WEBVTT - Boeing’s Safety Record Under Scrutiny

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio news. This is Bloomberg business

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<v Speaker 1>Week Inside from the reporters and editors who bring you

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<v Speaker 1>America's most trusted business magazine, plus global business, finance and

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<v Speaker 1>tech news. The Bloomberg Business Week Podcast with Carol Messer

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<v Speaker 1>and Tim Stenebek from Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 2>Shares of United Airlines they are surging. They are up

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<v Speaker 2>sixteen percent. As Charlie mentioned, that's the most of more

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<v Speaker 2>than three years. You got to go back to November

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<v Speaker 2>of twenty twenty to see that kind of a move.

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<v Speaker 2>This is after the carrier forecast more than it's better

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<v Speaker 2>than expected profit this quarter, tempering concerns that Boeing aircraft

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<v Speaker 2>delays and regulatory pressure will put expansion plans at risk.

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<v Speaker 2>So that's what's going on with United. We talked about it.

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<v Speaker 2>We broke those numbers after the closed last night.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah.

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<v Speaker 4>Meantime, Boeing is the subject of two Congressional committee hearings

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<v Speaker 4>today on the company safety culture in the wake of

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<v Speaker 4>a near catastrophic accident in January, as well as two

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<v Speaker 4>crashes of seven thirty seven Max aircraft a few years ago,

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<v Speaker 4>and also Carol on its relationship with regulators yeah.

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<v Speaker 2>It's a full plate. Senator Richard Blumenthal, Democrat from the

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<v Speaker 2>state of Connecticut, who chairs the second Session Congressional Session today,

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<v Speaker 2>says today's hearing is the first of several who weighed

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<v Speaker 2>in earlier.

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<v Speaker 5>There are mounting serious allegations that Boeing has a broken

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<v Speaker 5>safety culture and a set of practices that are unacceptable.

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<v Speaker 5>These whistleblowers have come forward at great personal risk.

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<v Speaker 4>That was, of course, Senator Richard Blumenthal, Democrat from the

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<v Speaker 4>state of Connecticut, he chairs the session today, with more

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<v Speaker 4>on all of it. Let's bring in a Bloomberg Intelligence

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<v Speaker 4>senior Aerospace, Defense and Airlines analyst, George Ferguson, who joins

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<v Speaker 4>us from Arizona, Georgia. First up, I want to talk

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<v Speaker 4>about Boeing in the hearings today. The hearing this morning

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<v Speaker 4>was the first of two in Washington today to explore

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<v Speaker 4>Boeing safety record. The second panel focus claims by a

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<v Speaker 4>Boeing engineer turned whistleblower who alleges that the company has

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<v Speaker 4>cut corners on the production of its seven eighty seven Dreamliner.

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<v Speaker 6>What do you.

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<v Speaker 4>Watch for during events like this? What should our audience

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<v Speaker 4>watch for during events like this?

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<v Speaker 7>So on the Dreamliner specifically. You know, I think what

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<v Speaker 7>we're watching for is to figure out whether or not

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<v Speaker 7>this is part of an earlier issue that Boeing had

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<v Speaker 7>with the seven eight seven, with joining the fuselage pieces.

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<v Speaker 7>They negotiated or discussed with the FA the right way

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<v Speaker 7>to fix a shimming problem they had with the airplane.

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<v Speaker 7>They you know, what we've heard is they'd fixed that

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<v Speaker 7>problem and they had a better process in place to

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<v Speaker 7>join the aircraft together. So if this is part of

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<v Speaker 7>that same issue that I'd say, you know, for investors,

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<v Speaker 7>then it's it's there's nothing here. If it's an additional

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<v Speaker 7>issue with the seventy eight seven and not that shimming problem,

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<v Speaker 7>then I'd be concerned. Right then it's going to be

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<v Speaker 7>additional costs for Boeing and it could lead to concerns

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<v Speaker 7>about safety and flying the airplane.

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<v Speaker 2>You know, I think about it, and just watching all

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<v Speaker 2>of the issues that have kind of hit Boeing over

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<v Speaker 2>the last few years, it's like, why are they having

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<v Speaker 2>these problems? And I do wonder, George, if you think

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<v Speaker 2>these committee hearings will help get to the bottom of it,

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<v Speaker 2>especially when one of the things that lawmakers are concerned

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<v Speaker 2>about is that the FAA has been too soft on

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<v Speaker 2>the company, and I'm curious if you could weigh in

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<v Speaker 2>on that, if you agree that maybe Boeing has been

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<v Speaker 2>too cozy with its regulators.

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<v Speaker 7>Yeah, I think even more than cozy. Right, So the

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<v Speaker 7>sense I really get is the relationship between Boeing and

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<v Speaker 7>the regulator, the FAA, for many many years, has been

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<v Speaker 7>one of Boeing being in a superior position. You know,

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<v Speaker 7>I think they Boeing probably had more engineering talent than

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<v Speaker 7>the FAA, and I think they you know, sort of

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<v Speaker 7>told the FA what they thought was needed rather than

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<v Speaker 7>you know, how to sort of a one on one

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<v Speaker 7>balanced relationship with the FA. And that's clearly going to

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<v Speaker 7>have to change. The FA has had its challenges too,

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<v Speaker 7>through through the pandemic that they've had a lot of turnover,

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<v Speaker 7>They've lost some some talent there as well. They have

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<v Speaker 7>the batfill, so that that creates more you know, that

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<v Speaker 7>creates a problem too with the with that whole relationship.

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<v Speaker 7>So I mean, I think, you know, again, I think

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<v Speaker 7>we've heard this previously. We've also heard previously from the

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<v Speaker 7>FAA that the safety systems that Bowe were broken, that

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<v Speaker 7>people uh you know, were centivized, not to speak up there,

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<v Speaker 7>and you know, if they spoke up, they would potentially

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<v Speaker 7>be you know, have some sort of recourse brought against

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<v Speaker 7>them if people were concerned about safety over moving aircraft

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<v Speaker 7>through uh through production.

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<v Speaker 6>So I think.

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<v Speaker 7>Congress is getting to something that we already know. But

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<v Speaker 7>Congress is probably rightfully concerned because this is the most

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<v Speaker 7>important aerospace company, aerospace manufacturer, fuselage manufacturer in the country.

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<v Speaker 2>So good, this is a good part of the process

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<v Speaker 2>to getting to the bottom of what's wrong at Boeing.

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<v Speaker 2>In your view, this is this this should result in

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<v Speaker 2>getting to the bottom of it.

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<v Speaker 7>I guess I'd like to see. I'm going to look

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<v Speaker 7>for more out of the FAA and it's and it's investigations.

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<v Speaker 7>You know, Congressional hearings can get a little bit political,

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<v Speaker 7>so there's going to be some grand standing and things

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<v Speaker 7>like that, right, But I think Congress is rightfully you know,

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<v Speaker 7>expressing their view that hey, something is broken and we

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<v Speaker 7>want do attention paid to it, and it needs to

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<v Speaker 7>be fixed. It's in the best interest in the country.

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<v Speaker 7>Along that road, we'll get you know, some political actors

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<v Speaker 7>in the whole game.

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<v Speaker 4>Okay, George, So let's think about potential outcomes here post

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<v Speaker 4>FA investigation, given that we've already seen leadership turnover at Boeing.

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<v Speaker 4>The CEO Dave Calhoun is on his way out by

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<v Speaker 4>the end of the year. We saw reshuffling of executive

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<v Speaker 4>ranks is there as well. So what could potential outcomes

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<v Speaker 4>be post FA investigation, Like what could repercussions be.

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<v Speaker 7>So I don't know what rep cushions and I haven't

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<v Speaker 7>really sort of dialed into my analysis repercussions. One I'm

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<v Speaker 7>more dialed into into my analysis is you know, adjustments

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<v Speaker 7>to the Boeing production process, and that is going to

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<v Speaker 7>include I think a lot more oversight both from the FAA,

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<v Speaker 7>and I think the FA is going to expect Boeing

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<v Speaker 7>to do a better job of overseeing the factory floors

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<v Speaker 7>and ensuring safety and quality, which I think is going

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<v Speaker 7>to slow things down. But it's important. You got to

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<v Speaker 7>build quality products in aerospace or nobody's going to trust

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<v Speaker 7>your product. And I think it's interesting that the FAA

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<v Speaker 7>did give the exercise to Boeing to propose how they

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<v Speaker 7>were going to improve it, because you know, I guess

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<v Speaker 7>they could sort of scrutinize from there what Boeing comes

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<v Speaker 7>up with and it'll be interesting to see if they

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<v Speaker 7>have additional measures they want to put on top of it.

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<v Speaker 7>But I think a lot of it's going to be

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<v Speaker 7>training and oversight.

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<v Speaker 2>All right, let's talk about United, because man, this stock

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<v Speaker 2>is up sixteen percent, the most since November of twenty twenty.

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<v Speaker 2>In terms of the size of the jump that we're seeing.

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<v Speaker 2>Earnings came out after the close yesterday. A lot of

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<v Speaker 2>it has to do with the outlook. But tell us

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<v Speaker 2>how you see it and how you look at this quarter,

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<v Speaker 2>and they, of course, we're dealing with some of those

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<v Speaker 2>challenges that Boeing has been dealing with because of the

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<v Speaker 2>grounding of planes and so on.

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<v Speaker 7>Yeah, so I guess the way I look at United

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<v Speaker 7>is it was a nice quarter. I totally agree. I

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<v Speaker 7>think they did more premium seat sales this quarter. They've been,

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<v Speaker 7>you know, these airplanes, they've been taking delivery of the

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<v Speaker 7>larger aircraft, their aircraft that have premium seats in it.

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<v Speaker 7>Right now, in the marketplace, you want to be offering

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<v Speaker 7>premium seats. I think there's maybe a little too much

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<v Speaker 7>basic economy seating, but there's not enough premium, it appears,

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<v Speaker 7>and I think that helped drive the quarter. I would

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<v Speaker 7>note that when we look at the yields they're making on,

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<v Speaker 7>for example, their domestic business, their yields came up, you know,

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<v Speaker 7>a couple I think it was almost three percent, where

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<v Speaker 7>Delta was flatish. But the absolute yield, which is the

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<v Speaker 7>price paid you know, per mile, but the price the

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<v Speaker 7>customer pays per mile flown. If you look at the

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<v Speaker 7>actual yields, there's still beneath Delta for United, which tells

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<v Speaker 7>me that there's more room to grow, which I think

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<v Speaker 7>the market is probably responding to more room to grow

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<v Speaker 7>those premium offerings, you know, to get better yields out

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<v Speaker 7>of it. And I think that that's a lot of

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<v Speaker 7>what's going on here now. Obviously Boeing problems are going

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<v Speaker 7>to mean less aircraft delivery for United this year, although

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<v Speaker 7>they appear to be tapped into eight three twenty one

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<v Speaker 7>from Airbus. So the continue to increase the size of

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<v Speaker 7>their aircraft, which has improves their efficiency and again allows

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<v Speaker 7>them these premium seats of front that they can command

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<v Speaker 7>a better price for. And I think that's that's working

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<v Speaker 7>for them. They're they're closing that gap. I would note

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<v Speaker 7>too real quick that United is still valued if I

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<v Speaker 7>just look at quickly on a pe ratio, there's still

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<v Speaker 7>valued below delta, you know, so that I think that's

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<v Speaker 7>what you're seeing a reaction to in the marketplace.

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<v Speaker 4>George, how should investors think about the FAA review that's

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<v Speaker 4>already begun at this point regarding safety incidents?

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<v Speaker 7>For United has a lot of reviews going on, right

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<v Speaker 7>and so it really does and look again, all important again.

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<v Speaker 7>I think the regulator has been through a couple rough

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<v Speaker 7>years during the pandemic, and hopefully this means they're getting

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<v Speaker 7>their footing underneath them and getting out and influencing these

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<v Speaker 7>you know this these marketplaces or these industries. Look United

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<v Speaker 7>has every incentive to do, uh, do the utmost for

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<v Speaker 7>safety inside their network. I think they had a spate

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<v Speaker 7>of challenges. I think there's been a lot of turnover

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<v Speaker 7>at all the airlines during the pandemic, and the maintenance

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<v Speaker 7>turnovers hard because you've got to train new people, You've

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<v Speaker 7>got to make sure they're very thorough. My guess is

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<v Speaker 7>we're going to find out is that turnover created the problem.

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<v Speaker 7>But I would expect that you know, maybe there's some

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<v Speaker 7>uh you know, some processes that United has to tighten

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<v Speaker 7>up but I think you're going to find out it's

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<v Speaker 7>again it's an employee turnover issue. In that time to

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<v Speaker 7>get better as people are more trained and understand their

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<v Speaker 7>job better and turnover goes down.

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<v Speaker 2>All right, great stuff, so appreciate you, weigh in Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 2>Intelligence Senior Aerospace, Defense and Airlines analyst George Ferguson joining

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<v Speaker 2>us from Arizona. We mentioned shares of United up about

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<v Speaker 2>sixteen percent here, the most in terms of the percentage

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<v Speaker 2>gain since we've seen going all the way back to

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<v Speaker 2>November of twenty twenty. But the whole airline sector tim

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<v Speaker 2>looking at the S and P five hundred Supercomposite Airline Index,

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<v Speaker 2>it is up almost five percent. Today's session, you're.

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<v Speaker 1>Listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast. Catch us live

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<v Speaker 1>weekday afternoons from two to five pm Eastern Listen on

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<v Speaker 4>Well earlier this year, Bloomberg News reporting stress on the

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<v Speaker 4>nation's electric rids is accelerating at an unprecedented clip. Demand

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<v Speaker 4>is climbing just as aging infrastructure strains under the massive

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<v Speaker 4>overhaul needed to adapt to renewable energy. The convergence is

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<v Speaker 4>making it harder to maintain safe, reliable power quality, and

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<v Speaker 4>some regulators and utilities are not tracking the problem all right.

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<v Speaker 2>And so last fall, the Department of Energy announced up

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<v Speaker 2>to three and a half billion dollars in funding to

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<v Speaker 2>upgrade the US grid. This topic among the many at

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<v Speaker 2>this week's Bloomberg ANYF Annual Energy and Climate Summit. Our

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<v Speaker 2>next guest participated in a panel at the event. It

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<v Speaker 2>was entitled Leveraging largest ever grid investment to Enhance Resilience.

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<v Speaker 2>So there is a lot going on with us. In

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<v Speaker 2>the studio to talk about the nation's grid is Maria Robinson.

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<v Speaker 2>She's director of the Grid Deployment Office at the US

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<v Speaker 2>Department of Energy. I feel like I don't even need

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<v Speaker 2>to ask you how bad is the grid because I

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<v Speaker 2>feel like we do stories on it all the time

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<v Speaker 2>about how bad it is, but how bad is it really?

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<v Speaker 8>So we're facing a lot of different problems here on

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<v Speaker 8>the grid.

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<v Speaker 2>Today.

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<v Speaker 8>You are talking about we have new demand. It's great

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<v Speaker 8>that we're bringing manufacturing back to the United States, but

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<v Speaker 8>that's a strain on the electric grid. The electric grid

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<v Speaker 8>is aging. It's not just older than me it's older

0:11:56.280 --> 0:11:59.520
<v Speaker 8>than my grandparents. So then we're looking at ways that

0:11:59.559 --> 0:12:03.160
<v Speaker 8>we need to upgrade our existing infrastructure while continuing to

0:12:03.160 --> 0:12:07.000
<v Speaker 8>build new ones. I think of it. We released a

0:12:07.040 --> 0:12:12.520
<v Speaker 8>report just yesterday on advanced and innovative grid deployment mechanisms

0:12:12.559 --> 0:12:15.120
<v Speaker 8>of being able to take advantage of some of the

0:12:15.200 --> 0:12:19.959
<v Speaker 8>existing infrastructure and figuring out ways at relatively low cost to.

0:12:20.000 --> 0:12:23.080
<v Speaker 2>Upgrade what we currently have. The joke that I make

0:12:23.200 --> 0:12:25.200
<v Speaker 2>is so we cannot do upgrades. It's not like a

0:12:25.240 --> 0:12:26.520
<v Speaker 2>massive rebuild.

0:12:26.240 --> 0:12:28.440
<v Speaker 8>Right, we have to do both. Okay, we are definitely

0:12:28.440 --> 0:12:31.240
<v Speaker 8>going to have to continue to build in order to

0:12:31.280 --> 0:12:33.679
<v Speaker 8>meet all the demands, but we can take advantage of

0:12:33.679 --> 0:12:35.760
<v Speaker 8>those existing rights of way, right, we don't have to

0:12:35.760 --> 0:12:37.679
<v Speaker 8>deal with as much permitting, which we all know is

0:12:37.720 --> 0:12:42.880
<v Speaker 8>a really difficult topic to deal with. But you know,

0:12:42.960 --> 0:12:48.040
<v Speaker 8>oftentimes folks are taking our existing lines and replacing the

0:12:48.120 --> 0:12:50.840
<v Speaker 8>metal part that's inside of it. It's called a conductor,

0:12:51.440 --> 0:12:54.640
<v Speaker 8>and oftentimes they're just replacing that like for like instead

0:12:54.640 --> 0:12:57.920
<v Speaker 8>of upgrading it to a newer technology that can move

0:12:57.920 --> 0:12:59.800
<v Speaker 8>more electrons every single day.

0:13:00.200 --> 0:13:02.240
<v Speaker 2>And so it's so funny. There's a story in the Bloomberg.

0:13:02.320 --> 0:13:04.160
<v Speaker 2>It's probably a connection with this, but it's a central

0:13:04.520 --> 0:13:06.599
<v Speaker 2>transmission line is getting a twenty first century upgrade, and

0:13:06.600 --> 0:13:09.439
<v Speaker 2>it's about a startup that's created a wire that's lighter

0:13:09.480 --> 0:13:12.320
<v Speaker 2>and can carry it to three times more electricity. I mean,

0:13:12.360 --> 0:13:14.560
<v Speaker 2>we talk about this with battery usage, right for evs,

0:13:14.559 --> 0:13:18.800
<v Speaker 2>about just about making things even chips, right, accelerators, making

0:13:18.840 --> 0:13:21.120
<v Speaker 2>them more productive, making them more energy efficient.

0:13:21.200 --> 0:13:23.719
<v Speaker 8>Like this is what it's about, exactly. And so all

0:13:23.760 --> 0:13:26.320
<v Speaker 8>these great technologies are already out there. They're really proven

0:13:26.320 --> 0:13:28.240
<v Speaker 8>in the field. We just need the market to pick

0:13:28.240 --> 0:13:28.720
<v Speaker 8>them up.

0:13:29.520 --> 0:13:32.120
<v Speaker 4>Is it more of a state issue right now? I mean,

0:13:32.160 --> 0:13:34.400
<v Speaker 4>I think if states that have struggled with their grids

0:13:34.440 --> 0:13:37.320
<v Speaker 4>Texas and California certainly come to mind. Is it a

0:13:37.360 --> 0:13:40.200
<v Speaker 4>federal issue or is it a utility issue?

0:13:40.480 --> 0:13:45.160
<v Speaker 8>It's all three. The fun part about the electric grid

0:13:45.280 --> 0:13:47.000
<v Speaker 8>is that it doesn't follow political lines.

0:13:47.080 --> 0:13:47.200
<v Speaker 6>Right.

0:13:47.240 --> 0:13:50.400
<v Speaker 8>We have an eastern interconnect a western interconnect, and they

0:13:50.440 --> 0:13:53.320
<v Speaker 8>don't follow necessarily. They're like time zones, right, They just

0:13:53.360 --> 0:13:56.480
<v Speaker 8>sometimes split a state down the middle. So we have

0:13:56.559 --> 0:13:59.360
<v Speaker 8>to figure out how we mix some federal policy with

0:13:59.480 --> 0:14:03.320
<v Speaker 8>individual state policy. Some states are really looking to decarbonize

0:14:03.320 --> 0:14:04.760
<v Speaker 8>and the way they want to build their grid might

0:14:04.760 --> 0:14:07.760
<v Speaker 8>be different than their neighbor who has different goals ultimately,

0:14:08.400 --> 0:14:10.240
<v Speaker 8>and so we're trying to mix and match all those

0:14:10.240 --> 0:14:12.640
<v Speaker 8>different priorities in order to make sure that we have

0:14:12.800 --> 0:14:14.920
<v Speaker 8>a strong grid that can withstand anything.

0:14:14.960 --> 0:14:17.200
<v Speaker 2>There's nothing like a federal incentive or a tax break

0:14:17.280 --> 0:14:19.000
<v Speaker 2>or something to get us to do something, whether you're

0:14:19.000 --> 0:14:21.000
<v Speaker 2>a company where you're an individual. So what are the

0:14:21.000 --> 0:14:24.760
<v Speaker 2>incentives that you guys or that utilities need to actually

0:14:24.800 --> 0:14:27.360
<v Speaker 2>adopt better technologies and some of the technologies that you

0:14:27.360 --> 0:14:28.280
<v Speaker 2>guys are talking about.

0:14:28.440 --> 0:14:31.280
<v Speaker 8>So there are certainly some ways from the regulatory structure

0:14:31.480 --> 0:14:34.560
<v Speaker 8>that utility commissioners at the state level or at the

0:14:34.560 --> 0:14:37.680
<v Speaker 8>federal level could incentivize the use of some of these

0:14:37.680 --> 0:14:38.440
<v Speaker 8>different technologies.

0:14:38.560 --> 0:14:40.560
<v Speaker 2>They do we need to really make it happen.

0:14:40.960 --> 0:14:42.280
<v Speaker 8>I think we need to make a bit of a

0:14:42.280 --> 0:14:44.240
<v Speaker 8>push here, just because we have so much to deal

0:14:44.280 --> 0:14:46.120
<v Speaker 8>with over the next three to five years, and that's

0:14:46.160 --> 0:14:48.240
<v Speaker 8>when we can deploy some of these technologies while we're

0:14:48.240 --> 0:14:51.040
<v Speaker 8>still building out major transmission lines that you know take

0:14:51.080 --> 0:14:52.080
<v Speaker 8>ten to twelve years.

0:14:53.200 --> 0:14:54.880
<v Speaker 4>Is this a national security issue?

0:14:55.200 --> 0:14:57.360
<v Speaker 8>It certainly is a national security issue, and this is

0:14:57.360 --> 0:14:59.760
<v Speaker 8>something that we continue to face every day. Our grid

0:14:59.840 --> 0:15:02.240
<v Speaker 8>is one of our greatest assets that we have in

0:15:02.560 --> 0:15:07.480
<v Speaker 8>our country and making sure that we can withstand cybersecurity attacks,

0:15:07.480 --> 0:15:11.520
<v Speaker 8>physical attacks, and just frankly weather. One of the biggest

0:15:11.520 --> 0:15:14.680
<v Speaker 8>issues is wildfires and making sure that we can prevent

0:15:14.720 --> 0:15:16.040
<v Speaker 8>those from happening moving forward.

0:15:16.160 --> 0:15:18.120
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, we were talking about this another story that's on

0:15:18.120 --> 0:15:21.440
<v Speaker 2>the Bloomberg today that's about that. You know how investors

0:15:21.480 --> 0:15:24.320
<v Speaker 2>have looked at the debt at utilities as kind of

0:15:24.360 --> 0:15:27.120
<v Speaker 2>a sure thing in the past, right in terms of investing,

0:15:27.160 --> 0:15:29.760
<v Speaker 2>but because of what's happening with climate change, that is

0:15:29.800 --> 0:15:32.160
<v Speaker 2>not necessarily the case. That there's a lot more questions

0:15:32.160 --> 0:15:34.800
<v Speaker 2>that are out there in terms of the unpredictability and

0:15:35.080 --> 0:15:37.960
<v Speaker 2>the costs that are mounted against some of the nation's utilities.

0:15:38.280 --> 0:15:40.120
<v Speaker 8>And I think part of this is incent trying to

0:15:40.120 --> 0:15:43.160
<v Speaker 8>incentivize utilities, and they're really coming around to realize this.

0:15:43.680 --> 0:15:45.480
<v Speaker 8>You're not going to if a pole gets knocked down

0:15:45.480 --> 0:15:47.720
<v Speaker 8>from one hundred and fifty mile an hour WINS, you're

0:15:47.720 --> 0:15:49.960
<v Speaker 8>not going to replace it with another pole like was

0:15:49.960 --> 0:15:52.040
<v Speaker 8>there before that could get knocked down. You want something

0:15:52.080 --> 0:15:54.400
<v Speaker 8>that can stand two hundred and fifty mile an hour WINS.

0:15:54.640 --> 0:15:56.680
<v Speaker 8>And so we have to make sure that the regulatory

0:15:56.720 --> 0:15:59.640
<v Speaker 8>structure is there in place to allow them to think

0:16:00.080 --> 0:16:01.360
<v Speaker 8>in a forward leaning way.

0:16:01.680 --> 0:16:03.120
<v Speaker 2>What can I just ask you? So, what is that

0:16:03.160 --> 0:16:04.320
<v Speaker 2>regulatory structure?

0:16:04.520 --> 0:16:08.200
<v Speaker 8>So there are these very fun organizations called utility commissions

0:16:08.240 --> 0:16:10.960
<v Speaker 8>public utility commissions. They're the people who decide how much

0:16:10.960 --> 0:16:13.680
<v Speaker 8>you pay on your electricity bill and on your gas bill.

0:16:14.000 --> 0:16:17.320
<v Speaker 8>And those are the folks that hold utilities accountable and

0:16:17.480 --> 0:16:20.840
<v Speaker 8>also figure out how those costs are being allocated to

0:16:20.920 --> 0:16:24.000
<v Speaker 8>regular folks like us and to major industry as well.

0:16:24.600 --> 0:16:26.640
<v Speaker 4>How much are we talking here? If you could wave

0:16:26.680 --> 0:16:30.960
<v Speaker 4>a magic wand and get enough funding to completely upgrade

0:16:31.240 --> 0:16:33.760
<v Speaker 4>the grid in the US, how much would it be?

0:16:34.280 --> 0:16:38.520
<v Speaker 8>So we are really lucky under the bipartisan infrastructure law,

0:16:38.560 --> 0:16:41.520
<v Speaker 8>the Inflation Reduction Act rate my office has about twenty

0:16:41.560 --> 0:16:44.320
<v Speaker 8>two billion dollars to upgrade the grid. We talked about

0:16:44.400 --> 0:16:46.080
<v Speaker 8>three and a half of it going out last year.

0:16:46.440 --> 0:16:48.920
<v Speaker 8>To be honest, that's a drop in the bucket. Every year,

0:16:49.600 --> 0:16:52.360
<v Speaker 8>utilities spend about twenty three billion dollars just to maintain

0:16:52.400 --> 0:16:55.880
<v Speaker 8>their existing assets in order to continue to upgrade. What

0:16:55.920 --> 0:16:58.280
<v Speaker 8>we do find though, is that some of those costs

0:16:58.360 --> 0:17:02.200
<v Speaker 8>could just be shifted instead of paying to replace l

0:17:02.240 --> 0:17:04.520
<v Speaker 8>like for like, we could be paying a slightly lower

0:17:04.520 --> 0:17:06.520
<v Speaker 8>cost even to do some of those upgrades. And that's

0:17:06.560 --> 0:17:08.640
<v Speaker 8>where we have to continue to push the market as much.

0:17:08.520 --> 0:17:12.159
<v Speaker 4>As west so is twenty plus billion dollars enough.

0:17:12.119 --> 0:17:15.080
<v Speaker 8>Twenty bus plus billion I think per year. But you know,

0:17:15.600 --> 0:17:18.719
<v Speaker 8>we're blessed with having Inflation Reduction Act money and by

0:17:18.760 --> 0:17:21.840
<v Speaker 8>Parson Infrastructure Law of course that expires after a period

0:17:21.880 --> 0:17:22.160
<v Speaker 8>of time.

0:17:22.280 --> 0:17:23.520
<v Speaker 2>Is there a chance that we're all going to end

0:17:23.560 --> 0:17:26.600
<v Speaker 2>up paying as users consumers that to in other words,

0:17:26.600 --> 0:17:28.000
<v Speaker 2>to help pay for this, that we are going to

0:17:28.000 --> 0:17:29.480
<v Speaker 2>pay higher utility costs.

0:17:29.560 --> 0:17:32.120
<v Speaker 8>I think if folks are smart and we do good planning,

0:17:32.160 --> 0:17:34.560
<v Speaker 8>and we think years out and make sure that we're

0:17:34.600 --> 0:17:36.920
<v Speaker 8>being preventive about it, that we're not going to bear

0:17:36.920 --> 0:17:38.800
<v Speaker 8>the cost. I think about how much a cost for

0:17:38.920 --> 0:17:41.200
<v Speaker 8>recovery after a major storm at the lights go out?

0:17:41.359 --> 0:17:43.960
<v Speaker 8>How many billions of dollars of revenue is y here

0:17:43.960 --> 0:17:44.560
<v Speaker 8>we are?

0:17:45.400 --> 0:17:47.200
<v Speaker 2>So what like hope do you have that it kind

0:17:47.200 --> 0:17:47.720
<v Speaker 2>of changes?

0:17:48.080 --> 0:17:50.000
<v Speaker 8>I do have a lot of hope. I think that

0:17:50.040 --> 0:17:52.439
<v Speaker 8>folks are really come this issue is coming to a

0:17:52.440 --> 0:17:55.600
<v Speaker 8>head for the first time at least in my career.

0:17:55.840 --> 0:17:58.960
<v Speaker 8>Folks are really realizing that our grid needs a lot

0:17:58.960 --> 0:18:02.200
<v Speaker 8>of investment. Everyone focuses on the generation side. They're excited

0:18:02.240 --> 0:18:05.480
<v Speaker 8>about new plants and new gas, and new solar and

0:18:05.560 --> 0:18:06.240
<v Speaker 8>new wind.

0:18:07.280 --> 0:18:09.880
<v Speaker 4>I hate to end on this, but what's like one

0:18:09.880 --> 0:18:11.200
<v Speaker 4>scenario that keeps you up at night?

0:18:11.640 --> 0:18:13.520
<v Speaker 8>There are a lot of scenarios that keep me up

0:18:13.520 --> 0:18:15.520
<v Speaker 8>at night. Hurricane season keeps me up at night. Hurricane

0:18:15.520 --> 0:18:17.280
<v Speaker 8>seas and it absolutely keeps me up at night. And

0:18:17.320 --> 0:18:19.720
<v Speaker 8>so we just want to make sure that we can

0:18:20.240 --> 0:18:22.560
<v Speaker 8>invest in our grid as much as possible, to make

0:18:22.600 --> 0:18:25.160
<v Speaker 8>sure that instead of the light's going out for five hours,

0:18:25.160 --> 0:18:26.320
<v Speaker 8>they only go off for five minutes.

0:18:26.400 --> 0:18:29.520
<v Speaker 2>Well, Maria Robinson, thank you so much. Reality check there,

0:18:29.560 --> 0:18:31.639
<v Speaker 2>director of the Grid Deployment Office at the US Department

0:18:31.640 --> 0:18:32.159
<v Speaker 2>of Energy.

0:18:34.280 --> 0:18:38.160
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast. Listen live

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0:18:41.160 --> 0:18:44.119
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0:18:52.600 --> 0:18:54.720
<v Speaker 4>Well Line is the operator of a shared e bike

0:18:54.760 --> 0:18:57.160
<v Speaker 4>and scoter network. It's backed by Uber and it's seeing

0:18:57.160 --> 0:18:59.920
<v Speaker 4>its business growing. Bloomberg News reports that the privately held

0:19:00.040 --> 0:19:02.520
<v Speaker 4>company is planning to invest more than fifty five billion

0:19:02.560 --> 0:19:05.360
<v Speaker 4>dollars this year to expand its global fleet and add

0:19:05.359 --> 0:19:08.240
<v Speaker 4>more than thirty thousand net new bikes across North America,

0:19:08.280 --> 0:19:12.120
<v Speaker 4>Europe and Australia, while also replacing aging ones. That story

0:19:12.200 --> 0:19:15.159
<v Speaker 4>last week by Bloomberg's Natalie Young, We've got with us

0:19:15.240 --> 0:19:18.040
<v Speaker 4>Wayne Tang, the CEO of Lime. He joins us from

0:19:18.080 --> 0:19:20.720
<v Speaker 4>New York. Wayne, good to have you with us this afternoon.

0:19:21.160 --> 0:19:23.879
<v Speaker 4>Really interesting to see this story, especially at a time

0:19:24.160 --> 0:19:27.919
<v Speaker 4>when the micromobility industry has hit so many speed bumps.

0:19:27.920 --> 0:19:30.600
<v Speaker 4>I mean, we're talking about Bird Global and its bankruptcy,

0:19:30.960 --> 0:19:35.760
<v Speaker 4>super pedestrian shutting, US operations, Lift on City Bike popular

0:19:35.800 --> 0:19:37.919
<v Speaker 4>here in New York City. It's been looking for a

0:19:37.920 --> 0:19:40.760
<v Speaker 4>strategic partner or to sell its bike sharing business. Why

0:19:40.840 --> 0:19:42.360
<v Speaker 4>is the story of Lime different right now?

0:19:42.560 --> 0:19:42.800
<v Speaker 6>Yeah?

0:19:43.000 --> 0:19:45.240
<v Speaker 9>I think that I actually think that the story of

0:19:45.320 --> 0:19:48.199
<v Speaker 9>Line is different for it because we've really focused in

0:19:48.240 --> 0:19:50.359
<v Speaker 9>on the things that truly matter. I think every company

0:19:50.400 --> 0:19:52.359
<v Speaker 9>asks this site, what are the two or three things

0:19:52.359 --> 0:19:57.400
<v Speaker 9>that allow you to win customers differentially from competitors and growth, profitability.

0:19:56.720 --> 0:19:57.560
<v Speaker 6>And for our industry.

0:19:57.880 --> 0:20:00.119
<v Speaker 9>The three things that matter are one the quality and

0:20:00.200 --> 0:20:04.800
<v Speaker 9>durability of hardware, two best in class operation enabled by technology,

0:20:05.119 --> 0:20:09.080
<v Speaker 9>and three our relationships with cities and governments. And across

0:20:09.119 --> 0:20:11.720
<v Speaker 9>all three of these things, Line has been the best

0:20:11.760 --> 0:20:14.440
<v Speaker 9>in class on all of them. On hardware, for example,

0:20:15.119 --> 0:20:17.919
<v Speaker 9>all of our competitors buy off the shelf Chinese hardware,

0:20:17.960 --> 0:20:21.159
<v Speaker 9>data outsource the scooters and e bikes. Every scooter and

0:20:21.240 --> 0:20:25.240
<v Speaker 9>eedbyke at Line, we've developed in house and we manufacture

0:20:25.440 --> 0:20:29.080
<v Speaker 9>with our controlled manufacturing partners. What this means is that

0:20:29.359 --> 0:20:31.679
<v Speaker 9>we get to design them so that we can focus

0:20:31.680 --> 0:20:34.560
<v Speaker 9>on the things that writers care about, and whenever there's

0:20:34.600 --> 0:20:37.119
<v Speaker 9>an issue with a bike or scooter, we can make

0:20:37.160 --> 0:20:38.440
<v Speaker 9>quick changes to the next.

0:20:38.240 --> 0:20:39.359
<v Speaker 6>Production line to improve it.

0:20:40.080 --> 0:20:42.720
<v Speaker 9>If one of the challenge there's a big conflict of

0:20:42.720 --> 0:20:45.000
<v Speaker 9>interest when you buy off the shelfs scooters and bikes.

0:20:45.240 --> 0:20:47.879
<v Speaker 9>If my business is to sell you more scooters and bikes,

0:20:47.920 --> 0:20:49.920
<v Speaker 9>I have very little incentive to make them last as

0:20:49.920 --> 0:20:52.280
<v Speaker 9>long as possible and to use as few spare parts

0:20:52.280 --> 0:20:54.960
<v Speaker 9>as possible. So over the last five years, while lines

0:20:55.000 --> 0:20:59.240
<v Speaker 9>scooters and bikes have continued to improve in our reliability

0:20:59.280 --> 0:21:01.800
<v Speaker 9>and durability, our scooters and bikes on average last more

0:21:01.840 --> 0:21:05.240
<v Speaker 9>than five years from just over a month five years ago.

0:21:05.640 --> 0:21:08.400
<v Speaker 9>Our competitors have not seen that type of improvements or hardware,

0:21:08.880 --> 0:21:11.159
<v Speaker 9>and in the course of the last five years, our

0:21:11.600 --> 0:21:13.880
<v Speaker 9>p and L and financial results are completely diverse.

0:21:14.920 --> 0:21:17.080
<v Speaker 6>So because of these investments.

0:21:16.680 --> 0:21:18.240
<v Speaker 2>So you are profitable, correct?

0:21:19.720 --> 0:21:19.920
<v Speaker 6>Yes?

0:21:20.000 --> 0:21:23.679
<v Speaker 9>We last year we deliver over ninety million dollars of

0:21:23.680 --> 0:21:26.840
<v Speaker 9>adjusted EVADAH, which is up five x versus twenty twenty two.

0:21:27.680 --> 0:21:30.520
<v Speaker 2>What's your outlook in terms of our expectations when it

0:21:30.560 --> 0:21:33.119
<v Speaker 2>comes to growth going forward and what is fueling growth

0:21:33.200 --> 0:21:34.320
<v Speaker 2>top and bottom line.

0:21:35.920 --> 0:21:38.439
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, so twenty twenty three, our top line grew by

0:21:38.480 --> 0:21:40.639
<v Speaker 9>thirty two percent. It's actually our thirty or in a

0:21:40.720 --> 0:21:43.679
<v Speaker 9>row of thirty plus percent growth and we expect to

0:21:43.720 --> 0:21:47.399
<v Speaker 9>see that level of growth continue to the future. So, Tim,

0:21:47.400 --> 0:21:49.920
<v Speaker 9>you mentioned that we're going to make a fifty plus

0:21:50.000 --> 0:21:53.719
<v Speaker 9>on investments and e bikes because we're seeing huge demand

0:21:53.760 --> 0:21:56.280
<v Speaker 9>from writers and cities for more e bikes all around

0:21:56.320 --> 0:21:58.280
<v Speaker 9>the world. Last year, while our top line grow by

0:21:58.320 --> 0:22:02.400
<v Speaker 9>thirty two percent, are e bike business double and we're

0:22:02.400 --> 0:22:04.800
<v Speaker 9>seeing this all throughout the world and part part of

0:22:04.840 --> 0:22:08.480
<v Speaker 9>the major reason is because cities have committed to transition

0:22:08.600 --> 0:22:13.160
<v Speaker 9>their transportation system towards a green transportation future, and as

0:22:13.160 --> 0:22:17.280
<v Speaker 9>we're seeing with electric cars, sales are not hitting expectations.

0:22:17.640 --> 0:22:20.800
<v Speaker 9>The only way for us to hit our Paris climbing

0:22:20.840 --> 0:22:23.879
<v Speaker 9>of core goals is to drastically reduce our reliance on

0:22:23.960 --> 0:22:27.440
<v Speaker 9>cars and lines. E bike fleet is a good way

0:22:27.520 --> 0:22:30.960
<v Speaker 9>and often cheaper way for writers to access electric bikes

0:22:31.000 --> 0:22:31.760
<v Speaker 9>all around the world.

0:22:31.880 --> 0:22:34.080
<v Speaker 2>But when I go back to what Tim you Know said,

0:22:35.240 --> 0:22:40.600
<v Speaker 2>you know, Bird Global went bankrupt super pedestrian, shutting US operations,

0:22:40.640 --> 0:22:44.280
<v Speaker 2>thinking about the sale of its European business. This is

0:22:44.280 --> 0:22:46.359
<v Speaker 2>according to tech Crunch, and then you got City Bike

0:22:47.119 --> 0:22:50.520
<v Speaker 2>that was looking for a strategic partner. It is interesting.

0:22:50.560 --> 0:22:52.480
<v Speaker 2>It feels like the challenges and one of the challenges

0:22:52.560 --> 0:22:57.880
<v Speaker 2>is banned. I'm curious how what your approach to policy

0:22:57.960 --> 0:23:00.480
<v Speaker 2>given some of the recent eastcooter banks, and I do

0:23:00.560 --> 0:23:03.639
<v Speaker 2>wonder too within your business what's growing more? Is it

0:23:03.680 --> 0:23:05.000
<v Speaker 2>scooters or is it bikes.

0:23:06.840 --> 0:23:09.560
<v Speaker 9>Bikes is actually growing faster than the scooters, so we

0:23:09.600 --> 0:23:12.000
<v Speaker 9>are actually not seeing a lot of bands. There's only

0:23:12.040 --> 0:23:15.560
<v Speaker 9>there is one decision in Paris to take to exit

0:23:15.680 --> 0:23:19.040
<v Speaker 9>scooters from Paris, but since then we've actually doubled our

0:23:19.040 --> 0:23:21.240
<v Speaker 9>e bike fleet in Paris, as Paris is looking for

0:23:21.359 --> 0:23:24.960
<v Speaker 9>green transportation ahead of the Olympics, and we now have

0:23:25.160 --> 0:23:27.199
<v Speaker 9>more e bikes on the streets of Paris than we

0:23:27.280 --> 0:23:30.600
<v Speaker 9>did with scooters before the so called scooter band, and

0:23:30.680 --> 0:23:33.480
<v Speaker 9>since then we've seen no other city follow suit. In fact,

0:23:33.520 --> 0:23:36.760
<v Speaker 9>we see every single city we work with either extend

0:23:36.960 --> 0:23:40.400
<v Speaker 9>or expand their scooter and e bike operations. So we're

0:23:40.400 --> 0:23:43.240
<v Speaker 9>seeing the opposite effect, which is cities are actually adopting

0:23:43.640 --> 0:23:45.520
<v Speaker 9>microability faster with time.

0:23:45.960 --> 0:23:48.240
<v Speaker 4>I'm wondering too well. I want to ask a little

0:23:48.240 --> 0:23:52.439
<v Speaker 4>bit about new vehicle types here because there are also

0:23:52.600 --> 0:23:55.919
<v Speaker 4>some new areas that you're working on, including new vehicle types,

0:23:55.960 --> 0:23:58.880
<v Speaker 4>also a new business line when it comes to advertising.

0:23:58.960 --> 0:24:01.280
<v Speaker 4>Starting with advertising, what do you have planned there?

0:24:03.680 --> 0:24:07.119
<v Speaker 9>So, I think one of the differences between Lime's business

0:24:07.119 --> 0:24:10.400
<v Speaker 9>model and traditional docked bike so you all mentioned Motivate

0:24:10.440 --> 0:24:16.200
<v Speaker 9>from Lyft. If you look at traditional dock bike businesses, yeah,

0:24:16.680 --> 0:24:21.000
<v Speaker 9>the only profitable part of the business is the advertising business,

0:24:21.560 --> 0:24:25.200
<v Speaker 9>and they typically and so one of the big differences

0:24:25.200 --> 0:24:27.320
<v Speaker 9>for Line is that we actually make money in our

0:24:27.320 --> 0:24:30.240
<v Speaker 9>core operations, and so when we look at the advertising business,

0:24:30.240 --> 0:24:32.760
<v Speaker 9>it's a proven business model for a lot of bikes

0:24:32.800 --> 0:24:33.560
<v Speaker 9>your businesses.

0:24:33.960 --> 0:24:36.080
<v Speaker 6>We've just never historically tapped into it.

0:24:36.600 --> 0:24:38.920
<v Speaker 9>But if we do go into it, it would be additive

0:24:38.960 --> 0:24:41.000
<v Speaker 9>to the core business because I think of the one

0:24:41.040 --> 0:24:43.000
<v Speaker 9>of the challenges a lot of these business have done

0:24:43.000 --> 0:24:45.159
<v Speaker 9>is that they have not improved their core operations and

0:24:45.160 --> 0:24:47.719
<v Speaker 9>they simply relied on advertising and make up for losses

0:24:47.720 --> 0:24:48.680
<v Speaker 9>and their co operations.

0:24:49.119 --> 0:24:50.480
<v Speaker 6>That is not what Lion is doing.

0:24:50.800 --> 0:24:53.400
<v Speaker 9>We make money in our core e bike, east grout

0:24:53.480 --> 0:24:56.680
<v Speaker 9>or rental, and we see advertising as a add on

0:24:56.720 --> 0:24:57.680
<v Speaker 9>to our core business.

0:24:58.800 --> 0:25:01.120
<v Speaker 4>And what about those new vehicles types, these new accessible

0:25:01.200 --> 0:25:04.160
<v Speaker 4>vehicles that you're piloting in some areas of the world

0:25:04.240 --> 0:25:04.640
<v Speaker 4>right now.

0:25:06.000 --> 0:25:08.280
<v Speaker 9>Yes, I think one of the advantages that Line passed

0:25:08.320 --> 0:25:11.000
<v Speaker 9>because we have an internal hardware team is that we

0:25:11.040 --> 0:25:15.480
<v Speaker 9>get to experiment with lots of different hardware modes. And

0:25:15.520 --> 0:25:17.240
<v Speaker 9>one of the things we learned with the e bikes

0:25:17.320 --> 0:25:21.639
<v Speaker 9>versus the scooter is that different types of hardware types

0:25:21.720 --> 0:25:25.479
<v Speaker 9>can appeal to different riders differently. So, for example, bikes

0:25:25.520 --> 0:25:28.480
<v Speaker 9>will see a more gender balance between women and men

0:25:28.880 --> 0:25:32.000
<v Speaker 9>and as slightly older ridership than scooters, which are probably

0:25:32.240 --> 0:25:34.480
<v Speaker 9>a little bit younger and more men than women.

0:25:35.240 --> 0:25:41.560
<v Speaker 2>Because we're afraid of a scooter. I'm just gonna say so.

0:25:41.680 --> 0:25:43.800
<v Speaker 9>Right as we're investing more hardware, we're also looking at

0:25:43.800 --> 0:25:46.720
<v Speaker 9>how do we expand the appeal of microability to more writers,

0:25:47.119 --> 0:25:50.720
<v Speaker 9>different age groups, different use cases, and so'll you're continue

0:25:50.720 --> 0:25:54.359
<v Speaker 9>to see this invest in new hardware form factors we

0:25:54.359 --> 0:25:55.480
<v Speaker 9>have what.

0:25:55.440 --> 0:25:57.400
<v Speaker 4>Does that look like if it's not a bike, it's

0:25:57.400 --> 0:25:58.439
<v Speaker 4>not a scooter, what is it.

0:26:00.640 --> 0:26:01.640
<v Speaker 2>You could share with us.

0:26:03.080 --> 0:26:04.280
<v Speaker 6>So the way we think about.

0:26:04.040 --> 0:26:08.960
<v Speaker 9>This is that the target trips linked for line trips

0:26:09.119 --> 0:26:12.399
<v Speaker 9>is trips under five miles. Sixty percent of car trips

0:26:12.400 --> 0:26:14.840
<v Speaker 9>are under five miles. And then so our question is

0:26:14.920 --> 0:26:17.679
<v Speaker 9>what do people do on these trips. They can go

0:26:17.800 --> 0:26:20.600
<v Speaker 9>to the grocery stores, go to work, go to school,

0:26:21.119 --> 0:26:22.600
<v Speaker 9>you know, go visit a family.

0:26:22.920 --> 0:26:24.439
<v Speaker 6>And what can't we do today?

0:26:24.600 --> 0:26:26.720
<v Speaker 9>So, for example, if you want to go to a

0:26:26.720 --> 0:26:29.120
<v Speaker 9>grocery store, you have your groceries on you, it's hard

0:26:29.119 --> 0:26:32.040
<v Speaker 9>to ride back and a scooter, but in our e bikes,

0:26:32.080 --> 0:26:33.720
<v Speaker 9>we have the basket and it's a good place to

0:26:33.760 --> 0:26:36.880
<v Speaker 9>put the grocery store whatever things you've bought. So we're

0:26:36.880 --> 0:26:38.840
<v Speaker 9>going to continue to look at like, oh so right now,

0:26:38.840 --> 0:26:41.320
<v Speaker 9>if it gets very cold wherever it rains, it becomes

0:26:41.320 --> 0:26:42.480
<v Speaker 9>harder to use.

0:26:42.359 --> 0:26:43.560
<v Speaker 6>An E bike or EA scooter.

0:26:44.200 --> 0:26:46.800
<v Speaker 9>Are there ways we can make lin scooters and bikes

0:26:47.280 --> 0:26:52.159
<v Speaker 9>usable during rain and even during winter? And people typically

0:26:52.160 --> 0:26:54.679
<v Speaker 9>don't want to use this for longer distances, but can

0:26:54.760 --> 0:26:56.879
<v Speaker 9>we make a mode that is good for long distance

0:26:56.880 --> 0:26:59.480
<v Speaker 9>travel as well? So the way we think about.

0:26:59.280 --> 0:27:01.160
<v Speaker 2>This, yeah, go ahead, please no, no, no, finish your thought

0:27:01.200 --> 0:27:02.120
<v Speaker 2>please please girl.

0:27:02.960 --> 0:27:04.679
<v Speaker 9>Now I think about is how do we continue to

0:27:04.720 --> 0:27:07.479
<v Speaker 9>tackle different use cases that writers may want to use

0:27:07.520 --> 0:27:08.280
<v Speaker 9>microability for.

0:27:08.320 --> 0:27:11.040
<v Speaker 2>It pretty cool looking forward to when you want to

0:27:11.040 --> 0:27:13.880
<v Speaker 2>share more, draw us a picture. We would love to know. Hey,

0:27:13.920 --> 0:27:16.119
<v Speaker 2>got thirty seconds left here? Do you have to go

0:27:16.200 --> 0:27:19.240
<v Speaker 2>public though to fuel the expansion and growth that you're

0:27:19.280 --> 0:27:21.320
<v Speaker 2>talking about? Ultimately, just quickly if you could.

0:27:22.760 --> 0:27:24.399
<v Speaker 6>We don't need to go public to fuel it.

0:27:24.520 --> 0:27:26.600
<v Speaker 9>So one of the things that one of the big

0:27:26.640 --> 0:27:29.080
<v Speaker 9>reasons why we're investing fifteen million dollars when all of

0:27:29.119 --> 0:27:31.960
<v Speaker 9>our competitors and industry is pulling back, it's because we

0:27:32.040 --> 0:27:35.680
<v Speaker 9>actually generated nearly one hundred million dollars even out that

0:27:35.720 --> 0:27:38.200
<v Speaker 9>we can leverage to invest in our growth and expansion

0:27:38.760 --> 0:27:40.440
<v Speaker 9>line is profitable in self.

0:27:40.440 --> 0:27:41.399
<v Speaker 6>Sustaining, so we're at a.

0:27:41.400 --> 0:27:43.920
<v Speaker 9>Point where we don't need to raise more money. In fact,

0:27:44.040 --> 0:27:46.760
<v Speaker 9>I think one of the problems with the industry that I

0:27:46.760 --> 0:27:49.880
<v Speaker 9>would say with the BC industry generally, is that there's

0:27:49.880 --> 0:27:52.640
<v Speaker 9>been so much cheap money coming in and then there's

0:27:52.680 --> 0:27:56.720
<v Speaker 9>been a growth that all costs against a drive towards profitability.

0:27:56.920 --> 0:27:59.840
<v Speaker 9>This is actually bad for business because bad companies don't

0:27:59.840 --> 0:28:02.720
<v Speaker 9>go wait, they just go raise more cheap capital. Okay,

0:28:02.760 --> 0:28:05.040
<v Speaker 9>so that's not how we want to run our business.

0:28:05.119 --> 0:28:08.440
<v Speaker 9>And we don't need to go public to fund our growth. Okay,

0:28:08.480 --> 0:28:10.440
<v Speaker 9>we generate enough profits to fund our.

0:28:10.920 --> 0:28:13.080
<v Speaker 2>Okay, five seconds though, do you want to go public?

0:28:13.880 --> 0:28:14.320
<v Speaker 6>Of course?

0:28:14.600 --> 0:28:17.200
<v Speaker 2>Okay, that's all I needed to know. Hey, Wayne, thank

0:28:17.240 --> 0:28:19.240
<v Speaker 2>you so much. Look forward to next time. Wayne Tang,

0:28:19.240 --> 0:28:20.560
<v Speaker 2>he's the CEO at Lime.

0:28:24.680 --> 0:28:25.360
<v Speaker 6>The journal.

0:28:26.400 --> 0:28:27.360
<v Speaker 2>Now about you let me drive?

0:28:27.640 --> 0:28:31.720
<v Speaker 1>Oh no, no, no, no, honey, please, I.

0:28:33.760 --> 0:28:38.480
<v Speaker 6>Want to drive. It's good question that.

0:28:41.880 --> 0:28:44.800
<v Speaker 1>This is the drive to the clothes down to me

0:28:44.960 --> 0:28:46.320
<v Speaker 1>think well Byron.

0:28:47.040 --> 0:28:52.800
<v Speaker 4>On Bloomberg Radio, it's that time already, Carol, that we

0:28:52.880 --> 0:28:53.680
<v Speaker 4>drive to the clothes.

0:28:53.800 --> 0:28:57.840
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, yeah, I do believe it. And kind of an

0:28:57.840 --> 0:28:59.960
<v Speaker 2>interesting tone today, and we're trying to make sense of it,

0:29:00.080 --> 0:29:02.920
<v Speaker 2>because we have seen yields back off a little bit,

0:29:03.760 --> 0:29:06.840
<v Speaker 2>of course, kind of a re assessment following j. Powell's

0:29:06.840 --> 0:29:09.640
<v Speaker 2>comments yesterday. But you've got a ten year note four

0:29:09.800 --> 0:29:12.880
<v Speaker 2>fifty eight, okay, on a two year note below five

0:29:12.920 --> 0:29:15.720
<v Speaker 2>at four point nine three. So we moved up from

0:29:15.920 --> 0:29:17.880
<v Speaker 2>a move down from what we've saw kind of some

0:29:17.960 --> 0:29:19.440
<v Speaker 2>early moves earlier in the session.

0:29:19.520 --> 0:29:23.440
<v Speaker 4>Aboudaill do Little, our chief markets correspondent, essentially saying earlier

0:29:23.440 --> 0:29:25.959
<v Speaker 4>that equities are catching up to what yields have been

0:29:25.960 --> 0:29:26.400
<v Speaker 4>telling us.

0:29:27.280 --> 0:29:27.480
<v Speaker 2>Yeah.

0:29:27.720 --> 0:29:29.880
<v Speaker 4>We also talked a little bit about AI early on

0:29:29.920 --> 0:29:31.960
<v Speaker 4>in our program today, which is kind of where I

0:29:31.960 --> 0:29:33.720
<v Speaker 4>want to start with our next guest, because he says

0:29:33.720 --> 0:29:36.080
<v Speaker 4>that when it comes to AI, the early winners and

0:29:36.120 --> 0:29:38.240
<v Speaker 4>losers may seem obvious, but the truth is that we

0:29:38.280 --> 0:29:41.000
<v Speaker 4>are just getting started. Those are the words of Aaron Kennon,

0:29:41.000 --> 0:29:43.920
<v Speaker 4>who's the co founder and CEO at Clear Harbor Asset Management.

0:29:44.120 --> 0:29:46.160
<v Speaker 4>They've got more than one point five billion dollars in

0:29:46.160 --> 0:29:49.280
<v Speaker 4>assets under management. Aaron joins us once again from Stamford, Connecticut,

0:29:49.360 --> 0:29:51.360
<v Speaker 4>erin how are you doing great?

0:29:51.360 --> 0:29:52.440
<v Speaker 3>Tim, Thanks for having me back.

0:29:52.680 --> 0:29:54.000
<v Speaker 7>Good to have you back with us.

0:29:54.840 --> 0:29:57.640
<v Speaker 4>I do want to start with AI and we'll get

0:29:57.680 --> 0:30:01.520
<v Speaker 4>to markets in just a second. You know, it's something

0:30:01.560 --> 0:30:03.680
<v Speaker 4>we talk about all the time. Of course, the winners

0:30:03.760 --> 0:30:06.200
<v Speaker 4>are very clear. When you say we're just getting started.

0:30:06.200 --> 0:30:08.800
<v Speaker 4>What do you mean by that, Well, I mean.

0:30:08.680 --> 0:30:10.960
<v Speaker 3>AI has been with us for a long time. We

0:30:11.040 --> 0:30:13.480
<v Speaker 3>have begun to focus on it and sort of the

0:30:14.200 --> 0:30:17.720
<v Speaker 3>sort of popular landscape of you know, how is it

0:30:17.760 --> 0:30:22.240
<v Speaker 3>impacting certain aspects of our life? And I just think,

0:30:22.280 --> 0:30:24.800
<v Speaker 3>you know, like like like many things, we have to

0:30:24.800 --> 0:30:30.080
<v Speaker 3>be careful as investors to to chase certain themes because

0:30:30.120 --> 0:30:33.920
<v Speaker 3>there will be probably many winners, but also perhaps many

0:30:33.960 --> 0:30:36.760
<v Speaker 3>more losers. And and I think we're in the early

0:30:36.800 --> 0:30:40.440
<v Speaker 3>innings of the AI revolution. Like I said, that has

0:30:40.520 --> 0:30:42.239
<v Speaker 3>that has been ongoing for a long time. I mean

0:30:42.280 --> 0:30:46.520
<v Speaker 3>Andy jasse over at Amazon Amazon was was articulating this,

0:30:47.200 --> 0:30:51.040
<v Speaker 3>uh last week in his annual letter. We even heard

0:30:51.040 --> 0:30:55.200
<v Speaker 3>it from Banks CEO Jamie Diamond. We're hearing it from

0:30:55.360 --> 0:30:58.680
<v Speaker 3>the behemoths on the consumer staple side, like Procter and

0:30:58.720 --> 0:31:02.520
<v Speaker 3>Gamble and even util and so AI is is a

0:31:02.520 --> 0:31:06.000
<v Speaker 3>broad theme. I think in the in the news, we've

0:31:06.040 --> 0:31:08.200
<v Speaker 3>tend to focused on it just in the context of

0:31:08.240 --> 0:31:09.800
<v Speaker 3>technology and software well.

0:31:09.680 --> 0:31:11.080
<v Speaker 2>It's funny that you say that. I think it was

0:31:11.120 --> 0:31:13.240
<v Speaker 2>also David Solomon over Goldman who said something to the

0:31:13.280 --> 0:31:16.520
<v Speaker 2>effective AI. Yeah, all of the investment, Well we're thinking about,

0:31:16.560 --> 0:31:18.560
<v Speaker 2>you know, all the financing that's going to be need

0:31:18.560 --> 0:31:21.480
<v Speaker 2>to make that investment in AI. So it is interesting.

0:31:21.520 --> 0:31:24.200
<v Speaker 2>And I have to say, is we go through earnings,

0:31:24.240 --> 0:31:26.680
<v Speaker 2>we joke a little bit because it just feels like

0:31:27.280 --> 0:31:32.240
<v Speaker 2>every earnings release or every you know, C suite on

0:31:32.280 --> 0:31:35.520
<v Speaker 2>their calls is somehow sprinkling it into the conversation. So

0:31:35.600 --> 0:31:38.000
<v Speaker 2>it's like it does feel a little kind of funny

0:31:38.080 --> 0:31:41.280
<v Speaker 2>at times. Having said that, though, how do you think

0:31:41.320 --> 0:31:43.680
<v Speaker 2>about it, because it does feel like, you know, we

0:31:43.800 --> 0:31:48.000
<v Speaker 2>did a story about Microsoft and using it to help

0:31:48.080 --> 0:31:51.600
<v Speaker 2>with coding and it's made a lot of advancements using

0:31:51.720 --> 0:31:55.520
<v Speaker 2>chatchypt right open AI's chatty BT to actually make advancements

0:31:55.600 --> 0:31:59.200
<v Speaker 2>in coding and helping its software engineers. So being put

0:31:59.240 --> 0:32:02.800
<v Speaker 2>to use. So how do you, Aaron figure out, Okay,

0:32:02.800 --> 0:32:04.960
<v Speaker 2>what's the smart part of this trend where I want

0:32:05.000 --> 0:32:07.959
<v Speaker 2>to position my clients and my investors.

0:32:08.680 --> 0:32:11.120
<v Speaker 3>That's a great question. I mean, it's a challenging one

0:32:11.160 --> 0:32:14.120
<v Speaker 3>to answer in a few seconds, for sure. But suffice

0:32:14.160 --> 0:32:16.840
<v Speaker 3>it to say, we're going to see major productivity gains

0:32:16.920 --> 0:32:20.920
<v Speaker 3>and that old crew positively to the bottom line, perhaps

0:32:21.120 --> 0:32:25.400
<v Speaker 3>provide better balance sheets for many companies and employment challenges

0:32:25.440 --> 0:32:30.920
<v Speaker 3>for particular segments of the economy. This has happened time

0:32:31.000 --> 0:32:33.560
<v Speaker 3>and time again as we moved into the age of

0:32:33.600 --> 0:32:35.800
<v Speaker 3>the Internet and the two thousands, as we move from

0:32:35.840 --> 0:32:40.640
<v Speaker 3>horse and buggy to an automobile, and we're going to

0:32:40.680 --> 0:32:45.720
<v Speaker 3>see challenges but also opportunities within AI. But you point

0:32:45.800 --> 0:32:48.800
<v Speaker 3>to something quite interesting, which is some engineers are being

0:32:48.880 --> 0:32:55.280
<v Speaker 3>laid off because they're creating artificial intelligence that reacts and

0:32:55.400 --> 0:32:57.640
<v Speaker 3>acts in the way that a human engineer would act.

0:32:57.680 --> 0:33:00.560
<v Speaker 3>And so you maybe a few months ago you think, well,

0:33:00.640 --> 0:33:02.719
<v Speaker 3>engineers are going to be in high demand, and that

0:33:02.760 --> 0:33:05.640
<v Speaker 3>certainly may still be the case, but they're also being

0:33:05.640 --> 0:33:08.320
<v Speaker 3>somewhat perhaps in a year or two that they could

0:33:08.320 --> 0:33:11.920
<v Speaker 3>be disintermediated by AI itself, which is really an interesting thought.

0:33:11.960 --> 0:33:13.760
<v Speaker 2>Well, if you go back, right, even a couple of

0:33:13.800 --> 0:33:16.760
<v Speaker 2>years or something more like hey kids, you know, or

0:33:16.880 --> 0:33:19.520
<v Speaker 2>hey parents, tell you kids they should go be coders,

0:33:19.600 --> 0:33:22.240
<v Speaker 2>right because we're all going to need it because everything

0:33:22.360 --> 0:33:25.240
<v Speaker 2>is digitized, if you will, So it is fascinating to

0:33:25.240 --> 0:33:28.360
<v Speaker 2>see how the narrative has quickly changed. Having said that,

0:33:28.400 --> 0:33:32.680
<v Speaker 2>the narrative around what the Fed may do has changed dramatically,

0:33:32.760 --> 0:33:36.880
<v Speaker 2>and we've seen that representation in dramatic moves when it

0:33:36.880 --> 0:33:39.720
<v Speaker 2>comes to you as treasury yields and it impacts everything

0:33:39.760 --> 0:33:42.480
<v Speaker 2>the US dollar. It's gold, gold. You were watching Tim

0:33:42.520 --> 0:33:45.400
<v Speaker 2>Tee's ahead of you coming on about gold up about

0:33:45.400 --> 0:33:47.720
<v Speaker 2>fifteen percent so far this year. You look at gold,

0:33:48.200 --> 0:33:51.080
<v Speaker 2>is it something that's investible for you and your clients.

0:33:52.280 --> 0:33:56.520
<v Speaker 3>Absolutely, It's been a really interesting year. And it's only,

0:33:56.600 --> 0:33:59.719
<v Speaker 3>of course April to see the dollar move up, call

0:33:59.760 --> 0:34:03.120
<v Speaker 3>it five percent in gold, which tends to move in

0:34:03.120 --> 0:34:08.000
<v Speaker 3>inverse to the dollar of fifteen percent. It suggests to

0:34:08.000 --> 0:34:10.680
<v Speaker 3>me that there are other things happening in the marketplace.

0:34:10.680 --> 0:34:12.920
<v Speaker 3>And I would argue, although the data is a little

0:34:13.719 --> 0:34:16.800
<v Speaker 3>less than transparent on this point, that emerging market central

0:34:16.840 --> 0:34:20.120
<v Speaker 3>banks are certainly most I shouldn't say certainly are most

0:34:20.160 --> 0:34:24.360
<v Speaker 3>likely the culprits behind the bid up in the gold market.

0:34:24.400 --> 0:34:28.759
<v Speaker 3>We've seen some evidence that China is the most significant

0:34:28.760 --> 0:34:31.400
<v Speaker 3>buyer of gold at the moment, and I think there

0:34:31.400 --> 0:34:33.480
<v Speaker 3>are a couple of reasons for this. One is we're

0:34:33.520 --> 0:34:36.759
<v Speaker 3>seeing more non dollar transactions occurring in the midst of

0:34:36.760 --> 0:34:40.880
<v Speaker 3>this sort of Ukraine war and friction with China. You

0:34:40.920 --> 0:34:45.719
<v Speaker 3>have China trading energy and commodities with Russia in ren

0:34:45.760 --> 0:34:49.800
<v Speaker 3>and b you have Russia trading oil with India and rupees,

0:34:50.280 --> 0:34:52.720
<v Speaker 3>and so I think it's sort of putting into question

0:34:52.840 --> 0:34:58.080
<v Speaker 3>the degree to which the dollar remain the prevailing lead

0:34:58.200 --> 0:35:01.879
<v Speaker 3>currency in the world. I mean, certainly that trend is

0:35:01.960 --> 0:35:04.480
<v Speaker 3>still in place. The dollar is the global reserve currency,

0:35:04.520 --> 0:35:07.000
<v Speaker 3>but it's trended downward from I don't know, seventy five

0:35:07.000 --> 0:35:10.520
<v Speaker 3>to eighty percent maybe in nineteen fifty two, below sixty

0:35:10.560 --> 0:35:14.560
<v Speaker 3>percent today, and that trend probably will continue declining into

0:35:14.600 --> 0:35:17.480
<v Speaker 3>the future. And I think that's, you know, part of

0:35:17.520 --> 0:35:20.160
<v Speaker 3>what's going on in the goldfront. The other big point

0:35:20.239 --> 0:35:24.239
<v Speaker 3>here too, is that our fiscal house is not in order.

0:35:24.800 --> 0:35:27.160
<v Speaker 3>And the last time we had interest rates where they

0:35:27.239 --> 0:35:31.200
<v Speaker 3>are today on a like a two year rolling basis

0:35:31.320 --> 0:35:33.600
<v Speaker 3>was back about seventeen years ago when our debt to

0:35:33.680 --> 0:35:36.440
<v Speaker 3>GDP was sixty percent, and today it's over one hundred

0:35:36.440 --> 0:35:39.600
<v Speaker 3>and twenty percent. So the notion that you know, the

0:35:39.719 --> 0:35:43.960
<v Speaker 3>dollar is in good stead relative to gold is being

0:35:43.960 --> 0:35:45.960
<v Speaker 3>put into question, and there are of course many other

0:35:46.000 --> 0:35:47.840
<v Speaker 3>variables to talk about there, but those are some of

0:35:47.880 --> 0:35:49.120
<v Speaker 3>the key ones that come to mind.

0:35:49.239 --> 0:35:50.960
<v Speaker 4>Well, Aaron, we only have thirty seconds left, but I

0:35:50.960 --> 0:35:52.680
<v Speaker 4>do want to talk about today's market. The S and

0:35:52.719 --> 0:35:56.719
<v Speaker 4>P five hundred on track for a close days four

0:35:56.800 --> 0:35:58.880
<v Speaker 4>days of decline. If it does indeed close lower with it,

0:35:58.920 --> 0:36:02.200
<v Speaker 4>which it looked like like it will do, buying opportunity

0:36:02.280 --> 0:36:02.640
<v Speaker 4>right now.

0:36:03.920 --> 0:36:06.080
<v Speaker 3>I think in the long run, you want to own

0:36:06.600 --> 0:36:10.520
<v Speaker 3>well managed, well positioned equities, for sure. But if you

0:36:10.560 --> 0:36:12.640
<v Speaker 3>look at the breadth of the market, which had been

0:36:12.680 --> 0:36:15.600
<v Speaker 3>winding out going into the end of the quarter, it's

0:36:16.120 --> 0:36:18.160
<v Speaker 3>it's not any longer. If you look at the top

0:36:18.200 --> 0:36:21.760
<v Speaker 3>four names in the market that have led the rally

0:36:21.760 --> 0:36:25.279
<v Speaker 3>of six percent in the SMP, TIM, Nvidia, Meta, Microsoft,

0:36:25.360 --> 0:36:28.200
<v Speaker 3>and Amazon, they represent seventy two percent of the current

0:36:28.280 --> 0:36:30.799
<v Speaker 3>year to date return of six percent. You know, last

0:36:30.880 --> 0:36:33.640
<v Speaker 3>year that number was forty three percent. The top four

0:36:33.760 --> 0:36:37.040
<v Speaker 3>names led only forty three percent of the total return,

0:36:37.320 --> 0:36:40.799
<v Speaker 3>and so it's certainly a narrow rally. But if you

0:36:40.840 --> 0:36:44.160
<v Speaker 3>look beneath the hood at the broader SMP, at the

0:36:44.160 --> 0:36:47.600
<v Speaker 3>broader market, it's cheaper. It's only trying to get sixteen.

0:36:47.360 --> 0:36:49.879
<v Speaker 4>Times, we got to run Aeron Kennon over at Clear

0:36:49.880 --> 0:36:51.760
<v Speaker 4>Harbor Asset Management. This is Bloomberg.

0:36:53.360 --> 0:36:56.279
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0:36:56.360 --> 0:37:00.239
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