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Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's time to play

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Speaker 1: your bets. It is meet Joey p Joe Piezapa and

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Speaker 1: this is BP NFL. It's Monday morning. You know what

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Speaker 1: that means. It's time to look ahead to the early

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Speaker 1: lines for week four. We're going international this week two,

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Speaker 1: going to Ireland and that's gonna be fun. So there

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Speaker 1: you go. I have a pint at the pub and

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Speaker 1: then go check out some NFL football. It's a good

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Speaker 1: time there. Andrew Ericson the Undertaker is here to take

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Speaker 1: a look at the early lines. And Andrew, you know,

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Speaker 1: sometimes the best advice we give is to not bet

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Speaker 1: a game. And last week we talked about the Carolina

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Speaker 1: Panthers and the Falcons not loving the line and saying, boy,

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Speaker 1: this has a lot of four outcomes in it. I

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Speaker 1: didn't think the outcome we would get was even one

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Speaker 1: of the four. I really didn't think the thirty to

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Speaker 1: nothing shutout was on the table, but apparently it was.

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Speaker 1: So I guess sometimes the best bet is the one

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Speaker 1: you don't place.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, they asked the head coach after the game, Hey,

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Speaker 2: so is Kirk Cousins gonna get a chance to compete

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Speaker 2: with the quarterback job here. No, just like no, so yeah,

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Speaker 2: just Falcons being Falcons again. I think something that I

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Speaker 2: tried to pick up on last week was being wary

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Speaker 2: of certain teams that had played either two home games

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Speaker 2: or two road games. And this was the Panthers' first

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Speaker 2: home game of the season, so they significantly played much

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Speaker 2: better at home than on the road. So that's something

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Speaker 2: to keep in mind with some of these teams after

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Speaker 2: two weeks, if they're both road or home games, sometimes

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Speaker 2: we'll get a different outcome in a different territory.

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Speaker 1: All right, there, you have it. All right, we're gonna

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Speaker 1: kick it up a notch here and get a look

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Speaker 1: at week four in the NFL. Try to find some

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Speaker 1: of the early value here. So make sure you download

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Speaker 1: the bank Pros app, make sure you subscribe to the

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Speaker 1: channel here all we're at Betting Pros. We're trying to

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Speaker 1: get one hundred thousand subscribers, so lock in, click the

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Speaker 1: like button. Let's go. Let's take a look here, and

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Speaker 1: let's start with Thursday night football Seattle. Coming off an

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Speaker 1: ass kicking of the Saints, they are now two and one.

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Speaker 1: Arizona also two and one. Look, they played pretty good

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Speaker 1: defensively against the San Francisco forty nine ers. They stood

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Speaker 1: up maccafrey at the goal line a bunch of times.

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Speaker 1: It's a really physical play. It's nice to see a

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Speaker 1: different version of this Arizona Cardinal defense. But they did

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Speaker 1: fall short eventually. It's one of the few field goals

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Speaker 1: that didn't get blocked yesterday actually win a game. So

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Speaker 1: the spread on this game right now currently you've got

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Speaker 1: in some spots actually on betting pro is pretty amazing here, Andrew,

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Speaker 1: you could find Arizona at plus one and a half. Here.

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Speaker 1: If you look at some other spots, you'll see Seattle

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Speaker 1: at plus three and a half. Forty one and a

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Speaker 1: half is the consensus over the consensus under you have

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Speaker 1: forty three and a half, and then it's basically a

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Speaker 1: pick them on the money line. You get plus one

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Speaker 1: oh two for Seattle minus one oh two for Arizona.

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Speaker 1: What are your thoughts on this one? Seattle defense also

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Speaker 1: has played very well. Tory Horton's starting to emerge here

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Speaker 1: in this offense as well. So I know Seattle is

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Speaker 1: going on the road in division game. What is your

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Speaker 1: take on this one?

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Speaker 2: I like the Cardinals here. They are playing at home,

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Speaker 2: and I think maybe Seattle's getting a little too much

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Speaker 2: love from the market just based on them destroying the

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Speaker 2: Saints and Spencer Rattler playing in their first road game

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Speaker 2: of the season. I don't think in the betting pros

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Speaker 2: right up this week, I was very much on the

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Speaker 2: Seattle side saying that there's in the Saints, I have

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Speaker 2: a chance going up to Seattle, like this is hostile environment,

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Speaker 2: a young quarterback making his first start on the road

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Speaker 2: this season. And part of why they dominated that game

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Speaker 2: was special teams like the Seahawks were like scoring like

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Speaker 2: big special teams, touchdown after kick return. They had really

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Speaker 2: start an easy position. They were betting their guys in

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Speaker 2: the fourth quarter. So I think that was smart for

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Speaker 2: Seattle to do that, just given that, Hey, we have

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Speaker 2: a Thursday night game. Let's get our guys out of there.

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Speaker 2: So I think that they will be well rested. But

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Speaker 2: I like the Cardinals at home. Like you said, their

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Speaker 2: defense played pretty well even though they were down a

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Speaker 2: bunch of corners against San Francisco forty nine ers. So

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Speaker 2: I like Arizona with some of the points here at home.

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Speaker 1: Okay, let's get to the international game. A nine thirty

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Speaker 1: am Eastern time, the Minnesota Vikings are going to play

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Speaker 1: the Pittsburgh Steelers. You're getting the Steelers plus three on

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Speaker 1: betting pros, minus two for Minnesota, and then forty and

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Speaker 1: a half is the consensus over for this contest. You

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Speaker 1: have forty one and a half on the other side

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Speaker 1: here for the under minus one thirty five for the

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Speaker 1: Minnesota Vikings Pittsburgh Steelers plus one thirty two. I'll be

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Speaker 1: honest with you, like, you know, watching that Minnesota Vikings

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Speaker 1: defense rebounded a big way rally around Carson Wentz too,

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Speaker 1: who was you know, more than adequate, serviceable, you know,

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Speaker 1: moved the football, did what he needed to do to

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Speaker 1: get the victory. We assume we're going to see him

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Speaker 1: again for this game. Pittsburgh should not have won that

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Speaker 1: game against the New England Patriots. They continued to just

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Speaker 1: hand wins over to other teams. But I think Minnesota

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Speaker 1: here in the money line minus one thirty five, just

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Speaker 1: let's just go right for that and not even muck

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Speaker 1: around like I'd rather be heavy there, especially because some

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Speaker 1: of the juice are any of the minus two is

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Speaker 1: about the same as the money line in a lot

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Speaker 1: of spots So what's your thoughts on this first of

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Speaker 1: the international games we've got this year.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, these games can get kind of wacky sometimes, especially

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Speaker 2: with playing international. You don't really know how teams are

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Speaker 2: going to adjust to the time zones when they're going

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Speaker 2: to travel. So I look to what do I believe

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Speaker 2: the most about these two teams? Who am I most confident?

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Speaker 2: Which unit? And for me, it's the Vikings defense, like

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Speaker 2: Brian Floress unit, That's why I have the most faith in.

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Speaker 2: I still think the Steelers defense has a lot of

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Speaker 2: problems and it wasn't for all the turnovers against the Patriots,

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Speaker 2: like the Patriots, like you said, should have won that game.

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Speaker 2: And I thought that the Patriots defense was actually kind

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Speaker 2: of slowing down the Steelers passing game. Aaron Rodgers, I

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Speaker 2: think is doing what Tom Brady did in his last

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Speaker 2: year with Tampa Bays. Get the ball all quick, like

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Speaker 2: they were not trying to throw the ball downfield whatsoever.

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Speaker 2: All the DK Metcalf targets are behind the line of

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Speaker 2: scrimmage yards after the catch, and Flores is not He's

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Speaker 2: gonna know that, like He's gonna get his guys up

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Speaker 2: against some of these receivers and make a life hard

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Speaker 2: for Aaron Rodgers. So I agree with you. I like

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Speaker 2: the vikings here all right.

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Speaker 1: Next up on our list here, speaking of contest that

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Speaker 1: could be one sided. It's like Buffalo Bills and the

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Speaker 1: New Orleans Saints. Now the Bills are at home getting

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Speaker 1: fifteen and a half points. You're getting plus seventeen and

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Speaker 1: a half right now for the consents. That's the best

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Speaker 1: number he could find for the Saints, plus seventeen and

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Speaker 1: a half. They did not look good on the road

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Speaker 1: against Seattle and against Buffalo. No one's really giving them

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Speaker 1: a chance. Forty seven and a half is the over.

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Speaker 1: Forty eight and a half is the under. You're ready

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Speaker 1: for the money line plus eleven fifty. I mean, at

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Speaker 1: that point, like crazy things can happen, right, It is

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Speaker 1: a football game. Injuries get happen, But even plus eleven

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Speaker 1: fifty sounds crazy. You know, the money line for the

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Speaker 1: Bills is minus twelve fifty. You know, it's pretty pretty

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Speaker 1: stout there. Andrew, The question is there any value here

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Speaker 1: on this line? That's what we're talking about. I think

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Speaker 1: we all believe that, you know, betting against the Bills

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Speaker 1: here is probably not the best scenario. But this is

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Speaker 1: a ridiculous amount of points here, seventeen and a half.

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Speaker 1: Do you think this is another like thirty to ten

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Speaker 1: kind of blowout?

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Speaker 2: Well, I think the theme with the Bills, and I

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Speaker 2: talked about this in the Thursday night primer, don't sweat

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Speaker 2: the spread. Just team total Bills thirty points, that's what

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Speaker 2: you gotta bet. Yeah, because we know that.

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Speaker 1: That's so I lost on the hook on Thursday night, Andrew,

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Speaker 1: So I'm still pissy about that. I'm just saying, still

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Speaker 1: a little pissy about thirty and a half.

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Speaker 2: It usually works out thirty and a half points for

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Speaker 2: the Bill. I'm not sure exactly whe their team total

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Speaker 2: will be here, but yeah, if they're going to score

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Speaker 2: thirty points, it's probably most likely going to happen. But

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Speaker 2: from a side, I mean, seventeen and a half points

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Speaker 2: is too many points for the Saints. Spencer Rattler, Yes,

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Speaker 2: he is not a great quarterback, especially playing on the road,

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Speaker 2: but the Saints are going to throw the ball forty

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Speaker 2: five fifteen, So can I get a back door cover

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Speaker 2: here at seventeen and a half? I think so. For me,

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Speaker 2: it's just too many points, So I'll take the Saints.

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Speaker 1: All right, certainly the biggest line of the week, there's

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Speaker 1: no doubt about that, all right, Before we get to

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Speaker 1: the next games here, today's show is brought to you

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Speaker 1: by our presenting sponsor, hard Rock Bet. Week three is

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Speaker 1: wrapping up with Detroit versus Baltimore tonight, and you can

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Speaker 1: listen to the streaks from hard Rock bet stats Hub

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Speaker 1: right now. And if you're looking for interesting bets or

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Speaker 1: at least stats that will make you sound smart like

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Speaker 1: we try to do here, you should check out hard

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Speaker 1: Rock bet stats Hub and there's a list of streaks

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Speaker 1: that you can find for tonight, and Baltimore has covered

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Speaker 1: the spread and four straight home games. Gibbs recorded thirty

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Speaker 1: plus receiving yards following a win in five straight games.

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Speaker 1: So trends and stats like this are really important when

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Speaker 1: you're looking at betting lines. Andrew does a great job,

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Speaker 1: so it's our whole team here bringing that kind of

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Speaker 1: stuff up. But if you're looking for even more, especially

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Speaker 1: In other states. Must be twenty one and physically president

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Speaker 1: in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee,

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Speaker 1: or Virginia to play. Terms and conditions apply. Concerned about

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Speaker 1: gambling in Florida called one eight eight eight admit it.

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Speaker 1: In Indiana, if you are something you know has a

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Speaker 1: gambling problem and wants help, call one eight hundred and

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Speaker 1: nine with it. Gambling problem called one hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado,

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Speaker 1: Illinois in New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. Okay, let's move

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Speaker 1: on here to the next contest. We have one o'clock

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Speaker 1: Eastern time, the Tennessee Titans oh and three the Houston

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Speaker 1: Texans also oh and three Andrew Erickson. The battle of

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Speaker 1: no win teams here. Somebody's gotta win, right. I guess

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Speaker 1: we could tie, but that's gross. So Houston is a

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Speaker 1: seven point underdog, excuse me, favorite in this game at home.

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Speaker 1: Seems like a lot considering the way they've played this year,

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Speaker 1: Tennessee Titans. Like, I'm gonna say, the Titans have had

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Speaker 1: a rough schedule to start the year. I think this

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Speaker 1: is kind of a winnable game for the Titans. I'm

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Speaker 1: not gonna lie plus seven and a half. I kind

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Speaker 1: of like the points here with the Titans. Thirty eight

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Speaker 1: and a half is the over, forty and a half

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Speaker 1: is the under. You're getting plus three to zero three

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Speaker 1: on the money line for the Titans. I'm very tempted.

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Speaker 1: I'm just wondering, are the Houston Texans kind of just

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Speaker 1: falling apart at the seams here? I know the offensive

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Speaker 1: line is bad. We had our concerns they couldn't get

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Speaker 1: the job done in Jacksonville. I thought back up against

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Speaker 1: the wall they would find some pride. Well they did it. Instead,

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Speaker 1: they found another l So Andrew, walk me through what

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Speaker 1: you think here? I like the Titans with the points here,

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Speaker 1: what's your thoughts?

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Speaker 2: I think that's probably the side. I would pick the

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Speaker 2: Titans with the points. I do think that this is

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Speaker 2: where the Texans do get their first win of the year,

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Speaker 2: because yes, they are zero and three, but they've lost

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Speaker 2: three close games, so it's not like they've been getting

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Speaker 2: totally dominated and blown out by every single team they played.

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Speaker 2: They've also played like two of the better teams, but

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Speaker 2: the Tampa Bay Buccaneers three to zero, the Rams are

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Speaker 2: two and one, but one of the better teams in

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Speaker 2: the NFC, and then obviously losing a divisional game against

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Speaker 2: the Jaguars on the road. So but all close games.

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Speaker 2: So I think that it is kind of weird to

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Speaker 2: see an ow and three team favored by a touchdown.

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Speaker 2: But again, just Callahan, man, just faye, this guy. You

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Speaker 2: can't bet on Ryan Callahan and the Tennessee Titans. I

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Speaker 2: just that's the thing. He's just he's hamstringing cam Ward

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Speaker 2: and this offense, and I just yeah, so I will

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Speaker 2: take the texanside here.

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Speaker 1: All right. The Cleveland Browns came in with their first victory,

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Speaker 1: upsetting the Packers there, so they moved to one and

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Speaker 1: two the Lions. We'll play tonight. We'll see how they

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Speaker 1: do this spread here obviously, as in the favor of

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Speaker 1: the Detroit Lions eight and a half point favorites. You're

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Speaker 1: getting the over forty five and a half, the under

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Speaker 1: forty six plus three seventy five on the money line

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Speaker 1: for the Cleveland Browns. Andrew, it's Detroit, it's forty five

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Speaker 1: and a half, so it's got to be an.

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Speaker 2: Over, right, you know me too well, Joe. Of course

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Speaker 2: it's a score. You got to go at the over,

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Speaker 2: especially with the Lions playing off a short week. Maybe

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Speaker 2: the Browns are feeling more inspired, getting Queenshawn Judkins going

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Speaker 2: in the run game. You know, have talented receivers across

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Speaker 2: the board. So yes, I think this game will go

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Speaker 2: over the total.

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Speaker 1: All right, Washington, we don't know yet if Jade Daniels

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Speaker 1: is going to be back. We assume he is, but

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Speaker 1: let's not make an ass out of you or me

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Speaker 1: before we do that. Mark Smarrio did get the Commanders

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Speaker 1: of victory last week. The Atlanta Falcons are one and two.

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Speaker 1: They'll be at home licking their wounds. They are three

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Speaker 1: point underdogs at home. You're getting minus one and a

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Speaker 1: half on VP is the best consensus number there for

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Speaker 1: the Washington Commanders. Forty five and a half is the

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Speaker 1: total everywhere right now for the over and the under.

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Speaker 1: And you're getting plus one thirty five here as well

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Speaker 1: for the Atlanta Falcons. So home underdogs the Atlanta Falcons.

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Speaker 1: They've earned this mark with the way they played last

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Speaker 1: week for sure. So is this a bounce back week

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Speaker 1: here sneaky value on the Falcons, or instead are we

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Speaker 1: looking at the Falcons sinking deeper into the mud.

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Speaker 2: I think this is a spot to bat the Falcons.

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Speaker 2: And I can't remember exactly what Terrell's close your eyes

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Speaker 2: special is. I'm not sure if this would qualify for this, feel.

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Speaker 1: Like it might be in that vein.

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Speaker 2: It's us.

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Speaker 1: We got a call team and find out.

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Speaker 2: I think team that gets smoked and then they're catching

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Speaker 2: points playing at home the next week. And I think

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Speaker 2: that you should get on Atlanta right now. Because I

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Speaker 2: don't think Jan Daniels is gonna play. They said on

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Speaker 2: the broadcast that there's no timetable for him to return,

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Speaker 2: So to me, that screams like this guy's not playing

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Speaker 2: next week, especially with how well Mariota played against the Raiders.

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Speaker 2: I feel like they Jane Daniels is their franchise, like

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Speaker 2: they will not risk putting him out if he is

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Speaker 2: not one hundred and ten percent ready to go, especially

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Speaker 2: with a knee injury. So I think the valley clearly

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Speaker 2: right now is jump on the Falcons catching points at

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Speaker 2: home and what Terrell firm will most likely come away

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Speaker 2: with best bets later in the week on Thursday as

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Speaker 2: a close your eyes special.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I certainly gonna feel like that. Plus one thirty

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Speaker 1: five for the money line for the Falcons too, not

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Speaker 1: too shabby. All right, don't forget body, download the Betting

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00:13:00,880 --> 00:13:03,400
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316
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00:13:30,360 --> 00:13:32,640
Speaker 1: you activate your trial right now. It's a great time

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Speaker 1: of year with college football, NFL, you got NBA around

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00:13:35,800 --> 00:13:37,960
Speaker 1: the corner. Two lots of fun stuff here on the

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00:13:37,960 --> 00:13:40,760
Speaker 1: Betting Pros app, so get in on it. Philadelphia Eagles

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Speaker 1: found a way to win. They're three to ozero and

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00:13:42,840 --> 00:13:45,079
Speaker 1: so are the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. This is going to

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Speaker 1: be a salty one here you go. Buccaneers at home,

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Speaker 1: three point underdogs to the Philadelphia Eagles, the raiding defending

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Speaker 1: world champions. Minus two and a half on the Eagle side,

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Speaker 1: forty five and a half for the over, forty six

327
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Speaker 1: and a half for the under, plus one forty on

328
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Speaker 1: the money line for Tampa. So Baker is an underdog

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00:14:02,120 --> 00:14:06,319
Speaker 1: we love, but possibly without Mike Evans this week, it

330
00:14:06,320 --> 00:14:08,760
Speaker 1: seems like that's trending in that direction. Against only Monday,

331
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Speaker 1: we're waiting for more news, but he's already down Godwin,

332
00:14:11,960 --> 00:14:15,000
Speaker 1: now down Evans? Is there enough left here for Baker

333
00:14:15,040 --> 00:14:19,200
Speaker 1: Mayfield to pull out an upset over the champs? Who really?

334
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Speaker 1: Look the Rams should have won that football game. They

335
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Speaker 1: really should have. They controlled the game. The fourth quarter

336
00:14:24,400 --> 00:14:26,480
Speaker 1: got away from them. They didn't close, they didn't finish,

337
00:14:26,560 --> 00:14:29,720
Speaker 1: they didn't execute special teams. And the Eagles, to their credit,

338
00:14:29,800 --> 00:14:31,680
Speaker 1: they grind it out of victory. Can they grind out

339
00:14:31,680 --> 00:14:33,680
Speaker 1: another one on the road against Tampa or does their

340
00:14:33,680 --> 00:14:36,920
Speaker 1: good luck come to an end? Andrew, Yeah, this one's.

341
00:14:36,680 --> 00:14:39,840
Speaker 2: Tough to try to cap. With the Mike Evans injury,

342
00:14:39,960 --> 00:14:43,080
Speaker 2: the annual hamstring injury. For those that own Mike Evans

343
00:14:43,080 --> 00:14:45,760
Speaker 2: in fantasy football, we all know about this. He's probably

344
00:14:45,760 --> 00:14:47,400
Speaker 2: gonna be up for the next couple of weeks. They

345
00:14:47,440 --> 00:14:50,680
Speaker 2: should get though Chris Godwin coming back into the lineup,

346
00:14:50,880 --> 00:14:53,160
Speaker 2: but he's coming off season ending injury. Will see how

347
00:14:53,480 --> 00:14:55,000
Speaker 2: much he plays with shape he's and I know eg

348
00:14:55,040 --> 00:14:57,120
Speaker 2: Bucas can also been kind of playing through some injuries

349
00:14:57,200 --> 00:14:59,640
Speaker 2: as well, and Tristan Wurf's has a chance to also

350
00:14:59,720 --> 00:15:03,200
Speaker 2: come back. So some reinforcements for Tampa Bay. I think

351
00:15:03,280 --> 00:15:06,040
Speaker 2: for me, this might be a better live betting opportunity

352
00:15:06,120 --> 00:15:08,360
Speaker 2: where hey, the Eagles jump out to ten nothing lead,

353
00:15:08,400 --> 00:15:10,200
Speaker 2: and you just take the Buccaneers as many points you

354
00:15:10,240 --> 00:15:11,920
Speaker 2: can get because you know that Baker Mayfield.

355
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Speaker 1: Baker has been coming back in every game so far exactly.

356
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Speaker 2: So like that's because again, I ultimately don't know if

357
00:15:17,320 --> 00:15:18,760
Speaker 2: they're gonna be able to pull it out just because

358
00:15:18,800 --> 00:15:21,520
Speaker 2: they may be just too undermanned against a really good

359
00:15:21,560 --> 00:15:24,200
Speaker 2: Philadelphia Eagles team. And again they still have injuries on

360
00:15:24,200 --> 00:15:26,400
Speaker 2: the offensive line even if Tristan Wurfs does come back.

361
00:15:26,480 --> 00:15:28,360
Speaker 2: So I think that's probably the play for me. No

362
00:15:28,440 --> 00:15:31,280
Speaker 2: pregame bet, but live bet the Buccaneers because you know

363
00:15:31,320 --> 00:15:34,000
Speaker 2: that Baker Mayfield's gonna be round the troops at some point,

364
00:15:34,440 --> 00:15:36,480
Speaker 2: but may be a little bit too late when it's

365
00:15:36,520 --> 00:15:37,360
Speaker 2: all said and done.

366
00:15:37,800 --> 00:15:40,840
Speaker 1: All right, next one up here has already been moving around.

367
00:15:40,920 --> 00:15:43,960
Speaker 1: The Carolina Panthers traveling to New England. New England winless

368
00:15:43,960 --> 00:15:46,720
Speaker 1: at home this year because the kid turn it over

369
00:15:46,760 --> 00:15:50,360
Speaker 1: the football, stop it stop please no Rore ramondra Stevenson.

370
00:15:50,400 --> 00:15:53,760
Speaker 1: I beg you, just Tretton Henderson, please going forward? Anyway,

371
00:15:55,440 --> 00:15:58,640
Speaker 1: let me take a drunk here. Don't worry, it's just

372
00:15:58,680 --> 00:16:02,160
Speaker 1: water in the bottle. It's a rough morning here, all right.

373
00:16:02,200 --> 00:16:04,960
Speaker 1: New England Patriots minus three and a half. Sometimes you're

374
00:16:05,000 --> 00:16:07,920
Speaker 1: seeing some other lines too, Carolina Panthers plus six and

375
00:16:07,960 --> 00:16:10,680
Speaker 1: a half in some spots. Also moving around to I've

376
00:16:10,680 --> 00:16:12,520
Speaker 1: seen even New England now favor by four and a

377
00:16:12,600 --> 00:16:15,040
Speaker 1: half in some other books. So things for moving around

378
00:16:15,080 --> 00:16:17,360
Speaker 1: the betting pros app It feels like nobody knows quite

379
00:16:17,440 --> 00:16:19,080
Speaker 1: how to handicap this one out of the gate, and

380
00:16:19,160 --> 00:16:22,800
Speaker 1: I understand why. So the over for this game forty

381
00:16:22,800 --> 00:16:24,240
Speaker 1: three and a half. The under forty five and a

382
00:16:24,280 --> 00:16:25,840
Speaker 1: half is the best number you can get on VP

383
00:16:26,240 --> 00:16:29,560
Speaker 1: plus one eighty for the Panthers on the money line, Andrew, Look,

384
00:16:29,600 --> 00:16:31,280
Speaker 1: New England has to take better care of the football.

385
00:16:31,440 --> 00:16:34,880
Speaker 1: Drake May's playing good football. The defense is starting to

386
00:16:34,880 --> 00:16:36,280
Speaker 1: come around a little bit. I think those pieces are

387
00:16:36,280 --> 00:16:38,800
Speaker 1: starting work together. They still don't have Christian Gonzales right,

388
00:16:38,880 --> 00:16:41,640
Speaker 1: that's when they get him back eventually. Theoretically it makes

389
00:16:41,720 --> 00:16:45,360
Speaker 1: me even better. I want to again close my eyes

390
00:16:45,400 --> 00:16:47,120
Speaker 1: and just think the Patriots can win this football game.

391
00:16:47,120 --> 00:16:48,720
Speaker 1: But three and a half, four and a half, like

392
00:16:49,080 --> 00:16:50,640
Speaker 1: that's getting a little rich for my blood here.

393
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Speaker 2: In terms of my confidence, yeah, I'm right there with

394
00:16:54,680 --> 00:16:57,280
Speaker 2: you with the confidence level. I do think that this

395
00:16:57,440 --> 00:17:00,840
Speaker 2: is probably play for the over. I think that's the value.

396
00:17:00,840 --> 00:17:03,120
Speaker 2: I like the over on the Patriots Steelers game, which

397
00:17:03,360 --> 00:17:05,000
Speaker 2: would have hit if they had just not turned the

398
00:17:05,000 --> 00:17:06,760
Speaker 2: ball over in the red zone every single time they

399
00:17:06,760 --> 00:17:09,359
Speaker 2: got the football. So the Patriots were moving the ball

400
00:17:09,480 --> 00:17:11,399
Speaker 2: at will against the Pittsburgh Steels, they just could not

401
00:17:11,440 --> 00:17:14,600
Speaker 2: convert them into touchdowns. And the Panthers just scored thirty

402
00:17:14,760 --> 00:17:16,920
Speaker 2: on the Atlanta Falcons and had no problems with it,

403
00:17:16,960 --> 00:17:19,560
Speaker 2: and I think that game didn't go over. So again,

404
00:17:19,560 --> 00:17:21,360
Speaker 2: I don't think the Panthers defense is still any good.

405
00:17:21,600 --> 00:17:23,680
Speaker 2: I still think that they will struggle, especially now that

406
00:17:23,720 --> 00:17:25,479
Speaker 2: they're back on the road. Right, we talked about this

407
00:17:25,600 --> 00:17:27,760
Speaker 2: Panthers at home, Okay, they played much better, but every

408
00:17:27,760 --> 00:17:29,720
Speaker 2: single game they've played on the road, they've given up

409
00:17:29,760 --> 00:17:32,080
Speaker 2: a ton of points. So I like the over here,

410
00:17:32,119 --> 00:17:34,760
Speaker 2: especially where I'm thinking the lowest line is forty three

411
00:17:34,760 --> 00:17:37,280
Speaker 2: and a half. Yes, give me the over on that.

412
00:17:38,200 --> 00:17:42,119
Speaker 1: All right, next one here, I am on. I want it.

413
00:17:42,200 --> 00:17:43,960
Speaker 1: I think it's going to be a blowout. I really do.

414
00:17:44,240 --> 00:17:46,640
Speaker 1: The Los Angeles Chargers, I think are really good football team,

415
00:17:46,880 --> 00:17:50,199
Speaker 1: and they grabbed another victory there three No they might

416
00:17:50,200 --> 00:17:52,240
Speaker 1: pick to with that division. Everybody said I was crazy,

417
00:17:52,280 --> 00:17:53,920
Speaker 1: especially when Slater went down, and I'm like, no, I

418
00:17:53,960 --> 00:17:56,080
Speaker 1: think we're right now. Khalil Mack went down and everybody

419
00:17:56,119 --> 00:17:58,760
Speaker 1: thinks I'm still crazy. But they're going to replace him

420
00:17:58,760 --> 00:18:03,159
Speaker 1: with SEC defensive player of the Year in Kyle Kinnard,

421
00:18:03,320 --> 00:18:05,679
Speaker 1: so he's ready to you know, get up there and

422
00:18:05,720 --> 00:18:07,919
Speaker 1: make his presence felt too. So like, I think that

423
00:18:08,440 --> 00:18:12,000
Speaker 1: you're in a spot here where the Chargers the three

424
00:18:12,040 --> 00:18:14,840
Speaker 1: to zero. The Giants may or may not start Russell

425
00:18:14,840 --> 00:18:18,120
Speaker 1: Wilson never again, I don't think they should. I think

426
00:18:18,680 --> 00:18:21,640
Speaker 1: Russ is cooked. I think this is crazy. And even

427
00:18:21,720 --> 00:18:23,560
Speaker 1: last week, you know we talked about, you know, the

428
00:18:23,600 --> 00:18:25,560
Speaker 1: four hundred yard game and all that stuff. That's because

429
00:18:26,280 --> 00:18:28,320
Speaker 1: one out of every three of those moonballs gets caught

430
00:18:28,359 --> 00:18:31,480
Speaker 1: by the Giants, another one of the three get caught

431
00:18:31,520 --> 00:18:33,639
Speaker 1: by the other team, and the other one of the

432
00:18:33,640 --> 00:18:39,399
Speaker 1: three are incomplete. So that's sixty six percent of the

433
00:18:39,440 --> 00:18:43,200
Speaker 1: time that we are in failure rate here for mister

434
00:18:43,280 --> 00:18:45,920
Speaker 1: Russell Wilson. So please, for the love of God, can

435
00:18:45,920 --> 00:18:47,760
Speaker 1: we make a change of quarterback now. Even so, I

436
00:18:47,800 --> 00:18:51,200
Speaker 1: don't want to feed Jackson Dart to the Chargers necessarily.

437
00:18:51,200 --> 00:18:52,520
Speaker 1: I don't know how this is gonna go. The Chargers

438
00:18:52,520 --> 00:18:54,440
Speaker 1: are five and a half point favorites. I think it

439
00:18:54,480 --> 00:18:57,200
Speaker 1: should be more. Where at plus six for the Giants,

440
00:18:57,240 --> 00:18:59,680
Speaker 1: I have zero confidence in that offense. I love camp

441
00:18:59,680 --> 00:19:02,000
Speaker 1: scat though it makes me smile. I'm so happy for

442
00:19:02,080 --> 00:19:04,080
Speaker 1: cam Forty four and a half is the number for

443
00:19:04,119 --> 00:19:06,520
Speaker 1: the over, forty five for the under, then you got

444
00:19:06,560 --> 00:19:08,320
Speaker 1: plus two to ten of the Giant's money line. Look,

445
00:19:08,400 --> 00:19:10,080
Speaker 1: I would jump on the Chargers now. I think as

446
00:19:10,160 --> 00:19:14,040
Speaker 1: the week goes on, it's going to get worse for them.

447
00:19:14,040 --> 00:19:14,640
Speaker 1: What do you think?

448
00:19:15,640 --> 00:19:17,000
Speaker 2: I don't know. I don't know if it will get

449
00:19:17,040 --> 00:19:19,560
Speaker 2: worse for them because you have the West coast to

450
00:19:19,600 --> 00:19:21,879
Speaker 2: East coast type of narrative where the Chargers have the

451
00:19:21,880 --> 00:19:23,879
Speaker 2: travel on the road to play one o'clock kickoff, And

452
00:19:24,119 --> 00:19:27,280
Speaker 2: this is such a classic Chargers bomb spot in historic

453
00:19:27,640 --> 00:19:30,000
Speaker 2: like in past Chargers teams where it's like, oh, of

454
00:19:30,040 --> 00:19:31,960
Speaker 2: course the Chargers like they look so good on paper,

455
00:19:32,000 --> 00:19:34,280
Speaker 2: but to your point, they feel different this year, like

456
00:19:34,400 --> 00:19:37,360
Speaker 2: justin Herbert is playing at an MVP level, and when

457
00:19:37,359 --> 00:19:40,040
Speaker 2: you're looking at the top guys, lamar Josh Allen to

458
00:19:40,080 --> 00:19:42,480
Speaker 2: put Justin Herbert right into that conversation with how well

459
00:19:42,520 --> 00:19:45,480
Speaker 2: that he's playing right now. So I agree, I'm going

460
00:19:45,560 --> 00:19:47,240
Speaker 2: to back the Chargers here, and I think that'll probably

461
00:19:47,240 --> 00:19:49,000
Speaker 2: we'll see Jackson Dart if we don't see him this week.

462
00:19:49,080 --> 00:19:50,879
Speaker 2: I mean, they're playing the Saints in Week five, Like,

463
00:19:50,960 --> 00:19:52,920
Speaker 2: doesn't that seem like the prime spot, especially with Andrew

464
00:19:52,960 --> 00:19:55,080
Speaker 2: Thomas looking like he's gonna get back up to playing

465
00:19:55,080 --> 00:19:56,600
Speaker 2: a full compliment of snaps out. I don't think he'd

466
00:19:56,600 --> 00:19:58,560
Speaker 2: played in the second half on Sunday night, but he

467
00:19:58,640 --> 00:20:00,760
Speaker 2: definitely helped the offensive line give me the game. Things

468
00:20:00,800 --> 00:20:02,200
Speaker 2: kind of got out of hand in the second half

469
00:20:02,600 --> 00:20:04,719
Speaker 2: for the Giants. But yes, Russell Wilson, Yeah, when you're

470
00:20:04,720 --> 00:20:07,439
Speaker 2: not playing the Dallas Cowboys, Yeah, it's it's a lot

471
00:20:07,480 --> 00:20:08,400
Speaker 2: harder to play quarterback.

472
00:20:09,040 --> 00:20:13,119
Speaker 1: Yeah. Well, Caleb Williams look good against that Cowboys defense yesterday.

473
00:20:12,359 --> 00:20:15,959
Speaker 1: A quarterbacks, Well, they're saying that's how bad they are,

474
00:20:16,000 --> 00:20:19,159
Speaker 1: and Caleb has not been good. Indianapolis Colts, they've been good.

475
00:20:19,160 --> 00:20:22,000
Speaker 1: They're undefeated. They'll take on the Rams who had to

476
00:20:22,040 --> 00:20:24,160
Speaker 1: get saddled with a loss on the road, a tough

477
00:20:24,200 --> 00:20:26,880
Speaker 1: one here too, So don't sleep on the Colts. They

478
00:20:26,920 --> 00:20:30,159
Speaker 1: are challenging teams. Colts getting six points here, the Rams

479
00:20:30,200 --> 00:20:32,200
Speaker 1: best numbers minus three and a half, getting forty seven

480
00:20:32,200 --> 00:20:33,440
Speaker 1: and a half on the over, forty eight and a

481
00:20:33,480 --> 00:20:35,960
Speaker 1: half on the under, plus one seventy for the Colts

482
00:20:36,000 --> 00:20:39,520
Speaker 1: money line. Now that's intriguing. But at the same time,

483
00:20:39,960 --> 00:20:42,080
Speaker 1: I think the Rams take out their aggressions of the

484
00:20:42,080 --> 00:20:45,639
Speaker 1: Colts here and I think the perfect season for the Rams,

485
00:20:45,680 --> 00:20:47,480
Speaker 1: I mean sore for the Colts comes to an end

486
00:20:47,480 --> 00:20:49,520
Speaker 1: here in LA. What are your thoughts about this one?

487
00:20:49,680 --> 00:20:51,960
Speaker 2: I agree I like the Rams here. I think that

488
00:20:52,040 --> 00:20:54,879
Speaker 2: the pass rush that the Rams have is going to

489
00:20:55,080 --> 00:20:57,560
Speaker 2: put Daniel Jones into some uncomfortable positions that I don't

490
00:20:57,560 --> 00:21:00,359
Speaker 2: think that he's not as been in as much through

491
00:21:00,359 --> 00:21:03,120
Speaker 2: the first three weeks of the season and even last week. Again,

492
00:21:03,160 --> 00:21:04,800
Speaker 2: if it have it been any other team but the

493
00:21:04,800 --> 00:21:08,320
Speaker 2: Tennessee Titans, I would have felt less confident that the

494
00:21:08,320 --> 00:21:09,920
Speaker 2: Colts were going to get the job done. But because

495
00:21:09,960 --> 00:21:12,520
Speaker 2: they were playing the Titans on the road, I was like, well,

496
00:21:12,560 --> 00:21:14,520
Speaker 2: it doesn't matter because you just fade Callahan, No matter what,

497
00:21:14,520 --> 00:21:17,040
Speaker 2: whatever team he's playing. So I do think on the road,

498
00:21:17,080 --> 00:21:19,720
Speaker 2: even in LA, I think that maybe we see a

499
00:21:19,760 --> 00:21:21,960
Speaker 2: step back with Daniel Jones just this particular week, but

500
00:21:22,160 --> 00:21:24,080
Speaker 2: you know his overall body work, we've seen you it

501
00:21:24,080 --> 00:21:25,840
Speaker 2: would be a good quarterback before when he's been putting

502
00:21:25,880 --> 00:21:28,560
Speaker 2: good situations, and obviously so far with the APIs Colts

503
00:21:28,560 --> 00:21:31,040
Speaker 2: that has been the case. However, I think that like

504
00:21:31,040 --> 00:21:33,159
Speaker 2: the passers, like I mentioned, I think that's going to

505
00:21:33,200 --> 00:21:35,080
Speaker 2: give him some fits. So I like the Rams here

506
00:21:35,080 --> 00:21:35,680
Speaker 2: at home.

507
00:21:36,000 --> 00:21:38,320
Speaker 1: All right. Next up here we have the Jacksonville Jaguars

508
00:21:38,320 --> 00:21:39,800
Speaker 1: two and one going to San fran three. I know

509
00:21:39,960 --> 00:21:42,160
Speaker 1: this should be an easy victory here for San Francisco.

510
00:21:42,200 --> 00:21:43,720
Speaker 1: With the way char Or Lawrence has played this year.

511
00:21:44,280 --> 00:21:45,680
Speaker 1: You're getting four and a half plus four and a

512
00:21:45,680 --> 00:21:47,320
Speaker 1: half of the Jacksonville side, minus three and a half

513
00:21:47,320 --> 00:21:49,480
Speaker 1: for San fran forty. Five and a half is the

514
00:21:49,520 --> 00:21:52,160
Speaker 1: total everywhere, and then plus one seventy for Jacksonville minus

515
00:21:52,200 --> 00:21:54,840
Speaker 1: two hundred on the money line for San Fran, So

516
00:21:55,760 --> 00:21:57,560
Speaker 1: three and a half. I'm comfortable here with this. I

517
00:21:57,600 --> 00:21:59,920
Speaker 1: think this is a touchdown win for San Francisco forty.

518
00:22:00,359 --> 00:22:02,760
Speaker 2: What do you think, Andrew do you care what quarterback

519
00:22:02,800 --> 00:22:06,280
Speaker 2: plays for the forty nine ers might come back? So

520
00:22:06,359 --> 00:22:08,399
Speaker 2: like that's a thing that I'm just kind of curious.

521
00:22:08,720 --> 00:22:11,560
Speaker 1: You know. Look, last the Arizona Cardinals always play We

522
00:22:11,600 --> 00:22:13,119
Speaker 1: talked about this last week. They always played the four

523
00:22:13,240 --> 00:22:16,679
Speaker 1: nine ers tough always, and that defense is improved. So

524
00:22:16,800 --> 00:22:19,679
Speaker 1: I was not shocked to see that game low total.

525
00:22:19,760 --> 00:22:21,719
Speaker 1: I was not shocked to see it being kind of

526
00:22:21,760 --> 00:22:25,240
Speaker 1: boring and sluggish and all that stuff. I just don't

527
00:22:25,280 --> 00:22:28,920
Speaker 1: think the Look, I don't think you watched the indianapp

528
00:22:29,000 --> 00:22:30,600
Speaker 1: Excuse me. I don't think you can watch the Jacksonville

529
00:22:30,640 --> 00:22:33,320
Speaker 1: Jaguars this year and be impressed. Like I'm not impressed

530
00:22:33,320 --> 00:22:35,520
Speaker 1: by anything they do yet. And the forty nine ers

531
00:22:35,560 --> 00:22:38,520
Speaker 1: defense I think is good, and I think Jacksonville going

532
00:22:38,560 --> 00:22:40,960
Speaker 1: on the road. Look, I'll tell you what. If Brock

533
00:22:41,000 --> 00:22:44,080
Speaker 1: Purty was playing, I would set it at five and

534
00:22:44,080 --> 00:22:48,280
Speaker 1: a half, to be honest with you. With Mac Jones playing,

535
00:22:48,320 --> 00:22:50,640
Speaker 1: I think the three and a half is good. That's

536
00:22:50,680 --> 00:22:51,960
Speaker 1: how I look at this one.

537
00:22:52,080 --> 00:22:54,639
Speaker 2: I think for me, so I think that Brock Perty's

538
00:22:54,640 --> 00:22:56,520
Speaker 2: probably actually gonna play in this game, and I think your.

539
00:22:56,600 --> 00:22:57,879
Speaker 1: I think it's good for two points. What do you

540
00:22:57,920 --> 00:22:59,840
Speaker 1: think I would say two is a party number.

541
00:23:00,280 --> 00:23:01,960
Speaker 2: I agree with that. I think the market is going

542
00:23:02,000 --> 00:23:04,080
Speaker 2: to move in that direction. So I think for me,

543
00:23:04,280 --> 00:23:06,280
Speaker 2: so I think I like Jacksonville with the points here,

544
00:23:06,359 --> 00:23:08,400
Speaker 2: and I think I'm gonna get more points if Rock

545
00:23:08,400 --> 00:23:11,040
Speaker 2: Perdy gets announced the starter, because I think more of

546
00:23:11,040 --> 00:23:12,960
Speaker 2: the market's going to react to that and not react

547
00:23:13,040 --> 00:23:15,560
Speaker 2: enough to Nick Bosa might is probably not gonna play

548
00:23:15,640 --> 00:23:17,760
Speaker 2: this game, like he got hurt last week. So he's

549
00:23:17,800 --> 00:23:20,080
Speaker 2: one of the biggest defensive players they have on their

550
00:23:20,080 --> 00:23:22,159
Speaker 2: defensive line. So that's a concern for me for the

551
00:23:22,160 --> 00:23:25,040
Speaker 2: forty nine ers in stopping the Jacksonville offense that at

552
00:23:25,040 --> 00:23:28,520
Speaker 2: times has had opportunities with ETN Brian Thomas Junior again,

553
00:23:28,600 --> 00:23:30,280
Speaker 2: tough matchup last week with Derek Thing, they know he

554
00:23:30,320 --> 00:23:32,439
Speaker 2: got banged up. But in the forty nine ers, one

555
00:23:32,440 --> 00:23:34,520
Speaker 2: of the trends that's held very strong over the last

556
00:23:34,560 --> 00:23:37,199
Speaker 2: couple of years with Shanahan is they they tend to

557
00:23:37,200 --> 00:23:39,760
Speaker 2: be very very overvalued at home against the spread, like

558
00:23:39,800 --> 00:23:42,040
Speaker 2: they just don't they end up winning these games, but

559
00:23:42,080 --> 00:23:44,000
Speaker 2: they don't actually win them by the amount that we

560
00:23:44,040 --> 00:23:46,240
Speaker 2: all expect them to. So I like Jacksonville even on

561
00:23:46,280 --> 00:23:47,639
Speaker 2: the road with some points.

562
00:23:48,200 --> 00:23:50,159
Speaker 1: Okay. Next up here we have the Chicago Bears, who

563
00:23:50,200 --> 00:23:52,600
Speaker 1: got their first W They head to Las Vegas. They

564
00:23:52,640 --> 00:23:54,720
Speaker 1: are one and two. Also Vegas plus one and a

565
00:23:54,800 --> 00:23:56,920
Speaker 1: half Chicago plus one and a half. Those are the

566
00:23:56,920 --> 00:23:59,399
Speaker 1: best two numbers. Are gonna find forty six and a

567
00:23:59,440 --> 00:24:01,159
Speaker 1: half for the over, forty seven and a half of

568
00:24:01,200 --> 00:24:03,439
Speaker 1: the under, minus one o three for the Bears, the

569
00:24:03,440 --> 00:24:05,679
Speaker 1: best money line minus one oh five for Vegas. So

570
00:24:05,920 --> 00:24:07,800
Speaker 1: choose your adventure here. You want to get involved in

571
00:24:07,840 --> 00:24:10,840
Speaker 1: this one here, I don't love the Bears defense. I'm

572
00:24:10,840 --> 00:24:13,040
Speaker 1: not exactly sure what the best unit on the field

573
00:24:13,119 --> 00:24:15,119
Speaker 1: is of these four I gotta be honest with you.

574
00:24:15,160 --> 00:24:18,360
Speaker 1: I like that logic they used earlier with the Vikings.

575
00:24:18,800 --> 00:24:20,760
Speaker 1: I'm just not sure I have a favorite with these

576
00:24:20,800 --> 00:24:22,600
Speaker 1: four choices that I have in this game. What are

577
00:24:22,640 --> 00:24:23,119
Speaker 1: your thoughts?

578
00:24:23,480 --> 00:24:25,640
Speaker 2: Is this our our four outcome game?

579
00:24:25,760 --> 00:24:27,639
Speaker 3: That we're not well?

580
00:24:27,680 --> 00:24:30,840
Speaker 1: I think Vegas is telling you basically, they went, we

581
00:24:30,920 --> 00:24:32,760
Speaker 1: don't know either. Go ahead, what do you want to

582
00:24:32,840 --> 00:24:34,560
Speaker 1: you want to bet? Do you think the Bears are good? Okay?

583
00:24:35,600 --> 00:24:38,520
Speaker 1: You think the Las Vegas Raiders aren't that bad? Okay, sure,

584
00:24:38,880 --> 00:24:40,919
Speaker 1: go for it. I think that's what they're telling us.

585
00:24:41,240 --> 00:24:42,880
Speaker 2: Yes, I think that is what they're telling us. Maybe

586
00:24:42,880 --> 00:24:45,760
Speaker 2: it played towards the over. Just it's a dome. If

587
00:24:45,800 --> 00:24:47,919
Speaker 2: Cavi Willims can kind of roll over again, he's up

588
00:24:47,920 --> 00:24:50,119
Speaker 2: playing the Dallas defense. But are we afraid of the

589
00:24:50,200 --> 00:24:52,280
Speaker 2: Raiders defense that just gave up thirty points to a

590
00:24:52,359 --> 00:24:55,960
Speaker 2: Marcus Mariota led Commander's team that had Terry McLaurin play

591
00:24:56,160 --> 00:24:58,080
Speaker 2: sixty percent of the snaps and leave with the injury.

592
00:24:58,680 --> 00:25:01,359
Speaker 2: So I think it's probably over for me. But like

593
00:25:01,400 --> 00:25:04,360
Speaker 2: we just said, maybe a four outcome type of game,

594
00:25:04,400 --> 00:25:07,199
Speaker 2: and maybe we should not be too super confident what

595
00:25:07,240 --> 00:25:09,280
Speaker 2: we think is gonna happen, because, like you said, even

596
00:25:09,359 --> 00:25:12,720
Speaker 2: Vegas seems kind of we're not really sure what that

597
00:25:12,840 --> 00:25:14,120
Speaker 2: was gonna happen in this contest.

598
00:25:15,240 --> 00:25:17,119
Speaker 1: All right, Next up is a real fun one for

599
00:25:17,320 --> 00:25:20,840
Speaker 1: twenty five. You got Kansas City Chiefs hosting the Baltimore

600
00:25:20,960 --> 00:25:24,000
Speaker 1: Ravens now Baltimore. We'll see what they do tonight and

601
00:25:24,040 --> 00:25:25,880
Speaker 1: see what injuries come with this, But as of right now,

602
00:25:25,920 --> 00:25:28,280
Speaker 1: you're getting minus three on the road for the Baltimore

603
00:25:28,320 --> 00:25:30,680
Speaker 1: Ravens plus three for the Kansasity Chiefs. That makes sense

604
00:25:30,720 --> 00:25:33,160
Speaker 1: to me forty eight and a half is the over,

605
00:25:33,240 --> 00:25:35,560
Speaker 1: forty nine and a half is the under minus one

606
00:25:35,640 --> 00:25:37,639
Speaker 1: forty four for Baltimore plus one twenty two in the

607
00:25:37,680 --> 00:25:40,080
Speaker 1: money line for the Chiefs. Now, typically Mahomes is an

608
00:25:40,119 --> 00:25:44,640
Speaker 1: underdog is something I'd run to. However, I don't think

609
00:25:44,680 --> 00:25:46,760
Speaker 1: the Chiefs look good this year. They even struggled at

610
00:25:46,760 --> 00:25:48,879
Speaker 1: times against the Giants, and the Giants have some players

611
00:25:48,920 --> 00:25:50,960
Speaker 1: on defense, so I don't want to like give them

612
00:25:51,000 --> 00:25:56,080
Speaker 1: too much crap here, but that Chiefs offense just looks dreadful.

613
00:25:56,320 --> 00:26:00,560
Speaker 1: They can't run the football. Mahomes just doesn't seem comfortable.

614
00:26:00,640 --> 00:26:02,359
Speaker 1: You know, Taekwon Thorton makes a couple of big plays

615
00:26:02,400 --> 00:26:04,840
Speaker 1: and they end up winning this football game. But I

616
00:26:04,960 --> 00:26:07,359
Speaker 1: like Baltimore with the three here. What are your thoughts, Andrew?

617
00:26:08,080 --> 00:26:10,479
Speaker 2: Yeah, I like the Ravens side too. With the Chiefs offense,

618
00:26:10,520 --> 00:26:14,080
Speaker 2: everything looks like a struggle. Nothing looks easy. He just

619
00:26:14,080 --> 00:26:17,399
Speaker 2: getting a first down, yeah, scoring a touchdown. Everything just

620
00:26:17,400 --> 00:26:20,240
Speaker 2: seems so hard. And yes, Taekwon Thorn came up with

621
00:26:20,280 --> 00:26:22,399
Speaker 2: big plays, but it was after he didn't come up

622
00:26:22,400 --> 00:26:24,600
Speaker 2: with the big plays everything.

623
00:26:25,280 --> 00:26:28,640
Speaker 1: Last night when you had do you remember when Mahomes

624
00:26:28,720 --> 00:26:32,480
Speaker 1: had like three pump fakes and you have underneath just

625
00:26:32,680 --> 00:26:35,399
Speaker 1: Travis Kelcey just sitting on the zone and he missed him.

626
00:26:35,880 --> 00:26:38,560
Speaker 1: That to me defines the Chiefs offense so far in

627
00:26:38,560 --> 00:26:41,720
Speaker 1: twenty twenty five. It's like, we're trying hard, We're really trying.

628
00:26:41,800 --> 00:26:43,760
Speaker 1: We're trying to make something work. Where is it? Where

629
00:26:43,800 --> 00:26:47,399
Speaker 1: is it? H? I got nothing? Okay? Oops? Incomplete? Like

630
00:26:47,640 --> 00:26:49,920
Speaker 1: how is that an incomplete? It's like an eight yard

631
00:26:50,000 --> 00:26:53,560
Speaker 1: pass right underneath the Travis Kelcey that's money in the bank.

632
00:26:53,680 --> 00:26:55,520
Speaker 1: Just take it, and he couldn't complete it, and it

633
00:26:55,680 --> 00:26:59,520
Speaker 1: just looked again like some sort of encapsulated How I

634
00:26:59,520 --> 00:27:01,359
Speaker 1: feel about this Chiefs team to start the season.

635
00:27:02,000 --> 00:27:04,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think that if you want to bet on

636
00:27:04,080 --> 00:27:07,280
Speaker 2: the Chiefs with the Homes magic and Chiefs underdogs, just

637
00:27:07,359 --> 00:27:10,000
Speaker 2: wait for them to fall behind against the Ravens and

638
00:27:10,000 --> 00:27:13,120
Speaker 2: then you bet Chiefs on each Chiefs with points, Chiefs

639
00:27:13,160 --> 00:27:15,879
Speaker 2: on the money line at much better odds as a

640
00:27:15,920 --> 00:27:18,880
Speaker 2: live bet, because if your entire analysis just, oh, well,

641
00:27:18,880 --> 00:27:20,840
Speaker 2: Mahomes magic, then he can do that. If they're down

642
00:27:20,880 --> 00:27:22,879
Speaker 2: by ten, it doesn't matter like when the magic happens.

643
00:27:23,080 --> 00:27:24,199
Speaker 2: If that's what we want to bet on, I think

644
00:27:24,200 --> 00:27:26,000
Speaker 2: it's a better live bet than a pregame bet.

645
00:27:26,560 --> 00:27:29,760
Speaker 1: All right, Next up, another big time matchup. You got

646
00:27:29,760 --> 00:27:32,600
Speaker 1: the Green Bay Packers going against the Dallas Cowboys. We

647
00:27:32,600 --> 00:27:34,679
Speaker 1: won't have CD Lamb for this one. High ankle Spring's

648
00:27:34,720 --> 00:27:37,199
Speaker 1: gonna be missing a fair amount of time. So Dallas

649
00:27:37,240 --> 00:27:39,119
Speaker 1: plus six, green Bay minus five and a half. A

650
00:27:39,160 --> 00:27:42,200
Speaker 1: green Bay loss to the Browns on the road. They

651
00:27:42,200 --> 00:27:44,439
Speaker 1: look sluggish and look, I get it, you know, a

652
00:27:44,440 --> 00:27:48,120
Speaker 1: team at home on the precipice of going zero to three,

653
00:27:48,359 --> 00:27:50,639
Speaker 1: they had some respect for themselves. Get credit to the Browns.

654
00:27:50,640 --> 00:27:51,840
Speaker 1: Man Judkins looks good on.

655
00:27:51,920 --> 00:27:55,560
Speaker 2: His defense is legit like that absolutely is so good,

656
00:27:55,880 --> 00:27:57,960
Speaker 2: so underrated because of how bad the offense is.

657
00:27:58,359 --> 00:28:00,680
Speaker 1: Well, but let's talk about that. Because the total here

658
00:28:00,760 --> 00:28:03,320
Speaker 1: is forty eight and a half plus two twenty five.

659
00:28:03,600 --> 00:28:06,640
Speaker 1: My inclination is for the under here because I don't

660
00:28:06,680 --> 00:28:09,720
Speaker 1: love the Dallas defense. Obviously no love there. Green Bay

661
00:28:09,760 --> 00:28:11,760
Speaker 1: is still a very good defense, but I think without

662
00:28:11,760 --> 00:28:14,439
Speaker 1: Ceedee Lamb in this game, that big playmaker and the

663
00:28:14,480 --> 00:28:18,000
Speaker 1: Green Bay Packer defense and all the weapons still not

664
00:28:18,040 --> 00:28:20,760
Speaker 1: one hundred percent healthy here for the Packers, this feels

665
00:28:20,800 --> 00:28:23,760
Speaker 1: like kind of a you know, a twenty seventeen kind

666
00:28:23,760 --> 00:28:26,640
Speaker 1: of game to me, and at best, like, I don't

667
00:28:26,640 --> 00:28:29,199
Speaker 1: think this is the scoring onslought that the lines are

668
00:28:29,200 --> 00:28:30,720
Speaker 1: telling you it's gonna be. I really don't.

669
00:28:31,600 --> 00:28:33,440
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think that that's probably strongly and it's just

670
00:28:33,480 --> 00:28:36,440
Speaker 2: a matter of how bad Dallas' defense does against the

671
00:28:36,440 --> 00:28:38,160
Speaker 2: green Bay Packers. So I think I just I'm fine

672
00:28:38,200 --> 00:28:40,080
Speaker 2: with like laying the points with green Bay because I

673
00:28:40,440 --> 00:28:42,120
Speaker 2: just don't think that Dallas is gonna be able to stop.

674
00:28:42,120 --> 00:28:44,880
Speaker 1: That's fine, that's fine. I just like the under forty.

675
00:28:45,000 --> 00:28:45,800
Speaker 1: It's a big number.

676
00:28:46,200 --> 00:28:51,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, right, Dallas, Dallas is. Dallas is terrible defense.

677
00:28:51,720 --> 00:28:54,160
Speaker 1: Dallas terrible in defense, which makes you gives you pause.

678
00:28:54,200 --> 00:28:56,760
Speaker 1: But ceedee Lamb out of this equation is a big loss.

679
00:28:56,880 --> 00:28:57,040
Speaker 2: Yeah.

680
00:28:57,080 --> 00:28:59,760
Speaker 1: Pickens is not a volume guy, Like that's not his back,

681
00:29:00,120 --> 00:29:00,800
Speaker 1: right Yeah.

682
00:29:00,840 --> 00:29:04,440
Speaker 2: So and you can just you can tell that who

683
00:29:04,440 --> 00:29:06,600
Speaker 2: does Dak trust the most in this offense. It's Ferguson.

684
00:29:07,360 --> 00:29:09,800
Speaker 2: Why zik Ferguson got a billion targets in this game

685
00:29:10,000 --> 00:29:12,400
Speaker 2: and not George Pickens because Lamb basically didn't play the

686
00:29:12,480 --> 00:29:14,640
Speaker 2: entire game. He didn't have any targets. He'd got hurt

687
00:29:14,640 --> 00:29:17,960
Speaker 2: on a carry. So I think that we're seeing that

688
00:29:18,080 --> 00:29:21,520
Speaker 2: Dak and George Pickens again, new quarterback, new wide receiver.

689
00:29:21,880 --> 00:29:23,720
Speaker 2: They're still kind of gelling trying to figure out how

690
00:29:23,760 --> 00:29:26,120
Speaker 2: they're gonna work together. And they're gonna have time the

691
00:29:26,200 --> 00:29:28,400
Speaker 2: next coming weeks with lamb out, but I think right

692
00:29:28,440 --> 00:29:30,239
Speaker 2: now it's gonna be a lot of tight end up

693
00:29:30,280 --> 00:29:31,280
Speaker 2: offs to Jake Ferguson.

694
00:29:31,760 --> 00:29:33,640
Speaker 1: All right, we got two Monday night games too, the

695
00:29:33,760 --> 00:29:36,040
Speaker 1: Jets and Dolphins. You know, we got a bunch of

696
00:29:36,080 --> 00:29:37,720
Speaker 1: oh and three teams I don't know with four with

697
00:29:37,840 --> 00:29:39,880
Speaker 1: five own three teams six. Two of them are in

698
00:29:39,920 --> 00:29:44,640
Speaker 1: New York andrew two of them winless New York Football teams. Uh.

699
00:29:44,760 --> 00:29:47,880
Speaker 1: Taking on the winless Miami Dolphins again, somebody's got to

700
00:29:47,880 --> 00:29:49,000
Speaker 1: come out victorious here.

701
00:29:49,440 --> 00:29:49,640
Speaker 2: Uh.

702
00:29:49,840 --> 00:29:51,880
Speaker 1: Plus five and a half of the Jets, minus two

703
00:29:51,880 --> 00:29:53,800
Speaker 1: and a half on the Dolphins, you're getting forty three

704
00:29:53,800 --> 00:29:55,440
Speaker 1: and a half of the over under forty five and

705
00:29:55,480 --> 00:29:57,000
Speaker 1: a half plus one thirty two on the money line

706
00:29:57,040 --> 00:29:59,280
Speaker 1: for the Jets. I gotta tell you, I kind of

707
00:29:59,320 --> 00:29:59,960
Speaker 1: like the Jets here.

708
00:30:00,240 --> 00:30:01,000
Speaker 2: I like it.

709
00:30:01,120 --> 00:30:03,600
Speaker 1: I know this sounds crazy because they're owing three, but

710
00:30:03,640 --> 00:30:06,560
Speaker 1: they play hard. They're not good, but they play hard

711
00:30:06,960 --> 00:30:12,120
Speaker 1: and Miami doesn't play hard and they're not great. Is

712
00:30:12,200 --> 00:30:14,880
Speaker 1: not good. This is the one game maybe all year

713
00:30:14,920 --> 00:30:17,040
Speaker 1: the Dolphins are favorites and I'm just not buying it.

714
00:30:17,080 --> 00:30:19,320
Speaker 1: Andrew give me the five and a half with the Jets.

715
00:30:20,400 --> 00:30:22,680
Speaker 2: I think this is the upset special where you're going

716
00:30:22,680 --> 00:30:26,160
Speaker 2: to like, it's a division game on the road, both

717
00:30:26,200 --> 00:30:29,040
Speaker 2: teams backs against the wall owing three. But vibes right

718
00:30:29,480 --> 00:30:31,560
Speaker 2: Aaron Glenn in a game that they lost against the

719
00:30:31,560 --> 00:30:33,280
Speaker 2: Buccaneers when it looked like they were gonna come away

720
00:30:33,280 --> 00:30:36,120
Speaker 2: with a comeback. After the game, Aaron Glenn is clapping

721
00:30:36,160 --> 00:30:37,360
Speaker 2: his team up, be like, let's go.

722
00:30:37,400 --> 00:30:40,440
Speaker 1: We hung in there. Yeah, that's that's right, and that's right.

723
00:30:40,520 --> 00:30:41,640
Speaker 1: That's good coaching right there.

724
00:30:41,720 --> 00:30:44,960
Speaker 2: Yes, So I think that just from a rale standpoint,

725
00:30:45,000 --> 00:30:46,600
Speaker 2: I think the Jets still feel and then maybe they

726
00:30:46,640 --> 00:30:48,280
Speaker 2: get a boost that Justin Fields comes back. So you're

727
00:30:48,280 --> 00:30:50,800
Speaker 2: getting the regular quarterback back under center against the Dolphins

728
00:30:50,800 --> 00:30:54,400
Speaker 2: defense that we know. I mean, Miami's soft, we know this.

729
00:30:54,800 --> 00:30:56,480
Speaker 2: They're not a team that's gonna come back. The minute

730
00:30:56,480 --> 00:31:00,400
Speaker 2: that they go down ten points, game's over, right, They're

731
00:31:00,440 --> 00:31:03,040
Speaker 2: not going to make a comeback. So I will also

732
00:31:03,080 --> 00:31:06,120
Speaker 2: take the Jets here on the road, so yes, yeah,

733
00:31:06,120 --> 00:31:08,160
Speaker 2: plus one thirty two on the money line. Yes, upset

734
00:31:08,160 --> 00:31:10,560
Speaker 2: special New York Jets. And this is on Is this

735
00:31:10,680 --> 00:31:12,000
Speaker 2: the Monday Night game?

736
00:31:12,080 --> 00:31:12,280
Speaker 1: Is this?

737
00:31:12,440 --> 00:31:13,080
Speaker 2: Is this the Monday Night?

738
00:31:13,200 --> 00:31:14,720
Speaker 1: Yeah? Oh he was the first of the Monday nights.

739
00:31:14,760 --> 00:31:16,280
Speaker 2: He has a double ahead of Monday Night. Yees.

740
00:31:16,360 --> 00:31:18,160
Speaker 1: You got the double header at seven fifteen starting in

741
00:31:18,160 --> 00:31:22,360
Speaker 1: at a fifteen. You got so Joe Burrow lis this

742
00:31:22,360 --> 00:31:25,480
Speaker 1: this game sounded really good two weeks ago. Some really

743
00:31:25,560 --> 00:31:30,200
Speaker 1: Joe Burrow every season so good, fields so good, not

744
00:31:30,280 --> 00:31:33,200
Speaker 1: so much. Bengals here to get their ass kicked by

745
00:31:33,240 --> 00:31:37,800
Speaker 1: the Minnesota Vikings last week. Browning with too many turnovers

746
00:31:37,840 --> 00:31:41,280
Speaker 1: there plus ten Denver at home getting minus seven. That's

747
00:31:41,280 --> 00:31:43,480
Speaker 1: the best number. Forty four is the best over forty

748
00:31:43,480 --> 00:31:45,760
Speaker 1: five and a half the best under a plus three

749
00:31:45,920 --> 00:31:49,400
Speaker 1: hundred here for the Bengals to come out with the upset.

750
00:31:49,480 --> 00:31:51,720
Speaker 1: But Andrew this one. To me, it's a lot of

751
00:31:51,720 --> 00:31:55,400
Speaker 1: points here. Again, I don't expect Browning and the Bengals

752
00:31:55,440 --> 00:31:58,000
Speaker 1: to be that bad every time. That Minnesota defense is

753
00:31:58,160 --> 00:32:00,560
Speaker 1: very good, but some was a never Bronco defense. I

754
00:32:00,600 --> 00:32:01,920
Speaker 1: think I think this one, to me is a little

755
00:32:01,920 --> 00:32:03,040
Speaker 1: bit of wait and see. I want to see some

756
00:32:03,040 --> 00:32:05,600
Speaker 1: injury reports too on the Denver side before I keep

757
00:32:05,640 --> 00:32:07,920
Speaker 1: going here. But do you see any early value in

758
00:32:07,960 --> 00:32:10,240
Speaker 1: this last of the games for Week four?

759
00:32:10,840 --> 00:32:13,560
Speaker 2: Just give me the Broncos. Sean pay and historically speaking,

760
00:32:13,600 --> 00:32:15,640
Speaker 2: weeks one and two not that great against the spread,

761
00:32:15,640 --> 00:32:18,080
Speaker 2: Weeks three and four, and even last week the game

762
00:32:18,360 --> 00:32:20,800
Speaker 2: was the game played exactly out like Vegas had it.

763
00:32:20,800 --> 00:32:24,160
Speaker 2: The total was exactly what was the closing line total,

764
00:32:24,200 --> 00:32:26,480
Speaker 2: the spread was exactly was the three points for the Chargers.

765
00:32:26,840 --> 00:32:28,840
Speaker 2: So I think Denver take care of business here Week

766
00:32:28,880 --> 00:32:31,200
Speaker 2: four for Sean Payton very good against the spread, and

767
00:32:31,600 --> 00:32:33,920
Speaker 2: Jake Browning just he's a backup quarterback for a reason.

768
00:32:34,040 --> 00:32:36,400
Speaker 2: And I don't think that enough people were considering the

769
00:32:36,440 --> 00:32:38,600
Speaker 2: falloff of Joe Burrow to Jake Browning and it was

770
00:32:38,640 --> 00:32:40,960
Speaker 2: too much. Well how did he do in twenty twenty three?

771
00:32:41,280 --> 00:32:44,320
Speaker 2: He can be better, and maybe he's not actually better,

772
00:32:44,360 --> 00:32:46,640
Speaker 2: and maybe Joe Burrow's the best best pocket passing in

773
00:32:46,640 --> 00:32:49,280
Speaker 2: the NFL for a reason. So yes, give me, give

774
00:32:49,280 --> 00:32:51,120
Speaker 2: me the Broncos at home, all.

775
00:32:51,080 --> 00:32:53,320
Speaker 1: Right, make sure you download the betting pros app bets

776
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Speaker 1: subscribe to the Betting Pros YouTube channel right now trying

783
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Speaker 1: to get to one hundred thousand this year. We can

784
00:33:13,000 --> 00:33:15,080
Speaker 1: do it with your help. I believe in you. That'll

785
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Speaker 1: do it for us, But the story of the game

786
00:33:16,520 --> 00:33:19,080
Speaker 1: goes on for Andrew Ericson. I'm Joey p. We'll see

787
00:33:19,120 --> 00:33:20,000
Speaker 1: you next time. Kids.

788
00:33:20,640 --> 00:33:23,280
Speaker 3: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you

789
00:33:23,320 --> 00:33:25,680
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790
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791
00:33:29,400 --> 00:33:32,040
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792
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793
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