying that California's gonna 105 00:06:32,000 --> 00:06:34,520 Speaker 1: lose four seats by twenty thirty. No, they're gonna lose six. 106 00:06:35,000 --> 00:06:38,000 Speaker 1: I unless a Democrat wins in twenty twenty eight, and 107 00:06:38,040 --> 00:06:40,839 Speaker 1: in twenty twenty nine they kicked the doors open, which 108 00:06:41,320 --> 00:06:45,599 Speaker 1: is totally possible. But going the way things are going, 109 00:06:46,320 --> 00:06:49,400 Speaker 1: California's gonna lose six congressional seats next year in twenty 110 00:06:49,400 --> 00:06:52,479 Speaker 1: thirty is what I predict. Next up Pinals, Florida. That 111 00:06:52,640 --> 00:06:56,680 Speaker 1: is Saint Petersburg. They lost eleven eight hundred people. That's 112 00:06:56,720 --> 00:06:58,520 Speaker 1: a little surprising. I didn't expect that I'm gonna be 113 00:06:58,560 --> 00:07:00,360 Speaker 1: that high. I've been to Saint Petersburg. It's a nice 114 00:07:00,400 --> 00:07:04,000 Speaker 1: enough place. They've got a great Dolly museum nearby. Third 115 00:07:04,080 --> 00:07:08,240 Speaker 1: to go, Miami Dade, Florida, ten one hundred people. This 116 00:07:08,320 --> 00:07:11,560 Speaker 1: does not surprise me. I have siblings who live in 117 00:07:11,640 --> 00:07:16,000 Speaker 1: Miami Dade. I've been there many many times. They experienced 118 00:07:16,000 --> 00:07:19,400 Speaker 1: a crazy influx during COVID. I think it was a 119 00:07:19,400 --> 00:07:24,240 Speaker 1: little unsustainable. And Miami's just not for everybody. And still 120 00:07:24,240 --> 00:07:27,080 Speaker 1: Miami still has thirty thousand more people who have moved 121 00:07:27,120 --> 00:07:29,360 Speaker 1: there since before COVID, So it's not like they experienced 122 00:07:29,360 --> 00:07:31,960 Speaker 1: you know, they're negative since COVID. It's just that people 123 00:07:32,000 --> 00:07:33,720 Speaker 1: have changed their minds of living in a big city 124 00:07:33,760 --> 00:07:37,520 Speaker 1: in South Florida. Next up is my home borough of Queens, Queens, 125 00:07:37,560 --> 00:07:39,800 Speaker 1: New York. Trump's town borough as well well, was eighty 126 00:07:39,840 --> 00:07:43,920 Speaker 1: eight hundred people in a single year. This is before 127 00:07:44,000 --> 00:07:47,560 Speaker 1: Mondani became mayor. This is before all the craziness that 128 00:07:47,600 --> 00:07:50,840 Speaker 1: the countary goes from September to September. So it's not 129 00:07:51,080 --> 00:07:54,280 Speaker 1: this is before the election. It's gonna get worse than 130 00:07:54,400 --> 00:07:57,320 Speaker 1: Orange County, California, eighty five hundred people and not running 131 00:07:57,320 --> 00:08:01,000 Speaker 1: out a list very quickly. San Diego fifty three hundred. Shelby, Tennessee. 132 00:08:01,040 --> 00:08:03,560 Speaker 1: This is where Memphis is located, the most democratic part 133 00:08:03,600 --> 00:08:07,760 Speaker 1: of Tennessee fifty two hundred, The Bronx forty seven hundred, 134 00:08:07,920 --> 00:08:12,160 Speaker 1: Dallas twenty six hundred, Ventura County twenty six hundred. That's 135 00:08:12,200 --> 00:08:14,120 Speaker 1: the top. Those are the big counties that lost the 136 00:08:14,120 --> 00:08:16,960 Speaker 1: big population. Other counties lost the population obviously, but those 137 00:08:16,960 --> 00:08:21,480 Speaker 1: are the big ones where did population grow. Number one 138 00:08:21,920 --> 00:08:25,200 Speaker 1: Harris County. This is the home of Houston forty nine thousand. 139 00:08:25,440 --> 00:08:28,600 Speaker 1: Collin County, which is the suburb of Dallas forty three thousand, 140 00:08:28,760 --> 00:08:34,640 Speaker 1: Maricopa County, Arizona, home of Phoenix thirty five thousand, Montgomery, Texas, 141 00:08:34,760 --> 00:08:39,760 Speaker 1: thirty thousand, Wake County, North Carolina, twenty eight thousand, King County, Washington, 142 00:08:39,800 --> 00:08:41,800 Speaker 1: which I was actually surprised with. This is while Washington 143 00:08:41,840 --> 00:08:45,680 Speaker 1: still has a no income tax and they've changed this year. 144 00:08:45,880 --> 00:08:49,560 Speaker 1: Twenty seven thousand. Mecklenburg County, North Carolina. This is the 145 00:08:49,600 --> 00:08:53,040 Speaker 1: home to Charlotte twenty six thousand, five hundred, Fort ben 146 00:08:53,160 --> 00:08:57,520 Speaker 1: Texas twenty four thousand, Williamson, Texas, twenty four thousand, Panal, 147 00:08:57,640 --> 00:09:01,439 Speaker 1: Arizona twenty three thousand, six hundred. Notice a trend there. 148 00:09:01,480 --> 00:09:04,600 Speaker 1: By the way, Florida is not on the list. I 149 00:09:04,840 --> 00:09:12,000 Speaker 1: believe that Florida is hitting this kind of reduction in 150 00:09:12,000 --> 00:09:16,120 Speaker 1: influx in population one because so many people move there 151 00:09:16,120 --> 00:09:19,640 Speaker 1: that at jacked of home prices. And secondly, I think 152 00:09:19,760 --> 00:09:21,760 Speaker 1: part of it from what I've known from people who 153 00:09:21,800 --> 00:09:26,319 Speaker 1: live in Florida, is the insurance rates are just so high. 154 00:09:26,360 --> 00:09:30,920 Speaker 1: They are steering people away. And also Florida has worked 155 00:09:30,920 --> 00:09:32,880 Speaker 1: harder than any other state, and this is the credit 156 00:09:32,840 --> 00:09:37,040 Speaker 1: Toronto Santas to deport illegal immigrants. So I think you're 157 00:09:37,040 --> 00:09:39,559 Speaker 1: seeing a lot of illegal immerance lead the state, and 158 00:09:39,880 --> 00:09:42,800 Speaker 1: you're seeing people not move there as high numbers. I 159 00:09:42,800 --> 00:09:47,080 Speaker 1: think in part because the insurance for hurricanes is astronomical 160 00:09:47,480 --> 00:09:50,760 Speaker 1: right now in Florida, and home prices have searched. It's 161 00:09:51,040 --> 00:09:55,560 Speaker 1: very expensive. Other parts of the Panhandle in Mississippi, Alabama, 162 00:09:55,600 --> 00:09:59,280 Speaker 1: and even part of Louisiana have seen population growth, I 163 00:09:59,320 --> 00:10:01,600 Speaker 1: think as people want to live near the Gulf of America, 164 00:10:01,880 --> 00:10:05,080 Speaker 1: but that's much more affordable than it is in Florida 165 00:10:05,160 --> 00:10:07,079 Speaker 1: right now because of the so many people move there. 166 00:10:07,360 --> 00:10:10,000 Speaker 1: Only one county up here in Florida up here to 167 00:10:10,000 --> 00:10:12,880 Speaker 1: the top ten, which is Polk County. But anyway, a 168 00:10:12,920 --> 00:10:17,160 Speaker 1: lot of growth from Texas, Arizona, and the Carolinas, all 169 00:10:17,200 --> 00:10:20,560 Speaker 1: states that vote over Trump. As far as metropolitan areas go, 170 00:10:20,720 --> 00:10:25,520 Speaker 1: only two states Blue states experience population growth in a 171 00:10:25,600 --> 00:10:29,160 Speaker 1: metropolitan county. Washington, d C. That whole area which is 172 00:10:29,200 --> 00:10:32,240 Speaker 1: northern Virginia southern Maryland that added fifty three thousand people, 173 00:10:32,280 --> 00:10:36,520 Speaker 1: and Seattle added forty three thousand. Seattle is acting as 174 00:10:36,559 --> 00:10:41,679 Speaker 1: a sponge for other progressives who can't afford California anymore 175 00:10:41,679 --> 00:10:43,200 Speaker 1: and they want to live in a big blue area 176 00:10:43,240 --> 00:10:48,040 Speaker 1: to move to Seattle on their Republican side. All the 177 00:10:48,080 --> 00:10:51,079 Speaker 1: rest of Republicans right, and only one actually are in Florida. 178 00:10:51,480 --> 00:10:52,960 Speaker 1: I'm not bashing on Florida, by the way. I just 179 00:10:52,960 --> 00:10:55,720 Speaker 1: find it fascinating because Florida was the growth central of 180 00:10:55,840 --> 00:11:00,000 Speaker 1: the entire country, but only one Florida and Florida Metropolitan 181 00:11:00,440 --> 00:11:04,560 Speaker 1: saw extensive population growth, and that was Orlando. Texas made 182 00:11:04,559 --> 00:11:09,240 Speaker 1: a four of the top ten, with North Carolina, South Carolina, Arizona, Georgia, 183 00:11:09,320 --> 00:11:13,439 Speaker 1: and Flora making hup the rest. Since twenty twenty, and 184 00:11:13,679 --> 00:11:17,520 Speaker 1: this is with Biden's insane level of immigration when he 185 00:11:17,600 --> 00:11:21,520 Speaker 1: kicked over the floodgates, Los Angeles has saw a decline 186 00:11:21,559 --> 00:11:27,520 Speaker 1: in population of over three hundred thousand people. Chicago has 187 00:11:27,600 --> 00:11:31,840 Speaker 1: lost eighty five thousand. Every borough but Staten Island in 188 00:11:31,840 --> 00:11:35,439 Speaker 1: New York City has lost people. Staten Island gained five thousand, 189 00:11:35,440 --> 00:11:38,800 Speaker 1: while Queens Brooklyn, Manhattan and the Bronx lost two hundred 190 00:11:38,840 --> 00:11:42,680 Speaker 1: and twenty six thousand people. That means all of these 191 00:11:42,720 --> 00:11:47,360 Speaker 1: big blue cities are losing a congressional representative, a vote 192 00:11:47,360 --> 00:11:50,440 Speaker 1: in the electoral College. Do you understand what is happening. 193 00:11:50,800 --> 00:11:54,520 Speaker 1: It's a total reversal of the Biden years, of the 194 00:11:54,559 --> 00:11:57,320 Speaker 1: Obama years, even if the Bush years, and I would 195 00:11:57,320 --> 00:12:02,280 Speaker 1: even say of Trump term first term, letting blue cities 196 00:12:02,640 --> 00:12:07,000 Speaker 1: off the hook for bad policies that drive Americans away. 197 00:12:07,080 --> 00:12:11,040 Speaker 1: They don't deserve the political capital in Washington that they 198 00:12:11,080 --> 00:12:14,120 Speaker 1: have gotten over the last few years. They don't deserve 199 00:12:14,360 --> 00:12:17,560 Speaker 1: to have all these congressmen. While red states with red 200 00:12:17,600 --> 00:12:21,680 Speaker 1: counties have real Americans living in them, They're not just 201 00:12:21,720 --> 00:12:24,640 Speaker 1: immigrants living in them. They have Americans lim who don't 202 00:12:24,720 --> 00:12:30,719 Speaker 1: receive the representation that they deserve. Mass migration allows them 203 00:12:30,720 --> 00:12:32,800 Speaker 1: to not be held accountable. It has been stopping and 204 00:12:32,840 --> 00:12:34,800 Speaker 1: it has been slowing down, and that is a good thing. 205 00:12:35,480 --> 00:12:38,359 Speaker 1: They're going to lose. I would say right now, Democrats 206 00:12:38,400 --> 00:12:42,079 Speaker 1: are probably going to lose twelve seats in the twenty 207 00:12:42,200 --> 00:12:44,920 Speaker 1: thirty census. Right now, if I had to guess about 208 00:12:44,920 --> 00:12:47,880 Speaker 1: twelve seats, and Republicans are going to gain in places 209 00:12:47,920 --> 00:12:51,280 Speaker 1: like North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, Texas, and Florida. If they 210 00:12:51,320 --> 00:12:55,880 Speaker 1: can keep those states red, they will control the presidency 211 00:12:56,000 --> 00:12:58,720 Speaker 1: for the next decade. Who knows they am be able 212 00:12:58,760 --> 00:13:01,600 Speaker 1: to control the House House representments for the next decade 213 00:13:01,600 --> 00:13:04,080 Speaker 1: to two. We don't know what will happen with all redistricting, 214 00:13:04,160 --> 00:13:08,440 Speaker 1: but the presidency certainly looks very fatal for Republicans because 215 00:13:08,480 --> 00:13:11,240 Speaker 1: they don't need these swing states anymore in the sense 216 00:13:11,280 --> 00:13:16,280 Speaker 1: of the of the of the heavily unionized, traditionally democratic 217 00:13:16,840 --> 00:13:20,400 Speaker 1: rost belt states. They just don't. They've made themselves irrelevant. 218 00:13:20,440 --> 00:13:22,040 Speaker 1: It's not just because of good weather too, it's because 219 00:13:22,040 --> 00:13:26,840 Speaker 1: of favorable taxes. People like AOC Maxine Waters I quickly 220 00:13:27,480 --> 00:13:31,000 Speaker 1: they're gonna find themselves without a job. They're gonna find 221 00:13:31,000 --> 00:13:33,480 Speaker 1: I mean, maybe they can primarily their Democrat, but it's 222 00:13:33,520 --> 00:13:36,840 Speaker 1: going to be a smaller and smaller pool out of 223 00:13:36,880 --> 00:13:41,240 Speaker 1: the congressional districts that you know are most likely to 224 00:13:41,240 --> 00:13:44,520 Speaker 1: to go. They're gonna go not only in some rural 225 00:13:44,520 --> 00:13:48,000 Speaker 1: areas in those days, but definitely in the cities. And 226 00:13:48,160 --> 00:13:52,240 Speaker 1: it is their own policies that destroyed them because people 227 00:13:52,280 --> 00:13:54,600 Speaker 1: are abanning them. They're dying from it with a whimper 228 00:13:54,640 --> 00:13:59,560 Speaker 1: or not a bank Okay, I it's fascinating. We have 229 00:13:59,679 --> 00:14:02,120 Speaker 1: we have couple more years of this of breaking down data. 230 00:14:02,160 --> 00:14:03,959 Speaker 1: But if this is a sign of what's to come 231 00:14:04,000 --> 00:14:07,959 Speaker 1: from the first seven months of the Trump presidency, next 232 00:14:08,080 --> 00:14:11,920 Speaker 1: year's is going to be Democrats are going to be shaking. 233 00:14:11,960 --> 00:14:13,600 Speaker 1: And that is also why, by the way, you're seeing 234 00:14:13,600 --> 00:14:17,080 Speaker 1: Democrats change position on housing, which is like a yes 235 00:14:17,160 --> 00:14:20,520 Speaker 1: and no thing. Yes, housing and Blue states are too expensive. Yes, 236 00:14:20,560 --> 00:14:22,520 Speaker 1: that does drive people away, but no, that's not the 237 00:14:22,520 --> 00:14:25,040 Speaker 1: only going to drive people away. Your crime policies are 238 00:14:25,240 --> 00:14:30,440 Speaker 1: completely inadequate, your taxes are insane, your business tax is nuts. 239 00:14:30,640 --> 00:14:33,280 Speaker 1: There's a lot of things driving away. It's not just housing. 240 00:14:33,320 --> 00:14:36,400 Speaker 1: I'm just letting democrats know. It's not just a housing thing. 241 00:14:36,440 --> 00:14:39,400 Speaker 1: But they are changing their position on it because they 242 00:14:39,440 --> 00:14:42,560 Speaker 1: realize how many people they're losing. Okay, next up, I 243 00:14:42,560 --> 00:14:45,400 Speaker 1: have more interesting data for you guys on international news 244 00:14:45,400 --> 00:14:51,680 Speaker 1: and religion. That's coming up next. So there was a 245 00:14:51,720 --> 00:14:54,360 Speaker 1: story in the New York Times late last week about 246 00:14:54,360 --> 00:14:57,200 Speaker 1: the number of Catholic churches in the US experience a 247 00:14:57,480 --> 00:15:00,800 Speaker 1: surge of conversions people coming to the Catholic church. It's 248 00:15:00,840 --> 00:15:03,160 Speaker 1: something I've explored a lot on this podcast. You guys 249 00:15:03,160 --> 00:15:05,920 Speaker 1: know I'm Catholic born and raised, and I find it 250 00:15:06,000 --> 00:15:11,080 Speaker 1: very interesting because a lot of people embellish numbers on religion, 251 00:15:11,120 --> 00:15:14,240 Speaker 1: and I try to find some really good, interesting, hard 252 00:15:14,320 --> 00:15:16,440 Speaker 1: data to kind of back up where we are as 253 00:15:16,440 --> 00:15:19,000 Speaker 1: a country, because we're probably we are likely the most 254 00:15:19,000 --> 00:15:22,720 Speaker 1: religious country in the Western Hemisphere, especially of the developed countries. 255 00:15:23,600 --> 00:15:27,040 Speaker 1: The Times reach out to twelve percent of dioceses in America. 256 00:15:27,080 --> 00:15:29,600 Speaker 1: That's a large sample size, and they all reported a 257 00:15:29,720 --> 00:15:32,600 Speaker 1: surge of membership. This is according to The Times, people 258 00:15:32,600 --> 00:15:35,480 Speaker 1: are joining the Roman Catholic Church with surprising numbers the Easter. 259 00:15:36,280 --> 00:15:40,400 Speaker 1: This Easter, the Archdiocese of Detroit will receive fourteen hundred 260 00:15:40,400 --> 00:15:42,360 Speaker 1: and twenty eight new Catholics into the church. It's the 261 00:15:42,400 --> 00:15:46,160 Speaker 1: highest number in twenty one years. The Archdiocese of Gavelston 262 00:15:46,240 --> 00:15:48,560 Speaker 1: Houston will be at its most in fifteen years. The 263 00:15:48,680 --> 00:15:51,880 Speaker 1: Archdiocese of Des Moines is of fifty one percent from 264 00:15:51,960 --> 00:15:54,640 Speaker 1: last year, from two sixty five to four hundred the 265 00:15:54,720 --> 00:15:57,840 Speaker 1: first year after the election of Pope Leo, the first 266 00:15:57,880 --> 00:16:00,440 Speaker 1: pontiff from the United States. Many Catholic churches are, of 267 00:16:00,520 --> 00:16:03,520 Speaker 1: course across America are welcoming their highest number of new 268 00:16:03,520 --> 00:16:06,320 Speaker 1: Catholics in recent years. The newcomers are set officially be 269 00:16:06,320 --> 00:16:09,360 Speaker 1: received into the church on Easter vigil Mass, the night 270 00:16:09,480 --> 00:16:12,400 Speaker 1: before Easter on April fifth. Of course, we think the 271 00:16:12,400 --> 00:16:16,080 Speaker 1: Holy Spirit. Sorry, of course we think the Holy Holy 272 00:16:16,120 --> 00:16:20,080 Speaker 1: Spirit is Cardinal Robert McCloy of Washington said, we are 273 00:16:20,200 --> 00:16:23,040 Speaker 1: all kind of stymied. His own archdiocese is set to 274 00:16:23,040 --> 00:16:27,000 Speaker 1: receive seventeen hundred and fifty five people entering the churches Easter, 275 00:16:27,120 --> 00:16:30,120 Speaker 1: up from fifteen hundred the year prior, which was already 276 00:16:30,200 --> 00:16:33,640 Speaker 1: the highest number in fifteen years. This data comes amid 277 00:16:33,720 --> 00:16:35,200 Speaker 1: and this is by way, this is not the Times. 278 00:16:35,200 --> 00:16:37,720 Speaker 1: This is just me talking. This article comes amid new 279 00:16:37,840 --> 00:16:40,520 Speaker 1: data from Ryan Burge. I've had him on this podcast. 280 00:16:40,960 --> 00:16:45,040 Speaker 1: He explores data behind religion. I like Ryan not only 281 00:16:45,080 --> 00:16:47,200 Speaker 1: because his name is excellent, but I like Ryan because 282 00:16:47,240 --> 00:16:50,200 Speaker 1: he's a straight shooter. He doesn't BSU. He doesn't tell 283 00:16:50,200 --> 00:16:51,960 Speaker 1: you what he wants to happen. He tells you as 284 00:16:52,000 --> 00:16:55,920 Speaker 1: it's happening. And he says, according to the Cooperative Election Study, 285 00:16:55,960 --> 00:16:58,280 Speaker 1: this is an incredible study that Harvard puts out every year, 286 00:16:58,760 --> 00:17:01,160 Speaker 1: huge sample sizes. Something I'm going to explore on our 287 00:17:01,200 --> 00:17:03,960 Speaker 1: next episode. What their twenty twenty five data really looks 288 00:17:04,040 --> 00:17:06,919 Speaker 1: like the share of non religious people in this country 289 00:17:06,960 --> 00:17:11,520 Speaker 1: has dropped for the third consecutive year. Thirty one percent 290 00:17:11,560 --> 00:17:13,800 Speaker 1: of Americans as a twenty twenty five report to be 291 00:17:13,920 --> 00:17:17,640 Speaker 1: non religious, five percent being atheists, five percent being agnostic, 292 00:17:17,840 --> 00:17:21,000 Speaker 1: twenty one percent being nothing in particular. I mean like 293 00:17:21,000 --> 00:17:22,560 Speaker 1: they haven't really thought about it, but they don't have 294 00:17:22,600 --> 00:17:26,359 Speaker 1: like a stake in being anti religious, maybe like atheists do. 295 00:17:26,840 --> 00:17:29,520 Speaker 1: That's down five percent from an all time high of 296 00:17:29,560 --> 00:17:34,160 Speaker 1: thirty six percent in twenty twenty three. I think conversion 297 00:17:34,400 --> 00:17:41,280 Speaker 1: conversations rather about religious revivals can be overstated. People who 298 00:17:41,320 --> 00:17:44,160 Speaker 1: really want there to be a religious revival will talk 299 00:17:44,200 --> 00:17:48,200 Speaker 1: about it a lot. The data doesn't show that as 300 00:17:48,400 --> 00:17:52,600 Speaker 1: much as it shows really a stop in the number 301 00:17:52,640 --> 00:17:55,479 Speaker 1: of people being non religious, Like the non religious numbers 302 00:17:55,600 --> 00:17:59,359 Speaker 1: have come to a halt. The slow, you know, washing 303 00:17:59,400 --> 00:18:04,280 Speaker 1: away of of Christianity America really has rescinded since COVID. 304 00:18:04,359 --> 00:18:06,399 Speaker 1: It is it's something that we are not seeing a 305 00:18:06,520 --> 00:18:08,600 Speaker 1: huge uptick the way we used to see in the 306 00:18:08,680 --> 00:18:12,359 Speaker 1: number of people staying that they're non religious. The Cooperative 307 00:18:12,400 --> 00:18:14,840 Speaker 1: study back to that study also says that the number 308 00:18:14,840 --> 00:18:17,399 Speaker 1: of people identifying as Catholic kind of identifying what the 309 00:18:17,440 --> 00:18:20,120 Speaker 1: Times piece has actually increased over the last few years. 310 00:18:20,160 --> 00:18:23,000 Speaker 1: It's up to sixteen percent of young people being identifying 311 00:18:23,040 --> 00:18:26,760 Speaker 1: as Catholic, up from fourteen percent back in twenty twenty one. 312 00:18:27,160 --> 00:18:33,119 Speaker 1: So it's very interesting and maybe the maybe the big 313 00:18:33,200 --> 00:18:38,000 Speaker 1: hope that a lot of socially progressive people had that 314 00:18:38,040 --> 00:18:41,959 Speaker 1: we're going to see this complete reversal of America's long 315 00:18:42,040 --> 00:18:46,880 Speaker 1: standing religiosity has been is a bet that they shouldn't 316 00:18:46,920 --> 00:18:49,199 Speaker 1: have made. I mean, who knows what this means for 317 00:18:49,240 --> 00:18:51,639 Speaker 1: social policy? Who knows what this means for family formation? 318 00:18:51,760 --> 00:18:54,760 Speaker 1: I do know this. Religious people marry more frequently, they 319 00:18:54,760 --> 00:18:58,280 Speaker 1: have children more frequently, and they are more engaged in 320 00:18:58,320 --> 00:19:01,640 Speaker 1: civic society. Something in the Time said, which goes back 321 00:19:01,640 --> 00:19:05,840 Speaker 1: to the COVID information is is because as the world 322 00:19:05,880 --> 00:19:10,080 Speaker 1: became more on the Internet, percentages of the population, even 323 00:19:10,119 --> 00:19:14,159 Speaker 1: if it's a minority, wanted human interaction and religion and 324 00:19:14,320 --> 00:19:17,920 Speaker 1: church attendance especially is human interaction. I mean, I guess 325 00:19:17,960 --> 00:19:20,240 Speaker 1: you can watch it on television, it is not the 326 00:19:20,240 --> 00:19:22,600 Speaker 1: same as going to a church. So I find that 327 00:19:22,760 --> 00:19:26,080 Speaker 1: very very interesting, and other countries have also experienced this spike, 328 00:19:26,280 --> 00:19:28,200 Speaker 1: especially in France, has been a notable spike in the 329 00:19:28,240 --> 00:19:31,679 Speaker 1: number of conversions speaking of Europe, and this is my 330 00:19:32,000 --> 00:19:34,359 Speaker 1: segue to the last topic I'm going to talk about 331 00:19:34,359 --> 00:19:37,159 Speaker 1: on this podcast. There's been a lot of interesting breaking 332 00:19:37,320 --> 00:19:39,800 Speaker 1: election stuff coming out of Europe. And I don't really 333 00:19:39,800 --> 00:19:42,919 Speaker 1: touch on European politics a lot outside of England just 334 00:19:43,000 --> 00:19:45,600 Speaker 1: because it's not for everybody. I get that, but I 335 00:19:45,680 --> 00:19:48,800 Speaker 1: think enough has happened to give a quick rundown to 336 00:19:48,840 --> 00:19:51,879 Speaker 1: my audience. The first being that there was an election 337 00:19:52,040 --> 00:19:55,439 Speaker 1: in Denmark. Now, I know, aside from Bernie Sanders praising Denmark, 338 00:19:55,480 --> 00:19:56,720 Speaker 1: most of you guys are like, I don't even think 339 00:19:56,720 --> 00:19:59,399 Speaker 1: about Denmark. They gave us ozempic and legos and you know, 340 00:19:59,520 --> 00:20:05,280 Speaker 1: nothing else fair. But it's important because when it comes 341 00:20:05,280 --> 00:20:07,760 Speaker 1: to the American foreign policy, you know, a lot of 342 00:20:07,920 --> 00:20:13,600 Speaker 1: social Democrats in Europe really stake out the hatred for 343 00:20:13,720 --> 00:20:20,600 Speaker 1: Trump among Europeans as the answer to faltering political support. 344 00:20:20,680 --> 00:20:24,960 Speaker 1: Right European center lapses really saw a massive decline over 345 00:20:24,960 --> 00:20:27,560 Speaker 1: the last couple of years in almost every part of Europe. 346 00:20:28,160 --> 00:20:31,320 Speaker 1: People in Europe do not like Americans particularly well, even 347 00:20:31,359 --> 00:20:33,159 Speaker 1: though I mean they should. I mean, we're great, but 348 00:20:33,720 --> 00:20:35,679 Speaker 1: that's just a joke from a European audience. It's not 349 00:20:35,680 --> 00:20:38,560 Speaker 1: a very big audience, but they're there. I acknowledge you, 350 00:20:38,600 --> 00:20:42,880 Speaker 1: and I love you for listening. But they really hate Trump. 351 00:20:43,040 --> 00:20:45,960 Speaker 1: Europeans really really hate Trump. And when Trump was talking 352 00:20:45,960 --> 00:20:51,119 Speaker 1: about annexing Greenland, it was this massive backlash in Denmark. Well, 353 00:20:51,640 --> 00:20:55,399 Speaker 1: the Danish prime minister, who's been kind of faltering in 354 00:20:55,440 --> 00:20:57,560 Speaker 1: the polls, was like, oh, this is perfect. There's a 355 00:20:57,680 --> 00:21:01,159 Speaker 1: rally around the flag effect happening in my country. Her 356 00:21:01,240 --> 00:21:03,679 Speaker 1: poll numbers went up, the center rights poll numbers went up, 357 00:21:03,680 --> 00:21:07,280 Speaker 1: and the center Moderate Moderate that's called the Moderate Party, 358 00:21:07,280 --> 00:21:09,600 Speaker 1: it's the Centrist party, their poll numbers went up. They said, 359 00:21:09,600 --> 00:21:12,840 Speaker 1: this is perfect. We'll hold an election, I'll increase my 360 00:21:13,080 --> 00:21:16,600 Speaker 1: numbers in parliament and it'll be easier for me to govern. 361 00:21:16,920 --> 00:21:21,480 Speaker 1: So what happened. The very opposite happened of what she predicted. 362 00:21:21,760 --> 00:21:24,480 Speaker 1: The governing Social Democrats, which is a left wing party 363 00:21:24,480 --> 00:21:28,439 Speaker 1: if you couldn't tell, had their worst performance in a century. 364 00:21:28,560 --> 00:21:31,880 Speaker 1: They lost twelve seats. The center right party was called Vestry, 365 00:21:32,200 --> 00:21:34,879 Speaker 1: they lost five seats and this was their worst number 366 00:21:34,920 --> 00:21:38,160 Speaker 1: of all time. And the Moderate Party lost two seats. 367 00:21:38,520 --> 00:21:41,240 Speaker 1: Everyone making a bet that this election would be a 368 00:21:41,320 --> 00:21:44,680 Speaker 1: referendum on Trump lost. The biggest winner with a Danish 369 00:21:44,720 --> 00:21:48,080 Speaker 1: People's Party is a nationals party. They campaigned specifically on 370 00:21:48,200 --> 00:21:53,200 Speaker 1: remitigating people who had immigrated to Denmark and became Danish 371 00:21:53,240 --> 00:21:56,520 Speaker 1: citizens who are not Western. They ran on, we're going 372 00:21:56,600 --> 00:21:59,879 Speaker 1: to offer them an incentive or demand it that they 373 00:22:00,080 --> 00:22:03,119 Speaker 1: move back to Syria or Morocco or Afghanistan, wherever they 374 00:22:03,119 --> 00:22:06,080 Speaker 1: came from. They won eleven seats. The Green Left, which 375 00:22:06,119 --> 00:22:09,600 Speaker 1: is a very progressive party, which isn't like how the 376 00:22:09,680 --> 00:22:13,040 Speaker 1: Social Democrats were actually pretty conservative when it came to 377 00:22:13,040 --> 00:22:16,200 Speaker 1: immigration for a left wing party, they won five seats. 378 00:22:16,440 --> 00:22:19,120 Speaker 1: And this new party, which is a hard nationalist party 379 00:22:19,119 --> 00:22:21,399 Speaker 1: called the Citizens Party, they won four seats. Those were 380 00:22:21,400 --> 00:22:24,360 Speaker 1: the big winners. The Prime Minister has to resign. It's 381 00:22:24,480 --> 00:22:26,560 Speaker 1: kind of a traditional thing. It's not you know, don't 382 00:22:26,600 --> 00:22:28,240 Speaker 1: read too heavily into that, but she just to resign 383 00:22:28,480 --> 00:22:30,840 Speaker 1: and then try to form a new governing coalition. But 384 00:22:30,880 --> 00:22:34,280 Speaker 1: that would be much more difficult than in the past, 385 00:22:34,320 --> 00:22:37,800 Speaker 1: given how many parties have seats in Parliament, and how 386 00:22:38,000 --> 00:22:40,879 Speaker 1: neither the center left nor the center right have a 387 00:22:41,080 --> 00:22:44,359 Speaker 1: enough vote, have enough seats for a coalition for a majority. 388 00:22:44,400 --> 00:22:46,000 Speaker 1: They have to work with the moderates. They've get other 389 00:22:46,040 --> 00:22:49,639 Speaker 1: minority parties together. People don't like people. It's very tense, 390 00:22:49,920 --> 00:22:53,840 Speaker 1: but that's what's happening. Over in Denmark. Another prime minister 391 00:22:54,119 --> 00:22:58,080 Speaker 1: who had a substantial election loss was my girl, Georgia Maloney. 392 00:22:58,119 --> 00:23:01,320 Speaker 1: Over in Italy, there was a notional referendum on the 393 00:23:01,400 --> 00:23:05,440 Speaker 1: judiciary in Italy and it lost by seven points Nationally. 394 00:23:05,480 --> 00:23:09,080 Speaker 1: The referendum would have separated career paths between judges and 395 00:23:09,160 --> 00:23:12,000 Speaker 1: public prosecutors, and it would have split the high counts 396 00:23:12,040 --> 00:23:15,080 Speaker 1: for judiciary into two distinct bodies. I know that doesn't 397 00:23:15,080 --> 00:23:17,720 Speaker 1: mean a lot to you, guys. Look, this is the 398 00:23:17,760 --> 00:23:20,560 Speaker 1: simplest way I can explain. The Italian constitution is a 399 00:23:20,640 --> 00:23:23,520 Speaker 1: complete disaster, certain after World War Two, and it's to 400 00:23:23,880 --> 00:23:28,399 Speaker 1: steymy the potential of another leader kind of gaining too 401 00:23:28,480 --> 00:23:32,040 Speaker 1: much power. And in fact, the bureaucrats in Italy can 402 00:23:32,119 --> 00:23:35,800 Speaker 1: depose a democratically elected prime minister if they feel that 403 00:23:35,840 --> 00:23:38,560 Speaker 1: they're working out of interests of Italy. Well what does 404 00:23:38,560 --> 00:23:41,080 Speaker 1: that mean? I mean, that could mean whatever they wanted 405 00:23:41,080 --> 00:23:44,000 Speaker 1: to mean. They have more power than the actual democratic 406 00:23:44,160 --> 00:23:48,680 Speaker 1: elected prime minister does when it comes to trying to 407 00:23:48,760 --> 00:23:51,760 Speaker 1: see their goals met. It's why Georgia multi can't do 408 00:23:51,840 --> 00:23:53,520 Speaker 1: a lot of things that I think she wants to 409 00:23:53,520 --> 00:23:55,879 Speaker 1: do a lot of things that the people want her 410 00:23:55,960 --> 00:23:58,920 Speaker 1: to do, and the judiciary also steps in the way 411 00:23:59,080 --> 00:24:03,320 Speaker 1: quite a number of times. And she's really trying hard 412 00:24:03,320 --> 00:24:05,960 Speaker 1: with these referendums to change the Italian constitution to make 413 00:24:06,000 --> 00:24:09,840 Speaker 1: it possible to see reforms happen. But like the Italian people, 414 00:24:09,960 --> 00:24:12,600 Speaker 1: I mean once, I mean totally screw this election up. 415 00:24:12,600 --> 00:24:14,760 Speaker 1: They lost by seven points. It was not a big victory. 416 00:24:15,000 --> 00:24:17,000 Speaker 1: And you know, I talked to one of my friends 417 00:24:17,000 --> 00:24:21,880 Speaker 1: from Malta the other day about the pervasiveness of institutional 418 00:24:21,960 --> 00:24:27,679 Speaker 1: socialism in European politics, especially Southern European politics, and he 419 00:24:27,760 --> 00:24:30,359 Speaker 1: said the most fascinating thing that I had never thought 420 00:24:30,359 --> 00:24:33,639 Speaker 1: of before. He said, after World War Two, you had 421 00:24:33,720 --> 00:24:36,359 Speaker 1: two choices. You were either a fascist or you were 422 00:24:36,400 --> 00:24:39,479 Speaker 1: a socialist, and there was nothing in between. Really in 423 00:24:39,520 --> 00:24:44,720 Speaker 1: most these places, and international organizations, especially in America, really 424 00:24:44,880 --> 00:24:50,880 Speaker 1: invested in socialists as a precaution to having another rise 425 00:24:50,920 --> 00:24:53,920 Speaker 1: of fascism. We didn't want a third World war right 426 00:24:53,920 --> 00:24:58,200 Speaker 1: after the second one. And it is why so much 427 00:24:58,280 --> 00:25:04,320 Speaker 1: of Europe from the the European Parliament to that was 428 00:25:04,920 --> 00:25:07,120 Speaker 1: for the forties, but the European Parliament to a lot 429 00:25:07,119 --> 00:25:12,439 Speaker 1: of these national constitutions, to the European Right Human Rights Council. 430 00:25:12,840 --> 00:25:15,640 Speaker 1: It's all you know in reaction to World War two, 431 00:25:15,640 --> 00:25:20,240 Speaker 1: and it's totally incapable of making sure these countries can 432 00:25:20,280 --> 00:25:23,080 Speaker 1: govern now. But it's fascinating to think of why we 433 00:25:23,119 --> 00:25:27,440 Speaker 1: invested so heavily in socialism right after World War Two. Anyway, 434 00:25:27,680 --> 00:25:30,399 Speaker 1: it wasn't all it wasn't all a loss for the 435 00:25:30,800 --> 00:25:34,200 Speaker 1: nationalist right across Europe. France and Marine La Penz party 436 00:25:34,240 --> 00:25:37,040 Speaker 1: had a series of victories. They won three thousand council 437 00:25:37,080 --> 00:25:41,520 Speaker 1: seats throughout their entire country's municipal election. That's a fourfold increase. 438 00:25:41,880 --> 00:25:45,200 Speaker 1: They also had a big victory for the mayor of Nice, 439 00:25:45,240 --> 00:25:47,800 Speaker 1: which is the fifth largest city in that country. They 440 00:25:47,800 --> 00:25:50,320 Speaker 1: had never governed a city or have a mayorship of 441 00:25:50,359 --> 00:25:53,040 Speaker 1: a say that large. They did experience some losses in 442 00:25:53,080 --> 00:25:56,480 Speaker 1: some larger cities, like in Marseille and in Toulon, but 443 00:25:56,560 --> 00:25:59,640 Speaker 1: nonetheless they didn't make that gain in Nice, that's nothing small. 444 00:25:59,680 --> 00:26:01,560 Speaker 1: They gained a lot of other mid sized cities. That's 445 00:26:01,600 --> 00:26:04,560 Speaker 1: not that small. And in the next presidential election when 446 00:26:04,560 --> 00:26:08,399 Speaker 1: that happens in twenty twenty seven, they are they are 447 00:26:08,440 --> 00:26:11,720 Speaker 1: still firmly in first place and there's really no second close. 448 00:26:12,040 --> 00:26:14,080 Speaker 1: It's a competition for second place. They don't know who's 449 00:26:14,119 --> 00:26:16,879 Speaker 1: going to come there. But they have thirty six percent 450 00:26:16,880 --> 00:26:19,320 Speaker 1: of the vote for the first round. Remember in Francis 451 00:26:19,440 --> 00:26:22,080 Speaker 1: two rounds for presidential elections, you have to get fifty percent. 452 00:26:22,119 --> 00:26:24,280 Speaker 1: So the first round they're already a thirty six percent 453 00:26:24,280 --> 00:26:26,679 Speaker 1: and they've never been that high that early on before, 454 00:26:27,320 --> 00:26:29,640 Speaker 1: and in fact it was two presidential election cycles ago 455 00:26:29,840 --> 00:26:32,080 Speaker 1: where they ended the second round only have thirty three percent, 456 00:26:32,160 --> 00:26:34,840 Speaker 1: So they've really made gains. And the last thing I 457 00:26:34,840 --> 00:26:36,960 Speaker 1: want to address over in Europe was a vote in 458 00:26:37,000 --> 00:26:40,280 Speaker 1: the European Parliament was pretty significant. The e Parliament voted 459 00:26:40,320 --> 00:26:42,680 Speaker 1: three hundred and eighty nine to two hundred and six 460 00:26:43,040 --> 00:26:47,480 Speaker 1: to endorse tougher deportation Methos methods. This makes it easier 461 00:26:47,520 --> 00:26:50,919 Speaker 1: for countries in Europe to create off short detention centers 462 00:26:50,960 --> 00:26:54,040 Speaker 1: for people to be deported outside of the EU for 463 00:26:54,119 --> 00:26:57,879 Speaker 1: people who are considered you know, criminals or just regular 464 00:26:57,960 --> 00:27:00,400 Speaker 1: legal aliens. To go to a country and now being 465 00:27:00,440 --> 00:27:04,600 Speaker 1: in the EU where they have more e rights and privileges. 466 00:27:04,840 --> 00:27:09,159 Speaker 1: This is something that Georgia Maloney and other EU nationalists 467 00:27:09,280 --> 00:27:11,879 Speaker 1: have really fought for in New York for many, many 468 00:27:11,960 --> 00:27:15,080 Speaker 1: years now. It expands the number of countries acceptable to 469 00:27:15,080 --> 00:27:17,480 Speaker 1: be outside of the EU that you could deport people to, 470 00:27:17,840 --> 00:27:20,880 Speaker 1: and it allows for up to two years in detention, 471 00:27:21,040 --> 00:27:23,560 Speaker 1: which is the highest that the EU has ever allowed. 472 00:27:23,600 --> 00:27:27,640 Speaker 1: It is a big victory for EU nationalists. But more importantly, 473 00:27:28,240 --> 00:27:31,200 Speaker 1: in the European Parliament, what has always been kind of 474 00:27:32,200 --> 00:27:34,639 Speaker 1: the mover and shaker is that the center left and 475 00:27:34,680 --> 00:27:37,960 Speaker 1: the center right and the centrists always work together to 476 00:27:38,040 --> 00:27:40,760 Speaker 1: knock out the quote unquote far right and the quote 477 00:27:40,840 --> 00:27:44,480 Speaker 1: unquote far left. Well, in this case, the center right 478 00:27:44,560 --> 00:27:47,639 Speaker 1: worked with the nationalists right for the first time really 479 00:27:47,680 --> 00:27:51,880 Speaker 1: ever to stand up to the left and the centrists 480 00:27:51,880 --> 00:27:55,800 Speaker 1: who wanted kind of the business to continue as is 481 00:27:55,840 --> 00:27:58,440 Speaker 1: and didn't really want to increase deportations. And it's the 482 00:27:58,480 --> 00:28:03,120 Speaker 1: first time that that wall, that coalition wall, has cracked 483 00:28:03,160 --> 00:28:06,560 Speaker 1: in a serious way. I want to see what that means. 484 00:28:06,640 --> 00:28:09,199 Speaker 1: One for Germany, because Germany is the largest block of 485 00:28:09,280 --> 00:28:14,120 Speaker 1: delegates in the European Union. They are the biggest powerhouse 486 00:28:14,200 --> 00:28:18,320 Speaker 1: right now in the European Union and what they say 487 00:28:18,520 --> 00:28:21,359 Speaker 1: really does kind of matter in a big way. And 488 00:28:21,400 --> 00:28:24,200 Speaker 1: they have elections coming up with with local governments where 489 00:28:24,240 --> 00:28:28,720 Speaker 1: the AfD, which is the nationalist party and uncle of 490 00:28:28,800 --> 00:28:31,640 Speaker 1: Merkel's old political party, will maybe be able to work 491 00:28:31,680 --> 00:28:33,840 Speaker 1: together for the first time. They may not be able 492 00:28:33,880 --> 00:28:36,359 Speaker 1: to box out the nationalist right like they have done 493 00:28:36,640 --> 00:28:39,640 Speaker 1: for the last thirty years. It could be a major 494 00:28:39,760 --> 00:28:43,240 Speaker 1: development in Europe that we're seeing right now. Okay, Ask 495 00:28:43,320 --> 00:28:49,720 Speaker 1: Me Anything is coming up next. Stay tuned. Welcome back 496 00:28:49,760 --> 00:28:51,640 Speaker 1: to they Ask Me Anything Second. I FeII part of 497 00:28:51,680 --> 00:28:54,719 Speaker 1: the Ask Me Anything Second only Ryan at Numbers gamepodcast 498 00:28:54,800 --> 00:28:57,240 Speaker 1: dot com. It's Ryan at numbers prol Numbers Game podcast 499 00:28:57,320 --> 00:29:00,400 Speaker 1: dot com. First email comes from Tamaso. He said, love 500 00:29:00,400 --> 00:29:02,520 Speaker 1: your story about working at Victoria's Secret. I worked at 501 00:29:02,520 --> 00:29:04,600 Speaker 1: the Story of Downtown not far from Wallstreet. Is my 502 00:29:04,640 --> 00:29:07,280 Speaker 1: first job and it teaches you skills in dealing and 503 00:29:07,320 --> 00:29:12,520 Speaker 1: not dealing with people, that is for sure. He asked 504 00:29:12,520 --> 00:29:14,320 Speaker 1: the question. It looks like Hilton is in the lead 505 00:29:14,400 --> 00:29:16,959 Speaker 1: for the governor of California, but it's early. Plus they 506 00:29:16,960 --> 00:29:19,720 Speaker 1: steal votes in California. What are the odds do you 507 00:29:19,760 --> 00:29:24,240 Speaker 1: think for most polsters' minds? Well, I want to say first, 508 00:29:24,320 --> 00:29:26,000 Speaker 1: I'm not a polster because I think that people do 509 00:29:26,040 --> 00:29:28,000 Speaker 1: confuse it. Sometimes I just analyze polls and I pick 510 00:29:28,080 --> 00:29:30,880 Speaker 1: up on trends. But I think that the odds of 511 00:29:31,000 --> 00:29:35,320 Speaker 1: Hilton being in the runoff are extremely high. I would 512 00:29:35,360 --> 00:29:40,200 Speaker 1: say probably ninety five percent chance he's going to be 513 00:29:40,320 --> 00:29:42,320 Speaker 1: in the runoff and he's going to make the top 514 00:29:42,360 --> 00:29:46,440 Speaker 1: two in California. The bigger question is can the other 515 00:29:46,520 --> 00:29:50,560 Speaker 1: Republican Bianco share of Bianco also make the top two. 516 00:29:51,080 --> 00:29:53,480 Speaker 1: That is a really hard question to ask, and it 517 00:29:53,520 --> 00:29:56,560 Speaker 1: depends on two things. One will the Democrats consolidate, which 518 00:29:56,560 --> 00:29:58,960 Speaker 1: as of yet they have not, And to what is 519 00:29:59,000 --> 00:30:02,560 Speaker 1: the overall elector look like. If the electorate is thirty seven, 520 00:30:02,680 --> 00:30:05,080 Speaker 1: thirty eight, or thirty nine percent Republican, which is the 521 00:30:05,160 --> 00:30:09,400 Speaker 1: number between the presidential election and their last two gubernatorial elections, 522 00:30:09,800 --> 00:30:12,640 Speaker 1: then they have a good chance. I think Republicans need 523 00:30:12,680 --> 00:30:15,480 Speaker 1: to get as close to forty percent of the overall 524 00:30:15,480 --> 00:30:18,840 Speaker 1: electorate as possible. It's Republicans plus independence and Democrats who 525 00:30:18,880 --> 00:30:21,520 Speaker 1: vote Republican. You know, it's like a certain percentage of independence, 526 00:30:21,520 --> 00:30:25,560 Speaker 1: and it's a few Democrats as of right now, I 527 00:30:25,600 --> 00:30:28,360 Speaker 1: would say there's a twenty percent chance that it's Republican 528 00:30:28,440 --> 00:30:31,120 Speaker 1: versus Republican and they box up the Democrats, which would 529 00:30:31,160 --> 00:30:33,640 Speaker 1: be good, I mean, because it would be one they'd 530 00:30:33,640 --> 00:30:35,600 Speaker 1: have a Republican governor, even if it was only you know, 531 00:30:35,640 --> 00:30:38,120 Speaker 1: a year and a half before they did the whole uh, 532 00:30:38,160 --> 00:30:41,240 Speaker 1: you know, trying to kick them out. But also because 533 00:30:41,640 --> 00:30:44,920 Speaker 1: if it's two Republicans, a lot of low propensity Democrats 534 00:30:45,160 --> 00:30:47,080 Speaker 1: who don't have a Democrat on the top of the 535 00:30:47,120 --> 00:30:49,600 Speaker 1: ticket in the ballot probably will stay home, I mean, 536 00:30:49,680 --> 00:30:52,719 Speaker 1: and it could actually help Republicans down ballot. So it's 537 00:30:52,760 --> 00:30:55,880 Speaker 1: a big question. Will Porter or Steire take out Slawwell 538 00:30:55,960 --> 00:30:58,440 Speaker 1: or will slaw Well? Sir Slawwell is definitely the Democrat 539 00:30:58,440 --> 00:31:00,520 Speaker 1: getting the most amount of attention right now, but Steyer 540 00:31:00,560 --> 00:31:02,160 Speaker 1: has a lot of money. Porter has a lot of money. 541 00:31:02,880 --> 00:31:05,280 Speaker 1: Slawwall's a very Floyd Cannet. A lot of other big 542 00:31:05,320 --> 00:31:08,880 Speaker 1: Democrats are running, so we'll see. Next question comes from Mark. 543 00:31:08,920 --> 00:31:11,040 Speaker 1: He writes, Ryan Love listen to your podcast and hearing 544 00:31:11,120 --> 00:31:14,640 Speaker 1: but incisive insights. I am bombarded with news from the 545 00:31:14,680 --> 00:31:17,120 Speaker 1: States such as Texas, Florida, and Tennessee, but becoming more 546 00:31:17,120 --> 00:31:20,240 Speaker 1: conservative by the influx of refugees from failing blue states. 547 00:31:20,560 --> 00:31:22,680 Speaker 1: I moved to Arizona in twenty twenty and live in 548 00:31:22,680 --> 00:31:26,240 Speaker 1: a retirement community in North Tucson. Chuson's Great. By the way, 549 00:31:26,480 --> 00:31:29,240 Speaker 1: food is excellent. A huge portion of new residents are 550 00:31:29,280 --> 00:31:31,720 Speaker 1: moving here from California, as well as Colorado and Washington. 551 00:31:31,760 --> 00:31:35,360 Speaker 1: I fear they are bringing the disease politics with them. 552 00:31:35,400 --> 00:31:38,520 Speaker 1: In Arizona, the Republican Party seems to nominate candidates with 553 00:31:38,680 --> 00:31:41,880 Speaker 1: no chance of winning. How do you assess the prospect 554 00:31:41,920 --> 00:31:44,840 Speaker 1: of Republican Party in Arizona in the near two mid term? 555 00:31:44,920 --> 00:31:48,320 Speaker 1: Are we June to become California? So I've done some 556 00:31:48,360 --> 00:31:50,680 Speaker 1: work in Arizona a lot with my school board pack, 557 00:31:50,720 --> 00:31:53,520 Speaker 1: the seventeen seventy six project pack, and a little bit 558 00:31:53,560 --> 00:31:56,320 Speaker 1: Blake Masters. I helped a little bit on his congressional race, 559 00:31:56,360 --> 00:31:59,479 Speaker 1: his second race. And there are a lot of problems 560 00:31:59,520 --> 00:32:05,040 Speaker 1: in Arizona. First and foremost is there is a complete 561 00:32:05,200 --> 00:32:09,000 Speaker 1: breakdown of trust between voters in the party, voters and 562 00:32:09,040 --> 00:32:12,920 Speaker 1: the party. Rather, It's worse than I've ever seen anywhere 563 00:32:12,960 --> 00:32:15,480 Speaker 1: else in the country. And part of that is because 564 00:32:16,200 --> 00:32:19,880 Speaker 1: I think in Arizona, I mean, Arizona used to be 565 00:32:19,960 --> 00:32:24,440 Speaker 1: a very very rural state, but right extremely rural, so 566 00:32:25,400 --> 00:32:28,400 Speaker 1: you could really just campaign in country clubs and win 567 00:32:28,520 --> 00:32:31,080 Speaker 1: for a very long time. And that kind of political 568 00:32:31,160 --> 00:32:35,760 Speaker 1: method of country club Republicanism running the intra workings of 569 00:32:35,800 --> 00:32:39,320 Speaker 1: the party still is very real in Arizona. Maybe in 570 00:32:39,320 --> 00:32:40,840 Speaker 1: not Israel's it was even a couple of years ago, 571 00:32:40,840 --> 00:32:44,520 Speaker 1: but a lot of prominent politicians in the Arizona Republican Party, 572 00:32:44,560 --> 00:32:49,360 Speaker 1: Doug Deucy, the mccains, you know, there's been a lot 573 00:32:49,400 --> 00:32:52,520 Speaker 1: of them who really had a lot of support from 574 00:32:52,560 --> 00:32:56,480 Speaker 1: within the country club apparatus, and that built a lot 575 00:32:56,520 --> 00:33:00,000 Speaker 1: of resentment in the grassroots. And there's just that REMBM 576 00:33:00,160 --> 00:33:03,520 Speaker 1: has really reached a boiling part, and especially as the 577 00:33:03,520 --> 00:33:06,880 Speaker 1: state's balloon in population, everyone's like, give me attention and 578 00:33:06,920 --> 00:33:10,040 Speaker 1: give me equal voice. Also, twenty twenty two election really 579 00:33:10,080 --> 00:33:12,240 Speaker 1: broke a lot of people's brains. I think Harry Lake 580 00:33:12,240 --> 00:33:16,440 Speaker 1: did a giant disservice to the voters of Arizona, especially 581 00:33:16,480 --> 00:33:18,400 Speaker 1: Republican voters. But she is real talent, Like I'm never 582 00:33:18,440 --> 00:33:21,280 Speaker 1: going to take away from more she's a really talented auditor, 583 00:33:21,600 --> 00:33:24,000 Speaker 1: but she squandered that by running a terrible campaign for 584 00:33:24,040 --> 00:33:27,680 Speaker 1: governor and then lying to people saying that her election 585 00:33:27,760 --> 00:33:31,440 Speaker 1: was stolen. It wasn't stolen. And I think that she's 586 00:33:31,520 --> 00:33:34,760 Speaker 1: done a lot of things allegedly that have landed her 587 00:33:34,760 --> 00:33:38,959 Speaker 1: in hot water with Quartz, and she put out a 588 00:33:38,960 --> 00:33:41,880 Speaker 1: lot of fury among the base who believe that they 589 00:33:41,920 --> 00:33:44,880 Speaker 1: cannot trust the system in Arizona, and they believe it's 590 00:33:44,920 --> 00:33:48,280 Speaker 1: not an Arizona by Alarizona's elections can be improved, for sure. 591 00:33:48,320 --> 00:33:52,240 Speaker 1: I'm not saying it's perfect. However, she has created an 592 00:33:52,280 --> 00:33:55,000 Speaker 1: anger and a rage that they can't trust anybody and 593 00:33:55,040 --> 00:33:58,080 Speaker 1: there's a complete breakdown. There was a breakdown of trust beforehand, 594 00:33:58,320 --> 00:34:01,360 Speaker 1: and she lit this entire thing on fire, making it 595 00:34:01,400 --> 00:34:04,840 Speaker 1: more all and more worse. The good thing for Republicans, 596 00:34:04,880 --> 00:34:07,560 Speaker 1: I will say, is that the voter registrations in the 597 00:34:07,640 --> 00:34:11,680 Speaker 1: state have boomed in Republicans favor. Republicans have a three 598 00:34:11,880 --> 00:34:16,040 Speaker 1: hundred and thirty thousand registered voter advantage that is double 599 00:34:16,560 --> 00:34:19,640 Speaker 1: what they had in twenty twenty two. In twenty twenty 600 00:34:19,719 --> 00:34:22,600 Speaker 1: two they had one hundred and sixty something thousand had 601 00:34:22,640 --> 00:34:26,560 Speaker 1: they had those one hundred and sixty thousand Republicans that 602 00:34:26,640 --> 00:34:29,759 Speaker 1: they have now, they would have won every single state 603 00:34:29,800 --> 00:34:32,960 Speaker 1: wide race in twenty twenty two. So that's the one 604 00:34:32,960 --> 00:34:35,400 Speaker 1: thing good thing going. I think in Maricopa Counties the 605 00:34:35,440 --> 00:34:38,040 Speaker 1: Democrats have searched recently, but overall the bounds has been 606 00:34:38,080 --> 00:34:40,960 Speaker 1: significant in Republicans favors, which is a good thing. Can 607 00:34:40,960 --> 00:34:43,920 Speaker 1: they win the governor's election? Biggs? Andy Biggs, who's the 608 00:34:44,000 --> 00:34:48,239 Speaker 1: Republican likely nominee. He's down single mid digits right now 609 00:34:48,239 --> 00:34:50,719 Speaker 1: in the polls, but I have to trust there have 610 00:34:50,800 --> 00:34:53,000 Speaker 1: n't been many polls taken this year. I think there's 611 00:34:53,040 --> 00:34:56,879 Speaker 1: only been two since December, so we will see. Last 612 00:34:56,920 --> 00:34:59,759 Speaker 1: question comes from John from Kentucky. John writes, I don't 613 00:34:59,800 --> 00:35:03,720 Speaker 1: know where you got your information on the Strategic Petroleum 614 00:35:03,800 --> 00:35:08,160 Speaker 1: Reserve the SPR, but it was wrong. The EIA website, 615 00:35:08,200 --> 00:35:11,440 Speaker 1: the best source of information, says that the SPR, when full, 616 00:35:11,520 --> 00:35:14,240 Speaker 1: holds a little more than seven hundred million barrels of oil. 617 00:35:14,800 --> 00:35:16,719 Speaker 1: The chart he link ses at me a chart with 618 00:35:16,760 --> 00:35:20,680 Speaker 1: the EIA page shows that the reserve is primarily filled 619 00:35:20,760 --> 00:35:23,520 Speaker 1: under Bush and topped off at the beginning of Obama's administration. 620 00:35:23,640 --> 00:35:26,160 Speaker 1: Biden depleted the reserve dramatically in twenty twenty two to 621 00:35:26,280 --> 00:35:29,000 Speaker 1: lower prices in advance of the twenty twenty two midterms. 622 00:35:29,280 --> 00:35:32,520 Speaker 1: Biden regained began refilling the reserves at a slower rate 623 00:35:32,560 --> 00:35:35,400 Speaker 1: than he had depleted it, and Trump continues to refill 624 00:35:35,400 --> 00:35:39,000 Speaker 1: it until recently, but at a rate even slower than Biden. Okay, 625 00:35:39,280 --> 00:35:43,920 Speaker 1: this comes from a question that I received from a 626 00:35:44,080 --> 00:35:46,759 Speaker 1: listener several weeks ago, and John from Kentucky, I have 627 00:35:46,840 --> 00:35:50,600 Speaker 1: to apologize. I looked for where my source was because 628 00:35:50,600 --> 00:35:52,520 Speaker 1: you asked me what my source was for my answer, 629 00:35:52,560 --> 00:35:54,919 Speaker 1: and I couldn't even find the script, and I saved 630 00:35:54,960 --> 00:35:56,839 Speaker 1: all my scripts, so I don't know what happened to it. 631 00:35:57,200 --> 00:36:00,839 Speaker 1: But I did research on what GEU said in this 632 00:36:00,880 --> 00:36:02,799 Speaker 1: and you are right. I was wrong. I gave people 633 00:36:02,840 --> 00:36:05,120 Speaker 1: the wrong information. I said that our petroleum reserves were 634 00:36:05,160 --> 00:36:07,440 Speaker 1: near historic highs as of twenty twenty three, and they 635 00:36:07,480 --> 00:36:12,080 Speaker 1: were not. Our petroleum reserve is actually at the lowest 636 00:36:12,160 --> 00:36:15,480 Speaker 1: it's been since nineteen eighty four, which is kind of crazy. 637 00:36:16,000 --> 00:36:18,720 Speaker 1: So I apologize for that, John, and you are absolutely correct. 638 00:36:19,040 --> 00:36:23,600 Speaker 1: Our long term average statig your petroleum reserve is usually 639 00:36:23,640 --> 00:36:27,120 Speaker 1: five hundred and seventy six a million barrels of oil, 640 00:36:27,440 --> 00:36:30,080 Speaker 1: and right now we're at four hundred and fifteen million, 641 00:36:30,160 --> 00:36:33,919 Speaker 1: so we're not only not near the highest amount, we're 642 00:36:33,960 --> 00:36:37,680 Speaker 1: not even near our average of where we usually are 643 00:36:38,280 --> 00:36:41,399 Speaker 1: by over one hundred and fifty million barrels of oil. 644 00:36:41,440 --> 00:36:45,319 Speaker 1: So that is that's pretty concerning. During Biden's presidency, we 645 00:36:45,360 --> 00:36:47,680 Speaker 1: had an all time low of three hundred and forty 646 00:36:47,719 --> 00:36:51,160 Speaker 1: eight million barrels and slowly been increasing, as John mentioned, 647 00:36:51,160 --> 00:36:54,000 Speaker 1: and Obama's was the highest in twenty eleven at seven 648 00:36:54,080 --> 00:36:56,800 Speaker 1: hundred and twenty six million barrels. John, thank you for 649 00:36:56,840 --> 00:36:59,719 Speaker 1: the correction. It's important sometimes that when I get things wrong, 650 00:36:59,719 --> 00:37:01,160 Speaker 1: I don't know where I did that research from. I 651 00:37:01,239 --> 00:37:04,920 Speaker 1: usually am pretty pretty methodical, so I apologize for that, 652 00:37:04,960 --> 00:37:07,080 Speaker 1: and I want to thank you for sending me this email. 653 00:37:07,120 --> 00:37:09,320 Speaker 1: I want to thank you all for listening. That's this episode. 654 00:37:09,400 --> 00:37:11,040 Speaker 1: I will see you guys on Wednesday. If you like 655 00:37:11,120 --> 00:37:13,759 Speaker 1: this podcast, please like and subscribe on the iHeartRadio app, 656 00:37:13,800 --> 00:37:16,640 Speaker 1: Apple podcast, where Beature Podcasts, and on YouTube. I will 657 00:37:16,640 --> 00:37:19,040 Speaker 1: see you guys on Wednesday.