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Speaker 1: Hello, everybody, Welcome into the cycle, a brand new Fantasy

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Speaker 1: Pros Fantasy Baseball weekly podcast.

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Speaker 2: I am Ryan Warmley.

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Speaker 1: I am joined by Mike Mayer, who will be on

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Speaker 1: every show with me, and by Kelly Kirby, who will

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Speaker 1: be on many shows here and there throughout the year

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Speaker 1: filling in as a guest lending her expertise to the show.

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Speaker 1: You can find her at the Wonky Penguin on Twitter

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Speaker 1: if you're not following her already. Kelly, thank you so

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Speaker 1: much for coming on to the very first episode.

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Speaker 3: Thank you for having me. It's great to be here.

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Speaker 2: We are excited to have you.

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Speaker 1: Like I said, Kelly will be on throughout the season

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Speaker 1: very regularly, so we figured let's bring her on for

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Speaker 1: a large chunk.

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Speaker 2: Of the first episode.

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Speaker 1: We will also have Chris Welsh on a bit later

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Speaker 1: in the show to talk about some prospects. He will

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Speaker 1: also be a regular appearer on this show.

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Speaker 2: Mayor.

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Speaker 1: We did our preview episode last week. We are now

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Speaker 1: here for the real thing. We're recording just one day

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Speaker 1: before opening day.

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Speaker 2: How are you feeling, I'm feeling great.

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Speaker 4: Are we sure apeerer is a word? Can we look

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Speaker 4: that up?

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Speaker 1: Actually was pretty sure it's not, but I had already

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Speaker 1: committed to saying it when I started to say it.

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Speaker 1: So we're off to a really excellent start.

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Speaker 2: Do you want to mention it?

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Speaker 1: If you enjoy those sorts of diatribes or this content

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Speaker 1: in general.

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Speaker 2: The best freeway to show your support and encourage more.

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Speaker 1: Content like this is to leave a positive review at

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Speaker 1: fantasypros dot com slash MLB review. And also, if you

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Speaker 1: ever are leaving a review on any of our platforms

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Speaker 1: that you're listening to the show on, go ahead and

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Speaker 1: ask a question in there. Mayor and I will be

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Speaker 1: sure to answer it in next week's episode. That's gonna

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Speaker 1: be a great way to get your question on the show.

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Speaker 1: If you have question about trades or specific player, or

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Speaker 1: really anything fantasy baseball related, Mayor and I will be

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Speaker 1: happy to answer that if it appears in a review.

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Speaker 1: Guys will start things off with rounding the bases. We'll

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Speaker 1: hit on four major headlines here. There will be a

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Speaker 1: lot of weeks where we kind of own in on

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Speaker 1: one major headline and do a deep dive. There hasn't

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Speaker 1: been any baseball played outside of a couple of games

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Speaker 1: in Korea, so we figured let's just hit on a

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Speaker 1: bunch of different things here as we are, you know,

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Speaker 1: on the eve, the precipice of opening Day, we're gonna

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Speaker 1: start off with one of those performances from the Korea series.

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Speaker 1: That was Yamamoto, who I briefly mentioned in our preview

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Speaker 1: episode with may Or how I almost wanted to recommend

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Speaker 1: against drafting him where he was going, and then I

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Speaker 1: was afraid that he would have an excellent first start

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Speaker 1: and make me look bad before a first show even

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Speaker 1: came out.

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Speaker 2: Turns out I should have just stuck with my guns.

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Speaker 1: He pitched one inning, about four hits, had one walk,

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Speaker 1: five earned runs, did have two strikeouts. Mayor, what is

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Speaker 1: your concern level on Yamamoto after his first ever major

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Speaker 1: league start.

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Speaker 5: It's non zero, but I don't think it's high. But

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Speaker 5: you know, his spring training numbers are not great either.

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Speaker 5: His r's over eight in springtraining, and you know we

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Speaker 5: always talk about how like, you know, spring training stats

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Speaker 5: don't matter, but we all still look at them, and

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Speaker 5: so I would like that does come with fourteen strikeouts

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Speaker 5: against four walks, So it's they're not all terrible. So

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Speaker 5: I'm a little concerned, but I'm not like very concerned

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Speaker 5: because I did expect it would take.

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Speaker 4: Him a little a little while to get up and running.

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Speaker 5: And I was listening to the the CBS guys not

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Speaker 5: too long ago, and they made a really good point

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Speaker 5: about how last year Kodai Sanga actually skipped the World

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Speaker 5: Baseball Classic just to start pitching in spring training, to

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Speaker 5: get used to the American you know, the ball that

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Speaker 5: they use in Major League Baseball. And so I think

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Speaker 5: he's got a lot of things going on. You know,

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Speaker 5: it was his first appearance as a Dodger in a

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Speaker 5: real game. He wasn't even at Dodger Stadium. He was

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Speaker 5: in Korea, and I'm sure there was a lot of

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Speaker 5: things going on there. And you know, I think it's

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Speaker 5: going to take him a little bit of time to

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Speaker 5: get his feet under eath them. But I am still

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Speaker 5: confident that he's going to be.

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Speaker 4: A very good pitcher.

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Speaker 1: What do you think, Kelly, I mean, this is somebody

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Speaker 1: who was, by the end of draft season, was like

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Speaker 1: a top seven pitcher off the board, you know, top

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Speaker 1: three round pick in a lot of leagues. His ADP

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Speaker 1: on our Fantasy Pros consensus page was thirty fourth overall

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Speaker 1: pitcher number seven.

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Speaker 2: I mean this is a guy.

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Speaker 1: That play, you know, managers are relying on to be

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Speaker 1: nearly or an actual fantasy ace for them.

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Speaker 2: He certainly didn't look like that in his first start.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I was kind of confused about the ADP. I

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Speaker 3: thought it got too high, But then I also looked

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Speaker 3: at pitcher injuries, and by that point I think like

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Speaker 3: people who started in the hundreds probably ended up being

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Speaker 3: the SP ten. But I'm with Mayor. Unfortunately I don't

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Speaker 3: like to agree with him, but I am here. I

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Speaker 3: feel like there was so much offense in the in

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Speaker 3: those two games, and it's in create right like, so

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Speaker 3: there's so many factors that it's really hard to get

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Speaker 3: a feel for it for where he's going to be.

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Speaker 3: But yes, I also think the concern is higher than

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Speaker 3: zero that he I mean, I don't know if he'll

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Speaker 3: return that value this year.

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Speaker 1: But Kelly, did you find yourself like considering changing him

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Speaker 1: in your draft rankings after that? Or he's kind of

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Speaker 1: still wherever he was for you before, which I don't

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Speaker 1: know where that was.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't think I had him. I think I'm

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Speaker 3: a little lower on him to start with, but I'd

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Speaker 3: have to look at it for sure. But Yeah, I

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Speaker 3: consider dropping him, maybe just one or two, but again,

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Speaker 3: with the injuries, it's just a difficult. It's difficult to

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Speaker 3: know where to put him at this point.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, same question, Mary, what about you?

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Speaker 1: It looks like in our ECR he was you know,

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Speaker 1: forty two here overall, like I said, ADP is a

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Speaker 1: you know, about eight spots higher than that. Where did

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Speaker 1: you have him ranked and was that impacted at all

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Speaker 1: in terms of an actual draft ranking?

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Speaker 2: Based on that first.

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Speaker 5: Start, I had him as a top ten sp and

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Speaker 5: I think I still have him there. I may have

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Speaker 5: dropped him like one spot, but I didn't like actively like,

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Speaker 5: you know, go look to drop him after that start.

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Speaker 4: But you know, I did open my eyes a.

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Speaker 5: Little bit and try to hedge a little bit based

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Speaker 5: on that performance.

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Speaker 1: Yes, let's go to his teammate for our second headline here.

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Speaker 1: Not really a ton to spend on here, a ton

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Speaker 1: of time, but show he o toddy gambling. I don't

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Speaker 1: even know how to really describe what's going on. It's

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Speaker 1: a wild story. Obviously, everybody listening to the show is

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Speaker 1: probably very aware of what's gone with his interpreter, who was,

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Speaker 1: you know, reportedly stealing money from him. And using that

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Speaker 1: to make very you know, big gambling bets on a

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Speaker 1: litany of sports, including baseball.

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Speaker 2: I saw it.

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Speaker 1: It's similar to, you know, after all the stuff came

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Speaker 1: out with the Astros that you know a lot of

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Speaker 1: these YouTube accounts would go back and find old highlights

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Speaker 1: and be like, oh, look here, how like you know,

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Speaker 1: Altuve wouldn't let them take his jersey off, or you

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Speaker 1: can hear the trash can in these moments. I've seen

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Speaker 1: a couple of those similar types of stuff being put

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Speaker 1: together with Otani, like, oh, his interpreter had like a

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Speaker 1: million dollar bet placed in you know, an overseas account

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Speaker 1: on this day for the Braves to you know, cover

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Speaker 1: three and a half runs against the Dodgers or against

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Speaker 1: the Angels rather and oh look Otani gave up six

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Speaker 1: runs and pitched terribly and struck out twice. You know,

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Speaker 1: this stuff like that has started to come out as

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Speaker 1: these sort of internet salute I've been looking into it.

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Speaker 1: I mean, mayor what was your just like initial takeaway

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Speaker 1: to all this happening. Again, it's not really like baseball

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Speaker 1: relevant yet, but it just was such a major story

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Speaker 1: with the biggest player in the sport that I felt

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Speaker 1: like we had to at least address it.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I think it's fascinating.

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Speaker 5: I feel like I've also changed my mind on what

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Speaker 5: I think is the truth, like a dozen times already,

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Speaker 5: like over the last week since this came out. I

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Speaker 5: think the main thing so far that like you know,

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Speaker 5: originally Baseball said they didn't you know, they weren't even

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Speaker 5: investigating it, and then everyone's like, you have to, you

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Speaker 5: have to investigate this, and so they are at least

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Speaker 5: going to like.

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Speaker 4: Look into it now.

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Speaker 5: I did think it was interesting so far, like there's

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Speaker 5: no betting on baseball that they know of, unless that's

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Speaker 5: changed in the last like twenty four hours, which, like

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Speaker 5: you know, according to like the baseball purists, like that's

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Speaker 5: the big thing. The one thing my initial thought was

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Speaker 5: like I can't there's no way this guy could be

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Speaker 5: betting this much money without Charlie Ottwani like realizing it.

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Speaker 5: But I have kind of changed my mind a little

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Speaker 5: bit on that. Listening to the I forget the guy's name.

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Speaker 5: I want to say it was Daniel Kim, but I

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Speaker 5: don't want to misspeak. But he was like a he

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Speaker 5: was on the broadcast for the series in Korea, and

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Speaker 5: he was like, look, these interpreters are more than just

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Speaker 5: like the media presence and like helping them like talk

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Speaker 5: to people on their team. He's like, these guys are

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Speaker 5: like at the grocery market, grocery store with them. They're

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Speaker 5: opening their bank accounts for them. So like he probably

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Speaker 5: has access to Otani's bank information because he set up

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Speaker 5: the account. So I was like, Okay, that does make

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Speaker 5: a little sense. There are still a lot of concerns

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Speaker 5: in red flags here. I don't know that it'll be

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Speaker 5: that relevant for Fantasy this season because I think even

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Speaker 5: I think this is going to take a while for

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Speaker 5: them to like dig into and so even if worst

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Speaker 5: case scenario there's like some punishment coming from Otani, I

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Speaker 5: think it's probably like next season that we see anything happen,

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Speaker 5: But we'll see.

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Speaker 2: I think that's probably right. Kelly. What was going through

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Speaker 2: your mind when every twisted turn to this story has

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Speaker 2: you know, kind of dropped.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I surprised myself with the first one was I

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Speaker 3: was just like, look, if there's any player we should

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Speaker 3: just shove this under the rug and ignore, it would

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Speaker 3: be Otani because I love him and I think he's

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Speaker 3: great for the game and all of that and then

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Speaker 3: of course, you know, I got to the logic side

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Speaker 3: of my brain where, yeah, the stories, it's it's kind

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Speaker 3: of the Akam's Razor problem for me, where it's like,

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Speaker 3: what's the most plausible with the least amount of complications explanation?

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Speaker 3: And so I'm just trying to wait and see, like

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Speaker 3: how far off that does this go before it kind

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Speaker 3: of like settles into this is what actually happened where. Yeah,

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Speaker 3: So I don't know, I'm not worried about him for

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Speaker 3: fantasy this year either, although it does kind of have

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Speaker 3: that feel of when you know, like a rookie gets

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Speaker 3: caught with PDS and then all of a sudden he's

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Speaker 3: just gone for eighty games, Like like that's kind of

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Speaker 3: where I put this, where that is always going to

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Speaker 3: be hanging over his head this summer.

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Speaker 1: I think let's move to an actual, more relevant to

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Speaker 1: this season baseball topic, hopefully more relevant, and the time

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Speaker 1: of thing won't become relevant to fantasy baseball this season.

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Speaker 2: Jordan Montgomery, Yeah, our long national nightmare is over.

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Speaker 1: He finally signed one year deal with the Divingbacks, who

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Speaker 1: have made an attempt here to kind of revamp the rotation.

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Speaker 2: You know, EDWARDO.

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Speaker 1: Rodriguez Montgomery obviously E rod is you know, dealing with

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Speaker 1: injuries himself. Clearly Montgomery will not be ready by opening day,

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Speaker 1: since by the time people are listening to this, it

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Speaker 1: will already be opening day. Kelly, what kind of time

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Speaker 1: whine do you think we're probably looking at for Montgomery

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Speaker 1: if you even have a sense of it. And on

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Speaker 1: top of that, once he is kind of up and

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Speaker 1: you know, up to speed and you know, arm strength

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Speaker 1: built up, everything like that, what do you think, you know,

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Speaker 1: what do you make of the fit really for fantasy

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Speaker 1: with the Diamondbacks.

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Speaker 3: I think it's a decent fit for him. I'm not

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Speaker 3: you know, he doesn't have to necessarily anchor the staff

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Speaker 3: or really do anything larger than what he's capable of doing. However, like, yeah,

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Speaker 3: I think it's going to cost him maybe I would

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Speaker 3: say three starts at a minimum, possibly four before he's

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Speaker 3: really ready to roll. So I wouldn't rely on him

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Speaker 3: until maybe the third or fourth week of April at

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Speaker 3: this point for him to get stretched out. But yes,

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Speaker 3: I too, am very glad that the nightmare is over

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Speaker 3: and that all of the big named free agents signed

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Speaker 3: in the off season is basically what we can say.

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Speaker 2: Right technically, just in under the buzzer.

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Speaker 1: His ADP was, you know, one sixty four obviously, you know,

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Speaker 1: driven by the uncertainty of him not having signed until

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Speaker 1: so late and the fact that it was pretty clear

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Speaker 1: by the time we got into draft season that he

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Speaker 1: was going to not be ready by the start of

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Speaker 1: the season because of this delayed signing. Mayor if you

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Speaker 1: had known from the beginning of draft season that he

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Speaker 1: was with the Diamondbacks and he was starting the year early,

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Speaker 1: where do you think he would have been going.

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Speaker 2: Where do you think you would have ranked him?

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Speaker 1: You know, how much of a value do you think

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Speaker 1: people got, if anything, based.

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Speaker 2: On where he was going because of the uncertainty.

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Speaker 4: That's a good question.

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Speaker 5: I think a lot of people got like several round

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Speaker 5: value because of the uncertainty. He actually signed last night

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Speaker 5: while I was in the middle of that draft. I

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Speaker 5: was telling you about last night that draft champions. So

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Speaker 5: I actually got him in the eleventh round like one

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Speaker 5: fifty four overall, which is pretty you know, pretty good value.

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Speaker 5: He didn't I thought it was interesting, like because he

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Speaker 5: didn't sign while I was on the clock, I was

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Speaker 5: up in like seven picks and I was like, oh,

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Speaker 5: I'm not going to get him, and then like he

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Speaker 5: just didn't go And I assume everyone saw in the

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Speaker 5: news because I saw the news, so I just picked

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Speaker 5: him up when he came there. I do think there's

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Speaker 5: almost like this mystery like fact going on or like

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Speaker 5: this mystery effect going on with him or like, and

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Speaker 5: it's probably the same thing that like affected his free agency.

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Speaker 5: Like I think a lot of people think he's better

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Speaker 5: than he is. I mean, he's good, he's very solid.

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Speaker 5: He's not like an ACE and he's going to be

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Speaker 5: like a really good innings Zeter, and he has a

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Speaker 5: lot of value, but I think people are kind of

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Speaker 5: valuing him similarly to like Blake Snell, who I also

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Speaker 5: have concerns about, but he's at least more of like

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Speaker 5: that ACE level.

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Speaker 4: But like I like Jordan Montgomery. He's very solid.

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Speaker 5: He can like help you in a lot of ways,

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Speaker 5: but he's he doesn't strike out a batter per inning.

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Speaker 5: You know, last year he threw one hundred and eighty

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Speaker 5: eight and two thirds innings one hundred and sixty six strikeouts.

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Speaker 4: Like that's fine, that's good.

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Speaker 5: It was a good er three point two his expected

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Speaker 5: numbers are all higher, you know, between three point five

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Speaker 5: six and up over four, and like at that point,

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Speaker 5: how fiable is he?

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Speaker 1: Well, he was also better with Texas, which I think

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Speaker 1: prop might stick in people's minds, you know, maybe you know,

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Speaker 1: two seventy nine ERA as opposed to three to twenty

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Speaker 1: on the season, one oh nine whip as opposed to

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Speaker 1: one point one nine on the season. So, uh, you know,

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Speaker 1: he did seem to kind of level up a bit,

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Speaker 1: you know with the Rangers, Kelly even with.

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Speaker 5: Them, though, even with them though two seven nine ERA

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Speaker 5: with the Rangers four point zero whit Sierra.

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Speaker 1: I mean, I mean, I with you, I'm not like,

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Speaker 1: I'm not really trying to play Devil's advocate because I

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Speaker 1: do think he's become.

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Speaker 2: A bit overrated by being so I.

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Speaker 1: Think I think I think he's become a bit overrated

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Speaker 1: by being, you know, the last guy available. And it's

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Speaker 1: like all these teams that you're pitching, it's like, well,

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Speaker 1: the Yankees should lookt him. Cauzan pitching, well, the Oriil

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Speaker 1: shouldok at him, Caise AINI pitching, well, everybody who needs

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Speaker 1: pitching should look at him, because he was the last

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Speaker 1: guy there, you know, alongside Blake Snow for a while,

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Speaker 1: so I see why people might have kind of put

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Speaker 1: put them together. I am with you on him maybe

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Speaker 1: being a little overrated Kelly, Like if you had to

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Speaker 1: put a rest of season ranking to it, like, are

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Speaker 1: you know what kind of pitcher do you think we're

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Speaker 1: looking at here? Are we're looking at like an SPO

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Speaker 1: Do you think that's you know, maybe too aggressive?

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Speaker 2: What would you say?

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Speaker 3: Yeah? I mean, like right now, I think he's going

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Speaker 3: to be like a very good SP three, which like

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Speaker 3: I put him behind Meryl Kelly in that in that

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Speaker 3: rotation just in terms of how much that are going

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Speaker 3: to help you. He has some SP two upside, but

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Speaker 3: not enough where I'd be like beating down the door

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Speaker 3: to trade for him or any or anything along those lines,

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Speaker 3: because yeah, I feel like he he benefited from the

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Speaker 3: scarcity issue right where he was the only one left

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Speaker 3: and whether he was good or not, he was experienced

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Speaker 3: in a veteran so everyone was like, we have to

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Speaker 3: go get this guy. He was just the one out

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Speaker 3: there at the time.

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Speaker 1: So let's wrap up the Round of the Bases sort

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Speaker 1: of headline segment here with just a general like there's

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Speaker 1: been a lot of pitching injuries. Early I had a

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Speaker 1: listener of the show reached out to me and asked

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Speaker 1: me my opinion on Hey, you know, pitching kind of

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Speaker 1: got away from you my draft. Here's like five screenshots

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Speaker 1: of all the pictures that are available.

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Speaker 2: Is anybody you like?

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Speaker 1: And I was like, every single player that I like

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Speaker 1: here has an O next to their name, like they're

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Speaker 1: just all injured. It's really I mean, the Diamondbacks themselves,

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Speaker 1: Rodriguez s all like like already, and it's.

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Speaker 2: Across the board, it's everywhere.

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Speaker 1: Kelly, is there an injury, you know, rather than going

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Speaker 1: through all of them individually because it's so so many

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Speaker 1: of them, is there an injury that stands out that

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Speaker 1: is creating an opportunity for somebody else, or that you

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Speaker 1: think is going to be really impactful for the rest

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Speaker 1: of the season. Any of these injuries really significant to

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Speaker 1: you in any way?

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Speaker 3: I think you know, when Brian with Brian wu going down,

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Speaker 3: I looked at Seattle as a very deep rotation that

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Speaker 3: you could really count on when you were drafting, and

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Speaker 3: I knew he had the elbow problem, but it seemed

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Speaker 3: like he was doing okay. So with him going down,

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Speaker 3: I don't know necessarily if that creates an opportunity somewhere,

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Speaker 3: but it does. It caused me to reevaluate sort of

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Speaker 3: the Mariners as a whole and to keep an eye

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Speaker 3: on them because it seems like they sort of have

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Speaker 3: like what Tampa used to have. We're the next person

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Speaker 3: up just kind of of shows up and does pretty well.

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Speaker 3: And I suppose we could also talk about Tampa losing

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Speaker 3: what three fifths of their rotation. But yeah, so that

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Speaker 3: he was the first one or he was the biggest

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Speaker 3: one where I thought, okay, this kind of swings a

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Speaker 3: few things for me.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, a very popular draft target in you know,

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Speaker 1: a lot of my leagues. He was people were going

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Speaker 1: after from pretty aggressively. Mayor what do you think about

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Speaker 1: just kind of the injuries in general? And is there

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Speaker 1: one that stands out to you?

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Speaker 4: Well, there's a couple that stand up. Brian wu was

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Speaker 4: one of them.

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Speaker 5: Dylan Carlson was another one because of what it means

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Speaker 5: for Victor Scott. But I think, you know, the Welsh

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00:16:30,320 --> 00:16:32,160
Speaker 5: will be on a little bit later and he'll he'll

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Speaker 5: break that one down. I had a similar situation to

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Speaker 5: you where someone on our discord which everyone should join

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Speaker 5: fantasypros dot Com slash chat you should join that reached

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Speaker 5: out and he was like, I had a bunch of

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Speaker 5: picture injuries. Which are these three guys should I pick up?

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Speaker 5: And it was like Nathan Valde, Nick Pavetta or Brian Wu.

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Speaker 4: And I was like, well, not.

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Speaker 5: Brian Wu because he's also hurt, so don't pick him

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Speaker 5: up unless you can also stash him. The good news

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Speaker 5: for with the Brian Wu injury, you know, pooring out

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Speaker 5: for Brian Wu, is that Emerson Hancock is getting called up.

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Speaker 5: And so that's another name I'm sure we'll ask Welsh

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Speaker 5: about later on in the show.

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Speaker 1: Yes, definitely, everybody will want to stick around for Welsh

404
00:17:05,960 --> 00:17:08,840
Speaker 1: because we're gonna try and hit on all these rookies

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Speaker 1: and prospects that got kept up and sent down and

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Speaker 1: everything like that. Any other thought on the injuries, Kelly, I.

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Speaker 3: Had something and now it's gone because you know, I'm

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00:17:18,440 --> 00:17:19,879
Speaker 3: too old for this. Oh yeah, no, that was it

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00:17:20,160 --> 00:17:22,280
Speaker 3: on discord. I was I was mentioning with may Or

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Speaker 3: where we try to get to everybody's questions and it's

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Speaker 3: it's totally worth being in there, and it's worth being

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Speaker 3: in the premium channels, which are great. I try to

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Speaker 3: be like I always try to be democratic about it,

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Speaker 3: like here's how I would look at it, but if

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00:17:33,840 --> 00:17:35,960
Speaker 3: you look at it differently, e'ta, etcetera. But yeah, so

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Speaker 3: many of those screenshots and I'm like, well, that's the

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Speaker 3: only guy with a working arm, so I feel like

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Speaker 3: that should be the guy. Or you know, it's a

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Speaker 3: complete coin flip because we have no idea what to

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Speaker 3: expect from them, so.

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Speaker 2: Everything harder to do advice.

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Speaker 1: Every time I get like DMed for advice or something,

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Speaker 1: I'm always like, here's what I would do. I'm getting

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna be very thoughtful and like give you my

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Speaker 1: full here's what I would do and why.

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Speaker 2: But I'm probably wrong, so I would ignore me. Anyway.

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Speaker 2: Let's move on to normally. This will be a section

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Speaker 2: of the show where we do buy low sell Hi.

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Speaker 1: We kind of talked about it before the show because

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Speaker 1: there hasn't really been any games yet, it makes more sense.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna reference our bold Predictions article that you can

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Speaker 1: find on fantasypros dot com. You know, we had a

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Speaker 1: bunch of writers come together and kind of share their

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Speaker 1: favorite bold predictions for the season. So we're gonna go

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Speaker 1: through and pick our favorites there. Of course, Mayor and

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Speaker 1: Kelly contributed to that article, so they'll be picking their own.

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Speaker 2: I'm just gonna pick my favorite from the others.

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Speaker 1: Like I said, typically this will be by low Sell High,

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Speaker 1: but for this week only, we're gonna do our bold

440
00:18:30,400 --> 00:18:31,480
Speaker 1: predictions ahead of the season.

441
00:18:31,520 --> 00:18:32,600
Speaker 2: Mayor, let's start with yours.

442
00:18:34,040 --> 00:18:37,119
Speaker 5: Sure, so, Mayor and Kelly contributed to the article. Worm

443
00:18:37,680 --> 00:18:40,320
Speaker 5: famously did not contribute to the article, so we'll start

444
00:18:40,359 --> 00:18:43,800
Speaker 5: with that. Welcome to though, whenever you'd like to help

445
00:18:43,840 --> 00:18:46,160
Speaker 5: out contribute, you're welcome to join us.

446
00:18:46,520 --> 00:18:49,280
Speaker 2: I will I will contribute at my leisure.

447
00:18:51,359 --> 00:18:53,080
Speaker 4: As you as you will with everything.

448
00:18:54,320 --> 00:18:57,400
Speaker 5: So my bold prediction, there were there were a lot

449
00:18:57,440 --> 00:18:59,879
Speaker 5: of why at Langford bold predictions which I wasn't going

450
00:18:59,920 --> 00:19:02,240
Speaker 5: to go into anyway. I think Kelly we'll touch on

451
00:19:02,280 --> 00:19:05,680
Speaker 5: that a little bit with her answer. I went into

452
00:19:06,160 --> 00:19:09,360
Speaker 5: zach Eflin, and my bold prediction is that zach Eflin

453
00:19:09,680 --> 00:19:13,720
Speaker 5: is a finalist for the al Say Young aboard. I'm

454
00:19:13,760 --> 00:19:16,000
Speaker 5: a big zach Eflin guy, always have been. I was

455
00:19:16,000 --> 00:19:18,280
Speaker 5: sharing with Kelly earlier today that one of my favorite

456
00:19:18,280 --> 00:19:20,159
Speaker 5: things to do several times a year is just like

457
00:19:20,200 --> 00:19:22,960
Speaker 5: pull up Zach Eflin's stackcast page and just like, look

458
00:19:23,000 --> 00:19:26,760
Speaker 5: at what crazy pitch mix he has going on this year,

459
00:19:27,080 --> 00:19:29,080
Speaker 5: or even like this part of the year, because it

460
00:19:29,160 --> 00:19:30,800
Speaker 5: changes so often. Like a couple of years ago, he

461
00:19:30,840 --> 00:19:32,840
Speaker 5: was like, hey, I throw a cutter now. And last

462
00:19:32,880 --> 00:19:35,000
Speaker 5: year his slider became a sweeper, which was probably more

463
00:19:35,040 --> 00:19:37,639
Speaker 5: of a classification thing. But I was really in on

464
00:19:37,720 --> 00:19:39,280
Speaker 5: him last season when he went to the Rais and

465
00:19:39,320 --> 00:19:41,879
Speaker 5: I was like, Oh, this is perfect. Zach Cuffen on

466
00:19:41,920 --> 00:19:43,879
Speaker 5: the Rais is going to be fun. And it was fun.

467
00:19:44,160 --> 00:19:45,920
Speaker 5: One hundred and seventy seven innings, one hundred and eighty

468
00:19:45,920 --> 00:19:47,960
Speaker 5: six strikeouts. He won sixteen games. I know we can't

469
00:19:47,960 --> 00:19:50,680
Speaker 5: really count wins, but we won sixteen games. You know,

470
00:19:50,720 --> 00:19:53,040
Speaker 5: the cy young voters still care about that stuff. Three

471
00:19:53,119 --> 00:19:55,600
Speaker 5: point five VR. All of his expected numbers were about

472
00:19:55,640 --> 00:19:58,640
Speaker 5: a half front lower than that, and that was even

473
00:19:58,680 --> 00:20:00,840
Speaker 5: with a hard hit rate that was up a career

474
00:20:00,920 --> 00:20:02,800
Speaker 5: high or not a career high, but his highest hard

475
00:20:02,880 --> 00:20:06,160
Speaker 5: hit rate against in three years. And I just think

476
00:20:06,200 --> 00:20:08,399
Speaker 5: there's so much more room to improve, and that if

477
00:20:08,800 --> 00:20:10,439
Speaker 5: he can stay healthy, because he has been you know,

478
00:20:10,560 --> 00:20:12,399
Speaker 5: had some nagging injuries throughout his career. But like, if

479
00:20:12,400 --> 00:20:14,680
Speaker 5: he can stay healthy, I think he takes another step

480
00:20:14,720 --> 00:20:16,080
Speaker 5: forward and I think he's a finalist for the al

481
00:20:16,160 --> 00:20:18,600
Speaker 5: Cy Young Award, and even with someone like Eric Cole

482
00:20:18,680 --> 00:20:20,359
Speaker 5: being out, I think he's the dark horse to win it.

483
00:20:20,800 --> 00:20:22,680
Speaker 5: And he's plus four thousand on Betting Bros.

484
00:20:22,760 --> 00:20:23,199
Speaker 4: Right away.

485
00:20:23,240 --> 00:20:25,159
Speaker 2: Well, you know Corbyn Burns is in the ale or

486
00:20:25,200 --> 00:20:27,359
Speaker 2: now right it's a lock.

487
00:20:27,640 --> 00:20:29,359
Speaker 5: Yeah, but he's got to go to Fenway Park and

488
00:20:29,400 --> 00:20:31,119
Speaker 5: play that play against that Red Sox lineup.

489
00:20:31,160 --> 00:20:34,640
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, how scary? Yeah, No, I know. I think

490
00:20:34,680 --> 00:20:35,879
Speaker 2: you mentioned e Flynn on last.

491
00:20:35,720 --> 00:20:37,760
Speaker 1: Week's previews show as well as a player you were retargeting,

492
00:20:37,920 --> 00:20:40,520
Speaker 1: targeting and drafts. So he's definitely a favorite of yours.

493
00:20:40,760 --> 00:20:42,560
Speaker 1: What do you think, you know, a top three finish

494
00:20:42,800 --> 00:20:44,399
Speaker 1: in the Cy Young voting. What do you think this

495
00:20:44,440 --> 00:20:47,120
Speaker 1: means for fantasy? Is he somebody that you would even

496
00:20:47,119 --> 00:20:49,080
Speaker 1: be trying to trade for early on in the year.

497
00:20:49,040 --> 00:20:50,480
Speaker 2: Because you're a big believer in him.

498
00:20:50,640 --> 00:20:53,159
Speaker 1: Do you think that's going to be more more of

499
00:20:53,200 --> 00:20:55,720
Speaker 1: a real life Cy Young winner as opposed to like

500
00:20:55,720 --> 00:20:57,080
Speaker 1: a fantasy league winner.

501
00:20:57,320 --> 00:20:59,000
Speaker 2: What do you make of him on the fantasy side.

502
00:20:59,640 --> 00:21:01,600
Speaker 5: I think he's going to be a high end SP two.

503
00:21:01,840 --> 00:21:04,160
Speaker 5: I don't actually have a ton of shares of him

504
00:21:04,200 --> 00:21:06,000
Speaker 5: this year because I think a lot of people that

505
00:21:06,040 --> 00:21:07,919
Speaker 5: are you know, seem to you know, they saw what

506
00:21:07,960 --> 00:21:11,240
Speaker 5: happened last year, and they're high on him too. I

507
00:21:11,320 --> 00:21:13,920
Speaker 5: have a lot more of Aaron Savali, who's like this

508
00:21:14,000 --> 00:21:16,320
Speaker 5: year is Zach Eflin. He's like this year's fun new toy,

509
00:21:17,200 --> 00:21:18,520
Speaker 5: so he's much further down.

510
00:21:18,600 --> 00:21:19,760
Speaker 4: But I have Savali too.

511
00:21:19,800 --> 00:21:22,040
Speaker 5: But yeah, I think he's going to be valuable just

512
00:21:22,080 --> 00:21:23,880
Speaker 5: because he's going to be on a good team.

513
00:21:23,880 --> 00:21:25,240
Speaker 4: I think the strikeouts are going to be there.

514
00:21:25,920 --> 00:21:28,880
Speaker 5: He's got really good ratios. But yeah, I think he's

515
00:21:28,880 --> 00:21:32,320
Speaker 5: going to be really solid s P two SB one Upsete, Kelly.

516
00:21:32,359 --> 00:21:35,320
Speaker 1: I know you are loath to agree with Mayor, but

517
00:21:35,480 --> 00:21:38,040
Speaker 1: are you siding with him on e Flyn or now? Yeah?

518
00:21:38,080 --> 00:21:38,360
Speaker 2: I am.

519
00:21:38,440 --> 00:21:40,119
Speaker 3: I actually have a lot of shares of him. So

520
00:21:40,840 --> 00:21:43,119
Speaker 3: whether it's Hope or what, I'm on board.

521
00:21:43,640 --> 00:21:45,760
Speaker 2: Who's your bold prediction, Kelly?

522
00:21:45,880 --> 00:21:47,880
Speaker 3: So I think I've been working with Mayor for too

523
00:21:47,920 --> 00:21:51,680
Speaker 3: long because even though I still think it's cute when

524
00:21:51,800 --> 00:21:54,560
Speaker 3: adult adults catch fall balls and hand them to children

525
00:21:54,640 --> 00:21:57,600
Speaker 3: as opposed to evil like he does, I do, I

526
00:21:57,760 --> 00:22:02,840
Speaker 3: believe I've grown some sort of contrarian thing inside of

527
00:22:02,840 --> 00:22:07,399
Speaker 3: my poor little brain. So my bold prediction was because

528
00:22:07,400 --> 00:22:09,560
Speaker 3: I knew everyone was gonna pick why at Langford. My

529
00:22:09,600 --> 00:22:11,760
Speaker 3: bold prediction is that Evan Carter's actually going to end

530
00:22:11,840 --> 00:22:14,359
Speaker 3: up being more valuable than him in like five by

531
00:22:14,400 --> 00:22:17,639
Speaker 3: five leagues. And I think I'm basing it on a

532
00:22:17,640 --> 00:22:20,639
Speaker 3: couple of things. One is definitely that Carter should have

533
00:22:20,680 --> 00:22:24,159
Speaker 3: a higher opp and be on base just more in

534
00:22:24,280 --> 00:22:27,560
Speaker 3: general with through hitting and and maybe not as much power,

535
00:22:27,640 --> 00:22:31,200
Speaker 3: but more consistency. He's also right now, I think he's

536
00:22:31,200 --> 00:22:33,120
Speaker 3: batting third in the lineup, so he gets to be

537
00:22:33,119 --> 00:22:36,359
Speaker 3: behind Corey Seeger and Marcus Simmon and a head of

538
00:22:36,359 --> 00:22:39,720
Speaker 3: a doulas Carsia and Langford. And to me that just

539
00:22:39,800 --> 00:22:42,600
Speaker 3: means like count the runs count. The RBIs like here

540
00:22:42,640 --> 00:22:46,760
Speaker 3: it comes. So I feel like at the end of

541
00:22:46,800 --> 00:22:49,280
Speaker 3: the day, well, Langford is, you know, the talk of

542
00:22:49,320 --> 00:22:52,320
Speaker 3: the town, and everybody wants to already shower him with

543
00:22:52,359 --> 00:22:54,800
Speaker 3: all of the gifts. I feel like Carter may just

544
00:22:54,880 --> 00:22:58,000
Speaker 3: kind of sneak in there as more valuable. In fantasy,

545
00:22:58,200 --> 00:23:00,800
Speaker 3: it's Langford will carry the storyline and probably get Rookie

546
00:23:00,800 --> 00:23:02,439
Speaker 3: of the year, but I think Carter's gonna end up

547
00:23:02,640 --> 00:23:04,320
Speaker 3: the guy you want for much cheaper.

548
00:23:05,240 --> 00:23:07,840
Speaker 1: I love Carter, and I mean the other thing that

549
00:23:07,880 --> 00:23:09,879
Speaker 1: I don't think you mentioned is that we've seen him

550
00:23:09,920 --> 00:23:11,960
Speaker 1: do it at the big league level before, which which

551
00:23:12,040 --> 00:23:14,240
Speaker 1: I think everybody believes Langford will be very.

552
00:23:14,160 --> 00:23:16,200
Speaker 2: Successful, you know, hitting into the big league level.

553
00:23:16,320 --> 00:23:18,240
Speaker 1: It's not that I'm doubting that will happen, but we

554
00:23:18,280 --> 00:23:21,280
Speaker 1: have actually seen Evan Carter be very successful, you know,

555
00:23:21,359 --> 00:23:24,240
Speaker 1: hitting major league pitching already. And Carter is I think

556
00:23:24,320 --> 00:23:26,560
Speaker 1: younger actually too, so theoretically you can build an even

557
00:23:26,600 --> 00:23:30,760
Speaker 1: more upside that with Langford. It was funny, you know,

558
00:23:30,800 --> 00:23:34,000
Speaker 1: reading through these bull predictions. Every player got one mention

559
00:23:34,359 --> 00:23:37,680
Speaker 1: except for Langford got four, So like, the hype is there,

560
00:23:37,720 --> 00:23:40,639
Speaker 1: and it was a lot of like like our you know,

561
00:23:40,840 --> 00:23:43,680
Speaker 1: friend and colleague Pat fitz Morris said, what Langford will

562
00:23:43,720 --> 00:23:45,879
Speaker 1: hit three twenty or better and win the AL batting

563
00:23:45,880 --> 00:23:48,200
Speaker 1: title as a rookie. Joey p said he was gonna

564
00:23:48,200 --> 00:23:49,880
Speaker 1: be a top twenty overall player. We had a couple

565
00:23:49,960 --> 00:23:52,720
Speaker 1: other contributors say top twenty five overall player, top two

566
00:23:52,760 --> 00:23:55,160
Speaker 1: round player. So the hype is very there for Langford,

567
00:23:55,200 --> 00:23:57,800
Speaker 1: but I think it is deserved to give some of

568
00:23:57,800 --> 00:24:00,560
Speaker 1: that hype to Carter as well. What do you think

569
00:24:00,600 --> 00:24:03,800
Speaker 1: about Carter? Not necessarily versus Langford, but is Carter in

570
00:24:03,840 --> 00:24:04,600
Speaker 1: general as a pick?

571
00:24:04,680 --> 00:24:06,399
Speaker 5: Well, I think first off, we're trying to get people

572
00:24:06,440 --> 00:24:07,920
Speaker 5: to read the article, and you just read the whole

573
00:24:07,920 --> 00:24:08,440
Speaker 5: thing on air.

574
00:24:09,040 --> 00:24:11,320
Speaker 2: I just read White Langford. There's still like eight or

575
00:24:11,400 --> 00:24:12,240
Speaker 2: nine other players.

576
00:24:12,359 --> 00:24:14,840
Speaker 4: That's half the article. Half the article, that.

577
00:24:14,840 --> 00:24:15,639
Speaker 2: Is like half the article.

578
00:24:15,760 --> 00:24:17,639
Speaker 4: What was your question? I wasn't listening.

579
00:24:18,880 --> 00:24:21,480
Speaker 2: The you know, just even Carter in general, just Kelly's pick.

580
00:24:21,600 --> 00:24:22,360
Speaker 2: What do you make of him?

581
00:24:22,400 --> 00:24:25,760
Speaker 1: And again not necessarily as he relates to Langford, but

582
00:24:25,840 --> 00:24:28,040
Speaker 1: just in general as a guy who could be a

583
00:24:28,119 --> 00:24:29,280
Speaker 1: you know something of a league winner.

584
00:24:29,480 --> 00:24:31,800
Speaker 5: Oh, I like him and and for reasons you said,

585
00:24:31,840 --> 00:24:33,320
Speaker 5: we saw him do it last year. We saw him

586
00:24:33,320 --> 00:24:35,679
Speaker 5: do it on the biggest stage last year. He should

587
00:24:35,680 --> 00:24:37,439
Speaker 5: have pretty good placement in that order and it's going

588
00:24:37,520 --> 00:24:40,359
Speaker 5: to be a very good order. And yeah, I think

589
00:24:41,359 --> 00:24:43,240
Speaker 5: in some of that White Langford hype, he's kind of

590
00:24:43,280 --> 00:24:45,160
Speaker 5: being like forgotten about and maybe you can get him

591
00:24:45,200 --> 00:24:46,879
Speaker 5: like a round or two later, like he should be

592
00:24:46,880 --> 00:24:47,720
Speaker 5: a top one hunter player.

593
00:24:47,760 --> 00:24:49,479
Speaker 4: But I've seen him go outside the top hundred.

594
00:24:49,560 --> 00:24:52,600
Speaker 1: I was going to list some of my choices that

595
00:24:52,680 --> 00:24:54,760
Speaker 1: I liked in here that I didn't end up going

596
00:24:54,800 --> 00:24:57,280
Speaker 1: with for my favorite Bowl prediction, but I rather than

597
00:24:57,359 --> 00:25:01,879
Speaker 1: risk Mayor yelling at me again way too many players

598
00:25:01,960 --> 00:25:04,119
Speaker 1: on this list, I will just list the one that

599
00:25:04,160 --> 00:25:06,560
Speaker 1: I went with, which was Dylan ceased. And it's not

600
00:25:06,600 --> 00:25:09,000
Speaker 1: that I think we're going to see a repeat of

601
00:25:09,000 --> 00:25:12,080
Speaker 1: twenty twenty two now that he has the new home

602
00:25:12,119 --> 00:25:14,240
Speaker 1: in San Diego. But I do think he was a

603
00:25:14,320 --> 00:25:16,119
Speaker 1: value where he was going. He was like going in

604
00:25:16,160 --> 00:25:19,439
Speaker 1: the ninety to one hundred range in ADP. You know,

605
00:25:19,520 --> 00:25:22,280
Speaker 1: the writer who mentions him in this article mentions that

606
00:25:22,320 --> 00:25:25,520
Speaker 1: he got him in taut Wars for thirteen dollars. I

607
00:25:25,560 --> 00:25:27,679
Speaker 1: think that's a value for a guy that, you know,

608
00:25:27,720 --> 00:25:30,240
Speaker 1: assuming health, is going to strike out over two hundred guys.

609
00:25:30,440 --> 00:25:32,439
Speaker 1: I think there's a lot more room for improvement in

610
00:25:32,480 --> 00:25:34,199
Speaker 1: terms of wins this year. I think I know the

611
00:25:34,240 --> 00:25:36,560
Speaker 1: Padres didn't have the best season last year. I think

612
00:25:36,680 --> 00:25:38,800
Speaker 1: I'm certainly expecting a bounce back from them in the

613
00:25:38,800 --> 00:25:42,360
Speaker 1: wind department that will be reflected in ceases stat line.

614
00:25:43,040 --> 00:25:45,359
Speaker 1: I think that the era while it won't be what

615
00:25:45,400 --> 00:25:47,639
Speaker 1: it was in twenty twenty two, I think will be

616
00:25:47,680 --> 00:25:49,920
Speaker 1: closer to that than it was last year.

617
00:25:50,080 --> 00:25:52,200
Speaker 2: It was at you know, four fifty eight.

618
00:25:52,280 --> 00:25:54,840
Speaker 1: Last year it was two twenty the year before. I

619
00:25:54,840 --> 00:25:57,159
Speaker 1: think we're going to see something in the threes and

620
00:25:57,200 --> 00:25:59,520
Speaker 1: in this pitching landscape. If you're giving me a guy

621
00:25:59,560 --> 00:26:02,239
Speaker 1: with an er that starts a three and he's going

622
00:26:02,240 --> 00:26:04,560
Speaker 1: to strike out over two other guys and he's probably

623
00:26:04,560 --> 00:26:06,560
Speaker 1: going to win double digit games, I think that's a

624
00:26:06,640 --> 00:26:09,920
Speaker 1: value where he was going. I know, the whip was

625
00:26:09,960 --> 00:26:12,000
Speaker 1: like a lot higher last year. There's a lot of

626
00:26:12,000 --> 00:26:14,600
Speaker 1: stuff that went into that. His walk rate was slightly

627
00:26:14,640 --> 00:26:16,800
Speaker 1: lower last year than it was in twenty twenty two.

628
00:26:16,840 --> 00:26:19,359
Speaker 1: It's not like every number got way worse. It was

629
00:26:19,400 --> 00:26:20,960
Speaker 1: kind of a multitude of things. He was playing on

630
00:26:21,000 --> 00:26:22,439
Speaker 1: a bad team last year, and I do think that

631
00:26:22,480 --> 00:26:25,280
Speaker 1: actually matters. Kelly, what do you make of Cease as

632
00:26:25,320 --> 00:26:28,320
Speaker 1: a bold prediction to outperform his value?

633
00:26:28,520 --> 00:26:30,480
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean I think that he's a good choice

634
00:26:30,520 --> 00:26:34,040
Speaker 3: in that regard. He can't do anything that more than

635
00:26:35,040 --> 00:26:37,880
Speaker 3: outperform my prediction for him, because I don't like him,

636
00:26:38,320 --> 00:26:42,280
Speaker 3: so kind of anything higher than that is probably going

637
00:26:42,320 --> 00:26:44,879
Speaker 3: to be okay, But that walk rate, I don't care

638
00:26:44,920 --> 00:26:47,680
Speaker 3: that it went down point three percent. I'm not touching it.

639
00:26:47,760 --> 00:26:51,320
Speaker 3: So it's yeah, he's the best two hundred plus strikeout

640
00:26:51,320 --> 00:26:54,600
Speaker 3: guy who went the latest, I think, so there will

641
00:26:54,600 --> 00:26:55,680
Speaker 3: definitely be value there.

642
00:26:56,080 --> 00:27:01,280
Speaker 1: And I think it's reasonable to be anti because that

643
00:27:01,320 --> 00:27:04,359
Speaker 1: twenty twenty two season is the clear outlier if you

644
00:27:04,400 --> 00:27:06,879
Speaker 1: look at his career, so I think where he was

645
00:27:06,920 --> 00:27:10,440
Speaker 1: going again, given I mean, the strikeouts are just so intoxicating, right,

646
00:27:10,480 --> 00:27:12,920
Speaker 1: It's so hard to look at those three straight years

647
00:27:12,960 --> 00:27:15,280
Speaker 1: of two hundred plus strikeouts and not be really excited

648
00:27:15,280 --> 00:27:17,440
Speaker 1: about it. I mean, I mentioned the walk rate went down,

649
00:27:17,560 --> 00:27:19,359
Speaker 1: so did the strikeout, right, So that is worth you know,

650
00:27:19,440 --> 00:27:20,200
Speaker 1: mentioning as well.

651
00:27:20,240 --> 00:27:22,119
Speaker 3: I was just gonna say it went down three percent,

652
00:27:22,200 --> 00:27:23,160
Speaker 3: So I mean you know that.

653
00:27:23,160 --> 00:27:26,040
Speaker 1: Too, Mayor what do you think about cease where you

654
00:27:26,080 --> 00:27:28,320
Speaker 1: know where he was going? Do you think that was

655
00:27:28,359 --> 00:27:29,280
Speaker 1: too low in drafts?

656
00:27:29,720 --> 00:27:29,840
Speaker 3: Uh?

657
00:27:30,000 --> 00:27:32,000
Speaker 4: Yeah? And I like him for a lot of the

658
00:27:32,040 --> 00:27:33,959
Speaker 4: reasons that you were laying out. I had.

659
00:27:34,000 --> 00:27:36,320
Speaker 5: I drafted him in a in an auction keeper league

660
00:27:36,359 --> 00:27:38,520
Speaker 5: that Kelly is in, and it was a league where

661
00:27:38,520 --> 00:27:41,399
Speaker 5: I ended up being able to keep a few like

662
00:27:41,480 --> 00:27:44,399
Speaker 5: really cheap pitchers, and so I used my budget to

663
00:27:44,480 --> 00:27:45,800
Speaker 5: kind of like load up on hitting, and then I

664
00:27:45,880 --> 00:27:48,440
Speaker 5: was like, let me see where where I can get

665
00:27:48,440 --> 00:27:51,440
Speaker 5: some value on pitching. And the first pitcher I ended

666
00:27:51,520 --> 00:27:53,800
Speaker 5: up drafting was Dylan Ceas for like ten bucks, and

667
00:27:53,840 --> 00:27:56,320
Speaker 5: I was like, perfect, let me lock in two hundred strikeouts,

668
00:27:56,359 --> 00:27:58,640
Speaker 5: like last year was a down year, and he struck

669
00:27:58,680 --> 00:28:00,919
Speaker 5: got two hudred fourteen guys, Like, I'm fine with that.

670
00:28:01,200 --> 00:28:03,760
Speaker 4: You know, I obviously don't want a four point.

671
00:28:03,640 --> 00:28:06,960
Speaker 5: Five eight ERA and a whip almost at one point five,

672
00:28:07,240 --> 00:28:09,200
Speaker 5: but I'm assuming it's gonna be a little bit better

673
00:28:09,200 --> 00:28:11,560
Speaker 5: than that. And if it is two hundred strikeouts for

674
00:28:11,680 --> 00:28:13,640
Speaker 5: my SB four, what's right.

675
00:28:13,960 --> 00:28:16,720
Speaker 3: Let me just say that in that same league, Mayor

676
00:28:16,800 --> 00:28:19,719
Speaker 3: offered a contract extension to Zach Gallon and he drafted

677
00:28:19,800 --> 00:28:23,640
Speaker 3: Xander Bullgart's and Dylan Sees and that's literally the anti

678
00:28:23,720 --> 00:28:24,920
Speaker 3: Wonky Penguin team.

679
00:28:25,000 --> 00:28:29,639
Speaker 1: So I will be very curious to hear throughout the

680
00:28:29,720 --> 00:28:32,199
Speaker 1: year who has proven right and who's proven wrong in

681
00:28:32,240 --> 00:28:34,919
Speaker 1: that league. So be sure to keep breaking it up.

682
00:28:35,000 --> 00:28:38,160
Speaker 1: Let's go to waivers Central. Each of you guys is

683
00:28:38,160 --> 00:28:39,920
Speaker 1: going to give me your favorite hitter. And each of

684
00:28:40,000 --> 00:28:41,600
Speaker 1: you guys is gonna give me your favorite pitcher that

685
00:28:41,680 --> 00:28:43,280
Speaker 1: is available in a lot of leagues.

686
00:28:44,000 --> 00:28:45,280
Speaker 2: You know, for the purposes of this week.

687
00:28:45,400 --> 00:28:48,680
Speaker 1: You know, we'll be somewhat like, not overly reactionary, but

688
00:28:48,720 --> 00:28:50,880
Speaker 1: we'll be looking at what's happened obviously during the season

689
00:28:50,920 --> 00:28:53,360
Speaker 1: and saying, oh, this is a trend we think can continue.

690
00:28:53,440 --> 00:28:54,920
Speaker 1: This is somebody that'd be willing to pick up or

691
00:28:54,960 --> 00:28:57,040
Speaker 1: drop or what have you for this week. Since the

692
00:28:57,080 --> 00:28:59,480
Speaker 1: season hasn't really started, it's more of who do we

693
00:28:59,480 --> 00:29:01,440
Speaker 1: think is maybe begin to gain some value early that

694
00:29:01,520 --> 00:29:04,240
Speaker 1: we want to get in before they become a very

695
00:29:04,240 --> 00:29:06,480
Speaker 1: popular pickup that everybody's going to be trying to add.

696
00:29:06,480 --> 00:29:09,000
Speaker 1: Whose roster percentage do we think is going to be

697
00:29:09,000 --> 00:29:11,440
Speaker 1: a lot higher a couple of weeks from now the

698
00:29:11,560 --> 00:29:13,440
Speaker 1: mayor let's start with your favorite hitter to pick up

699
00:29:13,480 --> 00:29:14,400
Speaker 1: before the season starts.

700
00:29:14,400 --> 00:29:16,120
Speaker 2: We're kind of as the season is starting.

701
00:29:16,800 --> 00:29:18,880
Speaker 5: Sure, So I'm so glad you asked me to keep

702
00:29:18,880 --> 00:29:21,080
Speaker 5: bringing up that league, So I'm gonna bring it up again.

703
00:29:21,680 --> 00:29:26,760
Speaker 5: In that league with Kelly, I massively overpaid for someone

704
00:29:26,840 --> 00:29:29,160
Speaker 5: named Spencer Steere and that's not my waiver Central because

705
00:29:29,160 --> 00:29:31,600
Speaker 5: he's rosters everywhere. But I massively overpaid for Spencer stear

706
00:29:31,680 --> 00:29:34,800
Speaker 5: mostly because you can move him around to play him everywhere.

707
00:29:35,400 --> 00:29:38,880
Speaker 5: Except I didn't draft another first baseman, so he's locked

708
00:29:38,920 --> 00:29:42,080
Speaker 5: as my first baseman. And so my first waiver move

709
00:29:42,160 --> 00:29:44,320
Speaker 5: of the year was to pick up my waiver pickup

710
00:29:44,320 --> 00:29:46,640
Speaker 5: the week, ty France, who's not rostered in a ton

711
00:29:46,640 --> 00:29:48,080
Speaker 5: of places. You can get them all over the place,

712
00:29:48,680 --> 00:29:50,880
Speaker 5: and for good reason. His numbers are not that great.

713
00:29:50,960 --> 00:29:53,440
Speaker 5: He only plays first base. He's no longer second base eligible.

714
00:29:53,440 --> 00:29:56,240
Speaker 5: I think last year is when he lost second base eligibility.

715
00:29:56,280 --> 00:29:58,120
Speaker 5: That's when a lot of his value lost, or is

716
00:29:58,160 --> 00:29:59,600
Speaker 5: a lot of his value kind of like you know,

717
00:30:00,200 --> 00:30:00,680
Speaker 5: went away.

718
00:30:01,240 --> 00:30:03,240
Speaker 4: And he also only hit twelve runs one hundred fty

719
00:30:03,240 --> 00:30:03,719
Speaker 4: eight games.

720
00:30:04,080 --> 00:30:07,120
Speaker 5: But he did go to a special place called drive

721
00:30:07,160 --> 00:30:09,560
Speaker 5: Line this offseason and focus on his swing and focus

722
00:30:09,640 --> 00:30:11,880
Speaker 5: on cutting down his swing. And I'm all in on

723
00:30:11,960 --> 00:30:14,800
Speaker 5: a tie fans ty Franz bounce back, and not just

724
00:30:14,840 --> 00:30:16,680
Speaker 5: because I need him to be my starting first basement

725
00:30:16,680 --> 00:30:19,400
Speaker 5: so I can move Spencers Tear around, but I am

726
00:30:19,400 --> 00:30:23,160
Speaker 5: a believer. And the other thing is he's really also

727
00:30:23,440 --> 00:30:25,240
Speaker 5: devalued because of where he's going to hit in that

728
00:30:25,240 --> 00:30:27,479
Speaker 5: Mariners lineup because they haven't protected to hit eighth right

729
00:30:27,520 --> 00:30:30,440
Speaker 5: now on roster resource. But I'm looking at the jabbronis

730
00:30:30,520 --> 00:30:33,720
Speaker 5: above him in this order, and it's it's nobody's it's

731
00:30:33,760 --> 00:30:35,320
Speaker 5: it's the ghost of Mitch Hanniger.

732
00:30:35,480 --> 00:30:36,320
Speaker 4: It's cal Raley.

733
00:30:36,400 --> 00:30:38,280
Speaker 5: Sorry, Wonky, I know you're a big cal Raley guy.

734
00:30:38,320 --> 00:30:43,200
Speaker 5: It's Mitch Garber playing d H and Jorge Polongo. Ty

735
00:30:43,280 --> 00:30:44,520
Speaker 5: France is going to be back in third by the

736
00:30:44,600 --> 00:30:46,680
Speaker 5: end of this year, and you know you can book it.

737
00:30:46,720 --> 00:30:48,320
Speaker 5: This is going to be a pickup that's going to

738
00:30:48,360 --> 00:30:50,480
Speaker 5: win your league, I think, or at least I hope

739
00:30:50,480 --> 00:30:51,040
Speaker 5: for my league.

740
00:30:52,000 --> 00:30:54,640
Speaker 1: Don't maybe, you know, maybe don't alienate us from the

741
00:30:54,680 --> 00:30:57,120
Speaker 1: players too much calling them Jabebroni's I mean, take it,

742
00:30:57,240 --> 00:31:01,800
Speaker 1: take it. He's he there there, ty Franz Kelly. Any

743
00:31:01,920 --> 00:31:04,000
Speaker 1: thoughts on him, I mean, not a guy that was

744
00:31:04,040 --> 00:31:06,400
Speaker 1: like you needed to go out and aggressively draft this

745
00:31:06,480 --> 00:31:07,680
Speaker 1: year if you want to have a chance to ad

746
00:31:07,760 --> 00:31:09,360
Speaker 1: him now obviously No.

747
00:31:09,480 --> 00:31:10,840
Speaker 3: In fact, this would be the first time I've thought

748
00:31:10,840 --> 00:31:14,880
Speaker 3: about ty France this entire fantasy season, So I trust

749
00:31:14,920 --> 00:31:17,520
Speaker 3: what Mayer said. I feel like he goes in strings

750
00:31:17,560 --> 00:31:20,160
Speaker 3: as well. He's certainly no cal Raley, but I guess

751
00:31:20,240 --> 00:31:22,200
Speaker 3: if you want someone else in that lineup, you can

752
00:31:22,280 --> 00:31:22,680
Speaker 3: have him.

753
00:31:22,920 --> 00:31:25,360
Speaker 2: Kelly, who's your favorite hitter that you can pick up

754
00:31:25,400 --> 00:31:25,800
Speaker 2: right now?

755
00:31:26,320 --> 00:31:30,320
Speaker 3: I just like watching Mayor's face when I talk. I

756
00:31:30,360 --> 00:31:34,080
Speaker 3: had this guy last year and he frustrated me NonStop.

757
00:31:34,560 --> 00:31:38,240
Speaker 3: So I'm going with MJ. Melndez. And the primary reason

758
00:31:38,280 --> 00:31:40,520
Speaker 3: I'm going with him is basically that all of his

759
00:31:40,680 --> 00:31:43,320
Speaker 3: like underlying numbers for sure for the second half of

760
00:31:43,360 --> 00:31:47,000
Speaker 3: the season, were actually really good. His hard hit percentage

761
00:31:47,240 --> 00:31:51,080
Speaker 3: went up like over six percent last year in general,

762
00:31:51,120 --> 00:31:54,480
Speaker 3: so it is very confusing why he didn't hit more homers. Why,

763
00:31:54,560 --> 00:31:58,240
Speaker 3: you know, aside from striking out a bunch, though some

764
00:31:58,280 --> 00:32:01,120
Speaker 3: of those hits should have fallen. Some are gonna leave ballperks,

765
00:32:01,120 --> 00:32:03,480
Speaker 3: and I think they're gonna happen this year, much like

766
00:32:03,600 --> 00:32:06,560
Speaker 3: I feel like lineup matters. He's projected to hit fifth,

767
00:32:07,000 --> 00:32:11,400
Speaker 3: so he's behind the with Pascontino Perez. I could see

768
00:32:11,480 --> 00:32:13,760
Speaker 3: him moving up in that if they would, if they

769
00:32:13,800 --> 00:32:17,360
Speaker 3: decided to kind of flip a couple of people. So yeah,

770
00:32:17,400 --> 00:32:20,960
Speaker 3: I'm I feel like he's been left out because he's

771
00:32:20,960 --> 00:32:24,320
Speaker 3: lost catcher eligibility. Pretty much everywhere, but not in Yahoo leagues.

772
00:32:24,320 --> 00:32:26,800
Speaker 3: But I think I have catch your eligibility in Yahoo leagues,

773
00:32:26,840 --> 00:32:30,600
Speaker 3: and so it is it's worth it, I think to go.

774
00:32:31,400 --> 00:32:33,560
Speaker 3: I know well and I once drove by drive line,

775
00:32:33,600 --> 00:32:37,280
Speaker 3: so does that count maybe? But anyway, I just think

776
00:32:37,280 --> 00:32:39,280
Speaker 3: he's a good option and he's out there if you

777
00:32:39,280 --> 00:32:42,160
Speaker 3: need an outfielder, especially in like five outfielder leagues. I

778
00:32:42,200 --> 00:32:43,920
Speaker 3: think that there are a lot of guys that were

779
00:32:43,960 --> 00:32:46,960
Speaker 3: drafted that I'm going to drop in favor of him.

780
00:32:47,040 --> 00:32:49,960
Speaker 1: So yeah, if you look on his page on Fantasy

781
00:32:50,000 --> 00:32:54,160
Speaker 1: Pros at the roster percentage section, it's Yahoo fifty four percent,

782
00:32:54,480 --> 00:32:58,120
Speaker 1: ESPN twelve percent. That is very much driven by the

783
00:32:58,200 --> 00:33:01,280
Speaker 1: catcher eligibility. May any quick thoughts on Melendez.

784
00:33:01,680 --> 00:33:03,840
Speaker 5: I haven't really thought about him much this offseason until

785
00:33:03,880 --> 00:33:06,040
Speaker 5: last night and that deep deep draft where I was

786
00:33:06,160 --> 00:33:10,560
Speaker 5: you know, I went pitching heavy early, and outfield I

787
00:33:10,600 --> 00:33:12,720
Speaker 5: did not. I locked in like two studoutfielders, and then

788
00:33:12,720 --> 00:33:14,080
Speaker 5: I just kind of forgot that I had three more

789
00:33:14,120 --> 00:33:16,360
Speaker 5: to fill. And so once we got started getting into

790
00:33:16,360 --> 00:33:18,520
Speaker 5: like the teen rounds, I kind of had to fill

791
00:33:18,520 --> 00:33:21,160
Speaker 5: those outfield spots. So I did get m J. Melendez

792
00:33:21,240 --> 00:33:23,720
Speaker 5: last night in the twentieth round, it picked two ninety seven,

793
00:33:23,840 --> 00:33:26,680
Speaker 5: so I will also this is my first share, and

794
00:33:26,720 --> 00:33:28,400
Speaker 5: it was because for the same reason, I was kind

795
00:33:28,440 --> 00:33:29,520
Speaker 5: of like, well, he's not a catcher anymore.

796
00:33:29,520 --> 00:33:31,760
Speaker 4: What do I care? Now? I care? I care. I

797
00:33:31,760 --> 00:33:32,600
Speaker 4: hope he's a good now.

798
00:33:33,560 --> 00:33:36,400
Speaker 2: Both Kelly and Mayor and on MJ. Melendez.

799
00:33:36,400 --> 00:33:38,120
Speaker 1: That's those are the guys that are planting their flag

800
00:33:38,160 --> 00:33:41,320
Speaker 1: on this season. Mayor, who's your favorite pitcher that you

801
00:33:41,320 --> 00:33:42,200
Speaker 1: can pick up right now?

802
00:33:43,760 --> 00:33:46,720
Speaker 5: My favorite pitcher maybe not my favorite picture, but a

803
00:33:46,760 --> 00:33:49,680
Speaker 5: picture I'm picking up it was available is Michael Kopek.

804
00:33:49,760 --> 00:33:51,880
Speaker 5: And it's also a picture I massively overpaid for at

805
00:33:51,920 --> 00:33:55,920
Speaker 5: TGFBI buy a lot of money, which I was was

806
00:33:55,920 --> 00:33:58,640
Speaker 5: talking to Kelly. You know, Waivers run at like ten

807
00:33:58,680 --> 00:34:01,680
Speaker 5: pm Eastern on Sunday nights. I was like, I was

808
00:34:01,880 --> 00:34:03,720
Speaker 5: slacking with Kelly. Like as it happened, I was like,

809
00:34:03,720 --> 00:34:06,280
Speaker 5: I'm about to massly overpay Michael go back. And I

810
00:34:06,320 --> 00:34:08,520
Speaker 5: did by a lot, not as much as some other

811
00:34:08,520 --> 00:34:10,160
Speaker 5: people who I saw overpay, but like I think the

812
00:34:10,200 --> 00:34:12,319
Speaker 5: next closest bid to me was like one hundred dollars less.

813
00:34:12,360 --> 00:34:14,719
Speaker 5: So I are overpaid by a lot and it's all.

814
00:34:14,800 --> 00:34:16,440
Speaker 5: It's because I'm banking on him being the closer for

815
00:34:16,480 --> 00:34:18,600
Speaker 5: the White Sox. And everyone wants the closer for the

816
00:34:18,600 --> 00:34:20,320
Speaker 5: White Sox because they're going to win one hundred games.

817
00:34:20,520 --> 00:34:21,759
Speaker 4: No they're not, but.

818
00:34:23,480 --> 00:34:25,800
Speaker 5: He's going to be valuable in some leagues if s

819
00:34:25,920 --> 00:34:28,239
Speaker 5: p rpligibility matters. I'm not in a ton of those,

820
00:34:28,280 --> 00:34:30,799
Speaker 5: but you know that absolutely matters in some leagues. It

821
00:34:30,840 --> 00:34:32,200
Speaker 5: matters if you're going to be in a safe ley,

822
00:34:32,239 --> 00:34:34,480
Speaker 5: because I do think he's going to be the closer

823
00:34:34,520 --> 00:34:35,840
Speaker 5: for the White Sox, and I think he could be

824
00:34:35,880 --> 00:34:38,160
Speaker 5: a really good closer for the For the White Sox,

825
00:34:39,400 --> 00:34:42,200
Speaker 5: the strikeout ability has always been there. He's been a

826
00:34:42,200 --> 00:34:46,319
Speaker 5: little inconsistently pretty much everywhere else, including staying healthy. But

827
00:34:47,520 --> 00:34:49,239
Speaker 5: even a few years ago, I kind of thought, like,

828
00:34:49,280 --> 00:34:51,800
Speaker 5: this guy is destined to like be a good closer

829
00:34:51,880 --> 00:34:54,640
Speaker 5: and be in be in the bullpen. And maybe I'm

830
00:34:54,640 --> 00:34:57,239
Speaker 5: just fulfilling my own prophecy by overpaying for him to

831
00:34:57,280 --> 00:34:58,279
Speaker 5: make him, you know.

832
00:34:58,239 --> 00:34:59,440
Speaker 4: The best closer in baseball.

833
00:34:59,719 --> 00:35:03,600
Speaker 5: But he's available pretty much everywhere, and like saves are

834
00:35:03,640 --> 00:35:06,399
Speaker 5: very viable, especially if you're in saves only leagues, and

835
00:35:07,360 --> 00:35:08,399
Speaker 5: you also don't need to.

836
00:35:08,320 --> 00:35:10,200
Speaker 1: Be on a good team to get a lot of saves,

837
00:35:10,200 --> 00:35:13,080
Speaker 1: because bad teams win games not by blowing them out.

838
00:35:13,160 --> 00:35:15,759
Speaker 1: That if they're getting win, it's probably a save opportunity,

839
00:35:15,880 --> 00:35:18,960
Speaker 1: so right, if anything, it's it might even be a

840
00:35:19,000 --> 00:35:21,279
Speaker 1: point in his favor from that perspective.

841
00:35:22,160 --> 00:35:23,759
Speaker 4: Yeah, that is. It was kind of the double edged

842
00:35:23,760 --> 00:35:24,239
Speaker 4: sword there.

843
00:35:24,800 --> 00:35:26,319
Speaker 2: Yeah, Kelly, what do you think about him?

844
00:35:27,200 --> 00:35:28,759
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm a big fan of him. I think that

845
00:35:28,960 --> 00:35:33,520
Speaker 3: he's gonna end up closing. I feel like he definitely

846
00:35:33,600 --> 00:35:35,759
Speaker 3: fits the mold for a guy that you want to

847
00:35:35,800 --> 00:35:37,920
Speaker 3: be a closer. And I'm also a big fan of

848
00:35:37,920 --> 00:35:40,120
Speaker 3: closers on bad teams for that exact reason. That's in

849
00:35:40,160 --> 00:35:42,400
Speaker 3: that they're all one run games or two run games.

850
00:35:42,440 --> 00:35:46,000
Speaker 3: And if he's dominant, the White Sox might just be

851
00:35:46,040 --> 00:35:48,040
Speaker 3: dumb enough to even flip him at the dead line

852
00:35:48,040 --> 00:35:51,279
Speaker 3: to somebody who needs one, so even though he's young

853
00:35:51,320 --> 00:35:54,280
Speaker 3: and under control. But yeah, I like Copec a lot.

854
00:35:54,560 --> 00:35:56,439
Speaker 2: And who's your pitcher pick up of the week?

855
00:35:57,120 --> 00:35:59,600
Speaker 3: Well, I was actually gonna I have one that's a

856
00:35:59,640 --> 00:36:01,520
Speaker 3: little lesser known, But I just want to make a

857
00:36:01,520 --> 00:36:04,240
Speaker 3: plug for Mason Miller for exactly all the same reasons

858
00:36:04,239 --> 00:36:08,560
Speaker 3: that we just said everything about Kopec because if Oakland

859
00:36:08,560 --> 00:36:11,080
Speaker 3: doesn't make him their closer, I don't really know for

860
00:36:11,120 --> 00:36:14,200
Speaker 3: sure what they're doing with themselves. But I also it's Oakland.

861
00:36:14,239 --> 00:36:16,799
Speaker 3: I don't ever know what they're doing with themselves. So

862
00:36:16,840 --> 00:36:18,480
Speaker 3: the guy I picked is actually really kind of more

863
00:36:18,480 --> 00:36:22,680
Speaker 3: of a deep deeper league. Look at is Chase still

864
00:36:22,719 --> 00:36:26,120
Speaker 3: seth for the for the Angels. I had him last

865
00:36:26,160 --> 00:36:29,279
Speaker 3: year and he turned in a couple of performances that

866
00:36:29,320 --> 00:36:31,680
Speaker 3: were fantastic before he got injured. I was actually riding

867
00:36:31,960 --> 00:36:36,840
Speaker 3: him into the playoffs pretty well. So he has also

868
00:36:36,960 --> 00:36:41,360
Speaker 3: has good underlying numbers. He struck out twenty five percent

869
00:36:41,960 --> 00:36:44,360
Speaker 3: batters last year in spring training, which you know it

870
00:36:44,480 --> 00:36:49,000
Speaker 3: matters gigantically. He's striking out thirty over thirty percent and

871
00:36:49,200 --> 00:36:51,759
Speaker 3: walking only four So if he can settle in a

872
00:36:51,760 --> 00:36:54,840
Speaker 3: little bit to kind of lower that walk rate, things

873
00:36:54,880 --> 00:36:57,319
Speaker 3: can I think go in his favor. But there's just

874
00:36:57,360 --> 00:37:00,520
Speaker 3: a lot that I like about him most definitely that

875
00:37:00,560 --> 00:37:03,480
Speaker 3: if he can strike out that twenty four percent batters,

876
00:37:03,560 --> 00:37:07,640
Speaker 3: then he's free like he's he's not. He's not rostered

877
00:37:07,680 --> 00:37:09,959
Speaker 3: anywhere for the most part, so I think he's worth

878
00:37:09,960 --> 00:37:11,760
Speaker 3: going out, especially with pitcher injuries.

879
00:37:12,360 --> 00:37:14,919
Speaker 2: Definitely somebody flying under the radar.

880
00:37:15,160 --> 00:37:18,239
Speaker 1: When you entered him his name into the outline, I

881
00:37:18,280 --> 00:37:20,200
Speaker 1: went to pull him up and just check his recent

882
00:37:20,280 --> 00:37:23,000
Speaker 1: news and notes on our site, and the most recent

883
00:37:23,200 --> 00:37:26,960
Speaker 1: player news Chase Silseth a place on concussion I l

884
00:37:27,320 --> 00:37:29,880
Speaker 1: retroacted to August twenty seven, thirty weeks ago.

885
00:37:29,880 --> 00:37:34,040
Speaker 2: Was a ubdate. So definitely not reallybuddy that people are, you.

886
00:37:34,000 --> 00:37:37,440
Speaker 1: Know, clamoring about right and left marriage. Do you have

887
00:37:37,520 --> 00:37:39,000
Speaker 1: any thoughts on Chase Silseth.

888
00:37:39,840 --> 00:37:42,640
Speaker 5: I'll tell you one thought because while Kelly was talking,

889
00:37:42,680 --> 00:37:44,680
Speaker 5: I looked up where he went in that draft last night.

890
00:37:44,800 --> 00:37:47,799
Speaker 5: He went in the twenty fifth round, three hundred and

891
00:37:47,840 --> 00:37:51,560
Speaker 5: seventy first overall, and the person who drafted him used

892
00:37:51,640 --> 00:37:54,400
Speaker 5: fifty four of their fifty five seconds on the clock,

893
00:37:54,480 --> 00:37:59,160
Speaker 5: so they really thought long and hard about drafting him.

894
00:37:59,680 --> 00:38:01,640
Speaker 2: That's great sign.

895
00:38:03,160 --> 00:38:03,399
Speaker 3: Yep.

896
00:38:04,040 --> 00:38:06,720
Speaker 1: All right, that'll wrap up our time with Kelly. Kelly,

897
00:38:06,760 --> 00:38:08,759
Speaker 1: thank you so much for coming on again. Obviously you

898
00:38:08,800 --> 00:38:11,080
Speaker 1: will fill in for mayor me here and there. You

899
00:38:11,120 --> 00:38:13,399
Speaker 1: will be on as a guest here and there, so

900
00:38:14,000 --> 00:38:15,520
Speaker 1: you know you will certainly be back on the show

901
00:38:15,520 --> 00:38:17,480
Speaker 1: plenty of times. But I appreciate you making the time.

902
00:38:17,560 --> 00:38:18,919
Speaker 1: How'd you feel about episode one?

903
00:38:19,480 --> 00:38:21,080
Speaker 3: I loved it. I love what you guys are doing,

904
00:38:21,080 --> 00:38:23,840
Speaker 3: and I'm very excited to participate whenever you'd like me to,

905
00:38:24,120 --> 00:38:26,680
Speaker 3: or just have me sit here and stare mayor down

906
00:38:26,760 --> 00:38:27,839
Speaker 3: for you whatever you need.

907
00:38:28,040 --> 00:38:30,920
Speaker 1: So we will be very excited to have you back. Everybody,

908
00:38:30,960 --> 00:38:33,440
Speaker 1: stick around and we will be right back with Chris Welsh.

909
00:38:35,400 --> 00:38:39,279
Speaker 1: We are back, joined now by Chris Welsh. Welsh, thank

910
00:38:39,320 --> 00:38:41,320
Speaker 1: you so much for coming on to the first episode.

911
00:38:41,360 --> 00:38:42,440
Speaker 2: You are, of course.

912
00:38:42,160 --> 00:38:45,040
Speaker 1: Here to talk about prospects slash rookies because some of

913
00:38:45,080 --> 00:38:47,680
Speaker 1: these guys are now on big league rosters.

914
00:38:47,719 --> 00:38:49,040
Speaker 2: First of all, thank you for coming on.

915
00:38:49,280 --> 00:38:51,239
Speaker 6: Hey, thank you guys for having me. I'm excited for

916
00:38:51,280 --> 00:38:53,040
Speaker 6: the show. I get to hear it every single week,

917
00:38:53,080 --> 00:38:56,160
Speaker 6: be a part of this awesome stuff with to my

918
00:38:56,200 --> 00:38:58,160
Speaker 6: good buddies, two buddies I got to hang with. And

919
00:38:58,360 --> 00:39:00,000
Speaker 6: you know, when you think of cycles, by the way

920
00:39:00,080 --> 00:39:02,000
Speaker 6: you clearly think of me. You guys got to see

921
00:39:02,000 --> 00:39:05,400
Speaker 6: my athletic skill in person. It was football, not baseball,

922
00:39:05,440 --> 00:39:07,360
Speaker 6: but you definitely think of cycles.

923
00:39:07,120 --> 00:39:10,600
Speaker 1: Chris the cycle of Welsh as we started calling him recently.

924
00:39:11,800 --> 00:39:12,080
Speaker 2: Mayor.

925
00:39:12,560 --> 00:39:13,960
Speaker 1: You know we talked when we were first trying to

926
00:39:13,960 --> 00:39:16,640
Speaker 1: plan out this show as we want to have sort

927
00:39:16,640 --> 00:39:19,839
Speaker 1: of a prospect corner element to this show where we're

928
00:39:19,880 --> 00:39:23,200
Speaker 1: talking about guys in the minors. Maybe it's a dynasty look,

929
00:39:23,239 --> 00:39:25,520
Speaker 1: maybe it's a prospects to stash kind of look.

930
00:39:25,960 --> 00:39:28,279
Speaker 2: But I know you are also excited to have well, Shan.

931
00:39:28,719 --> 00:39:30,919
Speaker 5: Yeah, absolutely, and especially like you and I have both

932
00:39:30,960 --> 00:39:32,800
Speaker 5: talked about wanting to do a lot of like dynasty

933
00:39:32,840 --> 00:39:35,520
Speaker 5: stuff too, and so Welsh is a perfect you know,

934
00:39:36,080 --> 00:39:38,880
Speaker 5: expert to have on for that. I'm more of like

935
00:39:38,920 --> 00:39:40,879
Speaker 5: a numbers guy when it comes in when it comes

936
00:39:40,920 --> 00:39:43,360
Speaker 5: to like evaluating prospects, I just look at like their history.

937
00:39:43,400 --> 00:39:45,360
Speaker 5: I look at the metrics I'm looking for. But Welsh

938
00:39:45,440 --> 00:39:47,759
Speaker 5: is out there actually like going to spring training games

939
00:39:47,760 --> 00:39:50,439
Speaker 5: in Arizona, so he's seen these guys in person more

940
00:39:50,480 --> 00:39:51,920
Speaker 5: than I definitely haven't, and.

941
00:39:51,920 --> 00:39:53,560
Speaker 6: Trying to talk to it and try to talk to

942
00:39:53,560 --> 00:39:54,759
Speaker 6: some of them, you know, some of the guys we're

943
00:39:54,800 --> 00:39:57,919
Speaker 6: going to talk about. I had one of these big names,

944
00:39:57,920 --> 00:39:59,880
Speaker 6: one of the biggest names were well not the biggest name,

945
00:39:59,880 --> 00:40:02,839
Speaker 6: but the most exciting recent one I've I did an

946
00:40:02,840 --> 00:40:04,520
Speaker 6: interview with on my Prospect one show.

947
00:40:04,760 --> 00:40:07,720
Speaker 2: I was at the debut of a couple of these guys.

948
00:40:08,120 --> 00:40:12,399
Speaker 6: I was actually in an autograph signing a friend of mine,

949
00:40:12,440 --> 00:40:14,839
Speaker 6: Dennis Siddler, has one of these guys we're gonna talk

950
00:40:14,840 --> 00:40:17,000
Speaker 6: about in an exclusive client and I hung out with

951
00:40:17,120 --> 00:40:17,440
Speaker 6: one of.

952
00:40:17,400 --> 00:40:19,960
Speaker 2: These guys for two hours. So yeah, I.

953
00:40:19,920 --> 00:40:23,640
Speaker 6: Definitely bring like in field experience, but I love the

954
00:40:23,719 --> 00:40:26,880
Speaker 6: extracurricular weird stuff of like whether I'm a part of

955
00:40:26,920 --> 00:40:29,799
Speaker 6: a debut or talking to a guy or being around them.

956
00:40:29,880 --> 00:40:31,799
Speaker 6: And I do have a history with quite a few

957
00:40:31,800 --> 00:40:32,360
Speaker 6: of these guys.

958
00:40:32,680 --> 00:40:34,799
Speaker 2: Let's jump into some of these names here. We'll start

959
00:40:34,800 --> 00:40:35,640
Speaker 2: with the prospects.

960
00:40:35,800 --> 00:40:37,160
Speaker 1: And you know what I asked well Sh to do

961
00:40:37,239 --> 00:40:39,960
Speaker 1: for this episode is, you know, in the future, he's

962
00:40:39,960 --> 00:40:42,160
Speaker 1: gonna be on a lot this season. If one of

963
00:40:42,160 --> 00:40:44,080
Speaker 1: these guys gets called up, we're gonna have him on

964
00:40:44,200 --> 00:40:46,120
Speaker 1: and like dive deep if like a top prospect is

965
00:40:46,160 --> 00:40:48,400
Speaker 1: coming up. For today, I wanted to hit on a

966
00:40:48,440 --> 00:40:50,720
Speaker 1: bunch of names and include the guys who made opening

967
00:40:50,800 --> 00:40:52,799
Speaker 1: day rosters and the guys who did.

968
00:40:52,840 --> 00:40:54,120
Speaker 2: So let's start with the guys who did.

969
00:40:54,560 --> 00:40:56,919
Speaker 1: We talked earlier in this episode about in our Bold

970
00:40:56,920 --> 00:41:00,200
Speaker 1: Predictions article on the site. This week, four of the

971
00:41:00,360 --> 00:41:03,560
Speaker 1: twelve or so submissions for bold Predictions. Where about why

972
00:41:03,560 --> 00:41:06,960
Speaker 1: at Langford he is an extremely exciting hitter who did

973
00:41:06,960 --> 00:41:09,960
Speaker 1: make the Rangers opening day roster, obviously was a one

974
00:41:09,960 --> 00:41:12,200
Speaker 1: of the top picks you know, in that elite top

975
00:41:12,239 --> 00:41:15,400
Speaker 1: five grouping in last year's draft class has done nothing

976
00:41:15,480 --> 00:41:18,960
Speaker 1: to you know, keep expectations down since being drafted.

977
00:41:19,000 --> 00:41:21,040
Speaker 2: Obviously dominated at Florida.

978
00:41:21,320 --> 00:41:24,400
Speaker 1: So well, I mean, my main question with Langford is like,

979
00:41:24,440 --> 00:41:27,040
Speaker 1: to what degree is this hype actually justified? Is he

980
00:41:27,120 --> 00:41:29,320
Speaker 1: somebody that a year from now people will be drafting

981
00:41:29,360 --> 00:41:31,640
Speaker 1: in the top two or three rounds in their redraft leagues?

982
00:41:31,760 --> 00:41:31,960
Speaker 2: Yeah?

983
00:41:31,960 --> 00:41:32,400
Speaker 4: I think so.

984
00:41:32,520 --> 00:41:34,920
Speaker 6: I h one way to equate it. I wouldn't be

985
00:41:34,960 --> 00:41:38,120
Speaker 6: surprised if it went this path is I could see

986
00:41:38,120 --> 00:41:40,640
Speaker 6: this going the Gunner Henderson path, because look at Gunner.

987
00:41:40,640 --> 00:41:43,319
Speaker 6: How high were we drafted Gunner is about last year

988
00:41:43,760 --> 00:41:47,719
Speaker 6: roughly white Langford costs. I would say his path was

989
00:41:47,760 --> 00:41:51,160
Speaker 6: different than my bay Cormyn Carrol's a little bit different

990
00:41:51,200 --> 00:41:54,680
Speaker 6: because Gunner was a real problem. At one point. Gunner

991
00:41:55,000 --> 00:41:57,960
Speaker 6: was potential cut and then he completely bounced back. And

992
00:41:57,960 --> 00:41:59,360
Speaker 6: then you go and look and you look at his

993
00:41:59,400 --> 00:42:01,600
Speaker 6: stats and you're like, like these are great. They remember,

994
00:42:01,600 --> 00:42:04,920
Speaker 6: weren't like mine numbing stats and we also, you know,

995
00:42:05,000 --> 00:42:07,239
Speaker 6: clearly had this big bump. I'm pretty critical by the

996
00:42:07,239 --> 00:42:12,040
Speaker 6: way of how fantasy analysts like wipe away the bat.

997
00:42:12,160 --> 00:42:14,560
Speaker 6: Now specifically, what I'm saying is like, oh, we love

998
00:42:14,600 --> 00:42:16,200
Speaker 6: this guy, we love this guy, and then they stink

999
00:42:16,280 --> 00:42:18,040
Speaker 6: to a cuttable level and then they bounce back and

1000
00:42:18,080 --> 00:42:20,680
Speaker 6: everyone's like, ah, I was right, and it's like, no,

1001
00:42:21,200 --> 00:42:24,600
Speaker 6: you weren't, because this guy stunk and was potentially cuttable.

1002
00:42:24,840 --> 00:42:26,640
Speaker 6: And that just happened to me, by the way, So

1003
00:42:26,760 --> 00:42:28,880
Speaker 6: like you have to think about like not trying to

1004
00:42:28,880 --> 00:42:30,680
Speaker 6: be like accountable, but that's like the thing that goes

1005
00:42:30,719 --> 00:42:32,759
Speaker 6: along with some of these guys. So wrapping this all

1006
00:42:32,800 --> 00:42:35,920
Speaker 6: around and why I specifically picked on Gunner is that

1007
00:42:36,000 --> 00:42:38,960
Speaker 6: I do think there's the possibility that there could be

1008
00:42:39,000 --> 00:42:41,359
Speaker 6: a little bit of down for Whiteling for this year.

1009
00:42:41,640 --> 00:42:45,160
Speaker 6: I don't think that's al realma possibility. Early on, he's

1010
00:42:45,160 --> 00:42:48,320
Speaker 6: still adjusting to MLB. I think he could get pitched

1011
00:42:48,320 --> 00:42:50,400
Speaker 6: to a level of like a lot of high fastballs

1012
00:42:50,400 --> 00:42:52,160
Speaker 6: which he might push into the ground. He had some

1013
00:42:52,160 --> 00:42:54,840
Speaker 6: ground ball stuff in spring. I just wouldn't be surprised

1014
00:42:54,840 --> 00:42:56,160
Speaker 6: if that happens. But here's what I do think. I

1015
00:42:56,200 --> 00:42:58,840
Speaker 6: think he's going to adjust. I think he is a

1016
00:42:58,920 --> 00:43:03,839
Speaker 6: generational hype talent because of the fast turned the guy

1017
00:43:03,920 --> 00:43:06,920
Speaker 6: gets on base. He doesn't strike out at crazy clips.

1018
00:43:06,920 --> 00:43:09,680
Speaker 6: He definitely shows some incredible ability to get the ball

1019
00:43:09,680 --> 00:43:11,359
Speaker 6: in the air, he can run. It's a five tool

1020
00:43:11,360 --> 00:43:13,440
Speaker 6: player I actually like in it. I think it's kind

1021
00:43:13,440 --> 00:43:15,080
Speaker 6: of Mike Troutish. I think he looks kind of Mike

1022
00:43:15,120 --> 00:43:17,359
Speaker 6: Troutish as well in the game in general. But I

1023
00:43:17,600 --> 00:43:21,799
Speaker 6: think the possibility that he could struggle is there, So

1024
00:43:21,800 --> 00:43:23,920
Speaker 6: how do we wrap it and come back around that.

1025
00:43:24,040 --> 00:43:25,640
Speaker 6: I think the cost when you take him in the

1026
00:43:25,680 --> 00:43:28,400
Speaker 6: sixties or seventies, I think that's fine because it builds

1027
00:43:28,440 --> 00:43:31,720
Speaker 6: the upside. I think him as a prospect uniquely unlike

1028
00:43:31,760 --> 00:43:34,719
Speaker 6: some of these other guys, don't have that floor, and

1029
00:43:34,800 --> 00:43:36,960
Speaker 6: I think push comes to shove by the end of

1030
00:43:36,960 --> 00:43:39,640
Speaker 6: the season. I think he's gonna have pretty wild RBI numbers,

1031
00:43:39,640 --> 00:43:42,279
Speaker 6: probably some good run numbers, probably eighty five plus on

1032
00:43:42,360 --> 00:43:45,840
Speaker 6: both twenty plus homers, Maybe he touches the twenty stolen bases.

1033
00:43:45,840 --> 00:43:47,879
Speaker 6: I think it'll all come together, but I don't think

1034
00:43:47,880 --> 00:43:50,240
Speaker 6: it'll be this linear path where everyone's.

1035
00:43:49,800 --> 00:43:53,480
Speaker 2: Like, uh, look at me. I told you, yeah.

1036
00:43:53,280 --> 00:43:56,480
Speaker 4: So you're penciling in twenty twenty, then no, I.

1037
00:43:56,440 --> 00:43:58,000
Speaker 6: Actually think the stolen base are gonna be a little

1038
00:43:58,000 --> 00:43:59,960
Speaker 6: bit lower. Actually, the CBS guys had me come on

1039
00:44:00,080 --> 00:44:02,600
Speaker 6: and we created it's this very detailed system. It was

1040
00:44:02,640 --> 00:44:07,080
Speaker 6: called Chris Welsh or it was Chris the Welsh projections,

1041
00:44:07,360 --> 00:44:09,360
Speaker 6: where I just had to make up my projections for

1042
00:44:09,440 --> 00:44:12,520
Speaker 6: prospects and I had Wyatt under the twenty stolen bases.

1043
00:44:12,560 --> 00:44:14,719
Speaker 6: I don't think he's going to steal it a crazy clip.

1044
00:44:14,760 --> 00:44:16,680
Speaker 6: If I remember correctly when I was doing the research,

1045
00:44:16,840 --> 00:44:18,800
Speaker 6: I think the Rangers stole the least amount of basses

1046
00:44:18,880 --> 00:44:21,560
Speaker 6: last season, So I don't think he's gonna be the

1047
00:44:21,560 --> 00:44:24,239
Speaker 6: guy that's gonna be running like crazy. I liken it

1048
00:44:24,320 --> 00:44:27,960
Speaker 6: more to like twenty five fifteen. That's where I think

1049
00:44:27,960 --> 00:44:28,560
Speaker 6: it's gonna sit.

1050
00:44:29,200 --> 00:44:29,399
Speaker 2: Well.

1051
00:44:29,440 --> 00:44:31,120
Speaker 1: The next guy I want to ask you about is

1052
00:44:31,560 --> 00:44:34,640
Speaker 1: another elite prospect and a guy who has the.

1053
00:44:34,680 --> 00:44:35,640
Speaker 2: Speed to run quite a bit.

1054
00:44:35,840 --> 00:44:38,480
Speaker 1: You know, he's been a true power speed threat in

1055
00:44:38,680 --> 00:44:41,239
Speaker 1: the miners, you know, since bursting out of the scene

1056
00:44:41,239 --> 00:44:43,279
Speaker 1: a couple of years ago. That's Jackson Curio, who got

1057
00:44:43,280 --> 00:44:45,359
Speaker 1: the big contract, So we knew there was a really

1058
00:44:45,360 --> 00:44:46,720
Speaker 1: good chance he was going to be on the opening

1059
00:44:46,760 --> 00:44:49,400
Speaker 1: day roster if he, you know, didn't completely fall on

1060
00:44:49,440 --> 00:44:51,360
Speaker 1: his flate face, which he did not in spring training.

1061
00:44:51,400 --> 00:44:54,000
Speaker 1: So he, you know, is going to be starting in

1062
00:44:54,000 --> 00:44:56,880
Speaker 1: the opening day lineup. They said, uh, just earlier today.

1063
00:44:56,920 --> 00:45:00,640
Speaker 1: So Jackson Curio uber talented power speed guy. I've said,

1064
00:45:00,880 --> 00:45:02,359
Speaker 1: you know, I've liken him to like a very very

1065
00:45:02,480 --> 00:45:05,440
Speaker 1: very poor man's Akunya, but like that kind of can

1066
00:45:05,480 --> 00:45:09,359
Speaker 1: contribute in those types of categories. Super young, still super inexperience.

1067
00:45:09,640 --> 00:45:10,839
Speaker 1: What's your hype level for him?

1068
00:45:11,000 --> 00:45:12,279
Speaker 6: Yeah, And this is the guy, by the way, that

1069
00:45:12,400 --> 00:45:13,920
Speaker 6: I hung out with for a little bit, and he's

1070
00:45:13,960 --> 00:45:17,360
Speaker 6: so funny. He's actually a really funny guy. Too energetic dude.

1071
00:45:17,560 --> 00:45:18,160
Speaker 3: And that.

1072
00:45:19,880 --> 00:45:21,960
Speaker 6: Comp that you gave, I remember Chris Blessing telling you

1073
00:45:21,960 --> 00:45:24,080
Speaker 6: that a couple of years ago. I've seen Cherio a

1074
00:45:24,080 --> 00:45:25,839
Speaker 6: whole bunch out here, but he had kind of thrown

1075
00:45:25,840 --> 00:45:28,680
Speaker 6: that comp out there as well. So Cheerio's in a

1076
00:45:28,760 --> 00:45:32,360
Speaker 6: unique situation. I do think of like the big big prospects,

1077
00:45:32,440 --> 00:45:36,640
Speaker 6: he's the one that has the most susceptibility to bad

1078
00:45:36,640 --> 00:45:38,480
Speaker 6: batting average, and it's like he's going to or anything

1079
00:45:38,480 --> 00:45:40,960
Speaker 6: like that. And he has cut his strikeouts down, but

1080
00:45:41,040 --> 00:45:44,560
Speaker 6: it's been this gradual strikeout cut from the lower levels

1081
00:45:44,640 --> 00:45:46,440
Speaker 6: up to the higher When you get to the majors,

1082
00:45:46,440 --> 00:45:48,360
Speaker 6: it's gonna be a lot different. You're gonna be jid,

1083
00:45:48,800 --> 00:45:50,560
Speaker 6: you know. I mean there's a lot of great prospects

1084
00:45:50,640 --> 00:45:52,640
Speaker 6: pictures and the miners and stuff like that, but every

1085
00:45:52,680 --> 00:45:56,400
Speaker 6: picture is amazing. And whether they're throwing ninety seven with

1086
00:45:56,440 --> 00:45:59,279
Speaker 6: a bunch of ride or they're throwing ninety with elite command, like,

1087
00:45:59,320 --> 00:46:01,200
Speaker 6: it's gonna be a different game. So the thing with

1088
00:46:01,320 --> 00:46:03,480
Speaker 6: sure you is I trying to build this in like

1089
00:46:03,560 --> 00:46:05,160
Speaker 6: I think he's gonna be good. I think these are

1090
00:46:05,280 --> 00:46:07,440
Speaker 6: generational type of prospects. I don't I'm trying to not

1091
00:46:07,440 --> 00:46:09,759
Speaker 6: trying to throw around all these like euphemisms of oh

1092
00:46:09,760 --> 00:46:12,239
Speaker 6: they're all amazing, but like, this is gonna be an

1093
00:46:12,239 --> 00:46:14,200
Speaker 6: elite class of guys that we're gonna end up seeing

1094
00:46:14,200 --> 00:46:16,920
Speaker 6: that last year Carolyn Gunner were as well. But will

1095
00:46:16,960 --> 00:46:18,880
Speaker 6: there be struggles? Yeah, I think there can be. I

1096
00:46:18,920 --> 00:46:20,799
Speaker 6: think there could be a much higher strikeout rate than

1097
00:46:20,800 --> 00:46:22,480
Speaker 6: people are giving when they look at like, you know,

1098
00:46:22,560 --> 00:46:23,719
Speaker 6: a twenty percent.

1099
00:46:23,480 --> 00:46:24,279
Speaker 2: Strike cut rate guy.

1100
00:46:24,520 --> 00:46:26,520
Speaker 6: I think he could struggle with some RBI numbers because

1101
00:46:26,560 --> 00:46:28,959
Speaker 6: I think Pat Murphy is going to be a real pain,

1102
00:46:29,400 --> 00:46:31,600
Speaker 6: is gonna it's gonna take so much to push him

1103
00:46:31,680 --> 00:46:34,000
Speaker 6: up the lineup. It might take every player fracturing their

1104
00:46:34,000 --> 00:46:36,399
Speaker 6: wrist like Errett Mitchell for him to gradually move up.

1105
00:46:36,760 --> 00:46:39,400
Speaker 6: So it's like, I think the RBI numbers might be

1106
00:46:39,480 --> 00:46:42,120
Speaker 6: kind of black. I think he's gonna score decent amount

1107
00:46:42,160 --> 00:46:46,160
Speaker 6: of runs. I think he's gonna steal exponentially more bases

1108
00:46:46,239 --> 00:46:48,480
Speaker 6: than power and I think I think my projection I

1109
00:46:48,480 --> 00:46:51,719
Speaker 6: put him around like there's like eighteen homers and like

1110
00:46:51,800 --> 00:46:54,160
Speaker 6: the thirty stolen base mark. Again, this is another player.

1111
00:46:54,200 --> 00:46:56,879
Speaker 6: Top seventy five is great, but there there there can

1112
00:46:56,920 --> 00:46:58,799
Speaker 6: be some up and downs. I would bet more up

1113
00:46:58,840 --> 00:47:02,279
Speaker 6: and downs from a like ooh, this is getting bad

1114
00:47:02,320 --> 00:47:05,600
Speaker 6: with Churio where Langford's I think up and downs might

1115
00:47:05,640 --> 00:47:08,640
Speaker 6: be like does he really only have like one homer

1116
00:47:08,800 --> 00:47:11,080
Speaker 6: over the last like thirty games, Like that's the type

1117
00:47:11,080 --> 00:47:12,759
Speaker 6: of thing I think with Langford, I just don't think

1118
00:47:12,800 --> 00:47:15,040
Speaker 6: he's ever going to struggle. I think those two could

1119
00:47:15,120 --> 00:47:19,480
Speaker 6: have a twenty five to thirty point difference in their

1120
00:47:19,480 --> 00:47:21,520
Speaker 6: batting average when it's all said and done. But again,

1121
00:47:21,600 --> 00:47:24,160
Speaker 6: I think they're worth it. They're both worth it for

1122
00:47:24,200 --> 00:47:26,839
Speaker 6: different reasons. If Langford's hitting, if he moves to three

1123
00:47:26,960 --> 00:47:29,160
Speaker 6: or is hitting five, his RBI totally he could have

1124
00:47:29,160 --> 00:47:31,120
Speaker 6: one hundred rbi. Was it Gunner that had what a

1125
00:47:31,120 --> 00:47:32,800
Speaker 6: Gunner have a one hundred run or a hundred RBI?

1126
00:47:33,080 --> 00:47:35,040
Speaker 6: I think whyatt can be the guy that could have

1127
00:47:35,080 --> 00:47:38,239
Speaker 6: like ninety something RBI, but his homerun totals might not

1128
00:47:38,239 --> 00:47:40,480
Speaker 6: be monstrous. Turio is the type of guy. I think

1129
00:47:40,480 --> 00:47:43,520
Speaker 6: he could score ninety runs. He could steal close to

1130
00:47:43,560 --> 00:47:46,200
Speaker 6: forty bases, but there might be, you know, a few

1131
00:47:46,360 --> 00:47:48,719
Speaker 6: up and downs. But it's an amazing talent and I

1132
00:47:48,719 --> 00:47:50,319
Speaker 6: wouldn't be shocked if he was, you know, a thirty

1133
00:47:50,360 --> 00:47:50,719
Speaker 6: thirty guy.

1134
00:47:50,760 --> 00:47:52,680
Speaker 2: Gunnar did have one hundred runs, but that's what was

1135
00:47:53,040 --> 00:47:53,680
Speaker 2: on the dot.

1136
00:47:54,120 --> 00:47:56,880
Speaker 1: Mayor, did you find yourself this draft season in redraft

1137
00:47:56,920 --> 00:47:59,279
Speaker 1: getting a lot of Langford or Churio as the sort

1138
00:47:59,280 --> 00:47:59,480
Speaker 1: of the.

1139
00:48:00,480 --> 00:48:02,840
Speaker 4: I have no Langford. I I do have some Cheerio though.

1140
00:48:03,960 --> 00:48:05,200
Speaker 2: Did you get him when he was cheaper?

1141
00:48:05,719 --> 00:48:07,200
Speaker 4: Yeah? Yeah, it was.

1142
00:48:07,239 --> 00:48:09,319
Speaker 5: It was kind of before the helium hit, you know,

1143
00:48:09,360 --> 00:48:11,800
Speaker 5: like the last week or so, he's become more of

1144
00:48:11,840 --> 00:48:13,399
Speaker 5: a name. But there was a there was a while

1145
00:48:13,440 --> 00:48:15,000
Speaker 5: there where like it was again towards the end of draft,

1146
00:48:15,000 --> 00:48:15,400
Speaker 5: and I was like, I.

1147
00:48:15,360 --> 00:48:17,520
Speaker 4: Guess I'll take Cheerio now, no one's gonna take him.

1148
00:48:17,640 --> 00:48:20,400
Speaker 6: Yeah, it was a good I got him in a

1149
00:48:20,560 --> 00:48:23,279
Speaker 6: DC early and then I didn't really do any and

1150
00:48:23,320 --> 00:48:24,279
Speaker 6: then this is what I did.

1151
00:48:24,520 --> 00:48:26,480
Speaker 2: I did like a collective.

1152
00:48:26,080 --> 00:48:29,719
Speaker 6: Of those Dinger best balls over an underdog and I

1153
00:48:29,760 --> 00:48:33,080
Speaker 6: got I paired Cheerio and Langford together because outfield is

1154
00:48:33,360 --> 00:48:36,239
Speaker 6: monstrous in those leagues. It really stinks, and they go

1155
00:48:36,360 --> 00:48:39,800
Speaker 6: crazy high, and I pivoted away while getting elite picture

1156
00:48:39,840 --> 00:48:43,480
Speaker 6: because they do like infield, outfield and pitcher, and I

1157
00:48:43,520 --> 00:48:46,359
Speaker 6: did like elite infield and pitching. I would get one

1158
00:48:46,360 --> 00:48:49,200
Speaker 6: good outfielder and then I would go and grab Langford

1159
00:48:49,280 --> 00:48:51,440
Speaker 6: and Cheerio. And I did that in like three of

1160
00:48:51,480 --> 00:48:53,239
Speaker 6: my Dinger drafts. I have a lot of shares in

1161
00:48:53,320 --> 00:48:55,600
Speaker 6: best ball of those guys, but you know there's some volatility.

1162
00:48:56,000 --> 00:48:57,799
Speaker 1: I didn't get a lot of Cheerio and redraft because

1163
00:48:57,800 --> 00:48:59,760
Speaker 1: I have him in so many of my Dynasty leagues

1164
00:48:59,760 --> 00:49:01,640
Speaker 1: that I like, I'm already kind of you know covered

1165
00:49:01,680 --> 00:49:03,839
Speaker 1: if he's good, I'm in plenty of leads.

1166
00:49:03,880 --> 00:49:05,080
Speaker 2: Ye, I'm really excited about that.

1167
00:49:05,400 --> 00:49:08,480
Speaker 1: Another Jackson Jackson Merrill we've already seen actually make his

1168
00:49:08,520 --> 00:49:10,720
Speaker 1: debut because of that, you know, early Korea series.

1169
00:49:10,760 --> 00:49:11,799
Speaker 2: What are your thoughts on him?

1170
00:49:12,040 --> 00:49:12,239
Speaker 4: Yeah?

1171
00:49:12,280 --> 00:49:14,759
Speaker 6: I love Jackson Merril. This was one. This is gonna

1172
00:49:14,760 --> 00:49:16,600
Speaker 6: be my Joe moment. Like I've been telling you guys

1173
00:49:16,600 --> 00:49:18,640
Speaker 6: about this a long time ago, Like this is one

1174
00:49:18,640 --> 00:49:20,120
Speaker 6: I've been saying, Joe.

1175
00:49:20,480 --> 00:49:22,879
Speaker 2: I know I did it too. He's blue.

1176
00:49:24,320 --> 00:49:25,919
Speaker 6: I have been saying this one for quite some time

1177
00:49:26,000 --> 00:49:29,120
Speaker 6: that like, watch out for Jackson Merrill. Uh being on

1178
00:49:29,120 --> 00:49:31,880
Speaker 6: the roster a lot this year and the outfield stuff

1179
00:49:31,920 --> 00:49:34,080
Speaker 6: was kind of looming around so much so that I

1180
00:49:34,120 --> 00:49:36,719
Speaker 6: did sprinkle a little tiny Rookie of the Year bet

1181
00:49:36,760 --> 00:49:39,319
Speaker 6: when he was plus like seventeen hundred. It's now moved

1182
00:49:39,320 --> 00:49:42,440
Speaker 6: to nine point fifty. You know, the only problem with

1183
00:49:42,520 --> 00:49:44,200
Speaker 6: him is gonna be like, what are the counting stats

1184
00:49:44,200 --> 00:49:46,560
Speaker 6: look like? I think there's some hidden power. I think

1185
00:49:46,600 --> 00:49:49,840
Speaker 6: he can steal some bases. What will not work is

1186
00:49:49,880 --> 00:49:53,400
Speaker 6: if like Iyamamoto is decent and Churio is like pretty

1187
00:49:53,440 --> 00:49:56,440
Speaker 6: dang good, it's just gonna be tough. Where Merrill could

1188
00:49:56,440 --> 00:49:59,440
Speaker 6: be like a Rookie of the Year guy is if

1189
00:49:59,480 --> 00:50:01,520
Speaker 6: he's hitting five and he's able to move up the

1190
00:50:01,560 --> 00:50:03,960
Speaker 6: lineup and he's scoring a bunch of runs, and that

1191
00:50:04,040 --> 00:50:05,879
Speaker 6: kind of brings it back to fantasy, Like I think

1192
00:50:05,880 --> 00:50:08,279
Speaker 6: he's a great like post two hundred pick right around there,

1193
00:50:08,280 --> 00:50:11,440
Speaker 6: he'll be in field outfield qualified guys like him and

1194
00:50:11,480 --> 00:50:14,800
Speaker 6: Saddana Rafaela. Those would be two Ruffeli specifically I'm drafting

1195
00:50:14,800 --> 00:50:17,280
Speaker 6: a lot. Those would be two guys I would be targeting.

1196
00:50:17,600 --> 00:50:19,640
Speaker 6: I just don't know which direction it'll go with Meryl.

1197
00:50:20,000 --> 00:50:21,839
Speaker 6: I just don't know. Also if he's gonna hit out

1198
00:50:21,840 --> 00:50:24,440
Speaker 6: of like ever eight or seven or something like that,

1199
00:50:24,480 --> 00:50:26,799
Speaker 6: but there could be some injuries. He's he's a nice

1200
00:50:26,880 --> 00:50:28,840
Speaker 6: bet at the end of the draft with really solid

1201
00:50:28,920 --> 00:50:31,360
Speaker 6: upside because you know, sky's the limit with him. He

1202
00:50:31,440 --> 00:50:33,319
Speaker 6: really could be a guy that ends up stealing thirty

1203
00:50:33,320 --> 00:50:35,400
Speaker 6: plus bases or could hit twenty homers. And a lot

1204
00:50:35,400 --> 00:50:36,520
Speaker 6: of people don't believe that.

1205
00:50:37,160 --> 00:50:39,640
Speaker 5: He's betting ninth ninth right now, but they only really

1206
00:50:39,680 --> 00:50:42,640
Speaker 5: have like one other legit left handed bat in that lineup,

1207
00:50:42,680 --> 00:50:46,000
Speaker 5: and it's cronin Worth betting third right now. So through

1208
00:50:46,000 --> 00:50:48,480
Speaker 5: his potential, if he does get up to a hot start,

1209
00:50:48,480 --> 00:50:50,520
Speaker 5: they might want to move that lefty bat up higher

1210
00:50:50,560 --> 00:50:51,720
Speaker 5: than I would love.

1211
00:50:51,600 --> 00:50:56,440
Speaker 6: To see, like personally, Meryl leading off, then go into Bogarts,

1212
00:50:56,719 --> 00:50:59,279
Speaker 6: then go in Tatis Machado, and then try to throw

1213
00:50:59,320 --> 00:51:01,839
Speaker 6: another lefty that's a little too righty heavy, But like

1214
00:51:01,880 --> 00:51:04,200
Speaker 6: you could do that with Bogart's Tatisa Machado. And I

1215
00:51:04,200 --> 00:51:06,960
Speaker 6: don't think that's out of the realm of possibility because

1216
00:51:07,000 --> 00:51:11,439
Speaker 6: like they embraced Merrill on this team, the Brewers, Pat

1217
00:51:11,560 --> 00:51:14,560
Speaker 6: Murphy's he's just old staunchy, just like you know, like

1218
00:51:14,719 --> 00:51:18,440
Speaker 6: he's not embracing Cheerio to that team has embraced Merrill

1219
00:51:18,480 --> 00:51:20,399
Speaker 6: to the point where it's like if they were having

1220
00:51:20,400 --> 00:51:22,919
Speaker 6: a little bit of lineup struggles, I could absolutely see

1221
00:51:23,000 --> 00:51:25,360
Speaker 6: if Merrill's hitting well, moving up in that lineup.

1222
00:51:25,400 --> 00:51:26,200
Speaker 2: So that's a positive.

1223
00:51:26,840 --> 00:51:29,520
Speaker 1: You talk about being in on a guy early. My

1224
00:51:29,760 --> 00:51:32,839
Speaker 1: very good buddy watched Jackson Merrill in high school play

1225
00:51:32,840 --> 00:51:36,319
Speaker 1: in the Maryland State championship game because his alma mater

1226
00:51:36,440 --> 00:51:39,319
Speaker 1: was going up against Saverna Park, and his alma mater

1227
00:51:39,400 --> 00:51:41,080
Speaker 1: one that one sure would.

1228
00:51:41,120 --> 00:51:44,160
Speaker 2: So he's been he's been watching Jackson Merrill for.

1229
00:51:44,080 --> 00:51:47,080
Speaker 1: Like three years, the best two, yeah, and then the

1230
00:51:47,120 --> 00:51:49,839
Speaker 1: last guy that's on the opening day roster. We've talked

1231
00:51:49,840 --> 00:51:52,800
Speaker 1: a lot about speed in this segment. Victor Scott the second.

1232
00:51:52,960 --> 00:51:56,359
Speaker 1: I mean over under fifty steals this year. I mean,

1233
00:51:56,400 --> 00:51:57,600
Speaker 1: what are we looking at here?

1234
00:51:57,719 --> 00:51:58,080
Speaker 4: All right?

1235
00:51:58,480 --> 00:52:00,680
Speaker 6: And this is a guy I have a great relationship

1236
00:52:00,680 --> 00:52:02,920
Speaker 6: with Victor. I interviewed him at the Arizona Fall League.

1237
00:52:02,920 --> 00:52:04,920
Speaker 6: We talked like a ton. It was actually me in

1238
00:52:05,000 --> 00:52:07,399
Speaker 6: Ineno Serris. If you ever listened to the interview, we're

1239
00:52:07,440 --> 00:52:09,120
Speaker 6: kind of doing a dual thing, and we were talking

1240
00:52:09,120 --> 00:52:11,680
Speaker 6: a lot about the stolen bases. Victor is, first off,

1241
00:52:11,719 --> 00:52:14,880
Speaker 6: just like a great guy, an incredible dude, and he

1242
00:52:14,960 --> 00:52:18,799
Speaker 6: is an immensely talented player all off season long, analytics,

1243
00:52:18,840 --> 00:52:21,200
Speaker 6: trying to improve his swing, trying to get more homer

1244
00:52:21,239 --> 00:52:23,840
Speaker 6: and power. If people don't know, ninety four stolen bases

1245
00:52:23,880 --> 00:52:25,680
Speaker 6: in the minder. One got taken away from him by

1246
00:52:25,680 --> 00:52:27,880
Speaker 6: the way, which is crazy. With the Arizona folly, he

1247
00:52:27,920 --> 00:52:31,719
Speaker 6: stole over one hundred bases. Here's the tricky part. As

1248
00:52:31,800 --> 00:52:33,480
Speaker 6: much of a Victor Scott fan as I am, there

1249
00:52:33,520 --> 00:52:35,920
Speaker 6: is no guarantee because it took all these injuries to

1250
00:52:35,920 --> 00:52:38,240
Speaker 6: get him on the roster, there's no guarantee he sticks around.

1251
00:52:38,360 --> 00:52:40,960
Speaker 6: Why he can stick around, for any pessimist about it

1252
00:52:41,080 --> 00:52:43,040
Speaker 6: is he's a gold glove defender, one a minor league

1253
00:52:43,040 --> 00:52:45,960
Speaker 6: gold glove. He's an incredible defender if the bat stays

1254
00:52:46,000 --> 00:52:50,120
Speaker 6: alive outside of just like veteran love, there's no reason

1255
00:52:50,160 --> 00:52:53,840
Speaker 6: to get like Carlson or Edmund like Victor Scott's the

1256
00:52:53,840 --> 00:52:57,080
Speaker 6: best of all those guys defensively. So does he steal

1257
00:52:57,120 --> 00:52:59,399
Speaker 6: fifty bases? If he plays one hundred games, he steals

1258
00:52:59,440 --> 00:53:02,760
Speaker 6: fifty bases. If he plays eighty games, he might still

1259
00:53:02,800 --> 00:53:06,439
Speaker 6: still fifty bases. You should my point, and I said

1260
00:53:06,440 --> 00:53:08,319
Speaker 6: this a couple of weeks prior, even when he got

1261
00:53:08,360 --> 00:53:11,040
Speaker 6: like sent down and it kind of stunk. You should

1262
00:53:11,200 --> 00:53:15,600
Speaker 6: draft Victor Scott if this works out, If he makes

1263
00:53:15,600 --> 00:53:17,680
Speaker 6: a roster and then he didn't pray to God you

1264
00:53:17,719 --> 00:53:20,160
Speaker 6: didn't cut him, because then two days later Carlson slams

1265
00:53:20,200 --> 00:53:22,839
Speaker 6: into Walker out here in Phoenix, and then now he's out.

1266
00:53:23,760 --> 00:53:26,439
Speaker 6: Victor Scott is the type of guy that could never

1267
00:53:26,520 --> 00:53:29,640
Speaker 6: let go of this job. But there is a logjam

1268
00:53:29,680 --> 00:53:32,560
Speaker 6: of outfielders here. I would hold on to Victor right

1269
00:53:32,560 --> 00:53:35,040
Speaker 6: now and see what happens over the next month. He

1270
00:53:35,040 --> 00:53:37,120
Speaker 6: could be sent down in two weeks, but when he

1271
00:53:37,160 --> 00:53:39,680
Speaker 6: gets on base, this everyone's like a Stury Ruiz or

1272
00:53:39,800 --> 00:53:43,120
Speaker 6: Victor Scott. Victor Scott is a contact hitter. He's got

1273
00:53:43,160 --> 00:53:47,320
Speaker 6: real power. He is exponentially better than as Sturry Ruiz,

1274
00:53:47,360 --> 00:53:50,279
Speaker 6: as Swy Ruiz. But it's just going to be about

1275
00:53:50,360 --> 00:53:53,080
Speaker 6: the playing time that they are gonna end up giving him.

1276
00:53:53,160 --> 00:53:55,520
Speaker 6: I would hold for a month to see what it

1277
00:53:55,520 --> 00:53:57,439
Speaker 6: looks like. Even if he's sent down, I would hold

1278
00:53:57,480 --> 00:53:59,840
Speaker 6: on to it because I legit, think over one hundred

1279
00:53:59,840 --> 00:54:03,080
Speaker 6: and six games and even in his rookie year, Victor

1280
00:54:03,080 --> 00:54:06,560
Speaker 6: Scott could steal sixty plus bases, And as this guy grows,

1281
00:54:06,600 --> 00:54:08,120
Speaker 6: I would not be shocked to see him at the

1282
00:54:08,120 --> 00:54:10,759
Speaker 6: major league level stealing like eighty plus.

1283
00:54:10,920 --> 00:54:13,839
Speaker 1: Especially seeing Stone bases Spike, you know, with the new

1284
00:54:13,920 --> 00:54:16,840
Speaker 1: rules in everything, Yeah, exactly setting up so well for

1285
00:54:16,920 --> 00:54:17,560
Speaker 1: him to do that.

1286
00:54:18,160 --> 00:54:20,279
Speaker 2: Any thoughts on Scott mayor.

1287
00:54:20,960 --> 00:54:24,759
Speaker 5: My only real thought is my only worry, and there's

1288
00:54:24,800 --> 00:54:27,560
Speaker 5: this is completely unjustified and not real analysis, but I

1289
00:54:27,560 --> 00:54:30,839
Speaker 5: feel like I have like Cardinals outfielder fatigue because we've

1290
00:54:30,880 --> 00:54:33,000
Speaker 5: just been doing this for like eight years where they've

1291
00:54:33,000 --> 00:54:35,880
Speaker 5: just been cycling. They always have like five good outfielders

1292
00:54:35,880 --> 00:54:37,919
Speaker 5: and then it turns out like none of them were good,

1293
00:54:38,520 --> 00:54:38,799
Speaker 5: and it.

1294
00:54:38,719 --> 00:54:39,920
Speaker 4: Feels like we've just been doing that.

1295
00:54:39,920 --> 00:54:42,640
Speaker 6: Forever, but none of them are like good defenders like

1296
00:54:42,760 --> 00:54:45,640
Speaker 6: Victor vic I've said this, Victor is like Mason win

1297
00:54:45,880 --> 00:54:48,800
Speaker 6: and Mason Wins deal was if you put him at short,

1298
00:54:49,520 --> 00:54:51,480
Speaker 6: the dude has to hit under one hundred to get

1299
00:54:51,560 --> 00:54:54,240
Speaker 6: him off because he's your best defender. He's the best

1300
00:54:54,239 --> 00:54:56,920
Speaker 6: defender on that team. On the infield. Victor's kind of

1301
00:54:56,920 --> 00:54:59,560
Speaker 6: the same way. He's the fastest guy, he's your best

1302
00:54:59,600 --> 00:55:02,360
Speaker 6: outfield defender, and he's your best runner. So give me

1303
00:55:02,400 --> 00:55:04,120
Speaker 6: the reasons why he can't be on the roster. What

1304
00:55:04,239 --> 00:55:06,880
Speaker 6: was the reason, Well, we want to see Dylan Carlson

1305
00:55:06,960 --> 00:55:10,040
Speaker 6: and we got and you're gonna cut that out. Carlson's hurt. Yes,

1306
00:55:10,120 --> 00:55:11,360
Speaker 6: it could be like, well, we don't want him to

1307
00:55:11,400 --> 00:55:14,000
Speaker 6: lose his job because of injury, but it's gonna be

1308
00:55:14,040 --> 00:55:16,560
Speaker 6: a crazy justification for Victor to not stick around. But

1309
00:55:16,680 --> 00:55:19,919
Speaker 6: guess what if he hits like two ten and maybe

1310
00:55:20,000 --> 00:55:22,440
Speaker 6: has an error here or there, they can send him down.

1311
00:55:22,440 --> 00:55:24,440
Speaker 2: Even if he's, by the way, hitting three p fifty.

1312
00:55:24,520 --> 00:55:26,359
Speaker 6: They could send him. They sent Jordan Walker down last

1313
00:55:26,440 --> 00:55:29,120
Speaker 6: year after hitting two eighty and they sent him down.

1314
00:55:29,120 --> 00:55:31,600
Speaker 6: So don't think the Cardinals won't. And that's what's dangerous

1315
00:55:31,600 --> 00:55:34,240
Speaker 6: about getting into like. I would never bet like Victor

1316
00:55:34,239 --> 00:55:36,120
Speaker 6: Scott is going to lead the league in stolen bases

1317
00:55:36,160 --> 00:55:38,360
Speaker 6: because I don't know it. To your point, it's the fatigue.

1318
00:55:38,360 --> 00:55:39,880
Speaker 6: I don't know what the hell the Cardinals are going

1319
00:55:39,960 --> 00:55:40,120
Speaker 6: to do.

1320
00:55:41,160 --> 00:55:41,840
Speaker 2: I uh, you know.

1321
00:55:41,880 --> 00:55:43,560
Speaker 1: The whole time you're talking about Victor Scott, I keep

1322
00:55:43,600 --> 00:55:46,280
Speaker 1: wanting to ask about Henriy kue Bradfield with the Orioles,

1323
00:55:46,280 --> 00:55:47,880
Speaker 1: because he's describing a lot.

1324
00:55:47,719 --> 00:55:50,120
Speaker 2: Of him, so he's a Instead.

1325
00:55:49,800 --> 00:55:51,600
Speaker 1: Of that, since we don't have time, I'll ask about

1326
00:55:51,760 --> 00:55:53,799
Speaker 1: a different oriol who didn't make the opening day roster,

1327
00:55:53,920 --> 00:55:57,640
Speaker 1: who game close another Jackson Jackson holiday of course number

1328
00:55:57,640 --> 00:56:00,879
Speaker 1: one prospect in baseball consensus, you know, everywhere you look.

1329
00:56:01,360 --> 00:56:04,080
Speaker 1: I was highly disappointed, and make it they are, of course,

1330
00:56:04,560 --> 00:56:07,160
Speaker 1: you know, claiming it's not because of service time manipulation.

1331
00:56:08,200 --> 00:56:10,480
Speaker 1: I don't know what to believe. He clearly would be

1332
00:56:10,480 --> 00:56:12,640
Speaker 1: the best second based option on the team. I feel

1333
00:56:12,680 --> 00:56:16,000
Speaker 1: strongly about considering they're rolling out like Tony Kemp and

1334
00:56:16,080 --> 00:56:18,440
Speaker 1: they had Colton Wong and I don't even know who

1335
00:56:18,440 --> 00:56:22,960
Speaker 1: else is playing second, assuming Westburg's at third, So we'll

1336
00:56:22,960 --> 00:56:25,919
Speaker 1: see kind of how long he's held down. I would

1337
00:56:25,920 --> 00:56:28,400
Speaker 1: hope he would come up soon. Is he at the

1338
00:56:28,400 --> 00:56:30,200
Speaker 1: top of your prospects to Stash list?

1339
00:56:30,680 --> 00:56:31,359
Speaker 2: Absolutely?

1340
00:56:31,520 --> 00:56:35,480
Speaker 6: I think the article is out by the way, the

1341
00:56:35,680 --> 00:56:39,680
Speaker 6: named prospects to stash for the opening week, It is

1342
00:56:39,719 --> 00:56:43,239
Speaker 6: absolutely Jackson Holiday. I feel, I can be honest with you,

1343
00:56:43,239 --> 00:56:46,719
Speaker 6: a gut feeling, this gut feeling that Jackson's gonna be up,

1344
00:56:46,719 --> 00:56:49,600
Speaker 6: like really really soon. Like we did this great show

1345
00:56:49,680 --> 00:56:52,399
Speaker 6: with Craig Mish on betting Pros talking about futures, and

1346
00:56:52,480 --> 00:56:55,520
Speaker 6: he just instantly was saying, Nah, it's still Jackson Holiday.

1347
00:56:55,560 --> 00:56:57,840
Speaker 6: I think Jackson Holiday he's my number one prospect. And

1348
00:56:57,880 --> 00:56:59,959
Speaker 6: I know that's crazy in a world of white length,

1349
00:57:00,200 --> 00:57:03,160
Speaker 6: but I think his floor is low. I do think

1350
00:57:03,200 --> 00:57:07,399
Speaker 6: there's manipulation, and I just would be shocked if May

1351
00:57:07,440 --> 00:57:11,360
Speaker 6: first gets here and he's not on the roster. Another

1352
00:57:11,400 --> 00:57:13,120
Speaker 6: goofy thing. If you just want to pay attention to

1353
00:57:13,160 --> 00:57:16,320
Speaker 6: the markets, He's plus four fifty for Rookie of the Year.

1354
00:57:16,640 --> 00:57:19,160
Speaker 6: He's the third highest bet and he's not on the

1355
00:57:19,240 --> 00:57:21,760
Speaker 6: roster right now. I mean like that also tells you

1356
00:57:21,800 --> 00:57:23,600
Speaker 6: something about where the market is sitting on a guy

1357
00:57:23,680 --> 00:57:28,040
Speaker 6: like this, that he is within, you know, a point

1358
00:57:28,200 --> 00:57:30,760
Speaker 6: of Evan Carter, two points of Whya at Langford, like

1359
00:57:30,760 --> 00:57:33,240
Speaker 6: they're still all in the same territory. He is the

1360
00:57:33,320 --> 00:57:36,080
Speaker 6: number one stash like Victor Scott, and that's a really

1361
00:57:36,080 --> 00:57:39,160
Speaker 6: tough one. Who would you rather stash Victor Scott in

1362
00:57:39,240 --> 00:57:41,160
Speaker 6: that it could be sent down or would you rather

1363
00:57:41,200 --> 00:57:45,439
Speaker 6: stash to Jackson Holiday? I probably I trust them. When

1364
00:57:45,480 --> 00:57:47,960
Speaker 6: Holiday's up, he ain't going back down, and I think

1365
00:57:48,040 --> 00:57:49,800
Speaker 6: he's gonna I think he's just steal a ton of bases.

1366
00:57:49,840 --> 00:57:53,800
Speaker 6: I had Welsh projected thirty five stolen bases from him

1367
00:57:53,800 --> 00:57:55,320
Speaker 6: this year, and I still think he can do that.

1368
00:57:55,520 --> 00:57:57,440
Speaker 6: If he plays over one hundred and thirty one hundred

1369
00:57:57,440 --> 00:57:59,240
Speaker 6: and forty games, I think he will run like crazy.

1370
00:57:59,720 --> 00:58:02,840
Speaker 6: My interpretation of Jackson Holiday will be a better batting

1371
00:58:02,880 --> 00:58:05,840
Speaker 6: average Rookie of the Year Bobby Witt. That's how I

1372
00:58:05,880 --> 00:58:09,200
Speaker 6: think Jackson Holiday like Bobby Witch rookie season. Bobby Witch

1373
00:58:09,280 --> 00:58:11,959
Speaker 6: rookie season. If you remember he was twenty thirty. That's

1374
00:58:11,960 --> 00:58:15,040
Speaker 6: how I think Jackson Holiday can go, but probably higher

1375
00:58:15,080 --> 00:58:17,200
Speaker 6: stolen bases, little bit lower power.

1376
00:58:17,680 --> 00:58:19,840
Speaker 1: Well, you can't get me going like that on the show.

1377
00:58:19,840 --> 00:58:22,360
Speaker 1: I love Holiday, I love him, My gosh. He wasn't

1378
00:58:22,400 --> 00:58:24,560
Speaker 1: the only oriole set Dad, of course, I mean Kowser

1379
00:58:24,720 --> 00:58:28,360
Speaker 1: was up, but Kars Dad, Kobe Mayo, Connor Norby. They

1380
00:58:28,520 --> 00:58:30,600
Speaker 1: just have so many options that I don't know how

1381
00:58:30,600 --> 00:58:32,280
Speaker 1: they're going to find time for these guys. They're gonna

1382
00:58:32,280 --> 00:58:34,480
Speaker 1: have to make make moves the other names. We don't

1383
00:58:34,520 --> 00:58:36,160
Speaker 1: have to go through these each individually because we're running

1384
00:58:36,160 --> 00:58:38,760
Speaker 1: a long on time. But you know, Paul Skins Junior, Cameronaro,

1385
00:58:38,840 --> 00:58:41,680
Speaker 1: Kyle Manzarro, Chased a louder. Any of these stand out

1386
00:58:41,720 --> 00:58:44,200
Speaker 1: as like, you know, prospects of sash that you're really,

1387
00:58:44,320 --> 00:58:46,040
Speaker 1: you know, excited to have on your roster.

1388
00:58:45,840 --> 00:58:47,200
Speaker 2: If you have a spot at the end of your bench.

1389
00:58:47,960 --> 00:58:50,200
Speaker 6: I think the only one that I'm in stash mode

1390
00:58:50,240 --> 00:58:52,760
Speaker 6: for is Cam and Arrow. That's another guy that I

1391
00:58:52,800 --> 00:58:54,560
Speaker 6: just don't know how long they're gonna hold him down

1392
00:58:54,600 --> 00:58:58,440
Speaker 6: like this is a classic raise also maybe manipulation thing,

1393
00:58:58,480 --> 00:59:00,400
Speaker 6: because you know, what's your number one thing to do

1394
00:59:00,400 --> 00:59:02,320
Speaker 6: as soon as a guy gets up, they're gonna trade him,

1395
00:59:02,680 --> 00:59:04,200
Speaker 6: or as soon as the contract is up, they're gonna

1396
00:59:04,200 --> 00:59:06,360
Speaker 6: trade them because they won't pay him. Is camon Aro

1397
00:59:06,760 --> 00:59:09,240
Speaker 6: is gonna, I assume be up by like May. But

1398
00:59:09,280 --> 00:59:11,600
Speaker 6: they let Austin Shenton, who, by the way, is like

1399
00:59:11,720 --> 00:59:13,640
Speaker 6: actually a really good prospect, older guy, but he made

1400
00:59:13,680 --> 00:59:17,200
Speaker 6: the roster because Ronda was hurt. There's only so long

1401
00:59:17,320 --> 00:59:20,200
Speaker 6: that like Ronda and Estok paridies and stuff are going

1402
00:59:20,240 --> 00:59:22,040
Speaker 6: to hold him down. Kevin Aro's the.

1403
00:59:22,000 --> 00:59:23,960
Speaker 2: Guy would hold But I will tell you all of

1404
00:59:24,000 --> 00:59:24,919
Speaker 2: those others.

1405
00:59:24,560 --> 00:59:27,360
Speaker 6: I'm paying attention to. I've been screaming about de Lauter

1406
00:59:27,480 --> 00:59:30,880
Speaker 6: for a long time. I really like kle Manzardo. He

1407
00:59:30,960 --> 00:59:32,240
Speaker 6: was one of those guys I got to interview in

1408
00:59:32,240 --> 00:59:35,680
Speaker 6: the Arizona Fall League. Those guys I think can change

1409
00:59:35,720 --> 00:59:37,920
Speaker 6: the scope of what we know from the Guardians lineup.

1410
00:59:38,160 --> 00:59:40,600
Speaker 6: So those are two offensive bats. If they get the

1411
00:59:40,640 --> 00:59:42,800
Speaker 6: call up, or we get a month into the season

1412
00:59:42,840 --> 00:59:45,840
Speaker 6: and they haven't, there's nothing bruin. I would stash them.

1413
00:59:46,080 --> 00:59:49,680
Speaker 6: Paul Skeins is the unknown. I mean, if you can

1414
00:59:49,800 --> 00:59:52,960
Speaker 6: stomach it, absolutely you should. But I think his timeline

1415
00:59:53,000 --> 00:59:56,320
Speaker 6: could be April fifteenth, to July fifteenth or longer. I mean,

1416
00:59:56,360 --> 00:59:58,240
Speaker 6: you just don't know what the pirates and what that

1417
00:59:58,280 --> 00:59:59,920
Speaker 6: team is going to look like. I really don't have

1418
01:00:00,160 --> 01:00:03,440
Speaker 6: good gauge. It's gonna be more determining of like how

1419
01:00:03,520 --> 01:00:06,480
Speaker 6: can you and what is your level of stash. Also,

1420
01:00:06,480 --> 01:00:08,880
Speaker 6: it's a pitching guy like pictures are kind of tough. So,

1421
01:00:09,000 --> 01:00:11,000
Speaker 6: I mean, Bryce Miller was one of the most uniquely

1422
01:00:11,600 --> 01:00:14,680
Speaker 6: great rookies last year, but Caminaro is the one I'm

1423
01:00:14,720 --> 01:00:17,800
Speaker 6: stashing now. The other three are on my hot watch list,

1424
01:00:17,840 --> 01:00:21,280
Speaker 6: and as the weeks go by, we get into like

1425
01:00:21,400 --> 01:00:24,640
Speaker 6: I'm gonna pick them up like Manzarto in Skeins if

1426
01:00:24,640 --> 01:00:27,040
Speaker 6: it gets to May first, even if there's no rumblings,

1427
01:00:27,120 --> 01:00:29,000
Speaker 6: I am gonna pick them up because I do think

1428
01:00:29,040 --> 01:00:31,520
Speaker 6: we are starting to get into like weeks away territory.

1429
01:00:32,080 --> 01:00:34,120
Speaker 1: We don't have time for you to go into detail,

1430
01:00:34,160 --> 01:00:36,480
Speaker 1: but just give me in order how you would rank

1431
01:00:36,600 --> 01:00:38,760
Speaker 1: these five prospects in ditey because we're talking about so

1432
01:00:38,760 --> 01:00:41,080
Speaker 1: many elite guys, So just give me the names. Why

1433
01:00:41,080 --> 01:00:45,720
Speaker 1: at Langford Jackson, Cheerio Jackson, Holliday, Paul Skeins, Junior, Camenaro.

1434
01:00:45,840 --> 01:00:53,360
Speaker 6: Okay, I have it Holiday Langford, Cheerio Camonaro schemes. That's

1435
01:00:53,400 --> 01:00:55,640
Speaker 6: my that's actually my prospect rank, and that is also

1436
01:00:55,680 --> 01:00:59,800
Speaker 6: my Dynasty rank because uniquely, all of those guys will

1437
01:00:59,800 --> 01:01:02,000
Speaker 6: not prospects by the end of this year. That's what's

1438
01:01:02,040 --> 01:01:03,840
Speaker 6: so cool about that, and that's why there's not a

1439
01:01:03,880 --> 01:01:04,640
Speaker 6: lot of deviation.

1440
01:01:05,520 --> 01:01:07,120
Speaker 2: All right, let's move to the end of the show.

1441
01:01:07,200 --> 01:01:09,160
Speaker 1: We're going to wrap up the show each week with

1442
01:01:09,280 --> 01:01:11,520
Speaker 1: sort of our what are we most excited for this

1443
01:01:11,680 --> 01:01:14,080
Speaker 1: weekend and for this week since opening day? You can

1444
01:01:14,120 --> 01:01:15,480
Speaker 1: kind of be kind of a bigger picture, what are

1445
01:01:15,480 --> 01:01:17,600
Speaker 1: you most excited for for the season?

1446
01:01:17,640 --> 01:01:18,680
Speaker 2: And Mayor I'll start with you.

1447
01:01:19,920 --> 01:01:23,160
Speaker 5: So sure, So a guy we already talked about earlier

1448
01:01:23,160 --> 01:01:25,560
Speaker 5: in the show, I'm excited to see the Tampa Bay

1449
01:01:25,640 --> 01:01:29,040
Speaker 5: Rays version of Aaron Savali. So we're getting Zach Eflin

1450
01:01:29,160 --> 01:01:32,360
Speaker 5: on Thursday and Savally on Friday, and I'm ready to

1451
01:01:32,400 --> 01:01:35,800
Speaker 5: see the first glimpse of, you know, in a regular

1452
01:01:36,000 --> 01:01:39,160
Speaker 5: season game of the new Aaron Savali. And I promise

1453
01:01:39,240 --> 01:01:41,200
Speaker 5: every week I'm not going to only talk about raise

1454
01:01:41,240 --> 01:01:43,320
Speaker 5: pictures because I know I've done two weeks of Eflyn now,

1455
01:01:43,360 --> 01:01:45,800
Speaker 5: so no more Eflyn for a couple of weeks, but

1456
01:01:45,920 --> 01:01:47,040
Speaker 5: maybe another week of Savai.

1457
01:01:47,080 --> 01:01:48,200
Speaker 4: We'll see how he does this week.

1458
01:01:49,240 --> 01:01:51,800
Speaker 5: And then the bonus one is that you know, the

1459
01:01:51,840 --> 01:01:55,560
Speaker 5: main complaint everyone has in Fantasy every year is you know,

1460
01:01:55,640 --> 01:01:57,160
Speaker 5: we know all these guys are going.

1461
01:01:56,960 --> 01:01:58,760
Speaker 4: On the IL this week, but none of them are

1462
01:01:58,800 --> 01:01:59,640
Speaker 4: on the IL yet.

1463
01:01:59,640 --> 01:02:02,280
Speaker 5: But as of like tomorrow, and maybe you have to

1464
01:02:02,280 --> 01:02:04,000
Speaker 5: wait till Friday because we already have two games to

1465
01:02:04,480 --> 01:02:08,439
Speaker 5: postponed that as of tomorrow, a lot of those guys

1466
01:02:08,480 --> 01:02:10,360
Speaker 5: will officially be on the injured list and we'll be

1467
01:02:10,360 --> 01:02:12,800
Speaker 5: able to make pickups for our teams this weekend.

1468
01:02:13,080 --> 01:02:15,800
Speaker 1: I missed out on picking up Victor Scott in a

1469
01:02:15,880 --> 01:02:18,600
Speaker 1: league because I was like, I have all these injured

1470
01:02:18,600 --> 01:02:20,760
Speaker 1: guys that I can't drop, but can we please get

1471
01:02:20,760 --> 01:02:23,400
Speaker 1: them on IL so I can go make other pickups.

1472
01:02:23,440 --> 01:02:25,160
Speaker 2: So I am right there with you.

1473
01:02:25,240 --> 01:02:27,800
Speaker 1: It is so frustrating to know, like, beyond a shadow

1474
01:02:27,800 --> 01:02:29,760
Speaker 1: of doubt, this guy's on IL and not be able

1475
01:02:29,800 --> 01:02:33,040
Speaker 1: to do anything with it. On your rosters, Welsh, I

1476
01:02:33,080 --> 01:02:35,080
Speaker 1: know that you were prepared for the prospects segment and

1477
01:02:35,160 --> 01:02:38,480
Speaker 1: not this, but anything in particular that you're super excited about.

1478
01:02:38,840 --> 01:02:41,480
Speaker 6: Yeah, I mean, one thing is gonna be just crossing

1479
01:02:41,480 --> 01:02:45,160
Speaker 6: my fingers for my number one shared player. I mean,

1480
01:02:45,160 --> 01:02:47,840
Speaker 6: it's not gonna shock, but it also it's crazy. Corbyn

1481
01:02:47,880 --> 01:02:49,720
Speaker 6: Carrol is my number one shared player.

1482
01:02:49,800 --> 01:02:51,160
Speaker 2: That's why. How do you do is that even have?

1483
01:02:52,240 --> 01:02:54,640
Speaker 6: Well lucky, of course I love him, but I'm saying,

1484
01:02:54,680 --> 01:02:56,120
Speaker 6: that's a guy that's like a top four or five

1485
01:02:56,160 --> 01:02:59,000
Speaker 6: pick hog. And I did a Shares episode. Half of

1486
01:02:59,040 --> 01:03:01,080
Speaker 6: my leagues I have Gore mc carroll and and they're

1487
01:03:01,080 --> 01:03:03,200
Speaker 6: not keeper. I don't even know how it happened, but

1488
01:03:03,240 --> 01:03:05,160
Speaker 6: there's some best balls and stuff. I will tell you

1489
01:03:05,200 --> 01:03:08,280
Speaker 6: this opening day, this is the most excited I have

1490
01:03:08,440 --> 01:03:11,160
Speaker 6: ever in my life been for a Royals Twins game,

1491
01:03:11,400 --> 01:03:14,560
Speaker 6: to watch Paba Lopez and Cole Reagan's go go at

1492
01:03:14,600 --> 01:03:16,800
Speaker 6: each other. I'm I'm I don't think I'm betting it.

1493
01:03:16,840 --> 01:03:19,040
Speaker 6: I kind of want to bet it. I'm absolutely going

1494
01:03:19,080 --> 01:03:22,200
Speaker 6: to be watching it because that is two frontline starters

1495
01:03:22,200 --> 01:03:25,720
Speaker 6: and really watching Reagans Reagan's and Trek Scouoble. Getting to

1496
01:03:25,760 --> 01:03:28,240
Speaker 6: see both of these guys with that are being put

1497
01:03:28,280 --> 01:03:31,240
Speaker 6: in like the Tyler Glass now and the Pablo Lopez

1498
01:03:31,360 --> 01:03:34,760
Speaker 6: ranged to get to see them kind of go and unleashed.

1499
01:03:34,800 --> 01:03:36,280
Speaker 6: I'm very very excited about that.

1500
01:03:37,720 --> 01:03:41,560
Speaker 5: All concerned about the Cole Reagans spring training numbers, No.

1501
01:03:42,120 --> 01:03:44,480
Speaker 6: I'm as concerned as I am Logan Web giving up

1502
01:03:44,560 --> 01:03:47,200
Speaker 6: twenty six earned runs but only walking three. By the

1503
01:03:47,200 --> 01:03:50,360
Speaker 6: way in spring train, I'm not at all.

1504
01:03:50,840 --> 01:03:54,800
Speaker 1: I'm I'm exclusively concerned about spring training stats when they

1505
01:03:54,800 --> 01:03:55,800
Speaker 1: don't fit my narrative.

1506
01:03:55,880 --> 01:03:58,560
Speaker 6: And yeah, no, my narrative is super important here, guys actually,

1507
01:03:58,600 --> 01:04:00,920
Speaker 6: Like so if they're really good and I'm talking positively,

1508
01:04:01,040 --> 01:04:02,920
Speaker 6: that's what we're going to focus on. But if it

1509
01:04:03,000 --> 01:04:05,160
Speaker 6: doesn't fit it, then no, no, no, no.

1510
01:04:05,440 --> 01:04:08,040
Speaker 1: The most exciting thing for me, you guys went with

1511
01:04:08,080 --> 01:04:11,160
Speaker 1: specific players. Today was pretty much the greatest day of

1512
01:04:11,160 --> 01:04:15,000
Speaker 1: my life because the Orioles sale became official and the

1513
01:04:15,040 --> 01:04:17,760
Speaker 1: bad man John Angelis can't hurt us anymore. Our long

1514
01:04:17,840 --> 01:04:20,720
Speaker 1: national nightmare is indeed over. It's the start of the

1515
01:04:20,840 --> 01:04:24,920
Speaker 1: David Rubinstein era in Baltimore. New ownership, just kidneans so

1516
01:04:24,960 --> 01:04:27,320
Speaker 1: many things, and I'm so very hopeful. Obviously the Oils

1517
01:04:27,360 --> 01:04:30,000
Speaker 1: are supposed to be great this season, like you know, regardless,

1518
01:04:30,640 --> 01:04:33,120
Speaker 1: but just having the new ownership, like it's it's going

1519
01:04:33,200 --> 01:04:35,560
Speaker 1: to be a very very very fun opening weekend in

1520
01:04:35,600 --> 01:04:38,760
Speaker 1: Baltimore with people just kind of feeling celebratory and really

1521
01:04:38,800 --> 01:04:41,000
Speaker 1: excited about this new era. The last thing I want

1522
01:04:41,040 --> 01:04:44,400
Speaker 1: to mention Mayor and I want to do some kind

1523
01:04:44,440 --> 01:04:47,520
Speaker 1: of competition, maybe a bed of some kind this season.

1524
01:04:47,560 --> 01:04:49,640
Speaker 1: We have not landed on what that will be, so

1525
01:04:49,680 --> 01:04:51,840
Speaker 1: we wanted to sort of solicit the listeners.

1526
01:04:52,480 --> 01:04:53,520
Speaker 2: Maybe Wels can think on.

1527
01:04:53,480 --> 01:04:55,480
Speaker 1: It as well, since you're here while I'm bringing it up,

1528
01:04:55,520 --> 01:04:58,640
Speaker 1: But any ideas for how we want to separate it

1529
01:04:58,640 --> 01:05:01,040
Speaker 1: from the home run calls contest leading off that's their

1530
01:05:01,080 --> 01:05:02,560
Speaker 1: own thing, so something different than that.

1531
01:05:02,720 --> 01:05:04,320
Speaker 2: But we want to do some sort of season long

1532
01:05:04,400 --> 01:05:08,600
Speaker 2: cycles here cycles predicted predicted hit for the cycle each week.

1533
01:05:09,000 --> 01:05:11,240
Speaker 6: Yeah, you pick your cycles every single week. It'll be

1534
01:05:11,280 --> 01:05:14,880
Speaker 6: great because it'll be like four payoffs. Also every nine

1535
01:05:14,960 --> 01:05:17,560
Speaker 6: years will hit one. Oh no, I got I got

1536
01:05:17,600 --> 01:05:19,280
Speaker 6: a great idea for you. I have one for you.

1537
01:05:19,320 --> 01:05:21,320
Speaker 6: How about you pick four players and you have to

1538
01:05:21,320 --> 01:05:22,080
Speaker 6: complete a cycle.

1539
01:05:22,320 --> 01:05:25,600
Speaker 1: Everyone get one single, one double, one triple. Hover that's

1540
01:05:25,600 --> 01:05:27,560
Speaker 1: a really good idea. I don't know how the triples

1541
01:05:27,560 --> 01:05:30,600
Speaker 1: are going to be really tough, but that's a really

1542
01:05:30,800 --> 01:05:31,520
Speaker 1: it's like a draft.

1543
01:05:31,600 --> 01:05:34,240
Speaker 6: You guys should draft you could draft your players or

1544
01:05:34,280 --> 01:05:35,440
Speaker 6: just do straight picks for a second.

1545
01:05:35,440 --> 01:05:38,040
Speaker 1: I think that's a really fun, contending option. We will

1546
01:05:38,040 --> 01:05:40,320
Speaker 1: strongly consider that. If anybody else has ideas, please send

1547
01:05:40,360 --> 01:05:41,960
Speaker 1: them in as well. But we I know this is

1548
01:05:42,000 --> 01:05:44,440
Speaker 1: a super sized episode. These will usually be shorter. We

1549
01:05:44,480 --> 01:05:46,520
Speaker 1: wanted to squeeze in both Welsh and Kelly for this

1550
01:05:46,520 --> 01:05:48,160
Speaker 1: episode because they're going to both be on the show

1551
01:05:48,440 --> 01:05:49,400
Speaker 1: so often this season.

1552
01:05:49,440 --> 01:05:50,720
Speaker 2: We want to kind of introduce everything.

1553
01:05:50,720 --> 01:05:53,040
Speaker 1: But I really appreciate everybody who stuck through for the

1554
01:05:53,080 --> 01:05:55,840
Speaker 1: full hour plus. Here to our first episode of the

1555
01:05:55,840 --> 01:05:59,120
Speaker 1: cycle four Mayor and Kelly and Welsh. I'm Ryan Wormley

1556
01:05:59,320 --> 01:06:02,000
Speaker 1: and we'll see again next week. Thanks for listening to

1557
01:06:02,040 --> 01:06:04,360
Speaker 1: the Fantasy Pros Fantasy Baseball podcast.

1558
01:06:04,600 --> 01:06:06,520
Speaker 2: Follow us on x, Instagram

1559
01:06:06,560 --> 01:06:09,480
Speaker 1: And TikTok at Fantasy Pros, and subscribe to our YouTube

1560
01:06:09,520 --> 01:06:12,680
Speaker 1: channel at YouTube dot com slash Fantasy Pros MLB