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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast. I can just about that action.

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Speaker 1: All right, here we go.

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Speaker 2: Throwing out spect we're sitting up to cash to stop.

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Speaker 3: We see most gamble is ships.

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Speaker 1: When they go to gamble, they go to win. That's incredible.

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Speaker 3: Big bank, small banks.

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Speaker 1: I like to make money.

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Speaker 3: All right, this is the ultimate combine if you want to.

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Speaker 1: And we are under way once I everybody, Welcome to

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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast presented by DraftKings. I'm your host,

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Speaker 1: Chris Raybon, and this is our NFL Week four betting preview.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna talk size, We're gonna talk totals, crops, moneyline

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Speaker 1: dogs uh, and of course we're gonna build our Sunday

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Speaker 1: six pack of best bets with the help of my

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Speaker 1: co host, the Prime Minister Bug Degenerate Nation. Stucky stuck

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Speaker 1: a nice, nice week on a six pack. Last week,

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Speaker 1: I got some I got some work to do your

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Speaker 1: twelve six some crazy finishes to these games. Can't believe

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Speaker 1: we lost the Rams three and a half. But good,

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Speaker 1: good stuff for you. Last week.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, should have been a sweep. I tried to warn

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Speaker 3: you about the Texans and the Vikings, I mean the Bengals,

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Speaker 3: but the Yeah, I haven't had like I talk about

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Speaker 3: this every week. They didn't have a joyous weekend, like

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Speaker 3: I had a small winning week. Nothing joyous happens at

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Speaker 3: the end of these games. So like it's just been

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Speaker 3: like that for since the start of last year. So

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Speaker 3: that eventually will flip. But like the Giants lose their

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Speaker 3: kicker and then get to the three yard line and

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Speaker 3: can't even get in the back door. But the Rams,

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Speaker 3: like that's the worst beat probably I've ever had in

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Speaker 3: the NFL in twenty years. Yeah, up twenty six to seven.

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Speaker 3: I even called that the Eagles were gonna go fall

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Speaker 3: start on their first touch push which led to four

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Speaker 3: three points. They didn't call they were calling it on

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Speaker 3: the Saints instead. The toush pushball starts. The Eagles have

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Speaker 3: to get the fourth down, of course to take the lead,

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Speaker 3: and then block the field goal and then return it

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Speaker 3: for no reason for a touchdown like the game's over

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Speaker 3: go down that never ever happens on a blockfield goal

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Speaker 3: of twenty six to seven, And like, yeah, that was

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Speaker 3: the Eagles had twenty two yards in the first half

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Speaker 3: and the Rams plus three and a half doesn't get there.

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Speaker 3: They covered for forty minutes and whatever second, So whatever

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Speaker 3: those things are gonna happen. The joy I'm due for

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Speaker 3: some joy, so I'm excited about the rest of the season.

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Speaker 3: But there was no joy again this week.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. I mean, I'm sure the Ravens game wasn't too

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Speaker 1: thrilling before he either, So yeah, yeah, Radons.

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Speaker 3: Has some issues right now. We'll get into later when

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Speaker 3: we talked the Chiefs game, but let's dive right into

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Speaker 3: the Sunday six Pack four Week four. Thirsty for action,

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Speaker 3: Let's crack open the Sunday six Pack. I'm up twelve

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Speaker 3: to six for my first pick of the week four

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Speaker 3: Sunday six Pack, I'm going with the Atlanta Falcons plus

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Speaker 3: one and a half is out there against the Washington Commanders.

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Speaker 3: This is a like trifecta of spots that I will

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Speaker 3: almost always play. Dog off a shutout sixty two percent

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Speaker 3: against the spread historically, dog off a thirty plus point

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Speaker 3: loss sixty percent historically also applies to the Saints and

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Speaker 3: Bengals for what it's worth. And the Falcons kind of

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Speaker 3: it was like a fluky game. You know, they outgained

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Speaker 3: the Panthers by one hundred. Everything just went wrong. Panis

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Speaker 3: had a terrible game. Do I still believe in Penix. Yes,

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Speaker 3: I don't know why they're not throwing downfield. I don't

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Speaker 3: know why you so off last week. But it's one game.

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Speaker 3: It's a guy who still hasn't started a full sixteen games,

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Speaker 3: and you know, a full season's worth of games, so

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Speaker 3: he's going to have those days. And then this is

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Speaker 3: also about So not only am I buying low on

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Speaker 3: the Falcons, but this is also about the Commander's injury situation.

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Speaker 3: I was already lower than them in the market, like

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Speaker 3: this is my price if both teams are fully healthy,

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Speaker 3: So the Commander's I don't know if Daniels is going

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Speaker 3: to play, and if he does, I don't think he's

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Speaker 3: going to be fully mobile. I don't think mclaurin's going

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Speaker 3: to play. Noah Brown's hurt. You know, you have a

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Speaker 3: bunch of defenders on IR, a bunch of starters. I

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Speaker 3: think Amos, who's been really good as a rookie. You

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Speaker 3: think he's going to play, but he was banged up.

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Speaker 3: Butler's banged up. They signed Darnell Savage. You might have

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Speaker 3: to start. I went back watched a lot with Lattimore.

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Speaker 3: I think he's washed so far from what I've seen

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Speaker 3: might be wrong, but those wide receiver injuries are key

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Speaker 3: with AJ Terrell potentially out again, So yeah, give me

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Speaker 3: the Falcons at home bounce back spot after getting embarrassed

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Speaker 3: as a home dog against a really beat up Washington

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Speaker 3: team that I think Atlanta should be able to move

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Speaker 3: the ball on. And this is always that it's usually

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Speaker 3: the desperation move when the coordinator comes from the booth

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Speaker 3: to the field, and it's usually a bad sign. But

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Speaker 3: I think it actually could help Atlanta because they have

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Speaker 3: so many communication issues, Like I don't know what you're

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Speaker 3: going on. I don't think their headsets work, so I

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Speaker 3: don't know what's going on there. So if that can

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Speaker 3: fix the communication, maybe that's actually a good thing. I

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Speaker 3: still like what I've seen from this Atlanta defense overall,

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Speaker 3: with all of the rookies, I think they're only going

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Speaker 3: to continue to get better. This is a team that's

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Speaker 3: actually getting pressure. But yeah, with all these commanders injuries,

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Speaker 3: Falcons just desperation spot after an embarrassing loss at home,

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Speaker 3: I think they get it done. So give me Atlanta.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, this this is is kind of ridiculous to have

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Speaker 1: the commanders as what are they being graded as three

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Speaker 1: four points three three and a half four points better

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Speaker 1: than the Falcons, which I just think there are two

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Speaker 1: mediocre teams right now, both of them, both of them

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Speaker 1: away eggs at different points in the season. So yeah,

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Speaker 1: I don't mind that at all. Probably join you all

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Speaker 1: right for my first pick in the second overall of

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Speaker 1: the week four Sunday six pack, I am going with

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Speaker 1: the New York Giants plus six and a half at

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Speaker 1: home against the Los Angeles Chargers. And this is simple

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Speaker 1: for me, you know, coming into the ear I thought

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Speaker 1: the Giants, we're being a little undervalued in the market.

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Speaker 1: And I mean they lay an egg in week one,

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Speaker 1: they lay an egg in week three, and they was

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Speaker 1: a tough one in week two. But to your point, I.

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Speaker 3: Don't think they're necessarily in egg last week. I mean,

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Speaker 3: like there was both teams average four yards per play. Yeah,

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Speaker 3: the four turnover worth. He plays without turning it over,

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Speaker 3: like pick up the ball when he feast the Mahomes

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Speaker 3: is throwing it backwards. They didn't have their kicker, which

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Speaker 3: like just screwed so much. I don't think they laid

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Speaker 3: in there. I actually thought they played pretty well. Wilson

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Speaker 3: was just terrible.

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Speaker 1: I mean yeah, I should say Wilson. I mean, he's

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Speaker 1: thrown into the tunnel and like, yeah, Wilson, you already

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Speaker 1: talked about, you know, with that heading into that Dallas game,

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Speaker 1: how the Giants left massive amounts of points on the

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Speaker 1: board h for not being able to get in the

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Speaker 1: reds into the end zone with goal to go twice

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Speaker 1: essentially with eight plays. And then you know in this game,

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Speaker 1: kind of the same situation. So now you're getting a

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Speaker 1: Chargers team that's, yes, they've played some good defense. If

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Speaker 1: they won two one score games, the Raiders just I mean,

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Speaker 1: in that game could have been a lot closer to

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Speaker 1: the Giants should have stayed close. If they have a

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Speaker 1: better quarterback last week, they stay closer. I think one

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Speaker 1: of the reasons is the Chiefs not not a good

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Speaker 1: running team, and the Chargers have struggled with that as well,

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Speaker 1: and they're banged up on the offensive line even more

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Speaker 1: than they were, you know coming into last week. So

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Speaker 1: I'm just buying well here on New York Giants, I

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Speaker 1: think that Jackson Dart it's all upside from here with

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Speaker 1: what are we getting. I mean, you're saying, we're saying

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Speaker 1: the Chargers are a good seven eight points better. Giants

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Speaker 1: still have much home field or anything like that. But

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Speaker 1: we're saying the charges are full touchdown better before we

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Speaker 1: send it the season. They're banged up, and most importantly,

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Speaker 1: the Giants and Dart and daball have Andrew Thomas back

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Speaker 1: and he makes a.

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Speaker 3: Game he only played, right, Yeah, I think that half

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Speaker 3: of the Giants he only played the first half. Yeah,

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Speaker 3: I mean, let me to do a snapcount. So I

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Speaker 3: assume he goes the full way here because he looked

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Speaker 3: good last week exactly.

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Speaker 1: And I think that's probably part of the calculus. Like

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Speaker 1: once they saw a rush just thrown into the tunnel

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Speaker 1: and they were like, all right, we got to start

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Speaker 1: Dart next week, so we need we need Thomas for that.

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Speaker 1: But you add Thomas to this team, scatter who's coming on.

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Speaker 1: We know what neighbors can do. I think Dart will

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Speaker 1: unlock Slaton little more because you're gonna get more off

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Speaker 1: schedule stuff. You could actually talk, or you could just

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Speaker 1: you know, Wandale's been good running routes down the field.

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Speaker 1: It's just you know, Russ's he's not usually gonna look

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Speaker 1: at at least this, or he wasn't looking in the

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Speaker 1: tight windows. I thought the Washington Commanders played a very

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Speaker 1: good game plan against Wilson, and then the Cowboys just

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Speaker 1: played a really kind of I mean it was coups

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Speaker 1: of injuries, but they kind of played a really stupid

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Speaker 1: game plan against Russ, just the exact opposite of what

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Speaker 1: the Commanders did. It's all zone and no blitzing and

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Speaker 1: uh and Russ cooked them. And then so I knew

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Speaker 1: Fags were just kind of all right, he's gonna blitz,

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Speaker 1: he's gonna play man. That's what he did. And Russ

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Speaker 1: turned into a pumpkin. So this Charger team, they usually

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Speaker 1: played more straight up on early downs and then they

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Speaker 1: sudden some exact pressures that you on weight down and

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Speaker 1: things like that. But uh, I think the Giants just

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Speaker 1: coming in here with the uh, you know, a little

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Speaker 1: bit of uncertainty here, but more importantly, the Moba threat

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Speaker 1: quarterback more a little more accurate, uh, and just a

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Speaker 1: guy who could kind of, I think, take him up

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Speaker 1: and down the fields. I wouldn't be surprised if the

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Speaker 1: Giants pull up pull off the upset here, but I

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Speaker 1: do think it's gonna be about a lot closer than

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Speaker 1: people think. Either way, we've seen this Charger team do this,

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Speaker 1: you know, just play these one score games over and

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Speaker 1: over and over again. I saw a bible here. Winless

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Speaker 1: teams in Week four, our fifty four to thirty four

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Speaker 1: to three against the spread over the last two decades,

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Speaker 1: sixty nineteen percent ROI.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I'll be on this sadly.

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Speaker 1: Yeah.

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Speaker 3: And also the uncertainty with Dart, Like the charters are

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Speaker 3: really well schooled defense, yeah, and they don't really know right,

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Speaker 3: there's no tape on what this Giant's offense will look like.

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Speaker 3: You're probably gonna get a lot more read option looks.

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Speaker 3: And like if the charters are coming here going up

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Speaker 3: against RUSS, like I would want no part of this.

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Speaker 3: So that could work in your favorite now rookie quarterbacks

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Speaker 3: in their first start during the season, rookie first round

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Speaker 3: draft pics of historically non performed well against the spread.

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Speaker 3: But yeah, I think this is a bit inflated. Like

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Speaker 3: I think this should probably be closer to four and

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Speaker 3: a half. I don't think it's a downgrade from RUSS

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Speaker 3: to now. There's more uncertainty, there's more varying. It's so

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Speaker 3: there's more upside and there's more downside as well. It

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Speaker 3: just could be a disaster. And Dart's gonna have to

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Speaker 3: be patient at times against this defense that does make

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Speaker 3: you work for things and and tries to take away

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Speaker 3: the deep ball. But bo Nicks a guy who can

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Speaker 3: do some of stuff. He had wide open guys. Yeah,

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Speaker 3: yeah against the Chargers. But the key here, the absolute

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Speaker 3: key is there's like four or five teams that can

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Speaker 3: wreck a game with their pressure. The Giants are one

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Speaker 3: of them, and their secondary is better, like flawed is

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Speaker 3: a big he's playing well and he's a big upgrade

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Speaker 3: over Banks. You know, Nuban and Holland have upgraded their

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Speaker 3: their safety room. And Carter looks good, like they can

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Speaker 3: even play the linebacker with all their injuries. And he

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Speaker 3: said he looks good. But the Giants are one of

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Speaker 3: those teams and they almost they should have wrecked the

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Speaker 3: game against Mahomes last week. I mean Mahmes is that's

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Speaker 3: throwing it backwards a couple of times if he'd like it.

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Speaker 3: So and this Charters offensive line, it's not healthy. I

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Speaker 3: don't think Becton's gonna play. So you have Sailure in

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Speaker 3: there and Pipkins was her pickins allowed nine pressures last week.

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Speaker 3: Uh so Sailure was getting pushed over like a rag doll,

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Speaker 3: like good luck against Dexter Lawrence. So this the pressure

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Speaker 3: just could be extreme for for.

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Speaker 1: Herbert outdoors outdoors after playing where you played in that

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Speaker 1: you know that stadium that always goes over in week

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Speaker 1: one and then two indoor games.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I think that the Giants pressure and defense should

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Speaker 3: keep them in here. And then you just have the

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Speaker 3: uncertainty with Dart, which I'm willing to bet. I haven't

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Speaker 3: bet this yet. I'm wait. I mean, who's gonna bet

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Speaker 3: the Giants besides us? There's like, yeah, we might get

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Speaker 3: a seven, So I'm waiting to see if we get

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Speaker 3: a seven. Obviously won't matter for the contest, but that's

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Speaker 3: what I'm waiting on, like just browsing Twitter and stuff

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Speaker 3: and look talking to odds. Maybe like there's no bets

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Speaker 3: on the Giants yet, But I agree, I'll be honest

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Speaker 3: with you, I didn't agree.

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Speaker 2: I didn't like your picks this week. I love your

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Speaker 2: picks this week.

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Speaker 1: I didn't like them music.

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Speaker 3: So all right, for my second pick and the third

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Speaker 3: overall of the week four Sunday six pack, I'm going

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Speaker 3: with the New England Patriots minus five and a half

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Speaker 3: at home against the Carolina Panthers. I just think this

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Speaker 3: is I think it's a good spot to buy the Pats.

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Speaker 3: I assumed it was going to be a struggle early on.

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Speaker 3: This is a whole new team, brand new team, brand

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Speaker 3: new staff, and like there's just been so many sloppy

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Speaker 3: errors and then there's just been bad luck. Like last

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Speaker 3: week there was five turnovers, they fumbled twice near the

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Speaker 3: goal line. Everything that could have went wrong went wrong

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Speaker 3: last week. But there's just been some sloppy play, some mistakes,

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Speaker 3: some people not on the same page. But I think

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Speaker 3: that'll continue to get better. And they have moved the ball.

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Speaker 3: They moved the ball every week, and I think that

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Speaker 3: will eventually. Look, they haven't played great defenses. They played

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Speaker 3: the Raiders, they played the Steelers and the Dolphins. Well,

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Speaker 3: guess what, the Panthers are just as bad as all

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Speaker 3: those defenses. They moved the ball up and down. The

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Speaker 3: points should come eventually, just natural aggression. And like, this

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Speaker 3: is the newest team in the league, new staff, so

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Speaker 3: I think, you know, they have a bunch of few

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Speaker 3: games under their belt. Desperation spot should have won last

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Speaker 3: week by the way the Panthers talked about it like

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Speaker 3: just a game where everything snowballed on. The Falcons dogs

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Speaker 3: off of a shutout win are fifteen twenty six and

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Speaker 3: two against the spread thirty six point six percent.

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Speaker 1: And here's one a big game last week last year,

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Speaker 1: I think it was Week three, right against the Raiders,

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Speaker 1: and then didn't win again for like ten weeks or so. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: it's always there. This is their one win.

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Speaker 3: So if you remove turnovers and just look at non

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Speaker 3: garbage time, the Patriots offense is seventh and EPA per

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Speaker 3: play twelfth and success rate, Panthers twenty eighth and EPA

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Speaker 3: per play thirtieth and success rate. You gotta remember this

286
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Speaker 3: is a team that was down like twenty to Arizona

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Speaker 3: and then put up a bunch of numbers against Arizona,

288
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Speaker 3: going super soft on d. And here's why I really

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Speaker 3: like it. The Patcher's biggest issue has been their new

290
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Speaker 3: O line right twenty eighth in pass block win right,

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Speaker 3: the rookies on the left side, Well, the Panthers can't

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Speaker 3: generate pressure. They're twenty eighth in past block right on

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Speaker 3: the defensive side, and then the Patriots secondary thirtieth in

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Speaker 3: past success right, Well, the Panthers thirtieth in past success

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Speaker 3: rate in non garbage time. Panthers also down multiple offensive linemen,

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Speaker 3: they're not healthy at receiver, and the Patriots will get

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Speaker 3: Christian Gonzalez back this week, so that's massive. Patriots defensive

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Speaker 3: line should control the line of scrimmage. They're what their

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Speaker 3: top ten or second run block win rate like, they're not.

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Speaker 3: The Panthers are gonna be able to run here, They're

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Speaker 3: going to be in passing downs. It's going to be

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Speaker 3: pressure on Young and then there's gonna be mistakes. So

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Speaker 3: I like the Patriots to bounce back here, get this

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Speaker 3: win by at least a touchdown, have some bounces finally

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Speaker 3: go their way this year. So yeah, give me New

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Speaker 3: England laying the five and a half.

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Speaker 1: I'll just go right into my next pick because this

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Speaker 1: is actually kind of related to the Patriots, but we'll

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Speaker 1: talk about it there. But real quick, don't forget to

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Speaker 1: upgrade to an Action Pro subscription. It is the only

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00:16:03,240 --> 00:16:06,920
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312
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313
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Speaker 1: a year of Action Pro. All right, for my second pick,

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Speaker 1: fourth overall of the week four Sunday six pack, we're

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Speaker 1: going with the Minnesota Vikings minus two and a half

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Speaker 1: in what is it Dublin against the Pittsburgh Steelers. So

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Speaker 1: this is the overseas seas gaming though the Vikings are

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Speaker 1: technically the road down.

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Speaker 3: You're on the Carson Wentz train.

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Speaker 1: Huh yeah, I mean it's more than I'm off to

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Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers train. Uh you know that. So this is

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Speaker 1: what I wanted to talk about with the Patriots. I

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Speaker 1: mean they Aaron Rodgers was not good last week. He

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Speaker 1: hasn't been good all year, and the Patriots left multiple

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Speaker 1: scores on the field. And if you if Aaron Rodgers

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Speaker 1: gets down in the game, I think he's going to

336
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Speaker 1: be completely terrible because if you look at his numbers

337
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Speaker 1: against pressure, they are completely terrible.

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Speaker 3: Six of twenty two. What's up, he's six of twenty seat.

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Speaker 1: You can't get the ball?

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Speaker 3: Yeah.

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Speaker 1: So and this so if you look at that Patriots game,

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Speaker 1: it was probably the best case scenario for Rogers. Like,

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Speaker 1: you know, they're they're sitting there and every time the

344
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Speaker 1: Patriots about to go in and put some put some

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Speaker 1: pressure on him, it's out now turnover. Ha ha haa.

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Speaker 1: I mean even made through a pretty bad interception. But uh,

347
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Speaker 1: this is the kind of thing that you have to

348
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Speaker 1: Like people are looking at the Steelers's like, all right, yeah,

349
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Speaker 1: they're gonna win their eight nine games. I think I

350
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Speaker 1: even bet on they're over. But at the end of

351
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Speaker 1: the day, this is not a team that's health that's

352
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Speaker 1: very healthy. Right now, they're not playing good on defense

353
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Speaker 1: and you're going up against Brian Floreso. Blitz is at

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Speaker 1: the highest rate in the league. So Aaron Rodgers has

355
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Speaker 1: already he struggles versus pressure, and he used to just

356
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Speaker 1: tear up the Blitz. He hasn't been good against the Blitz.

357
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Speaker 3: Either this year.

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Speaker 1: I think that's what you're gonna get out of you know,

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Speaker 1: forty one year old Aaron Rodgers like that, that's where

360
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Speaker 1: you would expect him struggle. So a twenty seven point

361
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Speaker 1: four PFF grade under pressure that is the worst of

362
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Speaker 1: thirty five qualified quarterbacks. You already mentioned it six of

363
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Speaker 1: twenty two, and even that is misleading. He actually got

364
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Speaker 1: one hundred and forty six yards on those six completions,

365
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Speaker 1: which is just absolutely ridiculous. So that's going to regress,

366
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Speaker 1: I doubt, I think more so than the completion rate

367
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Speaker 1: is going to regress upward. He has his top seven

368
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Speaker 1: and turnover worthy row rate this year year, So he's

369
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Speaker 1: doing things that are just kind of uncharacteristic of him.

370
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Speaker 1: The reason Rodgers was always so good he didn't throw

371
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Speaker 1: picks and he would beat the blitz. Now he doesn't

372
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Speaker 1: do either of those things. That's what the Vikings can do.

373
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Speaker 1: And let's remember Carson Wentz. I don't think he got

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Speaker 1: tested at all. But you have a Viking team that

375
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Speaker 1: they can get pressure. Uh they can if they get

376
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Speaker 1: up in the game. They still have a running back

377
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Speaker 1: in Mason that can do some damage. And they also

378
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Speaker 1: get Jordan Adison backers, which is a big upbright for

379
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Speaker 1: Wentz in their office because it looked like TJ. Hocketson

380
00:19:32,760 --> 00:19:36,080
Speaker 1: at least woke up last week. And so now you

381
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Speaker 1: have a Steelers team that's been struggling to cover. Remember

382
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Speaker 1: that Jets game, Remember that even the Seahawks game and

383
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Speaker 1: Patriots too, they were leaving guys open. So I think

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Speaker 1: that this this could be a disaster for the for

385
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Speaker 1: the Steelers, especially if they don't get an early lead.

386
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Speaker 1: So yeah, not not very high on Wentz. But this

387
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Speaker 1: is one of the coaching stats that I do trust against.

388
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Speaker 1: You know, Tomlin. Tomlin coach team that's just gonna be oh,

389
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Speaker 1: you know, oh the dog. You know, it's not a

390
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Speaker 1: raw rod spot. I don't think going overseas and the Vikings,

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Speaker 1: you know, they they should all they might even have

392
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Speaker 1: a little bit, a little tiny bit of home field advantage.

393
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Speaker 1: Not they they really wanted to go out to these

394
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Speaker 1: two europe games. They and they did research and found

395
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Speaker 1: out that they had like all this fans. So we'll see,

396
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Speaker 1: but it could be a Jaguar situation emerging here.

397
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Speaker 3: So uh, there'll be a lot of Steelers fans out too.

398
00:20:21,080 --> 00:20:21,760
Speaker 3: They're Steeers fans.

399
00:20:21,880 --> 00:20:23,359
Speaker 1: Yeah, I would think that's what I was thinking. But

400
00:20:23,400 --> 00:20:26,959
Speaker 1: either way, I like the spot here for Minnesota. Uh,

401
00:20:27,080 --> 00:20:31,080
Speaker 1: they are even with the even with the McCarthy disasters. Uh,

402
00:20:31,240 --> 00:20:33,760
Speaker 1: they're still their metrics are still fine, you know, like

403
00:20:33,760 --> 00:20:35,720
Speaker 1: they're they're not terott. I mean a lot of it

404
00:20:35,720 --> 00:20:37,520
Speaker 1: with Cincinnati. Ask we just turned the ball over. But

405
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Speaker 1: uh yeah, Aaron Rodgers against pressure and the.

406
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Speaker 3: Blitz, what is he gonna do?

407
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Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree, I don't love the number, but I'm

408
00:20:46,400 --> 00:20:47,800
Speaker 2: gonna play this under a field goal.

409
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Speaker 3: It's I mean, the stewers should be owing three, let's

410
00:20:51,720 --> 00:20:54,720
Speaker 3: be honest. Uh, and then this number would be over three.

411
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Speaker 3: Wentz is an upgrade over McCarthy, the current McCarthy. Wentz

412
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Speaker 3: is right now.

413
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Speaker 1: Yeah, absolutely Yeah.

414
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Speaker 3: Uh and Vikings get Addison back, they should get Kelly back.

415
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Speaker 3: They got darrisol back Jackson.

416
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Speaker 1: Yeah, I didn't even mention that what's up. No, I

417
00:21:08,680 --> 00:21:10,800
Speaker 1: didn't even mention that that's been the darrisaw is the

418
00:21:10,840 --> 00:21:14,600
Speaker 1: big one because you give O'Connell a left tackle, and

419
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Speaker 1: and and the receivers in a game where I don't

420
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Speaker 1: think they're gonna have to play from behind a ton

421
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Speaker 1: like It's not like the Darnold versus the the Lions,

422
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Speaker 1: you know, or the Rams even because those teams, you know,

423
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Speaker 1: they can score. I don't think Pittsburg's gonna be able

424
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Speaker 1: to score here.

425
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Speaker 3: So yeah, yeah is big. Yeah, Jackson won't go, but

426
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Speaker 3: brand will be in there. W Okay, But Jackson's been

427
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Speaker 3: really good as a rookie. For what it's worth, he

428
00:21:34,960 --> 00:21:39,520
Speaker 3: looks like a player. Uh, they're left guard. They're pretty

429
00:21:39,520 --> 00:21:41,600
Speaker 3: close to healthy on the defensive side, and the Steelers

430
00:21:41,640 --> 00:21:43,280
Speaker 3: have a ton of injuries. I mean, maybe they'll get

431
00:21:43,760 --> 00:21:47,320
Speaker 3: Elliott and quarterback they practice today. But the other thing

432
00:21:47,400 --> 00:21:50,920
Speaker 3: is the Steelers run the most predictable defense in the league.

433
00:21:50,960 --> 00:21:55,200
Speaker 3: They're just it's single high safety, middle of the field

434
00:21:55,880 --> 00:21:59,800
Speaker 3: closed seventy percent of the time, highest in the league

435
00:21:59,800 --> 00:22:01,280
Speaker 3: by you want to know what the Vikings are at

436
00:22:02,400 --> 00:22:04,960
Speaker 3: twenty four lowess in the league because they mix it

437
00:22:05,080 --> 00:22:08,840
Speaker 3: up O'Connell against the predictable defense, knowing what he's gonna

438
00:22:08,880 --> 00:22:11,600
Speaker 3: get with Addison back, and you can run the ball

439
00:22:11,880 --> 00:22:14,920
Speaker 3: to Steelers d line. Outside of Hayward. It doesn't Age

440
00:22:15,040 --> 00:22:17,320
Speaker 3: is not playing well, you can run on them. The

441
00:22:17,800 --> 00:22:21,440
Speaker 3: whole defense is a mess right now. So yeah, I

442
00:22:22,359 --> 00:22:23,520
Speaker 3: think they should be able to move the ball. I

443
00:22:23,560 --> 00:22:25,720
Speaker 3: think they're gonna win the line of scrimmage on both sides.

444
00:22:26,080 --> 00:22:28,040
Speaker 3: The weakness of this Minnesota defense right now is their

445
00:22:28,080 --> 00:22:30,719
Speaker 3: run defense. It's not great, but the Steelers can't run

446
00:22:30,760 --> 00:22:33,840
Speaker 3: the ball and they don't have a quarterback who can't move.

447
00:22:34,080 --> 00:22:37,119
Speaker 3: So what does that mean? Like you alluded to, that

448
00:22:37,200 --> 00:22:43,000
Speaker 3: means obvious passing situations. Flora's bringing pressure and the Steelers

449
00:22:43,000 --> 00:22:45,520
Speaker 3: are thirty first and pass block win rate on offense,

450
00:22:45,680 --> 00:22:48,040
Speaker 3: They're not gonna be able to block Minnesota. And Rogers

451
00:22:48,080 --> 00:22:50,119
Speaker 3: has been the worst quarterback in the league under pressure

452
00:22:50,119 --> 00:22:53,840
Speaker 3: this year. Against the team that's top three in generating pressure,

453
00:22:54,400 --> 00:22:57,480
Speaker 3: that'll blitz a ton. There's no recourse here. So unless

454
00:22:57,480 --> 00:22:59,400
Speaker 3: there's voodoo and this is the Steelers. Things just got

455
00:22:59,400 --> 00:23:02,439
Speaker 3: five turn zero. They got the key turner against the Jets. Like,

456
00:23:02,480 --> 00:23:04,960
Speaker 3: maybe they'll just keep happening. But I think the Vikings

457
00:23:05,000 --> 00:23:06,919
Speaker 3: get done. There's a lot of matchup advantages here and

458
00:23:06,960 --> 00:23:10,720
Speaker 3: then a lot of uh from the health report, a

459
00:23:10,800 --> 00:23:13,320
Speaker 3: lot of things that favor Minnesota. So I think the

460
00:23:13,400 --> 00:23:14,200
Speaker 3: Vikings get it done.

461
00:23:14,960 --> 00:23:18,280
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, the Steelers. Oh make sure I got this right.

462
00:23:18,880 --> 00:23:22,280
Speaker 1: I wanted to mention this. Yeah, the Steeers. Yes, the

463
00:23:22,320 --> 00:23:26,160
Speaker 1: Steelers have uh not lost a fumble yet this year

464
00:23:26,840 --> 00:23:30,439
Speaker 1: and their opponents have lost five. So what does that

465
00:23:30,440 --> 00:23:31,200
Speaker 1: mean they recovered?

466
00:23:31,600 --> 00:23:32,480
Speaker 3: They recovered all five?

467
00:23:32,520 --> 00:23:35,320
Speaker 1: I think, yeah, they Yeah, that's like they should have

468
00:23:35,359 --> 00:23:38,600
Speaker 1: at least you know, two three turnovers, if not more,

469
00:23:38,800 --> 00:23:44,119
Speaker 1: And that is that could be like they needed. They

470
00:23:44,200 --> 00:23:47,639
Speaker 1: won by one score against a bish a New England

471
00:23:47,640 --> 00:23:50,080
Speaker 1: team that turned it over five times with.

472
00:23:50,640 --> 00:23:52,399
Speaker 3: You know that still have the balls a chance to

473
00:23:52,440 --> 00:23:52,920
Speaker 3: win late?

474
00:23:53,359 --> 00:23:56,800
Speaker 1: Yeah, exactly. I haven't had twenty first downs in the

475
00:23:56,800 --> 00:23:57,200
Speaker 1: game yet.

476
00:23:57,800 --> 00:24:01,240
Speaker 3: And yeah, Jets, Jets turned over on the kickoff late.

477
00:24:02,800 --> 00:24:04,960
Speaker 3: So yeah, there's problems in Pittsburgh right now. I like

478
00:24:04,960 --> 00:24:06,600
Speaker 3: the Vikings to get it done all right. For my

479
00:24:06,680 --> 00:24:10,080
Speaker 3: third pick and the fifth overall the Week four Sunday

480
00:24:10,119 --> 00:24:15,400
Speaker 3: six pack, I'm going with the Las Vegas Raiders minus

481
00:24:15,400 --> 00:24:20,560
Speaker 3: one at home against the Chicago Bears. I thought about

482
00:24:20,680 --> 00:24:23,200
Speaker 3: the Saints. I didn't want to do that to you guys.

483
00:24:24,080 --> 00:24:26,880
Speaker 3: I think it's just too many points. Like there again,

484
00:24:26,960 --> 00:24:29,160
Speaker 3: Saints coming off a thirty plus point loss. It wasn't

485
00:24:29,160 --> 00:24:32,080
Speaker 3: that bad. Like success down the down, it was not bad.

486
00:24:32,480 --> 00:24:36,560
Speaker 3: Rattler has been fine, and like there's sixteenth and success

487
00:24:36,640 --> 00:24:40,240
Speaker 3: rate non garbage time thirteenth, passing success rate twentieth and

488
00:24:40,280 --> 00:24:43,040
Speaker 3: success right overall, Like the offense is okay. They're Rundy's

489
00:24:43,160 --> 00:24:45,360
Speaker 3: top ten. It's been top ten this year, So what's

490
00:24:45,440 --> 00:24:48,159
Speaker 3: most likely to happen? Like the Bills get a lead,

491
00:24:48,200 --> 00:24:50,120
Speaker 3: they're just gonna run it. You're not gonna run Allen here.

492
00:24:50,160 --> 00:24:53,080
Speaker 3: The Saints Rundy can hold up, and you know they

493
00:24:53,119 --> 00:24:54,440
Speaker 3: can move the ball. I don't know. I don't know

494
00:24:54,480 --> 00:24:57,520
Speaker 3: the status of Milano and Oliver, but the Saints could

495
00:24:57,520 --> 00:25:00,200
Speaker 3: get healthier in the offensive line. They're high tempo, which

496
00:25:00,200 --> 00:25:02,159
Speaker 3: is been concerning. And the spot isn't great coming across

497
00:25:02,200 --> 00:25:05,920
Speaker 3: the country with the Bills and extended rest, but it's

498
00:25:05,960 --> 00:25:09,000
Speaker 3: too many points. Like in order in order to cut one,

499
00:25:09,000 --> 00:25:11,720
Speaker 3: I win by seventeen plus the Bill, Like everything has

500
00:25:11,720 --> 00:25:14,080
Speaker 3: to go right. The Bills have to really care and

501
00:25:14,080 --> 00:25:16,480
Speaker 3: be engaged, and like they're just gonna take the air

502
00:25:16,640 --> 00:25:20,560
Speaker 3: air out of the ball eventually, And like the Bills

503
00:25:20,600 --> 00:25:22,199
Speaker 3: defense has not been good this year. I think the

504
00:25:22,200 --> 00:25:24,120
Speaker 3: Saints can they have weapons, they can move the ball

505
00:25:24,200 --> 00:25:25,960
Speaker 3: enough here would you agree over it's.

506
00:25:25,800 --> 00:25:28,520
Speaker 1: Probably an over too because the one thing we're rat

507
00:25:28,520 --> 00:25:31,359
Speaker 1: where and the reason why, uh, the spread is probably

508
00:25:31,359 --> 00:25:33,640
Speaker 1: even so large to begin with the leeds the league

509
00:25:33,640 --> 00:25:36,960
Speaker 1: and turnover where he throws with eight A that's like,

510
00:25:37,600 --> 00:25:41,119
Speaker 1: what is that a rate of second in the league? Sorry,

511
00:25:41,280 --> 00:25:44,959
Speaker 1: Dak Prescott is it leads the league? But yeah, his rate,

512
00:25:45,040 --> 00:25:48,119
Speaker 1: his turnover wordy three throw rate is super high, and

513
00:25:48,160 --> 00:25:50,920
Speaker 1: I think that's that's kind of the that's kind of

514
00:25:50,920 --> 00:25:54,280
Speaker 1: the issue here with him. Oh yeah, he does, he does,

515
00:25:54,600 --> 00:25:55,680
Speaker 1: he does with a tar.

516
00:25:55,840 --> 00:25:57,679
Speaker 3: I should throw. And I like the Cardinals on Thursday night.

517
00:25:57,680 --> 00:25:59,960
Speaker 3: There's they need to get their offensive line, the defensive

518
00:26:00,040 --> 00:26:02,280
Speaker 3: ifield injuries, Seattle's defensive injury.

519
00:26:02,440 --> 00:26:04,880
Speaker 2: The injury report is gonna be big today. But play

520
00:26:04,920 --> 00:26:06,399
Speaker 2: calling for the Cardinals has been a little ify.

521
00:26:06,440 --> 00:26:11,160
Speaker 3: But uh yes, yes, Throdier receiver, thirdie receivers, throw down Fiel,

522
00:26:11,160 --> 00:26:14,880
Speaker 3: They're checking down everything. Maybe offensive line injuries, but Dorts

523
00:26:15,000 --> 00:26:18,399
Speaker 3: is back dors Baby. I like the Cardinal I think

524
00:26:18,400 --> 00:26:20,119
Speaker 3: they should be favored here regardless of all the injuries.

525
00:26:20,119 --> 00:26:22,159
Speaker 3: But so I'll probably play that on Thursday Football. But

526
00:26:22,200 --> 00:26:28,280
Speaker 3: getting back to my original bet of the Raiders minus one,

527
00:26:28,680 --> 00:26:31,359
Speaker 3: I think this is a good by low spot on

528
00:26:31,400 --> 00:26:35,960
Speaker 3: the Raiders. Gino Smith historically been really good indoors. This

529
00:26:36,200 --> 00:26:38,879
Speaker 3: Bears defense is still a mess like that. That's what

530
00:26:38,960 --> 00:26:40,640
Speaker 3: it comes down to me. I don't think Goordonate Edwards

531
00:26:40,680 --> 00:26:42,199
Speaker 3: are gonna play, or they're going to be limited if

532
00:26:42,200 --> 00:26:46,520
Speaker 3: they do. They're already without Johnson. They can't get pressure,

533
00:26:47,880 --> 00:26:50,719
Speaker 3: they can't stop the run. Like the Raiders offense been

534
00:26:50,720 --> 00:26:52,399
Speaker 3: a mess because their offensive line is a mess. I

535
00:26:52,400 --> 00:26:56,080
Speaker 3: don't know what Brendan Carroll's doing like this NEPO higher

536
00:26:56,280 --> 00:27:00,119
Speaker 3: Why Why is Jeff Powers Johnson not playing center and

537
00:27:00,200 --> 00:27:02,840
Speaker 3: Meredith playing guard? Why are they playing Alex Kapley He's

538
00:27:02,840 --> 00:27:04,760
Speaker 3: the worst guard in the league. In Powers Johnson is

539
00:27:04,760 --> 00:27:07,920
Speaker 3: just a healthy scratch. I don't under their offensive line

540
00:27:08,280 --> 00:27:10,439
Speaker 3: is a disaster. As a result, they can't blo it's

541
00:27:10,480 --> 00:27:12,800
Speaker 3: a disaster. But against the Bears that's not as big

542
00:27:12,840 --> 00:27:15,560
Speaker 3: of an issue because the Bears aren't generating any pressure.

543
00:27:15,640 --> 00:27:17,119
Speaker 3: They can't step the round, they're not healthy on the

544
00:27:17,160 --> 00:27:19,840
Speaker 3: back end like Gino should be able to cook here.

545
00:27:20,080 --> 00:27:23,439
Speaker 3: They're gonna have advantages all over on the outside, so

546
00:27:24,400 --> 00:27:27,160
Speaker 3: Browers will continue to get healthier with each passing week.

547
00:27:27,560 --> 00:27:29,240
Speaker 3: I don't think they have anyone who can cover him.

548
00:27:29,280 --> 00:27:31,800
Speaker 3: So and this Bears off and you gotta remember the

549
00:27:31,800 --> 00:27:34,600
Speaker 3: Bears defense played better last week the Cowboys. That offensive

550
00:27:34,600 --> 00:27:36,680
Speaker 3: line is then daw cd Lamb like early in the game.

551
00:27:36,840 --> 00:27:39,240
Speaker 3: That changed the entire complexion. That was one of the

552
00:27:39,240 --> 00:27:41,119
Speaker 3: reasons I played the Bears, but was really worried. I

553
00:27:41,160 --> 00:27:43,520
Speaker 3: was like, all right, well, they got Lamb and Pickens

554
00:27:43,520 --> 00:27:47,280
Speaker 3: against this beat up secondary of backup corners. That's not

555
00:27:47,320 --> 00:27:50,080
Speaker 3: gonna be the case this week. I like the Raiders

556
00:27:50,080 --> 00:27:50,600
Speaker 3: to get it done.

557
00:27:50,640 --> 00:27:50,800
Speaker 2: Hume.

558
00:27:50,800 --> 00:27:53,720
Speaker 3: The Bears offense, it's Tayler Williams looked better last week.

559
00:27:54,119 --> 00:27:56,240
Speaker 3: Johnson's eventually gonna get figured out, but it's still gonna

560
00:27:56,240 --> 00:27:58,439
Speaker 3: take time. And this defense isn't great, but they can

561
00:27:58,480 --> 00:28:02,160
Speaker 3: stop the run. They can get some pressure here. They're

562
00:28:02,160 --> 00:28:04,280
Speaker 3: gonna make Williams move it down the field, take away

563
00:28:04,280 --> 00:28:06,440
Speaker 3: the explosive, and he's still not all the way there

564
00:28:06,520 --> 00:28:10,119
Speaker 3: yet with consistency as far as accuracy, and there's just

565
00:28:10,160 --> 00:28:12,320
Speaker 3: gonna be too many misthrows. And I think that the

566
00:28:12,400 --> 00:28:16,800
Speaker 3: Raiders won't have any issue moving the ball. So uh yeah,

567
00:28:16,840 --> 00:28:18,880
Speaker 3: I'm gonna buy low on the Raiders here at home.

568
00:28:19,000 --> 00:28:20,320
Speaker 3: Here's to get your thoughts on this one.

569
00:28:20,480 --> 00:28:24,400
Speaker 1: My answer to your question is, Pete Carroll, I'm starting

570
00:28:24,440 --> 00:28:26,800
Speaker 1: to notice, you know, there's there's kind of this point where,

571
00:28:26,800 --> 00:28:29,800
Speaker 1: you know, we we've talked about before, you know, Belichick

572
00:28:29,920 --> 00:28:32,640
Speaker 1: and the trends and Tom Win and Carol, but there's

573
00:28:32,680 --> 00:28:35,240
Speaker 1: a point where these guys just know you gotta take

574
00:28:35,280 --> 00:28:37,560
Speaker 1: them all out back, like oh yeller, Like it's they

575
00:28:37,560 --> 00:28:40,480
Speaker 1: get past this point where like these new younger guys

576
00:28:40,520 --> 00:28:43,240
Speaker 1: are just kind of running circles around because Pete Carol,

577
00:28:44,240 --> 00:28:48,760
Speaker 1: let's remember, was the same coach who what four weeks

578
00:28:48,760 --> 00:28:52,280
Speaker 1: ago wantn't to sign a Marii Cooper, who would have

579
00:28:52,360 --> 00:28:55,520
Speaker 1: just taken steps away from Trey Tucker, who's like balling

580
00:28:55,560 --> 00:29:00,840
Speaker 1: out right now, and coming into last week, Carol was like, yeah,

581
00:29:01,000 --> 00:29:02,719
Speaker 1: I don't know, I want to figure. I don't I'm

582
00:29:02,760 --> 00:29:04,760
Speaker 1: not putting it on Geno. I just want to understand

583
00:29:04,800 --> 00:29:06,880
Speaker 1: why we're throwing down field there, like we need to

584
00:29:06,920 --> 00:29:09,040
Speaker 1: take and it's like, oh, so then they don't do

585
00:29:09,080 --> 00:29:11,240
Speaker 1: anything until they start throwing down field of Tucker. Like

586
00:29:11,520 --> 00:29:14,000
Speaker 1: I think Pete Couch is a little bit maybe Chip

587
00:29:14,080 --> 00:29:16,280
Speaker 1: Kelly is contributing, but I just think there's a little

588
00:29:16,320 --> 00:29:19,880
Speaker 1: bit of a disconnect between what they think works and

589
00:29:19,920 --> 00:29:23,680
Speaker 1: what actually works. But I'm with you on the Bilos.

590
00:29:23,720 --> 00:29:25,800
Speaker 1: But I think the I think Gino has been playing well.

591
00:29:25,960 --> 00:29:28,400
Speaker 1: I think they're I think they have enough on offense,

592
00:29:28,520 --> 00:29:32,920
Speaker 1: and with the Bears in Caleb, you're gonna get some mistakes. Uh,

593
00:29:33,000 --> 00:29:35,440
Speaker 1: you know, if you're not Dallas. So yeah, but but

594
00:29:35,440 --> 00:29:38,040
Speaker 1: that's that's kind of my my worry is that it's

595
00:29:38,040 --> 00:29:40,760
Speaker 1: it just kind of Carol has just kind of lost

596
00:29:40,760 --> 00:29:42,440
Speaker 1: touch a little bit, and so you never really know

597
00:29:43,080 --> 00:29:46,280
Speaker 1: what kind of stupidness they might, you know, cook up

598
00:29:46,480 --> 00:29:49,120
Speaker 1: to do on each individual week. But that's that's uh,

599
00:29:49,160 --> 00:29:50,880
Speaker 1: that's it's kind of a head scratching thing. But that's

600
00:29:50,880 --> 00:29:52,360
Speaker 1: the best I can explain it, because I think Gino's

601
00:29:52,360 --> 00:29:54,320
Speaker 1: played well, and you know, Tucker's played a lot better

602
00:29:54,320 --> 00:29:58,040
Speaker 1: than expected. They have, and somehow they're just not they're

603
00:29:58,040 --> 00:30:02,600
Speaker 1: just not specialties such yes, yeah, yeah, then they're giving

604
00:30:02,680 --> 00:30:04,880
Speaker 1: up explode. I mean, something's a little off with them

605
00:30:04,920 --> 00:30:07,240
Speaker 1: because I think they're playing below their talent level, and

606
00:30:07,240 --> 00:30:10,520
Speaker 1: given the veteran coaching staff, you would think that wouldn't

607
00:30:10,560 --> 00:30:13,480
Speaker 1: be the case. So yeah, something something off. But yeah,

608
00:30:13,560 --> 00:30:16,240
Speaker 1: I agree, Bible Spot, they could have. It could have

609
00:30:16,240 --> 00:30:18,800
Speaker 1: been a lot closer versus the Chargers in Week two

610
00:30:18,840 --> 00:30:21,760
Speaker 1: as well, and uh you know they stole it against

611
00:30:21,760 --> 00:30:23,280
Speaker 1: the Patriots in Week one, but.

612
00:30:23,480 --> 00:30:26,280
Speaker 3: They're trying to go downfield explosives a lot. You can

613
00:30:26,280 --> 00:30:28,880
Speaker 3: do that against the Bears. It was probably a mistake

614
00:30:28,920 --> 00:30:31,280
Speaker 3: against the Chargers to try and they were just trying

615
00:30:31,280 --> 00:30:32,680
Speaker 3: way too arden and Chargers aren't going to give you

616
00:30:32,760 --> 00:30:34,920
Speaker 3: that as much. But this is a this is a

617
00:30:35,720 --> 00:30:37,840
Speaker 3: spot where Gino is going to see a ton of

618
00:30:37,880 --> 00:30:40,000
Speaker 3: man coverage and they're gonna have a ton of advantages

619
00:30:40,040 --> 00:30:44,320
Speaker 3: that he can cook here. So uh yeah, that's my

620
00:30:44,360 --> 00:30:45,680
Speaker 3: their pick. Where are you going for the final pick?

621
00:30:46,760 --> 00:30:49,000
Speaker 1: For my third and final pick, the sixth overall of

622
00:30:49,000 --> 00:30:51,240
Speaker 1: the Week four Sunday six pack, I'm going with the

623
00:30:51,560 --> 00:30:54,800
Speaker 1: Jacksonville Jaguars plus three and a half at San Francisco.

624
00:30:55,120 --> 00:30:57,920
Speaker 1: And I kind of flip fought back and forth because

625
00:30:57,960 --> 00:30:59,840
Speaker 1: I I really think the your.

626
00:30:59,760 --> 00:31:01,960
Speaker 3: Back my Jags. Look at this one eighty from you

627
00:31:02,000 --> 00:31:04,800
Speaker 3: and one I know right, I mean faded the Jags

628
00:31:04,840 --> 00:31:07,480
Speaker 3: last week. Now you're on the Jags. He faded the Vikings,

629
00:31:07,880 --> 00:31:10,800
Speaker 3: You're on the Vikings. And who was your other last week?

630
00:31:12,320 --> 00:31:14,120
Speaker 3: The Giants. He didn't fade the Giant last week, you're

631
00:31:14,120 --> 00:31:14,959
Speaker 3: back on your Giants.

632
00:31:15,400 --> 00:31:20,240
Speaker 1: Yeah, but I mean the Jaguars to be fair, Hey,

633
00:31:19,920 --> 00:31:22,720
Speaker 1: they they gave Houston numerous chances to win that game.

634
00:31:23,000 --> 00:31:25,760
Speaker 1: It wasn't like they tried to jag it. Yeah, they

635
00:31:25,760 --> 00:31:29,680
Speaker 1: tried to jag it. But in this spot, I think

636
00:31:29,680 --> 00:31:32,600
Speaker 1: it's really interesting because as we record this Wednesday, you know,

637
00:31:34,040 --> 00:31:37,360
Speaker 1: I guess party is there. They're saying he's coming back.

638
00:31:38,000 --> 00:31:40,920
Speaker 1: But and then Matt Jones also got a little banged up.

639
00:31:40,960 --> 00:31:46,560
Speaker 1: So now you don't with no Bosa, no Kiddle, two quarterbacks.

640
00:31:46,600 --> 00:31:49,000
Speaker 1: We don't really know because remember they had some weirdness

641
00:31:49,080 --> 00:31:52,320
Speaker 1: going on last was it last year either in one

642
00:31:52,320 --> 00:31:53,680
Speaker 1: of these two years. I think it was last year.

643
00:31:53,680 --> 00:31:55,480
Speaker 1: It might have been the year before, but when Perdy

644
00:31:55,760 --> 00:31:58,120
Speaker 1: had like a concussion and then they just kind of

645
00:31:58,120 --> 00:32:00,000
Speaker 1: played he played like through it, but it was terrible.

646
00:32:00,680 --> 00:32:03,000
Speaker 1: So I don't really know. I don't trust San Francisco

647
00:32:03,080 --> 00:32:07,440
Speaker 1: with injury reports either, but they've just start they're starting

648
00:32:07,440 --> 00:32:09,280
Speaker 1: to get decimated again, and I was I think I

649
00:32:09,280 --> 00:32:12,360
Speaker 1: thought they were kind of undervalued because it was mostly

650
00:32:12,400 --> 00:32:15,800
Speaker 1: backups that were going down. Uh, you know, heading into

651
00:32:15,800 --> 00:32:19,680
Speaker 1: the year, but now it was Bosa, you was Kiddle.

652
00:32:21,160 --> 00:32:23,400
Speaker 1: Still Jennings is banged up again.

653
00:32:24,280 --> 00:32:26,560
Speaker 3: To Persa with a knee.

654
00:32:27,080 --> 00:32:29,040
Speaker 1: That's right, because he's gonna have to catch eighty balls

655
00:32:29,200 --> 00:32:29,720
Speaker 1: this week.

656
00:32:30,800 --> 00:32:35,440
Speaker 3: So their corners are banged up too. There's some injuries there.

657
00:32:35,960 --> 00:32:38,960
Speaker 1: Yeah, and I really just want to buy low on

658
00:32:39,000 --> 00:32:41,760
Speaker 1: this Jags team in a spot for San Francisco where

659
00:32:42,440 --> 00:32:45,040
Speaker 1: you know, we've kind of seen them, We've talked about this.

660
00:32:45,040 --> 00:32:46,600
Speaker 1: This is this is kind of the year where they

661
00:32:46,880 --> 00:32:48,960
Speaker 1: under the radar, no expectations. They usually go to Super

662
00:32:49,000 --> 00:32:51,280
Speaker 1: Bowl in these kind of years, but uh, three and zero,

663
00:32:51,800 --> 00:32:53,760
Speaker 1: it's it's kind of tough to keep keep it up.

664
00:32:53,760 --> 00:32:56,680
Speaker 1: And if you look at the Jags, they had there's

665
00:32:56,720 --> 00:33:01,480
Speaker 1: strength to schedule. Uh not great. Uh, but the one

666
00:33:01,480 --> 00:33:05,480
Speaker 1: thing about the jet and yeah exactly, but the one

667
00:33:05,520 --> 00:33:08,760
Speaker 1: thing about the Jags is we have Goanes. Offense has

668
00:33:08,800 --> 00:33:14,400
Speaker 1: been on schedule and he's being let down by Ryan

669
00:33:14,520 --> 00:33:15,360
Speaker 1: Thomas Junior.

670
00:33:15,800 --> 00:33:19,800
Speaker 3: It's almost been amazing the protection. The runs right just

671
00:33:19,880 --> 00:33:25,320
Speaker 3: have drops and yeah, so it's unbelievable the offense. The

672
00:33:25,360 --> 00:33:27,360
Speaker 3: defense looks great too. The defense is so much better.

673
00:33:27,360 --> 00:33:29,480
Speaker 3: They get pressure, they stop the run, the back end

674
00:33:29,480 --> 00:33:32,120
Speaker 3: they're playing coverages that better suit their sell.

675
00:33:32,480 --> 00:33:34,120
Speaker 2: The defense looks really good. Granted they haven't play the

676
00:33:34,160 --> 00:33:35,680
Speaker 2: best schedule, but neither are the forty nine ers.

677
00:33:35,720 --> 00:33:37,080
Speaker 1: And then the guy who might have lost him again

678
00:33:37,120 --> 00:33:39,040
Speaker 1: on defense is Travis Humpert. Like ever, all their best

679
00:33:39,080 --> 00:33:42,160
Speaker 1: players are letting them down. But that's a good violo spot.

680
00:33:42,400 --> 00:33:45,760
Speaker 1: Trevor Lawrence. This this dad is pretty pretty nuts. Through

681
00:33:46,080 --> 00:33:51,680
Speaker 1: three weeks, he has thirteen drop passes, leading the league

682
00:33:51,680 --> 00:33:56,760
Speaker 1: by four seventeen percent drop pass three. That is like

683
00:33:56,920 --> 00:34:00,120
Speaker 1: the next eye is eleven percent. Like it's like it's

684
00:34:00,000 --> 00:34:02,560
Speaker 1: it's hard to get past double digits once you're passed

685
00:34:02,600 --> 00:34:06,880
Speaker 1: like one or two games, so seventy percent. And this

686
00:34:06,960 --> 00:34:09,960
Speaker 1: might just be some Trevor Lawrence shit, but zero big

687
00:34:09,960 --> 00:34:14,880
Speaker 1: time throws on one hundred and thirteen attempts, So something

688
00:34:14,920 --> 00:34:17,200
Speaker 1: has to give here. I just think the Jags have

689
00:34:17,239 --> 00:34:20,040
Speaker 1: too much talent and they're underlying, like the play call,

690
00:34:20,080 --> 00:34:22,600
Speaker 1: everything that's we thought would happen that would help them out.

691
00:34:22,880 --> 00:34:25,040
Speaker 1: It's kind of happening. You know, their play calling is

692
00:34:25,080 --> 00:34:27,160
Speaker 1: getting better, the guys are getting open, but it's just

693
00:34:27,440 --> 00:34:30,600
Speaker 1: inexplicable drop But there were even so many points on

694
00:34:30,640 --> 00:34:33,520
Speaker 1: the field and then you know, they had that weird

695
00:34:33,520 --> 00:34:35,560
Speaker 1: sequence where they got too conservative and then too aggresively

696
00:34:35,560 --> 00:34:38,440
Speaker 1: against the Bengals. And so there's just a bunch of

697
00:34:38,600 --> 00:34:41,239
Speaker 1: kind of variants happening, or just weird stuff happening with

698
00:34:41,280 --> 00:34:43,840
Speaker 1: the with the Jags where I think people are gonna

699
00:34:43,960 --> 00:34:45,920
Speaker 1: be surprised that I think the Jags are gonna be

700
00:34:45,920 --> 00:34:48,759
Speaker 1: able to hang here because San Francisco, this is this

701
00:34:48,800 --> 00:34:50,480
Speaker 1: is the time where I draw the line and say, Okay,

702
00:34:50,960 --> 00:34:53,799
Speaker 1: like Bosa, now, now that kind of compromises what you

703
00:34:53,840 --> 00:34:58,000
Speaker 1: want to do defensively. You're already banged up on defense.

704
00:34:58,120 --> 00:35:01,000
Speaker 1: Your corners have issues against two receips that could pick

705
00:35:01,040 --> 00:35:03,279
Speaker 1: it up. I like that they put in what I know,

706
00:35:03,440 --> 00:35:05,640
Speaker 1: I guess Brown was hurt, but they put in Washington,

707
00:35:05,719 --> 00:35:07,840
Speaker 1: and I said he might give him something different than

708
00:35:07,960 --> 00:35:10,040
Speaker 1: than Brown. So I think there's just a lot of

709
00:35:10,200 --> 00:35:14,680
Speaker 1: unrealized upside with his Jags team. Whereas the Niners put

710
00:35:14,719 --> 00:35:18,360
Speaker 1: a lost to Arizona, even that a New Orleans.

711
00:35:18,600 --> 00:35:20,279
Speaker 3: I think Arizona catches a wide up and pass.

712
00:35:20,360 --> 00:35:21,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, exactly so.

713
00:35:22,880 --> 00:35:25,359
Speaker 2: But that's that's what Arizona's playing without all of their

714
00:35:25,680 --> 00:35:26,560
Speaker 2: defensive backs.

715
00:35:26,840 --> 00:35:28,279
Speaker 1: That's why long.

716
00:35:28,440 --> 00:35:31,120
Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't trust the San franc Teine to get margin.

717
00:35:31,120 --> 00:35:32,719
Speaker 3: And if Party plays, he might not be one hundred

718
00:35:32,719 --> 00:35:34,000
Speaker 3: percent healthy, he might not be able to push off.

719
00:35:34,000 --> 00:35:37,879
Speaker 3: He's not gonna have all his weapons, like he's gonna

720
00:35:37,880 --> 00:35:40,160
Speaker 3: be under pressure. This Jags team could generate pressure, and

721
00:35:40,200 --> 00:35:43,319
Speaker 3: like the defensive scheme is much better. See anything over

722
00:35:43,360 --> 00:35:43,879
Speaker 3: a field goal?

723
00:35:43,880 --> 00:35:44,120
Speaker 1: I like.

724
00:35:44,160 --> 00:35:48,200
Speaker 3: It's also worth noting that the forty nine Ers have

725
00:35:48,280 --> 00:35:50,840
Speaker 3: been the worst team in the league in kickoff coverage.

726
00:35:51,360 --> 00:35:54,800
Speaker 3: They've been miserable. They have not figured that out. Shocker.

727
00:35:54,880 --> 00:35:56,480
Speaker 3: The forty nine ers special teams is a mess. Like

728
00:35:56,520 --> 00:35:59,000
Speaker 3: teams are starting on average at the forty nine thirty

729
00:35:59,239 --> 00:36:01,200
Speaker 3: four yard line. I'm just the highest in the league.

730
00:36:01,320 --> 00:36:04,000
Speaker 3: You know, who have to figure out the rams people?

731
00:36:04,120 --> 00:36:07,920
Speaker 3: Teams got to start with these these line drive.

732
00:36:08,160 --> 00:36:12,000
Speaker 1: Yep, duck bubbles yep. They got Bigsby. Eagle's got Bigsby

733
00:36:12,239 --> 00:36:15,040
Speaker 1: not to play any running back. Just completely sand match

734
00:36:15,280 --> 00:36:16,240
Speaker 1: both of those guys.

735
00:36:16,080 --> 00:36:18,120
Speaker 3: And they were they couldn't even pick up the ball

736
00:36:18,120 --> 00:36:20,440
Speaker 3: they were starting at like the twelve every every drive.

737
00:36:21,440 --> 00:36:23,600
Speaker 3: The Falcons have also done a good job in that front,

738
00:36:25,200 --> 00:36:29,880
Speaker 3: and the Giants too so, But the forty nine Ers

739
00:36:29,920 --> 00:36:31,440
Speaker 3: like the Jacks could have a really good field position

740
00:36:31,520 --> 00:36:33,160
Speaker 3: here as well. But yeah, I don't think anything over

741
00:36:33,160 --> 00:36:34,600
Speaker 3: a field goal you got to take with the current

742
00:36:34,640 --> 00:36:36,759
Speaker 3: I just don't trust that this Niners, the current state

743
00:36:36,800 --> 00:36:38,040
Speaker 3: of the Niners team to win by margin.

744
00:36:38,880 --> 00:36:41,200
Speaker 1: Yeah. Yeah, I think the quarterback situation like this gonna

745
00:36:41,200 --> 00:36:43,440
Speaker 1: be We're sitting here Friday and they're like, oh, we're

746
00:36:43,440 --> 00:36:47,279
Speaker 1: gonna we gotta start like Adrian Martinez or something like

747
00:36:47,640 --> 00:36:48,920
Speaker 1: you never know with the Niners.

748
00:36:48,960 --> 00:36:50,920
Speaker 3: So yeah, yeah, and they are three and oh so

749
00:36:51,080 --> 00:36:53,440
Speaker 3: like they can be a little more cautious, right like.

750
00:36:54,360 --> 00:36:56,360
Speaker 1: Rams week on deck? Right? No, yeah, Rams we go

751
00:36:56,360 --> 00:37:00,960
Speaker 1: on deck yep, yep, yep, looking at Yeah, so we got.

752
00:37:03,239 --> 00:37:06,080
Speaker 3: On Thursday night what's up? And the Rams games on Thursday.

753
00:37:06,120 --> 00:37:06,279
Speaker 2: Yeah.

754
00:37:06,360 --> 00:37:08,920
Speaker 1: Yeah, So this is a great kind of look ahead there.

755
00:37:08,920 --> 00:37:11,120
Speaker 1: But that was our before Sunday six pecks we got.

756
00:37:11,560 --> 00:37:17,239
Speaker 1: You got the Falcons and Pannix Home Dog, the h

757
00:37:17,480 --> 00:37:22,799
Speaker 1: Pennix May and Gino Smith interesting, uh interesting, like two

758
00:37:22,840 --> 00:37:28,080
Speaker 1: young guys and then Gino. Uh, I got Carson Wentz,

759
00:37:29,600 --> 00:37:34,520
Speaker 1: Charon Lawrence, all the Doug Peterson retreat retreads and uh

760
00:37:35,000 --> 00:37:37,480
Speaker 1: and Dart and Dart Baby, I just need I wish

761
00:37:37,480 --> 00:37:40,600
Speaker 1: I just had three darts because yeah, this when about.

762
00:37:40,400 --> 00:37:44,960
Speaker 3: Lawrence dark May and Smith's that's how we like it.

763
00:37:45,040 --> 00:37:46,040
Speaker 3: We're back to our roots.

764
00:37:46,239 --> 00:37:48,640
Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, that's gonna wrap it up for our

765
00:37:48,680 --> 00:37:51,640
Speaker 1: week four Sunday at six Pack. All right, this week's

766
00:37:51,680 --> 00:37:54,560
Speaker 1: coaches pep talk comes to us from Will Ferrow in

767
00:37:54,600 --> 00:37:57,200
Speaker 1: the two thousand and five classic kicking and screaming.

768
00:37:57,520 --> 00:37:58,440
Speaker 3: You're my assistant.

769
00:37:58,760 --> 00:38:01,400
Speaker 2: Okay, here's to back me up and go get me

770
00:38:01,480 --> 00:38:02,799
Speaker 2: juice box is what I tell you.

771
00:38:02,840 --> 00:38:04,160
Speaker 3: Now, go get me a juice box.

772
00:38:04,200 --> 00:38:05,400
Speaker 1: You know who you're talking to.

773
00:38:05,880 --> 00:38:07,239
Speaker 3: I'm talking to the juice box guy.

774
00:38:07,440 --> 00:38:08,240
Speaker 1: They're crazy.

775
00:38:08,320 --> 00:38:10,080
Speaker 3: Why I'm not crazy, I'm just thirsty.

776
00:38:10,120 --> 00:38:12,160
Speaker 1: Why are you going to hell? No, you go to

777
00:38:12,200 --> 00:38:14,279
Speaker 1: hell while you're there. Why do you grab me a

778
00:38:14,360 --> 00:38:17,000
Speaker 1: juice box? I'm no juice box boy, I'll.

779
00:38:16,800 --> 00:38:17,319
Speaker 3: Tell you that.

780
00:38:17,440 --> 00:38:19,319
Speaker 1: Yes, you Wall. No, I'm not you all.

781
00:38:19,480 --> 00:38:20,520
Speaker 2: I'm not you All.

782
00:38:20,600 --> 00:38:23,400
Speaker 1: No, I'm not. We're gonna dedicate this to the Minnesota Vikings.

783
00:38:23,400 --> 00:38:28,600
Speaker 1: Remember Ryan Flores, former Steeler, and I think he he'll

784
00:38:28,640 --> 00:38:31,719
Speaker 1: be able to torment Steeler's new quarterback a little bit.

785
00:38:31,800 --> 00:38:34,240
Speaker 1: That's kind of what he does every week to quarterbacks.

786
00:38:34,280 --> 00:38:37,279
Speaker 1: So except Michael Pennox. I guess, but yeah, we're gonna

787
00:38:37,280 --> 00:38:41,040
Speaker 1: dedicate this one to the Minnesota Vikings going overseas two

788
00:38:41,040 --> 00:38:46,200
Speaker 1: straight favorite total of the week. Thank you Chicago Bears

789
00:38:46,200 --> 00:38:50,279
Speaker 1: for picking off Dak and walk under. Shouts I got

790
00:38:50,320 --> 00:38:52,440
Speaker 1: Nig Giffi because that was a big luck under. The

791
00:38:52,480 --> 00:38:54,560
Speaker 1: Bucks were big. I mean the Jets were a big

792
00:38:54,640 --> 00:38:57,840
Speaker 1: luck play which you had. So shouts to Nick. But

793
00:38:58,000 --> 00:38:58,799
Speaker 1: where are you going this week?

794
00:38:59,600 --> 00:39:04,080
Speaker 3: Yeah? The Saints Seawks under. Unfortunately all the Seahawks debacks

795
00:39:04,080 --> 00:39:06,880
Speaker 3: didn't play, and then there was like twenty eight points

796
00:39:06,880 --> 00:39:09,360
Speaker 3: to the special teams which killed it. I'm gonna go

797
00:39:09,360 --> 00:39:13,239
Speaker 3: with the Lions Browns under forty four and a half.

798
00:39:13,840 --> 00:39:15,840
Speaker 3: I mean, this Browns defensive the league. What else do

799
00:39:15,880 --> 00:39:19,600
Speaker 3: we need to see? I mean, they've played Burrow, Lamar

800
00:39:19,920 --> 00:39:23,560
Speaker 3: and Love and no one can do anything against them.

801
00:39:23,680 --> 00:39:27,960
Speaker 3: No one can block them. This Lions offensive line in

802
00:39:28,000 --> 00:39:29,840
Speaker 3: the interier is still really bad. And if you can

803
00:39:29,880 --> 00:39:33,200
Speaker 3: get pressure on Golf up the middle, you new to

804
00:39:33,320 --> 00:39:36,680
Speaker 3: their offense. The Ravens can't do that right now. They

805
00:39:36,680 --> 00:39:40,280
Speaker 3: have no pass rush. Matabuge didn't play. They are incapable

806
00:39:40,280 --> 00:39:43,440
Speaker 3: of generating any pressure up the middle, and it showed.

807
00:39:44,840 --> 00:39:47,520
Speaker 3: We saw when the Packers could what happened to the

808
00:39:47,520 --> 00:39:50,240
Speaker 3: Lions offense. So I think the Browns will be able

809
00:39:50,680 --> 00:39:54,880
Speaker 3: to generate pressure here slow down this Lion's offense. I

810
00:39:54,920 --> 00:39:57,200
Speaker 3: do think Ward's gonna play, but that is important. He's

811
00:39:58,000 --> 00:40:00,399
Speaker 3: day to day banged up a little bit, so keep.

812
00:40:00,280 --> 00:40:03,239
Speaker 2: An eye on that. Additionally, I don't know. I have

813
00:40:03,239 --> 00:40:04,800
Speaker 2: my doubts that Conklin's gonna play.

814
00:40:05,760 --> 00:40:09,200
Speaker 3: Uh So you might have like Leviston at right tackle

815
00:40:09,320 --> 00:40:12,840
Speaker 3: against Hockinson. That might be very bad for the Browns offense,

816
00:40:13,480 --> 00:40:15,520
Speaker 3: but Judkins has been good. I think they can run

817
00:40:15,560 --> 00:40:18,120
Speaker 3: a little bit. Contrary to popular belief based on what

818
00:40:18,160 --> 00:40:20,640
Speaker 3: you just saw, the Lions don't generate pressure at an

819
00:40:20,680 --> 00:40:23,920
Speaker 3: elite level. They're like bottom five or six. A lot

820
00:40:23,920 --> 00:40:26,239
Speaker 3: of those sacks where they had a great game plan

821
00:40:26,320 --> 00:40:28,719
Speaker 3: for containing Lamar's legs, a lot of those sacks were

822
00:40:29,320 --> 00:40:32,200
Speaker 3: Lamar running around trying to buy time, and then you

823
00:40:32,200 --> 00:40:34,080
Speaker 3: know they were like tackling him. It's not like they

824
00:40:34,080 --> 00:40:36,880
Speaker 3: were in the backfield. And the Ravens offensive line is

825
00:40:36,880 --> 00:40:39,400
Speaker 3: a mess right now within both card positions and right tackle.

826
00:40:40,360 --> 00:40:43,640
Speaker 3: So I think that the Browns will be able to

827
00:40:44,640 --> 00:40:47,359
Speaker 3: just move the ball enough methodically, like they're not gonna

828
00:40:47,360 --> 00:40:51,279
Speaker 3: have time probably with if it's Hockinson on Levinson and

829
00:40:51,320 --> 00:40:53,600
Speaker 3: they don't have the guys either, they're not gonna hit

830
00:40:53,640 --> 00:40:57,719
Speaker 3: a bunch of explosives. But you mean, why don't keep

831
00:40:57,719 --> 00:41:05,279
Speaker 3: going uh not Hockinson the uh in a couple of days?

832
00:41:05,320 --> 00:41:14,600
Speaker 2: No, the d N for Hutchinson. Hutchinson, I will try

833
00:41:14,640 --> 00:41:18,800
Speaker 2: to think. I think I'm saying Congo doesn't play. They're

834
00:41:18,800 --> 00:41:21,120
Speaker 2: starting right tackles already out. It might be Kate Katie

835
00:41:21,239 --> 00:41:24,040
Speaker 2: Levinson starting at right tackle, which could be a disaster

836
00:41:24,760 --> 00:41:26,279
Speaker 2: against Hutchinson with.

837
00:41:26,400 --> 00:41:30,680
Speaker 1: Flash yeah, yeah, yeah, Dewann Jones done. Yeah, so like.

838
00:41:30,760 --> 00:41:33,279
Speaker 3: Conco practice today. But he's based up and I'm hearing

839
00:41:33,360 --> 00:41:35,920
Speaker 3: he might know he's more could play, but he's more

840
00:41:36,000 --> 00:41:38,239
Speaker 3: likely than not to not. He's more likely than not

841
00:41:38,520 --> 00:41:41,640
Speaker 3: to sit. So that could be a disaster in this

842
00:41:41,719 --> 00:41:45,200
Speaker 3: Brown's offense, there's no explosiveness at all. So I mean,

843
00:41:45,320 --> 00:41:47,640
Speaker 3: what what is their max in a game? Like their

844
00:41:48,120 --> 00:41:51,080
Speaker 3: their max in the game is like seventeen points and then.

845
00:41:51,000 --> 00:41:52,680
Speaker 1: They give up. They give The only real thing that

846
00:41:52,719 --> 00:41:55,040
Speaker 1: could hurt you with the Browns offense is uh, the

847
00:41:55,120 --> 00:41:58,200
Speaker 1: longer they kind of stay competitive on defense. The longer

848
00:41:58,239 --> 00:42:00,520
Speaker 1: they keep they kind of keep Joe Flacco, who's a

849
00:42:00,680 --> 00:42:03,840
Speaker 1: you know, a statue, and that leads to just turnovers

850
00:42:03,880 --> 00:42:05,800
Speaker 1: and also.

851
00:42:05,840 --> 00:42:07,719
Speaker 3: Lead to a turnover and like, yeah in the red

852
00:42:07,760 --> 00:42:10,920
Speaker 3: zone where this could be uh so, yeah, I just

853
00:42:10,960 --> 00:42:14,520
Speaker 3: think the key is here. It's that Detroit in tier

854
00:42:14,560 --> 00:42:17,040
Speaker 3: offensive line that's gonna be the key to the season.

855
00:42:17,440 --> 00:42:20,600
Speaker 3: Right they played the Bears, The Bears can't generate any pressure.

856
00:42:21,680 --> 00:42:24,000
Speaker 3: They played the Ravens. The Ravens are incapable of generating

857
00:42:24,000 --> 00:42:27,160
Speaker 3: pressure right now, No Van knowing, no matter Bouque Jones

858
00:42:27,160 --> 00:42:29,520
Speaker 3: got hurt there, but their whole defends line didn't practice today.

859
00:42:29,680 --> 00:42:32,000
Speaker 3: All their starters might miss against the Chiefs.

860
00:42:33,239 --> 00:42:33,520
Speaker 1: And all.

861
00:42:34,120 --> 00:42:37,960
Speaker 3: So if Golf has a clean pocket with those weapons,

862
00:42:38,760 --> 00:42:42,239
Speaker 3: he's gonna cook. That's just what doesn't matter if Ben

863
00:42:42,320 --> 00:42:45,200
Speaker 3: Jonson is there or not. But I don't think he's

864
00:42:45,200 --> 00:42:48,040
Speaker 3: gonna have a clean pocket here, so he can't move.

865
00:42:48,120 --> 00:42:50,440
Speaker 3: So there's gonna be a bunch of negative plays. No

866
00:42:50,520 --> 00:42:52,600
Speaker 3: one's running on the Browns. You can't run.

867
00:42:53,040 --> 00:42:54,600
Speaker 1: Oh my god, did you see that goal on Stadion's

868
00:42:54,680 --> 00:42:57,360
Speaker 1: Jacob's That was just that was the thing of beauty.

869
00:42:57,920 --> 00:42:59,480
Speaker 1: And then I mean, I'm gonna here a touchdowner. I

870
00:42:59,480 --> 00:43:01,839
Speaker 1: shouldn't say go and stand, but they stay. They held

871
00:43:01,880 --> 00:43:03,279
Speaker 1: him out of the end zone on the ground, which

872
00:43:03,320 --> 00:43:06,160
Speaker 1: is hard to do. Think first time Jacobson score in eight,

873
00:43:06,360 --> 00:43:07,520
Speaker 1: eight and nine weeks.

874
00:43:08,040 --> 00:43:10,440
Speaker 3: Yep. So I'd lean if this gets the ten. I'd

875
00:43:10,520 --> 00:43:13,080
Speaker 3: lean Browns too, just because I think their defense is

876
00:43:13,120 --> 00:43:16,160
Speaker 3: that good and they're gonna get pressure. But like this

877
00:43:16,320 --> 00:43:20,280
Speaker 3: has like I don't know, it feels like I wouldn't

878
00:43:20,280 --> 00:43:24,840
Speaker 3: be surprised if this game ends like seventeen ten, seventeen thirteen,

879
00:43:25,400 --> 00:43:29,879
Speaker 3: like this could go way under. So yeah, Ward's gotta

880
00:43:29,880 --> 00:43:34,359
Speaker 3: play though, which is but that trust that Brown's defensive line.

881
00:43:34,680 --> 00:43:35,839
Speaker 3: So I'll go under where you're going.

882
00:43:36,360 --> 00:43:39,439
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with the I guess a contrarion over

883
00:43:40,120 --> 00:43:44,560
Speaker 1: Texans Titans over thirty on the fast track yep.

884
00:43:44,719 --> 00:43:44,919
Speaker 3: Yeah.

885
00:43:45,080 --> 00:43:50,520
Speaker 1: Yeah. So here's the thing with these games, and I mean,

886
00:43:51,440 --> 00:43:53,360
Speaker 1: we've all kind of got tempted into doing, you know,

887
00:43:53,440 --> 00:43:55,760
Speaker 1: going under on some of these with these when offenses

888
00:43:55,760 --> 00:43:58,880
Speaker 1: are struggling like this. And the issue here though, is

889
00:43:58,960 --> 00:44:01,680
Speaker 1: that when you have these offenses like this who are struggling,

890
00:44:02,120 --> 00:44:04,759
Speaker 1: so the Texans are dead to ass in points per

891
00:44:04,840 --> 00:44:07,840
Speaker 1: drive at one point twenty two, and then the Titans

892
00:44:07,920 --> 00:44:10,040
Speaker 1: are fifth worst at one point five.

893
00:44:10,560 --> 00:44:10,640
Speaker 2: Uh.

894
00:44:10,960 --> 00:44:15,279
Speaker 1: But the problem is because of that, they're also uh

895
00:44:15,760 --> 00:44:18,759
Speaker 1: you know, bottom of the week, like bottom eight in

896
00:44:19,520 --> 00:44:22,080
Speaker 1: time per drive, plays per drive all that stuff. So like,

897
00:44:22,719 --> 00:44:25,399
Speaker 1: if these teams keep struggling like this, you're just gonna

898
00:44:25,440 --> 00:44:27,520
Speaker 1: get more drives and eventually something's gonna give it. And

899
00:44:28,320 --> 00:44:32,080
Speaker 1: you know, with the with the Texans, Mike finally have

900
00:44:32,200 --> 00:44:36,360
Speaker 1: a defense that doesn't completely pressure to you because I

901
00:44:36,480 --> 00:44:38,799
Speaker 1: mean the Texans just you know, c J. Stroud because

902
00:44:38,840 --> 00:44:42,000
Speaker 1: just can't uh that online just hasn't hasn't gotten it done.

903
00:44:42,320 --> 00:44:46,279
Speaker 1: And then on the other side, the Texans, you know,

904
00:44:46,360 --> 00:44:48,960
Speaker 1: their defense was just on the field for these long

905
00:44:49,120 --> 00:44:52,080
Speaker 1: drives because they you know, they played Stafford, who can

906
00:44:52,200 --> 00:44:53,600
Speaker 1: you know he's not gonna turn it over a ton.

907
00:44:54,040 --> 00:44:54,160
Speaker 3: Uh.

908
00:44:54,360 --> 00:44:56,480
Speaker 1: Mayfield is kind of getting lucky. But they you know,

909
00:44:56,520 --> 00:44:58,520
Speaker 1: they play, they play these teams that are just they

910
00:44:58,600 --> 00:45:02,080
Speaker 1: just kept stopping them, stopping them of them. But when

911
00:45:02,120 --> 00:45:06,520
Speaker 1: you look at the Titans, the Titans actually average nineteen

912
00:45:06,600 --> 00:45:09,840
Speaker 1: point sixty yards per drive, second worst in the league,

913
00:45:10,320 --> 00:45:13,319
Speaker 1: and so like if they're stopping them like that, they're

914
00:45:13,360 --> 00:45:15,279
Speaker 1: gonna get the ball in scoring position a lot more. So,

915
00:45:15,360 --> 00:45:17,440
Speaker 1: I just think this game is going to be played

916
00:45:17,480 --> 00:45:20,560
Speaker 1: a lot, like a lot closer to h you know,

917
00:45:20,640 --> 00:45:23,719
Speaker 1: the other end zones, especially with Ward you know, having

918
00:45:23,800 --> 00:45:27,720
Speaker 1: more sack issues more uh, you know, just turnover issues

919
00:45:27,760 --> 00:45:30,120
Speaker 1: potentially as well. So I just think that this is

920
00:45:30,239 --> 00:45:33,040
Speaker 1: kind of the spot where the Eusta's played a fourteen

921
00:45:33,040 --> 00:45:38,080
Speaker 1: to nine, a twenty nineteen and a seventeen to ten game.

922
00:45:38,760 --> 00:45:38,880
Speaker 2: Uh.

923
00:45:39,000 --> 00:45:42,080
Speaker 1: And then meanwhile, the Titans, even with their terrible you know,

924
00:45:42,960 --> 00:45:46,520
Speaker 1: per drive offense there they played a forty one you know,

925
00:45:46,920 --> 00:45:49,359
Speaker 1: they gave up forty one plus to the Coats last

926
00:45:49,400 --> 00:45:51,359
Speaker 1: week and then a forty one to the coach last

927
00:45:51,360 --> 00:45:54,480
Speaker 1: week and played a thirty three nineteen game with the Rams.

928
00:45:54,600 --> 00:45:57,319
Speaker 1: So yeah, I think the Titans could get us here,

929
00:45:57,360 --> 00:46:00,359
Speaker 1: whether it's because of their defense, whether it's because uh,

930
00:46:00,800 --> 00:46:03,880
Speaker 1: you know, mistakes on offense, whatever it is. And then Houston,

931
00:46:04,000 --> 00:46:06,120
Speaker 1: I think they're they have nowhere to go about but

932
00:46:06,440 --> 00:46:10,480
Speaker 1: up on offense. Uh, like their lasting points for drive

933
00:46:10,800 --> 00:46:13,080
Speaker 1: Christian Kirk is back. It doesn't look like they're too

934
00:46:13,160 --> 00:46:15,560
Speaker 1: interested in or maybe the rookies just haven't been doing

935
00:46:15,600 --> 00:46:17,759
Speaker 1: good in practice, but they haven't really been going to

936
00:46:17,840 --> 00:46:19,800
Speaker 1: them and uh, but they are starting to get Boody

937
00:46:19,800 --> 00:46:23,960
Speaker 1: markson more. And they completely benched goom Awe on offense

938
00:46:24,040 --> 00:46:26,560
Speaker 1: last week. I believe he just played special teams. Pierce

939
00:46:26,640 --> 00:46:29,719
Speaker 1: was inactive. So they're starting to kind of make some

940
00:46:29,880 --> 00:46:31,359
Speaker 1: changes here, which you always want to see.

941
00:46:31,880 --> 00:46:32,000
Speaker 2: Uh.

942
00:46:32,120 --> 00:46:36,799
Speaker 1: And it's it's Titan defense in the state. Uh, that's yeah.

943
00:46:37,800 --> 00:46:42,000
Speaker 3: The Texans offensive line can hold up and the Titans well,

944
00:46:42,280 --> 00:46:45,640
Speaker 3: immovable force meets and right yeah, with the run game,

945
00:46:45,800 --> 00:46:49,360
Speaker 3: Texans can't run it, Titans cannot stop the run. This

946
00:46:49,520 --> 00:46:51,799
Speaker 3: is my warri Last week with the Titans, I ended

947
00:46:51,880 --> 00:46:56,520
Speaker 3: up playing when the line got the six sadly. Uh,

948
00:46:57,200 --> 00:47:00,600
Speaker 3: but Zeitler and lath and being out watches, I think

949
00:47:00,600 --> 00:47:02,640
Speaker 3: it's either will probably back this week and probably not

950
00:47:02,760 --> 00:47:06,320
Speaker 3: Lath them, but we'll see. But without sweat, you just

951
00:47:06,440 --> 00:47:08,640
Speaker 3: they just people just double Simmons and it's over for

952
00:47:08,760 --> 00:47:10,520
Speaker 3: the defense, like there's not there's no And then they

953
00:47:10,800 --> 00:47:14,279
Speaker 3: just traded brownly like what Yeah, Callan gave a play

954
00:47:14,320 --> 00:47:16,120
Speaker 3: calling dude, so there could be a boost there too.

955
00:47:16,280 --> 00:47:19,120
Speaker 3: Callen is the worst coach in the quartry. I can't

956
00:47:19,120 --> 00:47:23,359
Speaker 3: bet this game. I can't lay points if you gave

957
00:47:23,400 --> 00:47:25,279
Speaker 3: me seven and a half, I think about it. I

958
00:47:25,360 --> 00:47:30,360
Speaker 3: can't lay points with this Texans offense a touchdown and

959
00:47:30,920 --> 00:47:32,160
Speaker 3: I don't know if I can bet the Titans with

960
00:47:32,160 --> 00:47:33,040
Speaker 3: all other injuries.

961
00:47:32,880 --> 00:47:35,399
Speaker 1: Cam Wore saying we might be banged up. Something's out

962
00:47:35,440 --> 00:47:36,960
Speaker 1: right with him and I think he's uh, he's on

963
00:47:37,040 --> 00:47:38,200
Speaker 1: an injury report again.

964
00:47:38,360 --> 00:47:40,360
Speaker 3: Cam Wore popped up today, are you worry about that

965
00:47:40,440 --> 00:47:40,680
Speaker 3: at all?

966
00:47:41,960 --> 00:47:44,600
Speaker 1: I mean at this point, I don't like, is he

967
00:47:44,680 --> 00:47:47,839
Speaker 1: really gonna be like from a point perspective, that big

968
00:47:47,880 --> 00:47:50,000
Speaker 1: of ah.

969
00:47:49,280 --> 00:47:52,280
Speaker 3: At least move though against the Texans pass rush.

970
00:47:52,200 --> 00:47:55,319
Speaker 1: And he's still he's still like last and sacks, Yeah,

971
00:47:55,400 --> 00:47:56,200
Speaker 1: isn't he? I know?

972
00:47:56,360 --> 00:47:57,920
Speaker 3: But what both Brandon Allen? How many times do you

973
00:47:57,960 --> 00:47:58,680
Speaker 3: think he's gonna.

974
00:47:58,480 --> 00:48:01,279
Speaker 1: Be sacked enough to just get like two fumbles and

975
00:48:01,320 --> 00:48:04,719
Speaker 1: two pick six? I mean, yeah, no the Titans. I'm

976
00:48:04,719 --> 00:48:07,440
Speaker 1: a lot more concerned obviously about Ward. But bro, like

977
00:48:07,560 --> 00:48:10,200
Speaker 1: this is already a bottom of the barrel total for

978
00:48:10,280 --> 00:48:13,480
Speaker 1: the Titans as it is, Like, I'm not it's so bad.

979
00:48:13,520 --> 00:48:15,520
Speaker 3: It's incredible, like the field goals that the lay a game,

980
00:48:15,640 --> 00:48:18,239
Speaker 3: like every half he costs his It's it's incredible. So

981
00:48:18,280 --> 00:48:20,080
Speaker 3: you'll probably get some free points from Caln and costing

982
00:48:20,120 --> 00:48:27,480
Speaker 3: his team. So all right, Titans over and Lions Browns under?

983
00:48:28,239 --> 00:48:30,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, what can go wrong? All right, let's get to

984
00:48:30,760 --> 00:48:38,839
Speaker 1: our money line underdog parlay. Turning good weekends in two

985
00:48:39,040 --> 00:48:43,880
Speaker 1: great weekends, it's time for the money line parlay. What

986
00:48:44,040 --> 00:48:45,680
Speaker 1: do we have last week? I think I had I

987
00:48:45,760 --> 00:48:48,160
Speaker 1: had the Rams in that last week, so that was terrible.

988
00:48:48,280 --> 00:48:50,200
Speaker 3: And then who'd you have had the Bears?

989
00:48:50,440 --> 00:48:53,120
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, okay, so you hit so uh yeah, that's

990
00:48:53,160 --> 00:48:56,560
Speaker 1: that's on me. But try to get it. Try to

991
00:48:56,560 --> 00:48:57,239
Speaker 1: get it right this week.

992
00:48:57,280 --> 00:49:01,920
Speaker 3: Where you're going, I'm gonna go with the Jags? Are

993
00:49:01,960 --> 00:49:04,759
Speaker 3: you talking about uncertain Ye? With the quarterback too. It

994
00:49:04,800 --> 00:49:06,480
Speaker 3: does look like Piercell should be good to go. But

995
00:49:06,920 --> 00:49:09,760
Speaker 3: all the other injuries I mentioned are definitely concerning Bosa.

996
00:49:10,239 --> 00:49:13,439
Speaker 3: That's huge. Like their defense is like Stars and Scrubs unit,

997
00:49:13,480 --> 00:49:16,680
Speaker 3: and that's gonna have a trickle down effect. I like

998
00:49:16,760 --> 00:49:19,400
Speaker 3: what I'm seeing from this Jags team, like just do

999
00:49:19,640 --> 00:49:22,239
Speaker 3: the things that your coaches are so improved on both

1000
00:49:22,280 --> 00:49:25,719
Speaker 3: sides of the ball schematically, So yeah, I think this

1001
00:49:25,920 --> 00:49:27,799
Speaker 3: is this will be a coin flip game.

1002
00:49:29,440 --> 00:49:32,839
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's just I think the injuries are a real

1003
00:49:32,920 --> 00:49:35,279
Speaker 1: issue for San Francisco and this We're only three weeks

1004
00:49:35,280 --> 00:49:39,240
Speaker 1: in and they haven't really played anybody, So it's possible

1005
00:49:39,280 --> 00:49:41,399
Speaker 1: that you thought, like the Jags are the better team,

1006
00:49:41,480 --> 00:49:43,480
Speaker 1: but the Jags haven't played anyone, so we don't really know.

1007
00:49:43,920 --> 00:49:46,600
Speaker 1: So yeah, like like like taking the dog on the

1008
00:49:46,640 --> 00:49:49,120
Speaker 1: money line there as well, I'm gonna go with the

1009
00:49:49,200 --> 00:49:53,480
Speaker 1: Tampa Bay Bucks plus one sixty and normally I would

1010
00:49:53,480 --> 00:49:54,680
Speaker 1: be fading the Bucks in this spot.

1011
00:49:55,120 --> 00:49:57,680
Speaker 3: Well, this is the Luck Bowl, too, luckiest team top.

1012
00:49:57,600 --> 00:49:59,880
Speaker 1: Two teams in luck and the Eagles are about to

1013
00:50:00,000 --> 00:50:03,160
Speaker 1: two percent luckier somehow. And that's why I wanted.

1014
00:50:02,960 --> 00:50:04,960
Speaker 3: To the first team to ever the first team I

1015
00:50:05,000 --> 00:50:08,719
Speaker 3: have always tre to win their first three games on

1016
00:50:08,840 --> 00:50:12,960
Speaker 3: last minute drives, and the Eagles are still luckier. Unbelievable.

1017
00:50:13,000 --> 00:50:15,719
Speaker 3: There like zero to five vetting against these teams this year.

1018
00:50:15,800 --> 00:50:19,239
Speaker 1: I wrote up last week I talked about how we

1019
00:50:19,440 --> 00:50:23,080
Speaker 1: just don't know exactly where the new normal was for

1020
00:50:23,120 --> 00:50:25,000
Speaker 1: the Eagles, right like we knew we knew there was

1021
00:50:25,040 --> 00:50:28,160
Speaker 1: gonna be a downtick in in their production just because

1022
00:50:28,200 --> 00:50:30,759
Speaker 1: of the you know, some of the Kellen Moore, even

1023
00:50:30,960 --> 00:50:34,000
Speaker 1: the exodus of talent on defense. Uh, you know Catuio

1024
00:50:34,239 --> 00:50:39,680
Speaker 1: coming in just right right then, a lot of different things. Man,

1025
00:50:39,800 --> 00:50:41,759
Speaker 1: just you know, could be a hangover, first time they've

1026
00:50:41,800 --> 00:50:44,160
Speaker 1: won a Super Bowl, So you just didn't know where

1027
00:50:44,760 --> 00:50:47,120
Speaker 1: the floor truly was because we were two weeks in.

1028
00:50:47,200 --> 00:50:49,920
Speaker 1: He didn't want to overreact, but thought the Rams are

1029
00:50:50,640 --> 00:50:52,800
Speaker 1: more so, thought the Eagles were a good fade. And

1030
00:50:53,440 --> 00:50:55,719
Speaker 1: you know, sure enough, they come out and just do

1031
00:50:56,280 --> 00:51:00,759
Speaker 1: absolutely nothing on offense, uh for half the game, end

1032
00:51:00,880 --> 00:51:02,759
Speaker 1: up going down twenty six to seven, and then you

1033
00:51:02,840 --> 00:51:04,680
Speaker 1: know the Rams kind of do it. Some of these

1034
00:51:04,960 --> 00:51:08,360
Speaker 1: teams just again, see some of these like these debates,

1035
00:51:08,440 --> 00:51:08,920
Speaker 1: I don't.

1036
00:51:08,719 --> 00:51:11,319
Speaker 3: Even want to call they can't manage every coach. But yeah,

1037
00:51:11,880 --> 00:51:14,200
Speaker 3: he's he's so good at everything else, he cannot manage

1038
00:51:14,239 --> 00:51:17,239
Speaker 3: a game. But everyone's saying the Eagles pass game is

1039
00:51:17,280 --> 00:51:21,480
Speaker 3: like magically fixed. Like no, it was the same like

1040
00:51:21,880 --> 00:51:23,360
Speaker 3: two routes to a J.

1041
00:51:23,520 --> 00:51:25,279
Speaker 2: Brown who was like pushing off on half of them

1042
00:51:26,000 --> 00:51:28,359
Speaker 2: against a Manual Forbes who has no chance.

1043
00:51:28,440 --> 00:51:31,720
Speaker 3: But like there was there was no there's still nothing.

1044
00:51:31,840 --> 00:51:34,320
Speaker 3: There's no creativity, no juice. They're playing from behind, just

1045
00:51:34,400 --> 00:51:36,000
Speaker 3: like throwing it up to a J. Brown like that

1046
00:51:36,719 --> 00:51:38,239
Speaker 3: this is still broken and are they going to do that.

1047
00:51:38,320 --> 00:51:40,440
Speaker 3: You can't run on the Bucks, you can't. They can

1048
00:51:40,520 --> 00:51:43,520
Speaker 3: out and try to run. They're in trouble, and so.

1049
00:51:43,560 --> 00:51:47,000
Speaker 1: They essentially what they do is they make the Bucks

1050
00:51:48,280 --> 00:51:51,719
Speaker 1: make Jalen Hurts usually try to beat the Blitz, and uh,

1051
00:51:51,880 --> 00:51:54,279
Speaker 1: they've been pretty successful. I do it. At these last years,

1052
00:51:54,320 --> 00:51:57,320
Speaker 1: they've always given given the Eagles fits and uh, I

1053
00:51:57,360 --> 00:52:01,640
Speaker 1: think what was it last year Eagles went? Uh, yeah,

1054
00:52:01,680 --> 00:52:04,439
Speaker 1: the Eagles they winning to Sampa Bay and watch thirty

1055
00:52:04,440 --> 00:52:08,160
Speaker 1: three to sixteen, and then in the playoffs remember the

1056
00:52:08,239 --> 00:52:10,839
Speaker 1: year before. But also now I think they're a little

1057
00:52:10,840 --> 00:52:12,719
Speaker 1: bit in the Eagles heads because the Eagles are going

1058
00:52:12,760 --> 00:52:15,400
Speaker 1: out there early in the week because of the community

1059
00:52:17,719 --> 00:52:20,600
Speaker 1: in September, folks like that. Shit, let's not get crazy here.

1060
00:52:20,880 --> 00:52:22,279
Speaker 1: I just think I think they're in their heads a

1061
00:52:22,280 --> 00:52:23,560
Speaker 1: little bit. This is a team that they just haven't

1062
00:52:23,600 --> 00:52:25,920
Speaker 1: been able to beat for some reason. And uh, I

1063
00:52:26,000 --> 00:52:27,600
Speaker 1: mean we know the reason, because they make.

1064
00:52:27,520 --> 00:52:28,120
Speaker 3: It tough to run.

1065
00:52:28,160 --> 00:52:32,080
Speaker 1: But also the key too is that, yeah, the Bucks

1066
00:52:32,120 --> 00:52:35,239
Speaker 1: are extremely banged up. Uh, but Eagles, I mean, Wayne

1067
00:52:35,320 --> 00:52:37,960
Speaker 1: Johnson he's he's a little I mean he said he's

1068
00:52:38,000 --> 00:52:39,920
Speaker 1: gonna play but you never know. It's like a net

1069
00:52:40,880 --> 00:52:43,480
Speaker 1: issue if they have to, if they have to go

1070
00:52:43,560 --> 00:52:46,360
Speaker 1: out there, they're in hot weather. Uh, they're throwing the

1071
00:52:46,400 --> 00:52:48,440
Speaker 1: ball around like they're not getting the explosives in a

1072
00:52:48,520 --> 00:52:52,880
Speaker 1: run game. This Eagles offense, I mean it could be.

1073
00:52:53,640 --> 00:52:55,200
Speaker 1: It could be a lot more broken than we think

1074
00:52:55,239 --> 00:52:58,680
Speaker 1: because you're playing down twenty six to seven is just

1075
00:52:58,719 --> 00:53:01,680
Speaker 1: a whole different type of Uh, you're playing different type

1076
00:53:01,680 --> 00:53:03,879
Speaker 1: of coverages. Then you're gonna play against a Bucks team

1077
00:53:03,920 --> 00:53:06,400
Speaker 1: that now has a week to prepare. The Bucks, you know,

1078
00:53:06,520 --> 00:53:09,080
Speaker 1: maybe they have good they could do some things on offense.

1079
00:53:09,120 --> 00:53:11,360
Speaker 1: Maybe they end up being the team that you know

1080
00:53:11,520 --> 00:53:14,160
Speaker 1: and keeps it away from the Eagles. Baker Racer's always

1081
00:53:14,160 --> 00:53:17,239
Speaker 1: extending plays just like Hurts does. Even you know, they

1082
00:53:17,280 --> 00:53:19,239
Speaker 1: haven't been calling design runs for Hurts. Do they kind

1083
00:53:19,280 --> 00:53:21,520
Speaker 1: of do that here and kind of you know, like

1084
00:53:21,640 --> 00:53:24,120
Speaker 1: is that something they do Either way? I don't think

1085
00:53:24,200 --> 00:53:27,160
Speaker 1: that gives them margin. And we know Baker's good for

1086
00:53:27,480 --> 00:53:29,640
Speaker 1: a late drive someone one way or another. Like he's

1087
00:53:29,640 --> 00:53:32,960
Speaker 1: gonna throw some picks probably in this spot. But uh, yeah,

1088
00:53:33,000 --> 00:53:37,239
Speaker 1: I think Abuka is a star and Bucky Irring is

1089
00:53:37,320 --> 00:53:40,640
Speaker 1: a star and Bark Wee just doesn't look as explosive.

1090
00:53:40,880 --> 00:53:43,080
Speaker 1: They haven't been blocking it up as well. Hurts doesn't

1091
00:53:43,080 --> 00:53:47,239
Speaker 1: look as explosive. Brown doesn't look as explosive, you know.

1092
00:53:47,400 --> 00:53:49,840
Speaker 1: So Yeah, I want to buy low on the I

1093
00:53:49,920 --> 00:53:52,279
Speaker 1: might play the spread to in this one, just gotta

1094
00:53:52,280 --> 00:53:54,920
Speaker 1: see more of the injuries. But I just can't. I

1095
00:53:55,000 --> 00:53:58,960
Speaker 1: think they the but but that's what I but, like,

1096
00:53:59,040 --> 00:54:01,040
Speaker 1: I don't think that we really think the Eagles are

1097
00:54:01,360 --> 00:54:03,840
Speaker 1: what five points better than the Bucks right now? Like,

1098
00:54:03,920 --> 00:54:04,879
Speaker 1: I just think they're going problem.

1099
00:54:04,920 --> 00:54:06,800
Speaker 3: My problem is, I don't mind using this as a

1100
00:54:06,840 --> 00:54:10,479
Speaker 3: moneyline dog. There's a lot of uncertainty. Worf's playing would

1101
00:54:10,520 --> 00:54:14,040
Speaker 3: be enormous because if they're they're not going to know

1102
00:54:14,080 --> 00:54:15,280
Speaker 3: to the end of the week on him and Godwin

1103
00:54:15,320 --> 00:54:17,640
Speaker 3: because Evans is out if him and Godwin come back.

1104
00:54:17,719 --> 00:54:20,600
Speaker 3: It's so big because Gadeki and Malker already on ir

1105
00:54:21,239 --> 00:54:25,160
Speaker 3: If and that O line was a disaster last week

1106
00:54:25,160 --> 00:54:27,239
Speaker 3: against the Jets, and the Eagles are much better front.

1107
00:54:27,560 --> 00:54:30,239
Speaker 3: Even though it's down, they couldn't block them. If the

1108
00:54:30,320 --> 00:54:32,400
Speaker 3: refs wanted to, they could have called twenty five holes,

1109
00:54:32,640 --> 00:54:34,040
Speaker 3: but there's only so many holes you can call it.

1110
00:54:34,080 --> 00:54:37,080
Speaker 3: I think they're called like six holes in the first quarter. Yep, yep,

1111
00:54:37,680 --> 00:54:40,040
Speaker 3: they couldn't block them. So but if you get worse Back,

1112
00:54:40,360 --> 00:54:42,080
Speaker 3: one of the best left tackles, if not the best

1113
00:54:42,160 --> 00:54:43,759
Speaker 3: in the NFL, then you can move Barton back to

1114
00:54:43,880 --> 00:54:47,719
Speaker 3: center and then it's like a lot more slidified. But

1115
00:54:47,800 --> 00:54:50,000
Speaker 3: if you don't have works back, you have five guys

1116
00:54:50,320 --> 00:54:53,239
Speaker 3: basically a new position like it's bad. And then if

1117
00:54:53,239 --> 00:54:55,760
Speaker 3: you don't have Godwin, there's more attention on it Buca

1118
00:54:56,120 --> 00:54:58,560
Speaker 3: because there's no Evans, so it makes it a little dicier.

1119
00:54:59,080 --> 00:55:00,839
Speaker 3: One thing to keep in mind, I know this might

1120
00:55:01,160 --> 00:55:04,840
Speaker 3: this will help you, maybe this week, the Toush push penalty.

1121
00:55:05,440 --> 00:55:08,160
Speaker 3: It happens every time. Maybe they call cost them four points,

1122
00:55:08,239 --> 00:55:11,520
Speaker 3: cost them a drive, and you got Metavea, and I

1123
00:55:11,560 --> 00:55:14,560
Speaker 3: think they're gonna bring up Desbon Watson. I cannot wait

1124
00:55:14,640 --> 00:55:16,760
Speaker 3: to watch this, the Toush push stopper. He's four hundred

1125
00:55:16,760 --> 00:55:19,440
Speaker 3: and sixty pounds. I assume he's gonna go in there.

1126
00:55:20,360 --> 00:55:22,400
Speaker 3: Maybe the Eagles will like go hurry up to do it.

1127
00:55:22,960 --> 00:55:25,839
Speaker 3: I can't wait for that dynamic, like knowing that they

1128
00:55:25,920 --> 00:55:29,520
Speaker 3: might bring him in so they can't sub I don't know,

1129
00:55:29,880 --> 00:55:32,120
Speaker 3: but that this is that'll be fun to watch.

1130
00:55:32,800 --> 00:55:34,239
Speaker 1: I just think this is one of those games where

1131
00:55:34,280 --> 00:55:37,040
Speaker 1: the Bucks like, yeah, the Bucks have been lucky too,

1132
00:55:37,120 --> 00:55:38,680
Speaker 1: but I just think they can This is one of

1133
00:55:38,680 --> 00:55:39,759
Speaker 1: those games whe they can kind of get in the

1134
00:55:39,800 --> 00:55:42,720
Speaker 1: Eagles heads a little bit, just because of the history

1135
00:55:43,040 --> 00:55:44,440
Speaker 1: and then of the fact that like, what are they

1136
00:55:44,680 --> 00:55:44,920
Speaker 1: doing this?

1137
00:55:44,960 --> 00:55:45,520
Speaker 3: Fuck did they say?

1138
00:55:45,520 --> 00:55:48,080
Speaker 1: Okay, you know they have a great run defense even

1139
00:55:48,120 --> 00:55:50,000
Speaker 1: with the toush push, like, you know, should we just

1140
00:55:50,040 --> 00:55:52,160
Speaker 1: come out throwing from the jump? But if they that's

1141
00:55:52,200 --> 00:55:55,000
Speaker 1: going completely you know, an tie what they've been doing

1142
00:55:55,040 --> 00:55:56,600
Speaker 1: most of the time, and they get into troubles when

1143
00:55:56,600 --> 00:55:58,520
Speaker 1: they do that. So yeah, I just I just like

1144
00:55:58,640 --> 00:56:02,560
Speaker 1: the variant, the potential, like for variants here. But yeah,

1145
00:56:02,719 --> 00:56:04,200
Speaker 1: that will be a good matchup. I think the Bucks

1146
00:56:04,239 --> 00:56:06,680
Speaker 1: are well equipped to stop the Eagles in weighs that

1147
00:56:06,719 --> 00:56:09,120
Speaker 1: a lot other teams aren't. Jags plus one fifty five

1148
00:56:10,000 --> 00:56:13,040
Speaker 1: at DK and the Bucks at plus one sixty, So

1149
00:56:13,160 --> 00:56:17,640
Speaker 1: you got these two South Florida teams. Par Lady gets

1150
00:56:17,800 --> 00:56:20,760
Speaker 1: plus five sixty. It's a nice one there. What's closed

1151
00:56:20,800 --> 00:56:25,200
Speaker 1: out with our anytime touchdown paraway? Yeah, I had a

1152
00:56:25,320 --> 00:56:29,000
Speaker 1: Kareem hunt last Week's a nice one there. I played that, Well,

1153
00:56:29,040 --> 00:56:29,759
Speaker 1: where are you going this week?

1154
00:56:30,520 --> 00:56:33,080
Speaker 3: Give me Packers Cowboys? I kind of lean over. I

1155
00:56:33,080 --> 00:56:34,399
Speaker 3: think there's gonna be some point like I don't see

1156
00:56:34,400 --> 00:56:36,239
Speaker 3: how the Cowboys get any stops. I don't think they're

1157
00:56:36,239 --> 00:56:38,040
Speaker 3: gonna able to run the ball. They're gonna have to

1158
00:56:38,120 --> 00:56:42,040
Speaker 3: chuck it around. There's no CD Lamb, so who can

1159
00:56:42,440 --> 00:56:46,120
Speaker 3: potentially take those targets? Who could get in garbage times?

1160
00:56:46,239 --> 00:56:48,080
Speaker 3: I think the cabin's gonna be playing from behind passing

1161
00:56:48,160 --> 00:56:52,160
Speaker 3: game script. I think it's Turpin, and you could get

1162
00:56:52,160 --> 00:56:53,840
Speaker 3: one on special teams too, So give me Turpin.

1163
00:56:54,360 --> 00:56:56,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, he's plus three sixty, and I you know, he

1164
00:56:56,560 --> 00:56:59,680
Speaker 1: already saw an uptick in routes last week with Lamb

1165
00:56:59,719 --> 00:57:01,799
Speaker 1: out and he usually they were already getting him more

1166
00:57:01,840 --> 00:57:03,840
Speaker 1: involved on the offensive side of the ball, So I

1167
00:57:04,000 --> 00:57:06,960
Speaker 1: like I like that he's probably gonna play, you know,

1168
00:57:07,160 --> 00:57:09,359
Speaker 1: over half the snaps on offense, and he's too good

1169
00:57:09,440 --> 00:57:13,239
Speaker 1: to really take off the off the returns, I would think, So, yeah,

1170
00:57:13,280 --> 00:57:15,120
Speaker 1: he's gonna get He's gonna get a lot of opportunities.

1171
00:57:15,160 --> 00:57:16,720
Speaker 1: So like that. I'm not actually gonna stay that game

1172
00:57:17,280 --> 00:57:20,120
Speaker 1: and go with the Matthew Golden at plus two ten.

1173
00:57:21,320 --> 00:57:23,800
Speaker 1: This guy with all I don't know how the Packers

1174
00:57:23,920 --> 00:57:26,760
Speaker 1: just every year they find themselves like all the receivers

1175
00:57:26,800 --> 00:57:29,600
Speaker 1: get hurt. And so you know, Golden, he's essentially a

1176
00:57:29,680 --> 00:57:33,000
Speaker 1: full time receiver now right along with Dobbs. It's Golden, Dobbs, Wicks,

1177
00:57:33,120 --> 00:57:36,520
Speaker 1: and Golden's the number two receiver. And he was one

1178
00:57:36,560 --> 00:57:39,880
Speaker 1: of the three Packers to run more to leave the

1179
00:57:39,920 --> 00:57:42,080
Speaker 1: team and routes running the red zone last week. So

1180
00:57:42,520 --> 00:57:45,560
Speaker 1: not just the deep ball guy, but they're looking to

1181
00:57:45,600 --> 00:57:47,440
Speaker 1: try to get him going deep and they've just missed

1182
00:57:47,440 --> 00:57:50,560
Speaker 1: a couple of times. But you know, we saw this

1183
00:57:50,840 --> 00:57:53,400
Speaker 1: cowboy team even though they sit back and play zone

1184
00:57:53,480 --> 00:57:56,680
Speaker 1: and don't witch a lot, they you can still with

1185
00:57:56,800 --> 00:57:59,480
Speaker 1: a fast receiver just run right through this secondary. We

1186
00:57:59,600 --> 00:58:02,120
Speaker 1: saw it's uh Todial Robinson.

1187
00:58:02,400 --> 00:58:04,920
Speaker 3: And they might have corner injuries too.

1188
00:58:05,200 --> 00:58:08,640
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, always, So I think this is this is

1189
00:58:08,760 --> 00:58:11,080
Speaker 1: the U, this is the spot for Golden. Here they've

1190
00:58:11,080 --> 00:58:13,560
Speaker 1: been they've been trying, they've been trying, and after that

1191
00:58:13,760 --> 00:58:17,280
Speaker 1: just hideous offensive showing last week, they're gonna He's probably

1192
00:58:17,280 --> 00:58:19,040
Speaker 1: gonna get one. And I would I also don't mind

1193
00:58:19,320 --> 00:58:21,280
Speaker 1: going back to Jacobs. I believe he scored eighth straight

1194
00:58:21,360 --> 00:58:24,480
Speaker 1: before the Brown stonewalled him and they end up going

1195
00:58:24,520 --> 00:58:27,120
Speaker 1: to the tight end, the third string tight end, So

1196
00:58:28,080 --> 00:58:30,280
Speaker 1: I wouldn't I wouldn't even mind parlaying Jacobs as the

1197
00:58:30,320 --> 00:58:32,960
Speaker 1: third leg as well. But officially we'll go with a

1198
00:58:33,080 --> 00:58:36,680
Speaker 1: turpet at plus three sixty golden plus two ten and

1199
00:58:36,760 --> 00:58:41,800
Speaker 1: that already gives you plus thirteen twenty five. So nice

1200
00:58:41,920 --> 00:58:53,400
Speaker 1: juicy anytime touchdown part Way Survivor the Survivor Pool Pick

1201
00:58:53,560 --> 00:58:58,280
Speaker 1: of the Week. Man, I almost took the Packers last week.

1202
00:58:58,280 --> 00:58:59,640
Speaker 1: I think at the last second, I was like, I know,

1203
00:58:59,720 --> 00:59:01,960
Speaker 1: you know, I'm want to go Buffalo. Uh and they

1204
00:59:02,000 --> 00:59:06,320
Speaker 1: almost lost two. But uh who week four, I would

1205
00:59:06,480 --> 00:59:09,840
Speaker 1: I think, yeah, I would go so used Buffalo last week. Uh,

1206
00:59:10,360 --> 00:59:12,520
Speaker 1: you know, just because I felt like they were a

1207
00:59:12,520 --> 00:59:18,360
Speaker 1: little higher floor than in the Packers. No no, no, no, no, no,

1208
00:59:18,800 --> 00:59:20,880
Speaker 1: no new. I think this would be the week to

1209
00:59:21,080 --> 00:59:23,280
Speaker 1: just to go with the Lions and then you know,

1210
00:59:23,440 --> 00:59:25,320
Speaker 1: to just kind of get the VALI. I mean, they

1211
00:59:25,320 --> 00:59:27,640
Speaker 1: don't have an easy schedule down to stretch either, because

1212
00:59:27,640 --> 00:59:29,600
Speaker 1: remember that's why we kind of were well on them.

1213
00:59:30,240 --> 00:59:32,440
Speaker 1: Uh this season, you know, the schedule is a lot tovered.

1214
00:59:32,800 --> 00:59:34,440
Speaker 1: Uh so I think I want to go Lions here

1215
00:59:34,920 --> 00:59:38,120
Speaker 1: and then hopefully we see it enough out of Dart

1216
00:59:38,760 --> 00:59:40,480
Speaker 1: next week, because I think the Giants play the Saints

1217
00:59:40,520 --> 00:59:43,280
Speaker 1: in Week five New Orleans, but that you know that

1218
00:59:43,440 --> 00:59:46,240
Speaker 1: that's we can kind of steal one with the Giants there.

1219
00:59:46,240 --> 00:59:48,400
Speaker 1: I think they always end up winning those kind of games.

1220
00:59:49,040 --> 00:59:50,640
Speaker 1: That would be great. So yeah, I just want to

1221
00:59:50,680 --> 00:59:52,120
Speaker 1: get to Week five and see what I can do.

1222
00:59:52,840 --> 00:59:55,480
Speaker 1: Uh So, and if if everyone else is going with Giants,

1223
00:59:55,520 --> 00:59:57,640
Speaker 1: then you know they'd be a great fad. So either way,

1224
00:59:57,960 --> 00:59:59,320
Speaker 1: I want to I want to play it safe. I

1225
00:59:59,400 --> 01:00:02,320
Speaker 1: think maybe hopefully some people will be off the Lions

1226
01:00:02,400 --> 01:00:04,840
Speaker 1: just because it's because the Browns pulled up st last

1227
01:00:04,840 --> 01:00:08,680
Speaker 1: week against an NFC Norths team, but uh yeah, in Detroit,

1228
01:00:09,240 --> 01:00:10,760
Speaker 1: I don't. I don't see it happening. I don't see

1229
01:00:10,800 --> 01:00:12,800
Speaker 1: them striking twice in a row. So yeah, give me,

1230
01:00:13,120 --> 01:00:16,480
Speaker 1: We're just gonna go hopefully safe with uh with with

1231
01:00:16,640 --> 01:00:17,760
Speaker 1: the Lions here all right.

1232
01:00:17,800 --> 01:00:19,560
Speaker 3: By the way, two games you didn't cover, I'll give

1233
01:00:19,600 --> 01:00:23,240
Speaker 3: my one a minute pitch because I gotta cover Ravens Chiefs.

1234
01:00:23,560 --> 01:00:23,880
Speaker 1: I can't.

1235
01:00:24,280 --> 01:00:27,000
Speaker 3: I can't bet the Ravens here. They need likely back

1236
01:00:27,040 --> 01:00:30,360
Speaker 3: on offense. That's how they create all their mismatches and recard.

1237
01:00:30,960 --> 01:00:32,400
Speaker 3: I don't know if they're gonna get them back, and

1238
01:00:32,480 --> 01:00:34,520
Speaker 3: it's a short week at their Monday night game. Their

1239
01:00:34,560 --> 01:00:36,360
Speaker 3: guards have been a disaster. Rose and Garden has been

1240
01:00:36,360 --> 01:00:40,080
Speaker 3: a disaster. Henry won't stop fumbling. Their offense is still

1241
01:00:40,080 --> 01:00:41,600
Speaker 3: gonna be fine. I mean, they're still scoring like the

1242
01:00:41,640 --> 01:00:43,160
Speaker 3: most points in the league, but it's still not the

1243
01:00:43,240 --> 01:00:47,040
Speaker 3: same offense, and they need those guys back. More importantly,

1244
01:00:47,040 --> 01:00:50,360
Speaker 3: the defense is a mess. Their entire starting defensive line

1245
01:00:50,440 --> 01:00:54,240
Speaker 3: might be out for this game. They all didn't practice Jones, Washington,

1246
01:00:54,280 --> 01:00:57,240
Speaker 3: Matabuque today. They were all banged up. Jones didn't play

1247
01:00:57,400 --> 01:00:59,280
Speaker 3: like it was hurting the second half. Matabukee didn't play.

1248
01:00:59,320 --> 01:01:02,800
Speaker 3: They're allowing two yards more per carry when matabuke is

1249
01:01:02,880 --> 01:01:05,760
Speaker 3: off the field. That was before the chief Well doesn't matter.

1250
01:01:05,960 --> 01:01:07,120
Speaker 1: That doesn't matter with the Chiefs.

1251
01:01:07,600 --> 01:01:10,920
Speaker 3: Yes, they can't run it, but all the guys that

1252
01:01:11,000 --> 01:01:13,840
Speaker 3: are in their run offense is Mahomes like Wames is

1253
01:01:13,840 --> 01:01:15,960
Speaker 3: like tenth in EPA per quarterback, and that's all. It's

1254
01:01:15,960 --> 01:01:19,040
Speaker 3: all like scrambling will Worthy play. I don't know, that's

1255
01:01:19,320 --> 01:01:22,040
Speaker 3: kind of big, but all the so then they don't

1256
01:01:22,080 --> 01:01:24,360
Speaker 3: have van Neui either. The Ravens can't generate any pressure

1257
01:01:24,360 --> 01:01:26,080
Speaker 3: because all their rookies that they're counting on are playing

1258
01:01:26,120 --> 01:01:28,920
Speaker 3: really bad, and all their depth and depth y line

1259
01:01:28,960 --> 01:01:32,080
Speaker 3: pieces are playing bad, like Mike Green is still not ready,

1260
01:01:32,200 --> 01:01:34,920
Speaker 3: Starks is not playing well, Teddy Buchanan linebacker. They're all

1261
01:01:35,000 --> 01:01:38,400
Speaker 3: not playing well. So I can't really trust his defense.

1262
01:01:38,440 --> 01:01:39,520
Speaker 3: Do I trust the Chiefs offense?

1263
01:01:39,680 --> 01:01:39,720
Speaker 2: No?

1264
01:01:40,080 --> 01:01:42,280
Speaker 3: I mean Mahomes, it's crazy. He had a from two

1265
01:01:42,280 --> 01:01:43,800
Speaker 3: thousand and eight to twenty twenty two, he had a

1266
01:01:43,840 --> 01:01:46,440
Speaker 3: two to one big time throw to turnover worthy play rate.

1267
01:01:46,520 --> 01:01:50,000
Speaker 3: This from two thousand and three. This year, it's one

1268
01:01:50,080 --> 01:01:52,600
Speaker 3: point two. That's the rate. Last week he had four

1269
01:01:52,600 --> 01:01:54,640
Speaker 3: turnover Where he plays, he throw, he's throwing even making

1270
01:01:54,680 --> 01:01:57,800
Speaker 3: like rookie throws. His A dot is back up over nine.

1271
01:01:58,040 --> 01:02:00,000
Speaker 3: It's been six point nine and seven the past two years.

1272
01:02:00,640 --> 01:02:03,400
Speaker 3: But his yards per attempt career low six point four,

1273
01:02:04,280 --> 01:02:06,960
Speaker 3: completion percentage fifty nine percent. That's a career low byo

1274
01:02:07,040 --> 01:02:09,640
Speaker 3: a mile. He was like sixty for sixty seven percent

1275
01:02:09,680 --> 01:02:13,120
Speaker 3: the last two years. So I can't bet it.

1276
01:02:13,280 --> 01:02:17,320
Speaker 2: Two desperate teams you're gonna get everything they got to

1277
01:02:17,480 --> 01:02:19,480
Speaker 2: avoid fall into one and three basically get eliminated from

1278
01:02:19,480 --> 01:02:19,880
Speaker 2: the one seed.

1279
01:02:20,240 --> 01:02:23,520
Speaker 3: Can't bet it, so yeah, and then Rams Colts. I

1280
01:02:23,560 --> 01:02:25,120
Speaker 3: don't know. I mean, I'd probably played the Rams if

1281
01:02:25,160 --> 01:02:27,800
Speaker 3: it gets so flat three. The Colts have looked really good,

1282
01:02:27,960 --> 01:02:29,480
Speaker 3: but two of their games have been against the Titans,

1283
01:02:29,480 --> 01:02:31,920
Speaker 3: who were all beat up, and then the Dolphins. But

1284
01:02:32,080 --> 01:02:34,520
Speaker 3: they did do well against the the Broncos defense. They

1285
01:02:34,600 --> 01:02:36,240
Speaker 3: do look the part. Every year there's one team that,

1286
01:02:36,360 --> 01:02:38,360
Speaker 3: like I can't catch up to, so I might just

1287
01:02:38,440 --> 01:02:39,200
Speaker 3: want to see more.

1288
01:02:40,880 --> 01:02:42,760
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think the Colts are three and a half, probably,

1289
01:02:42,960 --> 01:02:44,840
Speaker 1: but it just depends on what the if you get

1290
01:02:44,880 --> 01:02:45,280
Speaker 1: in the hook.

1291
01:02:45,640 --> 01:02:49,520
Speaker 3: Kenny Moore being out though hurts. Yeah, although its signed

1292
01:02:49,560 --> 01:02:52,760
Speaker 3: Hilton he should be Okay, more does a lot for them.

1293
01:02:54,040 --> 01:02:54,840
Speaker 3: I don't know. I don't know.

1294
01:02:55,320 --> 01:02:57,600
Speaker 1: I just think if you look at these two teams,

1295
01:02:58,320 --> 01:02:59,920
Speaker 1: the Rams, you know, the Rams are always in the

1296
01:03:00,120 --> 01:03:03,000
Speaker 1: one possession games. Anyway, it shouldn't have been last week,

1297
01:03:03,040 --> 01:03:06,480
Speaker 1: but you know they did the Rams flight the Texas

1298
01:03:06,480 --> 01:03:08,840
Speaker 1: and the Titans too, So we're sitting here like it's

1299
01:03:08,880 --> 01:03:11,520
Speaker 1: the same thing, Like, you know, they could just be horrible,

1300
01:03:11,600 --> 01:03:12,400
Speaker 1: but I know who.

1301
01:03:12,280 --> 01:03:15,080
Speaker 3: The rams are from last year, like this is new

1302
01:03:15,680 --> 01:03:17,240
Speaker 3: for the colts, like how much am I upgrading? And

1303
01:03:17,280 --> 01:03:18,640
Speaker 3: that's what I can't figure out. So it's a pass

1304
01:03:18,680 --> 01:03:20,640
Speaker 3: for me. I'd consider the rams of Flat three, but

1305
01:03:21,280 --> 01:03:23,400
Speaker 3: I don't know if I'm gonna get involved. So h

1306
01:03:23,640 --> 01:03:25,680
Speaker 3: all right, We'll stop rambling. That's that'll do it.

1307
01:03:26,560 --> 01:03:29,680
Speaker 1: That'll do it. Uh. Shout out to our sponsor DraftKings.

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