1
00:00:00,920 --> 00:00:05,160
Speaker 1: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast, the number one show

2
00:00:05,280 --> 00:00:06,920
Speaker 1: for the invested sports fan.

3
00:00:09,680 --> 00:00:12,960
Speaker 2: All right, here we go throwing a show.

4
00:00:15,080 --> 00:00:19,600
Speaker 3: We're sitting up to cats to We'll see most gamblers

5
00:00:19,640 --> 00:00:21,360
Speaker 3: when they go to gamble, they go to win.

6
00:00:22,079 --> 00:00:26,239
Speaker 2: God, that's incredible. Big bank, small banks. I like to

7
00:00:26,280 --> 00:00:26,800
Speaker 2: make money.

8
00:00:26,920 --> 00:00:30,680
Speaker 4: All right, this is the ultimate Kabaiana pull.

9
00:00:33,040 --> 00:00:35,960
Speaker 2: And we are underway.

10
00:00:36,479 --> 00:00:40,320
Speaker 3: Welcome to the week two edition of the Action Network Podcast.

11
00:00:40,600 --> 00:00:43,240
Speaker 3: I am Chris Raybond of the Action Network and I'll

12
00:00:43,240 --> 00:00:47,960
Speaker 3: be joined shortly by the Prime Minister of Degenerate Nation Stuckey.

13
00:00:48,280 --> 00:00:49,680
Speaker 4: And on this show, we're gonna.

14
00:00:49,440 --> 00:00:51,440
Speaker 3: Break down our top six ATS picks, just like we

15
00:00:51,479 --> 00:00:54,360
Speaker 3: did in week one on the Sunday six Pack. Then

16
00:00:54,560 --> 00:00:57,840
Speaker 3: we'll talk about our favorite over under our favorite teaser

17
00:00:57,880 --> 00:01:01,480
Speaker 3: of the week, and we will combine our favorite moneyline

18
00:01:01,600 --> 00:01:04,480
Speaker 3: underdogs into a two team parlay. See if that can

19
00:01:04,560 --> 00:01:06,880
Speaker 3: hit for you guys, and finally get you out of

20
00:01:06,920 --> 00:01:10,720
Speaker 3: here with our most confident survivor pool pick of the week.

21
00:01:11,040 --> 00:01:11,399
Speaker 4: Of course.

22
00:01:11,440 --> 00:01:13,920
Speaker 3: If you want more betting info and analysis, go to

23
00:01:13,959 --> 00:01:18,840
Speaker 3: actionnetwork dot com, slash NFL and download the Action Network app,

24
00:01:18,880 --> 00:01:21,120
Speaker 3: where you can follow Stucky in My picks as well.

25
00:01:21,120 --> 00:01:23,640
Speaker 4: Always track your bets in real time.

26
00:01:24,120 --> 00:01:27,319
Speaker 3: But first, as always, we're gonna preview the Thursday night game.

27
00:01:27,680 --> 00:01:31,720
Speaker 3: It's the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at the Carolina Panthers.

28
00:01:33,200 --> 00:01:36,680
Speaker 4: It's not the best game, but it's the only game tonight.

29
00:01:37,200 --> 00:01:39,760
Speaker 2: Let's bet Thursday Night football.

30
00:01:41,959 --> 00:01:44,920
Speaker 4: Ducky a mister man. Happy week too? How is the

31
00:01:44,959 --> 00:01:45,440
Speaker 4: Week one?

32
00:01:45,600 --> 00:01:47,400
Speaker 2: Yeah? Week one was good. It was nice to have

33
00:01:47,720 --> 00:01:51,160
Speaker 2: the NFL back the craziness of Sunday. I grind it

34
00:01:51,160 --> 00:01:53,640
Speaker 2: out of profit, which is always nice. Nothing crazy, but

35
00:01:53,800 --> 00:01:55,640
Speaker 2: you want to get out of the first Sunday with

36
00:01:55,680 --> 00:01:58,080
Speaker 2: the profit. It's always a good feeling and everyone just

37
00:01:58,120 --> 00:02:01,240
Speaker 2: needs to chill out. But that's what you expect to

38
00:02:01,280 --> 00:02:04,440
Speaker 2: happen in the NFL. Hot takes galore a lot of

39
00:02:04,520 --> 00:02:07,760
Speaker 2: airtime to fill out, so you have overreactions all over

40
00:02:07,800 --> 00:02:10,240
Speaker 2: the place. I just want to remind everyone. Last year

41
00:02:10,520 --> 00:02:15,320
Speaker 2: in Week one, the Bucks, led by Ryan Fitzpatrick, beat

42
00:02:15,360 --> 00:02:18,960
Speaker 2: the Saints in New Orleans forty eight forty. This year,

43
00:02:19,960 --> 00:02:22,919
Speaker 2: Bryan Fitzpatrick with the Dolphins lost one hundred and seventy

44
00:02:22,960 --> 00:02:25,760
Speaker 2: five to nothing. It's just Week one. The Bucks didn't

45
00:02:25,800 --> 00:02:27,200
Speaker 2: go on to win the Super Bowl. The Saints were

46
00:02:27,200 --> 00:02:28,959
Speaker 2: all right and should have went to the Super Bowl.

47
00:02:29,000 --> 00:02:32,240
Speaker 2: But everyone just needs to relax. Let's just hold our

48
00:02:32,240 --> 00:02:34,160
Speaker 2: horses on some of these hot takes, but we can

49
00:02:34,160 --> 00:02:35,880
Speaker 2: try and capitalize that in the betting market.

50
00:02:36,320 --> 00:02:36,560
Speaker 4: Yeah.

51
00:02:36,760 --> 00:02:39,239
Speaker 3: I like how you got that humble bragg in that

52
00:02:39,400 --> 00:02:41,680
Speaker 3: you grinded out of profit. I did as well. But

53
00:02:41,720 --> 00:02:43,840
Speaker 3: it was it was stressful. I was I was actually

54
00:02:43,840 --> 00:02:47,160
Speaker 3: at a wedding this weekend, and who's scheduled the wedding here?

55
00:02:47,200 --> 00:02:51,080
Speaker 3: Somebody that likes international football more than American football. And thus,

56
00:02:51,120 --> 00:02:52,800
Speaker 3: you know, it's kind of a break and you know,

57
00:02:52,919 --> 00:02:54,360
Speaker 3: it was rough, but it is what it is.

58
00:02:54,440 --> 00:02:55,800
Speaker 4: Wish them all the best. That was fun.

59
00:02:56,040 --> 00:02:58,400
Speaker 3: Let's talk about this Thursday night game. We have the

60
00:02:58,639 --> 00:03:02,000
Speaker 3: Tampa Bay Bucks owing to Carolina to face the Panthers,

61
00:03:02,080 --> 00:03:05,119
Speaker 3: both teams coming off of loss. Tampa Bay really rough

62
00:03:05,160 --> 00:03:08,320
Speaker 3: game for them. Jamis Winston under two hundred yards passing

63
00:03:09,040 --> 00:03:11,280
Speaker 3: as they fell to the San Francisco forty nine ers,

64
00:03:11,680 --> 00:03:14,919
Speaker 3: and the Panthers lost a close one to the La

65
00:03:15,040 --> 00:03:16,079
Speaker 3: Rams at home.

66
00:03:16,320 --> 00:03:16,680
Speaker 4: In the end.

67
00:03:16,720 --> 00:03:18,680
Speaker 3: I think the Rams had a little too much on offense.

68
00:03:18,720 --> 00:03:22,160
Speaker 3: Of course, Christian McCaffrey went berserk. So now we have

69
00:03:22,360 --> 00:03:26,440
Speaker 3: the Carolina Panthers favored by six and a half points

70
00:03:26,560 --> 00:03:28,440
Speaker 3: over under forty nine and a half.

71
00:03:28,520 --> 00:03:30,320
Speaker 4: What are you doing with this game? Step those of.

72
00:03:30,240 --> 00:03:32,880
Speaker 2: You who aren't familiar with me on Twitter and or

73
00:03:32,919 --> 00:03:35,840
Speaker 2: from our Colleges podcast, you'll grow to learn that I

74
00:03:36,040 --> 00:03:40,000
Speaker 2: just spies Thursday night football at the NFL, and the

75
00:03:40,080 --> 00:03:42,720
Speaker 2: reason is just the quality of the product always tends

76
00:03:42,760 --> 00:03:45,400
Speaker 2: to be awful. They have a short week, so teams

77
00:03:45,400 --> 00:03:47,480
Speaker 2: aren't as prepared. They're to sloppier, and you see it

78
00:03:47,480 --> 00:03:50,080
Speaker 2: out on the field. So unless I have a really

79
00:03:50,120 --> 00:03:52,440
Speaker 2: good reason to bet Thursday night football, I tend to

80
00:03:52,480 --> 00:03:54,960
Speaker 2: stay away. I don't like to force it. I can

81
00:03:55,040 --> 00:03:57,080
Speaker 2: tell you that the Panthers are a great tease piece,

82
00:03:57,160 --> 00:03:59,520
Speaker 2: especially right at seven, if you want to tease them down.

83
00:03:59,600 --> 00:04:02,840
Speaker 2: I compare this game sort of to the Colts Chargers

84
00:04:02,920 --> 00:04:04,720
Speaker 2: game last week in that if it gets to a

85
00:04:04,800 --> 00:04:07,280
Speaker 2: seven flat or if it gets to seven and a half,

86
00:04:07,360 --> 00:04:09,280
Speaker 2: I think you have to look at the bucks. You

87
00:04:09,280 --> 00:04:11,240
Speaker 2: know it's six and a half. You know which is

88
00:04:11,280 --> 00:04:13,560
Speaker 2: right where I make it. It's probably a stay away.

89
00:04:13,720 --> 00:04:15,400
Speaker 2: I think the Panthers do find a way to win.

90
00:04:15,560 --> 00:04:18,120
Speaker 2: I think that they have an advantage with the short

91
00:04:18,160 --> 00:04:21,200
Speaker 2: week in that you know, they're staying at home. They

92
00:04:21,279 --> 00:04:24,839
Speaker 2: pretty much know what they are and what they want

93
00:04:24,880 --> 00:04:28,200
Speaker 2: to do on offense. Now, not everything worked last week.

94
00:04:28,240 --> 00:04:31,000
Speaker 2: And look, one of the games that I'm really mad

95
00:04:31,040 --> 00:04:34,000
Speaker 2: about last week was that Panthers Rams game. So the

96
00:04:34,080 --> 00:04:35,760
Speaker 2: Rams are going to come out flat. I like the

97
00:04:35,800 --> 00:04:38,120
Speaker 2: Panthers in the first half, and that's exactly what happened.

98
00:04:38,240 --> 00:04:40,080
Speaker 2: You know, a couple of missfield goals, there was a

99
00:04:40,160 --> 00:04:43,000
Speaker 2: lateral that went the Rams way. The Rams got dominated

100
00:04:43,000 --> 00:04:45,120
Speaker 2: in that first half. But somehow we're still leading and

101
00:04:45,120 --> 00:04:47,360
Speaker 2: they obviously the Rams woke up in the second half.

102
00:04:47,760 --> 00:04:50,200
Speaker 2: But the Bucks are still trying to figure things out

103
00:04:50,200 --> 00:04:53,359
Speaker 2: in Bruce Arians offense. And that showed last week with

104
00:04:53,440 --> 00:04:55,800
Speaker 2: Jamis Winston. I mean, maybe it's just a day off

105
00:04:55,839 --> 00:04:58,960
Speaker 2: at the office and he just was snoozing. But look

106
00:04:59,080 --> 00:05:01,839
Speaker 2: there was two picks sixes that he had, and one

107
00:05:01,920 --> 00:05:04,360
Speaker 2: was by Richard Sherman and one was by Witherspoon. None

108
00:05:04,400 --> 00:05:08,520
Speaker 2: of them were great defensive plays. They were just bad throws.

109
00:05:08,560 --> 00:05:11,120
Speaker 2: And Arians said at one point Barbara ran a wrong

110
00:05:11,240 --> 00:05:14,880
Speaker 2: route and so there was just mistiming and this offense

111
00:05:14,920 --> 00:05:16,600
Speaker 2: looked off and it looks like they still have things

112
00:05:16,600 --> 00:05:19,760
Speaker 2: to figure out. Well, if that happens in week one

113
00:05:19,880 --> 00:05:21,760
Speaker 2: and now you have a quick turnaround in the week two,

114
00:05:21,880 --> 00:05:23,360
Speaker 2: that makes it a lot tougher. You only have three

115
00:05:23,440 --> 00:05:26,000
Speaker 2: days of prep here, So I think the Panthers get

116
00:05:26,040 --> 00:05:28,479
Speaker 2: it done line should be right around six and a half.

117
00:05:28,440 --> 00:05:30,640
Speaker 2: If it gets a seven seven and a half, maybe

118
00:05:30,680 --> 00:05:32,760
Speaker 2: look at Bucks. Maybe it teased the Panthers down with

119
00:05:32,800 --> 00:05:35,359
Speaker 2: a bunch of great teaser pieces that are offered on Sunday,

120
00:05:35,360 --> 00:05:37,600
Speaker 2: which we'll get to later in the show. Most likely

121
00:05:37,640 --> 00:05:39,120
Speaker 2: a game where I said, on the sidelines and just

122
00:05:39,120 --> 00:05:41,000
Speaker 2: get more intel for future weeks.

123
00:05:41,279 --> 00:05:45,000
Speaker 3: Speaking of intel, if you check out the public betting

124
00:05:45,000 --> 00:05:49,000
Speaker 3: percentages on the Action Network app as we speak, eighty

125
00:05:49,040 --> 00:05:53,240
Speaker 3: one percent of the bets eighty three percent of the

126
00:05:53,320 --> 00:05:57,160
Speaker 3: money on the Carolina Panthers. A contrarian bet against the

127
00:05:57,200 --> 00:05:59,800
Speaker 3: public angle here. If this line, as you mentioned, does

128
00:05:59,800 --> 00:06:02,599
Speaker 3: get to seven or greater, I think the line the

129
00:06:02,600 --> 00:06:05,080
Speaker 3: correct line is six and a half as it stands

130
00:06:05,200 --> 00:06:08,000
Speaker 3: right now. We're also seeing a little bit more of

131
00:06:08,400 --> 00:06:10,920
Speaker 3: the money sixty six percent than bets fifty four percent

132
00:06:10,960 --> 00:06:13,440
Speaker 3: on the under in this game, so it's dropping a

133
00:06:13,520 --> 00:06:16,480
Speaker 3: forty nine at some spots. I also think that that

134
00:06:16,480 --> 00:06:18,320
Speaker 3: that forty nine, forty nine and a half number. I

135
00:06:18,320 --> 00:06:20,239
Speaker 3: wouldn't really touch it either. I see what you're saying.

136
00:06:20,480 --> 00:06:23,440
Speaker 3: I do think that the Panthers come out strong. I

137
00:06:23,560 --> 00:06:25,520
Speaker 3: kind of called it last week. I mean, I don't

138
00:06:25,600 --> 00:06:29,160
Speaker 3: know about this, you know, James Winston in this offense,

139
00:06:29,240 --> 00:06:31,360
Speaker 3: just because it's not really Bruce Arians. It's Bruce Arians

140
00:06:31,400 --> 00:06:33,760
Speaker 3: and Byron Leftwich, and they were talking about, you know,

141
00:06:33,880 --> 00:06:36,440
Speaker 3: him checking it down more and I just don't know

142
00:06:36,440 --> 00:06:37,800
Speaker 3: if he knows how to play like that, and I

143
00:06:37,800 --> 00:06:40,600
Speaker 3: think it might be a while before they figured it out.

144
00:06:40,640 --> 00:06:43,039
Speaker 3: So I do see what you're saying with Hey, you know,

145
00:06:43,120 --> 00:06:45,560
Speaker 3: short week might not be the time to invest. And

146
00:06:46,120 --> 00:06:48,080
Speaker 3: the thing is, if you look back at Thursday Night

147
00:06:48,160 --> 00:06:52,160
Speaker 3: football since two thousand and three per our bet lab software,

148
00:06:52,480 --> 00:06:54,159
Speaker 3: you guys should go check that out if you're really

149
00:06:54,200 --> 00:06:57,200
Speaker 3: into getting just all the best betting data going back

150
00:06:57,400 --> 00:07:01,080
Speaker 3: for over a decade. But Thursday night home favorites are

151
00:07:01,440 --> 00:07:04,760
Speaker 3: seventy and forty four against the spread, So that is

152
00:07:05,040 --> 00:07:08,800
Speaker 3: a positive trend in favor of the Carolina Panthers. However,

153
00:07:09,080 --> 00:07:11,200
Speaker 3: and we do kind of see in week two and

154
00:07:11,240 --> 00:07:14,720
Speaker 3: three it is that time of year when everyone's overreacting.

155
00:07:14,840 --> 00:07:17,920
Speaker 3: So it's only seven and six small sample obviously, but

156
00:07:18,000 --> 00:07:21,160
Speaker 3: only seven and six for those Thursday home favorites in

157
00:07:21,240 --> 00:07:23,720
Speaker 3: weeks two and three, So probably it would have to

158
00:07:23,720 --> 00:07:25,240
Speaker 3: get to seven and a half. I think for me

159
00:07:25,360 --> 00:07:27,160
Speaker 3: to really consider the bucks, I think seven is just

160
00:07:27,160 --> 00:07:29,560
Speaker 3: the correct one. I don't think you're really doing anything

161
00:07:29,640 --> 00:07:30,800
Speaker 3: with your money at that point.

162
00:07:31,080 --> 00:07:32,560
Speaker 4: It's a good time too, because we.

163
00:07:32,520 --> 00:07:36,360
Speaker 3: Talked about Jamis four hour Coaches segment and Stuck.

164
00:07:36,400 --> 00:07:38,840
Speaker 4: I know you and I both we're dedicating.

165
00:07:38,440 --> 00:07:40,559
Speaker 3: This one to Jamis Winston and this is coach Wally

166
00:07:40,640 --> 00:07:43,920
Speaker 3: from the nineteen ninety one film Necessary Roughness.

167
00:07:45,040 --> 00:07:48,400
Speaker 1: You know how to play hard those football like a

168
00:07:48,440 --> 00:07:53,040
Speaker 1: goddamn wild man, So like a goddamn rock basic page,

169
00:07:53,240 --> 00:07:54,840
Speaker 1: and that's the way you're gonna do it. You go

170
00:07:54,920 --> 00:07:57,080
Speaker 1: out there, you'll tell you that fucking heads off, and

171
00:07:57,160 --> 00:07:59,840
Speaker 1: you shit down that next let us.

172
00:07:59,680 --> 00:08:02,680
Speaker 3: Pray, all right, Stuck, Time for the main event, the

173
00:08:02,720 --> 00:08:03,880
Speaker 3: Sunday six pack.

174
00:08:04,800 --> 00:08:11,240
Speaker 2: Thursday for action. Let's crack open the Sunday six pack.

175
00:08:12,960 --> 00:08:15,280
Speaker 3: All right, everybody, you know the drill, Stucky and I

176
00:08:15,360 --> 00:08:19,480
Speaker 3: will draft three against the spread, picks a piece and

177
00:08:19,720 --> 00:08:23,880
Speaker 3: build our Sunday six pack. Our top pick is worth

178
00:08:23,920 --> 00:08:26,520
Speaker 3: two points, Our other two picks are worth one point each,

179
00:08:26,560 --> 00:08:29,480
Speaker 3: and then we'll also get an additional point for our

180
00:08:29,480 --> 00:08:32,000
Speaker 3: favorite total if that hits, which we'll get you right

181
00:08:32,080 --> 00:08:36,440
Speaker 3: after last week I went, I got three points, you

182
00:08:36,440 --> 00:08:39,280
Speaker 3: only got one stuck, so you are in the rear view.

183
00:08:39,720 --> 00:08:41,240
Speaker 4: You're gonna have to catch up to me. I don't

184
00:08:41,240 --> 00:08:42,920
Speaker 4: know if you ever will, but I'll.

185
00:08:42,760 --> 00:08:45,640
Speaker 2: Give you three weeks. You get the first pick.

186
00:08:45,679 --> 00:08:49,160
Speaker 3: This week, I'm starting out with, I mean, just a

187
00:08:49,240 --> 00:08:52,520
Speaker 3: laughable spread. The you know the number one overreaction to

188
00:08:52,960 --> 00:08:55,360
Speaker 3: last week, and it's the Miami Dolphins plus nineteen and

189
00:08:55,440 --> 00:08:57,680
Speaker 3: a half at home against the New England Patriots.

190
00:08:57,679 --> 00:08:59,720
Speaker 2: Now, I'll give you two weeks before I catch if

191
00:08:59,760 --> 00:09:01,400
Speaker 2: you're going the roll with the Dolphins every week.

192
00:09:02,640 --> 00:09:04,200
Speaker 3: I didn't say I was gonna do it every week,

193
00:09:04,360 --> 00:09:07,680
Speaker 3: but when they're plus nineteen and a half, and don't

194
00:09:07,679 --> 00:09:10,600
Speaker 3: get me wrong, betting on them after the massacre. The

195
00:09:10,640 --> 00:09:16,080
Speaker 3: massacre that occurred last week in Baltimore is absolutely disgusting.

196
00:09:16,240 --> 00:09:18,120
Speaker 4: I know Joe Buck would agree.

197
00:09:17,840 --> 00:09:20,200
Speaker 2: That is a disgusting act.

198
00:09:20,440 --> 00:09:22,240
Speaker 4: The thing is, it's just too many points.

199
00:09:22,320 --> 00:09:24,800
Speaker 3: The spread should be more in the in the fifteen

200
00:09:24,840 --> 00:09:26,640
Speaker 3: and a half range, you know, kind of putting the

201
00:09:26,640 --> 00:09:29,839
Speaker 3: difference between them losing by fourteen points and them losing

202
00:09:29,840 --> 00:09:32,680
Speaker 3: by seventeen points. This number getting up to nineteen and

203
00:09:32,679 --> 00:09:35,040
Speaker 3: a half. Some places that's at nineteen, some places that

204
00:09:35,160 --> 00:09:38,199
Speaker 3: it's at twenty with juice. That's just all together too much,

205
00:09:38,600 --> 00:09:41,200
Speaker 3: especially for a game that's in Week two. You have

206
00:09:41,240 --> 00:09:43,520
Speaker 3: a new coach for the Dolphins. Just a lot of

207
00:09:43,600 --> 00:09:47,160
Speaker 3: uncertainty there. Brian Flora is also familiar with the New

208
00:09:47,160 --> 00:09:49,840
Speaker 3: England Patriots. I know a lot of people were surprised

209
00:09:49,920 --> 00:09:54,120
Speaker 3: last early last season when the Detroit Lions ended up

210
00:09:54,400 --> 00:09:56,520
Speaker 3: getting a victory over New England early on in that

211
00:09:56,600 --> 00:09:59,200
Speaker 3: in that season, and I think, you know, familiarity with

212
00:09:59,200 --> 00:10:01,600
Speaker 3: Matt Patricia had something to do with it. So altogether,

213
00:10:01,679 --> 00:10:04,679
Speaker 3: I just think too many points. Patriots coming off, you know,

214
00:10:04,720 --> 00:10:08,360
Speaker 3: a resounding win Sunday night against the Pittsburgh Steelers.

215
00:10:08,559 --> 00:10:09,640
Speaker 4: The Dolphins, you know.

216
00:10:09,920 --> 00:10:11,439
Speaker 3: They have to want to get some respect, but they

217
00:10:11,440 --> 00:10:13,199
Speaker 3: have to want to come out and play hard. It's

218
00:10:13,240 --> 00:10:16,120
Speaker 3: at home, it's in Miami. We've seen teams struggle. East

219
00:10:16,160 --> 00:10:19,360
Speaker 3: Coast teams and colder weather teams struggle when they go

220
00:10:19,400 --> 00:10:21,360
Speaker 3: to Miami early in the season. I think the Bears

221
00:10:21,360 --> 00:10:23,240
Speaker 3: come to mind from early last year. I was a

222
00:10:23,280 --> 00:10:25,439
Speaker 3: twelve and fourteen that it went to Miami, and I

223
00:10:25,480 --> 00:10:27,920
Speaker 3: believe they lost that game, if I'm not mistaken. We've

224
00:10:27,960 --> 00:10:30,480
Speaker 3: also seen the Patriots have some trouble against you know,

225
00:10:30,640 --> 00:10:33,600
Speaker 3: inferior Dolphin teams, you know, when they go to Miami

226
00:10:33,800 --> 00:10:36,240
Speaker 3: in the past, in the Brady Belichick era.

227
00:10:36,360 --> 00:10:38,160
Speaker 4: So I think the Patriots are a better team.

228
00:10:38,360 --> 00:10:40,560
Speaker 3: I think their defense is really strong, one of the

229
00:10:40,559 --> 00:10:42,520
Speaker 3: reasons that they started a lot faster.

230
00:10:42,360 --> 00:10:43,439
Speaker 4: This year against Pittsburgh.

231
00:10:43,600 --> 00:10:46,120
Speaker 3: Sometimes we see the Patriots kind of stumble on defense

232
00:10:46,120 --> 00:10:49,160
Speaker 3: through the first few weeks of the season. But I

233
00:10:49,280 --> 00:10:52,200
Speaker 3: just can't kind of get behind betting on the Patriots

234
00:10:52,280 --> 00:10:54,520
Speaker 3: or any team at that spread. And I can't get

235
00:10:54,559 --> 00:10:56,960
Speaker 3: behind not, you know, taking a shot at the underdog,

236
00:10:57,000 --> 00:10:58,560
Speaker 3: because these are the kind of picks you have to

237
00:10:58,559 --> 00:11:01,360
Speaker 3: make your betting numbers if you want to be profitable

238
00:11:01,400 --> 00:11:04,080
Speaker 3: long term. You can't just pick the chalk in these spots.

239
00:11:04,080 --> 00:11:05,520
Speaker 3: And if you're staying away, you're kind of leaving some

240
00:11:05,600 --> 00:11:07,520
Speaker 3: value on the table. So I just think the Dolphins

241
00:11:07,559 --> 00:11:10,880
Speaker 3: keep it a little bit closer than the spread would indicate,

242
00:11:10,880 --> 00:11:11,880
Speaker 3: which I think is inflated.

243
00:11:11,920 --> 00:11:12,160
Speaker 4: Again.

244
00:11:12,480 --> 00:11:15,400
Speaker 2: I can't argue with the principle of it. I'm a

245
00:11:15,480 --> 00:11:19,439
Speaker 2: huge believer and preacher in the NFL specifically, even though

246
00:11:19,440 --> 00:11:21,959
Speaker 2: this applies to all facets of life of buying low

247
00:11:22,000 --> 00:11:25,520
Speaker 2: and selling high, which is what you think you're doing

248
00:11:25,559 --> 00:11:28,040
Speaker 2: now with the Dolphins. The thing I can't wrap my

249
00:11:28,080 --> 00:11:30,480
Speaker 2: head around is after what I saw last week, I

250
00:11:30,520 --> 00:11:33,960
Speaker 2: don't know how bad the Dolphins are. I mean, you

251
00:11:34,040 --> 00:11:36,440
Speaker 2: never want to let one week dictate, but after all

252
00:11:36,480 --> 00:11:39,840
Speaker 2: their departures and you know, talk of quitting and their tanking,

253
00:11:39,920 --> 00:11:41,920
Speaker 2: and I don't really know how bad this team is.

254
00:11:41,920 --> 00:11:43,960
Speaker 2: I mean, the Ravens aren't the best team in the NFL,

255
00:11:44,120 --> 00:11:48,200
Speaker 2: and the Ravens look like they were Alabama playing, you know,

256
00:11:48,280 --> 00:11:49,720
Speaker 2: one of the little sisters of the poor that they

257
00:11:49,800 --> 00:11:51,760
Speaker 2: play in early in the season. I would tend to

258
00:11:51,760 --> 00:11:53,800
Speaker 2: maybe look at the under if you do like the Patriots.

259
00:11:53,840 --> 00:11:56,480
Speaker 2: This Patriots defense is legit there. I don't know how

260
00:11:56,520 --> 00:11:59,480
Speaker 2: Miami's going to move the ball with that offensive line. Now, look,

261
00:11:59,480 --> 00:12:01,319
Speaker 2: if this gets a three touchdowns, I'm gonna have to

262
00:12:01,360 --> 00:12:04,240
Speaker 2: hold my nose and click submit or have someone else.

263
00:12:04,280 --> 00:12:06,400
Speaker 2: I'll have my girl do it for me. I don't

264
00:12:06,440 --> 00:12:08,319
Speaker 2: know if I can hit submit. That's where I met. Now, look,

265
00:12:08,400 --> 00:12:10,719
Speaker 2: betting double digit underdogs in the NFL is the way

266
00:12:10,760 --> 00:12:12,760
Speaker 2: to go. It pains me to ever even think about

267
00:12:12,800 --> 00:12:14,800
Speaker 2: betting a double digit favorite. So I'm not looking at

268
00:12:14,840 --> 00:12:16,840
Speaker 2: the Patriots here. I mean, since nineteen ninety three, there's

269
00:12:16,840 --> 00:12:19,680
Speaker 2: been one hundred and twenty NFL teams favored by two

270
00:12:19,760 --> 00:12:23,400
Speaker 2: touchdowns or more. They're fifty seven and sixty against and

271
00:12:23,480 --> 00:12:26,400
Speaker 2: three against the spread, So slay the under fifty percent

272
00:12:26,480 --> 00:12:30,079
Speaker 2: if they're seventeen plus. Doesn't happen often five and fifteen

273
00:12:30,080 --> 00:12:32,679
Speaker 2: against the spread. But going back to those one hundred

274
00:12:32,679 --> 00:12:34,920
Speaker 2: and twenty teams, once again, you see this all the time.

275
00:12:34,960 --> 00:12:37,200
Speaker 2: The Patriots are the exception. The Patriots are twelve and

276
00:12:37,240 --> 00:12:41,880
Speaker 2: six against the spread as favorites of fourteen or more points.

277
00:12:42,120 --> 00:12:45,320
Speaker 2: And if the Patriots are always the exception to these rules,

278
00:12:45,360 --> 00:12:47,880
Speaker 2: because what makes them so great is they only care

279
00:12:47,920 --> 00:12:51,200
Speaker 2: about how are we executing this next play, this next drive.

280
00:12:51,240 --> 00:12:53,000
Speaker 2: And one of the things I looked into recently was

281
00:12:53,120 --> 00:12:54,840
Speaker 2: the Patriots would have a huge lead at the half.

282
00:12:55,400 --> 00:12:57,240
Speaker 2: They're not even a good fade in the second half.

283
00:12:57,280 --> 00:12:59,400
Speaker 2: When you think they just sit on it, they are

284
00:12:59,640 --> 00:13:01,560
Speaker 2: really good against the spread in the second half team.

285
00:13:01,760 --> 00:13:04,240
Speaker 2: But Brady, He's twelve and three straight up as a

286
00:13:04,240 --> 00:13:07,000
Speaker 2: double digit favorite on the road. The only three losses

287
00:13:07,200 --> 00:13:09,440
Speaker 2: Brady has had as a double digit favorite in Miami.

288
00:13:09,640 --> 00:13:12,760
Speaker 2: So Miami has been his house of cars. If you

289
00:13:12,840 --> 00:13:14,640
Speaker 2: do have any balls, Chris, you know.

290
00:13:14,600 --> 00:13:16,160
Speaker 3: I'm gonna throw something on the money line. But I

291
00:13:16,760 --> 00:13:18,640
Speaker 3: hear you stuck. I just this is the way I'm

292
00:13:18,640 --> 00:13:20,559
Speaker 3: looking at it. You mentioned your one hundred and twenty

293
00:13:20,760 --> 00:13:23,720
Speaker 3: teams in all the numbers with Brady. But my whole

294
00:13:23,720 --> 00:13:26,439
Speaker 3: thing is, there's no spread that's supposed to be this high.

295
00:13:26,520 --> 00:13:28,120
Speaker 3: Like if you take the best team in the league

296
00:13:28,120 --> 00:13:30,920
Speaker 3: against the work like, the spread still shouldn't be nineteen

297
00:13:30,920 --> 00:13:33,400
Speaker 3: and a half. It's only happened eight times since three

298
00:13:33,600 --> 00:13:37,880
Speaker 3: where it's been higher than seventeen, and the underdog seven

299
00:13:37,960 --> 00:13:40,360
Speaker 3: to one against the spread in those eight games, betting

300
00:13:40,400 --> 00:13:42,080
Speaker 3: the number, not the team. That's how they tell me

301
00:13:42,080 --> 00:13:44,439
Speaker 3: to do it here at the Action Network. Oh, by

302
00:13:44,480 --> 00:13:46,559
Speaker 3: the way, even if I would still be up three

303
00:13:46,600 --> 00:13:48,040
Speaker 3: to two, so boom.

304
00:13:47,800 --> 00:13:49,640
Speaker 2: Well that's if I don't hit this, because the first

305
00:13:49,679 --> 00:13:51,760
Speaker 2: pick is worth two points, and you're going your two

306
00:13:51,760 --> 00:13:54,839
Speaker 2: pointers with the Dolphins. My first pick is, Look, I'm

307
00:13:54,880 --> 00:13:58,680
Speaker 2: going back to the well with my team, the only

308
00:13:58,720 --> 00:14:01,280
Speaker 2: team either future on a team I think the market

309
00:14:01,600 --> 00:14:03,360
Speaker 2: has not caught up too yet. They caught up a

310
00:14:03,400 --> 00:14:06,319
Speaker 2: little bit. The Green Bay Packers only laying three at

311
00:14:06,320 --> 00:14:08,920
Speaker 2: home to the Minnesota Vikings. If I hear one more

312
00:14:08,960 --> 00:14:12,600
Speaker 2: person on Twitter, one more Vikings fan from school Nations

313
00:14:12,640 --> 00:14:15,439
Speaker 2: say the Packers haven't beat the Vikings in nine hundred

314
00:14:15,440 --> 00:14:18,280
Speaker 2: and ninety five days, which will be the case by

315
00:14:18,320 --> 00:14:20,400
Speaker 2: the time this kicks off, I'm not liing on the

316
00:14:20,400 --> 00:14:23,200
Speaker 2: Twitter again. Yes, that's a true fact. The Packers have

317
00:14:23,280 --> 00:14:26,760
Speaker 2: lost four straight to the Vikings. Aaron Rodgers didn't play

318
00:14:26,760 --> 00:14:29,280
Speaker 2: one of them. Aaron Rodgers got hurt in the first

319
00:14:29,320 --> 00:14:32,360
Speaker 2: series in another one of them. The third game the

320
00:14:32,400 --> 00:14:36,480
Speaker 2: Packers won at home, and then the refs called a

321
00:14:36,640 --> 00:14:40,400
Speaker 2: personal foul for you know, one of the defenders laying

322
00:14:40,440 --> 00:14:42,680
Speaker 2: down wrong on the quarterback. You know that terrible rule

323
00:14:42,720 --> 00:14:44,400
Speaker 2: which I hope never gets caught again. And then the

324
00:14:44,480 --> 00:14:47,320
Speaker 2: last game they won late last year in Minnesota. Fair

325
00:14:47,440 --> 00:14:50,280
Speaker 2: So I don't care about this recent history. The Packers

326
00:14:50,320 --> 00:14:53,000
Speaker 2: team this year has a defense, and I brought this

327
00:14:53,120 --> 00:14:55,160
Speaker 2: up on the podcast last time. You know, I said

328
00:14:55,160 --> 00:14:58,360
Speaker 2: that their corners are more seasoned, you know. The granted

329
00:14:58,360 --> 00:14:59,240
Speaker 2: they were playing Mitch.

330
00:14:59,080 --> 00:15:01,840
Speaker 4: Bortles just been bortled.

331
00:15:01,600 --> 00:15:04,800
Speaker 2: But theirs look better and they have safeties now, and

332
00:15:04,840 --> 00:15:07,760
Speaker 2: their safety Amos made the game saving pick. Darnold Savage

333
00:15:07,760 --> 00:15:10,160
Speaker 2: looked like he fit perfectly in that robber position. And

334
00:15:10,200 --> 00:15:12,880
Speaker 2: then the two Smiths Sa Darius and Press's Smith. It's

335
00:15:13,000 --> 00:15:15,640
Speaker 2: sixteen total pressures in two and a half sacks in

336
00:15:15,680 --> 00:15:18,480
Speaker 2: that first week. Packers have extra time to prep here.

337
00:15:18,760 --> 00:15:21,520
Speaker 2: They played on Thursday night, Minnesota played on Sunday. The

338
00:15:21,640 --> 00:15:25,240
Speaker 2: Vikings offensive line is an absolute disaster. Still, it's just

339
00:15:25,720 --> 00:15:27,400
Speaker 2: a mess, you know, and they're going to run the

340
00:15:27,400 --> 00:15:32,120
Speaker 2: ball a ton. I also like the under teaser foreshadowing

341
00:15:32,200 --> 00:15:34,760
Speaker 2: what my under might be. But I just think this

342
00:15:34,960 --> 00:15:38,120
Speaker 2: Packers defense is legit and that extra time off. A

343
00:15:38,120 --> 00:15:39,760
Speaker 2: lot of times people can just say it as a

344
00:15:39,840 --> 00:15:42,360
Speaker 2: narrative blah blah blah, or a reason to back a team,

345
00:15:42,560 --> 00:15:44,880
Speaker 2: but I think it can really help the Packers here. Look,

346
00:15:44,960 --> 00:15:48,320
Speaker 2: their offense look trrendous, their new offense, but they're playing

347
00:15:48,560 --> 00:15:50,320
Speaker 2: on the road against one of the best defenses in

348
00:15:50,360 --> 00:15:53,320
Speaker 2: the NFL, the Vikings great defense. I think a step

349
00:15:53,360 --> 00:15:55,560
Speaker 2: below the Bears, but that time off, it's going to

350
00:15:55,640 --> 00:15:58,600
Speaker 2: help Rogers at home field goal. I haven't power rated better,

351
00:15:58,640 --> 00:16:01,160
Speaker 2: so I think this line should be over a field goal.

352
00:16:01,200 --> 00:16:04,520
Speaker 2: And don't forget about the Vikings injuries in the secondary

353
00:16:04,760 --> 00:16:08,360
Speaker 2: and Xavier Rhods's decline. Look, the Falcons couldn't take advantage

354
00:16:08,360 --> 00:16:10,520
Speaker 2: of it because because I've bet on out of that

355
00:16:10,800 --> 00:16:13,040
Speaker 2: and their offensive line was a disaster and it's all

356
00:16:13,080 --> 00:16:16,200
Speaker 2: bagged up. But the Packers actually have a legit offensive

357
00:16:16,200 --> 00:16:19,800
Speaker 2: line that can deal with you know, their complex blitzes

358
00:16:20,000 --> 00:16:22,480
Speaker 2: with Hunter, can deal with Griffin. So I think the Packers'

359
00:16:22,520 --> 00:16:24,560
Speaker 2: offenseill obviously looked better after that first game under the

360
00:16:24,560 --> 00:16:27,440
Speaker 2: belt with extra rest, and the Packers' defense is legit people,

361
00:16:27,680 --> 00:16:30,760
Speaker 2: It's gonna keep improving, and I think that the markets

362
00:16:30,800 --> 00:16:32,840
Speaker 2: are going to realize that, and they're undervaluing how good

363
00:16:32,840 --> 00:16:34,840
Speaker 2: of a defense and how much of an improvement it

364
00:16:34,920 --> 00:16:36,760
Speaker 2: was from last year. So I like to pack as

365
00:16:36,800 --> 00:16:38,640
Speaker 2: my best pick. Length three at home.

366
00:16:38,640 --> 00:16:40,720
Speaker 3: A lot more conservative, but you are on the sharp

367
00:16:40,800 --> 00:16:43,760
Speaker 3: side looking at the percentages on the Action Network app

368
00:16:43,920 --> 00:16:44,400
Speaker 3: plus three.

369
00:16:44,440 --> 00:16:45,960
Speaker 2: I believe this. I thought I was gonna be with

370
00:16:46,000 --> 00:16:47,240
Speaker 2: everyone else comming with the fier.

371
00:16:47,440 --> 00:16:50,840
Speaker 3: They're getting sixty three percent of the tickets but only

372
00:16:50,880 --> 00:16:54,520
Speaker 3: forty two percent of the money. So squares on one side,

373
00:16:54,720 --> 00:16:57,320
Speaker 3: more tickets, sharps on the other, more money. That's the

374
00:16:57,400 --> 00:16:59,680
Speaker 3: right play. I think the line should be at three

375
00:16:59,720 --> 00:17:02,400
Speaker 3: and a half. Half wouldn't be surprised if this game

376
00:17:02,440 --> 00:17:04,880
Speaker 3: went under though. I think it opened at forty six.

377
00:17:04,920 --> 00:17:06,360
Speaker 3: Now it's down to forty four. I think the better

378
00:17:06,440 --> 00:17:08,800
Speaker 3: value was taken under forty six because like that, forty

379
00:17:08,840 --> 00:17:11,600
Speaker 3: five is a is a key number. Pack improved on

380
00:17:11,720 --> 00:17:14,800
Speaker 3: defense now with the extra rest in a good spot.

381
00:17:14,800 --> 00:17:16,720
Speaker 3: We haven't really seen the Vikes passing game yet because

382
00:17:16,720 --> 00:17:19,879
Speaker 3: they went through ten passes last week. Let's go to

383
00:17:20,400 --> 00:17:23,879
Speaker 3: my number two pick, and I'm going with the and

384
00:17:23,880 --> 00:17:26,199
Speaker 3: this one might surprise some people, but I'm going with

385
00:17:26,240 --> 00:17:29,359
Speaker 3: the Washington Redskins plus five point five at home against

386
00:17:29,359 --> 00:17:31,840
Speaker 3: the Dallas Cowboys. You know, the Washington Redskins were a

387
00:17:31,880 --> 00:17:34,400
Speaker 3: team that probably scared a lot of people that had

388
00:17:34,400 --> 00:17:37,840
Speaker 3: the Eagles and survivor because they jumped out to a

389
00:17:37,920 --> 00:17:40,440
Speaker 3: lead on Philadelphia, you know for a while.

390
00:17:40,440 --> 00:17:42,000
Speaker 4: Then they kind of choked it away.

391
00:17:42,359 --> 00:17:45,000
Speaker 3: But you know, I think that this game, you know back,

392
00:17:45,240 --> 00:17:47,639
Speaker 3: you know, back at home, I think the people are

393
00:17:47,720 --> 00:17:51,920
Speaker 3: kind of overreacting to the you know, the Redskins losing

394
00:17:52,080 --> 00:17:54,480
Speaker 3: and choking the game away, and then on the other side,

395
00:17:54,600 --> 00:17:58,160
Speaker 3: the Dallas Cowboys playing at home and kind of pulling

396
00:17:58,160 --> 00:18:00,000
Speaker 3: away from the New York Giants with a lot of

397
00:18:00,240 --> 00:18:01,119
Speaker 3: explosive plays.

398
00:18:01,160 --> 00:18:02,639
Speaker 4: Now, I think that.

399
00:18:02,840 --> 00:18:05,800
Speaker 3: Number one when you look at the Redskins, just by

400
00:18:05,840 --> 00:18:10,159
Speaker 3: pure dvoa, they actually were better than the Eagles. What

401
00:18:10,280 --> 00:18:13,000
Speaker 3: doing The Redskins were a lot of like penalties, a

402
00:18:13,040 --> 00:18:16,200
Speaker 3: lot of mistakes, things like like that, and then explosive

403
00:18:16,240 --> 00:18:19,800
Speaker 3: plays you had, you had, you know, Deshaun Jackson catching

404
00:18:20,359 --> 00:18:22,520
Speaker 3: a couple of bombs, and it just the game got

405
00:18:22,520 --> 00:18:25,080
Speaker 3: out of hand. I think back at home, you know,

406
00:18:25,280 --> 00:18:27,040
Speaker 3: with another week to prepare, I think they can kind

407
00:18:27,080 --> 00:18:28,840
Speaker 3: of and see how many exposed to play.

408
00:18:28,760 --> 00:18:29,320
Speaker 4: The Cowboys had.

409
00:18:29,359 --> 00:18:31,040
Speaker 3: On the other side, those are tough to repeat, Those

410
00:18:31,080 --> 00:18:34,080
Speaker 3: are tough to predict, so you kind of count on

411
00:18:34,119 --> 00:18:37,200
Speaker 3: them regressing in your projection model to an extent, and

412
00:18:38,080 --> 00:18:39,080
Speaker 3: you know when that happens.

413
00:18:39,119 --> 00:18:40,960
Speaker 4: I think this game is a lot more even.

414
00:18:41,200 --> 00:18:42,879
Speaker 3: I think it should be more around a three and

415
00:18:42,920 --> 00:18:45,640
Speaker 3: a half four point line with the Redskins at home.

416
00:18:45,880 --> 00:18:47,719
Speaker 3: I think, you know, they're getting the three points at

417
00:18:47,720 --> 00:18:49,840
Speaker 3: home field advantage. You know, I don't think it should

418
00:18:49,840 --> 00:18:52,440
Speaker 3: be any more than Hey, there are four points worse

419
00:18:53,000 --> 00:18:55,040
Speaker 3: than this tea than the Cowboys on a neutral field.

420
00:18:55,280 --> 00:18:57,800
Speaker 3: Their offense is as bad as we like to clown

421
00:18:57,840 --> 00:19:01,440
Speaker 3: them for. Jordan Riedos gets hurt and they have no receivers.

422
00:19:01,440 --> 00:19:04,080
Speaker 3: I mean, Terry McLaurin looked pretty good. The Redskins were

423
00:19:04,119 --> 00:19:06,680
Speaker 3: able to kind of move the football. Darius Geice gets

424
00:19:06,760 --> 00:19:10,159
Speaker 3: hurt again, and so you know, Adrian Peterson inactive, so

425
00:19:10,200 --> 00:19:12,840
Speaker 3: they don't really have a running game to lean on

426
00:19:12,960 --> 00:19:15,400
Speaker 3: in this game. I think in this game and I'll

427
00:19:15,400 --> 00:19:18,040
Speaker 3: talk about the the total for this game later, it's

428
00:19:18,080 --> 00:19:20,000
Speaker 3: at forty six and a half right now, but you

429
00:19:20,000 --> 00:19:21,840
Speaker 3: can probably guess which way I'm leaning. But I think

430
00:19:21,880 --> 00:19:24,440
Speaker 3: with Adrian Peterson active, I think they will be able

431
00:19:24,480 --> 00:19:26,560
Speaker 3: to kind of have a bit more of a sustaining

432
00:19:26,640 --> 00:19:27,160
Speaker 3: run game.

433
00:19:27,320 --> 00:19:29,480
Speaker 4: You know, the Cowboys they will kind of.

434
00:19:29,480 --> 00:19:33,200
Speaker 3: Play you know, some zone and let the Redskins kind

435
00:19:33,240 --> 00:19:35,080
Speaker 3: of pick up you know, small yardage.

436
00:19:35,160 --> 00:19:37,440
Speaker 4: And I just don't think this game gets out of hand.

437
00:19:37,560 --> 00:19:39,879
Speaker 3: The way games with these two teams got out of

438
00:19:39,920 --> 00:19:42,640
Speaker 3: hand in Week one, Cowboys were at home playing essentially

439
00:19:42,920 --> 00:19:45,719
Speaker 3: the second worst defense it looks like right now, besides

440
00:19:45,760 --> 00:19:48,080
Speaker 3: the Dolphins, who of course I'm betting on as well,

441
00:19:48,119 --> 00:19:50,920
Speaker 3: and the Cowboys being a public team team that a

442
00:19:50,960 --> 00:19:52,480
Speaker 3: lot of people like to bet on they see a

443
00:19:52,520 --> 00:19:54,600
Speaker 3: weak team like the Redskins, who everyone expects to be

444
00:19:54,680 --> 00:19:55,600
Speaker 3: a bottom five team.

445
00:19:56,359 --> 00:19:57,800
Speaker 4: I think the line is just the widw inflated.

446
00:19:57,800 --> 00:20:00,960
Speaker 3: You know, it opened at at four and it's ballooned

447
00:20:01,040 --> 00:20:03,120
Speaker 3: up to five and a half, and I just think

448
00:20:03,119 --> 00:20:05,320
Speaker 3: that number is too big.

449
00:20:05,840 --> 00:20:06,679
Speaker 4: And if you look at.

450
00:20:06,600 --> 00:20:10,160
Speaker 3: Jay Gruden, another guy gets clowned all the time, most

451
00:20:10,200 --> 00:20:13,159
Speaker 3: of the time rightfully so. But in his career coaching

452
00:20:13,160 --> 00:20:16,560
Speaker 3: the Washington Redskins, Jay Gruden thirty one and twenty four

453
00:20:16,920 --> 00:20:19,960
Speaker 3: as an underdog nine and five, is an underdog since

454
00:20:20,000 --> 00:20:22,439
Speaker 3: the start of the twenty eighteen season. So this is

455
00:20:22,440 --> 00:20:24,040
Speaker 3: a team that we just kind of rag on and

456
00:20:24,080 --> 00:20:27,240
Speaker 3: pylon and what happens is the favorite gets you to

457
00:20:27,320 --> 00:20:30,879
Speaker 3: tad bit overinflated with these lines, I wouldn't even be

458
00:20:30,880 --> 00:20:33,280
Speaker 3: surprised if it moved to six that kickoff.

459
00:20:33,560 --> 00:20:36,120
Speaker 4: So you know, I like the Redskins in this spot.

460
00:20:36,160 --> 00:20:39,680
Speaker 3: Actually covered at home against the Cowboys last season as well.

461
00:20:40,080 --> 00:20:44,240
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, look, I will say that the Cowboys.

462
00:20:44,280 --> 00:20:46,199
Speaker 2: The one thing I'll say with the Cowboys is that

463
00:20:46,440 --> 00:20:48,240
Speaker 2: and I was oppressed by the Redskins offense and we

464
00:20:48,280 --> 00:20:50,720
Speaker 2: did kind of call the Shawn Jackson burning Josh Norman.

465
00:20:51,880 --> 00:20:54,200
Speaker 2: But there's some questions I now have about the Eagles

466
00:20:54,200 --> 00:20:57,080
Speaker 2: secondary without overreacting to one game about some of the

467
00:20:57,160 --> 00:20:59,080
Speaker 2: corners who might have looked good last year that I said,

468
00:20:59,080 --> 00:21:01,040
Speaker 2: where it's is coming from that defense?

469
00:21:01,080 --> 00:21:02,960
Speaker 3: I don't think you expect that kind of game. My

470
00:21:03,040 --> 00:21:05,320
Speaker 3: thing is penalties less likely to happen at home with

471
00:21:05,359 --> 00:21:06,480
Speaker 3: the home crowd. You know, they had a ton of

472
00:21:06,520 --> 00:21:09,000
Speaker 3: holding penalties, and then Adrian Peterson, I think being active,

473
00:21:09,240 --> 00:21:11,320
Speaker 3: you don't expect them to kind of lose their running

474
00:21:11,359 --> 00:21:13,239
Speaker 3: game like you know in the first half, because when

475
00:21:13,280 --> 00:21:16,080
Speaker 3: you see the opponent, you know, get out of explosive

476
00:21:16,080 --> 00:21:17,920
Speaker 3: plays the week before, what do you do, you say, Hey,

477
00:21:17,960 --> 00:21:19,160
Speaker 3: the first thing we got to do is stop these

478
00:21:19,160 --> 00:21:21,440
Speaker 3: explosive plays. Let's you know, it's keep a safety back,

479
00:21:21,480 --> 00:21:23,280
Speaker 3: Let's play some zonees and do things like that. So

480
00:21:23,280 --> 00:21:24,719
Speaker 3: I just think it's going to be a little different

481
00:21:24,760 --> 00:21:26,160
Speaker 3: game for both teams.

482
00:21:26,280 --> 00:21:27,919
Speaker 2: There's do you hear a lot of talk about this,

483
00:21:28,080 --> 00:21:30,480
Speaker 2: maybe about play action and some of the teams that

484
00:21:30,480 --> 00:21:32,720
Speaker 2: were using it, and you know, the Ravens use it

485
00:21:32,720 --> 00:21:34,800
Speaker 2: over fifty percent of the time. The Cowboys use it

486
00:21:34,840 --> 00:21:36,880
Speaker 2: almost fifty percent of the time as well, and then

487
00:21:36,880 --> 00:21:39,439
Speaker 2: the Chiefs and Titans all those all four teams won

488
00:21:39,640 --> 00:21:41,920
Speaker 2: you all four used it over forty percent of the time,

489
00:21:42,160 --> 00:21:45,240
Speaker 2: and the Cowboys, I think way more teams should do it.

490
00:21:45,320 --> 00:21:48,200
Speaker 2: The Cowboys with Keller Moore calm plays, they're a perfect

491
00:21:48,240 --> 00:21:50,160
Speaker 2: team to do it. I mean they have a quarterback

492
00:21:50,200 --> 00:21:53,880
Speaker 2: who could move an animal in the backfield, and then

493
00:21:53,960 --> 00:21:57,120
Speaker 2: three you know, solid receiving options, guys who are pros

494
00:21:57,400 --> 00:21:59,320
Speaker 2: that will go out and catch the ball. With a

495
00:21:59,320 --> 00:22:02,040
Speaker 2: great offensive line. I mean, if they keep this up,

496
00:22:02,040 --> 00:22:04,840
Speaker 2: that offense is gonna be really, really scary this year

497
00:22:04,960 --> 00:22:06,919
Speaker 2: in Dallas. But can't argue with your logic. I'll go

498
00:22:07,000 --> 00:22:09,720
Speaker 2: with my second pick here. I'm gonna go with the

499
00:22:09,720 --> 00:22:12,800
Speaker 2: team I backed last week, and I'm going back to

500
00:22:12,840 --> 00:22:16,400
Speaker 2: the well with the Cincinnati Bengals. And I'm a Zach

501
00:22:16,600 --> 00:22:20,640
Speaker 2: Taylor believer. You know, he showed me why I believed

502
00:22:20,680 --> 00:22:23,199
Speaker 2: in him last week with a great game plan and

503
00:22:23,240 --> 00:22:25,600
Speaker 2: a game the Bengals should have won going away, but

504
00:22:25,720 --> 00:22:28,040
Speaker 2: Andy Dalton had a career high in passing yards at

505
00:22:28,040 --> 00:22:31,480
Speaker 2: his first start with this new scheme. John Ross actually

506
00:22:31,480 --> 00:22:33,280
Speaker 2: looked like the John Ross we all thought.

507
00:22:33,480 --> 00:22:35,320
Speaker 3: Wish I owned him in fantasy Like he was not

508
00:22:35,359 --> 00:22:38,960
Speaker 3: even on my radar. That is my fault, because I man,

509
00:22:39,000 --> 00:22:40,600
Speaker 3: I wish I would have been on that guy.

510
00:22:40,840 --> 00:22:45,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, he went absolutely bonkers and you can count on this.

511
00:22:45,560 --> 00:22:48,040
Speaker 2: He's gonna burn Richard Sherman and look, San Franz, there're

512
00:22:48,080 --> 00:22:50,320
Speaker 2: one if Weatherspoon can play. He did last week and

513
00:22:50,320 --> 00:22:52,600
Speaker 2: he had one of the best games at corner, excluding

514
00:22:52,600 --> 00:22:54,280
Speaker 2: the pick six because that was just a gift, but

515
00:22:54,320 --> 00:22:56,360
Speaker 2: he played really well and that was a huge week

516
00:22:56,400 --> 00:22:58,800
Speaker 2: point besides the safeties on San Frandle show, and that's

517
00:22:58,800 --> 00:23:00,520
Speaker 2: why no one threw at Sherman because they just really

518
00:23:00,520 --> 00:23:03,000
Speaker 2: didn't have any other corner. But here's what I do

519
00:23:03,119 --> 00:23:05,440
Speaker 2: like about the Bengals. The Bengals defensive line. There's a

520
00:23:05,480 --> 00:23:07,560
Speaker 2: lot of questions with the sand fran offensive line. They're

521
00:23:07,640 --> 00:23:10,800
Speaker 2: running game. They're running back depth now with injuries.

522
00:23:10,480 --> 00:23:12,000
Speaker 4: No actually now, no.

523
00:23:12,080 --> 00:23:14,399
Speaker 3: Matt Brida is one of the most underrated backs and

524
00:23:14,400 --> 00:23:17,600
Speaker 3: they got like I think that, yeah, no, I mean

525
00:23:17,600 --> 00:23:20,040
Speaker 3: that's fine, and I yeah, he's liable to go down

526
00:23:20,080 --> 00:23:22,439
Speaker 3: in like the second quarter, as we've seen him do.

527
00:23:22,560 --> 00:23:24,720
Speaker 3: But like, I won't sit here and say, oh, their

528
00:23:24,800 --> 00:23:27,040
Speaker 3: running game is any worse off if you're giving let's

529
00:23:27,040 --> 00:23:30,400
Speaker 3: say Matt Brita seventeen carries versus him, you know, Coman

530
00:23:30,520 --> 00:23:32,520
Speaker 3: nine and Brita seven or something, you know what I mean, Like,

531
00:23:32,640 --> 00:23:34,680
Speaker 3: Brita is just as good, if not better.

532
00:23:34,920 --> 00:23:36,960
Speaker 2: I know you're a Brita fan, but look, they've taken

533
00:23:37,000 --> 00:23:38,439
Speaker 2: a lot of injuries, and yeah, Britty can go on

534
00:23:38,520 --> 00:23:41,359
Speaker 2: at any time. But the Bengals defensive line dominated. I

535
00:23:41,359 --> 00:23:43,560
Speaker 2: came against Seattle, which all they do is run it.

536
00:23:43,640 --> 00:23:45,159
Speaker 2: They were one of the best rushing offenses in the

537
00:23:45,280 --> 00:23:48,640
Speaker 2: NFL last year. But even more importantly, what I really

538
00:23:48,720 --> 00:23:51,399
Speaker 2: want to point out here is that the sand frand

539
00:23:51,440 --> 00:23:53,399
Speaker 2: they're on the second road game in a row in

540
00:23:53,480 --> 00:23:55,359
Speaker 2: Week one, and you know, I think like fifteen to

541
00:23:55,359 --> 00:23:57,320
Speaker 2: the least sixteen teams in Week two that have played

542
00:23:57,320 --> 00:23:59,879
Speaker 2: back to back road games have lost. Whatever. If you

543
00:24:00,000 --> 00:24:01,560
Speaker 2: increase to SANMPA size, it might not be as great.

544
00:24:01,720 --> 00:24:06,560
Speaker 2: But they're playing Cincinnati here is playing the exact same

545
00:24:07,240 --> 00:24:10,800
Speaker 2: defense as they played last week. This is the Pete

546
00:24:10,840 --> 00:24:14,520
Speaker 2: Carroll you know, cover three. You have Joe Mixon, who's

547
00:24:14,520 --> 00:24:16,959
Speaker 2: heard for the Bengals. You know, their running game is

548
00:24:17,119 --> 00:24:19,640
Speaker 2: very questionable, especially with their offensive line. So I think

549
00:24:19,640 --> 00:24:22,400
Speaker 2: they're gonna come out throwing a ton again. And one

550
00:24:22,400 --> 00:24:24,679
Speaker 2: of the comments that Taylor had in his presser was,

551
00:24:24,720 --> 00:24:26,639
Speaker 2: look and he knows he was with the Rams. He

552
00:24:26,760 --> 00:24:31,399
Speaker 2: knows these these Carol Seattle and all his coaching Tree defenses.

553
00:24:32,000 --> 00:24:33,800
Speaker 2: He knows that scheme, he knows how to attack it.

554
00:24:33,920 --> 00:24:35,920
Speaker 2: And Dalton looked really comfortable and they had just a

555
00:24:35,960 --> 00:24:38,520
Speaker 2: lot of wrinkles that the Seahawks weren't ready for. The

556
00:24:38,520 --> 00:24:41,719
Speaker 2: Seahawks have some questions in their secondary, especially at they're lead,

557
00:24:41,880 --> 00:24:45,360
Speaker 2: losing Earl Thomas to San Fran. But this San Fran

558
00:24:45,480 --> 00:24:48,359
Speaker 2: defense is exactly the same, and you know it's the

559
00:24:48,359 --> 00:24:51,560
Speaker 2: Pete Carroll coaching tree. I think the Bengals get this done.

560
00:24:51,720 --> 00:24:54,000
Speaker 2: I make them a field goal favorite. I know it's

561
00:24:54,040 --> 00:24:56,360
Speaker 2: getting close to there, but I love what I saw

562
00:24:56,400 --> 00:24:58,280
Speaker 2: from Cincy. I think they take a ton from that,

563
00:24:58,520 --> 00:25:01,320
Speaker 2: a team that was so down. Coaching changes obviously have

564
00:25:01,359 --> 00:25:04,240
Speaker 2: made a huge difference. I think their defensive line can dominate.

565
00:25:04,359 --> 00:25:06,679
Speaker 2: They can make Jimmy G throw it, and Jimmy G

566
00:25:07,200 --> 00:25:10,200
Speaker 2: is than that of offense or just not in rhythm.

567
00:25:10,240 --> 00:25:11,760
Speaker 2: Yet I think since he wins.

568
00:25:12,000 --> 00:25:12,440
Speaker 4: I stuck.

569
00:25:12,480 --> 00:25:14,920
Speaker 3: You're disappointed me here though, because you started the show,

570
00:25:14,960 --> 00:25:17,040
Speaker 3: you went into your whole rant about the you can't

571
00:25:17,040 --> 00:25:19,000
Speaker 3: overreact to week one, and here you go.

572
00:25:19,040 --> 00:25:21,120
Speaker 4: It's taking you know, two teams that they look good

573
00:25:21,160 --> 00:25:23,359
Speaker 4: in week one, and I know we both kind of

574
00:25:23,560 --> 00:25:24,160
Speaker 4: model this shit.

575
00:25:24,200 --> 00:25:28,400
Speaker 3: We have our spreadsheets and whatnot, passing efficiency decide games right,

576
00:25:28,480 --> 00:25:31,200
Speaker 3: and the bottom line is, I don't care how Jimmy

577
00:25:31,240 --> 00:25:33,399
Speaker 3: G woked last week. I don't care how many yards

578
00:25:33,440 --> 00:25:36,320
Speaker 3: Andy Dalton threw four against that Seattle defense. Jimmy G

579
00:25:36,400 --> 00:25:38,760
Speaker 3: is a much better quarterback than Andy Dalton. First career,

580
00:25:38,760 --> 00:25:41,200
Speaker 3: he's averaging eight and a half yards in attempt. Andy

581
00:25:41,280 --> 00:25:45,240
Speaker 3: Dalton is a yardless I don't think that one game,

582
00:25:45,359 --> 00:25:48,840
Speaker 3: especially without his top receiver AJ Green, and when obviously

583
00:25:48,920 --> 00:25:52,960
Speaker 3: John Ross's outlier performance there is necessarily more predictive than

584
00:25:53,280 --> 00:25:54,960
Speaker 3: what we have to go off of with Jimmy G

585
00:25:55,320 --> 00:25:56,720
Speaker 3: being what we have to go off for with Dalton

586
00:25:56,720 --> 00:25:59,920
Speaker 3: inta taudy. I do think that the San Francisco d

587
00:26:00,040 --> 00:26:01,040
Speaker 3: fence is a little bit better.

588
00:26:01,119 --> 00:26:03,840
Speaker 4: I think we two at home. I think everyone's on them.

589
00:26:04,119 --> 00:26:05,280
Speaker 4: I think they come back down to earth.

590
00:26:05,320 --> 00:26:07,440
Speaker 3: I'm hoping that you get this one wrong so that

591
00:26:07,520 --> 00:26:10,320
Speaker 3: I can I can extend my lead or or get

592
00:26:10,359 --> 00:26:13,159
Speaker 3: back in if the if the Dolphins don't, you know,

593
00:26:13,400 --> 00:26:14,320
Speaker 3: take care of business.

594
00:26:14,400 --> 00:26:15,480
Speaker 4: So we'll see how that happens.

595
00:26:15,520 --> 00:26:17,320
Speaker 2: We're one Jersey for the rest of your life. Would

596
00:26:17,320 --> 00:26:18,879
Speaker 2: it be Jimmy g or Kyler Murray?

597
00:26:19,359 --> 00:26:20,000
Speaker 4: Kyler Murray?

598
00:26:20,400 --> 00:26:23,520
Speaker 3: I mean coming back for the tie, giving me an

599
00:26:23,520 --> 00:26:26,400
Speaker 3: extra cover on my two point pick.

600
00:26:26,560 --> 00:26:28,520
Speaker 4: That was essentially the difference between us and.

601
00:26:29,720 --> 00:26:31,960
Speaker 2: Daryl Bevell calling a time out on a first down

602
00:26:31,960 --> 00:26:34,040
Speaker 2: for the line. We know, we know he's a Super

603
00:26:34,080 --> 00:26:34,560
Speaker 2: Bowl call.

604
00:26:34,800 --> 00:26:36,920
Speaker 3: Joe Buck knows Darryl Bevell was just the greatest play

605
00:26:36,920 --> 00:26:38,320
Speaker 3: call of all time, Right, Joe.

606
00:26:38,400 --> 00:26:40,760
Speaker 2: That is a disgusting act.

607
00:26:41,880 --> 00:26:44,520
Speaker 3: But yeah, I mean, what's crazy is the most disappointing

608
00:26:44,520 --> 00:26:46,040
Speaker 3: thing about that whole game for me was that I

609
00:26:46,040 --> 00:26:47,560
Speaker 3: didn't get to watch it live. I was at a

610
00:26:47,600 --> 00:26:49,960
Speaker 3: wedding at the dinner at that point, so all I

611
00:26:50,000 --> 00:26:52,199
Speaker 3: see is like my Cardinals bet, you know, dead in

612
00:26:52,240 --> 00:26:53,959
Speaker 3: the water. I missed it all on the live, had

613
00:26:53,960 --> 00:26:55,399
Speaker 3: to go back and watch it. But let's get to

614
00:26:55,400 --> 00:26:56,840
Speaker 3: the third pick. This is a team that did not

615
00:26:57,000 --> 00:26:59,960
Speaker 3: salvage anything for me going back to the well though

616
00:27:00,280 --> 00:27:04,320
Speaker 3: Atlanta plus two at home against the Philadelphia Eagles.

617
00:27:04,640 --> 00:27:06,040
Speaker 4: Listen, you kind of hit on it stuck.

618
00:27:06,200 --> 00:27:08,439
Speaker 3: I think the Eagles have question marks on the back end,

619
00:27:08,480 --> 00:27:09,520
Speaker 3: as they tend to do.

620
00:27:10,560 --> 00:27:13,840
Speaker 4: I think that the fact that the Redskins had a.

621
00:27:13,760 --> 00:27:16,200
Speaker 3: Better DVOA than them in a game that the Eagles won,

622
00:27:16,200 --> 00:27:18,639
Speaker 3: in the game that the Eagles maybe maybe.

623
00:27:18,440 --> 00:27:20,960
Speaker 4: Should have could have lost, should have lost.

624
00:27:21,440 --> 00:27:23,639
Speaker 3: And kind of bailed themselves out with some explosive plays

625
00:27:23,680 --> 00:27:26,920
Speaker 3: which are you know, again harder to repeat at home now,

626
00:27:27,040 --> 00:27:29,480
Speaker 3: you know for the Falcons coming off a tough road

627
00:27:29,520 --> 00:27:31,800
Speaker 3: loss against it, And I should have I should have

628
00:27:31,840 --> 00:27:35,520
Speaker 3: been more conservative, I think with betting against Mike Zimmer

629
00:27:35,560 --> 00:27:38,240
Speaker 3: when he's at home, really strong against the spread record

630
00:27:38,280 --> 00:27:42,080
Speaker 3: for him with the Minnesota Vikings, that defense playing out standing.

631
00:27:42,600 --> 00:27:43,760
Speaker 4: So so that was my bad.

632
00:27:43,840 --> 00:27:46,960
Speaker 3: But listen, I think this is your what you said

633
00:27:46,960 --> 00:27:48,840
Speaker 3: at the top, this is an overreaction. I think this

634
00:27:48,880 --> 00:27:50,879
Speaker 3: line is another one of those lines where it should

635
00:27:50,880 --> 00:27:52,840
Speaker 3: be a pick them. I think it's fair to say

636
00:27:52,880 --> 00:27:56,199
Speaker 3: the Eagles are a better team than the Falcons. I

637
00:27:56,320 --> 00:28:00,640
Speaker 3: had the Eagles extremely high on our preseason and power ratings.

638
00:28:00,680 --> 00:28:02,120
Speaker 3: I think I think they are up at number six

639
00:28:02,160 --> 00:28:04,760
Speaker 3: for me. So I do like the Philadelphia Eagles with

640
00:28:04,760 --> 00:28:07,439
Speaker 3: with the healthy Carson Wentz. I love the Deshaun addition,

641
00:28:07,480 --> 00:28:09,840
Speaker 3: which paid off right away. I think that adds bottom

642
00:28:09,880 --> 00:28:13,800
Speaker 3: line yards per attempt to your passing efficiency Deshaun Jackson.

643
00:28:13,840 --> 00:28:16,800
Speaker 3: That being said, this Eagle team, you know, going into

644
00:28:17,400 --> 00:28:19,159
Speaker 3: Atlanta where Atlanta plays.

645
00:28:19,160 --> 00:28:21,800
Speaker 4: Matt Ryan plays a lot better in the Dome.

646
00:28:21,840 --> 00:28:25,359
Speaker 3: His yards per attempt jumps about a yard up, you

647
00:28:25,359 --> 00:28:28,199
Speaker 3: know from when he's on the road. Uh. It's just

648
00:28:28,240 --> 00:28:31,359
Speaker 3: a tough matchup and it's not one where I would back,

649
00:28:31,760 --> 00:28:33,920
Speaker 3: you know, any you know, a team like the Eagles

650
00:28:34,320 --> 00:28:35,399
Speaker 3: as a two point favorite.

651
00:28:35,400 --> 00:28:36,600
Speaker 4: I love the Falcons in this, but I.

652
00:28:36,640 --> 00:28:39,800
Speaker 3: Think I don't think they are three points worse than

653
00:28:40,080 --> 00:28:42,400
Speaker 3: the Eagles on a neutral field. So I think this

654
00:28:42,560 --> 00:28:45,520
Speaker 3: line is just a little bit inflated based on the overreaction.

655
00:28:45,680 --> 00:28:47,520
Speaker 3: I still think everything that you know kind of talked

656
00:28:47,520 --> 00:28:49,960
Speaker 3: about with the Falcons last week holds true. I think

657
00:28:50,000 --> 00:28:52,760
Speaker 3: there I think their defense will be better you know,

658
00:28:52,880 --> 00:28:55,640
Speaker 3: with with some guys healthier, I think that the offense

659
00:28:55,680 --> 00:28:59,080
Speaker 3: will ultimately be more efficient. Didn't get to see it

660
00:28:59,080 --> 00:29:02,760
Speaker 3: against Minnesota, and just again a team that came to

661
00:29:02,760 --> 00:29:05,240
Speaker 3: play at home tough defense. I think Philadelphia is a

662
00:29:05,240 --> 00:29:07,680
Speaker 3: totally different kind of team. The fact that they could

663
00:29:07,920 --> 00:29:13,360
Speaker 3: kind of get torched, you know, early on by the Redskins.

664
00:29:12,000 --> 00:29:12,520
Speaker 4: In that game.

665
00:29:12,600 --> 00:29:15,480
Speaker 3: It's not like you're taking like massive, something massive away

666
00:29:15,520 --> 00:29:17,440
Speaker 3: from that, but it shows that they're vulnerable.

667
00:29:17,560 --> 00:29:18,560
Speaker 4: It opened at a pick.

668
00:29:18,840 --> 00:29:21,080
Speaker 3: The fact that it's moved to minus two for the

669
00:29:21,120 --> 00:29:23,600
Speaker 3: Eagles is just all overreaction.

670
00:29:23,160 --> 00:29:26,680
Speaker 4: In Week one. So yeah, I'm going with the Atlanta Falcons.

671
00:29:26,680 --> 00:29:28,440
Speaker 3: Hopefully I'm not going to by the end of the

672
00:29:28,480 --> 00:29:30,680
Speaker 3: Week two with picks on back in the Falcons.

673
00:29:30,760 --> 00:29:33,120
Speaker 2: Yeah, I want to know who's gonna block for Atlanta

674
00:29:33,200 --> 00:29:35,640
Speaker 2: because I mean they lost chrys Linz from their starting

675
00:29:35,640 --> 00:29:39,400
Speaker 2: guard last week to injury. He's now in ir McGarry,

676
00:29:39,440 --> 00:29:41,640
Speaker 2: their right tackle. He can't really play the whole game

677
00:29:41,680 --> 00:29:45,960
Speaker 2: because of a hard condition. Matthews looked atrocious, their pro bowler.

678
00:29:45,960 --> 00:29:48,560
Speaker 2: He's supposed to be their rock and left tackle. So

679
00:29:49,120 --> 00:29:53,080
Speaker 2: ken they give Ryan time, you know against Graham and

680
00:29:53,200 --> 00:29:57,440
Speaker 2: Cox and Sweat and Barnett and you know whoever the

681
00:29:57,480 --> 00:30:00,840
Speaker 2: Eagles are bringing up the middle, Ken Ryan get enough

682
00:30:00,880 --> 00:30:04,960
Speaker 2: time to take advantage of I think plus matchups down

683
00:30:04,960 --> 00:30:07,520
Speaker 2: the field. So that's what I'll have my eye on.

684
00:30:08,040 --> 00:30:10,280
Speaker 3: Yeah, when we say, you know, don't overreact to week one,

685
00:30:10,480 --> 00:30:12,160
Speaker 3: this is kind of getting into the nitty gritty, but

686
00:30:12,320 --> 00:30:14,480
Speaker 3: it replies to any week. But one of those things

687
00:30:14,520 --> 00:30:16,240
Speaker 3: is like, the offensive lines are going to look totally

688
00:30:16,240 --> 00:30:18,520
Speaker 3: different in road games against tough defenses.

689
00:30:18,920 --> 00:30:20,840
Speaker 4: Then when they're back at home, the.

690
00:30:20,800 --> 00:30:22,560
Speaker 3: Crowd is kind of on their side, is not, you know,

691
00:30:22,600 --> 00:30:24,800
Speaker 3: they can kind of set their protections better, there's west

692
00:30:24,880 --> 00:30:27,200
Speaker 3: likelihood to be penalty. So in short, I do think

693
00:30:27,200 --> 00:30:29,040
Speaker 3: the offensive line will be better that That is kind

694
00:30:29,040 --> 00:30:32,000
Speaker 3: of a classic reason why you don't want to overreact

695
00:30:32,040 --> 00:30:32,400
Speaker 3: to week one.

696
00:30:32,440 --> 00:30:33,840
Speaker 4: But let's let's let's keep it moving.

697
00:30:33,920 --> 00:30:35,960
Speaker 3: We got a lot to get to, so stuck your

698
00:30:36,040 --> 00:30:37,640
Speaker 3: last pick of our Sunday six bat.

699
00:30:38,240 --> 00:30:40,680
Speaker 2: I'm also going back to a team that burned me

700
00:30:40,760 --> 00:30:44,880
Speaker 2: last week, and that's the Pittsburgh Steelers. Betting against Brady

701
00:30:44,880 --> 00:30:47,680
Speaker 2: and Belichick in Foxboro. Week one, you might go to,

702
00:30:47,720 --> 00:30:50,320
Speaker 2: I don't some of the coach decisions by Tomlin. You know,

703
00:30:50,320 --> 00:30:52,440
Speaker 2: they were playing some man early and then the Patriots

704
00:30:52,440 --> 00:30:55,360
Speaker 2: were just running their rubs and picks early and they

705
00:30:55,360 --> 00:30:57,400
Speaker 2: didn't adjust. You got to get pressure, you have to

706
00:30:57,440 --> 00:30:59,560
Speaker 2: play closer up on man. I mean a lot of

707
00:30:59,560 --> 00:31:01,719
Speaker 2: those picks and rubbs were illegal as fuck. But the

708
00:31:01,760 --> 00:31:04,480
Speaker 2: Patriots do it so well that it's so disguised that

709
00:31:04,520 --> 00:31:07,320
Speaker 2: you can't really tell. They probably are practicing it right

710
00:31:07,360 --> 00:31:11,000
Speaker 2: now because they're just so precise. Dante moncree throwing a

711
00:31:11,040 --> 00:31:12,640
Speaker 2: fade to him a third and goal at the one,

712
00:31:12,680 --> 00:31:14,240
Speaker 2: and then a field goal. I don't know what the

713
00:31:14,240 --> 00:31:17,000
Speaker 2: hell they were doing there. Montcreef's seven yards on ten targets.

714
00:31:17,000 --> 00:31:21,400
Speaker 3: Thanks for coming out, Moncreef, goodbyball and Fantasy. But Ben Roethlisberger,

715
00:31:21,640 --> 00:31:24,040
Speaker 3: it might be that time because.

716
00:31:23,880 --> 00:31:26,840
Speaker 2: Even than not ever reacting to one week, this is.

717
00:31:26,800 --> 00:31:29,160
Speaker 3: The last year thing, like the whole thing with Antonio Brown,

718
00:31:29,200 --> 00:31:30,880
Speaker 3: and it was like, oh, is he declining? Well, he

719
00:31:30,920 --> 00:31:33,160
Speaker 3: had the most uncatchable balls in the league last year,

720
00:31:33,320 --> 00:31:36,480
Speaker 3: highest percentage among any you know, number one receiver. Ben

721
00:31:36,560 --> 00:31:39,440
Speaker 3: Roethlisberger has not been as accurate. He has not been

722
00:31:39,440 --> 00:31:42,320
Speaker 3: making his good decisions for a while now. So the

723
00:31:42,400 --> 00:31:44,600
Speaker 3: fact that they come out last week and scored three

724
00:31:44,640 --> 00:31:46,800
Speaker 3: points against that Patriot defense. Like, yeah, I don't think

725
00:31:46,800 --> 00:31:49,080
Speaker 3: you want to react, but not at all surprising. I

726
00:31:49,080 --> 00:31:52,080
Speaker 3: mean Ben Roethlisberger, I don't think it's just the coaching.

727
00:31:52,280 --> 00:31:54,800
Speaker 3: I mean he's feuded with his past pocs. I think

728
00:31:54,840 --> 00:31:57,120
Speaker 3: it goes beyond that with Big Van at this point,

729
00:31:57,120 --> 00:31:59,040
Speaker 3: Like I am a little bit concerned with the I

730
00:31:59,080 --> 00:32:01,320
Speaker 3: don't think the armstreng necessarily decline or anything like that. I

731
00:32:01,400 --> 00:32:03,280
Speaker 3: just think the decision making hasn't been there. I mean,

732
00:32:03,320 --> 00:32:05,840
Speaker 3: this guy, what you did. We get interceptions as well.

733
00:32:05,920 --> 00:32:08,840
Speaker 2: Last year, there's some cause for concern in Pittsburgh, you know,

734
00:32:08,880 --> 00:32:10,719
Speaker 2: there was some rust I think, and then playing one

735
00:32:10,760 --> 00:32:13,080
Speaker 2: of the best secondaries in the all of NFL and

736
00:32:13,920 --> 00:32:17,480
Speaker 2: was locked up Shuster with Gilmour, who might be the

737
00:32:17,480 --> 00:32:20,200
Speaker 2: best cover corner in the NFL, and he put Schuster

738
00:32:20,280 --> 00:32:21,840
Speaker 2: in jail until late in the game when they just

739
00:32:21,920 --> 00:32:24,800
Speaker 2: let him go and let him out early on parole

740
00:32:24,880 --> 00:32:27,960
Speaker 2: for the fourth quarter of meetingless yards. But this week

741
00:32:28,160 --> 00:32:30,000
Speaker 2: he's not going to be locked up and they're going

742
00:32:30,080 --> 00:32:31,520
Speaker 2: to put him in the slot. And the way that

743
00:32:31,520 --> 00:32:35,280
Speaker 2: the Seahawks played defense, he might go against Amadi, the

744
00:32:35,360 --> 00:32:38,960
Speaker 2: rookie who looked horrendous last week, and then it really

745
00:32:38,960 --> 00:32:40,719
Speaker 2: prevented the Seahawks from doing a lot of their more

746
00:32:40,760 --> 00:32:44,760
Speaker 2: complex defenses. He actually got hurt. So I mean Shuster

747
00:32:44,920 --> 00:32:47,920
Speaker 2: should have a field day this week, and you know,

748
00:32:48,000 --> 00:32:51,080
Speaker 2: look back, yeah he's yeah, Shusters banged up. But they

749
00:32:51,080 --> 00:32:53,840
Speaker 2: say he's going to go right, I should lose his bet, so.

750
00:32:53,920 --> 00:32:55,880
Speaker 3: You know, like you should just say this, this is

751
00:32:55,920 --> 00:32:57,240
Speaker 3: the bet is more predicated.

752
00:32:58,000 --> 00:32:59,640
Speaker 2: I'm not afraid to buy the Steelers in a good

753
00:32:59,640 --> 00:33:02,480
Speaker 2: spot at home where they historically are great against the

754
00:33:02,520 --> 00:33:05,400
Speaker 2: spread under Tomlin, especially after a loss. You know, I

755
00:33:05,400 --> 00:33:07,560
Speaker 2: think the he's like sixty five percent against the spread

756
00:33:07,560 --> 00:33:10,280
Speaker 2: after a double digit loss. But it's more about the

757
00:33:10,320 --> 00:33:14,840
Speaker 2: Seattle defense. I rewatched the Seattle Cincinnati game and Cincinnati

758
00:33:14,840 --> 00:33:17,000
Speaker 2: could have had more yards. They could have had you know,

759
00:33:17,120 --> 00:33:20,320
Speaker 2: Ross could have had more yards. And it's their secondary.

760
00:33:20,400 --> 00:33:23,600
Speaker 2: He had some drops they miss Earl Thomas And I

761
00:33:23,800 --> 00:33:27,920
Speaker 2: mentioned it before the way the San Franz scheme Seattle team,

762
00:33:27,920 --> 00:33:30,120
Speaker 2: it's the Pete Carroll scheme. They're going to play a

763
00:33:30,120 --> 00:33:31,520
Speaker 2: lot of Cover three in the middle of the field,

764
00:33:31,520 --> 00:33:33,520
Speaker 2: closed safety, come down. They're going to try and stop

765
00:33:33,560 --> 00:33:37,000
Speaker 2: the run. But because if you do that, you're going

766
00:33:37,080 --> 00:33:41,120
Speaker 2: to have your free safety who needs to cover the

767
00:33:41,160 --> 00:33:43,000
Speaker 2: middle third of the field and he has a lot

768
00:33:43,000 --> 00:33:46,240
Speaker 2: of responsibility and they just don't have that right now.

769
00:33:46,520 --> 00:33:48,480
Speaker 2: And you could tell in that game there was also

770
00:33:48,520 --> 00:33:52,240
Speaker 2: a lot of miscommunication. There was some you know, missed

771
00:33:52,320 --> 00:33:55,600
Speaker 2: reads on who has who's covering who. I think the

772
00:33:55,640 --> 00:33:57,400
Speaker 2: Steers are really going to take advantage. You're gonna see

773
00:33:57,440 --> 00:33:59,360
Speaker 2: their offense is it's gonna look night and day. And

774
00:33:59,400 --> 00:34:03,520
Speaker 2: I don't as necessarily think it's Hey, the Steelers' offense

775
00:34:03,640 --> 00:34:08,320
Speaker 2: is back. It's look, I don't know who's covering Shuster

776
00:34:08,400 --> 00:34:11,720
Speaker 2: in the slot and Tedrick Thompson is not the answer

777
00:34:11,719 --> 00:34:15,080
Speaker 2: a free safety. They miss, they miss I can't even

778
00:34:15,120 --> 00:34:16,759
Speaker 2: explain to you from watching that game how much they

779
00:34:16,760 --> 00:34:20,640
Speaker 2: missed Earl Thomas in the middle. Patriots really solid defensive line.

780
00:34:20,760 --> 00:34:24,200
Speaker 2: They can defend this run. It's not a complex defense

781
00:34:24,239 --> 00:34:28,879
Speaker 2: to prepare for. Their offensive line will give Broethlisberger time

782
00:34:29,680 --> 00:34:32,520
Speaker 2: and I think he can pick apart this Seattle secondary

783
00:34:32,719 --> 00:34:35,480
Speaker 2: just like Dalton did. I think it's spoke a lot

784
00:34:35,680 --> 00:34:39,120
Speaker 2: to Taylor's game planning and how more you know that

785
00:34:39,239 --> 00:34:42,360
Speaker 2: more modern offense you're going to see in Cincinnati. But

786
00:34:42,440 --> 00:34:44,200
Speaker 2: a lot of it also is the weaknesses on the

787
00:34:44,239 --> 00:34:48,440
Speaker 2: back end of that Seattle really raw secondary that misses

788
00:34:48,760 --> 00:34:52,000
Speaker 2: Earl Thomas. I think Steelers by seven plus.

789
00:34:52,239 --> 00:34:54,720
Speaker 3: I hesitate, you know, I think the issue for Seattle

790
00:34:54,760 --> 00:34:57,080
Speaker 3: in his game and probably why I lean you know

791
00:34:57,160 --> 00:35:00,239
Speaker 3: the under it is because Pittsburgh's run de it is

792
00:35:00,239 --> 00:35:02,640
Speaker 3: really strong. They held Sony Michelle to fourteen yards on

793
00:35:02,680 --> 00:35:05,920
Speaker 3: fifteen carries. They ranked number four in Pro Football Focuses

794
00:35:06,080 --> 00:35:08,480
Speaker 3: run defense grades as a team after one week. So

795
00:35:08,920 --> 00:35:10,520
Speaker 3: I do think that that's going to be an issue

796
00:35:10,520 --> 00:35:12,600
Speaker 3: for Seattle. But at the same time, it's like when

797
00:35:12,640 --> 00:35:15,279
Speaker 3: Seattle knows that they are not gonna be able to run,

798
00:35:15,480 --> 00:35:17,200
Speaker 3: that's when they tend to come out a little more aggressive.

799
00:35:17,200 --> 00:35:20,040
Speaker 3: And I wouldn't be surprised. Like if Pittsburgh plays man coverage,

800
00:35:20,200 --> 00:35:22,520
Speaker 3: book a Tyler Lockett touchdown, Like just book a deep

801
00:35:22,560 --> 00:35:25,800
Speaker 3: touchdown at Tyler Lockett, Book a deep touchdown to DK Metcalf.

802
00:35:25,840 --> 00:35:28,240
Speaker 4: So like I think, though I should be three.

803
00:35:27,960 --> 00:35:31,040
Speaker 2: Look this is this fits into the bi low and

804
00:35:31,040 --> 00:35:33,480
Speaker 2: how bad they looked last week. They're coming home now

805
00:35:33,840 --> 00:35:36,960
Speaker 2: they don't have to deal with Gilmore locking up Schuster

806
00:35:37,080 --> 00:35:40,160
Speaker 2: and you know, instead of Gilmore following him around, maybe

807
00:35:40,160 --> 00:35:42,240
Speaker 2: the best corner the NFL, it's gonna be Jamar Taylor

808
00:35:42,400 --> 00:35:45,239
Speaker 2: or Rookie Umati. I mean, the secondary for Seattle has

809
00:35:45,320 --> 00:35:47,360
Speaker 2: a long way to go. I mean Tetric TOMPs. I

810
00:35:47,400 --> 00:35:49,520
Speaker 2: think I was looking at a pro football focus he grated

811
00:35:49,520 --> 00:35:52,799
Speaker 2: out as a twenty five last week. Yeah, it's yeah,

812
00:35:52,840 --> 00:35:55,320
Speaker 2: and I and Thomas you got that.

813
00:35:55,320 --> 00:35:56,879
Speaker 3: That's how Pittsburgh is gonna have to win this game.

814
00:35:56,880 --> 00:35:59,319
Speaker 3: They're going to have to, you know, be able to

815
00:35:59,360 --> 00:36:02,200
Speaker 3: move the ball through the air because I don't think

816
00:36:02,200 --> 00:36:04,120
Speaker 3: you are gonna be able to run a ton with

817
00:36:04,400 --> 00:36:06,400
Speaker 3: Wagner and kJ right in the middle. I think the

818
00:36:06,440 --> 00:36:09,400
Speaker 3: one concern for me probably is Ben Roethlisberger. You know,

819
00:36:09,440 --> 00:36:11,520
Speaker 3: does he start turning the ball over again if they're

820
00:36:11,520 --> 00:36:13,480
Speaker 3: trying to throw it, because that could also swing the

821
00:36:13,480 --> 00:36:13,880
Speaker 3: game for you.

822
00:36:14,280 --> 00:36:16,120
Speaker 4: It's just like, I get it. This is kind of

823
00:36:16,120 --> 00:36:17,440
Speaker 4: a stayaway for me.

824
00:36:17,960 --> 00:36:21,440
Speaker 3: Let's go now to our favorite total of the week,

825
00:36:21,560 --> 00:36:23,160
Speaker 3: our favorite over underpick.

826
00:36:23,200 --> 00:36:24,680
Speaker 4: It could be an over, it can be an under.

827
00:36:25,000 --> 00:36:26,719
Speaker 4: Stuck you start us off.

828
00:36:27,120 --> 00:36:29,160
Speaker 2: I'll keep it short and sweet. I like the Green

829
00:36:29,200 --> 00:36:31,319
Speaker 2: Bay Minnesota under if you follow me on the app,

830
00:36:31,360 --> 00:36:33,520
Speaker 2: you so I put that in at forty five, so

831
00:36:33,680 --> 00:36:35,720
Speaker 2: to forty four now, which makes it a little tougher.

832
00:36:36,000 --> 00:36:38,160
Speaker 2: But I think Green Bay is gonna go a little

833
00:36:38,160 --> 00:36:40,200
Speaker 2: slower and pace, which they did in Week one, but

834
00:36:40,239 --> 00:36:42,080
Speaker 2: that could have been some growing gains and playing against

835
00:36:42,120 --> 00:36:44,480
Speaker 2: the Bears. But I think they'll be on the slower side,

836
00:36:45,000 --> 00:36:46,839
Speaker 2: you know, early in the year as they're figuring out

837
00:36:46,840 --> 00:36:50,160
Speaker 2: their new offense. Obviously you're gonna have Minnesota, which did

838
00:36:50,200 --> 00:36:52,960
Speaker 2: look fast to neutral situations, but they're gonna run it

839
00:36:53,040 --> 00:36:56,000
Speaker 2: a ton and that's their new identity apparently on offense.

840
00:36:56,080 --> 00:37:00,200
Speaker 2: I love this Packers defense, this Minnesota defense's solid division game,

841
00:37:00,320 --> 00:37:02,680
Speaker 2: huge game. I think gets like you know, first to

842
00:37:02,760 --> 00:37:04,719
Speaker 2: twenty one wins, twenty one to seventeen.

843
00:37:04,880 --> 00:37:07,480
Speaker 4: Pack It looks like that is the sharp side.

844
00:37:07,600 --> 00:37:09,560
Speaker 3: See seventy one percent of the tickets on the under,

845
00:37:09,600 --> 00:37:11,839
Speaker 3: so the public is on it too, but eighty six

846
00:37:11,880 --> 00:37:15,120
Speaker 3: percent of the money is on the under. I think,

847
00:37:15,280 --> 00:37:17,440
Speaker 3: as you mentioned, a lot of that was hit you

848
00:37:17,440 --> 00:37:19,440
Speaker 3: know at that forty six and the forty five number.

849
00:37:19,520 --> 00:37:21,319
Speaker 3: But if you do want it still, I think you

850
00:37:21,360 --> 00:37:23,040
Speaker 3: do want to get it before if it drops any

851
00:37:23,080 --> 00:37:24,840
Speaker 3: lower than forty four, then then you're looking at just

852
00:37:24,840 --> 00:37:26,120
Speaker 3: a whole different kind of score.

853
00:37:26,320 --> 00:37:28,640
Speaker 4: You know, twenty four to twenty you can lose or whatnot.

854
00:37:28,680 --> 00:37:31,040
Speaker 3: So if you do still, I would get it at

855
00:37:31,080 --> 00:37:33,680
Speaker 3: forty four and probably nothing weller for my total, I

856
00:37:33,719 --> 00:37:36,359
Speaker 3: am going to go with Dallas Washington under forty six

857
00:37:36,400 --> 00:37:38,080
Speaker 3: and a half. I kind of waited out before. I

858
00:37:38,080 --> 00:37:40,120
Speaker 3: think both of these teams had an outlying amount of

859
00:37:40,400 --> 00:37:43,160
Speaker 3: explosive plays that they will now kind of look at

860
00:37:43,280 --> 00:37:44,120
Speaker 3: protect against that.

861
00:37:44,160 --> 00:37:45,880
Speaker 4: I think both teams will run the ball more.

862
00:37:46,280 --> 00:37:49,400
Speaker 3: You're going to have the Redskins not losing geist and

863
00:37:49,400 --> 00:37:51,960
Speaker 3: then having you know, no one else active to really

864
00:37:52,000 --> 00:37:54,600
Speaker 3: handle that load. And then for the Cowboys, I think

865
00:37:54,600 --> 00:37:57,439
Speaker 3: they're going to ramp up Ezekiel Elliott's workload a bit.

866
00:37:57,520 --> 00:37:58,200
Speaker 4: They're on the road.

867
00:37:58,239 --> 00:38:00,560
Speaker 3: You just don't expect quite as many five works as

868
00:38:00,560 --> 00:38:02,759
Speaker 3: you do on the road as you do at home.

869
00:38:02,800 --> 00:38:04,640
Speaker 3: And I think it's Washington defense. You know, I know

870
00:38:04,840 --> 00:38:06,320
Speaker 3: they gave up some place to Philly, but let's not

871
00:38:06,360 --> 00:38:09,000
Speaker 3: forget Philly. Pretty good offense. I think we all expected

872
00:38:09,040 --> 00:38:12,799
Speaker 3: that back at home. Washington still a solid I think

873
00:38:12,880 --> 00:38:16,000
Speaker 3: defense I do have some problems on at corner, Josh

874
00:38:16,080 --> 00:38:18,440
Speaker 3: Norman a shell of himself as well.

875
00:38:18,480 --> 00:38:20,080
Speaker 4: But I just think it's going to be a totally

876
00:38:20,120 --> 00:38:21,160
Speaker 4: different game script.

877
00:38:21,640 --> 00:38:22,960
Speaker 3: I think you're going to see a lot of ap

878
00:38:23,080 --> 00:38:24,160
Speaker 3: I think you're going to see a lot of the

879
00:38:24,600 --> 00:38:25,359
Speaker 3: I think this is one.

880
00:38:25,239 --> 00:38:26,680
Speaker 4: Of those ugly division games.

881
00:38:26,840 --> 00:38:28,799
Speaker 3: You know, we saw teams put up a lot of

882
00:38:28,800 --> 00:38:30,960
Speaker 3: points last week and then they come and they play

883
00:38:31,160 --> 00:38:34,920
Speaker 3: this divisional matchup and it, Yeah, it's just it's just

884
00:38:34,960 --> 00:38:37,719
Speaker 3: not what you expect. So like it under forty six

885
00:38:37,920 --> 00:38:39,319
Speaker 3: and a half with love it. If it got to

886
00:38:39,360 --> 00:38:41,759
Speaker 3: forty seven, don't think that is going to happen, but

887
00:38:41,760 --> 00:38:43,560
Speaker 3: if it does, I would really jump on it again.

888
00:38:43,560 --> 00:38:47,360
Speaker 3: I already got it at forty six and a half.

889
00:38:47,840 --> 00:38:51,360
Speaker 3: Now we'll quickly run through the remaining games that we

890
00:38:51,400 --> 00:38:53,000
Speaker 3: didn't hit on. We might hit on some of them

891
00:38:53,080 --> 00:38:55,840
Speaker 3: later on, but the cults are at the Titans.

892
00:38:55,960 --> 00:38:59,600
Speaker 4: Titans are favored by three in that one. I think

893
00:38:59,600 --> 00:39:01,719
Speaker 4: there might be some value on the Colts there.

894
00:39:01,920 --> 00:39:06,400
Speaker 3: Buffalo visiting the Giants, Buffalo favored by one and a

895
00:39:06,480 --> 00:39:09,840
Speaker 3: half sixty four percent of the tickets, but only forty

896
00:39:09,880 --> 00:39:12,360
Speaker 3: six percent of the money on the New York Giants

897
00:39:12,520 --> 00:39:15,480
Speaker 3: talked about a little bit, but Arizona Baltimore plus thirteen

898
00:39:15,520 --> 00:39:19,880
Speaker 3: to five. Arizona visiting Baltimore, that game I think is

899
00:39:19,920 --> 00:39:23,560
Speaker 3: going to be tough for Kyler Murray Jaguars at Houston

900
00:39:23,640 --> 00:39:26,560
Speaker 3: Gardner Minshew starting fifty four percent of the bet tickets

901
00:39:26,560 --> 00:39:30,240
Speaker 3: but only eighteen percent of the money on the Houston

902
00:39:30,280 --> 00:39:34,400
Speaker 3: Texans Saints at the LA Rams. That line down to

903
00:39:34,440 --> 00:39:38,240
Speaker 3: two and a half after opening at three, fifty nine percent.

904
00:39:38,160 --> 00:39:41,040
Speaker 4: Of the bet tickets on the.

905
00:39:40,800 --> 00:39:43,320
Speaker 3: New Orleans Saints and fifty eight percent of the money,

906
00:39:43,400 --> 00:39:47,200
Speaker 3: so sharp square agreement there not known real action. And

907
00:39:47,280 --> 00:39:50,200
Speaker 3: then we have the Chargers favored by two and a

908
00:39:50,239 --> 00:39:53,040
Speaker 3: half hosting the Detroit Lions. Stuck anything on that one.

909
00:39:53,320 --> 00:39:55,080
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm waiting for this to get to three, and

910
00:39:55,120 --> 00:39:57,160
Speaker 2: I'm want to take the Lions. I mean, I'm really

911
00:39:57,200 --> 00:40:01,200
Speaker 2: low on this Chargers team, especially because of all their injuries.

912
00:40:01,480 --> 00:40:03,319
Speaker 2: All I mean, if you look just their injuries from

913
00:40:03,360 --> 00:40:06,520
Speaker 2: this past weekend. I was after Derwin James, but you

914
00:40:06,560 --> 00:40:10,439
Speaker 2: know their corner Williams is on ir They just they're

915
00:40:10,480 --> 00:40:12,640
Speaker 2: all across the board, not even including Gordon. I think

916
00:40:12,640 --> 00:40:15,600
Speaker 2: they're fine at running back, but this offensive line is

917
00:40:15,640 --> 00:40:18,520
Speaker 2: a disaster. I mean, I think it's the worst offensive

918
00:40:18,520 --> 00:40:22,920
Speaker 2: line in football. So going on the road here without

919
00:40:22,960 --> 00:40:25,759
Speaker 2: Derwin James, my boy hawk, it's gonna have a huge

920
00:40:25,800 --> 00:40:27,840
Speaker 2: game at tight end. I just need that three. If not,

921
00:40:27,880 --> 00:40:29,439
Speaker 2: it's a pretty good teasbece Sure.

922
00:40:29,480 --> 00:40:32,680
Speaker 3: We have the Kansas City Chiefs visiting the Oakland Raiders.

923
00:40:32,719 --> 00:40:35,319
Speaker 3: That line opened around seven and a half eight at

924
00:40:35,320 --> 00:40:36,760
Speaker 3: most spots down to seven.

925
00:40:37,239 --> 00:40:40,160
Speaker 4: Some sharp action backing the Raiders. Stuck anything there, Yeah,

926
00:40:40,200 --> 00:40:40,640
Speaker 4: I played.

927
00:40:40,680 --> 00:40:42,120
Speaker 2: I just played this on the number. I think the

928
00:40:42,200 --> 00:40:43,960
Speaker 2: Raiders might be a little better than people think. I

929
00:40:44,000 --> 00:40:46,680
Speaker 2: just don't think that the Chiefs are ten and a

930
00:40:46,719 --> 00:40:49,560
Speaker 2: half points better on a neutral field just yet. I

931
00:40:49,560 --> 00:40:51,640
Speaker 2: still have questions about their defense. I think it should

932
00:40:51,680 --> 00:40:53,560
Speaker 2: be six and a half seven. So I played it

933
00:40:53,560 --> 00:40:55,479
Speaker 2: at seven and a half. Pure numbers play.

934
00:40:55,520 --> 00:41:00,480
Speaker 3: Start the car Chicago Bears at the Denver Broncos up

935
00:41:00,520 --> 00:41:03,799
Speaker 3: to a two and a half point favorites in that

936
00:41:03,920 --> 00:41:05,799
Speaker 3: game over under forty one.

937
00:41:05,880 --> 00:41:07,480
Speaker 4: Bears opened at one and a half.

938
00:41:07,560 --> 00:41:09,560
Speaker 3: We are seeing eighty one percent of the public, but

939
00:41:09,600 --> 00:41:12,760
Speaker 3: only seventy percent of the money on the Chicago Bears

940
00:41:13,040 --> 00:41:14,080
Speaker 3: at minus two to five.

941
00:41:14,160 --> 00:41:15,920
Speaker 4: Stuck anything on that one, Yeah, I don't care.

942
00:41:15,960 --> 00:41:18,320
Speaker 2: How square this gets. I like the Bears here, extra

943
00:41:18,400 --> 00:41:21,880
Speaker 2: rest versus the Broncos on a short week, Flacco behind

944
00:41:21,920 --> 00:41:24,920
Speaker 2: an offensive line that now doesn't have its starting right tackle,

945
00:41:25,040 --> 00:41:27,640
Speaker 2: a bad offensive line against that Bears front seven that

946
00:41:27,760 --> 00:41:31,040
Speaker 2: was still flying around the secondary is still great. I

947
00:41:31,080 --> 00:41:33,160
Speaker 2: also split this first half money line. I've been over

948
00:41:33,160 --> 00:41:35,480
Speaker 2: this before on the pod and read about it. Trubisky's

949
00:41:35,560 --> 00:41:37,439
Speaker 2: a lot better in the first quarter in scripted play.

950
00:41:37,520 --> 00:41:39,319
Speaker 2: See it kind of gets some of that in there.

951
00:41:39,600 --> 00:41:41,839
Speaker 2: I just think the Bears defense is way too good

952
00:41:41,880 --> 00:41:44,880
Speaker 2: in this Denver team, and I'm trying not to overreact

953
00:41:44,880 --> 00:41:46,240
Speaker 2: to one week is bad.

954
00:41:46,800 --> 00:41:50,400
Speaker 4: All right, let's get in two our teaser segment.

955
00:41:50,920 --> 00:41:54,080
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, six point teasers.

956
00:41:54,640 --> 00:41:57,200
Speaker 3: This segment is where Stuck and I each give our

957
00:41:57,280 --> 00:42:01,520
Speaker 3: favorite two team teether And for those unfamiamiliar teasers, when

958
00:42:01,560 --> 00:42:04,200
Speaker 3: you can buy extra points that count toward the spread

959
00:42:04,480 --> 00:42:06,880
Speaker 3: for the teams that you have included in the teaser,

960
00:42:06,920 --> 00:42:08,759
Speaker 3: we'll give a two team teaser here, so you get

961
00:42:08,800 --> 00:42:11,040
Speaker 3: better odds to win essentially because you're getting extra points,

962
00:42:11,360 --> 00:42:13,120
Speaker 3: you know, smaller payouts, so you're kind of trading some

963
00:42:13,560 --> 00:42:16,359
Speaker 3: payout for some security here. But definitely a fun way

964
00:42:16,400 --> 00:42:18,120
Speaker 3: to bet if you're kind of sick of just doing

965
00:42:18,239 --> 00:42:21,440
Speaker 3: the same old you know, sides totals and whatnot, so stuck.

966
00:42:21,440 --> 00:42:23,680
Speaker 3: I know you have a great article up on Action

967
00:42:23,719 --> 00:42:25,880
Speaker 3: network dot com with your teaser strategies.

968
00:42:25,880 --> 00:42:26,839
Speaker 4: We talked about it last weeks.

969
00:42:26,840 --> 00:42:28,759
Speaker 3: I don't want to kind of rehashle of that, but

970
00:42:29,040 --> 00:42:32,799
Speaker 3: just give us your favorite two team teaser for this week.

971
00:42:32,880 --> 00:42:34,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, so you obviously want to go through the three

972
00:42:34,560 --> 00:42:37,320
Speaker 2: in the seven. So there's a bunch of options this week,

973
00:42:37,680 --> 00:42:39,279
Speaker 2: you know, even with the Panthers if you wanted to

974
00:42:39,320 --> 00:42:42,160
Speaker 2: start on Thursday night, the Lions, the Falcons. But my

975
00:42:42,280 --> 00:42:46,040
Speaker 2: favorite is the Saints and the Giants. I think Giants

976
00:42:46,080 --> 00:42:48,560
Speaker 2: Bills is going to be ugly as hell. So the

977
00:42:48,600 --> 00:42:51,000
Speaker 2: Giants sitting at one and a half point home dogs

978
00:42:51,040 --> 00:42:53,680
Speaker 2: against the Bills. This is a little overreaction with the

979
00:42:53,680 --> 00:42:56,240
Speaker 2: Bills last week and the Giants getting blown out. These

980
00:42:56,360 --> 00:42:59,040
Speaker 2: are not These are two teams that are not that good.

981
00:42:59,400 --> 00:43:02,480
Speaker 2: Crossing the three and seven at home against the Bills.

982
00:43:02,960 --> 00:43:05,400
Speaker 2: I think it's huge with the Giants in a best

983
00:43:05,400 --> 00:43:07,960
Speaker 2: effort spot in their home opener and then the Saints

984
00:43:08,640 --> 00:43:11,000
Speaker 2: catching eight and a half. Look, folks want to get

985
00:43:11,040 --> 00:43:13,359
Speaker 2: cute knock, give give me three here, I'll get cuter

986
00:43:13,400 --> 00:43:15,000
Speaker 2: and I'll tease through the three and seven with the

987
00:43:15,040 --> 00:43:17,319
Speaker 2: Saints in a game that should be high scoring. Both

988
00:43:17,360 --> 00:43:20,719
Speaker 2: offenses should score. Saints obviously out for revenge, but keep

989
00:43:20,719 --> 00:43:22,959
Speaker 2: in mind, if you look back at teams have lost

990
00:43:22,960 --> 00:43:25,400
Speaker 2: the AFC and NFC championship game when they play the

991
00:43:25,440 --> 00:43:27,680
Speaker 2: following year, the team that lost is only one like

992
00:43:27,880 --> 00:43:30,560
Speaker 2: forty percent of the time covered like forty five percent.

993
00:43:30,840 --> 00:43:33,120
Speaker 2: So you'll hear that revenge angle a lot doesn't really

994
00:43:33,120 --> 00:43:36,200
Speaker 2: mean anything. And just look at the matchups. Captain number

995
00:43:36,400 --> 00:43:38,440
Speaker 2: I wanted three to three and a half here, but

996
00:43:38,760 --> 00:43:40,200
Speaker 2: it doesn't look like I'm going to get it, So

997
00:43:40,239 --> 00:43:41,720
Speaker 2: I'll tease it through the three and seven.

998
00:43:42,080 --> 00:43:44,600
Speaker 3: For my teaser, I am going to go with the

999
00:43:45,200 --> 00:43:47,560
Speaker 3: Falcons plus one five. I already mentioned that, so that's

1000
00:43:47,600 --> 00:43:50,080
Speaker 3: going through the three in the seven and then I

1001
00:43:50,120 --> 00:43:52,440
Speaker 3: am going to go against you and I'm going to

1002
00:43:52,480 --> 00:43:55,080
Speaker 3: take the forty nine ers another one and a half

1003
00:43:55,080 --> 00:43:58,120
Speaker 3: point underdog. So got two one and a half point underdogs.

1004
00:43:58,280 --> 00:43:59,960
Speaker 2: I like the forty nine ers. This is a tease.

1005
00:44:00,239 --> 00:44:02,200
Speaker 2: Any tiny piez one and a half or two above

1006
00:44:02,239 --> 00:44:04,319
Speaker 2: the touchdown, I'm with you, so we both can win that.

1007
00:44:04,560 --> 00:44:07,320
Speaker 4: Okay, cool, but you're gonna lose your pick though. But

1008
00:44:07,440 --> 00:44:08,839
Speaker 4: let's let's keep it going. Now.

1009
00:44:08,880 --> 00:44:13,320
Speaker 3: We're going to get into our money line parlay segment.

1010
00:44:15,560 --> 00:44:18,960
Speaker 1: Turning good weekends into great weekends.

1011
00:44:19,400 --> 00:44:21,960
Speaker 2: It's time for the money line parlay.

1012
00:44:23,160 --> 00:44:26,160
Speaker 3: In this segment, we each pick our favorite underdog on

1013
00:44:26,200 --> 00:44:28,880
Speaker 3: the money line and we will combine that into a

1014
00:44:29,280 --> 00:44:31,919
Speaker 3: parlay bet and see what kind of odds we get.

1015
00:44:32,400 --> 00:44:35,160
Speaker 3: You can use the Action Network vetting calculator to do

1016
00:44:35,160 --> 00:44:37,520
Speaker 3: these kind of things at Action network dot com and

1017
00:44:37,600 --> 00:44:38,719
Speaker 3: in the Action Network app.

1018
00:44:38,880 --> 00:44:39,680
Speaker 4: Suck who you got.

1019
00:44:39,920 --> 00:44:44,040
Speaker 2: Look, I was gonna get a little crazy here and

1020
00:44:44,280 --> 00:44:46,560
Speaker 2: go back to the well. With the Jags. If you

1021
00:44:46,600 --> 00:44:50,080
Speaker 2: look back, they've owned Deshaun Watson. That's because Deshaun Watson

1022
00:44:50,120 --> 00:44:54,520
Speaker 2: gets absolutely no protection, yes, tonsil, but still just overall,

1023
00:44:54,520 --> 00:44:56,040
Speaker 2: I mean, he was getting hit all over the place

1024
00:44:56,239 --> 00:44:58,600
Speaker 2: against the States. The difference is the Jaguars have a

1025
00:44:58,680 --> 00:45:01,279
Speaker 2: much better secondary, They can at much better pressure, and

1026
00:45:01,280 --> 00:45:03,279
Speaker 2: that's why he's just had terrible numbers on hest two

1027
00:45:03,320 --> 00:45:05,400
Speaker 2: touchdowns at one pick and three games against the Jags.

1028
00:45:05,400 --> 00:45:07,799
Speaker 2: Both games are pretty ugly last year. I mean, look

1029
00:45:07,800 --> 00:45:10,440
Speaker 2: for Deshaun Watson two touchdowns across three games over two

1030
00:45:10,520 --> 00:45:13,560
Speaker 2: total touchdowns of three games. He does a lot for

1031
00:45:13,680 --> 00:45:16,520
Speaker 2: that team, and he's a magician back there, but it's

1032
00:45:16,600 --> 00:45:19,040
Speaker 2: just with no tight end over the middle of the field,

1033
00:45:19,080 --> 00:45:21,719
Speaker 2: and you know, I don't think he's going to be available.

1034
00:45:22,120 --> 00:45:25,320
Speaker 2: So I think the Jats can keep that close. They

1035
00:45:25,400 --> 00:45:28,200
Speaker 2: done number is crazy after what happened last week, but

1036
00:45:28,480 --> 00:45:31,200
Speaker 2: I'm not going to go there. I'm going to go

1037
00:45:31,920 --> 00:45:35,080
Speaker 2: with the Indianapolis Colts, who have dominated this year's I

1038
00:45:35,080 --> 00:45:38,279
Speaker 2: think they're eighteen and three. But the Titans. Look, we said,

1039
00:45:38,360 --> 00:45:40,440
Speaker 2: don't overreact to one week. The Titans. I remember back

1040
00:45:40,480 --> 00:45:42,799
Speaker 2: in twenty fifteen they won forty two to fourteen at

1041
00:45:42,800 --> 00:45:45,600
Speaker 2: the Bucks. The next week they lost to the pathetic Browns. Well,

1042
00:45:45,920 --> 00:45:48,040
Speaker 2: last week and I want to throw this ou out there,

1043
00:45:48,080 --> 00:45:50,680
Speaker 2: they covered by more than twenty eight points. This has

1044
00:45:50,760 --> 00:45:53,360
Speaker 2: only happened. A team in Week one covering by the

1045
00:45:53,400 --> 00:45:56,240
Speaker 2: spread by twenty eight or more points has only happened

1046
00:45:56,280 --> 00:46:00,160
Speaker 2: nine prior times since twenty ten. I think, actually, if

1047
00:46:00,160 --> 00:46:02,040
Speaker 2: you go back to two thousand and seven and the

1048
00:46:02,120 --> 00:46:04,560
Speaker 2: following week the team is zero to nine against the spread.

1049
00:46:04,680 --> 00:46:07,160
Speaker 2: This week, we actually have two teams that qualify. The

1050
00:46:07,200 --> 00:46:09,359
Speaker 2: Ravens covered by more than twenty eight, and so did

1051
00:46:09,360 --> 00:46:12,359
Speaker 2: the Titans. The Titans were kind of gifted that game.

1052
00:46:12,400 --> 00:46:14,160
Speaker 2: I mean, look, their offense looked a lot better. They're

1053
00:46:14,200 --> 00:46:15,799
Speaker 2: running a lot more play action. I thought the play

1054
00:46:15,840 --> 00:46:18,319
Speaker 2: calling was better. You know, obviously Brown had a huge

1055
00:46:18,360 --> 00:46:21,640
Speaker 2: game at receiver, even though Humphreys and Davis did nothing.

1056
00:46:21,880 --> 00:46:23,759
Speaker 2: There was obviously like two hundred yards of penalties the

1057
00:46:23,760 --> 00:46:25,840
Speaker 2: Browns had, but it was much more than that because

1058
00:46:25,840 --> 00:46:28,280
Speaker 2: it took a call back a bunch of big plays.

1059
00:46:28,560 --> 00:46:32,520
Speaker 2: The Browns were so undisciplined. I love this Colts offensive line.

1060
00:46:32,920 --> 00:46:36,200
Speaker 2: This Colts offensive line has just been doing absolute work.

1061
00:46:36,280 --> 00:46:38,000
Speaker 2: I think they are the one of the best run

1062
00:46:38,040 --> 00:46:40,960
Speaker 2: blocking units in all of football. And I don't think

1063
00:46:41,000 --> 00:46:43,280
Speaker 2: they're gonna have a ton of success throwing it against

1064
00:46:43,360 --> 00:46:45,960
Speaker 2: you know, the nickel packages of Tennessee with a lot

1065
00:46:45,960 --> 00:46:48,600
Speaker 2: of their talented corners. But look, they're going to feed

1066
00:46:48,680 --> 00:46:51,840
Speaker 2: back who has I think six hundred and sixty yards

1067
00:46:51,840 --> 00:46:53,839
Speaker 2: one hundred and twenty two carries in his last six

1068
00:46:53,880 --> 00:46:57,359
Speaker 2: games at six touchdowns. This running game is electric. I

1069
00:46:57,400 --> 00:46:59,239
Speaker 2: love it. They're just going to go and pound the ball.

1070
00:46:59,560 --> 00:47:01,880
Speaker 2: I like the Colts plus one fifty ish.

1071
00:47:01,960 --> 00:47:02,799
Speaker 4: I don't hate that at all.

1072
00:47:02,800 --> 00:47:05,680
Speaker 3: I think people are sleeping on Jacobi Brissett. That offense

1073
00:47:05,880 --> 00:47:08,960
Speaker 3: underfront right totally different from I think what we saw

1074
00:47:09,160 --> 00:47:12,760
Speaker 3: you under Chuck Pagano and those guys in the previous regime.

1075
00:47:13,520 --> 00:47:16,840
Speaker 3: I am going to go for my pick, you know,

1076
00:47:16,880 --> 00:47:18,759
Speaker 3: I'm going to go to Seattle Seahawks, and this goes

1077
00:47:18,800 --> 00:47:20,200
Speaker 3: back to last year. They're a team that can win

1078
00:47:20,239 --> 00:47:22,279
Speaker 3: every game, and they can lose every game. You know,

1079
00:47:22,360 --> 00:47:25,040
Speaker 3: sometimes they get a little bogged down by their their

1080
00:47:25,120 --> 00:47:26,479
Speaker 3: kind of commitment to the run.

1081
00:47:26,760 --> 00:47:27,920
Speaker 4: I think this is a game where they.

1082
00:47:27,880 --> 00:47:31,040
Speaker 3: See how little success the Patriots had for much of

1083
00:47:31,040 --> 00:47:33,160
Speaker 3: that game running on Pittsburgh, and they do open it

1084
00:47:33,200 --> 00:47:35,520
Speaker 3: up a little and I think that works in Seattle slavor,

1085
00:47:36,040 --> 00:47:38,520
Speaker 3: and if Pittsburgh plays the same way, I think Pittsburgh

1086
00:47:38,640 --> 00:47:40,480
Speaker 3: is the more liable team to kind of turn the

1087
00:47:40,520 --> 00:47:43,160
Speaker 3: ball over and give you these kind of variants, essentially

1088
00:47:43,160 --> 00:47:46,160
Speaker 3: going in your favorite. So you have the Indianapolis Colts

1089
00:47:46,160 --> 00:47:48,240
Speaker 3: plus one fifty at the Titans. I have the Seattle

1090
00:47:48,239 --> 00:47:51,520
Speaker 3: Seahawks plus one seventy at the Pittsburgh Steelers.

1091
00:47:51,960 --> 00:47:54,399
Speaker 4: If you put a.

1092
00:47:53,719 --> 00:47:57,239
Speaker 3: One hundred dollars bet on that you would win five

1093
00:47:57,320 --> 00:47:59,640
Speaker 3: hundred and seventy five, So about whittle under a six

1094
00:47:59,719 --> 00:48:01,000
Speaker 3: to one and payout.

1095
00:48:01,120 --> 00:48:04,319
Speaker 4: So we'll see if that one can hit in. Now,

1096
00:48:04,640 --> 00:48:08,680
Speaker 4: we'll wrap it up by doing our Survivor pick of

1097
00:48:08,760 --> 00:48:17,040
Speaker 4: the week, one pick, one chance to advance Survivor.

1098
00:48:18,040 --> 00:48:20,480
Speaker 3: All right, both of our survivors kind of, I mean

1099
00:48:20,520 --> 00:48:22,920
Speaker 3: they barely hung on. Good thing we did back these

1100
00:48:22,920 --> 00:48:27,920
Speaker 3: teams against the spread, because I mean Seattle barely. Philadelphia

1101
00:48:27,920 --> 00:48:29,520
Speaker 3: looked like they were going to lose for part of

1102
00:48:29,560 --> 00:48:31,840
Speaker 3: that game as well. So we got this week stuff.

1103
00:48:32,480 --> 00:48:35,799
Speaker 2: I'm going with my boys a home against a rookie quarterback.

1104
00:48:36,160 --> 00:48:40,400
Speaker 2: Rookie quarterbacks in Baltimore have just been absolutely eaten alive

1105
00:48:41,280 --> 00:48:43,640
Speaker 2: under John Harbor over the last ten eleven years. I

1106
00:48:43,640 --> 00:48:48,160
Speaker 2: think that trend continues. Arizona's still no offensive line, still

1107
00:48:48,400 --> 00:48:52,040
Speaker 2: no corners, still questionable defense, Braydon should be able to

1108
00:48:52,040 --> 00:48:55,160
Speaker 2: move it up and down the field, huge special teams advantage.

1109
00:48:55,520 --> 00:48:58,160
Speaker 2: And look, if you look back by the way, this

1110
00:48:58,200 --> 00:49:00,839
Speaker 2: is a great pace differ different t mean the Cardinals

1111
00:49:00,840 --> 00:49:02,760
Speaker 2: are gonna be the fastest tea in the NFL most likely.

1112
00:49:03,040 --> 00:49:04,879
Speaker 2: The Ravens are obviously going to run out of a ton.

1113
00:49:05,320 --> 00:49:06,879
Speaker 2: I think the Cardinals are going to sell out. They're

1114
00:49:06,880 --> 00:49:09,759
Speaker 2: missing both their starting corners. You'll hit some I think

1115
00:49:09,760 --> 00:49:11,840
Speaker 2: the Ravens will hit some more plays down the field

1116
00:49:12,320 --> 00:49:15,440
Speaker 2: with Andrews and or Brown, and I think the Ravens

1117
00:49:15,600 --> 00:49:19,560
Speaker 2: win easily. And look, keep this in mind. Everyone's getting

1118
00:49:19,600 --> 00:49:23,520
Speaker 2: excited about Kyler Murray, including my co host here, but

1119
00:49:23,840 --> 00:49:26,920
Speaker 2: this game was done and dusted. It was over. I

1120
00:49:26,920 --> 00:49:29,280
Speaker 2: think Kyler Murray was like nine of thirty for seven

1121
00:49:29,360 --> 00:49:33,120
Speaker 2: yards over the first three quarters against the Lions at home.

1122
00:49:33,680 --> 00:49:36,080
Speaker 2: Now with seventeen people in the stands. I'm kidding. They

1123
00:49:36,080 --> 00:49:37,840
Speaker 2: actually had a lot of people come out. But this

1124
00:49:37,960 --> 00:49:41,080
Speaker 2: is in Baltimore on the road against a really good secondary,

1125
00:49:41,120 --> 00:49:44,359
Speaker 2: even if it is missing Jimmy Smith, and I think

1126
00:49:44,400 --> 00:49:46,040
Speaker 2: things are going to get ugly here. So I'm going

1127
00:49:46,040 --> 00:49:46,799
Speaker 2: with the Ravens.

1128
00:49:47,080 --> 00:49:49,440
Speaker 3: I would go with the Ravens, but I think this

1129
00:49:49,520 --> 00:49:53,560
Speaker 3: youthton Texans team facing aokie, a rookie quarterback who's not

1130
00:49:53,800 --> 00:49:56,840
Speaker 3: the number one overhale pick, but just some guy, some

1131
00:49:56,880 --> 00:50:00,239
Speaker 3: middle round guy Gardner minshew, I feel more confident going

1132
00:50:00,280 --> 00:50:02,000
Speaker 3: with the Texans in the spot. They're not as big

1133
00:50:02,080 --> 00:50:04,919
Speaker 3: of a favorite, so I I you know, that does

1134
00:50:05,000 --> 00:50:09,960
Speaker 3: mean that technically the the Ravens have better odds to win,

1135
00:50:10,840 --> 00:50:13,800
Speaker 3: But I mean no, it's just I could see a

1136
00:50:13,840 --> 00:50:14,520
Speaker 3: web down spot.

1137
00:50:14,600 --> 00:50:15,560
Speaker 2: I can see spot.

1138
00:50:17,920 --> 00:50:18,759
Speaker 4: I love Tyler Murray.

1139
00:50:19,560 --> 00:50:21,279
Speaker 2: You wouldn't use your survivor pick against him?

1140
00:50:22,200 --> 00:50:24,759
Speaker 3: Yeah, but no, I would not use my survivor pick

1141
00:50:24,760 --> 00:50:27,160
Speaker 3: against him in this week because the Texans are going

1142
00:50:27,160 --> 00:50:30,239
Speaker 3: against Gardner Minshew in his first start. Again, I think

1143
00:50:30,440 --> 00:50:33,399
Speaker 3: they have better protection enough to win this game, whether

1144
00:50:33,440 --> 00:50:34,239
Speaker 3: it's ugly or not.

1145
00:50:34,600 --> 00:50:35,520
Speaker 4: I think the Texans.

1146
00:50:35,800 --> 00:50:37,719
Speaker 3: I just feel more confident about the Texans than I

1147
00:50:37,719 --> 00:50:40,399
Speaker 3: do about you know, like the Cardinals randomly waking up

1148
00:50:40,600 --> 00:50:41,640
Speaker 3: like they did, you know.

1149
00:50:41,520 --> 00:50:43,719
Speaker 4: In the fourth quarter of last week. So yeah, I'm

1150
00:50:43,719 --> 00:50:44,200
Speaker 4: going Texan.

1151
00:50:44,239 --> 00:50:46,960
Speaker 3: Also, keep in mind, the Texans have a really difficult

1152
00:50:47,000 --> 00:50:48,120
Speaker 3: schedule for the most.

1153
00:50:47,960 --> 00:50:48,520
Speaker 4: Part this year.

1154
00:50:48,600 --> 00:50:50,400
Speaker 3: So if I can get a chance to use him

1155
00:50:50,440 --> 00:50:54,000
Speaker 3: early on against a rookie quarterback in his first start

1156
00:50:54,200 --> 00:50:56,320
Speaker 3: versus you know, the number one overall pick in a second,

1157
00:50:56,719 --> 00:50:58,960
Speaker 3: I just feel more confident go in that direction.

1158
00:50:59,080 --> 00:51:00,439
Speaker 4: So that's where I'm I'm going.

1159
00:51:00,680 --> 00:51:02,680
Speaker 3: We'll see how it all plays out, see if I

1160
00:51:02,680 --> 00:51:06,080
Speaker 3: can maintain my leader. If you make a ferocious comeback

1161
00:51:06,640 --> 00:51:09,759
Speaker 3: and overtake me next week. And that does it for

1162
00:51:09,800 --> 00:51:12,960
Speaker 3: another edition of the Action Network podcast. Be sure to

1163
00:51:13,080 --> 00:51:15,920
Speaker 3: check out the channel all week long. We'll have previews

1164
00:51:15,920 --> 00:51:18,959
Speaker 3: of the Monday night game. We'll have Stuck and Colin

1165
00:51:19,000 --> 00:51:21,279
Speaker 3: Wilson on talking all the college football that you need

1166
00:51:21,320 --> 00:51:23,799
Speaker 3: to get ready for next week, so keep on the

1167
00:51:23,800 --> 00:51:27,040
Speaker 3: lookout for that. Be short to download the Action Network

1168
00:51:27,040 --> 00:51:29,120
Speaker 3: app where you can track all your bets. You can

1169
00:51:29,160 --> 00:51:32,200
Speaker 3: track Stucky and ives bets, and we're gonna probably have

1170
00:51:32,239 --> 00:51:34,239
Speaker 3: a pick up contest that you guys can enter, so

1171
00:51:34,760 --> 00:51:37,239
Speaker 3: be sure to check that out. Until next time, I'm

1172
00:51:37,320 --> 00:51:40,560
Speaker 3: Chris Raybond for Stucky Take Care called pac Go